{ "cells": [ { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ " \n", "\n", "#
R для тервера и матстата.

Домашка номер раз!
\n", "\n", "Данный ноутбук является домашкой по курсу «R для теории вероятностей и математической статистики» (РАНХиГС, 2017-2018). Автор ноутбука [вот этот парень по имени Филипп.](https://vk.com/ppilif) Если у вас для него есть деньги, слава или женщины, он от этого всего не откажется. Ноутбук распространяется на условиях лицензии [Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 4.0.](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/) При использовании обязательно упоминание автора курса и аффилиации. При наличии технической возможности необходимо также указать активную гиперссылку на [страницу курса.](https://fulyankin.github.io/R_probability/) На ней можно найти другие материалы. Фрагменты кода, включенные в этот notebook, публикуются как [общественное достояние.](https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/)\n", "\n", "----------------------\n", "\n", "Приветствую вас внутри первой домашки. У каждой домашки должны быть свои герои (но это неточно). Моими героями являетесь вы! Вы - герои не потому, что я хочу кого-то простебать или обидеть, а потому что я всех вас очень люблю и хочу увековечить. Кто-то называет именами любимых людей вновь открытые звёзды и острова, кто-то вновь созданный вордовский файл для нира, а кто-то делает их героями своих историй. Я не Джордж Мартин, в моих историях никто не погибнет. \n", "\n", "__Краткий брифинг:__\n", "\n", "* В тетрадке $ 10 $ задачек. Нужно решить любые пять.\n", "* Некоторые задачи можно решить вручную. За это баллы не ставятся, но можно попробовать.\n", "* Все решения выложу после дедлайна. \n", "* Дедлайн: следующая среда (25 апреля), утро. \n", "* Следующая пара начнётся с разбора домашки.\n", "\n", "Ближе к делу. С чего начинается любой скрипт? Правильно! С подгрузки пакетов :) " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 1, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "library(\"ggplot2\") # Пакет для красивых графиков \n", "library(\"grid\") # Пакет для субплотов\n", "\n", "# Отрегулируем размер картинок, которые будут выдаваться в нашей тетрадке\n", "library('repr')\n", "options(repr.plot.width=4, repr.plot.height=3)\n", "\n", "# Внимание! Если вы делаете дз в Rstudio, то вам не нужны пакеты grid, repr и т.п.\n", "# Вам нужен только пакет ggplot2! " ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "### Полезные функции: " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 2, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "
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\n" ], "text/latex": [ "\\begin{enumerate*}\n", "\\item 1\n", "\\item -1\n", "\\item 2\n", "\\end{enumerate*}\n" ], "text/markdown": [ "1. 1\n", "2. -1\n", "3. 2\n", "\n", "\n" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 1 -1 2" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "x <- c(1,2,3)\n", "y <- c(2,-1,4)\n", "z <- c(3,5,2)\n", "\n", "pmin(x,y,z) # находит поэлементные минимумы во всех векторах" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 5, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "3" ], "text/latex": [ "3" ], "text/markdown": [ "3" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 3" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "which.max(x) # выдаёт позицию максимума" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "### Задачка 1\n", "\n", "В R куча встроенных наборов данных. Например, в наборе данных `chickwts` лежат веса куриц и тип корма, который используется для их выращивания." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 6, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "\n", "\n", "\n", "\t\n", "\t\n", "\t\n", "\t\n", "\t\n", "\n", "
weightfeed
179 horsebean
160 horsebean
136 horsebean
227 horsebean
217 horsebean
\n" ], "text/latex": [ "\\begin{tabular}{r|ll}\n", " weight & feed\\\\\n", "\\hline\n", "\t 179 & horsebean\\\\\n", "\t 160 & horsebean\\\\\n", "\t 136 & horsebean\\\\\n", "\t 227 & horsebean\\\\\n", "\t 217 & horsebean\\\\\n", "\\end{tabular}\n" ], "text/markdown": [ "\n", "weight | feed | \n", "|---|---|---|---|---|\n", "| 179 | horsebean | \n", "| 160 | horsebean | \n", "| 136 | horsebean | \n", "| 227 | horsebean | \n", "| 217 | horsebean | \n", "\n", "\n" ], "text/plain": [ " weight feed \n", "1 179 horsebean\n", "2 160 horsebean\n", "3 136 horsebean\n", "4 227 horsebean\n", "5 217 horsebean" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "head(chickwts,5) # команда head позволяет посмотреть на\n", " # первые пять строк таблички " ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Постройте гистограмму с распределением веса куриц с 20 столбиками. " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 7, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": {}, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "data": { "image/png": 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5HLRd9PHYxmq59iY7du3XLNmhzfrgCcLKWKPmhvWkE4X1JnMiXl8z/ny8+0YIEg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\n20EHHWT19fVpa7hlyxZ7+umn7ZVXXrEePXpYr169ipqelpmB0AV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oP5j3r44Of/SjH5l2Cq655ppWeRXs1JlLD6bQkaZ3+te809juNh0d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\nQLso5hiT8AAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==", "text/plain": [ "plot without title" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# легче лёгкого! \n", "qplot(chickwts$weight, bins=20)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Постройте эмпирическую функцию распределения для веса куриц. " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 8, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": {}, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "data": { "image/png": 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r16VbKysgLkZt7LRYsWVQu0423bqsFO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", "text/plain": [ "plot without title" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# скопипастим код из лекции\n", "ggplot(chickwts, aes(x = weight))+ # на какой таблице строи график \n", " stat_ecdf( ) # какой именно график строим " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 9, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": {}, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "data": { "image/png": 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WwdpA0EQAAEQMC0BDAMybSmRcZAIH0E7DsdlPN6Ljm+cZK9QnzHfzcxlPeGegoe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\nAAgYhYA5GiqNQttA6Ww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"text/plain": [ "plot without title" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# Можно сделать график чуть красивше! Розовым, пунктирным и большим! \n", "ggplot(chickwts, aes(x = weight))+\n", " stat_ecdf(linetype = 'dashed', color = \"magenta\", size = 5)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Найдите базовые характеристики распределения:\n", "\n", "* средний вес курицы\n", "* медианный вес курицы\n", "* дисперсию веса куриц \n", "* среднее квадратическо отклонения веса куриц \n", "* эмпирические квантили уровня 5%, 50% и 95%. \n", "* правда ли, что 50% квантиль совпал с медианой? А почему?" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 10, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "261.30985915493" ], "text/latex": [ "261.30985915493" ], "text/markdown": [ "261.30985915493" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 261.3099" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# сохраним вес курицы в отдельный вектор, чтобы было проще\n", "x <- chickwts$weight\n", "mean(x) # среднее" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 11, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "258" ], "text/latex": [ "258" ], "text/markdown": [ "258" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 258" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "median(x) # медиана" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 12, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "6095.50261569416" ], "text/latex": [ "6095.50261569416" ], "text/markdown": [ "6095.50261569416" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 6095.503" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "var(x) # дисперсия" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 13, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "78.0736998975594" ], "text/latex": [ "78.0736998975594" ], "text/markdown": [ "78.0736998975594" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 78.0737" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "sd(x) # стандартное отклонение (корень из дисперсии)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 14, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "
\n", "\t
5%
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140.5
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50%
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95%
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\n" ], "text/latex": [ "\\begin{description*}\n", "\\item[5\\textbackslash{}\\%] 140.5\n", "\\item[50\\textbackslash{}\\%] 258\n", "\\item[95\\textbackslash{}\\%] 385\n", "\\end{description*}\n" ], "text/markdown": [ "5%\n", ": 140.550%\n", ": 25895%\n", ": 385\n", "\n" ], "text/plain": [ " 5% 50% 95% \n", "140.5 258.0 385.0 " ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "q = c(0.05, 0.5, 0.95)\n", "quantile(x,q)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 15, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "TRUE" ], "text/latex": [ "TRUE" ], "text/markdown": [ "TRUE" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] TRUE" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# конечно правда! Медиана это и есть 50% квантиль\n", "median(x) == quantile(x, 0.5, names = FALSE) # names отвечает за подписывание имён" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Сделали упражнение? Ответили на вопросы? Вы офигенны! Вы уже можете больше, чем среднестатистический аудитор из большой четвёрки ;) Двигайтесь дальше в таком же темпе. " ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "### Задачка 2 \n", "\n", "Случайные величины $X_1, \\ldots, X_5$ имеют равномерное распределение на отрезке $[0;1]$ и независимы. С помощью симуляций оцените:\n", "\n", "а) $P(\\min\\{X_1, \\ldots, X_5\\} > 0.2)$\n", "\n", "б) $P(\\min\\{X_1, \\ldots, X_5\\} > 0.2 \\mid X_1 + X_2 < 0.5)$\n", "\n", "в) $E(\\min\\{X_1, \\ldots, X_5\\})$\n", "\n", "г) $E(\\min\\{X_1, \\ldots, X_5\\} \\mid X_1 + X_2 < 0.5)$\n", "\n", "Насколько логично то, что вы получили? Попробуйте порассуждать на эту тему. Постройте гистограмму для распределения минимума из этих случайных величин гистограмму для распределения максимума из этих случайных величин. Вспомните как выглядит теоретическая плотность распределения максимума и теоретическая плотность распределения минимума. Мы ещё с ними столкнёмся ;) " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 16, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "`stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.\n" ] }, { "data": {}, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "data": { "image/png": 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PWrWKOjvbR+/XrbtGmT68HqV+dpp53m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\n3762evVq1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"text/plain": [ "plot without title" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# немного осмысленной копипасты из лекции\n", "n_obs <- 10^6 # число наблюдений\n", "\n", "# пяток случайных величин\n", "x_1 <- runif(n_obs, min = 0, max = 1)\n", "x_2 <- runif(n_obs, min = 0, max = 1)\n", "x_3 <- runif(n_obs, min = 0, max = 1)\n", "x_4 <- runif(n_obs, min = 0, max = 1)\n", "x_5 <- runif(n_obs, min = 0, max = 1)\n", "\n", "# находим минимальное значение в каждой пятёрке чисел \n", "mn <- pmin(x_1, x_2, x_3, x_4, x_5)\n", "\n", "qplot(mn) # посмотрим на гистограмму, интересно же! " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 17, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "0.326883" ], "text/latex": [ "0.326883" ], "text/markdown": [ "0.326883" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 0.326883" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "success <- mn > 0.2 # TRUE будет стоять в тех местах, где это правда \n", "sum(success) / n_obs # а вот и итоговая оценка вероятности! :) " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 18, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "0.0025" ], "text/latex": [ "0.0025" ], "text/markdown": [ "0.0025" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 0.0025" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# также легко решаем пункт b) \n", "\n", "uslovie = x_1 + x_2 < 0.5 # находим позиции, где выполнено условие \n", "\n", "success <- mn[uslovie] > 0.2 # делаем срез по этому условию \n", "sum(success) / n_obs # наконец получаем оценку вероятности \n", "# Вполне логично, что она уменьшилась по сравнению с предыдущей, мы же наложили ограничения! " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 19, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "0.166422290443591" ], "text/latex": [ "0.166422290443591" ], "text/markdown": [ "0.166422290443591" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 0.1664223" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# решаем пункт c) \n", "mean(mn)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 20, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "0.0690854509851776" ], "text/latex": [ "0.0690854509851776" ], "text/markdown": [ "0.0690854509851776" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 0.06908545" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# и также пункт d) \n", "# Вполне логично, что математическое ожидание меньше, у нас же ограничения! \n", "mean(mn[uslovie])" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "### Задачка 3\n", "\n", "Иван Фёдорович Крузенштерн (ШТО?!) случайным образом с возможностью повторов выбирает $10$ натуральных чисел от $1$ до $100$. Пусть $X$ — минимум из этих чисел, а $Y$ — максимум. С помощью симуляций оцените \n", "\n", "а) $ P(Y > 3X)$\n", "\n", "б) $E(X \\cdot Y)$\n", "\n", "в) $P(Y > 3X \\mid Y < X^2)$\n", "\n", "г) $E(X \\cdot Y \\mid Y < X^2)$\n", "\n", "д) $E \\left( \\frac{X}{X + 2Y} \\right)$\n", "\n", "е) $Corr(X,Y)$" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 21, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "
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  9. 61
  10. \n", "
\n" ], "text/latex": [ "\\begin{enumerate*}\n", "\\item 51\n", "\\item 49\n", "\\item 90\n", "\\item 8\n", "\\item 61\n", "\\end{enumerate*}\n" ], "text/markdown": [ "1. 51\n", "2. 49\n", "3. 90\n", "4. 8\n", "5. 61\n", "\n", "\n" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 51 49 90 8 61" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "data": { "text/html": [ "8" ], "text/latex": [ "8" ], "text/markdown": [ "8" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 8" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "data": { "text/html": [ "90" ], "text/latex": [ "90" ], "text/markdown": [ "90" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 90" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# Ивану Фёдоровичу грех не помочь!\n", "# Основная сложность этой задачи в генерации выборки, давайте попрубуем \n", "# разобраться пошагово и для начала сгенерируем только одну выборку\n", "\n", "natural <- sample(1:100, size = 5, replace = TRUE)\n", "\n", "natural\n", "\n", "min(natural) # случайная величина X\n", "max(natural) # случайная величина Y\n", "\n", "# нам таких выборок понадобится очень много, придётся написать цикл для их генерации..." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 22, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "0.97192" ], "text/latex": [ "0.97192" ], "text/markdown": [ "0.97192" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 0.97192" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "n_obs = 10^6\n", "x = rep(0, n_obs) # создаём два вектора из нулей, так будет быстрее работать \n", "y = rep(0, n_obs) # чем ежели создавать пустой вектор (почему объясню на паре)\n", " # в вектор x будем записывать минимумы, в y максимумы\n", "for(i in 1:n_obs){\n", " natural = sample(1:100, size = 10, replace = TRUE) # сгенерировали выборку\n", " x[i] = min(natural) # нашли минимум и максимум для неё\n", " y[i] = max(natural)\n", "}\n", "\n", "# Вот и вся генерация, осталось только ответить на вопросы задачи\n", "# a)\n", "\n", "success = y > 3*x\n", "sum(success) / n_obs " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 23, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "885.238837" ], "text/latex": [ "885.238837" ], "text/markdown": [ "885.238837" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 885.2388" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# б) \n", "mean(x*y)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 24, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "0.363526" ], "text/latex": [ "0.363526" ], "text/markdown": [ "0.363526" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 0.363526" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# в) \n", "usl = y < x^2\n", "\n", "success <- y[usl] > 3*x[usl]\n", "sum(success) / n_obs " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 25, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "1638.87316333253" ], "text/latex": [ "1638.87316333253" ], "text/markdown": [ "1638.87316333253" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 1638.873" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# г) \n", "mean(x[usl]*y[usl])" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 26, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "0.0483075197452732" ], "text/latex": [ "0.0483075197452732" ], "text/markdown": [ "0.0483075197452732" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 0.04830752" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# д)\n", "z = x/(x + 2*y)\n", "mean(z)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 27, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "0.100989209250183" ], "text/latex": [ "0.100989209250183" ], "text/markdown": [ "0.100989209250183" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 0.1009892" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# e)\n", "cor(x,y)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "### Задачка 4\n", "\n", "Миша поступил на первый курс экономического факультета, потому что у него в крови всегда была предпренимательская жилка. На первом курсе она довела его, и он решил учёбу забросить и стать комерсом. На паблике \"Бизнес-молодость\" Миша подсмотрел шикарную бизнес-модель и решил, что будет торговать еженедельными газетами. На первом курсе Миша прослушал курс микроэкономики и понимает, что в условиях совершенной конкуренции, цену определяет рынок. Миша никак не может влиять на неё, однако он может влиять на то, какое количество газет следует закупить. На втором курсе Миша не учился. Из-за этого он не знает теорию вероятностей и вынужден для решения своих повседневных проблем нанять аналитика. \n", "\n", "Покупать газету Миша решил по $15$ рублей, а продавать за $30$. Количество потенциальных покупателей - случайная величина с распределением Пуассона. Опытным путём было установлено, что среднее значение этой величины равно $50$. Нераспроданные газеты ничего не стоят. Пусть $n$- количество газет, максимизирующее ожидаемую прибыль Мишы. \n", "\n", "a) С помощью компьютера найдите оптимальное значение $n$ и ожидаемую прибыль.\n", "\n", "b) Правильно ли поступил Миша, что бросил учёбу и ушёл в коммерцию? " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 28, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "449.93796" ], "text/latex": [ "449.93796" ], "text/markdown": [ "449.93796" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 449.938" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# Ох уж этот Миша! \n", "# Найдём оптимальное количество газет для закупки!\n", "\n", "n_obs = 10^6 # число наблюдений \n", "\n", "cost = 15 # издержки на покупку газеты \n", "price = 30 # цена, по которой будем продавать газету \n", "\n", "x = rpois(n_obs, lambda = 50) # среднее значение совпадает с lambda\n", "\n", "# посмотрим на прибыль, еслм мы будем продавать 30 газет!\n", "# покупатели не могут купить больше 30 газет \n", "x[x > 30] = 30 # заменим всё, что больше 30 на 30\n", "\n", "# найдём все прибыли\n", "profit = x*price - 30*cost \n", "\n", "# найдём среднюю прибыль \n", "mean(profit)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 29, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "# Отлично! Дело осталось за малым, перебрать все возможноые варианты покупок и выбрать оптимальный \n", "\n", "profits = rep(0,100) # будем записывать средние прибыли\n", "for(s in 1:100){\n", " x = rpois(n_obs, lambda = 50) # генерируем покупочки \n", " \n", " x[x > s] = s # нельзя продать лишнее\n", " \n", " profits[s] = mean(x*price - s*cost) # запоминем среднюю прибыль\n", "}" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 30, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": {}, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "data": { "image/png": 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KlSed1OK2WE/2AdkzfjBF6uMO7hphFT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FPQNu5cNo0Egk0gZcqUgnVdGFpFT7/99pskSZJEHn/8\ncUmePLlX+aLXwc8kYGcCfAK2c++ybSQQAgINGzaUb775Rs6cOeM627Vr12TJkiVSo0YNpXxx\nwNt8rkr4hgRsToAK2OYdzOaRgDcEXnnlFSlcuLA3WWPk6dChg3K6UbVqVdmwYYP88MMPUr16\ndUmYMKHAutpI3uYz8vOVBOxOgArY7j3M9pGAFwQOHjwoe/fu9SJnzCx58uSRdevWqSAMZcuW\nldKlSyuFDMcbOXLkcBXwNp+rAN+QgM0JJHgQmWzeRjaPBEggRATgkjJZsmSSJUuWeM/obb54\nK+FBEtCcABWw5h1I8UmABEiABPQkwCloPfuNUpMACZAACWhOgApY8w6k+CRAAiRAAnoSoALW\ns98oNQmQAAmQgOYEqIA170CKTwIkQAIkoCcBKmA9+41SkwAJkAAJaE6ACljzDqT4JEACJEAC\nehKgAtaz3yg1CZAACZCA5gT+D4U1io5YQBbYAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC", "text/plain": [ "plot without title" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# Посмотрим на график средней прибыли. Вполне ожидаемо, что это парабола\n", "qplot(1:100, profits, geom='line')" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 31, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "665.61393" ], "text/latex": [ "665.61393" ], "text/markdown": [ "665.61393" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 665.6139" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "data": { "text/html": [ "50" ], "text/latex": [ "50" ], "text/markdown": [ "50" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 50" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# Наконец мы видим прибыль Миши и сколько газет ему надо закупать :) \n", "max(profits)\n", "which.max(profits)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 32, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "# b) На этот пункт у меня для вас ответа нет. " ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "### Задачка 5\n", "\n", "Глеб раздобыл кубик и собирается как следует изучить его свойства. Для этого он подбросил его $n$ раз. Величина $X_1$ — число выпадений единицы, а $X_6$ — число выпадений $6$. Глебу интересно какова корреляцие между этими двумя случайными величинами. Что вам на этот счёт подсказывает интуиция? Какой знак будет у этой корреляии: положительным или отрицательным?\n", "\n", "Оцените с помощью симуляций $Corr(X_1,X_6)$. Пусть $n=10$. Обратите внимание, что $n$ в данном случае это не количество симуляций. Десять подбрасываний это всего лишь одно испытание. После симуляций попытайтесь найти эту корреляцию руками. на бумажке. " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 33, "metadata": { "scrolled": true }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "4" ], "text/latex": [ "4" ], "text/markdown": [ "4" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 4" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "data": { "text/html": [ "2" ], "text/latex": [ "2" ], "text/markdown": [ "2" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 2" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# подбросим кубик 10 раз и вычислим значения X1 и X6 \n", "\n", "smpl = sample(size = 10, 1:6, prob = rep(1/6,6), replace = TRUE)\n", "\n", "sum(smpl == 1) # это X1\n", "sum(smpl == 6) # это X6" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 34, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "-0.20092006602747" ], "text/latex": [ "-0.20092006602747" ], "text/markdown": [ "-0.20092006602747" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] -0.2009201" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "n_obs = 10^6 # сделаем 10 подбрасываний n раз\n", "\n", "x1 = rep(0, n_obs) # сюда будем записывать количество 1 в каждой серии испытаний\n", "x6 = rep(0, n_obs) # сюда будем записывать число 6 в каждой серии испытаний\n", "\n", "for(i in 1:n_obs){\n", " smpl = sample(size = 10, 1:6, prob = rep(1/6,6), replace = TRUE) # первая серия испытаний!\n", " \n", " x1[i] = sum(smpl == 1)\n", " x6[i] = sum(smpl == 6) \n", "}\n", "\n", "cor(x1, x6)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "### Задача 6\n", "\n", "Случайная величина $X$ распределена равномерно на отрезке $[0;1]$. Женя подкидывает эту случайную величину. Она принимает значение $x$. После подбрасывания Женя изготавливает монетку, которая выпадает «орлом» с вероятностью $x$ и передаёт её Дане. Даня, не зная $x$, подкидывает монетку один раз. Она выпала «орлом». \n", "\n", "a) Какова вероятность, что она снова выпадет «орлом»?" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 35, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "Вероятность орла на монетке: 0.7324506\n", "У Дани выпало: О О" ] } ], "source": [ "# смодулируем одну итерацию всего этого процесса\n", "\n", "x = runif(1, min = 0, max = 1) # Женя делает монетку\n", "cat('Вероятность орла на монетке:',x) # Команда cat это более пафосный print\n", "\n", "# Даня два раза подкидывает монетку\n", "y = sample(c('О','Р'), prob = c(x, 1-x), size = 2, replace = TRUE)\n", "cat('\\nУ Дани выпало:', y)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 36, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "
    \n", "\t
  1. 0.568020312581211
  2. \n", "\t
  3. 0.138804823858663
  4. \n", "\t
  5. 0.768505952088162
  6. \n", "\t
  7. 0.0799860621336848
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  9. 0.864798867609352
  10. \n", "
\n" ], "text/latex": [ "\\begin{enumerate*}\n", "\\item 0.568020312581211\n", "\\item 0.138804823858663\n", "\\item 0.768505952088162\n", "\\item 0.0799860621336848\n", "\\item 0.864798867609352\n", "\\end{enumerate*}\n" ], "text/markdown": [ "1. 0.568020312581211\n", "2. 0.138804823858663\n", "3. 0.768505952088162\n", "4. 0.0799860621336848\n", "5. 0.864798867609352\n", "\n", "\n" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 0.56802031 0.13880482 0.76850595 0.07998606 0.86479887" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# Отлично! Теперь мы должны сделать как можно больше разных монет и подкинуть их как можно больше раз. \n", "# Из-за того, что наш эксперимент происходит последовательно, придётся подкидывать каждую монетку Жени много раз.\n", "\n", "n_zenia = 100 # сколько монеток сделал Женя\n", "x = runif(n_obs, min = 0, max = 1) # Женя делает свой ход n_zenia раз\n", "x[1:5] # первые пять монеток, созданные Женей :) " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 37, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "# Знаете, иногда так бывает, что тебе лень что-то делать и ты откладываешь это до лучших времён. \n", "# Вот и я отложил. Сейчас, когда я пишу это, до пары остаётся два часа. Можно было бы взять и \n", "# написать тут два цикла для генерации вероятностей вместо это текста, но я не хочу их писать. \n", "# Они будут большими и страшными. И вообще я бы эту задачку лучше бы убрал из домашки, так как \n", "# она для генераций не очень удачная. " ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "b) Как выглядит ответ, если Дане известно, что монетка при $n$ подбрасываниях $k$ раз выпадала орлом? " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 38, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "# Ня! Решение пропущено. Или отложено до лучших времён. Не знаю. " ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "А сможете найти эти вероятности вручную? " ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "### Задачка 7.1 \n", "\n", "Пусть $X \\sim Exp(2)$. Аня помнит, что такое распределение называется экспоненциальным и что в такой ситуации функция распределения случайной величины $X$ выглядит как: \n", "\n", "$$ F(x) = 1 - e^{-2 x}$$\n", "\n", "Аня хочет понять какое распределение будет у случайной величины $Y$, если \n", "\n", "$$ Y = 1 - e^{-2 X}$$ \n", "\n", "Попробуйте ссимулировать такую случайную величину, посмотреть на её гистограмму и дать ответ на вопрос Ани. Подумайте почему ответ получился именно таким." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 39, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "`stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.\n" ] }, { "data": {}, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "data": { "image/png": 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J2z2NKkSRNzt8UtW7YEdgi6ZcuWsZOt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\ndtpp4fZq/uGHH4aHnSd6fWsy+4uc+aitR7/blvYB641jIouuj9N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"text/plain": [ "plot without title" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "n_obs = 10^6\n", "x = rexp(n_obs, rate = 2)\n", "y = 1 - exp(-2*x)\n", "qplot(y) # равномерная на отрезке [0; 1]" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "### Задачка 7.2\n", "\n", "Маша и Виолетта живут в общежитии в одной комнате. Маша постоянно что-то говорит про нейронные сети. Виолетта не очень понимает о чём идёт речь, но хотела бы разобраться, чтобы быть с подругой на одной волне. Для этого она залезла в [мудрую книгу](https://yadi.sk/i/wBswqtL33UDYsD) и стала читать. В одной из первых глав она узнала, что в качестве функции активации в нейронах часто используют сигмоида, которая представляет из себя функцию распределения для логистической случайной величины. Функция выглядит как-то так: \n", "\n", "$$ F(x) = \\frac{1}{1 + e^{-x}} $$\n", "\n", "Виолетта пока не поняла что такое нейрон, сигмоида и функция активации, зато она очень хорошо знает что такое распределение случайной величины. Ей жутко интересно как оно выглядит.\n", "\n", "а) Помогите Виолетте сгенирировать случайную величину $X$, имеющую логистическое распределение. Постройте для неё гистограмму, плотность и функцию распределения прямо как на паре. \n", "\n", "б) Также Виолетте хотелось бы узнать какое распределение будет у случайной величины $Y = F(X)$. Попробуйте посмотреть на него с помощью симуляций. Как следует подумайте почему ответ получился именно таким. Функция `rlogis` с параметрами `location = 0` и `scale = 1` вам в помощь! " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 40, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": {}, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "data": { "image/png": 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XZjqVNnEkgjgR07dsjEiRNVtzOSevbZ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"text/plain": [ "plot without title" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# a) \n", "n_obs = 10^3 # не будем генерировать особо много, а то функция не построится и всё зависнет \n", "\n", "x = rlogis(n_obs, location=0, scale=1) #сгенерировали\n", "\n", "# построим функцию распределения \n", "df = data.frame(sample = x)\n", "ggplot(df, aes(x = sample)) + stat_ecdf( )" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 41, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "`stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.\n" ] }, { "data": {}, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "data": { "image/png": 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SioqRcB/1pnuPp/TQqqA5ZjaIY2yWAL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\nAnEPgQpumTlUWGgZPOgU9P9aMLqbMPqBMymjdJ/xpKKvviJpio7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fxSNH+/K0E1NkyUH0/Zo03Ln9wf+5h3opU89WPvooNbczctqddGC1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TO++OILI6hGZmYmLViwgJ5++mkjuIUE7ujbt6/h4KT5\n+sYbbySeJ+wTkKM7EGXE9SuvvGIMDJPBXDy9yBhcJf3A7Ym8HMio7ZtvvtloOjdr5CNGjDCe\nYw4Ca+9eHAMBJxDoxf047Y+ocIJ1sAEEXEBABjPJVKQhvNCBjI5uT0pLS6mpqYlkClKoRQaC\nSdQrnu9rNHfv2rXLcPTSRB6oyHSk7du3GyOsZTR2qGrlgeaP60AgEgRQA44EdeQJAiEk0KdP\nH595tO092n/KUXvXhOqYOhc40GfKlCVpIoeAgJsIYBCWm0obtoIACIAACGhDAA5Ym6KAIiBg\nTwISCOTyyy835hvb0wJoDQKRIYA+4MhwR64gAAIgAAIuJ4AasMs/ADAfBEAABEAgMgTggCPD\nHbmCAAiAAAi4nAAcsMs/ADAfBEAABEAgMgTggCPDHbmCAAiAAAi4nAAcsMs/ADAfBEAABEAg\nMgTggCPDHbmCAAiAAAi4nAAcsMs/ADAfBEAABEAgMgTggCPDHbmCAAiAAAi4nMD/B3rSDZ4o\nlQnQAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC", "text/plain": [ "plot without title" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# построи гистограмму и плотность \n", "ggplot(df, aes(x = sample))+\n", " # Наносим гистограмму \n", " geom_histogram(aes(y = ..density..))+ # опция ..density.. нормирует площадь гистограмы к 1\n", " # попробуйте стереть её и посмотреть что будет \n", " # Наносим плотность распределения\n", " stat_function(fun = dlogis, args = c(0,1), color = \"darkred\", size=1)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 42, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "`stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.\n" ] }, { "data": {}, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "data": { "image/png": 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cdbHz0/zjAJ2JHgEQEEEEgsgUROwAlz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\nbKV7v126d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"text/plain": [ "plot without title" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# b) сгенерируем выборку в нормальном объёме \n", "n_obs = 10^6\n", "x = rlogis(n_obs, location=0, scale=1) #сгенерировали\n", "\n", "y = 1/(1 + exp(-x))\n", "qplot(y) # равномерная на отрезке [0; 1]" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Воу, воу, воу, теория вероятностей, палехче! В обеих задачах получился одинаковый ответ. Видимо, в случайной величине $Y = F(X)$, где $F(x)$ - функция распределения случайной величины $X$, есть какая-то магия. Подумайте о том какая и постарайтесь доказать наличие этой магии на бумаге. На семинаре мы попробуем сделать это совместно. " ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "### Задачка 9 \n", "\n", "Было бы нечестно, если после задач $7.1$ и $7.2$ следовала бы задачка с номером $8$. Поэтому тут задачка с номером $9$! \n", "\n", "Есть две монеты, у которых вероятности выпадения орла при однократном подбрасывании равны $0.6$ и $0.4$. Камила подбрасывает первую монетку до появления орла. Вика делает то же самое со второй монеткой. Найдите с помощью симуляций вероятность того, что \n", "\n", "a) Вика сделает больше подбрасываний, чем Камила;\n", "\n", "b) Камила сделает больше подбрасываний, чем Вика;\n", "\n", "c) Камила и Вика сделают одинаковое число подбрасываний.\n", "\n", "d) Верно ли, что в сумме эти три вероятности дают единицу? Логично ли это? \n", "\n", "e) Найдите математическое ожидание суммарного количества бросков. " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 43, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "
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\n" ], "text/latex": [ "\\begin{enumerate*}\n", "\\item 0\n", "\\item 3\n", "\\item 1\n", "\\item 2\n", "\\item 0\n", "\\item 1\n", "\\item 0\n", "\\item 0\n", "\\item 0\n", "\\item 0\n", "\\end{enumerate*}\n" ], "text/markdown": [ "1. 0\n", "2. 3\n", "3. 1\n", "4. 2\n", "5. 0\n", "6. 1\n", "7. 0\n", "8. 0\n", "9. 0\n", "10. 0\n", "\n", "\n" ], "text/plain": [ " [1] 0 3 1 2 0 1 0 0 0 0" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "n_obs = 10^6\n", "p1 = 0.6\n", "p2 = 0.4 \n", "\n", "# симулируем подбрасывания Вики и Камилы\n", "x_kamila = rgeom(n_obs, prob = p1)\n", "x_vika = rgeom(n_obs, prob = p2)\n", "\n", "x_kamila[1:10] # в векторе стоит число подбрасываний до первого орла" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 44, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "0.473891" ], "text/latex": [ "0.473891" ], "text/markdown": [ "0.473891" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 0.473891" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# a) # логично, Вике больше повезло с монткой!\n", "sum(x_vika > x_kamila)/n_obs" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 45, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "0.211154" ], "text/latex": [ "0.211154" ], "text/markdown": [ "0.211154" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 0.211154" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# b) \n", "sum(x_vika < x_kamila)/n_obs" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 46, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "0.314955" ], "text/latex": [ "0.314955" ], "text/markdown": [ "0.314955" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 0.314955" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# c) \n", "sum(x_vika == x_kamila)/n_obs" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 47, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "1" ], "text/latex": [ "1" ], "text/markdown": [ "1" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 1" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# d) \n", "# да, эти вероятности дадут в сумме единицу, потому что других исходов не бывает\n", "sum(x_vika > x_kamila)/n_obs + sum(x_vika < x_kamila)/n_obs + sum(x_vika == x_kamila)/n_obs" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 48, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "2.16823" ], "text/latex": [ "2.16823" ], "text/markdown": [ "2.16823" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 2.16823" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# e) \n", "mean(x_vika + x_kamila)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Продемонстрируйте с помощью симуляций, что у геометрического распределения нет памяти. Определение [отсутствия памяти ищи тут](https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Геометрическое_распределение). Что это означает для Вики и Камилы? \n", "\n", "Читаем определение! У распределения нет памяти, если количество прошлых неудач не влияет на количество будущих неудач\n", "\n", "$$ P( Y > m + n \\mid Y \\ge m) = P(Y > n).$$ \n", "\n", "Ровно это и закодим." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 49, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "0.4094854" ], "text/latex": [ "0.4094854" ], "text/markdown": [ "0.4094854" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 0.4094854" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "n_obs <- 10^7\n", "p <- 0.2 \n", "\n", "y <- rgeom(n_obs, prob = p)\n", "\n", "sum(y > 3)/n_obs # Правая часть равенства " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 50, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "0.409932151066872" ], "text/latex": [ "0.409932151066872" ], "text/markdown": [ "0.409932151066872" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 0.4099322" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# Левая часть равенства \n", "y = y[y >= 2] \n", "sum(y > 2 + 3)/length(y) " ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "\n", "Эту задачку тоже можно решить руками на бумаге. Слабо? " ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "### Задачка 10\n", "\n", "Света очень долго сидела и думала. В конечном счёте у неё возникло очень много разнообразных вопросов. Помогите Свете ответить на них. \n", "\n", "a) Пусть $X \\sim N(5,9)$, а $Y \\sim N(3, 16)$. Верно ли, что сумма нормальных случайных величин будет нормальной случайной величиной? Какими будут математическое ожидние и дисперсия у итоговой случайной величины. Проверьте это с помощью симуляций.\n", "\n", "___ВНИМАНИЕ:___ код с симуляциями ни в коем случае не является доказательством верных фактов, их строгие доказательства можно найти в лекциях. Но при этом он является опровержением неверных фактов. Помните о том, что в математике да это всегда да, а нет это хотя бы один раз нет. " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 51, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "7.97670523186983" ], "text/latex": [ "7.97670523186983" ], "text/markdown": [ "7.97670523186983" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 7.976705" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "data": { "text/html": [ "25.509984878305" ], "text/latex": [ "25.509984878305" ], "text/markdown": [ "25.509984878305" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 25.50998" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "`stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.\n" ] }, { "data": {}, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "data": { "image/png": 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ouLZeHChUF5unXrJvXq1TPjNc/8+fNN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\nrVu3jo0wS0EAAQQQQCCEQFK0gNeuXSt9+vSROXPmyLJly+SGG26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"text/plain": [ "plot without title" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "n_obs = 10^4\n", "x <- rnorm(n_obs, mean=5, sd=3) # обратите внимание, что мы указываем sd а не дисперсию!\n", "y <- rnorm(n_obs, mean=3, sd=4)\n", "\n", "mean(x+y) # 8 = 5 + 3 всё как в лекциях!\n", "var(x+y) # 25 = 9 + 16 снова всё как в лекциях!\n", "qplot(x + y) # посмотрим на гистограмку :3" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "b) Пусть $X \\sim N(\\mu, \\sigma^2)$. Верно ли, что $\\frac{X-\\mu}{\\sigma} \\sim N(0,1)$? Проверьте это с помощью симуляций. " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 52, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "0.00967422247549304" ], "text/latex": [ "0.00967422247549304" ], "text/markdown": [ "0.00967422247549304" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 0.009674222" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "data": { "text/html": [ "1.02516711271094" ], "text/latex": [ "1.02516711271094" ], "text/markdown": [ "1.02516711271094" ], "text/plain": [ "[1] 1.025167" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "`stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.\n" ] }, { "data": {}, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "data": { "image/png": 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IBAuIDjVtB6G9B3v/vdsOBrX6S+qlAfwqEvQ6BDAAEEEEAAgegCjo+AtXVXXc+5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\nOnSoTJw4UTIyMmTu3Lkybdo0WbBggRkOE2EAAQQQQACBJAgEPgD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"text/plain": [ "plot without title" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# конечно верно! такая процедура называется стандартизацией случайной величины \n", "# хорошо бы попробовать код для разных примеров нормальных случайных величин\n", "\n", "x = rnorm(n_obs, mean=5, sd=3)\n", "y = (x - 5)/3\n", "mean(y)\n", "var(y)\n", "qplot(y)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "с) Пусть $X \\sim U[0;1]$ и $Y \\sim U[0;1]$. Верно ли, что $X + Y$ также будет иметь равномерное распределение? Проверьте это с помощью симуляций? " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 53, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "`stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.\n" ] }, { "data": {}, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "data": { "image/png": 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XRt1oSEBN+d6xQrNTXVFbO4D8CqrgeN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\nAEE+jd8AAAAASUVORK5CYII=", "text/plain": [ "plot without title" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# конечно неверно, это чушь! сумма равномерных величин иметт распределение треугольника\n", "\n", "x <- runif(n_obs, min = 0, max = 1)\n", "y <- runif(n_obs, min = 0, max = 1)\n", "qplot(x+y)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "d) Пусть $X \\sim U[0;1]$. Какое распределение будет у $Y = 5 + 3\\cdot X$? Узнайте это с помощью симуляций. " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 54, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "`stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.\n" ] }, { "data": {}, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" }, { "data": { "image/png": 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S9VqqyslKqqKpk8ebLoTGk9rM2CAAII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\n//33Zfr06fEie/bsKVOmTJHjjjsuvo0XwRfQwPvSSy+ZWxbSt8H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"text/plain": [ "plot without title" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "# она будет равномерной на отрезке от 5 до 8 :) \n", "# мы сдвинули распределение вправо на 5 и растянули в три раза\n", "\n", "x <- runif(n_obs, min = 0, max = 1)\n", "y = 5 + 3*x\n", "qplot(y)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Когда сумма случайных величин из одного семейства даёт случайную величину из этого же семейства, то такое распределение называется устойчивым относительно суммирования. Получилось ли, что нормальное и равномерное распределения устойчивы относительно суммирования? Как думает распределение Пуассона, экспоненциальное и Хи-квадрат устойчивы относительно суммирования? " ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Найдите в лекциях по теории вероятностей весь материал, который касается свойств нормального распределния и повторите его. " ] } ], "metadata": { "kernelspec": { "display_name": "R", "language": "R", "name": "ir" }, "language_info": { "codemirror_mode": "r", "file_extension": ".r", "mimetype": "text/x-r-source", "name": "R", "pygments_lexer": "r", "version": "3.5.3" } }, "nbformat": 4, "nbformat_minor": 2 }