{ "dataset": "long_term_economic", "publication_id": "57054", "title": "Long-Term Economic Projections", "source_url": "https://www.cbo.gov/publication/57054", "description": "Extensions of CBO's 10-year economic projections for additional decades, covering GDP growth, labor force, productivity, inflation, interest rates, and key economic levels out to ~2055-2100.", "frequency": "annual", "date_format": "YYYY (4-digit year)", "canonical_columns": ["date", "variable", "value"], "output_files": { "rates_{vintage}.csv": "Annual growth rates and percentages (Sheet 1)", "lfp_rates_{vintage}.csv": "Labor force participation rates by sex and age group (Sheet 2)", "levels_{vintage}.csv": "Annual level variables — GDP, prices, labor force (Sheet 3)" }, "rates_fields": { "real_potential_gdp_growth": {"description": "Growth of real potential GDP", "unit": "Percent"}, "potential_lf_growth": {"description": "Growth of potential labor force", "unit": "Percent"}, "potential_lf_prod_growth": {"description": "Growth of potential labor force productivity", "unit": "Percent"}, "real_gdp_growth": {"description": "Growth of real GDP", "unit": "Percent"}, "real_gdp_per_person_growth": {"description": "Growth of real GDP per person", "unit": "Percent"}, "nominal_gdp_growth": {"description": "Growth of nominal GDP", "unit": "Percent"}, "lfpr": {"description": "Labor force participation rate (BLS basis)", "unit": "Percent"}, "lfpr_census": {"description": "Labor force participation rate (Census basis)", "unit": "Percent"}, "labor_force_growth": {"description": "Labor force growth (BLS basis)", "unit": "Percent"}, "labor_force_growth_census": {"description": "Labor force growth (Census basis)", "unit": "Percent"}, "unemployment_rate": {"description": "Unemployment rate", "unit": "Percent"}, "noncyclical_unemp_rate": {"description": "Noncyclical rate of unemployment", "unit": "Percent"}, "avg_hours_worked_growth": {"description": "Growth of average hours worked", "unit": "Percent"}, "total_hours_worked_growth": {"description": "Growth of total hours worked", "unit": "Percent"}, "earnings_share_of_comp": {"description": "Earnings as a share of compensation", "unit": "Percent"}, "real_earnings_per_worker_growth": {"description": "Growth of real earnings per worker", "unit": "Percent"}, "earnings_below_taxable_max_share": {"description": "Share of earnings below the taxable maximum", "unit": "Percent"}, "tfp_growth": {"description": "Growth of total factor productivity", "unit": "Percent"}, "real_gdp_per_hour_growth": {"description": "Growth of real GDP per hour worked", "unit": "Percent"}, "pce_price_growth": {"description": "Growth of the PCE price index", "unit": "Percent"}, "cpiu_growth": {"description": "Growth of the CPI-U", "unit": "Percent"}, "gdp_price_growth": {"description": "Growth of the GDP price index", "unit": "Percent"}, "treasury_10y_real": {"description": "Real interest rate on 10-year Treasury notes", "unit": "Percent"}, "treasury_10y_nominal": {"description": "Nominal interest rate on 10-year Treasury notes", "unit": "Percent"}, "interest_rate_fed_debt": {"description": "Interest rate on all federal debt held by the public (FY)", "unit": "Percent"}, "population": {"description": "Population", "unit": "Millions of people"} }, "lfp_rates_format": { "description": "Labor force participation rates by sex and age group, stored in tidy format", "columns": ["year", "sex", "age_group", "lfp_rate"], "sex_values": ["all", "male", "female"], "age_groups": "16+, 16-17, 18-19, 20-24, ..., 70-79, 80-89 (33 groups total)" }, "levels_fields": { "real_gdp_level": {"description": "Real GDP", "unit": "Trillions of 2017 dollars"}, "nominal_gdp_level": {"description": "Nominal GDP", "unit": "Trillions of dollars"}, "real_potential_gdp_level": {"description": "Real Potential GDP", "unit": "Trillions of 2017 dollars"}, "gdp_price_index_level": {"description": "GDP price index", "unit": "Index, 2017=1.0"}, "pce_price_index_level": {"description": "PCE price index", "unit": "Index, 2017=1.0"}, "cpiu_index_level": {"description": "CPI-U", "unit": "Index, 1982-84=1.0"}, "wage_salary_level": {"description": "U.S. wage and salary disbursements", "unit": "Trillions of dollars"}, "civilian_lf_level": {"description": "Civilian labor force (BLS basis)", "unit": "Millions of people"}, "civilian_lf_level_census": {"description": "Civilian labor force (Census basis)", "unit": "Millions of people"}, "civilian_empl_level": {"description": "Total civilian employment (BLS basis)", "unit": "Millions of people"}, "civilian_empl_level_census": {"description": "Total civilian employment (Census basis)", "unit": "Millions of people"}, "proprietors_income_level": {"description": "Proprietors' income", "unit": "Trillions of dollars"}, "potential_lf_level": {"description": "Potential labor force", "unit": "Millions of people"} } }