{ "cells": [ { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 4, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "

Data coverage and sources of indicators in the 2016 EEA CCIV report

CLIM code

Indicator

Time period (past trends, longest time series)

Time horizon & emissions scenario (projections)

Data sources
(past trends)

Data sources (projections)

001

Global and European temperature (*)

1850–2015

2080s; RCP4.5/8.5

NOAA Global Temp provided by  National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) 

HadCRUT4 provided by  Met Office Hadley Centre 

GISTEMP provided by  NASA 

ECA&D  provided by Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) 

E-OBS gridded dataset provided by Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) 

ERA-Interim provided by European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF)

EURO-CORDEX data provided by EURO-CORDEX initiative 

003

Heat extremes

1960–2015

2030s, 2080s; RCP4.5/8.5

HadEX2 - global climate extremes dataset provided by Met Office Hadley Centre

Number of heat waves provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC) 

002

Mean precipitation

1960–2015

2080s; RCP8.5

E-OBS gridded dataset provided by Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) 

EURO-CORDEX data provided by EURO-CORDEX initiative 

004

Heavy precipitation

1960–2015

2080s; RCP8.5

HadEX2 - global climate extremes dataset provided by Met Office Hadley Centre 

EURO-CORDEX data provided by EURO-CORDEX initiative 

005

Wind storms

2080s;
SRES A1B

Future changes in European winter storm losses and extreme wind speeds provided by Freie Universität Berlin 

053

Hail

1951–2010

Changes in the Hail Potential Over Past and Future Decades using a Logistic Hail Model provided by Karlsruhe Institute of technology 

010

Arctic and Baltic sea ice (*)

Arctic: 
1979–2016

Baltic:
1719–2016

Up to 2100;
All RCPs

Time series of Arctic sea ice extent provided by  Monitoring Climate Change in the Cryosphere (CryoClim) 

Maximum annual extent of ice cover in the Baltic Sea since 1720 provided by  Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI)

CMIP5 climate projections provided by  CMIP5 coupled model intercomparison project

009

Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets

1992–2015

A Reconciled Estimate of Ice-Sheet Mass Balance provided by  University of Leeds

007

Glaciers

1946–2014

Up to 2100; RCP4.5/8.5

Fluctuation of Glaciers Database (FoG) provided by  World Glacier Monitoring Service (WGMS) 

Projected changes in the volume of all mountain glaciers and ice caps in the European glaciated regions provided by  University of British Columbia (UBC)

008

Snow cover

1922–2015

Up to 2100;
All RCPs

Monthly Northern Hemisphere snow cover extent provided by  Rutgers University Global Snow Lab 

Globsnow SWE series provided by  Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI)

Northern Hemisphere land snow cover simulated by CMIP5 coupled climate models provided by  Laboratorie de Glaciologie et Géophysique de l'Environnement (LGGE)

043

Ocean acidification

1988–2014

Up to 2100;
All RCPs

Station ALOHA Surface Ocean Carbon Dioxide provided by  The Laboratory for Microbial Oceanography (Hawaii)

CMIP5 climate projections provided by  CMIP5 coupled model intercomparison project

044

Ocean heat content

1957–2013

Global Ocean Heat and Salt Content provided by  National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

013

Sea surface temperature (*)

1870–2015

HadISST1 - Global sea ice and Sea Surface Temperature analyses provided by  Met Office Hadley Centre 

Mediterranean Sea - High Resolution L4 Sea Surface Temperature Reprocessed provided by  Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service 

015

Distribution shifts of marine species

1958–2014

CPR Dataset (SAHFOS) provided by Sir Alister Hardy Foundation for Ocean Science (SAHFOS) 

Demersal survey data - supplementary dataset S2 provided by Centre for Environment, Fisheries & Aquaculture Science (CEFAS)

054

Ocean oxygen content

1906–2012

Spreading Dead Zones and Consequences for Marine Ecosystems provided by Virginia Institute of Marine Science 

Deoxygenation of the Baltic Sea during the last century provided by DCE - Danish Centre For Environment And Energy

012

Global and European sea level rise (*)

Global:
1880–2015

Global:
2081–2100;
All RCPs, SRES A1B

Global:
Reconstructed Global mean sea level (satellite and altimetre) provided by  Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) 

Global:
Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis provided by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 

European:
1970–2014

European:
2081–2100; RCP4.5

European:
Mean Sea Level Trend from satellite altimetry (T/P-Jason-1-Jason-2 merged datasets) provided by Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service 

Relative sea level trends (tide gauge data) provided by Permanent service for mean sea level (PSMSL)

European:
FRCP4.5 total sea level rise projections provided by Integrated Climate Data Centre (ICDC)

Summary of AR5 regional projections and allowances provided by Antarctic Climate & Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre

016

River flows

1963–2000

2080s;
SRES A1B

Filling the white space on maps of European runoff trends: estimates from a multi-model ensemble provided by University of Freiburg 

Ensemble projections of future streamflow droughts in Europe provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC) 

017

River floods

1980–2010

2006–2035, 2036–2065, 2066–2095; RCP8.5

European past floods provided by  European Environment Agency (EEA) 

Projected change in river floods with a return period of 100 years provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC) 

018

Meteorological and hydrological droughts

Meteorological: 1950–2012

Meteorological: 2050s, 2080s; RCP4.5/8.5

Meteorological: 
European drought climatologies and trends based on a multi-indicator approach provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC) 

Meteorological:
EURO-CORDEX data provided by EURO-CORDEX initiative 

Future meteorological drought: projections of regional climate models for Europe provided by University of Oslo 

Hydrological: 1963–2000

Hydrological: 2080s;
SRES A1B

Hydrological:
Filling the white space on maps of European runoff trends: estimates from a multi-model ensemble provided by University of Freiburg

Hydrological:
Projected change in 20 year return level minimum flow and deficit volumes due to climate change and changes in water use provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC)

019

Water temperature

1911–2014

Water temperature in Lake Võrtsjärv provided by  Estonian University of Life Sciences 

River Danube water temperature measurements provided by  University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna (BOKU) 

Temperatuur oppervlaktewater provided by  Compendium voor de Leefomgeving 

Trend in August water temperature in Lake Saimaa 1924-2014 provided by  Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE) 

029

Soil moisture

1951–2012

2030s;
SRES A1B

Analysing Seasonal Differences between a Soil Water Balance Model and in Situ Soil Moisture Measurements at Nine Locations Across Europe provided by European Environment Agency (EEA) 

The future of dry and wet spells in Europe provided by Wegener Center for Climate and Global Change 

023

Phenology of plant and animal species

1982–2011

Recent spring phenology shifts in western Central Europe based on multiscale observations provided by  College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China 

022

Distribution shifts of plant and animal species

2050, 2100;
SRES A2, B1

Differences in the climatic debts of birds and butterflies at a continental scale provided by Centre national de la recherche scientifique (CNRS) 

Climatic Risk and Distribution Atlas of European Bumblebees provided by Universite de Mons 

034

Forest composition and distribution

2100;
SRES A1B

Adapting to climate change in European forests – results of the MOTIVE project provided by European Forest Institute (EFI) 

035

Forest fires

1980–2013

2080s;
SRES A1B

EFFIS European Forest Fire Information System provided by  Joint Research Centre (JRC) 

Seasonal severity rating index provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC)
[past and projections]

039

Economic losses from climate-related extremes (*)

1980–2015

NatCatSERVICE provided by  Munich Re

046

Floods and health

1991–2015

EM-DAT: The International Disaster Database provided by Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED) 

Population data (Eurostat) provided by Statistical Office of the European Union (Eurostat)

036

Extreme temperatures and health

1987–2010

Associations between temperature and mortality in four European cities provided by London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine 

037

Vector-borne diseases

Up to 2016

Chikungunya: 2020s, 2050s, 2080s;
SRES A1B, B1

West Nile Virus:
2025, 2050;
SRES A1B

ECDC VBORNET vector distribution maps provided by European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 

The climatic suitability for dengue transmission in continental Europe provided by European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)

Climate change effects on Chikungunya transmission in Europe provided by European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 

West Nile fever maps provided by European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)

038

Water- and food-borne diseases

1982–2010

Vibriosis: 
2050

Emerging Vibrio risk at high latitudes in response to ocean warming provided by  Centre for Environment, Fisheries & Aquaculture Science (CEFAS) 

030

Growing season for agricultural crops

1985–2014

Agri4Cast Data: Gridded agro-meteorological data in Europe provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC)

031

Agrophenology

1985–2014

Agri4Cast Data: Gridded agro-meteorological data in Europe provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC) 

032

Water-limited crop yield

Winter wheat:
2030;
RCP8.5

Assessing agriculture vulnerabilities for the design of effective measures for adaption to climate change (AVEMAC project) provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC) 

Crop mix: 2050s;
SRES A1B

Wheat:
2060;
RCP8.5

A regional comparison of the effects of climate change on agricultural crops in Europe provided by Universidad Politecnica de Madrid 

Adverse weather conditions for European wheat production will become more frequent with climate change provided by University of Aarhus 

033

Crop water demand

1995–2015

2015–2045; RCP8.5

Agri4Cast Data: Gridded agro-meteorological data in Europe provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC)

047

Heating and cooling degree days

1951–2014

GEOSTAT 2011 grid dataset provided by  Statistical Office of the European Union (Eurostat) 

E-OBS gridded dataset provided by  Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) 

European degree-day climatologies and trends for the period 1951–2011 provided by  Joint Research Centre (JRC) 

Note:         This table lists only quantitative projections of future changes in the form of graphs or maps. National or sub-national projections shown in a box are not considered. A decade followed by ‘s’ stands for the 30 years during which this decade is the centre (e.g. ‘2030s’ refers to 2021–2050). Indicators marked with an asterisk (*) are part of the EEA Core Set of Indicators (CSI).

[EEA CCIV – Data sources]                

\n" ], "text/plain": [ "" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "%%html\n", "

Data coverage and sources of indicators in the 2016 EEA CCIV report

CLIM code

Indicator

Time period (past trends, longest time series)

Time horizon & emissions scenario (projections)

Data sources
(past trends)

Data sources (projections)

001

Global and European temperature (*)

1850–2015

2080s; RCP4.5/8.5

NOAA Global Temp provided by  National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) 

HadCRUT4 provided by  Met Office Hadley Centre 

GISTEMP provided by  NASA 

ECA&D  provided by Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) 

E-OBS gridded dataset provided by Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) 

ERA-Interim provided by European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF)

EURO-CORDEX data provided by EURO-CORDEX initiative 

003

Heat extremes

1960–2015

2030s, 2080s; RCP4.5/8.5

HadEX2 - global climate extremes dataset provided by Met Office Hadley Centre

Number of heat waves provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC) 

002

Mean precipitation

1960–2015

2080s; RCP8.5

E-OBS gridded dataset provided by Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) 

EURO-CORDEX data provided by EURO-CORDEX initiative 

004

Heavy precipitation

1960–2015

2080s; RCP8.5

HadEX2 - global climate extremes dataset provided by Met Office Hadley Centre 

EURO-CORDEX data provided by EURO-CORDEX initiative 

005

Wind storms

2080s;
SRES A1B

Future changes in European winter storm losses and extreme wind speeds provided by Freie Universität Berlin 

053

Hail

1951–2010

Changes in the Hail Potential Over Past and Future Decades using a Logistic Hail Model provided by Karlsruhe Institute of technology 

010

Arctic and Baltic sea ice (*)

Arctic: 
1979–2016

Baltic:
1719–2016

Up to 2100;
All RCPs

Time series of Arctic sea ice extent provided by  Monitoring Climate Change in the Cryosphere (CryoClim) 

Maximum annual extent of ice cover in the Baltic Sea since 1720 provided by  Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI)

CMIP5 climate projections provided by  CMIP5 coupled model intercomparison project

009

Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets

1992–2015

A Reconciled Estimate of Ice-Sheet Mass Balance provided by  University of Leeds

007

Glaciers

1946–2014

Up to 2100; RCP4.5/8.5

Fluctuation of Glaciers Database (FoG) provided by  World Glacier Monitoring Service (WGMS) 

Projected changes in the volume of all mountain glaciers and ice caps in the European glaciated regions provided by  University of British Columbia (UBC)

008

Snow cover

1922–2015

Up to 2100;
All RCPs

Monthly Northern Hemisphere snow cover extent provided by  Rutgers University Global Snow Lab 

Globsnow SWE series provided by  Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI)

Northern Hemisphere land snow cover simulated by CMIP5 coupled climate models provided by  Laboratorie de Glaciologie et Géophysique de l'Environnement (LGGE)

043

Ocean acidification

1988–2014

Up to 2100;
All RCPs

Station ALOHA Surface Ocean Carbon Dioxide provided by  The Laboratory for Microbial Oceanography (Hawaii)

CMIP5 climate projections provided by  CMIP5 coupled model intercomparison project

044

Ocean heat content

1957–2013

Global Ocean Heat and Salt Content provided by  National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

013

Sea surface temperature (*)

1870–2015

HadISST1 - Global sea ice and Sea Surface Temperature analyses provided by  Met Office Hadley Centre 

Mediterranean Sea - High Resolution L4 Sea Surface Temperature Reprocessed provided by  Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service 

015

Distribution shifts of marine species

1958–2014

CPR Dataset (SAHFOS) provided by Sir Alister Hardy Foundation for Ocean Science (SAHFOS) 

Demersal survey data - supplementary dataset S2 provided by Centre for Environment, Fisheries & Aquaculture Science (CEFAS)

054

Ocean oxygen content

1906–2012

Spreading Dead Zones and Consequences for Marine Ecosystems provided by Virginia Institute of Marine Science 

Deoxygenation of the Baltic Sea during the last century provided by DCE - Danish Centre For Environment And Energy

012

Global and European sea level rise (*)

Global:
1880–2015

Global:
2081–2100;
All RCPs, SRES A1B

Global:
Reconstructed Global mean sea level (satellite and altimetre) provided by  Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) 

Global:
Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis provided by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 

European:
1970–2014

European:
2081–2100; RCP4.5

European:
Mean Sea Level Trend from satellite altimetry (T/P-Jason-1-Jason-2 merged datasets) provided by Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service 

Relative sea level trends (tide gauge data) provided by Permanent service for mean sea level (PSMSL)

European:
FRCP4.5 total sea level rise projections provided by Integrated Climate Data Centre (ICDC)

Summary of AR5 regional projections and allowances provided by Antarctic Climate & Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre

016

River flows

1963–2000

2080s;
SRES A1B

Filling the white space on maps of European runoff trends: estimates from a multi-model ensemble provided by University of Freiburg 

Ensemble projections of future streamflow droughts in Europe provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC) 

017

River floods

1980–2010

2006–2035, 2036–2065, 2066–2095; RCP8.5

European past floods provided by  European Environment Agency (EEA) 

Projected change in river floods with a return period of 100 years provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC) 

018

Meteorological and hydrological droughts

Meteorological: 1950–2012

Meteorological: 2050s, 2080s; RCP4.5/8.5

Meteorological: 
European drought climatologies and trends based on a multi-indicator approach provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC) 

Meteorological:
EURO-CORDEX data provided by EURO-CORDEX initiative 

Future meteorological drought: projections of regional climate models for Europe provided by University of Oslo 

Hydrological: 1963–2000

Hydrological: 2080s;
SRES A1B

Hydrological:
Filling the white space on maps of European runoff trends: estimates from a multi-model ensemble provided by University of Freiburg

Hydrological:
Projected change in 20 year return level minimum flow and deficit volumes due to climate change and changes in water use provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC)

019

Water temperature

1911–2014

Water temperature in Lake Võrtsjärv provided by  Estonian University of Life Sciences 

River Danube water temperature measurements provided by  University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna (BOKU) 

Temperatuur oppervlaktewater provided by  Compendium voor de Leefomgeving 

Trend in August water temperature in Lake Saimaa 1924-2014 provided by  Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE) 

029

Soil moisture

1951–2012

2030s;
SRES A1B

Analysing Seasonal Differences between a Soil Water Balance Model and in Situ Soil Moisture Measurements at Nine Locations Across Europe provided by European Environment Agency (EEA) 

The future of dry and wet spells in Europe provided by Wegener Center for Climate and Global Change 

023

Phenology of plant and animal species

1982–2011

Recent spring phenology shifts in western Central Europe based on multiscale observations provided by  College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China 

022

Distribution shifts of plant and animal species

2050, 2100;
SRES A2, B1

Differences in the climatic debts of birds and butterflies at a continental scale provided by Centre national de la recherche scientifique (CNRS) 

Climatic Risk and Distribution Atlas of European Bumblebees provided by Universite de Mons 

034

Forest composition and distribution

2100;
SRES A1B

Adapting to climate change in European forests – results of the MOTIVE project provided by European Forest Institute (EFI) 

035

Forest fires

1980–2013

2080s;
SRES A1B

EFFIS European Forest Fire Information System provided by  Joint Research Centre (JRC) 

Seasonal severity rating index provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC)
[past and projections]

039

Economic losses from climate-related extremes (*)

1980–2015

NatCatSERVICE provided by  Munich Re

046

Floods and health

1991–2015

EM-DAT: The International Disaster Database provided by Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED) 

Population data (Eurostat) provided by Statistical Office of the European Union (Eurostat)

036

Extreme temperatures and health

1987–2010

Associations between temperature and mortality in four European cities provided by London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine 

037

Vector-borne diseases

Up to 2016

Chikungunya: 2020s, 2050s, 2080s;
SRES A1B, B1

West Nile Virus:
2025, 2050;
SRES A1B

ECDC VBORNET vector distribution maps provided by European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 

The climatic suitability for dengue transmission in continental Europe provided by European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)

Climate change effects on Chikungunya transmission in Europe provided by European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 

West Nile fever maps provided by European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)

038

Water- and food-borne diseases

1982–2010

Vibriosis: 
2050

Emerging Vibrio risk at high latitudes in response to ocean warming provided by  Centre for Environment, Fisheries & Aquaculture Science (CEFAS) 

030

Growing season for agricultural crops

1985–2014

Agri4Cast Data: Gridded agro-meteorological data in Europe provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC)

031

Agrophenology

1985–2014

Agri4Cast Data: Gridded agro-meteorological data in Europe provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC) 

032

Water-limited crop yield

Winter wheat:
2030;
RCP8.5

Assessing agriculture vulnerabilities for the design of effective measures for adaption to climate change (AVEMAC project) provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC) 

Crop mix: 2050s;
SRES A1B

Wheat:
2060;
RCP8.5

A regional comparison of the effects of climate change on agricultural crops in Europe provided by Universidad Politecnica de Madrid 

Adverse weather conditions for European wheat production will become more frequent with climate change provided by University of Aarhus 

033

Crop water demand

1995–2015

2015–2045; RCP8.5

Agri4Cast Data: Gridded agro-meteorological data in Europe provided by Joint Research Centre (JRC)

047

Heating and cooling degree days

1951–2014

GEOSTAT 2011 grid dataset provided by  Statistical Office of the European Union (Eurostat) 

E-OBS gridded dataset provided by  Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) 

European degree-day climatologies and trends for the period 1951–2011 provided by  Joint Research Centre (JRC) 

Note:         This table lists only quantitative projections of future changes in the form of graphs or maps. National or sub-national projections shown in a box are not considered. A decade followed by ‘s’ stands for the 30 years during which this decade is the centre (e.g. ‘2030s’ refers to 2021–2050). Indicators marked with an asterisk (*) are part of the EEA Core Set of Indicators (CSI).

[EEA CCIV – Data sources]                

\n", "\n" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "collapsed": true }, "outputs": [], "source": [] } ], "metadata": { "celltoolbar": "Raw Cell Format", "kernelspec": { "display_name": "Python 2", "language": "python", "name": "python2" }, "language_info": { "codemirror_mode": { "name": "ipython", "version": 2 }, "file_extension": ".py", "mimetype": "text/x-python", "name": "python", "nbconvert_exporter": "python", "pygments_lexer": "ipython2", "version": "2.7.11" } }, "nbformat": 4, "nbformat_minor": 1 }