{
  "created_utc": "2026-10-11T19:41:02.218946+00:00",
  "config": "config/bias_correction/sep_ondj.json",
  "protocol": "Selection-aware confirmation of rainfall-amount bias-correction methods through the full probability pipeline (docs/47).\n\nRead-only experiment. Configured by the \"confirmation\" block of config/bias_correction/<name>.json; any cycle, any\nmethod of the registry (scripts/bias_methods.py).\n\nPipeline for one amount method (the operational one, with the amount correction swapped):\n    corrected members -> tercile counts against the training CHIRPS terciles -> alpha smoothing\n    -> blend with climatology, p = (1 - lambda) p_s + lambda p_clim, one lambda per target fitted by\n       leave-one-year-out within the training years (local_blend.fit_weights, over the full rectangle as operationally)\nDesign:\n    outer leave-one-year-out over the training years. For outer year y every fit (amount correction, terciles,\n    climatology, lambda) uses only the other training years; lambda comes from inner leave-one-year-out within them.\n    Selection-aware procedures choose a method for year y with the inner (training-only) scores:\n        SEL-P: lowest inner blended RPS (probability product); SEL-A: lowest inner CRPS (amount product).\n    Their outer scores therefore include the effect of choosing among the declared candidate family.\n    Test years: all fits and the selection on the training years, scored on the test years (exploratory).\nScores per year (area-weighted over a region, equal years): blended RPS and RPSS, category Brier scores and skill\n(below and above normal), reliability tables; ensemble CRPS of the amounts (and the fair CRPS).\nTests against the operational method: paired whole-year sign-flip, Holm across the declared family\n(every method and target for the method comparisons; the targets for SEL-P and SEL-A).",
  "provenance": {
    "commit": "007ce47883266ccca56149ff986167bbfd0abd5d",
    "uncommitted_changes": false,
    "code_sha256": {
      "scripts/bias_methods.py": "4d7cedd8f5747220e68a5926ca16460c4a54c259515f468269aa90e7a6f11e0b",
      "scripts/bias_benchmark.py": "9965903d553dd4472890c95a85fd1c9f7edc054a9fa306b836559791cb5d441f",
      "scripts/significance.py": "3143761d5d201e4e62df9ad923757b952a3ea768b060c8a722afcd9b3d6a9963",
      "scripts/calibration_core.py": "f0635cc563e6d6aedb62799847b83fbb0f5cc12ee9f8c48ad48dda15a054fb62",
      "scripts/run_calibration.py": "1f34e8fc92fdd15983f1633de67fcb6a35882911b6b7072ca865df99d907afd0"
    },
    "config": {
      "path": "config/bias_correction/sep_ondj.json",
      "sha256": "190fcb29728ce2155391d0d8da98f53dce8e6a511cb341b6cdc650d62b5f86cf"
    },
    "project_config": {
      "path": "config/ondj/project.json",
      "sha256": "e9ad8cfb30b21a731e86222ae0b592df124600d457d6fcd46d7a508a831c63de"
    },
    "masks": {
      "cells": {
        "path": "data/masks/ethiopia_common.nc",
        "sha256": "57ad8861c598abb9f175012920e5d0ef058e5b643cd6e4987cad3da6ac0b9e16"
      },
      "ethiopia": {
        "path": "data/masks/ethiopia_common.nc",
        "sha256": "57ad8861c598abb9f175012920e5d0ef058e5b643cd6e4987cad3da6ac0b9e16"
      },
      "ondj_domain": {
        "path": "data/masks/init09_ONDJ_regime_domain.nc",
        "sha256": "336c572d69af3c718de2ef0e537a2d2d98d73b98cab9b02f0b234501a523d83f"
      }
    },
    "inputs": {
      "Oct": {
        "folder": "data/processed/init09_Oct",
        "files": 65,
        "sha256": "0d2561be8800f597bd5f38f02dc670c9861a3aea08dc795d0d3e1105a909b6db"
      },
      "Nov": {
        "folder": "data/processed/init09_Nov",
        "files": 65,
        "sha256": "73d9d400dfa5457a448855f4a211901bf6884d03575b6efeee391376f3fa995a"
      },
      "Dec": {
        "folder": "data/processed/init09_Dec",
        "files": 65,
        "sha256": "df5a657046e479f4a70116e69305bec1938217a49df5b88475b272b397354a2d"
      },
      "Jan": {
        "folder": "data/processed/init09_Jan",
        "files": 65,
        "sha256": "fc51a4c4480bdc0b21d3f968861435ae0221b9660a0cd98c3ced69adad04e489"
      },
      "ONDJ": {
        "folder": "data/processed/init09_ONDJ",
        "files": 65,
        "sha256": "a8ba572412dc96aef88757296d4a01c83453576b53f79bf2ec734bd88c073fa7"
      }
    },
    "scoring_version": 2,
    "python": "3.11.9",
    "numpy": "1.26.4",
    "code_sha256_confirmation": "5b4b3b7b01d659ef4fdf186bf1659e434da45b9d01e8a3da5b4e514bf47d6510"
  },
  "methods": [
    "mvs",
    "ls",
    "vs",
    "sqrt_mvs",
    "pt",
    "dc",
    "loci",
    "eqm",
    "gqm",
    "dqm",
    "qdm",
    "sdm",
    "cdft"
  ],
  "reference": "mvs",
  "targets": {
    "Oct": {
      "tag": "init09_Oct",
      "methods": {
        "mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.42538728750972316,
            "training": [
              0.37990243118091593,
              0.41737300263456084,
              0.4053462649472595,
              0.4636782673784853,
              0.5278393342553381,
              0.4302330048105594,
              0.43960743628978016,
              0.3678936525338006,
              0.4180288439651384,
              0.42499051268068255,
              0.4149488272921513,
              0.4284606032372001,
              0.46519590053394627,
              0.43682817734458024,
              0.33721561687581375,
              0.4003877259637699,
              0.43354764138637625,
              0.4085917663132644,
              0.45417426163600805,
              0.4284591045842697,
              0.4187951072237447,
              0.4136110872665356,
              0.4458716428993908,
              0.44831468699978283
            ],
            "test": 0.450114246121134
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4950961576084949,
                  0.4180269314854892,
                  0.4520181291545821,
                  0.47847269882827337,
                  0.39287780953929097,
                  0.4605690815670287,
                  0.4240098297830071,
                  0.5535100419849915,
                  0.3688347156710824,
                  0.4489218828664224,
                  0.5880888590922456,
                  0.35747880417708877,
                  0.3847557073164858,
                  0.44217148467220774,
                  0.533010699176192,
                  0.43594261776888327,
                  0.4051781520918111,
                  0.5803285814477319,
                  0.4439039037687648,
                  0.4191562182745214,
                  0.39049458273692317,
                  0.4994218475450847,
                  0.3513467358567136,
                  0.4202636323424456
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.43940389586261985,
                  0.4665815975343043,
                  0.4078016629257561,
                  0.5058326534107924,
                  0.5395139539081617,
                  0.49558246555093133,
                  0.4802715214492444,
                  0.4940433293404847,
                  0.3914621834757892,
                  0.4277164147133932,
                  0.5144532300877738,
                  0.3688788642452346,
                  0.45641496116615643,
                  0.4825359152593056,
                  0.4144568447211086,
                  0.4364608837118219,
                  0.42094222389547176,
                  0.4840252584820353,
                  0.4719586571698775,
                  0.40608224744207533,
                  0.407618183369595,
                  0.4985033807712113,
                  0.41838804437156996,
                  0.4537770988760395
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2364500334593686,
                  0.2605541384316135,
                  0.2836821755900308,
                  0.36571962797698676,
                  0.07361028482230166,
                  0.18418049487366067,
                  0.15498285135748105,
                  0.15105452614465661,
                  0.17248153472471442,
                  0.23685387630318777,
                  0.4392206114689661,
                  0.20465294981725698,
                  0.29098106012618136,
                  0.09421228348318819,
                  0.3325657285826025,
                  0.14583265073513096,
                  0.1651050256866593,
                  0.40406614873513796,
                  0.2864300109782967,
                  0.23312703178691746,
                  0.12399538346401484,
                  0.10637676962870092,
                  0.13095334213101079,
                  0.29848779080331733
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.19457870756681286,
                  0.28338161161055664,
                  0.2603988151290453,
                  0.3801317890887892,
                  0.12139582486297858,
                  0.2083086937549171,
                  0.179673404168855,
                  0.13049409161286557,
                  0.18820422829035943,
                  0.23725297240826868,
                  0.3930574463474963,
                  0.2061208543150891,
                  0.32867257140426404,
                  0.12346043676030426,
                  0.28728118486517273,
                  0.14778867910296825,
                  0.17721343670206774,
                  0.3552785719779392,
                  0.29320090548610794,
                  0.22384930431748742,
                  0.13483308539642477,
                  0.12264454476536311,
                  0.165349012936125,
                  0.30321995858175416
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.25864612221618183,
                  0.1574727917998335,
                  0.1683359518040361,
                  0.11275306810473196,
                  0.3192675251618121,
                  0.27638859146604194,
                  0.2690269818723698,
                  0.40245552350153085,
                  0.19635318058952392,
                  0.2120680050818189,
                  0.14886824380949137,
                  0.15282585199655702,
                  0.09377464529074091,
                  0.3479592067655345,
                  0.20044497026221664,
                  0.2901099710096818,
                  0.2400731264880101,
                  0.17626243312896298,
                  0.15747388972058685,
                  0.18602918569323812,
                  0.2664992025607505,
                  0.39304508508519925,
                  0.22039339264833327,
                  0.1217758400404599
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.244825188295807,
                  0.18319998592374737,
                  0.1474028477967109,
                  0.12570086432200342,
                  0.41811812904518303,
                  0.2872737717960143,
                  0.3005981172803895,
                  0.3635492377276191,
                  0.20325795518542972,
                  0.1904634423051245,
                  0.12139578374027739,
                  0.16275800993014544,
                  0.1277423897618922,
                  0.3590754784990013,
                  0.12717565985593585,
                  0.2886722046088535,
                  0.24372878719340413,
                  0.1287466865040958,
                  0.17875775168376942,
                  0.182232943124588,
                  0.2727850979731702,
                  0.3758588360058481,
                  0.2530390314354449,
                  0.15055714029428513
                ],
                "crps": [
                  29.67378959578211,
                  20.39171022028824,
                  22.129602483451144,
                  22.60669997854145,
                  99.15424862383108,
                  32.93961343557478,
                  34.14804082557553,
                  45.310527598015504,
                  16.980509293805117,
                  23.26363806472486,
                  34.30641070958419,
                  21.6673119567454,
                  15.501370574446218,
                  34.031364433764544,
                  32.68092685622029,
                  25.49529165514328,
                  22.71307649711292,
                  37.67772996081562,
                  23.727450421654112,
                  24.264675905764573,
                  21.75295835619262,
                  35.63238159135384,
                  23.4310747309871,
                  20.829059109155565
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.77074843142727,
                  22.60409869067204,
                  18.38031484850475,
                  25.959936518793185,
                  123.34118991059545,
                  35.588714164776064,
                  39.220907889439694,
                  39.49590059501811,
                  18.35094398856043,
                  19.018950574892433,
                  27.831563580748035,
                  21.968021793696813,
                  21.56629431892967,
                  37.55562250213345,
                  20.343092113101918,
                  25.75266643361196,
                  21.96609944248159,
                  25.58890298078945,
                  24.791989124537817,
                  21.665834698643923,
                  21.79847843728042,
                  34.8315441627334,
                  25.585209165511976,
                  22.091569801149358
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.700065628098088,
                  19.311769171793667,
                  21.11728967680072,
                  21.588674658432815,
                  98.06472083843083,
                  32.03676683607745,
                  33.08690667975023,
                  44.28524311621321,
                  16.028423498075497,
                  22.097836363186147,
                  33.164062673101725,
                  20.572069021259686,
                  14.575606472933515,
                  33.02204418715376,
                  31.638325839443873,
                  24.52548189477754,
                  21.55428891092255,
                  36.58087774522163,
                  22.713270224784914,
                  23.286872816493386,
                  20.648933577482737,
                  34.69737998618328,
                  22.10402361671269,
                  19.940812916353636
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.51064113159216,
                  21.34178182693399,
                  17.109998394156545,
                  24.703975408517493,
                  122.2696629923497,
                  34.35098937579959,
                  37.99006225524478,
                  38.26557578034132,
                  17.080571907583543,
                  17.74984365790482,
                  26.57914721869575,
                  20.704500238866018,
                  20.302011916608773,
                  36.321622918341355,
                  19.07649303993666,
                  24.496312766356763,
                  20.70257424683409,
                  24.33223915547966,
                  23.533815992682083,
                  20.40174081976945,
                  20.534635777607914,
                  33.59238533966214,
                  24.32853834433991,
                  20.828282238756913
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44766162936482345,
              "rpss": 0.012756604260354298,
              "brier_below": 0.22398234712964096,
              "bss_below": 0.012893225527570662,
              "brier_above": 0.22367928275406848,
              "bss_above": 0.012619757692870825,
              "crps": 30.01289428660542,
              "crpss": -0.001725661112951915,
              "crps_fair": 28.972572764570145,
              "crpss_fair": -0.009046983939649866,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.03918,
                    0.376282,
                    0.388271,
                    0.167714,
                    0.028158,
                    0.000395,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1808,
                    0.2554,
                    0.3462,
                    0.4433,
                    0.5279,
                    0.6309,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2707,
                    0.3005,
                    0.3482,
                    0.4416,
                    0.5265,
                    0.7143,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.016367,
                    0.289457,
                    0.436911,
                    0.201781,
                    0.051879,
                    0.003604,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1802,
                    0.2605,
                    0.3494,
                    0.4449,
                    0.5309,
                    0.6211,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2043,
                    0.2613,
                    0.3765,
                    0.3895,
                    0.4433,
                    0.4892,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3821213536049497,
                  0.39787625054211095,
                  0.33829209505147206,
                  0.3810727683320545,
                  0.33797791693785495,
                  0.3632338248876904,
                  0.3787544493842826,
                  0.6254715706414189,
                  0.38793496951289286,
                  0.3613305101399431,
                  0.5393779173956886,
                  0.3723599907510324,
                  0.4004536632232584,
                  0.47808004879599475,
                  0.5524114737662847,
                  0.48635742436076507,
                  0.31838351925499175,
                  0.48889041997009997,
                  0.36690844606747597,
                  0.3292068938659621,
                  0.33772247926015675,
                  0.5118995404366729,
                  0.28649374840887715,
                  0.4609776136681079
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4283784857114221,
                  0.426706305961757,
                  0.34466488699165887,
                  0.5130077270408857,
                  0.5410158863622896,
                  0.48132609845393376,
                  0.42143417390584187,
                  0.49961637384642854,
                  0.41822160564029737,
                  0.4024426800552632,
                  0.5388940294117011,
                  0.3853584913200236,
                  0.5182825785529102,
                  0.520890978389888,
                  0.44508072243200725,
                  0.47856087825017973,
                  0.3579810319851315,
                  0.4969649351160663,
                  0.42935647355424533,
                  0.3854220303157415,
                  0.34929101419438247,
                  0.47527063535536435,
                  0.48976956498879315,
                  0.5267262457793177
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2375763135702363,
                  0.16325675931275252,
                  0.16835677817250835,
                  0.3007653187609268,
                  0.05213757389413341,
                  0.27044736148014326,
                  0.2461813116190256,
                  0.1823727299784091,
                  0.17091861456621849,
                  0.10240196730873806,
                  0.4164519257186542,
                  0.20506935287501893,
                  0.31066180432940266,
                  0.08705988822532314,
                  0.3649377623248024,
                  0.12128641892294359,
                  0.12477382686493824,
                  0.3736668072596011,
                  0.15946929216169786,
                  0.09629514739451313,
                  0.13125304372328078,
                  0.12128170133357663,
                  0.05142088303925606,
                  0.37569602520810075
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.260916368370509,
                  0.18230982257127842,
                  0.1744601993170755,
                  0.3920247357664324,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.33810643785296296,
                  0.2628742416199158,
                  0.13479064363488874,
                  0.19259108021282037,
                  0.12944501007419143,
                  0.41791103813724767,
                  0.2209426899917617,
                  0.3972995872784568,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3150864593637269,
                  0.12256697767898699,
                  0.15807349465346632,
                  0.37120768576769203,
                  0.18695933477249566,
                  0.14105590686426853,
                  0.13688174505845058,
                  0.12416576635757047,
                  0.12574169593915657,
                  0.40415464577044424
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14454503847071573,
                  0.23461949085386014,
                  0.16993531574141746,
                  0.08030744909932953,
                  0.28584034184597557,
                  0.09278646316208662,
                  0.13257313615962119,
                  0.4430988470542893,
                  0.21701635661776597,
                  0.2589285430559143,
                  0.12292598603780414,
                  0.16729063404413885,
                  0.08979185843819698,
                  0.39102016497993813,
                  0.1874737078744503,
                  0.36507101300391037,
                  0.19360968927773675,
                  0.11522361166539183,
                  0.20743915261398588,
                  0.23291174766381054,
                  0.20646943500916543,
                  0.3906178457365395,
                  0.23507286333955457,
                  0.08528158588915216
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16746211734091326,
                  0.24439648339047856,
                  0.17020468767458338,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.42003289508783637,
                  0.1432196606009709,
                  0.15855993228592616,
                  0.3648257302115401,
                  0.22563052542747697,
                  0.27299766998107183,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.16441580132826192,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3999079871154346,
                  0.12999426306828057,
                  0.35599390057119296,
                  0.19990753733166522,
                  0.12575724934837454,
                  0.24239713878174965,
                  0.244366123451473,
                  0.21240926913593197,
                  0.3511048689977941,
                  0.36402786904963685,
                  0.12257160000887342
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.427026693508974,
                  27.520946601407122,
                  18.704135069327435,
                  20.640273439613782,
                  121.48845250046554,
                  23.438413493603843,
                  18.872113204088002,
                  62.42772943055523,
                  20.545351264760804,
                  18.58209176875217,
                  35.84402336236239,
                  24.95227464846109,
                  19.41873518159527,
                  49.69860113974305,
                  33.70724812987301,
                  37.56863160881453,
                  19.319345483689,
                  34.93151617163961,
                  23.632776758687463,
                  23.09435642217234,
                  19.791228544163484,
                  37.13486246508266,
                  27.2552446462045,
                  26.23680495719328
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.638963822645973,
                  24.235290387642486,
                  18.424283296657233,
                  32.54717605456645,
                  156.90499273836357,
                  32.635277727606166,
                  21.537420350099357,
                  49.09575292416304,
                  22.525465304564662,
                  20.988002465707634,
                  34.61988384032085,
                  24.30789299289558,
                  29.701345919639383,
                  54.971641276234905,
                  22.842560447513375,
                  36.98644829813116,
                  18.957656403027976,
                  33.035212506102354,
                  28.03299847714953,
                  26.339484558745546,
                  20.084345939930547,
                  32.84079658873186,
                  39.9223127647239,
                  31.23869015810775
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.40132824209317,
                  26.085319817774476,
                  17.57946042882691,
                  19.512884524172897,
                  120.37832537134713,
                  22.521182095087568,
                  17.775877879942254,
                  61.35288284602517,
                  19.56508315348336,
                  17.579133846772983,
                  34.606282436237805,
                  23.55338156382956,
                  18.22452785002189,
                  48.59208696205414,
                  32.41199610334928,
                  36.34403183751847,
                  17.89570631844762,
                  33.917649039921734,
                  22.546958244546015,
                  21.93413193449182,
                  18.54585366159102,
                  36.14522557893328,
                  25.58119482880271,
                  25.211757342203605
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.16546441774922,
                  22.76670826790671,
                  16.94469548167337,
                  31.09433614253317,
                  155.68767899429207,
                  31.182604674802132,
                  20.063728628019742,
                  47.67425501377674,
                  21.053644879747303,
                  19.513270179453034,
                  33.170969511215155,
                  22.839448378093994,
                  28.243116177805117,
                  53.561271942272995,
                  21.37134058167887,
                  35.54201609868039,
                  17.47907876438195,
                  31.583296905530318,
                  26.57160898637116,
                  24.874887655242915,
                  18.60790218298319,
                  31.38851277619512,
                  38.48344091464168,
                  29.783372053088755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.41181620367750166,
              "rpss": 0.0911361454955415,
              "brier_below": 0.2014057753351751,
              "bss_below": 0.11005973841802141,
              "brier_above": 0.21041042823478132,
              "bss_above": 0.07225288415884978,
              "crps": 31.843007624406855,
              "crpss": 0.08410899274040196,
              "crps_fair": 30.677594246144782,
              "crpss_fair": 0.07926549524308224,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.051206,
                    0.345177,
                    0.366216,
                    0.207354,
                    0.029975,
                    7.3e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1827,
                    0.251,
                    0.3493,
                    0.4434,
                    0.5267,
                    0.6219,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1388,
                    0.1727,
                    0.3635,
                    0.5971,
                    0.7458,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.022917,
                    0.32352,
                    0.404557,
                    0.174663,
                    0.067154,
                    0.00719,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.181,
                    0.2598,
                    0.3481,
                    0.4472,
                    0.5323,
                    0.623,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2435,
                    0.2267,
                    0.3223,
                    0.4981,
                    0.6989,
                    0.6167,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.431334225079096,
                  0.3580017408399259,
                  0.4681648565045873,
                  0.3466362964326788,
                  0.45299302554315657,
                  0.30804044382284845,
                  0.4431528092076201,
                  0.5487144673007074
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41226069330832904,
                  0.37346476202427337,
                  0.5449498935810108,
                  0.3668786910829554,
                  0.4702381054334581,
                  0.35149027409467,
                  0.4617153008948455,
                  0.4689090852917107
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.17688965488119857,
                  0.16925784754421075,
                  0.10240372616191809,
                  0.19948769308990952,
                  0.2352531555058057,
                  0.1204473254393601,
                  0.11246427527173203,
                  0.16546076105070634
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.16272543810516465,
                  0.17439021621908166,
                  0.1111111177338495,
                  0.19565233168880328,
                  0.24748910543474462,
                  0.14877102166271772,
                  0.11990485299837937,
                  0.13022383774923363
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2544445645656427,
                  0.1887438944725517,
                  0.36576109792427897,
                  0.14714860955208425,
                  0.21773986885198926,
                  0.18759312367620712,
                  0.33068851416617034,
                  0.383253683525002
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2495352503192138,
                  0.19907454994431797,
                  0.43383873800717726,
                  0.1712263685129215,
                  0.22274899990451802,
                  0.20271925591935436,
                  0.3418104265124274,
                  0.3386852267172677
                ],
                "crps": [
                  22.95528905103561,
                  16.15320840088391,
                  51.25767764163395,
                  16.444277545651268,
                  24.316203416396295,
                  16.179059002020775,
                  39.4831301210433,
                  42.42698000324012
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.51742288315328,
                  17.602067483896718,
                  66.72428457706202,
                  18.842687558036157,
                  25.490235640654245,
                  17.86439441677566,
                  41.38038268584848,
                  34.17883620329718
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.46311079347444,
                  15.65113497097003,
                  50.59309624524306,
                  15.981433407978082,
                  23.844528914788352,
                  15.594733581600712,
                  38.95352115697368,
                  41.98381221839083
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.32105586449988,
                  16.40570046524331,
                  65.52791755840862,
                  17.64632053938275,
                  24.293868622000836,
                  16.66802739812226,
                  40.184015667195084,
                  32.98246918464377
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.41962973309132756,
              "rpss": 0.02691926078318685,
              "brier_below": 0.16020805486810513,
              "bss_below": 0.006667981512334276,
              "brier_above": 0.2594216695917408,
              "bss_above": 0.039018311064484945,
              "crps": 28.651978147738156,
              "crpss": 0.05904953972050375,
              "crps_fair": 28.1331714111774,
              "crpss_fair": 0.038302901072165496,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.028044,
                    0.247393,
                    0.511662,
                    0.197019,
                    0.015882,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1924,
                    0.2577,
                    0.3504,
                    0.4319,
                    0.5221,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.003,
                    0.0851,
                    0.1566,
                    0.2075,
                    0.5281,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00856,
                    0.384597,
                    0.450351,
                    0.123116,
                    0.031495,
                    0.00188,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1925,
                    0.2625,
                    0.3382,
                    0.4369,
                    0.5315,
                    0.6133,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0981,
                    0.4028,
                    0.4612,
                    0.655,
                    0.9704,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4388515678971061,
                  0.3243358482424736,
                  0.3149414833259184,
                  0.38389955176994534,
                  0.4766329999171627,
                  0.31651993474238005,
                  0.44783992440779863,
                  0.4085998937079787
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41878825306748607,
                  0.3532443184157963,
                  0.5497652319245143,
                  0.41409150225437374,
                  0.500554732533218,
                  0.3283216325296163,
                  0.5179393398216053,
                  0.38569804049108725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.14177691110405527,
                  0.20256554008829422,
                  0.05665881936309704,
                  0.19459691272881036,
                  0.3723788940520658,
                  0.17028819757451183,
                  0.09769932533357108,
                  0.17657933890864627
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12324328915544643,
                  0.21087180444506454,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.20657791360422298,
                  0.38654922735379516,
                  0.1778652528005686,
                  0.11863830449786794,
                  0.1581566706892246
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.29707464358463975,
                  0.1217703184652181,
                  0.25828263563517906,
                  0.18930263944225645,
                  0.10425412218786022,
                  0.1462317487398326,
                  0.35014057131370285,
                  0.23202055039196257
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29554495080091303,
                  0.14237252824897006,
                  0.438654075489631,
                  0.20751359128025879,
                  0.11400552453007727,
                  0.15045639256177848,
                  0.39930100365958165,
                  0.22754136885072465
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.91833160499266,
                  15.62687953052599,
                  54.41605650807889,
                  22.6554879372294,
                  24.435285215590532,
                  16.024834193278412,
                  51.93517368740825,
                  24.185120616033885
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.40124575195562,
                  18.535452439061405,
                  96.88435708644411,
                  25.600608810810552,
                  26.457175781428862,
                  16.988995955173806,
                  61.64931906064567,
                  21.436898042938385
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  27.30715329823253,
                  15.083441594633237,
                  53.532357910138494,
                  22.125632083999694,
                  23.86459419704756,
                  15.433531745567986,
                  51.28498161857322,
                  23.67887365004317
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.012970318608165,
                  17.14717700571395,
                  95.49608165309667,
                  24.212333377463093,
                  25.06890034808142,
                  15.600720521826346,
                  60.26104362729821,
                  20.04862260959093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3889526505013454,
              "rpss": 0.10286631679677194,
              "brier_below": 0.1765679923941315,
              "bss_below": 0.05389746094063941,
              "brier_above": 0.21238465372008147,
              "bss_above": 0.1398773328977857,
              "crps": 29.649646161642252,
              "crpss": 0.19032637738907343,
              "crps_fair": 29.038820762279485,
              "crpss_fair": 0.17575895454961843,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.034846,
                    0.253871,
                    0.519511,
                    0.179807,
                    0.011965,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1889,
                    0.2538,
                    0.3519,
                    0.4261,
                    0.5207,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0062,
                    0.0925,
                    0.2573,
                    0.3363,
                    0.7272,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.011308,
                    0.336943,
                    0.459538,
                    0.122331,
                    0.065081,
                    0.004799,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1931,
                    0.2649,
                    0.3358,
                    0.4414,
                    0.5338,
                    0.6133,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.2238,
                    0.3492,
                    0.842,
                    0.9799,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "ls": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.5156126261831728,
            "training": [
              0.49773355332781055,
              0.5057860407443958,
              0.5051035808741103,
              0.5288404220111191,
              0.578974403928917,
              0.5150224277415385,
              0.5255682351117655,
              0.48666340134180286,
              0.5118529939249555,
              0.5202445850881946,
              0.4825890423699954,
              0.5385252760808672,
              0.5293905476862356,
              0.5219142613783662,
              0.4401168951461012,
              0.5192771074080905,
              0.5392507302571029,
              0.4841079384073418,
              0.5320316513849344,
              0.521344443571131,
              0.5198964951774491,
              0.515672134261313,
              0.541685419762366,
              0.5131114414102441
            ],
            "test": 0.5381165334451788
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44672750803348166,
                  0.4540296080032355,
                  0.44843623340390715,
                  0.5137892746991523,
                  0.4097095600471376,
                  0.4692274377448477,
                  0.42710339184114143,
                  0.5116639707462339,
                  0.3693949085734214,
                  0.4507324797585566,
                  0.6087003238163397,
                  0.33171698644901065,
                  0.42439467814084086,
                  0.4348697225941823,
                  0.5193521611422292,
                  0.4094083813067038,
                  0.3766438678818188,
                  0.595553086030805,
                  0.4751197353717754,
                  0.4117895052305825,
                  0.367924403860787,
                  0.4774761841816211,
                  0.3569943063536423,
                  0.4511120550169988
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.43940389586261985,
                  0.4665815975343043,
                  0.4078016629257561,
                  0.5058326534107924,
                  0.5395139539081617,
                  0.49558246555093133,
                  0.4802715214492444,
                  0.4940433293404847,
                  0.3914621834757892,
                  0.4277164147133932,
                  0.5144532300877738,
                  0.3688788642452346,
                  0.45641496116615643,
                  0.4825359152593056,
                  0.4144568447211086,
                  0.4364608837118219,
                  0.42094222389547176,
                  0.4840252584820353,
                  0.4719586571698775,
                  0.40608224744207533,
                  0.407618183369595,
                  0.4985033807712113,
                  0.41838804437156996,
                  0.4537770988760395
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.19209646171632794,
                  0.294347830416246,
                  0.2903246865479402,
                  0.40437045244411085,
                  0.07193914442636999,
                  0.18803559801567377,
                  0.15103478524746794,
                  0.11173570266857397,
                  0.1732960900522402,
                  0.24447243234945806,
                  0.4702709217438916,
                  0.18234370053495924,
                  0.32990356117335834,
                  0.07897111560303476,
                  0.3419173245823146,
                  0.11925218912792666,
                  0.13660057599722703,
                  0.43229479222463446,
                  0.31655652150927027,
                  0.23360851103566993,
                  0.10005498862847555,
                  0.08111551201193834,
                  0.1350885170733332,
                  0.3282114678825659
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.19457870756681286,
                  0.28338161161055664,
                  0.2603988151290453,
                  0.3801317890887892,
                  0.12139582486297858,
                  0.2083086937549171,
                  0.179673404168855,
                  0.13049409161286557,
                  0.18820422829035943,
                  0.23725297240826868,
                  0.3930574463474963,
                  0.2061208543150891,
                  0.32867257140426404,
                  0.12346043676030426,
                  0.28728118486517273,
                  0.14778867910296825,
                  0.17721343670206774,
                  0.3552785719779392,
                  0.29320090548610794,
                  0.22384930431748742,
                  0.13483308539642477,
                  0.12264454476536311,
                  0.165349012936125,
                  0.30321995858175416
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2546310472134489,
                  0.1596817777805232,
                  0.1581115464799915,
                  0.10941882027460545,
                  0.33777041526896656,
                  0.28119184138770115,
                  0.2760686076737233,
                  0.3999282713734119,
                  0.1960988188822254,
                  0.206260046415074,
                  0.13842939995459794,
                  0.14937328441644826,
                  0.0944911163207881,
                  0.3558986089393821,
                  0.17743483687333741,
                  0.29015619388801617,
                  0.24004329214079953,
                  0.1632582946118372,
                  0.15856321294428072,
                  0.17818099428203332,
                  0.2678694161271838,
                  0.39636067314630546,
                  0.22190578876190697,
                  0.12290058722823777
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.244825188295807,
                  0.18319998592374737,
                  0.1474028477967109,
                  0.12570086432200342,
                  0.41811812904518303,
                  0.2872737717960143,
                  0.3005981172803895,
                  0.3635492377276191,
                  0.20325795518542972,
                  0.1904634423051245,
                  0.12139578374027739,
                  0.16275800993014544,
                  0.1277423897618922,
                  0.3590754784990013,
                  0.12717565985593585,
                  0.2886722046088535,
                  0.24372878719340413,
                  0.1287466865040958,
                  0.17875775168376942,
                  0.182232943124588,
                  0.2727850979731702,
                  0.3758588360058481,
                  0.2530390314354449,
                  0.15055714029428513
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.222781673707665,
                  21.31703847901609,
                  22.03411199096253,
                  24.83227175272922,
                  105.71252285831793,
                  35.80100796501907,
                  35.899180365571446,
                  44.121948137305615,
                  16.51177492054053,
                  22.332263112037406,
                  36.61913112066131,
                  18.861840158549242,
                  17.898477484658464,
                  35.3218199260784,
                  32.55315298301741,
                  23.766233565443493,
                  20.436826931306403,
                  38.27897759382076,
                  25.758457113158286,
                  24.365468106866132,
                  20.347547769157263,
                  36.17971892367718,
                  21.729933133767556,
                  22.35705340466501
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.77074843142727,
                  22.60409869067204,
                  18.38031484850475,
                  25.959936518793185,
                  123.34118991059545,
                  35.588714164776064,
                  39.220907889439694,
                  39.49590059501811,
                  18.35094398856043,
                  19.018950574892433,
                  27.831563580748035,
                  21.968021793696813,
                  21.56629431892967,
                  37.55562250213345,
                  20.343092113101918,
                  25.75266643361196,
                  21.96609944248159,
                  25.58890298078945,
                  24.791989124537817,
                  21.665834698643923,
                  21.79847843728042,
                  34.8315441627334,
                  25.585209165511976,
                  22.091569801149358
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.44571104873688,
                  20.45798780055971,
                  21.2198118836531,
                  24.005970257526194,
                  104.77339554683817,
                  35.07649407515398,
                  35.04956078293874,
                  43.312191004729286,
                  15.768500012874892,
                  21.420802458558743,
                  35.69765193215713,
                  17.99211199431761,
                  17.155053601835288,
                  34.54207262888813,
                  31.716352082791406,
                  22.992045470222184,
                  19.55027507726956,
                  37.39203397372579,
                  24.9462504735257,
                  23.573891510980634,
                  19.482410670017927,
                  35.452144131712984,
                  20.704120420605268,
                  21.644704980278608
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.51064113159216,
                  21.34178182693399,
                  17.109998394156545,
                  24.703975408517493,
                  122.2696629923497,
                  34.35098937579959,
                  37.99006225524478,
                  38.26557578034132,
                  17.080571907583543,
                  17.74984365790482,
                  26.57914721869575,
                  20.704500238866018,
                  20.302011916608773,
                  36.321622918341355,
                  19.07649303993666,
                  24.496312766356763,
                  20.70257424683409,
                  24.33223915547966,
                  23.533815992682083,
                  20.40174081976945,
                  20.534635777607914,
                  33.59238533966214,
                  24.32853834433991,
                  20.828282238756913
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4475779070928521,
              "rpss": 0.012941239830298712,
              "brier_below": 0.22532678679220872,
              "bss_below": 0.006968180470238838,
              "brier_above": 0.22225112051603443,
              "bss_above": 0.018924048189878473,
              "crps": 30.42748081125144,
              "crpss": -0.015563112327209083,
              "crps_fair": 29.59881432582908,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03085751363408984,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.092831,
                    0.544327,
                    0.264111,
                    0.090274,
                    0.008372,
                    8.5e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1886,
                    0.2518,
                    0.3453,
                    0.4367,
                    0.5209,
                    0.6286,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3206,
                    0.2999,
                    0.3904,
                    0.5172,
                    0.6189,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004471,
                    0.33783,
                    0.435934,
                    0.197813,
                    0.023783,
                    0.00017,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1887,
                    0.2675,
                    0.348,
                    0.4393,
                    0.5298,
                    0.6119,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1836,
                    0.2627,
                    0.3766,
                    0.4247,
                    0.3769,
                    0.6675,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3929661983251349,
                  0.39247555908814846,
                  0.3169168621458845,
                  0.4286958549921056,
                  0.3666976915546788,
                  0.42117001548982624,
                  0.39498370315058445,
                  0.571895195379912,
                  0.3958991282334686,
                  0.3515964913647661,
                  0.5819334376132903,
                  0.3540835489734854,
                  0.4518458400370026,
                  0.4805654844704723,
                  0.5491399225823619,
                  0.4625954873305861,
                  0.31480732907751774,
                  0.5288571573514745,
                  0.3672951037630243,
                  0.3247753493659798,
                  0.31535740286045194,
                  0.486315068810987,
                  0.3154793167337421,
                  0.5142130507224147
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4283784857114221,
                  0.426706305961757,
                  0.34466488699165887,
                  0.5130077270408857,
                  0.5410158863622896,
                  0.48132609845393376,
                  0.42143417390584187,
                  0.49961637384642854,
                  0.41822160564029737,
                  0.4024426800552632,
                  0.5388940294117011,
                  0.3853584913200236,
                  0.5182825785529102,
                  0.520890978389888,
                  0.44508072243200725,
                  0.47856087825017973,
                  0.3579810319851315,
                  0.4969649351160663,
                  0.42935647355424533,
                  0.3854220303157415,
                  0.34929101419438247,
                  0.47527063535536435,
                  0.48976956498879315,
                  0.5267262457793177
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2492796723814603,
                  0.15691446283836832,
                  0.15269944413046924,
                  0.3476681261558532,
                  0.05756619859702501,
                  0.3243364039613912,
                  0.26121126767858804,
                  0.1369243150216008,
                  0.1775650757287002,
                  0.08813757894986042,
                  0.465011564262855,
                  0.19279685722619813,
                  0.36247557280963827,
                  0.07766721973097869,
                  0.37831668106040595,
                  0.09618644302570405,
                  0.12103668125682286,
                  0.41709213912549725,
                  0.1531376995523452,
                  0.09681439216661844,
                  0.10710465192876269,
                  0.09373244419889194,
                  0.05869012911617116,
                  0.4296249074406541
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.260916368370509,
                  0.18230982257127842,
                  0.1744601993170755,
                  0.3920247357664324,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.33810643785296296,
                  0.2628742416199158,
                  0.13479064363488874,
                  0.19259108021282037,
                  0.12944501007419143,
                  0.41791103813724767,
                  0.2209426899917617,
                  0.3972995872784568,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3150864593637269,
                  0.12256697767898699,
                  0.15807349465346632,
                  0.37120768576769203,
                  0.18695933477249566,
                  0.14105590686426853,
                  0.13688174505845058,
                  0.12416576635757047,
                  0.12574169593915657,
                  0.40415464577044424
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14368652620013925,
                  0.23556109670901043,
                  0.16421741818611962,
                  0.08102772699642034,
                  0.30913149281846447,
                  0.09683361176172396,
                  0.13377243493137567,
                  0.434970883003856,
                  0.218334052740253,
                  0.263458912196552,
                  0.11692187026580542,
                  0.16128668896904585,
                  0.08937026527071301,
                  0.40289826607958085,
                  0.17082324082964312,
                  0.366409048985519,
                  0.1937706462472982,
                  0.11176501840343796,
                  0.21415740314667916,
                  0.22796095807767341,
                  0.20825275068844287,
                  0.39258262418143214,
                  0.2567891861828304,
                  0.0845881428968074
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16746211734091326,
                  0.24439648339047856,
                  0.17020468767458338,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.42003289508783637,
                  0.1432196606009709,
                  0.15855993228592616,
                  0.3648257302115401,
                  0.22563052542747697,
                  0.27299766998107183,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.16441580132826192,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3999079871154346,
                  0.12999426306828057,
                  0.35599390057119296,
                  0.19990753733166522,
                  0.12575724934837454,
                  0.24239713878174965,
                  0.244366123451473,
                  0.21240926913593197,
                  0.3511048689977941,
                  0.36402786904963685,
                  0.12257160000887342
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.662507703726188,
                  25.41282382212229,
                  17.09516344635271,
                  23.589356545769057,
                  131.58985678537724,
                  28.97686561482608,
                  19.14046573914978,
                  60.391154233230445,
                  20.386756884222148,
                  17.321354954673623,
                  40.31068675974616,
                  21.513825600767017,
                  24.4765787307935,
                  53.5714631058277,
                  34.253843564733096,
                  35.03940252442034,
                  17.193532219032146,
                  38.48444328251798,
                  24.514377662114608,
                  22.242653055270484,
                  18.26263027134737,
                  36.418211163522116,
                  25.0599277764814,
                  31.649469845717793
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.638963822645973,
                  24.235290387642486,
                  18.424283296657233,
                  32.54717605456645,
                  156.90499273836357,
                  32.635277727606166,
                  21.537420350099357,
                  49.09575292416304,
                  22.525465304564662,
                  20.988002465707634,
                  34.61988384032085,
                  24.30789299289558,
                  29.701345919639383,
                  54.971641276234905,
                  22.842560447513375,
                  36.98644829813116,
                  18.957656403027976,
                  33.035212506102354,
                  28.03299847714953,
                  26.339484558745546,
                  20.084345939930547,
                  32.84079658873186,
                  39.9223127647239,
                  31.23869015810775
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.849299415240527,
                  24.29013617068558,
                  16.187663376029402,
                  22.666643129594167,
                  130.63367646809994,
                  28.211825895625704,
                  18.241847311013093,
                  59.517822582857846,
                  19.61611789518355,
                  16.544704278553347,
                  39.30724341611216,
                  20.412175707685073,
                  23.511083582796267,
                  52.71381678580652,
                  33.20495439300025,
                  34.059573557613746,
                  16.100652856830802,
                  37.644993271217835,
                  23.647352640788355,
                  21.3035264521757,
                  17.262630645509834,
                  35.63496847733713,
                  23.766060926606606,
                  30.81646491609009
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.16546441774922,
                  22.76670826790671,
                  16.94469548167337,
                  31.09433614253317,
                  155.68767899429207,
                  31.182604674802132,
                  20.063728628019742,
                  47.67425501377674,
                  21.053644879747303,
                  19.513270179453034,
                  33.170969511215155,
                  22.839448378093994,
                  28.243116177805117,
                  53.561271942272995,
                  21.37134058167887,
                  35.54201609868039,
                  17.47907876438195,
                  31.583296905530318,
                  26.57160898637116,
                  24.874887655242915,
                  18.60790218298319,
                  31.38851277619512,
                  38.48344091464168,
                  29.783372053088755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4200233416423875,
              "rpss": 0.0730232811191378,
              "brier_below": 0.2084162470143692,
              "bss_below": 0.07908296533585724,
              "brier_above": 0.21160709440703432,
              "bss_above": 0.0669765126441566,
              "crps": 32.77322297048922,
              "crpss": 0.05735348395364093,
              "crps_fair": 31.839384756352228,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0443963786668512,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.05428,
                    0.528105,
                    0.298307,
                    0.108423,
                    0.010885,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1902,
                    0.2501,
                    0.3475,
                    0.4387,
                    0.5192,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1297,
                    0.2337,
                    0.4664,
                    0.6409,
                    0.6467,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.005796,
                    0.385583,
                    0.393453,
                    0.183602,
                    0.031131,
                    0.000436,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1901,
                    0.2665,
                    0.3474,
                    0.4427,
                    0.534,
                    0.6119,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1874,
                    0.2326,
                    0.3328,
                    0.5782,
                    0.6273,
                    0.6671,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.41910184541474277,
                  0.3374902637530855,
                  0.4658978126816676,
                  0.3306701383798321,
                  0.45340408383514647,
                  0.3015985676184388,
                  0.4345695180027272,
                  0.5127937404466788
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41226069330832904,
                  0.37346476202427337,
                  0.5449498935810108,
                  0.3668786910829554,
                  0.4702381054334581,
                  0.35149027409467,
                  0.4617153008948455,
                  0.4689090852917107
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16433534010856246,
                  0.1502395836356493,
                  0.08270791608695974,
                  0.1831218110665241,
                  0.23844663355530574,
                  0.11195745928800792,
                  0.09586588499376718,
                  0.13298962711796236
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.16272543810516465,
                  0.17439021621908166,
                  0.1111111177338495,
                  0.19565233168880328,
                  0.24748910543474462,
                  0.14877102166271772,
                  0.11990485299837937,
                  0.13022383774923363
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2547664991780941,
                  0.1872506815296222,
                  0.38318986242207353,
                  0.14754833342045512,
                  0.21495744951840276,
                  0.18964111323045163,
                  0.33870361294384155,
                  0.3798040900673819
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2495352503192138,
                  0.19907454994431797,
                  0.43383873800717726,
                  0.1712263685129215,
                  0.22274899990451802,
                  0.20271925591935436,
                  0.3418104265124274,
                  0.3386852267172677
                ],
                "crps": [
                  21.908325077869538,
                  14.57210945836457,
                  55.972849881583755,
                  15.445990610843772,
                  24.653954791507214,
                  15.016213767863965,
                  41.271174556852934,
                  41.644852971017045
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.51742288315328,
                  17.602067483896718,
                  66.72428457706202,
                  18.842687558036157,
                  25.490235640654245,
                  17.86439441677566,
                  41.38038268584848,
                  34.17883620329718
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  21.517535042088394,
                  14.174095638615203,
                  55.44246912339021,
                  15.068993082367411,
                  24.279829795783648,
                  14.555821189720008,
                  40.85486299791088,
                  41.284556930039464
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.32105586449988,
                  16.40570046524331,
                  65.52791755840862,
                  17.64632053938275,
                  24.293868622000836,
                  16.66802739812226,
                  40.184015667195084,
                  32.98246918464377
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.40694074626653987,
              "rpss": 0.056343793188018965,
              "brier_below": 0.14495803198159235,
              "bss_below": 0.10122212879484171,
              "brier_above": 0.26198270528879036,
              "bss_above": 0.029531407316436553,
              "crps": 28.810683889487848,
              "crpss": 0.05383753516087575,
              "crps_fair": 28.397270474989405,
              "crpss_fair": 0.029275006570493534,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.056764,
                    0.48178,
                    0.381667,
                    0.073592,
                    0.006197,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1878,
                    0.2527,
                    0.343,
                    0.4317,
                    0.5122,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0625,
                    0.1093,
                    0.1888,
                    0.248,
                    0.6445,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000509,
                    0.455106,
                    0.422259,
                    0.109252,
                    0.012874,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1926,
                    0.2682,
                    0.3403,
                    0.4347,
                    0.5231,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.6653,
                    0.3841,
                    0.498,
                    0.7174,
                    0.9869,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4156914233157093,
                  0.3111098089994667,
                  0.34838778525450853,
                  0.3841169358240845,
                  0.5129366631082083,
                  0.2995019007154108,
                  0.4543703081398074,
                  0.3938652007877206
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41878825306748607,
                  0.3532443184157963,
                  0.5497652319245143,
                  0.41409150225437374,
                  0.500554732533218,
                  0.3283216325296163,
                  0.5179393398216053,
                  0.38569804049108725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11715752045185984,
                  0.19039641301255264,
                  0.055870018207806245,
                  0.1953577291848142,
                  0.4126725554216857,
                  0.1565233863235579,
                  0.087483539596792,
                  0.16483495458946298
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12324328915544643,
                  0.21087180444506454,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.20657791360422298,
                  0.38654922735379516,
                  0.1778652528005686,
                  0.11863830449786794,
                  0.1581566706892246
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.298533889294315,
                  0.12071340699306915,
                  0.29251773640032297,
                  0.18875920720452585,
                  0.10026412530067648,
                  0.14297852608807526,
                  0.3668867402578487,
                  0.2290302422900575
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29554495080091303,
                  0.14237252824897006,
                  0.438654075489631,
                  0.20751359128025879,
                  0.11400552453007727,
                  0.15045639256177848,
                  0.39930100365958165,
                  0.22754136885072465
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.928419745973656,
                  14.114161262155177,
                  65.83742676807309,
                  21.955950565146537,
                  26.822502855766018,
                  14.367104182347985,
                  56.71962519526897,
                  22.659430998631297
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.40124575195562,
                  18.535452439061405,
                  96.88435708644411,
                  25.600608810810552,
                  26.457175781428862,
                  16.988995955173806,
                  61.64931906064567,
                  21.436898042938385
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  24.438100294486624,
                  13.683197258709779,
                  65.13637929781703,
                  21.52332687869142,
                  26.365400962848245,
                  13.895380672870939,
                  56.21363730419055,
                  22.2476188744534
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.012970318608165,
                  17.14717700571395,
                  95.49608165309667,
                  24.212333377463093,
                  25.06890034808142,
                  15.600720521826346,
                  60.26104362729821,
                  20.04862260959093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.38999750326811455,
              "rpss": 0.10045632522106618,
              "brier_below": 0.17253701459856643,
              "bss_below": 0.07549660966269722,
              "brier_above": 0.21746048422861136,
              "bss_above": 0.11932106012437904,
              "crps": 30.92557769667034,
              "crpss": 0.15548319232920527,
              "crps_fair": 30.437880193008496,
              "crpss_fair": 0.13604789957009888,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.023527,
                    0.503199,
                    0.413058,
                    0.052814,
                    0.007402,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1896,
                    0.2554,
                    0.3416,
                    0.4317,
                    0.5155,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0093,
                    0.169,
                    0.2863,
                    0.3375,
                    0.7056,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000434,
                    0.417808,
                    0.426476,
                    0.126736,
                    0.028545,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1926,
                    0.2707,
                    0.3388,
                    0.4438,
                    0.5254,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4986,
                    0.2049,
                    0.4231,
                    0.8886,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "vs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.4255863764213419,
            "training": [
              0.38704244732154475,
              0.4147978956304238,
              0.4045790863295763,
              0.4623599334905072,
              0.5341132627997858,
              0.4352290119811158,
              0.4436427278079503,
              0.36952919562542574,
              0.4156986233602925,
              0.4236896392296154,
              0.4143827349843808,
              0.4296590429299775,
              0.4629031453512283,
              0.4356236426718352,
              0.3379162560815826,
              0.4056605844246208,
              0.42898969716993557,
              0.41242919362948016,
              0.45127963803743515,
              0.4246353184397931,
              0.4151564017870877,
              0.41274164460608986,
              0.4437090188531011,
              0.4483048915694193
            ],
            "test": 0.45070565882676816
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.495581970244515,
                  0.4183332002653259,
                  0.453020094892893,
                  0.4770138301792471,
                  0.3945265666286452,
                  0.45812825404935403,
                  0.4256271023728207,
                  0.5550732028545333,
                  0.3701399493845936,
                  0.45096160790625794,
                  0.5847313916341443,
                  0.359221507234617,
                  0.3833496655751321,
                  0.44293875024360424,
                  0.5300095858141814,
                  0.43831141625202386,
                  0.4067827601738527,
                  0.5758610204415595,
                  0.44429314602442394,
                  0.4200974192355692,
                  0.3922487659056851,
                  0.5014755034519279,
                  0.35106424153089666,
                  0.4168241778002365
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.43940389586261985,
                  0.4665815975343043,
                  0.4078016629257561,
                  0.5058326534107924,
                  0.5395139539081617,
                  0.49558246555093133,
                  0.4802715214492444,
                  0.4940433293404847,
                  0.3914621834757892,
                  0.4277164147133932,
                  0.5144532300877738,
                  0.3688788642452346,
                  0.45641496116615643,
                  0.4825359152593056,
                  0.4144568447211086,
                  0.4364608837118219,
                  0.42094222389547176,
                  0.4840252584820353,
                  0.4719586571698775,
                  0.40608224744207533,
                  0.407618183369595,
                  0.4985033807712113,
                  0.41838804437156996,
                  0.4537770988760395
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.23706512762079862,
                  0.2602116825599843,
                  0.2841984303725257,
                  0.36419440716589474,
                  0.07404173372610817,
                  0.18129640826469418,
                  0.15599916277295403,
                  0.15329479621059264,
                  0.17399351775377647,
                  0.23869124187750235,
                  0.435526889762223,
                  0.20605409852738257,
                  0.2894986280130067,
                  0.09540079593306805,
                  0.329285530460439,
                  0.14847713435567483,
                  0.16618464037453842,
                  0.3996614914138775,
                  0.2867072271341246,
                  0.2341926411440911,
                  0.12592622081751137,
                  0.10900682597340312,
                  0.13144570417707696,
                  0.294697430421008
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.19457870756681286,
                  0.28338161161055664,
                  0.2603988151290453,
                  0.3801317890887892,
                  0.12139582486297858,
                  0.2083086937549171,
                  0.179673404168855,
                  0.13049409161286557,
                  0.18820422829035943,
                  0.23725297240826868,
                  0.3930574463474963,
                  0.2061208543150891,
                  0.32867257140426404,
                  0.12346043676030426,
                  0.28728118486517273,
                  0.14778867910296825,
                  0.17721343670206774,
                  0.3552785719779392,
                  0.29320090548610794,
                  0.22384930431748742,
                  0.13483308539642477,
                  0.12264454476536311,
                  0.165349012936125,
                  0.30321995858175416
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.25851684071615016,
                  0.15812151656861095,
                  0.1688216626565638,
                  0.11281942046889745,
                  0.3204848332996115,
                  0.27683185065174487,
                  0.26962794293861836,
                  0.40177841392428354,
                  0.1961464315173551,
                  0.21227036454428883,
                  0.14920449804461366,
                  0.1531674065066862,
                  0.0938510357947863,
                  0.34753795987086533,
                  0.20072405493067624,
                  0.28983428573564696,
                  0.24059811987329652,
                  0.17619952933793456,
                  0.1575859155382478,
                  0.18590477752780785,
                  0.2663225484442904,
                  0.39246868467041135,
                  0.2196185362703375,
                  0.12212674582110027
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.244825188295807,
                  0.18319998592374737,
                  0.1474028477967109,
                  0.12570086432200342,
                  0.41811812904518303,
                  0.2872737717960143,
                  0.3005981172803895,
                  0.3635492377276191,
                  0.20325795518542972,
                  0.1904634423051245,
                  0.12139578374027739,
                  0.16275800993014544,
                  0.1277423897618922,
                  0.3590754784990013,
                  0.12717565985593585,
                  0.2886722046088535,
                  0.24372878719340413,
                  0.1287466865040958,
                  0.17875775168376942,
                  0.182232943124588,
                  0.2727850979731702,
                  0.3758588360058481,
                  0.2530390314354449,
                  0.15055714029428513
                ],
                "crps": [
                  29.849286462257837,
                  20.756583023496805,
                  22.29491102815402,
                  22.483287064485765,
                  99.14302401192649,
                  32.552563103313624,
                  34.39493468795294,
                  45.52724219931649,
                  17.13733549925275,
                  23.496543692574594,
                  33.84767524446192,
                  22.06760200494157,
                  15.476232386310942,
                  34.1166896510211,
                  32.5267002788966,
                  25.802169807386566,
                  23.08153341081949,
                  37.300834427094415,
                  23.728133481308255,
                  24.369419747924173,
                  22.013689880024906,
                  35.78276479489043,
                  23.729850365840946,
                  20.44909527085526
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.77074843142727,
                  22.60409869067204,
                  18.38031484850475,
                  25.959936518793185,
                  123.34118991059545,
                  35.588714164776064,
                  39.220907889439694,
                  39.49590059501811,
                  18.35094398856043,
                  19.018950574892433,
                  27.831563580748035,
                  21.968021793696813,
                  21.56629431892967,
                  37.55562250213345,
                  20.343092113101918,
                  25.75266643361196,
                  21.96609944248159,
                  25.58890298078945,
                  24.791989124537817,
                  21.665834698643923,
                  21.79847843728042,
                  34.8315441627334,
                  25.585209165511976,
                  22.091569801149358
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.853299780718643,
                  19.641462016724525,
                  21.256972609695893,
                  21.443969642938495,
                  98.05388529276748,
                  31.6331837319198,
                  33.31290100674785,
                  44.487066055172754,
                  16.166260294692588,
                  22.3037195212634,
                  32.681411295638654,
                  20.93635649838951,
                  14.527775063070457,
                  33.079131671084085,
                  31.453556085106698,
                  24.809906519734692,
                  21.881280908325593,
                  36.18567747077595,
                  22.690024418288317,
                  23.365325547899108,
                  20.882521412696324,
                  34.82785905099015,
                  22.346742971090798,
                  19.537627958774976
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.51064113159216,
                  21.34178182693399,
                  17.109998394156545,
                  24.703975408517493,
                  122.2696629923497,
                  34.35098937579959,
                  37.99006225524478,
                  38.26557578034132,
                  17.080571907583543,
                  17.74984365790482,
                  26.57914721869575,
                  20.704500238866018,
                  20.302011916608773,
                  36.321622918341355,
                  19.07649303993666,
                  24.496312766356763,
                  20.70257424683409,
                  24.33223915547966,
                  23.533815992682083,
                  20.40174081976945,
                  20.534635777607914,
                  33.59238533966214,
                  24.32853834433991,
                  20.828282238756913
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4477339637540017,
              "rpss": 0.01259708277511462,
              "brier_below": 0.22396049028467738,
              "bss_below": 0.012989550260339211,
              "brier_above": 0.22377347398553438,
              "bss_above": 0.012203972378277084,
              "crps": 30.08033756352116,
              "crpss": -0.0039766823077387325,
              "crps_fair": 29.014913201021113,
              "crpss_fair": -0.010521602367454141,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.038584,
                    0.357477,
                    0.399183,
                    0.174444,
                    0.029918,
                    0.000395,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.182,
                    0.2555,
                    0.346,
                    0.4436,
                    0.5271,
                    0.6296,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2785,
                    0.306,
                    0.3376,
                    0.4403,
                    0.5364,
                    0.7143,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.020357,
                    0.282584,
                    0.438294,
                    0.202546,
                    0.052787,
                    0.003433,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1851,
                    0.2617,
                    0.3494,
                    0.4449,
                    0.5309,
                    0.6221,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1489,
                    0.2652,
                    0.3772,
                    0.3859,
                    0.4502,
                    0.4721,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3858865004709681,
                  0.3993105075557359,
                  0.34119788030115855,
                  0.3778251927303331,
                  0.3402550692951242,
                  0.3568160135803273,
                  0.3822128028457305,
                  0.6293332582947224,
                  0.39149691715020124,
                  0.3663232867486864,
                  0.531558413278326,
                  0.37628599687618935,
                  0.39678605846538895,
                  0.4800765811637807,
                  0.5456340897131146,
                  0.4920303598184398,
                  0.32184649804649557,
                  0.47964610205766045,
                  0.3682902647338971,
                  0.331043086876488,
                  0.3419843160426335,
                  0.5169837584716188,
                  0.28555706320388546,
                  0.4524191974965056
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4283784857114221,
                  0.426706305961757,
                  0.34466488699165887,
                  0.5130077270408857,
                  0.5410158863622896,
                  0.48132609845393376,
                  0.42143417390584187,
                  0.49961637384642854,
                  0.41822160564029737,
                  0.4024426800552632,
                  0.5388940294117011,
                  0.3853584913200236,
                  0.5182825785529102,
                  0.520890978389888,
                  0.44508072243200725,
                  0.47856087825017973,
                  0.3579810319851315,
                  0.4969649351160663,
                  0.42935647355424533,
                  0.3854220303157415,
                  0.34929101419438247,
                  0.47527063535536435,
                  0.48976956498879315,
                  0.5267262457793177
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.24087664256776653,
                  0.16286454036421327,
                  0.1700445548509521,
                  0.29729057388643304,
                  0.05287646503607667,
                  0.262765111300855,
                  0.2486210343098156,
                  0.18793647456718654,
                  0.17498922995425792,
                  0.10703861606921941,
                  0.4078835857136513,
                  0.20821129975831068,
                  0.30663762784574156,
                  0.09008174505099996,
                  0.35710121000047684,
                  0.12762358675050833,
                  0.12697412859066134,
                  0.3635912208696873,
                  0.1605247382243112,
                  0.09877094407764231,
                  0.1358523955219653,
                  0.1279485375939405,
                  0.05270766779053468,
                  0.36627486778723495
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.260916368370509,
                  0.18230982257127842,
                  0.1744601993170755,
                  0.3920247357664324,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.33810643785296296,
                  0.2628742416199158,
                  0.13479064363488874,
                  0.19259108021282037,
                  0.12944501007419143,
                  0.41791103813724767,
                  0.2209426899917617,
                  0.3972995872784568,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3150864593637269,
                  0.12256697767898699,
                  0.15807349465346632,
                  0.37120768576769203,
                  0.18695933477249566,
                  0.14105590686426853,
                  0.13688174505845058,
                  0.12416576635757047,
                  0.12574169593915657,
                  0.40415464577044424
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1450098563887836,
                  0.2364459671096249,
                  0.1711533241783629,
                  0.08053461894759423,
                  0.2873786030529516,
                  0.09405090247105313,
                  0.1335917667277439,
                  0.441396789342408,
                  0.21650768951631102,
                  0.2592846709338402,
                  0.12367482192231774,
                  0.16807469368593755,
                  0.09014843047074443,
                  0.3899948404217861,
                  0.18853287595879978,
                  0.3644067803383255,
                  0.19487236642216224,
                  0.11605487994306059,
                  0.20776552458865977,
                  0.23227214461441417,
                  0.20613192010107856,
                  0.3890352275673103,
                  0.23284939336594151,
                  0.08614432701303723
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16746211734091326,
                  0.24439648339047856,
                  0.17020468767458338,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.42003289508783637,
                  0.1432196606009709,
                  0.15855993228592616,
                  0.3648257302115401,
                  0.22563052542747697,
                  0.27299766998107183,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.16441580132826192,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3999079871154346,
                  0.12999426306828057,
                  0.35599390057119296,
                  0.19990753733166522,
                  0.12575724934837454,
                  0.24239713878174965,
                  0.244366123451473,
                  0.21240926913593197,
                  0.3511048689977941,
                  0.36402786904963685,
                  0.12257160000887342
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.796443207876493,
                  28.452682671654813,
                  19.140376473864226,
                  20.341108628302194,
                  121.38251321570625,
                  22.420898173819435,
                  19.478374812698302,
                  62.93723024096084,
                  20.93765534050157,
                  19.114215083058205,
                  34.69429806623808,
                  25.922285826061657,
                  19.367640014367666,
                  49.88179091568578,
                  33.315785381718236,
                  38.327438589503004,
                  20.20952669382575,
                  33.952002146049686,
                  23.65644395945103,
                  23.372069500609232,
                  20.41484280070591,
                  37.511933604645016,
                  27.968030426059926,
                  25.26012127490603
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.638963822645973,
                  24.235290387642486,
                  18.424283296657233,
                  32.54717605456645,
                  156.90499273836357,
                  32.635277727606166,
                  21.537420350099357,
                  49.09575292416304,
                  22.525465304564662,
                  20.988002465707634,
                  34.61988384032085,
                  24.30789299289558,
                  29.701345919639383,
                  54.971641276234905,
                  22.842560447513375,
                  36.98644829813116,
                  18.957656403027976,
                  33.035212506102354,
                  28.03299847714953,
                  26.339484558745546,
                  20.084345939930547,
                  32.84079658873186,
                  39.9223127647239,
                  31.23869015810775
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.715806346244086,
                  26.929722087339147,
                  17.953215924336536,
                  19.16246664905763,
                  120.27065167684222,
                  21.46330963144311,
                  18.33006381660518,
                  61.826976856690806,
                  19.912173474495873,
                  18.048901258446836,
                  33.39958940543937,
                  24.43364364915642,
                  18.117273266210194,
                  48.706488205921346,
                  31.94583008976752,
                  37.047547337264156,
                  18.684489903233693,
                  32.89637090628739,
                  22.513031560866853,
                  22.147219599938698,
                  19.103810806034588,
                  36.473434542220254,
                  26.15800080339216,
                  24.177244150248658
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.16546441774922,
                  22.76670826790671,
                  16.94469548167337,
                  31.09433614253317,
                  155.68767899429207,
                  31.182604674802132,
                  20.063728628019742,
                  47.67425501377674,
                  21.053644879747303,
                  19.513270179453034,
                  33.170969511215155,
                  22.839448378093994,
                  28.243116177805117,
                  53.561271942272995,
                  21.37134058167887,
                  35.54201609868039,
                  17.47907876438195,
                  31.583296905530318,
                  26.57160898637116,
                  24.874887655242915,
                  18.60790218298319,
                  31.38851277619512,
                  38.48344091464168,
                  29.783372053088755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4121166339673921,
              "rpss": 0.09047310642898365,
              "brier_below": 0.2014786166034351,
              "bss_below": 0.1097378788426373,
              "brier_above": 0.21063801729509368,
              "bss_above": 0.07124939257303264,
              "crps": 31.99398779367789,
              "crpss": 0.07976639480050496,
              "crps_fair": 30.76738591447845,
              "crpss_fair": 0.07657055487027631,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.049041,
                    0.312756,
                    0.38039,
                    0.22327,
                    0.034471,
                    7.3e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.185,
                    0.2523,
                    0.3502,
                    0.444,
                    0.5261,
                    0.6202,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1464,
                    0.1643,
                    0.3457,
                    0.5837,
                    0.7432,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.021615,
                    0.319037,
                    0.406362,
                    0.176689,
                    0.069472,
                    0.006826,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1819,
                    0.2604,
                    0.3484,
                    0.4472,
                    0.5326,
                    0.6245,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.218,
                    0.2288,
                    0.3228,
                    0.4858,
                    0.7037,
                    0.5963,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43356571257389304,
                  0.3595082347172357,
                  0.4686566043086898,
                  0.34654309630868774,
                  0.4504255492941124,
                  0.3093841868869138,
                  0.4436502168813626,
                  0.5508386071294846
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41226069330832904,
                  0.37346476202427337,
                  0.5449498935810108,
                  0.3668786910829554,
                  0.4702381054334581,
                  0.35149027409467,
                  0.4617153008948455,
                  0.4689090852917107
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1791698289921965,
                  0.17058300987562378,
                  0.10323976536214916,
                  0.19905511869259485,
                  0.2323376747881075,
                  0.12159308287686164,
                  0.11333111181744143,
                  0.16745802372390317
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.16272543810516465,
                  0.17439021621908166,
                  0.1111111177338495,
                  0.19565233168880328,
                  0.24748910543474462,
                  0.14877102166271772,
                  0.11990485299837937,
                  0.13022383774923363
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2543958779372264,
                  0.1889252260911066,
                  0.36541680657509595,
                  0.14748798392107265,
                  0.2180878733240499,
                  0.18779110930580545,
                  0.3303190853540501,
                  0.3833805606964842
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2495352503192138,
                  0.19907454994431797,
                  0.43383873800717726,
                  0.1712263685129215,
                  0.22274899990451802,
                  0.20271925591935436,
                  0.3418104265124274,
                  0.3386852267172677
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.32004568704977,
                  16.38791684233119,
                  50.959703874330785,
                  16.50914185566865,
                  24.09499988993269,
                  16.39033294397423,
                  39.46602925251802,
                  42.75906012575259
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.51742288315328,
                  17.602067483896718,
                  66.72428457706202,
                  18.842687558036157,
                  25.490235640654245,
                  17.86439441677566,
                  41.38038268584848,
                  34.17883620329718
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.816075920171098,
                  15.875981834955693,
                  50.27400560767174,
                  16.037055035876232,
                  23.61305144834443,
                  15.794510592169805,
                  38.92200473241599,
                  42.306560484323946
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.32105586449988,
                  16.40570046524331,
                  65.52791755840862,
                  17.64632053938275,
                  24.293868622000836,
                  16.66802739812226,
                  40.184015667195084,
                  32.98246918464377
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42032152601254746,
              "rpss": 0.025315059950689722,
              "brier_below": 0.16084595201610974,
              "bss_below": 0.0027128516523743373,
              "brier_above": 0.2594755654006114,
              "bss_above": 0.03881866357352348,
              "crps": 28.73590380894474,
              "crpss": 0.05629336389437389,
              "crps_fair": 28.204905706991116,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0358507543458183,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.026599,
                    0.239153,
                    0.507396,
                    0.209699,
                    0.017153,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1926,
                    0.2584,
                    0.3507,
                    0.4324,
                    0.5206,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0032,
                    0.0816,
                    0.1555,
                    0.2072,
                    0.4988,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.008051,
                    0.38264,
                    0.451374,
                    0.12439,
                    0.031666,
                    0.00188,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1924,
                    0.2629,
                    0.3381,
                    0.4372,
                    0.5319,
                    0.613,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1043,
                    0.4046,
                    0.459,
                    0.6518,
                    0.9705,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4445506833820075,
                  0.32774922403638956,
                  0.31589771340686584,
                  0.3833607371561414,
                  0.4697983871139645,
                  0.3194184040084273,
                  0.448924433773664,
                  0.41383141857127737
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41878825306748607,
                  0.3532443184157963,
                  0.5497652319245143,
                  0.41409150225437374,
                  0.500554732533218,
                  0.3283216325296163,
                  0.5179393398216053,
                  0.38569804049108725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1475826370380314,
                  0.2055010612889354,
                  0.058454634370641516,
                  0.19330129583598532,
                  0.3646231040720767,
                  0.17271619267238478,
                  0.09961077574860613,
                  0.18133245876938897
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12324328915544643,
                  0.21087180444506454,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.20657791360422298,
                  0.38654922735379516,
                  0.1778652528005686,
                  0.11863830449786794,
                  0.1581566706892246
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2969680330866482,
                  0.1222481732594085,
                  0.25744305074985663,
                  0.19005944194701957,
                  0.10517529932799563,
                  0.1467022229443609,
                  0.3493136304004873,
                  0.2324989555127087
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29554495080091303,
                  0.14237252824897006,
                  0.438654075489631,
                  0.20751359128025879,
                  0.11400552453007727,
                  0.15045639256177848,
                  0.39930100365958165,
                  0.22754136885072465
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.846822545696504,
                  16.18343543991418,
                  53.63804676019656,
                  22.807007700495824,
                  23.837609403418703,
                  16.54275780796881,
                  51.886393185642504,
                  25.01215391086052
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.40124575195562,
                  18.535452439061405,
                  96.88435708644411,
                  25.600608810810552,
                  26.457175781428862,
                  16.988995955173806,
                  61.64931906064567,
                  21.436898042938385
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.206545230676127,
                  15.61613902338906,
                  52.70162928928742,
                  22.254197114698236,
                  23.241830605886662,
                  15.923999345928454,
                  51.200583670435535,
                  24.482664796204215
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.012970318608165,
                  17.14717700571395,
                  95.49608165309667,
                  24.212333377463093,
                  25.06890034808142,
                  15.600720521826346,
                  60.26104362729821,
                  20.04862260959093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3904413751810922,
              "rpss": 0.09943251822644406,
              "brier_below": 0.17789026997450627,
              "bss_below": 0.04681231397163865,
              "brier_above": 0.21255110090356066,
              "bss_above": 0.13920324937584516,
              "crps": 29.8442783442742,
              "crpss": 0.18501135462188256,
              "crps_fair": 29.203448634563212,
              "crpss_fair": 0.17108613912532022,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.031374,
                    0.234548,
                    0.508419,
                    0.211092,
                    0.014567,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1887,
                    0.255,
                    0.3529,
                    0.4283,
                    0.5178,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0069,
                    0.0826,
                    0.2569,
                    0.3194,
                    0.6122,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.010009,
                    0.332163,
                    0.461716,
                    0.125797,
                    0.065516,
                    0.004799,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1928,
                    0.266,
                    0.3355,
                    0.4422,
                    0.5343,
                    0.613,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.2263,
                    0.3442,
                    0.8292,
                    0.9801,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sqrt_mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.3820709974021217,
            "training": [
              0.33458676918068664,
              0.37023069264169506,
              0.36263587478081977,
              0.42565648099695613,
              0.49048663190103453,
              0.3869175619130635,
              0.39544488703761865,
              0.32332028603761137,
              0.3721317444165031,
              0.3773671817510489,
              0.3758731101503001,
              0.3809820603845972,
              0.42715949326908115,
              0.3965471306059447,
              0.29441692722868196,
              0.3587497583357391,
              0.3895478543372651,
              0.3609352645052529,
              0.4126942647645335,
              0.3860896519751688,
              0.37366264056408194,
              0.36501528335215727,
              0.39805195214649597,
              0.4112004353745827
            ],
            "test": 0.41068765362903764
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.49493703680706047,
                  0.4203129616982922,
                  0.4552403902079098,
                  0.47669413178121406,
                  0.3878984794583037,
                  0.4568311800960115,
                  0.42253364615388206,
                  0.5620413728257635,
                  0.3676922924926975,
                  0.45486158770656365,
                  0.5865410509127985,
                  0.3511646564263183,
                  0.37830991823672344,
                  0.4441175932535615,
                  0.5313531561340041,
                  0.4362392938036348,
                  0.4013491104253786,
                  0.5837444020393898,
                  0.449815344720505,
                  0.4165968483609658,
                  0.391251557908175,
                  0.505876576950714,
                  0.3458885208978963,
                  0.4126101361466042
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.43940389586261985,
                  0.4665815975343043,
                  0.4078016629257561,
                  0.5058326534107924,
                  0.5395139539081617,
                  0.49558246555093133,
                  0.4802715214492444,
                  0.4940433293404847,
                  0.3914621834757892,
                  0.4277164147133932,
                  0.5144532300877738,
                  0.3688788642452346,
                  0.45641496116615643,
                  0.4825359152593056,
                  0.4144568447211086,
                  0.4364608837118219,
                  0.42094222389547176,
                  0.4840252584820353,
                  0.4719586571698775,
                  0.40608224744207533,
                  0.407618183369595,
                  0.4985033807712113,
                  0.41838804437156996,
                  0.4537770988760395
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.23319048798115688,
                  0.26502099591210443,
                  0.29105981429649086,
                  0.3693419220661612,
                  0.07088300077996257,
                  0.17434907430509766,
                  0.14945802476221756,
                  0.14846503549038667,
                  0.1734382730148467,
                  0.24178348574162725,
                  0.442532171767501,
                  0.20042285080560393,
                  0.29031725677648296,
                  0.08944330814307447,
                  0.33417415925721966,
                  0.14276682767283727,
                  0.15728345197146115,
                  0.40811101933974625,
                  0.29476754531491806,
                  0.2346537362862571,
                  0.12003285811641873,
                  0.10110640527323131,
                  0.1305726669976533,
                  0.2953111007769444
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.19457870756681286,
                  0.28338161161055664,
                  0.2603988151290453,
                  0.3801317890887892,
                  0.12139582486297858,
                  0.2083086937549171,
                  0.179673404168855,
                  0.13049409161286557,
                  0.18820422829035943,
                  0.23725297240826868,
                  0.3930574463474963,
                  0.2061208543150891,
                  0.32867257140426404,
                  0.12346043676030426,
                  0.28728118486517273,
                  0.14778867910296825,
                  0.17721343670206774,
                  0.3552785719779392,
                  0.29320090548610794,
                  0.22384930431748742,
                  0.13483308539642477,
                  0.12264454476536311,
                  0.165349012936125,
                  0.30321995858175416
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.26174654705612876,
                  0.15529196467283063,
                  0.1641805735689797,
                  0.10735220726185989,
                  0.31701547905960414,
                  0.28248211082074515,
                  0.2730756241019545,
                  0.4135763450781166,
                  0.19425401971682607,
                  0.2130781007277387,
                  0.14400887477565705,
                  0.1507418030808288,
                  0.0879926602585476,
                  0.354674290907125,
                  0.1971789960706734,
                  0.29347247065166476,
                  0.24406565992356277,
                  0.1756333832285993,
                  0.1550477969542878,
                  0.18194311128655657,
                  0.2712187024619683,
                  0.4047701779620241,
                  0.21531585259445743,
                  0.1172990339121499
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.244825188295807,
                  0.18319998592374737,
                  0.1474028477967109,
                  0.12570086432200342,
                  0.41811812904518303,
                  0.2872737717960143,
                  0.3005981172803895,
                  0.3635492377276191,
                  0.20325795518542972,
                  0.1904634423051245,
                  0.12139578374027739,
                  0.16275800993014544,
                  0.1277423897618922,
                  0.3590754784990013,
                  0.12717565985593585,
                  0.2886722046088535,
                  0.24372878719340413,
                  0.1287466865040958,
                  0.17875775168376942,
                  0.182232943124588,
                  0.2727850979731702,
                  0.3758588360058481,
                  0.2530390314354449,
                  0.15055714029428513
                ],
                "crps": [
                  29.134533706344914,
                  20.325834478559003,
                  21.62658960442991,
                  21.868123320212995,
                  97.81025548726171,
                  33.11321639644813,
                  34.6663418406981,
                  45.807467196852436,
                  16.920245601248148,
                  22.88338950084988,
                  33.36397990627168,
                  21.40381241914084,
                  15.075587841185301,
                  34.89785737431584,
                  31.478499291992815,
                  25.777186660216213,
                  22.768046946426914,
                  36.581600556040414,
                  23.819577092688185,
                  23.69350874973414,
                  22.05288876241474,
                  36.78407199152422,
                  22.888305163290312,
                  20.11778162012758
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.77074843142727,
                  22.60409869067204,
                  18.38031484850475,
                  25.959936518793185,
                  123.34118991059545,
                  35.588714164776064,
                  39.220907889439694,
                  39.49590059501811,
                  18.35094398856043,
                  19.018950574892433,
                  27.831563580748035,
                  21.968021793696813,
                  21.56629431892967,
                  37.55562250213345,
                  20.343092113101918,
                  25.75266643361196,
                  21.96609944248159,
                  25.58890298078945,
                  24.791989124537817,
                  21.665834698643923,
                  21.79847843728042,
                  34.8315441627334,
                  25.585209165511976,
                  22.091569801149358
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.202176631360622,
                  19.24498617434229,
                  20.633844668340917,
                  20.880906191851754,
                  96.68799429687922,
                  32.25347746912502,
                  33.638232914955324,
                  44.832130699234234,
                  16.001007263990232,
                  21.74180949590004,
                  32.23902808928842,
                  20.324785698098136,
                  14.18037539034601,
                  33.91713482024666,
                  30.43865425189652,
                  24.84520497043144,
                  21.612303824494536,
                  35.507595230970644,
                  22.830388399334794,
                  22.729300422729676,
                  20.983387146882094,
                  35.89582489997618,
                  21.520130149340183,
                  19.261551833002855
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.51064113159216,
                  21.34178182693399,
                  17.109998394156545,
                  24.703975408517493,
                  122.2696629923497,
                  34.35098937579959,
                  37.99006225524478,
                  38.26557578034132,
                  17.080571907583543,
                  17.74984365790482,
                  26.57914721869575,
                  20.704500238866018,
                  20.302011916608773,
                  36.321622918341355,
                  19.07649303993666,
                  24.496312766356763,
                  20.70257424683409,
                  24.33223915547966,
                  23.533815992682083,
                  20.40174081976945,
                  20.534635777607914,
                  33.59238533966214,
                  24.32853834433991,
                  20.828282238756913
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44724588522684866,
              "rpss": 0.013673458928277205,
              "brier_below": 0.22327022803539173,
              "bss_below": 0.01603158705995389,
              "brier_above": 0.22397565775553696,
              "bss_above": 0.011311479084496256,
              "crps": 29.785779229511434,
              "crpss": 0.005854646822151532,
              "crps_fair": 28.766759622209076,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0018789932940783682,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.078471,
                    0.359425,
                    0.343561,
                    0.180345,
                    0.037125,
                    0.001075,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1808,
                    0.2534,
                    0.3411,
                    0.4399,
                    0.5308,
                    0.6278,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2792,
                    0.3014,
                    0.3364,
                    0.4434,
                    0.5783,
                    0.711,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.035978,
                    0.305909,
                    0.384674,
                    0.221934,
                    0.047476,
                    0.004029,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1804,
                    0.2561,
                    0.3426,
                    0.4407,
                    0.5395,
                    0.6307,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1652,
                    0.2798,
                    0.3854,
                    0.367,
                    0.4985,
                    0.4799,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3782681194389104,
                  0.4002573073874046,
                  0.3375367494961834,
                  0.3641816120296495,
                  0.3273817000083792,
                  0.3456507627600238,
                  0.3737015511460528,
                  0.648372155738092,
                  0.3924377716733403,
                  0.36743789768228907,
                  0.5239660570867792,
                  0.3731351792549185,
                  0.3829720909158105,
                  0.4884863464060828,
                  0.542767393602057,
                  0.49790314284180726,
                  0.32356742383414683,
                  0.47454240157126565,
                  0.3677064527008752,
                  0.32542989185754995,
                  0.34299461867173026,
                  0.5309071604987319,
                  0.27753895224599506,
                  0.4410048989203584
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4283784857114221,
                  0.426706305961757,
                  0.34466488699165887,
                  0.5130077270408857,
                  0.5410158863622896,
                  0.48132609845393376,
                  0.42143417390584187,
                  0.49961637384642854,
                  0.41822160564029737,
                  0.4024426800552632,
                  0.5388940294117011,
                  0.3853584913200236,
                  0.5182825785529102,
                  0.520890978389888,
                  0.44508072243200725,
                  0.47856087825017973,
                  0.3579810319851315,
                  0.4969649351160663,
                  0.42935647355424533,
                  0.3854220303157415,
                  0.34929101419438247,
                  0.47527063535536435,
                  0.48976956498879315,
                  0.5267262457793177
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2371574551274218,
                  0.1625426252001036,
                  0.17025900927248483,
                  0.2888377582920532,
                  0.049185242407789515,
                  0.25748801324074827,
                  0.24379721652993594,
                  0.1919401156827657,
                  0.17403484601304395,
                  0.10593208241608279,
                  0.4055235786485921,
                  0.20723679819987584,
                  0.2984976275214578,
                  0.08787858567721098,
                  0.35554791828169485,
                  0.12800159978847672,
                  0.12657700898982263,
                  0.36308296782694577,
                  0.15835656786021127,
                  0.09620662404893418,
                  0.13569973213545022,
                  0.12784822622775152,
                  0.0481801916249552,
                  0.3611136560661148
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.260916368370509,
                  0.18230982257127842,
                  0.1744601993170755,
                  0.3920247357664324,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.33810643785296296,
                  0.2628742416199158,
                  0.13479064363488874,
                  0.19259108021282037,
                  0.12944501007419143,
                  0.41791103813724767,
                  0.2209426899917617,
                  0.3972995872784568,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3150864593637269,
                  0.12256697767898699,
                  0.15807349465346632,
                  0.37120768576769203,
                  0.18695933477249566,
                  0.14105590686426853,
                  0.13688174505845058,
                  0.12416576635757047,
                  0.12574169593915657,
                  0.40415464577044424
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1411106627906919,
                  0.23771468226301812,
                  0.16727773813944,
                  0.07534385418466566,
                  0.27819645609159643,
                  0.08816274981997901,
                  0.1299043332737334,
                  0.45643204615955335,
                  0.21840292753569993,
                  0.26150581668035794,
                  0.1184424727708725,
                  0.16589837676102143,
                  0.08447446329331768,
                  0.40060776631328765,
                  0.18721947077496606,
                  0.36990155152179993,
                  0.19699041184575894,
                  0.11145943276526384,
                  0.20934988415658115,
                  0.2292232687289881,
                  0.20729488605626206,
                  0.4030589409380405,
                  0.22935875853991539,
                  0.07989124017935632
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16746211734091326,
                  0.24439648339047856,
                  0.17020468767458338,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.42003289508783637,
                  0.1432196606009709,
                  0.15855993228592616,
                  0.3648257302115401,
                  0.22563052542747697,
                  0.27299766998107183,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.16441580132826192,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3999079871154346,
                  0.12999426306828057,
                  0.35599390057119296,
                  0.19990753733166522,
                  0.12575724934837454,
                  0.24239713878174965,
                  0.244366123451473,
                  0.21240926913593197,
                  0.3511048689977941,
                  0.36402786904963685,
                  0.12257160000887342
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.05911595445343,
                  27.609181830904234,
                  18.457354246946903,
                  19.64210855048913,
                  117.51556396998906,
                  22.68025312222406,
                  18.703048412435944,
                  63.25403995241659,
                  20.918400683369057,
                  19.084280029799856,
                  34.47016518819189,
                  25.1599172027852,
                  18.840799780684,
                  51.536265897843194,
                  32.31452740688336,
                  38.412475585003826,
                  19.894198855334047,
                  33.602107903001794,
                  24.08084890080522,
                  22.838903606659606,
                  20.12539830968918,
                  38.42662793557136,
                  27.4119534002143,
                  25.136742096776036
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.638963822645973,
                  24.235290387642486,
                  18.424283296657233,
                  32.54717605456645,
                  156.90499273836357,
                  32.635277727606166,
                  21.537420350099357,
                  49.09575292416304,
                  22.525465304564662,
                  20.988002465707634,
                  34.61988384032085,
                  24.30789299289558,
                  29.701345919639383,
                  54.971641276234905,
                  22.842560447513375,
                  36.98644829813116,
                  18.957656403027976,
                  33.035212506102354,
                  28.03299847714953,
                  26.339484558745546,
                  20.084345939930547,
                  32.84079658873186,
                  39.9223127647239,
                  31.23869015810775
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.043736537590565,
                  26.09344206322074,
                  17.319594428310136,
                  18.52258063485967,
                  116.31628002126442,
                  21.7789213801973,
                  17.61391016029143,
                  62.21472130398981,
                  19.950424506246353,
                  18.067798379150975,
                  33.214211874397,
                  23.713121750781962,
                  17.649660796968718,
                  50.4070943611476,
                  30.977820517295342,
                  37.20035896354202,
                  18.37859017583991,
                  32.59564329079832,
                  22.987301337514715,
                  21.651871808395672,
                  18.872415375024353,
                  37.45837710723209,
                  25.58065659016642,
                  24.10502879386571
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.16546441774922,
                  22.76670826790671,
                  16.94469548167337,
                  31.09433614253317,
                  155.68767899429207,
                  31.182604674802132,
                  20.063728628019742,
                  47.67425501377674,
                  21.053644879747303,
                  19.513270179453034,
                  33.170969511215155,
                  22.839448378093994,
                  28.243116177805117,
                  53.561271942272995,
                  21.37134058167887,
                  35.54201609868039,
                  17.47907876438195,
                  31.583296905530318,
                  26.57160898637116,
                  24.874887655242915,
                  18.60790218298319,
                  31.38851277619512,
                  38.48344091464168,
                  29.783372053088755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4095061515736848,
              "rpss": 0.09623434911267092,
              "brier_below": 0.19920522696166346,
              "bss_below": 0.11978317654628601,
              "brier_above": 0.21030092464934028,
              "bss_above": 0.07273571020706182,
              "crps": 31.632261617602968,
              "crpss": 0.09017061778299384,
              "crps_fair": 30.4463984232538,
              "crpss_fair": 0.08620443477606565,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.086725,
                    0.272465,
                    0.341817,
                    0.247471,
                    0.050506,
                    0.001016,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1825,
                    0.2517,
                    0.3449,
                    0.4416,
                    0.5305,
                    0.6142,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1029,
                    0.1745,
                    0.3319,
                    0.5503,
                    0.776,
                    0.7859,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.040609,
                    0.335818,
                    0.350683,
                    0.200072,
                    0.064469,
                    0.00835,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1782,
                    0.2547,
                    0.3405,
                    0.4408,
                    0.5383,
                    0.6309,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1892,
                    0.2406,
                    0.3301,
                    0.4569,
                    0.7302,
                    0.5918,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43395099494203987,
                  0.3543887012530038,
                  0.4689458332515374,
                  0.3379842978468287,
                  0.44571508829610645,
                  0.3014852787881119,
                  0.44431494394678633,
                  0.5573160531149077
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41226069330832904,
                  0.37346476202427337,
                  0.5449498935810108,
                  0.3668786910829554,
                  0.4702381054334581,
                  0.35149027409467,
                  0.4617153008948455,
                  0.4689090852917107
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.17908291995332587,
                  0.16604575603387822,
                  0.09874736049088031,
                  0.19492568890248962,
                  0.22681409371449782,
                  0.11719083764304526,
                  0.11088326760329371,
                  0.16455284598324657
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.16272543810516465,
                  0.17439021621908166,
                  0.1111111177338495,
                  0.19565233168880328,
                  0.24748910543474462,
                  0.14877102166271772,
                  0.11990485299837937,
                  0.13022383774923363
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2548680686620319,
                  0.1883429456151735,
                  0.37019844015288195,
                  0.1430586141820714,
                  0.21890099313112515,
                  0.18429444581392862,
                  0.3334316563543005,
                  0.39276318527779824
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2495352503192138,
                  0.19907454994431797,
                  0.43383873800717726,
                  0.1712263685129215,
                  0.22274899990451802,
                  0.20271925591935436,
                  0.3418104265124274,
                  0.3386852267172677
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.03301866164743,
                  15.892504280426678,
                  51.75436952537732,
                  15.869577681260514,
                  23.783497767300183,
                  15.807481249385166,
                  40.01739826315858,
                  42.93889987180392
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.51742288315328,
                  17.602067483896718,
                  66.72428457706202,
                  18.842687558036157,
                  25.490235640654245,
                  17.86439441677566,
                  41.38038268584848,
                  34.17883620329718
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.55364415830715,
                  15.409153636603168,
                  51.07993516114029,
                  15.423279652163073,
                  23.327062496916373,
                  15.23147238027028,
                  39.49588536323511,
                  42.514633224831165
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.32105586449988,
                  16.40570046524331,
                  65.52791755840862,
                  17.64632053938275,
                  24.293868622000836,
                  16.66802739812226,
                  40.184015667195084,
                  32.98246918464377
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4180126489299153,
              "rpss": 0.03066912245187936,
              "brier_below": 0.15728034629058218,
              "bss_below": 0.024820543649417548,
              "brier_above": 0.2607322936486639,
              "bss_above": 0.034163336066584504,
              "crps": 28.637093412544978,
              "crpss": 0.059538364553432976,
              "crps_fair": 28.129383259183324,
              "crpss_fair": 0.03843239428605727,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.053333,
                    0.285797,
                    0.41004,
                    0.231027,
                    0.019719,
                    8.5e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.19,
                    0.2635,
                    0.3517,
                    0.4289,
                    0.5257,
                    0.614,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0064,
                    0.0902,
                    0.1502,
                    0.2249,
                    0.5501,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.024014,
                    0.496325,
                    0.319513,
                    0.127117,
                    0.030809,
                    0.002222,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1927,
                    0.2638,
                    0.3424,
                    0.4352,
                    0.5356,
                    0.6178,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.21,
                    0.4083,
                    0.4783,
                    0.6617,
                    0.9642,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4493133245618204,
                  0.32301495366469984,
                  0.3104028696304789,
                  0.3784749512201695,
                  0.4610691339300413,
                  0.3146018560768861,
                  0.4523776401166462,
                  0.4151902335054405
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41878825306748607,
                  0.3532443184157963,
                  0.5497652319245143,
                  0.41409150225437374,
                  0.500554732533218,
                  0.3283216325296163,
                  0.5179393398216053,
                  0.38569804049108725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1502237069685735,
                  0.20559406461499383,
                  0.05595977300437294,
                  0.19289686874307763,
                  0.36173991955759327,
                  0.17157895093453693,
                  0.09950610255591828,
                  0.18429186377167645
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12324328915544643,
                  0.21087180444506454,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.20657791360422298,
                  0.38654922735379516,
                  0.1778652528005686,
                  0.11863830449786794,
                  0.1581566706892246
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.29908960404708196,
                  0.1174208989043621,
                  0.25444306795699506,
                  0.1855780825728416,
                  0.09932923000338217,
                  0.14302291633824551,
                  0.35287151025227415,
                  0.2308983651412388
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29554495080091303,
                  0.14237252824897006,
                  0.438654075489631,
                  0.20751359128025879,
                  0.11400552453007727,
                  0.15045639256177848,
                  0.39930100365958165,
                  0.22754136885072465
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.485389728431954,
                  15.412627031510915,
                  54.74749043144388,
                  22.213632784943098,
                  23.039446243245138,
                  15.804773618733883,
                  52.9792861415872,
                  24.470545174702753
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.40124575195562,
                  18.535452439061405,
                  96.88435708644411,
                  25.600608810810552,
                  26.457175781428862,
                  16.988995955173806,
                  61.64931906064567,
                  21.436898042938385
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  27.870478332784348,
                  14.872756485838428,
                  53.797358792328076,
                  21.68826212194054,
                  22.470668636415997,
                  15.208635485898187,
                  52.30671455920826,
                  23.972546509902887
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.012970318608165,
                  17.14717700571395,
                  95.49608165309667,
                  24.212333377463093,
                  25.06890034808142,
                  15.600720521826346,
                  60.26104362729821,
                  20.04862260959093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3880556203382728,
              "rpss": 0.1049353500662572,
              "brier_below": 0.17772390626884288,
              "bss_below": 0.047703738981354604,
              "brier_above": 0.2103317094020527,
              "bss_above": 0.1481914173257619,
              "crps": 29.644148894324854,
              "crpss": 0.19047649696618663,
              "crps_fair": 29.02342761553959,
              "crpss_fair": 0.17619587530013814,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.058143,
                    0.242134,
                    0.401689,
                    0.279769,
                    0.018266,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1885,
                    0.2632,
                    0.352,
                    0.4269,
                    0.5274,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0112,
                    0.0998,
                    0.251,
                    0.3187,
                    0.643,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.020004,
                    0.462402,
                    0.317565,
                    0.132538,
                    0.06182,
                    0.005671,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1911,
                    0.2675,
                    0.3411,
                    0.4412,
                    0.5384,
                    0.6178,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.065,
                    0.2288,
                    0.3945,
                    0.8181,
                    0.9859,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "pt": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.4375095531771727,
            "training": [
              0.4040220919352344,
              0.42424954190326297,
              0.41994488753958675,
              0.47775361931902244,
              0.5469340504890988,
              0.44725857239855077,
              0.45136551132066993,
              0.38178313794989055,
              0.427887013369359,
              0.4306295787547064,
              0.4285058455460432,
              0.4438244729970525,
              0.4732911520381877,
              0.4477744830818546,
              0.35440834149177697,
              0.418979889143949,
              0.4417444590520442,
              0.4231855712965242,
              0.4619982375569634,
              0.4410664418838363,
              0.422137134978657,
              0.41741847656667,
              0.45483431247288497,
              0.45923245316631917
            ],
            "test": 0.4676004495969139
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48793149153860843,
                  0.4250184026567717,
                  0.4437810092447737,
                  0.470192620725658,
                  0.40588070695355344,
                  0.462693398279089,
                  0.43363429072504495,
                  0.564911347667924,
                  0.3707438823824887,
                  0.45367955694879325,
                  0.5687583864055951,
                  0.35046370423075784,
                  0.38570613818078137,
                  0.45704691276899384,
                  0.5119258255181227,
                  0.43905898854331293,
                  0.405978741645107,
                  0.56677434744692,
                  0.44739821944454977,
                  0.40728540547695513,
                  0.3998885329704148,
                  0.5182803459616105,
                  0.35250680119916133,
                  0.42085928755737406
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.43940389586261985,
                  0.4665815975343043,
                  0.4078016629257561,
                  0.5058326534107924,
                  0.5395139539081617,
                  0.49558246555093133,
                  0.4802715214492444,
                  0.4940433293404847,
                  0.3914621834757892,
                  0.4277164147133932,
                  0.5144532300877738,
                  0.3688788642452346,
                  0.45641496116615643,
                  0.4825359152593056,
                  0.4144568447211086,
                  0.4364608837118219,
                  0.42094222389547176,
                  0.4840252584820353,
                  0.4719586571698775,
                  0.40608224744207533,
                  0.407618183369595,
                  0.4985033807712113,
                  0.41838804437156996,
                  0.4537770988760395
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22875207704048986,
                  0.27003209314613863,
                  0.28700783383038014,
                  0.3658546492112865,
                  0.07487071623993358,
                  0.17594040376704123,
                  0.15296389785346304,
                  0.14737417916079082,
                  0.1766095960161014,
                  0.24325863789817798,
                  0.4331184763113057,
                  0.20094147695959905,
                  0.297898765603867,
                  0.0936945967066182,
                  0.3303935572743618,
                  0.14260241470270021,
                  0.15977352166931427,
                  0.401855419334822,
                  0.2910554792799953,
                  0.22934762525930907,
                  0.12316568794956624,
                  0.10576183206231743,
                  0.13611662205744107,
                  0.3043405797022202
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.19457870756681286,
                  0.28338161161055664,
                  0.2603988151290453,
                  0.3801317890887892,
                  0.12139582486297858,
                  0.2083086937549171,
                  0.179673404168855,
                  0.13049409161286557,
                  0.18820422829035943,
                  0.23725297240826868,
                  0.3930574463474963,
                  0.2061208543150891,
                  0.32867257140426404,
                  0.12346043676030426,
                  0.28728118486517273,
                  0.14778867910296825,
                  0.17721343670206774,
                  0.3552785719779392,
                  0.29320090548610794,
                  0.22384930431748742,
                  0.13483308539642477,
                  0.12264454476536311,
                  0.165349012936125,
                  0.30321995858175416
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.25917941274475503,
                  0.15498630872891458,
                  0.1567731733440176,
                  0.10433796934721126,
                  0.33100999140272314,
                  0.2867529985864283,
                  0.28067039504355246,
                  0.4175371745068046,
                  0.19413428647904712,
                  0.2104209177901054,
                  0.13563990612296473,
                  0.1495222248388449,
                  0.08780737158612739,
                  0.3633523211769619,
                  0.18153226715353296,
                  0.29645657690038923,
                  0.24620522014611634,
                  0.16491892874134018,
                  0.1563427381310592,
                  0.1779377792107639,
                  0.2767228476881106,
                  0.41251851943045803,
                  0.21639017803711083,
                  0.1165187073922676
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.244825188295807,
                  0.18319998592374737,
                  0.1474028477967109,
                  0.12570086432200342,
                  0.41811812904518303,
                  0.2872737717960143,
                  0.3005981172803895,
                  0.3635492377276191,
                  0.20325795518542972,
                  0.1904634423051245,
                  0.12139578374027739,
                  0.16275800993014544,
                  0.1277423897618922,
                  0.3590754784990013,
                  0.12717565985593585,
                  0.2886722046088535,
                  0.24372878719340413,
                  0.1287466865040958,
                  0.17875775168376942,
                  0.182232943124588,
                  0.2727850979731702,
                  0.3758588360058481,
                  0.2530390314354449,
                  0.15055714029428513
                ],
                "crps": [
                  29.564881938217017,
                  19.94587937864634,
                  21.0358653636505,
                  21.24268269329159,
                  99.06179515304888,
                  33.60060629574575,
                  34.8281562594998,
                  46.67400317248404,
                  17.074555958116154,
                  22.91251990351093,
                  32.68406541785552,
                  21.316983966474982,
                  14.977771529293529,
                  35.808482016024186,
                  30.749724961006123,
                  26.37976012848138,
                  23.482054652979226,
                  36.35908845828373,
                  23.481552376970285,
                  23.02961336202674,
                  22.746403683841113,
                  37.88137573166721,
                  23.189038214784926,
                  20.187320871666188
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.77074843142727,
                  22.60409869067204,
                  18.38031484850475,
                  25.959936518793185,
                  123.34118991059545,
                  35.588714164776064,
                  39.220907889439694,
                  39.49590059501811,
                  18.35094398856043,
                  19.018950574892433,
                  27.831563580748035,
                  21.968021793696813,
                  21.56629431892967,
                  37.55562250213345,
                  20.343092113101918,
                  25.75266643361196,
                  21.96609944248159,
                  25.58890298078945,
                  24.791989124537817,
                  21.665834698643923,
                  21.79847843728042,
                  34.8315441627334,
                  25.585209165511976,
                  22.091569801149358
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.643354919637154,
                  18.828604629480683,
                  20.03870091450165,
                  20.257624868819068,
                  97.94237135771168,
                  32.74359402130897,
                  33.787582417976296,
                  45.68332827314512,
                  16.147154066309618,
                  21.730378267003186,
                  31.518422975431246,
                  20.242102201884883,
                  14.096815891795915,
                  34.79892961056331,
                  29.69040436259683,
                  25.460122418437994,
                  22.270412548380985,
                  35.244017009350955,
                  22.472780616624764,
                  22.05635427601077,
                  21.66253104619881,
                  36.97932670620242,
                  21.646718814889123,
                  19.348834214565905
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.51064113159216,
                  21.34178182693399,
                  17.109998394156545,
                  24.703975408517493,
                  122.2696629923497,
                  34.35098937579959,
                  37.99006225524478,
                  38.26557578034132,
                  17.080571907583543,
                  17.74984365790482,
                  26.57914721869575,
                  20.704500238866018,
                  20.302011916608773,
                  36.321622918341355,
                  19.07649303993666,
                  24.496312766356763,
                  20.70257424683409,
                  24.33223915547966,
                  23.533815992682083,
                  20.40174081976945,
                  20.534635777607914,
                  33.59238533966214,
                  24.32853834433991,
                  20.828282238756913
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4479332643530151,
              "rpss": 0.012157558395010648,
              "brier_below": 0.22386375579321838,
              "bss_below": 0.013415866320814485,
              "brier_above": 0.22406950893873365,
              "bss_above": 0.010897194834007862,
              "crps": 29.925590895315253,
              "crpss": 0.0011882213844309764,
              "crps_fair": 28.887102767867805,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0060702637467060505,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.06187,
                    0.362663,
                    0.377644,
                    0.166522,
                    0.030766,
                    0.000536,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1769,
                    0.2547,
                    0.3466,
                    0.4442,
                    0.5268,
                    0.6228,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3152,
                    0.3004,
                    0.333,
                    0.4606,
                    0.5472,
                    0.5793,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.019952,
                    0.354511,
                    0.423778,
                    0.165991,
                    0.034406,
                    0.001362,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1849,
                    0.2593,
                    0.3476,
                    0.4433,
                    0.5302,
                    0.6167,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2314,
                    0.2771,
                    0.3784,
                    0.4125,
                    0.4266,
                    0.334,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.37820503010415696,
                  0.40047903741513036,
                  0.3344022357239772,
                  0.37219287403810436,
                  0.3513074633746024,
                  0.3526382728858327,
                  0.37639907725647237,
                  0.6429725317153258,
                  0.3954538776172229,
                  0.3737399290132437,
                  0.516609440252382,
                  0.371692186622629,
                  0.3904507628349961,
                  0.5019371317167306,
                  0.529082507435913,
                  0.5021406098259747,
                  0.3274095245345674,
                  0.47018348792733206,
                  0.37601780048118527,
                  0.3275100424561154,
                  0.3434866114113352,
                  0.5363076395554502,
                  0.29993390789804636,
                  0.4417536933950474
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4283784857114221,
                  0.426706305961757,
                  0.34466488699165887,
                  0.5130077270408857,
                  0.5410158863622896,
                  0.48132609845393376,
                  0.42143417390584187,
                  0.49961637384642854,
                  0.41822160564029737,
                  0.4024426800552632,
                  0.5388940294117011,
                  0.3853584913200236,
                  0.5182825785529102,
                  0.520890978389888,
                  0.44508072243200725,
                  0.47856087825017973,
                  0.3579810319851315,
                  0.4969649351160663,
                  0.42935647355424533,
                  0.3854220303157415,
                  0.34929101419438247,
                  0.47527063535536435,
                  0.48976956498879315,
                  0.5267262457793177
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.23872129439348308,
                  0.16315788873468154,
                  0.17075438624181374,
                  0.2958128976174201,
                  0.05418763677037169,
                  0.26232267616113797,
                  0.24589800092891653,
                  0.18762043110071897,
                  0.1747656804877288,
                  0.10759213900926123,
                  0.40326132845008883,
                  0.20903436050388832,
                  0.30603844161403887,
                  0.09148566896746983,
                  0.35419678009583766,
                  0.12778403261332527,
                  0.12842539007722248,
                  0.36158511525000947,
                  0.15913678269573003,
                  0.09979744105904487,
                  0.13520156181108142,
                  0.12853563215258323,
                  0.05437646554860631,
                  0.3619275963523788
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.260916368370509,
                  0.18230982257127842,
                  0.1744601993170755,
                  0.3920247357664324,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.33810643785296296,
                  0.2628742416199158,
                  0.13479064363488874,
                  0.19259108021282037,
                  0.12944501007419143,
                  0.41791103813724767,
                  0.2209426899917617,
                  0.3972995872784568,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3150864593637269,
                  0.12256697767898699,
                  0.15807349465346632,
                  0.37120768576769203,
                  0.18695933477249566,
                  0.14105590686426853,
                  0.13688174505845058,
                  0.12416576635757047,
                  0.12574169593915657,
                  0.40415464577044424
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.13948373499181543,
                  0.23732114835940005,
                  0.16364784804687693,
                  0.07637997679813077,
                  0.2971198259857721,
                  0.0903155970203771,
                  0.13050107492447344,
                  0.455352105183573,
                  0.22068819820913368,
                  0.2661477916579455,
                  0.11334810654122787,
                  0.16265782208204024,
                  0.08441232100975951,
                  0.4104514670681107,
                  0.1748857233593363,
                  0.3743565839793398,
                  0.1989841322108965,
                  0.10859837195820812,
                  0.21688101796300072,
                  0.2277126013375817,
                  0.20828504939485662,
                  0.40777201217533193,
                  0.2455574409495195,
                  0.07982609532752849
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16746211734091326,
                  0.24439648339047856,
                  0.17020468767458338,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.42003289508783637,
                  0.1432196606009709,
                  0.15855993228592616,
                  0.3648257302115401,
                  0.22563052542747697,
                  0.27299766998107183,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.16441580132826192,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3999079871154346,
                  0.12999426306828057,
                  0.35599390057119296,
                  0.19990753733166522,
                  0.12575724934837454,
                  0.24239713878174965,
                  0.244366123451473,
                  0.21240926913593197,
                  0.3511048689977941,
                  0.36402786904963685,
                  0.12257160000887342
                ],
                "crps": [
                  18.776048157165256,
                  27.455778849354683,
                  18.115582652148323,
                  19.413175195858567,
                  120.4582420443669,
                  22.79482629232824,
                  18.56711191248115,
                  63.959855841719126,
                  21.166070379157713,
                  19.373488296587034,
                  34.12460483691481,
                  24.78584473966338,
                  19.017205915789017,
                  52.64929732893649,
                  31.77859450323466,
                  39.06337072893402,
                  20.156475312730848,
                  33.448974857915914,
                  24.507422365096872,
                  22.621847901562163,
                  20.130730378153363,
                  39.534033344907556,
                  28.58697919881106,
                  24.887307445474793
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.638963822645973,
                  24.235290387642486,
                  18.424283296657233,
                  32.54717605456645,
                  156.90499273836357,
                  32.635277727606166,
                  21.537420350099357,
                  49.09575292416304,
                  22.525465304564662,
                  20.988002465707634,
                  34.61988384032085,
                  24.30789299289558,
                  29.701345919639383,
                  54.971641276234905,
                  22.842560447513375,
                  36.98644829813116,
                  18.957656403027976,
                  33.035212506102354,
                  28.03299847714953,
                  26.339484558745546,
                  20.084345939930547,
                  32.84079658873186,
                  39.9223127647239,
                  31.23869015810775
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  17.801832085025733,
                  25.85862698335484,
                  17.006721647276688,
                  18.332133975247668,
                  119.29384366473982,
                  21.928623092840777,
                  17.523146509778805,
                  62.95677788770252,
                  20.230709164755314,
                  18.36808177599467,
                  32.8628261184518,
                  23.341703182284856,
                  17.86081182096961,
                  51.50551406796677,
                  30.45858582201388,
                  37.879176598641415,
                  18.573157816910044,
                  32.46520781493833,
                  23.43202013734418,
                  21.44617480186265,
                  18.903486875056917,
                  38.59742475355127,
                  26.463910084929182,
                  23.880256639520283
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.16546441774922,
                  22.76670826790671,
                  16.94469548167337,
                  31.09433614253317,
                  155.68767899429207,
                  31.182604674802132,
                  20.063728628019742,
                  47.67425501377674,
                  21.053644879747303,
                  19.513270179453034,
                  33.170969511215155,
                  22.839448378093994,
                  28.243116177805117,
                  53.561271942272995,
                  21.37134058167887,
                  35.54201609868039,
                  17.47907876438195,
                  31.583296905530318,
                  26.57160898637116,
                  24.874887655242915,
                  18.60790218298319,
                  31.38851277619512,
                  38.48344091464168,
                  29.783372053088755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4130127364788239,
              "rpss": 0.08849543975317498,
              "brier_below": 0.20090081785986827,
              "bss_below": 0.11229096533748029,
              "brier_above": 0.21211191860559317,
              "bss_above": 0.06475062869843695,
              "crps": 31.89053618663716,
              "crpss": 0.08274194276672575,
              "crps_fair": 30.707114721714916,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0783794896379435,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.042812,
                    0.316813,
                    0.380168,
                    0.2253,
                    0.03469,
                    0.000218,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1861,
                    0.2526,
                    0.3508,
                    0.4457,
                    0.5283,
                    0.6138,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1372,
                    0.1627,
                    0.3398,
                    0.5903,
                    0.7595,
                    0.6668,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.026905,
                    0.385949,
                    0.380976,
                    0.157276,
                    0.04599,
                    0.002904,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1843,
                    0.2584,
                    0.3465,
                    0.4474,
                    0.5316,
                    0.6155,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2775,
                    0.2384,
                    0.3367,
                    0.5596,
                    0.669,
                    0.4006,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4302522462938185,
                  0.3571328249370911,
                  0.4823875421258854,
                  0.3354550514058824,
                  0.44746454415486697,
                  0.30397971026913284,
                  0.45086028647319537,
                  0.5517126631193386
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41226069330832904,
                  0.37346476202427337,
                  0.5449498935810108,
                  0.3668786910829554,
                  0.4702381054334581,
                  0.35149027409467,
                  0.4617153008948455,
                  0.4689090852917107
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1773548807349911,
                  0.16746357177320806,
                  0.09972340538784881,
                  0.19248403869166944,
                  0.2271416125558428,
                  0.12015290000014658,
                  0.11203568362721116,
                  0.16056229449782616
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.16272543810516465,
                  0.17439021621908166,
                  0.1111111177338495,
                  0.19565233168880328,
                  0.24748910543474462,
                  0.14877102166271772,
                  0.11990485299837937,
                  0.13022383774923363
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2528973587826639,
                  0.18966925348257305,
                  0.38266410259906203,
                  0.14297101833750603,
                  0.2203229300074473,
                  0.1838268145761329,
                  0.3388245825933538,
                  0.39115034600143445
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2495352503192138,
                  0.19907454994431797,
                  0.43383873800717726,
                  0.1712263685129215,
                  0.22274899990451802,
                  0.20271925591935436,
                  0.3418104265124274,
                  0.3386852267172677
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.084820349354594,
                  16.022916353226762,
                  52.59341579417104,
                  15.765528906134294,
                  23.94838563810098,
                  15.928511458002713,
                  40.790488661661286,
                  43.494236738916435
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.51742288315328,
                  17.602067483896718,
                  66.72428457706202,
                  18.842687558036157,
                  25.490235640654245,
                  17.86439441677566,
                  41.38038268584848,
                  34.17883620329718
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.602747214062305,
                  15.537775584530035,
                  51.882069586215145,
                  15.323551953392636,
                  23.49031802260383,
                  15.323110816328555,
                  40.257173564385035,
                  43.07944769837953
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.32105586449988,
                  16.40570046524331,
                  65.52791755840862,
                  17.64632053938275,
                  24.293868622000836,
                  16.66802739812226,
                  40.184015667195084,
                  32.98246918464377
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.41990560859740145,
              "rpss": 0.026279532183870025,
              "brier_below": 0.15711479840859302,
              "bss_below": 0.02584698399855001,
              "brier_above": 0.2627908007975217,
              "bss_above": 0.0265379604389111,
              "crps": 28.953537987446012,
              "crpss": 0.049146109370536206,
              "crps_fair": 28.437024304987133,
              "crpss_fair": 0.027916071865929926,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.028736,
                    0.27545,
                    0.472563,
                    0.210979,
                    0.012273,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1756,
                    0.2535,
                    0.3503,
                    0.4317,
                    0.5193,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0527,
                    0.0739,
                    0.1523,
                    0.2341,
                    0.5938,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00415,
                    0.493442,
                    0.381454,
                    0.100506,
                    0.020363,
                    8.5e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1897,
                    0.2604,
                    0.3379,
                    0.437,
                    0.5279,
                    0.6071,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1826,
                    0.3916,
                    0.4912,
                    0.7445,
                    0.9958,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4470169789851255,
                  0.32177208599813734,
                  0.3364976365104015,
                  0.37831868435912236,
                  0.4593132461478092,
                  0.31257905408125397,
                  0.465113939979327,
                  0.4090659903839139
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41878825306748607,
                  0.3532443184157963,
                  0.5497652319245143,
                  0.41409150225437374,
                  0.500554732533218,
                  0.3283216325296163,
                  0.5179393398216053,
                  0.38569804049108725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.14742384178497647,
                  0.20553582799762263,
                  0.060285110043068,
                  0.19319263789044058,
                  0.3632661858469645,
                  0.17178101973334642,
                  0.100821887042985,
                  0.18002820456507906
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12324328915544643,
                  0.21087180444506454,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.20657791360422298,
                  0.38654922735379516,
                  0.1778652528005686,
                  0.11863830449786794,
                  0.1581566706892246
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.29959312285064904,
                  0.11623626787609206,
                  0.27621249605610293,
                  0.18512604659909404,
                  0.09604707632313587,
                  0.14079804523302836,
                  0.3642920252019601,
                  0.22903778102563452
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29554495080091303,
                  0.14237252824897006,
                  0.438654075489631,
                  0.20751359128025879,
                  0.11400552453007727,
                  0.15045639256177848,
                  0.39930100365958165,
                  0.22754136885072465
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.62183362853717,
                  14.928731836997656,
                  55.64023268672611,
                  21.879997759312413,
                  22.601845428673883,
                  15.507073618859744,
                  53.876295309839705,
                  24.199384817247044
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.40124575195562,
                  18.535452439061405,
                  96.88435708644411,
                  25.600608810810552,
                  26.457175781428862,
                  16.988995955173806,
                  61.64931906064567,
                  21.436898042938385
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.01709977744575,
                  14.400846156831793,
                  54.6160945403301,
                  21.370381928421786,
                  22.043974096089304,
                  14.916656000557147,
                  53.185724774916665,
                  23.721557036842874
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.012970318608165,
                  17.14717700571395,
                  95.49608165309667,
                  24.212333377463093,
                  25.06890034808142,
                  15.600720521826346,
                  60.26104362729821,
                  20.04862260959093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3912097020556363,
              "rpss": 0.0976603438551541,
              "brier_below": 0.1777918393630603,
              "bss_below": 0.04733973374997713,
              "brier_above": 0.21341785764571208,
              "bss_above": 0.13569302814408568,
              "crps": 29.656924385774214,
              "crpss": 0.1901276233780821,
              "crps_fair": 29.03404178892943,
              "crpss_fair": 0.17589460144872893,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.015906,
                    0.250453,
                    0.487325,
                    0.234136,
                    0.01218,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1851,
                    0.2539,
                    0.3511,
                    0.4292,
                    0.5161,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0137,
                    0.0799,
                    0.2426,
                    0.3409,
                    0.6788,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.003044,
                    0.45983,
                    0.36772,
                    0.124972,
                    0.044216,
                    0.000218,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1892,
                    0.2632,
                    0.337,
                    0.4441,
                    0.5302,
                    0.6071,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0712,
                    0.1985,
                    0.4464,
                    0.861,
                    0.9951,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dc": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.3371484600702735,
            "training": [
              0.303128844937665,
              0.3410944519418,
              0.30962761649009346,
              0.3878416697491351,
              0.4884953693460148,
              0.31534201746253904,
              0.3552210418435166,
              0.27535034436790845,
              0.3089614672743025,
              0.29619386303290085,
              0.3205554776932439,
              0.3663924836131571,
              0.3774455847530073,
              0.3524385388402927,
              0.2340781762604369,
              0.3052845594923822,
              0.37216726360141844,
              0.2966393636369641,
              0.3593840465679529,
              0.354615161284389,
              0.3252913137552031,
              0.32223231253882034,
              0.3630967104538278,
              0.3606853627495916
            ],
            "test": 0.3620977730724394
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4727830832392254,
                  0.4181038540491596,
                  0.42749034303058886,
                  0.45294414082778056,
                  0.4407108468552534,
                  0.49398550159774207,
                  0.45059654253797365,
                  0.5691803147552106,
                  0.3832192955301973,
                  0.48061337112199337,
                  0.5548274855829087,
                  0.35313714685220043,
                  0.3908474457977185,
                  0.47401337449878306,
                  0.49940500849808545,
                  0.4571495118625067,
                  0.4073627091421082,
                  0.5471369852720969,
                  0.4484493601147886,
                  0.40355953893117397,
                  0.41952296936213695,
                  0.5321721350617419,
                  0.3615736875159429,
                  0.4003704607357519
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.43940389586261985,
                  0.4665815975343043,
                  0.4078016629257561,
                  0.5058326534107924,
                  0.5395139539081617,
                  0.49558246555093133,
                  0.4802715214492444,
                  0.4940433293404847,
                  0.3914621834757892,
                  0.4277164147133932,
                  0.5144532300877738,
                  0.3688788642452346,
                  0.45641496116615643,
                  0.4825359152593056,
                  0.4144568447211086,
                  0.4364608837118219,
                  0.42094222389547176,
                  0.4840252584820353,
                  0.4719586571698775,
                  0.40608224744207533,
                  0.407618183369595,
                  0.4985033807712113,
                  0.41838804437156996,
                  0.4537770988760395
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21245384796492764,
                  0.25420283328431426,
                  0.26938963640948504,
                  0.35278897392438696,
                  0.0886022620373221,
                  0.2030511630710255,
                  0.1679575580416661,
                  0.15319533455571893,
                  0.18499030783822973,
                  0.2677685444168316,
                  0.4196577077558901,
                  0.20929541544791197,
                  0.3005173392324728,
                  0.11656126475030512,
                  0.319246647737136,
                  0.1609926563669557,
                  0.16307537163716096,
                  0.38626880690753906,
                  0.28344827233868986,
                  0.2232182417051857,
                  0.14088156166101137,
                  0.13240937442816225,
                  0.14014109073385544,
                  0.28187835413542817
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.19457870756681286,
                  0.28338161161055664,
                  0.2603988151290453,
                  0.3801317890887892,
                  0.12139582486297858,
                  0.2083086937549171,
                  0.179673404168855,
                  0.13049409161286557,
                  0.18820422829035943,
                  0.23725297240826868,
                  0.3930574463474963,
                  0.2061208543150891,
                  0.32867257140426404,
                  0.12346043676030426,
                  0.28728118486517273,
                  0.14778867910296825,
                  0.17721343670206774,
                  0.3552785719779392,
                  0.29320090548610794,
                  0.22384930431748742,
                  0.13483308539642477,
                  0.12264454476536311,
                  0.165349012936125,
                  0.30321995858175416
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2603292349243916,
                  0.1639010218424441,
                  0.158100710740883,
                  0.10015517002443201,
                  0.35210858284289276,
                  0.29093433413109715,
                  0.2826389803685683,
                  0.41598497387267974,
                  0.19822898819936152,
                  0.21284482727311957,
                  0.13516978147400374,
                  0.14384173228098293,
                  0.09033010829313873,
                  0.3574521033706844,
                  0.1801583643707414,
                  0.29615685368758643,
                  0.24428733661870494,
                  0.16086818052807578,
                  0.16500109099491414,
                  0.18034129862032036,
                  0.278641404064567,
                  0.39976275277718726,
                  0.22143259795392284,
                  0.11849210803556207
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.244825188295807,
                  0.18319998592374737,
                  0.1474028477967109,
                  0.12570086432200342,
                  0.41811812904518303,
                  0.2872737717960143,
                  0.3005981172803895,
                  0.3635492377276191,
                  0.20325795518542972,
                  0.1904634423051245,
                  0.12139578374027739,
                  0.16275800993014544,
                  0.1277423897618922,
                  0.3590754784990013,
                  0.12717565985593585,
                  0.2886722046088535,
                  0.24372878719340413,
                  0.1287466865040958,
                  0.17875775168376942,
                  0.182232943124588,
                  0.2727850979731702,
                  0.3758588360058481,
                  0.2530390314354449,
                  0.15055714029428513
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.156711974329752,
                  20.128525442660347,
                  20.0471761232074,
                  21.08263162441143,
                  100.34791383356806,
                  34.821834645370004,
                  36.39893562920458,
                  44.402345442518445,
                  17.98796608265674,
                  22.365944010394887,
                  30.14152611368303,
                  20.243327167081393,
                  17.099413243222596,
                  36.898728175522066,
                  27.40449076018031,
                  25.98806970906356,
                  22.282965918473153,
                  31.473010573617,
                  24.09201648525932,
                  22.218948310258373,
                  22.27799625785594,
                  36.93122786477107,
                  22.598190259340296,
                  19.666721177379376
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.77074843142727,
                  22.60409869067204,
                  18.38031484850475,
                  25.959936518793185,
                  123.34118991059545,
                  35.588714164776064,
                  39.220907889439694,
                  39.49590059501811,
                  18.35094398856043,
                  19.018950574892433,
                  27.831563580748035,
                  21.968021793696813,
                  21.56629431892967,
                  37.55562250213345,
                  20.343092113101918,
                  25.75266643361196,
                  21.96609944248159,
                  25.58890298078945,
                  24.791989124537817,
                  21.665834698643923,
                  21.79847843728042,
                  34.8315441627334,
                  25.585209165511976,
                  22.091569801149358
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.164998230319693,
                  18.82974617825087,
                  18.74061708294945,
                  19.95023321511226,
                  98.95458420621574,
                  33.78263629253434,
                  35.17587268246084,
                  43.30338761951911,
                  16.767825458662074,
                  20.967818900325522,
                  28.824056723284833,
                  19.116290247893247,
                  16.03158164389377,
                  35.60582285565804,
                  25.956012207304738,
                  24.83419396521495,
                  20.999770616984918,
                  30.086291642865085,
                  22.82249927938401,
                  20.872925798259658,
                  21.05513269773502,
                  35.74521624332052,
                  20.900816262833246,
                  18.645409857876047
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.51064113159216,
                  21.34178182693399,
                  17.109998394156545,
                  24.703975408517493,
                  122.2696629923497,
                  34.35098937579959,
                  37.99006225524478,
                  38.26557578034132,
                  17.080571907583543,
                  17.74984365790482,
                  26.57914721869575,
                  20.704500238866018,
                  20.302011916608773,
                  36.321622918341355,
                  19.07649303993666,
                  24.496312766356763,
                  20.70257424683409,
                  24.33223915547966,
                  23.533815992682083,
                  20.40174081976945,
                  20.534635777607914,
                  33.59238533966214,
                  24.32853834433991,
                  20.828282238756913
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4516314630322112,
              "rpss": 0.004001795241153183,
              "brier_below": 0.22633302359923388,
              "bss_below": 0.002533620418222138,
              "brier_above": 0.2252984390537609,
              "bss_above": 0.005472368270663219,
              "crps": 29.33569236766788,
              "crpss": 0.02087697538976674,
              "crps_fair": 28.088905829535747,
              "crpss_fair": 0.021729069773261944,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    8.5e-05,
                    0.024304,
                    0.178336,
                    0.59802,
                    0.17195,
                    0.023147,
                    0.003989,
                    0.00017,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.097,
                    0.167,
                    0.2698,
                    0.3498,
                    0.4332,
                    0.5345,
                    0.6265,
                    0.7177,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.3489,
                    0.3208,
                    0.3374,
                    0.3748,
                    0.5722,
                    0.6949,
                    0.6659,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.036488,
                    0.300275,
                    0.472462,
                    0.164475,
                    0.024345,
                    0.001956,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1741,
                    0.2655,
                    0.3501,
                    0.4333,
                    0.5297,
                    0.6304,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1938,
                    0.2851,
                    0.3794,
                    0.3842,
                    0.4602,
                    0.2612,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3902151435992802,
                  0.41054590045845135,
                  0.3486111784428171,
                  0.37130886170318506,
                  0.4073050569630044,
                  0.3719383905849703,
                  0.3860126716678723,
                  0.6223534856351916,
                  0.4092488345769067,
                  0.4147918933072422,
                  0.5240927918684254,
                  0.3679841377642634,
                  0.42290160096564733,
                  0.509416664044432,
                  0.5332071428841132,
                  0.4991531082533224,
                  0.35021487977951987,
                  0.47649234755404013,
                  0.3971546661954728,
                  0.35736109014741263,
                  0.3482251514486518,
                  0.5462983620557528,
                  0.333387280429593,
                  0.43148940167934413
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4283784857114221,
                  0.426706305961757,
                  0.34466488699165887,
                  0.5130077270408857,
                  0.5410158863622896,
                  0.48132609845393376,
                  0.42143417390584187,
                  0.49961637384642854,
                  0.41822160564029737,
                  0.4024426800552632,
                  0.5388940294117011,
                  0.3853584913200236,
                  0.5182825785529102,
                  0.520890978389888,
                  0.44508072243200725,
                  0.47856087825017973,
                  0.3579810319851315,
                  0.4969649351160663,
                  0.42935647355424533,
                  0.3854220303157415,
                  0.34929101419438247,
                  0.47527063535536435,
                  0.48976956498879315,
                  0.5267262457793177
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.250677395269065,
                  0.1680774573213546,
                  0.1770246790265155,
                  0.30673993383971343,
                  0.08625306648656747,
                  0.28033160497760506,
                  0.2482425501981983,
                  0.16897843131370938,
                  0.19145653097705487,
                  0.13551274769507266,
                  0.41098072523566165,
                  0.2097353937278035,
                  0.3447176379743216,
                  0.11775556011670964,
                  0.34928903587085725,
                  0.13036081567123006,
                  0.14518241096394233,
                  0.3594762021604569,
                  0.17226180786815326,
                  0.12389449946551025,
                  0.13883561878225267,
                  0.14586572691535332,
                  0.0754035382563712,
                  0.34892403826616203
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.260916368370509,
                  0.18230982257127842,
                  0.1744601993170755,
                  0.3920247357664324,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.33810643785296296,
                  0.2628742416199158,
                  0.13479064363488874,
                  0.19259108021282037,
                  0.12944501007419143,
                  0.41791103813724767,
                  0.2209426899917617,
                  0.3972995872784568,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3150864593637269,
                  0.12256697767898699,
                  0.15807349465346632,
                  0.37120768576769203,
                  0.18695933477249566,
                  0.14105590686426853,
                  0.13688174505845058,
                  0.12416576635757047,
                  0.12574169593915657,
                  0.40415464577044424
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1395377492752568,
                  0.24246844243718213,
                  0.1715865022136625,
                  0.06456892852569847,
                  0.3210519910682414,
                  0.09160678634786268,
                  0.13777012206363876,
                  0.4533750492212424,
                  0.21779230091347293,
                  0.27927914387569147,
                  0.11311207051317439,
                  0.1582487454495252,
                  0.07818396432226517,
                  0.3916610963395386,
                  0.18391811091480284,
                  0.36879228765891225,
                  0.2050324695828877,
                  0.11701614830383161,
                  0.2248928577239695,
                  0.2334665894756671,
                  0.20938953257206364,
                  0.40043263206900626,
                  0.2579837434295395,
                  0.08256536612249447
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16746211734091326,
                  0.24439648339047856,
                  0.17020468767458338,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.42003289508783637,
                  0.1432196606009709,
                  0.15855993228592616,
                  0.3648257302115401,
                  0.22563052542747697,
                  0.27299766998107183,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.16441580132826192,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3999079871154346,
                  0.12999426306828057,
                  0.35599390057119296,
                  0.19990753733166522,
                  0.12575724934837454,
                  0.24239713878174965,
                  0.244366123451473,
                  0.21240926913593197,
                  0.3511048689977941,
                  0.36402786904963685,
                  0.12257160000887342
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.12902682040552,
                  25.903192324731954,
                  18.93962721523124,
                  21.37912119115658,
                  121.49525830487258,
                  25.027198272310287,
                  19.686348857372504,
                  59.35582786153885,
                  22.05569335596274,
                  22.22170242902413,
                  33.33471924494344,
                  22.921947099116785,
                  22.811816382643393,
                  53.18281200464959,
                  30.105807857982974,
                  37.289571983028644,
                  20.50817737944561,
                  32.553128216654166,
                  26.62223836847829,
                  25.17451148890793,
                  20.028593516789147,
                  37.76157347927968,
                  28.836335284222752,
                  25.096469608076795
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.638963822645973,
                  24.235290387642486,
                  18.424283296657233,
                  32.54717605456645,
                  156.90499273836357,
                  32.635277727606166,
                  21.537420350099357,
                  49.09575292416304,
                  22.525465304564662,
                  20.988002465707634,
                  34.61988384032085,
                  24.30789299289558,
                  29.701345919639383,
                  54.971641276234905,
                  22.842560447513375,
                  36.98644829813116,
                  18.957656403027976,
                  33.035212506102354,
                  28.03299847714953,
                  26.339484558745546,
                  20.084345939930547,
                  32.84079658873186,
                  39.9223127647239,
                  31.23869015810775
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.901906720493432,
                  24.059977082209706,
                  17.473160197553174,
                  20.233888629021386,
                  119.83443425470725,
                  23.925021028623938,
                  18.354690244946053,
                  58.17356700307137,
                  20.73172103027991,
                  20.739368231666848,
                  31.911209207123793,
                  21.450576554133907,
                  21.57353046093147,
                  51.68886512096846,
                  28.44662288404965,
                  35.927869201798686,
                  18.81792722145276,
                  31.188011921608357,
                  25.10270932133421,
                  23.574151913519675,
                  18.59058413576471,
                  36.444720986814424,
                  26.73514717963509,
                  23.829899278125357
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.16546441774922,
                  22.76670826790671,
                  16.94469548167337,
                  31.09433614253317,
                  155.68767899429207,
                  31.182604674802132,
                  20.063728628019742,
                  47.67425501377674,
                  21.053644879747303,
                  19.513270179453034,
                  33.170969511215155,
                  22.839448378093994,
                  28.243116177805117,
                  53.561271942272995,
                  21.37134058167887,
                  35.54201609868039,
                  17.47907876438195,
                  31.583296905530318,
                  26.57160898637116,
                  24.874887655242915,
                  18.60790218298319,
                  31.38851277619512,
                  38.48344091464168,
                  29.783372053088755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.426237918417038,
              "rpss": 0.05930792909781257,
              "brier_below": 0.21191572534915173,
              "bss_below": 0.06362001915432869,
              "brier_above": 0.21432219293415114,
              "bss_above": 0.05500502981942468,
              "crps": 32.1841957727844,
              "crpss": 0.07429549897221188,
              "crps_fair": 30.73789832540973,
              "crpss_fair": 0.07745557344441278,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000145,
                    0.012988,
                    0.180119,
                    0.58014,
                    0.192438,
                    0.030108,
                    0.003917,
                    0.000145,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.097,
                    0.18,
                    0.2713,
                    0.3501,
                    0.4345,
                    0.5349,
                    0.6305,
                    0.7105,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.2514,
                    0.1809,
                    0.3246,
                    0.5171,
                    0.6652,
                    0.5927,
                    0.5,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.045402,
                    0.341665,
                    0.400408,
                    0.17677,
                    0.03336,
                    0.002395,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1758,
                    0.2626,
                    0.3496,
                    0.4369,
                    0.5275,
                    0.6316,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2074,
                    0.2299,
                    0.3554,
                    0.5488,
                    0.5827,
                    0.3941,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4267361844352827,
                  0.36147204849976494,
                  0.49531482869223736,
                  0.33735375262412437,
                  0.46795195900990266,
                  0.31988668503024825,
                  0.477423432609618,
                  0.5685581180895035
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41226069330832904,
                  0.37346476202427337,
                  0.5449498935810108,
                  0.3668786910829554,
                  0.4702381054334581,
                  0.35149027409467,
                  0.4617153008948455,
                  0.4689090852917107
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1764951001679308,
                  0.1761449940856307,
                  0.10735295671700106,
                  0.19654146483417467,
                  0.2417513220300863,
                  0.13001591973247068,
                  0.13319845624189802,
                  0.17358512401886345
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.16272543810516465,
                  0.17439021621908166,
                  0.1111111177338495,
                  0.19565233168880328,
                  0.24748910543474462,
                  0.14877102166271772,
                  0.11990485299837937,
                  0.13022383774923363
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.25024107783591265,
                  0.18532705493141857,
                  0.3879618373609306,
                  0.14081229236980025,
                  0.22620063585445035,
                  0.18987077059231128,
                  0.3442249561602,
                  0.39497297208766946
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2495352503192138,
                  0.19907454994431797,
                  0.43383873800717726,
                  0.1712263685129215,
                  0.22274899990451802,
                  0.20271925591935436,
                  0.3418104265124274,
                  0.3386852267172677
                ],
                "crps": [
                  22.058261048144537,
                  16.136025185684822,
                  56.413968796650614,
                  16.061454206357013,
                  25.115956500436873,
                  16.70938749254542,
                  42.322456461876094,
                  41.8956084950051
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.51742288315328,
                  17.602067483896718,
                  66.72428457706202,
                  18.842687558036157,
                  25.490235640654245,
                  17.86439441677566,
                  41.38038268584848,
                  34.17883620329718
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.950245533119418,
                  15.092098151494941,
                  55.039496393720704,
                  15.049685661468187,
                  23.986994658013398,
                  15.375356879598835,
                  41.101992497269414,
                  40.92380154996454
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.32105586449988,
                  16.40570046524331,
                  65.52791755840862,
                  17.64632053938275,
                  24.293868622000836,
                  16.66802739812226,
                  40.184015667195084,
                  32.98246918464377
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43183712612383524,
              "rpss": -0.0013885022260597957,
              "brier_below": 0.16688566722850695,
              "bss_below": -0.03473496898286377,
              "brier_above": 0.2649514496490867,
              "bss_above": 0.0185342189402109,
              "crps": 29.589139773337557,
              "crpss": 0.028272514189592868,
              "crps_fair": 28.439958915581176,
              "crpss_fair": 0.027815755891825056,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.013633,
                    0.111194,
                    0.649585,
                    0.201404,
                    0.021042,
                    0.003143,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1682,
                    0.2617,
                    0.3509,
                    0.4284,
                    0.5326,
                    0.6268,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.0329,
                    0.1512,
                    0.1885,
                    0.394,
                    0.758,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.030982,
                    0.382732,
                    0.468062,
                    0.099919,
                    0.017026,
                    0.001279,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1721,
                    0.259,
                    0.3346,
                    0.4364,
                    0.5288,
                    0.6235,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3119,
                    0.4077,
                    0.469,
                    0.7366,
                    0.9652,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4324178233981536,
                  0.3187577091470562,
                  0.35716914463573524,
                  0.3773603394883943,
                  0.45731493519201966,
                  0.3229884709004042,
                  0.4801307602862163,
                  0.4162442247247552
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41878825306748607,
                  0.3532443184157963,
                  0.5497652319245143,
                  0.41409150225437374,
                  0.500554732533218,
                  0.3283216325296163,
                  0.5179393398216053,
                  0.38569804049108725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13566914022135684,
                  0.2048592647543108,
                  0.070086585209948,
                  0.19661551607697478,
                  0.3605692720167003,
                  0.1777225120281018,
                  0.11360643287093157,
                  0.1860334972595856
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12324328915544643,
                  0.21087180444506454,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.20657791360422298,
                  0.38654922735379516,
                  0.1778652528005686,
                  0.11863830449786794,
                  0.1581566706892246
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2967486693547037,
                  0.11389845340262296,
                  0.28708252665892015,
                  0.18074482304641312,
                  0.09674567979797069,
                  0.1452659710035483,
                  0.36652429915278506,
                  0.23021072247566152
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29554495080091303,
                  0.14237252824897006,
                  0.438654075489631,
                  0.20751359128025879,
                  0.11400552453007727,
                  0.15045639256177848,
                  0.39930100365958165,
                  0.22754136885072465
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.090030525149523,
                  15.40579535279841,
                  65.77997179973585,
                  22.532471512526893,
                  23.375614522478738,
                  16.26661217606652,
                  57.2888909954651,
                  23.623072960497304
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.40124575195562,
                  18.535452439061405,
                  96.88435708644411,
                  25.600608810810552,
                  26.457175781428862,
                  16.988995955173806,
                  61.64931906064567,
                  21.436898042938385
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  24.792672333619866,
                  14.236301216333809,
                  63.80389235486144,
                  21.28208145790568,
                  22.09096326703902,
                  14.919080977393653,
                  55.738384673174544,
                  22.458662228154832
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.012970318608165,
                  17.14717700571395,
                  95.49608165309667,
                  24.212333377463093,
                  25.06890034808142,
                  15.600720521826346,
                  60.26104362729821,
                  20.04862260959093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.39529792597159186,
              "rpss": 0.08823070409115397,
              "brier_below": 0.1806452775547387,
              "bss_below": 0.03205018391939529,
              "brier_above": 0.21465264311157817,
              "bss_above": 0.13069235154341396,
              "crps": 31.295307480589795,
              "crpss": 0.14538659785717734,
              "crps_fair": 29.915254813560352,
              "crpss_fair": 0.15088215515718506,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.014373,
                    0.136122,
                    0.681323,
                    0.150564,
                    0.014137,
                    0.003482,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1726,
                    0.2635,
                    0.3494,
                    0.4258,
                    0.5308,
                    0.6366,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.0288,
                    0.2352,
                    0.3463,
                    0.4921,
                    0.9375,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.019578,
                    0.363124,
                    0.445729,
                    0.13457,
                    0.034169,
                    0.002831,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1677,
                    0.2609,
                    0.334,
                    0.4408,
                    0.5277,
                    0.6258,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0222,
                    0.2022,
                    0.4088,
                    0.8548,
                    0.9809,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "loci": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.4962012899571328,
            "training": [
              0.46549198975614364,
              0.4908204847634855,
              0.485613735981447,
              0.5137301552724167,
              0.5656181635189385,
              0.4870145123679742,
              0.5074557598745671,
              0.4639752365211528,
              0.4942888617840156,
              0.500110787912383,
              0.463866662011398,
              0.5176812802719797,
              0.5178620668859213,
              0.5055334503927701,
              0.41703050258460006,
              0.490549910511397,
              0.5220264723564979,
              0.4581685622903405,
              0.5126521895463645,
              0.5055893661395665,
              0.505659359254559,
              0.49410656089561045,
              0.5241459783816409,
              0.49983890969601646
            ],
            "test": 0.5195453631982666
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.45807269976881426,
                  0.43734837260926007,
                  0.4435198957748468,
                  0.5075391854508744,
                  0.4098574725011588,
                  0.47943228287188316,
                  0.4328172441042395,
                  0.523047927747504,
                  0.36722127234865387,
                  0.44379872698932826,
                  0.6103309575654081,
                  0.3369173951858187,
                  0.41153559929370026,
                  0.4393104185636439,
                  0.5201811343133167,
                  0.4176813913975911,
                  0.3846328727777468,
                  0.5962204829074391,
                  0.4681223343708517,
                  0.4160424672977869,
                  0.37357532468158483,
                  0.4846188869285305,
                  0.3497821021049139,
                  0.4365941720627525
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.43940389586261985,
                  0.4665815975343043,
                  0.4078016629257561,
                  0.5058326534107924,
                  0.5395139539081617,
                  0.49558246555093133,
                  0.4802715214492444,
                  0.4940433293404847,
                  0.3914621834757892,
                  0.4277164147133932,
                  0.5144532300877738,
                  0.3688788642452346,
                  0.45641496116615643,
                  0.4825359152593056,
                  0.4144568447211086,
                  0.4364608837118219,
                  0.42094222389547176,
                  0.4840252584820353,
                  0.4719586571698775,
                  0.40608224744207533,
                  0.407618183369595,
                  0.4985033807712113,
                  0.41838804437156996,
                  0.4537770988760395
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20175276044460905,
                  0.27834271798244087,
                  0.28569103906877713,
                  0.3991741139259634,
                  0.07281400624376806,
                  0.19624200364616134,
                  0.155800949469281,
                  0.11904389792444747,
                  0.17150888570185052,
                  0.23711976823335906,
                  0.47231474716811406,
                  0.1877360220624574,
                  0.31827783431933393,
                  0.08252114541097377,
                  0.3414644773228484,
                  0.12617797844337028,
                  0.14426733792950375,
                  0.4316899420763813,
                  0.3105930880288486,
                  0.2383425107076529,
                  0.10373891754877469,
                  0.08479926462455611,
                  0.12929638123648338,
                  0.3147615204834302
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.19457870756681286,
                  0.28338161161055664,
                  0.2603988151290453,
                  0.3801317890887892,
                  0.12139582486297858,
                  0.2083086937549171,
                  0.179673404168855,
                  0.13049409161286557,
                  0.18820422829035943,
                  0.23725297240826868,
                  0.3930574463474963,
                  0.2061208543150891,
                  0.32867257140426404,
                  0.12346043676030426,
                  0.28728118486517273,
                  0.14778867910296825,
                  0.17721343670206774,
                  0.3552785719779392,
                  0.29320090548610794,
                  0.22384930431748742,
                  0.13483308539642477,
                  0.12264454476536311,
                  0.165349012936125,
                  0.30321995858175416
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.25631994027779725,
                  0.15900565463150254,
                  0.15782885610252992,
                  0.10836506918892738,
                  0.33704346604640684,
                  0.28319028119070855,
                  0.2770162963018514,
                  0.4040040334803647,
                  0.19571238664037227,
                  0.20667895752950763,
                  0.13801620768495143,
                  0.14918137160860925,
                  0.09325776403359456,
                  0.35678927544507577,
                  0.17871665713071067,
                  0.29150341480693653,
                  0.2403655349108739,
                  0.16453054112257404,
                  0.15752924530587248,
                  0.17769995669713273,
                  0.26983640838801026,
                  0.39981962335454296,
                  0.22048572032929664,
                  0.12183265144201849
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.244825188295807,
                  0.18319998592374737,
                  0.1474028477967109,
                  0.12570086432200342,
                  0.41811812904518303,
                  0.2872737717960143,
                  0.3005981172803895,
                  0.3635492377276191,
                  0.20325795518542972,
                  0.1904634423051245,
                  0.12139578374027739,
                  0.16275800993014544,
                  0.1277423897618922,
                  0.3590754784990013,
                  0.12717565985593585,
                  0.2886722046088535,
                  0.24372878719340413,
                  0.1287466865040958,
                  0.17875775168376942,
                  0.182232943124588,
                  0.2727850979731702,
                  0.3758588360058481,
                  0.2530390314354449,
                  0.15055714029428513
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.295394151313914,
                  21.192404373403146,
                  21.895726533460245,
                  24.846406746301067,
                  105.79941790517842,
                  36.024046386995884,
                  35.9976871419104,
                  44.205795582719794,
                  16.428064374122403,
                  22.261739155307133,
                  36.59237525553815,
                  18.830599163275906,
                  17.844441921446677,
                  35.431975742181244,
                  32.45918908951591,
                  23.835149936196288,
                  20.527823820769708,
                  38.23654966237712,
                  25.707990241938905,
                  24.380734331411134,
                  20.391911246252995,
                  36.27225809079162,
                  21.596878156182143,
                  22.259986681701317
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.77074843142727,
                  22.60409869067204,
                  18.38031484850475,
                  25.959936518793185,
                  123.34118991059545,
                  35.588714164776064,
                  39.220907889439694,
                  39.49590059501811,
                  18.35094398856043,
                  19.018950574892433,
                  27.831563580748035,
                  21.968021793696813,
                  21.56629431892967,
                  37.55562250213345,
                  20.343092113101918,
                  25.75266643361196,
                  21.96609944248159,
                  25.58890298078945,
                  24.791989124537817,
                  21.665834698643923,
                  21.79847843728042,
                  34.8315441627334,
                  25.585209165511976,
                  22.091569801149358
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.524154912475424,
                  20.33784390357539,
                  21.08416493179356,
                  24.019578378840254,
                  104.85652133887471,
                  35.30386111449583,
                  35.15250894945776,
                  43.403034699117036,
                  15.685555596916705,
                  21.348122492859453,
                  35.67365785141634,
                  17.967593104985596,
                  17.105352699368687,
                  34.65534598178332,
                  31.623321156166078,
                  23.066430917399906,
                  19.641840845524175,
                  37.35013001577313,
                  24.90000574949108,
                  23.59454435093661,
                  19.529908113658177,
                  35.546686623599705,
                  20.57071238382127,
                  21.552046914068494
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.51064113159216,
                  21.34178182693399,
                  17.109998394156545,
                  24.703975408517493,
                  122.2696629923497,
                  34.35098937579959,
                  37.99006225524478,
                  38.26557578034132,
                  17.080571907583543,
                  17.74984365790482,
                  26.57914721869575,
                  20.704500238866018,
                  20.302011916608773,
                  36.321622918341355,
                  19.07649303993666,
                  24.496312766356763,
                  20.70257424683409,
                  24.33223915547966,
                  23.533815992682083,
                  20.40174081976945,
                  20.534635777607914,
                  33.59238533966214,
                  24.32853834433991,
                  20.828282238756913
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4478416924840687,
              "rpss": 0.01235950494777005,
              "brier_below": 0.22514463791680775,
              "bss_below": 0.007770924039877225,
              "brier_above": 0.22269705473542367,
              "bss_above": 0.01695557515038959,
              "crps": 30.42977273709548,
              "crpss": -0.015639608812666905,
              "crps_fair": 29.603871792766615,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03103365338533548,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.07441,
                    0.525339,
                    0.281081,
                    0.107881,
                    0.011177,
                    0.000113,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1852,
                    0.2509,
                    0.347,
                    0.4402,
                    0.5248,
                    0.6311,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2818,
                    0.3018,
                    0.4002,
                    0.4652,
                    0.5164,
                    0.7493,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.010279,
                    0.35123,
                    0.419608,
                    0.19331,
                    0.025176,
                    0.000398,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1895,
                    0.2664,
                    0.3488,
                    0.4415,
                    0.5338,
                    0.6124,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.168,
                    0.2685,
                    0.3754,
                    0.4288,
                    0.4,
                    0.7867,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3913987406347902,
                  0.39221390187672345,
                  0.31560963336566994,
                  0.42768509323634724,
                  0.3628434140929103,
                  0.4210941322713771,
                  0.3951018415679978,
                  0.5743324317049683,
                  0.39607695882183436,
                  0.349395594437083,
                  0.5861403688758363,
                  0.3527772866191473,
                  0.45278665900481296,
                  0.47967312091683834,
                  0.5552131097926097,
                  0.46121725083195875,
                  0.3131772248782329,
                  0.5337673682683867,
                  0.36556072063768874,
                  0.3230968728118675,
                  0.31383783606293186,
                  0.4865913635861843,
                  0.3101613777734821,
                  0.5163720304328956
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4283784857114221,
                  0.426706305961757,
                  0.34466488699165887,
                  0.5130077270408857,
                  0.5410158863622896,
                  0.48132609845393376,
                  0.42143417390584187,
                  0.49961637384642854,
                  0.41822160564029737,
                  0.4024426800552632,
                  0.5388940294117011,
                  0.3853584913200236,
                  0.5182825785529102,
                  0.520890978389888,
                  0.44508072243200725,
                  0.47856087825017973,
                  0.3579810319851315,
                  0.4969649351160663,
                  0.42935647355424533,
                  0.3854220303157415,
                  0.34929101419438247,
                  0.47527063535536435,
                  0.48976956498879315,
                  0.5267262457793177
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2488344829903138,
                  0.15641173899782287,
                  0.15182578022979276,
                  0.34793583996304017,
                  0.05588997941161004,
                  0.32628509336131517,
                  0.2623182224143947,
                  0.13556115824355264,
                  0.17763866351388127,
                  0.08614489576010477,
                  0.46952903595738277,
                  0.19153967176081815,
                  0.36431167798449293,
                  0.07611622838978742,
                  0.38267463294165077,
                  0.09348126677867935,
                  0.11970614776753387,
                  0.4224829257277606,
                  0.15209222523841795,
                  0.09567596098530175,
                  0.10567554224618922,
                  0.09147957168254056,
                  0.05657090112984741,
                  0.4328732026465814
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.260916368370509,
                  0.18230982257127842,
                  0.1744601993170755,
                  0.3920247357664324,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.33810643785296296,
                  0.2628742416199158,
                  0.13479064363488874,
                  0.19259108021282037,
                  0.12944501007419143,
                  0.41791103813724767,
                  0.2209426899917617,
                  0.3972995872784568,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3150864593637269,
                  0.12256697767898699,
                  0.15807349465346632,
                  0.37120768576769203,
                  0.18695933477249566,
                  0.14105590686426853,
                  0.13688174505845058,
                  0.12416576635757047,
                  0.12574169593915657,
                  0.40415464577044424
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1425642579462501,
                  0.23580216322526729,
                  0.1637838535405518,
                  0.07974925151029755,
                  0.30695343472716113,
                  0.09480903913816528,
                  0.13278361874287825,
                  0.4387712760026148,
                  0.2184382953879185,
                  0.26325069815429936,
                  0.11661132970499778,
                  0.16123761213601895,
                  0.08847497896164665,
                  0.4035568938713238,
                  0.17253847627428723,
                  0.3677359884750422,
                  0.1934710757079585,
                  0.11128444271657861,
                  0.21346849440242227,
                  0.22742091287779212,
                  0.20816229368621633,
                  0.3951117910308992,
                  0.2535904753088069,
                  0.0834988272882289
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16746211734091326,
                  0.24439648339047856,
                  0.17020468767458338,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.42003289508783637,
                  0.1432196606009709,
                  0.15855993228592616,
                  0.3648257302115401,
                  0.22563052542747697,
                  0.27299766998107183,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.16441580132826192,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3999079871154346,
                  0.12999426306828057,
                  0.35599390057119296,
                  0.19990753733166522,
                  0.12575724934837454,
                  0.24239713878174965,
                  0.244366123451473,
                  0.21240926913593197,
                  0.3511048689977941,
                  0.36402786904963685,
                  0.12257160000887342
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.689072316410293,
                  25.352563134711513,
                  17.058603649933993,
                  23.795965115124513,
                  132.16441121208774,
                  29.17683583944774,
                  19.182732828822665,
                  60.353504046839284,
                  20.388883916696436,
                  17.27659671923645,
                  40.48289374838816,
                  21.47757393992776,
                  24.691852073458865,
                  53.67520347630087,
                  34.28148541073389,
                  35.0146448211695,
                  17.128897228569045,
                  38.66026691939207,
                  24.566122668080908,
                  22.22670714044047,
                  18.21071762192949,
                  36.398446459341145,
                  25.051814409498984,
                  31.829708274178707
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.638963822645973,
                  24.235290387642486,
                  18.424283296657233,
                  32.54717605456645,
                  156.90499273836357,
                  32.635277727606166,
                  21.537420350099357,
                  49.09575292416304,
                  22.525465304564662,
                  20.988002465707634,
                  34.61988384032085,
                  24.30789299289558,
                  29.701345919639383,
                  54.971641276234905,
                  22.842560447513375,
                  36.98644829813116,
                  18.957656403027976,
                  33.035212506102354,
                  28.03299847714953,
                  26.339484558745546,
                  20.084345939930547,
                  32.84079658873186,
                  39.9223127647239,
                  31.23869015810775
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.884061699495533,
                  24.241402005825066,
                  16.160209869515093,
                  22.88261254436866,
                  131.21907464121136,
                  28.4193174169049,
                  18.292992693017542,
                  59.48910440670683,
                  19.626122335683114,
                  16.507949116579994,
                  39.48950617691967,
                  20.387122168061588,
                  23.736045427708483,
                  52.82677976122917,
                  33.243060732704635,
                  34.04486718624792,
                  16.04739427840746,
                  37.829114336532015,
                  23.707864508992692,
                  21.29725368077044,
                  17.220613117561978,
                  35.623261890361505,
                  23.771591727973778,
                  31.004883331454437
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.16546441774922,
                  22.76670826790671,
                  16.94469548167337,
                  31.09433614253317,
                  155.68767899429207,
                  31.182604674802132,
                  20.063728628019742,
                  47.67425501377674,
                  21.053644879747303,
                  19.513270179453034,
                  33.170969511215155,
                  22.839448378093994,
                  28.243116177805117,
                  53.561271942272995,
                  21.37134058167887,
                  35.54201609868039,
                  17.47907876438195,
                  31.583296905530318,
                  26.57160898637116,
                  24.874887655242915,
                  18.60790218298319,
                  31.38851277619512,
                  38.48344091464168,
                  29.783372053088755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.41983851385427395,
              "rpss": 0.07343118953659289,
              "brier_below": 0.20846061858845047,
              "bss_below": 0.07888690318133862,
              "brier_above": 0.21137789503406768,
              "bss_above": 0.0679871044622824,
              "crps": 32.83897929044669,
              "crpss": 0.05546215437730517,
              "crps_fair": 31.914675210593078,
              "crpss_fair": 0.04213666695210072,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.074788,
                    0.522806,
                    0.285635,
                    0.103781,
                    0.01299,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1873,
                    0.2481,
                    0.3483,
                    0.441,
                    0.5229,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1329,
                    0.24,
                    0.4757,
                    0.6451,
                    0.6034,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.014207,
                    0.385584,
                    0.383664,
                    0.181999,
                    0.033601,
                    0.000945,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1903,
                    0.2648,
                    0.3477,
                    0.4444,
                    0.5361,
                    0.612,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1122,
                    0.2368,
                    0.3309,
                    0.5792,
                    0.6438,
                    0.8464,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42106238725005607,
                  0.3416422576678049,
                  0.4707591643363565,
                  0.33821995206885924,
                  0.46152392859439373,
                  0.30202111372170903,
                  0.4374341438950359,
                  0.5235786360314079
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41226069330832904,
                  0.37346476202427337,
                  0.5449498935810108,
                  0.3668786910829554,
                  0.4702381054334581,
                  0.35149027409467,
                  0.4617153008948455,
                  0.4689090852917107
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16615202313943406,
                  0.15428383381255548,
                  0.08779285571107925,
                  0.19149940674778923,
                  0.24593137304488588,
                  0.11326563173154705,
                  0.09874982079560982,
                  0.14071636484286149
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.16272543810516465,
                  0.17439021621908166,
                  0.1111111177338495,
                  0.19565233168880328,
                  0.24748910543474462,
                  0.14877102166271772,
                  0.11990485299837937,
                  0.13022383774923363
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2549103579463495,
                  0.18735842507840095,
                  0.3829662744103511,
                  0.14672055137178983,
                  0.21559255467841412,
                  0.18875548681307824,
                  0.3386843028626661,
                  0.3828622475070808
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2495352503192138,
                  0.19907454994431797,
                  0.43383873800717726,
                  0.1712263685129215,
                  0.22274899990451802,
                  0.20271925591935436,
                  0.3418104265124274,
                  0.3386852267172677
                ],
                "crps": [
                  21.891152359991892,
                  14.608017552783704,
                  56.243732568855314,
                  15.490959669349545,
                  24.772107064077424,
                  14.983025345401204,
                  41.341980437869296,
                  41.69399222881304
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.51742288315328,
                  17.602067483896718,
                  66.72428457706202,
                  18.842687558036157,
                  25.490235640654245,
                  17.86439441677566,
                  41.38038268584848,
                  34.17883620329718
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  21.503693477121505,
                  14.210695391545382,
                  55.71583441688014,
                  15.117414089063946,
                  24.400181408842617,
                  14.52252768299551,
                  40.92750284721725,
                  41.33651162518525
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.32105586449988,
                  16.40570046524331,
                  65.52791755840862,
                  17.64632053938275,
                  24.293868622000836,
                  16.66802739812226,
                  40.184015667195084,
                  32.98246918464377
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4120301979457029,
              "rpss": 0.04454184730185751,
              "brier_below": 0.1497989137282203,
              "bss_below": 0.07120739051843716,
              "brier_above": 0.2622312750835163,
              "bss_above": 0.028610624478480173,
              "crps": 28.878120903392677,
              "crpss": 0.05162285773279629,
              "crps_fair": 28.466795117356448,
              "crpss_fair": 0.026898394069500675,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.051925,
                    0.445518,
                    0.395695,
                    0.097896,
                    0.008965,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1892,
                    0.2532,
                    0.344,
                    0.4395,
                    0.5196,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0669,
                    0.1152,
                    0.1814,
                    0.2011,
                    0.4735,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00161,
                    0.460318,
                    0.419308,
                    0.106061,
                    0.012704,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1932,
                    0.2654,
                    0.3402,
                    0.4391,
                    0.531,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3671,
                    0.3876,
                    0.4955,
                    0.7279,
                    0.9867,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.41500366713264575,
                  0.30945153609676895,
                  0.3417130769478087,
                  0.3834929233087081,
                  0.5151169539955077,
                  0.297961525886963,
                  0.45223035966551756,
                  0.3936644208892057
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41878825306748607,
                  0.3532443184157963,
                  0.5497652319245143,
                  0.41409150225437374,
                  0.500554732533218,
                  0.3283216325296163,
                  0.5179393398216053,
                  0.38569804049108725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11614427548916038,
                  0.18958669745128656,
                  0.053781307678558175,
                  0.1953083207690626,
                  0.4156589200953196,
                  0.1553265559657559,
                  0.08598083028927095,
                  0.1643162048651376
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12324328915544643,
                  0.21087180444506454,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.20657791360422298,
                  0.38654922735379516,
                  0.1778652528005686,
                  0.11863830449786794,
                  0.1581566706892246
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2988593779882807,
                  0.11986484949466998,
                  0.2879317389516306,
                  0.18818460299812714,
                  0.09945805143508082,
                  0.14263498158699722,
                  0.36624950092269787,
                  0.2293482118593542
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29554495080091303,
                  0.14237252824897006,
                  0.438654075489631,
                  0.20751359128025879,
                  0.11400552453007727,
                  0.15045639256177848,
                  0.39930100365958165,
                  0.22754136885072465
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.862193635998064,
                  14.066355752652068,
                  66.19343972029192,
                  21.989141689681944,
                  26.971021063140494,
                  14.332783879737793,
                  56.86986290871285,
                  22.61727339146001
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.40124575195562,
                  18.535452439061405,
                  96.88435708644411,
                  25.600608810810552,
                  26.457175781428862,
                  16.988995955173806,
                  61.64931906064567,
                  21.436898042938385
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  24.376899559024654,
                  13.639812696815495,
                  65.49960510971877,
                  21.560879846237675,
                  26.51859101547845,
                  13.865915028889994,
                  56.36909780170971,
                  22.20962676516261
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.012970318608165,
                  17.14717700571395,
                  95.49608165309667,
                  24.212333377463093,
                  25.06890034808142,
                  15.600720521826346,
                  60.26104362729821,
                  20.04862260959093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3885793079903907,
              "rpss": 0.10372744511539234,
              "brier_below": 0.17201288907544396,
              "bss_below": 0.07830502630428826,
              "brier_above": 0.21656641440460483,
              "bss_above": 0.12294189481337514,
              "crps": 30.987759005209394,
              "crpss": 0.15378514287967637,
              "crps_fair": 30.50505347787967,
              "crpss_fair": 0.1341412457496216,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.048105,
                    0.491875,
                    0.400674,
                    0.052161,
                    0.007184,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1897,
                    0.2544,
                    0.3416,
                    0.4356,
                    0.5233,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0271,
                    0.1764,
                    0.2892,
                    0.3376,
                    0.6967,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.001303,
                    0.420201,
                    0.42365,
                    0.126737,
                    0.028109,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.193,
                    0.2681,
                    0.339,
                    0.4482,
                    0.5332,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1663,
                    0.2068,
                    0.4239,
                    0.8886,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "eqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.4745351689718636,
            "training": [
              0.4214868872664878,
              0.4665650194659992,
              0.45805393780576253,
              0.5141690417344649,
              0.5960039785747222,
              0.47372028341465255,
              0.48827939195151454,
              0.41376771306930854,
              0.46528025642340476,
              0.4708353909951559,
              0.45748909903733986,
              0.4746560924046022,
              0.5264870334488428,
              0.49112730782102104,
              0.3830073782183191,
              0.4474825928458132,
              0.4853572357123841,
              0.4428764112806819,
              0.504894429699497,
              0.4818493598618455,
              0.4792213352819605,
              0.45570598284320835,
              0.4920379086267191,
              0.4984899875410196
            ],
            "test": 0.49232951374719214
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5163269670486724,
                  0.40554253809577573,
                  0.43611486591065834,
                  0.46376771433468755,
                  0.413125595982737,
                  0.4800445897026796,
                  0.445657078744123,
                  0.5756443290223938,
                  0.3764213200968319,
                  0.4453473103973617,
                  0.5626964667436875,
                  0.3702807411434581,
                  0.38448463411231715,
                  0.4660230623264106,
                  0.517741945727579,
                  0.4578062722938508,
                  0.42897233562085946,
                  0.5546189492092924,
                  0.43386893324695996,
                  0.41433396457898286,
                  0.4170090066950942,
                  0.5286066013697278,
                  0.3538516536898722,
                  0.4119626866737426
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.43940389586261985,
                  0.4665815975343043,
                  0.4078016629257561,
                  0.5058326534107924,
                  0.5395139539081617,
                  0.49558246555093133,
                  0.4802715214492444,
                  0.4940433293404847,
                  0.3914621834757892,
                  0.4277164147133932,
                  0.5144532300877738,
                  0.3688788642452346,
                  0.45641496116615643,
                  0.4825359152593056,
                  0.4144568447211086,
                  0.4364608837118219,
                  0.42094222389547176,
                  0.4840252584820353,
                  0.4719586571698775,
                  0.40608224744207533,
                  0.407618183369595,
                  0.4985033807712113,
                  0.41838804437156996,
                  0.4537770988760395
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2550438297356146,
                  0.2457725520060053,
                  0.2716715506509357,
                  0.3542405696525365,
                  0.08545407512401622,
                  0.19139324671187735,
                  0.1641791593163181,
                  0.16514424227748808,
                  0.17980813711600574,
                  0.23363361978499203,
                  0.42395115881748024,
                  0.21457789015791343,
                  0.29048512131326415,
                  0.10599865977006061,
                  0.3262400122318437,
                  0.16147180989041787,
                  0.18153183483153726,
                  0.3869675534527049,
                  0.27516370496457204,
                  0.2301528281288627,
                  0.14106090507000008,
                  0.12057374226276497,
                  0.13096891067105662,
                  0.2890028578577655
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.19457870756681286,
                  0.28338161161055664,
                  0.2603988151290453,
                  0.3801317890887892,
                  0.12139582486297858,
                  0.2083086937549171,
                  0.179673404168855,
                  0.13049409161286557,
                  0.18820422829035943,
                  0.23725297240826868,
                  0.3930574463474963,
                  0.2061208543150891,
                  0.32867257140426404,
                  0.12346043676030426,
                  0.28728118486517273,
                  0.14778867910296825,
                  0.17721343670206774,
                  0.3552785719779392,
                  0.29320090548610794,
                  0.22384930431748742,
                  0.13483308539642477,
                  0.12264454476536311,
                  0.165349012936125,
                  0.30321995858175416
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2612831341953355,
                  0.15976998467173673,
                  0.16444331114278501,
                  0.10952714215335159,
                  0.32767152114720394,
                  0.28865134851759,
                  0.2814779240617411,
                  0.4105000931007205,
                  0.19661318252353094,
                  0.2117136897814594,
                  0.1387453024542921,
                  0.15570284968147236,
                  0.09399951116590005,
                  0.360024409699902,
                  0.19150193139209615,
                  0.2963344657556157,
                  0.2474404999973604,
                  0.1676513953916653,
                  0.15870522463507966,
                  0.18418113456122248,
                  0.2759481053913096,
                  0.4080328680081401,
                  0.22288274140677117,
                  0.12295982708314543
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.244825188295807,
                  0.18319998592374737,
                  0.1474028477967109,
                  0.12570086432200342,
                  0.41811812904518303,
                  0.2872737717960143,
                  0.3005981172803895,
                  0.3635492377276191,
                  0.20325795518542972,
                  0.1904634423051245,
                  0.12139578374027739,
                  0.16275800993014544,
                  0.1277423897618922,
                  0.3590754784990013,
                  0.12717565985593585,
                  0.2886722046088535,
                  0.24372878719340413,
                  0.1287466865040958,
                  0.17875775168376942,
                  0.182232943124588,
                  0.2727850979731702,
                  0.3758588360058481,
                  0.2530390314354449,
                  0.15055714029428513
                ],
                "crps": [
                  30.403823967168893,
                  19.76663212322808,
                  21.415269175728948,
                  21.154695430770296,
                  101.01845678885992,
                  33.662373851041025,
                  35.29183388947948,
                  47.114286963489846,
                  17.199971928080757,
                  23.110311108244137,
                  32.51548158046897,
                  22.135043864317968,
                  15.068225889939608,
                  36.618109284201,
                  31.399785794881755,
                  26.801708271339724,
                  24.237110864811953,
                  36.237824928842755,
                  23.114145598088363,
                  23.51413248241848,
                  23.498928612241,
                  38.227382556216924,
                  24.076430995456494,
                  20.364280857700347
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.77074843142727,
                  22.60409869067204,
                  18.38031484850475,
                  25.959936518793185,
                  123.34118991059545,
                  35.588714164776064,
                  39.220907889439694,
                  39.49590059501811,
                  18.35094398856043,
                  19.018950574892433,
                  27.831563580748035,
                  21.968021793696813,
                  21.56629431892967,
                  37.55562250213345,
                  20.343092113101918,
                  25.75266643361196,
                  21.96609944248159,
                  25.58890298078945,
                  24.791989124537817,
                  21.665834698643923,
                  21.79847843728042,
                  34.8315441627334,
                  25.585209165511976,
                  22.091569801149358
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  29.51015439078469,
                  18.675432952091647,
                  20.38374452489653,
                  20.155095025837532,
                  99.99658844585085,
                  32.795164684999115,
                  34.24402890085979,
                  46.141051098280286,
                  16.23654309006899,
                  21.921879291908542,
                  31.37516252425115,
                  21.065195328012056,
                  14.161931572926166,
                  35.59004651392821,
                  30.32987670418702,
                  25.880007272518842,
                  23.069203246276246,
                  35.13783133769949,
                  22.0946300817473,
                  22.523824987640953,
                  22.406772471245183,
                  37.305845386686954,
                  22.69838810455809,
                  19.527815611473223
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.51064113159216,
                  21.34178182693399,
                  17.109998394156545,
                  24.703975408517493,
                  122.2696629923497,
                  34.35098937579959,
                  37.99006225524478,
                  38.26557578034132,
                  17.080571907583543,
                  17.74984365790482,
                  26.57914721869575,
                  20.704500238866018,
                  20.302011916608773,
                  36.321622918341355,
                  19.07649303993666,
                  24.496312766356763,
                  20.70257424683409,
                  24.33223915547966,
                  23.533815992682083,
                  20.40174081976945,
                  20.534635777607914,
                  33.59238533966214,
                  24.32853834433991,
                  20.828282238756913
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4525103984486565,
              "rpss": 0.0020634491148646683,
              "brier_below": 0.22602033215816805,
              "bss_below": 0.0039116747325514956,
              "brier_above": 0.22649006657997614,
              "bss_above": 0.00021220532178667373,
              "crps": 30.331093616959027,
              "crpss": -0.012346044189649241,
              "crps_fair": 29.301092231197032,
              "crpss_fair": -0.020488549024635816,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.016592,
                    0.284645,
                    0.462657,
                    0.208645,
                    0.027462,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1918,
                    0.2657,
                    0.3502,
                    0.4399,
                    0.5234,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3122,
                    0.3076,
                    0.3304,
                    0.4395,
                    0.3897,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.006325,
                    0.318989,
                    0.46216,
                    0.180849,
                    0.031677,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1863,
                    0.266,
                    0.3486,
                    0.4405,
                    0.5274,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3139,
                    0.2919,
                    0.3695,
                    0.3719,
                    0.4329,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.40169417923076717,
                  0.40445256321247125,
                  0.34544956375229047,
                  0.3891428165821422,
                  0.3509443271512345,
                  0.36340445049597053,
                  0.38682008489405434,
                  0.6344244835985964,
                  0.4022790561765587,
                  0.3800772327202164,
                  0.5247860885160042,
                  0.38015348879537664,
                  0.4061797667846903,
                  0.49350832287087576,
                  0.5368425915059369,
                  0.5039054129418329,
                  0.3369023164334573,
                  0.4734051524671216,
                  0.38293227837765526,
                  0.344063364139155,
                  0.3534692707055629,
                  0.5351403425129158,
                  0.30652496556744235,
                  0.4533432513198315
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4283784857114221,
                  0.426706305961757,
                  0.34466488699165887,
                  0.5130077270408857,
                  0.5410158863622896,
                  0.48132609845393376,
                  0.42143417390584187,
                  0.49961637384642854,
                  0.41822160564029737,
                  0.4024426800552632,
                  0.5388940294117011,
                  0.3853584913200236,
                  0.5182825785529102,
                  0.520890978389888,
                  0.44508072243200725,
                  0.47856087825017973,
                  0.3579810319851315,
                  0.4969649351160663,
                  0.42935647355424533,
                  0.3854220303157415,
                  0.34929101419438247,
                  0.47527063535536435,
                  0.48976956498879315,
                  0.5267262457793177
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2563553637140966,
                  0.1647720202720622,
                  0.17061131943952074,
                  0.30809212289238835,
                  0.06176934239234171,
                  0.26899159994993815,
                  0.2493874764398003,
                  0.19045586498274317,
                  0.18229353769327478,
                  0.11051126126508569,
                  0.4076396251555904,
                  0.2114889430971122,
                  0.3150890612665405,
                  0.09393509871318008,
                  0.3529263675784301,
                  0.13431117127211323,
                  0.13630386797428717,
                  0.3602279830187735,
                  0.16399437646803833,
                  0.10577513005551696,
                  0.14535830604651398,
                  0.1343366283837179,
                  0.05837766696757412,
                  0.3659442922850133
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.260916368370509,
                  0.18230982257127842,
                  0.1744601993170755,
                  0.3920247357664324,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.33810643785296296,
                  0.2628742416199158,
                  0.13479064363488874,
                  0.19259108021282037,
                  0.12944501007419143,
                  0.41791103813724767,
                  0.2209426899917617,
                  0.3972995872784568,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3150864593637269,
                  0.12256697767898699,
                  0.15807349465346632,
                  0.37120768576769203,
                  0.18695933477249566,
                  0.14105590686426853,
                  0.13688174505845058,
                  0.12416576635757047,
                  0.12574169593915657,
                  0.40415464577044424
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14533881326005854,
                  0.23968054196229088,
                  0.17483824109053683,
                  0.08105069454656134,
                  0.2891749827620357,
                  0.09441285130794513,
                  0.13743260790326997,
                  0.44396861935644066,
                  0.21998552047317688,
                  0.26956597343446864,
                  0.11714645818618248,
                  0.16866454318481508,
                  0.09109070539742818,
                  0.399573232696823,
                  0.18391621967948077,
                  0.36959424878087327,
                  0.20059844699754387,
                  0.11317716829571196,
                  0.21893790041428013,
                  0.2382882351829923,
                  0.20811096397780163,
                  0.4008037205893193,
                  0.2481472966259425,
                  0.08739895602883926
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16746211734091326,
                  0.24439648339047856,
                  0.17020468767458338,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.42003289508783637,
                  0.1432196606009709,
                  0.15855993228592616,
                  0.3648257302115401,
                  0.22563052542747697,
                  0.27299766998107183,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.16441580132826192,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3999079871154346,
                  0.12999426306828057,
                  0.35599390057119296,
                  0.19990753733166522,
                  0.12575724934837454,
                  0.24239713878174965,
                  0.244366123451473,
                  0.21240926913593197,
                  0.3511048689977941,
                  0.36402786904963685,
                  0.12257160000887342
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.08310688669382,
                  27.964754327508075,
                  19.16599427707578,
                  19.61766693563471,
                  122.49513152655975,
                  22.668911714725816,
                  19.575544850111797,
                  64.0870431900506,
                  21.28400535590421,
                  19.562729957617005,
                  34.194053707981546,
                  25.74050773170389,
                  18.82220234388114,
                  53.01413799763145,
                  32.52144089800293,
                  39.13362123151317,
                  20.63482957694384,
                  33.45904012203391,
                  24.73921886744527,
                  23.691621198203208,
                  20.762905968652664,
                  39.38639172668251,
                  29.72915082450912,
                  25.272246013339466
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.638963822645973,
                  24.235290387642486,
                  18.424283296657233,
                  32.54717605456645,
                  156.90499273836357,
                  32.635277727606166,
                  21.537420350099357,
                  49.09575292416304,
                  22.525465304564662,
                  20.988002465707634,
                  34.61988384032085,
                  24.30789299289558,
                  29.701345919639383,
                  54.971641276234905,
                  22.842560447513375,
                  36.98644829813116,
                  18.957656403027976,
                  33.035212506102354,
                  28.03299847714953,
                  26.339484558745546,
                  20.084345939930547,
                  32.84079658873186,
                  39.9223127647239,
                  31.23869015810775
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  19.07729825869494,
                  26.405572859914304,
                  18.002722258339766,
                  18.516972996426,
                  121.44474631514204,
                  21.77768712600437,
                  18.489868820360922,
                  63.091941453596206,
                  20.300643436192566,
                  18.50528951200851,
                  32.94335076044281,
                  24.272979224861338,
                  17.63006877624437,
                  51.87218948166521,
                  31.184201700951387,
                  37.95359040074688,
                  19.114997640544892,
                  32.4336721259285,
                  23.628272444008715,
                  22.497632793605693,
                  19.52246423156614,
                  38.421855676505345,
                  27.952651275129117,
                  24.231994093131576
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.16546441774922,
                  22.76670826790671,
                  16.94469548167337,
                  31.09433614253317,
                  155.68767899429207,
                  31.182604674802132,
                  20.063728628019742,
                  47.67425501377674,
                  21.053644879747303,
                  19.513270179453034,
                  33.170969511215155,
                  22.839448378093994,
                  28.243116177805117,
                  53.561271942272995,
                  21.37134058167887,
                  35.54201609868039,
                  17.47907876438195,
                  31.583296905530318,
                  26.57160898637116,
                  24.874887655242915,
                  18.60790218298319,
                  31.38851277619512,
                  38.48344091464168,
                  29.783372053088755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42041022378134,
              "rpss": 0.07216944586713137,
              "brier_below": 0.2062061844718189,
              "bss_below": 0.08884844318254059,
              "brier_above": 0.2142040392556174,
              "bss_above": 0.05552599608238662,
              "crps": 32.40026071793357,
              "crpss": 0.06808088687965042,
              "crps_fair": 31.219694319250483,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06299530670304088,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.025178,
                    0.291121,
                    0.427333,
                    0.240624,
                    0.015745,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.193,
                    0.2604,
                    0.353,
                    0.4399,
                    0.5187,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2132,
                    0.1462,
                    0.3347,
                    0.5931,
                    0.7882,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.01175,
                    0.346667,
                    0.421155,
                    0.173201,
                    0.047227,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1902,
                    0.2646,
                    0.3482,
                    0.4454,
                    0.5279,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3454,
                    0.2534,
                    0.3174,
                    0.5144,
                    0.6992,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4329608805730031,
                  0.3705042531203476,
                  0.4900212157817154,
                  0.3521568785446758,
                  0.4635791959590946,
                  0.3201556711791931,
                  0.45536680611489144,
                  0.5648348704166958
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41226069330832904,
                  0.37346476202427337,
                  0.5449498935810108,
                  0.3668786910829554,
                  0.4702381054334581,
                  0.35149027409467,
                  0.4617153008948455,
                  0.4689090852917107
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.17927339696890754,
                  0.18096803255283306,
                  0.11273779914107258,
                  0.20628587936462237,
                  0.24078582036125137,
                  0.13047200629285846,
                  0.12048086360707565,
                  0.1786744279577269
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.16272543810516465,
                  0.17439021621908166,
                  0.1111111177338495,
                  0.19565233168880328,
                  0.24748910543474462,
                  0.14877102166271772,
                  0.11990485299837937,
                  0.13022383774923363
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.25368747790576995,
                  0.18953622199915657,
                  0.3772833827931352,
                  0.14587100570170547,
                  0.22279337376388256,
                  0.18968366926400843,
                  0.33488592289440317,
                  0.3861604189910548
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2495352503192138,
                  0.19907454994431797,
                  0.43383873800717726,
                  0.1712263685129215,
                  0.22274899990451802,
                  0.20271925591935436,
                  0.3418104265124274,
                  0.3386852267172677
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.15859120187685,
                  16.868617323792282,
                  53.16754518787983,
                  16.30035932091361,
                  24.692187151716297,
                  16.75109056102871,
                  40.88812983790307,
                  43.84196785708374
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.51742288315328,
                  17.602067483896718,
                  66.72428457706202,
                  18.842687558036157,
                  25.490235640654245,
                  17.86439441677566,
                  41.38038268584848,
                  34.17883620329718
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.671228517960134,
                  16.390683510487722,
                  52.51956021685462,
                  15.860039248443044,
                  24.22701158526692,
                  16.161014191071807,
                  40.35620728683779,
                  43.430335471736704
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.32105586449988,
                  16.40570046524331,
                  65.52791755840862,
                  17.64632053938275,
                  24.293868622000836,
                  16.66802739812226,
                  40.184015667195084,
                  32.98246918464377
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43119747146120213,
              "rpss": 9.47950307220724e-05,
              "brier_below": 0.16870977828079348,
              "bss_below": -0.04604493660593456,
              "brier_above": 0.26248768416413953,
              "bss_above": 0.02766080239251678,
              "crps": 29.4585610552743,
              "crpss": 0.032560808150686404,
              "crps_fair": 28.952010003582345,
              "crpss_fair": 0.010311933139800722,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.003673,
                    0.193661,
                    0.510559,
                    0.285096,
                    0.007011,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1923,
                    0.2615,
                    0.3529,
                    0.4319,
                    0.5183,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.0553,
                    0.1715,
                    0.1741,
                    0.3758,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000509,
                    0.44792,
                    0.427374,
                    0.103293,
                    0.020819,
                    8.5e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.198,
                    0.2683,
                    0.3385,
                    0.4328,
                    0.5219,
                    0.6041,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.3974,
                    0.4774,
                    0.7131,
                    0.9959,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4464685806011665,
                  0.33002348080668403,
                  0.3374179814229003,
                  0.38175658688120745,
                  0.4645504884334456,
                  0.32583400327527673,
                  0.45702456688183335,
                  0.4183339124020003
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41878825306748607,
                  0.3532443184157963,
                  0.5497652319245143,
                  0.41409150225437374,
                  0.500554732533218,
                  0.3283216325296163,
                  0.5179393398216053,
                  0.38569804049108725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.14621862208511982,
                  0.2085108134992115,
                  0.06399109243163426,
                  0.1946674778035475,
                  0.36269781796801903,
                  0.18038790429453533,
                  0.10272979719536371,
                  0.1868656538412549
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12324328915544643,
                  0.21087180444506454,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.20657791360422298,
                  0.38654922735379516,
                  0.1778652528005686,
                  0.11863830449786794,
                  0.1581566706892246
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3002499452927561,
                  0.1215126780882493,
                  0.2734268598414002,
                  0.1870891093803302,
                  0.10185268659078085,
                  0.1454461101310884,
                  0.35429474194991334,
                  0.23146825507666963
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29554495080091303,
                  0.14237252824897006,
                  0.438654075489631,
                  0.20751359128025879,
                  0.11400552453007727,
                  0.15045639256177848,
                  0.39930100365958165,
                  0.22754136885072465
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.60406980137249,
                  16.009572537536716,
                  56.58279180118781,
                  22.54317142035952,
                  22.935059530411483,
                  16.738879761607922,
                  53.63527085443767,
                  25.09472454799148
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.40124575195562,
                  18.535452439061405,
                  96.88435708644411,
                  25.600608810810552,
                  26.457175781428862,
                  16.988995955173806,
                  61.64931906064567,
                  21.436898042938385
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  27.996983102917678,
                  15.481236582737615,
                  55.68464449469641,
                  22.02338969098545,
                  22.369774107711667,
                  16.13524993236569,
                  52.94257655628013,
                  24.607467595318486
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.012970318608165,
                  17.14717700571395,
                  95.49608165309667,
                  24.212333377463093,
                  25.06890034808142,
                  15.600720521826346,
                  60.26104362729821,
                  20.04862260959093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3951762000880643,
              "rpss": 0.08851146934648635,
              "brier_below": 0.18075864738983577,
              "bss_below": 0.03144271544572852,
              "brier_above": 0.2144175482938985,
              "bss_above": 0.13164444661272645,
              "crps": 30.267942531863135,
              "crpss": 0.1734419174803553,
              "crps_fair": 29.65516525787664,
              "crpss_fair": 0.15826456538115452,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.008505,
                    0.234202,
                    0.528553,
                    0.225694,
                    0.003046,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1918,
                    0.2591,
                    0.3562,
                    0.4254,
                    0.5108,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.0502,
                    0.2867,
                    0.2677,
                    0.9285,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.397611,
                    0.425835,
                    0.123635,
                    0.0527,
                    0.000218,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2708,
                    0.3359,
                    0.44,
                    0.5218,
                    0.6041,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1989,
                    0.3942,
                    0.8718,
                    0.9959,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "gqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.41117417564037034,
            "training": [
              0.3752257302851474,
              0.39606226943410267,
              0.3899591092702723,
              0.451835473665095,
              0.5194194952639575,
              0.42169475066634826,
              0.4336051685583266,
              0.3605633593979148,
              0.39754209123574585,
              0.40213163249188194,
              0.4029282354342181,
              0.4129489044981747,
              0.45178773550947615,
              0.422526656854754,
              0.322391576788151,
              0.38964895620928747,
              0.4182239972723609,
              0.3905742013196125,
              0.4356853325365545,
              0.4124355737461648,
              0.40543693033206635,
              0.39924560706839124,
              0.4189065417162116,
              0.4374008858146725
            ],
            "test": 0.4342640995420023
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.49273660224978083,
                  0.4111146103439222,
                  0.4479917995793856,
                  0.4706345536984594,
                  0.3981631334933423,
                  0.46356669217665275,
                  0.4296547643784799,
                  0.5665274466646004,
                  0.3686709391119287,
                  0.4489124669914946,
                  0.5803351289842607,
                  0.35685756471549607,
                  0.37202690644796094,
                  0.45223202844892235,
                  0.5198807952061121,
                  0.4437649815383361,
                  0.4073283528396853,
                  0.573382115664472,
                  0.44824464315772405,
                  0.41959641969561107,
                  0.3969775976297955,
                  0.5125100373799848,
                  0.3424457789404608,
                  0.4023927867828807
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.43940389586261985,
                  0.4665815975343043,
                  0.4078016629257561,
                  0.5058326534107924,
                  0.5395139539081617,
                  0.49558246555093133,
                  0.4802715214492444,
                  0.4940433293404847,
                  0.3914621834757892,
                  0.4277164147133932,
                  0.5144532300877738,
                  0.3688788642452346,
                  0.45641496116615643,
                  0.4825359152593056,
                  0.4144568447211086,
                  0.4364608837118219,
                  0.42094222389547176,
                  0.4840252584820353,
                  0.4719586571698775,
                  0.40608224744207533,
                  0.407618183369595,
                  0.4985033807712113,
                  0.41838804437156996,
                  0.4537770988760395
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.23282854179562332,
                  0.2552360937841563,
                  0.28579326159868373,
                  0.36348789653081026,
                  0.07534041435551062,
                  0.18044718371930799,
                  0.15446840087512775,
                  0.15410091901979153,
                  0.17446786968667094,
                  0.23694607638367074,
                  0.4389400750497663,
                  0.20635415495801193,
                  0.28299532487245077,
                  0.09518273914582216,
                  0.32806012612683916,
                  0.149940019399671,
                  0.16287546040047515,
                  0.40175869371382145,
                  0.29202784523869363,
                  0.23897755059345996,
                  0.12476280440516381,
                  0.10706075470157549,
                  0.12632616532800225,
                  0.28441489621993804
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.19457870756681286,
                  0.28338161161055664,
                  0.2603988151290453,
                  0.3801317890887892,
                  0.12139582486297858,
                  0.2083086937549171,
                  0.179673404168855,
                  0.13049409161286557,
                  0.18820422829035943,
                  0.23725297240826868,
                  0.3930574463474963,
                  0.2061208543150891,
                  0.32867257140426404,
                  0.12346043676030426,
                  0.28728118486517273,
                  0.14778867910296825,
                  0.17721343670206774,
                  0.3552785719779392,
                  0.29320090548610794,
                  0.22384930431748742,
                  0.13483308539642477,
                  0.12264454476536311,
                  0.165349012936125,
                  0.30321995858175416
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.25990805923218524,
                  0.15587851565580402,
                  0.16219853558774658,
                  0.10714665473070677,
                  0.3228227195860953,
                  0.2831195122301014,
                  0.27518636608116415,
                  0.41242653403533924,
                  0.1942030698328874,
                  0.21196638970043993,
                  0.14139504950523654,
                  0.15050340727374067,
                  0.08903158043430007,
                  0.35704929460415225,
                  0.19182066797869332,
                  0.29382496569998373,
                  0.2444528934756964,
                  0.17162342224492977,
                  0.15621679622105536,
                  0.18061886827945017,
                  0.27221479587091063,
                  0.4054492879838955,
                  0.21611961243875863,
                  0.11797788952874678
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.244825188295807,
                  0.18319998592374737,
                  0.1474028477967109,
                  0.12570086432200342,
                  0.41811812904518303,
                  0.2872737717960143,
                  0.3005981172803895,
                  0.3635492377276191,
                  0.20325795518542972,
                  0.1904634423051245,
                  0.12139578374027739,
                  0.16275800993014544,
                  0.1277423897618922,
                  0.3590754784990013,
                  0.12717565985593585,
                  0.2886722046088535,
                  0.24372878719340413,
                  0.1287466865040958,
                  0.17875775168376942,
                  0.182232943124588,
                  0.2727850979731702,
                  0.3758588360058481,
                  0.2530390314354449,
                  0.15055714029428513
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.998054135045184,
                  20.363007635882973,
                  21.501790042971532,
                  21.706173629237792,
                  97.2272798153492,
                  33.27297726047168,
                  34.75992513241913,
                  45.98551232498377,
                  16.9411604748734,
                  22.83272035842508,
                  33.21060039186481,
                  21.347966842090923,
                  14.943421107154494,
                  35.10090566948471,
                  31.213046381647985,
                  25.906414460972634,
                  22.828748788695766,
                  36.356567035447505,
                  23.88718396169485,
                  23.58226004665057,
                  22.142153658818852,
                  37.084965681728654,
                  22.842315664214212,
                  19.960476941155786
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.77074843142727,
                  22.60409869067204,
                  18.38031484850475,
                  25.959936518793185,
                  123.34118991059545,
                  35.588714164776064,
                  39.220907889439694,
                  39.49590059501811,
                  18.35094398856043,
                  19.018950574892433,
                  27.831563580748035,
                  21.968021793696813,
                  21.56629431892967,
                  37.55562250213345,
                  20.343092113101918,
                  25.75266643361196,
                  21.96609944248159,
                  25.58890298078945,
                  24.791989124537817,
                  21.665834698643923,
                  21.79847843728042,
                  34.8315441627334,
                  25.585209165511976,
                  22.091569801149358
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.080287431191913,
                  19.2781054216098,
                  20.515225689676715,
                  20.72881894350805,
                  96.09180088469736,
                  32.42807352617546,
                  33.74311930685109,
                  45.02634057265117,
                  16.031939535175862,
                  21.69770011643317,
                  32.08821065571107,
                  20.275601561987994,
                  14.058401843283175,
                  34.126286207250324,
                  30.172120242135836,
                  24.98589831638797,
                  21.670710076396286,
                  35.28908807377919,
                  22.90639763819223,
                  22.622366780620833,
                  21.082917033969103,
                  36.209219423924374,
                  21.457024002460013,
                  19.11517139145982
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.51064113159216,
                  21.34178182693399,
                  17.109998394156545,
                  24.703975408517493,
                  122.2696629923497,
                  34.35098937579959,
                  37.99006225524478,
                  38.26557578034132,
                  17.080571907583543,
                  17.74984365790482,
                  26.57914721869575,
                  20.704500238866018,
                  20.302011916608773,
                  36.321622918341355,
                  19.07649303993666,
                  24.496312766356763,
                  20.70257424683409,
                  24.33223915547966,
                  23.533815992682083,
                  20.40174081976945,
                  20.534635777607914,
                  33.59238533966214,
                  24.32853834433991,
                  20.828282238756913
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44691450608832284,
              "rpss": 0.014404260597519425,
              "brier_below": 0.2230330528292935,
              "bss_below": 0.01707683573993557,
              "brier_above": 0.22388145367550086,
              "bss_above": 0.01172732111611896,
              "crps": 29.74981781005339,
              "crpss": 0.007054913492108961,
              "crps_fair": 28.736701028147035,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0008321227269998399,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.049464,
                    0.361748,
                    0.365013,
                    0.183221,
                    0.039792,
                    0.000762,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1782,
                    0.2536,
                    0.3465,
                    0.4453,
                    0.529,
                    0.6283,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3112,
                    0.2838,
                    0.3476,
                    0.4454,
                    0.5267,
                    0.6675,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.027245,
                    0.32234,
                    0.417506,
                    0.186933,
                    0.043025,
                    0.002951,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1839,
                    0.2586,
                    0.347,
                    0.4446,
                    0.5344,
                    0.6245,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1787,
                    0.2775,
                    0.3807,
                    0.3875,
                    0.4649,
                    0.3759,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3772324323428152,
                  0.4007364060469135,
                  0.33746850117364646,
                  0.3676164969757073,
                  0.3389470849398737,
                  0.3486622031069527,
                  0.37355908766232354,
                  0.6432351769006432,
                  0.3933976311357947,
                  0.37049914890889346,
                  0.521132248884263,
                  0.37399030105901815,
                  0.38489922236527535,
                  0.49336995611995166,
                  0.5341988834446458,
                  0.49994142887809734,
                  0.3266212228323623,
                  0.47145777836148256,
                  0.37205612002956795,
                  0.3266992910434413,
                  0.344256945775438,
                  0.5317394747653952,
                  0.2846667899565464,
                  0.4383465313431582
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4283784857114221,
                  0.426706305961757,
                  0.34466488699165887,
                  0.5130077270408857,
                  0.5410158863622896,
                  0.48132609845393376,
                  0.42143417390584187,
                  0.49961637384642854,
                  0.41822160564029737,
                  0.4024426800552632,
                  0.5388940294117011,
                  0.3853584913200236,
                  0.5182825785529102,
                  0.520890978389888,
                  0.44508072243200725,
                  0.47856087825017973,
                  0.3579810319851315,
                  0.4969649351160663,
                  0.42935647355424533,
                  0.3854220303157415,
                  0.34929101419438247,
                  0.47527063535536435,
                  0.48976956498879315,
                  0.5267262457793177
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.23681260893031755,
                  0.16317449875588813,
                  0.17117319406651013,
                  0.291309349177312,
                  0.05290366292712647,
                  0.2590450444729862,
                  0.24302108275421794,
                  0.19008863368409118,
                  0.17496087167052063,
                  0.10757524397035864,
                  0.4046518296843136,
                  0.2093128828336974,
                  0.30012116949837037,
                  0.09005114290745102,
                  0.35141022381879106,
                  0.12913302043881103,
                  0.12874387689327382,
                  0.3608950405609298,
                  0.15971222882668284,
                  0.09788621686437918,
                  0.13693033607982083,
                  0.1284937688642138,
                  0.050242299147436116,
                  0.3580502997475608
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.260916368370509,
                  0.18230982257127842,
                  0.1744601993170755,
                  0.3920247357664324,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.33810643785296296,
                  0.2628742416199158,
                  0.13479064363488874,
                  0.19259108021282037,
                  0.12944501007419143,
                  0.41791103813724767,
                  0.2209426899917617,
                  0.3972995872784568,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3150864593637269,
                  0.12256697767898699,
                  0.15807349465346632,
                  0.37120768576769203,
                  0.18695933477249566,
                  0.14105590686426853,
                  0.13688174505845058,
                  0.12416576635757047,
                  0.12574169593915657,
                  0.40415464577044424
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14041982261866862,
                  0.23756190754395679,
                  0.1662953051495981,
                  0.07630714836548087,
                  0.28604342085781304,
                  0.08961715883176648,
                  0.13053800372443605,
                  0.45314654825728473,
                  0.21843676123022143,
                  0.2629239068243381,
                  0.11648041385580427,
                  0.164677414010275,
                  0.0847780529488858,
                  0.40331881855642726,
                  0.18278865529138544,
                  0.3708084164270887,
                  0.19787734351615205,
                  0.11056273700588891,
                  0.21234389073956508,
                  0.22881307487460154,
                  0.20732660958290364,
                  0.40324571202132303,
                  0.23442448893012033,
                  0.08029622927095445
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16746211734091326,
                  0.24439648339047856,
                  0.17020468767458338,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.42003289508783637,
                  0.1432196606009709,
                  0.15855993228592616,
                  0.3648257302115401,
                  0.22563052542747697,
                  0.27299766998107183,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.16441580132826192,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3999079871154346,
                  0.12999426306828057,
                  0.35599390057119296,
                  0.19990753733166522,
                  0.12575724934837454,
                  0.24239713878174965,
                  0.244366123451473,
                  0.21240926913593197,
                  0.3511048689977941,
                  0.36402786904963685,
                  0.12257160000887342
                ],
                "crps": [
                  18.885430488254308,
                  27.70293851878698,
                  18.41392147955299,
                  19.408261738495778,
                  115.60606605405623,
                  22.62014504180399,
                  18.537457881207853,
                  63.533603384738754,
                  21.00966926978661,
                  19.246247567202833,
                  34.274070989734724,
                  25.18941125973675,
                  18.658975959639765,
                  51.87248071534505,
                  32.06283956971713,
                  38.65518600881113,
                  20.030256511638115,
                  33.426885416594224,
                  24.25283961130695,
                  22.79217022922466,
                  20.2147715060445,
                  38.81729098173589,
                  27.630759838385885,
                  24.936031589917707
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.638963822645973,
                  24.235290387642486,
                  18.424283296657233,
                  32.54717605456645,
                  156.90499273836357,
                  32.635277727606166,
                  21.537420350099357,
                  49.09575292416304,
                  22.525465304564662,
                  20.988002465707634,
                  34.61988384032085,
                  24.30789299289558,
                  29.701345919639383,
                  54.971641276234905,
                  22.842560447513375,
                  36.98644829813116,
                  18.957656403027976,
                  33.035212506102354,
                  28.03299847714953,
                  26.339484558745546,
                  20.084345939930547,
                  32.84079658873186,
                  39.9223127647239,
                  31.23869015810775
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  17.880606246740914,
                  26.158703754351937,
                  17.279012131302004,
                  18.29956094551693,
                  114.36383262108824,
                  21.732254916965672,
                  17.45961970832495,
                  62.50897549584728,
                  20.050143158935324,
                  18.229248939622025,
                  33.013729274195185,
                  23.73395308241852,
                  17.47468179001672,
                  50.73766407009284,
                  30.71629045782632,
                  37.450316821898994,
                  18.48944172555153,
                  32.426830598060334,
                  23.160982285000827,
                  21.601631837880884,
                  18.965886173964854,
                  37.86019837910498,
                  25.749335864407634,
                  23.90858277636637
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.16546441774922,
                  22.76670826790671,
                  16.94469548167337,
                  31.09433614253317,
                  155.68767899429207,
                  31.182604674802132,
                  20.063728628019742,
                  47.67425501377674,
                  21.053644879747303,
                  19.513270179453034,
                  33.170969511215155,
                  22.839448378093994,
                  28.243116177805117,
                  53.561271942272995,
                  21.37134058167887,
                  35.54201609868039,
                  17.47907876438195,
                  31.583296905530318,
                  26.57160898637116,
                  24.874887655242915,
                  18.60790218298319,
                  31.38851277619512,
                  38.48344091464168,
                  29.783372053088755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.41061376516884196,
              "rpss": 0.09378988492596196,
              "brier_below": 0.19982077194062753,
              "bss_below": 0.11706330290471278,
              "brier_above": 0.21079299335145585,
              "bss_above": 0.07056606812699329,
              "crps": 31.57407131715495,
              "crpss": 0.09184432817865462,
              "crps_fair": 30.38547846064505,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0880328412395035,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.050347,
                    0.302828,
                    0.36683,
                    0.23391,
                    0.045649,
                    0.000435,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1803,
                    0.25,
                    0.349,
                    0.4443,
                    0.5287,
                    0.6171,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1368,
                    0.1556,
                    0.3401,
                    0.5633,
                    0.7711,
                    0.8334,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.030313,
                    0.356976,
                    0.38349,
                    0.164593,
                    0.058892,
                    0.005737,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1815,
                    0.2568,
                    0.3459,
                    0.4469,
                    0.5344,
                    0.6264,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2534,
                    0.2334,
                    0.3323,
                    0.514,
                    0.7096,
                    0.4942,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4354225392850158,
                  0.35781048554892964,
                  0.476898983475134,
                  0.34372356042411345,
                  0.44971273233277564,
                  0.30571600936475885,
                  0.4496830353791777,
                  0.558173682396953
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41226069330832904,
                  0.37346476202427337,
                  0.5449498935810108,
                  0.3668786910829554,
                  0.4702381054334581,
                  0.35149027409467,
                  0.4617153008948455,
                  0.4689090852917107
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1808966694188353,
                  0.1700434388337345,
                  0.10305005007788588,
                  0.20028876077078592,
                  0.23159927592804214,
                  0.12067417779714605,
                  0.11428618043587448,
                  0.16725241154401504
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.16272543810516465,
                  0.17439021621908166,
                  0.1111111177338495,
                  0.19565233168880328,
                  0.24748910543474462,
                  0.14877102166271772,
                  0.11990485299837937,
                  0.13022383774923363
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.25452586355713935,
                  0.18776704735304592,
                  0.3738489003185843,
                  0.14343480495560917,
                  0.2181134549800274,
                  0.1850418362066424,
                  0.33539683476358445,
                  0.3909212479073609
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2495352503192138,
                  0.19907454994431797,
                  0.43383873800717726,
                  0.1712263685129215,
                  0.22274899990451802,
                  0.20271925591935436,
                  0.3418104265124274,
                  0.3386852267172677
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.07503739756771,
                  15.839189430745524,
                  51.82824208073444,
                  15.77052061176578,
                  23.664757467630313,
                  15.76066263957468,
                  40.18775153038754,
                  43.02434965638234
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.51742288315328,
                  17.602067483896718,
                  66.72428457706202,
                  18.842687558036157,
                  25.490235640654245,
                  17.86439441677566,
                  41.38038268584848,
                  34.17883620329718
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.60023715234598,
                  15.361106093701812,
                  51.14852191975514,
                  15.330480116225402,
                  23.2127803706657,
                  15.186194377965304,
                  39.666771342999404,
                  42.60710508749289
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.32105586449988,
                  16.40570046524331,
                  65.52791755840862,
                  17.64632053938275,
                  24.293868622000836,
                  16.66802739812226,
                  40.184015667195084,
                  32.98246918464377
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42214262852585727,
              "rpss": 0.021092099468870362,
              "brier_below": 0.16101137060078993,
              "bss_below": 0.0016872129805172165,
              "brier_above": 0.26113124875524923,
              "bss_above": 0.032685477440745014,
              "crps": 28.643813851848538,
              "crpss": 0.05931766075338962,
              "crps_fair": 28.139149557643954,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0380985456502394,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.030819,
                    0.246309,
                    0.487523,
                    0.204512,
                    0.030416,
                    0.000421,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1893,
                    0.2531,
                    0.351,
                    0.4372,
                    0.527,
                    0.607,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0055,
                    0.083,
                    0.1495,
                    0.2291,
                    0.3313,
                    0.2001,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.009397,
                    0.448267,
                    0.407091,
                    0.105778,
                    0.027843,
                    0.001624,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1888,
                    0.258,
                    0.3377,
                    0.4392,
                    0.5305,
                    0.6101,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1433,
                    0.3889,
                    0.4875,
                    0.695,
                    0.9787,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4496831314241333,
                  0.3234045608159658,
                  0.32051836482336,
                  0.3793916431987869,
                  0.4585883935445113,
                  0.3148007564159239,
                  0.45787139397571786,
                  0.4136259404999114
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41878825306748607,
                  0.3532443184157963,
                  0.5497652319245143,
                  0.41409150225437374,
                  0.500554732533218,
                  0.3283216325296163,
                  0.5179393398216053,
                  0.38569804049108725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1503706953704514,
                  0.20635966322815807,
                  0.058169978942624524,
                  0.19388418394688314,
                  0.36032871147584256,
                  0.17235140923289619,
                  0.10105800524033916,
                  0.18339342207367432
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12324328915544643,
                  0.21087180444506454,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.20657791360422298,
                  0.38654922735379516,
                  0.1778652528005686,
                  0.11863830449786794,
                  0.1581566706892246
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.29931242222119014,
                  0.11704490752033304,
                  0.2623483566321409,
                  0.18550745952980072,
                  0.09825969781952971,
                  0.14244935830079924,
                  0.3568133613216387,
                  0.23023251396600694
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29554495080091303,
                  0.14237252824897006,
                  0.438654075489631,
                  0.20751359128025879,
                  0.11400552453007727,
                  0.15045639256177848,
                  0.39930100365958165,
                  0.22754136885072465
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.590596923326203,
                  15.33793038663121,
                  54.65665162351789,
                  22.16014095319329,
                  22.77373522677367,
                  15.707576718135533,
                  53.163712894129134,
                  24.44777742874752
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.40124575195562,
                  18.535452439061405,
                  96.88435708644411,
                  25.600608810810552,
                  26.457175781428862,
                  16.988995955173806,
                  61.64931906064567,
                  21.436898042938385
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  27.97732690035276,
                  14.80151009329035,
                  53.682475233810784,
                  21.639014967273898,
                  22.207376395232902,
                  15.11160960510588,
                  52.48328477089574,
                  23.95624324444347
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.012970318608165,
                  17.14717700571395,
                  95.49608165309667,
                  24.212333377463093,
                  25.06890034808142,
                  15.600720521826346,
                  60.26104362729821,
                  20.04862260959093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3897355230872888,
              "rpss": 0.10106059220381458,
              "brier_below": 0.17823950868885866,
              "bss_below": 0.04494099159941012,
              "brier_above": 0.21149600966392992,
              "bss_above": 0.14347619412572077,
              "crps": 29.604765269306807,
              "crpss": 0.19155198643968885,
              "crps_fair": 28.982355151300723,
              "crpss_fair": 0.1773616805902566,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.028976,
                    0.227178,
                    0.489498,
                    0.238692,
                    0.015657,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1851,
                    0.2523,
                    0.3527,
                    0.4322,
                    0.5255,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0075,
                    0.0814,
                    0.2464,
                    0.3253,
                    0.6114,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.01022,
                    0.411333,
                    0.399489,
                    0.115602,
                    0.05921,
                    0.004145,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1898,
                    0.2616,
                    0.3358,
                    0.4435,
                    0.5318,
                    0.6101,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0212,
                    0.2034,
                    0.4087,
                    0.846,
                    0.9853,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.4560067770548108,
            "training": [
              0.4215258563610886,
              0.4494633535966039,
              0.4380620368100673,
              0.49768630332582653,
              0.5691580255893908,
              0.4330262253127556,
              0.4631252835448421,
              0.4064641401938924,
              0.4403320300273168,
              0.45014832284065676,
              0.44720042656464365,
              0.47590942562147354,
              0.49639024420474587,
              0.46290196266571804,
              0.364696123406236,
              0.4429392714578488,
              0.46299433393430084,
              0.4279675703470983,
              0.492754399928761,
              0.46782309509713316,
              0.44779510590668303,
              0.4385440266008388,
              0.4765174442421342,
              0.4707376417354022
            ],
            "test": 0.4817637120144429
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48606716678155965,
                  0.4235024706049523,
                  0.43627006844730293,
                  0.47169893862900397,
                  0.43203042011995907,
                  0.4916409654711233,
                  0.45367785764533647,
                  0.5589402192529119,
                  0.3758421520450099,
                  0.4514686329109078,
                  0.5584942647916177,
                  0.36311265239649176,
                  0.3879741673280587,
                  0.46990966995062583,
                  0.5110682383054894,
                  0.4417480532316398,
                  0.42608237631832213,
                  0.5563180926828426,
                  0.43473438946131787,
                  0.4099396864126357,
                  0.4159622180720348,
                  0.5232564671862466,
                  0.35692328114300226,
                  0.4130934708792945
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.43940389586261985,
                  0.4665815975343043,
                  0.4078016629257561,
                  0.5058326534107924,
                  0.5395139539081617,
                  0.49558246555093133,
                  0.4802715214492444,
                  0.4940433293404847,
                  0.3914621834757892,
                  0.4277164147133932,
                  0.5144532300877738,
                  0.3688788642452346,
                  0.45641496116615643,
                  0.4825359152593056,
                  0.4144568447211086,
                  0.4364608837118219,
                  0.42094222389547176,
                  0.4840252584820353,
                  0.4719586571698775,
                  0.40608224744207533,
                  0.407618183369595,
                  0.4985033807712113,
                  0.41838804437156996,
                  0.4537770988760395
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2324620775876685,
                  0.25788722683455345,
                  0.27036972572602763,
                  0.3629123579691702,
                  0.08773025217794482,
                  0.20319610991982742,
                  0.1684518904566648,
                  0.15371818578157623,
                  0.18056811516907909,
                  0.23977743974029403,
                  0.4234978021998708,
                  0.2089524669622477,
                  0.29270011559656756,
                  0.10830252376377351,
                  0.3243110303324539,
                  0.1536357412021329,
                  0.1819407941493587,
                  0.39500018886891886,
                  0.2761359049825098,
                  0.22789849895276104,
                  0.14030290631441808,
                  0.11756031908119705,
                  0.13399984513208024,
                  0.29085097754951994
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.19457870756681286,
                  0.28338161161055664,
                  0.2603988151290453,
                  0.3801317890887892,
                  0.12139582486297858,
                  0.2083086937549171,
                  0.179673404168855,
                  0.13049409161286557,
                  0.18820422829035943,
                  0.23725297240826868,
                  0.3930574463474963,
                  0.2061208543150891,
                  0.32867257140426404,
                  0.12346043676030426,
                  0.28728118486517273,
                  0.14778867910296825,
                  0.17721343670206774,
                  0.3552785719779392,
                  0.29320090548610794,
                  0.22384930431748742,
                  0.13483308539642477,
                  0.12264454476536311,
                  0.165349012936125,
                  0.30321995858175416
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.25360508730556847,
                  0.16561524252619841,
                  0.16590033890101846,
                  0.10878657694070604,
                  0.3443001700781539,
                  0.2884448607259707,
                  0.28522597199139027,
                  0.4052220421831591,
                  0.19527403619979627,
                  0.21169119179419635,
                  0.13499645734446408,
                  0.15416018340329918,
                  0.0952740494518308,
                  0.3616071529700898,
                  0.1867572058932602,
                  0.28811231586672725,
                  0.24414158130831987,
                  0.16131790266461346,
                  0.15859848126528983,
                  0.18204118559666976,
                  0.2756593159912454,
                  0.40569615702075595,
                  0.222923434813199,
                  0.12224249142812227
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.244825188295807,
                  0.18319998592374737,
                  0.1474028477967109,
                  0.12570086432200342,
                  0.41811812904518303,
                  0.2872737717960143,
                  0.3005981172803895,
                  0.3635492377276191,
                  0.20325795518542972,
                  0.1904634423051245,
                  0.12139578374027739,
                  0.16275800993014544,
                  0.1277423897618922,
                  0.3590754784990013,
                  0.12717565985593585,
                  0.2886722046088535,
                  0.24372878719340413,
                  0.1287466865040958,
                  0.17875775168376942,
                  0.182232943124588,
                  0.2727850979731702,
                  0.3758588360058481,
                  0.2530390314354449,
                  0.15055714029428513
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.97968601917368,
                  20.338556049751325,
                  20.60268604028911,
                  22.16294692286527,
                  100.58854139560115,
                  34.80208536423711,
                  36.40997577415088,
                  44.99974363105877,
                  17.06321314818562,
                  22.433456692011205,
                  31.087763177918774,
                  21.597798916745877,
                  16.16986088161308,
                  37.17650489187698,
                  29.62781071414057,
                  25.360904686274964,
                  23.51322452095245,
                  34.073153578261085,
                  23.267645584462468,
                  22.90828605449233,
                  23.064529051481493,
                  37.4506052045972,
                  22.154276814092693,
                  20.58066974669795
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.77074843142727,
                  22.60409869067204,
                  18.38031484850475,
                  25.959936518793185,
                  123.34118991059545,
                  35.588714164776064,
                  39.220907889439694,
                  39.49590059501811,
                  18.35094398856043,
                  19.018950574892433,
                  27.831563580748035,
                  21.968021793696813,
                  21.56629431892967,
                  37.55562250213345,
                  20.343092113101918,
                  25.75266643361196,
                  21.96609944248159,
                  25.58890298078945,
                  24.791989124537817,
                  21.665834698643923,
                  21.79847843728042,
                  34.8315441627334,
                  25.585209165511976,
                  22.091569801149358
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  27.01213876311812,
                  19.26497522217045,
                  19.56937162426852,
                  21.138791581658815,
                  99.44721469501575,
                  33.89397435997734,
                  35.341868076274515,
                  43.973749167832295,
                  16.09655693146254,
                  21.27327857746125,
                  29.950374921637433,
                  20.483208494420804,
                  15.21106526374125,
                  36.165354268101844,
                  28.567338351423846,
                  24.39560863100846,
                  22.32283462112022,
                  32.97408591686092,
                  22.248509605965886,
                  21.92362037237367,
                  21.953726143107104,
                  36.51268122390913,
                  20.79108140534647,
                  19.67117770710477
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.51064113159216,
                  21.34178182693399,
                  17.109998394156545,
                  24.703975408517493,
                  122.2696629923497,
                  34.35098937579959,
                  37.99006225524478,
                  38.26557578034132,
                  17.080571907583543,
                  17.74984365790482,
                  26.57914721869575,
                  20.704500238866018,
                  20.302011916608773,
                  36.321622918341355,
                  19.07649303993666,
                  24.496312766356763,
                  20.70257424683409,
                  24.33223915547966,
                  23.533815992682083,
                  20.40174081976945,
                  20.534635777607914,
                  33.59238533966214,
                  24.32853834433991,
                  20.828282238756913
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4520731633361536,
              "rpss": 0.0030276985588396643,
              "brier_below": 0.22634010401877566,
              "bss_below": 0.0025024164854775544,
              "brier_above": 0.22573305973600188,
              "bss_above": 0.0035538362132504497,
              "crps": 29.808913535872165,
              "crpss": 0.0050825044185468515,
              "crps_fair": 28.75760774689006,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0015602548698767649,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.02159,
                    0.260985,
                    0.5256,
                    0.169114,
                    0.021777,
                    0.000935,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.177,
                    0.264,
                    0.3496,
                    0.4388,
                    0.5271,
                    0.6243,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.36,
                    0.3107,
                    0.3377,
                    0.4192,
                    0.4677,
                    0.6662,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.01492,
                    0.281128,
                    0.514553,
                    0.164024,
                    0.023135,
                    0.002241,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1783,
                    0.2656,
                    0.3483,
                    0.4397,
                    0.5353,
                    0.6256,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1845,
                    0.2772,
                    0.3711,
                    0.3963,
                    0.42,
                    0.2154,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3960736472591241,
                  0.4156949678972443,
                  0.3437192377618672,
                  0.398616542438017,
                  0.3796476850290577,
                  0.3970246857767262,
                  0.39769470890356384,
                  0.6011799577034574,
                  0.4036870644847088,
                  0.3927504363713264,
                  0.5180998712027951,
                  0.38030389779166485,
                  0.4118928798697362,
                  0.5078883577242701,
                  0.5370971692143099,
                  0.48866935746090506,
                  0.34311185418283074,
                  0.4984371345425383,
                  0.3834640632367669,
                  0.34042162206805393,
                  0.3475970725837561,
                  0.5196501946851985,
                  0.34016117035475263,
                  0.45990762863392004
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4283784857114221,
                  0.426706305961757,
                  0.34466488699165887,
                  0.5130077270408857,
                  0.5410158863622896,
                  0.48132609845393376,
                  0.42143417390584187,
                  0.49961637384642854,
                  0.41822160564029737,
                  0.4024426800552632,
                  0.5388940294117011,
                  0.3853584913200236,
                  0.5182825785529102,
                  0.520890978389888,
                  0.44508072243200725,
                  0.47856087825017973,
                  0.3579810319851315,
                  0.4969649351160663,
                  0.42935647355424533,
                  0.3854220303157415,
                  0.34929101419438247,
                  0.47527063535536435,
                  0.48976956498879315,
                  0.5267262457793177
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25145935079107,
                  0.1693257290868167,
                  0.16759967632468967,
                  0.3151418530948919,
                  0.06851897338370944,
                  0.29902183831998763,
                  0.2541075077429396,
                  0.1673917330711502,
                  0.18406274387382762,
                  0.11853184348177022,
                  0.40472647507350357,
                  0.21304006618290836,
                  0.3208104433923612,
                  0.10358799029907151,
                  0.3493021452721184,
                  0.12530492731201381,
                  0.14572055402586612,
                  0.3826212347495226,
                  0.16469502854235518,
                  0.10673309567256721,
                  0.1398305880535797,
                  0.12506272873748187,
                  0.0694473606480255,
                  0.37501686887583247
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.260916368370509,
                  0.18230982257127842,
                  0.1744601993170755,
                  0.3920247357664324,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.33810643785296296,
                  0.2628742416199158,
                  0.13479064363488874,
                  0.19259108021282037,
                  0.12944501007419143,
                  0.41791103813724767,
                  0.2209426899917617,
                  0.3972995872784568,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3150864593637269,
                  0.12256697767898699,
                  0.15807349465346632,
                  0.37120768576769203,
                  0.18695933477249566,
                  0.14105590686426853,
                  0.13688174505845058,
                  0.12416576635757047,
                  0.12574169593915657,
                  0.40415464577044424
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1446142938103218,
                  0.24636923874126937,
                  0.17611955950345223,
                  0.08347468793186388,
                  0.31112871053047886,
                  0.09800284603629347,
                  0.14358719893025648,
                  0.43378823107520503,
                  0.21962432227140538,
                  0.2742185940847089,
                  0.11337339108060711,
                  0.1672638288695677,
                  0.09108243563934859,
                  0.40430037549820486,
                  0.18779501918419697,
                  0.3633644380338892,
                  0.19739129722291993,
                  0.11581589835724486,
                  0.21876903491859578,
                  0.23368852713830637,
                  0.20776648442275608,
                  0.3945874736946608,
                  0.2707138083217058,
                  0.08489075685015376
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16746211734091326,
                  0.24439648339047856,
                  0.17020468767458338,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.42003289508783637,
                  0.1432196606009709,
                  0.15855993228592616,
                  0.3648257302115401,
                  0.22563052542747697,
                  0.27299766998107183,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.16441580132826192,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3999079871154346,
                  0.12999426306828057,
                  0.35599390057119296,
                  0.19990753733166522,
                  0.12575724934837454,
                  0.24239713878174965,
                  0.244366123451473,
                  0.21240926913593197,
                  0.3511048689977941,
                  0.36402786904963685,
                  0.12257160000887342
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.175229827944545,
                  26.62588146070239,
                  18.61336941461935,
                  21.660067100913178,
                  124.73571263652171,
                  26.501775587407824,
                  20.446279353601,
                  59.366861013817235,
                  20.967737899390485,
                  20.1819500797577,
                  33.81252083683355,
                  25.090652732307518,
                  20.86480058284783,
                  54.496827867710486,
                  31.957365967795017,
                  37.215731439060484,
                  20.503413530270656,
                  35.262113347610416,
                  25.293089278205542,
                  23.731794194736516,
                  20.36984291863829,
                  37.097071884085594,
                  28.53058046196717,
                  26.963051971895993
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.638963822645973,
                  24.235290387642486,
                  18.424283296657233,
                  32.54717605456645,
                  156.90499273836357,
                  32.635277727606166,
                  21.537420350099357,
                  49.09575292416304,
                  22.525465304564662,
                  20.988002465707634,
                  34.61988384032085,
                  24.30789299289558,
                  29.701345919639383,
                  54.971641276234905,
                  22.842560447513375,
                  36.98644829813116,
                  18.957656403027976,
                  33.035212506102354,
                  28.03299847714953,
                  26.339484558745546,
                  20.084345939930547,
                  32.84079658873186,
                  39.9223127647239,
                  31.23869015810775
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  19.111198923881762,
                  25.167686527796434,
                  17.427936035307997,
                  20.48569792107438,
                  123.52939569721438,
                  25.535883854481483,
                  19.304362525829568,
                  58.272688806276356,
                  19.967522829871744,
                  19.150634747069486,
                  32.5582065406797,
                  23.630081009359735,
                  19.61346129786676,
                  53.37233199295938,
                  30.62474146243871,
                  35.98831407446535,
                  18.988531784160948,
                  34.20452042533118,
                  24.1754081367225,
                  22.55169827836693,
                  19.093699936254193,
                  36.091889739497745,
                  26.781791598922,
                  25.892869077681375
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.16546441774922,
                  22.76670826790671,
                  16.94469548167337,
                  31.09433614253317,
                  155.68767899429207,
                  31.182604674802132,
                  20.063728628019742,
                  47.67425501377674,
                  21.053644879747303,
                  19.513270179453034,
                  33.170969511215155,
                  22.839448378093994,
                  28.243116177805117,
                  53.561271942272995,
                  21.37134058167887,
                  35.54201609868039,
                  17.47907876438195,
                  31.583296905530318,
                  26.57160898637116,
                  24.874887655242915,
                  18.60790218298319,
                  31.38851277619512,
                  38.48344091464168,
                  29.783372053088755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42511630029902464,
              "rpss": 0.0617833007731291,
              "brier_below": 0.20921086483366916,
              "bss_below": 0.07557183270428958,
              "brier_above": 0.2159054355061422,
              "bss_above": 0.04802415561958395,
              "crps": 32.519321724526684,
              "crpss": 0.06465637037228611,
              "crps_fair": 31.31335638431292,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06018420312047712,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.017778,
                    0.272009,
                    0.516832,
                    0.170526,
                    0.02155,
                    0.001306,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1824,
                    0.2639,
                    0.3504,
                    0.4375,
                    0.5271,
                    0.6217,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2816,
                    0.1581,
                    0.3447,
                    0.619,
                    0.6365,
                    0.5001,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.020676,
                    0.321379,
                    0.45495,
                    0.169328,
                    0.03004,
                    0.003628,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1795,
                    0.2632,
                    0.3487,
                    0.4436,
                    0.5372,
                    0.6218,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2385,
                    0.2381,
                    0.3385,
                    0.5499,
                    0.6015,
                    0.2801,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43141392896874314,
                  0.36667524067036156,
                  0.49825967810674415,
                  0.350392498570112,
                  0.46599752180371723,
                  0.3221310550427101,
                  0.4596796304300323,
                  0.5455692712199941
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41226069330832904,
                  0.37346476202427337,
                  0.5449498935810108,
                  0.3668786910829554,
                  0.4702381054334581,
                  0.35149027409467,
                  0.4617153008948455,
                  0.4689090852917107
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.17755526424835888,
                  0.17667117037316654,
                  0.11630579716866396,
                  0.2011074160161571,
                  0.24260549670097728,
                  0.13152826244673327,
                  0.1230530225252624,
                  0.16779469952298262
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.16272543810516465,
                  0.17439021621908166,
                  0.1111111177338495,
                  0.19565233168880328,
                  0.24748910543474462,
                  0.14877102166271772,
                  0.11990485299837937,
                  0.13022383774923363
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2538586589491755,
                  0.1900040714875916,
                  0.381953847008462,
                  0.14928508886573663,
                  0.22339202381717066,
                  0.19060279711633268,
                  0.33662658816305924,
                  0.3777745491683502
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2495352503192138,
                  0.19907454994431797,
                  0.43383873800717726,
                  0.1712263685129215,
                  0.22274899990451802,
                  0.20271925591935436,
                  0.3418104265124274,
                  0.3386852267172677
                ],
                "crps": [
                  22.943860644398896,
                  16.548939952534756,
                  55.19434037303286,
                  16.626735368928138,
                  24.970063974398307,
                  16.667047992147012,
                  41.23254146489096,
                  41.017657721486366
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.51742288315328,
                  17.602067483896718,
                  66.72428457706202,
                  18.842687558036157,
                  25.490235640654245,
                  17.86439441677566,
                  41.38038268584848,
                  34.17883620329718
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.44101799763799,
                  16.05842101623218,
                  54.5393663771299,
                  16.158797232876985,
                  24.493853596025936,
                  16.081186338730383,
                  40.7078858031891,
                  40.56594490184528
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.32105586449988,
                  16.40570046524331,
                  65.52791755840862,
                  17.64632053938275,
                  24.293868622000836,
                  16.66802739812226,
                  40.184015667195084,
                  32.98246918464377
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4300148531015518,
              "rpss": 0.0028371725527873703,
              "brier_below": 0.16707764112528775,
              "bss_below": -0.03592525756444109,
              "brier_above": 0.2629372030719848,
              "bss_above": 0.02599563910854974,
              "crps": 29.40014843647716,
              "crpss": 0.03447911830225403,
              "crps_fair": 28.88080915795847,
              "crpss_fair": 0.012745844541999896,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.010697,
                    0.159817,
                    0.613429,
                    0.202598,
                    0.013119,
                    0.000341,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1841,
                    0.2649,
                    0.3507,
                    0.4279,
                    0.5249,
                    0.6171,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.0718,
                    0.1639,
                    0.1508,
                    0.588,
                    0.7499,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.009401,
                    0.368789,
                    0.518614,
                    0.089044,
                    0.013556,
                    0.000597,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1827,
                    0.2677,
                    0.3369,
                    0.4334,
                    0.5284,
                    0.6238,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1694,
                    0.388,
                    0.4782,
                    0.7883,
                    0.9625,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4406609527180867,
                  0.32390164117700637,
                  0.37414168866099334,
                  0.3829085360138891,
                  0.475340589757304,
                  0.3242789462777587,
                  0.4739689850735547,
                  0.41193679242388515
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41878825306748607,
                  0.3532443184157963,
                  0.5497652319245143,
                  0.41409150225437374,
                  0.500554732533218,
                  0.3283216325296163,
                  0.5179393398216053,
                  0.38569804049108725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.14111230748750386,
                  0.20197003472552685,
                  0.07652137983656454,
                  0.19393161563189798,
                  0.37192056247958183,
                  0.1793074567623739,
                  0.11184704049597972,
                  0.1811739393113808
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12324328915544643,
                  0.21087180444506454,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.20657791360422298,
                  0.38654922735379516,
                  0.1778652528005686,
                  0.11863830449786794,
                  0.1581566706892246
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.29954863228644796,
                  0.12193161666978035,
                  0.29762027813119074,
                  0.18897692038548303,
                  0.1034200435794169,
                  0.14497150069917628,
                  0.3621219169349657,
                  0.23076284910487987
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29554495080091303,
                  0.14237252824897006,
                  0.438654075489631,
                  0.20751359128025879,
                  0.11400552453007727,
                  0.15045639256177848,
                  0.39930100365958165,
                  0.22754136885072465
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.925021315575552,
                  15.848328063453145,
                  65.44176517111302,
                  22.76813094226489,
                  24.328999928554225,
                  16.635067723728227,
                  56.31844062635555,
                  23.671616810767336
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.40124575195562,
                  18.535452439061405,
                  96.88435708644411,
                  25.600608810810552,
                  26.457175781428862,
                  16.988995955173806,
                  61.64931906064567,
                  21.436898042938385
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  27.29083097501829,
                  15.304777547908637,
                  64.55929613433412,
                  22.221760506692682,
                  23.743409905208154,
                  16.02059017882069,
                  55.65775555603997,
                  23.14075610664603
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.012970318608165,
                  17.14717700571395,
                  95.49608165309667,
                  24.212333377463093,
                  25.06890034808142,
                  15.600720521826346,
                  60.26104362729821,
                  20.04862260959093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.40089226651280974,
              "rpss": 0.0753271505908325,
              "brier_below": 0.18222304209135118,
              "bss_below": 0.023596063702663983,
              "brier_above": 0.2186692197239176,
              "bss_above": 0.11442588158942635,
              "crps": 31.61717132272649,
              "crpss": 0.1365971282753301,
              "crps_fair": 30.992397113833572,
              "crpss_fair": 0.12030843100550448,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.013287,
                    0.174006,
                    0.674335,
                    0.12619,
                    0.011312,
                    0.00087,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.184,
                    0.266,
                    0.3502,
                    0.4237,
                    0.5249,
                    0.6171,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.0888,
                    0.2476,
                    0.2806,
                    0.7116,
                    0.7499,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.009574,
                    0.342486,
                    0.487009,
                    0.130653,
                    0.029189,
                    0.001089,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1819,
                    0.2693,
                    0.3365,
                    0.44,
                    0.5281,
                    0.6255,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0228,
                    0.2182,
                    0.3893,
                    0.8653,
                    0.9851,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "qdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.42586105293384985,
            "training": [
              0.3970189782552706,
              0.41980389290241416,
              0.40146166357353935,
              0.46806780620231986,
              0.5423656837877849,
              0.4095161145690286,
              0.44115841962378394,
              0.3774130497360784,
              0.4086760813623302,
              0.41028899967955024,
              0.4158950891786185,
              0.45329730589096334,
              0.46432012309560444,
              0.4332346768671626,
              0.3286273484416138,
              0.411834231734621,
              0.4427696865150632,
              0.39110529557191087,
              0.45586406198954205,
              0.43161135536042705,
              0.4192878869945998,
              0.414517582917582,
              0.44323993871659395,
              0.43928999744599245
            ],
            "test": 0.45287050948736374
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48010721045651383,
                  0.42408886866438966,
                  0.4369023932810908,
                  0.47077207784454167,
                  0.4385077050053214,
                  0.490692142816642,
                  0.4506966053959249,
                  0.5600733463174168,
                  0.37884759054901246,
                  0.44896917978316436,
                  0.5645072949815784,
                  0.35926861177181885,
                  0.388122024744064,
                  0.47112516857023384,
                  0.5129111974726385,
                  0.4455319336950966,
                  0.41841224267901206,
                  0.5592870915220404,
                  0.43875269697221614,
                  0.4096621567340354,
                  0.41294826648284866,
                  0.5186501166326494,
                  0.353741676965202,
                  0.4088398251558577
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.43940389586261985,
                  0.4665815975343043,
                  0.4078016629257561,
                  0.5058326534107924,
                  0.5395139539081617,
                  0.49558246555093133,
                  0.4802715214492444,
                  0.4940433293404847,
                  0.3914621834757892,
                  0.4277164147133932,
                  0.5144532300877738,
                  0.3688788642452346,
                  0.45641496116615643,
                  0.4825359152593056,
                  0.4144568447211086,
                  0.4364608837118219,
                  0.42094222389547176,
                  0.4840252584820353,
                  0.4719586571698775,
                  0.40608224744207533,
                  0.407618183369595,
                  0.4985033807712113,
                  0.41838804437156996,
                  0.4537770988760395
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2250071819016389,
                  0.2598089199349256,
                  0.2744832797736832,
                  0.3630432397586602,
                  0.09193074071938467,
                  0.20091008010549682,
                  0.16627440400718704,
                  0.15217302504127087,
                  0.18363568259134055,
                  0.23839469508288041,
                  0.4282369093295648,
                  0.20691871024278286,
                  0.2939262312756497,
                  0.10728568176568666,
                  0.32673140218270313,
                  0.1550978518898273,
                  0.17445006700811289,
                  0.3970910857409358,
                  0.2797363782688821,
                  0.22816014200072957,
                  0.13714288016434503,
                  0.11252169342609794,
                  0.13281118652976578,
                  0.28739870985789195
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.19457870756681286,
                  0.28338161161055664,
                  0.2603988151290453,
                  0.3801317890887892,
                  0.12139582486297858,
                  0.2083086937549171,
                  0.179673404168855,
                  0.13049409161286557,
                  0.18820422829035943,
                  0.23725297240826868,
                  0.3930574463474963,
                  0.2061208543150891,
                  0.32867257140426404,
                  0.12346043676030426,
                  0.28728118486517273,
                  0.14778867910296825,
                  0.17721343670206774,
                  0.3552785719779392,
                  0.29320090548610794,
                  0.22384930431748742,
                  0.13483308539642477,
                  0.12264454476536311,
                  0.165349012936125,
                  0.30321995858175416
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.25510002776681884,
                  0.16427994722686276,
                  0.16241910864041573,
                  0.10772883361527849,
                  0.346576967283466,
                  0.2897820686467167,
                  0.28442220608645485,
                  0.4079003310397244,
                  0.19521190793567286,
                  0.21057448267336046,
                  0.1362703797806268,
                  0.1523498989045361,
                  0.09419579024744386,
                  0.36383949535422777,
                  0.18617979233075865,
                  0.2904340860876192,
                  0.24396217724767993,
                  0.16219600362059586,
                  0.15901631486496176,
                  0.1815020117771598,
                  0.27580538996178305,
                  0.4061284321371217,
                  0.2209304887433402,
                  0.12144111235087619
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.244825188295807,
                  0.18319998592374737,
                  0.1474028477967109,
                  0.12570086432200342,
                  0.41811812904518303,
                  0.2872737717960143,
                  0.3005981172803895,
                  0.3635492377276191,
                  0.20325795518542972,
                  0.1904634423051245,
                  0.12139578374027739,
                  0.16275800993014544,
                  0.1277423897618922,
                  0.3590754784990013,
                  0.12717565985593585,
                  0.2886722046088535,
                  0.24372878719340413,
                  0.1287466865040958,
                  0.17875775168376942,
                  0.182232943124588,
                  0.2727850979731702,
                  0.3758588360058481,
                  0.2530390314354449,
                  0.15055714029428513
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.65963268702592,
                  20.276709777843838,
                  20.425737889644488,
                  21.800602620454292,
                  101.55054832254405,
                  34.80699334319157,
                  36.455576324557256,
                  44.75634544308964,
                  17.282241373445363,
                  22.237722867896654,
                  30.92227086256802,
                  21.032347059028893,
                  16.447970499415778,
                  37.03202727829882,
                  29.18487864069171,
                  25.465582913498817,
                  22.754098228292037,
                  33.51035071700367,
                  23.718501500578824,
                  22.55505833764341,
                  22.729645590840903,
                  37.01297890983394,
                  22.11551291737819,
                  20.00977267965311
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.77074843142727,
                  22.60409869067204,
                  18.38031484850475,
                  25.959936518793185,
                  123.34118991059545,
                  35.588714164776064,
                  39.220907889439694,
                  39.49590059501811,
                  18.35094398856043,
                  19.018950574892433,
                  27.831563580748035,
                  21.968021793696813,
                  21.56629431892967,
                  37.55562250213345,
                  20.343092113101918,
                  25.75266643361196,
                  21.96609944248159,
                  25.58890298078945,
                  24.791989124537817,
                  21.665834698643923,
                  21.79847843728042,
                  34.8315441627334,
                  25.585209165511976,
                  22.091569801149358
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.654690049756468,
                  19.13672255164214,
                  19.35570391923891,
                  20.755886373793086,
                  100.38477945488712,
                  33.87155039298008,
                  35.37554679466895,
                  43.717248685100266,
                  16.28246728441287,
                  21.04107819790757,
                  29.74395049531761,
                  19.92346176236965,
                  15.487092851335074,
                  35.98406945253935,
                  28.072726465466076,
                  24.46283599853479,
                  21.55761203287664,
                  32.369278603374156,
                  22.65454823617996,
                  21.49930818966517,
                  21.59745368222177,
                  36.03577621318377,
                  20.713759732991413,
                  19.082099927750516
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.51064113159216,
                  21.34178182693399,
                  17.109998394156545,
                  24.703975408517493,
                  122.2696629923497,
                  34.35098937579959,
                  37.99006225524478,
                  38.26557578034132,
                  17.080571907583543,
                  17.74984365790482,
                  26.57914721869575,
                  20.704500238866018,
                  20.302011916608773,
                  36.321622918341355,
                  19.07649303993666,
                  24.496312766356763,
                  20.70257424683409,
                  24.33223915547966,
                  23.533815992682083,
                  20.40174081976945,
                  20.534635777607914,
                  33.59238533966214,
                  24.32853834433991,
                  20.828282238756913
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45172572602055455,
              "rpss": 0.0037939138713857234,
              "brier_below": 0.22596542410831014,
              "bss_below": 0.004153658570485108,
              "brier_above": 0.22576030226347923,
              "bss_above": 0.003433580403009784,
              "crps": 29.65596278268413,
              "crpss": 0.010187466735472883,
              "crps_fair": 28.57331863950806,
              "crpss_fair": 0.004858103951337123,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.047257,
                    0.196416,
                    0.578759,
                    0.155815,
                    0.020422,
                    0.001302,
                    2.8e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1703,
                    0.2612,
                    0.3493,
                    0.4373,
                    0.5289,
                    0.632,
                    0.7183,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3623,
                    0.2867,
                    0.3426,
                    0.4127,
                    0.5458,
                    0.6952,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.021912,
                    0.261091,
                    0.543417,
                    0.145166,
                    0.024928,
                    0.003345,
                    0.000142,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1788,
                    0.2637,
                    0.3477,
                    0.4398,
                    0.5299,
                    0.6304,
                    0.7097,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1899,
                    0.2797,
                    0.365,
                    0.4067,
                    0.4573,
                    0.2543,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3988069823520877,
                  0.413347527375575,
                  0.3434674674879698,
                  0.39426839343703207,
                  0.3884081454667084,
                  0.38939127051662353,
                  0.39830401005548577,
                  0.608198427428147,
                  0.40349518220823444,
                  0.39774162186482176,
                  0.5177980224932451,
                  0.37349355270924145,
                  0.415970248608598,
                  0.5121247171047126,
                  0.5399224873499806,
                  0.49080415529481203,
                  0.3451871603075823,
                  0.4990601820388665,
                  0.387007943542116,
                  0.3469525386215522,
                  0.3502162957531237,
                  0.5236339559709335,
                  0.33709370999464716,
                  0.4498922294113539
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4283784857114221,
                  0.426706305961757,
                  0.34466488699165887,
                  0.5130077270408857,
                  0.5410158863622896,
                  0.48132609845393376,
                  0.42143417390584187,
                  0.49961637384642854,
                  0.41822160564029737,
                  0.4024426800552632,
                  0.5388940294117011,
                  0.3853584913200236,
                  0.5182825785529102,
                  0.520890978389888,
                  0.44508072243200725,
                  0.47856087825017973,
                  0.3579810319851315,
                  0.4969649351160663,
                  0.42935647355424533,
                  0.3854220303157415,
                  0.34929101419438247,
                  0.47527063535536435,
                  0.48976956498879315,
                  0.5267262457793177
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2541470117525101,
                  0.16969536330719193,
                  0.16999214508985735,
                  0.31384950306023024,
                  0.0731289877498983,
                  0.2930882908915047,
                  0.2550908088954427,
                  0.1692480835916888,
                  0.18428438969279887,
                  0.12238205747188965,
                  0.40160795931841664,
                  0.2078520515281348,
                  0.326889981059105,
                  0.10636282596999445,
                  0.3511893604099017,
                  0.12681032034138612,
                  0.1469390512545565,
                  0.38069341190375783,
                  0.16742013499154257,
                  0.113089181246113,
                  0.14313801471781648,
                  0.12920999361252988,
                  0.07217614848156599,
                  0.3654636080184387
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.260916368370509,
                  0.18230982257127842,
                  0.1744601993170755,
                  0.3920247357664324,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.33810643785296296,
                  0.2628742416199158,
                  0.13479064363488874,
                  0.19259108021282037,
                  0.12944501007419143,
                  0.41791103813724767,
                  0.2209426899917617,
                  0.3972995872784568,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3150864593637269,
                  0.12256697767898699,
                  0.15807349465346632,
                  0.37120768576769203,
                  0.18695933477249566,
                  0.14105590686426853,
                  0.13688174505845058,
                  0.12416576635757047,
                  0.12574169593915657,
                  0.40415464577044424
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.144659967659888,
                  0.24365216453055638,
                  0.17347531891351742,
                  0.08041888829164873,
                  0.31527915611258406,
                  0.09630297807114539,
                  0.1432131987915924,
                  0.4389503520311563,
                  0.21921079509150673,
                  0.2753595667484045,
                  0.11619005657686485,
                  0.16564149781138438,
                  0.08908026519920606,
                  0.40576190236483445,
                  0.1887331206260694,
                  0.3639938439119766,
                  0.19824810682695754,
                  0.11836676751752537,
                  0.21958780864512975,
                  0.23386335671863825,
                  0.20707827990179126,
                  0.3944239712685931,
                  0.26491755999556343,
                  0.08442861680413342
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16746211734091326,
                  0.24439648339047856,
                  0.17020468767458338,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.42003289508783637,
                  0.1432196606009709,
                  0.15855993228592616,
                  0.3648257302115401,
                  0.22563052542747697,
                  0.27299766998107183,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.16441580132826192,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3999079871154346,
                  0.12999426306828057,
                  0.35599390057119296,
                  0.19990753733166522,
                  0.12575724934837454,
                  0.24239713878174965,
                  0.244366123451473,
                  0.21240926913593197,
                  0.3511048689977941,
                  0.36402786904963685,
                  0.12257160000887342
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.017415795872992,
                  26.352185948293666,
                  18.460108124716953,
                  21.678999959331158,
                  125.84397644652347,
                  25.787056840655197,
                  20.45704393393281,
                  59.44679886342509,
                  21.20402065703676,
                  20.852841998639512,
                  33.532203552611236,
                  24.273263352295416,
                  21.547936302504013,
                  54.16517484005309,
                  32.02271838177867,
                  36.986422947955745,
                  20.272406937750674,
                  34.807754723774686,
                  25.51041401094172,
                  24.16337201460922,
                  20.45201645271299,
                  37.207527586471386,
                  28.429885050188243,
                  25.83943579395917
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.638963822645973,
                  24.235290387642486,
                  18.424283296657233,
                  32.54717605456645,
                  156.90499273836357,
                  32.635277727606166,
                  21.537420350099357,
                  49.09575292416304,
                  22.525465304564662,
                  20.988002465707634,
                  34.61988384032085,
                  24.30789299289558,
                  29.701345919639383,
                  54.971641276234905,
                  22.842560447513375,
                  36.98644829813116,
                  18.957656403027976,
                  33.035212506102354,
                  28.03299847714953,
                  26.339484558745546,
                  20.084345939930547,
                  32.84079658873186,
                  39.9223127647239,
                  31.23869015810775
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.921747054951666,
                  24.792433302330927,
                  17.23273319584303,
                  20.51118866277095,
                  124.59076459828103,
                  24.790931899482082,
                  19.29458433622633,
                  58.324712931431904,
                  20.140790790086292,
                  19.72597342587995,
                  32.2232184461025,
                  22.831395564619044,
                  20.316685018638893,
                  52.96939907950846,
                  30.63946821587046,
                  35.715978432592166,
                  18.741252437549015,
                  33.70634598699975,
                  24.323007061754893,
                  22.87666695277795,
                  19.1269420047541,
                  36.13373386842733,
                  26.612460882006307,
                  24.728783251685922
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.16546441774922,
                  22.76670826790671,
                  16.94469548167337,
                  31.09433614253317,
                  155.68767899429207,
                  31.182604674802132,
                  20.063728628019742,
                  47.67425501377674,
                  21.053644879747303,
                  19.513270179453034,
                  33.170969511215155,
                  22.839448378093994,
                  28.243116177805117,
                  53.561271942272995,
                  21.37134058167887,
                  35.54201609868039,
                  17.47907876438195,
                  31.583296905530318,
                  26.57160898637116,
                  24.874887655242915,
                  18.60790218298319,
                  31.38851277619512,
                  38.48344091464168,
                  29.783372053088755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4260244261413937,
              "rpss": 0.05977909902948664,
              "brier_below": 0.21015619518151132,
              "bss_below": 0.07139475518186011,
              "brier_above": 0.2158682308504445,
              "bss_above": 0.04818819935215446,
              "crps": 32.47129085483474,
              "crpss": 0.06603786806686918,
              "crps_fair": 31.219633225023788,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06299714033973702,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.026486,
                    0.186483,
                    0.603618,
                    0.158814,
                    0.023003,
                    0.001523,
                    7.3e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.174,
                    0.2632,
                    0.3487,
                    0.4383,
                    0.531,
                    0.6271,
                    0.7183,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2821,
                    0.1445,
                    0.3306,
                    0.6059,
                    0.65,
                    0.6191,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.03003,
                    0.298686,
                    0.472487,
                    0.159983,
                    0.034315,
                    0.004353,
                    0.000145,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1802,
                    0.2623,
                    0.3471,
                    0.4425,
                    0.5289,
                    0.6322,
                    0.7097,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1955,
                    0.24,
                    0.3353,
                    0.5666,
                    0.573,
                    0.3168,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4304046556491508,
                  0.3654589580013957,
                  0.4955863631337063,
                  0.3442154512607646,
                  0.4649277645313552,
                  0.3189991682424827,
                  0.45957175941283646,
                  0.5480789179764478
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41226069330832904,
                  0.37346476202427337,
                  0.5449498935810108,
                  0.3668786910829554,
                  0.4702381054334581,
                  0.35149027409467,
                  0.4617153008948455,
                  0.4689090852917107
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.17659706550656093,
                  0.17567006588413864,
                  0.1136091157081349,
                  0.19732142507543762,
                  0.2413300797230514,
                  0.12959546686950432,
                  0.12314249087625607,
                  0.16626660276968044
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.16272543810516465,
                  0.17439021621908166,
                  0.1111111177338495,
                  0.19565233168880328,
                  0.24748910543474462,
                  0.14877102166271772,
                  0.11990485299837937,
                  0.13022383774923363
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2538075839668075,
                  0.18978889307272206,
                  0.38197721334722984,
                  0.14689403201479018,
                  0.22359768375920863,
                  0.18940370608151733,
                  0.336429248503997,
                  0.3818122927339875
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2495352503192138,
                  0.19907454994431797,
                  0.43383873800717726,
                  0.1712263685129215,
                  0.22274899990451802,
                  0.20271925591935436,
                  0.3418104265124274,
                  0.3386852267172677
                ],
                "crps": [
                  22.644714001566427,
                  16.431390766416232,
                  55.41207087069506,
                  16.44408746183851,
                  24.881267095466924,
                  16.522460501591844,
                  41.41571727848815,
                  41.09471996444684
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.51742288315328,
                  17.602067483896718,
                  66.72428457706202,
                  18.842687558036157,
                  25.490235640654245,
                  17.86439441677566,
                  41.38038268584848,
                  34.17883620329718
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.147172043602218,
                  15.92850492912314,
                  54.75021155379789,
                  15.970845178787874,
                  24.400472069429885,
                  15.933154742385101,
                  40.87849817279546,
                  40.64355098104866
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.32105586449988,
                  16.40570046524331,
                  65.52791755840862,
                  17.64632053938275,
                  24.293868622000836,
                  16.66802739812226,
                  40.184015667195084,
                  32.98246918464377
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42840537977601745,
              "rpss": 0.006569385429656793,
              "brier_below": 0.16544153905159553,
              "bss_below": -0.02578099498881392,
              "brier_above": 0.2629638316850325,
              "bss_above": 0.025896998121538672,
              "crps": 29.355803492563748,
              "crpss": 0.03593543643747099,
              "crps_fair": 28.831551208871282,
              "crpss_fair": 0.014429665610159459,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.029804,
                    0.14054,
                    0.652349,
                    0.161069,
                    0.015728,
                    0.000511,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1818,
                    0.263,
                    0.353,
                    0.4305,
                    0.5288,
                    0.6252,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0199,
                    0.087,
                    0.157,
                    0.1623,
                    0.5602,
                    0.6674,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.014205,
                    0.364246,
                    0.520875,
                    0.08687,
                    0.01244,
                    0.001365,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1868,
                    0.2653,
                    0.3356,
                    0.4383,
                    0.5271,
                    0.6395,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.26,
                    0.3925,
                    0.4745,
                    0.7993,
                    0.9591,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4365480289859792,
                  0.3227754467517059,
                  0.3710306836640179,
                  0.3808680680817345,
                  0.47342926829190346,
                  0.3224409902082592,
                  0.47625820114995276,
                  0.40930190722842136
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41878825306748607,
                  0.3532443184157963,
                  0.5497652319245143,
                  0.41409150225437374,
                  0.500554732533218,
                  0.3283216325296163,
                  0.5179393398216053,
                  0.38569804049108725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1368826814261077,
                  0.2026219111194554,
                  0.07576539260655937,
                  0.19466938693642774,
                  0.37090481625972327,
                  0.17752978019208507,
                  0.11380548169394286,
                  0.17762355428111198
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12324328915544643,
                  0.21087180444506454,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.20657791360422298,
                  0.38654922735379516,
                  0.1778652528005686,
                  0.11863830449786794,
                  0.1581566706892246
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2996653339994734,
                  0.12015354554262894,
                  0.2952652594341544,
                  0.18619868109033344,
                  0.10252446865120626,
                  0.14491122130928183,
                  0.362452691498913,
                  0.2316783486790256
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29554495080091303,
                  0.14237252824897006,
                  0.438654075489631,
                  0.20751359128025879,
                  0.11400552453007727,
                  0.15045639256177848,
                  0.39930100365958165,
                  0.22754136885072465
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.244340182893904,
                  15.617564220192765,
                  65.3363932723588,
                  22.690524196333534,
                  24.036337340651727,
                  16.210389628923767,
                  56.499076181939785,
                  23.439617128304224
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.40124575195562,
                  18.535452439061405,
                  96.88435708644411,
                  25.600608810810552,
                  26.457175781428862,
                  16.988995955173806,
                  61.64931906064567,
                  21.436898042938385
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.62516603908264,
                  15.060480783124415,
                  64.43363136291343,
                  22.13772392921962,
                  23.45186137749084,
                  15.600647439428643,
                  55.825154661424385,
                  22.915086499886684
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.012970318608165,
                  17.14717700571395,
                  95.49608165309667,
                  24.212333377463093,
                  25.06890034808142,
                  15.600720521826346,
                  60.26104362729821,
                  20.04862260959093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3990815742952468,
              "rpss": 0.07950357920289064,
              "brier_below": 0.1812253755644267,
              "bss_below": 0.028941850452908313,
              "brier_above": 0.2178561937756271,
              "bss_above": 0.11771850200628842,
              "crps": 31.384280268949816,
              "crpss": 0.14295692569608254,
              "crps_fair": 30.756219011571332,
              "crpss_fair": 0.127012135936043,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.02004,
                    0.151813,
                    0.715619,
                    0.099042,
                    0.012616,
                    0.00087,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1776,
                    0.2673,
                    0.3507,
                    0.4298,
                    0.5333,
                    0.633,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.0889,
                    0.2412,
                    0.3093,
                    0.7241,
                    0.7499,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.013706,
                    0.335727,
                    0.49376,
                    0.12828,
                    0.025696,
                    0.002832,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1831,
                    0.267,
                    0.335,
                    0.4444,
                    0.5266,
                    0.6356,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0318,
                    0.2207,
                    0.3927,
                    0.8645,
                    0.9831,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.4930638507668023,
            "training": [
              0.46179683777595437,
              0.49300694353620245,
              0.4764874035850278,
              0.5293829565049004,
              0.6030256602377708,
              0.4750125859846189,
              0.5034130694191241,
              0.44911531741108585,
              0.47752772927518783,
              0.48584304611929835,
              0.4815876043825576,
              0.5164186276139091,
              0.5262577191301693,
              0.4964141556501504,
              0.4038598361568475,
              0.4838769631056108,
              0.4970219686001376,
              0.4625926184809846,
              0.525698270227182,
              0.5014039997705102,
              0.48528808517010064,
              0.4774268146190644,
              0.515236172014593,
              0.5058380336322682
            ],
            "test": 0.5213423710305021
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.47756552322450413,
                  0.4212467319741939,
                  0.4277631203378849,
                  0.468262960762462,
                  0.46125240354074903,
                  0.4910217303001974,
                  0.45490074999099683,
                  0.5664431497290257,
                  0.3807523906654524,
                  0.4425063550791186,
                  0.5527760349573952,
                  0.3587424357046968,
                  0.3865228732627141,
                  0.4833814952822748,
                  0.49528535059351975,
                  0.44613048099450214,
                  0.42419651836899813,
                  0.5462769809664607,
                  0.4352282552262066,
                  0.40845166476795797,
                  0.41424619944071367,
                  0.532771303563784,
                  0.35608853343513347,
                  0.4039719814511533
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.43940389586261985,
                  0.4665815975343043,
                  0.4078016629257561,
                  0.5058326534107924,
                  0.5395139539081617,
                  0.49558246555093133,
                  0.4802715214492444,
                  0.4940433293404847,
                  0.3914621834757892,
                  0.4277164147133932,
                  0.5144532300877738,
                  0.3688788642452346,
                  0.45641496116615643,
                  0.4825359152593056,
                  0.4144568447211086,
                  0.4364608837118219,
                  0.42094222389547176,
                  0.4840252584820353,
                  0.4719586571698775,
                  0.40608224744207533,
                  0.407618183369595,
                  0.4985033807712113,
                  0.41838804437156996,
                  0.4537770988760395
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22378905776380154,
                  0.2595464102279531,
                  0.27194003660156413,
                  0.364729001834314,
                  0.09429815676091653,
                  0.19977281963468047,
                  0.1664329137408828,
                  0.15261255187492045,
                  0.1844842648930987,
                  0.2379849723642139,
                  0.42631468870389405,
                  0.20746866149351859,
                  0.29387617719192133,
                  0.10958630804511675,
                  0.3222183300944781,
                  0.15127336999875676,
                  0.18032261150661696,
                  0.3937377794865433,
                  0.2788721041444127,
                  0.2290455350722211,
                  0.13870132951599554,
                  0.11832255622925754,
                  0.13368503845532972,
                  0.286532937039316
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.19457870756681286,
                  0.28338161161055664,
                  0.2603988151290453,
                  0.3801317890887892,
                  0.12139582486297858,
                  0.2083086937549171,
                  0.179673404168855,
                  0.13049409161286557,
                  0.18820422829035943,
                  0.23725297240826868,
                  0.3930574463474963,
                  0.2061208543150891,
                  0.32867257140426404,
                  0.12346043676030426,
                  0.28728118486517273,
                  0.14778867910296825,
                  0.17721343670206774,
                  0.3552785719779392,
                  0.29320090548610794,
                  0.22384930431748742,
                  0.13483308539642477,
                  0.12264454476536311,
                  0.165349012936125,
                  0.30321995858175416
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.253776464624994,
                  0.1617003207637774,
                  0.15582308001351813,
                  0.10353395599836,
                  0.3669542496745344,
                  0.2912489146096171,
                  0.28846783965316225,
                  0.4138306043841061,
                  0.19626812534240995,
                  0.20452138088205243,
                  0.12646134199232614,
                  0.15127377220493268,
                  0.09264669409016907,
                  0.37379519344346,
                  0.17306701819811163,
                  0.29485711423089245,
                  0.24387390693442862,
                  0.15253920004085755,
                  0.15635614846165413,
                  0.17940612769212275,
                  0.2755448726980852,
                  0.41444875365239103,
                  0.2224034939212574,
                  0.11743904316104006
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.244825188295807,
                  0.18319998592374737,
                  0.1474028477967109,
                  0.12570086432200342,
                  0.41811812904518303,
                  0.2872737717960143,
                  0.3005981172803895,
                  0.3635492377276191,
                  0.20325795518542972,
                  0.1904634423051245,
                  0.12139578374027739,
                  0.16275800993014544,
                  0.1277423897618922,
                  0.3590754784990013,
                  0.12717565985593585,
                  0.2886722046088535,
                  0.24372878719340413,
                  0.1287466865040958,
                  0.17875775168376942,
                  0.182232943124588,
                  0.2727850979731702,
                  0.3758588360058481,
                  0.2530390314354449,
                  0.15055714029428513
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.917099807616125,
                  19.33919200401243,
                  19.65286029910577,
                  21.279703338517976,
                  108.97202181977079,
                  35.4615995574068,
                  37.35938172819835,
                  46.87964721449818,
                  17.253155538842783,
                  21.74077532353004,
                  30.352888796017165,
                  20.669544091382804,
                  15.62591932642327,
                  38.71711115419784,
                  28.535533137147155,
                  26.15174719570348,
                  22.683082161158094,
                  32.90334113150711,
                  23.389161159244047,
                  22.661398647007957,
                  22.856188367847498,
                  39.066421012219415,
                  21.43477686290955,
                  19.42280760611402
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.77074843142727,
                  22.60409869067204,
                  18.38031484850475,
                  25.959936518793185,
                  123.34118991059545,
                  35.588714164776064,
                  39.220907889439694,
                  39.49590059501811,
                  18.35094398856043,
                  19.018950574892433,
                  27.831563580748035,
                  21.968021793696813,
                  21.56629431892967,
                  37.55562250213345,
                  20.343092113101918,
                  25.75266643361196,
                  21.96609944248159,
                  25.58890298078945,
                  24.791989124537817,
                  21.665834698643923,
                  21.79847843728042,
                  34.8315441627334,
                  25.585209165511976,
                  22.091569801149358
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  27.04732418094187,
                  18.367221914813346,
                  18.73595694427615,
                  20.393642934134373,
                  107.94967792592863,
                  34.66051028060016,
                  36.43136546284572,
                  45.98886570060961,
                  16.398819184274778,
                  20.696083930546397,
                  29.349565899296362,
                  19.704385028512817,
                  14.802532419883237,
                  37.82833464720573,
                  27.600890352415014,
                  25.30014132341374,
                  21.65105124571892,
                  31.934447978901773,
                  22.490103018456157,
                  21.789689928822998,
                  21.873808231365874,
                  38.22836716229179,
                  20.24744607890165,
                  18.62467662263005
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.51064113159216,
                  21.34178182693399,
                  17.109998394156545,
                  24.703975408517493,
                  122.2696629923497,
                  34.35098937579959,
                  37.99006225524478,
                  38.26557578034132,
                  17.080571907583543,
                  17.74984365790482,
                  26.57914721869575,
                  20.704500238866018,
                  20.302011916608773,
                  36.321622918341355,
                  19.07649303993666,
                  24.496312766356763,
                  20.70257424683409,
                  24.33223915547966,
                  23.533815992682083,
                  20.40174081976945,
                  20.534635777607914,
                  33.59238533966214,
                  24.32853834433991,
                  20.828282238756913
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4514910509841707,
              "rpss": 0.004311450699689856,
              "brier_below": 0.2260644838614052,
              "bss_below": 0.00371709490995209,
              "brier_above": 0.2254265673611775,
              "bss_above": 0.004906775616458914,
              "crps": 30.013556553349108,
              "crpss": -0.0017477652654311893,
              "crps_fair": 29.08728784986613,
              "crpss_fair": -0.01304224220583472,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.048112,
                    0.215349,
                    0.537285,
                    0.179762,
                    0.018501,
                    0.000991,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1789,
                    0.2669,
                    0.351,
                    0.4356,
                    0.5297,
                    0.6331,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3829,
                    0.2816,
                    0.3382,
                    0.4254,
                    0.552,
                    0.5993,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.024999,
                    0.333114,
                    0.499376,
                    0.126178,
                    0.014206,
                    0.00207,
                    5.7e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1843,
                    0.2664,
                    0.3478,
                    0.4368,
                    0.5306,
                    0.628,
                    0.7141,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1791,
                    0.2896,
                    0.3732,
                    0.4218,
                    0.3966,
                    0.3289,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3937190460029277,
                  0.40823514981037606,
                  0.3362299005246683,
                  0.3924361328602026,
                  0.4227108379164352,
                  0.3853782443434043,
                  0.3977556629424034,
                  0.6143354850327705,
                  0.4071873859124493,
                  0.40546922247202066,
                  0.5005256301835792,
                  0.37279967055777974,
                  0.41267940700698874,
                  0.5334214436281077,
                  0.5142850050311258,
                  0.503185541974981,
                  0.3462628163995318,
                  0.4846697063795851,
                  0.3877000202673985,
                  0.3525170751970833,
                  0.3523965585394218,
                  0.5353621689564155,
                  0.3483440627073546,
                  0.44251988505117834
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4283784857114221,
                  0.426706305961757,
                  0.34466488699165887,
                  0.5130077270408857,
                  0.5410158863622896,
                  0.48132609845393376,
                  0.42143417390584187,
                  0.49961637384642854,
                  0.41822160564029737,
                  0.4024426800552632,
                  0.5388940294117011,
                  0.3853584913200236,
                  0.5182825785529102,
                  0.520890978389888,
                  0.44508072243200725,
                  0.47856087825017973,
                  0.3579810319851315,
                  0.4969649351160663,
                  0.42935647355424533,
                  0.3854220303157415,
                  0.34929101419438247,
                  0.47527063535536435,
                  0.48976956498879315,
                  0.5267262457793177
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25055346986530874,
                  0.1679237021347012,
                  0.1710046804091765,
                  0.31522780366509073,
                  0.07965150587622292,
                  0.29336847780125636,
                  0.25610923664788515,
                  0.16879318019029485,
                  0.18583981661720386,
                  0.13093524987359462,
                  0.3952730686019291,
                  0.21079520383375644,
                  0.32657024951547664,
                  0.10960207900940488,
                  0.3430125172344835,
                  0.12721170071483356,
                  0.14942177247007488,
                  0.3773268172740285,
                  0.16979491484841527,
                  0.11366606819341936,
                  0.14607450800472913,
                  0.1326561166055178,
                  0.07167935315438992,
                  0.36501616993436015
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.260916368370509,
                  0.18230982257127842,
                  0.1744601993170755,
                  0.3920247357664324,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.33810643785296296,
                  0.2628742416199158,
                  0.13479064363488874,
                  0.19259108021282037,
                  0.12944501007419143,
                  0.41791103813724767,
                  0.2209426899917617,
                  0.3972995872784568,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3150864593637269,
                  0.12256697767898699,
                  0.15807349465346632,
                  0.37120768576769203,
                  0.18695933477249566,
                  0.14105590686426853,
                  0.13688174505845058,
                  0.12416576635757047,
                  0.12574169593915657,
                  0.40415464577044424
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14316557443737707,
                  0.2403114477691887,
                  0.16522521809149268,
                  0.07720832823826748,
                  0.3430593323526014,
                  0.09200976544289691,
                  0.14164642501803237,
                  0.44554230981300413,
                  0.2213475712157088,
                  0.2745339747052454,
                  0.10525255776398428,
                  0.16200446404520505,
                  0.08610915641240297,
                  0.4238193726287303,
                  0.17127248260934108,
                  0.3759738479622558,
                  0.19684104197482089,
                  0.10734288754820184,
                  0.21790510559065834,
                  0.2388510066913387,
                  0.20632205006259158,
                  0.4027060588676728,
                  0.2766647088649666,
                  0.07750371285102166
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16746211734091326,
                  0.24439648339047856,
                  0.17020468767458338,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.42003289508783637,
                  0.1432196606009709,
                  0.15855993228592616,
                  0.3648257302115401,
                  0.22563052542747697,
                  0.27299766998107183,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.16441580132826192,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3999079871154346,
                  0.12999426306828057,
                  0.35599390057119296,
                  0.19990753733166522,
                  0.12575724934837454,
                  0.24239713878174965,
                  0.244366123451473,
                  0.21240926913593197,
                  0.3511048689977941,
                  0.36402786904963685,
                  0.12257160000887342
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.64637659989698,
                  24.550848153832842,
                  17.47353320073183,
                  20.370637064441745,
                  136.22485495332057,
                  25.16760121465218,
                  19.9520278241905,
                  63.05943875069272,
                  21.698973446377373,
                  21.205254987173106,
                  31.81642180182761,
                  23.461717182939452,
                  20.10692363514772,
                  57.5746619045476,
                  30.18964572203042,
                  39.052306445651496,
                  19.283145343916125,
                  33.336213195574445,
                  25.364276892617077,
                  24.367745221949225,
                  20.35782180589668,
                  40.0381540317324,
                  27.947047018284266,
                  24.34090401991046
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.638963822645973,
                  24.235290387642486,
                  18.424283296657233,
                  32.54717605456645,
                  156.90499273836357,
                  32.635277727606166,
                  21.537420350099357,
                  49.09575292416304,
                  22.525465304564662,
                  20.988002465707634,
                  34.61988384032085,
                  24.30789299289558,
                  29.701345919639383,
                  54.971641276234905,
                  22.842560447513375,
                  36.98644829813116,
                  18.957656403027976,
                  33.035212506102354,
                  28.03299847714953,
                  26.339484558745546,
                  20.084345939930547,
                  32.84079658873186,
                  39.9223127647239,
                  31.23869015810775
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.719543662804625,
                  23.26004632263574,
                  16.45950289332588,
                  19.37593399741141,
                  135.1176613824653,
                  24.34624004367676,
                  18.975615572535123,
                  62.12507853387287,
                  20.8185282834715,
                  20.258668953783836,
                  30.71343142218805,
                  22.232377749558,
                  19.06896561042922,
                  56.6028934580365,
                  29.034613127842118,
                  37.98473485619554,
                  18.001246708798917,
                  32.42875405285676,
                  24.396079661055314,
                  23.33281759472394,
                  19.231228359365364,
                  39.1419784256957,
                  26.440325692087633,
                  23.41658658889718
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.16546441774922,
                  22.76670826790671,
                  16.94469548167337,
                  31.09433614253317,
                  155.68767899429207,
                  31.182604674802132,
                  20.063728628019742,
                  47.67425501377674,
                  21.053644879747303,
                  19.513270179453034,
                  33.170969511215155,
                  22.839448378093994,
                  28.243116177805117,
                  53.561271942272995,
                  21.37134058167887,
                  35.54201609868039,
                  17.47907876438195,
                  31.583296905530318,
                  26.57160898637116,
                  24.874887655242915,
                  18.60790218298319,
                  31.38851277619512,
                  38.48344091464168,
                  29.783372053088755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42708858582075787,
              "rpss": 0.05743053610418569,
              "brier_below": 0.21072948593648144,
              "bss_below": 0.06886158788021957,
              "brier_above": 0.21635910003987532,
              "bss_above": 0.04602384619451727,
              "crps": 32.77443876738895,
              "crpss": 0.05731851434711854,
              "crps_fair": 31.72845220640472,
              "crpss_fair": 0.04772582574206219,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.022133,
                    0.203864,
                    0.568658,
                    0.182779,
                    0.021406,
                    0.001161,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1822,
                    0.2667,
                    0.3526,
                    0.4361,
                    0.5308,
                    0.6356,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3442,
                    0.1492,
                    0.3164,
                    0.62,
                    0.6679,
                    0.4376,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.03705,
                    0.387935,
                    0.413893,
                    0.139499,
                    0.018722,
                    0.002757,
                    0.000145,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.185,
                    0.2642,
                    0.3469,
                    0.438,
                    0.5289,
                    0.6231,
                    0.7141,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1975,
                    0.2469,
                    0.3608,
                    0.6104,
                    0.4769,
                    0.4212,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4295962359421146,
                  0.3658227197127288,
                  0.5026201729623654,
                  0.34638071160842215,
                  0.46526131174966967,
                  0.3190931563938871,
                  0.4625994734864771,
                  0.5457119304139865
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41226069330832904,
                  0.37346476202427337,
                  0.5449498935810108,
                  0.3668786910829554,
                  0.4702381054334581,
                  0.35149027409467,
                  0.4617153008948455,
                  0.4689090852917107
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.17516070197715944,
                  0.17496177389233103,
                  0.11300330602717801,
                  0.19883408573393044,
                  0.2432069237215091,
                  0.13005754519079493,
                  0.12103312226105527,
                  0.1628550848556391
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.16272543810516465,
                  0.17439021621908166,
                  0.1111111177338495,
                  0.19565233168880328,
                  0.24748910543474462,
                  0.14877102166271772,
                  0.11990485299837937,
                  0.13022383774923363
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.25443552765031424,
                  0.1908609468280647,
                  0.38961683229336525,
                  0.14754663171021049,
                  0.22205438663377403,
                  0.18903561559039092,
                  0.3415663307213554,
                  0.38285682268854393
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2495352503192138,
                  0.19907454994431797,
                  0.43383873800717726,
                  0.1712263685129215,
                  0.22274899990451802,
                  0.20271925591935436,
                  0.3418104265124274,
                  0.3386852267172677
                ],
                "crps": [
                  22.88300148997423,
                  16.239842478158675,
                  56.94533613635326,
                  16.16047940586364,
                  24.840223036554804,
                  15.931831880904102,
                  42.38919959400933,
                  42.09800749179944
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.51742288315328,
                  17.602067483896718,
                  66.72428457706202,
                  18.842687558036157,
                  25.490235640654245,
                  17.86439441677566,
                  41.38038268584848,
                  34.17883620329718
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.429508383914296,
                  15.786713723235266,
                  56.351115174332755,
                  15.733820114426914,
                  24.406571871929014,
                  15.4017626280958,
                  41.90621159616665,
                  41.691620438027726
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.32105586449988,
                  16.40570046524331,
                  65.52791755840862,
                  17.64632053938275,
                  24.293868622000836,
                  16.66802739812226,
                  40.184015667195084,
                  32.98246918464377
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42963571403370643,
              "rpss": 0.0037163593579908616,
              "brier_below": 0.16488906795744968,
              "bss_below": -0.022355529099749694,
              "brier_above": 0.2647466367645024,
              "bss_above": 0.019292912044196142,
              "crps": 29.685990189202187,
              "crpss": 0.02509188062509049,
              "crps_fair": 29.21341549126605,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0013761151520229609,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.024205,
                    0.155717,
                    0.649867,
                    0.161565,
                    0.008476,
                    0.000171,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1837,
                    0.2648,
                    0.3518,
                    0.4298,
                    0.5286,
                    0.6205,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0455,
                    0.0797,
                    0.1608,
                    0.1665,
                    0.6405,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.010426,
                    0.43284,
                    0.475616,
                    0.073614,
                    0.006735,
                    0.000768,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1896,
                    0.2686,
                    0.3389,
                    0.4375,
                    0.5308,
                    0.622,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2821,
                    0.4013,
                    0.4855,
                    0.8366,
                    0.9873,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43771498848694673,
                  0.3210882036108657,
                  0.38778277639541275,
                  0.38109437927507395,
                  0.47431120508988756,
                  0.3214043987903593,
                  0.48599157624462896,
                  0.4094383693033212
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41878825306748607,
                  0.3532443184157963,
                  0.5497652319245143,
                  0.41409150225437374,
                  0.500554732533218,
                  0.3283216325296163,
                  0.5179393398216053,
                  0.38569804049108725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13611692347594131,
                  0.20082765483763002,
                  0.0774000884420845,
                  0.19454921603154454,
                  0.3750948191568051,
                  0.17901254968329772,
                  0.11391417572047081,
                  0.176658509096465
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12324328915544643,
                  0.21087180444506454,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.20657791360422298,
                  0.38654922735379516,
                  0.1778652528005686,
                  0.11863830449786794,
                  0.1581566706892246
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.30159805130549777,
                  0.12026055882317657,
                  0.3103826559003169,
                  0.18654516297853943,
                  0.0992164022486674,
                  0.14239186002992812,
                  0.37207737193214446,
                  0.23277985609461804
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29554495080091303,
                  0.14237252824897006,
                  0.438654075489631,
                  0.20751359128025879,
                  0.11400552453007727,
                  0.15045639256177848,
                  0.39930100365958165,
                  0.22754136885072465
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.61730727304012,
                  15.11849337638143,
                  67.4291552033661,
                  22.381891114032047,
                  23.549091973558358,
                  15.671368187037688,
                  58.22317256794698,
                  23.67920625577594
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.40124575195562,
                  18.535452439061405,
                  96.88435708644411,
                  25.600608810810552,
                  26.457175781428862,
                  16.988995955173806,
                  61.64931906064567,
                  21.436898042938385
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  27.064186668846936,
                  14.631334726100846,
                  66.63684083686503,
                  21.892981552515153,
                  23.031507298580184,
                  15.123641618402806,
                  57.62747096453546,
                  23.21154485080154
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.012970318608165,
                  17.14717700571395,
                  95.49608165309667,
                  24.212333377463093,
                  25.06890034808142,
                  15.600720521826346,
                  60.26104362729821,
                  20.04862260959093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.40235323714956206,
              "rpss": 0.0719573677478259,
              "brier_below": 0.18169674205552988,
              "bss_below": 0.02641613201428694,
              "brier_above": 0.22065648991411108,
              "bss_above": 0.10637776650058961,
              "crps": 31.708710743892333,
              "crpss": 0.13409736641163073,
              "crps_fair": 31.152438564580997,
              "crpss_fair": 0.11576579706870205,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.016123,
                    0.172927,
                    0.709715,
                    0.093185,
                    0.007615,
                    0.000435,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1841,
                    0.2707,
                    0.3496,
                    0.4297,
                    0.5324,
                    0.6205,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0135,
                    0.0995,
                    0.2435,
                    0.3288,
                    0.6856,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.01306,
                    0.40136,
                    0.453103,
                    0.117446,
                    0.013506,
                    0.001525,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.187,
                    0.2693,
                    0.3387,
                    0.4439,
                    0.5313,
                    0.6199,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1167,
                    0.2279,
                    0.4304,
                    0.8908,
                    0.9839,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "cdft": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.5008707428757017,
            "training": [
              0.4763605469226364,
              0.48458851047463525,
              0.48193817376451686,
              0.5286697751919421,
              0.6063916664621463,
              0.49148606565880765,
              0.5085179811348937,
              0.4581232104497445,
              0.4855989201591213,
              0.49807853473323666,
              0.47629244062755877,
              0.5189994060939372,
              0.5219720592674514,
              0.5172248688840783,
              0.4100800117966976,
              0.49173108467838095,
              0.5261835511681776,
              0.47532532269370437,
              0.5314150492844881,
              0.5064056090424089,
              0.503097644583446,
              0.4994750112307668,
              0.5197802953886225,
              0.5031620893254416
            ],
            "test": 0.5274995637539088
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46799733760046097,
                  0.44522588826388476,
                  0.4457393774334054,
                  0.4792708240182919,
                  0.44446965082729584,
                  0.48584637275852877,
                  0.45079159758210274,
                  0.5474259402396874,
                  0.37849488956186633,
                  0.43567531711057617,
                  0.5672007915102268,
                  0.3574692440840776,
                  0.4074606366115878,
                  0.4604930416784402,
                  0.5067694613651909,
                  0.4388207538720944,
                  0.40350422840211847,
                  0.5481409763290793,
                  0.4492472007845724,
                  0.41199469690556073,
                  0.40215235927266363,
                  0.5006516576413341,
                  0.36484909250347325,
                  0.425662263076864
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.43940389586261985,
                  0.4665815975343043,
                  0.4078016629257561,
                  0.5058326534107924,
                  0.5395139539081617,
                  0.49558246555093133,
                  0.4802715214492444,
                  0.4940433293404847,
                  0.3914621834757892,
                  0.4277164147133932,
                  0.5144532300877738,
                  0.3688788642452346,
                  0.45641496116615643,
                  0.4825359152593056,
                  0.4144568447211086,
                  0.4364608837118219,
                  0.42094222389547176,
                  0.4840252584820353,
                  0.4719586571698775,
                  0.40608224744207533,
                  0.407618183369595,
                  0.4985033807712113,
                  0.41838804437156996,
                  0.4537770988760395
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21630799409098864,
                  0.27880635189862457,
                  0.28666641115536234,
                  0.3700091537719738,
                  0.09041239884480232,
                  0.19940850576038774,
                  0.16588368741008952,
                  0.1461947553942737,
                  0.18211886452446424,
                  0.23084442833306307,
                  0.43093373796505485,
                  0.20479576006030945,
                  0.30927840722457434,
                  0.09842191003432105,
                  0.32859088666619646,
                  0.14878264856632176,
                  0.160217029873699,
                  0.39093426372224377,
                  0.2887043922055827,
                  0.23153615948904102,
                  0.1266927668173395,
                  0.09833932518027279,
                  0.14269886180432206,
                  0.30246569807940865
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.19457870756681286,
                  0.28338161161055664,
                  0.2603988151290453,
                  0.3801317890887892,
                  0.12139582486297858,
                  0.2083086937549171,
                  0.179673404168855,
                  0.13049409161286557,
                  0.18820422829035943,
                  0.23725297240826868,
                  0.3930574463474963,
                  0.2061208543150891,
                  0.32867257140426404,
                  0.12346043676030426,
                  0.28728118486517273,
                  0.14778867910296825,
                  0.17721343670206774,
                  0.3552785719779392,
                  0.29320090548610794,
                  0.22384930431748742,
                  0.13483308539642477,
                  0.12264454476536311,
                  0.165349012936125,
                  0.30321995858175416
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2516893430245004,
                  0.1664195355542542,
                  0.15907296302434265,
                  0.10926166669583948,
                  0.3540572546646315,
                  0.28643787092194234,
                  0.28490791354562717,
                  0.4012311918805433,
                  0.19637602528009943,
                  0.20483088694306098,
                  0.1362670485286035,
                  0.1526734821567368,
                  0.09818222723248986,
                  0.3620711377007847,
                  0.1781785724913994,
                  0.29003810900118826,
                  0.24328719895873305,
                  0.15720671097363872,
                  0.16054280582863478,
                  0.18045853529167463,
                  0.27545959491854743,
                  0.40231233812318484,
                  0.22215023024055722,
                  0.12319656276226552
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.244825188295807,
                  0.18319998592374737,
                  0.1474028477967109,
                  0.12570086432200342,
                  0.41811812904518303,
                  0.2872737717960143,
                  0.3005981172803895,
                  0.3635492377276191,
                  0.20325795518542972,
                  0.1904634423051245,
                  0.12139578374027739,
                  0.16275800993014544,
                  0.1277423897618922,
                  0.3590754784990013,
                  0.12717565985593585,
                  0.2886722046088535,
                  0.24372878719340413,
                  0.1287466865040958,
                  0.17875775168376942,
                  0.182232943124588,
                  0.2727850979731702,
                  0.3758588360058481,
                  0.2530390314354449,
                  0.15055714029428513
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.587545949175368,
                  20.293354476349634,
                  20.752226553594326,
                  21.760221914990602,
                  103.92875230633945,
                  35.41501385907945,
                  37.00326465508053,
                  45.322026259238406,
                  17.042213552324878,
                  21.35947136133636,
                  32.134343182860654,
                  20.923647174933798,
                  16.842627388008935,
                  36.974560383587416,
                  29.675860700452812,
                  25.39936623355292,
                  22.26014555016407,
                  33.95740126042332,
                  24.242655642799942,
                  23.09717272161018,
                  22.45598055484793,
                  36.93191303896372,
                  21.827678628998285,
                  20.73831685242553
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.77074843142727,
                  22.60409869067204,
                  18.38031484850475,
                  25.959936518793185,
                  123.34118991059545,
                  35.588714164776064,
                  39.220907889439694,
                  39.49590059501811,
                  18.35094398856043,
                  19.018950574892433,
                  27.831563580748035,
                  21.968021793696813,
                  21.56629431892967,
                  37.55562250213345,
                  20.343092113101918,
                  25.75266643361196,
                  21.96609944248159,
                  25.58890298078945,
                  24.791989124537817,
                  21.665834698643923,
                  21.79847843728042,
                  34.8315441627334,
                  25.585209165511976,
                  22.091569801149358
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.677993549530335,
                  19.270211040677005,
                  19.822570150111893,
                  20.808906765821074,
                  102.85130142885009,
                  34.57233101139555,
                  36.04157827519613,
                  44.399072133008815,
                  16.180987105555424,
                  20.343743376100203,
                  31.072484113960417,
                  19.934150455700816,
                  15.997779609680043,
                  36.080982030262724,
                  28.71471581374401,
                  24.52206930748094,
                  21.228784992277955,
                  32.94531604980458,
                  23.313750633323217,
                  22.16383001543926,
                  21.45497826675693,
                  36.106227263590284,
                  20.630900281692462,
                  19.913946448564676
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.51064113159216,
                  21.34178182693399,
                  17.109998394156545,
                  24.703975408517493,
                  122.2696629923497,
                  34.35098937579959,
                  37.99006225524478,
                  38.26557578034132,
                  17.080571907583543,
                  17.74984365790482,
                  26.57914721869575,
                  20.704500238866018,
                  20.302011916608773,
                  36.321622918341355,
                  19.07649303993666,
                  24.496312766356763,
                  20.70257424683409,
                  24.33223915547966,
                  23.533815992682083,
                  20.40174081976945,
                  20.534635777607914,
                  33.59238533966214,
                  24.32853834433991,
                  20.828282238756913
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.451056399976391,
              "rpss": 0.005270001329751528,
              "brier_below": 0.22621018328636322,
              "bss_below": 0.003074986765020604,
              "brier_above": 0.22484621690597004,
              "bss_above": 0.0074685979096563715,
              "crps": 29.913573341714102,
              "crpss": 0.0015893253803039853,
              "crps_fair": 28.960358754938536,
              "crpss_fair": -0.008621598535297537,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.108859,
                    0.214746,
                    0.51618,
                    0.148402,
                    0.011531,
                    0.000283,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1819,
                    0.2666,
                    0.3497,
                    0.4339,
                    0.5281,
                    0.6275,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3194,
                    0.2875,
                    0.346,
                    0.4455,
                    0.5742,
                    0.5992,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.01054,
                    0.272748,
                    0.553798,
                    0.146426,
                    0.015523,
                    0.000965,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1856,
                    0.2719,
                    0.3488,
                    0.4359,
                    0.5312,
                    0.6274,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1532,
                    0.2699,
                    0.3694,
                    0.4145,
                    0.4006,
                    0.0884,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3958813735351823,
                  0.4072884313825026,
                  0.3397798023585564,
                  0.4038532429121044,
                  0.396670386328164,
                  0.4005273674552115,
                  0.39847911555428184,
                  0.5928099543138545,
                  0.40494655267142243,
                  0.3791478822364125,
                  0.5292383128164693,
                  0.37109194523232797,
                  0.42326762583907523,
                  0.5039270358931645,
                  0.530297260809001,
                  0.4884442838616512,
                  0.33891902963367454,
                  0.4984858606889582,
                  0.3826891877859857,
                  0.3528521554728427,
                  0.3447828668746416,
                  0.5097265885398706,
                  0.3439699956397429,
                  0.46794968046183305
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4283784857114221,
                  0.426706305961757,
                  0.34466488699165887,
                  0.5130077270408857,
                  0.5410158863622896,
                  0.48132609845393376,
                  0.42143417390584187,
                  0.49961637384642854,
                  0.41822160564029737,
                  0.4024426800552632,
                  0.5388940294117011,
                  0.3853584913200236,
                  0.5182825785529102,
                  0.520890978389888,
                  0.44508072243200725,
                  0.47856087825017973,
                  0.3579810319851315,
                  0.4969649351160663,
                  0.42935647355424533,
                  0.3854220303157415,
                  0.34929101419438247,
                  0.47527063535536435,
                  0.48976956498879315,
                  0.5267262457793177
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.24994400173351375,
                  0.16386527547777968,
                  0.17024807933050667,
                  0.3191112218001353,
                  0.06971246089990914,
                  0.30070988177959135,
                  0.25549753043036716,
                  0.16436396806963544,
                  0.18606410564329362,
                  0.106070804062562,
                  0.41158768623443753,
                  0.20599215913462549,
                  0.3304640666160239,
                  0.10034410224941549,
                  0.35006441310650466,
                  0.1261354088255078,
                  0.14059806284201531,
                  0.3816367442063734,
                  0.16358908224968322,
                  0.11936175040971177,
                  0.13504586978727437,
                  0.1207856804520714,
                  0.07162174927999201,
                  0.3803145175067699
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.260916368370509,
                  0.18230982257127842,
                  0.1744601993170755,
                  0.3920247357664324,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.33810643785296296,
                  0.2628742416199158,
                  0.13479064363488874,
                  0.19259108021282037,
                  0.12944501007419143,
                  0.41791103813724767,
                  0.2209426899917617,
                  0.3972995872784568,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3150864593637269,
                  0.12256697767898699,
                  0.15807349465346632,
                  0.37120768576769203,
                  0.18695933477249566,
                  0.14105590686426853,
                  0.13688174505845058,
                  0.12416576635757047,
                  0.12574169593915657,
                  0.40415464577044424
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14593736968230248,
                  0.24342315596130387,
                  0.16953172013608236,
                  0.08474201974914446,
                  0.3269579248343311,
                  0.09981748444036138,
                  0.14298158312795475,
                  0.42844599228939045,
                  0.2188824486753549,
                  0.27307707970914025,
                  0.11765062083514417,
                  0.16509978369655814,
                  0.09280355761235416,
                  0.4035829415162954,
                  0.18023284252457197,
                  0.36230888264521055,
                  0.19832096478397498,
                  0.11684911434655068,
                  0.21910010527280857,
                  0.23349040478084496,
                  0.20973699640960117,
                  0.38894091444410755,
                  0.2723482455468272,
                  0.08763515905519448
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16746211734091326,
                  0.24439648339047856,
                  0.17020468767458338,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.42003289508783637,
                  0.1432196606009709,
                  0.15855993228592616,
                  0.3648257302115401,
                  0.22563052542747697,
                  0.27299766998107183,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.16441580132826192,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3999079871154346,
                  0.12999426306828057,
                  0.35599390057119296,
                  0.19990753733166522,
                  0.12575724934837454,
                  0.24239713878174965,
                  0.244366123451473,
                  0.21240926913593197,
                  0.3511048689977941,
                  0.36402786904963685,
                  0.12257160000887342
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.714157349467527,
                  26.009647739656735,
                  18.076193426150546,
                  21.59503358390547,
                  128.50445885431046,
                  25.900122492645202,
                  20.07623722127924,
                  60.513650291620614,
                  21.091682320740244,
                  19.795462057733598,
                  35.72482301956508,
                  23.733322261753493,
                  22.320712444089136,
                  54.17130025455806,
                  32.37021730457409,
                  36.82219246395471,
                  19.733526520561796,
                  35.70808546132952,
                  25.038231995466273,
                  24.017077843748893,
                  20.16885377193113,
                  37.05145734370049,
                  27.52093756084792,
                  27.255999829998288
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.638963822645973,
                  24.235290387642486,
                  18.424283296657233,
                  32.54717605456645,
                  156.90499273836357,
                  32.635277727606166,
                  21.537420350099357,
                  49.09575292416304,
                  22.525465304564662,
                  20.988002465707634,
                  34.61988384032085,
                  24.30789299289558,
                  29.701345919639383,
                  54.971641276234905,
                  22.842560447513375,
                  36.98644829813116,
                  18.957656403027976,
                  33.035212506102354,
                  28.03299847714953,
                  26.339484558745546,
                  20.084345939930547,
                  32.84079658873186,
                  39.9223127647239,
                  31.23869015810775
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.781654876513024,
                  24.673699440366214,
                  17.022629800736997,
                  20.551184685069963,
                  127.38596794222667,
                  24.997139660646162,
                  19.064181926268702,
                  59.53670730784558,
                  20.191324979069574,
                  18.913154187673506,
                  34.574246504844076,
                  22.47531383322903,
                  21.24320501817585,
                  53.1772313503858,
                  31.193372268108476,
                  35.71633750283095,
                  18.436782814195567,
                  34.75920580329988,
                  24.041152144503652,
                  22.88556768058487,
                  19.018390605292925,
                  36.163392011789256,
                  25.973833491877603,
                  26.290376788637577
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.16546441774922,
                  22.76670826790671,
                  16.94469548167337,
                  31.09433614253317,
                  155.68767899429207,
                  31.182604674802132,
                  20.063728628019742,
                  47.67425501377674,
                  21.053644879747303,
                  19.513270179453034,
                  33.170969511215155,
                  22.839448378093994,
                  28.243116177805117,
                  53.561271942272995,
                  21.37134058167887,
                  35.54201609868039,
                  17.47907876438195,
                  31.583296905530318,
                  26.57160898637116,
                  24.874887655242915,
                  18.60790218298319,
                  31.38851277619512,
                  38.48344091464168,
                  29.783372053088755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42520941409570545,
              "rpss": 0.06157780190396567,
              "brier_below": 0.2092970259219875,
              "bss_below": 0.07519111759645014,
              "brier_above": 0.21591238800314208,
              "bss_above": 0.04799350048954276,
              "crps": 32.621390975566186,
              "crpss": 0.06172058270274616,
              "crps_fair": 31.544418859340496,
              "crpss_fair": 0.053249265791121214,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.05631,
                    0.206377,
                    0.565425,
                    0.157376,
                    0.014294,
                    0.000218,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.185,
                    0.2678,
                    0.3491,
                    0.4344,
                    0.5285,
                    0.6133,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1314,
                    0.1656,
                    0.3451,
                    0.6377,
                    0.6244,
                    0.3333,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.013128,
                    0.316393,
                    0.482043,
                    0.167247,
                    0.019592,
                    0.001597,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1861,
                    0.2693,
                    0.3482,
                    0.4391,
                    0.5305,
                    0.6257,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.105,
                    0.2371,
                    0.3402,
                    0.585,
                    0.4706,
                    0.1365,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4300626970801322,
                  0.36138095895702427,
                  0.5039408128812054,
                  0.3457727465401377,
                  0.458970795382503,
                  0.31645804322088544,
                  0.45256487499632675,
                  0.5366512080397897
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41226069330832904,
                  0.37346476202427337,
                  0.5449498935810108,
                  0.3668786910829554,
                  0.4702381054334581,
                  0.35149027409467,
                  0.4617153008948455,
                  0.4689090852917107
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.17672796361483878,
                  0.1705983543559562,
                  0.11605962247209692,
                  0.19592167344044378,
                  0.23714787618941036,
                  0.12579506677811267,
                  0.11596729520372845,
                  0.16148336085175663
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.16272543810516465,
                  0.17439021621908166,
                  0.1111111177338495,
                  0.19565233168880328,
                  0.24748910543474462,
                  0.14877102166271772,
                  0.11990485299837937,
                  0.13022383774923363
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2533347277318282,
                  0.19078260607838401,
                  0.38788115599399303,
                  0.14985107938417247,
                  0.22182291821823663,
                  0.19066298103761223,
                  0.3365975597818827,
                  0.3751678247196622
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2495352503192138,
                  0.19907454994431797,
                  0.43383873800717726,
                  0.1712263685129215,
                  0.22274899990451802,
                  0.20271925591935436,
                  0.3418104265124274,
                  0.3386852267172677
                ],
                "crps": [
                  22.605312358662438,
                  16.55902813354891,
                  56.27463821971284,
                  16.52340116008622,
                  24.609085001484477,
                  16.184806011745238,
                  41.57562751414669,
                  41.841073415882484
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.51742288315328,
                  17.602067483896718,
                  66.72428457706202,
                  18.842687558036157,
                  25.490235640654245,
                  17.86439441677566,
                  41.38038268584848,
                  34.17883620329718
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.152068096623992,
                  16.07882800567882,
                  55.65140215338533,
                  16.077127638129348,
                  24.170372960514054,
                  15.646329460907424,
                  41.07650291361437,
                  41.421234575502616
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.32105586449988,
                  16.40570046524331,
                  65.52791755840862,
                  17.64632053938275,
                  24.293868622000836,
                  16.66802739812226,
                  40.184015667195084,
                  32.98246918464377
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42572526713725056,
              "rpss": 0.012784307257295735,
              "brier_below": 0.16246265161329296,
              "bss_below": -0.007311110472877802,
              "brier_above": 0.26326260661822143,
              "bss_above": 0.024790239228346223,
              "crps": 29.521621476908663,
              "crpss": 0.03048986099107609,
              "crps_fair": 29.034233225544494,
              "crpss_fair": 0.007501235658532002,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.056915,
                    0.155237,
                    0.632653,
                    0.147396,
                    0.0078,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1824,
                    0.2675,
                    0.3526,
                    0.4274,
                    0.5258,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0609,
                    0.0793,
                    0.1637,
                    0.1773,
                    0.6419,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.003574,
                    0.372087,
                    0.53883,
                    0.079795,
                    0.005629,
                    8.5e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1872,
                    0.2725,
                    0.3376,
                    0.4355,
                    0.5297,
                    0.6033,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0467,
                    0.396,
                    0.4779,
                    0.826,
                    0.9849,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4360165082940768,
                  0.32679416251766646,
                  0.3936537252103694,
                  0.38474201182467,
                  0.4745437361030618,
                  0.3208335931881724,
                  0.47853700054016607,
                  0.40618045080622717
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41878825306748607,
                  0.3532443184157963,
                  0.5497652319245143,
                  0.41409150225437374,
                  0.500554732533218,
                  0.3283216325296163,
                  0.5179393398216053,
                  0.38569804049108725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13679033584872716,
                  0.2039699027992315,
                  0.08081867947731716,
                  0.1957323430879278,
                  0.3712010710767301,
                  0.17496779032444076,
                  0.11157450306074183,
                  0.1765866204075086
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12324328915544643,
                  0.21087180444506454,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.20657791360422298,
                  0.38654922735379516,
                  0.1778652528005686,
                  0.11863830449786794,
                  0.1581566706892246
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.29922615944453523,
                  0.1228242702023661,
                  0.3128350132334536,
                  0.1890096692175283,
                  0.10334268192565751,
                  0.14586581444635882,
                  0.36696246913777547,
                  0.229593826487095
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29554495080091303,
                  0.14237252824897006,
                  0.438654075489631,
                  0.20751359128025879,
                  0.11400552453007727,
                  0.15045639256177848,
                  0.39930100365958165,
                  0.22754136885072465
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.32081227475318,
                  15.773546742335808,
                  66.07980759653707,
                  22.768739205638894,
                  23.82837673928997,
                  16.04260291047074,
                  56.74594361549035,
                  23.474655225603275
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.40124575195562,
                  18.535452439061405,
                  96.88435708644411,
                  25.600608810810552,
                  26.457175781428862,
                  16.988995955173806,
                  61.64931906064567,
                  21.436898042938385
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.746199705651318,
                  15.242784495171389,
                  65.24514191830333,
                  22.251936833264384,
                  23.284222343549388,
                  15.486067896982815,
                  56.13623184417291,
                  22.99343651788801
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.012970318608165,
                  17.14717700571395,
                  95.49608165309667,
                  24.212333377463093,
                  25.06890034808142,
                  15.600720521826346,
                  60.26104362729821,
                  20.04862260959093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.40266264856055123,
              "rpss": 0.07124369887731419,
              "brier_below": 0.1814551557603281,
              "bss_below": 0.027710621486547238,
              "brier_above": 0.22120748801184625,
              "bss_above": 0.1041463154748632,
              "crps": 31.504310538764912,
              "crpss": 0.13967913469465454,
              "crps_fair": 30.923252694372945,
              "crpss_fair": 0.12227103372445913,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.017218,
                    0.160277,
                    0.724973,
                    0.090133,
                    0.007399,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1848,
                    0.2737,
                    0.3495,
                    0.4279,
                    0.5342,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.0829,
                    0.2456,
                    0.3302,
                    0.7351,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004571,
                    0.336623,
                    0.519378,
                    0.126795,
                    0.012415,
                    0.000218,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.188,
                    0.2735,
                    0.3374,
                    0.44,
                    0.5304,
                    0.6033,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.2162,
                    0.4047,
                    0.8835,
                    0.9825,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "selection": {
        "SEL-P": {
          "criterion": "inner RPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1994": "gqm",
            "1995": "gqm",
            "1996": "gqm",
            "1997": "gqm",
            "1998": "gqm",
            "1999": "gqm",
            "2000": "gqm",
            "2001": "gqm",
            "2002": "gqm",
            "2003": "gqm",
            "2004": "gqm",
            "2005": "gqm",
            "2006": "gqm",
            "2007": "gqm",
            "2008": "gqm",
            "2009": "gqm",
            "2010": "gqm",
            "2011": "gqm",
            "2012": "gqm",
            "2013": "gqm",
            "2014": "gqm",
            "2015": "gqm",
            "2016": "gqm"
          },
          "chosen_test": "gqm",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 0,
            "vs": 0,
            "sqrt_mvs": 1,
            "pt": 0,
            "dc": 0,
            "loci": 0,
            "eqm": 0,
            "gqm": 23,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 0,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.49493703680706047,
                  0.4111146103439222,
                  0.4479917995793856,
                  0.4706345536984594,
                  0.3981631334933423,
                  0.46356669217665275,
                  0.4296547643784799,
                  0.5665274466646004,
                  0.3686709391119287,
                  0.4489124669914946,
                  0.5803351289842607,
                  0.35685756471549607,
                  0.37202690644796094,
                  0.45223202844892235,
                  0.5198807952061121,
                  0.4437649815383361,
                  0.4073283528396853,
                  0.573382115664472,
                  0.44824464315772405,
                  0.41959641969561107,
                  0.3969775976297955,
                  0.5125100373799848,
                  0.3424457789404608,
                  0.4023927867828807
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.43940389586261985,
                  0.4665815975343043,
                  0.4078016629257561,
                  0.5058326534107924,
                  0.5395139539081617,
                  0.49558246555093133,
                  0.4802715214492444,
                  0.4940433293404847,
                  0.3914621834757892,
                  0.4277164147133932,
                  0.5144532300877738,
                  0.3688788642452346,
                  0.45641496116615643,
                  0.4825359152593056,
                  0.4144568447211086,
                  0.4364608837118219,
                  0.42094222389547176,
                  0.4840252584820353,
                  0.4719586571698775,
                  0.40608224744207533,
                  0.407618183369595,
                  0.4985033807712113,
                  0.41838804437156996,
                  0.4537770988760395
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.23319048798115688,
                  0.2552360937841563,
                  0.28579326159868373,
                  0.36348789653081026,
                  0.07534041435551062,
                  0.18044718371930799,
                  0.15446840087512775,
                  0.15410091901979153,
                  0.17446786968667094,
                  0.23694607638367074,
                  0.4389400750497663,
                  0.20635415495801193,
                  0.28299532487245077,
                  0.09518273914582216,
                  0.32806012612683916,
                  0.149940019399671,
                  0.16287546040047515,
                  0.40175869371382145,
                  0.29202784523869363,
                  0.23897755059345996,
                  0.12476280440516381,
                  0.10706075470157549,
                  0.12632616532800225,
                  0.28441489621993804
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.19457870756681286,
                  0.28338161161055664,
                  0.2603988151290453,
                  0.3801317890887892,
                  0.12139582486297858,
                  0.2083086937549171,
                  0.179673404168855,
                  0.13049409161286557,
                  0.18820422829035943,
                  0.23725297240826868,
                  0.3930574463474963,
                  0.2061208543150891,
                  0.32867257140426404,
                  0.12346043676030426,
                  0.28728118486517273,
                  0.14778867910296825,
                  0.17721343670206774,
                  0.3552785719779392,
                  0.29320090548610794,
                  0.22384930431748742,
                  0.13483308539642477,
                  0.12264454476536311,
                  0.165349012936125,
                  0.30321995858175416
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.26174654705612876,
                  0.15587851565580402,
                  0.16219853558774658,
                  0.10714665473070677,
                  0.3228227195860953,
                  0.2831195122301014,
                  0.27518636608116415,
                  0.41242653403533924,
                  0.1942030698328874,
                  0.21196638970043993,
                  0.14139504950523654,
                  0.15050340727374067,
                  0.08903158043430007,
                  0.35704929460415225,
                  0.19182066797869332,
                  0.29382496569998373,
                  0.2444528934756964,
                  0.17162342224492977,
                  0.15621679622105536,
                  0.18061886827945017,
                  0.27221479587091063,
                  0.4054492879838955,
                  0.21611961243875863,
                  0.11797788952874678
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.244825188295807,
                  0.18319998592374737,
                  0.1474028477967109,
                  0.12570086432200342,
                  0.41811812904518303,
                  0.2872737717960143,
                  0.3005981172803895,
                  0.3635492377276191,
                  0.20325795518542972,
                  0.1904634423051245,
                  0.12139578374027739,
                  0.16275800993014544,
                  0.1277423897618922,
                  0.3590754784990013,
                  0.12717565985593585,
                  0.2886722046088535,
                  0.24372878719340413,
                  0.1287466865040958,
                  0.17875775168376942,
                  0.182232943124588,
                  0.2727850979731702,
                  0.3758588360058481,
                  0.2530390314354449,
                  0.15055714029428513
                ],
                "crps": [
                  29.134533706344914,
                  20.363007635882973,
                  21.501790042971532,
                  21.706173629237792,
                  97.2272798153492,
                  33.27297726047168,
                  34.75992513241913,
                  45.98551232498377,
                  16.9411604748734,
                  22.83272035842508,
                  33.21060039186481,
                  21.347966842090923,
                  14.943421107154494,
                  35.10090566948471,
                  31.213046381647985,
                  25.906414460972634,
                  22.828748788695766,
                  36.356567035447505,
                  23.88718396169485,
                  23.58226004665057,
                  22.142153658818852,
                  37.084965681728654,
                  22.842315664214212,
                  19.960476941155786
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.77074843142727,
                  22.60409869067204,
                  18.38031484850475,
                  25.959936518793185,
                  123.34118991059545,
                  35.588714164776064,
                  39.220907889439694,
                  39.49590059501811,
                  18.35094398856043,
                  19.018950574892433,
                  27.831563580748035,
                  21.968021793696813,
                  21.56629431892967,
                  37.55562250213345,
                  20.343092113101918,
                  25.75266643361196,
                  21.96609944248159,
                  25.58890298078945,
                  24.791989124537817,
                  21.665834698643923,
                  21.79847843728042,
                  34.8315441627334,
                  25.585209165511976,
                  22.091569801149358
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.202176631360622,
                  19.2781054216098,
                  20.515225689676715,
                  20.72881894350805,
                  96.09180088469736,
                  32.42807352617546,
                  33.74311930685109,
                  45.02634057265117,
                  16.031939535175862,
                  21.69770011643317,
                  32.08821065571107,
                  20.275601561987994,
                  14.058401843283175,
                  34.126286207250324,
                  30.172120242135836,
                  24.98589831638797,
                  21.670710076396286,
                  35.28908807377919,
                  22.90639763819223,
                  22.622366780620833,
                  21.082917033969103,
                  36.209219423924374,
                  21.457024002460013,
                  19.11517139145982
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.51064113159216,
                  21.34178182693399,
                  17.109998394156545,
                  24.703975408517493,
                  122.2696629923497,
                  34.35098937579959,
                  37.99006225524478,
                  38.26557578034132,
                  17.080571907583543,
                  17.74984365790482,
                  26.57914721869575,
                  20.704500238866018,
                  20.302011916608773,
                  36.321622918341355,
                  19.07649303993666,
                  24.496312766356763,
                  20.70257424683409,
                  24.33223915547966,
                  23.533815992682083,
                  20.40174081976945,
                  20.534635777607914,
                  33.59238533966214,
                  24.32853834433991,
                  20.828282238756913
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44700619086154286,
              "rpss": 0.014202065053130708,
              "brier_below": 0.2230481339203574,
              "bss_below": 0.017010372255886974,
              "brier_above": 0.22395805733483184,
              "bss_above": 0.011389172053852037,
              "crps": 29.755504458857548,
              "crpss": 0.006865113002410661,
              "crps_fair": 28.741779744820732,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0010090025568831873
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3782681194389104,
                  0.4007364060469135,
                  0.33746850117364646,
                  0.3676164969757073,
                  0.3389470849398737,
                  0.3486622031069527,
                  0.37355908766232354,
                  0.6432351769006432,
                  0.3933976311357947,
                  0.37049914890889346,
                  0.521132248884263,
                  0.37399030105901815,
                  0.38489922236527535,
                  0.49336995611995166,
                  0.5341988834446458,
                  0.49994142887809734,
                  0.3266212228323623,
                  0.47145777836148256,
                  0.37205612002956795,
                  0.3266992910434413,
                  0.344256945775438,
                  0.5317394747653952,
                  0.2846667899565464,
                  0.4383465313431582
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4283784857114221,
                  0.426706305961757,
                  0.34466488699165887,
                  0.5130077270408857,
                  0.5410158863622896,
                  0.48132609845393376,
                  0.42143417390584187,
                  0.49961637384642854,
                  0.41822160564029737,
                  0.4024426800552632,
                  0.5388940294117011,
                  0.3853584913200236,
                  0.5182825785529102,
                  0.520890978389888,
                  0.44508072243200725,
                  0.47856087825017973,
                  0.3579810319851315,
                  0.4969649351160663,
                  0.42935647355424533,
                  0.3854220303157415,
                  0.34929101419438247,
                  0.47527063535536435,
                  0.48976956498879315,
                  0.5267262457793177
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2371574551274218,
                  0.16317449875588813,
                  0.17117319406651013,
                  0.291309349177312,
                  0.05290366292712647,
                  0.2590450444729862,
                  0.24302108275421794,
                  0.19008863368409118,
                  0.17496087167052063,
                  0.10757524397035864,
                  0.4046518296843136,
                  0.2093128828336974,
                  0.30012116949837037,
                  0.09005114290745102,
                  0.35141022381879106,
                  0.12913302043881103,
                  0.12874387689327382,
                  0.3608950405609298,
                  0.15971222882668284,
                  0.09788621686437918,
                  0.13693033607982083,
                  0.1284937688642138,
                  0.050242299147436116,
                  0.3580502997475608
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.260916368370509,
                  0.18230982257127842,
                  0.1744601993170755,
                  0.3920247357664324,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.33810643785296296,
                  0.2628742416199158,
                  0.13479064363488874,
                  0.19259108021282037,
                  0.12944501007419143,
                  0.41791103813724767,
                  0.2209426899917617,
                  0.3972995872784568,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3150864593637269,
                  0.12256697767898699,
                  0.15807349465346632,
                  0.37120768576769203,
                  0.18695933477249566,
                  0.14105590686426853,
                  0.13688174505845058,
                  0.12416576635757047,
                  0.12574169593915657,
                  0.40415464577044424
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1411106627906919,
                  0.23756190754395679,
                  0.1662953051495981,
                  0.07630714836548087,
                  0.28604342085781304,
                  0.08961715883176648,
                  0.13053800372443605,
                  0.45314654825728473,
                  0.21843676123022143,
                  0.2629239068243381,
                  0.11648041385580427,
                  0.164677414010275,
                  0.0847780529488858,
                  0.40331881855642726,
                  0.18278865529138544,
                  0.3708084164270887,
                  0.19787734351615205,
                  0.11056273700588891,
                  0.21234389073956508,
                  0.22881307487460154,
                  0.20732660958290364,
                  0.40324571202132303,
                  0.23442448893012033,
                  0.08029622927095445
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16746211734091326,
                  0.24439648339047856,
                  0.17020468767458338,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.42003289508783637,
                  0.1432196606009709,
                  0.15855993228592616,
                  0.3648257302115401,
                  0.22563052542747697,
                  0.27299766998107183,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.16441580132826192,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3999079871154346,
                  0.12999426306828057,
                  0.35599390057119296,
                  0.19990753733166522,
                  0.12575724934837454,
                  0.24239713878174965,
                  0.244366123451473,
                  0.21240926913593197,
                  0.3511048689977941,
                  0.36402786904963685,
                  0.12257160000887342
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.05911595445343,
                  27.70293851878698,
                  18.41392147955299,
                  19.408261738495778,
                  115.60606605405623,
                  22.62014504180399,
                  18.537457881207853,
                  63.533603384738754,
                  21.00966926978661,
                  19.246247567202833,
                  34.274070989734724,
                  25.18941125973675,
                  18.658975959639765,
                  51.87248071534505,
                  32.06283956971713,
                  38.65518600881113,
                  20.030256511638115,
                  33.426885416594224,
                  24.25283961130695,
                  22.79217022922466,
                  20.2147715060445,
                  38.81729098173589,
                  27.630759838385885,
                  24.936031589917707
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.638963822645973,
                  24.235290387642486,
                  18.424283296657233,
                  32.54717605456645,
                  156.90499273836357,
                  32.635277727606166,
                  21.537420350099357,
                  49.09575292416304,
                  22.525465304564662,
                  20.988002465707634,
                  34.61988384032085,
                  24.30789299289558,
                  29.701345919639383,
                  54.971641276234905,
                  22.842560447513375,
                  36.98644829813116,
                  18.957656403027976,
                  33.035212506102354,
                  28.03299847714953,
                  26.339484558745546,
                  20.084345939930547,
                  32.84079658873186,
                  39.9223127647239,
                  31.23869015810775
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.043736537590565,
                  26.158703754351937,
                  17.279012131302004,
                  18.29956094551693,
                  114.36383262108824,
                  21.732254916965672,
                  17.45961970832495,
                  62.50897549584728,
                  20.050143158935324,
                  18.229248939622025,
                  33.013729274195185,
                  23.73395308241852,
                  17.47468179001672,
                  50.73766407009284,
                  30.71629045782632,
                  37.450316821898994,
                  18.48944172555153,
                  32.426830598060334,
                  23.160982285000827,
                  21.601631837880884,
                  18.965886173964854,
                  37.86019837910498,
                  25.749335864407634,
                  23.90858277636637
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.16546441774922,
                  22.76670826790671,
                  16.94469548167337,
                  31.09433614253317,
                  155.68767899429207,
                  31.182604674802132,
                  20.063728628019742,
                  47.67425501377674,
                  21.053644879747303,
                  19.513270179453034,
                  33.170969511215155,
                  22.839448378093994,
                  28.243116177805117,
                  53.561271942272995,
                  21.37134058167887,
                  35.54201609868039,
                  17.47907876438195,
                  31.583296905530318,
                  26.57160898637116,
                  24.874887655242915,
                  18.60790218298319,
                  31.38851277619512,
                  38.48344091464168,
                  29.783372053088755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.41065691879784594,
              "rpss": 0.09369464638691916,
              "brier_below": 0.19983514053217355,
              "bss_below": 0.11699981322524478,
              "brier_above": 0.21082177835862348,
              "bss_above": 0.07043914852703204,
              "crps": 31.58130821157992,
              "crpss": 0.0916361755254097,
              "crps_fair": 30.392275556097122,
              "crpss_fair": 0.08782883827027999
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4354225392850158,
                  0.35781048554892964,
                  0.476898983475134,
                  0.34372356042411345,
                  0.44971273233277564,
                  0.30571600936475885,
                  0.4496830353791777,
                  0.558173682396953
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41226069330832904,
                  0.37346476202427337,
                  0.5449498935810108,
                  0.3668786910829554,
                  0.4702381054334581,
                  0.35149027409467,
                  0.4617153008948455,
                  0.4689090852917107
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1808966694188353,
                  0.1700434388337345,
                  0.10305005007788588,
                  0.20028876077078592,
                  0.23159927592804214,
                  0.12067417779714605,
                  0.11428618043587448,
                  0.16725241154401504
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.16272543810516465,
                  0.17439021621908166,
                  0.1111111177338495,
                  0.19565233168880328,
                  0.24748910543474462,
                  0.14877102166271772,
                  0.11990485299837937,
                  0.13022383774923363
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.25452586355713935,
                  0.18776704735304592,
                  0.3738489003185843,
                  0.14343480495560917,
                  0.2181134549800274,
                  0.1850418362066424,
                  0.33539683476358445,
                  0.3909212479073609
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2495352503192138,
                  0.19907454994431797,
                  0.43383873800717726,
                  0.1712263685129215,
                  0.22274899990451802,
                  0.20271925591935436,
                  0.3418104265124274,
                  0.3386852267172677
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.07503739756771,
                  15.839189430745524,
                  51.82824208073444,
                  15.77052061176578,
                  23.664757467630313,
                  15.76066263957468,
                  40.18775153038754,
                  43.02434965638234
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.51742288315328,
                  17.602067483896718,
                  66.72428457706202,
                  18.842687558036157,
                  25.490235640654245,
                  17.86439441677566,
                  41.38038268584848,
                  34.17883620329718
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.60023715234598,
                  15.361106093701812,
                  51.14852191975514,
                  15.330480116225402,
                  23.2127803706657,
                  15.186194377965304,
                  39.666771342999404,
                  42.60710508749289
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.32105586449988,
                  16.40570046524331,
                  65.52791755840862,
                  17.64632053938275,
                  24.293868622000836,
                  16.66802739812226,
                  40.184015667195084,
                  32.98246918464377
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42214262852585727,
              "rpss": 0.021092099468870362,
              "brier_below": 0.16101137060078993,
              "bss_below": 0.0016872129805172165,
              "brier_above": 0.26113124875524923,
              "bss_above": 0.032685477440745014,
              "crps": 28.643813851848538,
              "crpss": 0.05931766075338962,
              "crps_fair": 28.139149557643954,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0380985456502394
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4496831314241333,
                  0.3234045608159658,
                  0.32051836482336,
                  0.3793916431987869,
                  0.4585883935445113,
                  0.3148007564159239,
                  0.45787139397571786,
                  0.4136259404999114
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41878825306748607,
                  0.3532443184157963,
                  0.5497652319245143,
                  0.41409150225437374,
                  0.500554732533218,
                  0.3283216325296163,
                  0.5179393398216053,
                  0.38569804049108725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1503706953704514,
                  0.20635966322815807,
                  0.058169978942624524,
                  0.19388418394688314,
                  0.36032871147584256,
                  0.17235140923289619,
                  0.10105800524033916,
                  0.18339342207367432
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12324328915544643,
                  0.21087180444506454,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.20657791360422298,
                  0.38654922735379516,
                  0.1778652528005686,
                  0.11863830449786794,
                  0.1581566706892246
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.29931242222119014,
                  0.11704490752033304,
                  0.2623483566321409,
                  0.18550745952980072,
                  0.09825969781952971,
                  0.14244935830079924,
                  0.3568133613216387,
                  0.23023251396600694
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29554495080091303,
                  0.14237252824897006,
                  0.438654075489631,
                  0.20751359128025879,
                  0.11400552453007727,
                  0.15045639256177848,
                  0.39930100365958165,
                  0.22754136885072465
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.590596923326203,
                  15.33793038663121,
                  54.65665162351789,
                  22.16014095319329,
                  22.77373522677367,
                  15.707576718135533,
                  53.163712894129134,
                  24.44777742874752
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.40124575195562,
                  18.535452439061405,
                  96.88435708644411,
                  25.600608810810552,
                  26.457175781428862,
                  16.988995955173806,
                  61.64931906064567,
                  21.436898042938385
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  27.97732690035276,
                  14.80151009329035,
                  53.682475233810784,
                  21.639014967273898,
                  22.207376395232902,
                  15.11160960510588,
                  52.48328477089574,
                  23.95624324444347
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.012970318608165,
                  17.14717700571395,
                  95.49608165309667,
                  24.212333377463093,
                  25.06890034808142,
                  15.600720521826346,
                  60.26104362729821,
                  20.04862260959093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3897355230872888,
              "rpss": 0.10106059220381458,
              "brier_below": 0.17823950868885866,
              "bss_below": 0.04494099159941012,
              "brier_above": 0.21149600966392992,
              "bss_above": 0.14347619412572077,
              "crps": 29.604765269306807,
              "crpss": 0.19155198643968885,
              "crps_fair": 28.982355151300723,
              "crpss_fair": 0.1773616805902566
            }
          }
        },
        "SEL-A": {
          "criterion": "inner CRPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "dc",
            "1994": "dc",
            "1995": "dc",
            "1996": "dc",
            "1997": "dc",
            "1998": "dc",
            "1999": "dc",
            "2000": "dc",
            "2001": "dc",
            "2002": "dc",
            "2003": "dc",
            "2004": "dc",
            "2005": "dc",
            "2006": "dc",
            "2007": "dc",
            "2008": "dc",
            "2009": "dc",
            "2010": "dc",
            "2011": "dc",
            "2012": "dc",
            "2013": "dc",
            "2014": "dc",
            "2015": "dc",
            "2016": "dc"
          },
          "chosen_test": "dc",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 0,
            "vs": 0,
            "sqrt_mvs": 0,
            "pt": 0,
            "dc": 24,
            "loci": 0,
            "eqm": 0,
            "gqm": 0,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 0,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4727830832392254,
                  0.4181038540491596,
                  0.42749034303058886,
                  0.45294414082778056,
                  0.4407108468552534,
                  0.49398550159774207,
                  0.45059654253797365,
                  0.5691803147552106,
                  0.3832192955301973,
                  0.48061337112199337,
                  0.5548274855829087,
                  0.35313714685220043,
                  0.3908474457977185,
                  0.47401337449878306,
                  0.49940500849808545,
                  0.4571495118625067,
                  0.4073627091421082,
                  0.5471369852720969,
                  0.4484493601147886,
                  0.40355953893117397,
                  0.41952296936213695,
                  0.5321721350617419,
                  0.3615736875159429,
                  0.4003704607357519
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.43940389586261985,
                  0.4665815975343043,
                  0.4078016629257561,
                  0.5058326534107924,
                  0.5395139539081617,
                  0.49558246555093133,
                  0.4802715214492444,
                  0.4940433293404847,
                  0.3914621834757892,
                  0.4277164147133932,
                  0.5144532300877738,
                  0.3688788642452346,
                  0.45641496116615643,
                  0.4825359152593056,
                  0.4144568447211086,
                  0.4364608837118219,
                  0.42094222389547176,
                  0.4840252584820353,
                  0.4719586571698775,
                  0.40608224744207533,
                  0.407618183369595,
                  0.4985033807712113,
                  0.41838804437156996,
                  0.4537770988760395
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21245384796492764,
                  0.25420283328431426,
                  0.26938963640948504,
                  0.35278897392438696,
                  0.0886022620373221,
                  0.2030511630710255,
                  0.1679575580416661,
                  0.15319533455571893,
                  0.18499030783822973,
                  0.2677685444168316,
                  0.4196577077558901,
                  0.20929541544791197,
                  0.3005173392324728,
                  0.11656126475030512,
                  0.319246647737136,
                  0.1609926563669557,
                  0.16307537163716096,
                  0.38626880690753906,
                  0.28344827233868986,
                  0.2232182417051857,
                  0.14088156166101137,
                  0.13240937442816225,
                  0.14014109073385544,
                  0.28187835413542817
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.19457870756681286,
                  0.28338161161055664,
                  0.2603988151290453,
                  0.3801317890887892,
                  0.12139582486297858,
                  0.2083086937549171,
                  0.179673404168855,
                  0.13049409161286557,
                  0.18820422829035943,
                  0.23725297240826868,
                  0.3930574463474963,
                  0.2061208543150891,
                  0.32867257140426404,
                  0.12346043676030426,
                  0.28728118486517273,
                  0.14778867910296825,
                  0.17721343670206774,
                  0.3552785719779392,
                  0.29320090548610794,
                  0.22384930431748742,
                  0.13483308539642477,
                  0.12264454476536311,
                  0.165349012936125,
                  0.30321995858175416
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2603292349243916,
                  0.1639010218424441,
                  0.158100710740883,
                  0.10015517002443201,
                  0.35210858284289276,
                  0.29093433413109715,
                  0.2826389803685683,
                  0.41598497387267974,
                  0.19822898819936152,
                  0.21284482727311957,
                  0.13516978147400374,
                  0.14384173228098293,
                  0.09033010829313873,
                  0.3574521033706844,
                  0.1801583643707414,
                  0.29615685368758643,
                  0.24428733661870494,
                  0.16086818052807578,
                  0.16500109099491414,
                  0.18034129862032036,
                  0.278641404064567,
                  0.39976275277718726,
                  0.22143259795392284,
                  0.11849210803556207
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.244825188295807,
                  0.18319998592374737,
                  0.1474028477967109,
                  0.12570086432200342,
                  0.41811812904518303,
                  0.2872737717960143,
                  0.3005981172803895,
                  0.3635492377276191,
                  0.20325795518542972,
                  0.1904634423051245,
                  0.12139578374027739,
                  0.16275800993014544,
                  0.1277423897618922,
                  0.3590754784990013,
                  0.12717565985593585,
                  0.2886722046088535,
                  0.24372878719340413,
                  0.1287466865040958,
                  0.17875775168376942,
                  0.182232943124588,
                  0.2727850979731702,
                  0.3758588360058481,
                  0.2530390314354449,
                  0.15055714029428513
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.156711974329752,
                  20.128525442660347,
                  20.0471761232074,
                  21.08263162441143,
                  100.34791383356806,
                  34.821834645370004,
                  36.39893562920458,
                  44.402345442518445,
                  17.98796608265674,
                  22.365944010394887,
                  30.14152611368303,
                  20.243327167081393,
                  17.099413243222596,
                  36.898728175522066,
                  27.40449076018031,
                  25.98806970906356,
                  22.282965918473153,
                  31.473010573617,
                  24.09201648525932,
                  22.218948310258373,
                  22.27799625785594,
                  36.93122786477107,
                  22.598190259340296,
                  19.666721177379376
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.77074843142727,
                  22.60409869067204,
                  18.38031484850475,
                  25.959936518793185,
                  123.34118991059545,
                  35.588714164776064,
                  39.220907889439694,
                  39.49590059501811,
                  18.35094398856043,
                  19.018950574892433,
                  27.831563580748035,
                  21.968021793696813,
                  21.56629431892967,
                  37.55562250213345,
                  20.343092113101918,
                  25.75266643361196,
                  21.96609944248159,
                  25.58890298078945,
                  24.791989124537817,
                  21.665834698643923,
                  21.79847843728042,
                  34.8315441627334,
                  25.585209165511976,
                  22.091569801149358
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.164998230319693,
                  18.82974617825087,
                  18.74061708294945,
                  19.95023321511226,
                  98.95458420621574,
                  33.78263629253434,
                  35.17587268246084,
                  43.30338761951911,
                  16.767825458662074,
                  20.967818900325522,
                  28.824056723284833,
                  19.116290247893247,
                  16.03158164389377,
                  35.60582285565804,
                  25.956012207304738,
                  24.83419396521495,
                  20.999770616984918,
                  30.086291642865085,
                  22.82249927938401,
                  20.872925798259658,
                  21.05513269773502,
                  35.74521624332052,
                  20.900816262833246,
                  18.645409857876047
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.51064113159216,
                  21.34178182693399,
                  17.109998394156545,
                  24.703975408517493,
                  122.2696629923497,
                  34.35098937579959,
                  37.99006225524478,
                  38.26557578034132,
                  17.080571907583543,
                  17.74984365790482,
                  26.57914721869575,
                  20.704500238866018,
                  20.302011916608773,
                  36.321622918341355,
                  19.07649303993666,
                  24.496312766356763,
                  20.70257424683409,
                  24.33223915547966,
                  23.533815992682083,
                  20.40174081976945,
                  20.534635777607914,
                  33.59238533966214,
                  24.32853834433991,
                  20.828282238756913
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4516314630322112,
              "rpss": 0.004001795241153183,
              "brier_below": 0.22633302359923388,
              "bss_below": 0.002533620418222138,
              "brier_above": 0.2252984390537609,
              "bss_above": 0.005472368270663219,
              "crps": 29.33569236766788,
              "crpss": 0.02087697538976674,
              "crps_fair": 28.088905829535747,
              "crpss_fair": 0.021729069773261944
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3902151435992802,
                  0.41054590045845135,
                  0.3486111784428171,
                  0.37130886170318506,
                  0.4073050569630044,
                  0.3719383905849703,
                  0.3860126716678723,
                  0.6223534856351916,
                  0.4092488345769067,
                  0.4147918933072422,
                  0.5240927918684254,
                  0.3679841377642634,
                  0.42290160096564733,
                  0.509416664044432,
                  0.5332071428841132,
                  0.4991531082533224,
                  0.35021487977951987,
                  0.47649234755404013,
                  0.3971546661954728,
                  0.35736109014741263,
                  0.3482251514486518,
                  0.5462983620557528,
                  0.333387280429593,
                  0.43148940167934413
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4283784857114221,
                  0.426706305961757,
                  0.34466488699165887,
                  0.5130077270408857,
                  0.5410158863622896,
                  0.48132609845393376,
                  0.42143417390584187,
                  0.49961637384642854,
                  0.41822160564029737,
                  0.4024426800552632,
                  0.5388940294117011,
                  0.3853584913200236,
                  0.5182825785529102,
                  0.520890978389888,
                  0.44508072243200725,
                  0.47856087825017973,
                  0.3579810319851315,
                  0.4969649351160663,
                  0.42935647355424533,
                  0.3854220303157415,
                  0.34929101419438247,
                  0.47527063535536435,
                  0.48976956498879315,
                  0.5267262457793177
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.250677395269065,
                  0.1680774573213546,
                  0.1770246790265155,
                  0.30673993383971343,
                  0.08625306648656747,
                  0.28033160497760506,
                  0.2482425501981983,
                  0.16897843131370938,
                  0.19145653097705487,
                  0.13551274769507266,
                  0.41098072523566165,
                  0.2097353937278035,
                  0.3447176379743216,
                  0.11775556011670964,
                  0.34928903587085725,
                  0.13036081567123006,
                  0.14518241096394233,
                  0.3594762021604569,
                  0.17226180786815326,
                  0.12389449946551025,
                  0.13883561878225267,
                  0.14586572691535332,
                  0.0754035382563712,
                  0.34892403826616203
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.260916368370509,
                  0.18230982257127842,
                  0.1744601993170755,
                  0.3920247357664324,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.33810643785296296,
                  0.2628742416199158,
                  0.13479064363488874,
                  0.19259108021282037,
                  0.12944501007419143,
                  0.41791103813724767,
                  0.2209426899917617,
                  0.3972995872784568,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3150864593637269,
                  0.12256697767898699,
                  0.15807349465346632,
                  0.37120768576769203,
                  0.18695933477249566,
                  0.14105590686426853,
                  0.13688174505845058,
                  0.12416576635757047,
                  0.12574169593915657,
                  0.40415464577044424
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1395377492752568,
                  0.24246844243718213,
                  0.1715865022136625,
                  0.06456892852569847,
                  0.3210519910682414,
                  0.09160678634786268,
                  0.13777012206363876,
                  0.4533750492212424,
                  0.21779230091347293,
                  0.27927914387569147,
                  0.11311207051317439,
                  0.1582487454495252,
                  0.07818396432226517,
                  0.3916610963395386,
                  0.18391811091480284,
                  0.36879228765891225,
                  0.2050324695828877,
                  0.11701614830383161,
                  0.2248928577239695,
                  0.2334665894756671,
                  0.20938953257206364,
                  0.40043263206900626,
                  0.2579837434295395,
                  0.08256536612249447
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16746211734091326,
                  0.24439648339047856,
                  0.17020468767458338,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.42003289508783637,
                  0.1432196606009709,
                  0.15855993228592616,
                  0.3648257302115401,
                  0.22563052542747697,
                  0.27299766998107183,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.16441580132826192,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3999079871154346,
                  0.12999426306828057,
                  0.35599390057119296,
                  0.19990753733166522,
                  0.12575724934837454,
                  0.24239713878174965,
                  0.244366123451473,
                  0.21240926913593197,
                  0.3511048689977941,
                  0.36402786904963685,
                  0.12257160000887342
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.12902682040552,
                  25.903192324731954,
                  18.93962721523124,
                  21.37912119115658,
                  121.49525830487258,
                  25.027198272310287,
                  19.686348857372504,
                  59.35582786153885,
                  22.05569335596274,
                  22.22170242902413,
                  33.33471924494344,
                  22.921947099116785,
                  22.811816382643393,
                  53.18281200464959,
                  30.105807857982974,
                  37.289571983028644,
                  20.50817737944561,
                  32.553128216654166,
                  26.62223836847829,
                  25.17451148890793,
                  20.028593516789147,
                  37.76157347927968,
                  28.836335284222752,
                  25.096469608076795
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.638963822645973,
                  24.235290387642486,
                  18.424283296657233,
                  32.54717605456645,
                  156.90499273836357,
                  32.635277727606166,
                  21.537420350099357,
                  49.09575292416304,
                  22.525465304564662,
                  20.988002465707634,
                  34.61988384032085,
                  24.30789299289558,
                  29.701345919639383,
                  54.971641276234905,
                  22.842560447513375,
                  36.98644829813116,
                  18.957656403027976,
                  33.035212506102354,
                  28.03299847714953,
                  26.339484558745546,
                  20.084345939930547,
                  32.84079658873186,
                  39.9223127647239,
                  31.23869015810775
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.901906720493432,
                  24.059977082209706,
                  17.473160197553174,
                  20.233888629021386,
                  119.83443425470725,
                  23.925021028623938,
                  18.354690244946053,
                  58.17356700307137,
                  20.73172103027991,
                  20.739368231666848,
                  31.911209207123793,
                  21.450576554133907,
                  21.57353046093147,
                  51.68886512096846,
                  28.44662288404965,
                  35.927869201798686,
                  18.81792722145276,
                  31.188011921608357,
                  25.10270932133421,
                  23.574151913519675,
                  18.59058413576471,
                  36.444720986814424,
                  26.73514717963509,
                  23.829899278125357
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.16546441774922,
                  22.76670826790671,
                  16.94469548167337,
                  31.09433614253317,
                  155.68767899429207,
                  31.182604674802132,
                  20.063728628019742,
                  47.67425501377674,
                  21.053644879747303,
                  19.513270179453034,
                  33.170969511215155,
                  22.839448378093994,
                  28.243116177805117,
                  53.561271942272995,
                  21.37134058167887,
                  35.54201609868039,
                  17.47907876438195,
                  31.583296905530318,
                  26.57160898637116,
                  24.874887655242915,
                  18.60790218298319,
                  31.38851277619512,
                  38.48344091464168,
                  29.783372053088755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.426237918417038,
              "rpss": 0.05930792909781257,
              "brier_below": 0.21191572534915173,
              "bss_below": 0.06362001915432869,
              "brier_above": 0.21432219293415114,
              "bss_above": 0.05500502981942468,
              "crps": 32.1841957727844,
              "crpss": 0.07429549897221188,
              "crps_fair": 30.73789832540973,
              "crpss_fair": 0.07745557344441278
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4267361844352827,
                  0.36147204849976494,
                  0.49531482869223736,
                  0.33735375262412437,
                  0.46795195900990266,
                  0.31988668503024825,
                  0.477423432609618,
                  0.5685581180895035
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41226069330832904,
                  0.37346476202427337,
                  0.5449498935810108,
                  0.3668786910829554,
                  0.4702381054334581,
                  0.35149027409467,
                  0.4617153008948455,
                  0.4689090852917107
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1764951001679308,
                  0.1761449940856307,
                  0.10735295671700106,
                  0.19654146483417467,
                  0.2417513220300863,
                  0.13001591973247068,
                  0.13319845624189802,
                  0.17358512401886345
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.16272543810516465,
                  0.17439021621908166,
                  0.1111111177338495,
                  0.19565233168880328,
                  0.24748910543474462,
                  0.14877102166271772,
                  0.11990485299837937,
                  0.13022383774923363
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.25024107783591265,
                  0.18532705493141857,
                  0.3879618373609306,
                  0.14081229236980025,
                  0.22620063585445035,
                  0.18987077059231128,
                  0.3442249561602,
                  0.39497297208766946
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2495352503192138,
                  0.19907454994431797,
                  0.43383873800717726,
                  0.1712263685129215,
                  0.22274899990451802,
                  0.20271925591935436,
                  0.3418104265124274,
                  0.3386852267172677
                ],
                "crps": [
                  22.058261048144537,
                  16.136025185684822,
                  56.413968796650614,
                  16.061454206357013,
                  25.115956500436873,
                  16.70938749254542,
                  42.322456461876094,
                  41.8956084950051
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.51742288315328,
                  17.602067483896718,
                  66.72428457706202,
                  18.842687558036157,
                  25.490235640654245,
                  17.86439441677566,
                  41.38038268584848,
                  34.17883620329718
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.950245533119418,
                  15.092098151494941,
                  55.039496393720704,
                  15.049685661468187,
                  23.986994658013398,
                  15.375356879598835,
                  41.101992497269414,
                  40.92380154996454
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.32105586449988,
                  16.40570046524331,
                  65.52791755840862,
                  17.64632053938275,
                  24.293868622000836,
                  16.66802739812226,
                  40.184015667195084,
                  32.98246918464377
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43183712612383524,
              "rpss": -0.0013885022260597957,
              "brier_below": 0.16688566722850695,
              "bss_below": -0.03473496898286377,
              "brier_above": 0.2649514496490867,
              "bss_above": 0.0185342189402109,
              "crps": 29.589139773337557,
              "crpss": 0.028272514189592868,
              "crps_fair": 28.439958915581176,
              "crpss_fair": 0.027815755891825056
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4324178233981536,
                  0.3187577091470562,
                  0.35716914463573524,
                  0.3773603394883943,
                  0.45731493519201966,
                  0.3229884709004042,
                  0.4801307602862163,
                  0.4162442247247552
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41878825306748607,
                  0.3532443184157963,
                  0.5497652319245143,
                  0.41409150225437374,
                  0.500554732533218,
                  0.3283216325296163,
                  0.5179393398216053,
                  0.38569804049108725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13566914022135684,
                  0.2048592647543108,
                  0.070086585209948,
                  0.19661551607697478,
                  0.3605692720167003,
                  0.1777225120281018,
                  0.11360643287093157,
                  0.1860334972595856
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12324328915544643,
                  0.21087180444506454,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.20657791360422298,
                  0.38654922735379516,
                  0.1778652528005686,
                  0.11863830449786794,
                  0.1581566706892246
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2967486693547037,
                  0.11389845340262296,
                  0.28708252665892015,
                  0.18074482304641312,
                  0.09674567979797069,
                  0.1452659710035483,
                  0.36652429915278506,
                  0.23021072247566152
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29554495080091303,
                  0.14237252824897006,
                  0.438654075489631,
                  0.20751359128025879,
                  0.11400552453007727,
                  0.15045639256177848,
                  0.39930100365958165,
                  0.22754136885072465
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.090030525149523,
                  15.40579535279841,
                  65.77997179973585,
                  22.532471512526893,
                  23.375614522478738,
                  16.26661217606652,
                  57.2888909954651,
                  23.623072960497304
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.40124575195562,
                  18.535452439061405,
                  96.88435708644411,
                  25.600608810810552,
                  26.457175781428862,
                  16.988995955173806,
                  61.64931906064567,
                  21.436898042938385
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  24.792672333619866,
                  14.236301216333809,
                  63.80389235486144,
                  21.28208145790568,
                  22.09096326703902,
                  14.919080977393653,
                  55.738384673174544,
                  22.458662228154832
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.012970318608165,
                  17.14717700571395,
                  95.49608165309667,
                  24.212333377463093,
                  25.06890034808142,
                  15.600720521826346,
                  60.26104362729821,
                  20.04862260959093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.39529792597159186,
              "rpss": 0.08823070409115397,
              "brier_below": 0.1806452775547387,
              "bss_below": 0.03205018391939529,
              "brier_above": 0.21465264311157817,
              "bss_above": 0.13069235154341396,
              "crps": 31.295307480589795,
              "crpss": 0.14538659785717734,
              "crps_fair": 29.915254813560352,
              "crpss_fair": 0.15088215515718506
            }
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "Nov": {
      "tag": "init09_Nov",
      "methods": {
        "mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.3001554110686335,
            "training": [
              0.21322608767201467,
              0.3561242480578483,
              0.2743010570058041,
              0.3063475820116373,
              0.41599081302451085,
              0.3254236319332941,
              0.3199232336138452,
              0.2839417188996079,
              0.3121441576878917,
              0.26990033705229743,
              0.29207743642016903,
              0.27204361447869135,
              0.3069628348677577,
              0.327037793120503,
              0.27522430239416246,
              0.26361426579384545,
              0.2522024615378544,
              0.27489351159044517,
              0.30262766811283087,
              0.2574190193371855,
              0.31126152616832514,
              0.30526445798158225,
              0.3992042219631769,
              0.2865738849219238
            ],
            "test": 0.3060797542031295
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.6736325362896622,
                  0.36876188774183916,
                  0.529932419966123,
                  0.3972606152628498,
                  0.28077085002455415,
                  0.4173833880077639,
                  0.3598531537790735,
                  0.4355492681424776,
                  0.392062743548611,
                  0.48483121626054665,
                  0.3814315458225101,
                  0.49620719192200746,
                  0.4231478290980394,
                  0.4014903683506435,
                  0.4467432566669842,
                  0.5400806785689399,
                  0.4702620668712225,
                  0.5322369827313216,
                  0.4566184873150482,
                  0.40681723942717735,
                  0.45702305406549987,
                  0.3529355370588698,
                  0.3112815477813874,
                  0.42403080394499626
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5032688802503167,
                  0.4569625517973415,
                  0.4925766309533648,
                  0.42240641841789806,
                  0.5420235784464604,
                  0.4714149767747752,
                  0.4556059924381436,
                  0.42817838868602875,
                  0.46522974710940934,
                  0.4500155575006823,
                  0.37935719815657715,
                  0.46243591166738746,
                  0.43736789322801184,
                  0.4400525455006668,
                  0.4258969314341105,
                  0.47068205281177944,
                  0.4255615226829206,
                  0.4516170483571987,
                  0.49843662915678016,
                  0.4118910860457031,
                  0.4992304990769142,
                  0.37876171452360957,
                  0.4739156159423822,
                  0.43461082713119537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4726659313690766,
                  0.11595459234099931,
                  0.4033969402280121,
                  0.2147442922720443,
                  0.04854769657017765,
                  0.3121498246360809,
                  0.26623728843325867,
                  0.17878156285325064,
                  0.30210899472762265,
                  0.3291448962610452,
                  0.1934857539596129,
                  0.17315192090822373,
                  0.2279356527755696,
                  0.20332575714674156,
                  0.23556943061182106,
                  0.20915360371918953,
                  0.2946898712432502,
                  0.35448986695708284,
                  0.14321939721519478,
                  0.17344456046299106,
                  0.12462822186916768,
                  0.1582003360897353,
                  0.0677756002614791,
                  0.23430988569946748
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.35982023411904374,
                  0.14050564010422492,
                  0.3666492771595467,
                  0.2224183293858014,
                  0.12098299127445329,
                  0.3422215035731035,
                  0.320090552585692,
                  0.1769295283083219,
                  0.3334169292742277,
                  0.3079101155887398,
                  0.1851793660618082,
                  0.14592326795414162,
                  0.23390109051410934,
                  0.2104505639455176,
                  0.20611965607115396,
                  0.17490712668192288,
                  0.2843736386325201,
                  0.30537124030247026,
                  0.14850560429956033,
                  0.19196909984821953,
                  0.1397465773074753,
                  0.17498170367441346,
                  0.12816100681329473,
                  0.23184260041542798
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.20096660410819583,
                  0.252807296318465,
                  0.1265354753934989,
                  0.1825163215962428,
                  0.2322231499246402,
                  0.1052335599837316,
                  0.09361586455482204,
                  0.25676770575544594,
                  0.0899537471723195,
                  0.1556863149808608,
                  0.18794579027647862,
                  0.3230552790399072,
                  0.195212175621272,
                  0.19816461027197546,
                  0.2111738250058608,
                  0.33092707673239596,
                  0.17557219216898926,
                  0.1777471125299757,
                  0.3133990971908742,
                  0.23337268128245542,
                  0.33239483983095436,
                  0.19473519974925427,
                  0.24350594610911208,
                  0.1897209162814651
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1434486461312728,
                  0.31645691169311657,
                  0.12592735379381784,
                  0.1999880890320964,
                  0.4210405871720072,
                  0.1291934732016715,
                  0.13551543985245154,
                  0.25124886037770683,
                  0.13181281783518126,
                  0.1421054419119424,
                  0.1941778320947689,
                  0.3165126437132459,
                  0.20346680271390255,
                  0.2296019815551491,
                  0.21977727536295652,
                  0.2957749261298567,
                  0.14118788405040053,
                  0.14624580805472828,
                  0.3499310248572198,
                  0.21992198619748354,
                  0.3594839217694388,
                  0.20378001084919606,
                  0.3457546091290874,
                  0.20276822671576744
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.899209340276567,
                  19.279645799427232,
                  13.014493124319877,
                  11.338547451478679,
                  54.46972461798348,
                  9.40640388222052,
                  7.899111707760486,
                  13.881955252442005,
                  7.493568884068651,
                  13.50393178467886,
                  10.985348407577812,
                  21.740034250706643,
                  11.25917549822707,
                  15.301489848662996,
                  14.130240517975983,
                  26.36826867650673,
                  14.730005494939137,
                  19.39935967687413,
                  36.09622900570435,
                  16.619082846640328,
                  31.656205052922523,
                  10.744813712207996,
                  14.98423233691616,
                  10.86151383657329
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.135184264312578,
                  24.154741944627755,
                  13.513975384214499,
                  13.019917867610289,
                  81.16166334563184,
                  12.367477693926652,
                  13.495417433372651,
                  14.052082306153558,
                  10.595906526023086,
                  12.127650347789233,
                  11.316976354794287,
                  20.590965555492783,
                  12.388520865166832,
                  17.22695089343282,
                  13.534851767011492,
                  24.26260220678667,
                  11.569922704555122,
                  15.015778045845114,
                  39.494929356705285,
                  15.395164091308375,
                  33.640924854699655,
                  10.983328308869137,
                  19.38792314154612,
                  11.761768257139277
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  19.153942926218445,
                  18.21851471466464,
                  12.424593782604553,
                  10.765689569885534,
                  53.62449141208088,
                  8.77962160133733,
                  7.338418805132558,
                  13.389783082949172,
                  6.921230037599557,
                  12.73425183953403,
                  10.389321298646053,
                  21.117527011755595,
                  10.606561692114076,
                  14.542205553284008,
                  13.433966028782056,
                  25.794745338868132,
                  13.96733554853397,
                  18.68167552567017,
                  35.39753196999179,
                  15.863426672108504,
                  30.94229215099866,
                  10.109559627550164,
                  14.05726300480556,
                  10.283885370045317
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.317536543467577,
                  23.35796459817729,
                  12.697045070793552,
                  12.202051839195779,
                  80.47285365334993,
                  11.548375983365016,
                  12.678451972317543,
                  13.236171134630228,
                  9.77344956703739,
                  11.308094418769002,
                  10.495885058363076,
                  19.78743863254775,
                  11.56945900909618,
                  16.417052730597515,
                  12.717960992194332,
                  23.466029141135742,
                  10.74931047318028,
                  14.20169205564696,
                  38.727205395504946,
                  14.581796635287228,
                  32.862113763760696,
                  10.161605103260042,
                  18.582117729180727,
                  10.941519369614019
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4350143611936728,
              "rpss": 0.040188970028084525,
              "brier_below": 0.22654632827546228,
              "bss_below": 0.0027998363798567016,
              "brier_above": 0.2084680325782997,
              "bss_above": 0.07776594318391683,
              "crps": 17.710941291962147,
              "crpss": 0.08430091717442989,
              "crps_fair": 17.022409773548365,
              "crpss_fair": 0.08163445349373799,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.001976,
                    0.118653,
                    0.247439,
                    0.390567,
                    0.205188,
                    0.034765,
                    0.001412,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.089,
                    0.1596,
                    0.2517,
                    0.343,
                    0.4377,
                    0.5325,
                    0.6171,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.7042,
                    0.2812,
                    0.3238,
                    0.3134,
                    0.4334,
                    0.6256,
                    0.6824,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.029638,
                    0.222529,
                    0.432756,
                    0.230391,
                    0.075536,
                    0.00915,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1845,
                    0.2524,
                    0.3424,
                    0.4408,
                    0.5427,
                    0.623,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.213,
                    0.1954,
                    0.3062,
                    0.4553,
                    0.6719,
                    0.7959,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.8073074246094029,
                  0.3612803334221239,
                  0.44908084227201744,
                  0.3688407087052407,
                  0.2519320670106389,
                  0.391696117132296,
                  0.2969233606365171,
                  0.3532358813624105,
                  0.3605031567437402,
                  0.3901962839164682,
                  0.3403574580112927,
                  0.5391983243377821,
                  0.3690820526589812,
                  0.38873261448005214,
                  0.4224072392040528,
                  0.4443307985891183,
                  0.5142279674918745,
                  0.6930401158213415,
                  0.4466120519848204,
                  0.37537452944161337,
                  0.45769843314229247,
                  0.3316092916217324,
                  0.25581399807796146,
                  0.41920513035895496
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5345788934798844,
                  0.4969529944769454,
                  0.4649874784432427,
                  0.41318634913187524,
                  0.546313795678332,
                  0.4766642042122107,
                  0.47169819661801,
                  0.3818166879514013,
                  0.47064841190232937,
                  0.36582560814319875,
                  0.354596433655499,
                  0.5238068909793859,
                  0.42423555956814324,
                  0.47458557358541037,
                  0.4052259230358827,
                  0.43061974459188856,
                  0.4027224233638553,
                  0.5463137956783312,
                  0.5329121043837289,
                  0.33515957826149523,
                  0.5425588471307237,
                  0.3577876473332365,
                  0.5050822006578946,
                  0.40346036713634414
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.5826068267560213,
                  0.08311735432851192,
                  0.33441579614764366,
                  0.264937901622376,
                  0.040385959549027795,
                  0.29236280595143893,
                  0.24130200967049173,
                  0.23991177630176358,
                  0.2771867861788804,
                  0.2293722722042986,
                  0.1328838921900309,
                  0.13543022353055761,
                  0.2584822071837014,
                  0.11325386075780104,
                  0.16935290281962587,
                  0.21098758213851526,
                  0.3289363780557837,
                  0.5249385255297832,
                  0.10441444840875902,
                  0.151764251280055,
                  0.10600532582769898,
                  0.12064713259601544,
                  0.04833408078271595,
                  0.2822062298327559
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.41359590220543146,
                  0.1268854967685847,
                  0.33814805813719095,
                  0.27996356840395453,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.3514292535000652,
                  0.3496506429006213,
                  0.2388550695900949,
                  0.34166178514329076,
                  0.23093071395539494,
                  0.13757235619120822,
                  0.12205538687900032,
                  0.2819639840102135,
                  0.13806476563762554,
                  0.14568431899338546,
                  0.18489584470340845,
                  0.2812051027379592,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.17461254268602422,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.13651544485609332,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.25734411395433127
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22470059871531103,
                  0.2781629806598209,
                  0.1146650397920433,
                  0.10390280297557153,
                  0.21154610268406135,
                  0.09933330617690421,
                  0.05562135299835107,
                  0.11332410078494105,
                  0.08331636898803634,
                  0.1608240058055711,
                  0.20747356727279648,
                  0.40376811571824983,
                  0.11059984280938233,
                  0.2754787555137552,
                  0.2530543399007121,
                  0.2333432207234694,
                  0.1852915866700902,
                  0.16810158583645604,
                  0.3421976148704439,
                  0.22361027840855974,
                  0.3516931178066535,
                  0.2109621581266711,
                  0.2074799132524596,
                  0.13699889619445385
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.3700674977083606,
                  0.1268394203060519,
                  0.13322278072792096,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.12523495071214563,
                  0.12204755371738839,
                  0.1429616183613064,
                  0.12898662675903874,
                  0.13489489418780384,
                  0.21702407746429075,
                  0.4017515041003852,
                  0.14227157555792966,
                  0.3365208079477847,
                  0.2595416040424973,
                  0.24572389988847987,
                  0.12151732062589637,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.41192911310927527,
                  0.16054703557547098,
                  0.4215758558562699,
                  0.22127220247714316,
                  0.38409920938344094,
                  0.14611625318201296
                ],
                "crps": [
                  32.467321875205,
                  29.27095093170661,
                  17.473117548350828,
                  10.66357372550791,
                  85.78462391303655,
                  13.24506033582467,
                  8.884872079877393,
                  11.211370121494314,
                  10.30285495887337,
                  16.716929835318563,
                  15.258128869579428,
                  36.98988717151763,
                  11.910122899797843,
                  26.513446537243865,
                  18.779414118125146,
                  19.876147065746075,
                  20.911187006530305,
                  32.64513700225227,
                  61.201331507713746,
                  18.414830911439932,
                  52.382791515977694,
                  13.845949866278554,
                  19.525166144665633,
                  12.445563596801964
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  19.691370303217692,
                  38.00944837401189,
                  19.338876299585486,
                  13.469113551773622,
                  127.86859294734184,
                  18.589396676302037,
                  18.87593404459268,
                  13.530392159363533,
                  14.972743454915303,
                  14.253979231397004,
                  15.735341036927533,
                  36.064900095448124,
                  15.139963850338448,
                  31.19288106623586,
                  17.992353028164104,
                  19.696334263177114,
                  14.077232835128438,
                  24.747448096456132,
                  68.61073888811775,
                  12.55291522058674,
                  57.000851281138225,
                  14.391271226711636,
                  25.1312112496158,
                  12.811413514508557
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.436912551165435,
                  27.814136527617432,
                  16.64549155045625,
                  9.900773765459975,
                  84.59782436710113,
                  12.384128850029235,
                  8.102866022021171,
                  10.530491527414597,
                  9.489405262104592,
                  15.633158444463406,
                  14.463040992709603,
                  36.10563849688035,
                  11.034211070343645,
                  25.37832558410506,
                  17.839040612253534,
                  19.00787245185837,
                  19.833245903880748,
                  31.69562478198812,
                  60.23168051205217,
                  17.319215757003434,
                  51.39918149483587,
                  12.912878862802653,
                  18.053040477563187,
                  11.662624714423476
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  18.52395116853421,
                  36.87672256900793,
                  18.170789562622396,
                  12.289909839909377,
                  126.90605491615098,
                  17.41989047035546,
                  17.706970523055745,
                  12.351304505468207,
                  13.796387526958524,
                  13.076262007562349,
                  14.560429422573055,
                  34.92849143385597,
                  13.963924627676032,
                  30.04724509587627,
                  16.82171605773241,
                  18.528924529932958,
                  12.89918086433115,
                  23.58960486668408,
                  67.53597007272384,
                  11.371976284610398,
                  55.90409404224628,
                  13.21381402559538,
                  23.974094843997456,
                  11.63096415863434
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.417861924209697,
              "rpss": 0.07669614174657813,
              "brier_below": 0.2197181887351772,
              "bss_below": 0.030707990281257924,
              "brier_above": 0.1981437355285319,
              "bss_above": 0.12284422920090898,
              "crps": 24.86332414745272,
              "crpss": 0.10097997450532359,
              "crps_fair": 23.894617107522226,
              "crpss_fair": 0.09844203403162965,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.00029,
                    0.093302,
                    0.28945,
                    0.392311,
                    0.185528,
                    0.037147,
                    0.001973,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.089,
                    0.1805,
                    0.2503,
                    0.3419,
                    0.4361,
                    0.5329,
                    0.6126,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    1.0,
                    0.2539,
                    0.3239,
                    0.2774,
                    0.473,
                    0.8367,
                    0.963,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.023932,
                    0.215248,
                    0.392,
                    0.239897,
                    0.11418,
                    0.014743,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1857,
                    0.2501,
                    0.3422,
                    0.4438,
                    0.5447,
                    0.6232,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0428,
                    0.1085,
                    0.2982,
                    0.491,
                    0.6529,
                    0.7522,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3844284782724786,
                  0.5144034516845162,
                  0.41288276271348107,
                  0.35235793601575244,
                  0.4273281365580442,
                  0.4045184842872633,
                  0.32011221292666797,
                  0.5261615444440196
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3957447540292534,
                  0.4437047383669884,
                  0.5463112315335048,
                  0.36237074299741934,
                  0.43798493913098496,
                  0.3932407074853211,
                  0.5285945529473471,
                  0.42293902414021045
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.210237185156493,
                  0.2035801649683965,
                  0.0798368108087796,
                  0.21882656152422694,
                  0.2852768844137427,
                  0.24197660958724315,
                  0.08677461701777739,
                  0.20565345935477794
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21064168310452153,
                  0.1781065535964162,
                  0.11133273118470274,
                  0.2268505366779282,
                  0.2859739073831904,
                  0.2462520701941481,
                  0.13257909683196697,
                  0.14583204241235156
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17419129827118557,
                  0.3108232754577686,
                  0.3330459211933368,
                  0.13353138843260265,
                  0.1420512595197688,
                  0.16254188843760656,
                  0.23333757749485198,
                  0.3205080696681974
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18510307756215227,
                  0.2655981770143465,
                  0.4349784623050188,
                  0.13552022182301748,
                  0.15201104430253173,
                  0.14698865074398446,
                  0.3960154250387313,
                  0.2771069719137001
                ],
                "crps": [
                  10.382896482284814,
                  17.304534346901423,
                  30.147874795547693,
                  9.408526683997065,
                  11.062876186298084,
                  11.515661378609847,
                  48.23271406959728,
                  19.175974195693346
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  10.667830621192463,
                  14.95134985734363,
                  39.32110711359098,
                  9.155005345554997,
                  12.872793262651571,
                  10.763049268730294,
                  73.22981255372125,
                  15.764339864122904
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  10.0470772640201,
                  17.02915166140948,
                  29.729102462715755,
                  9.095441789362495,
                  10.79487276784335,
                  11.165980440691914,
                  47.783663736060156,
                  18.919884671802354
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  9.895516071070114,
                  14.17903530722128,
                  38.54879256346864,
                  8.382690795432643,
                  12.100478712529222,
                  9.990734718607943,
                  72.45749800359884,
                  14.992025314000559
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.41777412586277796,
              "rpss": 0.05344194999564911,
              "brier_below": 0.19152028660392967,
              "bss_below": 0.003516154322216636,
              "brier_above": 0.2262538348094148,
              "bss_above": 0.09195270478372086,
              "crps": 19.653882267366193,
              "crpss": 0.15795519761545107,
              "crps_fair": 19.3206468492382,
              "crpss_fair": 0.14390507500184502,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.126847,
                    0.201911,
                    0.367983,
                    0.237863,
                    0.064381,
                    0.001013,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.145,
                    0.2537,
                    0.356,
                    0.4469,
                    0.5323,
                    0.6263,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0859,
                    0.1513,
                    0.3222,
                    0.2808,
                    0.2555,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.056379,
                    0.359925,
                    0.366759,
                    0.104488,
                    0.070283,
                    0.041227,
                    0.000937,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1726,
                    0.2562,
                    0.3477,
                    0.4431,
                    0.5465,
                    0.6377,
                    0.7058,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5182,
                    0.3165,
                    0.3087,
                    0.4949,
                    0.9157,
                    0.9897,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.384945415951938,
                  0.3410210153033095,
                  0.2801755840155828,
                  0.3818858320817984,
                  0.4240344863628308,
                  0.4693488100354769,
                  0.1764139114613752,
                  0.4433285172373735
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40125751196759035,
                  0.38247387153027046,
                  0.5455702928662451,
                  0.3608387482495357,
                  0.5032562800825091,
                  0.4582563513417429,
                  0.5532043651857004,
                  0.38836007432288383
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11691470581822266,
                  0.23398441305689077,
                  0.048748472425501975,
                  0.2211641191147863,
                  0.33682610913273925,
                  0.32042848481640895,
                  0.026726462643708433,
                  0.21169797975419238
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11814387008700394,
                  0.2654940440266858,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.22455219994692469,
                  0.39214518221687406,
                  0.3289473855886335,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.16516928651467216
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2680307012832967,
                  0.10703661814818348,
                  0.2314270844056553,
                  0.16072172993025372,
                  0.0872083929933244,
                  0.1489203424862353,
                  0.14968743023733155,
                  0.23163053390240573
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.28311363099235315,
                  0.11697984632238867,
                  0.4344591371814749,
                  0.13628656366910488,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.129308982367292,
                  0.44209320813585196,
                  0.22319078763501846
                ],
                "crps": [
                  16.58554397606917,
                  10.92696213482085,
                  30.005850245625535,
                  14.511602413405088,
                  12.46722749415464,
                  17.464010728995454,
                  72.61960215263022,
                  18.487969855190975
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  17.127934378732938,
                  13.14691039605717,
                  50.002232946975184,
                  13.109652898302157,
                  17.71305578066709,
                  16.568276004836402,
                  124.03503473091268,
                  16.46381001417652
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  16.10222355807312,
                  10.518374807702662,
                  29.340485507306006,
                  14.040056894433233,
                  12.073121259336732,
                  16.982206914203953,
                  71.93514886126577,
                  18.098847871603237
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.023613765163336,
                  12.042589782487557,
                  48.89791233340558,
                  12.005332284732548,
                  16.60873516709748,
                  15.463955391266797,
                  122.93071411734311,
                  15.359489400606916
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3626441965562106,
              "rpss": 0.19260284799196092,
              "brier_below": 0.18956134334530633,
              "bss_below": 0.11661121058222046,
              "brier_above": 0.17308285417333577,
              "bss_above": 0.2621204890161577,
              "crps": 24.133596125111495,
              "crpss": 0.28004252630462323,
              "crps_fair": 23.63630820924059,
              "crpss_fair": 0.2708566003024927,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.146552,
                    0.231228,
                    0.436575,
                    0.167575,
                    0.01807,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1592,
                    0.254,
                    0.3519,
                    0.4424,
                    0.5197,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.003,
                    0.1608,
                    0.432,
                    0.4076,
                    0.8784,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.008571,
                    0.231727,
                    0.413061,
                    0.132972,
                    0.122077,
                    0.090049,
                    0.001542,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1846,
                    0.2667,
                    0.3479,
                    0.441,
                    0.5511,
                    0.639,
                    0.7053,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2301,
                    0.1329,
                    0.1865,
                    0.3974,
                    0.9531,
                    0.9976,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "ls": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.43419795314481463,
            "training": [
              0.37397472939637383,
              0.48507772723016296,
              0.3994435269780239,
              0.42555440911442727,
              0.5403586714303552,
              0.4422397209382849,
              0.45141831499986734,
              0.4226380031795015,
              0.45530803387289465,
              0.4142459212851444,
              0.42646511752735733,
              0.43031068045411064,
              0.4262359400956859,
              0.44157610827721405,
              0.4387581875376979,
              0.4030012834451453,
              0.38533529701295355,
              0.39277907522460004,
              0.4318185982178161,
              0.41338125158972744,
              0.4470210017578415,
              0.4311583449179798,
              0.520153909393642,
              0.4224970215987445
            ],
            "test": 0.45710356863537166
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.6182210705834443,
                  0.3816348213937052,
                  0.507396841288862,
                  0.4309120768802053,
                  0.3302710616494687,
                  0.4117758655046392,
                  0.3674569107870049,
                  0.45423500801835526,
                  0.3892075166334574,
                  0.43750482898660054,
                  0.3474149385335631,
                  0.467772254180824,
                  0.45541395692084014,
                  0.4066102462629833,
                  0.40702235683295374,
                  0.551134868850534,
                  0.47768495010800993,
                  0.5453589320525688,
                  0.46545106930347807,
                  0.4080082445724429,
                  0.45960452414833625,
                  0.35929527484342083,
                  0.342728980097335,
                  0.44342503182880544
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5032688802503167,
                  0.4569625517973415,
                  0.4925766309533648,
                  0.42240641841789806,
                  0.5420235784464604,
                  0.4714149767747752,
                  0.4556059924381436,
                  0.42817838868602875,
                  0.46522974710940934,
                  0.4500155575006823,
                  0.37935719815657715,
                  0.46243591166738746,
                  0.43736789322801184,
                  0.4400525455006668,
                  0.4258969314341105,
                  0.47068205281177944,
                  0.4255615226829206,
                  0.4516170483571987,
                  0.49843662915678016,
                  0.4118910860457031,
                  0.4992304990769142,
                  0.37876171452360957,
                  0.4739156159423822,
                  0.43461082713119537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4321815483910871,
                  0.11722080560307956,
                  0.3815015446618378,
                  0.24543926727538698,
                  0.06268150531262283,
                  0.3018905928474292,
                  0.26641069751421315,
                  0.20115356978877127,
                  0.2917746928348005,
                  0.28473317761164646,
                  0.15970569437050083,
                  0.14602858390708937,
                  0.2610859097061018,
                  0.20266727170347537,
                  0.1953546386361418,
                  0.22941894658870504,
                  0.3090945065168797,
                  0.37367954293171984,
                  0.14714937670116465,
                  0.1796485435162691,
                  0.12080542550491256,
                  0.16189881917133644,
                  0.08324119818488408,
                  0.2533828011325037
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.35982023411904374,
                  0.14050564010422492,
                  0.3666492771595467,
                  0.2224183293858014,
                  0.12098299127445329,
                  0.3422215035731035,
                  0.320090552585692,
                  0.1769295283083219,
                  0.3334169292742277,
                  0.3079101155887398,
                  0.1851793660618082,
                  0.14592326795414162,
                  0.23390109051410934,
                  0.2104505639455176,
                  0.20611965607115396,
                  0.17490712668192288,
                  0.2843736386325201,
                  0.30537124030247026,
                  0.14850560429956033,
                  0.19196909984821953,
                  0.1397465773074753,
                  0.17498170367441346,
                  0.12816100681329473,
                  0.23184260041542798
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.18603952167209484,
                  0.2644140159536584,
                  0.12589529381320877,
                  0.18547280918470394,
                  0.2675895524610612,
                  0.1098852708765414,
                  0.10104621338100779,
                  0.2530814388654543,
                  0.09743282327034247,
                  0.15277164815605762,
                  0.18770924317999704,
                  0.3217436746353262,
                  0.19432804680908283,
                  0.20394297463105365,
                  0.2116677172498726,
                  0.32171592302419577,
                  0.16859044107448226,
                  0.17167938738146568,
                  0.3183016975319685,
                  0.2283597023409771,
                  0.3387991021954046,
                  0.1973964546665823,
                  0.25948778098859526,
                  0.19004223011862398
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1434486461312728,
                  0.31645691169311657,
                  0.12592735379381784,
                  0.1999880890320964,
                  0.4210405871720072,
                  0.1291934732016715,
                  0.13551543985245154,
                  0.25124886037770683,
                  0.13181281783518126,
                  0.1421054419119424,
                  0.1941778320947689,
                  0.3165126437132459,
                  0.20346680271390255,
                  0.2296019815551491,
                  0.21977727536295652,
                  0.2957749261298567,
                  0.14118788405040053,
                  0.14624580805472828,
                  0.3499310248572198,
                  0.21992198619748354,
                  0.3594839217694388,
                  0.20378001084919606,
                  0.3457546091290874,
                  0.20276822671576744
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.967075853963006,
                  19.761809748712867,
                  13.390168161020002,
                  11.663658667268269,
                  55.448198729618035,
                  9.925586131234427,
                  8.192910950605352,
                  14.398879262968267,
                  7.56346183925973,
                  13.06979232947015,
                  10.649530281387408,
                  22.003398373113708,
                  11.937937551830183,
                  15.280795441488186,
                  13.613653910259105,
                  26.378411883941062,
                  15.085272838313283,
                  20.18367967856858,
                  36.676054464676724,
                  16.667879371873298,
                  32.65825799941781,
                  10.532655425552482,
                  13.908083054971122,
                  11.420261119530164
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.135184264312578,
                  24.154741944627755,
                  13.513975384214499,
                  13.019917867610289,
                  81.16166334563184,
                  12.367477693926652,
                  13.495417433372651,
                  14.052082306153558,
                  10.595906526023086,
                  12.127650347789233,
                  11.316976354794287,
                  20.590965555492783,
                  12.388520865166832,
                  17.22695089343282,
                  13.534851767011492,
                  24.26260220678667,
                  11.569922704555122,
                  15.015778045845114,
                  39.494929356705285,
                  15.395164091308375,
                  33.640924854699655,
                  10.983328308869137,
                  19.38792314154612,
                  11.761768257139277
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  19.24309848693241,
                  18.77817750700437,
                  12.821936111613955,
                  11.108119653162984,
                  54.590278688696635,
                  9.326967168349299,
                  7.647590646111289,
                  13.937200104676267,
                  7.015875979751616,
                  12.33690863880254,
                  10.075020453101434,
                  21.426138800331707,
                  11.314599023445481,
                  14.579850400618673,
                  12.937915017632216,
                  25.834470282955277,
                  14.356024306162015,
                  19.487246274150603,
                  36.007365935575045,
                  15.959984778986927,
                  31.98005517799765,
                  9.933173218607797,
                  13.053823605083497,
                  10.866682238226039
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.317536543467577,
                  23.35796459817729,
                  12.697045070793552,
                  12.202051839195779,
                  80.47285365334993,
                  11.548375983365016,
                  12.678451972317543,
                  13.236171134630228,
                  9.77344956703739,
                  11.308094418769002,
                  10.495885058363076,
                  19.78743863254775,
                  11.56945900909618,
                  16.417052730597515,
                  12.717960992194332,
                  23.466029141135742,
                  10.74931047318028,
                  14.20169205564696,
                  38.727205395504946,
                  14.581796635287228,
                  32.862113763760696,
                  10.161605103260042,
                  18.582117729180727,
                  10.941519369614019
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4360642345942432,
              "rpss": 0.03787254059532619,
              "brier_below": 0.22533952751718997,
              "bss_below": 0.008111870888501627,
              "brier_above": 0.2107247068109066,
              "bss_above": 0.06778272510146244,
              "crps": 17.932392211210132,
              "crpss": 0.07285136176664986,
              "crps_fair": 17.275770937415654,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06796552137344491,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.078987,
                    0.331804,
                    0.357807,
                    0.189969,
                    0.039984,
                    0.001449,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1764,
                    0.2523,
                    0.3506,
                    0.4451,
                    0.5255,
                    0.6178,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3108,
                    0.275,
                    0.3633,
                    0.4547,
                    0.4188,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004287,
                    0.250929,
                    0.490365,
                    0.202408,
                    0.04944,
                    0.002404,
                    0.000167,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1854,
                    0.2638,
                    0.3488,
                    0.4432,
                    0.5334,
                    0.6317,
                    0.7063,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2816,
                    0.198,
                    0.323,
                    0.4873,
                    0.7358,
                    0.3496,
                    0.5003,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.7856078358084027,
                  0.36800291569391747,
                  0.4809323542479041,
                  0.3997302614990653,
                  0.3007409403729879,
                  0.43298515642761465,
                  0.3522440623960366,
                  0.3722810550810439,
                  0.42250383613903325,
                  0.3692117847254325,
                  0.31366618171390825,
                  0.5021001173509857,
                  0.3942162629349138,
                  0.3827586864039191,
                  0.386398577478465,
                  0.43759218300892944,
                  0.5035395961761173,
                  0.7251043213985119,
                  0.43743604083557425,
                  0.35038680030730807,
                  0.45332261425234754,
                  0.3068230995005917,
                  0.28653849268467296,
                  0.43348230847333474
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5345788934798844,
                  0.4969529944769454,
                  0.4649874784432427,
                  0.41318634913187524,
                  0.546313795678332,
                  0.4766642042122107,
                  0.47169819661801,
                  0.3818166879514013,
                  0.47064841190232937,
                  0.36582560814319875,
                  0.354596433655499,
                  0.5238068909793859,
                  0.42423555956814324,
                  0.47458557358541037,
                  0.4052259230358827,
                  0.43061974459188856,
                  0.4027224233638553,
                  0.5463137956783312,
                  0.5329121043837289,
                  0.33515957826149523,
                  0.5425588471307237,
                  0.3577876473332365,
                  0.5050822006578946,
                  0.40346036713634414
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.5871780043473525,
                  0.07487224824516084,
                  0.366716572655885,
                  0.2930984534906669,
                  0.049855925519796326,
                  0.33027821470874663,
                  0.28597628861555074,
                  0.2550277234326576,
                  0.3316799670429656,
                  0.2153531136397433,
                  0.10485982869045149,
                  0.10023370213809583,
                  0.2804465024324983,
                  0.09830509110045545,
                  0.13531734402614465,
                  0.20424678113530323,
                  0.3335443170098914,
                  0.5673310848512156,
                  0.0832122529845993,
                  0.1455073916433447,
                  0.08740158148234523,
                  0.09614839719009785,
                  0.05186502362788509,
                  0.2966369421002536
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.41359590220543146,
                  0.1268854967685847,
                  0.33814805813719095,
                  0.27996356840395453,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.3514292535000652,
                  0.3496506429006213,
                  0.2388550695900949,
                  0.34166178514329076,
                  0.23093071395539494,
                  0.13757235619120822,
                  0.12205538687900032,
                  0.2819639840102135,
                  0.13806476563762554,
                  0.14568431899338546,
                  0.18489584470340845,
                  0.2812051027379592,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.17461254268602422,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.13651544485609332,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.25734411395433127
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.19842983214833682,
                  0.2931306683927213,
                  0.1142157789011681,
                  0.10663180654541814,
                  0.25088501089498505,
                  0.10270693870412276,
                  0.06626777521782964,
                  0.11725333175862712,
                  0.09082386764211002,
                  0.15385866815603344,
                  0.20880635418312887,
                  0.4018664229606728,
                  0.11376975902232256,
                  0.2844535963844148,
                  0.2510812359631488,
                  0.23334540523768574,
                  0.16999527773965606,
                  0.1577732351519605,
                  0.35422379521773045,
                  0.2048794085300015,
                  0.36592103753357397,
                  0.2106747019722341,
                  0.23467346560718558,
                  0.13684536487313778
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.3700674977083606,
                  0.1268394203060519,
                  0.13322278072792096,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.12523495071214563,
                  0.12204755371738839,
                  0.1429616183613064,
                  0.12898662675903874,
                  0.13489489418780384,
                  0.21702407746429075,
                  0.4017515041003852,
                  0.14227157555792966,
                  0.3365208079477847,
                  0.2595416040424973,
                  0.24572389988847987,
                  0.12151732062589637,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.41192911310927527,
                  0.16054703557547098,
                  0.4215758558562699,
                  0.22127220247714316,
                  0.38409920938344094,
                  0.14611625318201296
                ],
                "crps": [
                  33.101874623688815,
                  29.61840530874396,
                  18.629786958931966,
                  10.874503392126226,
                  89.70215913145215,
                  14.595239211022937,
                  9.35857164022403,
                  11.880674432672228,
                  11.045459742475837,
                  16.168215534103364,
                  14.143157958388462,
                  36.87937946958597,
                  12.391307414663634,
                  26.05763229576729,
                  17.4046680502029,
                  19.01243190214712,
                  20.994710610252792,
                  34.35471500572389,
                  62.55883419889083,
                  17.244772144305443,
                  53.971883899221936,
                  12.547950638217241,
                  16.60905027632888,
                  12.827093069106343
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  19.691370303217692,
                  38.00944837401189,
                  19.338876299585486,
                  13.469113551773622,
                  127.86859294734184,
                  18.589396676302037,
                  18.87593404459268,
                  13.530392159363533,
                  14.972743454915303,
                  14.253979231397004,
                  15.735341036927533,
                  36.064900095448124,
                  15.139963850338448,
                  31.19288106623586,
                  17.992353028164104,
                  19.696334263177114,
                  14.077232835128438,
                  24.747448096456132,
                  68.61073888811775,
                  12.55291522058674,
                  57.000851281138225,
                  14.391271226711636,
                  25.1312112496158,
                  12.811413514508557
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  32.183565339460486,
                  28.38537106495604,
                  17.89113084626065,
                  10.199953809158142,
                  88.63023199410338,
                  13.83606665050198,
                  8.656296812837452,
                  11.289438409596007,
                  10.326062035507732,
                  15.231706634933191,
                  13.45737932537903,
                  36.12933173988497,
                  11.62946705922025,
                  25.10288153885897,
                  16.583523322959916,
                  18.243968777637388,
                  20.052254797378524,
                  33.50059551494864,
                  61.700708392049634,
                  16.294411767598707,
                  53.13132300530666,
                  11.74241597719334,
                  15.370058975283627,
                  12.156048563552275
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  18.52395116853421,
                  36.87672256900793,
                  18.170789562622396,
                  12.289909839909377,
                  126.90605491615098,
                  17.41989047035546,
                  17.706970523055745,
                  12.351304505468207,
                  13.796387526958524,
                  13.076262007562349,
                  14.560429422573055,
                  34.92849143385597,
                  13.963924627676032,
                  30.04724509587627,
                  16.82171605773241,
                  18.528924529932958,
                  12.89918086433115,
                  23.58960486668408,
                  67.53597007272384,
                  11.371976284610398,
                  55.90409404224628,
                  13.21381402559538,
                  23.974094843997456,
                  11.63096415863434
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42490022853795906,
              "rpss": 0.06114436934200507,
              "brier_below": 0.22396219800462946,
              "bss_below": 0.01198544255895484,
              "brier_above": 0.2009380307807586,
              "bss_above": 0.11047425848611836,
              "crps": 25.08218653784351,
              "crpss": 0.09306624299371835,
              "crps_fair": 24.238508014773625,
              "crpss_fair": 0.08546682771376046,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.138251,
                    0.475053,
                    0.300928,
                    0.075101,
                    0.010667,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.176,
                    0.2498,
                    0.3464,
                    0.4429,
                    0.5303,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.321,
                    0.2892,
                    0.367,
                    0.6052,
                    0.9041,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004083,
                    0.246748,
                    0.437829,
                    0.234578,
                    0.07581,
                    0.000952,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1872,
                    0.2628,
                    0.3499,
                    0.4469,
                    0.5323,
                    0.607,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.1068,
                    0.3367,
                    0.4859,
                    0.7454,
                    0.4633,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.36618155100602656,
                  0.5160776193316874,
                  0.4434905398577035,
                  0.35858964699115914,
                  0.43995746117485846,
                  0.4193025296335896,
                  0.34740839756264347,
                  0.504197769020792
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3957447540292534,
                  0.4437047383669884,
                  0.5463112315335048,
                  0.36237074299741934,
                  0.43798493913098496,
                  0.3932407074853211,
                  0.5285945529473471,
                  0.42293902414021045
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1907855035833952,
                  0.21745520755275446,
                  0.09188013435090421,
                  0.2250458875474568,
                  0.296398901563355,
                  0.2611539671273481,
                  0.08609337112984626,
                  0.1949157345110341
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21064168310452153,
                  0.1781065535964162,
                  0.11133273118470274,
                  0.2268505366779282,
                  0.2859739073831904,
                  0.2462520701941481,
                  0.13257909683196697,
                  0.14583204241235156
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17539605333785813,
                  0.2986224016482719,
                  0.351610372061727,
                  0.13354377392765618,
                  0.14355856881684292,
                  0.15814857645315275,
                  0.2613150053105402,
                  0.309282021122611
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18510307756215227,
                  0.2655981770143465,
                  0.4349784623050188,
                  0.13552022182301748,
                  0.15201104430253173,
                  0.14698865074398446,
                  0.3960154250387313,
                  0.2771069719137001
                ],
                "crps": [
                  9.909081295390576,
                  17.367022922755783,
                  31.016371209876763,
                  9.329916402847436,
                  11.787183068306051,
                  11.895556803701874,
                  53.08188043808085,
                  19.033753953083558
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  10.667830621192463,
                  14.95134985734363,
                  39.32110711359098,
                  9.155005345554997,
                  12.872793262651571,
                  10.763049268730294,
                  73.22981255372125,
                  15.764339864122904
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  9.591109370598549,
                  17.106081364557987,
                  30.63205404058011,
                  9.036117400487319,
                  11.53026320593431,
                  11.560818303829121,
                  52.669389313460634,
                  18.79141604435601
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  9.895516071070114,
                  14.17903530722128,
                  38.54879256346864,
                  8.382690795432643,
                  12.100478712529222,
                  9.990734718607943,
                  72.45749800359884,
                  14.992025314000559
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42440068932230757,
              "rpss": 0.03842803075512946,
              "brier_below": 0.19546608842076177,
              "bss_below": -0.017013930706585523,
              "brier_above": 0.2289345965848325,
              "bss_above": 0.08119373364257865,
              "crps": 20.427595761755363,
              "crpss": 0.12480645796074386,
              "crps_fair": 20.114656130475502,
              "crpss_fair": 0.10872264444592983,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.1018,
                    0.236051,
                    0.34801,
                    0.260537,
                    0.051927,
                    0.001675,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1795,
                    0.2544,
                    0.3473,
                    0.4449,
                    0.534,
                    0.6131,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0607,
                    0.202,
                    0.3083,
                    0.2874,
                    0.1389,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.021183,
                    0.339371,
                    0.445225,
                    0.117758,
                    0.071108,
                    0.005355,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1895,
                    0.261,
                    0.3414,
                    0.4457,
                    0.5479,
                    0.6135,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5262,
                    0.3422,
                    0.3073,
                    0.6529,
                    0.9609,
                    0.9062,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.36586895419032367,
                  0.35508557809603775,
                  0.3202031594418438,
                  0.3697752190487858,
                  0.4833687637581852,
                  0.48486497706584414,
                  0.2341447176481115,
                  0.4009588955704767
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40125751196759035,
                  0.38247387153027046,
                  0.5455702928662451,
                  0.3608387482495357,
                  0.5032562800825091,
                  0.4582563513417429,
                  0.5532043651857004,
                  0.38836007432288383
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.09473117383486786,
                  0.24705986577948177,
                  0.04860080158139341,
                  0.21701771901912492,
                  0.3920014201879787,
                  0.34217339818992915,
                  0.03428691684507125,
                  0.17290053836832264
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11814387008700394,
                  0.2654940440266858,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.22455219994692469,
                  0.39214518221687406,
                  0.3289473855886335,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.16516928651467216
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.27113777134304096,
                  0.10802572918311991,
                  0.27160232802951645,
                  0.1527575160973441,
                  0.0913673610169465,
                  0.14269159634286457,
                  0.1998577780357885,
                  0.22805835474518976
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.28311363099235315,
                  0.11697984632238867,
                  0.4344591371814749,
                  0.13628656366910488,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.129308982367292,
                  0.44209320813585196,
                  0.22319078763501846
                ],
                "crps": [
                  15.434750350784697,
                  10.567175822262534,
                  31.325472844068987,
                  13.978878992731367,
                  13.545989289878392,
                  17.936470198493137,
                  83.37254569659406,
                  17.190973705914107
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  17.127934378732938,
                  13.14691039605717,
                  50.002232946975184,
                  13.109652898302157,
                  17.71305578066709,
                  16.568276004836402,
                  124.03503473091268,
                  16.46381001417652
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  15.015716627577328,
                  10.206819041024197,
                  30.76020273071875,
                  13.567619058463134,
                  13.196957397989772,
                  17.513793840755977,
                  82.79407177105922,
                  16.844406484121368
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.023613765163336,
                  12.042589782487557,
                  48.89791233340558,
                  12.005332284732548,
                  16.60873516709748,
                  15.463955391266797,
                  122.93071411734311,
                  15.359489400606916
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3767837831024511,
              "rpss": 0.16112223416601712,
              "brier_below": 0.1935964792257712,
              "bss_below": 0.0978067764203101,
              "brier_above": 0.18318730434922637,
              "bss_above": 0.21904362394967336,
              "crps": 25.41903211259091,
              "crpss": 0.24169518505696552,
              "crps_fair": 24.98744836896372,
              "crpss_fair": 0.22917602477406884,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.203646,
                    0.354504,
                    0.359673,
                    0.082177,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1778,
                    0.255,
                    0.3389,
                    0.4369,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0453,
                    0.2707,
                    0.4358,
                    0.5901,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000878,
                    0.193683,
                    0.499519,
                    0.153207,
                    0.142137,
                    0.010576,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1989,
                    0.2694,
                    0.3439,
                    0.4499,
                    0.5491,
                    0.6095,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2497,
                    0.126,
                    0.1952,
                    0.6306,
                    0.9922,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "vs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.2988540661004247,
            "training": [
              0.21315245715712458,
              0.35217486334477804,
              0.27446480649319976,
              0.3060780934794304,
              0.40858302693248044,
              0.32604514581473154,
              0.3142414446417283,
              0.2889537941551982,
              0.3019880523805304,
              0.27014976314329847,
              0.2933007853558781,
              0.27477202853604665,
              0.30547950021834164,
              0.32933144031775363,
              0.26839441250556534,
              0.26204850305699967,
              0.25181363065142887,
              0.27699527810487806,
              0.3027907153951136,
              0.25533590987356486,
              0.315131524847737,
              0.30380457007319334,
              0.39903307372924257,
              0.27843476620194885
            ],
            "test": 0.3050484411931167
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.6706869471184265,
                  0.36903691750747336,
                  0.5310105216582599,
                  0.3964796722391818,
                  0.27739477587787054,
                  0.41728681417502017,
                  0.35660178727794695,
                  0.43441069838462965,
                  0.3878964609513814,
                  0.48537208833584145,
                  0.3833483017902492,
                  0.4965783990469854,
                  0.4229205095695068,
                  0.40402398204912976,
                  0.4478090531878323,
                  0.5387542126594229,
                  0.4687972866365136,
                  0.5281850364211883,
                  0.4581145976810917,
                  0.40504581078669605,
                  0.4577368325414797,
                  0.3539230337279077,
                  0.31175046978842863,
                  0.4229451887121235
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5032688802503167,
                  0.4569625517973415,
                  0.4925766309533648,
                  0.42240641841789806,
                  0.5420235784464604,
                  0.4714149767747752,
                  0.4556059924381436,
                  0.42817838868602875,
                  0.46522974710940934,
                  0.4500155575006823,
                  0.37935719815657715,
                  0.46243591166738746,
                  0.43736789322801184,
                  0.4400525455006668,
                  0.4258969314341105,
                  0.47068205281177944,
                  0.4255615226829206,
                  0.4516170483571987,
                  0.49843662915678016,
                  0.4118910860457031,
                  0.4992304990769142,
                  0.37876171452360957,
                  0.4739156159423822,
                  0.43461082713119537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4694614698228535,
                  0.11629777539246393,
                  0.4045413031052998,
                  0.21403615002883494,
                  0.04672260247302955,
                  0.3118605920645371,
                  0.2633334725877505,
                  0.1779001594128718,
                  0.29855191503252865,
                  0.32941539393258396,
                  0.19520942251602716,
                  0.17361995883769407,
                  0.22767269658741932,
                  0.2056768994042588,
                  0.2366221445870105,
                  0.20823357719674776,
                  0.2930097817190903,
                  0.35055365268529187,
                  0.1446409333633684,
                  0.17108681010984728,
                  0.12511688677762442,
                  0.15897235682464816,
                  0.06808649494516317,
                  0.23317548242151256
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.35982023411904374,
                  0.14050564010422492,
                  0.3666492771595467,
                  0.2224183293858014,
                  0.12098299127445329,
                  0.3422215035731035,
                  0.320090552585692,
                  0.1769295283083219,
                  0.3334169292742277,
                  0.3079101155887398,
                  0.1851793660618082,
                  0.14592326795414162,
                  0.23390109051410934,
                  0.2104505639455176,
                  0.20611965607115396,
                  0.17490712668192288,
                  0.2843736386325201,
                  0.30537124030247026,
                  0.14850560429956033,
                  0.19196909984821953,
                  0.1397465773074753,
                  0.17498170367441346,
                  0.12816100681329473,
                  0.23184260041542798
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.20122547645942523,
                  0.2527391432029104,
                  0.12646921416637708,
                  0.1824435207873052,
                  0.23067216982841035,
                  0.10542621867603041,
                  0.09326831388012878,
                  0.2565105391815279,
                  0.08934454449322875,
                  0.1559566893546262,
                  0.188138877534673,
                  0.32295844821254954,
                  0.19524781207341854,
                  0.19834708154771438,
                  0.2111869075209785,
                  0.3305206376401887,
                  0.17578750124485676,
                  0.1776313804964101,
                  0.31347367140630156,
                  0.2339590030266824,
                  0.33261995329005684,
                  0.19495067559247412,
                  0.24366397326398254,
                  0.18976970423679737
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1434486461312728,
                  0.31645691169311657,
                  0.12592735379381784,
                  0.1999880890320964,
                  0.4210405871720072,
                  0.1291934732016715,
                  0.13551543985245154,
                  0.25124886037770683,
                  0.13181281783518126,
                  0.1421054419119424,
                  0.1941778320947689,
                  0.3165126437132459,
                  0.20346680271390255,
                  0.2296019815551491,
                  0.21977727536295652,
                  0.2957749261298567,
                  0.14118788405040053,
                  0.14624580805472828,
                  0.3499310248572198,
                  0.21992198619748354,
                  0.3594839217694388,
                  0.20378001084919606,
                  0.3457546091290874,
                  0.20276822671576744
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.882459976837776,
                  19.440639537122138,
                  12.980630326250449,
                  11.366482639874036,
                  54.50364883381346,
                  9.387495373874406,
                  7.898487153437395,
                  13.91672356363511,
                  7.522946603094015,
                  13.508294838013782,
                  11.075621618164712,
                  21.78594649764771,
                  11.292827311014856,
                  15.387955656315063,
                  14.232395522523193,
                  26.458909007831593,
                  14.746657663119175,
                  19.319335273076817,
                  36.06138630994123,
                  16.78431623401662,
                  31.63957162344242,
                  10.817563519261142,
                  15.302195691902703,
                  10.862906332180897
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.135184264312578,
                  24.154741944627755,
                  13.513975384214499,
                  13.019917867610289,
                  81.16166334563184,
                  12.367477693926652,
                  13.495417433372651,
                  14.052082306153558,
                  10.595906526023086,
                  12.127650347789233,
                  11.316976354794287,
                  20.590965555492783,
                  12.388520865166832,
                  17.22695089343282,
                  13.534851767011492,
                  24.26260220678667,
                  11.569922704555122,
                  15.015778045845114,
                  39.494929356705285,
                  15.395164091308375,
                  33.640924854699655,
                  10.983328308869137,
                  19.38792314154612,
                  11.761768257139277
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  19.12776388619174,
                  18.362982805862472,
                  12.385246601468502,
                  10.789072897805303,
                  53.659112312112846,
                  8.754761621645915,
                  7.333373345518956,
                  13.419994051484588,
                  6.945860409523633,
                  12.729656247718934,
                  10.474843355986195,
                  21.157751804387367,
                  10.63241238916555,
                  14.61778739015226,
                  13.530433527949496,
                  25.880333419781778,
                  13.972308758723809,
                  18.59472345550364,
                  35.358450092433124,
                  16.019759312486855,
                  30.92068242841803,
                  10.173889118946013,
                  14.354026396163157,
                  10.278512886961487
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.317536543467577,
                  23.35796459817729,
                  12.697045070793552,
                  12.202051839195779,
                  80.47285365334993,
                  11.548375983365016,
                  12.678451972317543,
                  13.236171134630228,
                  9.77344956703739,
                  11.308094418769002,
                  10.495885058363076,
                  19.78743863254775,
                  11.56945900909618,
                  16.417052730597515,
                  12.717960992194332,
                  23.466029141135742,
                  10.74931047318028,
                  14.20169205564696,
                  38.727205395504946,
                  14.581796635287228,
                  32.862113763760696,
                  10.161605103260042,
                  18.582117729180727,
                  10.941519369614019
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43442122492185775,
              "rpss": 0.041497659549051935,
              "brier_below": 0.2259915804928524,
              "bss_below": 0.00524169709681277,
              "brier_above": 0.20842964404654396,
              "bss_above": 0.0779357687966904,
              "crps": 17.75730821276628,
              "crpss": 0.08190363370124376,
              "crps_fair": 17.06140577151632,
              "crpss_fair": 0.07953060442290616,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.001863,
                    0.115422,
                    0.249696,
                    0.390408,
                    0.207057,
                    0.034085,
                    0.00147,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.089,
                    0.1589,
                    0.2516,
                    0.3433,
                    0.4376,
                    0.5342,
                    0.6142,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.6863,
                    0.2775,
                    0.3237,
                    0.3134,
                    0.4312,
                    0.6457,
                    0.7714,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.03365,
                    0.218457,
                    0.432823,
                    0.230446,
                    0.075531,
                    0.009092,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1858,
                    0.253,
                    0.3424,
                    0.4409,
                    0.5439,
                    0.6249,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1876,
                    0.199,
                    0.3064,
                    0.4559,
                    0.6697,
                    0.7885,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.8001727064255985,
                  0.3629592393339025,
                  0.44840644457283424,
                  0.3663713142366814,
                  0.24915039705734615,
                  0.3897137220615887,
                  0.2895626139136365,
                  0.35461622783524405,
                  0.3523751870239084,
                  0.39291095213909477,
                  0.3440347612095961,
                  0.5423171952268174,
                  0.36577323375014653,
                  0.39250281571293955,
                  0.4254482094103765,
                  0.44505144498505783,
                  0.5085149982558221,
                  0.683279838226225,
                  0.44904655481866257,
                  0.376638235422742,
                  0.4595873109578422,
                  0.3348950994848751,
                  0.25769761633452964,
                  0.4157714685817128
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5345788934798844,
                  0.4969529944769454,
                  0.4649874784432427,
                  0.41318634913187524,
                  0.546313795678332,
                  0.4766642042122107,
                  0.47169819661801,
                  0.3818166879514013,
                  0.47064841190232937,
                  0.36582560814319875,
                  0.354596433655499,
                  0.5238068909793859,
                  0.42423555956814324,
                  0.47458557358541037,
                  0.4052259230358827,
                  0.43061974459188856,
                  0.4027224233638553,
                  0.5463137956783312,
                  0.5329121043837289,
                  0.33515957826149523,
                  0.5425588471307237,
                  0.3577876473332365,
                  0.5050822006578946,
                  0.40346036713634414
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.5751538918275519,
                  0.08489992606663699,
                  0.3336696581907043,
                  0.2624601302734714,
                  0.03970954159269875,
                  0.2901872387502475,
                  0.23436849899809567,
                  0.24100289869597322,
                  0.26956573602168826,
                  0.23178878719004167,
                  0.1365965203190203,
                  0.1382425471524252,
                  0.2550871493129785,
                  0.11684741861072624,
                  0.17235027009789997,
                  0.2117428576845622,
                  0.3225454894163635,
                  0.5151678952686406,
                  0.1065090249793047,
                  0.15215379597196443,
                  0.10737034481206688,
                  0.12374337555876208,
                  0.04983343342094058,
                  0.2786670722873028
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.41359590220543146,
                  0.1268854967685847,
                  0.33814805813719095,
                  0.27996356840395453,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.3514292535000652,
                  0.3496506429006213,
                  0.2388550695900949,
                  0.34166178514329076,
                  0.23093071395539494,
                  0.13757235619120822,
                  0.12205538687900032,
                  0.2819639840102135,
                  0.13806476563762554,
                  0.14568431899338546,
                  0.18489584470340845,
                  0.2812051027379592,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.17461254268602422,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.13651544485609332,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.25734411395433127
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2250188153720597,
                  0.27805931518780697,
                  0.11473677986663931,
                  0.1039111797411576,
                  0.20944085066102,
                  0.09952647834543492,
                  0.05519411690576929,
                  0.11361332469632582,
                  0.08280944973034039,
                  0.16112215901583232,
                  0.20743824198424107,
                  0.4040746627987696,
                  0.11068608166336207,
                  0.27565539858219223,
                  0.2530979428991167,
                  0.2333085916840574,
                  0.185969505813585,
                  0.16811193831512833,
                  0.3425375411314621,
                  0.22448443958185987,
                  0.3522169766368726,
                  0.21115172265550797,
                  0.20786417859422607,
                  0.1371043917655635
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.3700674977083606,
                  0.1268394203060519,
                  0.13322278072792096,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.12523495071214563,
                  0.12204755371738839,
                  0.1429616183613064,
                  0.12898662675903874,
                  0.13489489418780384,
                  0.21702407746429075,
                  0.4017515041003852,
                  0.14227157555792966,
                  0.3365208079477847,
                  0.2595416040424973,
                  0.24572389988847987,
                  0.12151732062589637,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.41192911310927527,
                  0.16054703557547098,
                  0.4215758558562699,
                  0.22127220247714316,
                  0.38409920938344094,
                  0.14611625318201296
                ],
                "crps": [
                  32.436069702006016,
                  29.611983451262244,
                  17.38681749363445,
                  10.674194423770773,
                  85.68818410586478,
                  13.190051236990357,
                  8.896255635798171,
                  11.280481878829736,
                  10.38904418502151,
                  16.762468495768516,
                  15.423072095906765,
                  37.10264581040304,
                  11.919346244908393,
                  26.70399754408146,
                  18.95385656478426,
                  20.04939770274058,
                  20.910199425823567,
                  32.46561528797184,
                  61.124000518650945,
                  18.681958883083745,
                  52.3452813440608,
                  14.014498897192334,
                  20.29401914657511,
                  12.404752270519372
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  19.691370303217692,
                  38.00944837401189,
                  19.338876299585486,
                  13.469113551773622,
                  127.86859294734184,
                  18.589396676302037,
                  18.87593404459268,
                  13.530392159363533,
                  14.972743454915303,
                  14.253979231397004,
                  15.735341036927533,
                  36.064900095448124,
                  15.139963850338448,
                  31.19288106623586,
                  17.992353028164104,
                  19.696334263177114,
                  14.077232835128438,
                  24.747448096456132,
                  68.61073888811775,
                  12.55291522058674,
                  57.000851281138225,
                  14.391271226711636,
                  25.1312112496158,
                  12.811413514508557
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.38290481198516,
                  28.116146595229605,
                  16.542135107315413,
                  9.89809336116497,
                  84.49701013754978,
                  12.312535825289297,
                  8.100991543557361,
                  10.585860100607237,
                  9.56162893873811,
                  15.654952368483052,
                  14.61261600569917,
                  36.20237590297653,
                  11.023971525629051,
                  25.54081846331271,
                  17.995255170589683,
                  19.164971360053666,
                  19.805062537435422,
                  31.49657573971209,
                  60.14161390860275,
                  17.558716491846216,
                  51.347695948884486,
                  13.059963110597291,
                  18.76752931649459,
                  11.605335228215617
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  18.52395116853421,
                  36.87672256900793,
                  18.170789562622396,
                  12.289909839909377,
                  126.90605491615098,
                  17.41989047035546,
                  17.706970523055745,
                  12.351304505468207,
                  13.796387526958524,
                  13.076262007562349,
                  14.560429422573055,
                  34.92849143385597,
                  13.963924627676032,
                  30.04724509587627,
                  16.82171605773241,
                  18.528924529932958,
                  12.89918086433115,
                  23.58960486668408,
                  67.53597007272384,
                  11.371976284610398,
                  55.90409404224628,
                  13.21381402559538,
                  23.974094843997456,
                  11.63096415863434
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.41694989945738253,
              "rpss": 0.07871134323742268,
              "brier_below": 0.21873597927083618,
              "bss_below": 0.03504103066874875,
              "brier_above": 0.19821392015118044,
              "bss_above": 0.12253353127945654,
              "crps": 24.946174681068698,
              "crpss": 0.09798422508734739,
              "crps_fair": 23.95728164583205,
              "crpss_fair": 0.096077664121757,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.078487,
                    0.284693,
                    0.3964,
                    0.198021,
                    0.040352,
                    0.002046,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1838,
                    0.2509,
                    0.3432,
                    0.4362,
                    0.5358,
                    0.6147,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2332,
                    0.3264,
                    0.2759,
                    0.4615,
                    0.8261,
                    0.9643,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.03166,
                    0.205986,
                    0.393752,
                    0.240338,
                    0.113815,
                    0.014449,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1887,
                    0.2515,
                    0.3422,
                    0.4441,
                    0.5456,
                    0.6244,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0324,
                    0.1123,
                    0.2991,
                    0.4898,
                    0.6524,
                    0.7472,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.38491199119101455,
                  0.5125953963302515,
                  0.41196739398042115,
                  0.353506446892982,
                  0.423139762527267,
                  0.4040395280391355,
                  0.3194235072360961,
                  0.5263157008907376
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3957447540292534,
                  0.4437047383669884,
                  0.5463112315335048,
                  0.36237074299741934,
                  0.43798493913098496,
                  0.3932407074853211,
                  0.5285945529473471,
                  0.42293902414021045
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21079196052739363,
                  0.20164422527323164,
                  0.07906291558474858,
                  0.21988374335104982,
                  0.2809115789989429,
                  0.2414808175087244,
                  0.08614396119792488,
                  0.20560666601576286
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21064168310452153,
                  0.1781065535964162,
                  0.11133273118470274,
                  0.2268505366779282,
                  0.2859739073831904,
                  0.2462520701941481,
                  0.13257909683196697,
                  0.14583204241235156
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17412003571800613,
                  0.3109511597610829,
                  0.3329044478255306,
                  0.13362271746770985,
                  0.14222819096698802,
                  0.1625587241657031,
                  0.23327952757721246,
                  0.3207090195987119
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18510307756215227,
                  0.2655981770143465,
                  0.4349784623050188,
                  0.13552022182301748,
                  0.15201104430253173,
                  0.14698865074398446,
                  0.3960154250387313,
                  0.2771069719137001
                ],
                "crps": [
                  10.45458939546597,
                  17.318684659215915,
                  30.1411050579412,
                  9.446811919349802,
                  10.991134772025132,
                  11.521283712802196,
                  47.953540301060244,
                  19.257266631814677
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  10.667830621192463,
                  14.95134985734363,
                  39.32110711359098,
                  9.155005345554997,
                  12.872793262651571,
                  10.763049268730294,
                  73.22981255372125,
                  15.764339864122904
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  10.115012715107417,
                  17.040491952941792,
                  29.716952815115718,
                  9.130475413570919,
                  10.720333390343388,
                  11.168374074438697,
                  47.498907575249255,
                  18.99889362034589
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  9.895516071070114,
                  14.17903530722128,
                  38.54879256346864,
                  8.382690795432643,
                  12.100478712529222,
                  9.990734718607943,
                  72.45749800359884,
                  14.992025314000559
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4169874658859882,
              "rpss": 0.05522429908706017,
              "brier_below": 0.19069073355722232,
              "bss_below": 0.007832335259676193,
              "brier_above": 0.22629672788511812,
              "bss_above": 0.09178055768438564,
              "crps": 19.63555205620939,
              "crpss": 0.1587405314655893,
              "crps_fair": 19.298680194639132,
              "crpss_fair": 0.14487841412802405,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.123446,
                    0.202203,
                    0.368879,
                    0.246107,
                    0.058182,
                    0.001183,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1449,
                    0.2531,
                    0.3561,
                    0.4467,
                    0.531,
                    0.6284,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0875,
                    0.1423,
                    0.3181,
                    0.2884,
                    0.264,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.056631,
                    0.358917,
                    0.366841,
                    0.104909,
                    0.07028,
                    0.041568,
                    0.000852,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1723,
                    0.2561,
                    0.3475,
                    0.4429,
                    0.5465,
                    0.6382,
                    0.7066,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5219,
                    0.3165,
                    0.3079,
                    0.4929,
                    0.9158,
                    0.9898,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.38827335708395394,
                  0.3384731902851951,
                  0.28105848617673745,
                  0.38307676147536485,
                  0.41720964174967684,
                  0.46936187689011727,
                  0.1766675830847473,
                  0.44786302341476836
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40125751196759035,
                  0.38247387153027046,
                  0.5455702928662451,
                  0.3608387482495357,
                  0.5032562800825091,
                  0.4582563513417429,
                  0.5532043651857004,
                  0.38836007432288383
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12026341820748351,
                  0.23134444558908082,
                  0.049959446350633534,
                  0.22237854456387862,
                  0.329917364814465,
                  0.320125071440478,
                  0.027395229041057637,
                  0.21617328749918516
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11814387008700394,
                  0.2654940440266858,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.22455219994692469,
                  0.39214518221687406,
                  0.3289473855886335,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.16516928651467216
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2680099299430007,
                  0.10712876055913907,
                  0.23109901284652098,
                  0.160698233891652,
                  0.08729229266408826,
                  0.14923682262995414,
                  0.14927233554185743,
                  0.23168973232299309
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.28311363099235315,
                  0.11697984632238867,
                  0.4344591371814749,
                  0.13628656366910488,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.129308982367292,
                  0.44209320813585196,
                  0.22319078763501846
                ],
                "crps": [
                  16.776381232071703,
                  10.975848275017515,
                  29.962175964122423,
                  14.605972441714433,
                  12.33648010955015,
                  17.493927348886274,
                  71.78710014639246,
                  18.67094250719709
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  17.127934378732938,
                  13.14691039605717,
                  50.002232946975184,
                  13.109652898302157,
                  17.71305578066709,
                  16.568276004836402,
                  124.03503473091268,
                  16.46381001417652
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  16.28351826478155,
                  10.560234651200822,
                  29.282832755044364,
                  14.125619634460593,
                  11.935505291778966,
                  17.002713195051264,
                  71.08805651952774,
                  18.27555388672373
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.023613765163336,
                  12.042589782487557,
                  48.89791233340558,
                  12.005332284732548,
                  16.60873516709748,
                  15.463955391266797,
                  122.93071411734311,
                  15.359489400606916
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.36274799002007013,
              "rpss": 0.19237176047446292,
              "brier_below": 0.1896946009382828,
              "bss_below": 0.11599020705026208,
              "brier_above": 0.17305339004990072,
              "bss_above": 0.2622460992222966,
              "crps": 24.076103503119008,
              "crpss": 0.2817576558141771,
              "crps_fair": 23.56925427482113,
              "crpss_fair": 0.27292511004068365,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.136677,
                    0.222878,
                    0.434143,
                    0.18516,
                    0.021142,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1601,
                    0.2532,
                    0.3519,
                    0.4419,
                    0.5189,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.1432,
                    0.4248,
                    0.42,
                    0.7716,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00835,
                    0.231286,
                    0.412401,
                    0.133854,
                    0.121857,
                    0.09093,
                    0.001321,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1842,
                    0.2668,
                    0.3477,
                    0.4407,
                    0.5509,
                    0.6394,
                    0.7062,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2362,
                    0.1332,
                    0.1868,
                    0.3915,
                    0.953,
                    0.9976,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sqrt_mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.1357510378841242,
            "training": [
              0.03343689110489103,
              0.2113594228035444,
              0.08791300998755683,
              0.13549715110423705,
              0.2799981747232433,
              0.15497632137217784,
              0.14570317465983046,
              0.13026962694546224,
              0.15405916880921502,
              0.09855446858193904,
              0.11887774796348939,
              0.12185719294217684,
              0.14468734154649032,
              0.15562700592483236,
              0.11904533583632959,
              0.08863125509429362,
              0.06666339694299739,
              0.08879147923669596,
              0.14304583361755588,
              0.10221012730329285,
              0.1667549583646542,
              0.13209347251126372,
              0.24510120115616232,
              0.13287115068664979
            ],
            "test": 0.14092461799224504
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.7153236700590104,
                  0.35364815741955674,
                  0.5470892811557596,
                  0.3888456377962888,
                  0.23282175696193727,
                  0.39982257469852117,
                  0.33920303542615343,
                  0.41985761989041526,
                  0.36958015352236356,
                  0.4910282105085965,
                  0.3777454604751057,
                  0.4935738768657354,
                  0.4112584600732523,
                  0.4050592705831036,
                  0.44798258526721896,
                  0.5436666637280243,
                  0.48702896108033467,
                  0.5635582418329242,
                  0.44430454834217453,
                  0.41085418510709676,
                  0.45182677364867757,
                  0.35460945113583553,
                  0.27901031907259544,
                  0.41017370150995897
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5032688802503167,
                  0.4569625517973415,
                  0.4925766309533648,
                  0.42240641841789806,
                  0.5420235784464604,
                  0.4714149767747752,
                  0.4556059924381436,
                  0.42817838868602875,
                  0.46522974710940934,
                  0.4500155575006823,
                  0.37935719815657715,
                  0.46243591166738746,
                  0.43736789322801184,
                  0.4400525455006668,
                  0.4258969314341105,
                  0.47068205281177944,
                  0.4255615226829206,
                  0.4516170483571987,
                  0.49843662915678016,
                  0.4118910860457031,
                  0.4992304990769142,
                  0.37876171452360957,
                  0.4739156159423822,
                  0.43461082713119537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.495205533895965,
                  0.10673063429224935,
                  0.4145258155522594,
                  0.215339313936696,
                  0.03519427199162929,
                  0.29634748513522935,
                  0.25083362662525965,
                  0.17481421456726104,
                  0.2841816889846003,
                  0.32641457157991577,
                  0.18314371661472348,
                  0.1600863214409429,
                  0.22295233230480407,
                  0.2047192014989097,
                  0.22858602055576027,
                  0.2138414147377199,
                  0.30150325937901035,
                  0.3753114930733936,
                  0.13836726106788289,
                  0.17302952953287526,
                  0.11532217279092548,
                  0.1578401901779881,
                  0.05436375101563974,
                  0.22923499481370058
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.35982023411904374,
                  0.14050564010422492,
                  0.3666492771595467,
                  0.2224183293858014,
                  0.12098299127445329,
                  0.3422215035731035,
                  0.320090552585692,
                  0.1769295283083219,
                  0.3334169292742277,
                  0.3079101155887398,
                  0.1851793660618082,
                  0.14592326795414162,
                  0.23390109051410934,
                  0.2104505639455176,
                  0.20611965607115396,
                  0.17490712668192288,
                  0.2843736386325201,
                  0.30537124030247026,
                  0.14850560429956033,
                  0.19196909984821953,
                  0.1397465773074753,
                  0.17498170367441346,
                  0.12816100681329473,
                  0.23184260041542798
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22011813508287809,
                  0.2469175239842418,
                  0.13256345920643522,
                  0.17350632258368395,
                  0.19762748147300666,
                  0.10347508343495994,
                  0.08836940615124343,
                  0.24504340886368473,
                  0.08539846137509638,
                  0.16461363205409352,
                  0.19460174154103646,
                  0.3334875655650738,
                  0.18830612724024928,
                  0.2003400670771681,
                  0.21939656409363856,
                  0.3298252559750688,
                  0.18552569704032804,
                  0.1882467440816619,
                  0.3059372963017479,
                  0.23782465696686667,
                  0.3365046101607223,
                  0.19676925904426254,
                  0.22464656689454732,
                  0.1809387055485617
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1434486461312728,
                  0.31645691169311657,
                  0.12592735379381784,
                  0.1999880890320964,
                  0.4210405871720072,
                  0.1291934732016715,
                  0.13551543985245154,
                  0.25124886037770683,
                  0.13181281783518126,
                  0.1421054419119424,
                  0.1941778320947689,
                  0.3165126437132459,
                  0.20346680271390255,
                  0.2296019815551491,
                  0.21977727536295652,
                  0.2957749261298567,
                  0.14118788405040053,
                  0.14624580805472828,
                  0.3499310248572198,
                  0.21992198619748354,
                  0.3594839217694388,
                  0.20378001084919606,
                  0.3457546091290874,
                  0.20276822671576744
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.655683591952045,
                  19.351006542338446,
                  12.88614373132284,
                  10.932404596882346,
                  55.25671621627536,
                  9.21769938005714,
                  7.801480174402194,
                  13.396468239448337,
                  7.2436307868271355,
                  13.357601780589999,
                  10.926912066735836,
                  21.89373739563759,
                  10.787243095653038,
                  15.37096955108527,
                  14.156835329397195,
                  25.99061048285384,
                  14.373716659628732,
                  19.411969793685852,
                  36.55550667574253,
                  16.425662540622202,
                  32.284006171427485,
                  10.659274801904145,
                  14.513603888815942,
                  10.380251984252919
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.135184264312578,
                  24.154741944627755,
                  13.513975384214499,
                  13.019917867610289,
                  81.16166334563184,
                  12.367477693926652,
                  13.495417433372651,
                  14.052082306153558,
                  10.595906526023086,
                  12.127650347789233,
                  11.316976354794287,
                  20.590965555492783,
                  12.388520865166832,
                  17.22695089343282,
                  13.534851767011492,
                  24.26260220678667,
                  11.569922704555122,
                  15.015778045845114,
                  39.494929356705285,
                  15.395164091308375,
                  33.640924854699655,
                  10.983328308869137,
                  19.38792314154612,
                  11.761768257139277
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.928790385442486,
                  18.33445756079144,
                  12.314764666188482,
                  10.380396314924866,
                  54.432170682510446,
                  8.61074196036799,
                  7.25631817715636,
                  12.926335766692079,
                  6.687988051973607,
                  12.609987650095897,
                  10.355137989558129,
                  21.301053397813526,
                  10.165430747144958,
                  14.636396693134497,
                  13.484594054280436,
                  25.437252603075024,
                  13.625106533495934,
                  18.718581435020052,
                  35.88676728695022,
                  15.689031730916266,
                  31.60786665098647,
                  10.049672712984243,
                  13.612509435722725,
                  9.825827920089424
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.317536543467577,
                  23.35796459817729,
                  12.697045070793552,
                  12.202051839195779,
                  80.47285365334993,
                  11.548375983365016,
                  12.678451972317543,
                  13.236171134630228,
                  9.77344956703739,
                  11.308094418769002,
                  10.495885058363076,
                  19.78743863254775,
                  11.56945900909618,
                  16.417052730597515,
                  12.717960992194332,
                  23.466029141135742,
                  10.74931047318028,
                  14.20169205564696,
                  38.727205395504946,
                  14.581796635287228,
                  32.862113763760696,
                  10.161605103260042,
                  18.582117729180727,
                  10.941519369614019
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4307446915066933,
              "rpss": 0.049609523521202736,
              "brier_below": 0.22324536731522257,
              "bss_below": 0.017329839292339444,
              "brier_above": 0.2074993238225107,
              "bss_above": 0.08205137819606434,
              "crps": 17.617880644897436,
              "crpss": 0.08911238076405759,
              "crps_fair": 16.953215850304815,
              "crpss_fair": 0.08536749223383577,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.001857,
                    0.14165,
                    0.325687,
                    0.334936,
                    0.155454,
                    0.034863,
                    0.005495,
                    5.7e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0839,
                    0.1687,
                    0.2594,
                    0.3537,
                    0.4465,
                    0.5389,
                    0.637,
                    0.717,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.3636,
                    0.2533,
                    0.3177,
                    0.3337,
                    0.4442,
                    0.6649,
                    0.8767,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.00192,
                    0.087535,
                    0.254237,
                    0.330935,
                    0.201089,
                    0.083701,
                    0.03767,
                    0.002912,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0883,
                    0.1773,
                    0.2627,
                    0.3558,
                    0.4515,
                    0.5443,
                    0.6337,
                    0.7202,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.1023,
                    0.1575,
                    0.2252,
                    0.3266,
                    0.4389,
                    0.5487,
                    0.7746,
                    0.8741,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.8676446485534127,
                  0.34895328213435783,
                  0.43857388154991106,
                  0.3556697274538742,
                  0.2076092928475429,
                  0.37043387657416443,
                  0.2732202191996888,
                  0.3413195496275202,
                  0.33452664097826096,
                  0.3940943939801982,
                  0.33775898241037905,
                  0.5552904702713158,
                  0.34850425726112877,
                  0.3744925502833584,
                  0.4278149842508212,
                  0.44533433323175087,
                  0.5336513952603822,
                  0.7375679565521449,
                  0.4353512744145224,
                  0.38068858093760827,
                  0.4534410044461204,
                  0.32591886558052235,
                  0.21698038019598503,
                  0.4140709282663167
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5345788934798844,
                  0.4969529944769454,
                  0.4649874784432427,
                  0.41318634913187524,
                  0.546313795678332,
                  0.4766642042122107,
                  0.47169819661801,
                  0.3818166879514013,
                  0.47064841190232937,
                  0.36582560814319875,
                  0.354596433655499,
                  0.5238068909793859,
                  0.42423555956814324,
                  0.47458557358541037,
                  0.4052259230358827,
                  0.43061974459188856,
                  0.4027224233638553,
                  0.5463137956783312,
                  0.5329121043837289,
                  0.33515957826149523,
                  0.5425588471307237,
                  0.3577876473332365,
                  0.5050822006578946,
                  0.40346036713634414
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.6275656719036194,
                  0.0716294773511938,
                  0.33595034249719635,
                  0.26300282282980797,
                  0.02753407854195997,
                  0.2817571543053197,
                  0.23148041414823015,
                  0.23954476663113025,
                  0.26310507622913826,
                  0.2310289584542549,
                  0.12712298658881885,
                  0.12850850410637124,
                  0.2489650759912811,
                  0.10184571055085515,
                  0.16798977540449822,
                  0.2112283232293453,
                  0.34500512408107453,
                  0.5617647928244301,
                  0.09322512675535014,
                  0.1460718670024032,
                  0.09695810910502725,
                  0.11375448270098376,
                  0.034225821855594515,
                  0.2858124338901605
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.41359590220543146,
                  0.1268854967685847,
                  0.33814805813719095,
                  0.27996356840395453,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.3514292535000652,
                  0.3496506429006213,
                  0.2388550695900949,
                  0.34166178514329076,
                  0.23093071395539494,
                  0.13757235619120822,
                  0.12205538687900032,
                  0.2819639840102135,
                  0.13806476563762554,
                  0.14568431899338546,
                  0.18489584470340845,
                  0.2812051027379592,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.17461254268602422,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.13651544485609332,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.25734411395433127
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24007897594606525,
                  0.2773238084651999,
                  0.10262353134855716,
                  0.09266689913870527,
                  0.18007520940322236,
                  0.08867671592818255,
                  0.04173980686780669,
                  0.10177477973222672,
                  0.0714215627839583,
                  0.16306542766644483,
                  0.21063599873417754,
                  0.42678198554027924,
                  0.0995391779992604,
                  0.2726468427667396,
                  0.2598252147916373,
                  0.23410601565201725,
                  0.18864626725680217,
                  0.17580315866254884,
                  0.3421261620397989,
                  0.23461671364111505,
                  0.35648290918479,
                  0.2121643823514393,
                  0.1827545547621705,
                  0.12825848970676873
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.3700674977083606,
                  0.1268394203060519,
                  0.13322278072792096,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.12523495071214563,
                  0.12204755371738839,
                  0.1429616183613064,
                  0.12898662675903874,
                  0.13489489418780384,
                  0.21702407746429075,
                  0.4017515041003852,
                  0.14227157555792966,
                  0.3365208079477847,
                  0.2595416040424973,
                  0.24572389988847987,
                  0.12151732062589637,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.41192911310927527,
                  0.16054703557547098,
                  0.4215758558562699,
                  0.22127220247714316,
                  0.38409920938344094,
                  0.14611625318201296
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.853032265209336,
                  29.816185312896184,
                  17.109475460809293,
                  10.096932882040182,
                  87.32610449107631,
                  12.998036071670509,
                  8.692623165874295,
                  10.666199768238348,
                  9.894830196870018,
                  16.32744379330339,
                  15.068204322201929,
                  37.58353609499627,
                  11.317738974898313,
                  26.72048010784307,
                  18.759774787498717,
                  19.404159707232946,
                  20.054842559066,
                  32.65214629427007,
                  62.748619695681,
                  17.600578627856457,
                  53.740530768438234,
                  13.479181617828244,
                  18.81316283304864,
                  11.664631596242153
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  19.691370303217692,
                  38.00944837401189,
                  19.338876299585486,
                  13.469113551773622,
                  127.86859294734184,
                  18.589396676302037,
                  18.87593404459268,
                  13.530392159363533,
                  14.972743454915303,
                  14.253979231397004,
                  15.735341036927533,
                  36.064900095448124,
                  15.139963850338448,
                  31.19288106623586,
                  17.992353028164104,
                  19.696334263177114,
                  14.077232835128438,
                  24.747448096456132,
                  68.61073888811775,
                  12.55291522058674,
                  57.000851281138225,
                  14.391271226711636,
                  25.1312112496158,
                  12.811413514508557
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  30.847247282970237,
                  28.41886064299122,
                  16.323221894975458,
                  9.372625080858771,
                  86.14601629573299,
                  12.181802320495786,
                  7.950622220729085,
                  10.030201892340061,
                  9.121992318826882,
                  15.280066274289409,
                  14.320551242583559,
                  36.75840774904426,
                  10.4876498781085,
                  25.63057544151482,
                  17.86249542616686,
                  18.583108226009532,
                  18.99600813472902,
                  31.750540639502194,
                  61.837209883563034,
                  16.53638848909535,
                  52.815362620156804,
                  12.59758233025541,
                  17.364273499225757,
                  10.924894919145649
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  18.52395116853421,
                  36.87672256900793,
                  18.170789562622396,
                  12.289909839909377,
                  126.90605491615098,
                  17.41989047035546,
                  17.706970523055745,
                  12.351304505468207,
                  13.796387526958524,
                  13.076262007562349,
                  14.560429422573055,
                  34.92849143385597,
                  13.963924627676032,
                  30.04724509587627,
                  16.82171605773241,
                  18.528924529932958,
                  12.89918086433115,
                  23.58960486668408,
                  67.53597007272384,
                  11.371976284610398,
                  55.90409404224628,
                  13.21381402559538,
                  23.974094843997456,
                  11.63096415863434
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.41328797817755364,
              "rpss": 0.08680269076251945,
              "brier_below": 0.21812820404075187,
              "bss_below": 0.037722245535924626,
              "brier_above": 0.19515977459874642,
              "bss_above": 0.1360538244597177,
              "crps": 24.76618547479541,
              "crpss": 0.10449236132258832,
              "crps_fair": 23.839071029304616,
              "crpss_fair": 0.10053782025285452,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.001899,
                    0.178003,
                    0.33136,
                    0.286005,
                    0.147542,
                    0.045472,
                    0.009718,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0852,
                    0.1663,
                    0.2586,
                    0.3542,
                    0.447,
                    0.5432,
                    0.6371,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.4603,
                    0.2811,
                    0.2883,
                    0.299,
                    0.4894,
                    0.7556,
                    0.9023,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.002406,
                    0.115349,
                    0.257681,
                    0.291541,
                    0.17493,
                    0.101105,
                    0.053834,
                    0.003155,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0886,
                    0.1778,
                    0.2619,
                    0.3552,
                    0.4512,
                    0.5453,
                    0.6341,
                    0.729,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0565,
                    0.1822,
                    0.3638,
                    0.4876,
                    0.5427,
                    0.7896,
                    0.7918,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.39025833987387126,
                  0.5248858586750336,
                  0.3809336084271951,
                  0.35688110479385965,
                  0.42152739615148765,
                  0.40896854713621805,
                  0.2827047698181924,
                  0.546469987985295
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3957447540292534,
                  0.4437047383669884,
                  0.5463112315335048,
                  0.36237074299741934,
                  0.43798493913098496,
                  0.3932407074853211,
                  0.5285945529473471,
                  0.42293902414021045
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2101642520254546,
                  0.21380853669869088,
                  0.07192956319996056,
                  0.2211221692486391,
                  0.2790259756230754,
                  0.24197823991894019,
                  0.07449766727838797,
                  0.21530908102694152
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21064168310452153,
                  0.1781065535964162,
                  0.11133273118470274,
                  0.2268505366779282,
                  0.2859739073831904,
                  0.2462520701941481,
                  0.13257909683196697,
                  0.14583204241235156
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1800940926340997,
                  0.31107731126664534,
                  0.3090040164674745,
                  0.13575894836110747,
                  0.14250142651083642,
                  0.16699032124064714,
                  0.20820708651388287,
                  0.33116089104714497
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18510307756215227,
                  0.2655981770143465,
                  0.4349784623050188,
                  0.13552022182301748,
                  0.15201104430253173,
                  0.14698865074398446,
                  0.3960154250387313,
                  0.2771069719137001
                ],
                "crps": [
                  10.333688639593934,
                  16.77560548436541,
                  30.388924211611815,
                  9.141378624021488,
                  11.007531285733863,
                  11.181783282597266,
                  48.69531990651486,
                  18.867484415522963
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  10.667830621192463,
                  14.95134985734363,
                  39.32110711359098,
                  9.155005345554997,
                  12.872793262651571,
                  10.763049268730294,
                  73.22981255372125,
                  15.764339864122904
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  10.010855210343946,
                  16.50879869875683,
                  29.98036527179592,
                  8.83799011033622,
                  10.74928949469469,
                  10.845307636108018,
                  48.25433654634349,
                  18.61968914654572
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  9.895516071070114,
                  14.17903530722128,
                  38.54879256346864,
                  8.382690795432643,
                  12.100478712529222,
                  9.990734718607943,
                  72.45749800359884,
                  14.992025314000559
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.41407870160764404,
              "rpss": 0.06181473653348091,
              "brier_below": 0.19097943562751127,
              "bss_below": 0.006330212668080315,
              "brier_above": 0.22309926175522982,
              "bss_above": 0.10461327043480806,
              "crps": 19.5489644812452,
              "crpss": 0.16245026252319028,
              "crps_fair": 19.2258290143656,
              "crpss_fair": 0.14810643885198693,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.014496,
                    0.107587,
                    0.176706,
                    0.396148,
                    0.238239,
                    0.061484,
                    0.004999,
                    0.00034,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0815,
                    0.1487,
                    0.2488,
                    0.3524,
                    0.4506,
                    0.5407,
                    0.6237,
                    0.722,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0273,
                    0.1705,
                    0.3264,
                    0.2692,
                    0.2436,
                    0.2885,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.002536,
                    0.099392,
                    0.302412,
                    0.340897,
                    0.122264,
                    0.063048,
                    0.04764,
                    0.021641,
                    0.00017,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0819,
                    0.1597,
                    0.249,
                    0.3443,
                    0.4474,
                    0.5545,
                    0.6512,
                    0.7284,
                    0.8079,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.6002,
                    0.463,
                    0.2897,
                    0.3077,
                    0.4505,
                    0.8068,
                    0.9787,
                    0.9882,
                    1.0,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3855506759462441,
                  0.32877129914572806,
                  0.24027238106788867,
                  0.3812965023256506,
                  0.40998101863664227,
                  0.47116860940264577,
                  0.12326212775288345,
                  0.45867851781122077
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40125751196759035,
                  0.38247387153027046,
                  0.5455702928662451,
                  0.3608387482495357,
                  0.5032562800825091,
                  0.4582563513417429,
                  0.5532043651857004,
                  0.38836007432288383
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11274550447691856,
                  0.23106314080011545,
                  0.03560831491432415,
                  0.219826137187986,
                  0.334070597803692,
                  0.32310857744280713,
                  0.014509165939745631,
                  0.22094081328868725
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11814387008700394,
                  0.2654940440266858,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.22455219994692469,
                  0.39214518221687406,
                  0.3289473855886335,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.16516928651467216
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2728051619180324,
                  0.09770817336729312,
                  0.204664040831763,
                  0.16147038132943678,
                  0.07591043511022262,
                  0.14806004894929187,
                  0.10875294623533044,
                  0.2377376994316419
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.28311363099235315,
                  0.11697984632238867,
                  0.4344591371814749,
                  0.13628656366910488,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.129308982367292,
                  0.44209320813585196,
                  0.22319078763501846
                ],
                "crps": [
                  16.583857690528905,
                  10.16490586544759,
                  30.703155272705015,
                  13.879111558029242,
                  12.266674331224042,
                  16.898404840606453,
                  73.44864397876911,
                  18.091243180133873
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  17.127934378732938,
                  13.14691039605717,
                  50.002232946975184,
                  13.109652898302157,
                  17.71305578066709,
                  16.568276004836402,
                  124.03503473091268,
                  16.46381001417652
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  16.122665417721127,
                  9.777298239278728,
                  30.051798721719393,
                  13.430479056545806,
                  11.895344938173213,
                  16.440752224093465,
                  72.76876824402643,
                  17.722881343001056
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.023613765163336,
                  12.042589782487557,
                  48.89791233340558,
                  12.005332284732548,
                  16.60873516709748,
                  15.463955391266797,
                  122.93071411734311,
                  15.359489400606916
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.34987264151111297,
              "rpss": 0.2210376534239773,
              "brier_below": 0.18648403148178452,
              "bss_below": 0.13095201843788928,
              "brier_above": 0.1633886108966265,
              "bss_above": 0.3034485773617138,
              "crps": 24.004499589680528,
              "crpss": 0.28389375572894404,
              "crps_fair": 23.526248523069903,
              "crpss_fair": 0.2742517706917822,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.035036,
                    0.165831,
                    0.194514,
                    0.40905,
                    0.160967,
                    0.034601,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0813,
                    0.1418,
                    0.2513,
                    0.3492,
                    0.449,
                    0.5387,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0013,
                    0.2037,
                    0.4454,
                    0.4011,
                    0.6882,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.034754,
                    0.262504,
                    0.348601,
                    0.123294,
                    0.088902,
                    0.094821,
                    0.046903,
                    0.00022,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1674,
                    0.2547,
                    0.3438,
                    0.4465,
                    0.5574,
                    0.6527,
                    0.7282,
                    0.8079,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1895,
                    0.135,
                    0.1894,
                    0.359,
                    0.8662,
                    0.9907,
                    1.0,
                    1.0,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "pt": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.2912844120318682,
            "training": [
              0.2069670586803745,
              0.34405900348743823,
              0.25534471625311145,
              0.2905539529206275,
              0.4233303641625709,
              0.31107438327898906,
              0.3141188332431218,
              0.28383320252542144,
              0.31617444275793777,
              0.26716985825872724,
              0.2770253375403049,
              0.27032448482917065,
              0.29854617745028916,
              0.2977815274814392,
              0.28063124848531784,
              0.2432125617974312,
              0.23370069003549832,
              0.2507412562911534,
              0.2927233921436566,
              0.260771399280062,
              0.3122513455390919,
              0.2864196278308451,
              0.3845838526068866,
              0.2894871718853695
            ],
            "test": 0.31505259674076536
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.6642904001908982,
                  0.37442802954299087,
                  0.5235344294287858,
                  0.40390683891570445,
                  0.2816042259714356,
                  0.4069192086545224,
                  0.3488235515607695,
                  0.42704648343978036,
                  0.3858960403099692,
                  0.4683191636386957,
                  0.37690776095083756,
                  0.4975225145639215,
                  0.42987078723957933,
                  0.41393620511976886,
                  0.4489502108188171,
                  0.547020488743206,
                  0.47259928534048345,
                  0.5470191754226689,
                  0.4618111010683477,
                  0.402885683628582,
                  0.47052831737759154,
                  0.36341178243755773,
                  0.3117010466372321,
                  0.4249171794029036
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5032688802503167,
                  0.4569625517973415,
                  0.4925766309533648,
                  0.42240641841789806,
                  0.5420235784464604,
                  0.4714149767747752,
                  0.4556059924381436,
                  0.42817838868602875,
                  0.46522974710940934,
                  0.4500155575006823,
                  0.37935719815657715,
                  0.46243591166738746,
                  0.43736789322801184,
                  0.4400525455006668,
                  0.4258969314341105,
                  0.47068205281177944,
                  0.4255615226829206,
                  0.4516170483571987,
                  0.49843662915678016,
                  0.4118910860457031,
                  0.4992304990769142,
                  0.37876171452360957,
                  0.4739156159423822,
                  0.43461082713119537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4627724548339023,
                  0.1149087385843562,
                  0.3944629495487904,
                  0.2310448649384298,
                  0.04823039211213186,
                  0.29985984925604586,
                  0.2530926416332866,
                  0.18503949246330864,
                  0.29320041560807364,
                  0.3091746677463804,
                  0.18084129138986377,
                  0.16001046685300382,
                  0.2393526301933229,
                  0.20646701497931894,
                  0.2241269491050152,
                  0.22339203336848612,
                  0.300799486192179,
                  0.36745656772373514,
                  0.14646660821839314,
                  0.17060612098314062,
                  0.1219033589073456,
                  0.16458081278217346,
                  0.06986657564651509,
                  0.2423012089948525
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.35982023411904374,
                  0.14050564010422492,
                  0.3666492771595467,
                  0.2224183293858014,
                  0.12098299127445329,
                  0.3422215035731035,
                  0.320090552585692,
                  0.1769295283083219,
                  0.3334169292742277,
                  0.3079101155887398,
                  0.1851793660618082,
                  0.14592326795414162,
                  0.23390109051410934,
                  0.2104505639455176,
                  0.20611965607115396,
                  0.17490712668192288,
                  0.2843736386325201,
                  0.30537124030247026,
                  0.14850560429956033,
                  0.19196909984821953,
                  0.1397465773074753,
                  0.17498170367441346,
                  0.12816100681329473,
                  0.23184260041542798
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2015179435202601,
                  0.2595192923472202,
                  0.12907147545627332,
                  0.17286197350690213,
                  0.23337382983428476,
                  0.10705935550017233,
                  0.09573090865265371,
                  0.2420069937936492,
                  0.09269562283318884,
                  0.1591444904863818,
                  0.1960664673429882,
                  0.3375120544597638,
                  0.1905181568571836,
                  0.20746918888247998,
                  0.22482326072913064,
                  0.32362845928053474,
                  0.17179979505031867,
                  0.17956260489634318,
                  0.31534449973071854,
                  0.23227956358865004,
                  0.3486249667039885,
                  0.1988309682860798,
                  0.24183446994496888,
                  0.18261596948447073
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1434486461312728,
                  0.31645691169311657,
                  0.12592735379381784,
                  0.1999880890320964,
                  0.4210405871720072,
                  0.1291934732016715,
                  0.13551543985245154,
                  0.25124886037770683,
                  0.13181281783518126,
                  0.1421054419119424,
                  0.1941778320947689,
                  0.3165126437132459,
                  0.20346680271390255,
                  0.2296019815551491,
                  0.21977727536295652,
                  0.2957749261298567,
                  0.14118788405040053,
                  0.14624580805472828,
                  0.3499310248572198,
                  0.21992198619748354,
                  0.3594839217694388,
                  0.20378001084919606,
                  0.3457546091290874,
                  0.20276822671576744
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.43152735887738,
                  20.03955999061945,
                  12.620290549299172,
                  10.990707072518692,
                  54.908619141223795,
                  9.13898898720722,
                  7.629953306110723,
                  13.415533217838489,
                  7.3745713987202075,
                  13.13025536715755,
                  11.274381602756453,
                  22.654683282082665,
                  11.037458844449292,
                  15.772090171495396,
                  14.529738202501363,
                  26.330389263459647,
                  14.251220765974704,
                  19.19974683509573,
                  36.57281338776028,
                  16.36370335687018,
                  32.801740699580634,
                  11.027616115500084,
                  15.147694873687303,
                  10.553076810307575
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.135184264312578,
                  24.154741944627755,
                  13.513975384214499,
                  13.019917867610289,
                  81.16166334563184,
                  12.367477693926652,
                  13.495417433372651,
                  14.052082306153558,
                  10.595906526023086,
                  12.127650347789233,
                  11.316976354794287,
                  20.590965555492783,
                  12.388520865166832,
                  17.22695089343282,
                  13.534851767011492,
                  24.26260220678667,
                  11.569922704555122,
                  15.015778045845114,
                  39.494929356705285,
                  15.395164091308375,
                  33.640924854699655,
                  10.983328308869137,
                  19.38792314154612,
                  11.761768257139277
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.67586018107966,
                  18.920335866340515,
                  12.03216689893797,
                  10.427838658516844,
                  54.048014403855355,
                  8.5165259282029,
                  7.0700705897675205,
                  12.93484645960984,
                  6.807205216361672,
                  12.34550615168302,
                  10.691691985278114,
                  22.041988042414832,
                  10.39650572098983,
                  14.997544981775562,
                  13.840624391707015,
                  25.761495505193984,
                  13.464513884663125,
                  18.477861870451513,
                  35.875619920267795,
                  15.595965810813164,
                  32.092907598443176,
                  10.396300630275935,
                  14.158231706097101,
                  9.981396463361188
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.317536543467577,
                  23.35796459817729,
                  12.697045070793552,
                  12.202051839195779,
                  80.47285365334993,
                  11.548375983365016,
                  12.678451972317543,
                  13.236171134630228,
                  9.77344956703739,
                  11.308094418769002,
                  10.495885058363076,
                  19.78743863254775,
                  11.56945900909618,
                  16.417052730597515,
                  12.717960992194332,
                  23.466029141135742,
                  10.74931047318028,
                  14.20169205564696,
                  38.727205395504946,
                  14.581796635287228,
                  32.862113763760696,
                  10.161605103260042,
                  18.582117729180727,
                  10.941519369614019
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43557707960021036,
              "rpss": 0.03894739415946047,
              "brier_below": 0.2254148996692521,
              "bss_below": 0.007780101563697683,
              "brier_above": 0.21016217963202524,
              "bss_above": 0.07027126838473152,
              "crps": 17.75818169171225,
              "crpss": 0.08185847269842039,
              "crps_fair": 17.064625786086985,
              "crpss_fair": 0.07935688339983793,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000818,
                    0.083772,
                    0.283897,
                    0.383718,
                    0.213595,
                    0.03239,
                    0.00181,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0924,
                    0.1647,
                    0.2498,
                    0.3449,
                    0.4378,
                    0.5342,
                    0.6211,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.5524,
                    0.2937,
                    0.3306,
                    0.3127,
                    0.4118,
                    0.6364,
                    0.783,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.034425,
                    0.239163,
                    0.411087,
                    0.228108,
                    0.078913,
                    0.008221,
                    8.4e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1831,
                    0.255,
                    0.344,
                    0.4397,
                    0.5412,
                    0.6243,
                    0.7409,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1449,
                    0.2156,
                    0.3204,
                    0.4384,
                    0.6372,
                    0.8049,
                    0.6673,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.7983732733778378,
                  0.37372619897118114,
                  0.4398725574668016,
                  0.37778645723184745,
                  0.26361826929307286,
                  0.3879258630176058,
                  0.2939730547661688,
                  0.3455311318631896,
                  0.374269862745172,
                  0.3666086245724054,
                  0.3399505887549808,
                  0.5642984442020147,
                  0.365957606868942,
                  0.40309724986447437,
                  0.4262084745335003,
                  0.4613522471811404,
                  0.49761763346313875,
                  0.7058848375442357,
                  0.4628367096212875,
                  0.36066170085971905,
                  0.48341562334799854,
                  0.33358257317832646,
                  0.26227346995839257,
                  0.41896897572345737
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5345788934798844,
                  0.4969529944769454,
                  0.4649874784432427,
                  0.41318634913187524,
                  0.546313795678332,
                  0.4766642042122107,
                  0.47169819661801,
                  0.3818166879514013,
                  0.47064841190232937,
                  0.36582560814319875,
                  0.354596433655499,
                  0.5238068909793859,
                  0.42423555956814324,
                  0.47458557358541037,
                  0.4052259230358827,
                  0.43061974459188856,
                  0.4027224233638553,
                  0.5463137956783312,
                  0.5329121043837289,
                  0.33515957826149523,
                  0.5425588471307237,
                  0.3577876473332365,
                  0.5050822006578946,
                  0.40346036713634414
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.5941672278921716,
                  0.07768324349836672,
                  0.3401942204406522,
                  0.2852912385215594,
                  0.04027939746728379,
                  0.2971412189721431,
                  0.2417606185427299,
                  0.24210299018905992,
                  0.2970831497602253,
                  0.21600119551412603,
                  0.1301442241139184,
                  0.12596570109937344,
                  0.26284713950836985,
                  0.11434328597009075,
                  0.16164238899744174,
                  0.22328122066934297,
                  0.3323057602982169,
                  0.5487345120240432,
                  0.09934545795454575,
                  0.14762282204237,
                  0.10157040203895111,
                  0.11818653495491395,
                  0.046911967500607284,
                  0.2937255244827749
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.41359590220543146,
                  0.1268854967685847,
                  0.33814805813719095,
                  0.27996356840395453,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.3514292535000652,
                  0.3496506429006213,
                  0.2388550695900949,
                  0.34166178514329076,
                  0.23093071395539494,
                  0.13757235619120822,
                  0.12205538687900032,
                  0.2819639840102135,
                  0.13806476563762554,
                  0.14568431899338546,
                  0.18489584470340845,
                  0.2812051027379592,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.17461254268602422,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.13651544485609332,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.25734411395433127
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.20420604466823122,
                  0.29604295955838067,
                  0.09967833266271939,
                  0.09249521642990022,
                  0.22333886675843234,
                  0.090784640904505,
                  0.05221243896845216,
                  0.10342813996440378,
                  0.07718671230243629,
                  0.15060742310421157,
                  0.20980636596521104,
                  0.4383327551643031,
                  0.10311046586522529,
                  0.28875396694297906,
                  0.26456608783818936,
                  0.23807103121378342,
                  0.16531186859574745,
                  0.15715032248342053,
                  0.3634912635865929,
                  0.21303887830961302,
                  0.3818452338814181,
                  0.2153960377899231,
                  0.2153614986580737,
                  0.1252434483242972
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.3700674977083606,
                  0.1268394203060519,
                  0.13322278072792096,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.12523495071214563,
                  0.12204755371738839,
                  0.1429616183613064,
                  0.12898662675903874,
                  0.13489489418780384,
                  0.21702407746429075,
                  0.4017515041003852,
                  0.14227157555792966,
                  0.3365208079477847,
                  0.2595416040424973,
                  0.24572389988847987,
                  0.12151732062589637,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.41192911310927527,
                  0.16054703557547098,
                  0.4215758558562699,
                  0.22127220247714316,
                  0.38409920938344094,
                  0.14611625318201296
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.166700420671717,
                  30.882333655605557,
                  16.484845142759895,
                  10.137567536090335,
                  86.40861096931405,
                  12.68965750029705,
                  8.289201154089245,
                  10.640292841214658,
                  10.123376839457539,
                  15.778642224429522,
                  15.58770003819145,
                  38.95747419868939,
                  11.502011269144452,
                  27.449495261457646,
                  19.1960534028124,
                  20.080365236766596,
                  19.471918465270576,
                  31.877174507068535,
                  62.83942730916374,
                  17.515486515952176,
                  54.598987558365046,
                  13.996018580917644,
                  20.193214557109908,
                  11.76414470732862
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  19.691370303217692,
                  38.00944837401189,
                  19.338876299585486,
                  13.469113551773622,
                  127.86859294734184,
                  18.589396676302037,
                  18.87593404459268,
                  13.530392159363533,
                  14.972743454915303,
                  14.253979231397004,
                  15.735341036927533,
                  36.064900095448124,
                  15.139963850338448,
                  31.19288106623586,
                  17.992353028164104,
                  19.696334263177114,
                  14.077232835128438,
                  24.747448096456132,
                  68.61073888811775,
                  12.55291522058674,
                  57.000851281138225,
                  14.391271226711636,
                  25.1312112496158,
                  12.811413514508557
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  30.126102566216986,
                  29.330536548613637,
                  15.684017016452598,
                  9.405562487363676,
                  85.14839249412816,
                  11.86059299365163,
                  7.537195341485726,
                  10.00260230007276,
                  9.34351274222785,
                  14.685919171338146,
                  14.831736701676425,
                  38.11009143757575,
                  10.654500569914969,
                  26.29551074059612,
                  18.280199427589842,
                  19.24403277869178,
                  18.36175681914848,
                  30.9359334247834,
                  61.895013801792366,
                  16.413359154922745,
                  53.62788806658616,
                  13.087989756908597,
                  18.56844125088911,
                  11.008947769578917
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  18.52395116853421,
                  36.87672256900793,
                  18.170789562622396,
                  12.289909839909377,
                  126.90605491615098,
                  17.41989047035546,
                  17.706970523055745,
                  12.351304505468207,
                  13.796387526958524,
                  13.076262007562349,
                  14.560429422573055,
                  34.92849143385597,
                  13.963924627676032,
                  30.04724509587627,
                  16.82171605773241,
                  18.528924529932958,
                  12.89918086433115,
                  23.58960486668408,
                  67.53597007272384,
                  11.371976284610398,
                  55.90409404224628,
                  13.21381402559538,
                  23.974094843997456,
                  11.63096415863434
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42115797618362044,
              "rpss": 0.06941321566930259,
              "brier_below": 0.22243047676888658,
              "bss_below": 0.018742667181407713,
              "brier_above": 0.19872749999751874,
              "bss_above": 0.12025998210678102,
              "crps": 24.901279162173655,
              "crpss": 0.09960757883933369,
              "crps_fair": 23.93499314009191,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0969186225606028,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.001819,
                    0.133511,
                    0.309068,
                    0.325939,
                    0.187828,
                    0.039058,
                    0.002777,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0924,
                    0.1597,
                    0.2466,
                    0.3432,
                    0.4377,
                    0.5359,
                    0.6187,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.5598,
                    0.3028,
                    0.3313,
                    0.266,
                    0.4409,
                    0.8034,
                    0.921,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.05074,
                    0.283246,
                    0.362439,
                    0.195232,
                    0.098806,
                    0.009537,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.184,
                    0.2534,
                    0.3419,
                    0.4421,
                    0.5429,
                    0.6265,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0606,
                    0.1499,
                    0.3572,
                    0.497,
                    0.6603,
                    0.7779,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3827360205471354,
                  0.5069030112136554,
                  0.4150023273942035,
                  0.3538650828654561,
                  0.42209080524736475,
                  0.4049972595674795,
                  0.31992210720734504,
                  0.5229966174127276
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3957447540292534,
                  0.4437047383669884,
                  0.5463112315335048,
                  0.36237074299741934,
                  0.43798493913098496,
                  0.3932407074853211,
                  0.5285945529473471,
                  0.42293902414021045
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20022846408501338,
                  0.2103117174558,
                  0.08247324804950668,
                  0.22039128094053326,
                  0.28065777970857386,
                  0.2450657403939692,
                  0.08159903415563087,
                  0.20320872091096503
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21064168310452153,
                  0.1781065535964162,
                  0.11133273118470274,
                  0.2268505366779282,
                  0.2859739073831904,
                  0.2462520701941481,
                  0.13257909683196697,
                  0.14583204241235156
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1825075614550507,
                  0.29659128289448305,
                  0.3325290486465267,
                  0.1334738156186404,
                  0.14143303310440558,
                  0.1599315322663661,
                  0.23832305411932073,
                  0.31978788080833415
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18510307756215227,
                  0.2655981770143465,
                  0.4349784623050188,
                  0.13552022182301748,
                  0.15201104430253173,
                  0.14698865074398446,
                  0.3960154250387313,
                  0.2771069719137001
                ],
                "crps": [
                  10.58212945034361,
                  16.76043716660713,
                  30.733153503924765,
                  9.119569240765689,
                  10.82190110483797,
                  11.117283736563694,
                  47.60199591770144,
                  19.17960488685703
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  10.667830621192463,
                  14.95134985734363,
                  39.32110711359098,
                  9.155005345554997,
                  12.872793262651571,
                  10.763049268730294,
                  73.22981255372125,
                  15.764339864122904
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  10.244686049239967,
                  16.486861543801737,
                  30.291308210439105,
                  8.805050335277102,
                  10.556493461316595,
                  10.76567281924826,
                  47.117125052459656,
                  18.926269734592353
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  9.895516071070114,
                  14.17903530722128,
                  38.54879256346864,
                  8.382690795432643,
                  12.100478712529222,
                  9.990734718607943,
                  72.45749800359884,
                  14.992025314000559
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4160641539319209,
              "rpss": 0.057316262922739836,
              "brier_below": 0.19049199821249901,
              "bss_below": 0.008866359195696782,
              "brier_above": 0.22557215111414092,
              "bss_above": 0.09468857459210622,
              "crps": 19.489509375950163,
              "crpss": 0.16499753851211985,
              "crps_fair": 19.149183400796847,
              "crpss_fair": 0.15150259433847713,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.098781,
                    0.203656,
                    0.392327,
                    0.252886,
                    0.050997,
                    0.001354,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1589,
                    0.2541,
                    0.3566,
                    0.4454,
                    0.5262,
                    0.6261,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.048,
                    0.1608,
                    0.298,
                    0.2933,
                    0.2833,
                    0.1881,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.048791,
                    0.358889,
                    0.377645,
                    0.1111,
                    0.069327,
                    0.034076,
                    0.00017,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1756,
                    0.2572,
                    0.3466,
                    0.4443,
                    0.5432,
                    0.6301,
                    0.7117,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5225,
                    0.3013,
                    0.3172,
                    0.5654,
                    0.9232,
                    0.9901,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3912616961049608,
                  0.3304228507297482,
                  0.299757270970688,
                  0.36227410550804207,
                  0.42719616507376723,
                  0.4559694877448605,
                  0.18754582756808286,
                  0.43408626411335594
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40125751196759035,
                  0.38247387153027046,
                  0.5455702928662451,
                  0.3608387482495357,
                  0.5032562800825091,
                  0.4582563513417429,
                  0.5532043651857004,
                  0.38836007432288383
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11193624030763205,
                  0.23557720570289134,
                  0.04808265413315113,
                  0.2134874484103521,
                  0.349989642015771,
                  0.3191381009092018,
                  0.026263644958253087,
                  0.1990303724333574
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11814387008700394,
                  0.2654940440266858,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.22455219994692469,
                  0.39214518221687406,
                  0.3289473855886335,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.16516928651467216
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.27932544575951646,
                  0.09484566046771702,
                  0.25167458782185537,
                  0.14878667248864152,
                  0.07720653834769178,
                  0.13683140295404161,
                  0.1612821624223484,
                  0.2350558869352642
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.28311363099235315,
                  0.11697984632238867,
                  0.4344591371814749,
                  0.13628656366910488,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.129308982367292,
                  0.44209320813585196,
                  0.22319078763501846
                ],
                "crps": [
                  17.10783094566205,
                  10.032405089318809,
                  31.750994148207873,
                  13.455895794756726,
                  11.697524006295271,
                  16.46120079199257,
                  70.9915107308033,
                  18.371445430925082
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  17.127934378732938,
                  13.14691039605717,
                  50.002232946975184,
                  13.109652898302157,
                  17.71305578066709,
                  16.568276004836402,
                  124.03503473091268,
                  16.46381001417652
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  16.626490321994734,
                  9.641727738775318,
                  31.03899090686005,
                  12.994235118357985,
                  11.32136327912295,
                  15.984016160937076,
                  70.23376939931521,
                  17.999654647671793
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.023613765163336,
                  12.042589782487557,
                  48.89791233340558,
                  12.005332284732548,
                  16.60873516709748,
                  15.463955391266797,
                  122.93071411734311,
                  15.359489400606916
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3610642084766882,
              "rpss": 0.19612056008477063,
              "brier_below": 0.18793816360882623,
              "bss_below": 0.12417551012300099,
              "brier_above": 0.17312604464963455,
              "bss_above": 0.26193636120244257,
              "crps": 23.73360086724521,
              "crpss": 0.29197525169915706,
              "crps_fair": 23.23003094662939,
              "crpss_fair": 0.28338962288189506,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.191982,
                    0.237338,
                    0.377956,
                    0.171795,
                    0.02093,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1549,
                    0.2521,
                    0.3515,
                    0.4421,
                    0.5159,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0423,
                    0.1853,
                    0.4287,
                    0.4579,
                    0.8425,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.016708,
                    0.323054,
                    0.355189,
                    0.109652,
                    0.119868,
                    0.075308,
                    0.00022,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1854,
                    0.2642,
                    0.3446,
                    0.4433,
                    0.5454,
                    0.6294,
                    0.7117,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2099,
                    0.1383,
                    0.2039,
                    0.5321,
                    0.9669,
                    1.0,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dc": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.37155340049275054,
            "training": [
              0.29238310682872104,
              0.4649359324908366,
              0.34214665435262465,
              0.36801600910237947,
              0.5202774840386869,
              0.38119191418283477,
              0.39197088608261915,
              0.3423855134442088,
              0.39484812580956385,
              0.3159827044583936,
              0.3266472882496593,
              0.35231114974911837,
              0.37469234024137227,
              0.3885396553168136,
              0.3768425355701755,
              0.3304926296267044,
              0.32070600114243347,
              0.3213570028584897,
              0.39266559525804823,
              0.3342132970615003,
              0.39718853058266684,
              0.357750542985985,
              0.45876613797025306,
              0.3709705744219228
            ],
            "test": 0.38795606259147875
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5811209923554472,
                  0.38271070313399286,
                  0.44580797253842847,
                  0.40434847543352853,
                  0.3651766229590699,
                  0.3832204628050568,
                  0.360580857692665,
                  0.48794830521255605,
                  0.3747102723757401,
                  0.46924678819756327,
                  0.3959280352940387,
                  0.519834546407715,
                  0.41771268168746944,
                  0.4148941094466213,
                  0.4507696256318903,
                  0.5717751487818586,
                  0.44032353867766105,
                  0.48532443211345316,
                  0.49198208028634766,
                  0.39172478567816443,
                  0.49400877413365313,
                  0.3742174546737148,
                  0.36576042326144736,
                  0.4296047158288039
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5032688802503167,
                  0.4569625517973415,
                  0.4925766309533648,
                  0.42240641841789806,
                  0.5420235784464604,
                  0.4714149767747752,
                  0.4556059924381436,
                  0.42817838868602875,
                  0.46522974710940934,
                  0.4500155575006823,
                  0.37935719815657715,
                  0.46243591166738746,
                  0.43736789322801184,
                  0.4400525455006668,
                  0.4258969314341105,
                  0.47068205281177944,
                  0.4255615226829206,
                  0.4516170483571987,
                  0.49843662915678016,
                  0.4118910860457031,
                  0.4992304990769142,
                  0.37876171452360957,
                  0.4739156159423822,
                  0.43461082713119537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.41084162225203597,
                  0.10305682334887739,
                  0.3406341106059607,
                  0.22256998349718826,
                  0.06764371121448587,
                  0.2872994258515,
                  0.26718549186807,
                  0.21411256787636318,
                  0.28394120009980034,
                  0.3229074694365859,
                  0.20738134755739843,
                  0.17426337166607858,
                  0.22772202189595303,
                  0.20347924501453804,
                  0.22458719587094522,
                  0.22473885596243345,
                  0.2904920557040664,
                  0.32563985874009105,
                  0.14352453476698193,
                  0.1798707717430736,
                  0.13407782556859926,
                  0.1806264775171403,
                  0.07987087020113039,
                  0.2320083172335903
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.35982023411904374,
                  0.14050564010422492,
                  0.3666492771595467,
                  0.2224183293858014,
                  0.12098299127445329,
                  0.3422215035731035,
                  0.320090552585692,
                  0.1769295283083219,
                  0.3334169292742277,
                  0.3079101155887398,
                  0.1851793660618082,
                  0.14592326795414162,
                  0.23390109051410934,
                  0.2104505639455176,
                  0.20611965607115396,
                  0.17490712668192288,
                  0.2843736386325201,
                  0.30537124030247026,
                  0.14850560429956033,
                  0.19196909984821953,
                  0.1397465773074753,
                  0.17498170367441346,
                  0.12816100681329473,
                  0.23184260041542798
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1702793717909165,
                  0.27965387916894496,
                  0.10517386406575205,
                  0.18177849265595342,
                  0.2975329108444956,
                  0.09592103892341211,
                  0.09339536658939114,
                  0.27383573697545716,
                  0.09076907326519092,
                  0.14633932297683766,
                  0.18854668846404907,
                  0.3455711712289717,
                  0.18999065984853167,
                  0.21141486402556423,
                  0.22618242951041365,
                  0.34703629231295247,
                  0.14983148623018436,
                  0.1596845764561385,
                  0.34845753848744576,
                  0.2118540133355018,
                  0.3599309397440813,
                  0.19359097678404927,
                  0.28588955230932434,
                  0.1975964004156867
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1434486461312728,
                  0.31645691169311657,
                  0.12592735379381784,
                  0.1999880890320964,
                  0.4210405871720072,
                  0.1291934732016715,
                  0.13551543985245154,
                  0.25124886037770683,
                  0.13181281783518126,
                  0.1421054419119424,
                  0.1941778320947689,
                  0.3165126437132459,
                  0.20346680271390255,
                  0.2296019815551491,
                  0.21977727536295652,
                  0.2957749261298567,
                  0.14118788405040053,
                  0.14624580805472828,
                  0.3499310248572198,
                  0.21992198619748354,
                  0.3594839217694388,
                  0.20378001084919606,
                  0.3457546091290874,
                  0.20276822671576744
                ],
                "crps": [
                  16.187215391327026,
                  20.39060540441941,
                  11.536959948026983,
                  11.159615307641246,
                  54.731048207983186,
                  9.016881497538217,
                  8.133386979754535,
                  14.693587438644826,
                  7.536738343352784,
                  12.992164271533154,
                  11.58010018449732,
                  22.89156787964554,
                  10.848856038135516,
                  16.17159357371892,
                  14.05871352637836,
                  27.403120129490617,
                  12.901677128291432,
                  17.089388417195234,
                  38.43228850946339,
                  15.576474405812391,
                  33.79675943054636,
                  10.863936813966111,
                  15.966155428268133,
                  10.724325374645794
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.135184264312578,
                  24.154741944627755,
                  13.513975384214499,
                  13.019917867610289,
                  81.16166334563184,
                  12.367477693926652,
                  13.495417433372651,
                  14.052082306153558,
                  10.595906526023086,
                  12.127650347789233,
                  11.316976354794287,
                  20.590965555492783,
                  12.388520865166832,
                  17.22695089343282,
                  13.534851767011492,
                  24.26260220678667,
                  11.569922704555122,
                  15.015778045845114,
                  39.494929356705285,
                  15.395164091308375,
                  33.640924854699655,
                  10.983328308869137,
                  19.38792314154612,
                  11.761768257139277
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  15.2437600403297,
                  19.284966259711265,
                  10.822301424676063,
                  10.50299069677983,
                  53.515268770686525,
                  8.353764618253743,
                  7.57682515871889,
                  14.049205131240843,
                  6.934931770814839,
                  12.129428250099476,
                  10.866689654656012,
                  22.21330923726483,
                  10.161217472053435,
                  15.311541920021549,
                  13.298185755552959,
                  26.796632777158994,
                  11.992400058542584,
                  16.209365213221098,
                  37.6392683659258,
                  14.674002991588958,
                  32.99098410791175,
                  10.115521736386771,
                  14.711761128124945,
                  9.993353316771907
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.317536543467577,
                  23.35796459817729,
                  12.697045070793552,
                  12.202051839195779,
                  80.47285365334993,
                  11.548375983365016,
                  12.678451972317543,
                  13.236171134630228,
                  9.77344956703739,
                  11.308094418769002,
                  10.495885058363076,
                  19.78743863254775,
                  11.56945900909618,
                  16.417052730597515,
                  12.717960992194332,
                  23.466029141135742,
                  10.74931047318028,
                  14.20169205564696,
                  38.727205395504946,
                  14.581796635287228,
                  32.862113763760696,
                  10.161605103260042,
                  18.582117729180727,
                  10.941519369614019
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.437447158525287,
              "rpss": 0.03482127203723595,
              "brier_below": 0.22285313147887031,
              "bss_below": 0.019056363148036493,
              "brier_above": 0.21459402693371862,
              "bss_above": 0.05066538221753247,
              "crps": 17.69513165126152,
              "crpss": 0.08511831435568173,
              "crps_fair": 16.8911531606872,
              "crpss_fair": 0.08871579818032393,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.062622,
                    0.133774,
                    0.556928,
                    0.208659,
                    0.03637,
                    0.001592,
                    5.5e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1692,
                    0.2673,
                    0.3524,
                    0.4362,
                    0.5311,
                    0.6371,
                    0.7128,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1751,
                    0.3102,
                    0.3366,
                    0.4466,
                    0.4293,
                    0.106,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.017228,
                    0.334445,
                    0.496581,
                    0.129326,
                    0.01791,
                    0.004289,
                    0.000222,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1852,
                    0.2698,
                    0.3471,
                    0.4311,
                    0.5292,
                    0.63,
                    0.732,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2434,
                    0.2266,
                    0.3745,
                    0.4678,
                    0.8127,
                    0.9284,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.6267310984475728,
                  0.41752778351868175,
                  0.4099738227356434,
                  0.3585412958148616,
                  0.3941007182464407,
                  0.39086247898841137,
                  0.33421221817346747,
                  0.3533058424722938,
                  0.38961331330496046,
                  0.38081365252252436,
                  0.3808122009211983,
                  0.5951598845386772,
                  0.37391157100315225,
                  0.4344395020825984,
                  0.43734506434525827,
                  0.4586831023070679,
                  0.4410279965550804,
                  0.5836828074787926,
                  0.5255567177922651,
                  0.34503874543485774,
                  0.5475166525331506,
                  0.3660531022544764,
                  0.3660736821988908,
                  0.3837958744097851
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5345788934798844,
                  0.4969529944769454,
                  0.4649874784432427,
                  0.41318634913187524,
                  0.546313795678332,
                  0.4766642042122107,
                  0.47169819661801,
                  0.3818166879514013,
                  0.47064841190232937,
                  0.36582560814319875,
                  0.354596433655499,
                  0.5238068909793859,
                  0.42423555956814324,
                  0.47458557358541037,
                  0.4052259230358827,
                  0.43061974459188856,
                  0.4027224233638553,
                  0.5463137956783312,
                  0.5329121043837289,
                  0.33515957826149523,
                  0.5425588471307237,
                  0.3577876473332365,
                  0.5050822006578946,
                  0.40346036713634414
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4731399495405823,
                  0.09582590716798453,
                  0.3112331835941769,
                  0.260285856549123,
                  0.07754227311749988,
                  0.2998218448806943,
                  0.2693304111391983,
                  0.24340437621610397,
                  0.3035982027282661,
                  0.23538890193423986,
                  0.16820082778010556,
                  0.14654858059488485,
                  0.2619703671760791,
                  0.1198532649516895,
                  0.16825401926485603,
                  0.20567851918270727,
                  0.29735779433269593,
                  0.451771488660719,
                  0.1157113205473588,
                  0.16222757100850774,
                  0.12030742859301984,
                  0.1445998042707778,
                  0.07385453297420584,
                  0.2507282571687794
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.41359590220543146,
                  0.1268854967685847,
                  0.33814805813719095,
                  0.27996356840395453,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.3514292535000652,
                  0.3496506429006213,
                  0.2388550695900949,
                  0.34166178514329076,
                  0.23093071395539494,
                  0.13757235619120822,
                  0.12205538687900032,
                  0.2819639840102135,
                  0.13806476563762554,
                  0.14568431899338546,
                  0.18489584470340845,
                  0.2812051027379592,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.17461254268602422,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.13651544485609332,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.25734411395433127
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1535911518333508,
                  0.321701874687505,
                  0.09874064168681587,
                  0.09825544097398063,
                  0.31655844531557265,
                  0.09104063602622804,
                  0.06488180777905121,
                  0.10990146697120402,
                  0.08601511137559052,
                  0.14542475670528313,
                  0.21261137278546918,
                  0.4486112960970983,
                  0.11194120534858529,
                  0.3145862336029677,
                  0.2690910429141907,
                  0.25300458222556566,
                  0.14367020666189456,
                  0.13191132389900082,
                  0.40984538355914013,
                  0.18281117620993115,
                  0.42720920953077196,
                  0.22145329805171024,
                  0.2922191485383465,
                  0.1330676209139945
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.3700674977083606,
                  0.1268394203060519,
                  0.13322278072792096,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.12523495071214563,
                  0.12204755371738839,
                  0.1429616183613064,
                  0.12898662675903874,
                  0.13489489418780384,
                  0.21702407746429075,
                  0.4017515041003852,
                  0.14227157555792966,
                  0.3365208079477847,
                  0.2595416040424973,
                  0.24572389988847987,
                  0.12151732062589637,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.41192911310927527,
                  0.16054703557547098,
                  0.4215758558562699,
                  0.22127220247714316,
                  0.38409920938344094,
                  0.14611625318201296
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.794029593844716,
                  31.98465260938765,
                  15.896741651176244,
                  10.064070357277783,
                  87.40962864483078,
                  12.973678483662104,
                  9.756679511693463,
                  11.419923664323997,
                  10.814181255673821,
                  15.804728579670765,
                  16.44224667168179,
                  39.79268869216262,
                  11.691127435755389,
                  29.135214581229313,
                  18.66297022118306,
                  20.705885549875834,
                  16.862767842196067,
                  27.88799152454644,
                  66.5531060024782,
                  15.393090061741258,
                  57.05684911323599,
                  14.477121864385229,
                  20.640002080456714,
                  11.764204113136744
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  19.691370303217692,
                  38.00944837401189,
                  19.338876299585486,
                  13.469113551773622,
                  127.86859294734184,
                  18.589396676302037,
                  18.87593404459268,
                  13.530392159363533,
                  14.972743454915303,
                  14.253979231397004,
                  15.735341036927533,
                  36.064900095448124,
                  15.139963850338448,
                  31.19288106623586,
                  17.992353028164104,
                  19.696334263177114,
                  14.077232835128438,
                  24.747448096456132,
                  68.61073888811775,
                  12.55291522058674,
                  57.000851281138225,
                  14.391271226711636,
                  25.1312112496158,
                  12.811413514508557
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.408133073204255,
                  30.40757935022815,
                  14.90421041939837,
                  9.168385185807189,
                  85.75354698461919,
                  12.05807051733672,
                  9.023946070455095,
                  10.518953795691756,
                  9.968959955185369,
                  14.540717264252901,
                  15.496374389240673,
                  38.79744040251092,
                  10.75494079286179,
                  27.791781480298916,
                  17.695045561092343,
                  19.811476958014868,
                  15.517669321996436,
                  26.66413976071438,
                  65.4459107202704,
                  13.983001831414668,
                  55.96524455704621,
                  13.365996998634513,
                  18.65707741292882,
                  10.711430466309682
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  18.52395116853421,
                  36.87672256900793,
                  18.170789562622396,
                  12.289909839909377,
                  126.90605491615098,
                  17.41989047035546,
                  17.706970523055745,
                  12.351304505468207,
                  13.796387526958524,
                  13.076262007562349,
                  14.560429422573055,
                  34.92849143385597,
                  13.963924627676032,
                  30.04724509587627,
                  16.82171605773241,
                  18.528924529932958,
                  12.89918086433115,
                  23.58960486668408,
                  67.53597007272384,
                  11.371976284610398,
                  55.90409404224628,
                  13.21381402559538,
                  23.974094843997456,
                  11.63096415863434
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4289491303366712,
              "rpss": 0.05219795322737464,
              "brier_below": 0.219026445140594,
              "bss_below": 0.03375963358335965,
              "brier_above": 0.20992268473721867,
              "bss_above": 0.07070039914345438,
              "crps": 24.91598250440025,
              "crpss": 0.09907592832369794,
              "crps_fair": 23.76708471956307,
              "crpss_fair": 0.10325390608491114,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.012145,
                    0.145811,
                    0.627105,
                    0.186061,
                    0.028877,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1753,
                    0.2688,
                    0.3514,
                    0.4329,
                    0.53,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.084,
                    0.2799,
                    0.3227,
                    0.455,
                    0.6375,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.009328,
                    0.344995,
                    0.494616,
                    0.128818,
                    0.021802,
                    0.000441,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1933,
                    0.2719,
                    0.3459,
                    0.4326,
                    0.5277,
                    0.6161,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0313,
                    0.1726,
                    0.4106,
                    0.4922,
                    0.8219,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3953005092674051,
                  0.5341780707434407,
                  0.49314161892327085,
                  0.3510945509939595,
                  0.40954422539662855,
                  0.39624726148716605,
                  0.3971904384306081,
                  0.5344509308783185
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3957447540292534,
                  0.4437047383669884,
                  0.5463112315335048,
                  0.36237074299741934,
                  0.43798493913098496,
                  0.3932407074853211,
                  0.5285945529473471,
                  0.42293902414021045
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2183299399562086,
                  0.22182667200935843,
                  0.10010712372585627,
                  0.23405138269610593,
                  0.27293369122360955,
                  0.24632360762055405,
                  0.09542689487286937,
                  0.2172192208381217
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21064168310452153,
                  0.1781065535964162,
                  0.11133273118470274,
                  0.2268505366779282,
                  0.2859739073831904,
                  0.2462520701941481,
                  0.13257909683196697,
                  0.14583204241235156
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17697057432538457,
                  0.3123513872394587,
                  0.3930344614956428,
                  0.11704318091536507,
                  0.13661054247963705,
                  0.1499236669641519,
                  0.3017635185095212,
                  0.31723169595516576
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18510307756215227,
                  0.2655981770143465,
                  0.4349784623050188,
                  0.13552022182301748,
                  0.15201104430253173,
                  0.14698865074398446,
                  0.3960154250387313,
                  0.2771069719137001
                ],
                "crps": [
                  10.403300833478172,
                  17.28375638700947,
                  33.83036545143421,
                  8.54446680878896,
                  10.752498753887354,
                  10.59665768972047,
                  54.040998851431084,
                  19.356012640220747
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  10.667830621192463,
                  14.95134985734363,
                  39.32110711359098,
                  9.155005345554997,
                  12.872793262651571,
                  10.763049268730294,
                  73.22981255372125,
                  15.764339864122904
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  9.682490807320024,
                  16.71814786477458,
                  32.82548166050544,
                  7.873625993302027,
                  10.187106595624295,
                  9.851550298278807,
                  52.79272456359169,
                  18.82742546384717
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  9.895516071070114,
                  14.17903530722128,
                  38.54879256346864,
                  8.382690795432643,
                  12.100478712529222,
                  9.990734718607943,
                  72.45749800359884,
                  14.992025314000559
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43889345076509967,
              "rpss": 0.005591530930883715,
              "brier_below": 0.2007773166178355,
              "bss_below": -0.04464835624416552,
              "brier_above": 0.23811612848554087,
              "bss_above": 0.044344567238821964,
              "crps": 20.60100717699631,
              "crpss": 0.11737687336817493,
              "crps_fair": 19.8448191559055,
              "crpss_fair": 0.12067907977176584,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.042645,
                    0.116895,
                    0.47531,
                    0.282906,
                    0.07831,
                    0.003934,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1624,
                    0.2588,
                    0.3502,
                    0.4339,
                    0.5283,
                    0.6397,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0847,
                    0.0774,
                    0.2815,
                    0.2817,
                    0.2176,
                    0.0216,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.052197,
                    0.39104,
                    0.420163,
                    0.110566,
                    0.025612,
                    0.000422,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1762,
                    0.2583,
                    0.3342,
                    0.4327,
                    0.5229,
                    0.6453,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.533,
                    0.3072,
                    0.3544,
                    0.8325,
                    0.9736,
                    0.8026,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4127405585709697,
                  0.3294966564198753,
                  0.4110949816118796,
                  0.35891752869355226,
                  0.408076946768437,
                  0.4510307762760732,
                  0.35510635376763927,
                  0.42730486872155704
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40125751196759035,
                  0.38247387153027046,
                  0.5455702928662451,
                  0.3608387482495357,
                  0.5032562800825091,
                  0.4582563513417429,
                  0.5532043651857004,
                  0.38836007432288383
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12827059580553923,
                  0.23785904164908117,
                  0.07498686096282833,
                  0.2268846879387418,
                  0.3270423637479427,
                  0.32281487881819143,
                  0.06161156105030724,
                  0.19936724489495453
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11814387008700394,
                  0.2654940440266858,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.22455219994692469,
                  0.39214518221687406,
                  0.3289473855886335,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.16516928651467216
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2844699519151331,
                  0.09163763052461713,
                  0.3361080897494016,
                  0.13203285549500127,
                  0.08103459889563557,
                  0.1282159135759984,
                  0.29349476120367507,
                  0.2279376199714416
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.28311363099235315,
                  0.11697984632238867,
                  0.4344591371814749,
                  0.13628656366910488,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.129308982367292,
                  0.44209320813585196,
                  0.22319078763501846
                ],
                "crps": [
                  17.347565654055586,
                  9.625412200988189,
                  37.309862077374994,
                  12.634042279339821,
                  11.899904867970488,
                  15.844919640425237,
                  85.08708790757545,
                  17.949441142088855
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  17.127934378732938,
                  13.14691039605717,
                  50.002232946975184,
                  13.109652898302157,
                  17.71305578066709,
                  16.568276004836402,
                  124.03503473091268,
                  16.46381001417652
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  16.28589741538491,
                  8.76064354968651,
                  35.68429353878306,
                  11.590999480771805,
                  11.05123255250114,
                  14.809208892329224,
                  83.0652599377123,
                  17.13664638256612
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.023613765163336,
                  12.042589782487557,
                  48.89791233340558,
                  12.005332284732548,
                  16.60873516709748,
                  15.463955391266797,
                  122.93071411734311,
                  15.359489400606916
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3942210838537479,
              "rpss": 0.1222995338470767,
              "brier_below": 0.19735465435844832,
              "bss_below": 0.08029302745500533,
              "brier_above": 0.19686642766636298,
              "bss_above": 0.16072736338103188,
              "crps": 25.962279471227326,
              "crpss": 0.22548893904671596,
              "crps_fair": 24.798022718716886,
              "crpss_fair": 0.23501951189516201,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.036246,
                    0.168707,
                    0.578341,
                    0.188937,
                    0.027769,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1627,
                    0.2576,
                    0.3481,
                    0.4282,
                    0.521,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0061,
                    0.0366,
                    0.3406,
                    0.4524,
                    0.778,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.003513,
                    0.299623,
                    0.488157,
                    0.163777,
                    0.04449,
                    0.000441,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1893,
                    0.2673,
                    0.3329,
                    0.4359,
                    0.524,
                    0.6333,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3743,
                    0.1271,
                    0.2798,
                    0.9139,
                    0.9951,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "loci": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.3878796612939343,
            "training": [
              0.3126273551528579,
              0.44493944172357125,
              0.3498053904784745,
              0.3795231515469414,
              0.5111411295753288,
              0.3971313732405024,
              0.3987018394460105,
              0.3792581998154139,
              0.405098666390841,
              0.36196532782601215,
              0.3753461607683984,
              0.3799590317050865,
              0.3803796240519677,
              0.39937861037390077,
              0.3865863242157427,
              0.3588474382519868,
              0.33317328801037305,
              0.3476347997359222,
              0.3965265112612753,
              0.35783505191117077,
              0.40805678630397824,
              0.3857124966113418,
              0.4794520480010703,
              0.3800318246562546
            ],
            "test": 0.3947057725854508
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.6260415328508387,
                  0.3829401654834675,
                  0.4969011878155037,
                  0.4131839715089584,
                  0.32427703573672895,
                  0.39696580860875547,
                  0.35793687731408363,
                  0.454358650536318,
                  0.37113396522731745,
                  0.4487216288095542,
                  0.3579131830414621,
                  0.4841440365583469,
                  0.443419165440385,
                  0.40186704960332337,
                  0.4208953298660285,
                  0.5453243735771256,
                  0.46966489819844115,
                  0.5312025892640578,
                  0.4697495829877859,
                  0.42065561144223906,
                  0.464573516685341,
                  0.3586004739862281,
                  0.3333301783858476,
                  0.43792299017302627
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5032688802503167,
                  0.4569625517973415,
                  0.4925766309533648,
                  0.42240641841789806,
                  0.5420235784464604,
                  0.4714149767747752,
                  0.4556059924381436,
                  0.42817838868602875,
                  0.46522974710940934,
                  0.4500155575006823,
                  0.37935719815657715,
                  0.46243591166738746,
                  0.43736789322801184,
                  0.4400525455006668,
                  0.4258969314341105,
                  0.47068205281177944,
                  0.4255615226829206,
                  0.4516170483571987,
                  0.49843662915678016,
                  0.4118910860457031,
                  0.4992304990769142,
                  0.37876171452360957,
                  0.4739156159423822,
                  0.43461082713119537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4342615220928389,
                  0.12029176846633802,
                  0.37329823394540124,
                  0.23086163914758764,
                  0.06309842822955934,
                  0.2905359275940264,
                  0.26084233432541754,
                  0.20139587221463284,
                  0.2772312289582242,
                  0.2958530598172388,
                  0.1692289128117434,
                  0.15872593476348099,
                  0.25074744268400984,
                  0.2003236153022477,
                  0.20680393400659816,
                  0.22153296061198482,
                  0.29978343450296946,
                  0.359193104016282,
                  0.14986732819965298,
                  0.1882116224279402,
                  0.1264027183946433,
                  0.162355446365191,
                  0.07952308872580355,
                  0.24828621632642078
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.35982023411904374,
                  0.14050564010422492,
                  0.3666492771595467,
                  0.2224183293858014,
                  0.12098299127445329,
                  0.3422215035731035,
                  0.320090552585692,
                  0.1769295283083219,
                  0.3334169292742277,
                  0.3079101155887398,
                  0.1851793660618082,
                  0.14592326795414162,
                  0.23390109051410934,
                  0.2104505639455176,
                  0.20611965607115396,
                  0.17490712668192288,
                  0.2843736386325201,
                  0.30537124030247026,
                  0.14850560429956033,
                  0.19196909984821953,
                  0.1397465773074753,
                  0.17498170367441346,
                  0.12816100681329473,
                  0.23184260041542798
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.19178000983215607,
                  0.26264839799531103,
                  0.12360295008169345,
                  0.18232233149709484,
                  0.2611786040720254,
                  0.10642987831537983,
                  0.0970945426920659,
                  0.2529627788968961,
                  0.09390273563077373,
                  0.15286856523344744,
                  0.18868426875188143,
                  0.3254181073248037,
                  0.19267172195900925,
                  0.20154343436531352,
                  0.21409139507450706,
                  0.3237914143265962,
                  0.16988146048479216,
                  0.17200948303610977,
                  0.3198822604618528,
                  0.23244399062251234,
                  0.3381708030837391,
                  0.1962450263613404,
                  0.2538070886845013,
                  0.1896367729459292
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1434486461312728,
                  0.31645691169311657,
                  0.12592735379381784,
                  0.1999880890320964,
                  0.4210405871720072,
                  0.1291934732016715,
                  0.13551543985245154,
                  0.25124886037770683,
                  0.13181281783518126,
                  0.1421054419119424,
                  0.1941778320947689,
                  0.3165126437132459,
                  0.20346680271390255,
                  0.2296019815551491,
                  0.21977727536295652,
                  0.2957749261298567,
                  0.14118788405040053,
                  0.14624580805472828,
                  0.3499310248572198,
                  0.21992198619748354,
                  0.3594839217694388,
                  0.20378001084919606,
                  0.3457546091290874,
                  0.20276822671576744
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.764371643753055,
                  19.58660248953929,
                  13.121431760235875,
                  11.372840136691043,
                  55.256784370809704,
                  9.692770835376654,
                  8.086098061002536,
                  14.153641347587657,
                  7.294945593294298,
                  13.167757186847531,
                  10.628670404938559,
                  21.956938132173324,
                  11.68180170519848,
                  15.240151170593506,
                  13.736863920418871,
                  26.21571426720036,
                  14.841362206742318,
                  19.86983863034933,
                  36.787945831418625,
                  16.6648351615981,
                  32.60315909954316,
                  10.45832148803401,
                  14.072566382624911,
                  11.089238057820092
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.135184264312578,
                  24.154741944627755,
                  13.513975384214499,
                  13.019917867610289,
                  81.16166334563184,
                  12.367477693926652,
                  13.495417433372651,
                  14.052082306153558,
                  10.595906526023086,
                  12.127650347789233,
                  11.316976354794287,
                  20.590965555492783,
                  12.388520865166832,
                  17.22695089343282,
                  13.534851767011492,
                  24.26260220678667,
                  11.569922704555122,
                  15.015778045845114,
                  39.494929356705285,
                  15.395164091308375,
                  33.640924854699655,
                  10.983328308869137,
                  19.38792314154612,
                  11.761768257139277
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  19.038669469984693,
                  18.5992188429604,
                  12.55255028998201,
                  10.822029761118332,
                  54.395146049635215,
                  9.094353417862175,
                  7.544443876640776,
                  13.693289314573391,
                  6.750025818898116,
                  12.430869989187732,
                  10.05740304606932,
                  21.378658390878574,
                  11.060302938635626,
                  14.53015259265533,
                  13.063732172550047,
                  25.674696325220925,
                  14.106537989149285,
                  19.17376037669347,
                  36.12009405674959,
                  15.952112232127263,
                  31.927843553784996,
                  9.859521176785739,
                  13.209068815861135,
                  10.537562739075389
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.317536543467577,
                  23.35796459817729,
                  12.697045070793552,
                  12.202051839195779,
                  80.47285365334993,
                  11.548375983365016,
                  12.678451972317543,
                  13.236171134630228,
                  9.77344956703739,
                  11.308094418769002,
                  10.495885058363076,
                  19.78743863254775,
                  11.56945900909618,
                  16.417052730597515,
                  12.717960992194332,
                  23.466029141135742,
                  10.74931047318028,
                  14.20169205564696,
                  38.727205395504946,
                  14.581796635287228,
                  32.862113763760696,
                  10.161605103260042,
                  18.582117729180727,
                  10.941519369614019
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4338218251292152,
              "rpss": 0.04282016883532602,
              "brier_below": 0.22369399058042638,
              "bss_below": 0.015355112105761126,
              "brier_above": 0.21012783423873885,
              "bss_above": 0.07042320770603516,
              "crps": 17.806027078491304,
              "crpss": 0.07938474890989988,
              "crps_fair": 17.148835134878315,
              "crpss_fair": 0.07481375668320478,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.051764,
                    0.296196,
                    0.361953,
                    0.234191,
                    0.052772,
                    0.00304,
                    8.4e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1792,
                    0.252,
                    0.3457,
                    0.4413,
                    0.5333,
                    0.629,
                    0.7176,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3178,
                    0.2604,
                    0.3552,
                    0.4292,
                    0.4836,
                    0.2388,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.010997,
                    0.250263,
                    0.457434,
                    0.2147,
                    0.064311,
                    0.002294,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1842,
                    0.2586,
                    0.3446,
                    0.4368,
                    0.5313,
                    0.6167,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2579,
                    0.1975,
                    0.3277,
                    0.4544,
                    0.6792,
                    0.7784,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.7773658427230871,
                  0.3753227022567955,
                  0.4571664885812587,
                  0.3700020620249544,
                  0.2939722812066699,
                  0.4084662946520938,
                  0.3290843549144049,
                  0.36583066405668135,
                  0.3785863687206481,
                  0.3855891089250137,
                  0.33075607479255137,
                  0.5270972244000454,
                  0.3827101896004379,
                  0.3843655963870588,
                  0.4075210519970556,
                  0.4300869769396623,
                  0.4975124251601131,
                  0.6922787510524179,
                  0.45017829137313814,
                  0.36418563570771334,
                  0.4673548373118015,
                  0.3180059310343527,
                  0.28050480947080736,
                  0.419090557168538
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5345788934798844,
                  0.4969529944769454,
                  0.4649874784432427,
                  0.41318634913187524,
                  0.546313795678332,
                  0.4766642042122107,
                  0.47169819661801,
                  0.3818166879514013,
                  0.47064841190232937,
                  0.36582560814319875,
                  0.354596433655499,
                  0.5238068909793859,
                  0.42423555956814324,
                  0.47458557358541037,
                  0.4052259230358827,
                  0.43061974459188856,
                  0.4027224233638553,
                  0.5463137956783312,
                  0.5329121043837289,
                  0.33515957826149523,
                  0.5425588471307237,
                  0.3577876473332365,
                  0.5050822006578946,
                  0.40346036713634414
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.5717893017350171,
                  0.08295032920146357,
                  0.34479825806461717,
                  0.2658648211705812,
                  0.04981977407501704,
                  0.3084911294754873,
                  0.2674973354135689,
                  0.25179055075430473,
                  0.2911876192254461,
                  0.23041105212691973,
                  0.12226209206224266,
                  0.12016808021360863,
                  0.2712775506103181,
                  0.10075052134270333,
                  0.15285250584352048,
                  0.1967880886593746,
                  0.3244304919907002,
                  0.5322792518565675,
                  0.09489425894924304,
                  0.15261871269747218,
                  0.1015076743385464,
                  0.10714535549545551,
                  0.05343110473990555,
                  0.2842752283301696
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.41359590220543146,
                  0.1268854967685847,
                  0.33814805813719095,
                  0.27996356840395453,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.3514292535000652,
                  0.3496506429006213,
                  0.2388550695900949,
                  0.34166178514329076,
                  0.23093071395539494,
                  0.13757235619120822,
                  0.12205538687900032,
                  0.2819639840102135,
                  0.13806476563762554,
                  0.14568431899338546,
                  0.18489584470340845,
                  0.2812051027379592,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.17461254268602422,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.13651544485609332,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.25734411395433127
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.20557654098846195,
                  0.2923723754459229,
                  0.11236822651876392,
                  0.10413723839926232,
                  0.24415250317672516,
                  0.09997516104479323,
                  0.06158702082888286,
                  0.11404011218175394,
                  0.08739874813013183,
                  0.15517805282636277,
                  0.20849398349888776,
                  0.4069291542773888,
                  0.11143263693789843,
                  0.2836150766694237,
                  0.2546685493959968,
                  0.2332988923092059,
                  0.17308193068161534,
                  0.15999949652313997,
                  0.3552840414251026,
                  0.21156692281407774,
                  0.36584716997658057,
                  0.2108605742406122,
                  0.22707370106218175,
                  0.1348153265316076
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.3700674977083606,
                  0.1268394203060519,
                  0.13322278072792096,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.12523495071214563,
                  0.12204755371738839,
                  0.1429616183613064,
                  0.12898662675903874,
                  0.13489489418780384,
                  0.21702407746429075,
                  0.4017515041003852,
                  0.14227157555792966,
                  0.3365208079477847,
                  0.2595416040424973,
                  0.24572389988847987,
                  0.12151732062589637,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.41192911310927527,
                  0.16054703557547098,
                  0.4215758558562699,
                  0.22127220247714316,
                  0.38409920938344094,
                  0.14611625318201296
                ],
                "crps": [
                  32.643173548875275,
                  29.43988010639292,
                  18.079718289461198,
                  10.465100405824895,
                  88.86364698034349,
                  14.1283406183936,
                  9.218508637238488,
                  11.41840642203122,
                  10.430246606316711,
                  16.40830973038313,
                  14.255035657304271,
                  36.9203856134455,
                  12.09597137228818,
                  26.229751268636406,
                  17.798929263216362,
                  18.869339108070015,
                  20.687755744650836,
                  33.75850289219336,
                  62.87261272489995,
                  17.369244563565974,
                  53.94170869847368,
                  12.590839325238656,
                  17.17545774955711,
                  12.29043305688895
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  19.691370303217692,
                  38.00944837401189,
                  19.338876299585486,
                  13.469113551773622,
                  127.86859294734184,
                  18.589396676302037,
                  18.87593404459268,
                  13.530392159363533,
                  14.972743454915303,
                  14.253979231397004,
                  15.735341036927533,
                  36.064900095448124,
                  15.139963850338448,
                  31.19288106623586,
                  17.992353028164104,
                  19.696334263177114,
                  14.077232835128438,
                  24.747448096456132,
                  68.61073888811775,
                  12.55291522058674,
                  57.000851281138225,
                  14.391271226711636,
                  25.1312112496158,
                  12.811413514508557
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.698234055237403,
                  28.17313627379372,
                  17.32705552663713,
                  9.784802506838087,
                  87.74772928261156,
                  13.356638482150016,
                  8.512159965933202,
                  10.818796208185532,
                  9.704366172882063,
                  15.442816275271076,
                  13.560219150510836,
                  36.153885860134096,
                  11.31761024818324,
                  25.233934489583923,
                  16.964370920092865,
                  18.095423101151475,
                  19.708792369140866,
                  32.88934333019815,
                  61.99839091274265,
                  16.390496980888084,
                  53.084303591581374,
                  11.770411448560097,
                  15.890104703185596,
                  11.603864176148825
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  18.52395116853421,
                  36.87672256900793,
                  18.170789562622396,
                  12.289909839909377,
                  126.90605491615098,
                  17.41989047035546,
                  17.706970523055745,
                  12.351304505468207,
                  13.796387526958524,
                  13.076262007562349,
                  14.560429422573055,
                  34.92849143385597,
                  13.963924627676032,
                  30.04724509587627,
                  16.82171605773241,
                  18.528924529932958,
                  12.89918086433115,
                  23.58960486668408,
                  67.53597007272384,
                  11.371976284610398,
                  55.90409404224628,
                  13.21381402559538,
                  23.974094843997456,
                  11.63096415863434
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4205431050190542,
              "rpss": 0.07077182933013448,
              "brier_below": 0.2199700453488438,
              "bss_below": 0.029596918846402365,
              "brier_above": 0.20057305982853246,
              "bss_above": 0.11208993599449513,
              "crps": 24.91463743265376,
              "crpss": 0.09912456407443881,
              "crps_fair": 24.051120251318412,
              "crpss_fair": 0.09253707831069757,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.093177,
                    0.38954,
                    0.342306,
                    0.149463,
                    0.025149,
                    0.000364,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1784,
                    0.2502,
                    0.3437,
                    0.4382,
                    0.5338,
                    0.6033,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3226,
                    0.2732,
                    0.3407,
                    0.4912,
                    0.8231,
                    0.1991,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.011308,
                    0.245646,
                    0.411825,
                    0.229035,
                    0.098225,
                    0.003961,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1854,
                    0.2573,
                    0.3456,
                    0.4407,
                    0.532,
                    0.6145,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0454,
                    0.1109,
                    0.3462,
                    0.4653,
                    0.659,
                    0.7789,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3790752120942647,
                  0.5258750644377088,
                  0.44164557267296495,
                  0.3610726162377865,
                  0.4336140194675811,
                  0.41462020856115545,
                  0.3392012774638824,
                  0.5268080898599657
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3957447540292534,
                  0.4437047383669884,
                  0.5463112315335048,
                  0.36237074299741934,
                  0.43798493913098496,
                  0.3932407074853211,
                  0.5285945529473471,
                  0.42293902414021045
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20340400428534264,
                  0.2230534705596465,
                  0.09515476166666059,
                  0.22862326327770138,
                  0.2908883912392109,
                  0.25644979814129704,
                  0.08751975694563201,
                  0.21121992283156313
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21064168310452153,
                  0.1781065535964162,
                  0.11133273118470274,
                  0.2268505366779282,
                  0.2859739073831904,
                  0.2462520701941481,
                  0.13257909683196697,
                  0.14583204241235156
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17567121349848702,
                  0.3028215832300728,
                  0.34649077804481604,
                  0.13244936707512478,
                  0.14272563644035208,
                  0.15817042416926527,
                  0.2516815004788832,
                  0.3155881533167643
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18510307756215227,
                  0.2655981770143465,
                  0.4349784623050188,
                  0.13552022182301748,
                  0.15201104430253173,
                  0.14698865074398446,
                  0.3960154250387313,
                  0.2771069719137001
                ],
                "crps": [
                  9.970260590612874,
                  17.2213857262852,
                  30.866973485672922,
                  9.321814289253638,
                  11.549583637383062,
                  11.681642098418738,
                  52.11140845149575,
                  19.03030403951915
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  10.667830621192463,
                  14.95134985734363,
                  39.32110711359098,
                  9.155005345554997,
                  12.872793262651571,
                  10.763049268730294,
                  73.22981255372125,
                  15.764339864122904
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  9.652719977062208,
                  16.96098380981628,
                  30.478024655159967,
                  9.027759428373095,
                  11.2942014103047,
                  11.34790731628895,
                  51.69201288672001,
                  18.788926109746747
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  9.895516071070114,
                  14.17903530722128,
                  38.54879256346864,
                  8.382690795432643,
                  12.100478712529222,
                  9.990734718607943,
                  72.45749800359884,
                  14.992025314000559
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42773900759941375,
              "rpss": 0.030864345397292325,
              "brier_below": 0.19953917111838176,
              "bss_below": -0.03820626067986743,
              "brier_above": 0.22819983203172067,
              "bss_above": 0.08414263820207935,
              "crps": 20.219171539830167,
              "crpss": 0.1337361203234091,
              "crps_fair": 19.905316949183995,
              "crpss_fair": 0.11799843174774027,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.077595,
                    0.243124,
                    0.314326,
                    0.27564,
                    0.082375,
                    0.00694,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1724,
                    0.2587,
                    0.3523,
                    0.4435,
                    0.5363,
                    0.6252,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0229,
                    0.202,
                    0.3111,
                    0.2835,
                    0.1933,
                    0.0722,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.035237,
                    0.399262,
                    0.34999,
                    0.123366,
                    0.076641,
                    0.015504,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1826,
                    0.262,
                    0.3451,
                    0.4384,
                    0.5501,
                    0.6226,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5309,
                    0.3241,
                    0.3148,
                    0.5407,
                    0.9635,
                    0.989,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.37858000269540704,
                  0.34982572021223207,
                  0.3072161823961085,
                  0.3848877461792702,
                  0.45251319789797606,
                  0.48067091646724897,
                  0.21227461363731762,
                  0.42356591319849074
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40125751196759035,
                  0.38247387153027046,
                  0.5455702928662451,
                  0.3608387482495357,
                  0.5032562800825091,
                  0.4582563513417429,
                  0.5532043651857004,
                  0.38836007432288383
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.10700582142558554,
                  0.24392125764158262,
                  0.04954411277629175,
                  0.23001854074658915,
                  0.364602994055358,
                  0.3374770424177349,
                  0.03274560267011398,
                  0.19378667939424937
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11814387008700394,
                  0.2654940440266858,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.22455219994692469,
                  0.39214518221687406,
                  0.3289473855886335,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.16516928651467216
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.27157417230941816,
                  0.10590447874914583,
                  0.2576720405954964,
                  0.15486922150973986,
                  0.08791022046865911,
                  0.14319389116339593,
                  0.17952898988013355,
                  0.22977923111455767
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.28311363099235315,
                  0.11697984632238867,
                  0.4344591371814749,
                  0.13628656366910488,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.129308982367292,
                  0.44209320813585196,
                  0.22319078763501846
                ],
                "crps": [
                  15.68518343754459,
                  10.388935676191883,
                  30.880247109149142,
                  14.140464472538515,
                  13.053833250753131,
                  17.65592076062598,
                  81.0662977962172,
                  17.375519889245897
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  17.127934378732938,
                  13.14691039605717,
                  50.002232946975184,
                  13.109652898302157,
                  17.71305578066709,
                  16.568276004836402,
                  124.03503473091268,
                  16.46381001417652
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  15.257129103081846,
                  10.02270834837708,
                  30.294971361644368,
                  13.721495051425075,
                  12.700832793233356,
                  17.22736776493821,
                  80.46144428462357,
                  17.02640632796799
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.023613765163336,
                  12.042589782487557,
                  48.89791233340558,
                  12.005332284732548,
                  16.60873516709748,
                  15.463955391266797,
                  122.93071411734311,
                  15.359489400606916
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3736917865855064,
              "rpss": 0.16800630733058786,
              "brier_below": 0.19488775639093817,
              "bss_below": 0.09178920051791861,
              "brier_above": 0.1788040307238183,
              "bss_above": 0.23773021087171142,
              "crps": 25.03080029903329,
              "crpss": 0.25327698141454524,
              "crps_fair": 24.589044379411437,
              "crpss_fair": 0.24146616910725338,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.149913,
                    0.347559,
                    0.35336,
                    0.137727,
                    0.011441,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1692,
                    0.2574,
                    0.3475,
                    0.4357,
                    0.5149,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0132,
                    0.2522,
                    0.4291,
                    0.4556,
                    0.5588,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.002858,
                    0.265374,
                    0.387558,
                    0.16201,
                    0.14961,
                    0.03259,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1923,
                    0.2715,
                    0.3452,
                    0.4386,
                    0.5533,
                    0.6225,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1534,
                    0.131,
                    0.1948,
                    0.4959,
                    0.9808,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "eqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.30407003808176225,
            "training": [
              0.21109054533169047,
              0.36845588356196834,
              0.268263234181074,
              0.2978193109560106,
              0.47731098503842245,
              0.3271535414474386,
              0.3131343486985634,
              0.2754529718551274,
              0.34535326189747395,
              0.28169664676810896,
              0.28718110888317777,
              0.27864558871372236,
              0.29654650147496386,
              0.32799674784917204,
              0.2940580084090359,
              0.2514366983289631,
              0.24169766102027793,
              0.25244515884244884,
              0.31910861598967755,
              0.2690002085041,
              0.31856091093323197,
              0.2936904613213373,
              0.40933534805386795,
              0.2922471659024393
            ],
            "test": 0.3057931759624646
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.6328705961775389,
                  0.39506570449511513,
                  0.49529994775896635,
                  0.39383788184321616,
                  0.3116288327906232,
                  0.38952800184725594,
                  0.347852003700445,
                  0.45421444943477013,
                  0.3701389643273582,
                  0.4687333583491441,
                  0.382106161884407,
                  0.5257649126984625,
                  0.42381485217775,
                  0.4113684134555512,
                  0.4580878597635595,
                  0.5550281155275965,
                  0.4554035421507648,
                  0.5164955094338979,
                  0.48179595825205146,
                  0.4139529603266648,
                  0.4880025362389861,
                  0.37660121882540665,
                  0.32926915890551495,
                  0.4285810217083606
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5032688802503167,
                  0.4569625517973415,
                  0.4925766309533648,
                  0.42240641841789806,
                  0.5420235784464604,
                  0.4714149767747752,
                  0.4556059924381436,
                  0.42817838868602875,
                  0.46522974710940934,
                  0.4500155575006823,
                  0.37935719815657715,
                  0.46243591166738746,
                  0.43736789322801184,
                  0.4400525455006668,
                  0.4258969314341105,
                  0.47068205281177944,
                  0.4255615226829206,
                  0.4516170483571987,
                  0.49843662915678016,
                  0.4118910860457031,
                  0.4992304990769142,
                  0.37876171452360957,
                  0.4739156159423822,
                  0.43461082713119537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.452474504099568,
                  0.12199059647192398,
                  0.3821158665757539,
                  0.215201047170456,
                  0.05718224917640945,
                  0.29000876027589595,
                  0.2558529173417664,
                  0.18966334341634136,
                  0.2830938112379668,
                  0.32293282542580104,
                  0.19061442168295478,
                  0.1703943167980291,
                  0.22585467882696011,
                  0.2061215871618472,
                  0.23664709935118064,
                  0.20759995084021354,
                  0.29005258371522985,
                  0.34750489758072894,
                  0.14876658533324258,
                  0.18318457681046424,
                  0.12507973150080534,
                  0.17526806989184343,
                  0.07060613889661442,
                  0.23214826831649052
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.35982023411904374,
                  0.14050564010422492,
                  0.3666492771595467,
                  0.2224183293858014,
                  0.12098299127445329,
                  0.3422215035731035,
                  0.320090552585692,
                  0.1769295283083219,
                  0.3334169292742277,
                  0.3079101155887398,
                  0.1851793660618082,
                  0.14592326795414162,
                  0.23390109051410934,
                  0.2104505639455176,
                  0.20611965607115396,
                  0.17490712668192288,
                  0.2843736386325201,
                  0.30537124030247026,
                  0.14850560429956033,
                  0.19196909984821953,
                  0.1397465773074753,
                  0.17498170367441346,
                  0.12816100681329473,
                  0.23184260041542798
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.18039608615588018,
                  0.27307511100982446,
                  0.11318407333348343,
                  0.1786368351420521,
                  0.2544465804324961,
                  0.09951923721307042,
                  0.09199908510644039,
                  0.26455110966804235,
                  0.08704515027586682,
                  0.14580052404051316,
                  0.19149173730631208,
                  0.35537060375292795,
                  0.1979601739870193,
                  0.20524682528786448,
                  0.22144075879518407,
                  0.34742817103769075,
                  0.1653509528685076,
                  0.1689906064610511,
                  0.33302938387919795,
                  0.2307683844402277,
                  0.3629228185292909,
                  0.2013331477681451,
                  0.2586630195893486,
                  0.1964327523941607
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1434486461312728,
                  0.31645691169311657,
                  0.12592735379381784,
                  0.1999880890320964,
                  0.4210405871720072,
                  0.1291934732016715,
                  0.13551543985245154,
                  0.25124886037770683,
                  0.13181281783518126,
                  0.1421054419119424,
                  0.1941778320947689,
                  0.3165126437132459,
                  0.20346680271390255,
                  0.2296019815551491,
                  0.21977727536295652,
                  0.2957749261298567,
                  0.14118788405040053,
                  0.14624580805472828,
                  0.3499310248572198,
                  0.21992198619748354,
                  0.3594839217694388,
                  0.20378001084919606,
                  0.3457546091290874,
                  0.20276822671576744
                ],
                "crps": [
                  18.696930739583824,
                  20.250483260906563,
                  12.488239711648504,
                  10.625483233024148,
                  56.18527274848556,
                  8.765178063559596,
                  7.708425554052751,
                  13.826743618797122,
                  7.07882638554304,
                  12.980112671535524,
                  11.435414633648993,
                  23.073328402849413,
                  11.0142936249602,
                  16.11556370256704,
                  14.588489022046476,
                  26.63616513930624,
                  13.68798355763382,
                  18.68442033144931,
                  37.49063165065992,
                  16.4784055647626,
                  33.78146301779407,
                  11.237337061139947,
                  16.584316317551867,
                  10.106050114434348
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.135184264312578,
                  24.154741944627755,
                  13.513975384214499,
                  13.019917867610289,
                  81.16166334563184,
                  12.367477693926652,
                  13.495417433372651,
                  14.052082306153558,
                  10.595906526023086,
                  12.127650347789233,
                  11.316976354794287,
                  20.590965555492783,
                  12.388520865166832,
                  17.22695089343282,
                  13.534851767011492,
                  24.26260220678667,
                  11.569922704555122,
                  15.015778045845114,
                  39.494929356705285,
                  15.395164091308375,
                  33.640924854699655,
                  10.983328308869137,
                  19.38792314154612,
                  11.761768257139277
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  17.928874973017685,
                  19.226401430513853,
                  11.914413716018057,
                  10.08510388436505,
                  55.39325752700887,
                  8.158696138294395,
                  7.169110385234106,
                  13.363286506099264,
                  6.528433117193115,
                  12.233044717742128,
                  10.865719481167213,
                  22.488200758920783,
                  10.395782232427676,
                  15.343960591554591,
                  13.911491751474077,
                  26.092626860318198,
                  12.924115041180674,
                  17.960593431785934,
                  36.79857598936876,
                  15.697527964849687,
                  33.08551366607933,
                  10.607282830759344,
                  15.610880682581774,
                  9.546277593541443
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.317536543467577,
                  23.35796459817729,
                  12.697045070793552,
                  12.202051839195779,
                  80.47285365334993,
                  11.548375983365016,
                  12.678451972317543,
                  13.236171134630228,
                  9.77344956703739,
                  11.308094418769002,
                  10.495885058363076,
                  19.78743863254775,
                  11.56945900909618,
                  16.417052730597515,
                  12.717960992194332,
                  23.466029141135742,
                  10.74931047318028,
                  14.20169205564696,
                  38.727205395504946,
                  14.581796635287228,
                  32.862113763760696,
                  10.161605103260042,
                  18.582117729180727,
                  10.941519369614019
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4377267484197253,
              "rpss": 0.0342043878869881,
              "brier_below": 0.22418161782910362,
              "bss_below": 0.013208699158492654,
              "brier_above": 0.21354513035310826,
              "bss_above": 0.05530555719665542,
              "crps": 17.89664825533087,
              "crpss": 0.07469941191122642,
              "crps_fair": 17.222048802979,
              "crpss_fair": 0.07086385116386429,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.016945,
                    0.239274,
                    0.467291,
                    0.242743,
                    0.029433,
                    0.004035,
                    0.000278,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1893,
                    0.2549,
                    0.3453,
                    0.4356,
                    0.5351,
                    0.6322,
                    0.7369,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2833,
                    0.3354,
                    0.3056,
                    0.4044,
                    0.7009,
                    0.5569,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.03162,
                    0.276108,
                    0.461339,
                    0.186637,
                    0.043391,
                    0.000906,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1887,
                    0.2547,
                    0.3402,
                    0.4405,
                    0.5358,
                    0.6097,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2703,
                    0.2395,
                    0.3278,
                    0.4453,
                    0.8241,
                    0.4991,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.7381417565384052,
                  0.4031635851183282,
                  0.42105358420626127,
                  0.337906181206682,
                  0.2909936851350541,
                  0.36979871263406616,
                  0.28763399084964497,
                  0.3528720751699078,
                  0.33889987639270863,
                  0.387350444474368,
                  0.3741153681285514,
                  0.6110346703747663,
                  0.3551304990983001,
                  0.42241794319625026,
                  0.45412681459794135,
                  0.45240103913143237,
                  0.47878407058853245,
                  0.6367338559326,
                  0.4972122464507244,
                  0.3769358678022137,
                  0.5273311939386663,
                  0.364372960006534,
                  0.2887154148487212,
                  0.39557769060574477
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5345788934798844,
                  0.4969529944769454,
                  0.4649874784432427,
                  0.41318634913187524,
                  0.546313795678332,
                  0.4766642042122107,
                  0.47169819661801,
                  0.3818166879514013,
                  0.47064841190232937,
                  0.36582560814319875,
                  0.354596433655499,
                  0.5238068909793859,
                  0.42423555956814324,
                  0.47458557358541037,
                  0.4052259230358827,
                  0.43061974459188856,
                  0.4027224233638553,
                  0.5463137956783312,
                  0.5329121043837289,
                  0.33515957826149523,
                  0.5425588471307237,
                  0.3577876473332365,
                  0.5050822006578946,
                  0.40346036713634414
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.5554609753052673,
                  0.0900007674268976,
                  0.327016732497596,
                  0.24936627448257048,
                  0.048967243271676855,
                  0.28149779036414674,
                  0.2358524384917848,
                  0.24869059474540528,
                  0.26152619011226275,
                  0.2474595891921654,
                  0.15617826358233144,
                  0.14293333237136568,
                  0.253281679053176,
                  0.1217054848553211,
                  0.18519769729517238,
                  0.20163630266433008,
                  0.3179736898189304,
                  0.49258054778988825,
                  0.11516167800217844,
                  0.16215001790237762,
                  0.11474773142939215,
                  0.13653962465950464,
                  0.0535864237854685,
                  0.27147867436804235
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.41359590220543146,
                  0.1268854967685847,
                  0.33814805813719095,
                  0.27996356840395453,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.3514292535000652,
                  0.3496506429006213,
                  0.2388550695900949,
                  0.34166178514329076,
                  0.23093071395539494,
                  0.13757235619120822,
                  0.12205538687900032,
                  0.2819639840102135,
                  0.13806476563762554,
                  0.14568431899338546,
                  0.18489584470340845,
                  0.2812051027379592,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.17461254268602422,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.13651544485609332,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.25734411395433127
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1826807747749143,
                  0.31316282393406664,
                  0.0940368446645807,
                  0.08853990298223291,
                  0.2420264375196598,
                  0.08830091916906714,
                  0.05178155501501956,
                  0.10418147726923178,
                  0.07737368551845088,
                  0.1398908448780185,
                  0.2179371060848948,
                  0.4681013520127064,
                  0.10184881845282809,
                  0.3007124636841141,
                  0.26892911988505946,
                  0.2507647417340057,
                  0.16081037418762073,
                  0.1441532996643173,
                  0.38205058536313075,
                  0.21478584839149906,
                  0.41258348026597047,
                  0.2278333359619096,
                  0.23512898745442906,
                  0.12409901071506899
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.3700674977083606,
                  0.1268394203060519,
                  0.13322278072792096,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.12523495071214563,
                  0.12204755371738839,
                  0.1429616183613064,
                  0.12898662675903874,
                  0.13489489418780384,
                  0.21702407746429075,
                  0.4017515041003852,
                  0.14227157555792966,
                  0.3365208079477847,
                  0.2595416040424973,
                  0.24572389988847987,
                  0.12151732062589637,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.41192911310927527,
                  0.16054703557547098,
                  0.4215758558562699,
                  0.22127220247714316,
                  0.38409920938344094,
                  0.14611625318201296
                ],
                "crps": [
                  29.81689567897566,
                  31.493440102656102,
                  16.329928664051092,
                  9.213571740209574,
                  88.29602304603593,
                  12.289748591201406,
                  8.650495241245764,
                  10.444697989678458,
                  9.441038633600941,
                  15.863411979794616,
                  16.510347044057053,
                  40.04349357267634,
                  11.131725638741704,
                  28.703078684706554,
                  19.58881680145079,
                  20.517339805355977,
                  18.75839008077519,
                  30.811326716155204,
                  63.92383100166609,
                  18.066272195835193,
                  56.646755979771484,
                  14.640092089568691,
                  22.95377028313537,
                  10.734635013261281
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  19.691370303217692,
                  38.00944837401189,
                  19.338876299585486,
                  13.469113551773622,
                  127.86859294734184,
                  18.589396676302037,
                  18.87593404459268,
                  13.530392159363533,
                  14.972743454915303,
                  14.253979231397004,
                  15.735341036927533,
                  36.064900095448124,
                  15.139963850338448,
                  31.19288106623586,
                  17.992353028164104,
                  19.696334263177114,
                  14.077232835128438,
                  24.747448096456132,
                  68.61073888811775,
                  12.55291522058674,
                  57.000851281138225,
                  14.391271226711636,
                  25.1312112496158,
                  12.811413514508557
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.7405960655359,
                  30.014133481999952,
                  15.537548415130196,
                  8.511526699533018,
                  87.17761262610911,
                  11.473724476153883,
                  7.915466528553765,
                  9.820394901575048,
                  8.678058848877416,
                  14.788510366194412,
                  15.765732623194918,
                  39.20594151442868,
                  10.283951821129898,
                  27.529829823056613,
                  18.69200201576905,
                  19.701147858145823,
                  17.68223692479156,
                  29.850409014743143,
                  62.95278324351476,
                  16.902802125593055,
                  55.70723662337016,
                  13.712576534877968,
                  21.40837969232613,
                  9.976820417538033
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  18.52395116853421,
                  36.87672256900793,
                  18.170789562622396,
                  12.289909839909377,
                  126.90605491615098,
                  17.41989047035546,
                  17.706970523055745,
                  12.351304505468207,
                  13.796387526958524,
                  13.076262007562349,
                  14.560429422573055,
                  34.92849143385597,
                  13.963924627676032,
                  30.04724509587627,
                  16.82171605773241,
                  18.528924529932958,
                  12.89918086433115,
                  23.58960486668408,
                  67.53597007272384,
                  11.371976284610398,
                  55.90409404224628,
                  13.21381402559538,
                  23.974094843997456,
                  11.63096415863434
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42344598026776686,
              "rpss": 0.06435766292281242,
              "brier_below": 0.21962457264446886,
              "bss_below": 0.031120979889569633,
              "brier_above": 0.20382140789928319,
              "bss_above": 0.09770993428400543,
              "crps": 25.20288027394194,
              "crpss": 0.08870214087041572,
              "crps_fair": 24.2512259434226,
              "crpss_fair": 0.08498697278105716,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.027268,
                    0.263333,
                    0.403459,
                    0.253155,
                    0.049214,
                    0.003571,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1875,
                    0.2526,
                    0.3447,
                    0.4372,
                    0.5333,
                    0.6154,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.289,
                    0.3479,
                    0.2467,
                    0.4235,
                    0.7776,
                    0.7758,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.045014,
                    0.318055,
                    0.375537,
                    0.19357,
                    0.066657,
                    0.001167,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1905,
                    0.2525,
                    0.3403,
                    0.4427,
                    0.5352,
                    0.6097,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0994,
                    0.1902,
                    0.3615,
                    0.463,
                    0.8157,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.39163754766613046,
                  0.5242975773610341,
                  0.4378203368276376,
                  0.3546590492496941,
                  0.41332251227840244,
                  0.3995213550312942,
                  0.3303115126952257,
                  0.552156630998127
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3957447540292534,
                  0.4437047383669884,
                  0.5463112315335048,
                  0.36237074299741934,
                  0.43798493913098496,
                  0.3932407074853211,
                  0.5285945529473471,
                  0.42293902414021045
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21579982546182574,
                  0.2164544520110575,
                  0.08876202067459382,
                  0.22923247547500436,
                  0.276631730131434,
                  0.24790402602483827,
                  0.0872143664643769,
                  0.22149769525842253
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21064168310452153,
                  0.1781065535964162,
                  0.11133273118470274,
                  0.2268505366779282,
                  0.2859739073831904,
                  0.2462520701941481,
                  0.13257909683196697,
                  0.14583204241235156
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17583772663436564,
                  0.3078431135920206,
                  0.349058283904721,
                  0.1254265870378863,
                  0.1366907878144121,
                  0.15161734166542826,
                  0.24309712636405437,
                  0.3306589188854345
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18510307756215227,
                  0.2655981770143465,
                  0.4349784623050188,
                  0.13552022182301748,
                  0.15201104430253173,
                  0.14698865074398446,
                  0.3960154250387313,
                  0.2771069719137001
                ],
                "crps": [
                  10.520023634470705,
                  16.779575051479863,
                  31.393127021529004,
                  8.806194373440093,
                  10.664355692808883,
                  10.80999785188621,
                  48.79233623407771,
                  19.4118546451174
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  10.667830621192463,
                  14.95134985734363,
                  39.32110711359098,
                  9.155005345554997,
                  12.872793262651571,
                  10.763049268730294,
                  73.22981255372125,
                  15.764339864122904
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  10.1938325639003,
                  16.521579501199728,
                  30.969345304240377,
                  8.500058847486672,
                  10.410101905951286,
                  10.463904530858818,
                  48.33085660766804,
                  19.17272561634551
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  9.895516071070114,
                  14.17903530722128,
                  38.54879256346864,
                  8.382690795432643,
                  12.100478712529222,
                  9.990734718607943,
                  72.45749800359884,
                  14.992025314000559
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4254658152634432,
              "rpss": 0.03601475652047392,
              "brier_below": 0.19793707393769414,
              "bss_below": -0.02987051730735102,
              "brier_above": 0.22752873573729032,
              "bss_above": 0.08683601652868522,
              "crps": 19.647183063101235,
              "crpss": 0.1582422162336905,
              "crps_fair": 19.32030060970634,
              "crpss_fair": 0.1439204168228707,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.059707,
                    0.155445,
                    0.452838,
                    0.278394,
                    0.048427,
                    0.004436,
                    0.000753,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1671,
                    0.2502,
                    0.3617,
                    0.4455,
                    0.5276,
                    0.6407,
                    0.7139,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.1146,
                    0.3145,
                    0.265,
                    0.1787,
                    0.132,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.045719,
                    0.431173,
                    0.359536,
                    0.072682,
                    0.064473,
                    0.026417,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1737,
                    0.2529,
                    0.3417,
                    0.4454,
                    0.5487,
                    0.6263,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5951,
                    0.2946,
                    0.3259,
                    0.7334,
                    0.9776,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4110648803323034,
                  0.3259775195756876,
                  0.314632563571069,
                  0.3760840036234816,
                  0.39424687085194965,
                  0.45120310580321493,
                  0.19671693272594115,
                  0.4696538800182643
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40125751196759035,
                  0.38247387153027046,
                  0.5455702928662451,
                  0.3608387482495357,
                  0.5032562800825091,
                  0.4582563513417429,
                  0.5532043651857004,
                  0.38836007432288383
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12876365906940834,
                  0.2358404030106036,
                  0.052953029702875375,
                  0.23327833950463195,
                  0.32200980008674934,
                  0.3221585272647742,
                  0.029361910883274132,
                  0.22849178779318366
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11814387008700394,
                  0.2654940440266858,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.22455219994692469,
                  0.39214518221687406,
                  0.3289473855886335,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.16516928651467216
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.28230121025021304,
                  0.09013713208853644,
                  0.2616795053928149,
                  0.14280568011990172,
                  0.0722370849247479,
                  0.1290445935140078,
                  0.16735500088572414,
                  0.24116208842963283
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.28311363099235315,
                  0.11697984632238867,
                  0.4344591371814749,
                  0.13628656366910488,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.129308982367292,
                  0.44209320813585196,
                  0.22319078763501846
                ],
                "crps": [
                  17.345642637894127,
                  9.5755275657911,
                  32.16921263022249,
                  13.273420193610718,
                  11.480828275992897,
                  16.01322875491239,
                  72.85858375674577,
                  18.711962111523853
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  17.127934378732938,
                  13.14691039605717,
                  50.002232946975184,
                  13.109652898302157,
                  17.71305578066709,
                  16.568276004836402,
                  124.03503473091268,
                  16.46381001417652
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  16.873632459358625,
                  9.195127952187002,
                  31.49199902200994,
                  12.809160673280072,
                  11.111455224754742,
                  15.534478569991155,
                  72.150465467744,
                  18.3527613174503
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.023613765163336,
                  12.042589782487557,
                  48.89791233340558,
                  12.005332284732548,
                  16.60873516709748,
                  15.463955391266797,
                  122.93071411734311,
                  15.359489400606916
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.36744746956273894,
              "rpss": 0.18190876000539935,
              "brier_below": 0.19410718216443756,
              "bss_below": 0.09542681200995684,
              "brier_above": 0.17334028695069736,
              "bss_above": 0.2610230124765083,
              "crps": 23.928550740836666,
              "crpss": 0.28615947448300916,
              "crps_fair": 23.43988508584698,
              "crpss_fair": 0.2769159486026822,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.121541,
                    0.162812,
                    0.486088,
                    0.210209,
                    0.019349,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1647,
                    0.2444,
                    0.3558,
                    0.4444,
                    0.5153,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.0771,
                    0.4075,
                    0.4233,
                    0.5579,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.009018,
                    0.352004,
                    0.377971,
                    0.071152,
                    0.130839,
                    0.059015,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.185,
                    0.2592,
                    0.3417,
                    0.4377,
                    0.5496,
                    0.6256,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2187,
                    0.1294,
                    0.2137,
                    0.7648,
                    0.9831,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "gqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.3295163664913777,
            "training": [
              0.2415088721994731,
              0.3895802499240033,
              0.2850539165894875,
              0.33013527344777494,
              0.4590090483448678,
              0.3408887032662557,
              0.3373480920628329,
              0.32513218008628425,
              0.33645062658390545,
              0.2994312392228997,
              0.31115377110795545,
              0.31871131980682255,
              0.334187665187076,
              0.345249201946781,
              0.3186674214106985,
              0.29918489487301153,
              0.2748222951838136,
              0.2892295255936429,
              0.3460493404858462,
              0.2868594613209498,
              0.3586872725838563,
              0.3266237077043649,
              0.42636707289013176,
              0.3280616439703295
            ],
            "test": 0.3388524669391875
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.6729324967779123,
                  0.3746115347678676,
                  0.541910145760857,
                  0.3787815817981398,
                  0.2953459477601514,
                  0.4165591217749606,
                  0.3675975758005619,
                  0.41294844387031576,
                  0.3950606718221625,
                  0.49768408048733404,
                  0.3893965027934951,
                  0.4905797026539408,
                  0.4041421628965473,
                  0.41037856078761564,
                  0.45350178022289883,
                  0.5068662703235786,
                  0.46358506079708206,
                  0.5240059804179412,
                  0.45506597992379977,
                  0.4162975550497317,
                  0.4615387230712871,
                  0.3609737693114081,
                  0.31180808131933563,
                  0.40266983150626656
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5032688802503167,
                  0.4569625517973415,
                  0.4925766309533648,
                  0.42240641841789806,
                  0.5420235784464604,
                  0.4714149767747752,
                  0.4556059924381436,
                  0.42817838868602875,
                  0.46522974710940934,
                  0.4500155575006823,
                  0.37935719815657715,
                  0.46243591166738746,
                  0.43736789322801184,
                  0.4400525455006668,
                  0.4258969314341105,
                  0.47068205281177944,
                  0.4255615226829206,
                  0.4516170483571987,
                  0.49843662915678016,
                  0.4118910860457031,
                  0.4992304990769142,
                  0.37876171452360957,
                  0.4739156159423822,
                  0.43461082713119537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4687160931412801,
                  0.11467853374771184,
                  0.4108226930195894,
                  0.2037312617012054,
                  0.0534866969828601,
                  0.30809629107979913,
                  0.27086374212156844,
                  0.17171774543499094,
                  0.3006106602031276,
                  0.33803991468801736,
                  0.1936421074176407,
                  0.16124668094743894,
                  0.21595688779435454,
                  0.20352250247801068,
                  0.23109326899719668,
                  0.19009943221009198,
                  0.2893292694118391,
                  0.3470391686323351,
                  0.1393681441403897,
                  0.18175589942230225,
                  0.12180995633557905,
                  0.16191478417915803,
                  0.06626677227972536,
                  0.22110416877467712
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.35982023411904374,
                  0.14050564010422492,
                  0.3666492771595467,
                  0.2224183293858014,
                  0.12098299127445329,
                  0.3422215035731035,
                  0.320090552585692,
                  0.1769295283083219,
                  0.3334169292742277,
                  0.3079101155887398,
                  0.1851793660618082,
                  0.14592326795414162,
                  0.23390109051410934,
                  0.2104505639455176,
                  0.20611965607115396,
                  0.17490712668192288,
                  0.2843736386325201,
                  0.30537124030247026,
                  0.14850560429956033,
                  0.19196909984821953,
                  0.1397465773074753,
                  0.17498170367441346,
                  0.12816100681329473,
                  0.23184260041542798
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.20421640284890194,
                  0.2599330015838203,
                  0.1310874483158956,
                  0.1750503192625819,
                  0.24185924761264685,
                  0.10846282596344756,
                  0.0967338322460903,
                  0.24123070024686585,
                  0.09445000945166672,
                  0.15964416063751602,
                  0.19575439453044483,
                  0.3293330285071543,
                  0.18818527391255604,
                  0.2068560572840072,
                  0.22240851089009653,
                  0.3167668434985615,
                  0.17425578794878135,
                  0.17696680843259835,
                  0.3156978423974397,
                  0.2345416567131955,
                  0.33972877325598866,
                  0.19905898390564014,
                  0.24554130752794873,
                  0.18156566130667537
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1434486461312728,
                  0.31645691169311657,
                  0.12592735379381784,
                  0.1999880890320964,
                  0.4210405871720072,
                  0.1291934732016715,
                  0.13551543985245154,
                  0.25124886037770683,
                  0.13181281783518126,
                  0.1421054419119424,
                  0.1941778320947689,
                  0.3165126437132459,
                  0.20346680271390255,
                  0.2296019815551491,
                  0.21977727536295652,
                  0.2957749261298567,
                  0.14118788405040053,
                  0.14624580805472828,
                  0.3499310248572198,
                  0.21992198619748354,
                  0.3594839217694388,
                  0.20378001084919606,
                  0.3457546091290874,
                  0.20276822671576744
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.691289579787117,
                  19.334241676960815,
                  13.003832744491323,
                  10.831272210116232,
                  55.58043215812524,
                  9.291484874201657,
                  7.923966449252832,
                  13.262312829219278,
                  7.275362019034351,
                  13.560810253324286,
                  10.997601584535838,
                  21.908998072963644,
                  10.67970665681336,
                  15.453617218479028,
                  14.220731909712676,
                  25.86246395460004,
                  14.295797885733304,
                  19.436595425619164,
                  36.764659381802126,
                  16.43574603146419,
                  32.31280210787446,
                  10.680943944394647,
                  14.484345058606497,
                  10.224352020404265
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.135184264312578,
                  24.154741944627755,
                  13.513975384214499,
                  13.019917867610289,
                  81.16166334563184,
                  12.367477693926652,
                  13.495417433372651,
                  14.052082306153558,
                  10.595906526023086,
                  12.127650347789233,
                  11.316976354794287,
                  20.590965555492783,
                  12.388520865166832,
                  17.22695089343282,
                  13.534851767011492,
                  24.26260220678667,
                  11.569922704555122,
                  15.015778045845114,
                  39.494929356705285,
                  15.395164091308375,
                  33.640924854699655,
                  10.983328308869137,
                  19.38792314154612,
                  11.761768257139277
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.970733179328626,
                  18.328274801789558,
                  12.440547760668643,
                  10.287448860760911,
                  54.76242508760414,
                  8.690809763802847,
                  7.387934878111546,
                  12.799591384188487,
                  6.727803115977837,
                  12.819462506262987,
                  10.435218991130633,
                  21.32434568678557,
                  10.066646410183038,
                  14.72170356199833,
                  13.557614352268265,
                  25.318085464292853,
                  13.55222368128686,
                  18.75343312127625,
                  36.10483050995447,
                  15.70337661975519,
                  31.648214945582243,
                  10.080642595664093,
                  13.588395371074544,
                  9.677016950169843
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.317536543467577,
                  23.35796459817729,
                  12.697045070793552,
                  12.202051839195779,
                  80.47285365334993,
                  11.548375983365016,
                  12.678451972317543,
                  13.236171134630228,
                  9.77344956703739,
                  11.308094418769002,
                  10.495885058363076,
                  19.78743863254775,
                  11.56945900909618,
                  16.417052730597515,
                  12.717960992194332,
                  23.466029141135742,
                  10.74931047318028,
                  14.20169205564696,
                  38.727205395504946,
                  14.581796635287228,
                  32.862113763760696,
                  10.161605103260042,
                  18.582117729180727,
                  10.941519369614019
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43351006507063294,
              "rpss": 0.043508032891378834,
              "brier_below": 0.2235380281308704,
              "bss_below": 0.016041619723870637,
              "brier_above": 0.20997203659502173,
              "bss_above": 0.07111243516806187,
              "crps": 17.64639025197985,
              "crpss": 0.08763836418714466,
              "crps_fair": 16.989449149996574,
              "crpss_fair": 0.08341269179630573,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.044966,
                    0.342798,
                    0.405651,
                    0.165752,
                    0.034867,
                    0.005632,
                    0.000334,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1818,
                    0.2497,
                    0.3382,
                    0.4342,
                    0.5318,
                    0.6293,
                    0.7247,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3919,
                    0.2927,
                    0.3203,
                    0.4563,
                    0.6441,
                    0.4986,
                    0.3333,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.014327,
                    0.233251,
                    0.421886,
                    0.250096,
                    0.075418,
                    0.005022,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1791,
                    0.252,
                    0.3426,
                    0.4397,
                    0.5432,
                    0.6259,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1688,
                    0.199,
                    0.3092,
                    0.4519,
                    0.6548,
                    0.7029,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.7648621307841947,
                  0.3856018570234558,
                  0.43850621687890995,
                  0.35289432089497313,
                  0.2781501516385814,
                  0.38465312938546037,
                  0.30178867619638666,
                  0.3513888039512183,
                  0.3434519021766,
                  0.39961876090612797,
                  0.3557345092441016,
                  0.5597381023785942,
                  0.35983461974353054,
                  0.3967747454895829,
                  0.43399735541474393,
                  0.4329898103265648,
                  0.4893132256573735,
                  0.6705770147858233,
                  0.46615675513948224,
                  0.3711474712227549,
                  0.4827280169077138,
                  0.3403746613441132,
                  0.2748935819538693,
                  0.3961213325256639
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5345788934798844,
                  0.4969529944769454,
                  0.4649874784432427,
                  0.41318634913187524,
                  0.546313795678332,
                  0.4766642042122107,
                  0.47169819661801,
                  0.3818166879514013,
                  0.47064841190232937,
                  0.36582560814319875,
                  0.354596433655499,
                  0.5238068909793859,
                  0.42423555956814324,
                  0.47458557358541037,
                  0.4052259230358827,
                  0.43061974459188856,
                  0.4027224233638553,
                  0.5463137956783312,
                  0.5329121043837289,
                  0.33515957826149523,
                  0.5425588471307237,
                  0.3577876473332365,
                  0.5050822006578946,
                  0.40346036713634414
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.5552544560005924,
                  0.08955141283261281,
                  0.33150814118113225,
                  0.2538872823078459,
                  0.04683788773318445,
                  0.28948423450200833,
                  0.24610922500404558,
                  0.24296106492110736,
                  0.2622562234977744,
                  0.24369874308021108,
                  0.14438118114847331,
                  0.13799903058518956,
                  0.25271209384368154,
                  0.10924521574904286,
                  0.17323481275003585,
                  0.19892466825443778,
                  0.31832413052718955,
                  0.5098961267969354,
                  0.10731875926616474,
                  0.15517684533088008,
                  0.11080634118581359,
                  0.1247933385065601,
                  0.05356681914565261,
                  0.2667983992818359
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.41359590220543146,
                  0.1268854967685847,
                  0.33814805813719095,
                  0.27996356840395453,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.3514292535000652,
                  0.3496506429006213,
                  0.2388550695900949,
                  0.34166178514329076,
                  0.23093071395539494,
                  0.13757235619120822,
                  0.12205538687900032,
                  0.2819639840102135,
                  0.13806476563762554,
                  0.14568431899338546,
                  0.18489584470340845,
                  0.2812051027379592,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.17461254268602422,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.13651544485609332,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.25734411395433127
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.20960767292812743,
                  0.2960504478641856,
                  0.10699806984929769,
                  0.0990070349640304,
                  0.23131225979133035,
                  0.09516889049411237,
                  0.05567945319180446,
                  0.10842773649839788,
                  0.08119567753871809,
                  0.1559200116887649,
                  0.2113533299594167,
                  0.4217390851806685,
                  0.10712252333961263,
                  0.28752953334882947,
                  0.26076254551193256,
                  0.23406514637619594,
                  0.17098909114808045,
                  0.1606808839612443,
                  0.35883800754211703,
                  0.21597062543907564,
                  0.3719216858426318,
                  0.21558132245969133,
                  0.22132675882482045,
                  0.12932292963429048
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.3700674977083606,
                  0.1268394203060519,
                  0.13322278072792096,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.12523495071214563,
                  0.12204755371738839,
                  0.1429616183613064,
                  0.12898662675903874,
                  0.13489489418780384,
                  0.21702407746429075,
                  0.4017515041003852,
                  0.14227157555792966,
                  0.3365208079477847,
                  0.2595416040424973,
                  0.24572389988847987,
                  0.12151732062589637,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.41192911310927527,
                  0.16054703557547098,
                  0.4215758558562699,
                  0.22127220247714316,
                  0.38409920938344094,
                  0.14611625318201296
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.718711261580804,
                  29.810791700612473,
                  17.079945467506576,
                  9.925832906281116,
                  87.68638785224003,
                  13.013655789658094,
                  8.783649777233826,
                  10.484589618762294,
                  9.691806623121828,
                  16.530230081810938,
                  15.155143795845152,
                  37.6291121013876,
                  11.230291423058167,
                  26.919884959292176,
                  18.867232447980903,
                  19.21610596578179,
                  19.876750540166682,
                  32.67938292992054,
                  63.25472012118938,
                  17.539672544929356,
                  53.78130713528466,
                  13.514954904483476,
                  18.91847121438589,
                  11.354445806630514
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  19.691370303217692,
                  38.00944837401189,
                  19.338876299585486,
                  13.469113551773622,
                  127.86859294734184,
                  18.589396676302037,
                  18.87593404459268,
                  13.530392159363533,
                  14.972743454915303,
                  14.253979231397004,
                  15.735341036927533,
                  36.064900095448124,
                  15.139963850338448,
                  31.19288106623586,
                  17.992353028164104,
                  19.696334263177114,
                  14.077232835128438,
                  24.747448096456132,
                  68.61073888811775,
                  12.55291522058674,
                  57.000851281138225,
                  14.391271226711636,
                  25.1312112496158,
                  12.811413514508557
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  30.713561669390934,
                  28.421632365681486,
                  16.301139815607534,
                  9.209098543884464,
                  86.50019157484402,
                  12.204770822121738,
                  8.054438801952315,
                  9.856807606411108,
                  8.929426385916692,
                  15.482839892741785,
                  14.417374389499791,
                  36.81145581683914,
                  10.407529881822907,
                  25.8240984950659,
                  17.976143918775858,
                  18.40947269122812,
                  18.814359825325607,
                  31.789463039209238,
                  62.35118489149075,
                  16.47469251081935,
                  52.86536757227675,
                  12.642644732436773,
                  17.46116623989711,
                  10.619241357997126
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  18.52395116853421,
                  36.87672256900793,
                  18.170789562622396,
                  12.289909839909377,
                  126.90605491615098,
                  17.41989047035546,
                  17.706970523055745,
                  12.351304505468207,
                  13.796387526958524,
                  13.076262007562349,
                  14.560429422573055,
                  34.92849143385597,
                  13.963924627676032,
                  30.04724509587627,
                  16.82171605773241,
                  18.528924529932958,
                  12.89918086433115,
                  23.58960486668408,
                  67.53597007272384,
                  11.371976284610398,
                  55.90409404224628,
                  13.21381402559538,
                  23.974094843997456,
                  11.63096415863434
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4179707146654092,
              "rpss": 0.07645575935784954,
              "brier_below": 0.21769693472635032,
              "bss_below": 0.03962480036259919,
              "brier_above": 0.20027378014072403,
              "bss_above": 0.11341480707630791,
              "crps": 24.77762820704768,
              "crpss": 0.10407860950967085,
              "crps_fair": 23.85575428505152,
              "crpss_fair": 0.09990835119506514,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.042599,
                    0.303854,
                    0.389319,
                    0.208747,
                    0.050966,
                    0.004514,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1819,
                    0.2493,
                    0.341,
                    0.4344,
                    0.5297,
                    0.6132,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4075,
                    0.2709,
                    0.2849,
                    0.4559,
                    0.7536,
                    0.6935,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.018241,
                    0.263929,
                    0.388906,
                    0.227672,
                    0.096121,
                    0.00513,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1798,
                    0.2498,
                    0.3411,
                    0.4413,
                    0.5441,
                    0.6292,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0682,
                    0.1288,
                    0.3289,
                    0.4955,
                    0.6788,
                    0.6872,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.40914832492993597,
                  0.49383552136026293,
                  0.41043829442036855,
                  0.35929103396887085,
                  0.41782479787490484,
                  0.4030528591140852,
                  0.32828302386390285,
                  0.5083674685901132
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3957447540292534,
                  0.4437047383669884,
                  0.5463112315335048,
                  0.36237074299741934,
                  0.43798493913098496,
                  0.3932407074853211,
                  0.5285945529473471,
                  0.42293902414021045
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2261622965956237,
                  0.19657129045607527,
                  0.07782426626665025,
                  0.22329561414078175,
                  0.2747338294171177,
                  0.24125401296134838,
                  0.08739884409306475,
                  0.19397626306164628
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21064168310452153,
                  0.1781065535964162,
                  0.11133273118470274,
                  0.2268505366779282,
                  0.2859739073831904,
                  0.2462520701941481,
                  0.13257909683196697,
                  0.14583204241235156
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1829860341829175,
                  0.2972642205966863,
                  0.3326139969131063,
                  0.13599543379384157,
                  0.1430909762257291,
                  0.16179886008751412,
                  0.24088416110240357,
                  0.31439119158448087
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18510307756215227,
                  0.2655981770143465,
                  0.4349784623050188,
                  0.13552022182301748,
                  0.15201104430253173,
                  0.14698865074398446,
                  0.3960154250387313,
                  0.2771069719137001
                ],
                "crps": [
                  10.428338127003887,
                  16.62136069387206,
                  30.39767685747794,
                  9.137634366601409,
                  10.998868556468755,
                  11.16255962441342,
                  48.492296600898705,
                  18.75057163215941
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  10.667830621192463,
                  14.95134985734363,
                  39.32110711359098,
                  9.155005345554997,
                  12.872793262651571,
                  10.763049268730294,
                  73.22981255372125,
                  15.764339864122904
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  10.109105229413512,
                  16.35731672576877,
                  29.990578508827063,
                  8.837283801406098,
                  10.744163948129613,
                  10.830710565029337,
                  48.05200497430851,
                  18.505913989411
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  9.895516071070114,
                  14.17903530722128,
                  38.54879256346864,
                  8.382690795432643,
                  12.100478712529222,
                  9.990734718607943,
                  72.45749800359884,
                  14.992025314000559
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.41628016551530556,
              "rpss": 0.05682684174873909,
              "brier_below": 0.19015205212403852,
              "bss_below": 0.010635105429106395,
              "brier_above": 0.2261281093108349,
              "bss_above": 0.09245729158562566,
              "crps": 19.49866330736195,
              "crpss": 0.16460535032956014,
              "crps_fair": 19.178384717786738,
              "crpss_fair": 0.15020868842148694,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.086097,
                    0.263117,
                    0.415003,
                    0.189983,
                    0.039186,
                    0.006196,
                    0.000418,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1724,
                    0.259,
                    0.3513,
                    0.4436,
                    0.536,
                    0.6425,
                    0.7187,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0419,
                    0.1663,
                    0.3176,
                    0.2794,
                    0.2574,
                    0.1488,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.049717,
                    0.347893,
                    0.368887,
                    0.12902,
                    0.075175,
                    0.029308,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1807,
                    0.2594,
                    0.3463,
                    0.4432,
                    0.5491,
                    0.6307,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.507,
                    0.311,
                    0.3166,
                    0.5022,
                    0.9338,
                    0.9884,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.397222368624163,
                  0.3396956628251454,
                  0.30180309932458016,
                  0.38653791044010494,
                  0.4173313006028164,
                  0.46803078374786133,
                  0.19545843723156775,
                  0.449154771590203
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40125751196759035,
                  0.38247387153027046,
                  0.5455702928662451,
                  0.3608387482495357,
                  0.5032562800825091,
                  0.4582563513417429,
                  0.5532043651857004,
                  0.38836007432288383
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1213542809128553,
                  0.23891949949649238,
                  0.052195588268382366,
                  0.23223181530059894,
                  0.3350935031180086,
                  0.32482926796402095,
                  0.03136779617101868,
                  0.21698888867395075
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11814387008700394,
                  0.2654940440266858,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.22455219994692469,
                  0.39214518221687406,
                  0.3289473855886335,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.16516928651467216
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2758680781042754,
                  0.10077617889521799,
                  0.2496074825755498,
                  0.15430611113100035,
                  0.08223781266589342,
                  0.14320153252338041,
                  0.16409062102631847,
                  0.23216587895678892
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.28311363099235315,
                  0.11697984632238867,
                  0.4344591371814749,
                  0.13628656366910488,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.129308982367292,
                  0.44209320813585196,
                  0.22319078763501846
                ],
                "crps": [
                  16.639129190110893,
                  10.01826566597011,
                  30.574552900064337,
                  13.90140308245426,
                  12.26205563953231,
                  16.849504214216466,
                  72.58627013929808,
                  18.06512426512425
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  17.127934378732938,
                  13.14691039605717,
                  50.002232946975184,
                  13.109652898302157,
                  17.71305578066709,
                  16.568276004836402,
                  124.03503473091268,
                  16.46381001417652
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  16.180255783489915,
                  9.633832469637419,
                  29.91965800100095,
                  13.456102983088616,
                  11.895481294917918,
                  16.39702712657125,
                  71.89976697948272,
                  17.702095097865367
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.023613765163336,
                  12.042589782487557,
                  48.89791233340558,
                  12.005332284732548,
                  16.60873516709748,
                  15.463955391266797,
                  122.93071411734311,
                  15.359489400606916
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.36940429179830525,
              "rpss": 0.1775520579955897,
              "brier_below": 0.194122579988166,
              "bss_below": 0.0953550554765672,
              "brier_above": 0.1752817119848031,
              "bss_above": 0.25274641129830544,
              "crps": 23.862038137096338,
              "crpss": 0.2881436895958146,
              "crps_fair": 23.385527467006767,
              "crpss_fair": 0.278592796723368,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.132538,
                    0.225796,
                    0.432656,
                    0.188576,
                    0.020434,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1659,
                    0.2577,
                    0.3525,
                    0.44,
                    0.5229,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.163,
                    0.4248,
                    0.4261,
                    0.4635,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.012314,
                    0.289144,
                    0.371263,
                    0.1365,
                    0.125817,
                    0.064962,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1914,
                    0.2679,
                    0.3449,
                    0.4444,
                    0.5511,
                    0.6298,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1958,
                    0.1377,
                    0.198,
                    0.4935,
                    0.972,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.462019511342232,
            "training": [
              0.38506959504070026,
              0.5271021691348332,
              0.42988100586526423,
              0.4583784958870212,
              0.6166688194782909,
              0.473796010872034,
              0.47866928219373656,
              0.43563744880702,
              0.48935482333724506,
              0.4250670815008307,
              0.43822478713908736,
              0.4407055453694617,
              0.4601259370031715,
              0.47384544514462046,
              0.4541557466668478,
              0.4195259127524173,
              0.4056282646739215,
              0.41244559991072194,
              0.4841336452945084,
              0.4324192620686656,
              0.4891095016133185,
              0.44429997601410015,
              0.5631921606924157,
              0.4510317557533344
            ],
            "test": 0.47346848869184205
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.6129658384128681,
                  0.3972334256673599,
                  0.47808404969769375,
                  0.4060701162261105,
                  0.35670461116243635,
                  0.38899884943939983,
                  0.3647225110046476,
                  0.47009731390291554,
                  0.37307429268795184,
                  0.47224066463945613,
                  0.38413755268643573,
                  0.5150608815341216,
                  0.4280582810188232,
                  0.418913435799211,
                  0.45659788691532915,
                  0.5609481639295946,
                  0.44999650825032794,
                  0.5085884643682292,
                  0.4801710745081858,
                  0.4059630947269094,
                  0.48341237930059006,
                  0.37414958613271354,
                  0.35381176047871243,
                  0.43345993065273025
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5032688802503167,
                  0.4569625517973415,
                  0.4925766309533648,
                  0.42240641841789806,
                  0.5420235784464604,
                  0.4714149767747752,
                  0.4556059924381436,
                  0.42817838868602875,
                  0.46522974710940934,
                  0.4500155575006823,
                  0.37935719815657715,
                  0.46243591166738746,
                  0.43736789322801184,
                  0.4400525455006668,
                  0.4258969314341105,
                  0.47068205281177944,
                  0.4255615226829206,
                  0.4516170483571987,
                  0.49843662915678016,
                  0.4118910860457031,
                  0.4992304990769142,
                  0.37876171452360957,
                  0.4739156159423822,
                  0.43461082713119537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4383393350485316,
                  0.11395384214103486,
                  0.3639142347015525,
                  0.2219240460002343,
                  0.06869322914326499,
                  0.2838430948369683,
                  0.2637557073053675,
                  0.20200712670259297,
                  0.27725383097082124,
                  0.3264612510363301,
                  0.19472746004190336,
                  0.1735064620499338,
                  0.22849692018561013,
                  0.2066842092298245,
                  0.2329384049110565,
                  0.22240655283012173,
                  0.2902100457532666,
                  0.34236809172925664,
                  0.14393352403843726,
                  0.1843286956117613,
                  0.12575571022084298,
                  0.17497551927356988,
                  0.07675675917976842,
                  0.23585246868180015
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.35982023411904374,
                  0.14050564010422492,
                  0.3666492771595467,
                  0.2224183293858014,
                  0.12098299127445329,
                  0.3422215035731035,
                  0.320090552585692,
                  0.1769295283083219,
                  0.3334169292742277,
                  0.3079101155887398,
                  0.1851793660618082,
                  0.14592326795414162,
                  0.23390109051410934,
                  0.2104505639455176,
                  0.20611965607115396,
                  0.17490712668192288,
                  0.2843736386325201,
                  0.30537124030247026,
                  0.14850560429956033,
                  0.19196909984821953,
                  0.1397465773074753,
                  0.17498170367441346,
                  0.12816100681329473,
                  0.23184260041542798
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1746265005170097,
                  0.28327958527332425,
                  0.11416981018296313,
                  0.1841460690599176,
                  0.2880113800675209,
                  0.10515575224193349,
                  0.10096680339874924,
                  0.26809018665246204,
                  0.09582046092608723,
                  0.1457794083931345,
                  0.18941009169593578,
                  0.34155442487006804,
                  0.19956136053471918,
                  0.2122292272735016,
                  0.22365948246995587,
                  0.33854161141862055,
                  0.15978645819858714,
                  0.16622036928647382,
                  0.33623755850693743,
                  0.22163439991793707,
                  0.35765667752291846,
                  0.1991740665852181,
                  0.27705500088390467,
                  0.19760746046568503
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1434486461312728,
                  0.31645691169311657,
                  0.12592735379381784,
                  0.1999880890320964,
                  0.4210405871720072,
                  0.1291934732016715,
                  0.13551543985245154,
                  0.25124886037770683,
                  0.13181281783518126,
                  0.1421054419119424,
                  0.1941778320947689,
                  0.3165126437132459,
                  0.20346680271390255,
                  0.2296019815551491,
                  0.21977727536295652,
                  0.2957749261298567,
                  0.14118788405040053,
                  0.14624580805472828,
                  0.3499310248572198,
                  0.21992198619748354,
                  0.3594839217694388,
                  0.20378001084919606,
                  0.3457546091290874,
                  0.20276822671576744
                ],
                "crps": [
                  18.325488284690945,
                  20.665140607560456,
                  12.405432756840748,
                  11.235171197618087,
                  55.84096167565327,
                  9.140557896263694,
                  7.834493174895348,
                  14.427176843246437,
                  7.357202104289956,
                  12.930258726092855,
                  11.27048134213716,
                  22.703313784941546,
                  11.50140896687975,
                  16.38832462792822,
                  14.672963002254324,
                  27.206865701503478,
                  13.448073361736045,
                  18.775703424050896,
                  37.43917418563782,
                  15.969657027451317,
                  33.64795653889858,
                  11.045385247293451,
                  14.532197495403782,
                  10.675369905960105
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.135184264312578,
                  24.154741944627755,
                  13.513975384214499,
                  13.019917867610289,
                  81.16166334563184,
                  12.367477693926652,
                  13.495417433372651,
                  14.052082306153558,
                  10.595906526023086,
                  12.127650347789233,
                  11.316976354794287,
                  20.590965555492783,
                  12.388520865166832,
                  17.22695089343282,
                  13.534851767011492,
                  24.26260220678667,
                  11.569922704555122,
                  15.015778045845114,
                  39.494929356705285,
                  15.395164091308375,
                  33.640924854699655,
                  10.983328308869137,
                  19.38792314154612,
                  11.761768257139277
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  17.57827813391918,
                  19.612973412727175,
                  11.809001517858073,
                  10.65604687419865,
                  54.978931945793725,
                  8.505344866292436,
                  7.283431265200894,
                  13.929388590005404,
                  6.786331149384225,
                  12.179300328876254,
                  10.66968536141206,
                  22.098268039990057,
                  10.865625408164684,
                  15.641080581138722,
                  13.973774334671731,
                  26.627707908439394,
                  12.68698114386133,
                  18.061581065372714,
                  36.746998663764664,
                  15.205263967349998,
                  32.947404821333635,
                  10.408138548047368,
                  13.607957005179115,
                  10.099852254468349
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.317536543467577,
                  23.35796459817729,
                  12.697045070793552,
                  12.202051839195779,
                  80.47285365334993,
                  11.548375983365016,
                  12.678451972317543,
                  13.236171134630228,
                  9.77344956703739,
                  11.308094418769002,
                  10.495885058363076,
                  19.78743863254775,
                  11.56945900909618,
                  16.417052730597515,
                  12.717960992194332,
                  23.466029141135742,
                  10.74931047318028,
                  14.20169205564696,
                  38.727205395504946,
                  14.581796635287228,
                  32.862113763760696,
                  10.161605103260042,
                  18.582117729180727,
                  10.941519369614019
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44056086138094813,
              "rpss": 0.027951231386812325,
              "brier_below": 0.22471193840099382,
              "bss_below": 0.010874360901564462,
              "brier_above": 0.21584892276431522,
              "bss_above": 0.04511389473804084,
              "crps": 17.893281578301178,
              "crpss": 0.07487347736700534,
              "crps_fair": 17.206639466143745,
              "crpss_fair": 0.07169519080568154,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.030774,
                    0.230326,
                    0.496459,
                    0.20825,
                    0.033049,
                    0.001142,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1784,
                    0.2605,
                    0.3533,
                    0.4413,
                    0.5311,
                    0.6286,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3759,
                    0.2891,
                    0.3205,
                    0.4625,
                    0.4626,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004683,
                    0.285197,
                    0.538784,
                    0.142955,
                    0.027739,
                    0.000642,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1793,
                    0.2665,
                    0.3471,
                    0.4382,
                    0.5364,
                    0.645,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4063,
                    0.2315,
                    0.3413,
                    0.4994,
                    0.7803,
                    0.563,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.6868763602496869,
                  0.4294645232539819,
                  0.43029878501126534,
                  0.362199781312738,
                  0.3786845942566843,
                  0.3959049392765642,
                  0.32934164952997774,
                  0.3641799503332283,
                  0.3730047340120804,
                  0.38682758973409487,
                  0.3610831694248784,
                  0.5852161388393831,
                  0.3725600954761145,
                  0.44464760143503446,
                  0.43623448757200994,
                  0.44840698738213663,
                  0.4569551171546444,
                  0.6206556750245374,
                  0.5017291207285538,
                  0.3557462199063631,
                  0.5239943805407568,
                  0.3600727424046095,
                  0.35494075029821287,
                  0.3975097173529154
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5345788934798844,
                  0.4969529944769454,
                  0.4649874784432427,
                  0.41318634913187524,
                  0.546313795678332,
                  0.4766642042122107,
                  0.47169819661801,
                  0.3818166879514013,
                  0.47064841190232937,
                  0.36582560814319875,
                  0.354596433655499,
                  0.5238068909793859,
                  0.42423555956814324,
                  0.47458557358541037,
                  0.4052259230358827,
                  0.43061974459188856,
                  0.4027224233638553,
                  0.5463137956783312,
                  0.5329121043837289,
                  0.33515957826149523,
                  0.5425588471307237,
                  0.3577876473332365,
                  0.5050822006578946,
                  0.40346036713634414
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.5229871120577384,
                  0.100087553847993,
                  0.3244324208515205,
                  0.2578767283924905,
                  0.07083569316539882,
                  0.2931034808566309,
                  0.25847894082513934,
                  0.24849615494273153,
                  0.2796564330262291,
                  0.2452849397776163,
                  0.14984980972134773,
                  0.14251605902747827,
                  0.25680309879864555,
                  0.12783795126643263,
                  0.1733164237644459,
                  0.2000019302053738,
                  0.31007907666426676,
                  0.4829967117223664,
                  0.11401370195829953,
                  0.1621513077036731,
                  0.116382165345786,
                  0.13735092600564516,
                  0.07125095128855788,
                  0.2655291076640367
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.41359590220543146,
                  0.1268854967685847,
                  0.33814805813719095,
                  0.27996356840395453,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.3514292535000652,
                  0.3496506429006213,
                  0.2388550695900949,
                  0.34166178514329076,
                  0.23093071395539494,
                  0.13757235619120822,
                  0.12205538687900032,
                  0.2819639840102135,
                  0.13806476563762554,
                  0.14568431899338546,
                  0.18489584470340845,
                  0.2812051027379592,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.17461254268602422,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.13651544485609332,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.25734411395433127
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16388924395606821,
                  0.32937697440801195,
                  0.10586635918401456,
                  0.10432304959227238,
                  0.3078488995001918,
                  0.10280145544019079,
                  0.07086271012519098,
                  0.11568379175868122,
                  0.09334830067166583,
                  0.14154264366202715,
                  0.21123336067905235,
                  0.44270009023246343,
                  0.11575699480153077,
                  0.3168096553365102,
                  0.262918067261279,
                  0.24840506067274776,
                  0.14687603496916302,
                  0.13765895735042435,
                  0.38771543152148924,
                  0.19359490976160929,
                  0.40761222838427835,
                  0.2227218167769663,
                  0.2836897975421298,
                  0.13198060601749
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.3700674977083606,
                  0.1268394203060519,
                  0.13322278072792096,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.12523495071214563,
                  0.12204755371738839,
                  0.1429616183613064,
                  0.12898662675903874,
                  0.13489489418780384,
                  0.21702407746429075,
                  0.4017515041003852,
                  0.14227157555792966,
                  0.3365208079477847,
                  0.2595416040424973,
                  0.24572389988847987,
                  0.12151732062589637,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.41192911310927527,
                  0.16054703557547098,
                  0.4215758558562699,
                  0.22127220247714316,
                  0.38409920938344094,
                  0.14611625318201296
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.66743180689862,
                  32.25689322263417,
                  16.80170985347169,
                  10.275654293068934,
                  90.98309764771258,
                  13.249818259967093,
                  8.924447198678122,
                  11.339609581910263,
                  10.393383920289942,
                  15.69453505195215,
                  15.972571870004606,
                  39.091132147177,
                  12.000976926208972,
                  29.31867047674026,
                  19.15601499908017,
                  20.515846738815025,
                  17.77413833036027,
                  30.743133312235013,
                  63.92647020946954,
                  16.463132389650973,
                  56.44924031027744,
                  14.393963767913139,
                  18.44705797915004,
                  11.48495446398193
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  19.691370303217692,
                  38.00944837401189,
                  19.338876299585486,
                  13.469113551773622,
                  127.86859294734184,
                  18.589396676302037,
                  18.87593404459268,
                  13.530392159363533,
                  14.972743454915303,
                  14.253979231397004,
                  15.735341036927533,
                  36.064900095448124,
                  15.139963850338448,
                  31.19288106623586,
                  17.992353028164104,
                  19.696334263177114,
                  14.077232835128438,
                  24.747448096456132,
                  68.61073888811775,
                  12.55291522058674,
                  57.000851281138225,
                  14.391271226711636,
                  25.1312112496158,
                  12.811413514508557
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  27.63307150717835,
                  30.799318670262323,
                  15.970263816190185,
                  9.500481847791088,
                  89.78486259832353,
                  12.371847824761113,
                  8.173236417589065,
                  10.647139062692833,
                  9.583779225182106,
                  14.612671689383264,
                  15.166910029736352,
                  38.20619404955365,
                  11.103087767953072,
                  28.194240108976857,
                  18.2163771317195,
                  19.627625268730814,
                  16.709647742121636,
                  29.807833419217857,
                  62.961161478137626,
                  15.338789629677457,
                  55.501528597978805,
                  13.454450407796424,
                  16.96791151989794,
                  10.702274631800469
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  18.52395116853421,
                  36.87672256900793,
                  18.170789562622396,
                  12.289909839909377,
                  126.90605491615098,
                  17.41989047035546,
                  17.706970523055745,
                  12.351304505468207,
                  13.796387526958524,
                  13.076262007562349,
                  14.560429422573055,
                  34.92849143385597,
                  13.963924627676032,
                  30.04724509587627,
                  16.82171605773241,
                  18.528924529932958,
                  12.89918086433115,
                  23.58960486668408,
                  67.53597007272384,
                  11.371976284610398,
                  55.90409404224628,
                  13.21381402559538,
                  23.974094843997456,
                  11.63096415863434
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43152229627126887,
              "rpss": 0.04651230948313134,
              "brier_below": 0.22130494495332678,
              "bss_below": 0.023707977526384538,
              "brier_above": 0.21021735165022704,
              "bss_above": 0.06939594819768313,
              "crps": 25.180161864901994,
              "crpss": 0.08952360402446402,
              "crps_fair": 24.209779351777183,
              "crpss_fair": 0.08655077707605885,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.010152,
                    0.25132,
                    0.5312,
                    0.184466,
                    0.022863,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1855,
                    0.2654,
                    0.3534,
                    0.4409,
                    0.5282,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.7042,
                    0.3054,
                    0.2815,
                    0.5216,
                    0.7698,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.001534,
                    0.281724,
                    0.541167,
                    0.148586,
                    0.026771,
                    0.000219,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1832,
                    0.2695,
                    0.347,
                    0.4385,
                    0.5301,
                    0.6328,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0956,
                    0.1667,
                    0.3669,
                    0.5362,
                    0.7241,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.39247762652433354,
                  0.5246964463676719,
                  0.47748959520499207,
                  0.35414226113586145,
                  0.4126956627860231,
                  0.3977881431699864,
                  0.372539037562922,
                  0.5297907723592058
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3957447540292534,
                  0.4437047383669884,
                  0.5463112315335048,
                  0.36237074299741934,
                  0.43798493913098496,
                  0.3932407074853211,
                  0.5285945529473471,
                  0.42293902414021045
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21568799864458357,
                  0.21923239147351103,
                  0.09655378024540616,
                  0.229709589044657,
                  0.2739655223854973,
                  0.2469783541434064,
                  0.09216019943055416,
                  0.21892754112382914
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21064168310452153,
                  0.1781065535964162,
                  0.11133273118470274,
                  0.2268505366779282,
                  0.2859739073831904,
                  0.2462520701941481,
                  0.13257909683196697,
                  0.14583204241235156
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17678963281474053,
                  0.3054640439526041,
                  0.38093578182830923,
                  0.12443268570940164,
                  0.13873014897521735,
                  0.15080980228986254,
                  0.2803788149648612,
                  0.3108632172041228
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18510307756215227,
                  0.2655981770143465,
                  0.4349784623050188,
                  0.13552022182301748,
                  0.15201104430253173,
                  0.14698865074398446,
                  0.3960154250387313,
                  0.2771069719137001
                ],
                "crps": [
                  10.458683278018647,
                  17.577981960120713,
                  32.93343716911651,
                  8.991078449837149,
                  10.853754508311495,
                  10.82485955284111,
                  53.90349847444508,
                  19.50845449368194
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  10.667830621192463,
                  14.95134985734363,
                  39.32110711359098,
                  9.155005345554997,
                  12.872793262651571,
                  10.763049268730294,
                  73.22981255372125,
                  15.764339864122904
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  10.130644954157942,
                  17.304250210590624,
                  32.521405917168394,
                  8.680178947973275,
                  10.589018234784406,
                  10.47459511242279,
                  53.46334346941242,
                  19.25662318319058
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  9.895516071070114,
                  14.17903530722128,
                  38.54879256346864,
                  8.382690795432643,
                  12.100478712529222,
                  9.990734718607943,
                  72.45749800359884,
                  14.992025314000559
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4327024431388745,
              "rpss": 0.01961860379984004,
              "brier_below": 0.19915192206143062,
              "bss_below": -0.036191396164215295,
              "brier_above": 0.2335505159673899,
              "bss_above": 0.0626681996387094,
              "crps": 20.63146848579658,
              "crpss": 0.1160717985539389,
              "crps_fair": 20.302507503712555,
              "crpss_fair": 0.10039897865269498,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.043978,
                    0.156343,
                    0.436134,
                    0.303326,
                    0.056949,
                    0.003269,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1759,
                    0.2537,
                    0.3548,
                    0.4385,
                    0.5295,
                    0.6211,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0401,
                    0.0848,
                    0.3126,
                    0.2732,
                    0.1572,
                    0.026,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.022345,
                    0.371037,
                    0.459855,
                    0.10482,
                    0.03956,
                    0.002383,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1809,
                    0.2611,
                    0.337,
                    0.4435,
                    0.539,
                    0.6213,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4961,
                    0.3376,
                    0.3243,
                    0.8387,
                    0.9722,
                    0.9644,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.40965458940783916,
                  0.341666575074605,
                  0.39111851682795845,
                  0.37232350240679324,
                  0.4200277641601761,
                  0.4510917220293371,
                  0.3001230325772597,
                  0.4329761743772167
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40125751196759035,
                  0.38247387153027046,
                  0.5455702928662451,
                  0.3608387482495357,
                  0.5032562800825091,
                  0.4582563513417429,
                  0.5532043651857004,
                  0.38836007432288383
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12714637584549313,
                  0.237686012567982,
                  0.0680709821350871,
                  0.2305266503076196,
                  0.3317063744251851,
                  0.3201678990995013,
                  0.05055145729242695,
                  0.20556688259664874
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11814387008700394,
                  0.2654940440266858,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.22455219994692469,
                  0.39214518221687406,
                  0.3289473855886335,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.16516928651467216
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2825082026933296,
                  0.10398057891723045,
                  0.3230475039178114,
                  0.14179686786540574,
                  0.08832140640786483,
                  0.13092383918300946,
                  0.24957154717462554,
                  0.22740928863273763
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.28311363099235315,
                  0.11697984632238867,
                  0.4344591371814749,
                  0.13628656366910488,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.129308982367292,
                  0.44209320813585196,
                  0.22319078763501846
                ],
                "crps": [
                  17.213152479617712,
                  10.463875558553148,
                  35.31447976672463,
                  13.570414263006152,
                  12.01532615200418,
                  16.081222984756554,
                  85.54121565316251,
                  18.31220059012932
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  17.127934378732938,
                  13.14691039605717,
                  50.002232946975184,
                  13.109652898302157,
                  17.71305578066709,
                  16.568276004836402,
                  124.03503473091268,
                  16.46381001417652
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  16.736162626586992,
                  10.051892835633513,
                  34.64871922900231,
                  13.0987526963251,
                  11.618824641266263,
                  15.59497837816066,
                  84.86740861947024,
                  17.923364432468297
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.023613765163336,
                  12.042589782487557,
                  48.89791233340558,
                  12.005332284732548,
                  16.60873516709748,
                  15.463955391266797,
                  122.93071411734311,
                  15.359489400606916
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3898727346076482,
              "rpss": 0.1319807719051439,
              "brier_below": 0.19642782928374297,
              "bss_below": 0.08461219330547387,
              "brier_above": 0.19344490434900183,
              "bss_above": 0.17531385702474023,
              "crps": 26.063985930994274,
              "crpss": 0.22245481493803743,
              "crps_fair": 25.567512932364174,
              "crpss_fair": 0.21128193386707572,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.051509,
                    0.198313,
                    0.552722,
                    0.188419,
                    0.009037,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1766,
                    0.2519,
                    0.3494,
                    0.434,
                    0.5087,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.0411,
                    0.3803,
                    0.4524,
                    0.7562,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.19811,
                    0.577229,
                    0.151346,
                    0.068692,
                    0.004623,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2704,
                    0.3375,
                    0.4474,
                    0.537,
                    0.6209,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1288,
                    0.2307,
                    0.9156,
                    0.9968,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "qdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.4419618518416613,
            "training": [
              0.3606938534176218,
              0.5014452557806157,
              0.40595049968208585,
              0.4388454356682627,
              0.6045228071666918,
              0.45901685703006423,
              0.4622866382311577,
              0.42500027231636806,
              0.47109256998623383,
              0.4153019447415242,
              0.4185918144421942,
              0.4165430813039065,
              0.43591964837882735,
              0.4565933453585658,
              0.42672728778682845,
              0.3932124225723727,
              0.3827077143654994,
              0.38513457347436963,
              0.46308138446385017,
              0.4129155530481469,
              0.4658479683850935,
              0.426918207355198,
              0.5469158133050767,
              0.4318194959393163
            ],
            "test": 0.4582442379131125
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.6162021414712301,
                  0.4107480315154442,
                  0.49899897319322106,
                  0.40496881243659966,
                  0.3729125158405565,
                  0.3923883509060083,
                  0.3607102349891163,
                  0.45941320701329486,
                  0.37834820088390525,
                  0.46886616293359806,
                  0.3818425908947617,
                  0.5138566022103026,
                  0.4327498282708815,
                  0.4180230528648736,
                  0.45854395951465843,
                  0.5635906605639769,
                  0.45711604624496716,
                  0.525090998045415,
                  0.48298199715228385,
                  0.40822431065306264,
                  0.48675742374991293,
                  0.37547906550260973,
                  0.356614543990702,
                  0.4299994742419103
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5032688802503167,
                  0.4569625517973415,
                  0.4925766309533648,
                  0.42240641841789806,
                  0.5420235784464604,
                  0.4714149767747752,
                  0.4556059924381436,
                  0.42817838868602875,
                  0.46522974710940934,
                  0.4500155575006823,
                  0.37935719815657715,
                  0.46243591166738746,
                  0.43736789322801184,
                  0.4400525455006668,
                  0.4258969314341105,
                  0.47068205281177944,
                  0.4255615226829206,
                  0.4516170483571987,
                  0.49843662915678016,
                  0.4118910860457031,
                  0.4992304990769142,
                  0.37876171452360957,
                  0.4739156159423822,
                  0.43461082713119537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4342046034680266,
                  0.1292785548231949,
                  0.37981810402406807,
                  0.22256115162388507,
                  0.08154987252073853,
                  0.2879213966704684,
                  0.26023000592266365,
                  0.19411416861312727,
                  0.2838977492931022,
                  0.3206101749384073,
                  0.19196666543689272,
                  0.17220194561489435,
                  0.23431198207092443,
                  0.2060855925141346,
                  0.22975242674535304,
                  0.22481755663244166,
                  0.2911023578757723,
                  0.35335296603409033,
                  0.14963748288327075,
                  0.18615674456478426,
                  0.1276163482458752,
                  0.1782659914667046,
                  0.08675465982425817,
                  0.2323318890085966
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.35982023411904374,
                  0.14050564010422492,
                  0.3666492771595467,
                  0.2224183293858014,
                  0.12098299127445329,
                  0.3422215035731035,
                  0.320090552585692,
                  0.1769295283083219,
                  0.3334169292742277,
                  0.3079101155887398,
                  0.1851793660618082,
                  0.14592326795414162,
                  0.23390109051410934,
                  0.2104505639455176,
                  0.20611965607115396,
                  0.17490712668192288,
                  0.2843736386325201,
                  0.30537124030247026,
                  0.14850560429956033,
                  0.19196909984821953,
                  0.1397465773074753,
                  0.17498170367441346,
                  0.12816100681329473,
                  0.23184260041542798
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.18199753504415186,
                  0.2814694792796223,
                  0.11918086399205927,
                  0.18240765915233043,
                  0.29136264172067466,
                  0.10446695156723278,
                  0.10048022793882155,
                  0.2652990377195683,
                  0.09445044985238213,
                  0.14825598345788002,
                  0.18987592438767256,
                  0.3416546635059958,
                  0.1984378448304932,
                  0.2119374615792508,
                  0.22879153308596475,
                  0.3387731041531052,
                  0.16601368412119732,
                  0.17173802929216428,
                  0.33334452162042505,
                  0.22206756697306143,
                  0.3591410843843386,
                  0.19721307396209584,
                  0.2698598835800797,
                  0.19766758321834063
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1434486461312728,
                  0.31645691169311657,
                  0.12592735379381784,
                  0.1999880890320964,
                  0.4210405871720072,
                  0.1291934732016715,
                  0.13551543985245154,
                  0.25124886037770683,
                  0.13181281783518126,
                  0.1421054419119424,
                  0.1941778320947689,
                  0.3165126437132459,
                  0.20346680271390255,
                  0.2296019815551491,
                  0.21977727536295652,
                  0.2957749261298567,
                  0.14118788405040053,
                  0.14624580805472828,
                  0.3499310248572198,
                  0.21992198619748354,
                  0.3594839217694388,
                  0.20378001084919606,
                  0.3457546091290874,
                  0.20276822671576744
                ],
                "crps": [
                  18.657083704221865,
                  20.6168528834776,
                  12.504136892450173,
                  11.046320186461402,
                  54.99189654035556,
                  9.049709561937133,
                  7.830234770905059,
                  14.052010214466435,
                  7.329685807467335,
                  13.214114614330729,
                  11.236533989758364,
                  22.720616146773427,
                  11.394244429025958,
                  16.215207396089404,
                  14.72694213010562,
                  27.080373823795387,
                  13.75369265770192,
                  19.603965767210685,
                  37.463705431094894,
                  15.870401462596934,
                  33.49244654998893,
                  10.896239891077142,
                  14.490541807429164,
                  10.516153910639932
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.135184264312578,
                  24.154741944627755,
                  13.513975384214499,
                  13.019917867610289,
                  81.16166334563184,
                  12.367477693926652,
                  13.495417433372651,
                  14.052082306153558,
                  10.595906526023086,
                  12.127650347789233,
                  11.316976354794287,
                  20.590965555492783,
                  12.388520865166832,
                  17.22695089343282,
                  13.534851767011492,
                  24.26260220678667,
                  11.569922704555122,
                  15.015778045845114,
                  39.494929356705285,
                  15.395164091308375,
                  33.640924854699655,
                  10.983328308869137,
                  19.38792314154612,
                  11.761768257139277
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  17.89504845694773,
                  19.551864818204706,
                  11.903326463123646,
                  10.454602739425093,
                  54.12044926303123,
                  8.412960595541417,
                  7.249911432142646,
                  13.549145321879406,
                  6.7407934251388495,
                  12.434301858420001,
                  10.623327999891991,
                  22.09418058579036,
                  10.733528913388872,
                  15.452565643861066,
                  14.013865741260533,
                  26.488870296379957,
                  12.973580649885701,
                  18.88045073118078,
                  36.75726303051495,
                  15.104399383765257,
                  32.77464705196246,
                  10.249209988533117,
                  13.551998781239927,
                  9.921887572979633
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.317536543467577,
                  23.35796459817729,
                  12.697045070793552,
                  12.202051839195779,
                  80.47285365334993,
                  11.548375983365016,
                  12.678451972317543,
                  13.236171134630228,
                  9.77344956703739,
                  11.308094418769002,
                  10.495885058363076,
                  19.78743863254775,
                  11.56945900909618,
                  16.417052730597515,
                  12.717960992194332,
                  23.466029141135742,
                  10.74931047318028,
                  14.20169205564696,
                  38.727205395504946,
                  14.581796635287228,
                  32.862113763760696,
                  10.161605103260042,
                  18.582117729180727,
                  10.941519369614019
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4439344660451372,
              "rpss": 0.020507746168144436,
              "brier_below": 0.2274391829506531,
              "bss_below": -0.0011302861472526349,
              "brier_above": 0.21649528285078787,
              "bss_above": 0.04225448614028482,
              "crps": 17.864712940390046,
              "crpss": 0.07635054598247593,
              "crps_fair": 17.16384086435372,
              "crpss_fair": 0.07400419181349871,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.018597,
                    0.209645,
                    0.531199,
                    0.2038,
                    0.034775,
                    0.001984,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1806,
                    0.2591,
                    0.3514,
                    0.4406,
                    0.5306,
                    0.6172,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4696,
                    0.3117,
                    0.3185,
                    0.4411,
                    0.4509,
                    0.028,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00701,
                    0.266704,
                    0.541877,
                    0.141418,
                    0.041664,
                    0.001242,
                    8.5e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1835,
                    0.2655,
                    0.3448,
                    0.4386,
                    0.5371,
                    0.6352,
                    0.7179,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4598,
                    0.2224,
                    0.3491,
                    0.4624,
                    0.67,
                    0.1596,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.685708692427835,
                  0.42728632339524725,
                  0.4238843801105872,
                  0.3636655727230668,
                  0.3819744108462948,
                  0.39551749265936276,
                  0.3270131849232222,
                  0.3624675399935523,
                  0.38181278803401636,
                  0.39237921736923936,
                  0.3594553837780202,
                  0.5815748142963937,
                  0.37137845321789037,
                  0.4426589943388694,
                  0.4368033261628168,
                  0.4492220486247848,
                  0.45783318298911935,
                  0.6466128877390653,
                  0.505806624765876,
                  0.35653323945527016,
                  0.5197256470686469,
                  0.35905483229644886,
                  0.359543303711141,
                  0.394405712931374
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5345788934798844,
                  0.4969529944769454,
                  0.4649874784432427,
                  0.41318634913187524,
                  0.546313795678332,
                  0.4766642042122107,
                  0.47169819661801,
                  0.3818166879514013,
                  0.47064841190232937,
                  0.36582560814319875,
                  0.354596433655499,
                  0.5238068909793859,
                  0.42423555956814324,
                  0.47458557358541037,
                  0.4052259230358827,
                  0.43061974459188856,
                  0.4027224233638553,
                  0.5463137956783312,
                  0.5329121043837289,
                  0.33515957826149523,
                  0.5425588471307237,
                  0.3577876473332365,
                  0.5050822006578946,
                  0.40346036713634414
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.5178592459591932,
                  0.1012226335124071,
                  0.3207911777278991,
                  0.2599261481692119,
                  0.07531974112076363,
                  0.29613174103498635,
                  0.25690991211489533,
                  0.24702135956306245,
                  0.28949402956309833,
                  0.24787820119500698,
                  0.14918375793912994,
                  0.14075459783899075,
                  0.2571955790114094,
                  0.12638532634231478,
                  0.17326056547081903,
                  0.20205057315542457,
                  0.309936002693211,
                  0.5020493068694228,
                  0.11703174066762725,
                  0.16395644037087545,
                  0.11421380806068049,
                  0.13761111755593597,
                  0.07535921245938922,
                  0.26279589636598827
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.41359590220543146,
                  0.1268854967685847,
                  0.33814805813719095,
                  0.27996356840395453,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.3514292535000652,
                  0.3496506429006213,
                  0.2388550695900949,
                  0.34166178514329076,
                  0.23093071395539494,
                  0.13757235619120822,
                  0.12205538687900032,
                  0.2819639840102135,
                  0.13806476563762554,
                  0.14568431899338546,
                  0.18489584470340845,
                  0.2812051027379592,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.17461254268602422,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.13651544485609332,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.25734411395433127
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16784944190190965,
                  0.32606369564432625,
                  0.10309319592202588,
                  0.1037394209385937,
                  0.3066546690722087,
                  0.09938574790340612,
                  0.0701032733576838,
                  0.1154461759115172,
                  0.09231875692415704,
                  0.1445010096088476,
                  0.21027162713770103,
                  0.4408202296784674,
                  0.11418287123621168,
                  0.31627367349965974,
                  0.2635427641444293,
                  0.24717147868668962,
                  0.14789717375961076,
                  0.14456357507100437,
                  0.3887748970631605,
                  0.1925767956678727,
                  0.40551185203113327,
                  0.22144371503093443,
                  0.28418409036517317,
                  0.13160981211733266
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.3700674977083606,
                  0.1268394203060519,
                  0.13322278072792096,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.12523495071214563,
                  0.12204755371738839,
                  0.1429616183613064,
                  0.12898662675903874,
                  0.13489489418780384,
                  0.21702407746429075,
                  0.4017515041003852,
                  0.14227157555792966,
                  0.3365208079477847,
                  0.2595416040424973,
                  0.24572389988847987,
                  0.12151732062589637,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.41192911310927527,
                  0.16054703557547098,
                  0.4215758558562699,
                  0.22127220247714316,
                  0.38409920938344094,
                  0.14611625318201296
                ],
                "crps": [
                  29.11961648371174,
                  31.984808704829785,
                  16.45793241958013,
                  10.144816048565113,
                  89.75689574930304,
                  13.069618676439978,
                  9.006611654914716,
                  11.07236125296548,
                  10.436490962308344,
                  16.18752801228177,
                  15.69173000706472,
                  39.17477674808919,
                  11.834062929345453,
                  28.896315908752918,
                  19.095741917868857,
                  20.566664928403828,
                  18.039556282746595,
                  32.38439298369456,
                  64.57284736534153,
                  16.22539454069614,
                  55.92818924430354,
                  14.275050004866838,
                  18.49272030195102,
                  11.273828742566938
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  19.691370303217692,
                  38.00944837401189,
                  19.338876299585486,
                  13.469113551773622,
                  127.86859294734184,
                  18.589396676302037,
                  18.87593404459268,
                  13.530392159363533,
                  14.972743454915303,
                  14.253979231397004,
                  15.735341036927533,
                  36.064900095448124,
                  15.139963850338448,
                  31.19288106623586,
                  17.992353028164104,
                  19.696334263177114,
                  14.077232835128438,
                  24.747448096456132,
                  68.61073888811775,
                  12.55291522058674,
                  57.000851281138225,
                  14.391271226711636,
                  25.1312112496158,
                  12.811413514508557
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.057394268641197,
                  30.53735469205763,
                  15.604278581900578,
                  9.348016824754554,
                  88.55525368062482,
                  12.195825887440176,
                  8.192804032089258,
                  10.368420354918907,
                  9.594132991967284,
                  15.090970432893545,
                  14.87365130261727,
                  38.28273622790765,
                  10.941908863804008,
                  27.760730417897953,
                  18.13420340205929,
                  19.66855604721689,
                  16.929857042905248,
                  31.435125156275227,
                  63.5984664158972,
                  15.109241191776013,
                  54.94889616957613,
                  13.323357598955443,
                  17.002227969462695,
                  10.467724819475476
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  18.52395116853421,
                  36.87672256900793,
                  18.170789562622396,
                  12.289909839909377,
                  126.90605491615098,
                  17.41989047035546,
                  17.706970523055745,
                  12.351304505468207,
                  13.796387526958524,
                  13.076262007562349,
                  14.560429422573055,
                  34.92849143385597,
                  13.963924627676032,
                  30.04724509587627,
                  16.82171605773241,
                  18.528924529932958,
                  12.89918086433115,
                  23.58960486668408,
                  67.53597007272384,
                  11.371976284610398,
                  55.90409404224628,
                  13.21381402559538,
                  23.974094843997456,
                  11.63096415863434
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43259658557742253,
              "rpss": 0.04413856972895769,
              "brier_below": 0.22268075478173932,
              "bss_below": 0.01763855978154727,
              "brier_above": 0.20991583094475233,
              "bss_above": 0.07073073996446333,
              "crps": 25.153664661274675,
              "crpss": 0.09048170264954303,
              "crps_fair": 24.167547265546432,
              "crpss_fair": 0.08814421854404575,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.027869,
                    0.198833,
                    0.571951,
                    0.1795,
                    0.021846,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1789,
                    0.2588,
                    0.352,
                    0.4371,
                    0.5271,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5107,
                    0.3001,
                    0.2958,
                    0.4849,
                    0.7858,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.002183,
                    0.259351,
                    0.573656,
                    0.131584,
                    0.031542,
                    0.001538,
                    0.000146,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1913,
                    0.2692,
                    0.344,
                    0.4381,
                    0.5396,
                    0.6407,
                    0.714,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1338,
                    0.1466,
                    0.3764,
                    0.5115,
                    0.7263,
                    0.191,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3833369672810765,
                  0.5243095933761814,
                  0.47304290464497006,
                  0.3535879080048954,
                  0.4123279100966137,
                  0.3972823554511423,
                  0.37685787805918425,
                  0.5269036304284617
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3957447540292534,
                  0.4437047383669884,
                  0.5463112315335048,
                  0.36237074299741934,
                  0.43798493913098496,
                  0.3932407074853211,
                  0.5285945529473471,
                  0.42293902414021045
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20695294556463606,
                  0.21938834433501958,
                  0.09548887170140793,
                  0.2286150959474853,
                  0.27436099929901825,
                  0.2470995259486563,
                  0.09870247872575487,
                  0.21522396669812804
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21064168310452153,
                  0.1781065535964162,
                  0.11133273118470274,
                  0.2268505366779282,
                  0.2859739073831904,
                  0.2462520701941481,
                  0.13257909683196697,
                  0.14583204241235156
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17638402664936842,
                  0.3049212384070495,
                  0.3775540000125175,
                  0.12497282565789074,
                  0.13796691945731315,
                  0.15018284258335896,
                  0.2781553769498437,
                  0.3116796496936135
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18510307756215227,
                  0.2655981770143465,
                  0.4349784623050188,
                  0.13552022182301748,
                  0.15201104430253173,
                  0.14698865074398446,
                  0.3960154250387313,
                  0.2771069719137001
                ],
                "crps": [
                  10.31573798648264,
                  17.329152637747278,
                  32.91204509246671,
                  8.88724373954332,
                  10.70892943628535,
                  10.748134679317419,
                  53.534088522944195,
                  19.282168253763267
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  10.667830621192463,
                  14.95134985734363,
                  39.32110711359098,
                  9.155005345554997,
                  12.872793262651571,
                  10.763049268730294,
                  73.22981255372125,
                  15.764339864122904
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  9.9841158201596,
                  17.05151660344755,
                  32.49969410853084,
                  8.57434975289058,
                  10.437502351410194,
                  10.396335806913694,
                  53.08575066728139,
                  19.025235761299815
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  9.895516071070114,
                  14.17903530722128,
                  38.54879256346864,
                  8.382690795432643,
                  12.100478712529222,
                  9.990734718607943,
                  72.45749800359884,
                  14.992025314000559
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4309561434178157,
              "rpss": 0.023575225228404828,
              "brier_below": 0.19822902852751328,
              "bss_below": -0.031389562822502715,
              "brier_above": 0.2327271099263694,
              "bss_above": 0.06597285800634867,
              "crps": 20.464687543568772,
              "crpss": 0.12321730922858609,
              "crps_fair": 20.13181260899171,
              "crpss_fair": 0.10796244349079753,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.051615,
                    0.123142,
                    0.483125,
                    0.282203,
                    0.055055,
                    0.00486,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1788,
                    0.2554,
                    0.3545,
                    0.4408,
                    0.5345,
                    0.6155,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0228,
                    0.0816,
                    0.2906,
                    0.2898,
                    0.1748,
                    0.0523,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.030335,
                    0.364807,
                    0.463142,
                    0.093882,
                    0.036272,
                    0.011563,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1856,
                    0.2613,
                    0.3368,
                    0.4439,
                    0.5417,
                    0.6233,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.507,
                    0.3365,
                    0.3294,
                    0.8314,
                    0.9488,
                    0.9487,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4077960893346451,
                  0.3376177613995079,
                  0.4000963020322848,
                  0.3746753210549843,
                  0.41734989232185216,
                  0.4528464599645725,
                  0.3131426978296217,
                  0.429840444145
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40125751196759035,
                  0.38247387153027046,
                  0.5455702928662451,
                  0.3608387482495357,
                  0.5032562800825091,
                  0.4582563513417429,
                  0.5532043651857004,
                  0.38836007432288383
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12581786123041808,
                  0.2373013214495256,
                  0.07210211651301245,
                  0.23242497012958743,
                  0.3302208534464609,
                  0.3207854560227513,
                  0.05612284191666956,
                  0.2011853785951827
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11814387008700394,
                  0.2654940440266858,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.22455219994692469,
                  0.39214518221687406,
                  0.3289473855886335,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.16516928651467216
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.28197821764174136,
                  0.10031645622336355,
                  0.3279941546423904,
                  0.14225036661062432,
                  0.0871290556093905,
                  0.13206102021210872,
                  0.25701982800404666,
                  0.2286550620056835
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.28311363099235315,
                  0.11697984632238867,
                  0.4344591371814749,
                  0.13628656366910488,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.129308982367292,
                  0.44209320813585196,
                  0.22319078763501846
                ],
                "crps": [
                  17.09285084700192,
                  10.207744987329114,
                  35.82590251173214,
                  13.413582991615016,
                  11.799461106612268,
                  15.989593055247004,
                  84.72975962717491,
                  18.23211241332321
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  17.127934378732938,
                  13.14691039605717,
                  50.002232946975184,
                  13.109652898302157,
                  17.71305578066709,
                  16.568276004836402,
                  124.03503473091268,
                  16.46381001417652
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  16.613109656004657,
                  9.792652160050748,
                  35.164689390002785,
                  12.941536556616985,
                  11.397678645283419,
                  15.502784545382537,
                  84.037118316734,
                  17.837577199315767
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.023613765163336,
                  12.042589782487557,
                  48.89791233340558,
                  12.005332284732548,
                  16.60873516709748,
                  15.463955391266797,
                  122.93071411734311,
                  15.359489400606916
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3916706210103086,
              "rpss": 0.1279779273127668,
              "brier_below": 0.196995099912951,
              "bss_below": 0.08196861363060581,
              "brier_above": 0.19467552011866862,
              "bss_above": 0.17006754787027378,
              "crps": 25.91137594250445,
              "crpss": 0.22700750162444017,
              "crps_fair": 25.410893308673863,
              "crpss_fair": 0.21611340601856222,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.084524,
                    0.140485,
                    0.600199,
                    0.165314,
                    0.009478,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1743,
                    0.2597,
                    0.3517,
                    0.4376,
                    0.5172,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.0611,
                    0.3612,
                    0.473,
                    0.7211,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.001096,
                    0.206709,
                    0.587496,
                    0.138203,
                    0.050866,
                    0.01563,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1992,
                    0.2717,
                    0.3365,
                    0.4461,
                    0.5388,
                    0.6317,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.6005,
                    0.1352,
                    0.2603,
                    0.89,
                    0.987,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.49536648395257465,
            "training": [
              0.4313697495788929,
              0.5437134974721709,
              0.4720331247273184,
              0.49557243180941707,
              0.6256244669917336,
              0.5104511357360837,
              0.5145653864247248,
              0.4777259639991724,
              0.5117681505579122,
              0.47228780013740507,
              0.4806429771040411,
              0.46838649698872686,
              0.48782993138606495,
              0.50447437075851,
              0.4814095864316766,
              0.4607888901330262,
              0.4493801002004776,
              0.45334619311230867,
              0.5154994960781971,
              0.4700971309547176,
              0.5121849459259074,
              0.48658901742168686,
              0.5834160160082574,
              0.47963875492336316
            ],
            "test": 0.5051018146902084
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5736537692889307,
                  0.41973487414433325,
                  0.4582880456119056,
                  0.41200327923953745,
                  0.3708008170449162,
                  0.37658900792072797,
                  0.3553794945746896,
                  0.4858495377352648,
                  0.3618253478159877,
                  0.4480474758985107,
                  0.3642537374422583,
                  0.5254819180736587,
                  0.4506690523018656,
                  0.41382260365096807,
                  0.44362859937797045,
                  0.570708272279379,
                  0.43787686585327906,
                  0.5058844291545587,
                  0.4956764971064627,
                  0.41105353456652166,
                  0.5021014415141986,
                  0.3748473861143904,
                  0.3716851053710366,
                  0.44268436605993644
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5032688802503167,
                  0.4569625517973415,
                  0.4925766309533648,
                  0.42240641841789806,
                  0.5420235784464604,
                  0.4714149767747752,
                  0.4556059924381436,
                  0.42817838868602875,
                  0.46522974710940934,
                  0.4500155575006823,
                  0.37935719815657715,
                  0.46243591166738746,
                  0.43736789322801184,
                  0.4400525455006668,
                  0.4258969314341105,
                  0.47068205281177944,
                  0.4255615226829206,
                  0.4516170483571987,
                  0.49843662915678016,
                  0.4118910860457031,
                  0.4992304990769142,
                  0.37876171452360957,
                  0.4739156159423822,
                  0.43461082713119537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.41312692325799993,
                  0.13045630900122152,
                  0.35603652550894527,
                  0.22725738412213475,
                  0.0749451318376418,
                  0.2795165058055773,
                  0.2593744179809765,
                  0.20940731557896108,
                  0.27290759939640213,
                  0.31339014778245416,
                  0.18353853135433498,
                  0.1780776576837142,
                  0.24918928468787316,
                  0.2059554958084782,
                  0.22562236691178347,
                  0.22558101538282002,
                  0.29062989598150635,
                  0.3489154058608993,
                  0.14921704564874516,
                  0.18964773809191574,
                  0.13347208588758552,
                  0.18100510986584198,
                  0.08426820525584555,
                  0.2418000179540063
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.35982023411904374,
                  0.14050564010422492,
                  0.3666492771595467,
                  0.2224183293858014,
                  0.12098299127445329,
                  0.3422215035731035,
                  0.320090552585692,
                  0.1769295283083219,
                  0.3334169292742277,
                  0.3079101155887398,
                  0.1851793660618082,
                  0.14592326795414162,
                  0.23390109051410934,
                  0.2104505639455176,
                  0.20611965607115396,
                  0.17490712668192288,
                  0.2843736386325201,
                  0.30537124030247026,
                  0.14850560429956033,
                  0.19196909984821953,
                  0.1397465773074753,
                  0.17498170367441346,
                  0.12816100681329473,
                  0.23184260041542798
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16052684358564273,
                  0.28927856779122507,
                  0.10225151695423601,
                  0.18474589403772265,
                  0.29585568396536543,
                  0.09707250091737837,
                  0.09600507685008429,
                  0.276442221587957,
                  0.08891774835346578,
                  0.13465732408108572,
                  0.18071520531113847,
                  0.34740426519953616,
                  0.20147976568093282,
                  0.2078671094184522,
                  0.21800623309453157,
                  0.34512725675152506,
                  0.1472469663996745,
                  0.1569690212394216,
                  0.3464594585402974,
                  0.22140579737357122,
                  0.3686293623281366,
                  0.193842276452197,
                  0.28741690002731074,
                  0.20088434659175877
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1434486461312728,
                  0.31645691169311657,
                  0.12592735379381784,
                  0.1999880890320964,
                  0.4210405871720072,
                  0.1291934732016715,
                  0.13551543985245154,
                  0.25124886037770683,
                  0.13181281783518126,
                  0.1421054419119424,
                  0.1941778320947689,
                  0.3165126437132459,
                  0.20346680271390255,
                  0.2296019815551491,
                  0.21977727536295652,
                  0.2957749261298567,
                  0.14118788405040053,
                  0.14624580805472828,
                  0.3499310248572198,
                  0.21992198619748354,
                  0.3594839217694388,
                  0.20378001084919606,
                  0.3457546091290874,
                  0.20276822671576744
                ],
                "crps": [
                  17.509750459147966,
                  20.589110679942788,
                  11.568495171209001,
                  11.304987776799894,
                  59.70202297504293,
                  8.47947898302521,
                  7.401375537444359,
                  14.851852664394391,
                  6.720641219048534,
                  12.284452103982257,
                  10.94096005859081,
                  23.80696774883944,
                  11.51236142980266,
                  16.18397286089635,
                  14.012780145353045,
                  28.23299535318261,
                  12.686711833430401,
                  18.839176506743993,
                  39.52995556266448,
                  15.878754208572625,
                  35.12858868886763,
                  10.83193854226364,
                  14.30037458205374,
                  10.505350055937198
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.135184264312578,
                  24.154741944627755,
                  13.513975384214499,
                  13.019917867610289,
                  81.16166334563184,
                  12.367477693926652,
                  13.495417433372651,
                  14.052082306153558,
                  10.595906526023086,
                  12.127650347789233,
                  11.316976354794287,
                  20.590965555492783,
                  12.388520865166832,
                  17.22695089343282,
                  13.534851767011492,
                  24.26260220678667,
                  11.569922704555122,
                  15.015778045845114,
                  39.494929356705285,
                  15.395164091308375,
                  33.640924854699655,
                  10.983328308869137,
                  19.38792314154612,
                  11.761768257139277
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  16.885785316503867,
                  19.693183537435058,
                  11.05959591410973,
                  10.806896275454559,
                  59.00512333421525,
                  7.935406866835052,
                  6.914410902621082,
                  14.428081772208769,
                  6.226632694977917,
                  11.633827245168742,
                  10.4268070016571,
                  23.28344928346351,
                  10.957980231354957,
                  15.534505355197016,
                  13.415270670261856,
                  27.730399502847543,
                  12.050138322418405,
                  18.23564330750763,
                  38.93630535354397,
                  15.228454016303585,
                  34.54147465795664,
                  10.285316425214646,
                  13.519881540831111,
                  10.009754525540465
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.317536543467577,
                  23.35796459817729,
                  12.697045070793552,
                  12.202051839195779,
                  80.47285365334993,
                  11.548375983365016,
                  12.678451972317543,
                  13.236171134630228,
                  9.77344956703739,
                  11.308094418769002,
                  10.495885058363076,
                  19.78743863254775,
                  11.56945900909618,
                  16.417052730597515,
                  12.717960992194332,
                  23.466029141135742,
                  10.74931047318028,
                  14.20169205564696,
                  38.727205395504946,
                  14.581796635287228,
                  32.862113763760696,
                  10.161605103260042,
                  18.582117729180727,
                  10.941519369614019
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44052272742255366,
              "rpss": 0.028035369744412897,
              "brier_below": 0.22597242152698602,
              "bss_below": 0.0053260300632402835,
              "brier_above": 0.2145503059388603,
              "bss_above": 0.05085879791756831,
              "crps": 18.033460631134833,
              "crpss": 0.0676258766892599,
              "crps_fair": 17.447680168901186,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0586909522952167,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.013083,
                    0.202328,
                    0.471961,
                    0.253572,
                    0.055206,
                    0.00385,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1802,
                    0.26,
                    0.3524,
                    0.4405,
                    0.533,
                    0.623,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5335,
                    0.2832,
                    0.3171,
                    0.4331,
                    0.4467,
                    0.1231,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.01245,
                    0.395208,
                    0.475074,
                    0.092596,
                    0.023596,
                    0.001076,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1867,
                    0.2664,
                    0.3441,
                    0.4388,
                    0.542,
                    0.6258,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3435,
                    0.2322,
                    0.3701,
                    0.5831,
                    0.8084,
                    0.2905,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.6644090527449135,
                  0.43807447400222876,
                  0.42786036569537367,
                  0.35417183036285116,
                  0.38248428614693825,
                  0.3940328009602526,
                  0.331096836683183,
                  0.3638533114905114,
                  0.37098684435799856,
                  0.3879689749919282,
                  0.3600015586530389,
                  0.5927648252550768,
                  0.3689503678878487,
                  0.45063939029894484,
                  0.43834900270094657,
                  0.44660412365780977,
                  0.4462582577239052,
                  0.6243373521614679,
                  0.5146038100427907,
                  0.35069750600760036,
                  0.5368186896595274,
                  0.35914263697965615,
                  0.36650289821675125,
                  0.3848022776794131
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5345788934798844,
                  0.4969529944769454,
                  0.4649874784432427,
                  0.41318634913187524,
                  0.546313795678332,
                  0.4766642042122107,
                  0.47169819661801,
                  0.3818166879514013,
                  0.47064841190232937,
                  0.36582560814319875,
                  0.354596433655499,
                  0.5238068909793859,
                  0.42423555956814324,
                  0.47458557358541037,
                  0.4052259230358827,
                  0.43061974459188856,
                  0.4027224233638553,
                  0.5463137956783312,
                  0.5329121043837289,
                  0.33515957826149523,
                  0.5425588471307237,
                  0.3577876473332365,
                  0.5050822006578946,
                  0.40346036713634414
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.5097124979869776,
                  0.10368931824513238,
                  0.3270779742189367,
                  0.2546537615157233,
                  0.0737287533927582,
                  0.2984323252998205,
                  0.2604180991751079,
                  0.2526120841437286,
                  0.28233465313763584,
                  0.25053735751687045,
                  0.15037964419944205,
                  0.14305619284255272,
                  0.2573113610753075,
                  0.13135358490772675,
                  0.17336675890046513,
                  0.19853039590959112,
                  0.30877015127813046,
                  0.48991840934303293,
                  0.11680211941391254,
                  0.16536325982748995,
                  0.11691867959823031,
                  0.14111232956680897,
                  0.0751205532494203,
                  0.2556950628874426
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.41359590220543146,
                  0.1268854967685847,
                  0.33814805813719095,
                  0.27996356840395453,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.3514292535000652,
                  0.3496506429006213,
                  0.2388550695900949,
                  0.34166178514329076,
                  0.23093071395539494,
                  0.13757235619120822,
                  0.12205538687900032,
                  0.2819639840102135,
                  0.13806476563762554,
                  0.14568431899338546,
                  0.18489584470340845,
                  0.2812051027379592,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.17461254268602422,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.13651544485609332,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.25734411395433127
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15469655059995419,
                  0.33438516157710757,
                  0.10078238694745942,
                  0.0995180672710154,
                  0.308755531417813,
                  0.0956004736386177,
                  0.0706787390683544,
                  0.11124122480240642,
                  0.08865219069861646,
                  0.13743161260560421,
                  0.20962191546545783,
                  0.44970864232014623,
                  0.11163900520368175,
                  0.3192858102834718,
                  0.26498224636676376,
                  0.24807373085764053,
                  0.1374881012279521,
                  0.13441893909653957,
                  0.397801701264391,
                  0.18533424303529436,
                  0.41990002035234403,
                  0.2180303079226472,
                  0.2913823446894294,
                  0.12910721160246527
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.3700674977083606,
                  0.1268394203060519,
                  0.13322278072792096,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.12523495071214563,
                  0.12204755371738839,
                  0.1429616183613064,
                  0.12898662675903874,
                  0.13489489418780384,
                  0.21702407746429075,
                  0.4017515041003852,
                  0.14227157555792966,
                  0.3365208079477847,
                  0.2595416040424973,
                  0.24572389988847987,
                  0.12151732062589637,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.41192911310927527,
                  0.16054703557547098,
                  0.4215758558562699,
                  0.22127220247714316,
                  0.38409920938344094,
                  0.14611625318201296
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.49045537516162,
                  32.23972569579812,
                  15.974225809747626,
                  9.287427052760219,
                  96.32572669807196,
                  12.32292750031343,
                  8.437078673180377,
                  10.766251117288958,
                  9.54605884955701,
                  15.356870576707328,
                  15.783952236784819,
                  40.93542686429833,
                  11.087058860541827,
                  29.430329005279145,
                  19.13745009495945,
                  20.47456652184617,
                  17.08643881186233,
                  31.95750035879858,
                  67.68882876213675,
                  15.213982640238306,
                  59.034716241934575,
                  13.963727745307402,
                  17.56969609134601,
                  10.771634074151102
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  19.691370303217692,
                  38.00944837401189,
                  19.338876299585486,
                  13.469113551773622,
                  127.86859294734184,
                  18.589396676302037,
                  18.87593404459268,
                  13.530392159363533,
                  14.972743454915303,
                  14.253979231397004,
                  15.735341036927533,
                  36.064900095448124,
                  15.139963850338448,
                  31.19288106623586,
                  17.992353028164104,
                  19.696334263177114,
                  14.077232835128438,
                  24.747448096456132,
                  68.61073888811775,
                  12.55291522058674,
                  57.000851281138225,
                  14.391271226711636,
                  25.1312112496158,
                  12.811413514508557
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  27.617242442292152,
                  31.003058825557826,
                  15.248854387914076,
                  8.621584781240665,
                  95.33029952698027,
                  11.575834092548376,
                  7.757424665055073,
                  10.170724230525467,
                  8.838823305933904,
                  14.42865073530564,
                  15.089433230670329,
                  40.18174808118253,
                  10.327444518149433,
                  28.45431473712203,
                  18.325382169496258,
                  19.70968961470198,
                  16.18762443248863,
                  31.165113379717226,
                  66.85785401802268,
                  14.255093596894405,
                  58.22153055672399,
                  13.154354052007708,
                  16.30469000706267,
                  10.096250196516499
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  18.52395116853421,
                  36.87672256900793,
                  18.170789562622396,
                  12.289909839909377,
                  126.90605491615098,
                  17.41989047035546,
                  17.706970523055745,
                  12.351304505468207,
                  13.796387526958524,
                  13.076262007562349,
                  14.560429422573055,
                  34.92849143385597,
                  13.963924627676032,
                  30.04724509587627,
                  16.82171605773241,
                  18.528924529932958,
                  12.89918086433115,
                  23.58960486668408,
                  67.53597007272384,
                  11.371976284610398,
                  55.90409404224628,
                  13.21381402559538,
                  23.974094843997456,
                  11.63096415863434
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43147547809837317,
              "rpss": 0.046615758486657444,
              "brier_below": 0.22237063865134352,
              "bss_below": 0.019006644458596234,
              "brier_above": 0.2091048399297989,
              "bss_above": 0.07432088853481866,
              "crps": 25.370085652419643,
              "crpss": 0.08265624842536734,
              "crps_fair": 24.53845914933791,
              "crpss_fair": 0.07414949487888733,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.019229,
                    0.212087,
                    0.534248,
                    0.215447,
                    0.018989,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1772,
                    0.2629,
                    0.3513,
                    0.4371,
                    0.522,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.6111,
                    0.3082,
                    0.2815,
                    0.4856,
                    0.7997,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.002117,
                    0.3396,
                    0.517897,
                    0.114714,
                    0.023766,
                    0.001905,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1903,
                    0.2711,
                    0.3446,
                    0.4405,
                    0.5393,
                    0.6228,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0691,
                    0.1592,
                    0.3933,
                    0.5968,
                    0.7415,
                    0.3855,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.37744004012681936,
                  0.535128741643955,
                  0.5101246822492572,
                  0.35258737708375815,
                  0.4107368494458229,
                  0.39754663136546103,
                  0.39196116213268034,
                  0.5382310300234546
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3957447540292534,
                  0.4437047383669884,
                  0.5463112315335048,
                  0.36237074299741934,
                  0.43798493913098496,
                  0.3932407074853211,
                  0.5285945529473471,
                  0.42293902414021045
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20473789933146533,
                  0.22379555852008914,
                  0.10724294678726141,
                  0.23186030261237175,
                  0.27460064964513936,
                  0.25212361477756484,
                  0.09692771697403413,
                  0.22392896900699333
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21064168310452153,
                  0.1781065535964162,
                  0.11133273118470274,
                  0.2268505366779282,
                  0.2859739073831904,
                  0.2462520701941481,
                  0.13257909683196697,
                  0.14583204241235156
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17270214538179915,
                  0.3113331718155213,
                  0.40288170099563747,
                  0.12072708738463209,
                  0.13613620807120197,
                  0.14542302888188496,
                  0.29503342080776807,
                  0.31430204746530244
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18510307756215227,
                  0.2655981770143465,
                  0.4349784623050188,
                  0.13552022182301748,
                  0.15201104430253173,
                  0.14698865074398446,
                  0.3960154250387313,
                  0.2771069719137001
                ],
                "crps": [
                  10.075761410760988,
                  17.896380933562373,
                  34.312738731955235,
                  8.69728078119577,
                  10.64800258725011,
                  10.498480948806547,
                  55.41926677207294,
                  20.01307533000395
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  10.667830621192463,
                  14.95134985734363,
                  39.32110711359098,
                  9.155005345554997,
                  12.872793262651571,
                  10.763049268730294,
                  73.22981255372125,
                  15.764339864122904
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  9.778789713422691,
                  17.6456533434009,
                  33.94199078136465,
                  8.414032996098442,
                  10.404077631943169,
                  10.183292636087236,
                  55.02600650569483,
                  19.780938069744185
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  9.895516071070114,
                  14.17903530722128,
                  38.54879256346864,
                  8.382690795432643,
                  12.100478712529222,
                  9.990734718607943,
                  72.45749800359884,
                  14.992025314000559
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4392195642589011,
              "rpss": 0.004852649957498234,
              "brier_below": 0.20190220720686491,
              "bss_below": -0.05050118426567396,
              "brier_above": 0.23731735135046844,
              "bss_above": 0.047550379938501086,
              "crps": 20.945123436950986,
              "crpss": 0.10263366364660387,
              "crps_fair": 20.646847709719516,
              "crpss_fair": 0.08514131646696943,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.049571,
                    0.12701,
                    0.445689,
                    0.287338,
                    0.085443,
                    0.004949,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1791,
                    0.2586,
                    0.3571,
                    0.442,
                    0.5378,
                    0.6238,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0017,
                    0.1033,
                    0.2903,
                    0.2908,
                    0.1994,
                    0.017,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.024836,
                    0.468856,
                    0.388284,
                    0.083714,
                    0.028861,
                    0.005449,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1839,
                    0.2595,
                    0.3363,
                    0.4422,
                    0.5381,
                    0.6335,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5067,
                    0.3402,
                    0.3511,
                    0.8612,
                    0.9852,
                    0.9532,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4108495959709185,
                  0.3379311881410018,
                  0.40735315266300687,
                  0.3764705278727007,
                  0.4147672619316119,
                  0.45395133247994973,
                  0.3164223728370338,
                  0.43402195533477383
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40125751196759035,
                  0.38247387153027046,
                  0.5455702928662451,
                  0.3608387482495357,
                  0.5032562800825091,
                  0.4582563513417429,
                  0.5532043651857004,
                  0.38836007432288383
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12650355113160763,
                  0.23841372694176638,
                  0.072392721364075,
                  0.2351186595591554,
                  0.32921480994032787,
                  0.3243162880834475,
                  0.054804223798354555,
                  0.20506484213646864
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11814387008700394,
                  0.2654940440266858,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.22455219994692469,
                  0.39214518221687406,
                  0.3289473855886335,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.16516928651467216
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2843460338619988,
                  0.09951747723437238,
                  0.33496039995269966,
                  0.1413518835671031,
                  0.08555246861386533,
                  0.1296350601668832,
                  0.2616181209346862,
                  0.22895710976616268
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.28311363099235315,
                  0.11697984632238867,
                  0.4344591371814749,
                  0.13628656366910488,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.129308982367292,
                  0.44209320813585196,
                  0.22319078763501846
                ],
                "crps": [
                  16.999243956330986,
                  9.681650595767271,
                  36.03649157856258,
                  13.048363158885824,
                  11.248327276349961,
                  15.66909716781797,
                  87.56425362370098,
                  18.42724917066682
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  17.127934378732938,
                  13.14691039605717,
                  50.002232946975184,
                  13.109652898302157,
                  17.71305578066709,
                  16.568276004836402,
                  124.03503473091268,
                  16.46381001417652
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  16.572052619127085,
                  9.308903636431122,
                  35.44154362462531,
                  12.622656579572393,
                  10.886754961453697,
                  15.230422572994595,
                  86.95341450646364,
                  18.07405647177117
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.023613765163336,
                  12.042589782487557,
                  48.89791233340558,
                  12.005332284732548,
                  16.60873516709748,
                  15.463955391266797,
                  122.93071411734311,
                  15.359489400606916
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.39397092340387463,
              "rpss": 0.12285649528942366,
              "brier_below": 0.19822860286940036,
              "bss_below": 0.07622027557701805,
              "brier_above": 0.1957423192622214,
              "bss_above": 0.16551961483483635,
              "crps": 26.0843345660103,
              "crpss": 0.22184777105682973,
              "crps_fair": 25.63622562155488,
              "crpss_fair": 0.20916225412033418,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.079243,
                    0.168001,
                    0.573208,
                    0.173597,
                    0.005951,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1775,
                    0.2643,
                    0.3536,
                    0.4369,
                    0.5093,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.0892,
                    0.369,
                    0.4579,
                    0.741,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.26173,
                    0.537351,
                    0.139703,
                    0.051088,
                    0.010128,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2747,
                    0.3366,
                    0.4442,
                    0.5369,
                    0.6333,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1412,
                    0.2728,
                    0.9038,
                    0.9871,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "cdft": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.5150906915764161,
            "training": [
              0.4391197526431183,
              0.5716114484019665,
              0.4755778552948819,
              0.5127141666457927,
              0.6433340098724163,
              0.5219904567130716,
              0.5314295521333818,
              0.5048381064269405,
              0.5411602770705802,
              0.4910695859147067,
              0.5003383018071589,
              0.49429289954881706,
              0.5145843428519817,
              0.5334024369732704,
              0.5087924091232157,
              0.46915649021116984,
              0.4743420764957131,
              0.46595430105385766,
              0.5277534456704708,
              0.5065458104731723,
              0.5190019796112617,
              0.511910192447167,
              0.6020962620807914,
              0.5011604383690816
            ],
            "test": 0.5360446043730442
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.6282199110178923,
                  0.4023417044802446,
                  0.5176614785656132,
                  0.39622276783475513,
                  0.35086333002864883,
                  0.404377764672827,
                  0.3703242036276404,
                  0.4473549911337864,
                  0.38835843719687946,
                  0.46906787199264144,
                  0.37896648685693957,
                  0.5018730100200675,
                  0.4384719778934689,
                  0.4193478836842827,
                  0.45759436607223986,
                  0.556722706256288,
                  0.4517305878791607,
                  0.5238376469266077,
                  0.470308058236666,
                  0.40036864886379286,
                  0.49197117366863924,
                  0.36835751666500915,
                  0.3539463651464996,
                  0.434558929079894
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5032688802503167,
                  0.4569625517973415,
                  0.4925766309533648,
                  0.42240641841789806,
                  0.5420235784464604,
                  0.4714149767747752,
                  0.4556059924381436,
                  0.42817838868602875,
                  0.46522974710940934,
                  0.4500155575006823,
                  0.37935719815657715,
                  0.46243591166738746,
                  0.43736789322801184,
                  0.4400525455006668,
                  0.4258969314341105,
                  0.47068205281177944,
                  0.4255615226829206,
                  0.4516170483571987,
                  0.49843662915678016,
                  0.4118910860457031,
                  0.4992304990769142,
                  0.37876171452360957,
                  0.4739156159423822,
                  0.43461082713119537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.45051749564642696,
                  0.11841569600027363,
                  0.397085649663493,
                  0.21649709250113952,
                  0.06586757388412826,
                  0.29709875978648315,
                  0.2659939734801522,
                  0.18673567121465776,
                  0.2883765953473957,
                  0.32169464116878344,
                  0.18868962524752278,
                  0.16498853621818743,
                  0.23988750810771886,
                  0.20395216483985681,
                  0.23354184904399256,
                  0.22353429580350465,
                  0.2896087899148399,
                  0.35589592816042553,
                  0.1374259384939949,
                  0.18137613567384991,
                  0.13269496776311668,
                  0.17092263788629386,
                  0.07489309539257136,
                  0.23780798542230722
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.35982023411904374,
                  0.14050564010422492,
                  0.3666492771595467,
                  0.2224183293858014,
                  0.12098299127445329,
                  0.3422215035731035,
                  0.320090552585692,
                  0.1769295283083219,
                  0.3334169292742277,
                  0.3079101155887398,
                  0.1851793660618082,
                  0.14592326795414162,
                  0.23390109051410934,
                  0.2104505639455176,
                  0.20611965607115396,
                  0.17490712668192288,
                  0.2843736386325201,
                  0.30537124030247026,
                  0.14850560429956033,
                  0.19196909984821953,
                  0.1397465773074753,
                  0.17498170367441346,
                  0.12816100681329473,
                  0.23184260041542798
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17770241337759882,
                  0.283926010123194,
                  0.12057582540820151,
                  0.17972567386377727,
                  0.2849957532226373,
                  0.10727900334663498,
                  0.10433022974958037,
                  0.2606193205052431,
                  0.09998184061522825,
                  0.1473732274279553,
                  0.1902768611387262,
                  0.3368844785086052,
                  0.1985844685620071,
                  0.21539571925123135,
                  0.22405251749776764,
                  0.3331884100484579,
                  0.16212179508523347,
                  0.1679417166519297,
                  0.3328821254650476,
                  0.2189925138831048,
                  0.359276212651692,
                  0.1974348785294899,
                  0.27905326876108943,
                  0.1967509425082189
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1434486461312728,
                  0.31645691169311657,
                  0.12592735379381784,
                  0.1999880890320964,
                  0.4210405871720072,
                  0.1291934732016715,
                  0.13551543985245154,
                  0.25124886037770683,
                  0.13181281783518126,
                  0.1421054419119424,
                  0.1941778320947689,
                  0.3165126437132459,
                  0.20346680271390255,
                  0.2296019815551491,
                  0.21977727536295652,
                  0.2957749261298567,
                  0.14118788405040053,
                  0.14624580805472828,
                  0.3499310248572198,
                  0.21992198619748354,
                  0.3594839217694388,
                  0.20378001084919606,
                  0.3457546091290874,
                  0.20276822671576744
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.099197972714695,
                  20.548412272477268,
                  12.60215213689589,
                  10.966362986981796,
                  55.11040492040529,
                  9.038865672187246,
                  7.796516274577735,
                  14.151590843691592,
                  7.366913820612099,
                  13.269097010565286,
                  11.233032300776824,
                  22.9270456920017,
                  11.540964574053175,
                  16.244434084085803,
                  14.95261694245787,
                  27.374464783376915,
                  13.989661580489152,
                  19.51613739039367,
                  37.601683370703135,
                  15.889375360653135,
                  33.63210558568252,
                  10.812459466126082,
                  14.17976936010988,
                  10.69527938105213
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.135184264312578,
                  24.154741944627755,
                  13.513975384214499,
                  13.019917867610289,
                  81.16166334563184,
                  12.367477693926652,
                  13.495417433372651,
                  14.052082306153558,
                  10.595906526023086,
                  12.127650347789233,
                  11.316976354794287,
                  20.590965555492783,
                  12.388520865166832,
                  17.22695089343282,
                  13.534851767011492,
                  24.26260220678667,
                  11.569922704555122,
                  15.015778045845114,
                  39.494929356705285,
                  15.395164091308375,
                  33.640924854699655,
                  10.983328308869137,
                  19.38792314154612,
                  11.761768257139277
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.389980676803816,
                  19.580489470209812,
                  12.038373447842126,
                  10.410929144460377,
                  54.30993419149021,
                  8.446254130868455,
                  7.244720078398359,
                  13.689395731400756,
                  6.811496442184409,
                  12.539757108844107,
                  10.662271521032148,
                  22.34171497644031,
                  10.931650508734949,
                  15.551662269928226,
                  14.276458785446504,
                  26.82613481162867,
                  13.252456921283146,
                  18.830989649129098,
                  36.94729351527852,
                  15.179051354776144,
                  32.96255367685326,
                  10.213740979163017,
                  13.327345351465244,
                  10.13982637502887
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.317536543467577,
                  23.35796459817729,
                  12.697045070793552,
                  12.202051839195779,
                  80.47285365334993,
                  11.548375983365016,
                  12.678451972317543,
                  13.236171134630228,
                  9.77344956703739,
                  11.308094418769002,
                  10.495885058363076,
                  19.78743863254775,
                  11.56945900909618,
                  16.417052730597515,
                  12.717960992194332,
                  23.466029141135742,
                  10.74931047318028,
                  14.20169205564696,
                  38.727205395504946,
                  14.581796635287228,
                  32.862113763760696,
                  10.161605103260042,
                  18.582117729180727,
                  10.941519369614019
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4426186590750201,
              "rpss": 0.023410928582092372,
              "brier_below": 0.22681260861087982,
              "bss_below": 0.0016277370743038588,
              "brier_above": 0.21580605025761054,
              "bss_above": 0.04530355684256171,
              "crps": 17.939105990961284,
              "crpss": 0.07250424289481361,
              "crps_fair": 17.287686713278774,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06732266068813908,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.09164,
                    0.215438,
                    0.466111,
                    0.203591,
                    0.022746,
                    0.000474,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1827,
                    0.2565,
                    0.3502,
                    0.4375,
                    0.5247,
                    0.6209,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3978,
                    0.265,
                    0.3266,
                    0.4591,
                    0.4249,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.002664,
                    0.263918,
                    0.563242,
                    0.135667,
                    0.030858,
                    0.00365,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1872,
                    0.2741,
                    0.347,
                    0.4376,
                    0.5479,
                    0.6393,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5461,
                    0.2306,
                    0.3378,
                    0.5117,
                    0.7082,
                    0.3656,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.6961768832137467,
                  0.42550525940052664,
                  0.43944740241909236,
                  0.3698768159394216,
                  0.3760322320478864,
                  0.3999030490036698,
                  0.3438660473715433,
                  0.3624484083377399,
                  0.38929584689677144,
                  0.36890009086016823,
                  0.346054344354478,
                  0.5688545831488908,
                  0.3752825865122803,
                  0.43574454170586274,
                  0.43804946863432853,
                  0.4539256399827008,
                  0.4587274272124624,
                  0.6534579546318954,
                  0.5026727488727663,
                  0.34207560252896435,
                  0.521939324012544,
                  0.3444215936432198,
                  0.3565759837108401,
                  0.4100622251584991
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5345788934798844,
                  0.4969529944769454,
                  0.4649874784432427,
                  0.41318634913187524,
                  0.546313795678332,
                  0.4766642042122107,
                  0.47169819661801,
                  0.3818166879514013,
                  0.47064841190232937,
                  0.36582560814319875,
                  0.354596433655499,
                  0.5238068909793859,
                  0.42423555956814324,
                  0.47458557358541037,
                  0.4052259230358827,
                  0.43061974459188856,
                  0.4027224233638553,
                  0.5463137956783312,
                  0.5329121043837289,
                  0.33515957826149523,
                  0.5425588471307237,
                  0.3577876473332365,
                  0.5050822006578946,
                  0.40346036713634414
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.5283840322636542,
                  0.09705214271214226,
                  0.3324094401049613,
                  0.26076309024240224,
                  0.06528619500865047,
                  0.2989419766397478,
                  0.26600723604050114,
                  0.24492577230433124,
                  0.2930254463086012,
                  0.22446891687981269,
                  0.13495846564028993,
                  0.1353561369930101,
                  0.2571578309516066,
                  0.11612764817094509,
                  0.17335372550538483,
                  0.206761365478136,
                  0.3125281199732898,
                  0.5119408021537645,
                  0.11126334470715078,
                  0.15622267427248196,
                  0.12343533493063429,
                  0.12462249564952663,
                  0.06751556683437059,
                  0.2767879269131794
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.41359590220543146,
                  0.1268854967685847,
                  0.33814805813719095,
                  0.27996356840395453,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.3514292535000652,
                  0.3496506429006213,
                  0.2388550695900949,
                  0.34166178514329076,
                  0.23093071395539494,
                  0.13757235619120822,
                  0.12205538687900032,
                  0.2819639840102135,
                  0.13806476563762554,
                  0.14568431899338546,
                  0.18489584470340845,
                  0.2812051027379592,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.17461254268602422,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.13651544485609332,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.25734411395433127
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16779284797179336,
                  0.3284531206810579,
                  0.10703795785780294,
                  0.10911372263924166,
                  0.31074603499974396,
                  0.10096107015006227,
                  0.07785881232361372,
                  0.11752263453600943,
                  0.09627039942034342,
                  0.14443116886160953,
                  0.2110958800146726,
                  0.43349845548083604,
                  0.11812475339923226,
                  0.3196168973691306,
                  0.26469574521065303,
                  0.24716427613659464,
                  0.1461993019486295,
                  0.14151714822661848,
                  0.3914094147567774,
                  0.1858529253053701,
                  0.3985039987394312,
                  0.21979909824112298,
                  0.2890604151278806,
                  0.13327429545603592
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.3700674977083606,
                  0.1268394203060519,
                  0.13322278072792096,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.12523495071214563,
                  0.12204755371738839,
                  0.1429616183613064,
                  0.12898662675903874,
                  0.13489489418780384,
                  0.21702407746429075,
                  0.4017515041003852,
                  0.14227157555792966,
                  0.3365208079477847,
                  0.2595416040424973,
                  0.24572389988847987,
                  0.12151732062589637,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.41192911310927527,
                  0.16054703557547098,
                  0.4215758558562699,
                  0.22127220247714316,
                  0.38409920938344094,
                  0.14611625318201296
                ],
                "crps": [
                  30.004118604717412,
                  31.83678377023592,
                  16.69543717270675,
                  10.173363139000926,
                  89.4543005876372,
                  12.825676850619248,
                  9.07322174238426,
                  11.195581617032893,
                  10.420048413426361,
                  16.19133630276367,
                  15.40939339378406,
                  39.358731635825386,
                  11.836332965810977,
                  28.751280470666533,
                  19.508329399215647,
                  20.837742041290692,
                  18.35232734085625,
                  32.35532202651871,
                  65.43402650340752,
                  15.891378230434212,
                  55.83386488361604,
                  14.009400818014646,
                  17.732261028062055,
                  11.458097383992078
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  19.691370303217692,
                  38.00944837401189,
                  19.338876299585486,
                  13.469113551773622,
                  127.86859294734184,
                  18.589396676302037,
                  18.87593404459268,
                  13.530392159363533,
                  14.972743454915303,
                  14.253979231397004,
                  15.735341036927533,
                  36.064900095448124,
                  15.139963850338448,
                  31.19288106623586,
                  17.992353028164104,
                  19.696334263177114,
                  14.077232835128438,
                  24.747448096456132,
                  68.61073888811775,
                  12.55291522058674,
                  57.000851281138225,
                  14.391271226711636,
                  25.1312112496158,
                  12.811413514508557
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  29.03510479560053,
                  30.54361852226636,
                  15.901356148631233,
                  9.432784781663035,
                  88.31905943930249,
                  12.028462731343671,
                  8.292380106883476,
                  10.564030485169157,
                  9.634019167328715,
                  15.167679444636072,
                  14.661833663551777,
                  38.5392324189867,
                  11.018895861657118,
                  27.735227463333096,
                  18.603142255261687,
                  20.01479673805387,
                  17.309444316316146,
                  31.465388780873713,
                  64.54355919079232,
                  14.873120290839683,
                  54.92668582214027,
                  13.130612126971648,
                  16.397714451180924,
                  10.726865646741144
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  18.52395116853421,
                  36.87672256900793,
                  18.170789562622396,
                  12.289909839909377,
                  126.90605491615098,
                  17.41989047035546,
                  17.706970523055745,
                  12.351304505468207,
                  13.796387526958524,
                  13.076262007562349,
                  14.560429422573055,
                  34.92849143385597,
                  13.963924627676032,
                  30.04724509587627,
                  16.82171605773241,
                  18.528924529932958,
                  12.89918086433115,
                  23.58960486668408,
                  67.53597007272384,
                  11.371976284610398,
                  55.90409404224628,
                  13.21381402559538,
                  23.974094843997456,
                  11.63096415863434
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4324706691500125,
              "rpss": 0.0444167935069798,
              "brier_below": 0.22163732027827396,
              "bss_below": 0.02224169588373326,
              "brier_above": 0.210833348952261,
              "bss_above": 0.06666901067006215,
              "crps": 25.19326484675081,
              "crpss": 0.08904982010860785,
              "crps_fair": 24.28604227706354,
              "crpss_fair": 0.08367333202261529,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.067888,
                    0.236671,
                    0.511126,
                    0.169042,
                    0.015274,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1832,
                    0.2615,
                    0.3483,
                    0.4348,
                    0.5167,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.368,
                    0.2843,
                    0.3004,
                    0.5311,
                    0.7653,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000439,
                    0.250228,
                    0.590634,
                    0.137073,
                    0.021552,
                    7.3e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1891,
                    0.2784,
                    0.3455,
                    0.4405,
                    0.5292,
                    0.6155,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.1493,
                    0.3604,
                    0.5895,
                    0.6336,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3866465875993425,
                  0.512032154868318,
                  0.4716305788491288,
                  0.3533742517893298,
                  0.41275327474429513,
                  0.39089875984549866,
                  0.3826760904315917,
                  0.5131623874992031
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3957447540292534,
                  0.4437047383669884,
                  0.5463112315335048,
                  0.36237074299741934,
                  0.43798493913098496,
                  0.3932407074853211,
                  0.5285945529473471,
                  0.42293902414021045
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2096289961189713,
                  0.21301919903586516,
                  0.08794087001757706,
                  0.2267801879346776,
                  0.2739414835713613,
                  0.24166198562245164,
                  0.09251250547132313,
                  0.20578013169727735
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21064168310452153,
                  0.1781065535964162,
                  0.11133273118470274,
                  0.2268505366779282,
                  0.2859739073831904,
                  0.2462520701941481,
                  0.13257909683196697,
                  0.14583204241235156
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17701759692750446,
                  0.2990129454602602,
                  0.3836896744665546,
                  0.12659407765100503,
                  0.13881180030712373,
                  0.14923678716189465,
                  0.29016356117118003,
                  0.30738224256730046
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18510307756215227,
                  0.2655981770143465,
                  0.4349784623050188,
                  0.13552022182301748,
                  0.15201104430253173,
                  0.14698865074398446,
                  0.3960154250387313,
                  0.2771069719137001
                ],
                "crps": [
                  10.41271736868623,
                  17.480431006437257,
                  32.76090043433172,
                  8.979531100543788,
                  10.781912293678786,
                  10.72131233806919,
                  53.58489879773726,
                  19.599489309632844
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  10.667830621192463,
                  14.95134985734363,
                  39.32110711359098,
                  9.155005345554997,
                  12.872793262651571,
                  10.763049268730294,
                  73.22981255372125,
                  15.764339864122904
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  10.089170534402049,
                  17.21272730906448,
                  32.368159859708854,
                  8.678097111127688,
                  10.518624254173943,
                  10.381509644471782,
                  53.16400332915364,
                  19.349987069807636
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  9.895516071070114,
                  14.17903530722128,
                  38.54879256346864,
                  8.382690795432643,
                  12.100478712529222,
                  9.990734718607943,
                  72.45749800359884,
                  14.992025314000559
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4278967607033385,
              "rpss": 0.03050692146605971,
              "brier_below": 0.1939081699336881,
              "bss_below": -0.008908049952228714,
              "brier_above": 0.2339885857141029,
              "bss_above": 0.060910050217932166,
              "crps": 20.54014908113963,
              "crpss": 0.11998425864717521,
              "crps_fair": 20.220284888988758,
              "crpss_fair": 0.1040422502126167,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.09772,
                    0.113709,
                    0.476038,
                    0.271905,
                    0.040126,
                    0.000501,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1834,
                    0.2582,
                    0.3575,
                    0.4369,
                    0.5274,
                    0.6206,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0705,
                    0.0661,
                    0.3092,
                    0.2755,
                    0.1682,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.008538,
                    0.386149,
                    0.474033,
                    0.09837,
                    0.030115,
                    0.002795,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1844,
                    0.2675,
                    0.3375,
                    0.4412,
                    0.535,
                    0.6204,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4119,
                    0.3493,
                    0.3361,
                    0.8578,
                    0.9803,
                    0.9088,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4087873619837581,
                  0.3425271224121365,
                  0.4023749875458799,
                  0.36954438620160074,
                  0.42473222256503457,
                  0.4435836258967138,
                  0.3186367023672685,
                  0.4262278816193804
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40125751196759035,
                  0.38247387153027046,
                  0.5455702928662451,
                  0.3608387482495357,
                  0.5032562800825091,
                  0.4582563513417429,
                  0.5532043651857004,
                  0.38836007432288383
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1270731017419853,
                  0.24025764964075563,
                  0.06640012371643561,
                  0.22734341143094544,
                  0.33531367911906806,
                  0.31182090941413165,
                  0.04571533341145061,
                  0.1983698814787877
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11814387008700394,
                  0.2654940440266858,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.22455219994692469,
                  0.39214518221687406,
                  0.3289473855886335,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.16516928651467216
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.28171424998469247,
                  0.1022694892234224,
                  0.335974830976702,
                  0.1422009900646937,
                  0.0894185602346684,
                  0.13176273270071157,
                  0.2729213393862222,
                  0.22785799740962157
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.28311363099235315,
                  0.11697984632238867,
                  0.4344591371814749,
                  0.13628656366910488,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.129308982367292,
                  0.44209320813585196,
                  0.22319078763501846
                ],
                "crps": [
                  17.2490485662493,
                  10.180529815563636,
                  35.33566265155032,
                  13.341700652547727,
                  11.69086015453456,
                  15.81264171044165,
                  85.04033426362304,
                  18.462459758359113
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  17.127934378732938,
                  13.14691039605717,
                  50.002232946975184,
                  13.109652898302157,
                  17.71305578066709,
                  16.568276004836402,
                  124.03503473091268,
                  16.46381001417652
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  16.781272415348017,
                  9.789122872568546,
                  34.71303853638812,
                  12.895225497467111,
                  11.307734625786336,
                  15.348367339231865,
                  84.40148367583997,
                  18.081618519224136
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.023613765163336,
                  12.042589782487557,
                  48.89791233340558,
                  12.005332284732548,
                  16.60873516709748,
                  15.463955391266797,
                  122.93071411734311,
                  15.359489400606916
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3920517863239716,
              "rpss": 0.1271292944334369,
              "brier_below": 0.194036761244195,
              "bss_below": 0.09575498573137564,
              "brier_above": 0.19801502374759178,
              "bss_above": 0.15583071709689844,
              "crps": 25.889154696608667,
              "crpss": 0.22767040954643214,
              "crps_fair": 25.41473293523176,
              "crpss_fair": 0.21599495950241387,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.11015,
                    0.156103,
                    0.570377,
                    0.157858,
                    0.005512,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1835,
                    0.2605,
                    0.3554,
                    0.431,
                    0.503,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.008,
                    0.0381,
                    0.394,
                    0.4688,
                    0.88,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.214828,
                    0.579159,
                    0.154927,
                    0.049105,
                    0.00198,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2809,
                    0.337,
                    0.4434,
                    0.5333,
                    0.6093,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1341,
                    0.2603,
                    0.9033,
                    0.9955,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "selection": {
        "SEL-P": {
          "criterion": "inner RPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1994": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1995": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1996": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1997": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1998": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1999": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2000": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2001": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2002": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2003": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2004": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2005": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2006": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2007": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2008": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2009": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2010": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2011": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2012": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2013": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2014": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2015": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2016": "sqrt_mvs"
          },
          "chosen_test": "sqrt_mvs",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 0,
            "vs": 0,
            "sqrt_mvs": 24,
            "pt": 0,
            "dc": 0,
            "loci": 0,
            "eqm": 0,
            "gqm": 0,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 0,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.7153236700590104,
                  0.35364815741955674,
                  0.5470892811557596,
                  0.3888456377962888,
                  0.23282175696193727,
                  0.39982257469852117,
                  0.33920303542615343,
                  0.41985761989041526,
                  0.36958015352236356,
                  0.4910282105085965,
                  0.3777454604751057,
                  0.4935738768657354,
                  0.4112584600732523,
                  0.4050592705831036,
                  0.44798258526721896,
                  0.5436666637280243,
                  0.48702896108033467,
                  0.5635582418329242,
                  0.44430454834217453,
                  0.41085418510709676,
                  0.45182677364867757,
                  0.35460945113583553,
                  0.27901031907259544,
                  0.41017370150995897
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5032688802503167,
                  0.4569625517973415,
                  0.4925766309533648,
                  0.42240641841789806,
                  0.5420235784464604,
                  0.4714149767747752,
                  0.4556059924381436,
                  0.42817838868602875,
                  0.46522974710940934,
                  0.4500155575006823,
                  0.37935719815657715,
                  0.46243591166738746,
                  0.43736789322801184,
                  0.4400525455006668,
                  0.4258969314341105,
                  0.47068205281177944,
                  0.4255615226829206,
                  0.4516170483571987,
                  0.49843662915678016,
                  0.4118910860457031,
                  0.4992304990769142,
                  0.37876171452360957,
                  0.4739156159423822,
                  0.43461082713119537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.495205533895965,
                  0.10673063429224935,
                  0.4145258155522594,
                  0.215339313936696,
                  0.03519427199162929,
                  0.29634748513522935,
                  0.25083362662525965,
                  0.17481421456726104,
                  0.2841816889846003,
                  0.32641457157991577,
                  0.18314371661472348,
                  0.1600863214409429,
                  0.22295233230480407,
                  0.2047192014989097,
                  0.22858602055576027,
                  0.2138414147377199,
                  0.30150325937901035,
                  0.3753114930733936,
                  0.13836726106788289,
                  0.17302952953287526,
                  0.11532217279092548,
                  0.1578401901779881,
                  0.05436375101563974,
                  0.22923499481370058
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.35982023411904374,
                  0.14050564010422492,
                  0.3666492771595467,
                  0.2224183293858014,
                  0.12098299127445329,
                  0.3422215035731035,
                  0.320090552585692,
                  0.1769295283083219,
                  0.3334169292742277,
                  0.3079101155887398,
                  0.1851793660618082,
                  0.14592326795414162,
                  0.23390109051410934,
                  0.2104505639455176,
                  0.20611965607115396,
                  0.17490712668192288,
                  0.2843736386325201,
                  0.30537124030247026,
                  0.14850560429956033,
                  0.19196909984821953,
                  0.1397465773074753,
                  0.17498170367441346,
                  0.12816100681329473,
                  0.23184260041542798
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22011813508287809,
                  0.2469175239842418,
                  0.13256345920643522,
                  0.17350632258368395,
                  0.19762748147300666,
                  0.10347508343495994,
                  0.08836940615124343,
                  0.24504340886368473,
                  0.08539846137509638,
                  0.16461363205409352,
                  0.19460174154103646,
                  0.3334875655650738,
                  0.18830612724024928,
                  0.2003400670771681,
                  0.21939656409363856,
                  0.3298252559750688,
                  0.18552569704032804,
                  0.1882467440816619,
                  0.3059372963017479,
                  0.23782465696686667,
                  0.3365046101607223,
                  0.19676925904426254,
                  0.22464656689454732,
                  0.1809387055485617
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1434486461312728,
                  0.31645691169311657,
                  0.12592735379381784,
                  0.1999880890320964,
                  0.4210405871720072,
                  0.1291934732016715,
                  0.13551543985245154,
                  0.25124886037770683,
                  0.13181281783518126,
                  0.1421054419119424,
                  0.1941778320947689,
                  0.3165126437132459,
                  0.20346680271390255,
                  0.2296019815551491,
                  0.21977727536295652,
                  0.2957749261298567,
                  0.14118788405040053,
                  0.14624580805472828,
                  0.3499310248572198,
                  0.21992198619748354,
                  0.3594839217694388,
                  0.20378001084919606,
                  0.3457546091290874,
                  0.20276822671576744
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.655683591952045,
                  19.351006542338446,
                  12.88614373132284,
                  10.932404596882346,
                  55.25671621627536,
                  9.21769938005714,
                  7.801480174402194,
                  13.396468239448337,
                  7.2436307868271355,
                  13.357601780589999,
                  10.926912066735836,
                  21.89373739563759,
                  10.787243095653038,
                  15.37096955108527,
                  14.156835329397195,
                  25.99061048285384,
                  14.373716659628732,
                  19.411969793685852,
                  36.55550667574253,
                  16.425662540622202,
                  32.284006171427485,
                  10.659274801904145,
                  14.513603888815942,
                  10.380251984252919
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.135184264312578,
                  24.154741944627755,
                  13.513975384214499,
                  13.019917867610289,
                  81.16166334563184,
                  12.367477693926652,
                  13.495417433372651,
                  14.052082306153558,
                  10.595906526023086,
                  12.127650347789233,
                  11.316976354794287,
                  20.590965555492783,
                  12.388520865166832,
                  17.22695089343282,
                  13.534851767011492,
                  24.26260220678667,
                  11.569922704555122,
                  15.015778045845114,
                  39.494929356705285,
                  15.395164091308375,
                  33.640924854699655,
                  10.983328308869137,
                  19.38792314154612,
                  11.761768257139277
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.928790385442486,
                  18.33445756079144,
                  12.314764666188482,
                  10.380396314924866,
                  54.432170682510446,
                  8.61074196036799,
                  7.25631817715636,
                  12.926335766692079,
                  6.687988051973607,
                  12.609987650095897,
                  10.355137989558129,
                  21.301053397813526,
                  10.165430747144958,
                  14.636396693134497,
                  13.484594054280436,
                  25.437252603075024,
                  13.625106533495934,
                  18.718581435020052,
                  35.88676728695022,
                  15.689031730916266,
                  31.60786665098647,
                  10.049672712984243,
                  13.612509435722725,
                  9.825827920089424
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.317536543467577,
                  23.35796459817729,
                  12.697045070793552,
                  12.202051839195779,
                  80.47285365334993,
                  11.548375983365016,
                  12.678451972317543,
                  13.236171134630228,
                  9.77344956703739,
                  11.308094418769002,
                  10.495885058363076,
                  19.78743863254775,
                  11.56945900909618,
                  16.417052730597515,
                  12.717960992194332,
                  23.466029141135742,
                  10.74931047318028,
                  14.20169205564696,
                  38.727205395504946,
                  14.581796635287228,
                  32.862113763760696,
                  10.161605103260042,
                  18.582117729180727,
                  10.941519369614019
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4307446915066933,
              "rpss": 0.049609523521202736,
              "brier_below": 0.22324536731522257,
              "bss_below": 0.017329839292339444,
              "brier_above": 0.2074993238225107,
              "bss_above": 0.08205137819606434,
              "crps": 17.617880644897436,
              "crpss": 0.08911238076405759,
              "crps_fair": 16.953215850304815,
              "crpss_fair": 0.08536749223383577
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.8676446485534127,
                  0.34895328213435783,
                  0.43857388154991106,
                  0.3556697274538742,
                  0.2076092928475429,
                  0.37043387657416443,
                  0.2732202191996888,
                  0.3413195496275202,
                  0.33452664097826096,
                  0.3940943939801982,
                  0.33775898241037905,
                  0.5552904702713158,
                  0.34850425726112877,
                  0.3744925502833584,
                  0.4278149842508212,
                  0.44533433323175087,
                  0.5336513952603822,
                  0.7375679565521449,
                  0.4353512744145224,
                  0.38068858093760827,
                  0.4534410044461204,
                  0.32591886558052235,
                  0.21698038019598503,
                  0.4140709282663167
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5345788934798844,
                  0.4969529944769454,
                  0.4649874784432427,
                  0.41318634913187524,
                  0.546313795678332,
                  0.4766642042122107,
                  0.47169819661801,
                  0.3818166879514013,
                  0.47064841190232937,
                  0.36582560814319875,
                  0.354596433655499,
                  0.5238068909793859,
                  0.42423555956814324,
                  0.47458557358541037,
                  0.4052259230358827,
                  0.43061974459188856,
                  0.4027224233638553,
                  0.5463137956783312,
                  0.5329121043837289,
                  0.33515957826149523,
                  0.5425588471307237,
                  0.3577876473332365,
                  0.5050822006578946,
                  0.40346036713634414
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.6275656719036194,
                  0.0716294773511938,
                  0.33595034249719635,
                  0.26300282282980797,
                  0.02753407854195997,
                  0.2817571543053197,
                  0.23148041414823015,
                  0.23954476663113025,
                  0.26310507622913826,
                  0.2310289584542549,
                  0.12712298658881885,
                  0.12850850410637124,
                  0.2489650759912811,
                  0.10184571055085515,
                  0.16798977540449822,
                  0.2112283232293453,
                  0.34500512408107453,
                  0.5617647928244301,
                  0.09322512675535014,
                  0.1460718670024032,
                  0.09695810910502725,
                  0.11375448270098376,
                  0.034225821855594515,
                  0.2858124338901605
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.41359590220543146,
                  0.1268854967685847,
                  0.33814805813719095,
                  0.27996356840395453,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.3514292535000652,
                  0.3496506429006213,
                  0.2388550695900949,
                  0.34166178514329076,
                  0.23093071395539494,
                  0.13757235619120822,
                  0.12205538687900032,
                  0.2819639840102135,
                  0.13806476563762554,
                  0.14568431899338546,
                  0.18489584470340845,
                  0.2812051027379592,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.17461254268602422,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.13651544485609332,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.25734411395433127
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24007897594606525,
                  0.2773238084651999,
                  0.10262353134855716,
                  0.09266689913870527,
                  0.18007520940322236,
                  0.08867671592818255,
                  0.04173980686780669,
                  0.10177477973222672,
                  0.0714215627839583,
                  0.16306542766644483,
                  0.21063599873417754,
                  0.42678198554027924,
                  0.0995391779992604,
                  0.2726468427667396,
                  0.2598252147916373,
                  0.23410601565201725,
                  0.18864626725680217,
                  0.17580315866254884,
                  0.3421261620397989,
                  0.23461671364111505,
                  0.35648290918479,
                  0.2121643823514393,
                  0.1827545547621705,
                  0.12825848970676873
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.3700674977083606,
                  0.1268394203060519,
                  0.13322278072792096,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.12523495071214563,
                  0.12204755371738839,
                  0.1429616183613064,
                  0.12898662675903874,
                  0.13489489418780384,
                  0.21702407746429075,
                  0.4017515041003852,
                  0.14227157555792966,
                  0.3365208079477847,
                  0.2595416040424973,
                  0.24572389988847987,
                  0.12151732062589637,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.41192911310927527,
                  0.16054703557547098,
                  0.4215758558562699,
                  0.22127220247714316,
                  0.38409920938344094,
                  0.14611625318201296
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.853032265209336,
                  29.816185312896184,
                  17.109475460809293,
                  10.096932882040182,
                  87.32610449107631,
                  12.998036071670509,
                  8.692623165874295,
                  10.666199768238348,
                  9.894830196870018,
                  16.32744379330339,
                  15.068204322201929,
                  37.58353609499627,
                  11.317738974898313,
                  26.72048010784307,
                  18.759774787498717,
                  19.404159707232946,
                  20.054842559066,
                  32.65214629427007,
                  62.748619695681,
                  17.600578627856457,
                  53.740530768438234,
                  13.479181617828244,
                  18.81316283304864,
                  11.664631596242153
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  19.691370303217692,
                  38.00944837401189,
                  19.338876299585486,
                  13.469113551773622,
                  127.86859294734184,
                  18.589396676302037,
                  18.87593404459268,
                  13.530392159363533,
                  14.972743454915303,
                  14.253979231397004,
                  15.735341036927533,
                  36.064900095448124,
                  15.139963850338448,
                  31.19288106623586,
                  17.992353028164104,
                  19.696334263177114,
                  14.077232835128438,
                  24.747448096456132,
                  68.61073888811775,
                  12.55291522058674,
                  57.000851281138225,
                  14.391271226711636,
                  25.1312112496158,
                  12.811413514508557
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  30.847247282970237,
                  28.41886064299122,
                  16.323221894975458,
                  9.372625080858771,
                  86.14601629573299,
                  12.181802320495786,
                  7.950622220729085,
                  10.030201892340061,
                  9.121992318826882,
                  15.280066274289409,
                  14.320551242583559,
                  36.75840774904426,
                  10.4876498781085,
                  25.63057544151482,
                  17.86249542616686,
                  18.583108226009532,
                  18.99600813472902,
                  31.750540639502194,
                  61.837209883563034,
                  16.53638848909535,
                  52.815362620156804,
                  12.59758233025541,
                  17.364273499225757,
                  10.924894919145649
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  18.52395116853421,
                  36.87672256900793,
                  18.170789562622396,
                  12.289909839909377,
                  126.90605491615098,
                  17.41989047035546,
                  17.706970523055745,
                  12.351304505468207,
                  13.796387526958524,
                  13.076262007562349,
                  14.560429422573055,
                  34.92849143385597,
                  13.963924627676032,
                  30.04724509587627,
                  16.82171605773241,
                  18.528924529932958,
                  12.89918086433115,
                  23.58960486668408,
                  67.53597007272384,
                  11.371976284610398,
                  55.90409404224628,
                  13.21381402559538,
                  23.974094843997456,
                  11.63096415863434
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.41328797817755364,
              "rpss": 0.08680269076251945,
              "brier_below": 0.21812820404075187,
              "bss_below": 0.037722245535924626,
              "brier_above": 0.19515977459874642,
              "bss_above": 0.1360538244597177,
              "crps": 24.76618547479541,
              "crpss": 0.10449236132258832,
              "crps_fair": 23.839071029304616,
              "crpss_fair": 0.10053782025285452
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.39025833987387126,
                  0.5248858586750336,
                  0.3809336084271951,
                  0.35688110479385965,
                  0.42152739615148765,
                  0.40896854713621805,
                  0.2827047698181924,
                  0.546469987985295
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3957447540292534,
                  0.4437047383669884,
                  0.5463112315335048,
                  0.36237074299741934,
                  0.43798493913098496,
                  0.3932407074853211,
                  0.5285945529473471,
                  0.42293902414021045
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2101642520254546,
                  0.21380853669869088,
                  0.07192956319996056,
                  0.2211221692486391,
                  0.2790259756230754,
                  0.24197823991894019,
                  0.07449766727838797,
                  0.21530908102694152
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21064168310452153,
                  0.1781065535964162,
                  0.11133273118470274,
                  0.2268505366779282,
                  0.2859739073831904,
                  0.2462520701941481,
                  0.13257909683196697,
                  0.14583204241235156
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1800940926340997,
                  0.31107731126664534,
                  0.3090040164674745,
                  0.13575894836110747,
                  0.14250142651083642,
                  0.16699032124064714,
                  0.20820708651388287,
                  0.33116089104714497
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18510307756215227,
                  0.2655981770143465,
                  0.4349784623050188,
                  0.13552022182301748,
                  0.15201104430253173,
                  0.14698865074398446,
                  0.3960154250387313,
                  0.2771069719137001
                ],
                "crps": [
                  10.333688639593934,
                  16.77560548436541,
                  30.388924211611815,
                  9.141378624021488,
                  11.007531285733863,
                  11.181783282597266,
                  48.69531990651486,
                  18.867484415522963
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  10.667830621192463,
                  14.95134985734363,
                  39.32110711359098,
                  9.155005345554997,
                  12.872793262651571,
                  10.763049268730294,
                  73.22981255372125,
                  15.764339864122904
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  10.010855210343946,
                  16.50879869875683,
                  29.98036527179592,
                  8.83799011033622,
                  10.74928949469469,
                  10.845307636108018,
                  48.25433654634349,
                  18.61968914654572
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  9.895516071070114,
                  14.17903530722128,
                  38.54879256346864,
                  8.382690795432643,
                  12.100478712529222,
                  9.990734718607943,
                  72.45749800359884,
                  14.992025314000559
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.41407870160764404,
              "rpss": 0.06181473653348091,
              "brier_below": 0.19097943562751127,
              "bss_below": 0.006330212668080315,
              "brier_above": 0.22309926175522982,
              "bss_above": 0.10461327043480806,
              "crps": 19.5489644812452,
              "crpss": 0.16245026252319028,
              "crps_fair": 19.2258290143656,
              "crpss_fair": 0.14810643885198693
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3855506759462441,
                  0.32877129914572806,
                  0.24027238106788867,
                  0.3812965023256506,
                  0.40998101863664227,
                  0.47116860940264577,
                  0.12326212775288345,
                  0.45867851781122077
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40125751196759035,
                  0.38247387153027046,
                  0.5455702928662451,
                  0.3608387482495357,
                  0.5032562800825091,
                  0.4582563513417429,
                  0.5532043651857004,
                  0.38836007432288383
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11274550447691856,
                  0.23106314080011545,
                  0.03560831491432415,
                  0.219826137187986,
                  0.334070597803692,
                  0.32310857744280713,
                  0.014509165939745631,
                  0.22094081328868725
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11814387008700394,
                  0.2654940440266858,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.22455219994692469,
                  0.39214518221687406,
                  0.3289473855886335,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.16516928651467216
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2728051619180324,
                  0.09770817336729312,
                  0.204664040831763,
                  0.16147038132943678,
                  0.07591043511022262,
                  0.14806004894929187,
                  0.10875294623533044,
                  0.2377376994316419
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.28311363099235315,
                  0.11697984632238867,
                  0.4344591371814749,
                  0.13628656366910488,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.129308982367292,
                  0.44209320813585196,
                  0.22319078763501846
                ],
                "crps": [
                  16.583857690528905,
                  10.16490586544759,
                  30.703155272705015,
                  13.879111558029242,
                  12.266674331224042,
                  16.898404840606453,
                  73.44864397876911,
                  18.091243180133873
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  17.127934378732938,
                  13.14691039605717,
                  50.002232946975184,
                  13.109652898302157,
                  17.71305578066709,
                  16.568276004836402,
                  124.03503473091268,
                  16.46381001417652
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  16.122665417721127,
                  9.777298239278728,
                  30.051798721719393,
                  13.430479056545806,
                  11.895344938173213,
                  16.440752224093465,
                  72.76876824402643,
                  17.722881343001056
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.023613765163336,
                  12.042589782487557,
                  48.89791233340558,
                  12.005332284732548,
                  16.60873516709748,
                  15.463955391266797,
                  122.93071411734311,
                  15.359489400606916
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.34987264151111297,
              "rpss": 0.2210376534239773,
              "brier_below": 0.18648403148178452,
              "bss_below": 0.13095201843788928,
              "brier_above": 0.1633886108966265,
              "bss_above": 0.3034485773617138,
              "crps": 24.004499589680528,
              "crpss": 0.28389375572894404,
              "crps_fair": 23.526248523069903,
              "crpss_fair": 0.2742517706917822
            }
          }
        },
        "SEL-A": {
          "criterion": "inner CRPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1994": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1995": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1996": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1997": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1998": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1999": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2000": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2001": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2002": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2003": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2004": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2005": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2006": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2007": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2008": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2009": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2010": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2011": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2012": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2013": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2014": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2015": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2016": "sqrt_mvs"
          },
          "chosen_test": "sqrt_mvs",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 0,
            "vs": 0,
            "sqrt_mvs": 24,
            "pt": 0,
            "dc": 0,
            "loci": 0,
            "eqm": 0,
            "gqm": 0,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 0,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.7153236700590104,
                  0.35364815741955674,
                  0.5470892811557596,
                  0.3888456377962888,
                  0.23282175696193727,
                  0.39982257469852117,
                  0.33920303542615343,
                  0.41985761989041526,
                  0.36958015352236356,
                  0.4910282105085965,
                  0.3777454604751057,
                  0.4935738768657354,
                  0.4112584600732523,
                  0.4050592705831036,
                  0.44798258526721896,
                  0.5436666637280243,
                  0.48702896108033467,
                  0.5635582418329242,
                  0.44430454834217453,
                  0.41085418510709676,
                  0.45182677364867757,
                  0.35460945113583553,
                  0.27901031907259544,
                  0.41017370150995897
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5032688802503167,
                  0.4569625517973415,
                  0.4925766309533648,
                  0.42240641841789806,
                  0.5420235784464604,
                  0.4714149767747752,
                  0.4556059924381436,
                  0.42817838868602875,
                  0.46522974710940934,
                  0.4500155575006823,
                  0.37935719815657715,
                  0.46243591166738746,
                  0.43736789322801184,
                  0.4400525455006668,
                  0.4258969314341105,
                  0.47068205281177944,
                  0.4255615226829206,
                  0.4516170483571987,
                  0.49843662915678016,
                  0.4118910860457031,
                  0.4992304990769142,
                  0.37876171452360957,
                  0.4739156159423822,
                  0.43461082713119537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.495205533895965,
                  0.10673063429224935,
                  0.4145258155522594,
                  0.215339313936696,
                  0.03519427199162929,
                  0.29634748513522935,
                  0.25083362662525965,
                  0.17481421456726104,
                  0.2841816889846003,
                  0.32641457157991577,
                  0.18314371661472348,
                  0.1600863214409429,
                  0.22295233230480407,
                  0.2047192014989097,
                  0.22858602055576027,
                  0.2138414147377199,
                  0.30150325937901035,
                  0.3753114930733936,
                  0.13836726106788289,
                  0.17302952953287526,
                  0.11532217279092548,
                  0.1578401901779881,
                  0.05436375101563974,
                  0.22923499481370058
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.35982023411904374,
                  0.14050564010422492,
                  0.3666492771595467,
                  0.2224183293858014,
                  0.12098299127445329,
                  0.3422215035731035,
                  0.320090552585692,
                  0.1769295283083219,
                  0.3334169292742277,
                  0.3079101155887398,
                  0.1851793660618082,
                  0.14592326795414162,
                  0.23390109051410934,
                  0.2104505639455176,
                  0.20611965607115396,
                  0.17490712668192288,
                  0.2843736386325201,
                  0.30537124030247026,
                  0.14850560429956033,
                  0.19196909984821953,
                  0.1397465773074753,
                  0.17498170367441346,
                  0.12816100681329473,
                  0.23184260041542798
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22011813508287809,
                  0.2469175239842418,
                  0.13256345920643522,
                  0.17350632258368395,
                  0.19762748147300666,
                  0.10347508343495994,
                  0.08836940615124343,
                  0.24504340886368473,
                  0.08539846137509638,
                  0.16461363205409352,
                  0.19460174154103646,
                  0.3334875655650738,
                  0.18830612724024928,
                  0.2003400670771681,
                  0.21939656409363856,
                  0.3298252559750688,
                  0.18552569704032804,
                  0.1882467440816619,
                  0.3059372963017479,
                  0.23782465696686667,
                  0.3365046101607223,
                  0.19676925904426254,
                  0.22464656689454732,
                  0.1809387055485617
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1434486461312728,
                  0.31645691169311657,
                  0.12592735379381784,
                  0.1999880890320964,
                  0.4210405871720072,
                  0.1291934732016715,
                  0.13551543985245154,
                  0.25124886037770683,
                  0.13181281783518126,
                  0.1421054419119424,
                  0.1941778320947689,
                  0.3165126437132459,
                  0.20346680271390255,
                  0.2296019815551491,
                  0.21977727536295652,
                  0.2957749261298567,
                  0.14118788405040053,
                  0.14624580805472828,
                  0.3499310248572198,
                  0.21992198619748354,
                  0.3594839217694388,
                  0.20378001084919606,
                  0.3457546091290874,
                  0.20276822671576744
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.655683591952045,
                  19.351006542338446,
                  12.88614373132284,
                  10.932404596882346,
                  55.25671621627536,
                  9.21769938005714,
                  7.801480174402194,
                  13.396468239448337,
                  7.2436307868271355,
                  13.357601780589999,
                  10.926912066735836,
                  21.89373739563759,
                  10.787243095653038,
                  15.37096955108527,
                  14.156835329397195,
                  25.99061048285384,
                  14.373716659628732,
                  19.411969793685852,
                  36.55550667574253,
                  16.425662540622202,
                  32.284006171427485,
                  10.659274801904145,
                  14.513603888815942,
                  10.380251984252919
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.135184264312578,
                  24.154741944627755,
                  13.513975384214499,
                  13.019917867610289,
                  81.16166334563184,
                  12.367477693926652,
                  13.495417433372651,
                  14.052082306153558,
                  10.595906526023086,
                  12.127650347789233,
                  11.316976354794287,
                  20.590965555492783,
                  12.388520865166832,
                  17.22695089343282,
                  13.534851767011492,
                  24.26260220678667,
                  11.569922704555122,
                  15.015778045845114,
                  39.494929356705285,
                  15.395164091308375,
                  33.640924854699655,
                  10.983328308869137,
                  19.38792314154612,
                  11.761768257139277
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.928790385442486,
                  18.33445756079144,
                  12.314764666188482,
                  10.380396314924866,
                  54.432170682510446,
                  8.61074196036799,
                  7.25631817715636,
                  12.926335766692079,
                  6.687988051973607,
                  12.609987650095897,
                  10.355137989558129,
                  21.301053397813526,
                  10.165430747144958,
                  14.636396693134497,
                  13.484594054280436,
                  25.437252603075024,
                  13.625106533495934,
                  18.718581435020052,
                  35.88676728695022,
                  15.689031730916266,
                  31.60786665098647,
                  10.049672712984243,
                  13.612509435722725,
                  9.825827920089424
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.317536543467577,
                  23.35796459817729,
                  12.697045070793552,
                  12.202051839195779,
                  80.47285365334993,
                  11.548375983365016,
                  12.678451972317543,
                  13.236171134630228,
                  9.77344956703739,
                  11.308094418769002,
                  10.495885058363076,
                  19.78743863254775,
                  11.56945900909618,
                  16.417052730597515,
                  12.717960992194332,
                  23.466029141135742,
                  10.74931047318028,
                  14.20169205564696,
                  38.727205395504946,
                  14.581796635287228,
                  32.862113763760696,
                  10.161605103260042,
                  18.582117729180727,
                  10.941519369614019
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4307446915066933,
              "rpss": 0.049609523521202736,
              "brier_below": 0.22324536731522257,
              "bss_below": 0.017329839292339444,
              "brier_above": 0.2074993238225107,
              "bss_above": 0.08205137819606434,
              "crps": 17.617880644897436,
              "crpss": 0.08911238076405759,
              "crps_fair": 16.953215850304815,
              "crpss_fair": 0.08536749223383577
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.8676446485534127,
                  0.34895328213435783,
                  0.43857388154991106,
                  0.3556697274538742,
                  0.2076092928475429,
                  0.37043387657416443,
                  0.2732202191996888,
                  0.3413195496275202,
                  0.33452664097826096,
                  0.3940943939801982,
                  0.33775898241037905,
                  0.5552904702713158,
                  0.34850425726112877,
                  0.3744925502833584,
                  0.4278149842508212,
                  0.44533433323175087,
                  0.5336513952603822,
                  0.7375679565521449,
                  0.4353512744145224,
                  0.38068858093760827,
                  0.4534410044461204,
                  0.32591886558052235,
                  0.21698038019598503,
                  0.4140709282663167
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5345788934798844,
                  0.4969529944769454,
                  0.4649874784432427,
                  0.41318634913187524,
                  0.546313795678332,
                  0.4766642042122107,
                  0.47169819661801,
                  0.3818166879514013,
                  0.47064841190232937,
                  0.36582560814319875,
                  0.354596433655499,
                  0.5238068909793859,
                  0.42423555956814324,
                  0.47458557358541037,
                  0.4052259230358827,
                  0.43061974459188856,
                  0.4027224233638553,
                  0.5463137956783312,
                  0.5329121043837289,
                  0.33515957826149523,
                  0.5425588471307237,
                  0.3577876473332365,
                  0.5050822006578946,
                  0.40346036713634414
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.6275656719036194,
                  0.0716294773511938,
                  0.33595034249719635,
                  0.26300282282980797,
                  0.02753407854195997,
                  0.2817571543053197,
                  0.23148041414823015,
                  0.23954476663113025,
                  0.26310507622913826,
                  0.2310289584542549,
                  0.12712298658881885,
                  0.12850850410637124,
                  0.2489650759912811,
                  0.10184571055085515,
                  0.16798977540449822,
                  0.2112283232293453,
                  0.34500512408107453,
                  0.5617647928244301,
                  0.09322512675535014,
                  0.1460718670024032,
                  0.09695810910502725,
                  0.11375448270098376,
                  0.034225821855594515,
                  0.2858124338901605
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.41359590220543146,
                  0.1268854967685847,
                  0.33814805813719095,
                  0.27996356840395453,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.3514292535000652,
                  0.3496506429006213,
                  0.2388550695900949,
                  0.34166178514329076,
                  0.23093071395539494,
                  0.13757235619120822,
                  0.12205538687900032,
                  0.2819639840102135,
                  0.13806476563762554,
                  0.14568431899338546,
                  0.18489584470340845,
                  0.2812051027379592,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.17461254268602422,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.13651544485609332,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.25734411395433127
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24007897594606525,
                  0.2773238084651999,
                  0.10262353134855716,
                  0.09266689913870527,
                  0.18007520940322236,
                  0.08867671592818255,
                  0.04173980686780669,
                  0.10177477973222672,
                  0.0714215627839583,
                  0.16306542766644483,
                  0.21063599873417754,
                  0.42678198554027924,
                  0.0995391779992604,
                  0.2726468427667396,
                  0.2598252147916373,
                  0.23410601565201725,
                  0.18864626725680217,
                  0.17580315866254884,
                  0.3421261620397989,
                  0.23461671364111505,
                  0.35648290918479,
                  0.2121643823514393,
                  0.1827545547621705,
                  0.12825848970676873
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.3700674977083606,
                  0.1268394203060519,
                  0.13322278072792096,
                  0.4253308044038783,
                  0.12523495071214563,
                  0.12204755371738839,
                  0.1429616183613064,
                  0.12898662675903874,
                  0.13489489418780384,
                  0.21702407746429075,
                  0.4017515041003852,
                  0.14227157555792966,
                  0.3365208079477847,
                  0.2595416040424973,
                  0.24572389988847987,
                  0.12151732062589637,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.41192911310927527,
                  0.16054703557547098,
                  0.4215758558562699,
                  0.22127220247714316,
                  0.38409920938344094,
                  0.14611625318201296
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.853032265209336,
                  29.816185312896184,
                  17.109475460809293,
                  10.096932882040182,
                  87.32610449107631,
                  12.998036071670509,
                  8.692623165874295,
                  10.666199768238348,
                  9.894830196870018,
                  16.32744379330339,
                  15.068204322201929,
                  37.58353609499627,
                  11.317738974898313,
                  26.72048010784307,
                  18.759774787498717,
                  19.404159707232946,
                  20.054842559066,
                  32.65214629427007,
                  62.748619695681,
                  17.600578627856457,
                  53.740530768438234,
                  13.479181617828244,
                  18.81316283304864,
                  11.664631596242153
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  19.691370303217692,
                  38.00944837401189,
                  19.338876299585486,
                  13.469113551773622,
                  127.86859294734184,
                  18.589396676302037,
                  18.87593404459268,
                  13.530392159363533,
                  14.972743454915303,
                  14.253979231397004,
                  15.735341036927533,
                  36.064900095448124,
                  15.139963850338448,
                  31.19288106623586,
                  17.992353028164104,
                  19.696334263177114,
                  14.077232835128438,
                  24.747448096456132,
                  68.61073888811775,
                  12.55291522058674,
                  57.000851281138225,
                  14.391271226711636,
                  25.1312112496158,
                  12.811413514508557
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  30.847247282970237,
                  28.41886064299122,
                  16.323221894975458,
                  9.372625080858771,
                  86.14601629573299,
                  12.181802320495786,
                  7.950622220729085,
                  10.030201892340061,
                  9.121992318826882,
                  15.280066274289409,
                  14.320551242583559,
                  36.75840774904426,
                  10.4876498781085,
                  25.63057544151482,
                  17.86249542616686,
                  18.583108226009532,
                  18.99600813472902,
                  31.750540639502194,
                  61.837209883563034,
                  16.53638848909535,
                  52.815362620156804,
                  12.59758233025541,
                  17.364273499225757,
                  10.924894919145649
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  18.52395116853421,
                  36.87672256900793,
                  18.170789562622396,
                  12.289909839909377,
                  126.90605491615098,
                  17.41989047035546,
                  17.706970523055745,
                  12.351304505468207,
                  13.796387526958524,
                  13.076262007562349,
                  14.560429422573055,
                  34.92849143385597,
                  13.963924627676032,
                  30.04724509587627,
                  16.82171605773241,
                  18.528924529932958,
                  12.89918086433115,
                  23.58960486668408,
                  67.53597007272384,
                  11.371976284610398,
                  55.90409404224628,
                  13.21381402559538,
                  23.974094843997456,
                  11.63096415863434
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.41328797817755364,
              "rpss": 0.08680269076251945,
              "brier_below": 0.21812820404075187,
              "bss_below": 0.037722245535924626,
              "brier_above": 0.19515977459874642,
              "bss_above": 0.1360538244597177,
              "crps": 24.76618547479541,
              "crpss": 0.10449236132258832,
              "crps_fair": 23.839071029304616,
              "crpss_fair": 0.10053782025285452
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.39025833987387126,
                  0.5248858586750336,
                  0.3809336084271951,
                  0.35688110479385965,
                  0.42152739615148765,
                  0.40896854713621805,
                  0.2827047698181924,
                  0.546469987985295
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3957447540292534,
                  0.4437047383669884,
                  0.5463112315335048,
                  0.36237074299741934,
                  0.43798493913098496,
                  0.3932407074853211,
                  0.5285945529473471,
                  0.42293902414021045
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2101642520254546,
                  0.21380853669869088,
                  0.07192956319996056,
                  0.2211221692486391,
                  0.2790259756230754,
                  0.24197823991894019,
                  0.07449766727838797,
                  0.21530908102694152
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21064168310452153,
                  0.1781065535964162,
                  0.11133273118470274,
                  0.2268505366779282,
                  0.2859739073831904,
                  0.2462520701941481,
                  0.13257909683196697,
                  0.14583204241235156
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1800940926340997,
                  0.31107731126664534,
                  0.3090040164674745,
                  0.13575894836110747,
                  0.14250142651083642,
                  0.16699032124064714,
                  0.20820708651388287,
                  0.33116089104714497
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18510307756215227,
                  0.2655981770143465,
                  0.4349784623050188,
                  0.13552022182301748,
                  0.15201104430253173,
                  0.14698865074398446,
                  0.3960154250387313,
                  0.2771069719137001
                ],
                "crps": [
                  10.333688639593934,
                  16.77560548436541,
                  30.388924211611815,
                  9.141378624021488,
                  11.007531285733863,
                  11.181783282597266,
                  48.69531990651486,
                  18.867484415522963
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  10.667830621192463,
                  14.95134985734363,
                  39.32110711359098,
                  9.155005345554997,
                  12.872793262651571,
                  10.763049268730294,
                  73.22981255372125,
                  15.764339864122904
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  10.010855210343946,
                  16.50879869875683,
                  29.98036527179592,
                  8.83799011033622,
                  10.74928949469469,
                  10.845307636108018,
                  48.25433654634349,
                  18.61968914654572
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  9.895516071070114,
                  14.17903530722128,
                  38.54879256346864,
                  8.382690795432643,
                  12.100478712529222,
                  9.990734718607943,
                  72.45749800359884,
                  14.992025314000559
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.41407870160764404,
              "rpss": 0.06181473653348091,
              "brier_below": 0.19097943562751127,
              "bss_below": 0.006330212668080315,
              "brier_above": 0.22309926175522982,
              "bss_above": 0.10461327043480806,
              "crps": 19.5489644812452,
              "crpss": 0.16245026252319028,
              "crps_fair": 19.2258290143656,
              "crpss_fair": 0.14810643885198693
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3855506759462441,
                  0.32877129914572806,
                  0.24027238106788867,
                  0.3812965023256506,
                  0.40998101863664227,
                  0.47116860940264577,
                  0.12326212775288345,
                  0.45867851781122077
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40125751196759035,
                  0.38247387153027046,
                  0.5455702928662451,
                  0.3608387482495357,
                  0.5032562800825091,
                  0.4582563513417429,
                  0.5532043651857004,
                  0.38836007432288383
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11274550447691856,
                  0.23106314080011545,
                  0.03560831491432415,
                  0.219826137187986,
                  0.334070597803692,
                  0.32310857744280713,
                  0.014509165939745631,
                  0.22094081328868725
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11814387008700394,
                  0.2654940440266858,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.22455219994692469,
                  0.39214518221687406,
                  0.3289473855886335,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.16516928651467216
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2728051619180324,
                  0.09770817336729312,
                  0.204664040831763,
                  0.16147038132943678,
                  0.07591043511022262,
                  0.14806004894929187,
                  0.10875294623533044,
                  0.2377376994316419
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.28311363099235315,
                  0.11697984632238867,
                  0.4344591371814749,
                  0.13628656366910488,
                  0.11111111773384949,
                  0.129308982367292,
                  0.44209320813585196,
                  0.22319078763501846
                ],
                "crps": [
                  16.583857690528905,
                  10.16490586544759,
                  30.703155272705015,
                  13.879111558029242,
                  12.266674331224042,
                  16.898404840606453,
                  73.44864397876911,
                  18.091243180133873
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  17.127934378732938,
                  13.14691039605717,
                  50.002232946975184,
                  13.109652898302157,
                  17.71305578066709,
                  16.568276004836402,
                  124.03503473091268,
                  16.46381001417652
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  16.122665417721127,
                  9.777298239278728,
                  30.051798721719393,
                  13.430479056545806,
                  11.895344938173213,
                  16.440752224093465,
                  72.76876824402643,
                  17.722881343001056
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.023613765163336,
                  12.042589782487557,
                  48.89791233340558,
                  12.005332284732548,
                  16.60873516709748,
                  15.463955391266797,
                  122.93071411734311,
                  15.359489400606916
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.34987264151111297,
              "rpss": 0.2210376534239773,
              "brier_below": 0.18648403148178452,
              "bss_below": 0.13095201843788928,
              "brier_above": 0.1633886108966265,
              "bss_above": 0.3034485773617138,
              "crps": 24.004499589680528,
              "crpss": 0.28389375572894404,
              "crps_fair": 23.526248523069903,
              "crpss_fair": 0.2742517706917822
            }
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "Dec": {
      "tag": "init09_Dec",
      "methods": {
        "mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6789070734542717,
            "training": [
              0.661495956112354,
              0.681342246394431,
              0.6686186753904869,
              0.6812212770108461,
              0.7556573141911188,
              0.6354330012173689,
              0.6643204845648998,
              0.6571907495074247,
              0.670721635476779,
              0.7191567174395975,
              0.6761728598888168,
              0.6778999184904982,
              0.6223110026111809,
              0.7238824006823226,
              0.6718328865326645,
              0.738970191131146,
              0.6947304979134592,
              0.6968504589543534,
              0.6733133744138853,
              0.6513957519240469,
              0.6658055218456962,
              0.6535953011339855,
              0.6783915977423643,
              0.6734599423327929
            ],
            "test": 0.7038741783527157
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4784195080052884,
                  0.37090783182560144,
                  0.44547683181489206,
                  0.3528886221321736,
                  0.41682305438586315,
                  0.5589519580304806,
                  0.3934126426507001,
                  0.46681295862645616,
                  0.38305768521447736,
                  0.460777452396273,
                  0.49591794708680814,
                  0.4367438442330328,
                  0.5799306393786118,
                  0.4933202204861194,
                  0.5152101688848019,
                  0.4151521196877035,
                  0.45730247931318796,
                  0.40867106630963723,
                  0.470107916645281,
                  0.42079895279259477,
                  0.5213223109227793,
                  0.42411093597370925,
                  0.4293590000533505,
                  0.45290347997307745
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.462562923536876,
                  0.3645173216522427,
                  0.44125991495499295,
                  0.3676651074657129,
                  0.4796288397923759,
                  0.5018388000928868,
                  0.3814774056959005,
                  0.4578573987892382,
                  0.3735878385869089,
                  0.5052606235712064,
                  0.5036551985237356,
                  0.4358799350596818,
                  0.5001476319885705,
                  0.5372757850199824,
                  0.4967176353817881,
                  0.483398419566635,
                  0.48412488872389453,
                  0.42298688230915954,
                  0.4788741887887977,
                  0.4007718021663261,
                  0.498737480732011,
                  0.40202165436042925,
                  0.44570350792032964,
                  0.4523372814100714
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.34391211711581343,
                  0.18814025963836428,
                  0.15827122641001634,
                  0.2296216927528942,
                  0.15063942819469317,
                  0.40677731996626953,
                  0.2138586401445125,
                  0.16896004561861916,
                  0.14321683719996717,
                  0.12118760055935172,
                  0.13660520251774227,
                  0.17029044323646306,
                  0.4052879293759279,
                  0.11133524446895712,
                  0.37089922785285995,
                  0.2953453864311147,
                  0.1620303418001082,
                  0.22632406646780123,
                  0.28923743744427993,
                  0.17242930568838416,
                  0.3874572691522656,
                  0.2563608749172538,
                  0.15510720149739196,
                  0.26513462387425857
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33445347350698373,
                  0.18448978058131807,
                  0.15020271959428944,
                  0.23455533259135652,
                  0.16559252060812168,
                  0.3788018404246035,
                  0.19293962127510628,
                  0.15038884587226958,
                  0.13073481316379681,
                  0.1342598604859912,
                  0.1282842296352773,
                  0.16631198513422443,
                  0.3601361789689049,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.35626815432751285,
                  0.34779494441826286,
                  0.17732409124021772,
                  0.23135019401075282,
                  0.29334157497784386,
                  0.1580270900868227,
                  0.3757058539399758,
                  0.2565886947421901,
                  0.1693218745678458,
                  0.2597369379666505
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.13450739010180268,
                  0.18276757191285914,
                  0.28720560703999265,
                  0.1232669294069536,
                  0.26618362490637637,
                  0.15217463770306455,
                  0.179554002488625,
                  0.2978529143564771,
                  0.23984084774588507,
                  0.33958985256993096,
                  0.3593127466221347,
                  0.26645340161651876,
                  0.17464270970986803,
                  0.3819849774813244,
                  0.1443109396122605,
                  0.11980673402222053,
                  0.295272138997152,
                  0.18234700011597893,
                  0.1808704782555427,
                  0.24836964687689084,
                  0.13386504054296788,
                  0.16775006047720664,
                  0.2742517978679997,
                  0.1877688564575412
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12810945002989202,
                  0.1800275410709245,
                  0.2910571953607033,
                  0.1331097748743562,
                  0.3140363192350966,
                  0.12303695966828301,
                  0.18853778442079408,
                  0.3074685529169685,
                  0.24285302547391838,
                  0.371000763085215,
                  0.37537096893986166,
                  0.26956794992545724,
                  0.1400114530196655,
                  0.41629279379655704,
                  0.14044948110508146,
                  0.1356034751238968,
                  0.30680079745918404,
                  0.19163668827393138,
                  0.18553261378647845,
                  0.242744712130419,
                  0.12303162676755988,
                  0.14543295959376396,
                  0.2763816333277958,
                  0.19260034341894555
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.0289541403359515,
                  4.026321137527189,
                  10.773197668364007,
                  2.231253858424494,
                  10.32478870492654,
                  4.811759124339433,
                  2.989275877272213,
                  5.150504525958933,
                  3.5318285202191055,
                  18.304927978026836,
                  16.728141175759305,
                  3.8714835634498472,
                  8.278616697212607,
                  23.713982142413585,
                  4.997778542211829,
                  2.7701950857858866,
                  12.772186784230405,
                  3.541452001810645,
                  3.990953942738499,
                  4.609057715307468,
                  5.409285884081521,
                  4.405038868388995,
                  8.016409218088056,
                  3.4112953052636605
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.383400553071679,
                  3.6995246089032476,
                  10.375259519924272,
                  3.088176782734038,
                  15.623140866424055,
                  3.918194532764918,
                  3.2512248780442565,
                  5.3613292903859575,
                  3.3401723993300685,
                  21.29254756415035,
                  17.08930816883068,
                  4.102339013398538,
                  4.506551529947348,
                  25.32004262629813,
                  4.202143270441035,
                  3.5904825606496558,
                  13.811056598131602,
                  3.49561527327503,
                  4.117308454045926,
                  4.163338575099779,
                  4.154173639778647,
                  3.3440543501428777,
                  7.576953718515562,
                  3.8653696148339143
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.838004201397568,
                  3.7723215306965914,
                  10.539210628130112,
                  2.0643241109404373,
                  9.86130058842325,
                  4.503514612944235,
                  2.808811410246786,
                  4.883243557250305,
                  3.2778549135432944,
                  17.95374180730605,
                  16.491367455029067,
                  3.629711622531253,
                  7.886212692492976,
                  23.481176018939397,
                  4.735247882523793,
                  2.571237136707827,
                  12.477407584723387,
                  3.3594218718956608,
                  3.802014278461588,
                  4.423719596096409,
                  5.129374819122245,
                  4.124982592254489,
                  7.664493052965322,
                  3.2020674920981924
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.069144896531585,
                  3.3858676721658623,
                  10.074246020518368,
                  2.773361990265274,
                  15.332066536235006,
                  3.604951743610606,
                  2.9367188887863067,
                  5.050819710999868,
                  3.0258348712866763,
                  21.012210746646392,
                  16.801010670653753,
                  3.7894449827302754,
                  4.194423053287697,
                  25.04733364035127,
                  3.8894382629868667,
                  3.276619104881488,
                  13.516550290161696,
                  3.1815721446141088,
                  3.8044427745910094,
                  3.8505600739044343,
                  3.8413777807512575,
                  3.029724174279054,
                  7.270640397516081,
                  3.55202677848655
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4520158177842875,
              "rpss": 0.0027494067067708183,
              "brier_below": 0.23035123843022123,
              "bss_below": -0.012979368578575734,
              "brier_above": 0.22166457945364892,
              "bss_above": 0.01858524754980362,
              "crps": 7.153695352589042,
              "crpss": 0.028204968256770435,
              "crps_fair": 6.895031727363343,
              "crpss_fair": 0.022618965160455806,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.218332,
                    0.53673,
                    0.244034,
                    0.000904,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.264,
                    0.3512,
                    0.4323,
                    0.5139,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3447,
                    0.3383,
                    0.3793,
                    0.1004,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.08223,
                    0.713163,
                    0.202092,
                    0.002514,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2813,
                    0.3489,
                    0.4285,
                    0.5164,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1738,
                    0.3496,
                    0.3983,
                    0.12,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.47274137201735117,
                  0.3795566407558107,
                  0.37730359146930526,
                  0.3846441922802712,
                  0.400204271936534,
                  0.5732328352431452,
                  0.369547869342928,
                  0.4345151313937902,
                  0.42990304214321823,
                  0.4438751685987049,
                  0.5421325577655343,
                  0.4582956890671067,
                  0.5866573704472017,
                  0.49106627687202836,
                  0.5463916886396739,
                  0.43183930095672846,
                  0.44855335794575674,
                  0.3799374272710559,
                  0.48824984100109925,
                  0.42208962452006954,
                  0.44714451771342,
                  0.4796909659554916,
                  0.42982345255818405,
                  0.4318567803047138
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4612583059027846,
                  0.3632558141399608,
                  0.354883769652867,
                  0.3845191290006187,
                  0.5442138095123802,
                  0.47392048384293584,
                  0.33694866035330306,
                  0.4142191822653953,
                  0.37845219617751535,
                  0.4951720237139347,
                  0.5339101528063047,
                  0.4478677808815762,
                  0.5122698412139367,
                  0.546319606847996,
                  0.5151171329099498,
                  0.5367285468048282,
                  0.4864254362866427,
                  0.45042529340514065,
                  0.45228609740130155,
                  0.40382417319303954,
                  0.47274140836269934,
                  0.4335462466444369,
                  0.43507035514007947,
                  0.4346226259811788
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3390433790835557,
                  0.1572289922544676,
                  0.19072963354150413,
                  0.2562624255050997,
                  0.09267905858206545,
                  0.3903893920503765,
                  0.20336212193220105,
                  0.16392693303032488,
                  0.18573338679842058,
                  0.12446378381713634,
                  0.14468457627614512,
                  0.1633612750570009,
                  0.39760137931643086,
                  0.11468542996150075,
                  0.364784263377428,
                  0.3325206627686121,
                  0.20538557632120635,
                  0.2802535585178077,
                  0.21236938060714752,
                  0.15924185793428136,
                  0.3213423527931083,
                  0.31609457320369283,
                  0.20982124314555695,
                  0.2016595786890659
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3406488402474111,
                  0.15585229033150771,
                  0.1733474973115743,
                  0.2607321626770492,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.35118589057225497,
                  0.15964704360397033,
                  0.13793336355887106,
                  0.13634373895712082,
                  0.1384011735129149,
                  0.12098299127445332,
                  0.14645923116637555,
                  0.36837280991055965,
                  0.12098299127445333,
                  0.34820491159145306,
                  0.4161190810910467,
                  0.23546533423622354,
                  0.32875690367129495,
                  0.18568689656698428,
                  0.13104510989535922,
                  0.3521319426489182,
                  0.3129367809306557,
                  0.21062232617609924,
                  0.19696310869600517
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1336979923130475,
                  0.22232764848845202,
                  0.18657395827453416,
                  0.1283817665718413,
                  0.3075252100252775,
                  0.18284344420257467,
                  0.1661857477965367,
                  0.27058819906792214,
                  0.2441696542576108,
                  0.3194113849959645,
                  0.39744798362124295,
                  0.29493441427470607,
                  0.18905599153834152,
                  0.37638084837840247,
                  0.18160742392535723,
                  0.0993186396354437,
                  0.24316778202849756,
                  0.09968386929285507,
                  0.27588045896371455,
                  0.26284776602587495,
                  0.12580216372449007,
                  0.16359639271177906,
                  0.2200022088007427,
                  0.23019720265858878
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.20740352380845312,
                  0.18153627234129263,
                  0.1237869663235696,
                  0.42323081835917165,
                  0.12273459327068108,
                  0.17730161674933273,
                  0.27628581870652447,
                  0.24210845734163935,
                  0.35677085020102,
                  0.4129271616552412,
                  0.3014085497152008,
                  0.1438970313033771,
                  0.4253366156954207,
                  0.1669122214397413,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.2509601019920115,
                  0.12166838967543823,
                  0.2665992007759097,
                  0.27277906341892527,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.22444802890557244,
                  0.2376595172267659
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.811577248162882,
                  5.175364662141594,
                  3.935293387977348,
                  2.577745581055435,
                  14.825474233734646,
                  5.837396803170045,
                  3.4379182174017275,
                  4.567514902274252,
                  3.5300594835379444,
                  26.535128232348416,
                  25.97512161021217,
                  3.9674183357604,
                  9.153796981932857,
                  24.08638308787883,
                  5.903198604617178,
                  2.608924211304312,
                  13.903627766440279,
                  2.6049313301787946,
                  6.598654112464994,
                  5.360618579354503,
                  4.897719391596168,
                  5.060034889131564,
                  6.619935668878786,
                  3.816796934841217
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.5039629006286863,
                  4.404502123435348,
                  3.7921098904802375,
                  3.7427483154181247,
                  27.430818422751024,
                  4.09357752958828,
                  3.618553854597303,
                  4.403186407306274,
                  3.33544948423942,
                  30.38912596968953,
                  26.15657705190127,
                  3.9490911747156954,
                  4.915805626371291,
                  26.102456598508446,
                  4.555869648555982,
                  4.319504515985746,
                  15.066223249131706,
                  3.332735441447136,
                  6.022796968020984,
                  5.2148566721483,
                  4.335017286452637,
                  3.630233609951502,
                  6.294926309868744,
                  4.525624967226858
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.6317234436045878,
                  4.846080408485902,
                  3.660247638313386,
                  2.3643302012202962,
                  14.193494004658998,
                  5.44458979389627,
                  3.2549167641518233,
                  4.288402833870985,
                  3.245469921840811,
                  26.14979061755462,
                  25.726366316290555,
                  3.6964223741943076,
                  8.69183207474042,
                  23.805338274137455,
                  5.615348164496037,
                  2.398095520046142,
                  13.600972848976904,
                  2.4150574795219653,
                  6.366659564961086,
                  5.119016694430945,
                  4.577230113215608,
                  4.761247716647245,
                  6.101845624742583,
                  3.5980922166353895
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.134642569756797,
                  4.0368873592733205,
                  3.423335292543674,
                  3.3738802296500032,
                  27.106814106125587,
                  3.7253738930894196,
                  3.249450552047323,
                  4.035569151257637,
                  2.965809999169824,
                  30.070724508266622,
                  25.830159399346183,
                  3.580613889817456,
                  4.549159240055732,
                  25.77593644509466,
                  4.188541565312743,
                  3.9517287715065783,
                  14.718801138616833,
                  2.963090816144978,
                  5.6582471562161265,
                  4.848776670389135,
                  3.9672709222205658,
                  3.261152428150299,
                  5.930891894544658,
                  4.158239602390194
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45205220692496345,
              "rpss": 0.0017247984510796455,
              "brier_below": 0.230317700606839,
              "bss_below": -0.01427929944572437,
              "brier_above": 0.2217345063155749,
              "bss_above": 0.017822273216429818,
              "crps": 8.074609760683181,
              "crpss": 0.0644269253527201,
              "crps_fair": 7.773023775443097,
              "crpss_fair": 0.060212695466278165,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.137173,
                    0.541931,
                    0.3201,
                    0.000796,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2706,
                    0.3527,
                    0.4347,
                    0.5077,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3375,
                    0.3455,
                    0.3576,
                    0.272,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.061004,
                    0.679778,
                    0.254441,
                    0.004776,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2823,
                    0.3502,
                    0.429,
                    0.5167,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1263,
                    0.334,
                    0.4277,
                    0.0302,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5123140978909841,
                  0.4567473710785702,
                  0.4590657621217079,
                  0.4066313579921116,
                  0.4178817376778532,
                  0.4256465443213132,
                  0.5210127208736373,
                  0.44263003628837944
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5242304582543107,
                  0.45938853305268146,
                  0.5017174223148171,
                  0.4051068144553075,
                  0.4317667029427126,
                  0.41531527803354223,
                  0.4728878323138167,
                  0.48863351023117646
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.391855572438167,
                  0.2692587863316488,
                  0.11768227101095065,
                  0.23507660163674365,
                  0.2412210995538361,
                  0.16309495179979414,
                  0.3273971186411715,
                  0.33792100716686985
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.40795993245117856,
                  0.27227812780818744,
                  0.12370712310234608,
                  0.2309306977016834,
                  0.2554229422765291,
                  0.15868716024439758,
                  0.31168865779035276,
                  0.37646203326964833
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12045854405449,
                  0.18748859015458225,
                  0.3413834661909733,
                  0.171554763652346,
                  0.17666064511106994,
                  0.26255158698312364,
                  0.19361561712461925,
                  0.10470904793538394
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11627054465083109,
                  0.1871104114792495,
                  0.37801027156074746,
                  0.17417612530121018,
                  0.17634376877195204,
                  0.25662811177730505,
                  0.16119918533729533,
                  0.11217149654219405
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.7053310749404966,
                  3.2423205586933657,
                  9.885690826006858,
                  3.825790634758296,
                  4.181362107133772,
                  5.130527728838989,
                  6.47451946267801,
                  2.5868065314099846
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.134590890417508,
                  3.257454258459608,
                  11.95446652225302,
                  3.2123112416029844,
                  3.7715427873017267,
                  4.553263281560126,
                  3.429057288259692,
                  3.466783459627757
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.5976750917817366,
                  3.142213742182164,
                  9.721184909248782,
                  3.746719663909413,
                  4.087921519306301,
                  5.020196048879931,
                  6.282276803679484,
                  2.476609985441414
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.840649245962226,
                  2.9635126140043284,
                  11.660524877797739,
                  2.9183695971477044,
                  3.477601142846446,
                  4.259321637104846,
                  3.1351156438044105,
                  3.1728418151724775
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4552412035305696,
              "rpss": 0.01544098528014659,
              "brier_below": 0.26043842607239776,
              "bss_below": 0.025093980512063796,
              "brier_above": 0.19480278265082357,
              "bss_above": 0.0022329419768467584,
              "crps": 4.879043615557471,
              "crpss": -0.033162964010572615,
              "crps_fair": 4.7593497205536535,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07471113044002342,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.203835,
                    0.538442,
                    0.257724,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2609,
                    0.3562,
                    0.4198,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3913,
                    0.4684,
                    0.5282,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.18774,
                    0.695617,
                    0.116643,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2845,
                    0.3405,
                    0.4271,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2408,
                    0.24,
                    0.3454,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4976223360632481,
                  0.4690010426496465,
                  0.46508236439114,
                  0.406718407764684,
                  0.42617196130465834,
                  0.38830809489700796,
                  0.5343793896578354,
                  0.43011082042749543
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5378222423430801,
                  0.4654037630210716,
                  0.5441677934136927,
                  0.42259005509153863,
                  0.4687251558583407,
                  0.37920455236096284,
                  0.4762575897428396,
                  0.48392300807734495
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.38470661233622355,
                  0.2422867704796632,
                  0.10410606438957087,
                  0.23854198244015393,
                  0.32256140315461257,
                  0.21472257195951658,
                  0.31770031338471505,
                  0.3203855163759374
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4270541912814117,
                  0.23612689903307224,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.25427588380937366,
                  0.3562146259988406,
                  0.2119324419419288,
                  0.29938211945700965,
                  0.37315495701567675
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.11291574331508639,
                  0.2267142701936663,
                  0.3609762663084153,
                  0.16817643457074014,
                  0.10361057627865324,
                  0.1735855333024489,
                  0.2166790899899101,
                  0.10972532386227332
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11076807075767037,
                  0.22927686262225755,
                  0.4330566384694138,
                  0.16831418081740057,
                  0.11251054924392284,
                  0.1672721205797222,
                  0.1768754781609058,
                  0.11076807075767037
                ],
                "crps": [
                  4.0297061799129015,
                  3.7891154524926107,
                  10.929819462060694,
                  4.09623445178982,
                  2.632957766811001,
                  3.3593783138746462,
                  8.795925770144414,
                  2.9185720798431163
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.500795459022275,
                  3.8833491476604167,
                  14.934177684323762,
                  3.6806433710989057,
                  3.5671376707580675,
                  3.3365612191630336,
                  3.817686724141159,
                  4.037007086746878
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.9011414766137373,
                  3.6904783769201,
                  10.701494622008905,
                  4.0028117022294865,
                  2.5314064103837035,
                  3.231343401722644,
                  8.542420987101401,
                  2.7984677088379715
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  4.156168553465009,
                  3.538722242103148,
                  14.589550778766494,
                  3.336016465541637,
                  3.2225107652008003,
                  2.991934313605765,
                  3.4730598185838906,
                  3.692380181189609
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45217430214446447,
              "rpss": 0.0425346050022829,
              "brier_below": 0.26812640431504914,
              "bss_below": 0.05474975402246285,
              "brier_above": 0.1840479047276492,
              "bss_above": 0.024163387736175213,
              "crps": 5.0689636846161505,
              "crpss": 0.028872728861508934,
              "crps_fair": 4.924945585727244,
              "crpss_fair": -0.010236360386600696,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.167303,
                    0.519275,
                    0.313423,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2673,
                    0.3579,
                    0.4186,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4029,
                    0.4869,
                    0.6297,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.105994,
                    0.713538,
                    0.180468,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2874,
                    0.341,
                    0.4326,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0946,
                    0.2013,
                    0.4375,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "ls": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7469764504591424,
            "training": [
              0.7378869305157756,
              0.7452395318201699,
              0.7428107907752752,
              0.7380802773927441,
              0.8075427418323241,
              0.7127019043506934,
              0.7381572322894911,
              0.7377710296065889,
              0.7452253465444688,
              0.7785826799127736,
              0.74427202159702,
              0.7451595788037317,
              0.7011358977654482,
              0.7764415748522694,
              0.7387957283605233,
              0.7886721694272075,
              0.7582747672743583,
              0.7557266828446543,
              0.7454418387948121,
              0.7340301266024218,
              0.7297147716119992,
              0.725701359311546,
              0.7569531367395458,
              0.7431166919935728
            ],
            "test": 0.7874114561160308
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4473607796918462,
                  0.3746536990027593,
                  0.46145848546690793,
                  0.36651924980895806,
                  0.4277763499704098,
                  0.5149554434355745,
                  0.39684548203867076,
                  0.47886976025088995,
                  0.3911525418340104,
                  0.486102635604965,
                  0.5045036935673605,
                  0.4361616035777513,
                  0.5369743872756337,
                  0.5137337999094246,
                  0.4826377089256126,
                  0.42305567571133423,
                  0.4810325517364388,
                  0.42893895265394555,
                  0.4413864902813699,
                  0.4272711039694079,
                  0.49003248198772453,
                  0.42322664081998146,
                  0.44048190348260946,
                  0.4338911381926032
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.462562923536876,
                  0.3645173216522427,
                  0.44125991495499295,
                  0.3676651074657129,
                  0.4796288397923759,
                  0.5018388000928868,
                  0.3814774056959005,
                  0.4578573987892382,
                  0.3735878385869089,
                  0.5052606235712064,
                  0.5036551985237356,
                  0.4358799350596818,
                  0.5001476319885705,
                  0.5372757850199824,
                  0.4967176353817881,
                  0.483398419566635,
                  0.48412488872389453,
                  0.42298688230915954,
                  0.4788741887887977,
                  0.4007718021663261,
                  0.498737480732011,
                  0.40202165436042925,
                  0.44570350792032964,
                  0.4523372814100714
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3146177008776815,
                  0.19316083682241575,
                  0.16988533585866214,
                  0.23960059428219563,
                  0.1551828964724201,
                  0.36875702607995725,
                  0.21401982669656644,
                  0.17639091256145112,
                  0.15216390220281054,
                  0.13791703317438864,
                  0.14475197247867208,
                  0.1734756050724582,
                  0.36862777504046035,
                  0.12670493135893526,
                  0.3374415248396917,
                  0.2994146987521483,
                  0.18059161674624402,
                  0.24082079239448703,
                  0.2630179093528324,
                  0.18359624958198462,
                  0.35828725160223207,
                  0.25858213061518354,
                  0.16530320707101845,
                  0.2463612899238074
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33445347350698373,
                  0.18448978058131807,
                  0.15020271959428944,
                  0.23455533259135652,
                  0.16559252060812168,
                  0.3788018404246035,
                  0.19293962127510628,
                  0.15038884587226958,
                  0.13073481316379681,
                  0.1342598604859912,
                  0.1282842296352773,
                  0.16631198513422443,
                  0.3601361789689049,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.35626815432751285,
                  0.34779494441826286,
                  0.17732409124021772,
                  0.23135019401075282,
                  0.29334157497784386,
                  0.1580270900868227,
                  0.3757058539399758,
                  0.2565886947421901,
                  0.1693218745678458,
                  0.2597369379666505
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.13274307884549144,
                  0.1814928623926772,
                  0.2915731505662654,
                  0.12691865635557914,
                  0.27259345244955024,
                  0.14619841729030708,
                  0.1828256556656371,
                  0.3024788480079098,
                  0.23898863955282584,
                  0.3481856032822977,
                  0.3597517224971063,
                  0.26268599881598687,
                  0.1683466121082188,
                  0.3870288694902952,
                  0.14519618344315804,
                  0.12364097804240962,
                  0.30044093601763877,
                  0.18811816020769329,
                  0.17836858137859352,
                  0.2436748542727766,
                  0.1317452292360956,
                  0.16464450974033726,
                  0.275178695882537,
                  0.18752984855411226
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12810945002989202,
                  0.1800275410709245,
                  0.2910571953607033,
                  0.1331097748743562,
                  0.3140363192350966,
                  0.12303695966828301,
                  0.18853778442079408,
                  0.3074685529169685,
                  0.24285302547391838,
                  0.371000763085215,
                  0.37537096893986166,
                  0.26956794992545724,
                  0.1400114530196655,
                  0.41629279379655704,
                  0.14044948110508146,
                  0.1356034751238968,
                  0.30680079745918404,
                  0.19163668827393138,
                  0.18553261378647845,
                  0.242744712130419,
                  0.12303162676755988,
                  0.14543295959376396,
                  0.2763816333277958,
                  0.19260034341894555
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.8464193841080574,
                  4.568526956094362,
                  11.11124916312227,
                  2.753000381696075,
                  10.86779560969899,
                  4.5828818862749445,
                  3.730885388938299,
                  5.873618359596958,
                  4.112906740783818,
                  17.972233135178918,
                  16.995685015617667,
                  4.4150502943842325,
                  8.186374399184109,
                  23.47894568947394,
                  4.6474061093776715,
                  3.0812265217532535,
                  12.953801841498214,
                  4.377290659721024,
                  4.465635803935592,
                  5.306083565540121,
                  5.089284379266323,
                  4.658788406742164,
                  8.436344934102076,
                  3.549985215496887
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.383400553071679,
                  3.6995246089032476,
                  10.375259519924272,
                  3.088176782734038,
                  15.623140866424055,
                  3.918194532764918,
                  3.2512248780442565,
                  5.3613292903859575,
                  3.3401723993300685,
                  21.29254756415035,
                  17.08930816883068,
                  4.102339013398538,
                  4.506551529947348,
                  25.32004262629813,
                  4.202143270441035,
                  3.5904825606496558,
                  13.811056598131602,
                  3.49561527327503,
                  4.117308454045926,
                  4.163338575099779,
                  4.154173639778647,
                  3.3440543501428777,
                  7.576953718515562,
                  3.8653696148339143
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.6029796934785057,
                  4.265551403543148,
                  10.82319159999471,
                  2.553498819235382,
                  10.307799744830795,
                  4.201959565653496,
                  3.508912791614073,
                  5.546365416709554,
                  3.79791888624668,
                  17.54638876362704,
                  16.703167378861068,
                  4.124011744322018,
                  7.69300695618903,
                  23.189818191616144,
                  4.317844390908692,
                  2.8339138795151717,
                  12.592149734965636,
                  4.149881632651717,
                  4.236580786025791,
                  5.086507403708084,
                  4.736889573322676,
                  4.303776782651468,
                  8.013417255610515,
                  3.2874722632980937
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.069144896531585,
                  3.3858676721658623,
                  10.074246020518368,
                  2.773361990265274,
                  15.332066536235006,
                  3.604951743610606,
                  2.9367188887863067,
                  5.050819710999868,
                  3.0258348712866763,
                  21.012210746646392,
                  16.801010670653753,
                  3.7894449827302754,
                  4.194423053287697,
                  25.04733364035127,
                  3.8894382629868667,
                  3.276619104881488,
                  13.516550290161696,
                  3.1815721446141088,
                  3.8044427745910094,
                  3.8505600739044343,
                  3.8413777807512575,
                  3.029724174279054,
                  7.270640397516081,
                  3.55202677848655
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45037593996650793,
              "rpss": 0.006367353385551722,
              "brier_below": 0.22786137582744603,
              "bss_below": -0.0020300918809788016,
              "brier_above": 0.22251456433731254,
              "bss_above": 0.01482195931384278,
              "crps": 7.419225826732749,
              "crpss": -0.007866066758145163,
              "crps_fair": 7.100958527440812,
              "crpss_fair": -0.006571465996251469,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.057051,
                    0.633783,
                    0.309015,
                    0.000151,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2852,
                    0.3588,
                    0.4245,
                    0.5052,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3095,
                    0.3331,
                    0.3907,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.042001,
                    0.795578,
                    0.159839,
                    0.002583,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2871,
                    0.3479,
                    0.4275,
                    0.5128,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2012,
                    0.3375,
                    0.4197,
                    0.1295,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.47033127691676313,
                  0.37826595424387555,
                  0.37407485179672506,
                  0.3844773389199649,
                  0.42593792235981687,
                  0.5462826107592245,
                  0.3602040886755449,
                  0.4358504103284019,
                  0.4076354237490154,
                  0.4546326112995558,
                  0.5308097074757184,
                  0.44836717134933196,
                  0.5713225591263256,
                  0.49159307518909345,
                  0.5383509806238764,
                  0.4495508785225147,
                  0.4673309674003384,
                  0.41142760740346224,
                  0.470293891298317,
                  0.4158229571381656,
                  0.46675431020706115,
                  0.47335775524400797,
                  0.4215774253985251,
                  0.4299000078486
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4612583059027846,
                  0.3632558141399608,
                  0.354883769652867,
                  0.3845191290006187,
                  0.5442138095123802,
                  0.47392048384293584,
                  0.33694866035330306,
                  0.4142191822653953,
                  0.37845219617751535,
                  0.4951720237139347,
                  0.5339101528063047,
                  0.4478677808815762,
                  0.5122698412139367,
                  0.546319606847996,
                  0.5151171329099498,
                  0.5367285468048282,
                  0.4864254362866427,
                  0.45042529340514065,
                  0.45228609740130155,
                  0.40382417319303954,
                  0.47274140836269934,
                  0.4335462466444369,
                  0.43507035514007947,
                  0.4346226259811788
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3354778998806605,
                  0.15972203359551623,
                  0.18640857452639628,
                  0.2518208466236787,
                  0.0987861539149542,
                  0.3723747483789556,
                  0.18784088648245456,
                  0.1626756735282877,
                  0.17055353801663928,
                  0.12855890267304676,
                  0.1396149238907975,
                  0.16066477048024064,
                  0.38597690268071067,
                  0.11566595105438826,
                  0.3532132873570446,
                  0.3421357770943944,
                  0.2195596377123001,
                  0.29905181360776045,
                  0.20218956921342365,
                  0.15539163980976875,
                  0.33591391394805353,
                  0.313451724010176,
                  0.2014048710977713,
                  0.1975857016507744
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3406488402474111,
                  0.15585229033150771,
                  0.1733474973115743,
                  0.2607321626770492,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.35118589057225497,
                  0.15964704360397033,
                  0.13793336355887106,
                  0.13634373895712082,
                  0.1384011735129149,
                  0.12098299127445332,
                  0.14645923116637555,
                  0.36837280991055965,
                  0.12098299127445333,
                  0.34820491159145306,
                  0.4161190810910467,
                  0.23546533423622354,
                  0.32875690367129495,
                  0.18568689656698428,
                  0.13104510989535922,
                  0.3521319426489182,
                  0.3129367809306557,
                  0.21062232617609924,
                  0.19696310869600517
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.13485337721160115,
                  0.2185439206734733,
                  0.18766627771165892,
                  0.13265649274663255,
                  0.3271517655471678,
                  0.17390786308024053,
                  0.17236320272776487,
                  0.2731747370960223,
                  0.23708188503412936,
                  0.32607370950924436,
                  0.3911947851978197,
                  0.28770240077472287,
                  0.1853456570552388,
                  0.37592712507445464,
                  0.1851376921398321,
                  0.10741510270361358,
                  0.24777133031356163,
                  0.11237579434339383,
                  0.2681043217791957,
                  0.2604313177726504,
                  0.1308403955263526,
                  0.1599060309917394,
                  0.2201725536386799,
                  0.2323143066576017
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.20740352380845312,
                  0.18153627234129263,
                  0.1237869663235696,
                  0.42323081835917165,
                  0.12273459327068108,
                  0.17730161674933273,
                  0.27628581870652447,
                  0.24210845734163935,
                  0.35677085020102,
                  0.4129271616552412,
                  0.3014085497152008,
                  0.1438970313033771,
                  0.4253366156954207,
                  0.1669122214397413,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.2509601019920115,
                  0.12166838967543823,
                  0.2665992007759097,
                  0.27277906341892527,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.22444802890557244,
                  0.2376595172267659
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.691373842387478,
                  5.692062421897695,
                  4.465998060650013,
                  2.7970036759018306,
                  14.955510845068776,
                  5.507151111365315,
                  4.086939481243135,
                  5.194691296958175,
                  4.075484957175939,
                  25.30522577482032,
                  26.03809728915608,
                  4.497380570916756,
                  8.888468180660361,
                  23.93635614556028,
                  5.338478407055175,
                  2.492878385045104,
                  13.79906239009027,
                  3.052257165502638,
                  7.43278867633074,
                  5.9637646192955795,
                  4.793908666651954,
                  5.076018492178018,
                  7.199828025877707,
                  3.894064393244807
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.5039629006286863,
                  4.404502123435348,
                  3.7921098904802375,
                  3.7427483154181247,
                  27.430818422751024,
                  4.09357752958828,
                  3.618553854597303,
                  4.403186407306274,
                  3.33544948423942,
                  30.38912596968953,
                  26.15657705190127,
                  3.9490911747156954,
                  4.915805626371291,
                  26.102456598508446,
                  4.555869648555982,
                  4.319504515985746,
                  15.066223249131706,
                  3.332735441447136,
                  6.022796968020984,
                  5.2148566721483,
                  4.335017286452637,
                  3.630233609951502,
                  6.294926309868744,
                  4.525624967226858
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.4819564880803524,
                  5.315892411651889,
                  4.148418877747583,
                  2.5576144240507572,
                  14.245649379140186,
                  5.051068661081005,
                  3.8762094999428554,
                  4.881477380340812,
                  3.74891948798236,
                  24.853599767064285,
                  25.757748813088885,
                  4.189213781905244,
                  8.347321249296368,
                  23.61885977332793,
                  4.9957659418075115,
                  2.243686823948523,
                  13.460048720849617,
                  2.8271906570165335,
                  7.172544788789406,
                  5.691131539643142,
                  4.417033729278519,
                  4.726123774156632,
                  6.615916496385768,
                  3.647285900660754
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.134642569756797,
                  4.0368873592733205,
                  3.423335292543674,
                  3.3738802296500032,
                  27.106814106125587,
                  3.7253738930894196,
                  3.249450552047323,
                  4.035569151257637,
                  2.965809999169824,
                  30.070724508266622,
                  25.830159399346183,
                  3.580613889817456,
                  4.549159240055732,
                  25.77593644509466,
                  4.188541565312743,
                  3.9517287715065783,
                  14.718801138616833,
                  2.963090816144978,
                  5.6582471562161265,
                  4.848776670389135,
                  3.9672709222205658,
                  3.261152428150299,
                  5.930891894544658,
                  4.158239602390194
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4510063243030928,
              "rpss": 0.004034440278174567,
              "brier_below": 0.22816832255117472,
              "bss_below": -0.00481381041557527,
              "brier_above": 0.222838001887783,
              "bss_above": 0.012934316034499127,
              "crps": 8.21561636979309,
              "crpss": 0.048089047642159155,
              "crps_fair": 7.869611598634872,
              "crpss_fair": 0.048534870641536276,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.078794,
                    0.661107,
                    0.260099,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.284,
                    0.355,
                    0.4229,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2872,
                    0.3498,
                    0.3629,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.032848,
                    0.709411,
                    0.251579,
                    0.006162,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2861,
                    0.3513,
                    0.4305,
                    0.5128,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1303,
                    0.321,
                    0.441,
                    0.1294,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4905689365166231,
                  0.43804079425263104,
                  0.4763264452278455,
                  0.40715887510784565,
                  0.4289185921189767,
                  0.43937734457375516,
                  0.48768030040571253,
                  0.4385769159555189
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5242304582543107,
                  0.45938853305268146,
                  0.5017174223148171,
                  0.4051068144553075,
                  0.4317667029427126,
                  0.41531527803354223,
                  0.4728878323138167,
                  0.48863351023117646
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.37043246140407304,
                  0.255742461260533,
                  0.12950630021516588,
                  0.23515105835363315,
                  0.24949731051515697,
                  0.17665440084368697,
                  0.3061215356207016,
                  0.33085952798153684
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.40795993245117856,
                  0.27227812780818744,
                  0.12370712310234608,
                  0.2309306977016834,
                  0.2554229422765291,
                  0.15868716024439758,
                  0.31168865779035276,
                  0.37646203326964833
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12013649411964973,
                  0.18229833922753896,
                  0.3468201196439897,
                  0.17200782463444828,
                  0.1794212891168573,
                  0.2627229379336076,
                  0.18155877848773408,
                  0.10771740724668896
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11627054465083109,
                  0.1871104114792495,
                  0.37801027156074746,
                  0.17417612530121018,
                  0.17634376877195204,
                  0.25662811177730505,
                  0.16119918533729533,
                  0.11217149654219405
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.364997374389474,
                  3.59662848645234,
                  10.425895898076803,
                  4.481972909573017,
                  4.694951188452487,
                  5.8715132074217875,
                  6.918935427394796,
                  2.7487967965796702
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.134590890417508,
                  3.257454258459608,
                  11.95446652225302,
                  3.2123112416029844,
                  3.7715427873017267,
                  4.553263281560126,
                  3.429057288259692,
                  3.466783459627757
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.2320810433156755,
                  3.470807084781647,
                  10.229548475215406,
                  4.3836922668856655,
                  4.577628452103535,
                  5.735120113590924,
                  6.687885548530485,
                  2.612679403866328
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.840649245962226,
                  2.9635126140043284,
                  11.660524877797739,
                  2.9183695971477044,
                  3.477601142846446,
                  4.259321637104846,
                  3.1351156438044105,
                  3.1728418151724775
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4508310255198636,
              "rpss": 0.02497896313295389,
              "brier_below": 0.25674563202431094,
              "bss_below": 0.03891731372944496,
              "brier_above": 0.1940853988013143,
              "bss_above": 0.00590733493601292,
              "crps": 5.2629614110425464,
              "crpss": -0.11445956202724061,
              "crps_fair": 5.116180298536208,
              "crpss_fair": -0.15528722094731795,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.066471,
                    0.757159,
                    0.17637,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2835,
                    0.3651,
                    0.412,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2389,
                    0.4949,
                    0.4395,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.08761,
                    0.832927,
                    0.079463,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2898,
                    0.337,
                    0.4217,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2715,
                    0.2355,
                    0.4095,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5080672847662764,
                  0.44349122524884527,
                  0.4772455447266279,
                  0.4234990844908767,
                  0.4309846877793915,
                  0.38564007674570483,
                  0.5105588636931792,
                  0.4534446096334233
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5378222423430801,
                  0.4654037630210716,
                  0.5441677934136927,
                  0.42259005509153863,
                  0.4687251558583407,
                  0.37920455236096284,
                  0.4762575897428396,
                  0.48392300807734495
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3893982919962336,
                  0.22536678638074617,
                  0.10592576167695279,
                  0.2537171813652493,
                  0.31829405474539474,
                  0.21402176448937452,
                  0.30781320143905777,
                  0.338947392948954
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4270541912814117,
                  0.23612689903307224,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.25427588380937366,
                  0.3562146259988406,
                  0.2119324419419288,
                  0.29938211945700965,
                  0.37315495701567675
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.11866901312236532,
                  0.21812443809284576,
                  0.3713197497077976,
                  0.16978191287310362,
                  0.11269065228652386,
                  0.17161832319104203,
                  0.2027456745253821,
                  0.11449723699886614
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11076807075767037,
                  0.22927686262225755,
                  0.4330566384694138,
                  0.16831418081740057,
                  0.11251054924392284,
                  0.1672721205797222,
                  0.1768754781609058,
                  0.11076807075767037
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.6431492285361826,
                  4.028110674480643,
                  11.510523505836382,
                  4.6237600772654135,
                  2.5359997347601433,
                  3.7604588213774703,
                  9.435727058374436,
                  2.964752148170287
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.500795459022275,
                  3.8833491476604167,
                  14.934177684323762,
                  3.6806433710989057,
                  3.5671376707580675,
                  3.3365612191630336,
                  3.817686724141159,
                  4.037007086746878
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.4958319554574517,
                  3.914302854634328,
                  11.252446501484027,
                  4.515808352309292,
                  2.4189653082722242,
                  3.61354581588646,
                  9.148657885862944,
                  2.82648373286938
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  4.156168553465009,
                  3.538722242103148,
                  14.589550778766494,
                  3.336016465541637,
                  3.2225107652008003,
                  2.991934313605765,
                  3.4730598185838906,
                  3.692380181189609
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4541164221355406,
              "rpss": 0.0384222247197904,
              "brier_below": 0.2691855543802454,
              "bss_below": 0.05101583657329767,
              "brier_above": 0.18493087509974082,
              "bss_above": 0.019481808677145773,
              "crps": 5.31281015610012,
              "crpss": -0.017844109759304727,
              "crps_fair": 5.148255300847014,
              "crpss_fair": -0.056043078433466675,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.114949,
                    0.802143,
                    0.082908,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2831,
                    0.3611,
                    0.4094,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3049,
                    0.5394,
                    0.602,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.040703,
                    0.79662,
                    0.162677,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2888,
                    0.3425,
                    0.4232,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1606,
                    0.1997,
                    0.4118,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "vs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6505457803274483,
            "training": [
              0.6309131313774848,
              0.652799364449496,
              0.6393353583991644,
              0.6546716987081564,
              0.7268384465935716,
              0.6074250418632839,
              0.6341905104777777,
              0.6256469354606028,
              0.6432183444089599,
              0.6973892526826708,
              0.6458893477514427,
              0.6515287505948959,
              0.5935043537475497,
              0.6912103768088814,
              0.6427467682644731,
              0.7125696384579645,
              0.6705242188035608,
              0.6681084019415927,
              0.643374629579005,
              0.6214999441903218,
              0.6380716423660715,
              0.6247027157731344,
              0.6511116793854063,
              0.6458281757732877
            ],
            "test": 0.6727032272325235
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4852390403108769,
                  0.3684684995384142,
                  0.44433992867325256,
                  0.3508355846757249,
                  0.41096396076232694,
                  0.5685139020236536,
                  0.38920911840083955,
                  0.4673667639874173,
                  0.38008023449145123,
                  0.4537922911382962,
                  0.483685210080621,
                  0.4400983508487086,
                  0.5879574301994349,
                  0.4804374440211711,
                  0.5217035715111494,
                  0.4076523758318888,
                  0.4539060475118373,
                  0.4087360114023721,
                  0.4778821960162832,
                  0.4210566106678469,
                  0.5286751711203088,
                  0.42394598102712483,
                  0.42280458568391194,
                  0.45701025413382473
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.462562923536876,
                  0.3645173216522427,
                  0.44125991495499295,
                  0.3676651074657129,
                  0.4796288397923759,
                  0.5018388000928868,
                  0.3814774056959005,
                  0.4578573987892382,
                  0.3735878385869089,
                  0.5052606235712064,
                  0.5036551985237356,
                  0.4358799350596818,
                  0.5001476319885705,
                  0.5372757850199824,
                  0.4967176353817881,
                  0.483398419566635,
                  0.48412488872389453,
                  0.42298688230915954,
                  0.4788741887887977,
                  0.4007718021663261,
                  0.498737480732011,
                  0.40202165436042925,
                  0.44570350792032964,
                  0.4523372814100714
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.34892817563436596,
                  0.18548784155862647,
                  0.15773841137858946,
                  0.22764998445217216,
                  0.14892013378252106,
                  0.41290071997525996,
                  0.21063467964007163,
                  0.17054688385448635,
                  0.1408174803125243,
                  0.11751690401999211,
                  0.1304262109344826,
                  0.17401128009724495,
                  0.4097082826549243,
                  0.10425851387154786,
                  0.37660375302554105,
                  0.28893399624114435,
                  0.15954092376808782,
                  0.2267462640171077,
                  0.2964616733228948,
                  0.171744713534303,
                  0.3931142723079088,
                  0.2539316007217837,
                  0.14928247044067672,
                  0.26909354188399937
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33445347350698373,
                  0.18448978058131807,
                  0.15020271959428944,
                  0.23455533259135652,
                  0.16559252060812168,
                  0.3788018404246035,
                  0.19293962127510628,
                  0.15038884587226958,
                  0.13073481316379681,
                  0.1342598604859912,
                  0.1282842296352773,
                  0.16631198513422443,
                  0.3601361789689049,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.35626815432751285,
                  0.34779494441826286,
                  0.17732409124021772,
                  0.23135019401075282,
                  0.29334157497784386,
                  0.1580270900868227,
                  0.3757058539399758,
                  0.2565886947421901,
                  0.1693218745678458,
                  0.2597369379666505
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.13631086372606835,
                  0.18298065755001006,
                  0.2866015188533746,
                  0.1231856002346351,
                  0.2620438256250588,
                  0.15561318173120947,
                  0.17857443880927207,
                  0.2968198818614553,
                  0.2392627538179572,
                  0.336275387932831,
                  0.35325900178861447,
                  0.2660870715574879,
                  0.17824914725351132,
                  0.3761789315992316,
                  0.14509981682970044,
                  0.11871838028482251,
                  0.2943651253663534,
                  0.18198974773167095,
                  0.18142052159948008,
                  0.24931189710314433,
                  0.1355608976363878,
                  0.17001437950245293,
                  0.2735221146552211,
                  0.187916712617817
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12810945002989202,
                  0.1800275410709245,
                  0.2910571953607033,
                  0.1331097748743562,
                  0.3140363192350966,
                  0.12303695966828301,
                  0.18853778442079408,
                  0.3074685529169685,
                  0.24285302547391838,
                  0.371000763085215,
                  0.37537096893986166,
                  0.26956794992545724,
                  0.1400114530196655,
                  0.41629279379655704,
                  0.14044948110508146,
                  0.1356034751238968,
                  0.30680079745918404,
                  0.19163668827393138,
                  0.18553261378647845,
                  0.242744712130419,
                  0.12303162676755988,
                  0.14543295959376396,
                  0.2763816333277958,
                  0.19260034341894555
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.9012126517696144,
                  4.022811938055724,
                  10.825474022117705,
                  2.1365861539415656,
                  10.38160859005143,
                  4.659396446809786,
                  2.980327977014097,
                  5.228360933865616,
                  3.5184313247964574,
                  18.236418626506424,
                  16.832106170752684,
                  3.942887805153687,
                  8.217386209425742,
                  23.739028557107936,
                  4.8375824059873676,
                  2.673937502301095,
                  12.706448134882486,
                  3.6307132235700608,
                  3.9865261583167015,
                  4.642948167267497,
                  5.275960738048038,
                  4.297296073956677,
                  8.14561577259655,
                  3.3392825723027206
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.383400553071679,
                  3.6995246089032476,
                  10.375259519924272,
                  3.088176782734038,
                  15.623140866424055,
                  3.918194532764918,
                  3.2512248780442565,
                  5.3613292903859575,
                  3.3401723993300685,
                  21.29254756415035,
                  17.08930816883068,
                  4.102339013398538,
                  4.506551529947348,
                  25.32004262629813,
                  4.202143270441035,
                  3.5904825606496558,
                  13.811056598131602,
                  3.49561527327503,
                  4.117308454045926,
                  4.163338575099779,
                  4.154173639778647,
                  3.3440543501428777,
                  7.576953718515562,
                  3.8653696148339143
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.7088116635031527,
                  3.763150543044867,
                  10.588747084319447,
                  1.9681069091813659,
                  9.905011015657692,
                  4.345443582947353,
                  2.7974505784050474,
                  4.956438256575256,
                  3.2616500058078883,
                  17.88328700052848,
                  16.59538428180519,
                  3.6965690716150186,
                  7.816718559298431,
                  23.5058697376584,
                  4.572410746301149,
                  2.4720866911756025,
                  12.410572736105772,
                  3.4452209556999644,
                  3.7947455796957663,
                  4.454384740800479,
                  4.991055777687179,
                  4.012848918605484,
                  7.783965517921971,
                  3.127525677536053
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.069144896531585,
                  3.3858676721658623,
                  10.074246020518368,
                  2.773361990265274,
                  15.332066536235006,
                  3.604951743610606,
                  2.9367188887863067,
                  5.050819710999868,
                  3.0258348712866763,
                  21.012210746646392,
                  16.801010670653753,
                  3.7894449827302754,
                  4.194423053287697,
                  25.04733364035127,
                  3.8894382629868667,
                  3.276619104881488,
                  13.516550290161696,
                  3.1815721446141088,
                  3.8044427745910094,
                  3.8505600739044343,
                  3.8413777807512575,
                  3.029724174279054,
                  7.270640397516081,
                  3.55202677848655
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45143169016911405,
              "rpss": 0.004038126233547823,
              "brier_below": 0.23020827964292737,
              "bss_below": -0.012350701230952277,
              "brier_above": 0.22122341065282367,
              "bss_above": 0.020538512119713026,
              "crps": 7.1315978398582365,
              "crpss": 0.031206808847858425,
              "crps_fair": 6.869060651328209,
              "crpss_fair": 0.026300403937652317,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.260436,
                    0.502521,
                    0.23395,
                    0.003093,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2607,
                    0.3507,
                    0.4338,
                    0.5077,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3377,
                    0.3408,
                    0.3804,
                    0.4314,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.124953,
                    0.645165,
                    0.22305,
                    0.006832,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2832,
                    0.3516,
                    0.4323,
                    0.5197,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1721,
                    0.3582,
                    0.4016,
                    0.3222,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.47655010351411936,
                  0.3816284153526579,
                  0.38123245307812365,
                  0.3836986708145384,
                  0.3843316875974515,
                  0.5813022383218676,
                  0.3743309038442912,
                  0.4378687616598816,
                  0.432547002821742,
                  0.43882723941376006,
                  0.5248149309624454,
                  0.4581584263438493,
                  0.5890624716708295,
                  0.48109822971355415,
                  0.5481441238988516,
                  0.42105418238486136,
                  0.4479013702818175,
                  0.3789503297654819,
                  0.49590696811606216,
                  0.42429897304688646,
                  0.4453671005142081,
                  0.48326654193250307,
                  0.4307093521670237,
                  0.43100851522278616
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4612583059027846,
                  0.3632558141399608,
                  0.354883769652867,
                  0.3845191290006187,
                  0.5442138095123802,
                  0.47392048384293584,
                  0.33694866035330306,
                  0.4142191822653953,
                  0.37845219617751535,
                  0.4951720237139347,
                  0.5339101528063047,
                  0.4478677808815762,
                  0.5122698412139367,
                  0.546319606847996,
                  0.5151171329099498,
                  0.5367285468048282,
                  0.4864254362866427,
                  0.45042529340514065,
                  0.45228609740130155,
                  0.40382417319303954,
                  0.47274140836269934,
                  0.4335462466444369,
                  0.43507035514007947,
                  0.4346226259811788
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3404813413586498,
                  0.15799291342519114,
                  0.19297532101768547,
                  0.25405703702257526,
                  0.08943034946716663,
                  0.39218293205695987,
                  0.2084487281442428,
                  0.16753935126263314,
                  0.18731901088029357,
                  0.12279158124661525,
                  0.138436949801617,
                  0.16472741766359544,
                  0.3960888436574373,
                  0.11220755772737744,
                  0.36477997874562434,
                  0.32325318797963004,
                  0.20459553187915064,
                  0.28024476963295114,
                  0.21831411624164762,
                  0.1622301219832415,
                  0.31863424481351815,
                  0.3143938368844962,
                  0.2104553099014984,
                  0.20091217472484163
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3406488402474111,
                  0.15585229033150771,
                  0.1733474973115743,
                  0.2607321626770492,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.35118589057225497,
                  0.15964704360397033,
                  0.13793336355887106,
                  0.13634373895712082,
                  0.1384011735129149,
                  0.12098299127445332,
                  0.14645923116637555,
                  0.36837280991055965,
                  0.12098299127445333,
                  0.34820491159145306,
                  0.4161190810910467,
                  0.23546533423622354,
                  0.32875690367129495,
                  0.18568689656698428,
                  0.13104510989535922,
                  0.3521319426489182,
                  0.3129367809306557,
                  0.21062232617609924,
                  0.19696310869600517
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.13606876147649527,
                  0.22363550183233147,
                  0.1882571321369163,
                  0.12964163360379652,
                  0.2949013343718781,
                  0.18911930737809354,
                  0.16588217619667575,
                  0.27032941125901794,
                  0.24522799054353867,
                  0.31603565836696623,
                  0.386377983950593,
                  0.2934310090205925,
                  0.1929736284139739,
                  0.36889067367145656,
                  0.18336414375114385,
                  0.09780099592685008,
                  0.24330583893949825,
                  0.09870556064160967,
                  0.27759285041811727,
                  0.26206885061103424,
                  0.1267328543653439,
                  0.16887270497802748,
                  0.22025404161754486,
                  0.23009634165188408
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.20740352380845312,
                  0.18153627234129263,
                  0.1237869663235696,
                  0.42323081835917165,
                  0.12273459327068108,
                  0.17730161674933273,
                  0.27628581870652447,
                  0.24210845734163935,
                  0.35677085020102,
                  0.4129271616552412,
                  0.3014085497152008,
                  0.1438970313033771,
                  0.4253366156954207,
                  0.1669122214397413,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.2509601019920115,
                  0.12166838967543823,
                  0.2665992007759097,
                  0.27277906341892527,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.22444802890557244,
                  0.2376595172267659
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.7126257834572103,
                  5.226360262858614,
                  4.0073617737236304,
                  2.4693531730226246,
                  14.862987311691588,
                  5.688981944157478,
                  3.5485911051189114,
                  4.652642414801957,
                  3.4972524159461345,
                  26.485222856580894,
                  26.146061600605126,
                  4.060674633067007,
                  9.079580453086805,
                  24.081859716287198,
                  5.775850142051016,
                  2.4672838465151044,
                  13.809118208500832,
                  2.7173274621013195,
                  6.699959745226213,
                  5.413508996480161,
                  4.772181008933668,
                  4.957845211659523,
                  6.748439664732371,
                  3.7266807471618835
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.5039629006286863,
                  4.404502123435348,
                  3.7921098904802375,
                  3.7427483154181247,
                  27.430818422751024,
                  4.09357752958828,
                  3.618553854597303,
                  4.403186407306274,
                  3.33544948423942,
                  30.38912596968953,
                  26.15657705190127,
                  3.9490911747156954,
                  4.915805626371291,
                  26.102456598508446,
                  4.555869648555982,
                  4.319504515985746,
                  15.066223249131706,
                  3.332735441447136,
                  6.022796968020984,
                  5.2148566721483,
                  4.335017286452637,
                  3.630233609951502,
                  6.294926309868744,
                  4.525624967226858
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.529768528121334,
                  4.888135073595127,
                  3.7254382354116844,
                  2.2526830241489044,
                  14.214871927907366,
                  5.288645018935267,
                  3.3615321324581497,
                  4.36788932745793,
                  3.206701634597818,
                  26.098162815701308,
                  25.894883753959498,
                  3.782867896476012,
                  8.607622066256875,
                  23.797194748616064,
                  5.482243495308594,
                  2.2514521820695,
                  13.501571482008266,
                  2.5238918150659098,
                  6.462941627837331,
                  5.167686550341534,
                  4.444121639677633,
                  4.653332471112729,
                  6.216441341124056,
                  3.5045872537319487
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.134642569756797,
                  4.0368873592733205,
                  3.423335292543674,
                  3.3738802296500032,
                  27.106814106125587,
                  3.7253738930894196,
                  3.249450552047323,
                  4.035569151257637,
                  2.965809999169824,
                  30.070724508266622,
                  25.830159399346183,
                  3.580613889817456,
                  4.549159240055732,
                  25.77593644509466,
                  4.188541565312743,
                  3.9517287715065783,
                  14.718801138616833,
                  2.963090816144978,
                  5.6582471562161265,
                  4.848776670389135,
                  3.9672709222205658,
                  3.261152428150299,
                  5.930891894544658,
                  4.158239602390194
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45133579135164975,
              "rpss": 0.0033068721361246833,
              "brier_below": 0.23010385864660998,
              "bss_below": -0.013337576455951128,
              "brier_above": 0.2212319327134741,
              "bss_above": 0.02004843371014331,
              "crps": 8.066989603240303,
              "crpss": 0.0653098428359703,
              "crps_fair": 7.759361085080035,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06186456523021033,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.147524,
                    0.515478,
                    0.330913,
                    0.006085,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2705,
                    0.3523,
                    0.4376,
                    0.5078,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.334,
                    0.3402,
                    0.3652,
                    0.4522,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.100473,
                    0.611609,
                    0.277568,
                    0.01035,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2851,
                    0.3524,
                    0.4331,
                    0.5244,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1577,
                    0.3405,
                    0.4274,
                    0.0978,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5123679207493415,
                  0.456732839859798,
                  0.451616975987714,
                  0.4074632971466925,
                  0.4133859195744868,
                  0.42445023005518284,
                  0.531810649038922,
                  0.4400793093706592
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5242304582543107,
                  0.45938853305268146,
                  0.5017174223148171,
                  0.4051068144553075,
                  0.4317667029427126,
                  0.41531527803354223,
                  0.4728878323138167,
                  0.48863351023117646
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3911264784187058,
                  0.2690521969529627,
                  0.11465641286769766,
                  0.23564039291968422,
                  0.23667045432382447,
                  0.16115043148144825,
                  0.33348721522750724,
                  0.33550603392914036
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.40795993245117856,
                  0.27227812780818744,
                  0.12370712310234608,
                  0.2309306977016834,
                  0.2554229422765291,
                  0.15868716024439758,
                  0.31168865779035276,
                  0.37646203326964833
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12124146103032223,
                  0.18768064828654654,
                  0.33696053855246316,
                  0.1718229114160762,
                  0.17671547216375721,
                  0.2632997932038361,
                  0.19832344921484654,
                  0.10457329414847992
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11627054465083109,
                  0.1871104114792495,
                  0.37801027156074746,
                  0.17417612530121018,
                  0.17634376877195204,
                  0.25662811177730505,
                  0.16119918533729533,
                  0.11217149654219405
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.546305380029109,
                  3.236742207744256,
                  9.975443821470684,
                  3.8356980255709594,
                  4.1609555600772845,
                  5.180509691713798,
                  6.595779099486692,
                  2.4714505408920173
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.134590890417508,
                  3.257454258459608,
                  11.95446652225302,
                  3.2123112416029844,
                  3.7715427873017267,
                  4.553263281560126,
                  3.429057288259692,
                  3.466783459627757
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.436789680021718,
                  3.1349456796854835,
                  9.807547855996365,
                  3.755769589891007,
                  4.066389806485668,
                  5.06881017652204,
                  6.399673638979296,
                  2.3595924949791796
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.840649245962226,
                  2.9635126140043284,
                  11.660524877797739,
                  2.9183695971477044,
                  3.477601142846446,
                  4.259321637104846,
                  3.1351156438044105,
                  3.1728418151724775
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4547383927228496,
              "rpss": 0.016528424004058295,
              "brier_below": 0.25966120201512133,
              "bss_below": 0.028003383795429437,
              "brier_above": 0.195077196002041,
              "bss_above": 0.0008274148154752137,
              "crps": 4.8753605408731,
              "crpss": -0.032383053713102905,
              "crps_fair": 4.753689865320094,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07343307571126156,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.218869,
                    0.516168,
                    0.264507,
                    0.000455,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2535,
                    0.3543,
                    0.4226,
                    0.5029,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3833,
                    0.4674,
                    0.5389,
                    0.8003,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.181986,
                    0.685731,
                    0.131557,
                    0.000727,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.279,
                    0.3409,
                    0.4331,
                    0.5453,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2375,
                    0.2396,
                    0.3408,
                    0.125,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4941732942913044,
                  0.47270277598409766,
                  0.4560600852601788,
                  0.40484363311956106,
                  0.4217461739563651,
                  0.3907843954100358,
                  0.5435897931784596,
                  0.42430745740631715
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5378222423430801,
                  0.4654037630210716,
                  0.5441677934136927,
                  0.42259005509153863,
                  0.4687251558583407,
                  0.37920455236096284,
                  0.4762575897428396,
                  0.48392300807734495
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.38029527408927977,
                  0.24587715771243612,
                  0.10308037247587615,
                  0.23598709912524748,
                  0.31830643070244535,
                  0.21592848304034154,
                  0.3209634642247495,
                  0.3140490997123923
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4270541912814117,
                  0.23612689903307224,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.25427588380937366,
                  0.3562146259988406,
                  0.2119324419419288,
                  0.29938211945700965,
                  0.37315495701567675
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.11387803983630254,
                  0.22682561633031817,
                  0.3529796794994938,
                  0.16885654329959715,
                  0.10343976135524635,
                  0.17485592279435594,
                  0.2226263432272742,
                  0.11025837753185985
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11076807075767037,
                  0.22927686262225755,
                  0.4330566384694138,
                  0.16831418081740057,
                  0.11251054924392284,
                  0.1672721205797222,
                  0.1768754781609058,
                  0.11076807075767037
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.879239959302263,
                  3.8422793721750357,
                  11.020323237844675,
                  4.103855174575507,
                  2.5502248640368426,
                  3.4084382817842527,
                  8.939303159297337,
                  2.7939730405952803
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.500795459022275,
                  3.8833491476604167,
                  14.934177684323762,
                  3.6806433710989057,
                  3.5671376707580675,
                  3.3365612191630336,
                  3.817686724141159,
                  4.037007086746878
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.747938850438462,
                  3.7414088880788317,
                  10.787046209877204,
                  4.009097398062781,
                  2.4468889117402335,
                  3.278145283043861,
                  8.680863474708211,
                  2.6716824493779994
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  4.156168553465009,
                  3.538722242103148,
                  14.589550778766494,
                  3.336016465541637,
                  3.2225107652008003,
                  2.991934313605765,
                  3.4730598185838906,
                  3.692380181189609
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4510259510757899,
              "rpss": 0.0449662036233236,
              "brier_below": 0.266810922635346,
              "bss_below": 0.059387340479100104,
              "brier_above": 0.184215035484306,
              "bss_above": 0.023277247186939354,
              "crps": 5.067204636201399,
              "crpss": 0.02920973263448956,
              "crps_fair": 4.920383933165947,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0093006450166222,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.159876,
                    0.484964,
                    0.354291,
                    0.000869,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.262,
                    0.3564,
                    0.4234,
                    0.5017,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4024,
                    0.4789,
                    0.6215,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.104479,
                    0.698765,
                    0.195023,
                    0.001733,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2825,
                    0.341,
                    0.4403,
                    0.5453,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0918,
                    0.1947,
                    0.4449,
                    0.125,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sqrt_mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.5835982071491503,
            "training": [
              0.5608084936931825,
              0.5854081223014835,
              0.5728573527222395,
              0.5777585740511892,
              0.6616743134114883,
              0.5253860959121148,
              0.5573838837057391,
              0.5647386656210404,
              0.5747148909345007,
              0.6362375768841537,
              0.5945297924299849,
              0.5814456482846397,
              0.5168092554588416,
              0.6417246693261223,
              0.5727235091763195,
              0.65698669080265,
              0.6053458572653327,
              0.5989424501792867,
              0.5800441142835365,
              0.5579630994521453,
              0.5649153730315318,
              0.5499771285867018,
              0.5862660600366216,
              0.5817153540287617
            ],
            "test": 0.6129421583737055
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.49188480949675845,
                  0.37234588420077347,
                  0.43453670910450654,
                  0.35816086449791745,
                  0.3960074525827423,
                  0.5905402653136572,
                  0.3998991872340075,
                  0.4579407153842516,
                  0.37310808716756305,
                  0.4258158875936077,
                  0.45202106796087294,
                  0.42614896641467076,
                  0.6141385137460222,
                  0.45092709565577427,
                  0.5225052602816694,
                  0.40509223675283274,
                  0.45014253162028817,
                  0.4236757002407631,
                  0.4654113144090229,
                  0.4278093708631648,
                  0.5485429871975108,
                  0.44127637079506676,
                  0.4207055404877545,
                  0.4497318779101364
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.462562923536876,
                  0.3645173216522427,
                  0.44125991495499295,
                  0.3676651074657129,
                  0.4796288397923759,
                  0.5018388000928868,
                  0.3814774056959005,
                  0.4578573987892382,
                  0.3735878385869089,
                  0.5052606235712064,
                  0.5036551985237356,
                  0.4358799350596818,
                  0.5001476319885705,
                  0.5372757850199824,
                  0.4967176353817881,
                  0.483398419566635,
                  0.48412488872389453,
                  0.42298688230915954,
                  0.4788741887887977,
                  0.4007718021663261,
                  0.498737480732011,
                  0.40202165436042925,
                  0.44570350792032964,
                  0.4523372814100714
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.34036848212396875,
                  0.18272731420958258,
                  0.15577477373937948,
                  0.22723688079757248,
                  0.14522158085402562,
                  0.40972880633578296,
                  0.22002426247938653,
                  0.17097680203160906,
                  0.13978538911394825,
                  0.11206070137088464,
                  0.12327462020159978,
                  0.1671237684055938,
                  0.41352367469836604,
                  0.10246191752047466,
                  0.36734840768797045,
                  0.2836857156439732,
                  0.1619466517486167,
                  0.23720350282647634,
                  0.2817179892343368,
                  0.178753949341423,
                  0.3953510528359057,
                  0.25571140421529204,
                  0.14912703719597709,
                  0.258732695618713
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33445347350698373,
                  0.18448978058131807,
                  0.15020271959428944,
                  0.23455533259135652,
                  0.16559252060812168,
                  0.3788018404246035,
                  0.19293962127510628,
                  0.15038884587226958,
                  0.13073481316379681,
                  0.1342598604859912,
                  0.1282842296352773,
                  0.16631198513422443,
                  0.3601361789689049,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.35626815432751285,
                  0.34779494441826286,
                  0.17732409124021772,
                  0.23135019401075282,
                  0.29334157497784386,
                  0.1580270900868227,
                  0.3757058539399758,
                  0.2565886947421901,
                  0.1693218745678458,
                  0.2597369379666505
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15151632591013245,
                  0.18961856855016357,
                  0.27876193697847595,
                  0.1309239823762989,
                  0.25078587045809253,
                  0.18081145892753922,
                  0.17987492472704925,
                  0.28696391542176264,
                  0.2333226970207323,
                  0.3137551858034831,
                  0.32874645037892847,
                  0.2590251990688948,
                  0.20061483994924034,
                  0.34846517933491095,
                  0.15515684998553056,
                  0.12140652106553941,
                  0.28819588211525177,
                  0.18647219672367374,
                  0.18369332336646907,
                  0.24905542166676387,
                  0.15319193264748662,
                  0.1855649656217322,
                  0.27157850355284374,
                  0.19099918207667524
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12810945002989202,
                  0.1800275410709245,
                  0.2910571953607033,
                  0.1331097748743562,
                  0.3140363192350966,
                  0.12303695966828301,
                  0.18853778442079408,
                  0.3074685529169685,
                  0.24285302547391838,
                  0.371000763085215,
                  0.37537096893986166,
                  0.26956794992545724,
                  0.1400114530196655,
                  0.41629279379655704,
                  0.14044948110508146,
                  0.1356034751238968,
                  0.30680079745918404,
                  0.19163668827393138,
                  0.18553261378647845,
                  0.242744712130419,
                  0.12303162676755988,
                  0.14543295959376396,
                  0.2763816333277958,
                  0.19260034341894555
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.962591852915668,
                  4.003139264653342,
                  10.624359994878278,
                  2.144270003637135,
                  10.597540790152433,
                  4.6647229151911445,
                  2.965311662189469,
                  5.021634205084224,
                  3.484623038828932,
                  18.022003787861443,
                  16.594905044895558,
                  3.9075739147590225,
                  8.263865277282829,
                  23.51128734740039,
                  4.854230307537014,
                  2.6375883688863513,
                  12.605711988095264,
                  3.640521357596574,
                  3.9002370616989914,
                  4.607026922130585,
                  5.404842302588417,
                  4.435058954839818,
                  7.9945643822331895,
                  3.2749094033843704
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.383400553071679,
                  3.6995246089032476,
                  10.375259519924272,
                  3.088176782734038,
                  15.623140866424055,
                  3.918194532764918,
                  3.2512248780442565,
                  5.3613292903859575,
                  3.3401723993300685,
                  21.29254756415035,
                  17.08930816883068,
                  4.102339013398538,
                  4.506551529947348,
                  25.32004262629813,
                  4.202143270441035,
                  3.5904825606496558,
                  13.811056598131602,
                  3.49561527327503,
                  4.117308454045926,
                  4.163338575099779,
                  4.154173639778647,
                  3.3440543501428777,
                  7.576953718515562,
                  3.8653696148339143
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.767298895668411,
                  3.7402968739129117,
                  10.387111425916158,
                  1.9690089817946659,
                  10.16555956592831,
                  4.362729495386605,
                  2.7724814285920125,
                  4.752050943917203,
                  3.226377598798992,
                  17.688175745050067,
                  16.358832118088536,
                  3.66173758222897,
                  7.885662835288216,
                  23.283332317423508,
                  4.588663933425639,
                  2.427019210166123,
                  12.318122565644169,
                  3.4473805334654894,
                  3.7013972528539916,
                  4.415570940578824,
                  5.126173055639844,
                  4.155401830388511,
                  7.651404802603549,
                  3.0638914408933546
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.069144896531585,
                  3.3858676721658623,
                  10.074246020518368,
                  2.773361990265274,
                  15.332066536235006,
                  3.604951743610606,
                  2.9367188887863067,
                  5.050819710999868,
                  3.0258348712866763,
                  21.012210746646392,
                  16.801010670653753,
                  3.7894449827302754,
                  4.194423053287697,
                  25.04733364035127,
                  3.8894382629868667,
                  3.276619104881488,
                  13.516550290161696,
                  3.1815721446141088,
                  3.8044427745910094,
                  3.8505600739044343,
                  3.8413777807512575,
                  3.029724174279054,
                  7.270640397516081,
                  3.55202677848655
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4499320290379723,
              "rpss": 0.007346722733778233,
              "brier_below": 0.22832780750961912,
              "bss_below": -0.004081245042179882,
              "brier_above": 0.22160422140531963,
              "bss_above": 0.018852481400180032,
              "crps": 7.0884383395300175,
              "crpss": 0.037069818932052745,
              "crps_fair": 6.829820057235586,
              "crpss_fair": 0.03186281669780833,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000239,
                    0.207878,
                    0.572432,
                    0.215734,
                    0.003718,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1889,
                    0.2719,
                    0.3467,
                    0.4318,
                    0.5109,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.8753,
                    0.3535,
                    0.327,
                    0.4079,
                    0.1712,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.094815,
                    0.521212,
                    0.34598,
                    0.037992,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2739,
                    0.3528,
                    0.4387,
                    0.5239,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1684,
                    0.3303,
                    0.4085,
                    0.393,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5035939814807032,
                  0.3819259703206685,
                  0.38061906965840786,
                  0.3889577363330982,
                  0.3378702253760416,
                  0.6331025740959153,
                  0.3805631344918587,
                  0.4318923609943779,
                  0.4196632750383161,
                  0.4159959542827302,
                  0.4758233618874712,
                  0.4360442334949406,
                  0.632009025778659,
                  0.434681925849016,
                  0.5710249378139972,
                  0.41153887678025647,
                  0.44792552217793674,
                  0.39510617111556934,
                  0.4970580160458745,
                  0.40900025278317703,
                  0.4644569406771065,
                  0.518886100614626,
                  0.42781805318298255,
                  0.4138599146913478
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4612583059027846,
                  0.3632558141399608,
                  0.354883769652867,
                  0.3845191290006187,
                  0.5442138095123802,
                  0.47392048384293584,
                  0.33694866035330306,
                  0.4142191822653953,
                  0.37845219617751535,
                  0.4951720237139347,
                  0.5339101528063047,
                  0.4478677808815762,
                  0.5122698412139367,
                  0.546319606847996,
                  0.5151171329099498,
                  0.5367285468048282,
                  0.4864254362866427,
                  0.45042529340514065,
                  0.45228609740130155,
                  0.40382417319303954,
                  0.47274140836269934,
                  0.4335462466444369,
                  0.43507035514007947,
                  0.4346226259811788
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3490955052164898,
                  0.15018388065133217,
                  0.18536750933589075,
                  0.24743857296680483,
                  0.07876581524097988,
                  0.40583853392486735,
                  0.21344488368803866,
                  0.16467369960845119,
                  0.1852830644572026,
                  0.11557675327469565,
                  0.1244545486718659,
                  0.15802383305478726,
                  0.41333341230558907,
                  0.09878028557049,
                  0.37509122671403766,
                  0.3113661355794346,
                  0.2040059150384419,
                  0.2872751555248055,
                  0.22126781835452572,
                  0.157918708840274,
                  0.3256168272951837,
                  0.323207242900422,
                  0.2058369385832828,
                  0.19002439033318505
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3406488402474111,
                  0.15585229033150771,
                  0.1733474973115743,
                  0.2607321626770492,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.35118589057225497,
                  0.15964704360397033,
                  0.13793336355887106,
                  0.13634373895712082,
                  0.1384011735129149,
                  0.12098299127445332,
                  0.14645923116637555,
                  0.36837280991055965,
                  0.12098299127445333,
                  0.34820491159145306,
                  0.4161190810910467,
                  0.23546533423622354,
                  0.32875690367129495,
                  0.18568689656698428,
                  0.13104510989535922,
                  0.3521319426489182,
                  0.3129367809306557,
                  0.21062232617609924,
                  0.19696310869600517
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15449847523745885,
                  0.23174208960518253,
                  0.19525155973564295,
                  0.14151916217591393,
                  0.2591044058190967,
                  0.2272640425461193,
                  0.16711825134428457,
                  0.2672186624197894,
                  0.2343802086290959,
                  0.30041919951390533,
                  0.35136881646048557,
                  0.27802040137814743,
                  0.21867561531759355,
                  0.3359016405584159,
                  0.19593371003662705,
                  0.10017274218541936,
                  0.2439196076232132,
                  0.10783101416827183,
                  0.2757901961477079,
                  0.2510815436680382,
                  0.13884011063906285,
                  0.1956788577126253,
                  0.22198111386683875,
                  0.22383552465589543
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.20740352380845312,
                  0.18153627234129263,
                  0.1237869663235696,
                  0.42323081835917165,
                  0.12273459327068108,
                  0.17730161674933273,
                  0.27628581870652447,
                  0.24210845734163935,
                  0.35677085020102,
                  0.4129271616552412,
                  0.3014085497152008,
                  0.1438970313033771,
                  0.4253366156954207,
                  0.1669122214397413,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.2509601019920115,
                  0.12166838967543823,
                  0.2665992007759097,
                  0.27277906341892527,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.22444802890557244,
                  0.2376595172267659
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.887978848395995,
                  5.199365829381512,
                  3.9590067525709793,
                  2.495122555369095,
                  15.01865101811782,
                  5.757931335751254,
                  3.4719714856532327,
                  4.487387236192713,
                  3.3864632212188885,
                  26.265144600138264,
                  25.850390732659672,
                  3.9825110296432342,
                  9.110375723719626,
                  23.889815637130216,
                  5.874552457008546,
                  2.287456721769455,
                  13.718738501955794,
                  2.7150906463433797,
                  6.549013470608904,
                  5.233033689602527,
                  4.906551712714816,
                  5.205286312210062,
                  6.522375883120154,
                  3.5181353143997347
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.5039629006286863,
                  4.404502123435348,
                  3.7921098904802375,
                  3.7427483154181247,
                  27.430818422751024,
                  4.09357752958828,
                  3.618553854597303,
                  4.403186407306274,
                  3.33544948423942,
                  30.38912596968953,
                  26.15657705190127,
                  3.9490911747156954,
                  4.915805626371291,
                  26.102456598508446,
                  4.555869648555982,
                  4.319504515985746,
                  15.066223249131706,
                  3.332735441447136,
                  6.022796968020984,
                  5.2148566721483,
                  4.335017286452637,
                  3.630233609951502,
                  6.294926309868744,
                  4.525624967226858
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.703223872622716,
                  4.870140460613193,
                  3.678503188469245,
                  2.2788862027429104,
                  14.457363246188928,
                  5.387139508451199,
                  3.27838091796728,
                  4.206731260277688,
                  3.0975250773804244,
                  25.902668617789434,
                  25.606709214989117,
                  3.7115985443312765,
                  8.671350845269039,
                  23.626857548429115,
                  5.584925538004746,
                  2.065230219135151,
                  13.426794407941717,
                  2.519185918860466,
                  6.3131194146710445,
                  4.992518557752248,
                  4.589185986286082,
                  4.908782243829526,
                  6.030785393534117,
                  3.3028021302441366
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.134642569756797,
                  4.0368873592733205,
                  3.423335292543674,
                  3.3738802296500032,
                  27.106814106125587,
                  3.7253738930894196,
                  3.249450552047323,
                  4.035569151257637,
                  2.965809999169824,
                  30.070724508266622,
                  25.830159399346183,
                  3.580613889817456,
                  4.549159240055732,
                  25.77593644509466,
                  4.188541565312743,
                  3.9517287715065783,
                  14.718801138616833,
                  2.963090816144978,
                  5.6582471562161265,
                  4.848776670389135,
                  3.9672709222205658,
                  3.261152428150299,
                  5.930891894544658,
                  4.158239602390194
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4503924006235449,
              "rpss": 0.005390179229445846,
              "brier_below": 0.22882794404712822,
              "bss_below": -0.007718669343275142,
              "brier_above": 0.22156445631020136,
              "bss_above": 0.01857551334351959,
              "crps": 8.012181279819828,
              "crpss": 0.07166026634602463,
              "crps_fair": 7.7171003464908665,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06697404472669566,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.173926,
                    0.533808,
                    0.2859,
                    0.006366,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2731,
                    0.3471,
                    0.4344,
                    0.512,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3481,
                    0.3294,
                    0.3865,
                    0.2161,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.070598,
                    0.487018,
                    0.394265,
                    0.048119,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2748,
                    0.3541,
                    0.4423,
                    0.5238,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1154,
                    0.3221,
                    0.4065,
                    0.3831,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5167067452168829,
                  0.4580385675940625,
                  0.42403901310602915,
                  0.411201992344206,
                  0.429662071781039,
                  0.42724818796456965,
                  0.5504849661791522,
                  0.43135554649242913
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5242304582543107,
                  0.45938853305268146,
                  0.5017174223148171,
                  0.4051068144553075,
                  0.4317667029427126,
                  0.41531527803354223,
                  0.4728878323138167,
                  0.48863351023117646
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.38245180546394164,
                  0.26806062728205027,
                  0.1110516194902709,
                  0.2355914802759683,
                  0.2479857540824326,
                  0.1651610299711019,
                  0.33413080608707363,
                  0.32066104250313576
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.40795993245117856,
                  0.27227812780818744,
                  0.12370712310234608,
                  0.2309306977016834,
                  0.2554229422765291,
                  0.15868716024439758,
                  0.31168865779035276,
                  0.37646203326964833
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.13425495944541685,
                  0.18997794644914862,
                  0.3129873701985423,
                  0.17561051963814936,
                  0.18167632506234252,
                  0.26208715325182985,
                  0.21635417651083014,
                  0.11069452296530437
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11627054465083109,
                  0.1871104114792495,
                  0.37801027156074746,
                  0.17417612530121018,
                  0.17634376877195204,
                  0.25662811177730505,
                  0.16119918533729533,
                  0.11217149654219405
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.5993839996938743,
                  3.2594638663373727,
                  9.813459050445243,
                  3.775482747737278,
                  4.191947524533787,
                  5.140977993882591,
                  6.583250918366162,
                  2.401401593128167
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.134590890417508,
                  3.257454258459608,
                  11.95446652225302,
                  3.2123112416029844,
                  3.7715427873017267,
                  4.553263281560126,
                  3.429057288259692,
                  3.466783459627757
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.4886741916986095,
                  3.1553511072717386,
                  9.652123299511187,
                  3.6919991762108113,
                  4.094845067785321,
                  5.029180058096557,
                  6.3993919785936155,
                  2.288397498928481
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.840649245962226,
                  2.9635126140043284,
                  11.660524877797739,
                  2.9183695971477044,
                  3.477601142846446,
                  4.259321637104846,
                  3.1351156438044105,
                  3.1728418151724775
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4560921363347963,
              "rpss": 0.013600656336226757,
              "brier_below": 0.25813677064449686,
              "bss_below": 0.03370982789406218,
              "brier_above": 0.1979553716901955,
              "bss_above": -0.013914412019674138,
              "crps": 4.84567096176556,
              "crpss": -0.026096130297791786,
              "crps_fair": 4.724995297262041,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06695354100886708,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.147475,
                    0.62657,
                    0.224773,
                    0.001183,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2672,
                    0.3565,
                    0.4241,
                    0.5171,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4024,
                    0.4604,
                    0.5343,
                    0.1541,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.160738,
                    0.639068,
                    0.181041,
                    0.019153,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2738,
                    0.3512,
                    0.4428,
                    0.5124,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2495,
                    0.2203,
                    0.3642,
                    0.2951,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5132630324566101,
                  0.4594022584727685,
                  0.4032437882944922,
                  0.41518910350763655,
                  0.42851457650947017,
                  0.3939717290161595,
                  0.5689932312370563,
                  0.4317841782334392
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5378222423430801,
                  0.4654037630210716,
                  0.5441677934136927,
                  0.42259005509153863,
                  0.4687251558583407,
                  0.37920455236096284,
                  0.4762575897428396,
                  0.48392300807734495
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3879793978845405,
                  0.23751327351930354,
                  0.08801456533060605,
                  0.24146800544853417,
                  0.3161485798823253,
                  0.21343237603351214,
                  0.3279315141952166,
                  0.31395900559969975
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4270541912814117,
                  0.23612689903307224,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.25427588380937366,
                  0.3562146259988406,
                  0.2119324419419288,
                  0.29938211945700965,
                  0.37315495701567675
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12528365464088748,
                  0.22188898442806973,
                  0.3152291913444741,
                  0.1737211078985354,
                  0.11236601572662558,
                  0.18053936420483768,
                  0.24106173245423515,
                  0.1178251927934626
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11076807075767037,
                  0.22927686262225755,
                  0.4330566384694138,
                  0.16831418081740057,
                  0.11251054924392284,
                  0.1672721205797222,
                  0.1768754781609058,
                  0.11076807075767037
                ],
                "crps": [
                  4.0067641216785015,
                  3.785378862411662,
                  10.898360249817305,
                  3.969420969050306,
                  2.516297147437968,
                  3.4686813741338582,
                  8.798526262152782,
                  2.7640301226918416
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.500795459022275,
                  3.8833491476604167,
                  14.934177684323762,
                  3.6806433710989057,
                  3.5671376707580675,
                  3.3365612191630336,
                  3.817686724141159,
                  4.037007086746878
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.878279001009249,
                  3.683618543059298,
                  10.682792753088675,
                  3.8737001732111116,
                  2.4124692356129884,
                  3.3411720753171443,
                  8.563707410714306,
                  2.6423378098266173
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  4.156168553465009,
                  3.538722242103148,
                  14.589550778766494,
                  3.336016465541637,
                  3.2225107652008003,
                  2.991934313605765,
                  3.4730598185838906,
                  3.692380181189609
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45179523721595405,
              "rpss": 0.04333726351203171,
              "brier_below": 0.26580583973671723,
              "bss_below": 0.06293065005945886,
              "brier_above": 0.18598940543639098,
              "bss_above": 0.013869396738940165,
              "crps": 5.025932388671778,
              "crpss": 0.037116793645566526,
              "crps_fair": 4.884759625229924,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0019931589613695344,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.184912,
                    0.563828,
                    0.251043,
                    0.000218,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2621,
                    0.3606,
                    0.4206,
                    0.5103,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3538,
                    0.5071,
                    0.6616,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.091036,
                    0.660696,
                    0.203029,
                    0.045239,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2778,
                    0.3537,
                    0.4525,
                    0.5124,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1149,
                    0.153,
                    0.5323,
                    0.2883,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "pt": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6594251013608994,
            "training": [
              0.6417648377562432,
              0.6603752791600246,
              0.6519751752868738,
              0.655569114256483,
              0.7276312630630062,
              0.6120480468158004,
              0.6412007008237872,
              0.6414137574868112,
              0.6558498582933681,
              0.7063384311926157,
              0.6545336919335878,
              0.6607419722217414,
              0.6002128726140137,
              0.7012989312587097,
              0.6506601800189468,
              0.7199490622657668,
              0.6768778073670783,
              0.6721927322115099,
              0.6563530559233576,
              0.6419125859132453,
              0.6389894303143446,
              0.6306843503804632,
              0.6699902751047934,
              0.6576390209990131
            ],
            "test": 0.6940258768527684
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4837397486719346,
                  0.3740951882466313,
                  0.43739678944488686,
                  0.3592068966789787,
                  0.41159513755745036,
                  0.5648346105872708,
                  0.3945366035742599,
                  0.4657060385112105,
                  0.38298099550049036,
                  0.4439377048595482,
                  0.47377349699190524,
                  0.4415834376716276,
                  0.5906531820595645,
                  0.4695585015113613,
                  0.5153273720545788,
                  0.41238764616392665,
                  0.4538091964349629,
                  0.422676863488819,
                  0.4645047872151848,
                  0.42786323189390224,
                  0.5354555704126707,
                  0.42850730729817255,
                  0.41636597321785707,
                  0.45208632116622355
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.462562923536876,
                  0.3645173216522427,
                  0.44125991495499295,
                  0.3676651074657129,
                  0.4796288397923759,
                  0.5018388000928868,
                  0.3814774056959005,
                  0.4578573987892382,
                  0.3735878385869089,
                  0.5052606235712064,
                  0.5036551985237356,
                  0.4358799350596818,
                  0.5001476319885705,
                  0.5372757850199824,
                  0.4967176353817881,
                  0.483398419566635,
                  0.48412488872389453,
                  0.42298688230915954,
                  0.4788741887887977,
                  0.4007718021663261,
                  0.498737480732011,
                  0.40202165436042925,
                  0.44570350792032964,
                  0.4523372814100714
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.33647037559348353,
                  0.18674072323257804,
                  0.16119581383067833,
                  0.22909974932520424,
                  0.14962789441936317,
                  0.3955782606014206,
                  0.2153968430360512,
                  0.17373511635316452,
                  0.14516144715738433,
                  0.12079397388129673,
                  0.13227817193145236,
                  0.17445728204464805,
                  0.3988066981690521,
                  0.10977194790018269,
                  0.36061766621396474,
                  0.28885632482772244,
                  0.16536438636903292,
                  0.23621692620073445,
                  0.27865563249417247,
                  0.17818753595857073,
                  0.3846868620908887,
                  0.25429443943316143,
                  0.1521828235735116,
                  0.26024544934238103
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33445347350698373,
                  0.18448978058131807,
                  0.15020271959428944,
                  0.23455533259135652,
                  0.16559252060812168,
                  0.3788018404246035,
                  0.19293962127510628,
                  0.15038884587226958,
                  0.13073481316379681,
                  0.1342598604859912,
                  0.1282842296352773,
                  0.16631198513422443,
                  0.3601361789689049,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.35626815432751285,
                  0.34779494441826286,
                  0.17732409124021772,
                  0.23135019401075282,
                  0.29334157497784386,
                  0.1580270900868227,
                  0.3757058539399758,
                  0.2565886947421901,
                  0.1693218745678458,
                  0.2597369379666505
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14726937174111512,
                  0.187354464068075,
                  0.27620097665850024,
                  0.13010714681600835,
                  0.2619672414422843,
                  0.16925634939008927,
                  0.179139760652962,
                  0.2919709235397672,
                  0.23781954781570655,
                  0.32314373078944963,
                  0.34149532714347103,
                  0.267126156542614,
                  0.19184648492736472,
                  0.3597865546424226,
                  0.15470970392247899,
                  0.12353132163007574,
                  0.2884448113165959,
                  0.18645993693304005,
                  0.18584915352649736,
                  0.24967569620691898,
                  0.1507687072592913,
                  0.1742128666303523,
                  0.26418314936599413,
                  0.1918408720373153
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12810945002989202,
                  0.1800275410709245,
                  0.2910571953607033,
                  0.1331097748743562,
                  0.3140363192350966,
                  0.12303695966828301,
                  0.18853778442079408,
                  0.3074685529169685,
                  0.24285302547391838,
                  0.371000763085215,
                  0.37537096893986166,
                  0.26956794992545724,
                  0.1400114530196655,
                  0.41629279379655704,
                  0.14044948110508146,
                  0.1356034751238968,
                  0.30680079745918404,
                  0.19163668827393138,
                  0.18553261378647845,
                  0.242744712130419,
                  0.12303162676755988,
                  0.14543295959376396,
                  0.2763816333277958,
                  0.19260034341894555
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.054928847177576,
                  4.22378240554011,
                  10.684024957538412,
                  2.2907756380495523,
                  10.732416627139745,
                  4.820380321501798,
                  3.2392944561405526,
                  5.22382909995728,
                  3.737430393222429,
                  17.831222999215058,
                  16.62516927916057,
                  4.09143175381628,
                  8.436671463287487,
                  23.293445445144656,
                  4.911454546052574,
                  2.8296559377406636,
                  12.577660665585384,
                  3.8902461677424904,
                  4.192385542335077,
                  4.829154035526703,
                  5.533429999415391,
                  4.613919664166358,
                  8.099892806481945,
                  3.439670173328236
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.383400553071679,
                  3.6995246089032476,
                  10.375259519924272,
                  3.088176782734038,
                  15.623140866424055,
                  3.918194532764918,
                  3.2512248780442565,
                  5.3613292903859575,
                  3.3401723993300685,
                  21.29254756415035,
                  17.08930816883068,
                  4.102339013398538,
                  4.506551529947348,
                  25.32004262629813,
                  4.202143270441035,
                  3.5904825606496558,
                  13.811056598131602,
                  3.49561527327503,
                  4.117308454045926,
                  4.163338575099779,
                  4.154173639778647,
                  3.3440543501428777,
                  7.576953718515562,
                  3.8653696148339143
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.8452393509844924,
                  3.9438522035436154,
                  10.431108779230499,
                  2.099598207439281,
                  10.265795531352495,
                  4.496119738436812,
                  3.0318326866511502,
                  4.933522014236401,
                  3.465068528979425,
                  17.474189380797284,
                  16.375403587388654,
                  3.8273788469539722,
                  8.035560474352371,
                  23.04829986312429,
                  4.630694866139776,
                  2.604108041831142,
                  12.26898825751795,
                  3.6819583206782176,
                  3.9772043100312056,
                  4.620727344111879,
                  5.2389599965377585,
                  4.31691118585353,
                  7.7283263143800935,
                  3.2129270770248874
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.069144896531585,
                  3.3858676721658623,
                  10.074246020518368,
                  2.773361990265274,
                  15.332066536235006,
                  3.604951743610606,
                  2.9367188887863067,
                  5.050819710999868,
                  3.0258348712866763,
                  21.012210746646392,
                  16.801010670653753,
                  3.7894449827302754,
                  4.194423053287697,
                  25.04733364035127,
                  3.8894382629868667,
                  3.276619104881488,
                  13.516550290161696,
                  3.1815721446141088,
                  3.8044427745910094,
                  3.8505600739044343,
                  3.8413777807512575,
                  3.029724174279054,
                  7.270640397516081,
                  3.55202677848655
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4509409417172258,
              "rpss": 0.005120829903526025,
              "brier_below": 0.2286842643325042,
              "bss_below": -0.005648779082076061,
              "brier_above": 0.22225667729159956,
              "bss_above": 0.015963748190316984,
              "crps": 7.216761384386096,
              "crpss": 0.01963775182506189,
              "crps_fair": 6.939740621149049,
              "crpss_fair": 0.01628141276002404,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.15393,
                    0.604985,
                    0.239327,
                    0.001758,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2788,
                    0.3494,
                    0.4293,
                    0.506,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3609,
                    0.3333,
                    0.3836,
                    0.276,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.071636,
                    0.60679,
                    0.311198,
                    0.010376,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.285,
                    0.3547,
                    0.4326,
                    0.5164,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1701,
                    0.3374,
                    0.3988,
                    0.3221,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48555897103511136,
                  0.3813904485108074,
                  0.38226365274617735,
                  0.38389076327055327,
                  0.3798885893685899,
                  0.5917235191591956,
                  0.37654864328398435,
                  0.43423788471126373,
                  0.42438187493702717,
                  0.42989558142983625,
                  0.5032786655973227,
                  0.45285660939416855,
                  0.5995575153377941,
                  0.46758266981368224,
                  0.5558606878405212,
                  0.4234058498695196,
                  0.4468069466956737,
                  0.3953125464967995,
                  0.48912567823352787,
                  0.42344985354654,
                  0.45823262179680496,
                  0.491092862881528,
                  0.42929273310408683,
                  0.4201721393943073
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4612583059027846,
                  0.3632558141399608,
                  0.354883769652867,
                  0.3845191290006187,
                  0.5442138095123802,
                  0.47392048384293584,
                  0.33694866035330306,
                  0.4142191822653953,
                  0.37845219617751535,
                  0.4951720237139347,
                  0.5339101528063047,
                  0.4478677808815762,
                  0.5122698412139367,
                  0.546319606847996,
                  0.5151171329099498,
                  0.5367285468048282,
                  0.4864254362866427,
                  0.45042529340514065,
                  0.45228609740130155,
                  0.40382417319303954,
                  0.47274140836269934,
                  0.4335462466444369,
                  0.43507035514007947,
                  0.4346226259811788
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.34272559245005224,
                  0.15687722587456732,
                  0.19115841077952442,
                  0.2493337827093594,
                  0.08874580517357017,
                  0.39133547110214184,
                  0.20754468000403456,
                  0.1654450695408606,
                  0.18435040149292195,
                  0.122048559047154,
                  0.13426456545805787,
                  0.16388471376933694,
                  0.39784222687244825,
                  0.10999303986077415,
                  0.36457407548881615,
                  0.32211570760734987,
                  0.20452685231144768,
                  0.2896053344578513,
                  0.2139291938683204,
                  0.16102702618477205,
                  0.3242735208577529,
                  0.3148229928147718,
                  0.2080539013430043,
                  0.1957010426021923
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3406488402474111,
                  0.15585229033150771,
                  0.1733474973115743,
                  0.2607321626770492,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.35118589057225497,
                  0.15964704360397033,
                  0.13793336355887106,
                  0.13634373895712082,
                  0.1384011735129149,
                  0.12098299127445332,
                  0.14645923116637555,
                  0.36837280991055965,
                  0.12098299127445333,
                  0.34820491159145306,
                  0.4161190810910467,
                  0.23546533423622354,
                  0.32875690367129495,
                  0.18568689656698428,
                  0.13104510989535922,
                  0.3521319426489182,
                  0.3129367809306557,
                  0.21062232617609924,
                  0.19696310869600517
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14283337775283153,
                  0.22451322248196723,
                  0.19110524161208287,
                  0.13455698027367666,
                  0.2911427797849762,
                  0.20038804909908156,
                  0.16900396369427467,
                  0.2687928160488592,
                  0.24003147212904108,
                  0.30784702156798444,
                  0.36901410224717207,
                  0.2889718959081818,
                  0.2017152902490047,
                  0.35758963096187146,
                  0.19128661124701316,
                  0.10129014364274717,
                  0.24228009516418075,
                  0.1057072121927997,
                  0.27519648321125045,
                  0.2624228273489089,
                  0.13395909905514847,
                  0.1762698699726072,
                  0.22123883110619846,
                  0.22447109779666677
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.20740352380845312,
                  0.18153627234129263,
                  0.1237869663235696,
                  0.42323081835917165,
                  0.12273459327068108,
                  0.17730161674933273,
                  0.27628581870652447,
                  0.24210845734163935,
                  0.35677085020102,
                  0.4129271616552412,
                  0.3014085497152008,
                  0.1438970313033771,
                  0.4253366156954207,
                  0.1669122214397413,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.2509601019920115,
                  0.12166838967543823,
                  0.2665992007759097,
                  0.27277906341892527,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.22444802890557244,
                  0.2376595172267659
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.9295239533289266,
                  5.437391016576754,
                  4.2431532073763165,
                  2.583233912258896,
                  14.748416923145625,
                  5.860927261622992,
                  3.855319178645251,
                  4.703436268875215,
                  3.696184549908182,
                  26.028587802342606,
                  25.864808043034046,
                  4.091963110815557,
                  9.210973498592654,
                  23.739353538812853,
                  5.882628865107018,
                  2.455637389977785,
                  13.624319601758865,
                  2.8873108537260332,
                  6.983442506390842,
                  5.566445589845131,
                  4.948394820188157,
                  5.337732184157171,
                  6.836269844097845,
                  3.627373122743502
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.5039629006286863,
                  4.404502123435348,
                  3.7921098904802375,
                  3.7427483154181247,
                  27.430818422751024,
                  4.09357752958828,
                  3.618553854597303,
                  4.403186407306274,
                  3.33544948423942,
                  30.38912596968953,
                  26.15657705190127,
                  3.9490911747156954,
                  4.915805626371291,
                  26.102456598508446,
                  4.555869648555982,
                  4.319504515985746,
                  15.066223249131706,
                  3.332735441447136,
                  6.022796968020984,
                  5.2148566721483,
                  4.335017286452637,
                  3.630233609951502,
                  6.294926309868744,
                  4.525624967226858
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.729344792377781,
                  5.0859258917858226,
                  3.94474844699077,
                  2.3455889180568636,
                  14.121302261886447,
                  5.464259534023705,
                  3.647118469354492,
                  4.3963182431252426,
                  3.386738373625206,
                  25.641776897498673,
                  25.599265508014348,
                  3.7991768965591146,
                  8.735920994454448,
                  23.452921832886144,
                  5.572774941348141,
                  2.215941001585437,
                  13.304498476334603,
                  2.6776651127733895,
                  6.7298189270614825,
                  5.307006069155295,
                  4.61073483858823,
                  5.020398726569728,
                  6.294047302130258,
                  3.3923920425047283
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.134642569756797,
                  4.0368873592733205,
                  3.423335292543674,
                  3.3738802296500032,
                  27.106814106125587,
                  3.7253738930894196,
                  3.249450552047323,
                  4.035569151257637,
                  2.965809999169824,
                  30.070724508266622,
                  25.830159399346183,
                  3.580613889817456,
                  4.549159240055732,
                  25.77593644509466,
                  4.188541565312743,
                  3.9517287715065783,
                  14.718801138616833,
                  2.963090816144978,
                  5.6582471562161265,
                  4.848776670389135,
                  3.9672709222205658,
                  3.261152428150299,
                  5.930891894544658,
                  4.158239602390194
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.451075304518951,
              "rpss": 0.003882109998985861,
              "brier_below": 0.2293407996529618,
              "bss_below": -0.009977196687162015,
              "brier_above": 0.22173450477285525,
              "bss_above": 0.017822280049939465,
              "crps": 8.130951126805343,
              "crpss": 0.05789887425241791,
              "crps_fair": 7.811486854112097,
              "crpss_fair": 0.055562367090774445,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.116789,
                    0.562916,
                    0.317109,
                    0.003186,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2788,
                    0.3501,
                    0.4326,
                    0.5074,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3489,
                    0.3351,
                    0.3722,
                    0.2729,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.074359,
                    0.575998,
                    0.337325,
                    0.012318,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2865,
                    0.354,
                    0.4341,
                    0.5223,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1612,
                    0.3262,
                    0.4219,
                    0.1237,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5084228994871514,
                  0.45331654243984937,
                  0.4488444775276799,
                  0.4097885731705312,
                  0.42004959117319385,
                  0.42637052364993877,
                  0.5274365596879904,
                  0.4355424391984954
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5242304582543107,
                  0.45938853305268146,
                  0.5017174223148171,
                  0.4051068144553075,
                  0.4317667029427126,
                  0.41531527803354223,
                  0.4728878323138167,
                  0.48863351023117646
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.37911278332394877,
                  0.2630690034076168,
                  0.11945351751143689,
                  0.23440881894364468,
                  0.24256037588805898,
                  0.16790257706567166,
                  0.3234414214895878,
                  0.32459021634340884
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.40795993245117856,
                  0.27227812780818744,
                  0.12370712310234608,
                  0.2309306977016834,
                  0.2554229422765291,
                  0.15868716024439758,
                  0.31168865779035276,
                  0.37646203326964833
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12931013567398203,
                  0.19024754530159124,
                  0.32939093613147097,
                  0.17537976219120213,
                  0.17748922275954315,
                  0.2584679417180176,
                  0.20399515374069857,
                  0.11095224236437785
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11627054465083109,
                  0.1871104114792495,
                  0.37801027156074746,
                  0.17417612530121018,
                  0.17634376877195204,
                  0.25662811177730505,
                  0.16119918533729533,
                  0.11217149654219405
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.6028400008528756,
                  3.4290171306537065,
                  9.974272591013127,
                  4.046518029931297,
                  4.358315250712953,
                  5.271035611775462,
                  6.892067866944613,
                  2.5600520095369665
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.134590890417508,
                  3.257454258459608,
                  11.95446652225302,
                  3.2123112416029844,
                  3.7715427873017267,
                  4.553263281560126,
                  3.429057288259692,
                  3.466783459627757
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.4837694746328176,
                  3.31764440803615,
                  9.799257752137647,
                  3.954611291680557,
                  4.251762694630562,
                  5.1503555141087,
                  6.694877106877098,
                  2.4380053209813943
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.840649245962226,
                  2.9635126140043284,
                  11.660524877797739,
                  2.9183695971477044,
                  3.477601142846446,
                  4.259321637104846,
                  3.1351156438044105,
                  3.1728418151724775
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4537214507918538,
              "rpss": 0.018727784118748203,
              "brier_below": 0.2568173392466718,
              "bss_below": 0.038648890195427166,
              "brier_above": 0.19690411748511044,
              "bss_above": -0.008529957027969548,
              "crps": 5.016764811427626,
              "crpss": -0.062326146417588824,
              "crps_fair": 4.8862854453856155,
              "crpss_fair": -0.1033745496752696,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.117102,
                    0.667918,
                    0.214706,
                    0.000273,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2762,
                    0.3573,
                    0.4186,
                    0.5082,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3408,
                    0.4639,
                    0.5499,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.111085,
                    0.729136,
                    0.159049,
                    0.000729,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2816,
                    0.3468,
                    0.4316,
                    0.5096,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2634,
                    0.2325,
                    0.3352,
                    0.5001,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5008903088103827,
                  0.46181838634639394,
                  0.4471964609782747,
                  0.41287799034423267,
                  0.42292401679892955,
                  0.39426896882158835,
                  0.5415056854114726,
                  0.43172692548042546
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5378222423430801,
                  0.4654037630210716,
                  0.5441677934136927,
                  0.42259005509153863,
                  0.4687251558583407,
                  0.37920455236096284,
                  0.4762575897428396,
                  0.48392300807734495
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.38217595685137407,
                  0.2360067577945397,
                  0.10073449978202226,
                  0.24380673768295363,
                  0.31348437011369545,
                  0.21559452159641523,
                  0.3181086209998549,
                  0.31798329039543194
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4270541912814117,
                  0.23612689903307224,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.25427588380937366,
                  0.3562146259988406,
                  0.2119324419419288,
                  0.29938211945700965,
                  0.37315495701567675
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.11871437183497804,
                  0.2258116272565146,
                  0.3464619283373521,
                  0.16907126262301841,
                  0.10943966522165019,
                  0.17867445811387142,
                  0.22339707825155292,
                  0.11374365523078914
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11076807075767037,
                  0.22927686262225755,
                  0.4330566384694138,
                  0.16831418081740057,
                  0.11251054924392284,
                  0.1672721205797222,
                  0.1768754781609058,
                  0.11076807075767037
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.8750548213423275,
                  4.031268837674239,
                  11.070046144516382,
                  4.239652169804221,
                  2.6837495006341623,
                  3.6872716670069385,
                  9.183214957544163,
                  2.886291076217864
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.500795459022275,
                  3.8833491476604167,
                  14.934177684323762,
                  3.6806433710989057,
                  3.5671376707580675,
                  3.3365612191630336,
                  3.817686724141159,
                  4.037007086746878
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.736739383324939,
                  3.921483353817391,
                  10.833570464814716,
                  4.135637313816857,
                  2.568321535479883,
                  3.548941987606682,
                  8.929117572475237,
                  2.7541309244238326
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  4.156168553465009,
                  3.538722242103148,
                  14.589550778766494,
                  3.336016465541637,
                  3.2225107652008003,
                  2.991934313605765,
                  3.4730598185838906,
                  3.692380181189609
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4516510928739625,
              "rpss": 0.04364248479216004,
              "brier_below": 0.2659868444020359,
              "bss_below": 0.062292537953892,
              "brier_above": 0.18566425585871588,
              "bss_above": 0.01559336563077307,
              "crps": 5.207068646842537,
              "crpss": 0.0024141658410969935,
              "crps_fair": 5.053492816969942,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0366047912185572,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.154314,
                    0.58925,
                    0.255785,
                    0.000652,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2734,
                    0.3608,
                    0.4185,
                    0.5082,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3496,
                    0.5025,
                    0.6526,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.075328,
                    0.711801,
                    0.211132,
                    0.001739,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.285,
                    0.3452,
                    0.4399,
                    0.5096,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1273,
                    0.1789,
                    0.4491,
                    0.5001,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dc": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7744958803628205,
            "training": [
              0.7756892607108046,
              0.7742549916816988,
              0.766669145451787,
              0.7606247997906697,
              0.8442775632934093,
              0.7175062966464288,
              0.7553510666818093,
              0.7779579542089106,
              0.7721452212797391,
              0.824264168437872,
              0.7654778419745308,
              0.7642330835706747,
              0.6913319525637664,
              0.8088366139643166,
              0.7653672999048453,
              0.8202378684870338,
              0.7935021300045133,
              0.7932659565511301,
              0.7819476508705,
              0.7608686588821019,
              0.7621953190664481,
              0.7665491300421315,
              0.774420362328167,
              0.7709267923144013
            ],
            "test": 0.7943628479385619
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.432155653311019,
                  0.37256673624278835,
                  0.4474879843117626,
                  0.3520674174892782,
                  0.4241765876719191,
                  0.5809134858356351,
                  0.39570168742062517,
                  0.4574007197602394,
                  0.3883351957944047,
                  0.45041167177903946,
                  0.5240366505193821,
                  0.46316574562958424,
                  0.6210394993456291,
                  0.52380692136962,
                  0.49507442359075066,
                  0.41910628888895723,
                  0.4482820348666426,
                  0.4121930950003327,
                  0.44332320960952143,
                  0.4339011896426592,
                  0.5138473345585661,
                  0.3924446345758621,
                  0.43496524109414797,
                  0.4564093094176465
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.462562923536876,
                  0.3645173216522427,
                  0.44125991495499295,
                  0.3676651074657129,
                  0.4796288397923759,
                  0.5018388000928868,
                  0.3814774056959005,
                  0.4578573987892382,
                  0.3735878385869089,
                  0.5052606235712064,
                  0.5036551985237356,
                  0.4358799350596818,
                  0.5001476319885705,
                  0.5372757850199824,
                  0.4967176353817881,
                  0.483398419566635,
                  0.48412488872389453,
                  0.42298688230915954,
                  0.4788741887887977,
                  0.4007718021663261,
                  0.498737480732011,
                  0.40202165436042925,
                  0.44570350792032964,
                  0.4523372814100714
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3131968425028616,
                  0.19440182238801307,
                  0.16028005489328154,
                  0.23673240605232584,
                  0.1486454046955109,
                  0.4206813587995905,
                  0.2164911980356744,
                  0.1545624981734214,
                  0.1420582839178168,
                  0.11156286714166824,
                  0.13763855052160895,
                  0.18345812016040616,
                  0.42856400240254844,
                  0.11733739851444401,
                  0.3543716790110228,
                  0.29856646844398027,
                  0.15431630308753752,
                  0.22981199961023147,
                  0.26589624988328,
                  0.18996452681713516,
                  0.3856648933786063,
                  0.2427567944936262,
                  0.16117086575506834,
                  0.2597633679867312
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33445347350698373,
                  0.18448978058131807,
                  0.15020271959428944,
                  0.23455533259135652,
                  0.16559252060812168,
                  0.3788018404246035,
                  0.19293962127510628,
                  0.15038884587226958,
                  0.13073481316379681,
                  0.1342598604859912,
                  0.1282842296352773,
                  0.16631198513422443,
                  0.3601361789689049,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.35626815432751285,
                  0.34779494441826286,
                  0.17732409124021772,
                  0.23135019401075282,
                  0.29334157497784386,
                  0.1580270900868227,
                  0.3757058539399758,
                  0.2565886947421901,
                  0.1693218745678458,
                  0.2597369379666505
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.11895881122300946,
                  0.17816491426444775,
                  0.2872079288490335,
                  0.11533501173109159,
                  0.27553118229180296,
                  0.16023212848491675,
                  0.17921048932579914,
                  0.3028382213685381,
                  0.2462769117447134,
                  0.33884880412589297,
                  0.38639809944361997,
                  0.27970762550741085,
                  0.1924754977530609,
                  0.4064695211668575,
                  0.14070274548658115,
                  0.12053982027587112,
                  0.2939657311108795,
                  0.18238109538605646,
                  0.1774269596913869,
                  0.24393666247264734,
                  0.128182442288376,
                  0.1496878409439302,
                  0.2737943750431731,
                  0.19664594189827134
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12810945002989202,
                  0.1800275410709245,
                  0.2910571953607033,
                  0.1331097748743562,
                  0.3140363192350966,
                  0.12303695966828301,
                  0.18853778442079408,
                  0.3074685529169685,
                  0.24285302547391838,
                  0.371000763085215,
                  0.37537096893986166,
                  0.26956794992545724,
                  0.1400114530196655,
                  0.41629279379655704,
                  0.14044948110508146,
                  0.1356034751238968,
                  0.30680079745918404,
                  0.19163668827393138,
                  0.18553261378647845,
                  0.242744712130419,
                  0.12303162676755988,
                  0.14543295959376396,
                  0.2763816333277958,
                  0.19260034341894555
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.3526798834768132,
                  4.110863340232546,
                  10.843733855983952,
                  2.316679578274443,
                  11.611373174188422,
                  4.477495090188863,
                  3.1947989318660133,
                  5.160054691973124,
                  3.476074576886968,
                  17.91415745417231,
                  17.825969275153774,
                  4.1471101620081985,
                  8.237706626372958,
                  23.93891168487432,
                  4.346187403435346,
                  2.359222513621415,
                  12.968201794237789,
                  3.798794460699103,
                  3.936636264093934,
                  5.308825593705989,
                  4.801999228126572,
                  3.6953264074452536,
                  8.061795674883962,
                  3.2700111296575933
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.383400553071679,
                  3.6995246089032476,
                  10.375259519924272,
                  3.088176782734038,
                  15.623140866424055,
                  3.918194532764918,
                  3.2512248780442565,
                  5.3613292903859575,
                  3.3401723993300685,
                  21.29254756415035,
                  17.08930816883068,
                  4.102339013398538,
                  4.506551529947348,
                  25.32004262629813,
                  4.202143270441035,
                  3.5904825606496558,
                  13.811056598131602,
                  3.49561527327503,
                  4.117308454045926,
                  4.163338575099779,
                  4.154173639778647,
                  3.3440543501428777,
                  7.576953718515562,
                  3.8653696148339143
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.11847591396735,
                  3.7917779363735047,
                  10.581695455022526,
                  2.127479237735062,
                  10.918374101475347,
                  4.1308153302412,
                  3.006414980944003,
                  4.879343074244372,
                  3.1889348456566626,
                  17.520235670219513,
                  17.5507581595641,
                  3.8464368656083114,
                  7.7709702520558706,
                  23.633289025700883,
                  4.042192751604339,
                  2.162531523227762,
                  12.63584838250993,
                  3.615972966437111,
                  3.7364192114827732,
                  5.087113836043379,
                  4.475606365016147,
                  3.352087476365161,
                  7.595126737310113,
                  3.019259620457148
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.069144896531585,
                  3.3858676721658623,
                  10.074246020518368,
                  2.773361990265274,
                  15.332066536235006,
                  3.604951743610606,
                  2.9367188887863067,
                  5.050819710999868,
                  3.0258348712866763,
                  21.012210746646392,
                  16.801010670653753,
                  3.7894449827302754,
                  4.194423053287697,
                  25.04733364035127,
                  3.8894382629868667,
                  3.276619104881488,
                  13.516550290161696,
                  3.1815721446141088,
                  3.8044427745910094,
                  3.8505600739044343,
                  3.8413777807512575,
                  3.029724174279054,
                  7.270640397516081,
                  3.55202677848655
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45345052990525053,
              "rpss": -0.0004158973767207641,
              "brier_below": 0.22949558152776628,
              "bss_below": -0.009216580956180165,
              "brier_above": 0.22395494841155697,
              "bss_above": 0.008444692439983026,
              "crps": 7.1731086998149864,
              "crpss": 0.02556775861142946,
              "crps_fair": 6.866131654969274,
              "crpss_fair": 0.026715593541635774,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.23706,
                    0.50711,
                    0.25583,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2768,
                    0.3562,
                    0.4296,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3243,
                    0.3378,
                    0.3961,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    6.1e-05,
                    0.069498,
                    0.795998,
                    0.116324,
                    0.01812,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.195,
                    0.2907,
                    0.3393,
                    0.446,
                    0.5285,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.2112,
                    0.3489,
                    0.4264,
                    0.1298,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.40755414353113817,
                  0.37629080628051603,
                  0.36463631400309715,
                  0.3673730587958977,
                  0.4153212410643062,
                  0.5998908045983726,
                  0.36882722479607294,
                  0.44767052851038186,
                  0.42113024626940676,
                  0.4513020259695046,
                  0.562243444914668,
                  0.4859330683737348,
                  0.6515820087467086,
                  0.527610665798733,
                  0.5223957845722853,
                  0.44836775255112193,
                  0.45656396288474627,
                  0.38512979393468805,
                  0.479789514550445,
                  0.42297494838149174,
                  0.4561922191121903,
                  0.44425128882530956,
                  0.42974103077171666,
                  0.4622691301895778
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4612583059027846,
                  0.3632558141399608,
                  0.354883769652867,
                  0.3845191290006187,
                  0.5442138095123802,
                  0.47392048384293584,
                  0.33694866035330306,
                  0.4142191822653953,
                  0.37845219617751535,
                  0.4951720237139347,
                  0.5339101528063047,
                  0.4478677808815762,
                  0.5122698412139367,
                  0.546319606847996,
                  0.5151171329099498,
                  0.5367285468048282,
                  0.4864254362866427,
                  0.45042529340514065,
                  0.45228609740130155,
                  0.40382417319303954,
                  0.47274140836269934,
                  0.4335462466444369,
                  0.43507035514007947,
                  0.4346226259811788
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.30164760874324686,
                  0.15681884117030026,
                  0.192848938258329,
                  0.25550356900549964,
                  0.08891084410162663,
                  0.4085426167011535,
                  0.20443269033061623,
                  0.16485180902117202,
                  0.17404301815328602,
                  0.11722571590469621,
                  0.1358501146286037,
                  0.17169373270692495,
                  0.44848895412266704,
                  0.11884504982355232,
                  0.35243256800397704,
                  0.34684692171612497,
                  0.21267810520044314,
                  0.2852557338610286,
                  0.20436195325775253,
                  0.15666606064218233,
                  0.33930957523283517,
                  0.3147193572673722,
                  0.20760070212262197,
                  0.20918711614314295
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3406488402474111,
                  0.15585229033150771,
                  0.1733474973115743,
                  0.2607321626770492,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.35118589057225497,
                  0.15964704360397033,
                  0.13793336355887106,
                  0.13634373895712082,
                  0.1384011735129149,
                  0.12098299127445332,
                  0.14645923116637555,
                  0.36837280991055965,
                  0.12098299127445333,
                  0.34820491159145306,
                  0.4161190810910467,
                  0.23546533423622354,
                  0.32875690367129495,
                  0.18568689656698428,
                  0.13104510989535922,
                  0.3521319426489182,
                  0.3129367809306557,
                  0.21062232617609924,
                  0.19696310869600517
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10590653484353972,
                  0.21947196556392978,
                  0.17178737581897532,
                  0.11186949023351721,
                  0.3264103951361749,
                  0.19134819009210496,
                  0.1643945345823583,
                  0.28281871960368815,
                  0.24708722848084466,
                  0.33407630950816786,
                  0.426393328994532,
                  0.3142393358729994,
                  0.20309305569755287,
                  0.40876561407140977,
                  0.1699632182260203,
                  0.10152083065440025,
                  0.2438858567612027,
                  0.09987405994779179,
                  0.27542756132973917,
                  0.2663088874524162,
                  0.1168826447087936,
                  0.1295319331203444,
                  0.22214032895044122,
                  0.2530820145457343
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.20740352380845312,
                  0.18153627234129263,
                  0.1237869663235696,
                  0.42323081835917165,
                  0.12273459327068108,
                  0.17730161674933273,
                  0.27628581870652447,
                  0.24210845734163935,
                  0.35677085020102,
                  0.4129271616552412,
                  0.3014085497152008,
                  0.1438970313033771,
                  0.4253366156954207,
                  0.1669122214397413,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.2509601019920115,
                  0.12166838967543823,
                  0.2665992007759097,
                  0.27277906341892527,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.22444802890557244,
                  0.2376595172267659
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.0008207907271305,
                  5.133722753515359,
                  3.8592137336330645,
                  2.2060005725303404,
                  16.95791724847126,
                  5.516187785367976,
                  3.8093611113998356,
                  4.677393485554175,
                  3.261453133071798,
                  25.979006669145686,
                  27.218094193712673,
                  3.9712994674136706,
                  8.759090847241858,
                  24.398979478747496,
                  4.9148040979062815,
                  2.037212162125079,
                  14.488892819916709,
                  2.7681947071557493,
                  7.066635523565766,
                  5.893599743055819,
                  4.388576395756259,
                  3.8496080603152807,
                  6.613711485165928,
                  3.83578341551513
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.5039629006286863,
                  4.404502123435348,
                  3.7921098904802375,
                  3.7427483154181247,
                  27.430818422751024,
                  4.09357752958828,
                  3.618553854597303,
                  4.403186407306274,
                  3.33544948423942,
                  30.38912596968953,
                  26.15657705190127,
                  3.9490911747156954,
                  4.915805626371291,
                  26.102456598508446,
                  4.555869648555982,
                  4.319504515985746,
                  15.066223249131706,
                  3.332735441447136,
                  6.022796968020984,
                  5.2148566721483,
                  4.335017286452637,
                  3.630233609951502,
                  6.294926309868744,
                  4.525624967226858
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.7645198104951991,
                  4.7162872001763585,
                  3.5494259803859425,
                  1.972616916502842,
                  16.06162597263462,
                  5.065545144807949,
                  3.6152777695727902,
                  4.3781229634089405,
                  2.964515312929226,
                  25.524113870282047,
                  26.93867765315652,
                  3.632850369361175,
                  8.211917146572068,
                  24.02733859348888,
                  4.55236258643794,
                  1.8289660913576962,
                  14.125721136321747,
                  2.5720639964960723,
                  6.829293613676975,
                  5.620251770331407,
                  4.034812043796128,
                  3.467465527377307,
                  5.960494211986759,
                  3.56698742237824
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.134642569756797,
                  4.0368873592733205,
                  3.423335292543674,
                  3.3738802296500032,
                  27.106814106125587,
                  3.7253738930894196,
                  3.249450552047323,
                  4.035569151257637,
                  2.965809999169824,
                  30.070724508266622,
                  25.830159399346183,
                  3.580613889817456,
                  4.549159240055732,
                  25.77593644509466,
                  4.188541565312743,
                  3.9517287715065783,
                  14.718801138616833,
                  2.963090816144978,
                  5.6582471562161265,
                  4.848776670389135,
                  3.9672709222205658,
                  3.261152428150299,
                  5.930891894544658,
                  4.158239602390194
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45646004197608797,
              "rpss": -0.00800910475003036,
              "brier_below": 0.23203173317163142,
              "bss_below": -0.021827602265977575,
              "brier_above": 0.22442830892486162,
              "bss_above": 0.005890017082026633,
              "crps": 8.066898320042098,
              "crpss": 0.06532041945885858,
              "crps_fair": 7.707552212663951,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06812844939748441,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.215833,
                    0.475671,
                    0.308497,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2761,
                    0.3583,
                    0.4304,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3663,
                    0.3209,
                    0.3778,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000144,
                    0.060506,
                    0.785911,
                    0.126307,
                    0.027131,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1949,
                    0.291,
                    0.3356,
                    0.4489,
                    0.5275,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.2123,
                    0.339,
                    0.4859,
                    0.109,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.47555038277301126,
                  0.44726499893211624,
                  0.4561655258484134,
                  0.3946877539918176,
                  0.4112599367949503,
                  0.4322636711810385,
                  0.5352340797560284,
                  0.4578858208019818
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5242304582543107,
                  0.45938853305268146,
                  0.5017174223148171,
                  0.4051068144553075,
                  0.4317667029427126,
                  0.41531527803354223,
                  0.4728878323138167,
                  0.48863351023117646
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3694231179974474,
                  0.26205018541363195,
                  0.1121994357501602,
                  0.227365930885368,
                  0.24078119365758663,
                  0.17163238821120094,
                  0.3451875404309202,
                  0.35371811012020954
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.40795993245117856,
                  0.27227812780818744,
                  0.12370712310234608,
                  0.2309306977016834,
                  0.2554229422765291,
                  0.15868716024439758,
                  0.31168865779035276,
                  0.37646203326964833
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10612728244592798,
                  0.18521481862712597,
                  0.34396606529517587,
                  0.1673218298663905,
                  0.17047874984957315,
                  0.2606312762880142,
                  0.19004655244618668,
                  0.10416772934629406
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11627054465083109,
                  0.1871104114792495,
                  0.37801027156074746,
                  0.17417612530121018,
                  0.17634376877195204,
                  0.25662811177730505,
                  0.16119918533729533,
                  0.11217149654219405
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.058199020238449,
                  3.121796399717135,
                  10.863872212151861,
                  3.8672834358615407,
                  3.985200926847161,
                  5.211159352274703,
                  6.351808237593432,
                  2.0382358278380015
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.134590890417508,
                  3.257454258459608,
                  11.95446652225302,
                  3.2123112416029844,
                  3.7715427873017267,
                  4.553263281560126,
                  3.429057288259692,
                  3.466783459627757
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.822508449988421,
                  2.9096049409220592,
                  10.450643175992111,
                  3.7042593871684413,
                  3.795241126507255,
                  4.978841967063471,
                  5.846472604045483,
                  1.8264598720732257
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.840649245962226,
                  2.9635126140043284,
                  11.660524877797739,
                  2.9183695971477044,
                  3.477601142846446,
                  4.259321637104846,
                  3.1351156438044105,
                  3.1728418151724775
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45128902125991965,
              "rpss": 0.023988446828457688,
              "brier_below": 0.2602947378083156,
              "bss_below": 0.025631852575322744,
              "brier_above": 0.19099428802058604,
              "bss_above": 0.021739801329674346,
              "crps": 4.812194426565286,
              "crpss": -0.019007299154320423,
              "crps_fair": 4.541753940470059,
              "crpss_fair": -0.025575718981876827,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.171101,
                    0.671282,
                    0.157617,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2729,
                    0.3624,
                    0.4184,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4746,
                    0.436,
                    0.5977,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.109124,
                    0.818515,
                    0.072361,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2869,
                    0.3249,
                    0.4478,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2063,
                    0.2487,
                    0.3649,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.47210012884252245,
                  0.466100008873438,
                  0.4354279529636626,
                  0.39949999141103826,
                  0.4088117750754702,
                  0.3853880506826298,
                  0.5438653872375635,
                  0.46340576661526556
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5378222423430801,
                  0.4654037630210716,
                  0.5441677934136927,
                  0.42259005509153863,
                  0.4687251558583407,
                  0.37920455236096284,
                  0.4762575897428396,
                  0.48392300807734495
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.37249115519515447,
                  0.23413419905000724,
                  0.08030865336869702,
                  0.2382734725474786,
                  0.3116160169731528,
                  0.21961226061142744,
                  0.3336061344584069,
                  0.35589250182619664
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4270541912814117,
                  0.23612689903307224,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.25427588380937366,
                  0.3562146259988406,
                  0.2119324419419288,
                  0.29938211945700965,
                  0.37315495701567675
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.0996089921178271,
                  0.2319658073721082,
                  0.3551192687797,
                  0.16122652672793697,
                  0.09719577598479236,
                  0.1657757995811361,
                  0.21025926446366178,
                  0.10751328382204818
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11076807075767037,
                  0.22927686262225755,
                  0.4330566384694138,
                  0.16831418081740057,
                  0.11251054924392284,
                  0.1672721205797222,
                  0.1768754781609058,
                  0.11076807075767037
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.379224417040329,
                  3.9187684374774756,
                  12.63753951527258,
                  3.9972071398256808,
                  2.0126174465387097,
                  3.325779833737953,
                  8.302461100520926,
                  2.22552283353302
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.500795459022275,
                  3.8833491476604167,
                  14.934177684323762,
                  3.6806433710989057,
                  3.5671376707580675,
                  3.3365612191630336,
                  3.817686724141159,
                  4.037007086746878
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.1014710575777844,
                  3.6994316820391755,
                  12.052625156792878,
                  3.802034471337912,
                  1.8016359120966399,
                  3.0551262406969837,
                  7.6097178566959975,
                  1.9870140675864012
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  4.156168553465009,
                  3.538722242103148,
                  14.589550778766494,
                  3.336016465541637,
                  3.2225107652008003,
                  2.991934313605765,
                  3.4730598185838906,
                  3.692380181189609
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44682488271269877,
              "rpss": 0.0538618386928158,
              "brier_below": 0.26824179925381514,
              "bss_below": 0.05434294181561661,
              "brier_above": 0.17858308985615134,
              "bss_above": 0.05313827032852403,
              "crps": 4.974890090493334,
              "crpss": 0.046895630273081856,
              "crps_fair": 4.638632055602971,
              "crpss_fair": 0.04849410344642724,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.240285,
                    0.558445,
                    0.20127,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2725,
                    0.3656,
                    0.4207,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.383,
                    0.5227,
                    0.6643,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.088049,
                    0.77752,
                    0.13443,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2879,
                    0.3247,
                    0.4498,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1606,
                    0.2028,
                    0.4523,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "loci": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7672156607721613,
            "training": [
              0.7606277513203392,
              0.7683621269479194,
              0.7619753273820192,
              0.7599926771607886,
              0.8288086548404059,
              0.7380530510012921,
              0.7574048273950168,
              0.7571751398168268,
              0.7627742296807493,
              0.7977400343338187,
              0.7715223494159157,
              0.7605001554337687,
              0.723048545677165,
              0.7910349510543092,
              0.7587029055935997,
              0.800839901995414,
              0.7779861511335716,
              0.7751979666441663,
              0.7683945199460644,
              0.7559825475964144,
              0.7514917805894663,
              0.7507059629741651,
              0.771575093723654,
              0.7632792068750212
            ],
            "test": 0.7994060194336821
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42926628112739856,
                  0.3740061787075797,
                  0.4521841852129937,
                  0.3577480954619019,
                  0.4457716803654997,
                  0.49200304063927963,
                  0.39830239192613615,
                  0.4822608113638277,
                  0.40088931121731497,
                  0.49736678946129614,
                  0.5234401097549166,
                  0.45604192273888183,
                  0.5202270247253659,
                  0.5373870601606718,
                  0.4728559795357042,
                  0.41866149587302065,
                  0.47370788690581395,
                  0.4099503682775126,
                  0.4558379388641597,
                  0.43783540819010297,
                  0.4824700164377278,
                  0.4052013765397075,
                  0.4442961788247154,
                  0.4453984157694832
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.462562923536876,
                  0.3645173216522427,
                  0.44125991495499295,
                  0.3676651074657129,
                  0.4796288397923759,
                  0.5018388000928868,
                  0.3814774056959005,
                  0.4578573987892382,
                  0.3735878385869089,
                  0.5052606235712064,
                  0.5036551985237356,
                  0.4358799350596818,
                  0.5001476319885705,
                  0.5372757850199824,
                  0.4967176353817881,
                  0.483398419566635,
                  0.48412488872389453,
                  0.42298688230915954,
                  0.4788741887887977,
                  0.4007718021663261,
                  0.498737480732011,
                  0.40202165436042925,
                  0.44570350792032964,
                  0.4523372814100714
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.30581422032446487,
                  0.19492841078297704,
                  0.1672317994063299,
                  0.23761968249519014,
                  0.16105071765632606,
                  0.3584765097741863,
                  0.2185070398616681,
                  0.17823218010297404,
                  0.1560054972950231,
                  0.1425105601805175,
                  0.14957760538375503,
                  0.1817781248240956,
                  0.36212086358598217,
                  0.1342454722512755,
                  0.3328997751263453,
                  0.2973893543481925,
                  0.17573870942833944,
                  0.22847631551148972,
                  0.27394156903323236,
                  0.18822824514054456,
                  0.35770404793181254,
                  0.2524703795814005,
                  0.1687977489097529,
                  0.25602381035501265
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33445347350698373,
                  0.18448978058131807,
                  0.15020271959428944,
                  0.23455533259135652,
                  0.16559252060812168,
                  0.3788018404246035,
                  0.19293962127510628,
                  0.15038884587226958,
                  0.13073481316379681,
                  0.1342598604859912,
                  0.1282842296352773,
                  0.16631198513422443,
                  0.3601361789689049,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.35626815432751285,
                  0.34779494441826286,
                  0.17732409124021772,
                  0.23135019401075282,
                  0.29334157497784386,
                  0.1580270900868227,
                  0.3757058539399758,
                  0.2565886947421901,
                  0.1693218745678458,
                  0.2597369379666505
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12345206089611722,
                  0.17907776779683013,
                  0.2849523867897833,
                  0.12012841361580322,
                  0.28472096205021014,
                  0.13352653029521538,
                  0.17979535254942314,
                  0.3040286316021561,
                  0.2448838135244527,
                  0.3548562299155539,
                  0.3738625050317959,
                  0.2742637977890022,
                  0.15810616060896426,
                  0.4031415887856093,
                  0.13995620380726725,
                  0.12127214253808681,
                  0.29796917837928677,
                  0.18147405284869678,
                  0.18189636998298853,
                  0.24960716275441644,
                  0.1247659674654788,
                  0.15273099645330113,
                  0.27549842936859686,
                  0.18937460532056297
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12810945002989202,
                  0.1800275410709245,
                  0.2910571953607033,
                  0.1331097748743562,
                  0.3140363192350966,
                  0.12303695966828301,
                  0.18853778442079408,
                  0.3074685529169685,
                  0.24285302547391838,
                  0.371000763085215,
                  0.37537096893986166,
                  0.26956794992545724,
                  0.1400114530196655,
                  0.41629279379655704,
                  0.14044948110508146,
                  0.1356034751238968,
                  0.30680079745918404,
                  0.19163668827393138,
                  0.18553261378647845,
                  0.242744712130419,
                  0.12303162676755988,
                  0.14543295959376396,
                  0.2763816333277958,
                  0.19260034341894555
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.6905800069107753,
                  4.356199228211223,
                  11.003152480281987,
                  2.5414296419584606,
                  10.701858027486109,
                  4.323532690175395,
                  3.509010921749442,
                  5.6677315930027214,
                  3.9259141934212005,
                  18.046467057398115,
                  17.18020240242692,
                  4.243350245571363,
                  7.936893485568824,
                  23.91935259496024,
                  4.490056064079054,
                  2.8707192839377407,
                  12.885355553718062,
                  4.133797686243926,
                  4.297786073923676,
                  5.14661426752889,
                  4.975693476024348,
                  4.407106572889901,
                  8.242755410486405,
                  3.4499380440810548
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.383400553071679,
                  3.6995246089032476,
                  10.375259519924272,
                  3.088176782734038,
                  15.623140866424055,
                  3.918194532764918,
                  3.2512248780442565,
                  5.3613292903859575,
                  3.3401723993300685,
                  21.29254756415035,
                  17.08930816883068,
                  4.102339013398538,
                  4.506551529947348,
                  25.32004262629813,
                  4.202143270441035,
                  3.5904825606496558,
                  13.811056598131602,
                  3.49561527327503,
                  4.117308454045926,
                  4.163338575099779,
                  4.154173639778647,
                  3.3440543501428777,
                  7.576953718515562,
                  3.8653696148339143
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.467572221475282,
                  4.070973337890979,
                  10.73644048033103,
                  2.354715929378327,
                  10.169354376065886,
                  3.9668598621752076,
                  3.3015647698480532,
                  5.361215520472427,
                  3.6333187235056816,
                  17.648847396828536,
                  16.90876668444245,
                  3.971616289878076,
                  7.474483877594432,
                  23.652838600124202,
                  4.184213576094732,
                  2.640034504268359,
                  12.551959809323833,
                  3.9212158938157726,
                  4.082895323541357,
                  4.942570691339203,
                  4.648652208297334,
                  4.078871729043002,
                  7.841396710996847,
                  3.2064044796532327
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.069144896531585,
                  3.3858676721658623,
                  10.074246020518368,
                  2.773361990265274,
                  15.332066536235006,
                  3.604951743610606,
                  2.9367188887863067,
                  5.050819710999868,
                  3.0258348712866763,
                  21.012210746646392,
                  16.801010670653753,
                  3.7894449827302754,
                  4.194423053287697,
                  25.04733364035127,
                  3.8894382629868667,
                  3.276619104881488,
                  13.516550290161696,
                  3.1815721446141088,
                  3.8044427745910094,
                  3.8505600739044343,
                  3.8413777807512575,
                  3.029724174279054,
                  7.270640397516081,
                  3.55202677848655
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4505462478367088,
              "rpss": 0.005991615152688756,
              "brier_below": 0.228323693303787,
              "bss_below": -0.0040631526470424895,
              "brier_above": 0.22222255459039997,
              "bss_above": 0.016114825653542164,
              "crps": 7.2893957084181595,
              "crpss": 0.00977072901385967,
              "crps_fair": 6.992365958182677,
              "crpss_fair": 0.008821692717753016,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.033667,
                    0.62324,
                    0.343093,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2923,
                    0.3577,
                    0.432,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2556,
                    0.3333,
                    0.3881,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.086669,
                    0.821678,
                    0.091654,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2897,
                    0.3454,
                    0.4194,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2807,
                    0.3398,
                    0.4456,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.41933528626810496,
                  0.3821404555067367,
                  0.3630202016826203,
                  0.3661485303494313,
                  0.46839283775725793,
                  0.4790812649036144,
                  0.3646277315731924,
                  0.44982788680320507,
                  0.4369575302702408,
                  0.491419673594512,
                  0.5829921922173613,
                  0.4991373988170731,
                  0.5295626963335424,
                  0.5517307491462585,
                  0.5087162335083949,
                  0.4311912066490628,
                  0.45514845754811034,
                  0.3750123731118048,
                  0.48741039829638416,
                  0.441386986827091,
                  0.43458057745565715,
                  0.4364648046005529,
                  0.43162586799551017,
                  0.44799463128216926
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4612583059027846,
                  0.3632558141399608,
                  0.354883769652867,
                  0.3845191290006187,
                  0.5442138095123802,
                  0.47392048384293584,
                  0.33694866035330306,
                  0.4142191822653953,
                  0.37845219617751535,
                  0.4951720237139347,
                  0.5339101528063047,
                  0.4478677808815762,
                  0.5122698412139367,
                  0.546319606847996,
                  0.5151171329099498,
                  0.5367285468048282,
                  0.4864254362866427,
                  0.45042529340514065,
                  0.45228609740130155,
                  0.40382417319303954,
                  0.47274140836269934,
                  0.4335462466444369,
                  0.43507035514007947,
                  0.4346226259811788
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.30741459623470363,
                  0.16917891157027287,
                  0.1898734302936615,
                  0.25156181350210255,
                  0.11220765039321831,
                  0.3358469409849592,
                  0.20088319725139786,
                  0.1732617002757981,
                  0.18539055547788827,
                  0.14855402598906645,
                  0.15772760297585203,
                  0.18299324763531252,
                  0.36603222055704304,
                  0.13783831099531135,
                  0.3365397920704621,
                  0.3311413461608881,
                  0.21396607871129086,
                  0.2779683267185027,
                  0.21280943358602616,
                  0.1685718291244373,
                  0.32062672282560967,
                  0.3035559905929254,
                  0.2113615942764598,
                  0.21301313082529846
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3406488402474111,
                  0.15585229033150771,
                  0.1733474973115743,
                  0.2607321626770492,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.35118589057225497,
                  0.15964704360397033,
                  0.13793336355887106,
                  0.13634373895712082,
                  0.1384011735129149,
                  0.12098299127445332,
                  0.14645923116637555,
                  0.36837280991055965,
                  0.12098299127445333,
                  0.34820491159145306,
                  0.4161190810910467,
                  0.23546533423622354,
                  0.32875690367129495,
                  0.18568689656698428,
                  0.13104510989535922,
                  0.3521319426489182,
                  0.3129367809306557,
                  0.21062232617609924,
                  0.19696310869600517
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.11192069027994325,
                  0.2129615434060213,
                  0.17314677205028287,
                  0.11458671742224182,
                  0.35618518547768746,
                  0.14323432350581858,
                  0.16374453520738338,
                  0.2765661865258223,
                  0.2515669735580633,
                  0.34286564824525334,
                  0.4252645892197648,
                  0.31614415003781154,
                  0.16353047578232133,
                  0.41389243863795183,
                  0.17217644046912975,
                  0.10004986190246955,
                  0.24118237951449656,
                  0.09704404700400687,
                  0.2746009641784068,
                  0.27281515756040997,
                  0.11395385417379335,
                  0.1329088135909917,
                  0.2202642728747021,
                  0.23498150030632947
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.20740352380845312,
                  0.18153627234129263,
                  0.1237869663235696,
                  0.42323081835917165,
                  0.12273459327068108,
                  0.17730161674933273,
                  0.27628581870652447,
                  0.24210845734163935,
                  0.35677085020102,
                  0.4129271616552412,
                  0.3014085497152008,
                  0.1438970313033771,
                  0.4253366156954207,
                  0.1669122214397413,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.2509601019920115,
                  0.12166838967543823,
                  0.2665992007759097,
                  0.27277906341892527,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.22444802890557244,
                  0.2376595172267659
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.4802338490913125,
                  5.463897507628319,
                  4.241651971294874,
                  2.598163781439906,
                  15.036532361751645,
                  5.095261903804312,
                  3.89397490052566,
                  5.028051695763564,
                  3.9180758677552814,
                  25.571675038864978,
                  26.503269710823222,
                  4.339108025121502,
                  8.570933778454144,
                  24.667471886870047,
                  5.172084036140131,
                  2.3233162735651796,
                  13.792655246586841,
                  2.8901139606377857,
                  7.303933546271988,
                  5.843563902482379,
                  4.630697349510943,
                  4.788915794190783,
                  6.775587513317885,
                  3.8442252497927742
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.5039629006286863,
                  4.404502123435348,
                  3.7921098904802375,
                  3.7427483154181247,
                  27.430818422751024,
                  4.09357752958828,
                  3.618553854597303,
                  4.403186407306274,
                  3.33544948423942,
                  30.38912596968953,
                  26.15657705190127,
                  3.9490911747156954,
                  4.915805626371291,
                  26.102456598508446,
                  4.555869648555982,
                  4.319504515985746,
                  15.066223249131706,
                  3.332735441447136,
                  6.022796968020984,
                  5.2148566721483,
                  4.335017286452637,
                  3.630233609951502,
                  6.294926309868744,
                  4.525624967226858
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.288564983554951,
                  5.110408233544041,
                  3.945015773591593,
                  2.3724636342810714,
                  14.342016598589758,
                  4.659306088364654,
                  3.698537627301268,
                  4.727172554745125,
                  3.608023669818539,
                  25.141111659958387,
                  26.23813394555547,
                  4.049475210639886,
                  8.049578822044797,
                  24.373380434404304,
                  4.851757225083391,
                  2.0897592792222435,
                  13.474892290875177,
                  2.6796938144172944,
                  7.056814263511768,
                  5.590276525693053,
                  4.27631596305648,
                  4.458456201514468,
                  6.207842162813987,
                  3.6108503505909293
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.134642569756797,
                  4.0368873592733205,
                  3.423335292543674,
                  3.3738802296500032,
                  27.106814106125587,
                  3.7253738930894196,
                  3.249450552047323,
                  4.035569151257637,
                  2.965809999169824,
                  30.070724508266622,
                  25.830159399346183,
                  3.580613889817456,
                  4.549159240055732,
                  25.77593644509466,
                  4.188541565312743,
                  3.9517287715065783,
                  14.718801138616833,
                  2.963090816144978,
                  5.6582471562161265,
                  4.848776670389135,
                  3.9672709222205658,
                  3.261152428150299,
                  5.930891894544658,
                  4.158239602390194
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45141274885407867,
              "rpss": 0.0031369254683039083,
              "brier_below": 0.22951326870952035,
              "bss_below": -0.01073672056831132,
              "brier_above": 0.22189948003879598,
              "bss_above": 0.01709151858944502,
              "crps": 8.115558131320228,
              "crpss": 0.059682399715674794,
              "crps_fair": 7.78749363804886,
              "crpss_fair": 0.05846323559479216,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.031794,
                    0.529663,
                    0.438543,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2922,
                    0.3553,
                    0.4403,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1711,
                    0.3428,
                    0.3677,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.134502,
                    0.766145,
                    0.099353,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.289,
                    0.3436,
                    0.4183,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2962,
                    0.3283,
                    0.5274,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4809003630526249,
                  0.45230633753170696,
                  0.49573563304577284,
                  0.4001747457566941,
                  0.42044080051525545,
                  0.43431997514631665,
                  0.4831392593340853,
                  0.4335784475807761
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5242304582543107,
                  0.45938853305268146,
                  0.5017174223148171,
                  0.4051068144553075,
                  0.4317667029427126,
                  0.41531527803354223,
                  0.4728878323138167,
                  0.48863351023117646
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3664961238740082,
                  0.2627622737115354,
                  0.13491729166917746,
                  0.23007567182180516,
                  0.24652771993522593,
                  0.17489212550968938,
                  0.3058034115482208,
                  0.32993543549067605
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.40795993245117856,
                  0.27227812780818744,
                  0.12370712310234608,
                  0.2309306977016834,
                  0.2554229422765291,
                  0.15868716024439758,
                  0.31168865779035276,
                  0.37646203326964833
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.11440425742343936,
                  0.1895440695671122,
                  0.3608183151316782,
                  0.1700990813426498,
                  0.17391308734985267,
                  0.2594278432930904,
                  0.17733586089124392,
                  0.10364303078911964
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11627054465083109,
                  0.1871104114792495,
                  0.37801027156074746,
                  0.17417612530121018,
                  0.17634376877195204,
                  0.25662811177730505,
                  0.16119918533729533,
                  0.11217149654219405
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.283580370325607,
                  3.4859121454321307,
                  10.53087045296531,
                  4.240908743067344,
                  4.495580247339028,
                  5.66729903122197,
                  6.534720564439248,
                  2.5323726265835744
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.134590890417508,
                  3.257454258459608,
                  11.95446652225302,
                  3.2123112416029844,
                  3.7715427873017267,
                  4.553263281560126,
                  3.429057288259692,
                  3.466783459627757
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.159719514964152,
                  3.3695708380085927,
                  10.344536031965001,
                  4.150168490110175,
                  4.386190681925559,
                  5.540783214890229,
                  6.316456685884671,
                  2.4058249269758125
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.840649245962226,
                  2.9635126140043284,
                  11.660524877797739,
                  2.9183695971477044,
                  3.477601142846446,
                  4.259321637104846,
                  3.1351156438044105,
                  3.1728418151724775
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4500744452454041,
              "rpss": 0.026615234023640744,
              "brier_below": 0.2564262566950423,
              "bss_below": 0.04011283981088953,
              "brier_above": 0.19364819322352328,
              "bss_above": 0.008146673189644571,
              "crps": 5.096405522671777,
              "crpss": -0.07919048290815645,
              "crps_fair": 4.959156298090525,
              "crpss_fair": -0.11982955321249888,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.045464,
                    0.729951,
                    0.224585,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2867,
                    0.3634,
                    0.4208,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2442,
                    0.4778,
                    0.4818,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.151272,
                    0.817876,
                    0.030852,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2905,
                    0.335,
                    0.4127,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2391,
                    0.2505,
                    0.3691,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4725647958244344,
                  0.46653905070583385,
                  0.526494326423211,
                  0.40618773209661957,
                  0.41193426925058835,
                  0.38117741168335634,
                  0.49192296755303705,
                  0.4302440937428067
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5378222423430801,
                  0.4654037630210716,
                  0.5441677934136927,
                  0.42259005509153863,
                  0.4687251558583407,
                  0.37920455236096284,
                  0.4762575897428396,
                  0.48392300807734495
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.36894650612538,
                  0.2331366778630458,
                  0.12292732670916993,
                  0.24167142098493238,
                  0.31237325705177493,
                  0.21598418496535268,
                  0.29885530071428895,
                  0.32650583838011343
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4270541912814117,
                  0.23612689903307224,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.25427588380937366,
                  0.3562146259988406,
                  0.2119324419419288,
                  0.29938211945700965,
                  0.37315495701567675
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10361830823225344,
                  0.23340237107343212,
                  0.40356696441525564,
                  0.16451631942703582,
                  0.09956102966946541,
                  0.16519323612544046,
                  0.19306767792077095,
                  0.1037382742627199
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11076807075767037,
                  0.22927686262225755,
                  0.4330566384694138,
                  0.16831418081740057,
                  0.11251054924392284,
                  0.1672721205797222,
                  0.1768754781609058,
                  0.11076807075767037
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.548873161955825,
                  4.009562969624387,
                  11.852774343428814,
                  4.398239131334663,
                  2.3923848001270462,
                  3.5795739904271393,
                  8.788881430754646,
                  2.775636344152609
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.500795459022275,
                  3.8833491476604167,
                  14.934177684323762,
                  3.6806433710989057,
                  3.5671376707580675,
                  3.3365612191630336,
                  3.817686724141159,
                  4.037007086746878
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.410715849784446,
                  3.904342191981218,
                  11.60290978924148,
                  4.298384142896538,
                  2.2813480755519953,
                  3.4416913947696575,
                  8.511257583116143,
                  2.6459144561955408
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  4.156168553465009,
                  3.538722242103148,
                  14.589550778766494,
                  3.336016465541637,
                  3.2225107652008003,
                  2.991934313605765,
                  3.4730598185838906,
                  3.692380181189609
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4483830809099859,
              "rpss": 0.05056240118525568,
              "brier_below": 0.26505006409925724,
              "bss_below": 0.06559505422001843,
              "brier_above": 0.1833330226407967,
              "bss_above": 0.02795374935335604,
              "crps": 5.1682407714756415,
              "crpss": 0.009852926699375764,
              "crps_fair": 5.012070435442127,
              "crpss_fair": -0.028107967197906536,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.068148,
                    0.633897,
                    0.297954,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.286,
                    0.3611,
                    0.4275,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.262,
                    0.5196,
                    0.5719,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.173426,
                    0.776103,
                    0.050471,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2885,
                    0.3359,
                    0.4131,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1781,
                    0.2336,
                    0.4051,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "eqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7265988911217152,
            "training": [
              0.7174093027080998,
              0.7269576532809138,
              0.7146102310047809,
              0.7270834776849037,
              0.8151752023577674,
              0.6878486695102931,
              0.7089590177300898,
              0.7117447308921141,
              0.7205184876159884,
              0.7656044717876185,
              0.7272440923252154,
              0.7130256298496281,
              0.6597556588250425,
              0.7688806771847015,
              0.7127512515980486,
              0.7771524090200143,
              0.7372939803967872,
              0.7357744941260294,
              0.7260247304777973,
              0.7173759974881465,
              0.7032163614598358,
              0.7049111438652037,
              0.7323616127680053,
              0.7266941029641371
            ],
            "test": 0.742895403300733
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4376686506243554,
                  0.3665513515502115,
                  0.44451482927749236,
                  0.34264696007278106,
                  0.44188040818600394,
                  0.5069647298540936,
                  0.39118272256854164,
                  0.48209419726367064,
                  0.39493676937146704,
                  0.48847438625367734,
                  0.522058567772681,
                  0.4605722635714031,
                  0.54520270891247,
                  0.5290990237987476,
                  0.4859714032352778,
                  0.4198328500046756,
                  0.4650293115248824,
                  0.4078844400928678,
                  0.4695467961065045,
                  0.43321418595551947,
                  0.5026226727932857,
                  0.4019138893449032,
                  0.4360298031215827,
                  0.4525736813724645
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.462562923536876,
                  0.3645173216522427,
                  0.44125991495499295,
                  0.3676651074657129,
                  0.4796288397923759,
                  0.5018388000928868,
                  0.3814774056959005,
                  0.4578573987892382,
                  0.3735878385869089,
                  0.5052606235712064,
                  0.5036551985237356,
                  0.4358799350596818,
                  0.5001476319885705,
                  0.5372757850199824,
                  0.4967176353817881,
                  0.483398419566635,
                  0.48412488872389453,
                  0.42298688230915954,
                  0.4788741887887977,
                  0.4007718021663261,
                  0.498737480732011,
                  0.40202165436042925,
                  0.44570350792032964,
                  0.4523372814100714
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.32134163038499336,
                  0.188974746158808,
                  0.15733404582051466,
                  0.2290183000771,
                  0.15838682373502436,
                  0.3776249000298831,
                  0.21483877162935883,
                  0.17085075007823222,
                  0.14510704098565422,
                  0.1298377829120048,
                  0.13657679301875436,
                  0.17905813353212316,
                  0.3837276542345506,
                  0.11975813888840992,
                  0.3497383566842043,
                  0.30342194283695256,
                  0.16711067617811007,
                  0.22853446162039504,
                  0.288572458306826,
                  0.18188232240240826,
                  0.3815117479602199,
                  0.2523935810726713,
                  0.16240153414218106,
                  0.26373193213191515
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33445347350698373,
                  0.18448978058131807,
                  0.15020271959428944,
                  0.23455533259135652,
                  0.16559252060812168,
                  0.3788018404246035,
                  0.19293962127510628,
                  0.15038884587226958,
                  0.13073481316379681,
                  0.1342598604859912,
                  0.1282842296352773,
                  0.16631198513422443,
                  0.3601361789689049,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.35626815432751285,
                  0.34779494441826286,
                  0.17732409124021772,
                  0.23135019401075282,
                  0.29334157497784386,
                  0.1580270900868227,
                  0.3757058539399758,
                  0.2565886947421901,
                  0.1693218745678458,
                  0.2597369379666505
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.11632701812778884,
                  0.17757660444987458,
                  0.2871807871238151,
                  0.11362865885229967,
                  0.28349358299846117,
                  0.1293398267521932,
                  0.176343951771965,
                  0.3112434502196494,
                  0.2498297279204812,
                  0.3586366052836502,
                  0.3854817788838525,
                  0.28151413078488186,
                  0.16147505321833105,
                  0.40934088806666186,
                  0.13623304410226353,
                  0.1164109073053787,
                  0.29791863817248726,
                  0.179349977652886,
                  0.1809743362522197,
                  0.251331863822889,
                  0.12111092233903173,
                  0.14952030630119306,
                  0.2736282693792824,
                  0.18884174806271115
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12810945002989202,
                  0.1800275410709245,
                  0.2910571953607033,
                  0.1331097748743562,
                  0.3140363192350966,
                  0.12303695966828301,
                  0.18853778442079408,
                  0.3074685529169685,
                  0.24285302547391838,
                  0.371000763085215,
                  0.37537096893986166,
                  0.26956794992545724,
                  0.1400114530196655,
                  0.41629279379655704,
                  0.14044948110508146,
                  0.1356034751238968,
                  0.30680079745918404,
                  0.19163668827393138,
                  0.18553261378647845,
                  0.242744712130419,
                  0.12303162676755988,
                  0.14543295959376396,
                  0.2763816333277958,
                  0.19260034341894555
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.406775395789779,
                  4.030440956532005,
                  10.92560751543062,
                  1.8856633251017032,
                  10.672973882687925,
                  4.18560156901021,
                  2.871105010582144,
                  5.35308030852487,
                  3.541489361591881,
                  18.570486589630242,
                  17.619822060183164,
                  4.074375642937053,
                  7.958941714895268,
                  24.253188351929104,
                  4.501064206205186,
                  2.463291532107781,
                  12.949596304926205,
                  3.615553969921081,
                  3.899675294272568,
                  4.757708802543261,
                  4.921806498728667,
                  4.0391125501997935,
                  8.236837721646804,
                  3.162551702802169
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.383400553071679,
                  3.6995246089032476,
                  10.375259519924272,
                  3.088176782734038,
                  15.623140866424055,
                  3.918194532764918,
                  3.2512248780442565,
                  5.3613292903859575,
                  3.3401723993300685,
                  21.29254756415035,
                  17.08930816883068,
                  4.102339013398538,
                  4.506551529947348,
                  25.32004262629813,
                  4.202143270441035,
                  3.5904825606496558,
                  13.811056598131602,
                  3.49561527327503,
                  4.117308454045926,
                  4.163338575099779,
                  4.154173639778647,
                  3.3440543501428777,
                  7.576953718515562,
                  3.8653696148339143
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.2209888756720964,
                  3.765062641652859,
                  10.696038934734645,
                  1.7257855610501769,
                  10.247693689934717,
                  3.8784287000664825,
                  2.6980603522697035,
                  5.077373427940739,
                  3.2792028208907857,
                  18.23673962343192,
                  17.390848883141064,
                  3.8157916009293555,
                  7.582145917744413,
                  24.01964840572377,
                  4.235597639986647,
                  2.2655145377745507,
                  12.652707184261526,
                  3.440055559617132,
                  3.7073614047002335,
                  4.570513718384078,
                  4.656332978333843,
                  3.7457205030261638,
                  7.864205874641145,
                  2.9592991676117983
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.069144896531585,
                  3.3858676721658623,
                  10.074246020518368,
                  2.773361990265274,
                  15.332066536235006,
                  3.604951743610606,
                  2.9367188887863067,
                  5.050819710999868,
                  3.0258348712866763,
                  21.012210746646392,
                  16.801010670653753,
                  3.7894449827302754,
                  4.194423053287697,
                  25.04733364035127,
                  3.8894382629868667,
                  3.276619104881488,
                  13.516550290161696,
                  3.1815721446141088,
                  3.8044427745910094,
                  3.8505600739044343,
                  3.8413777807512575,
                  3.029724174279054,
                  7.270640397516081,
                  3.55202677848655
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4511861084428983,
              "rpss": 0.004579935861739881,
              "brier_below": 0.22882227186755397,
              "bss_below": -0.0062556730873635225,
              "brier_above": 0.22236383657684367,
              "bss_above": 0.015489302955720707,
              "crps": 7.120697927840812,
              "crpss": 0.03268750935618214,
              "crps_fair": 6.863796583479993,
              "crpss_fair": 0.027046593409201347,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.066274,
                    0.727774,
                    0.186458,
                    0.019495,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2903,
                    0.347,
                    0.4434,
                    0.5077,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3246,
                    0.3476,
                    0.3646,
                    0.3607,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.141213,
                    0.797886,
                    0.060901,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2873,
                    0.3437,
                    0.4156,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.255,
                    0.3501,
                    0.4769,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4180491449461572,
                  0.3782899510013499,
                  0.3620620236737759,
                  0.3531317821266865,
                  0.46309194242251517,
                  0.4807235233176873,
                  0.3668009786540436,
                  0.44942282047023907,
                  0.4399516069542841,
                  0.4900934910018101,
                  0.5940818807135274,
                  0.5072451881787463,
                  0.5451223563539785,
                  0.5573072142405908,
                  0.5160340525049009,
                  0.43046923196364595,
                  0.4510341091421048,
                  0.3727063890994574,
                  0.5003360179437314,
                  0.4461889060038385,
                  0.4313640912234003,
                  0.4379285388361069,
                  0.4375528940321197,
                  0.4485633646777442
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4612583059027846,
                  0.3632558141399608,
                  0.354883769652867,
                  0.3845191290006187,
                  0.5442138095123802,
                  0.47392048384293584,
                  0.33694866035330306,
                  0.4142191822653953,
                  0.37845219617751535,
                  0.4951720237139347,
                  0.5339101528063047,
                  0.4478677808815762,
                  0.5122698412139367,
                  0.546319606847996,
                  0.5151171329099498,
                  0.5367285468048282,
                  0.4864254362866427,
                  0.45042529340514065,
                  0.45228609740130155,
                  0.40382417319303954,
                  0.47274140836269934,
                  0.4335462466444369,
                  0.43507035514007947,
                  0.4346226259811788
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3152711419917621,
                  0.16498941025226305,
                  0.19024305196394545,
                  0.24544316724104012,
                  0.10778198663395605,
                  0.34359360218259066,
                  0.20582496695595198,
                  0.16936172247208242,
                  0.18454939739662496,
                  0.14679349407627587,
                  0.15109469240747767,
                  0.1813643267178606,
                  0.3826581356506895,
                  0.13014111769416914,
                  0.34443107683111307,
                  0.33571563365721113,
                  0.21140748715297591,
                  0.28493500785831477,
                  0.21914292682835576,
                  0.16564648826459735,
                  0.322884697231774,
                  0.3098564189826096,
                  0.21781604734865803,
                  0.20918693869601845
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3406488402474111,
                  0.15585229033150771,
                  0.1733474973115743,
                  0.2607321626770492,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.35118589057225497,
                  0.15964704360397033,
                  0.13793336355887106,
                  0.13634373895712082,
                  0.1384011735129149,
                  0.12098299127445332,
                  0.14645923116637555,
                  0.36837280991055965,
                  0.12098299127445333,
                  0.34820491159145306,
                  0.4161190810910467,
                  0.23546533423622354,
                  0.32875690367129495,
                  0.18568689656698428,
                  0.13104510989535922,
                  0.3521319426489182,
                  0.3129367809306557,
                  0.21062232617609924,
                  0.19696310869600517
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10277800194430527,
                  0.21330054096580323,
                  0.17181897148841116,
                  0.10768861378020715,
                  0.35530995312474445,
                  0.13712991933865964,
                  0.1609760126258894,
                  0.2800610994047232,
                  0.2554022090514086,
                  0.34329999699080344,
                  0.4429871921577575,
                  0.32588086128352334,
                  0.1624642197224427,
                  0.4271660975493719,
                  0.17160297401627314,
                  0.0947535993198894,
                  0.23962662286013342,
                  0.08777138102685096,
                  0.2811930894416208,
                  0.28054241836606,
                  0.10847939140868124,
                  0.1280721183769447,
                  0.21973684500907043,
                  0.23937642598926925
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.20740352380845312,
                  0.18153627234129263,
                  0.1237869663235696,
                  0.42323081835917165,
                  0.12273459327068108,
                  0.17730161674933273,
                  0.27628581870652447,
                  0.24210845734163935,
                  0.35677085020102,
                  0.4129271616552412,
                  0.3014085497152008,
                  0.1438970313033771,
                  0.4253366156954207,
                  0.1669122214397413,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.2509601019920115,
                  0.12166838967543823,
                  0.2665992007759097,
                  0.27277906341892527,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.22444802890557244,
                  0.2376595172267659
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.213719501809146,
                  5.402841178744312,
                  4.087200785557582,
                  2.0511235121531604,
                  15.306277283327438,
                  5.031590707503648,
                  3.50466457753958,
                  4.655043816087191,
                  3.4747890112205146,
                  26.62928587411117,
                  27.207285194530378,
                  4.25515610640336,
                  8.714231045661469,
                  25.268402042835692,
                  5.4981420142563815,
                  2.0951478780419355,
                  14.043092085746352,
                  2.648942536000213,
                  6.854438801941351,
                  5.831762014701959,
                  4.361586633119689,
                  4.501759245445182,
                  6.9806182603116484,
                  3.626017205494374
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.5039629006286863,
                  4.404502123435348,
                  3.7921098904802375,
                  3.7427483154181247,
                  27.430818422751024,
                  4.09357752958828,
                  3.618553854597303,
                  4.403186407306274,
                  3.33544948423942,
                  30.38912596968953,
                  26.15657705190127,
                  3.9490911747156954,
                  4.915805626371291,
                  26.102456598508446,
                  4.555869648555982,
                  4.319504515985746,
                  15.066223249131706,
                  3.332735441447136,
                  6.022796968020984,
                  5.2148566721483,
                  4.335017286452637,
                  3.630233609951502,
                  6.294926309868744,
                  4.525624967226858
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.045581968658798,
                  5.051144911616732,
                  3.8149197116756812,
                  1.8480389216807922,
                  14.76489096819636,
                  4.6471501351536775,
                  3.3342569722324344,
                  4.372328145458607,
                  3.1800551654748124,
                  26.245988290127013,
                  26.967391351225764,
                  3.9709681476980543,
                  8.264359114445508,
                  25.000295974100617,
                  5.191648640819272,
                  1.8816147094206574,
                  13.732162945489927,
                  2.4762349628536113,
                  6.616892714304862,
                  5.591343545943571,
                  4.0549521113138605,
                  4.184703419435121,
                  6.451149695165771,
                  3.417605108214329
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.134642569756797,
                  4.0368873592733205,
                  3.423335292543674,
                  3.3738802296500032,
                  27.106814106125587,
                  3.7253738930894196,
                  3.249450552047323,
                  4.035569151257637,
                  2.965809999169824,
                  30.070724508266622,
                  25.830159399346183,
                  3.580613889817456,
                  4.549159240055732,
                  25.77593644509466,
                  4.188541565312743,
                  3.9517287715065783,
                  14.718801138616833,
                  2.963090816144978,
                  5.6582471562161265,
                  4.848776670389135,
                  3.9672709222205658,
                  3.261152428150299,
                  5.930891894544658,
                  4.158239602390194
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45323131247843507,
              "rpss": -0.0008790420257676068,
              "brier_below": 0.23083887235367992,
              "bss_below": -0.016574449635587962,
              "brier_above": 0.22239243980178522,
              "bss_above": 0.014907942801202778,
              "crps": 8.09346322135599,
              "crpss": 0.062242449484265494,
              "crps_fair": 7.7960699012794095,
              "crpss_fair": 0.057426333671261154,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.052561,
                    0.593986,
                    0.310439,
                    0.043014,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2906,
                    0.3471,
                    0.4527,
                    0.5078,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2702,
                    0.34,
                    0.3763,
                    0.3551,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.219824,
                    0.716655,
                    0.063521,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2856,
                    0.3414,
                    0.4155,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3031,
                    0.3309,
                    0.6293,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48639866476383736,
                  0.46169845381802793,
                  0.4909768491709558,
                  0.3988589567904324,
                  0.41745563010817205,
                  0.4269922364902193,
                  0.4994704140143696,
                  0.4313446251435186
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5242304582543107,
                  0.45938853305268146,
                  0.5017174223148171,
                  0.4051068144553075,
                  0.4317667029427126,
                  0.41531527803354223,
                  0.4728878323138167,
                  0.48863351023117646
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3788975382188339,
                  0.27389307524668083,
                  0.12651093476982003,
                  0.2310429864287663,
                  0.24907101144688007,
                  0.16604670277743663,
                  0.3204770405090165,
                  0.33329157377328056
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.40795993245117856,
                  0.27227812780818744,
                  0.12370712310234608,
                  0.2309306977016834,
                  0.2554229422765291,
                  0.15868716024439758,
                  0.31168865779035276,
                  0.37646203326964833
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10750114382805376,
                  0.18780538360824503,
                  0.36446588832624727,
                  0.16781597710313353,
                  0.16838462444285243,
                  0.26094552700074425,
                  0.17899338699225784,
                  0.09805306962283772
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11627054465083109,
                  0.1871104114792495,
                  0.37801027156074746,
                  0.17417612530121018,
                  0.17634376877195204,
                  0.25662811177730505,
                  0.16119918533729533,
                  0.11217149654219405
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.198941927581414,
                  3.182211378207497,
                  10.57479840487436,
                  3.68076255194467,
                  4.010523063573937,
                  5.172365660600227,
                  6.40020257892824,
                  2.114419782601972
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.134590890417508,
                  3.257454258459608,
                  11.95446652225302,
                  3.2123112416029844,
                  3.7715427873017267,
                  4.553263281560126,
                  3.429057288259692,
                  3.466783459627757
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.0915158492157846,
                  3.0856397271623552,
                  10.408322112370575,
                  3.6059983591512426,
                  3.9201001067894725,
                  5.067400040706523,
                  6.207202955712948,
                  2.005222839929487
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.840649245962226,
                  2.9635126140043284,
                  11.660524877797739,
                  2.9183695971477044,
                  3.477601142846446,
                  4.259321637104846,
                  3.1351156438044105,
                  3.1728418151724775
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4516494787874416,
              "rpss": 0.023208878315341908,
              "brier_below": 0.2599038578963393,
              "bss_below": 0.02709504364443427,
              "brier_above": 0.1917456251155465,
              "bss_above": 0.017891502077368115,
              "crps": 4.7917781685390395,
              "crpss": -0.014684049903352037,
              "crps_fair": 4.673925248879799,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05542138795201601,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.094703,
                    0.724492,
                    0.180805,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.285,
                    0.3529,
                    0.4424,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.421,
                    0.4727,
                    0.4742,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.207203,
                    0.745734,
                    0.047064,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2859,
                    0.3275,
                    0.4109,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2262,
                    0.2515,
                    0.3838,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4718885247556393,
                  0.48016103768007484,
                  0.5261294503096647,
                  0.40187143693815613,
                  0.4119119637302901,
                  0.3770579273484323,
                  0.5005479661039048,
                  0.41783064293982564
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5378222423430801,
                  0.4654037630210716,
                  0.5441677934136927,
                  0.42259005509153863,
                  0.4687251558583407,
                  0.37920455236096284,
                  0.4762575897428396,
                  0.48392300807734495
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3762332344975709,
                  0.24261006850320813,
                  0.11763783233227108,
                  0.24119316966392312,
                  0.32115705533996153,
                  0.2148440282731818,
                  0.30436882120009334,
                  0.3197375425288736
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4270541912814117,
                  0.23612689903307224,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.25427588380937366,
                  0.3562146259988406,
                  0.2119324419419288,
                  0.29938211945700965,
                  0.37315495701567675
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09565530740894909,
                  0.2375509668063438,
                  0.4084915832861369,
                  0.16067827492471579,
                  0.09075492449971423,
                  0.16221390776290945,
                  0.19617915637767344,
                  0.09809311892533455
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11076807075767037,
                  0.22927686262225755,
                  0.4330566384694138,
                  0.16831418081740057,
                  0.11251054924392284,
                  0.1672721205797222,
                  0.1768754781609058,
                  0.11076807075767037
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.6189285102093933,
                  3.933378938688763,
                  12.10025126572431,
                  3.928015753152583,
                  2.2298268772531253,
                  3.3070489017651084,
                  8.77295403928759,
                  2.3905661850539945
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.500795459022275,
                  3.8833491476604167,
                  14.934177684323762,
                  3.6806433710989057,
                  3.5671376707580675,
                  3.3365612191630336,
                  3.817686724141159,
                  4.037007086746878
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.4903906484732024,
                  3.839882950635796,
                  11.878718640779303,
                  3.8408568974697532,
                  2.133770753791268,
                  3.186472384980466,
                  8.517411660502699,
                  2.2698443187051027
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  4.156168553465009,
                  3.538722242103148,
                  14.589550778766494,
                  3.336016465541637,
                  3.2225107652008003,
                  2.991934313605765,
                  3.4730598185838906,
                  3.692380181189609
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4484248687257485,
              "rpss": 0.050473916750524594,
              "brier_below": 0.2672227190423855,
              "bss_below": 0.057935597387847704,
              "brier_above": 0.18120215499897213,
              "bss_above": 0.03925177887375575,
              "crps": 5.035121308891859,
              "crpss": 0.03535635274023541,
              "crps_fair": 4.894668531917199,
              "crpss_fair": -0.004025737322473688,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.129913,
                    0.576449,
                    0.293638,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2805,
                    0.3541,
                    0.452,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3448,
                    0.5344,
                    0.5611,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.266494,
                    0.637997,
                    0.095509,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2832,
                    0.3261,
                    0.4112,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1625,
                    0.2426,
                    0.3623,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "gqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7338119561688382,
            "training": [
              0.7281253380060234,
              0.7369602123100114,
              0.7295711865684559,
              0.7350665335256769,
              0.7722106659508322,
              0.7099622466211858,
              0.7282800782963247,
              0.7260997279801981,
              0.7315949004144752,
              0.7704058539289994,
              0.7212519432531792,
              0.7335905540976309,
              0.69463839327119,
              0.7455111701599755,
              0.7273761722312462,
              0.7705055893456408,
              0.7465418483141647,
              0.7413347032866398,
              0.7355427333869261,
              0.7076630032656401,
              0.7220462219308355,
              0.7230324196474247,
              0.7389606259157298,
              0.735214826343709
            ],
            "test": 0.7636854641532849
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46370541589089476,
                  0.37161679898357697,
                  0.4225923537862824,
                  0.3550979065956684,
                  0.43444820121049926,
                  0.5381384635831434,
                  0.3918865733151503,
                  0.45321280398270525,
                  0.3765393302147419,
                  0.4596732109890421,
                  0.4785070117000482,
                  0.447348796427763,
                  0.5642231007225504,
                  0.4897478349695689,
                  0.5135382987623277,
                  0.43854438944147783,
                  0.4507768674971869,
                  0.40798134620644183,
                  0.48495599100465075,
                  0.4267647457610504,
                  0.5348576667097173,
                  0.4124176840276954,
                  0.4300113361456907,
                  0.46477386889703304
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.462562923536876,
                  0.3645173216522427,
                  0.44125991495499295,
                  0.3676651074657129,
                  0.4796288397923759,
                  0.5018388000928868,
                  0.3814774056959005,
                  0.4578573987892382,
                  0.3735878385869089,
                  0.5052606235712064,
                  0.5036551985237356,
                  0.4358799350596818,
                  0.5001476319885705,
                  0.5372757850199824,
                  0.4967176353817881,
                  0.483398419566635,
                  0.48412488872389453,
                  0.42298688230915954,
                  0.4788741887887977,
                  0.4007718021663261,
                  0.498737480732011,
                  0.40202165436042925,
                  0.44570350792032964,
                  0.4523372814100714
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3284721743525966,
                  0.18536013292316733,
                  0.15024322201258167,
                  0.22686344465717465,
                  0.15732686122284967,
                  0.38992775363376736,
                  0.2118265805365771,
                  0.16125245710197106,
                  0.13751509153851146,
                  0.12556556558036186,
                  0.12811146937651716,
                  0.17388102557465734,
                  0.3904082734249817,
                  0.11338749946109214,
                  0.36357816550394595,
                  0.3115397797674513,
                  0.1610943934446749,
                  0.22454501482806052,
                  0.29681358857157614,
                  0.17613544746555812,
                  0.3935737239992428,
                  0.25290826429941565,
                  0.16010893892471217,
                  0.2693777851214379
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33445347350698373,
                  0.18448978058131807,
                  0.15020271959428944,
                  0.23455533259135652,
                  0.16559252060812168,
                  0.3788018404246035,
                  0.19293962127510628,
                  0.15038884587226958,
                  0.13073481316379681,
                  0.1342598604859912,
                  0.1282842296352773,
                  0.16631198513422443,
                  0.3601361789689049,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.35626815432751285,
                  0.34779494441826286,
                  0.17732409124021772,
                  0.23135019401075282,
                  0.29334157497784386,
                  0.1580270900868227,
                  0.3757058539399758,
                  0.2565886947421901,
                  0.1693218745678458,
                  0.2597369379666505
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1352332417128148,
                  0.18625666521639353,
                  0.2723491323814198,
                  0.1282344610018915,
                  0.2771213387456615,
                  0.14821070974355952,
                  0.18005999265301603,
                  0.2919603484723774,
                  0.2390242378387802,
                  0.3341076447476962,
                  0.35039554254449023,
                  0.27346777087790425,
                  0.1738148284301341,
                  0.37636033538377905,
                  0.14996013207538228,
                  0.12700460902416089,
                  0.28968247512226647,
                  0.18343633125879702,
                  0.18814240117513212,
                  0.2506292984457328,
                  0.1412839421602319,
                  0.15950941989995507,
                  0.2699023970456627,
                  0.19539608351729593
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12810945002989202,
                  0.1800275410709245,
                  0.2910571953607033,
                  0.1331097748743562,
                  0.3140363192350966,
                  0.12303695966828301,
                  0.18853778442079408,
                  0.3074685529169685,
                  0.24285302547391838,
                  0.371000763085215,
                  0.37537096893986166,
                  0.26956794992545724,
                  0.1400114530196655,
                  0.41629279379655704,
                  0.14044948110508146,
                  0.1356034751238968,
                  0.30680079745918404,
                  0.19163668827393138,
                  0.18553261378647845,
                  0.242744712130419,
                  0.12303162676755988,
                  0.14543295959376396,
                  0.2763816333277958,
                  0.19260034341894555
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.1101283152085704,
                  4.007062637816525,
                  10.57826637508927,
                  2.18978773538479,
                  10.629113278468777,
                  4.774954201696609,
                  2.8969653960162933,
                  4.8660761498030105,
                  3.395749533301304,
                  18.156743369173938,
                  16.70567037307082,
                  3.8677061695682555,
                  8.356574340602418,
                  23.847343340132667,
                  5.0457122917301005,
                  2.7138082553983294,
                  12.65779887096712,
                  3.570694730758171,
                  3.970887615847384,
                  4.5491016041710415,
                  5.581805606929424,
                  4.457893645038388,
                  8.020289791094955,
                  3.3719606243444202
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.383400553071679,
                  3.6995246089032476,
                  10.375259519924272,
                  3.088176782734038,
                  15.623140866424055,
                  3.918194532764918,
                  3.2512248780442565,
                  5.3613292903859575,
                  3.3401723993300685,
                  21.29254756415035,
                  17.08930816883068,
                  4.102339013398538,
                  4.506551529947348,
                  25.32004262629813,
                  4.202143270441035,
                  3.5904825606496558,
                  13.811056598131602,
                  3.49561527327503,
                  4.117308454045926,
                  4.163338575099779,
                  4.154173639778647,
                  3.3440543501428777,
                  7.576953718515562,
                  3.8653696148339143
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.926132005317676,
                  3.7511611748344325,
                  10.354088124543747,
                  2.017135273731753,
                  10.19348172578531,
                  4.479711557081754,
                  2.7108833293402377,
                  4.6047720537557195,
                  3.1461556861470363,
                  17.8320456748702,
                  16.480039301179367,
                  3.6316030633910783,
                  7.983477732063156,
                  23.63218821075291,
                  4.791559429200213,
                  2.509254983392565,
                  12.383255972765204,
                  3.3816765385038776,
                  3.7740530060504054,
                  4.363592123060034,
                  5.313966453097841,
                  4.1905205494050035,
                  7.677855700170994,
                  3.1666924324589556
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.069144896531585,
                  3.3858676721658623,
                  10.074246020518368,
                  2.773361990265274,
                  15.332066536235006,
                  3.604951743610606,
                  2.9367188887863067,
                  5.050819710999868,
                  3.0258348712866763,
                  21.012210746646392,
                  16.801010670653753,
                  3.7894449827302754,
                  4.194423053287697,
                  25.04733364035127,
                  3.8894382629868667,
                  3.276619104881488,
                  13.516550290161696,
                  3.1815721446141088,
                  3.8044427745910094,
                  3.8505600739044343,
                  3.8413777807512575,
                  3.029724174279054,
                  7.270640397516081,
                  3.55202677848655
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45047333320103783,
              "rpss": 0.006152481566698564,
              "brier_below": 0.22874236055512012,
              "bss_below": -0.005904259692049552,
              "brier_above": 0.22173097247810566,
              "bss_above": 0.01829129398346374,
              "crps": 7.138420593817191,
              "crpss": 0.03027997060925236,
              "crps_fair": 6.887304254204143,
              "crpss_fair": 0.02371434601027267,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.154571,
                    0.669897,
                    0.159035,
                    0.016497,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2863,
                    0.3383,
                    0.4557,
                    0.5065,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3209,
                    0.3538,
                    0.362,
                    0.3254,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.111866,
                    0.616027,
                    0.271682,
                    0.000425,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2836,
                    0.3516,
                    0.4277,
                    0.5125,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2712,
                    0.3236,
                    0.4216,
                    0.4295,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43213927026032434,
                  0.3791547224799827,
                  0.36095328865231546,
                  0.3664858099255513,
                  0.43739541562092876,
                  0.4977462516860286,
                  0.36316686579978996,
                  0.4395274205435966,
                  0.42421980826102457,
                  0.482281903104268,
                  0.5444837220763047,
                  0.48880453463664364,
                  0.5589895111220857,
                  0.5243261820514153,
                  0.5271200138044538,
                  0.446546669417306,
                  0.4501973225281075,
                  0.3911348524974872,
                  0.4833262422542205,
                  0.42600847952265064,
                  0.4478175894778147,
                  0.45498483412516544,
                  0.4405265581042266,
                  0.4386942114433315
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4612583059027846,
                  0.3632558141399608,
                  0.354883769652867,
                  0.3845191290006187,
                  0.5442138095123802,
                  0.47392048384293584,
                  0.33694866035330306,
                  0.4142191822653953,
                  0.37845219617751535,
                  0.4951720237139347,
                  0.5339101528063047,
                  0.4478677808815762,
                  0.5122698412139367,
                  0.546319606847996,
                  0.5151171329099498,
                  0.5367285468048282,
                  0.4864254362866427,
                  0.45042529340514065,
                  0.45228609740130155,
                  0.40382417319303954,
                  0.47274140836269934,
                  0.4335462466444369,
                  0.43507035514007947,
                  0.4346226259811788
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.31515237159681037,
                  0.16252240217596278,
                  0.18530889442895998,
                  0.24775474536819508,
                  0.10607581256014492,
                  0.34540043092432654,
                  0.20020756038947668,
                  0.16378239321476826,
                  0.17822549173132657,
                  0.14602846019177226,
                  0.14331577708366502,
                  0.17527193509602984,
                  0.38570873672653916,
                  0.1278187401874397,
                  0.3528128907755125,
                  0.3434225795735499,
                  0.2095531258440873,
                  0.28928675601633724,
                  0.20970733944687808,
                  0.15996847075738457,
                  0.32762535216399435,
                  0.31392196636323494,
                  0.21904769526471643,
                  0.2083449030577538
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3406488402474111,
                  0.15585229033150771,
                  0.1733474973115743,
                  0.2607321626770492,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.35118589057225497,
                  0.15964704360397033,
                  0.13793336355887106,
                  0.13634373895712082,
                  0.1384011735129149,
                  0.12098299127445332,
                  0.14645923116637555,
                  0.36837280991055965,
                  0.12098299127445333,
                  0.34820491159145306,
                  0.4161190810910467,
                  0.23546533423622354,
                  0.32875690367129495,
                  0.18568689656698428,
                  0.13104510989535922,
                  0.3521319426489182,
                  0.3129367809306557,
                  0.21062232617609924,
                  0.19696310869600517
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.11698689926503215,
                  0.21663232021296994,
                  0.1756443944773978,
                  0.11873106407847335,
                  0.33131959978414044,
                  0.1523458210762855,
                  0.16295930597130923,
                  0.2757450283669105,
                  0.24599431504589034,
                  0.33625344202378876,
                  0.4011679440655281,
                  0.31353259839410963,
                  0.17328077527707741,
                  0.39650744086143225,
                  0.17430712249882102,
                  0.10312409008829056,
                  0.24064419721205216,
                  0.10184809579219466,
                  0.2736189021085312,
                  0.2660400078325697,
                  0.12019223635965776,
                  0.1410628686282697,
                  0.22147886249816717,
                  0.23034930811029097
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.20740352380845312,
                  0.18153627234129263,
                  0.1237869663235696,
                  0.42323081835917165,
                  0.12273459327068108,
                  0.17730161674933273,
                  0.27628581870652447,
                  0.24210845734163935,
                  0.35677085020102,
                  0.4129271616552412,
                  0.3014085497152008,
                  0.1438970313033771,
                  0.4253366156954207,
                  0.1669122214397413,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.2509601019920115,
                  0.12166838967543823,
                  0.2665992007759097,
                  0.27277906341892527,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.22444802890557244,
                  0.2376595172267659
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.918509358995672,
                  5.131718296174505,
                  3.8599499030841113,
                  2.5293707228343543,
                  15.258894680104191,
                  5.734211031972531,
                  3.360272125469797,
                  4.357359378246823,
                  3.254974300267641,
                  26.609991412619028,
                  26.121353581025456,
                  3.904426197100066,
                  9.162303733440188,
                  24.468493376198474,
                  6.035985477547289,
                  2.3978115917683804,
                  13.8669853980573,
                  2.756521412243936,
                  6.482418139968328,
                  5.142037989429272,
                  5.005543979629299,
                  5.210613732503103,
                  6.421463042448952,
                  3.5649742874983614
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.5039629006286863,
                  4.404502123435348,
                  3.7921098904802375,
                  3.7427483154181247,
                  27.430818422751024,
                  4.09357752958828,
                  3.618553854597303,
                  4.403186407306274,
                  3.33544948423942,
                  30.38912596968953,
                  26.15657705190127,
                  3.9490911747156954,
                  4.915805626371291,
                  26.102456598508446,
                  4.555869648555982,
                  4.319504515985746,
                  15.066223249131706,
                  3.332735441447136,
                  6.022796968020984,
                  5.2148566721483,
                  4.335017286452637,
                  3.630233609951502,
                  6.294926309868744,
                  4.525624967226858
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.746977285944039,
                  4.814234293072815,
                  3.595982379594433,
                  2.3181435626168887,
                  14.655694731706605,
                  5.360682809639087,
                  3.1769207113683864,
                  4.079009045953871,
                  2.9686472776037145,
                  26.24310861364494,
                  25.8838763658304,
                  3.643332384142093,
                  8.710632443559701,
                  24.221569930086346,
                  5.759330311781972,
                  2.1823721045267286,
                  13.58626587282739,
                  2.565778668102031,
                  6.247084955580724,
                  4.910776456444504,
                  4.695992263690032,
                  4.922673476875716,
                  5.907606999516837,
                  3.3482858771517603
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.134642569756797,
                  4.0368873592733205,
                  3.423335292543674,
                  3.3738802296500032,
                  27.106814106125587,
                  3.7253738930894196,
                  3.249450552047323,
                  4.035569151257637,
                  2.965809999169824,
                  30.070724508266622,
                  25.830159399346183,
                  3.580613889817456,
                  4.549159240055732,
                  25.77593644509466,
                  4.188541565312743,
                  3.9517287715065783,
                  14.718801138616833,
                  2.963090816144978,
                  5.6582471562161265,
                  4.848776670389135,
                  3.9672709222205658,
                  3.261152428150299,
                  5.930891894544658,
                  4.158239602390194
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45025131164145926,
              "rpss": 0.005701748623135994,
              "brier_below": 0.22984436795578608,
              "bss_below": -0.01219482435566488,
              "brier_above": 0.2204069433345496,
              "bss_above": 0.023702741766551294,
              "crps": 8.064840964526129,
              "crpss": 0.06555879709973111,
              "crps_fair": 7.772707450885875,
              "crpss_fair": 0.060250940274422016,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.11528,
                    0.546576,
                    0.302151,
                    0.035992,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2855,
                    0.3401,
                    0.461,
                    0.5064,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2887,
                    0.3516,
                    0.3678,
                    0.324,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.197662,
                    0.577399,
                    0.224068,
                    0.000871,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2826,
                    0.3469,
                    0.4282,
                    0.5144,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2782,
                    0.3227,
                    0.4551,
                    0.5002,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.521323160722289,
                  0.4778444116705916,
                  0.4697511538145944,
                  0.4038345431511198,
                  0.427395126995898,
                  0.4121803150775473,
                  0.5173768500524393,
                  0.4576997711517594
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5242304582543107,
                  0.45938853305268146,
                  0.5017174223148171,
                  0.4051068144553075,
                  0.4317667029427126,
                  0.41531527803354223,
                  0.4728878323138167,
                  0.48863351023117646
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3956510907470924,
                  0.28066630241101653,
                  0.1221096988224169,
                  0.2296541731829902,
                  0.2504574694678961,
                  0.15913565512404088,
                  0.3265959573593104,
                  0.3468258771852678
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.40795993245117856,
                  0.27227812780818744,
                  0.12370712310234608,
                  0.2309306977016834,
                  0.2554229422765291,
                  0.15868716024439758,
                  0.31168865779035276,
                  0.37646203326964833
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1256720891464553,
                  0.19717811593593162,
                  0.34764142993186886,
                  0.17418037763770242,
                  0.17693766451025172,
                  0.2530446541139792,
                  0.1907809065394858,
                  0.11087391289604984
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11627054465083109,
                  0.1871104114792495,
                  0.37801027156074746,
                  0.17417612530121018,
                  0.17634376877195204,
                  0.25662811177730505,
                  0.16119918533729533,
                  0.11217149654219405
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.8287139975053837,
                  3.405603597322708,
                  9.92992897077741,
                  3.7172139953364542,
                  4.233593284507313,
                  5.042757689148614,
                  6.532179323786547,
                  2.4843645427064636
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.134590890417508,
                  3.257454258459608,
                  11.95446652225302,
                  3.2123112416029844,
                  3.7715427873017267,
                  4.553263281560126,
                  3.429057288259692,
                  3.466783459627757
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.7226557014063837,
                  3.3060226780033295,
                  9.769236924209636,
                  3.636302861183491,
                  4.138659788419584,
                  4.93435754495651,
                  6.349956887781981,
                  2.374776886901261
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.840649245962226,
                  2.9635126140043284,
                  11.660524877797739,
                  2.9183695971477044,
                  3.477601142846446,
                  4.259321637104846,
                  3.1351156438044105,
                  3.1728418151724775
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4609256665795299,
              "rpss": 0.003147086363942897,
              "brier_below": 0.26388702803750386,
              "bss_below": 0.012184737950195146,
              "brier_above": 0.1970386438389656,
              "bss_above": -0.009218992176678098,
              "crps": 4.8967944251363615,
              "crpss": -0.03692179063381418,
              "crps_fair": 4.7789961591077725,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07914750251338343,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.125777,
                    0.704823,
                    0.1694,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2824,
                    0.338,
                    0.4449,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4368,
                    0.4675,
                    0.494,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.171679,
                    0.701854,
                    0.126467,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2831,
                    0.347,
                    0.4184,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2489,
                    0.2381,
                    0.3371,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4994718169555531,
                  0.480750102225996,
                  0.5079485771995993,
                  0.40535541298386446,
                  0.434425947366646,
                  0.37906287364668334,
                  0.5053052310732706,
                  0.4336254592550472
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5378222423430801,
                  0.4654037630210716,
                  0.5441677934136927,
                  0.42259005509153863,
                  0.4687251558583407,
                  0.37920455236096284,
                  0.4762575897428396,
                  0.48392300807734495
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.39106078536684197,
                  0.2442176556508196,
                  0.11690735795512373,
                  0.23815506876269624,
                  0.33029624374137656,
                  0.21300612677072553,
                  0.3050704779923307,
                  0.32666708455949733
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4270541912814117,
                  0.23612689903307224,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.25427588380937366,
                  0.3562146259988406,
                  0.2119324419419288,
                  0.29938211945700965,
                  0.37315495701567675
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10841105000764063,
                  0.23653244527815553,
                  0.39104118487054385,
                  0.16720035265208807,
                  0.10412972087853184,
                  0.16605675639632425,
                  0.2002347643021263,
                  0.10695839317450222
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11076807075767037,
                  0.22927686262225755,
                  0.4330566384694138,
                  0.16831418081740057,
                  0.11251054924392284,
                  0.1672721205797222,
                  0.1768754781609058,
                  0.11076807075767037
                ],
                "crps": [
                  4.26706407942598,
                  3.94693082720108,
                  11.23911806704732,
                  3.8634184641827334,
                  2.6696411095458212,
                  3.4464512709893884,
                  8.501150750981806,
                  2.802510763675696
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.500795459022275,
                  3.8833491476604167,
                  14.934177684323762,
                  3.6806433710989057,
                  3.5671376707580675,
                  3.3365612191630336,
                  3.817686724141159,
                  4.037007086746878
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  4.1438307199248126,
                  3.850356037717716,
                  11.016909510535976,
                  3.7714027576765057,
                  2.566272539409569,
                  3.3215927711727273,
                  8.258327450073539,
                  2.6840497579011493
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  4.156168553465009,
                  3.538722242103148,
                  14.589550778766494,
                  3.336016465541637,
                  3.2225107652008003,
                  2.991934313605765,
                  3.4730598185838906,
                  3.692380181189609
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4557431775883325,
              "rpss": 0.034977619299302654,
              "brier_below": 0.27067260009992644,
              "bss_below": 0.045773419900836165,
              "brier_above": 0.18507058344498908,
              "bss_above": 0.018741063931728585,
              "crps": 5.0920356666312285,
              "crpss": 0.024452529324065164,
              "crps_fair": 4.9515926930514995,
              "crpss_fair": -0.015702385594290824,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.142749,
                    0.549092,
                    0.308159,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2785,
                    0.3404,
                    0.4495,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.326,
                    0.5413,
                    0.5642,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.23838,
                    0.61837,
                    0.14325,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2811,
                    0.3418,
                    0.4209,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1852,
                    0.2064,
                    0.425,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8256068952235331,
            "training": [
              0.822968041169692,
              0.8283145946356175,
              0.8199178159799831,
              0.8204866493762722,
              0.8694915033115493,
              0.7907546446534683,
              0.8152497239475567,
              0.8253423762586125,
              0.825037871885425,
              0.8644415270676286,
              0.8122055861946617,
              0.8197579124710103,
              0.7624269799560698,
              0.8491315206255019,
              0.8219038882554058,
              0.8639957270555915,
              0.8379722095458779,
              0.8350664625797287,
              0.8348673546283725,
              0.8146380691696451,
              0.8065240837809559,
              0.8221710771362298,
              0.8284265880849286,
              0.8234732775950101
            ],
            "test": 0.8488287336861473
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4402306428585011,
                  0.3723354017542629,
                  0.44363956193033643,
                  0.3530574775168518,
                  0.4550486618490564,
                  0.5281655555969651,
                  0.3926974195762375,
                  0.46384468091001635,
                  0.390536913181261,
                  0.47414585062855474,
                  0.5266126384450842,
                  0.4570768013806638,
                  0.5752999656171764,
                  0.5251879963895263,
                  0.48798972674540897,
                  0.4310433959733801,
                  0.4543061330366892,
                  0.4115981733550561,
                  0.45456843019158233,
                  0.43138189524480375,
                  0.5091686184406641,
                  0.3935258118089129,
                  0.4393211931882417,
                  0.45803301229859666
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.462562923536876,
                  0.3645173216522427,
                  0.44125991495499295,
                  0.3676651074657129,
                  0.4796288397923759,
                  0.5018388000928868,
                  0.3814774056959005,
                  0.4578573987892382,
                  0.3735878385869089,
                  0.5052606235712064,
                  0.5036551985237356,
                  0.4358799350596818,
                  0.5001476319885705,
                  0.5372757850199824,
                  0.4967176353817881,
                  0.483398419566635,
                  0.48412488872389453,
                  0.42298688230915954,
                  0.4788741887887977,
                  0.4007718021663261,
                  0.498737480732011,
                  0.40202165436042925,
                  0.44570350792032964,
                  0.4523372814100714
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3197225077792232,
                  0.19379120949453732,
                  0.1557946316272496,
                  0.23412563140016615,
                  0.16111653678433216,
                  0.38882937310728105,
                  0.21129181443503012,
                  0.1582852114531887,
                  0.1421014008463078,
                  0.1243882784219415,
                  0.13967976755267494,
                  0.1790413990891027,
                  0.40161030671017234,
                  0.11853427423277564,
                  0.34926427666858595,
                  0.3069576555086371,
                  0.15711344829704182,
                  0.22903464617064317,
                  0.27388778507396105,
                  0.18489994016342529,
                  0.3828023799724364,
                  0.24566559951401246,
                  0.16542825399941039,
                  0.2655505181971997
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33445347350698373,
                  0.18448978058131807,
                  0.15020271959428944,
                  0.23455533259135652,
                  0.16559252060812168,
                  0.3788018404246035,
                  0.19293962127510628,
                  0.15038884587226958,
                  0.13073481316379681,
                  0.1342598604859912,
                  0.1282842296352773,
                  0.16631198513422443,
                  0.3601361789689049,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.35626815432751285,
                  0.34779494441826286,
                  0.17732409124021772,
                  0.23135019401075282,
                  0.29334157497784386,
                  0.1580270900868227,
                  0.3757058539399758,
                  0.2565886947421901,
                  0.1693218745678458,
                  0.2597369379666505
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12050813449860606,
                  0.17854419229909127,
                  0.2878449313953712,
                  0.11893184670402528,
                  0.2939321239917198,
                  0.13933618260536815,
                  0.18140560569860018,
                  0.30555946978940307,
                  0.24843551219503232,
                  0.3497575717302016,
                  0.386932871677172,
                  0.2780354023850256,
                  0.17368965980944118,
                  0.4066537231991623,
                  0.13872544921878785,
                  0.12408574130885487,
                  0.29719268554382144,
                  0.18256352723709324,
                  0.18068064512773585,
                  0.2464819547453431,
                  0.12636623791951695,
                  0.14786021191602064,
                  0.27389293899195977,
                  0.19248249412213317
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12810945002989202,
                  0.1800275410709245,
                  0.2910571953607033,
                  0.1331097748743562,
                  0.3140363192350966,
                  0.12303695966828301,
                  0.18853778442079408,
                  0.3074685529169685,
                  0.24285302547391838,
                  0.371000763085215,
                  0.37537096893986166,
                  0.26956794992545724,
                  0.1400114530196655,
                  0.41629279379655704,
                  0.14044948110508146,
                  0.1356034751238968,
                  0.30680079745918404,
                  0.19163668827393138,
                  0.18553261378647845,
                  0.242744712130419,
                  0.12303162676755988,
                  0.14543295959376396,
                  0.2763816333277958,
                  0.19260034341894555
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.410152665722437,
                  4.335346325824093,
                  10.984006612362547,
                  2.386056322501389,
                  11.631858222252367,
                  4.602330814464295,
                  3.344317917088852,
                  5.409123383624844,
                  3.8473297083396294,
                  17.97869077377769,
                  17.80226821461104,
                  4.236853382054314,
                  9.225310922955021,
                  24.323167311266474,
                  4.624633621482783,
                  2.620545138837944,
                  12.839524645467042,
                  3.9502572108046783,
                  4.150071527500425,
                  5.2075428818204506,
                  5.208827744711179,
                  4.237921304751269,
                  8.236516616897205,
                  3.323170508893401
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.383400553071679,
                  3.6995246089032476,
                  10.375259519924272,
                  3.088176782734038,
                  15.623140866424055,
                  3.918194532764918,
                  3.2512248780442565,
                  5.3613292903859575,
                  3.3401723993300685,
                  21.29254756415035,
                  17.08930816883068,
                  4.102339013398538,
                  4.506551529947348,
                  25.32004262629813,
                  4.202143270441035,
                  3.5904825606496558,
                  13.811056598131602,
                  3.49561527327503,
                  4.117308454045926,
                  4.163338575099779,
                  4.154173639778647,
                  3.3440543501428777,
                  7.576953718515562,
                  3.8653696148339143
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.2181210644674443,
                  4.058457002834838,
                  10.748326981720993,
                  2.2116487949669685,
                  11.147929078311302,
                  4.302718150483185,
                  3.166484751506973,
                  5.126886089465192,
                  3.580473158119297,
                  17.623086864336887,
                  17.566181507409883,
                  3.9775213782040684,
                  8.817591909337365,
                  24.091929179322225,
                  4.353942110198968,
                  2.4215507566682666,
                  12.533896161894958,
                  3.7758195017394933,
                  3.9561671880568214,
                  5.012345501253304,
                  4.937385464039089,
                  3.939940352989512,
                  7.86281258551433,
                  3.115461484407304
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.069144896531585,
                  3.3858676721658623,
                  10.074246020518368,
                  2.773361990265274,
                  15.332066536235006,
                  3.604951743610606,
                  2.9367188887863067,
                  5.050819710999868,
                  3.0258348712866763,
                  21.012210746646392,
                  16.801010670653753,
                  3.7894449827302754,
                  4.194423053287697,
                  25.04733364035127,
                  3.8894382629868667,
                  3.276619104881488,
                  13.516550290161696,
                  3.1815721446141088,
                  3.8044427745910094,
                  3.8505600739044343,
                  3.8413777807512575,
                  3.029724174279054,
                  7.270640397516081,
                  3.55202677848655
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4528673315799096,
              "rpss": 0.0008707719234926081,
              "brier_below": 0.228704868604139,
              "bss_below": -0.005739387242956306,
              "brier_above": 0.22416246308789525,
              "bss_above": 0.007525926053353782,
              "crps": 7.37149265741714,
              "crpss": -0.0013817457877982608,
              "crps_fair": 7.106111542385361,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0073019135530132395,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.128059,
                    0.609994,
                    0.261947,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.287,
                    0.3508,
                    0.4202,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3819,
                    0.3369,
                    0.3629,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    3e-05,
                    0.020487,
                    0.877389,
                    0.102093,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1955,
                    0.2906,
                    0.3399,
                    0.4336,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.2508,
                    0.3424,
                    0.3799,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4243176367929219,
                  0.3779884350853134,
                  0.36352199771155413,
                  0.3657469049427949,
                  0.4873233008547106,
                  0.49165208132083743,
                  0.35964463931777874,
                  0.44254717378724334,
                  0.42592255930640033,
                  0.48677493807313627,
                  0.5861140576334075,
                  0.4868383238841583,
                  0.5692084201712,
                  0.5421117565273004,
                  0.5178451145955606,
                  0.45998535255650447,
                  0.45471408040410416,
                  0.3887297406349964,
                  0.4787534839551379,
                  0.4334081370413322,
                  0.4427139557622186,
                  0.4373131988021795,
                  0.4420652173793423,
                  0.46162796071365114
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4612583059027846,
                  0.3632558141399608,
                  0.354883769652867,
                  0.3845191290006187,
                  0.5442138095123802,
                  0.47392048384293584,
                  0.33694866035330306,
                  0.4142191822653953,
                  0.37845219617751535,
                  0.4951720237139347,
                  0.5339101528063047,
                  0.4478677808815762,
                  0.5122698412139367,
                  0.546319606847996,
                  0.5151171329099498,
                  0.5367285468048282,
                  0.4864254362866427,
                  0.45042529340514065,
                  0.45228609740130155,
                  0.40382417319303954,
                  0.47274140836269934,
                  0.4335462466444369,
                  0.43507035514007947,
                  0.4346226259811788
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3147157185516049,
                  0.1635297741187936,
                  0.18685874539320885,
                  0.25309871231851766,
                  0.11594485611406193,
                  0.34431332086671945,
                  0.19165400450899525,
                  0.16461017733805094,
                  0.17551250172504748,
                  0.14108198498882235,
                  0.14931892965144478,
                  0.17171228421715878,
                  0.3983547770393844,
                  0.12470669170665352,
                  0.3479412118647698,
                  0.3541106921343113,
                  0.21217027142931563,
                  0.28828714051376425,
                  0.20464984813170603,
                  0.16064894775856942,
                  0.32895967109330326,
                  0.3106681324449352,
                  0.22016225708059867,
                  0.21796201092985815
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3406488402474111,
                  0.15585229033150771,
                  0.1733474973115743,
                  0.2607321626770492,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.35118589057225497,
                  0.15964704360397033,
                  0.13793336355887106,
                  0.13634373895712082,
                  0.1384011735129149,
                  0.12098299127445332,
                  0.14645923116637555,
                  0.36837280991055965,
                  0.12098299127445333,
                  0.34820491159145306,
                  0.4161190810910467,
                  0.23546533423622354,
                  0.32875690367129495,
                  0.18568689656698428,
                  0.13104510989535922,
                  0.3521319426489182,
                  0.3129367809306557,
                  0.21062232617609924,
                  0.19696310869600517
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10960191801931428,
                  0.21445866084463186,
                  0.1766632524381615,
                  0.11264819323545872,
                  0.3713784417965483,
                  0.1473387613949042,
                  0.16799063558639304,
                  0.2779369964477746,
                  0.25041005672448796,
                  0.3456929528844894,
                  0.4367951280443542,
                  0.3151260390130791,
                  0.17085364403911665,
                  0.41740506469333616,
                  0.16990390159055327,
                  0.10587466148035872,
                  0.2425438098698853,
                  0.10044260096281538,
                  0.27410363509676366,
                  0.2727591890929191,
                  0.11375428416766252,
                  0.126645066069595,
                  0.2219029597030323,
                  0.2436659500101634
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.20740352380845312,
                  0.18153627234129263,
                  0.1237869663235696,
                  0.42323081835917165,
                  0.12273459327068108,
                  0.17730161674933273,
                  0.27628581870652447,
                  0.24210845734163935,
                  0.35677085020102,
                  0.4129271616552412,
                  0.3014085497152008,
                  0.1438970313033771,
                  0.4253366156954207,
                  0.1669122214397413,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.2509601019920115,
                  0.12166838967543823,
                  0.2665992007759097,
                  0.27277906341892527,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.22444802890557244,
                  0.2376595172267659
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.2150102285751294,
                  5.554686835193268,
                  4.208947499854186,
                  2.3262037099790414,
                  15.76559741539257,
                  5.613228148176924,
                  3.9349379811178884,
                  4.957530358580279,
                  3.8404195718215233,
                  25.916935361871953,
                  27.34613145708489,
                  4.374870274156224,
                  9.91175525552828,
                  25.351102933702798,
                  5.699675686013663,
                  2.1385079645202305,
                  14.129468573983432,
                  2.786727302189232,
                  7.386840272465048,
                  5.912466424310275,
                  4.469148590645663,
                  4.666313622984904,
                  6.73433722736884,
                  3.8736300332718154
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.5039629006286863,
                  4.404502123435348,
                  3.7921098904802375,
                  3.7427483154181247,
                  27.430818422751024,
                  4.09357752958828,
                  3.618553854597303,
                  4.403186407306274,
                  3.33544948423942,
                  30.38912596968953,
                  26.15657705190127,
                  3.9490911747156954,
                  4.915805626371291,
                  26.102456598508446,
                  4.555869648555982,
                  4.319504515985746,
                  15.066223249131706,
                  3.332735441447136,
                  6.022796968020984,
                  5.2148566721483,
                  4.335017286452637,
                  3.630233609951502,
                  6.294926309868744,
                  4.525624967226858
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.0292067705937455,
                  5.191971903882406,
                  3.926101840455457,
                  2.1067018481739046,
                  15.136999377983562,
                  5.238556489898965,
                  3.747230240878483,
                  4.666648248551741,
                  3.548823373382289,
                  25.51612729898841,
                  27.104363883081014,
                  4.087214342407034,
                  9.430027239521655,
                  25.08619159317805,
                  5.388416673655599,
                  1.9164341611251905,
                  13.817702273377815,
                  2.6195819236415105,
                  7.15030320587527,
                  5.661545447939353,
                  4.156013543182819,
                  4.349874766617853,
                  6.190638380645105,
                  3.650958863997932
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.134642569756797,
                  4.0368873592733205,
                  3.423335292543674,
                  3.3738802296500032,
                  27.106814106125587,
                  3.7253738930894196,
                  3.249450552047323,
                  4.035569151257637,
                  2.965809999169824,
                  30.070724508266622,
                  25.830159399346183,
                  3.580613889817456,
                  4.549159240055732,
                  25.77593644509466,
                  4.188541565312743,
                  3.9517287715065783,
                  14.718801138616833,
                  2.963090816144978,
                  5.6582471562161265,
                  4.848776670389135,
                  3.9672709222205658,
                  3.261152428150299,
                  5.930891894544658,
                  4.158239602390194
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4552861861355743,
              "rpss": -0.0054168573108475115,
              "brier_below": 0.2308738609133165,
              "bss_below": -0.01672853319782952,
              "brier_above": 0.22441232513357492,
              "bss_above": 0.005960817626570747,
              "crps": 8.296436363699502,
              "crpss": 0.038724754823926455,
              "crps_fair": 7.988234737126466,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0341928947517236,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.068346,
                    0.530304,
                    0.40135,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2859,
                    0.3529,
                    0.4219,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.515,
                    0.3256,
                    0.3497,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    7.2e-05,
                    0.017606,
                    0.896755,
                    0.085567,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1955,
                    0.2846,
                    0.3357,
                    0.4334,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.264,
                    0.3341,
                    0.4602,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48579097999312837,
                  0.4503751799004659,
                  0.48840837359280076,
                  0.3975244469742655,
                  0.4149789283472097,
                  0.4275558558670086,
                  0.5093790133257378,
                  0.4483061282661118
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5242304582543107,
                  0.45938853305268146,
                  0.5017174223148171,
                  0.4051068144553075,
                  0.4317667029427126,
                  0.41531527803354223,
                  0.4728878323138167,
                  0.48863351023117646
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3767586407133861,
                  0.26449538936348077,
                  0.12385083860213852,
                  0.22839072968862947,
                  0.24373895567499806,
                  0.16749709673368274,
                  0.3285584825930477,
                  0.34432028383747343
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.40795993245117856,
                  0.27227812780818744,
                  0.12370712310234608,
                  0.2309306977016834,
                  0.2554229422765291,
                  0.15868716024439758,
                  0.31168865779035276,
                  0.37646203326964833
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10903235706126646,
                  0.185879796006304,
                  0.36455750885952476,
                  0.16913372463048823,
                  0.1712399793851055,
                  0.2600587523764738,
                  0.18082054296348596,
                  0.10398586323505857
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11627054465083109,
                  0.1871104114792495,
                  0.37801027156074746,
                  0.17417612530121018,
                  0.17634376877195204,
                  0.25662811177730505,
                  0.16119918533729533,
                  0.11217149654219405
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.048687041548204,
                  3.2300488728839523,
                  10.516006557461894,
                  4.071503007764231,
                  4.161086839947084,
                  5.298658322109888,
                  6.9581411098320745,
                  2.0915424546142205
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.134590890417508,
                  3.257454258459608,
                  11.95446652225302,
                  3.2123112416029844,
                  3.7715427873017267,
                  4.553263281560126,
                  3.429057288259692,
                  3.466783459627757
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.941862755371759,
                  3.13033531957647,
                  10.342809134000465,
                  3.9922781437979853,
                  4.069342358000104,
                  5.194261653712873,
                  6.760117401986788,
                  1.983981572798709
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.840649245962226,
                  2.9635126140043284,
                  11.660524877797739,
                  2.9183695971477044,
                  3.477601142846446,
                  4.259321637104846,
                  3.1351156438044105,
                  3.1728418151724775
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45278986328334103,
              "rpss": 0.020742546562027453,
              "brier_below": 0.2597013021508546,
              "bss_below": 0.02785327590122122,
              "brier_above": 0.1930885655647134,
              "bss_above": 0.011013049301529909,
              "crps": 4.9219592757701935,
              "crpss": -0.04225057916663877,
              "crps_fair": 4.8018735424056445,
              "crpss_fair": -0.084313455828263,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.135128,
                    0.764665,
                    0.100207,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2872,
                    0.3644,
                    0.4092,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4632,
                    0.4596,
                    0.5394,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.058182,
                    0.89794,
                    0.043879,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2938,
                    0.3255,
                    0.4207,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2532,
                    0.253,
                    0.2407,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4787890485354962,
                  0.4662782212735858,
                  0.5154603863609428,
                  0.4044611174634561,
                  0.41775502382466645,
                  0.37899981055585114,
                  0.5022171238734299,
                  0.44662304630436717
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5378222423430801,
                  0.4654037630210716,
                  0.5441677934136927,
                  0.42259005509153863,
                  0.4687251558583407,
                  0.37920455236096284,
                  0.4762575897428396,
                  0.48392300807734495
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3776071955710798,
                  0.23443316101972936,
                  0.11016243372949194,
                  0.24142423913408917,
                  0.31827803978336794,
                  0.2148227316874259,
                  0.3076388273502561,
                  0.3404920191929689
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4270541912814117,
                  0.23612689903307224,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.25427588380937366,
                  0.3562146259988406,
                  0.2119324419419288,
                  0.29938211945700965,
                  0.37315495701567675
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10118187132884711,
                  0.2318450582502114,
                  0.40529791849558794,
                  0.1630368867733986,
                  0.09947700175310173,
                  0.16417708808985038,
                  0.19457830607545218,
                  0.10613104620356295
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11076807075767037,
                  0.22927686262225755,
                  0.4330566384694138,
                  0.16831418081740057,
                  0.11251054924392284,
                  0.1672721205797222,
                  0.1768754781609058,
                  0.11076807075767037
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.382003235617535,
                  3.992756912594324,
                  12.15820627312961,
                  4.27180563661193,
                  2.1973097911672825,
                  3.3617721458437555,
                  9.418706267941612,
                  2.3785723853395817
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.500795459022275,
                  3.8833491476604167,
                  14.934177684323762,
                  3.6806433710989057,
                  3.5671376707580675,
                  3.3365612191630336,
                  3.817686724141159,
                  4.037007086746878
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.252977219392539,
                  3.894166401736586,
                  11.91979061706011,
                  4.176184547825921,
                  2.0967662916834,
                  3.2409002088507495,
                  9.159121447879683,
                  2.256334745790021
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  4.156168553465009,
                  3.538722242103148,
                  14.589550778766494,
                  3.336016465541637,
                  3.2225107652008003,
                  2.991934313605765,
                  3.4730598185838906,
                  3.692380181189609
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45132297227397444,
              "rpss": 0.04433727022862666,
              "brier_below": 0.2681073309335511,
              "bss_below": 0.05481699513808025,
              "brier_above": 0.18321564712125152,
              "bss_above": 0.02857608368269915,
              "crps": 5.145141581030703,
              "crpss": 0.014278338909445631,
              "crps_fair": 4.999530185027377,
              "crpss_fair": -0.025535630769652595,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.158549,
                    0.647108,
                    0.194342,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2873,
                    0.3699,
                    0.4093,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3358,
                    0.5493,
                    0.5606,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.054784,
                    0.8733,
                    0.071915,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2929,
                    0.3246,
                    0.4207,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3057,
                    0.2199,
                    0.3322,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "qdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7692034534596265,
            "training": [
              0.7545256247338682,
              0.7717718992829252,
              0.7638369643667389,
              0.7695318069124285,
              0.8104709093531484,
              0.741805517719978,
              0.7601162228939535,
              0.7504698920693145,
              0.7712942413316929,
              0.8060341208503076,
              0.7710836662488155,
              0.7672455269152678,
              0.7149053602977004,
              0.8108996886081017,
              0.7599619031680364,
              0.8109377120098683,
              0.7766121075049203,
              0.7765708354644412,
              0.7764734313071063,
              0.7573911346031326,
              0.7461971666375792,
              0.7519554681964873,
              0.772066950786254,
              0.7687247317689705
            ],
            "test": 0.7994661998989318
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43833637458874986,
                  0.37167436069989346,
                  0.44201192910368947,
                  0.3489379729998951,
                  0.4695346991720031,
                  0.49508650295341794,
                  0.39434938598387687,
                  0.4901758010019971,
                  0.393065690195626,
                  0.47716865998323826,
                  0.5158773719302299,
                  0.45745037411171313,
                  0.5460598590899809,
                  0.5174210394775834,
                  0.4851979193453286,
                  0.41433199605800625,
                  0.4624319106928669,
                  0.41214607844855156,
                  0.45155464554776353,
                  0.44471789061447936,
                  0.5000164143891287,
                  0.40645251452677505,
                  0.4374244068846594,
                  0.44656922035461133
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.462562923536876,
                  0.3645173216522427,
                  0.44125991495499295,
                  0.3676651074657129,
                  0.4796288397923759,
                  0.5018388000928868,
                  0.3814774056959005,
                  0.4578573987892382,
                  0.3735878385869089,
                  0.5052606235712064,
                  0.5036551985237356,
                  0.4358799350596818,
                  0.5001476319885705,
                  0.5372757850199824,
                  0.4967176353817881,
                  0.483398419566635,
                  0.48412488872389453,
                  0.42298688230915954,
                  0.4788741887887977,
                  0.4007718021663261,
                  0.498737480732011,
                  0.40202165436042925,
                  0.44570350792032964,
                  0.4523372814100714
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3159885560495718,
                  0.19527140542305402,
                  0.15891845871010937,
                  0.23385479640978463,
                  0.17072473134230143,
                  0.36261810349801793,
                  0.2155153888764163,
                  0.1803931550198918,
                  0.14995705336371637,
                  0.13352863291971234,
                  0.1374647367995961,
                  0.176881696864506,
                  0.3769167552478988,
                  0.12288980378010539,
                  0.3465036093512867,
                  0.2950079146872854,
                  0.1686571051973826,
                  0.23108519865218902,
                  0.2721670048075829,
                  0.19072928373683293,
                  0.37142643137352616,
                  0.25386755051753285,
                  0.1678427742627484,
                  0.2587125113527796
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33445347350698373,
                  0.18448978058131807,
                  0.15020271959428944,
                  0.23455533259135652,
                  0.16559252060812168,
                  0.3788018404246035,
                  0.19293962127510628,
                  0.15038884587226958,
                  0.13073481316379681,
                  0.1342598604859912,
                  0.1282842296352773,
                  0.16631198513422443,
                  0.3601361789689049,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.35626815432751285,
                  0.34779494441826286,
                  0.17732409124021772,
                  0.23135019401075282,
                  0.29334157497784386,
                  0.1580270900868227,
                  0.3757058539399758,
                  0.2565886947421901,
                  0.1693218745678458,
                  0.2597369379666505
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12234781778604033,
                  0.17640295502708028,
                  0.28309347181658806,
                  0.11508317710087117,
                  0.29880996689080286,
                  0.13246839908798214,
                  0.17883399794796412,
                  0.3097826460876163,
                  0.24310863647202047,
                  0.343640027075136,
                  0.378412636695223,
                  0.2805686771156675,
                  0.16914310400942975,
                  0.39453123628424563,
                  0.13869430917602618,
                  0.11932408252424194,
                  0.29377480676704004,
                  0.1810608799410635,
                  0.17938764055241413,
                  0.2539886069376314,
                  0.12858998218970916,
                  0.15258496335360183,
                  0.2695816325798071,
                  0.18785670855776793
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12810945002989202,
                  0.1800275410709245,
                  0.2910571953607033,
                  0.1331097748743562,
                  0.3140363192350966,
                  0.12303695966828301,
                  0.18853778442079408,
                  0.3074685529169685,
                  0.24285302547391838,
                  0.371000763085215,
                  0.37537096893986166,
                  0.26956794992545724,
                  0.1400114530196655,
                  0.41629279379655704,
                  0.14044948110508146,
                  0.1356034751238968,
                  0.30680079745918404,
                  0.19163668827393138,
                  0.18553261378647845,
                  0.242744712130419,
                  0.12303162676755988,
                  0.14543295959376396,
                  0.2763816333277958,
                  0.19260034341894555
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.5376084868085127,
                  4.083693757952018,
                  10.807041612146431,
                  2.099200042426763,
                  12.36841458710944,
                  4.444038402815138,
                  3.1887787189839685,
                  5.561023872735241,
                  3.8323712802592174,
                  17.635120757591764,
                  17.43853099510122,
                  4.031606870820449,
                  8.676445145767632,
                  23.61517351677094,
                  4.6840486592760495,
                  2.47333836268432,
                  12.781874391776936,
                  3.8457136862773162,
                  4.0511896660952935,
                  5.060499768722559,
                  5.353758515811122,
                  4.467900252383601,
                  8.036063426963354,
                  3.136336527986129
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.383400553071679,
                  3.6995246089032476,
                  10.375259519924272,
                  3.088176782734038,
                  15.623140866424055,
                  3.918194532764918,
                  3.2512248780442565,
                  5.3613292903859575,
                  3.3401723993300685,
                  21.29254756415035,
                  17.08930816883068,
                  4.102339013398538,
                  4.506551529947348,
                  25.32004262629813,
                  4.202143270441035,
                  3.5904825606496558,
                  13.811056598131602,
                  3.49561527327503,
                  4.117308454045926,
                  4.163338575099779,
                  4.154173639778647,
                  3.3440543501428777,
                  7.576953718515562,
                  3.8653696148339143
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.341655551605886,
                  3.8157273276723513,
                  10.564375638265231,
                  1.9302349845558784,
                  11.85643531958781,
                  4.1160650487542085,
                  2.994041979255146,
                  5.273854310979338,
                  3.55337916328551,
                  17.26692355778027,
                  17.193641654620226,
                  3.777893626939565,
                  8.245542820074585,
                  23.377182681905264,
                  4.407576346884895,
                  2.255894958072746,
                  12.469966379814661,
                  3.645720570986475,
                  3.8475659506630167,
                  4.871273992149812,
                  5.051620535386419,
                  4.165594765214805,
                  7.654487801091044,
                  2.9183954437356276
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.069144896531585,
                  3.3858676721658623,
                  10.074246020518368,
                  2.773361990265274,
                  15.332066536235006,
                  3.604951743610606,
                  2.9367188887863067,
                  5.050819710999868,
                  3.0258348712866763,
                  21.012210746646392,
                  16.801010670653753,
                  3.7894449827302754,
                  4.194423053287697,
                  25.04733364035127,
                  3.8894382629868667,
                  3.276619104881488,
                  13.516550290161696,
                  3.1815721446141088,
                  3.8044427745910094,
                  3.8505600739044343,
                  3.8413777807512575,
                  3.029724174279054,
                  7.270640397516081,
                  3.55202677848655
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45074970908975276,
              "rpss": 0.005542732951386964,
              "brier_below": 0.2286217774268262,
              "bss_below": -0.005373990256587469,
              "brier_above": 0.2221279317489988,
              "bss_above": 0.016533766075592204,
              "crps": 7.258740471052725,
              "crpss": 0.01393509524702019,
              "crps_fair": 6.9831271003866995,
              "crpss_fair": 0.010131314594840624,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.055486,
                    0.615809,
                    0.328645,
                    6.1e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2911,
                    0.3497,
                    0.4334,
                    0.5015,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.305,
                    0.3402,
                    0.3745,
                    0.5009,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    3e-05,
                    0.098866,
                    0.781976,
                    0.119128,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1969,
                    0.2918,
                    0.3409,
                    0.4267,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.2581,
                    0.345,
                    0.4118,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4214316698858797,
                  0.38248133632748027,
                  0.36354898423823134,
                  0.3576154916263965,
                  0.5128525753511508,
                  0.46057237289942726,
                  0.3638805179193124,
                  0.45646206590188365,
                  0.4374860752468926,
                  0.48314729122871364,
                  0.5832154700539312,
                  0.49458802629485676,
                  0.5470164055764553,
                  0.5483587383959648,
                  0.5266629604144846,
                  0.4367227521913715,
                  0.4441330382835616,
                  0.375007585823188,
                  0.48857468936424503,
                  0.45067228846188584,
                  0.43215985480181557,
                  0.44348660921885635,
                  0.43943130134883346,
                  0.4439304849851249
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4612583059027846,
                  0.3632558141399608,
                  0.354883769652867,
                  0.3845191290006187,
                  0.5442138095123802,
                  0.47392048384293584,
                  0.33694866035330306,
                  0.4142191822653953,
                  0.37845219617751535,
                  0.4951720237139347,
                  0.5339101528063047,
                  0.4478677808815762,
                  0.5122698412139367,
                  0.546319606847996,
                  0.5151171329099498,
                  0.5367285468048282,
                  0.4864254362866427,
                  0.45042529340514065,
                  0.45228609740130155,
                  0.40382417319303954,
                  0.47274140836269934,
                  0.4335462466444369,
                  0.43507035514007947,
                  0.4346226259811788
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3139750897475141,
                  0.16962376858269546,
                  0.18940007861943767,
                  0.24780923149562636,
                  0.13198663320129897,
                  0.3229879983481399,
                  0.19990121881369163,
                  0.1771825500539011,
                  0.18507436761208895,
                  0.1481387176461163,
                  0.14910835737457936,
                  0.17562151533034623,
                  0.37647358286952654,
                  0.13224914796481038,
                  0.35008449721009477,
                  0.33644885079099063,
                  0.20858997978939067,
                  0.27985145579131804,
                  0.21229796050774324,
                  0.17202818637288325,
                  0.3226050888115183,
                  0.31185849979562374,
                  0.21941460928173045,
                  0.20770683819065308
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3406488402474111,
                  0.15585229033150771,
                  0.1733474973115743,
                  0.2607321626770492,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.35118589057225497,
                  0.15964704360397033,
                  0.13793336355887106,
                  0.13634373895712082,
                  0.1384011735129149,
                  0.12098299127445332,
                  0.14645923116637555,
                  0.36837280991055965,
                  0.12098299127445333,
                  0.34820491159145306,
                  0.4161190810910467,
                  0.23546533423622354,
                  0.32875690367129495,
                  0.18568689656698428,
                  0.13104510989535922,
                  0.3521319426489182,
                  0.3129367809306557,
                  0.21062232617609924,
                  0.19696310869600517
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10745657952946887,
                  0.21285756740170625,
                  0.17414890597673083,
                  0.10980626034342614,
                  0.3808659395401591,
                  0.13758437545669305,
                  0.16397930012687892,
                  0.279279515833931,
                  0.25241170632837256,
                  0.33500857326782807,
                  0.43410711389818474,
                  0.31896650992197834,
                  0.17054282325761777,
                  0.41610958984857244,
                  0.1765784623072177,
                  0.10027390299031846,
                  0.2355430586911664,
                  0.09515613147331597,
                  0.276276727789097,
                  0.2786441021580803,
                  0.10955476541627195,
                  0.13162810917131038,
                  0.22001669177038186,
                  0.2362236472615921
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.20740352380845312,
                  0.18153627234129263,
                  0.1237869663235696,
                  0.42323081835917165,
                  0.12273459327068108,
                  0.17730161674933273,
                  0.27628581870652447,
                  0.24210845734163935,
                  0.35677085020102,
                  0.4129271616552412,
                  0.3014085497152008,
                  0.1438970313033771,
                  0.4253366156954207,
                  0.1669122214397413,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.2509601019920115,
                  0.12166838967543823,
                  0.2665992007759097,
                  0.27277906341892527,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.22444802890557244,
                  0.2376595172267659
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.323340308372173,
                  5.465005143288207,
                  4.086602670617595,
                  2.144798298566041,
                  16.203713819474928,
                  5.526838920808187,
                  3.7425676777332697,
                  4.889626610123857,
                  3.783072646484558,
                  25.10196236613619,
                  26.868019969724912,
                  4.201063795349454,
                  9.460590441162697,
                  24.3264243705148,
                  5.970087442156577,
                  2.0323880025968655,
                  13.85697428864293,
                  2.6573470196614695,
                  7.332777119620493,
                  5.843063283189815,
                  4.530663289222205,
                  5.197128096403448,
                  6.5009190235800824,
                  3.5509917646698836
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.5039629006286863,
                  4.404502123435348,
                  3.7921098904802375,
                  3.7427483154181247,
                  27.430818422751024,
                  4.09357752958828,
                  3.618553854597303,
                  4.403186407306274,
                  3.33544948423942,
                  30.38912596968953,
                  26.15657705190127,
                  3.9490911747156954,
                  4.915805626371291,
                  26.102456598508446,
                  4.555869648555982,
                  4.319504515985746,
                  15.066223249131706,
                  3.332735441447136,
                  6.022796968020984,
                  5.2148566721483,
                  4.335017286452637,
                  3.630233609951502,
                  6.294926309868744,
                  4.525624967226858
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.1441979626362913,
                  5.116470456024958,
                  3.7975968082854816,
                  1.9294688099710533,
                  15.540544065728923,
                  5.1140539750969705,
                  3.5458701716084233,
                  4.595439029922718,
                  3.47132829285999,
                  24.69713481240371,
                  26.615845239860235,
                  3.915030205346324,
                  8.96494316631656,
                  24.04550105145336,
                  5.663610376428204,
                  1.7955593178753977,
                  13.55016772720273,
                  2.4550209085997095,
                  7.079619212854416,
                  5.594534840673611,
                  4.189382930746492,
                  4.882035104792015,
                  5.945026673510781,
                  3.324372718124235
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.134642569756797,
                  4.0368873592733205,
                  3.423335292543674,
                  3.3738802296500032,
                  27.106814106125587,
                  3.7253738930894196,
                  3.249450552047323,
                  4.035569151257637,
                  2.965809999169824,
                  30.070724508266622,
                  25.830159399346183,
                  3.580613889817456,
                  4.549159240055732,
                  25.77593644509466,
                  4.188541565312743,
                  3.9517287715065783,
                  14.718801138616833,
                  2.963090816144978,
                  5.6582471562161265,
                  4.848776670389135,
                  3.9672709222205658,
                  3.261152428150299,
                  5.930891894544658,
                  4.158239602390194
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45389327440999755,
              "rpss": -0.0023408647323601706,
              "brier_below": 0.2308507593417383,
              "bss_below": -0.016626797874080168,
              "brier_above": 0.2230425149900125,
              "bss_above": 0.012028420884560798,
              "crps": 8.149831932004192,
              "crpss": 0.05571123008195722,
              "crps_fair": 7.832198077430107,
              "crpss_fair": 0.053058303640316384,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.049225,
                    0.483021,
                    0.467609,
                    0.000145,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2906,
                    0.3496,
                    0.4383,
                    0.5015,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.289,
                    0.3463,
                    0.3565,
                    0.5009,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    7.2e-05,
                    0.122304,
                    0.786488,
                    0.091136,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1969,
                    0.2933,
                    0.3352,
                    0.4278,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.3089,
                    0.3354,
                    0.4621,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48724859961638983,
                  0.4490651553653465,
                  0.4907342430244483,
                  0.39807292885609014,
                  0.41502814366058516,
                  0.4312398385875504,
                  0.49496693683713255,
                  0.4255794433687472
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5242304582543107,
                  0.45938853305268146,
                  0.5017174223148171,
                  0.4051068144553075,
                  0.4317667029427126,
                  0.41531527803354223,
                  0.4728878323138167,
                  0.48863351023117646
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3770910680208418,
                  0.26336326126061566,
                  0.12907818480750854,
                  0.2306147276401318,
                  0.24492091143763578,
                  0.17082621729945216,
                  0.3112728473207985,
                  0.32635384182325644
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.40795993245117856,
                  0.27227812780818744,
                  0.12370712310234608,
                  0.2309306977016834,
                  0.2554229422765291,
                  0.15868716024439758,
                  0.31168865779035276,
                  0.37646203326964833
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1101575493637862,
                  0.18570189925353378,
                  0.3616560325573843,
                  0.16745820823804095,
                  0.17010723864535976,
                  0.26041361428402593,
                  0.18369410206677503,
                  0.09922561982857646
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11627054465083109,
                  0.1871104114792495,
                  0.37801027156074746,
                  0.17417612530121018,
                  0.17634376877195204,
                  0.25662811177730505,
                  0.16119918533729533,
                  0.11217149654219405
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.1526220491354673,
                  3.15752998269763,
                  10.478288087517166,
                  3.9018337086472483,
                  4.10439760545426,
                  5.325670304175653,
                  7.233969211082182,
                  2.0642087259301745
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.134590890417508,
                  3.257454258459608,
                  11.95446652225302,
                  3.2123112416029844,
                  3.7715427873017267,
                  4.553263281560126,
                  3.429057288259692,
                  3.466783459627757
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.044025681198669,
                  3.055656199918231,
                  10.308450949478924,
                  3.821718776423758,
                  4.007448797990557,
                  5.214490773973625,
                  7.035775620848045,
                  1.950345467293842
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.840649245962226,
                  2.9635126140043284,
                  11.660524877797739,
                  2.9183695971477044,
                  3.477601142846446,
                  4.259321637104846,
                  3.1351156438044105,
                  3.1728418151724775
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4489919111645363,
              "rpss": 0.028956451557980767,
              "brier_below": 0.2566901324512801,
              "bss_below": 0.039125066742864534,
              "brier_above": 0.1923017830296853,
              "bss_above": 0.01504289776979384,
              "crps": 4.927314959329973,
              "crpss": -0.043384673127856876,
              "crps_fair": 4.804739033390707,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0849605137745455,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.052146,
                    0.717889,
                    0.229965,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2856,
                    0.3589,
                    0.4191,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2227,
                    0.4681,
                    0.5237,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.16065,
                    0.786632,
                    0.052718,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2916,
                    0.3261,
                    0.423,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2345,
                    0.254,
                    0.2836,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.47099434545195823,
                  0.4724757297397473,
                  0.5286139548090976,
                  0.40404230745641895,
                  0.40932841353282834,
                  0.3777942014107476,
                  0.4848399314238432,
                  0.42477402876170206
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5378222423430801,
                  0.4654037630210716,
                  0.5441677934136927,
                  0.42259005509153863,
                  0.4687251558583407,
                  0.37920455236096284,
                  0.4762575897428396,
                  0.48392300807734495
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.37258378634859574,
                  0.2390811849768188,
                  0.12220055876389144,
                  0.24274037709767513,
                  0.3130678319309634,
                  0.21442515017601838,
                  0.29226160243080834,
                  0.32467478792821036
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4270541912814117,
                  0.23612689903307224,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.25427588380937366,
                  0.3562146259988406,
                  0.2119324419419288,
                  0.29938211945700965,
                  0.37315495701567675
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09841057726366993,
                  0.23339454223851971,
                  0.4064133615434232,
                  0.16130193858771455,
                  0.09626059912018825,
                  0.16336906007976487,
                  0.19257833847766867,
                  0.1000992591727873
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11076807075767037,
                  0.22927686262225755,
                  0.4330566384694138,
                  0.16831418081740057,
                  0.11251054924392284,
                  0.1672721205797222,
                  0.1768754781609058,
                  0.11076807075767037
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.4682904771155516,
                  3.931909033255832,
                  12.121781921911829,
                  4.145787792423194,
                  2.1355935426083326,
                  3.3641756707088843,
                  9.88888953486197,
                  2.36514995368691
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.500795459022275,
                  3.8833491476604167,
                  14.934177684323762,
                  3.6806433710989057,
                  3.5671376707580675,
                  3.3365612191630336,
                  3.817686724141159,
                  4.037007086746878
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.339109935226056,
                  3.8341430091105964,
                  11.886333126455835,
                  4.052259473381137,
                  2.031288029678278,
                  3.23593538166685,
                  9.629572364266096,
                  2.241780631108495
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  4.156168553465009,
                  3.538722242103148,
                  14.589550778766494,
                  3.336016465541637,
                  3.2225107652008003,
                  2.991934313605765,
                  3.4730598185838906,
                  3.692380181189609
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4466078640732929,
              "rpss": 0.05432136909141472,
              "brier_below": 0.2651294099566227,
              "bss_below": 0.06531532909789328,
              "brier_above": 0.18147845956046707,
              "bss_above": 0.037786790138126025,
              "crps": 5.177697240821564,
              "crpss": 0.008041227929786787,
              "crps_fair": 5.031302743861668,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03205302139625066,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.069918,
                    0.603892,
                    0.32619,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2863,
                    0.3609,
                    0.4239,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1839,
                    0.5282,
                    0.5696,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.157544,
                    0.778444,
                    0.064012,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2917,
                    0.3232,
                    0.4247,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2042,
                    0.2228,
                    0.4218,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7989790974497816,
            "training": [
              0.7984239643339902,
              0.7986218809194456,
              0.7972342363672494,
              0.799515487908449,
              0.8289576760062729,
              0.7825710479335624,
              0.7931528363409278,
              0.7920891658964258,
              0.794815355186824,
              0.8208732852995162,
              0.7878269345881875,
              0.7962688188939528,
              0.7635045131388615,
              0.8062749921759249,
              0.7962949644324713,
              0.8333978977853638,
              0.8104163198239107,
              0.81172142325902,
              0.80166381041619,
              0.7759405396161836,
              0.7894845116391545,
              0.7922782194217992,
              0.8063046917670967,
              0.7978657656439758
            ],
            "test": 0.8226742806231859
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.41188786096608576,
                  0.3730487057044351,
                  0.46301928644035334,
                  0.3465755726744356,
                  0.4555437364154411,
                  0.4715559194030111,
                  0.39681293675974083,
                  0.4933480888708911,
                  0.4094888127511749,
                  0.5159061823461067,
                  0.5452884426075622,
                  0.46813624879258453,
                  0.5110133806163663,
                  0.5611228088607617,
                  0.46138082480692627,
                  0.4105152314496629,
                  0.47597910296415724,
                  0.40950919087888743,
                  0.44447494210247535,
                  0.44706413230911685,
                  0.46237469117424085,
                  0.3921146634117648,
                  0.4425634953609629,
                  0.44256063617947944
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.462562923536876,
                  0.3645173216522427,
                  0.44125991495499295,
                  0.3676651074657129,
                  0.4796288397923759,
                  0.5018388000928868,
                  0.3814774056959005,
                  0.4578573987892382,
                  0.3735878385869089,
                  0.5052606235712064,
                  0.5036551985237356,
                  0.4358799350596818,
                  0.5001476319885705,
                  0.5372757850199824,
                  0.4967176353817881,
                  0.483398419566635,
                  0.48412488872389453,
                  0.42298688230915954,
                  0.4788741887887977,
                  0.4007718021663261,
                  0.498737480732011,
                  0.40202165436042925,
                  0.44570350792032964,
                  0.4523372814100714
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.30243386594266486,
                  0.201669679281215,
                  0.16738548003068432,
                  0.23654511987928273,
                  0.16398102606782014,
                  0.35479610475290835,
                  0.2189916378572101,
                  0.17951764794299113,
                  0.16038693345887844,
                  0.14265078317411906,
                  0.1501008631985311,
                  0.1859513409188473,
                  0.36409699634529585,
                  0.13361289453949138,
                  0.33040568221292016,
                  0.294835884873488,
                  0.1713483845210758,
                  0.22860055364220355,
                  0.2679903053078675,
                  0.19570926621283768,
                  0.3520423168617417,
                  0.2508331596907506,
                  0.1668736697639206,
                  0.25651535658714547
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33445347350698373,
                  0.18448978058131807,
                  0.15020271959428944,
                  0.23455533259135652,
                  0.16559252060812168,
                  0.3788018404246035,
                  0.19293962127510628,
                  0.15038884587226958,
                  0.13073481316379681,
                  0.1342598604859912,
                  0.1282842296352773,
                  0.16631198513422443,
                  0.3601361789689049,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.35626815432751285,
                  0.34779494441826286,
                  0.17732409124021772,
                  0.23135019401075282,
                  0.29334157497784386,
                  0.1580270900868227,
                  0.3757058539399758,
                  0.2565886947421901,
                  0.1693218745678458,
                  0.2597369379666505
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10945399564350819,
                  0.17137902646247605,
                  0.2956338068534453,
                  0.11003045384059462,
                  0.2915627100356378,
                  0.11675981408295116,
                  0.1778212993895802,
                  0.31383044059376225,
                  0.24910187860890542,
                  0.37325539999284507,
                  0.39518757884649186,
                  0.2821849073990612,
                  0.14691638352850023,
                  0.4275099141359558,
                  0.1309751425807638,
                  0.11567934776006877,
                  0.3046307197690728,
                  0.18090863730231413,
                  0.17648463694594502,
                  0.2513548656569934,
                  0.11033237442947923,
                  0.14128150311035784,
                  0.2756898247936033,
                  0.1860452793041009
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12810945002989202,
                  0.1800275410709245,
                  0.2910571953607033,
                  0.1331097748743562,
                  0.3140363192350966,
                  0.12303695966828301,
                  0.18853778442079408,
                  0.3074685529169685,
                  0.24285302547391838,
                  0.371000763085215,
                  0.37537096893986166,
                  0.26956794992545724,
                  0.1400114530196655,
                  0.41629279379655704,
                  0.14044948110508146,
                  0.1356034751238968,
                  0.30680079745918404,
                  0.19163668827393138,
                  0.18553261378647845,
                  0.242744712130419,
                  0.12303162676755988,
                  0.14543295959376396,
                  0.2763816333277958,
                  0.19260034341894555
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.0905751457890167,
                  3.9976876897500158,
                  12.135432888900226,
                  2.425862622124117,
                  11.210726902528153,
                  3.2795985512311296,
                  3.7143011628864184,
                  6.092857950009996,
                  3.700178931382299,
                  20.424812630799693,
                  19.07403421379571,
                  4.330825631659791,
                  6.682174078705802,
                  26.665189384313514,
                  3.802628491896296,
                  2.7268678505502737,
                  14.42249604957227,
                  4.4943213883184345,
                  4.585312708370387,
                  5.833966944444264,
                  4.325189422195971,
                  3.276534269175239,
                  7.825471724445863,
                  3.2172362737857254
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.383400553071679,
                  3.6995246089032476,
                  10.375259519924272,
                  3.088176782734038,
                  15.623140866424055,
                  3.918194532764918,
                  3.2512248780442565,
                  5.3613292903859575,
                  3.3401723993300685,
                  21.29254756415035,
                  17.08930816883068,
                  4.102339013398538,
                  4.506551529947348,
                  25.32004262629813,
                  4.202143270441035,
                  3.5904825606496558,
                  13.811056598131602,
                  3.49561527327503,
                  4.117308454045926,
                  4.163338575099779,
                  4.154173639778647,
                  3.3440543501428777,
                  7.576953718515562,
                  3.8653696148339143
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.940613296908625,
                  3.780125407528491,
                  11.944194514842241,
                  2.287124178182992,
                  10.857940500525027,
                  3.0346533967707643,
                  3.5658666926960625,
                  5.870075921569474,
                  3.489263041476103,
                  20.149244576022703,
                  18.883420233193853,
                  4.1269009017128715,
                  6.3617297473522205,
                  26.486721809506765,
                  3.5845666261392335,
                  2.5600742922022404,
                  14.185702791830169,
                  4.341138607567731,
                  4.426239958153605,
                  5.684145769122327,
                  4.106192559524529,
                  3.0496266252003092,
                  7.5399052076695785,
                  3.056417727822549
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.069144896531585,
                  3.3858676721658623,
                  10.074246020518368,
                  2.773361990265274,
                  15.332066536235006,
                  3.604951743610606,
                  2.9367188887863067,
                  5.050819710999868,
                  3.0258348712866763,
                  21.012210746646392,
                  16.801010670653753,
                  3.7894449827302754,
                  4.194423053287697,
                  25.04733364035127,
                  3.8894382629868667,
                  3.276619104881488,
                  13.516550290161696,
                  3.1815721446141088,
                  3.8044427745910094,
                  3.8505600739044343,
                  3.8413777807512575,
                  3.029724174279054,
                  7.270640397516081,
                  3.55202677848655
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.450470203910276,
              "rpss": 0.006159385500025816,
              "brier_below": 0.22821978971099544,
              "bss_below": -0.0036062321783865148,
              "brier_above": 0.2222504142111006,
              "bss_above": 0.015991477833061984,
              "crps": 7.513928454442943,
              "crpss": -0.02073096225142157,
              "crps_fair": 7.304661849313352,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03544671579994896,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.058778,
                    0.520977,
                    0.420245,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2918,
                    0.3576,
                    0.4316,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1983,
                    0.3385,
                    0.3843,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000152,
                    0.156221,
                    0.789294,
                    0.054333,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.19,
                    0.2909,
                    0.3313,
                    0.4323,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.2578,
                    0.3489,
                    0.5256,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4064861734824832,
                  0.3848228992959078,
                  0.3667138484937364,
                  0.35250315175886227,
                  0.4784552440458597,
                  0.4532983737160793,
                  0.3670949009923595,
                  0.4626672636477209,
                  0.44264667173223315,
                  0.5040229846480356,
                  0.6108333169742239,
                  0.5094252418748464,
                  0.520219830416485,
                  0.571775533261776,
                  0.5034171840036955,
                  0.42729805589779574,
                  0.45007338232677263,
                  0.3704100765268294,
                  0.4899222202375221,
                  0.4566590193166743,
                  0.4174290152472548,
                  0.4196111891284028,
                  0.4346366095390399,
                  0.45776938576493803
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4612583059027846,
                  0.3632558141399608,
                  0.354883769652867,
                  0.3845191290006187,
                  0.5442138095123802,
                  0.47392048384293584,
                  0.33694866035330306,
                  0.4142191822653953,
                  0.37845219617751535,
                  0.4951720237139347,
                  0.5339101528063047,
                  0.4478677808815762,
                  0.5122698412139367,
                  0.546319606847996,
                  0.5151171329099498,
                  0.5367285468048282,
                  0.4864254362866427,
                  0.45042529340514065,
                  0.45228609740130155,
                  0.40382417319303954,
                  0.47274140836269934,
                  0.4335462466444369,
                  0.43507035514007947,
                  0.4346226259811788
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3066712283518301,
                  0.17580679004347385,
                  0.19582564407363276,
                  0.25039452434369314,
                  0.11730741895817404,
                  0.3292221277439832,
                  0.2049143731957454,
                  0.17866970425722337,
                  0.1905588984130349,
                  0.1478197167755916,
                  0.16082535974340903,
                  0.1852321644548039,
                  0.3697525617739789,
                  0.13759943196312513,
                  0.33724140928628255,
                  0.33073085141358555,
                  0.20778850599570783,
                  0.2772045807167098,
                  0.21207768380914976,
                  0.17839349062997614,
                  0.31517063900959696,
                  0.30335885529586554,
                  0.2139123569647649,
                  0.2176432242256386
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3406488402474111,
                  0.15585229033150771,
                  0.1733474973115743,
                  0.2607321626770492,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.35118589057225497,
                  0.15964704360397033,
                  0.13793336355887106,
                  0.13634373895712082,
                  0.1384011735129149,
                  0.12098299127445332,
                  0.14645923116637555,
                  0.36837280991055965,
                  0.12098299127445333,
                  0.34820491159145306,
                  0.4161190810910467,
                  0.23546533423622354,
                  0.32875690367129495,
                  0.18568689656698428,
                  0.13104510989535922,
                  0.3521319426489182,
                  0.3129367809306557,
                  0.21062232617609924,
                  0.19696310869600517
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09981494593629185,
                  0.20901610904313433,
                  0.1708882051207532,
                  0.10210862872033827,
                  0.36114782340927326,
                  0.12407624540513994,
                  0.16218052835842556,
                  0.28399755910572666,
                  0.2520877724337807,
                  0.3562032683409874,
                  0.4500079555305459,
                  0.3241930758232502,
                  0.15046726801102658,
                  0.4341761003556929,
                  0.1661757739095091,
                  0.09656720586549031,
                  0.2422848774522958,
                  0.0932054971365409,
                  0.2778445355486047,
                  0.2782655281571543,
                  0.10225837677503384,
                  0.11625233343480429,
                  0.2207242519397977,
                  0.24012616087378696
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.20740352380845312,
                  0.18153627234129263,
                  0.1237869663235696,
                  0.42323081835917165,
                  0.12273459327068108,
                  0.17730161674933273,
                  0.27628581870652447,
                  0.24210845734163935,
                  0.35677085020102,
                  0.4129271616552412,
                  0.3014085497152008,
                  0.1438970313033771,
                  0.4253366156954207,
                  0.1669122214397413,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.2509601019920115,
                  0.12166838967543823,
                  0.2665992007759097,
                  0.27277906341892527,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.22444802890557244,
                  0.2376595172267659
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.907213072765437,
                  4.9487616448216984,
                  4.204057700578816,
                  2.03593501810697,
                  16.554501936009363,
                  3.6774749925905583,
                  4.315190144824596,
                  5.434554164107873,
                  3.822615570790702,
                  29.077904913815072,
                  29.2153642164877,
                  4.361587753622225,
                  7.089241939088798,
                  27.54988210282277,
                  4.232179957228181,
                  2.031945473385289,
                  15.976993536416682,
                  3.0181194632908284,
                  8.308733669018386,
                  6.691774493408258,
                  3.8671653263070507,
                  3.3759717280314523,
                  5.405030707744151,
                  3.9632472646413137
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.5039629006286863,
                  4.404502123435348,
                  3.7921098904802375,
                  3.7427483154181247,
                  27.430818422751024,
                  4.09357752958828,
                  3.618553854597303,
                  4.403186407306274,
                  3.33544948423942,
                  30.38912596968953,
                  26.15657705190127,
                  3.9490911747156954,
                  4.915805626371291,
                  26.102456598508446,
                  4.555869648555982,
                  4.319504515985746,
                  15.066223249131706,
                  3.332735441447136,
                  6.022796968020984,
                  5.2148566721483,
                  4.335017286452637,
                  3.630233609951502,
                  6.294926309868744,
                  4.525624967226858
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.7676273287443238,
                  4.673401356570716,
                  3.979316098493448,
                  1.8686312460418621,
                  16.08667906024502,
                  3.3723938079419145,
                  4.168645018977592,
                  5.211788801386251,
                  3.595881386631012,
                  28.777398917591757,
                  29.025913196930816,
                  4.137054073501351,
                  6.7238466903464795,
                  27.349245728993562,
                  3.9923584645877614,
                  1.8570109302502178,
                  15.746439815909529,
                  2.8736517013767244,
                  8.125348439553607,
                  6.506645715677275,
                  3.6204326840706487,
                  3.1357416531265483,
                  4.9830887941398165,
                  3.8043425595611464
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.134642569756797,
                  4.0368873592733205,
                  3.423335292543674,
                  3.3738802296500032,
                  27.106814106125587,
                  3.7253738930894196,
                  3.249450552047323,
                  4.035569151257637,
                  2.965809999169824,
                  30.070724508266622,
                  25.830159399346183,
                  3.580613889817456,
                  4.549159240055732,
                  25.77593644509466,
                  4.188541565312743,
                  3.9517287715065783,
                  14.718801138616833,
                  2.963090816144978,
                  5.6582471562161265,
                  4.848776670389135,
                  3.9672709222205658,
                  3.261152428150299,
                  5.930891894544658,
                  4.158239602390194
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45242464884706396,
              "rpss": 0.0009023281054988397,
              "brier_below": 0.23100506422662404,
              "bss_below": -0.017306329886298988,
              "brier_above": 0.2214195844453077,
              "bss_above": 0.019217226360137896,
              "crps": 8.37772694957934,
              "crpss": 0.029305936376278763,
              "crps_fair": 8.140953477943725,
              "crpss_fair": 0.015728634519063478,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.045964,
                    0.42223,
                    0.531806,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2914,
                    0.3579,
                    0.435,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.12,
                    0.371,
                    0.3499,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000362,
                    0.16776,
                    0.787247,
                    0.044631,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.19,
                    0.2919,
                    0.3294,
                    0.4269,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.2895,
                    0.3288,
                    0.8052,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4707660960382094,
                  0.44281751923298057,
                  0.5191499583654665,
                  0.39536757952824986,
                  0.4131758800052647,
                  0.4407664276280577,
                  0.48539744191346773,
                  0.4234418920319803
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5242304582543107,
                  0.45938853305268146,
                  0.5017174223148171,
                  0.4051068144553075,
                  0.4317667029427126,
                  0.41531527803354223,
                  0.4728878323138167,
                  0.48863351023117646
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3670561149244745,
                  0.25894209065129487,
                  0.13889240524172,
                  0.22928942665937194,
                  0.24355790261060198,
                  0.17756082830780912,
                  0.312494493566964,
                  0.3260478055793774
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.40795993245117856,
                  0.27227812780818744,
                  0.12370712310234608,
                  0.2309306977016834,
                  0.2554229422765291,
                  0.15868716024439758,
                  0.31168865779035276,
                  0.37646203326964833
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1037099983879741,
                  0.1838754334301924,
                  0.380257525838093,
                  0.16607815938015597,
                  0.16961798323996238,
                  0.263205591766701,
                  0.17290296035836344,
                  0.09739410428826217
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11627054465083109,
                  0.1871104114792495,
                  0.37801027156074746,
                  0.17417612530121018,
                  0.17634376877195204,
                  0.25662811177730505,
                  0.16119918533729533,
                  0.11217149654219405
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.8231248243841027,
                  3.3909181603211094,
                  11.334335612666885,
                  4.404167428147069,
                  4.491613975001924,
                  5.907466731389601,
                  5.318900261390968,
                  2.1718567654127203
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.134590890417508,
                  3.257454258459608,
                  11.95446652225302,
                  3.2123112416029844,
                  3.7715427873017267,
                  4.553263281560126,
                  3.429057288259692,
                  3.466783459627757
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.7272752324870435,
                  3.3004208071455325,
                  11.19108956908039,
                  4.333784381094719,
                  4.408241258952986,
                  5.811348881925795,
                  5.154710979240896,
                  2.0733011893800364
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.840649245962226,
                  2.9635126140043284,
                  11.660524877797739,
                  2.9183695971477044,
                  3.477601142846446,
                  4.259321637104846,
                  3.1351156438044105,
                  3.1728418151724775
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4488603493429596,
              "rpss": 0.029240982871099552,
              "brier_below": 0.25673013344270174,
              "bss_below": 0.038975329978169104,
              "brier_above": 0.19213021958621307,
              "bss_above": 0.01592163445891215,
              "crps": 4.980297969839298,
              "crpss": -0.05460410228103596,
              "crps_fair": 4.875021537413425,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10083104100691398,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.071854,
                    0.629757,
                    0.298389,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2844,
                    0.3674,
                    0.4167,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3855,
                    0.4504,
                    0.5252,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.293826,
                    0.681005,
                    0.025169,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2928,
                    0.3224,
                    0.4197,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2125,
                    0.271,
                    0.2172,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4545529183835341,
                  0.4665961957340414,
                  0.5520870025583848,
                  0.4007951013794441,
                  0.40094494520213053,
                  0.3786497731449765,
                  0.49254786655487504,
                  0.4188264080143927
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5378222423430801,
                  0.4654037630210716,
                  0.5441677934136927,
                  0.42259005509153863,
                  0.4687251558583407,
                  0.37920455236096284,
                  0.4762575897428396,
                  0.48392300807734495
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3583754557247613,
                  0.23326107352618475,
                  0.1253275984184173,
                  0.2400747328869278,
                  0.30790862275813097,
                  0.21795392713270323,
                  0.3016055932378412,
                  0.32120294479495476
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4270541912814117,
                  0.23612689903307224,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.25427588380937366,
                  0.3562146259988406,
                  0.2119324419419288,
                  0.29938211945700965,
                  0.37315495701567675
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09617748024465265,
                  0.23333511972053153,
                  0.42675936794485875,
                  0.16072037618450025,
                  0.09303633919536217,
                  0.16069585453619217,
                  0.19094228316314013,
                  0.09762348123880593
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11076807075767037,
                  0.22927686262225755,
                  0.4330566384694138,
                  0.16831418081740057,
                  0.11251054924392284,
                  0.1672721205797222,
                  0.1768754781609058,
                  0.11076807075767037
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.9227332568270548,
                  4.2725550175137075,
                  12.798643685406047,
                  4.607427489845074,
                  2.148379629441876,
                  3.534881887868755,
                  6.966043265754865,
                  2.236523380894631
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.500795459022275,
                  3.8833491476604167,
                  14.934177684323762,
                  3.6806433710989057,
                  3.5671376707580675,
                  3.3365612191630336,
                  3.817686724141159,
                  4.037007086746878
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.8120609856750227,
                  4.187054088869077,
                  12.60555583678565,
                  4.526722575449627,
                  2.06210611368891,
                  3.427370530543318,
                  6.7509960838861165,
                  2.1317094766683886
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  4.156168553465009,
                  3.538722242103148,
                  14.589550778766494,
                  3.336016465541637,
                  3.2225107652008003,
                  2.991934313605765,
                  3.4730598185838906,
                  3.692380181189609
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4456250263714724,
              "rpss": 0.05640249816913834,
              "brier_below": 0.26321374355999017,
              "bss_below": 0.0720688009808792,
              "brier_above": 0.18241128777850543,
              "bss_above": 0.03284086081900828,
              "crps": 4.935898451694001,
              "crpss": 0.054365765421087286,
              "crps_fair": 4.812946961445764,
              "crpss_fair": 0.01273751426702574,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.090145,
                    0.521102,
                    0.388753,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2824,
                    0.3702,
                    0.4197,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3019,
                    0.5041,
                    0.5859,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.297004,
                    0.664275,
                    0.038721,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2929,
                    0.3247,
                    0.418,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1632,
                    0.2612,
                    0.2751,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "cdft": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8094732661233621,
            "training": [
              0.7927704105960167,
              0.8054002975247164,
              0.8026491261129,
              0.8034497682921082,
              0.8630207949434581,
              0.7727311181897024,
              0.7939395951228138,
              0.7941524508677139,
              0.8061100814860807,
              0.8380693933041631,
              0.8225163889075843,
              0.8071733482984498,
              0.7570637779216015,
              0.857612517001358,
              0.8027115581571607,
              0.8554776147073887,
              0.8208614259380247,
              0.8277169305780284,
              0.8095993947111675,
              0.7965991599356923,
              0.79612645659315,
              0.7836511048412705,
              0.8104921420333986,
              0.807463530896742
            ],
            "test": 0.8268428258657585
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48142217521021885,
                  0.37610896622243745,
                  0.43532779339176986,
                  0.3599956851869687,
                  0.4230542154730299,
                  0.5728636195117925,
                  0.39556784601104045,
                  0.4791616639041445,
                  0.3807091715206151,
                  0.45271532916321433,
                  0.48110070029069363,
                  0.4380249494780975,
                  0.6077093954472182,
                  0.47767720196477353,
                  0.5076577211177753,
                  0.4269612206130696,
                  0.45676843297780856,
                  0.4170754276690248,
                  0.4548546843315361,
                  0.4333495490186527,
                  0.521423707900586,
                  0.432165180974415,
                  0.4297375056313357,
                  0.44478133021310157
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.462562923536876,
                  0.3645173216522427,
                  0.44125991495499295,
                  0.3676651074657129,
                  0.4796288397923759,
                  0.5018388000928868,
                  0.3814774056959005,
                  0.4578573987892382,
                  0.3735878385869089,
                  0.5052606235712064,
                  0.5036551985237356,
                  0.4358799350596818,
                  0.5001476319885705,
                  0.5372757850199824,
                  0.4967176353817881,
                  0.483398419566635,
                  0.48412488872389453,
                  0.42298688230915954,
                  0.4788741887887977,
                  0.4007718021663261,
                  0.498737480732011,
                  0.40202165436042925,
                  0.44570350792032964,
                  0.4523372814100714
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3394785838507998,
                  0.18867593294255675,
                  0.1526095223254308,
                  0.2374869533030773,
                  0.14957217342239554,
                  0.41347113180549816,
                  0.21477931211037912,
                  0.1700240377485968,
                  0.13814801170283084,
                  0.11318898590795012,
                  0.11907005508964173,
                  0.1661690123774497,
                  0.4219252037441905,
                  0.1000974220876434,
                  0.36323334287424125,
                  0.3042935885959943,
                  0.1624316462093269,
                  0.23295806007539385,
                  0.2741356503747565,
                  0.18518496385982502,
                  0.39205401046173965,
                  0.25754712168871574,
                  0.15612851930079813,
                  0.25666587323942397
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33445347350698373,
                  0.18448978058131807,
                  0.15020271959428944,
                  0.23455533259135652,
                  0.16559252060812168,
                  0.3788018404246035,
                  0.19293962127510628,
                  0.15038884587226958,
                  0.13073481316379681,
                  0.1342598604859912,
                  0.1282842296352773,
                  0.16631198513422443,
                  0.3601361789689049,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.35626815432751285,
                  0.34779494441826286,
                  0.17732409124021772,
                  0.23135019401075282,
                  0.29334157497784386,
                  0.1580270900868227,
                  0.3757058539399758,
                  0.2565886947421901,
                  0.1693218745678458,
                  0.2597369379666505
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14194359214800495,
                  0.1874330338687025,
                  0.28271827166500674,
                  0.12250873246602967,
                  0.2734820405717826,
                  0.1593924888462969,
                  0.18078853434451597,
                  0.3091376256933053,
                  0.24256115914021237,
                  0.3395263428593527,
                  0.3620306454288929,
                  0.27185593705622413,
                  0.18578419339650143,
                  0.377579779058763,
                  0.1444243782178244,
                  0.12266763295559406,
                  0.2943367875565028,
                  0.18411736793656397,
                  0.1807190340707509,
                  0.24816458529454472,
                  0.1293696978019076,
                  0.174618060156552,
                  0.2736089862500017,
                  0.18811545693427037
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12810945002989202,
                  0.1800275410709245,
                  0.2910571953607033,
                  0.1331097748743562,
                  0.3140363192350966,
                  0.12303695966828301,
                  0.18853778442079408,
                  0.3074685529169685,
                  0.24285302547391838,
                  0.371000763085215,
                  0.37537096893986166,
                  0.26956794992545724,
                  0.1400114530196655,
                  0.41629279379655704,
                  0.14044948110508146,
                  0.1356034751238968,
                  0.30680079745918404,
                  0.19163668827393138,
                  0.18553261378647845,
                  0.242744712130419,
                  0.12303162676755988,
                  0.14543295959376396,
                  0.2763816333277958,
                  0.19260034341894555
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.606822605266807,
                  4.362425921516884,
                  10.891746810690119,
                  2.3652520483633195,
                  12.826192833660329,
                  5.036237854549867,
                  3.590894117048354,
                  5.740955868953122,
                  4.05950485795016,
                  17.74977373080335,
                  17.336636167705954,
                  4.141709398820127,
                  9.372159657947872,
                  23.554357180609948,
                  4.775253812839963,
                  2.7782971295173695,
                  12.705245946819893,
                  4.195033170659344,
                  4.34374063541793,
                  5.234939950288206,
                  5.628357161718854,
                  4.83445201630072,
                  8.624722036481183,
                  3.246362512827542
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.383400553071679,
                  3.6995246089032476,
                  10.375259519924272,
                  3.088176782734038,
                  15.623140866424055,
                  3.918194532764918,
                  3.2512248780442565,
                  5.3613292903859575,
                  3.3401723993300685,
                  21.29254756415035,
                  17.08930816883068,
                  4.102339013398538,
                  4.506551529947348,
                  25.32004262629813,
                  4.202143270441035,
                  3.5904825606496558,
                  13.811056598131602,
                  3.49561527327503,
                  4.117308454045926,
                  4.163338575099779,
                  4.154173639778647,
                  3.3440543501428777,
                  7.576953718515562,
                  3.8653696148339143
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.4165687234063506,
                  4.10112625004552,
                  10.65514185633196,
                  2.1973150231238323,
                  12.40029463479421,
                  4.726814656139907,
                  3.4003773441235574,
                  5.458791029663979,
                  3.797325305645956,
                  17.40121239112863,
                  17.09699068101662,
                  3.8977526544661965,
                  8.969462149537229,
                  23.33136805124323,
                  4.511200650041551,
                  2.5679268679926155,
                  12.405767607861002,
                  3.997568910849178,
                  4.142700543527599,
                  5.052947030775088,
                  5.342934784439274,
                  4.546550367752639,
                  8.27613340081489,
                  3.040984164204945
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.069144896531585,
                  3.3858676721658623,
                  10.074246020518368,
                  2.773361990265274,
                  15.332066536235006,
                  3.604951743610606,
                  2.9367188887863067,
                  5.050819710999868,
                  3.0258348712866763,
                  21.012210746646392,
                  16.801010670653753,
                  3.7894449827302754,
                  4.194423053287697,
                  25.04733364035127,
                  3.8894382629868667,
                  3.276619104881488,
                  13.516550290161696,
                  3.1815721446141088,
                  3.8044427745910094,
                  3.8505600739044343,
                  3.8413777807512575,
                  3.029724174279054,
                  7.270640397516081,
                  3.55202677848655
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45359222805097166,
              "rpss": -0.0007285159938779096,
              "brier_below": 0.2295553797957773,
              "bss_below": -0.009479546383172055,
              "brier_above": 0.22403684848825434,
              "bss_above": 0.00808208176174241,
              "crps": 7.500044726114884,
              "crpss": -0.018844924679749298,
              "crps_fair": 7.238968961621914,
              "crpss_fair": -0.026134650954961147,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.280914,
                    0.482242,
                    0.236844,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2828,
                    0.3479,
                    0.422,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3758,
                    0.3184,
                    0.3817,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.03398,
                    0.758362,
                    0.207657,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.291,
                    0.3399,
                    0.4498,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2361,
                    0.3317,
                    0.4086,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5108507912501982,
                  0.3863833781975828,
                  0.3712203698392915,
                  0.3792383858356301,
                  0.4160701135900837,
                  0.5914628831696113,
                  0.362854793181642,
                  0.4470890287085183,
                  0.42883000756425044,
                  0.4354794621316875,
                  0.5125059587596977,
                  0.44551406447760167,
                  0.6355595632510409,
                  0.46418656885568876,
                  0.5774161254258683,
                  0.4542590866177992,
                  0.4488381968876349,
                  0.3981235364462814,
                  0.48092400185342804,
                  0.41931888295239195,
                  0.44888565524769397,
                  0.5220685631321254,
                  0.43205599304181913,
                  0.4289603389069604
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4612583059027846,
                  0.3632558141399608,
                  0.354883769652867,
                  0.3845191290006187,
                  0.5442138095123802,
                  0.47392048384293584,
                  0.33694866035330306,
                  0.4142191822653953,
                  0.37845219617751535,
                  0.4951720237139347,
                  0.5339101528063047,
                  0.4478677808815762,
                  0.5122698412139367,
                  0.546319606847996,
                  0.5151171329099498,
                  0.5367285468048282,
                  0.4864254362866427,
                  0.45042529340514065,
                  0.45228609740130155,
                  0.40382417319303954,
                  0.47274140836269934,
                  0.4335462466444369,
                  0.43507035514007947,
                  0.4346226259811788
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.36338274860860875,
                  0.1538184538279379,
                  0.19190814521532698,
                  0.2566410265517862,
                  0.091672551085562,
                  0.39766706327661483,
                  0.19653490061568765,
                  0.1672781622971959,
                  0.17922700068827363,
                  0.11300296797295871,
                  0.1170462987020804,
                  0.15077450810926968,
                  0.43478158340387063,
                  0.09468752330852556,
                  0.39176572544856136,
                  0.3499131039995603,
                  0.20934375551745218,
                  0.29457204858101305,
                  0.20592505123926952,
                  0.15609944787912114,
                  0.33293180921972965,
                  0.33844477170624504,
                  0.2078560259182376,
                  0.19315616465437715
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3406488402474111,
                  0.15585229033150771,
                  0.1733474973115743,
                  0.2607321626770492,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.35118589057225497,
                  0.15964704360397033,
                  0.13793336355887106,
                  0.13634373895712082,
                  0.1384011735129149,
                  0.12098299127445332,
                  0.14645923116637555,
                  0.36837280991055965,
                  0.12098299127445333,
                  0.34820491159145306,
                  0.4161190810910467,
                  0.23546533423622354,
                  0.32875690367129495,
                  0.18568689656698428,
                  0.13104510989535922,
                  0.3521319426489182,
                  0.3129367809306557,
                  0.21062232617609924,
                  0.19696310869600517
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14746804421255721,
                  0.23256492538971008,
                  0.17931222505128677,
                  0.1225973598500619,
                  0.32439755836985323,
                  0.19379582316956914,
                  0.1663198933202942,
                  0.27981086633117447,
                  0.24960300553816742,
                  0.32247649360850755,
                  0.3954596599000552,
                  0.2947395551582488,
                  0.20077798225421686,
                  0.36949904374611886,
                  0.1856503999270367,
                  0.10434598384377922,
                  0.23949444206237153,
                  0.103551488955708,
                  0.27499895023761417,
                  0.26321943474562154,
                  0.11595384607607902,
                  0.1836237937113058,
                  0.22419996713705787,
                  0.23580417429382233
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.20740352380845312,
                  0.18153627234129263,
                  0.1237869663235696,
                  0.42323081835917165,
                  0.12273459327068108,
                  0.17730161674933273,
                  0.27628581870652447,
                  0.24210845734163935,
                  0.35677085020102,
                  0.4129271616552412,
                  0.3014085497152008,
                  0.1438970313033771,
                  0.4253366156954207,
                  0.1669122214397413,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.2509601019920115,
                  0.12166838967543823,
                  0.2665992007759097,
                  0.27277906341892527,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.22444802890557244,
                  0.2376595172267659
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.4788214316102186,
                  5.708647279085547,
                  4.22155257165844,
                  2.2464028229516306,
                  15.205003941573885,
                  6.474617404430061,
                  4.034882557939875,
                  4.995477303986051,
                  3.9676380990047178,
                  25.316466335346604,
                  26.556771173513535,
                  4.185085329495531,
                  10.112228066567404,
                  24.188613078105103,
                  6.169571162222136,
                  2.335215046493469,
                  13.712391712295728,
                  2.85800435532283,
                  7.726536723883606,
                  5.866692184949939,
                  4.740995895700055,
                  5.850896965236221,
                  7.2134133461220244,
                  3.692623828138946
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.5039629006286863,
                  4.404502123435348,
                  3.7921098904802375,
                  3.7427483154181247,
                  27.430818422751024,
                  4.09357752958828,
                  3.618553854597303,
                  4.403186407306274,
                  3.33544948423942,
                  30.38912596968953,
                  26.15657705190127,
                  3.9490911747156954,
                  4.915805626371291,
                  26.102456598508446,
                  4.555869648555982,
                  4.319504515985746,
                  15.066223249131706,
                  3.332735441447136,
                  6.022796968020984,
                  5.2148566721483,
                  4.335017286452637,
                  3.630233609951502,
                  6.294926309868744,
                  4.525624967226858
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.308501351706883,
                  5.376565617715157,
                  3.9351470001154407,
                  2.034990131743829,
                  14.66511374439787,
                  6.098768373075401,
                  3.843484549810971,
                  4.709768866995353,
                  3.667214006387694,
                  24.944477205747052,
                  26.31382623623739,
                  3.909903566933543,
                  9.657542947012889,
                  23.933319624294437,
                  5.87486755902414,
                  2.1050577551502165,
                  13.42768119782358,
                  2.6622278979106957,
                  7.483302506473036,
                  5.629011400793618,
                  4.41382556339839,
                  5.562871847157618,
                  6.7007620861772,
                  3.4738724585313228
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.134642569756797,
                  4.0368873592733205,
                  3.423335292543674,
                  3.3738802296500032,
                  27.106814106125587,
                  3.7253738930894196,
                  3.249450552047323,
                  4.035569151257637,
                  2.965809999169824,
                  30.070724508266622,
                  25.830159399346183,
                  3.580613889817456,
                  4.549159240055732,
                  25.77593644509466,
                  4.188541565312743,
                  3.9517287715065783,
                  14.718801138616833,
                  2.963090816144978,
                  5.6582471562161265,
                  4.848776670389135,
                  3.9672709222205658,
                  3.261152428150299,
                  5.930891894544658,
                  4.158239602390194
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45825398955518865,
              "rpss": -0.011970712178687615,
              "brier_below": 0.2328512849094694,
              "bss_below": -0.025436766304710368,
              "brier_above": 0.22540270487042577,
              "bss_above": 0.0015739094508613327,
              "crps": 8.327439525651398,
              "crpss": 0.03513254115530351,
              "crps_fair": 8.030504312275573,
              "crpss_fair": 0.02908234688248068,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.297638,
                    0.42426,
                    0.278102,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2827,
                    0.3465,
                    0.4232,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4217,
                    0.294,
                    0.3524,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.017104,
                    0.723444,
                    0.259452,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2836,
                    0.3368,
                    0.4533,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2162,
                    0.3188,
                    0.4216,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5079470625948582,
                  0.44468328900347154,
                  0.4460882033623599,
                  0.39739614070215956,
                  0.4157469167850193,
                  0.42680310099581037,
                  0.5364192886727543,
                  0.4296213393289433
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5242304582543107,
                  0.45938853305268146,
                  0.5017174223148171,
                  0.4051068144553075,
                  0.4317667029427126,
                  0.41531527803354223,
                  0.4728878323138167,
                  0.48863351023117646
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.39384733614334505,
                  0.2599322221673444,
                  0.10635072259228902,
                  0.22978798757691266,
                  0.24463829616783464,
                  0.16701735277396004,
                  0.3377253427803758,
                  0.3294691144586454
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.40795993245117856,
                  0.27227812780818744,
                  0.12370712310234608,
                  0.2309306977016834,
                  0.2554229422765291,
                  0.15868716024439758,
                  0.31168865779035276,
                  0.37646203326964833
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.11409974471067431,
                  0.18475107212425101,
                  0.3397374563753135,
                  0.16760816022676686,
                  0.17110862715745798,
                  0.25978574174137464,
                  0.19869395906974097,
                  0.1001522430915052
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11627054465083109,
                  0.1871104114792495,
                  0.37801027156074746,
                  0.17417612530121018,
                  0.17634376877195204,
                  0.25662811177730505,
                  0.16119918533729533,
                  0.11217149654219405
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.254478839428573,
                  3.2111372677327203,
                  10.351966782442258,
                  4.176727953382259,
                  4.266102090986883,
                  5.412617897082291,
                  8.578336293839577,
                  2.204808745765644
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.134590890417508,
                  3.257454258459608,
                  11.95446652225302,
                  3.2123112416029844,
                  3.7715427873017267,
                  4.553263281560126,
                  3.429057288259692,
                  3.466783459627757
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.148362628157462,
                  3.1096127698256493,
                  10.187482997538796,
                  4.095863758946862,
                  4.167614045381502,
                  5.3016284066105,
                  8.395963276277339,
                  2.091072835985297
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.840649245962226,
                  2.9635126140043284,
                  11.660524877797739,
                  2.9183695971477044,
                  3.477601142846446,
                  4.259321637104846,
                  3.1351156438044105,
                  3.1728418151724775
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45058816768067206,
              "rpss": 0.0255041965103745,
              "brier_below": 0.25859604683258836,
              "bss_below": 0.031990607243214786,
              "brier_above": 0.19199212556213555,
              "bss_above": 0.01662894298017381,
              "crps": 5.182021983832525,
              "crpss": -0.09732021564899163,
              "crps_fair": 5.062200089840426,
              "crpss_fair": -0.14309792314087644,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.227349,
                    0.605084,
                    0.167567,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2786,
                    0.365,
                    0.4117,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4077,
                    0.4574,
                    0.5887,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.079079,
                    0.814553,
                    0.106368,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2908,
                    0.3246,
                    0.4407,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2225,
                    0.2456,
                    0.3268,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48379670028929034,
                  0.46398356919576916,
                  0.4346298583475386,
                  0.39995375614049616,
                  0.4168460141088932,
                  0.377461480957965,
                  0.5464580375350614,
                  0.432487404186969
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5378222423430801,
                  0.4654037630210716,
                  0.5441677934136927,
                  0.42259005509153863,
                  0.4687251558583407,
                  0.37920455236096284,
                  0.4762575897428396,
                  0.48392300807734495
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.38168490354361184,
                  0.23347768408504155,
                  0.07838667005853585,
                  0.2398939691073431,
                  0.31749018493018094,
                  0.21191250525880986,
                  0.32843955844115413,
                  0.3304127432550825
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4270541912814117,
                  0.23612689903307224,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.25427588380937366,
                  0.3562146259988406,
                  0.2119324419419288,
                  0.29938211945700965,
                  0.37315495701567675
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10211181536200899,
                  0.23050588298272665,
                  0.3562431569637659,
                  0.16005979521581137,
                  0.09935584684959944,
                  0.16554898558499942,
                  0.21801849054333963,
                  0.10207467955494952
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11076807075767037,
                  0.22927686262225755,
                  0.4330566384694138,
                  0.16831418081740057,
                  0.11251054924392284,
                  0.1672721205797222,
                  0.1768754781609058,
                  0.11076807075767037
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.2824105464783178,
                  3.946781480484343,
                  11.861383387498483,
                  4.30070634706282,
                  2.2854181665340008,
                  3.425645106465415,
                  12.109546816215804,
                  2.413805677632892
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.500795459022275,
                  3.8833491476604167,
                  14.934177684323762,
                  3.6806433710989057,
                  3.5671376707580675,
                  3.3365612191630336,
                  3.817686724141159,
                  4.037007086746878
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.1548667876017493,
                  3.8496003665270244,
                  11.638413976680155,
                  4.206827020553847,
                  2.1782332637721744,
                  3.2973622725355445,
                  11.873898748159098,
                  2.290565874008913
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  4.156168553465009,
                  3.538722242103148,
                  14.589550778766494,
                  3.336016465541637,
                  3.2225107652008003,
                  2.991934313605765,
                  3.4730598185838906,
                  3.692380181189609
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44445210259524787,
              "rpss": 0.05888612875446564,
              "brier_below": 0.26521227733497,
              "bss_below": 0.06502318923958139,
              "brier_above": 0.17923983163215013,
              "bss_above": 0.049656173258355585,
              "crps": 5.453212191046509,
              "crpss": -0.0447427528633344,
              "crps_fair": 5.311221038729814,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0894716536411917,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.275873,
                    0.507951,
                    0.216176,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2781,
                    0.3658,
                    0.4124,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3024,
                    0.5618,
                    0.6886,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.041086,
                    0.793992,
                    0.164921,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2883,
                    0.3233,
                    0.4418,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1695,
                    0.1931,
                    0.4387,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "selection": {
        "SEL-P": {
          "criterion": "inner RPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1994": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1995": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1996": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1997": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1998": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1999": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2000": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2001": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2002": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2003": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2004": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2005": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2006": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2007": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2008": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2009": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2010": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2011": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2012": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2013": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2014": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2015": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2016": "sqrt_mvs"
          },
          "chosen_test": "sqrt_mvs",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 0,
            "vs": 0,
            "sqrt_mvs": 24,
            "pt": 0,
            "dc": 0,
            "loci": 0,
            "eqm": 0,
            "gqm": 0,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 0,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.49188480949675845,
                  0.37234588420077347,
                  0.43453670910450654,
                  0.35816086449791745,
                  0.3960074525827423,
                  0.5905402653136572,
                  0.3998991872340075,
                  0.4579407153842516,
                  0.37310808716756305,
                  0.4258158875936077,
                  0.45202106796087294,
                  0.42614896641467076,
                  0.6141385137460222,
                  0.45092709565577427,
                  0.5225052602816694,
                  0.40509223675283274,
                  0.45014253162028817,
                  0.4236757002407631,
                  0.4654113144090229,
                  0.4278093708631648,
                  0.5485429871975108,
                  0.44127637079506676,
                  0.4207055404877545,
                  0.4497318779101364
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.462562923536876,
                  0.3645173216522427,
                  0.44125991495499295,
                  0.3676651074657129,
                  0.4796288397923759,
                  0.5018388000928868,
                  0.3814774056959005,
                  0.4578573987892382,
                  0.3735878385869089,
                  0.5052606235712064,
                  0.5036551985237356,
                  0.4358799350596818,
                  0.5001476319885705,
                  0.5372757850199824,
                  0.4967176353817881,
                  0.483398419566635,
                  0.48412488872389453,
                  0.42298688230915954,
                  0.4788741887887977,
                  0.4007718021663261,
                  0.498737480732011,
                  0.40202165436042925,
                  0.44570350792032964,
                  0.4523372814100714
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.34036848212396875,
                  0.18272731420958258,
                  0.15577477373937948,
                  0.22723688079757248,
                  0.14522158085402562,
                  0.40972880633578296,
                  0.22002426247938653,
                  0.17097680203160906,
                  0.13978538911394825,
                  0.11206070137088464,
                  0.12327462020159978,
                  0.1671237684055938,
                  0.41352367469836604,
                  0.10246191752047466,
                  0.36734840768797045,
                  0.2836857156439732,
                  0.1619466517486167,
                  0.23720350282647634,
                  0.2817179892343368,
                  0.178753949341423,
                  0.3953510528359057,
                  0.25571140421529204,
                  0.14912703719597709,
                  0.258732695618713
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33445347350698373,
                  0.18448978058131807,
                  0.15020271959428944,
                  0.23455533259135652,
                  0.16559252060812168,
                  0.3788018404246035,
                  0.19293962127510628,
                  0.15038884587226958,
                  0.13073481316379681,
                  0.1342598604859912,
                  0.1282842296352773,
                  0.16631198513422443,
                  0.3601361789689049,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.35626815432751285,
                  0.34779494441826286,
                  0.17732409124021772,
                  0.23135019401075282,
                  0.29334157497784386,
                  0.1580270900868227,
                  0.3757058539399758,
                  0.2565886947421901,
                  0.1693218745678458,
                  0.2597369379666505
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15151632591013245,
                  0.18961856855016357,
                  0.27876193697847595,
                  0.1309239823762989,
                  0.25078587045809253,
                  0.18081145892753922,
                  0.17987492472704925,
                  0.28696391542176264,
                  0.2333226970207323,
                  0.3137551858034831,
                  0.32874645037892847,
                  0.2590251990688948,
                  0.20061483994924034,
                  0.34846517933491095,
                  0.15515684998553056,
                  0.12140652106553941,
                  0.28819588211525177,
                  0.18647219672367374,
                  0.18369332336646907,
                  0.24905542166676387,
                  0.15319193264748662,
                  0.1855649656217322,
                  0.27157850355284374,
                  0.19099918207667524
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12810945002989202,
                  0.1800275410709245,
                  0.2910571953607033,
                  0.1331097748743562,
                  0.3140363192350966,
                  0.12303695966828301,
                  0.18853778442079408,
                  0.3074685529169685,
                  0.24285302547391838,
                  0.371000763085215,
                  0.37537096893986166,
                  0.26956794992545724,
                  0.1400114530196655,
                  0.41629279379655704,
                  0.14044948110508146,
                  0.1356034751238968,
                  0.30680079745918404,
                  0.19163668827393138,
                  0.18553261378647845,
                  0.242744712130419,
                  0.12303162676755988,
                  0.14543295959376396,
                  0.2763816333277958,
                  0.19260034341894555
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.962591852915668,
                  4.003139264653342,
                  10.624359994878278,
                  2.144270003637135,
                  10.597540790152433,
                  4.6647229151911445,
                  2.965311662189469,
                  5.021634205084224,
                  3.484623038828932,
                  18.022003787861443,
                  16.594905044895558,
                  3.9075739147590225,
                  8.263865277282829,
                  23.51128734740039,
                  4.854230307537014,
                  2.6375883688863513,
                  12.605711988095264,
                  3.640521357596574,
                  3.9002370616989914,
                  4.607026922130585,
                  5.404842302588417,
                  4.435058954839818,
                  7.9945643822331895,
                  3.2749094033843704
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.383400553071679,
                  3.6995246089032476,
                  10.375259519924272,
                  3.088176782734038,
                  15.623140866424055,
                  3.918194532764918,
                  3.2512248780442565,
                  5.3613292903859575,
                  3.3401723993300685,
                  21.29254756415035,
                  17.08930816883068,
                  4.102339013398538,
                  4.506551529947348,
                  25.32004262629813,
                  4.202143270441035,
                  3.5904825606496558,
                  13.811056598131602,
                  3.49561527327503,
                  4.117308454045926,
                  4.163338575099779,
                  4.154173639778647,
                  3.3440543501428777,
                  7.576953718515562,
                  3.8653696148339143
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.767298895668411,
                  3.7402968739129117,
                  10.387111425916158,
                  1.9690089817946659,
                  10.16555956592831,
                  4.362729495386605,
                  2.7724814285920125,
                  4.752050943917203,
                  3.226377598798992,
                  17.688175745050067,
                  16.358832118088536,
                  3.66173758222897,
                  7.885662835288216,
                  23.283332317423508,
                  4.588663933425639,
                  2.427019210166123,
                  12.318122565644169,
                  3.4473805334654894,
                  3.7013972528539916,
                  4.415570940578824,
                  5.126173055639844,
                  4.155401830388511,
                  7.651404802603549,
                  3.0638914408933546
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.069144896531585,
                  3.3858676721658623,
                  10.074246020518368,
                  2.773361990265274,
                  15.332066536235006,
                  3.604951743610606,
                  2.9367188887863067,
                  5.050819710999868,
                  3.0258348712866763,
                  21.012210746646392,
                  16.801010670653753,
                  3.7894449827302754,
                  4.194423053287697,
                  25.04733364035127,
                  3.8894382629868667,
                  3.276619104881488,
                  13.516550290161696,
                  3.1815721446141088,
                  3.8044427745910094,
                  3.8505600739044343,
                  3.8413777807512575,
                  3.029724174279054,
                  7.270640397516081,
                  3.55202677848655
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4499320290379723,
              "rpss": 0.007346722733778233,
              "brier_below": 0.22832780750961912,
              "bss_below": -0.004081245042179882,
              "brier_above": 0.22160422140531963,
              "bss_above": 0.018852481400180032,
              "crps": 7.0884383395300175,
              "crpss": 0.037069818932052745,
              "crps_fair": 6.829820057235586,
              "crpss_fair": 0.03186281669780833
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5035939814807032,
                  0.3819259703206685,
                  0.38061906965840786,
                  0.3889577363330982,
                  0.3378702253760416,
                  0.6331025740959153,
                  0.3805631344918587,
                  0.4318923609943779,
                  0.4196632750383161,
                  0.4159959542827302,
                  0.4758233618874712,
                  0.4360442334949406,
                  0.632009025778659,
                  0.434681925849016,
                  0.5710249378139972,
                  0.41153887678025647,
                  0.44792552217793674,
                  0.39510617111556934,
                  0.4970580160458745,
                  0.40900025278317703,
                  0.4644569406771065,
                  0.518886100614626,
                  0.42781805318298255,
                  0.4138599146913478
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4612583059027846,
                  0.3632558141399608,
                  0.354883769652867,
                  0.3845191290006187,
                  0.5442138095123802,
                  0.47392048384293584,
                  0.33694866035330306,
                  0.4142191822653953,
                  0.37845219617751535,
                  0.4951720237139347,
                  0.5339101528063047,
                  0.4478677808815762,
                  0.5122698412139367,
                  0.546319606847996,
                  0.5151171329099498,
                  0.5367285468048282,
                  0.4864254362866427,
                  0.45042529340514065,
                  0.45228609740130155,
                  0.40382417319303954,
                  0.47274140836269934,
                  0.4335462466444369,
                  0.43507035514007947,
                  0.4346226259811788
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3490955052164898,
                  0.15018388065133217,
                  0.18536750933589075,
                  0.24743857296680483,
                  0.07876581524097988,
                  0.40583853392486735,
                  0.21344488368803866,
                  0.16467369960845119,
                  0.1852830644572026,
                  0.11557675327469565,
                  0.1244545486718659,
                  0.15802383305478726,
                  0.41333341230558907,
                  0.09878028557049,
                  0.37509122671403766,
                  0.3113661355794346,
                  0.2040059150384419,
                  0.2872751555248055,
                  0.22126781835452572,
                  0.157918708840274,
                  0.3256168272951837,
                  0.323207242900422,
                  0.2058369385832828,
                  0.19002439033318505
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3406488402474111,
                  0.15585229033150771,
                  0.1733474973115743,
                  0.2607321626770492,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.35118589057225497,
                  0.15964704360397033,
                  0.13793336355887106,
                  0.13634373895712082,
                  0.1384011735129149,
                  0.12098299127445332,
                  0.14645923116637555,
                  0.36837280991055965,
                  0.12098299127445333,
                  0.34820491159145306,
                  0.4161190810910467,
                  0.23546533423622354,
                  0.32875690367129495,
                  0.18568689656698428,
                  0.13104510989535922,
                  0.3521319426489182,
                  0.3129367809306557,
                  0.21062232617609924,
                  0.19696310869600517
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15449847523745885,
                  0.23174208960518253,
                  0.19525155973564295,
                  0.14151916217591393,
                  0.2591044058190967,
                  0.2272640425461193,
                  0.16711825134428457,
                  0.2672186624197894,
                  0.2343802086290959,
                  0.30041919951390533,
                  0.35136881646048557,
                  0.27802040137814743,
                  0.21867561531759355,
                  0.3359016405584159,
                  0.19593371003662705,
                  0.10017274218541936,
                  0.2439196076232132,
                  0.10783101416827183,
                  0.2757901961477079,
                  0.2510815436680382,
                  0.13884011063906285,
                  0.1956788577126253,
                  0.22198111386683875,
                  0.22383552465589543
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.20740352380845312,
                  0.18153627234129263,
                  0.1237869663235696,
                  0.42323081835917165,
                  0.12273459327068108,
                  0.17730161674933273,
                  0.27628581870652447,
                  0.24210845734163935,
                  0.35677085020102,
                  0.4129271616552412,
                  0.3014085497152008,
                  0.1438970313033771,
                  0.4253366156954207,
                  0.1669122214397413,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.2509601019920115,
                  0.12166838967543823,
                  0.2665992007759097,
                  0.27277906341892527,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.22444802890557244,
                  0.2376595172267659
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.887978848395995,
                  5.199365829381512,
                  3.9590067525709793,
                  2.495122555369095,
                  15.01865101811782,
                  5.757931335751254,
                  3.4719714856532327,
                  4.487387236192713,
                  3.3864632212188885,
                  26.265144600138264,
                  25.850390732659672,
                  3.9825110296432342,
                  9.110375723719626,
                  23.889815637130216,
                  5.874552457008546,
                  2.287456721769455,
                  13.718738501955794,
                  2.7150906463433797,
                  6.549013470608904,
                  5.233033689602527,
                  4.906551712714816,
                  5.205286312210062,
                  6.522375883120154,
                  3.5181353143997347
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.5039629006286863,
                  4.404502123435348,
                  3.7921098904802375,
                  3.7427483154181247,
                  27.430818422751024,
                  4.09357752958828,
                  3.618553854597303,
                  4.403186407306274,
                  3.33544948423942,
                  30.38912596968953,
                  26.15657705190127,
                  3.9490911747156954,
                  4.915805626371291,
                  26.102456598508446,
                  4.555869648555982,
                  4.319504515985746,
                  15.066223249131706,
                  3.332735441447136,
                  6.022796968020984,
                  5.2148566721483,
                  4.335017286452637,
                  3.630233609951502,
                  6.294926309868744,
                  4.525624967226858
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.703223872622716,
                  4.870140460613193,
                  3.678503188469245,
                  2.2788862027429104,
                  14.457363246188928,
                  5.387139508451199,
                  3.27838091796728,
                  4.206731260277688,
                  3.0975250773804244,
                  25.902668617789434,
                  25.606709214989117,
                  3.7115985443312765,
                  8.671350845269039,
                  23.626857548429115,
                  5.584925538004746,
                  2.065230219135151,
                  13.426794407941717,
                  2.519185918860466,
                  6.3131194146710445,
                  4.992518557752248,
                  4.589185986286082,
                  4.908782243829526,
                  6.030785393534117,
                  3.3028021302441366
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.134642569756797,
                  4.0368873592733205,
                  3.423335292543674,
                  3.3738802296500032,
                  27.106814106125587,
                  3.7253738930894196,
                  3.249450552047323,
                  4.035569151257637,
                  2.965809999169824,
                  30.070724508266622,
                  25.830159399346183,
                  3.580613889817456,
                  4.549159240055732,
                  25.77593644509466,
                  4.188541565312743,
                  3.9517287715065783,
                  14.718801138616833,
                  2.963090816144978,
                  5.6582471562161265,
                  4.848776670389135,
                  3.9672709222205658,
                  3.261152428150299,
                  5.930891894544658,
                  4.158239602390194
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4503924006235449,
              "rpss": 0.005390179229445846,
              "brier_below": 0.22882794404712822,
              "bss_below": -0.007718669343275142,
              "brier_above": 0.22156445631020136,
              "bss_above": 0.01857551334351959,
              "crps": 8.012181279819828,
              "crpss": 0.07166026634602463,
              "crps_fair": 7.7171003464908665,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06697404472669566
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5167067452168829,
                  0.4580385675940625,
                  0.42403901310602915,
                  0.411201992344206,
                  0.429662071781039,
                  0.42724818796456965,
                  0.5504849661791522,
                  0.43135554649242913
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5242304582543107,
                  0.45938853305268146,
                  0.5017174223148171,
                  0.4051068144553075,
                  0.4317667029427126,
                  0.41531527803354223,
                  0.4728878323138167,
                  0.48863351023117646
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.38245180546394164,
                  0.26806062728205027,
                  0.1110516194902709,
                  0.2355914802759683,
                  0.2479857540824326,
                  0.1651610299711019,
                  0.33413080608707363,
                  0.32066104250313576
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.40795993245117856,
                  0.27227812780818744,
                  0.12370712310234608,
                  0.2309306977016834,
                  0.2554229422765291,
                  0.15868716024439758,
                  0.31168865779035276,
                  0.37646203326964833
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.13425495944541685,
                  0.18997794644914862,
                  0.3129873701985423,
                  0.17561051963814936,
                  0.18167632506234252,
                  0.26208715325182985,
                  0.21635417651083014,
                  0.11069452296530437
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11627054465083109,
                  0.1871104114792495,
                  0.37801027156074746,
                  0.17417612530121018,
                  0.17634376877195204,
                  0.25662811177730505,
                  0.16119918533729533,
                  0.11217149654219405
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.5993839996938743,
                  3.2594638663373727,
                  9.813459050445243,
                  3.775482747737278,
                  4.191947524533787,
                  5.140977993882591,
                  6.583250918366162,
                  2.401401593128167
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.134590890417508,
                  3.257454258459608,
                  11.95446652225302,
                  3.2123112416029844,
                  3.7715427873017267,
                  4.553263281560126,
                  3.429057288259692,
                  3.466783459627757
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.4886741916986095,
                  3.1553511072717386,
                  9.652123299511187,
                  3.6919991762108113,
                  4.094845067785321,
                  5.029180058096557,
                  6.3993919785936155,
                  2.288397498928481
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.840649245962226,
                  2.9635126140043284,
                  11.660524877797739,
                  2.9183695971477044,
                  3.477601142846446,
                  4.259321637104846,
                  3.1351156438044105,
                  3.1728418151724775
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4560921363347963,
              "rpss": 0.013600656336226757,
              "brier_below": 0.25813677064449686,
              "bss_below": 0.03370982789406218,
              "brier_above": 0.1979553716901955,
              "bss_above": -0.013914412019674138,
              "crps": 4.84567096176556,
              "crpss": -0.026096130297791786,
              "crps_fair": 4.724995297262041,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06695354100886708
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5132630324566101,
                  0.4594022584727685,
                  0.4032437882944922,
                  0.41518910350763655,
                  0.42851457650947017,
                  0.3939717290161595,
                  0.5689932312370563,
                  0.4317841782334392
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5378222423430801,
                  0.4654037630210716,
                  0.5441677934136927,
                  0.42259005509153863,
                  0.4687251558583407,
                  0.37920455236096284,
                  0.4762575897428396,
                  0.48392300807734495
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3879793978845405,
                  0.23751327351930354,
                  0.08801456533060605,
                  0.24146800544853417,
                  0.3161485798823253,
                  0.21343237603351214,
                  0.3279315141952166,
                  0.31395900559969975
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4270541912814117,
                  0.23612689903307224,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.25427588380937366,
                  0.3562146259988406,
                  0.2119324419419288,
                  0.29938211945700965,
                  0.37315495701567675
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12528365464088748,
                  0.22188898442806973,
                  0.3152291913444741,
                  0.1737211078985354,
                  0.11236601572662558,
                  0.18053936420483768,
                  0.24106173245423515,
                  0.1178251927934626
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11076807075767037,
                  0.22927686262225755,
                  0.4330566384694138,
                  0.16831418081740057,
                  0.11251054924392284,
                  0.1672721205797222,
                  0.1768754781609058,
                  0.11076807075767037
                ],
                "crps": [
                  4.0067641216785015,
                  3.785378862411662,
                  10.898360249817305,
                  3.969420969050306,
                  2.516297147437968,
                  3.4686813741338582,
                  8.798526262152782,
                  2.7640301226918416
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.500795459022275,
                  3.8833491476604167,
                  14.934177684323762,
                  3.6806433710989057,
                  3.5671376707580675,
                  3.3365612191630336,
                  3.817686724141159,
                  4.037007086746878
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.878279001009249,
                  3.683618543059298,
                  10.682792753088675,
                  3.8737001732111116,
                  2.4124692356129884,
                  3.3411720753171443,
                  8.563707410714306,
                  2.6423378098266173
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  4.156168553465009,
                  3.538722242103148,
                  14.589550778766494,
                  3.336016465541637,
                  3.2225107652008003,
                  2.991934313605765,
                  3.4730598185838906,
                  3.692380181189609
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45179523721595405,
              "rpss": 0.04333726351203171,
              "brier_below": 0.26580583973671723,
              "bss_below": 0.06293065005945886,
              "brier_above": 0.18598940543639098,
              "bss_above": 0.013869396738940165,
              "crps": 5.025932388671778,
              "crpss": 0.037116793645566526,
              "crps_fair": 4.884759625229924,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0019931589613695344
            }
          }
        },
        "SEL-A": {
          "criterion": "inner CRPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1994": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1995": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1996": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1997": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1998": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1999": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2000": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2001": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2002": "eqm",
            "2003": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2004": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2005": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2006": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2007": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2008": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2009": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2010": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2011": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2012": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2013": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2014": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2015": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2016": "sqrt_mvs"
          },
          "chosen_test": "sqrt_mvs",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 0,
            "vs": 0,
            "sqrt_mvs": 23,
            "pt": 0,
            "dc": 0,
            "loci": 0,
            "eqm": 1,
            "gqm": 0,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 0,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.49188480949675845,
                  0.37234588420077347,
                  0.43453670910450654,
                  0.35816086449791745,
                  0.3960074525827423,
                  0.5905402653136572,
                  0.3998991872340075,
                  0.4579407153842516,
                  0.37310808716756305,
                  0.48847438625367734,
                  0.45202106796087294,
                  0.42614896641467076,
                  0.6141385137460222,
                  0.45092709565577427,
                  0.5225052602816694,
                  0.40509223675283274,
                  0.45014253162028817,
                  0.4236757002407631,
                  0.4654113144090229,
                  0.4278093708631648,
                  0.5485429871975108,
                  0.44127637079506676,
                  0.4207055404877545,
                  0.4497318779101364
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.462562923536876,
                  0.3645173216522427,
                  0.44125991495499295,
                  0.3676651074657129,
                  0.4796288397923759,
                  0.5018388000928868,
                  0.3814774056959005,
                  0.4578573987892382,
                  0.3735878385869089,
                  0.5052606235712064,
                  0.5036551985237356,
                  0.4358799350596818,
                  0.5001476319885705,
                  0.5372757850199824,
                  0.4967176353817881,
                  0.483398419566635,
                  0.48412488872389453,
                  0.42298688230915954,
                  0.4788741887887977,
                  0.4007718021663261,
                  0.498737480732011,
                  0.40202165436042925,
                  0.44570350792032964,
                  0.4523372814100714
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.34036848212396875,
                  0.18272731420958258,
                  0.15577477373937948,
                  0.22723688079757248,
                  0.14522158085402562,
                  0.40972880633578296,
                  0.22002426247938653,
                  0.17097680203160906,
                  0.13978538911394825,
                  0.1298377829120048,
                  0.12327462020159978,
                  0.1671237684055938,
                  0.41352367469836604,
                  0.10246191752047466,
                  0.36734840768797045,
                  0.2836857156439732,
                  0.1619466517486167,
                  0.23720350282647634,
                  0.2817179892343368,
                  0.178753949341423,
                  0.3953510528359057,
                  0.25571140421529204,
                  0.14912703719597709,
                  0.258732695618713
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33445347350698373,
                  0.18448978058131807,
                  0.15020271959428944,
                  0.23455533259135652,
                  0.16559252060812168,
                  0.3788018404246035,
                  0.19293962127510628,
                  0.15038884587226958,
                  0.13073481316379681,
                  0.1342598604859912,
                  0.1282842296352773,
                  0.16631198513422443,
                  0.3601361789689049,
                  0.12098299127445335,
                  0.35626815432751285,
                  0.34779494441826286,
                  0.17732409124021772,
                  0.23135019401075282,
                  0.29334157497784386,
                  0.1580270900868227,
                  0.3757058539399758,
                  0.2565886947421901,
                  0.1693218745678458,
                  0.2597369379666505
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15151632591013245,
                  0.18961856855016357,
                  0.27876193697847595,
                  0.1309239823762989,
                  0.25078587045809253,
                  0.18081145892753922,
                  0.17987492472704925,
                  0.28696391542176264,
                  0.2333226970207323,
                  0.3586366052836502,
                  0.32874645037892847,
                  0.2590251990688948,
                  0.20061483994924034,
                  0.34846517933491095,
                  0.15515684998553056,
                  0.12140652106553941,
                  0.28819588211525177,
                  0.18647219672367374,
                  0.18369332336646907,
                  0.24905542166676387,
                  0.15319193264748662,
                  0.1855649656217322,
                  0.27157850355284374,
                  0.19099918207667524
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12810945002989202,
                  0.1800275410709245,
                  0.2910571953607033,
                  0.1331097748743562,
                  0.3140363192350966,
                  0.12303695966828301,
                  0.18853778442079408,
                  0.3074685529169685,
                  0.24285302547391838,
                  0.371000763085215,
                  0.37537096893986166,
                  0.26956794992545724,
                  0.1400114530196655,
                  0.41629279379655704,
                  0.14044948110508146,
                  0.1356034751238968,
                  0.30680079745918404,
                  0.19163668827393138,
                  0.18553261378647845,
                  0.242744712130419,
                  0.12303162676755988,
                  0.14543295959376396,
                  0.2763816333277958,
                  0.19260034341894555
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.962591852915668,
                  4.003139264653342,
                  10.624359994878278,
                  2.144270003637135,
                  10.597540790152433,
                  4.6647229151911445,
                  2.965311662189469,
                  5.021634205084224,
                  3.484623038828932,
                  18.570486589630242,
                  16.594905044895558,
                  3.9075739147590225,
                  8.263865277282829,
                  23.51128734740039,
                  4.854230307537014,
                  2.6375883688863513,
                  12.605711988095264,
                  3.640521357596574,
                  3.9002370616989914,
                  4.607026922130585,
                  5.404842302588417,
                  4.435058954839818,
                  7.9945643822331895,
                  3.2749094033843704
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.383400553071679,
                  3.6995246089032476,
                  10.375259519924272,
                  3.088176782734038,
                  15.623140866424055,
                  3.918194532764918,
                  3.2512248780442565,
                  5.3613292903859575,
                  3.3401723993300685,
                  21.29254756415035,
                  17.08930816883068,
                  4.102339013398538,
                  4.506551529947348,
                  25.32004262629813,
                  4.202143270441035,
                  3.5904825606496558,
                  13.811056598131602,
                  3.49561527327503,
                  4.117308454045926,
                  4.163338575099779,
                  4.154173639778647,
                  3.3440543501428777,
                  7.576953718515562,
                  3.8653696148339143
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.767298895668411,
                  3.7402968739129117,
                  10.387111425916158,
                  1.9690089817946659,
                  10.16555956592831,
                  4.362729495386605,
                  2.7724814285920125,
                  4.752050943917203,
                  3.226377598798992,
                  18.23673962343192,
                  16.358832118088536,
                  3.66173758222897,
                  7.885662835288216,
                  23.283332317423508,
                  4.588663933425639,
                  2.427019210166123,
                  12.318122565644169,
                  3.4473805334654894,
                  3.7013972528539916,
                  4.415570940578824,
                  5.126173055639844,
                  4.155401830388511,
                  7.651404802603549,
                  3.0638914408933546
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.069144896531585,
                  3.3858676721658623,
                  10.074246020518368,
                  2.773361990265274,
                  15.332066536235006,
                  3.604951743610606,
                  2.9367188887863067,
                  5.050819710999868,
                  3.0258348712866763,
                  21.012210746646392,
                  16.801010670653753,
                  3.7894449827302754,
                  4.194423053287697,
                  25.04733364035127,
                  3.8894382629868667,
                  3.276619104881488,
                  13.516550290161696,
                  3.1815721446141088,
                  3.8044427745910094,
                  3.8505600739044343,
                  3.8413777807512575,
                  3.029724174279054,
                  7.270640397516081,
                  3.55202677848655
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4525427998154752,
              "rpss": 0.0015867634483271997,
              "brier_below": 0.2290685192404991,
              "bss_below": -0.007338556383585271,
              "brier_above": 0.2234742805503266,
              "bss_above": 0.010572838178029675,
              "crps": 7.111291789603719,
              "crpss": 0.033965287896665974,
              "crps_fair": 6.852676885501496,
              "crpss_fair": 0.02862282718840148
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5035939814807032,
                  0.3819259703206685,
                  0.38061906965840786,
                  0.3889577363330982,
                  0.3378702253760416,
                  0.6331025740959153,
                  0.3805631344918587,
                  0.4318923609943779,
                  0.4196632750383161,
                  0.4900934910018101,
                  0.4758233618874712,
                  0.4360442334949406,
                  0.632009025778659,
                  0.434681925849016,
                  0.5710249378139972,
                  0.41153887678025647,
                  0.44792552217793674,
                  0.39510617111556934,
                  0.4970580160458745,
                  0.40900025278317703,
                  0.4644569406771065,
                  0.518886100614626,
                  0.42781805318298255,
                  0.4138599146913478
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4612583059027846,
                  0.3632558141399608,
                  0.354883769652867,
                  0.3845191290006187,
                  0.5442138095123802,
                  0.47392048384293584,
                  0.33694866035330306,
                  0.4142191822653953,
                  0.37845219617751535,
                  0.4951720237139347,
                  0.5339101528063047,
                  0.4478677808815762,
                  0.5122698412139367,
                  0.546319606847996,
                  0.5151171329099498,
                  0.5367285468048282,
                  0.4864254362866427,
                  0.45042529340514065,
                  0.45228609740130155,
                  0.40382417319303954,
                  0.47274140836269934,
                  0.4335462466444369,
                  0.43507035514007947,
                  0.4346226259811788
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3490955052164898,
                  0.15018388065133217,
                  0.18536750933589075,
                  0.24743857296680483,
                  0.07876581524097988,
                  0.40583853392486735,
                  0.21344488368803866,
                  0.16467369960845119,
                  0.1852830644572026,
                  0.14679349407627587,
                  0.1244545486718659,
                  0.15802383305478726,
                  0.41333341230558907,
                  0.09878028557049,
                  0.37509122671403766,
                  0.3113661355794346,
                  0.2040059150384419,
                  0.2872751555248055,
                  0.22126781835452572,
                  0.157918708840274,
                  0.3256168272951837,
                  0.323207242900422,
                  0.2058369385832828,
                  0.19002439033318505
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3406488402474111,
                  0.15585229033150771,
                  0.1733474973115743,
                  0.2607321626770492,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.35118589057225497,
                  0.15964704360397033,
                  0.13793336355887106,
                  0.13634373895712082,
                  0.1384011735129149,
                  0.12098299127445332,
                  0.14645923116637555,
                  0.36837280991055965,
                  0.12098299127445333,
                  0.34820491159145306,
                  0.4161190810910467,
                  0.23546533423622354,
                  0.32875690367129495,
                  0.18568689656698428,
                  0.13104510989535922,
                  0.3521319426489182,
                  0.3129367809306557,
                  0.21062232617609924,
                  0.19696310869600517
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15449847523745885,
                  0.23174208960518253,
                  0.19525155973564295,
                  0.14151916217591393,
                  0.2591044058190967,
                  0.2272640425461193,
                  0.16711825134428457,
                  0.2672186624197894,
                  0.2343802086290959,
                  0.34329999699080344,
                  0.35136881646048557,
                  0.27802040137814743,
                  0.21867561531759355,
                  0.3359016405584159,
                  0.19593371003662705,
                  0.10017274218541936,
                  0.2439196076232132,
                  0.10783101416827183,
                  0.2757901961477079,
                  0.2510815436680382,
                  0.13884011063906285,
                  0.1956788577126253,
                  0.22198111386683875,
                  0.22383552465589543
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.20740352380845312,
                  0.18153627234129263,
                  0.1237869663235696,
                  0.42323081835917165,
                  0.12273459327068108,
                  0.17730161674933273,
                  0.27628581870652447,
                  0.24210845734163935,
                  0.35677085020102,
                  0.4129271616552412,
                  0.3014085497152008,
                  0.1438970313033771,
                  0.4253366156954207,
                  0.1669122214397413,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.2509601019920115,
                  0.12166838967543823,
                  0.2665992007759097,
                  0.27277906341892527,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.12060946565537374,
                  0.22444802890557244,
                  0.2376595172267659
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.887978848395995,
                  5.199365829381512,
                  3.9590067525709793,
                  2.495122555369095,
                  15.01865101811782,
                  5.757931335751254,
                  3.4719714856532327,
                  4.487387236192713,
                  3.3864632212188885,
                  26.62928587411117,
                  25.850390732659672,
                  3.9825110296432342,
                  9.110375723719626,
                  23.889815637130216,
                  5.874552457008546,
                  2.287456721769455,
                  13.718738501955794,
                  2.7150906463433797,
                  6.549013470608904,
                  5.233033689602527,
                  4.906551712714816,
                  5.205286312210062,
                  6.522375883120154,
                  3.5181353143997347
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.5039629006286863,
                  4.404502123435348,
                  3.7921098904802375,
                  3.7427483154181247,
                  27.430818422751024,
                  4.09357752958828,
                  3.618553854597303,
                  4.403186407306274,
                  3.33544948423942,
                  30.38912596968953,
                  26.15657705190127,
                  3.9490911747156954,
                  4.915805626371291,
                  26.102456598508446,
                  4.555869648555982,
                  4.319504515985746,
                  15.066223249131706,
                  3.332735441447136,
                  6.022796968020984,
                  5.2148566721483,
                  4.335017286452637,
                  3.630233609951502,
                  6.294926309868744,
                  4.525624967226858
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.703223872622716,
                  4.870140460613193,
                  3.678503188469245,
                  2.2788862027429104,
                  14.457363246188928,
                  5.387139508451199,
                  3.27838091796728,
                  4.206731260277688,
                  3.0975250773804244,
                  26.245988290127013,
                  25.606709214989117,
                  3.7115985443312765,
                  8.671350845269039,
                  23.626857548429115,
                  5.584925538004746,
                  2.065230219135151,
                  13.426794407941717,
                  2.519185918860466,
                  6.3131194146710445,
                  4.992518557752248,
                  4.589185986286082,
                  4.908782243829526,
                  6.030785393534117,
                  3.3028021302441366
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.134642569756797,
                  4.0368873592733205,
                  3.423335292543674,
                  3.3738802296500032,
                  27.106814106125587,
                  3.7253738930894196,
                  3.249450552047323,
                  4.035569151257637,
                  2.965809999169824,
                  30.070724508266622,
                  25.830159399346183,
                  3.580613889817456,
                  4.549159240055732,
                  25.77593644509466,
                  4.188541565312743,
                  3.9517287715065783,
                  14.718801138616833,
                  2.963090816144978,
                  5.6582471562161265,
                  4.848776670389135,
                  3.9672709222205658,
                  3.261152428150299,
                  5.930891894544658,
                  4.158239602390194
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4534797979868399,
              "rpss": -0.0014277771434925146,
              "brier_below": 0.2301286415805274,
              "bss_below": -0.013446716208500353,
              "brier_above": 0.2233511562050721,
              "bss_above": 0.010661288037102645,
              "crps": 8.027353832902032,
              "crpss": 0.06990228267150889,
              "crps_fair": 7.731405332838267,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06524451900424932
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5167067452168829,
                  0.4580385675940625,
                  0.42403901310602915,
                  0.411201992344206,
                  0.429662071781039,
                  0.42724818796456965,
                  0.5504849661791522,
                  0.43135554649242913
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5242304582543107,
                  0.45938853305268146,
                  0.5017174223148171,
                  0.4051068144553075,
                  0.4317667029427126,
                  0.41531527803354223,
                  0.4728878323138167,
                  0.48863351023117646
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.38245180546394164,
                  0.26806062728205027,
                  0.1110516194902709,
                  0.2355914802759683,
                  0.2479857540824326,
                  0.1651610299711019,
                  0.33413080608707363,
                  0.32066104250313576
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.40795993245117856,
                  0.27227812780818744,
                  0.12370712310234608,
                  0.2309306977016834,
                  0.2554229422765291,
                  0.15868716024439758,
                  0.31168865779035276,
                  0.37646203326964833
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.13425495944541685,
                  0.18997794644914862,
                  0.3129873701985423,
                  0.17561051963814936,
                  0.18167632506234252,
                  0.26208715325182985,
                  0.21635417651083014,
                  0.11069452296530437
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11627054465083109,
                  0.1871104114792495,
                  0.37801027156074746,
                  0.17417612530121018,
                  0.17634376877195204,
                  0.25662811177730505,
                  0.16119918533729533,
                  0.11217149654219405
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.5993839996938743,
                  3.2594638663373727,
                  9.813459050445243,
                  3.775482747737278,
                  4.191947524533787,
                  5.140977993882591,
                  6.583250918366162,
                  2.401401593128167
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.134590890417508,
                  3.257454258459608,
                  11.95446652225302,
                  3.2123112416029844,
                  3.7715427873017267,
                  4.553263281560126,
                  3.429057288259692,
                  3.466783459627757
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.4886741916986095,
                  3.1553511072717386,
                  9.652123299511187,
                  3.6919991762108113,
                  4.094845067785321,
                  5.029180058096557,
                  6.3993919785936155,
                  2.288397498928481
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.840649245962226,
                  2.9635126140043284,
                  11.660524877797739,
                  2.9183695971477044,
                  3.477601142846446,
                  4.259321637104846,
                  3.1351156438044105,
                  3.1728418151724775
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4560921363347963,
              "rpss": 0.013600656336226757,
              "brier_below": 0.25813677064449686,
              "bss_below": 0.03370982789406218,
              "brier_above": 0.1979553716901955,
              "bss_above": -0.013914412019674138,
              "crps": 4.84567096176556,
              "crpss": -0.026096130297791786,
              "crps_fair": 4.724995297262041,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06695354100886708
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5132630324566101,
                  0.4594022584727685,
                  0.4032437882944922,
                  0.41518910350763655,
                  0.42851457650947017,
                  0.3939717290161595,
                  0.5689932312370563,
                  0.4317841782334392
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5378222423430801,
                  0.4654037630210716,
                  0.5441677934136927,
                  0.42259005509153863,
                  0.4687251558583407,
                  0.37920455236096284,
                  0.4762575897428396,
                  0.48392300807734495
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3879793978845405,
                  0.23751327351930354,
                  0.08801456533060605,
                  0.24146800544853417,
                  0.3161485798823253,
                  0.21343237603351214,
                  0.3279315141952166,
                  0.31395900559969975
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4270541912814117,
                  0.23612689903307224,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.25427588380937366,
                  0.3562146259988406,
                  0.2119324419419288,
                  0.29938211945700965,
                  0.37315495701567675
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12528365464088748,
                  0.22188898442806973,
                  0.3152291913444741,
                  0.1737211078985354,
                  0.11236601572662558,
                  0.18053936420483768,
                  0.24106173245423515,
                  0.1178251927934626
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11076807075767037,
                  0.22927686262225755,
                  0.4330566384694138,
                  0.16831418081740057,
                  0.11251054924392284,
                  0.1672721205797222,
                  0.1768754781609058,
                  0.11076807075767037
                ],
                "crps": [
                  4.0067641216785015,
                  3.785378862411662,
                  10.898360249817305,
                  3.969420969050306,
                  2.516297147437968,
                  3.4686813741338582,
                  8.798526262152782,
                  2.7640301226918416
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  4.500795459022275,
                  3.8833491476604167,
                  14.934177684323762,
                  3.6806433710989057,
                  3.5671376707580675,
                  3.3365612191630336,
                  3.817686724141159,
                  4.037007086746878
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.878279001009249,
                  3.683618543059298,
                  10.682792753088675,
                  3.8737001732111116,
                  2.4124692356129884,
                  3.3411720753171443,
                  8.563707410714306,
                  2.6423378098266173
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  4.156168553465009,
                  3.538722242103148,
                  14.589550778766494,
                  3.336016465541637,
                  3.2225107652008003,
                  2.991934313605765,
                  3.4730598185838906,
                  3.692380181189609
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45179523721595405,
              "rpss": 0.04333726351203171,
              "brier_below": 0.26580583973671723,
              "bss_below": 0.06293065005945886,
              "brier_above": 0.18598940543639098,
              "bss_above": 0.013869396738940165,
              "crps": 5.025932388671778,
              "crpss": 0.037116793645566526,
              "crps_fair": 4.884759625229924,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0019931589613695344
            }
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "Jan": {
      "tag": "init09_Jan",
      "methods": {
        "mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.9138494483270931,
            "training": [
              0.9015440095270478,
              0.9096984427381559,
              0.8924744929044867,
              0.9134977990005921,
              0.9739809762681032,
              0.9135662366642403,
              0.9398504609218483,
              0.904813588596652,
              0.9073518630735369,
              0.9150521876494314,
              0.8815346430421451,
              0.915224978842721,
              0.9020731856486852,
              0.9083222231397325,
              0.9104530462599659,
              0.9121125336109879,
              0.9059324118331624,
              0.9202344161454487,
              0.9366643869040936,
              0.9112132706445167,
              0.9180350080835152,
              0.917973538237099,
              0.9076509189937322,
              0.9131321411203357
            ],
            "test": 0.9033070186773285
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5260280072447884,
                  0.5562385766602199,
                  0.4991479016939384,
                  0.44605258184493507,
                  0.5016165672317163,
                  0.4107786551321611,
                  0.4788002230172633,
                  0.4638882241146649,
                  0.48817556583868876,
                  0.4049359932280877,
                  0.5014593398574445,
                  0.4269395909743774,
                  0.3986999276378469,
                  0.3971664453100316,
                  0.4036581987967835,
                  0.48338975047133886,
                  0.4516129322032602,
                  0.40348501782310053,
                  0.4985451382560919,
                  0.3984493823055474,
                  0.4336011385190292,
                  0.446330383184296,
                  0.3710159666569978,
                  0.47599849233044866
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4973013035288361,
                  0.5299108613891841,
                  0.49682096989761637,
                  0.45140321943555783,
                  0.5120439264472348,
                  0.41031169960340397,
                  0.47797132071856974,
                  0.45308842078032785,
                  0.5043277834760528,
                  0.4169267074583939,
                  0.5103230589589499,
                  0.439774482865257,
                  0.3965890932152538,
                  0.3999865075263042,
                  0.4105095366915584,
                  0.495347056515228,
                  0.4525412471251873,
                  0.4026341732498444,
                  0.4947135575342954,
                  0.4107579478352957,
                  0.4281083690429166,
                  0.4373547673375428,
                  0.3794648521113215,
                  0.46535364949831176
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.39809284420370145,
                  0.4341258200996804,
                  0.13001479986255982,
                  0.18089421784894724,
                  0.12104679954337953,
                  0.18478477561154674,
                  0.35110506906209127,
                  0.31977731877893706,
                  0.1088134123507679,
                  0.15867434055096655,
                  0.11181621383027636,
                  0.1428746566583373,
                  0.2449596571630102,
                  0.15764274159819938,
                  0.16167271639902994,
                  0.1568803217963204,
                  0.19890686630808735,
                  0.21748606037113635,
                  0.377591660928668,
                  0.1534435261914491,
                  0.30279985015898536,
                  0.3234558159169703,
                  0.1784879933659669,
                  0.3446928543892386
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3742768451297219,
                  0.40873323143582757,
                  0.13866980785737074,
                  0.18456937257153472,
                  0.1256044036343616,
                  0.18760042277090966,
                  0.34539584613599755,
                  0.3109003023417131,
                  0.12201400407191382,
                  0.16742828213175504,
                  0.1244088544959247,
                  0.15170887566157665,
                  0.2434586977209261,
                  0.1637619591020418,
                  0.1668761402054322,
                  0.16458520031461277,
                  0.20321388944011462,
                  0.21596862310093545,
                  0.36773408199884783,
                  0.16227747027615622,
                  0.2938514971990294,
                  0.31090927642329086,
                  0.1849857245631276,
                  0.33273847477773943
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12793516313029224,
                  0.12211275680239368,
                  0.3691331015468597,
                  0.26515836406815174,
                  0.3805697675445528,
                  0.22599387952501304,
                  0.12769515426887323,
                  0.14411090537965313,
                  0.3793621532111757,
                  0.24626165264709624,
                  0.3896431259950003,
                  0.28406493422594226,
                  0.1537402704337265,
                  0.23952370377870985,
                  0.24198548259988714,
                  0.3265094285558011,
                  0.25270606574708365,
                  0.18599895756364637,
                  0.12095347781189428,
                  0.24500585616892087,
                  0.13080128865104265,
                  0.12287456773439291,
                  0.19252797339888775,
                  0.1313056380245866
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12302445839911424,
                  0.12117762995335662,
                  0.35815116204024555,
                  0.26683384686402306,
                  0.38643952281287314,
                  0.22271127683249428,
                  0.13257547458257218,
                  0.14218811843861479,
                  0.38231377940413913,
                  0.24949842532663888,
                  0.38591420446302543,
                  0.2880656072036803,
                  0.15313039549432772,
                  0.2362245484242624,
                  0.2436333964861261,
                  0.3307618562006153,
                  0.24932735768507294,
                  0.18666555014890895,
                  0.12697947553544767,
                  0.24848047755913946,
                  0.13425687184388715,
                  0.12644549091425192,
                  0.19447912754819396,
                  0.13261517472057238
                ],
                "crps": [
                  5.531483576481441,
                  5.637080880118267,
                  13.238884916641394,
                  6.292863424432008,
                  20.82527466032423,
                  3.7430785808478726,
                  3.2738367650376805,
                  4.1682631836272614,
                  7.186833843383649,
                  3.4672190788482142,
                  15.317926868198464,
                  4.105993583739614,
                  4.087228753223878,
                  4.945624208559033,
                  5.028552301448741,
                  8.13859382455231,
                  5.415015684075021,
                  3.3584355076136228,
                  3.633402653662782,
                  3.1921698949214194,
                  3.0317138907694727,
                  3.745894872221321,
                  4.313082317737223,
                  4.631939838771066
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.3942682418184753,
                  3.592082216148263,
                  11.21710177556662,
                  5.807811897394496,
                  27.273601914436462,
                  3.5784752533248567,
                  3.4807211044876976,
                  3.1460002230570745,
                  7.545217676196043,
                  3.8249735735183252,
                  13.840864383262339,
                  4.430030997054808,
                  2.8001820448761534,
                  4.516117521457113,
                  4.888260025218961,
                  8.339483640689286,
                  4.951633793647444,
                  2.997413909666159,
                  3.4711294001341106,
                  3.627536580866378,
                  2.846454770181788,
                  3.161925584164043,
                  3.3250528086483198,
                  3.5450641992642202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  5.359974628709169,
                  5.447847475317656,
                  13.117105334304274,
                  6.193090853647751,
                  20.564821450089877,
                  3.6421838613631166,
                  3.207415487593458,
                  3.9670571534361034,
                  7.001884404245589,
                  3.3155248907125174,
                  15.181389369158904,
                  3.9269231682734267,
                  3.8868750524241964,
                  4.772137004312959,
                  4.941002496496309,
                  7.944782611596326,
                  5.235358636395308,
                  3.2320480269333913,
                  3.531203961600057,
                  3.0484940845447768,
                  2.9137587648607615,
                  3.635882066261871,
                  4.106209147319422,
                  4.4361945801773945
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.147316707451114,
                  3.345505329459557,
                  10.984966213801052,
                  5.565431468435425,
                  27.0718763908127,
                  3.331872595873229,
                  3.2339333066026654,
                  2.898578484108726,
                  7.306127788484703,
                  3.578837768945852,
                  13.61369806885984,
                  4.185041134572365,
                  2.552105347257009,
                  4.271290701634523,
                  4.644138020744405,
                  8.101898044577364,
                  4.707631815249459,
                  2.7497107572454813,
                  3.224323436142348,
                  3.3810268425956997,
                  2.5984657102999638,
                  2.914534006884459,
                  3.0779701844454106,
                  3.298398263301115
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45275058334721074,
              "rpss": 0.0006943916046007192,
              "brier_below": 0.22750168054117723,
              "bss_below": -0.0015351346756609097,
              "brier_above": 0.22524890286723265,
              "bss_above": 0.002936162590439495,
              "crps": 6.096266379551499,
              "crpss": -0.048058181395509214,
              "crps_fair": 5.9420485212406104,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06596036428335816,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.000833,
                    0.999167,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2793,
                    0.3297,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3475,
                    0.3488,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.000861,
                    0.959547,
                    0.039592,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2731,
                    0.3452,
                    0.4049,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2925,
                    0.3417,
                    0.4194,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.566086616904025,
                  0.5561358211738073,
                  0.4715951915656282,
                  0.4195081443204912,
                  0.5318524766945378,
                  0.40385819849525156,
                  0.4078590552609035,
                  0.43323694183603223,
                  0.47712483086194823,
                  0.3470510555782329,
                  0.5363061784709373,
                  0.4673028664808372,
                  0.3530746765853834,
                  0.4005296618229046,
                  0.3394586938200744,
                  0.5018551988128709,
                  0.48386723906889917,
                  0.43472530072281995,
                  0.5295263759011333,
                  0.4437510526495195,
                  0.5225780097416662,
                  0.447412985269803,
                  0.3962272496190892,
                  0.38944746994669704
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5271012360586466,
                  0.5237026442993877,
                  0.47266510161074154,
                  0.4183814440705189,
                  0.5463137956783317,
                  0.3948310621955931,
                  0.406559211835899,
                  0.4283146824891483,
                  0.49352864176266736,
                  0.37069796075288813,
                  0.544586430341869,
                  0.4920445637631002,
                  0.3565574427493965,
                  0.3975457708734299,
                  0.3515003838097367,
                  0.5287991675877444,
                  0.4852899981103904,
                  0.42598321042574033,
                  0.5180054420460954,
                  0.46522910237657855,
                  0.5021412600717393,
                  0.4343952633284925,
                  0.40487741793271564,
                  0.39251245424822917
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.44043620407626966,
                  0.43281730749985237,
                  0.15025347271468836,
                  0.2911388031573164,
                  0.11521510913966194,
                  0.25771719971186646,
                  0.27790205679122476,
                  0.2517563659167858,
                  0.1080231217937238,
                  0.11172204322057447,
                  0.10485008106199194,
                  0.10966019609464168,
                  0.2019716671966383,
                  0.22045269085504623,
                  0.15067533750642959,
                  0.10966715053404547,
                  0.19542786612921254,
                  0.2719155477530149,
                  0.41281597290814465,
                  0.10594291165809205,
                  0.4024589545013787,
                  0.32879500321034333,
                  0.1809007805566025,
                  0.2373580481503616
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4061182447841931,
                  0.40271965302493434,
                  0.159291887101158,
                  0.2832363680142811,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.2529029231506273,
                  0.2730640226173197,
                  0.24952665149579165,
                  0.12265985005988321,
                  0.12767684799994297,
                  0.1218471520520865,
                  0.12515848079062122,
                  0.20389895401113928,
                  0.22223880236089205,
                  0.1594727085269456,
                  0.12431961025338657,
                  0.19935641299605145,
                  0.2639725231877702,
                  0.3970224507716421,
                  0.12181436140512257,
                  0.3811582687972861,
                  0.3134122720540391,
                  0.18796271335346026,
                  0.23816938425362752
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12565041338433847,
                  0.12331851428744402,
                  0.3213417186249037,
                  0.1283693417988429,
                  0.4166373672889001,
                  0.1461409992234295,
                  0.12995699900243507,
                  0.18148057607457374,
                  0.3691017080785584,
                  0.23532901209890617,
                  0.4314560966296157,
                  0.35764267003409816,
                  0.15110300949238986,
                  0.18007697120660238,
                  0.18878335661758824,
                  0.3921880477085877,
                  0.28843937304992645,
                  0.16280975336986328,
                  0.11671040377905827,
                  0.3378081407797063,
                  0.12011905586292423,
                  0.11861798296082889,
                  0.21532646893408308,
                  0.15208942204162645
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.31337321450958355,
                  0.1351450760562379,
                  0.4253308044038784,
                  0.1419281390449658,
                  0.13349518921857934,
                  0.17878803099335663,
                  0.3708687917027841,
                  0.24302111275294516,
                  0.4227392782897825,
                  0.3668860829724789,
                  0.15265848873825724,
                  0.17530696851253785,
                  0.1920276752827911,
                  0.40447955733435775,
                  0.285933585114339,
                  0.16201068723797019,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.343414740971456,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.21691470457925532,
                  0.1543430699946016
                ],
                "crps": [
                  4.51400700034195,
                  4.497675937204131,
                  6.506841515422267,
                  2.1712794435848677,
                  26.419046687027606,
                  2.127100866730809,
                  2.278688111952342,
                  2.7210588800755438,
                  6.115746742265006,
                  2.0411731664633677,
                  17.76471353539401,
                  3.5159045912957483,
                  3.13469799731514,
                  4.629213275396581,
                  2.1768846564543547,
                  6.82251356975242,
                  6.936862622834509,
                  3.0143685612581375,
                  3.3923924985446168,
                  2.8387284425975645,
                  3.2894995038474364,
                  3.550036512889451,
                  4.385052668381305,
                  2.9426529840677604
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.674920399403526,
                  2.637398212409991,
                  5.54786431635389,
                  2.076207700785368,
                  34.28249991078239,
                  2.0856628172110057,
                  2.3437315827679472,
                  2.6602769523695353,
                  5.95174143690428,
                  2.5420943861841945,
                  15.72510138242277,
                  4.179451182954188,
                  2.085216845411654,
                  4.0937047249597684,
                  2.2900971059547115,
                  7.841787160003542,
                  6.476073885230757,
                  2.4043541490534586,
                  2.7661997358793817,
                  3.668076251614806,
                  2.404003843392272,
                  2.7090584880115154,
                  2.3942251507817365,
                  2.2230392708520568
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  4.41076055906251,
                  4.32957573046697,
                  6.419346589241487,
                  2.103670409700211,
                  26.17761187139669,
                  2.0245407779039097,
                  2.23602323990666,
                  2.571407002805138,
                  5.94968219104913,
                  1.9115354174256103,
                  17.682182688168773,
                  3.3857567374495594,
                  2.9944283377043965,
                  4.461937585691401,
                  2.1284789726200755,
                  6.619296512286511,
                  6.814386365825736,
                  2.922361905712335,
                  3.3108373017157327,
                  2.7083309394462836,
                  3.188548805541612,
                  3.452936910268413,
                  4.166138717320774,
                  2.757310361862866
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.4548094454165224,
                  2.4172161936748946,
                  5.333194544027777,
                  1.8549628212328,
                  34.12225179677904,
                  1.8644358450759109,
                  2.122993377234286,
                  2.4401382645813325,
                  5.73783658336709,
                  2.3217318677782153,
                  15.529706680297545,
                  3.9621897190875477,
                  1.8639890286330005,
                  3.876280862498442,
                  2.06925731997254,
                  7.631461938517677,
                  6.263162085572975,
                  2.1837307589862482,
                  2.5462616594235836,
                  3.4498462746206284,
                  2.1833797898673692,
                  2.4890121894953605,
                  2.173582577005678,
                  2.0020724813943143
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45251547048347884,
              "rpss": 0.001947550685030941,
              "brier_below": 0.22791141217241281,
              "bss_below": -0.0021785257735660313,
              "brier_above": 0.22460405843038464,
              "bss_above": 0.006099799544456275,
              "crps": 5.324422490462372,
              "crpss": -0.030011842976352288,
              "crps_fair": 5.196961913773865,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04906560598047993,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    1.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3251,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3497,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.91506,
                    0.08494,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3461,
                    0.4047,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3392,
                    0.4079,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5266236260321976,
                  0.5174020870618985,
                  0.3927965162257285,
                  0.45229321742613016,
                  0.4417613082716121,
                  0.39129062402794307,
                  0.38710644698763386,
                  0.5051351247381353
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5137612852478612,
                  0.49705237444422495,
                  0.4061007445054705,
                  0.44669599826620215,
                  0.4481977901053744,
                  0.3995579224080249,
                  0.3906212765735246,
                  0.4961503793308776
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.42083326172147045,
                  0.4002299825956815,
                  0.1349816505133488,
                  0.31815968751876456,
                  0.11656781908367231,
                  0.2034887229804956,
                  0.15339517759613483,
                  0.39283560559694963
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4021405089154269,
                  0.37912161362031016,
                  0.14453244502842236,
                  0.30843984040656025,
                  0.12589433667964914,
                  0.20523722232274816,
                  0.16125753035770213,
                  0.37806000678348534
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10579038282179942,
                  0.11717212256967549,
                  0.257814858569318,
                  0.13413354384536558,
                  0.32519347136198606,
                  0.1878019055187911,
                  0.2337112689847343,
                  0.1122995366986797
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11162079604670827,
                  0.11793077940987547,
                  0.26156829250705416,
                  0.1382561728111389,
                  0.3223034355309777,
                  0.1943207050116538,
                  0.22936374487601524,
                  0.11809039116878442
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.4695752137797715,
                  4.551660962264741,
                  4.123165784449876,
                  3.000588516998633,
                  8.697297920404123,
                  2.8154977807461643,
                  4.716373800118921,
                  3.4862845648121428
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.2326234694826756,
                  3.444075545420181,
                  4.664597692983636,
                  2.8485585347508224,
                  7.734730772827549,
                  3.0019126203171878,
                  4.262232370432686,
                  3.1582949283763986
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.4270747022951333,
                  4.463906313994474,
                  4.056816998363489,
                  2.9536228351211813,
                  8.634639418140878,
                  2.7560690250865796,
                  4.574040173395895,
                  3.436189385574784
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.000358402837215,
                  3.2118104787747215,
                  4.432332626338175,
                  2.616293468105364,
                  7.502465706182092,
                  2.7696475536717284,
                  4.029967303787228,
                  2.9260298617309384
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4518011188464099,
              "rpss": -0.004522111415909524,
              "brier_below": 0.26756148845081473,
              "bss_below": -0.017013676128602606,
              "brier_above": 0.1842396362962937,
              "bss_above": 0.013081904658701404,
              "crps": 4.357555567946797,
              "crpss": -0.07770169084680667,
              "crps_fair": 4.287794856496552,
              "crpss_fair": -0.12507675826126596,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.000867,
                    0.999133,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2644,
                    0.3154,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.5,
                    0.4558,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.001503,
                    0.998497,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.273,
                    0.3303,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2143,
                    0.2268,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5771465675637575,
                  0.48396489508025,
                  0.454995805346898,
                  0.4623407866047055,
                  0.4239740536047942,
                  0.36223645078933964,
                  0.3362815686549821,
                  0.46683893360573103
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5473323450214652,
                  0.45950886455856493,
                  0.47310563766181457,
                  0.45125841650166265,
                  0.43752409736537534,
                  0.3769753190502442,
                  0.34410807327585485,
                  0.4522036283839493
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.467217179671194,
                  0.37155435202178716,
                  0.09549667522003955,
                  0.3412317391229096,
                  0.12987085631077339,
                  0.167793495404538,
                  0.12492307192030996,
                  0.3377141305473933
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.43622124715583027,
                  0.34839776669293,
                  0.11202969533110177,
                  0.327320640209203,
                  0.141320167462079,
                  0.17256239240732962,
                  0.1394661409403721,
                  0.32190666733284123
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10992940680288418,
                  0.11241056237912528,
                  0.3594991060826183,
                  0.12110906406607866,
                  0.29410318457396606,
                  0.1944429584150397,
                  0.21135850163590209,
                  0.12912481907087314
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.36107591750173545,
                  0.12393779386708581,
                  0.2962039166743374,
                  0.20441292982746392,
                  0.2046419354790828,
                  0.1302969774886234
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.324661126266338,
                  3.6357657482946384,
                  5.244712983341535,
                  2.652566788050045,
                  9.70152703275625,
                  2.202886516602143,
                  4.032814985181297,
                  3.2127115152135843
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.5726443205176754,
                  2.4663219929375395,
                  5.77433068113816,
                  2.2030894884274272,
                  8.536670815597677,
                  2.154154910592676,
                  3.6369598104064913,
                  2.3797284899665048
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.2951399439544873,
                  3.5675867309094778,
                  5.176515894588561,
                  2.619045827141605,
                  9.650348279214638,
                  2.1621194821166343,
                  3.8652270275353073,
                  3.1698537453697666
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.366231987002849,
                  2.259909659422711,
                  5.567918347623332,
                  1.9966771549125995,
                  8.330258482082852,
                  1.9477425770778494,
                  3.4305474768916633,
                  2.1733161564516763
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44597238265630723,
              "rpss": -0.007273450107053714,
              "brier_below": 0.25447518752736814,
              "bss_below": -0.01829548342740428,
              "brier_above": 0.19149720037831092,
              "bss_above": 0.0070094383028757035,
              "crps": 4.250955836963229,
              "crpss": -0.14411790218246856,
              "crps_fair": 4.1882296163538095,
              "crpss_fair": -0.19354227014824144,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    1.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3086,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4164,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    1.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3382,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2452,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "ls": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7783961658554102,
            "training": [
              0.7528301088413772,
              0.7644908708834772,
              0.7484313242359897,
              0.7807143764996255,
              0.8607333934875211,
              0.7660294261712498,
              0.8144799301085967,
              0.7671767899473726,
              0.7764848571285302,
              0.779243175771329,
              0.7607986554790203,
              0.7823257138490604,
              0.7586898193365701,
              0.7654552522469764,
              0.7681306586231089,
              0.7780151139130487,
              0.761514901142957,
              0.770486890467508,
              0.8215489129930446,
              0.7760918587465038,
              0.7891336349627762,
              0.7893786316846165,
              0.7750625701767989,
              0.7742611138327888
            ],
            "test": 0.8198548406524585
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46981456569156466,
                  0.47095356839701197,
                  0.5781620452718108,
                  0.4538710604023306,
                  0.48456627117542506,
                  0.4346395083143075,
                  0.40214577789354605,
                  0.4224357641551408,
                  0.5521572858584509,
                  0.4290272687172322,
                  0.5803319245352608,
                  0.45975012462133874,
                  0.4066683373875527,
                  0.43430215998674915,
                  0.4434071163581625,
                  0.5196783980801267,
                  0.47515303249127394,
                  0.4080013917848151,
                  0.41348106096526116,
                  0.430291622651657,
                  0.38978180874072826,
                  0.39581196328716267,
                  0.38234678232002905,
                  0.4370990597500403
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4973013035288361,
                  0.5299108613891841,
                  0.49682096989761637,
                  0.45140321943555783,
                  0.5120439264472348,
                  0.41031169960340397,
                  0.47797132071856974,
                  0.45308842078032785,
                  0.5043277834760528,
                  0.4169267074583939,
                  0.5103230589589499,
                  0.439774482865257,
                  0.3965890932152538,
                  0.3999865075263042,
                  0.4105095366915584,
                  0.495347056515228,
                  0.4525412471251873,
                  0.4026341732498444,
                  0.4947135575342954,
                  0.4107579478352957,
                  0.4281083690429166,
                  0.4373547673375428,
                  0.3794648521113215,
                  0.46535364949831176
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.34607031222306833,
                  0.35918494018580566,
                  0.19002365617038489,
                  0.1895844039468805,
                  0.12489962646611631,
                  0.20555125411334632,
                  0.29108782657381854,
                  0.2825693344798969,
                  0.15928980459805958,
                  0.17867343239123,
                  0.1706674883234424,
                  0.17168703523397547,
                  0.2493938740274831,
                  0.19420296359775907,
                  0.20225364305852214,
                  0.18519387458157732,
                  0.21313034084473256,
                  0.22417502926072952,
                  0.3096482309694834,
                  0.18049509222428223,
                  0.2724027762962363,
                  0.2875777262498091,
                  0.18966186389225817,
                  0.3120773368950284
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3742768451297219,
                  0.40873323143582757,
                  0.13866980785737074,
                  0.18456937257153472,
                  0.1256044036343616,
                  0.18760042277090966,
                  0.34539584613599755,
                  0.3109003023417131,
                  0.12201400407191382,
                  0.16742828213175504,
                  0.1244088544959247,
                  0.15170887566157665,
                  0.2434586977209261,
                  0.1637619591020418,
                  0.1668761402054322,
                  0.16458520031461277,
                  0.20321388944011462,
                  0.21596862310093545,
                  0.36773408199884783,
                  0.16227747027615622,
                  0.2938514971990294,
                  0.31090927642329086,
                  0.1849857245631276,
                  0.33273847477773943
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12374425248361007,
                  0.11176862767017266,
                  0.38813838761579944,
                  0.26428665745187624,
                  0.3596666444955651,
                  0.22908825315305853,
                  0.11105795267709838,
                  0.13986642937279667,
                  0.3928674808649967,
                  0.25035383637311853,
                  0.40966443517999374,
                  0.2880630897985933,
                  0.15727446221385252,
                  0.24009919671508445,
                  0.2411534732500735,
                  0.3344845233372914,
                  0.2620226906772517,
                  0.18382636205208944,
                  0.10383283134766207,
                  0.24979653022090686,
                  0.11737903350672775,
                  0.10823423758758886,
                  0.19268491821177758,
                  0.12502172286666569
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12302445839911424,
                  0.12117762995335662,
                  0.35815116204024555,
                  0.26683384686402306,
                  0.38643952281287314,
                  0.22271127683249428,
                  0.13257547458257218,
                  0.14218811843861479,
                  0.38231377940413913,
                  0.24949842532663888,
                  0.38591420446302543,
                  0.2880656072036803,
                  0.15313039549432772,
                  0.2362245484242624,
                  0.2436333964861261,
                  0.3307618562006153,
                  0.24932735768507294,
                  0.18666555014890895,
                  0.12697947553544767,
                  0.24848047755913946,
                  0.13425687184388715,
                  0.12644549091425192,
                  0.19447912754819396,
                  0.13261517472057238
                ],
                "crps": [
                  4.510760256695111,
                  4.183348844254022,
                  15.432787690530207,
                  7.45276993533525,
                  17.49355051610492,
                  5.399101179348974,
                  2.743230652475988,
                  4.664952214810945,
                  9.068664865680171,
                  4.9521742223413945,
                  16.72750188752867,
                  6.079764749205963,
                  4.42660847513565,
                  6.706185471018779,
                  6.131678745484511,
                  10.327713858147996,
                  6.870902580246244,
                  3.2798660857302036,
                  2.529500785715371,
                  4.633295641989636,
                  2.8634467988078907,
                  2.5761148677817878,
                  5.259345692594125,
                  3.674539289272825
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.3942682418184753,
                  3.592082216148263,
                  11.21710177556662,
                  5.807811897394496,
                  27.273601914436462,
                  3.5784752533248567,
                  3.4807211044876976,
                  3.1460002230570745,
                  7.545217676196043,
                  3.8249735735183252,
                  13.840864383262339,
                  4.430030997054808,
                  2.8001820448761534,
                  4.516117521457113,
                  4.888260025218961,
                  8.339483640689286,
                  4.951633793647444,
                  2.997413909666159,
                  3.4711294001341106,
                  3.627536580866378,
                  2.846454770181788,
                  3.161925584164043,
                  3.3250528086483198,
                  3.5450641992642202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  4.130994437249333,
                  3.762996697159844,
                  15.173670966176669,
                  7.235366174115341,
                  16.885602481176463,
                  5.18354248583195,
                  2.595263148348602,
                  4.2028265913795995,
                  8.661565674549422,
                  4.627630214507407,
                  16.447612083255756,
                  5.6790337226737115,
                  3.970436903786808,
                  6.329709742088342,
                  5.933953125437363,
                  9.908619852354578,
                  6.484568437307914,
                  2.98235041361617,
                  2.3071644938600797,
                  4.300396631801648,
                  2.5966320343751326,
                  2.336419245081136,
                  4.793831709994694,
                  3.216506369197958
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.147316707451114,
                  3.345505329459557,
                  10.984966213801052,
                  5.565431468435425,
                  27.0718763908127,
                  3.331872595873229,
                  3.2339333066026654,
                  2.898578484108726,
                  7.306127788484703,
                  3.578837768945852,
                  13.61369806885984,
                  4.185041134572365,
                  2.552105347257009,
                  4.271290701634523,
                  4.644138020744405,
                  8.101898044577364,
                  4.707631815249459,
                  2.7497107572454813,
                  3.224323436142348,
                  3.3810268425956997,
                  2.5984657102999638,
                  2.914534006884459,
                  3.0779701844454106,
                  3.298398263301115
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4530782457848741,
              "rpss": -2.8820962452824617e-05,
              "brier_below": 0.22872924444183027,
              "bss_below": -0.006939263443584531,
              "brier_above": 0.22434900121348544,
              "bss_above": 0.006919575538316458,
              "crps": 6.582825221093194,
              "crpss": -0.13170642490379425,
              "crps_fair": 6.2394455681385805,
              "crpss_fair": -0.11931123533648913,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.003803,
                    0.506287,
                    0.48991,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2922,
                    0.3674,
                    0.428,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1905,
                    0.3227,
                    0.3771,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.114692,
                    0.873568,
                    0.011741,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2924,
                    0.3365,
                    0.409,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3156,
                    0.3457,
                    0.5569,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4523655512739925,
                  0.4338914030427107,
                  0.53358662863063,
                  0.36553315867669495,
                  0.5116016142385758,
                  0.3596621041039354,
                  0.3599982857100284,
                  0.39897174663757967,
                  0.576795140400527,
                  0.396370121685365,
                  0.6594281466137161,
                  0.5297257185652721,
                  0.37307890163065477,
                  0.400460776502546,
                  0.3880207355571849,
                  0.5711821451036476,
                  0.4942066555408112,
                  0.4036782069736324,
                  0.41062026106114574,
                  0.5203448960923186,
                  0.41744137586739216,
                  0.37721233728949255,
                  0.43677766753454067,
                  0.3906159755793832
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5271012360586466,
                  0.5237026442993877,
                  0.47266510161074154,
                  0.4183814440705189,
                  0.5463137956783317,
                  0.3948310621955931,
                  0.406559211835899,
                  0.4283146824891483,
                  0.49352864176266736,
                  0.37069796075288813,
                  0.544586430341869,
                  0.4920445637631002,
                  0.3565574427493965,
                  0.3975457708734299,
                  0.3515003838097367,
                  0.5287991675877444,
                  0.4852899981103904,
                  0.42598321042574033,
                  0.5180054420460954,
                  0.46522910237657855,
                  0.5021412600717393,
                  0.4343952633284925,
                  0.40487741793271564,
                  0.39251245424822917
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.34522614649403166,
                  0.3329054944489773,
                  0.1997062393998331,
                  0.2562875444237743,
                  0.12078532875054504,
                  0.22703804350299878,
                  0.2503009366562695,
                  0.227398666587222,
                  0.17634410950076623,
                  0.15400589702608558,
                  0.18787578257176307,
                  0.15854226881884817,
                  0.22338413160143633,
                  0.22898832373603797,
                  0.20805457052303256,
                  0.16124849515189776,
                  0.20099132425018487,
                  0.25286205304987247,
                  0.31611138593686594,
                  0.16349291418652567,
                  0.31787931266986735,
                  0.2823638343993121,
                  0.2124575661180284,
                  0.24608525109420673
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4061182447841931,
                  0.40271965302493434,
                  0.159291887101158,
                  0.2832363680142811,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.2529029231506273,
                  0.2730640226173197,
                  0.24952665149579165,
                  0.12265985005988321,
                  0.12767684799994297,
                  0.1218471520520865,
                  0.12515848079062122,
                  0.20389895401113928,
                  0.22223880236089205,
                  0.1594727085269456,
                  0.12431961025338657,
                  0.19935641299605145,
                  0.2639725231877702,
                  0.3970224507716421,
                  0.12181436140512257,
                  0.3811582687972861,
                  0.3134122720540391,
                  0.18796271335346026,
                  0.23816938425362752
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10713940472697653,
                  0.10098590894569652,
                  0.3338803876911464,
                  0.10924561565739858,
                  0.390816284498126,
                  0.1326240607200356,
                  0.10969735031374257,
                  0.17157308036486363,
                  0.4004510284901566,
                  0.2423642239454052,
                  0.47155236095922537,
                  0.37118345020311316,
                  0.1496947688977903,
                  0.17147245355895513,
                  0.1799661651021108,
                  0.4099336495034146,
                  0.29321533183568027,
                  0.15081615422104394,
                  0.09450887676886369,
                  0.3568519807794816,
                  0.09956206482984423,
                  0.09484850465947095,
                  0.2243201005922325,
                  0.14453072532740832
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.31337321450958355,
                  0.1351450760562379,
                  0.4253308044038784,
                  0.1419281390449658,
                  0.13349518921857934,
                  0.17878803099335663,
                  0.3708687917027841,
                  0.24302111275294516,
                  0.4227392782897825,
                  0.3668860829724789,
                  0.15265848873825724,
                  0.17530696851253785,
                  0.1920276752827911,
                  0.40447955733435775,
                  0.285933585114339,
                  0.16201068723797019,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.343414740971456,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.21691470457925532,
                  0.1543430699946016
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.7459719402859952,
                  3.07463771607404,
                  8.899940479557632,
                  2.800362913944556,
                  20.666279228080743,
                  2.842809654423089,
                  2.47386033508793,
                  4.279586112924393,
                  8.350207081020613,
                  3.6774077208795743,
                  19.187555540161874,
                  5.488973715388772,
                  2.9707478872890656,
                  5.258453835580492,
                  3.4681582961479935,
                  9.083529754395878,
                  8.303292864804979,
                  2.118097266605798,
                  2.020143540856591,
                  4.743892318727861,
                  2.205266982891678,
                  2.1542837547212845,
                  5.0509741743534775,
                  3.204092153633647
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.674920399403526,
                  2.637398212409991,
                  5.54786431635389,
                  2.076207700785368,
                  34.28249991078239,
                  2.0856628172110057,
                  2.3437315827679472,
                  2.6602769523695353,
                  5.95174143690428,
                  2.5420943861841945,
                  15.72510138242277,
                  4.179451182954188,
                  2.085216845411654,
                  4.0937047249597684,
                  2.2900971059547115,
                  7.841787160003542,
                  6.476073885230757,
                  2.4043541490534586,
                  2.7661997358793817,
                  3.668076251614806,
                  2.404003843392272,
                  2.7090584880115154,
                  2.3942251507817365,
                  2.2230392708520568
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.518260655759482,
                  2.690380818577839,
                  8.713957799780088,
                  2.64970351589199,
                  20.078347054051886,
                  2.6212615584863097,
                  2.3807610727392756,
                  3.900082118356618,
                  7.9508049385416335,
                  3.394508919174932,
                  19.02774278526007,
                  5.1837193692956465,
                  2.66617875625498,
                  4.878510265612803,
                  3.356410821934893,
                  8.637171318914788,
                  8.03122819841049,
                  1.870916980946524,
                  1.8348150996605763,
                  4.416822375047003,
                  1.9638070539740002,
                  1.9394003505851616,
                  4.524443291865136,
                  2.7357880981281855
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.4548094454165224,
                  2.4172161936748946,
                  5.333194544027777,
                  1.8549628212328,
                  34.12225179677904,
                  1.8644358450759109,
                  2.122993377234286,
                  2.4401382645813325,
                  5.73783658336709,
                  2.3217318677782153,
                  15.529706680297545,
                  3.9621897190875477,
                  1.8639890286330005,
                  3.876280862498442,
                  2.06925731997254,
                  7.631461938517677,
                  6.263162085572975,
                  2.1837307589862482,
                  2.5462616594235836,
                  3.4498462746206284,
                  2.1833797898673692,
                  2.4890121894953605,
                  2.173582577005678,
                  2.0020724813943143
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44839873142965736,
              "rpss": 0.01102728776333961,
              "brier_below": 0.2270973175374326,
              "bss_below": 0.0014012342452408566,
              "brier_above": 0.2213014138580076,
              "bss_above": 0.02071440235020361,
              "crps": 5.627855219493248,
              "crpss": -0.08871103617679554,
              "crps_fair": 5.33187596738543,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07629953529448597,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.000458,
                    0.35884,
                    0.640702,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2946,
                    0.3685,
                    0.4327,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.2382,
                    0.4124,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.157304,
                    0.832672,
                    0.010024,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2925,
                    0.3305,
                    0.4099,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2782,
                    0.3508,
                    0.9086,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4266007716464176,
                  0.45092407796753964,
                  0.42644670917491256,
                  0.4055707057899547,
                  0.4966127634215245,
                  0.40844004040435017,
                  0.3986991962243379,
                  0.42651433601279615
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5137612852478612,
                  0.49705237444422495,
                  0.4061007445054705,
                  0.44669599826620215,
                  0.4481977901053744,
                  0.3995579224080249,
                  0.3906212765735246,
                  0.4961503793308776
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3345808170794453,
                  0.34187706330706963,
                  0.16599389872690296,
                  0.28041030856396293,
                  0.16150367948920538,
                  0.2178003722479962,
                  0.16641646652311015,
                  0.3251892471138539
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4021405089154269,
                  0.37912161362031016,
                  0.14453244502842236,
                  0.30843984040656025,
                  0.12589433667964914,
                  0.20523722232274816,
                  0.16125753035770213,
                  0.37806000678348534
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09201997174913396,
                  0.10904703228294371,
                  0.2604528025905625,
                  0.1251604101524571,
                  0.33510906467815,
                  0.19063967200962154,
                  0.23228272948892356,
                  0.10132510544725482
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11162079604670827,
                  0.11793077940987547,
                  0.26156829250705416,
                  0.1382561728111389,
                  0.3223034355309777,
                  0.1943207050116538,
                  0.22936374487601524,
                  0.11809039116878442
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.0929363833057764,
                  3.079689214086566,
                  5.766746374912865,
                  3.0687245265151484,
                  10.87624024612564,
                  3.853603448260453,
                  7.167609116703271,
                  2.3379436639333933
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.2326234694826756,
                  3.444075545420181,
                  4.664597692983636,
                  2.8485585347508224,
                  7.734730772827549,
                  3.0019126203171878,
                  4.262232370432686,
                  3.1582949283763986
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.000805517439019,
                  2.8871368509798723,
                  5.622618803385625,
                  2.967274850652033,
                  10.736030057151572,
                  3.7239232008156944,
                  6.854280334038541,
                  2.2275495948105886
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.000358402837215,
                  3.2118104787747215,
                  4.432332626338175,
                  2.616293468105364,
                  7.502465706182092,
                  2.7696475536717284,
                  4.029967303787228,
                  2.9260298617309384
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42997607508022917,
              "rpss": 0.04400308724169166,
              "brier_below": 0.2492214816314433,
              "bss_below": 0.05269754376177904,
              "brier_above": 0.1807545985498809,
              "bss_above": 0.03175023729343873,
              "crps": 4.780436621730389,
              "crpss": -0.18228776429632854,
              "crps_fair": 4.627452401159118,
              "crpss_fair": -0.21419968089571761,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.00941,
                    0.633367,
                    0.357222,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2941,
                    0.3726,
                    0.4143,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0466,
                    0.4473,
                    0.482,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.247528,
                    0.748085,
                    0.004386,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2943,
                    0.3214,
                    0.4072,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0928,
                    0.2713,
                    0.1999,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4389893945700047,
                  0.4095894925628949,
                  0.5159559934203359,
                  0.3929591267481645,
                  0.4776028092853485,
                  0.4053719265666556,
                  0.3407731534399192,
                  0.41621945230081736
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5473323450214652,
                  0.45950886455856493,
                  0.47310563766181457,
                  0.45125841650166265,
                  0.43752409736537534,
                  0.3769753190502442,
                  0.34410807327585485,
                  0.4522036283839493
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3485722745859759,
                  0.3133353874964607,
                  0.14526032553358084,
                  0.287302746965278,
                  0.1726291435569431,
                  0.2025566074730702,
                  0.13579677754947872,
                  0.2984142100081727
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.43622124715583027,
                  0.34839776669293,
                  0.11202969533110177,
                  0.327320640209203,
                  0.141320167462079,
                  0.17256239240732962,
                  0.1394661409403721,
                  0.32190666733284123
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09041713693888805,
                  0.09625412289446224,
                  0.3706956429565333,
                  0.10565639448179034,
                  0.30497365080949157,
                  0.20281532105002253,
                  0.2049763813286215,
                  0.11780525720079565
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.36107591750173545,
                  0.12393779386708581,
                  0.2962039166743374,
                  0.20441292982746392,
                  0.2046419354790828,
                  0.1302969774886234
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.5859211482736415,
                  2.45856159437831,
                  6.862588806566255,
                  2.081712837848303,
                  11.316266745925683,
                  2.8102112654175695,
                  7.188577090762851,
                  1.905974548622744
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.5726443205176754,
                  2.4663219929375395,
                  5.77433068113816,
                  2.2030894884274272,
                  8.536670815597677,
                  2.154154910592676,
                  3.6369598104064913,
                  2.3797284899665048
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.520261551553797,
                  2.3023360118886202,
                  6.712566678055733,
                  2.0073999676324195,
                  11.197233915411895,
                  2.720767611931326,
                  6.806966264233337,
                  1.8045626880370635
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.366231987002849,
                  2.259909659422711,
                  5.567918347623332,
                  1.9966771549125995,
                  8.330258482082852,
                  1.9477425770778494,
                  3.4305474768916633,
                  2.1733161564516763
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4246826686117676,
              "rpss": 0.04081150885320206,
              "brier_below": 0.23798343414612005,
              "bss_below": 0.04769711154854972,
              "brier_above": 0.18669923845757563,
              "bss_above": 0.03188881457187698,
              "crps": 4.526226754724419,
              "crpss": -0.21820533029034617,
              "crps_fair": 4.384011836093023,
              "crpss_fair": -0.24933537998390398,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.020983,
                    0.509031,
                    0.469986,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2946,
                    0.371,
                    0.4149,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0493,
                    0.4004,
                    0.45,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.252799,
                    0.733769,
                    0.013432,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2956,
                    0.322,
                    0.4072,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0961,
                    0.2978,
                    0.1796,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "vs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8999005539195268,
            "training": [
              0.8840712388866462,
              0.893548690056061,
              0.8741669771878983,
              0.8974818793697262,
              0.9670961521175989,
              0.904703471386229,
              0.9264038267579318,
              0.8905084424420544,
              0.8891900297499737,
              0.9014484433365014,
              0.856887428843595,
              0.8972422671884112,
              0.8914925732650496,
              0.8960473005002456,
              0.8995250521020179,
              0.8934291215145802,
              0.8898712568906846,
              0.9062030377659709,
              0.9294774406285162,
              0.8957537140158063,
              0.9104567441245435,
              0.9046681723569479,
              0.8964818952850129,
              0.9014581382966432
            ],
            "test": 0.8887890585820647
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5279249464381416,
                  0.5584769799831326,
                  0.5026498387423994,
                  0.44706077892832236,
                  0.4988753707131498,
                  0.4092274261527717,
                  0.47666088584046684,
                  0.4662140749679147,
                  0.4881825069260888,
                  0.4058596695113536,
                  0.505475800631329,
                  0.4266578057661206,
                  0.40003412334172395,
                  0.39538183027043744,
                  0.4024854817751222,
                  0.4860032063205363,
                  0.4510677476894927,
                  0.40057145020605756,
                  0.49597204669570927,
                  0.398479652068886,
                  0.43102114819188836,
                  0.44452867983936,
                  0.3697958960777453,
                  0.47502358011198575
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4973013035288361,
                  0.5299108613891841,
                  0.49682096989761637,
                  0.45140321943555783,
                  0.5120439264472348,
                  0.41031169960340397,
                  0.47797132071856974,
                  0.45308842078032785,
                  0.5043277834760528,
                  0.4169267074583939,
                  0.5103230589589499,
                  0.439774482865257,
                  0.3965890932152538,
                  0.3999865075263042,
                  0.4105095366915584,
                  0.495347056515228,
                  0.4525412471251873,
                  0.4026341732498444,
                  0.4947135575342954,
                  0.4107579478352957,
                  0.4281083690429166,
                  0.4373547673375428,
                  0.3794648521113215,
                  0.46535364949831176
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.400088243009449,
                  0.4373775591792095,
                  0.13094258388592872,
                  0.18146979312629605,
                  0.1197157024479118,
                  0.18352119360346145,
                  0.3506333329321584,
                  0.32175079027309395,
                  0.107148847215843,
                  0.15869245555603734,
                  0.11242421896581412,
                  0.1416758293131869,
                  0.2463338257045581,
                  0.15636337487521412,
                  0.16156067224979562,
                  0.1585098526489956,
                  0.1976232426532646,
                  0.21543781699942532,
                  0.37631909234283595,
                  0.15258275341055497,
                  0.3012932486939702,
                  0.3230617648601826,
                  0.17762643976034362,
                  0.3449969902249977
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3742768451297219,
                  0.40873323143582757,
                  0.13866980785737074,
                  0.18456937257153472,
                  0.1256044036343616,
                  0.18760042277090966,
                  0.34539584613599755,
                  0.3109003023417131,
                  0.12201400407191382,
                  0.16742828213175504,
                  0.1244088544959247,
                  0.15170887566157665,
                  0.2434586977209261,
                  0.1637619591020418,
                  0.1668761402054322,
                  0.16458520031461277,
                  0.20321388944011462,
                  0.21596862310093545,
                  0.36773408199884783,
                  0.16227747027615622,
                  0.2938514971990294,
                  0.31090927642329086,
                  0.1849857245631276,
                  0.33273847477773943
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1278367034441525,
                  0.12109942100327757,
                  0.3717072547222334,
                  0.26559098591186164,
                  0.3791596680863742,
                  0.2257062326265292,
                  0.1260275531914407,
                  0.144463284663809,
                  0.38103365964067315,
                  0.24716721404085593,
                  0.3930515817911715,
                  0.2849819764458585,
                  0.15370029749823721,
                  0.2390184555144753,
                  0.24092480985336548,
                  0.32749335375734356,
                  0.2534445048357854,
                  0.18513363332756505,
                  0.11965295481476063,
                  0.24589689879974672,
                  0.12972789967389176,
                  0.121466915444574,
                  0.19216945638211758,
                  0.13002658984489596
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12302445839911424,
                  0.12117762995335662,
                  0.35815116204024555,
                  0.26683384686402306,
                  0.38643952281287314,
                  0.22271127683249428,
                  0.13257547458257218,
                  0.14218811843861479,
                  0.38231377940413913,
                  0.24949842532663888,
                  0.38591420446302543,
                  0.2880656072036803,
                  0.15313039549432772,
                  0.2362245484242624,
                  0.2436333964861261,
                  0.3307618562006153,
                  0.24932735768507294,
                  0.18666555014890895,
                  0.12697947553544767,
                  0.24848047755913946,
                  0.13425687184388715,
                  0.12644549091425192,
                  0.19447912754819396,
                  0.13261517472057238
                ],
                "crps": [
                  4.99023361968985,
                  5.04715706212972,
                  13.361850367997508,
                  6.225436847019879,
                  20.366008075215905,
                  3.6350580440322107,
                  2.6046769714840794,
                  3.9120884421642295,
                  7.393960757545589,
                  3.5648931728562716,
                  15.389437599661175,
                  4.215169887619752,
                  3.8509916692974073,
                  4.932462053162831,
                  4.894398142067625,
                  8.416337359058204,
                  5.419944113476991,
                  2.7375411253421125,
                  2.8269683914658112,
                  3.2033243096420847,
                  2.4344784587442514,
                  3.0258607248853595,
                  4.146449890306732,
                  3.9601073583903004
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.3942682418184753,
                  3.592082216148263,
                  11.21710177556662,
                  5.807811897394496,
                  27.273601914436462,
                  3.5784752533248567,
                  3.4807211044876976,
                  3.1460002230570745,
                  7.545217676196043,
                  3.8249735735183252,
                  13.840864383262339,
                  4.430030997054808,
                  2.8001820448761534,
                  4.516117521457113,
                  4.888260025218961,
                  8.339483640689286,
                  4.951633793647444,
                  2.997413909666159,
                  3.4711294001341106,
                  3.627536580866378,
                  2.846454770181788,
                  3.161925584164043,
                  3.3250528086483198,
                  3.5450641992642202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  4.792612118113043,
                  4.824110740734308,
                  13.224312408045,
                  6.112065245254502,
                  20.082619500108727,
                  3.5171093741151207,
                  2.5300681886607435,
                  3.6769953130823256,
                  7.179139050248299,
                  3.388832195508243,
                  15.23563023000949,
                  4.005226883436067,
                  3.6181590900449505,
                  4.7306573551896225,
                  4.794217640169744,
                  8.19104187458697,
                  5.2081946796917205,
                  2.5926644505269114,
                  2.708973074139304,
                  3.033412878533359,
                  2.29901268543453,
                  2.897954572651743,
                  3.90058018417747,
                  3.728990891259503
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.147316707451114,
                  3.345505329459557,
                  10.984966213801052,
                  5.565431468435425,
                  27.0718763908127,
                  3.331872595873229,
                  3.2339333066026654,
                  2.898578484108726,
                  7.306127788484703,
                  3.578837768945852,
                  13.61369806885984,
                  4.185041134572365,
                  2.552105347257009,
                  4.271290701634523,
                  4.644138020744405,
                  8.101898044577364,
                  4.707631815249459,
                  2.7497107572454813,
                  3.224323436142348,
                  3.3810268425956997,
                  2.5984657102999638,
                  2.914534006884459,
                  3.0779701844454106,
                  3.298398263301115
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4526512886329223,
              "rpss": 0.0009135536963177371,
              "brier_below": 0.22738123433052204,
              "bss_below": -0.0010048919472434026,
              "brier_above": 0.22527005438812484,
              "bss_above": 0.0028425354236948364,
              "crps": 5.856451435135661,
              "crpss": -0.006829665633962145,
              "crps_fair": 5.67802419265507,
              "crpss_fair": -0.018596316603055607,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.000327,
                    0.999673,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2777,
                    0.3282,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.8853,
                    0.3487,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.000861,
                    0.963698,
                    0.035441,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2781,
                    0.3439,
                    0.4121,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2925,
                    0.344,
                    0.3665,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5698392446679983,
                  0.5582424778942822,
                  0.47594673184654496,
                  0.4190948693045602,
                  0.5284812019257343,
                  0.40459774389843195,
                  0.406243420116277,
                  0.4359148550078061,
                  0.47987463051752155,
                  0.34551805744863345,
                  0.5431478962344799,
                  0.4669262248581657,
                  0.351404887936081,
                  0.4001244407831288,
                  0.33686416684021414,
                  0.5014418941701472,
                  0.4876833926928628,
                  0.4334489180467978,
                  0.5271801619249392,
                  0.44400351140525884,
                  0.5208673739435502,
                  0.4459753346446099,
                  0.39470713187852613,
                  0.38632064165105157
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5271012360586466,
                  0.5237026442993877,
                  0.47266510161074154,
                  0.4183814440705189,
                  0.5463137956783317,
                  0.3948310621955931,
                  0.406559211835899,
                  0.4283146824891483,
                  0.49352864176266736,
                  0.37069796075288813,
                  0.544586430341869,
                  0.4920445637631002,
                  0.3565574427493965,
                  0.3975457708734299,
                  0.3515003838097367,
                  0.5287991675877444,
                  0.4852899981103904,
                  0.42598321042574033,
                  0.5180054420460954,
                  0.46522910237657855,
                  0.5021412600717393,
                  0.4343952633284925,
                  0.40487741793271564,
                  0.39251245424822917
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4448919923570683,
                  0.43664280298438196,
                  0.15188602229390505,
                  0.29280507124381877,
                  0.11365701767584693,
                  0.2585698208826501,
                  0.27789238952444234,
                  0.25287697646926366,
                  0.10699717217038444,
                  0.11005991612418478,
                  0.10525406725099598,
                  0.10687729730538023,
                  0.2019151945158505,
                  0.2203970194248675,
                  0.1506384762135773,
                  0.10846846145959019,
                  0.19636983203327824,
                  0.27140453667956754,
                  0.4118552331766689,
                  0.10418685052396454,
                  0.40208175362509024,
                  0.32935324349207173,
                  0.17969446936621566,
                  0.23661830792776653
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4061182447841931,
                  0.40271965302493434,
                  0.159291887101158,
                  0.2832363680142811,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.2529029231506273,
                  0.2730640226173197,
                  0.24952665149579165,
                  0.12265985005988321,
                  0.12767684799994297,
                  0.1218471520520865,
                  0.12515848079062122,
                  0.20389895401113928,
                  0.22223880236089205,
                  0.1594727085269456,
                  0.12431961025338657,
                  0.19935641299605145,
                  0.2639725231877702,
                  0.3970224507716421,
                  0.12181436140512257,
                  0.3811582687972861,
                  0.3134122720540391,
                  0.18796271335346026,
                  0.23816938425362752
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12494725291799112,
                  0.12159967555381775,
                  0.3240607093846338,
                  0.12628979874804958,
                  0.41482418397111914,
                  0.14602792344793394,
                  0.12835103114631174,
                  0.18303787872360083,
                  0.3728774574291778,
                  0.23545814109637278,
                  0.4378938281280193,
                  0.360048927372197,
                  0.14948969331526707,
                  0.17972742170573647,
                  0.1862256911145375,
                  0.3929734324132063,
                  0.2913135608732697,
                  0.16204438174522517,
                  0.11532492958322936,
                  0.3398166608032279,
                  0.11878562087810995,
                  0.11662209214351833,
                  0.21501266224911778,
                  0.14970233394741325
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.31337321450958355,
                  0.1351450760562379,
                  0.4253308044038784,
                  0.1419281390449658,
                  0.13349518921857934,
                  0.17878803099335663,
                  0.3708687917027841,
                  0.24302111275294516,
                  0.4227392782897825,
                  0.3668860829724789,
                  0.15265848873825724,
                  0.17530696851253785,
                  0.1920276752827911,
                  0.40447955733435775,
                  0.285933585114339,
                  0.16201068723797019,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.343414740971456,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.21691470457925532,
                  0.1543430699946016
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.93214821336466,
                  3.858897709584645,
                  6.6740930964786305,
                  1.6811810887141196,
                  26.084056190051538,
                  1.9723192511427006,
                  1.637591495790926,
                  2.7457417521275294,
                  6.309267220344435,
                  2.1256502827302928,
                  17.848543825369475,
                  3.7012084070425386,
                  2.8276622351911223,
                  4.370778460339216,
                  2.018578871684864,
                  7.120655471432554,
                  7.007876714557109,
                  2.3645244396732945,
                  2.574450239123294,
                  2.986938811016669,
                  2.587419016430766,
                  2.8478993832787087,
                  4.16470502159214,
                  2.321522367824238
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.674920399403526,
                  2.637398212409991,
                  5.54786431635389,
                  2.076207700785368,
                  34.28249991078239,
                  2.0856628172110057,
                  2.3437315827679472,
                  2.6602769523695353,
                  5.95174143690428,
                  2.5420943861841945,
                  15.72510138242277,
                  4.179451182954188,
                  2.085216845411654,
                  4.0937047249597684,
                  2.2900971059547115,
                  7.841787160003542,
                  6.476073885230757,
                  2.4043541490534586,
                  2.7661997358793817,
                  3.668076251614806,
                  2.404003843392272,
                  2.7090584880115154,
                  2.3942251507817365,
                  2.2230392708520568
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.810396529262438,
                  3.659040798449402,
                  6.571467914380303,
                  1.6009066094896256,
                  25.837080566132542,
                  1.8533737092231697,
                  1.588975812736086,
                  2.5695083964179806,
                  6.114889053888583,
                  1.9718199492613024,
                  17.752490248806712,
                  3.546049863268346,
                  2.6615442221002303,
                  4.176964161262694,
                  1.9619519490845354,
                  6.880068178022595,
                  6.864210602714391,
                  2.258653227817814,
                  2.479477734917595,
                  2.829855897412681,
                  2.470172572747329,
                  2.732840270642291,
                  3.8992376617932645,
                  2.0972863312656087
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.4548094454165224,
                  2.4172161936748946,
                  5.333194544027777,
                  1.8549628212328,
                  34.12225179677904,
                  1.8644358450759109,
                  2.122993377234286,
                  2.4401382645813325,
                  5.73783658336709,
                  2.3217318677782153,
                  15.529706680297545,
                  3.9621897190875477,
                  1.8639890286330005,
                  3.876280862498442,
                  2.06925731997254,
                  7.631461938517677,
                  6.263162085572975,
                  2.1837307589862482,
                  2.5462616594235836,
                  3.4498462746206284,
                  2.1833797898673692,
                  2.4890121894953605,
                  2.173582577005678,
                  2.0020724813943143
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45266038373490014,
              "rpss": 0.00162793503660974,
              "brier_below": 0.22797474686336797,
              "bss_below": -0.0024570228729730026,
              "brier_above": 0.22468563702879515,
              "bss_above": 0.00573880435193963,
              "crps": 5.073487898536894,
              "crpss": 0.018531562803085766,
              "crps_fair": 4.92451092754573,
              "crpss_fair": 0.005931710472787177,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    1.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3231,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3497,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.919024,
                    0.080976,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3436,
                    0.4121,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3461,
                    0.3327,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5230124167666519,
                  0.5157631320919167,
                  0.39177796226948663,
                  0.4505480342178847,
                  0.44326667668093533,
                  0.39034560057775386,
                  0.38518586971515945,
                  0.5011045585516428
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5137612852478612,
                  0.49705237444422495,
                  0.4061007445054705,
                  0.44669599826620215,
                  0.4481977901053744,
                  0.3995579224080249,
                  0.3906212765735246,
                  0.4961503793308776
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4193497138296383,
                  0.3998731076917145,
                  0.13426547336297084,
                  0.3183151439834888,
                  0.116838100119288,
                  0.20412458212507248,
                  0.15138974703007332,
                  0.3908526167771717
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4021405089154269,
                  0.37912161362031016,
                  0.14453244502842236,
                  0.30843984040656025,
                  0.12589433667964914,
                  0.20523722232274816,
                  0.16125753035770213,
                  0.37806000678348534
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10366272124421394,
                  0.11589004241992928,
                  0.2575124817041815,
                  0.1322329040265495,
                  0.32642855865694204,
                  0.18622102277363273,
                  0.23379612242815342,
                  0.11025195917733581
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11162079604670827,
                  0.11793077940987547,
                  0.26156829250705416,
                  0.1382561728111389,
                  0.3223034355309777,
                  0.1943207050116538,
                  0.22936374487601524,
                  0.11809039116878442
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.6264380388344466,
                  3.848347049562005,
                  4.123334782862328,
                  2.460672300824086,
                  8.8638717848892,
                  2.5490654878067662,
                  4.961607482146083,
                  2.682574734550792
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.2326234694826756,
                  3.444075545420181,
                  4.664597692983636,
                  2.8485585347508224,
                  7.734730772827549,
                  3.0019126203171878,
                  4.262232370432686,
                  3.1582949283763986
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.5775606073429724,
                  3.747508514997485,
                  4.0465682219671875,
                  2.406706163522014,
                  8.791511682373876,
                  2.4804352562226675,
                  4.796086949290496,
                  2.6251679535360597
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.000358402837215,
                  3.2118104787747215,
                  4.432332626338175,
                  2.616293468105364,
                  7.502465706182092,
                  2.7696475536717284,
                  4.029967303787228,
                  2.9260298617309384
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4501255313589289,
              "rpss": -0.000796656540799523,
              "brier_below": 0.26687606061492725,
              "bss_below": -0.014408333008660401,
              "brier_above": 0.18324947655386725,
              "bss_above": 0.018385902141130117,
              "crps": 4.014488957684463,
              "crpss": 0.007144838402849296,
              "crps_fair": 3.9339431686565947,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03222942689767039,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.539357,
                    0.460643,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2973,
                    0.3346,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4345,
                    0.4809,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.006264,
                    0.956132,
                    0.037604,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2939,
                    0.3253,
                    0.4053,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0514,
                    0.2244,
                    0.3176,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5759552530532517,
                  0.48212400065406447,
                  0.4528650195054071,
                  0.46084679401947765,
                  0.4261738444413693,
                  0.35999359422603777,
                  0.33543265729162547,
                  0.4627292098449479
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5473323450214652,
                  0.45950886455856493,
                  0.47310563766181457,
                  0.45125841650166265,
                  0.43752409736537534,
                  0.3769753190502442,
                  0.34410807327585485,
                  0.4522036283839493
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.46860511464942867,
                  0.3718483100849335,
                  0.09377508815618599,
                  0.3423904538716477,
                  0.1300743468281676,
                  0.16794237281314967,
                  0.1233246965566732,
                  0.3361860344471798
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.43622124715583027,
                  0.34839776669293,
                  0.11202969533110177,
                  0.327320640209203,
                  0.141320167462079,
                  0.17256239240732962,
                  0.1394661409403721,
                  0.32190666733284123
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10735015704331356,
                  0.11027570967083203,
                  0.35908990724963813,
                  0.1184563565151578,
                  0.2960994847152299,
                  0.19205122418885412,
                  0.212107965786667,
                  0.12654319124702706
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.36107591750173545,
                  0.12393779386708581,
                  0.2962039166743374,
                  0.20441292982746392,
                  0.2046419354790828,
                  0.1302969774886234
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.5451382428956597,
                  2.9464316256457566,
                  5.246303592870989,
                  2.1040676099432467,
                  9.783276004784023,
                  1.8814244277447143,
                  4.360894395913865,
                  2.473169910356349
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.5726443205176754,
                  2.4663219929375395,
                  5.77433068113816,
                  2.2030894884274272,
                  8.536670815597677,
                  2.154154910592676,
                  3.6369598104064913,
                  2.3797284899665048
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.5104525241822295,
                  2.8664127557034673,
                  5.16809359593869,
                  2.0652939885216774,
                  9.723791472641693,
                  1.8339476665359613,
                  4.168636311799193,
                  2.4238642074898302
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.366231987002849,
                  2.259909659422711,
                  5.567918347623332,
                  1.9966771549125995,
                  8.330258482082852,
                  1.9477425770778494,
                  3.4305474768916633,
                  2.1733161564516763
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4445150466295227,
              "rpss": -0.003981910216351858,
              "brier_below": 0.2542683021759208,
              "bss_below": -0.017467621108043785,
              "brier_above": 0.19024674955208995,
              "bss_above": 0.013493532408955455,
              "crps": 3.9175882262693253,
              "crpss": -0.05439411627855262,
              "crps_fair": 3.845061565351593,
              "crpss_fair": -0.09574782902299339,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.787651,
                    0.212349,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2973,
                    0.3422,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4035,
                    0.4643,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.90971,
                    0.09029,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3289,
                    0.4054,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2387,
                    0.3107,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sqrt_mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.5992972952714025,
            "training": [
              0.5328663523488768,
              0.5618827130252748,
              0.5428455223573002,
              0.602543451234414,
              0.7308337583322356,
              0.5845029612000316,
              0.6700720939907668,
              0.580353953550762,
              0.598278378041753,
              0.6027241884633289,
              0.5405073070960668,
              0.6092329437067029,
              0.5659215156185199,
              0.5891168321376261,
              0.5854620496478368,
              0.5844111803106713,
              0.5869279415749767,
              0.594668707967538,
              0.6972794412137124,
              0.6011270121405623,
              0.6252709591519451,
              0.6151800816435699,
              0.5872024698793227,
              0.5939232718798675
            ],
            "test": 0.6266199516379526
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.588633804667167,
                  0.5887836950123753,
                  0.5538382419036938,
                  0.42876383751723773,
                  0.4116346793552621,
                  0.4250286603774453,
                  0.4161488604032324,
                  0.48604777979273633,
                  0.4793039549247328,
                  0.3995703516095693,
                  0.529185458918858,
                  0.41549487092040815,
                  0.4298830874332637,
                  0.41041313727344725,
                  0.4170102070032151,
                  0.48234395503059513,
                  0.46362866193579144,
                  0.3949260053778396,
                  0.42077332999771305,
                  0.3876886464161921,
                  0.3993984725574448,
                  0.420977441578112,
                  0.36026275858011747,
                  0.4893290000502668
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4973013035288361,
                  0.5299108613891841,
                  0.49682096989761637,
                  0.45140321943555783,
                  0.5120439264472348,
                  0.41031169960340397,
                  0.47797132071856974,
                  0.45308842078032785,
                  0.5043277834760528,
                  0.4169267074583939,
                  0.5103230589589499,
                  0.439774482865257,
                  0.3965890932152538,
                  0.3999865075263042,
                  0.4105095366915584,
                  0.495347056515228,
                  0.4525412471251873,
                  0.4026341732498444,
                  0.4947135575342954,
                  0.4107579478352957,
                  0.4281083690429166,
                  0.4373547673375428,
                  0.3794648521113215,
                  0.46535364949831176
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4323462672895313,
                  0.45489436864635613,
                  0.15560063256698162,
                  0.17236242133936971,
                  0.09337236462132668,
                  0.1875532517443154,
                  0.3109024654792745,
                  0.32718966408668804,
                  0.1076746110567994,
                  0.15270370676778755,
                  0.13892236452085654,
                  0.14063575731115657,
                  0.25459870077302693,
                  0.1633088912325793,
                  0.18288937372913597,
                  0.1650212389021241,
                  0.2022794899980383,
                  0.21127488047964887,
                  0.32354730728770426,
                  0.14742004010911805,
                  0.2808249777709056,
                  0.3069854201318652,
                  0.16439835415614779,
                  0.3544871587572931
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3742768451297219,
                  0.40873323143582757,
                  0.13866980785737074,
                  0.18456937257153472,
                  0.1256044036343616,
                  0.18760042277090966,
                  0.34539584613599755,
                  0.3109003023417131,
                  0.12201400407191382,
                  0.16742828213175504,
                  0.1244088544959247,
                  0.15170887566157665,
                  0.2434586977209261,
                  0.1637619591020418,
                  0.1668761402054322,
                  0.16458520031461277,
                  0.20321388944011462,
                  0.21596862310093545,
                  0.36773408199884783,
                  0.16227747027615622,
                  0.2938514971990294,
                  0.31090927642329086,
                  0.1849857245631276,
                  0.33273847477773943
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1562875354431577,
                  0.1338893242323759,
                  0.39823761207194397,
                  0.2564014166396429,
                  0.31826231340572037,
                  0.23747540806239611,
                  0.10524639451825539,
                  0.1588581141423791,
                  0.3716293471545152,
                  0.2468666448488758,
                  0.39026310026569516,
                  0.27485911539973595,
                  0.17528438583560516,
                  0.2471042462061649,
                  0.23412083509192264,
                  0.31732272016569885,
                  0.26134917272612085,
                  0.18365112454551932,
                  0.09722602283831404,
                  0.24026860751673149,
                  0.11857349330107135,
                  0.11399201971689753,
                  0.19586440368888997,
                  0.13484183954652226
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12302445839911424,
                  0.12117762995335662,
                  0.35815116204024555,
                  0.26683384686402306,
                  0.38643952281287314,
                  0.22271127683249428,
                  0.13257547458257218,
                  0.14218811843861479,
                  0.38231377940413913,
                  0.24949842532663888,
                  0.38591420446302543,
                  0.2880656072036803,
                  0.15313039549432772,
                  0.2362245484242624,
                  0.2436333964861261,
                  0.3307618562006153,
                  0.24932735768507294,
                  0.18666555014890895,
                  0.12697947553544767,
                  0.24848047755913946,
                  0.13425687184388715,
                  0.12644549091425192,
                  0.19447912754819396,
                  0.13261517472057238
                ],
                "crps": [
                  4.7776141256806,
                  4.723463599027611,
                  13.299567319396145,
                  5.897762374486102,
                  19.276948303117756,
                  3.7200349034555895,
                  1.7763879819817985,
                  4.01268190089912,
                  7.148330437356788,
                  3.6756241591416416,
                  14.964153226862024,
                  4.285293068922375,
                  3.9867637641772493,
                  4.895558570597216,
                  4.692771650568561,
                  8.35887031943764,
                  5.441623944596175,
                  2.491118035428611,
                  1.7801875363409019,
                  3.240705082203368,
                  2.060694544737268,
                  2.44698456395977,
                  4.279097748042376,
                  3.589602007567688
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.3942682418184753,
                  3.592082216148263,
                  11.21710177556662,
                  5.807811897394496,
                  27.273601914436462,
                  3.5784752533248567,
                  3.4807211044876976,
                  3.1460002230570745,
                  7.545217676196043,
                  3.8249735735183252,
                  13.840864383262339,
                  4.430030997054808,
                  2.8001820448761534,
                  4.516117521457113,
                  4.888260025218961,
                  8.339483640689286,
                  4.951633793647444,
                  2.997413909666159,
                  3.4711294001341106,
                  3.627536580866378,
                  2.846454770181788,
                  3.161925584164043,
                  3.3250528086483198,
                  3.5450641992642202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  4.545268679252122,
                  4.470373796729635,
                  13.1307322005711,
                  5.749843165430986,
                  18.97294533175144,
                  3.564794839927425,
                  1.6677026455664974,
                  3.7457304451572457,
                  6.909650683094387,
                  3.465196634403491,
                  14.777810153135375,
                  4.042002849039838,
                  3.727742690317883,
                  4.661830368393486,
                  4.5599229946805675,
                  8.099312000085058,
                  5.201996567282686,
                  2.309988901947666,
                  1.6271896987260992,
                  3.0381262837384826,
                  1.8833439646946875,
                  2.2808247786241482,
                  4.001781138059854,
                  3.327563619046911
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.147316707451114,
                  3.345505329459557,
                  10.984966213801052,
                  5.565431468435425,
                  27.0718763908127,
                  3.331872595873229,
                  3.2339333066026654,
                  2.898578484108726,
                  7.306127788484703,
                  3.578837768945852,
                  13.61369806885984,
                  4.185041134572365,
                  2.552105347257009,
                  4.271290701634523,
                  4.644138020744405,
                  8.101898044577364,
                  4.707631815249459,
                  2.7497107572454813,
                  3.224323436142348,
                  3.3810268425956997,
                  2.5984657102999638,
                  2.914534006884459,
                  3.0779701844454106,
                  3.298398263301115
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44996120410986323,
              "rpss": 0.006851075700323617,
              "brier_below": 0.22629973786491797,
              "bss_below": 0.0037562012708524106,
              "brier_above": 0.22366146655683963,
              "bss_above": 0.009962946379999948,
              "crps": 5.6175766319993485,
              "crpss": 0.034237222879310525,
              "crps_fair": 5.406736434569044,
              "crpss_fair": 0.030070737595724206,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.002219,
                    0.298822,
                    0.572166,
                    0.124582,
                    0.002212,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1959,
                    0.2693,
                    0.3463,
                    0.4306,
                    0.5102,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3924,
                    0.3231,
                    0.3391,
                    0.4531,
                    0.4433,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.198158,
                    0.601219,
                    0.195619,
                    0.005004,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2747,
                    0.3499,
                    0.4321,
                    0.5208,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2346,
                    0.3657,
                    0.3954,
                    0.2168,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.6152979155183317,
                  0.5717110262876339,
                  0.5168518533243294,
                  0.3753466256777211,
                  0.40617401200860137,
                  0.4053408100141507,
                  0.36199631040364266,
                  0.4416230572903454,
                  0.5157403946891261,
                  0.33799274400713675,
                  0.5929311257138073,
                  0.4400348505810493,
                  0.3702878293412808,
                  0.40745106054784236,
                  0.35952154142202175,
                  0.4970138651347322,
                  0.4835500495015518,
                  0.4257276252690961,
                  0.4066597754023331,
                  0.4335702308873011,
                  0.4472353492295399,
                  0.3933158960641296,
                  0.40286790405497297,
                  0.3877828683402152
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5271012360586466,
                  0.5237026442993877,
                  0.47266510161074154,
                  0.4183814440705189,
                  0.5463137956783317,
                  0.3948310621955931,
                  0.406559211835899,
                  0.4283146824891483,
                  0.49352864176266736,
                  0.37069796075288813,
                  0.544586430341869,
                  0.4920445637631002,
                  0.3565574427493965,
                  0.3975457708734299,
                  0.3515003838097367,
                  0.5287991675877444,
                  0.4852899981103904,
                  0.42598321042574033,
                  0.5180054420460954,
                  0.46522910237657855,
                  0.5021412600717393,
                  0.4343952633284925,
                  0.40487741793271564,
                  0.39251245424822917
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4746154360129051,
                  0.4465622408595637,
                  0.17746746143103045,
                  0.27179219572166574,
                  0.083237820900926,
                  0.2445381677637137,
                  0.25735949203593195,
                  0.24633060008261204,
                  0.13207801117252357,
                  0.10618821288590664,
                  0.15364364960200683,
                  0.10584257543448726,
                  0.2054350369334502,
                  0.21695147715196597,
                  0.1883386691584208,
                  0.13198214836020886,
                  0.19229045945757603,
                  0.2660595137535248,
                  0.31882920141141297,
                  0.11011705753038237,
                  0.34162432476851196,
                  0.2951059617207405,
                  0.18200112508483735,
                  0.2405911096233703
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4061182447841931,
                  0.40271965302493434,
                  0.159291887101158,
                  0.2832363680142811,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.2529029231506273,
                  0.2730640226173197,
                  0.24952665149579165,
                  0.12265985005988321,
                  0.12767684799994297,
                  0.1218471520520865,
                  0.12515848079062122,
                  0.20389895401113928,
                  0.22223880236089205,
                  0.1594727085269456,
                  0.12431961025338657,
                  0.19935641299605145,
                  0.2639725231877702,
                  0.3970224507716421,
                  0.12181436140512257,
                  0.3811582687972861,
                  0.3134122720540391,
                  0.18796271335346026,
                  0.23816938425362752
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14068247729374245,
                  0.12514878321906625,
                  0.3393843937961251,
                  0.10355442997122531,
                  0.32293618841319005,
                  0.16080264034312688,
                  0.10463681851965632,
                  0.1952924561076149,
                  0.38366238685961446,
                  0.23180453061593115,
                  0.4392874811090921,
                  0.3341922783678506,
                  0.1648527908182183,
                  0.1904995822282006,
                  0.1711828724609884,
                  0.36503172148245366,
                  0.2912595919886808,
                  0.15966811068080908,
                  0.08783057562279968,
                  0.3234531761159902,
                  0.10561102375134453,
                  0.09820993338015031,
                  0.22086677857537143,
                  0.14719175787121563
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.31337321450958355,
                  0.1351450760562379,
                  0.4253308044038784,
                  0.1419281390449658,
                  0.13349518921857934,
                  0.17878803099335663,
                  0.3708687917027841,
                  0.24302111275294516,
                  0.4227392782897825,
                  0.3668860829724789,
                  0.15265848873825724,
                  0.17530696851253785,
                  0.1920276752827911,
                  0.40447955733435775,
                  0.285933585114339,
                  0.16201068723797019,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.343414740971456,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.21691470457925532,
                  0.1543430699946016
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.45166557325611,
                  3.3642966086302852,
                  6.83293588170337,
                  1.2937728772517687,
                  24.17910535224037,
                  2.0643838603007705,
                  1.0167494003149613,
                  3.0149099660843413,
                  6.24964208192775,
                  2.5100897543145537,
                  17.38457473251443,
                  3.7008858363577186,
                  2.7815661114605907,
                  4.245868973742833,
                  2.0110831113906547,
                  7.208638519255911,
                  6.785383764899158,
                  1.7844111929135202,
                  1.205269902066671,
                  3.0625232455320797,
                  1.633415410027097,
                  1.8141578204677327,
                  4.299693829532965,
                  2.064996045482588
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.674920399403526,
                  2.637398212409991,
                  5.54786431635389,
                  2.076207700785368,
                  34.28249991078239,
                  2.0856628172110057,
                  2.3437315827679472,
                  2.6602769523695353,
                  5.95174143690428,
                  2.5420943861841945,
                  15.72510138242277,
                  4.179451182954188,
                  2.085216845411654,
                  4.0937047249597684,
                  2.2900971059547115,
                  7.841787160003542,
                  6.476073885230757,
                  2.4043541490534586,
                  2.7661997358793817,
                  3.668076251614806,
                  2.404003843392272,
                  2.7090584880115154,
                  2.3942251507817365,
                  2.2230392708520568
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.2900928904023465,
                  3.128908111402894,
                  6.697338191355622,
                  1.1789179584860465,
                  23.89710236560198,
                  1.9010014600292566,
                  0.9363252794325969,
                  2.798217078302263,
                  6.028223249139607,
                  2.3103512646968354,
                  17.255817981474006,
                  3.506944378564066,
                  2.5752090033735655,
                  4.010165314560232,
                  1.9231063523906546,
                  6.92338632470695,
                  6.607412620248921,
                  1.6370427097159965,
                  1.0769993966761602,
                  2.8691822951811825,
                  1.4717755657378484,
                  1.6612167963865405,
                  3.991020360194093,
                  1.8072442887533766
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.4548094454165224,
                  2.4172161936748946,
                  5.333194544027777,
                  1.8549628212328,
                  34.12225179677904,
                  1.8644358450759109,
                  2.122993377234286,
                  2.4401382645813325,
                  5.73783658336709,
                  2.3217318677782153,
                  15.529706680297545,
                  3.9621897190875477,
                  1.8639890286330005,
                  3.876280862498442,
                  2.06925731997254,
                  7.631461938517677,
                  6.263162085572975,
                  2.1837307589862482,
                  2.5462616594235836,
                  3.4498462746206284,
                  2.1833797898673692,
                  2.4890121894953605,
                  2.173582577005678,
                  2.0020724813943143
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44150103002962054,
              "rpss": 0.026240619076840832,
              "brier_below": 0.22454091453573646,
              "bss_below": 0.012642322030633757,
              "brier_above": 0.21696011581635244,
              "bss_above": 0.03992517273428242,
              "crps": 4.748334160486176,
              "crpss": 0.08143269463103464,
              "crps_fair": 4.561791718200543,
              "crpss_fair": 0.07915068984301521,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.005284,
                    0.283795,
                    0.489932,
                    0.215044,
                    0.005944,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1959,
                    0.2658,
                    0.3507,
                    0.4337,
                    0.5094,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4537,
                    0.2997,
                    0.3231,
                    0.4695,
                    0.4997,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.190954,
                    0.608309,
                    0.192882,
                    0.007855,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.277,
                    0.351,
                    0.4317,
                    0.5286,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1539,
                    0.3547,
                    0.5054,
                    0.3043,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.45224810213164507,
                  0.4976473625190694,
                  0.38455307209331124,
                  0.4175140852984864,
                  0.46741485976601765,
                  0.3840213600569024,
                  0.39534056927846095,
                  0.4463930676583124
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5137612852478612,
                  0.49705237444422495,
                  0.4061007445054705,
                  0.44669599826620215,
                  0.4481977901053744,
                  0.3995579224080249,
                  0.3906212765735246,
                  0.4961503793308776
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3631565841842588,
                  0.3826077374565708,
                  0.13688703336447047,
                  0.29383700091593157,
                  0.13386353151830713,
                  0.2074096385241351,
                  0.1461776272845216,
                  0.34785814109138824
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4021405089154269,
                  0.37912161362031016,
                  0.14453244502842236,
                  0.30843984040656025,
                  0.12589433667964914,
                  0.20523722232274816,
                  0.16125753035770213,
                  0.37806000678348534
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.08909153478371849,
                  0.11503964278466056,
                  0.2476660319417269,
                  0.12367709660420564,
                  0.3335513105393335,
                  0.17661172476979925,
                  0.2491629446499573,
                  0.09853494243484029
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11162079604670827,
                  0.11793077940987547,
                  0.26156829250705416,
                  0.1382561728111389,
                  0.3223034355309777,
                  0.1943207050116538,
                  0.22936374487601524,
                  0.11809039116878442
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.7818856092813378,
                  3.1530445254165897,
                  4.062416903727908,
                  1.9793878987220117,
                  8.770216685409766,
                  2.3070276031547965,
                  5.378509125224102,
                  1.906119932038329
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.2326234694826756,
                  3.444075545420181,
                  4.664597692983636,
                  2.8485585347508224,
                  7.734730772827549,
                  3.0019126203171878,
                  4.262232370432686,
                  3.1582949283763986
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.7158916010666894,
                  3.0374960156808237,
                  3.9693099920009214,
                  1.9086428036739669,
                  8.680216740919002,
                  2.220539693909686,
                  5.203200859839368,
                  1.8307672942614774
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.000358402837215,
                  3.2118104787747215,
                  4.432332626338175,
                  2.616293468105364,
                  7.502465706182092,
                  2.7696475536717284,
                  4.029967303787228,
                  2.9260298617309384
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43064155985027575,
              "rpss": 0.042523466810407196,
              "brier_below": 0.25147466179244793,
              "bss_below": 0.044133101054455004,
              "brier_above": 0.17916690356353027,
              "bss_above": 0.040255057121633464,
              "crps": 3.667326035371855,
              "crpss": 0.0930044591332636,
              "crps_fair": 3.570758125168992,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06306688858647902,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.208619,
                    0.645097,
                    0.146284,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.262,
                    0.3539,
                    0.4211,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2306,
                    0.5139,
                    0.5213,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.39572,
                    0.510726,
                    0.083929,
                    0.009625,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2759,
                    0.3362,
                    0.4417,
                    0.5141,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1283,
                    0.2877,
                    0.3323,
                    0.1249,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4787804970317363,
                  0.44361958434908594,
                  0.44937184115622636,
                  0.4068195060706757,
                  0.45167232330564655,
                  0.37109174189245747,
                  0.3426900354353162,
                  0.444143721996869
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5473323450214652,
                  0.45950886455856493,
                  0.47310563766181457,
                  0.45125841650166265,
                  0.43752409736537534,
                  0.3769753190502442,
                  0.34410807327585485,
                  0.4522036283839493
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3838551773474477,
                  0.3419291509283263,
                  0.10015107158902803,
                  0.3016942329643541,
                  0.14906855593221507,
                  0.18788716211984244,
                  0.10083245878793226,
                  0.3220365502495378
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.43622124715583027,
                  0.34839776669293,
                  0.11202969533110177,
                  0.327320640209203,
                  0.141320167462079,
                  0.17256239240732962,
                  0.1394661409403721,
                  0.32190666733284123
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09492533739465225,
                  0.10169045226538394,
                  0.3492207472315406,
                  0.10512528848915535,
                  0.3026037547364981,
                  0.18320458098089287,
                  0.2418575864548576,
                  0.12210718660760057
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.36107591750173545,
                  0.12393779386708581,
                  0.2962039166743374,
                  0.20441292982746392,
                  0.2046419354790828,
                  0.1302969774886234
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.3980857524497334,
                  2.0683180679659503,
                  5.1190771460697135,
                  1.2775313982408532,
                  9.598229358794448,
                  1.5106377144116354,
                  5.081011346357517,
                  1.688216852977571
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.5726443205176754,
                  2.4663219929375395,
                  5.77433068113816,
                  2.2030894884274272,
                  8.536670815597677,
                  2.154154910592676,
                  3.6369598104064913,
                  2.3797284899665048
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.3470506869608008,
                  1.9702812239649097,
                  5.020500696825403,
                  1.2220013536940322,
                  9.519320485697605,
                  1.444332551455209,
                  4.8748123372937195,
                  1.6199440607415745
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.366231987002849,
                  2.259909659422711,
                  5.567918347623332,
                  1.9966771549125995,
                  8.330258482082852,
                  1.9477425770778494,
                  3.4305474768916633,
                  2.1733161564516763
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42352365640475165,
              "rpss": 0.043429254412968854,
              "brier_below": 0.23593179498983546,
              "bss_below": 0.05590685060706879,
              "brier_above": 0.18759186677007267,
              "bss_above": 0.027260175157503674,
              "crps": 3.4676384546584273,
              "crpss": 0.06670702156594166,
              "crps_fair": 3.3772804245791566,
              "crpss_fair": 0.03755827303741077,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.239694,
                    0.55333,
                    0.206975,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2464,
                    0.356,
                    0.4263,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1418,
                    0.5266,
                    0.4398,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.286144,
                    0.566314,
                    0.118684,
                    0.028858,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2812,
                    0.3336,
                    0.4519,
                    0.5145,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0756,
                    0.319,
                    0.3299,
                    0.1308,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "pt": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6720284383821135,
            "training": [
              0.6180092155919897,
              0.6357208896518601,
              0.6266640739536005,
              0.6783339438889864,
              0.7906292510659505,
              0.655735741853573,
              0.7308919721025762,
              0.6499077996190231,
              0.6792382757236284,
              0.6765009772100159,
              0.631835019683834,
              0.6836590451929678,
              0.6431299540178564,
              0.6599067273511736,
              0.6552127401151004,
              0.6562965082072884,
              0.66216486770061,
              0.666700264715505,
              0.7516854540309154,
              0.6732155094990177,
              0.694482198898991,
              0.6840008275172219,
              0.6577253481763932,
              0.6670359154026436
            ],
            "test": 0.7133308311889642
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5866644973732286,
                  0.5968308887421556,
                  0.5291689354682341,
                  0.4242960132707446,
                  0.41758800353843467,
                  0.4126918305441608,
                  0.43547156539727416,
                  0.5012613686679827,
                  0.46322485259989093,
                  0.4099177085417388,
                  0.5091338861981688,
                  0.4184147896292843,
                  0.44595513148496485,
                  0.4027790594698073,
                  0.4113089899628114,
                  0.48906939980267705,
                  0.4480576524636074,
                  0.39323198014072946,
                  0.4363256223878031,
                  0.3918237897207157,
                  0.4093866927121735,
                  0.4366230515616995,
                  0.3736354155284676,
                  0.5019243366990959
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4973013035288361,
                  0.5299108613891841,
                  0.49682096989761637,
                  0.45140321943555783,
                  0.5120439264472348,
                  0.41031169960340397,
                  0.47797132071856974,
                  0.45308842078032785,
                  0.5043277834760528,
                  0.4169267074583939,
                  0.5103230589589499,
                  0.439774482865257,
                  0.3965890932152538,
                  0.3999865075263042,
                  0.4105095366915584,
                  0.495347056515228,
                  0.4525412471251873,
                  0.4026341732498444,
                  0.4947135575342954,
                  0.4107579478352957,
                  0.4281083690429166,
                  0.4373547673375428,
                  0.3794648521113215,
                  0.46535364949831176
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.41500982231665984,
                  0.4416468517241763,
                  0.1534783855283457,
                  0.17186540786519983,
                  0.099417108552477,
                  0.18255259488349884,
                  0.3176968892692033,
                  0.32915681407370995,
                  0.1122221007624585,
                  0.1596962364092207,
                  0.1392368072219667,
                  0.14537701636962036,
                  0.2577345894253094,
                  0.15976196533158932,
                  0.18287998060452604,
                  0.17282532400512002,
                  0.19699531349257493,
                  0.20911903751846983,
                  0.32699290092356526,
                  0.15314882191164322,
                  0.2790060041418671,
                  0.30435246414776074,
                  0.16824624579713154,
                  0.3530169370659975
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3742768451297219,
                  0.40873323143582757,
                  0.13866980785737074,
                  0.18456937257153472,
                  0.1256044036343616,
                  0.18760042277090966,
                  0.34539584613599755,
                  0.3109003023417131,
                  0.12201400407191382,
                  0.16742828213175504,
                  0.1244088544959247,
                  0.15170887566157665,
                  0.2434586977209261,
                  0.1637619591020418,
                  0.1668761402054322,
                  0.16458520031461277,
                  0.20321388944011462,
                  0.21596862310093545,
                  0.36773408199884783,
                  0.16227747027615622,
                  0.2938514971990294,
                  0.31090927642329086,
                  0.1849857245631276,
                  0.33273847477773943
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1716546751060804,
                  0.1551840354201375,
                  0.3756905525521434,
                  0.2524306055287996,
                  0.31817089308235086,
                  0.23013923572018413,
                  0.11777467595203835,
                  0.17210455379354977,
                  0.35100275400446596,
                  0.2502214723885203,
                  0.36989708263756726,
                  0.273037774187437,
                  0.18822054187085008,
                  0.2430170950676856,
                  0.22842900983751585,
                  0.3162440783372382,
                  0.25106233978324055,
                  0.18411294211842266,
                  0.10933272177707723,
                  0.23867496810891667,
                  0.1303806872140798,
                  0.13227058600416136,
                  0.2053891692756689,
                  0.14890739859934068
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12302445839911424,
                  0.12117762995335662,
                  0.35815116204024555,
                  0.26683384686402306,
                  0.38643952281287314,
                  0.22271127683249428,
                  0.13257547458257218,
                  0.14218811843861479,
                  0.38231377940413913,
                  0.24949842532663888,
                  0.38591420446302543,
                  0.2880656072036803,
                  0.15313039549432772,
                  0.2362245484242624,
                  0.2436333964861261,
                  0.3307618562006153,
                  0.24932735768507294,
                  0.18666555014890895,
                  0.12697947553544767,
                  0.24848047755913946,
                  0.13425687184388715,
                  0.12644549091425192,
                  0.19447912754819396,
                  0.13261517472057238
                ],
                "crps": [
                  5.588367070671843,
                  5.434571263928638,
                  13.295444850322662,
                  6.021686366984102,
                  19.73466217801283,
                  4.06370173351177,
                  2.226125071650304,
                  4.631673399933111,
                  6.820379695877512,
                  4.032795261685206,
                  14.419251199661804,
                  4.439833746136481,
                  4.874763936623312,
                  5.024076400810557,
                  4.972673989260771,
                  8.246303992949684,
                  5.590405388510919,
                  3.000339876904396,
                  2.2654143127448316,
                  3.511578507259458,
                  2.7153818319861105,
                  3.055166739747911,
                  4.955458046985368,
                  4.1677870040349365
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.3942682418184753,
                  3.592082216148263,
                  11.21710177556662,
                  5.807811897394496,
                  27.273601914436462,
                  3.5784752533248567,
                  3.4807211044876976,
                  3.1460002230570745,
                  7.545217676196043,
                  3.8249735735183252,
                  13.840864383262339,
                  4.430030997054808,
                  2.8001820448761534,
                  4.516117521457113,
                  4.888260025218961,
                  8.339483640689286,
                  4.951633793647444,
                  2.997413909666159,
                  3.4711294001341106,
                  3.627536580866378,
                  2.846454770181788,
                  3.161925584164043,
                  3.3250528086483198,
                  3.5450641992642202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  5.341822902685536,
                  5.179336184313462,
                  13.102248697309218,
                  5.842562571251612,
                  19.48721271381499,
                  3.876048508064032,
                  2.0836268364309065,
                  4.3638611211855745,
                  6.576622567862904,
                  3.8043928738471777,
                  14.206213923311262,
                  4.182247202770833,
                  4.621543109870132,
                  4.7800420693132315,
                  4.811577757747986,
                  7.975282531392321,
                  5.338723820188596,
                  2.795278687890865,
                  2.0828412765776005,
                  3.2904754272311623,
                  2.5060206912852214,
                  2.8565078189062443,
                  4.683336018413179,
                  3.907076932005278
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.147316707451114,
                  3.345505329459557,
                  10.984966213801052,
                  5.565431468435425,
                  27.0718763908127,
                  3.331872595873229,
                  3.2339333066026654,
                  2.898578484108726,
                  7.306127788484703,
                  3.578837768945852,
                  13.61369806885984,
                  4.185041134572365,
                  2.552105347257009,
                  4.271290701634523,
                  4.644138020744405,
                  8.101898044577364,
                  4.707631815249459,
                  2.7497107572454813,
                  3.224323436142348,
                  3.3810268425956997,
                  2.5984657102999638,
                  2.914534006884459,
                  3.0779701844454106,
                  3.298398263301115
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4518660609127438,
              "rpss": 0.0026466988175027906,
              "brier_below": 0.2263098174725872,
              "bss_below": 0.0037118276152361407,
              "brier_above": 0.225556243681978,
              "bss_above": 0.0015757190622275319,
              "crps": 5.961993411091439,
              "crpss": -0.024974235522202237,
              "crps_fair": 5.737287593486222,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02922774044835519,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.223021,
                    0.658801,
                    0.118141,
                    3.7e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2801,
                    0.3441,
                    0.4253,
                    0.5086,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3374,
                    0.3373,
                    0.4346,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.081935,
                    0.605027,
                    0.299659,
                    0.01338,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2854,
                    0.3536,
                    0.431,
                    0.5184,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2566,
                    0.3467,
                    0.3657,
                    0.3306,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.6051448428211436,
                  0.5675494343564433,
                  0.5041759387237144,
                  0.3799735828593382,
                  0.4094157161222719,
                  0.41656174243395255,
                  0.3694656834467114,
                  0.450137418464297,
                  0.5008624162350661,
                  0.35232449543814315,
                  0.5664580682376454,
                  0.4402302842149324,
                  0.3897293151010094,
                  0.4194881281561779,
                  0.37338696293953816,
                  0.49499145234963393,
                  0.4741262976195494,
                  0.4328955093418607,
                  0.41607005244965667,
                  0.43176085283462545,
                  0.45635482267929023,
                  0.4046588328362967,
                  0.412704571037262,
                  0.39670727140555107
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5271012360586466,
                  0.5237026442993877,
                  0.47266510161074154,
                  0.4183814440705189,
                  0.5463137956783317,
                  0.3948310621955931,
                  0.406559211835899,
                  0.4283146824891483,
                  0.49352864176266736,
                  0.37069796075288813,
                  0.544586430341869,
                  0.4920445637631002,
                  0.3565574427493965,
                  0.3975457708734299,
                  0.3515003838097367,
                  0.5287991675877444,
                  0.4852899981103904,
                  0.42598321042574033,
                  0.5180054420460954,
                  0.46522910237657855,
                  0.5021412600717393,
                  0.4343952633284925,
                  0.40487741793271564,
                  0.39251245424822917
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4403860116131579,
                  0.4169446851908025,
                  0.18155952692533808,
                  0.2613166589947436,
                  0.09377248053612491,
                  0.24126017290733398,
                  0.2537491246076609,
                  0.24439198387760128,
                  0.14241018294572025,
                  0.11846189621122459,
                  0.1608190359361474,
                  0.1173394193059848,
                  0.20776845053488135,
                  0.21593968274816724,
                  0.1950794475523808,
                  0.1385400640260083,
                  0.18778673741411298,
                  0.2649492123477494,
                  0.31764022655438195,
                  0.12192203309208106,
                  0.33771476933458816,
                  0.28978557015816303,
                  0.18873980523448186,
                  0.24105711328961651
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4061182447841931,
                  0.40271965302493434,
                  0.159291887101158,
                  0.2832363680142811,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.2529029231506273,
                  0.2730640226173197,
                  0.24952665149579165,
                  0.12265985005988321,
                  0.12767684799994297,
                  0.1218471520520865,
                  0.12515848079062122,
                  0.20389895401113928,
                  0.22223880236089205,
                  0.1594727085269456,
                  0.12431961025338657,
                  0.19935641299605145,
                  0.2639725231877702,
                  0.3970224507716421,
                  0.12181436140512257,
                  0.3811582687972861,
                  0.3134122720540391,
                  0.18796271335346026,
                  0.23816938425362752
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16475883113481277,
                  0.15060474757583775,
                  0.3226164125892611,
                  0.1186569238306862,
                  0.3156432323291155,
                  0.17530156911835645,
                  0.11571655923115043,
                  0.20574543458456893,
                  0.3584522352915056,
                  0.23386259942921292,
                  0.40563903495861947,
                  0.32289086603073414,
                  0.18196086391781702,
                  0.20354844654732046,
                  0.17830751471502962,
                  0.3564513903777759,
                  0.28633956254951604,
                  0.1679462964113403,
                  0.09842982737194811,
                  0.3098388203750677,
                  0.11864005294990045,
                  0.11487326212187367,
                  0.22396476573746796,
                  0.1556501567290328
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.31337321450958355,
                  0.1351450760562379,
                  0.4253308044038784,
                  0.1419281390449658,
                  0.13349518921857934,
                  0.17878803099335663,
                  0.3708687917027841,
                  0.24302111275294516,
                  0.4227392782897825,
                  0.3668860829724789,
                  0.15265848873825724,
                  0.17530696851253785,
                  0.1920276752827911,
                  0.40447955733435775,
                  0.285933585114339,
                  0.16201068723797019,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.343414740971456,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.21691470457925532,
                  0.1543430699946016
                ],
                "crps": [
                  4.4806693224221315,
                  4.22508954968322,
                  7.213917529925591,
                  2.017262414303598,
                  25.155801153665085,
                  2.9891744680505545,
                  1.7613709610615826,
                  3.6189010016483194,
                  6.076842491160208,
                  3.3315543926358107,
                  16.596327929152064,
                  3.8575422438076483,
                  3.860621950449455,
                  4.825392002618381,
                  2.601745017914558,
                  7.201922009993938,
                  6.866583581604539,
                  2.508939194737069,
                  1.8228768538066884,
                  3.3325839823711307,
                  2.462588304956969,
                  2.358858697158591,
                  5.334837478615755,
                  2.6621477137187224
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.674920399403526,
                  2.637398212409991,
                  5.54786431635389,
                  2.076207700785368,
                  34.28249991078239,
                  2.0856628172110057,
                  2.3437315827679472,
                  2.6602769523695353,
                  5.95174143690428,
                  2.5420943861841945,
                  15.72510138242277,
                  4.179451182954188,
                  2.085216845411654,
                  4.0937047249597684,
                  2.2900971059547115,
                  7.841787160003542,
                  6.476073885230757,
                  2.4043541490534586,
                  2.7661997358793817,
                  3.668076251614806,
                  2.404003843392272,
                  2.7090584880115154,
                  2.3942251507817365,
                  2.2230392708520568
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  4.282263655357036,
                  3.9859613727486365,
                  7.042078711258208,
                  1.8616195815961993,
                  24.941114985349362,
                  2.7861693689858043,
                  1.6411664659639897,
                  3.3825635230900706,
                  5.8506028998816655,
                  3.1025042162578407,
                  16.423619677133413,
                  3.633736069741571,
                  3.6346839671795688,
                  4.578603426884341,
                  2.471584148632805,
                  6.908735231150491,
                  6.6545796027884565,
                  2.3291225705325584,
                  1.663122360832962,
                  3.116350595405039,
                  2.261966886211567,
                  2.170184990925172,
                  5.041649989653393,
                  2.41193665198507
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.4548094454165224,
                  2.4172161936748946,
                  5.333194544027777,
                  1.8549628212328,
                  34.12225179677904,
                  1.8644358450759109,
                  2.122993377234286,
                  2.4401382645813325,
                  5.73783658336709,
                  2.3217318677782153,
                  15.529706680297545,
                  3.9621897190875477,
                  1.8639890286330005,
                  3.876280862498442,
                  2.06925731997254,
                  7.631461938517677,
                  6.263162085572975,
                  2.1837307589862482,
                  2.5462616594235836,
                  3.4498462746206284,
                  2.1833797898673692,
                  2.4890121894953605,
                  2.173582577005678,
                  2.0020724813943143
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4443822371710046,
              "rpss": 0.01988592839329406,
              "brier_below": 0.22413892880576888,
              "bss_below": 0.014409945083823206,
              "brier_above": 0.220243308579498,
              "bss_above": 0.025396646543666135,
              "crps": 5.298481260227567,
              "crpss": -0.024993500722128692,
              "crps_fair": 5.090663372897717,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02760804191722932,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.12981,
                    0.623645,
                    0.24643,
                    0.000115,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2852,
                    0.3514,
                    0.4282,
                    0.5086,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3018,
                    0.3238,
                    0.4408,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.069873,
                    0.587277,
                    0.335332,
                    0.007518,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2881,
                    0.3532,
                    0.4284,
                    0.5195,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1573,
                    0.316,
                    0.4365,
                    0.2726,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.472015400385499,
                  0.5076586095876148,
                  0.38807597499552626,
                  0.4310214079674477,
                  0.4541015815875335,
                  0.3882681736639266,
                  0.3913083791140308,
                  0.4699334115772856
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5137612852478612,
                  0.49705237444422495,
                  0.4061007445054705,
                  0.44669599826620215,
                  0.4481977901053744,
                  0.3995579224080249,
                  0.3906212765735246,
                  0.4961503793308776
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.36627788924673055,
                  0.38032836344998916,
                  0.13989209343655354,
                  0.29651784552697286,
                  0.1351639963910142,
                  0.2098446168259053,
                  0.14701862234074842,
                  0.355705003181241
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4021405089154269,
                  0.37912161362031016,
                  0.14453244502842236,
                  0.30843984040656025,
                  0.12589433667964914,
                  0.20523722232274816,
                  0.16125753035770213,
                  0.37806000678348534
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10573752970276284,
                  0.12733026513148837,
                  0.24818387615371254,
                  0.13450357672630076,
                  0.31893756850382976,
                  0.1784235614371859,
                  0.24428976003271125,
                  0.11422842588680097
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11162079604670827,
                  0.11793077940987547,
                  0.26156829250705416,
                  0.1382561728111389,
                  0.3223034355309777,
                  0.1943207050116538,
                  0.22936374487601524,
                  0.11809039116878442
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.2288531625573724,
                  3.667865957527381,
                  4.12533853941786,
                  2.45888997560436,
                  8.598100152213364,
                  2.77108137050273,
                  5.83155743353255,
                  2.445591329006003
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.2326234694826756,
                  3.444075545420181,
                  4.664597692983636,
                  2.8485585347508224,
                  7.734730772827549,
                  3.0019126203171878,
                  4.262232370432686,
                  3.1582949283763986
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.1453205015864976,
                  3.5473287320446927,
                  4.0230495577709044,
                  2.3727361798747073,
                  8.49686722671714,
                  2.669516109358392,
                  5.67663490790969,
                  2.3535168039603414
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.000358402837215,
                  3.2118104787747215,
                  4.432332626338175,
                  2.616293468105364,
                  7.502465706182092,
                  2.7696475536717284,
                  4.029967303787228,
                  2.9260298617309384
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43779786735985804,
              "rpss": 0.026612330627694636,
              "brier_below": 0.2538435537998944,
              "bss_below": 0.03512883223088836,
              "brier_above": 0.18395432044684906,
              "bss_above": 0.014610258602321569,
              "crps": 4.015909740045203,
              "crpss": 0.006793453428264762,
              "crps_fair": 3.9106212524027955,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02610997696747841,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.155383,
                    0.777204,
                    0.067414,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2771,
                    0.3521,
                    0.4166,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1943,
                    0.5146,
                    0.3818,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.149494,
                    0.72045,
                    0.129837,
                    0.000219,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2853,
                    0.3397,
                    0.436,
                    0.5026,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0683,
                    0.2407,
                    0.3326,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4852302201504656,
                  0.44908113845710307,
                  0.4470976969547986,
                  0.4199549197117894,
                  0.45400494815390807,
                  0.38456690561722123,
                  0.3486677922816476,
                  0.45548081416935116
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5473323450214652,
                  0.45950886455856493,
                  0.47310563766181457,
                  0.45125841650166265,
                  0.43752409736537534,
                  0.3769753190502442,
                  0.34410807327585485,
                  0.4522036283839493
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3763301496417484,
                  0.3333661262673425,
                  0.11204467853881736,
                  0.2994212854375245,
                  0.15771308635612252,
                  0.19413580521133264,
                  0.11216634374005627,
                  0.319672629603564
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.43622124715583027,
                  0.34839776669293,
                  0.11202969533110177,
                  0.327320640209203,
                  0.141320167462079,
                  0.17256239240732962,
                  0.1394661409403721,
                  0.32190666733284123
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10890009015490665,
                  0.11571503233110941,
                  0.3350529974906194,
                  0.12053365170459181,
                  0.29629185028775074,
                  0.19043110328912202,
                  0.23650145753389712,
                  0.13580820063144775
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.36107591750173545,
                  0.12393779386708581,
                  0.2962039166743374,
                  0.20441292982746392,
                  0.2046419354790828,
                  0.1302969774886234
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.9052323790577343,
                  2.683295991992637,
                  5.095854217799361,
                  1.9274996461996976,
                  9.524429606827516,
                  2.2071390954990777,
                  5.881137838266044,
                  2.3823441460121684
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.5726443205176754,
                  2.4663219929375395,
                  5.77433068113816,
                  2.2030894884274272,
                  8.536670815597677,
                  2.154154910592676,
                  3.6369598104064913,
                  2.3797284899665048
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.83292949479584,
                  2.5736748809034173,
                  4.986587729199701,
                  1.8514291157415899,
                  9.429656492095914,
                  2.1204554293874907,
                  5.711356113904966,
                  2.295503325170601
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.366231987002849,
                  2.259909659422711,
                  5.567918347623332,
                  1.9966771549125995,
                  8.330258482082852,
                  1.9477425770778494,
                  3.4305474768916633,
                  2.1733161564516763
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43051055443703556,
              "rpss": 0.027648642966567993,
              "brier_below": 0.23810626309956354,
              "bss_below": 0.04720560520665085,
              "brier_above": 0.19240429792793062,
              "bss_above": 0.0023057700323656505,
              "crps": 3.9508666152067793,
              "crpss": -0.06335078437848063,
              "crps_fair": 3.85019907264994,
              "crpss_fair": -0.09721189204853276,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.145338,
                    0.706018,
                    0.148644,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.27,
                    0.3627,
                    0.4186,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0685,
                    0.5056,
                    0.3328,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.078369,
                    0.759714,
                    0.161229,
                    0.000687,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2862,
                    0.3422,
                    0.4484,
                    0.5026,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0264,
                    0.2532,
                    0.3151,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dc": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8669075936213702,
            "training": [
              0.8448644862971344,
              0.842501504648646,
              0.8368138381960124,
              0.8686770914233327,
              0.9263320153803758,
              0.8622262368351078,
              0.9186069305380014,
              0.8318424732881603,
              0.8990949240035453,
              0.8577295027629136,
              0.8369526111081075,
              0.8794246098615919,
              0.83852153560781,
              0.8681418357182167,
              0.8569861824212793,
              0.8888952222675057,
              0.8459972690614252,
              0.8552269333830744,
              0.9170384982095336,
              0.8650366466348788,
              0.8684392094564565,
              0.882768724070141,
              0.8718396404364811,
              0.8418243253031515
            ],
            "test": 0.8893429856426386
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5125095478713946,
                  0.5473057196343638,
                  0.5338222491397431,
                  0.4522601226951326,
                  0.46803787635087013,
                  0.4255299429113018,
                  0.44415482197177486,
                  0.49165206591345084,
                  0.48323750431227275,
                  0.4290541034174778,
                  0.5507368985447915,
                  0.4284145418049637,
                  0.4298450350776333,
                  0.40827089503537656,
                  0.41548156215437876,
                  0.4863293607468273,
                  0.47159868434684765,
                  0.40892949853741734,
                  0.4615883856029709,
                  0.4035801020873458,
                  0.42020320956324925,
                  0.4149392635274611,
                  0.36560206300093234,
                  0.4888576828570775
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4973013035288361,
                  0.5299108613891841,
                  0.49682096989761637,
                  0.45140321943555783,
                  0.5120439264472348,
                  0.41031169960340397,
                  0.47797132071856974,
                  0.45308842078032785,
                  0.5043277834760528,
                  0.4169267074583939,
                  0.5103230589589499,
                  0.439774482865257,
                  0.3965890932152538,
                  0.3999865075263042,
                  0.4105095366915584,
                  0.495347056515228,
                  0.4525412471251873,
                  0.4026341732498444,
                  0.4947135575342954,
                  0.4107579478352957,
                  0.4281083690429166,
                  0.4373547673375428,
                  0.3794648521113215,
                  0.46535364949831176
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3805172178975168,
                  0.4209620164764551,
                  0.15645208058900514,
                  0.18521237176419245,
                  0.11036273494840874,
                  0.19772480781778168,
                  0.32320034206411064,
                  0.33120345010867797,
                  0.11448196496347027,
                  0.1761820191425194,
                  0.144314369942341,
                  0.14379928367867365,
                  0.259860146326374,
                  0.1689700152960389,
                  0.1806909494533047,
                  0.16111008562337242,
                  0.21260887941392587,
                  0.21989132092471136,
                  0.3460738607110275,
                  0.1599396677723161,
                  0.29288015564820163,
                  0.3001857758665823,
                  0.1707244432329549,
                  0.34337450113440887
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3742768451297219,
                  0.40873323143582757,
                  0.13866980785737074,
                  0.18456937257153472,
                  0.1256044036343616,
                  0.18760042277090966,
                  0.34539584613599755,
                  0.3109003023417131,
                  0.12201400407191382,
                  0.16742828213175504,
                  0.1244088544959247,
                  0.15170887566157665,
                  0.2434586977209261,
                  0.1637619591020418,
                  0.1668761402054322,
                  0.16458520031461277,
                  0.20321388944011462,
                  0.21596862310093545,
                  0.36773408199884783,
                  0.16227747027615622,
                  0.2938514971990294,
                  0.31090927642329086,
                  0.1849857245631276,
                  0.33273847477773943
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.13199233030760907,
                  0.12634370367312506,
                  0.37737016822245634,
                  0.26704775066431974,
                  0.3576751411324107,
                  0.22780513526879814,
                  0.120954479918787,
                  0.16044861622825682,
                  0.3687555388582008,
                  0.25287208413711204,
                  0.40642252806455653,
                  0.2846152578941968,
                  0.1699848892871994,
                  0.23930087983571305,
                  0.23479061271028928,
                  0.325219274687414,
                  0.25898980474495337,
                  0.1890381779242168,
                  0.11551452496906536,
                  0.24364043424251225,
                  0.1273230541513565,
                  0.11475348776618498,
                  0.19487761977785623,
                  0.14548318237467353
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12302445839911424,
                  0.12117762995335662,
                  0.35815116204024555,
                  0.26683384686402306,
                  0.38643952281287314,
                  0.22271127683249428,
                  0.13257547458257218,
                  0.14218811843861479,
                  0.38231377940413913,
                  0.24949842532663888,
                  0.38591420446302543,
                  0.2880656072036803,
                  0.15313039549432772,
                  0.2362245484242624,
                  0.2436333964861261,
                  0.3307618562006153,
                  0.24932735768507294,
                  0.18666555014890895,
                  0.12697947553544767,
                  0.24848047755913946,
                  0.13425687184388715,
                  0.12644549091425192,
                  0.19447912754819396,
                  0.13261517472057238
                ],
                "crps": [
                  4.966325137326583,
                  5.095314042832331,
                  14.163152390171454,
                  7.022315627149576,
                  17.60708359691793,
                  5.030551137611197,
                  1.948876873081596,
                  5.376650888431353,
                  7.035231210116853,
                  4.355248141566045,
                  16.32181785956527,
                  4.745793765256461,
                  5.477513639447394,
                  5.016291337880784,
                  5.303803490603818,
                  8.01693476908705,
                  6.263186199209962,
                  2.7078871685169417,
                  1.8358654322385932,
                  3.788660865958189,
                  1.9858929178269409,
                  2.138383789886813,
                  5.171061151610671,
                  4.808161932416243
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.3942682418184753,
                  3.592082216148263,
                  11.21710177556662,
                  5.807811897394496,
                  27.273601914436462,
                  3.5784752533248567,
                  3.4807211044876976,
                  3.1460002230570745,
                  7.545217676196043,
                  3.8249735735183252,
                  13.840864383262339,
                  4.430030997054808,
                  2.8001820448761534,
                  4.516117521457113,
                  4.888260025218961,
                  8.339483640689286,
                  4.951633793647444,
                  2.997413909666159,
                  3.4711294001341106,
                  3.627536580866378,
                  2.846454770181788,
                  3.161925584164043,
                  3.3250528086483198,
                  3.5450641992642202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  4.688146622020304,
                  4.799631002417759,
                  14.004247938944358,
                  6.868091880078916,
                  17.09893846527874,
                  4.861750585675308,
                  1.8577090067818371,
                  5.066440310112882,
                  6.761719576675166,
                  4.08479474267314,
                  16.131338343979966,
                  4.461582367064241,
                  5.152801902678914,
                  4.763520954830207,
                  5.165415565937143,
                  7.7436275570815525,
                  5.982815852105416,
                  2.5124040609818494,
                  1.703739821477259,
                  3.541097659739279,
                  1.8136450922920777,
                  1.9670797774706912,
                  4.802124184459721,
                  4.525073779337089
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.147316707451114,
                  3.345505329459557,
                  10.984966213801052,
                  5.565431468435425,
                  27.0718763908127,
                  3.331872595873229,
                  3.2339333066026654,
                  2.898578484108726,
                  7.306127788484703,
                  3.578837768945852,
                  13.61369806885984,
                  4.185041134572365,
                  2.552105347257009,
                  4.271290701634523,
                  4.644138020744405,
                  8.101898044577364,
                  4.707631815249459,
                  2.7497107572454813,
                  3.224323436142348,
                  3.3810268425956997,
                  2.5984657102999638,
                  2.914534006884459,
                  3.0779701844454106,
                  3.298398263301115
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45591421404604393,
              "rpss": -0.006288335787737909,
              "brier_below": 0.2291967691998488,
              "bss_below": -0.008997456905595058,
              "brier_above": 0.22671744486838596,
              "bss_above": -0.0035643357668380116,
              "crps": 6.090916806862919,
              "crpss": -0.047138493331673414,
              "crps_fair": 5.848239043753909,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04913162509728397,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.081954,
                    0.808276,
                    0.10977,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2956,
                    0.3492,
                    0.4169,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.6195,
                    0.3332,
                    0.2622,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.004096,
                    0.919768,
                    0.076136,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2898,
                    0.3419,
                    0.4271,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.374,
                    0.3502,
                    0.2775,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.47950471996225214,
                  0.5411206187136473,
                  0.5071205458806363,
                  0.3807029426644178,
                  0.48525886100742927,
                  0.37584350461490706,
                  0.38322526352991554,
                  0.4792762124917772,
                  0.4551355009421465,
                  0.3860416451743891,
                  0.6367586614797035,
                  0.47684505849010267,
                  0.3699335537218833,
                  0.4002972379958763,
                  0.37238056840675304,
                  0.5103933813079259,
                  0.4859369487274102,
                  0.43180309998909805,
                  0.4784899244283538,
                  0.45065529091640055,
                  0.4947163722454186,
                  0.41158035789478437,
                  0.39698341067595666,
                  0.41793378349913457
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5271012360586466,
                  0.5237026442993877,
                  0.47266510161074154,
                  0.4183814440705189,
                  0.5463137956783317,
                  0.3948310621955931,
                  0.406559211835899,
                  0.4283146824891483,
                  0.49352864176266736,
                  0.37069796075288813,
                  0.544586430341869,
                  0.4920445637631002,
                  0.3565574427493965,
                  0.3975457708734299,
                  0.3515003838097367,
                  0.5287991675877444,
                  0.4852899981103904,
                  0.42598321042574033,
                  0.5180054420460954,
                  0.46522910237657855,
                  0.5021412600717393,
                  0.4343952633284925,
                  0.40487741793271564,
                  0.39251245424822917
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3721416073606522,
                  0.4162888007880301,
                  0.17773138548985257,
                  0.26321432264163197,
                  0.10508456160905631,
                  0.239415778960046,
                  0.26278574267983024,
                  0.2781807885700124,
                  0.10833981020984827,
                  0.14185057213442648,
                  0.16807700904711026,
                  0.11665605254839038,
                  0.21788497768348264,
                  0.2212784025784681,
                  0.18791061548675617,
                  0.11793979256669622,
                  0.19673033269386833,
                  0.2623290943512418,
                  0.3692677522330351,
                  0.11703091295340645,
                  0.37732272359192204,
                  0.3035441510822049,
                  0.1757672984906774,
                  0.24273195189224975
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4061182447841931,
                  0.40271965302493434,
                  0.159291887101158,
                  0.2832363680142811,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.2529029231506273,
                  0.2730640226173197,
                  0.24952665149579165,
                  0.12265985005988321,
                  0.12767684799994297,
                  0.1218471520520865,
                  0.12515848079062122,
                  0.20389895401113928,
                  0.22223880236089205,
                  0.1594727085269456,
                  0.12431961025338657,
                  0.19935641299605145,
                  0.2639725231877702,
                  0.3970224507716421,
                  0.12181436140512257,
                  0.3811582687972861,
                  0.3134122720540391,
                  0.18796271335346026,
                  0.23816938425362752
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10736311303307391,
                  0.12483181838009458,
                  0.32938916023855475,
                  0.11748861999969677,
                  0.38017429859399593,
                  0.13642772631018668,
                  0.12043952082123356,
                  0.20109542459897187,
                  0.3467956899250914,
                  0.24419107296006598,
                  0.46868165245186955,
                  0.3601890052373518,
                  0.15204857642678793,
                  0.17901883562944695,
                  0.18446995337192637,
                  0.39245358822497245,
                  0.2892066156284754,
                  0.16947400602302767,
                  0.10922217226307199,
                  0.3336243776743497,
                  0.11739364897263929,
                  0.10803620678399102,
                  0.22121611226112528,
                  0.1752018322954964
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.31337321450958355,
                  0.1351450760562379,
                  0.4253308044038784,
                  0.1419281390449658,
                  0.13349518921857934,
                  0.17878803099335663,
                  0.3708687917027841,
                  0.24302111275294516,
                  0.4227392782897825,
                  0.3668860829724789,
                  0.15265848873825724,
                  0.17530696851253785,
                  0.1920276752827911,
                  0.40447955733435775,
                  0.285933585114339,
                  0.16201068723797019,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.343414740971456,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.21691470457925532,
                  0.1543430699946016
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.630115409827618,
                  3.9201861264669797,
                  7.662131141736515,
                  1.9107915733580862,
                  20.337385097097744,
                  2.29601887313799,
                  1.7944910439393078,
                  4.422337406857731,
                  5.767267403188929,
                  3.2733932606366825,
                  19.71430344956607,
                  4.372789091507546,
                  2.969340577747662,
                  4.384136601644493,
                  2.8464819169688687,
                  6.4916873956022085,
                  7.340713126670706,
                  2.060351346382776,
                  1.3004490756093132,
                  3.9525721437757357,
                  1.6013401716549371,
                  1.9118552783556988,
                  5.416225064460792,
                  4.099173502978529
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.674920399403526,
                  2.637398212409991,
                  5.54786431635389,
                  2.076207700785368,
                  34.28249991078239,
                  2.0856628172110057,
                  2.3437315827679472,
                  2.6602769523695353,
                  5.95174143690428,
                  2.5420943861841945,
                  15.72510138242277,
                  4.179451182954188,
                  2.085216845411654,
                  4.0937047249597684,
                  2.2900971059547115,
                  7.841787160003542,
                  6.476073885230757,
                  2.4043541490534586,
                  2.7661997358793817,
                  3.668076251614806,
                  2.404003843392272,
                  2.7090584880115154,
                  2.3942251507817365,
                  2.2230392708520568
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.441683069999713,
                  3.6503989508112786,
                  7.537541768124166,
                  1.8096969476572289,
                  19.843118736146014,
                  2.111290404179659,
                  1.7334486637573716,
                  4.1721432208053795,
                  5.522042381879145,
                  3.012841086520117,
                  19.588522223122148,
                  4.1414806643028825,
                  2.7227358939806128,
                  4.114590238289752,
                  2.7625618259900393,
                  6.173189834262863,
                  7.137078151138107,
                  1.9060067024144431,
                  1.1912639425625429,
                  3.7154394659846584,
                  1.4468972338280814,
                  1.7675552296601882,
                  5.0070402188470196,
                  3.8158596771546125
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.4548094454165224,
                  2.4172161936748946,
                  5.333194544027777,
                  1.8549628212328,
                  34.12225179677904,
                  1.8644358450759109,
                  2.122993377234286,
                  2.4401382645813325,
                  5.73783658336709,
                  2.3217318677782153,
                  15.529706680297545,
                  3.9621897190875477,
                  1.8639890286330005,
                  3.876280862498442,
                  2.06925731997254,
                  7.631461938517677,
                  6.263162085572975,
                  2.1837307589862482,
                  2.5462616594235836,
                  3.4498462746206284,
                  2.1833797898673692,
                  2.4890121894953605,
                  2.173582577005678,
                  2.0020724813943143
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4503307276983466,
              "rpss": 0.006766143705717709,
              "brier_below": 0.22664601823512065,
              "bss_below": 0.003385700337406039,
              "brier_above": 0.2236847095043957,
              "bss_above": 0.010168030048457677,
              "crps": 5.103147336632205,
              "crpss": 0.012793931623569565,
              "crps_fair": 4.888517772142418,
              "crpss_fair": 0.013197336430955109,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.063149,
                    0.773642,
                    0.163209,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2953,
                    0.3487,
                    0.4211,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.5635,
                    0.3368,
                    0.3282,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.008661,
                    0.900239,
                    0.0911,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2951,
                    0.3392,
                    0.4283,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4333,
                    0.3412,
                    0.3737,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4610265808312753,
                  0.508514581060989,
                  0.4114663940482758,
                  0.42211086538532966,
                  0.461010969245502,
                  0.4045857763901256,
                  0.39614681896294723,
                  0.45656372881445567
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5137612852478612,
                  0.49705237444422495,
                  0.4061007445054705,
                  0.44669599826620215,
                  0.4481977901053744,
                  0.3995579224080249,
                  0.3906212765735246,
                  0.4961503793308776
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3635501344243885,
                  0.38794477852830106,
                  0.1508760357665912,
                  0.29404207240815877,
                  0.13611572780574238,
                  0.21223944499452024,
                  0.1562783112735962,
                  0.34988010872431247
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4021405089154269,
                  0.37912161362031016,
                  0.14453244502842236,
                  0.30843984040656025,
                  0.12589433667964914,
                  0.20523722232274816,
                  0.16125753035770213,
                  0.37806000678348534
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.0974764644875298,
                  0.12056982102229268,
                  0.2605903508641041,
                  0.12806880652142139,
                  0.3248952230848355,
                  0.19234633557115552,
                  0.23986850762215625,
                  0.10668363734043117
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11162079604670827,
                  0.11793077940987547,
                  0.26156829250705416,
                  0.1382561728111389,
                  0.3223034355309777,
                  0.1943207050116538,
                  0.22936374487601524,
                  0.11809039116878442
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.560862983777402,
                  3.819496522615956,
                  4.617507218044958,
                  2.225706205084678,
                  9.083076623324928,
                  2.5500994916168658,
                  7.805292116437774,
                  1.6621516578710958
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.2326234694826756,
                  3.444075545420181,
                  4.664597692983636,
                  2.8485585347508224,
                  7.734730772827549,
                  3.0019126203171878,
                  4.262232370432686,
                  3.1582949283763986
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.4420125376571604,
                  3.583189170801951,
                  4.401275988362117,
                  2.0967556752464893,
                  8.905816981923904,
                  2.3958667155956075,
                  7.304608184255045,
                  1.5244955180402993
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.000358402837215,
                  3.2118104787747215,
                  4.432332626338175,
                  2.616293468105364,
                  7.502465706182092,
                  2.7696475536717284,
                  4.029967303787228,
                  2.9260298617309384
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44017821434236254,
              "rpss": 0.021319932984074086,
              "brier_below": 0.25636582674070135,
              "bss_below": 0.025541555337706634,
              "brier_above": 0.1838123933142408,
              "bss_above": 0.015370520933526644,
              "crps": 4.165524102346707,
              "crpss": -0.030208863286487198,
              "crps_fair": 3.956752596485322,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03821440471918547,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.093095,
                    0.901837,
                    0.005068,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2985,
                    0.3552,
                    0.4028,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3037,
                    0.4691,
                    0.8927,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.028443,
                    0.940247,
                    0.03131,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2967,
                    0.3241,
                    0.4028,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0189,
                    0.2388,
                    0.0557,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48044008819566864,
                  0.47288254387149764,
                  0.4826412468649131,
                  0.4192251711380993,
                  0.44640554124380505,
                  0.3963208202322523,
                  0.35003509578617253,
                  0.4337145385532096
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5473323450214652,
                  0.45950886455856493,
                  0.47310563766181457,
                  0.45125841650166265,
                  0.43752409736537534,
                  0.3769753190502442,
                  0.34410807327585485,
                  0.4522036283839493
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.38494924893648264,
                  0.36156967632876474,
                  0.1183160725931074,
                  0.30775001790701234,
                  0.14950345843463583,
                  0.19121981571621022,
                  0.12400004156642355,
                  0.3098560850573051
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.43622124715583027,
                  0.34839776669293,
                  0.11202969533110177,
                  0.327320640209203,
                  0.141320167462079,
                  0.17256239240732962,
                  0.1394661409403721,
                  0.32190666733284123
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09549085721119246,
                  0.11131288701404718,
                  0.36432514968299917,
                  0.11147516915765969,
                  0.2969020692822026,
                  0.20510100710380091,
                  0.22603505944896685,
                  0.12385846936253263
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.36107591750173545,
                  0.12393779386708581,
                  0.2962039166743374,
                  0.20441292982746392,
                  0.2046419354790828,
                  0.1302969774886234
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.23367244681425,
                  2.5806627686813153,
                  5.500186002270435,
                  1.3642306920158398,
                  9.845814469850037,
                  1.9111266313866053,
                  9.093566435241275,
                  1.2338945844776852
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.5726443205176754,
                  2.4663219929375395,
                  5.77433068113816,
                  2.2030894884274272,
                  8.536670815597677,
                  2.154154910592676,
                  3.6369598104064913,
                  2.3797284899665048
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.1453122118091699,
                  2.3808692544021812,
                  5.270347707429727,
                  1.2671613586997779,
                  9.68793692982948,
                  1.794950540010715,
                  8.460465198997163,
                  1.1029420992952335
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.366231987002849,
                  2.259909659422711,
                  5.567918347623332,
                  1.9966771549125995,
                  8.330258482082852,
                  1.9477425770778494,
                  3.4305474768916633,
                  2.1733161564516763
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4352081307357023,
              "rpss": 0.017038694751129402,
              "brier_below": 0.2433955520674927,
              "bss_below": 0.026040244768492538,
              "brier_above": 0.19181258353292518,
              "bss_above": 0.005374048880829041,
              "crps": 4.09539425384218,
              "crpss": -0.10224948506247733,
              "crps_fair": 3.888748162559181,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10819743307588436,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.153831,
                    0.841715,
                    0.004454,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2986,
                    0.358,
                    0.4028,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2052,
                    0.4531,
                    0.7692,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.009593,
                    0.910437,
                    0.07997,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2986,
                    0.3231,
                    0.4028,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0357,
                    0.264,
                    0.0559,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "loci": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7882884144189252,
            "training": [
              0.7620050796694009,
              0.7734096531305377,
              0.7582748224484421,
              0.7884086033013331,
              0.867221245494966,
              0.7750556364708363,
              0.8235695508890989,
              0.7797096616036092,
              0.7884490092930247,
              0.7882451473995898,
              0.7718077870350506,
              0.7919067754019439,
              0.7708524441039755,
              0.7765981060940458,
              0.7795784260833174,
              0.7876475970040492,
              0.7737081471936771,
              0.783166882005988,
              0.8283378201247249,
              0.7875728545756506,
              0.797857491249143,
              0.7972539417168257,
              0.7851121310495841,
              0.7831731327153889
            ],
            "test": 0.8240132848565104
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46968249704387827,
                  0.4734409348046864,
                  0.5764371470774665,
                  0.45262157278486276,
                  0.48827604063498176,
                  0.4297031768146912,
                  0.40714443879359546,
                  0.4219529989867475,
                  0.5502677209776169,
                  0.42792299400561906,
                  0.5795459660657989,
                  0.4600540834361275,
                  0.40605569490426574,
                  0.4318645278683048,
                  0.44172985506750356,
                  0.5213418639737046,
                  0.4706964858472584,
                  0.40531761125986954,
                  0.4165202438540331,
                  0.4298340526797022,
                  0.38934468416661033,
                  0.3970139753402729,
                  0.3817545954002783,
                  0.43891314481782356
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4973013035288361,
                  0.5299108613891841,
                  0.49682096989761637,
                  0.45140321943555783,
                  0.5120439264472348,
                  0.41031169960340397,
                  0.47797132071856974,
                  0.45308842078032785,
                  0.5043277834760528,
                  0.4169267074583939,
                  0.5103230589589499,
                  0.439774482865257,
                  0.3965890932152538,
                  0.3999865075263042,
                  0.4105095366915584,
                  0.495347056515228,
                  0.4525412471251873,
                  0.4026341732498444,
                  0.4947135575342954,
                  0.4107579478352957,
                  0.4281083690429166,
                  0.4373547673375428,
                  0.3794648521113215,
                  0.46535364949831176
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.34856481627767677,
                  0.36300849373109345,
                  0.18719000596153124,
                  0.18832021611906571,
                  0.12486041027223206,
                  0.20273944051028495,
                  0.2956164052289005,
                  0.28357756108408105,
                  0.15585885444294958,
                  0.17751368550633825,
                  0.16783356942841707,
                  0.17033038156292826,
                  0.25016217847869604,
                  0.19274133157080556,
                  0.2002917949457497,
                  0.18453331206513948,
                  0.20993998050598212,
                  0.22279125188067425,
                  0.31218786172650204,
                  0.17907303912154898,
                  0.27214963561339583,
                  0.2890970461974892,
                  0.18869983362989395,
                  0.31464506689031374
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3742768451297219,
                  0.40873323143582757,
                  0.13866980785737074,
                  0.18456937257153472,
                  0.1256044036343616,
                  0.18760042277090966,
                  0.34539584613599755,
                  0.3109003023417131,
                  0.12201400407191382,
                  0.16742828213175504,
                  0.1244088544959247,
                  0.15170887566157665,
                  0.2434586977209261,
                  0.1637619591020418,
                  0.1668761402054322,
                  0.16458520031461277,
                  0.20321388944011462,
                  0.21596862310093545,
                  0.36773408199884783,
                  0.16227747027615622,
                  0.2938514971990294,
                  0.31090927642329086,
                  0.1849857245631276,
                  0.33273847477773943
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1211176798186124,
                  0.1104324405450294,
                  0.38924713960037405,
                  0.2643013576568301,
                  0.3634156303105127,
                  0.22696373535295325,
                  0.11152803484495896,
                  0.1383754376807599,
                  0.3944088660527726,
                  0.25040930862984473,
                  0.411712395513751,
                  0.28972370199351866,
                  0.15589351535445428,
                  0.23912319660578824,
                  0.24143806000276968,
                  0.33680855173683993,
                  0.2607565044688953,
                  0.18252635894901578,
                  0.10433238342979695,
                  0.25076101340992607,
                  0.1171950494998507,
                  0.10791692957743501,
                  0.193054761475818,
                  0.12426807790030793
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12302445839911424,
                  0.12117762995335662,
                  0.35815116204024555,
                  0.26683384686402306,
                  0.38643952281287314,
                  0.22271127683249428,
                  0.13257547458257218,
                  0.14218811843861479,
                  0.38231377940413913,
                  0.24949842532663888,
                  0.38591420446302543,
                  0.2880656072036803,
                  0.15313039549432772,
                  0.2362245484242624,
                  0.2436333964861261,
                  0.3307618562006153,
                  0.24932735768507294,
                  0.18666555014890895,
                  0.12697947553544767,
                  0.24848047755913946,
                  0.13425687184388715,
                  0.12644549091425192,
                  0.19447912754819396,
                  0.13261517472057238
                ],
                "crps": [
                  4.218881936819539,
                  3.9098982647510767,
                  15.341640409484523,
                  7.329614805191874,
                  18.533024959474773,
                  5.149892333262202,
                  2.4933861835471594,
                  4.313052199654917,
                  8.980391042918699,
                  4.7422723067612464,
                  16.879894703872335,
                  5.837665398828539,
                  4.10180063479636,
                  6.432726565545514,
                  6.020939629552055,
                  10.187025897467606,
                  6.675962485409678,
                  2.991321217043288,
                  2.282042891746892,
                  4.471266899158616,
                  2.630337711582132,
                  2.38804519273198,
                  4.8092541217736215,
                  3.379449236083138
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.3942682418184753,
                  3.592082216148263,
                  11.21710177556662,
                  5.807811897394496,
                  27.273601914436462,
                  3.5784752533248567,
                  3.4807211044876976,
                  3.1460002230570745,
                  7.545217676196043,
                  3.8249735735183252,
                  13.840864383262339,
                  4.430030997054808,
                  2.8001820448761534,
                  4.516117521457113,
                  4.888260025218961,
                  8.339483640689286,
                  4.951633793647444,
                  2.997413909666159,
                  3.4711294001341106,
                  3.627536580866378,
                  2.846454770181788,
                  3.161925584164043,
                  3.3250528086483198,
                  3.5450641992642202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.8793407668183746,
                  3.542660535191018,
                  15.113367064314199,
                  7.136461713867228,
                  18.015763503236755,
                  4.960677573887154,
                  2.36188315267333,
                  3.9195248956591042,
                  8.639674028899632,
                  4.454768209824039,
                  16.62622030554107,
                  5.492445644029509,
                  3.706798141086496,
                  6.107868861441591,
                  5.848615079036658,
                  9.826951756288235,
                  6.336575360947498,
                  2.7450434085547846,
                  2.0846156004773793,
                  4.191734622627491,
                  2.3987513913354004,
                  2.174308791036164,
                  4.408913901646697,
                  2.994901936343046
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.147316707451114,
                  3.345505329459557,
                  10.984966213801052,
                  5.565431468435425,
                  27.0718763908127,
                  3.331872595873229,
                  3.2339333066026654,
                  2.898578484108726,
                  7.306127788484703,
                  3.578837768945852,
                  13.61369806885984,
                  4.185041134572365,
                  2.552105347257009,
                  4.271290701634523,
                  4.644138020744405,
                  8.101898044577364,
                  4.707631815249459,
                  2.7497107572454813,
                  3.224323436142348,
                  3.3810268425956997,
                  2.5984657102999638,
                  2.914534006884459,
                  3.0779701844454106,
                  3.298398263301115
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45280984610857083,
              "rpss": 0.0005635875549222513,
              "brier_below": 0.22840525719798707,
              "bss_below": -0.005512968010848329,
              "brier_above": 0.22440458876711733,
              "bss_above": 0.006673517338560919,
              "crps": 6.420824459477406,
              "crpss": -0.10385557111347454,
              "crps_fair": 6.123661093531786,
              "crpss_fair": -0.09854034120982047,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.003073,
                    0.552951,
                    0.443976,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2919,
                    0.3665,
                    0.4284,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2587,
                    0.3184,
                    0.3874,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.1261,
                    0.863698,
                    0.010201,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2916,
                    0.3351,
                    0.4108,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3096,
                    0.3472,
                    0.5703,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.45123863424929644,
                  0.43525714908830887,
                  0.5356753369823488,
                  0.3656967189443652,
                  0.5219162139040348,
                  0.35204885293301164,
                  0.3608299831500325,
                  0.39330739381514357,
                  0.5753592319899996,
                  0.3959905257183654,
                  0.661548161103898,
                  0.5339625799243622,
                  0.37361415868039954,
                  0.399000402691228,
                  0.3871922661679446,
                  0.5781689410157137,
                  0.48640084172388937,
                  0.4022967685733825,
                  0.41370249748188326,
                  0.5207802809232203,
                  0.41772748099243767,
                  0.3788346592260362,
                  0.4369844892040248,
                  0.3897216257435948
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5271012360586466,
                  0.5237026442993877,
                  0.47266510161074154,
                  0.4183814440705189,
                  0.5463137956783317,
                  0.3948310621955931,
                  0.406559211835899,
                  0.4283146824891483,
                  0.49352864176266736,
                  0.37069796075288813,
                  0.544586430341869,
                  0.4920445637631002,
                  0.3565574427493965,
                  0.3975457708734299,
                  0.3515003838097367,
                  0.5287991675877444,
                  0.4852899981103904,
                  0.42598321042574033,
                  0.5180054420460954,
                  0.46522910237657855,
                  0.5021412600717393,
                  0.4343952633284925,
                  0.40487741793271564,
                  0.39251245424822917
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3489485232391406,
                  0.33660511597083015,
                  0.19797032961752725,
                  0.257485485083166,
                  0.12247273390954047,
                  0.22435508214384525,
                  0.25158689907373094,
                  0.2243266468065838,
                  0.17278156912551274,
                  0.1541002480542455,
                  0.18533704519454125,
                  0.15816336995328026,
                  0.22585143404246344,
                  0.23117129869466416,
                  0.20610840493101776,
                  0.16186808768460262,
                  0.1941218726013457,
                  0.25354221958500217,
                  0.3190336365225483,
                  0.16104632956851025,
                  0.319764944619642,
                  0.2845259377847417,
                  0.21095895441733722,
                  0.2466733620423217
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4061182447841931,
                  0.40271965302493434,
                  0.159291887101158,
                  0.2832363680142811,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.2529029231506273,
                  0.2730640226173197,
                  0.24952665149579165,
                  0.12265985005988321,
                  0.12767684799994297,
                  0.1218471520520865,
                  0.12515848079062122,
                  0.20389895401113928,
                  0.22223880236089205,
                  0.1594727085269456,
                  0.12431961025338657,
                  0.19935641299605145,
                  0.2639725231877702,
                  0.3970224507716421,
                  0.12181436140512257,
                  0.3811582687972861,
                  0.3134122720540391,
                  0.18796271335346026,
                  0.23816938425362752
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10229011104531731,
                  0.09865203338968219,
                  0.33770500571989964,
                  0.1082112349311173,
                  0.3994434797363625,
                  0.12769377063936058,
                  0.10924308531951075,
                  0.16898074743764502,
                  0.4025776603474468,
                  0.2418902773577185,
                  0.4762111125353175,
                  0.3757992097427741,
                  0.14776272358004378,
                  0.16782910527363235,
                  0.18108386130026743,
                  0.4163008525297878,
                  0.292278969645348,
                  0.14875454928440837,
                  0.09466886255401077,
                  0.35973395059887164,
                  0.09796253794831052,
                  0.09430872302666325,
                  0.22602553366632908,
                  0.14304826448771643
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.31337321450958355,
                  0.1351450760562379,
                  0.4253308044038784,
                  0.1419281390449658,
                  0.13349518921857934,
                  0.17878803099335663,
                  0.3708687917027841,
                  0.24302111275294516,
                  0.4227392782897825,
                  0.3668860829724789,
                  0.15265848873825724,
                  0.17530696851253785,
                  0.1920276752827911,
                  0.40447955733435775,
                  0.285933585114339,
                  0.16201068723797019,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.343414740971456,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.21691470457925532,
                  0.1543430699946016
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.5101550118427363,
                  2.760737707095249,
                  8.833709184875895,
                  2.5987734073147903,
                  22.882944927892744,
                  2.5851463084306268,
                  2.267287679306806,
                  3.9206900481765836,
                  8.298450302307177,
                  3.3978086168679433,
                  19.612734537805565,
                  5.401795718749114,
                  2.705002873577223,
                  4.969838691015036,
                  3.3360487334794753,
                  8.959477458847656,
                  8.281755927248135,
                  1.822091976630576,
                  1.8076224614706544,
                  4.664408422986398,
                  1.9891848447627742,
                  1.9604001464641947,
                  4.4404668941333885,
                  2.809480543234847
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.674920399403526,
                  2.637398212409991,
                  5.54786431635389,
                  2.076207700785368,
                  34.28249991078239,
                  2.0856628172110057,
                  2.3437315827679472,
                  2.6602769523695353,
                  5.95174143690428,
                  2.5420943861841945,
                  15.72510138242277,
                  4.179451182954188,
                  2.085216845411654,
                  4.0937047249597684,
                  2.2900971059547115,
                  7.841787160003542,
                  6.476073885230757,
                  2.4043541490534586,
                  2.7661997358793817,
                  3.668076251614806,
                  2.404003843392272,
                  2.7090584880115154,
                  2.3942251507817365,
                  2.2230392708520568
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.318856643836445,
                  2.45287908842954,
                  8.68051410484043,
                  2.471620269246958,
                  22.434252018739336,
                  2.4037492389209,
                  2.1895277535936413,
                  3.6449111712082494,
                  8.008274287863753,
                  3.161595634763946,
                  19.47194109399971,
                  5.166177680092446,
                  2.453665423710231,
                  4.672909125324293,
                  3.2482968547712865,
                  8.599370816612383,
                  8.066253503094394,
                  1.6502144736811553,
                  1.6570743936704324,
                  4.420501380442755,
                  1.8004689720808416,
                  1.7810447122062425,
                  4.024607165399919,
                  2.460393487878563
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.4548094454165224,
                  2.4172161936748946,
                  5.333194544027777,
                  1.8549628212328,
                  34.12225179677904,
                  1.8644358450759109,
                  2.122993377234286,
                  2.4401382645813325,
                  5.73783658336709,
                  2.3217318677782153,
                  15.529706680297545,
                  3.9621897190875477,
                  1.8639890286330005,
                  3.876280862498442,
                  2.06925731997254,
                  7.631461938517677,
                  6.263162085572975,
                  2.1837307589862482,
                  2.5462616594235836,
                  3.4498462746206284,
                  2.1833797898673692,
                  2.4890121894953605,
                  2.173582577005678,
                  2.0020724813943143
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44863563309278837,
              "rpss": 0.010504785659970484,
              "brier_below": 0.2270333137777559,
              "bss_below": 0.0016826733926067483,
              "brier_above": 0.22160231925406423,
              "bss_above": 0.019382859476273273,
              "crps": 5.53400051768815,
              "crpss": -0.07055480335503272,
              "crps_fair": 5.3016291372669935,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07019387015903678,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.000688,
                    0.392174,
                    0.607137,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2975,
                    0.3673,
                    0.4347,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1667,
                    0.2443,
                    0.418,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.202802,
                    0.790225,
                    0.006973,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2903,
                    0.3276,
                    0.4095,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2598,
                    0.3614,
                    0.9671,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42782707801313435,
                  0.45274628890115165,
                  0.42641237870661197,
                  0.40663210339934763,
                  0.4959575393321563,
                  0.4087106770088732,
                  0.39600196197518306,
                  0.4286348724557945
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5137612852478612,
                  0.49705237444422495,
                  0.4061007445054705,
                  0.44669599826620215,
                  0.4481977901053744,
                  0.3995579224080249,
                  0.3906212765735246,
                  0.4961503793308776
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.33650815826655534,
                  0.3446718037089503,
                  0.1647714187265362,
                  0.2816838873128227,
                  0.16000117630996258,
                  0.21774045275525206,
                  0.16563623767123395,
                  0.3275639797380191
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4021405089154269,
                  0.37912161362031016,
                  0.14453244502842236,
                  0.30843984040656025,
                  0.12589433667964914,
                  0.20523722232274816,
                  0.16125753035770213,
                  0.37806000678348534
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.0913189368841233,
                  0.10807450269332625,
                  0.2616409520862393,
                  0.12494822900164913,
                  0.3359563436317491,
                  0.19097022805386074,
                  0.23036572385283455,
                  0.10107090920898584
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11162079604670827,
                  0.11793077940987547,
                  0.26156829250705416,
                  0.1382561728111389,
                  0.3223034355309777,
                  0.1943207050116538,
                  0.22936374487601524,
                  0.11809039116878442
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.8822395232507092,
                  2.835146031789811,
                  5.640395496253879,
                  2.8318369812603787,
                  10.801091569493899,
                  3.6271585427709843,
                  6.374609879096598,
                  2.0793134615215436
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.2326234694826756,
                  3.444075545420181,
                  4.664597692983636,
                  2.8485585347508224,
                  7.734730772827549,
                  3.0019126203171878,
                  4.262232370432686,
                  3.1582949283763986
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.7997093371372757,
                  2.6669913178368194,
                  5.516208195247786,
                  2.7417074253403255,
                  10.680075711180418,
                  3.512058195605893,
                  6.111698788792475,
                  1.9840057065140553
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.000358402837215,
                  3.2118104787747215,
                  4.432332626338175,
                  2.616293468105364,
                  7.502465706182092,
                  2.7696475536717284,
                  4.029967303787228,
                  2.9260298617309384
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43036536247403157,
              "rpss": 0.04313755641749084,
              "brier_below": 0.24982213931116654,
              "bss_below": 0.05041441595258955,
              "brier_above": 0.18054322817659602,
              "bss_above": 0.032882486848460735,
              "crps": 4.508973935679725,
              "crpss": -0.11515017047868636,
              "crps_fair": 4.37655683470688,
              "crpss_fair": -0.1483670606297265,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.012346,
                    0.640556,
                    0.347099,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2943,
                    0.3704,
                    0.4143,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0885,
                    0.4508,
                    0.4783,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.307561,
                    0.688717,
                    0.003722,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.294,
                    0.3217,
                    0.407,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1359,
                    0.2672,
                    0.2637,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.437487939943876,
                  0.4098475491522606,
                  0.5193697336280326,
                  0.39336860066048324,
                  0.47987460988122116,
                  0.40690006818662505,
                  0.33543673359959736,
                  0.41795197762698416
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5473323450214652,
                  0.45950886455856493,
                  0.47310563766181457,
                  0.45125841650166265,
                  0.43752409736537534,
                  0.3769753190502442,
                  0.34410807327585485,
                  0.4522036283839493
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3491889434067261,
                  0.3151639117079549,
                  0.14502963392590112,
                  0.28839499088743586,
                  0.17247857761751098,
                  0.20284109271651007,
                  0.13548123021277908,
                  0.30100970566190843
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.43622124715583027,
                  0.34839776669293,
                  0.11202969533110177,
                  0.327320640209203,
                  0.141320167462079,
                  0.17256239240732962,
                  0.1394661409403721,
                  0.32190666733284123
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.08829901328440605,
                  0.09468365514641051,
                  0.3743400748154039,
                  0.10497362445355439,
                  0.3073960172974688,
                  0.20405897726367683,
                  0.19995550830149517,
                  0.11694228655322354
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.36107591750173545,
                  0.12393779386708581,
                  0.2962039166743374,
                  0.20441292982746392,
                  0.2046419354790828,
                  0.1302969774886234
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.4179985609782466,
                  2.176346409366321,
                  6.859631775067396,
                  1.8812751279784874,
                  11.424650179641427,
                  2.6483768896427207,
                  5.779112074180962,
                  1.6731003089217296
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.5726443205176754,
                  2.4663219929375395,
                  5.77433068113816,
                  2.2030894884274272,
                  8.536670815597677,
                  2.154154910592676,
                  3.6369598104064913,
                  2.3797284899665048
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.3633405211093808,
                  2.0519850852051196,
                  6.740785666037081,
                  1.820832506374066,
                  11.331432736380625,
                  2.575047607825367,
                  5.48913707218514,
                  1.5953837582922028
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.366231987002849,
                  2.259909659422711,
                  5.567918347623332,
                  1.9966771549125995,
                  8.330258482082852,
                  1.9477425770778494,
                  3.4305474768916633,
                  2.1733161564516763
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42502965158488504,
              "rpss": 0.0400278129337851,
              "brier_below": 0.2386985107670908,
              "bss_below": 0.04483569586195846,
              "brier_above": 0.18633114463945488,
              "bss_above": 0.03379753013790554,
              "crps": 4.232561415722161,
              "crpss": -0.13916715993781947,
              "crps_fair": 4.120993119176123,
              "crpss_fair": -0.1743815247189744,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.024426,
                    0.502531,
                    0.473043,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2946,
                    0.3687,
                    0.4169,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0705,
                    0.407,
                    0.4442,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.379071,
                    0.610598,
                    0.01033,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2935,
                    0.3224,
                    0.4061,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1718,
                    0.2916,
                    0.2,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "eqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.5985547255393028,
            "training": [
              0.5159967980357486,
              0.5520767313280264,
              0.5064946400526592,
              0.6017477937759858,
              0.7841593588588089,
              0.5530760337581209,
              0.7088868091424194,
              0.5679021729056707,
              0.6086473843791853,
              0.5960210715383929,
              0.5499931342611015,
              0.6101535443618756,
              0.5374144560813683,
              0.5677121874124598,
              0.5762226412036501,
              0.5872332871566958,
              0.5608080981807211,
              0.5965641118962888,
              0.7176085749528608,
              0.6142878315898661,
              0.6420972223295623,
              0.6329653213562972,
              0.5825054651616839,
              0.5947387432238168
            ],
            "test": 0.6237494432692142
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.555340734673526,
                  0.5553953380789344,
                  0.5831135785449455,
                  0.4391442262041266,
                  0.4355571318998535,
                  0.44208424857154427,
                  0.41449351663937906,
                  0.4739810726130681,
                  0.49617417298408156,
                  0.40753354203557557,
                  0.5465452754390594,
                  0.4271057251282684,
                  0.4404729729671332,
                  0.4207977033288089,
                  0.42267252949166445,
                  0.5013292370680567,
                  0.4702075399385938,
                  0.4044031115467903,
                  0.42692936750683663,
                  0.3997749471223068,
                  0.39924756650951937,
                  0.4139332270489723,
                  0.3662212096109959,
                  0.46267333445777475
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4973013035288361,
                  0.5299108613891841,
                  0.49682096989761637,
                  0.45140321943555783,
                  0.5120439264472348,
                  0.41031169960340397,
                  0.47797132071856974,
                  0.45308842078032785,
                  0.5043277834760528,
                  0.4169267074583939,
                  0.5103230589589499,
                  0.439774482865257,
                  0.3965890932152538,
                  0.3999865075263042,
                  0.4105095366915584,
                  0.495347056515228,
                  0.4525412471251873,
                  0.4026341732498444,
                  0.4947135575342954,
                  0.4107579478352957,
                  0.4281083690429166,
                  0.4373547673375428,
                  0.3794648521113215,
                  0.46535364949831176
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.40881409521150874,
                  0.42933602970923984,
                  0.17392917222543258,
                  0.17965262935088108,
                  0.10356752334816564,
                  0.20283739779388954,
                  0.30923913057220126,
                  0.3222709436443193,
                  0.11734510069565186,
                  0.1543992955098019,
                  0.14192995324440824,
                  0.14772475377780364,
                  0.2578979727007065,
                  0.17642220602209896,
                  0.18303019720017155,
                  0.17362482082732775,
                  0.20658199076967895,
                  0.21802007807037135,
                  0.3280173380625547,
                  0.15306489243166174,
                  0.2829033446094481,
                  0.30224971569419096,
                  0.16884116134111993,
                  0.3332478016031983
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3742768451297219,
                  0.40873323143582757,
                  0.13866980785737074,
                  0.18456937257153472,
                  0.1256044036343616,
                  0.18760042277090966,
                  0.34539584613599755,
                  0.3109003023417131,
                  0.12201400407191382,
                  0.16742828213175504,
                  0.1244088544959247,
                  0.15170887566157665,
                  0.2434586977209261,
                  0.1637619591020418,
                  0.1668761402054322,
                  0.16458520031461277,
                  0.20321388944011462,
                  0.21596862310093545,
                  0.36773408199884783,
                  0.16227747027615622,
                  0.2938514971990294,
                  0.31090927642329086,
                  0.1849857245631276,
                  0.33273847477773943
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14652663372506688,
                  0.12605930243325572,
                  0.40918441051555443,
                  0.2594915993204214,
                  0.33198960829725016,
                  0.23924685081041758,
                  0.10525438486447264,
                  0.15171012421911736,
                  0.37882908101436463,
                  0.25313424831699716,
                  0.40461533034320013,
                  0.2793809739099926,
                  0.18257499786166498,
                  0.2443754974214801,
                  0.23964233427960302,
                  0.3277044219534514,
                  0.26362555089953305,
                  0.1863830315148195,
                  0.09891202858982064,
                  0.2467100561873196,
                  0.11634421788360441,
                  0.11168350706463576,
                  0.19738004839261186,
                  0.1294255281549669
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12302445839911424,
                  0.12117762995335662,
                  0.35815116204024555,
                  0.26683384686402306,
                  0.38643952281287314,
                  0.22271127683249428,
                  0.13257547458257218,
                  0.14218811843861479,
                  0.38231377940413913,
                  0.24949842532663888,
                  0.38591420446302543,
                  0.2880656072036803,
                  0.15313039549432772,
                  0.2362245484242624,
                  0.2436333964861261,
                  0.3307618562006153,
                  0.24932735768507294,
                  0.18666555014890895,
                  0.12697947553544767,
                  0.24848047755913946,
                  0.13425687184388715,
                  0.12644549091425192,
                  0.19447912754819396,
                  0.13261517472057238
                ],
                "crps": [
                  4.876281732955039,
                  4.771496903993373,
                  13.412458143066546,
                  5.9679717884135695,
                  20.112370780401395,
                  3.990579388068066,
                  1.6207945431910324,
                  4.051102138510029,
                  7.331610465240459,
                  3.998310011830822,
                  14.953160174652131,
                  4.464546211602839,
                  4.3198144137170384,
                  4.989957641529867,
                  4.778969435732802,
                  8.484396490826686,
                  5.515278021032308,
                  2.5854695259373255,
                  1.7033891493166295,
                  3.468414800798123,
                  2.151703623674191,
                  2.494164062667545,
                  4.658044864296605,
                  3.510987751898286
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.3942682418184753,
                  3.592082216148263,
                  11.21710177556662,
                  5.807811897394496,
                  27.273601914436462,
                  3.5784752533248567,
                  3.4807211044876976,
                  3.1460002230570745,
                  7.545217676196043,
                  3.8249735735183252,
                  13.840864383262339,
                  4.430030997054808,
                  2.8001820448761534,
                  4.516117521457113,
                  4.888260025218961,
                  8.339483640689286,
                  4.951633793647444,
                  2.997413909666159,
                  3.4711294001341106,
                  3.627536580866378,
                  2.846454770181788,
                  3.161925584164043,
                  3.3250528086483198,
                  3.5450641992642202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  4.642225202237569,
                  4.5383449148378086,
                  13.247259688689137,
                  5.817633101416259,
                  19.877604823903688,
                  3.8286980081999484,
                  1.5125949497957554,
                  3.7921882464134207,
                  7.103217743477979,
                  3.781053953760864,
                  14.772049760190928,
                  4.213060834670487,
                  4.079210897939406,
                  4.764872972385107,
                  4.640841454795673,
                  8.239597574629638,
                  5.2789262939724395,
                  2.3986327515372547,
                  1.5520931606074668,
                  3.2587956935428597,
                  1.9723515682345312,
                  2.3210201288626284,
                  4.392625071095594,
                  3.283210604282165
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.147316707451114,
                  3.345505329459557,
                  10.984966213801052,
                  5.565431468435425,
                  27.0718763908127,
                  3.331872595873229,
                  3.2339333066026654,
                  2.898578484108726,
                  7.306127788484703,
                  3.578837768945852,
                  13.61369806885984,
                  4.185041134572365,
                  2.552105347257009,
                  4.271290701634523,
                  4.644138020744405,
                  8.101898044577364,
                  4.707631815249459,
                  2.7497107572454813,
                  3.224323436142348,
                  3.3810268425956997,
                  2.5984657102999638,
                  2.914534006884459,
                  3.0779701844454106,
                  3.298398263301115
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.454380471225409,
              "rpss": -0.002903077195323789,
              "brier_below": 0.22812281435065965,
              "bss_below": -0.0042695642941665835,
              "brier_above": 0.2262576569989009,
              "bss_above": -0.001529085642608452,
              "crps": 5.758803002639696,
              "crpss": 0.00995786171574864,
              "crps_fair": 5.554504558311607,
              "crpss_fair": 0.003562209021608087,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.116353,
                    0.776328,
                    0.095573,
                    0.01046,
                    0.001286,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2807,
                    0.3467,
                    0.4244,
                    0.5456,
                    0.6239,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3408,
                    0.3467,
                    0.3784,
                    0.3415,
                    0.199,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00066,
                    0.177861,
                    0.70879,
                    0.112689,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1914,
                    0.2775,
                    0.3475,
                    0.4243,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.6121,
                    0.2934,
                    0.3667,
                    0.286,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5591773538693627,
                  0.5259702596006466,
                  0.5408559216740476,
                  0.3819519002779115,
                  0.43797836838502857,
                  0.3967270592751867,
                  0.3635399653775856,
                  0.4258904851594471,
                  0.5127342654870245,
                  0.35209174368758245,
                  0.6048467923734925,
                  0.45901902322159427,
                  0.3852549839094436,
                  0.403197091766893,
                  0.36098601249484785,
                  0.5165495985301565,
                  0.4750965480852504,
                  0.42738780473504584,
                  0.4439371780475248,
                  0.4613757999449,
                  0.46000842782702994,
                  0.394100563126066,
                  0.41806175501605847,
                  0.3727260782117274
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5271012360586466,
                  0.5237026442993877,
                  0.47266510161074154,
                  0.4183814440705189,
                  0.5463137956783317,
                  0.3948310621955931,
                  0.406559211835899,
                  0.4283146824891483,
                  0.49352864176266736,
                  0.37069796075288813,
                  0.544586430341869,
                  0.4920445637631002,
                  0.3565574427493965,
                  0.3975457708734299,
                  0.3515003838097367,
                  0.5287991675877444,
                  0.4852899981103904,
                  0.42598321042574033,
                  0.5180054420460954,
                  0.46522910237657855,
                  0.5021412600717393,
                  0.4343952633284925,
                  0.40487741793271564,
                  0.39251245424822917
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4342509847848138,
                  0.4123853723393912,
                  0.19180834464328458,
                  0.2779011489327199,
                  0.09461113227444509,
                  0.24873782110819356,
                  0.25829773248700827,
                  0.24408984893940353,
                  0.12947749502654993,
                  0.10963027751448917,
                  0.14626210455191124,
                  0.11372613626332381,
                  0.21351451660843349,
                  0.2222711237047756,
                  0.1793114921080624,
                  0.12899610741633327,
                  0.1908585043233234,
                  0.26836329953536037,
                  0.35081595393004744,
                  0.11907355549507981,
                  0.3564140956776367,
                  0.29536679083729317,
                  0.1872708144950103,
                  0.23094711343639174
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4061182447841931,
                  0.40271965302493434,
                  0.159291887101158,
                  0.2832363680142811,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.2529029231506273,
                  0.2730640226173197,
                  0.24952665149579165,
                  0.12265985005988321,
                  0.12767684799994297,
                  0.1218471520520865,
                  0.12515848079062122,
                  0.20389895401113928,
                  0.22223880236089205,
                  0.1594727085269456,
                  0.12431961025338657,
                  0.19935641299605145,
                  0.2639725231877702,
                  0.3970224507716421,
                  0.12181436140512257,
                  0.3811582687972861,
                  0.3134122720540391,
                  0.18796271335346026,
                  0.23816938425362752
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1249263609482621,
                  0.1135848813423091,
                  0.3490475792234627,
                  0.10405074875536542,
                  0.34336723447146306,
                  0.14798923350315119,
                  0.10524223155272773,
                  0.18180063288221607,
                  0.3832567793379066,
                  0.24246146779559322,
                  0.4585846977368655,
                  0.34529289228008575,
                  0.17174046337860038,
                  0.1809259630906565,
                  0.181674519385787,
                  0.38755350022758184,
                  0.2842380479251961,
                  0.15902450094088869,
                  0.09312122254545915,
                  0.3423022513616625,
                  0.10359432705675009,
                  0.09873376849811,
                  0.2307909423563279,
                  0.14177896126971523
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.31337321450958355,
                  0.1351450760562379,
                  0.4253308044038784,
                  0.1419281390449658,
                  0.13349518921857934,
                  0.17878803099335663,
                  0.3708687917027841,
                  0.24302111275294516,
                  0.4227392782897825,
                  0.3668860829724789,
                  0.15265848873825724,
                  0.17530696851253785,
                  0.1920276752827911,
                  0.40447955733435775,
                  0.285933585114339,
                  0.16201068723797019,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.343414740971456,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.21691470457925532,
                  0.1543430699946016
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.5297545033025077,
                  3.434025549178541,
                  6.905903277326611,
                  1.4134999074788361,
                  25.78628311806336,
                  2.3664394539847824,
                  1.046904736367351,
                  3.1294182347401254,
                  6.308615224145665,
                  3.010565764168859,
                  17.399230067284737,
                  3.968183790527988,
                  2.991170752077756,
                  4.377396715904314,
                  2.0664435148591216,
                  7.247254905361006,
                  6.756298203279526,
                  1.8557534140382919,
                  1.251089774193445,
                  3.425727298962388,
                  1.7657618155679522,
                  1.8291872744777464,
                  4.785309513302357,
                  2.046032100764633
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.674920399403526,
                  2.637398212409991,
                  5.54786431635389,
                  2.076207700785368,
                  34.28249991078239,
                  2.0856628172110057,
                  2.3437315827679472,
                  2.6602769523695353,
                  5.95174143690428,
                  2.5420943861841945,
                  15.72510138242277,
                  4.179451182954188,
                  2.085216845411654,
                  4.0937047249597684,
                  2.2900971059547115,
                  7.841787160003542,
                  6.476073885230757,
                  2.4043541490534586,
                  2.7661997358793817,
                  3.668076251614806,
                  2.404003843392272,
                  2.7090584880115154,
                  2.3942251507817365,
                  2.2230392708520568
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.3583500363679035,
                  3.227190560080946,
                  6.7660582256320225,
                  1.2947830226604247,
                  25.596869808964097,
                  2.193165922986208,
                  0.9642478969631847,
                  2.9059096556375845,
                  6.116922673579655,
                  2.8072285156792924,
                  17.273206000018096,
                  3.7571551194970225,
                  2.793215095721355,
                  4.149351964598442,
                  1.9683101061877832,
                  6.984100810343537,
                  6.561262237883156,
                  1.7062864816694776,
                  1.117650197817065,
                  3.2300649321516945,
                  1.5986007222868894,
                  1.6676534632660203,
                  4.5098392609444105,
                  1.8386760505285271
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.4548094454165224,
                  2.4172161936748946,
                  5.333194544027777,
                  1.8549628212328,
                  34.12225179677904,
                  1.8644358450759109,
                  2.122993377234286,
                  2.4401382645813325,
                  5.73783658336709,
                  2.3217318677782153,
                  15.529706680297545,
                  3.9621897190875477,
                  1.8639890286330005,
                  3.876280862498442,
                  2.06925731997254,
                  7.631461938517677,
                  6.263162085572975,
                  2.1837307589862482,
                  2.5462616594235836,
                  3.4498462746206284,
                  2.1833797898673692,
                  2.4890121894953605,
                  2.173582577005678,
                  2.0020724813943143
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4449777075034939,
              "rpss": 0.01857257965142589,
              "brier_below": 0.22518257360138674,
              "bss_below": 0.009820800588012046,
              "brier_above": 0.21979513366108935,
              "bss_above": 0.02737987491611138,
              "crps": 4.945677037889912,
              "crpss": 0.04325662929869334,
              "crps_fair": 4.766087448394366,
              "crpss_fair": 0.03791128352237594,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.086814,
                    0.816445,
                    0.067774,
                    0.024925,
                    0.004043,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.284,
                    0.3462,
                    0.4272,
                    0.5533,
                    0.624,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2916,
                    0.3475,
                    0.4496,
                    0.3777,
                    0.1988,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.001973,
                    0.171982,
                    0.724552,
                    0.101493,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1915,
                    0.2765,
                    0.3461,
                    0.4235,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.6491,
                    0.171,
                    0.3676,
                    0.4728,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4397383629741657,
                  0.47959599976491696,
                  0.3935785000334567,
                  0.40739682587835907,
                  0.4822670470926815,
                  0.39001948559930283,
                  0.38798756984023214,
                  0.4282744842894588
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5137612852478612,
                  0.49705237444422495,
                  0.4061007445054705,
                  0.44669599826620215,
                  0.4481977901053744,
                  0.3995579224080249,
                  0.3906212765735246,
                  0.4961503793308776
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3555107060280876,
                  0.3674483583706037,
                  0.14150467069857714,
                  0.28816765887093704,
                  0.14529761426607987,
                  0.20491213555662155,
                  0.14776023859538465,
                  0.33283060502087997
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4021405089154269,
                  0.37912161362031016,
                  0.14453244502842236,
                  0.30843984040656025,
                  0.12589433667964914,
                  0.20523722232274816,
                  0.16125753035770213,
                  0.37806000678348534
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.08422767250193397,
                  0.11214765893549838,
                  0.25207382222663294,
                  0.11922917858608102,
                  0.3369694143539258,
                  0.18510735366439746,
                  0.24022733394626095,
                  0.09544389511349499
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11162079604670827,
                  0.11793077940987547,
                  0.26156829250705416,
                  0.1382561728111389,
                  0.3223034355309777,
                  0.1943207050116538,
                  0.22936374487601524,
                  0.11809039116878442
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.6961596850844332,
                  3.08204729151261,
                  4.078787722354072,
                  1.9408343211447658,
                  8.65676651207226,
                  2.363854647913206,
                  5.323847859702852,
                  1.7935934544583727
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.2326234694826756,
                  3.444075545420181,
                  4.664597692983636,
                  2.8485585347508224,
                  7.734730772827549,
                  3.0019126203171878,
                  4.262232370432686,
                  3.1582949283763986
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.6297232921695364,
                  2.97596515284461,
                  3.9838620330794243,
                  1.8694919922533357,
                  8.568159623124307,
                  2.278604218898474,
                  5.17511823006683,
                  1.717052310381336
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.000358402837215,
                  3.2118104787747215,
                  4.432332626338175,
                  2.616293468105364,
                  7.502465706182092,
                  2.7696475536717284,
                  4.029967303787228,
                  2.9260298617309384
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4261072844340717,
              "rpss": 0.05260484935867615,
              "brier_below": 0.24792899842589644,
              "bss_below": 0.05761033260825521,
              "brier_above": 0.17817829116602818,
              "bss_above": 0.0455507659277693,
              "crps": 3.616986436780321,
              "crpss": 0.10545434523860764,
              "crps_fair": 3.5247471066022316,
              "crpss_fair": 0.07513974406251889,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.098154,
                    0.787689,
                    0.104629,
                    0.009528,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2697,
                    0.3565,
                    0.4206,
                    0.5437,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.116,
                    0.4742,
                    0.6467,
                    0.3447,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.408099,
                    0.534654,
                    0.055712,
                    0.001535,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.28,
                    0.3288,
                    0.4463,
                    0.5053,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1217,
                    0.2944,
                    0.3542,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.47586881088407634,
                  0.4345102653841513,
                  0.4582689738745728,
                  0.4108071838517315,
                  0.4555477306514587,
                  0.3775633189316345,
                  0.3216766998257673,
                  0.4281279262408063
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5473323450214652,
                  0.45950886455856493,
                  0.47310563766181457,
                  0.45125841650166265,
                  0.43752409736537534,
                  0.3769753190502442,
                  0.34410807327585485,
                  0.4522036283839493
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.38844622205115986,
                  0.33464707206460054,
                  0.10923565185495682,
                  0.3059931551657045,
                  0.1522639904691813,
                  0.1818809691223561,
                  0.10510658268870739,
                  0.3087160836332452
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.43622124715583027,
                  0.34839776669293,
                  0.11202969533110177,
                  0.327320640209203,
                  0.141320167462079,
                  0.17256239240732962,
                  0.1394661409403721,
                  0.32190666733284123
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.08742260534830844,
                  0.0998632116390129,
                  0.3490332993655827,
                  0.10481404328974606,
                  0.30328372660464137,
                  0.19568235054787234,
                  0.21657012697287173,
                  0.11941185734338992
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.36107591750173545,
                  0.12393779386708581,
                  0.2962039166743374,
                  0.20441292982746392,
                  0.2046419354790828,
                  0.1302969774886234
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.3610651938067433,
                  2.1054661358297135,
                  5.119159699650159,
                  1.3393006703951134,
                  9.32905775288185,
                  1.6084222763502405,
                  4.997722009764071,
                  1.6707011570338568
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.5726443205176754,
                  2.4663219929375395,
                  5.77433068113816,
                  2.2030894884274272,
                  8.536670815597677,
                  2.154154910592676,
                  3.6369598104064913,
                  2.3797284899665048
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.3079828134397355,
                  2.0121045992907147,
                  5.019161113771989,
                  1.278881766997521,
                  9.250037633340993,
                  1.5395168747290595,
                  4.836751310674994,
                  1.597691824370091
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.366231987002849,
                  2.259909659422711,
                  5.567918347623332,
                  1.9966771549125995,
                  8.330258482082852,
                  1.9477425770778494,
                  3.4305474768916633,
                  2.1733161564516763
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4202963637055248,
              "rpss": 0.05071841934352639,
              "brier_below": 0.23578621588123896,
              "bss_below": 0.05648939285885224,
              "brier_above": 0.1845101526389282,
              "bss_above": 0.04324011136560346,
              "crps": 3.4413618619639688,
              "crpss": 0.07377920045067077,
              "crps_fair": 3.355265992076887,
              "crpss_fair": 0.04383184400930473,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.119264,
                    0.823301,
                    0.031614,
                    0.025821,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.262,
                    0.3509,
                    0.4319,
                    0.5479,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0173,
                    0.4719,
                    0.5434,
                    0.3332,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.256538,
                    0.651338,
                    0.087304,
                    0.00482,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2794,
                    0.3285,
                    0.4677,
                    0.5053,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0778,
                    0.292,
                    0.4017,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "gqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6805053907547715,
            "training": [
              0.62958076205898,
              0.6503011609733612,
              0.6363480645554638,
              0.684091083734699,
              0.7648924265088071,
              0.6682530421729017,
              0.742360938746409,
              0.6668522791724529,
              0.6907323814077742,
              0.6858617899457544,
              0.648410450326115,
              0.6897918009087602,
              0.6509482125878542,
              0.6726301387625352,
              0.6687215745826576,
              0.6753061146249801,
              0.6723254002280846,
              0.6887598070918848,
              0.7420132871586401,
              0.6837619284075629,
              0.6917498203099893,
              0.6881454461202682,
              0.6624145001220572,
              0.677876967606523
            ],
            "test": 0.7168557066770326
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5823967743208331,
                  0.5966884269290872,
                  0.5219788735796209,
                  0.43384136302207477,
                  0.41530063451502275,
                  0.417656571301736,
                  0.4542597082140863,
                  0.49004794129677104,
                  0.4584675565584579,
                  0.39876388860144063,
                  0.4913913449282309,
                  0.4053442929053398,
                  0.4340063600473729,
                  0.40655583863171996,
                  0.4046556385579233,
                  0.4727183606076417,
                  0.4515932958582538,
                  0.40105534123723785,
                  0.46838513167551654,
                  0.3837439095383362,
                  0.428058017404166,
                  0.4466176550309472,
                  0.36674068360409573,
                  0.4940932830096818
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4973013035288361,
                  0.5299108613891841,
                  0.49682096989761637,
                  0.45140321943555783,
                  0.5120439264472348,
                  0.41031169960340397,
                  0.47797132071856974,
                  0.45308842078032785,
                  0.5043277834760528,
                  0.4169267074583939,
                  0.5103230589589499,
                  0.439774482865257,
                  0.3965890932152538,
                  0.3999865075263042,
                  0.4105095366915584,
                  0.495347056515228,
                  0.4525412471251873,
                  0.4026341732498444,
                  0.4947135575342954,
                  0.4107579478352957,
                  0.4281083690429166,
                  0.4373547673375428,
                  0.3794648521113215,
                  0.46535364949831176
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.42219547279634784,
                  0.45048352626699056,
                  0.14180738125916395,
                  0.1734484873032646,
                  0.09575122030282175,
                  0.18566192409075405,
                  0.33333771525038614,
                  0.3282864810227486,
                  0.10428594775264485,
                  0.15156357624501057,
                  0.12015197635028287,
                  0.13719278990074532,
                  0.2549948084786423,
                  0.1599012166855547,
                  0.16775141972304697,
                  0.15880208076330815,
                  0.20089014851641795,
                  0.21600345331373555,
                  0.3550944175643787,
                  0.14845790710371765,
                  0.2962663561024982,
                  0.3162913793573942,
                  0.16696689720490335,
                  0.3513253177166557
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3742768451297219,
                  0.40873323143582757,
                  0.13866980785737074,
                  0.18456937257153472,
                  0.1256044036343616,
                  0.18760042277090966,
                  0.34539584613599755,
                  0.3109003023417131,
                  0.12201400407191382,
                  0.16742828213175504,
                  0.1244088544959247,
                  0.15170887566157665,
                  0.2434586977209261,
                  0.1637619591020418,
                  0.1668761402054322,
                  0.16458520031461277,
                  0.20321388944011462,
                  0.21596862310093545,
                  0.36773408199884783,
                  0.16227747027615622,
                  0.2938514971990294,
                  0.31090927642329086,
                  0.1849857245631276,
                  0.33273847477773943
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16020130148410003,
                  0.14620489944326165,
                  0.3801714959608436,
                  0.26039287501134895,
                  0.3195494126800381,
                  0.23199464776434642,
                  0.12092199150744144,
                  0.1617614597204647,
                  0.3541816103441383,
                  0.24720031190178285,
                  0.37123937416796954,
                  0.26815150292779844,
                  0.17901155180976566,
                  0.24665462233644758,
                  0.23690421939981984,
                  0.31391628125670323,
                  0.2507031476418223,
                  0.18505188760030022,
                  0.11329071254335439,
                  0.23528600226582747,
                  0.13179165936506138,
                  0.13032627391990143,
                  0.19977378616629643,
                  0.1427679643121829
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12302445839911424,
                  0.12117762995335662,
                  0.35815116204024555,
                  0.26683384686402306,
                  0.38643952281287314,
                  0.22271127683249428,
                  0.13257547458257218,
                  0.14218811843861479,
                  0.38231377940413913,
                  0.24949842532663888,
                  0.38591420446302543,
                  0.2880656072036803,
                  0.15313039549432772,
                  0.2362245484242624,
                  0.2436333964861261,
                  0.3307618562006153,
                  0.24932735768507294,
                  0.18666555014890895,
                  0.12697947553544767,
                  0.24848047755913946,
                  0.13425687184388715,
                  0.12644549091425192,
                  0.19447912754819396,
                  0.13261517472057238
                ],
                "crps": [
                  5.141764078769854,
                  5.100306756126551,
                  13.069837933344608,
                  5.913279028777286,
                  20.02463145576711,
                  3.7539528084695184,
                  2.0323785173386693,
                  4.116947348757228,
                  6.848035403498265,
                  3.6524844863045187,
                  14.660345428686492,
                  4.056378556253284,
                  4.316523615357521,
                  4.947568308614046,
                  4.837173645754911,
                  8.071957105990004,
                  5.328441803956489,
                  2.7663815128786267,
                  2.17794468009107,
                  3.141466901558312,
                  2.414021337252353,
                  2.877556585184013,
                  4.40036407650653,
                  3.9126212478261992
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.3942682418184753,
                  3.592082216148263,
                  11.21710177556662,
                  5.807811897394496,
                  27.273601914436462,
                  3.5784752533248567,
                  3.4807211044876976,
                  3.1460002230570745,
                  7.545217676196043,
                  3.8249735735183252,
                  13.840864383262339,
                  4.430030997054808,
                  2.8001820448761534,
                  4.516117521457113,
                  4.888260025218961,
                  8.339483640689286,
                  4.951633793647444,
                  2.997413909666159,
                  3.4711294001341106,
                  3.627536580866378,
                  2.846454770181788,
                  3.161925584164043,
                  3.3250528086483198,
                  3.5450641992642202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  4.919605031504005,
                  4.859542973893333,
                  12.898940712218554,
                  5.766421415581086,
                  19.7511477227039,
                  3.599594215994938,
                  1.911509355469649,
                  3.8657151449684464,
                  6.623542530885112,
                  3.4546895295547975,
                  14.476575358044686,
                  3.830344941331499,
                  4.073115621848821,
                  4.724824517487237,
                  4.700808919712394,
                  7.830799377197736,
                  5.0986519719758885,
                  2.5925885753246702,
                  2.019514753820702,
                  2.953164956385691,
                  2.2415645712442926,
                  2.712326094291598,
                  4.147877189891777,
                  3.6680516450925897
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.147316707451114,
                  3.345505329459557,
                  10.984966213801052,
                  5.565431468435425,
                  27.0718763908127,
                  3.331872595873229,
                  3.2339333066026654,
                  2.898578484108726,
                  7.306127788484703,
                  3.578837768945852,
                  13.61369806885984,
                  4.185041134572365,
                  2.552105347257009,
                  4.271290701634523,
                  4.644138020744405,
                  8.101898044577364,
                  4.707631815249459,
                  2.7497107572454813,
                  3.224323436142348,
                  3.3810268425956997,
                  2.5984657102999638,
                  2.914534006884459,
                  3.0779701844454106,
                  3.298398263301115
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4510150371406498,
              "rpss": 0.0045250681882147425,
              "brier_below": 0.22653799587797563,
              "bss_below": 0.002707313321420046,
              "brier_above": 0.22447704131379234,
              "bss_above": 0.006352806279380063,
              "crps": 5.731765109294311,
              "crpss": 0.014606163407974715,
              "crps_fair": 5.530038213600975,
              "crpss_fair": 0.007951293632277423,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.205107,
                    0.760824,
                    0.030125,
                    0.003945,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2825,
                    0.3321,
                    0.4381,
                    0.5163,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3367,
                    0.352,
                    0.3585,
                    0.3051,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.09984,
                    0.597402,
                    0.302508,
                    0.00025,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2817,
                    0.353,
                    0.426,
                    0.505,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.266,
                    0.3349,
                    0.3906,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.6121463076068785,
                  0.5814218343337882,
                  0.48877969420233197,
                  0.41241971226889657,
                  0.40817139237119937,
                  0.4190951017130632,
                  0.39051028973656887,
                  0.4371795712542696,
                  0.4603480537776738,
                  0.33708895309540843,
                  0.5207011561995858,
                  0.4170139604656991,
                  0.39291633477065874,
                  0.4218515690507776,
                  0.3541100609464558,
                  0.4674404384858207,
                  0.4694066622742729,
                  0.44527772513608,
                  0.4975188504834075,
                  0.4115211472677029,
                  0.5165513848621733,
                  0.4447174466689833,
                  0.40417655003417097,
                  0.3977916097048882
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5271012360586466,
                  0.5237026442993877,
                  0.47266510161074154,
                  0.4183814440705189,
                  0.5463137956783317,
                  0.3948310621955931,
                  0.406559211835899,
                  0.4283146824891483,
                  0.49352864176266736,
                  0.37069796075288813,
                  0.544586430341869,
                  0.4920445637631002,
                  0.3565574427493965,
                  0.3975457708734299,
                  0.3515003838097367,
                  0.5287991675877444,
                  0.4852899981103904,
                  0.42598321042574033,
                  0.5180054420460954,
                  0.46522910237657855,
                  0.5021412600717393,
                  0.4343952633284925,
                  0.40487741793271564,
                  0.39251245424822917
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4532927258355923,
                  0.43320545041442154,
                  0.1636216756004869,
                  0.2827679005024913,
                  0.0886579903832676,
                  0.24904797584271765,
                  0.2651027052188284,
                  0.2412829030066234,
                  0.1142619848032181,
                  0.10543480794097773,
                  0.12350498518284599,
                  0.10511156516734158,
                  0.20951148630016905,
                  0.22062377257482246,
                  0.1625095453521126,
                  0.11354973188717628,
                  0.18908891328589908,
                  0.2730863066444081,
                  0.38159502641025644,
                  0.10826839122781598,
                  0.38564409066409505,
                  0.3164347147904666,
                  0.18379581701061767,
                  0.23799006441699921
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4061182447841931,
                  0.40271965302493434,
                  0.159291887101158,
                  0.2832363680142811,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.2529029231506273,
                  0.2730640226173197,
                  0.24952665149579165,
                  0.12265985005988321,
                  0.12767684799994297,
                  0.1218471520520865,
                  0.12515848079062122,
                  0.20389895401113928,
                  0.22223880236089205,
                  0.1594727085269456,
                  0.12431961025338657,
                  0.19935641299605145,
                  0.2639725231877702,
                  0.3970224507716421,
                  0.12181436140512257,
                  0.3811582687972861,
                  0.3134122720540391,
                  0.18796271335346026,
                  0.23816938425362752
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15885358239659275,
                  0.1482163821394726,
                  0.3251580213294111,
                  0.12965180937106524,
                  0.31951339846227234,
                  0.17004712597397703,
                  0.12540758294584556,
                  0.19589666845802906,
                  0.3460860710894435,
                  0.23165414430695647,
                  0.39719617799463247,
                  0.31190239420054133,
                  0.18340484936370238,
                  0.20122779662976928,
                  0.19160051422594526,
                  0.3538907068320295,
                  0.28031774964130707,
                  0.17219141783210282,
                  0.11592382208276021,
                  0.30325275569766597,
                  0.13090729173223556,
                  0.12828272883244413,
                  0.22038073343996076,
                  0.15980154425757595
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.31337321450958355,
                  0.1351450760562379,
                  0.4253308044038784,
                  0.1419281390449658,
                  0.13349518921857934,
                  0.17878803099335663,
                  0.3708687917027841,
                  0.24302111275294516,
                  0.4227392782897825,
                  0.3668860829724789,
                  0.15265848873825724,
                  0.17530696851253785,
                  0.1920276752827911,
                  0.40447955733435775,
                  0.285933585114339,
                  0.16201068723797019,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.343414740971456,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.21691470457925532,
                  0.1543430699946016
                ],
                "crps": [
                  4.0484904016827565,
                  3.888454082245896,
                  6.630847702201829,
                  1.617981169759721,
                  25.678678072748195,
                  2.4071488404890404,
                  1.322543804771668,
                  2.926872341153469,
                  5.76337893174208,
                  2.612418014210481,
                  16.885481725337435,
                  3.303844160969068,
                  3.3444719897473245,
                  4.576853449215503,
                  2.217814502420776,
                  6.711361533108928,
                  6.57059694921207,
                  2.337159158241179,
                  1.7382017379628774,
                  2.7595066060518545,
                  2.2270867561676444,
                  2.2956783315002856,
                  4.6003992286313835,
                  2.4259291659551767
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.674920399403526,
                  2.637398212409991,
                  5.54786431635389,
                  2.076207700785368,
                  34.28249991078239,
                  2.0856628172110057,
                  2.3437315827679472,
                  2.6602769523695353,
                  5.95174143690428,
                  2.5420943861841945,
                  15.72510138242277,
                  4.179451182954188,
                  2.085216845411654,
                  4.0937047249597684,
                  2.2900971059547115,
                  7.841787160003542,
                  6.476073885230757,
                  2.4043541490534586,
                  2.7661997358793817,
                  3.668076251614806,
                  2.404003843392272,
                  2.7090584880115154,
                  2.3942251507817365,
                  2.2230392708520568
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.891204484479587,
                  3.6685917292583126,
                  6.489339461422062,
                  1.4948307864521966,
                  25.439935428319746,
                  2.250297257075367,
                  1.2249485094170875,
                  2.7294216894686962,
                  5.5613710874433,
                  2.4293262408959193,
                  16.752253947708038,
                  3.1288855363908343,
                  3.1481417401353355,
                  4.362531535171226,
                  2.115409376645283,
                  6.458441908713952,
                  6.40354614261798,
                  2.1970220906240323,
                  1.6012018886768826,
                  2.5869269860990167,
                  2.0713564200186605,
                  2.139931850208668,
                  4.333960261358133,
                  2.1953569279730436
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.4548094454165224,
                  2.4172161936748946,
                  5.333194544027777,
                  1.8549628212328,
                  34.12225179677904,
                  1.8644358450759109,
                  2.122993377234286,
                  2.4401382645813325,
                  5.73783658336709,
                  2.3217318677782153,
                  15.529706680297545,
                  3.9621897190875477,
                  1.8639890286330005,
                  3.876280862498442,
                  2.06925731997254,
                  7.631461938517677,
                  6.263162085572975,
                  2.1837307589862482,
                  2.5462616594235836,
                  3.4498462746206284,
                  2.1833797898673692,
                  2.4890121894953605,
                  2.173582577005678,
                  2.0020724813943143
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4461731586129482,
              "rpss": 0.015935934087568437,
              "brier_below": 0.2253079387693188,
              "bss_below": 0.009269541315894303,
              "brier_above": 0.22086521955148908,
              "bss_above": 0.022644615061924167,
              "crps": 4.953799943980276,
              "crpss": 0.041685249588039985,
              "crps_fair": 4.778093053607223,
              "crpss_fair": 0.03548781617419161,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.149507,
                    0.803187,
                    0.036257,
                    0.011049,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2844,
                    0.3317,
                    0.4506,
                    0.5176,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2705,
                    0.3633,
                    0.3826,
                    0.3222,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.078208,
                    0.50493,
                    0.416861,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2824,
                    0.3593,
                    0.4243,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1984,
                    0.3019,
                    0.4247,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.49882917092951456,
                  0.5219211609043027,
                  0.3757364561234076,
                  0.44419605937308143,
                  0.44824721293920294,
                  0.38035427375295,
                  0.3878536660894431,
                  0.483601208916136
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5137612852478612,
                  0.49705237444422495,
                  0.4061007445054705,
                  0.44669599826620215,
                  0.4481977901053744,
                  0.3995579224080249,
                  0.3906212765735246,
                  0.4961503793308776
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.39222561227272096,
                  0.3950165067098294,
                  0.13298112090447378,
                  0.308998501974279,
                  0.124739619204972,
                  0.20266061691291526,
                  0.14736165500511927,
                  0.3692614487489006
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4021405089154269,
                  0.37912161362031016,
                  0.14453244502842236,
                  0.30843984040656025,
                  0.12589433667964914,
                  0.20523722232274816,
                  0.16125753035770213,
                  0.37806000678348534
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10660357744500742,
                  0.12690467351752605,
                  0.2427553289545761,
                  0.13519757155192907,
                  0.32350757643949496,
                  0.1776936609480153,
                  0.24049201336265497,
                  0.11433977796163639
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11162079604670827,
                  0.11793077940987547,
                  0.26156829250705416,
                  0.1382561728111389,
                  0.3223034355309777,
                  0.1943207050116538,
                  0.22936374487601524,
                  0.11809039116878442
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.235219338134769,
                  3.579048254430155,
                  3.9814904982715196,
                  2.3101742042091855,
                  8.556222602573794,
                  2.3832778585040697,
                  5.231022360795329,
                  2.3551788325678022
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.2326234694826756,
                  3.444075545420181,
                  4.664597692983636,
                  2.8485585347508224,
                  7.734730772827549,
                  3.0019126203171878,
                  4.262232370432686,
                  3.1582949283763986
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.1669890038674158,
                  3.4688589893850215,
                  3.892099392811337,
                  2.237042834242834,
                  8.468119268725518,
                  2.2968716465889494,
                  5.073459768322757,
                  2.2793133885781667
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.000358402837215,
                  3.2118104787747215,
                  4.432332626338175,
                  2.616293468105364,
                  7.502465706182092,
                  2.7696475536717284,
                  4.029967303787228,
                  2.9260298617309384
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44259240112850484,
              "rpss": 0.015952296857009718,
              "brier_below": 0.2591556352166513,
              "bss_below": 0.014937363418127902,
              "brier_above": 0.18343677252260504,
              "bss_above": 0.01738261216266679,
              "crps": 3.828954243685828,
              "crpss": 0.0530309027041066,
              "crps_fair": 3.7353442865652497,
              "crpss_fair": 0.019881038722927902,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.134671,
                    0.840141,
                    0.024091,
                    0.001096,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2771,
                    0.3322,
                    0.441,
                    0.5032,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1949,
                    0.5001,
                    0.3797,
                    0.3,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.220131,
                    0.662051,
                    0.117818,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.283,
                    0.3478,
                    0.4244,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1055,
                    0.2428,
                    0.3632,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5470223714291361,
                  0.4852211195974392,
                  0.4312451394824399,
                  0.45595566293827405,
                  0.43281615565868387,
                  0.3627135225770792,
                  0.3393560382120387,
                  0.4702309413659457
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5473323450214652,
                  0.45950886455856493,
                  0.47310563766181457,
                  0.45125841650166265,
                  0.43752409736537534,
                  0.3769753190502442,
                  0.34410807327585485,
                  0.4522036283839493
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.42908626698228874,
                  0.3587053811413493,
                  0.09943903680937376,
                  0.32511800121996276,
                  0.13839630162243668,
                  0.1734328430101943,
                  0.11139528500626071,
                  0.32888551214310585
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.43622124715583027,
                  0.34839776669293,
                  0.11202969533110177,
                  0.327320640209203,
                  0.141320167462079,
                  0.17256239240732962,
                  0.1394661409403721,
                  0.32190666733284123
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.11793612462641483,
                  0.1265157596937933,
                  0.33180608011977863,
                  0.13083767960976908,
                  0.2944198429296738,
                  0.18928068275306822,
                  0.22796076204789503,
                  0.14134544716419967
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.36107591750173545,
                  0.12393779386708581,
                  0.2962039166743374,
                  0.20441292982746392,
                  0.2046419354790828,
                  0.1302969774886234
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.9516675592612573,
                  2.613317345506273,
                  4.940179756076277,
                  1.8065132827543458,
                  9.374940497278919,
                  1.745708075528726,
                  4.807108831819322,
                  2.260556232283891
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.5726443205176754,
                  2.4663219929375395,
                  5.77433068113816,
                  2.2030894884274272,
                  8.536670815597677,
                  2.154154910592676,
                  3.6369598104064913,
                  2.3797284899665048
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.8959478404228078,
                  2.5218337646959674,
                  4.848648921208363,
                  1.7468691501789468,
                  9.298890070950925,
                  1.677729252452302,
                  4.633831075648081,
                  2.19312463053348
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.366231987002849,
                  2.259909659422711,
                  5.567918347623332,
                  1.9966771549125995,
                  8.330258482082852,
                  1.9477425770778494,
                  3.4305474768916633,
                  2.1733161564516763
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44057011890762954,
              "rpss": 0.004928105541096017,
              "brier_below": 0.2455573284918715,
              "bss_below": 0.017389785796385282,
              "brier_above": 0.1950127973680741,
              "bss_above": -0.011220356298137446,
              "crps": 3.6874989475636264,
              "crpss": 0.007532959175494014,
              "crps_fair": 3.602109338261359,
              "crpss_fair": -0.026512429051944286,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.127516,
                    0.834633,
                    0.034409,
                    0.003443,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2706,
                    0.3273,
                    0.4523,
                    0.5032,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0162,
                    0.4836,
                    0.2799,
                    0.3,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.11241,
                    0.672192,
                    0.215398,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2827,
                    0.3575,
                    0.4279,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1163,
                    0.2371,
                    0.3379,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8398196236098512,
            "training": [
              0.8087256240143101,
              0.8161788894132113,
              0.8033780190321888,
              0.838566439457972,
              0.9183909557385264,
              0.8327344911202789,
              0.8898046629995298,
              0.8060057809426963,
              0.8663577934450141,
              0.8333129039133714,
              0.8116203972609201,
              0.8495034537231658,
              0.811186205161031,
              0.8351978668103405,
              0.8301135808372955,
              0.8535301111784094,
              0.8187024464781567,
              0.8303230123733449,
              0.8957698931611112,
              0.8412625670781755,
              0.8490086235647467,
              0.8572215788836526,
              0.8379043813442613,
              0.8208712887047189
            ],
            "test": 0.8610301120068301
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5312193552445857,
                  0.5540031114003763,
                  0.5501055678179669,
                  0.44742001976607704,
                  0.45806435510917637,
                  0.42745578747182944,
                  0.4319341001650634,
                  0.4947099457739113,
                  0.4764534216825345,
                  0.42374774626021444,
                  0.5550959670875119,
                  0.42265434344388864,
                  0.44098784355986864,
                  0.4138964274651958,
                  0.4194166034472341,
                  0.48708975721190156,
                  0.4756645774372182,
                  0.411421351850804,
                  0.4462354716276903,
                  0.39754388961191606,
                  0.4122051615185928,
                  0.4111422978879675,
                  0.3634621200115084,
                  0.4880151670605587
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4973013035288361,
                  0.5299108613891841,
                  0.49682096989761637,
                  0.45140321943555783,
                  0.5120439264472348,
                  0.41031169960340397,
                  0.47797132071856974,
                  0.45308842078032785,
                  0.5043277834760528,
                  0.4169267074583939,
                  0.5103230589589499,
                  0.439774482865257,
                  0.3965890932152538,
                  0.3999865075263042,
                  0.4105095366915584,
                  0.495347056515228,
                  0.4525412471251873,
                  0.4026341732498444,
                  0.4947135575342954,
                  0.4107579478352957,
                  0.4281083690429166,
                  0.4373547673375428,
                  0.3794648521113215,
                  0.46535364949831176
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3910832014351096,
                  0.4258909662996252,
                  0.16633347061544618,
                  0.18206756085594705,
                  0.10866153302211808,
                  0.1982393737289653,
                  0.3145132896908032,
                  0.3327755067654466,
                  0.1114074028461183,
                  0.17052230288659803,
                  0.1488287766341843,
                  0.1415809779107443,
                  0.26250958680624725,
                  0.17326020470916004,
                  0.18549767335838763,
                  0.16272604878135086,
                  0.21379299111716518,
                  0.22055163343060064,
                  0.3346745711431273,
                  0.15507446582580847,
                  0.28794955208750683,
                  0.29886817295662665,
                  0.1674910553665038,
                  0.3440122518442161
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3742768451297219,
                  0.40873323143582757,
                  0.13866980785737074,
                  0.18456937257153472,
                  0.1256044036343616,
                  0.18760042277090966,
                  0.34539584613599755,
                  0.3109003023417131,
                  0.12201400407191382,
                  0.16742828213175504,
                  0.1244088544959247,
                  0.15170887566157665,
                  0.2434586977209261,
                  0.1637619591020418,
                  0.1668761402054322,
                  0.16458520031461277,
                  0.20321388944011462,
                  0.21596862310093545,
                  0.36773408199884783,
                  0.16227747027615622,
                  0.2938514971990294,
                  0.31090927642329086,
                  0.1849857245631276,
                  0.33273847477773943
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14013615378315292,
                  0.12811214477683708,
                  0.38377209659684286,
                  0.2653524596472427,
                  0.34940282094306335,
                  0.22921641307681714,
                  0.11742081106670663,
                  0.16193443909606525,
                  0.365046018784637,
                  0.25322544366051375,
                  0.4062671901281768,
                  0.28107336606652045,
                  0.17847825702169076,
                  0.2406362227002949,
                  0.23391893040247183,
                  0.3243637091325253,
                  0.26187158684864925,
                  0.1908697180776611,
                  0.11156090130635819,
                  0.24246942380396497,
                  0.12425560926591983,
                  0.11227412499001924,
                  0.19597106501644965,
                  0.14400291516481648
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12302445839911424,
                  0.12117762995335662,
                  0.35815116204024555,
                  0.26683384686402306,
                  0.38643952281287314,
                  0.22271127683249428,
                  0.13257547458257218,
                  0.14218811843861479,
                  0.38231377940413913,
                  0.24949842532663888,
                  0.38591420446302543,
                  0.2880656072036803,
                  0.15313039549432772,
                  0.2362245484242624,
                  0.2436333964861261,
                  0.3307618562006153,
                  0.24932735768507294,
                  0.18666555014890895,
                  0.12697947553544767,
                  0.24848047755913946,
                  0.13425687184388715,
                  0.12644549091425192,
                  0.19447912754819396,
                  0.13261517472057238
                ],
                "crps": [
                  5.917015118582006,
                  5.618762494089819,
                  14.73748337557899,
                  6.8471164113278515,
                  15.69548595724236,
                  5.018466342259135,
                  2.0163712758756347,
                  5.501420266120622,
                  7.052092892667294,
                  4.486881040844627,
                  16.153930517894793,
                  4.749394944843199,
                  6.219737007834439,
                  5.331261500285425,
                  5.334711925030851,
                  8.458689384645538,
                  6.36372018891834,
                  2.8003216821287094,
                  1.6853784923809194,
                  3.67956024444435,
                  2.0465872449691975,
                  2.228561412394009,
                  6.286039345810912,
                  4.49328380739006
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.3942682418184753,
                  3.592082216148263,
                  11.21710177556662,
                  5.807811897394496,
                  27.273601914436462,
                  3.5784752533248567,
                  3.4807211044876976,
                  3.1460002230570745,
                  7.545217676196043,
                  3.8249735735183252,
                  13.840864383262339,
                  4.430030997054808,
                  2.8001820448761534,
                  4.516117521457113,
                  4.888260025218961,
                  8.339483640689286,
                  4.951633793647444,
                  2.997413909666159,
                  3.4711294001341106,
                  3.627536580866378,
                  2.846454770181788,
                  3.161925584164043,
                  3.3250528086483198,
                  3.5450641992642202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  5.667024598239025,
                  5.36495774320842,
                  14.589847751163012,
                  6.7135254853467226,
                  15.295936632097082,
                  4.869617646452008,
                  1.9322447539926568,
                  5.213889379389775,
                  6.812640290437029,
                  4.259497769480907,
                  15.972423441408068,
                  4.482856714361153,
                  5.945647501654616,
                  5.101858351099634,
                  5.211899525991889,
                  8.188876731820933,
                  6.110295315422613,
                  2.624730501389198,
                  1.5672019945083717,
                  3.4678236279131562,
                  1.885612691189584,
                  2.0776859697491448,
                  5.960567173453258,
                  4.23881449835011
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.147316707451114,
                  3.345505329459557,
                  10.984966213801052,
                  5.565431468435425,
                  27.0718763908127,
                  3.331872595873229,
                  3.2339333066026654,
                  2.898578484108726,
                  7.306127788484703,
                  3.578837768945852,
                  13.61369806885984,
                  4.185041134572365,
                  2.552105347257009,
                  4.271290701634523,
                  4.644138020744405,
                  8.101898044577364,
                  4.707631815249459,
                  2.7497107572454813,
                  3.224323436142348,
                  3.3810268425956997,
                  2.5984657102999638,
                  2.914534006884459,
                  3.0779701844454106,
                  3.298398263301115
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45583101624639966,
              "rpss": -0.006104702611219315,
              "brier_below": 0.22909635708824197,
              "bss_below": -0.00855541068649912,
              "brier_above": 0.2267346592232249,
              "bss_above": -0.0036405350755839283,
              "crps": 6.196761369731628,
              "crpss": -0.06533508336961447,
              "crps_fair": 5.981478170338266,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07303375706456117,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.169788,
                    0.666849,
                    0.163364,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2914,
                    0.3512,
                    0.4218,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4203,
                    0.3368,
                    0.3239,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.046094,
                    0.862741,
                    0.091165,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2939,
                    0.3436,
                    0.4363,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3776,
                    0.3507,
                    0.2721,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4968616513815317,
                  0.5398932400107819,
                  0.5191529405296267,
                  0.37415729943908516,
                  0.47119119705483237,
                  0.3714016356788286,
                  0.37553395269664924,
                  0.47649379454163066,
                  0.44932010847364307,
                  0.37618489606371736,
                  0.6425363675024491,
                  0.461418094556548,
                  0.3818669598966934,
                  0.4018666347305047,
                  0.37681314448609565,
                  0.5072946849410273,
                  0.4813652968823968,
                  0.4341111070118267,
                  0.4563501560362052,
                  0.4401553284736306,
                  0.47761246767462573,
                  0.3992208076971638,
                  0.3969493841866794,
                  0.40876127933167006
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5271012360586466,
                  0.5237026442993877,
                  0.47266510161074154,
                  0.4183814440705189,
                  0.5463137956783317,
                  0.3948310621955931,
                  0.406559211835899,
                  0.4283146824891483,
                  0.49352864176266736,
                  0.37069796075288813,
                  0.544586430341869,
                  0.4920445637631002,
                  0.3565574427493965,
                  0.3975457708734299,
                  0.3515003838097367,
                  0.5287991675877444,
                  0.4852899981103904,
                  0.42598321042574033,
                  0.5180054420460954,
                  0.46522910237657855,
                  0.5021412600717393,
                  0.4343952633284925,
                  0.40487741793271564,
                  0.39251245424822917
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.38534226920507275,
                  0.41875394387320475,
                  0.18616548022781504,
                  0.26013680910821446,
                  0.10319141231007181,
                  0.2347835431407812,
                  0.2587084399746634,
                  0.2748812969587719,
                  0.1057315449648468,
                  0.13437675332199622,
                  0.17387122985305598,
                  0.11152775092931419,
                  0.22048304221416276,
                  0.22132447828333865,
                  0.19281914118446636,
                  0.11815452126448606,
                  0.19304160679074164,
                  0.26230327500310835,
                  0.35135035048398394,
                  0.11200829378413417,
                  0.36513737764664034,
                  0.2964133401535871,
                  0.17431096309698452,
                  0.2401482415901467
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4061182447841931,
                  0.40271965302493434,
                  0.159291887101158,
                  0.2832363680142811,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.2529029231506273,
                  0.2730640226173197,
                  0.24952665149579165,
                  0.12265985005988321,
                  0.12767684799994297,
                  0.1218471520520865,
                  0.12515848079062122,
                  0.20389895401113928,
                  0.22223880236089205,
                  0.1594727085269456,
                  0.12431961025338657,
                  0.19935641299605145,
                  0.2639725231877702,
                  0.3970224507716421,
                  0.12181436140512257,
                  0.3811582687972861,
                  0.3134122720540391,
                  0.18796271335346026,
                  0.23816938425362752
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.11151938133682623,
                  0.12113929618620063,
                  0.3329874596029214,
                  0.1140204912188017,
                  0.36799978236746733,
                  0.13661809236610747,
                  0.1168255134373084,
                  0.201612498412998,
                  0.34358856325860404,
                  0.2418081426620331,
                  0.4686651352159849,
                  0.3498903449049548,
                  0.16138391667352642,
                  0.180542156083048,
                  0.1839940037161987,
                  0.3891401640926121,
                  0.28832369210166525,
                  0.17180783245233405,
                  0.10499980659440813,
                  0.3281470342453261,
                  0.11247509032638908,
                  0.10280746829913619,
                  0.2226384215230143,
                  0.16861303847344478
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.31337321450958355,
                  0.1351450760562379,
                  0.4253308044038784,
                  0.1419281390449658,
                  0.13349518921857934,
                  0.17878803099335663,
                  0.3708687917027841,
                  0.24302111275294516,
                  0.4227392782897825,
                  0.3668860829724789,
                  0.15265848873825724,
                  0.17530696851253785,
                  0.1920276752827911,
                  0.40447955733435775,
                  0.285933585114339,
                  0.16201068723797019,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.343414740971456,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.21691470457925532,
                  0.1543430699946016
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.5920759033927645,
                  4.147973162569211,
                  8.064310241986275,
                  2.0163167162351296,
                  16.69184515000464,
                  2.5380797031692253,
                  1.9507274078453898,
                  4.625747570855896,
                  5.9727689204632926,
                  3.7355286582394003,
                  19.321033830904476,
                  4.0634699461176025,
                  3.562676313205034,
                  4.622930060846144,
                  2.777284386086987,
                  6.965624338054709,
                  7.202001623861767,
                  2.1288057878382216,
                  1.102878769252921,
                  3.6907300986959153,
                  1.6059368270104726,
                  1.7279652451605538,
                  7.09476386908338,
                  3.542051319247079
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.674920399403526,
                  2.637398212409991,
                  5.54786431635389,
                  2.076207700785368,
                  34.28249991078239,
                  2.0856628172110057,
                  2.3437315827679472,
                  2.6602769523695353,
                  5.95174143690428,
                  2.5420943861841945,
                  15.72510138242277,
                  4.179451182954188,
                  2.085216845411654,
                  4.0937047249597684,
                  2.2900971059547115,
                  7.841787160003542,
                  6.476073885230757,
                  2.4043541490534586,
                  2.7661997358793817,
                  3.668076251614806,
                  2.404003843392272,
                  2.7090584880115154,
                  2.3942251507817365,
                  2.2230392708520568
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.4266327276890896,
                  3.920009156809577,
                  7.945790496096358,
                  1.92488339836244,
                  16.30407408308389,
                  2.371665026865301,
                  1.8927691440557253,
                  4.387923074172444,
                  5.773312924376187,
                  3.512433093270485,
                  19.20231951997979,
                  3.845502808330889,
                  3.35652989557414,
                  4.376052056628881,
                  2.702109815565504,
                  6.642259358281924,
                  7.007032148195322,
                  1.9918218423467504,
                  1.0044661307673013,
                  3.4809218344818884,
                  1.4557581942553066,
                  1.5956647015190983,
                  6.714228717016716,
                  3.290399361225497
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.4548094454165224,
                  2.4172161936748946,
                  5.333194544027777,
                  1.8549628212328,
                  34.12225179677904,
                  1.8644358450759109,
                  2.122993377234286,
                  2.4401382645813325,
                  5.73783658336709,
                  2.3217318677782153,
                  15.529706680297545,
                  3.9621897190875477,
                  1.8639890286330005,
                  3.876280862498442,
                  2.06925731997254,
                  7.631461938517677,
                  6.263162085572975,
                  2.1837307589862482,
                  2.5462616594235836,
                  3.4498462746206284,
                  2.1833797898673692,
                  2.4890121894953605,
                  2.173582577005678,
                  2.0020724813943143
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44652135121991016,
              "rpss": 0.015167972532927121,
              "brier_below": 0.22479021272348287,
              "bss_below": 0.011546100968720774,
              "brier_above": 0.22173113856463797,
              "bss_above": 0.01881281840267679,
              "crps": 5.114313577088605,
              "crpss": 0.010633817558200809,
              "crps_fair": 4.921856646206272,
              "crpss_fair": 0.00646750721481093,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.157367,
                    0.612693,
                    0.22994,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2927,
                    0.3508,
                    0.4255,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2966,
                    0.3517,
                    0.3808,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.058936,
                    0.849199,
                    0.091865,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2933,
                    0.3422,
                    0.4395,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3537,
                    0.3387,
                    0.3978,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.445750454008974,
                  0.5054056066233688,
                  0.4086770708931002,
                  0.41372416790670374,
                  0.4688271165719313,
                  0.40556715048763126,
                  0.39523357065515774,
                  0.4431409128644645
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5137612852478612,
                  0.49705237444422495,
                  0.4061007445054705,
                  0.44669599826620215,
                  0.4481977901053744,
                  0.3995579224080249,
                  0.3906212765735246,
                  0.4961503793308776
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3521973119158833,
                  0.38734970612539965,
                  0.15015075619223317,
                  0.28843031400334773,
                  0.14155872930782357,
                  0.21420131436492718,
                  0.1537726515930067,
                  0.3397305376243847
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4021405089154269,
                  0.37912161362031016,
                  0.14453244502842236,
                  0.30843984040656025,
                  0.12589433667964914,
                  0.20523722232274816,
                  0.16125753035770213,
                  0.37806000678348534
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09355315959160629,
                  0.11805591878255864,
                  0.2585263072899874,
                  0.12529386703771714,
                  0.3272683688102448,
                  0.19136584023160838,
                  0.24146091976049472,
                  0.10341039210195353
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11162079604670827,
                  0.11793077940987547,
                  0.26156829250705416,
                  0.1382561728111389,
                  0.3223034355309777,
                  0.1943207050116538,
                  0.22936374487601524,
                  0.11809039116878442
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.5426179700729838,
                  3.401103089181542,
                  4.312760216975392,
                  2.2449716054469966,
                  9.42342734391647,
                  2.675090486447304,
                  9.128084893498048,
                  1.6498518253522518
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.2326234694826756,
                  3.444075545420181,
                  4.664597692983636,
                  2.8485585347508224,
                  7.734730772827549,
                  3.0019126203171878,
                  4.262232370432686,
                  3.1582949283763986
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.488827757981022,
                  3.294505969061371,
                  4.219196966326437,
                  2.186036026056793,
                  9.342746027106681,
                  2.6009526829661977,
                  8.911019178156701,
                  1.5851327443213277
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.000358402837215,
                  3.2118104787747215,
                  4.432332626338175,
                  2.616293468105364,
                  7.502465706182092,
                  2.7696475536717284,
                  4.029967303787228,
                  2.9260298617309384
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43579075625141644,
              "rpss": 0.031074885952139253,
              "brier_below": 0.25342391514087576,
              "bss_below": 0.036723898313549386,
              "brier_above": 0.18236684670077136,
              "bss_above": 0.023113893310782174,
              "crps": 4.297238428861373,
              "crpss": -0.06278417992450036,
              "crps_fair": 4.203552168997066,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10297227497062189,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.113942,
                    0.791586,
                    0.094473,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2898,
                    0.3608,
                    0.4103,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2983,
                    0.4685,
                    0.5401,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.151536,
                    0.805733,
                    0.042731,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2945,
                    0.3233,
                    0.4191,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0796,
                    0.2583,
                    0.1555,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4632014022335324,
                  0.46901161439031663,
                  0.4797397706004285,
                  0.40851048025215225,
                  0.44839372524670595,
                  0.40068479164026777,
                  0.3421327593002411,
                  0.42963846626942226
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5473323450214652,
                  0.45950886455856493,
                  0.47310563766181457,
                  0.45125841650166265,
                  0.43752409736537534,
                  0.3769753190502442,
                  0.34410807327585485,
                  0.4522036283839493
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3709687234097241,
                  0.3615051664901147,
                  0.11789066958232976,
                  0.2997844137577393,
                  0.15141911635809346,
                  0.19598952854495136,
                  0.11715321023480059,
                  0.30772347473949174
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.43622124715583027,
                  0.34839776669293,
                  0.11202969533110177,
                  0.327320640209203,
                  0.141320167462079,
                  0.17256239240732962,
                  0.1394661409403721,
                  0.32190666733284123
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09223269632835686,
                  0.10750646707478193,
                  0.3618490767733186,
                  0.1087260819381638,
                  0.29697459546408217,
                  0.20469526552699924,
                  0.2249795552868728,
                  0.12191500712745316
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.36107591750173545,
                  0.12393779386708581,
                  0.2962039166743374,
                  0.20441292982746392,
                  0.2046419354790828,
                  0.1302969774886234
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.2092746694334329,
                  2.296692810312968,
                  5.190758400013846,
                  1.429388306325147,
                  9.932898551885351,
                  2.0182404112227035,
                  11.22951601750523,
                  1.3289253303974584
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.5726443205176754,
                  2.4663219929375395,
                  5.77433068113816,
                  2.2030894884274272,
                  8.536670815597677,
                  2.154154910592676,
                  3.6369598104064913,
                  2.3797284899665048
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.168331254496985,
                  2.2046144268255383,
                  5.086209685361068,
                  1.3828065500488456,
                  9.861591051993061,
                  1.9604409925582453,
                  10.9504232902923,
                  1.265948036805137
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.366231987002849,
                  2.259909659422711,
                  5.567918347623332,
                  1.9966771549125995,
                  8.330258482082852,
                  1.9477425770778494,
                  3.4305474768916633,
                  2.1733161564516763
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43016412624163336,
              "rpss": 0.0284310858647554,
              "brier_below": 0.24030428788965563,
              "bss_below": 0.0384100965444496,
              "brier_above": 0.1898598431900036,
              "bss_above": 0.015499798636625206,
              "crps": 4.329461812137017,
              "crpss": -0.1652472893296164,
              "crps_fair": 4.235045661047647,
              "crpss_fair": -0.2068836896456494,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.161708,
                    0.705547,
                    0.132744,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2892,
                    0.3601,
                    0.4095,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1845,
                    0.4778,
                    0.3722,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.118847,
                    0.786413,
                    0.09474,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2961,
                    0.3224,
                    0.4202,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1504,
                    0.2703,
                    0.1561,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "qdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7952449020864468,
            "training": [
              0.7373619984234674,
              0.7595759315627697,
              0.7438836357059373,
              0.8016742817018968,
              0.8644849956869849,
              0.7773760280003786,
              0.8741756396471553,
              0.7735473592066884,
              0.8238945850468725,
              0.7953535809648625,
              0.7566936317462504,
              0.8045067968367009,
              0.7669366080866562,
              0.7783175960878824,
              0.7929502925646561,
              0.7951025703525374,
              0.7819353326445438,
              0.796392490517466,
              0.8720699165892246,
              0.7977519275656416,
              0.8145303563620918,
              0.8044320319460975,
              0.7795793059487709,
              0.7933507568791942
            ],
            "test": 0.8338693690359481
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.53289634861404,
                  0.5419358399560009,
                  0.5635371518598727,
                  0.4465252189068105,
                  0.4770773634877785,
                  0.4352992861846809,
                  0.43225341626711494,
                  0.4642517605238075,
                  0.49617726867194895,
                  0.4121223052785685,
                  0.551040715738903,
                  0.4357543178559406,
                  0.4155756648840621,
                  0.4194662270030175,
                  0.4192597960302552,
                  0.5041876638905912,
                  0.4641299550446824,
                  0.4008629296838886,
                  0.44637231129244076,
                  0.40706005855083416,
                  0.4069763310155756,
                  0.4170719197023263,
                  0.3767728328939302,
                  0.45868950806417386
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4973013035288361,
                  0.5299108613891841,
                  0.49682096989761637,
                  0.45140321943555783,
                  0.5120439264472348,
                  0.41031169960340397,
                  0.47797132071856974,
                  0.45308842078032785,
                  0.5043277834760528,
                  0.4169267074583939,
                  0.5103230589589499,
                  0.439774482865257,
                  0.3965890932152538,
                  0.3999865075263042,
                  0.4105095366915584,
                  0.495347056515228,
                  0.4525412471251873,
                  0.4026341732498444,
                  0.4947135575342954,
                  0.4107579478352957,
                  0.4281083690429166,
                  0.4373547673375428,
                  0.3794648521113215,
                  0.46535364949831176
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.38666300151389793,
                  0.4126046628103316,
                  0.1722913835871827,
                  0.18465933034271542,
                  0.12051077263633146,
                  0.20325053545904714,
                  0.31487876246351315,
                  0.31199975145532655,
                  0.12233624197002552,
                  0.1630585636523749,
                  0.1457437522263398,
                  0.15301717170518575,
                  0.24587863149621958,
                  0.1782985522715221,
                  0.18164514122524017,
                  0.17290260385932485,
                  0.20566432388087766,
                  0.21527269723834117,
                  0.33594694143579584,
                  0.15977957714806204,
                  0.2854413302562333,
                  0.302017260373445,
                  0.178500546525004,
                  0.3289512801083388
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3742768451297219,
                  0.40873323143582757,
                  0.13866980785737074,
                  0.18456937257153472,
                  0.1256044036343616,
                  0.18760042277090966,
                  0.34539584613599755,
                  0.3109003023417131,
                  0.12201400407191382,
                  0.16742828213175504,
                  0.1244088544959247,
                  0.15170887566157665,
                  0.2434586977209261,
                  0.1637619591020418,
                  0.1668761402054322,
                  0.16458520031461277,
                  0.20321388944011462,
                  0.21596862310093545,
                  0.36773408199884783,
                  0.16227747027615622,
                  0.2938514971990294,
                  0.31090927642329086,
                  0.1849857245631276,
                  0.33273847477773943
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14623334551069314,
                  0.1293311755502683,
                  0.39124576803473166,
                  0.2618658892831862,
                  0.3565665911457401,
                  0.23204875009718223,
                  0.11737465405831804,
                  0.15225200775404263,
                  0.37384102890575155,
                  0.24906374214846355,
                  0.4052969655184382,
                  0.282737147376666,
                  0.1696970323797105,
                  0.24116767440981507,
                  0.23761465559950926,
                  0.3312850618188525,
                  0.25846563181266036,
                  0.18559023182058987,
                  0.11042537022322593,
                  0.2472804821827862,
                  0.12153499983435603,
                  0.11505465789540793,
                  0.19827228689584947,
                  0.12973822655046593
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12302445839911424,
                  0.12117762995335662,
                  0.35815116204024555,
                  0.26683384686402306,
                  0.38643952281287314,
                  0.22271127683249428,
                  0.13257547458257218,
                  0.14218811843861479,
                  0.38231377940413913,
                  0.24949842532663888,
                  0.38591420446302543,
                  0.2880656072036803,
                  0.15313039549432772,
                  0.2362245484242624,
                  0.2436333964861261,
                  0.3307618562006153,
                  0.24932735768507294,
                  0.18666555014890895,
                  0.12697947553544767,
                  0.24848047755913946,
                  0.13425687184388715,
                  0.12644549091425192,
                  0.19447912754819396,
                  0.13261517472057238
                ],
                "crps": [
                  5.793328211699892,
                  5.352236497643114,
                  14.381575412693225,
                  6.274997566596596,
                  17.061047583825857,
                  4.604858853429573,
                  1.4432163496923582,
                  4.775501496243304,
                  7.191783836801885,
                  4.493319459400173,
                  15.480876155590579,
                  4.739092798940908,
                  5.465462585507566,
                  5.261139564761421,
                  4.987428948738189,
                  8.838368575965296,
                  6.045783202697683,
                  2.469039500526429,
                  1.3518750432987665,
                  3.669249735872348,
                  1.9391730204763056,
                  2.2098871783258263,
                  5.945714069051048,
                  3.6367191008238975
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.3942682418184753,
                  3.592082216148263,
                  11.21710177556662,
                  5.807811897394496,
                  27.273601914436462,
                  3.5784752533248567,
                  3.4807211044876976,
                  3.1460002230570745,
                  7.545217676196043,
                  3.8249735735183252,
                  13.840864383262339,
                  4.430030997054808,
                  2.8001820448761534,
                  4.516117521457113,
                  4.888260025218961,
                  8.339483640689286,
                  4.951633793647444,
                  2.997413909666159,
                  3.4711294001341106,
                  3.627536580866378,
                  2.846454770181788,
                  3.161925584164043,
                  3.3250528086483198,
                  3.5450641992642202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  5.528337330938532,
                  5.070088240462348,
                  14.218143755187805,
                  6.1374394927138605,
                  16.603539025471413,
                  4.459114529764948,
                  1.3535153909256892,
                  4.463906074910369,
                  6.923377448128591,
                  4.2589663309732035,
                  15.287810729923633,
                  4.452077435285423,
                  5.164499256235748,
                  5.006462493508931,
                  4.867094706852431,
                  8.543789408067182,
                  5.777498974081924,
                  2.286007320639451,
                  1.2095976661030887,
                  3.445507727859659,
                  1.7719760419459227,
                  2.056317951457847,
                  5.599863655043071,
                  3.3425897911010978
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.147316707451114,
                  3.345505329459557,
                  10.984966213801052,
                  5.565431468435425,
                  27.0718763908127,
                  3.331872595873229,
                  3.2339333066026654,
                  2.898578484108726,
                  7.306127788484703,
                  3.578837768945852,
                  13.61369806885984,
                  4.185041134572365,
                  2.552105347257009,
                  4.271290701634523,
                  4.644138020744405,
                  8.101898044577364,
                  4.707631815249459,
                  2.7497107572454813,
                  3.224323436142348,
                  3.3810268425956997,
                  2.5984657102999638,
                  2.914534006884459,
                  3.0779701844454106,
                  3.298398263301115
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4552206746417185,
              "rpss": -0.004757564007695558,
              "brier_below": 0.2283880339850282,
              "bss_below": -0.005437145920790254,
              "brier_above": 0.22683264070027961,
              "bss_above": -0.004074249896227622,
              "crps": 5.975486447858427,
              "crpss": -0.02729393198805008,
              "crps_fair": 5.74281336573259,
              "crpss_fair": -0.030219023871173034,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.018177,
                    0.876549,
                    0.105274,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2927,
                    0.3533,
                    0.4244,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.585,
                    0.3471,
                    0.3228,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.07873,
                    0.846145,
                    0.075125,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.289,
                    0.344,
                    0.4202,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3805,
                    0.3479,
                    0.2721,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5317666196543548,
                  0.5158296187198869,
                  0.5199493945153195,
                  0.3932422005193932,
                  0.5261871877845772,
                  0.39141996851324445,
                  0.3798993855278088,
                  0.42135235093125867,
                  0.5048095551138916,
                  0.36888305582511527,
                  0.6008316405912857,
                  0.4838654060607619,
                  0.37078154010191805,
                  0.3987894941220358,
                  0.35216654604136005,
                  0.5347596428340495,
                  0.47947431760218107,
                  0.4185493467014942,
                  0.46822880503089703,
                  0.47023781995118014,
                  0.4726120037560545,
                  0.40070578640936766,
                  0.4122846031456957,
                  0.377634206970751
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5271012360586466,
                  0.5237026442993877,
                  0.47266510161074154,
                  0.4183814440705189,
                  0.5463137956783317,
                  0.3948310621955931,
                  0.406559211835899,
                  0.4283146824891483,
                  0.49352864176266736,
                  0.37069796075288813,
                  0.544586430341869,
                  0.4920445637631002,
                  0.3565574427493965,
                  0.3975457708734299,
                  0.3515003838097367,
                  0.5287991675877444,
                  0.4852899981103904,
                  0.42598321042574033,
                  0.5180054420460954,
                  0.46522910237657855,
                  0.5021412600717393,
                  0.4343952633284925,
                  0.40487741793271564,
                  0.39251245424822917
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.40608998229670923,
                  0.3973985664754936,
                  0.18469886298454607,
                  0.27748106180215276,
                  0.12022632333026761,
                  0.2504179593781349,
                  0.2621087375858347,
                  0.24307982380796467,
                  0.12812035719293538,
                  0.12713530981434915,
                  0.1428320748501883,
                  0.12567281284227313,
                  0.20823303178553362,
                  0.2217292434347177,
                  0.1718401793353838,
                  0.13306841962061425,
                  0.1956023227932991,
                  0.26299931218284756,
                  0.36187668672599116,
                  0.12561751738538346,
                  0.36301312785269874,
                  0.29673571316468916,
                  0.18680708644891642,
                  0.23276637981936665
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4061182447841931,
                  0.40271965302493434,
                  0.159291887101158,
                  0.2832363680142811,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.2529029231506273,
                  0.2730640226173197,
                  0.24952665149579165,
                  0.12265985005988321,
                  0.12767684799994297,
                  0.1218471520520865,
                  0.12515848079062122,
                  0.20389895401113928,
                  0.22223880236089205,
                  0.1594727085269456,
                  0.12431961025338657,
                  0.19935641299605145,
                  0.2639725231877702,
                  0.3970224507716421,
                  0.12181436140512257,
                  0.3811582687972861,
                  0.3134122720540391,
                  0.18796271335346026,
                  0.23816938425362752
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12567663379801214,
                  0.11843104993930856,
                  0.3352505312856186,
                  0.11576113801191668,
                  0.4059608673986894,
                  0.14100200692340412,
                  0.11779064798114351,
                  0.17827252571308264,
                  0.3766892010458455,
                  0.24174774663673199,
                  0.45799956825963467,
                  0.3581925968244997,
                  0.16254850635474424,
                  0.1770602489696798,
                  0.18032636664614826,
                  0.4016912274543902,
                  0.283871996391891,
                  0.1555500328814013,
                  0.10635211814918864,
                  0.34462030576946495,
                  0.10959887406556541,
                  0.1039700717915808,
                  0.22547751761656623,
                  0.14486782574776716
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.31337321450958355,
                  0.1351450760562379,
                  0.4253308044038784,
                  0.1419281390449658,
                  0.13349518921857934,
                  0.17878803099335663,
                  0.3708687917027841,
                  0.24302111275294516,
                  0.4227392782897825,
                  0.3668860829724789,
                  0.15265848873825724,
                  0.17530696851253785,
                  0.1920276752827911,
                  0.40447955733435775,
                  0.285933585114339,
                  0.16201068723797019,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.343414740971456,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.21691470457925532,
                  0.1543430699946016
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.551855101434813,
                  3.664941185393053,
                  7.478175021425131,
                  1.4341844430612174,
                  19.928283914608706,
                  2.5035996469372326,
                  1.0237457338926708,
                  3.3549668238614285,
                  6.478611428165492,
                  3.9165468197973894,
                  17.926107255328795,
                  3.974484886248464,
                  3.3936914294731038,
                  4.484785303391547,
                  2.0921746620629946,
                  7.664366672232451,
                  6.8880356338576645,
                  1.616494087513899,
                  0.8937883652985154,
                  3.7116455127828063,
                  1.55810401137713,
                  1.5014203638214525,
                  5.923400724608021,
                  2.1056025498316657
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.674920399403526,
                  2.637398212409991,
                  5.54786431635389,
                  2.076207700785368,
                  34.28249991078239,
                  2.0856628172110057,
                  2.3437315827679472,
                  2.6602769523695353,
                  5.95174143690428,
                  2.5420943861841945,
                  15.72510138242277,
                  4.179451182954188,
                  2.085216845411654,
                  4.0937047249597684,
                  2.2900971059547115,
                  7.841787160003542,
                  6.476073885230757,
                  2.4043541490534586,
                  2.7661997358793817,
                  3.668076251614806,
                  2.404003843392272,
                  2.7090584880115154,
                  2.3942251507817365,
                  2.2230392708520568
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.385295859340672,
                  3.3981868074593335,
                  7.3489122730120435,
                  1.3347513942956053,
                  19.476373166901727,
                  2.3341126874922504,
                  0.9591849326002446,
                  3.0993934763090056,
                  6.227955714790867,
                  3.679526049801552,
                  17.803593724359104,
                  3.7440907034896522,
                  3.1689673475213147,
                  4.212481104649282,
                  2.0215901319219673,
                  7.318563754197279,
                  6.691783161734792,
                  1.465655168529086,
                  0.7664524318374142,
                  3.4818741284552095,
                  1.3978329260553743,
                  1.3530764320711215,
                  5.5066860690475945,
                  1.7999670420909548
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.4548094454165224,
                  2.4172161936748946,
                  5.333194544027777,
                  1.8549628212328,
                  34.12225179677904,
                  1.8644358450759109,
                  2.122993377234286,
                  2.4401382645813325,
                  5.73783658336709,
                  2.3217318677782153,
                  15.529706680297545,
                  3.9621897190875477,
                  1.8639890286330005,
                  3.876280862498442,
                  2.06925731997254,
                  7.631461938517677,
                  6.263162085572975,
                  2.1837307589862482,
                  2.5462616594235836,
                  3.4498462746206284,
                  2.1833797898673692,
                  2.4890121894953605,
                  2.173582577005678,
                  2.0020724813943143
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4497608540176617,
              "rpss": 0.008023037358878327,
              "brier_below": 0.22606462053792878,
              "bss_below": 0.005942238781470932,
              "brier_above": 0.2236962335690115,
              "bss_above": 0.010117034664795632,
              "crps": 4.877875482350235,
              "crpss": 0.05637286966150923,
              "crps_fair": 4.665679436998477,
              "crpss_fair": 0.05817977751328762,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.005377,
                    0.918248,
                    0.076375,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2959,
                    0.3554,
                    0.4304,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.6596,
                    0.3444,
                    0.3917,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.074148,
                    0.901809,
                    0.024043,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2903,
                    0.3428,
                    0.4144,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2888,
                    0.3521,
                    0.2522,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46037863516522054,
                  0.48833674911425384,
                  0.3996809894784061,
                  0.4152626354785171,
                  0.47322970955904614,
                  0.39385983852707,
                  0.38661828198212317,
                  0.4454537706170596
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5137612852478612,
                  0.49705237444422495,
                  0.4061007445054705,
                  0.44669599826620215,
                  0.4481977901053744,
                  0.3995579224080249,
                  0.3906212765735246,
                  0.4961503793308776
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3675094589128675,
                  0.3742479937634538,
                  0.14483285365098697,
                  0.29082289855696514,
                  0.14155168111358102,
                  0.20481449087404527,
                  0.157488095072702,
                  0.34339199552209104
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4021405089154269,
                  0.37912161362031016,
                  0.14453244502842236,
                  0.30843984040656025,
                  0.12589433667964914,
                  0.20523722232274816,
                  0.16125753035770213,
                  0.37806000678348534
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09286919381060899,
                  0.11408877316690208,
                  0.2548481285751995,
                  0.12443975010278042,
                  0.33167800961859156,
                  0.1890453514790078,
                  0.2291301873522153,
                  0.1020617919472171
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11162079604670827,
                  0.11793077940987547,
                  0.26156829250705416,
                  0.1382561728111389,
                  0.3223034355309777,
                  0.1943207050116538,
                  0.22936374487601524,
                  0.11809039116878442
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.2898632405396833,
                  3.0360216920092475,
                  4.0560630694736535,
                  1.8513066499477995,
                  9.320601413991943,
                  2.445410420895004,
                  7.838350059000493,
                  1.4889862108039467
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.2326234694826756,
                  3.444075545420181,
                  4.664597692983636,
                  2.8485585347508224,
                  7.734730772827549,
                  3.0019126203171878,
                  4.262232370432686,
                  3.1582949283763986
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.2366815896841141,
                  2.9183556229123484,
                  3.9636753991222986,
                  1.7923671443552485,
                  9.236903082153784,
                  2.365476927760435,
                  7.613746476583083,
                  1.4216543864329592
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.000358402837215,
                  3.2118104787747215,
                  4.432332626338175,
                  2.616293468105364,
                  7.502465706182092,
                  2.7696475536717284,
                  4.029967303787228,
                  2.9260298617309384
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43285257624021206,
              "rpss": 0.037607554122840336,
              "brier_below": 0.2530824334333366,
              "bss_below": 0.03802188618439695,
              "brier_above": 0.17977014825656534,
              "bss_above": 0.0370236509191294,
              "crps": 3.9158253445827214,
              "crpss": 0.031546120499385655,
              "crps_fair": 3.818607578625534,
              "crpss_fair": -0.001966460480867349,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.021755,
                    0.910446,
                    0.067798,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2953,
                    0.3516,
                    0.4154,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1386,
                    0.4582,
                    0.526,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.219689,
                    0.762374,
                    0.017936,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2912,
                    0.3254,
                    0.4121,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1196,
                    0.2511,
                    0.5067,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5032528523432196,
                  0.4451600922885957,
                  0.4682191815176594,
                  0.4196772087495897,
                  0.4454754198627158,
                  0.3758958796100678,
                  0.3312268810159698,
                  0.4357165525851252
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5473323450214652,
                  0.45950886455856493,
                  0.47310563766181457,
                  0.45125841650166265,
                  0.43752409736537534,
                  0.3769753190502442,
                  0.34410807327585485,
                  0.4522036283839493
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4085786513135893,
                  0.3417297019765134,
                  0.1126314992620191,
                  0.30911894721457656,
                  0.14543632748534588,
                  0.17627789188753826,
                  0.13607963434763207,
                  0.31475873479012967
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.43622124715583027,
                  0.34839776669293,
                  0.11202969533110177,
                  0.327320640209203,
                  0.141320167462079,
                  0.17256239240732962,
                  0.1394661409403721,
                  0.32190666733284123
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09467421880934153,
                  0.10343040896136438,
                  0.3555876580566562,
                  0.11055827732071118,
                  0.30003907864585727,
                  0.19961798964546099,
                  0.195147250917865,
                  0.12095783301667111
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.36107591750173545,
                  0.12393779386708581,
                  0.2962039166743374,
                  0.20441292982746392,
                  0.2046419354790828,
                  0.1302969774886234
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.0031942036783805,
                  1.9915491764366111,
                  5.102316838295062,
                  1.0912009473762914,
                  9.734662963708317,
                  1.5375804976689247,
                  8.002111909371175,
                  1.406942921667956
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.5726443205176754,
                  2.4663219929375395,
                  5.77433068113816,
                  2.2030894884274272,
                  8.536670815597677,
                  2.154154910592676,
                  3.6369598104064913,
                  2.3797284899665048
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  0.963771009577899,
                  1.8917870216306016,
                  4.995283104587605,
                  1.0445761638439848,
                  9.661283264722135,
                  1.480129436310853,
                  7.712667071401376,
                  1.344804988956571
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.366231987002849,
                  2.259909659422711,
                  5.567918347623332,
                  1.9966771549125995,
                  8.330258482082852,
                  1.9477425770778494,
                  3.4305474768916633,
                  2.1733161564516763
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42807800849661787,
              "rpss": 0.03314279246379537,
              "brier_below": 0.24307642353466805,
              "bss_below": 0.027317253921195106,
              "brier_above": 0.18500158942174097,
              "bss_above": 0.04069181255998211,
              "crps": 3.7336949322753394,
              "crpss": -0.004900398202167144,
              "crps_fair": 3.6367877576288783,
              "crpss_fair": -0.036394924322844746,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.000343,
                    0.968329,
                    0.031328,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2985,
                    0.3431,
                    0.4272,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.4197,
                    0.3186,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.119642,
                    0.870403,
                    0.009955,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2929,
                    0.3257,
                    0.4131,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1036,
                    0.2616,
                    0.5173,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8883647252245147,
            "training": [
              0.86779420692024,
              0.8760957635740202,
              0.868240938258722,
              0.889513241581203,
              0.9488536207979903,
              0.8798613746535894,
              0.9174447214967505,
              0.8780775396065248,
              0.8912802557917056,
              0.8905884497238333,
              0.8689223876327374,
              0.891508168584896,
              0.877217281311288,
              0.8798653108265908,
              0.8811194647260496,
              0.8880030156347832,
              0.87850257570543,
              0.8866456898470062,
              0.913080074876581,
              0.8860558260887057,
              0.8930239149054582,
              0.8942484986872332,
              0.8883784197262737,
              0.8864326644307416
            ],
            "test": 0.9126121697151132
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4757155938407413,
                  0.490978356556147,
                  0.5540604649263913,
                  0.4565427870521832,
                  0.5028821477451787,
                  0.42636278310377407,
                  0.4351602969485876,
                  0.4358184080403739,
                  0.5362433996388558,
                  0.4250251521557506,
                  0.5691556080026583,
                  0.4545861293231659,
                  0.3993439443239896,
                  0.4182466317381654,
                  0.4325975010960941,
                  0.5186295878820091,
                  0.4676043342960304,
                  0.40253036054652963,
                  0.44613409193041653,
                  0.42276373692099617,
                  0.4002484075944263,
                  0.40454107733232275,
                  0.3788036793086602,
                  0.44426385994818485
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4973013035288361,
                  0.5299108613891841,
                  0.49682096989761637,
                  0.45140321943555783,
                  0.5120439264472348,
                  0.41031169960340397,
                  0.47797132071856974,
                  0.45308842078032785,
                  0.5043277834760528,
                  0.4169267074583939,
                  0.5103230589589499,
                  0.439774482865257,
                  0.3965890932152538,
                  0.3999865075263042,
                  0.4105095366915584,
                  0.495347056515228,
                  0.4525412471251873,
                  0.4026341732498444,
                  0.4947135575342954,
                  0.4107579478352957,
                  0.4281083690429166,
                  0.4373547673375428,
                  0.3794648521113215,
                  0.46535364949831176
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.35867403859065344,
                  0.37984309669770844,
                  0.17017335860580682,
                  0.1858742970266018,
                  0.12427963195083959,
                  0.20066781907347578,
                  0.31654514523932104,
                  0.29810194240699134,
                  0.14133056578855227,
                  0.17379573968777035,
                  0.1548689366591504,
                  0.16141572498623868,
                  0.2482114588728475,
                  0.1806510687554117,
                  0.18873536538195612,
                  0.1774386687700431,
                  0.21051634057864427,
                  0.22005906521968688,
                  0.3341512626385741,
                  0.16986759931633455,
                  0.2796206386393891,
                  0.29479312438211985,
                  0.1855176860880915,
                  0.32141219601516574
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3742768451297219,
                  0.40873323143582757,
                  0.13866980785737074,
                  0.18456937257153472,
                  0.1256044036343616,
                  0.18760042277090966,
                  0.34539584613599755,
                  0.3109003023417131,
                  0.12201400407191382,
                  0.16742828213175504,
                  0.1244088544959247,
                  0.15170887566157665,
                  0.2434586977209261,
                  0.1637619591020418,
                  0.1668761402054322,
                  0.16458520031461277,
                  0.20321388944011462,
                  0.21596862310093545,
                  0.36773408199884783,
                  0.16227747027615622,
                  0.2938514971990294,
                  0.31090927642329086,
                  0.1849857245631276,
                  0.33273847477773943
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.11704155528365305,
                  0.11113525974409703,
                  0.38388710501774503,
                  0.27066849015986577,
                  0.37860251581867976,
                  0.22569496347755078,
                  0.11861515241321612,
                  0.13771646570253904,
                  0.3949128332921815,
                  0.25122941250339226,
                  0.41428667006867004,
                  0.293170404182043,
                  0.15113248537754087,
                  0.23759556297752157,
                  0.24386213558142192,
                  0.3411909187142454,
                  0.25708799307814323,
                  0.18247129511397303,
                  0.1119828300985277,
                  0.252896137337808,
                  0.12062776941479997,
                  0.1097479535526052,
                  0.1932859932542535,
                  0.12285166424550753
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12302445839911424,
                  0.12117762995335662,
                  0.35815116204024555,
                  0.26683384686402306,
                  0.38643952281287314,
                  0.22271127683249428,
                  0.13257547458257218,
                  0.14218811843861479,
                  0.38231377940413913,
                  0.24949842532663888,
                  0.38591420446302543,
                  0.2880656072036803,
                  0.15313039549432772,
                  0.2362245484242624,
                  0.2436333964861261,
                  0.3307618562006153,
                  0.24932735768507294,
                  0.18666555014890895,
                  0.12697947553544767,
                  0.24848047755913946,
                  0.13425687184388715,
                  0.12644549091425192,
                  0.19447912754819396,
                  0.13261517472057238
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.7215185033246843,
                  3.5721399742131936,
                  17.652186594200455,
                  8.852800009260893,
                  22.511713137175065,
                  6.012854407072558,
                  2.9665411874728185,
                  4.100728678655164,
                  10.475485146857721,
                  4.97445659636166,
                  19.346587709038204,
                  6.194714615424578,
                  3.55280887681226,
                  7.009098224399871,
                  7.251755947210658,
                  11.727702572049155,
                  7.364637371051502,
                  2.9736782704591858,
                  2.4848158849463298,
                  4.842086289696344,
                  2.541961025163932,
                  2.24478233913614,
                  4.196817882776852,
                  3.1800539288791096
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.3942682418184753,
                  3.592082216148263,
                  11.21710177556662,
                  5.807811897394496,
                  27.273601914436462,
                  3.5784752533248567,
                  3.4807211044876976,
                  3.1460002230570745,
                  7.545217676196043,
                  3.8249735735183252,
                  13.840864383262339,
                  4.430030997054808,
                  2.8001820448761534,
                  4.516117521457113,
                  4.888260025218961,
                  8.339483640689286,
                  4.951633793647444,
                  2.997413909666159,
                  3.4711294001341106,
                  3.627536580866378,
                  2.846454770181788,
                  3.161925584164043,
                  3.3250528086483198,
                  3.5450641992642202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.5312485603847237,
                  3.379646231162006,
                  17.524590441470632,
                  8.747181911217297,
                  22.249459025286487,
                  5.9039477920894115,
                  2.8885704570040356,
                  3.8838997580314922,
                  10.279372030689196,
                  4.816416227550692,
                  19.193784101583276,
                  5.999892147342635,
                  3.340121269884394,
                  6.8338777432577835,
                  7.151807765073414,
                  11.53152871447866,
                  7.179407937495886,
                  2.842237893898012,
                  2.366368220158823,
                  4.685285705020899,
                  2.4092530715882843,
                  2.1228510765622297,
                  3.9896667525698537,
                  2.9883241006989203
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.147316707451114,
                  3.345505329459557,
                  10.984966213801052,
                  5.565431468435425,
                  27.0718763908127,
                  3.331872595873229,
                  3.2339333066026654,
                  2.898578484108726,
                  7.306127788484703,
                  3.578837768945852,
                  13.61369806885984,
                  4.185041134572365,
                  2.552105347257009,
                  4.271290701634523,
                  4.644138020744405,
                  8.101898044577364,
                  4.707631815249459,
                  2.7497107572454813,
                  3.224323436142348,
                  3.3810268425956997,
                  2.5984657102999638,
                  2.914534006884459,
                  3.0779701844454106,
                  3.298398263301115
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45409326417715135,
              "rpss": -0.0022691572741770916,
              "brier_below": 0.22818936547380728,
              "bss_below": -0.004562543616015491,
              "brier_above": 0.2259038986004159,
              "bss_above": 3.682523118264669e-05,
              "crps": 7.072996882151597,
              "crpss": -0.21597577727062434,
              "crps_fair": 6.909947455604126,
              "crpss_fair": -0.2395944059737809,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.772635,
                    0.227365,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3679,
                    0.4103,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3546,
                    0.3293,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.000933,
                    0.993506,
                    0.005562,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2688,
                    0.3295,
                    0.4095,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.347,
                    0.3455,
                    0.2114,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.458498496900584,
                  0.4593735297429527,
                  0.5191718659107597,
                  0.381595050059521,
                  0.5437128140726735,
                  0.36484404959193445,
                  0.38034516283964986,
                  0.40921560194959644,
                  0.5455156363512821,
                  0.3905870924148366,
                  0.631741433878032,
                  0.5331257872908544,
                  0.3543884483880048,
                  0.390130041961759,
                  0.3707549751134773,
                  0.5740567224162223,
                  0.4959349850079505,
                  0.40827454224772497,
                  0.4576777223841917,
                  0.5087858282272543,
                  0.44359785390698225,
                  0.3945298472773223,
                  0.4244833694823802,
                  0.38392534883506696
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5271012360586466,
                  0.5237026442993877,
                  0.47266510161074154,
                  0.4183814440705189,
                  0.5463137956783317,
                  0.3948310621955931,
                  0.406559211835899,
                  0.4283146824891483,
                  0.49352864176266736,
                  0.37069796075288813,
                  0.544586430341869,
                  0.4920445637631002,
                  0.3565574427493965,
                  0.3975457708734299,
                  0.3515003838097367,
                  0.5287991675877444,
                  0.4852899981103904,
                  0.42598321042574033,
                  0.5180054420460954,
                  0.46522910237657855,
                  0.5021412600717393,
                  0.4343952633284925,
                  0.40487741793271564,
                  0.39251245424822917
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3571616145031571,
                  0.35431400651368555,
                  0.18818540816929655,
                  0.26426083342749596,
                  0.12219868085109128,
                  0.23665506544960568,
                  0.26153473878419137,
                  0.23656916625712968,
                  0.1531247291205721,
                  0.1457371499378404,
                  0.1650599407795935,
                  0.14823843654249552,
                  0.21298611937013293,
                  0.22405622008121875,
                  0.18814798295693627,
                  0.14943518098022884,
                  0.20129841262599338,
                  0.258522882914066,
                  0.35223417747336283,
                  0.1467286453802073,
                  0.33959070286015597,
                  0.2917849974645751,
                  0.20330171647138381,
                  0.23965925160069995
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4061182447841931,
                  0.40271965302493434,
                  0.159291887101158,
                  0.2832363680142811,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.2529029231506273,
                  0.2730640226173197,
                  0.24952665149579165,
                  0.12265985005988321,
                  0.12767684799994297,
                  0.1218471520520865,
                  0.12515848079062122,
                  0.20389895401113928,
                  0.22223880236089205,
                  0.1594727085269456,
                  0.12431961025338657,
                  0.19935641299605145,
                  0.2639725231877702,
                  0.3970224507716421,
                  0.12181436140512257,
                  0.3811582687972861,
                  0.3134122720540391,
                  0.18796271335346026,
                  0.23816938425362752
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10133688324641348,
                  0.10505952370891881,
                  0.33098645662895737,
                  0.11733421743550881,
                  0.42151413338348975,
                  0.12818898464214007,
                  0.11881042485394637,
                  0.17264643602661778,
                  0.392390905781261,
                  0.24484994257305948,
                  0.4666814907632592,
                  0.38488734961111076,
                  0.14140232910624334,
                  0.16607382248854918,
                  0.18260699260670019,
                  0.42462154085949577,
                  0.29463657225610973,
                  0.14975165982337937,
                  0.10544354585016281,
                  0.3620571817679305,
                  0.10400715185220617,
                  0.10274485077219911,
                  0.22118165259673817,
                  0.14426609790375094
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.31337321450958355,
                  0.1351450760562379,
                  0.4253308044038784,
                  0.1419281390449658,
                  0.13349518921857934,
                  0.17878803099335663,
                  0.3708687917027841,
                  0.24302111275294516,
                  0.4227392782897825,
                  0.3668860829724789,
                  0.15265848873825724,
                  0.17530696851253785,
                  0.1920276752827911,
                  0.40447955733435775,
                  0.285933585114339,
                  0.16201068723797019,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.343414740971456,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.21691470457925532,
                  0.1543430699946016
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.2685238451364147,
                  2.6053963036996834,
                  10.312763279152055,
                  3.1208627120573116,
                  29.65765084903104,
                  2.71939066731303,
                  2.828541877530629,
                  4.447709633569689,
                  9.70862511877026,
                  3.539925095918189,
                  22.273350253580077,
                  6.83746121854546,
                  2.3588071900605128,
                  5.404321762951582,
                  4.252785549858315,
                  10.51972443946036,
                  10.212871021304322,
                  2.1156279691811117,
                  1.9818397746899477,
                  5.74210425065453,
                  1.958778384538804,
                  2.018995218040751,
                  3.4490522325471975,
                  2.8176562753022663
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.674920399403526,
                  2.637398212409991,
                  5.54786431635389,
                  2.076207700785368,
                  34.28249991078239,
                  2.0856628172110057,
                  2.3437315827679472,
                  2.6602769523695353,
                  5.95174143690428,
                  2.5420943861841945,
                  15.72510138242277,
                  4.179451182954188,
                  2.085216845411654,
                  4.0937047249597684,
                  2.2900971059547115,
                  7.841787160003542,
                  6.476073885230757,
                  2.4043541490534586,
                  2.7661997358793817,
                  3.668076251614806,
                  2.404003843392272,
                  2.7090584880115154,
                  2.3942251507817365,
                  2.2230392708520568
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  2.1658604013568685,
                  2.4550227120374126,
                  10.227270012101854,
                  3.0618851632507513,
                  29.450632953607066,
                  2.6173787644567224,
                  2.7813702598660037,
                  4.297318254939429,
                  9.541434072870317,
                  3.4087014310775117,
                  22.18642263919986,
                  6.715701233034568,
                  2.2226470050176172,
                  5.252818175376106,
                  4.1941360485888515,
                  10.341453536980087,
                  10.102850314678115,
                  2.033149477378488,
                  1.8888577708867471,
                  5.599077912458377,
                  1.8517496017861268,
                  1.9251380973290646,
                  3.256362944640048,
                  2.67299822792401
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.4548094454165224,
                  2.4172161936748946,
                  5.333194544027777,
                  1.8549628212328,
                  34.12225179677904,
                  1.8644358450759109,
                  2.122993377234286,
                  2.4401382645813325,
                  5.73783658336709,
                  2.3217318677782153,
                  15.529706680297545,
                  3.9621897190875477,
                  1.8639890286330005,
                  3.876280862498442,
                  2.06925731997254,
                  7.631461938517677,
                  6.263162085572975,
                  2.1837307589862482,
                  2.5462616594235836,
                  3.4498462746206284,
                  2.1833797898673692,
                  2.4890121894953605,
                  2.173582577005678,
                  2.0020724813943143
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4510110919271256,
              "rpss": 0.005265555926401211,
              "brier_below": 0.22669941918812983,
              "bss_below": 0.0031508841522420727,
              "brier_above": 0.22431167277242284,
              "bss_above": 0.007393641543970486,
              "crps": 6.381365205120564,
              "crpss": -0.2344778701174428,
              "crps_fair": 6.260426542118417,
              "crpss_fair": -0.2637379825118944,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.65249,
                    0.34751,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3775,
                    0.4098,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3333,
                    0.3805,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.999886,
                    0.000114,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3245,
                    0.4041,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.345,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.45768889003050506,
                  0.46951362598116425,
                  0.4210354019747188,
                  0.419524242250674,
                  0.4793209503528134,
                  0.40575401339982536,
                  0.3919655876261033,
                  0.4514930405396067
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5137612852478612,
                  0.49705237444422495,
                  0.4061007445054705,
                  0.44669599826620215,
                  0.4481977901053744,
                  0.3995579224080249,
                  0.3906212765735246,
                  0.4961503793308776
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.36051944272682307,
                  0.35922424995247526,
                  0.156745447669555,
                  0.2918605033848078,
                  0.1466365729663097,
                  0.21312664448813384,
                  0.1625897238476237,
                  0.3461460972521458
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4021405089154269,
                  0.37912161362031016,
                  0.14453244502842236,
                  0.30843984040656025,
                  0.12589433667964914,
                  0.20523722232274816,
                  0.16125753035770213,
                  0.37806000678348534
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09716946505034965,
                  0.11028939361527106,
                  0.26428994652134624,
                  0.12766375213955064,
                  0.33268435873955066,
                  0.19262737297504595,
                  0.22937586261578044,
                  0.10534696011614157
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11162079604670827,
                  0.11793077940987547,
                  0.26156829250705416,
                  0.1382561728111389,
                  0.3223034355309777,
                  0.1943207050116538,
                  0.22936374487601524,
                  0.11809039116878442
                ],
                "crps": [
                  2.0276531792476438,
                  2.788582416496368,
                  6.441002533560741,
                  3.1572743615154346,
                  12.394375960200977,
                  3.9567751947933414,
                  5.302720800769493,
                  2.2435233252323994
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.2326234694826756,
                  3.444075545420181,
                  4.664597692983636,
                  2.8485585347508224,
                  7.734730772827549,
                  3.0019126203171878,
                  4.262232370432686,
                  3.1582949283763986
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.978365168846627,
                  2.6935540906834645,
                  6.369692122455612,
                  3.104597868412453,
                  12.323141118529922,
                  3.887873564315485,
                  5.154259468186023,
                  2.186555627766336
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.000358402837215,
                  3.2118104787747215,
                  4.432332626338175,
                  2.616293468105364,
                  7.502465706182092,
                  2.7696475536717284,
                  4.029967303787228,
                  2.9260298617309384
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43703696901942635,
              "rpss": 0.028304090952358973,
              "brier_below": 0.2546060852859843,
              "bss_below": 0.03223041454633191,
              "brier_above": 0.1824308889716295,
              "bss_above": 0.022770837509939024,
              "crps": 4.78898847147705,
              "crpss": -0.1844027902066434,
              "crps_fair": 4.712254878649491,
              "crpss_fair": -0.23645104777788895,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.000108,
                    0.999892,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2986,
                    0.3641,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.4558,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.00161,
                    0.99839,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2625,
                    0.3173,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2,
                    0.2268,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4771607563686145,
                  0.4272219431547085,
                  0.5082725469316312,
                  0.4130630993666757,
                  0.4640229090920413,
                  0.3922967820456277,
                  0.339243795829733,
                  0.42366291069946255
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5473323450214652,
                  0.45950886455856493,
                  0.47310563766181457,
                  0.45125841650166265,
                  0.43752409736537534,
                  0.3769753190502442,
                  0.34410807327585485,
                  0.4522036283839493
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3815353626444869,
                  0.32736293323459925,
                  0.13386045576521938,
                  0.30256869136186376,
                  0.16092484526045647,
                  0.18907745284764169,
                  0.13972000267381693,
                  0.3042683466571295
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.43622124715583027,
                  0.34839776669293,
                  0.11202969533110177,
                  0.327320640209203,
                  0.141320167462079,
                  0.17256239240732962,
                  0.1394661409403721,
                  0.32190666733284123
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09562541129490107,
                  0.09985902819996201,
                  0.3744120660747325,
                  0.11049442344732503,
                  0.30309804961883635,
                  0.2032193313367983,
                  0.19952379637569956,
                  0.11939457884889255
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.36107591750173545,
                  0.12393779386708581,
                  0.2962039166743374,
                  0.20441292982746392,
                  0.2046419354790828,
                  0.1302969774886234
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.7078971364243805,
                  2.180789025621726,
                  8.215332251969484,
                  2.342140961852512,
                  13.515200762173231,
                  3.0990363578962983,
                  4.168082006423027,
                  1.8222909234958118
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.5726443205176754,
                  2.4663219929375395,
                  5.77433068113816,
                  2.2030894884274272,
                  8.536670815597677,
                  2.154154910592676,
                  3.6369598104064913,
                  2.3797284899665048
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.6773639127516258,
                  2.115118184091798,
                  8.14685961080702,
                  2.308728742705692,
                  13.462633527398882,
                  3.057109386383364,
                  4.010036035929955,
                  1.7808385071595536
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.366231987002849,
                  2.259909659422711,
                  5.567918347623332,
                  1.9966771549125995,
                  8.330258482082852,
                  1.9477425770778494,
                  3.4305474768916633,
                  2.1733161564516763
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4306180929360618,
              "rpss": 0.027405756458017128,
              "brier_below": 0.24241476130565173,
              "bss_below": 0.029964929185367417,
              "brier_above": 0.18820333564964342,
              "bss_above": 0.02408946130379852,
              "crps": 4.631346178232059,
              "crpss": -0.24649755888901081,
              "crps_fair": 4.5698359884034865,
              "crpss_fair": -0.3022906859038521,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    1.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3684,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4164,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    1.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3163,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2452,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "cdft": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8261737827651627,
            "training": [
              0.7814932172564082,
              0.8147573598943556,
              0.7949302923918704,
              0.8323913685449755,
              0.8964588280417055,
              0.8133392575373338,
              0.8706116781541811,
              0.8150350313011286,
              0.8294660882667745,
              0.830871868042905,
              0.7933310089418959,
              0.835063906379401,
              0.8089064345192021,
              0.8123230377502125,
              0.8169888484715245,
              0.8366974071507902,
              0.8007704698402143,
              0.8154337505117524,
              0.8793407702403151,
              0.8231433833498208,
              0.8428576907788172,
              0.8419038652602523,
              0.8237994445378477,
              0.8182557792002225
            ],
            "test": 0.8444748283291585
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5818956822343975,
                  0.5461386186773599,
                  0.5561159314126733,
                  0.43484210651315114,
                  0.4364097907056463,
                  0.439834470943134,
                  0.4226719084595136,
                  0.4798071809738234,
                  0.49693636716664813,
                  0.4044086072925777,
                  0.5420975062728998,
                  0.4134502355743837,
                  0.4294147236852586,
                  0.42998144093984736,
                  0.41942396426898687,
                  0.4695764026665197,
                  0.48899927526028675,
                  0.4133699387582499,
                  0.437427554769153,
                  0.39842826770837886,
                  0.405062837521251,
                  0.4152985961467244,
                  0.36085012153731005,
                  0.4803769335492848
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4973013035288361,
                  0.5299108613891841,
                  0.49682096989761637,
                  0.45140321943555783,
                  0.5120439264472348,
                  0.41031169960340397,
                  0.47797132071856974,
                  0.45308842078032785,
                  0.5043277834760528,
                  0.4169267074583939,
                  0.5103230589589499,
                  0.439774482865257,
                  0.3965890932152538,
                  0.3999865075263042,
                  0.4105095366915584,
                  0.495347056515228,
                  0.4525412471251873,
                  0.4026341732498444,
                  0.4947135575342954,
                  0.4107579478352957,
                  0.4281083690429166,
                  0.4373547673375428,
                  0.3794648521113215,
                  0.46535364949831176
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.42178007728114814,
                  0.4219265385419606,
                  0.17046025414152174,
                  0.17385202150467466,
                  0.10417099182050836,
                  0.20189192100501166,
                  0.3072061113470754,
                  0.3196167946636613,
                  0.125215071115071,
                  0.15363904639703008,
                  0.1440111589056168,
                  0.138597685902715,
                  0.25167709010719624,
                  0.18175805395720215,
                  0.18514438809057526,
                  0.1590418963142438,
                  0.21589758218691374,
                  0.21817833819356489,
                  0.32878545208478743,
                  0.15400574451099736,
                  0.2831919864025824,
                  0.30187637754525537,
                  0.16816853360607503,
                  0.34169876724776976
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3742768451297219,
                  0.40873323143582757,
                  0.13866980785737074,
                  0.18456937257153472,
                  0.1256044036343616,
                  0.18760042277090966,
                  0.34539584613599755,
                  0.3109003023417131,
                  0.12201400407191382,
                  0.16742828213175504,
                  0.1244088544959247,
                  0.15170887566157665,
                  0.2434586977209261,
                  0.1637619591020418,
                  0.1668761402054322,
                  0.16458520031461277,
                  0.20321388944011462,
                  0.21596862310093545,
                  0.36773408199884783,
                  0.16227747027615622,
                  0.2938514971990294,
                  0.31090927642329086,
                  0.1849857245631276,
                  0.33273847477773943
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16011560597464933,
                  0.12421208038427127,
                  0.38565567610255125,
                  0.2609900853964474,
                  0.3322387966462534,
                  0.23794254971386875,
                  0.11546579786915197,
                  0.16019038697852347,
                  0.37172129589691405,
                  0.25076956106554854,
                  0.39808634732793147,
                  0.27485254938686143,
                  0.1777376346050289,
                  0.24822338721757836,
                  0.23427957601222102,
                  0.3105345062283752,
                  0.273101693372291,
                  0.19519160069860628,
                  0.10864210357944012,
                  0.24442252300583078,
                  0.12187085120600519,
                  0.11342221883676412,
                  0.19268158802424984,
                  0.13867816619248818
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12302445839911424,
                  0.12117762995335662,
                  0.35815116204024555,
                  0.26683384686402306,
                  0.38643952281287314,
                  0.22271127683249428,
                  0.13257547458257218,
                  0.14218811843861479,
                  0.38231377940413913,
                  0.24949842532663888,
                  0.38591420446302543,
                  0.2880656072036803,
                  0.15313039549432772,
                  0.2362245484242624,
                  0.2436333964861261,
                  0.3307618562006153,
                  0.24932735768507294,
                  0.18666555014890895,
                  0.12697947553544767,
                  0.24848047755913946,
                  0.13425687184388715,
                  0.12644549091425192,
                  0.19447912754819396,
                  0.13261517472057238
                ],
                "crps": [
                  7.151302245760546,
                  5.911384514875926,
                  15.322170251463238,
                  6.907980023390064,
                  15.46029466934631,
                  5.08461728604449,
                  2.1050657398955086,
                  5.617213717533367,
                  7.340901041200665,
                  4.735546820034149,
                  15.419429178633905,
                  5.220266646362047,
                  6.250666192148281,
                  6.01122320542493,
                  5.34029112768291,
                  8.962501814927062,
                  6.932753562438466,
                  3.36722881955064,
                  1.9684536894790838,
                  3.6596934009052773,
                  2.1585097458871934,
                  2.3595545657035113,
                  7.203811325424228,
                  4.222981195796875
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.3942682418184753,
                  3.592082216148263,
                  11.21710177556662,
                  5.807811897394496,
                  27.273601914436462,
                  3.5784752533248567,
                  3.4807211044876976,
                  3.1460002230570745,
                  7.545217676196043,
                  3.8249735735183252,
                  13.840864383262339,
                  4.430030997054808,
                  2.8001820448761534,
                  4.516117521457113,
                  4.888260025218961,
                  8.339483640689286,
                  4.951633793647444,
                  2.997413909666159,
                  3.4711294001341106,
                  3.627536580866378,
                  2.846454770181788,
                  3.161925584164043,
                  3.3250528086483198,
                  3.5450641992642202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  6.89301145302752,
                  5.66389995166321,
                  15.163245702983097,
                  6.778490322187998,
                  15.098484448601504,
                  4.940565134868399,
                  2.0169791987294348,
                  5.2936729010383425,
                  7.073711838237964,
                  4.5267336367240345,
                  15.215348587292347,
                  4.929822962121877,
                  5.986127607701358,
                  5.763444441340945,
                  5.211560146120078,
                  8.660469904213555,
                  6.683011750974008,
                  3.1787018085463696,
                  1.8411128134278572,
                  3.447592472828616,
                  1.984854840918171,
                  2.2044884350485328,
                  6.881010867715271,
                  3.947952307268361
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.147316707451114,
                  3.345505329459557,
                  10.984966213801052,
                  5.565431468435425,
                  27.0718763908127,
                  3.331872595873229,
                  3.2339333066026654,
                  2.898578484108726,
                  7.306127788484703,
                  3.578837768945852,
                  13.61369806885984,
                  4.185041134572365,
                  2.552105347257009,
                  4.271290701634523,
                  4.644138020744405,
                  8.101898044577364,
                  4.707631815249459,
                  2.7497107572454813,
                  3.224323436142348,
                  3.3810268425956997,
                  2.5984657102999638,
                  2.914534006884459,
                  3.0779701844454106,
                  3.298398263301115
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45428410262656077,
              "rpss": -0.002690373590194639,
              "brier_below": 0.22799132845304823,
              "bss_below": -0.0036907213341543788,
              "brier_above": 0.22629277423841046,
              "bss_above": -0.0016845320360820981,
              "crps": 6.446410032496195,
              "crpss": -0.1082541927383398,
              "crps_fair": 6.224345563899118,
              "crpss_fair": -0.1166024042048952,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.301739,
                    0.506339,
                    0.191922,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2882,
                    0.3548,
                    0.4242,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.341,
                    0.3442,
                    0.3733,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.059866,
                    0.756859,
                    0.183275,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2913,
                    0.34,
                    0.4405,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4407,
                    0.321,
                    0.4115,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5746430743174903,
                  0.50053474568125,
                  0.5059790453402809,
                  0.3756638413831031,
                  0.44544578844634114,
                  0.41232104187739743,
                  0.37108708089616166,
                  0.45329271700202917,
                  0.5255691519178264,
                  0.3372764737293217,
                  0.6289862991044812,
                  0.43234069125259034,
                  0.3729200515284304,
                  0.42621092656037823,
                  0.3763925025042141,
                  0.4532120263392949,
                  0.5164628079653522,
                  0.4337964337674418,
                  0.4426767576970136,
                  0.45098269927676893,
                  0.4658456791796139,
                  0.39753484304253905,
                  0.3850937082924902,
                  0.37576606402513635
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5271012360586466,
                  0.5237026442993877,
                  0.47266510161074154,
                  0.4183814440705189,
                  0.5463137956783317,
                  0.3948310621955931,
                  0.406559211835899,
                  0.4283146824891483,
                  0.49352864176266736,
                  0.37069796075288813,
                  0.544586430341869,
                  0.4920445637631002,
                  0.3565574427493965,
                  0.3975457708734299,
                  0.3515003838097367,
                  0.5287991675877444,
                  0.4852899981103904,
                  0.42598321042574033,
                  0.5180054420460954,
                  0.46522910237657855,
                  0.5021412600717393,
                  0.4343952633284925,
                  0.40487741793271564,
                  0.39251245424822917
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4402832264782936,
                  0.3872350852697236,
                  0.17875354678891484,
                  0.26222521090622547,
                  0.09844871314091558,
                  0.24919675808318256,
                  0.255847084886738,
                  0.2584556994622459,
                  0.14287419063425505,
                  0.10002784754763795,
                  0.16700045917615983,
                  0.10258484212971267,
                  0.20622384846971772,
                  0.22657203649620025,
                  0.19315522854035394,
                  0.1044917274137193,
                  0.20345613515631983,
                  0.2586064740153509,
                  0.34111496620400933,
                  0.11660798202482214,
                  0.35285782872441046,
                  0.2947410958465568,
                  0.17643702131572775,
                  0.22980400193385506
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4061182447841931,
                  0.40271965302493434,
                  0.159291887101158,
                  0.2832363680142811,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.2529029231506273,
                  0.2730640226173197,
                  0.24952665149579165,
                  0.12265985005988321,
                  0.12767684799994297,
                  0.1218471520520865,
                  0.12515848079062122,
                  0.20389895401113928,
                  0.22223880236089205,
                  0.1594727085269456,
                  0.12431961025338657,
                  0.19935641299605145,
                  0.2639725231877702,
                  0.3970224507716421,
                  0.12181436140512257,
                  0.3811582687972861,
                  0.3134122720540391,
                  0.18796271335346026,
                  0.23816938425362752
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.13435984797414477,
                  0.11329966113121154,
                  0.32722549747996443,
                  0.11343863156507349,
                  0.34699707171707783,
                  0.1631242852292685,
                  0.11523999690828943,
                  0.19483701895718647,
                  0.38269496128336483,
                  0.23724862629273172,
                  0.46198583929850945,
                  0.3297558484423383,
                  0.1666962037460044,
                  0.1996388909570107,
                  0.18323727408245583,
                  0.3487202974754221,
                  0.3130066745113329,
                  0.1751899607758633,
                  0.10156179265046834,
                  0.33437471603159213,
                  0.1129878511504718,
                  0.10279374786930799,
                  0.20865668647789062,
                  0.1459620616533175
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.31337321450958355,
                  0.1351450760562379,
                  0.4253308044038784,
                  0.1419281390449658,
                  0.13349518921857934,
                  0.17878803099335663,
                  0.3708687917027841,
                  0.24302111275294516,
                  0.4227392782897825,
                  0.3668860829724789,
                  0.15265848873825724,
                  0.17530696851253785,
                  0.1920276752827911,
                  0.40447955733435775,
                  0.285933585114339,
                  0.16201068723797019,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.343414740971456,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.21691470457925532,
                  0.1543430699946016
                ],
                "crps": [
                  4.05815386763523,
                  3.9635109834514153,
                  8.289018301688497,
                  2.1081363647730824,
                  16.56689551875701,
                  2.943025945177343,
                  1.9433463671330704,
                  4.2312671376111535,
                  6.899405106667232,
                  3.86473611700027,
                  17.82151767326879,
                  4.097989051585951,
                  3.7273912768887287,
                  5.455170218419717,
                  2.6900566901488623,
                  7.922224634681556,
                  8.230003474877616,
                  2.9960195306264543,
                  1.6042478884502565,
                  3.3338569770152695,
                  1.9121625463544292,
                  1.7835608606232263,
                  8.455073972019202,
                  2.541837791670604
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.674920399403526,
                  2.637398212409991,
                  5.54786431635389,
                  2.076207700785368,
                  34.28249991078239,
                  2.0856628172110057,
                  2.3437315827679472,
                  2.6602769523695353,
                  5.95174143690428,
                  2.5420943861841945,
                  15.72510138242277,
                  4.179451182954188,
                  2.085216845411654,
                  4.0937047249597684,
                  2.2900971059547115,
                  7.841787160003542,
                  6.476073885230757,
                  2.4043541490534586,
                  2.7661997358793817,
                  3.668076251614806,
                  2.404003843392272,
                  2.7090584880115154,
                  2.3942251507817365,
                  2.2230392708520568
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.896964939331105,
                  3.7254729991535895,
                  8.15787973095962,
                  2.0121972807213067,
                  16.24250371049274,
                  2.7849070960717075,
                  1.8806209163540666,
                  3.9498894583642565,
                  6.666042079529831,
                  3.6663950770028353,
                  17.687750593088627,
                  3.863387520615838,
                  3.525776337469167,
                  5.186590975208071,
                  2.6097067980718873,
                  7.55373259179575,
                  8.038921168859462,
                  2.8388574394677915,
                  1.4868646624036155,
                  3.121885027406065,
                  1.730087164558052,
                  1.6270555239895979,
                  8.065862663741816,
                  2.248412045988197
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.4548094454165224,
                  2.4172161936748946,
                  5.333194544027777,
                  1.8549628212328,
                  34.12225179677904,
                  1.8644358450759109,
                  2.122993377234286,
                  2.4401382645813325,
                  5.73783658336709,
                  2.3217318677782153,
                  15.529706680297545,
                  3.9621897190875477,
                  1.8639890286330005,
                  3.876280862498442,
                  2.06925731997254,
                  7.631461938517677,
                  6.263162085572975,
                  2.1837307589862482,
                  2.5462616594235836,
                  3.4498462746206284,
                  2.1833797898673692,
                  2.4890121894953605,
                  2.173582577005678,
                  2.0020724813943143
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44416810213028945,
              "rpss": 0.0203582172227601,
              "brier_below": 0.222791708776877,
              "bss_below": 0.020333979205581443,
              "brier_above": 0.22137639348584578,
              "bss_above": 0.020382608402849223,
              "crps": 5.309942012355207,
              "crpss": -0.02721058819819433,
              "crps_fair": 5.106990158360208,
              "crpss_fair": -0.030903788426266843,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.338856,
                    0.414639,
                    0.246505,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2883,
                    0.3571,
                    0.4257,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2806,
                    0.3611,
                    0.4256,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.058531,
                    0.723469,
                    0.218,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2922,
                    0.3371,
                    0.443,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.421,
                    0.2906,
                    0.505,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4418419517274349,
                  0.48118386793722756,
                  0.39385326237741,
                  0.41154054639511356,
                  0.4745111293819742,
                  0.4042185006282466,
                  0.39661730938974477,
                  0.4367337052548792
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5137612852478612,
                  0.49705237444422495,
                  0.4061007445054705,
                  0.44669599826620215,
                  0.4481977901053744,
                  0.3995579224080249,
                  0.3906212765735246,
                  0.4961503793308776
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.35014212231913244,
                  0.3674438938965085,
                  0.14181382946426416,
                  0.2873060301615471,
                  0.14416715821288636,
                  0.21485114993956905,
                  0.1533515833692608,
                  0.33546498874778324
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4021405089154269,
                  0.37912161362031016,
                  0.14453244502842236,
                  0.30843984040656025,
                  0.12589433667964914,
                  0.20523722232274816,
                  0.16125753035770213,
                  0.37806000678348534
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09169984671216928,
                  0.11373999188735179,
                  0.252039425708579,
                  0.12423452911739687,
                  0.3303439524853746,
                  0.18936735457857834,
                  0.24326572749871847,
                  0.10126873338872959
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11162079604670827,
                  0.11793077940987547,
                  0.26156829250705416,
                  0.1382561728111389,
                  0.3223034355309777,
                  0.1943207050116538,
                  0.22936374487601524,
                  0.11809039116878442
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.4767343086013727,
                  3.1490504661047,
                  4.442705276759383,
                  2.3312676292213634,
                  9.612688352644426,
                  2.9137636435701824,
                  11.533047493826494,
                  1.7699092088441584
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.2326234694826756,
                  3.444075545420181,
                  4.664597692983636,
                  2.8485585347508224,
                  7.734730772827549,
                  3.0019126203171878,
                  4.262232370432686,
                  3.1582949283763986
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.4241180619108875,
                  3.0403775402740503,
                  4.351280891034947,
                  2.271666608023906,
                  9.528938550402787,
                  2.833596430775134,
                  11.328658466689317,
                  1.7014144543977312
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.000358402837215,
                  3.2118104787747215,
                  4.432332626338175,
                  2.616293468105364,
                  7.502465706182092,
                  2.7696475536717284,
                  4.029967303787228,
                  2.9260298617309384
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43006253413650386,
              "rpss": 0.04381085656731476,
              "brier_below": 0.24931759451386895,
              "bss_below": 0.05233221422035306,
              "brier_above": 0.18074494517211226,
              "bss_above": 0.031801947627830174,
              "crps": 4.65364579744651,
              "crpss": -0.1509301181151277,
              "crps_fair": 4.560006375438595,
              "crpss_fair": -0.19650248256537273,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.159627,
                    0.672609,
                    0.167764,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2838,
                    0.3655,
                    0.4136,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1673,
                    0.5085,
                    0.5197,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.240162,
                    0.68598,
                    0.073858,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.291,
                    0.3229,
                    0.431,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1243,
                    0.2531,
                    0.3157,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46637799018289056,
                  0.43108460293588674,
                  0.44186457692813574,
                  0.4029178884215347,
                  0.44914756481634055,
                  0.39480926015998746,
                  0.34597675957786794,
                  0.4217124269643707
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5473323450214652,
                  0.45950886455856493,
                  0.47310563766181457,
                  0.45125841650166265,
                  0.43752409736537534,
                  0.3769753190502442,
                  0.34410807327585485,
                  0.4522036283839493
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3736792725401066,
                  0.32979649170922953,
                  0.09607424072036991,
                  0.2956061394186594,
                  0.15205459677465455,
                  0.19327178542489887,
                  0.11705536399123999,
                  0.3025592190429448
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.43622124715583027,
                  0.34839776669293,
                  0.11202969533110177,
                  0.327320640209203,
                  0.141320167462079,
                  0.17256239240732962,
                  0.1394661409403721,
                  0.32190666733284123
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09269873541381309,
                  0.10128812971739057,
                  0.34579031296997415,
                  0.10731176428741707,
                  0.297092954460901,
                  0.2015374772228149,
                  0.22892140289538335,
                  0.11915322410323789
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.36107591750173545,
                  0.12393779386708581,
                  0.2962039166743374,
                  0.20441292982746392,
                  0.2046419354790828,
                  0.1302969774886234
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.0202461839546273,
                  2.2160502775641673,
                  5.281107294779134,
                  1.437389535360784,
                  9.791717850482028,
                  1.9949181926991602,
                  16.099113784618908,
                  1.4704964921325048
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.5726443205176754,
                  2.4663219929375395,
                  5.77433068113816,
                  2.2030894884274272,
                  8.536670815597677,
                  2.154154910592676,
                  3.6369598104064913,
                  2.3797284899665048
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  0.9794143996094099,
                  2.113854877610958,
                  5.172652229873543,
                  1.386871200546584,
                  9.717255861742718,
                  1.930316844365297,
                  15.841477367043714,
                  1.4034973469718846
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.366231987002849,
                  2.259909659422711,
                  5.567918347623332,
                  1.9966771549125995,
                  8.330258482082852,
                  1.9477425770778494,
                  3.4305474768916633,
                  2.1733161564516763
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4192363837483768,
              "rpss": 0.053112490613414054,
              "brier_below": 0.23251213870276297,
              "bss_below": 0.06959078021071852,
              "brier_above": 0.1867242501338665,
              "bss_above": 0.03175911889778882,
              "crps": 4.913879951448914,
              "crpss": -0.3225397386495721,
              "crps_fair": 4.818167515970513,
              "crpss_fair": -0.3730590540000991,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.228998,
                    0.613564,
                    0.157437,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2832,
                    0.3664,
                    0.4124,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.066,
                    0.531,
                    0.4794,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.166862,
                    0.679014,
                    0.154124,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2941,
                    0.3212,
                    0.4327,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.103,
                    0.2595,
                    0.3365,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "selection": {
        "SEL-P": {
          "criterion": "inner RPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1994": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1995": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1996": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1997": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1998": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1999": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2000": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2001": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2002": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2003": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2004": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2005": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2006": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2007": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2008": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2009": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2010": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2011": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2012": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2013": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2014": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2015": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2016": "sqrt_mvs"
          },
          "chosen_test": "sqrt_mvs",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 0,
            "vs": 0,
            "sqrt_mvs": 24,
            "pt": 0,
            "dc": 0,
            "loci": 0,
            "eqm": 0,
            "gqm": 0,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 0,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.588633804667167,
                  0.5887836950123753,
                  0.5538382419036938,
                  0.42876383751723773,
                  0.4116346793552621,
                  0.4250286603774453,
                  0.4161488604032324,
                  0.48604777979273633,
                  0.4793039549247328,
                  0.3995703516095693,
                  0.529185458918858,
                  0.41549487092040815,
                  0.4298830874332637,
                  0.41041313727344725,
                  0.4170102070032151,
                  0.48234395503059513,
                  0.46362866193579144,
                  0.3949260053778396,
                  0.42077332999771305,
                  0.3876886464161921,
                  0.3993984725574448,
                  0.420977441578112,
                  0.36026275858011747,
                  0.4893290000502668
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4973013035288361,
                  0.5299108613891841,
                  0.49682096989761637,
                  0.45140321943555783,
                  0.5120439264472348,
                  0.41031169960340397,
                  0.47797132071856974,
                  0.45308842078032785,
                  0.5043277834760528,
                  0.4169267074583939,
                  0.5103230589589499,
                  0.439774482865257,
                  0.3965890932152538,
                  0.3999865075263042,
                  0.4105095366915584,
                  0.495347056515228,
                  0.4525412471251873,
                  0.4026341732498444,
                  0.4947135575342954,
                  0.4107579478352957,
                  0.4281083690429166,
                  0.4373547673375428,
                  0.3794648521113215,
                  0.46535364949831176
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4323462672895313,
                  0.45489436864635613,
                  0.15560063256698162,
                  0.17236242133936971,
                  0.09337236462132668,
                  0.1875532517443154,
                  0.3109024654792745,
                  0.32718966408668804,
                  0.1076746110567994,
                  0.15270370676778755,
                  0.13892236452085654,
                  0.14063575731115657,
                  0.25459870077302693,
                  0.1633088912325793,
                  0.18288937372913597,
                  0.1650212389021241,
                  0.2022794899980383,
                  0.21127488047964887,
                  0.32354730728770426,
                  0.14742004010911805,
                  0.2808249777709056,
                  0.3069854201318652,
                  0.16439835415614779,
                  0.3544871587572931
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3742768451297219,
                  0.40873323143582757,
                  0.13866980785737074,
                  0.18456937257153472,
                  0.1256044036343616,
                  0.18760042277090966,
                  0.34539584613599755,
                  0.3109003023417131,
                  0.12201400407191382,
                  0.16742828213175504,
                  0.1244088544959247,
                  0.15170887566157665,
                  0.2434586977209261,
                  0.1637619591020418,
                  0.1668761402054322,
                  0.16458520031461277,
                  0.20321388944011462,
                  0.21596862310093545,
                  0.36773408199884783,
                  0.16227747027615622,
                  0.2938514971990294,
                  0.31090927642329086,
                  0.1849857245631276,
                  0.33273847477773943
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1562875354431577,
                  0.1338893242323759,
                  0.39823761207194397,
                  0.2564014166396429,
                  0.31826231340572037,
                  0.23747540806239611,
                  0.10524639451825539,
                  0.1588581141423791,
                  0.3716293471545152,
                  0.2468666448488758,
                  0.39026310026569516,
                  0.27485911539973595,
                  0.17528438583560516,
                  0.2471042462061649,
                  0.23412083509192264,
                  0.31732272016569885,
                  0.26134917272612085,
                  0.18365112454551932,
                  0.09722602283831404,
                  0.24026860751673149,
                  0.11857349330107135,
                  0.11399201971689753,
                  0.19586440368888997,
                  0.13484183954652226
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12302445839911424,
                  0.12117762995335662,
                  0.35815116204024555,
                  0.26683384686402306,
                  0.38643952281287314,
                  0.22271127683249428,
                  0.13257547458257218,
                  0.14218811843861479,
                  0.38231377940413913,
                  0.24949842532663888,
                  0.38591420446302543,
                  0.2880656072036803,
                  0.15313039549432772,
                  0.2362245484242624,
                  0.2436333964861261,
                  0.3307618562006153,
                  0.24932735768507294,
                  0.18666555014890895,
                  0.12697947553544767,
                  0.24848047755913946,
                  0.13425687184388715,
                  0.12644549091425192,
                  0.19447912754819396,
                  0.13261517472057238
                ],
                "crps": [
                  4.7776141256806,
                  4.723463599027611,
                  13.299567319396145,
                  5.897762374486102,
                  19.276948303117756,
                  3.7200349034555895,
                  1.7763879819817985,
                  4.01268190089912,
                  7.148330437356788,
                  3.6756241591416416,
                  14.964153226862024,
                  4.285293068922375,
                  3.9867637641772493,
                  4.895558570597216,
                  4.692771650568561,
                  8.35887031943764,
                  5.441623944596175,
                  2.491118035428611,
                  1.7801875363409019,
                  3.240705082203368,
                  2.060694544737268,
                  2.44698456395977,
                  4.279097748042376,
                  3.589602007567688
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.3942682418184753,
                  3.592082216148263,
                  11.21710177556662,
                  5.807811897394496,
                  27.273601914436462,
                  3.5784752533248567,
                  3.4807211044876976,
                  3.1460002230570745,
                  7.545217676196043,
                  3.8249735735183252,
                  13.840864383262339,
                  4.430030997054808,
                  2.8001820448761534,
                  4.516117521457113,
                  4.888260025218961,
                  8.339483640689286,
                  4.951633793647444,
                  2.997413909666159,
                  3.4711294001341106,
                  3.627536580866378,
                  2.846454770181788,
                  3.161925584164043,
                  3.3250528086483198,
                  3.5450641992642202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  4.545268679252122,
                  4.470373796729635,
                  13.1307322005711,
                  5.749843165430986,
                  18.97294533175144,
                  3.564794839927425,
                  1.6677026455664974,
                  3.7457304451572457,
                  6.909650683094387,
                  3.465196634403491,
                  14.777810153135375,
                  4.042002849039838,
                  3.727742690317883,
                  4.661830368393486,
                  4.5599229946805675,
                  8.099312000085058,
                  5.201996567282686,
                  2.309988901947666,
                  1.6271896987260992,
                  3.0381262837384826,
                  1.8833439646946875,
                  2.2808247786241482,
                  4.001781138059854,
                  3.327563619046911
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.147316707451114,
                  3.345505329459557,
                  10.984966213801052,
                  5.565431468435425,
                  27.0718763908127,
                  3.331872595873229,
                  3.2339333066026654,
                  2.898578484108726,
                  7.306127788484703,
                  3.578837768945852,
                  13.61369806885984,
                  4.185041134572365,
                  2.552105347257009,
                  4.271290701634523,
                  4.644138020744405,
                  8.101898044577364,
                  4.707631815249459,
                  2.7497107572454813,
                  3.224323436142348,
                  3.3810268425956997,
                  2.5984657102999638,
                  2.914534006884459,
                  3.0779701844454106,
                  3.298398263301115
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44996120410986323,
              "rpss": 0.006851075700323617,
              "brier_below": 0.22629973786491797,
              "bss_below": 0.0037562012708524106,
              "brier_above": 0.22366146655683963,
              "bss_above": 0.009962946379999948,
              "crps": 5.6175766319993485,
              "crpss": 0.034237222879310525,
              "crps_fair": 5.406736434569044,
              "crpss_fair": 0.030070737595724206
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.6152979155183317,
                  0.5717110262876339,
                  0.5168518533243294,
                  0.3753466256777211,
                  0.40617401200860137,
                  0.4053408100141507,
                  0.36199631040364266,
                  0.4416230572903454,
                  0.5157403946891261,
                  0.33799274400713675,
                  0.5929311257138073,
                  0.4400348505810493,
                  0.3702878293412808,
                  0.40745106054784236,
                  0.35952154142202175,
                  0.4970138651347322,
                  0.4835500495015518,
                  0.4257276252690961,
                  0.4066597754023331,
                  0.4335702308873011,
                  0.4472353492295399,
                  0.3933158960641296,
                  0.40286790405497297,
                  0.3877828683402152
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5271012360586466,
                  0.5237026442993877,
                  0.47266510161074154,
                  0.4183814440705189,
                  0.5463137956783317,
                  0.3948310621955931,
                  0.406559211835899,
                  0.4283146824891483,
                  0.49352864176266736,
                  0.37069796075288813,
                  0.544586430341869,
                  0.4920445637631002,
                  0.3565574427493965,
                  0.3975457708734299,
                  0.3515003838097367,
                  0.5287991675877444,
                  0.4852899981103904,
                  0.42598321042574033,
                  0.5180054420460954,
                  0.46522910237657855,
                  0.5021412600717393,
                  0.4343952633284925,
                  0.40487741793271564,
                  0.39251245424822917
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4746154360129051,
                  0.4465622408595637,
                  0.17746746143103045,
                  0.27179219572166574,
                  0.083237820900926,
                  0.2445381677637137,
                  0.25735949203593195,
                  0.24633060008261204,
                  0.13207801117252357,
                  0.10618821288590664,
                  0.15364364960200683,
                  0.10584257543448726,
                  0.2054350369334502,
                  0.21695147715196597,
                  0.1883386691584208,
                  0.13198214836020886,
                  0.19229045945757603,
                  0.2660595137535248,
                  0.31882920141141297,
                  0.11011705753038237,
                  0.34162432476851196,
                  0.2951059617207405,
                  0.18200112508483735,
                  0.2405911096233703
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4061182447841931,
                  0.40271965302493434,
                  0.159291887101158,
                  0.2832363680142811,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.2529029231506273,
                  0.2730640226173197,
                  0.24952665149579165,
                  0.12265985005988321,
                  0.12767684799994297,
                  0.1218471520520865,
                  0.12515848079062122,
                  0.20389895401113928,
                  0.22223880236089205,
                  0.1594727085269456,
                  0.12431961025338657,
                  0.19935641299605145,
                  0.2639725231877702,
                  0.3970224507716421,
                  0.12181436140512257,
                  0.3811582687972861,
                  0.3134122720540391,
                  0.18796271335346026,
                  0.23816938425362752
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14068247729374245,
                  0.12514878321906625,
                  0.3393843937961251,
                  0.10355442997122531,
                  0.32293618841319005,
                  0.16080264034312688,
                  0.10463681851965632,
                  0.1952924561076149,
                  0.38366238685961446,
                  0.23180453061593115,
                  0.4392874811090921,
                  0.3341922783678506,
                  0.1648527908182183,
                  0.1904995822282006,
                  0.1711828724609884,
                  0.36503172148245366,
                  0.2912595919886808,
                  0.15966811068080908,
                  0.08783057562279968,
                  0.3234531761159902,
                  0.10561102375134453,
                  0.09820993338015031,
                  0.22086677857537143,
                  0.14719175787121563
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.31337321450958355,
                  0.1351450760562379,
                  0.4253308044038784,
                  0.1419281390449658,
                  0.13349518921857934,
                  0.17878803099335663,
                  0.3708687917027841,
                  0.24302111275294516,
                  0.4227392782897825,
                  0.3668860829724789,
                  0.15265848873825724,
                  0.17530696851253785,
                  0.1920276752827911,
                  0.40447955733435775,
                  0.285933585114339,
                  0.16201068723797019,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.343414740971456,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.21691470457925532,
                  0.1543430699946016
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.45166557325611,
                  3.3642966086302852,
                  6.83293588170337,
                  1.2937728772517687,
                  24.17910535224037,
                  2.0643838603007705,
                  1.0167494003149613,
                  3.0149099660843413,
                  6.24964208192775,
                  2.5100897543145537,
                  17.38457473251443,
                  3.7008858363577186,
                  2.7815661114605907,
                  4.245868973742833,
                  2.0110831113906547,
                  7.208638519255911,
                  6.785383764899158,
                  1.7844111929135202,
                  1.205269902066671,
                  3.0625232455320797,
                  1.633415410027097,
                  1.8141578204677327,
                  4.299693829532965,
                  2.064996045482588
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.674920399403526,
                  2.637398212409991,
                  5.54786431635389,
                  2.076207700785368,
                  34.28249991078239,
                  2.0856628172110057,
                  2.3437315827679472,
                  2.6602769523695353,
                  5.95174143690428,
                  2.5420943861841945,
                  15.72510138242277,
                  4.179451182954188,
                  2.085216845411654,
                  4.0937047249597684,
                  2.2900971059547115,
                  7.841787160003542,
                  6.476073885230757,
                  2.4043541490534586,
                  2.7661997358793817,
                  3.668076251614806,
                  2.404003843392272,
                  2.7090584880115154,
                  2.3942251507817365,
                  2.2230392708520568
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.2900928904023465,
                  3.128908111402894,
                  6.697338191355622,
                  1.1789179584860465,
                  23.89710236560198,
                  1.9010014600292566,
                  0.9363252794325969,
                  2.798217078302263,
                  6.028223249139607,
                  2.3103512646968354,
                  17.255817981474006,
                  3.506944378564066,
                  2.5752090033735655,
                  4.010165314560232,
                  1.9231063523906546,
                  6.92338632470695,
                  6.607412620248921,
                  1.6370427097159965,
                  1.0769993966761602,
                  2.8691822951811825,
                  1.4717755657378484,
                  1.6612167963865405,
                  3.991020360194093,
                  1.8072442887533766
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.4548094454165224,
                  2.4172161936748946,
                  5.333194544027777,
                  1.8549628212328,
                  34.12225179677904,
                  1.8644358450759109,
                  2.122993377234286,
                  2.4401382645813325,
                  5.73783658336709,
                  2.3217318677782153,
                  15.529706680297545,
                  3.9621897190875477,
                  1.8639890286330005,
                  3.876280862498442,
                  2.06925731997254,
                  7.631461938517677,
                  6.263162085572975,
                  2.1837307589862482,
                  2.5462616594235836,
                  3.4498462746206284,
                  2.1833797898673692,
                  2.4890121894953605,
                  2.173582577005678,
                  2.0020724813943143
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44150103002962054,
              "rpss": 0.026240619076840832,
              "brier_below": 0.22454091453573646,
              "bss_below": 0.012642322030633757,
              "brier_above": 0.21696011581635244,
              "bss_above": 0.03992517273428242,
              "crps": 4.748334160486176,
              "crpss": 0.08143269463103464,
              "crps_fair": 4.561791718200543,
              "crpss_fair": 0.07915068984301521
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.45224810213164507,
                  0.4976473625190694,
                  0.38455307209331124,
                  0.4175140852984864,
                  0.46741485976601765,
                  0.3840213600569024,
                  0.39534056927846095,
                  0.4463930676583124
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5137612852478612,
                  0.49705237444422495,
                  0.4061007445054705,
                  0.44669599826620215,
                  0.4481977901053744,
                  0.3995579224080249,
                  0.3906212765735246,
                  0.4961503793308776
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3631565841842588,
                  0.3826077374565708,
                  0.13688703336447047,
                  0.29383700091593157,
                  0.13386353151830713,
                  0.2074096385241351,
                  0.1461776272845216,
                  0.34785814109138824
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4021405089154269,
                  0.37912161362031016,
                  0.14453244502842236,
                  0.30843984040656025,
                  0.12589433667964914,
                  0.20523722232274816,
                  0.16125753035770213,
                  0.37806000678348534
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.08909153478371849,
                  0.11503964278466056,
                  0.2476660319417269,
                  0.12367709660420564,
                  0.3335513105393335,
                  0.17661172476979925,
                  0.2491629446499573,
                  0.09853494243484029
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11162079604670827,
                  0.11793077940987547,
                  0.26156829250705416,
                  0.1382561728111389,
                  0.3223034355309777,
                  0.1943207050116538,
                  0.22936374487601524,
                  0.11809039116878442
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.7818856092813378,
                  3.1530445254165897,
                  4.062416903727908,
                  1.9793878987220117,
                  8.770216685409766,
                  2.3070276031547965,
                  5.378509125224102,
                  1.906119932038329
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.2326234694826756,
                  3.444075545420181,
                  4.664597692983636,
                  2.8485585347508224,
                  7.734730772827549,
                  3.0019126203171878,
                  4.262232370432686,
                  3.1582949283763986
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.7158916010666894,
                  3.0374960156808237,
                  3.9693099920009214,
                  1.9086428036739669,
                  8.680216740919002,
                  2.220539693909686,
                  5.203200859839368,
                  1.8307672942614774
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.000358402837215,
                  3.2118104787747215,
                  4.432332626338175,
                  2.616293468105364,
                  7.502465706182092,
                  2.7696475536717284,
                  4.029967303787228,
                  2.9260298617309384
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43064155985027575,
              "rpss": 0.042523466810407196,
              "brier_below": 0.25147466179244793,
              "bss_below": 0.044133101054455004,
              "brier_above": 0.17916690356353027,
              "bss_above": 0.040255057121633464,
              "crps": 3.667326035371855,
              "crpss": 0.0930044591332636,
              "crps_fair": 3.570758125168992,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06306688858647902
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4787804970317363,
                  0.44361958434908594,
                  0.44937184115622636,
                  0.4068195060706757,
                  0.45167232330564655,
                  0.37109174189245747,
                  0.3426900354353162,
                  0.444143721996869
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5473323450214652,
                  0.45950886455856493,
                  0.47310563766181457,
                  0.45125841650166265,
                  0.43752409736537534,
                  0.3769753190502442,
                  0.34410807327585485,
                  0.4522036283839493
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3838551773474477,
                  0.3419291509283263,
                  0.10015107158902803,
                  0.3016942329643541,
                  0.14906855593221507,
                  0.18788716211984244,
                  0.10083245878793226,
                  0.3220365502495378
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.43622124715583027,
                  0.34839776669293,
                  0.11202969533110177,
                  0.327320640209203,
                  0.141320167462079,
                  0.17256239240732962,
                  0.1394661409403721,
                  0.32190666733284123
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09492533739465225,
                  0.10169045226538394,
                  0.3492207472315406,
                  0.10512528848915535,
                  0.3026037547364981,
                  0.18320458098089287,
                  0.2418575864548576,
                  0.12210718660760057
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.36107591750173545,
                  0.12393779386708581,
                  0.2962039166743374,
                  0.20441292982746392,
                  0.2046419354790828,
                  0.1302969774886234
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.3980857524497334,
                  2.0683180679659503,
                  5.1190771460697135,
                  1.2775313982408532,
                  9.598229358794448,
                  1.5106377144116354,
                  5.081011346357517,
                  1.688216852977571
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.5726443205176754,
                  2.4663219929375395,
                  5.77433068113816,
                  2.2030894884274272,
                  8.536670815597677,
                  2.154154910592676,
                  3.6369598104064913,
                  2.3797284899665048
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.3470506869608008,
                  1.9702812239649097,
                  5.020500696825403,
                  1.2220013536940322,
                  9.519320485697605,
                  1.444332551455209,
                  4.8748123372937195,
                  1.6199440607415745
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.366231987002849,
                  2.259909659422711,
                  5.567918347623332,
                  1.9966771549125995,
                  8.330258482082852,
                  1.9477425770778494,
                  3.4305474768916633,
                  2.1733161564516763
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42352365640475165,
              "rpss": 0.043429254412968854,
              "brier_below": 0.23593179498983546,
              "bss_below": 0.05590685060706879,
              "brier_above": 0.18759186677007267,
              "bss_above": 0.027260175157503674,
              "crps": 3.4676384546584273,
              "crpss": 0.06670702156594166,
              "crps_fair": 3.3772804245791566,
              "crpss_fair": 0.03755827303741077
            }
          }
        },
        "SEL-A": {
          "criterion": "inner CRPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1994": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1995": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1996": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1997": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1998": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1999": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2000": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2001": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2002": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2003": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2004": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2005": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2006": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2007": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2008": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2009": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2010": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2011": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2012": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2013": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2014": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2015": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2016": "sqrt_mvs"
          },
          "chosen_test": "sqrt_mvs",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 0,
            "vs": 0,
            "sqrt_mvs": 24,
            "pt": 0,
            "dc": 0,
            "loci": 0,
            "eqm": 0,
            "gqm": 0,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 0,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.588633804667167,
                  0.5887836950123753,
                  0.5538382419036938,
                  0.42876383751723773,
                  0.4116346793552621,
                  0.4250286603774453,
                  0.4161488604032324,
                  0.48604777979273633,
                  0.4793039549247328,
                  0.3995703516095693,
                  0.529185458918858,
                  0.41549487092040815,
                  0.4298830874332637,
                  0.41041313727344725,
                  0.4170102070032151,
                  0.48234395503059513,
                  0.46362866193579144,
                  0.3949260053778396,
                  0.42077332999771305,
                  0.3876886464161921,
                  0.3993984725574448,
                  0.420977441578112,
                  0.36026275858011747,
                  0.4893290000502668
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4973013035288361,
                  0.5299108613891841,
                  0.49682096989761637,
                  0.45140321943555783,
                  0.5120439264472348,
                  0.41031169960340397,
                  0.47797132071856974,
                  0.45308842078032785,
                  0.5043277834760528,
                  0.4169267074583939,
                  0.5103230589589499,
                  0.439774482865257,
                  0.3965890932152538,
                  0.3999865075263042,
                  0.4105095366915584,
                  0.495347056515228,
                  0.4525412471251873,
                  0.4026341732498444,
                  0.4947135575342954,
                  0.4107579478352957,
                  0.4281083690429166,
                  0.4373547673375428,
                  0.3794648521113215,
                  0.46535364949831176
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4323462672895313,
                  0.45489436864635613,
                  0.15560063256698162,
                  0.17236242133936971,
                  0.09337236462132668,
                  0.1875532517443154,
                  0.3109024654792745,
                  0.32718966408668804,
                  0.1076746110567994,
                  0.15270370676778755,
                  0.13892236452085654,
                  0.14063575731115657,
                  0.25459870077302693,
                  0.1633088912325793,
                  0.18288937372913597,
                  0.1650212389021241,
                  0.2022794899980383,
                  0.21127488047964887,
                  0.32354730728770426,
                  0.14742004010911805,
                  0.2808249777709056,
                  0.3069854201318652,
                  0.16439835415614779,
                  0.3544871587572931
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3742768451297219,
                  0.40873323143582757,
                  0.13866980785737074,
                  0.18456937257153472,
                  0.1256044036343616,
                  0.18760042277090966,
                  0.34539584613599755,
                  0.3109003023417131,
                  0.12201400407191382,
                  0.16742828213175504,
                  0.1244088544959247,
                  0.15170887566157665,
                  0.2434586977209261,
                  0.1637619591020418,
                  0.1668761402054322,
                  0.16458520031461277,
                  0.20321388944011462,
                  0.21596862310093545,
                  0.36773408199884783,
                  0.16227747027615622,
                  0.2938514971990294,
                  0.31090927642329086,
                  0.1849857245631276,
                  0.33273847477773943
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1562875354431577,
                  0.1338893242323759,
                  0.39823761207194397,
                  0.2564014166396429,
                  0.31826231340572037,
                  0.23747540806239611,
                  0.10524639451825539,
                  0.1588581141423791,
                  0.3716293471545152,
                  0.2468666448488758,
                  0.39026310026569516,
                  0.27485911539973595,
                  0.17528438583560516,
                  0.2471042462061649,
                  0.23412083509192264,
                  0.31732272016569885,
                  0.26134917272612085,
                  0.18365112454551932,
                  0.09722602283831404,
                  0.24026860751673149,
                  0.11857349330107135,
                  0.11399201971689753,
                  0.19586440368888997,
                  0.13484183954652226
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12302445839911424,
                  0.12117762995335662,
                  0.35815116204024555,
                  0.26683384686402306,
                  0.38643952281287314,
                  0.22271127683249428,
                  0.13257547458257218,
                  0.14218811843861479,
                  0.38231377940413913,
                  0.24949842532663888,
                  0.38591420446302543,
                  0.2880656072036803,
                  0.15313039549432772,
                  0.2362245484242624,
                  0.2436333964861261,
                  0.3307618562006153,
                  0.24932735768507294,
                  0.18666555014890895,
                  0.12697947553544767,
                  0.24848047755913946,
                  0.13425687184388715,
                  0.12644549091425192,
                  0.19447912754819396,
                  0.13261517472057238
                ],
                "crps": [
                  4.7776141256806,
                  4.723463599027611,
                  13.299567319396145,
                  5.897762374486102,
                  19.276948303117756,
                  3.7200349034555895,
                  1.7763879819817985,
                  4.01268190089912,
                  7.148330437356788,
                  3.6756241591416416,
                  14.964153226862024,
                  4.285293068922375,
                  3.9867637641772493,
                  4.895558570597216,
                  4.692771650568561,
                  8.35887031943764,
                  5.441623944596175,
                  2.491118035428611,
                  1.7801875363409019,
                  3.240705082203368,
                  2.060694544737268,
                  2.44698456395977,
                  4.279097748042376,
                  3.589602007567688
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.3942682418184753,
                  3.592082216148263,
                  11.21710177556662,
                  5.807811897394496,
                  27.273601914436462,
                  3.5784752533248567,
                  3.4807211044876976,
                  3.1460002230570745,
                  7.545217676196043,
                  3.8249735735183252,
                  13.840864383262339,
                  4.430030997054808,
                  2.8001820448761534,
                  4.516117521457113,
                  4.888260025218961,
                  8.339483640689286,
                  4.951633793647444,
                  2.997413909666159,
                  3.4711294001341106,
                  3.627536580866378,
                  2.846454770181788,
                  3.161925584164043,
                  3.3250528086483198,
                  3.5450641992642202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  4.545268679252122,
                  4.470373796729635,
                  13.1307322005711,
                  5.749843165430986,
                  18.97294533175144,
                  3.564794839927425,
                  1.6677026455664974,
                  3.7457304451572457,
                  6.909650683094387,
                  3.465196634403491,
                  14.777810153135375,
                  4.042002849039838,
                  3.727742690317883,
                  4.661830368393486,
                  4.5599229946805675,
                  8.099312000085058,
                  5.201996567282686,
                  2.309988901947666,
                  1.6271896987260992,
                  3.0381262837384826,
                  1.8833439646946875,
                  2.2808247786241482,
                  4.001781138059854,
                  3.327563619046911
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.147316707451114,
                  3.345505329459557,
                  10.984966213801052,
                  5.565431468435425,
                  27.0718763908127,
                  3.331872595873229,
                  3.2339333066026654,
                  2.898578484108726,
                  7.306127788484703,
                  3.578837768945852,
                  13.61369806885984,
                  4.185041134572365,
                  2.552105347257009,
                  4.271290701634523,
                  4.644138020744405,
                  8.101898044577364,
                  4.707631815249459,
                  2.7497107572454813,
                  3.224323436142348,
                  3.3810268425956997,
                  2.5984657102999638,
                  2.914534006884459,
                  3.0779701844454106,
                  3.298398263301115
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44996120410986323,
              "rpss": 0.006851075700323617,
              "brier_below": 0.22629973786491797,
              "bss_below": 0.0037562012708524106,
              "brier_above": 0.22366146655683963,
              "bss_above": 0.009962946379999948,
              "crps": 5.6175766319993485,
              "crpss": 0.034237222879310525,
              "crps_fair": 5.406736434569044,
              "crpss_fair": 0.030070737595724206
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.6152979155183317,
                  0.5717110262876339,
                  0.5168518533243294,
                  0.3753466256777211,
                  0.40617401200860137,
                  0.4053408100141507,
                  0.36199631040364266,
                  0.4416230572903454,
                  0.5157403946891261,
                  0.33799274400713675,
                  0.5929311257138073,
                  0.4400348505810493,
                  0.3702878293412808,
                  0.40745106054784236,
                  0.35952154142202175,
                  0.4970138651347322,
                  0.4835500495015518,
                  0.4257276252690961,
                  0.4066597754023331,
                  0.4335702308873011,
                  0.4472353492295399,
                  0.3933158960641296,
                  0.40286790405497297,
                  0.3877828683402152
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5271012360586466,
                  0.5237026442993877,
                  0.47266510161074154,
                  0.4183814440705189,
                  0.5463137956783317,
                  0.3948310621955931,
                  0.406559211835899,
                  0.4283146824891483,
                  0.49352864176266736,
                  0.37069796075288813,
                  0.544586430341869,
                  0.4920445637631002,
                  0.3565574427493965,
                  0.3975457708734299,
                  0.3515003838097367,
                  0.5287991675877444,
                  0.4852899981103904,
                  0.42598321042574033,
                  0.5180054420460954,
                  0.46522910237657855,
                  0.5021412600717393,
                  0.4343952633284925,
                  0.40487741793271564,
                  0.39251245424822917
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4746154360129051,
                  0.4465622408595637,
                  0.17746746143103045,
                  0.27179219572166574,
                  0.083237820900926,
                  0.2445381677637137,
                  0.25735949203593195,
                  0.24633060008261204,
                  0.13207801117252357,
                  0.10618821288590664,
                  0.15364364960200683,
                  0.10584257543448726,
                  0.2054350369334502,
                  0.21695147715196597,
                  0.1883386691584208,
                  0.13198214836020886,
                  0.19229045945757603,
                  0.2660595137535248,
                  0.31882920141141297,
                  0.11011705753038237,
                  0.34162432476851196,
                  0.2951059617207405,
                  0.18200112508483735,
                  0.2405911096233703
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4061182447841931,
                  0.40271965302493434,
                  0.159291887101158,
                  0.2832363680142811,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.2529029231506273,
                  0.2730640226173197,
                  0.24952665149579165,
                  0.12265985005988321,
                  0.12767684799994297,
                  0.1218471520520865,
                  0.12515848079062122,
                  0.20389895401113928,
                  0.22223880236089205,
                  0.1594727085269456,
                  0.12431961025338657,
                  0.19935641299605145,
                  0.2639725231877702,
                  0.3970224507716421,
                  0.12181436140512257,
                  0.3811582687972861,
                  0.3134122720540391,
                  0.18796271335346026,
                  0.23816938425362752
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14068247729374245,
                  0.12514878321906625,
                  0.3393843937961251,
                  0.10355442997122531,
                  0.32293618841319005,
                  0.16080264034312688,
                  0.10463681851965632,
                  0.1952924561076149,
                  0.38366238685961446,
                  0.23180453061593115,
                  0.4392874811090921,
                  0.3341922783678506,
                  0.1648527908182183,
                  0.1904995822282006,
                  0.1711828724609884,
                  0.36503172148245366,
                  0.2912595919886808,
                  0.15966811068080908,
                  0.08783057562279968,
                  0.3234531761159902,
                  0.10561102375134453,
                  0.09820993338015031,
                  0.22086677857537143,
                  0.14719175787121563
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.31337321450958355,
                  0.1351450760562379,
                  0.4253308044038784,
                  0.1419281390449658,
                  0.13349518921857934,
                  0.17878803099335663,
                  0.3708687917027841,
                  0.24302111275294516,
                  0.4227392782897825,
                  0.3668860829724789,
                  0.15265848873825724,
                  0.17530696851253785,
                  0.1920276752827911,
                  0.40447955733435775,
                  0.285933585114339,
                  0.16201068723797019,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.343414740971456,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.1209829912744533,
                  0.21691470457925532,
                  0.1543430699946016
                ],
                "crps": [
                  3.45166557325611,
                  3.3642966086302852,
                  6.83293588170337,
                  1.2937728772517687,
                  24.17910535224037,
                  2.0643838603007705,
                  1.0167494003149613,
                  3.0149099660843413,
                  6.24964208192775,
                  2.5100897543145537,
                  17.38457473251443,
                  3.7008858363577186,
                  2.7815661114605907,
                  4.245868973742833,
                  2.0110831113906547,
                  7.208638519255911,
                  6.785383764899158,
                  1.7844111929135202,
                  1.205269902066671,
                  3.0625232455320797,
                  1.633415410027097,
                  1.8141578204677327,
                  4.299693829532965,
                  2.064996045482588
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.674920399403526,
                  2.637398212409991,
                  5.54786431635389,
                  2.076207700785368,
                  34.28249991078239,
                  2.0856628172110057,
                  2.3437315827679472,
                  2.6602769523695353,
                  5.95174143690428,
                  2.5420943861841945,
                  15.72510138242277,
                  4.179451182954188,
                  2.085216845411654,
                  4.0937047249597684,
                  2.2900971059547115,
                  7.841787160003542,
                  6.476073885230757,
                  2.4043541490534586,
                  2.7661997358793817,
                  3.668076251614806,
                  2.404003843392272,
                  2.7090584880115154,
                  2.3942251507817365,
                  2.2230392708520568
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  3.2900928904023465,
                  3.128908111402894,
                  6.697338191355622,
                  1.1789179584860465,
                  23.89710236560198,
                  1.9010014600292566,
                  0.9363252794325969,
                  2.798217078302263,
                  6.028223249139607,
                  2.3103512646968354,
                  17.255817981474006,
                  3.506944378564066,
                  2.5752090033735655,
                  4.010165314560232,
                  1.9231063523906546,
                  6.92338632470695,
                  6.607412620248921,
                  1.6370427097159965,
                  1.0769993966761602,
                  2.8691822951811825,
                  1.4717755657378484,
                  1.6612167963865405,
                  3.991020360194093,
                  1.8072442887533766
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.4548094454165224,
                  2.4172161936748946,
                  5.333194544027777,
                  1.8549628212328,
                  34.12225179677904,
                  1.8644358450759109,
                  2.122993377234286,
                  2.4401382645813325,
                  5.73783658336709,
                  2.3217318677782153,
                  15.529706680297545,
                  3.9621897190875477,
                  1.8639890286330005,
                  3.876280862498442,
                  2.06925731997254,
                  7.631461938517677,
                  6.263162085572975,
                  2.1837307589862482,
                  2.5462616594235836,
                  3.4498462746206284,
                  2.1833797898673692,
                  2.4890121894953605,
                  2.173582577005678,
                  2.0020724813943143
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44150103002962054,
              "rpss": 0.026240619076840832,
              "brier_below": 0.22454091453573646,
              "bss_below": 0.012642322030633757,
              "brier_above": 0.21696011581635244,
              "bss_above": 0.03992517273428242,
              "crps": 4.748334160486176,
              "crpss": 0.08143269463103464,
              "crps_fair": 4.561791718200543,
              "crpss_fair": 0.07915068984301521
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.45224810213164507,
                  0.4976473625190694,
                  0.38455307209331124,
                  0.4175140852984864,
                  0.46741485976601765,
                  0.3840213600569024,
                  0.39534056927846095,
                  0.4463930676583124
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5137612852478612,
                  0.49705237444422495,
                  0.4061007445054705,
                  0.44669599826620215,
                  0.4481977901053744,
                  0.3995579224080249,
                  0.3906212765735246,
                  0.4961503793308776
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3631565841842588,
                  0.3826077374565708,
                  0.13688703336447047,
                  0.29383700091593157,
                  0.13386353151830713,
                  0.2074096385241351,
                  0.1461776272845216,
                  0.34785814109138824
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.4021405089154269,
                  0.37912161362031016,
                  0.14453244502842236,
                  0.30843984040656025,
                  0.12589433667964914,
                  0.20523722232274816,
                  0.16125753035770213,
                  0.37806000678348534
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.08909153478371849,
                  0.11503964278466056,
                  0.2476660319417269,
                  0.12367709660420564,
                  0.3335513105393335,
                  0.17661172476979925,
                  0.2491629446499573,
                  0.09853494243484029
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11162079604670827,
                  0.11793077940987547,
                  0.26156829250705416,
                  0.1382561728111389,
                  0.3223034355309777,
                  0.1943207050116538,
                  0.22936374487601524,
                  0.11809039116878442
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.7818856092813378,
                  3.1530445254165897,
                  4.062416903727908,
                  1.9793878987220117,
                  8.770216685409766,
                  2.3070276031547965,
                  5.378509125224102,
                  1.906119932038329
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  3.2326234694826756,
                  3.444075545420181,
                  4.664597692983636,
                  2.8485585347508224,
                  7.734730772827549,
                  3.0019126203171878,
                  4.262232370432686,
                  3.1582949283763986
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.7158916010666894,
                  3.0374960156808237,
                  3.9693099920009214,
                  1.9086428036739669,
                  8.680216740919002,
                  2.220539693909686,
                  5.203200859839368,
                  1.8307672942614774
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  3.000358402837215,
                  3.2118104787747215,
                  4.432332626338175,
                  2.616293468105364,
                  7.502465706182092,
                  2.7696475536717284,
                  4.029967303787228,
                  2.9260298617309384
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43064155985027575,
              "rpss": 0.042523466810407196,
              "brier_below": 0.25147466179244793,
              "bss_below": 0.044133101054455004,
              "brier_above": 0.17916690356353027,
              "bss_above": 0.040255057121633464,
              "crps": 3.667326035371855,
              "crpss": 0.0930044591332636,
              "crps_fair": 3.570758125168992,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06306688858647902
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4787804970317363,
                  0.44361958434908594,
                  0.44937184115622636,
                  0.4068195060706757,
                  0.45167232330564655,
                  0.37109174189245747,
                  0.3426900354353162,
                  0.444143721996869
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5473323450214652,
                  0.45950886455856493,
                  0.47310563766181457,
                  0.45125841650166265,
                  0.43752409736537534,
                  0.3769753190502442,
                  0.34410807327585485,
                  0.4522036283839493
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3838551773474477,
                  0.3419291509283263,
                  0.10015107158902803,
                  0.3016942329643541,
                  0.14906855593221507,
                  0.18788716211984244,
                  0.10083245878793226,
                  0.3220365502495378
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.43622124715583027,
                  0.34839776669293,
                  0.11202969533110177,
                  0.327320640209203,
                  0.141320167462079,
                  0.17256239240732962,
                  0.1394661409403721,
                  0.32190666733284123
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09492533739465225,
                  0.10169045226538394,
                  0.3492207472315406,
                  0.10512528848915535,
                  0.3026037547364981,
                  0.18320458098089287,
                  0.2418575864548576,
                  0.12210718660760057
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.11111111773384953,
                  0.36107591750173545,
                  0.12393779386708581,
                  0.2962039166743374,
                  0.20441292982746392,
                  0.2046419354790828,
                  0.1302969774886234
                ],
                "crps": [
                  1.3980857524497334,
                  2.0683180679659503,
                  5.1190771460697135,
                  1.2775313982408532,
                  9.598229358794448,
                  1.5106377144116354,
                  5.081011346357517,
                  1.688216852977571
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  2.5726443205176754,
                  2.4663219929375395,
                  5.77433068113816,
                  2.2030894884274272,
                  8.536670815597677,
                  2.154154910592676,
                  3.6369598104064913,
                  2.3797284899665048
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  1.3470506869608008,
                  1.9702812239649097,
                  5.020500696825403,
                  1.2220013536940322,
                  9.519320485697605,
                  1.444332551455209,
                  4.8748123372937195,
                  1.6199440607415745
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  2.366231987002849,
                  2.259909659422711,
                  5.567918347623332,
                  1.9966771549125995,
                  8.330258482082852,
                  1.9477425770778494,
                  3.4305474768916633,
                  2.1733161564516763
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42352365640475165,
              "rpss": 0.043429254412968854,
              "brier_below": 0.23593179498983546,
              "bss_below": 0.05590685060706879,
              "brier_above": 0.18759186677007267,
              "bss_above": 0.027260175157503674,
              "crps": 3.4676384546584273,
              "crpss": 0.06670702156594166,
              "crps_fair": 3.3772804245791566,
              "crpss_fair": 0.03755827303741077
            }
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "ONDJ": {
      "tag": "init09_ONDJ",
      "methods": {
        "mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.20232537787909832,
            "training": [
              0.19220258557238737,
              0.22426429841362683,
              0.1761114684169084,
              0.24756292698124213,
              0.3010652174942978,
              0.21274235170061095,
              0.1985826711993264,
              0.1585640126121963,
              0.18907158405669905,
              0.1901888902099417,
              0.19510806350222135,
              0.19388579899813807,
              0.21249705610800448,
              0.23422814373432696,
              0.14521643813275167,
              0.15677310812323256,
              0.19541900917887617,
              0.1737476683127198,
              0.20720718470329014,
              0.22190477092652464,
              0.1994992535388525,
              0.19019651281376965,
              0.2199348812555291,
              0.2198351731128859
            ],
            "test": 0.2101742597420205
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4514601259804884,
                  0.3765021137292147,
                  0.4555223377431187,
                  0.38893807033365146,
                  0.2146363625705465,
                  0.41747372229423363,
                  0.4166311379059766,
                  0.5532608111859987,
                  0.3645784427231489,
                  0.4237162452811895,
                  0.4295950601929255,
                  0.40193025606429283,
                  0.46435155415825335,
                  0.4137770786500807,
                  0.5819708751147536,
                  0.5479377724552057,
                  0.4039971544344762,
                  0.6511840538543521,
                  0.4196756255486035,
                  0.3980139509876954,
                  0.4315355731549168,
                  0.4878559349836646,
                  0.34124533380614536,
                  0.4125513351557642
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4395210979875425,
                  0.470103716624794,
                  0.41696991681095497,
                  0.4787026031452831,
                  0.5456974441052049,
                  0.4718891913819794,
                  0.47528498703411814,
                  0.4682080369739733,
                  0.3831343647949888,
                  0.4088195356935795,
                  0.4015935093605737,
                  0.39471244953026,
                  0.4905254593905998,
                  0.4972930203135432,
                  0.44542605260977947,
                  0.45801231637095624,
                  0.41221699134066647,
                  0.5190225092696747,
                  0.45873316132537956,
                  0.4177409102960471,
                  0.44718476065736323,
                  0.46325505114638965,
                  0.44214927012968386,
                  0.47013731140410536
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2903116345937852,
                  0.20029938952777301,
                  0.2804418071974038,
                  0.2721751696373467,
                  0.03518468145023406,
                  0.20354690148288906,
                  0.1954306921458099,
                  0.1889580560616849,
                  0.2056845102242493,
                  0.20161175522819025,
                  0.24565679306701324,
                  0.2012624499478702,
                  0.3581802181084902,
                  0.10552664619089555,
                  0.3961939192373261,
                  0.18075193316944937,
                  0.17964993866107187,
                  0.45565798519860096,
                  0.20968811053409067,
                  0.20575374006321098,
                  0.12247529873632033,
                  0.14531016504049732,
                  0.09820374608563115,
                  0.3095049769255001
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.26733852590825796,
                  0.2537256337025866,
                  0.25705411420017604,
                  0.3357734196011123,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.24514724598143975,
                  0.22681741549383455,
                  0.13433843965721864,
                  0.20847648854308581,
                  0.21955850215575037,
                  0.23050568160830917,
                  0.18056439949521058,
                  0.3677097897916764,
                  0.12508152488088367,
                  0.31011998366589516,
                  0.1537918174661276,
                  0.19438540787371786,
                  0.391713087904114,
                  0.23671767734449203,
                  0.22863730285774397,
                  0.13116571704967142,
                  0.1350144958485548,
                  0.15057377542642655,
                  0.33304615388212466
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16114848709549795,
                  0.1762027214005435,
                  0.1750805261931236,
                  0.1167628988422831,
                  0.1794516776342842,
                  0.21392682226900273,
                  0.22120044937637362,
                  0.3643027580322022,
                  0.15889393018682077,
                  0.22210448775042044,
                  0.18393826319542683,
                  0.20066780481042812,
                  0.10617132868468515,
                  0.3082504378503144,
                  0.1857769511844865,
                  0.3671858439294247,
                  0.22434721767110208,
                  0.19552606855692894,
                  0.20998751474671615,
                  0.19226020674104508,
                  0.3090602819373165,
                  0.3425457799978109,
                  0.24304158920114635,
                  0.10304635450226746
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17218257207928467,
                  0.21637808292220725,
                  0.15991580261077884,
                  0.14292918354417064,
                  0.4247144528307517,
                  0.22674194540053969,
                  0.24846757154028362,
                  0.3338695973167546,
                  0.17465787625190304,
                  0.18926103353782903,
                  0.17108782775226475,
                  0.21414805003504944,
                  0.12281566959892326,
                  0.37221149543265947,
                  0.13530606894388414,
                  0.3042204989048285,
                  0.21783158346694867,
                  0.12730942136556073,
                  0.22201548398088763,
                  0.18910360743830318,
                  0.3160190436076916,
                  0.3282405552978347,
                  0.29157549470325717,
                  0.13709115752198053
                ],
                "crps": [
                  32.10537462669873,
                  35.79059422481896,
                  30.154426232760134,
                  26.90295461047111,
                  176.20442568410058,
                  32.55228939672281,
                  35.719874986796945,
                  47.64516069479287,
                  21.129692443573393,
                  31.844827637045736,
                  28.949921762301898,
                  28.440920469680222,
                  34.261662963018324,
                  54.07090357290345,
                  42.002458673836664,
                  49.841327052672575,
                  33.36491920650275,
                  61.03754533719111,
                  40.83844857208515,
                  29.111093219387246,
                  36.820551659700946,
                  34.13150549759138,
                  38.325859586449184,
                  27.945990626952657
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.742925516629697,
                  40.77336668818828,
                  28.09618525185972,
                  37.986090541506,
                  251.4927342153348,
                  40.320321374030684,
                  40.93726570534917,
                  40.54786455186527,
                  22.988890072347303,
                  28.257992147944407,
                  24.96559897910219,
                  25.682377420488514,
                  37.65656723862455,
                  67.35667251514191,
                  29.987287831298126,
                  43.08507304266908,
                  30.254448434401816,
                  47.83890739301917,
                  44.7070520085121,
                  29.018165136591247,
                  36.90426542672519,
                  32.258006168915756,
                  38.015712600516835,
                  34.40598130175283
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  30.531857385990385,
                  33.84358206871457,
                  28.6487630179844,
                  25.368784944742618,
                  174.6487089958474,
                  31.174310829416907,
                  34.106423872878956,
                  46.15854168603851,
                  19.79123344209629,
                  30.00106268488266,
                  27.208439998195335,
                  26.76159569832825,
                  32.905344563729685,
                  52.449957550067694,
                  40.496718716771326,
                  48.651056250210345,
                  31.568249093306534,
                  59.4467324175054,
                  39.273491495632584,
                  27.628925611672805,
                  35.13950793077735,
                  32.5788664508392,
                  36.33360559667596,
                  26.63979815013215
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  29.83323453860368,
                  38.88077881844172,
                  26.1795875687868,
                  36.08822373966346,
                  249.9992360568139,
                  38.426875463916396,
                  39.04498825040786,
                  38.65484959473932,
                  21.062619481737414,
                  26.341700917326186,
                  23.043072155361166,
                  23.761208131674348,
                  35.758076339617475,
                  65.51443181552213,
                  28.07427178189838,
                  41.19686340465451,
                  28.3419383709928,
                  45.95970122915301,
                  42.821914300357065,
                  27.103313627542445,
                  35.0043497136804,
                  30.34929072242817,
                  36.1179019010588,
                  32.50133398998652
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43534753867952897,
              "rpss": 0.03935082836414616,
              "brier_below": 0.22031085493813893,
              "bss_below": 0.02772571354341724,
              "brier_above": 0.21503668340790213,
              "bss_above": 0.05097625572791098,
              "crps": 42.04969703075229,
              "crpss": 0.07010821192894579,
              "crps_fair": 40.47314826885155,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06605793818565564,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.007756,
                    0.12005,
                    0.27245,
                    0.313406,
                    0.200545,
                    0.076882,
                    0.008406,
                    0.000505,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.093,
                    0.153,
                    0.2588,
                    0.3566,
                    0.443,
                    0.5349,
                    0.6291,
                    0.7369,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.1915,
                    0.1827,
                    0.3152,
                    0.3534,
                    0.4101,
                    0.5195,
                    0.5395,
                    0.4457,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.001237,
                    0.064311,
                    0.30461,
                    0.285286,
                    0.191426,
                    0.090466,
                    0.047894,
                    0.014771,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0869,
                    0.1641,
                    0.2605,
                    0.3555,
                    0.4421,
                    0.5392,
                    0.6464,
                    0.7346,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.068,
                    0.2248,
                    0.264,
                    0.3298,
                    0.3651,
                    0.4963,
                    0.6657,
                    0.7619,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46057561019100624,
                  0.31125055652673683,
                  0.3851481971639931,
                  0.34558940425786205,
                  0.15238162970086933,
                  0.3525124017844471,
                  0.31093270990895877,
                  0.5810710614456187,
                  0.34234796628002334,
                  0.3048275973148796,
                  0.3655919549357095,
                  0.40426156885597664,
                  0.49504167142964217,
                  0.3734259676426949,
                  0.4747517882905808,
                  0.4753907696492896,
                  0.3955137864185284,
                  0.6014266131175579,
                  0.4267932040849862,
                  0.3092556536750848,
                  0.44433394293300854,
                  0.46842936147758957,
                  0.193148603930156,
                  0.46098634875522876
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48190550000573357,
                  0.4447116445242348,
                  0.39122568096409477,
                  0.5314846969938783,
                  0.5463137956783318,
                  0.5246370465888529,
                  0.46799085520133354,
                  0.4301833029814578,
                  0.3790308872213789,
                  0.3760295940535084,
                  0.36571087481860687,
                  0.4071905851059967,
                  0.5346883511508412,
                  0.5378418848789392,
                  0.39758042315298353,
                  0.42189702405901625,
                  0.3563103597455807,
                  0.5447213097764745,
                  0.4681166137581803,
                  0.3573140644587983,
                  0.4646548700920834,
                  0.443550454531998,
                  0.4892057891747856,
                  0.5235515129376195
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.34337423267617867,
                  0.08769724369429077,
                  0.2660859878363274,
                  0.2731059332568524,
                  0.018832275999522606,
                  0.2732064568251115,
                  0.24301596730854486,
                  0.22808012992814816,
                  0.2063975286358503,
                  0.07453610004794474,
                  0.21164639766983495,
                  0.14440173270605325,
                  0.3988264137590547,
                  0.07543201398370866,
                  0.30537258355775115,
                  0.14460704130774887,
                  0.15381628052805785,
                  0.4697813384309217,
                  0.10950863106846909,
                  0.09022310142702245,
                  0.09807075018408215,
                  0.14915141062773984,
                  0.01723507638781729,
                  0.37120309628214615
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3519612903999631,
                  0.14955802970751203,
                  0.2601871534110402,
                  0.4105017057194249,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.39624369138262994,
                  0.3443603210875784,
                  0.12682101259329223,
                  0.2099793080182162,
                  0.1262687532682766,
                  0.2039124110213452,
                  0.13844673123024703,
                  0.4137053598763879,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.264430544340142,
                  0.12679414888912763,
                  0.17861675021890278,
                  0.42373831850202115,
                  0.13731870409752048,
                  0.14687327559600188,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.14271630161606835,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.40256852166316615
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.11720137137838717,
                  0.22355331119869903,
                  0.1190622022180998,
                  0.07248347138565299,
                  0.13354934867826254,
                  0.07930594494693276,
                  0.06791674186929982,
                  0.35299092821712974,
                  0.1359504363533977,
                  0.23029149425611162,
                  0.1539455520070674,
                  0.25985983619970077,
                  0.09621525009137148,
                  0.2979939553661968,
                  0.16937919689318587,
                  0.33078373351922236,
                  0.24169750717449923,
                  0.131645271569763,
                  0.3172845803456395,
                  0.2190325492244505,
                  0.3462632035492164,
                  0.3192779580928019,
                  0.17591352566769594,
                  0.08978324761302356
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1299442096057706,
                  0.29515361481672286,
                  0.13103852755305465,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4253308044038785,
                  0.12839335520622294,
                  0.12363053411375528,
                  0.3033622903881658,
                  0.16905157920316274,
                  0.24976084078523186,
                  0.16179846379726168,
                  0.26874385387575,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4168588936044859,
                  0.13314987881284177,
                  0.2951028751698888,
                  0.1776936095266779,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3307979096606601,
                  0.21044078886279646,
                  0.34367187881763017,
                  0.3008341529159299,
                  0.3682227979003325,
                  0.12098299127445337
                ],
                "crps": [
                  40.51704967845059,
                  43.8688386750194,
                  29.989398657013073,
                  29.82516773240812,
                  237.9852326602631,
                  34.78024482374885,
                  27.899312003972742,
                  56.02199587363907,
                  26.089818590768573,
                  30.365580605510992,
                  30.855594610770872,
                  38.129747183245634,
                  46.977123008226904,
                  75.58733969556316,
                  42.270513924587824,
                  52.04777139646754,
                  39.491743693321524,
                  75.8919275680534,
                  67.00298063416766,
                  30.58165293548965,
                  51.8717223293211,
                  38.106339556185745,
                  52.51075876779111,
                  38.30676306401213
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  44.818392114890194,
                  49.555903283487574,
                  30.675020158925083,
                  53.94868480057281,
                  354.7381681248423,
                  56.058574286857095,
                  40.89964859325192,
                  41.88472808521825,
                  29.960563688835595,
                  35.58986358112118,
                  28.725216146584827,
                  36.06632699048634,
                  54.26159742058326,
                  101.57427145824482,
                  32.681017126544084,
                  48.797086589560294,
                  29.95440091470073,
                  69.17206276014227,
                  74.3649830088615,
                  31.00618674826232,
                  52.67156510791567,
                  36.916850791140064,
                  58.698649883439046,
                  47.73367692323706
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  38.70268082371095,
                  41.16627802104718,
                  28.116439724832293,
                  27.922814812846056,
                  235.98219429113558,
                  32.97931712271912,
                  26.009025972241297,
                  54.24350697286836,
                  24.35453116940528,
                  28.44260273510708,
                  28.78467182298089,
                  35.92265125259772,
                  45.29603687783916,
                  73.53114140185568,
                  40.25267220468036,
                  50.472560715491745,
                  37.33810787844102,
                  74.18233608495956,
                  65.10720359667975,
                  28.619528601518603,
                  49.81180071365986,
                  36.306576543378775,
                  49.49195850227781,
                  36.697145136778545
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.28827155959033,
                  47.03475528721915,
                  28.118112914314686,
                  51.435856466268575,
                  352.79501684228853,
                  53.54974195536778,
                  38.362106175221676,
                  39.349051348043986,
                  27.402303306971245,
                  33.04226475208313,
                  26.16461609134499,
                  33.51963055426904,
                  51.74936172381692,
                  99.15164309867102,
                  30.1279091186148,
                  46.27450144046246,
                  27.396128860915656,
                  66.68806658106446,
                  71.89082190601232,
                  28.449906713101416,
                  50.156317986314725,
                  34.37176519545435,
                  56.19481769512508,
                  45.209077740680264
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3931245154071012,
              "rpss": 0.13327936134354657,
              "brier_below": 0.19806698850538249,
              "bss_below": 0.1260038338563283,
              "brier_above": 0.19505752574232535,
              "bss_above": 0.14054423689554474,
              "crps": 51.54060906949994,
              "crpss": 0.14143906615934188,
              "crps_fair": 49.57224095746053,
              "crpss_fair": 0.13832491701169158,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.01256,
                    0.154081,
                    0.277418,
                    0.274411,
                    0.194342,
                    0.079645,
                    0.007543,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0914,
                    0.1481,
                    0.2572,
                    0.3571,
                    0.446,
                    0.5383,
                    0.6265,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0347,
                    0.0928,
                    0.2405,
                    0.3809,
                    0.5206,
                    0.6973,
                    0.5869,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000723,
                    0.081085,
                    0.318057,
                    0.264713,
                    0.148947,
                    0.103537,
                    0.054793,
                    0.028144,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0744,
                    0.1638,
                    0.2579,
                    0.3552,
                    0.4442,
                    0.5395,
                    0.6499,
                    0.7354,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.134,
                    0.2266,
                    0.2951,
                    0.3725,
                    0.6018,
                    0.8268,
                    0.8535,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4100330397468575,
                  0.4178170282145457,
                  0.3974558339800802,
                  0.337630005422543,
                  0.4637666642750165,
                  0.4036752997736101,
                  0.34690641518841137,
                  0.612058827795232
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.417659603071558,
                  0.42114839455105046,
                  0.5533032498091346,
                  0.4473076683297933,
                  0.4625683790499464,
                  0.41678104095296603,
                  0.5158924310312171,
                  0.42890011506153497
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22998622394133517,
                  0.21931939584182186,
                  0.09853824852478273,
                  0.23699517510856066,
                  0.24172249210294483,
                  0.22684850863073103,
                  0.11717360488027233,
                  0.2589514404013338
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23401701276525544,
                  0.2189631813755131,
                  0.11111111773384957,
                  0.3104494178140245,
                  0.2504465951343465,
                  0.24187001637124075,
                  0.1452369658843232,
                  0.14026665735763472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.18004682023198315,
                  0.19849763115472654,
                  0.2989175593468795,
                  0.10063484053180966,
                  0.22204417000523308,
                  0.17682680158574896,
                  0.22973279563175236,
                  0.3531073664400346
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18364259720487727,
                  0.20218521675843326,
                  0.4421920927416047,
                  0.1368582657800341,
                  0.2121217857216985,
                  0.17491103304162547,
                  0.37065543860496475,
                  0.28863344582864725
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.882942034326764,
                  25.127220388255026,
                  77.82139526240418,
                  21.122983162228696,
                  30.677938084962637,
                  27.508149149110245,
                  70.27080757148485,
                  52.50481950976875
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.991938244042803,
                  27.156682952757507,
                  116.99857569796765,
                  25.68956435022059,
                  33.64072492622825,
                  25.925245138455825,
                  110.35729933852919,
                  38.12777562837381
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.110206202585648,
                  24.404841885106695,
                  76.83147442957264,
                  20.39572704014022,
                  30.02516434805148,
                  26.64056113065847,
                  69.34312159779688,
                  51.835729380371156
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.186278935163696,
                  25.3510236438784,
                  115.19291638908858,
                  23.883905041341485,
                  31.83506561734916,
                  24.11958582957673,
                  108.55164002965007,
                  36.322116319494704
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.423667889299537,
              "rpss": 0.07485006426913621,
              "brier_below": 0.2036918861789728,
              "bss_below": 0.01381409721948601,
              "brier_above": 0.21997599811602098,
              "bss_above": 0.12499597568266796,
              "crps": 41.48953189531765,
              "crpss": 0.17819689031351826,
              "crps_fair": 40.69835325178539,
              "crpss_fair": 0.16396695423894858,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.013316,
                    0.115073,
                    0.104039,
                    0.281679,
                    0.315236,
                    0.145521,
                    0.024293,
                    0.000843,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0897,
                    0.1478,
                    0.2563,
                    0.3545,
                    0.45,
                    0.543,
                    0.6212,
                    0.7125,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0292,
                    0.2203,
                    0.3299,
                    0.3211,
                    0.3653,
                    0.4983,
                    0.7006,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    8.3e-05,
                    0.162467,
                    0.333591,
                    0.264601,
                    0.10545,
                    0.041765,
                    0.060735,
                    0.031308,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0926,
                    0.1741,
                    0.2509,
                    0.3409,
                    0.4437,
                    0.5512,
                    0.6529,
                    0.7229,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.3311,
                    0.3245,
                    0.3587,
                    0.3964,
                    0.7438,
                    0.9833,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3908923717698385,
                  0.3096283833615878,
                  0.1496552037868875,
                  0.35872193421532034,
                  0.39871394469932037,
                  0.42245837331159486,
                  0.13689417121795427,
                  0.40176012247601006
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.37168678111891346,
                  0.40830734552865355,
                  0.5514955812695821,
                  0.4122454531264281,
                  0.5073582366943469,
                  0.42296825285318396,
                  0.5480141639602464,
                  0.3433109747399186
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15496621237364988,
                  0.23623872758029213,
                  0.023638409164090886,
                  0.23657135799841794,
                  0.31926267486651033,
                  0.29494798072287864,
                  0.016736965256264332,
                  0.23543893931527032
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13710719771935653,
                  0.28966613712444955,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.26920158326246535,
                  0.3962471388287118,
                  0.3008762153923436,
                  0.11169127068708512,
                  0.1645095887434772
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2359261577952093,
                  0.07338966819719009,
                  0.12601677790538382,
                  0.12215058664431265,
                  0.07945128440552507,
                  0.12751040876411723,
                  0.12015719137663901,
                  0.16632118313820307
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23457958118988842,
                  0.11864122692593004,
                  0.44038442452528814,
                  0.14304388402215332,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.12209205536551032,
                  0.43632285498898205,
                  0.17880139376069062
                ],
                "crps": [
                  32.495795162169195,
                  22.982142147605575,
                  71.95562345659175,
                  26.329729238779638,
                  34.57931591244234,
                  32.76393623096747,
                  85.4687049852803,
                  32.35076767424963
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.91091499200625,
                  33.39002587790927,
                  163.85395380251938,
                  30.317658032788415,
                  46.77514464531494,
                  32.16405989901042,
                  178.02911191569987,
                  27.619913058663098
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.496360154324794,
                  22.084227393445556,
                  70.56447797537439,
                  25.425463674853848,
                  33.72570926768659,
                  31.79446117334799,
                  84.2480103421689,
                  31.521874680092424
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.513828107781922,
                  30.99293899368493,
                  161.45686691829505,
                  27.920571148564072,
                  44.378057761090616,
                  29.766973014786096,
                  175.6320250314755,
                  25.22282617443876
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3210905631048142,
              "rpss": 0.2795383343670479,
              "brier_below": 0.1897251584096718,
              "bss_below": 0.14749914088021698,
              "brier_above": 0.13136540727832252,
              "bss_above": 0.41123973590012375,
              "crps": 42.36575185101074,
              "crpss": 0.3747453681899383,
              "crps_fair": 41.357573082661816,
              "crpss_fair": 0.3672391400078956,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.034144,
                    0.211332,
                    0.086349,
                    0.295447,
                    0.29189,
                    0.074529,
                    0.006308,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0897,
                    0.1374,
                    0.2607,
                    0.3588,
                    0.4442,
                    0.538,
                    0.6119,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0093,
                    0.2874,
                    0.4451,
                    0.466,
                    0.4786,
                    0.69,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.11097,
                    0.320449,
                    0.273194,
                    0.048431,
                    0.041038,
                    0.129102,
                    0.076816,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.172,
                    0.2541,
                    0.3369,
                    0.4404,
                    0.5611,
                    0.6568,
                    0.7233,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1096,
                    0.0854,
                    0.1607,
                    0.2514,
                    0.8888,
                    0.9848,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "ls": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.2840755333963568,
            "training": [
              0.2606151926996345,
              0.3227786793388413,
              0.2543686266722623,
              0.3079159236334402,
              0.3577817012199335,
              0.278863264883015,
              0.28363385102025085,
              0.2671597729912235,
              0.27296269848504284,
              0.28272069090563484,
              0.2854833681988352,
              0.2938881787184362,
              0.2737020362282952,
              0.30372147346753564,
              0.23098815259319033,
              0.2601681340763399,
              0.2868886447675622,
              0.23536731987176124,
              0.2798905423394434,
              0.31110782240789897,
              0.2842733086359311,
              0.2812349138206718,
              0.3262673664135031,
              0.2760311381238806
            ],
            "test": 0.3050863618094098
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4635620539008143,
                  0.3844721349725514,
                  0.45788611035221644,
                  0.4242626680574401,
                  0.23437153729012927,
                  0.45217646216832624,
                  0.43434508410108985,
                  0.5113345778202715,
                  0.3594433466370003,
                  0.40892217803666353,
                  0.41468124188852434,
                  0.3754578214057071,
                  0.49934253140792784,
                  0.4154784040041614,
                  0.5643613443937948,
                  0.5106828946301835,
                  0.3906995255103475,
                  0.680865557267228,
                  0.42313662658325246,
                  0.39377307628543057,
                  0.4168590742789619,
                  0.46514131680115706,
                  0.3402590356350121,
                  0.450902418447522
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4395210979875425,
                  0.470103716624794,
                  0.41696991681095497,
                  0.4787026031452831,
                  0.5456974441052049,
                  0.4718891913819794,
                  0.47528498703411814,
                  0.4682080369739733,
                  0.3831343647949888,
                  0.4088195356935795,
                  0.4015935093605737,
                  0.39471244953026,
                  0.4905254593905998,
                  0.4972930203135432,
                  0.44542605260977947,
                  0.45801231637095624,
                  0.41221699134066647,
                  0.5190225092696747,
                  0.45873316132537956,
                  0.4177409102960471,
                  0.44718476065736323,
                  0.46325505114638965,
                  0.44214927012968386,
                  0.47013731140410536
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3057162465563298,
                  0.20456965265559687,
                  0.2893217495905977,
                  0.30946402579432386,
                  0.03924102143269403,
                  0.23838927695166648,
                  0.21199064393995698,
                  0.1499498658882727,
                  0.20193454999923244,
                  0.1947030877283392,
                  0.2361505428516818,
                  0.17497489045892564,
                  0.39465554854646884,
                  0.09344433946850231,
                  0.3904022236069695,
                  0.15136618647625408,
                  0.17222613970537273,
                  0.4951950859388626,
                  0.20666844717742597,
                  0.20775067885304785,
                  0.10267765644355385,
                  0.1191542844715208,
                  0.09913356029201627,
                  0.3492981613560406
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.26733852590825796,
                  0.2537256337025866,
                  0.25705411420017604,
                  0.3357734196011123,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.24514724598143975,
                  0.22681741549383455,
                  0.13433843965721864,
                  0.20847648854308581,
                  0.21955850215575037,
                  0.23050568160830917,
                  0.18056439949521058,
                  0.3677097897916764,
                  0.12508152488088367,
                  0.31011998366589516,
                  0.1537918174661276,
                  0.19438540787371786,
                  0.391713087904114,
                  0.23671767734449203,
                  0.22863730285774397,
                  0.13116571704967142,
                  0.1350144958485548,
                  0.15057377542642655,
                  0.33304615388212466
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1578458048693843,
                  0.17990248075404341,
                  0.16856435872378775,
                  0.11479863939432593,
                  0.19513051222379935,
                  0.2137871847704702,
                  0.22235444195491547,
                  0.3613847165260709,
                  0.15750879565187623,
                  0.2142190885547351,
                  0.17853069665058896,
                  0.20048293022060296,
                  0.10468697792867528,
                  0.3220340693314627,
                  0.1739591174567839,
                  0.35931670970944984,
                  0.21847338760545246,
                  0.18567047195366645,
                  0.21646817674522986,
                  0.186022395268668,
                  0.31418142114278336,
                  0.34598703699717315,
                  0.2411254759855373,
                  0.10160425529495208
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17218257207928467,
                  0.21637808292220725,
                  0.15991580261077884,
                  0.14292918354417064,
                  0.4247144528307517,
                  0.22674194540053969,
                  0.24846757154028362,
                  0.3338695973167546,
                  0.17465787625190304,
                  0.18926103353782903,
                  0.17108782775226475,
                  0.21414805003504944,
                  0.12281566959892326,
                  0.37221149543265947,
                  0.13530606894388414,
                  0.3042204989048285,
                  0.21783158346694867,
                  0.12730942136556073,
                  0.22201548398088763,
                  0.18910360743830318,
                  0.3160190436076916,
                  0.3282405552978347,
                  0.29157549470325717,
                  0.13709115752198053
                ],
                "crps": [
                  33.53457420592045,
                  34.06877482936859,
                  30.128564694620014,
                  29.414398984771307,
                  181.6213346329273,
                  36.93543087304464,
                  35.846805550042454,
                  44.00035836589245,
                  20.00398491014752,
                  29.53492493611894,
                  26.646836566600477,
                  24.800358481162643,
                  38.533628226542035,
                  58.90565552448902,
                  41.417022512388144,
                  47.68834663542905,
                  30.657869899562037,
                  65.2480509565719,
                  41.93015188332589,
                  27.88658403437416,
                  35.39904422969586,
                  32.21701384676394,
                  31.161785193035456,
                  31.315817812204603
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.742925516629697,
                  40.77336668818828,
                  28.09618525185972,
                  37.986090541506,
                  251.4927342153348,
                  40.320321374030684,
                  40.93726570534917,
                  40.54786455186527,
                  22.988890072347303,
                  28.257992147944407,
                  24.96559897910219,
                  25.682377420488514,
                  37.65656723862455,
                  67.35667251514191,
                  29.987287831298126,
                  43.08507304266908,
                  30.254448434401816,
                  47.83890739301917,
                  44.7070520085121,
                  29.018165136591247,
                  36.90426542672519,
                  32.258006168915756,
                  38.015712600516835,
                  34.40598130175283
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  32.25495896673976,
                  32.507962635200094,
                  28.889434286783334,
                  28.143487503762394,
                  180.09546795977994,
                  35.813204444182205,
                  34.507044144004375,
                  42.80138660543627,
                  18.919181791131283,
                  28.011122402838986,
                  25.23230836260912,
                  23.466261597285786,
                  37.400578607095724,
                  57.60250173601095,
                  40.183293031324915,
                  46.72184029931278,
                  29.21553294084104,
                  63.89199289597176,
                  40.65269294854096,
                  26.678857131825502,
                  34.04519220948185,
                  30.95448413457692,
                  29.58936276083172,
                  30.248746756467508
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  29.83323453860368,
                  38.88077881844172,
                  26.1795875687868,
                  36.08822373966346,
                  249.9992360568139,
                  38.426875463916396,
                  39.04498825040786,
                  38.65484959473932,
                  21.062619481737414,
                  26.341700917326186,
                  23.043072155361166,
                  23.761208131674348,
                  35.758076339617475,
                  65.51443181552213,
                  28.07427178189838,
                  41.19686340465451,
                  28.3419383709928,
                  45.95970122915301,
                  42.821914300357065,
                  27.103313627542445,
                  35.0043497136804,
                  30.34929072242817,
                  36.1179019010588,
                  32.50133398998652
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4363507092448214,
              "rpss": 0.0371372061728259,
              "brier_below": 0.22243241109098552,
              "bss_below": 0.01836287713090501,
              "brier_above": 0.21391829773810145,
              "bss_above": 0.055912039423389515,
              "crps": 42.03738824104162,
              "crpss": 0.07038040990613159,
              "crps_fair": 40.74278733966813,
              "crpss_fair": 0.059835855631777624,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.001159,
                    0.194885,
                    0.284666,
                    0.307854,
                    0.171612,
                    0.035678,
                    0.003921,
                    0.000225,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.095,
                    0.1598,
                    0.2504,
                    0.3426,
                    0.4413,
                    0.5373,
                    0.6243,
                    0.7349,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.5121,
                    0.2049,
                    0.3373,
                    0.3778,
                    0.428,
                    0.5152,
                    0.5378,
                    0.8756,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.073817,
                    0.242968,
                    0.356302,
                    0.203396,
                    0.080244,
                    0.038782,
                    0.004491,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1736,
                    0.2541,
                    0.3422,
                    0.4389,
                    0.5441,
                    0.6404,
                    0.7223,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1733,
                    0.259,
                    0.3337,
                    0.3829,
                    0.5334,
                    0.7196,
                    0.8433,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5211811340679925,
                  0.3140847399936847,
                  0.40616664424659926,
                  0.4143872041199099,
                  0.18059195170058198,
                  0.44348591639862267,
                  0.35699405055687555,
                  0.4922043501748539,
                  0.3350347654863975,
                  0.2840749862714714,
                  0.3466363876672438,
                  0.3652149883484991,
                  0.5729529957247265,
                  0.378755032863643,
                  0.45996136527103715,
                  0.4236654400168223,
                  0.3750147668451175,
                  0.6908369231864914,
                  0.40670930836935537,
                  0.29508653396794604,
                  0.42283797882652535,
                  0.42848938137368464,
                  0.21287470364396577,
                  0.5478330652113403
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48190550000573357,
                  0.4447116445242348,
                  0.39122568096409477,
                  0.5314846969938783,
                  0.5463137956783318,
                  0.5246370465888529,
                  0.46799085520133354,
                  0.4301833029814578,
                  0.3790308872213789,
                  0.3760295940535084,
                  0.36571087481860687,
                  0.4071905851059967,
                  0.5346883511508412,
                  0.5378418848789392,
                  0.39758042315298353,
                  0.42189702405901625,
                  0.3563103597455807,
                  0.5447213097764745,
                  0.4681166137581803,
                  0.3573140644587983,
                  0.4646548700920834,
                  0.443550454531998,
                  0.4892057891747856,
                  0.5235515129376195
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.41388529799719403,
                  0.08221046243603643,
                  0.2961153312570531,
                  0.34428628332168465,
                  0.02221320269944627,
                  0.36562337462754263,
                  0.28726909707752296,
                  0.1438991798889856,
                  0.20199978670936306,
                  0.056369139070676325,
                  0.19830728396056777,
                  0.10567103197698798,
                  0.48130933683565325,
                  0.05404365701496958,
                  0.3058851510922601,
                  0.09243802857858038,
                  0.15182771281552904,
                  0.5665342238679177,
                  0.07107861684445481,
                  0.08814496778053946,
                  0.06494287648352558,
                  0.10005859397802672,
                  0.022167600442735587,
                  0.464016805078059
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3519612903999631,
                  0.14955802970751203,
                  0.2601871534110402,
                  0.4105017057194249,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.39624369138262994,
                  0.3443603210875784,
                  0.12682101259329223,
                  0.2099793080182162,
                  0.1262687532682766,
                  0.2039124110213452,
                  0.13844673123024703,
                  0.4137053598763879,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.264430544340142,
                  0.12679414888912763,
                  0.17861675021890278,
                  0.42373831850202115,
                  0.13731870409752048,
                  0.14687327559600188,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.14271630161606835,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.40256852166316615
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10729583391220365,
                  0.23187427730313803,
                  0.11005131069645187,
                  0.07010091816654974,
                  0.15837874383017483,
                  0.0778625396021893,
                  0.0697249513131438,
                  0.3483051732101987,
                  0.13303497933466452,
                  0.22770584540161673,
                  0.14832910187930018,
                  0.25954395610171693,
                  0.09164365509092738,
                  0.32471137892909535,
                  0.1540762099360965,
                  0.33122741252864707,
                  0.22318705477754516,
                  0.12430269816639948,
                  0.33563069121164446,
                  0.2069415653396859,
                  0.3578951049692017,
                  0.3284307869290627,
                  0.19070710013870315,
                  0.08381625866613067
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1299442096057706,
                  0.29515361481672286,
                  0.13103852755305465,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4253308044038785,
                  0.12839335520622294,
                  0.12363053411375528,
                  0.3033622903881658,
                  0.16905157920316274,
                  0.24976084078523186,
                  0.16179846379726168,
                  0.26874385387575,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4168588936044859,
                  0.13314987881284177,
                  0.2951028751698888,
                  0.1776936095266779,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3307979096606601,
                  0.21044078886279646,
                  0.34367187881763017,
                  0.3008341529159299,
                  0.3682227979003325,
                  0.12098299127445337
                ],
                "crps": [
                  46.8730036672276,
                  39.90614214935166,
                  30.31913686813099,
                  35.50080811393783,
                  262.9303267373592,
                  45.80538616908081,
                  28.35272006618237,
                  48.967310907942995,
                  24.102579606605865,
                  26.444299219144607,
                  26.687529068999847,
                  32.36357184267682,
                  56.97117636310376,
                  85.44132221136756,
                  40.65147083281164,
                  47.825333399408116,
                  34.804340500148506,
                  86.58136457062335,
                  68.59478422284705,
                  27.15987491103007,
                  49.7333577226135,
                  34.36077038993313,
                  37.855040172715015,
                  47.21088649862402
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  44.818392114890194,
                  49.555903283487574,
                  30.675020158925083,
                  53.94868480057281,
                  354.7381681248423,
                  56.058574286857095,
                  40.89964859325192,
                  41.88472808521825,
                  29.960563688835595,
                  35.58986358112118,
                  28.725216146584827,
                  36.06632699048634,
                  54.26159742058326,
                  101.57427145824482,
                  32.681017126544084,
                  48.797086589560294,
                  29.95440091470073,
                  69.17206276014227,
                  74.3649830088615,
                  31.00618674826232,
                  52.67156510791567,
                  36.916850791140064,
                  58.698649883439046,
                  47.73367692323706
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  45.53541396404895,
                  37.94242463653586,
                  28.920440658908078,
                  34.07203490581579,
                  261.2185965092831,
                  44.453958676084355,
                  26.911774423749552,
                  47.66557720721158,
                  22.84555303474872,
                  25.046438863036983,
                  25.199794007951795,
                  30.77748273867062,
                  55.71858519679562,
                  83.96464887874588,
                  39.175053371072266,
                  46.670141976766416,
                  33.246833668516544,
                  85.2744257618183,
                  67.21434474819588,
                  25.720556836547225,
                  48.235896590528284,
                  33.04689066434936,
                  35.67421454753346,
                  46.023045798293936
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.28827155959033,
                  47.03475528721915,
                  28.118112914314686,
                  51.435856466268575,
                  352.79501684228853,
                  53.54974195536778,
                  38.362106175221676,
                  39.349051348043986,
                  27.402303306971245,
                  33.04226475208313,
                  26.16461609134499,
                  33.51963055426904,
                  51.74936172381692,
                  99.15164309867102,
                  30.1279091186148,
                  46.27450144046246,
                  27.396128860915656,
                  66.68806658106446,
                  71.89082190601232,
                  28.449906713101416,
                  50.156317986314725,
                  34.37176519545435,
                  56.19481769512508,
                  45.209077740680264
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4031281089305578,
              "rpss": 0.11122446365157412,
              "brier_below": 0.20751237674313802,
              "bss_below": 0.08432483843245164,
              "brier_above": 0.19561573114310368,
              "bss_above": 0.13808469145186497,
              "crps": 52.7267723421611,
              "crpss": 0.12168001663607764,
              "crps_fair": 51.273088652717014,
              "crpss_fair": 0.10876042586394907,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.002325,
                    0.315457,
                    0.320751,
                    0.237716,
                    0.105258,
                    0.017694,
                    0.000798,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.095,
                    0.1559,
                    0.2493,
                    0.3392,
                    0.438,
                    0.5366,
                    0.6225,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.5,
                    0.1435,
                    0.3359,
                    0.4665,
                    0.6278,
                    0.8568,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.108358,
                    0.278037,
                    0.307235,
                    0.158245,
                    0.089176,
                    0.050896,
                    0.008054,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.173,
                    0.2523,
                    0.3415,
                    0.4423,
                    0.544,
                    0.6434,
                    0.7238,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1144,
                    0.2252,
                    0.3078,
                    0.4304,
                    0.6823,
                    0.8378,
                    0.8743,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3975316349608867,
                  0.41605934830186586,
                  0.4104704368842874,
                  0.35769224267231,
                  0.4909102693903325,
                  0.4143991139903261,
                  0.35322898025386773,
                  0.5645818000651595
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.417659603071558,
                  0.42114839455105046,
                  0.5533032498091346,
                  0.4473076683297933,
                  0.4625683790499464,
                  0.41678104095296603,
                  0.5158924310312171,
                  0.42890011506153497
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2184426174801664,
                  0.22096048545140315,
                  0.09277784497422517,
                  0.25753433630422146,
                  0.27411718816683156,
                  0.2417079960283769,
                  0.10665903447777708,
                  0.22078205309056514
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23401701276525544,
                  0.2189631813755131,
                  0.11111111773384957,
                  0.3104494178140245,
                  0.2504465951343465,
                  0.24187001637124075,
                  0.1452369658843232,
                  0.14026665735763472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17908902203959365,
                  0.1950988619715515,
                  0.3176925633043087,
                  0.10015791651111222,
                  0.21679307886194088,
                  0.17269112814342777,
                  0.24656992941469114,
                  0.34379972850724283
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18364259720487727,
                  0.20218521675843326,
                  0.4421920927416047,
                  0.1368582657800341,
                  0.2121217857216985,
                  0.17491103304162547,
                  0.37065543860496475,
                  0.28863344582864725
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.894030549027967,
                  24.18958531594384,
                  88.97784795580769,
                  20.100272797857933,
                  33.56710327371274,
                  26.98489608669079,
                  82.92503432800429,
                  49.186253492772266
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.991938244042803,
                  27.156682952757507,
                  116.99857569796765,
                  25.68956435022059,
                  33.64072492622825,
                  25.925245138455825,
                  110.35729933852919,
                  38.12777562837381
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  24.269332855924326,
                  23.596047284807717,
                  88.18667841603285,
                  19.5063844359437,
                  33.03572933030612,
                  26.270991641658235,
                  82.18510757264168,
                  48.634102763109446
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.186278935163696,
                  25.3510236438784,
                  115.19291638908858,
                  23.883905041341485,
                  31.83506561734916,
                  24.11958582957673,
                  108.55164002965007,
                  36.322116319494704
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42560922831487946,
              "rpss": 0.07061082473591285,
              "brier_below": 0.20412269449669584,
              "bss_below": 0.011728314139418994,
              "brier_above": 0.22148652859423357,
              "bss_above": 0.11898750085536935,
              "crps": 43.853127974977184,
              "crpss": 0.1313800061604773,
              "crps_fair": 43.210546787553014,
              "crpss_fair": 0.11236101332395854,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.139904,
                    0.227055,
                    0.302622,
                    0.214766,
                    0.108951,
                    0.006702,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1462,
                    0.2517,
                    0.352,
                    0.4503,
                    0.5383,
                    0.6269,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0473,
                    0.3031,
                    0.3444,
                    0.2784,
                    0.4009,
                    0.4745,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.085112,
                    0.444799,
                    0.259362,
                    0.088896,
                    0.063584,
                    0.054762,
                    0.003485,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1712,
                    0.2479,
                    0.347,
                    0.4458,
                    0.556,
                    0.6435,
                    0.7149,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2542,
                    0.3232,
                    0.384,
                    0.479,
                    0.866,
                    1.0,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.35481205360284834,
                  0.32157533165050484,
                  0.18674817403103033,
                  0.3810370826434358,
                  0.4863339934024067,
                  0.45707199059076775,
                  0.17685706528529832,
                  0.35842373475133354
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.37168678111891346,
                  0.40830734552865355,
                  0.5514955812695821,
                  0.4122454531264281,
                  0.5073582366943469,
                  0.42296825285318396,
                  0.5480141639602464,
                  0.3433109747399186
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11990006251919665,
                  0.2502999850593034,
                  0.02327777244471873,
                  0.26459555103721616,
                  0.41077826588078276,
                  0.33962023404463804,
                  0.019052834791312714,
                  0.1936041390823193
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13710719771935653,
                  0.28966613712444955,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.26920158326246535,
                  0.3962471388287118,
                  0.3008762153923436,
                  0.11169127068708512,
                  0.1645095887434772
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2349119887795841,
                  0.07127535947004746,
                  0.16347038120008064,
                  0.11644154186923876,
                  0.07555574249411465,
                  0.11745177303293106,
                  0.1578042119989435,
                  0.16481959746702002
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23457958118988842,
                  0.11864122692593004,
                  0.44038442452528814,
                  0.14304388402215332,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.12209205536551032,
                  0.43632285498898205,
                  0.17880139376069062
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.903699008094062,
                  21.922345800050497,
                  95.8128540049526,
                  24.922067745338527,
                  42.28161692518363,
                  33.40489322726813,
                  116.2293568034588,
                  26.8189998515595
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.91091499200625,
                  33.39002587790927,
                  163.85395380251938,
                  30.317658032788415,
                  46.77514464531494,
                  32.16405989901042,
                  178.02911191569987,
                  27.619913058663098
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.172472573863054,
                  21.255886472797975,
                  94.80014966916224,
                  24.2582673820456,
                  41.65541543627882,
                  32.69468488173197,
                  115.34962509549624,
                  26.19737968069628
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.513828107781922,
                  30.99293899368493,
                  161.45686691829505,
                  27.920571148564072,
                  44.378057761090616,
                  29.766973014786096,
                  175.6320250314755,
                  25.22282617443876
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.34035742824470316,
              "rpss": 0.23630742276383565,
              "brier_below": 0.20264110560743598,
              "bss_below": 0.08946331592829326,
              "brier_above": 0.13771632453899502,
              "bss_above": 0.3827758670541356,
              "crps": 48.53697917073821,
              "crpss": 0.2836673559506645,
              "crps_fair": 47.79798514900902,
              "crpss_fair": 0.26870239391643225,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.278621,
                    0.306227,
                    0.292796,
                    0.101915,
                    0.02044,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1402,
                    0.2503,
                    0.3475,
                    0.4417,
                    0.5265,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0462,
                    0.4149,
                    0.4612,
                    0.4288,
                    0.7665,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.077915,
                    0.428331,
                    0.210742,
                    0.046046,
                    0.099093,
                    0.129153,
                    0.00872,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1691,
                    0.2508,
                    0.341,
                    0.4475,
                    0.5653,
                    0.6441,
                    0.7152,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0975,
                    0.0903,
                    0.1856,
                    0.4248,
                    0.9407,
                    1.0,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "vs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.20765441728780334,
            "training": [
              0.19934743712831135,
              0.22880106125135732,
              0.18234111336127978,
              0.25260858118765417,
              0.30973132207654935,
              0.21808889954982844,
              0.20425822625451923,
              0.16354006667136906,
              0.1922372661368936,
              0.19225242578247717,
              0.1994301112877878,
              0.19859980593770402,
              0.21792693586485012,
              0.23935674112254562,
              0.15038426379037806,
              0.16116313738816873,
              0.19672199386212574,
              0.17955380505608767,
              0.21426503212394404,
              0.2254999295739297,
              0.2064906199984518,
              0.1950500276766776,
              0.2288444149215764,
              0.22721279690281354
            ],
            "test": 0.21530813014785946
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4476628579649402,
                  0.3779288589794592,
                  0.4545388879081703,
                  0.3844171037957932,
                  0.21794164524395468,
                  0.41218458646645306,
                  0.41700325127294224,
                  0.5593823739019103,
                  0.3680111934064388,
                  0.42632198858399567,
                  0.429669401864394,
                  0.4057118124829871,
                  0.4574492970228633,
                  0.4153275604320802,
                  0.5789944182634996,
                  0.5534731207057569,
                  0.40560648273410355,
                  0.6409851194451123,
                  0.4223067918959067,
                  0.39965074585709653,
                  0.43419027126262827,
                  0.49202606264118526,
                  0.34208918706995106,
                  0.4052539860585951
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4395210979875425,
                  0.470103716624794,
                  0.41696991681095497,
                  0.4787026031452831,
                  0.5456974441052049,
                  0.4718891913819794,
                  0.47528498703411814,
                  0.4682080369739733,
                  0.3831343647949888,
                  0.4088195356935795,
                  0.4015935093605737,
                  0.39471244953026,
                  0.4905254593905998,
                  0.4972930203135432,
                  0.44542605260977947,
                  0.45801231637095624,
                  0.41221699134066647,
                  0.5190225092696747,
                  0.45873316132537956,
                  0.4177409102960471,
                  0.44718476065736323,
                  0.46325505114638965,
                  0.44214927012968386,
                  0.47013731140410536
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.28585531980699047,
                  0.20156667187965524,
                  0.27908226251308776,
                  0.2672669290425905,
                  0.03567963578110942,
                  0.19743913857715376,
                  0.19532644238514457,
                  0.1951370120873447,
                  0.2089457319665268,
                  0.20419863966452592,
                  0.2451739255701065,
                  0.2047985023487513,
                  0.35071185303656227,
                  0.10732640445108793,
                  0.3930730856992855,
                  0.186597782710847,
                  0.1802663932000317,
                  0.44550164389495445,
                  0.21279924578047976,
                  0.20718001148133391,
                  0.12560791049720785,
                  0.14991310515320355,
                  0.09933005252214754,
                  0.30164896673537006
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.26733852590825796,
                  0.2537256337025866,
                  0.25705411420017604,
                  0.3357734196011123,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.24514724598143975,
                  0.22681741549383455,
                  0.13433843965721864,
                  0.20847648854308581,
                  0.21955850215575037,
                  0.23050568160830917,
                  0.18056439949521058,
                  0.3677097897916764,
                  0.12508152488088367,
                  0.31011998366589516,
                  0.1537918174661276,
                  0.19438540787371786,
                  0.391713087904114,
                  0.23671767734449203,
                  0.22863730285774397,
                  0.13116571704967142,
                  0.1350144958485548,
                  0.15057377542642655,
                  0.33304615388212466
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16180753374196527,
                  0.1763621843030372,
                  0.1754566206958421,
                  0.11715017326109275,
                  0.18226200602203022,
                  0.21474544947655305,
                  0.22167681276215664,
                  0.36424536373828276,
                  0.1590654591172545,
                  0.2221233464235795,
                  0.18449547235846564,
                  0.2009133090086948,
                  0.10673743661011328,
                  0.3080011612592337,
                  0.18592132791656132,
                  0.3668753425617158,
                  0.22534009123425308,
                  0.19548347541244054,
                  0.2095075458443009,
                  0.19247073022439512,
                  0.3085823685967547,
                  0.3421129675344644,
                  0.2427591357816578,
                  0.10360501567415246
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17218257207928467,
                  0.21637808292220725,
                  0.15991580261077884,
                  0.14292918354417064,
                  0.4247144528307517,
                  0.22674194540053969,
                  0.24846757154028362,
                  0.3338695973167546,
                  0.17465787625190304,
                  0.18926103353782903,
                  0.17108782775226475,
                  0.21414805003504944,
                  0.12281566959892326,
                  0.37221149543265947,
                  0.13530606894388414,
                  0.3042204989048285,
                  0.21783158346694867,
                  0.12730942136556073,
                  0.22201548398088763,
                  0.18910360743830318,
                  0.3160190436076916,
                  0.3282405552978347,
                  0.29157549470325717,
                  0.13709115752198053
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.89315557567525,
                  36.865625312771954,
                  30.256028942064745,
                  26.756006697148255,
                  176.23295861950098,
                  32.00550389939528,
                  36.30514783471054,
                  48.56927656676035,
                  21.75010525463425,
                  32.4882337311595,
                  29.471670777662528,
                  29.26091684200041,
                  33.568910119791546,
                  53.72470580619167,
                  42.1455882338098,
                  50.609327282303184,
                  34.206847114334536,
                  60.00418486972163,
                  40.98581690871166,
                  29.722590132637198,
                  37.15975163815119,
                  34.75127425748664,
                  41.26480522354244,
                  27.249029839889925
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.742925516629697,
                  40.77336668818828,
                  28.09618525185972,
                  37.986090541506,
                  251.4927342153348,
                  40.320321374030684,
                  40.93726570534917,
                  40.54786455186527,
                  22.988890072347303,
                  28.257992147944407,
                  24.96559897910219,
                  25.682377420488514,
                  37.65656723862455,
                  67.35667251514191,
                  29.987287831298126,
                  43.08507304266908,
                  30.254448434401816,
                  47.83890739301917,
                  44.7070520085121,
                  29.018165136591247,
                  36.90426542672519,
                  32.258006168915756,
                  38.015712600516835,
                  34.40598130175283
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  30.2559464888392,
                  34.81100621217379,
                  28.687879639215467,
                  25.16930952094825,
                  174.68076460378128,
                  30.5751563523509,
                  34.63978914928122,
                  47.02784807501745,
                  20.355945395466673,
                  30.567813212393656,
                  27.65891248230637,
                  27.506202627777164,
                  32.16337122082276,
                  52.03543984943406,
                  40.56637170797238,
                  49.36986224819102,
                  32.31700396649398,
                  58.36133882276745,
                  39.35712174419034,
                  28.167610566613682,
                  35.40734485809324,
                  33.13529218489002,
                  39.114122133057535,
                  25.888295903918323
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  29.83323453860368,
                  38.88077881844172,
                  26.1795875687868,
                  36.08822373966346,
                  249.9992360568139,
                  38.426875463916396,
                  39.04498825040786,
                  38.65484959473932,
                  21.062619481737414,
                  26.341700917326186,
                  23.043072155361166,
                  23.761208131674348,
                  35.758076339617475,
                  65.51443181552213,
                  28.07427178189838,
                  41.19686340465451,
                  28.3419383709928,
                  45.95970122915301,
                  42.821914300357065,
                  27.103313627542445,
                  35.0043497136804,
                  30.34929072242817,
                  36.1179019010588,
                  32.50133398998652
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43533862521917577,
              "rpss": 0.03937049703697404,
              "brier_below": 0.22001777778272913,
              "bss_below": 0.029019119545735217,
              "brier_above": 0.21532084706495824,
              "bss_above": 0.04972215315558903,
              "crps": 42.38531089500231,
              "crpss": 0.06268640872069309,
              "crps_fair": 40.74248954024984,
              "crpss_fair": 0.059842727531163264,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.00455,
                    0.114382,
                    0.262085,
                    0.314111,
                    0.208994,
                    0.08769,
                    0.007683,
                    0.000505,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0939,
                    0.1547,
                    0.2594,
                    0.3568,
                    0.4426,
                    0.5348,
                    0.6307,
                    0.7336,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0859,
                    0.191,
                    0.3051,
                    0.3491,
                    0.4085,
                    0.5173,
                    0.5429,
                    0.4457,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.001208,
                    0.062132,
                    0.304207,
                    0.286509,
                    0.195206,
                    0.087903,
                    0.04781,
                    0.014997,
                    2.8e-05,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0905,
                    0.1656,
                    0.2611,
                    0.3556,
                    0.4423,
                    0.539,
                    0.6429,
                    0.7303,
                    0.8217,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0696,
                    0.2286,
                    0.2649,
                    0.3292,
                    0.3727,
                    0.4733,
                    0.6692,
                    0.7598,
                    1.0,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4496752898439732,
                  0.31527973860907516,
                  0.383594948860009,
                  0.334993463565639,
                  0.1556003608583337,
                  0.3383240941400412,
                  0.3123327490461067,
                  0.5973717409889546,
                  0.349966330435618,
                  0.312671825690934,
                  0.3673821128188422,
                  0.4126098343571072,
                  0.47888697460201946,
                  0.37675539753630133,
                  0.4709509551131366,
                  0.48995949359729746,
                  0.397740603720738,
                  0.578837681738783,
                  0.43330523164983575,
                  0.3132089640289845,
                  0.45142692276225127,
                  0.47811703976591685,
                  0.19621978084506275,
                  0.4425495968820859
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48190550000573357,
                  0.4447116445242348,
                  0.39122568096409477,
                  0.5314846969938783,
                  0.5463137956783318,
                  0.5246370465888529,
                  0.46799085520133354,
                  0.4301833029814578,
                  0.3790308872213789,
                  0.3760295940535084,
                  0.36571087481860687,
                  0.4071905851059967,
                  0.5346883511508412,
                  0.5378418848789392,
                  0.39758042315298353,
                  0.42189702405901625,
                  0.3563103597455807,
                  0.5447213097764745,
                  0.4681166137581803,
                  0.3573140644587983,
                  0.4646548700920834,
                  0.443550454531998,
                  0.4892057891747856,
                  0.5235515129376195
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.33113384260823087,
                  0.09163386864665381,
                  0.2624426345134487,
                  0.2614166081741492,
                  0.01957868260685131,
                  0.25767930567891373,
                  0.24325014114252164,
                  0.24490548087167116,
                  0.2137569827281232,
                  0.08154292579212538,
                  0.21173130754663058,
                  0.1519188161654098,
                  0.3809646179089836,
                  0.079697825256335,
                  0.2998596594921771,
                  0.15882926365860983,
                  0.1536659774141659,
                  0.44571872431065934,
                  0.11705679685376823,
                  0.09338090731401749,
                  0.10633475273084163,
                  0.1605121050772752,
                  0.02027627163321219,
                  0.3515506719267889
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3519612903999631,
                  0.14955802970751203,
                  0.2601871534110402,
                  0.4105017057194249,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.39624369138262994,
                  0.3443603210875784,
                  0.12682101259329223,
                  0.2099793080182162,
                  0.1262687532682766,
                  0.2039124110213452,
                  0.13844673123024703,
                  0.4137053598763879,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.264430544340142,
                  0.12679414888912763,
                  0.17861675021890278,
                  0.42373831850202115,
                  0.13731870409752048,
                  0.14687327559600188,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.14271630161606835,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.40256852166316615
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.11854144051552927,
                  0.22364586817831764,
                  0.12115230639394457,
                  0.07357685660036047,
                  0.13602167321135228,
                  0.0806447889728591,
                  0.06908260788041376,
                  0.352466254352206,
                  0.13620934638358248,
                  0.23112889667874273,
                  0.15565080004222684,
                  0.26069101860689886,
                  0.09792234892506863,
                  0.2970575737470995,
                  0.17109128796463086,
                  0.33113023522299634,
                  0.24407462724570703,
                  0.13311895416609676,
                  0.31624844239495425,
                  0.21982805380674364,
                  0.3450921818670662,
                  0.31760494189882194,
                  0.17594350681516263,
                  0.09099891989110988
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1299442096057706,
                  0.29515361481672286,
                  0.13103852755305465,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4253308044038785,
                  0.12839335520622294,
                  0.12363053411375528,
                  0.3033622903881658,
                  0.16905157920316274,
                  0.24976084078523186,
                  0.16179846379726168,
                  0.26874385387575,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4168588936044859,
                  0.13314987881284177,
                  0.2951028751698888,
                  0.1776936095266779,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3307979096606601,
                  0.21044078886279646,
                  0.34367187881763017,
                  0.3008341529159299,
                  0.3682227979003325,
                  0.12098299127445337
                ],
                "crps": [
                  39.74624510946328,
                  46.41840459478332,
                  30.162430776209217,
                  29.389733561668436,
                  237.74763880188462,
                  33.14906654898154,
                  29.282609993638147,
                  58.108766869321535,
                  27.568565972746235,
                  31.71095818750444,
                  31.964702146828706,
                  39.8551836692745,
                  45.17842028152944,
                  74.80023595669002,
                  42.724973716134336,
                  53.766843014719434,
                  41.24840413705344,
                  73.30459583873879,
                  67.29209049067914,
                  32.09807053601155,
                  52.554057458552755,
                  39.42743594372438,
                  59.61101897030946,
                  36.411104413348994
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  44.818392114890194,
                  49.555903283487574,
                  30.675020158925083,
                  53.94868480057281,
                  354.7381681248423,
                  56.058574286857095,
                  40.89964859325192,
                  41.88472808521825,
                  29.960563688835595,
                  35.58986358112118,
                  28.725216146584827,
                  36.06632699048634,
                  54.26159742058326,
                  101.57427145824482,
                  32.681017126544084,
                  48.797086589560294,
                  29.95440091470073,
                  69.17206276014227,
                  74.3649830088615,
                  31.00618674826232,
                  52.67156510791567,
                  36.916850791140064,
                  58.698649883439046,
                  47.73367692323706
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  37.79052040580601,
                  43.46886266298633,
                  28.148970214257428,
                  27.369596261566716,
                  235.74175091684447,
                  31.22851121382159,
                  27.27867941778505,
                  56.21241257041684,
                  25.705377093153377,
                  29.622070854564928,
                  29.73795369179698,
                  37.475245071686224,
                  43.38481272004466,
                  72.5861344833706,
                  40.535861120305405,
                  52.07713522577437,
                  38.889395046548984,
                  71.48013881490033,
                  65.25456322413608,
                  29.965704952417227,
                  50.335525956239074,
                  37.48768819894311,
                  56.213286810183014,
                  34.677250075037506
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.28827155959033,
                  47.03475528721915,
                  28.118112914314686,
                  51.435856466268575,
                  352.79501684228853,
                  53.54974195536778,
                  38.362106175221676,
                  39.349051348043986,
                  27.402303306971245,
                  33.04226475208313,
                  26.16461609134499,
                  33.51963055426904,
                  51.74936172381692,
                  99.15164309867102,
                  30.1279091186148,
                  46.27450144046246,
                  27.396128860915656,
                  66.68806658106446,
                  71.89082190601232,
                  28.449906713101416,
                  50.156317986314725,
                  34.37176519545435,
                  56.19481769512508,
                  45.209077740680264
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.39324004714404365,
              "rpss": 0.13302464881124842,
              "brier_below": 0.19745159041881513,
              "bss_below": 0.12871935738890028,
              "brier_above": 0.19578845549007884,
              "bss_above": 0.13732363937314462,
              "crps": 52.23006487457482,
              "crpss": 0.12995414522934767,
              "crps_fair": 50.11114362510776,
              "crpss_fair": 0.12895759788512584,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.009152,
                    0.135529,
                    0.252289,
                    0.276216,
                    0.215062,
                    0.102903,
                    0.008848,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0941,
                    0.1508,
                    0.2578,
                    0.3576,
                    0.4455,
                    0.5368,
                    0.6256,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.091,
                    0.2061,
                    0.3693,
                    0.502,
                    0.6588,
                    0.5659,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000506,
                    0.074779,
                    0.315087,
                    0.269351,
                    0.156626,
                    0.099701,
                    0.055152,
                    0.028725,
                    7.3e-05,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0777,
                    0.1655,
                    0.2588,
                    0.3551,
                    0.4452,
                    0.5401,
                    0.6462,
                    0.7309,
                    0.8217,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.1318,
                    0.2274,
                    0.2933,
                    0.3885,
                    0.5676,
                    0.8305,
                    0.8489,
                    1.0,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4142695235023372,
                  0.4180587729512997,
                  0.3985546652711191,
                  0.33766288775387615,
                  0.4570021869246225,
                  0.4038789869276764,
                  0.3476524673176436,
                  0.6143426491159748
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.417659603071558,
                  0.42114839455105046,
                  0.5533032498091346,
                  0.4473076683297933,
                  0.4625683790499464,
                  0.41678104095296603,
                  0.5158924310312171,
                  0.42890011506153497
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.23414429496472844,
                  0.21900942757456057,
                  0.09918177324857237,
                  0.23621971900272512,
                  0.23479444773665178,
                  0.2266807430459257,
                  0.11795876426061574,
                  0.2612562438200892
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23401701276525544,
                  0.2189631813755131,
                  0.11111111773384957,
                  0.3104494178140245,
                  0.2504465951343465,
                  0.24187001637124075,
                  0.1452369658843232,
                  0.14026665735763472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.18012523288234097,
                  0.19904934413496467,
                  0.29937286584756473,
                  0.10144317897824162,
                  0.22220773720469023,
                  0.17719825427720945,
                  0.22969368847377356,
                  0.3530863846730656
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18364259720487727,
                  0.20218521675843326,
                  0.4421920927416047,
                  0.1368582657800341,
                  0.2121217857216985,
                  0.17491103304162547,
                  0.37065543860496475,
                  0.28863344582864725
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.58421685463371,
                  25.500292617463852,
                  76.22305982595581,
                  21.527629144404905,
                  30.16305545138633,
                  27.796352368837603,
                  68.1703002524264,
                  53.44091390348571
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.991938244042803,
                  27.156682952757507,
                  116.99857569796765,
                  25.68956435022059,
                  33.64072492622825,
                  25.925245138455825,
                  110.35729933852919,
                  38.12777562837381
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.781290096014082,
                  24.753002543963152,
                  75.18529580064468,
                  20.77180315933935,
                  29.48552875518556,
                  26.898716210369187,
                  67.199982800244,
                  52.74801391811086
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.186278935163696,
                  25.3510236438784,
                  115.19291638908858,
                  23.883905041341485,
                  31.83506561734916,
                  24.11958582957673,
                  108.55164002965007,
                  36.322116319494704
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4239277674705687,
              "rpss": 0.07428257667024052,
              "brier_below": 0.20365567670673362,
              "bss_below": 0.013989407447788538,
              "brier_above": 0.22027208580898133,
              "bss_above": 0.12381822026794087,
              "crps": 41.30072755232429,
              "crpss": 0.18193662872719185,
              "crps_fair": 40.47795416048386,
              "crpss_fair": 0.16849443284339805,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.007211,
                    0.119563,
                    0.091151,
                    0.270166,
                    0.331941,
                    0.154327,
                    0.024968,
                    0.000675,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0926,
                    0.1497,
                    0.2568,
                    0.3549,
                    0.4491,
                    0.5415,
                    0.6198,
                    0.707,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0288,
                    0.2142,
                    0.3073,
                    0.3341,
                    0.3659,
                    0.4983,
                    0.7507,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    8.3e-05,
                    0.160933,
                    0.330969,
                    0.269346,
                    0.105196,
                    0.040328,
                    0.060562,
                    0.032581,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0942,
                    0.1752,
                    0.2517,
                    0.3407,
                    0.443,
                    0.5493,
                    0.651,
                    0.7208,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.3348,
                    0.3279,
                    0.3527,
                    0.395,
                    0.7388,
                    0.9832,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4015336260208227,
                  0.3104826620797275,
                  0.1517222119491858,
                  0.3584142368202583,
                  0.38234705804404057,
                  0.42225151035383984,
                  0.13785920344568717,
                  0.41004901406398186
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.37168678111891346,
                  0.40830734552865355,
                  0.5514955812695821,
                  0.4122454531264281,
                  0.5073582366943469,
                  0.42296825285318396,
                  0.5480141639602464,
                  0.3433109747399186
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16531312925700048,
                  0.2356561519527878,
                  0.025518350070181394,
                  0.23469896705504562,
                  0.3018444499399721,
                  0.293223940583672,
                  0.018013319859212593,
                  0.24314088917960525
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13710719771935653,
                  0.28966613712444955,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.26920158326246535,
                  0.3962471388287118,
                  0.3008762153923436,
                  0.11169127068708512,
                  0.1645095887434772
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23622049496596056,
                  0.07482652256319577,
                  0.12620384526938994,
                  0.12371528028126416,
                  0.08050262318838353,
                  0.12902758593980607,
                  0.11984586915135681,
                  0.16690812543307312
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23457958118988842,
                  0.11864122692593004,
                  0.44038442452528814,
                  0.14304388402215332,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.12209205536551032,
                  0.43632285498898205,
                  0.17880139376069062
                ],
                "crps": [
                  34.25513692049688,
                  23.801130471798313,
                  68.03516689357967,
                  27.201864135668657,
                  33.28725309554409,
                  33.28179600608565,
                  80.31255997576856,
                  34.42974051399017
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.91091499200625,
                  33.39002587790927,
                  163.85395380251938,
                  30.317658032788415,
                  46.77514464531494,
                  32.16405989901042,
                  178.02911191569987,
                  27.619913058663098
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  33.18715154236793,
                  22.846972635670415,
                  66.53233371985424,
                  26.231266583052854,
                  32.37672282177968,
                  32.24641431538285,
                  78.99495826973438,
                  33.54539956996586
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.513828107781922,
                  30.99293899368493,
                  161.45686691829505,
                  27.920571148564072,
                  44.378057761090616,
                  29.766973014786096,
                  175.6320250314755,
                  25.22282617443876
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.32183244034719294,
              "rpss": 0.27787371330633837,
              "brier_below": 0.18967614973718466,
              "bss_below": 0.14771935382271661,
              "brier_above": 0.13215629334905374,
              "bss_above": 0.4076951018787024,
              "crps": 41.8255810016165,
              "crpss": 0.3827174756304078,
              "crps_fair": 40.74515243222602,
              "crpss_fair": 0.37660902775909766,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.01849,
                    0.222638,
                    0.056108,
                    0.26657,
                    0.333639,
                    0.094943,
                    0.007612,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0926,
                    0.1396,
                    0.263,
                    0.3602,
                    0.4441,
                    0.5377,
                    0.6156,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0068,
                    0.2872,
                    0.4036,
                    0.4865,
                    0.4467,
                    0.5718,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.105317,
                    0.315236,
                    0.283843,
                    0.048649,
                    0.038649,
                    0.128225,
                    0.080081,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1737,
                    0.2556,
                    0.3367,
                    0.4387,
                    0.5593,
                    0.6549,
                    0.7213,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1134,
                    0.0882,
                    0.1547,
                    0.2458,
                    0.8819,
                    0.9847,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sqrt_mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.1758338727626727,
            "training": [
              0.16724317226247298,
              0.19676273311260967,
              0.14968414130444047,
              0.22603171516257153,
              0.2873261460247477,
              0.1874533339263433,
              0.17424605950413657,
              0.12904164623776754,
              0.16385032880086173,
              0.16047564919780827,
              0.17048925770121948,
              0.16582521077825269,
              0.18932200049758519,
              0.20839729794692452,
              0.11864620124552876,
              0.12878405068481993,
              0.16724917716146875,
              0.14489884340294362,
              0.180808823715969,
              0.19140755948917618,
              0.17283381093918457,
              0.15897658704081838,
              0.1837988925036702,
              0.19646030766282294
            ],
            "test": 0.18587686073551954
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4446135418695062,
                  0.3828811488002995,
                  0.45180440251785836,
                  0.3810241700254464,
                  0.20974210319838277,
                  0.40623388194898297,
                  0.41000506883726384,
                  0.5569420152452581,
                  0.36563595353618605,
                  0.4272672504925942,
                  0.4257432796010936,
                  0.4020457109562108,
                  0.46086083541047634,
                  0.4146284495429246,
                  0.5884571741531147,
                  0.5479817128952174,
                  0.39771022753140167,
                  0.6570527264015268,
                  0.4268935352238669,
                  0.40083672401612175,
                  0.4356399517313837,
                  0.4928744180163704,
                  0.3447562955681246,
                  0.4064534840707569
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4395210979875425,
                  0.470103716624794,
                  0.41696991681095497,
                  0.4787026031452831,
                  0.5456974441052049,
                  0.4718891913819794,
                  0.47528498703411814,
                  0.4682080369739733,
                  0.3831343647949888,
                  0.4088195356935795,
                  0.4015935093605737,
                  0.39471244953026,
                  0.4905254593905998,
                  0.4972930203135432,
                  0.44542605260977947,
                  0.45801231637095624,
                  0.41221699134066647,
                  0.5190225092696747,
                  0.45873316132537956,
                  0.4177409102960471,
                  0.44718476065736323,
                  0.46325505114638965,
                  0.44214927012968386,
                  0.47013731140410536
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.286581618161368,
                  0.2047301807504097,
                  0.28000368780070317,
                  0.2684740800322381,
                  0.03408542419368745,
                  0.19293084576410616,
                  0.19077825471702647,
                  0.1881324319129754,
                  0.20813462965401652,
                  0.20439240375636322,
                  0.2445362209044364,
                  0.19991554520292615,
                  0.3578192739852529,
                  0.10033753511456309,
                  0.4060859870076837,
                  0.17493330150409908,
                  0.1757868041967534,
                  0.46214393416301747,
                  0.21283418012928132,
                  0.21178573249348787,
                  0.12013305074300128,
                  0.1427237228064147,
                  0.0980007510096891,
                  0.30723755008623826
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.26733852590825796,
                  0.2537256337025866,
                  0.25705411420017604,
                  0.3357734196011123,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.24514724598143975,
                  0.22681741549383455,
                  0.13433843965721864,
                  0.20847648854308581,
                  0.21955850215575037,
                  0.23050568160830917,
                  0.18056439949521058,
                  0.3677097897916764,
                  0.12508152488088367,
                  0.31011998366589516,
                  0.1537918174661276,
                  0.19438540787371786,
                  0.391713087904114,
                  0.23671767734449203,
                  0.22863730285774397,
                  0.13116571704967142,
                  0.1350144958485548,
                  0.15057377542642655,
                  0.33304615388212466
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1580319187978165,
                  0.1781509649330223,
                  0.17180071032772753,
                  0.11255008841845517,
                  0.17565667569228025,
                  0.2133030376955403,
                  0.21922681805789657,
                  0.3688095869201719,
                  0.15750132236811937,
                  0.22287484398935356,
                  0.18120705490819386,
                  0.20213016479497187,
                  0.10304155400384243,
                  0.314290921386874,
                  0.1823711823034672,
                  0.3730484166903704,
                  0.22192342486144678,
                  0.19490879209723133,
                  0.21405935453118574,
                  0.1890509873355261,
                  0.31550690888171495,
                  0.3501507053699432,
                  0.2467555459784849,
                  0.09921592989160401
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17218257207928467,
                  0.21637808292220725,
                  0.15991580261077884,
                  0.14292918354417064,
                  0.4247144528307517,
                  0.22674194540053969,
                  0.24846757154028362,
                  0.3338695973167546,
                  0.17465787625190304,
                  0.18926103353782903,
                  0.17108782775226475,
                  0.21414805003504944,
                  0.12281566959892326,
                  0.37221149543265947,
                  0.13530606894388414,
                  0.3042204989048285,
                  0.21783158346694867,
                  0.12730942136556073,
                  0.22201548398088763,
                  0.18910360743830318,
                  0.3160190436076916,
                  0.3282405552978347,
                  0.29157549470325717,
                  0.13709115752198053
                ],
                "crps": [
                  30.996781758887636,
                  36.247025503304386,
                  29.156656763736684,
                  25.839503304824014,
                  173.55922500622387,
                  31.90030329072216,
                  35.0134528439905,
                  47.48772271030492,
                  20.66170359007674,
                  31.164954453162768,
                  28.250886406987988,
                  27.857570399278032,
                  33.637236308177464,
                  55.6921649715222,
                  41.20396637522274,
                  50.06067662741456,
                  32.425135037222425,
                  60.58418032016372,
                  41.544308016942814,
                  28.834375747645037,
                  37.17011375613743,
                  34.36447967373893,
                  37.99271695673745,
                  27.173464631730383
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.742925516629697,
                  40.77336668818828,
                  28.09618525185972,
                  37.986090541506,
                  251.4927342153348,
                  40.320321374030684,
                  40.93726570534917,
                  40.54786455186527,
                  22.988890072347303,
                  28.257992147944407,
                  24.96559897910219,
                  25.682377420488514,
                  37.65656723862455,
                  67.35667251514191,
                  29.987287831298126,
                  43.08507304266908,
                  30.254448434401816,
                  47.83890739301917,
                  44.7070520085121,
                  29.018165136591247,
                  36.90426542672519,
                  32.258006168915756,
                  38.015712600516835,
                  34.40598130175283
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  29.506507941765854,
                  34.32041819972539,
                  27.721300253164628,
                  24.398611181599673,
                  171.96265537726816,
                  30.600602283993386,
                  33.48359334811706,
                  46.09679172105599,
                  19.39795239649653,
                  29.394772590354233,
                  26.591556983730854,
                  26.25489598750867,
                  32.35793753363145,
                  54.14984962284919,
                  39.748114322948624,
                  48.944090692822094,
                  30.67517105109407,
                  59.07314053907721,
                  40.05037409734826,
                  27.39118929677062,
                  35.571924640322116,
                  32.89750921024864,
                  35.9409266785613,
                  25.940420479424954
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  29.83323453860368,
                  38.88077881844172,
                  26.1795875687868,
                  36.08822373966346,
                  249.9992360568139,
                  38.426875463916396,
                  39.04498825040786,
                  38.65484959473932,
                  21.062619481737414,
                  26.341700917326186,
                  23.043072155361166,
                  23.761208131674348,
                  35.758076339617475,
                  65.51443181552213,
                  28.07427178189838,
                  41.19686340465451,
                  28.3419383709928,
                  45.95970122915301,
                  42.821914300357065,
                  27.103313627542445,
                  35.0043497136804,
                  30.34929072242817,
                  36.1179019010588,
                  32.50133398998652
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4349201692329319,
              "rpss": 0.040293872870843406,
              "brier_below": 0.21968821442040576,
              "bss_below": 0.030473546214975555,
              "brier_above": 0.21523195459313502,
              "bss_above": 0.050114463272683096,
              "crps": 41.617441852256455,
              "crpss": 0.07966715216436548,
              "crps_fair": 40.10292943457829,
              "crpss_fair": 0.07460095883497275,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.009306,
                    0.136185,
                    0.2731,
                    0.312045,
                    0.184527,
                    0.072088,
                    0.012077,
                    0.000644,
                    2.8e-05,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0852,
                    0.154,
                    0.2593,
                    0.3559,
                    0.4447,
                    0.5357,
                    0.6262,
                    0.7333,
                    0.8112,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.3324,
                    0.2167,
                    0.298,
                    0.351,
                    0.4046,
                    0.5675,
                    0.6232,
                    0.5228,
                    1.0,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.003241,
                    0.087162,
                    0.301521,
                    0.281134,
                    0.181448,
                    0.081175,
                    0.046862,
                    0.01726,
                    0.000198,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0881,
                    0.1663,
                    0.26,
                    0.3557,
                    0.4449,
                    0.5422,
                    0.6473,
                    0.7356,
                    0.8185,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.217,
                    0.2256,
                    0.2672,
                    0.3356,
                    0.3713,
                    0.5012,
                    0.6315,
                    0.8027,
                    1.0,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44488287691637857,
                  0.3182773077478492,
                  0.3728537933203119,
                  0.3252870820537114,
                  0.14894916948933337,
                  0.3346626378586626,
                  0.3044178341645057,
                  0.6038960315515787,
                  0.34266437477163236,
                  0.3073178002466796,
                  0.35688649520319987,
                  0.4127104030099675,
                  0.473694117077842,
                  0.3857416439227628,
                  0.4634988313494849,
                  0.4931113521842695,
                  0.3888558469415029,
                  0.5824049429887603,
                  0.44190801998069207,
                  0.30392624514023775,
                  0.46132468344795646,
                  0.49195274667488914,
                  0.19228003595368112,
                  0.43631321772519205
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48190550000573357,
                  0.4447116445242348,
                  0.39122568096409477,
                  0.5314846969938783,
                  0.5463137956783318,
                  0.5246370465888529,
                  0.46799085520133354,
                  0.4301833029814578,
                  0.3790308872213789,
                  0.3760295940535084,
                  0.36571087481860687,
                  0.4071905851059967,
                  0.5346883511508412,
                  0.5378418848789392,
                  0.39758042315298353,
                  0.42189702405901625,
                  0.3563103597455807,
                  0.5447213097764745,
                  0.4681166137581803,
                  0.3573140644587983,
                  0.4646548700920834,
                  0.443550454531998,
                  0.4892057891747856,
                  0.5235515129376195
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3355696950905442,
                  0.08885097567247816,
                  0.26396043436609945,
                  0.2604879902011872,
                  0.018383392949348012,
                  0.2603179628996171,
                  0.24046375564157105,
                  0.24300687622215078,
                  0.21055888368727857,
                  0.07770188025415481,
                  0.20895385881067746,
                  0.14883563944128814,
                  0.38453396423478203,
                  0.07533057436672883,
                  0.3028591107869343,
                  0.1520538137937487,
                  0.15225131789440505,
                  0.45749057877185945,
                  0.11105699120880874,
                  0.09104552155769735,
                  0.10164766010189716,
                  0.15571863003483483,
                  0.0162956709500173,
                  0.35463030756597463
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3519612903999631,
                  0.14955802970751203,
                  0.2601871534110402,
                  0.4105017057194249,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.39624369138262994,
                  0.3443603210875784,
                  0.12682101259329223,
                  0.2099793080182162,
                  0.1262687532682766,
                  0.2039124110213452,
                  0.13844673123024703,
                  0.4137053598763879,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.264430544340142,
                  0.12679414888912763,
                  0.17861675021890278,
                  0.42373831850202115,
                  0.13731870409752048,
                  0.14687327559600188,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.14271630161606835,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.40256852166316615
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10931317457238823,
                  0.2294263307368378,
                  0.10889335149822886,
                  0.06479909256494772,
                  0.1305657715786213,
                  0.07434467488853318,
                  0.06395407803738191,
                  0.3608891498520608,
                  0.1321054908229434,
                  0.22961591651394703,
                  0.14793263175811516,
                  0.2638747647949349,
                  0.08916014542923642,
                  0.31041107337318946,
                  0.16063971242184694,
                  0.3410575427373961,
                  0.23660452892477307,
                  0.12491436112802055,
                  0.3308510363232266,
                  0.2128807211109257,
                  0.35967703462289674,
                  0.336234123470028,
                  0.1759843625742687,
                  0.08168290535441444
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1299442096057706,
                  0.29515361481672286,
                  0.13103852755305465,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4253308044038785,
                  0.12839335520622294,
                  0.12363053411375528,
                  0.3033622903881658,
                  0.16905157920316274,
                  0.24976084078523186,
                  0.16179846379726168,
                  0.26874385387575,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4168588936044859,
                  0.13314987881284177,
                  0.2951028751698888,
                  0.1776936095266779,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3307979096606601,
                  0.21044078886279646,
                  0.34367187881763017,
                  0.3008341529159299,
                  0.3682227979003325,
                  0.12098299127445337
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.997418927496945,
                  44.708517506868944,
                  28.06377685250376,
                  27.913665101012757,
                  229.57092088982435,
                  33.850655479705644,
                  26.945780951604902,
                  56.535468396182864,
                  25.538939504824786,
                  30.20039005549623,
                  29.996323038063174,
                  38.388613426871856,
                  45.37366692340242,
                  78.85799057527628,
                  40.52375681062476,
                  53.362658335826836,
                  38.39924949591349,
                  74.71417813020062,
                  68.92252081142023,
                  29.748641153300433,
                  53.358917176806024,
                  39.50218163159879,
                  53.8727419625458,
                  36.27319121723275
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  44.818392114890194,
                  49.555903283487574,
                  30.675020158925083,
                  53.94868480057281,
                  354.7381681248423,
                  56.058574286857095,
                  40.89964859325192,
                  41.88472808521825,
                  29.960563688835595,
                  35.58986358112118,
                  28.725216146584827,
                  36.06632699048634,
                  54.26159742058326,
                  101.57427145824482,
                  32.681017126544084,
                  48.797086589560294,
                  29.95440091470073,
                  69.17206276014227,
                  74.3649830088615,
                  31.00618674826232,
                  52.67156510791567,
                  36.916850791140064,
                  58.698649883439046,
                  47.73367692323706
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  37.2264918974227,
                  41.912047140873845,
                  26.24134142649369,
                  26.106409000142527,
                  227.41383450788527,
                  32.12853737140266,
                  25.137203634469643,
                  54.85152931626006,
                  23.877993361466814,
                  28.288874406816547,
                  27.982749902188992,
                  36.231179721077105,
                  43.76187370168603,
                  76.83625945473617,
                  38.5167775152859,
                  51.86989137470879,
                  36.18735304834353,
                  73.06680358329406,
                  67.07654551300489,
                  27.77290009464774,
                  51.35240133207745,
                  37.760281608154585,
                  50.5725771489085,
                  34.72446230066651
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.28827155959033,
                  47.03475528721915,
                  28.118112914314686,
                  51.435856466268575,
                  352.79501684228853,
                  53.54974195536778,
                  38.362106175221676,
                  39.349051348043986,
                  27.402303306971245,
                  33.04226475208313,
                  26.16461609134499,
                  33.51963055426904,
                  51.74936172381692,
                  99.15164309867102,
                  30.1279091186148,
                  46.27450144046246,
                  27.396128860915656,
                  66.68806658106446,
                  71.89082190601232,
                  28.449906713101416,
                  50.156317986314725,
                  34.37176519545435,
                  56.19481769512508,
                  45.209077740680264
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.39115906207171175,
              "rpss": 0.13761259141019389,
              "brier_below": 0.19633356193767013,
              "bss_below": 0.13365280244975464,
              "brier_above": 0.19482549896204845,
              "bss_above": 0.14156658531683552,
              "crps": 50.98417351477519,
              "crpss": 0.15070814229389873,
              "crps_fair": 49.03734659841725,
              "crpss_fair": 0.14762256287793585,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.013651,
                    0.155683,
                    0.247996,
                    0.276794,
                    0.194914,
                    0.095437,
                    0.015524,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0836,
                    0.1492,
                    0.2581,
                    0.3579,
                    0.4474,
                    0.5363,
                    0.6227,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.2126,
                    0.089,
                    0.2132,
                    0.3742,
                    0.4982,
                    0.692,
                    0.6918,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.004636,
                    0.117569,
                    0.325214,
                    0.250043,
                    0.132228,
                    0.089118,
                    0.052252,
                    0.028651,
                    0.000291,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.09,
                    0.1659,
                    0.2576,
                    0.3547,
                    0.447,
                    0.5426,
                    0.6511,
                    0.739,
                    0.8185,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.1092,
                    0.1589,
                    0.2395,
                    0.2971,
                    0.4087,
                    0.6293,
                    0.7975,
                    0.8636,
                    1.0,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4173489159809706,
                  0.4087857083137913,
                  0.3942752947470948,
                  0.3350110119242516,
                  0.45003039135616063,
                  0.40171747509966693,
                  0.3493116943477708,
                  0.6140029522688369
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.417659603071558,
                  0.42114839455105046,
                  0.5533032498091346,
                  0.4473076683297933,
                  0.4625683790499464,
                  0.41678104095296603,
                  0.5158924310312171,
                  0.42890011506153497
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.23739912292938364,
                  0.21291004531044824,
                  0.09416370244128558,
                  0.23851403068117505,
                  0.23101028559417863,
                  0.22780703291068066,
                  0.11835598985046307,
                  0.2570653528878058
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23401701276525544,
                  0.2189631813755131,
                  0.11111111773384957,
                  0.3104494178140245,
                  0.2504465951343465,
                  0.24187001637124075,
                  0.1452369658843232,
                  0.14026665735763472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1799497969377664,
                  0.19587566159486666,
                  0.30011156607170036,
                  0.09649699094275743,
                  0.2190201035455405,
                  0.17391045260615856,
                  0.2309556894625396,
                  0.35693757772016227
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18364259720487727,
                  0.20218521675843326,
                  0.4421920927416047,
                  0.1368582657800341,
                  0.2121217857216985,
                  0.17491103304162547,
                  0.37065543860496475,
                  0.28863344582864725
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.01675264570494,
                  23.898934454124294,
                  78.71747888889976,
                  20.06653112692976,
                  29.46510919864651,
                  26.373966213096388,
                  70.3124739649298,
                  51.53121913074239
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.991938244042803,
                  27.156682952757507,
                  116.99857569796765,
                  25.68956435022059,
                  33.64072492622825,
                  25.925245138455825,
                  110.35729933852919,
                  38.12777562837381
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.2808802717537,
                  23.21933498639879,
                  77.72586357235701,
                  19.37671905420486,
                  28.84911752921658,
                  25.549118318104984,
                  69.38658043356035,
                  50.900686371051414
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.186278935163696,
                  25.3510236438784,
                  115.19291638908858,
                  23.883905041341485,
                  31.83506561734916,
                  24.11958582957673,
                  108.55164002965007,
                  36.322116319494704
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.421310430504818,
              "rpss": 0.07999797117335872,
              "brier_below": 0.2021531953256776,
              "bss_below": 0.021263756883021956,
              "brier_above": 0.21915722986018646,
              "bss_above": 0.12825281063272753,
              "crps": 40.92280820288423,
              "crpss": 0.1894222590149509,
              "crps_fair": 40.16103756708096,
              "crpss_fair": 0.1750045916991061,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.009843,
                    0.123637,
                    0.108902,
                    0.288663,
                    0.27941,
                    0.170851,
                    0.017936,
                    0.000759,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0835,
                    0.1431,
                    0.2547,
                    0.355,
                    0.4476,
                    0.5388,
                    0.6309,
                    0.7193,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0421,
                    0.2155,
                    0.3076,
                    0.341,
                    0.3808,
                    0.4467,
                    0.6675,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000338,
                    0.173933,
                    0.349486,
                    0.243958,
                    0.091571,
                    0.051884,
                    0.057526,
                    0.031305,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0852,
                    0.1683,
                    0.2475,
                    0.3412,
                    0.442,
                    0.5472,
                    0.656,
                    0.724,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.3282,
                    0.3065,
                    0.3869,
                    0.3928,
                    0.7434,
                    0.9809,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.40062615559043613,
                  0.29923020352387486,
                  0.14887124442176283,
                  0.3489056600846219,
                  0.37714297795727525,
                  0.41487863515444595,
                  0.13681697876095733,
                  0.4087434710334625
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.37168678111891346,
                  0.40830734552865355,
                  0.5514955812695821,
                  0.4122454531264281,
                  0.5073582366943469,
                  0.42296825285318396,
                  0.5480141639602464,
                  0.3433109747399186
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16375124837667598,
                  0.2332670738438909,
                  0.022651744415038037,
                  0.2346180336401712,
                  0.30556956681733666,
                  0.29553054025679937,
                  0.015696469436848055,
                  0.24180714300865636
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13710719771935653,
                  0.28966613712444955,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.26920158326246535,
                  0.3962471388287118,
                  0.3008762153923436,
                  0.11169127068708512,
                  0.1645095887434772
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23687490507399384,
                  0.06596314101103504,
                  0.12621948297242785,
                  0.11428763545199985,
                  0.07157342503847222,
                  0.11934811049209819,
                  0.12112049427422152,
                  0.16693632772656153
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23457958118988842,
                  0.11864122692593004,
                  0.44038442452528814,
                  0.14304388402215332,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.12209205536551032,
                  0.43632285498898205,
                  0.17880139376069062
                ],
                "crps": [
                  32.91880111177688,
                  21.492992655039732,
                  72.57211676831609,
                  25.00831185611541,
                  32.75037502976244,
                  31.144447633913728,
                  85.12992483747398,
                  31.912288593258214
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.91091499200625,
                  33.39002587790927,
                  163.85395380251938,
                  30.317658032788415,
                  46.77514464531494,
                  32.16405989901042,
                  178.02911191569987,
                  27.619913058663098
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.948032298564076,
                  20.633041196639365,
                  71.10219177790508,
                  24.13682817855248,
                  31.933641456636842,
                  30.204880191878587,
                  83.84334763395847,
                  31.12308177208181
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.513828107781922,
                  30.99293899368493,
                  161.45686691829505,
                  27.920571148564072,
                  44.378057761090616,
                  29.766973014786096,
                  175.6320250314755,
                  25.22282617443876
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3169019158158546,
              "rpss": 0.2889368036754334,
              "brier_below": 0.18911147747442705,
              "bss_below": 0.15025662190649136,
              "brier_above": 0.12779044025510125,
              "bss_above": 0.4272622076630338,
              "crps": 41.61615731070706,
              "crpss": 0.3858082536062686,
              "crps_fair": 40.61563056327709,
              "crpss_fair": 0.3785906810108517,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.02524,
                    0.216756,
                    0.06916,
                    0.284826,
                    0.289931,
                    0.107561,
                    0.006526,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0835,
                    0.1317,
                    0.2598,
                    0.3602,
                    0.4441,
                    0.5369,
                    0.6228,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.009,
                    0.2739,
                    0.4205,
                    0.4707,
                    0.4933,
                    0.6336,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000436,
                    0.134024,
                    0.361131,
                    0.221621,
                    0.034309,
                    0.047767,
                    0.123902,
                    0.076808,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0852,
                    0.1654,
                    0.2497,
                    0.3356,
                    0.4431,
                    0.5614,
                    0.6588,
                    0.7244,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.1085,
                    0.0842,
                    0.1854,
                    0.2534,
                    0.8908,
                    0.9842,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "pt": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.19031556148519205,
            "training": [
              0.18468890189705403,
              0.21106030651641156,
              0.1655743581842376,
              0.23990367933881301,
              0.300088937101065,
              0.20347481331206865,
              0.19044427385298227,
              0.14287441308342025,
              0.17660023548618609,
              0.17545792706265814,
              0.1839282603681319,
              0.17795982965602733,
              0.20619823373013604,
              0.22231842470040206,
              0.13391425846494803,
              0.13989926708580563,
              0.18094793589883748,
              0.16157318906104942,
              0.19654279796513707,
              0.20815526596112366,
              0.18593725175721676,
              0.16815076227833442,
              0.1983465092731922,
              0.2135336436093713
            ],
            "test": 0.19896483384517005
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4380444036547446,
                  0.3811200780854027,
                  0.44499324704250975,
                  0.3708123590717429,
                  0.2143977681412653,
                  0.4040220791323068,
                  0.41316580659269453,
                  0.5756855119554605,
                  0.3668163266844707,
                  0.4253591133228268,
                  0.42500024740842357,
                  0.4144778081945749,
                  0.4402973481880968,
                  0.4385007295779931,
                  0.5682293965980999,
                  0.57532617459421,
                  0.4010738154050762,
                  0.6266468194750896,
                  0.4320489697077318,
                  0.3911559075493185,
                  0.4580041750598154,
                  0.5159869362722943,
                  0.3470053760264936,
                  0.38952846136732805
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4395210979875425,
                  0.470103716624794,
                  0.41696991681095497,
                  0.4787026031452831,
                  0.5456974441052049,
                  0.4718891913819794,
                  0.47528498703411814,
                  0.4682080369739733,
                  0.3831343647949888,
                  0.4088195356935795,
                  0.4015935093605737,
                  0.39471244953026,
                  0.4905254593905998,
                  0.4972930203135432,
                  0.44542605260977947,
                  0.45801231637095624,
                  0.41221699134066647,
                  0.5190225092696747,
                  0.45873316132537956,
                  0.4177409102960471,
                  0.44718476065736323,
                  0.46325505114638965,
                  0.44214927012968386,
                  0.47013731140410536
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2833857843075942,
                  0.20118702112508147,
                  0.27805829541919497,
                  0.2618835421765301,
                  0.03522813930729386,
                  0.1929589082174433,
                  0.1938424203668254,
                  0.20129441854082053,
                  0.21088536386055803,
                  0.20565847593606038,
                  0.2466515250149931,
                  0.20938484944138613,
                  0.3423590402616731,
                  0.11082503820115237,
                  0.3932999316414908,
                  0.19532883343207025,
                  0.1817179725233783,
                  0.43928092444921135,
                  0.21421340671934402,
                  0.20672985553285508,
                  0.13110640951727373,
                  0.15672066757123623,
                  0.09905644985605588,
                  0.29488927608346444
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.26733852590825796,
                  0.2537256337025866,
                  0.25705411420017604,
                  0.3357734196011123,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.24514724598143975,
                  0.22681741549383455,
                  0.13433843965721864,
                  0.20847648854308581,
                  0.21955850215575037,
                  0.23050568160830917,
                  0.18056439949521058,
                  0.3677097897916764,
                  0.12508152488088367,
                  0.31011998366589516,
                  0.1537918174661276,
                  0.19438540787371786,
                  0.391713087904114,
                  0.23671767734449203,
                  0.22863730285774397,
                  0.13116571704967142,
                  0.1350144958485548,
                  0.15057377542642655,
                  0.33304615388212466
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1546586155016254,
                  0.17993305453868152,
                  0.16693494781590415,
                  0.10892881518145144,
                  0.17916962535153866,
                  0.2110631731691258,
                  0.21932339006147578,
                  0.37439109601517456,
                  0.15593096083218302,
                  0.2197006346600815,
                  0.17834871874622724,
                  0.20509295770068703,
                  0.09793830118000638,
                  0.32767569992276946,
                  0.17492946011845667,
                  0.3799973437745772,
                  0.21935584348305698,
                  0.18736589469895998,
                  0.21783556241790022,
                  0.1844260479140554,
                  0.326897774286192,
                  0.35926627787080484,
                  0.24794892702249613,
                  0.0946391822721613
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17218257207928467,
                  0.21637808292220725,
                  0.15991580261077884,
                  0.14292918354417064,
                  0.4247144528307517,
                  0.22674194540053969,
                  0.24846757154028362,
                  0.3338695973167546,
                  0.17465787625190304,
                  0.18926103353782903,
                  0.17108782775226475,
                  0.21414805003504944,
                  0.12281566959892326,
                  0.37221149543265947,
                  0.13530606894388414,
                  0.3042204989048285,
                  0.21783158346694867,
                  0.12730942136556073,
                  0.22201548398088763,
                  0.18910360743830318,
                  0.3160190436076916,
                  0.3282405552978347,
                  0.29157549470325717,
                  0.13709115752198053
                ],
                "crps": [
                  30.65575366533974,
                  36.685545403611144,
                  28.756064303081573,
                  25.111026316793886,
                  174.31128891142035,
                  31.854937292746296,
                  34.93870581236494,
                  49.03330148450934,
                  20.804078595081304,
                  31.740395047417042,
                  28.6837310601365,
                  29.088676617353673,
                  32.320060746447716,
                  56.605640617029486,
                  40.22807633848366,
                  52.03291083066824,
                  33.12475996642382,
                  58.98856311859836,
                  42.291959871021696,
                  28.273934327300456,
                  39.08055446975309,
                  36.27465926767083,
                  41.64989194874319,
                  25.975013297008932
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.742925516629697,
                  40.77336668818828,
                  28.09618525185972,
                  37.986090541506,
                  251.4927342153348,
                  40.320321374030684,
                  40.93726570534917,
                  40.54786455186527,
                  22.988890072347303,
                  28.257992147944407,
                  24.96559897910219,
                  25.682377420488514,
                  37.65656723862455,
                  67.35667251514191,
                  29.987287831298126,
                  43.08507304266908,
                  30.254448434401816,
                  47.83890739301917,
                  44.7070520085121,
                  29.018165136591247,
                  36.90426542672519,
                  32.258006168915756,
                  38.015712600516835,
                  34.40598130175283
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  29.108950410251875,
                  34.56193669272783,
                  27.278964821857745,
                  23.653916547384767,
                  172.71142305797667,
                  30.535874823018304,
                  33.382468097245855,
                  47.59724075290416,
                  19.517547627078628,
                  29.863729000410864,
                  26.93718823336606,
                  27.435301311936232,
                  31.010577979559994,
                  54.954948413922224,
                  38.6997270701082,
                  50.90272527269573,
                  31.221818672493125,
                  57.39468614922206,
                  40.71247274793546,
                  26.760706402390387,
                  37.39595363622404,
                  34.737161902264134,
                  39.18300766199782,
                  24.721647457240245
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  29.83323453860368,
                  38.88077881844172,
                  26.1795875687868,
                  36.08822373966346,
                  249.9992360568139,
                  38.426875463916396,
                  39.04498825040786,
                  38.65484959473932,
                  21.062619481737414,
                  26.341700917326186,
                  23.043072155361166,
                  23.761208131674348,
                  35.758076339617475,
                  65.51443181552213,
                  28.07427178189838,
                  41.19686340465451,
                  28.3419383709928,
                  45.95970122915301,
                  42.821914300357065,
                  27.103313627542445,
                  35.0043497136804,
                  30.34929072242817,
                  36.1179019010588,
                  32.50133398998652
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4357374524628321,
              "rpss": 0.03849043449566203,
              "brier_below": 0.22024777289595776,
              "bss_below": 0.028004106759979996,
              "brier_above": 0.2154896793556497,
              "bss_above": 0.04897704376249956,
              "crps": 42.02123038787522,
              "crpss": 0.07073772651084587,
              "crps_fair": 40.42833228092552,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06709209386556114,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.006457,
                    0.116412,
                    0.245655,
                    0.302381,
                    0.217881,
                    0.094181,
                    0.016557,
                    0.000449,
                    2.8e-05,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0878,
                    0.1546,
                    0.2596,
                    0.3573,
                    0.4446,
                    0.5367,
                    0.6261,
                    0.7385,
                    0.8014,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.1909,
                    0.2175,
                    0.2928,
                    0.3449,
                    0.3972,
                    0.5055,
                    0.5942,
                    0.4388,
                    1.0,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.003664,
                    0.090843,
                    0.324465,
                    0.276316,
                    0.171117,
                    0.077303,
                    0.045262,
                    0.011002,
                    2.8e-05,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0918,
                    0.1637,
                    0.2587,
                    0.3552,
                    0.4427,
                    0.5422,
                    0.6526,
                    0.7378,
                    0.8101,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.2613,
                    0.2365,
                    0.2685,
                    0.3416,
                    0.3776,
                    0.5081,
                    0.6855,
                    0.7343,
                    1.0,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.41706748682339606,
                  0.3293237964204385,
                  0.359413569412721,
                  0.3115622570923129,
                  0.1566100898481222,
                  0.3128539337576898,
                  0.2981681529029893,
                  0.6245367444586286,
                  0.34657732860776463,
                  0.31185440097577416,
                  0.3553480574202512,
                  0.42793537111763097,
                  0.44331726748879174,
                  0.41780825537899513,
                  0.4501557639426163,
                  0.5234348552350089,
                  0.3819658092323121,
                  0.5474712227431779,
                  0.46781917865894246,
                  0.3002729977585572,
                  0.49305503365435277,
                  0.52565752706909,
                  0.20059314592244226,
                  0.40585129382088914
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48190550000573357,
                  0.4447116445242348,
                  0.39122568096409477,
                  0.5314846969938783,
                  0.5463137956783318,
                  0.5246370465888529,
                  0.46799085520133354,
                  0.4301833029814578,
                  0.3790308872213789,
                  0.3760295940535084,
                  0.36571087481860687,
                  0.4071905851059967,
                  0.5346883511508412,
                  0.5378418848789392,
                  0.39758042315298353,
                  0.42189702405901625,
                  0.3563103597455807,
                  0.5447213097764745,
                  0.4681166137581803,
                  0.3573140644587983,
                  0.4646548700920834,
                  0.443550454531998,
                  0.4892057891747856,
                  0.5235515129376195
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3168805352723741,
                  0.09303883375433784,
                  0.2599263659354467,
                  0.2521618219654725,
                  0.01918146315866085,
                  0.24427236962696525,
                  0.23785111392918856,
                  0.2567937873799054,
                  0.21650161922366457,
                  0.08409232938549299,
                  0.21225293242391446,
                  0.15848862939015834,
                  0.3634128445225845,
                  0.0847814721093489,
                  0.29998588816180444,
                  0.1737107987973075,
                  0.15395582550857723,
                  0.43187844651932034,
                  0.12480144356081885,
                  0.0937367673827903,
                  0.11492001539147337,
                  0.17182411350738436,
                  0.01928946119387603,
                  0.3329869514451705
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3519612903999631,
                  0.14955802970751203,
                  0.2601871534110402,
                  0.4105017057194249,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.39624369138262994,
                  0.3443603210875784,
                  0.12682101259329223,
                  0.2099793080182162,
                  0.1262687532682766,
                  0.2039124110213452,
                  0.13844673123024703,
                  0.4137053598763879,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.264430544340142,
                  0.12679414888912763,
                  0.17861675021890278,
                  0.42373831850202115,
                  0.13731870409752048,
                  0.14687327559600188,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.14271630161606835,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.40256852166316615
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10018694601304265,
                  0.23628496237024252,
                  0.0994871971664336,
                  0.05940043635020078,
                  0.1374286216358663,
                  0.0685815659724751,
                  0.060317039222062746,
                  0.367742951800642,
                  0.13007570892376655,
                  0.22776206833413268,
                  0.14309512078524653,
                  0.2694467426918593,
                  0.07990441686612042,
                  0.3330267908729944,
                  0.15016986875516158,
                  0.3497240585775201,
                  0.22800998205457507,
                  0.11559277307312882,
                  0.34301774162084225,
                  0.20653622801722277,
                  0.3781350294057018,
                  0.3538334176897835,
                  0.18130368112201384,
                  0.07286433874143784
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1299442096057706,
                  0.29515361481672286,
                  0.13103852755305465,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4253308044038785,
                  0.12839335520622294,
                  0.12363053411375528,
                  0.3033622903881658,
                  0.16905157920316274,
                  0.24976084078523186,
                  0.16179846379726168,
                  0.26874385387575,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4168588936044859,
                  0.13314987881284177,
                  0.2951028751698888,
                  0.1776936095266779,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3307979096606601,
                  0.21044078886279646,
                  0.34367187881763017,
                  0.3008341529159299,
                  0.3682227979003325,
                  0.12098299127445337
                ],
                "crps": [
                  36.85764192763134,
                  46.85692763506478,
                  26.86805921969097,
                  26.53425993914813,
                  230.429458766979,
                  32.63740339081416,
                  26.125733678045314,
                  58.83114459782189,
                  25.68944747340688,
                  30.700698545226576,
                  30.312207206078927,
                  39.94612220598833,
                  43.11673354102703,
                  80.34038225342397,
                  39.43707596400257,
                  55.8294293962786,
                  38.16451649591788,
                  71.97063536624837,
                  71.39906036340473,
                  29.440838676203807,
                  56.20563534963852,
                  42.303074932811676,
                  61.40678218420161,
                  33.93059339057255
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  44.818392114890194,
                  49.555903283487574,
                  30.675020158925083,
                  53.94868480057281,
                  354.7381681248423,
                  56.058574286857095,
                  40.89964859325192,
                  41.88472808521825,
                  29.960563688835595,
                  35.58986358112118,
                  28.725216146584827,
                  36.06632699048634,
                  54.26159742058326,
                  101.57427145824482,
                  32.681017126544084,
                  48.797086589560294,
                  29.95440091470073,
                  69.17206276014227,
                  74.3649830088615,
                  31.00618674826232,
                  52.67156510791567,
                  36.916850791140064,
                  58.698649883439046,
                  47.73367692323706
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  35.076604835066114,
                  43.732816483787616,
                  25.046580036152562,
                  24.775863276586534,
                  228.2415232308796,
                  30.940526987414568,
                  24.35448199152052,
                  57.168744331868034,
                  24.053229597341748,
                  28.721598260166942,
                  28.25558776174589,
                  37.74591197645908,
                  41.51395286701556,
                  78.18855387066371,
                  37.37663642502624,
                  54.35772821224422,
                  35.783338364043644,
                  70.29216526592016,
                  69.46845516900703,
                  27.38508166756455,
                  54.13512613490255,
                  40.541732452471386,
                  57.271366574147955,
                  32.39340751654849
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.28827155959033,
                  47.03475528721915,
                  28.118112914314686,
                  51.435856466268575,
                  352.79501684228853,
                  53.54974195536778,
                  38.362106175221676,
                  39.349051348043986,
                  27.402303306971245,
                  33.04226475208313,
                  26.16461609134499,
                  33.51963055426904,
                  51.74936172381692,
                  99.15164309867102,
                  30.1279091186148,
                  46.27450144046246,
                  27.396128860915656,
                  66.68806658106446,
                  71.89082190601232,
                  28.449906713101416,
                  50.156317986314725,
                  34.37176519545435,
                  56.19481769512508,
                  45.209077740680264
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.39202723082262053,
              "rpss": 0.13569854193029807,
              "brier_below": 0.19653024289775156,
              "bss_below": 0.13278492231303018,
              "brier_above": 0.19549698700260307,
              "bss_above": 0.13860789780086258,
              "crps": 51.47224427081782,
              "crpss": 0.14257788361722656,
              "crps_fair": 49.450875553689364,
              "crpss_fair": 0.1404345158990239,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.009588,
                    0.133065,
                    0.232316,
                    0.25513,
                    0.228587,
                    0.119704,
                    0.021538,
                    7.3e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0847,
                    0.1483,
                    0.2566,
                    0.3582,
                    0.4473,
                    0.5392,
                    0.6248,
                    0.7536,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0303,
                    0.1102,
                    0.1811,
                    0.3549,
                    0.4786,
                    0.6341,
                    0.6568,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.005358,
                    0.140695,
                    0.353026,
                    0.230167,
                    0.1208,
                    0.081449,
                    0.05015,
                    0.018283,
                    7.3e-05,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0928,
                    0.1644,
                    0.2563,
                    0.3537,
                    0.4438,
                    0.5427,
                    0.6585,
                    0.7388,
                    0.8101,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.162,
                    0.1766,
                    0.2484,
                    0.2969,
                    0.4546,
                    0.6645,
                    0.8368,
                    0.8417,
                    1.0,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4163720073633657,
                  0.41347703866721425,
                  0.4078419345407909,
                  0.32536386879835766,
                  0.44482590236099084,
                  0.394898810347775,
                  0.3586826861368232,
                  0.627724209898674
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.417659603071558,
                  0.42114839455105046,
                  0.5533032498091346,
                  0.4473076683297933,
                  0.4625683790499464,
                  0.41678104095296603,
                  0.5158924310312171,
                  0.42890011506153497
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2368867648344179,
                  0.22015056252650864,
                  0.10074472401686191,
                  0.23181872776005685,
                  0.22992344078393448,
                  0.22516721228781045,
                  0.12074029159992401,
                  0.2699974933553738
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23401701276525544,
                  0.2189631813755131,
                  0.11111111773384957,
                  0.3104494178140245,
                  0.2504465951343465,
                  0.24187001637124075,
                  0.1452369658843232,
                  0.14026665735763472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17948524605845803,
                  0.19332647404797415,
                  0.30709718361781646,
                  0.0935451503899259,
                  0.21490245880829226,
                  0.1697316077069715,
                  0.23794237862887216,
                  0.35772669531179163
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18364259720487727,
                  0.20218521675843326,
                  0.4421920927416047,
                  0.1368582657800341,
                  0.2121217857216985,
                  0.17491103304162547,
                  0.37065543860496475,
                  0.28863344582864725
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.40786936765951,
                  24.144343526584276,
                  78.62628739158419,
                  19.981372089969156,
                  29.029732915605848,
                  26.364725696120054,
                  69.33207263708826,
                  53.06452721073409
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.991938244042803,
                  27.156682952757507,
                  116.99857569796765,
                  25.68956435022059,
                  33.64072492622825,
                  25.925245138455825,
                  110.35729933852919,
                  38.12777562837381
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.643850125264795,
                  23.451325720054907,
                  77.50681521804347,
                  19.277791672165385,
                  28.402362893237527,
                  25.493051422910295,
                  68.28222680793681,
                  52.43026573400391
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.186278935163696,
                  25.3510236438784,
                  115.19291638908858,
                  23.883905041341485,
                  31.83506561734916,
                  24.11958582957673,
                  108.55164002965007,
                  36.322116319494704
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42364830726424896,
              "rpss": 0.07489282492942173,
              "brier_below": 0.20442865214561098,
              "bss_below": 0.010247002704446673,
              "brier_above": 0.21921964932126276,
              "bss_above": 0.12800452318270905,
              "crps": 40.993866354418174,
              "crpss": 0.1880147760371601,
              "crps_fair": 40.18596119920214,
              "crpss_fair": 0.17449260587145388,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.006874,
                    0.116428,
                    0.092325,
                    0.247991,
                    0.300098,
                    0.205731,
                    0.029963,
                    0.000591,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0871,
                    0.1475,
                    0.2545,
                    0.3549,
                    0.4465,
                    0.5381,
                    0.6286,
                    0.7148,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0302,
                    0.2204,
                    0.2769,
                    0.3347,
                    0.3849,
                    0.4553,
                    0.8575,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000424,
                    0.194621,
                    0.357695,
                    0.225282,
                    0.085391,
                    0.052907,
                    0.069936,
                    0.013745,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0892,
                    0.1708,
                    0.248,
                    0.3419,
                    0.4402,
                    0.5438,
                    0.6543,
                    0.7231,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.3094,
                    0.2996,
                    0.4233,
                    0.4026,
                    0.7739,
                    0.9879,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4110875930647037,
                  0.2942661595874752,
                  0.1633853002728396,
                  0.3360830275641477,
                  0.35093314115698643,
                  0.39931145157094927,
                  0.1519679047835194,
                  0.4208183700382361
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.37168678111891346,
                  0.40830734552865355,
                  0.5514955812695821,
                  0.4122454531264281,
                  0.5073582366943469,
                  0.42296825285318396,
                  0.5480141639602464,
                  0.3433109747399186
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.17197884463399743,
                  0.23434478374304046,
                  0.026129853856773876,
                  0.22796770294816535,
                  0.28662419022063756,
                  0.28822884564090867,
                  0.018128416745274815,
                  0.25332981902520213
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13710719771935653,
                  0.28966613712444955,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.26920158326246535,
                  0.3962471388287118,
                  0.3008762153923436,
                  0.11169127068708512,
                  0.1645095887434772
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23910874497586762,
                  0.05992138660410932,
                  0.13725542786104172,
                  0.10811533332269811,
                  0.0643089645261012,
                  0.111082620669884,
                  0.1338394713640592,
                  0.16748855029845672
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23457958118988842,
                  0.11864122692593004,
                  0.44038442452528814,
                  0.14304388402215332,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.12209205536551032,
                  0.43632285498898205,
                  0.17880139376069062
                ],
                "crps": [
                  34.26928610483271,
                  20.853887005017654,
                  72.62129241038829,
                  24.485148254933414,
                  30.75612490176569,
                  30.023831854116384,
                  82.37729921402034,
                  32.99662860821311
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.91091499200625,
                  33.39002587790927,
                  163.85395380251938,
                  30.317658032788415,
                  46.77514464531494,
                  32.16405989901042,
                  178.02911191569987,
                  27.619913058663098
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  33.28395634652278,
                  20.000903151112485,
                  70.90331584495463,
                  23.61402626065997,
                  29.948743222020706,
                  29.066255191507544,
                  80.88571781282985,
                  32.22452750989089
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.513828107781922,
                  30.99293899368493,
                  161.45686691829505,
                  27.920571148564072,
                  44.378057761090616,
                  29.766973014786096,
                  175.6320250314755,
                  25.22282617443876
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3159816185048572,
              "rpss": 0.29100176294158997,
              "brier_below": 0.18834155710175005,
              "bss_below": 0.15371614084779972,
              "brier_above": 0.12764006245277723,
              "bss_above": 0.4279361786607674,
              "crps": 41.047937294160945,
              "crpss": 0.3941943244703495,
              "crps_fair": 39.990930667437354,
              "crpss_fair": 0.38814843824526357,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.017625,
                    0.218947,
                    0.059371,
                    0.224419,
                    0.315347,
                    0.151901,
                    0.01239,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0871,
                    0.1379,
                    0.2598,
                    0.3594,
                    0.4453,
                    0.5366,
                    0.6259,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.006,
                    0.2531,
                    0.3682,
                    0.4809,
                    0.5096,
                    0.5092,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000655,
                    0.176216,
                    0.376533,
                    0.174008,
                    0.025195,
                    0.053188,
                    0.15961,
                    0.034596,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0892,
                    0.1684,
                    0.2486,
                    0.3345,
                    0.4418,
                    0.5543,
                    0.6559,
                    0.7232,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0973,
                    0.0889,
                    0.2098,
                    0.3364,
                    0.906,
                    0.9877,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dc": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.22589676306204018,
            "training": [
              0.21186674797651536,
              0.26016000460973127,
              0.2093350707615566,
              0.2822871622229994,
              0.4118185316919596,
              0.2103917905634039,
              0.22049248954135592,
              0.1825565975189517,
              0.2102666189140783,
              0.17497275218322947,
              0.2092028405448577,
              0.20484368418129828,
              0.24956115778770893,
              0.2528812053067155,
              0.1664012015722513,
              0.16811303819160248,
              0.22213379951941375,
              0.17533242222769826,
              0.22504667088592256,
              0.2508777142938739,
              0.21940743816879776,
              0.19843666661025625,
              0.2678756411392665,
              0.23726106707551964
            ],
            "test": 0.23548978607873258
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4157982687206033,
                  0.3952819654443416,
                  0.42835858510176533,
                  0.3709041745329523,
                  0.3000917290891782,
                  0.4486413731203497,
                  0.454840989238285,
                  0.5795142457772162,
                  0.3697510555078587,
                  0.45888708981483917,
                  0.4424066652393705,
                  0.40813526275668083,
                  0.4196765655785666,
                  0.47156967281026835,
                  0.5177495055784708,
                  0.6029646802775244,
                  0.3908119440911774,
                  0.5931624284754407,
                  0.4298154544731282,
                  0.3831310988139014,
                  0.46553650423208487,
                  0.5137549925328789,
                  0.3521959818249775,
                  0.3831904915720511
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4395210979875425,
                  0.470103716624794,
                  0.41696991681095497,
                  0.4787026031452831,
                  0.5456974441052049,
                  0.4718891913819794,
                  0.47528498703411814,
                  0.4682080369739733,
                  0.3831343647949888,
                  0.4088195356935795,
                  0.4015935093605737,
                  0.39471244953026,
                  0.4905254593905998,
                  0.4972930203135432,
                  0.44542605260977947,
                  0.45801231637095624,
                  0.41221699134066647,
                  0.5190225092696747,
                  0.45873316132537956,
                  0.4177409102960471,
                  0.44718476065736323,
                  0.46325505114638965,
                  0.44214927012968386,
                  0.47013731140410536
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.26057256944785623,
                  0.21529279878101967,
                  0.27012221760999244,
                  0.2689921070053697,
                  0.056440795834080834,
                  0.23171267816091995,
                  0.21453691585386428,
                  0.18495347606642784,
                  0.21281332989789287,
                  0.2370754869001525,
                  0.2561662438512574,
                  0.2049163648390699,
                  0.3301797048283989,
                  0.11713636491901859,
                  0.35015384488805223,
                  0.22389113723046813,
                  0.1681022499299345,
                  0.4281566719811455,
                  0.2250922820139996,
                  0.2037735250341242,
                  0.13371008580480415,
                  0.1530872066307882,
                  0.11222771418648746,
                  0.2911090365581831
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.26733852590825796,
                  0.2537256337025866,
                  0.25705411420017604,
                  0.3357734196011123,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.24514724598143975,
                  0.22681741549383455,
                  0.13433843965721864,
                  0.20847648854308581,
                  0.21955850215575037,
                  0.23050568160830917,
                  0.18056439949521058,
                  0.3677097897916764,
                  0.12508152488088367,
                  0.31011998366589516,
                  0.1537918174661276,
                  0.19438540787371786,
                  0.391713087904114,
                  0.23671767734449203,
                  0.22863730285774397,
                  0.13116571704967142,
                  0.1350144958485548,
                  0.15057377542642655,
                  0.33304615388212466
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15522570126021648,
                  0.1799891682938564,
                  0.1582363697604154,
                  0.10191206938015206,
                  0.24365093313837455,
                  0.21692869271824228,
                  0.2403040719845599,
                  0.3945607661202015,
                  0.1569377277302045,
                  0.2218116040722884,
                  0.18624042232305416,
                  0.2032188972728835,
                  0.08949686309395231,
                  0.354433302530184,
                  0.1675956646841856,
                  0.3790735417483477,
                  0.22270969312618968,
                  0.1650057581764447,
                  0.2047231721308301,
                  0.17935757561745524,
                  0.3318264119443916,
                  0.36066778058579996,
                  0.23996826831984536,
                  0.0920814562272501
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17218257207928467,
                  0.21637808292220725,
                  0.15991580261077884,
                  0.14292918354417064,
                  0.4247144528307517,
                  0.22674194540053969,
                  0.24846757154028362,
                  0.3338695973167546,
                  0.17465787625190304,
                  0.18926103353782903,
                  0.17108782775226475,
                  0.21414805003504944,
                  0.12281566959892326,
                  0.37221149543265947,
                  0.13530606894388414,
                  0.3042204989048285,
                  0.21783158346694867,
                  0.12730942136556073,
                  0.22201548398088763,
                  0.18910360743830318,
                  0.3160190436076916,
                  0.3282405552978347,
                  0.29157549470325717,
                  0.13709115752198053
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.562739603655693,
                  34.99134550839251,
                  28.37315842822406,
                  25.89375418610671,
                  170.47071114978175,
                  34.97165758530451,
                  36.56070671401672,
                  47.26171035113338,
                  21.658220456529847,
                  31.63062715676019,
                  28.2172877141791,
                  27.026311642858612,
                  31.286235464362974,
                  63.34812720691221,
                  35.60903438764023,
                  51.61703062109956,
                  30.62189315571614,
                  54.522436721007274,
                  41.97915713011246,
                  27.96761273939185,
                  38.2022791045474,
                  35.16841120656279,
                  32.17657777023763,
                  26.031202786317245
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.742925516629697,
                  40.77336668818828,
                  28.09618525185972,
                  37.986090541506,
                  251.4927342153348,
                  40.320321374030684,
                  40.93726570534917,
                  40.54786455186527,
                  22.988890072347303,
                  28.257992147944407,
                  24.96559897910219,
                  25.682377420488514,
                  37.65656723862455,
                  67.35667251514191,
                  29.987287831298126,
                  43.08507304266908,
                  30.254448434401816,
                  47.83890739301917,
                  44.7070520085121,
                  29.018165136591247,
                  36.90426542672519,
                  32.258006168915756,
                  38.015712600516835,
                  34.40598130175283
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.854870283534083,
                  32.843322019588754,
                  26.52312095680292,
                  24.309594517332602,
                  168.20593436054958,
                  33.37796467839808,
                  34.926496084329095,
                  45.592455506499626,
                  19.91559890693408,
                  29.53072420453927,
                  26.328722982338398,
                  25.29814692128113,
                  29.560889778562117,
                  61.40533913489546,
                  33.593435616626365,
                  49.9797491806833,
                  28.61162565694291,
                  52.57079574240164,
                  40.1302652183906,
                  25.944780600589212,
                  36.33269981791278,
                  33.36058279949394,
                  29.47311498630555,
                  24.42917675059057
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  29.83323453860368,
                  38.88077881844172,
                  26.1795875687868,
                  36.08822373966346,
                  249.9992360568139,
                  38.426875463916396,
                  39.04498825040786,
                  38.65484959473932,
                  21.062619481737414,
                  26.341700917326186,
                  23.043072155361166,
                  23.761208131674348,
                  35.758076339617475,
                  65.51443181552213,
                  28.07427178189838,
                  41.19686340465451,
                  28.3419383709928,
                  45.95970122915301,
                  42.821914300357065,
                  27.103313627542445,
                  35.0043497136804,
                  30.34929072242817,
                  36.1179019010588,
                  32.50133398998652
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.441507113525163,
              "rpss": 0.025758950732231556,
              "brier_below": 0.22292561701055455,
              "bss_below": 0.016186264300548703,
              "brier_above": 0.21858149634330523,
              "bss_above": 0.035331894071165104,
              "crps": 41.006176199618785,
              "crpss": 0.09318475040774798,
              "crps_fair": 39.12914194606342,
              "crpss_fair": 0.09707168655675269,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000417,
                    0.049621,
                    0.17932,
                    0.450394,
                    0.239377,
                    0.065783,
                    0.01377,
                    0.001319,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0785,
                    0.1662,
                    0.2587,
                    0.3494,
                    0.4358,
                    0.5349,
                    0.6304,
                    0.7271,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.3999,
                    0.1995,
                    0.292,
                    0.3199,
                    0.4259,
                    0.4538,
                    0.5686,
                    0.6612,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000675,
                    0.086295,
                    0.308909,
                    0.369623,
                    0.159178,
                    0.06151,
                    0.012839,
                    0.000973,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0963,
                    0.1695,
                    0.2564,
                    0.3416,
                    0.4422,
                    0.5412,
                    0.6339,
                    0.7098,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0415,
                    0.2231,
                    0.2765,
                    0.3567,
                    0.413,
                    0.5618,
                    0.7293,
                    0.8284,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4126374187549155,
                  0.36732578727497406,
                  0.35708999706059286,
                  0.3342531569340038,
                  0.29536631054017204,
                  0.35448603377068627,
                  0.31931968923093296,
                  0.5710728840422955,
                  0.3548733912804227,
                  0.3501669018730596,
                  0.36501933330741326,
                  0.42508239928597114,
                  0.42750712588293777,
                  0.4647773801499148,
                  0.41898519697373915,
                  0.5040674189497293,
                  0.4038098371095501,
                  0.5153593113804017,
                  0.4461216973173519,
                  0.33303894818186913,
                  0.4945637771606947,
                  0.5049718898419965,
                  0.27683904766085254,
                  0.4153447810047222
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48190550000573357,
                  0.4447116445242348,
                  0.39122568096409477,
                  0.5314846969938783,
                  0.5463137956783318,
                  0.5246370465888529,
                  0.46799085520133354,
                  0.4301833029814578,
                  0.3790308872213789,
                  0.3760295940535084,
                  0.36571087481860687,
                  0.4071905851059967,
                  0.5346883511508412,
                  0.5378418848789392,
                  0.39758042315298353,
                  0.42189702405901625,
                  0.3563103597455807,
                  0.5447213097764745,
                  0.4681166137581803,
                  0.3573140644587983,
                  0.4646548700920834,
                  0.443550454531998,
                  0.4892057891747856,
                  0.5235515129376195
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3168115087697567,
                  0.11724965591191072,
                  0.256443135303041,
                  0.2829925216045918,
                  0.0571995956578847,
                  0.2881058113083944,
                  0.26256539164607473,
                  0.19999331168551904,
                  0.21887252857290465,
                  0.10952337617959404,
                  0.21581918186679175,
                  0.14939643057890156,
                  0.3516966118834398,
                  0.09982428452979347,
                  0.2787775747169758,
                  0.17899464376658025,
                  0.17691093146537373,
                  0.40755160356057046,
                  0.1287018899994309,
                  0.1220755423472771,
                  0.12576673577386474,
                  0.16889961057781563,
                  0.04857363736794044,
                  0.3393106108589198
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3519612903999631,
                  0.14955802970751203,
                  0.2601871534110402,
                  0.4105017057194249,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.39624369138262994,
                  0.3443603210875784,
                  0.12682101259329223,
                  0.2099793080182162,
                  0.1262687532682766,
                  0.2039124110213452,
                  0.13844673123024703,
                  0.4137053598763879,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.264430544340142,
                  0.12679414888912763,
                  0.17861675021890278,
                  0.42373831850202115,
                  0.13731870409752048,
                  0.14687327559600188,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.14271630161606835,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.40256852166316615
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09582591355136633,
                  0.250076131536386,
                  0.10064686488994269,
                  0.05126063625285925,
                  0.23816671600686562,
                  0.06638022347075463,
                  0.05675429803468875,
                  0.3710795713661399,
                  0.13600086379803478,
                  0.24064352654619792,
                  0.14920015357566985,
                  0.27568596702433773,
                  0.07581051588547921,
                  0.3649530925116425,
                  0.140207628509425,
                  0.32507277255880945,
                  0.22689890586787,
                  0.10780771094771512,
                  0.31741980146653126,
                  0.2109634060962559,
                  0.3687970322499358,
                  0.3360722776126532,
                  0.22826541258570088,
                  0.07603417308154688
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1299442096057706,
                  0.29515361481672286,
                  0.13103852755305465,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4253308044038785,
                  0.12839335520622294,
                  0.12363053411375528,
                  0.3033622903881658,
                  0.16905157920316274,
                  0.24976084078523186,
                  0.16179846379726168,
                  0.26874385387575,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4168588936044859,
                  0.13314987881284177,
                  0.2951028751698888,
                  0.1776936095266779,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3307979096606601,
                  0.21044078886279646,
                  0.34367187881763017,
                  0.3008341529159299,
                  0.3682227979003325,
                  0.12098299127445337
                ],
                "crps": [
                  36.76713496170086,
                  44.259757416545796,
                  27.327023668682834,
                  30.208395751645238,
                  239.89958857540813,
                  37.82399386942744,
                  26.88625307790302,
                  53.333017134670285,
                  26.877166301588726,
                  34.36260050265208,
                  29.742506155946742,
                  37.82903805736216,
                  43.03027808565395,
                  91.58059676675977,
                  35.378853715997444,
                  54.14010547114304,
                  36.47677135173038,
                  67.48528075766974,
                  70.13083900618194,
                  30.942665517621023,
                  54.58555480972448,
                  40.6572208007384,
                  42.32060577559819,
                  36.39405705500372
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  44.818392114890194,
                  49.555903283487574,
                  30.675020158925083,
                  53.94868480057281,
                  354.7381681248423,
                  56.058574286857095,
                  40.89964859325192,
                  41.88472808521825,
                  29.960563688835595,
                  35.58986358112118,
                  28.725216146584827,
                  36.06632699048634,
                  54.26159742058326,
                  101.57427145824482,
                  32.681017126544084,
                  48.797086589560294,
                  29.95440091470073,
                  69.17206276014227,
                  74.3649830088615,
                  31.00618674826232,
                  52.67156510791567,
                  36.916850791140064,
                  58.698649883439046,
                  47.73367692323706
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  34.4414963613502,
                  41.04675807872244,
                  24.948625816534395,
                  28.294101622069324,
                  236.80810020698783,
                  35.812879322693185,
                  24.87472446838316,
                  51.24222412105326,
                  24.70480385393383,
                  31.676034959240095,
                  27.402299799454504,
                  35.406194544893,
                  40.810579736872725,
                  88.9178158593694,
                  32.78500088226145,
                  51.92822539914535,
                  33.622403737283534,
                  65.1322551827512,
                  67.63417836968044,
                  28.11807824217639,
                  52.1317223185064,
                  38.307946798893276,
                  38.411471477919605,
                  34.2073987979386
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.28827155959033,
                  47.03475528721915,
                  28.118112914314686,
                  51.435856466268575,
                  352.79501684228853,
                  53.54974195536778,
                  38.362106175221676,
                  39.349051348043986,
                  27.402303306971245,
                  33.04226475208313,
                  26.16461609134499,
                  33.51963055426904,
                  51.74936172381692,
                  99.15164309867102,
                  30.1279091186148,
                  46.27450144046246,
                  27.396128860915656,
                  66.68806658106446,
                  71.89082190601232,
                  28.449906713101416,
                  50.156317986314725,
                  34.37176519545435,
                  56.19481769512508,
                  45.209077740680264
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.40466998812371663,
              "rpss": 0.10782508643989897,
              "brier_below": 0.20425233858055614,
              "bss_below": 0.0987101778425129,
              "brier_above": 0.20041764980945034,
              "bss_above": 0.11692664253247909,
              "crps": 51.184971024473136,
              "crpss": 0.1473632672419436,
              "crps_fair": 48.69438833158807,
              "crpss_fair": 0.1535839353582551,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.038787,
                    0.161279,
                    0.482507,
                    0.253194,
                    0.055102,
                    0.009131,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1705,
                    0.2592,
                    0.3512,
                    0.4345,
                    0.5342,
                    0.6195,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0784,
                    0.1118,
                    0.3092,
                    0.5252,
                    0.6547,
                    0.8495,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.084647,
                    0.34836,
                    0.344288,
                    0.154597,
                    0.058113,
                    0.009778,
                    0.000218,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1708,
                    0.2549,
                    0.3396,
                    0.4443,
                    0.5422,
                    0.6307,
                    0.7096,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0984,
                    0.2208,
                    0.349,
                    0.574,
                    0.7906,
                    0.8149,
                    0.6671,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.39729166890300865,
                  0.42001514755975605,
                  0.5019492877358223,
                  0.32705864937053836,
                  0.4731993642437394,
                  0.40234630273289557,
                  0.41332415713232595,
                  0.6217470989549637
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.417659603071558,
                  0.42114839455105046,
                  0.5533032498091346,
                  0.4473076683297933,
                  0.4625683790499464,
                  0.41678104095296603,
                  0.5158924310312171,
                  0.42890011506153497
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22468789286854252,
                  0.2216729639386332,
                  0.1113748328719177,
                  0.23629465012500103,
                  0.2512330904303414,
                  0.2336832622045543,
                  0.12370763678741696,
                  0.25485421233222755
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23401701276525544,
                  0.2189631813755131,
                  0.11111111773384957,
                  0.3104494178140245,
                  0.2504465951343465,
                  0.24187001637124075,
                  0.1452369658843232,
                  0.14026665735763472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17260377907946328,
                  0.19834218143459337,
                  0.39057441956010586,
                  0.09076400774632716,
                  0.22196627047650022,
                  0.16866305037572085,
                  0.28961649907532877,
                  0.36689286678732597
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18364259720487727,
                  0.20218521675843326,
                  0.4421920927416047,
                  0.1368582657800341,
                  0.2121217857216985,
                  0.17491103304162547,
                  0.37065543860496475,
                  0.28863344582864725
                ],
                "crps": [
                  25.999082056445204,
                  24.235827665611012,
                  94.37513086633805,
                  19.350952073988754,
                  31.289385013818038,
                  25.036012354827736,
                  85.21100374890722,
                  52.15262349381755
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.991938244042803,
                  27.156682952757507,
                  116.99857569796765,
                  25.68956435022059,
                  33.64072492622825,
                  25.925245138455825,
                  110.35729933852919,
                  38.12777562837381
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  24.350048305292617,
                  22.74666331884085,
                  92.1681097248741,
                  17.84655050405515,
                  29.732322294260605,
                  23.181649731010886,
                  82.92302084468028,
                  50.75324944309969
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.186278935163696,
                  25.3510236438784,
                  115.19291638908858,
                  23.883905041341485,
                  31.83506561734916,
                  24.11958582957673,
                  108.55164002965007,
                  36.322116319494704
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4446164595791312,
              "rpss": 0.029105345499293778,
              "brier_below": 0.20718856769482935,
              "bss_below": -0.003115286086538438,
              "brier_above": 0.2374278843169207,
              "bss_above": 0.0555771718654382,
              "crps": 44.7062521592192,
              "crpss": 0.11448176519386966,
              "crps_fair": 42.96270177076427,
              "crpss_fair": 0.11745229116954314,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000424,
                    0.046934,
                    0.134781,
                    0.394344,
                    0.257981,
                    0.118173,
                    0.045346,
                    0.002017,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0935,
                    0.1676,
                    0.2469,
                    0.3604,
                    0.4489,
                    0.5375,
                    0.6306,
                    0.7281,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0303,
                    0.1209,
                    0.3084,
                    0.3047,
                    0.3836,
                    0.4774,
                    0.6673,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.002191,
                    0.188674,
                    0.367354,
                    0.267354,
                    0.089885,
                    0.071757,
                    0.012785,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0935,
                    0.1657,
                    0.2451,
                    0.333,
                    0.4542,
                    0.537,
                    0.6149,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.308,
                    0.3569,
                    0.3255,
                    0.3563,
                    0.6775,
                    0.905,
                    0.9539,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3950649485291537,
                  0.3089597813240907,
                  0.29164460866200215,
                  0.3552468163598276,
                  0.38420867029323036,
                  0.40063077525394375,
                  0.2914837136341932,
                  0.385569681632191
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.37168678111891346,
                  0.40830734552865355,
                  0.5514955812695821,
                  0.4122454531264281,
                  0.5073582366943469,
                  0.42296825285318396,
                  0.5480141639602464,
                  0.3433109747399186
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15889132465759065,
                  0.24214782721847336,
                  0.053308917294307055,
                  0.2418830271385409,
                  0.31742515457229,
                  0.29102160845067593,
                  0.05471106813900307,
                  0.22264688317221815
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13710719771935653,
                  0.28966613712444955,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.26920158326246535,
                  0.3962471388287118,
                  0.3008762153923436,
                  0.11169127068708512,
                  0.1645095887434772
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2361736193338625,
                  0.06681196515829083,
                  0.23833566094673575,
                  0.11336379850833399,
                  0.06678352907189347,
                  0.10960918201788891,
                  0.2367726153746148,
                  0.16292279849054042
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23457958118988842,
                  0.11864122692593004,
                  0.44038442452528814,
                  0.14304388402215332,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.12209205536551032,
                  0.43632285498898205,
                  0.17880139376069062
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.995911171568096,
                  21.72669181602193,
                  101.41320780064956,
                  25.67989789418862,
                  34.513862075383095,
                  29.762734486674077,
                  118.59530138769651,
                  30.14050760092589
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.91091499200625,
                  33.39002587790927,
                  163.85395380251938,
                  30.317658032788415,
                  46.77514464531494,
                  32.16405989901042,
                  178.02911191569987,
                  27.619913058663098
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  29.77646067972959,
                  19.792874561066355,
                  97.93717215597025,
                  23.55523633450597,
                  32.46889862925973,
                  27.509837237668773,
                  115.17255397912815,
                  28.22148612077917
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.513828107781922,
                  30.99293899368493,
                  161.45686691829505,
                  27.920571148564072,
                  44.378057761090616,
                  29.766973014786096,
                  175.6320250314755,
                  25.22282617443876
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.35160112446107905,
              "rpss": 0.2110788641117498,
              "brier_below": 0.1977544763303874,
              "bss_below": 0.11142063403941327,
              "brier_above": 0.1538466461127701,
              "bss_above": 0.3104821590943925,
              "crps": 49.22851427913847,
              "crpss": 0.2734613402258139,
              "crps_fair": 46.8043149622635,
              "crpss_fair": 0.28390530731410457,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000871,
                    0.075469,
                    0.158645,
                    0.48408,
                    0.216645,
                    0.055161,
                    0.009129,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0935,
                    0.167,
                    0.2436,
                    0.3665,
                    0.4458,
                    0.5344,
                    0.616,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0452,
                    0.3841,
                    0.4773,
                    0.5752,
                    0.6673,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.089645,
                    0.412841,
                    0.246854,
                    0.09586,
                    0.128288,
                    0.026512,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1721,
                    0.2484,
                    0.322,
                    0.4624,
                    0.5376,
                    0.6154,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0605,
                    0.1,
                    0.1946,
                    0.932,
                    0.9814,
                    0.9836,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "loci": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.2874408635161006,
            "training": [
              0.26520091440008975,
              0.32577147948357954,
              0.2579695076001516,
              0.3116283634280074,
              0.3595833327902045,
              0.2825325668002936,
              0.28622761672281505,
              0.27076468768178796,
              0.2753795792960607,
              0.285999960819131,
              0.28854737390637963,
              0.29757568789077815,
              0.27747302034207444,
              0.3076068206072361,
              0.2339097133289554,
              0.2635934232972209,
              0.29081025965042173,
              0.238185738460084,
              0.28354541991994164,
              0.31520853320110825,
              0.28782987121252934,
              0.2838143956139562,
              0.3304411719817679,
              0.2789812859518395
            ],
            "test": 0.30939079053024954
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46392448075020964,
                  0.3851480276402532,
                  0.4580545519634085,
                  0.42486008479894377,
                  0.2352018638065885,
                  0.4524957157428243,
                  0.4343432399902134,
                  0.5095462203469961,
                  0.35929222304863556,
                  0.40906388376199226,
                  0.41460325593383524,
                  0.37479642495566134,
                  0.5005914701293656,
                  0.4150983558098724,
                  0.5649154031899438,
                  0.5093145421252088,
                  0.39051417860840615,
                  0.6817566993162126,
                  0.4235694160395593,
                  0.3941941924161075,
                  0.4163174558150612,
                  0.46446863206714617,
                  0.34023612996593966,
                  0.4519925202746138
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4395210979875425,
                  0.470103716624794,
                  0.41696991681095497,
                  0.4787026031452831,
                  0.5456974441052049,
                  0.4718891913819794,
                  0.47528498703411814,
                  0.4682080369739733,
                  0.3831343647949888,
                  0.4088195356935795,
                  0.4015935093605737,
                  0.39471244953026,
                  0.4905254593905998,
                  0.4972930203135432,
                  0.44542605260977947,
                  0.45801231637095624,
                  0.41221699134066647,
                  0.5190225092696747,
                  0.45873316132537956,
                  0.4177409102960471,
                  0.44718476065736323,
                  0.46325505114638965,
                  0.44214927012968386,
                  0.47013731140410536
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.30612801956021923,
                  0.2051858197001339,
                  0.2897454155224859,
                  0.31008714904399975,
                  0.0391822891937797,
                  0.23845024197814935,
                  0.21176371077925457,
                  0.14802650643520143,
                  0.20183619444325135,
                  0.19515560231960385,
                  0.2363362009402784,
                  0.17437602127970697,
                  0.3961256265262903,
                  0.09267564681855688,
                  0.3913432107611372,
                  0.1502008560913809,
                  0.1721102002140591,
                  0.4967260174203873,
                  0.20708585786537143,
                  0.2083257379532022,
                  0.10193718999683346,
                  0.11803972623408299,
                  0.0993176535750387,
                  0.35049611859175495
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.26733852590825796,
                  0.2537256337025866,
                  0.25705411420017604,
                  0.3357734196011123,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.24514724598143975,
                  0.22681741549383455,
                  0.13433843965721864,
                  0.20847648854308581,
                  0.21955850215575037,
                  0.23050568160830917,
                  0.18056439949521058,
                  0.3677097897916764,
                  0.12508152488088367,
                  0.31011998366589516,
                  0.1537918174661276,
                  0.19438540787371786,
                  0.391713087904114,
                  0.23671767734449203,
                  0.22863730285774397,
                  0.13116571704967142,
                  0.1350144958485548,
                  0.15057377542642655,
                  0.33304615388212466
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15779645875274675,
                  0.17996220641549307,
                  0.16830913448745588,
                  0.11477293300315349,
                  0.1960195710725715,
                  0.21404547324434556,
                  0.22257953105444378,
                  0.3615197184378149,
                  0.15745602768555284,
                  0.21390827971675588,
                  0.17826705269422274,
                  0.20042040292687754,
                  0.10446583872017909,
                  0.32242271368279535,
                  0.1735721891841164,
                  0.3591136877999777,
                  0.2184039801579258,
                  0.18503068253659047,
                  0.21648355557718424,
                  0.18586845230972973,
                  0.3143802687290981,
                  0.3464289103515104,
                  0.24091847696831906,
                  0.10149639985462751
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17218257207928467,
                  0.21637808292220725,
                  0.15991580261077884,
                  0.14292918354417064,
                  0.4247144528307517,
                  0.22674194540053969,
                  0.24846757154028362,
                  0.3338695973167546,
                  0.17465787625190304,
                  0.18926103353782903,
                  0.17108782775226475,
                  0.21414805003504944,
                  0.12281566959892326,
                  0.37221149543265947,
                  0.13530606894388414,
                  0.3042204989048285,
                  0.21783158346694867,
                  0.12730942136556073,
                  0.22201548398088763,
                  0.18910360743830318,
                  0.3160190436076916,
                  0.3282405552978347,
                  0.29157549470325717,
                  0.13709115752198053
                ],
                "crps": [
                  33.52649061290516,
                  34.09245230885967,
                  30.129201357182758,
                  29.491356267051078,
                  182.31024528888838,
                  36.9957610673977,
                  35.87497536606835,
                  43.9528172423867,
                  19.98961113052037,
                  29.458199585982726,
                  26.61616529864452,
                  24.71201065372732,
                  38.631317065915745,
                  58.95776378731833,
                  41.43407308535035,
                  47.64128453661147,
                  30.608504472291855,
                  65.32500088612883,
                  41.9545653838864,
                  27.890909695720268,
                  35.363701273857835,
                  32.16306744611182,
                  31.026274113435537,
                  31.376770998259754
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.742925516629697,
                  40.77336668818828,
                  28.09618525185972,
                  37.986090541506,
                  251.4927342153348,
                  40.320321374030684,
                  40.93726570534917,
                  40.54786455186527,
                  22.988890072347303,
                  28.257992147944407,
                  24.96559897910219,
                  25.682377420488514,
                  37.65656723862455,
                  67.35667251514191,
                  29.987287831298126,
                  43.08507304266908,
                  30.254448434401816,
                  47.83890739301917,
                  44.7070520085121,
                  29.018165136591247,
                  36.90426542672519,
                  32.258006168915756,
                  38.015712600516835,
                  34.40598130175283
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  32.25646537135891,
                  32.54223164204843,
                  28.898711699983284,
                  28.229671275887746,
                  180.79725371932764,
                  35.88140752433752,
                  34.54454985395634,
                  42.76239001279642,
                  18.912829779706943,
                  27.946122863140072,
                  25.211885560393775,
                  23.387259494115916,
                  37.50670777341152,
                  57.66435080921046,
                  40.20935185459513,
                  46.68170486808426,
                  29.17707585819569,
                  63.9789604012124,
                  40.68621489198117,
                  26.691616313464575,
                  34.0196775714662,
                  30.909916722639473,
                  29.465267567929754,
                  30.31731268995797
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  29.83323453860368,
                  38.88077881844172,
                  26.1795875687868,
                  36.08822373966346,
                  249.9992360568139,
                  38.426875463916396,
                  39.04498825040786,
                  38.65484959473932,
                  21.062619481737414,
                  26.341700917326186,
                  23.043072155361166,
                  23.761208131674348,
                  35.758076339617475,
                  65.51443181552213,
                  28.07427178189838,
                  41.19686340465451,
                  28.3419383709928,
                  45.95970122915301,
                  42.821914300357065,
                  27.103313627542445,
                  35.0043497136804,
                  30.34929072242817,
                  36.1179019010588,
                  32.50133398998652
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43642912368737496,
              "rpss": 0.036964174829839935,
              "brier_below": 0.22252737555184,
              "bss_below": 0.017943780652694974,
              "brier_above": 0.21390174772347867,
              "bss_above": 0.05598507978374179,
              "crps": 42.063438288520956,
              "crpss": 0.06980433619001947,
              "crps_fair": 40.77828900496673,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0590166335078508,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.001216,
                    0.193865,
                    0.28428,
                    0.313953,
                    0.168393,
                    0.034563,
                    0.003505,
                    0.000225,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.096,
                    0.1597,
                    0.2484,
                    0.3413,
                    0.4407,
                    0.5371,
                    0.6253,
                    0.7332,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.5115,
                    0.2066,
                    0.3408,
                    0.3739,
                    0.4277,
                    0.5149,
                    0.5854,
                    0.8756,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.074436,
                    0.234198,
                    0.365403,
                    0.207384,
                    0.075417,
                    0.03867,
                    0.004491,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1742,
                    0.2525,
                    0.3411,
                    0.4399,
                    0.5458,
                    0.6389,
                    0.7206,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1745,
                    0.2561,
                    0.3335,
                    0.3859,
                    0.537,
                    0.7195,
                    0.8433,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5225424353270453,
                  0.3143300219513537,
                  0.40701310065413593,
                  0.416093878858264,
                  0.18153769287056978,
                  0.44603727698536544,
                  0.35849323926558563,
                  0.4900403744712283,
                  0.3348868909668795,
                  0.28388012084222525,
                  0.3466635454407278,
                  0.3646840734117685,
                  0.5744083478682426,
                  0.37908937664722203,
                  0.459575385152932,
                  0.4227178332933734,
                  0.37502979443539275,
                  0.6920479507968937,
                  0.40690303107178677,
                  0.29516243239459605,
                  0.42276505013329657,
                  0.4281362748896903,
                  0.21388302262664755,
                  0.5496606553610807
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48190550000573357,
                  0.4447116445242348,
                  0.39122568096409477,
                  0.5314846969938783,
                  0.5463137956783318,
                  0.5246370465888529,
                  0.46799085520133354,
                  0.4301833029814578,
                  0.3790308872213789,
                  0.3760295940535084,
                  0.36571087481860687,
                  0.4071905851059967,
                  0.5346883511508412,
                  0.5378418848789392,
                  0.39758042315298353,
                  0.42189702405901625,
                  0.3563103597455807,
                  0.5447213097764745,
                  0.4681166137581803,
                  0.3573140644587983,
                  0.4646548700920834,
                  0.443550454531998,
                  0.4892057891747856,
                  0.5235515129376195
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.4153188984712627,
                  0.08228020306556767,
                  0.29703817578656017,
                  0.3460373462472153,
                  0.022254477892608628,
                  0.3681242933522749,
                  0.28874039554263353,
                  0.14189387758229088,
                  0.201875182815781,
                  0.056218511334853935,
                  0.19842353174481187,
                  0.10518332997659884,
                  0.4828590981573433,
                  0.053916858060374905,
                  0.30586698850944155,
                  0.09163181625711689,
                  0.15217180445460438,
                  0.5679298808947694,
                  0.07096223672801728,
                  0.08823878620791663,
                  0.06465835168338774,
                  0.09936263989954275,
                  0.02249122824210974,
                  0.4660186932206356
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3519612903999631,
                  0.14955802970751203,
                  0.2601871534110402,
                  0.4105017057194249,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.39624369138262994,
                  0.3443603210875784,
                  0.12682101259329223,
                  0.2099793080182162,
                  0.1262687532682766,
                  0.2039124110213452,
                  0.13844673123024703,
                  0.4137053598763879,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.264430544340142,
                  0.12679414888912763,
                  0.17861675021890278,
                  0.42373831850202115,
                  0.13731870409752048,
                  0.14687327559600188,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.14271630161606835,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.40256852166316615
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1072235348516562,
                  0.23204981869874966,
                  0.10997492260401703,
                  0.07005653005177773,
                  0.15928321000786638,
                  0.07791298170282532,
                  0.06975284149110247,
                  0.3481464997242027,
                  0.13301170873774587,
                  0.22766160774575153,
                  0.1482400120219052,
                  0.2595007429767625,
                  0.09154924603866263,
                  0.3251725213745389,
                  0.15370839265242636,
                  0.33108601813698996,
                  0.22285799079629773,
                  0.1241180689102725,
                  0.3359407940058124,
                  0.20692364535248975,
                  0.3581067002901115,
                  0.3287736344237962,
                  0.19139179137478562,
                  0.08364196079877459
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1299442096057706,
                  0.29515361481672286,
                  0.13103852755305465,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4253308044038785,
                  0.12839335520622294,
                  0.12363053411375528,
                  0.3033622903881658,
                  0.16905157920316274,
                  0.24976084078523186,
                  0.16179846379726168,
                  0.26874385387575,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4168588936044859,
                  0.13314987881284177,
                  0.2951028751698888,
                  0.1776936095266779,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3307979096606601,
                  0.21044078886279646,
                  0.34367187881763017,
                  0.3008341529159299,
                  0.3682227979003325,
                  0.12098299127445337
                ],
                "crps": [
                  46.99187896024203,
                  39.872476097764675,
                  30.353836749405883,
                  35.68538431260524,
                  263.7582388567033,
                  46.027312524909426,
                  28.453624383193247,
                  48.88114038074914,
                  24.095379580175432,
                  26.399611794219766,
                  26.667336598014312,
                  32.298418077125746,
                  57.17340618415578,
                  85.60363291460409,
                  40.665990012219225,
                  47.78476031897667,
                  34.75073928201598,
                  86.78979250061725,
                  68.63253786435654,
                  27.128925789912486,
                  49.7367526848724,
                  34.32086053398714,
                  37.69258775726464,
                  47.39049503137276
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  44.818392114890194,
                  49.555903283487574,
                  30.675020158925083,
                  53.94868480057281,
                  354.7381681248423,
                  56.058574286857095,
                  40.89964859325192,
                  41.88472808521825,
                  29.960563688835595,
                  35.58986358112118,
                  28.725216146584827,
                  36.06632699048634,
                  54.26159742058326,
                  101.57427145824482,
                  32.681017126544084,
                  48.797086589560294,
                  29.95440091470073,
                  69.17206276014227,
                  74.3649830088615,
                  31.00618674826232,
                  52.67156510791567,
                  36.916850791140064,
                  58.698649883439046,
                  47.73367692323706
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  45.66208798375683,
                  37.919699955211826,
                  28.96278188767987,
                  34.26470307880356,
                  262.05757031661614,
                  44.68358247124901,
                  27.020536264488868,
                  47.586780242784236,
                  22.845600247017988,
                  25.009853257281037,
                  25.188068724280512,
                  30.72160787439499,
                  55.92788540854278,
                  84.1357695648726,
                  39.19824819976314,
                  46.63610068643436,
                  33.202513930479654,
                  85.48993965486594,
                  67.2599384583351,
                  25.697701322967834,
                  48.2477298879253,
                  33.01424422388103,
                  35.52458684807298,
                  46.209468682207266
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.28827155959033,
                  47.03475528721915,
                  28.118112914314686,
                  51.435856466268575,
                  352.79501684228853,
                  53.54974195536778,
                  38.362106175221676,
                  39.349051348043986,
                  27.402303306971245,
                  33.04226475208313,
                  26.16461609134499,
                  33.51963055426904,
                  51.74936172381692,
                  99.15164309867102,
                  30.1279091186148,
                  46.27450144046246,
                  27.396128860915656,
                  66.68806658106446,
                  71.89082190601232,
                  28.449906713101416,
                  50.156317986314725,
                  34.37176519545435,
                  56.19481769512508,
                  45.209077740680264
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.40356590857151264,
              "rpss": 0.11025924787504338,
              "brier_below": 0.2078956919219883,
              "bss_below": 0.08263341070253127,
              "brier_above": 0.19567021561538836,
              "bss_above": 0.13784462384346818,
              "crps": 52.798129966227634,
              "crpss": 0.12049134483996815,
              "crps_fair": 51.35279163216304,
              "crpss_fair": 0.10737501196895272,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.002471,
                    0.312999,
                    0.317633,
                    0.24597,
                    0.102942,
                    0.017332,
                    0.000653,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.096,
                    0.1557,
                    0.2467,
                    0.3375,
                    0.4374,
                    0.536,
                    0.6262,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.5,
                    0.1474,
                    0.3372,
                    0.4561,
                    0.63,
                    0.8622,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.109227,
                    0.270145,
                    0.314765,
                    0.1623,
                    0.084686,
                    0.050823,
                    0.008054,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1736,
                    0.2512,
                    0.3405,
                    0.4434,
                    0.5454,
                    0.6418,
                    0.7221,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1141,
                    0.224,
                    0.3078,
                    0.4361,
                    0.6843,
                    0.8375,
                    0.8743,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3979934916332776,
                  0.4154720738092834,
                  0.4107904463076658,
                  0.35879109304626433,
                  0.4903971237858903,
                  0.41481467418801843,
                  0.3541757000953804,
                  0.5623386751164425
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.417659603071558,
                  0.42114839455105046,
                  0.5533032498091346,
                  0.4473076683297933,
                  0.4625683790499464,
                  0.41678104095296603,
                  0.5158924310312171,
                  0.42890011506153497
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21900047012290152,
                  0.220364977935099,
                  0.09206654733397535,
                  0.25857091356621614,
                  0.27362198487104217,
                  0.2423563959778712,
                  0.10683938984452705,
                  0.2188093463306741
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23401701276525544,
                  0.2189631813755131,
                  0.11111111773384957,
                  0.3104494178140245,
                  0.2504465951343465,
                  0.24187001637124075,
                  0.1452369658843232,
                  0.14026665735763472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17899302607137554,
                  0.19510709510405136,
                  0.31872387027016935,
                  0.10022018963747244,
                  0.21677513663161962,
                  0.17245828838015492,
                  0.24733629381076258,
                  0.34352931037151235
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18364259720487727,
                  0.20218521675843326,
                  0.4421920927416047,
                  0.1368582657800341,
                  0.2121217857216985,
                  0.17491103304162547,
                  0.37065543860496475,
                  0.28863344582864725
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.864828515506964,
                  24.139282509665993,
                  89.18611757867149,
                  20.076935306534466,
                  33.59532783881206,
                  26.954709931013184,
                  83.12932677816875,
                  49.071720952557435
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.991938244042803,
                  27.156682952757507,
                  116.99857569796765,
                  25.68956435022059,
                  33.64072492622825,
                  25.925245138455825,
                  110.35729933852919,
                  38.12777562837381
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  24.244563597548073,
                  23.550122090124987,
                  88.40047740204916,
                  19.48718840167053,
                  33.06783245687841,
                  26.246177704909247,
                  82.39468557156275,
                  48.52345658093649
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.186278935163696,
                  25.3510236438784,
                  115.19291638908858,
                  23.883905041341485,
                  31.83506561734916,
                  24.11958582957673,
                  108.55164002965007,
                  36.322116319494704
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42559665974777783,
              "rpss": 0.07063827031142145,
              "brier_below": 0.2039537532477883,
              "bss_below": 0.012546252846728834,
              "brier_above": 0.22164290128463976,
              "bss_above": 0.11836549329740575,
              "crps": 43.877281176366296,
              "crpss": 0.13090159208580088,
              "crps_fair": 43.23931297570996,
              "crpss_fair": 0.1117700930046277,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.1432,
                    0.228811,
                    0.302348,
                    0.213749,
                    0.105356,
                    0.006536,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1478,
                    0.252,
                    0.3515,
                    0.4496,
                    0.537,
                    0.6248,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0509,
                    0.3073,
                    0.3417,
                    0.2785,
                    0.4058,
                    0.4738,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.086118,
                    0.445137,
                    0.258607,
                    0.088561,
                    0.063669,
                    0.054423,
                    0.003485,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1721,
                    0.2482,
                    0.347,
                    0.4453,
                    0.5548,
                    0.6417,
                    0.7126,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2541,
                    0.3231,
                    0.3841,
                    0.4818,
                    0.8675,
                    1.0,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3542328399955245,
                  0.32206402247282656,
                  0.18836673532365353,
                  0.38205221145301166,
                  0.4881285362512628,
                  0.45762917689422644,
                  0.1786076986749087,
                  0.3575537588188571
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.37168678111891346,
                  0.40830734552865355,
                  0.5514955812695821,
                  0.4122454531264281,
                  0.5073582366943469,
                  0.42296825285318396,
                  0.5480141639602464,
                  0.3433109747399186
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11929649075056085,
                  0.25069399858605806,
                  0.02343581620638987,
                  0.2655336673164486,
                  0.4125875176293837,
                  0.3405337344468341,
                  0.0192959635553582,
                  0.19275709978006814
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13710719771935653,
                  0.28966613712444955,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.26920158326246535,
                  0.3962471388287118,
                  0.3008762153923436,
                  0.11169127068708512,
                  0.1645095887434772
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2349363469734066,
                  0.07137003675898905,
                  0.16493089864171906,
                  0.11651855439226655,
                  0.07554103367577131,
                  0.1170954588904861,
                  0.15931171647518327,
                  0.16479666087834755
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23457958118988842,
                  0.11864122692593004,
                  0.44038442452528814,
                  0.14304388402215332,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.12209205536551032,
                  0.43632285498898205,
                  0.17880139376069062
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.83178895217271,
                  21.944973106617716,
                  96.24245002894658,
                  24.948618893940942,
                  42.476131940393344,
                  33.44653072916722,
                  116.6930556880782,
                  26.743460273895007
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.91091499200625,
                  33.39002587790927,
                  163.85395380251938,
                  30.317658032788415,
                  46.77514464531494,
                  32.16405989901042,
                  178.02911191569987,
                  27.619913058663098
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.10481012043471,
                  21.282368260725555,
                  95.23557429333229,
                  24.28856148863727,
                  41.8535936105188,
                  32.740346874353364,
                  115.81844110955869,
                  26.125429814163315
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.513828107781922,
                  30.99293899368493,
                  161.45686691829505,
                  27.920571148564072,
                  44.378057761090616,
                  29.766973014786096,
                  175.6320250314755,
                  25.22282617443876
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.34107937248553394,
              "rpss": 0.23468752728882214,
              "brier_below": 0.20301678603388768,
              "bss_below": 0.08777525363339711,
              "brier_above": 0.1380625883357712,
              "bss_above": 0.38122396409382087,
              "crps": 48.665876201651464,
              "crpss": 0.2817650300840423,
              "crps_fair": 47.9311406964655,
              "crpss_fair": 0.26666514626283144,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.28341,
                    0.306871,
                    0.290406,
                    0.099525,
                    0.019789,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1418,
                    0.2506,
                    0.3471,
                    0.4415,
                    0.5256,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.05,
                    0.4189,
                    0.4598,
                    0.4304,
                    0.7697,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.078351,
                    0.428985,
                    0.209868,
                    0.046264,
                    0.099527,
                    0.128284,
                    0.00872,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.17,
                    0.2511,
                    0.3409,
                    0.4471,
                    0.5641,
                    0.6423,
                    0.7128,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0969,
                    0.0896,
                    0.1874,
                    0.4275,
                    0.9432,
                    1.0,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "eqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.21665440373483405,
            "training": [
              0.200985695639561,
              0.24212310355636646,
              0.19855213943112449,
              0.2636622526782522,
              0.35479458140887493,
              0.22651479126477744,
              0.2140401664569827,
              0.15736535709017516,
              0.2166640572820478,
              0.20620965366402383,
              0.20658281676666587,
              0.19870554966837498,
              0.2302104222747549,
              0.24480565811596386,
              0.1700360344532792,
              0.15620296751193366,
              0.21054746918820677,
              0.17822768307960912,
              0.22490536182456564,
              0.23206656068624035,
              0.2107435513368836,
              0.1907618635459488,
              0.22591251171469232,
              0.23908544099671183
            ],
            "test": 0.22727105157896368
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4502307968295868,
                  0.38321688602366333,
                  0.44810455025521573,
                  0.3811350698812165,
                  0.2253336959180129,
                  0.41575268592458836,
                  0.42211279531975027,
                  0.5862554414290677,
                  0.3634185098830003,
                  0.4222227674193509,
                  0.43049774049732015,
                  0.4127179991613216,
                  0.4441582138612153,
                  0.4460475568836573,
                  0.5518962963617404,
                  0.5915838306776948,
                  0.41185039286192604,
                  0.6232049565241865,
                  0.43274688088162433,
                  0.39131121101235705,
                  0.46889664921578755,
                  0.5241720219591843,
                  0.34833342317043353,
                  0.3956592062140585
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4395210979875425,
                  0.470103716624794,
                  0.41696991681095497,
                  0.4787026031452831,
                  0.5456974441052049,
                  0.4718891913819794,
                  0.47528498703411814,
                  0.4682080369739733,
                  0.3831343647949888,
                  0.4088195356935795,
                  0.4015935093605737,
                  0.39471244953026,
                  0.4905254593905998,
                  0.4972930203135432,
                  0.44542605260977947,
                  0.45801231637095624,
                  0.41221699134066647,
                  0.5190225092696747,
                  0.45873316132537956,
                  0.4177409102960471,
                  0.44718476065736323,
                  0.46325505114638965,
                  0.44214927012968386,
                  0.47013731140410536
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2902844863076062,
                  0.20607627219134514,
                  0.2814689119465426,
                  0.27471355092196575,
                  0.03925853599125668,
                  0.19838217572320266,
                  0.1955784032436497,
                  0.19849746730610024,
                  0.21157023883831827,
                  0.20456338670962476,
                  0.2513906217985772,
                  0.20749188900963833,
                  0.35794623836577827,
                  0.10513361855442278,
                  0.3938483235045704,
                  0.18573250119885115,
                  0.18334338959276186,
                  0.4526882498664525,
                  0.21797155675777072,
                  0.21000628071341781,
                  0.12780135584825794,
                  0.15184759034495623,
                  0.0989603815745883,
                  0.3065216920668675
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.26733852590825796,
                  0.2537256337025866,
                  0.25705411420017604,
                  0.3357734196011123,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.24514724598143975,
                  0.22681741549383455,
                  0.13433843965721864,
                  0.20847648854308581,
                  0.21955850215575037,
                  0.23050568160830917,
                  0.18056439949521058,
                  0.3677097897916764,
                  0.12508152488088367,
                  0.31011998366589516,
                  0.1537918174661276,
                  0.19438540787371786,
                  0.391713087904114,
                  0.23671767734449203,
                  0.22863730285774397,
                  0.13116571704967142,
                  0.1350144958485548,
                  0.15057377542642655,
                  0.33304615388212466
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1599463059234604,
                  0.17714061061459127,
                  0.166635633510193,
                  0.10642151593456241,
                  0.1860751563897109,
                  0.2173705129874563,
                  0.22653439677244186,
                  0.38775797773912885,
                  0.15184826854955774,
                  0.2176593783018483,
                  0.17910711467021326,
                  0.20522610902848495,
                  0.08621196746684932,
                  0.3409139483529388,
                  0.1580479657701833,
                  0.40585133525498496,
                  0.2285070038184027,
                  0.17051670534776642,
                  0.21477532468362462,
                  0.18130492572575038,
                  0.34109530413372624,
                  0.37232444213010846,
                  0.2493730426437021,
                  0.08913751085965255
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17218257207928467,
                  0.21637808292220725,
                  0.15991580261077884,
                  0.14292918354417064,
                  0.4247144528307517,
                  0.22674194540053969,
                  0.24846757154028362,
                  0.3338695973167546,
                  0.17465787625190304,
                  0.18926103353782903,
                  0.17108782775226475,
                  0.21414805003504944,
                  0.12281566959892326,
                  0.37221149543265947,
                  0.13530606894388414,
                  0.3042204989048285,
                  0.21783158346694867,
                  0.12730942136556073,
                  0.22201548398088763,
                  0.18910360743830318,
                  0.3160190436076916,
                  0.3282405552978347,
                  0.29157549470325717,
                  0.13709115752198053
                ],
                "crps": [
                  30.868625012765367,
                  37.38804141336065,
                  29.240146000759093,
                  25.221395207155805,
                  187.0269520573437,
                  32.498303940937234,
                  34.80961341031852,
                  49.79591179598741,
                  20.476266266052654,
                  31.58476773260247,
                  27.956373210897823,
                  28.363069261444963,
                  32.41236878897588,
                  61.73714961161419,
                  38.96728856117902,
                  52.760017564373726,
                  33.4714732565093,
                  58.68536705942745,
                  42.369621669847646,
                  28.093375035224515,
                  39.6439927489924,
                  36.34638161550977,
                  41.66236426384712,
                  26.511861677877196
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.742925516629697,
                  40.77336668818828,
                  28.09618525185972,
                  37.986090541506,
                  251.4927342153348,
                  40.320321374030684,
                  40.93726570534917,
                  40.54786455186527,
                  22.988890072347303,
                  28.257992147944407,
                  24.96559897910219,
                  25.682377420488514,
                  37.65656723862455,
                  67.35667251514191,
                  29.987287831298126,
                  43.08507304266908,
                  30.254448434401816,
                  47.83890739301917,
                  44.7070520085121,
                  29.018165136591247,
                  36.90426542672519,
                  32.258006168915756,
                  38.015712600516835,
                  34.40598130175283
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  29.442073729566435,
                  35.32876522423216,
                  27.859321236273786,
                  23.91843865788736,
                  185.7406000879602,
                  31.321972935734422,
                  33.373314480541836,
                  48.45804916506808,
                  19.29528840637975,
                  29.731556443975904,
                  26.343364269263414,
                  26.834809687422315,
                  31.21852734479398,
                  60.224888292931105,
                  37.49872511759375,
                  51.741776562909244,
                  31.61014538635995,
                  57.17126074008999,
                  40.881940639389704,
                  26.68428889528657,
                  38.01269156227954,
                  34.90123271874017,
                  39.33862164475197,
                  25.4113356827839
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  29.83323453860368,
                  38.88077881844172,
                  26.1795875687868,
                  36.08822373966346,
                  249.9992360568139,
                  38.426875463916396,
                  39.04498825040786,
                  38.65484959473932,
                  21.062619481737414,
                  26.341700917326186,
                  23.043072155361166,
                  23.761208131674348,
                  35.758076339617475,
                  65.51443181552213,
                  28.07427178189838,
                  41.19686340465451,
                  28.3419383709928,
                  45.95970122915301,
                  42.821914300357065,
                  27.103313627542445,
                  35.0043497136804,
                  30.34929072242817,
                  36.1179019010588,
                  32.50133398998652
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44045248242358165,
              "rpss": 0.028086127077797896,
              "brier_below": 0.2229615465990218,
              "bss_below": 0.016027700098165343,
              "brier_above": 0.2174909356920558,
              "bss_above": 0.040144877308268545,
              "crps": 42.8287802984585,
              "crpss": 0.05287947583760744,
              "crps_fair": 41.34762453800898,
              "crpss_fair": 0.045878876146808745,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.004383,
                    0.088066,
                    0.275501,
                    0.343721,
                    0.202877,
                    0.079029,
                    0.006423,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0937,
                    0.1547,
                    0.2592,
                    0.3557,
                    0.4425,
                    0.5349,
                    0.6214,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0574,
                    0.175,
                    0.319,
                    0.352,
                    0.4041,
                    0.4639,
                    0.5934,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.001861,
                    0.091425,
                    0.371807,
                    0.286898,
                    0.134287,
                    0.065203,
                    0.041315,
                    0.007204,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0975,
                    0.1673,
                    0.2603,
                    0.3522,
                    0.4416,
                    0.5407,
                    0.6424,
                    0.7204,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0301,
                    0.308,
                    0.28,
                    0.3371,
                    0.3609,
                    0.5445,
                    0.6928,
                    0.7468,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.441182827440919,
                  0.3340910701549031,
                  0.37208633516442996,
                  0.3240572324694648,
                  0.1606075170172385,
                  0.3335006058115033,
                  0.3037299551920693,
                  0.6275196303853772,
                  0.3568149173994289,
                  0.31753931236542304,
                  0.3675746463384757,
                  0.428706018934753,
                  0.46053825864215897,
                  0.4119026261217107,
                  0.4472765278971071,
                  0.5145028218324369,
                  0.38697032703520884,
                  0.5564109905960712,
                  0.45840263158179867,
                  0.3064531213628951,
                  0.4885902517615481,
                  0.5263057861817483,
                  0.2060614710331093,
                  0.4256320540899108
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48190550000573357,
                  0.4447116445242348,
                  0.39122568096409477,
                  0.5314846969938783,
                  0.5463137956783318,
                  0.5246370465888529,
                  0.46799085520133354,
                  0.4301833029814578,
                  0.3790308872213789,
                  0.3760295940535084,
                  0.36571087481860687,
                  0.4071905851059967,
                  0.5346883511508412,
                  0.5378418848789392,
                  0.39758042315298353,
                  0.42189702405901625,
                  0.3563103597455807,
                  0.5447213097764745,
                  0.4681166137581803,
                  0.3573140644587983,
                  0.4646548700920834,
                  0.443550454531998,
                  0.4892057891747856,
                  0.5235515129376195
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3352457378079518,
                  0.09195888473857994,
                  0.2703126411670184,
                  0.26655531300421637,
                  0.02350252228028998,
                  0.2618359789724134,
                  0.24180189716141115,
                  0.2563160213675301,
                  0.22085289075033676,
                  0.0834836533252393,
                  0.22363591916559178,
                  0.16220705946248956,
                  0.3868991762258084,
                  0.07663519558201451,
                  0.295371577958113,
                  0.15595706108352855,
                  0.1550068825326669,
                  0.45265295538894773,
                  0.11575959611659443,
                  0.09465336638864141,
                  0.10367442083039256,
                  0.16692528189072725,
                  0.01960025730487973,
                  0.35852465487783575
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3519612903999631,
                  0.14955802970751203,
                  0.2601871534110402,
                  0.4105017057194249,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.39624369138262994,
                  0.3443603210875784,
                  0.12682101259329223,
                  0.2099793080182162,
                  0.1262687532682766,
                  0.2039124110213452,
                  0.13844673123024703,
                  0.4137053598763879,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.264430544340142,
                  0.12679414888912763,
                  0.17861675021890278,
                  0.42373831850202115,
                  0.13731870409752048,
                  0.14687327559600188,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.14271630161606835,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.40256852166316615
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10593708203512611,
                  0.2421321850254779,
                  0.10177368598825567,
                  0.05750191846611948,
                  0.13710498781827518,
                  0.07166462694441679,
                  0.0619280592456371,
                  0.3712036020352234,
                  0.13596202580435715,
                  0.23405565661678393,
                  0.14393872233437832,
                  0.26649895883225216,
                  0.07363907492741392,
                  0.3352674368996749,
                  0.1519049418160767,
                  0.35854576743564787,
                  0.23196344108911568,
                  0.10375802999251815,
                  0.34264304458341627,
                  0.21179975249921618,
                  0.38491584388584754,
                  0.35938051196916615,
                  0.18646120944880795,
                  0.06710739447794259
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1299442096057706,
                  0.29515361481672286,
                  0.13103852755305465,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4253308044038785,
                  0.12839335520622294,
                  0.12363053411375528,
                  0.3033622903881658,
                  0.16905157920316274,
                  0.24976084078523186,
                  0.16179846379726168,
                  0.26874385387575,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4168588936044859,
                  0.13314987881284177,
                  0.2951028751698888,
                  0.1776936095266779,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3307979096606601,
                  0.21044078886279646,
                  0.34367187881763017,
                  0.3008341529159299,
                  0.3682227979003325,
                  0.12098299127445337
                ],
                "crps": [
                  37.9013161704781,
                  47.82914341446723,
                  27.580648456088802,
                  27.41862799292935,
                  254.76736910338033,
                  34.09113234361,
                  25.929623917030323,
                  59.36517272138141,
                  26.160431365466295,
                  31.46769527825917,
                  30.31158016358531,
                  39.62102579952174,
                  44.12824657886618,
                  87.5266205322087,
                  38.811786570564195,
                  55.77115343952937,
                  38.599247055325584,
                  72.94076802785777,
                  71.8745974370355,
                  29.056269646329902,
                  56.32531198823042,
                  41.805441162927956,
                  62.40245852018539,
                  35.46574866185103
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  44.818392114890194,
                  49.555903283487574,
                  30.675020158925083,
                  53.94868480057281,
                  354.7381681248423,
                  56.058574286857095,
                  40.89964859325192,
                  41.88472808521825,
                  29.960563688835595,
                  35.58986358112118,
                  28.725216146584827,
                  36.06632699048634,
                  54.26159742058326,
                  101.57427145824482,
                  32.681017126544084,
                  48.797086589560294,
                  29.95440091470073,
                  69.17206276014227,
                  74.3649830088615,
                  31.00618674826232,
                  52.67156510791567,
                  36.916850791140064,
                  58.698649883439046,
                  47.73367692323706
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  36.2231363191591,
                  44.74148972947272,
                  25.84451082382057,
                  25.824076262964798,
                  253.18573995389025,
                  32.53131989823725,
                  24.234802725130354,
                  57.79553631596055,
                  24.60773597940863,
                  29.562716148238387,
                  28.349593951038223,
                  37.48991042550994,
                  42.647487210511265,
                  85.52137567783872,
                  36.81011511791293,
                  54.35645002712813,
                  36.26054994421907,
                  71.33054145105295,
                  70.00484693758872,
                  27.06916288671212,
                  54.29260438436657,
                  40.10323859305316,
                  58.71329255814153,
                  34.05864256019347
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.28827155959033,
                  47.03475528721915,
                  28.118112914314686,
                  51.435856466268575,
                  352.79501684228853,
                  53.54974195536778,
                  38.362106175221676,
                  39.349051348043986,
                  27.402303306971245,
                  33.04226475208313,
                  26.16461609134499,
                  33.51963055426904,
                  51.74936172381692,
                  99.15164309867102,
                  30.1279091186148,
                  46.27450144046246,
                  27.396128860915656,
                  66.68806658106446,
                  71.89082190601232,
                  28.449906713101416,
                  50.156317986314725,
                  34.37176519545435,
                  56.19481769512508,
                  45.209077740680264
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3981857057004037,
              "rpss": 0.12212096772662762,
              "brier_below": 0.20080703939096745,
              "bss_below": 0.11391300545977934,
              "brier_above": 0.1973786650071311,
              "bss_above": 0.13031691287657465,
              "crps": 53.21464234779625,
              "crpss": 0.11355310204983082,
              "crps_fair": 51.31495316173122,
              "crpss_fair": 0.10803272819318943,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.009223,
                    0.107873,
                    0.273357,
                    0.286136,
                    0.208435,
                    0.10808,
                    0.006895,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0939,
                    0.151,
                    0.2585,
                    0.3564,
                    0.4459,
                    0.5353,
                    0.6153,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0619,
                    0.2096,
                    0.3932,
                    0.5027,
                    0.5671,
                    0.6637,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.001596,
                    0.111955,
                    0.40118,
                    0.227492,
                    0.121133,
                    0.071244,
                    0.050811,
                    0.014591,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0975,
                    0.1684,
                    0.2584,
                    0.3497,
                    0.4468,
                    0.5448,
                    0.6497,
                    0.7214,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.1946,
                    0.2516,
                    0.2998,
                    0.4606,
                    0.6427,
                    0.8376,
                    0.9008,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.414126961971984,
                  0.4169515714544167,
                  0.4299695397981067,
                  0.33767626193857925,
                  0.4602111293370705,
                  0.39168722215380164,
                  0.3621680424751982,
                  0.6239820644029271
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.417659603071558,
                  0.42114839455105046,
                  0.5533032498091346,
                  0.4473076683297933,
                  0.4625683790499464,
                  0.41678104095296603,
                  0.5158924310312171,
                  0.42890011506153497
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.23775082437011577,
                  0.21981391099122535,
                  0.0993386692002792,
                  0.24558076545613594,
                  0.24109267725982128,
                  0.22551224045099294,
                  0.1178583444107085,
                  0.25892390015882094
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23401701276525544,
                  0.2189631813755131,
                  0.11111111773384957,
                  0.3104494178140245,
                  0.2504465951343465,
                  0.24187001637124075,
                  0.1452369658843232,
                  0.14026665735763472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17637614024726017,
                  0.19713765848207243,
                  0.33063084037527146,
                  0.09209550613549491,
                  0.2191184480564626,
                  0.1661749905071587,
                  0.24430968050212004,
                  0.3650581407720032
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18364259720487727,
                  0.20218521675843326,
                  0.4421920927416047,
                  0.1368582657800341,
                  0.2121217857216985,
                  0.17491103304162547,
                  0.37065543860496475,
                  0.28863344582864725
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.974066274252817,
                  23.842766733760982,
                  84.45764176763663,
                  19.767830338205712,
                  29.776892986614683,
                  25.606167776270496,
                  73.08217186298113,
                  52.3327398617584
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.991938244042803,
                  27.156682952757507,
                  116.99857569796765,
                  25.68956435022059,
                  33.64072492622825,
                  25.925245138455825,
                  110.35729933852919,
                  38.12777562837381
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.262618151352118,
                  23.22030727032535,
                  83.41184252129686,
                  19.128310429625838,
                  29.206171304452532,
                  24.778031746932957,
                  72.03960938014438,
                  51.766026979046146
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.186278935163696,
                  25.3510236438784,
                  115.19291638908858,
                  23.883905041341485,
                  31.83506561734916,
                  24.11958582957673,
                  108.55164002965007,
                  36.322116319494704
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4295965991915105,
              "rpss": 0.061903731270912976,
              "brier_below": 0.2057339165372625,
              "bss_below": 0.003927490589383353,
              "brier_above": 0.22386267563473045,
              "bss_above": 0.10953584139883221,
              "crps": 41.9800347001851,
              "crpss": 0.168481265385113,
              "crps_fair": 41.226614722897025,
              "crpss_fair": 0.1531153100970004,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.003732,
                    0.101178,
                    0.102622,
                    0.264239,
                    0.352083,
                    0.168811,
                    0.007334,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0978,
                    0.144,
                    0.2492,
                    0.3557,
                    0.4468,
                    0.538,
                    0.6306,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0083,
                    0.2012,
                    0.3153,
                    0.3415,
                    0.3489,
                    0.3228,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.001356,
                    0.14519,
                    0.451645,
                    0.214346,
                    0.073551,
                    0.043936,
                    0.060973,
                    0.009004,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0978,
                    0.1651,
                    0.2406,
                    0.3403,
                    0.4454,
                    0.5525,
                    0.6541,
                    0.7044,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.3234,
                    0.3154,
                    0.3924,
                    0.5168,
                    0.9022,
                    0.9958,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4075530317556091,
                  0.2992491026354509,
                  0.17577709183675766,
                  0.3585647660079319,
                  0.3712042443411348,
                  0.3959251990784136,
                  0.15952778032209564,
                  0.415328267723903
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.37168678111891346,
                  0.40830734552865355,
                  0.5514955812695821,
                  0.4122454531264281,
                  0.5073582366943469,
                  0.42296825285318396,
                  0.5480141639602464,
                  0.3433109747399186
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16647620739283256,
                  0.23744143830940692,
                  0.026425718363548442,
                  0.24791741828072594,
                  0.3089308025735399,
                  0.2856585307348335,
                  0.018900565164861997,
                  0.2425763371671822
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13710719771935653,
                  0.28966613712444955,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.26920158326246535,
                  0.3962471388287118,
                  0.3008762153923436,
                  0.11169127068708512,
                  0.1645095887434772
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24107682039985273,
                  0.06180767452671057,
                  0.14935135325868706,
                  0.11064735633592748,
                  0.062273454156610994,
                  0.11026668386081681,
                  0.14062719719631545,
                  0.17275193075081408
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23457958118988842,
                  0.11864122692593004,
                  0.44038442452528814,
                  0.14304388402215332,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.12209205536551032,
                  0.43632285498898205,
                  0.17880139376069062
                ],
                "crps": [
                  33.0997863366596,
                  20.658132786588332,
                  81.29768136590731,
                  25.454489029485046,
                  31.91626642022146,
                  29.645052553622886,
                  88.68735087235719,
                  32.55834084384673
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.91091499200625,
                  33.39002587790927,
                  163.85395380251938,
                  30.317658032788415,
                  46.77514464531494,
                  32.16405989901042,
                  178.02911191569987,
                  27.619913058663098
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  32.15993960769627,
                  19.866982968667248,
                  79.68255079988991,
                  24.619398430122338,
                  31.156176911834454,
                  28.727876025340674,
                  87.17943975659418,
                  31.833946450593466
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.513828107781922,
                  30.99293899368493,
                  161.45686691829505,
                  27.920571148564072,
                  44.378057761090616,
                  29.766973014786096,
                  175.6320250314755,
                  25.22282617443876
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3228911854626621,
              "rpss": 0.2754981054342295,
              "brier_below": 0.19179087724836644,
              "bss_below": 0.13821715055564165,
              "brier_above": 0.1311003088107169,
              "bss_above": 0.4124278678979889,
              "crps": 42.91463752608607,
              "crpss": 0.3666446430598389,
              "crps_fair": 41.90328886884231,
              "crpss_fair": 0.35888982053780316,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.00957,
                    0.227633,
                    0.031505,
                    0.276481,
                    0.353107,
                    0.099746,
                    0.001956,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0978,
                    0.1412,
                    0.2629,
                    0.3644,
                    0.4393,
                    0.535,
                    0.6277,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.001,
                    0.3729,
                    0.4142,
                    0.466,
                    0.4319,
                    0.1111,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.001087,
                    0.107903,
                    0.4552,
                    0.179292,
                    0.019542,
                    0.064259,
                    0.149628,
                    0.023089,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0978,
                    0.1615,
                    0.2468,
                    0.3322,
                    0.474,
                    0.5619,
                    0.6552,
                    0.7044,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.1791,
                    0.0817,
                    0.1903,
                    0.6553,
                    0.9424,
                    0.9956,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "gqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.17693656157052065,
            "training": [
              0.1693603405023839,
              0.1972545970968596,
              0.15071577667327588,
              0.2267641934350298,
              0.2893201017129082,
              0.18989007174422007,
              0.17581515090032884,
              0.12916797635026375,
              0.1641769629793852,
              0.16146426878354203,
              0.17050863526588264,
              0.16696532029552,
              0.1903401704608515,
              0.20739217775343993,
              0.12041168872510671,
              0.1301149222259247,
              0.1684949252177194,
              0.1461131216412795,
              0.18061583919759674,
              0.19187936064074684,
              0.17375508214650134,
              0.161392434801705,
              0.18589749224540233,
              0.19866686689662222
            ],
            "test": 0.18816422134626556
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4424982002602183,
                  0.3871377435551358,
                  0.45042500052665846,
                  0.38060694090788544,
                  0.21047019007367007,
                  0.4029639195342437,
                  0.40834281170036707,
                  0.5532841055525215,
                  0.3660594489973055,
                  0.42889975410454323,
                  0.4249531715665365,
                  0.40083707782587025,
                  0.46259049258192053,
                  0.41448437144510325,
                  0.5905536782359719,
                  0.542690079681271,
                  0.3952601154630435,
                  0.6604665580416728,
                  0.429672959142735,
                  0.40265058063652676,
                  0.43582462734287125,
                  0.49203076553004305,
                  0.34569153695489263,
                  0.4064030996316054
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4395210979875425,
                  0.470103716624794,
                  0.41696991681095497,
                  0.4787026031452831,
                  0.5456974441052049,
                  0.4718891913819794,
                  0.47528498703411814,
                  0.4682080369739733,
                  0.3831343647949888,
                  0.4088195356935795,
                  0.4015935093605737,
                  0.39471244953026,
                  0.4905254593905998,
                  0.4972930203135432,
                  0.44542605260977947,
                  0.45801231637095624,
                  0.41221699134066647,
                  0.5190225092696747,
                  0.45873316132537956,
                  0.4177409102960471,
                  0.44718476065736323,
                  0.46325505114638965,
                  0.44214927012968386,
                  0.47013731140410536
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.28508631800269396,
                  0.20840640319944323,
                  0.2794211515788905,
                  0.26871610500766263,
                  0.03423441382604589,
                  0.1902974615186345,
                  0.1898658821084948,
                  0.18518613201181908,
                  0.20890321039102394,
                  0.20630714982221576,
                  0.24431721403281287,
                  0.19781761536309792,
                  0.3601885394762292,
                  0.09829372273058243,
                  0.4088303827680441,
                  0.17072157303912672,
                  0.17409816859226515,
                  0.4659777996314725,
                  0.2146157413451811,
                  0.2142571142055164,
                  0.11864513738031435,
                  0.14024730784472134,
                  0.09820748288118049,
                  0.30783293885352947
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.26733852590825796,
                  0.2537256337025866,
                  0.25705411420017604,
                  0.3357734196011123,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.24514724598143975,
                  0.22681741549383455,
                  0.13433843965721864,
                  0.20847648854308581,
                  0.21955850215575037,
                  0.23050568160830917,
                  0.18056439949521058,
                  0.3677097897916764,
                  0.12508152488088367,
                  0.31011998366589516,
                  0.1537918174661276,
                  0.19438540787371786,
                  0.391713087904114,
                  0.23671767734449203,
                  0.22863730285774397,
                  0.13116571704967142,
                  0.1350144958485548,
                  0.15057377542642655,
                  0.33304615388212466
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15741187769842202,
                  0.17873133761007612,
                  0.17100384490840975,
                  0.11189083429760108,
                  0.17623577294116366,
                  0.21266645955455485,
                  0.21847693354719092,
                  0.3680979776155615,
                  0.15715623696324243,
                  0.2225926017323256,
                  0.18063595388881132,
                  0.20301946164546253,
                  0.10240194600167711,
                  0.31619065606728025,
                  0.18172329080926958,
                  0.3719685118475151,
                  0.22116194806340567,
                  0.19448875828854198,
                  0.21505721697911157,
                  0.18839346224364512,
                  0.31717949784423166,
                  0.3517834673503618,
                  0.24748405533378767,
                  0.09857015665854249
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17218257207928467,
                  0.21637808292220725,
                  0.15991580261077884,
                  0.14292918354417064,
                  0.4247144528307517,
                  0.22674194540053969,
                  0.24846757154028362,
                  0.3338695973167546,
                  0.17465787625190304,
                  0.18926103353782903,
                  0.17108782775226475,
                  0.21414805003504944,
                  0.12281566959892326,
                  0.37221149543265947,
                  0.13530606894388414,
                  0.3042204989048285,
                  0.21783158346694867,
                  0.12730942136556073,
                  0.22201548398088763,
                  0.18910360743830318,
                  0.3160190436076916,
                  0.3282405552978347,
                  0.29157549470325717,
                  0.13709115752198053
                ],
                "crps": [
                  30.742209703923454,
                  36.41368041300595,
                  28.939935471643842,
                  25.725673249569134,
                  172.70403785524624,
                  31.879963532034164,
                  34.80969905609223,
                  47.3191097291388,
                  20.521705673968246,
                  30.973324695624925,
                  28.061594772458456,
                  27.61599303900503,
                  33.723031894956875,
                  56.071862499874975,
                  41.16697420405066,
                  49.9598226026993,
                  32.09604532749018,
                  60.78963494738387,
                  41.79574741909915,
                  28.81318187013949,
                  37.19544677546866,
                  34.31795757356532,
                  37.78661769852571,
                  27.20474020119035
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.742925516629697,
                  40.77336668818828,
                  28.09618525185972,
                  37.986090541506,
                  251.4927342153348,
                  40.320321374030684,
                  40.93726570534917,
                  40.54786455186527,
                  22.988890072347303,
                  28.257992147944407,
                  24.96559897910219,
                  25.682377420488514,
                  37.65656723862455,
                  67.35667251514191,
                  29.987287831298126,
                  43.08507304266908,
                  30.254448434401816,
                  47.83890739301917,
                  44.7070520085121,
                  29.018165136591247,
                  36.90426542672519,
                  32.258006168915756,
                  38.015712600516835,
                  34.40598130175283
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  29.283458373838887,
                  34.50317847610589,
                  27.533171553873323,
                  24.318829708634258,
                  171.09205857737123,
                  30.609225139591796,
                  33.3130819159704,
                  45.964096297853416,
                  19.286390120898677,
                  29.236682633150142,
                  26.434209818887645,
                  26.04166875256233,
                  32.47296640550901,
                  54.55717994220023,
                  39.73504558631822,
                  48.86940404129355,
                  30.370662215081012,
                  59.312220461798155,
                  40.330249302920436,
                  27.388559011430257,
                  35.63093084456836,
                  32.88516693516752,
                  35.73276227806841,
                  25.99662799246868
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  29.83323453860368,
                  38.88077881844172,
                  26.1795875687868,
                  36.08822373966346,
                  249.9992360568139,
                  38.426875463916396,
                  39.04498825040786,
                  38.65484959473932,
                  21.062619481737414,
                  26.341700917326186,
                  23.043072155361166,
                  23.761208131674348,
                  35.758076339617475,
                  65.51443181552213,
                  28.07427178189838,
                  41.19686340465451,
                  28.3419383709928,
                  45.95970122915301,
                  42.821914300357065,
                  27.103313627542445,
                  35.0043497136804,
                  30.34929072242817,
                  36.1179019010588,
                  32.50133398998652
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4347832178871922,
              "rpss": 0.04059607326282988,
              "brier_below": 0.21960312356712494,
              "bss_below": 0.03084906855898728,
              "brier_above": 0.2151800941620913,
              "bss_above": 0.05034333947961056,
              "crps": 41.5261662585898,
              "crpss": 0.08168563103568438,
              "crps_fair": 40.03740943273174,
              "crpss_fair": 0.07611287199794603,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.00995,
                    0.140487,
                    0.286368,
                    0.304187,
                    0.176534,
                    0.069553,
                    0.012248,
                    0.000644,
                    2.8e-05,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0856,
                    0.1546,
                    0.2594,
                    0.3554,
                    0.4443,
                    0.5361,
                    0.6257,
                    0.7324,
                    0.81,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.3588,
                    0.2216,
                    0.2983,
                    0.3487,
                    0.411,
                    0.5782,
                    0.626,
                    0.5228,
                    1.0,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.003523,
                    0.090196,
                    0.301995,
                    0.279688,
                    0.180412,
                    0.079985,
                    0.047366,
                    0.016636,
                    0.000198,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.089,
                    0.1662,
                    0.26,
                    0.3557,
                    0.445,
                    0.5418,
                    0.6468,
                    0.7344,
                    0.8173,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.2316,
                    0.2218,
                    0.2692,
                    0.3338,
                    0.3765,
                    0.4985,
                    0.6372,
                    0.8005,
                    1.0,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44067904488139276,
                  0.3194208181707347,
                  0.37028660241794953,
                  0.3236201314849692,
                  0.15052324017473506,
                  0.3332720755811033,
                  0.3050244962285549,
                  0.6049791130353823,
                  0.34214566195411633,
                  0.3077493956203797,
                  0.35619819929930013,
                  0.414643834273502,
                  0.4694034228633918,
                  0.3907522501458198,
                  0.4616188068007083,
                  0.4954627712609931,
                  0.3874702373501028,
                  0.580346565156122,
                  0.44523154319422403,
                  0.3027288433489746,
                  0.46598817228669054,
                  0.4978417552980269,
                  0.1939165828875417,
                  0.4314059403613482
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48190550000573357,
                  0.4447116445242348,
                  0.39122568096409477,
                  0.5314846969938783,
                  0.5463137956783318,
                  0.5246370465888529,
                  0.46799085520133354,
                  0.4301833029814578,
                  0.3790308872213789,
                  0.3760295940535084,
                  0.36571087481860687,
                  0.4071905851059967,
                  0.5346883511508412,
                  0.5378418848789392,
                  0.39758042315298353,
                  0.42189702405901625,
                  0.3563103597455807,
                  0.5447213097764745,
                  0.4681166137581803,
                  0.3573140644587983,
                  0.4646548700920834,
                  0.443550454531998,
                  0.4892057891747856,
                  0.5235515129376195
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3335682141479579,
                  0.08887057906355046,
                  0.2636525138514392,
                  0.26021013984346913,
                  0.01888843598598894,
                  0.26035439666543786,
                  0.24186130489667554,
                  0.2428837202007154,
                  0.21062832940434204,
                  0.07846883335084077,
                  0.20941565701878226,
                  0.14899003078001247,
                  0.3825492019876187,
                  0.07530760669039331,
                  0.30307767300338945,
                  0.15315332959225755,
                  0.15252578482399176,
                  0.45732324562461013,
                  0.11137672938579446,
                  0.09129439524383251,
                  0.10222853841625726,
                  0.15645425558931272,
                  0.016513443826208857,
                  0.35228945363861364
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3519612903999631,
                  0.14955802970751203,
                  0.2601871534110402,
                  0.4105017057194249,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.39624369138262994,
                  0.3443603210875784,
                  0.12682101259329223,
                  0.2099793080182162,
                  0.1262687532682766,
                  0.2039124110213452,
                  0.13844673123024703,
                  0.4137053598763879,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.264430544340142,
                  0.12679414888912763,
                  0.17861675021890278,
                  0.42373831850202115,
                  0.13731870409752048,
                  0.14687327559600188,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.14271630161606835,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.40256852166316615
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10711082359417035,
                  0.23055023914724437,
                  0.1066340815896742,
                  0.06340999226173578,
                  0.13163479930336264,
                  0.07291767890542701,
                  0.0631631907792015,
                  0.3620953875223192,
                  0.13151733190007447,
                  0.22928055906114275,
                  0.14678253782942036,
                  0.26565380514593107,
                  0.08685421374761781,
                  0.3154446482005784,
                  0.15854112611951918,
                  0.34230944575441596,
                  0.234944452037187,
                  0.12302331632598282,
                  0.33385482120481286,
                  0.21143444574645287,
                  0.3637596450114789,
                  0.3413875060698232,
                  0.17740313624686735,
                  0.07911648219063845
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1299442096057706,
                  0.29515361481672286,
                  0.13103852755305465,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4253308044038785,
                  0.12839335520622294,
                  0.12363053411375528,
                  0.3033622903881658,
                  0.16905157920316274,
                  0.24976084078523186,
                  0.16179846379726168,
                  0.26874385387575,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4168588936044859,
                  0.13314987881284177,
                  0.2951028751698888,
                  0.1776936095266779,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3307979096606601,
                  0.21044078886279646,
                  0.34367187881763017,
                  0.3008341529159299,
                  0.3682227979003325,
                  0.12098299127445337
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.70886380867722,
                  44.774678472525345,
                  27.585470079275296,
                  27.6745612832895,
                  225.69813692036584,
                  34.08292067053884,
                  26.634611120182175,
                  56.46957849421145,
                  25.22996204958731,
                  30.120107279956738,
                  29.73643313349702,
                  38.33994691671975,
                  45.355339009855996,
                  79.68081012376943,
                  40.204592123864394,
                  53.57074346928145,
                  38.05419913670394,
                  74.90923738409765,
                  69.41279173444786,
                  29.426256266613922,
                  53.72607411646917,
                  39.80047397319012,
                  53.93713576449446,
                  36.09257839442218
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  44.818392114890194,
                  49.555903283487574,
                  30.675020158925083,
                  53.94868480057281,
                  354.7381681248423,
                  56.058574286857095,
                  40.89964859325192,
                  41.88472808521825,
                  29.960563688835595,
                  35.58986358112118,
                  28.725216146584827,
                  36.06632699048634,
                  54.26159742058326,
                  101.57427145824482,
                  32.681017126544084,
                  48.797086589560294,
                  29.95440091470073,
                  69.17206276014227,
                  74.3649830088615,
                  31.00618674826232,
                  52.67156510791567,
                  36.916850791140064,
                  58.698649883439046,
                  47.73367692323706
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  36.96351613690055,
                  41.96793910019914,
                  25.7935539743533,
                  25.908692524663078,
                  223.4680333222742,
                  32.39989101841512,
                  24.870702895788696,
                  54.82919787895816,
                  23.603552681293255,
                  28.22649013367915,
                  27.748574139907973,
                  36.21085241819479,
                  43.776268041851594,
                  77.67629302809466,
                  38.21614002576463,
                  52.115602061406875,
                  35.84069192146508,
                  73.29545426635492,
                  67.59506754042782,
                  27.460841360882547,
                  51.751212096161794,
                  38.091376170879535,
                  50.57587564357904,
                  34.572153870498944
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.28827155959033,
                  47.03475528721915,
                  28.118112914314686,
                  51.435856466268575,
                  352.79501684228853,
                  53.54974195536778,
                  38.362106175221676,
                  39.349051348043986,
                  27.402303306971245,
                  33.04226475208313,
                  26.16461609134499,
                  33.51963055426904,
                  51.74936172381692,
                  99.15164309867102,
                  30.1279091186148,
                  46.27450144046246,
                  27.396128860915656,
                  66.68806658106446,
                  71.89082190601232,
                  28.449906713101416,
                  50.156317986314725,
                  34.37176519545435,
                  56.19481769512508,
                  45.209077740680264
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.391279562669836,
              "rpss": 0.13734692404204063,
              "brier_below": 0.19632857554297886,
              "bss_below": 0.13367480556029776,
              "brier_above": 0.19495098607062825,
              "bss_above": 0.1410136683337364,
              "crps": 50.801062571918216,
              "crpss": 0.15375839538430625,
              "crps_fair": 48.87324884383312,
              "crpss_fair": 0.15047494444407916,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.013433,
                    0.156549,
                    0.247125,
                    0.272447,
                    0.196873,
                    0.097035,
                    0.016538,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0842,
                    0.1501,
                    0.2579,
                    0.3578,
                    0.4469,
                    0.5367,
                    0.6224,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.216,
                    0.0913,
                    0.2113,
                    0.3749,
                    0.4936,
                    0.6903,
                    0.6888,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.005142,
                    0.126345,
                    0.328395,
                    0.245327,
                    0.128828,
                    0.085855,
                    0.052905,
                    0.026911,
                    0.000291,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0906,
                    0.1659,
                    0.2575,
                    0.3544,
                    0.4466,
                    0.5421,
                    0.6509,
                    0.7376,
                    0.8173,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.1125,
                    0.1617,
                    0.2454,
                    0.2933,
                    0.4212,
                    0.6312,
                    0.8055,
                    0.8656,
                    1.0,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4207915009654506,
                  0.4047400231036156,
                  0.39282655153853163,
                  0.3358307235161834,
                  0.4452894125769097,
                  0.4020384824963496,
                  0.3516917886814713,
                  0.6094769938179324
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.417659603071558,
                  0.42114839455105046,
                  0.5533032498091346,
                  0.4473076683297933,
                  0.4625683790499464,
                  0.41678104095296603,
                  0.5158924310312171,
                  0.42890011506153497
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.24035027584020607,
                  0.21013655134393516,
                  0.09187845362514664,
                  0.23979977347927053,
                  0.22765533920397535,
                  0.22870341340130562,
                  0.11909760762580911,
                  0.25327286949721745
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23401701276525544,
                  0.2189631813755131,
                  0.11111111773384957,
                  0.3104494178140245,
                  0.2504465951343465,
                  0.24187001637124075,
                  0.1452369658843232,
                  0.14026665735763472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.18044122892183936,
                  0.1946034702046843,
                  0.30094807164174964,
                  0.0960309597185412,
                  0.21763407114108485,
                  0.17333507935780432,
                  0.23259416594325039,
                  0.35620410315627415
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18364259720487727,
                  0.20218521675843326,
                  0.4421920927416047,
                  0.1368582657800341,
                  0.2121217857216985,
                  0.17491103304162547,
                  0.37065543860496475,
                  0.28863344582864725
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.10374916972648,
                  23.53813968163824,
                  79.08254898658632,
                  19.81487063005348,
                  29.248414842341944,
                  26.093825082451122,
                  70.25685860748747,
                  51.103173311509465
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.991938244042803,
                  27.156682952757507,
                  116.99857569796765,
                  25.68956435022059,
                  33.64072492622825,
                  25.925245138455825,
                  110.35729933852919,
                  38.12777562837381
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.38170894391232,
                  22.873569684901927,
                  78.09215633335472,
                  19.138364185075115,
                  28.646139566295396,
                  25.286148256356135,
                  69.33404910717826,
                  50.48652858745385
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.186278935163696,
                  25.3510236438784,
                  115.19291638908858,
                  23.883905041341485,
                  31.83506561734916,
                  24.11958582957673,
                  108.55164002965007,
                  36.322116319494704
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4203356845870555,
              "rpss": 0.08212649246550296,
              "brier_below": 0.20136178550210826,
              "bss_below": 0.025095412752909385,
              "brier_above": 0.21897389376065352,
              "bss_above": 0.12898207121691796,
              "crps": 40.78019753897432,
              "crpss": 0.19224701701345803,
              "crps_fair": 40.02983308306597,
              "crpss_fair": 0.177699818302255,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.009674,
                    0.127574,
                    0.118816,
                    0.286234,
                    0.276093,
                    0.16376,
                    0.017007,
                    0.000842,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0844,
                    0.1439,
                    0.2547,
                    0.3543,
                    0.4473,
                    0.537,
                    0.6306,
                    0.7168,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0499,
                    0.223,
                    0.3055,
                    0.3481,
                    0.3764,
                    0.4513,
                    0.7006,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000338,
                    0.177267,
                    0.354133,
                    0.235576,
                    0.09189,
                    0.052558,
                    0.060157,
                    0.028081,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0859,
                    0.1687,
                    0.248,
                    0.3418,
                    0.4417,
                    0.5459,
                    0.6549,
                    0.723,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.3216,
                    0.3035,
                    0.3992,
                    0.3923,
                    0.7451,
                    0.9817,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4024690954033891,
                  0.29748378384640295,
                  0.1517443749750139,
                  0.3455143679264245,
                  0.37502072786786406,
                  0.4124584305270394,
                  0.13996666282068967,
                  0.408896318666016
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.37168678111891346,
                  0.40830734552865355,
                  0.5514955812695821,
                  0.4122454531264281,
                  0.5073582366943469,
                  0.42296825285318396,
                  0.5480141639602464,
                  0.3433109747399186
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1649898906870391,
                  0.2332028528241773,
                  0.02285433823038262,
                  0.2329522598762618,
                  0.3051791940947055,
                  0.295384693050054,
                  0.015918926187524364,
                  0.2422653133410075
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13710719771935653,
                  0.28966613712444955,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.26920158326246535,
                  0.3962471388287118,
                  0.3008762153923436,
                  0.11169127068708512,
                  0.1645095887434772
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23747920237726272,
                  0.06428094218911785,
                  0.12889001932213015,
                  0.11256211687094259,
                  0.06984154755676487,
                  0.11707375272430554,
                  0.12404772126406803,
                  0.16663100499103492
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23457958118988842,
                  0.11864122692593004,
                  0.44038442452528814,
                  0.14304388402215332,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.12209205536551032,
                  0.43632285498898205,
                  0.17880139376069062
                ],
                "crps": [
                  32.92201511989895,
                  21.102558749966217,
                  73.08457772734859,
                  24.56356354920945,
                  32.59367305621019,
                  30.736659076275924,
                  84.71598072665827,
                  31.579398766169756
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.91091499200625,
                  33.39002587790927,
                  163.85395380251938,
                  30.317658032788415,
                  46.77514464531494,
                  32.16405989901042,
                  178.02911191569987,
                  27.619913058663098
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.96637694991914,
                  20.259915819749693,
                  71.59368437336964,
                  23.708557472210632,
                  31.794519894227935,
                  29.812277131719398,
                  83.41103385965648,
                  30.810082974358924
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.513828107781922,
                  30.99293899368493,
                  161.45686691829505,
                  27.920571148564072,
                  44.378057761090616,
                  29.766973014786096,
                  175.6320250314755,
                  25.22282617443876
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.31669422025410493,
              "rpss": 0.2894028301102055,
              "brier_below": 0.18909343353639402,
              "bss_below": 0.15033769957064524,
              "brier_above": 0.12760078841195333,
              "bss_above": 0.4281121990844605,
              "crps": 41.41230334646717,
              "crpss": 0.38881683081273666,
              "crps_fair": 40.41955605940148,
              "crpss_fair": 0.38159057347182557,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.024805,
                    0.216974,
                    0.073936,
                    0.273947,
                    0.292336,
                    0.111258,
                    0.006743,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0844,
                    0.1325,
                    0.259,
                    0.3599,
                    0.444,
                    0.536,
                    0.6231,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.009,
                    0.265,
                    0.4276,
                    0.4661,
                    0.4945,
                    0.6454,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000436,
                    0.144469,
                    0.370031,
                    0.203583,
                    0.033003,
                    0.049069,
                    0.130433,
                    0.068975,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0859,
                    0.1661,
                    0.2498,
                    0.3359,
                    0.4412,
                    0.559,
                    0.6575,
                    0.7232,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.1037,
                    0.0845,
                    0.1975,
                    0.2503,
                    0.8937,
                    0.985,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.315255859443403,
            "training": [
              0.2963365045825114,
              0.3469918639771948,
              0.2935356395209843,
              0.3601131585068711,
              0.482132981855519,
              0.3072088494897301,
              0.31652967395414433,
              0.27309795052387653,
              0.31122538709631614,
              0.2910054469389618,
              0.3055206430068244,
              0.29555906420495487,
              0.3280463488768418,
              0.3415906740641199,
              0.25702086353648734,
              0.2678745130411006,
              0.3050114210334815,
              0.27220672356194336,
              0.3123461772728153,
              0.34015379781830996,
              0.3037450348504824,
              0.2869838488486026,
              0.34924177766828224,
              0.32266228241131684
            ],
            "test": 0.32890033736300983
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4417197767360011,
                  0.39602152633686355,
                  0.4456907534540421,
                  0.3998677151644589,
                  0.2924375025424817,
                  0.44058395748653106,
                  0.4400357788993541,
                  0.5634769700155552,
                  0.36117674932153443,
                  0.42741745877249604,
                  0.42868318701016217,
                  0.40686571220617057,
                  0.4539408062878966,
                  0.4582637588247886,
                  0.557060226612965,
                  0.5722344044888733,
                  0.40260747995530705,
                  0.6177733167576986,
                  0.4304788535598997,
                  0.3845741597085522,
                  0.46662376366903924,
                  0.5137236331913678,
                  0.3602575209787551,
                  0.4020958096440993
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4395210979875425,
                  0.470103716624794,
                  0.41696991681095497,
                  0.4787026031452831,
                  0.5456974441052049,
                  0.4718891913819794,
                  0.47528498703411814,
                  0.4682080369739733,
                  0.3831343647949888,
                  0.4088195356935795,
                  0.4015935093605737,
                  0.39471244953026,
                  0.4905254593905998,
                  0.4972930203135432,
                  0.44542605260977947,
                  0.45801231637095624,
                  0.41221699134066647,
                  0.5190225092696747,
                  0.45873316132537956,
                  0.4177409102960471,
                  0.44718476065736323,
                  0.46325505114638965,
                  0.44214927012968386,
                  0.47013731140410536
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.285113663783571,
                  0.21273878208466518,
                  0.27982678249863885,
                  0.28544501366174213,
                  0.05427290892212134,
                  0.22008455569215155,
                  0.20795480894829696,
                  0.18122682890186523,
                  0.20798048461736754,
                  0.2131766629297282,
                  0.24747118068624796,
                  0.2061315557785665,
                  0.3625512151299436,
                  0.11087675881437721,
                  0.3891754715990708,
                  0.18977908583475053,
                  0.18237187754722237,
                  0.4500684188239688,
                  0.2170543638791349,
                  0.20552428109746912,
                  0.12747394497628423,
                  0.14790556849846978,
                  0.10764014762050343,
                  0.3096361503110269
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.26733852590825796,
                  0.2537256337025866,
                  0.25705411420017604,
                  0.3357734196011123,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.24514724598143975,
                  0.22681741549383455,
                  0.13433843965721864,
                  0.20847648854308581,
                  0.21955850215575037,
                  0.23050568160830917,
                  0.18056439949521058,
                  0.3677097897916764,
                  0.12508152488088367,
                  0.31011998366589516,
                  0.1537918174661276,
                  0.19438540787371786,
                  0.391713087904114,
                  0.23671767734449203,
                  0.22863730285774397,
                  0.13116571704967142,
                  0.1350144958485548,
                  0.15057377542642655,
                  0.33304615388212466
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15660610938804395,
                  0.1832827422760413,
                  0.1658639667727668,
                  0.11442269859928529,
                  0.23816459128718806,
                  0.22049940267454443,
                  0.2320809721707631,
                  0.38225014472494484,
                  0.15319626234594874,
                  0.21424079276563476,
                  0.18121200343932262,
                  0.2007341559819504,
                  0.09138958510260269,
                  0.3473870092087891,
                  0.16788475081012427,
                  0.3824553213293033,
                  0.2202356015599626,
                  0.1677048961364221,
                  0.21342448994153188,
                  0.1790498750239974,
                  0.3391498267132334,
                  0.36581807268499344,
                  0.2526173734369199,
                  0.09245965683343642
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17218257207928467,
                  0.21637808292220725,
                  0.15991580261077884,
                  0.14292918354417064,
                  0.4247144528307517,
                  0.22674194540053969,
                  0.24846757154028362,
                  0.3338695973167546,
                  0.17465787625190304,
                  0.18926103353782903,
                  0.17108782775226475,
                  0.21414805003504944,
                  0.12281566959892326,
                  0.37221149543265947,
                  0.13530606894388414,
                  0.3042204989048285,
                  0.21783158346694867,
                  0.12730942136556073,
                  0.22201548398088763,
                  0.18910360743830318,
                  0.3160190436076916,
                  0.3282405552978347,
                  0.29157549470325717,
                  0.13709115752198053
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.42994219445857,
                  35.35064716043598,
                  29.750953346614835,
                  27.051003921431512,
                  176.5057134313792,
                  34.80236850525281,
                  36.03060398034932,
                  47.48277446560082,
                  20.54888545170184,
                  31.017753701850342,
                  27.82340847181246,
                  27.91412982987023,
                  33.86755806395901,
                  63.26443122109345,
                  38.922602658182925,
                  51.26963318285742,
                  31.60830176966455,
                  58.87074854940607,
                  42.22865860402411,
                  27.41917568967204,
                  39.40146142761522,
                  35.59695311690624,
                  31.594565081551064,
                  27.38674415156657
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.742925516629697,
                  40.77336668818828,
                  28.09618525185972,
                  37.986090541506,
                  251.4927342153348,
                  40.320321374030684,
                  40.93726570534917,
                  40.54786455186527,
                  22.988890072347303,
                  28.257992147944407,
                  24.96559897910219,
                  25.682377420488514,
                  37.65656723862455,
                  67.35667251514191,
                  29.987287831298126,
                  43.08507304266908,
                  30.254448434401816,
                  47.83890739301917,
                  44.7070520085121,
                  29.018165136591247,
                  36.90426542672519,
                  32.258006168915756,
                  38.015712600516835,
                  34.40598130175283
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  29.94318802297155,
                  33.46744266322767,
                  28.344453576494484,
                  25.56274777080937,
                  174.84009626331846,
                  33.4955630365173,
                  34.45163018657555,
                  46.0394670419335,
                  19.282765471817452,
                  29.278380545422404,
                  26.17258988137529,
                  26.31321727051814,
                  32.6288203681542,
                  61.83779759121937,
                  37.491325292252064,
                  50.180723223588004,
                  29.84183424526991,
                  57.38897889473128,
                  40.74698964286054,
                  26.076888744165423,
                  37.74941964834933,
                  34.09733016315584,
                  29.708533775212448,
                  26.18963428661286
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  29.83323453860368,
                  38.88077881844172,
                  26.1795875687868,
                  36.08822373966346,
                  249.9992360568139,
                  38.426875463916396,
                  39.04498825040786,
                  38.65484959473932,
                  21.062619481737414,
                  26.341700917326186,
                  23.043072155361166,
                  23.761208131674348,
                  35.758076339617475,
                  65.51443181552213,
                  28.07427178189838,
                  41.19686340465451,
                  28.3419383709928,
                  45.95970122915301,
                  42.821914300357065,
                  27.103313627542445,
                  35.0043497136804,
                  30.34929072242817,
                  36.1179019010588,
                  32.50133398998652
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44431711756770387,
              "rpss": 0.019558322921292115,
              "brier_below": 0.22506168802654933,
              "bss_below": 0.006759370997991843,
              "brier_above": 0.21925542921698962,
              "bss_above": 0.03235761875666543,
              "crps": 41.96412574905236,
              "crpss": 0.07200054499591868,
              "crps_fair": 40.46374240027302,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0662749842191156,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.073042,
                    0.216396,
                    0.423837,
                    0.2279,
                    0.0521,
                    0.006332,
                    0.000392,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1702,
                    0.2532,
                    0.3428,
                    0.4388,
                    0.5377,
                    0.6342,
                    0.7181,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2517,
                    0.2835,
                    0.3455,
                    0.4069,
                    0.4629,
                    0.6036,
                    0.431,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.081629,
                    0.262775,
                    0.404487,
                    0.162775,
                    0.064691,
                    0.023196,
                    0.000446,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1732,
                    0.2535,
                    0.3388,
                    0.4376,
                    0.5393,
                    0.6294,
                    0.7262,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2683,
                    0.2685,
                    0.3372,
                    0.392,
                    0.6126,
                    0.6311,
                    0.1269,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.45099370400210204,
                  0.36772478675608733,
                  0.37729952766749764,
                  0.3776677483356616,
                  0.28028064984680856,
                  0.3788394824536832,
                  0.340584428966993,
                  0.5493929964560468,
                  0.3511018262547219,
                  0.3261277278003951,
                  0.35989378857524934,
                  0.41597634651265625,
                  0.4859968135950257,
                  0.4459762651837305,
                  0.44306990441428634,
                  0.46740054223347927,
                  0.37758978271301963,
                  0.5747410552249839,
                  0.4549873139664667,
                  0.31281206692315183,
                  0.48398814651734423,
                  0.49633479376599626,
                  0.27556562398165085,
                  0.45321237705966444
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48190550000573357,
                  0.4447116445242348,
                  0.39122568096409477,
                  0.5314846969938783,
                  0.5463137956783318,
                  0.5246370465888529,
                  0.46799085520133354,
                  0.4301833029814578,
                  0.3790308872213789,
                  0.3760295940535084,
                  0.36571087481860687,
                  0.4071905851059967,
                  0.5346883511508412,
                  0.5378418848789392,
                  0.39758042315298353,
                  0.42189702405901625,
                  0.3563103597455807,
                  0.5447213097764745,
                  0.4681166137581803,
                  0.3573140644587983,
                  0.4646548700920834,
                  0.443550454531998,
                  0.4892057891747856,
                  0.5235515129376195
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.34463970671750943,
                  0.11213587145405379,
                  0.27201340949588315,
                  0.30369588779165374,
                  0.04937064237498903,
                  0.2995848863977287,
                  0.2645361073893175,
                  0.20135446306473515,
                  0.21278510288309177,
                  0.09099940259905863,
                  0.21185838891388742,
                  0.15156305239827045,
                  0.40579757708445763,
                  0.09135942893684637,
                  0.2920552326810166,
                  0.1375078687668341,
                  0.16204860658203546,
                  0.463931449369957,
                  0.11589851425059944,
                  0.10383819569391875,
                  0.10306380918225216,
                  0.15477500268060773,
                  0.044311000119287076,
                  0.3791326483431556
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3519612903999631,
                  0.14955802970751203,
                  0.2601871534110402,
                  0.4105017057194249,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.39624369138262994,
                  0.3443603210875784,
                  0.12682101259329223,
                  0.2099793080182162,
                  0.1262687532682766,
                  0.2039124110213452,
                  0.13844673123024703,
                  0.4137053598763879,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.264430544340142,
                  0.12679414888912763,
                  0.17861675021890278,
                  0.42373831850202115,
                  0.13731870409752048,
                  0.14687327559600188,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.14271630161606835,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.40256852166316615
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10635399097259983,
                  0.2555889152934251,
                  0.1052861113409892,
                  0.07397185853538744,
                  0.23091000366202047,
                  0.07925459468050307,
                  0.07604832001547576,
                  0.34803853255871325,
                  0.1383167224526129,
                  0.23512832299080552,
                  0.1480353954904305,
                  0.2644132955700875,
                  0.08019922980095663,
                  0.354616844986137,
                  0.15101466535189517,
                  0.3298926782705853,
                  0.21554117111415919,
                  0.11080960163912527,
                  0.33908880677339165,
                  0.20897386920593775,
                  0.38092434755422216,
                  0.3415597956664496,
                  0.2312546213032645,
                  0.07407972461291576
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1299442096057706,
                  0.29515361481672286,
                  0.13103852755305465,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4253308044038785,
                  0.12839335520622294,
                  0.12363053411375528,
                  0.3033622903881658,
                  0.16905157920316274,
                  0.24976084078523186,
                  0.16179846379726168,
                  0.26874385387575,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4168588936044859,
                  0.13314987881284177,
                  0.2951028751698888,
                  0.1776936095266779,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3307979096606601,
                  0.21044078886279646,
                  0.34367187881763017,
                  0.3008341529159299,
                  0.3682227979003325,
                  0.12098299127445337
                ],
                "crps": [
                  40.27764831119533,
                  44.8817892755811,
                  29.063287472251666,
                  31.687810062231357,
                  250.27307192250106,
                  38.68792365376375,
                  28.082499336989958,
                  52.94966536632585,
                  26.308897937778617,
                  31.372896861100667,
                  29.76468398152861,
                  38.34864719053514,
                  47.8869459506512,
                  91.51988425488427,
                  38.286989512324375,
                  51.757016035739255,
                  34.65502531841411,
                  74.93482870650092,
                  71.46893711525756,
                  27.953878334729314,
                  55.5748667595446,
                  39.74116819320805,
                  40.50198890188841,
                  38.85662835905886
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  44.818392114890194,
                  49.555903283487574,
                  30.675020158925083,
                  53.94868480057281,
                  354.7381681248423,
                  56.058574286857095,
                  40.89964859325192,
                  41.88472808521825,
                  29.960563688835595,
                  35.58986358112118,
                  28.725216146584827,
                  36.06632699048634,
                  54.26159742058326,
                  101.57427145824482,
                  32.681017126544084,
                  48.797086589560294,
                  29.95440091470073,
                  69.17206276014227,
                  74.3649830088615,
                  31.00618674826232,
                  52.67156510791567,
                  36.916850791140064,
                  58.698649883439046,
                  47.73367692323706
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  38.53394032657067,
                  42.211989156681156,
                  27.264925326929443,
                  29.754121551050265,
                  248.06527019106284,
                  36.88635973288485,
                  26.108273534750687,
                  51.16235716946917,
                  24.57605051450648,
                  29.544374531138544,
                  27.716642143571388,
                  36.14936231891328,
                  46.32334735512223,
                  89.71572785169788,
                  36.28529378006711,
                  50.23800678328309,
                  32.505370187934254,
                  73.30300032377569,
                  69.61208412066456,
                  26.107477078146676,
                  53.503057676715514,
                  37.938124600195465,
                  37.52524906511865,
                  37.33790950089601
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.28827155959033,
                  47.03475528721915,
                  28.118112914314686,
                  51.435856466268575,
                  352.79501684228853,
                  53.54974195536778,
                  38.362106175221676,
                  39.349051348043986,
                  27.402303306971245,
                  33.04226475208313,
                  26.16461609134499,
                  33.51963055426904,
                  51.74936172381692,
                  99.15164309867102,
                  30.1279091186148,
                  46.27450144046246,
                  27.396128860915656,
                  66.68806658106446,
                  71.89082190601232,
                  28.449906713101416,
                  50.156317986314725,
                  34.37176519545435,
                  56.19481769512508,
                  45.209077740680264
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.41031490413361266,
              "rpss": 0.09537975419143163,
              "brier_below": 0.20701067729879777,
              "bss_below": 0.08653865202258393,
              "brier_above": 0.20330422582675375,
              "bss_above": 0.10420791053652512,
              "crps": 52.28487411724933,
              "crpss": 0.1290411355574932,
              "crps_fair": 50.34867978421442,
              "crpss_fair": 0.12482869457840229,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.05932,
                    0.233727,
                    0.447936,
                    0.22012,
                    0.037013,
                    0.001884,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1722,
                    0.2538,
                    0.3402,
                    0.4388,
                    0.5331,
                    0.6169,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1161,
                    0.1528,
                    0.3585,
                    0.5323,
                    0.6853,
                    0.7315,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.085507,
                    0.27981,
                    0.392346,
                    0.152533,
                    0.073501,
                    0.016157,
                    0.000145,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1755,
                    0.2537,
                    0.3367,
                    0.4387,
                    0.5359,
                    0.6261,
                    0.7354,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1339,
                    0.2386,
                    0.3028,
                    0.5322,
                    0.784,
                    0.7581,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3987068109997991,
                  0.4238852215304163,
                  0.4673197729369574,
                  0.34621184932041504,
                  0.477878207738675,
                  0.4003287652518688,
                  0.39926870488202415,
                  0.5851145754434358
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.417659603071558,
                  0.42114839455105046,
                  0.5533032498091346,
                  0.4473076683297933,
                  0.4625683790499464,
                  0.41678104095296603,
                  0.5158924310312171,
                  0.42890011506153497
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22604932322757518,
                  0.22309831756955656,
                  0.10676412080203679,
                  0.24591255367985865,
                  0.25490751376564186,
                  0.2307464630300653,
                  0.1250196942941638,
                  0.24023948700687703
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23401701276525544,
                  0.2189631813755131,
                  0.11111111773384957,
                  0.3104494178140245,
                  0.2504465951343465,
                  0.24187001637124075,
                  0.1452369658843232,
                  0.14026665735763472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1726574914356237,
                  0.20078690234780958,
                  0.3605556198976375,
                  0.10029930564149751,
                  0.2229706908005182,
                  0.16958231123399525,
                  0.27424899029542144,
                  0.3448750696337139
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18364259720487727,
                  0.20218521675843326,
                  0.4421920927416047,
                  0.1368582657800341,
                  0.2121217857216985,
                  0.17491103304162547,
                  0.37065543860496475,
                  0.28863344582864725
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.21582790053491,
                  24.973693663100068,
                  91.85101127623106,
                  20.53825927342428,
                  31.50341586906335,
                  25.61024397043952,
                  85.20994792501723,
                  51.47355643572207
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.991938244042803,
                  27.156682952757507,
                  116.99857569796765,
                  25.68956435022059,
                  33.64072492622825,
                  25.925245138455825,
                  110.35729933852919,
                  38.12777562837381
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.47446177698992,
                  24.29137134677296,
                  90.92790501420752,
                  19.8378689241316,
                  30.881888578309795,
                  24.78962430057297,
                  84.34285253322876,
                  50.81661092614119
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.186278935163696,
                  25.3510236438784,
                  115.19291638908858,
                  23.883905041341485,
                  31.83506561734916,
                  24.11958582957673,
                  108.55164002965007,
                  36.322116319494704
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.437339238512949,
              "rpss": 0.04499637895195607,
              "brier_below": 0.2065921841719719,
              "bss_below": -0.00022786119237339086,
              "brier_above": 0.23074704766077714,
              "bss_above": 0.08215170276880135,
              "crps": 44.67199453919156,
              "crpss": 0.11516032234752005,
              "crps_fair": 43.920322925044346,
              "crpss_fair": 0.09778066157448417,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.069985,
                    0.150687,
                    0.355968,
                    0.295576,
                    0.106339,
                    0.021107,
                    0.000338,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1676,
                    0.2515,
                    0.3595,
                    0.4493,
                    0.5414,
                    0.6236,
                    0.7072,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0276,
                    0.1706,
                    0.3325,
                    0.2963,
                    0.3942,
                    0.5036,
                    0.5002,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.124535,
                    0.436177,
                    0.264283,
                    0.094029,
                    0.062164,
                    0.018813,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1733,
                    0.2522,
                    0.3417,
                    0.4522,
                    0.5486,
                    0.6238,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3151,
                    0.3308,
                    0.363,
                    0.6864,
                    0.9363,
                    0.991,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3908380598967116,
                  0.31987185410347974,
                  0.2734659578862304,
                  0.3726636944269367,
                  0.41456026561237996,
                  0.4050304337852389,
                  0.25248699063673163,
                  0.37773413392998395
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.37168678111891346,
                  0.40830734552865355,
                  0.5514955812695821,
                  0.4122454531264281,
                  0.5073582366943469,
                  0.42296825285318396,
                  0.5480141639602464,
                  0.3433109747399186
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15630672363259898,
                  0.2467487237340247,
                  0.04560379759621493,
                  0.252747160290109,
                  0.340326127100973,
                  0.29273041274057593,
                  0.03887650559676903,
                  0.21386748026248922
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13710719771935653,
                  0.28966613712444955,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.26920158326246535,
                  0.3962471388287118,
                  0.3008762153923436,
                  0.11169127068708512,
                  0.1645095887434772
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23453133331119255,
                  0.07312314249069418,
                  0.22786213246646417,
                  0.11991654424972083,
                  0.07423415272573482,
                  0.1123000368128158,
                  0.2136104597479196,
                  0.16386665592885455
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23457958118988842,
                  0.11864122692593004,
                  0.44038442452528814,
                  0.14304388402215332,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.12209205536551032,
                  0.43632285498898205,
                  0.17880139376069062
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.803122448778282,
                  22.53866140575432,
                  100.1668479716073,
                  26.293146328586406,
                  35.84217435446834,
                  30.50745670453811,
                  119.57891785661154,
                  30.332072517704713
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.91091499200625,
                  33.39002587790927,
                  163.85395380251938,
                  30.317658032788415,
                  46.77514464531494,
                  32.16405989901042,
                  178.02911191569987,
                  27.619913058663098
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  30.813256854070207,
                  21.66505919834704,
                  98.84317474336704,
                  25.391984204502094,
                  34.99879584005988,
                  29.55809069482844,
                  118.4241105412785,
                  29.4806172204444
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.513828107781922,
                  30.99293899368493,
                  161.45686691829505,
                  27.920571148564072,
                  44.378057761090616,
                  29.766973014786096,
                  175.6320250314755,
                  25.22282617443876
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3508314237847116,
              "rpss": 0.21280591527754034,
              "brier_below": 0.19840086636921933,
              "bss_below": 0.10851617968001392,
              "brier_above": 0.15243055721667456,
              "bss_above": 0.3168288594147264,
              "crps": 49.63279994850612,
              "crpss": 0.2674946931983867,
              "crps_fair": 48.646886162112196,
              "crpss_fair": 0.2557144138426082,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.127012,
                    0.155382,
                    0.474522,
                    0.206587,
                    0.034758,
                    0.001739,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1658,
                    0.2442,
                    0.3616,
                    0.4442,
                    0.5367,
                    0.613,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0017,
                    0.1049,
                    0.4234,
                    0.4701,
                    0.5381,
                    0.6251,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.075083,
                    0.419838,
                    0.25008,
                    0.086273,
                    0.124605,
                    0.044122,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1754,
                    0.2566,
                    0.3332,
                    0.4635,
                    0.5499,
                    0.6239,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0925,
                    0.103,
                    0.1677,
                    0.9017,
                    0.9825,
                    0.9901,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "qdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.3084921915713351,
            "training": [
              0.29024257780156854,
              0.3515359755248689,
              0.28559235070676775,
              0.35301529012721433,
              0.4855717437606593,
              0.293973562307126,
              0.3065680807997883,
              0.27014787849940586,
              0.29586473284397635,
              0.28181846982729913,
              0.2976456906115337,
              0.28378588433337215,
              0.31689898973929975,
              0.34127151622707325,
              0.24571584691319193,
              0.2573702844147624,
              0.30537634603434616,
              0.2681939597086881,
              0.3125399654515258,
              0.3332156828087757,
              0.30305944787372596,
              0.2795015222426891,
              0.33135304024610773,
              0.3135537589082768
            ],
            "test": 0.3254311902185304
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4355162457433492,
                  0.3984355600460904,
                  0.4451153365405633,
                  0.39625348815293987,
                  0.2914086639583004,
                  0.4375746505323581,
                  0.43833812018983087,
                  0.5614228874506425,
                  0.36547261610340975,
                  0.42920540356504777,
                  0.4262722791390906,
                  0.4062136606084397,
                  0.45559703029681947,
                  0.4593378456201041,
                  0.5719632701790646,
                  0.5724072893436851,
                  0.4057870407727893,
                  0.6152007927833004,
                  0.43142002185302936,
                  0.3937938353693254,
                  0.46198058864165803,
                  0.5104196778903646,
                  0.37220954700701986,
                  0.39938650569207157
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4395210979875425,
                  0.470103716624794,
                  0.41696991681095497,
                  0.4787026031452831,
                  0.5456974441052049,
                  0.4718891913819794,
                  0.47528498703411814,
                  0.4682080369739733,
                  0.3831343647949888,
                  0.4088195356935795,
                  0.4015935093605737,
                  0.39471244953026,
                  0.4905254593905998,
                  0.4972930203135432,
                  0.44542605260977947,
                  0.45801231637095624,
                  0.41221699134066647,
                  0.5190225092696747,
                  0.45873316132537956,
                  0.4177409102960471,
                  0.44718476065736323,
                  0.46325505114638965,
                  0.44214927012968386,
                  0.47013731140410536
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2798000741913795,
                  0.21324673913726572,
                  0.2762437227443378,
                  0.2851162441047171,
                  0.05486022730111062,
                  0.21756680272954082,
                  0.20753520385662003,
                  0.18053192798751355,
                  0.2116171554027351,
                  0.21551870762633288,
                  0.24670226334915632,
                  0.2047675916928858,
                  0.3635503188679577,
                  0.11092254877754705,
                  0.3998723693721774,
                  0.19206183656525616,
                  0.18660987721923816,
                  0.4495219889193468,
                  0.21778271523450438,
                  0.2149922542749407,
                  0.12684190817367655,
                  0.1486642996584729,
                  0.11067896408022382,
                  0.30619722482661565
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.26733852590825796,
                  0.2537256337025866,
                  0.25705411420017604,
                  0.3357734196011123,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.24514724598143975,
                  0.22681741549383455,
                  0.13433843965721864,
                  0.20847648854308581,
                  0.21955850215575037,
                  0.23050568160830917,
                  0.18056439949521058,
                  0.3677097897916764,
                  0.12508152488088367,
                  0.31011998366589516,
                  0.1537918174661276,
                  0.19438540787371786,
                  0.391713087904114,
                  0.23671767734449203,
                  0.22863730285774397,
                  0.13116571704967142,
                  0.1350144958485548,
                  0.15057377542642655,
                  0.33304615388212466
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1557161673855197,
                  0.18518881920980862,
                  0.16887160934208983,
                  0.1111372412265444,
                  0.23654843367832576,
                  0.22000784792452266,
                  0.2308029184964928,
                  0.3808909634545969,
                  0.15385545921948912,
                  0.21368669324124173,
                  0.17957001200483375,
                  0.20144606914600743,
                  0.09204670544052358,
                  0.3484153060032931,
                  0.17209089724028767,
                  0.3803454562303479,
                  0.21917716316892794,
                  0.16567880137652974,
                  0.21363730783876517,
                  0.17880157755369616,
                  0.3351386895153327,
                  0.3617553866892645,
                  0.26153058376329597,
                  0.09318927731093554
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17218257207928467,
                  0.21637808292220725,
                  0.15991580261077884,
                  0.14292918354417064,
                  0.4247144528307517,
                  0.22674194540053969,
                  0.24846757154028362,
                  0.3338695973167546,
                  0.17465787625190304,
                  0.18926103353782903,
                  0.17108782775226475,
                  0.21414805003504944,
                  0.12281566959892326,
                  0.37221149543265947,
                  0.13530606894388414,
                  0.3042204989048285,
                  0.21783158346694867,
                  0.12730942136556073,
                  0.22201548398088763,
                  0.18910360743830318,
                  0.3160190436076916,
                  0.3282405552978347,
                  0.29157549470325717,
                  0.13709115752198053
                ],
                "crps": [
                  30.709397413182565,
                  35.13060433345199,
                  29.307143730009308,
                  26.825844725848548,
                  177.030384669499,
                  34.71879398920177,
                  35.74611337800281,
                  47.32424889776416,
                  20.821102312876647,
                  31.087260997724616,
                  27.841615625743266,
                  27.572466196493927,
                  33.66458692082132,
                  61.8605185781572,
                  39.57473403761931,
                  50.561889828366525,
                  31.21149089042522,
                  58.63188046827079,
                  42.13696739125897,
                  27.86270428268464,
                  38.97403575830416,
                  35.41790279501408,
                  32.971642202258565,
                  26.988852217386093
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.742925516629697,
                  40.77336668818828,
                  28.09618525185972,
                  37.986090541506,
                  251.4927342153348,
                  40.320321374030684,
                  40.93726570534917,
                  40.54786455186527,
                  22.988890072347303,
                  28.257992147944407,
                  24.96559897910219,
                  25.682377420488514,
                  37.65656723862455,
                  67.35667251514191,
                  29.987287831298126,
                  43.08507304266908,
                  30.254448434401816,
                  47.83890739301917,
                  44.7070520085121,
                  29.018165136591247,
                  36.90426542672519,
                  32.258006168915756,
                  38.015712600516835,
                  34.40598130175283
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  29.144338123849067,
                  33.19364263207189,
                  27.796348500305935,
                  25.330730034806386,
                  175.39195113962697,
                  33.35228106986656,
                  34.154565642699666,
                  45.8491367249469,
                  19.472123722732327,
                  29.241913785416525,
                  26.10902071823373,
                  25.929498186320327,
                  32.30812803057513,
                  60.26928962140047,
                  38.059351211987064,
                  49.345401070667215,
                  29.40337900470792,
                  57.0317638471817,
                  40.548629246642,
                  26.341946370312197,
                  37.305234424847576,
                  33.84385531142839,
                  30.940769304522814,
                  25.67068440750217
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  29.83323453860368,
                  38.88077881844172,
                  26.1795875687868,
                  36.08822373966346,
                  249.9992360568139,
                  38.426875463916396,
                  39.04498825040786,
                  38.65484959473932,
                  21.062619481737414,
                  26.341700917326186,
                  23.043072155361166,
                  23.761208131674348,
                  35.758076339617475,
                  65.51443181552213,
                  28.07427178189838,
                  41.19686340465451,
                  28.3419383709928,
                  45.95970122915301,
                  42.821914300357065,
                  27.103313627542445,
                  35.0043497136804,
                  30.34929072242817,
                  36.1179019010588,
                  32.50133398998652
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44503051489497053,
              "rpss": 0.017984121873631187,
              "brier_below": 0.22588345692056466,
              "bss_below": 0.0031327464030062036,
              "brier_above": 0.21914705776919466,
              "bss_above": 0.03283589565123357,
              "crps": 41.83217423501523,
              "crpss": 0.07491853580181984,
              "crps_fair": 40.25141592219379,
              "crpss_fair": 0.07117454447565497,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.003218,
                    0.085734,
                    0.190548,
                    0.442489,
                    0.222341,
                    0.050153,
                    0.005154,
                    0.000364,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0997,
                    0.1631,
                    0.2535,
                    0.3439,
                    0.4377,
                    0.5387,
                    0.6395,
                    0.7258,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.7655,
                    0.2615,
                    0.2766,
                    0.343,
                    0.4042,
                    0.4894,
                    0.5999,
                    0.3871,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.078943,
                    0.262642,
                    0.405646,
                    0.167984,
                    0.058823,
                    0.022304,
                    0.003658,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1776,
                    0.2541,
                    0.3376,
                    0.4386,
                    0.54,
                    0.6382,
                    0.7384,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2507,
                    0.2676,
                    0.3398,
                    0.4069,
                    0.582,
                    0.6929,
                    0.2911,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4364511855146213,
                  0.37128689654001124,
                  0.3709911706810603,
                  0.37142194355137736,
                  0.29253762369067593,
                  0.37917652241902805,
                  0.3381148947149497,
                  0.5487834930253266,
                  0.352386156923669,
                  0.3318024880085413,
                  0.3611303331842561,
                  0.4163848145579548,
                  0.47759767235252565,
                  0.4512730745439771,
                  0.4428869637329561,
                  0.4764858228304808,
                  0.37736755563094093,
                  0.567954443211724,
                  0.4577171566715828,
                  0.3197447569959975,
                  0.48185332628657573,
                  0.4929804633531411,
                  0.27799226758430023,
                  0.4461794507647884
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48190550000573357,
                  0.4447116445242348,
                  0.39122568096409477,
                  0.5314846969938783,
                  0.5463137956783318,
                  0.5246370465888529,
                  0.46799085520133354,
                  0.4301833029814578,
                  0.3790308872213789,
                  0.3760295940535084,
                  0.36571087481860687,
                  0.4071905851059967,
                  0.5346883511508412,
                  0.5378418848789392,
                  0.39758042315298353,
                  0.42189702405901625,
                  0.3563103597455807,
                  0.5447213097764745,
                  0.4681166137581803,
                  0.3573140644587983,
                  0.4646548700920834,
                  0.443550454531998,
                  0.4892057891747856,
                  0.5235515129376195
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.33354869790357006,
                  0.11480567980712333,
                  0.2656517557406193,
                  0.302654188868003,
                  0.05272193908077767,
                  0.3013917799599767,
                  0.26587617071382214,
                  0.19963069592397767,
                  0.21391950954049493,
                  0.09617196953414414,
                  0.21364736444043242,
                  0.14975604632834696,
                  0.39681228402064506,
                  0.09436348337687513,
                  0.29367691755710273,
                  0.1460112154830321,
                  0.16510935202516983,
                  0.4590771672988611,
                  0.1186959936571993,
                  0.11317964853348142,
                  0.10843899180879497,
                  0.15713655947565433,
                  0.04514120418389605,
                  0.36934734391415663
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3519612903999631,
                  0.14955802970751203,
                  0.2601871534110402,
                  0.4105017057194249,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.39624369138262994,
                  0.3443603210875784,
                  0.12682101259329223,
                  0.2099793080182162,
                  0.1262687532682766,
                  0.2039124110213452,
                  0.13844673123024703,
                  0.4137053598763879,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.264430544340142,
                  0.12679414888912763,
                  0.17861675021890278,
                  0.42373831850202115,
                  0.13731870409752048,
                  0.14687327559600188,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.14271630161606835,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.40256852166316615
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10290247995401462,
                  0.2564812171278157,
                  0.10533940722155871,
                  0.0687677526877123,
                  0.23981568018116287,
                  0.07778474052379165,
                  0.07223872265067605,
                  0.3491527972443135,
                  0.13846664635892733,
                  0.2356305166672402,
                  0.14748296405218284,
                  0.26662877104827937,
                  0.08078538103859872,
                  0.35690960133173444,
                  0.14921003840044653,
                  0.3304746116178122,
                  0.2122581993100192,
                  0.10887727133305045,
                  0.33902117286581646,
                  0.2065651053422063,
                  0.37341434706469157,
                  0.3358439116128553,
                  0.23285106077083306,
                  0.07683210142009278
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1299442096057706,
                  0.29515361481672286,
                  0.13103852755305465,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4253308044038785,
                  0.12839335520622294,
                  0.12363053411375528,
                  0.3033622903881658,
                  0.16905157920316274,
                  0.24976084078523186,
                  0.16179846379726168,
                  0.26874385387575,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4168588936044859,
                  0.13314987881284177,
                  0.2951028751698888,
                  0.1776936095266779,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3307979096606601,
                  0.21044078886279646,
                  0.34367187881763017,
                  0.3008341529159299,
                  0.3682227979003325,
                  0.12098299127445337
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.90754978405847,
                  44.48335633552888,
                  28.30512976988641,
                  31.37229515486109,
                  251.7348705342279,
                  38.618269225736626,
                  27.416855000934095,
                  53.08612733659324,
                  26.19216362411026,
                  32.00910345612787,
                  29.634896563024814,
                  38.06983678653553,
                  46.58861462653481,
                  89.16861807481713,
                  37.97235440887267,
                  52.31316256295751,
                  34.48252575805381,
                  74.16464486495445,
                  71.11109161952805,
                  28.657391733841386,
                  55.13286533078099,
                  39.661828412275625,
                  41.27824398844691,
                  37.571092976718866
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  44.818392114890194,
                  49.555903283487574,
                  30.675020158925083,
                  53.94868480057281,
                  354.7381681248423,
                  56.058574286857095,
                  40.89964859325192,
                  41.88472808521825,
                  29.960563688835595,
                  35.58986358112118,
                  28.725216146584827,
                  36.06632699048634,
                  54.26159742058326,
                  101.57427145824482,
                  32.681017126544084,
                  48.797086589560294,
                  29.95440091470073,
                  69.17206276014227,
                  74.3649830088615,
                  31.00618674826232,
                  52.67156510791567,
                  36.916850791140064,
                  58.698649883439046,
                  47.73367692323706
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  37.00420228019226,
                  41.67573738764302,
                  26.31478365559687,
                  29.470018587711095,
                  249.4876875981853,
                  36.773572405398276,
                  25.475079008046837,
                  51.22875257210863,
                  24.36803610472916,
                  29.929261353457623,
                  27.5036370998236,
                  35.84406710412437,
                  44.83273901151064,
                  87.06121235724152,
                  35.855397591337116,
                  50.61805020324959,
                  32.15456289915209,
                  72.34995856714023,
                  69.0880698236493,
                  26.513155810197297,
                  52.98791456955873,
                  37.726394486699874,
                  38.05517344064049,
                  35.848968369574024
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.28827155959033,
                  47.03475528721915,
                  28.118112914314686,
                  51.435856466268575,
                  352.79501684228853,
                  53.54974195536778,
                  38.362106175221676,
                  39.349051348043986,
                  27.402303306971245,
                  33.04226475208313,
                  26.16461609134499,
                  33.51963055426904,
                  51.74936172381692,
                  99.15164309867102,
                  30.1279091186148,
                  46.27450144046246,
                  27.396128860915656,
                  66.68806658106446,
                  71.89082190601232,
                  28.449906713101416,
                  50.156317986314725,
                  34.37176519545435,
                  56.19481769512508,
                  45.209077740680264
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.41002085319876924,
              "rpss": 0.0960280475541111,
              "brier_below": 0.20736524829900652,
              "bss_below": 0.08497406169308663,
              "brier_above": 0.20265560407607633,
              "bss_above": 0.10706584539227137,
              "crps": 51.997203663725315,
              "crpss": 0.13383313583988987,
              "crps_fair": 49.92360134529033,
              "crpss_fair": 0.13221749710300013,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.05592,
                    0.185999,
                    0.501239,
                    0.220484,
                    0.035488,
                    0.00087,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1655,
                    0.2541,
                    0.3438,
                    0.4365,
                    0.5344,
                    0.6239,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1517,
                    0.1289,
                    0.3377,
                    0.5433,
                    0.7004,
                    0.8342,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.077168,
                    0.284975,
                    0.402397,
                    0.160092,
                    0.06182,
                    0.012244,
                    0.001304,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1818,
                    0.2537,
                    0.3352,
                    0.4398,
                    0.5353,
                    0.6366,
                    0.7265,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1071,
                    0.2317,
                    0.3078,
                    0.5646,
                    0.8031,
                    0.7399,
                    0.7232,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.39807403027535854,
                  0.4226803608880009,
                  0.4719514803827801,
                  0.3430795188902125,
                  0.47457761393095255,
                  0.3983466448630494,
                  0.4165454868424978,
                  0.5869214353594416
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.417659603071558,
                  0.42114839455105046,
                  0.5533032498091346,
                  0.4473076683297933,
                  0.4625683790499464,
                  0.41678104095296603,
                  0.5158924310312171,
                  0.42890011506153497
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2259875474003532,
                  0.2221630427694634,
                  0.10766786644575568,
                  0.24438711687815898,
                  0.25285899941130097,
                  0.22932932846467904,
                  0.13574483907716745,
                  0.23944853719222364
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23401701276525544,
                  0.2189631813755131,
                  0.11111111773384957,
                  0.3104494178140245,
                  0.2504465951343465,
                  0.24187001637124075,
                  0.1452369658843232,
                  0.14026665735763472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17208648617500266,
                  0.20051731642979462,
                  0.36428358103471875,
                  0.09869241164347797,
                  0.2217186115034955,
                  0.1690173254079555,
                  0.28080062689528845,
                  0.3474728789507469
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18364259720487727,
                  0.20218521675843326,
                  0.4421920927416047,
                  0.1368582657800341,
                  0.2121217857216985,
                  0.17491103304162547,
                  0.37065543860496475,
                  0.28863344582864725
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.04439060507413,
                  24.78088842519831,
                  92.27430346136445,
                  20.325162326823836,
                  31.252228380848475,
                  25.39515915546698,
                  84.96133441098465,
                  51.353191043954176
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.991938244042803,
                  27.156682952757507,
                  116.99857569796765,
                  25.68956435022059,
                  33.64072492622825,
                  25.925245138455825,
                  110.35729933852919,
                  38.12777562837381
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.298723110227797,
                  24.078344995315675,
                  91.2989899870455,
                  19.611439866162716,
                  30.612551326283796,
                  24.55467100175681,
                  84.04103936063173,
                  50.69395978130101
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.186278935163696,
                  25.3510236438784,
                  115.19291638908858,
                  23.883905041341485,
                  31.83506561734916,
                  24.11958582957673,
                  108.55164002965007,
                  36.322116319494704
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43902207142903665,
              "rpss": 0.041321630868644155,
              "brier_below": 0.2071984097048878,
              "bss_below": -0.003162936740458422,
              "brier_above": 0.23182365475506003,
              "bss_above": 0.07786925582834348,
              "crps": 44.54833222621438,
              "crpss": 0.11760976124724254,
              "crps_fair": 43.773714928590636,
              "crpss_fair": 0.10079230995862964,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.073441,
                    0.146258,
                    0.359344,
                    0.26918,
                    0.131347,
                    0.020178,
                    0.000252,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1559,
                    0.253,
                    0.3615,
                    0.4434,
                    0.535,
                    0.627,
                    0.7145,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.116,
                    0.1282,
                    0.3299,
                    0.3014,
                    0.3698,
                    0.5223,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.117673,
                    0.447836,
                    0.259584,
                    0.091095,
                    0.070943,
                    0.012615,
                    0.000254,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1734,
                    0.2514,
                    0.3403,
                    0.4479,
                    0.5371,
                    0.6285,
                    0.7145,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3019,
                    0.328,
                    0.3719,
                    0.6921,
                    0.9407,
                    0.9399,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3911544932911999,
                  0.31733020798346406,
                  0.2872024364697363,
                  0.36813095033141585,
                  0.4088388086485389,
                  0.4032821294239033,
                  0.27416029955133436,
                  0.3803301804357983
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.37168678111891346,
                  0.40830734552865355,
                  0.5514955812695821,
                  0.4122454531264281,
                  0.5073582366943469,
                  0.42296825285318396,
                  0.5480141639602464,
                  0.3433109747399186
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15627678066828302,
                  0.2449227341941299,
                  0.04930641501143121,
                  0.24971338615762934,
                  0.33609968775337384,
                  0.2927708998162625,
                  0.044130160943186954,
                  0.2158048008083182
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13710719771935653,
                  0.28966613712444955,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.26920158326246535,
                  0.3962471388287118,
                  0.3008762153923436,
                  0.11169127068708512,
                  0.1645095887434772
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23487770911203792,
                  0.07240748570395625,
                  0.2378959927388719,
                  0.11841757399890718,
                  0.07273913470082082,
                  0.11051124494328156,
                  0.23003011105357982,
                  0.16452538101411687
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23457958118988842,
                  0.11864122692593004,
                  0.44038442452528814,
                  0.14304388402215332,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.12209205536551032,
                  0.43632285498898205,
                  0.17880139376069062
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.546138775596386,
                  22.29107699838584,
                  100.801545309327,
                  25.885954295294837,
                  35.30199700390169,
                  30.203530761521264,
                  118.10320702419254,
                  30.030068754432854
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.91091499200625,
                  33.39002587790927,
                  163.85395380251938,
                  30.317658032788415,
                  46.77514464531494,
                  32.16405989901042,
                  178.02911191569987,
                  27.619913058663098
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  30.552732683582626,
                  21.383633572078047,
                  99.3684021887608,
                  24.96765936269675,
                  34.43616359008647,
                  29.22337655400428,
                  116.81333990052896,
                  29.180645146121478
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.513828107781922,
                  30.99293899368493,
                  161.45686691829505,
                  27.920571148564072,
                  44.378057761090616,
                  29.766973014786096,
                  175.6320250314755,
                  25.22282617443876
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3538036882669239,
              "rpss": 0.20613676063515585,
              "brier_below": 0.1986281081690769,
              "bss_below": 0.10749510355478975,
              "brier_above": 0.15517557915819655,
              "bss_above": 0.304526078365022,
              "crps": 49.270439865331554,
              "crpss": 0.2728425817755741,
              "crps_fair": 48.24074412473243,
              "crpss_fair": 0.2619282887316815,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.104399,
                    0.170159,
                    0.474947,
                    0.203797,
                    0.045177,
                    0.001521,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1577,
                    0.2487,
                    0.3652,
                    0.4383,
                    0.5278,
                    0.605,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0021,
                    0.0703,
                    0.428,
                    0.4712,
                    0.4862,
                    0.5715,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.065732,
                    0.434389,
                    0.246619,
                    0.086953,
                    0.140235,
                    0.02542,
                    0.000652,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.177,
                    0.2563,
                    0.3294,
                    0.4589,
                    0.5376,
                    0.628,
                    0.7145,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0595,
                    0.1005,
                    0.1824,
                    0.92,
                    0.986,
                    0.9658,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.38124540819610536,
            "training": [
              0.36210432566620887,
              0.4198993360317172,
              0.3603826857119091,
              0.4197548366932466,
              0.545524598474467,
              0.3686467401843166,
              0.38641682891423484,
              0.3454849856249493,
              0.3687695413735795,
              0.35638861726726984,
              0.37145150764008966,
              0.36494267832575067,
              0.38428174999230796,
              0.40701022065513154,
              0.3225693681023663,
              0.33906541853228733,
              0.37719727221054017,
              0.3399396659205736,
              0.3797252812223241,
              0.40709755746177856,
              0.3714102381978648,
              0.35356125380961434,
              0.41183957655388437,
              0.3864255121401161
            ],
            "test": 0.39724347880371075
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4327494254588642,
                  0.40232979116364576,
                  0.43635738442260635,
                  0.400787549330128,
                  0.32179723298356927,
                  0.4417947899262334,
                  0.444548499677917,
                  0.566769572404767,
                  0.3632907098472155,
                  0.4243199643794507,
                  0.4191828421436134,
                  0.40527008512408796,
                  0.4583743572581871,
                  0.47059917306451066,
                  0.5606059867180492,
                  0.5629687229567667,
                  0.4028434389516089,
                  0.6049981066477124,
                  0.43787707430799155,
                  0.3937097743017764,
                  0.4708500859244132,
                  0.5191014396269682,
                  0.3704108884956085,
                  0.39965550671640704
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4395210979875425,
                  0.470103716624794,
                  0.41696991681095497,
                  0.4787026031452831,
                  0.5456974441052049,
                  0.4718891913819794,
                  0.47528498703411814,
                  0.4682080369739733,
                  0.3831343647949888,
                  0.4088195356935795,
                  0.4015935093605737,
                  0.39471244953026,
                  0.4905254593905998,
                  0.4972930203135432,
                  0.44542605260977947,
                  0.45801231637095624,
                  0.41221699134066647,
                  0.5190225092696747,
                  0.45873316132537956,
                  0.4177409102960471,
                  0.44718476065736323,
                  0.46325505114638965,
                  0.44214927012968386,
                  0.47013731140410536
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.27922475018004084,
                  0.2162894481595328,
                  0.2766238758733455,
                  0.29171960818056414,
                  0.061837705064222606,
                  0.21879503523734528,
                  0.2087988778305486,
                  0.1783403010506242,
                  0.2110711845962982,
                  0.21738637325362503,
                  0.24349760205498155,
                  0.20226812892979157,
                  0.3687540422369184,
                  0.11276488801868806,
                  0.3980968504861939,
                  0.1851318267475129,
                  0.1876083274284969,
                  0.44918772269049506,
                  0.22112146825196888,
                  0.21665512499984652,
                  0.12739875095256245,
                  0.14956431836675851,
                  0.10905657612596115,
                  0.3074316154501713
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.26733852590825796,
                  0.2537256337025866,
                  0.25705411420017604,
                  0.3357734196011123,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.24514724598143975,
                  0.22681741549383455,
                  0.13433843965721864,
                  0.20847648854308581,
                  0.21955850215575037,
                  0.23050568160830917,
                  0.18056439949521058,
                  0.3677097897916764,
                  0.12508152488088367,
                  0.31011998366589516,
                  0.1537918174661276,
                  0.19438540787371786,
                  0.391713087904114,
                  0.23671767734449203,
                  0.22863730285774397,
                  0.13116571704967142,
                  0.1350144958485548,
                  0.15057377542642655,
                  0.33304615388212466
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15352467251576246,
                  0.18604034179599643,
                  0.15973350542793333,
                  0.10906793932482982,
                  0.2599595251617644,
                  0.2229997543313038,
                  0.23574962397068605,
                  0.388429273625602,
                  0.15221952482579984,
                  0.20693358825910374,
                  0.17568523748569873,
                  0.2030019561135426,
                  0.08962031086751045,
                  0.3578342920352914,
                  0.16250913325089425,
                  0.37783689813346083,
                  0.21523511130202938,
                  0.15581038246446777,
                  0.21675560672768085,
                  0.1770546470187994,
                  0.34345134114945847,
                  0.3695371270889853,
                  0.2613543131788886,
                  0.09222388934550736
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17218257207928467,
                  0.21637808292220725,
                  0.15991580261077884,
                  0.14292918354417064,
                  0.4247144528307517,
                  0.22674194540053969,
                  0.24846757154028362,
                  0.3338695973167546,
                  0.17465787625190304,
                  0.18926103353782903,
                  0.17108782775226475,
                  0.21414805003504944,
                  0.12281566959892326,
                  0.37221149543265947,
                  0.13530606894388414,
                  0.3042204989048285,
                  0.21783158346694867,
                  0.12730942136556073,
                  0.22201548398088763,
                  0.18910360743830318,
                  0.3160190436076916,
                  0.3282405552978347,
                  0.29157549470325717,
                  0.13709115752198053
                ],
                "crps": [
                  30.439419893831484,
                  34.76152679142053,
                  28.606898481087875,
                  26.254766286262107,
                  189.56778928660745,
                  35.143863170435004,
                  36.26889200241633,
                  48.775115587474964,
                  20.38122295505361,
                  30.121935551385747,
                  27.414350616102006,
                  27.69163426901277,
                  33.65828352231592,
                  63.127201635565115,
                  39.58118991466773,
                  51.40318558184369,
                  30.673574834984063,
                  59.20391718431768,
                  42.87365713505739,
                  27.541565104518476,
                  39.96094323460245,
                  36.4950094814839,
                  32.40639400643156,
                  26.499926658478177
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.742925516629697,
                  40.77336668818828,
                  28.09618525185972,
                  37.986090541506,
                  251.4927342153348,
                  40.320321374030684,
                  40.93726570534917,
                  40.54786455186527,
                  22.988890072347303,
                  28.257992147944407,
                  24.96559897910219,
                  25.682377420488514,
                  37.65656723862455,
                  67.35667251514191,
                  29.987287831298126,
                  43.08507304266908,
                  30.254448434401816,
                  47.83890739301917,
                  44.7070520085121,
                  29.018165136591247,
                  36.90426542672519,
                  32.258006168915756,
                  38.015712600516835,
                  34.40598130175283
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  29.095247938151807,
                  33.08523052404937,
                  27.309558295946278,
                  24.959766701807666,
                  188.1310461939371,
                  33.98358048595073,
                  34.86866925060541,
                  47.500515037841716,
                  19.245785793062744,
                  28.513798490233345,
                  25.917034578043694,
                  26.262536999680258,
                  32.50701133691701,
                  61.73377640892723,
                  38.30603090855899,
                  50.37563238005301,
                  29.10848675636841,
                  57.85125152130083,
                  41.51702534328301,
                  26.25879404837652,
                  38.528880573326965,
                  35.14963423008137,
                  30.69721392658062,
                  25.36789891417686
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  29.83323453860368,
                  38.88077881844172,
                  26.1795875687868,
                  36.08822373966346,
                  249.9992360568139,
                  38.426875463916396,
                  39.04498825040786,
                  38.65484959473932,
                  21.062619481737414,
                  26.341700917326186,
                  23.043072155361166,
                  23.761208131674348,
                  35.758076339617475,
                  65.51443181552213,
                  28.07427178189838,
                  41.19686340465451,
                  28.3419383709928,
                  45.95970122915301,
                  42.821914300357065,
                  27.103313627542445,
                  35.0043497136804,
                  30.34929072242817,
                  36.1179019010588,
                  32.50133398998652
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4462996834096707,
              "rpss": 0.015183541707240122,
              "brier_below": 0.2266093500902706,
              "bss_below": -7.076013241968937e-05,
              "brier_above": 0.21969033314170824,
              "bss_above": 0.03043825251415233,
              "crps": 42.45217763272316,
              "crpss": 0.0612077100690418,
              "crps_fair": 41.094766943219206,
              "crpss_fair": 0.05171371612156617,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.084174,
                    0.207238,
                    0.425093,
                    0.234817,
                    0.044309,
                    0.004089,
                    0.00028,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.165,
                    0.2559,
                    0.3448,
                    0.4362,
                    0.5378,
                    0.6316,
                    0.7122,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2909,
                    0.279,
                    0.3477,
                    0.4018,
                    0.4505,
                    0.605,
                    0.4023,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.076221,
                    0.317764,
                    0.386764,
                    0.150653,
                    0.05055,
                    0.01512,
                    0.002927,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1763,
                    0.2526,
                    0.3409,
                    0.4374,
                    0.5404,
                    0.6284,
                    0.7099,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2402,
                    0.2792,
                    0.348,
                    0.429,
                    0.5792,
                    0.7123,
                    0.229,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4348083048153213,
                  0.3812131166732493,
                  0.36684283408305696,
                  0.37938691001938357,
                  0.32580847316714123,
                  0.38172004957186356,
                  0.3426153372690229,
                  0.5498002173151824,
                  0.34976052775916655,
                  0.3350792055902658,
                  0.35554110135053457,
                  0.42103345430142286,
                  0.48466899741564423,
                  0.4668005909466212,
                  0.4348500695872287,
                  0.47069691837840144,
                  0.3670503852144915,
                  0.5643233808000984,
                  0.4735254873152085,
                  0.32071247173177403,
                  0.4959363523841784,
                  0.501889038821634,
                  0.290747538538395,
                  0.44634374623663453
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48190550000573357,
                  0.4447116445242348,
                  0.39122568096409477,
                  0.5314846969938783,
                  0.5463137956783318,
                  0.5246370465888529,
                  0.46799085520133354,
                  0.4301833029814578,
                  0.3790308872213789,
                  0.3760295940535084,
                  0.36571087481860687,
                  0.4071905851059967,
                  0.5346883511508412,
                  0.5378418848789392,
                  0.39758042315298353,
                  0.42189702405901625,
                  0.3563103597455807,
                  0.5447213097764745,
                  0.4681166137581803,
                  0.3573140644587983,
                  0.4646548700920834,
                  0.443550454531998,
                  0.4892057891747856,
                  0.5235515129376195
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3357006131859052,
                  0.1189472710279992,
                  0.26745694413461474,
                  0.3114799323667013,
                  0.06119763740026125,
                  0.3061006973877775,
                  0.26967354139866323,
                  0.19933547606222166,
                  0.21150367285119578,
                  0.10014041271773264,
                  0.21128803942973295,
                  0.1514699879812273,
                  0.40585292235155224,
                  0.09818077748985639,
                  0.29309037892147305,
                  0.13725652509537978,
                  0.1667908636355255,
                  0.4624347585270157,
                  0.12278272137268517,
                  0.11475662795561208,
                  0.10497874793177307,
                  0.15860690330546695,
                  0.04867596347668509,
                  0.3721023904140529
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3519612903999631,
                  0.14955802970751203,
                  0.2601871534110402,
                  0.4105017057194249,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.39624369138262994,
                  0.3443603210875784,
                  0.12682101259329223,
                  0.2099793080182162,
                  0.1262687532682766,
                  0.2039124110213452,
                  0.13844673123024703,
                  0.4137053598763879,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.264430544340142,
                  0.12679414888912763,
                  0.17861675021890278,
                  0.42373831850202115,
                  0.13731870409752048,
                  0.14687327559600188,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.14271630161606835,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.40256852166316615
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09910768631896973,
                  0.2622658463485699,
                  0.09938588513067559,
                  0.0679069767391177,
                  0.26461083132077007,
                  0.07561935089953815,
                  0.07294179469774124,
                  0.35046474014969503,
                  0.1382568547875576,
                  0.2349387906867307,
                  0.14425305872496128,
                  0.26956346842844603,
                  0.07881606989400694,
                  0.3686198215425731,
                  0.14175968492872176,
                  0.33344039598016745,
                  0.20025951732097555,
                  0.10188861941891987,
                  0.35074277271195053,
                  0.20595584223954982,
                  0.39095761171975096,
                  0.3432821401175899,
                  0.24207157202418494,
                  0.07424135249424374
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1299442096057706,
                  0.29515361481672286,
                  0.13103852755305465,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4253308044038785,
                  0.12839335520622294,
                  0.12363053411375528,
                  0.3033622903881658,
                  0.16905157920316274,
                  0.24976084078523186,
                  0.16179846379726168,
                  0.26874385387575,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4168588936044859,
                  0.13314987881284177,
                  0.2951028751698888,
                  0.1776936095266779,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3307979096606601,
                  0.21044078886279646,
                  0.34367187881763017,
                  0.3008341529159299,
                  0.3682227979003325,
                  0.12098299127445337
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.08109894885928,
                  43.99319493794746,
                  27.069019700675636,
                  30.25369120634784,
                  270.93425704900744,
                  37.77404999828587,
                  26.43929626648252,
                  54.687029862407115,
                  25.449293194904033,
                  31.48688887680227,
                  29.041818594070342,
                  38.50248772402793,
                  46.55167396663632,
                  91.48371265809575,
                  36.92685906993483,
                  53.50165063264794,
                  33.00180554407877,
                  74.82924991334156,
                  73.38104875032718,
                  27.85517007761972,
                  56.748890333302725,
                  40.836591958432024,
                  39.993761417360034,
                  36.6046927984415
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  44.818392114890194,
                  49.555903283487574,
                  30.675020158925083,
                  53.94868480057281,
                  354.7381681248423,
                  56.058574286857095,
                  40.89964859325192,
                  41.88472808521825,
                  29.960563688835595,
                  35.58986358112118,
                  28.725216146584827,
                  36.06632699048634,
                  54.26159742058326,
                  101.57427145824482,
                  32.681017126544084,
                  48.797086589560294,
                  29.95440091470073,
                  69.17206276014227,
                  74.3649830088615,
                  31.00618674826232,
                  52.67156510791567,
                  36.916850791140064,
                  58.698649883439046,
                  47.73367692323706
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  36.5086971732811,
                  41.636440231179684,
                  25.422222342212198,
                  28.629326067160143,
                  268.9530171253994,
                  36.22788860890909,
                  24.77959052018236,
                  53.112426730971144,
                  23.92876483669582,
                  29.783405371501665,
                  27.229122151227546,
                  36.60529073598047,
                  45.09621430177995,
                  89.6811134396048,
                  35.15454491313942,
                  52.10308273592559,
                  31.083072742470744,
                  73.3419293580776,
                  71.6925655448304,
                  26.105627035967288,
                  54.97943067391586,
                  39.23671700393378,
                  37.295546760531,
                  35.18341878350137
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.28827155959033,
                  47.03475528721915,
                  28.118112914314686,
                  51.435856466268575,
                  352.79501684228853,
                  53.54974195536778,
                  38.362106175221676,
                  39.349051348043986,
                  27.402303306971245,
                  33.04226475208313,
                  26.16461609134499,
                  33.51963055426904,
                  51.74936172381692,
                  99.15164309867102,
                  30.1279091186148,
                  46.27450144046246,
                  27.396128860915656,
                  66.68806658106446,
                  71.89082190601232,
                  28.449906713101416,
                  50.156317986314725,
                  34.37176519545435,
                  56.19481769512508,
                  45.209077740680264
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4142147712202467,
              "rpss": 0.0867817269518878,
              "brier_below": 0.2095751586008796,
              "bss_below": 0.07522254708717846,
              "brier_above": 0.20463961185939197,
              "bss_above": 0.09832397851517749,
              "crps": 52.72613472833484,
              "crpss": 0.12169063797587132,
              "crps_fair": 50.99039396618244,
              "crpss_fair": 0.11367428415994718,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.054462,
                    0.198831,
                    0.479142,
                    0.233161,
                    0.033896,
                    0.000507,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1728,
                    0.258,
                    0.3435,
                    0.4341,
                    0.5311,
                    0.6213,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1478,
                    0.1483,
                    0.3435,
                    0.5339,
                    0.5945,
                    0.7145,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.083335,
                    0.337202,
                    0.372712,
                    0.149068,
                    0.048915,
                    0.008114,
                    0.000653,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1767,
                    0.2525,
                    0.3399,
                    0.4404,
                    0.5342,
                    0.6326,
                    0.7092,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1087,
                    0.2517,
                    0.3233,
                    0.5947,
                    0.7941,
                    0.6878,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.39957542980710214,
                  0.42080639803357067,
                  0.4782643546363114,
                  0.34972974157674036,
                  0.4769003370442646,
                  0.39715064233085556,
                  0.42105418983192455,
                  0.5737162639640052
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.417659603071558,
                  0.42114839455105046,
                  0.5533032498091346,
                  0.4473076683297933,
                  0.4625683790499464,
                  0.41678104095296603,
                  0.5158924310312171,
                  0.42890011506153497
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22616377446695296,
                  0.2212448200520125,
                  0.10482912588720905,
                  0.25018812092608117,
                  0.2543856176402437,
                  0.23028040854279833,
                  0.13352725732082305,
                  0.22915600266639505
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23401701276525544,
                  0.2189631813755131,
                  0.11111111773384957,
                  0.3104494178140245,
                  0.2504465951343465,
                  0.24187001637124075,
                  0.1452369658843232,
                  0.14026665735763472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17341165864965125,
                  0.19956157606343344,
                  0.3734351954978051,
                  0.09954163058727435,
                  0.22251471614771873,
                  0.16687024238967074,
                  0.2875269114146789,
                  0.34456024271624247
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18364259720487727,
                  0.20218521675843326,
                  0.4421920927416047,
                  0.1368582657800341,
                  0.2121217857216985,
                  0.17491103304162547,
                  0.37065543860496475,
                  0.28863344582864725
                ],
                "crps": [
                  25.918215318824256,
                  24.518858998297183,
                  94.47963323907648,
                  20.051304126941204,
                  31.399952251780807,
                  24.804403063802184,
                  86.84667054678907,
                  52.10053706304807
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.991938244042803,
                  27.156682952757507,
                  116.99857569796765,
                  25.68956435022059,
                  33.64072492622825,
                  25.925245138455825,
                  110.35729933852919,
                  38.12777562837381
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.23697933746564,
                  23.889034525019756,
                  93.60325414592167,
                  19.397190731819492,
                  30.825172327312597,
                  24.041220079970486,
                  86.02424691084764,
                  51.50032929874089
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.186278935163696,
                  25.3510236438784,
                  115.19291638908858,
                  23.883905041341485,
                  31.83506561734916,
                  24.11958582957673,
                  108.55164002965007,
                  36.322116319494704
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4396496696530968,
              "rpss": 0.03995116482361527,
              "brier_below": 0.20622189093781446,
              "bss_below": 0.0015649346537027764,
              "brier_above": 0.23342777168330936,
              "bss_above": 0.07148851984025895,
              "crps": 45.01494682606991,
              "crpss": 0.10836730148283957,
              "crps_fair": 44.314678419637275,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0896797385907595,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.071249,
                    0.162481,
                    0.348556,
                    0.306156,
                    0.104599,
                    0.006959,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1621,
                    0.2572,
                    0.3572,
                    0.441,
                    0.5381,
                    0.6288,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1137,
                    0.1472,
                    0.3333,
                    0.2946,
                    0.4205,
                    0.5659,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.122258,
                    0.466952,
                    0.237968,
                    0.107196,
                    0.058769,
                    0.006857,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1814,
                    0.2541,
                    0.3409,
                    0.4466,
                    0.5391,
                    0.627,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2906,
                    0.3388,
                    0.3652,
                    0.728,
                    0.947,
                    0.9508,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.39077862556442916,
                  0.3213621835852131,
                  0.30091484270941027,
                  0.37182223231517153,
                  0.42270993834902815,
                  0.40403081892111936,
                  0.28719206166960437,
                  0.3735412283211107
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.37168678111891346,
                  0.40830734552865355,
                  0.5514955812695821,
                  0.4122454531264281,
                  0.5073582366943469,
                  0.42296825285318396,
                  0.5480141639602464,
                  0.3433109747399186
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1533529721346549,
                  0.2501426150302047,
                  0.05006421848955911,
                  0.25354744044618605,
                  0.3495353776677348,
                  0.2953125871746636,
                  0.04538238720680478,
                  0.2096708025558072
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13710719771935653,
                  0.28966613712444955,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.26920158326246535,
                  0.3962471388287118,
                  0.3008762153923436,
                  0.11169127068708512,
                  0.1645095887434772
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2374256501222189,
                  0.07121958035158843,
                  0.2508505951813394,
                  0.11827480189281026,
                  0.07317457467916576,
                  0.1087182467339033,
                  0.24180964669437427,
                  0.16387042761028797
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23457958118988842,
                  0.11864122692593004,
                  0.44038442452528814,
                  0.14304388402215332,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.12209205536551032,
                  0.43632285498898205,
                  0.17880139376069062
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.227554907318744,
                  21.450413690323057,
                  103.17528575198237,
                  25.565352717200543,
                  35.141775192492396,
                  29.65062063558056,
                  121.13020429200053,
                  29.855819701163373
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.91091499200625,
                  33.39002587790927,
                  163.85395380251938,
                  30.317658032788415,
                  46.77514464531494,
                  32.16405989901042,
                  178.02911191569987,
                  27.619913058663098
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  30.33541279752081,
                  20.65721050582881,
                  101.91860824830158,
                  24.735949694733584,
                  34.37462582013457,
                  28.77544737333596,
                  120.00317318560815,
                  29.09561635452158
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.513828107781922,
                  30.99293899368493,
                  161.45686691829505,
                  27.920571148564072,
                  44.378057761090616,
                  29.766973014786096,
                  175.6320250314755,
                  25.22282617443876
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.3590439914293858,
              "rpss": 0.1943785902662044,
              "brier_below": 0.2008760500882019,
              "bss_below": 0.09739432180623842,
              "brier_above": 0.15816794040821103,
              "bss_above": 0.2911147592335851,
              "crps": 49.6496283610077,
              "crpss": 0.2672463311983535,
              "crps_fair": 48.73700549749813,
              "crpss_fair": 0.2543356098192979,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.102226,
                    0.189941,
                    0.467124,
                    0.209413,
                    0.031296,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1631,
                    0.2522,
                    0.3595,
                    0.4345,
                    0.5277,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0021,
                    0.1088,
                    0.4305,
                    0.4533,
                    0.5561,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.080317,
                    0.443494,
                    0.220758,
                    0.122606,
                    0.118704,
                    0.01412,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1832,
                    0.2583,
                    0.3327,
                    0.4591,
                    0.5395,
                    0.6276,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0595,
                    0.1053,
                    0.187,
                    0.9238,
                    0.9798,
                    0.9692,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "cdft": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.3178820025619186,
            "training": [
              0.2966109309845688,
              0.35637334394287534,
              0.2918488345657763,
              0.35816494763930246,
              0.4737106128403556,
              0.3115968829768143,
              0.31862496003309215,
              0.28171830644584495,
              0.3050739907325036,
              0.2943593849597218,
              0.30966845395263426,
              0.2978979989054342,
              0.32342893708928283,
              0.34830658896418665,
              0.25920968476514233,
              0.28011852317585834,
              0.31558121281557916,
              0.2737176881337837,
              0.32345782881915525,
              0.3368848461857718,
              0.3126646030228756,
              0.2976005126292992,
              0.34221187425703636,
              0.32033711364915163
            ],
            "test": 0.3325783719786841
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44001065723232796,
                  0.3925915986955767,
                  0.4496422107985467,
                  0.39541108023442184,
                  0.27777807522726505,
                  0.43861621637753023,
                  0.44192696093469874,
                  0.5610888134435777,
                  0.3657613614440452,
                  0.4232161104008572,
                  0.42317747405104733,
                  0.40926939623431985,
                  0.4526049823351918,
                  0.45555582928817856,
                  0.5663278739905303,
                  0.5535932843710155,
                  0.40395140061126683,
                  0.6253112628045523,
                  0.4238032229576834,
                  0.39389140482506085,
                  0.4615970767727678,
                  0.5037568284616813,
                  0.367454087316414,
                  0.40534118142802567
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4395210979875425,
                  0.470103716624794,
                  0.41696991681095497,
                  0.4787026031452831,
                  0.5456974441052049,
                  0.4718891913819794,
                  0.47528498703411814,
                  0.4682080369739733,
                  0.3831343647949888,
                  0.4088195356935795,
                  0.4015935093605737,
                  0.39471244953026,
                  0.4905254593905998,
                  0.4972930203135432,
                  0.44542605260977947,
                  0.45801231637095624,
                  0.41221699134066647,
                  0.5190225092696747,
                  0.45873316132537956,
                  0.4177409102960471,
                  0.44718476065736323,
                  0.46325505114638965,
                  0.44214927012968386,
                  0.47013731140410536
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2850594202410121,
                  0.20865889121101228,
                  0.27997276296293433,
                  0.28416861384571585,
                  0.04758007348422744,
                  0.21903264183602128,
                  0.21064302052769204,
                  0.18356908894199336,
                  0.2103800892271733,
                  0.20798037045216072,
                  0.24478776709801195,
                  0.20702047996148776,
                  0.358811661500994,
                  0.10889612834446853,
                  0.3983172269967016,
                  0.1818034552096908,
                  0.1828273396753267,
                  0.45687466438153246,
                  0.21052759134178697,
                  0.21316656890176605,
                  0.12949179388975512,
                  0.14214745746856036,
                  0.10920179386242118,
                  0.31001797895893984
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.26733852590825796,
                  0.2537256337025866,
                  0.25705411420017604,
                  0.3357734196011123,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.24514724598143975,
                  0.22681741549383455,
                  0.13433843965721864,
                  0.20847648854308581,
                  0.21955850215575037,
                  0.23050568160830917,
                  0.18056439949521058,
                  0.3677097897916764,
                  0.12508152488088367,
                  0.31011998366589516,
                  0.1537918174661276,
                  0.19438540787371786,
                  0.391713087904114,
                  0.23671767734449203,
                  0.22863730285774397,
                  0.13116571704967142,
                  0.1350144958485548,
                  0.15057377542642655,
                  0.33304615388212466
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15495123304120256,
                  0.18393270547188698,
                  0.16966944401733017,
                  0.11124246448054644,
                  0.23019799904034044,
                  0.21958357523913702,
                  0.23128394188856635,
                  0.37751972728949107,
                  0.15538127027646334,
                  0.21523573779850064,
                  0.1783897040827689,
                  0.20224891642457027,
                  0.09379331520163546,
                  0.3466597091266542,
                  0.16801064337787477,
                  0.371789831568487,
                  0.22112406089380168,
                  0.168436595843236,
                  0.21327563153123835,
                  0.18072483300353662,
                  0.33210529094181424,
                  0.361609379112677,
                  0.25825229480259054,
                  0.0953231990424895
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17218257207928467,
                  0.21637808292220725,
                  0.15991580261077884,
                  0.14292918354417064,
                  0.4247144528307517,
                  0.22674194540053969,
                  0.24846757154028362,
                  0.3338695973167546,
                  0.17465787625190304,
                  0.18926103353782903,
                  0.17108782775226475,
                  0.21414805003504944,
                  0.12281566959892326,
                  0.37221149543265947,
                  0.13530606894388414,
                  0.3042204989048285,
                  0.21783158346694867,
                  0.12730942136556073,
                  0.22201548398088763,
                  0.18910360743830318,
                  0.3160190436076916,
                  0.3282405552978347,
                  0.29157549470325717,
                  0.13709115752198053
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.133708388471373,
                  34.436759863773574,
                  29.264778203885488,
                  26.485709604263622,
                  179.6737913483082,
                  34.903842472906796,
                  35.89366096426446,
                  47.27221123731191,
                  20.47224655843931,
                  30.100069874971677,
                  27.57207727715703,
                  27.621169446680746,
                  33.996325403434334,
                  62.53622413412207,
                  39.8996493461875,
                  50.429767049818,
                  30.798395495412,
                  60.01496827663007,
                  41.81963738730058,
                  27.49262939095906,
                  38.46004836445731,
                  34.75186021274093,
                  32.07912292825919,
                  27.799856214021904
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.742925516629697,
                  40.77336668818828,
                  28.09618525185972,
                  37.986090541506,
                  251.4927342153348,
                  40.320321374030684,
                  40.93726570534917,
                  40.54786455186527,
                  22.988890072347303,
                  28.257992147944407,
                  24.96559897910219,
                  25.682377420488514,
                  37.65656723862455,
                  67.35667251514191,
                  29.987287831298126,
                  43.08507304266908,
                  30.254448434401816,
                  47.83890739301917,
                  44.7070520085121,
                  29.018165136591247,
                  36.90426542672519,
                  32.258006168915756,
                  38.015712600516835,
                  34.40598130175283
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  29.77567210741124,
                  32.78678923864909,
                  27.94854952637637,
                  25.162803341047802,
                  178.14619958799634,
                  33.7126386081651,
                  34.49590636718702,
                  46.011804159876654,
                  19.32744078025671,
                  28.51222957228178,
                  26.06651178076765,
                  26.189915761502263,
                  32.82567750275872,
                  61.204535527525174,
                  38.62360044370786,
                  49.41168967855064,
                  29.305269489193734,
                  58.62414443810555,
                  40.477498608379065,
                  26.217682027656103,
                  37.02048468353246,
                  33.4201135781865,
                  30.382208792536883,
                  26.68322692595372
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  29.83323453860368,
                  38.88077881844172,
                  26.1795875687868,
                  36.08822373966346,
                  249.9992360568139,
                  38.426875463916396,
                  39.04498825040786,
                  38.65484959473932,
                  21.062619481737414,
                  26.341700917326186,
                  23.043072155361166,
                  23.761208131674348,
                  35.758076339617475,
                  65.51443181552213,
                  28.07427178189838,
                  41.19686340465451,
                  28.3419383709928,
                  45.95970122915301,
                  42.821914300357065,
                  27.103313627542445,
                  35.0043497136804,
                  30.34929072242817,
                  36.1179019010588,
                  32.50133398998652
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.442986599593191,
              "rpss": 0.022494278397092615,
              "brier_below": 0.2246223700133911,
              "bss_below": 0.008698166105890026,
              "brier_above": 0.21836422931236832,
              "bss_above": 0.036290761032554686,
              "crps": 41.87118789349071,
              "crpss": 0.07405578331605456,
              "crps_fair": 40.513858021983516,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06511853632535414,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.112696,
                    0.182321,
                    0.423611,
                    0.221403,
                    0.054452,
                    0.005013,
                    0.000504,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1579,
                    0.2529,
                    0.3432,
                    0.4387,
                    0.5377,
                    0.6349,
                    0.7212,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2228,
                    0.3014,
                    0.3513,
                    0.4074,
                    0.4536,
                    0.5829,
                    0.6134,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.066118,
                    0.271995,
                    0.406928,
                    0.166394,
                    0.063624,
                    0.022394,
                    0.002547,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1778,
                    0.2521,
                    0.3378,
                    0.4393,
                    0.5386,
                    0.6403,
                    0.7271,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2496,
                    0.2661,
                    0.3363,
                    0.4079,
                    0.5888,
                    0.6742,
                    0.3317,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4461672381683789,
                  0.3562255715059541,
                  0.3766939623735906,
                  0.3663332399309355,
                  0.2638626324181602,
                  0.38241237430936464,
                  0.3375636915057142,
                  0.5499847245892008,
                  0.3503545417026272,
                  0.32235715349888655,
                  0.3589360897362462,
                  0.42419330438540115,
                  0.47863230170174775,
                  0.4414629970268434,
                  0.4507987393304967,
                  0.47004901013439093,
                  0.3637916390234349,
                  0.5862798890238715,
                  0.43775489267589635,
                  0.3152421533574043,
                  0.4786033923877221,
                  0.47549922365864605,
                  0.27573924893702856,
                  0.4589342967428968
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48190550000573357,
                  0.4447116445242348,
                  0.39122568096409477,
                  0.5314846969938783,
                  0.5463137956783318,
                  0.5246370465888529,
                  0.46799085520133354,
                  0.4301833029814578,
                  0.3790308872213789,
                  0.3760295940535084,
                  0.36571087481860687,
                  0.4071905851059967,
                  0.5346883511508412,
                  0.5378418848789392,
                  0.39758042315298353,
                  0.42189702405901625,
                  0.3563103597455807,
                  0.5447213097764745,
                  0.4681166137581803,
                  0.3573140644587983,
                  0.4646548700920834,
                  0.443550454531998,
                  0.4892057891747856,
                  0.5235515129376195
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.34470709593767135,
                  0.10224024936904484,
                  0.26974368374104485,
                  0.29729085959883284,
                  0.03675910425447792,
                  0.3035500123342648,
                  0.2645303658439171,
                  0.19933226497310427,
                  0.21267080073425357,
                  0.0859866158563852,
                  0.2111732455133609,
                  0.15503042320212235,
                  0.39676708969961494,
                  0.08726521608079749,
                  0.30242900236728143,
                  0.14132856914214575,
                  0.15369467768209522,
                  0.47383906599736186,
                  0.09862939356297488,
                  0.10949473509171677,
                  0.10881519538470472,
                  0.14113514775557123,
                  0.04271727340507151,
                  0.37963384903958475
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3519612903999631,
                  0.14955802970751203,
                  0.2601871534110402,
                  0.4105017057194249,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.39624369138262994,
                  0.3443603210875784,
                  0.12682101259329223,
                  0.2099793080182162,
                  0.1262687532682766,
                  0.2039124110213452,
                  0.13844673123024703,
                  0.4137053598763879,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.264430544340142,
                  0.12679414888912763,
                  0.17861675021890278,
                  0.42373831850202115,
                  0.13731870409752048,
                  0.14687327559600188,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.14271630161606835,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.40256852166316615
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10146013473984236,
                  0.2539853214350373,
                  0.10695027123756146,
                  0.06904237936984223,
                  0.2271035252301614,
                  0.07886236007310479,
                  0.07303332485473461,
                  0.35065245882387014,
                  0.1376837399108805,
                  0.23637053590554788,
                  0.1477628409007596,
                  0.26916288370006985,
                  0.08186520548909103,
                  0.3541977887761048,
                  0.14836973057951894,
                  0.3287204442303229,
                  0.2100969588903544,
                  0.11244081827653116,
                  0.33912550430428207,
                  0.2057474160431562,
                  0.36978820880810404,
                  0.3343640828768075,
                  0.2330219747341643,
                  0.07930044190296784
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1299442096057706,
                  0.29515361481672286,
                  0.13103852755305465,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4253308044038785,
                  0.12839335520622294,
                  0.12363053411375528,
                  0.3033622903881658,
                  0.16905157920316274,
                  0.24976084078523186,
                  0.16179846379726168,
                  0.26874385387575,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4168588936044859,
                  0.13314987881284177,
                  0.2951028751698888,
                  0.1776936095266779,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3307979096606601,
                  0.21044078886279646,
                  0.34367187881763017,
                  0.3008341529159299,
                  0.3682227979003325,
                  0.12098299127445337
                ],
                "crps": [
                  39.65760266571431,
                  43.11292431746224,
                  28.264344325963,
                  30.540001961335935,
                  257.689671949578,
                  39.03982332038358,
                  26.894338204180148,
                  52.75989655964882,
                  25.834096769660064,
                  30.118668667323718,
                  28.940743553257366,
                  37.79162815767609,
                  47.616386505809935,
                  90.56993774088227,
                  38.58086698387603,
                  51.894831058038235,
                  32.91152830212004,
                  77.20922497692037,
                  70.33162174336348,
                  27.754052183459283,
                  53.96363017236331,
                  38.21599444291104,
                  40.397547110789795,
                  39.56629435614807
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  44.818392114890194,
                  49.555903283487574,
                  30.675020158925083,
                  53.94868480057281,
                  354.7381681248423,
                  56.058574286857095,
                  40.89964859325192,
                  41.88472808521825,
                  29.960563688835595,
                  35.58986358112118,
                  28.725216146584827,
                  36.06632699048634,
                  54.26159742058326,
                  101.57427145824482,
                  32.681017126544084,
                  48.797086589560294,
                  29.95440091470073,
                  69.17206276014227,
                  74.3649830088615,
                  31.00618674826232,
                  52.67156510791567,
                  36.916850791140064,
                  58.698649883439046,
                  47.73367692323706
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  38.10277889860514,
                  40.8454265273053,
                  26.61365562015498,
                  28.923641449780177,
                  255.74346022841908,
                  37.49883583220866,
                  25.271062257604118,
                  51.270274701016056,
                  24.37953815640724,
                  28.493766954797113,
                  27.204087081494972,
                  35.96826612270237,
                  46.17392367977695,
                  88.91858720370277,
                  36.90067315969829,
                  50.54935817424831,
                  31.119593120433052,
                  75.73427702068805,
                  68.74971016161949,
                  26.069322675199928,
                  52.20899519261614,
                  36.68224000181907,
                  37.843141212272506,
                  38.21059058572728
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.28827155959033,
                  47.03475528721915,
                  28.118112914314686,
                  51.435856466268575,
                  352.79501684228853,
                  53.54974195536778,
                  38.362106175221676,
                  39.349051348043986,
                  27.402303306971245,
                  33.04226475208313,
                  26.16461609134499,
                  33.51963055426904,
                  51.74936172381692,
                  99.15164309867102,
                  30.1279091186148,
                  46.27450144046246,
                  27.396128860915656,
                  66.68806658106446,
                  71.89082190601232,
                  28.449906713101416,
                  50.156317986314725,
                  34.37176519545435,
                  56.19481769512508,
                  45.209077740680264
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4069946795052017,
              "rpss": 0.10269984514897268,
              "brier_below": 0.20494849735697498,
              "bss_below": 0.095638287336131,
              "brier_above": 0.20204618129553406,
              "bss_above": 0.10975106309361815,
              "crps": 52.068985667869384,
              "crpss": 0.13263739474129743,
              "crps_fair": 50.39480025076238,
              "crpss_fair": 0.12402701896171442,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.117951,
                    0.167417,
                    0.470918,
                    0.205045,
                    0.037654,
                    0.001015,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1505,
                    0.2536,
                    0.3428,
                    0.4383,
                    0.5352,
                    0.623,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0947,
                    0.1687,
                    0.3586,
                    0.5534,
                    0.6504,
                    0.8571,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.066795,
                    0.292471,
                    0.399248,
                    0.157568,
                    0.067754,
                    0.014715,
                    0.001449,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1793,
                    0.252,
                    0.3353,
                    0.4397,
                    0.5343,
                    0.6399,
                    0.7178,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.114,
                    0.2263,
                    0.3009,
                    0.5603,
                    0.7947,
                    0.7541,
                    0.7009,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.39530310732712887,
                  0.423345923827999,
                  0.4678933755204843,
                  0.3389998399716517,
                  0.4752211482846161,
                  0.39794321156923695,
                  0.39673011691322435,
                  0.5870503082770148
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.417659603071558,
                  0.42114839455105046,
                  0.5533032498091346,
                  0.4473076683297933,
                  0.4625683790499464,
                  0.41678104095296603,
                  0.5158924310312171,
                  0.42890011506153497
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22315092536176578,
                  0.22207381410017443,
                  0.10687433643013233,
                  0.2400532997218146,
                  0.25400831516334565,
                  0.23005138088966123,
                  0.12002242429136764,
                  0.24004746586728168
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23401701276525544,
                  0.2189631813755131,
                  0.11111111773384957,
                  0.3104494178140245,
                  0.2504465951343465,
                  0.24187001637124075,
                  0.1452369658843232,
                  0.14026665735763472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17215218507707394,
                  0.201272107527663,
                  0.3610190062725666,
                  0.09894655001574591,
                  0.22121283013268525,
                  0.16789183986161552,
                  0.27670767242955685,
                  0.3470028236063301
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18364259720487727,
                  0.20218521675843326,
                  0.4421920927416047,
                  0.1368582657800341,
                  0.2121217857216985,
                  0.17491103304162547,
                  0.37065543860496475,
                  0.28863344582864725
                ],
                "crps": [
                  25.81722693285567,
                  25.017133291187058,
                  92.59204792696694,
                  19.959316644615374,
                  31.07717700143234,
                  25.060117815667667,
                  85.20964343344028,
                  51.49082686044937
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.991938244042803,
                  27.156682952757507,
                  116.99857569796765,
                  25.68956435022059,
                  33.64072492622825,
                  25.925245138455825,
                  110.35729933852919,
                  38.12777562837381
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.14471871849784,
                  24.364063334665776,
                  91.71906613354356,
                  19.325303980923582,
                  30.503504502810284,
                  24.300545420627046,
                  84.40423987608459,
                  50.89446876694527
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.186278935163696,
                  25.3510236438784,
                  115.19291638908858,
                  23.883905041341485,
                  31.83506561734916,
                  24.11958582957673,
                  108.55164002965007,
                  36.322116319494704
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4353108789614195,
              "rpss": 0.04942564242962755,
              "brier_below": 0.2045352452281929,
              "bss_below": 0.00973092620602467,
              "brier_above": 0.23077562686540468,
              "bss_above": 0.08203802255243664,
              "crps": 44.52793623832684,
              "crpss": 0.11801375438732908,
              "crps_fair": 43.83198884176224,
              "crpss_fair": 0.09959523653367153,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.083245,
                    0.146905,
                    0.349151,
                    0.287034,
                    0.107216,
                    0.025947,
                    0.000501,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1474,
                    0.2565,
                    0.3603,
                    0.4474,
                    0.5411,
                    0.6254,
                    0.7041,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0363,
                    0.1717,
                    0.3331,
                    0.2996,
                    0.3757,
                    0.5802,
                    0.8346,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.122344,
                    0.445152,
                    0.253637,
                    0.099779,
                    0.065625,
                    0.01338,
                    8.4e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1747,
                    0.2524,
                    0.3394,
                    0.4519,
                    0.544,
                    0.6267,
                    0.7147,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3056,
                    0.3269,
                    0.3747,
                    0.6793,
                    0.9461,
                    0.9684,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3897133348264802,
                  0.31675339512125605,
                  0.2747267555726283,
                  0.36264470290096673,
                  0.4120602831272011,
                  0.405106429575821,
                  0.258157484137249,
                  0.3804025760495812
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.37168678111891346,
                  0.40830734552865355,
                  0.5514955812695821,
                  0.4122454531264281,
                  0.5073582366943469,
                  0.42296825285318396,
                  0.5480141639602464,
                  0.3433109747399186
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1544993716659804,
                  0.2449608806519532,
                  0.04183756891182634,
                  0.24470036194747205,
                  0.3384824216730136,
                  0.2942200538272791,
                  0.03401392967759964,
                  0.21476881148642085
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13710719771935653,
                  0.28966613712444955,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.26920158326246535,
                  0.3962471388287118,
                  0.3008762153923436,
                  0.11169127068708512,
                  0.1645095887434772
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23521395946576995,
                  0.07179252609514569,
                  0.23288915876973848,
                  0.1179443509005786,
                  0.07357787548144439,
                  0.1108863911678415,
                  0.22414352852724476,
                  0.16563376611454744
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23457958118988842,
                  0.11864122692593004,
                  0.44038442452528814,
                  0.14304388402215332,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.12209205536551032,
                  0.43632285498898205,
                  0.17880139376069062
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.341932815240696,
                  22.731097067553137,
                  100.52532744148887,
                  25.08393563296888,
                  34.75734515312299,
                  29.560637721099084,
                  119.69569667319844,
                  29.72930065983502
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.91091499200625,
                  33.39002587790927,
                  163.85395380251938,
                  30.317658032788415,
                  46.77514464531494,
                  32.16405989901042,
                  178.02911191569987,
                  27.619913058663098
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  30.474564255546962,
                  21.896200622133353,
                  99.29503302628969,
                  24.31163338882125,
                  34.00608022795903,
                  28.717311625441603,
                  118.63306302552702,
                  28.99615160143424
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.513828107781922,
                  30.99293899368493,
                  161.45686691829505,
                  27.920571148564072,
                  44.378057761090616,
                  29.766973014786096,
                  175.6320250314755,
                  25.22282617443876
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.34994562016389796,
              "rpss": 0.21479347774559943,
              "brier_below": 0.19593542498019315,
              "bss_below": 0.11959426189047084,
              "brier_above": 0.15401019456528886,
              "bss_above": 0.3097491591966792,
              "crps": 49.178159145563384,
              "crpss": 0.2742045060880406,
              "crps_fair": 48.29125472164415,
              "crpss_fair": 0.26115548882205686,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.14924,
                    0.151433,
                    0.444951,
                    0.213107,
                    0.039097,
                    0.002173,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1412,
                    0.2542,
                    0.3629,
                    0.4416,
                    0.5333,
                    0.6067,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0029,
                    0.112,
                    0.4354,
                    0.472,
                    0.5338,
                    0.8008,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.073786,
                    0.428303,
                    0.244209,
                    0.093703,
                    0.131972,
                    0.027811,
                    0.000217,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.178,
                    0.2575,
                    0.3296,
                    0.4671,
                    0.5459,
                    0.628,
                    0.7147,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0794,
                    0.1025,
                    0.1771,
                    0.9165,
                    0.9835,
                    0.9765,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "selection": {
        "SEL-P": {
          "criterion": "inner RPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "gqm",
            "1994": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1995": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1996": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1997": "gqm",
            "1998": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1999": "gqm",
            "2000": "gqm",
            "2001": "gqm",
            "2002": "gqm",
            "2003": "gqm",
            "2004": "gqm",
            "2005": "gqm",
            "2006": "gqm",
            "2007": "gqm",
            "2008": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2009": "gqm",
            "2010": "gqm",
            "2011": "gqm",
            "2012": "gqm",
            "2013": "gqm",
            "2014": "gqm",
            "2015": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2016": "gqm"
          },
          "chosen_test": "gqm",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 0,
            "vs": 0,
            "sqrt_mvs": 6,
            "pt": 0,
            "dc": 0,
            "loci": 0,
            "eqm": 0,
            "gqm": 18,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 0,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4424982002602183,
                  0.3828811488002995,
                  0.45180440251785836,
                  0.3810241700254464,
                  0.21047019007367007,
                  0.40623388194898297,
                  0.40834281170036707,
                  0.5532841055525215,
                  0.3660594489973055,
                  0.42889975410454323,
                  0.4249531715665365,
                  0.40083707782587025,
                  0.46259049258192053,
                  0.41448437144510325,
                  0.5905536782359719,
                  0.5479817128952174,
                  0.3952601154630435,
                  0.6604665580416728,
                  0.429672959142735,
                  0.40265058063652676,
                  0.43582462734287125,
                  0.49203076553004305,
                  0.3447562955681246,
                  0.4064030996316054
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4395210979875425,
                  0.470103716624794,
                  0.41696991681095497,
                  0.4787026031452831,
                  0.5456974441052049,
                  0.4718891913819794,
                  0.47528498703411814,
                  0.4682080369739733,
                  0.3831343647949888,
                  0.4088195356935795,
                  0.4015935093605737,
                  0.39471244953026,
                  0.4905254593905998,
                  0.4972930203135432,
                  0.44542605260977947,
                  0.45801231637095624,
                  0.41221699134066647,
                  0.5190225092696747,
                  0.45873316132537956,
                  0.4177409102960471,
                  0.44718476065736323,
                  0.46325505114638965,
                  0.44214927012968386,
                  0.47013731140410536
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.28508631800269396,
                  0.2047301807504097,
                  0.28000368780070317,
                  0.2684740800322381,
                  0.03423441382604589,
                  0.19293084576410616,
                  0.1898658821084948,
                  0.18518613201181908,
                  0.20890321039102394,
                  0.20630714982221576,
                  0.24431721403281287,
                  0.19781761536309792,
                  0.3601885394762292,
                  0.09829372273058243,
                  0.4088303827680441,
                  0.17493330150409908,
                  0.17409816859226515,
                  0.4659777996314725,
                  0.2146157413451811,
                  0.2142571142055164,
                  0.11864513738031435,
                  0.14024730784472134,
                  0.0980007510096891,
                  0.30783293885352947
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.26733852590825796,
                  0.2537256337025866,
                  0.25705411420017604,
                  0.3357734196011123,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.24514724598143975,
                  0.22681741549383455,
                  0.13433843965721864,
                  0.20847648854308581,
                  0.21955850215575037,
                  0.23050568160830917,
                  0.18056439949521058,
                  0.3677097897916764,
                  0.12508152488088367,
                  0.31011998366589516,
                  0.1537918174661276,
                  0.19438540787371786,
                  0.391713087904114,
                  0.23671767734449203,
                  0.22863730285774397,
                  0.13116571704967142,
                  0.1350144958485548,
                  0.15057377542642655,
                  0.33304615388212466
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15741187769842202,
                  0.1781509649330223,
                  0.17180071032772753,
                  0.11255008841845517,
                  0.17623577294116366,
                  0.2133030376955403,
                  0.21847693354719092,
                  0.3680979776155615,
                  0.15715623696324243,
                  0.2225926017323256,
                  0.18063595388881132,
                  0.20301946164546253,
                  0.10240194600167711,
                  0.31619065606728025,
                  0.18172329080926958,
                  0.3730484166903704,
                  0.22116194806340567,
                  0.19448875828854198,
                  0.21505721697911157,
                  0.18839346224364512,
                  0.31717949784423166,
                  0.3517834673503618,
                  0.2467555459784849,
                  0.09857015665854249
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17218257207928467,
                  0.21637808292220725,
                  0.15991580261077884,
                  0.14292918354417064,
                  0.4247144528307517,
                  0.22674194540053969,
                  0.24846757154028362,
                  0.3338695973167546,
                  0.17465787625190304,
                  0.18926103353782903,
                  0.17108782775226475,
                  0.21414805003504944,
                  0.12281566959892326,
                  0.37221149543265947,
                  0.13530606894388414,
                  0.3042204989048285,
                  0.21783158346694867,
                  0.12730942136556073,
                  0.22201548398088763,
                  0.18910360743830318,
                  0.3160190436076916,
                  0.3282405552978347,
                  0.29157549470325717,
                  0.13709115752198053
                ],
                "crps": [
                  30.742209703923454,
                  36.247025503304386,
                  29.156656763736684,
                  25.839503304824014,
                  172.70403785524624,
                  31.90030329072216,
                  34.80969905609223,
                  47.3191097291388,
                  20.521705673968246,
                  30.973324695624925,
                  28.061594772458456,
                  27.61599303900503,
                  33.723031894956875,
                  56.071862499874975,
                  41.16697420405066,
                  50.06067662741456,
                  32.09604532749018,
                  60.78963494738387,
                  41.79574741909915,
                  28.81318187013949,
                  37.19544677546866,
                  34.31795757356532,
                  37.99271695673745,
                  27.20474020119035
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.742925516629697,
                  40.77336668818828,
                  28.09618525185972,
                  37.986090541506,
                  251.4927342153348,
                  40.320321374030684,
                  40.93726570534917,
                  40.54786455186527,
                  22.988890072347303,
                  28.257992147944407,
                  24.96559897910219,
                  25.682377420488514,
                  37.65656723862455,
                  67.35667251514191,
                  29.987287831298126,
                  43.08507304266908,
                  30.254448434401816,
                  47.83890739301917,
                  44.7070520085121,
                  29.018165136591247,
                  36.90426542672519,
                  32.258006168915756,
                  38.015712600516835,
                  34.40598130175283
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  29.283458373838887,
                  34.32041819972539,
                  27.721300253164628,
                  24.398611181599673,
                  171.09205857737123,
                  30.600602283993386,
                  33.3130819159704,
                  45.964096297853416,
                  19.286390120898677,
                  29.236682633150142,
                  26.434209818887645,
                  26.04166875256233,
                  32.47296640550901,
                  54.55717994220023,
                  39.73504558631822,
                  48.944090692822094,
                  30.370662215081012,
                  59.312220461798155,
                  40.330249302920436,
                  27.388559011430257,
                  35.63093084456836,
                  32.88516693516752,
                  35.9409266785613,
                  25.99662799246868
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  29.83323453860368,
                  38.88077881844172,
                  26.1795875687868,
                  36.08822373966346,
                  249.9992360568139,
                  38.426875463916396,
                  39.04498825040786,
                  38.65484959473932,
                  21.062619481737414,
                  26.341700917326186,
                  23.043072155361166,
                  23.761208131674348,
                  35.758076339617475,
                  65.51443181552213,
                  28.07427178189838,
                  41.19686340465451,
                  28.3419383709928,
                  45.95970122915301,
                  42.821914300357065,
                  27.103313627542445,
                  35.0043497136804,
                  30.34929072242817,
                  36.1179019010588,
                  32.50133398998652
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.434998484162019,
              "rpss": 0.040121061116853984,
              "brier_below": 0.21974073480197107,
              "bss_below": 0.03024176364336706,
              "brier_above": 0.21525774918257698,
              "bss_above": 0.05000062372927949,
              "crps": 41.54663248689234,
              "crpss": 0.08123303853264197,
              "crps_fair": 40.05238351991088,
              "crpss_fair": 0.07576733599563223
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44067904488139276,
                  0.3182773077478492,
                  0.3728537933203119,
                  0.3252870820537114,
                  0.15052324017473506,
                  0.3346626378586626,
                  0.3050244962285549,
                  0.6049791130353823,
                  0.34214566195411633,
                  0.3077493956203797,
                  0.35619819929930013,
                  0.414643834273502,
                  0.4694034228633918,
                  0.3907522501458198,
                  0.4616188068007083,
                  0.4931113521842695,
                  0.3874702373501028,
                  0.580346565156122,
                  0.44523154319422403,
                  0.3027288433489746,
                  0.46598817228669054,
                  0.4978417552980269,
                  0.19228003595368112,
                  0.4314059403613482
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48190550000573357,
                  0.4447116445242348,
                  0.39122568096409477,
                  0.5314846969938783,
                  0.5463137956783318,
                  0.5246370465888529,
                  0.46799085520133354,
                  0.4301833029814578,
                  0.3790308872213789,
                  0.3760295940535084,
                  0.36571087481860687,
                  0.4071905851059967,
                  0.5346883511508412,
                  0.5378418848789392,
                  0.39758042315298353,
                  0.42189702405901625,
                  0.3563103597455807,
                  0.5447213097764745,
                  0.4681166137581803,
                  0.3573140644587983,
                  0.4646548700920834,
                  0.443550454531998,
                  0.4892057891747856,
                  0.5235515129376195
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3335682141479579,
                  0.08885097567247816,
                  0.26396043436609945,
                  0.2604879902011872,
                  0.01888843598598894,
                  0.2603179628996171,
                  0.24186130489667554,
                  0.2428837202007154,
                  0.21062832940434204,
                  0.07846883335084077,
                  0.20941565701878226,
                  0.14899003078001247,
                  0.3825492019876187,
                  0.07530760669039331,
                  0.30307767300338945,
                  0.1520538137937487,
                  0.15252578482399176,
                  0.45732324562461013,
                  0.11137672938579446,
                  0.09129439524383251,
                  0.10222853841625726,
                  0.15645425558931272,
                  0.0162956709500173,
                  0.35228945363861364
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3519612903999631,
                  0.14955802970751203,
                  0.2601871534110402,
                  0.4105017057194249,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.39624369138262994,
                  0.3443603210875784,
                  0.12682101259329223,
                  0.2099793080182162,
                  0.1262687532682766,
                  0.2039124110213452,
                  0.13844673123024703,
                  0.4137053598763879,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.264430544340142,
                  0.12679414888912763,
                  0.17861675021890278,
                  0.42373831850202115,
                  0.13731870409752048,
                  0.14687327559600188,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.14271630161606835,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.40256852166316615
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10711082359417035,
                  0.2294263307368378,
                  0.10889335149822886,
                  0.06479909256494772,
                  0.13163479930336264,
                  0.07434467488853318,
                  0.0631631907792015,
                  0.3620953875223192,
                  0.13151733190007447,
                  0.22928055906114275,
                  0.14678253782942036,
                  0.26565380514593107,
                  0.08685421374761781,
                  0.3154446482005784,
                  0.15854112611951918,
                  0.3410575427373961,
                  0.234944452037187,
                  0.12302331632598282,
                  0.33385482120481286,
                  0.21143444574645287,
                  0.3637596450114789,
                  0.3413875060698232,
                  0.1759843625742687,
                  0.07911648219063845
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1299442096057706,
                  0.29515361481672286,
                  0.13103852755305465,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4253308044038785,
                  0.12839335520622294,
                  0.12363053411375528,
                  0.3033622903881658,
                  0.16905157920316274,
                  0.24976084078523186,
                  0.16179846379726168,
                  0.26874385387575,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4168588936044859,
                  0.13314987881284177,
                  0.2951028751698888,
                  0.1776936095266779,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3307979096606601,
                  0.21044078886279646,
                  0.34367187881763017,
                  0.3008341529159299,
                  0.3682227979003325,
                  0.12098299127445337
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.70886380867722,
                  44.708517506868944,
                  28.06377685250376,
                  27.913665101012757,
                  225.69813692036584,
                  33.850655479705644,
                  26.634611120182175,
                  56.46957849421145,
                  25.22996204958731,
                  30.120107279956738,
                  29.73643313349702,
                  38.33994691671975,
                  45.355339009855996,
                  79.68081012376943,
                  40.204592123864394,
                  53.362658335826836,
                  38.05419913670394,
                  74.90923738409765,
                  69.41279173444786,
                  29.426256266613922,
                  53.72607411646917,
                  39.80047397319012,
                  53.8727419625458,
                  36.09257839442218
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  44.818392114890194,
                  49.555903283487574,
                  30.675020158925083,
                  53.94868480057281,
                  354.7381681248423,
                  56.058574286857095,
                  40.89964859325192,
                  41.88472808521825,
                  29.960563688835595,
                  35.58986358112118,
                  28.725216146584827,
                  36.06632699048634,
                  54.26159742058326,
                  101.57427145824482,
                  32.681017126544084,
                  48.797086589560294,
                  29.95440091470073,
                  69.17206276014227,
                  74.3649830088615,
                  31.00618674826232,
                  52.67156510791567,
                  36.916850791140064,
                  58.698649883439046,
                  47.73367692323706
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  36.96351613690055,
                  41.912047140873845,
                  26.24134142649369,
                  26.106409000142527,
                  223.4680333222742,
                  32.12853737140266,
                  24.870702895788696,
                  54.82919787895816,
                  23.603552681293255,
                  28.22649013367915,
                  27.748574139907973,
                  36.21085241819479,
                  43.776268041851594,
                  77.67629302809466,
                  38.21614002576463,
                  51.86989137470879,
                  35.84069192146508,
                  73.29545426635492,
                  67.59506754042782,
                  27.460841360882547,
                  51.751212096161794,
                  38.091376170879535,
                  50.5725771489085,
                  34.572153870498944
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.28827155959033,
                  47.03475528721915,
                  28.118112914314686,
                  51.435856466268575,
                  352.79501684228853,
                  53.54974195536778,
                  38.362106175221676,
                  39.349051348043986,
                  27.402303306971245,
                  33.04226475208313,
                  26.16461609134499,
                  33.51963055426904,
                  51.74936172381692,
                  99.15164309867102,
                  30.1279091186148,
                  46.27450144046246,
                  27.396128860915656,
                  66.68806658106446,
                  71.89082190601232,
                  28.449906713101416,
                  50.156317986314725,
                  34.37176519545435,
                  56.19481769512508,
                  45.209077740680264
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.39130011380796903,
              "rpss": 0.1373016149990537,
              "brier_below": 0.19629576075301156,
              "bss_below": 0.133819605058895,
              "brier_above": 0.19500435194958024,
              "bss_above": 0.14077852943282054,
              "crps": 50.80716696771233,
              "crpss": 0.153656708659059,
              "crps_fair": 48.87613422466285,
              "crpss_fair": 0.15042479014970211
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4207915009654506,
                  0.4047400231036156,
                  0.39282655153853163,
                  0.3358307235161834,
                  0.4452894125769097,
                  0.4020384824963496,
                  0.3516917886814713,
                  0.6094769938179324
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.417659603071558,
                  0.42114839455105046,
                  0.5533032498091346,
                  0.4473076683297933,
                  0.4625683790499464,
                  0.41678104095296603,
                  0.5158924310312171,
                  0.42890011506153497
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.24035027584020607,
                  0.21013655134393516,
                  0.09187845362514664,
                  0.23979977347927053,
                  0.22765533920397535,
                  0.22870341340130562,
                  0.11909760762580911,
                  0.25327286949721745
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23401701276525544,
                  0.2189631813755131,
                  0.11111111773384957,
                  0.3104494178140245,
                  0.2504465951343465,
                  0.24187001637124075,
                  0.1452369658843232,
                  0.14026665735763472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.18044122892183936,
                  0.1946034702046843,
                  0.30094807164174964,
                  0.0960309597185412,
                  0.21763407114108485,
                  0.17333507935780432,
                  0.23259416594325039,
                  0.35620410315627415
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18364259720487727,
                  0.20218521675843326,
                  0.4421920927416047,
                  0.1368582657800341,
                  0.2121217857216985,
                  0.17491103304162547,
                  0.37065543860496475,
                  0.28863344582864725
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.10374916972648,
                  23.53813968163824,
                  79.08254898658632,
                  19.81487063005348,
                  29.248414842341944,
                  26.093825082451122,
                  70.25685860748747,
                  51.103173311509465
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.991938244042803,
                  27.156682952757507,
                  116.99857569796765,
                  25.68956435022059,
                  33.64072492622825,
                  25.925245138455825,
                  110.35729933852919,
                  38.12777562837381
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.38170894391232,
                  22.873569684901927,
                  78.09215633335472,
                  19.138364185075115,
                  28.646139566295396,
                  25.286148256356135,
                  69.33404910717826,
                  50.48652858745385
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.186278935163696,
                  25.3510236438784,
                  115.19291638908858,
                  23.883905041341485,
                  31.83506561734916,
                  24.11958582957673,
                  108.55164002965007,
                  36.322116319494704
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4203356845870555,
              "rpss": 0.08212649246550296,
              "brier_below": 0.20136178550210826,
              "bss_below": 0.025095412752909385,
              "brier_above": 0.21897389376065352,
              "bss_above": 0.12898207121691796,
              "crps": 40.78019753897432,
              "crpss": 0.19224701701345803,
              "crps_fair": 40.02983308306597,
              "crpss_fair": 0.177699818302255
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4024690954033891,
                  0.29748378384640295,
                  0.1517443749750139,
                  0.3455143679264245,
                  0.37502072786786406,
                  0.4124584305270394,
                  0.13996666282068967,
                  0.408896318666016
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.37168678111891346,
                  0.40830734552865355,
                  0.5514955812695821,
                  0.4122454531264281,
                  0.5073582366943469,
                  0.42296825285318396,
                  0.5480141639602464,
                  0.3433109747399186
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1649898906870391,
                  0.2332028528241773,
                  0.02285433823038262,
                  0.2329522598762618,
                  0.3051791940947055,
                  0.295384693050054,
                  0.015918926187524364,
                  0.2422653133410075
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13710719771935653,
                  0.28966613712444955,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.26920158326246535,
                  0.3962471388287118,
                  0.3008762153923436,
                  0.11169127068708512,
                  0.1645095887434772
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23747920237726272,
                  0.06428094218911785,
                  0.12889001932213015,
                  0.11256211687094259,
                  0.06984154755676487,
                  0.11707375272430554,
                  0.12404772126406803,
                  0.16663100499103492
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23457958118988842,
                  0.11864122692593004,
                  0.44038442452528814,
                  0.14304388402215332,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.12209205536551032,
                  0.43632285498898205,
                  0.17880139376069062
                ],
                "crps": [
                  32.92201511989895,
                  21.102558749966217,
                  73.08457772734859,
                  24.56356354920945,
                  32.59367305621019,
                  30.736659076275924,
                  84.71598072665827,
                  31.579398766169756
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.91091499200625,
                  33.39002587790927,
                  163.85395380251938,
                  30.317658032788415,
                  46.77514464531494,
                  32.16405989901042,
                  178.02911191569987,
                  27.619913058663098
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.96637694991914,
                  20.259915819749693,
                  71.59368437336964,
                  23.708557472210632,
                  31.794519894227935,
                  29.812277131719398,
                  83.41103385965648,
                  30.810082974358924
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.513828107781922,
                  30.99293899368493,
                  161.45686691829505,
                  27.920571148564072,
                  44.378057761090616,
                  29.766973014786096,
                  175.6320250314755,
                  25.22282617443876
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.31669422025410493,
              "rpss": 0.2894028301102055,
              "brier_below": 0.18909343353639402,
              "bss_below": 0.15033769957064524,
              "brier_above": 0.12760078841195333,
              "bss_above": 0.4281121990844605,
              "crps": 41.41230334646717,
              "crpss": 0.38881683081273666,
              "crps_fair": 40.41955605940148,
              "crpss_fair": 0.38159057347182557
            }
          }
        },
        "SEL-A": {
          "criterion": "inner CRPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "dc",
            "1994": "dc",
            "1995": "dc",
            "1996": "dc",
            "1997": "dc",
            "1998": "dc",
            "1999": "dc",
            "2000": "dc",
            "2001": "dc",
            "2002": "dc",
            "2003": "dc",
            "2004": "dc",
            "2005": "dc",
            "2006": "dc",
            "2007": "dc",
            "2008": "dc",
            "2009": "dc",
            "2010": "dc",
            "2011": "dc",
            "2012": "dc",
            "2013": "dc",
            "2014": "dc",
            "2015": "dc",
            "2016": "dc"
          },
          "chosen_test": "dc",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 0,
            "vs": 0,
            "sqrt_mvs": 0,
            "pt": 0,
            "dc": 24,
            "loci": 0,
            "eqm": 0,
            "gqm": 0,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 0,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4157982687206033,
                  0.3952819654443416,
                  0.42835858510176533,
                  0.3709041745329523,
                  0.3000917290891782,
                  0.4486413731203497,
                  0.454840989238285,
                  0.5795142457772162,
                  0.3697510555078587,
                  0.45888708981483917,
                  0.4424066652393705,
                  0.40813526275668083,
                  0.4196765655785666,
                  0.47156967281026835,
                  0.5177495055784708,
                  0.6029646802775244,
                  0.3908119440911774,
                  0.5931624284754407,
                  0.4298154544731282,
                  0.3831310988139014,
                  0.46553650423208487,
                  0.5137549925328789,
                  0.3521959818249775,
                  0.3831904915720511
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4395210979875425,
                  0.470103716624794,
                  0.41696991681095497,
                  0.4787026031452831,
                  0.5456974441052049,
                  0.4718891913819794,
                  0.47528498703411814,
                  0.4682080369739733,
                  0.3831343647949888,
                  0.4088195356935795,
                  0.4015935093605737,
                  0.39471244953026,
                  0.4905254593905998,
                  0.4972930203135432,
                  0.44542605260977947,
                  0.45801231637095624,
                  0.41221699134066647,
                  0.5190225092696747,
                  0.45873316132537956,
                  0.4177409102960471,
                  0.44718476065736323,
                  0.46325505114638965,
                  0.44214927012968386,
                  0.47013731140410536
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.26057256944785623,
                  0.21529279878101967,
                  0.27012221760999244,
                  0.2689921070053697,
                  0.056440795834080834,
                  0.23171267816091995,
                  0.21453691585386428,
                  0.18495347606642784,
                  0.21281332989789287,
                  0.2370754869001525,
                  0.2561662438512574,
                  0.2049163648390699,
                  0.3301797048283989,
                  0.11713636491901859,
                  0.35015384488805223,
                  0.22389113723046813,
                  0.1681022499299345,
                  0.4281566719811455,
                  0.2250922820139996,
                  0.2037735250341242,
                  0.13371008580480415,
                  0.1530872066307882,
                  0.11222771418648746,
                  0.2911090365581831
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.26733852590825796,
                  0.2537256337025866,
                  0.25705411420017604,
                  0.3357734196011123,
                  0.12098299127445336,
                  0.24514724598143975,
                  0.22681741549383455,
                  0.13433843965721864,
                  0.20847648854308581,
                  0.21955850215575037,
                  0.23050568160830917,
                  0.18056439949521058,
                  0.3677097897916764,
                  0.12508152488088367,
                  0.31011998366589516,
                  0.1537918174661276,
                  0.19438540787371786,
                  0.391713087904114,
                  0.23671767734449203,
                  0.22863730285774397,
                  0.13116571704967142,
                  0.1350144958485548,
                  0.15057377542642655,
                  0.33304615388212466
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15522570126021648,
                  0.1799891682938564,
                  0.1582363697604154,
                  0.10191206938015206,
                  0.24365093313837455,
                  0.21692869271824228,
                  0.2403040719845599,
                  0.3945607661202015,
                  0.1569377277302045,
                  0.2218116040722884,
                  0.18624042232305416,
                  0.2032188972728835,
                  0.08949686309395231,
                  0.354433302530184,
                  0.1675956646841856,
                  0.3790735417483477,
                  0.22270969312618968,
                  0.1650057581764447,
                  0.2047231721308301,
                  0.17935757561745524,
                  0.3318264119443916,
                  0.36066778058579996,
                  0.23996826831984536,
                  0.0920814562272501
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17218257207928467,
                  0.21637808292220725,
                  0.15991580261077884,
                  0.14292918354417064,
                  0.4247144528307517,
                  0.22674194540053969,
                  0.24846757154028362,
                  0.3338695973167546,
                  0.17465787625190304,
                  0.18926103353782903,
                  0.17108782775226475,
                  0.21414805003504944,
                  0.12281566959892326,
                  0.37221149543265947,
                  0.13530606894388414,
                  0.3042204989048285,
                  0.21783158346694867,
                  0.12730942136556073,
                  0.22201548398088763,
                  0.18910360743830318,
                  0.3160190436076916,
                  0.3282405552978347,
                  0.29157549470325717,
                  0.13709115752198053
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.562739603655693,
                  34.99134550839251,
                  28.37315842822406,
                  25.89375418610671,
                  170.47071114978175,
                  34.97165758530451,
                  36.56070671401672,
                  47.26171035113338,
                  21.658220456529847,
                  31.63062715676019,
                  28.2172877141791,
                  27.026311642858612,
                  31.286235464362974,
                  63.34812720691221,
                  35.60903438764023,
                  51.61703062109956,
                  30.62189315571614,
                  54.522436721007274,
                  41.97915713011246,
                  27.96761273939185,
                  38.2022791045474,
                  35.16841120656279,
                  32.17657777023763,
                  26.031202786317245
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.742925516629697,
                  40.77336668818828,
                  28.09618525185972,
                  37.986090541506,
                  251.4927342153348,
                  40.320321374030684,
                  40.93726570534917,
                  40.54786455186527,
                  22.988890072347303,
                  28.257992147944407,
                  24.96559897910219,
                  25.682377420488514,
                  37.65656723862455,
                  67.35667251514191,
                  29.987287831298126,
                  43.08507304266908,
                  30.254448434401816,
                  47.83890739301917,
                  44.7070520085121,
                  29.018165136591247,
                  36.90426542672519,
                  32.258006168915756,
                  38.015712600516835,
                  34.40598130175283
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.854870283534083,
                  32.843322019588754,
                  26.52312095680292,
                  24.309594517332602,
                  168.20593436054958,
                  33.37796467839808,
                  34.926496084329095,
                  45.592455506499626,
                  19.91559890693408,
                  29.53072420453927,
                  26.328722982338398,
                  25.29814692128113,
                  29.560889778562117,
                  61.40533913489546,
                  33.593435616626365,
                  49.9797491806833,
                  28.61162565694291,
                  52.57079574240164,
                  40.1302652183906,
                  25.944780600589212,
                  36.33269981791278,
                  33.36058279949394,
                  29.47311498630555,
                  24.42917675059057
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  29.83323453860368,
                  38.88077881844172,
                  26.1795875687868,
                  36.08822373966346,
                  249.9992360568139,
                  38.426875463916396,
                  39.04498825040786,
                  38.65484959473932,
                  21.062619481737414,
                  26.341700917326186,
                  23.043072155361166,
                  23.761208131674348,
                  35.758076339617475,
                  65.51443181552213,
                  28.07427178189838,
                  41.19686340465451,
                  28.3419383709928,
                  45.95970122915301,
                  42.821914300357065,
                  27.103313627542445,
                  35.0043497136804,
                  30.34929072242817,
                  36.1179019010588,
                  32.50133398998652
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.441507113525163,
              "rpss": 0.025758950732231556,
              "brier_below": 0.22292561701055455,
              "bss_below": 0.016186264300548703,
              "brier_above": 0.21858149634330523,
              "bss_above": 0.035331894071165104,
              "crps": 41.006176199618785,
              "crpss": 0.09318475040774798,
              "crps_fair": 39.12914194606342,
              "crpss_fair": 0.09707168655675269
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4126374187549155,
                  0.36732578727497406,
                  0.35708999706059286,
                  0.3342531569340038,
                  0.29536631054017204,
                  0.35448603377068627,
                  0.31931968923093296,
                  0.5710728840422955,
                  0.3548733912804227,
                  0.3501669018730596,
                  0.36501933330741326,
                  0.42508239928597114,
                  0.42750712588293777,
                  0.4647773801499148,
                  0.41898519697373915,
                  0.5040674189497293,
                  0.4038098371095501,
                  0.5153593113804017,
                  0.4461216973173519,
                  0.33303894818186913,
                  0.4945637771606947,
                  0.5049718898419965,
                  0.27683904766085254,
                  0.4153447810047222
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48190550000573357,
                  0.4447116445242348,
                  0.39122568096409477,
                  0.5314846969938783,
                  0.5463137956783318,
                  0.5246370465888529,
                  0.46799085520133354,
                  0.4301833029814578,
                  0.3790308872213789,
                  0.3760295940535084,
                  0.36571087481860687,
                  0.4071905851059967,
                  0.5346883511508412,
                  0.5378418848789392,
                  0.39758042315298353,
                  0.42189702405901625,
                  0.3563103597455807,
                  0.5447213097764745,
                  0.4681166137581803,
                  0.3573140644587983,
                  0.4646548700920834,
                  0.443550454531998,
                  0.4892057891747856,
                  0.5235515129376195
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3168115087697567,
                  0.11724965591191072,
                  0.256443135303041,
                  0.2829925216045918,
                  0.0571995956578847,
                  0.2881058113083944,
                  0.26256539164607473,
                  0.19999331168551904,
                  0.21887252857290465,
                  0.10952337617959404,
                  0.21581918186679175,
                  0.14939643057890156,
                  0.3516966118834398,
                  0.09982428452979347,
                  0.2787775747169758,
                  0.17899464376658025,
                  0.17691093146537373,
                  0.40755160356057046,
                  0.1287018899994309,
                  0.1220755423472771,
                  0.12576673577386474,
                  0.16889961057781563,
                  0.04857363736794044,
                  0.3393106108589198
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3519612903999631,
                  0.14955802970751203,
                  0.2601871534110402,
                  0.4105017057194249,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.39624369138262994,
                  0.3443603210875784,
                  0.12682101259329223,
                  0.2099793080182162,
                  0.1262687532682766,
                  0.2039124110213452,
                  0.13844673123024703,
                  0.4137053598763879,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.264430544340142,
                  0.12679414888912763,
                  0.17861675021890278,
                  0.42373831850202115,
                  0.13731870409752048,
                  0.14687327559600188,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.14271630161606835,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.40256852166316615
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.09582591355136633,
                  0.250076131536386,
                  0.10064686488994269,
                  0.05126063625285925,
                  0.23816671600686562,
                  0.06638022347075463,
                  0.05675429803468875,
                  0.3710795713661399,
                  0.13600086379803478,
                  0.24064352654619792,
                  0.14920015357566985,
                  0.27568596702433773,
                  0.07581051588547921,
                  0.3649530925116425,
                  0.140207628509425,
                  0.32507277255880945,
                  0.22689890586787,
                  0.10780771094771512,
                  0.31741980146653126,
                  0.2109634060962559,
                  0.3687970322499358,
                  0.3360722776126532,
                  0.22826541258570088,
                  0.07603417308154688
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1299442096057706,
                  0.29515361481672286,
                  0.13103852755305465,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4253308044038785,
                  0.12839335520622294,
                  0.12363053411375528,
                  0.3033622903881658,
                  0.16905157920316274,
                  0.24976084078523186,
                  0.16179846379726168,
                  0.26874385387575,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.4168588936044859,
                  0.13314987881284177,
                  0.2951028751698888,
                  0.1776936095266779,
                  0.12098299127445337,
                  0.3307979096606601,
                  0.21044078886279646,
                  0.34367187881763017,
                  0.3008341529159299,
                  0.3682227979003325,
                  0.12098299127445337
                ],
                "crps": [
                  36.76713496170086,
                  44.259757416545796,
                  27.327023668682834,
                  30.208395751645238,
                  239.89958857540813,
                  37.82399386942744,
                  26.88625307790302,
                  53.333017134670285,
                  26.877166301588726,
                  34.36260050265208,
                  29.742506155946742,
                  37.82903805736216,
                  43.03027808565395,
                  91.58059676675977,
                  35.378853715997444,
                  54.14010547114304,
                  36.47677135173038,
                  67.48528075766974,
                  70.13083900618194,
                  30.942665517621023,
                  54.58555480972448,
                  40.6572208007384,
                  42.32060577559819,
                  36.39405705500372
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  44.818392114890194,
                  49.555903283487574,
                  30.675020158925083,
                  53.94868480057281,
                  354.7381681248423,
                  56.058574286857095,
                  40.89964859325192,
                  41.88472808521825,
                  29.960563688835595,
                  35.58986358112118,
                  28.725216146584827,
                  36.06632699048634,
                  54.26159742058326,
                  101.57427145824482,
                  32.681017126544084,
                  48.797086589560294,
                  29.95440091470073,
                  69.17206276014227,
                  74.3649830088615,
                  31.00618674826232,
                  52.67156510791567,
                  36.916850791140064,
                  58.698649883439046,
                  47.73367692323706
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  34.4414963613502,
                  41.04675807872244,
                  24.948625816534395,
                  28.294101622069324,
                  236.80810020698783,
                  35.812879322693185,
                  24.87472446838316,
                  51.24222412105326,
                  24.70480385393383,
                  31.676034959240095,
                  27.402299799454504,
                  35.406194544893,
                  40.810579736872725,
                  88.9178158593694,
                  32.78500088226145,
                  51.92822539914535,
                  33.622403737283534,
                  65.1322551827512,
                  67.63417836968044,
                  28.11807824217639,
                  52.1317223185064,
                  38.307946798893276,
                  38.411471477919605,
                  34.2073987979386
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.28827155959033,
                  47.03475528721915,
                  28.118112914314686,
                  51.435856466268575,
                  352.79501684228853,
                  53.54974195536778,
                  38.362106175221676,
                  39.349051348043986,
                  27.402303306971245,
                  33.04226475208313,
                  26.16461609134499,
                  33.51963055426904,
                  51.74936172381692,
                  99.15164309867102,
                  30.1279091186148,
                  46.27450144046246,
                  27.396128860915656,
                  66.68806658106446,
                  71.89082190601232,
                  28.449906713101416,
                  50.156317986314725,
                  34.37176519545435,
                  56.19481769512508,
                  45.209077740680264
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.40466998812371663,
              "rpss": 0.10782508643989897,
              "brier_below": 0.20425233858055614,
              "bss_below": 0.0987101778425129,
              "brier_above": 0.20041764980945034,
              "bss_above": 0.11692664253247909,
              "crps": 51.184971024473136,
              "crpss": 0.1473632672419436,
              "crps_fair": 48.69438833158807,
              "crpss_fair": 0.1535839353582551
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.39729166890300865,
                  0.42001514755975605,
                  0.5019492877358223,
                  0.32705864937053836,
                  0.4731993642437394,
                  0.40234630273289557,
                  0.41332415713232595,
                  0.6217470989549637
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.417659603071558,
                  0.42114839455105046,
                  0.5533032498091346,
                  0.4473076683297933,
                  0.4625683790499464,
                  0.41678104095296603,
                  0.5158924310312171,
                  0.42890011506153497
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22468789286854252,
                  0.2216729639386332,
                  0.1113748328719177,
                  0.23629465012500103,
                  0.2512330904303414,
                  0.2336832622045543,
                  0.12370763678741696,
                  0.25485421233222755
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23401701276525544,
                  0.2189631813755131,
                  0.11111111773384957,
                  0.3104494178140245,
                  0.2504465951343465,
                  0.24187001637124075,
                  0.1452369658843232,
                  0.14026665735763472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17260377907946328,
                  0.19834218143459337,
                  0.39057441956010586,
                  0.09076400774632716,
                  0.22196627047650022,
                  0.16866305037572085,
                  0.28961649907532877,
                  0.36689286678732597
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18364259720487727,
                  0.20218521675843326,
                  0.4421920927416047,
                  0.1368582657800341,
                  0.2121217857216985,
                  0.17491103304162547,
                  0.37065543860496475,
                  0.28863344582864725
                ],
                "crps": [
                  25.999082056445204,
                  24.235827665611012,
                  94.37513086633805,
                  19.350952073988754,
                  31.289385013818038,
                  25.036012354827736,
                  85.21100374890722,
                  52.15262349381755
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.991938244042803,
                  27.156682952757507,
                  116.99857569796765,
                  25.68956435022059,
                  33.64072492622825,
                  25.925245138455825,
                  110.35729933852919,
                  38.12777562837381
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  24.350048305292617,
                  22.74666331884085,
                  92.1681097248741,
                  17.84655050405515,
                  29.732322294260605,
                  23.181649731010886,
                  82.92302084468028,
                  50.75324944309969
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.186278935163696,
                  25.3510236438784,
                  115.19291638908858,
                  23.883905041341485,
                  31.83506561734916,
                  24.11958582957673,
                  108.55164002965007,
                  36.322116319494704
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4446164595791312,
              "rpss": 0.029105345499293778,
              "brier_below": 0.20718856769482935,
              "bss_below": -0.003115286086538438,
              "brier_above": 0.2374278843169207,
              "bss_above": 0.0555771718654382,
              "crps": 44.7062521592192,
              "crpss": 0.11448176519386966,
              "crps_fair": 42.96270177076427,
              "crpss_fair": 0.11745229116954314
            },
            "ondj_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3950649485291537,
                  0.3089597813240907,
                  0.29164460866200215,
                  0.3552468163598276,
                  0.38420867029323036,
                  0.40063077525394375,
                  0.2914837136341932,
                  0.385569681632191
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.37168678111891346,
                  0.40830734552865355,
                  0.5514955812695821,
                  0.4122454531264281,
                  0.5073582366943469,
                  0.42296825285318396,
                  0.5480141639602464,
                  0.3433109747399186
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15889132465759065,
                  0.24214782721847336,
                  0.053308917294307055,
                  0.2418830271385409,
                  0.31742515457229,
                  0.29102160845067593,
                  0.05471106813900307,
                  0.22264688317221815
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13710719771935653,
                  0.28966613712444955,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.26920158326246535,
                  0.3962471388287118,
                  0.3008762153923436,
                  0.11169127068708512,
                  0.1645095887434772
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2361736193338625,
                  0.06681196515829083,
                  0.23833566094673575,
                  0.11336379850833399,
                  0.06678352907189347,
                  0.10960918201788891,
                  0.2367726153746148,
                  0.16292279849054042
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23457958118988842,
                  0.11864122692593004,
                  0.44038442452528814,
                  0.14304388402215332,
                  0.11111111773384952,
                  0.12209205536551032,
                  0.43632285498898205,
                  0.17880139376069062
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.995911171568096,
                  21.72669181602193,
                  101.41320780064956,
                  25.67989789418862,
                  34.513862075383095,
                  29.762734486674077,
                  118.59530138769651,
                  30.14050760092589
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.91091499200625,
                  33.39002587790927,
                  163.85395380251938,
                  30.317658032788415,
                  46.77514464531494,
                  32.16405989901042,
                  178.02911191569987,
                  27.619913058663098
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  29.77646067972959,
                  19.792874561066355,
                  97.93717215597025,
                  23.55523633450597,
                  32.46889862925973,
                  27.509837237668773,
                  115.17255397912815,
                  28.22148612077917
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.513828107781922,
                  30.99293899368493,
                  161.45686691829505,
                  27.920571148564072,
                  44.378057761090616,
                  29.766973014786096,
                  175.6320250314755,
                  25.22282617443876
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.35160112446107905,
              "rpss": 0.2110788641117498,
              "brier_below": 0.1977544763303874,
              "bss_below": 0.11142063403941327,
              "brier_above": 0.1538466461127701,
              "bss_above": 0.3104821590943925,
              "crps": 49.22851427913847,
              "crpss": 0.2734613402258139,
              "crps_fair": 46.8043149622635,
              "crpss_fair": 0.28390530731410457
            }
          }
        }
      }
    }
  },
  "tests": {
    "ls": {
      "rps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -8.372227197123161e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.010097731382242663,
              0.00965894137536314
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.493265,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.012688986824787668,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.020981034289496048,
              -0.00577839735960483
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.0078125,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0010498734005704006,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.009610315022366074,
              0.011413090527847804
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.573505,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.006626563459529597,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006150085540669267,
              0.018983695176851105
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.828125,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.001639877817779629,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.010466491255822162,
              0.006478877635442534
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.35683,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.004410178010706048,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.016737077928896796,
              0.007362959648160708
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.2578125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00032766243766334247,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.018588883332502967,
              0.01916096473248099
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.512585,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.021825043766180725,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.06026676024828071,
              0.01610302034737035
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.16015625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0010031705652923557,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.008414491781308535,
              0.010186605671814066
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.58124,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001941339015342415,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.01512335664964612,
              0.015388039628832978
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.58203125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0013444396625677303,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.008803997298363743,
              0.011104580400058543
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.6006,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.015250022886512789,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.021692192341140684,
              -0.008362645233701975
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.0078125,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0012068007582723191,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.010276619452048361,
              0.007774712561780385
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.39798,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.003945801816832115,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005101782532238835,
              0.012100415516476271
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.796875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.002489862602775224,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.010015130882098808,
              0.004535109612197666
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.261945,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.003692794048086775,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.013113487881382828,
              0.005624459161146411
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.2421875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00122756390065303,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.014259010144158472,
              0.01644664211554874
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.558625,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.018340006819371403,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.05125466081679511,
              0.014651394479143301
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.1640625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0021215561528466066,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006768467089623612,
              0.011297328185696544
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.6721,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00043080831772306094,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.014254749962962762,
              0.0144476510727486
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.5234375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0014281622380340787,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004760879189100627,
              0.001608807326804885
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.20307,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00256103569704956,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0012660887090645417,
              0.007482165726036081
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.796875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0022566742326068957,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0013234989499109767,
              0.006324837956318686
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.852675,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0026807617754177164,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005571467010264054,
              0.012556111295378246
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.71875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0008499848836635935,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008251915579349093,
              0.002492811665537679
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.835655,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0007173838495092132,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004721041937128688,
              0.0024790400517687387
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.39453125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0008999016537471916,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004960817771551618,
              0.003194913681697408
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.34167,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00348503774641281,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.008746994876569783,
              0.0020620454672685994
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.1484375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0011183856698006786,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0036435768652536018,
              0.0014635626573504114
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.21103,
            "years_better": 17,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0015105304782125975,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004618990170466145,
              0.009144649859984623
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.65625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.4145865246460134,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.38467977822950855,
              1.2781513823897483
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.81771,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.1587057417496962,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.024209352627805,
              1.6935408987063365
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.5625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.22145091924798832,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.02358618002260569,
              0.40182052707455485
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.980515,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.7737134943891677,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.04164363145360973,
              2.063009515198064
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9140625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.2655304741437064,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.11946976240692403,
              0.4083402011620385
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99836,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.3839177954850754,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.13877657080824674,
              0.5801935899337156
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9921875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.4865588415416939,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.07781275529221081,
              1.0030779476531821
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.94389,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.4228810537835925,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.6034404347350457,
              1.4921151147346057
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.7578125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.012308789710664255,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.2797235024916664,
              1.2322613830696019
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.49184,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 2.363596079659545,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.2907003874525205,
              6.874850135623544
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.79296875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "vs": {
      "rps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 7.233438917825703e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007552041157084338,
              0.0008386288997342654
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.56665,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0006917929212198887,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00040461283800703046,
              0.0015840162919931603
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.87890625,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0005931362718150553,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0013383866146213328,
              0.00011796440490006871
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.06991,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0007866599767897414,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001967888718316993,
              0.00018033753504832133
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.11328125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00058412761517349,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003094378487279265,
              0.001908675713281349
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.325855,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0005028108077200291,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0035758879328937837,
              0.003341859468693495
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.38671875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -9.929471428843604e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008953148276022611,
              0.0007200720737266492
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.40601,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0016755874874809507,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002757374875877084,
              -0.0005435178081485137
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.015625,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -8.913460353305683e-06,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0017906431728941213,
              0.00164607324618415
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.4938,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00025987817103162447,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0019673801920218723,
              0.002027204867320935
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.60546875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -2.185684496361998e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008813115975662135,
              0.000792511434774585
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.47914,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0006378971480046156,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0005449909366549779,
              0.0015582378425327654
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.84375,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0005547477826098888,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0012244287387380036,
              0.00010498104588823408
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.065605,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0008295530467073153,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00203234118296851,
              0.00015018063192280404
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.10546875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00014295878729389186,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0018608962754988031,
              0.0016303459225357727
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.435305,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0007772240572763746,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00262136518295908,
              0.0015771327523651513
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.2578125,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00012044621065520425,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0006496565273195711,
              0.0004418273615706629
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.337565,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0006854278358874588,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0013656879634052954,
              -2.708380423890877e-05
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.0625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00029307715540982486,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002121165505900821,
              0.0014070627416247446
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.373425,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -3.6209472239178905e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002249233408328938,
              0.0018080999339656501
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.48828125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 9.419123146589432e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -9.17694680184501e-05,
              0.00028242405286077135
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.83089,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 5.389580887061457e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00013797494980194948,
              0.00022650959014261838
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.6953125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -3.838853175576647e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00020803917750880763,
              0.00010395157736238965
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.35335,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 4.289307570332079e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -3.940682781222961e-05,
              0.00012272590363796002
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.828125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00044116880082525493,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0014334358835850311,
              0.00047996250949660193
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.194515,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0002744133512174486,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0014080996627186136,
              0.0019512559354425945
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.7421875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 2.1151520892173068e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00046519490051934853,
              0.0005344793226980818
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.52887,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.000990159742426432,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0017276657376716887,
              -0.0001404999197107213
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.02734375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0002841636570560975,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              4.678998451662332e-05,
              0.0005756685372476958
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.98456,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0002960876929603666,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00010865271506379895,
              0.0004953826735240342
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.98828125,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.06744327691574137,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.037948348149254706,
              0.1651698686157413
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.89313,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.08392566120658751,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.08206701523842448,
              0.23914295288313792
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.83203125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.046366920804132884,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.016574210787691755,
              0.08171129609834149
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.997335,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.018330211156802,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.10568586846544226,
              0.043113680305415555
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.41796875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.02209751273080618,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.05579054043035256,
              0.012881242631177556
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.111,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.003683074684371457,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.06764947722040693,
              0.05877951718231142
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.44921875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.2398149444158377,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.3698516536754492,
              -0.11399002088428192
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.001245,
            "years_better": 16,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.34306661026233326,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.6217264590562613,
              -0.046665914553298216
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.0390625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.07221,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.335613864250026,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.041862165666372866,
              0.6743565336696176
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.978875,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.18880434299335347,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.9836561543064453,
              0.4782942149003627
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.31640625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "sqrt_mvs": {
      "rps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0004157441379747685,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0021141701931703468,
              0.0013608116465863196
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.32367,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.001617084161412298,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0052969949730258216,
              0.002360766823720439
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.234375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.004269669686979492,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.012006700907684385,
              0.003550190277005384
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.146765,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0036954242551338334,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.018280796398606716,
              0.008339885399420575
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.3046875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0020837887463152328,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.01036488427914754,
              0.005888915999677163
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.31186,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0008509328042266909,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0117511846773189,
              0.012397546239975616
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.58203125,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0027893792373475715,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0178808384172905,
              0.011239086848756425
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.35843,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.02115955899613419,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.04373051389134223,
              -0.0001008107828067415
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.05859375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00042736944659701667,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0026488031296081323,
              0.001692930212161718
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.34952,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.002357458794719103,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006936791953808325,
              0.0017413324863432898
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.171875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0007121190942492479,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002552881455102681,
              0.0011989219111735315
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.23398,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.002927708577522961,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00492294559143194,
              -0.000958139927041036
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.015625,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.003300960960239721,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.007379123576789399,
              0.0010662145774401333
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.07258,
            "years_better": 17,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0005408509764183809,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005851008788013507,
              0.004530179202660385
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.4296875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.002023430920602126,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004417811338170621,
              0.0005587184654867398
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.06919,
            "years_better": 17,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0023016554279008342,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.008049039423177548,
              0.0028104400600139053
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.23046875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0012019426762592763,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.009764528069739256,
              0.006940477966306497
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.390395,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.01608682665836675,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.03340267370284772,
              0.0001661234816688062
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.05859375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0006226405177331388,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0023646043099246174,
              0.0012165705274798271
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.25356,
            "years_better": 17,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0015386908532952128,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005248582223824884,
              0.002060491102586565
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.23828125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0002963750014684507,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0016783484876704768,
              0.002401726400186049
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.607025,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0013106240569231153,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00136295255056009,
              0.004249780420120922
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.78125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.000968708755789,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005710536479845065,
              0.003236700509314434
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.34529,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0031545730541849976,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.013274643990474027,
              0.004745284109214435
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.25,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -6.0358048329298836e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006446356626181563,
              0.0061972307978695376
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.490825,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.003152589039371956,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.007295724380237583,
              0.011954377810555463
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.72265625,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.001587436310392996,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.009418943655761557,
              0.005320586007099338
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.351635,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.005072732732763466,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.01187210261748871,
              0.0029312150495427514
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.1171875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00019527118523287278,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0012576734581110998,
              0.0017529353425462554
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.5965,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0008187682558345108,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0025351402812759977,
              0.001020127849112423
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.19921875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.22711505709398563,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.4788066603214818,
              0.027928433162479654
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.04878,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0148847351931789,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.3256497542250101,
              0.29297960323044764
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.4609375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.09306064706471229,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.22071540398738487,
              0.04584363336447563
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.09548,
            "years_better": 16,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.10491778612099378,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.3004210133805425,
              0.11890142248394761
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.19921875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.06525701305902366,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.10821507705476709,
              -0.021069129149955058
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.004775,
            "years_better": 20,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.03337265379191212,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0946415928653765,
              0.02553883199868967
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.17578125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.272175,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.4786897475521504,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.721745010312918,
              -0.2512569525967227
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.000355,
            "years_better": 18,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.6902295325749415,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.2345291144738482,
              -0.10916206198048578
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.04296875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.020945000000000002,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": true
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.4322551784958322,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.7455289474302509,
              -0.1258197159599668
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.006455,
            "years_better": 18,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.5667236924334138,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.0324416402996117,
              -0.013812607357840857
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.04296875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.36147999999999997,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "pt": {
      "rps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0002716349881916417,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003977043929556159,
              0.004199641669028755
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.549825,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0002758755060738305,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004711199517794835,
              0.005586349939187887
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.546875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0005627184065375365,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002740349371733956,
              0.0038433585598837403
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.62537,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0017099719308570002,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0039634291181956174,
              0.0003409282328792023
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.11328125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.001074876067061759,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005124741319451707,
              0.0027340024633493824
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.304255,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0015197527387158377,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005000271431322532,
              0.0020219917957137604
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.22265625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0008845224344669889,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.014381910927369014,
              0.011774355199002643
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.44836,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.014003251486551849,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.02921089845844515,
              -0.0005320207394785099
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.05859375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00038991378330306,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006123697672354077,
              0.00714072478528493
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.544555,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -1.9582035288116806e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00840588870645347,
              0.007991526061452855
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.5,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00011859133642260339,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001978008353419142,
              0.0018262950051980743
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.451215,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.003093256459512122,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005266496069981795,
              -0.001106716135733103
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.015625,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0011314286062101577,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005115603040663336,
              0.0029496339104781864
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.294295,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0010282883914306245,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004598928851609125,
              0.0023737522346140216
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.30859375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0016669740977170635,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0037791088623915425,
              0.0004511098177526003
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.07287,
            "years_better": 16,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0036210868257259034,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.008203783911721742,
              0.0006111575700919153
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.1015625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0011918630685900666,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.008798720873467891,
              0.0058389988044845595
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.37895,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.013717934650920333,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.03029510529842364,
              0.002093374010502739
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.08203125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -6.308204218113753e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003565266162669591,
              0.0033176235997051137
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.484625,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.000736765966638209,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0040395893223258445,
              0.005241131032082817
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.62109375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00039022618466513667,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003646205921862319,
              0.004347771110539019
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.573705,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0033691312057808898,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0010125285989696132,
              0.008310481999171282
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.87890625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0016941470537255269,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0013824096516453243,
              0.004728469159367949
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.858465,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0006816836952738652,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0051768386238655794,
              0.0032409902394543756
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.37890625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0005920978379506756,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0038070884674819747,
              0.00479575815704247
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.60315,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002101334834286905,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002974639061222837,
              0.006587025904340009
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.78515625,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00030734081474535015,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.008641909526947402,
              0.009034055871184568
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.525545,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00028531584944465997,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005338047000658843,
              0.004735472724700913
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.49609375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0004529959477475581,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003057424695032729,
              0.004190262385726298
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.59249,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0007563487947582232,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004978027891011254,
              0.003842553297391797
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.39453125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.08730339129016433,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.5094972604843573,
              0.3457797385578163
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.34691,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.3015598397078596,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.2124640850003019,
              0.8414390598836763
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.85546875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.04724039975010308,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.12804604930183408,
              0.24065897051239474
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.68405,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.1643728914160283,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.41082192534104256,
              0.10702858944615543
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.13671875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.06306603179705489,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.025810977308148693,
              0.14134993500981544
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.918655,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.13772119587015363,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.03652606229919679,
              0.24384696057197341
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.98046875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.13427296846006107,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.3608997865591556,
              0.09542296575050915
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.13174,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.341645827901594,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.7968322344137602,
              0.1900433970519403
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.1171875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.028466642877065833,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.6692806956165996,
              0.6481567029571829
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.46626,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.49566554089947124,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.0937860423763612,
              0.1497343843386927
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.08984375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "dc": {
      "rps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.003969833667387783,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005677826155084557,
              0.013655940959658202
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.777345,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.01220739303250766,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0023327281368141443,
              0.022331151329520044
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.97265625,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002432797331614107,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.014204683247874987,
              0.018257509791349543
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.61236,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.021119324902321747,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008542411013884757,
              0.04707302945230549
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.921875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001434712120963015,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006392193437538967,
              0.009365835688534437
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.63406,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.003952182270649925,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.01564904957192065,
              0.006216055871315136
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.28515625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0031636306988331955,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0056892255005032534,
              0.011600326740297465
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.74731,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.011622904504047342,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.03422123826907676,
              0.008847223101326726
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.18359375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0061595748456339215,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.008681747039872808,
              0.020423750674662355
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.782555,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.020948570279594188,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0026176580943862012,
              0.05089197512243058
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.84765625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0023506764695928814,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004026353651997403,
              0.008640963095635239
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.76109,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.006677612360401824,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0022296856841303504,
              0.01175234628833643
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.98828125,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0036931967965919675,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.013437002591015495,
              0.0050933939148172114
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.227325,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.009257030013905833,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0019729351049575647,
              0.015071156903263438
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.98046875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0008556569024549485,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0058255977843911285,
              0.004060516591663398
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.37355,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00014368826408209766,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.009105568159487227,
              0.008729951443715474
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.49609375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0016950886586715775,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004789243099723217,
              0.007897540056429083
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.68827,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.011195661710113356,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.03049355884933742,
              0.0066579215369754275
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.16015625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002614762072415579,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005841737212709657,
              0.01092724158080702
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.71867,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.003496681515856536,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008908623528778338,
              0.007799580152902178
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9140625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0016191562996924046,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003001973267873191,
              0.006268849776181766
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.739785,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.005529780057345855,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0009111709767969887,
              0.012259807170987657
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.921875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.006125994355418888,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0027829783526297208,
              0.015660509734827924
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.89385,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.01186229367612609,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.007344071856859475,
              0.03631197314877674
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.76953125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0022903689579080837,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0018635936731679179,
              0.006660428897049678
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.840655,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.003808494630237493,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.007312376485498636,
              -0.0009399701320493498
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.0234375,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0014685420011533335,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002168666327821887,
              0.005015478253414615
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.773795,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00042724298205291424,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0041962155086762935,
              0.0031129060093348197
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.4140625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0035448129354030944,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004679187903702185,
              0.012244629489273464
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.77847,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0174518862008997,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004064428983442943,
              0.04432120863163409
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.81640625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.6772019189375399,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.6000557517357736,
              0.18439776944697442
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.081095,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.9371616255994062,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.2289175922987768,
              2.404863540988868
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.83984375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.01580964070062592,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.5716920592904338,
              0.5015471007822684
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.477665,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.9471249096301142,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.4198285972514394,
              2.7380372908841544
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.7734375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.019413347225943973,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.17086897361634157,
              0.23030300986964147
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.57277,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.066849188992186,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.3489657924155152,
              0.2880069992907944
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.37890625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.005349572688580606,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.4675257492884631,
              0.4111333697652936
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.489185,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.19203146560008952,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.1276894072225891,
              0.9749688163085707
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.3828125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -1.0435208311334991,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -2.3826418267210845,
              0.3371649124703153
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.07584,
            "years_better": 16,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 3.2167202639015517,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.2167121682503257,
              9.206063306963314
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.76171875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "loci": {
      "rps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00018006311924524676,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.007530869834756051,
              0.007662637327050381
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.517485,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.007599535145624663,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.01453505252038851,
              -0.0007497184898447119
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.04296875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0011925360644576694,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.009959574240880908,
              0.007235949503432857
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.395165,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.009964881736635789,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0032680825619428706,
              0.01710929201572528
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9921875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0014695699475786885,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.013584982811942384,
              0.010056181935605266
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.40581,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.005166758285165579,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.02011915528533975,
              0.010186681256906641
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.265625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 5.9262761360034943e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.018129380875367276,
              0.018342795109294017
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.50168,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.021435756372378288,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0591227509913283,
              0.01583356286772792
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.15625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0010815850078459144,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.008601152974786903,
              0.010478113769776724
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.58508,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001928770448240795,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.015740605390251697,
              0.01564623664365916
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.57421875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0011622907871668084,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006927236721119131,
              0.008828931512896434
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.60982,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.010409141139884854,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.016257978035864318,
              -0.0031638465977348734
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.015625,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0028523376950359003,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.010383157013647098,
              0.004547141169261171
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.234575,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.008018884514452115,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0023925542418176456,
              0.013216287382939952
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9765625,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.002027545126434251,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.010751113960446805,
              0.005939922299702516
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.323785,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0040121693773554085,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.013929644711527531,
              0.005672947226445395
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.234375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0009035766568098435,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.013828202197516416,
              0.015329204537656816
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.545325,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.017739349139648187,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.04955578993645875,
              0.014067429029619539
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.171875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002216520613701063,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006944394325106386,
              0.011655174824127123
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.674285,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0002618670688155165,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.014963389548721144,
              0.014546278899140471
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.515625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0009822280186448293,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004244464463568132,
              0.002113720594873698
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.28276,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0028096054917755367,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007450196896933006,
              0.007432821157527261
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.80078125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0016598016604391253,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0010667148199926607,
              0.00487193608450042
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8334,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0019459972223058938,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00344768356644647,
              0.008489731589805673
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.73046875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0005579751367510549,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003392411896320998,
              0.004604622440240493
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.60148,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0011545894273002656,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.007287864695172159,
              0.005874444936541652
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.328125,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0008443141001153384,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0050345609796262755,
              0.0034773188337825635
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.35433,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0036964081196976875,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.009255058887205278,
              0.0023602861977905284
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.13671875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.001134935684423478,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003765797983149282,
              0.001557324656936926
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.21699,
            "years_better": 16,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0016669031686187882,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004710531945436256,
              0.009649329509911157
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.671875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.4168784504900598,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.38649703668756363,
              1.2926744701183341
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.81661,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.22614275565452413,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.002722385798772,
              1.8302557504348254
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.58203125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.09508578652915778,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0682953215760858,
              0.25732006290283943
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.861625,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.5652892724639726,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.09443639169113911,
              1.608411802820184
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.859375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.13570035582911774,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0009879787687719092,
              0.26702250038793174
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.964605,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.21736190711430498,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.020108865352184365,
              0.43086301539919025
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9375,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.3245580799259075,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.19847741575394184,
              0.8192361814603254
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.874945,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.15141836773292866,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.8588298610085475,
              1.1848676892918957
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.609375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.01374125776867056,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.2961469519397206,
              1.289272983225621
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.50702,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 2.387749281048648,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.3282718330580536,
              6.979921338814916
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.79296875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "eqm": {
      "rps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.004848769083833068,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002263347468332983,
              0.011757394927793532
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.90079,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.011567738369874535,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.007480638549148282,
              0.015432315387405174
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002712387226052435,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0060486875432674645,
              0.011169577226265463
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.72966,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.007691689400665273,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0011468020409862885,
              0.01636318992987567
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.921875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0008297093413892018,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.009837460994902453,
              0.007840930635331662
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.429035,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.003591724743127994,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.014671966024000413,
              0.008739376603264924
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.29296875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0016298878781982075,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.01266511174228506,
              0.015519447951580037
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.58385,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.02569383441233817,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.05475882271059742,
              0.0011619473982006079
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.08203125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.005104943744052639,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0027266083331760915,
              0.013087019650740835
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.886805,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.005928709891973458,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00243288123139027,
              0.0152465293090858
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8515625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0020379850285271004,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0026790409562267798,
              0.006702577368989961
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.79546,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.008501723412688355,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.006134477702739087,
              0.010628052065089783
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0023647104463586327,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006491523558961469,
              0.0016861391807119128
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.138945,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.006416787333764483,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0010398930602887638,
              0.010908906694923896
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9765625,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0015289665626672833,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005986130066703677,
              0.0024948253925741377
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.2552,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0005345681760583598,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005700847995389103,
              0.004483301329699469
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.421875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0006211338094824522,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.007866575722889206,
              0.008861048257247532
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.554485,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.01963249002491827,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.041805813182626356,
              0.0019649477373551334
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.078125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0026506916608828647,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0010904636905581938,
              0.004152358438955096
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99848,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0020420303582896933,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00017221954153615743,
              0.004911561786977617
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0028107838259076295,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              4.592075875182854e-05,
              0.00545085697918937
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.969085,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0030660145723987314,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0006940440599387081,
              0.005942180681271277
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.98046875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.005077097774808526,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0003613485150590454,
              0.010715390196911803
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.95664,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0012749009278755531,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004903957195456149,
              0.007645747842388611
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.6484375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0006992571231947622,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00455165741520551,
              0.00619569516001897
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.596145,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0030571575352770636,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00958619578990921,
              0.005451437356224105
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.25390625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001008754131668255,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006085350509606046,
              0.007619027419702715
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.605425,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0060613451302655216,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0135530874921841,
              0.0015314159034904872
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.08984375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00245425228415366,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0044550804941203455,
              0.009681442146468804
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.743365,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.003886677518709459,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004588047705069191,
              0.013651085491360834
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.7421875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.3181993303536099,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.20237953263882577,
              0.8268941984608945
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.878175,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.8065829075361459,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.3549964263405436,
              1.2729949886904528
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99609375,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.18570696336872353,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.17344520395492952,
              0.5676335768087267
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.82693,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00669920426496029,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.41782377177945107,
              0.4528800879718125
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.48828125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.032997424748230204,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.17621315376007265,
              0.11817309163700514
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.335665,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.08726544701843192,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.3002285896855313,
              0.1760739336080931
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.25390625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.33746337691180317,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.6082385544009004,
              -0.08325213223960397
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.01164,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.7405691311664753,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.3057623969807741,
              -0.14013061014548503
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.03515625,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.62856,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.7790832677062108,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.3456669033759859,
              2.060266685154506
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.86649,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.4905028048674618,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.0975903193314704,
              2.524226764779745
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.63671875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "gqm": {
      "rps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0007471232765005401,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0040756141472726715,
              0.0025225770503832863
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.33037,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002512895434529684,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0009141817717459062,
              0.005991596981955859
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.90234375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0015042961230398815,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006887370453849209,
              0.0033056449398143097
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.28747,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0014939603474723728,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.010411356399465752,
              0.008478829264014576
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.40234375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0015424845832497254,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006350961258698583,
              0.0035630360733039127
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.274325,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.005684463048960232,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0019517817868792628,
              0.012521521873580327
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.90625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0017355462065610043,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.013104340831364974,
              0.008945842157594797
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.38706,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.009208717717905074,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.01741116147758507,
              -0.0011856999675041774
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.046875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.000564320792336827,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0033269289937835696,
              0.002210093004337486
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.34394,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0033322047124815235,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.009508979715178724,
              0.002478610768368923
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.171875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0009492943003474591,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0027306643013081957,
              0.000807320495498904
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.15993,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0008033157326847781,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.000689886919537596,
              0.002101673817260234
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.82421875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0030083001445918855,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005887705740503684,
              -0.00023111981846048895
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.026425,
            "years_better": 16,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0013682344798911453,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006736975449175047,
              0.004751894283108715
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.33984375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0016088778751011407,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004737067743020366,
              0.0014690329759593451
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.16785,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.003448601965106197,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007020987840224174,
              0.007391682802884655
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.90625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0009636846632016255,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005673145039554485,
              0.0036173561858263334
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.34593,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.008405853234163421,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.016505956709979293,
              -0.0009458630271712884
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.046875,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0007077313710139955,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003185258673075201,
              0.001899206144070535
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.29662,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0023301006768645556,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.007364359089582018,
              0.002943981765654911
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.2109375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00020217092143232662,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0021120542134033804,
              0.0026009034280812192
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.56492,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001709579163508449,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001146980262151142,
              0.004663237836021558
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.859375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001504004016722009,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0014480582275539038,
              0.004090369750509766
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.842515,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00012572549857988238,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004795534537386334,
              0.004379476791997425
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.48828125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 6.639302445672797e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00254226452033566,
              0.0026270501782902833
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.518205,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0022358611881420527,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002069342721393601,
              0.005788710306953807
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8359375,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0007718615534402888,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.008600270698878957,
              0.006230381937611207
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.425725,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0008028637736886765,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006383924360328863,
              0.004127093219064331
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.40234375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00014341075418918917,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001584731548151606,
              0.0019405221755186858
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.559975,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0010021043553674579,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0032413901996091064,
              0.001198056641468486
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.2109375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.26307647655202454,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.5874767263561066,
              0.0591753615107814
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.06537,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.008164295889612427,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.3854620996598773,
              0.36440434739726724
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.484375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0645510399822971,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.22887285265596122,
              0.11197334603514025
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.237045,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.15521896000424573,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.36929435305601555,
              0.06511835685144146
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.109375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.015274758771851174,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.06198339371278141,
              0.031781995862298115
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.27691,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.017750809578890248,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.04799409466626746,
              0.08493722365360279
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.6875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.36450127025718854,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.5364818210779835,
              -0.1985095079415079
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.00014,
            "years_better": 19,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.5286013242609686,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.8939599849568448,
              -0.11874786576348295
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.0234375,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.0084,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": true
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.5235307721624923,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.9227651271201447,
              -0.1397068358556625
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.00743,
            "years_better": 18,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.7093343563433288,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.3054412457009623,
              0.024327856867150912
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.05859375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.40865,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "dqm": {
      "rps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.004411533971330202,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0030024379167171863,
              0.011622569575141373
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.86999,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.010385120010224257,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0038441617790859885,
              0.017658105222676357
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9921875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0055465001872752025,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006515183939237396,
              0.017281827705204887
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.81167,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.014928317276096607,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0013834751441932427,
              0.034912225746608905
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.88671875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0008515137956220479,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006758838187414415,
              0.0086334013281052
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.581625,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.002451340247228574,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.012387744749591461,
              0.008487921201843726
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.31640625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.003080432899188898,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.008173473447820706,
              0.013772905819545198
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.697815,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.016010362594993437,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.043475442371356504,
              0.008902757527098943
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.15625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.008969578888174854,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              2.5199974111400545e-05,
              0.0184854152429312
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.961645,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.013671349213411899,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005515370997719642,
              0.03626172533752378
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.84375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002357756889134708,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0017388932218295123,
              0.00639274407942363
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.86398,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.006869586257182619,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.003620038687058237,
              0.010059437472193102
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0018343898744684654,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.008293332274226649,
              0.004256063145233
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.291335,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.007631635457500941,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0011880064161688755,
              0.012599580000667847
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.96875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0016463698260822275,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005788412261288136,
              0.0023403847773812874
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.226035,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0007371239215431067,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005908187222893467,
              0.0037552516283612856
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.40234375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0015946765470647242,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006256817749891635,
              0.00900145121461249
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.650745,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.014137573309938953,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.03729716432723093,
              0.007241860916660091
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.140625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00475083308841041,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0019144540493939467,
              0.0076522912599498
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.997825,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0029002979929990957,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004458082823270932,
              0.008509087432630196
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.77734375,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0020537769819333634,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0016682577608928572,
              0.005760583355618217
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.84443,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.003515533480244023,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.000230471693164476,
              0.007882925107794569
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.93359375,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.007380890186015491,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0004492244787256398,
              0.014626640939724518
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.971595,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.007296681157975132,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.007249014930454416,
              0.02637698584099408
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.7578125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0024978836342463774,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0020075007235516302,
              0.007308652953171472
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.83943,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0017142170861101334,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.007752332277774929,
              0.006254534334019842
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.359375,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0014857563559922352,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003404502316973702,
              0.006213956136002566
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.717275,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0018727895955223516,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0067998194864885685,
              0.002666751094016786
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.24609375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.004218745809087484,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003111172588404913,
              0.011953183952131578
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.84451,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.010771049544756153,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004450935557382249,
              0.030266382562716663
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.77734375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.20398075073325184,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.8870259894600142,
              0.45771434796573696
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.28443,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.7481702887390083,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.15733362203532375,
              1.8479011427394219
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.88671875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.1823402863390318,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.1637975378638369,
              0.5391893666123393
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.836015,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.9775862184303861,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.1919649435018737,
              2.61873174892454
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.81640625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.21779730482809836,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.04276784892719372,
              0.41053457912996266
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.98545,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.04291566021272214,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.2500377595456061,
              0.3269236776947225
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.59765625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.10049499018012899,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.5200314352618937,
              0.6434549417433804
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.613365,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.06031713908542291,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.1803837232920116,
              1.4459675082818397
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.4765625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.08557128169992619,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.1197782658089426,
              1.0240871339123148
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.44024,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 3.1824626438739174,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.794492427316378,
              8.61247197403323
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.77734375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "qdm": {
      "rps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0040640966557311435,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0030068013557542827,
              0.01128636102977907
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.85557,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00877564668468988,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.002475517336072721,
              0.015759202164990396
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.97265625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.008920104851464342,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002307902475483266,
              0.020786564564409773
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.922325,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.01318201755503775,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0033818592812005235,
              0.03405968584329876
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8359375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.001266108694534818,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.011254536899970918,
              0.008297770270718732
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.404125,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00624929236603336,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.01747398908306356,
              0.006995359161525592
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.1875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0024700912945077778,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.008070405629450248,
              0.012763006331547592
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.669505,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.018948542606197813,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.04195058513146573,
              0.003506778042946463
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.10546875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.009682976215441558,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0009527576112732535,
              0.018914290443934178
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.975505,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.015354182129499627,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006187683389844212,
              0.04167460441607883
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8203125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0019830769786691907,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001623393955179969,
              0.005665971143520949
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.848955,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.005233484183490405,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0017592784556040807,
              0.008545862420233504
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.98046875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0008928546751908439,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005407940884317409,
              0.007130051271239734
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.60443,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.006708741923583636,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0002906447866263581,
              0.012247481998296202
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9609375,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0017294610033950445,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.008382018308165947,
              0.004267428368405476
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.30693,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0037482936211176206,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.010489253753703956,
              0.003142120802993791
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.1640625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0008863534438509542,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.007185974891796996,
              0.00870004898978182
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.58282,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.014479055017478114,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.033546388023671964,
              0.004066598286405567
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.11328125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.005572601982425756,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0024798787231350363,
              0.008640140027583556
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.998765,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0035065235259149966,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004514133109274345,
              0.01048260028374525
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.79296875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002081019509410746,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0017952307330921203,
              0.005962678497612384
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.83675,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0035421620932917196,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00029475646767293875,
              0.00771285489120488
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.94921875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.008027250272488145,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0017996341067330036,
              0.014891922673122693
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.98881,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.006473275116954636,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.007416423265395719,
              0.02454834994422283
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.7578125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0004633522953498767,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003778046209307601,
              0.00514171850643946
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.57548,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0025009996211382383,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00743021622834113,
              0.004626666070343918
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.2578125,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001583737833046952,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0024683674047775886,
              0.0055627646952600635
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.76604,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.004469488039728365,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.008561169452255483,
              -0.00015010412685804094
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.0546875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.004110374361292558,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0030051323201051353,
              0.011666272289131068
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.843795,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.011847656639039063,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004589239852870736,
              0.0334800210537219
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.765625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.3569315039212872,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.092817109548602,
              0.354692845055087
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.1796,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.7038253448255958,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.2512365069180554,
              1.900854115862389
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.85546875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.15377164842789773,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.14161923877096566,
              0.45960803930875943
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.831435,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.8108052762025788,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.3375803368901409,
              2.376527375551213
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.7734375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.10504511846368363,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.08134769201128585,
              0.32479292589542413
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.80626,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.048271343772501196,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.24765628974247894,
              0.3665248075808175
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.6328125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.12077993169307268,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.6339589524915096,
              0.3511595978579951
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.32738,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.4417302233640753,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.4431925310983593,
              0.8006827467932651
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.24609375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.21752279573705616,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.084114040696687,
              0.7378658803576992
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.33456,
            "years_better": 16,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 3.0588003308967324,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.9821499337165368,
              8.628893326428429
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.76171875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "sdm": {
      "rps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.003829421619347228,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006296058924504109,
              0.014187858140431032
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.75731,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.01000598094237884,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.002429769353774626,
              0.018882282078816218
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.97265625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.005508366228880822,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.01235847563572909,
              0.02252436271957607
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.727285,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.021445438396123152,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0023381914817412197,
              0.05126329189574927
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8828125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0015456138740115172,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.018319187388642348,
              0.014746066253346074
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.427535,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00638085418761003,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.02510628115076541,
              0.016312470469565438
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.296875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0013426808299405943,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.01272105057087939,
              0.015538915130121612
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.570655,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.01476414982698352,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.04160660732309512,
              0.012058407344798551
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.1640625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.010952144730141727,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00047091395696818714,
              0.023401894040178277
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.954685,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.01598178035355976,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.008887660997719395,
              0.04438182628174823
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8359375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002082136731764199,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002144713328940853,
              0.00637777096625774
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.82704,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.004681013089344528,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0009128290156747743,
              0.008126722759054395
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.97265625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0005739067484762673,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.009896977636687638,
              0.00807483467313526
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.45056,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.010381920602935255,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0017162023283217524,
              0.01807230978689174
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.96875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0021314487192257963,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.011556914787005428,
              0.006375552565422904
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.328415,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.003708292629695983,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.013509232231370901,
              0.006740537895361871
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.25390625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0006876849326300331,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.009952897082318994,
              0.011214882437531484
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.548075,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.012955403164830438,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.03582072340239256,
              0.0097660271152229
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.16015625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0062984951521316695,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.002593941427419188,
              0.01012536586331458
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.998175,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002530004758841676,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.007978522762763528,
              0.010614336640060514
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.67578125,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0017472846071090193,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004641298573973435,
              0.008239468132767151
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.688525,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.005324967172761579,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0009170918184467819,
              0.011333519684278363
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.984375,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00608227336056059,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0036744958946011035,
              0.016059087136574522
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.87568,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.011063516541053631,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00860472616748703,
              0.036918228162176256
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.7578125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0005858347574516851,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00745712332760329,
              0.00894089833844021
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.551875,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.002672563064610483,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.012446702217064341,
              0.01057117465907321
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.3671875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0006549957331832319,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0030389381008077664,
              0.004585950127048339
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.622255,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0018087473246641839,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005844057581581662,
              0.003013859180485177
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.23828125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0046536497338060786,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005088654157018624,
              0.014959388172241656
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.7985,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.013451773567288385,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005204686278549298,
              0.037852590848278134
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.76953125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0006622667436901134,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.1739890860708466,
              1.2770396561704673
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.49894,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 1.0340120414640324,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.1280938788134347,
              2.5523882013394172
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8359375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.3225193391726853,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.3396730532210217,
              1.0689447798269682
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.798635,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 1.291241169584795,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.3449344797572651,
              3.4099330631677747
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8203125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.3602331018538998,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.11766538871901097,
              0.8449756688246877
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.916475,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.10125435428182594,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.4772967248761942,
              0.6726401616555805
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.6328125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.9767305026000979,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.2089630999119522,
              1.726828487779033
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.988655,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.43143290353025315,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.7490494416228705,
              1.731466405876504
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.72265625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.40248060197088337,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.0096956718224268,
              2.015559984743857
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.676845,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 3.525414930752263,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.0875701586195128,
              9.842908475379044
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.765625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "cdft": {
      "rps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.003394770611567575,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004320092461889495,
              0.01120566489059245
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.792515,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.006095534045922987,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001901458343166452,
              0.016198537011124777
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8671875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.007604297881347331,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0012593931256716265,
              0.016983326305081287
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.93631,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.01012263484056053,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.008488079209331603,
              0.033828509070229405
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.76953125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0015764102666841334,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002505866257920491,
              0.005857893955344358
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.76074,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.004653035849897555,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.010059201025307565,
              0.00232890851106283
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.1171875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001533519279350054,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.012065144862493875,
              0.014579889482240512
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.585575,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.021738584709906028,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.05026412057784416,
              0.005302602174179502
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.109375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.007639060913661921,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00022629136019772518,
              0.015579804433209348
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.96508,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.011642989661882451,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.007592031484244928,
              0.03479449061671698
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.80859375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002227836156722253,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0018291954871393114,
              0.006130653738351299
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.856125,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002254596745187836,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0010902722736686142,
              0.006203811421193136
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.83203125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00026628033541755206,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0035376307172951312,
              0.004004113979146508
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.551715,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0023878833297584067,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0022399156600227746,
              0.0064624186019526
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8203125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.000795858634443917,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004030796010061026,
              0.0025838323350282685
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.323125,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0018423792398093303,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006566137301726377,
              0.0033681096478379094
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.2578125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0004896479118710259,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.008362012299391396,
              0.008947672883104711
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.541755,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.01824389393694575,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.041787322182199695,
              0.0045996177147125
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.10546875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0043115150752521545,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0020095481453000397,
              0.006710693736303793
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.999175,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0008433590492201229,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006434367637532294,
              0.006593254760294728
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.5859375,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0011669341519015043,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0034426706182932093,
              0.0057904198332937645
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.67634,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0038409370264806467,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0010787901883192036,
              0.010000321173221208
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.87109375,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0073380176793107965,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0007042722299700836,
              0.014340624830909489
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.97576,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.007734750904688097,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00902524153293311,
              0.02919540192464638
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.7578125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002372269034605405,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0006208174326423902,
              0.004158102353545786
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.991745,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0028106570886879834,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00471405456829852,
              -0.00012849461751654814
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.03515625,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0010438713711778149,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005533748973250091,
              0.007170863662477847
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.616375,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.003494691124181463,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.008807314427967191,
              0.0021588248071100994
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.140625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.003327545904466179,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0032463520451294532,
              0.010129336030601569
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.815535,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.010799628749383667,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00491626238498741,
              0.030933896486417475
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.76953125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.09932094489131542,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.8709459138623873,
              0.6788204358761808
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.405145,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.869643329170509,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.1030103144053839,
              2.2050463651627163
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8671875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.22816469899914069,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.06394028191827973,
              0.5446770482693633
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.916345,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.8862668137734402,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.24380471097986592,
              2.4471790238589777
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.80859375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.34634937352584205,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.1287493691865954,
              0.592936445588381
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99845,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.30297836827505414,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.12238948281909978,
              0.8997641618636225
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.80859375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.35014365294469546,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.348840942817264,
              0.9569770661369953
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.834715,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.2960902294997134,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.1559202486511742,
              2.401213225159843
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.546875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.17850913726157014,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.1612142062575035,
              0.8737654529633425
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.373645,
            "years_better": 16,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 3.038404343009193,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.1177427801216349,
              8.737682667013615
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.76171875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "SEL-P": {
      "rps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0006554385032805551,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003986890597191067,
              0.002614246322790808
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.349955,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002512895434529684,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0009141817717459062,
              0.005991596981955859
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.90234375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.004269669686979492,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.012006700907684385,
              0.003550190277005384
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.146765,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0036954242551338334,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.018280796398606716,
              0.008339885399420575
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.3046875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 0.7338250000000001,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0020837887463152328,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.01036488427914754,
              0.005888915999677163
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.31186,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0008509328042266909,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0117511846773189,
              0.012397546239975616
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.58203125,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0027893792373475715,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0178808384172905,
              0.011239086848756425
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.35843,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.02115955899613419,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.04373051389134223,
              -0.0001008107828067415
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.05859375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0003490545175100721,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002855837347007176,
              0.0021372074283746365
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.39211,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0033322047124815235,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.009508979715178724,
              0.002478610768368923
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.171875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "SEL-A": {
      "crps": {
        "Oct": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.6772019189375399,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.6000557517357736,
              0.18439776944697442
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.081095,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.9371616255994062,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.2289175922987768,
              2.404863540988868
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.83984375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 0.22752,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Nov": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.09306064706471229,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.22071540398738487,
              0.04584363336447563
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.09548,
            "years_better": 16,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.10491778612099378,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.3004210133805425,
              0.11890142248394761
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.19921875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 0.22752,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Dec": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.04240356298532372,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.08732203754305644,
              0.007492229916837999
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.050545,
            "years_better": 19,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.03337265379191212,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0946415928653765,
              0.02553883199868967
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.17578125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 0.20218,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jan": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.4786897475521504,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.721745010312918,
              -0.2512569525967227
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.000355,
            "years_better": 18,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.6902295325749415,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.2345291144738482,
              -0.10916206198048578
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.04296875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 0.001775,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": true
          }
        },
        "ONDJ": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -1.0435208311334991,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -2.3826418267210845,
              0.3371649124703153
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.07584,
            "years_better": 16,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 3.2167202639015517,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.2167121682503257,
              9.206063306963314
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.76171875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 8
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 0.22752,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    }
  }
}