""" MeanRevBB — Bollinger lower-band bounce Paradigm: mean-reversion Hypothesis: BTC/ETH 1h bars that close below the lower Bollinger Band (20-period, sigma=2.0) tend to mean-revert back to the middle band within ~10-20 bars. No exit_profit_only trick — we want to measure the raw BB bounce edge cleanly. Parent: root Created: pending-first-commit Status: active """ from pandas import DataFrame import talib.abstract as ta from freqtrade.strategy import IStrategy class MeanRevBB(IStrategy): INTERFACE_VERSION = 3 timeframe = "1h" can_short = False minimal_roi = {"0": 100} # No stop. Confirmed across multiple rounds: any stop tight enough to # reduce DD (-5%, -15%) realizes recoverable losses and actually makes # DD worse or leaves it flat while cutting profit. stoploss = -0.99 trailing_stop = False process_only_new_candles = True use_exit_signal = True exit_profit_only = False ignore_roi_if_entry_signal = False startup_candle_count: int = 210 def populate_indicators(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame: # BB period 15, sigma 2.0. Brackets confirmed: period 20/15/10 → # 15 wins; sigma 2.5/2.0/1.8 → 2.0 wins. bb = ta.BBANDS(dataframe, timeperiod=15, nbdevup=2.0, nbdevdn=2.0) dataframe["bb_lower"] = bb["lowerband"] dataframe["bb_middle"] = bb["middleband"] dataframe["bb_upper"] = bb["upperband"] # Regime EMA 100. Brackets: 200 (0.51), 100 (0.52), 75 (0.46), # 50 (0.39). 100 is optimum. dataframe["ema200"] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=100) dataframe["rsi"] = ta.RSI(dataframe, timeperiod=14) dataframe["vol_sma20"] = dataframe["volume"].rolling(20).mean() dataframe["atr"] = ta.ATR(dataframe, timeperiod=14) dataframe["atr_sma20"] = dataframe["atr"].rolling(20).mean() return dataframe def populate_entry_trend(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame: # 1-bar confirmed reversal. Magnitude gate (round 67, prev < bb_lower - # 0.5*ATR) killed MR — shallow BB touches ARE the edge in bull regime; # deeper oversold = capitulation = worse bounces. prev_below_lower = dataframe["close"].shift(1) < dataframe["bb_lower"].shift(1) now_above_lower = dataframe["close"] > dataframe["bb_lower"] bull_regime = dataframe["close"] > dataframe["ema200"] # Volume bracket: 1.0x (0.52), 1.25x (0.32), 1.5x (0.25). 1.0x wins. vol_expansion = dataframe["volume"] > dataframe["vol_sma20"] # RSI<75 (round 76) was a no-op here — MR entries are inherently # low-RSI (price just dropped below lower BB). dataframe.loc[ prev_below_lower & now_above_lower & bull_regime & vol_expansion, "enter_long", ] = 1 return dataframe def populate_exit_trend(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame: # Exit at upper band + RSI>75. Bracket 65/70/75/80 → 75 optimum. # Patient exit lets winners extend; 80 too strict (trades 139→84). dataframe.loc[ (dataframe["close"] >= dataframe["bb_upper"]) & (dataframe["rsi"] > 75), "exit_long", ] = 1 return dataframe