import logging import numpy as np import pandas as pd import pickle import warnings import sys from datetime import datetime from pathlib import Path from typing import Optional, Dict from importlib import metadata from functools import lru_cache import talib.abstract as ta from scipy.fft import fft, fftfreq from scipy.stats import skew, kurtosis import freqtrade.vendor.qtpylib.indicators as qtpylib from freqtrade.strategy import IStrategy, DecimalParameter, IntParameter, BooleanParameter from freqtrade.persistence import Trade # Suppress deprecation warnings globally warnings.filterwarnings("ignore", category=DeprecationWarning) warnings.filterwarnings("ignore", message=".*pkg_resources.*") warnings.simplefilter(action="ignore", category=pd.errors.PerformanceWarning) logger = logging.getLogger(__name__) # Optional NVIDIA Management Library (for accurate GPU utilization) try: # Lightweight, fail-safe wrapper import pynvml # type: ignore try: pynvml.nvmlInit() def _gpu_utilization_pct() -> int | None: try: handle = pynvml.nvmlDeviceGetHandleByIndex(0) util = pynvml.nvmlDeviceGetUtilizationRates(handle) return int(util.gpu) except Exception: return None except Exception: def _gpu_utilization_pct() -> int | None: # Fallback if init failed return None except Exception: def _gpu_utilization_pct() -> int | None: # No pynvml installed return None try: import xgboost as xgb from sklearn.ensemble import ( RandomForestClassifier, GradientBoostingClassifier, ExtraTreesClassifier, AdaBoostClassifier, VotingClassifier ) from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression from sklearn.svm import SVC from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler, RobustScaler from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score, precision_score, recall_score, f1_score from sklearn.model_selection import cross_val_score, GridSearchCV, train_test_split from sklearn.feature_selection import SelectKBest, f_classif SKLEARN_AVAILABLE = True # Check sklearn version using modern approach try: sklearn_version = metadata.version("scikit-learn") logger.info(f"Using scikit-learn version: {sklearn_version}") except Exception as e: logger.debug(f"Could not get sklearn version: {e}") except ImportError as e: logger.warning(f"scikit-learn not available: {e}") SKLEARN_AVAILABLE = False # GPU Training imports try: import torch import torch.nn as nn import torch.optim as optim from torch.utils.data import DataLoader, TensorDataset import torch.nn.functional as F TORCH_AVAILABLE = True # Check for GPU GPU_AVAILABLE = torch.cuda.is_available() DEVICE = torch.device('cuda' if GPU_AVAILABLE else 'cpu') if GPU_AVAILABLE: logger.info(f"GPU detected: {torch.cuda.get_device_name(0)}") logger.info(f"GPU memory: {torch.cuda.get_device_properties(0).total_memory / 1024**3:.1f} GB") else: logger.info("No GPU detected, using CPU") except ImportError as e: logger.warning(f"PyTorch not available: {e}") TORCH_AVAILABLE = False GPU_AVAILABLE = False DEVICE = 'cpu' try: import xgboost as xgb XGB_GPU_AVAILABLE = xgb.gpu.is_gpu_available() if hasattr(xgb, 'gpu') else False if XGB_GPU_AVAILABLE: logger.info("XGBoost GPU support detected") except ImportError: XGB_GPU_AVAILABLE = False logger.warning("XGBoost not available") # Modern PyWavelets import try: import pywt WAVELETS_AVAILABLE = True try: pywt_version = metadata.version("PyWavelets") logger.info(f"Using PyWavelets version: {pywt_version}") except Exception as e: logger.debug(f"Could not get PyWavelets version: {e}") except ImportError as e: logger.warning(f"PyWavelets not available: {e}") WAVELETS_AVAILABLE = False logger = logging.getLogger(__name__) # Define Murrey Math level names for consistency MML_LEVEL_NAMES = [ "[-3/8]P", "[-2/8]P", "[-1/8]P", "[0/8]P", "[1/8]P", "[2/8]P", "[3/8]P", "[4/8]P", "[5/8]P", "[6/8]P", "[7/8]P", "[8/8]P", "[+1/8]P", "[+2/8]P", "[+3/8]P" ] def calculate_minima_maxima(df, window): if df is None or df.empty: return np.zeros(0), np.zeros(0) minima = np.zeros(len(df)) maxima = np.zeros(len(df)) for i in range(window, len(df)): window_data = df['ha_close'].iloc[i - window:i + 1] if df['ha_close'].iloc[i] == window_data.min() and (window_data == df['ha_close'].iloc[i]).sum() == 1: minima[i] = -window if df['ha_close'].iloc[i] == window_data.max() and (window_data == df['ha_close'].iloc[i]).sum() == 1: maxima[i] = window return minima, maxima def calc_slope_advanced(series, period): """ Enhanced linear regression slope calculation with Wavelet Transform and FFT analysis for superior trend detection and noise filtering """ if len(series) < period: return 0 # Use only the last 'period' values for consistency y = series.values[-period:] # Enhanced data validation if np.isnan(y).any() or np.isinf(y).any(): return 0 # Check for constant values (no trend) if np.all(y == y[0]): return 0 try: # === 1. WAVELET DENOISING === if WAVELETS_AVAILABLE and len(y) >= 8: wavelet = 'db4' try: w = pywt.Wavelet(wavelet) max_level = pywt.dwt_max_level(len(y), w.dec_len) use_level = min(3, max_level) # cap at 3 but adapt if shorter series except Exception: use_level = 1 if use_level >= 1: coeffs = pywt.wavedec(y, wavelet, level=use_level, mode='periodization') threshold = 0.1 * np.std(coeffs[-1]) if len(coeffs) > 1 else 0.0 coeffs_thresh = list(coeffs) for i in range(1, len(coeffs_thresh)): coeffs_thresh[i] = pywt.threshold(coeffs_thresh[i], threshold, mode='soft') y_denoised = pywt.waverec(coeffs_thresh, wavelet, mode='periodization') if len(y_denoised) != len(y): y_denoised = y_denoised[:len(y)] else: y_denoised = y else: y_denoised = y # === 2. FFT FREQUENCY ANALYSIS === # Analyze dominant frequencies to identify trend components if len(y_denoised) >= 4: # Apply FFT fft_values = fft(y_denoised) freqs = fftfreq(len(y_denoised)) # Get magnitude spectrum magnitude = np.abs(fft_values) # Find dominant frequency (excluding DC component) non_dc_indices = np.where(freqs != 0)[0] if len(non_dc_indices) > 0: dominant_freq_idx = non_dc_indices[np.argmax(magnitude[non_dc_indices])] dominant_freq = freqs[dominant_freq_idx] # Calculate trend strength based on frequency content trend_frequency_weight = 1.0 / (1.0 + abs(dominant_freq) * 10) else: trend_frequency_weight = 1.0 else: trend_frequency_weight = 1.0 # === 3. MULTI-SCALE SLOPE CALCULATION === x = np.linspace(0, period-1, period) # Original slope calculation slope_original = np.polyfit(x, y, 1)[0] # Wavelet-denoised slope calculation slope_denoised = np.polyfit(x, y_denoised, 1)[0] # === 4. WAVELET-BASED TREND DECOMPOSITION === if WAVELETS_AVAILABLE and len(y) >= 8: # Extract trend component using wavelet approximation approx_coeffs = coeffs[0] # Approximation coefficients (trend) # Reconstruct trend component trend_component = pywt.upcoef( 'a', approx_coeffs, wavelet, level=3, take=len(y)) if len(trend_component) > len(y): trend_component = trend_component[:len(y)] elif len(trend_component) < len(y): # Pad with last value if needed pad_length = len(y) - len(trend_component) trend_component = np.pad(trend_component, (0, pad_length), mode='edge') # Calculate slope of trend component slope_trend = np.polyfit(x, trend_component, 1)[0] else: slope_trend = slope_denoised # === 5. FREQUENCY-WEIGHTED SLOPE COMBINATION === # Weight slopes based on signal characteristics weights = { 'original': 0.3, 'denoised': 0.4, 'trend': 0.3 } # Adjust weights based on noise level noise_level = np.std(y - y_denoised) / np.std(y) if np.std(y) > 0 else 0 if noise_level > 0.1: # High noise weights = {'original': 0.2, 'denoised': 0.5, 'trend': 0.3} elif noise_level < 0.05: # Low noise weights = {'original': 0.4, 'denoised': 0.3, 'trend': 0.3} # Combined slope calculation slope_combined = ( slope_original * weights['original'] + slope_denoised * weights['denoised'] + slope_trend * weights['trend'] ) # Apply frequency weighting final_slope = slope_combined * trend_frequency_weight # === 6. ENHANCED VALIDATION === if np.isnan(final_slope) or np.isinf(final_slope): return (slope_original if not (np.isnan(slope_original) or np.isinf(slope_original)) else 0) # Normalize extreme slopes max_reasonable_slope = np.std(y) / period if abs(final_slope) > max_reasonable_slope * 15: return np.sign(final_slope) * max_reasonable_slope * 15 return final_slope except Exception: # Fallback to enhanced simple method if advanced processing fails try: # Apply simple moving average smoothing as fallback if len(y) >= 3: y_smooth = ( pd.Series(y).rolling(window=3, center=True) .mean().bfill().ffill().values ) x = np.linspace(0, period-1, period) slope = np.polyfit(x, y_smooth, 1)[0] if not (np.isnan(slope) or np.isinf(slope)): return slope # Ultimate fallback: simple difference simple_slope = (y[-1] - y[0]) / (period - 1) return (simple_slope if not (np.isnan(simple_slope) or np.isinf(simple_slope)) else 0) except Exception: return 0 def calculate_advanced_trend_strength_with_wavelets(dataframe: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: """ Enhanced trend strength calculation using Wavelet Transform and FFT analysis """ try: # === WAVELET-ENHANCED SLOPE CALCULATION === dataframe['slope_5_advanced'] = dataframe['close'].rolling(5).apply( lambda x: calc_slope_advanced(x, 5), raw=False ) dataframe['slope_10_advanced'] = dataframe['close'].rolling(10).apply( lambda x: calc_slope_advanced(x, 10), raw=False ) dataframe['slope_20_advanced'] = dataframe['close'].rolling(20).apply( lambda x: calc_slope_advanced(x, 20), raw=False ) # === WAVELET TREND DECOMPOSITION === def wavelet_trend_analysis(series, window=20): """Analyze trend using adaptive wavelet (haar/db4), safe levels, symmetric mode, robust threshold.""" if not WAVELETS_AVAILABLE or len(series) < window: return pd.Series([0.0] * len(series), index=series.index) results: list[float] = [] for i in range(len(series)): if i < window: results.append(0.0) continue window_data = series.iloc[i-window+1:i+1].values n = len(window_data) if n < 12: results.append(0.0) continue wavelet_name = 'haar' if n < 24 else 'db4' try: w = pywt.Wavelet(wavelet_name) max_level = pywt.dwt_max_level(n, w.dec_len) except Exception: max_level = 1 if n < 48: max_level = min(max_level, 2) use_level = max(1, min(3, max_level)) try: coeffs = pywt.wavedec(window_data, wavelet_name, level=use_level, mode='symmetric') # Estimate sigma from finest detail if len(coeffs) > 1 and len(coeffs[-1]): detail = coeffs[-1] sigma = np.median(np.abs(detail - np.median(detail))) / 0.6745 thr = sigma * np.sqrt(2 * np.log(n)) if sigma > 0 else 0.0 else: thr = 0.0 for j in range(1, len(coeffs)): coeffs[j] = pywt.threshold(coeffs[j], thr, mode='soft') approx = coeffs[0] trend_strength = np.std(approx) / (np.std(window_data) + 1e-9) direction = 0 if len(approx) >= 2: direction = 1 if approx[-1] > approx[0] else -1 score = trend_strength * direction if not np.isfinite(score): score = 0.0 # Clamp extreme outliers results.append(float(np.clip(score, -5, 5))) except Exception: results.append(0.0) return pd.Series(results, index=series.index) # Apply wavelet trend analysis dataframe['wavelet_trend_strength'] = wavelet_trend_analysis(dataframe['close']) # === FFT-BASED CYCLE DETECTION === def fft_cycle_analysis(series, window=50): """Detect market cycles using FFT""" if len(series) < window: return (pd.Series([0] * len(series), index=series.index), pd.Series([0] * len(series), index=series.index)) cycle_strength = [] dominant_period = [] for i in range(len(series)): if i < window: cycle_strength.append(0) dominant_period.append(0) continue # Get window data window_data = series.iloc[i-window+1:i+1].values try: # Remove linear trend x = np.arange(len(window_data)) slope, intercept = np.polyfit(x, window_data, 1) detrended = window_data - (slope * x + intercept) # Apply FFT fft_values = fft(detrended) freqs = fftfreq(len(detrended)) magnitude = np.abs(fft_values) # Find dominant cycle (excluding DC component) positive_freqs = freqs[1:len(freqs)//2] positive_magnitude = magnitude[1:len(magnitude)//2] if len(positive_magnitude) > 0: max_idx = np.argmax(positive_magnitude) dominant_freq = positive_freqs[max_idx] dominant_per = 1.0 / (abs(dominant_freq) + 1e-8) # Cycle strength (normalized) cycle_str = positive_magnitude[max_idx] / ( np.sum(positive_magnitude) + 1e-8) else: dominant_per = 0 cycle_str = 0 cycle_strength.append(cycle_str) dominant_period.append(dominant_per) except Exception: cycle_strength.append(0) dominant_period.append(0) return (pd.Series(cycle_strength, index=series.index), pd.Series(dominant_period, index=series.index)) # Apply FFT cycle analysis (dataframe['cycle_strength'], dataframe['dominant_cycle_period']) = fft_cycle_analysis(dataframe['close']) # === ENHANCED TREND STRENGTH CALCULATION === # Normalize advanced slopes by price dataframe['trend_strength_5_advanced'] = ( dataframe['slope_5_advanced'] / dataframe['close'] * 100) dataframe['trend_strength_10_advanced'] = ( dataframe['slope_10_advanced'] / dataframe['close'] * 100) dataframe['trend_strength_20_advanced'] = ( dataframe['slope_20_advanced'] / dataframe['close'] * 100) # Wavelet-weighted combined trend strength dataframe['trend_strength_wavelet'] = ( dataframe['trend_strength_5_advanced'] * 0.4 + dataframe['trend_strength_10_advanced'] * 0.35 + dataframe['trend_strength_20_advanced'] * 0.25 ) # Incorporate wavelet trend analysis dataframe['trend_strength_combined'] = ( dataframe['trend_strength_wavelet'] * 0.7 + dataframe['wavelet_trend_strength'] * 0.3 ) # === CYCLE-ADJUSTED TREND STRENGTH === # Adjust trend strength based on cycle analysis dataframe['trend_strength_cycle_adjusted'] = dataframe['trend_strength_combined'].copy() # Boost trend strength when aligned with dominant cycle strong_cycle_mask = dataframe['cycle_strength'] > 0.3 dataframe.loc[strong_cycle_mask, 'trend_strength_cycle_adjusted'] *= ( 1 + dataframe.loc[strong_cycle_mask, 'cycle_strength']) # === FINAL TREND CLASSIFICATION WITH ADVANCED FEATURES === strong_threshold = 0.02 # Enhanced trend classification dataframe['strong_uptrend_advanced'] = ( (dataframe['trend_strength_cycle_adjusted'] > strong_threshold) & (dataframe['wavelet_trend_strength'] > 0) & (dataframe['cycle_strength'] > 0.1) ) dataframe['strong_downtrend_advanced'] = ( (dataframe['trend_strength_cycle_adjusted'] < -strong_threshold) & (dataframe['wavelet_trend_strength'] < 0) & (dataframe['cycle_strength'] > 0.1) ) dataframe['ranging_advanced'] = ( (dataframe['trend_strength_cycle_adjusted'].abs() < strong_threshold * 0.5) | (dataframe['cycle_strength'] < 0.05) # Very weak cycles indicate ranging ) # === TREND CONFIDENCE SCORE === # Calculate confidence based on agreement between methods methods_agreement = ( (np.sign(dataframe['trend_strength_5_advanced']) == np.sign(dataframe['trend_strength_10_advanced'])).astype(int) + (np.sign(dataframe['trend_strength_10_advanced']) == np.sign(dataframe['trend_strength_20_advanced'])).astype(int) + (np.sign(dataframe['trend_strength_wavelet']) == np.sign(dataframe['wavelet_trend_strength'])).astype(int) ) dataframe['trend_confidence'] = methods_agreement / 3.0 # High confidence trends dataframe['high_confidence_trend'] = ( (dataframe['trend_confidence'] >= 0.67) & (dataframe['cycle_strength'] > 0.2) & (dataframe['trend_strength_cycle_adjusted'].abs() > strong_threshold * 0.8) ) return dataframe except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"Advanced trend analysis failed: {e}. Using fallback method.") # Return dataframe with fallback values fallback_columns = [ 'slope_5_advanced', 'slope_10_advanced', 'slope_20_advanced', 'wavelet_trend_strength', 'cycle_strength', 'dominant_cycle_period', 'trend_strength_5_advanced', 'trend_strength_10_advanced', 'trend_strength_20_advanced', 'trend_strength_wavelet', 'trend_strength_combined', 'trend_strength_cycle_adjusted', 'strong_uptrend_advanced', 'strong_downtrend_advanced', 'ranging_advanced', 'trend_confidence', 'high_confidence_trend' ] for col in fallback_columns: if 'strength' in col: dataframe[col] = 0.0 else: dataframe[col] = False return dataframe # === ADVANCED GPU NEURAL NETWORK AND TRAINING CLASSES === class AdvancedNeuralNetwork(nn.Module): """ Advanced Neural Network optimized for GPU training """ def __init__(self, input_size: int, hidden_sizes: list = None, dropout_rate: float = 0.3, use_batch_norm: bool = True): super().__init__() if hidden_sizes is None: hidden_sizes = [256, 128, 64] layers = [] prev_size = input_size for i, hidden_size in enumerate(hidden_sizes): # Linear layer layers.append(nn.Linear(prev_size, hidden_size)) # Batch normalization if use_batch_norm: layers.append(nn.BatchNorm1d(hidden_size)) # Activation layers.append(nn.ReLU()) # Dropout if dropout_rate > 0: layers.append(nn.Dropout(dropout_rate)) prev_size = hidden_size # Output layer layers.append(nn.Linear(prev_size, 1)) layers.append(nn.Sigmoid()) self.network = nn.Sequential(*layers) # Initialize weights self.apply(self._init_weights) def _init_weights(self, module): if isinstance(module, nn.Linear): torch.nn.init.xavier_uniform_(module.weight) torch.nn.init.zeros_(module.bias) def forward(self, x): return self.network(x) class GPUModelTrainer: """ GPU-optimized model trainer with mixed precision and advanced features """ def __init__(self, device: str = 'cuda'): self.device = device self.model = None self.scaler = torch.cuda.amp.GradScaler() if device == 'cuda' else None self.best_loss = float('inf') self.patience = 10 self.patience_counter = 0 def create_model(self, input_size: int, config: dict = None): """Create and initialize model on GPU""" if config is None: config = { 'hidden_sizes': [512, 256, 128, 64], 'dropout_rate': 0.3, 'use_batch_norm': True } self.model = AdvancedNeuralNetwork( input_size=input_size, hidden_sizes=config['hidden_sizes'], dropout_rate=config['dropout_rate'], use_batch_norm=config['use_batch_norm'] ).to(self.device) return self.model def prepare_data(self, X: np.ndarray, y: np.ndarray, batch_size: int = 512, validation_split: float = 0.2): """Prepare data for GPU training""" # Convert to torch tensors X_tensor = torch.FloatTensor(X).to(self.device) y_tensor = torch.FloatTensor(y.reshape(-1, 1)).to(self.device) # Split into train/validation n_samples = len(X) n_val = int(n_samples * validation_split) indices = torch.randperm(n_samples) train_indices = indices[n_val:] val_indices = indices[:n_val] # Create datasets train_dataset = TensorDataset(X_tensor[train_indices], y_tensor[train_indices]) val_dataset = TensorDataset(X_tensor[val_indices], y_tensor[val_indices]) # Create data loaders with optimal settings for GPU num_workers = 4 if self.device == 'cuda' else 0 pin_memory = self.device == 'cuda' train_loader = DataLoader( train_dataset, batch_size=batch_size, shuffle=True, num_workers=num_workers, pin_memory=pin_memory, persistent_workers=num_workers > 0 ) val_loader = DataLoader( val_dataset, batch_size=batch_size, shuffle=False, num_workers=num_workers, pin_memory=pin_memory, persistent_workers=num_workers > 0 ) return train_loader, val_loader def train_model(self, train_loader, val_loader, epochs: int = 100, learning_rate: float = 0.001, weight_decay: float = 1e-4): """Train model with mixed precision and early stopping""" optimizer = optim.AdamW(self.model.parameters(), lr=learning_rate, weight_decay=weight_decay) criterion = nn.BCELoss() # Learning rate scheduler (verbose removed; manual logging below) scheduler = optim.lr_scheduler.ReduceLROnPlateau( optimizer, mode='min', factor=0.8, patience=5 ) train_losses = [] val_losses = [] for epoch in range(epochs): # Training phase self.model.train() train_loss = 0.0 train_batches = 0 for batch_X, batch_y in train_loader: optimizer.zero_grad() if self.scaler and self.device == 'cuda': # Mixed precision training with torch.cuda.amp.autocast(): outputs = self.model(batch_X) loss = criterion(outputs, batch_y) self.scaler.scale(loss).backward() self.scaler.step(optimizer) self.scaler.update() else: # Standard training outputs = self.model(batch_X) loss = criterion(outputs, batch_y) loss.backward() optimizer.step() train_loss += loss.item() train_batches += 1 avg_train_loss = train_loss / train_batches train_losses.append(avg_train_loss) # Validation phase self.model.eval() val_loss = 0.0 val_batches = 0 with torch.no_grad(): for batch_X, batch_y in val_loader: if self.scaler and self.device == 'cuda': with torch.cuda.amp.autocast(): outputs = self.model(batch_X) loss = criterion(outputs, batch_y) else: outputs = self.model(batch_X) loss = criterion(outputs, batch_y) val_loss += loss.item() val_batches += 1 avg_val_loss = val_loss / val_batches val_losses.append(avg_val_loss) # Learning rate scheduling scheduler.step(avg_val_loss) # Early stopping if avg_val_loss < self.best_loss: self.best_loss = avg_val_loss self.patience_counter = 0 # Save best model state self.best_model_state = self.model.state_dict().copy() else: self.patience_counter += 1 if epoch % 10 == 0: current_lr = scheduler.optimizer.param_groups[0]['lr'] logger.info( f"Epoch {epoch}: Train {avg_train_loss:.4f} | Val {avg_val_loss:.4f} | LR {current_lr:.6f}" ) if self.patience_counter >= self.patience: logger.info(f"Early stopping at epoch {epoch}") break # Load best model if hasattr(self, 'best_model_state'): self.model.load_state_dict(self.best_model_state) return train_losses, val_losses def predict(self, X: np.ndarray, batch_size: int = 1024) -> np.ndarray: """Make predictions on GPU""" self.model.eval() predictions = [] with torch.no_grad(): for i in range(0, len(X), batch_size): batch_X = torch.FloatTensor(X[i:i+batch_size]).to(self.device) if self.scaler and self.device == 'cuda': with torch.cuda.amp.autocast(): batch_pred = self.model(batch_X) else: batch_pred = self.model(batch_X) predictions.append(batch_pred.cpu().numpy()) return np.vstack(predictions).flatten() # === GPU MEMORY OPTIMIZATION FUNCTIONS === def optimize_gpu_memory(): """Optimize GPU memory usage""" if GPU_AVAILABLE: torch.cuda.empty_cache() # Set memory fraction if needed # torch.cuda.set_per_process_memory_fraction(0.8) # Use 80% of GPU memory def monitor_training_performance(pair: str, training_time: float, gpu_memory: float): """Monitor and log training performance""" logger.info(f"=== TRAINING PERFORMANCE for {pair} ===") logger.info(f"Training time: {training_time:.2f}s") if GPU_AVAILABLE: # If caller passed 0 attempt to get live stats if gpu_memory == 0: try: import torch # local import gpu_memory = torch.cuda.memory_allocated() / 1024**2 peak_mem = torch.cuda.max_memory_allocated() / 1024**2 logger.info(f"GPU memory used: {gpu_memory:.1f} MB (peak {peak_mem:.1f} MB)") except Exception: logger.info(f"GPU memory used: {gpu_memory:.1f} MB") else: logger.info(f"GPU memory used: {gpu_memory:.1f} MB") util = _gpu_utilization_pct() if util is not None: logger.info(f"GPU utilization: {util}%") else: logger.info("GPU utilization: (pynvml not available)") logger.info("=" * 40) # === ADVANCED PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS SYSTEM === class AdvancedPredictiveEngine: """ GPU-Enhanced machine learning engine for high-precision trade entry prediction """ def __init__(self): # Core containers self.models = {} self.scalers = {} self.feature_importance = {} self.prediction_history = {} self.is_trained = {} self.xgb_feature_maps: dict[str, dict] = {} # GPU config self.gpu_trainers = {} self.gpu_models = {} self.use_gpu = GPU_AVAILABLE and TORCH_AVAILABLE self.device = DEVICE if not self.use_gpu and TORCH_AVAILABLE: try: torch.cuda.init() if torch.cuda.device_count() > 0: self.use_gpu = True self.device = torch.device('cuda:0') logger.info("FORCED GPU activation successful!") except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"GPU force activation failed: {e}") if self.use_gpu: logger.info("AdvancedPredictiveEngine initialized with GPU acceleration") else: logger.info("AdvancedPredictiveEngine running on CPU only") self.gpu_config = { 'batch_size': 4096 if self.use_gpu else 256, 'epochs': 500 if self.use_gpu else 50, 'learning_rate': 0.0003, 'weight_decay': 1e-5, 'hidden_sizes': [2048, 1024, 512, 256, 128, 64] if self.use_gpu else [128, 64], 'dropout_rate': 0.5, 'use_batch_norm': True, 'validation_split': 0.1, 'gradient_clip_norm': 0.5, 'use_mixed_precision': True, 'accumulation_steps': 4, 'scheduler_patience': 10, 'early_stopping_patience': 50, 'warmup_epochs': 50, 'pin_memory': True, 'num_workers': 4, 'prefetch_factor': 4, 'persistent_workers': True } self.xgb_gpu_params = { 'device': 'cuda', 'tree_method': 'hist', 'max_bin': 1024, 'grow_policy': 'lossguide', 'max_leaves': 511, } self.xgb_entry_params = { 'n_estimators': 2000, 'max_depth': 20, 'learning_rate': 0.02, 'subsample': 0.8, 'colsample_bytree': 0.8, 'colsample_bylevel': 0.8, 'colsample_bynode': 0.8, 'reg_alpha': 0.01, 'reg_lambda': 0.05, 'min_child_weight': 1, 'gamma': 0.01, 'max_delta_step': 0, 'scale_pos_weight': 1, 'objective': 'binary:logistic', 'booster': 'gbtree', 'verbosity': 1, **self.xgb_gpu_params } self.xgb_early_stopping_rounds = 100 self.training_cache = {} self.last_train_time = {} self.last_train_index = {} self.retrain_interval_hours = 24 self.initial_train_candles = 2000 self.min_new_candles_for_retrain = 30 self.strategy_start_time = datetime.utcnow() self.retrain_after_startup_hours = 24 self.enable_startup_retrain = True self.max_training_samples = 5000 self.use_data_augmentation = True self.ensemble_size = 5 self.models_dir = Path("user_data/strategies/XGBoost") self.models_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) self.training_times = {} self.gpu_memory_usage = {} self._load_models_from_disk() if self.use_gpu: logger.info(f"GPU Training enabled on {self.device}") logger.info(f"GPU Config: {self.gpu_config}") else: logger.info("GPU not available, using CPU training") # ----------------- ASSET EXISTENCE HELPERS ----------------- def _required_asset_paths(self, pair: str) -> list[Path]: """Return list of required core asset file paths for a pair. Updated: Strategy now uses a single native XGBoost booster (xgboost_enhanced) plus scaler + metadata. Old RandomForest / GradientBoosting assets are no longer mandatory; their absence should not force retraining. """ paths = [ self._get_model_filepath(pair, "model_xgboost_enhanced"), self._get_model_filepath(pair, "scaler"), self._get_model_filepath(pair, "metadata"), ] return paths def _assets_exist(self, pair: str) -> bool: booster_path = self._required_asset_paths(pair)[0] exists = booster_path.exists() if not exists: logger.debug(f"Booster file missing for {pair}: {booster_path.name}") return exists def mark_trained_if_assets(self, pair: str): """Mark pair as trained if asset files exist (called at startup).""" if self._assets_exist(pair): self.is_trained[pair] = True def _get_model_filepath(self, pair: str, model_type: str) -> Path: """Get the filepath for saving/loading models""" safe_pair = pair.replace('/', '_').replace(':', '_') return self.models_dir / f"{safe_pair}_{model_type}.pkl" def _save_models_to_disk(self, pair: str): """Save trained models to disk for persistence""" try: if pair not in self.models: return # Create directory if it doesn't exist self.models_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) # Save models with proper handling for different model types for model_name, model in self.models[pair].items(): try: # Skip GPU trainer objects (they contain PyTorch models that need special handling) if model_name == 'neural_network_gpu': logger.info(f"Skipping GPU model save for {pair} (requires special PyTorch handling)") continue filepath = self._get_model_filepath(pair, f"model_{model_name}") # Ensure parent directory exists filepath.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) # Special handling for native XGBoost Booster try: import xgboost as xgb # Local import to avoid issues if not installed from xgboost.core import Booster as XGBBooster # type: ignore except Exception: # pragma: no cover - safety xgb = None XGBBooster = None if xgb is not None and XGBBooster is not None and isinstance(model, XGBBooster): # Serialize booster raw bytes inside pickle for compatibility with existing .pkl pattern booster_bytes = model.save_raw() with filepath.open('wb') as f: pickle.dump({'booster_raw': booster_bytes, 'type': 'xgboost_booster'}, f) else: with filepath.open('wb') as f: pickle.dump(model, f) logger.debug(f"Saved {model_name} model for {pair}") except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"Failed to save {model_name} model for {pair}: {e}") # Save scaler if pair in self.scalers: try: scaler_filepath = self._get_model_filepath(pair, "scaler") scaler_filepath.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) with scaler_filepath.open('wb') as f: pickle.dump(self.scalers[pair], f) logger.debug(f"Saved scaler for {pair}") except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"Failed to save scaler for {pair}: {e}") # Save feature importance and metadata if pair in self.feature_importance: try: metadata_filepath = self._get_model_filepath(pair, "metadata") metadata_filepath.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) metadata = { 'feature_importance': self.feature_importance[pair], 'is_trained': self.is_trained.get(pair, False), 'timestamp': datetime.now().isoformat(), 'xgb_feature_map': self.xgb_feature_maps.get(pair) } with metadata_filepath.open('wb') as f: pickle.dump(metadata, f) logger.debug(f"Saved metadata for {pair}") except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"Failed to save metadata for {pair}: {e}") logger.info(f"Models saved to disk for {pair}") except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"Failed to save models for {pair}: {e}") def _load_models_from_disk(self): """Load existing models from disk""" try: if not self.models_dir.exists(): return # Find all model files model_files = list(self.models_dir.glob("*_model_*.pkl")) pairs_found = set() for model_file in model_files: # Extract pair name from filename filename = model_file.stem parts = filename.split('_model_') if len(parts) == 2: pair_safe = parts[0] pair = pair_safe.replace('_', '/') if ':' not in pair and len(parts[0].split('_')) > 1: # Handle cases like BTC_USDT_USDT -> BTC/USDT:USDT parts_pair = parts[0].split('_') if len(parts_pair) >= 3: pair = f"{parts_pair[0]}/{parts_pair[1]}:{parts_pair[2]}" pairs_found.add(pair) # Load models for each pair for pair in pairs_found: try: self._load_pair_models(pair) except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"Failed to load models for {pair}: {e}") if pairs_found: logger.info(f"Loaded ML models from disk for {len(pairs_found)} pairs: {list(pairs_found)}") except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"Failed to load models from disk: {e}") def _load_pair_models(self, pair: str): """Load models for a specific pair""" try: # Load models - handle both old and new model types models = {} model_types = ['random_forest', 'gradient_boosting', 'xgboost_enhanced', 'neural_network_gpu'] for model_name in model_types: model_filepath = self._get_model_filepath(pair, f"model_{model_name}") if model_filepath.exists(): try: # Skip GPU models for now (they need special PyTorch handling) if model_name == 'neural_network_gpu': logger.info(f"Skipping GPU model load for {pair} (requires special PyTorch handling)") continue with model_filepath.open('rb') as f: loaded_obj = pickle.load(f) # Detect serialized booster raw format if isinstance(loaded_obj, dict) and loaded_obj.get('type') == 'xgboost_booster' and 'booster_raw' in loaded_obj: try: import xgboost as xgb # Local import booster = xgb.Booster() booster.load_model(bytearray(loaded_obj['booster_raw'])) models[model_name] = booster except Exception as bx: logger.warning(f"Failed to reconstruct XGBoost Booster for {pair}: {bx}") else: models[model_name] = loaded_obj logger.debug(f"Loaded {model_name} model for {pair}") except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"Failed to load {model_name} model for {pair}: {e}") if models: self.models[pair] = models # Load scaler scaler_filepath = self._get_model_filepath(pair, "scaler") if scaler_filepath.exists(): try: with scaler_filepath.open('rb') as f: self.scalers[pair] = pickle.load(f) logger.debug(f"Loaded scaler for {pair}") except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"Failed to load scaler for {pair}: {e}") # Load metadata metadata_filepath = self._get_model_filepath(pair, "metadata") if metadata_filepath.exists(): try: with metadata_filepath.open('rb') as f: metadata = pickle.load(f) self.feature_importance[pair] = metadata.get('feature_importance', {}) self.is_trained[pair] = metadata.get('is_trained', False) # Restore feature map if present fmap = metadata.get('xgb_feature_map') if fmap: self.xgb_feature_maps[pair] = fmap logger.debug(f"Loaded metadata for {pair}") except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"Failed to load metadata for {pair}: {e}") except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"Failed to load models for {pair}: {e}") def _cleanup_old_models(self, max_age_days: int = 7): """Remove models older than specified days""" try: cutoff_time = datetime.now() - pd.Timedelta(days=max_age_days) for model_file in self.models_dir.glob("*.pkl"): if model_file.stat().st_mtime < cutoff_time.timestamp(): model_file.unlink() logger.info(f"Removed old model file: {model_file.name}") except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"Failed to cleanup old models: {e}") def extract_advanced_features(self, dataframe: pd.DataFrame, lookback: int = 100) -> pd.DataFrame: """Extract sophisticated features for ML prediction with variance validation""" df = dataframe.copy() # === 1. ENHANCED PRICE ACTION FEATURES === # Multi-period price patterns with variance for period in [1, 2, 3, 5]: df[f'price_velocity_{period}'] = df['close'].pct_change(period) df[f'price_acceleration_{period}'] = df[f'price_velocity_{period}'].diff(1) # Add rolling statistics for variance df[f'price_velocity_std_{period}'] = df[f'price_velocity_{period}'].rolling(20).std() df[f'price_velocity_skew_{period}'] = df[f'price_velocity_{period}'].rolling(20).skew() # Volatility-adjusted momentum returns = df['close'].pct_change(1) vol_20 = returns.rolling(20).std() df['vol_adjusted_momentum'] = returns / (vol_20 + 1e-10) # Price position within recent range for window in [10, 20, 50]: high_window = df['high'].rolling(window).max() low_window = df['low'].rolling(window).min() range_size = high_window - low_window df[f'price_position_{window}'] = (df['close'] - low_window) / (range_size + 1e-10) # Support/Resistance with dynamic thresholds if 'minima_sort_threshold' in df.columns: support_distance = abs(df['low'] - df['minima_sort_threshold']) / (df['close'] + 1e-10) df['support_strength'] = (support_distance < 0.02).astype(int).rolling(20).mean() df['support_distance_norm'] = support_distance else: df['support_strength'] = np.random.uniform(0.3, 0.7, len(df)) # Random baseline df['support_distance_norm'] = np.random.uniform(0, 0.1, len(df)) if 'maxima_sort_threshold' in df.columns: resistance_distance = abs(df['high'] - df['maxima_sort_threshold']) / (df['close'] + 1e-10) df['resistance_strength'] = (resistance_distance < 0.02).astype(int).rolling(20).mean() df['resistance_distance_norm'] = resistance_distance else: df['resistance_strength'] = np.random.uniform(0.3, 0.7, len(df)) df['resistance_distance_norm'] = np.random.uniform(0, 0.1, len(df)) # === 2. VOLUME DYNAMICS === # Volume profile analysis df['volume_profile_score'] = self._calculate_volume_profile_score(df) df['volume_imbalance'] = self._calculate_volume_imbalance(df) df['smart_money_index'] = self._calculate_smart_money_index(df) # Volume-price correlation df['volume_price_correlation'] = df['volume'].rolling(20).corr(df['close']) df['volume_breakout_strength'] = self._calculate_volume_breakout_strength(df) # === 3. VOLATILITY CLUSTERING === df['volatility_regime'] = self._calculate_volatility_regime(df) df['volatility_persistence'] = self._calculate_volatility_persistence(df) df['volatility_mean_reversion'] = self._calculate_volatility_mean_reversion(df) # === 4. MOMENTUM DECOMPOSITION === for period in [3, 5, 8, 13, 21]: df[f'momentum_{period}'] = df['close'].pct_change(period) df[f'momentum_strength_{period}'] = abs(df[f'momentum_{period}']) df[f'momentum_consistency_{period}'] = ( np.sign(df[f'momentum_{period}']).rolling(5).mean() ) # Momentum regime detection df['momentum_regime'] = self._classify_momentum_regime(df) df['momentum_divergence_strength'] = self._calculate_momentum_divergence(df) # === 5. MICROSTRUCTURE FEATURES === df['spread_proxy'] = (df['high'] - df['low']) / df['close'] df['market_impact'] = df['volume'] * df['spread_proxy'] df['order_flow_imbalance'] = self._calculate_order_flow_imbalance(df) df['liquidity_index'] = self._calculate_liquidity_index(df) # === 6. STATISTICAL FEATURES === for window in [10, 20, 50]: returns = df['close'].pct_change(1) df[f'skewness_{window}'] = returns.rolling(window).apply( lambda x: skew(x.dropna()) if len(x.dropna()) > 3 else 0 ) df[f'kurtosis_{window}'] = returns.rolling(window).apply( lambda x: kurtosis(x.dropna()) if len(x.dropna()) > 3 else 0 ) df[f'entropy_{window}'] = self._calculate_entropy(df['close'], window) # === 7. REGIME DETECTION FEATURES === df['market_regime'] = self._detect_market_regime(df) df['regime_stability'] = self._calculate_regime_stability(df) df['regime_transition_probability'] = self._calculate_regime_transition_prob(df) return df def _calculate_volume_profile_score(self, df: pd.DataFrame, window: int = 50) -> pd.Series: """Calculate volume profile score""" def volume_profile(data): if len(data) < 10: return 0.5 prices = data['close'].values volumes = data['volume'].values # Create price bins price_min, price_max = prices.min(), prices.max() if price_max == price_min: return 0.5 bins = np.linspace(price_min, price_max, 10) # Calculate volume at each price level volume_at_price = [] for i in range(len(bins) - 1): mask = (prices >= bins[i]) & (prices < bins[i + 1]) vol_sum = volumes[mask].sum() volume_at_price.append(vol_sum) # Point of Control (POC) - price level with highest volume if sum(volume_at_price) == 0: return 0.5 poc_index = np.argmax(volume_at_price) current_price = prices[-1] poc_price = (bins[poc_index] + bins[poc_index + 1]) / 2 # Score based on distance from POC distance_ratio = abs(current_price - poc_price) / (price_max - price_min + 1e-10) score = 1 - distance_ratio # Closer to POC = higher score return max(0, min(1, score)) # Apply rolling calculation result = [] for i in range(len(df)): if i < window: result.append(0.5) else: window_data = df.iloc[i-window+1:i+1][['close', 'volume']] score = volume_profile(window_data) result.append(score) return pd.Series(result, index=df.index) def _calculate_volume_imbalance(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.Series: """Calculate volume imbalance between buying and selling""" up_volume = df['volume'].where(df['close'] > df['open'], 0) down_volume = df['volume'].where(df['close'] < df['open'], 0) total_volume = up_volume + down_volume imbalance = (up_volume - down_volume) / (total_volume + 1e-10) return imbalance.rolling(10).mean() def _calculate_smart_money_index(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.Series: """Calculate Smart Money Index (SMI)""" price_change = abs(df['close'].pct_change(1)) volume_norm = df['volume'] / df['volume'].rolling(20).mean() smi = volume_norm / (price_change + 1e-10) return smi.rolling(10).mean() def _calculate_volume_breakout_strength(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.Series: """Calculate volume breakout strength""" volume_ma = df['volume'].rolling(20).mean() volume_ratio = df['volume'] / volume_ma price_breakout = ( (df['close'] > df['close'].rolling(20).max().shift(1)) | (df['close'] < df['close'].rolling(20).min().shift(1)) ).astype(int) breakout_strength = volume_ratio * price_breakout return breakout_strength.rolling(5).mean() def _calculate_volatility_regime(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.Series: """Detect volatility regime""" returns = df['close'].pct_change(1) volatility = returns.rolling(20).std() vol_ma = volatility.rolling(50).mean() regime = pd.Series(1, index=df.index) # Default normal regime[volatility < vol_ma * 0.7] = 0 # Low volatility regime[volatility > vol_ma * 1.5] = 2 # High volatility return regime def _calculate_volatility_persistence(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.Series: """Calculate volatility persistence""" returns = df['close'].pct_change(1) volatility = returns.rolling(5).std() persistence = volatility.rolling(20).apply( lambda x: x.autocorr(lag=1) if len(x.dropna()) > 10 else 0 ) return persistence def _calculate_volatility_mean_reversion(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.Series: """Calculate volatility mean reversion tendency""" returns = df['close'].pct_change(1) volatility = returns.rolling(10).std() vol_ma = volatility.rolling(50).mean() vol_zscore = (volatility - vol_ma) / (volatility.rolling(50).std() + 1e-10) mean_reversion = -vol_zscore return mean_reversion def _classify_momentum_regime(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.Series: """Classify momentum regime""" mom_3 = df['close'].pct_change(3) mom_8 = df['close'].pct_change(8) mom_21 = df['close'].pct_change(21) regime = pd.Series(0, index=df.index) # Neutral strong_up = (mom_3 > 0.02) & (mom_8 > 0.05) & (mom_21 > 0.1) regime[strong_up] = 2 mod_up = (mom_3 > 0) & (mom_8 > 0) & (mom_21 > 0) & ~strong_up regime[mod_up] = 1 mod_down = (mom_3 < 0) & (mom_8 < 0) & (mom_21 < 0) & (mom_21 > -0.1) regime[mod_down] = -1 strong_down = (mom_3 < -0.02) & (mom_8 < -0.05) & (mom_21 < -0.1) regime[strong_down] = -2 return regime def _calculate_momentum_divergence(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.Series: """Calculate momentum divergence strength""" price_momentum = df['close'].pct_change(10) if 'rsi' in df.columns: rsi_momentum = df['rsi'].diff(10) else: rsi_momentum = pd.Series(0, index=df.index) volume_momentum = df['volume'].pct_change(10) # Normalize momentums using rolling z-score price_norm = (price_momentum - price_momentum.rolling(50).mean()) / ( price_momentum.rolling(50).std() + 1e-10) rsi_norm = (rsi_momentum - rsi_momentum.rolling(50).mean()) / ( rsi_momentum.rolling(50).std() + 1e-10) volume_norm = (volume_momentum - volume_momentum.rolling(50).mean()) / ( volume_momentum.rolling(50).std() + 1e-10) price_rsi_div = abs(price_norm - rsi_norm) price_volume_div = abs(price_norm - volume_norm) divergence_strength = (price_rsi_div + price_volume_div) / 2 return divergence_strength.rolling(5).mean() def _calculate_order_flow_imbalance(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.Series: """Calculate order flow imbalance""" price_impact = (df['close'] - df['open']) / df['open'] volume_impact = df['volume'] / df['volume'].rolling(20).mean() flow_imbalance = price_impact * volume_impact return flow_imbalance.rolling(5).mean() def _calculate_liquidity_index(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.Series: """Calculate market liquidity index""" spread = (df['high'] - df['low']) / df['close'] volume_norm = df['volume'] / df['volume'].rolling(50).mean() liquidity = volume_norm / (spread + 1e-10) return liquidity.rolling(10).mean() def _calculate_entropy(self, series: pd.Series, window: int) -> pd.Series: """Calculate information entropy""" def entropy(data): if len(data) < 5: return 0 returns = np.diff(data) / (data[:-1] + 1e-10) bins = np.histogram_bin_edges(returns, bins=10) hist, _ = np.histogram(returns, bins=bins) probs = hist / (hist.sum() + 1e-10) probs = probs[probs > 0] ent = -np.sum(probs * np.log2(probs + 1e-10)) return ent return series.rolling(window).apply(entropy, raw=False) def _detect_market_regime(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.Series: """Detect overall market regime""" if 'trend_strength' in df.columns: trend_regime = np.sign(df['trend_strength']) else: trend_regime = pd.Series(0, index=df.index) vol_regime = self._calculate_volatility_regime(df) - 1 momentum_regime = self._classify_momentum_regime(df) market_regime = ( trend_regime * 0.4 + vol_regime * 0.3 + momentum_regime * 0.3 ) return market_regime.rolling(5).mean() def _calculate_regime_stability(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.Series: """Calculate regime stability""" regime = self._detect_market_regime(df) regime_changes = abs(regime.diff(1)) stability = 1 / (regime_changes.rolling(20).mean() + 1e-10) return stability def _calculate_regime_transition_prob(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.Series: """Calculate probability of regime transition""" regime = self._detect_market_regime(df) transitions = [] for i in range(1, len(regime)): if not (pd.isna(regime.iloc[i]) or pd.isna(regime.iloc[i-1])): transition = abs(regime.iloc[i] - regime.iloc[i-1]) > 0.5 transitions.append(transition) else: transitions.append(False) transition_prob = pd.Series([False] + transitions, index=regime.index) prob_smooth = transition_prob.astype(int).rolling(20).mean() return prob_smooth def create_target_variable(self, df: pd.DataFrame, forward_periods: int = 5, profit_threshold: float | None = None, dynamic: bool = True, quantile: float = 0.80, k_atr: float = 1.0, k_vol: float = 1.2, min_abs: float = 0.0025, max_abs: float = 0.05) -> pd.Series: """Create target variable with optional dynamic profit threshold. Dynamic threshold logic (if dynamic=True and profit_threshold not provided): 1. Compute ATR% (14) and rolling return volatility (20). 2. base_series = k_atr * ATR% + k_vol * vola20 3. base_scalar = median(base_series) 4. q_thr = 85th percentile of forward_returns (future move distribution) 5. blended = 0.5 * base_scalar + 0.5 * q_thr 6. final_thr = clip(blended, min_abs, max_abs) This produces a stable scalar threshold per training batch (reproducible) rather than per-row noise. """ # Forward returns used by several strategies forward_returns = df['close'].pct_change(forward_periods).shift(-forward_periods) # === DYNAMIC THRESHOLD CALCULATION === if dynamic and (profit_threshold is None): try: # ATR% calculation high = df['high'] low = df['low'] close = df['close'] prev_close = close.shift(1) tr = np.maximum(high - low, np.maximum((high - prev_close).abs(), (low - prev_close).abs())) atr = tr.rolling(14).mean() atr_pct = (atr / close).clip(lower=0) # Return volatility returns_1 = close.pct_change() vola20 = returns_1.rolling(20).std() base_series = k_atr * atr_pct + k_vol * vola20 base_scalar = float(np.nanmedian(base_series.tail(300))) if len(base_series.dropna()) > 30 else float(np.nanmedian(base_series)) # Distribution-based quantile of forward returns (future info okay for label construction stage) q_thr = float(forward_returns.quantile(quantile)) if forward_returns.notna().any() else min_abs if not np.isfinite(q_thr): q_thr = min_abs # Rebalanced blend favors distribution quantile slightly to raise positives blended = 0.4 * base_scalar + 0.6 * q_thr profit_threshold = float(np.clip(blended, min_abs, max_abs)) except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"Dynamic threshold failed ({e}), falling back to default 0.015") profit_threshold = 0.015 elif profit_threshold is None: profit_threshold = 0.015 # === STRATEGY 1: SIMPLE FORWARD RETURNS === simple_target = (forward_returns > profit_threshold).astype(int) # === STRATEGY 2: MAXIMUM PROFIT POTENTIAL === forward_highs = df['high'].rolling(forward_periods).max().shift(-forward_periods) max_profit_potential = (forward_highs - df['close']) / df['close'] profit_target = (max_profit_potential > profit_threshold).astype(int) # === STRATEGY 3: RISK-ADJUSTED RETURNS === forward_lows = df['low'].rolling(forward_periods).min().shift(-forward_periods) max_loss_potential = (forward_lows - df['close']) / df['close'] risk_adjusted_return = forward_returns / (abs(max_loss_potential) + 1e-10) risk_target = ( (forward_returns > profit_threshold * 0.7) & (risk_adjusted_return > 0.5) ).astype(int) # === STRATEGY 4: VOLATILITY-ADJUSTED TARGET === returns_std = df['close'].pct_change().rolling(20).std() volatility_adjusted_threshold = profit_threshold * (1 + returns_std) vol_target = (forward_returns > volatility_adjusted_threshold).astype(int) # === ENSEMBLE VOTE === combined_target = simple_target + profit_target + risk_target + vol_target final_target = (combined_target >= 2).astype(int) positive_ratio = final_target.mean() logger.info( "Target created (forward=%s) dynamic_thr=%.4f positives=%s/%s ratio=%.3f" % ( forward_periods, profit_threshold, final_target.sum(), len(final_target), positive_ratio)) if positive_ratio < 0.08: logger.warning( "Very low positive ratio (%.3f) at threshold %.4f" % (positive_ratio, profit_threshold)) elif positive_ratio > 0.50: logger.warning( "High positive ratio (%.3f) at threshold %.4f" % (positive_ratio, profit_threshold)) return final_target def _quick_xgb_param_tune(self, X_train, y_train, X_val, y_val, base_params: dict) -> dict: """Ultra-fast heuristic tuning over small param grid (no heavy search). Uses AUC if possible, else accuracy. Keeps GPU params intact. """ try: import xgboost as xgb from sklearn.metrics import roc_auc_score, accuracy_score # Minimal grid focusing on depth / learning rate / subsample combos depths = [base_params.get('max_depth', 8)] if base_params.get('max_depth', 0) >= 16: depths = [base_params['max_depth'], max(base_params['max_depth'] - 2, 12)] lrs = [base_params.get('learning_rate', 0.02)] if base_params.get('learning_rate', 0.02) >= 0.02: lrs += [base_params['learning_rate'] * 0.7] subsamples = [base_params.get('subsample', 0.8)] if subsamples[0] >= 0.8: subsamples += [0.7] best_score = -1 best_params = base_params.copy() eval_set = [(X_train, y_train), (X_val, y_val)] for d in depths: for lr in lrs: for ss in subsamples: trial_params = base_params.copy() trial_params.update({ 'max_depth': d, 'learning_rate': lr, 'subsample': ss, 'n_estimators': min(base_params.get('n_estimators', 1000), 800), 'verbosity': 0 }) model = xgb.XGBClassifier(**trial_params) model.fit(X_train, y_train, eval_set=eval_set, verbose=False) try: proba = model.predict_proba(X_val)[:, 1] score = roc_auc_score(y_val, proba) except Exception: pred = model.predict(X_val) score = accuracy_score(y_val, pred) if score > best_score: best_score = score best_params = trial_params logger.info(f"Quick XGB tune best score={best_score:.4f} params={{'max_depth': {best_params.get('max_depth')}, 'lr': {best_params.get('learning_rate')}, 'subsample': {best_params.get('subsample')}}}") # Restore original n_estimators if larger for final training best_params['n_estimators'] = base_params.get('n_estimators', best_params.get('n_estimators', 1000)) best_params['verbosity'] = base_params.get('verbosity', 0) return best_params except Exception as e: logger.debug(f"Param tune skipped due to error: {e}") return base_params def train_predictive_models(self, df: pd.DataFrame, pair: str) -> dict: """Enhanced training with GPU support""" if not SKLEARN_AVAILABLE: return {'status': 'sklearn_not_available'} try: import time start_time = time.time() # Decide training slice - INTENSIVE DATA USAGE if pair not in self.is_trained or not self.is_trained[pair]: # Use much more data for initial training base_df = df.tail(self.max_training_samples).copy() logger.info(f"Initial INTENSIVE training for {pair} using {len(base_df)} candles") else: last_idx = self.last_train_index.get(pair, 0) new_candles = len(df) - last_idx if new_candles < self.min_new_candles_for_retrain: logger.info(f"Skipping retrain for {pair} - only {new_candles} new candles") return {'status': 'insufficient_new_data'} # Use larger sliding window for retraining (more intensive) base_df = df.tail(min(self.max_training_samples, len(df))).copy() logger.info(f"INTENSIVE retraining {pair} using {len(base_df)} candles ({new_candles} new)") # GPU memory optimization before intensive training if self.use_gpu: optimize_gpu_memory() logger.info("GPU memory optimized for intensive training") # Feature extraction and target creation feature_df = self.extract_advanced_features(base_df) target = self.create_target_variable(base_df) # Feature selection feature_columns = [] exclude_cols = ['open', 'high', 'low', 'close', 'volume', 'date', 'enter_long', 'enter_short', 'exit_long', 'exit_short'] for col in feature_df.columns: if col not in exclude_cols and feature_df[col].dtype in ['float64', 'int64', 'bool']: feature_columns.append(col) X = feature_df[feature_columns].fillna(0) y = target.fillna(0) # Remove invalid samples valid_mask = ~(pd.isna(y) | pd.isna(X).any(axis=1)) X = X[valid_mask] y = y[valid_mask] if len(X) < 100: logger.warning(f"Insufficient valid data for {pair}: {len(X)} samples") return {'status': 'insufficient_data'} # Feature variance filtering feature_variance = X.var() non_constant_features = feature_variance[feature_variance > 1e-10].index.tolist() if len(non_constant_features) < 5: logger.warning(f"Too few variable features for {pair}: {len(non_constant_features)}") return {'status': 'insufficient_features'} X = X[non_constant_features] # Feature scaling scaler = StandardScaler() X_scaled = scaler.fit_transform(X) # Initialize containers models = {} training_results = {} # === GPU NEURAL NETWORK TRAINING === if self.use_gpu and len(X_scaled) > 500: try: gpu_trainer = GPUModelTrainer(device=self.device) # Create model model = gpu_trainer.create_model( input_size=X_scaled.shape[1], config=self.gpu_config ) # Prepare data train_loader, val_loader = gpu_trainer.prepare_data( X_scaled, y.values, batch_size=self.gpu_config['batch_size'], validation_split=self.gpu_config['validation_split'] ) # Train model train_losses, val_losses = gpu_trainer.train_model( train_loader, val_loader, epochs=self.gpu_config['epochs'], learning_rate=self.gpu_config['learning_rate'], weight_decay=self.gpu_config['weight_decay'] ) models['neural_network_gpu'] = gpu_trainer training_results['neural_network_gpu'] = { 'final_train_loss': train_losses[-1] if train_losses else None, 'final_val_loss': val_losses[-1] if val_losses else None, 'epochs_trained': len(train_losses), 'device': str(self.device) } logger.info(f"GPU Neural Network trained for {pair}: " f"Final Val Loss: {val_losses[-1]:.4f}") # Monitor GPU memory if self.device == 'cuda': memory_used = torch.cuda.max_memory_allocated() / 1024**2 # MB self.gpu_memory_usage[pair] = memory_used logger.info(f"Peak GPU memory usage: {memory_used:.1f} MB") torch.cuda.empty_cache() # Clear cache except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"GPU Neural Network training failed for {pair}: {e}") # === ULTRA-MAXIMUM XGBOOST WITH FORCED GPU SUPPORT === try: X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split( X_scaled, y, test_size=0.15, random_state=42, stratify=y ) # FORCE XGBoost to use GPU regardless of detection xgb_params = self.xgb_entry_params.copy() # === DYNAMIC CLASS IMBALANCE HANDLING === try: positive_ratio = float(y.mean()) if len(y) else 0.0 if 0 < positive_ratio < 0.5: raw_spw = (1 - positive_ratio) / max(positive_ratio, 1e-6) damp_spw = raw_spw ** 0.5 # soften dynamic_spw = float(min(damp_spw, 10.0)) xgb_params['scale_pos_weight'] = dynamic_spw logger.info( f"Dynamic scale_pos_weight raw={raw_spw:.2f} damp={dynamic_spw:.2f} (pos_ratio={positive_ratio:.3f}) for {pair}") except Exception as pr_e: logger.debug(f"Dynamic class weight calc failed: {pr_e}") # === LIGHT PARAMETER ADAPTATION === # Reduce depth slightly for very large feature sets to curb overfitting try: n_features = X_scaled.shape[1] if n_features > 150 and xgb_params.get('max_depth', 0) > 18: xgb_params['max_depth'] = 18 if n_features > 220 and xgb_params.get('max_depth', 0) > 16: xgb_params['max_depth'] = 16 # Adjust n_estimators based on sample size (keep large but adaptive) n_samples = X_scaled.shape[0] if n_samples > 4500: xgb_params['n_estimators'] = 2500 elif n_samples < 1500 and xgb_params['n_estimators'] > 1800: xgb_params['n_estimators'] = 1800 except Exception as adapt_e: logger.debug(f"Adaptive param tuning skipped: {adapt_e}") # Ensure GPU usage with new XGBoost 2.0+ syntax if not XGB_GPU_AVAILABLE: # Try to force GPU even if not detected try: xgb_params.update({ 'device': 'cuda', 'tree_method': 'hist' }) logger.info("FORCING XGBoost GPU usage despite detection failure") except Exception: logger.warning("GPU forcing failed, falling back to optimized CPU") xgb_params.update({ 'device': 'cpu', 'tree_method': 'hist', 'n_jobs': -1 }) # Initialize XGBoost with proper error handling + tuning + early stopping via native API import xgboost as xgb gpu_enabled = xgb_params.get('device') == 'cuda' logger.info(f"XGBoost {'GPU' if gpu_enabled else 'CPU'} training (native) for {pair}") if gpu_enabled: logger.info( f"GPU Params: dev={xgb_params.get('device')} method={xgb_params.get('tree_method')} depth={xgb_params.get('max_depth')} est={xgb_params.get('n_estimators')}" ) # Quick heuristic tuning (uses sklearn wrapper internally) to refine a few params tuned_params = self._quick_xgb_param_tune( X_train, y_train, X_test, y_test, xgb_params ) # Build native booster params booster_params = { 'objective': 'binary:logistic', 'max_depth': tuned_params.get('max_depth', xgb_params.get('max_depth')), 'eta': tuned_params.get('learning_rate', xgb_params.get('learning_rate')), 'subsample': tuned_params.get('subsample', xgb_params.get('subsample')), 'colsample_bytree': tuned_params.get('colsample_bytree', xgb_params.get('colsample_bytree', 0.8)), 'colsample_bylevel': tuned_params.get('colsample_bylevel', xgb_params.get('colsample_bylevel', 1.0)), 'colsample_bynode': tuned_params.get('colsample_bynode', xgb_params.get('colsample_bynode', 1.0)), 'lambda': tuned_params.get('reg_lambda', xgb_params.get('reg_lambda', 1.0)), 'alpha': tuned_params.get('reg_alpha', xgb_params.get('reg_alpha', 0.0)), 'min_child_weight': tuned_params.get('min_child_weight', xgb_params.get('min_child_weight', 1)), 'gamma': tuned_params.get('gamma', xgb_params.get('gamma', 0.0)), 'tree_method': xgb_params.get('tree_method', 'hist'), 'device': xgb_params.get('device', 'cuda'), 'max_bin': xgb_params.get('max_bin', 1024), 'grow_policy': xgb_params.get('grow_policy', 'lossguide'), 'eval_metric': 'logloss' } if 'scale_pos_weight' in tuned_params: booster_params['scale_pos_weight'] = tuned_params['scale_pos_weight'] num_boost_round = tuned_params.get('n_estimators', xgb_params.get('n_estimators', 1000)) early_stopping_rounds = getattr(self, 'xgb_early_stopping_rounds', 100) # Sanitize feature names (XGBoost native restriction: no [], <, > etc.) def _sanitize(name: str) -> str: # Keep alnum and underscore, replace others with '_' import re sanitized = re.sub(r'[^0-9a-zA-Z_]', '_', name) # Collapse multiple underscores sanitized = re.sub(r'_+', '_', sanitized).strip('_') if not sanitized: sanitized = 'f' return sanitized sanitized = [] used = set() orig_to_san = {} san_to_orig = {} for feat in non_constant_features: s = _sanitize(feat) base = s idx = 1 # Ensure uniqueness while s in used: s = f"{base}_{idx}" idx += 1 used.add(s) sanitized.append(s) orig_to_san[feat] = s san_to_orig[s] = feat # Store mapping for inference self.xgb_feature_maps[pair] = { 'orig_to_sanitized': orig_to_san, 'sanitized_to_orig': san_to_orig, 'ordered_original': non_constant_features, 'ordered_sanitized': sanitized } # DMatrix with sanitized feature names dtrain = xgb.DMatrix(X_train, label=y_train, feature_names=sanitized) dvalid = xgb.DMatrix(X_test, label=y_test, feature_names=sanitized) evals = [(dtrain, 'train'), (dvalid, 'validation')] booster = xgb.train( booster_params, dtrain, num_boost_round=num_boost_round, evals=evals, early_stopping_rounds=early_stopping_rounds, verbose_eval=False ) # Orientation sanity check try: pred_slice = booster.predict(dtrain)[:500] y_slice = y_train.values[:500] if len(pred_slice) > 10: import numpy as np corr = float(np.corrcoef(pred_slice, y_slice)[0, 1]) logger.info( f"Orientation check corr(pred,y)={corr:.3f} (pos_ratio_train={positive_ratio:.3f}) for {pair}") except Exception as oc_e: logger.debug(f"Orientation check failed: {oc_e}") # Predictions train_proba = booster.predict(dtrain) test_proba = booster.predict(dvalid) from sklearn.metrics import roc_auc_score, accuracy_score try: train_auc = roc_auc_score(y_train, train_proba) test_auc = roc_auc_score(y_test, test_proba) except Exception: train_auc = test_auc = None train_pred = (train_proba >= 0.5).astype(int) test_pred = (test_proba >= 0.5).astype(int) train_score = accuracy_score(y_train, train_pred) test_score = accuracy_score(y_test, test_pred) # Feature importance (gain) raw_fi = booster.get_score(importance_type='gain') feature_importance = {} # Keys now are sanitized names; map back for s_name, val in raw_fi.items(): orig = san_to_orig.get(s_name, s_name) feature_importance[orig] = val models['xgboost_enhanced'] = booster training_results['xgboost_enhanced'] = { 'train_accuracy': train_score, 'test_accuracy': test_score, 'train_auc': train_auc, 'test_auc': test_auc, 'gpu_enabled': booster_params.get('device') == 'cuda', 'feature_importance': feature_importance, 'best_iteration': getattr(booster, 'best_iteration', None), 'best_score': getattr(booster, 'best_score', None), 'num_boost_round': num_boost_round, 'early_stopping_rounds': early_stopping_rounds } logger.info( f"XGB(native) trained {pair} acc(train/test)={train_score:.3f}/{test_score:.3f} " f"AUC(train/test)={(train_auc or 0):.3f}/{(test_auc or 0):.3f} best_iter={getattr(booster, 'best_iteration', 'n/a')}" ) # Capture peak GPU memory after XGBoost if on GPU if self.use_gpu and GPU_AVAILABLE: try: peak_mem = torch.cuda.max_memory_allocated() / 1024**2 prev = self.gpu_memory_usage.get(pair, 0) if peak_mem > prev: self.gpu_memory_usage[pair] = peak_mem except Exception: pass except Exception as e: logger.error(f"XGBoost training failed for {pair}: {e}") # NO FALLBACK - Return error immediately return { 'status': 'error', 'error': f'XGBoost training failed: {str(e)}', 'pair': pair, 'gpu_attempted': xgb_params.get('device') == 'cuda' } # Secondary XGBoost removed (single-model focus per user request) # === TRAINING SUMMARY AND CLEANUP === logger.info(f"Training completed for {pair}") logger.info(f"Models trained: {list(models.keys())}") # Store models and metadata self.models[pair] = models self.scalers[pair] = scaler self.feature_importance[pair] = { 'feature_columns': non_constant_features, **{f'{model_name}_importance': result.get('feature_importance', {}) for model_name, result in training_results.items()} } self.is_trained[pair] = True # Save to disk self._save_models_to_disk(pair) training_time = time.time() - start_time self.training_times[pair] = training_time # Enhanced result summary result = { 'status': 'success', 'models_trained': list(models.keys()), 'training_time': training_time, 'training_results': training_results, 'feature_columns': non_constant_features, 'gpu_enabled': self.use_gpu, 'samples_used': len(X_scaled), 'features_used': non_constant_features, 'intensive_mode': True, 'gpu_memory_peak': self.gpu_memory_usage.get(pair, 0) } # Performance logging logger.info(f"๐Ÿš€ INTENSIVE Training completed for {pair} in {training_time:.2f}s") logger.info(f"๐Ÿค– Models trained: {list(models.keys())}") # Save results if models: self.models[pair] = models self.scalers[pair] = scaler self.feature_importance[pair] = training_results # CRITICAL: Save the exact feature columns used for training self.feature_importance[pair]['feature_columns'] = non_constant_features self.is_trained[pair] = True self.last_train_time[pair] = datetime.utcnow() self.last_train_index[pair] = len(df) # Save to disk self._save_models_to_disk(pair) training_time = time.time() - start_time self.training_times[pair] = training_time # Enhanced performance monitoring for intensive training monitor_training_performance(pair, training_time, self.gpu_memory_usage.get(pair, 0)) logger.info(f"๐Ÿš€ INTENSIVE Training completed for {pair} in {training_time:.2f}s") logger.info(f"๐Ÿค– Models trained: {list(models.keys())}") logger.info(f"๐Ÿ“Š Features used: {len(non_constant_features)}") logger.info(f"๐Ÿ’พ Samples processed: {len(X):,}") logger.info(f"โšก GPU acceleration: {'ENABLED' if self.use_gpu else 'DISABLED'}") # GPU cleanup after intensive training if self.use_gpu: self.cleanup_gpu_memory() return { 'status': 'success', 'models_trained': list(models.keys()), 'training_time': training_time, 'training_results': training_results, 'gpu_enabled': self.use_gpu, 'samples_used': len(X), 'features_used': non_constant_features, 'intensive_mode': True, 'gpu_memory_peak': self.gpu_memory_usage.get(pair, 0) } else: return {'status': 'no_models_trained'} except Exception as e: logger.error(f"Training failed for {pair}: {e}") return {'status': 'error', 'error': str(e)} def _get_feature_importance(self, model, feature_columns): """Extract feature importance from different model types""" try: if hasattr(model, 'feature_importances_'): return dict(zip(feature_columns, model.feature_importances_, strict=True)) elif hasattr(model, 'coef_'): # For linear models like LogisticRegression importance = abs(model.coef_[0]) return dict(zip(feature_columns, importance, strict=True)) else: return {} except Exception: return {} def predict_entry_probability(self, df: pd.DataFrame, pair: str) -> pd.Series: """Enhanced prediction with balanced long/short probabilities""" if pair not in self.is_trained or not self.is_trained[pair]: logger.warning(f"Model not trained for {pair}, returning neutral predictions") return pd.Series([0.5] * len(df), index=df.index) # Track prediction statistics for this pair if pair not in self.prediction_history: self.prediction_history[pair] = { 'last_100_predictions': [], 'long_short_ratio': 1.0 } try: # Extract features feature_df = self.extract_advanced_features(df) # Get the EXACT features used during training if (pair not in self.scalers or pair not in self.feature_importance or 'feature_columns' not in self.feature_importance[pair]): logger.warning(f"Training features not found for {pair}, using fallback") return pd.Series([0.5] * len(df), index=df.index) # Get the exact feature columns used in training training_feature_columns = self.feature_importance[pair]['feature_columns'] scaler = self.scalers[pair] # Check which features are missing in current dataframe missing_features = [col for col in training_feature_columns if col not in feature_df.columns] if missing_features: logger.warning(f"Missing features for {pair}: {missing_features[:5]}...") # Add missing features with default values for col in missing_features: feature_df[col] = 0.0 # Use ONLY the features from training, in the same order X = feature_df[training_feature_columns].fillna(0) # Scale features using the same scaler from training X_scaled = scaler.transform(X) predictions = [] models = self.models[pair] # Calculate prediction bias adjustment hist = self.prediction_history[pair]['last_100_predictions'] if len(hist) >= 100: mean_pred = np.mean(hist) # Adjust for bias if predictions are consistently skewed bias_adjustment = 0.5 - mean_pred self.prediction_history[pair]['bias_adjustment'] = bias_adjustment else: bias_adjustment = self.prediction_history[pair].get('bias_adjustment', 0.0) # GPU Neural Network prediction if 'neural_network_gpu' in models and self.use_gpu: try: gpu_trainer = models['neural_network_gpu'] gpu_pred = gpu_trainer.predict(X_scaled, batch_size=1024) predictions.append(gpu_pred) logger.debug( f"GPU NN prediction for {pair}: {gpu_pred[-1]:.3f}" ) except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"GPU prediction failed for {pair}: {e}") # XGBoost native booster prediction (preferred) if 'xgboost_enhanced' in models: try: booster = models['xgboost_enhanced'] # Detect if it's native Booster (no predict_proba attribute) if hasattr(booster, 'predict_proba'): # Legacy path (sklearn wrapper) xgb_pred = booster.predict_proba(X_scaled)[:, 1] else: import xgboost as xgb # Local import # Retrieve feature map for pair fmap = self.xgb_feature_maps.get(pair) if fmap and 'ordered_sanitized' in fmap: # Build DMatrix with sanitized order san_order = fmap['ordered_sanitized'] orig_order = fmap['ordered_original'] # Re-order scaled features to original order used at training X_reordered = X[orig_order].values dmatrix = xgb.DMatrix( X_reordered, feature_names=san_order ) xgb_pred = booster.predict(dmatrix) else: # Fallback: direct predict with numeric feature names dmatrix = xgb.DMatrix(X_scaled) xgb_pred = booster.predict(dmatrix) predictions.append(xgb_pred) except Exception as e: logger.warning( f"Primary XGBoost prediction failed for {pair}: {e}" ) # Ensemble prediction - Single XGBoost (optionally with GPU NN) if predictions: # Dynamic weighted ensemble based on available models weights = [] confidence_scores = [] # GPU Neural Network (40% base weight) if 'neural_network_gpu' in models and len(predictions) > 0: weights.append(0.4) if len(predictions) > 0: confidence_scores.append(np.std(predictions[0])) # First prediction (GPU) # Primary XGBoost (40% base weight) if 'xgboost_enhanced' in models: weights.append(0.4) # Find XGBoost prediction index xgb_idx = 1 if 'neural_network_gpu' in models else 0 if xgb_idx < len(predictions): confidence_scores.append(np.std(predictions[xgb_idx])) # Adjust weights for available models (max 2) if len(predictions) == 1: weights = [1.0] elif len(predictions) == 2: # Favor XGBoost over NN when both weights = [0.3, 0.7] if 'neural_network_gpu' in models else [0.5, 0.5] # Normalize weights weights = np.array(weights[:len(predictions)]) weights = weights / weights.sum() # Apply confidence-based weight adjustment if confidence_scores and len(confidence_scores) == len(weights): # Lower standard deviation = higher confidence = higher weight confidence_weights = 1.0 / (np.array(confidence_scores) + 1e-6) confidence_weights = confidence_weights / confidence_weights.sum() # Blend 70% original weights + 30% confidence weights weights = 0.7 * weights + 0.3 * confidence_weights weights = weights / weights.sum() # Re-normalize # Weighted average with stability enhancement ensemble_pred = np.average(predictions, axis=0, weights=weights) # Apply prediction calibration ensemble_pred = np.clip(ensemble_pred, 0.02, 0.98) # Prevent extreme values # Light smoothing for stability (only if enough data points) if len(ensemble_pred) > 5: smoothed = np.convolve(ensemble_pred, np.ones(3)/3, mode='same') ensemble_pred = 0.85 * ensemble_pred + 0.15 * smoothed logger.debug(f"OPTIMIZED Ensemble prediction for {pair}: weights={weights}, pred={ensemble_pred[-1]:.3f}") return pd.Series(ensemble_pred, index=df.index) else: return pd.Series([0.5] * len(df), index=df.index) except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"Prediction failed for {pair}: {e}") return pd.Series([0.5] * len(df), index=df.index) def cleanup_gpu_memory(self): """Cleanup GPU memory to prevent OOM errors""" if self.use_gpu and torch.cuda.is_available(): torch.cuda.empty_cache() logger.info("GPU memory cache cleared") def get_gpu_status(self) -> dict: """Get current GPU status and memory usage""" status = { 'gpu_available': GPU_AVAILABLE, 'torch_available': TORCH_AVAILABLE, 'xgb_gpu_available': XGB_GPU_AVAILABLE, 'device': str(self.device), 'training_times': self.training_times, 'gpu_memory_usage': self.gpu_memory_usage } if GPU_AVAILABLE: status['gpu_memory_allocated'] = torch.cuda.memory_allocated() / 1024**2 # MB status['gpu_memory_reserved'] = torch.cuda.memory_reserved() / 1024**2 # MB status['gpu_device_name'] = torch.cuda.get_device_name(0) return status def _detect_market_condition(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> str: """Detect current market condition for dynamic model selection""" try: # Simple market regime detection recent_data = df.tail(20) if len(recent_data) < 10: return 'unknown' # Calculate volatility returns = recent_data['close'].pct_change().dropna() volatility = returns.std() # Calculate trend strength price_change = (recent_data['close'].iloc[-1] - recent_data['close'].iloc[0]) / recent_data['close'].iloc[0] if volatility > 0.03: # High volatility threshold return 'volatile' elif abs(price_change) > 0.05: # Strong trend threshold return 'trending' else: return 'ranging' except Exception: return 'unknown' # Initialize the predictive engine globally predictive_engine = AdvancedPredictiveEngine() def calculate_advanced_predictive_signals(dataframe: pd.DataFrame, pair: str) -> pd.DataFrame: """GPU-Enhanced predictive signals with optimized memory management""" try: # Clear GPU cache before training if predictive_engine.use_gpu: predictive_engine.cleanup_gpu_memory() need_training = False assets_exist = False try: predictive_engine.mark_trained_if_assets(pair) assets_exist = predictive_engine._assets_exist(pair) except Exception: assets_exist = False # Check time since strategy startup now_utc = datetime.utcnow() hours_since_startup = (now_utc - predictive_engine.strategy_start_time).total_seconds() / 3600.0 if not assets_exist: need_training = True logger.info(f"GPU Training needed for {pair} - no existing models") elif (predictive_engine.enable_startup_retrain and hours_since_startup >= predictive_engine.retrain_after_startup_hours): need_training = True logger.info(f"GPU Retraining needed for {pair} - {hours_since_startup:.1f}h since startup") if need_training: logger.info(f"Starting GPU-enhanced training for {pair}") training_result = predictive_engine.train_predictive_models(dataframe, pair) if training_result.get('status') == 'success': # Log only concise success message without full result details logger.info(f"GPU Training successful for {pair}") else: logger.warning(f"GPU Training failed for {pair}: {training_result}") # Enhanced ML probability prediction with GPU acceleration dataframe['ml_entry_probability'] = predictive_engine.predict_entry_probability(dataframe, pair) # Debug prediction values for analysis if pair in ['BTC/USDT:USDT', 'ETH/USDT:USDT']: recent_predictions = dataframe['ml_entry_probability'].tail(10) logger.info(f"๐Ÿค– ML PREDICTIONS {pair} | last_10=[{', '.join([f'{x:.3f}' for x in recent_predictions])}] " f"mean={recent_predictions.mean():.3f} trained={predictive_engine.is_trained.get(pair, False)}") # Get momentum and volatility regime safely momentum_regime = dataframe.get('momentum_regime') volatility_regime = dataframe.get('volatility_regime') quantum_coherence = dataframe.get('quantum_momentum_coherence') neural_pattern = dataframe.get('neural_pattern_score') # Advanced confidence scoring with safe comparisons ml_high_conf_conditions = (dataframe['ml_entry_probability'] > 0.8) if momentum_regime is not None: ml_high_conf_conditions &= (momentum_regime > 0) if volatility_regime is not None: ml_high_conf_conditions &= (volatility_regime < 2) # Not high volatility dataframe['ml_high_confidence'] = ml_high_conf_conditions.astype(int) # Ultra-high confidence entries with safe checks ml_ultra_conf_conditions = (dataframe['ml_entry_probability'] > 0.9) if quantum_coherence is not None: ml_ultra_conf_conditions &= (quantum_coherence > 0.7) else: ml_ultra_conf_conditions &= (dataframe['rsi'].between(30, 70)) if neural_pattern is not None: ml_ultra_conf_conditions &= (neural_pattern > 0.7) else: ml_ultra_conf_conditions &= (dataframe['volume'] > dataframe['avg_volume']) dataframe['ml_ultra_confidence'] = ml_ultra_conf_conditions.astype(int) # Enhanced score combination if 'ultimate_score' in dataframe.columns: dataframe['ml_enhanced_score'] = ( dataframe['ml_entry_probability'] * 0.6 + dataframe['ultimate_score'] * 0.4 ) else: dataframe['ml_enhanced_score'] = dataframe['ml_entry_probability'] # Model agreement indicator if pair in predictive_engine.models and len(predictive_engine.models[pair]) > 1: # Calculate agreement between models model_count = len(predictive_engine.models[pair]) if model_count >= 2: # High agreement when multiple models agree agreement_score = 0.8 if dataframe['ml_entry_probability'].iloc[-1] > 0.6 else 0.3 dataframe['ml_model_agreement'] = agreement_score else: dataframe['ml_model_agreement'] = 0.7 else: dataframe['ml_model_agreement'] = 0.5 # Clean up GPU memory after processing if predictive_engine.use_gpu: predictive_engine.cleanup_gpu_memory() return dataframe except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"GPU-Enhanced predictive analysis failed for {pair}: {e}") dataframe['ml_entry_probability'] = 0.5 dataframe['ml_enhanced_score'] = dataframe.get('ultimate_score', 0.5) dataframe['ml_high_confidence'] = 0 dataframe['ml_ultra_confidence'] = 0 dataframe['ml_model_agreement'] = 0.5 return dataframe dataframe['ml_high_confidence'] = 0 dataframe['ml_ultra_confidence'] = 0 dataframe['ml_model_agreement'] = 0.5 return dataframe def calculate_quantum_momentum_analysis(dataframe: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: """Quantum-inspired momentum analysis for ultra-precise predictions""" try: momentum_periods = [3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34] momentum_matrix = pd.DataFrame() for period in momentum_periods: momentum_matrix[f'mom_{period}'] = dataframe['close'].pct_change(period) dataframe['quantum_momentum_coherence'] = ( momentum_matrix.std(axis=1) / (momentum_matrix.mean(axis=1).abs() + 1e-10) ) # Calculate momentum entanglement using correlation matrix def calculate_entanglement(window_data): if len(window_data) < 10: return 0 try: corr_matrix = window_data.corr() if corr_matrix.empty or corr_matrix.isna().all().all(): return 0 # Get upper triangular correlation values (excluding diagonal) upper_tri_indices = np.triu_indices_from(corr_matrix, k=1) correlations = corr_matrix.values[upper_tri_indices] # Remove NaN values and calculate mean valid_correlations = correlations[~np.isnan(correlations)] return valid_correlations.mean() if len(valid_correlations) > 0 else 0 except Exception: return 0 entanglement_values = [] for i in range(len(momentum_matrix)): if i < 20: entanglement_values.append(0.5) else: window_data = momentum_matrix.iloc[i-19:i+1] entanglement = calculate_entanglement(window_data) entanglement_values.append(entanglement) dataframe['momentum_entanglement'] = pd.Series(entanglement_values, index=dataframe.index) price_uncertainty = dataframe['close'].rolling(20).std() momentum_uncertainty = momentum_matrix['mom_8'].rolling(20).std() dataframe['heisenberg_uncertainty'] = price_uncertainty * momentum_uncertainty if 'maxima_sort_threshold' in dataframe.columns: resistance_distance = ( dataframe['maxima_sort_threshold'] - dataframe['close']) / dataframe['close'] dataframe['quantum_tunnel_up_prob'] = np.exp(-resistance_distance.abs() * 10) else: dataframe['quantum_tunnel_up_prob'] = 0.5 if 'minima_sort_threshold' in dataframe.columns: support_distance = ( dataframe['close'] - dataframe['minima_sort_threshold']) / dataframe['close'] dataframe['quantum_tunnel_down_prob'] = np.exp(-support_distance.abs() * 10) else: dataframe['quantum_tunnel_down_prob'] = 0.5 return dataframe except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"Quantum momentum analysis failed: {e}") dataframe['quantum_momentum_coherence'] = 0.5 dataframe['momentum_entanglement'] = 0.5 dataframe['heisenberg_uncertainty'] = 1.0 dataframe['quantum_tunnel_up_prob'] = 0.5 dataframe['quantum_tunnel_down_prob'] = 0.5 return dataframe def calculate_neural_pattern_recognition(dataframe: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: """Neural pattern recognition for complex market patterns""" try: dataframe['body_size'] = abs(dataframe['close'] - dataframe['open']) / dataframe['close'] dataframe['upper_shadow'] = ( dataframe['high'] - np.maximum(dataframe['open'], dataframe['close']) ) / dataframe['close'] dataframe['lower_shadow'] = ( np.minimum(dataframe['open'], dataframe['close']) - dataframe['low'] ) / dataframe['close'] dataframe['candle_range'] = (dataframe['high'] - dataframe['low']) / dataframe['close'] pattern_memory = [] for i in range(len(dataframe)): if i < 5: pattern_memory.append(0) continue recent_patterns = dataframe[['body_size', 'upper_shadow', 'lower_shadow']].iloc[i-4:i+1] pattern_signature = recent_patterns.values.flatten() pattern_norm = np.linalg.norm(pattern_signature) if pattern_norm > 0: pattern_score = min(1.0, pattern_norm / 0.1) else: pattern_score = 0 pattern_memory.append(pattern_score) dataframe['neural_pattern_score'] = pd.Series(pattern_memory, index=dataframe.index) dataframe['pattern_prediction_confidence'] = dataframe['neural_pattern_score'].rolling(10).std() return dataframe except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"Neural pattern recognition failed: {e}") dataframe['neural_pattern_score'] = 0.5 dataframe['pattern_prediction_confidence'] = 0.5 dataframe['body_size'] = 0.01 dataframe['candle_range'] = 0.02 return dataframe def calculate_exit_signals(dataframe: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: """Calculate advanced exit signals based on market deterioration""" # === MOMENTUM DETERIORATION === dataframe['momentum_deteriorating'] = ( (dataframe['momentum_quality'] < dataframe['momentum_quality'].shift(1)) & (dataframe['momentum_acceleration'] < 0) & (dataframe['price_momentum'] < dataframe['price_momentum'].shift(1)) ).astype(int) # === VOLUME DETERIORATION === dataframe['volume_deteriorating'] = ( (dataframe['volume_strength'] < 0.8) & (dataframe['selling_pressure'] > dataframe['buying_pressure']) & (dataframe['volume_pressure'] < 0) ).astype(int) # === STRUCTURE DETERIORATION === dataframe['structure_deteriorating'] = ( (dataframe['structure_score'] < -1) & (dataframe['bearish_structure'] > dataframe['bullish_structure']) & (dataframe['structure_break_down'] == 1) ).astype(int) # === CONFLUENCE BREAKDOWN === dataframe['confluence_breakdown'] = ( (dataframe['confluence_score'] < 2) & (dataframe['near_resistance'] == 1) & (dataframe['volume_spike'] == 0) ).astype(int) # === TREND WEAKNESS === dataframe['trend_weakening'] = ( (dataframe['trend_strength'] < 0) & (dataframe['close'] < dataframe['ema50']) & (dataframe['strong_downtrend'] == 1) ).astype(int) # === ULTIMATE EXIT SCORE === dataframe['exit_pressure'] = ( dataframe['momentum_deteriorating'] * 2 + dataframe['volume_deteriorating'] * 2 + dataframe['structure_deteriorating'] * 2 + dataframe['confluence_breakdown'] * 1 + dataframe['trend_weakening'] * 1 ) # === RSI OVERBOUGHT WITH DIVERGENCE === dataframe['rsi_exit_signal'] = ( (dataframe['rsi'] > 75) & ( (dataframe['rsi_divergence_bear'] == 1) | (dataframe['rsi'] > dataframe['rsi'].shift(1)) & (dataframe['close'] < dataframe['close'].shift(1)) ) ).astype(int) # === PROFIT TAKING LEVELS === mml_resistance_levels = ['[6/8]P', '[8/8]P'] dataframe['near_resistance_level'] = 0 for level in mml_resistance_levels: if level in dataframe.columns: near_level = ( (dataframe['close'] >= dataframe[level] * 0.99) & (dataframe['close'] <= dataframe[level] * 1.02) ).astype(int) dataframe['near_resistance_level'] += near_level # === VOLATILITY SPIKE EXIT === dataframe['volatility_spike'] = ( dataframe['atr'] > dataframe['atr'].rolling(20).mean() * 1.5 ).astype(int) # === EXHAUSTION SIGNALS === dataframe['bullish_exhaustion'] = ( (dataframe['consecutive_green'] >= 4) & (dataframe['rsi'] > 70) & (dataframe['volume'] < dataframe['avg_volume'] * 0.8) & (dataframe['momentum_acceleration'] < 0) ).astype(int) return dataframe def calculate_dynamic_profit_targets(dataframe: pd.DataFrame, entry_type_col: str = 'entry_type') -> pd.DataFrame: """Calculate dynamic profit targets based on entry quality and market conditions""" # Base profit targets based on ATR dataframe['base_profit_target'] = dataframe['atr'] * 2 # Adjust based on entry type dataframe['profit_multiplier'] = 1.0 if entry_type_col in dataframe.columns: dataframe.loc[dataframe[entry_type_col] == 3, 'profit_multiplier'] = 2.0 # High quality dataframe.loc[dataframe[entry_type_col] == 2, 'profit_multiplier'] = 1.5 # Medium quality dataframe.loc[dataframe[entry_type_col] == 1, 'profit_multiplier'] = 1.2 # Backup dataframe.loc[dataframe[entry_type_col] == 4, 'profit_multiplier'] = 2.5 # Breakout dataframe.loc[dataframe[entry_type_col] == 5, 'profit_multiplier'] = 1.8 # Reversal # Final profit target dataframe['dynamic_profit_target'] = dataframe['base_profit_target'] * dataframe['profit_multiplier'] return dataframe def calculate_advanced_stop_loss(dataframe: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: dataframe['base_stop_loss'] = dataframe['atr'] * 1.5 if 'minima_sort_threshold' in dataframe.columns: dataframe['support_stop_loss'] = dataframe['close'] - dataframe['minima_sort_threshold'] dataframe['support_stop_loss'] = dataframe['support_stop_loss'].clip( dataframe['base_stop_loss'] * 0.5, dataframe['base_stop_loss'] * 1.5 # Reduced from 2.0 ) dataframe['final_stop_loss'] = np.minimum( dataframe['base_stop_loss'], dataframe['support_stop_loss'] ).clip(-0.15, -0.01) # Hard cap at -15% else: dataframe['final_stop_loss'] = dataframe['base_stop_loss'].clip(-0.15, -0.01) return dataframe def calculate_confluence_score(dataframe: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: """Multi-factor confluence analysis - much better than BTC correlation""" # Support/Resistance Confluence dataframe['near_support'] = ( (dataframe['close'] <= dataframe['minima_sort_threshold'] * 1.02) & (dataframe['close'] >= dataframe['minima_sort_threshold'] * 0.98) ).astype(int) dataframe['near_resistance'] = ( (dataframe['close'] <= dataframe['maxima_sort_threshold'] * 1.02) & (dataframe['close'] >= dataframe['maxima_sort_threshold'] * 0.98) ).astype(int) # MML Level Confluence mml_levels = ['[0/8]P', '[2/8]P', '[4/8]P', '[6/8]P', '[8/8]P'] dataframe['near_mml'] = 0 for level in mml_levels: if level in dataframe.columns: near_level = ( (dataframe['close'] <= dataframe[level] * 1.015) & (dataframe['close'] >= dataframe[level] * 0.985) ).astype(int) dataframe['near_mml'] += near_level # Volume Confluence dataframe['volume_spike'] = ( dataframe['volume'] > dataframe['avg_volume'] * 1.5 ).astype(int) # RSI Confluence Zones dataframe['rsi_oversold'] = (dataframe['rsi'] < 30).astype(int) dataframe['rsi_overbought'] = (dataframe['rsi'] > 70).astype(int) dataframe['rsi_neutral'] = ( (dataframe['rsi'] >= 40) & (dataframe['rsi'] <= 60) ).astype(int) # EMA Confluence dataframe['above_ema'] = (dataframe['close'] > dataframe['ema50']).astype(int) # CONFLUENCE SCORE (0-6) dataframe['confluence_score'] = ( dataframe['near_support'] + dataframe['near_mml'].clip(0, 2) + # Max 2 points for MML dataframe['volume_spike'] + dataframe['rsi_oversold'] + dataframe['above_ema'] + (dataframe['trend_strength'] > 0.01).astype(int) # Positive trend ) return dataframe def calculate_smart_volume(dataframe: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: """Advanced volume analysis - beats any external correlation""" # Volume-Price Trend (VPT) price_change_pct = (dataframe['close'] - dataframe['close'].shift(1)) / dataframe['close'].shift(1) dataframe['vpt'] = (dataframe['volume'] * price_change_pct).fillna(0).cumsum() # Volume moving averages dataframe['volume_sma20'] = dataframe['volume'].rolling(20).mean() dataframe['volume_sma50'] = dataframe['volume'].rolling(50).mean() # Volume strength dataframe['volume_strength'] = dataframe['volume'] / dataframe['volume_sma20'] # Smart money indicators dataframe['accumulation'] = ( (dataframe['close'] > dataframe['open']) & # Green candle (dataframe['volume'] > dataframe['volume_sma20'] * 1.2) & # High volume (dataframe['close'] > (dataframe['high'] + dataframe['low']) / 2) # Close in upper half ).astype(int) dataframe['distribution'] = ( (dataframe['close'] < dataframe['open']) & # Red candle (dataframe['volume'] > dataframe['volume_sma20'] * 1.2) & # High volume (dataframe['close'] < (dataframe['high'] + dataframe['low']) / 2) # Close in lower half ).astype(int) # Buying/Selling pressure dataframe['buying_pressure'] = dataframe['accumulation'].rolling(5).sum() dataframe['selling_pressure'] = dataframe['distribution'].rolling(5).sum() # Net volume pressure dataframe['volume_pressure'] = dataframe['buying_pressure'] - dataframe['selling_pressure'] # Volume trend dataframe['volume_trend'] = ( dataframe['volume_sma20'] > dataframe['volume_sma50'] ).astype(int) # Money flow typical_price = (dataframe['high'] + dataframe['low'] + dataframe['close']) / 3 money_flow = typical_price * dataframe['volume'] positive_flow = money_flow.where(typical_price > typical_price.shift(1), 0) negative_flow = money_flow.where(typical_price < typical_price.shift(1), 0) positive_flow_sum = positive_flow.rolling(14).sum() negative_flow_sum = negative_flow.rolling(14).sum() dataframe['money_flow_ratio'] = positive_flow_sum / (negative_flow_sum + 1e-10) dataframe['money_flow_index'] = 100 - (100 / (1 + dataframe['money_flow_ratio'])) return dataframe def calculate_advanced_momentum(dataframe: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: """Multi-timeframe momentum system - superior to BTC correlation""" # Multi-timeframe momentum dataframe['momentum_3'] = dataframe['close'].pct_change(6) dataframe['momentum_7'] = dataframe['close'].pct_change(14) dataframe['momentum_14'] = dataframe['close'].pct_change(28) dataframe['momentum_21'] = dataframe['close'].pct_change(21) # Momentum acceleration dataframe['momentum_acceleration'] = ( dataframe['momentum_3'] - dataframe['momentum_3'].shift(3) ) # Momentum consistency dataframe['momentum_consistency'] = ( (dataframe['momentum_3'] > 0).astype(int) + (dataframe['momentum_7'] > 0).astype(int) + (dataframe['momentum_14'] > 0).astype(int) ) # Momentum divergence with volume dataframe['price_momentum_rank'] = dataframe['momentum_7'].rolling(20).rank(pct=True) dataframe['volume_momentum_rank'] = dataframe['volume_strength'].rolling(20).rank(pct=True) dataframe['momentum_divergence'] = ( dataframe['price_momentum_rank'] - dataframe['volume_momentum_rank'] ).abs() # Momentum strength dataframe['momentum_strength'] = ( dataframe['momentum_3'].abs() + dataframe['momentum_7'].abs() + dataframe['momentum_14'].abs() ) / 3 # Momentum quality score (0-5) dataframe['momentum_quality'] = ( (dataframe['momentum_3'] > 0).astype(int) + (dataframe['momentum_7'] > 0).astype(int) + (dataframe['momentum_acceleration'] > 0).astype(int) + (dataframe['volume_strength'] > 1.1).astype(int) + (dataframe['momentum_divergence'] < 0.3).astype(int) ) # Rate of Change dataframe['roc_5'] = dataframe['close'].pct_change(5) * 100 dataframe['roc_10'] = dataframe['close'].pct_change(10) * 100 dataframe['roc_20'] = dataframe['close'].pct_change(20) * 100 # Momentum oscillator dataframe['momentum_oscillator'] = ( dataframe['roc_5'] + dataframe['roc_10'] + dataframe['roc_20'] ) / 3 return dataframe def calculate_market_structure(dataframe: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: """Market structure analysis - intrinsic trend recognition""" # Higher highs, higher lows detection dataframe['higher_high'] = ( (dataframe['high'] > dataframe['high'].shift(1)) & (dataframe['high'].shift(1) > dataframe['high'].shift(2)) ).astype(int) dataframe['higher_low'] = ( (dataframe['low'] > dataframe['low'].shift(1)) & (dataframe['low'].shift(1) > dataframe['low'].shift(2)) ).astype(int) dataframe['lower_high'] = ( (dataframe['high'] < dataframe['high'].shift(1)) & (dataframe['high'].shift(1) < dataframe['high'].shift(2)) ).astype(int) dataframe['lower_low'] = ( (dataframe['low'] < dataframe['low'].shift(1)) & (dataframe['low'].shift(1) < dataframe['low'].shift(2)) ).astype(int) # Market structure scores dataframe['bullish_structure'] = ( dataframe['higher_high'].rolling(5).sum() + dataframe['higher_low'].rolling(5).sum() ) dataframe['bearish_structure'] = ( dataframe['lower_high'].rolling(5).sum() + dataframe['lower_low'].rolling(5).sum() ) dataframe['structure_score'] = ( dataframe['bullish_structure'] - dataframe['bearish_structure'] ) # Swing highs and lows # Live-safe pivot detection without using future candles (no shift(-1)) # Confirm swing at the PREVIOUS candle using only information up to current bar. # A swing high at t-1 is when high[t-1] > high[t-2] and high[t-1] > high[t]. prev_high = dataframe['high'].shift(1) prev_low = dataframe['low'].shift(1) dataframe['swing_high'] = ( (prev_high > dataframe['high'].shift(2)) & (prev_high > dataframe['high']) ).astype(int) # A swing low at t-1 is when low[t-1] < low[t-2] and low[t-1] < low[t]. dataframe['swing_low'] = ( (prev_low < dataframe['low'].shift(2)) & (prev_low < dataframe['low']) ).astype(int) # Market structure breaks # Use previous candle values where the swing was confirmed to avoid lookahead bias swing_highs = prev_high.where(dataframe['swing_high'] == 1) swing_lows = prev_low.where(dataframe['swing_low'] == 1) # Structure break detection dataframe['structure_break_up'] = ( dataframe['close'] > swing_highs.ffill() ).astype(int) dataframe['structure_break_down'] = ( dataframe['close'] < swing_lows.ffill() ).astype(int) # Trend strength based on structure dataframe['structure_trend_strength'] = ( dataframe['structure_score'] / 10 # Normalize ).clip(-1, 1) # Support and resistance strength dataframe['support_strength'] = dataframe['swing_low'].rolling(20).sum() dataframe['resistance_strength'] = dataframe['swing_high'].rolling(20).sum() return dataframe def calculate_advanced_entry_signals(dataframe: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: """Advanced entry signal generation""" # Multi-factor signal strength dataframe['signal_strength'] = 0 # Confluence signals dataframe['confluence_signal'] = (dataframe['confluence_score'] >= 3).astype(int) dataframe['signal_strength'] += dataframe['confluence_signal'] * 2 # Volume signals dataframe['volume_signal'] = ( (dataframe['volume_pressure'] >= 2) & (dataframe['volume_strength'] > 1.2) ).astype(int) dataframe['signal_strength'] += dataframe['volume_signal'] * 2 # Momentum signals dataframe['momentum_signal'] = ( (dataframe['momentum_quality'] >= 3) & (dataframe['momentum_acceleration'] > 0) ).astype(int) dataframe['signal_strength'] += dataframe['momentum_signal'] * 2 # Structure signals dataframe['structure_signal'] = ( (dataframe['structure_score'] > 0) & (dataframe['structure_break_up'] == 1) ).astype(int) dataframe['signal_strength'] += dataframe['structure_signal'] * 1 # RSI position signal dataframe['rsi_signal'] = ( (dataframe['rsi'] > 30) & (dataframe['rsi'] < 70) ).astype(int) dataframe['signal_strength'] += dataframe['rsi_signal'] * 1 # Trend alignment signal dataframe['trend_signal'] = ( (dataframe['close'] > dataframe['ema50']) & (dataframe['trend_strength'] > 0) ).astype(int) dataframe['signal_strength'] += dataframe['trend_signal'] * 1 # Money flow signal dataframe['money_flow_signal'] = ( dataframe['money_flow_index'] > 50 ).astype(int) dataframe['signal_strength'] += dataframe['money_flow_signal'] * 1 return dataframe class AlexNexusForgeV8AIGPU(IStrategy): # General strategy parameters timeframe = "1h" startup_candle_count: int = 1000 stoploss = -0.11 trailing_stop = True trailing_stop_positive = 0.005 # Trail at 0.5% below peak profit trailing_stop_positive_offset = 0.03 # Start trailing only at 3% profit trailing_only_offset_is_reached = True # Ensure trailing only starts after offset is reached use_custom_stoploss = True can_short = True use_exit_signal = True ignore_roi_if_entry_signal = True process_only_new_candles = False use_custom_exits_advanced = True use_emergency_exits = True regime_change_enabled = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) regime_change_sensitivity = DecimalParameter(0.3, 0.8, default=0.5, decimals=2, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) # Flash Move Detection flash_move_enabled = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) flash_move_threshold = DecimalParameter(0.03, 0.08, default=0.05, decimals=3, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) flash_move_candles = IntParameter(3, 10, default=5, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) # Volume Spike Detection volume_spike_enabled = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) volume_spike_multiplier = DecimalParameter(2.0, 5.0, default=3.0, decimals=1, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) # Emergency Exit Protection emergency_exit_enabled = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) emergency_exit_profit_threshold = DecimalParameter(0.005, 0.03, default=0.015, decimals=3, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) # Market Sentiment Protection sentiment_protection_enabled = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) sentiment_shift_threshold = DecimalParameter(0.2, 0.4, default=0.3, decimals=2, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) # ๐Ÿ”งATR STOPLOSS PARAMETERS (Anpassbar machen) atr_stoploss_multiplier = DecimalParameter(0.8, 2.0, default=1.0, decimals=1, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) atr_stoploss_minimum = DecimalParameter(-0.25, -0.10, default=-0.12, decimals=2, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) atr_stoploss_maximum = DecimalParameter(-0.30, -0.15, default=-0.18, decimals=2, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) atr_stoploss_ceiling = DecimalParameter(-0.10, -0.06, default=-0.06, decimals=2, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) # DCA parameters initial_safety_order_trigger = DecimalParameter( low=-0.02, high=-0.01, default=-0.018, decimals=3, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True ) max_safety_orders = IntParameter(1, 3, default=1, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) safety_order_step_scale = DecimalParameter( low=1.05, high=1.5, default=1.25, decimals=2, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True ) safety_order_volume_scale = DecimalParameter( low=1.1, high=2.0, default=1.4, decimals=1, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True ) h2 = IntParameter(20, 60, default=40, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) h1 = IntParameter(10, 40, default=20, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) h0 = IntParameter(5, 20, default=10, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) cp = IntParameter(5, 20, default=10, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) # Entry parameters increment_for_unique_price = DecimalParameter( low=1.0005, high=1.002, default=1.001, decimals=4, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True ) last_entry_price: Optional[float] = None # Protection parameters cooldown_lookback = IntParameter(2, 48, default=1, space="protection", optimize=True) stop_duration = IntParameter(12, 200, default=4, space="protection", optimize=True) use_stop_protection = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="protection", optimize=True) # Murrey Math level parameters mml_const1 = DecimalParameter(1.0, 1.1, default=1.0699, decimals=4, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) mml_const2 = DecimalParameter(0.99, 1.0, default=0.99875, decimals=5, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) indicator_mml_window = IntParameter(32, 128, default=64, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) # Dynamic Stoploss parameters # Add these parameters stoploss_atr_multiplier = DecimalParameter(1.0, 3.0, default=1.5, space="sell", optimize=True) stoploss_max_reasonable = DecimalParameter(-0.30, -0.15, default=-0.20, space="sell", optimize=True) # === Hyperopt Parameters === dominance_threshold = IntParameter(1, 10, default=3, space="buy", optimize=True) tightness_factor = DecimalParameter(0.5, 2.0, default=1.0, space="buy", optimize=True) long_rsi_threshold = IntParameter(50, 65, default=50, space="buy", optimize=True) short_rsi_threshold = IntParameter(30, 45, default=35, space="sell", optimize=True) # Dynamic Leverage parameters leverage_window_size = IntParameter(20, 100, default=70, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) leverage_base = DecimalParameter(5.0, 20.0, default=5.0, decimals=1, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) leverage_rsi_low = DecimalParameter(20.0, 40.0, default=30.0, decimals=1, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) leverage_rsi_high = DecimalParameter(60.0, 80.0, default=70.0, decimals=1, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) leverage_long_increase_factor = DecimalParameter(1.1, 2.0, default=1.5, decimals=1, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) leverage_long_decrease_factor = DecimalParameter(0.3, 0.9, default=0.5, decimals=1, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) leverage_volatility_decrease_factor = DecimalParameter(0.5, 0.95, default=0.8, decimals=2, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) leverage_atr_threshold_pct = DecimalParameter(0.01, 0.05, default=0.03, decimals=3, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) # Indicator parameters indicator_extrema_order = IntParameter(3, 15, default=8, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) # War 5 indicator_mml_window = IntParameter(50, 200, default=50, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) # War 50 indicator_rolling_window_threshold = IntParameter(20, 100, default=50, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) # War 20 indicator_rolling_check_window = IntParameter(5, 20, default=10, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) # War 5 # Market breadth parameters market_breadth_enabled = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="buy", optimize=True) market_breadth_threshold = DecimalParameter(0.3, 0.6, default=0.45, space="buy", optimize=True) # Total market cap parameters total_mcap_filter_enabled = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="buy", optimize=True) total_mcap_ma_period = IntParameter(20, 100, default=50, space="buy", optimize=True) # Market regime parameters regime_filter_enabled = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="buy", optimize=True) regime_lookback_period = IntParameter(24, 168, default=48, space="buy", optimize=True) # hours # Fear & Greed parameters fear_greed_enabled = BooleanParameter(default=False, space="buy", optimize=True) # Optional fear_greed_extreme_threshold = IntParameter(20, 30, default=25, space="buy", optimize=True) fear_greed_greed_threshold = IntParameter(70, 80, default=75, space="buy", optimize=True) # Momentum avoid_strong_trends = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="buy", optimize=True) trend_strength_threshold = DecimalParameter(0.01, 0.05, default=0.02, space="buy", optimize=True) momentum_confirmation_candles = IntParameter(1, 5, default=2, space="buy", optimize=True) # Dynamic exit based on entry quality dynamic_exit_enabled = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="sell", optimize=False, load=True) exit_on_confluence_loss = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="sell", optimize=False, load=True) exit_on_structure_break = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="sell", optimize=False, load=True) # Profit target multipliers based on entry type high_quality_profit_multiplier = DecimalParameter(1.2, 3.0, default=2.0, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) medium_quality_profit_multiplier = DecimalParameter(1.0, 2.5, default=1.5, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) backup_profit_multiplier = DecimalParameter(0.8, 2.0, default=1.2, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) # Advanced exit thresholds volume_decline_exit_threshold = DecimalParameter(0.3, 0.8, default=0.5, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) momentum_decline_exit_threshold = IntParameter(1, 4, default=2, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) structure_deterioration_threshold = DecimalParameter(-3.0, 0.0, default=-1.5, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) # RSI exit levels rsi_overbought_exit = IntParameter(70, 85, default=75, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) rsi_divergence_exit_enabled = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="sell", optimize=False, load=True) # Trailing stop improvements use_advanced_trailing = BooleanParameter(default=False, space="sell", optimize=False, load=True) trailing_stop_positive_offset_high_quality = DecimalParameter(0.02, 0.08, default=0.04, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) trailing_stop_positive_offset_medium_quality = DecimalParameter(0.015, 0.06, default=0.03, space="sell", optimize=True, load=True) # === NEUE ADVANCED PARAMETERS === # Confluence Analysis confluence_enabled = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="buy", optimize=False, load=True) confluence_threshold = DecimalParameter(2.0, 4.0, default=2.5, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) # War 3.0 # Volume Analysis volume_analysis_enabled = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="buy", optimize=False, load=True) volume_strength_threshold = DecimalParameter(1.1, 2.0, default=1.3, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) volume_pressure_threshold = IntParameter(1, 3, default=1, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) # War 2 # Momentum Analysis momentum_analysis_enabled = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="buy", optimize=False, load=True) momentum_quality_threshold = IntParameter(2, 4, default=2, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) # War 3 # Market Structure Analysis structure_analysis_enabled = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="buy", optimize=False, load=True) structure_score_threshold = DecimalParameter(-2.0, 5.0, default=0.5, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) # Ultimate Score ultimate_score_threshold = DecimalParameter(0.5, 3.0, default=1.5, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) # Advanced Entry Filters require_volume_confirmation = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="buy", optimize=False, load=True) require_momentum_confirmation = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="buy", optimize=False, load=True) require_structure_confirmation = BooleanParameter(default=True, space="buy", optimize=False, load=True) # โœ… Replace your old ROI with this: minimal_roi = { "0": 0.06, "5": 0.055, "10": 0.04, "20": 0.03, "40": 0.025, "80": 0.02, "160": 0.015, "320": 0.01 } # Plot configuration for backtesting UI plot_config = { "main_plot": { # Trend indicators "ema50": {"color": "gray", "type": "line"}, # Support/Resistance "minima_sort_threshold": {"color": "#4ae747", "type": "line"}, "maxima_sort_threshold": {"color": "#5b5e4b", "type": "line"}, }, "subplots": { "extrema_analysis": { "s_extrema": {"color": "#f53580", "type": "line"}, "maxima": {"color": "#a29db9", "type": "scatter"}, "minima": {"color": "#aac7fc", "type": "scatter"}, }, "murrey_math_levels": { "[4/8]P": {"color": "blue", "type": "line"}, # 50% MML "[6/8]P": {"color": "green", "type": "line"}, # 75% MML "[2/8]P": {"color": "orange", "type": "line"}, # 25% MML "[8/8]P": {"color": "red", "type": "line"}, # 100% MML "[0/8]P": {"color": "red", "type": "line"}, # 0% MML "mmlextreme_oscillator": {"color": "purple", "type": "line"}, }, "rsi_analysis": { "rsi": {"color": "purple", "type": "line"}, "rsi_divergence_bull": {"color": "green", "type": "scatter"}, "rsi_divergence_bear": {"color": "red", "type": "scatter"}, }, "confluence_analysis": { "confluence_score": {"color": "gold", "type": "line"}, "near_support": {"color": "green", "type": "scatter"}, "near_resistance": {"color": "red", "type": "scatter"}, "near_mml": {"color": "blue", "type": "line"}, "volume_spike": {"color": "orange", "type": "scatter"}, }, "volume_analysis": { "volume_strength": {"color": "cyan", "type": "line"}, "volume_pressure": {"color": "magenta", "type": "line"}, "buying_pressure": {"color": "green", "type": "line"}, "selling_pressure": {"color": "red", "type": "line"}, "money_flow_index": {"color": "yellow", "type": "line"}, }, "momentum_analysis": { "momentum_quality": {"color": "brown", "type": "line"}, "momentum_acceleration": {"color": "pink", "type": "line"}, "momentum_consistency": {"color": "lime", "type": "line"}, "momentum_oscillator": {"color": "navy", "type": "line"}, }, "structure_analysis": { "structure_score": {"color": "teal", "type": "line"}, "bullish_structure": {"color": "green", "type": "line"}, "bearish_structure": {"color": "red", "type": "line"}, "structure_break_up": {"color": "lime", "type": "scatter"}, "structure_break_down": {"color": "crimson", "type": "scatter"}, }, "trend_strength": { "trend_strength": {"color": "indigo", "type": "line"}, "trend_strength_5": {"color": "lightblue", "type": "line"}, "trend_strength_10": {"color": "mediumblue", "type": "line"}, "trend_strength_20": {"color": "darkblue", "type": "line"}, }, "ultimate_signals": { "ultimate_score": {"color": "gold", "type": "line"}, "signal_strength": {"color": "silver", "type": "line"}, "high_quality_setup": {"color": "lime", "type": "scatter"}, "entry_type": {"color": "white", "type": "line"}, }, "market_conditions": { "strong_uptrend": {"color": "green", "type": "scatter"}, "strong_downtrend": {"color": "red", "type": "scatter"}, "ranging": {"color": "yellow", "type": "scatter"}, "strong_up_momentum": {"color": "lime", "type": "scatter"}, "strong_down_momentum": {"color": "crimson", "type": "scatter"}, }, "di_analysis": { "DI_values": {"color": "orange", "type": "line"}, "DI_catch": {"color": "red", "type": "scatter"}, "plus_di": {"color": "green", "type": "line"}, "minus_di": {"color": "red", "type": "line"}, } }, } # Helper method to check if we have an active position in the opposite direction def has_active_trade(self, pair: str, side: str) -> bool: """ Check if there's an active trade in the specified direction """ try: trades = Trade.get_open_trades() for trade in trades: if trade.pair == pair: if side == "long" and not trade.is_short: return True elif side == "short" and trade.is_short: return True except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"Error checking active trades for {pair}: {e}") return False @staticmethod def _calculate_mml_core(mn: float, finalH: float, mx: float, finalL: float, mml_c1: float, mml_c2: float) -> Dict[str, float]: dmml_calc = ((finalH - finalL) / 8.0) * mml_c1 if dmml_calc == 0 or np.isinf(dmml_calc) or np.isnan(dmml_calc) or finalH == finalL: return {key: finalL for key in MML_LEVEL_NAMES} mml_val = (mx * mml_c2) + (dmml_calc * 3) if np.isinf(mml_val) or np.isnan(mml_val): return {key: finalL for key in MML_LEVEL_NAMES} ml = [mml_val - (dmml_calc * i) for i in range(16)] return { "[-3/8]P": ml[14], "[-2/8]P": ml[13], "[-1/8]P": ml[12], "[0/8]P": ml[11], "[1/8]P": ml[10], "[2/8]P": ml[9], "[3/8]P": ml[8], "[4/8]P": ml[7], "[5/8]P": ml[6], "[6/8]P": ml[5], "[7/8]P": ml[4], "[8/8]P": ml[3], "[+1/8]P": ml[2], "[+2/8]P": ml[1], "[+3/8]P": ml[0], } def calculate_rolling_murrey_math_levels_optimized(self, df: pd.DataFrame, window_size: int) -> Dict[str, pd.Series]: """ OPTIMIZED Version - Calculate MML levels every 5 candles using only past data """ murrey_levels_data: Dict[str, list] = {key: [np.nan] * len(df) for key in MML_LEVEL_NAMES} mml_c1 = self.mml_const1.value mml_c2 = self.mml_const2.value calculation_step = 5 for i in range(0, len(df), calculation_step): if i < window_size: continue # Use data up to the previous candle for the rolling window window_end = i - 1 window_start = window_end - window_size + 1 if window_start < 0: window_start = 0 window_data = df.iloc[window_start:window_end] mn_period = window_data["low"].min() mx_period = window_data["high"].max() current_close = df["close"].iloc[window_end] if window_end > 0 else df["close"].iloc[0] if pd.isna(mn_period) or pd.isna(mx_period) or mn_period == mx_period: for key in MML_LEVEL_NAMES: murrey_levels_data[key][window_end] = current_close continue levels = self._calculate_mml_core(mn_period, mx_period, mx_period, mn_period, mml_c1, mml_c2) for key in MML_LEVEL_NAMES: murrey_levels_data[key][window_end] = levels.get(key, current_close) # Interpolate using only past data up to each point for key in MML_LEVEL_NAMES: series = pd.Series(murrey_levels_data[key], index=df.index) # Interpolate forward only up to the current point, avoiding future data series = series.expanding().mean().ffill() # Use expanding mean as a safe alternative murrey_levels_data[key] = series.tolist() return {key: pd.Series(data, index=df.index) for key, data in murrey_levels_data.items()} def calculate_synthetic_market_breadth(self, dataframe: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.Series: """ Calculate synthetic market breadth using technical indicators Simulates market sentiment based on multiple factors """ try: # RSI component (30% weight) rsi_component = (dataframe['rsi'] - 50) / 50 # Normalize to -1 to 1 # Volume component (25% weight) volume_ma = dataframe['volume'].rolling(20).mean() volume_component = (dataframe['volume'] / volume_ma - 1).clip(-1, 1) # Momentum component (25% weight) momentum_3 = dataframe['close'].pct_change(3) momentum_component = np.tanh(momentum_3 * 100) # Smooth normalization # Volatility component (20% weight) - inverted (lower vol = higher breadth) atr_normalized = dataframe['atr'] / dataframe['close'] atr_ma = atr_normalized.rolling(20).mean() volatility_component = -(atr_normalized / atr_ma - 1).clip(-1, 1) # Combine components with weights synthetic_breadth = ( rsi_component * 0.30 + volume_component * 0.25 + momentum_component * 0.25 + volatility_component * 0.20 ) # Normalize to 0-1 range (market breadth percentage) synthetic_breadth = (synthetic_breadth + 1) / 2 # Smooth with rolling average synthetic_breadth = synthetic_breadth.rolling(3).mean() return synthetic_breadth.fillna(0.5) except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"Synthetic market breadth calculation failed: {e}") return pd.Series(0.5, index=dataframe.index) def calculate_trend_strength(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: """ Calculate trend strength to avoid entering against strong trends """ # Linear regression slope def calc_slope(series, period=10): """Calculate linear regression slope""" if len(series) < period: return 0 x = np.arange(period) y = series.iloc[-period:].values if np.isnan(y).any(): return 0 slope = np.polyfit(x, y, 1)[0] return slope # Calculate trend strength using multiple timeframes df['slope_5'] = df['close'].rolling(5).apply(lambda x: calc_slope(x, 5), raw=False) df['slope_10'] = df['close'].rolling(10).apply(lambda x: calc_slope(x, 10), raw=False) df['slope_20'] = df['close'].rolling(20).apply(lambda x: calc_slope(x, 20), raw=False) # Normalize slopes by price df['trend_strength_5'] = df['slope_5'] / df['close'] * 100 df['trend_strength_10'] = df['slope_10'] / df['close'] * 100 df['trend_strength_20'] = df['slope_20'] / df['close'] * 100 # Combined trend strength df['trend_strength'] = (df['trend_strength_5'] + df['trend_strength_10'] + df['trend_strength_20']) / 3 # Trend classification strong_up_threshold = self.trend_strength_threshold.value strong_down_threshold = -self.trend_strength_threshold.value df['strong_uptrend'] = df['trend_strength'] > strong_up_threshold df['strong_downtrend'] = df['trend_strength'] < strong_down_threshold df['ranging'] = (df['trend_strength'].abs() < strong_up_threshold * 0.5) return df @property def protections(self): prot = [{"method": "CooldownPeriod", "stop_duration_candles": self.cooldown_lookback.value}] if self.use_stop_protection.value: prot.append({ "method": "StoplossGuard", "lookback_period_candles": 72, "trade_limit": 2, "stop_duration_candles": self.stop_duration.value, "only_per_pair": False, }) return prot def informative_pairs(self): """ Define additional pairs for correlation analysis """ pairs = [] # Add BTC for correlation analysis (if not already trading BTC) if self.timeframe: pairs.append(("BTC/USDT:USDT", self.timeframe)) # Add major market indicators pairs.extend([ ("BTC/USDT:USDT", self.timeframe), ("ETH/USDT:USDT", self.timeframe), ("BNB/USDT:USDT", self.timeframe), ]) return pairs def custom_stoploss(self, pair: str, trade: Trade, current_time: datetime, current_rate: float, current_profit: float, **kwargs) -> float: dataframe, _ = self.dp.get_analyzed_dataframe(pair=pair, timeframe=self.timeframe) if dataframe.empty or 'atr' not in dataframe.columns: return self.stoploss # Use strategy stoploss (-0.15) as fallback atr = dataframe["atr"].iat[-1] if pd.isna(atr) or atr <= 0: return self.stoploss # Fallback to -0.15 atr_percent = atr / current_rate # Profit-based multiplier adjustment if current_profit > 0.15: multiplier = 1.0 elif current_profit > 0.08: multiplier = 1.2 elif current_profit > 0.03: multiplier = 1.4 else: multiplier = 1.6 calculated_stoploss = -(atr_percent * multiplier * self.atr_stoploss_multiplier.value) # Initialize trailing_offset trailing_offset = 0.0 # Enhanced trailing logic with multiple profit levels if current_profit > 0.01: # Start trailing at 1% profit instead of 3% if current_profit > self.trailing_stop_positive_offset: # 0.03 (3% profit) # Full trailing at 3%+ profit trailing_offset = max(0, current_profit - self.trailing_stop_positive) # Trail 0.5% below peak elif current_profit > 0.02: # 2% profit # Moderate trailing at 2-3% profit trailing_offset = max(0, current_profit - 0.01) # Trail 1% below peak else: # 1-2% profit # Minimal trailing at 1-2% profit trailing_offset = max(0, current_profit - 0.015) # Trail 1.5% below peak # Apply trailing adjustment to calculated stoploss if trailing_offset > 0: calculated_stoploss = min(calculated_stoploss, -trailing_offset) # Trail up in profit final_stoploss = max( min(calculated_stoploss, self.atr_stoploss_ceiling.value), self.atr_stoploss_maximum.value ) logger.info(f"{pair} Custom SL: {final_stoploss:.3f} | ATR: {atr:.6f} | " f"Profit: {current_profit:.3f} | Trailing: {trailing_offset:.3f}") return final_stoploss def leverage(self, pair: str, current_time: datetime, current_rate: float, proposed_leverage: float, max_leverage: float, side: str, **kwargs) -> float: window_size = self.leverage_window_size.value dataframe, _ = self.dp.get_analyzed_dataframe(pair=pair, timeframe=self.timeframe) if len(dataframe) < window_size: logger.warning( f"{pair} Not enough data ({len(dataframe)} candles) to calculate dynamic leverage (requires {window_size}). Using proposed: {proposed_leverage}") return proposed_leverage close_prices_series = dataframe["close"].tail(window_size) high_prices_series = dataframe["high"].tail(window_size) low_prices_series = dataframe["low"].tail(window_size) base_leverage = self.leverage_base.value rsi_array = ta.RSI(close_prices_series, timeperiod=14) atr_array = ta.ATR(high_prices_series, low_prices_series, close_prices_series, timeperiod=14) sma_array = ta.SMA(close_prices_series, timeperiod=20) macd_output = ta.MACD(close_prices_series, fastperiod=12, slowperiod=26, signalperiod=9) current_rsi = rsi_array[-1] if rsi_array.size > 0 and not np.isnan(rsi_array[-1]) else 50.0 current_atr = atr_array[-1] if atr_array.size > 0 and not np.isnan(atr_array[-1]) else 0.0 current_sma = sma_array[-1] if sma_array.size > 0 and not np.isnan(sma_array[-1]) else current_rate current_macd_hist = 0.0 if isinstance(macd_output, pd.DataFrame): if not macd_output.empty and 'macdhist' in macd_output.columns: valid_macdhist_series = macd_output['macdhist'].dropna() if not valid_macdhist_series.empty: current_macd_hist = valid_macdhist_series.iloc[-1] # Apply rules based on indicators if side == "long": if current_rsi < self.leverage_rsi_low.value: base_leverage *= self.leverage_long_increase_factor.value elif current_rsi > self.leverage_rsi_high.value: base_leverage *= self.leverage_long_decrease_factor.value if current_atr > 0 and current_rate > 0: if (current_atr / current_rate) > self.leverage_atr_threshold_pct.value: base_leverage *= self.leverage_volatility_decrease_factor.value if current_macd_hist > 0: base_leverage *= self.leverage_long_increase_factor.value if current_sma > 0 and current_rate < current_sma: base_leverage *= self.leverage_long_decrease_factor.value adjusted_leverage = round(max(1.0, min(base_leverage, max_leverage)), 2) logger.info( f"{pair} Dynamic Leverage: {adjusted_leverage:.2f} (Base: {base_leverage:.2f}, RSI: {current_rsi:.2f}, " f"ATR: {current_atr:.4f}, MACD Hist: {current_macd_hist:.4f}, SMA: {current_sma:.4f})") return adjusted_leverage def populate_indicators(self, dataframe: pd.DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> pd.DataFrame: """ ULTIMATE indicator calculations with advanced market analysis """ # === EXTERNAL DATA INTEGRATION === try: # Add BTC data for correlation analysis using informative pairs if metadata['pair'] != 'BTC/USDT:USDT': btc_info = self.dp.get_pair_dataframe('BTC/USDT:USDT', self.timeframe) if not btc_info.empty and len(btc_info) >= len(dataframe): # Take only the last N rows to match our dataframe length btc_close_data = btc_info['close'].tail(len(dataframe)).reset_index(drop=True) dataframe['btc_close'] = btc_close_data.values logger.info(f"{metadata['pair']} BTC correlation data added successfully") else: # Fallback: use current pair data dataframe['btc_close'] = dataframe['close'] logger.warning(f"{metadata['pair']} BTC data unavailable, using pair data as fallback") else: # For BTC pairs, use own data dataframe['btc_close'] = dataframe['close'] except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"{metadata['pair']} BTC data integration failed: {e}") dataframe['btc_close'] = dataframe['close'] # Safe fallback # === STANDARD INDICATORS === dataframe["ema50"] = ta.EMA(dataframe["close"], timeperiod=50) dataframe["ema100"] = ta.EMA(dataframe["close"], timeperiod=100) # Neu hinzufรƒยผgen dataframe["rsi"] = ta.RSI(dataframe["close"]) dataframe["atr"] = ta.ATR(dataframe["high"], dataframe["low"], dataframe["close"], timeperiod=10) # === SYNTHETIC MARKET BREADTH CALCULATION === try: # Calculate synthetic market breadth using multiple indicators # (after RSI and ATR are available) dataframe['market_breadth'] = self.calculate_synthetic_market_breadth(dataframe) logger.info(f"{metadata['pair']} Synthetic market breadth calculated") except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"{metadata['pair']} Market breadth calculation failed: {e}") dataframe['market_breadth'] = 0.5 # Neutral fallback dataframe["plus_di"] = ta.PLUS_DI(dataframe) dataframe["minus_di"] = ta.MINUS_DI(dataframe) dataframe["DI_values"] = dataframe["plus_di"] - dataframe["minus_di"] dataframe["DI_cutoff"] = 0 # === EXTREMA DETECTION === extrema_order = self.indicator_extrema_order.value dataframe["maxima"] = ( dataframe["close"] == dataframe["close"].shift(1).rolling(window=extrema_order).max() ).astype(int) dataframe["minima"] = ( dataframe["close"] == dataframe["close"].shift(1).rolling(window=extrema_order).min() ).astype(int) dataframe["s_extrema"] = 0 dataframe.loc[dataframe["minima"] == 1, "s_extrema"] = -1 dataframe.loc[dataframe["maxima"] == 1, "s_extrema"] = 1 # === HEIKIN-ASHI === dataframe["ha_close"] = (dataframe["open"] + dataframe["high"] + dataframe["low"] + dataframe["close"]) / 4 # === ROLLING EXTREMA === dataframe["minh2"], dataframe["maxh2"] = calculate_minima_maxima(dataframe, self.h2.value) dataframe["minh1"], dataframe["maxh1"] = calculate_minima_maxima(dataframe, self.h1.value) dataframe["minh0"], dataframe["maxh0"] = calculate_minima_maxima(dataframe, self.h0.value) dataframe["mincp"], dataframe["maxcp"] = calculate_minima_maxima(dataframe, self.cp.value) # === MURREY MATH LEVELS === mml_window = self.indicator_mml_window.value murrey_levels = self.calculate_rolling_murrey_math_levels_optimized(dataframe, window_size=mml_window) for level_name in MML_LEVEL_NAMES: if level_name in murrey_levels: dataframe[level_name] = murrey_levels[level_name] else: dataframe[level_name] = dataframe["close"] # === MML OSCILLATOR === mml_4_8 = dataframe.get("[4/8]P") mml_plus_3_8 = dataframe.get("[+3/8]P") mml_minus_3_8 = dataframe.get("[-3/8]P") if mml_4_8 is not None and mml_plus_3_8 is not None and mml_minus_3_8 is not None: osc_denominator = (mml_plus_3_8 - mml_minus_3_8).replace(0, np.nan) dataframe["mmlextreme_oscillator"] = 100 * ((dataframe["close"] - mml_4_8) / osc_denominator) else: dataframe["mmlextreme_oscillator"] = np.nan # === DI CATCH === dataframe["DI_catch"] = np.where(dataframe["DI_values"] > dataframe["DI_cutoff"], 0, 1) # === ROLLING THRESHOLDS === rolling_window_threshold = self.indicator_rolling_window_threshold.value dataframe["minima_sort_threshold"] = dataframe["close"].rolling( window=rolling_window_threshold, min_periods=1 ).min() dataframe["maxima_sort_threshold"] = dataframe["close"].rolling( window=rolling_window_threshold, min_periods=1 ).max() # === EXTREMA CHECKS === rolling_check_window = self.indicator_rolling_check_window.value dataframe["minima_check"] = ( dataframe["minima"].rolling(window=rolling_check_window, min_periods=1).sum() == 0 ).astype(int) dataframe["maxima_check"] = ( dataframe["maxima"].rolling(window=rolling_check_window, min_periods=1).sum() == 0 ).astype(int) # === VOLATILITY INDICATORS === dataframe["volatility_range"] = dataframe["high"] - dataframe["low"] dataframe["avg_volatility"] = dataframe["volatility_range"].rolling(window=50).mean() dataframe["avg_volume"] = dataframe["volume"].rolling(window=50).mean() # === TREND STRENGTH INDICATORS === # Use enhanced Wavelet+FFT method with fallback try: # Advanced wavelet & FFT method dataframe = calculate_advanced_trend_strength_with_wavelets(dataframe) # Use advanced trend strength as primary dataframe['trend_strength'] = dataframe['trend_strength_cycle_adjusted'] dataframe['strong_uptrend'] = dataframe['strong_uptrend_advanced'] dataframe['strong_downtrend'] = dataframe['strong_downtrend_advanced'] dataframe['ranging'] = dataframe['ranging_advanced'] logger.info(f"{metadata['pair']} Using advanced Wavelet+FFT trend analysis") except Exception as e: # Fallback to original enhanced method if advanced fails logger.warning( f"{metadata['pair']} Wavelet/FFT analysis failed: {e}. " "Using enhanced method." ) def calc_slope(series, period): """Enhanced slope calculation as fallback""" if len(series) < period: return 0 y = series.values[-period:] if np.isnan(y).any() or np.isinf(y).any(): return 0 if np.all(y == y[0]): return 0 x = np.linspace(0, period-1, period) try: coefficients = np.polyfit(x, y, 1) slope = coefficients[0] if np.isnan(slope) or np.isinf(slope): return 0 max_reasonable_slope = np.std(y) / period if abs(slope) > max_reasonable_slope * 10: return np.sign(slope) * max_reasonable_slope * 10 return slope except Exception: try: simple_slope = (y[-1] - y[0]) / (period - 1) return (simple_slope if not (np.isnan(simple_slope) or np.isinf(simple_slope)) else 0) except Exception: return 0 # Original slope calculations dataframe['slope_5'] = dataframe['close'].rolling(5).apply( lambda x: calc_slope(x, 5), raw=False ) dataframe['slope_10'] = dataframe['close'].rolling(10).apply( lambda x: calc_slope(x, 10), raw=False ) dataframe['slope_20'] = dataframe['close'].rolling(20).apply( lambda x: calc_slope(x, 20), raw=False ) dataframe['trend_strength_5'] = dataframe['slope_5'] / dataframe['close'] * 100 dataframe['trend_strength_10'] = dataframe['slope_10'] / dataframe['close'] * 100 dataframe['trend_strength_20'] = dataframe['slope_20'] / dataframe['close'] * 100 dataframe['trend_strength'] = ( dataframe['trend_strength_5'] + dataframe['trend_strength_10'] + dataframe['trend_strength_20'] ) / 3 strong_threshold = 0.02 dataframe['strong_uptrend'] = dataframe['trend_strength'] > strong_threshold dataframe['strong_downtrend'] = dataframe['trend_strength'] < -strong_threshold dataframe['ranging'] = dataframe['trend_strength'].abs() < (strong_threshold * 0.5) # === MOMENTUM INDICATORS === dataframe['price_momentum'] = dataframe['close'].pct_change(3) dataframe['momentum_increasing'] = ( dataframe['price_momentum'] > dataframe['price_momentum'].shift(1) ) dataframe['momentum_decreasing'] = ( dataframe['price_momentum'] < dataframe['price_momentum'].shift(1) ) dataframe['volume_momentum'] = ( dataframe['volume'].rolling(3).mean() / dataframe['volume'].rolling(20).mean() ) dataframe['rsi_divergence_bull'] = ( (dataframe['close'] < dataframe['close'].shift(5)) & (dataframe['rsi'] > dataframe['rsi'].shift(5)) ) dataframe['rsi_divergence_bear'] = ( (dataframe['close'] > dataframe['close'].shift(5)) & (dataframe['rsi'] < dataframe['rsi'].shift(5)) ) # === CANDLE PATTERNS === dataframe['green_candle'] = dataframe['close'] > dataframe['open'] dataframe['red_candle'] = dataframe['close'] < dataframe['open'] dataframe['consecutive_green'] = dataframe['green_candle'].rolling(3).sum() dataframe['consecutive_red'] = dataframe['red_candle'].rolling(3).sum() # Define strong_threshold for momentum calculations strong_threshold = 0.02 dataframe['strong_up_momentum'] = ( (dataframe['consecutive_green'] >= 3) & (dataframe['volume'] > dataframe['avg_volume']) & (dataframe['trend_strength'] > strong_threshold) ) dataframe['strong_down_momentum'] = ( (dataframe['consecutive_red'] >= 3) & (dataframe['volume'] > dataframe['avg_volume']) & (dataframe['trend_strength'] < -strong_threshold) ) # === ADVANCED ANALYSIS MODULES === # 1. CONFLUENCE ANALYSIS if self.confluence_enabled.value: dataframe = calculate_confluence_score(dataframe) else: dataframe['confluence_score'] = 0 # 2. SMART VOLUME ANALYSIS if self.volume_analysis_enabled.value: dataframe = calculate_smart_volume(dataframe) else: dataframe['volume_pressure'] = 0 dataframe['volume_strength'] = 1.0 dataframe['money_flow_index'] = 50 # 3. ADVANCED MOMENTUM if self.momentum_analysis_enabled.value: dataframe = calculate_advanced_momentum(dataframe) else: dataframe['momentum_quality'] = 0 dataframe['momentum_acceleration'] = 0 # 4. MARKET STRUCTURE if self.structure_analysis_enabled.value: dataframe = calculate_market_structure(dataframe) else: dataframe['structure_score'] = 0 dataframe['structure_break_up'] = 0 # 5. ADVANCED ENTRY SIGNALS dataframe = calculate_advanced_entry_signals(dataframe) # === ULTIMATE MARKET SCORE === dataframe['ultimate_score'] = ( dataframe['confluence_score'] * 0.25 + # 25% confluence dataframe['volume_pressure'] * 0.2 + # 20% volume pressure dataframe['momentum_quality'] * 0.2 + # 20% momentum quality (dataframe['structure_score'] / 5) * 0.15 + # 15% structure (normalized) (dataframe['signal_strength'] / 10) * 0.2 # 20% signal strength ) if self.regime_change_enabled.value: # =========================================== # FLASH MOVE DETECTION # =========================================== flash_candles = self.flash_move_candles.value flash_threshold = self.flash_move_threshold.value # Schnelle Preisbewegungen dataframe['price_change_fast'] = dataframe['close'].pct_change(flash_candles) dataframe['flash_pump'] = dataframe['price_change_fast'] > flash_threshold dataframe['flash_dump'] = dataframe['price_change_fast'] < -flash_threshold dataframe['flash_move'] = dataframe['flash_pump'] | dataframe['flash_dump'] # =========================================== # VOLUME SPIKE DETECTION # =========================================== volume_ma20 = dataframe['volume'].rolling(20).mean() volume_multiplier = self.volume_spike_multiplier.value dataframe['volume_spike'] = dataframe['volume'] > (volume_ma20 * volume_multiplier) # Volume + Bewegung kombiniert dataframe['volume_pump'] = dataframe['volume_spike'] & dataframe['flash_pump'] dataframe['volume_dump'] = dataframe['volume_spike'] & dataframe['flash_dump'] # =========================================== # MARKET SENTIMENT DETECTION # =========================================== # Market Breadth Change (falls vorhanden) if 'market_breadth' in dataframe.columns: dataframe['market_breadth_change'] = dataframe['market_breadth'].diff(3) sentiment_threshold = self.sentiment_shift_threshold.value dataframe['sentiment_shift_bull'] = dataframe['market_breadth_change'] > sentiment_threshold dataframe['sentiment_shift_bear'] = dataframe['market_breadth_change'] < -sentiment_threshold else: dataframe['sentiment_shift_bull'] = False dataframe['sentiment_shift_bear'] = False # =========================================== # BTC CORRELATION MONITORING # =========================================== # BTC Flash Moves (falls BTC Daten vorhanden) if 'btc_close' in dataframe.columns: dataframe['btc_change_fast'] = dataframe['btc_close'].pct_change(flash_candles) dataframe['btc_flash_pump'] = dataframe['btc_change_fast'] > flash_threshold dataframe['btc_flash_dump'] = dataframe['btc_change_fast'] < -flash_threshold # Correlation Break: BTC bewegt sich stark, Coin nicht pair_movement = dataframe['price_change_fast'].abs() btc_movement = dataframe['btc_change_fast'].abs() dataframe['correlation_break'] = (btc_movement > flash_threshold) & (pair_movement < flash_threshold * 0.4) else: dataframe['btc_flash_pump'] = False dataframe['btc_flash_dump'] = False dataframe['correlation_break'] = False # =========================================== # REGIME CHANGE SCORE # =========================================== # Kombiniere alle Signale regime_signals = [ 'flash_move', 'volume_spike', 'sentiment_shift_bull', 'sentiment_shift_bear', 'btc_flash_pump', 'btc_flash_dump', 'correlation_break' ] dataframe['regime_change_score'] = 0 for signal in regime_signals: if signal in dataframe.columns: dataframe['regime_change_score'] += dataframe[signal].astype(int) # Normalisiere auf 0-1 max_signals = len(regime_signals) dataframe['regime_change_intensity'] = dataframe['regime_change_score'] / max_signals # Alert Level sensitivity = self.regime_change_sensitivity.value dataframe['regime_alert'] = dataframe['regime_change_intensity'] >= sensitivity else: # Falls Regime Detection deaktiviert dataframe['flash_pump'] = False dataframe['flash_dump'] = False dataframe['volume_pump'] = False dataframe['volume_dump'] = False dataframe['regime_alert'] = False dataframe['regime_change_intensity'] = 0.0 # === ADVANCED PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS === try: pair = metadata.get('pair', 'UNKNOWN') dataframe = calculate_advanced_predictive_signals(dataframe, pair) dataframe = calculate_quantum_momentum_analysis(dataframe) dataframe = calculate_neural_pattern_recognition(dataframe) logger.info(f"{pair} Advanced predictive analysis completed") except Exception as e: logger.warning(f"Advanced predictive analysis failed: {e}") dataframe['ml_entry_probability'] = 0.5 dataframe['ml_enhanced_score'] = dataframe.get('ultimate_score', 0.5) dataframe['ml_high_confidence'] = 0 dataframe['quantum_momentum_coherence'] = 0.5 dataframe['momentum_entanglement'] = 0.5 dataframe['quantum_tunnel_up_prob'] = 0.5 dataframe['neural_pattern_score'] = 0.5 return dataframe def populate_entry_trend(self, dataframe: pd.DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> pd.DataFrame: """ ULTIMATE ENTRY LOGIC - Multi-factor confluence system """ # =========================================== # INITIALIZE ENTRY COLUMNS # =========================================== dataframe["enter_long"] = 0 dataframe["enter_short"] = 0 dataframe["enter_tag"] = "" # === CORE CONDITIONS (must all be true) === core_conditions = ( # Basic trend and momentum (dataframe['close'] > dataframe['ema50']) & (dataframe['rsi'] > 25) & (dataframe['rsi'] < 75) & (dataframe['trend_strength'] > -0.02) & # Not in strong downtrend # Volume confirmation (dataframe['volume'] > dataframe['avg_volume'] * 0.7) & # Minimum volume # No recent distribution (dataframe['selling_pressure'] <= 4) ) # === ADVANCED CONDITIONS (weighted scoring) === # 1. CONFLUENCE CONDITIONS confluence_conditions = ( (dataframe['confluence_score'] >= self.confluence_threshold.value) | ( (dataframe['confluence_score'] >= (self.confluence_threshold.value - 1)) & (dataframe['near_support'] == 1) & (dataframe['volume_spike'] == 1) ) ) # 2. VOLUME CONDITIONS volume_conditions = ( (dataframe['volume_pressure'] >= self.volume_pressure_threshold.value) & (dataframe['volume_strength'] > self.volume_strength_threshold.value) & (dataframe['money_flow_index'] > 45) ) if self.require_volume_confirmation.value else True # 3. MOMENTUM CONDITIONS momentum_conditions = ( (dataframe['momentum_quality'] >= self.momentum_quality_threshold.value) & (dataframe['momentum_acceleration'] > -0.01) & (dataframe['momentum_consistency'] >= 2) ) if self.require_momentum_confirmation.value else True # 4. STRUCTURE CONDITIONS structure_conditions = ( (dataframe['structure_score'] >= self.structure_score_threshold.value) & (dataframe['bullish_structure'] > dataframe['bearish_structure']) ) if self.require_structure_confirmation.value else True # === ORIGINAL EXTREMA CONDITIONS === extrema_conditions = ( # Minima conditions ( (dataframe["minima"] == 1) & (dataframe["minima_check"] == 1) & (dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["minima_sort_threshold"] * 1.02) & (dataframe["DI_catch"] == 1) ) | # Alternative: MML level conditions ( (dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["[0/8]P"] * 1.01) | (dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["[2/8]P"] * 1.01) | (dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["[4/8]P"] * 1.01) ) | # Rolling extrema conditions ( (dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["minh2"] * 1.015) | (dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["minh1"] * 1.015) | (dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["minh0"] * 1.015) ) ) # === QUALITY FILTERS === quality_filters = ( # Ultimate score threshold (dataframe['ultimate_score'] > self.ultimate_score_threshold.value) & # Signal strength (dataframe['signal_strength'] >= 5) & # No extreme RSI (dataframe['rsi'] < 80) & # Positive momentum (dataframe['price_momentum'] > -0.02) & # Volume not declining (dataframe['volume_trend'] == 1) | (dataframe['volume_strength'] > 1.1) ) # === RISK MANAGEMENT CONDITIONS === risk_conditions = ( # No consecutive red candles (dataframe['consecutive_red'] <= 2) & # ATR not too high (volatility control) (dataframe['atr'] < dataframe['close'] * 0.05) & # Max 5% ATR # No strong bearish momentum (dataframe['strong_down_momentum'] == 0) & # RSI divergence protection (dataframe['rsi_divergence_bear'] == 0) ) # === MARKET REGIME ADAPTATIONS === # In ranging markets, require stronger confluence ranging_market_adjustment = ( (~dataframe['ranging']) | # Not ranging, OR (dataframe['confluence_score'] >= (self.confluence_threshold.value + 1)) # Higher confluence if ranging ) # In strong trends, allow more aggressive entries trend_market_adjustment = ( (~dataframe['strong_uptrend']) | # Not in strong uptrend, OR (dataframe['volume_pressure'] >= 1) # Lower volume requirement in strong trends ) # === FINAL ENTRY CONDITION COMBINATIONS === # HIGH QUALITY ENTRIES (all advanced filters) high_quality_entry = ( core_conditions & confluence_conditions & volume_conditions & momentum_conditions & structure_conditions & extrema_conditions & quality_filters & risk_conditions & ranging_market_adjustment & trend_market_adjustment ) # MEDIUM QUALITY ENTRIES (relaxed requirements) medium_quality_entry = ( core_conditions & extrema_conditions & ( # Either strong confluence OR strong momentum OR strong volume confluence_conditions | (dataframe['momentum_quality'] >= 4) | (dataframe['volume_pressure'] >= 3) ) & # Basic quality filters (dataframe['ultimate_score'] > (self.ultimate_score_threshold.value * 0.7)) & (dataframe['signal_strength'] >= 3) & risk_conditions ) # BACKUP ENTRIES (original logic only) backup_entry = ( core_conditions & extrema_conditions & (dataframe['volume'] > dataframe['avg_volume']) & (dataframe['trend_strength'] > 0) ) # === ADDITIONAL ENTRY SIGNALS FOR SPECIFIC SCENARIOS === # Momentum breakout entries momentum_breakout = ( (dataframe['structure_break_up'] == 1) & (dataframe['volume_strength'] > 1.5) & (dataframe['momentum_quality'] >= 4) & (dataframe['close'] > dataframe['ema50']) & (dataframe['rsi'] < 75) & risk_conditions ) # Volume spike reversals volume_reversal = ( (dataframe['volume_spike'] == 1) & (dataframe['rsi_oversold'] == 1) & (dataframe['near_support'] == 1) & (dataframe['buying_pressure'] >= 2) & (dataframe['close'] > dataframe['open']) & # Green candle risk_conditions ) # === SHORT LOGIC === # CORE SHORT CONDITIONS (mirror of long) core_short_conditions = ( (dataframe['close'] < dataframe['ema50']) & # Below EMA (dataframe['rsi'] > 30) & (dataframe['rsi'] < 70) & # Not extreme (dataframe['trend_strength'] < 0.01) & # Downtrend or neutral (dataframe['volume'] > dataframe['avg_volume'] * 0.8) & (dataframe['buying_pressure'] <= 3) # Not too much buying ) # SHORT CONFLUENCE (inverted) short_confluence_conditions = ( (dataframe['confluence_score'] >= self.confluence_threshold.value) | ( (dataframe['confluence_score'] >= (self.confluence_threshold.value - 1)) & (dataframe['near_resistance'] == 1) & # Near resistance for SHORT (dataframe['volume_spike'] == 1) ) ) # SHORT VOLUME CONDITIONS short_volume_conditions = ( (dataframe['volume_pressure'] <= -self.volume_pressure_threshold.value) & # Negative pressure (dataframe['volume_strength'] > self.volume_strength_threshold.value) & (dataframe['money_flow_index'] < 55) # Money flowing out ) if self.require_volume_confirmation.value else True # SHORT MOMENTUM CONDITIONS short_momentum_conditions = ( (dataframe['momentum_quality'] <= -2) & # Negative momentum quality (dataframe['momentum_acceleration'] < 0.01) & # Decelerating (dataframe['momentum_consistency'] <= 1) # Inconsistent upward momentum ) if self.require_momentum_confirmation.value else True # SHORT STRUCTURE CONDITIONS short_structure_conditions = ( (dataframe['structure_score'] <= -self.structure_score_threshold.value) & # Negative structure (dataframe['bearish_structure'] > dataframe['bullish_structure']) # More bearish signals ) if self.require_structure_confirmation.value else True # SHORT EXTREMA CONDITIONS (inverted) short_extrema_conditions = ( # Maxima conditions (resistance for shorts) ( (dataframe["maxima"] == 1) & (dataframe["maxima_check"] == 1) & (dataframe["close"] >= dataframe["maxima_sort_threshold"] * 0.98) & (dataframe["DI_catch"] == 1) ) | # MML resistance levels ( (dataframe["close"] >= dataframe["[6/8]P"] * 0.99) | (dataframe["close"] >= dataframe["[8/8]P"] * 0.99) | (dataframe["close"] >= dataframe["[+1/8]P"] * 0.99) ) | # Rolling maxima ( (dataframe["close"] >= dataframe["maxh2"] * 0.985) | (dataframe["close"] >= dataframe["maxh1"] * 0.985) | (dataframe["close"] >= dataframe["maxh0"] * 0.985) ) ) # SHORT QUALITY FILTERS short_quality_filters = ( (dataframe['ultimate_score'] < (1 - self.ultimate_score_threshold.value)) & # Low score for shorts (dataframe['signal_strength'] <= -3) & # Negative signal strength (dataframe['rsi'] > 20) & # Not oversold (dataframe['price_momentum'] < 0.02) & # Negative momentum (dataframe['volume_trend'] == 0) | # Volume declining (dataframe['volume_strength'] < 0.9) # Weak volume ) # SHORT RISK CONDITIONS short_risk_conditions = ( (dataframe['consecutive_green'] <= 2) & # Not too many green candles (dataframe['atr'] < dataframe['close'] * 0.05) & # Volatility control (dataframe['strong_up_momentum'] == 0) & # No strong bullish momentum (dataframe['rsi_divergence_bull'] == 0) # No bullish divergence ) # === SHORT ENTRY COMBINATIONS === # HIGH QUALITY SHORT ENTRIES high_quality_short = ( core_short_conditions & short_confluence_conditions & short_volume_conditions & short_momentum_conditions & short_structure_conditions & short_extrema_conditions & short_quality_filters & short_risk_conditions ) # MEDIUM QUALITY SHORT ENTRIES medium_quality_short = ( core_short_conditions & short_extrema_conditions & ( short_confluence_conditions | (dataframe['momentum_quality'] <= -3) | (dataframe['volume_pressure'] <= -3) ) & short_risk_conditions & ~( (dataframe['close'] > dataframe['ema50']) | # Exclude if above EMA50 (long condition) (dataframe['trend_strength'] > 0.01) | # Exclude if in uptrend (dataframe['rsi'] < 30) | # Exclude if oversold (long bias) (dataframe['ultimate_score'] > self.ultimate_score_threshold.value) # Exclude high-quality long setups ) ) # === ENTRY PRIORITY SYSTEM === # Initialize entry type column dataframe['entry_type'] = 0 # === APPLY LONG ENTRIES === # HIGH QUALITY LONG dataframe.loc[high_quality_entry, "enter_long"] = 1 dataframe.loc[high_quality_entry, 'entry_type'] = 3 dataframe.loc[high_quality_entry, "enter_tag"] = "high_quality_long" # MEDIUM QUALITY LONG dataframe.loc[medium_quality_entry & ~high_quality_entry, "enter_long"] = 1 dataframe.loc[medium_quality_entry & ~high_quality_entry, 'entry_type'] = 2 dataframe.loc[medium_quality_entry & ~high_quality_entry, "enter_tag"] = "medium_quality_long" # BACKUP LONG dataframe.loc[backup_entry & ~(high_quality_entry | medium_quality_entry), "enter_long"] = 1 dataframe.loc[backup_entry & ~(high_quality_entry | medium_quality_entry), 'entry_type'] = 1 dataframe.loc[backup_entry & ~(high_quality_entry | medium_quality_entry), "enter_tag"] = "backup_long" # BREAKOUT LONG dataframe.loc[momentum_breakout, "enter_long"] = 1 dataframe.loc[momentum_breakout, 'entry_type'] = 4 dataframe.loc[momentum_breakout, "enter_tag"] = "breakout_long" # REVERSAL LONG dataframe.loc[volume_reversal, "enter_long"] = 1 dataframe.loc[volume_reversal, 'entry_type'] = 5 dataframe.loc[volume_reversal, "enter_tag"] = "reversal_long" # === APPLY SHORT ENTRIES === dataframe.loc[high_quality_short, "enter_short"] = 1 dataframe.loc[high_quality_short, 'entry_type'] = 6 # High quality short dataframe.loc[high_quality_short, "enter_tag"] = "high_quality_short" dataframe.loc[ medium_quality_short & ~high_quality_short, "enter_short" ] = 1 dataframe.loc[ medium_quality_short & ~high_quality_short, 'entry_type' ] = 7 # Medium quality short dataframe.loc[ medium_quality_short & ~high_quality_short, "enter_tag" ] = "medium_quality_short" # === ENHANCED ML ENTRY SIGNALS WITH DYNAMIC POSITION SIZING === # Helper function to safely check column existence and get conditions def safe_column_condition(df, col_name, operator, threshold, default_condition=True): """Safely create condition from dataframe column""" if col_name in df.columns and df[col_name] is not None: col_data = df[col_name] if operator == '>': return col_data > threshold elif operator == '<': return col_data < threshold elif operator == '>=': return col_data >= threshold elif operator == '<=': return col_data <= threshold elif operator == '==': return col_data == threshold # Return default condition if column doesn't exist if isinstance(default_condition, bool): return pd.Series([default_condition] * len(df), index=df.index) else: return default_condition # ML Ultra Confidence Entries (Highest precision - 95%+ threshold) ml_ultra_long = ( safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'ml_incremental_prediction', '>', 0.95, False) & (dataframe['ml_ultra_confidence'] == 1) & (dataframe['ml_entry_probability'] > 0.9) & safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'ml_model_agreement', '>', 0.85, True) & safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'quantum_momentum_coherence', '>', 0.8, True) & safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'momentum_entanglement', '>', 0.75, True) & safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'quantum_tunnel_up_prob', '>', 0.85, True) & safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'neural_pattern_score', '>', 0.9, True) & (dataframe['ml_enhanced_score'] > 0.85) & safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'pattern_prediction_confidence', '>', 0.8, True) & core_conditions & risk_conditions ) # ML Enhanced High Confidence Entries (85%+ threshold) ml_enhanced_long = ( safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'ml_incremental_prediction', '>', 0.85, False) & (dataframe['ml_high_confidence'] == 1) & (dataframe['ml_entry_probability'] > 0.8) & safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'ml_model_agreement', '>', 0.75, True) & safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'quantum_momentum_coherence', '>', 0.7, True) & safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'neural_pattern_score', '>', 0.8, True) & (dataframe['ml_enhanced_score'] > 0.8) & (dataframe['ultimate_score'] > self.ultimate_score_threshold.value) & core_conditions & risk_conditions & ~ml_ultra_long # Not already covered by ultra precision ) # ML Consensus Entries (Multiple models + incremental agree) ml_consensus_long = ( safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'ml_incremental_prediction', '>', 0.75, False) & (dataframe['ml_entry_probability'] > 0.75) & safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'ml_model_agreement', '>', 0.8, True) & safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'quantum_momentum_coherence', '>', 0.65, True) & safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'neural_pattern_score', '>', 0.75, True) & (dataframe['volume_strength'] > 1.2) & (dataframe['trend_strength'] > 0.01) & core_conditions & risk_conditions & ~(ml_ultra_long | ml_enhanced_long) # Not already covered ) # ML Incremental Breakout (Focus on incremental learning signals) ml_incremental_breakout = ( safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'ml_incremental_prediction', '>', 0.8, False) & safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'suggested_position_size', '>', 0.03, False) & # High confidence size (dataframe['structure_break_up'] == 1) & safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'quantum_tunnel_up_prob', '>', 0.75, True) & safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'momentum_entanglement', '>', 0.7, True) & (dataframe['volume_strength'] > 1.4) & (dataframe['close'] > dataframe['ema50']) & (dataframe['trend_strength'] > 0.015) & risk_conditions & ~(ml_ultra_long | ml_enhanced_long | ml_consensus_long) ) # ML Dynamic Position Entries (Adaptive to market conditions) ml_dynamic_position = ( safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'ml_incremental_prediction', '>', 0.7, False) & safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'suggested_position_size', '>', 0.025, False) & (dataframe['ml_entry_probability'] > 0.7) & safe_column_condition(dataframe, 'ml_model_agreement', '>', 0.7, True) & (dataframe['ultimate_score'] > self.ultimate_score_threshold.value * 0.8) & (dataframe['volume_strength'] > 1.1) & extrema_conditions & # Still require technical setup core_conditions & risk_conditions & ~(ml_ultra_long | ml_enhanced_long | ml_consensus_long | ml_incremental_breakout) ) # Apply Enhanced ML Entry Signals with Position Sizing dataframe.loc[ml_ultra_long, "enter_long"] = 1 dataframe.loc[ml_ultra_long, 'entry_type'] = 13 dataframe.loc[ml_ultra_long, "enter_tag"] = "ml_ultra_95_dynamic" dataframe.loc[ml_enhanced_long, "enter_long"] = 1 dataframe.loc[ml_enhanced_long, 'entry_type'] = 14 dataframe.loc[ml_enhanced_long, "enter_tag"] = "ml_enhanced_85_dynamic" dataframe.loc[ml_consensus_long, "enter_long"] = 1 dataframe.loc[ml_consensus_long, 'entry_type'] = 15 dataframe.loc[ml_consensus_long, "enter_tag"] = "ml_consensus_dynamic" dataframe.loc[ml_incremental_breakout, "enter_long"] = 1 dataframe.loc[ml_incremental_breakout, 'entry_type'] = 16 dataframe.loc[ml_incremental_breakout, "enter_tag"] = "ml_incremental_breakout" dataframe.loc[ml_dynamic_position, "enter_long"] = 1 dataframe.loc[ml_dynamic_position, 'entry_type'] = 17 dataframe.loc[ml_dynamic_position, "enter_tag"] = "ml_dynamic_position" # === ENTRY DEBUGGING WITH ENHANCED METRICS === # Log entry signals for major pairs if metadata['pair'] in ['BTC/USDT:USDT', 'ETH/USDT:USDT']: recent_entries = (dataframe['enter_long'].tail(5).sum() + dataframe['enter_short'].tail(5).sum()) if recent_entries > 0: entry_type = dataframe['entry_type'].iloc[-1] entry_types = { 0: 'None', 1: 'Backup', 2: 'Medium', 3: 'High', 4: 'Breakout', 5: 'Reversal', 6: 'High Short', 7: 'Medium Short', 8: 'ML Ultra 90%', 9: 'ML Enhanced 80%', 10: 'ML Consensus', 11: 'ML Quantum', 12: 'ML Pattern', 13: 'ML Ultra 95% Dynamic', 14: 'ML Enhanced 85% Dynamic', 15: 'ML Consensus Dynamic', 16: 'ML Incremental Breakout', 17: 'ML Dynamic Position' } logger.info(f"{metadata['pair']} ๐ŸŽฏ ENHANCED ENTRY SIGNAL - " f"Type: {entry_types.get(entry_type, 'Unknown')}") logger.info(f" ๐Ÿ“Š Ultimate Score: {dataframe['ultimate_score'].iloc[-1]:.3f}") logger.info(f" ๐Ÿค– ML Probability: {dataframe['ml_entry_probability'].iloc[-1]:.3f}") # Enhanced incremental ML metrics if 'ml_incremental_prediction' in dataframe.columns: logger.info(f" ๐Ÿ”„ Incremental ML: {dataframe['ml_incremental_prediction'].iloc[-1]:.3f}") if 'suggested_position_size' in dataframe.columns: logger.info(f" ๐Ÿ’ฐ Dynamic Size: {dataframe['suggested_position_size'].iloc[-1]:.4f}") logger.info(f" ๐Ÿ”ฎ Quantum Coherence: " f"{dataframe['quantum_momentum_coherence'].iloc[-1]:.3f}") logger.info(f" ๐Ÿง  Neural Pattern: {dataframe['neural_pattern_score'].iloc[-1]:.3f}") if 'ml_model_agreement' in dataframe.columns: logger.info(f" ๐Ÿค Model Agreement: " f"{dataframe['ml_model_agreement'].iloc[-1]:.3f}") return dataframe def populate_exit_trend(self, dataframe: pd.DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> pd.DataFrame: """ UNIFIED EXIT SYSTEM - Choose between Custom MML Exits or Simple Opposite Signal Exits """ # =========================================== # INITIALIZE EXIT COLUMNS # =========================================== dataframe["exit_long"] = 0 dataframe["exit_short"] = 0 dataframe["exit_tag"] = "" # =========================================== # CHOOSE EXIT SYSTEM # =========================================== if self.use_custom_exits_advanced: # Use Alex's Advanced MML-based Exit System return self._populate_custom_exits_advanced(dataframe, metadata) else: # Use Simple Opposite Signal Exit System return self._populate_simple_exits(dataframe, metadata) def _populate_custom_exits_advanced(self, df: pd.DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> pd.DataFrame: """ ALEX'S ADVANCED MML-BASED EXIT SYSTEM Profit-protecting exit strategy with better signal coordination """ # =========================================== # MML MARKET STRUCTURE FOR EXITS # =========================================== # Bullish/Bearish structure (same as entry) bullish_mml = ( (df["close"] > df["[6/8]P"]) | ((df["close"] > df["[4/8]P"]) & (df["close"].shift(5) < df["[4/8]P"].shift(5))) ) bearish_mml = ( (df["close"] < df["[2/8]P"]) | ((df["close"] < df["[4/8]P"]) & (df["close"].shift(5) > df["[4/8]P"].shift(5))) ) # MML resistance/support levels for exits at_resistance = ( (df["high"] >= df["[6/8]P"]) | # At 75% (df["high"] >= df["[7/8]P"]) | # At 87.5% (df["high"] >= df["[8/8]P"]) # At 100% ) at_support = ( (df["low"] <= df["[2/8]P"]) | # At 25% (df["low"] <= df["[1/8]P"]) | # At 12.5% (df["low"] <= df["[0/8]P"]) # At 0% ) # =========================================== # LONG EXIT SIGNALS (ADVANCED MML SYSTEM) # =========================================== # 1. Profit-Taking Exits long_exit_resistance_profit = ( at_resistance & (df["close"] < df["high"]) & # Failed to close at high (df["rsi"] > 65) & # Overbought (df["maxima"] == 1) & # Local top (df["volume"] > df["volume"].rolling(10).mean()) ) long_exit_extreme_overbought = ( (df["close"] > df["[7/8]P"]) & (df["rsi"] > 75) & (df["close"] < df["close"].shift(1)) & # Price turning down (df["maxima"] == 1) ) long_exit_volume_exhaustion = ( at_resistance & (df["volume"] < df["volume"].rolling(20).mean() * 0.6) & # Tightened from 0.8 (df["rsi"] > 70) & (df["close"] < df["close"].shift(1)) & (df["close"] < df["close"].rolling(3).mean()) # Added price confirmation ) # 2. Structure Breakdown (Improved with strong filters) long_exit_structure_breakdown = ( (df["close"] < df["[4/8]P"]) & (df["close"].shift(1) >= df["[4/8]P"].shift(1)) & bullish_mml.shift(1) & (df["close"] < df["[4/8]P"] * 0.995) & (df["close"] < df["close"].shift(1)) & (df["close"] < df["close"].shift(2)) & (df["rsi"] < 45) & # Tightened from 50 (df["volume"] > df["volume"].rolling(15).mean() * 2.0) & # Increased from 1.5 (df["close"] < df["open"]) & (df["low"] < df["low"].shift(1)) & (df["close"] < df["close"].rolling(3).mean()) & (df["momentum_quality"] < 0) # Added momentum check ) # 3. Momentum Divergence long_exit_momentum_divergence = ( at_resistance & (df["rsi"] < df["rsi"].shift(1)) & # RSI falling (df["rsi"].shift(1) < df["rsi"].shift(2)) & # RSI was falling (df["rsi"] < df["rsi"].shift(3)) & # 3-candle RSI decline (df["close"] >= df["close"].shift(1)) & # Price still up/flat (df["maxima"] == 1) & (df["rsi"] > 60) # Only in overbought territory ) # 4. Range Exit long_exit_range = ( (df["close"] >= df["[2/8]P"]) & (df["close"] <= df["[6/8]P"]) & # In range (df["high"] >= df["[6/8]P"]) & # HIGH touched 75%, not close (df["close"] < df["[6/8]P"] * 0.995) & # But closed below (df["rsi"] > 65) & # More conservative RSI (df["maxima"] == 1) & (df["volume"] > df["volume"].rolling(10).mean() * 1.2) # Volume confirmation ) # 5. Emergency Exit long_exit_emergency = ( (df["close"] < df["[0/8]P"]) & (df["rsi"] < 20) & # Changed from 15 (df["volume"] > df["volume"].rolling(20).mean() * 2.5) & # Reduced from 3 (df["close"] < df["close"].shift(1)) & (df["close"] < df["close"].shift(2)) & (df["close"] < df["open"]) ) if self.use_emergency_exits else pd.Series([False] * len(df), index=df.index) # Combine all Long Exit signals any_long_exit = ( long_exit_resistance_profit | long_exit_extreme_overbought | long_exit_volume_exhaustion | long_exit_structure_breakdown | long_exit_momentum_divergence | long_exit_range | long_exit_emergency ) # =========================================== # SHORT EXIT SIGNALS (if enabled) # =========================================== if self.can_short: # 1. Profit-Taking Exits short_exit_support_profit = ( at_support & (df["close"] > df["low"]) & # Failed to close at low (df["rsi"] < 35) & # Oversold (df["minima"] == 1) & # Local bottom (df["volume"] > df["volume"].rolling(10).mean()) ) short_exit_extreme_oversold = ( (df["close"] < df["[1/8]P"]) & (df["rsi"] < 25) & (df["close"] > df["close"].shift(1)) & # Price turning up (df["minima"] == 1) ) short_exit_volume_exhaustion = ( at_support & (df["volume"] < df["volume"].rolling(20).mean() * 0.6) & # Tightened from 0.8 (df["rsi"] < 30) & (df["close"] > df["close"].shift(1)) & (df["close"] > df["close"].rolling(3).mean()) # Added price confirmation ) # 2. Structure Breakout short_exit_structure_breakout = ( (df["close"] > df["[4/8]P"]) & (df["close"].shift(1) <= df["[4/8]P"].shift(1)) & bearish_mml.shift(1) & (df["close"] > df["[4/8]P"] * 1.005) & (df["close"] > df["close"].shift(1)) & (df["close"] > df["close"].shift(2)) & (df["rsi"] > 55) & # Tightened from 50 (df["volume"] > df["volume"].rolling(15).mean() * 2.0) & # Increased from 1.5 (df["close"] > df["open"]) & (df["high"] > df["high"].shift(1)) & (df["momentum_quality"] > 0) # Added momentum check ) # 3. Momentum Divergence short_exit_momentum_divergence = ( at_support & (df["rsi"] > df["rsi"].shift(1)) & # RSI rising (df["rsi"].shift(1) > df["rsi"].shift(2)) & # RSI was rising (df["rsi"] > df["rsi"].shift(3)) & # 3-candle RSI rise (df["close"] <= df["close"].shift(1)) & # Price still down/flat (df["minima"] == 1) & (df["rsi"] < 40) # Only in oversold territory ) # 4. Range Exit short_exit_range = ( (df["close"] >= df["[2/8]P"]) & (df["close"] <= df["[6/8]P"]) & # In range (df["low"] <= df["[2/8]P"]) & # LOW touched 25% (df["close"] > df["[2/8]P"] * 1.005) & # But closed above (df["rsi"] < 35) & # More conservative RSI (df["minima"] == 1) & (df["volume"] > df["volume"].rolling(10).mean() * 1.2) # Volume confirmation ) # 5. Emergency Exit short_exit_emergency = ( (df["close"] > df["[8/8]P"]) & (df["rsi"] > 80) & # Changed from 85 (df["volume"] > df["volume"].rolling(20).mean() * 2.5) & # Reduced from 3 (df["close"] > df["close"].shift(1)) & (df["close"] > df["close"].shift(2)) & (df["close"] > df["open"]) ) if self.use_emergency_exits else pd.Series([False] * len(df), index=df.index) # Combine all Short Exit signals any_short_exit = ( short_exit_support_profit | short_exit_extreme_oversold | short_exit_volume_exhaustion | short_exit_structure_breakout | short_exit_momentum_divergence | short_exit_range | short_exit_emergency ) else: any_short_exit = pd.Series([False] * len(df), index=df.index) # =========================================== # COORDINATION WITH ENTRY SIGNALS # =========================================== # If we have new Entry signals, they override Exit signals has_long_entry = "enter_long" in df.columns and (df["enter_long"] == 1).any() has_short_entry = "enter_short" in df.columns and (df["enter_short"] == 1).any() if has_long_entry: long_entry_mask = df["enter_long"] == 1 any_long_exit = any_long_exit & (~long_entry_mask) if has_short_entry and self.can_short: short_entry_mask = df["enter_short"] == 1 any_short_exit = any_short_exit & (~short_entry_mask) # =========================================== # SET FINAL EXIT SIGNALS AND TAGS # =========================================== # Long Exits df.loc[any_long_exit, "exit_long"] = 1 # Tags for Long Exits (Priority: Emergency > Structure > Profit) df.loc[any_long_exit & long_exit_emergency, "exit_tag"] = "MML_Emergency_Long_Exit" df.loc[any_long_exit & long_exit_structure_breakdown & (df["exit_tag"] == ""), "exit_tag"] = "MML_Structure_Breakdown_Confirmed" df.loc[any_long_exit & long_exit_resistance_profit & (df["exit_tag"] == ""), "exit_tag"] = "MML_Resistance_Profit" df.loc[any_long_exit & long_exit_extreme_overbought & (df["exit_tag"] == ""), "exit_tag"] = "MML_Extreme_Overbought" df.loc[any_long_exit & long_exit_volume_exhaustion & (df["exit_tag"] == ""), "exit_tag"] = "MML_Volume_Exhaustion_Long" df.loc[any_long_exit & long_exit_momentum_divergence & (df["exit_tag"] == ""), "exit_tag"] = "MML_Momentum_Divergence_Long" df.loc[any_long_exit & long_exit_range & (df["exit_tag"] == ""), "exit_tag"] = "MML_Range_Exit_Long" # Short Exits if self.can_short: df.loc[any_short_exit, "exit_short"] = 1 # Tags for Short Exits (Priority: Emergency > Structure > Profit) df.loc[any_short_exit & short_exit_emergency, "exit_tag"] = "MML_Emergency_Short_Exit" df.loc[any_short_exit & short_exit_structure_breakout & (df["exit_tag"] == ""), "exit_tag"] = "MML_Structure_Breakout_Confirmed" df.loc[any_short_exit & short_exit_support_profit & (df["exit_tag"] == ""), "exit_tag"] = "MML_Support_Profit" df.loc[any_short_exit & short_exit_extreme_oversold & (df["exit_tag"] == ""), "exit_tag"] = "MML_Extreme_Oversold" df.loc[any_short_exit & short_exit_volume_exhaustion & (df["exit_tag"] == ""), "exit_tag"] = "MML_Volume_Exhaustion_Short" df.loc[any_short_exit & short_exit_momentum_divergence & (df["exit_tag"] == ""), "exit_tag"] = "MML_Momentum_Divergence_Short" df.loc[any_short_exit & short_exit_range & (df["exit_tag"] == ""), "exit_tag"] = "MML_Range_Exit_Short" return df def _populate_simple_exits(self, dataframe: pd.DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> pd.DataFrame: """ SIMPLE OPPOSITE SIGNAL EXIT SYSTEM - SYNTAX FIXED """ # Exit LONG when any SHORT signal appears long_exit_on_short = (dataframe["enter_short"] == 1) # Exit SHORT when any LONG signal appears short_exit_on_long = (dataframe["enter_long"] == 1) # Emergency exits (if enabled) if self.use_emergency_exits: emergency_long_exit = ( (dataframe['rsi'] > 85) & (dataframe['volume'] > dataframe['avg_volume'] * 3) & (dataframe['close'] < dataframe['open']) & (dataframe['close'] < dataframe['low'].shift(1)) ) | ( (dataframe.get('structure_break_down', 0) == 1) & (dataframe['volume'] > dataframe['avg_volume'] * 2.5) & (dataframe['atr'] > dataframe['atr'].rolling(20).mean() * 2) ) emergency_short_exit = ( (dataframe['rsi'] < 15) & (dataframe['volume'] > dataframe['avg_volume'] * 3) & (dataframe['close'] > dataframe['open']) & (dataframe['close'] > dataframe['high'].shift(1)) ) | ( (dataframe.get('structure_break_up', 0) == 1) & (dataframe['volume'] > dataframe['avg_volume'] * 2.5) & (dataframe['atr'] > dataframe['atr'].rolling(20).mean() * 2) ) else: emergency_long_exit = pd.Series([False] * len(dataframe), index=dataframe.index) emergency_short_exit = pd.Series([False] * len(dataframe), index=dataframe.index) # Apply exits dataframe.loc[long_exit_on_short, "exit_long"] = 1 dataframe.loc[long_exit_on_short, "exit_tag"] = "trend_reversal" dataframe.loc[short_exit_on_long, "exit_short"] = 1 dataframe.loc[short_exit_on_long, "exit_tag"] = "trend_reversal" # Emergency exits dataframe.loc[emergency_long_exit & ~long_exit_on_short, "exit_long"] = 1 dataframe.loc[emergency_long_exit & ~long_exit_on_short, "exit_tag"] = "emergency_exit" dataframe.loc[emergency_short_exit & ~short_exit_on_long, "exit_short"] = 1 dataframe.loc[emergency_short_exit & ~short_exit_on_long, "exit_tag"] = "emergency_exit" # DEBUGGING (FIXED THE ERROR HERE) if metadata['pair'] in ['BTC/USDT:USDT', 'ETH/USDT:USDT']: recent_exits = dataframe['exit_long'].tail(5).sum() + dataframe['exit_short'].tail(5).sum() if recent_exits > 0: exit_tag = dataframe['exit_tag'].iloc[-1] logger.info(f"{metadata['pair']} EXIT SIGNAL - Tag: {exit_tag}") # รขล“โ€ฆ FIXED: Use the correct attribute name logger.info(f" Exit System: {'Custom MML' if self.use_custom_exits_advanced else 'Simple Opposite'}") logger.info(f" RSI: {dataframe['rsi'].iloc[-1]:.1f}") return dataframe def confirm_trade_exit(self, pair: str, trade: Trade, order_type: str, amount: float, rate: float, time_in_force: str, exit_reason: str, current_time: datetime, **kwargs) -> bool: current_profit_ratio = trade.calc_profit_ratio(rate) trade_duration = (current_time - trade.open_date_utc).total_seconds() / 3600 # Hours always_allow = [ "stoploss", "stop_loss", "custom_stoploss", "roi", "trend_reversal", "emergency_exit" ] # Allow regime protection exits (icons) if any(char in exit_reason for char in ["โšก", "๐Ÿ”Š", "๐ŸŒŠ", "๐ŸŽฏ", "โ‚ฟ"]): return True # Allow known good exits if exit_reason in always_allow: return True # FIXED: Previously blocked trailing stops if profit <= 0. # Now configurable & allows controlled negative trailing exits (prevents deeper drawdowns). if exit_reason in ["trailing_stop_loss", "trailing_stop"]: # If enabled, allow exit when profit >= configured minimal threshold if self.allow_trailing_exit_when_negative.value: if current_profit_ratio >= self.trailing_exit_min_profit.value: logger.info(f"{pair} Allow trailing exit (thr={self.trailing_exit_min_profit.value:.3f}) " f"Profit: {current_profit_ratio:.2%} Reason: {exit_reason}") return True else: logger.info(f"{pair} Blocking trailing exit below min threshold " f"(profit {current_profit_ratio:.2%} < {self.trailing_exit_min_profit.value:.2%})") return False else: # Legacy behaviour (only positive) if current_profit_ratio > 0: logger.info(f"{pair} Allow trailing exit (legacy >0). Profit: {current_profit_ratio:.2%}") return True logger.info(f"{pair} Blocking trailing exit (legacy rule). Profit: {current_profit_ratio:.2%}") return False # Time based safety exit (still keeps strategy responsive) if trade_duration > 4: logger.info(f"{pair} Forcing timed exit (4h). Profit: {current_profit_ratio:.2%}") return True return True