--- name: kanchi-dividend-sop description: Convert Kanchi-style dividend investing into a repeatable US-stock operating procedure. Use when users ask for かんち式配当投資, dividend screening, dividend growth quality checks, PERxPBR adaptation for US sectors, pullback limit-order planning, or one-page stock memo creation. Covers screening, deep dive, entry planning, and post-purchase monitoring cadence. --- # Kanchi Dividend Sop ## Overview Implement Kanchi's 5-step method as a deterministic workflow for US dividend investing. Prioritize safety and repeatability over aggressive yield chasing. ## When to Use Use this skill when the user needs: - Kanchi-style dividend stock selection adapted for US equities. - A repeatable screening and pullback-entry process instead of ad-hoc picks. - One-page underwriting memos with explicit invalidation conditions. - A handoff package for monitoring and tax/account-location workflows. ## Prerequisites Prepare one of the following inputs before running the workflow: 1. Output from `skills/value-dividend-screener/scripts/screen_dividend_stocks.py`. 2. Output from `skills/dividend-growth-pullback-screener/scripts/screen_dividend_growth_rsi.py`. 3. User-provided ticker list (broker export or manual list). For deterministic artifact generation, provide tickers to: ```bash python3 skills/kanchi-dividend-sop/scripts/build_sop_plan.py \ --tickers "JNJ,PG,KO" \ --output-dir reports/ ``` For Step 5 entry timing artifacts: ```bash python3 skills/kanchi-dividend-sop/scripts/build_entry_signals.py \ --tickers "JNJ,PG,KO" \ --alpha-pp 0.5 \ --output-dir reports/ ``` ## Workflow ### 1) Define mandate before screening Collect and lock the parameters first: - Objective: current cash income vs dividend growth. - Max positions and position-size cap. - Allowed instruments: stock only, or include REIT/BDC/ETF. - Preferred account type context: taxable vs IRA-like accounts. Load `skills/kanchi-dividend-sop/references/default-thresholds.md` and apply baseline settings unless the user overrides. ### 2) Build the investable universe Start with a quality-biased universe: - Core bucket: long dividend growth names (for example, Dividend Aristocrats style quality set). - Satellite bucket: higher-yield sectors (utilities, telecom, REITs) in a separate risk bucket. Use explicit source priority for ticker collection: 1. `skills/value-dividend-screener/scripts/screen_dividend_stocks.py` output (FMP/FINVIZ). 2. `skills/dividend-growth-pullback-screener/scripts/screen_dividend_growth_rsi.py` output. 3. User-provided broker export or manual ticker list when APIs are unavailable. Return a ticker list grouped by bucket before moving forward. ### 3) Apply Kanchi Step 1 (yield filter with trap flag) Primary rule: - `forward_dividend_yield >= 3.5%` Trap controls: - Flag extreme yield (`>= 8%`) as `deep-dive-required`. - Flag sudden jump in payout as potential special dividend artifact. Output: - `PASS` or `FAIL` per ticker. - `deep-dive-required` flag for potential yield traps. ### 4) Apply Kanchi Step 2 (growth and safety) Require: - Revenue and EPS trend positive on multi-year horizon. - Dividend trend non-declining over the review period. Add safety checks: - Payout ratio and FCF payout ratio in reasonable range. - Debt burden and interest coverage not deteriorating. When trend is mixed but not broken, classify as `HOLD-FOR-REVIEW` instead of hard reject. ### 5) Apply Kanchi Step 3 (valuation) with US sector mapping Use `skills/kanchi-dividend-sop/references/valuation-and-one-off-checks.md` and apply sector-specific valuation logic: - Financials: `PER x PBR` can remain primary. - REITs: use `P/FFO` or `P/AFFO` instead of plain `P/E`. - Asset-light sectors: combine forward `P/E`, `P/FCF`, and historical range. Always report which valuation method was used for each ticker. ### 6) Apply Kanchi Step 4 (one-off event filter) Reject or downgrade names where recent profits rely on one-time effects: - Asset sale gains, litigation settlement, tax effect spikes. - Margin spike unsupported by sales trend. - Repeated "one-time/non-recurring" adjustments. Record one-line evidence for each `FAIL` to keep auditability. ### 7) Apply Kanchi Step 5 (buy on weakness with rules) Set entry triggers mechanically: - Yield trigger: current yield above 5y average yield + alpha (default `+0.5pp`). - Valuation trigger: target multiple reached (`P/E`, `P/FFO`, or `P/FCF`). Execution pattern: - Split orders: `40% -> 30% -> 30%`. - Require one-sentence sanity check before each add: "thesis intact vs structural break". ### 8) Produce standardized outputs Always produce three artifacts: 1. Screening table (`PASS`, `HOLD-FOR-REVIEW`, `FAIL` with evidence). 2. One-page stock memo (use `skills/kanchi-dividend-sop/references/stock-note-template.md`). 3. Limit-order plan with split sizing and invalidation condition. ## Output Return and/or generate: 1. SOP screening summary in markdown. 2. Underwriting memo set based on `skills/kanchi-dividend-sop/references/stock-note-template.md`. 3. Optional plan artifact file generated by `skills/kanchi-dividend-sop/scripts/build_sop_plan.py` in `reports/`. 4. Optional Step 5 entry-signal artifacts generated by `skills/kanchi-dividend-sop/scripts/build_entry_signals.py` in `reports/`. ## Cadence Use this minimum rhythm: - Weekly (15 min): check dividend and business-news changes only. - Monthly (30 min): rerun screening and refresh order levels. - Quarterly (60 min): deep safety review using latest filings/earnings. ## Multi-Skill Handoff Run this skill first, then hand off outputs: 1. To `kanchi-dividend-review-monitor` for daily/weekly/quarterly anomaly detection. 2. To `kanchi-dividend-us-tax-accounting` for account-location and tax classification planning. ## Guardrails - Do not issue blind buy calls without Step 4 and safety checks. - Do not treat high yield as value before validating coverage quality. - Keep assumptions explicit when data is missing. ## Resources - `skills/kanchi-dividend-sop/scripts/build_sop_plan.py`: deterministic SOP plan generator. - `skills/kanchi-dividend-sop/scripts/tests/test_build_sop_plan.py`: tests for plan generation. - `skills/kanchi-dividend-sop/scripts/build_entry_signals.py`: Step 5 target-buy calculator (`5y avg yield + alpha`). - `skills/kanchi-dividend-sop/scripts/tests/test_build_entry_signals.py`: tests for signal calculations. - `skills/kanchi-dividend-sop/references/default-thresholds.md`: baseline thresholds and profile tuning. - `skills/kanchi-dividend-sop/references/valuation-and-one-off-checks.md`: sector valuation map and one-off checklist. - `skills/kanchi-dividend-sop/references/stock-note-template.md`: one-page memo template for each candidate.