@unpublished{morales2026Model, title={Are traditional hazard-based weather warnings anticipating local impact?}, author={Morales, Jordi and Llort, Xavier and Kaltenbrunner, Andreas and Lapedriza, Agata}, note={Available at SSRN 6339726}, url={https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=6339726}, year={2026 }