--- name: financial-statement-analyzer description: Perform forensic-level analysis of a single company's financial statements, evaluating earnings quality, financial health, fraud risk, and operational efficiency. Use when the user asks for a deep dive into a company's financials, DuPont analysis, earnings quality check, balance sheet analysis, cash flow analysis, Altman Z-score, Beneish M-score, working capital analysis, or any detailed single-company financial examination. license: Apache-2.0 --- # Financial Statement Deep Dive Act as a forensic financial analyst. Perform comprehensive analysis of a single company's financial statements to evaluate earnings quality, financial health, fraud risk indicators, and operational efficiency. ## Workflow ### Step 1: Identify the Target Confirm with the user: 1. **Company** — Ticker or name 2. **Time period** — Default: most recent 5 years (20 quarters) 3. **Focus areas** — Full analysis (default) or specific focus (earnings quality, fraud risk, working capital, etc.) 4. **Comparison** — Key competitor(s) for benchmarking (optional) 5. **Data source** — SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q) as primary source ### Step 2: Profitability Decomposition Perform 5-factor DuPont analysis. See [references/analysis-methodology.md](references/analysis-methodology.md) for formulas. ``` ROE = Tax Burden × Interest Burden × Operating Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier ``` | Component | Formula | What It Reveals | |-----------|---------|----------------| | Tax burden | Net income / Pre-tax income | Tax efficiency | | Interest burden | Pre-tax income / EBIT | Debt cost impact | | Operating margin | EBIT / Revenue | Operational efficiency | | Asset turnover | Revenue / Total assets | Asset utilization | | Equity multiplier | Total assets / Equity | Financial leverage | Track each component over 5 years to identify what is driving ROE changes. ### Step 3: Earnings Quality Assessment Evaluate whether reported earnings reflect genuine economic value: | Test | What It Measures | Red Flag Threshold | |------|-----------------|-------------------| | Accruals ratio | Non-cash earnings proportion | > 10% of total assets | | Cash conversion | Operating cash flow / Net income | < 0.8 persistently | | Revenue recognition | Revenue growth vs receivables growth | Receivables growing faster | | Deferred revenue | Trend in deferred revenue | Declining (front-loaded revenue) | | Non-recurring items | One-time gains/charges frequency | "Non-recurring" items every year | | Change in estimates | Depreciation, reserves, assumptions | Consistently income-boosting changes | ### Step 4: Financial Health Scoring Calculate composite financial health indicators: | Model | Purpose | Components | |-------|---------|-----------| | Altman Z-Score | Bankruptcy prediction | Working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market cap, sales — all relative to total assets | | Piotroski F-Score | Financial strength | 9 binary signals across profitability, leverage, and efficiency | | Beneish M-Score | Earnings manipulation detection | 8 variables measuring anomalies in financial data | See [references/analysis-methodology.md](references/analysis-methodology.md) for detailed formulas and interpretation. ### Step 5: Working Capital Analysis Examine operational efficiency through the cash conversion cycle: | Metric | Formula | What It Reveals | |--------|---------|----------------| | DSO (Days Sales Outstanding) | (Receivables / Revenue) × 365 | Collection efficiency | | DIO (Days Inventory Outstanding) | (Inventory / COGS) × 365 | Inventory management | | DPO (Days Payable Outstanding) | (Payables / COGS) × 365 | Payment practices | | Cash Conversion Cycle | DSO + DIO − DPO | Working capital efficiency | Track trends over 5 years and compare to peers. ### Step 6: Balance Sheet Risk Assessment Identify off-balance-sheet and hidden risks: | Risk Area | What to Check | |-----------|---------------| | Goodwill / Intangibles | Size relative to equity; impairment risk | | Operating leases | Off-balance-sheet obligations (pre-ASC 842) | | Pension obligations | Funded status, discount rate assumptions | | Contingent liabilities | Litigation, guarantees, commitments | | Variable interest entities | Unconsolidated entities | | Share-based compensation | Dilution impact | | Debt maturity profile | Near-term maturities vs cash/refinancing capacity | ### Step 7: Segment Analysis Break down performance by business segment: - Revenue and growth by segment - Operating margin by segment - Capital intensity by segment - Identify which segments drive value and which destroy it - Cross-subsidization between segments ### Step 8: Peer Benchmarking Compare key metrics against 2–3 direct competitors: | Metric Category | Metrics | |----------------|---------| | Profitability | Gross margin, operating margin, net margin, ROE, ROIC | | Efficiency | Asset turnover, inventory turnover, receivables turnover | | Leverage | Debt/equity, interest coverage, net debt/EBITDA | | Valuation | P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, PEG | | Growth | Revenue CAGR, EPS CAGR, FCF CAGR | ### Step 9: Synthesize and Present Compile findings per [references/output-template.md](references/output-template.md): 1. **Company Overview** — Business summary and key metrics 2. **DuPont Decomposition** — 5-year ROE driver analysis 3. **Earnings Quality Report** — Accruals, cash conversion, red flags 4. **Financial Health Scores** — Z-Score, F-Score, M-Score with interpretation 5. **Working Capital Analysis** — CCC trend and peer comparison 6. **Balance Sheet Risk Map** — Hidden risks and off-balance-sheet items 7. **Segment Analysis** — Value drivers and detractors 8. **Peer Comparison** — Benchmarking table 9. **Overall Assessment** — Synthesis of bull/bear case from financial perspective 10. **Disclaimers** ## Data Enhancement For live market data to support this analysis, use the **FinData Toolkit** skill (`findata-toolkit-us`). It provides real-time stock metrics, SEC filings, financial calculators, portfolio analytics, factor screening, and macro indicators — all without API keys. ## Important Guidelines - **Read the footnotes**: The most important information in financial statements is often in the footnotes. Flag any unusual accounting policies, related-party transactions, or significant estimates. - **Trends matter more than levels**: A declining operating margin is more concerning than a low-but-stable one. Always emphasize directional changes. - **Context is essential**: A high debt/equity ratio means different things for a utility vs a tech company. Always interpret metrics within industry context. - **Complement, don't replace, valuation**: This skill assesses financial quality, not whether the stock is a buy or sell. Direct valuation questions to the appropriate screening skills. - **GAAP vs non-GAAP**: Many companies report "adjusted" earnings that exclude stock-based compensation, restructuring, and other real costs. Always anchor to GAAP, then discuss adjustments. - **Not an audit**: This is analytical review, not a professional audit. It cannot detect sophisticated fraud or verify data accuracy.