--- name: dcf-valuation description: Estimate a public equity's intrinsic value with a discounted-cash-flow model — pull fundamentals, set a discount rate via CAPM/WACC, project free cash flow, and discount it. tags: [equity, valuation, dcf, intrinsic-value] requires_tools: - data_equity_reference - data_equity_fundamentals - compute_valuation_wacc - compute_valuation_dcf --- # DCF valuation Estimate intrinsic value per share with a transparent, grounded DCF. ## Workflow 1. **Anchor the company.** `data_equity_reference` for shares outstanding, beta, and current price; `data_equity_fundamentals` for revenue, free cash flow, margins, growth, and total cash/debt. 2. **Discount rate.** `compute_valuation_wacc` — CAPM cost of equity from a risk-free rate, an equity risk premium, and the beta you pulled; add the debt trio for a WACC blend when leverage is material. Use the resulting rate. 3. **Project FCF.** Build a short explicit free-cash-flow schedule (typically 3–5 years) from the latest FCF and a growth path grounded in the fundamentals and trend. State the assumptions you used. 4. **Value it.** `compute_valuation_dcf` with the FCF schedule, the discount rate, a terminal method (Gordon growth or exit multiple), net debt (debt − cash), and shares outstanding. Chain bulk inputs with `prev:` references where a prior tool already produced the series. 5. **Report.** Intrinsic value per share vs. the current price, the discount rate and key assumptions, and how much of the value rests on the terminal value. ## Principles - Make every assumption explicit (growth, discount rate, terminal method) — a DCF is only as credible as its inputs, and the reader needs to see them. - Prefer chaining real figures (fundamentals → FCF → DCF) over restating numbers by hand; let the tools carry the arithmetic. - A high terminal-value share of enterprise value is worth flagging, not hiding — report the number and let the reader weigh it.