{
  "created_utc": "2026-10-12T20:57:16.379700+00:00",
  "config": "config/bias_correction/jan_fmam_ratio_limits.json",
  "protocol": "Selection-aware confirmation of rainfall-amount bias-correction methods through the full probability pipeline (docs/47).\n\nRead-only experiment. Configured by the \"confirmation\" block of config/bias_correction/<name>.json; any cycle, any\nmethod of the registry (scripts/bias_methods.py).\n\nPipeline for one amount method (the operational one, with the amount correction swapped):\n    corrected members -> tercile counts against the training CHIRPS terciles -> alpha smoothing\n    -> blend with climatology, p = (1 - lambda) p_s + lambda p_clim, one lambda per target fitted by\n       leave-one-year-out within the training years (local_blend.fit_weights, over the full rectangle as operationally)\nDesign:\n    outer leave-one-year-out over the training years. For outer year y every fit (amount correction, terciles,\n    climatology, lambda) uses only the other training years; lambda comes from inner leave-one-year-out within them.\n    Selection-aware procedures choose a method for year y with the inner (training-only) scores:\n        SEL-P: lowest inner blended RPS (probability product); SEL-A: lowest inner CRPS (amount product).\n    Their outer scores therefore include the effect of choosing among the declared candidate family.\n    Test years: all fits and the selection on the training years, scored on the test years (exploratory).\nScores per year (area-weighted over a region, equal years): blended RPS and RPSS, category Brier scores and skill\n(below and above normal), reliability tables; ensemble CRPS of the amounts (and the fair CRPS).\nTests against the operational method: paired whole-year sign-flip, Holm across the declared family\n(every method and target for the method comparisons; the targets for SEL-P, SEL-A and each sensitivity variant).\nVariants (e.g. the MVS all-zero guard) run through the same pipeline but are never chosen by SEL-P / SEL-A.\nCheckpoints (one per target and method) are reused only when the complete dependency fingerprint of the target\n(configuration contents, masks, input files, calculation code; bias_benchmark.dependencies) is unchanged.",
  "provenance": {
    "commit": "fb7425f593b8bc5f2550f0f47d4929e76eb3fb5c",
    "uncommitted_changes": false,
    "uncommitted_check": "code and configuration files this result depends on",
    "code_sha256": {
      "scripts/bias_methods.py": "f964fac9e23a92ba01fc39368d996aa660561cd8708f7552fbedc0627f6b3706",
      "scripts/bias_benchmark.py": "bd5d0cce44fa15275cc64fbaa1d9317aaefb43626b0f3a0b9c6a719c3b4fa24f",
      "scripts/bias_confirmation.py": "bbc95e4cb64256b101b5c0b30e2f351c5cd2b36893d4dfb0505c63577243f558",
      "scripts/significance.py": "3143761d5d201e4e62df9ad923757b952a3ea768b060c8a722afcd9b3d6a9963",
      "scripts/calibration_core.py": "f0635cc563e6d6aedb62799847b83fbb0f5cc12ee9f8c48ad48dda15a054fb62",
      "scripts/compare_calibration.py": "9aa137c9a02672ffacc2541cfd23cdab9b3294bf7cc77580a11e21208560866a",
      "scripts/local_blend.py": "ada5c571fb7762d2c333f83ad119d35f0784b82aa2cc35449a44cdf00c53c17d",
      "scripts/run_calibration.py": "1f34e8fc92fdd15983f1633de67fcb6a35882911b6b7072ca865df99d907afd0",
      "scripts/run_monthly.py": "dc13dfb54b78773afb6d0c25ebac8769552e5c071f5d2aed9ba2a01400e44f79",
      "scripts/cycle.py": "00e076fc93dc2c8a5caebf6a209fc3de09a5f69e16c2e7cb20bd7b36d2ecdcba",
      "scripts/common.py": "72b83f5c530017e317ea43af3a0e430e6d03f361bc032de374a0f942435cb0a1"
    },
    "config": {
      "path": "config/bias_correction/jan_fmam_ratio_limits.json",
      "sha256": "7e7f252803e5972258a8d222dec54914b0e61c20f9a96f5ac9e49d4fb5d6ef06"
    },
    "project_config": {
      "path": "config/fmam/project.json",
      "sha256": "14e5ba3ed255032ad337f226889b5a4d28d68adf06eb1c3727f665c32e25501b"
    },
    "cycle_config": {
      "path": "config/cycles/jan_2026_fmam.json",
      "sha256": "c8310fabdd26ede83b0f6d93af8af4bd5d6825e7f600e7f0867a55fbd37dc9ed"
    },
    "masks": {
      "cells": {
        "path": "data/masks/ethiopia_common.nc",
        "sha256": "57ad8861c598abb9f175012920e5d0ef058e5b643cd6e4987cad3da6ac0b9e16"
      },
      "ethiopia": {
        "path": "data/masks/ethiopia_common.nc",
        "sha256": "57ad8861c598abb9f175012920e5d0ef058e5b643cd6e4987cad3da6ac0b9e16"
      },
      "fmam_domain": {
        "path": "data/masks/fmam_coverage_chirps_v3_1993_2025_v1.nc",
        "sha256": "c386d127f7041ed6b383c5f46b9537e3740bfee6b85f383e3a8b0792cac58fbb"
      }
    },
    "inputs": {
      "Feb": {
        "folder": "data/processed/init01_Feb",
        "files": 67,
        "sha256": "b9b3974ef4958e55a2a35f73a53d338fd3edc31199af14efd09d91854df3219e"
      },
      "Mar": {
        "folder": "data/processed/init01_Mar",
        "files": 67,
        "sha256": "2ee69ddc9e04fe6676a6145d2cf5e2ac4c11c1dc77aec88a3b42c10455e157cd"
      },
      "Apr": {
        "folder": "data/processed/init01_Apr",
        "files": 67,
        "sha256": "19ef0f789981c73311c6a090a7364856ad50e3b99f1e73787b06cc83ba9aa59b"
      },
      "May": {
        "folder": "data/processed/init01_May",
        "files": 67,
        "sha256": "783f94cce917835eb27d92d69d78974941c955626a6de8ef3fa9bdd81e28c26b"
      },
      "FMAM": {
        "folder": "data/processed/init01_FMAM",
        "files": 67,
        "sha256": "84fa8dbde4f6f1c758ce9c83c6d196f514b39ddb6759f9b25c2b51349bf08fdd"
      }
    },
    "scoring_version": 3,
    "dependency_sha256": "90964d9bbf2d7aa12ee980ea819a84f805b027f34d4c3da381de899bbfeffc30",
    "python": "3.11.9",
    "numpy": "1.26.4",
    "checkpoint_keys": {
      "Feb": "47d84b07357becf203d2a78af42d8d9dff08d5c150251b9ff8dd2eb0dd6508ab",
      "Mar": "959d75bcd7495dda993f41640008226fb6ddf63d26c07b2686b1665c677112d1",
      "Apr": "0e58f85f5d9dfd6e29abeb1a8fefd6782fbe2842a7374f1deabd5971842c07c4",
      "May": "e3011dec5ee67af798e8d7d3433b455f7547db0c33ea58dff7218c76d3fd012b",
      "FMAM": "47033a7465b67a075261e2665b6ac26c07195f4097fb52ab2a8ee2638e55c8c8"
    }
  },
  "methods": [
    "mvs",
    "mvs_r3",
    "mvs_r4",
    "vs"
  ],
  "family": [
    "mvs",
    "mvs_r3",
    "mvs_r4",
    "vs"
  ],
  "variants": [],
  "reference": "mvs",
  "targets": {
    "Feb": {
      "tag": "init01_Feb",
      "methods": {
        "mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7287589677192076,
            "training": [
              0.7391300736939214,
              0.7237778462584883,
              0.7371016836174269,
              0.7318641620896597,
              0.7413052073222791,
              0.7491017187234599,
              0.7191852340821809,
              0.7374335564313386,
              0.7328726261835875,
              0.7250682930730384,
              0.7267374899576167,
              0.7147684182829679,
              0.7129085699459968,
              0.7384210643071715,
              0.7478089289107858,
              0.7372754290109317,
              0.708582888643509,
              0.7158944347623447,
              0.7287218081398505,
              0.7477378651452714,
              0.732743300027204,
              0.7149000225684984,
              0.730094785727101,
              0.6967798183563522
            ],
            "test": 0.73254938003349
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4697167691561273,
                  0.5220476195635646,
                  0.45315364837565175,
                  0.42177772540078307,
                  0.4927894895969841,
                  0.44430518755752957,
                  0.4491599162158127,
                  0.5146963522411389,
                  0.37268830648721524,
                  0.45881062180371324,
                  0.4688033711068823,
                  0.3901609075453103,
                  0.428856574389697,
                  0.4256845583986342,
                  0.4276632914045571,
                  0.47280452067047146,
                  0.3989630965197899,
                  0.42677518261370473,
                  0.3748546392467086,
                  0.43137825900674875,
                  0.49239201820385625,
                  0.38932945243093775,
                  0.42530674552769776,
                  0.42645301861011725
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5290059509583732,
                  0.4798896228256101,
                  0.4849075864486966,
                  0.41241504425749453,
                  0.5029558847077034,
                  0.5029939351629127,
                  0.4590515135406598,
                  0.5225990904174145,
                  0.3820603897566554,
                  0.4436804399577896,
                  0.4801714460795853,
                  0.3809037399509187,
                  0.40151024353467196,
                  0.4700844665522386,
                  0.466118920990152,
                  0.4707394720701949,
                  0.4008721558163862,
                  0.516086904524994,
                  0.38688232612428824,
                  0.4662425666589424,
                  0.43843885609330674,
                  0.41402493320976497,
                  0.41674923264831454,
                  0.4416090925394558
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.09359313983304539,
                  0.36367549070238014,
                  0.12967636100695107,
                  0.22087815925006066,
                  0.36929429355118654,
                  0.13716137072088846,
                  0.32850408615712673,
                  0.4059938744430964,
                  0.15205909241431684,
                  0.3067181138401013,
                  0.19919983350435666,
                  0.18653404391373016,
                  0.21495388431155557,
                  0.13293615771656384,
                  0.10791838427022603,
                  0.3531875866460927,
                  0.16105097730248247,
                  0.0922639936796349,
                  0.24848985190236936,
                  0.30664733383630993,
                  0.3324329661549068,
                  0.12583748606684533,
                  0.27042953795948343,
                  0.16236069548684756
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12144482644300966,
                  0.3240468021697362,
                  0.14785333547007734,
                  0.213053356723655,
                  0.3586999017921628,
                  0.15821566468317896,
                  0.3243944706740214,
                  0.394624630145807,
                  0.15897941369422167,
                  0.2874936534337067,
                  0.202814560835241,
                  0.1934689386829828,
                  0.21938847245972978,
                  0.15272693725494546,
                  0.13190277579879756,
                  0.3369986467976019,
                  0.16324503224865392,
                  0.12718492747837762,
                  0.2526297611075025,
                  0.31415579752145567,
                  0.30060479918432803,
                  0.1409360490589818,
                  0.2547240986771653,
                  0.1707498076532336
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3761236299892731,
                  0.1583721298072275,
                  0.3234772874821168,
                  0.20089956681087054,
                  0.12349519735322503,
                  0.3071438161418349,
                  0.12065583138882689,
                  0.1087024792769411,
                  0.22062921428625848,
                  0.15209250898472,
                  0.26960353847103097,
                  0.2036268646341797,
                  0.2139026908964454,
                  0.29274840054449425,
                  0.3197449078638221,
                  0.11961693480172889,
                  0.23791211905317455,
                  0.334511188342761,
                  0.12636478783662355,
                  0.12473092618385166,
                  0.15995905239228647,
                  0.2634919668014,
                  0.1548772077023015,
                  0.2640923220506327
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.4075611245153635,
                  0.15584282064148194,
                  0.3370542509786193,
                  0.1993616875338394,
                  0.1442559829155402,
                  0.3447782704653306,
                  0.13465704285224642,
                  0.12797446027160747,
                  0.223080976048053,
                  0.15618678650969067,
                  0.27735688522986196,
                  0.1874348012535438,
                  0.18212177106055027,
                  0.31735752929729294,
                  0.33421614517691706,
                  0.13374082525820083,
                  0.23762712355331733,
                  0.3889019770466165,
                  0.1342525650023936,
                  0.15208676912310592,
                  0.13783405689458672,
                  0.2730888841507831,
                  0.16202513395676843,
                  0.2708592848862224
                ],
                "crps": [
                  21.7970892735109,
                  3.9353902663224876,
                  8.336641016148581,
                  4.475050040436888,
                  3.2413823944285736,
                  12.039186514161063,
                  3.052486045986887,
                  3.209153572862789,
                  3.8376466190940524,
                  3.172333631103006,
                  7.037987347544257,
                  3.8906725022745037,
                  6.884163239775635,
                  6.529194175691248,
                  9.364383291059735,
                  2.559259644449932,
                  4.064092012406403,
                  24.240334658358737,
                  2.378080354433913,
                  2.477666123251026,
                  4.6065253442670535,
                  4.279713462385071,
                  3.369278064406953,
                  4.552438339724186
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.284667911212587,
                  3.570418694039729,
                  8.664187246161891,
                  4.414584188793243,
                  4.17412909889816,
                  16.25329471183794,
                  3.8584724401638506,
                  4.245696599510476,
                  3.6698911288086773,
                  3.32770100825122,
                  7.9273830692352805,
                  3.158727103335094,
                  3.386806343170413,
                  6.902319664533068,
                  10.632197368513724,
                  3.1240434276464755,
                  3.8782525052097263,
                  28.264469349246895,
                  2.9648792529408503,
                  3.872969400259919,
                  3.1007437566346607,
                  4.353545654719579,
                  3.299826968492685,
                  4.614204893386611
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  21.556334989102066,
                  3.76976574189008,
                  8.06828538027154,
                  4.227581429674143,
                  3.1154054654967456,
                  11.751919759868631,
                  2.9222454759856773,
                  3.1174668193179884,
                  3.650280214057467,
                  2.996191504663891,
                  6.823839605811347,
                  3.607167717686776,
                  6.51530586704989,
                  6.099810982003533,
                  9.045300321460505,
                  2.3901605110555986,
                  3.9157930525589233,
                  23.954959012459568,
                  2.2459001786335495,
                  2.3860070561812314,
                  4.286928477513339,
                  4.088511627072232,
                  3.2186617866609453,
                  4.4331713347306225
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  23.029391203416978,
                  3.2778043930297773,
                  8.381220234076412,
                  4.1235686860688086,
                  3.882658188806501,
                  15.98470100934654,
                  3.5664036954912555,
                  3.9543612339275516,
                  3.3774652225615456,
                  3.0346270146545478,
                  7.643020594693502,
                  2.865333083403353,
                  3.093844291495935,
                  6.61601578202784,
                  10.352957648326644,
                  2.8305837189350216,
                  3.586221222781536,
                  28.01862408356878,
                  2.671118096928818,
                  3.580928111951141,
                  2.807239919758411,
                  4.062414548710915,
                  3.0067001831540465,
                  4.323567460178454
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44077380300306807,
              "rpss": 0.026809816796343866,
              "brier_below": 0.22507486311127325,
              "bss_below": 0.008905861847829044,
              "brier_above": 0.21569894037900114,
              "bss_above": 0.04481511995989884,
              "crps": 6.388756163920161,
              "crpss": 0.07040756417756366,
              "crps_fair": 6.174458096300262,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06252753332822014,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000232,
                    0.532385,
                    0.34785,
                    0.119072,
                    0.000462,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1951,
                    0.2631,
                    0.3463,
                    0.4292,
                    0.5099,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.3187,
                    0.3309,
                    0.532,
                    0.4971,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.193702,
                    0.626195,
                    0.106389,
                    0.073715,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2862,
                    0.3457,
                    0.4237,
                    0.5139,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1199,
                    0.3782,
                    0.5321,
                    0.3778,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.47660980731148606,
                  0.5413750896144859,
                  0.4624130804293757,
                  0.43552818657920117,
                  0.4982702346519304,
                  0.438218062792756,
                  0.4470198838200296,
                  0.5243093630746387,
                  0.3741234937411294,
                  0.476957138642094,
                  0.4592964610171942,
                  0.3884271644889022,
                  0.41700256566509447,
                  0.4226660240772324,
                  0.40962646686666965,
                  0.4592403684038722,
                  0.38634534231938955,
                  0.4349876427513093,
                  0.35784373354133636,
                  0.42635917395626255,
                  0.4977674662756877,
                  0.39367365545541927,
                  0.4225178288589419,
                  0.44713280537769434
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5353983492304702,
                  0.49379420841867294,
                  0.4981696141211827,
                  0.42495173085367743,
                  0.5068645813404431,
                  0.505903019384089,
                  0.4475794806106453,
                  0.5256134873479025,
                  0.3816705918924714,
                  0.45765208805416063,
                  0.4659863321083841,
                  0.3693421383888178,
                  0.3870882571882273,
                  0.4747762252382983,
                  0.4559358471360361,
                  0.4529682358126648,
                  0.39665175569408134,
                  0.536139565057295,
                  0.36791782177032756,
                  0.4575438220762387,
                  0.4327491722497143,
                  0.42175850365028167,
                  0.4133963202321813,
                  0.4593232375565605
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.09217217056871442,
                  0.39790203542509944,
                  0.12002389332341726,
                  0.2274822883538815,
                  0.3771682152918335,
                  0.1338829289418809,
                  0.3229439449742379,
                  0.4151724894999428,
                  0.15057473948204814,
                  0.34075185343138453,
                  0.21854114978999353,
                  0.20351800587431693,
                  0.2083739098556627,
                  0.11714985367378623,
                  0.10174054693588439,
                  0.335796036272529,
                  0.16491348205597928,
                  0.08261584855265591,
                  0.22332411677485148,
                  0.29619765619015387,
                  0.32655711659543357,
                  0.12439624261239568,
                  0.27489319510086124,
                  0.16105719429523274
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12178799272192073,
                  0.3529478699456776,
                  0.14227059795581895,
                  0.21913433237072832,
                  0.36343589219414235,
                  0.15783533172097897,
                  0.3121368093911278,
                  0.39664671814785546,
                  0.15803154658229174,
                  0.3168234651002456,
                  0.2199256490728241,
                  0.20669570366037623,
                  0.21465774769911378,
                  0.1413217454229655,
                  0.13047344958815,
                  0.3160480066082728,
                  0.17012148476226507,
                  0.12211680972500784,
                  0.22781997416873936,
                  0.29921270073560774,
                  0.2907047053336428,
                  0.14200661711187867,
                  0.2579718064000961,
                  0.16856545429503472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3844376375229135,
                  0.1434730552355396,
                  0.3423891873331063,
                  0.2080458991275504,
                  0.12110202075133776,
                  0.30433513312536764,
                  0.12407594038719771,
                  0.10913687549960875,
                  0.22354875451420536,
                  0.13620528638781126,
                  0.24075531180051493,
                  0.18490915967602298,
                  0.20862865681373616,
                  0.30551617031469286,
                  0.3078859203826225,
                  0.12344433314136302,
                  0.22143186049248428,
                  0.35237179340270286,
                  0.13451961738354548,
                  0.13016151877145174,
                  0.17121035023436817,
                  0.2692774131393196,
                  0.14762463405683532,
                  0.2860756094836867
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.4136103565085493,
                  0.14084633845600159,
                  0.35589901616536346,
                  0.2058173984829492,
                  0.14342868914630075,
                  0.3480676876461164,
                  0.13544267120250775,
                  0.12896676920004693,
                  0.22363904529318596,
                  0.14082862293690546,
                  0.24606068301855033,
                  0.16264643471143206,
                  0.17243050947211983,
                  0.33345447981533277,
                  0.32546239753087647,
                  0.13692022918738242,
                  0.22653027091477482,
                  0.4140227553322868,
                  0.14009784758457863,
                  0.1583311213236371,
                  0.14204446689906183,
                  0.2797518865384028,
                  0.15542451381509137,
                  0.29075778326152585
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.64326592765724,
                  4.463073755339806,
                  10.067505335361405,
                  5.454352200269778,
                  3.8542460951177255,
                  14.174570644595127,
                  3.62871622777071,
                  3.858140262773985,
                  4.528953224992515,
                  3.6352325875210103,
                  7.032622258959586,
                  4.490732728679309,
                  7.918840479443219,
                  7.655269618495795,
                  9.33337559546855,
                  2.983017371317333,
                  4.686483262200504,
                  30.07606082356836,
                  2.822129900874419,
                  2.935362606693401,
                  5.485844049230062,
                  5.115767434628641,
                  3.920951195744622,
                  5.503040774359379
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  28.26341796793525,
                  4.0603509297929605,
                  10.46670035294058,
                  5.355399770819567,
                  4.972400471198086,
                  19.54090746102472,
                  4.538585669572693,
                  5.043151199911774,
                  4.309153999321402,
                  3.8738391273125323,
                  7.940643146892636,
                  3.5729096435892567,
                  3.924360419589909,
                  8.225710985876832,
                  10.707086028413045,
                  3.615349689024847,
                  4.472944990228175,
                  34.98282166514657,
                  3.470742141433051,
                  4.538544853859309,
                  3.6198691411850765,
                  5.262013295835491,
                  3.870592028235634,
                  5.563677059819949
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.375489904739897,
                  4.2686500428040945,
                  9.749171339822551,
                  5.15717858855901,
                  3.714561737208405,
                  13.82661371609687,
                  3.485249159519496,
                  3.7559908989032658,
                  4.31851423443742,
                  3.4257877045599847,
                  6.787609588847285,
                  4.165453946750216,
                  7.497632505857696,
                  7.1573893153218755,
                  8.95172203033233,
                  2.7830287640684523,
                  4.51354304770529,
                  29.755415445740077,
                  2.673628586791193,
                  2.8313625854888613,
                  5.100305164971877,
                  4.903495663491069,
                  3.749338802156443,
                  5.367205159866045
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.964485287563914,
                  3.715579107303926,
                  10.134061767995384,
                  5.01308069234763,
                  4.6293560152647455,
                  19.225454874390305,
                  4.194719594696879,
                  4.700240741570692,
                  3.9648533947670828,
                  3.5287140627733473,
                  7.603220362693564,
                  3.227214636846049,
                  3.5793310393164,
                  7.88882810288796,
                  10.374902719368366,
                  3.269735061155572,
                  4.128954595883903,
                  34.696615128141154,
                  3.1248536356327294,
                  4.194678701681005,
                  3.2742630728842874,
                  4.919517349039717,
                  3.5254608138875905,
                  5.221752445910511
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4415712933213389,
              "rpss": 0.024975525838007884,
              "brier_below": 0.22571453807800737,
              "bss_below": 0.0057891865542923915,
              "brier_above": 0.21585675579074937,
              "bss_above": 0.04426171631899023,
              "crps": 7.511148098377603,
              "crpss": 0.07170056976175754,
              "crps_fair": 7.263097413918321,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06332908812379323,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000273,
                    0.586235,
                    0.30688,
                    0.106376,
                    0.000236,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1951,
                    0.2625,
                    0.3447,
                    0.4301,
                    0.508,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.3214,
                    0.3332,
                    0.5401,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.198114,
                    0.599943,
                    0.1113,
                    0.090643,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.286,
                    0.3456,
                    0.4245,
                    0.5139,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1099,
                    0.3815,
                    0.538,
                    0.3763,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4136402807709526,
                  0.5204002471910848,
                  0.4158672102577216,
                  0.3931619586279176,
                  0.45194929035911785,
                  0.3783736934989211,
                  0.34474289306832384,
                  0.45192659446558126,
                  0.41349001398098406
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4733202418518604,
                  0.5175132171561374,
                  0.42206595620479304,
                  0.4013714050174716,
                  0.42310758432849904,
                  0.388495125206943,
                  0.3482199579471491,
                  0.47328875645663954,
                  0.4209458852063225
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.08829144654632647,
                  0.10572906929660064,
                  0.14411471587287913,
                  0.16529460294576598,
                  0.16008653961032063,
                  0.17133341296890078,
                  0.22075695919364857,
                  0.12541124293431588,
                  0.222287481528306
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11507171159064906,
                  0.11428366490199293,
                  0.15193084363649126,
                  0.17734210272829803,
                  0.1487063489356475,
                  0.1758202624767129,
                  0.22023233916730128,
                  0.13780936925984824,
                  0.2189891736534184
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3253488126920037,
                  0.4146711464831913,
                  0.271752486901064,
                  0.2278673574194399,
                  0.29186273994606693,
                  0.2070402825771906,
                  0.12398594918967068,
                  0.3265153337286653,
                  0.19120253369958815
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3582485060112543,
                  0.40322951985413313,
                  0.2701351039674281,
                  0.22402930203948201,
                  0.27440122602913586,
                  0.2126748645108702,
                  0.12798763559692372,
                  0.3354793670182738,
                  0.20195671525009873
                ],
                "crps": [
                  14.249686427915206,
                  13.561460915421787,
                  5.254056149601307,
                  6.088711631288636,
                  5.194785825410667,
                  3.730084497322033,
                  1.9975171558073106,
                  11.681291292819795,
                  3.3484915561945106
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.919010102183197,
                  11.704139398993496,
                  5.268601925611098,
                  5.734916988210948,
                  3.9705128247256236,
                  3.4292882345150906,
                  2.7251643835583663,
                  12.393969039444539,
                  3.967982819777912
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  14.077937330908366,
                  13.461435212189873,
                  5.136457180464751,
                  5.943791432488476,
                  5.136149585387327,
                  3.6361311616562144,
                  1.9348883883918475,
                  11.513950678338386,
                  3.306280296853736
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.644581682691364,
                  11.429710979501666,
                  4.994173506119268,
                  5.460488568719119,
                  3.696084405233794,
                  3.1548598150232596,
                  2.4507359640665367,
                  12.119540619952712,
                  3.6935544002860827
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42039468691340054,
              "rpss": 0.021915397122448943,
              "brier_below": 0.15592283009967378,
              "bss_below": 0.03895418296519593,
              "brier_above": 0.2644718491818756,
              "bss_above": 0.011583866257627529,
              "crps": 7.234009494642361,
              "crpss": 0.00011518740914717718,
              "crps_fair": 7.127446807408775,
              "crpss_fair": -0.023997474711144662,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.544457,
                    0.356031,
                    0.099512,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2539,
                    0.3526,
                    0.4239,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.154,
                    0.1324,
                    0.2254,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.244891,
                    0.656009,
                    0.030893,
                    0.068207,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2822,
                    0.3401,
                    0.4243,
                    0.5065,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3525,
                    0.5108,
                    0.6692,
                    0.3994,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.40620828007718396,
                  0.5221140452389598,
                  0.4066286740882119,
                  0.4002725122913209,
                  0.4309772131021313,
                  0.37737940117376495,
                  0.33572697845516114,
                  0.4391423649833136,
                  0.4031237627540497
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4576225967487249,
                  0.5167450672628792,
                  0.40881671202854164,
                  0.4096536744591132,
                  0.41184885881923466,
                  0.39287313238771626,
                  0.3366631828286109,
                  0.46381266676022176,
                  0.4162615949646041
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.08860583776107743,
                  0.10707520507244263,
                  0.1512982634890718,
                  0.16266116196181038,
                  0.16384524989286814,
                  0.17901235399102486,
                  0.2081683542285182,
                  0.12719687353039427,
                  0.24754953778571892
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11577112639039783,
                  0.11703674467143077,
                  0.15884586267928782,
                  0.17731474889024865,
                  0.15838289694942173,
                  0.18703544846378725,
                  0.2065177572586905,
                  0.14244779211808567,
                  0.2438142728428437
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.31760242366857927,
                  0.41503880949296185,
                  0.25533040654916794,
                  0.2376113510926637,
                  0.26713195628202097,
                  0.19836705064614732,
                  0.12755863903696682,
                  0.3119454765092748,
                  0.1555742312216677
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3418514490908821,
                  0.39970829079644776,
                  0.2499708443293965,
                  0.23233892388378583,
                  0.2534659562249808,
                  0.20583768692203638,
                  0.13014544197651573,
                  0.32136485698237466,
                  0.17244733109052923
                ],
                "crps": [
                  15.279702572403831,
                  16.52481341326327,
                  5.5928454178484905,
                  7.363553305246221,
                  5.903745040262096,
                  4.297159552997516,
                  2.354194681402829,
                  13.709590058019144,
                  3.56642985803642
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  16.58323233373649,
                  14.09866702590123,
                  5.472641806214493,
                  6.970675714061375,
                  4.589557998303746,
                  3.9354664455353094,
                  3.2143347818955066,
                  14.637775319065193,
                  4.426972312717931
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  15.08627252371781,
                  16.415471331030464,
                  5.45874795343239,
                  7.191710614766642,
                  5.83713337956792,
                  4.189929551883552,
                  2.284594998134124,
                  13.51003907849072,
                  3.5189759886510803
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.260142276090644,
                  13.775576968255391,
                  5.149551748568657,
                  6.647585656415538,
                  4.266467940657907,
                  3.6123763878894715,
                  2.891244724249668,
                  14.314685261419358,
                  4.103882255072093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4135081369071219,
              "rpss": 0.024309654511629586,
              "brier_below": 0.1594903153014363,
              "bss_below": 0.047608413136456695,
              "brier_above": 0.2540178160554945,
              "bss_above": 0.009089400985630158,
              "crps": 8.288003766608869,
              "crpss": -0.008964104208530888,
              "crps_fair": 8.165875046630523,
              "crpss_fair": -0.034797374613078524,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.592886,
                    0.311977,
                    0.095137,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2526,
                    0.3518,
                    0.4241,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.165,
                    0.1479,
                    0.2638,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.261909,
                    0.622745,
                    0.03088,
                    0.084466,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2824,
                    0.341,
                    0.4261,
                    0.5065,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3309,
                    0.4785,
                    0.588,
                    0.3891,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "mvs_r3": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7187349714498854,
            "training": [
              0.7321885221175788,
              0.7122574661258663,
              0.7245382928330264,
              0.720400453376633,
              0.7312056522299182,
              0.7348534231771355,
              0.7086256195228343,
              0.7260548504046065,
              0.725293950510013,
              0.7093151017929596,
              0.7183948213731026,
              0.7010154835695402,
              0.6962233938261717,
              0.7252496731314088,
              0.7358048165271414,
              0.7262228194726996,
              0.703492911365952,
              0.7280543377575692,
              0.7196457132551771,
              0.7361866693657394,
              0.7169644269709731,
              0.7059418210812343,
              0.7189034284331284,
              0.6928056665768407
            ],
            "test": 0.7186550961223193
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.467003037708807,
                  0.5197022298780163,
                  0.4527314729585682,
                  0.420048419705048,
                  0.4913880580589114,
                  0.44238430740967866,
                  0.45172903007617243,
                  0.5147749650805062,
                  0.37351763699410306,
                  0.45605870069708987,
                  0.4655802395931068,
                  0.3891991443866895,
                  0.4306758521554068,
                  0.426885723069731,
                  0.4253488232210844,
                  0.4737202491257732,
                  0.3954196209242196,
                  0.4235125862880251,
                  0.37660093413851387,
                  0.43106703494312776,
                  0.49606214600764126,
                  0.384422678705877,
                  0.4254204759988609,
                  0.42595871165836885
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5290059509583732,
                  0.4798896228256101,
                  0.4849075864486966,
                  0.41241504425749453,
                  0.5029558847077034,
                  0.5029939351629127,
                  0.4590515135406598,
                  0.5225990904174145,
                  0.3820603897566554,
                  0.4436804399577896,
                  0.4801714460795853,
                  0.3809037399509187,
                  0.40151024353467196,
                  0.4700844665522386,
                  0.466118920990152,
                  0.4707394720701949,
                  0.4008721558163862,
                  0.516086904524994,
                  0.38688232612428824,
                  0.4662425666589424,
                  0.43843885609330674,
                  0.41402493320976497,
                  0.41674923264831454,
                  0.4416090925394558
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.09139478367314889,
                  0.3620708079700571,
                  0.1287986747921506,
                  0.21982296501710574,
                  0.3694625796752328,
                  0.1367991857966457,
                  0.33140020983991336,
                  0.4073185643396483,
                  0.15265537534542745,
                  0.30534710248358343,
                  0.19735903956909706,
                  0.18524710217976947,
                  0.21513292258068994,
                  0.13473026830160972,
                  0.10544230165477304,
                  0.35553818115583574,
                  0.1577224743195557,
                  0.090509765568464,
                  0.2504143538109781,
                  0.3088203351833822,
                  0.33594352080120277,
                  0.1237739779553125,
                  0.2718724117003651,
                  0.16250381332947444
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12144482644300966,
                  0.3240468021697362,
                  0.14785333547007734,
                  0.213053356723655,
                  0.3586999017921628,
                  0.15821566468317896,
                  0.3243944706740214,
                  0.394624630145807,
                  0.15897941369422167,
                  0.2874936534337067,
                  0.202814560835241,
                  0.1934689386829828,
                  0.21938847245972978,
                  0.15272693725494546,
                  0.13190277579879756,
                  0.3369986467976019,
                  0.16324503224865392,
                  0.12718492747837762,
                  0.2526297611075025,
                  0.31415579752145567,
                  0.30060479918432803,
                  0.1409360490589818,
                  0.2547240986771653,
                  0.1707498076532336
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3756082546547158,
                  0.157631422833128,
                  0.3239327984270367,
                  0.200225455339478,
                  0.12192547959072954,
                  0.3055851208741083,
                  0.12032882157301066,
                  0.10745640224307947,
                  0.22086226188961094,
                  0.1507115992075421,
                  0.2682212007699511,
                  0.2039520429857828,
                  0.21554293047876355,
                  0.2921554546932843,
                  0.3199065224886597,
                  0.1181820687340704,
                  0.23769714636838443,
                  0.3330028201530917,
                  0.12618658074631367,
                  0.1222467007237678,
                  0.16011862543117888,
                  0.26064870111728516,
                  0.15354806439343627,
                  0.26345489731856564
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.4075611245153635,
                  0.15584282064148194,
                  0.3370542509786193,
                  0.1993616875338394,
                  0.1442559829155402,
                  0.3447782704653306,
                  0.13465704285224642,
                  0.12797446027160747,
                  0.223080976048053,
                  0.15618678650969067,
                  0.27735688522986196,
                  0.1874348012535438,
                  0.18212177106055027,
                  0.31735752929729294,
                  0.33421614517691706,
                  0.13374082525820083,
                  0.23762712355331733,
                  0.3889019770466165,
                  0.1342525650023936,
                  0.15208676912310592,
                  0.13783405689458672,
                  0.2730888841507831,
                  0.16202513395676843,
                  0.2708592848862224
                ],
                "crps": [
                  21.7807065558422,
                  3.819039294027621,
                  8.359704469170298,
                  4.421896076130269,
                  3.1258325256785615,
                  12.024500222370474,
                  2.959672277343065,
                  3.0846552140341386,
                  3.8456382368093176,
                  3.070118173622046,
                  7.032590433414004,
                  3.879031813352929,
                  6.916218124520665,
                  6.610262127245096,
                  9.421452896650973,
                  2.464643165403574,
                  4.01751555042852,
                  24.23315354884827,
                  2.3409879680578696,
                  2.374006959291625,
                  4.552658570068588,
                  4.273849721335273,
                  3.2866927553132657,
                  4.55339961722232
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.284667911212587,
                  3.570418694039729,
                  8.664187246161891,
                  4.414584188793243,
                  4.17412909889816,
                  16.25329471183794,
                  3.8584724401638506,
                  4.245696599510476,
                  3.6698911288086773,
                  3.32770100825122,
                  7.9273830692352805,
                  3.158727103335094,
                  3.386806343170413,
                  6.902319664533068,
                  10.632197368513724,
                  3.1240434276464755,
                  3.8782525052097263,
                  28.264469349246895,
                  2.9648792529408503,
                  3.872969400259919,
                  3.1007437566346607,
                  4.353545654719579,
                  3.299826968492685,
                  4.614204893386611
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  21.540057802998415,
                  3.6516553134723564,
                  8.087578078525299,
                  4.171409788459829,
                  2.99963620417578,
                  11.735306182001823,
                  2.828515228149674,
                  2.992987038352822,
                  3.6565056510178535,
                  2.8914115104456206,
                  6.8165375667776775,
                  3.5915589470261127,
                  6.537126506128913,
                  6.169063560908964,
                  9.098732614207268,
                  2.292846382799214,
                  3.8675928286914396,
                  23.94733253429074,
                  2.207827380813444,
                  2.2815041606542237,
                  4.226608422702386,
                  4.081350019115927,
                  3.134268584541697,
                  4.433185191529057
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  23.029391203416978,
                  3.2778043930297773,
                  8.381220234076412,
                  4.1235686860688086,
                  3.882658188806501,
                  15.98470100934654,
                  3.5664036954912555,
                  3.9543612339275516,
                  3.3774652225615456,
                  3.0346270146545478,
                  7.643020594693502,
                  2.865333083403353,
                  3.093844291495935,
                  6.61601578202784,
                  10.352957648326644,
                  2.8305837189350216,
                  3.586221222781536,
                  28.01862408356878,
                  2.671118096928818,
                  3.580928111951141,
                  2.807239919758411,
                  4.062414548710915,
                  3.0067001831540465,
                  4.323567460178454
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43996716994930535,
              "rpss": 0.02859079235346873,
              "brier_below": 0.2250033632101426,
              "bss_below": 0.009220704349161557,
              "brier_above": 0.21496380720979058,
              "bss_above": 0.048070528107996724,
              "crps": 6.35200942900754,
              "crpss": 0.0757543775383328,
              "crps_fair": 6.135024895741107,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06851470486949363,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000232,
                    0.5538,
                    0.335652,
                    0.109422,
                    0.000895,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1923,
                    0.2611,
                    0.3456,
                    0.4297,
                    0.5031,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.3164,
                    0.3342,
                    0.555,
                    0.2571,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.215859,
                    0.595517,
                    0.116134,
                    0.07249,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2855,
                    0.3462,
                    0.4229,
                    0.5202,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1107,
                    0.3803,
                    0.564,
                    0.3953,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.47509915978934736,
                  0.5406583107107201,
                  0.4635611186653402,
                  0.4354645618737847,
                  0.4944517891422234,
                  0.43754341060273105,
                  0.4458755201272075,
                  0.5206828060367199,
                  0.376404035381082,
                  0.47524226465465064,
                  0.45850422969217375,
                  0.38911977335225445,
                  0.42006487968680584,
                  0.4229700916808816,
                  0.4087152389631136,
                  0.45546912646052484,
                  0.3847753864916989,
                  0.43033159112646224,
                  0.35606439946209634,
                  0.4214447735654865,
                  0.49937919547253795,
                  0.3895517035244611,
                  0.4215800201303845,
                  0.4467407613529927
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5353983492304702,
                  0.49379420841867294,
                  0.4981696141211827,
                  0.42495173085367743,
                  0.5068645813404431,
                  0.505903019384089,
                  0.4475794806106453,
                  0.5256134873479025,
                  0.3816705918924714,
                  0.45765208805416063,
                  0.4659863321083841,
                  0.3693421383888178,
                  0.3870882571882273,
                  0.4747762252382983,
                  0.4559358471360361,
                  0.4529682358126648,
                  0.39665175569408134,
                  0.536139565057295,
                  0.36791782177032756,
                  0.4575438220762387,
                  0.4327491722497143,
                  0.42175850365028167,
                  0.4133963202321813,
                  0.4593232375565605
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.09131199424879449,
                  0.39788684172625816,
                  0.12038904078140666,
                  0.2279731590720121,
                  0.37508742370679843,
                  0.13510046054026947,
                  0.32242082578064873,
                  0.41283841696403545,
                  0.15247134825727973,
                  0.34058519941166937,
                  0.21901762198175337,
                  0.20385987642512204,
                  0.20934806644547257,
                  0.11801407712974064,
                  0.10081679221947706,
                  0.33346573831713805,
                  0.16425574818039754,
                  0.08115817916898886,
                  0.22161753104296353,
                  0.2938135157678385,
                  0.3278040111634385,
                  0.12369477285999006,
                  0.2755700414477291,
                  0.16113431710313844
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12178799272192073,
                  0.3529478699456776,
                  0.14227059795581895,
                  0.21913433237072832,
                  0.36343589219414235,
                  0.15783533172097897,
                  0.3121368093911278,
                  0.39664671814785546,
                  0.15803154658229174,
                  0.3168234651002456,
                  0.2199256490728241,
                  0.20669570366037623,
                  0.21465774769911378,
                  0.1413217454229655,
                  0.13047344958815,
                  0.3160480066082728,
                  0.17012148476226507,
                  0.12211680972500784,
                  0.22781997416873936,
                  0.29921270073560774,
                  0.2907047053336428,
                  0.14200661711187867,
                  0.2579718064000961,
                  0.16856545429503472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3837871663311971,
                  0.14277146991602155,
                  0.3431720782203726,
                  0.20749140374716502,
                  0.11936436680491125,
                  0.3024429492665814,
                  0.12345469592319631,
                  0.10784439100586038,
                  0.22393268742296069,
                  0.13465706635436908,
                  0.23948660827204196,
                  0.18525989780684507,
                  0.2107168143937841,
                  0.30495601450019894,
                  0.3078984472801836,
                  0.12200338917574396,
                  0.22051963847663794,
                  0.34917341108856076,
                  0.1344468690541722,
                  0.12763125879322007,
                  0.17157518478298855,
                  0.2658569309249706,
                  0.14600997891059123,
                  0.28560644270092667
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.4136103565085493,
                  0.14084633845600159,
                  0.35589901616536346,
                  0.2058173984829492,
                  0.14342868914630075,
                  0.3480676876461164,
                  0.13544267120250775,
                  0.12896676920004693,
                  0.22363904529318596,
                  0.14082862293690546,
                  0.24606068301855033,
                  0.16264643471143206,
                  0.17243050947211983,
                  0.33345447981533277,
                  0.32546239753087647,
                  0.13692022918738242,
                  0.22653027091477482,
                  0.4140227553322868,
                  0.14009784758457863,
                  0.1583311213236371,
                  0.14204446689906183,
                  0.2797518865384028,
                  0.15542451381509137,
                  0.29075778326152585
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.631298901605714,
                  4.32401247949989,
                  10.10509018125486,
                  5.406229100891149,
                  3.7116988406943383,
                  14.156926643836215,
                  3.508386820060326,
                  3.6988434615307484,
                  4.560735123874753,
                  3.5227758227063366,
                  7.016838681725838,
                  4.489131408783644,
                  7.975348726565282,
                  7.7667849357131304,
                  9.376421539252286,
                  2.8604150178501704,
                  4.6513764673714,
                  30.088982832247652,
                  2.7639549311771625,
                  2.798853213151012,
                  5.41928922298887,
                  5.138512577464203,
                  3.8348326104952144,
                  5.524183763284755
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  28.26341796793525,
                  4.0603509297929605,
                  10.46670035294058,
                  5.355399770819567,
                  4.972400471198086,
                  19.54090746102472,
                  4.538585669572693,
                  5.043151199911774,
                  4.309153999321402,
                  3.8738391273125323,
                  7.940643146892636,
                  3.5729096435892567,
                  3.924360419589909,
                  8.225710985876832,
                  10.707086028413045,
                  3.615349689024847,
                  4.472944990228175,
                  34.98282166514657,
                  3.470742141433051,
                  4.538544853859309,
                  3.6198691411850765,
                  5.262013295835491,
                  3.870592028235634,
                  5.563677059819949
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.36073282815606,
                  4.126203582195307,
                  9.780318029896128,
                  5.103685977981804,
                  3.570231299471602,
                  13.804592977832701,
                  3.3623390026186804,
                  3.595330181193301,
                  4.346076002790135,
                  3.3092540499131897,
                  6.767100126695517,
                  4.1566873087590155,
                  7.539078949608357,
                  7.251538408279294,
                  8.986397183981516,
                  2.655890968987076,
                  4.475322242824442,
                  29.765679091088987,
                  2.6131021920513096,
                  2.6929385462203856,
                  5.024151810120299,
                  4.92234786425644,
                  3.65983831905569,
                  5.386100280976946
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.964485287563914,
                  3.715579107303926,
                  10.134061767995384,
                  5.01308069234763,
                  4.6293560152647455,
                  19.225454874390305,
                  4.194719594696879,
                  4.700240741570692,
                  3.9648533947670828,
                  3.5287140627733473,
                  7.603220362693564,
                  3.227214636846049,
                  3.5793310393164,
                  7.88882810288796,
                  10.374902719368366,
                  3.269735061155572,
                  4.128954595883903,
                  34.696615128141154,
                  3.1248536356327294,
                  4.194678701681005,
                  3.2742630728842874,
                  4.919517349039717,
                  3.5254608138875905,
                  5.221752445910511
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44040392283107005,
              "rpss": 0.0275531725637842,
              "brier_below": 0.2254014583225984,
              "bss_below": 0.007168217258069931,
              "brier_above": 0.21500246504806253,
              "bss_above": 0.04804421719643137,
              "crps": 7.472121804334374,
              "crpss": 0.07652381196789448,
              "crps_fair": 7.218955717706424,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06902173417908741,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000273,
                    0.584963,
                    0.304933,
                    0.1092,
                    0.000631,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1923,
                    0.2602,
                    0.3451,
                    0.4309,
                    0.5025,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.3188,
                    0.3307,
                    0.5566,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.219543,
                    0.570309,
                    0.11924,
                    0.090908,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2853,
                    0.3461,
                    0.4236,
                    0.5201,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1018,
                    0.3831,
                    0.5684,
                    0.396,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4099802462085003,
                  0.5216229361762929,
                  0.4139755335659906,
                  0.3920939959100476,
                  0.45180713251728655,
                  0.3753275870195117,
                  0.34836870981270573,
                  0.4494467962112156,
                  0.4081034573599915
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4733202418518604,
                  0.5175132171561374,
                  0.42206595620479304,
                  0.4013714050174716,
                  0.42310758432849904,
                  0.388495125206943,
                  0.3482199579471491,
                  0.47328875645663954,
                  0.4209458852063225
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.0859903457296277,
                  0.10482119804115493,
                  0.14168300897432243,
                  0.16401853703043742,
                  0.15848065034765485,
                  0.16941411665044553,
                  0.22389830411330228,
                  0.12296456271605603,
                  0.2183868878239979
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11507171159064906,
                  0.11428366490199293,
                  0.15193084363649126,
                  0.17734210272829803,
                  0.1487063489356475,
                  0.1758202624767129,
                  0.22023233916730128,
                  0.13780936925984824,
                  0.2189891736534184
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.32398987911002963,
                  0.41680170681319,
                  0.2722925171163272,
                  0.22807546068282544,
                  0.29332647135398554,
                  0.20591347244116112,
                  0.1244704208580475,
                  0.32648221584307224,
                  0.18971657073191273
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3582485060112543,
                  0.40322951985413313,
                  0.2701351039674281,
                  0.22402930203948201,
                  0.27440122602913586,
                  0.2126748645108702,
                  0.12798763559692372,
                  0.3354793670182738,
                  0.20195671525009873
                ],
                "crps": [
                  14.310711755573308,
                  13.590882700388065,
                  5.2512708082261055,
                  6.0834709188092475,
                  5.189873488066674,
                  3.661433835042073,
                  1.9435753236200048,
                  11.688735917272263,
                  3.2450020107811706
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.919010102183197,
                  11.704139398993496,
                  5.268601925611098,
                  5.734916988210948,
                  3.9705128247256236,
                  3.4292882345150906,
                  2.7251643835583663,
                  12.393969039444539,
                  3.967982819777912
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  14.136900800010732,
                  13.490351843969464,
                  5.132469363514526,
                  5.936847181951771,
                  5.130591902582413,
                  3.566911143267903,
                  1.8806902763779216,
                  11.519165423099832,
                  3.202652909690178
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.644581682691364,
                  11.429710979501666,
                  4.994173506119268,
                  5.460488568719119,
                  3.696084405233794,
                  3.1548598150232596,
                  2.4507359640665367,
                  12.119540619952712,
                  3.6935544002860827
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.41896959942017137,
              "rpss": 0.02523098644427102,
              "brier_below": 0.15440640126966654,
              "bss_below": 0.048300842354188744,
              "brier_above": 0.2645631905500613,
              "bss_above": 0.011242494265590985,
              "crps": 7.2183285286421,
              "crpss": 0.002282610573579924,
              "crps_fair": 7.110731204940526,
              "crpss_fair": -0.021595950690233012,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.555996,
                    0.337122,
                    0.106882,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2501,
                    0.3494,
                    0.4238,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1512,
                    0.1293,
                    0.2406,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.245151,
                    0.645887,
                    0.041178,
                    0.067784,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2797,
                    0.3393,
                    0.4201,
                    0.5155,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3521,
                    0.5092,
                    0.6618,
                    0.3968,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.40427321717323494,
                  0.5259303812306526,
                  0.4067486895842192,
                  0.40081153103094463,
                  0.43284208208698244,
                  0.37568826491642077,
                  0.33676741451812364,
                  0.4383169728670117,
                  0.3990927995342035
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4576225967487249,
                  0.5167450672628792,
                  0.40881671202854164,
                  0.4096536744591132,
                  0.41184885881923466,
                  0.39287313238771626,
                  0.3366631828286109,
                  0.46381266676022176,
                  0.4162615949646041
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.08751032108732636,
                  0.108329571473053,
                  0.1507423169751402,
                  0.1627188398537842,
                  0.16452333808043548,
                  0.17883400902587887,
                  0.20850776769171311,
                  0.12650849731617672,
                  0.24549119628133775
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11577112639039783,
                  0.11703674467143077,
                  0.15884586267928782,
                  0.17731474889024865,
                  0.15838289694942173,
                  0.18703544846378725,
                  0.2065177572586905,
                  0.14244779211808567,
                  0.2438142728428437
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.31676287756776533,
                  0.417600779077923,
                  0.2560063686077448,
                  0.23809269199924316,
                  0.268318736993638,
                  0.1968542593237405,
                  0.1282596614967998,
                  0.31180846073204965,
                  0.15360160942949194
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3418514490908821,
                  0.39970829079644776,
                  0.2499708443293965,
                  0.23233892388378583,
                  0.2534659562249808,
                  0.20583768692203638,
                  0.13014544197651573,
                  0.32136485698237466,
                  0.17244733109052923
                ],
                "crps": [
                  15.279166941456454,
                  16.581416477666156,
                  5.583006049713002,
                  7.374639200751094,
                  5.925049972573649,
                  4.235351018825739,
                  2.2905880403625813,
                  13.732669821113419,
                  3.4506470042124766
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  16.58323233373649,
                  14.09866702590123,
                  5.472641806214493,
                  6.970675714061375,
                  4.589557998303746,
                  3.9354664455353094,
                  3.2143347818955066,
                  14.637775319065193,
                  4.426972312717931
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  15.081591175975724,
                  16.47002190248675,
                  5.446415443488004,
                  7.199737388109716,
                  5.857247685133561,
                  4.126435202954935,
                  2.219958159326642,
                  13.529292881543197,
                  3.402521724784065
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.260142276090644,
                  13.775576968255391,
                  5.149551748568657,
                  6.647585656415538,
                  4.266467940657907,
                  3.6123763878894715,
                  2.891244724249668,
                  14.314685261419358,
                  4.103882255072093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4133857058824215,
              "rpss": 0.02459853581317273,
              "brier_below": 0.15924065086498285,
              "bss_below": 0.04909927675640691,
              "brier_above": 0.2541450494698218,
              "bss_above": 0.008593069898450989,
              "crps": 8.272503836297174,
              "crpss": -0.00707717537227226,
              "crps_fair": 8.148135729311399,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03254940989595578,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.583656,
                    0.305803,
                    0.110541,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2487,
                    0.3502,
                    0.4241,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1637,
                    0.1433,
                    0.2687,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.261393,
                    0.613663,
                    0.040042,
                    0.084902,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2798,
                    0.3401,
                    0.4212,
                    0.5155,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3304,
                    0.4779,
                    0.5701,
                    0.3908,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "mvs_r4": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7174882144917311,
            "training": [
              0.731243433200189,
              0.7096695742490167,
              0.7230984780146719,
              0.7197680841784904,
              0.728947298820508,
              0.7320499244235472,
              0.7057701362018562,
              0.7234487126950054,
              0.7240768809469565,
              0.7080999033635746,
              0.7170775451944085,
              0.6983983434593041,
              0.69434330176333,
              0.7240147832973775,
              0.7340621948693286,
              0.7245367569590125,
              0.7022166460588954,
              0.7371425216252663,
              0.7180891737357223,
              0.7334797889953576,
              0.7165552342638619,
              0.7060239511037041,
              0.7170423762430096,
              0.6905621041391561
            ],
            "test": 0.7178549185930467
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46627419144105714,
                  0.5192724192537322,
                  0.45206002365905945,
                  0.41975895627523246,
                  0.49114427718566345,
                  0.4413696211695118,
                  0.45326230551618885,
                  0.5159926632477845,
                  0.37322185949590786,
                  0.4561261603050993,
                  0.46475802849469305,
                  0.38916302101077116,
                  0.4306029912187376,
                  0.4266744265413272,
                  0.4243167900094147,
                  0.4749833453905094,
                  0.3947944806046508,
                  0.42334688528112835,
                  0.37762294097676063,
                  0.4324414163847583,
                  0.4970169810648855,
                  0.3831606453920899,
                  0.42565831156486256,
                  0.4256503382230022
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5290059509583732,
                  0.4798896228256101,
                  0.4849075864486966,
                  0.41241504425749453,
                  0.5029558847077034,
                  0.5029939351629127,
                  0.4590515135406598,
                  0.5225990904174145,
                  0.3820603897566554,
                  0.4436804399577896,
                  0.4801714460795853,
                  0.3809037399509187,
                  0.40151024353467196,
                  0.4700844665522386,
                  0.466118920990152,
                  0.4707394720701949,
                  0.4008721558163862,
                  0.516086904524994,
                  0.38688232612428824,
                  0.4662425666589424,
                  0.43843885609330674,
                  0.41402493320976497,
                  0.41674923264831454,
                  0.4416090925394558
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.09098451610492689,
                  0.36146537657563677,
                  0.12826549421724334,
                  0.21938011381660014,
                  0.36955252804845967,
                  0.13589329865393704,
                  0.3327796520815342,
                  0.4085596981197747,
                  0.15258379197345046,
                  0.30526374444926935,
                  0.1967056641629205,
                  0.18486140135289805,
                  0.21477674129248395,
                  0.13504273538899056,
                  0.10457314230814388,
                  0.3567596274457801,
                  0.15696601393885765,
                  0.09059889271136101,
                  0.25129209985552214,
                  0.3102818507824665,
                  0.3367339236051132,
                  0.12278757539237564,
                  0.27196922317560945,
                  0.162543684467552
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12144482644300966,
                  0.3240468021697362,
                  0.14785333547007734,
                  0.213053356723655,
                  0.3586999017921628,
                  0.15821566468317896,
                  0.3243944706740214,
                  0.394624630145807,
                  0.15897941369422167,
                  0.2874936534337067,
                  0.202814560835241,
                  0.1934689386829828,
                  0.21938847245972978,
                  0.15272693725494546,
                  0.13190277579879756,
                  0.3369986467976019,
                  0.16324503224865392,
                  0.12718492747837762,
                  0.2526297611075025,
                  0.31415579752145567,
                  0.30060479918432803,
                  0.1409360490589818,
                  0.2547240986771653,
                  0.1707498076532336
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3752896759654371,
                  0.15780704362210896,
                  0.3237945297086981,
                  0.20037884308421702,
                  0.12159175035594659,
                  0.30547632180544626,
                  0.12048265478223859,
                  0.10743296665173944,
                  0.22063806778884326,
                  0.15086241687242527,
                  0.26805236504286506,
                  0.20430162048118425,
                  0.21582625081064657,
                  0.29163169106647097,
                  0.319743648556083,
                  0.11822371870393336,
                  0.23782846640619107,
                  0.33274799193926247,
                  0.126330841543191,
                  0.12215956656246456,
                  0.1602830577119333,
                  0.26037307030111767,
                  0.15368908848946833,
                  0.2631066527281164
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.4075611245153635,
                  0.15584282064148194,
                  0.3370542509786193,
                  0.1993616875338394,
                  0.1442559829155402,
                  0.3447782704653306,
                  0.13465704285224642,
                  0.12797446027160747,
                  0.223080976048053,
                  0.15618678650969067,
                  0.27735688522986196,
                  0.1874348012535438,
                  0.18212177106055027,
                  0.31735752929729294,
                  0.33421614517691706,
                  0.13374082525820083,
                  0.23762712355331733,
                  0.3889019770466165,
                  0.1342525650023936,
                  0.15208676912310592,
                  0.13783405689458672,
                  0.2730888841507831,
                  0.16202513395676843,
                  0.2708592848862224
                ],
                "crps": [
                  21.77672013298704,
                  3.8089218228731294,
                  8.358202495343194,
                  4.41611017767774,
                  3.1151486013427316,
                  12.026266010929401,
                  2.9524936391415095,
                  3.0762422451337486,
                  3.8387989190561327,
                  3.0592908247311055,
                  7.03681564713734,
                  3.8751364395296406,
                  6.921296207857495,
                  6.618267023738219,
                  9.425930442448841,
                  2.461106856798045,
                  4.016862280263839,
                  24.23871050606916,
                  2.340130870874294,
                  2.3703237317447305,
                  4.552930606665081,
                  4.266343861542399,
                  3.2850304339416745,
                  4.546306438657488
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.284667911212587,
                  3.570418694039729,
                  8.664187246161891,
                  4.414584188793243,
                  4.17412909889816,
                  16.25329471183794,
                  3.8584724401638506,
                  4.245696599510476,
                  3.6698911288086773,
                  3.32770100825122,
                  7.9273830692352805,
                  3.158727103335094,
                  3.386806343170413,
                  6.902319664533068,
                  10.632197368513724,
                  3.1240434276464755,
                  3.8782525052097263,
                  28.264469349246895,
                  2.9648792529408503,
                  3.872969400259919,
                  3.1007437566346607,
                  4.353545654719579,
                  3.299826968492685,
                  4.614204893386611
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  21.536284156688158,
                  3.641659979596867,
                  8.086123337397527,
                  4.165583038068301,
                  2.989277263751938,
                  11.737208293631417,
                  2.821441364040157,
                  2.9848479688548895,
                  3.649947246864016,
                  2.88063212225906,
                  6.820968615741043,
                  3.5876236251475326,
                  6.541157689397197,
                  6.176192984566103,
                  9.10332935152188,
                  2.2891737710266526,
                  3.8670352259129595,
                  23.95334448747635,
                  2.2070337695325946,
                  2.277894608121971,
                  4.226842376026942,
                  4.0740008680391195,
                  3.1326512089698415,
                  4.426139928984651
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  23.029391203416978,
                  3.2778043930297773,
                  8.381220234076412,
                  4.1235686860688086,
                  3.882658188806501,
                  15.98470100934654,
                  3.5664036954912555,
                  3.9543612339275516,
                  3.3774652225615456,
                  3.0346270146545478,
                  7.643020594693502,
                  2.865333083403353,
                  3.093844291495935,
                  6.61601578202784,
                  10.352957648326644,
                  2.8305837189350216,
                  3.586221222781536,
                  28.01862408356878,
                  2.671118096928818,
                  3.580928111951141,
                  2.807239919758411,
                  4.062414548710915,
                  3.0067001831540465,
                  4.323567460178454
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4399447116544512,
              "rpss": 0.028640378313284476,
              "brier_below": 0.22502586624670448,
              "bss_below": 0.00912161452936211,
              "brier_above": 0.21491884587416785,
              "bss_above": 0.048269631487446785,
              "crps": 6.349307759020166,
              "crpss": 0.07614748253716408,
              "crps_fair": 6.132349720067381,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06892087873908881,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000232,
                    0.558632,
                    0.334711,
                    0.105694,
                    0.000731,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.192,
                    0.2606,
                    0.3452,
                    0.4304,
                    0.504,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.3162,
                    0.3357,
                    0.5601,
                    0.1801,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.215456,
                    0.594367,
                    0.116348,
                    0.073828,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.285,
                    0.3462,
                    0.423,
                    0.5209,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1105,
                    0.3793,
                    0.5654,
                    0.3996,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.47463309430211365,
                  0.5408676106774062,
                  0.4632897338676838,
                  0.4357020778204054,
                  0.49386434296868814,
                  0.43719356154210137,
                  0.44617529312429915,
                  0.520842543642712,
                  0.3762288595375908,
                  0.4754476041240163,
                  0.458323122982984,
                  0.3895960664800674,
                  0.42051743858376234,
                  0.4222517226814742,
                  0.4083249493908702,
                  0.4556905330640981,
                  0.3849290501539092,
                  0.4298977076069467,
                  0.35606306989002695,
                  0.4213524406513285,
                  0.4996795810809195,
                  0.3886310246479815,
                  0.4217961168398968,
                  0.4460721988607864
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5353983492304702,
                  0.49379420841867294,
                  0.4981696141211827,
                  0.42495173085367743,
                  0.5068645813404431,
                  0.505903019384089,
                  0.4475794806106453,
                  0.5256134873479025,
                  0.3816705918924714,
                  0.45765208805416063,
                  0.4659863321083841,
                  0.3693421383888178,
                  0.3870882571882273,
                  0.4747762252382983,
                  0.4559358471360361,
                  0.4529682358126648,
                  0.39665175569408134,
                  0.536139565057295,
                  0.36791782177032756,
                  0.4575438220762387,
                  0.4327491722497143,
                  0.42175850365028167,
                  0.4133963202321813,
                  0.4593232375565605
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.09124062905200772,
                  0.39781813193908366,
                  0.12027086416369114,
                  0.22800387086042687,
                  0.3748587398032035,
                  0.13490407826551495,
                  0.32255524354266996,
                  0.4129521063064272,
                  0.15252256168084433,
                  0.3405714040226856,
                  0.21904201901006887,
                  0.203889825288606,
                  0.20936356857323807,
                  0.11794881125269115,
                  0.10065031510441438,
                  0.33357476798940777,
                  0.16426858977885067,
                  0.08116683787172946,
                  0.2214042415868131,
                  0.29378110925275175,
                  0.3278586668865677,
                  0.12307735026986392,
                  0.2756273967533502,
                  0.16084000386952557
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12178799272192073,
                  0.3529478699456776,
                  0.14227059795581895,
                  0.21913433237072832,
                  0.36343589219414235,
                  0.15783533172097897,
                  0.3121368093911278,
                  0.39664671814785546,
                  0.15803154658229174,
                  0.3168234651002456,
                  0.2199256490728241,
                  0.20669570366037623,
                  0.21465774769911378,
                  0.1413217454229655,
                  0.13047344958815,
                  0.3160480066082728,
                  0.17012148476226507,
                  0.12211680972500784,
                  0.22781997416873936,
                  0.29921270073560774,
                  0.2907047053336428,
                  0.14200661711187867,
                  0.2579718064000961,
                  0.16856545429503472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3833924660448643,
                  0.14304947966873835,
                  0.34301887001403464,
                  0.20769820790256852,
                  0.11900560454437442,
                  0.3022894825001624,
                  0.12362005117622926,
                  0.10789043926765352,
                  0.2237062981616724,
                  0.1348762012432742,
                  0.23928110455056256,
                  0.18570624208963368,
                  0.21115387117165674,
                  0.30430291136259724,
                  0.30767463482077867,
                  0.12211576612010855,
                  0.22066046053460606,
                  0.3487308687614952,
                  0.13465882894117218,
                  0.12757133240717325,
                  0.1718209146947944,
                  0.26555367461990326,
                  0.14616872032612416,
                  0.2852321934399912
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.4136103565085493,
                  0.14084633845600159,
                  0.35589901616536346,
                  0.2058173984829492,
                  0.14342868914630075,
                  0.3480676876461164,
                  0.13544267120250775,
                  0.12896676920004693,
                  0.22363904529318596,
                  0.14082862293690546,
                  0.24606068301855033,
                  0.16264643471143206,
                  0.17243050947211983,
                  0.33345447981533277,
                  0.32546239753087647,
                  0.13692022918738242,
                  0.22653027091477482,
                  0.4140227553322868,
                  0.14009784758457863,
                  0.1583311213236371,
                  0.14204446689906183,
                  0.2797518865384028,
                  0.15542451381509137,
                  0.29075778326152585
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.630798553071006,
                  4.312356988202437,
                  10.105043604146525,
                  5.402037153289798,
                  3.6979251451848385,
                  14.158889498095085,
                  3.4971171639404184,
                  3.6872860128554477,
                  4.555711576993513,
                  3.511698306120812,
                  7.018844932284838,
                  4.485925406232357,
                  7.98394707681645,
                  7.7768166324021575,
                  9.375778468371715,
                  2.853349358121515,
                  4.655115305677504,
                  30.100221553489057,
                  2.7598639782886174,
                  2.792433125184658,
                  5.418360917756569,
                  5.134026530269816,
                  3.8332456986608863,
                  5.518185728356006
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  28.26341796793525,
                  4.0603509297929605,
                  10.46670035294058,
                  5.355399770819567,
                  4.972400471198086,
                  19.54090746102472,
                  4.538585669572693,
                  5.043151199911774,
                  4.309153999321402,
                  3.8738391273125323,
                  7.940643146892636,
                  3.5729096435892567,
                  3.924360419589909,
                  8.225710985876832,
                  10.707086028413045,
                  3.615349689024847,
                  4.472944990228175,
                  34.98282166514657,
                  3.470742141433051,
                  4.538544853859309,
                  3.6198691411850765,
                  5.262013295835491,
                  3.870592028235634,
                  5.563677059819949
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.35993732594557,
                  4.114447893939196,
                  9.780020308507112,
                  5.099099333657471,
                  3.556568146778183,
                  13.806317825963982,
                  3.350902544665574,
                  3.5837848307319473,
                  4.340973960149905,
                  3.298068877127618,
                  6.7688253660577695,
                  4.153017751662274,
                  7.546045343852469,
                  7.259964670637051,
                  8.98516865712258,
                  2.648362703451444,
                  4.478935141839646,
                  29.77710425919319,
                  2.6088550284633074,
                  2.6864394081048286,
                  5.022900537376093,
                  4.9176262297541475,
                  3.6580804979709223,
                  5.379959533558606
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.964485287563914,
                  3.715579107303926,
                  10.134061767995384,
                  5.01308069234763,
                  4.6293560152647455,
                  19.225454874390305,
                  4.194719594696879,
                  4.700240741570692,
                  3.9648533947670828,
                  3.5287140627733473,
                  7.603220362693564,
                  3.227214636846049,
                  3.5793310393164,
                  7.88882810288796,
                  10.374902719368366,
                  3.269735061155572,
                  4.128954595883903,
                  34.696615128141154,
                  3.1248536356327294,
                  4.194678701681005,
                  3.2742630728842874,
                  4.919517349039717,
                  3.5254608138875905,
                  5.221752445910511
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4403070726884195,
              "rpss": 0.027767025368164,
              "brier_below": 0.22534129721351806,
              "bss_below": 0.00743321049114154,
              "brier_above": 0.21496577601517375,
              "bss_above": 0.04820666341311142,
              "crps": 7.469374113075502,
              "crpss": 0.07686339790025443,
              "crps_fair": 7.215891924021288,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06941685023788602,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000273,
                    0.583009,
                    0.307412,
                    0.108674,
                    0.000631,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.192,
                    0.2597,
                    0.3448,
                    0.4316,
                    0.5037,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.3188,
                    0.33,
                    0.5593,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.218677,
                    0.569211,
                    0.11954,
                    0.092572,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2848,
                    0.346,
                    0.4237,
                    0.5208,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1012,
                    0.3818,
                    0.5701,
                    0.4001,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.40983554598537253,
                  0.5212576019575887,
                  0.4133968401720798,
                  0.39154557500103654,
                  0.45093037655955065,
                  0.37401468783587055,
                  0.34950986882399826,
                  0.4491184959932645,
                  0.40777650064043863
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4733202418518604,
                  0.5175132171561374,
                  0.42206595620479304,
                  0.4013714050174716,
                  0.42310758432849904,
                  0.388495125206943,
                  0.3482199579471491,
                  0.47328875645663954,
                  0.4209458852063225
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.08565835363558619,
                  0.10421615841710624,
                  0.14108538241907959,
                  0.16346941805219464,
                  0.15758044770890264,
                  0.16858053982868365,
                  0.22469563447875227,
                  0.12236492651083077,
                  0.21773523124637928
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11507171159064906,
                  0.11428366490199293,
                  0.15193084363649126,
                  0.17734210272829803,
                  0.1487063489356475,
                  0.1758202624767129,
                  0.22023233916730128,
                  0.13780936925984824,
                  0.2189891736534184
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3241771709789122,
                  0.41704141220606034,
                  0.2723114503071089,
                  0.22807615874586923,
                  0.2933499180853557,
                  0.20543415011253022,
                  0.12481424950493271,
                  0.3267535518263252,
                  0.19004127063294307
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3582485060112543,
                  0.40322951985413313,
                  0.2701351039674281,
                  0.22402930203948201,
                  0.27440122602913586,
                  0.2126748645108702,
                  0.12798763559692372,
                  0.3354793670182738,
                  0.20195671525009873
                ],
                "crps": [
                  14.323895877688084,
                  13.591497761892398,
                  5.251572856662313,
                  6.084258336454402,
                  5.18129846354387,
                  3.6482826035015457,
                  1.940430098512788,
                  11.689479045050165,
                  3.2366111287659525
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.919010102183197,
                  11.704139398993496,
                  5.268601925611098,
                  5.734916988210948,
                  3.9705128247256236,
                  3.4292882345150906,
                  2.7251643835583663,
                  12.393969039444539,
                  3.967982819777912
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  14.150206602927065,
                  13.49114080230515,
                  5.132829994281205,
                  5.937678607988798,
                  5.122027405805722,
                  3.5538771487422522,
                  1.8776486211546173,
                  11.519906471250033,
                  3.194320903966087
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.644581682691364,
                  11.429710979501666,
                  4.994173506119268,
                  5.460488568719119,
                  3.696084405233794,
                  3.1548598150232596,
                  2.4507359640665367,
                  12.119540619952712,
                  3.6935544002860827
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4185983881076889,
              "rpss": 0.02609464167221609,
              "brier_below": 0.15393178803305727,
              "bss_below": 0.05122616807756808,
              "brier_above": 0.264666592488893,
              "bss_above": 0.010856048052439338,
              "crps": 7.216369574674614,
              "crpss": 0.002553377196447215,
              "crps_fair": 7.108848506491215,
              "crpss_fair": -0.021325464145776074,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.561986,
                    0.334349,
                    0.103665,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2498,
                    0.3493,
                    0.4241,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1501,
                    0.131,
                    0.2438,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.244704,
                    0.644922,
                    0.041003,
                    0.069371,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2795,
                    0.3394,
                    0.4205,
                    0.516,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3527,
                    0.5095,
                    0.6603,
                    0.3941,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.40446351025973404,
                  0.526230866628825,
                  0.40677758195588826,
                  0.4008038344808187,
                  0.4326861637876837,
                  0.3749103584372233,
                  0.33710184623928996,
                  0.4385927542607367,
                  0.3994114425650644
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4576225967487249,
                  0.5167450672628792,
                  0.40881671202854164,
                  0.4096536744591132,
                  0.41184885881923466,
                  0.39287313238771626,
                  0.3366631828286109,
                  0.46381266676022176,
                  0.4162615949646041
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.08743803130036919,
                  0.10832018236660533,
                  0.15074037294765472,
                  0.16271317618520326,
                  0.16436909560950277,
                  0.17863837652632658,
                  0.20841307658381877,
                  0.12648383684407982,
                  0.2455119481754621
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11577112639039783,
                  0.11703674467143077,
                  0.15884586267928782,
                  0.17731474889024865,
                  0.15838289694942173,
                  0.18703544846378725,
                  0.2065177572586905,
                  0.14244779211808567,
                  0.2438142728428437
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.31702546045135105,
                  0.41791065359845925,
                  0.2560372050322558,
                  0.238090659129121,
                  0.2683170611957006,
                  0.19627198537722515,
                  0.12868878435193387,
                  0.31210890260346585,
                  0.15389950057295687
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3418514490908821,
                  0.39970829079644776,
                  0.2499708443293965,
                  0.23233892388378583,
                  0.2534659562249808,
                  0.20583768692203638,
                  0.13014544197651573,
                  0.32136485698237466,
                  0.17244733109052923
                ],
                "crps": [
                  15.277420710444375,
                  16.58618091318324,
                  5.58246481095645,
                  7.378591064808761,
                  5.920768076324895,
                  4.223575541405791,
                  2.2849897768920684,
                  13.736768207433508,
                  3.4427079552721622
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  16.58323233373649,
                  14.09866702590123,
                  5.472641806214493,
                  6.970675714061375,
                  4.589557998303746,
                  3.9354664455353094,
                  3.2143347818955066,
                  14.637775319065193,
                  4.426972312717931
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  15.079620128348358,
                  16.474658017997474,
                  5.445747133062445,
                  7.203529152186368,
                  5.85290180705285,
                  4.114593289339967,
                  2.21433763402707,
                  13.533182590285195,
                  3.3945451204865416
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.260142276090644,
                  13.775576968255391,
                  5.149551748568657,
                  6.647585656415538,
                  4.266467940657907,
                  3.6123763878894715,
                  2.891244724249668,
                  14.314685261419358,
                  4.103882255072093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4134420398461405,
              "rpss": 0.02446561338766795,
              "brier_below": 0.15918089961544699,
              "bss_below": 0.0494560795331459,
              "brier_above": 0.2542611347013855,
              "bss_above": 0.008140227306022818,
              "crps": 8.270385228524582,
              "crpss": -0.006819260528886817,
              "crps_fair": 8.145901652531807,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03226630284704757,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.583129,
                    0.306432,
                    0.110439,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2484,
                    0.3502,
                    0.4244,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1633,
                    0.144,
                    0.2689,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.260349,
                    0.612829,
                    0.040043,
                    0.086779,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2797,
                    0.3401,
                    0.4216,
                    0.516,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3309,
                    0.4782,
                    0.5675,
                    0.3884,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "vs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7166656692631523,
            "training": [
              0.7303830790600572,
              0.7083604922279655,
              0.7222810654174594,
              0.7194206689733941,
              0.7280547473069403,
              0.7310374076351963,
              0.7047389978957375,
              0.7224684379887231,
              0.7229362488506572,
              0.7081023085165831,
              0.7159662726238366,
              0.6983637608013347,
              0.6931566687486296,
              0.7227426877396278,
              0.733544984520879,
              0.723746103734204,
              0.7015632921361982,
              0.7343308516785126,
              0.7174544678966059,
              0.7328408124705965,
              0.7163828461702988,
              0.7057282858983529,
              0.716929136246382,
              0.6894424377774818
            ],
            "test": 0.717126130843664
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46587810394821466,
                  0.5189015551666666,
                  0.4516242893588918,
                  0.41938318623482185,
                  0.49185661680449,
                  0.4407105306556269,
                  0.4541853448295176,
                  0.5164781279061323,
                  0.37294845395190734,
                  0.4557358566419551,
                  0.4644805461739648,
                  0.38879433887634235,
                  0.43063070270562015,
                  0.42665036043259136,
                  0.42370980826097937,
                  0.475927063520575,
                  0.3942274047813033,
                  0.42190621650657345,
                  0.37825867044706457,
                  0.43345067595814096,
                  0.4977009801764119,
                  0.3827549675030369,
                  0.42570892449584274,
                  0.42619580563223425
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5290059509583732,
                  0.4798896228256101,
                  0.4849075864486966,
                  0.41241504425749453,
                  0.5029558847077034,
                  0.5029939351629127,
                  0.4590515135406598,
                  0.5225990904174145,
                  0.3820603897566554,
                  0.4436804399577896,
                  0.4801714460795853,
                  0.3809037399509187,
                  0.40151024353467196,
                  0.4700844665522386,
                  0.466118920990152,
                  0.4707394720701949,
                  0.4008721558163862,
                  0.516086904524994,
                  0.38688232612428824,
                  0.4662425666589424,
                  0.43843885609330674,
                  0.41402493320976497,
                  0.41674923264831454,
                  0.4416090925394558
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.09067330513860263,
                  0.3610748435175544,
                  0.12784852159529944,
                  0.21901233894963473,
                  0.3703033982135406,
                  0.1353695061640265,
                  0.3337305333243805,
                  0.4090961570171778,
                  0.15232278421821033,
                  0.3048783863372152,
                  0.1964176662941876,
                  0.1844484759789081,
                  0.214597829576374,
                  0.13511394001087873,
                  0.1039484472762438,
                  0.35775204226762436,
                  0.15643648136431018,
                  0.09018251112771113,
                  0.25194032805714833,
                  0.3113413751859897,
                  0.3374202328086705,
                  0.12240717276712235,
                  0.27204057055960346,
                  0.16314940101893952
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12144482644300966,
                  0.3240468021697362,
                  0.14785333547007734,
                  0.213053356723655,
                  0.3586999017921628,
                  0.15821566468317896,
                  0.3243944706740214,
                  0.394624630145807,
                  0.15897941369422167,
                  0.2874936534337067,
                  0.202814560835241,
                  0.1934689386829828,
                  0.21938847245972978,
                  0.15272693725494546,
                  0.13190277579879756,
                  0.3369986467976019,
                  0.16324503224865392,
                  0.12718492747837762,
                  0.2526297611075025,
                  0.31415579752145567,
                  0.30060479918432803,
                  0.1409360490589818,
                  0.2547240986771653,
                  0.1707498076532336
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.37520479944319834,
                  0.15782671257095396,
                  0.3237757680014985,
                  0.20037084792581822,
                  0.12155321981718034,
                  0.3053410237524019,
                  0.12045481287441581,
                  0.10738197240423036,
                  0.22062567002334474,
                  0.15085747131141392,
                  0.26806288059475186,
                  0.2043458636763141,
                  0.21603287399925944,
                  0.29153642035353833,
                  0.319761361855295,
                  0.11817502205015398,
                  0.23779092316556263,
                  0.33172370470300594,
                  0.1263183428357241,
                  0.12210930173981707,
                  0.1602807476412085,
                  0.26034779503568145,
                  0.15366835404424994,
                  0.26304640359733367
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.4075611245153635,
                  0.15584282064148194,
                  0.3370542509786193,
                  0.1993616875338394,
                  0.1442559829155402,
                  0.3447782704653306,
                  0.13465704285224642,
                  0.12797446027160747,
                  0.223080976048053,
                  0.15618678650969067,
                  0.27735688522986196,
                  0.1874348012535438,
                  0.18212177106055027,
                  0.31735752929729294,
                  0.33421614517691706,
                  0.13374082525820083,
                  0.23762712355331733,
                  0.3889019770466165,
                  0.1342525650023936,
                  0.15208676912310592,
                  0.13783405689458672,
                  0.2730888841507831,
                  0.16202513395676843,
                  0.2708592848862224
                ],
                "crps": [
                  21.773887825433164,
                  3.8086001518425903,
                  8.356586396112604,
                  4.414659089696276,
                  3.115822500592483,
                  12.026734971876598,
                  2.9545427506672817,
                  3.0764015548004995,
                  3.8371695333326508,
                  3.058461119840404,
                  7.037788763017043,
                  3.874872118750289,
                  6.922262545690477,
                  6.618912430897021,
                  9.427451860176904,
                  2.4631589789602293,
                  4.014132865356374,
                  24.24231443597048,
                  2.3430360512934607,
                  2.3729879182202525,
                  4.555113162417109,
                  4.2631520200974835,
                  3.2856546201849772,
                  4.543693946694959
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.284667911212587,
                  3.570418694039729,
                  8.664187246161891,
                  4.414584188793243,
                  4.17412909889816,
                  16.25329471183794,
                  3.8584724401638506,
                  4.245696599510476,
                  3.6698911288086773,
                  3.32770100825122,
                  7.9273830692352805,
                  3.158727103335094,
                  3.386806343170413,
                  6.902319664533068,
                  10.632197368513724,
                  3.1240434276464755,
                  3.8782525052097263,
                  28.264469349246895,
                  2.9648792529408503,
                  3.872969400259919,
                  3.1007437566346607,
                  4.353545654719579,
                  3.299826968492685,
                  4.614204893386611
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  21.533768963121435,
                  3.64154084540663,
                  8.084791328384346,
                  4.1643468207917325,
                  2.9902527907931247,
                  11.737940086108445,
                  2.8236739140186944,
                  2.985293524465241,
                  3.6487293681689645,
                  2.8800459070599493,
                  6.8221741233611795,
                  3.5876392785449016,
                  6.5423730631740336,
                  6.177127956845144,
                  9.105211865195402,
                  2.291402361663663,
                  3.8644773616863377,
                  23.957427895292795,
                  2.210093304856427,
                  2.2806812380198473,
                  4.229452985829232,
                  4.071084496840382,
                  3.1333971682552044,
                  4.423627769650364
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  23.029391203416978,
                  3.2778043930297773,
                  8.381220234076412,
                  4.1235686860688086,
                  3.882658188806501,
                  15.98470100934654,
                  3.5664036954912555,
                  3.9543612339275516,
                  3.3774652225615456,
                  3.0346270146545478,
                  7.643020594693502,
                  2.865333083403353,
                  3.093844291495935,
                  6.61601578202784,
                  10.352957648326644,
                  2.8305837189350216,
                  3.586221222781536,
                  28.01862408356878,
                  2.671118096928818,
                  3.580928111951141,
                  2.807239919758411,
                  4.062414548710915,
                  3.0067001831540465,
                  4.323567460178454
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4399207721237044,
              "rpss": 0.028693234712994675,
              "brier_below": 0.22506276036538975,
              "bss_below": 0.008959155051409762,
              "brier_above": 0.21485801222568135,
              "bss_above": 0.04853902261718468,
              "crps": 6.349474900496734,
              "crpss": 0.07612316270896236,
              "crps_fair": 6.132773100730561,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06885659654485221,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000232,
                    0.564486,
                    0.330876,
                    0.10351,
                    0.000897,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1918,
                    0.2604,
                    0.3451,
                    0.4306,
                    0.5032,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.3157,
                    0.3379,
                    0.5628,
                    0.1102,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.215683,
                    0.594071,
                    0.116176,
                    0.07407,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2849,
                    0.3462,
                    0.4233,
                    0.5214,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1108,
                    0.3791,
                    0.565,
                    0.4016,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.47446569390642745,
                  0.5411400423460139,
                  0.46322445999680445,
                  0.43573960975655673,
                  0.4938839806336698,
                  0.4369866448616648,
                  0.44622431961229836,
                  0.520887729923015,
                  0.3762450794216758,
                  0.4754473785372042,
                  0.4583326100399914,
                  0.38962239306079327,
                  0.4207478617726771,
                  0.4220483083789764,
                  0.4082486335121261,
                  0.4557250932161235,
                  0.38492654710598134,
                  0.4282443319120716,
                  0.3560651726664077,
                  0.4213007493828091,
                  0.4997260599475507,
                  0.3886081414017539,
                  0.42182591755815,
                  0.446009662455876
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5353983492304702,
                  0.49379420841867294,
                  0.4981696141211827,
                  0.42495173085367743,
                  0.5068645813404431,
                  0.505903019384089,
                  0.4475794806106453,
                  0.5256134873479025,
                  0.3816705918924714,
                  0.45765208805416063,
                  0.4659863321083841,
                  0.3693421383888178,
                  0.3870882571882273,
                  0.4747762252382983,
                  0.4559358471360361,
                  0.4529682358126648,
                  0.39665175569408134,
                  0.536139565057295,
                  0.36791782177032756,
                  0.4575438220762387,
                  0.4327491722497143,
                  0.42175850365028167,
                  0.4133963202321813,
                  0.4593232375565605
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.09115662380211943,
                  0.39804770615779955,
                  0.12022025488625258,
                  0.22802076410086589,
                  0.37491695034483813,
                  0.13483178673069532,
                  0.3226149338205401,
                  0.4130334845934694,
                  0.152522640779339,
                  0.34057116201705523,
                  0.2190615871924217,
                  0.203890245895228,
                  0.2093811445172233,
                  0.11786113884658089,
                  0.10061115828674375,
                  0.33363930097085304,
                  0.1642682921424164,
                  0.08072851465828501,
                  0.22140267053869164,
                  0.29378426174031136,
                  0.32788436936241777,
                  0.12306417440563615,
                  0.2756589775583101,
                  0.16083723782468387
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12178799272192073,
                  0.3529478699456776,
                  0.14227059795581895,
                  0.21913433237072832,
                  0.36343589219414235,
                  0.15783533172097897,
                  0.3121368093911278,
                  0.39664671814785546,
                  0.15803154658229174,
                  0.3168234651002456,
                  0.2199256490728241,
                  0.20669570366037623,
                  0.21465774769911378,
                  0.1413217454229655,
                  0.13047344958815,
                  0.3160480066082728,
                  0.17012148476226507,
                  0.12211680972500784,
                  0.22781997416873936,
                  0.29921270073560774,
                  0.2907047053336428,
                  0.14200661711187867,
                  0.2579718064000961,
                  0.16856545429503472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3833090709025547,
                  0.1430923371210769,
                  0.3430042054130746,
                  0.20771884659959566,
                  0.11896703166951272,
                  0.30215485735315906,
                  0.12360938738980244,
                  0.10785424726314267,
                  0.22372243894942512,
                  0.13487621766208277,
                  0.2392710234285347,
                  0.1857321480578974,
                  0.2113667183942924,
                  0.30418716946734536,
                  0.3076374757704057,
                  0.12208579329401574,
                  0.2206582551238906,
                  0.3475158162199588,
                  0.13466250277239014,
                  0.12751648864925408,
                  0.1718416910860724,
                  0.265543967238287,
                  0.1461669402395616,
                  0.2851724230808103
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.4136103565085493,
                  0.14084633845600159,
                  0.35589901616536346,
                  0.2058173984829492,
                  0.14342868914630075,
                  0.3480676876461164,
                  0.13544267120250775,
                  0.12896676920004693,
                  0.22363904529318596,
                  0.14082862293690546,
                  0.24606068301855033,
                  0.16264643471143206,
                  0.17243050947211983,
                  0.33345447981533277,
                  0.32546239753087647,
                  0.13692022918738242,
                  0.22653027091477482,
                  0.4140227553322868,
                  0.14009784758457863,
                  0.1583311213236371,
                  0.14204446689906183,
                  0.2797518865384028,
                  0.15542451381509137,
                  0.29075778326152585
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.629907378836403,
                  4.31298297898622,
                  10.10421067020175,
                  5.40230977095862,
                  3.6968304527434,
                  14.15995013213774,
                  3.4977813873740433,
                  3.687505512817726,
                  4.555405810464496,
                  3.5120248838687274,
                  7.018579519003229,
                  4.4865394743746,
                  7.9857900497237075,
                  7.777044435197647,
                  9.37597098987763,
                  2.8536579222985923,
                  4.653964306440307,
                  30.10713557627698,
                  2.7608768681483853,
                  2.7923375436195146,
                  5.418186846286635,
                  5.132100761296438,
                  3.833781811930573,
                  5.5153382495940715
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  28.26341796793525,
                  4.0603509297929605,
                  10.46670035294058,
                  5.355399770819567,
                  4.972400471198086,
                  19.54090746102472,
                  4.538585669572693,
                  5.043151199911774,
                  4.309153999321402,
                  3.8738391273125323,
                  7.940643146892636,
                  3.5729096435892567,
                  3.924360419589909,
                  8.225710985876832,
                  10.707086028413045,
                  3.615349689024847,
                  4.472944990228175,
                  34.98282166514657,
                  3.470742141433051,
                  4.538544853859309,
                  3.6198691411850765,
                  5.262013295835491,
                  3.870592028235634,
                  5.563677059819949
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.359155098123775,
                  4.115183125041182,
                  9.779406924214035,
                  5.099462524924861,
                  3.555701358521621,
                  13.807467733699568,
                  3.3516191760856398,
                  3.5841557980687417,
                  4.340959286355029,
                  3.2986107486619884,
                  6.768581718429831,
                  4.153770846112153,
                  7.5479238677758085,
                  7.260300152859594,
                  8.985448326658721,
                  2.6487370180934318,
                  4.477847032781876,
                  29.78440917919592,
                  2.6099290643091786,
                  2.68640827906508,
                  5.02313946175111,
                  4.915808490571012,
                  3.6586593515923234,
                  5.377145512899453
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.964485287563914,
                  3.715579107303926,
                  10.134061767995384,
                  5.01308069234763,
                  4.6293560152647455,
                  19.225454874390305,
                  4.194719594696879,
                  4.700240741570692,
                  3.9648533947670828,
                  3.5287140627733473,
                  7.603220362693564,
                  3.227214636846049,
                  3.5793310393164,
                  7.88882810288796,
                  10.374902719368366,
                  3.269735061155572,
                  4.128954595883903,
                  34.696615128141154,
                  3.1248536356327294,
                  4.194678701681005,
                  3.2742630728842874,
                  4.919517349039717,
                  3.5254608138875905,
                  5.221752445910511
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4402365175586091,
              "rpss": 0.02792281669650276,
              "brier_below": 0.22533372421553235,
              "bss_below": 0.007466567476259622,
              "brier_above": 0.21490279388108927,
              "bss_above": 0.04848552629378411,
              "crps": 7.469592222185727,
              "crpss": 0.07683644189298366,
              "crps_fair": 7.216242919824665,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06937158476222494,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000273,
                    0.584604,
                    0.305818,
                    0.108439,
                    0.000866,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1918,
                    0.2596,
                    0.345,
                    0.4317,
                    0.5031,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.3181,
                    0.3315,
                    0.5605,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.218637,
                    0.569128,
                    0.119373,
                    0.092861,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2846,
                    0.346,
                    0.424,
                    0.5213,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1014,
                    0.3815,
                    0.5695,
                    0.402,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4094632878623058,
                  0.5208778226386799,
                  0.41352079571230727,
                  0.39116608308227196,
                  0.4504703450109326,
                  0.373513351432293,
                  0.3503413206336053,
                  0.44858048928782157,
                  0.40741309400064657
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4733202418518604,
                  0.5175132171561374,
                  0.42206595620479304,
                  0.4013714050174716,
                  0.42310758432849904,
                  0.388495125206943,
                  0.3482199579471491,
                  0.47328875645663954,
                  0.4209458852063225
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.08536131220959974,
                  0.10376280985975321,
                  0.14117825243594995,
                  0.16309858663730833,
                  0.15704146094670984,
                  0.1681009031363589,
                  0.2255321747160632,
                  0.1218186739169538,
                  0.21738916474943393
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11507171159064906,
                  0.11428366490199293,
                  0.15193084363649126,
                  0.17734210272829803,
                  0.1487063489356475,
                  0.1758202624767129,
                  0.22023233916730128,
                  0.13780936925984824,
                  0.2189891736534184
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3241019542814509,
                  0.41711498146936205,
                  0.2723425358434342,
                  0.22806749823672906,
                  0.2934288733438612,
                  0.20541245039376824,
                  0.12480916106818418,
                  0.32676179773761066,
                  0.19002393048219995
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3582485060112543,
                  0.40322951985413313,
                  0.2701351039674281,
                  0.22402930203948201,
                  0.27440122602913586,
                  0.2126748645108702,
                  0.12798763559692372,
                  0.3354793670182738,
                  0.20195671525009873
                ],
                "crps": [
                  14.333282025727039,
                  13.59011479402063,
                  5.2518764449207485,
                  6.083850501787497,
                  5.178595225536293,
                  3.6444940565553052,
                  1.942928005573051,
                  11.688216707849088,
                  3.235290247161979
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.919010102183197,
                  11.704139398993496,
                  5.268601925611098,
                  5.734916988210948,
                  3.9705128247256236,
                  3.4292882345150906,
                  2.7251643835583663,
                  12.393969039444539,
                  3.967982819777912
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  14.159938838063624,
                  13.48995253374472,
                  5.133249872566958,
                  5.9374711694828815,
                  5.119394456492463,
                  3.5502212139211387,
                  1.8802728039702061,
                  11.518779525894216,
                  3.193079757179685
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.644581682691364,
                  11.429710979501666,
                  4.994173506119268,
                  5.460488568719119,
                  3.696084405233794,
                  3.1548598150232596,
                  2.4507359640665367,
                  12.119540619952712,
                  3.6935544002860827
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.41837184329565147,
              "rpss": 0.02662171777334965,
              "brier_below": 0.15369814873423676,
              "bss_below": 0.05266622705214452,
              "brier_above": 0.2646736869840667,
              "bss_above": 0.010829533648308631,
              "crps": 7.21651644545907,
              "crpss": 0.0025330767162087264,
              "crps_fair": 7.10915113014621,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02136894196705974,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.566513,
                    0.331479,
                    0.102008,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2495,
                    0.3491,
                    0.4244,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1501,
                    0.1305,
                    0.2461,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.245226,
                    0.6444,
                    0.040914,
                    0.06946,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2794,
                    0.3394,
                    0.4206,
                    0.5165,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3523,
                    0.5098,
                    0.6618,
                    0.3936,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4043547022580984,
                  0.526283549740233,
                  0.40679443484587835,
                  0.40081050610817226,
                  0.4327719806543663,
                  0.3748741222816838,
                  0.33712817849668913,
                  0.43855388597237754,
                  0.3994040246962044
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4576225967487249,
                  0.5167450672628792,
                  0.40881671202854164,
                  0.4096536744591132,
                  0.41184885881923466,
                  0.39287313238771626,
                  0.3366631828286109,
                  0.46381266676022176,
                  0.4162615949646041
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.08738077646312209,
                  0.10831571825410771,
                  0.15073214595696172,
                  0.16269252307353466,
                  0.16440365855966374,
                  0.17861732151901116,
                  0.20843209157998815,
                  0.12645774943662766,
                  0.2455371748344602
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11577112639039783,
                  0.11703674467143077,
                  0.15884586267928782,
                  0.17731474889024865,
                  0.15838289694942173,
                  0.18703544846378725,
                  0.2065177572586905,
                  0.14244779211808567,
                  0.2438142728428437
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3169739072934571,
                  0.4179678008248142,
                  0.25606228491497546,
                  0.2381179838740472,
                  0.26836831510853104,
                  0.1962568042296837,
                  0.12869610160837602,
                  0.3120961217346695,
                  0.15386685603794648
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3418514490908821,
                  0.39970829079644776,
                  0.2499708443293965,
                  0.23233892388378583,
                  0.2534659562249808,
                  0.20583768692203638,
                  0.13014544197651573,
                  0.32136485698237466,
                  0.17244733109052923
                ],
                "crps": [
                  15.277739594603085,
                  16.58679863859595,
                  5.582872054973443,
                  7.378059872763601,
                  5.920898938479913,
                  4.221451888130204,
                  2.2857239247232917,
                  13.737399384672708,
                  3.4413340055721853
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  16.58323233373649,
                  14.09866702590123,
                  5.472641806214493,
                  6.970675714061375,
                  4.589557998303746,
                  3.9354664455353094,
                  3.2143347818955066,
                  14.637775319065193,
                  4.426972312717931
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  15.08015579577521,
                  16.47530246747457,
                  5.446190433694605,
                  7.203132293074497,
                  5.853078278531164,
                  4.112508226490633,
                  2.215144330659375,
                  13.533880029256315,
                  3.3932086229569167
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.260142276090644,
                  13.775576968255391,
                  5.149551748568657,
                  6.647585656415538,
                  4.266467940657907,
                  3.6123763878894715,
                  2.891244724249668,
                  14.314685261419358,
                  4.103882255072093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4134417094504115,
              "rpss": 0.024466392970689865,
              "brier_below": 0.15917435107527522,
              "bss_below": 0.04949518394242647,
              "brier_above": 0.25426735284738894,
              "bss_above": 0.00811597063427949,
              "crps": 8.270253144723819,
              "crpss": -0.006803180925466057,
              "crps_fair": 8.145844497545921,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03225906004342849,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.583129,
                    0.306432,
                    0.110439,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2482,
                    0.3502,
                    0.4246,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1633,
                    0.144,
                    0.2689,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.260349,
                    0.612829,
                    0.039939,
                    0.086884,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2795,
                    0.3402,
                    0.4216,
                    0.5165,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3309,
                    0.4782,
                    0.569,
                    0.3879,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "selection": {
        "SEL-P": {
          "criterion": "inner RPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "vs",
            "1994": "vs",
            "1995": "mvs_r4",
            "1996": "mvs_r4",
            "1997": "mvs_r4",
            "1998": "vs",
            "1999": "mvs_r4",
            "2000": "mvs_r4",
            "2001": "vs",
            "2002": "mvs_r4",
            "2003": "vs",
            "2004": "mvs_r4",
            "2005": "vs",
            "2006": "vs",
            "2007": "mvs_r4",
            "2008": "mvs_r4",
            "2009": "vs",
            "2010": "mvs",
            "2011": "mvs_r4",
            "2012": "vs",
            "2013": "mvs_r4",
            "2014": "vs",
            "2015": "vs",
            "2016": "vs"
          },
          "chosen_test": "mvs_r4",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 1,
            "mvs_r3": 0,
            "mvs_r4": 11,
            "vs": 12
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46587810394821466,
                  0.5189015551666666,
                  0.45206002365905945,
                  0.41975895627523246,
                  0.49114427718566345,
                  0.4407105306556269,
                  0.45326230551618885,
                  0.5159926632477845,
                  0.37294845395190734,
                  0.4561261603050993,
                  0.4644805461739648,
                  0.38916302101077116,
                  0.43063070270562015,
                  0.42665036043259136,
                  0.4243167900094147,
                  0.4749833453905094,
                  0.3942274047813033,
                  0.42677518261370473,
                  0.37762294097676063,
                  0.43345067595814096,
                  0.4970169810648855,
                  0.3827549675030369,
                  0.42570892449584274,
                  0.42619580563223425
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5290059509583732,
                  0.4798896228256101,
                  0.4849075864486966,
                  0.41241504425749453,
                  0.5029558847077034,
                  0.5029939351629127,
                  0.4590515135406598,
                  0.5225990904174145,
                  0.3820603897566554,
                  0.4436804399577896,
                  0.4801714460795853,
                  0.3809037399509187,
                  0.40151024353467196,
                  0.4700844665522386,
                  0.466118920990152,
                  0.4707394720701949,
                  0.4008721558163862,
                  0.516086904524994,
                  0.38688232612428824,
                  0.4662425666589424,
                  0.43843885609330674,
                  0.41402493320976497,
                  0.41674923264831454,
                  0.4416090925394558
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.09067330513860263,
                  0.3610748435175544,
                  0.12826549421724334,
                  0.21938011381660014,
                  0.36955252804845967,
                  0.1353695061640265,
                  0.3327796520815342,
                  0.4085596981197747,
                  0.15232278421821033,
                  0.30526374444926935,
                  0.1964176662941876,
                  0.18486140135289805,
                  0.214597829576374,
                  0.13511394001087873,
                  0.10457314230814388,
                  0.3567596274457801,
                  0.15643648136431018,
                  0.0922639936796349,
                  0.25129209985552214,
                  0.3113413751859897,
                  0.3367339236051132,
                  0.12240717276712235,
                  0.27204057055960346,
                  0.16314940101893952
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12144482644300966,
                  0.3240468021697362,
                  0.14785333547007734,
                  0.213053356723655,
                  0.3586999017921628,
                  0.15821566468317896,
                  0.3243944706740214,
                  0.394624630145807,
                  0.15897941369422167,
                  0.2874936534337067,
                  0.202814560835241,
                  0.1934689386829828,
                  0.21938847245972978,
                  0.15272693725494546,
                  0.13190277579879756,
                  0.3369986467976019,
                  0.16324503224865392,
                  0.12718492747837762,
                  0.2526297611075025,
                  0.31415579752145567,
                  0.30060479918432803,
                  0.1409360490589818,
                  0.2547240986771653,
                  0.1707498076532336
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.37520479944319834,
                  0.15782671257095396,
                  0.3237945297086981,
                  0.20037884308421702,
                  0.12159175035594659,
                  0.3053410237524019,
                  0.12048265478223859,
                  0.10743296665173944,
                  0.22062567002334474,
                  0.15086241687242527,
                  0.26806288059475186,
                  0.20430162048118425,
                  0.21603287399925944,
                  0.29153642035353833,
                  0.319743648556083,
                  0.11822371870393336,
                  0.23779092316556263,
                  0.334511188342761,
                  0.126330841543191,
                  0.12210930173981707,
                  0.1602830577119333,
                  0.26034779503568145,
                  0.15366835404424994,
                  0.26304640359733367
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.4075611245153635,
                  0.15584282064148194,
                  0.3370542509786193,
                  0.1993616875338394,
                  0.1442559829155402,
                  0.3447782704653306,
                  0.13465704285224642,
                  0.12797446027160747,
                  0.223080976048053,
                  0.15618678650969067,
                  0.27735688522986196,
                  0.1874348012535438,
                  0.18212177106055027,
                  0.31735752929729294,
                  0.33421614517691706,
                  0.13374082525820083,
                  0.23762712355331733,
                  0.3889019770466165,
                  0.1342525650023936,
                  0.15208676912310592,
                  0.13783405689458672,
                  0.2730888841507831,
                  0.16202513395676843,
                  0.2708592848862224
                ],
                "crps": [
                  21.773887825433164,
                  3.8086001518425903,
                  8.358202495343194,
                  4.41611017767774,
                  3.1151486013427316,
                  12.026734971876598,
                  2.9524936391415095,
                  3.0762422451337486,
                  3.8371695333326508,
                  3.0592908247311055,
                  7.037788763017043,
                  3.8751364395296406,
                  6.922262545690477,
                  6.618912430897021,
                  9.425930442448841,
                  2.461106856798045,
                  4.014132865356374,
                  24.240334658358737,
                  2.340130870874294,
                  2.3729879182202525,
                  4.552930606665081,
                  4.2631520200974835,
                  3.2856546201849772,
                  4.543693946694959
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.284667911212587,
                  3.570418694039729,
                  8.664187246161891,
                  4.414584188793243,
                  4.17412909889816,
                  16.25329471183794,
                  3.8584724401638506,
                  4.245696599510476,
                  3.6698911288086773,
                  3.32770100825122,
                  7.9273830692352805,
                  3.158727103335094,
                  3.386806343170413,
                  6.902319664533068,
                  10.632197368513724,
                  3.1240434276464755,
                  3.8782525052097263,
                  28.264469349246895,
                  2.9648792529408503,
                  3.872969400259919,
                  3.1007437566346607,
                  4.353545654719579,
                  3.299826968492685,
                  4.614204893386611
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  21.533768963121435,
                  3.64154084540663,
                  8.086123337397527,
                  4.165583038068301,
                  2.989277263751938,
                  11.737940086108445,
                  2.821441364040157,
                  2.9848479688548895,
                  3.6487293681689645,
                  2.88063212225906,
                  6.8221741233611795,
                  3.5876236251475326,
                  6.5423730631740336,
                  6.177127956845144,
                  9.10332935152188,
                  2.2891737710266526,
                  3.8644773616863377,
                  23.954959012459568,
                  2.2070337695325946,
                  2.2806812380198473,
                  4.226842376026942,
                  4.071084496840382,
                  3.1333971682552044,
                  4.423627769650364
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  23.029391203416978,
                  3.2778043930297773,
                  8.381220234076412,
                  4.1235686860688086,
                  3.882658188806501,
                  15.98470100934654,
                  3.5664036954912555,
                  3.9543612339275516,
                  3.3774652225615456,
                  3.0346270146545478,
                  7.643020594693502,
                  2.865333083403353,
                  3.093844291495935,
                  6.61601578202784,
                  10.352957648326644,
                  2.8305837189350216,
                  3.586221222781536,
                  28.01862408356878,
                  2.671118096928818,
                  3.580928111951141,
                  2.807239919758411,
                  4.062414548710915,
                  3.0067001831540465,
                  4.323567460178454
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.440031694944176,
              "rpss": 0.02844832678234921,
              "brier_below": 0.2250512622831572,
              "bss_below": 0.009009785680450855,
              "brier_above": 0.21498043312976853,
              "bss_above": 0.04799690314093952,
              "crps": 6.349084810445343,
              "crpss": 0.07617992254636385,
              "crps_fair": 6.132241226696874,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06893735136649681
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.47446569390642745,
                  0.5411400423460139,
                  0.4632897338676838,
                  0.4357020778204054,
                  0.49386434296868814,
                  0.4369866448616648,
                  0.44617529312429915,
                  0.520842543642712,
                  0.3762450794216758,
                  0.4754476041240163,
                  0.4583326100399914,
                  0.3895960664800674,
                  0.4207478617726771,
                  0.4220483083789764,
                  0.4083249493908702,
                  0.4556905330640981,
                  0.38492654710598134,
                  0.4349876427513093,
                  0.35606306989002695,
                  0.4213007493828091,
                  0.4996795810809195,
                  0.3886081414017539,
                  0.42182591755815,
                  0.446009662455876
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5353983492304702,
                  0.49379420841867294,
                  0.4981696141211827,
                  0.42495173085367743,
                  0.5068645813404431,
                  0.505903019384089,
                  0.4475794806106453,
                  0.5256134873479025,
                  0.3816705918924714,
                  0.45765208805416063,
                  0.4659863321083841,
                  0.3693421383888178,
                  0.3870882571882273,
                  0.4747762252382983,
                  0.4559358471360361,
                  0.4529682358126648,
                  0.39665175569408134,
                  0.536139565057295,
                  0.36791782177032756,
                  0.4575438220762387,
                  0.4327491722497143,
                  0.42175850365028167,
                  0.4133963202321813,
                  0.4593232375565605
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.09115662380211943,
                  0.39804770615779955,
                  0.12027086416369114,
                  0.22800387086042687,
                  0.3748587398032035,
                  0.13483178673069532,
                  0.32255524354266996,
                  0.4129521063064272,
                  0.152522640779339,
                  0.3405714040226856,
                  0.2190615871924217,
                  0.203889825288606,
                  0.2093811445172233,
                  0.11786113884658089,
                  0.10065031510441438,
                  0.33357476798940777,
                  0.1642682921424164,
                  0.08261584855265591,
                  0.2214042415868131,
                  0.29378426174031136,
                  0.3278586668865677,
                  0.12306417440563615,
                  0.2756589775583101,
                  0.16083723782468387
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12178799272192073,
                  0.3529478699456776,
                  0.14227059795581895,
                  0.21913433237072832,
                  0.36343589219414235,
                  0.15783533172097897,
                  0.3121368093911278,
                  0.39664671814785546,
                  0.15803154658229174,
                  0.3168234651002456,
                  0.2199256490728241,
                  0.20669570366037623,
                  0.21465774769911378,
                  0.1413217454229655,
                  0.13047344958815,
                  0.3160480066082728,
                  0.17012148476226507,
                  0.12211680972500784,
                  0.22781997416873936,
                  0.29921270073560774,
                  0.2907047053336428,
                  0.14200661711187867,
                  0.2579718064000961,
                  0.16856545429503472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3833090709025547,
                  0.1430923371210769,
                  0.34301887001403464,
                  0.20769820790256852,
                  0.11900560454437442,
                  0.30215485735315906,
                  0.12362005117622926,
                  0.10789043926765352,
                  0.22372243894942512,
                  0.1348762012432742,
                  0.2392710234285347,
                  0.18570624208963368,
                  0.2113667183942924,
                  0.30418716946734536,
                  0.30767463482077867,
                  0.12211576612010855,
                  0.2206582551238906,
                  0.35237179340270286,
                  0.13465882894117218,
                  0.12751648864925408,
                  0.1718209146947944,
                  0.265543967238287,
                  0.1461669402395616,
                  0.2851724230808103
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.4136103565085493,
                  0.14084633845600159,
                  0.35589901616536346,
                  0.2058173984829492,
                  0.14342868914630075,
                  0.3480676876461164,
                  0.13544267120250775,
                  0.12896676920004693,
                  0.22363904529318596,
                  0.14082862293690546,
                  0.24606068301855033,
                  0.16264643471143206,
                  0.17243050947211983,
                  0.33345447981533277,
                  0.32546239753087647,
                  0.13692022918738242,
                  0.22653027091477482,
                  0.4140227553322868,
                  0.14009784758457863,
                  0.1583311213236371,
                  0.14204446689906183,
                  0.2797518865384028,
                  0.15542451381509137,
                  0.29075778326152585
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.629907378836403,
                  4.31298297898622,
                  10.105043604146525,
                  5.402037153289798,
                  3.6979251451848385,
                  14.15995013213774,
                  3.4971171639404184,
                  3.6872860128554477,
                  4.555405810464496,
                  3.511698306120812,
                  7.018579519003229,
                  4.485925406232357,
                  7.9857900497237075,
                  7.777044435197647,
                  9.375778468371715,
                  2.853349358121515,
                  4.653964306440307,
                  30.07606082356836,
                  2.7598639782886174,
                  2.7923375436195146,
                  5.418360917756569,
                  5.132100761296438,
                  3.833781811930573,
                  5.5153382495940715
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  28.26341796793525,
                  4.0603509297929605,
                  10.46670035294058,
                  5.355399770819567,
                  4.972400471198086,
                  19.54090746102472,
                  4.538585669572693,
                  5.043151199911774,
                  4.309153999321402,
                  3.8738391273125323,
                  7.940643146892636,
                  3.5729096435892567,
                  3.924360419589909,
                  8.225710985876832,
                  10.707086028413045,
                  3.615349689024847,
                  4.472944990228175,
                  34.98282166514657,
                  3.470742141433051,
                  4.538544853859309,
                  3.6198691411850765,
                  5.262013295835491,
                  3.870592028235634,
                  5.563677059819949
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.359155098123775,
                  4.115183125041182,
                  9.780020308507112,
                  5.099099333657471,
                  3.556568146778183,
                  13.807467733699568,
                  3.350902544665574,
                  3.5837848307319473,
                  4.340959286355029,
                  3.298068877127618,
                  6.768581718429831,
                  4.153017751662274,
                  7.5479238677758085,
                  7.260300152859594,
                  8.98516865712258,
                  2.648362703451444,
                  4.477847032781876,
                  29.755415445740077,
                  2.6088550284633074,
                  2.68640827906508,
                  5.022900537376093,
                  4.915808490571012,
                  3.6586593515923234,
                  5.377145512899453
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.964485287563914,
                  3.715579107303926,
                  10.134061767995384,
                  5.01308069234763,
                  4.6293560152647455,
                  19.225454874390305,
                  4.194719594696879,
                  4.700240741570692,
                  3.9648533947670828,
                  3.5287140627733473,
                  7.603220362693564,
                  3.227214636846049,
                  3.5793310393164,
                  7.88882810288796,
                  10.374902719368366,
                  3.269735061155572,
                  4.128954595883903,
                  34.696615128141154,
                  3.1248536356327294,
                  4.194678701681005,
                  3.2742630728842874,
                  4.919517349039717,
                  3.5254608138875905,
                  5.221752445910511
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44051252903487886,
              "rpss": 0.027313361442995676,
              "brier_below": 0.22540339440854607,
              "bss_below": 0.007159689328937291,
              "brier_above": 0.2151091351735632,
              "bss_above": 0.04757191915649939,
              "crps": 7.468234554796138,
              "crpss": 0.07700423539774504,
              "crps_fair": 7.214900158936591,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06954475124943926
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.40983554598537253,
                  0.5212576019575887,
                  0.4133968401720798,
                  0.39154557500103654,
                  0.45093037655955065,
                  0.37401468783587055,
                  0.34950986882399826,
                  0.4491184959932645,
                  0.40777650064043863
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4733202418518604,
                  0.5175132171561374,
                  0.42206595620479304,
                  0.4013714050174716,
                  0.42310758432849904,
                  0.388495125206943,
                  0.3482199579471491,
                  0.47328875645663954,
                  0.4209458852063225
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.08565835363558619,
                  0.10421615841710624,
                  0.14108538241907959,
                  0.16346941805219464,
                  0.15758044770890264,
                  0.16858053982868365,
                  0.22469563447875227,
                  0.12236492651083077,
                  0.21773523124637928
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11507171159064906,
                  0.11428366490199293,
                  0.15193084363649126,
                  0.17734210272829803,
                  0.1487063489356475,
                  0.1758202624767129,
                  0.22023233916730128,
                  0.13780936925984824,
                  0.2189891736534184
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3241771709789122,
                  0.41704141220606034,
                  0.2723114503071089,
                  0.22807615874586923,
                  0.2933499180853557,
                  0.20543415011253022,
                  0.12481424950493271,
                  0.3267535518263252,
                  0.19004127063294307
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3582485060112543,
                  0.40322951985413313,
                  0.2701351039674281,
                  0.22402930203948201,
                  0.27440122602913586,
                  0.2126748645108702,
                  0.12798763559692372,
                  0.3354793670182738,
                  0.20195671525009873
                ],
                "crps": [
                  14.323895877688084,
                  13.591497761892398,
                  5.251572856662313,
                  6.084258336454402,
                  5.18129846354387,
                  3.6482826035015457,
                  1.940430098512788,
                  11.689479045050165,
                  3.2366111287659525
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.919010102183197,
                  11.704139398993496,
                  5.268601925611098,
                  5.734916988210948,
                  3.9705128247256236,
                  3.4292882345150906,
                  2.7251643835583663,
                  12.393969039444539,
                  3.967982819777912
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  14.150206602927065,
                  13.49114080230515,
                  5.132829994281205,
                  5.937678607988798,
                  5.122027405805722,
                  3.5538771487422522,
                  1.8776486211546173,
                  11.519906471250033,
                  3.194320903966087
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.644581682691364,
                  11.429710979501666,
                  4.994173506119268,
                  5.460488568719119,
                  3.696084405233794,
                  3.1548598150232596,
                  2.4507359640665367,
                  12.119540619952712,
                  3.6935544002860827
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4185983881076889,
              "rpss": 0.02609464167221609,
              "brier_below": 0.15393178803305727,
              "bss_below": 0.05122616807756808,
              "brier_above": 0.264666592488893,
              "bss_above": 0.010856048052439338,
              "crps": 7.216369574674614,
              "crpss": 0.002553377196447215,
              "crps_fair": 7.108848506491215,
              "crpss_fair": -0.021325464145776074
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.40446351025973404,
                  0.526230866628825,
                  0.40677758195588826,
                  0.4008038344808187,
                  0.4326861637876837,
                  0.3749103584372233,
                  0.33710184623928996,
                  0.4385927542607367,
                  0.3994114425650644
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4576225967487249,
                  0.5167450672628792,
                  0.40881671202854164,
                  0.4096536744591132,
                  0.41184885881923466,
                  0.39287313238771626,
                  0.3366631828286109,
                  0.46381266676022176,
                  0.4162615949646041
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.08743803130036919,
                  0.10832018236660533,
                  0.15074037294765472,
                  0.16271317618520326,
                  0.16436909560950277,
                  0.17863837652632658,
                  0.20841307658381877,
                  0.12648383684407982,
                  0.2455119481754621
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11577112639039783,
                  0.11703674467143077,
                  0.15884586267928782,
                  0.17731474889024865,
                  0.15838289694942173,
                  0.18703544846378725,
                  0.2065177572586905,
                  0.14244779211808567,
                  0.2438142728428437
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.31702546045135105,
                  0.41791065359845925,
                  0.2560372050322558,
                  0.238090659129121,
                  0.2683170611957006,
                  0.19627198537722515,
                  0.12868878435193387,
                  0.31210890260346585,
                  0.15389950057295687
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3418514490908821,
                  0.39970829079644776,
                  0.2499708443293965,
                  0.23233892388378583,
                  0.2534659562249808,
                  0.20583768692203638,
                  0.13014544197651573,
                  0.32136485698237466,
                  0.17244733109052923
                ],
                "crps": [
                  15.277420710444375,
                  16.58618091318324,
                  5.58246481095645,
                  7.378591064808761,
                  5.920768076324895,
                  4.223575541405791,
                  2.2849897768920684,
                  13.736768207433508,
                  3.4427079552721622
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  16.58323233373649,
                  14.09866702590123,
                  5.472641806214493,
                  6.970675714061375,
                  4.589557998303746,
                  3.9354664455353094,
                  3.2143347818955066,
                  14.637775319065193,
                  4.426972312717931
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  15.079620128348358,
                  16.474658017997474,
                  5.445747133062445,
                  7.203529152186368,
                  5.85290180705285,
                  4.114593289339967,
                  2.21433763402707,
                  13.533182590285195,
                  3.3945451204865416
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.260142276090644,
                  13.775576968255391,
                  5.149551748568657,
                  6.647585656415538,
                  4.266467940657907,
                  3.6123763878894715,
                  2.891244724249668,
                  14.314685261419358,
                  4.103882255072093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4134420398461405,
              "rpss": 0.02446561338766795,
              "brier_below": 0.15918089961544699,
              "bss_below": 0.0494560795331459,
              "brier_above": 0.2542611347013855,
              "bss_above": 0.008140227306022818,
              "crps": 8.270385228524582,
              "crpss": -0.006819260528886817,
              "crps_fair": 8.145901652531807,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03226630284704757
            }
          }
        },
        "SEL-A": {
          "criterion": "inner CRPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "mvs_r4",
            "1994": "mvs_r4",
            "1995": "mvs_r4",
            "1996": "mvs_r4",
            "1997": "mvs_r4",
            "1998": "mvs_r4",
            "1999": "mvs_r4",
            "2000": "mvs_r4",
            "2001": "mvs_r4",
            "2002": "mvs_r4",
            "2003": "mvs_r4",
            "2004": "mvs_r4",
            "2005": "mvs_r4",
            "2006": "mvs_r4",
            "2007": "mvs_r4",
            "2008": "mvs_r4",
            "2009": "vs",
            "2010": "mvs_r4",
            "2011": "mvs_r4",
            "2012": "mvs_r4",
            "2013": "mvs_r4",
            "2014": "mvs_r4",
            "2015": "mvs_r4",
            "2016": "mvs_r4"
          },
          "chosen_test": "mvs_r4",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "mvs_r3": 0,
            "mvs_r4": 23,
            "vs": 1
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46627419144105714,
                  0.5192724192537322,
                  0.45206002365905945,
                  0.41975895627523246,
                  0.49114427718566345,
                  0.4413696211695118,
                  0.45326230551618885,
                  0.5159926632477845,
                  0.37322185949590786,
                  0.4561261603050993,
                  0.46475802849469305,
                  0.38916302101077116,
                  0.4306029912187376,
                  0.4266744265413272,
                  0.4243167900094147,
                  0.4749833453905094,
                  0.3942274047813033,
                  0.42334688528112835,
                  0.37762294097676063,
                  0.4324414163847583,
                  0.4970169810648855,
                  0.3831606453920899,
                  0.42565831156486256,
                  0.4256503382230022
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5290059509583732,
                  0.4798896228256101,
                  0.4849075864486966,
                  0.41241504425749453,
                  0.5029558847077034,
                  0.5029939351629127,
                  0.4590515135406598,
                  0.5225990904174145,
                  0.3820603897566554,
                  0.4436804399577896,
                  0.4801714460795853,
                  0.3809037399509187,
                  0.40151024353467196,
                  0.4700844665522386,
                  0.466118920990152,
                  0.4707394720701949,
                  0.4008721558163862,
                  0.516086904524994,
                  0.38688232612428824,
                  0.4662425666589424,
                  0.43843885609330674,
                  0.41402493320976497,
                  0.41674923264831454,
                  0.4416090925394558
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.09098451610492689,
                  0.36146537657563677,
                  0.12826549421724334,
                  0.21938011381660014,
                  0.36955252804845967,
                  0.13589329865393704,
                  0.3327796520815342,
                  0.4085596981197747,
                  0.15258379197345046,
                  0.30526374444926935,
                  0.1967056641629205,
                  0.18486140135289805,
                  0.21477674129248395,
                  0.13504273538899056,
                  0.10457314230814388,
                  0.3567596274457801,
                  0.15643648136431018,
                  0.09059889271136101,
                  0.25129209985552214,
                  0.3102818507824665,
                  0.3367339236051132,
                  0.12278757539237564,
                  0.27196922317560945,
                  0.162543684467552
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12144482644300966,
                  0.3240468021697362,
                  0.14785333547007734,
                  0.213053356723655,
                  0.3586999017921628,
                  0.15821566468317896,
                  0.3243944706740214,
                  0.394624630145807,
                  0.15897941369422167,
                  0.2874936534337067,
                  0.202814560835241,
                  0.1934689386829828,
                  0.21938847245972978,
                  0.15272693725494546,
                  0.13190277579879756,
                  0.3369986467976019,
                  0.16324503224865392,
                  0.12718492747837762,
                  0.2526297611075025,
                  0.31415579752145567,
                  0.30060479918432803,
                  0.1409360490589818,
                  0.2547240986771653,
                  0.1707498076532336
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3752896759654371,
                  0.15780704362210896,
                  0.3237945297086981,
                  0.20037884308421702,
                  0.12159175035594659,
                  0.30547632180544626,
                  0.12048265478223859,
                  0.10743296665173944,
                  0.22063806778884326,
                  0.15086241687242527,
                  0.26805236504286506,
                  0.20430162048118425,
                  0.21582625081064657,
                  0.29163169106647097,
                  0.319743648556083,
                  0.11822371870393336,
                  0.23779092316556263,
                  0.33274799193926247,
                  0.126330841543191,
                  0.12215956656246456,
                  0.1602830577119333,
                  0.26037307030111767,
                  0.15368908848946833,
                  0.2631066527281164
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.4075611245153635,
                  0.15584282064148194,
                  0.3370542509786193,
                  0.1993616875338394,
                  0.1442559829155402,
                  0.3447782704653306,
                  0.13465704285224642,
                  0.12797446027160747,
                  0.223080976048053,
                  0.15618678650969067,
                  0.27735688522986196,
                  0.1874348012535438,
                  0.18212177106055027,
                  0.31735752929729294,
                  0.33421614517691706,
                  0.13374082525820083,
                  0.23762712355331733,
                  0.3889019770466165,
                  0.1342525650023936,
                  0.15208676912310592,
                  0.13783405689458672,
                  0.2730888841507831,
                  0.16202513395676843,
                  0.2708592848862224
                ],
                "crps": [
                  21.77672013298704,
                  3.8089218228731294,
                  8.358202495343194,
                  4.41611017767774,
                  3.1151486013427316,
                  12.026266010929401,
                  2.9524936391415095,
                  3.0762422451337486,
                  3.8387989190561327,
                  3.0592908247311055,
                  7.03681564713734,
                  3.8751364395296406,
                  6.921296207857495,
                  6.618267023738219,
                  9.425930442448841,
                  2.461106856798045,
                  4.014132865356374,
                  24.23871050606916,
                  2.340130870874294,
                  2.3703237317447305,
                  4.552930606665081,
                  4.266343861542399,
                  3.2850304339416745,
                  4.546306438657488
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  23.284667911212587,
                  3.570418694039729,
                  8.664187246161891,
                  4.414584188793243,
                  4.17412909889816,
                  16.25329471183794,
                  3.8584724401638506,
                  4.245696599510476,
                  3.6698911288086773,
                  3.32770100825122,
                  7.9273830692352805,
                  3.158727103335094,
                  3.386806343170413,
                  6.902319664533068,
                  10.632197368513724,
                  3.1240434276464755,
                  3.8782525052097263,
                  28.264469349246895,
                  2.9648792529408503,
                  3.872969400259919,
                  3.1007437566346607,
                  4.353545654719579,
                  3.299826968492685,
                  4.614204893386611
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  21.536284156688158,
                  3.641659979596867,
                  8.086123337397527,
                  4.165583038068301,
                  2.989277263751938,
                  11.737208293631417,
                  2.821441364040157,
                  2.9848479688548895,
                  3.649947246864016,
                  2.88063212225906,
                  6.820968615741043,
                  3.5876236251475326,
                  6.541157689397197,
                  6.176192984566103,
                  9.10332935152188,
                  2.2891737710266526,
                  3.8644773616863377,
                  23.95334448747635,
                  2.2070337695325946,
                  2.277894608121971,
                  4.226842376026942,
                  4.0740008680391195,
                  3.1326512089698415,
                  4.426139928984651
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  23.029391203416978,
                  3.2778043930297773,
                  8.381220234076412,
                  4.1235686860688086,
                  3.882658188806501,
                  15.98470100934654,
                  3.5664036954912555,
                  3.9543612339275516,
                  3.3774652225615456,
                  3.0346270146545478,
                  7.643020594693502,
                  2.865333083403353,
                  3.093844291495935,
                  6.61601578202784,
                  10.352957648326644,
                  2.8305837189350216,
                  3.586221222781536,
                  28.01862408356878,
                  2.671118096928818,
                  3.580928111951141,
                  2.807239919758411,
                  4.062414548710915,
                  3.0067001831540465,
                  4.323567460178454
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.439921083495145,
              "rpss": 0.028692547231961796,
              "brier_below": 0.22500380238943166,
              "bss_below": 0.009218770468083282,
              "brier_above": 0.214917281572475,
              "bss_above": 0.048276558722797125,
              "crps": 6.349194033399022,
              "crpss": 0.07616403012083495,
              "crps_fair": 6.132243142391272,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06893706050522208
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.47463309430211365,
                  0.5408676106774062,
                  0.4632897338676838,
                  0.4357020778204054,
                  0.49386434296868814,
                  0.43719356154210137,
                  0.44617529312429915,
                  0.520842543642712,
                  0.3762288595375908,
                  0.4754476041240163,
                  0.458323122982984,
                  0.3895960664800674,
                  0.42051743858376234,
                  0.4222517226814742,
                  0.4083249493908702,
                  0.4556905330640981,
                  0.38492654710598134,
                  0.4298977076069467,
                  0.35606306989002695,
                  0.4213524406513285,
                  0.4996795810809195,
                  0.3886310246479815,
                  0.4217961168398968,
                  0.4460721988607864
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5353983492304702,
                  0.49379420841867294,
                  0.4981696141211827,
                  0.42495173085367743,
                  0.5068645813404431,
                  0.505903019384089,
                  0.4475794806106453,
                  0.5256134873479025,
                  0.3816705918924714,
                  0.45765208805416063,
                  0.4659863321083841,
                  0.3693421383888178,
                  0.3870882571882273,
                  0.4747762252382983,
                  0.4559358471360361,
                  0.4529682358126648,
                  0.39665175569408134,
                  0.536139565057295,
                  0.36791782177032756,
                  0.4575438220762387,
                  0.4327491722497143,
                  0.42175850365028167,
                  0.4133963202321813,
                  0.4593232375565605
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.09124062905200772,
                  0.39781813193908366,
                  0.12027086416369114,
                  0.22800387086042687,
                  0.3748587398032035,
                  0.13490407826551495,
                  0.32255524354266996,
                  0.4129521063064272,
                  0.15252256168084433,
                  0.3405714040226856,
                  0.21904201901006887,
                  0.203889825288606,
                  0.20936356857323807,
                  0.11794881125269115,
                  0.10065031510441438,
                  0.33357476798940777,
                  0.1642682921424164,
                  0.08116683787172946,
                  0.2214042415868131,
                  0.29378110925275175,
                  0.3278586668865677,
                  0.12307735026986392,
                  0.2756273967533502,
                  0.16084000386952557
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.12178799272192073,
                  0.3529478699456776,
                  0.14227059795581895,
                  0.21913433237072832,
                  0.36343589219414235,
                  0.15783533172097897,
                  0.3121368093911278,
                  0.39664671814785546,
                  0.15803154658229174,
                  0.3168234651002456,
                  0.2199256490728241,
                  0.20669570366037623,
                  0.21465774769911378,
                  0.1413217454229655,
                  0.13047344958815,
                  0.3160480066082728,
                  0.17012148476226507,
                  0.12211680972500784,
                  0.22781997416873936,
                  0.29921270073560774,
                  0.2907047053336428,
                  0.14200661711187867,
                  0.2579718064000961,
                  0.16856545429503472
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3833924660448643,
                  0.14304947966873835,
                  0.34301887001403464,
                  0.20769820790256852,
                  0.11900560454437442,
                  0.3022894825001624,
                  0.12362005117622926,
                  0.10789043926765352,
                  0.2237062981616724,
                  0.1348762012432742,
                  0.23928110455056256,
                  0.18570624208963368,
                  0.21115387117165674,
                  0.30430291136259724,
                  0.30767463482077867,
                  0.12211576612010855,
                  0.2206582551238906,
                  0.3487308687614952,
                  0.13465882894117218,
                  0.12757133240717325,
                  0.1718209146947944,
                  0.26555367461990326,
                  0.14616872032612416,
                  0.2852321934399912
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.4136103565085493,
                  0.14084633845600159,
                  0.35589901616536346,
                  0.2058173984829492,
                  0.14342868914630075,
                  0.3480676876461164,
                  0.13544267120250775,
                  0.12896676920004693,
                  0.22363904529318596,
                  0.14082862293690546,
                  0.24606068301855033,
                  0.16264643471143206,
                  0.17243050947211983,
                  0.33345447981533277,
                  0.32546239753087647,
                  0.13692022918738242,
                  0.22653027091477482,
                  0.4140227553322868,
                  0.14009784758457863,
                  0.1583311213236371,
                  0.14204446689906183,
                  0.2797518865384028,
                  0.15542451381509137,
                  0.29075778326152585
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.630798553071006,
                  4.312356988202437,
                  10.105043604146525,
                  5.402037153289798,
                  3.6979251451848385,
                  14.158889498095085,
                  3.4971171639404184,
                  3.6872860128554477,
                  4.555711576993513,
                  3.511698306120812,
                  7.018844932284838,
                  4.485925406232357,
                  7.98394707681645,
                  7.7768166324021575,
                  9.375778468371715,
                  2.853349358121515,
                  4.653964306440307,
                  30.100221553489057,
                  2.7598639782886174,
                  2.792433125184658,
                  5.418360917756569,
                  5.134026530269816,
                  3.8332456986608863,
                  5.518185728356006
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  28.26341796793525,
                  4.0603509297929605,
                  10.46670035294058,
                  5.355399770819567,
                  4.972400471198086,
                  19.54090746102472,
                  4.538585669572693,
                  5.043151199911774,
                  4.309153999321402,
                  3.8738391273125323,
                  7.940643146892636,
                  3.5729096435892567,
                  3.924360419589909,
                  8.225710985876832,
                  10.707086028413045,
                  3.615349689024847,
                  4.472944990228175,
                  34.98282166514657,
                  3.470742141433051,
                  4.538544853859309,
                  3.6198691411850765,
                  5.262013295835491,
                  3.870592028235634,
                  5.563677059819949
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.35993732594557,
                  4.114447893939196,
                  9.780020308507112,
                  5.099099333657471,
                  3.556568146778183,
                  13.806317825963982,
                  3.350902544665574,
                  3.5837848307319473,
                  4.340973960149905,
                  3.298068877127618,
                  6.7688253660577695,
                  4.153017751662274,
                  7.546045343852469,
                  7.259964670637051,
                  8.98516865712258,
                  2.648362703451444,
                  4.477847032781876,
                  29.77710425919319,
                  2.6088550284633074,
                  2.6864394081048286,
                  5.022900537376093,
                  4.9176262297541475,
                  3.6580804979709223,
                  5.379959533558606
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.964485287563914,
                  3.715579107303926,
                  10.134061767995384,
                  5.01308069234763,
                  4.6293560152647455,
                  19.225454874390305,
                  4.194719594696879,
                  4.700240741570692,
                  3.9648533947670828,
                  3.5287140627733473,
                  7.603220362693564,
                  3.227214636846049,
                  3.5793310393164,
                  7.88882810288796,
                  10.374902719368366,
                  3.269735061155572,
                  4.128954595883903,
                  34.696615128141154,
                  3.1248536356327294,
                  4.194678701681005,
                  3.2742630728842874,
                  4.919517349039717,
                  3.5254608138875905,
                  5.221752445910511
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4403069683947558,
              "rpss": 0.027767255656853784,
              "brier_below": 0.22534128481199997,
              "bss_below": 0.007433265116437271,
              "brier_above": 0.21496568412306058,
              "bss_above": 0.04820707027927684,
              "crps": 7.469326154773952,
              "crpss": 0.07686932504526889,
              "crps_fair": 7.21584658614388,
              "crpss_fair": 0.06942269714707006
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.40983554598537253,
                  0.5212576019575887,
                  0.4133968401720798,
                  0.39154557500103654,
                  0.45093037655955065,
                  0.37401468783587055,
                  0.34950986882399826,
                  0.4491184959932645,
                  0.40777650064043863
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4733202418518604,
                  0.5175132171561374,
                  0.42206595620479304,
                  0.4013714050174716,
                  0.42310758432849904,
                  0.388495125206943,
                  0.3482199579471491,
                  0.47328875645663954,
                  0.4209458852063225
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.08565835363558619,
                  0.10421615841710624,
                  0.14108538241907959,
                  0.16346941805219464,
                  0.15758044770890264,
                  0.16858053982868365,
                  0.22469563447875227,
                  0.12236492651083077,
                  0.21773523124637928
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11507171159064906,
                  0.11428366490199293,
                  0.15193084363649126,
                  0.17734210272829803,
                  0.1487063489356475,
                  0.1758202624767129,
                  0.22023233916730128,
                  0.13780936925984824,
                  0.2189891736534184
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3241771709789122,
                  0.41704141220606034,
                  0.2723114503071089,
                  0.22807615874586923,
                  0.2933499180853557,
                  0.20543415011253022,
                  0.12481424950493271,
                  0.3267535518263252,
                  0.19004127063294307
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3582485060112543,
                  0.40322951985413313,
                  0.2701351039674281,
                  0.22402930203948201,
                  0.27440122602913586,
                  0.2126748645108702,
                  0.12798763559692372,
                  0.3354793670182738,
                  0.20195671525009873
                ],
                "crps": [
                  14.323895877688084,
                  13.591497761892398,
                  5.251572856662313,
                  6.084258336454402,
                  5.18129846354387,
                  3.6482826035015457,
                  1.940430098512788,
                  11.689479045050165,
                  3.2366111287659525
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.919010102183197,
                  11.704139398993496,
                  5.268601925611098,
                  5.734916988210948,
                  3.9705128247256236,
                  3.4292882345150906,
                  2.7251643835583663,
                  12.393969039444539,
                  3.967982819777912
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  14.150206602927065,
                  13.49114080230515,
                  5.132829994281205,
                  5.937678607988798,
                  5.122027405805722,
                  3.5538771487422522,
                  1.8776486211546173,
                  11.519906471250033,
                  3.194320903966087
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.644581682691364,
                  11.429710979501666,
                  4.994173506119268,
                  5.460488568719119,
                  3.696084405233794,
                  3.1548598150232596,
                  2.4507359640665367,
                  12.119540619952712,
                  3.6935544002860827
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4185983881076889,
              "rpss": 0.02609464167221609,
              "brier_below": 0.15393178803305727,
              "bss_below": 0.05122616807756808,
              "brier_above": 0.264666592488893,
              "bss_above": 0.010856048052439338,
              "crps": 7.216369574674614,
              "crpss": 0.002553377196447215,
              "crps_fair": 7.108848506491215,
              "crpss_fair": -0.021325464145776074
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.40446351025973404,
                  0.526230866628825,
                  0.40677758195588826,
                  0.4008038344808187,
                  0.4326861637876837,
                  0.3749103584372233,
                  0.33710184623928996,
                  0.4385927542607367,
                  0.3994114425650644
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4576225967487249,
                  0.5167450672628792,
                  0.40881671202854164,
                  0.4096536744591132,
                  0.41184885881923466,
                  0.39287313238771626,
                  0.3366631828286109,
                  0.46381266676022176,
                  0.4162615949646041
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.08743803130036919,
                  0.10832018236660533,
                  0.15074037294765472,
                  0.16271317618520326,
                  0.16436909560950277,
                  0.17863837652632658,
                  0.20841307658381877,
                  0.12648383684407982,
                  0.2455119481754621
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.11577112639039783,
                  0.11703674467143077,
                  0.15884586267928782,
                  0.17731474889024865,
                  0.15838289694942173,
                  0.18703544846378725,
                  0.2065177572586905,
                  0.14244779211808567,
                  0.2438142728428437
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.31702546045135105,
                  0.41791065359845925,
                  0.2560372050322558,
                  0.238090659129121,
                  0.2683170611957006,
                  0.19627198537722515,
                  0.12868878435193387,
                  0.31210890260346585,
                  0.15389950057295687
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3418514490908821,
                  0.39970829079644776,
                  0.2499708443293965,
                  0.23233892388378583,
                  0.2534659562249808,
                  0.20583768692203638,
                  0.13014544197651573,
                  0.32136485698237466,
                  0.17244733109052923
                ],
                "crps": [
                  15.277420710444375,
                  16.58618091318324,
                  5.58246481095645,
                  7.378591064808761,
                  5.920768076324895,
                  4.223575541405791,
                  2.2849897768920684,
                  13.736768207433508,
                  3.4427079552721622
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  16.58323233373649,
                  14.09866702590123,
                  5.472641806214493,
                  6.970675714061375,
                  4.589557998303746,
                  3.9354664455353094,
                  3.2143347818955066,
                  14.637775319065193,
                  4.426972312717931
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  15.079620128348358,
                  16.474658017997474,
                  5.445747133062445,
                  7.203529152186368,
                  5.85290180705285,
                  4.114593289339967,
                  2.21433763402707,
                  13.533182590285195,
                  3.3945451204865416
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  16.260142276090644,
                  13.775576968255391,
                  5.149551748568657,
                  6.647585656415538,
                  4.266467940657907,
                  3.6123763878894715,
                  2.891244724249668,
                  14.314685261419358,
                  4.103882255072093
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4134420398461405,
              "rpss": 0.02446561338766795,
              "brier_below": 0.15918089961544699,
              "bss_below": 0.0494560795331459,
              "brier_above": 0.2542611347013855,
              "bss_above": 0.008140227306022818,
              "crps": 8.270385228524582,
              "crpss": -0.006819260528886817,
              "crps_fair": 8.145901652531807,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03226630284704757
            }
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "Mar": {
      "tag": "init01_Mar",
      "methods": {
        "mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8679292208243078,
            "training": [
              0.8287891090321843,
              0.8700383989695524,
              0.8690245987911734,
              0.8732946590511487,
              0.8749934084094872,
              0.8508127057979016,
              0.8418590028673484,
              0.8799168735120754,
              0.865692568535557,
              0.8742227978832936,
              0.8723693361816651,
              0.8752399507959137,
              0.8546642835564034,
              0.8723039976811441,
              0.8638050325852079,
              0.8938784864209278,
              0.8590637204658801,
              0.8817604597638566,
              0.8827120653185702,
              0.913219608713757,
              0.8768817583270546,
              0.8572773710644396,
              0.8376553167091529,
              0.8608257893496901
            ],
            "test": 0.8744554895297096
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5177058227443954,
                  0.4708123029684602,
                  0.4847481056071085,
                  0.5129399354900186,
                  0.4259331885730271,
                  0.41384476652825153,
                  0.5119363242217243,
                  0.5414273286373835,
                  0.4039843246690677,
                  0.38521815802758974,
                  0.40301225792277084,
                  0.4082946058922362,
                  0.43893560822482397,
                  0.4497506689420904,
                  0.3753786474711228,
                  0.5015496387805652,
                  0.3814386414164076,
                  0.4872656765161854,
                  0.46601716871569326,
                  0.46866762838375364,
                  0.47419493192024753,
                  0.472407470202907,
                  0.4208083961948839,
                  0.43588417390149353
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48661164767869763,
                  0.45905809168968387,
                  0.495963591461526,
                  0.515165261918104,
                  0.446148375513108,
                  0.41008562419517763,
                  0.5008472766106865,
                  0.5325362239391127,
                  0.4074919432227391,
                  0.3954831823615453,
                  0.40075565353334075,
                  0.41880230111513844,
                  0.43556888570264757,
                  0.4376528345767518,
                  0.3792172948352883,
                  0.5057254726793263,
                  0.38526481534046053,
                  0.5019775310339771,
                  0.46557982150602545,
                  0.4778722604164428,
                  0.4895771040506235,
                  0.46168282493193524,
                  0.43538079529775536,
                  0.4292554571593725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.32779592326201995,
                  0.30651963946078215,
                  0.13179909717532215,
                  0.14345550884610572,
                  0.14255001071259776,
                  0.18188371327049085,
                  0.2377449143460212,
                  0.42145611222351714,
                  0.1479860556845358,
                  0.12124869010878025,
                  0.2479824338728319,
                  0.2514899355484556,
                  0.13110147012351495,
                  0.21204909579080525,
                  0.17867192578940985,
                  0.37110380101987395,
                  0.21219336268690475,
                  0.1862821688472519,
                  0.3117638784653182,
                  0.3398867477101932,
                  0.19668290877892228,
                  0.1477079310888914,
                  0.2041966459409466,
                  0.27440219182756104
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.30922885335447725,
                  0.29613886705280196,
                  0.13863303230663443,
                  0.14778005167403346,
                  0.15228155631642487,
                  0.18555479660116075,
                  0.2323286066111426,
                  0.41071690781649134,
                  0.15645789164814694,
                  0.12993772955896807,
                  0.24280805836405528,
                  0.25325138300038613,
                  0.1324835226858189,
                  0.20346096894071503,
                  0.1852099973152223,
                  0.3721963399266724,
                  0.21777186789424954,
                  0.19118284667091623,
                  0.31142926732564313,
                  0.3420124753425011,
                  0.20381741462037756,
                  0.14597371006209459,
                  0.21219427302329458,
                  0.27109581952879136
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1899098997376093,
                  0.1642926634159962,
                  0.35294900907046595,
                  0.36948442798483583,
                  0.28338317778376104,
                  0.23196105308129436,
                  0.27419140957971294,
                  0.11997121582442236,
                  0.25599826952917343,
                  0.26396946864859366,
                  0.15502982408369853,
                  0.15680466990313752,
                  0.30783413843866914,
                  0.23770157356412452,
                  0.19670672157368194,
                  0.13044583796223932,
                  0.16924527838418152,
                  0.3009835080063212,
                  0.15425328982199388,
                  0.1287808810265244,
                  0.2775120228908665,
                  0.3246995398791466,
                  0.21661174976034359,
                  0.16148198143059225
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17738279432422033,
                  0.16291922463688202,
                  0.3573305591548917,
                  0.36738521024407034,
                  0.293866819196683,
                  0.2245308275940169,
                  0.2685186699995438,
                  0.12181931612262123,
                  0.2510340515745923,
                  0.2655454528025772,
                  0.15794759516928547,
                  0.16555091811475234,
                  0.3030853630168286,
                  0.2341918656360369,
                  0.19400729752006593,
                  0.13352913275265402,
                  0.16749294744621107,
                  0.3107946843630607,
                  0.15415055418038232,
                  0.13585978507394156,
                  0.28575968943024593,
                  0.3157091148698405,
                  0.22318652227446084,
                  0.15815963763058116
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.060775786061996,
                  12.262579922437773,
                  27.216334353312494,
                  42.46530542133957,
                  15.025303925114349,
                  18.539442848021633,
                  36.455777030688566,
                  20.29191098489776,
                  21.952983594613922,
                  14.662285375947555,
                  10.70472901614862,
                  12.735617575027534,
                  19.81129569887511,
                  19.82418265439673,
                  12.397977245784208,
                  17.890576371146217,
                  12.05065853335676,
                  35.13638540713932,
                  15.114732035085982,
                  11.760623227551656,
                  40.98100787482301,
                  26.399389631326784,
                  14.699946758855317,
                  16.02694703507957
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.515515110176164,
                  12.027072670009332,
                  27.15745490417225,
                  43.062149116207536,
                  16.883014234429464,
                  15.110665227823379,
                  28.637921780736875,
                  19.89980051208872,
                  21.148523580110787,
                  14.885017211092011,
                  10.864882292965909,
                  13.870372070370355,
                  16.873149149217223,
                  16.149557646341,
                  11.53548174320184,
                  20.00999516407377,
                  11.833867920547483,
                  40.84283466644615,
                  15.118220461952959,
                  15.526179448811071,
                  40.59978539071442,
                  21.57204161823094,
                  16.19071462488736,
                  13.055384080829477
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  27.00775748640397,
                  11.630170431297573,
                  26.51847026532095,
                  41.88882461668594,
                  14.148807238233289,
                  17.872459235413665,
                  35.9498006353614,
                  19.578911703159914,
                  21.234728894268656,
                  13.753452454042629,
                  10.036963744245059,
                  12.240297918069427,
                  19.25476233074601,
                  19.42360804933516,
                  11.678351637938063,
                  17.297412739204802,
                  11.347922947599589,
                  34.34531232357635,
                  14.369636449254793,
                  11.32939174449933,
                  40.49030882478045,
                  25.921880272657017,
                  14.104673821257412,
                  15.11180773079056
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.676884392709255,
                  11.17615323579967,
                  26.335191496921233,
                  42.27000823587325,
                  16.041291659243317,
                  14.26558593103382,
                  27.818462288024797,
                  19.063791547276942,
                  20.314879621109657,
                  14.039510550634402,
                  10.011761740617914,
                  13.022943733509857,
                  16.03140789015757,
                  15.306445948828944,
                  10.683631265570193,
                  19.174194901254385,
                  10.982582568251718,
                  40.04649053904792,
                  14.273155474318951,
                  14.681887110773385,
                  39.8029809427182,
                  20.739199776726256,
                  15.347680876198298,
                  12.206412206110008
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4521731571646754,
              "rpss": 0.00198170727110758,
              "brier_below": 0.22616475677421058,
              "bss_below": 0.002937588719997275,
              "brier_above": 0.22600840047422444,
              "bss_above": 0.001023327690324094,
              "crps": 20.936115346126353,
              "crpss": -0.04382737849291862,
              "crps_fair": 20.27232139558925,
              "crpss_fair": -0.054676987304904445,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.044277,
                    0.954321,
                    0.001401,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2952,
                    0.3381,
                    0.4048,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3018,
                    0.3498,
                    0.4278,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    2.9e-05,
                    0.960868,
                    0.039103,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2944,
                    0.3436,
                    0.4236,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.3472,
                    0.3131,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5415902752780666,
                  0.44942975366085947,
                  0.4896884533981546,
                  0.5075701944100842,
                  0.4296697603197834,
                  0.40393813562711733,
                  0.5032896640614787,
                  0.5387836247485226,
                  0.4110156185701652,
                  0.39023824556444825,
                  0.4132629702299113,
                  0.4045621488665031,
                  0.42471564630142333,
                  0.44099921255189795,
                  0.37180029803663844,
                  0.4928806180388891,
                  0.3863233636062376,
                  0.4978896536884809,
                  0.4879273086321948,
                  0.47443834832818804,
                  0.4741348012740962,
                  0.46799505344509745,
                  0.43204155014465045,
                  0.4307597374443839
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.49692546808151494,
                  0.4425004297311524,
                  0.5019082769064045,
                  0.5064333837283189,
                  0.4493332273217324,
                  0.4008197088796275,
                  0.49214123609132593,
                  0.5299440633497334,
                  0.4125320165992243,
                  0.3973638817558074,
                  0.4081375216137364,
                  0.42014033125261396,
                  0.4248286277730835,
                  0.42704216425257485,
                  0.3755742335427411,
                  0.49379724379384515,
                  0.3873416399190235,
                  0.5177366653254861,
                  0.4839102472484309,
                  0.487019492459797,
                  0.49482401619394534,
                  0.4541665212671262,
                  0.44634875136680735,
                  0.4208625234376798
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.36709334644908925,
                  0.2867362795991151,
                  0.12898911098229005,
                  0.15554926161188729,
                  0.14602125815190667,
                  0.19069612271709743,
                  0.18232841778212933,
                  0.41754927045368334,
                  0.1524140735465834,
                  0.1256886893697257,
                  0.26779435663396683,
                  0.24703659796924124,
                  0.1347179814585392,
                  0.1937669980882129,
                  0.17492994235586165,
                  0.3539385432775139,
                  0.2257657341444584,
                  0.1572923151797282,
                  0.35988932399138224,
                  0.35401561852943064,
                  0.1544441983332605,
                  0.15929774430810528,
                  0.2101521994614382,
                  0.28284783281737247
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.34117568778132534,
                  0.280053383566344,
                  0.13450149319852867,
                  0.15732198035030748,
                  0.15473613909973766,
                  0.19434878307934944,
                  0.17980801494605603,
                  0.4079365738751568,
                  0.16032257902227548,
                  0.1332184139808406,
                  0.26119900864962203,
                  0.2514382285910136,
                  0.13531377508107187,
                  0.1853202655941405,
                  0.1818743277880335,
                  0.3543807460126602,
                  0.23034746051873398,
                  0.16417677640375913,
                  0.35710308535482294,
                  0.35945144459801076,
                  0.16544049155230897,
                  0.15409584057255046,
                  0.21691892059143786,
                  0.27741814864029335
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1744969292299755,
                  0.1626934740114353,
                  0.36069934320239977,
                  0.3520209341628278,
                  0.2836485021144454,
                  0.21324201280760655,
                  0.3209612459587164,
                  0.12123435376371237,
                  0.25860154566508853,
                  0.26454955697543175,
                  0.1454686135261965,
                  0.15752555030992976,
                  0.2899976651876281,
                  0.24723221484948837,
                  0.19687035562793023,
                  0.13894207484841087,
                  0.16055762915806895,
                  0.34059733903791883,
                  0.1280379841155124,
                  0.12042273014779398,
                  0.31969060270416744,
                  0.30869731004321715,
                  0.2218893501672212,
                  0.1479119040090651
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.15574978030018993,
                  0.16244704616480854,
                  0.36740678370787594,
                  0.3491114033780117,
                  0.29459708822199504,
                  0.20647092580027818,
                  0.3123332211452702,
                  0.12200748947457683,
                  0.2522094375769491,
                  0.264145467774967,
                  0.14693851296411473,
                  0.16870210266160068,
                  0.2895148526920119,
                  0.24172189865843452,
                  0.19369990575470775,
                  0.1394164977811851,
                  0.15699417940028976,
                  0.35355988892172713,
                  0.1268071618936083,
                  0.12756804786178638,
                  0.3293835246416366,
                  0.300070680694576,
                  0.22942983077536966,
                  0.1434443747973867
                ],
                "crps": [
                  32.824185832226696,
                  12.707523261968843,
                  30.717750059098623,
                  43.134154851825244,
                  17.063379098882102,
                  20.558566088960433,
                  44.57025678851922,
                  22.738630441759486,
                  24.64417134877606,
                  16.673791908036776,
                  11.770640262285506,
                  14.7179890688764,
                  19.663413843579132,
                  21.842173292158275,
                  13.713409107111085,
                  20.18432050539162,
                  13.916031831846045,
                  43.20209040380116,
                  17.47065413805831,
                  12.87237814973941,
                  50.97082150177485,
                  26.495713772686045,
                  17.0546737535137,
                  18.354598099304404
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.780787513601947,
                  13.13070493794864,
                  30.809313804317902,
                  43.66777757153176,
                  18.954401750013098,
                  16.492711869708796,
                  34.373370564942896,
                  22.522388083312702,
                  23.51364394783613,
                  16.593348468335503,
                  12.132036607527255,
                  16.06887610321715,
                  16.86034595908366,
                  17.564548526350222,
                  13.021069333935209,
                  21.955010782616075,
                  13.563193049293446,
                  50.61749650933895,
                  17.51507769120794,
                  17.96173246331503,
                  50.35394525772704,
                  21.274471353161417,
                  18.77088571528336,
                  14.700448643376912
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.640589760675187,
                  12.009015401203714,
                  29.930314314716103,
                  42.48481610389589,
                  16.07182413451449,
                  19.784716708506075,
                  44.035860616416045,
                  21.986448013897025,
                  23.819523622016092,
                  15.619912814235612,
                  10.98476016176319,
                  14.159369732922237,
                  19.036002143003852,
                  21.40500140479569,
                  12.903153661144803,
                  19.51100297902737,
                  13.123504206960156,
                  42.28040430249568,
                  16.64520451277506,
                  12.389169801560243,
                  50.42120632986336,
                  25.95448557473542,
                  16.397402927120705,
                  17.282849397782257
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.834227729090085,
                  12.169656360679872,
                  29.8817474408112,
                  42.764564359099325,
                  18.004382901555047,
                  15.538030729810787,
                  33.45255430893737,
                  21.579126784728338,
                  22.572260027783052,
                  15.638857928056103,
                  11.16909661296602,
                  15.11339224406442,
                  15.906361095870066,
                  16.611897380120098,
                  12.059813113477023,
                  21.010674905810696,
                  12.602963578296162,
                  49.72744564337963,
                  16.562332850214283,
                  17.009833559389754,
                  49.46339524166998,
                  20.328846575921453,
                  17.82051929857772,
                  13.74237306555024
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45270601817613637,
              "rpss": 0.0006151087404615563,
              "brier_below": 0.22620646738383413,
              "bss_below": 0.00164518454832141,
              "brier_above": 0.22649955090100785,
              "bss_above": -0.00041575833506435345,
              "crps": 23.660888225424145,
              "crpss": -0.04540471370978616,
              "crps_fair": 22.911522442751092,
              "crpss_fair": -0.056308474984518186,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.040928,
                    0.957462,
                    0.001611,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2952,
                    0.339,
                    0.405,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2851,
                    0.3495,
                    0.4339,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    3.5e-05,
                    0.943926,
                    0.056039,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2944,
                    0.3442,
                    0.4237,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.3483,
                    0.3146,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4052804976225627,
                  0.4812413016528943,
                  0.43633101778713124,
                  0.4661028006560897,
                  0.4383176401785411,
                  0.4354640958304937,
                  0.4829933886556187,
                  0.4157041905847258,
                  0.45640813762445553
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40161619190917225,
                  0.49204692387629745,
                  0.4299899885273098,
                  0.47528200776247287,
                  0.4503731422035293,
                  0.44588230538086027,
                  0.4982186059363643,
                  0.40271461687088617,
                  0.4525472776671369
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21714256278531685,
                  0.20251324663252598,
                  0.2682761326208215,
                  0.15317731447403687,
                  0.2895214847998393,
                  0.2592789699902624,
                  0.11386311879304206,
                  0.16657046734081002,
                  0.18806492227873547
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21623690591179195,
                  0.20701388554914213,
                  0.26135036266898715,
                  0.155949239131093,
                  0.2963471079591241,
                  0.26151305041397066,
                  0.12083093150048313,
                  0.16102855285572565,
                  0.1838780969829451
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.18813794157509472,
                  0.2787280441216212,
                  0.16805489430183776,
                  0.3129254689997495,
                  0.1487961668185528,
                  0.1761851326912272,
                  0.3691302435040665,
                  0.24913371935210588,
                  0.26834320743835155
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18537929258540958,
                  0.2850330270957072,
                  0.16863963543963614,
                  0.31933275126666294,
                  0.15402604643883205,
                  0.1843692617355264,
                  0.3773876466901393,
                  0.24168606053475453,
                  0.26866917237882915
                ],
                "crps": [
                  11.35879991751497,
                  23.91169831144135,
                  12.560219961107016,
                  24.27065576436852,
                  14.560481411760302,
                  14.909353344413672,
                  69.49578113369563,
                  16.84220559489902,
                  22.361999453683786
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  11.463675222229222,
                  23.73371473169829,
                  12.343868264699012,
                  23.739064588274186,
                  16.997103064518143,
                  15.14718121966435,
                  73.00083858094878,
                  14.399653709595194,
                  20.471236749209417
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  10.979433913981351,
                  23.578713445131296,
                  12.255830183132392,
                  23.93430157854311,
                  14.27278782710245,
                  14.561269458374637,
                  69.10131100469575,
                  16.588147582398506,
                  22.03543342223311
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  10.662785406373821,
                  22.932824915842893,
                  11.542978448843611,
                  22.938174772418787,
                  16.19621324866275,
                  14.34629140380895,
                  72.19994876509341,
                  13.598763893739797,
                  19.670346933354015
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4464270078436125,
              "rpss": 0.007614347790580123,
              "brier_below": 0.20648980219059893,
              "bss_below": 0.0030791079079737216,
              "brier_above": 0.23993720208917857,
              "bss_above": 0.011484464378879178,
              "crps": 23.36346609920936,
              "crpss": 0.004851675408690359,
              "crps_fair": 23.0341364906214,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0157720956526044,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.269507,
                    0.730493,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2929,
                    0.3385,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3187,
                    0.2768,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.010151,
                    0.958831,
                    0.031018,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2985,
                    0.3309,
                    0.4138,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.372,
                    0.3908,
                    0.5272,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.41218499648383383,
                  0.4792278728240942,
                  0.419241942355492,
                  0.4761790176902756,
                  0.43327208395489003,
                  0.44204795493374244,
                  0.5147377751306997,
                  0.4072837078132598,
                  0.45585923328390643
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4079511787742341,
                  0.4922054065344404,
                  0.4152411870413332,
                  0.4870765649166562,
                  0.4434099354793544,
                  0.45787049883487024,
                  0.5324498556606468,
                  0.3943971410063836,
                  0.45527056505295654
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21803634609756,
                  0.1861979746367564,
                  0.2633777654647106,
                  0.12017844761106133,
                  0.2865317381576341,
                  0.2514659414178804,
                  0.11028108869678639,
                  0.1864717814056608,
                  0.15661277603235674
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2165833496531308,
                  0.19072963656958514,
                  0.2598017131713074,
                  0.12377404015058635,
                  0.29230044362743446,
                  0.2562704571353755,
                  0.11638456203759603,
                  0.1791706241621763,
                  0.1553153215626392
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.19414865603784762,
                  0.2930298846455185,
                  0.15586418856231096,
                  0.3560005455082571,
                  0.14674035780656663,
                  0.19058201752878995,
                  0.40445665326513774,
                  0.22081192735976005,
                  0.29924644396243055
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.19136783463829776,
                  0.30147575579321806,
                  0.15543948581170997,
                  0.36330249953894866,
                  0.15110950456786512,
                  0.20160004538702728,
                  0.41606525896121255,
                  0.21522651809513638,
                  0.2999552295905713
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.51035045633022,
                  28.985740050784514,
                  13.62303591967525,
                  29.568631718704996,
                  16.61209767097757,
                  17.496056143071407,
                  85.75029882122867,
                  17.433025221480293,
                  26.526266120120535
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.039559283152627,
                  28.74038520413434,
                  13.566566575715115,
                  28.965864553546538,
                  19.057562942859114,
                  17.96040428789877,
                  90.10266834942621,
                  15.396608232662523,
                  24.267913548742563
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  12.101021826230452,
                  28.605944080929888,
                  13.276440298282317,
                  29.174215017064526,
                  16.28534695040718,
                  17.112816478580047,
                  85.31173241757675,
                  17.137800074419673,
                  26.167257243104693
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.135801724583425,
                  27.83662764556514,
                  12.662809017145918,
                  28.06210699497735,
                  18.15380538428992,
                  17.056646729329582,
                  89.19891079085703,
                  14.492850674093326,
                  23.364155990173366
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4488927316077993,
              "rpss": 0.011218595465426806,
              "brier_below": 0.19768376216893413,
              "bss_below": 0.006242585235730624,
              "brier_above": 0.2512089638529577,
              "bss_above": 0.015099464835947374,
              "crps": 27.61172245804149,
              "crpss": 0.010322804947629827,
              "crps_fair": 27.24139715406617,
              "crpss_fair": -0.009091314050848176,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.250005,
                    0.749995,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2929,
                    0.3376,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.29,
                    0.2546,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.007148,
                    0.949074,
                    0.043778,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2992,
                    0.3323,
                    0.4139,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2072,
                    0.4293,
                    0.5246,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "mvs_r3": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8567711164410556,
            "training": [
              0.8158727982343306,
              0.8602023306005221,
              0.8575115525340998,
              0.8646248798805886,
              0.8587436279731462,
              0.8435138136468875,
              0.8286782780127521,
              0.8695362945282186,
              0.857707930338154,
              0.861409095253211,
              0.8605256748622422,
              0.8663801900388571,
              0.8432556938182274,
              0.8594200074611819,
              0.8554414416476674,
              0.8857357256746502,
              0.8504125432173592,
              0.870430166492394,
              0.8720727402083827,
              0.9045654066338316,
              0.8612345652724515,
              0.8442426539416151,
              0.8229422274721192,
              0.8480471568424462
            ],
            "test": 0.8664711697311444
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5195987791607822,
                  0.4714248540961783,
                  0.4843007349537656,
                  0.5127555302976575,
                  0.42418947837994453,
                  0.4139243997760446,
                  0.5130516851089995,
                  0.5407654404099371,
                  0.4040347349102228,
                  0.3850434773187715,
                  0.4032858615929728,
                  0.40779283344773326,
                  0.4401484249470197,
                  0.4517637487166529,
                  0.3748770712744852,
                  0.5001822635823243,
                  0.38104615595197383,
                  0.48622699325208024,
                  0.46526935733099306,
                  0.4670738801539379,
                  0.4719638577332868,
                  0.4732516445131285,
                  0.4190605691328745,
                  0.43559530758341436
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48661164767869763,
                  0.45905809168968387,
                  0.495963591461526,
                  0.515165261918104,
                  0.446148375513108,
                  0.41008562419517763,
                  0.5008472766106865,
                  0.5325362239391127,
                  0.4074919432227391,
                  0.3954831823615453,
                  0.40075565353334075,
                  0.41880230111513844,
                  0.43556888570264757,
                  0.4376528345767518,
                  0.3792172948352883,
                  0.5057254726793263,
                  0.38526481534046053,
                  0.5019775310339771,
                  0.46557982150602545,
                  0.4778722604164428,
                  0.4895771040506235,
                  0.46168282493193524,
                  0.43538079529775536,
                  0.4292554571593725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3286982902021909,
                  0.3069708685243161,
                  0.13161056025891427,
                  0.14316247207663543,
                  0.14196122549600382,
                  0.18173426178450222,
                  0.23810047087898203,
                  0.4209329667669163,
                  0.14792060755793746,
                  0.12084513866300345,
                  0.24848331520391367,
                  0.2514741689140164,
                  0.13172974986545802,
                  0.21332826224271273,
                  0.17795833092100982,
                  0.36992951310386113,
                  0.21167562186905495,
                  0.1862169552916154,
                  0.31102229836317885,
                  0.33895218406528616,
                  0.19597078542986435,
                  0.14781574864988797,
                  0.20311819152252686,
                  0.273864757764415
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.30922885335447725,
                  0.29613886705280196,
                  0.13863303230663443,
                  0.14778005167403346,
                  0.15228155631642487,
                  0.18555479660116075,
                  0.2323286066111426,
                  0.41071690781649134,
                  0.15645789164814694,
                  0.12993772955896807,
                  0.24280805836405528,
                  0.25325138300038613,
                  0.1324835226858189,
                  0.20346096894071503,
                  0.1852099973152223,
                  0.3721963399266724,
                  0.21777186789424954,
                  0.19118284667091623,
                  0.31142926732564313,
                  0.3420124753425011,
                  0.20381741462037756,
                  0.14597371006209459,
                  0.21219427302329458,
                  0.27109581952879136
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1909004892206602,
                  0.16445398550224094,
                  0.3526901754426158,
                  0.36959305967640554,
                  0.28222825286693304,
                  0.23219013781457476,
                  0.27495121391154576,
                  0.11983247294645263,
                  0.2561141279584626,
                  0.26419833949869814,
                  0.15480254640852176,
                  0.15631866406196082,
                  0.3084186755202031,
                  0.23843548691031713,
                  0.19691874023635578,
                  0.1302527506719806,
                  0.16937053370040017,
                  0.30001003836602935,
                  0.15424705849659423,
                  0.1281216964601123,
                  0.2759930720198249,
                  0.3254358966676275,
                  0.21594237700876592,
                  0.16173054907087167
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17738279432422033,
                  0.16291922463688202,
                  0.3573305591548917,
                  0.36738521024407034,
                  0.293866819196683,
                  0.2245308275940169,
                  0.2685186699995438,
                  0.12181931612262123,
                  0.2510340515745923,
                  0.2655454528025772,
                  0.15794759516928547,
                  0.16555091811475234,
                  0.3030853630168286,
                  0.2341918656360369,
                  0.19400729752006593,
                  0.13352913275265402,
                  0.16749294744621107,
                  0.3107946843630607,
                  0.15415055418038232,
                  0.13585978507394156,
                  0.28575968943024593,
                  0.3157091148698405,
                  0.22318652227446084,
                  0.15815963763058116
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.04108736799924,
                  12.25478106794413,
                  27.193428133712953,
                  42.34996940010719,
                  15.114648255541107,
                  18.526716637161435,
                  36.43160047876765,
                  20.05212919724055,
                  21.92252885686081,
                  14.763813007271002,
                  10.658943194224507,
                  12.736785422794723,
                  19.867880029496124,
                  19.886562070141515,
                  12.287715967166656,
                  17.636299262624018,
                  11.954444588154296,
                  35.045522952767875,
                  14.947416320279496,
                  11.506595346431432,
                  41.0303535659087,
                  26.361480199642973,
                  14.67472535628684,
                  15.89806882663545
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.515515110176164,
                  12.027072670009332,
                  27.15745490417225,
                  43.062149116207536,
                  16.883014234429464,
                  15.110665227823379,
                  28.637921780736875,
                  19.89980051208872,
                  21.148523580110787,
                  14.885017211092011,
                  10.864882292965909,
                  13.870372070370355,
                  16.873149149217223,
                  16.149557646341,
                  11.53548174320184,
                  20.00999516407377,
                  11.833867920547483,
                  40.84283466644615,
                  15.118220461952959,
                  15.526179448811071,
                  40.59978539071442,
                  21.57204161823094,
                  16.19071462488736,
                  13.055384080829477
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.967042552500526,
                  11.61287021811513,
                  26.486121471869858,
                  41.767490603622385,
                  14.223846871556622,
                  17.850571219195622,
                  35.917273856524815,
                  19.32271368006201,
                  21.1957907017916,
                  13.839966843072812,
                  9.982345260234217,
                  12.233963565184952,
                  19.30233447691516,
                  19.48224026652148,
                  11.557504527830924,
                  17.033624373046138,
                  11.24106136485033,
                  34.243251278600454,
                  14.18908624659759,
                  11.070500523892859,
                  40.53552564151425,
                  25.87847485583083,
                  14.068506297882553,
                  14.966223281003028
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.676884392709255,
                  11.17615323579967,
                  26.335191496921233,
                  42.27000823587325,
                  16.041291659243317,
                  14.26558593103382,
                  27.818462288024797,
                  19.063791547276942,
                  20.314879621109657,
                  14.039510550634402,
                  10.011761740617914,
                  13.022943733509857,
                  16.03140789015757,
                  15.306445948828944,
                  10.683631265570193,
                  19.174194901254385,
                  10.982582568251718,
                  40.04649053904792,
                  14.273155474318951,
                  14.681887110773385,
                  39.8029809427182,
                  20.739199776726256,
                  15.347680876198298,
                  12.206412206110008
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45194279515104924,
              "rpss": 0.0024901529846709236,
              "brier_below": 0.22597819772567515,
              "bss_below": 0.0037600467255323178,
              "brier_above": 0.2259645975182564,
              "bss_above": 0.0012169405432023161,
              "crps": 20.880978979381695,
              "crpss": -0.04107840390010575,
              "crps_fair": 20.207013749092336,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05127932649876099,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.083617,
                    0.912751,
                    0.003632,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2944,
                    0.3397,
                    0.4048,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2469,
                    0.357,
                    0.361,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.000658,
                    0.958059,
                    0.041283,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2967,
                    0.343,
                    0.4287,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3471,
                    0.3471,
                    0.3174,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5442476098809227,
                  0.4496614285167009,
                  0.4895079042538791,
                  0.5079103575140461,
                  0.4283667173483201,
                  0.4040947888218608,
                  0.5045041372872503,
                  0.5379427299714973,
                  0.4114336060290603,
                  0.390574004417499,
                  0.4135628716977904,
                  0.4036866044167742,
                  0.4259327964120715,
                  0.44318628742046773,
                  0.3712057125486586,
                  0.49155859818719005,
                  0.38591301576775633,
                  0.49647233929447193,
                  0.48719232315796035,
                  0.4721680157819558,
                  0.4714459529774243,
                  0.4690638539009734,
                  0.4306242771447161,
                  0.43099503660157673
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.49692546808151494,
                  0.4425004297311524,
                  0.5019082769064045,
                  0.5064333837283189,
                  0.4493332273217324,
                  0.4008197088796275,
                  0.49214123609132593,
                  0.5299440633497334,
                  0.4125320165992243,
                  0.3973638817558074,
                  0.4081375216137364,
                  0.42014033125261396,
                  0.4248286277730835,
                  0.42704216425257485,
                  0.3755742335427411,
                  0.49379724379384515,
                  0.3873416399190235,
                  0.5177366653254861,
                  0.4839102472484309,
                  0.487019492459797,
                  0.49482401619394534,
                  0.4541665212671262,
                  0.44634875136680735,
                  0.4208625234376798
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3682960537533354,
                  0.2869597320044028,
                  0.1290799398536192,
                  0.1555747354799362,
                  0.1457235946282112,
                  0.1907515742503445,
                  0.1824208509391949,
                  0.4168075109685968,
                  0.15250479541331588,
                  0.12550314190075004,
                  0.268308701537792,
                  0.24688794671483164,
                  0.1354741759598117,
                  0.1949861038778183,
                  0.1740317030853107,
                  0.35265097425385117,
                  0.22519795958137487,
                  0.15712384825790202,
                  0.35909750627290626,
                  0.3524873867004009,
                  0.15355850351144945,
                  0.15958620482791208,
                  0.20922097971855583,
                  0.2826699541505764
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.34117568778132534,
                  0.280053383566344,
                  0.13450149319852867,
                  0.15732198035030748,
                  0.15473613909973766,
                  0.19434878307934944,
                  0.17980801494605603,
                  0.4079365738751568,
                  0.16032257902227548,
                  0.1332184139808406,
                  0.26119900864962203,
                  0.2514382285910136,
                  0.13531377508107187,
                  0.1853202655941405,
                  0.1818743277880335,
                  0.3543807460126602,
                  0.23034746051873398,
                  0.16417677640375913,
                  0.35710308535482294,
                  0.35945144459801076,
                  0.16544049155230897,
                  0.15409584057255046,
                  0.21691892059143786,
                  0.27741814864029335
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17595155653513198,
                  0.1627016964797405,
                  0.3604279653371526,
                  0.3523356235445059,
                  0.2826431227339299,
                  0.21334321445233298,
                  0.32208328601616626,
                  0.12113521837326034,
                  0.2589288113507022,
                  0.2650708634281182,
                  0.1452541700634748,
                  0.15679865707244336,
                  0.29045862089076335,
                  0.2482001839555596,
                  0.197174009391833,
                  0.13890762399777482,
                  0.16071505583834003,
                  0.3393484916540345,
                  0.12809481630754738,
                  0.11968062943353447,
                  0.31788744919715983,
                  0.30947765002306227,
                  0.22140329677400555,
                  0.14832508173507655
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.15574978030018993,
                  0.16244704616480854,
                  0.36740678370787594,
                  0.3491114033780117,
                  0.29459708822199504,
                  0.20647092580027818,
                  0.3123332211452702,
                  0.12200748947457683,
                  0.2522094375769491,
                  0.264145467774967,
                  0.14693851296411473,
                  0.16870210266160068,
                  0.2895148526920119,
                  0.24172189865843452,
                  0.19369990575470775,
                  0.1394164977811851,
                  0.15699417940028976,
                  0.35355988892172713,
                  0.1268071618936083,
                  0.12756804786178638,
                  0.3293835246416366,
                  0.300070680694576,
                  0.22942983077536966,
                  0.1434443747973867
                ],
                "crps": [
                  32.81147802151278,
                  12.709594415986647,
                  30.685227946893203,
                  42.983322118090065,
                  17.171072523336846,
                  20.53904499375966,
                  44.54741466882618,
                  22.454423978404957,
                  24.606276942422426,
                  16.796269454892446,
                  11.705165272158489,
                  14.733004681536936,
                  19.72815189023719,
                  21.922139807897302,
                  13.57641172629592,
                  19.880187328303926,
                  13.790229684434347,
                  43.08509415746854,
                  17.247223530965528,
                  12.560740440250774,
                  51.04607231584174,
                  26.437182786461246,
                  17.02544997087798,
                  18.199502356763357
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.780787513601947,
                  13.13070493794864,
                  30.809313804317902,
                  43.66777757153176,
                  18.954401750013098,
                  16.492711869708796,
                  34.373370564942896,
                  22.522388083312702,
                  23.51364394783613,
                  16.593348468335503,
                  12.132036607527255,
                  16.06887610321715,
                  16.86034595908366,
                  17.564548526350222,
                  13.021069333935209,
                  21.955010782616075,
                  13.563193049293446,
                  50.61749650933895,
                  17.51507769120794,
                  17.96173246331503,
                  50.35394525772704,
                  21.274471353161417,
                  18.77088571528336,
                  14.700448643376912
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.60246353949512,
                  11.999791636900367,
                  29.88627770141023,
                  42.32621667810601,
                  16.162590213663183,
                  19.754009935253464,
                  44.0028254712101,
                  21.682655571827564,
                  23.771563064917768,
                  15.724274791485604,
                  10.90854298797477,
                  14.165193290989137,
                  19.0895257006873,
                  21.480534735968675,
                  12.754032136515988,
                  19.195246227939453,
                  12.984644865072676,
                  42.14971374517111,
                  16.40567012475823,
                  12.07180162661086,
                  50.49195296870535,
                  25.889334260548672,
                  16.354889619807086,
                  17.106980340643126
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.834227729090085,
                  12.169656360679872,
                  29.8817474408112,
                  42.764564359099325,
                  18.004382901555047,
                  15.538030729810787,
                  33.45255430893737,
                  21.579126784728338,
                  22.572260027783052,
                  15.638857928056103,
                  11.16909661296602,
                  15.11339224406442,
                  15.906361095870066,
                  16.611897380120098,
                  12.059813113477023,
                  21.010674905810696,
                  12.602963578296162,
                  49.72744564337963,
                  16.562332850214283,
                  17.009833559389754,
                  49.46339524166998,
                  20.328846575921453,
                  17.82051929857772,
                  13.74237306555024
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.452552123722951,
              "rpss": 0.0009548431048990169,
              "brier_below": 0.22603766156842497,
              "bss_below": 0.0023902034712508513,
              "brier_above": 0.2265144622744021,
              "bss_above": -0.000481619714756798,
              "crps": 23.59336170890077,
              "crpss": -0.04242120193282406,
              "crps_fair": 22.83169713481924,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05262822416324009,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.076139,
                    0.919556,
                    0.004306,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2944,
                    0.3409,
                    0.405,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2516,
                    0.3549,
                    0.3325,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.000702,
                    0.941144,
                    0.058154,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2966,
                    0.3436,
                    0.4286,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3497,
                    0.3486,
                    0.3105,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4054201465639793,
                  0.48003708799416056,
                  0.4363478936361012,
                  0.46557649278761065,
                  0.4360339414173369,
                  0.4340890121460432,
                  0.48240507151325906,
                  0.4171443499836289,
                  0.45674839629865527
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40161619190917225,
                  0.49204692387629745,
                  0.4299899885273098,
                  0.47528200776247287,
                  0.4503731422035293,
                  0.44588230538086027,
                  0.4982186059363643,
                  0.40271461687088617,
                  0.4525472776671369
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21713013750625176,
                  0.201729421399003,
                  0.2682180421635005,
                  0.15302256263276814,
                  0.2875542444534786,
                  0.2583520592655362,
                  0.11385605355266953,
                  0.16745707944252364,
                  0.18830738060732485
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21623690591179195,
                  0.20701388554914213,
                  0.26135036266898715,
                  0.155949239131093,
                  0.2963471079591241,
                  0.26151305041397066,
                  0.12083093150048313,
                  0.16102855285572565,
                  0.1838780969829451
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1882900157800431,
                  0.2783076557160497,
                  0.1681298605797326,
                  0.31255391299975316,
                  0.14847970837402164,
                  0.17573695975549486,
                  0.36854899170777633,
                  0.24968726661147966,
                  0.2684410078246724
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18537929258540958,
                  0.2850330270957072,
                  0.16863963543963614,
                  0.31933275126666294,
                  0.15402604643883205,
                  0.1843692617355264,
                  0.3773876466901393,
                  0.24168606053475453,
                  0.26866917237882915
                ],
                "crps": [
                  11.406034564132456,
                  23.780211323489354,
                  12.444984926405496,
                  24.303307249158443,
                  14.282521661096217,
                  14.754133297339362,
                  69.32436088181812,
                  16.93239087196499,
                  22.29991556374708
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  11.463675222229222,
                  23.73371473169829,
                  12.343868264699012,
                  23.739064588274186,
                  16.997103064518143,
                  15.14718121966435,
                  73.00083858094878,
                  14.399653709595194,
                  20.471236749209417
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  11.019666701905953,
                  23.442123241250492,
                  12.136141030741257,
                  23.961837285785272,
                  13.991084767717195,
                  14.401166026379022,
                  68.92334185143132,
                  16.67517025057894,
                  21.96817173242731
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  10.662785406373821,
                  22.932824915842893,
                  11.542978448843611,
                  22.938174772418787,
                  16.19621324866275,
                  14.34629140380895,
                  72.19994876509341,
                  13.598763893739797,
                  19.670346933354015
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44597804359341947,
              "rpss": 0.008612373609848234,
              "brier_below": 0.20618077566922846,
              "bss_below": 0.004571070184543502,
              "brier_above": 0.23979726437211368,
              "bss_above": 0.01206099276269601,
              "crps": 23.280873371016835,
              "crpss": 0.008369647217119969,
              "crps_fair": 22.9465225431352,
              "crpss_fair": -0.011908447319935567,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.24884,
                    0.75116,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2903,
                    0.3388,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3088,
                    0.2812,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.009625,
                    0.956914,
                    0.033461,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2962,
                    0.3305,
                    0.4184,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3533,
                    0.3908,
                    0.5229,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4123552480963806,
                  0.4777170223884285,
                  0.4188273540501204,
                  0.4760520152811139,
                  0.43092912621796814,
                  0.4402554559265636,
                  0.5142601351633251,
                  0.40876249045619045,
                  0.4557235119554852
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4079511787742341,
                  0.4922054065344404,
                  0.4152411870413332,
                  0.4870765649166562,
                  0.4434099354793544,
                  0.45787049883487024,
                  0.5324498556606468,
                  0.3943971410063836,
                  0.45527056505295654
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21813490296647867,
                  0.18518142011804284,
                  0.2628544276390019,
                  0.12039065697915213,
                  0.28449328893574344,
                  0.250265533810608,
                  0.1105175803085409,
                  0.18747641930900322,
                  0.15646098788631949
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2165833496531308,
                  0.19072963656958514,
                  0.2598017131713074,
                  0.12377404015058635,
                  0.29230044362743446,
                  0.2562704571353755,
                  0.11638456203759603,
                  0.1791706241621763,
                  0.1553153215626392
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1942203507668402,
                  0.2925355887602365,
                  0.15597293806127613,
                  0.3556613337781499,
                  0.14643584926046257,
                  0.18998992615481844,
                  0.403742521815095,
                  0.2212860720671179,
                  0.29926251083430355
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.19136783463829776,
                  0.30147575579321806,
                  0.15543948581170997,
                  0.36330249953894866,
                  0.15110950456786512,
                  0.20160004538702728,
                  0.41606525896121255,
                  0.21522651809513638,
                  0.2999552295905713
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.573971787307894,
                  28.806987892366756,
                  13.4827938368138,
                  29.63409795553384,
                  16.27728289867457,
                  17.30788668619272,
                  85.52995167402175,
                  17.53305977856567,
                  26.443844908560152
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.039559283152627,
                  28.74038520413434,
                  13.566566575715115,
                  28.965864553546538,
                  19.057562942859114,
                  17.96040428789877,
                  90.10266834942621,
                  15.396608232662523,
                  24.267913548742563
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  12.15617949568795,
                  28.421057273983553,
                  13.130744853435733,
                  29.23347426820653,
                  15.946076755463858,
                  16.918769291664777,
                  85.08350064468354,
                  17.234011683617908,
                  26.078622354692254
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.135801724583425,
                  27.83662764556514,
                  12.662809017145918,
                  28.06210699497735,
                  18.15380538428992,
                  17.056646729329582,
                  89.19891079085703,
                  14.492850674093326,
                  23.364155990173366
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44832026217061954,
              "rpss": 0.012479580761669662,
              "brier_below": 0.19730835755032117,
              "bss_below": 0.008129746422821826,
              "brier_above": 0.2510118990553667,
              "bss_above": 0.015872085452793616,
              "crps": 27.509986379781907,
              "crpss": 0.013969295191785247,
              "crps_fair": 27.133604069048456,
              "crpss_fair": -0.005098381339249558,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.225741,
                    0.774259,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2903,
                    0.3379,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2755,
                    0.2599,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.006689,
                    0.946918,
                    0.046393,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.297,
                    0.332,
                    0.4184,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1666,
                    0.4293,
                    0.5212,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "mvs_r4": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8562190421705257,
            "training": [
              0.8162691842014639,
              0.8595025601814247,
              0.8567145677157773,
              0.8638740208351472,
              0.8580995100064567,
              0.8421154420042121,
              0.8281316213643132,
              0.8693066761891792,
              0.8577593398776568,
              0.8611426378786471,
              0.8599849877680623,
              0.8663724013554459,
              0.8422679660834422,
              0.8593055068352432,
              0.8549293654529421,
              0.8862805036619534,
              0.8498385766649835,
              0.8696010709885953,
              0.8719176670675314,
              0.9048091534408573,
              0.8582224137844116,
              0.8440756052604154,
              0.8212281743925169,
              0.8475080590819388
            ],
            "test": 0.8664374906976862
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5195624756697271,
                  0.4714719919618313,
                  0.4843214152890224,
                  0.5127418964269916,
                  0.4241883306070546,
                  0.4140050332319145,
                  0.5129930603435022,
                  0.5405203070071662,
                  0.4041292539386083,
                  0.38513039528286164,
                  0.40336772224673345,
                  0.40773822410587107,
                  0.440323872573734,
                  0.45192611844170194,
                  0.3747780194988016,
                  0.5000539841423288,
                  0.381006525845107,
                  0.4861595220463197,
                  0.46527590897048343,
                  0.46702692286780356,
                  0.47165809429244915,
                  0.4732524940057261,
                  0.41888873966666346,
                  0.4354463155554216
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48661164767869763,
                  0.45905809168968387,
                  0.495963591461526,
                  0.515165261918104,
                  0.446148375513108,
                  0.41008562419517763,
                  0.5008472766106865,
                  0.5325362239391127,
                  0.4074919432227391,
                  0.3954831823615453,
                  0.40075565353334075,
                  0.41880230111513844,
                  0.43556888570264757,
                  0.4376528345767518,
                  0.3792172948352883,
                  0.5057254726793263,
                  0.38526481534046053,
                  0.5019775310339771,
                  0.46557982150602545,
                  0.4778722604164428,
                  0.4895771040506235,
                  0.46168282493193524,
                  0.43538079529775536,
                  0.4292554571593725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3286566083446302,
                  0.30701827459568004,
                  0.13164295442562918,
                  0.14316484008107508,
                  0.14197715180676773,
                  0.18179098494211884,
                  0.23803586388591239,
                  0.4207027700478905,
                  0.1480029067300837,
                  0.12088594530087184,
                  0.24858029409781857,
                  0.25142497709627903,
                  0.1318019879833418,
                  0.21344004849899698,
                  0.17788238016594282,
                  0.3697914458168059,
                  0.2116425596596682,
                  0.1862162195856431,
                  0.3110360073676712,
                  0.33888824548446717,
                  0.19586431674414215,
                  0.14780814604678633,
                  0.20300587894230196,
                  0.27371546934498
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.30922885335447725,
                  0.29613886705280196,
                  0.13863303230663443,
                  0.14778005167403346,
                  0.15228155631642487,
                  0.18555479660116075,
                  0.2323286066111426,
                  0.41071690781649134,
                  0.15645789164814694,
                  0.12993772955896807,
                  0.24280805836405528,
                  0.25325138300038613,
                  0.1324835226858189,
                  0.20346096894071503,
                  0.1852099973152223,
                  0.3721963399266724,
                  0.21777186789424954,
                  0.19118284667091623,
                  0.31142926732564313,
                  0.3420124753425011,
                  0.20381741462037756,
                  0.14597371006209459,
                  0.21219427302329458,
                  0.27109581952879136
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.19090586758379005,
                  0.16445371729228014,
                  0.3526784616130163,
                  0.3695770578325032,
                  0.28221117877721247,
                  0.23221404811647117,
                  0.274957196131195,
                  0.11981753626220691,
                  0.256126347820957,
                  0.2642444508368899,
                  0.15478742816329794,
                  0.15631324652491244,
                  0.30852188503945127,
                  0.23848607039581324,
                  0.19689563921071151,
                  0.13026253851198735,
                  0.16936396579978963,
                  0.29994330287841703,
                  0.15423990111780284,
                  0.128138677741959,
                  0.27579377725774235,
                  0.32544434875609424,
                  0.21588286014204006,
                  0.16173084544249214
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17738279432422033,
                  0.16291922463688202,
                  0.3573305591548917,
                  0.36738521024407034,
                  0.293866819196683,
                  0.2245308275940169,
                  0.2685186699995438,
                  0.12181931612262123,
                  0.2510340515745923,
                  0.2655454528025772,
                  0.15794759516928547,
                  0.16555091811475234,
                  0.3030853630168286,
                  0.2341918656360369,
                  0.19400729752006593,
                  0.13352913275265402,
                  0.16749294744621107,
                  0.3107946843630607,
                  0.15415055418038232,
                  0.13585978507394156,
                  0.28575968943024593,
                  0.3157091148698405,
                  0.22318652227446084,
                  0.15815963763058116
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.033621989684907,
                  12.259441171307554,
                  27.18245782350573,
                  42.32813741960683,
                  15.126689494186193,
                  18.52507179757263,
                  36.421273294195586,
                  20.016821623305987,
                  21.920104329200957,
                  14.775101839988073,
                  10.642741622619178,
                  12.734555092082323,
                  19.863294478810857,
                  19.892536607389808,
                  12.261069863673379,
                  17.596131708689587,
                  11.931850346262545,
                  35.02152252010984,
                  14.925260517224576,
                  11.475527850179034,
                  41.03651665378713,
                  26.341220955192384,
                  14.68595724195627,
                  15.862726639380364
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.515515110176164,
                  12.027072670009332,
                  27.15745490417225,
                  43.062149116207536,
                  16.883014234429464,
                  15.110665227823379,
                  28.637921780736875,
                  19.89980051208872,
                  21.148523580110787,
                  14.885017211092011,
                  10.864882292965909,
                  13.870372070370355,
                  16.873149149217223,
                  16.149557646341,
                  11.53548174320184,
                  20.00999516407377,
                  11.833867920547483,
                  40.84283466644615,
                  15.118220461952959,
                  15.526179448811071,
                  40.59978539071442,
                  21.57204161823094,
                  16.19071462488736,
                  13.055384080829477
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.957252652509883,
                  11.616046697119533,
                  26.473597639408965,
                  41.744825838108056,
                  14.234124197503919,
                  17.847418303891725,
                  35.905259594647084,
                  19.283822060090195,
                  21.192580491726986,
                  13.849608366315298,
                  9.965183541890214,
                  12.23069014316174,
                  19.29656021531123,
                  19.487831465661174,
                  11.52938000465309,
                  16.99192127388463,
                  11.217044619696368,
                  34.21762285763419,
                  14.164816219753625,
                  11.038806537526183,
                  40.54120343246651,
                  25.857492911139694,
                  14.078001559760954,
                  14.928655105649343
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.676884392709255,
                  11.17615323579967,
                  26.335191496921233,
                  42.27000823587325,
                  16.041291659243317,
                  14.26558593103382,
                  27.818462288024797,
                  19.063791547276942,
                  20.314879621109657,
                  14.039510550634402,
                  10.011761740617914,
                  13.022943733509857,
                  16.03140789015757,
                  15.306445948828944,
                  10.683631265570193,
                  19.174194901254385,
                  10.982582568251718,
                  40.04649053904792,
                  14.273155474318951,
                  14.681887110773385,
                  39.8029809427182,
                  20.739199776726256,
                  15.347680876198298,
                  12.206412206110008
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4519152760007427,
              "rpss": 0.0025508921395080986,
              "brier_below": 0.22595734487481267,
              "bss_below": 0.003851977909062221,
              "brier_above": 0.2259579312187097,
              "bss_above": 0.001246406163612157,
              "crps": 20.86915136999632,
              "crpss": -0.040488706036176936,
              "crps_fair": 20.193739405396272,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05058872256916547,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.082719,
                    0.913649,
                    0.003632,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2941,
                    0.3398,
                    0.405,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2448,
                    0.3571,
                    0.361,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.000658,
                    0.958143,
                    0.041199,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2963,
                    0.343,
                    0.4291,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3471,
                    0.3471,
                    0.3174,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.544135840948967,
                  0.44970958920952736,
                  0.48955632244958946,
                  0.5079878073635781,
                  0.4283818163648923,
                  0.4041440358881859,
                  0.5043908297894145,
                  0.537659300097756,
                  0.4115280437906337,
                  0.39067191181641087,
                  0.41362980695069496,
                  0.4036522310918207,
                  0.42610261098110064,
                  0.4433443816139761,
                  0.3710873200678572,
                  0.4913811373846732,
                  0.3858908092539506,
                  0.4963392366231644,
                  0.48719202299191483,
                  0.47214634418222073,
                  0.4710710635874724,
                  0.4690269371066462,
                  0.4304695242714054,
                  0.4308001475143497
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.49692546808151494,
                  0.4425004297311524,
                  0.5019082769064045,
                  0.5064333837283189,
                  0.4493332273217324,
                  0.4008197088796275,
                  0.49214123609132593,
                  0.5299440633497334,
                  0.4125320165992243,
                  0.3973638817558074,
                  0.4081375216137364,
                  0.42014033125261396,
                  0.4248286277730835,
                  0.42704216425257485,
                  0.3755742335427411,
                  0.49379724379384515,
                  0.3873416399190235,
                  0.5177366653254861,
                  0.4839102472484309,
                  0.487019492459797,
                  0.49482401619394534,
                  0.4541665212671262,
                  0.44634875136680735,
                  0.4208625234376798
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3682014515406313,
                  0.2870106999014854,
                  0.1291362159760157,
                  0.15560081494027445,
                  0.14575295835616367,
                  0.19076495691255083,
                  0.18230167857496504,
                  0.41654513379424535,
                  0.1525904720161271,
                  0.12554547440671762,
                  0.2683917353597141,
                  0.24686302395546023,
                  0.13554687642886903,
                  0.19508142574564008,
                  0.1739158761681519,
                  0.35247803438292763,
                  0.22516631229054568,
                  0.15708456277208735,
                  0.35910453670275183,
                  0.35244881770162234,
                  0.15340885538440233,
                  0.15953521122267592,
                  0.2091131876954059,
                  0.28247302025689075
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.34117568778132534,
                  0.280053383566344,
                  0.13450149319852867,
                  0.15732198035030748,
                  0.15473613909973766,
                  0.19434878307934944,
                  0.17980801494605603,
                  0.4079365738751568,
                  0.16032257902227548,
                  0.1332184139808406,
                  0.26119900864962203,
                  0.2514382285910136,
                  0.13531377508107187,
                  0.1853202655941405,
                  0.1818743277880335,
                  0.3543807460126602,
                  0.23034746051873398,
                  0.16417677640375913,
                  0.35710308535482294,
                  0.35945144459801076,
                  0.16544049155230897,
                  0.15409584057255046,
                  0.21691892059143786,
                  0.27741814864029335
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1759343898176931,
                  0.16269888927511217,
                  0.3604201074238966,
                  0.3523869939677555,
                  0.2826288580126423,
                  0.21337907884462298,
                  0.3220891508755858,
                  0.12111416567147998,
                  0.2589375725229415,
                  0.2651264383366374,
                  0.14523807149327614,
                  0.15678920650210748,
                  0.2905557349951982,
                  0.24826295631421194,
                  0.1971714438331836,
                  0.138903103058306,
                  0.1607244966080038,
                  0.3392546744693412,
                  0.1280874856968991,
                  0.11969752682019817,
                  0.31766220793278355,
                  0.3094917268277116,
                  0.22135633594511167,
                  0.1483271265144094
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.15574978030018993,
                  0.16244704616480854,
                  0.36740678370787594,
                  0.3491114033780117,
                  0.29459708822199504,
                  0.20647092580027818,
                  0.3123332211452702,
                  0.12200748947457683,
                  0.2522094375769491,
                  0.264145467774967,
                  0.14693851296411473,
                  0.16870210266160068,
                  0.2895148526920119,
                  0.24172189865843452,
                  0.19369990575470775,
                  0.1394164977811851,
                  0.15699417940028976,
                  0.35355988892172713,
                  0.1268071618936083,
                  0.12756804786178638,
                  0.3293835246416366,
                  0.300070680694576,
                  0.22942983077536966,
                  0.1434443747973867
                ],
                "crps": [
                  32.803487936787036,
                  12.716519090770172,
                  30.670786446959355,
                  42.95562406033172,
                  17.185761445565902,
                  20.535763274535235,
                  44.53361545909945,
                  22.411614965437575,
                  24.602158335537876,
                  16.808889864979836,
                  11.682907110335883,
                  14.731786243922572,
                  19.721722891988815,
                  21.92741133487237,
                  13.541361654365058,
                  19.831395355450738,
                  13.761169895735847,
                  43.05342531909672,
                  17.217749972581764,
                  12.523322863977315,
                  51.05500858222571,
                  26.411442660072954,
                  17.039220629602855,
                  18.157072018750558
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.780787513601947,
                  13.13070493794864,
                  30.809313804317902,
                  43.66777757153176,
                  18.954401750013098,
                  16.492711869708796,
                  34.373370564942896,
                  22.522388083312702,
                  23.51364394783613,
                  16.593348468335503,
                  12.132036607527255,
                  16.06887610321715,
                  16.86034595908366,
                  17.564548526350222,
                  13.021069333935209,
                  21.955010782616075,
                  13.563193049293446,
                  50.61749650933895,
                  17.51507769120794,
                  17.96173246331503,
                  50.35394525772704,
                  21.274471353161417,
                  18.77088571528336,
                  14.700448643376912
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.591627038167225,
                  12.004918346871033,
                  29.86994158145418,
                  42.29743972523456,
                  16.17523168804515,
                  19.748881418058705,
                  43.9869006273161,
                  21.635349836770974,
                  23.766541184489547,
                  15.73494035994545,
                  10.885123418257326,
                  14.162671735743801,
                  19.08160465757549,
                  21.485335949168903,
                  12.71735228441687,
                  19.144544601032784,
                  12.953828993183697,
                  42.116014776688495,
                  16.373551447056542,
                  12.033639257638608,
                  50.500361633275396,
                  25.862765473493553,
                  16.366518696076135,
                  17.061734322969215
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.834227729090085,
                  12.169656360679872,
                  29.8817474408112,
                  42.764564359099325,
                  18.004382901555047,
                  15.538030729810787,
                  33.45255430893737,
                  21.579126784728338,
                  22.572260027783052,
                  15.638857928056103,
                  11.16909661296602,
                  15.11339224406442,
                  15.906361095870066,
                  16.611897380120098,
                  12.059813113477023,
                  21.010674905810696,
                  12.602963578296162,
                  49.72744564337963,
                  16.562332850214283,
                  17.009833559389754,
                  49.46339524166998,
                  20.328846575921453,
                  17.82051929857772,
                  13.74237306555024
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4525124613058418,
              "rpss": 0.001042401075896482,
              "brier_below": 0.2260025555202634,
              "bss_below": 0.0025451428619717165,
              "brier_above": 0.22650990590662956,
              "bss_above": -0.0004614948972800903,
              "crps": 23.578300725540974,
              "crpss": -0.041755765248983945,
              "crps_fair": 22.81486746053874,
              "crpss_fair": -0.051852312059706085,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.075006,
                    0.920688,
                    0.004306,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2942,
                    0.3409,
                    0.4052,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2485,
                    0.355,
                    0.3325,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.000702,
                    0.941281,
                    0.058017,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2962,
                    0.3436,
                    0.4289,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3497,
                    0.3486,
                    0.3101,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4053957829434612,
                  0.47997011537963774,
                  0.43635591442219945,
                  0.4655280588504735,
                  0.43573011803752093,
                  0.43390277412000927,
                  0.4824722189541222,
                  0.4172622375103144,
                  0.45677702631581363
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40161619190917225,
                  0.49204692387629745,
                  0.4299899885273098,
                  0.47528200776247287,
                  0.4503731422035293,
                  0.44588230538086027,
                  0.4982186059363643,
                  0.40271461687088617,
                  0.4525472776671369
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2171028765641498,
                  0.20166686843670265,
                  0.2682055809219663,
                  0.15297742923386626,
                  0.2872524355141576,
                  0.25816362657060254,
                  0.11391021208536875,
                  0.16756650131328518,
                  0.18832334229718195
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21623690591179195,
                  0.20701388554914213,
                  0.26135036266898715,
                  0.155949239131093,
                  0.2963471079591241,
                  0.26151305041397066,
                  0.12083093150048313,
                  0.16102855285572565,
                  0.1838780969829451
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.18829291309874754,
                  0.27830323606004853,
                  0.16815034260590922,
                  0.3125506124568576,
                  0.14847769393631607,
                  0.17573915442456234,
                  0.3685619806197052,
                  0.24969573227270914,
                  0.26845367615310717
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18537929258540958,
                  0.2850330270957072,
                  0.16863963543963614,
                  0.31933275126666294,
                  0.15402604643883205,
                  0.1843692617355264,
                  0.3773876466901393,
                  0.24168606053475453,
                  0.26866917237882915
                ],
                "crps": [
                  11.413296885465433,
                  23.75710272360216,
                  12.434260922040767,
                  24.30263147198559,
                  14.236616976349408,
                  14.720223528972857,
                  69.30773309300946,
                  16.949104206963174,
                  22.288303606146634
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  11.463675222229222,
                  23.73371473169829,
                  12.343868264699012,
                  23.739064588274186,
                  16.997103064518143,
                  15.14718121966435,
                  73.00083858094878,
                  14.399653709595194,
                  20.471236749209417
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  11.025742518219442,
                  23.418306567898803,
                  12.124815540611344,
                  23.960429338175995,
                  13.944696814080727,
                  14.366570016907465,
                  68.90573719591228,
                  16.691525208461545,
                  21.955814470109416
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  10.662785406373821,
                  22.932824915842893,
                  11.542978448843611,
                  22.938174772418787,
                  16.19621324866275,
                  14.34629140380895,
                  72.19994876509341,
                  13.598763893739797,
                  19.670346933354015
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44593269405928354,
              "rpss": 0.008713183431432014,
              "brier_below": 0.20612987477080902,
              "bss_below": 0.004816816795379819,
              "brier_above": 0.23980281573644036,
              "bss_above": 0.012038121737140028,
              "crps": 23.267697046059496,
              "crpss": 0.008930882337366497,
              "crps_fair": 22.93262640781967,
              "crpss_fair": -0.011295647856119029,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.245919,
                    0.754081,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2903,
                    0.3388,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3073,
                    0.2818,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.00955,
                    0.956989,
                    0.033461,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2962,
                    0.3305,
                    0.4184,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3482,
                    0.3908,
                    0.5229,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4123301192627862,
                  0.4776004585911806,
                  0.41885236830694883,
                  0.476057017066956,
                  0.4305843122428195,
                  0.4400745758660128,
                  0.514337836797279,
                  0.4088882155259805,
                  0.45574324879050027
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4079511787742341,
                  0.4922054065344404,
                  0.4152411870413332,
                  0.4870765649166562,
                  0.4434099354793544,
                  0.45787049883487024,
                  0.5324498556606468,
                  0.3943971410063836,
                  0.45527056505295654
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21811406011045373,
                  0.18507736317864704,
                  0.26285962248593764,
                  0.12039669571163683,
                  0.2841560539058132,
                  0.250087977355319,
                  0.11057166682843982,
                  0.18758965256157056,
                  0.1564711863957445
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2165833496531308,
                  0.19072963656958514,
                  0.2598017131713074,
                  0.12377404015058635,
                  0.29230044362743446,
                  0.2562704571353755,
                  0.11638456203759603,
                  0.1791706241621763,
                  0.1553153215626392
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.19421606478957476,
                  0.29252308189720316,
                  0.15599275746733626,
                  0.35566029682564815,
                  0.14642827032229436,
                  0.18998660255143446,
                  0.40376613693219465,
                  0.22129856388367253,
                  0.2992720491607937
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.19136783463829776,
                  0.30147575579321806,
                  0.15543948581170997,
                  0.36330249953894866,
                  0.15110950456786512,
                  0.20160004538702728,
                  0.41606525896121255,
                  0.21522651809513638,
                  0.2999552295905713
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.582740545272967,
                  28.776199752516376,
                  13.469394969535982,
                  29.635517773257888,
                  16.222129208423574,
                  17.266631688581874,
                  85.5090676415456,
                  17.552770129456846,
                  26.427953811036392
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.039559283152627,
                  28.74038520413434,
                  13.566566575715115,
                  28.965864553546538,
                  19.057562942859114,
                  17.96040428789877,
                  90.10266834942621,
                  15.396608232662523,
                  24.267913548742563
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  12.16348623067741,
                  28.389417495924523,
                  13.116599711336274,
                  29.23400842075079,
                  15.890347804446703,
                  16.876663158104638,
                  85.06141796673718,
                  17.253286291870985,
                  26.061811890297335
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.135801724583425,
                  27.83662764556514,
                  12.662809017145918,
                  28.06210699497735,
                  18.15380538428992,
                  17.056646729329582,
                  89.19891079085703,
                  14.492850674093326,
                  23.364155990173366
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4482742391611626,
              "rpss": 0.012580956196662219,
              "brier_below": 0.1972582531703958,
              "bss_below": 0.008381621430241237,
              "brier_above": 0.25101598042557244,
              "bss_above": 0.015856083859386305,
              "crps": 27.493600613291946,
              "crpss": 0.014556604420436603,
              "crps_fair": 27.11633766334954,
              "crpss_fair": -0.004458789327242529,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.222444,
                    0.777556,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2903,
                    0.3378,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.273,
                    0.2607,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.006689,
                    0.946918,
                    0.046393,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.297,
                    0.3319,
                    0.4184,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1666,
                    0.4293,
                    0.5212,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "vs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8563600753124537,
            "training": [
              0.8167483358769071,
              0.8598485126067682,
              0.8567580245548898,
              0.8638412889472584,
              0.8584132705541067,
              0.8424013939969166,
              0.8284920996716589,
              0.8692716034417975,
              0.8577695011281873,
              0.8608678704578128,
              0.8603439247499256,
              0.8668989244289685,
              0.8422682252867671,
              0.8595078563158484,
              0.855675729615116,
              0.8864069903767489,
              0.8501822528027666,
              0.8695670209597898,
              0.8722415451696518,
              0.9050660238695925,
              0.8573770994891058,
              0.8443554054208647,
              0.8209204229261454,
              0.8474184848512972
            ],
            "test": 0.8664611716912879
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.519474333139093,
                  0.47139934458760346,
                  0.484338220081666,
                  0.512756348378219,
                  0.4242652566984243,
                  0.41399523589702464,
                  0.5128722334233332,
                  0.5404276908296813,
                  0.4041507274220712,
                  0.3851277640591941,
                  0.4033729782495285,
                  0.40776181972858533,
                  0.4403593670971741,
                  0.45194166004110736,
                  0.37474402678316376,
                  0.49999733092813414,
                  0.3809970696109848,
                  0.48614400353544585,
                  0.4652776808038654,
                  0.4670774946636631,
                  0.4715741799241906,
                  0.47324280491427256,
                  0.4189084838765585,
                  0.4353865071392513
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48661164767869763,
                  0.45905809168968387,
                  0.495963591461526,
                  0.515165261918104,
                  0.446148375513108,
                  0.41008562419517763,
                  0.5008472766106865,
                  0.5325362239391127,
                  0.4074919432227391,
                  0.3954831823615453,
                  0.40075565353334075,
                  0.41880230111513844,
                  0.43556888570264757,
                  0.4376528345767518,
                  0.3792172948352883,
                  0.5057254726793263,
                  0.38526481534046053,
                  0.5019775310339771,
                  0.46557982150602545,
                  0.4778722604164428,
                  0.4895771040506235,
                  0.46168282493193524,
                  0.43538079529775536,
                  0.4292554571593725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.32860739273104983,
                  0.3069505193672068,
                  0.13165851181877686,
                  0.1431659993736834,
                  0.1420162965078956,
                  0.1818030168663917,
                  0.2379365927489224,
                  0.42061072086427287,
                  0.148020042988291,
                  0.12088017886303838,
                  0.2485788894805229,
                  0.2514190991855234,
                  0.13182167848970838,
                  0.21344439731857828,
                  0.17787971645868267,
                  0.3697316266995773,
                  0.2116440564938616,
                  0.18621252250308828,
                  0.31104346398775135,
                  0.33892073377111304,
                  0.19584003716695064,
                  0.14782763558663006,
                  0.20302529790951637,
                  0.2736587404226221
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.30922885335447725,
                  0.29613886705280196,
                  0.13863303230663443,
                  0.14778005167403346,
                  0.15228155631642487,
                  0.18555479660116075,
                  0.2323286066111426,
                  0.41071690781649134,
                  0.15645789164814694,
                  0.12993772955896807,
                  0.24280805836405528,
                  0.25325138300038613,
                  0.1324835226858189,
                  0.20346096894071503,
                  0.1852099973152223,
                  0.3721963399266724,
                  0.21777186789424954,
                  0.19118284667091623,
                  0.31142926732564313,
                  0.3420124753425011,
                  0.20381741462037756,
                  0.14597371006209459,
                  0.21219427302329458,
                  0.27109581952879136
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.19086694066373722,
                  0.1644488251466523,
                  0.3526797090159138,
                  0.3695903504897933,
                  0.2822489601659238,
                  0.23219221885677604,
                  0.27493564034617657,
                  0.11981696926092958,
                  0.25613068505366143,
                  0.26424758605987425,
                  0.1547940887776677,
                  0.15634272005675387,
                  0.30853768905024886,
                  0.23849726317496106,
                  0.19686431020276196,
                  0.13026570441324778,
                  0.1693530127322891,
                  0.29993148145379833,
                  0.15423421633592993,
                  0.1281567612502264,
                  0.2757341424572954,
                  0.3254151701191974,
                  0.21588318536953738,
                  0.16172776594823715
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17738279432422033,
                  0.16291922463688202,
                  0.3573305591548917,
                  0.36738521024407034,
                  0.293866819196683,
                  0.2245308275940169,
                  0.2685186699995438,
                  0.12181931612262123,
                  0.2510340515745923,
                  0.2655454528025772,
                  0.15794759516928547,
                  0.16555091811475234,
                  0.3030853630168286,
                  0.2341918656360369,
                  0.19400729752006593,
                  0.13352913275265402,
                  0.16749294744621107,
                  0.3107946843630607,
                  0.15415055418038232,
                  0.13585978507394156,
                  0.28575968943024593,
                  0.3157091148698405,
                  0.22318652227446084,
                  0.15815963763058116
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.03038571153981,
                  12.257454810993204,
                  27.179859284187298,
                  42.32510707889081,
                  15.129365981882023,
                  18.52425681216368,
                  36.41474827624125,
                  20.005702808404447,
                  21.919767603134044,
                  14.775775954359723,
                  10.638172400681146,
                  12.731226370427114,
                  19.86446403212477,
                  19.89651045178658,
                  12.25409264192991,
                  17.585917032158306,
                  11.924644165806438,
                  35.012717362404864,
                  14.921881893693849,
                  11.473700942833304,
                  41.03433979799083,
                  26.340068051625064,
                  14.691127483144227,
                  15.852934357317901
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.515515110176164,
                  12.027072670009332,
                  27.15745490417225,
                  43.062149116207536,
                  16.883014234429464,
                  15.110665227823379,
                  28.637921780736875,
                  19.89980051208872,
                  21.148523580110787,
                  14.885017211092011,
                  10.864882292965909,
                  13.870372070370355,
                  16.873149149217223,
                  16.149557646341,
                  11.53548174320184,
                  20.00999516407377,
                  11.833867920547483,
                  40.84283466644615,
                  15.118220461952959,
                  15.526179448811071,
                  40.59978539071442,
                  21.57204161823094,
                  16.19071462488736,
                  13.055384080829477
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.953595230077884,
                  11.613729005509105,
                  26.470762816860724,
                  41.74167986291682,
                  14.236380601233524,
                  17.846239259143726,
                  35.89827127130469,
                  19.27140729446314,
                  21.192160797053134,
                  13.850026998598716,
                  9.960393990328049,
                  12.227151167526628,
                  19.297488891558185,
                  19.49172858216901,
                  11.522059047541973,
                  16.98135061292347,
                  11.209581926305207,
                  34.2083739260674,
                  14.160854386398857,
                  11.036857466040363,
                  40.5389731594235,
                  25.856202536783076,
                  14.082712421997076,
                  14.91830604583777
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.676884392709255,
                  11.17615323579967,
                  26.335191496921233,
                  42.27000823587325,
                  16.041291659243317,
                  14.26558593103382,
                  27.818462288024797,
                  19.063791547276942,
                  20.314879621109657,
                  14.039510550634402,
                  10.011761740617914,
                  13.022943733509857,
                  16.03140789015757,
                  15.306445948828944,
                  10.683631265570193,
                  19.174194901254385,
                  10.982582568251718,
                  40.04649053904792,
                  14.273155474318951,
                  14.681887110773385,
                  39.8029809427182,
                  20.739199776726256,
                  15.347680876198298,
                  12.206412206110008
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45189969007550984,
              "rpss": 0.002585292762908753,
              "brier_below": 0.22594571531681895,
              "bss_below": 0.0039032475909557274,
              "brier_above": 0.22595397485006627,
              "bss_above": 0.0012638936551103708,
              "crps": 20.866009221071693,
              "crpss": -0.04033204559460968,
              "crps_fair": 20.190261970752584,
              "crpss_fair": -0.050407807407947036,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.082215,
                    0.914153,
                    0.003632,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2942,
                    0.3398,
                    0.405,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2436,
                    0.3571,
                    0.361,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.000658,
                    0.958143,
                    0.041199,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2963,
                    0.343,
                    0.429,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3471,
                    0.3471,
                    0.3174,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5440109661539491,
                  0.44964094860873843,
                  0.4895763558376991,
                  0.5080065143709379,
                  0.42846359699676295,
                  0.4041352725466396,
                  0.5042492472519157,
                  0.5375453625862786,
                  0.41155407878345696,
                  0.39068016168630953,
                  0.4136311508769192,
                  0.40369348655349135,
                  0.42614597233354273,
                  0.4433654850427348,
                  0.37104246976149546,
                  0.49130705001604535,
                  0.3858711646751633,
                  0.49631966766346947,
                  0.4871853584222699,
                  0.47221304392691715,
                  0.4709559365691528,
                  0.46901442890334166,
                  0.43050027031770194,
                  0.4307283312260067
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.49692546808151494,
                  0.4425004297311524,
                  0.5019082769064045,
                  0.5064333837283189,
                  0.4493332273217324,
                  0.4008197088796275,
                  0.49214123609132593,
                  0.5299440633497334,
                  0.4125320165992243,
                  0.3973638817558074,
                  0.4081375216137364,
                  0.42014033125261396,
                  0.4248286277730835,
                  0.42704216425257485,
                  0.3755742335427411,
                  0.49379724379384515,
                  0.3873416399190235,
                  0.5177366653254861,
                  0.4839102472484309,
                  0.487019492459797,
                  0.49482401619394534,
                  0.4541665212671262,
                  0.44634875136680735,
                  0.4208625234376798
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3681336716912638,
                  0.28694399526566955,
                  0.12915433149766148,
                  0.1556031296918506,
                  0.1457933917180948,
                  0.1907783429416002,
                  0.18219037680431346,
                  0.41643146213922655,
                  0.1526112451193525,
                  0.12554477437377737,
                  0.26839022710290716,
                  0.2468658691089498,
                  0.1355709252813662,
                  0.1950905237376058,
                  0.17390891878224343,
                  0.35240390357270257,
                  0.2251634247672862,
                  0.15707973147669707,
                  0.3591077976566959,
                  0.35249748114578167,
                  0.15336411555830726,
                  0.15955378359555664,
                  0.20914218618001088,
                  0.2824046858013593
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.34117568778132534,
                  0.280053383566344,
                  0.13450149319852867,
                  0.15732198035030748,
                  0.15473613909973766,
                  0.19434878307934944,
                  0.17980801494605603,
                  0.4079365738751568,
                  0.16032257902227548,
                  0.1332184139808406,
                  0.26119900864962203,
                  0.2514382285910136,
                  0.13531377508107187,
                  0.1853202655941405,
                  0.1818743277880335,
                  0.3543807460126602,
                  0.23034746051873398,
                  0.16417677640375913,
                  0.35710308535482294,
                  0.35945144459801076,
                  0.16544049155230897,
                  0.15409584057255046,
                  0.21691892059143786,
                  0.27741814864029335
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17587729486810677,
                  0.16269695331013842,
                  0.3604220252945041,
                  0.352403386221851,
                  0.2826702052806507,
                  0.21335692947320206,
                  0.3220588701063458,
                  0.12111389980601224,
                  0.2589428344216425,
                  0.26513538825004046,
                  0.14524092366958935,
                  0.15682761680841903,
                  0.2905750474874776,
                  0.24827496175031474,
                  0.1971335509127827,
                  0.13890314649790805,
                  0.1607077395531906,
                  0.3392399368095955,
                  0.1280775601791844,
                  0.11971556311982523,
                  0.3175918207296432,
                  0.30946064624471786,
                  0.22135808348842,
                  0.14832364468117823
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.15574978030018993,
                  0.16244704616480854,
                  0.36740678370787594,
                  0.3491114033780117,
                  0.29459708822199504,
                  0.20647092580027818,
                  0.3123332211452702,
                  0.12200748947457683,
                  0.2522094375769491,
                  0.264145467774967,
                  0.14693851296411473,
                  0.16870210266160068,
                  0.2895148526920119,
                  0.24172189865843452,
                  0.19369990575470775,
                  0.1394164977811851,
                  0.15699417940028976,
                  0.35355988892172713,
                  0.1268071618936083,
                  0.12756804786178638,
                  0.3293835246416366,
                  0.300070680694576,
                  0.22942983077536966,
                  0.1434443747973867
                ],
                "crps": [
                  32.79898690833145,
                  12.713637715034078,
                  30.667712020306713,
                  42.951141014941285,
                  17.188872830362175,
                  20.53514381113265,
                  44.52499766887654,
                  22.397588610951107,
                  24.601911611922294,
                  16.809566481083582,
                  11.676866549870272,
                  14.727260317377173,
                  19.72283530713589,
                  21.931775223287477,
                  13.53231605387828,
                  19.81823293361261,
                  13.751835247421033,
                  43.04212275131931,
                  17.21319108476267,
                  12.52045306479835,
                  51.05188493449312,
                  26.410404867565273,
                  17.045130295903984,
                  18.144834061408496
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.780787513601947,
                  13.13070493794864,
                  30.809313804317902,
                  43.66777757153176,
                  18.954401750013098,
                  16.492711869708796,
                  34.373370564942896,
                  22.522388083312702,
                  23.51364394783613,
                  16.593348468335503,
                  12.132036607527255,
                  16.06887610321715,
                  16.86034595908366,
                  17.564548526350222,
                  13.021069333935209,
                  21.955010782616075,
                  13.563193049293446,
                  50.61749650933895,
                  17.51507769120794,
                  17.96173246331503,
                  50.35394525772704,
                  21.274471353161417,
                  18.77088571528336,
                  14.700448643376912
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.586563629151687,
                  12.001582589589434,
                  29.866543297529386,
                  42.2927763128845,
                  16.177802923197703,
                  19.747787556052874,
                  43.97768182628406,
                  21.619659346495514,
                  23.766167028158044,
                  15.73526905416633,
                  10.87880434606939,
                  14.157854523961037,
                  19.082412454990465,
                  21.489580194545606,
                  12.707844646994758,
                  19.130912782862897,
                  12.944135402792385,
                  42.10414130407437,
                  16.36821656733408,
                  12.030611977874116,
                  50.497149597481084,
                  25.861548800302206,
                  16.371817782287305,
                  17.04879631464845
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.834227729090085,
                  12.169656360679872,
                  29.8817474408112,
                  42.764564359099325,
                  18.004382901555047,
                  15.538030729810787,
                  33.45255430893737,
                  21.579126784728338,
                  22.572260027783052,
                  15.638857928056103,
                  11.16909661296602,
                  15.11339224406442,
                  15.906361095870066,
                  16.611897380120098,
                  12.059813113477023,
                  21.010674905810696,
                  12.602963578296162,
                  49.72744564337963,
                  16.562332850214283,
                  17.009833559389754,
                  49.46339524166998,
                  20.328846575921453,
                  17.82051929857772,
                  13.74237306555024
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4524931800462892,
              "rpss": 0.0010849660048075638,
              "brier_below": 0.22598867895876165,
              "bss_below": 0.0026063866104701905,
              "brier_above": 0.2265045012068642,
              "bss_above": -0.0004376231200831082,
              "crps": 23.574112556907323,
              "crpss": -0.041570720157281915,
              "crps_fair": 22.81023584415532,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05163877689848295,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.074391,
                    0.921304,
                    0.004306,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2943,
                    0.3409,
                    0.4052,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2469,
                    0.3551,
                    0.3325,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.000702,
                    0.941281,
                    0.058017,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2962,
                    0.3436,
                    0.4288,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3497,
                    0.3486,
                    0.3101,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.40536945099645355,
                  0.4799541673427332,
                  0.43637214397285695,
                  0.4654983028762304,
                  0.435620247777022,
                  0.43385926838509054,
                  0.48249608968342117,
                  0.4172921440468668,
                  0.4568132853056625
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40161619190917225,
                  0.49204692387629745,
                  0.4299899885273098,
                  0.47528200776247287,
                  0.4503731422035293,
                  0.44588230538086027,
                  0.4982186059363643,
                  0.40271461687088617,
                  0.4525472776671369
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21708065533477283,
                  0.2016509978686775,
                  0.26822061617342546,
                  0.15295006535005304,
                  0.28714487598401484,
                  0.25812104956261317,
                  0.11392150084001779,
                  0.16759665079515015,
                  0.18835509132621886
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21623690591179195,
                  0.20701388554914213,
                  0.26135036266898715,
                  0.155949239131093,
                  0.2963471079591241,
                  0.26151305041397066,
                  0.12083093150048313,
                  0.16102855285572565,
                  0.1838780969829451
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1882888023821743,
                  0.2783031585901848,
                  0.16815153690421494,
                  0.31254822036483304,
                  0.14847538320636305,
                  0.1757382256939216,
                  0.3685745625991298,
                  0.24969548932718766,
                  0.2684581861142958
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18537929258540958,
                  0.2850330270957072,
                  0.16863963543963614,
                  0.31933275126666294,
                  0.15402604643883205,
                  0.1843692617355264,
                  0.3773876466901393,
                  0.24168606053475453,
                  0.26866917237882915
                ],
                "crps": [
                  11.412049475499174,
                  23.751282413183237,
                  12.436188678384097,
                  24.29954122262147,
                  14.224899710271313,
                  14.712260787195175,
                  69.30834175708982,
                  16.952849689749918,
                  22.289352513411057
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  11.463675222229222,
                  23.73371473169829,
                  12.343868264699012,
                  23.739064588274186,
                  16.997103064518143,
                  15.14718121966435,
                  73.00083858094878,
                  14.399653709595194,
                  20.471236749209417
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  11.024233512960587,
                  23.41232986846401,
                  12.126614769293546,
                  23.957158099987847,
                  13.932878587361426,
                  14.358482548453969,
                  68.90614845005155,
                  16.695201971157356,
                  21.95670051442745
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  10.662785406373821,
                  22.932824915842893,
                  11.542978448843611,
                  22.938174772418787,
                  16.19621324866275,
                  14.34629140380895,
                  72.19994876509341,
                  13.598763893739797,
                  19.670346933354015
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44591945559848184,
              "rpss": 0.008742611889670737,
              "brier_below": 0.20611572258166042,
              "bss_below": 0.004885142750857607,
              "brier_above": 0.23980372946470055,
              "bss_above": 0.012034357274719576,
              "crps": 23.265196249711696,
              "crpss": 0.009037401776095688,
              "crps_fair": 22.929972035795302,
              "crpss_fair": -0.011178593889935806,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.244501,
                    0.755499,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2903,
                    0.3387,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.306,
                    0.2822,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.00955,
                    0.956989,
                    0.033461,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2962,
                    0.3305,
                    0.4184,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3482,
                    0.3908,
                    0.5229,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4122980043122719,
                  0.4775809636248049,
                  0.4188729774305342,
                  0.47602054428777124,
                  0.4304491707598527,
                  0.44002198484376426,
                  0.5143668512882414,
                  0.40892543771028833,
                  0.45578842258284585
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4079511787742341,
                  0.4922054065344404,
                  0.4152411870413332,
                  0.4870765649166562,
                  0.4434099354793544,
                  0.45787049883487024,
                  0.5324498556606468,
                  0.3943971410063836,
                  0.45527056505295654
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21808684599219424,
                  0.18505783915226867,
                  0.2628789725699578,
                  0.12036324926337538,
                  0.2840241067284331,
                  0.25003634111621215,
                  0.11058502787992192,
                  0.18762648510149654,
                  0.1565107798377823
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2165833496531308,
                  0.19072963656958514,
                  0.2598017131713074,
                  0.12377404015058635,
                  0.29230044362743446,
                  0.2562704571353755,
                  0.11638456203759603,
                  0.1791706241621763,
                  0.1553153215626392
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.19421116395862006,
                  0.29252311095596345,
                  0.15599401650576192,
                  0.35565727049269896,
                  0.14642507601716187,
                  0.18998564776371749,
                  0.40378179037754786,
                  0.22129895352776505,
                  0.2992776295115398
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.19136783463829776,
                  0.30147575579321806,
                  0.15543948581170997,
                  0.36330249953894866,
                  0.15110950456786512,
                  0.20160004538702728,
                  0.41606525896121255,
                  0.21522651809513638,
                  0.2999552295905713
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.580834189547854,
                  28.768740145612195,
                  13.471209769193004,
                  29.631242596787803,
                  16.20752981985181,
                  17.256384368254345,
                  85.51007954128386,
                  17.557838097109283,
                  26.428820276926718
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.039559283152627,
                  28.74038520413434,
                  13.566566575715115,
                  28.965864553546538,
                  19.057562942859114,
                  17.96040428789877,
                  90.10266834942621,
                  15.396608232662523,
                  24.267913548742563
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  12.161226770312803,
                  28.381754627160916,
                  13.118246783976579,
                  29.22950648835531,
                  15.875614241841836,
                  16.866231623898784,
                  85.06215958092957,
                  17.258258555162243,
                  26.062452250421956
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.135801724583425,
                  27.83662764556514,
                  12.662809017145918,
                  28.06210699497735,
                  18.15380538428992,
                  17.056646729329582,
                  89.19891079085703,
                  14.492850674093326,
                  23.364155990173366
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44825826187115275,
              "rpss": 0.012616149565019996,
              "brier_below": 0.19724107196018245,
              "bss_below": 0.0084679914732676,
              "brier_above": 0.2510171843456418,
              "bss_above": 0.015851363719219247,
              "crps": 27.490297644951873,
              "crpss": 0.01467499154558305,
              "crps_fair": 27.11282788022889,
              "crpss_fair": -0.004328777946356999,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.220711,
                    0.779289,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2903,
                    0.3378,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.271,
                    0.2613,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.006689,
                    0.946918,
                    0.046393,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.297,
                    0.3319,
                    0.4184,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1666,
                    0.4293,
                    0.5212,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "selection": {
        "SEL-P": {
          "criterion": "inner RPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "vs",
            "1994": "mvs_r4",
            "1995": "vs",
            "1996": "vs",
            "1997": "vs",
            "1998": "mvs_r4",
            "1999": "vs",
            "2000": "vs",
            "2001": "vs",
            "2002": "vs",
            "2003": "vs",
            "2004": "mvs_r4",
            "2005": "vs",
            "2006": "vs",
            "2007": "vs",
            "2008": "vs",
            "2009": "vs",
            "2010": "vs",
            "2011": "mvs_r4",
            "2012": "vs",
            "2013": "vs",
            "2014": "vs",
            "2015": "vs",
            "2016": "vs"
          },
          "chosen_test": "vs",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "mvs_r3": 0,
            "mvs_r4": 4,
            "vs": 20
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.519474333139093,
                  0.4714719919618313,
                  0.484338220081666,
                  0.512756348378219,
                  0.4242652566984243,
                  0.4140050332319145,
                  0.5128722334233332,
                  0.5404276908296813,
                  0.4041507274220712,
                  0.3851277640591941,
                  0.4033729782495285,
                  0.40773822410587107,
                  0.4403593670971741,
                  0.45194166004110736,
                  0.37474402678316376,
                  0.49999733092813414,
                  0.3809970696109848,
                  0.48614400353544585,
                  0.46527590897048343,
                  0.4670774946636631,
                  0.4715741799241906,
                  0.47324280491427256,
                  0.4189084838765585,
                  0.4353865071392513
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48661164767869763,
                  0.45905809168968387,
                  0.495963591461526,
                  0.515165261918104,
                  0.446148375513108,
                  0.41008562419517763,
                  0.5008472766106865,
                  0.5325362239391127,
                  0.4074919432227391,
                  0.3954831823615453,
                  0.40075565353334075,
                  0.41880230111513844,
                  0.43556888570264757,
                  0.4376528345767518,
                  0.3792172948352883,
                  0.5057254726793263,
                  0.38526481534046053,
                  0.5019775310339771,
                  0.46557982150602545,
                  0.4778722604164428,
                  0.4895771040506235,
                  0.46168282493193524,
                  0.43538079529775536,
                  0.4292554571593725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.32860739273104983,
                  0.30701827459568004,
                  0.13165851181877686,
                  0.1431659993736834,
                  0.1420162965078956,
                  0.18179098494211884,
                  0.2379365927489224,
                  0.42061072086427287,
                  0.148020042988291,
                  0.12088017886303838,
                  0.2485788894805229,
                  0.25142497709627903,
                  0.13182167848970838,
                  0.21344439731857828,
                  0.17787971645868267,
                  0.3697316266995773,
                  0.2116440564938616,
                  0.18621252250308828,
                  0.3110360073676712,
                  0.33892073377111304,
                  0.19584003716695064,
                  0.14782763558663006,
                  0.20302529790951637,
                  0.2736587404226221
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.30922885335447725,
                  0.29613886705280196,
                  0.13863303230663443,
                  0.14778005167403346,
                  0.15228155631642487,
                  0.18555479660116075,
                  0.2323286066111426,
                  0.41071690781649134,
                  0.15645789164814694,
                  0.12993772955896807,
                  0.24280805836405528,
                  0.25325138300038613,
                  0.1324835226858189,
                  0.20346096894071503,
                  0.1852099973152223,
                  0.3721963399266724,
                  0.21777186789424954,
                  0.19118284667091623,
                  0.31142926732564313,
                  0.3420124753425011,
                  0.20381741462037756,
                  0.14597371006209459,
                  0.21219427302329458,
                  0.27109581952879136
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.19086694066373722,
                  0.16445371729228014,
                  0.3526797090159138,
                  0.3695903504897933,
                  0.2822489601659238,
                  0.23221404811647117,
                  0.27493564034617657,
                  0.11981696926092958,
                  0.25613068505366143,
                  0.26424758605987425,
                  0.1547940887776677,
                  0.15631324652491244,
                  0.30853768905024886,
                  0.23849726317496106,
                  0.19686431020276196,
                  0.13026570441324778,
                  0.1693530127322891,
                  0.29993148145379833,
                  0.15423990111780284,
                  0.1281567612502264,
                  0.2757341424572954,
                  0.3254151701191974,
                  0.21588318536953738,
                  0.16172776594823715
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17738279432422033,
                  0.16291922463688202,
                  0.3573305591548917,
                  0.36738521024407034,
                  0.293866819196683,
                  0.2245308275940169,
                  0.2685186699995438,
                  0.12181931612262123,
                  0.2510340515745923,
                  0.2655454528025772,
                  0.15794759516928547,
                  0.16555091811475234,
                  0.3030853630168286,
                  0.2341918656360369,
                  0.19400729752006593,
                  0.13352913275265402,
                  0.16749294744621107,
                  0.3107946843630607,
                  0.15415055418038232,
                  0.13585978507394156,
                  0.28575968943024593,
                  0.3157091148698405,
                  0.22318652227446084,
                  0.15815963763058116
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.03038571153981,
                  12.259441171307554,
                  27.179859284187298,
                  42.32510707889081,
                  15.129365981882023,
                  18.52507179757263,
                  36.41474827624125,
                  20.005702808404447,
                  21.919767603134044,
                  14.775775954359723,
                  10.638172400681146,
                  12.734555092082323,
                  19.86446403212477,
                  19.89651045178658,
                  12.25409264192991,
                  17.585917032158306,
                  11.924644165806438,
                  35.012717362404864,
                  14.925260517224576,
                  11.473700942833304,
                  41.03433979799083,
                  26.340068051625064,
                  14.691127483144227,
                  15.852934357317901
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.515515110176164,
                  12.027072670009332,
                  27.15745490417225,
                  43.062149116207536,
                  16.883014234429464,
                  15.110665227823379,
                  28.637921780736875,
                  19.89980051208872,
                  21.148523580110787,
                  14.885017211092011,
                  10.864882292965909,
                  13.870372070370355,
                  16.873149149217223,
                  16.149557646341,
                  11.53548174320184,
                  20.00999516407377,
                  11.833867920547483,
                  40.84283466644615,
                  15.118220461952959,
                  15.526179448811071,
                  40.59978539071442,
                  21.57204161823094,
                  16.19071462488736,
                  13.055384080829477
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.953595230077884,
                  11.616046697119533,
                  26.470762816860724,
                  41.74167986291682,
                  14.236380601233524,
                  17.847418303891725,
                  35.89827127130469,
                  19.27140729446314,
                  21.192160797053134,
                  13.850026998598716,
                  9.960393990328049,
                  12.23069014316174,
                  19.297488891558185,
                  19.49172858216901,
                  11.522059047541973,
                  16.98135061292347,
                  11.209581926305207,
                  34.2083739260674,
                  14.164816219753625,
                  11.036857466040363,
                  40.5389731594235,
                  25.856202536783076,
                  14.082712421997076,
                  14.91830604583777
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.676884392709255,
                  11.17615323579967,
                  26.335191496921233,
                  42.27000823587325,
                  16.041291659243317,
                  14.26558593103382,
                  27.818462288024797,
                  19.063791547276942,
                  20.314879621109657,
                  14.039510550634402,
                  10.011761740617914,
                  13.022943733509857,
                  16.03140789015757,
                  15.306445948828944,
                  10.683631265570193,
                  19.174194901254385,
                  10.982582568251718,
                  40.04649053904792,
                  14.273155474318951,
                  14.681887110773385,
                  39.8029809427182,
                  20.739199776726256,
                  15.347680876198298,
                  12.206412206110008
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45190206829438573,
              "rpss": 0.0025800436544540784,
              "brier_below": 0.22594797134160546,
              "bss_below": 0.0038933017552489346,
              "brier_above": 0.22595409704403938,
              "bss_above": 0.0012633535471835433,
              "crps": 20.866405416526245,
              "crpss": -0.040351799004249456,
              "crps_fair": 20.190720201808762,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05043164709262804
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5440109661539491,
                  0.44970958920952736,
                  0.4895763558376991,
                  0.5080065143709379,
                  0.42846359699676295,
                  0.4041440358881859,
                  0.5042492472519157,
                  0.5375453625862786,
                  0.41155407878345696,
                  0.39068016168630953,
                  0.4136311508769192,
                  0.4036522310918207,
                  0.42614597233354273,
                  0.4433654850427348,
                  0.37104246976149546,
                  0.49130705001604535,
                  0.3858711646751633,
                  0.49631966766346947,
                  0.48719202299191483,
                  0.47221304392691715,
                  0.4709559365691528,
                  0.46901442890334166,
                  0.43050027031770194,
                  0.4307283312260067
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.49692546808151494,
                  0.4425004297311524,
                  0.5019082769064045,
                  0.5064333837283189,
                  0.4493332273217324,
                  0.4008197088796275,
                  0.49214123609132593,
                  0.5299440633497334,
                  0.4125320165992243,
                  0.3973638817558074,
                  0.4081375216137364,
                  0.42014033125261396,
                  0.4248286277730835,
                  0.42704216425257485,
                  0.3755742335427411,
                  0.49379724379384515,
                  0.3873416399190235,
                  0.5177366653254861,
                  0.4839102472484309,
                  0.487019492459797,
                  0.49482401619394534,
                  0.4541665212671262,
                  0.44634875136680735,
                  0.4208625234376798
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3681336716912638,
                  0.2870106999014854,
                  0.12915433149766148,
                  0.1556031296918506,
                  0.1457933917180948,
                  0.19076495691255083,
                  0.18219037680431346,
                  0.41643146213922655,
                  0.1526112451193525,
                  0.12554477437377737,
                  0.26839022710290716,
                  0.24686302395546023,
                  0.1355709252813662,
                  0.1950905237376058,
                  0.17390891878224343,
                  0.35240390357270257,
                  0.2251634247672862,
                  0.15707973147669707,
                  0.35910453670275183,
                  0.35249748114578167,
                  0.15336411555830726,
                  0.15955378359555664,
                  0.20914218618001088,
                  0.2824046858013593
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.34117568778132534,
                  0.280053383566344,
                  0.13450149319852867,
                  0.15732198035030748,
                  0.15473613909973766,
                  0.19434878307934944,
                  0.17980801494605603,
                  0.4079365738751568,
                  0.16032257902227548,
                  0.1332184139808406,
                  0.26119900864962203,
                  0.2514382285910136,
                  0.13531377508107187,
                  0.1853202655941405,
                  0.1818743277880335,
                  0.3543807460126602,
                  0.23034746051873398,
                  0.16417677640375913,
                  0.35710308535482294,
                  0.35945144459801076,
                  0.16544049155230897,
                  0.15409584057255046,
                  0.21691892059143786,
                  0.27741814864029335
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17587729486810677,
                  0.16269888927511217,
                  0.3604220252945041,
                  0.352403386221851,
                  0.2826702052806507,
                  0.21337907884462298,
                  0.3220588701063458,
                  0.12111389980601224,
                  0.2589428344216425,
                  0.26513538825004046,
                  0.14524092366958935,
                  0.15678920650210748,
                  0.2905750474874776,
                  0.24827496175031474,
                  0.1971335509127827,
                  0.13890314649790805,
                  0.1607077395531906,
                  0.3392399368095955,
                  0.1280874856968991,
                  0.11971556311982523,
                  0.3175918207296432,
                  0.30946064624471786,
                  0.22135808348842,
                  0.14832364468117823
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.15574978030018993,
                  0.16244704616480854,
                  0.36740678370787594,
                  0.3491114033780117,
                  0.29459708822199504,
                  0.20647092580027818,
                  0.3123332211452702,
                  0.12200748947457683,
                  0.2522094375769491,
                  0.264145467774967,
                  0.14693851296411473,
                  0.16870210266160068,
                  0.2895148526920119,
                  0.24172189865843452,
                  0.19369990575470775,
                  0.1394164977811851,
                  0.15699417940028976,
                  0.35355988892172713,
                  0.1268071618936083,
                  0.12756804786178638,
                  0.3293835246416366,
                  0.300070680694576,
                  0.22942983077536966,
                  0.1434443747973867
                ],
                "crps": [
                  32.79898690833145,
                  12.716519090770172,
                  30.667712020306713,
                  42.951141014941285,
                  17.188872830362175,
                  20.535763274535235,
                  44.52499766887654,
                  22.397588610951107,
                  24.601911611922294,
                  16.809566481083582,
                  11.676866549870272,
                  14.731786243922572,
                  19.72283530713589,
                  21.931775223287477,
                  13.53231605387828,
                  19.81823293361261,
                  13.751835247421033,
                  43.04212275131931,
                  17.217749972581764,
                  12.52045306479835,
                  51.05188493449312,
                  26.410404867565273,
                  17.045130295903984,
                  18.144834061408496
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.780787513601947,
                  13.13070493794864,
                  30.809313804317902,
                  43.66777757153176,
                  18.954401750013098,
                  16.492711869708796,
                  34.373370564942896,
                  22.522388083312702,
                  23.51364394783613,
                  16.593348468335503,
                  12.132036607527255,
                  16.06887610321715,
                  16.86034595908366,
                  17.564548526350222,
                  13.021069333935209,
                  21.955010782616075,
                  13.563193049293446,
                  50.61749650933895,
                  17.51507769120794,
                  17.96173246331503,
                  50.35394525772704,
                  21.274471353161417,
                  18.77088571528336,
                  14.700448643376912
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.586563629151687,
                  12.004918346871033,
                  29.866543297529386,
                  42.2927763128845,
                  16.177802923197703,
                  19.748881418058705,
                  43.97768182628406,
                  21.619659346495514,
                  23.766167028158044,
                  15.73526905416633,
                  10.87880434606939,
                  14.162671735743801,
                  19.082412454990465,
                  21.489580194545606,
                  12.707844646994758,
                  19.130912782862897,
                  12.944135402792385,
                  42.10414130407437,
                  16.373551447056542,
                  12.030611977874116,
                  50.497149597481084,
                  25.861548800302206,
                  16.371817782287305,
                  17.04879631464845
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.834227729090085,
                  12.169656360679872,
                  29.8817474408112,
                  42.764564359099325,
                  18.004382901555047,
                  15.538030729810787,
                  33.45255430893737,
                  21.579126784728338,
                  22.572260027783052,
                  15.638857928056103,
                  11.16909661296602,
                  15.11339224406442,
                  15.906361095870066,
                  16.611897380120098,
                  12.059813113477023,
                  21.010674905810696,
                  12.602963578296162,
                  49.72744564337963,
                  16.562332850214283,
                  17.009833559389754,
                  49.46339524166998,
                  20.328846575921453,
                  17.82051929857772,
                  13.74237306555024
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45249496392338534,
              "rpss": 0.0010810279528573608,
              "brier_below": 0.22599064614623388,
              "bss_below": 0.0025977044931616566,
              "brier_above": 0.22650431789635575,
              "bss_above": -0.0004368134640788668,
              "crps": 23.574636959136626,
              "crpss": -0.04159388972543887,
              "crps_fair": 22.810843415438345,
              "crpss_fair": -0.051666788249409956
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.40536945099645355,
                  0.4799541673427332,
                  0.43637214397285695,
                  0.4654983028762304,
                  0.435620247777022,
                  0.43385926838509054,
                  0.48249608968342117,
                  0.4172921440468668,
                  0.4568132853056625
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40161619190917225,
                  0.49204692387629745,
                  0.4299899885273098,
                  0.47528200776247287,
                  0.4503731422035293,
                  0.44588230538086027,
                  0.4982186059363643,
                  0.40271461687088617,
                  0.4525472776671369
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21708065533477283,
                  0.2016509978686775,
                  0.26822061617342546,
                  0.15295006535005304,
                  0.28714487598401484,
                  0.25812104956261317,
                  0.11392150084001779,
                  0.16759665079515015,
                  0.18835509132621886
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21623690591179195,
                  0.20701388554914213,
                  0.26135036266898715,
                  0.155949239131093,
                  0.2963471079591241,
                  0.26151305041397066,
                  0.12083093150048313,
                  0.16102855285572565,
                  0.1838780969829451
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1882888023821743,
                  0.2783031585901848,
                  0.16815153690421494,
                  0.31254822036483304,
                  0.14847538320636305,
                  0.1757382256939216,
                  0.3685745625991298,
                  0.24969548932718766,
                  0.2684581861142958
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18537929258540958,
                  0.2850330270957072,
                  0.16863963543963614,
                  0.31933275126666294,
                  0.15402604643883205,
                  0.1843692617355264,
                  0.3773876466901393,
                  0.24168606053475453,
                  0.26866917237882915
                ],
                "crps": [
                  11.412049475499174,
                  23.751282413183237,
                  12.436188678384097,
                  24.29954122262147,
                  14.224899710271313,
                  14.712260787195175,
                  69.30834175708982,
                  16.952849689749918,
                  22.289352513411057
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  11.463675222229222,
                  23.73371473169829,
                  12.343868264699012,
                  23.739064588274186,
                  16.997103064518143,
                  15.14718121966435,
                  73.00083858094878,
                  14.399653709595194,
                  20.471236749209417
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  11.024233512960587,
                  23.41232986846401,
                  12.126614769293546,
                  23.957158099987847,
                  13.932878587361426,
                  14.358482548453969,
                  68.90614845005155,
                  16.695201971157356,
                  21.95670051442745
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  10.662785406373821,
                  22.932824915842893,
                  11.542978448843611,
                  22.938174772418787,
                  16.19621324866275,
                  14.34629140380895,
                  72.19994876509341,
                  13.598763893739797,
                  19.670346933354015
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44591945559848184,
              "rpss": 0.008742611889670737,
              "brier_below": 0.20611572258166042,
              "bss_below": 0.004885142750857607,
              "brier_above": 0.23980372946470055,
              "bss_above": 0.012034357274719576,
              "crps": 23.265196249711696,
              "crpss": 0.009037401776095688,
              "crps_fair": 22.929972035795302,
              "crpss_fair": -0.011178593889935806
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4122980043122719,
                  0.4775809636248049,
                  0.4188729774305342,
                  0.47602054428777124,
                  0.4304491707598527,
                  0.44002198484376426,
                  0.5143668512882414,
                  0.40892543771028833,
                  0.45578842258284585
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4079511787742341,
                  0.4922054065344404,
                  0.4152411870413332,
                  0.4870765649166562,
                  0.4434099354793544,
                  0.45787049883487024,
                  0.5324498556606468,
                  0.3943971410063836,
                  0.45527056505295654
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21808684599219424,
                  0.18505783915226867,
                  0.2628789725699578,
                  0.12036324926337538,
                  0.2840241067284331,
                  0.25003634111621215,
                  0.11058502787992192,
                  0.18762648510149654,
                  0.1565107798377823
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2165833496531308,
                  0.19072963656958514,
                  0.2598017131713074,
                  0.12377404015058635,
                  0.29230044362743446,
                  0.2562704571353755,
                  0.11638456203759603,
                  0.1791706241621763,
                  0.1553153215626392
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.19421116395862006,
                  0.29252311095596345,
                  0.15599401650576192,
                  0.35565727049269896,
                  0.14642507601716187,
                  0.18998564776371749,
                  0.40378179037754786,
                  0.22129895352776505,
                  0.2992776295115398
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.19136783463829776,
                  0.30147575579321806,
                  0.15543948581170997,
                  0.36330249953894866,
                  0.15110950456786512,
                  0.20160004538702728,
                  0.41606525896121255,
                  0.21522651809513638,
                  0.2999552295905713
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.580834189547854,
                  28.768740145612195,
                  13.471209769193004,
                  29.631242596787803,
                  16.20752981985181,
                  17.256384368254345,
                  85.51007954128386,
                  17.557838097109283,
                  26.428820276926718
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.039559283152627,
                  28.74038520413434,
                  13.566566575715115,
                  28.965864553546538,
                  19.057562942859114,
                  17.96040428789877,
                  90.10266834942621,
                  15.396608232662523,
                  24.267913548742563
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  12.161226770312803,
                  28.381754627160916,
                  13.118246783976579,
                  29.22950648835531,
                  15.875614241841836,
                  16.866231623898784,
                  85.06215958092957,
                  17.258258555162243,
                  26.062452250421956
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.135801724583425,
                  27.83662764556514,
                  12.662809017145918,
                  28.06210699497735,
                  18.15380538428992,
                  17.056646729329582,
                  89.19891079085703,
                  14.492850674093326,
                  23.364155990173366
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44825826187115275,
              "rpss": 0.012616149565019996,
              "brier_below": 0.19724107196018245,
              "bss_below": 0.0084679914732676,
              "brier_above": 0.2510171843456418,
              "bss_above": 0.015851363719219247,
              "crps": 27.490297644951873,
              "crpss": 0.01467499154558305,
              "crps_fair": 27.11282788022889,
              "crpss_fair": -0.004328777946356999
            }
          }
        },
        "SEL-A": {
          "criterion": "inner CRPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "vs",
            "1994": "vs",
            "1995": "vs",
            "1996": "vs",
            "1997": "vs",
            "1998": "vs",
            "1999": "vs",
            "2000": "vs",
            "2001": "vs",
            "2002": "vs",
            "2003": "vs",
            "2004": "vs",
            "2005": "vs",
            "2006": "vs",
            "2007": "vs",
            "2008": "vs",
            "2009": "vs",
            "2010": "vs",
            "2011": "vs",
            "2012": "vs",
            "2013": "vs",
            "2014": "vs",
            "2015": "vs",
            "2016": "vs"
          },
          "chosen_test": "vs",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "mvs_r3": 0,
            "mvs_r4": 0,
            "vs": 24
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.519474333139093,
                  0.47139934458760346,
                  0.484338220081666,
                  0.512756348378219,
                  0.4242652566984243,
                  0.41399523589702464,
                  0.5128722334233332,
                  0.5404276908296813,
                  0.4041507274220712,
                  0.3851277640591941,
                  0.4033729782495285,
                  0.40776181972858533,
                  0.4403593670971741,
                  0.45194166004110736,
                  0.37474402678316376,
                  0.49999733092813414,
                  0.3809970696109848,
                  0.48614400353544585,
                  0.4652776808038654,
                  0.4670774946636631,
                  0.4715741799241906,
                  0.47324280491427256,
                  0.4189084838765585,
                  0.4353865071392513
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48661164767869763,
                  0.45905809168968387,
                  0.495963591461526,
                  0.515165261918104,
                  0.446148375513108,
                  0.41008562419517763,
                  0.5008472766106865,
                  0.5325362239391127,
                  0.4074919432227391,
                  0.3954831823615453,
                  0.40075565353334075,
                  0.41880230111513844,
                  0.43556888570264757,
                  0.4376528345767518,
                  0.3792172948352883,
                  0.5057254726793263,
                  0.38526481534046053,
                  0.5019775310339771,
                  0.46557982150602545,
                  0.4778722604164428,
                  0.4895771040506235,
                  0.46168282493193524,
                  0.43538079529775536,
                  0.4292554571593725
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.32860739273104983,
                  0.3069505193672068,
                  0.13165851181877686,
                  0.1431659993736834,
                  0.1420162965078956,
                  0.1818030168663917,
                  0.2379365927489224,
                  0.42061072086427287,
                  0.148020042988291,
                  0.12088017886303838,
                  0.2485788894805229,
                  0.2514190991855234,
                  0.13182167848970838,
                  0.21344439731857828,
                  0.17787971645868267,
                  0.3697316266995773,
                  0.2116440564938616,
                  0.18621252250308828,
                  0.31104346398775135,
                  0.33892073377111304,
                  0.19584003716695064,
                  0.14782763558663006,
                  0.20302529790951637,
                  0.2736587404226221
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.30922885335447725,
                  0.29613886705280196,
                  0.13863303230663443,
                  0.14778005167403346,
                  0.15228155631642487,
                  0.18555479660116075,
                  0.2323286066111426,
                  0.41071690781649134,
                  0.15645789164814694,
                  0.12993772955896807,
                  0.24280805836405528,
                  0.25325138300038613,
                  0.1324835226858189,
                  0.20346096894071503,
                  0.1852099973152223,
                  0.3721963399266724,
                  0.21777186789424954,
                  0.19118284667091623,
                  0.31142926732564313,
                  0.3420124753425011,
                  0.20381741462037756,
                  0.14597371006209459,
                  0.21219427302329458,
                  0.27109581952879136
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.19086694066373722,
                  0.1644488251466523,
                  0.3526797090159138,
                  0.3695903504897933,
                  0.2822489601659238,
                  0.23219221885677604,
                  0.27493564034617657,
                  0.11981696926092958,
                  0.25613068505366143,
                  0.26424758605987425,
                  0.1547940887776677,
                  0.15634272005675387,
                  0.30853768905024886,
                  0.23849726317496106,
                  0.19686431020276196,
                  0.13026570441324778,
                  0.1693530127322891,
                  0.29993148145379833,
                  0.15423421633592993,
                  0.1281567612502264,
                  0.2757341424572954,
                  0.3254151701191974,
                  0.21588318536953738,
                  0.16172776594823715
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17738279432422033,
                  0.16291922463688202,
                  0.3573305591548917,
                  0.36738521024407034,
                  0.293866819196683,
                  0.2245308275940169,
                  0.2685186699995438,
                  0.12181931612262123,
                  0.2510340515745923,
                  0.2655454528025772,
                  0.15794759516928547,
                  0.16555091811475234,
                  0.3030853630168286,
                  0.2341918656360369,
                  0.19400729752006593,
                  0.13352913275265402,
                  0.16749294744621107,
                  0.3107946843630607,
                  0.15415055418038232,
                  0.13585978507394156,
                  0.28575968943024593,
                  0.3157091148698405,
                  0.22318652227446084,
                  0.15815963763058116
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.03038571153981,
                  12.257454810993204,
                  27.179859284187298,
                  42.32510707889081,
                  15.129365981882023,
                  18.52425681216368,
                  36.41474827624125,
                  20.005702808404447,
                  21.919767603134044,
                  14.775775954359723,
                  10.638172400681146,
                  12.731226370427114,
                  19.86446403212477,
                  19.89651045178658,
                  12.25409264192991,
                  17.585917032158306,
                  11.924644165806438,
                  35.012717362404864,
                  14.921881893693849,
                  11.473700942833304,
                  41.03433979799083,
                  26.340068051625064,
                  14.691127483144227,
                  15.852934357317901
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.515515110176164,
                  12.027072670009332,
                  27.15745490417225,
                  43.062149116207536,
                  16.883014234429464,
                  15.110665227823379,
                  28.637921780736875,
                  19.89980051208872,
                  21.148523580110787,
                  14.885017211092011,
                  10.864882292965909,
                  13.870372070370355,
                  16.873149149217223,
                  16.149557646341,
                  11.53548174320184,
                  20.00999516407377,
                  11.833867920547483,
                  40.84283466644615,
                  15.118220461952959,
                  15.526179448811071,
                  40.59978539071442,
                  21.57204161823094,
                  16.19071462488736,
                  13.055384080829477
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.953595230077884,
                  11.613729005509105,
                  26.470762816860724,
                  41.74167986291682,
                  14.236380601233524,
                  17.846239259143726,
                  35.89827127130469,
                  19.27140729446314,
                  21.192160797053134,
                  13.850026998598716,
                  9.960393990328049,
                  12.227151167526628,
                  19.297488891558185,
                  19.49172858216901,
                  11.522059047541973,
                  16.98135061292347,
                  11.209581926305207,
                  34.2083739260674,
                  14.160854386398857,
                  11.036857466040363,
                  40.5389731594235,
                  25.856202536783076,
                  14.082712421997076,
                  14.91830604583777
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.676884392709255,
                  11.17615323579967,
                  26.335191496921233,
                  42.27000823587325,
                  16.041291659243317,
                  14.26558593103382,
                  27.818462288024797,
                  19.063791547276942,
                  20.314879621109657,
                  14.039510550634402,
                  10.011761740617914,
                  13.022943733509857,
                  16.03140789015757,
                  15.306445948828944,
                  10.683631265570193,
                  19.174194901254385,
                  10.982582568251718,
                  40.04649053904792,
                  14.273155474318951,
                  14.681887110773385,
                  39.8029809427182,
                  20.739199776726256,
                  15.347680876198298,
                  12.206412206110008
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45189969007550984,
              "rpss": 0.002585292762908753,
              "brier_below": 0.22594571531681895,
              "bss_below": 0.0039032475909557274,
              "brier_above": 0.22595397485006627,
              "bss_above": 0.0012638936551103708,
              "crps": 20.866009221071693,
              "crpss": -0.04033204559460968,
              "crps_fair": 20.190261970752584,
              "crpss_fair": -0.050407807407947036
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5440109661539491,
                  0.44964094860873843,
                  0.4895763558376991,
                  0.5080065143709379,
                  0.42846359699676295,
                  0.4041352725466396,
                  0.5042492472519157,
                  0.5375453625862786,
                  0.41155407878345696,
                  0.39068016168630953,
                  0.4136311508769192,
                  0.40369348655349135,
                  0.42614597233354273,
                  0.4433654850427348,
                  0.37104246976149546,
                  0.49130705001604535,
                  0.3858711646751633,
                  0.49631966766346947,
                  0.4871853584222699,
                  0.47221304392691715,
                  0.4709559365691528,
                  0.46901442890334166,
                  0.43050027031770194,
                  0.4307283312260067
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.49692546808151494,
                  0.4425004297311524,
                  0.5019082769064045,
                  0.5064333837283189,
                  0.4493332273217324,
                  0.4008197088796275,
                  0.49214123609132593,
                  0.5299440633497334,
                  0.4125320165992243,
                  0.3973638817558074,
                  0.4081375216137364,
                  0.42014033125261396,
                  0.4248286277730835,
                  0.42704216425257485,
                  0.3755742335427411,
                  0.49379724379384515,
                  0.3873416399190235,
                  0.5177366653254861,
                  0.4839102472484309,
                  0.487019492459797,
                  0.49482401619394534,
                  0.4541665212671262,
                  0.44634875136680735,
                  0.4208625234376798
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3681336716912638,
                  0.28694399526566955,
                  0.12915433149766148,
                  0.1556031296918506,
                  0.1457933917180948,
                  0.1907783429416002,
                  0.18219037680431346,
                  0.41643146213922655,
                  0.1526112451193525,
                  0.12554477437377737,
                  0.26839022710290716,
                  0.2468658691089498,
                  0.1355709252813662,
                  0.1950905237376058,
                  0.17390891878224343,
                  0.35240390357270257,
                  0.2251634247672862,
                  0.15707973147669707,
                  0.3591077976566959,
                  0.35249748114578167,
                  0.15336411555830726,
                  0.15955378359555664,
                  0.20914218618001088,
                  0.2824046858013593
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.34117568778132534,
                  0.280053383566344,
                  0.13450149319852867,
                  0.15732198035030748,
                  0.15473613909973766,
                  0.19434878307934944,
                  0.17980801494605603,
                  0.4079365738751568,
                  0.16032257902227548,
                  0.1332184139808406,
                  0.26119900864962203,
                  0.2514382285910136,
                  0.13531377508107187,
                  0.1853202655941405,
                  0.1818743277880335,
                  0.3543807460126602,
                  0.23034746051873398,
                  0.16417677640375913,
                  0.35710308535482294,
                  0.35945144459801076,
                  0.16544049155230897,
                  0.15409584057255046,
                  0.21691892059143786,
                  0.27741814864029335
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17587729486810677,
                  0.16269695331013842,
                  0.3604220252945041,
                  0.352403386221851,
                  0.2826702052806507,
                  0.21335692947320206,
                  0.3220588701063458,
                  0.12111389980601224,
                  0.2589428344216425,
                  0.26513538825004046,
                  0.14524092366958935,
                  0.15682761680841903,
                  0.2905750474874776,
                  0.24827496175031474,
                  0.1971335509127827,
                  0.13890314649790805,
                  0.1607077395531906,
                  0.3392399368095955,
                  0.1280775601791844,
                  0.11971556311982523,
                  0.3175918207296432,
                  0.30946064624471786,
                  0.22135808348842,
                  0.14832364468117823
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.15574978030018993,
                  0.16244704616480854,
                  0.36740678370787594,
                  0.3491114033780117,
                  0.29459708822199504,
                  0.20647092580027818,
                  0.3123332211452702,
                  0.12200748947457683,
                  0.2522094375769491,
                  0.264145467774967,
                  0.14693851296411473,
                  0.16870210266160068,
                  0.2895148526920119,
                  0.24172189865843452,
                  0.19369990575470775,
                  0.1394164977811851,
                  0.15699417940028976,
                  0.35355988892172713,
                  0.1268071618936083,
                  0.12756804786178638,
                  0.3293835246416366,
                  0.300070680694576,
                  0.22942983077536966,
                  0.1434443747973867
                ],
                "crps": [
                  32.79898690833145,
                  12.713637715034078,
                  30.667712020306713,
                  42.951141014941285,
                  17.188872830362175,
                  20.53514381113265,
                  44.52499766887654,
                  22.397588610951107,
                  24.601911611922294,
                  16.809566481083582,
                  11.676866549870272,
                  14.727260317377173,
                  19.72283530713589,
                  21.931775223287477,
                  13.53231605387828,
                  19.81823293361261,
                  13.751835247421033,
                  43.04212275131931,
                  17.21319108476267,
                  12.52045306479835,
                  51.05188493449312,
                  26.410404867565273,
                  17.045130295903984,
                  18.144834061408496
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.780787513601947,
                  13.13070493794864,
                  30.809313804317902,
                  43.66777757153176,
                  18.954401750013098,
                  16.492711869708796,
                  34.373370564942896,
                  22.522388083312702,
                  23.51364394783613,
                  16.593348468335503,
                  12.132036607527255,
                  16.06887610321715,
                  16.86034595908366,
                  17.564548526350222,
                  13.021069333935209,
                  21.955010782616075,
                  13.563193049293446,
                  50.61749650933895,
                  17.51507769120794,
                  17.96173246331503,
                  50.35394525772704,
                  21.274471353161417,
                  18.77088571528336,
                  14.700448643376912
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.586563629151687,
                  12.001582589589434,
                  29.866543297529386,
                  42.2927763128845,
                  16.177802923197703,
                  19.747787556052874,
                  43.97768182628406,
                  21.619659346495514,
                  23.766167028158044,
                  15.73526905416633,
                  10.87880434606939,
                  14.157854523961037,
                  19.082412454990465,
                  21.489580194545606,
                  12.707844646994758,
                  19.130912782862897,
                  12.944135402792385,
                  42.10414130407437,
                  16.36821656733408,
                  12.030611977874116,
                  50.497149597481084,
                  25.861548800302206,
                  16.371817782287305,
                  17.04879631464845
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.834227729090085,
                  12.169656360679872,
                  29.8817474408112,
                  42.764564359099325,
                  18.004382901555047,
                  15.538030729810787,
                  33.45255430893737,
                  21.579126784728338,
                  22.572260027783052,
                  15.638857928056103,
                  11.16909661296602,
                  15.11339224406442,
                  15.906361095870066,
                  16.611897380120098,
                  12.059813113477023,
                  21.010674905810696,
                  12.602963578296162,
                  49.72744564337963,
                  16.562332850214283,
                  17.009833559389754,
                  49.46339524166998,
                  20.328846575921453,
                  17.82051929857772,
                  13.74237306555024
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4524931800462892,
              "rpss": 0.0010849660048075638,
              "brier_below": 0.22598867895876165,
              "bss_below": 0.0026063866104701905,
              "brier_above": 0.2265045012068642,
              "bss_above": -0.0004376231200831082,
              "crps": 23.574112556907323,
              "crpss": -0.041570720157281915,
              "crps_fair": 22.81023584415532,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05163877689848295
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.40536945099645355,
                  0.4799541673427332,
                  0.43637214397285695,
                  0.4654983028762304,
                  0.435620247777022,
                  0.43385926838509054,
                  0.48249608968342117,
                  0.4172921440468668,
                  0.4568132853056625
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.40161619190917225,
                  0.49204692387629745,
                  0.4299899885273098,
                  0.47528200776247287,
                  0.4503731422035293,
                  0.44588230538086027,
                  0.4982186059363643,
                  0.40271461687088617,
                  0.4525472776671369
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21708065533477283,
                  0.2016509978686775,
                  0.26822061617342546,
                  0.15295006535005304,
                  0.28714487598401484,
                  0.25812104956261317,
                  0.11392150084001779,
                  0.16759665079515015,
                  0.18835509132621886
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21623690591179195,
                  0.20701388554914213,
                  0.26135036266898715,
                  0.155949239131093,
                  0.2963471079591241,
                  0.26151305041397066,
                  0.12083093150048313,
                  0.16102855285572565,
                  0.1838780969829451
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1882888023821743,
                  0.2783031585901848,
                  0.16815153690421494,
                  0.31254822036483304,
                  0.14847538320636305,
                  0.1757382256939216,
                  0.3685745625991298,
                  0.24969548932718766,
                  0.2684581861142958
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18537929258540958,
                  0.2850330270957072,
                  0.16863963543963614,
                  0.31933275126666294,
                  0.15402604643883205,
                  0.1843692617355264,
                  0.3773876466901393,
                  0.24168606053475453,
                  0.26866917237882915
                ],
                "crps": [
                  11.412049475499174,
                  23.751282413183237,
                  12.436188678384097,
                  24.29954122262147,
                  14.224899710271313,
                  14.712260787195175,
                  69.30834175708982,
                  16.952849689749918,
                  22.289352513411057
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  11.463675222229222,
                  23.73371473169829,
                  12.343868264699012,
                  23.739064588274186,
                  16.997103064518143,
                  15.14718121966435,
                  73.00083858094878,
                  14.399653709595194,
                  20.471236749209417
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  11.024233512960587,
                  23.41232986846401,
                  12.126614769293546,
                  23.957158099987847,
                  13.932878587361426,
                  14.358482548453969,
                  68.90614845005155,
                  16.695201971157356,
                  21.95670051442745
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  10.662785406373821,
                  22.932824915842893,
                  11.542978448843611,
                  22.938174772418787,
                  16.19621324866275,
                  14.34629140380895,
                  72.19994876509341,
                  13.598763893739797,
                  19.670346933354015
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44591945559848184,
              "rpss": 0.008742611889670737,
              "brier_below": 0.20611572258166042,
              "bss_below": 0.004885142750857607,
              "brier_above": 0.23980372946470055,
              "bss_above": 0.012034357274719576,
              "crps": 23.265196249711696,
              "crpss": 0.009037401776095688,
              "crps_fair": 22.929972035795302,
              "crpss_fair": -0.011178593889935806
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4122980043122719,
                  0.4775809636248049,
                  0.4188729774305342,
                  0.47602054428777124,
                  0.4304491707598527,
                  0.44002198484376426,
                  0.5143668512882414,
                  0.40892543771028833,
                  0.45578842258284585
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4079511787742341,
                  0.4922054065344404,
                  0.4152411870413332,
                  0.4870765649166562,
                  0.4434099354793544,
                  0.45787049883487024,
                  0.5324498556606468,
                  0.3943971410063836,
                  0.45527056505295654
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21808684599219424,
                  0.18505783915226867,
                  0.2628789725699578,
                  0.12036324926337538,
                  0.2840241067284331,
                  0.25003634111621215,
                  0.11058502787992192,
                  0.18762648510149654,
                  0.1565107798377823
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2165833496531308,
                  0.19072963656958514,
                  0.2598017131713074,
                  0.12377404015058635,
                  0.29230044362743446,
                  0.2562704571353755,
                  0.11638456203759603,
                  0.1791706241621763,
                  0.1553153215626392
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.19421116395862006,
                  0.29252311095596345,
                  0.15599401650576192,
                  0.35565727049269896,
                  0.14642507601716187,
                  0.18998564776371749,
                  0.40378179037754786,
                  0.22129895352776505,
                  0.2992776295115398
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.19136783463829776,
                  0.30147575579321806,
                  0.15543948581170997,
                  0.36330249953894866,
                  0.15110950456786512,
                  0.20160004538702728,
                  0.41606525896121255,
                  0.21522651809513638,
                  0.2999552295905713
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.580834189547854,
                  28.768740145612195,
                  13.471209769193004,
                  29.631242596787803,
                  16.20752981985181,
                  17.256384368254345,
                  85.51007954128386,
                  17.557838097109283,
                  26.428820276926718
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.039559283152627,
                  28.74038520413434,
                  13.566566575715115,
                  28.965864553546538,
                  19.057562942859114,
                  17.96040428789877,
                  90.10266834942621,
                  15.396608232662523,
                  24.267913548742563
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  12.161226770312803,
                  28.381754627160916,
                  13.118246783976579,
                  29.22950648835531,
                  15.875614241841836,
                  16.866231623898784,
                  85.06215958092957,
                  17.258258555162243,
                  26.062452250421956
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.135801724583425,
                  27.83662764556514,
                  12.662809017145918,
                  28.06210699497735,
                  18.15380538428992,
                  17.056646729329582,
                  89.19891079085703,
                  14.492850674093326,
                  23.364155990173366
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44825826187115275,
              "rpss": 0.012616149565019996,
              "brier_below": 0.19724107196018245,
              "bss_below": 0.0084679914732676,
              "brier_above": 0.2510171843456418,
              "bss_above": 0.015851363719219247,
              "crps": 27.490297644951873,
              "crpss": 0.01467499154558305,
              "crps_fair": 27.11282788022889,
              "crpss_fair": -0.004328777946356999
            }
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "Apr": {
      "tag": "init01_Apr",
      "methods": {
        "mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6908835984019319,
            "training": [
              0.6625573573845482,
              0.7015599470869281,
              0.7205665058139057,
              0.7128762410811464,
              0.7070547950192708,
              0.6077307535036761,
              0.6657160941757475,
              0.7003367619221039,
              0.7056761652451133,
              0.7116435029664535,
              0.6977128854175773,
              0.693255394393238,
              0.6975875334922487,
              0.612366937592443,
              0.6729006426240277,
              0.6337030931196934,
              0.691260510541857,
              0.7640811011212771,
              0.7053236574861854,
              0.7231093571160692,
              0.6940286816396586,
              0.683764765894636,
              0.6976892202800761,
              0.7187044567284877
            ],
            "test": 0.7348780881110409
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4886392270180046,
                  0.4258530605973277,
                  0.4626630483971937,
                  0.40407012526975883,
                  0.49981355385625037,
                  0.4660346702035087,
                  0.474685563980612,
                  0.44233344709772626,
                  0.43767063669884065,
                  0.39542235329908176,
                  0.46116143940586707,
                  0.4403718372812054,
                  0.3929723200856383,
                  0.5074825479920333,
                  0.39556672541723326,
                  0.4967674475644302,
                  0.4291392721185549,
                  0.41986229012576237,
                  0.49282190659072617,
                  0.4234060892250228,
                  0.4822597901150706,
                  0.48904614513494793,
                  0.5226674326509718,
                  0.4135687334977553
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4841864893482905,
                  0.43211227653322676,
                  0.46726961355314844,
                  0.4133434052086962,
                  0.49517500505950296,
                  0.43491640195150744,
                  0.46843031994118434,
                  0.4615278036279564,
                  0.4507439643179906,
                  0.4112834989048485,
                  0.46132142396227915,
                  0.43113185599360465,
                  0.39348648077598886,
                  0.45376143110089506,
                  0.3979353151799338,
                  0.4870804792055269,
                  0.4427426459402902,
                  0.4413062615756113,
                  0.5043370917207346,
                  0.4291046981889646,
                  0.47322848109794713,
                  0.49704557653705034,
                  0.5152454390094632,
                  0.4318922156321309
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21631735369937993,
                  0.19092704551566775,
                  0.15219622610548983,
                  0.17757251033354132,
                  0.12877080076077566,
                  0.31767261443822115,
                  0.34171860776479956,
                  0.25008243515813106,
                  0.3001755878424985,
                  0.23803516938624814,
                  0.2031553478632955,
                  0.14376004574658716,
                  0.19227104285689312,
                  0.21396760574270232,
                  0.16840639020386802,
                  0.27982024641809683,
                  0.2641382680878753,
                  0.1882367940076523,
                  0.3676669339425038,
                  0.19816118411605838,
                  0.20426242865196398,
                  0.28150834730076696,
                  0.30916584581565615,
                  0.13977010360486003
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21174030422618073,
                  0.19619841479634093,
                  0.15424172272022885,
                  0.1829578815195767,
                  0.12686519441989993,
                  0.2991368693701326,
                  0.33516529949693646,
                  0.258453629028662,
                  0.2996408256999056,
                  0.24262738647447543,
                  0.20485988628789,
                  0.13745114213913945,
                  0.19455892996747637,
                  0.18607541359243696,
                  0.16517250798912353,
                  0.2790914479564486,
                  0.26860670947608534,
                  0.199841733546361,
                  0.37247030853563223,
                  0.20342720392287905,
                  0.19448439425773523,
                  0.28112440258111016,
                  0.29865358636382017,
                  0.14850880497700097
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.27232187449090334,
                  0.23492601645635042,
                  0.31046682497640715,
                  0.2264976149045436,
                  0.3710427580399786,
                  0.1483620541467305,
                  0.1329669539213414,
                  0.19225101029797761,
                  0.1374950470910791,
                  0.1573871829490915,
                  0.2580060921299587,
                  0.296611793756923,
                  0.20070127587855374,
                  0.29351494126758887,
                  0.22716033536912797,
                  0.21694719928320655,
                  0.16500100138420598,
                  0.23162549620600856,
                  0.12515497041553547,
                  0.22524490496305924,
                  0.2779973636191923,
                  0.2075377977191521,
                  0.21350158687395618,
                  0.27379863110669034
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2724461851221096,
                  0.23591386173688583,
                  0.3130278908329195,
                  0.23038552368911971,
                  0.3683098106396029,
                  0.13577953258137476,
                  0.13326502044424776,
                  0.2030741745992945,
                  0.1511031386180849,
                  0.1686561124303732,
                  0.2564615376743892,
                  0.2936807138544651,
                  0.19892755080851268,
                  0.267686017508458,
                  0.23276280719081016,
                  0.2079890312490783,
                  0.17413593646420478,
                  0.24146452802925045,
                  0.13186678318510234,
                  0.2256774942660856,
                  0.2787440868402118,
                  0.21592117395594018,
                  0.21659185264564293,
                  0.28338341065512984
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.174536691109395,
                  21.994374596394366,
                  34.056260041891534,
                  20.887999543572356,
                  49.4190195119329,
                  27.264004331274492,
                  35.75174311516914,
                  29.952674879744286,
                  21.031258578804465,
                  19.027388758953908,
                  26.152117360295435,
                  24.833317952304828,
                  20.100240527661136,
                  37.215166662569125,
                  19.000510996427444,
                  33.576090314448045,
                  22.022675470740168,
                  20.417611722608225,
                  31.52788391867872,
                  22.90001582991448,
                  36.030186595107736,
                  36.91739418939221,
                  38.23595089577716,
                  32.497313231671754
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  37.67963057790455,
                  22.20496710719248,
                  34.75982081313533,
                  21.13753139884542,
                  48.18557678760261,
                  22.32572650193956,
                  32.346626306865424,
                  31.241621776817116,
                  22.61030499170558,
                  21.097832161646018,
                  24.67995256390882,
                  23.487277463071056,
                  19.479902990237896,
                  28.364734124030218,
                  17.962347491804326,
                  32.308253313637515,
                  23.4819025684689,
                  23.20117977090859,
                  33.5725071269763,
                  23.546543436868635,
                  34.24491150463671,
                  37.940452233918776,
                  36.315917369983964,
                  35.48547401920235
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  37.04166944489565,
                  21.039397530552232,
                  32.934794897156195,
                  19.77920585893261,
                  48.400812209556044,
                  26.218162247307344,
                  34.791438126721324,
                  28.7679200887297,
                  20.173517066961736,
                  18.066555235007016,
                  25.20146926763294,
                  23.735302382472007,
                  19.06651618302613,
                  36.327947791303814,
                  18.07408808105873,
                  32.55094756611937,
                  20.997065447228305,
                  19.447349876379192,
                  30.479006878036767,
                  21.83661412916053,
                  34.93007163960421,
                  35.896985828987155,
                  37.11236187982318,
                  31.481907125370853
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  36.50287144459015,
                  20.998899899122918,
                  33.5775317370846,
                  19.929442532237317,
                  47.02871527968534,
                  21.1198880048449,
                  31.159766786674044,
                  30.052669445015788,
                  21.405005469023347,
                  19.889668107088685,
                  23.47857282829516,
                  22.28363887309976,
                  18.26867467588623,
                  27.170333141371334,
                  16.748245019311682,
                  31.121321117322577,
                  22.27825379877297,
                  21.996999329247586,
                  32.3879693507624,
                  22.343017093059828,
                  33.06164722156231,
                  36.76418708101348,
                  35.13657544650304,
                  34.30455928634492
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45267831931764685,
              "rpss": 0.0013171272017139524,
              "brier_below": 0.22782328897348056,
              "bss_below": -0.004852640725310442,
              "brier_above": 0.22485503030198176,
              "bss_above": 0.007491547472777804,
              "crps": 29.124405654851802,
              "crpss": -0.016468494515956333,
              "crps_fair": 28.09796278258429,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02328142187707183,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.099974,
                    0.833417,
                    0.066609,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2756,
                    0.3484,
                    0.4218,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3132,
                    0.3556,
                    0.296,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.115256,
                    0.844682,
                    0.040034,
                    2.8e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2829,
                    0.3438,
                    0.4178,
                    0.5028,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3021,
                    0.3509,
                    0.3917,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4851472325913971,
                  0.4377850604090821,
                  0.48206765940350094,
                  0.39637550828502927,
                  0.5087037881606992,
                  0.4740585369109194,
                  0.4941128164539911,
                  0.4427694378532752,
                  0.4396308494948677,
                  0.41017054680135023,
                  0.4504057643346254,
                  0.4394350670054419,
                  0.3939476903600622,
                  0.5213721408487334,
                  0.3854064865060782,
                  0.4846441176827817,
                  0.4380835827643769,
                  0.41682651026177325,
                  0.496272443622329,
                  0.3985575761417425,
                  0.49134353260472774,
                  0.4808673582365864,
                  0.5057866520245814,
                  0.42217366102062825
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.47721807577792547,
                  0.44138846877048227,
                  0.4808706781365219,
                  0.40380015096191796,
                  0.4993555212772883,
                  0.4426164174077806,
                  0.480331981258598,
                  0.4511901284900459,
                  0.4550264111585516,
                  0.42678897829098744,
                  0.4461073522201565,
                  0.43108546738101006,
                  0.39205738723286504,
                  0.45279983620183867,
                  0.3844634225677258,
                  0.47723129919406254,
                  0.4494561660549361,
                  0.44303394231992,
                  0.5127476476765541,
                  0.40746562754145604,
                  0.4796834202163691,
                  0.4941518113451156,
                  0.5098585452972256,
                  0.44265357297992375
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25345359090391995,
                  0.18346524769553235,
                  0.15519014230950298,
                  0.19211598297171228,
                  0.1315643654819157,
                  0.32272651017909015,
                  0.36220502658958487,
                  0.2975376192244978,
                  0.2947003459722327,
                  0.24354521687737682,
                  0.16322107037318576,
                  0.14545264436266997,
                  0.19248411778893398,
                  0.19824604998546122,
                  0.1802213863175764,
                  0.3128119098387939,
                  0.27996647274361036,
                  0.1828844798310606,
                  0.36993793342206516,
                  0.15155080643089724,
                  0.16409642113481646,
                  0.3190246506278213,
                  0.2610845487095193,
                  0.1230014775548302
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24504681880265347,
                  0.18895637521952804,
                  0.15263348593021764,
                  0.19574909824149067,
                  0.12600311284309318,
                  0.3075786358965713,
                  0.3496683114825043,
                  0.302096188171615,
                  0.2959898263723991,
                  0.2504570625239738,
                  0.16393533020686923,
                  0.13988147856515373,
                  0.19313152000718373,
                  0.16372483382615566,
                  0.17168083604286222,
                  0.30914812620779747,
                  0.28164138433580943,
                  0.197673345361121,
                  0.3803191632038604,
                  0.16010010293218388,
                  0.15399923394202555,
                  0.3228484407629661,
                  0.25676635913217255,
                  0.1334452416985923
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.231693641505024,
                  0.25431981455063374,
                  0.32687752047888924,
                  0.20425952463193947,
                  0.3771394279326447,
                  0.1513320246363505,
                  0.1319077872861895,
                  0.14523181592674736,
                  0.14493050215423303,
                  0.16662532894993795,
                  0.2871846951079931,
                  0.2939824245783875,
                  0.20146357107645763,
                  0.32312609025366346,
                  0.20518510047439883,
                  0.17183220477643657,
                  0.15811710711399898,
                  0.23394203029818275,
                  0.12633450788264902,
                  0.24700677017085973,
                  0.327247115077497,
                  0.16184270621483873,
                  0.24470210435377765,
                  0.29917218520031824
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2321712569752719,
                  0.2524320935509542,
                  0.3282371922063042,
                  0.2080510527204272,
                  0.37335240843419515,
                  0.13503778151120938,
                  0.13066366977609367,
                  0.14909394031843104,
                  0.1590365847861523,
                  0.17633191576701346,
                  0.28217202201328734,
                  0.29120398881585635,
                  0.19892586722568123,
                  0.2890750023756829,
                  0.21278258652486365,
                  0.16808317298626488,
                  0.1678147817191266,
                  0.24536059695879886,
                  0.13242848447269367,
                  0.2473655246092722,
                  0.3256841862743435,
                  0.1713033705821494,
                  0.25309218616505275,
                  0.30920833128133135
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.18136492283159,
                  25.02025140689201,
                  39.404481908950785,
                  21.962946418537445,
                  58.35279016384751,
                  30.784818688949834,
                  42.15442866937921,
                  31.64538776569719,
                  23.607551032858904,
                  21.991798184440466,
                  29.530501250471954,
                  27.137759697344308,
                  22.711671928588412,
                  43.45176418903939,
                  21.070416403968377,
                  30.47530846836932,
                  24.893553359583656,
                  23.20377829773057,
                  37.08158381356959,
                  24.648668331837367,
                  42.55830224294789,
                  37.49102070674068,
                  42.16409747330183,
                  38.35093803396422
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  36.918504373549894,
                  25.213885084637884,
                  39.72980589042734,
                  22.185467551711223,
                  56.862957203659015,
                  25.335584133760214,
                  37.499178059133676,
                  31.492024194769414,
                  25.446162599620028,
                  24.351122291511082,
                  27.40721083272404,
                  25.752310761447028,
                  22.02126797900749,
                  32.143822464730206,
                  19.64398945013718,
                  29.00408303361021,
                  26.455042118290926,
                  26.585296425852945,
                  39.92910650718047,
                  25.823597992478863,
                  40.464190896849736,
                  38.684489662272696,
                  41.9236185313761,
                  41.82575559088989
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  36.914603902955136,
                  23.940588314465924,
                  38.13800512674238,
                  20.746189735431898,
                  57.201743326189934,
                  29.57605909242611,
                  41.08533808205318,
                  30.337509817670547,
                  22.664219534045902,
                  20.904306198841425,
                  28.516649700699677,
                  25.948363537087022,
                  21.584469654378818,
                  42.4483209125598,
                  20.03271824921915,
                  29.345103052353025,
                  23.7530349714086,
                  22.08642095360727,
                  35.90410942800317,
                  23.484410186011544,
                  41.32180348986177,
                  36.37994365100845,
                  40.97657206998525,
                  37.20912146817208
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  35.60410879364805,
                  23.877321665173707,
                  38.42073474521656,
                  20.84316849298013,
                  55.58633520866268,
                  23.999251204919364,
                  36.18588223999998,
                  30.167351190286542,
                  24.110039099691804,
                  23.012924851605373,
                  26.07480143929789,
                  24.416767087582862,
                  20.678657936237197,
                  30.820383926667724,
                  18.296876985910686,
                  27.674698019352405,
                  25.120829375026844,
                  25.251330376353188,
                  38.62041282525899,
                  24.488189332309833,
                  39.156510632332946,
                  37.373438751478275,
                  40.61870233434891,
                  40.52065404738451
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4539976674907742,
              "rpss": -0.0013382224431413015,
              "brier_below": 0.22835366738860863,
              "bss_below": -0.0069846366635162305,
              "brier_above": 0.22564400002633536,
              "bss_above": 0.004311894488160939,
              "crps": 32.41146597332678,
              "crpss": -0.01989870211486089,
              "crps_fair": 31.270816852299088,
              "crpss_fair": -0.026788500458544195,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.083443,
                    0.850114,
                    0.066442,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2765,
                    0.3484,
                    0.422,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3335,
                    0.3551,
                    0.2693,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.104338,
                    0.854509,
                    0.041117,
                    3.5e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2835,
                    0.3437,
                    0.4176,
                    0.5028,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3377,
                    0.3468,
                    0.3775,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43328875894137886,
                  0.4852890733257394,
                  0.4710062482785096,
                  0.5101250991647945,
                  0.3647637975076327,
                  0.4856031875871295,
                  0.43653559352627846,
                  0.46430650786769556,
                  0.40838520432116415
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45440429936859755,
                  0.4996893316713015,
                  0.4694676374256157,
                  0.4851474746412749,
                  0.3695778516717547,
                  0.46134843598787134,
                  0.4587175183392248,
                  0.46011601854992623,
                  0.40913591732428567
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.26848927327820893,
                  0.1577799307463033,
                  0.2725499901579524,
                  0.1418615249282143,
                  0.1653379840235559,
                  0.32672028503964173,
                  0.10612645281544773,
                  0.17849087962618368,
                  0.2319387887493462
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.28197698683632044,
                  0.1606268895533937,
                  0.27005159771450077,
                  0.12976082269322795,
                  0.16816856976704328,
                  0.31212186163928146,
                  0.11734509558735813,
                  0.17565964502977222,
                  0.2307403996875668
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16479949315603476,
                  0.3275091232444723,
                  0.19845626125655036,
                  0.3682635503415693,
                  0.1994258170911919,
                  0.15888291628070775,
                  0.33040912102338427,
                  0.2858156165356786,
                  0.1764464229282255
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1724273214362993,
                  0.33906242122525043,
                  0.19941604378917716,
                  0.3553866281363939,
                  0.20140928562635466,
                  0.14922658740122674,
                  0.3413724014461526,
                  0.28445636239182137,
                  0.17839552547354326
                ],
                "crps": [
                  22.677127391102697,
                  58.89199453931678,
                  28.944324725120325,
                  47.17625759816835,
                  16.88763418719528,
                  27.27166807593101,
                  26.102908939408806,
                  30.175171846564155,
                  19.470532910166
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.414898254977906,
                  64.32959086872684,
                  28.276745491906343,
                  41.90176665415665,
                  17.45210634999837,
                  21.20567697646647,
                  29.56512126945498,
                  28.81219455813992,
                  19.08962197791747
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.195026346332497,
                  58.3612830547675,
                  28.47473158600684,
                  46.6931851626282,
                  16.402581869174217,
                  26.7654825734167,
                  25.561487154983297,
                  29.68657007432777,
                  18.925896963568302
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.27078635746416,
                  63.18547897121311,
                  27.13263359439259,
                  40.757654756642935,
                  16.307994452484625,
                  20.06156507895271,
                  28.421009371941235,
                  27.668082660626172,
                  17.94551008040372
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4510337189467026,
              "rpss": 0.0020407624414277015,
              "brier_below": 0.2054772343738727,
              "bss_below": -0.0015398402226896035,
              "brier_above": 0.24555648020642387,
              "bss_above": 0.005017329824242189,
              "crps": 30.844180023663714,
              "crpss": -0.005614600974583883,
              "crps_fair": 30.34069386502281,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02752778840938097,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.134948,
                    0.855748,
                    0.009303,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2797,
                    0.3409,
                    0.4103,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3165,
                    0.2772,
                    0.2401,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.100589,
                    0.895952,
                    0.003459,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2921,
                    0.3351,
                    0.4109,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3165,
                    0.4172,
                    0.4112,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4309114606533173,
                  0.504012044670477,
                  0.4722952387485292,
                  0.5080303581361436,
                  0.35341534348225523,
                  0.5150498399964272,
                  0.42318917652542665,
                  0.47204469517236464,
                  0.41690470679942027
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45711327987701555,
                  0.5228102018935478,
                  0.4726707286119854,
                  0.48632031765265726,
                  0.36000922142484876,
                  0.48022952893343396,
                  0.4437914574582624,
                  0.4622549760769377,
                  0.41672003014344283
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.31178008870325735,
                  0.11960544540479613,
                  0.28502676121816156,
                  0.13449770569351555,
                  0.17094778256596824,
                  0.36398482125416703,
                  0.10305270264839626,
                  0.1436961035621304,
                  0.23305807723762495
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.327672745916413,
                  0.12390232031217085,
                  0.2843357234913936,
                  0.12426078229226056,
                  0.17554636907660345,
                  0.3409898187361983,
                  0.11447361872080764,
                  0.13726417884950318,
                  0.23160250161103715
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1191313867754005,
                  0.38440656997548756,
                  0.18726848273807914,
                  0.373532627526357,
                  0.18246756776853507,
                  0.15106503435728375,
                  0.32013645612966224,
                  0.32834857323370115,
                  0.1838466359659323
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12944055055125925,
                  0.3989078499875223,
                  0.18833501118009763,
                  0.36205951035553935,
                  0.18446285910014573,
                  0.13923972503566326,
                  0.32931781958726825,
                  0.32499077885098343,
                  0.18511753516724092
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.20530962518352,
                  73.62559063153577,
                  32.612323926550104,
                  51.10990043822948,
                  18.184262384843326,
                  31.949035261568156,
                  28.01460312249608,
                  36.679852291407975,
                  22.293936736116418
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  27.884389921151143,
                  80.63911937397191,
                  32.1458902626583,
                  45.81308895448314,
                  18.934300254698922,
                  24.089382993856127,
                  31.57399214997441,
                  34.60324458514547,
                  21.674962226877476
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.67059273891584,
                  73.02829490049135,
                  32.07971764421229,
                  50.56573337251185,
                  17.640455819903583,
                  31.410724043028864,
                  27.418618507614145,
                  36.122331837923,
                  21.680138642829423
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  26.6154326805926,
                  79.37016213341334,
                  30.87693302209975,
                  44.5441317139246,
                  17.665343014140372,
                  22.82042575329757,
                  30.30503490941586,
                  33.33428734458692,
                  20.40600498631893
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45509476268715127,
              "rpss": 0.0014790337864351022,
              "brier_below": 0.2072943875875575,
              "bss_below": -0.0030114433089551973,
              "brier_above": 0.24780037049671544,
              "bss_above": 0.0052047160676156334,
              "crps": 35.40831271310341,
              "crpss": -0.004148129737733042,
              "crps_fair": 34.84628972304782,
              "crpss_fair": -0.025099392965213463,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.133356,
                    0.860927,
                    0.005716,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2818,
                    0.3392,
                    0.4091,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3528,
                    0.2774,
                    0.1452,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.078194,
                    0.917517,
                    0.004289,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.292,
                    0.3369,
                    0.4108,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3392,
                    0.4208,
                    0.3033,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "mvs_r3": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6841439772880324,
            "training": [
              0.6550121595292762,
              0.6969890599684607,
              0.7169900486045857,
              0.7043708182967044,
              0.6993532006656487,
              0.594319034897026,
              0.6581778736747393,
              0.6947631901407877,
              0.6967902942484334,
              0.7083277822106349,
              0.6929339578697493,
              0.6811982003743499,
              0.6891273631051783,
              0.5980083780764093,
              0.6742335779480713,
              0.6324375434467994,
              0.6871823579061404,
              0.7615620785854729,
              0.6987361977029648,
              0.7164098325491167,
              0.6899969695684928,
              0.6729238446381355,
              0.6900683418510801,
              0.7095433490545237
            ],
            "test": 0.7292288309863598
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.489779555954467,
                  0.4247964164520465,
                  0.46322255318892674,
                  0.4044133778066744,
                  0.5001624408055722,
                  0.46613753564405114,
                  0.4727993607490451,
                  0.4417533837209928,
                  0.43504878553237125,
                  0.39468731754050873,
                  0.46192231091113634,
                  0.4418792651700372,
                  0.3939320194153355,
                  0.511768000291328,
                  0.39656686864168145,
                  0.4950460339126505,
                  0.42883642105953157,
                  0.42046569628947994,
                  0.49038294991893916,
                  0.42403276498924136,
                  0.48340220073085877,
                  0.4881055386304037,
                  0.52104411875763,
                  0.4134552075356818
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4841864893482905,
                  0.43211227653322676,
                  0.46726961355314844,
                  0.4133434052086962,
                  0.49517500505950296,
                  0.43491640195150744,
                  0.46843031994118434,
                  0.4615278036279564,
                  0.4507439643179906,
                  0.4112834989048485,
                  0.46132142396227915,
                  0.43113185599360465,
                  0.39348648077598886,
                  0.45376143110089506,
                  0.3979353151799338,
                  0.4870804792055269,
                  0.4427426459402902,
                  0.4413062615756113,
                  0.5043370917207346,
                  0.4291046981889646,
                  0.47322848109794713,
                  0.49704557653705034,
                  0.5152454390094632,
                  0.4318922156321309
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21746409019929813,
                  0.18979739677340626,
                  0.15281964706547577,
                  0.17799611214139502,
                  0.12901715557118518,
                  0.317050182550165,
                  0.3397542746086159,
                  0.24961247597169,
                  0.2979519790758764,
                  0.23736210951882322,
                  0.20391925026522587,
                  0.14512192474668972,
                  0.1931408885245575,
                  0.21722228618553316,
                  0.16927438785783178,
                  0.27795878806586055,
                  0.26368837833529857,
                  0.18891046382160895,
                  0.3653023289165866,
                  0.19887699543058354,
                  0.2054144279912335,
                  0.28071520567223496,
                  0.307583342405746,
                  0.14003837340675204
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21174030422618073,
                  0.19619841479634093,
                  0.15424172272022885,
                  0.1829578815195767,
                  0.12686519441989993,
                  0.2991368693701326,
                  0.33516529949693646,
                  0.258453629028662,
                  0.2996408256999056,
                  0.24262738647447543,
                  0.20485988628789,
                  0.13745114213913945,
                  0.19455892996747637,
                  0.18607541359243696,
                  0.16517250798912353,
                  0.2790914479564486,
                  0.26860670947608534,
                  0.199841733546361,
                  0.37247030853563223,
                  0.20342720392287905,
                  0.19448439425773523,
                  0.28112440258111016,
                  0.29865358636382017,
                  0.14850880497700097
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.27231546702842774,
                  0.23499902100988782,
                  0.3104029088631385,
                  0.22641726566804576,
                  0.37114529030799065,
                  0.1490873513893712,
                  0.13304508378794408,
                  0.19214090603289158,
                  0.13709680460523968,
                  0.15732520702332292,
                  0.25800306122951994,
                  0.29675734286946703,
                  0.20079112968965354,
                  0.29454571317816886,
                  0.22729248092277415,
                  0.21708724386476314,
                  0.16514803997116095,
                  0.23155523252919474,
                  0.12508061869577736,
                  0.2251557694609591,
                  0.2779877749333124,
                  0.20739033277788332,
                  0.21346077639805922,
                  0.2734168354677028
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2724461851221096,
                  0.23591386173688583,
                  0.3130278908329195,
                  0.23038552368911971,
                  0.3683098106396029,
                  0.13577953258137476,
                  0.13326502044424776,
                  0.2030741745992945,
                  0.1511031386180849,
                  0.1686561124303732,
                  0.2564615376743892,
                  0.2936807138544651,
                  0.19892755080851268,
                  0.267686017508458,
                  0.23276280719081016,
                  0.2079890312490783,
                  0.17413593646420478,
                  0.24146452802925045,
                  0.13186678318510234,
                  0.2256774942660856,
                  0.2787440868402118,
                  0.21592117395594018,
                  0.21659185264564293,
                  0.28338341065512984
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.225442652120165,
                  21.950925757498922,
                  34.13779641738037,
                  20.930082583887014,
                  49.39091795287955,
                  27.258798181503607,
                  35.57737850332345,
                  29.85912841877354,
                  20.899439221375825,
                  19.031878602249698,
                  26.189594283679853,
                  24.86360502361334,
                  20.172038638329955,
                  37.30452932096968,
                  19.070191899778944,
                  33.52105056855563,
                  22.012681439070082,
                  20.543361783544643,
                  31.33152865439916,
                  22.955166937811327,
                  36.10843502993,
                  36.83120599484495,
                  38.067594176621164,
                  32.44422011382375
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  37.67963057790455,
                  22.20496710719248,
                  34.75982081313533,
                  21.13753139884542,
                  48.18557678760261,
                  22.32572650193956,
                  32.346626306865424,
                  31.241621776817116,
                  22.61030499170558,
                  21.097832161646018,
                  24.67995256390882,
                  23.487277463071056,
                  19.479902990237896,
                  28.364734124030218,
                  17.962347491804326,
                  32.308253313637515,
                  23.4819025684689,
                  23.20117977090859,
                  33.5725071269763,
                  23.546543436868635,
                  34.24491150463671,
                  37.940452233918776,
                  36.315917369983964,
                  35.48547401920235
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  37.07942497325023,
                  20.98424554084985,
                  33.00489535354269,
                  19.807562962505852,
                  48.367739523908035,
                  26.199913155843525,
                  34.60912008217794,
                  28.662493402890306,
                  20.033593575133676,
                  18.060917333489897,
                  25.231485191831766,
                  23.75314912762012,
                  19.127159372882236,
                  36.41044215045477,
                  18.135014170719387,
                  32.484265090614244,
                  20.977257354617507,
                  19.562325873920997,
                  30.275233792246702,
                  21.88022838124807,
                  34.998114201913225,
                  35.802967490326054,
                  36.93348463482761,
                  31.42166732300385
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  36.50287144459015,
                  20.998899899122918,
                  33.5775317370846,
                  19.929442532237317,
                  47.02871527968534,
                  21.1198880048449,
                  31.159766786674044,
                  30.052669445015788,
                  21.405005469023347,
                  19.889668107088685,
                  23.47857282829516,
                  22.28363887309976,
                  18.26867467588623,
                  27.170333141371334,
                  16.748245019311682,
                  31.121321117322577,
                  22.27825379877297,
                  21.996999329247586,
                  32.3879693507624,
                  22.343017093059828,
                  33.06164722156231,
                  36.76418708101348,
                  35.13657544650304,
                  34.30455928634492
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4526516718186913,
              "rpss": 0.001375915969971997,
              "brier_below": 0.22774968604590307,
              "bss_below": -0.004528002728577896,
              "brier_above": 0.22490198573769402,
              "bss_above": 0.007284286524361749,
              "crps": 29.11154133983186,
              "crpss": -0.01601951811189628,
              "crps_fair": 28.07511250249244,
              "crpss_fair": -0.022449252396188113,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.093064,
                    0.8346,
                    0.072251,
                    8.5e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2801,
                    0.3488,
                    0.4224,
                    0.5038,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.322,
                    0.3544,
                    0.2996,
                    0.6649,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.120027,
                    0.839799,
                    0.040146,
                    2.8e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2823,
                    0.3441,
                    0.4193,
                    0.5063,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3018,
                    0.3512,
                    0.3913,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4864496881011975,
                  0.4363872371314801,
                  0.48278150780715756,
                  0.3967915797508015,
                  0.509150597587743,
                  0.47402856978800895,
                  0.49176657968449183,
                  0.44223653961272846,
                  0.4367085686142012,
                  0.40968179806935756,
                  0.45161921527575183,
                  0.4410889323724796,
                  0.3951032462172229,
                  0.5267009506326209,
                  0.38658613157556804,
                  0.482481466582638,
                  0.43772930439584645,
                  0.41749133512583375,
                  0.4932524743622717,
                  0.39936013451049,
                  0.4928808334300675,
                  0.47937343838744034,
                  0.5036441729043913,
                  0.4220633430304784
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.47721807577792547,
                  0.44138846877048227,
                  0.4808706781365219,
                  0.40380015096191796,
                  0.4993555212772883,
                  0.4426164174077806,
                  0.480331981258598,
                  0.4511901284900459,
                  0.4550264111585516,
                  0.42678897829098744,
                  0.4461073522201565,
                  0.43108546738101006,
                  0.39205738723286504,
                  0.45279983620183867,
                  0.3844634225677258,
                  0.47723129919406254,
                  0.4494561660549361,
                  0.44303394231992,
                  0.5127476476765541,
                  0.40746562754145604,
                  0.4796834202163691,
                  0.4941518113451156,
                  0.5098585452972256,
                  0.44265357297992375
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25476438997318074,
                  0.1819294736630499,
                  0.1559817807178544,
                  0.19258523318544182,
                  0.1318671653947203,
                  0.32185539750424164,
                  0.35972894087850066,
                  0.2969470516716933,
                  0.2922007320893351,
                  0.24309510855211205,
                  0.16441413262113916,
                  0.14698023257352863,
                  0.19353312368432773,
                  0.20225597590966124,
                  0.18123809493957832,
                  0.31050880793398916,
                  0.27939534366474317,
                  0.1836372033208209,
                  0.36697602102159027,
                  0.15247238913205385,
                  0.16564033307382564,
                  0.31767865828412106,
                  0.2590997387448636,
                  0.123320507889489
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24504681880265347,
                  0.18895637521952804,
                  0.15263348593021764,
                  0.19574909824149067,
                  0.12600311284309318,
                  0.3075786358965713,
                  0.3496683114825043,
                  0.302096188171615,
                  0.2959898263723991,
                  0.2504570625239738,
                  0.16393533020686923,
                  0.13988147856515373,
                  0.19313152000718373,
                  0.16372483382615566,
                  0.17168083604286222,
                  0.30914812620779747,
                  0.28164138433580943,
                  0.197673345361121,
                  0.3803191632038604,
                  0.16010010293218388,
                  0.15399923394202555,
                  0.3228484407629661,
                  0.25676635913217255,
                  0.1334452416985923
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23168529799682566,
                  0.25445776526353175,
                  0.3267997305404745,
                  0.20420634588323458,
                  0.37728343757248817,
                  0.15217317003250272,
                  0.1320376361583585,
                  0.14528948514892318,
                  0.14450783506717516,
                  0.16658668855141853,
                  0.2872050838052736,
                  0.2941087019612082,
                  0.2015701212262242,
                  0.3244449741397175,
                  0.20534803693110004,
                  0.17197265544396811,
                  0.1583339577044236,
                  0.23385413162215418,
                  0.12627645096400836,
                  0.24688774592672913,
                  0.3272405040331398,
                  0.16169477859904477,
                  0.24454443522722788,
                  0.29874283701878257
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2321712569752719,
                  0.2524320935509542,
                  0.3282371922063042,
                  0.2080510527204272,
                  0.37335240843419515,
                  0.13503778151120938,
                  0.13066366977609367,
                  0.14909394031843104,
                  0.1590365847861523,
                  0.17633191576701346,
                  0.28217202201328734,
                  0.29120398881585635,
                  0.19892586722568123,
                  0.2890750023756829,
                  0.21278258652486365,
                  0.16808317298626488,
                  0.1678147817191266,
                  0.24536059695879886,
                  0.13242848447269367,
                  0.2473655246092722,
                  0.3256841862743435,
                  0.1713033705821494,
                  0.25309218616505275,
                  0.30920833128133135
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.25132407859836,
                  24.96891855941309,
                  39.51489229622349,
                  22.019184749396487,
                  58.316958844226725,
                  30.7925622751479,
                  41.928594968591845,
                  31.541207250884973,
                  23.456570058485564,
                  22.021854087011675,
                  29.59598394294022,
                  27.155207229623258,
                  22.8039590899554,
                  43.55846264043209,
                  21.16620305220184,
                  30.404316831960198,
                  24.887290476241343,
                  23.35618358537788,
                  36.84032055787548,
                  24.734160347328498,
                  42.67611074424265,
                  37.38037280302037,
                  41.951538622414475,
                  38.28571950183084
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  36.918504373549894,
                  25.213885084637884,
                  39.72980589042734,
                  22.185467551711223,
                  56.862957203659015,
                  25.335584133760214,
                  37.499178059133676,
                  31.492024194769414,
                  25.446162599620028,
                  24.351122291511082,
                  27.40721083272404,
                  25.752310761447028,
                  22.02126797900749,
                  32.143822464730206,
                  19.64398945013718,
                  29.00408303361021,
                  26.455042118290926,
                  26.585296425852945,
                  39.92910650718047,
                  25.823597992478863,
                  40.464190896849736,
                  38.684489662272696,
                  41.9236185313761,
                  41.82575559088989
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  36.96810086130778,
                  23.87473161830859,
                  38.23409019016471,
                  20.785528127554272,
                  57.160138624446525,
                  29.567310722326063,
                  40.849935218280955,
                  30.21853722898605,
                  22.503236995988086,
                  20.92155644594765,
                  28.573370918686116,
                  25.950347264061485,
                  21.66294154389801,
                  42.54655173911801,
                  20.11794786973132,
                  29.25963679719988,
                  23.734586281928763,
                  22.22522691128105,
                  35.65394197555381,
                  23.555476328515198,
                  41.42694394521823,
                  36.25992964670496,
                  40.752298546418125,
                  37.13485843451761
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  35.60410879364805,
                  23.877321665173707,
                  38.42073474521656,
                  20.84316849298013,
                  55.58633520866268,
                  23.999251204919364,
                  36.18588223999998,
                  30.167351190286542,
                  24.110039099691804,
                  23.012924851605373,
                  26.07480143929789,
                  24.416767087582862,
                  20.678657936237197,
                  30.820383926667724,
                  18.296876985910686,
                  27.674698019352405,
                  25.120829375026844,
                  25.251330376353188,
                  38.62041282525899,
                  24.488189332309833,
                  39.156510632332946,
                  37.373438751478275,
                  40.61870233434891,
                  40.52065404738451
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45397323520626115,
              "rpss": -0.0012843345443780407,
              "brier_below": 0.22825440985099424,
              "bss_below": -0.006546934845131913,
              "brier_above": 0.22571882528408063,
              "bss_above": 0.0039817167784939045,
              "crps": 32.40032902472603,
              "crpss": -0.019548253312798858,
              "crps_fair": 31.247384343172637,
              "crpss_fair": -0.026019085606940662,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.074951,
                    0.852762,
                    0.072181,
                    0.000105,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2833,
                    0.3488,
                    0.4228,
                    0.5038,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3558,
                    0.3524,
                    0.2814,
                    0.6649,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.108069,
                    0.850675,
                    0.041222,
                    3.5e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2828,
                    0.344,
                    0.4192,
                    0.5063,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3338,
                    0.3474,
                    0.3765,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43379910977273967,
                  0.48577929236741624,
                  0.47031515137997726,
                  0.5115598039978525,
                  0.36554610920350006,
                  0.48447005413063843,
                  0.4367422789449471,
                  0.46542827066279835,
                  0.4066379465869133
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45440429936859755,
                  0.4996893316713015,
                  0.4694676374256157,
                  0.4851474746412749,
                  0.3695778516717547,
                  0.46134843598787134,
                  0.4587175183392248,
                  0.46011601854992623,
                  0.40913591732428567
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.26910800732967244,
                  0.15862681355705507,
                  0.271818885788487,
                  0.14319911715646572,
                  0.16607007635593155,
                  0.3252435599287729,
                  0.10663398227152424,
                  0.17965521076571797,
                  0.2301431149036121
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.28197698683632044,
                  0.1606268895533937,
                  0.27005159771450077,
                  0.12976082269322795,
                  0.16816856976704328,
                  0.31212186163928146,
                  0.11734509558735813,
                  0.17565964502977222,
                  0.2307403996875668
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16469110994243524,
                  0.3271524594952131,
                  0.19849626870497325,
                  0.36836066292973785,
                  0.19947603647186948,
                  0.15922650794717916,
                  0.3301082770274684,
                  0.2857730481493912,
                  0.17649483901716254
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1724273214362993,
                  0.33906242122525043,
                  0.19941604378917716,
                  0.3553866281363939,
                  0.20140928562635466,
                  0.14922658740122674,
                  0.3413724014461526,
                  0.28445636239182137,
                  0.17839552547354326
                ],
                "crps": [
                  22.728938182622315,
                  58.8335242606715,
                  28.840902833319504,
                  47.141860780046954,
                  16.954133245522833,
                  27.20511701314586,
                  26.15180113521732,
                  30.219909729148608,
                  19.357887580326093
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.414898254977906,
                  64.32959086872684,
                  28.276745491906343,
                  41.90176665415665,
                  17.45210634999837,
                  21.20567697646647,
                  29.56512126945498,
                  28.81219455813992,
                  19.08962197791747
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.242496845517966,
                  58.29699488392868,
                  28.366844279668342,
                  46.654358116027005,
                  16.464553563081747,
                  26.693408168047394,
                  25.604676521131918,
                  29.727346391026604,
                  18.80861686411387
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.27078635746416,
                  63.18547897121311,
                  27.13263359439259,
                  40.757654756642935,
                  16.307994452484625,
                  20.06156507895271,
                  28.421009371941235,
                  27.668082660626172,
                  17.94551008040372
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.451142001894087,
              "rpss": 0.0018011751044438862,
              "brier_below": 0.20561097422858213,
              "bss_below": -0.002191716782763198,
              "brier_above": 0.2455310232983811,
              "bss_above": 0.005120479952137491,
              "crps": 30.826008306668996,
              "crpss": -0.005022147425141288,
              "crps_fair": 30.31769951472706,
              "crpss_fair": -0.026749054277247497,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.120913,
                    0.862336,
                    0.016751,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2824,
                    0.3408,
                    0.4076,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.324,
                    0.2772,
                    0.2357,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.098961,
                    0.894874,
                    0.006165,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2914,
                    0.335,
                    0.4072,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3149,
                    0.4167,
                    0.4864,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43149350332350495,
                  0.5046072484266022,
                  0.47138794105567283,
                  0.5095424911265627,
                  0.35430990432367315,
                  0.5137080167291431,
                  0.42351815941227583,
                  0.47353126781266824,
                  0.4146919609353305
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45711327987701555,
                  0.5228102018935478,
                  0.4726707286119854,
                  0.48632031765265726,
                  0.36000922142484876,
                  0.48022952893343396,
                  0.4437914574582624,
                  0.4622549760769377,
                  0.41672003014344283
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3125032948475565,
                  0.12065855790306176,
                  0.28406616143913427,
                  0.13598998913104177,
                  0.17177723698881958,
                  0.36222506605408555,
                  0.1036656529521941,
                  0.14520238039479988,
                  0.23075584041116295
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.327672745916413,
                  0.12390232031217085,
                  0.2843357234913936,
                  0.12426078229226056,
                  0.17554636907660345,
                  0.3409898187361983,
                  0.11447361872080764,
                  0.13726417884950318,
                  0.23160250161103715
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1189902233045742,
                  0.38394866127032834,
                  0.18732178480755232,
                  0.37355247705972705,
                  0.18253267421936056,
                  0.1514829663071886,
                  0.31985248876638805,
                  0.32832886901229263,
                  0.1839361269210252
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12944055055125925,
                  0.3989078499875223,
                  0.18833501118009763,
                  0.36205951035553935,
                  0.18446285910014573,
                  0.13923972503566326,
                  0.32931781958726825,
                  0.32499077885098343,
                  0.18511753516724092
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.280342446709568,
                  73.5489105435718,
                  32.48296943218687,
                  51.06215625683653,
                  18.269267892843374,
                  31.86100215457756,
                  28.076908793975328,
                  36.74182850737524,
                  22.143724079603576
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  27.884389921151143,
                  80.63911937397191,
                  32.1458902626583,
                  45.81308895448314,
                  18.934300254698922,
                  24.089382993856127,
                  31.57399214997441,
                  34.60324458514547,
                  21.674962226877476
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.740374604598156,
                  72.94441508974818,
                  31.944834450573136,
                  50.51253742998579,
                  17.719906804174656,
                  31.316002687254148,
                  27.473949084418816,
                  36.1794679988549,
                  21.524306775418218
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  26.6154326805926,
                  79.37016213341334,
                  30.87693302209975,
                  44.5441317139246,
                  17.665343014140372,
                  22.82042575329757,
                  30.30503490941586,
                  33.33428734458692,
                  20.40600498631893
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45519894368282604,
              "rpss": 0.001250450825277749,
              "brier_below": 0.2074271311246507,
              "bss_below": -0.0036537341508793286,
              "brier_above": 0.24777180796315973,
              "bss_above": 0.00531938043886504,
              "crps": 35.385234456408874,
              "crpss": -0.0034936509862264487,
              "crps_fair": 34.81731054722511,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02424689085435494,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.117264,
                    0.870382,
                    0.012354,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2853,
                    0.3392,
                    0.4065,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3654,
                    0.2775,
                    0.1868,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.076268,
                    0.91609,
                    0.007642,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2914,
                    0.3368,
                    0.4072,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3369,
                    0.4205,
                    0.4016,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "mvs_r4": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6785170839446835,
            "training": [
              0.6491097102361475,
              0.6928522010369774,
              0.7089088586370879,
              0.6976916164158712,
              0.6933878350087888,
              0.5887796705126638,
              0.6539867347550733,
              0.6908353302856423,
              0.6929848806009798,
              0.7007095685183036,
              0.6856966530098416,
              0.6782068904139956,
              0.6830987095436104,
              0.5940810078197427,
              0.6658266982076101,
              0.6259438338442987,
              0.6811516760703844,
              0.7548455019950954,
              0.6950249909436458,
              0.7087182379254282,
              0.682917327278385,
              0.6678183272559078,
              0.6845956140125039,
              0.7072381403444186
            ],
            "test": 0.7223067960499084
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4903505331123904,
                  0.4241683782256634,
                  0.4633943761440446,
                  0.4042508153733268,
                  0.5003202562922452,
                  0.4663482730808872,
                  0.4720551361028903,
                  0.4411520532390963,
                  0.43416944096124466,
                  0.3944010679278384,
                  0.462386250144627,
                  0.4423040328807535,
                  0.3943024151038208,
                  0.5130623288705021,
                  0.3971459418314861,
                  0.4943388932374284,
                  0.4285982610476554,
                  0.42022174690878195,
                  0.4893138806662186,
                  0.4242510989640051,
                  0.4841530054234229,
                  0.48751799819847885,
                  0.5204429316994373,
                  0.41335163682888343
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4841864893482905,
                  0.43211227653322676,
                  0.46726961355314844,
                  0.4133434052086962,
                  0.49517500505950296,
                  0.43491640195150744,
                  0.46843031994118434,
                  0.4615278036279564,
                  0.4507439643179906,
                  0.4112834989048485,
                  0.46132142396227915,
                  0.43113185599360465,
                  0.39348648077598886,
                  0.45376143110089506,
                  0.3979353151799338,
                  0.4870804792055269,
                  0.4427426459402902,
                  0.4413062615756113,
                  0.5043370917207346,
                  0.4291046981889646,
                  0.47322848109794713,
                  0.49704557653705034,
                  0.5152454390094632,
                  0.4318922156321309
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21802147916425088,
                  0.189158430520465,
                  0.15307771139874374,
                  0.17792281323603726,
                  0.12909474671811522,
                  0.31696065877463764,
                  0.3390003541499692,
                  0.2491265017603387,
                  0.297229440419391,
                  0.23733788250029494,
                  0.20428372830378236,
                  0.1455115307931581,
                  0.1934982802511259,
                  0.2181946287187681,
                  0.16991468729020062,
                  0.27706947448177816,
                  0.26356574213826406,
                  0.18890880117258838,
                  0.3642993476874172,
                  0.19910871469487296,
                  0.20614506357322535,
                  0.2802125325409388,
                  0.3069986940239997,
                  0.14005823613353877
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21174030422618073,
                  0.19619841479634093,
                  0.15424172272022885,
                  0.1829578815195767,
                  0.12686519441989993,
                  0.2991368693701326,
                  0.33516529949693646,
                  0.258453629028662,
                  0.2996408256999056,
                  0.24262738647447543,
                  0.20485988628789,
                  0.13745114213913945,
                  0.19455892996747637,
                  0.18607541359243696,
                  0.16517250798912353,
                  0.2790914479564486,
                  0.26860670947608534,
                  0.199841733546361,
                  0.37247030853563223,
                  0.20342720392287905,
                  0.19448439425773523,
                  0.28112440258111016,
                  0.29865358636382017,
                  0.14850880497700097
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2723290553118663,
                  0.2350099490487241,
                  0.31031666759598775,
                  0.22632800211510137,
                  0.3712255147331602,
                  0.1493876125337789,
                  0.13305477954537645,
                  0.19202554970119262,
                  0.13693999868290202,
                  0.15706318439501168,
                  0.25810252246306076,
                  0.29679250454199974,
                  0.20080413364353944,
                  0.2948676992387939,
                  0.22723125468231833,
                  0.21726941671324412,
                  0.1650325160811727,
                  0.23131294578372363,
                  0.12501453060997667,
                  0.2251423841943248,
                  0.27800794415393404,
                  0.20730546544768155,
                  0.2134442377047702,
                  0.2732934020402697
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2724461851221096,
                  0.23591386173688583,
                  0.3130278908329195,
                  0.23038552368911971,
                  0.3683098106396029,
                  0.13577953258137476,
                  0.13326502044424776,
                  0.2030741745992945,
                  0.1511031386180849,
                  0.1686561124303732,
                  0.2564615376743892,
                  0.2936807138544651,
                  0.19892755080851268,
                  0.267686017508458,
                  0.23276280719081016,
                  0.2079890312490783,
                  0.17413593646420478,
                  0.24146452802925045,
                  0.13186678318510234,
                  0.2256774942660856,
                  0.2787440868402118,
                  0.21592117395594018,
                  0.21659185264564293,
                  0.28338341065512984
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.23745959673834,
                  21.926365788144356,
                  34.146102432913914,
                  20.945060423412965,
                  49.39903352065996,
                  27.24202047041764,
                  35.533703413076104,
                  29.85063958291135,
                  20.861371977465843,
                  19.03143749678081,
                  26.203421237842925,
                  24.87141006408471,
                  20.18763931494374,
                  37.32980898620717,
                  19.078829239666266,
                  33.483567116898776,
                  22.013980576846695,
                  20.5708620786363,
                  31.28723890332896,
                  22.972013860908888,
                  36.13746643928992,
                  36.79911685313664,
                  38.02545638829891,
                  32.43980531018952
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  37.67963057790455,
                  22.20496710719248,
                  34.75982081313533,
                  21.13753139884542,
                  48.18557678760261,
                  22.32572650193956,
                  32.346626306865424,
                  31.241621776817116,
                  22.61030499170558,
                  21.097832161646018,
                  24.67995256390882,
                  23.487277463071056,
                  19.479902990237896,
                  28.364734124030218,
                  17.962347491804326,
                  32.308253313637515,
                  23.4819025684689,
                  23.20117977090859,
                  33.5725071269763,
                  23.546543436868635,
                  34.24491150463671,
                  37.940452233918776,
                  36.315917369983964,
                  35.48547401920235
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  37.088904911754526,
                  20.957678975608165,
                  33.01134299152721,
                  19.819459101723403,
                  48.37507309688137,
                  26.180885864834075,
                  34.56404905987127,
                  28.650950712980556,
                  19.99424127163288,
                  18.058647557805273,
                  25.243885008268286,
                  23.758748290444796,
                  19.14095509426337,
                  36.43466705676434,
                  18.142692042688427,
                  32.44493709437453,
                  20.976738509800843,
                  19.58738178507472,
                  30.229771067782867,
                  21.894878397925062,
                  35.02542903290249,
                  35.769726776098125,
                  36.889352203202705,
                  31.416799283749093
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  36.50287144459015,
                  20.998899899122918,
                  33.5775317370846,
                  19.929442532237317,
                  47.02871527968534,
                  21.1198880048449,
                  31.159766786674044,
                  30.052669445015788,
                  21.405005469023347,
                  19.889668107088685,
                  23.47857282829516,
                  22.28363887309976,
                  18.26867467588623,
                  27.170333141371334,
                  16.748245019311682,
                  31.121321117322577,
                  22.27825379877297,
                  21.996999329247586,
                  32.3879693507624,
                  22.343017093059828,
                  33.06164722156231,
                  36.76418708101348,
                  35.13657544650304,
                  34.30455928634492
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4525833646777137,
              "rpss": 0.0015266127647445282,
              "brier_below": 0.2276958116852459,
              "bss_below": -0.004290380869032218,
              "brier_above": 0.2248875529567463,
              "bss_above": 0.007347992713477636,
              "crps": 29.107242128033363,
              "crpss": -0.015869471673310986,
              "crps_fair": 28.069049799498263,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02222845876113677,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.088497,
                    0.838307,
                    0.073111,
                    8.5e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.281,
                    0.3489,
                    0.4236,
                    0.5053,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3186,
                    0.3546,
                    0.3002,
                    0.6649,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.119724,
                    0.84013,
                    0.040118,
                    2.8e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2812,
                    0.3441,
                    0.4205,
                    0.5082,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3021,
                    0.3512,
                    0.3909,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4872563109357058,
                  0.4352827717460569,
                  0.48320179003441244,
                  0.3967160345797364,
                  0.5094401308011277,
                  0.4740321545288707,
                  0.49079267976043245,
                  0.4414980691121456,
                  0.43569589596368613,
                  0.40962937284885914,
                  0.4523513064554389,
                  0.4415466367601209,
                  0.39568142652763444,
                  0.5283462749917197,
                  0.38738777817786957,
                  0.48135552671211435,
                  0.43740627220675005,
                  0.4171763034740051,
                  0.4918294141749884,
                  0.3995964098264756,
                  0.49384801059548006,
                  0.47838780260876235,
                  0.5025872072934591,
                  0.42191680077472543
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.47721807577792547,
                  0.44138846877048227,
                  0.4808706781365219,
                  0.40380015096191796,
                  0.4993555212772883,
                  0.4426164174077806,
                  0.480331981258598,
                  0.4511901284900459,
                  0.4550264111585516,
                  0.42678897829098744,
                  0.4461073522201565,
                  0.43108546738101006,
                  0.39205738723286504,
                  0.45279983620183867,
                  0.3844634225677258,
                  0.47723129919406254,
                  0.4494561660549361,
                  0.44303394231992,
                  0.5127476476765541,
                  0.40746562754145604,
                  0.4796834202163691,
                  0.4941518113451156,
                  0.5098585452972256,
                  0.44265357297992375
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25556553034533286,
                  0.1807752622314293,
                  0.1564593689013199,
                  0.19260967120001216,
                  0.1320532661894687,
                  0.3215015563269721,
                  0.3587139488574832,
                  0.29623134539324436,
                  0.2913489719766688,
                  0.24326700909968482,
                  0.1649517602845688,
                  0.14741613226330205,
                  0.19409002015576665,
                  0.2035147034278179,
                  0.1821380530114417,
                  0.30930765356712625,
                  0.2791896430163733,
                  0.18361146787892196,
                  0.36560890850629707,
                  0.15272313288325984,
                  0.16654359076234015,
                  0.31678465318378096,
                  0.2581644439745093,
                  0.12331309055501959
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24504681880265347,
                  0.18895637521952804,
                  0.15263348593021764,
                  0.19574909824149067,
                  0.12600311284309318,
                  0.3075786358965713,
                  0.3496683114825043,
                  0.302096188171615,
                  0.2959898263723991,
                  0.2504570625239738,
                  0.16393533020686923,
                  0.13988147856515373,
                  0.19313152000718373,
                  0.16372483382615566,
                  0.17168083604286222,
                  0.30914812620779747,
                  0.28164138433580943,
                  0.197673345361121,
                  0.3803191632038604,
                  0.16010010293218388,
                  0.15399923394202555,
                  0.3228484407629661,
                  0.25676635913217255,
                  0.1334452416985923
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23169078053908676,
                  0.2545075113213757,
                  0.32674242475799,
                  0.20410636268005414,
                  0.3773868700765662,
                  0.15253059585796344,
                  0.13207872818278182,
                  0.14526672085072473,
                  0.14434692251912082,
                  0.16636236275169766,
                  0.2873995473690681,
                  0.2941305066639465,
                  0.20159140506933865,
                  0.3248315710253379,
                  0.20524972545490663,
                  0.17204786984995998,
                  0.15821662607850187,
                  0.23356483539697906,
                  0.12622050323310605,
                  0.24687327754250557,
                  0.3273044236617829,
                  0.16160314785950283,
                  0.24442276438739619,
                  0.29860371209786934
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2321712569752719,
                  0.2524320935509542,
                  0.3282371922063042,
                  0.2080510527204272,
                  0.37335240843419515,
                  0.13503778151120938,
                  0.13066366977609367,
                  0.14909394031843104,
                  0.1590365847861523,
                  0.17633191576701346,
                  0.28217202201328734,
                  0.29120398881585635,
                  0.19892586722568123,
                  0.2890750023756829,
                  0.21278258652486365,
                  0.16808317298626488,
                  0.1678147817191266,
                  0.24536059695879886,
                  0.13242848447269367,
                  0.2473655246092722,
                  0.3256841862743435,
                  0.1713033705821494,
                  0.25309218616505275,
                  0.30920833128133135
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.2692131014252,
                  24.93533651242075,
                  39.52757344019011,
                  22.041615578993238,
                  58.328586560881774,
                  30.774136021476522,
                  41.87152910457267,
                  31.526588689070604,
                  23.414327947303644,
                  22.02641647720696,
                  29.61782143113595,
                  27.16211969111915,
                  22.825601577810314,
                  43.58867234472493,
                  21.17940446661578,
                  30.355276320414877,
                  24.888603174771085,
                  23.391294669485934,
                  36.78441154452618,
                  24.75845050466052,
                  42.7165729876339,
                  37.33634523587643,
                  41.898114427713374,
                  38.28052608121813
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  36.918504373549894,
                  25.213885084637884,
                  39.72980589042734,
                  22.185467551711223,
                  56.862957203659015,
                  25.335584133760214,
                  37.499178059133676,
                  31.492024194769414,
                  25.446162599620028,
                  24.351122291511082,
                  27.40721083272404,
                  25.752310761447028,
                  22.02126797900749,
                  32.143822464730206,
                  19.64398945013718,
                  29.00408303361021,
                  26.455042118290926,
                  26.585296425852945,
                  39.92910650718047,
                  25.823597992478863,
                  40.464190896849736,
                  38.684489662272696,
                  41.9236185313761,
                  41.82575559088989
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  36.982620382936965,
                  23.838633051960528,
                  38.24442183458018,
                  20.803900363544077,
                  57.170864543603365,
                  29.546023718577686,
                  40.79115527959528,
                  30.199769339007304,
                  22.459379973227964,
                  20.923753365270265,
                  28.593535340208312,
                  25.954687097021573,
                  21.68232815747715,
                  42.575479933627335,
                  20.130039545597334,
                  29.208235289921603,
                  23.733565262954748,
                  22.257144487667308,
                  35.59664160429767,
                  23.576920693259265,
                  41.465226207122335,
                  36.21449716078387,
                  40.696613235853626,
                  37.129233392346364
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  35.60410879364805,
                  23.877321665173707,
                  38.42073474521656,
                  20.84316849298013,
                  55.58633520866268,
                  23.999251204919364,
                  36.18588223999998,
                  30.167351190286542,
                  24.110039099691804,
                  23.012924851605373,
                  26.07480143929789,
                  24.416767087582862,
                  20.678657936237197,
                  30.820383926667724,
                  18.296876985910686,
                  27.674698019352405,
                  25.120829375026844,
                  25.251330376353188,
                  38.62041282525899,
                  24.488189332309833,
                  39.156510632332946,
                  37.373438751478275,
                  40.61870233434891,
                  40.52065404738451
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4538734325371074,
              "rpss": -0.0010642095647106498,
              "brier_below": 0.22816179933300587,
              "bss_below": -0.00613854478127096,
              "brier_above": 0.2257116331344818,
              "bss_above": 0.004013453220888863,
              "crps": 32.39577241213533,
              "crpss": -0.0194048693859159,
              "crps_fair": 31.240611219185087,
              "crpss_fair": -0.025796687648631966,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.069094,
                    0.857419,
                    0.073382,
                    0.000105,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2858,
                    0.3489,
                    0.4239,
                    0.5053,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3513,
                    0.3528,
                    0.2824,
                    0.6649,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.107693,
                    0.85105,
                    0.041222,
                    3.5e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2819,
                    0.3439,
                    0.4204,
                    0.5082,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3343,
                    0.3473,
                    0.3765,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4336843333231363,
                  0.48576865861515284,
                  0.4702757934083663,
                  0.5126131927285689,
                  0.3658334438622144,
                  0.4848784387159158,
                  0.43644498438903917,
                  0.4660181832480288,
                  0.4058087349678991
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45440429936859755,
                  0.4996893316713015,
                  0.4694676374256157,
                  0.4851474746412749,
                  0.3695778516717547,
                  0.46134843598787134,
                  0.4587175183392248,
                  0.46011601854992623,
                  0.40913591732428567
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.269185151334061,
                  0.15893329360755085,
                  0.27178486336950014,
                  0.14394830517711182,
                  0.16638220034805473,
                  0.3253592292197093,
                  0.10663519708660074,
                  0.18019101604047671,
                  0.22934706009565317
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.28197698683632044,
                  0.1606268895533937,
                  0.27005159771450077,
                  0.12976082269322795,
                  0.16816856976704328,
                  0.31212186163928146,
                  0.11734509558735813,
                  0.17565964502977222,
                  0.2307403996875668
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16449918945655845,
                  0.3268353457433362,
                  0.19849093313412602,
                  0.3686648636359816,
                  0.1994512471548023,
                  0.15951922324410417,
                  0.3298097676807172,
                  0.28582715544400844,
                  0.17646168219865369
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1724273214362993,
                  0.33906242122525043,
                  0.19941604378917716,
                  0.3553866281363939,
                  0.20140928562635466,
                  0.14922658740122674,
                  0.3413724014461526,
                  0.28445636239182137,
                  0.17839552547354326
                ],
                "crps": [
                  22.748886448716785,
                  58.85116991878547,
                  28.83029953756943,
                  47.15148230633702,
                  16.96178502737284,
                  27.187428642561464,
                  26.165801648469635,
                  30.240427968036826,
                  19.316107347020345
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.414898254977906,
                  64.32959086872684,
                  28.276745491906343,
                  41.90176665415665,
                  17.45210634999837,
                  21.20567697646647,
                  29.56512126945498,
                  28.81219455813992,
                  19.08962197791747
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.261707365685666,
                  58.31356047970531,
                  28.355474187699723,
                  46.66317002779732,
                  16.471392071336226,
                  26.674567921597244,
                  25.617608431662678,
                  29.747324077306605,
                  18.76614793729711
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.27078635746416,
                  63.18547897121311,
                  27.13263359439259,
                  40.757654756642935,
                  16.307994452484625,
                  20.06156507895271,
                  28.421009371941235,
                  27.668082660626172,
                  17.94551008040372
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4512584181398135,
              "rpss": 0.0015435919949239318,
              "brier_below": 0.20575181291985759,
              "bss_below": -0.0028781945854601254,
              "brier_above": 0.24550660085469872,
              "bss_above": 0.0052194384817877415,
              "crps": 30.828154316096647,
              "crpss": -0.00509211389572406,
              "crps_fair": 30.31899472223199,
              "crpss_fair": -0.026792918195093218,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.116042,
                    0.866689,
                    0.017269,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2828,
                    0.341,
                    0.4096,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3293,
                    0.2767,
                    0.2372,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.098519,
                    0.895316,
                    0.006165,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2903,
                    0.335,
                    0.4091,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3141,
                    0.4167,
                    0.4864,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4313976565094499,
                  0.5045747688359365,
                  0.4711270373821343,
                  0.5106280616543111,
                  0.3546758017264519,
                  0.5143507375852152,
                  0.4233425979546723,
                  0.47440924910483223,
                  0.4135969182550607
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45711327987701555,
                  0.5228102018935478,
                  0.4726707286119854,
                  0.48632031765265726,
                  0.36000922142484876,
                  0.48022952893343396,
                  0.4437914574582624,
                  0.4622549760769377,
                  0.41672003014344283
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.312658708059972,
                  0.12103167362865364,
                  0.28381408189508456,
                  0.1368160282800778,
                  0.17216404499354843,
                  0.36250835990499614,
                  0.10375068913317192,
                  0.14598367504735615,
                  0.22967008005978323
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.327672745916413,
                  0.12390232031217085,
                  0.2843357234913936,
                  0.12426078229226056,
                  0.17554636907660345,
                  0.3409898187361983,
                  0.11447361872080764,
                  0.13726417884950318,
                  0.23160250161103715
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.11873896324923282,
                  0.3835430660261323,
                  0.18731296066301456,
                  0.3738120084291599,
                  0.1825117636494277,
                  0.15184239330729662,
                  0.31959189113555536,
                  0.3284255556431462,
                  0.18392684460052078
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12944055055125925,
                  0.3989078499875223,
                  0.18833501118009763,
                  0.36205951035553935,
                  0.18446285910014573,
                  0.13923972503566326,
                  0.32931781958726825,
                  0.32499077885098343,
                  0.18511753516724092
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.308929453470995,
                  73.57141383835734,
                  32.46949426687806,
                  51.073500300484994,
                  18.281311786724544,
                  31.838035866112058,
                  28.09487347738138,
                  36.768445358942365,
                  22.087777633394637
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  27.884389921151143,
                  80.63911937397191,
                  32.1458902626583,
                  45.81308895448314,
                  18.934300254698922,
                  24.089382993856127,
                  31.57399214997441,
                  34.60324458514547,
                  21.674962226877476
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.768061509388637,
                  72.96555365792261,
                  31.930394822766036,
                  50.52287516690266,
                  17.730948156832543,
                  31.291621245716236,
                  27.4905813940183,
                  36.20543645215611,
                  21.467522684341095
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  26.6154326805926,
                  79.37016213341334,
                  30.87693302209975,
                  44.5441317139246,
                  17.665343014140372,
                  22.82042575329757,
                  30.30503490941586,
                  33.33428734458692,
                  20.40600498631893
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45534475877867375,
              "rpss": 0.0009305187093054945,
              "brier_below": 0.2075997045558493,
              "bss_below": -0.004488745307320796,
              "brier_above": 0.24774504963372068,
              "bss_above": 0.0054268018276164565,
              "crps": 35.38819799797182,
              "crpss": -0.0035776943785774673,
              "crps_fair": 34.819221676671575,
              "crpss_fair": -0.024303111980076286,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.111145,
                    0.875678,
                    0.013177,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2869,
                    0.3394,
                    0.4085,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.374,
                    0.2771,
                    0.1891,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.075812,
                    0.916546,
                    0.007642,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2903,
                    0.3369,
                    0.4091,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3365,
                    0.4205,
                    0.4016,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "vs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6766866935094028,
            "training": [
              0.64900262926596,
              0.6913160459874741,
              0.7071149630872502,
              0.6952475881129045,
              0.691724676077375,
              0.5859955111001097,
              0.651821475712244,
              0.6879899377097034,
              0.6909373525664078,
              0.6984559775508756,
              0.6838459751432797,
              0.6764715048423413,
              0.6817743182165469,
              0.5927324125704334,
              0.6636222749744662,
              0.6233645065054924,
              0.67936453485066,
              0.7532071964731039,
              0.6934359966404724,
              0.7071390051011165,
              0.6811663260076626,
              0.6652576027898471,
              0.6828617855624708,
              0.7066310473774676
            ],
            "test": 0.7213038830422118
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4903778922151586,
                  0.42401100849831486,
                  0.4634316565090304,
                  0.4042906779388866,
                  0.5004147579718332,
                  0.46640818018050617,
                  0.4719042680706182,
                  0.4409841970021029,
                  0.43381352893801994,
                  0.3940541395119059,
                  0.46250123509676144,
                  0.442467942958183,
                  0.3943763852358415,
                  0.5134369486542555,
                  0.3973039226188779,
                  0.49429380790847965,
                  0.428625438511325,
                  0.42018014667192516,
                  0.48899808523027466,
                  0.4243674151086751,
                  0.4843648711009988,
                  0.48728843208176137,
                  0.5202525659547418,
                  0.4133440760094198
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4841864893482905,
                  0.43211227653322676,
                  0.46726961355314844,
                  0.4133434052086962,
                  0.49517500505950296,
                  0.43491640195150744,
                  0.46843031994118434,
                  0.4615278036279564,
                  0.4507439643179906,
                  0.4112834989048485,
                  0.46132142396227915,
                  0.43113185599360465,
                  0.39348648077598886,
                  0.45376143110089506,
                  0.3979353151799338,
                  0.4870804792055269,
                  0.4427426459402902,
                  0.4413062615756113,
                  0.5043370917207346,
                  0.4291046981889646,
                  0.47322848109794713,
                  0.49704557653705034,
                  0.5152454390094632,
                  0.4318922156321309
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21804858683485875,
                  0.18899563923473844,
                  0.1531263499640633,
                  0.17800156793565228,
                  0.1291667154223205,
                  0.31688710454820296,
                  0.3388387558317522,
                  0.2490490989131082,
                  0.29695309481972476,
                  0.23705765181879562,
                  0.2043770969299985,
                  0.14565505695990788,
                  0.19358288194892811,
                  0.21846352540208078,
                  0.1700908886705358,
                  0.2769542110264349,
                  0.26362729032162174,
                  0.1889248386745276,
                  0.3640157220745138,
                  0.19922577881460166,
                  0.20635675908708292,
                  0.2800281383143227,
                  0.3068154062362651,
                  0.1400899761250559
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21174030422618073,
                  0.19619841479634093,
                  0.15424172272022885,
                  0.1829578815195767,
                  0.12686519441989993,
                  0.2991368693701326,
                  0.33516529949693646,
                  0.258453629028662,
                  0.2996408256999056,
                  0.24262738647447543,
                  0.20485988628789,
                  0.13745114213913945,
                  0.19455892996747637,
                  0.18607541359243696,
                  0.16517250798912353,
                  0.2790914479564486,
                  0.26860670947608534,
                  0.199841733546361,
                  0.37247030853563223,
                  0.20342720392287905,
                  0.19448439425773523,
                  0.28112440258111016,
                  0.29865358636382017,
                  0.14850880497700097
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2723293067444353,
                  0.2350153706022891,
                  0.31030530939801637,
                  0.2262891100007645,
                  0.37124804772997444,
                  0.14952107383127403,
                  0.13306550981466486,
                  0.1919350962896227,
                  0.13686043223676303,
                  0.1569964866432726,
                  0.25812413878655643,
                  0.2968128884898945,
                  0.20079350209794797,
                  0.2949734223846734,
                  0.22721303408254298,
                  0.2173395948184076,
                  0.16499814533549714,
                  0.23125530804764202,
                  0.12498236077111062,
                  0.22514163623790145,
                  0.27800811432725203,
                  0.20726029355550438,
                  0.2134371597440542,
                  0.27325410125202504
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2724461851221096,
                  0.23591386173688583,
                  0.3130278908329195,
                  0.23038552368911971,
                  0.3683098106396029,
                  0.13577953258137476,
                  0.13326502044424776,
                  0.2030741745992945,
                  0.1511031386180849,
                  0.1686561124303732,
                  0.2564615376743892,
                  0.2936807138544651,
                  0.19892755080851268,
                  0.267686017508458,
                  0.23276280719081016,
                  0.2079890312490783,
                  0.17413593646420478,
                  0.24146452802925045,
                  0.13186678318510234,
                  0.2256774942660856,
                  0.2787440868402118,
                  0.21592117395594018,
                  0.21659185264564293,
                  0.28338341065512984
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.23937825502546,
                  21.92477745915479,
                  34.145055751036395,
                  20.95054751704412,
                  49.40356889017777,
                  27.236688146904047,
                  35.52345293963601,
                  29.848029881453428,
                  20.8498468381231,
                  19.023719591038347,
                  26.207718401109744,
                  24.878798064516452,
                  20.190295921369202,
                  37.336606618908746,
                  19.078752544014367,
                  33.477117657745445,
                  22.016937126338274,
                  20.576405631976062,
                  31.27706253231195,
                  22.97849001196762,
                  36.14537445237378,
                  36.79095360957261,
                  38.0153752027755,
                  32.438403672111264
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  37.67963057790455,
                  22.20496710719248,
                  34.75982081313533,
                  21.13753139884542,
                  48.18557678760261,
                  22.32572650193956,
                  32.346626306865424,
                  31.241621776817116,
                  22.61030499170558,
                  21.097832161646018,
                  24.67995256390882,
                  23.487277463071056,
                  19.479902990237896,
                  28.364734124030218,
                  17.962347491804326,
                  32.308253313637515,
                  23.4819025684689,
                  23.20117977090859,
                  33.5725071269763,
                  23.546543436868635,
                  34.24491150463671,
                  37.940452233918776,
                  36.315917369983964,
                  35.48547401920235
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  37.09067291529853,
                  20.955511997484532,
                  33.00987171140232,
                  19.82422594792464,
                  48.37942487974424,
                  26.174908177534817,
                  34.55350347239075,
                  28.64765200762935,
                  19.982441835722817,
                  18.050518843704367,
                  25.24779382269213,
                  23.765405426756367,
                  19.143168852337887,
                  36.44120512824246,
                  18.14235536211225,
                  32.437941517708985,
                  20.979313719923244,
                  19.592432522075047,
                  30.219311713813696,
                  21.900813215935905,
                  35.032945456544475,
                  35.761282009295726,
                  36.87884358949417,
                  31.415227795272344
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  36.50287144459015,
                  20.998899899122918,
                  33.5775317370846,
                  19.929442532237317,
                  47.02871527968534,
                  21.1198880048449,
                  31.159766786674044,
                  30.052669445015788,
                  21.405005469023347,
                  19.889668107088685,
                  23.47857282829516,
                  22.28363887309976,
                  18.26867467588623,
                  27.170333141371334,
                  16.748245019311682,
                  31.121321117322577,
                  22.27825379877297,
                  21.996999329247586,
                  32.3879693507624,
                  22.343017093059828,
                  33.06164722156231,
                  36.76418708101348,
                  35.13657544650304,
                  34.30455928634492
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4525621491657457,
              "rpss": 0.0015734176757286056,
              "brier_below": 0.22768050566287892,
              "bss_below": -0.004222871102740111,
              "brier_above": 0.22488164346758696,
              "bss_above": 0.0073740771552305295,
              "crps": 29.106389863195187,
              "crpss": -0.015839726848051683,
              "crps_fair": 28.06778216337671,
              "crpss_fair": -0.022182293546137988,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.086899,
                    0.837161,
                    0.075856,
                    8.5e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2812,
                    0.3487,
                    0.4231,
                    0.5059,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3181,
                    0.3556,
                    0.2908,
                    0.6649,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.119531,
                    0.840125,
                    0.040315,
                    2.8e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2809,
                    0.344,
                    0.4209,
                    0.5092,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3023,
                    0.3511,
                    0.3911,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4872906562241933,
                  0.4351012582100964,
                  0.483286878112955,
                  0.3967953843968164,
                  0.5095733734861514,
                  0.47403509739644206,
                  0.49063596450520214,
                  0.44142485418033445,
                  0.43525995529838624,
                  0.40922187159541823,
                  0.4525186269058916,
                  0.44172945847463263,
                  0.39578194220790497,
                  0.5288088007240042,
                  0.387604217396501,
                  0.4812601024119723,
                  0.4374651812006434,
                  0.41712278733932184,
                  0.49142373412843465,
                  0.3997284395428974,
                  0.49410954085644015,
                  0.47806933006468205,
                  0.5022729696760742,
                  0.4219113185423233
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.47721807577792547,
                  0.44138846877048227,
                  0.4808706781365219,
                  0.40380015096191796,
                  0.4993555212772883,
                  0.4426164174077806,
                  0.480331981258598,
                  0.4511901284900459,
                  0.4550264111585516,
                  0.42678897829098744,
                  0.4461073522201565,
                  0.43108546738101006,
                  0.39205738723286504,
                  0.45279983620183867,
                  0.3844634225677258,
                  0.47723129919406254,
                  0.4494561660549361,
                  0.44303394231992,
                  0.5127476476765541,
                  0.40746562754145604,
                  0.4796834202163691,
                  0.4941518113451156,
                  0.5098585452972256,
                  0.44265357297992375
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25559977188392063,
                  0.18057363626035322,
                  0.15654903504851023,
                  0.19272933807862183,
                  0.13215749522874987,
                  0.3213466854082976,
                  0.3585361441887011,
                  0.2961832256986882,
                  0.29099368813101256,
                  0.24291260260039696,
                  0.165075703164772,
                  0.14757870149316324,
                  0.19420255700993286,
                  0.20384429494981565,
                  0.1823829960434614,
                  0.30917937450073,
                  0.2792835344528285,
                  0.1836267987791472,
                  0.3652319895854855,
                  0.1528556742312462,
                  0.16679209311130697,
                  0.31651537953898223,
                  0.257886497660711,
                  0.12335265732909566
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24504681880265347,
                  0.18895637521952804,
                  0.15263348593021764,
                  0.19574909824149067,
                  0.12600311284309318,
                  0.3075786358965713,
                  0.3496683114825043,
                  0.302096188171615,
                  0.2959898263723991,
                  0.2504570625239738,
                  0.16393533020686923,
                  0.13988147856515373,
                  0.19313152000718373,
                  0.16372483382615566,
                  0.17168083604286222,
                  0.30914812620779747,
                  0.28164138433580943,
                  0.197673345361121,
                  0.3803191632038604,
                  0.16010010293218388,
                  0.15399923394202555,
                  0.3228484407629661,
                  0.25676635913217255,
                  0.1334452416985923
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23169088428896523,
                  0.2545276237512173,
                  0.3267378466929667,
                  0.20406604563765596,
                  0.3774158837439288,
                  0.15268840960775873,
                  0.13209981757744596,
                  0.1452416255803909,
                  0.1442662656770378,
                  0.1663092679781172,
                  0.2874429249387104,
                  0.2941507591898424,
                  0.20157938392128025,
                  0.32496450529378146,
                  0.20522122163402157,
                  0.1720807245847585,
                  0.1581816436059888,
                  0.23349598836361532,
                  0.1261917420903633,
                  0.24687276593767868,
                  0.32731745159103437,
                  0.16155394894768701,
                  0.244386473084993,
                  0.2985586631199368
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2321712569752719,
                  0.2524320935509542,
                  0.3282371922063042,
                  0.2080510527204272,
                  0.37335240843419515,
                  0.13503778151120938,
                  0.13066366977609367,
                  0.14909394031843104,
                  0.1590365847861523,
                  0.17633191576701346,
                  0.28217202201328734,
                  0.29120398881585635,
                  0.19892586722568123,
                  0.2890750023756829,
                  0.21278258652486365,
                  0.16808317298626488,
                  0.1678147817191266,
                  0.24536059695879886,
                  0.13242848447269367,
                  0.2473655246092722,
                  0.3256841862743435,
                  0.1713033705821494,
                  0.25309218616505275,
                  0.30920833128133135
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.27158717215208,
                  24.93337117790333,
                  39.52627831806102,
                  22.048405088335702,
                  58.33419844501984,
                  30.76753801846321,
                  41.858845580312924,
                  31.523359549270804,
                  23.40006720263609,
                  22.0168666505291,
                  29.623138568423453,
                  27.17126130621183,
                  22.82888875593363,
                  43.59708346249263,
                  21.17930956649559,
                  30.347296018615975,
                  24.89226149040117,
                  23.39815403980488,
                  36.77181971162941,
                  24.76646383395144,
                  42.72635804550287,
                  37.326244366059264,
                  41.88564037352451,
                  38.278791750538396
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  36.918504373549894,
                  25.213885084637884,
                  39.72980589042734,
                  22.185467551711223,
                  56.862957203659015,
                  25.335584133760214,
                  37.499178059133676,
                  31.492024194769414,
                  25.446162599620028,
                  24.351122291511082,
                  27.40721083272404,
                  25.752310761447028,
                  22.02126797900749,
                  32.143822464730206,
                  19.64398945013718,
                  29.00408303361021,
                  26.455042118290926,
                  26.585296425852945,
                  39.92910650718047,
                  25.823597992478863,
                  40.464190896849736,
                  38.684489662272696,
                  41.9236185313761,
                  41.82575559088989
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  36.984808039533796,
                  23.83595172023842,
                  38.24260133162818,
                  20.809798667636002,
                  57.176249264985934,
                  29.538627168328524,
                  40.778106593071264,
                  30.1956876534547,
                  22.444779825001508,
                  20.913695220824348,
                  28.59837195023042,
                  25.962924370197467,
                  21.68506737283218,
                  42.58356988075896,
                  20.129622950570702,
                  29.199579244240695,
                  23.73675172456087,
                  22.2633940668353,
                  35.58369961965817,
                  23.584264198772217,
                  41.47452672793898,
                  36.204047945415226,
                  40.68361029919049,
                  37.127288895603336
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  35.60410879364805,
                  23.877321665173707,
                  38.42073474521656,
                  20.84316849298013,
                  55.58633520866268,
                  23.999251204919364,
                  36.18588223999998,
                  30.167351190286542,
                  24.110039099691804,
                  23.012924851605373,
                  26.07480143929789,
                  24.416767087582862,
                  20.678657936237197,
                  30.820383926667724,
                  18.296876985910686,
                  27.674698019352405,
                  25.120829375026844,
                  25.251330376353188,
                  38.62041282525899,
                  24.488189332309833,
                  39.156510632332946,
                  37.373438751478275,
                  40.61870233434891,
                  40.52065404738451
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45385132261990496,
              "rpss": -0.0010154438842342461,
              "brier_below": 0.22814124476574707,
              "bss_below": -0.006047904093606116,
              "brier_above": 0.22571007778496566,
              "bss_above": 0.004020316434681259,
              "crps": 32.39471785384455,
              "crpss": -0.01937168536909417,
              "crps_fair": 31.239042697146157,
              "crpss_fair": -0.025745184664239362,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.067117,
                    0.856826,
                    0.075953,
                    0.000105,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2866,
                    0.3488,
                    0.4235,
                    0.5059,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3514,
                    0.3537,
                    0.2743,
                    0.6649,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.107455,
                    0.851045,
                    0.041465,
                    3.5e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2815,
                    0.3438,
                    0.4207,
                    0.5092,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3347,
                    0.3472,
                    0.3768,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4337076230054263,
                  0.48582631294439776,
                  0.47037669466419624,
                  0.5127827475850769,
                  0.3659007509321344,
                  0.4849916850006231,
                  0.4364237465746498,
                  0.4661441781178705,
                  0.40556827847859017
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45440429936859755,
                  0.4996893316713015,
                  0.4694676374256157,
                  0.4851474746412749,
                  0.3695778516717547,
                  0.46134843598787134,
                  0.4587175183392248,
                  0.46011601854992623,
                  0.40913591732428567
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.26923451818482286,
                  0.1590525301543161,
                  0.27188510044056907,
                  0.14409230131680795,
                  0.16645245888435695,
                  0.32542889969029937,
                  0.10665795057753462,
                  0.18031940974912253,
                  0.2291059831813606
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.28197698683632044,
                  0.1606268895533937,
                  0.27005159771450077,
                  0.12976082269322795,
                  0.16816856976704328,
                  0.31212186163928146,
                  0.11734509558735813,
                  0.17565964502977222,
                  0.2307403996875668
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1644731122874813,
                  0.32677376353089466,
                  0.19849159731523217,
                  0.3686904223480777,
                  0.19944829569210276,
                  0.15956279906039242,
                  0.3297657763876926,
                  0.2858247565759347,
                  0.17646230262616144
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1724273214362993,
                  0.33906242122525043,
                  0.19941604378917716,
                  0.3553866281363939,
                  0.20140928562635466,
                  0.14922658740122674,
                  0.3413724014461526,
                  0.28445636239182137,
                  0.17839552547354326
                ],
                "crps": [
                  22.753531020130634,
                  58.85536129164392,
                  28.834727986703854,
                  47.153389204382144,
                  16.962238823551886,
                  27.18623212801025,
                  26.16954020876958,
                  30.24593381576637,
                  19.30547833499458
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.414898254977906,
                  64.32959086872684,
                  28.276745491906343,
                  41.90176665415665,
                  17.45210634999837,
                  21.20567697646647,
                  29.56512126945498,
                  28.81219455813992,
                  19.08962197791747
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.266162789701937,
                  58.31750081302797,
                  28.359719217225788,
                  46.66487459632482,
                  16.47163957591459,
                  26.67307125605709,
                  25.62108793189046,
                  29.752680951681224,
                  18.755349997972452
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.27078635746416,
                  63.18547897121311,
                  27.13263359439259,
                  40.757654756642935,
                  16.307994452484625,
                  20.06156507895271,
                  28.421009371941235,
                  27.668082660626172,
                  17.94551008040372
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4513024463669961,
              "rpss": 0.001446174941199363,
              "brier_below": 0.2058032391310211,
              "bss_below": -0.0031288569007716927,
              "brier_above": 0.24549920286932997,
              "bss_above": 0.005249414751320236,
              "crps": 30.829603645994798,
              "crpss": -0.005139366482957319,
              "crps_fair": 30.320231903310702,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02683481697115031,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.113985,
                    0.868672,
                    0.017343,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2831,
                    0.341,
                    0.4098,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3327,
                    0.2764,
                    0.2362,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.098372,
                    0.895463,
                    0.006165,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2902,
                    0.335,
                    0.4094,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3131,
                    0.4168,
                    0.4864,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43142460901392876,
                  0.5046412842246365,
                  0.4712407667199157,
                  0.5107994954126609,
                  0.35475551081534135,
                  0.5145072478690059,
                  0.423340099619077,
                  0.4745797111591794,
                  0.41330151432221407
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45711327987701555,
                  0.5228102018935478,
                  0.4726707286119854,
                  0.48632031765265726,
                  0.36000922142484876,
                  0.48022952893343396,
                  0.4437914574582624,
                  0.4622549760769377,
                  0.41672003014344283
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3127216257440853,
                  0.12117550377515862,
                  0.28392733374233065,
                  0.13697369145896027,
                  0.17224600007713906,
                  0.36261181836449385,
                  0.10378688813512003,
                  0.14615195972741893,
                  0.2293701796993829
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.327672745916413,
                  0.12390232031217085,
                  0.2843357234913936,
                  0.12426078229226056,
                  0.17554636907660345,
                  0.3409898187361983,
                  0.11447361872080764,
                  0.13726417884950318,
                  0.23160250161103715
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.11870299806880395,
                  0.38346575127604504,
                  0.18731343815015128,
                  0.37382577900339614,
                  0.18250951766021678,
                  0.15189544513405523,
                  0.3195531938110314,
                  0.3284277329838067,
                  0.18393134103260533
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12944055055125925,
                  0.3989078499875223,
                  0.18833501118009763,
                  0.36205951035553935,
                  0.18446285910014573,
                  0.13923972503566326,
                  0.32931781958726825,
                  0.32499077885098343,
                  0.18511753516724092
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.31467645965056,
                  73.57660007484121,
                  32.47497385202676,
                  51.07585981956061,
                  18.28187329589576,
                  31.836555347048602,
                  28.09949942178658,
                  36.77525807385317,
                  22.074625720687983
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  27.884389921151143,
                  80.63911937397191,
                  32.1458902626583,
                  45.81308895448314,
                  18.934300254698922,
                  24.089382993856127,
                  31.57399214997441,
                  34.60324458514547,
                  21.674962226877476
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.77357447217305,
                  72.97042926816455,
                  31.935647451855985,
                  50.52498433155709,
                  17.731254409060067,
                  31.289769331870676,
                  27.49488678789194,
                  36.21206483341908,
                  21.454161747777533
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  26.6154326805926,
                  79.37016213341334,
                  30.87693302209975,
                  44.5441317139246,
                  17.665343014140372,
                  22.82042575329757,
                  30.30503490941586,
                  33.33428734458692,
                  20.40600498631893
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4553989154617733,
              "rpss": 0.0008116938227781256,
              "brier_below": 0.20766277785823217,
              "bss_below": -0.004793930820510717,
              "brier_above": 0.24773613301334574,
              "bss_above": 0.005462597625176535,
              "crps": 35.389991340594584,
              "crpss": -0.003628551973945404,
              "crps_fair": 34.82075251486333,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02434814579324751,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.108599,
                    0.878132,
                    0.013269,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2874,
                    0.3394,
                    0.4087,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3794,
                    0.2767,
                    0.1878,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.075631,
                    0.916727,
                    0.007642,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2902,
                    0.3369,
                    0.4094,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3349,
                    0.4206,
                    0.4016,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "selection": {
        "SEL-P": {
          "criterion": "inner RPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "vs",
            "1994": "vs",
            "1995": "vs",
            "1996": "vs",
            "1997": "vs",
            "1998": "vs",
            "1999": "vs",
            "2000": "vs",
            "2001": "vs",
            "2002": "vs",
            "2003": "vs",
            "2004": "vs",
            "2005": "vs",
            "2006": "vs",
            "2007": "vs",
            "2008": "vs",
            "2009": "vs",
            "2010": "vs",
            "2011": "vs",
            "2012": "vs",
            "2013": "vs",
            "2014": "vs",
            "2015": "vs",
            "2016": "vs"
          },
          "chosen_test": "vs",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "mvs_r3": 0,
            "mvs_r4": 0,
            "vs": 24
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4903778922151586,
                  0.42401100849831486,
                  0.4634316565090304,
                  0.4042906779388866,
                  0.5004147579718332,
                  0.46640818018050617,
                  0.4719042680706182,
                  0.4409841970021029,
                  0.43381352893801994,
                  0.3940541395119059,
                  0.46250123509676144,
                  0.442467942958183,
                  0.3943763852358415,
                  0.5134369486542555,
                  0.3973039226188779,
                  0.49429380790847965,
                  0.428625438511325,
                  0.42018014667192516,
                  0.48899808523027466,
                  0.4243674151086751,
                  0.4843648711009988,
                  0.48728843208176137,
                  0.5202525659547418,
                  0.4133440760094198
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4841864893482905,
                  0.43211227653322676,
                  0.46726961355314844,
                  0.4133434052086962,
                  0.49517500505950296,
                  0.43491640195150744,
                  0.46843031994118434,
                  0.4615278036279564,
                  0.4507439643179906,
                  0.4112834989048485,
                  0.46132142396227915,
                  0.43113185599360465,
                  0.39348648077598886,
                  0.45376143110089506,
                  0.3979353151799338,
                  0.4870804792055269,
                  0.4427426459402902,
                  0.4413062615756113,
                  0.5043370917207346,
                  0.4291046981889646,
                  0.47322848109794713,
                  0.49704557653705034,
                  0.5152454390094632,
                  0.4318922156321309
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21804858683485875,
                  0.18899563923473844,
                  0.1531263499640633,
                  0.17800156793565228,
                  0.1291667154223205,
                  0.31688710454820296,
                  0.3388387558317522,
                  0.2490490989131082,
                  0.29695309481972476,
                  0.23705765181879562,
                  0.2043770969299985,
                  0.14565505695990788,
                  0.19358288194892811,
                  0.21846352540208078,
                  0.1700908886705358,
                  0.2769542110264349,
                  0.26362729032162174,
                  0.1889248386745276,
                  0.3640157220745138,
                  0.19922577881460166,
                  0.20635675908708292,
                  0.2800281383143227,
                  0.3068154062362651,
                  0.1400899761250559
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21174030422618073,
                  0.19619841479634093,
                  0.15424172272022885,
                  0.1829578815195767,
                  0.12686519441989993,
                  0.2991368693701326,
                  0.33516529949693646,
                  0.258453629028662,
                  0.2996408256999056,
                  0.24262738647447543,
                  0.20485988628789,
                  0.13745114213913945,
                  0.19455892996747637,
                  0.18607541359243696,
                  0.16517250798912353,
                  0.2790914479564486,
                  0.26860670947608534,
                  0.199841733546361,
                  0.37247030853563223,
                  0.20342720392287905,
                  0.19448439425773523,
                  0.28112440258111016,
                  0.29865358636382017,
                  0.14850880497700097
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2723293067444353,
                  0.2350153706022891,
                  0.31030530939801637,
                  0.2262891100007645,
                  0.37124804772997444,
                  0.14952107383127403,
                  0.13306550981466486,
                  0.1919350962896227,
                  0.13686043223676303,
                  0.1569964866432726,
                  0.25812413878655643,
                  0.2968128884898945,
                  0.20079350209794797,
                  0.2949734223846734,
                  0.22721303408254298,
                  0.2173395948184076,
                  0.16499814533549714,
                  0.23125530804764202,
                  0.12498236077111062,
                  0.22514163623790145,
                  0.27800811432725203,
                  0.20726029355550438,
                  0.2134371597440542,
                  0.27325410125202504
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2724461851221096,
                  0.23591386173688583,
                  0.3130278908329195,
                  0.23038552368911971,
                  0.3683098106396029,
                  0.13577953258137476,
                  0.13326502044424776,
                  0.2030741745992945,
                  0.1511031386180849,
                  0.1686561124303732,
                  0.2564615376743892,
                  0.2936807138544651,
                  0.19892755080851268,
                  0.267686017508458,
                  0.23276280719081016,
                  0.2079890312490783,
                  0.17413593646420478,
                  0.24146452802925045,
                  0.13186678318510234,
                  0.2256774942660856,
                  0.2787440868402118,
                  0.21592117395594018,
                  0.21659185264564293,
                  0.28338341065512984
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.23937825502546,
                  21.92477745915479,
                  34.145055751036395,
                  20.95054751704412,
                  49.40356889017777,
                  27.236688146904047,
                  35.52345293963601,
                  29.848029881453428,
                  20.8498468381231,
                  19.023719591038347,
                  26.207718401109744,
                  24.878798064516452,
                  20.190295921369202,
                  37.336606618908746,
                  19.078752544014367,
                  33.477117657745445,
                  22.016937126338274,
                  20.576405631976062,
                  31.27706253231195,
                  22.97849001196762,
                  36.14537445237378,
                  36.79095360957261,
                  38.0153752027755,
                  32.438403672111264
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  37.67963057790455,
                  22.20496710719248,
                  34.75982081313533,
                  21.13753139884542,
                  48.18557678760261,
                  22.32572650193956,
                  32.346626306865424,
                  31.241621776817116,
                  22.61030499170558,
                  21.097832161646018,
                  24.67995256390882,
                  23.487277463071056,
                  19.479902990237896,
                  28.364734124030218,
                  17.962347491804326,
                  32.308253313637515,
                  23.4819025684689,
                  23.20117977090859,
                  33.5725071269763,
                  23.546543436868635,
                  34.24491150463671,
                  37.940452233918776,
                  36.315917369983964,
                  35.48547401920235
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  37.09067291529853,
                  20.955511997484532,
                  33.00987171140232,
                  19.82422594792464,
                  48.37942487974424,
                  26.174908177534817,
                  34.55350347239075,
                  28.64765200762935,
                  19.982441835722817,
                  18.050518843704367,
                  25.24779382269213,
                  23.765405426756367,
                  19.143168852337887,
                  36.44120512824246,
                  18.14235536211225,
                  32.437941517708985,
                  20.979313719923244,
                  19.592432522075047,
                  30.219311713813696,
                  21.900813215935905,
                  35.032945456544475,
                  35.761282009295726,
                  36.87884358949417,
                  31.415227795272344
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  36.50287144459015,
                  20.998899899122918,
                  33.5775317370846,
                  19.929442532237317,
                  47.02871527968534,
                  21.1198880048449,
                  31.159766786674044,
                  30.052669445015788,
                  21.405005469023347,
                  19.889668107088685,
                  23.47857282829516,
                  22.28363887309976,
                  18.26867467588623,
                  27.170333141371334,
                  16.748245019311682,
                  31.121321117322577,
                  22.27825379877297,
                  21.996999329247586,
                  32.3879693507624,
                  22.343017093059828,
                  33.06164722156231,
                  36.76418708101348,
                  35.13657544650304,
                  34.30455928634492
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4525621491657457,
              "rpss": 0.0015734176757286056,
              "brier_below": 0.22768050566287892,
              "bss_below": -0.004222871102740111,
              "brier_above": 0.22488164346758696,
              "bss_above": 0.0073740771552305295,
              "crps": 29.106389863195187,
              "crpss": -0.015839726848051683,
              "crps_fair": 28.06778216337671,
              "crpss_fair": -0.022182293546137988
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4872906562241933,
                  0.4351012582100964,
                  0.483286878112955,
                  0.3967953843968164,
                  0.5095733734861514,
                  0.47403509739644206,
                  0.49063596450520214,
                  0.44142485418033445,
                  0.43525995529838624,
                  0.40922187159541823,
                  0.4525186269058916,
                  0.44172945847463263,
                  0.39578194220790497,
                  0.5288088007240042,
                  0.387604217396501,
                  0.4812601024119723,
                  0.4374651812006434,
                  0.41712278733932184,
                  0.49142373412843465,
                  0.3997284395428974,
                  0.49410954085644015,
                  0.47806933006468205,
                  0.5022729696760742,
                  0.4219113185423233
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.47721807577792547,
                  0.44138846877048227,
                  0.4808706781365219,
                  0.40380015096191796,
                  0.4993555212772883,
                  0.4426164174077806,
                  0.480331981258598,
                  0.4511901284900459,
                  0.4550264111585516,
                  0.42678897829098744,
                  0.4461073522201565,
                  0.43108546738101006,
                  0.39205738723286504,
                  0.45279983620183867,
                  0.3844634225677258,
                  0.47723129919406254,
                  0.4494561660549361,
                  0.44303394231992,
                  0.5127476476765541,
                  0.40746562754145604,
                  0.4796834202163691,
                  0.4941518113451156,
                  0.5098585452972256,
                  0.44265357297992375
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25559977188392063,
                  0.18057363626035322,
                  0.15654903504851023,
                  0.19272933807862183,
                  0.13215749522874987,
                  0.3213466854082976,
                  0.3585361441887011,
                  0.2961832256986882,
                  0.29099368813101256,
                  0.24291260260039696,
                  0.165075703164772,
                  0.14757870149316324,
                  0.19420255700993286,
                  0.20384429494981565,
                  0.1823829960434614,
                  0.30917937450073,
                  0.2792835344528285,
                  0.1836267987791472,
                  0.3652319895854855,
                  0.1528556742312462,
                  0.16679209311130697,
                  0.31651537953898223,
                  0.257886497660711,
                  0.12335265732909566
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24504681880265347,
                  0.18895637521952804,
                  0.15263348593021764,
                  0.19574909824149067,
                  0.12600311284309318,
                  0.3075786358965713,
                  0.3496683114825043,
                  0.302096188171615,
                  0.2959898263723991,
                  0.2504570625239738,
                  0.16393533020686923,
                  0.13988147856515373,
                  0.19313152000718373,
                  0.16372483382615566,
                  0.17168083604286222,
                  0.30914812620779747,
                  0.28164138433580943,
                  0.197673345361121,
                  0.3803191632038604,
                  0.16010010293218388,
                  0.15399923394202555,
                  0.3228484407629661,
                  0.25676635913217255,
                  0.1334452416985923
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23169088428896523,
                  0.2545276237512173,
                  0.3267378466929667,
                  0.20406604563765596,
                  0.3774158837439288,
                  0.15268840960775873,
                  0.13209981757744596,
                  0.1452416255803909,
                  0.1442662656770378,
                  0.1663092679781172,
                  0.2874429249387104,
                  0.2941507591898424,
                  0.20157938392128025,
                  0.32496450529378146,
                  0.20522122163402157,
                  0.1720807245847585,
                  0.1581816436059888,
                  0.23349598836361532,
                  0.1261917420903633,
                  0.24687276593767868,
                  0.32731745159103437,
                  0.16155394894768701,
                  0.244386473084993,
                  0.2985586631199368
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2321712569752719,
                  0.2524320935509542,
                  0.3282371922063042,
                  0.2080510527204272,
                  0.37335240843419515,
                  0.13503778151120938,
                  0.13066366977609367,
                  0.14909394031843104,
                  0.1590365847861523,
                  0.17633191576701346,
                  0.28217202201328734,
                  0.29120398881585635,
                  0.19892586722568123,
                  0.2890750023756829,
                  0.21278258652486365,
                  0.16808317298626488,
                  0.1678147817191266,
                  0.24536059695879886,
                  0.13242848447269367,
                  0.2473655246092722,
                  0.3256841862743435,
                  0.1713033705821494,
                  0.25309218616505275,
                  0.30920833128133135
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.27158717215208,
                  24.93337117790333,
                  39.52627831806102,
                  22.048405088335702,
                  58.33419844501984,
                  30.76753801846321,
                  41.858845580312924,
                  31.523359549270804,
                  23.40006720263609,
                  22.0168666505291,
                  29.623138568423453,
                  27.17126130621183,
                  22.82888875593363,
                  43.59708346249263,
                  21.17930956649559,
                  30.347296018615975,
                  24.89226149040117,
                  23.39815403980488,
                  36.77181971162941,
                  24.76646383395144,
                  42.72635804550287,
                  37.326244366059264,
                  41.88564037352451,
                  38.278791750538396
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  36.918504373549894,
                  25.213885084637884,
                  39.72980589042734,
                  22.185467551711223,
                  56.862957203659015,
                  25.335584133760214,
                  37.499178059133676,
                  31.492024194769414,
                  25.446162599620028,
                  24.351122291511082,
                  27.40721083272404,
                  25.752310761447028,
                  22.02126797900749,
                  32.143822464730206,
                  19.64398945013718,
                  29.00408303361021,
                  26.455042118290926,
                  26.585296425852945,
                  39.92910650718047,
                  25.823597992478863,
                  40.464190896849736,
                  38.684489662272696,
                  41.9236185313761,
                  41.82575559088989
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  36.984808039533796,
                  23.83595172023842,
                  38.24260133162818,
                  20.809798667636002,
                  57.176249264985934,
                  29.538627168328524,
                  40.778106593071264,
                  30.1956876534547,
                  22.444779825001508,
                  20.913695220824348,
                  28.59837195023042,
                  25.962924370197467,
                  21.68506737283218,
                  42.58356988075896,
                  20.129622950570702,
                  29.199579244240695,
                  23.73675172456087,
                  22.2633940668353,
                  35.58369961965817,
                  23.584264198772217,
                  41.47452672793898,
                  36.204047945415226,
                  40.68361029919049,
                  37.127288895603336
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  35.60410879364805,
                  23.877321665173707,
                  38.42073474521656,
                  20.84316849298013,
                  55.58633520866268,
                  23.999251204919364,
                  36.18588223999998,
                  30.167351190286542,
                  24.110039099691804,
                  23.012924851605373,
                  26.07480143929789,
                  24.416767087582862,
                  20.678657936237197,
                  30.820383926667724,
                  18.296876985910686,
                  27.674698019352405,
                  25.120829375026844,
                  25.251330376353188,
                  38.62041282525899,
                  24.488189332309833,
                  39.156510632332946,
                  37.373438751478275,
                  40.61870233434891,
                  40.52065404738451
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45385132261990496,
              "rpss": -0.0010154438842342461,
              "brier_below": 0.22814124476574707,
              "bss_below": -0.006047904093606116,
              "brier_above": 0.22571007778496566,
              "bss_above": 0.004020316434681259,
              "crps": 32.39471785384455,
              "crpss": -0.01937168536909417,
              "crps_fair": 31.239042697146157,
              "crpss_fair": -0.025745184664239362
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4337076230054263,
                  0.48582631294439776,
                  0.47037669466419624,
                  0.5127827475850769,
                  0.3659007509321344,
                  0.4849916850006231,
                  0.4364237465746498,
                  0.4661441781178705,
                  0.40556827847859017
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45440429936859755,
                  0.4996893316713015,
                  0.4694676374256157,
                  0.4851474746412749,
                  0.3695778516717547,
                  0.46134843598787134,
                  0.4587175183392248,
                  0.46011601854992623,
                  0.40913591732428567
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.26923451818482286,
                  0.1590525301543161,
                  0.27188510044056907,
                  0.14409230131680795,
                  0.16645245888435695,
                  0.32542889969029937,
                  0.10665795057753462,
                  0.18031940974912253,
                  0.2291059831813606
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.28197698683632044,
                  0.1606268895533937,
                  0.27005159771450077,
                  0.12976082269322795,
                  0.16816856976704328,
                  0.31212186163928146,
                  0.11734509558735813,
                  0.17565964502977222,
                  0.2307403996875668
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1644731122874813,
                  0.32677376353089466,
                  0.19849159731523217,
                  0.3686904223480777,
                  0.19944829569210276,
                  0.15956279906039242,
                  0.3297657763876926,
                  0.2858247565759347,
                  0.17646230262616144
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1724273214362993,
                  0.33906242122525043,
                  0.19941604378917716,
                  0.3553866281363939,
                  0.20140928562635466,
                  0.14922658740122674,
                  0.3413724014461526,
                  0.28445636239182137,
                  0.17839552547354326
                ],
                "crps": [
                  22.753531020130634,
                  58.85536129164392,
                  28.834727986703854,
                  47.153389204382144,
                  16.962238823551886,
                  27.18623212801025,
                  26.16954020876958,
                  30.24593381576637,
                  19.30547833499458
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.414898254977906,
                  64.32959086872684,
                  28.276745491906343,
                  41.90176665415665,
                  17.45210634999837,
                  21.20567697646647,
                  29.56512126945498,
                  28.81219455813992,
                  19.08962197791747
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.266162789701937,
                  58.31750081302797,
                  28.359719217225788,
                  46.66487459632482,
                  16.47163957591459,
                  26.67307125605709,
                  25.62108793189046,
                  29.752680951681224,
                  18.755349997972452
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.27078635746416,
                  63.18547897121311,
                  27.13263359439259,
                  40.757654756642935,
                  16.307994452484625,
                  20.06156507895271,
                  28.421009371941235,
                  27.668082660626172,
                  17.94551008040372
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4513024463669961,
              "rpss": 0.001446174941199363,
              "brier_below": 0.2058032391310211,
              "bss_below": -0.0031288569007716927,
              "brier_above": 0.24549920286932997,
              "bss_above": 0.005249414751320236,
              "crps": 30.829603645994798,
              "crpss": -0.005139366482957319,
              "crps_fair": 30.320231903310702,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02683481697115031
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43142460901392876,
                  0.5046412842246365,
                  0.4712407667199157,
                  0.5107994954126609,
                  0.35475551081534135,
                  0.5145072478690059,
                  0.423340099619077,
                  0.4745797111591794,
                  0.41330151432221407
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45711327987701555,
                  0.5228102018935478,
                  0.4726707286119854,
                  0.48632031765265726,
                  0.36000922142484876,
                  0.48022952893343396,
                  0.4437914574582624,
                  0.4622549760769377,
                  0.41672003014344283
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3127216257440853,
                  0.12117550377515862,
                  0.28392733374233065,
                  0.13697369145896027,
                  0.17224600007713906,
                  0.36261181836449385,
                  0.10378688813512003,
                  0.14615195972741893,
                  0.2293701796993829
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.327672745916413,
                  0.12390232031217085,
                  0.2843357234913936,
                  0.12426078229226056,
                  0.17554636907660345,
                  0.3409898187361983,
                  0.11447361872080764,
                  0.13726417884950318,
                  0.23160250161103715
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.11870299806880395,
                  0.38346575127604504,
                  0.18731343815015128,
                  0.37382577900339614,
                  0.18250951766021678,
                  0.15189544513405523,
                  0.3195531938110314,
                  0.3284277329838067,
                  0.18393134103260533
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12944055055125925,
                  0.3989078499875223,
                  0.18833501118009763,
                  0.36205951035553935,
                  0.18446285910014573,
                  0.13923972503566326,
                  0.32931781958726825,
                  0.32499077885098343,
                  0.18511753516724092
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.31467645965056,
                  73.57660007484121,
                  32.47497385202676,
                  51.07585981956061,
                  18.28187329589576,
                  31.836555347048602,
                  28.09949942178658,
                  36.77525807385317,
                  22.074625720687983
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  27.884389921151143,
                  80.63911937397191,
                  32.1458902626583,
                  45.81308895448314,
                  18.934300254698922,
                  24.089382993856127,
                  31.57399214997441,
                  34.60324458514547,
                  21.674962226877476
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.77357447217305,
                  72.97042926816455,
                  31.935647451855985,
                  50.52498433155709,
                  17.731254409060067,
                  31.289769331870676,
                  27.49488678789194,
                  36.21206483341908,
                  21.454161747777533
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  26.6154326805926,
                  79.37016213341334,
                  30.87693302209975,
                  44.5441317139246,
                  17.665343014140372,
                  22.82042575329757,
                  30.30503490941586,
                  33.33428734458692,
                  20.40600498631893
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4553989154617733,
              "rpss": 0.0008116938227781256,
              "brier_below": 0.20766277785823217,
              "bss_below": -0.004793930820510717,
              "brier_above": 0.24773613301334574,
              "bss_above": 0.005462597625176535,
              "crps": 35.389991340594584,
              "crpss": -0.003628551973945404,
              "crps_fair": 34.82075251486333,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02434814579324751
            }
          }
        },
        "SEL-A": {
          "criterion": "inner CRPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "mvs_r4",
            "1994": "vs",
            "1995": "vs",
            "1996": "vs",
            "1997": "vs",
            "1998": "vs",
            "1999": "vs",
            "2000": "vs",
            "2001": "vs",
            "2002": "vs",
            "2003": "vs",
            "2004": "vs",
            "2005": "vs",
            "2006": "vs",
            "2007": "vs",
            "2008": "vs",
            "2009": "vs",
            "2010": "vs",
            "2011": "vs",
            "2012": "vs",
            "2013": "vs",
            "2014": "vs",
            "2015": "vs",
            "2016": "vs"
          },
          "chosen_test": "vs",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "mvs_r3": 0,
            "mvs_r4": 1,
            "vs": 23
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4903505331123904,
                  0.42401100849831486,
                  0.4634316565090304,
                  0.4042906779388866,
                  0.5004147579718332,
                  0.46640818018050617,
                  0.4719042680706182,
                  0.4409841970021029,
                  0.43381352893801994,
                  0.3940541395119059,
                  0.46250123509676144,
                  0.442467942958183,
                  0.3943763852358415,
                  0.5134369486542555,
                  0.3973039226188779,
                  0.49429380790847965,
                  0.428625438511325,
                  0.42018014667192516,
                  0.48899808523027466,
                  0.4243674151086751,
                  0.4843648711009988,
                  0.48728843208176137,
                  0.5202525659547418,
                  0.4133440760094198
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4841864893482905,
                  0.43211227653322676,
                  0.46726961355314844,
                  0.4133434052086962,
                  0.49517500505950296,
                  0.43491640195150744,
                  0.46843031994118434,
                  0.4615278036279564,
                  0.4507439643179906,
                  0.4112834989048485,
                  0.46132142396227915,
                  0.43113185599360465,
                  0.39348648077598886,
                  0.45376143110089506,
                  0.3979353151799338,
                  0.4870804792055269,
                  0.4427426459402902,
                  0.4413062615756113,
                  0.5043370917207346,
                  0.4291046981889646,
                  0.47322848109794713,
                  0.49704557653705034,
                  0.5152454390094632,
                  0.4318922156321309
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21802147916425088,
                  0.18899563923473844,
                  0.1531263499640633,
                  0.17800156793565228,
                  0.1291667154223205,
                  0.31688710454820296,
                  0.3388387558317522,
                  0.2490490989131082,
                  0.29695309481972476,
                  0.23705765181879562,
                  0.2043770969299985,
                  0.14565505695990788,
                  0.19358288194892811,
                  0.21846352540208078,
                  0.1700908886705358,
                  0.2769542110264349,
                  0.26362729032162174,
                  0.1889248386745276,
                  0.3640157220745138,
                  0.19922577881460166,
                  0.20635675908708292,
                  0.2800281383143227,
                  0.3068154062362651,
                  0.1400899761250559
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21174030422618073,
                  0.19619841479634093,
                  0.15424172272022885,
                  0.1829578815195767,
                  0.12686519441989993,
                  0.2991368693701326,
                  0.33516529949693646,
                  0.258453629028662,
                  0.2996408256999056,
                  0.24262738647447543,
                  0.20485988628789,
                  0.13745114213913945,
                  0.19455892996747637,
                  0.18607541359243696,
                  0.16517250798912353,
                  0.2790914479564486,
                  0.26860670947608534,
                  0.199841733546361,
                  0.37247030853563223,
                  0.20342720392287905,
                  0.19448439425773523,
                  0.28112440258111016,
                  0.29865358636382017,
                  0.14850880497700097
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2723290553118663,
                  0.2350153706022891,
                  0.31030530939801637,
                  0.2262891100007645,
                  0.37124804772997444,
                  0.14952107383127403,
                  0.13306550981466486,
                  0.1919350962896227,
                  0.13686043223676303,
                  0.1569964866432726,
                  0.25812413878655643,
                  0.2968128884898945,
                  0.20079350209794797,
                  0.2949734223846734,
                  0.22721303408254298,
                  0.2173395948184076,
                  0.16499814533549714,
                  0.23125530804764202,
                  0.12498236077111062,
                  0.22514163623790145,
                  0.27800811432725203,
                  0.20726029355550438,
                  0.2134371597440542,
                  0.27325410125202504
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2724461851221096,
                  0.23591386173688583,
                  0.3130278908329195,
                  0.23038552368911971,
                  0.3683098106396029,
                  0.13577953258137476,
                  0.13326502044424776,
                  0.2030741745992945,
                  0.1511031386180849,
                  0.1686561124303732,
                  0.2564615376743892,
                  0.2936807138544651,
                  0.19892755080851268,
                  0.267686017508458,
                  0.23276280719081016,
                  0.2079890312490783,
                  0.17413593646420478,
                  0.24146452802925045,
                  0.13186678318510234,
                  0.2256774942660856,
                  0.2787440868402118,
                  0.21592117395594018,
                  0.21659185264564293,
                  0.28338341065512984
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.23745959673834,
                  21.92477745915479,
                  34.145055751036395,
                  20.95054751704412,
                  49.40356889017777,
                  27.236688146904047,
                  35.52345293963601,
                  29.848029881453428,
                  20.8498468381231,
                  19.023719591038347,
                  26.207718401109744,
                  24.878798064516452,
                  20.190295921369202,
                  37.336606618908746,
                  19.078752544014367,
                  33.477117657745445,
                  22.016937126338274,
                  20.576405631976062,
                  31.27706253231195,
                  22.97849001196762,
                  36.14537445237378,
                  36.79095360957261,
                  38.0153752027755,
                  32.438403672111264
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  37.67963057790455,
                  22.20496710719248,
                  34.75982081313533,
                  21.13753139884542,
                  48.18557678760261,
                  22.32572650193956,
                  32.346626306865424,
                  31.241621776817116,
                  22.61030499170558,
                  21.097832161646018,
                  24.67995256390882,
                  23.487277463071056,
                  19.479902990237896,
                  28.364734124030218,
                  17.962347491804326,
                  32.308253313637515,
                  23.4819025684689,
                  23.20117977090859,
                  33.5725071269763,
                  23.546543436868635,
                  34.24491150463671,
                  37.940452233918776,
                  36.315917369983964,
                  35.48547401920235
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  37.088904911754526,
                  20.955511997484532,
                  33.00987171140232,
                  19.82422594792464,
                  48.37942487974424,
                  26.174908177534817,
                  34.55350347239075,
                  28.64765200762935,
                  19.982441835722817,
                  18.050518843704367,
                  25.24779382269213,
                  23.765405426756367,
                  19.143168852337887,
                  36.44120512824246,
                  18.14235536211225,
                  32.437941517708985,
                  20.979313719923244,
                  19.592432522075047,
                  30.219311713813696,
                  21.900813215935905,
                  35.032945456544475,
                  35.761282009295726,
                  36.87884358949417,
                  31.415227795272344
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  36.50287144459015,
                  20.998899899122918,
                  33.5775317370846,
                  19.929442532237317,
                  47.02871527968534,
                  21.1198880048449,
                  31.159766786674044,
                  30.052669445015788,
                  21.405005469023347,
                  19.889668107088685,
                  23.47857282829516,
                  22.28363887309976,
                  18.26867467588623,
                  27.170333141371334,
                  16.748245019311682,
                  31.121321117322577,
                  22.27825379877297,
                  21.996999329247586,
                  32.3879693507624,
                  22.343017093059828,
                  33.06164722156231,
                  36.76418708101348,
                  35.13657544650304,
                  34.30455928634492
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4525610092031303,
              "rpss": 0.0015759326208696356,
              "brier_below": 0.2276793761766036,
              "bss_below": -0.004217889315006662,
              "brier_above": 0.2248816329912299,
              "bss_above": 0.007374123397793753,
              "crps": 29.106309919099886,
              "crpss": -0.015836936725734274,
              "crps_fair": 28.067708496562375,
              "crpss_fair": -0.022179610722365295
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4872563109357058,
                  0.4351012582100964,
                  0.483286878112955,
                  0.3967953843968164,
                  0.5095733734861514,
                  0.47403509739644206,
                  0.49063596450520214,
                  0.44142485418033445,
                  0.43525995529838624,
                  0.40922187159541823,
                  0.4525186269058916,
                  0.44172945847463263,
                  0.39578194220790497,
                  0.5288088007240042,
                  0.387604217396501,
                  0.4812601024119723,
                  0.4374651812006434,
                  0.41712278733932184,
                  0.49142373412843465,
                  0.3997284395428974,
                  0.49410954085644015,
                  0.47806933006468205,
                  0.5022729696760742,
                  0.4219113185423233
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.47721807577792547,
                  0.44138846877048227,
                  0.4808706781365219,
                  0.40380015096191796,
                  0.4993555212772883,
                  0.4426164174077806,
                  0.480331981258598,
                  0.4511901284900459,
                  0.4550264111585516,
                  0.42678897829098744,
                  0.4461073522201565,
                  0.43108546738101006,
                  0.39205738723286504,
                  0.45279983620183867,
                  0.3844634225677258,
                  0.47723129919406254,
                  0.4494561660549361,
                  0.44303394231992,
                  0.5127476476765541,
                  0.40746562754145604,
                  0.4796834202163691,
                  0.4941518113451156,
                  0.5098585452972256,
                  0.44265357297992375
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25556553034533286,
                  0.18057363626035322,
                  0.15654903504851023,
                  0.19272933807862183,
                  0.13215749522874987,
                  0.3213466854082976,
                  0.3585361441887011,
                  0.2961832256986882,
                  0.29099368813101256,
                  0.24291260260039696,
                  0.165075703164772,
                  0.14757870149316324,
                  0.19420255700993286,
                  0.20384429494981565,
                  0.1823829960434614,
                  0.30917937450073,
                  0.2792835344528285,
                  0.1836267987791472,
                  0.3652319895854855,
                  0.1528556742312462,
                  0.16679209311130697,
                  0.31651537953898223,
                  0.257886497660711,
                  0.12335265732909566
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24504681880265347,
                  0.18895637521952804,
                  0.15263348593021764,
                  0.19574909824149067,
                  0.12600311284309318,
                  0.3075786358965713,
                  0.3496683114825043,
                  0.302096188171615,
                  0.2959898263723991,
                  0.2504570625239738,
                  0.16393533020686923,
                  0.13988147856515373,
                  0.19313152000718373,
                  0.16372483382615566,
                  0.17168083604286222,
                  0.30914812620779747,
                  0.28164138433580943,
                  0.197673345361121,
                  0.3803191632038604,
                  0.16010010293218388,
                  0.15399923394202555,
                  0.3228484407629661,
                  0.25676635913217255,
                  0.1334452416985923
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23169078053908676,
                  0.2545276237512173,
                  0.3267378466929667,
                  0.20406604563765596,
                  0.3774158837439288,
                  0.15268840960775873,
                  0.13209981757744596,
                  0.1452416255803909,
                  0.1442662656770378,
                  0.1663092679781172,
                  0.2874429249387104,
                  0.2941507591898424,
                  0.20157938392128025,
                  0.32496450529378146,
                  0.20522122163402157,
                  0.1720807245847585,
                  0.1581816436059888,
                  0.23349598836361532,
                  0.1261917420903633,
                  0.24687276593767868,
                  0.32731745159103437,
                  0.16155394894768701,
                  0.244386473084993,
                  0.2985586631199368
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2321712569752719,
                  0.2524320935509542,
                  0.3282371922063042,
                  0.2080510527204272,
                  0.37335240843419515,
                  0.13503778151120938,
                  0.13066366977609367,
                  0.14909394031843104,
                  0.1590365847861523,
                  0.17633191576701346,
                  0.28217202201328734,
                  0.29120398881585635,
                  0.19892586722568123,
                  0.2890750023756829,
                  0.21278258652486365,
                  0.16808317298626488,
                  0.1678147817191266,
                  0.24536059695879886,
                  0.13242848447269367,
                  0.2473655246092722,
                  0.3256841862743435,
                  0.1713033705821494,
                  0.25309218616505275,
                  0.30920833128133135
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.2692131014252,
                  24.93337117790333,
                  39.52627831806102,
                  22.048405088335702,
                  58.33419844501984,
                  30.76753801846321,
                  41.858845580312924,
                  31.523359549270804,
                  23.40006720263609,
                  22.0168666505291,
                  29.623138568423453,
                  27.17126130621183,
                  22.82888875593363,
                  43.59708346249263,
                  21.17930956649559,
                  30.347296018615975,
                  24.89226149040117,
                  23.39815403980488,
                  36.77181971162941,
                  24.76646383395144,
                  42.72635804550287,
                  37.326244366059264,
                  41.88564037352451,
                  38.278791750538396
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  36.918504373549894,
                  25.213885084637884,
                  39.72980589042734,
                  22.185467551711223,
                  56.862957203659015,
                  25.335584133760214,
                  37.499178059133676,
                  31.492024194769414,
                  25.446162599620028,
                  24.351122291511082,
                  27.40721083272404,
                  25.752310761447028,
                  22.02126797900749,
                  32.143822464730206,
                  19.64398945013718,
                  29.00408303361021,
                  26.455042118290926,
                  26.585296425852945,
                  39.92910650718047,
                  25.823597992478863,
                  40.464190896849736,
                  38.684489662272696,
                  41.9236185313761,
                  41.82575559088989
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  36.982620382936965,
                  23.83595172023842,
                  38.24260133162818,
                  20.809798667636002,
                  57.176249264985934,
                  29.538627168328524,
                  40.778106593071264,
                  30.1956876534547,
                  22.444779825001508,
                  20.913695220824348,
                  28.59837195023042,
                  25.962924370197467,
                  21.68506737283218,
                  42.58356988075896,
                  20.129622950570702,
                  29.199579244240695,
                  23.73675172456087,
                  22.2633940668353,
                  35.58369961965817,
                  23.584264198772217,
                  41.47452672793898,
                  36.204047945415226,
                  40.68361029919049,
                  37.127288895603336
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  35.60410879364805,
                  23.877321665173707,
                  38.42073474521656,
                  20.84316849298013,
                  55.58633520866268,
                  23.999251204919364,
                  36.18588223999998,
                  30.167351190286542,
                  24.110039099691804,
                  23.012924851605373,
                  26.07480143929789,
                  24.416767087582862,
                  20.678657936237197,
                  30.820383926667724,
                  18.296876985910686,
                  27.674698019352405,
                  25.120829375026844,
                  25.251330376353188,
                  38.62041282525899,
                  24.488189332309833,
                  39.156510632332946,
                  37.373438751478275,
                  40.61870233434891,
                  40.52065404738451
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45384989156621797,
              "rpss": -0.0010122875491740402,
              "brier_below": 0.2281398180349726,
              "bss_below": -0.006041612554753328,
              "brier_above": 0.22571007346205407,
              "bss_above": 0.004020335510179107,
              "crps": 32.39461893423093,
              "crpss": -0.0193685726439361,
              "crps_fair": 31.23895154478795,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02574219164382563
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4337076230054263,
                  0.48582631294439776,
                  0.47037669466419624,
                  0.5127827475850769,
                  0.3659007509321344,
                  0.4849916850006231,
                  0.4364237465746498,
                  0.4661441781178705,
                  0.40556827847859017
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45440429936859755,
                  0.4996893316713015,
                  0.4694676374256157,
                  0.4851474746412749,
                  0.3695778516717547,
                  0.46134843598787134,
                  0.4587175183392248,
                  0.46011601854992623,
                  0.40913591732428567
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.26923451818482286,
                  0.1590525301543161,
                  0.27188510044056907,
                  0.14409230131680795,
                  0.16645245888435695,
                  0.32542889969029937,
                  0.10665795057753462,
                  0.18031940974912253,
                  0.2291059831813606
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.28197698683632044,
                  0.1606268895533937,
                  0.27005159771450077,
                  0.12976082269322795,
                  0.16816856976704328,
                  0.31212186163928146,
                  0.11734509558735813,
                  0.17565964502977222,
                  0.2307403996875668
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1644731122874813,
                  0.32677376353089466,
                  0.19849159731523217,
                  0.3686904223480777,
                  0.19944829569210276,
                  0.15956279906039242,
                  0.3297657763876926,
                  0.2858247565759347,
                  0.17646230262616144
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1724273214362993,
                  0.33906242122525043,
                  0.19941604378917716,
                  0.3553866281363939,
                  0.20140928562635466,
                  0.14922658740122674,
                  0.3413724014461526,
                  0.28445636239182137,
                  0.17839552547354326
                ],
                "crps": [
                  22.753531020130634,
                  58.85536129164392,
                  28.834727986703854,
                  47.153389204382144,
                  16.962238823551886,
                  27.18623212801025,
                  26.16954020876958,
                  30.24593381576637,
                  19.30547833499458
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.414898254977906,
                  64.32959086872684,
                  28.276745491906343,
                  41.90176665415665,
                  17.45210634999837,
                  21.20567697646647,
                  29.56512126945498,
                  28.81219455813992,
                  19.08962197791747
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.266162789701937,
                  58.31750081302797,
                  28.359719217225788,
                  46.66487459632482,
                  16.47163957591459,
                  26.67307125605709,
                  25.62108793189046,
                  29.752680951681224,
                  18.755349997972452
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.27078635746416,
                  63.18547897121311,
                  27.13263359439259,
                  40.757654756642935,
                  16.307994452484625,
                  20.06156507895271,
                  28.421009371941235,
                  27.668082660626172,
                  17.94551008040372
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4513024463669961,
              "rpss": 0.001446174941199363,
              "brier_below": 0.2058032391310211,
              "bss_below": -0.0031288569007716927,
              "brier_above": 0.24549920286932997,
              "bss_above": 0.005249414751320236,
              "crps": 30.829603645994798,
              "crpss": -0.005139366482957319,
              "crps_fair": 30.320231903310702,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02683481697115031
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43142460901392876,
                  0.5046412842246365,
                  0.4712407667199157,
                  0.5107994954126609,
                  0.35475551081534135,
                  0.5145072478690059,
                  0.423340099619077,
                  0.4745797111591794,
                  0.41330151432221407
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45711327987701555,
                  0.5228102018935478,
                  0.4726707286119854,
                  0.48632031765265726,
                  0.36000922142484876,
                  0.48022952893343396,
                  0.4437914574582624,
                  0.4622549760769377,
                  0.41672003014344283
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3127216257440853,
                  0.12117550377515862,
                  0.28392733374233065,
                  0.13697369145896027,
                  0.17224600007713906,
                  0.36261181836449385,
                  0.10378688813512003,
                  0.14615195972741893,
                  0.2293701796993829
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.327672745916413,
                  0.12390232031217085,
                  0.2843357234913936,
                  0.12426078229226056,
                  0.17554636907660345,
                  0.3409898187361983,
                  0.11447361872080764,
                  0.13726417884950318,
                  0.23160250161103715
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.11870299806880395,
                  0.38346575127604504,
                  0.18731343815015128,
                  0.37382577900339614,
                  0.18250951766021678,
                  0.15189544513405523,
                  0.3195531938110314,
                  0.3284277329838067,
                  0.18393134103260533
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12944055055125925,
                  0.3989078499875223,
                  0.18833501118009763,
                  0.36205951035553935,
                  0.18446285910014573,
                  0.13923972503566326,
                  0.32931781958726825,
                  0.32499077885098343,
                  0.18511753516724092
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.31467645965056,
                  73.57660007484121,
                  32.47497385202676,
                  51.07585981956061,
                  18.28187329589576,
                  31.836555347048602,
                  28.09949942178658,
                  36.77525807385317,
                  22.074625720687983
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  27.884389921151143,
                  80.63911937397191,
                  32.1458902626583,
                  45.81308895448314,
                  18.934300254698922,
                  24.089382993856127,
                  31.57399214997441,
                  34.60324458514547,
                  21.674962226877476
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.77357447217305,
                  72.97042926816455,
                  31.935647451855985,
                  50.52498433155709,
                  17.731254409060067,
                  31.289769331870676,
                  27.49488678789194,
                  36.21206483341908,
                  21.454161747777533
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  26.6154326805926,
                  79.37016213341334,
                  30.87693302209975,
                  44.5441317139246,
                  17.665343014140372,
                  22.82042575329757,
                  30.30503490941586,
                  33.33428734458692,
                  20.40600498631893
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4553989154617733,
              "rpss": 0.0008116938227781256,
              "brier_below": 0.20766277785823217,
              "bss_below": -0.004793930820510717,
              "brier_above": 0.24773613301334574,
              "bss_above": 0.005462597625176535,
              "crps": 35.389991340594584,
              "crpss": -0.003628551973945404,
              "crps_fair": 34.82075251486333,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02434814579324751
            }
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "May": {
      "tag": "init01_May",
      "methods": {
        "mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.44060017529933376,
            "training": [
              0.4977168711690757,
              0.42454536073854576,
              0.429989077198502,
              0.48856373263830233,
              0.3827538923650634,
              0.4644356578535745,
              0.451907611874236,
              0.44578488305443625,
              0.3735169995529722,
              0.43147150188947647,
              0.4569953069490512,
              0.4690593898995807,
              0.4636215887497656,
              0.4309776800407431,
              0.4416464649215525,
              0.4475976465560395,
              0.42181418781192825,
              0.39951740921252216,
              0.4740810406642119,
              0.45716736345882014,
              0.47196270607856317,
              0.4148627220596982,
              0.41579248038136435,
              0.4186226320659845
            ],
            "test": 0.49248386718988113
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4361797370041243,
                  0.4058862129815668,
                  0.44165736608145756,
                  0.46893614914338916,
                  0.48365933300660324,
                  0.36528031095367863,
                  0.4774724967390676,
                  0.4121628768378564,
                  0.4636174122628604,
                  0.4821553916510701,
                  0.4509332254572438,
                  0.4759250754538484,
                  0.4560427623371688,
                  0.4002347112970377,
                  0.3944213418542651,
                  0.4160922362983641,
                  0.4685579321107911,
                  0.47406035615184894,
                  0.46709924835826955,
                  0.3859608783753265,
                  0.410234224314325,
                  0.42204314376557317,
                  0.45249335293666954,
                  0.4572016553625316
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48379642545027457,
                  0.4092445182399565,
                  0.43957138311549915,
                  0.49230771349074187,
                  0.43555754472022146,
                  0.42562302648694494,
                  0.5080006779401198,
                  0.42920004698175895,
                  0.41933455487413307,
                  0.5059169692443103,
                  0.49834907961415187,
                  0.5181492195293991,
                  0.4686082036254919,
                  0.41415381496680037,
                  0.4105326660365026,
                  0.43721557209004747,
                  0.47454134021303424,
                  0.4457952517425068,
                  0.49246560333272593,
                  0.4200387334955763,
                  0.43959782345513576,
                  0.42074521644926155,
                  0.44611676816560275,
                  0.4386533487481881
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12427084107628847,
                  0.15747655497471888,
                  0.2662843126097436,
                  0.10989206041886106,
                  0.2893664927279166,
                  0.1421493957029826,
                  0.3392494789471157,
                  0.190873044039932,
                  0.26152583570946186,
                  0.3674283830604599,
                  0.3033346098228878,
                  0.3724107979336105,
                  0.1573461144748448,
                  0.23370699286292815,
                  0.20565331969303938,
                  0.20617911480094522,
                  0.3258087894698871,
                  0.16185115568674155,
                  0.14177147878078697,
                  0.20665104250441388,
                  0.2671131170862021,
                  0.13502006875854666,
                  0.14038086992776724,
                  0.1814600782558061
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1486890305026935,
                  0.15957983705611672,
                  0.26515951957397055,
                  0.13440473222113408,
                  0.26903883322302047,
                  0.17497266764398223,
                  0.3517219099265101,
                  0.2012677985852915,
                  0.2427211059442429,
                  0.3700488089588649,
                  0.3271684611735821,
                  0.3934624497020017,
                  0.16526806413089024,
                  0.22482850830600154,
                  0.2090872352603623,
                  0.21822924556003773,
                  0.3233887767149338,
                  0.15091232627557682,
                  0.14871428029294576,
                  0.22158160108538685,
                  0.2763719700268969,
                  0.1395057420637068,
                  0.14424447961010492,
                  0.1742319919180863
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3119088992944893,
                  0.24840965995655945,
                  0.17537305038035644,
                  0.35904409138304977,
                  0.19429283790435234,
                  0.22313091384834874,
                  0.13822301552033123,
                  0.221289833419785,
                  0.20209157569727182,
                  0.114727005635676,
                  0.1475986157670741,
                  0.10351427399964888,
                  0.2986966520728255,
                  0.16652771848586484,
                  0.1887680214334821,
                  0.20991312179617438,
                  0.1427491391096786,
                  0.31220920408295755,
                  0.3253277747240715,
                  0.17930983619211524,
                  0.14312110521838362,
                  0.28702307851795766,
                  0.3121124871009801,
                  0.27574157908875224
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.335107394947581,
                  0.2496646811838396,
                  0.17441186354152854,
                  0.3579029812696076,
                  0.16651871149720093,
                  0.25065035884296283,
                  0.15627876801360963,
                  0.2279322483964675,
                  0.17661344892989023,
                  0.1358681602854453,
                  0.1711806184405697,
                  0.1246867698273974,
                  0.3033401394946015,
                  0.18932530666079878,
                  0.20144543077614047,
                  0.21898632653000982,
                  0.1511525634981004,
                  0.2948829254669299,
                  0.34375132303978007,
                  0.19845713241018942,
                  0.16322585342823875,
                  0.2812394743855545,
                  0.3018722885554977,
                  0.26442135683010176
                ],
                "crps": [
                  37.601146093501,
                  21.514533147523576,
                  23.100969254414764,
                  38.70740632435169,
                  31.457582882136595,
                  27.59664933488656,
                  29.6840139053892,
                  28.189852262782892,
                  27.58667077554093,
                  32.6278046731026,
                  36.517784844434516,
                  34.381862017273164,
                  36.61296172411433,
                  20.99548827894514,
                  18.53330162785317,
                  24.13990381804461,
                  32.9377627202067,
                  30.247676105527812,
                  33.39351613718538,
                  22.026448241974666,
                  20.501988375779433,
                  27.525427237148502,
                  26.765738375102742,
                  37.68892500277776
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.020024728322674,
                  21.448525813210054,
                  22.78149906153667,
                  40.260929033155925,
                  26.097483790882205,
                  31.28014052033751,
                  31.163472836911914,
                  28.532988344141607,
                  22.4881671443468,
                  33.30223791866152,
                  38.914475844978014,
                  36.65291642943651,
                  37.012399644922205,
                  21.0715036309059,
                  19.421633376089535,
                  25.95245873564678,
                  32.431284736623724,
                  27.237411349811385,
                  34.783327845010966,
                  24.37312939124498,
                  22.62079141939543,
                  26.403578528831584,
                  24.754875196268976,
                  35.2785795224593
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  36.59083034303788,
                  20.467663199866653,
                  22.092949617122283,
                  37.66325040916715,
                  30.327439228286277,
                  26.19223017824841,
                  28.604135057908028,
                  27.14652786077058,
                  26.4944737443433,
                  31.74387687063768,
                  35.50534331220039,
                  33.311978034507305,
                  35.512187101111074,
                  19.99199615965284,
                  17.49678926298519,
                  23.1698082083696,
                  31.88303425306546,
                  29.191545347232868,
                  32.27383179864661,
                  20.97676184684469,
                  19.555941096061556,
                  26.50554004504501,
                  25.67263842851046,
                  36.69910133356642
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.81760619865787,
                  20.209040050751465,
                  21.544537869624175,
                  39.057072822250305,
                  24.86680287307832,
                  30.059275240278804,
                  29.942386595331577,
                  27.306920124355255,
                  21.250650399560836,
                  32.08520236852387,
                  37.708069533337195,
                  35.44222686132686,
                  35.802390916235844,
                  19.831303811283878,
                  18.178308802197026,
                  24.72150314917766,
                  31.212599653944352,
                  26.00888938571759,
                  33.56909738943082,
                  23.139182650714517,
                  21.383525856948573,
                  25.17347733591019,
                  23.521651459157113,
                  34.065287043540984
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4403461429472891,
              "rpss": 0.028068941568812122,
              "brier_below": 0.22030016455524534,
              "bss_below": 0.027121672866629476,
              "brier_above": 0.22004597877625776,
              "bss_above": 0.029015456748844204,
              "crps": 29.180642214999907,
              "crpss": 0.007016213102679414,
              "crps_fair": 28.127911364049485,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0012237598981478248,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.043227,
                    0.243451,
                    0.549899,
                    0.154251,
                    0.009172,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.168,
                    0.2678,
                    0.3514,
                    0.4387,
                    0.5188,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2708,
                    0.2486,
                    0.3472,
                    0.5084,
                    0.5376,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.003152,
                    0.342706,
                    0.516395,
                    0.131437,
                    0.00631,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1831,
                    0.2666,
                    0.3458,
                    0.4352,
                    0.5256,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0985,
                    0.2356,
                    0.4006,
                    0.4349,
                    0.3178,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4343809574276963,
                  0.40970094011535757,
                  0.45354757870978507,
                  0.46951920111011725,
                  0.4996384798454943,
                  0.37090688442826314,
                  0.4806817674849668,
                  0.4119664293782143,
                  0.4603447701138098,
                  0.46908042758836926,
                  0.4586726096027379,
                  0.45941675100531526,
                  0.4643759317661292,
                  0.39401722169662906,
                  0.39779945056537996,
                  0.4133439484201318,
                  0.43923333032500883,
                  0.49403801619765714,
                  0.4586087462406806,
                  0.40270602467031624,
                  0.4243505201252967,
                  0.3853222365877207,
                  0.42406041428271085,
                  0.43151290770376577
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.49437539090627697,
                  0.4168566772832407,
                  0.4486709640647092,
                  0.4847577310044162,
                  0.43516099460219937,
                  0.43793409134412314,
                  0.5147582977112791,
                  0.4303171235139481,
                  0.4229232245943106,
                  0.4962901559944268,
                  0.4835339378652304,
                  0.5177419591426511,
                  0.480519408811397,
                  0.41521563451139964,
                  0.4111900418851686,
                  0.4385534564918021,
                  0.450828231785355,
                  0.4608642354043224,
                  0.4922437525963176,
                  0.4274278750849338,
                  0.4559815600542986,
                  0.40371875906622984,
                  0.42922661105308396,
                  0.4317576224635311
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11300940239706414,
                  0.1575877903388164,
                  0.29122525114405956,
                  0.11358519779098136,
                  0.32849115551991603,
                  0.12766733972763322,
                  0.3640042347711072,
                  0.18132678238735184,
                  0.25702428075246764,
                  0.34896003589151453,
                  0.2873558688183764,
                  0.36351375354771925,
                  0.12900145621896694,
                  0.24769026741514968,
                  0.1923941571996249,
                  0.2273132466337452,
                  0.28636318064965316,
                  0.1622724498533033,
                  0.13307572881034638,
                  0.19577946229161422,
                  0.2820518916098519,
                  0.12977229371877888,
                  0.13747353997567582,
                  0.18975812967027783
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14363670405630363,
                  0.16043703631938833,
                  0.29038517317263285,
                  0.13862471986154154,
                  0.30020644958728243,
                  0.16185293338985707,
                  0.37978966109660023,
                  0.19377292517241115,
                  0.2391585680777915,
                  0.35432676750950187,
                  0.29506343410879565,
                  0.39369318119959756,
                  0.13799918906670955,
                  0.24301711518771762,
                  0.194872770227869,
                  0.2392146050074173,
                  0.2889277100035999,
                  0.14984581855104542,
                  0.14399065578171724,
                  0.20692869803465133,
                  0.2938553435029786,
                  0.14597088977697037,
                  0.15030670047984934,
                  0.1912536118758716
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3213715584932485,
                  0.25211315234023884,
                  0.16232232361030802,
                  0.3559340056906074,
                  0.17114732030691462,
                  0.2432395435368253,
                  0.11667752962478346,
                  0.23063964782064483,
                  0.20332048842717407,
                  0.12012038852505608,
                  0.1713167412801189,
                  0.09590299449486324,
                  0.33537448159606076,
                  0.14632695354572398,
                  0.20540529337247063,
                  0.18603070097154945,
                  0.15287014674668384,
                  0.331765570864533,
                  0.3255330228563717,
                  0.20692656361543327,
                  0.14229862640782814,
                  0.25554994531154507,
                  0.2865868774929445,
                  0.2417547794739002
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3507386868499732,
                  0.2564196409638524,
                  0.15828579089207648,
                  0.3461330111428746,
                  0.13495454501491694,
                  0.27608115795426597,
                  0.13496863661467878,
                  0.23654419834153687,
                  0.18376465651651905,
                  0.14196338848492485,
                  0.18847050375643457,
                  0.12404877794305337,
                  0.3425202197446874,
                  0.17219851932368202,
                  0.21631727165729955,
                  0.19933885148438457,
                  0.16190052178175499,
                  0.311018416853277,
                  0.3482530968146003,
                  0.2204991770502825,
                  0.16212621655131992,
                  0.25774786928925947,
                  0.2789199105732345,
                  0.24050401058765938
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.80448535179835,
                  20.958339377845963,
                  22.150714503323172,
                  34.004355517973636,
                  31.194174137207277,
                  29.712681831384813,
                  29.62759594949667,
                  29.846706637525244,
                  25.933668407877775,
                  27.299623978386613,
                  34.99290881402291,
                  29.550073131009608,
                  38.458917167901284,
                  19.210869196003774,
                  18.161642142355486,
                  22.341267404585736,
                  25.843193325858408,
                  32.613961455744885,
                  33.402454331011896,
                  22.87804472738271,
                  21.053935752991055,
                  21.715138993093962,
                  22.781723129028215,
                  31.89779023710861
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  43.37178027376942,
                  21.501276481843064,
                  21.900922266147205,
                  34.64784790271436,
                  24.18479246211019,
                  33.95501098290476,
                  30.876003604678242,
                  30.0955743034625,
                  21.90260855629733,
                  28.91912121285049,
                  35.684873143507424,
                  34.02165477671757,
                  39.39428031618274,
                  19.59039199842729,
                  18.990086568686042,
                  24.278476343760428,
                  26.580082606240403,
                  29.075115209849926,
                  35.51958399608971,
                  24.51316698814712,
                  23.302097161538715,
                  22.106953557356544,
                  22.157169147924144,
                  30.82213397746837
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  37.833667597060895,
                  19.977012736372224,
                  21.163286007322736,
                  33.02110092948734,
                  30.087598245451346,
                  28.279350713621604,
                  28.624918169743705,
                  28.83006708715542,
                  24.918295434180177,
                  26.419507120110158,
                  33.9993702279926,
                  28.558823757628183,
                  37.395913019198105,
                  18.29707954223843,
                  17.145168319140353,
                  21.386987756989004,
                  24.838676815416417,
                  31.625976549769323,
                  32.340603233203225,
                  21.81890386313541,
                  20.171594058688445,
                  20.74617729941726,
                  21.73255555014356,
                  30.97671370067456
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.22444201921457,
                  20.312516818591376,
                  20.712919507790033,
                  33.4839870489719,
                  23.00111521548781,
                  32.78983793802633,
                  29.704999106431927,
                  28.923091719418437,
                  20.71460899167151,
                  27.744410497952995,
                  34.52297635272103,
                  32.856607951145584,
                  38.239408917768856,
                  18.39801323577521,
                  17.79657086393218,
                  23.094976528732072,
                  25.400941893981894,
                  27.900699938128565,
                  34.357374157675615,
                  23.330111662975558,
                  22.116748143513725,
                  20.919341009778186,
                  20.969651705630948,
                  29.651027453412944
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4378010643913148,
              "rpss": 0.03433759950197157,
              "brier_below": 0.21861237071391648,
              "bss_below": 0.03502468044006801,
              "brier_above": 0.21918869401690952,
              "bss_above": 0.03365134837408701,
              "crps": 27.684761062538254,
              "crpss": 0.019127414247210317,
              "crps_fair": 26.674556155589187,
              "crpss_fair": 0.013828551877347883,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.044903,
                    0.260726,
                    0.548419,
                    0.138772,
                    0.007179,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1675,
                    0.2678,
                    0.3503,
                    0.4387,
                    0.5194,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2698,
                    0.2347,
                    0.3499,
                    0.5591,
                    0.567,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.003943,
                    0.342727,
                    0.505714,
                    0.140315,
                    0.007301,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1835,
                    0.2663,
                    0.3465,
                    0.4354,
                    0.5255,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1064,
                    0.2277,
                    0.4029,
                    0.4482,
                    0.3593,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.41718217503471505,
                  0.38334616149518685,
                  0.4097237861910437,
                  0.3665312084777004,
                  0.5624769537413368,
                  0.4934587128379939,
                  0.44024328913065486,
                  0.38127871239944117,
                  0.378171340823357
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41681340526104765,
                  0.3968896486256332,
                  0.44958360017849514,
                  0.35804433985378564,
                  0.4471463112198149,
                  0.5122663910735067,
                  0.4543752964485836,
                  0.42786813017995795,
                  0.3843495388628952
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.14408111187423653,
                  0.17120058555895074,
                  0.14055022471683445,
                  0.1882092254824753,
                  0.18885121227750595,
                  0.3746883439126786,
                  0.1847534416654294,
                  0.19046929361921622,
                  0.1858873296727181
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1537283464726754,
                  0.17358359397220136,
                  0.16662484622008197,
                  0.1786226180553693,
                  0.13512806220217702,
                  0.380643435281862,
                  0.1985048619852425,
                  0.21127913186924527,
                  0.19518105636532365
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.27310105721039757,
                  0.2121455749960811,
                  0.26917355117729874,
                  0.17832198868668156,
                  0.37362572068560324,
                  0.11877038298293757,
                  0.2554898415281136,
                  0.1908094193108396,
                  0.19228401686339464
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.26308505148152844,
                  0.22330605445962728,
                  0.28295874309787594,
                  0.1794217294517412,
                  0.3120182329608584,
                  0.1316229719920535,
                  0.2558704284465724,
                  0.21658899931801134,
                  0.18916848840804004
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.804632115964584,
                  20.971448731734412,
                  22.572896509219525,
                  18.433182359703476,
                  37.39735599954741,
                  29.565701505545267,
                  34.72191660363257,
                  21.144979424557768,
                  17.97469192699448
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  28.651401710657833,
                  23.137073630807937,
                  25.546918877724035,
                  16.71985993169564,
                  26.342378056626497,
                  30.48061723060857,
                  36.05720221353726,
                  25.132273144091883,
                  17.88814189543166
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.260643669030898,
                  20.47500406798676,
                  22.072013866537173,
                  17.913210747032224,
                  36.94557954725444,
                  29.087045492024966,
                  34.19237612383939,
                  20.58782101852575,
                  17.449241163741064
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.477969404422883,
                  21.96364132457299,
                  24.373486571489074,
                  15.54642762546069,
                  25.168945750391543,
                  29.307184924373615,
                  34.883769907302295,
                  23.958840837856933,
                  16.7147095891967
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4258235933479366,
              "rpss": 0.0038791306518211055,
              "brier_below": 0.19652119653111613,
              "bss_below": 0.013720648625159648,
              "brier_above": 0.22930239482681639,
              "bss_above": -0.0047130778990149835,
              "crps": 25.73186724187772,
              "crpss": -0.007092397811743645,
              "crps_fair": 25.22032618844141,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03458584103198303,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.039739,
                    0.208992,
                    0.555694,
                    0.188681,
                    0.006895,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.171,
                    0.2758,
                    0.3433,
                    0.4315,
                    0.5176,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1452,
                    0.1437,
                    0.3029,
                    0.3169,
                    0.0758,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.005544,
                    0.354363,
                    0.571368,
                    0.068725,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1952,
                    0.2649,
                    0.3411,
                    0.4189,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5279,
                    0.3271,
                    0.3452,
                    0.5132,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.39318441182704417,
                  0.39806743580095766,
                  0.420430924795584,
                  0.3589187521373597,
                  0.5862357000518719,
                  0.4906971059568246,
                  0.4303890628932854,
                  0.39023149508524735,
                  0.3799759654015835
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3926693889383013,
                  0.4114451388592465,
                  0.45220746468297834,
                  0.35459846800139766,
                  0.45742844862366916,
                  0.4946776530210055,
                  0.43965375579576726,
                  0.4348886780374634,
                  0.38790029597661657
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.14680818578813973,
                  0.1693810193086664,
                  0.12042316165456513,
                  0.18652152455227908,
                  0.19042424783680065,
                  0.3624553399540104,
                  0.17362450896781925,
                  0.16682099923625593,
                  0.17656652593789918
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15998253217177613,
                  0.17105689846078106,
                  0.1392449460838094,
                  0.183142176931826,
                  0.13260511376460096,
                  0.35817297776338486,
                  0.1832669693137368,
                  0.1859425910614453,
                  0.18724407041419502
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2463762250819669,
                  0.2286864129464472,
                  0.30000774840257405,
                  0.17239723559476966,
                  0.3958114285813571,
                  0.12824177967280764,
                  0.25676454832154993,
                  0.22341049170292096,
                  0.20340944339752112
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23268685489530255,
                  0.24038823715012841,
                  0.31296250237354123,
                  0.1714563001472262,
                  0.32482331651256174,
                  0.1365046905851106,
                  0.2563867803729307,
                  0.2489460821974191,
                  0.2006562294187215
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.8351761869725,
                  22.8426175378152,
                  23.29891318711543,
                  17.493010161095537,
                  39.62102730831915,
                  28.97086237218537,
                  29.65707659697772,
                  22.988460675384598,
                  17.42420984161845
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  24.07942864432831,
                  24.923056334642684,
                  25.454307633176562,
                  16.11428830128599,
                  27.511356753098337,
                  28.831630657415214,
                  30.502158314142612,
                  26.61191098478048,
                  17.3745878596284
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  24.325585809999463,
                  22.362762495291285,
                  22.813630683646142,
                  16.977163472335917,
                  39.19359832312572,
                  28.501189457130447,
                  29.138412829495266,
                  22.433176563513555,
                  16.917634770720582
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.952403681344407,
                  23.79603137165879,
                  24.327282670192652,
                  14.987263338302082,
                  26.384331790114437,
                  27.704605694431308,
                  29.375133351158702,
                  25.484886021796562,
                  16.2475628966445
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4275700948833065,
              "rpss": -0.0059238645729244865,
              "brier_below": 0.18811394591515954,
              "bss_below": 0.004488122532897765,
              "brier_above": 0.2394561459668794,
              "bss_above": -0.014257418725460935,
              "crps": 25.236817096387107,
              "crpss": -0.02587424510019498,
              "crps_fair": 24.740350489473155,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05397936445739515,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.041485,
                    0.246417,
                    0.562184,
                    0.14229,
                    0.007624,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1704,
                    0.2762,
                    0.34,
                    0.4321,
                    0.5204,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1457,
                    0.1423,
                    0.2886,
                    0.2098,
                    0.0488,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.006771,
                    0.305471,
                    0.595667,
                    0.092091,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1949,
                    0.2634,
                    0.3432,
                    0.4202,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5898,
                    0.3828,
                    0.3472,
                    0.5128,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "mvs_r3": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.4346134784957892,
            "training": [
              0.4932049256701826,
              0.41935520782759705,
              0.424714614270387,
              0.48609458486512036,
              0.3764185039055981,
              0.456437316951634,
              0.4468508563900827,
              0.44092725225268214,
              0.3633515310733973,
              0.4262476031432448,
              0.45010991788167626,
              0.4634591762781349,
              0.460180593841257,
              0.42554386814344425,
              0.43338987923979855,
              0.4420554161113709,
              0.4147659383914354,
              0.39285921222698944,
              0.46895948623809747,
              0.45269757419380025,
              0.4657523311733209,
              0.4077077871613052,
              0.4080762495123279,
              0.4115636571560555
            ],
            "test": 0.48700485194307547
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43608244983763045,
                  0.40663986258806917,
                  0.44245971082590396,
                  0.46896844673149307,
                  0.4843046195078657,
                  0.36499198898828744,
                  0.4758646266456676,
                  0.4118897749988914,
                  0.46402688362463795,
                  0.4810825039275304,
                  0.4507587597884777,
                  0.4744032456760836,
                  0.4560373957822148,
                  0.40070263911557136,
                  0.3937529246715346,
                  0.4158135933475273,
                  0.46793219637176714,
                  0.47450461902862817,
                  0.46747468818314813,
                  0.38583614364956736,
                  0.4096941354301087,
                  0.4228098009920262,
                  0.45361476009158513,
                  0.4580429874544709
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48379642545027457,
                  0.4092445182399565,
                  0.43957138311549915,
                  0.49230771349074187,
                  0.43555754472022146,
                  0.42562302648694494,
                  0.5080006779401198,
                  0.42920004698175895,
                  0.41933455487413307,
                  0.5059169692443103,
                  0.49834907961415187,
                  0.5181492195293991,
                  0.4686082036254919,
                  0.41415381496680037,
                  0.4105326660365026,
                  0.43721557209004747,
                  0.47454134021303424,
                  0.4457952517425068,
                  0.49246560333272593,
                  0.4200387334955763,
                  0.43959782345513576,
                  0.42074521644926155,
                  0.44611676816560275,
                  0.4386533487481881
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12441580200287208,
                  0.1581577997588268,
                  0.2668779280424865,
                  0.109946500018219,
                  0.28956738220623446,
                  0.1421261816293862,
                  0.3377144600432002,
                  0.19064946401185,
                  0.26117238303197954,
                  0.36641879123168647,
                  0.30349757293793794,
                  0.371001163848618,
                  0.15739405468477655,
                  0.23428504178115162,
                  0.20499650638717684,
                  0.20584692741373814,
                  0.32527101683131726,
                  0.16205182061118034,
                  0.1422605422493292,
                  0.20669337529671378,
                  0.26667858366307123,
                  0.13556787198679557,
                  0.14115136230260397,
                  0.18191837803110086
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1486890305026935,
                  0.15957983705611672,
                  0.26515951957397055,
                  0.13440473222113408,
                  0.26903883322302047,
                  0.17497266764398223,
                  0.3517219099265101,
                  0.2012677985852915,
                  0.2427211059442429,
                  0.3700488089588649,
                  0.3271684611735821,
                  0.3934624497020017,
                  0.16526806413089024,
                  0.22482850830600154,
                  0.2090872352603623,
                  0.21822924556003773,
                  0.3233887767149338,
                  0.15091232627557682,
                  0.14871428029294576,
                  0.22158160108538685,
                  0.2763719700268969,
                  0.1395057420637068,
                  0.14424447961010492,
                  0.1742319919180863
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.31166665128358834,
                  0.24848206486608632,
                  0.1755817795110739,
                  0.3590219493656472,
                  0.1947372349422284,
                  0.22286580585700147,
                  0.13815016432962451,
                  0.22124031167065222,
                  0.20285449974517947,
                  0.11466370968656317,
                  0.14726118701834792,
                  0.10340207826163245,
                  0.2986433452831209,
                  0.1664175973797279,
                  0.18875641743918434,
                  0.2099666661823258,
                  0.14266117590537292,
                  0.31245280198896536,
                  0.3252141511618262,
                  0.17914276868718995,
                  0.14301554970935032,
                  0.28724193265644987,
                  0.3124634018612736,
                  0.2761246113850494
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.335107394947581,
                  0.2496646811838396,
                  0.17441186354152854,
                  0.3579029812696076,
                  0.16651871149720093,
                  0.25065035884296283,
                  0.15627876801360963,
                  0.2279322483964675,
                  0.17661344892989023,
                  0.1358681602854453,
                  0.1711806184405697,
                  0.1246867698273974,
                  0.3033401394946015,
                  0.18932530666079878,
                  0.20144543077614047,
                  0.21898632653000982,
                  0.1511525634981004,
                  0.2948829254669299,
                  0.34375132303978007,
                  0.19845713241018942,
                  0.16322585342823875,
                  0.2812394743855545,
                  0.3018722885554977,
                  0.26442135683010176
                ],
                "crps": [
                  37.51318602303468,
                  21.580191119160187,
                  23.155495981479234,
                  38.66180764324214,
                  31.44071657406775,
                  27.671422141306266,
                  29.56508037237436,
                  28.16571028070097,
                  27.5862490583788,
                  32.57012917786705,
                  36.550511152062256,
                  34.2427762459413,
                  36.58937270319115,
                  21.034095964982754,
                  18.52479251871772,
                  24.16699288539654,
                  32.88663742095084,
                  30.272051041941502,
                  33.46241047649093,
                  22.03865636442917,
                  20.447790261091264,
                  27.563382070923332,
                  26.859326213361985,
                  37.711777567278624
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.020024728322674,
                  21.448525813210054,
                  22.78149906153667,
                  40.260929033155925,
                  26.097483790882205,
                  31.28014052033751,
                  31.163472836911914,
                  28.532988344141607,
                  22.4881671443468,
                  33.30223791866152,
                  38.914475844978014,
                  36.65291642943651,
                  37.012399644922205,
                  21.0715036309059,
                  19.421633376089535,
                  25.95245873564678,
                  32.431284736623724,
                  27.237411349811385,
                  34.783327845010966,
                  24.37312939124498,
                  22.62079141939543,
                  26.403578528831584,
                  24.754875196268976,
                  35.2785795224593
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  36.49795258242211,
                  20.522998800297994,
                  22.139272887058674,
                  37.61156362578347,
                  30.30152198955094,
                  26.25355621947234,
                  28.475474460108487,
                  27.11527738160742,
                  26.48421185773969,
                  31.68001514295764,
                  35.52941262033888,
                  33.164678285805984,
                  35.48090770344369,
                  20.022889608497053,
                  17.47849287127328,
                  23.18835175133991,
                  31.823487479782667,
                  29.208050139971323,
                  32.3321109354483,
                  20.979031842927416,
                  19.49382723733601,
                  26.53453303010474,
                  25.755922743364234,
                  36.71317925050696
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.81760619865787,
                  20.209040050751465,
                  21.544537869624175,
                  39.057072822250305,
                  24.86680287307832,
                  30.059275240278804,
                  29.942386595331577,
                  27.306920124355255,
                  21.250650399560836,
                  32.08520236852387,
                  37.708069533337195,
                  35.44222686132686,
                  35.802390916235844,
                  19.831303811283878,
                  18.178308802197026,
                  24.72150314917766,
                  31.212599653944352,
                  26.00888938571759,
                  33.56909738943082,
                  23.139182650714517,
                  21.383525856948573,
                  25.17347733591019,
                  23.521651459157113,
                  34.065287043540984
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44032036488577875,
              "rpss": 0.028125838850664886,
              "brier_below": 0.22023587125009383,
              "bss_below": 0.027405601674798774,
              "brier_above": 0.22008449400739424,
              "bss_above": 0.02884550274958797,
              "crps": 29.17752338576545,
              "crpss": 0.007122343284499899,
              "crps_fair": 28.116113351964135,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0016426880581086323,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.041982,
                    0.237489,
                    0.550516,
                    0.160392,
                    0.009622,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.166,
                    0.2675,
                    0.3512,
                    0.4384,
                    0.5198,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2629,
                    0.2478,
                    0.3485,
                    0.4957,
                    0.5477,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004028,
                    0.34045,
                    0.516284,
                    0.132926,
                    0.006311,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1855,
                    0.2659,
                    0.3457,
                    0.4358,
                    0.5279,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0841,
                    0.2366,
                    0.3994,
                    0.4364,
                    0.3177,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43415289653459643,
                  0.41048500112358016,
                  0.45369158038778723,
                  0.4696241679862615,
                  0.5002344014893497,
                  0.3703750753229376,
                  0.4795457634006215,
                  0.4120609567729471,
                  0.4611224683927665,
                  0.46864762317936864,
                  0.45877654418161445,
                  0.4581699084827623,
                  0.4644090035158993,
                  0.3941717454994228,
                  0.3979723646436673,
                  0.41267913097660497,
                  0.43896030476049525,
                  0.4948408299162309,
                  0.458525867480624,
                  0.4024685513250661,
                  0.42363130079189404,
                  0.3858529048039639,
                  0.4247189821803863,
                  0.43184016865292807
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.49437539090627697,
                  0.4168566772832407,
                  0.4486709640647092,
                  0.4847577310044162,
                  0.43516099460219937,
                  0.43793409134412314,
                  0.5147582977112791,
                  0.4303171235139481,
                  0.4229232245943106,
                  0.4962901559944268,
                  0.4835339378652304,
                  0.5177419591426511,
                  0.480519408811397,
                  0.41521563451139964,
                  0.4111900418851686,
                  0.4385534564918021,
                  0.450828231785355,
                  0.4608642354043224,
                  0.4922437525963176,
                  0.4274278750849338,
                  0.4559815600542986,
                  0.40371875906622984,
                  0.42922661105308396,
                  0.4317576224635311
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11308942873382863,
                  0.15827264377856165,
                  0.2911530276912526,
                  0.11366359424350227,
                  0.328471066828229,
                  0.12752814283395625,
                  0.3629285175063384,
                  0.1815555140139699,
                  0.25713438983387776,
                  0.348602136218278,
                  0.2877640315138092,
                  0.3623889434631571,
                  0.12917757352949596,
                  0.24793130556982418,
                  0.19254174046134875,
                  0.2266435587977697,
                  0.2862201561730108,
                  0.1628009273112011,
                  0.1331951563413328,
                  0.19569284607792783,
                  0.28143669999720367,
                  0.1302007057505353,
                  0.13782111701818037,
                  0.18984722924222167
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14363670405630363,
                  0.16043703631938833,
                  0.29038517317263285,
                  0.13862471986154154,
                  0.30020644958728243,
                  0.16185293338985707,
                  0.37978966109660023,
                  0.19377292517241115,
                  0.2391585680777915,
                  0.35432676750950187,
                  0.29506343410879565,
                  0.39369318119959756,
                  0.13799918906670955,
                  0.24301711518771762,
                  0.194872770227869,
                  0.2392146050074173,
                  0.2889277100035999,
                  0.14984581855104542,
                  0.14399065578171724,
                  0.20692869803465133,
                  0.2938553435029786,
                  0.14597088977697037,
                  0.15030670047984934,
                  0.1912536118758716
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.32106347132116286,
                  0.25221235995403257,
                  0.16253854866287543,
                  0.35596057611336296,
                  0.17176333062971555,
                  0.24284693119209466,
                  0.11661724282182212,
                  0.2305054436146736,
                  0.20398807759321255,
                  0.1200454837344518,
                  0.17101251317326174,
                  0.09578096206767688,
                  0.33523143605068223,
                  0.14624043917259613,
                  0.20543062408480456,
                  0.18603557132369564,
                  0.15274014556983906,
                  0.3320399071310899,
                  0.3253307166480511,
                  0.20677570651617833,
                  0.14219459865210046,
                  0.25565220162033486,
                  0.28689786832322406,
                  0.24199294085604137
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3507386868499732,
                  0.2564196409638524,
                  0.15828579089207648,
                  0.3461330111428746,
                  0.13495454501491694,
                  0.27608115795426597,
                  0.13496863661467878,
                  0.23654419834153687,
                  0.18376465651651905,
                  0.14196338848492485,
                  0.18847050375643457,
                  0.12404877794305337,
                  0.3425202197446874,
                  0.17219851932368202,
                  0.21631727165729955,
                  0.19933885148438457,
                  0.16190052178175499,
                  0.311018416853277,
                  0.3482530968146003,
                  0.2204991770502825,
                  0.16212621655131992,
                  0.25774786928925947,
                  0.2789199105732345,
                  0.24050401058765938
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.72391338887041,
                  21.009690227798956,
                  22.18193238913169,
                  33.98516088973139,
                  31.203695927349496,
                  29.776094366514467,
                  29.50578807424879,
                  29.830220706485015,
                  25.9460901925136,
                  27.283209198185247,
                  35.01829358072229,
                  29.43456787149017,
                  38.426583659216064,
                  19.223195088508664,
                  18.17837180460732,
                  22.35131187675053,
                  25.84857581326974,
                  32.65305118313075,
                  33.45289136780807,
                  22.892484233895185,
                  20.990529630635553,
                  21.771592408108965,
                  22.860376477984758,
                  31.897513753950765
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  43.37178027376942,
                  21.501276481843064,
                  21.900922266147205,
                  34.64784790271436,
                  24.18479246211019,
                  33.95501098290476,
                  30.876003604678242,
                  30.0955743034625,
                  21.90260855629733,
                  28.91912121285049,
                  35.684873143507424,
                  34.02165477671757,
                  39.39428031618274,
                  19.59039199842729,
                  18.990086568686042,
                  24.278476343760428,
                  26.580082606240403,
                  29.075115209849926,
                  35.51958399608971,
                  24.51316698814712,
                  23.302097161538715,
                  22.106953557356544,
                  22.157169147924144,
                  30.82213397746837
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  37.74847923676895,
                  20.01998149115122,
                  21.18674934761445,
                  32.99524004582847,
                  30.088244128282337,
                  28.329386903693845,
                  28.495756294658303,
                  28.807351306577818,
                  24.922478927718387,
                  26.396918718345013,
                  34.016776857494236,
                  28.43645041881251,
                  37.35799585309168,
                  18.302455101147096,
                  17.15233440551341,
                  21.38882150814198,
                  24.836398712191812,
                  31.657826659148213,
                  32.38190577636599,
                  21.823465516740747,
                  20.101501853459062,
                  20.79421768479165,
                  21.802081113668134,
                  30.96863271639893
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.22444201921457,
                  20.312516818591376,
                  20.712919507790033,
                  33.4839870489719,
                  23.00111521548781,
                  32.78983793802633,
                  29.704999106431927,
                  28.923091719418437,
                  20.71460899167151,
                  27.744410497952995,
                  34.52297635272103,
                  32.856607951145584,
                  38.239408917768856,
                  18.39801323577521,
                  17.79657086393218,
                  23.094976528732072,
                  25.400941893981894,
                  27.900699938128565,
                  34.357374157675615,
                  23.330111662975558,
                  22.116748143513725,
                  20.919341009778186,
                  20.969651705630948,
                  29.651027453412944
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43778989757507397,
              "rpss": 0.034362230265699845,
              "brier_below": 0.2185858522053672,
              "bss_below": 0.03514173560111877,
              "brier_above": 0.21920404570112417,
              "bss_above": 0.03358366660150491,
              "crps": 27.68521392128783,
              "crpss": 0.019111369437154857,
              "crps_fair": 26.667143774066844,
              "crpss_fair": 0.014102591264443465,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.043942,
                    0.255908,
                    0.548203,
                    0.14421,
                    0.007738,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1656,
                    0.2672,
                    0.3501,
                    0.4382,
                    0.5199,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2647,
                    0.2342,
                    0.3508,
                    0.5443,
                    0.5803,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.005097,
                    0.340105,
                    0.505751,
                    0.141711,
                    0.007336,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.186,
                    0.2657,
                    0.3464,
                    0.4361,
                    0.5277,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0892,
                    0.2287,
                    0.4017,
                    0.45,
                    0.3576,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.41763709342715094,
                  0.3831357552895876,
                  0.4101226644378878,
                  0.36750684958015833,
                  0.5649549104301013,
                  0.4916805530708013,
                  0.4406169784948856,
                  0.3810589047782409,
                  0.3786246323443911
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41681340526104765,
                  0.3968896486256332,
                  0.44958360017849514,
                  0.35804433985378564,
                  0.4471463112198149,
                  0.5122663910735067,
                  0.4543752964485836,
                  0.42786813017995795,
                  0.3843495388628952
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.14431264667553106,
                  0.17105889484250839,
                  0.14112387348323305,
                  0.1890823354675643,
                  0.19063034614064164,
                  0.37297016449523795,
                  0.185126288315102,
                  0.19065170247430682,
                  0.18621957471284725
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1537283464726754,
                  0.17358359397220136,
                  0.16662484622008197,
                  0.1786226180553693,
                  0.13512806220217702,
                  0.380643435281862,
                  0.1985048619852425,
                  0.21127913186924527,
                  0.19518105636532365
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.27332444083400753,
                  0.2120768594813636,
                  0.26899878065285876,
                  0.17842451983756255,
                  0.3743245432554089,
                  0.11871040263410454,
                  0.2554906842927015,
                  0.19040720286203638,
                  0.1924050633071224
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.26308505148152844,
                  0.22330605445962728,
                  0.28295874309787594,
                  0.1794217294517412,
                  0.3120182329608584,
                  0.1316229719920535,
                  0.2558704284465724,
                  0.21658899931801134,
                  0.18916848840804004
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.82976246744708,
                  20.952379912978273,
                  22.610088699348935,
                  18.53668127326368,
                  37.51190963754921,
                  29.422689237922135,
                  34.76908740764957,
                  21.124932460573856,
                  18.035027142415856
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  28.651401710657833,
                  23.137073630807937,
                  25.546918877724035,
                  16.71985993169564,
                  26.342378056626497,
                  30.48061723060857,
                  36.05720221353726,
                  25.132273144091883,
                  17.88814189543166
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.280913045372856,
                  20.452295402139313,
                  22.105397558156085,
                  18.012639905951126,
                  37.05717657596734,
                  28.940337219081584,
                  34.23517898885687,
                  20.5638588787282,
                  17.505230420612502
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.477969404422883,
                  21.96364132457299,
                  24.373486571489074,
                  15.54642762546069,
                  25.168945750391543,
                  29.307184924373615,
                  34.883769907302295,
                  23.958840837856933,
                  16.7147095891967
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42614870465035604,
              "rpss": 0.0031186040904468415,
              "brier_below": 0.1967973140674414,
              "bss_below": 0.012334899762252771,
              "brier_above": 0.22935138857301846,
              "bss_above": -0.004927749261613101,
              "crps": 25.754728693238732,
              "crpss": -0.007987148031469271,
              "crps_fair": 25.23922533276287,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03536111994695479,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.038488,
                    0.202342,
                    0.560918,
                    0.191359,
                    0.006895,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1689,
                    0.2761,
                    0.3434,
                    0.4327,
                    0.5198,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1442,
                    0.1392,
                    0.3033,
                    0.314,
                    0.0758,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.005469,
                    0.354361,
                    0.570917,
                    0.069253,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1937,
                    0.2642,
                    0.3413,
                    0.4196,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5352,
                    0.3266,
                    0.3457,
                    0.5094,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3936349881615107,
                  0.39753247574025363,
                  0.42071854240165135,
                  0.3594749828619623,
                  0.588653267241185,
                  0.48935276426418917,
                  0.43064591671596536,
                  0.3898541807552608,
                  0.3802707691895114
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3926693889383013,
                  0.4114451388592465,
                  0.45220746468297834,
                  0.35459846800139766,
                  0.45742844862366916,
                  0.4946776530210055,
                  0.43965375579576726,
                  0.4348886780374634,
                  0.38790029597661657
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.14693614866484497,
                  0.16891974253149444,
                  0.1208700732612641,
                  0.18695255403567645,
                  0.192050227010462,
                  0.3611078871872618,
                  0.173918939499223,
                  0.16688534265585586,
                  0.1767550150136621
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15998253217177613,
                  0.17105689846078106,
                  0.1392449460838094,
                  0.183142176931826,
                  0.13260511376460096,
                  0.35817297776338486,
                  0.1832669693137368,
                  0.1859425910614453,
                  0.18724407041419502
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24669883858807137,
                  0.22861272963268994,
                  0.2998484543570043,
                  0.17252243687307964,
                  0.3966030162901561,
                  0.12824489075399825,
                  0.25672697167420877,
                  0.22296883398744743,
                  0.20351575806979277
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23268685489530255,
                  0.24038823715012841,
                  0.31296250237354123,
                  0.1714563001472262,
                  0.32482331651256174,
                  0.1365046905851106,
                  0.2563867803729307,
                  0.2489460821974191,
                  0.2006562294187215
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.87705522055668,
                  22.803847173503023,
                  23.330727404260646,
                  17.571048159787715,
                  39.724060200197805,
                  28.848185952981716,
                  29.684649975801612,
                  22.949484701017255,
                  17.475733092630623
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  24.07942864432831,
                  24.923056334642684,
                  25.454307633176562,
                  16.11428830128599,
                  27.511356753098337,
                  28.831630657415214,
                  30.502158314142612,
                  26.61191098478048,
                  17.3745878596284
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  24.36339105456528,
                  22.320649690914006,
                  22.841982563235202,
                  17.051350627262583,
                  39.293888973937335,
                  28.37510282001114,
                  29.16217188127877,
                  22.390483538624466,
                  16.965292780246013
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.952403681344407,
                  23.79603137165879,
                  24.327282670192652,
                  14.987263338302082,
                  26.384331790114437,
                  27.704605694431308,
                  29.375133351158702,
                  25.484886021796562,
                  16.2475628966445
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42779309859238773,
              "rpss": -0.006448514812821049,
              "brier_below": 0.18826621442886052,
              "bss_below": 0.003682307136191554,
              "brier_above": 0.23952688113627207,
              "bss_above": -0.014557029620940964,
              "crps": 25.25164354230412,
              "crpss": -0.026476938734441458,
              "crps_fair": 24.751590436674977,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05445820457784345,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.040664,
                    0.240644,
                    0.566647,
                    0.14442,
                    0.007624,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1687,
                    0.2762,
                    0.34,
                    0.4333,
                    0.5227,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1464,
                    0.136,
                    0.2901,
                    0.2086,
                    0.0488,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.006678,
                    0.305469,
                    0.5952,
                    0.092653,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1934,
                    0.2627,
                    0.3434,
                    0.4209,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.598,
                    0.3822,
                    0.3477,
                    0.5097,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "mvs_r4": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.4346327194102162,
            "training": [
              0.4936053081967823,
              0.4193827441752314,
              0.42486684549131204,
              0.48594737155611784,
              0.37581994877025926,
              0.45683055211750123,
              0.44658740158782795,
              0.44113925901199474,
              0.3636037647448769,
              0.42662358067790135,
              0.44932327738293626,
              0.4633079085171238,
              0.4605031797580545,
              0.42600651020290037,
              0.433750126697591,
              0.4423387642213912,
              0.414692646820662,
              0.3924289294103211,
              0.46872874904472567,
              0.45245118471817997,
              0.4662082179569725,
              0.4076080090220484,
              0.4079891183283749,
              0.411441867434103
            ],
            "test": 0.48761229871413475
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4361131252195894,
                  0.40669397384442835,
                  0.44255073546098384,
                  0.468983176562307,
                  0.4844327939445953,
                  0.36503201801244,
                  0.47575603181378245,
                  0.41189387930981497,
                  0.463930109636479,
                  0.4809191954398564,
                  0.45078904169926953,
                  0.4742294025430425,
                  0.4559519247740207,
                  0.4007665072945642,
                  0.3936106356319426,
                  0.41585817976332085,
                  0.4678161700879322,
                  0.4744143957960834,
                  0.4675787608953501,
                  0.38586047102177684,
                  0.4097575114752569,
                  0.42287499225929914,
                  0.4536772943217283,
                  0.45809306386357057
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48379642545027457,
                  0.4092445182399565,
                  0.43957138311549915,
                  0.49230771349074187,
                  0.43555754472022146,
                  0.42562302648694494,
                  0.5080006779401198,
                  0.42920004698175895,
                  0.41933455487413307,
                  0.5059169692443103,
                  0.49834907961415187,
                  0.5181492195293991,
                  0.4686082036254919,
                  0.41415381496680037,
                  0.4105326660365026,
                  0.43721557209004747,
                  0.47454134021303424,
                  0.4457952517425068,
                  0.49246560333272593,
                  0.4200387334955763,
                  0.43959782345513576,
                  0.42074521644926155,
                  0.44611676816560275,
                  0.4386533487481881
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12443064141331396,
                  0.15819608453527265,
                  0.26697040847576115,
                  0.10994707407914356,
                  0.28966293347132266,
                  0.14215190879673847,
                  0.3376131539263574,
                  0.19065200935756368,
                  0.26108883478784606,
                  0.3662456947550479,
                  0.3035568085884838,
                  0.3708442106994494,
                  0.1573183669261091,
                  0.23433572198192656,
                  0.20484825961867342,
                  0.20588912406292428,
                  0.3251935184701313,
                  0.16196073131828162,
                  0.1423368590306625,
                  0.20673436383757754,
                  0.2667478734157287,
                  0.13557822275636766,
                  0.14120174895467374,
                  0.18197838248111556
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1486890305026935,
                  0.15957983705611672,
                  0.26515951957397055,
                  0.13440473222113408,
                  0.26903883322302047,
                  0.17497266764398223,
                  0.3517219099265101,
                  0.2012677985852915,
                  0.2427211059442429,
                  0.3700488089588649,
                  0.3271684611735821,
                  0.3934624497020017,
                  0.16526806413089024,
                  0.22482850830600154,
                  0.2090872352603623,
                  0.21822924556003773,
                  0.3233887767149338,
                  0.15091232627557682,
                  0.14871428029294576,
                  0.22158160108538685,
                  0.2763719700268969,
                  0.1395057420637068,
                  0.14424447961010492,
                  0.1742319919180863
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.31168248725235553,
                  0.2484978913548069,
                  0.17558032370667515,
                  0.35903610514621004,
                  0.19476985811139247,
                  0.22288010771458644,
                  0.13814287561351152,
                  0.22124187063553163,
                  0.20284127400146,
                  0.11467349766478308,
                  0.1472322332832687,
                  0.1033851882862149,
                  0.29863356203131386,
                  0.16643078535468808,
                  0.18876237516853972,
                  0.20996905593759152,
                  0.1426226479779433,
                  0.3124536680630167,
                  0.32524190710241463,
                  0.1791261075245751,
                  0.14300963600036068,
                  0.28729677315554564,
                  0.3124755494500721,
                  0.276114683337166
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.335107394947581,
                  0.2496646811838396,
                  0.17441186354152854,
                  0.3579029812696076,
                  0.16651871149720093,
                  0.25065035884296283,
                  0.15627876801360963,
                  0.2279322483964675,
                  0.17661344892989023,
                  0.1358681602854453,
                  0.1711806184405697,
                  0.1246867698273974,
                  0.3033401394946015,
                  0.18932530666079878,
                  0.20144543077614047,
                  0.21898632653000982,
                  0.1511525634981004,
                  0.2948829254669299,
                  0.34375132303978007,
                  0.19845713241018942,
                  0.16322585342823875,
                  0.2812394743855545,
                  0.3018722885554977,
                  0.26442135683010176
                ],
                "crps": [
                  37.51318602303468,
                  21.589273338164098,
                  23.171183983981987,
                  38.63964699008165,
                  31.450914454507213,
                  27.665325755886517,
                  29.562325842033626,
                  28.168893377511385,
                  27.587524706289866,
                  32.561023943380626,
                  36.5646562286908,
                  34.22408156163227,
                  36.58708470160138,
                  21.046160579234392,
                  18.516154277863105,
                  24.178964854506482,
                  32.86346826615219,
                  30.27445423027077,
                  33.47713646996549,
                  22.038401723479392,
                  20.45555610792042,
                  27.563399864316708,
                  26.871327657554527,
                  37.716542907606744
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.020024728322674,
                  21.448525813210054,
                  22.78149906153667,
                  40.260929033155925,
                  26.097483790882205,
                  31.28014052033751,
                  31.163472836911914,
                  28.532988344141607,
                  22.4881671443468,
                  33.30223791866152,
                  38.914475844978014,
                  36.65291642943651,
                  37.012399644922205,
                  21.0715036309059,
                  19.421633376089535,
                  25.95245873564678,
                  32.431284736623724,
                  27.237411349811385,
                  34.783327845010966,
                  24.37312939124498,
                  22.62079141939543,
                  26.403578528831584,
                  24.754875196268976,
                  35.2785795224593
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  36.49795258242211,
                  20.53080021256242,
                  22.154060658067035,
                  37.588680076528235,
                  30.31071453364297,
                  26.246243936435963,
                  28.471255456125604,
                  27.117496265428073,
                  26.484091334673234,
                  31.670375899251557,
                  35.542606682879516,
                  33.144783733688506,
                  35.477396169714666,
                  20.034031707153503,
                  17.468974842660163,
                  23.19945264856123,
                  31.799241123507585,
                  29.209570553814313,
                  32.34540406143819,
                  20.977976841466944,
                  19.50055662050127,
                  26.533482218766075,
                  25.766749929349942,
                  36.71688727712538
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.81760619865787,
                  20.209040050751465,
                  21.544537869624175,
                  39.057072822250305,
                  24.86680287307832,
                  30.059275240278804,
                  29.942386595331577,
                  27.306920124355255,
                  21.250650399560836,
                  32.08520236852387,
                  37.708069533337195,
                  35.44222686132686,
                  35.802390916235844,
                  19.831303811283878,
                  18.178308802197026,
                  24.72150314917766,
                  31.212599653944352,
                  26.00888938571759,
                  33.56909738943082,
                  23.139182650714517,
                  21.383525856948573,
                  25.17347733591019,
                  23.521651459157113,
                  34.065287043540984
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4403159746113097,
              "rpss": 0.028135529055018482,
              "brier_below": 0.22022845565585303,
              "bss_below": 0.027438350043072823,
              "brier_above": 0.22008751932808432,
              "bss_above": 0.0288321530867367,
              "crps": 29.17861199356943,
              "crpss": 0.007085299209469764,
              "crps_fair": 28.116199390240187,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0016396329793028075,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.041982,
                    0.23702,
                    0.550736,
                    0.16064,
                    0.009622,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.166,
                    0.2675,
                    0.3512,
                    0.4384,
                    0.5197,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2629,
                    0.2474,
                    0.3486,
                    0.4955,
                    0.5477,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004028,
                    0.340423,
                    0.516422,
                    0.132844,
                    0.006283,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1856,
                    0.2659,
                    0.3457,
                    0.4358,
                    0.5279,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0841,
                    0.2367,
                    0.3994,
                    0.4365,
                    0.3147,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43419261485359706,
                  0.4105430164325033,
                  0.4538049807213366,
                  0.4696458139183234,
                  0.5003955928874271,
                  0.3704210023524036,
                  0.4794131508019082,
                  0.41206534546778306,
                  0.46101129669769175,
                  0.4684697279321473,
                  0.4588343645362057,
                  0.4579530624521084,
                  0.46430441478532175,
                  0.3942417120371611,
                  0.39781484737389217,
                  0.4127349121151507,
                  0.43881610225677126,
                  0.4947271911853853,
                  0.45864097444762353,
                  0.4024942469778155,
                  0.4237068761953586,
                  0.38592973395197583,
                  0.4247679756721429,
                  0.43187335971100915
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.49437539090627697,
                  0.4168566772832407,
                  0.4486709640647092,
                  0.4847577310044162,
                  0.43516099460219937,
                  0.43793409134412314,
                  0.5147582977112791,
                  0.4303171235139481,
                  0.4229232245943106,
                  0.4962901559944268,
                  0.4835339378652304,
                  0.5177419591426511,
                  0.480519408811397,
                  0.41521563451139964,
                  0.4111900418851686,
                  0.4385534564918021,
                  0.450828231785355,
                  0.4608642354043224,
                  0.4922437525963176,
                  0.4274278750849338,
                  0.4559815600542986,
                  0.40371875906622984,
                  0.42922661105308396,
                  0.4317576224635311
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11310881052962964,
                  0.15831091345248866,
                  0.2912684805376879,
                  0.11366556181463222,
                  0.3285911028972539,
                  0.12755649424097457,
                  0.36280322707267854,
                  0.18155864303643116,
                  0.2570338811282565,
                  0.34841350182665565,
                  0.28785044625316303,
                  0.3621936011650742,
                  0.12908396649597406,
                  0.24798663900508827,
                  0.19237932523143883,
                  0.22669480967389044,
                  0.28612350546921383,
                  0.16268681493043566,
                  0.13327599642991028,
                  0.19573519185885294,
                  0.2815234852086417,
                  0.1302114082474058,
                  0.13786854866490914,
                  0.1899064187834457
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14363670405630363,
                  0.16043703631938833,
                  0.29038517317263285,
                  0.13862471986154154,
                  0.30020644958728243,
                  0.16185293338985707,
                  0.37978966109660023,
                  0.19377292517241115,
                  0.2391585680777915,
                  0.35432676750950187,
                  0.29506343410879565,
                  0.39369318119959756,
                  0.13799918906670955,
                  0.24301711518771762,
                  0.194872770227869,
                  0.2392146050074173,
                  0.2889277100035999,
                  0.14984581855104542,
                  0.14399065578171724,
                  0.20692869803465133,
                  0.2938553435029786,
                  0.14597088977697037,
                  0.15030670047984934,
                  0.1912536118758716
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.32108380784157237,
                  0.25223210558098225,
                  0.16253649614231275,
                  0.3559802544872604,
                  0.1718044859546572,
                  0.24286450681513977,
                  0.11660992065534331,
                  0.23050670328665676,
                  0.20397741460412777,
                  0.12005622287154556,
                  0.17098391878890115,
                  0.0957594583459961,
                  0.3352204543502804,
                  0.1462550722811022,
                  0.20543552204498208,
                  0.18604010157270756,
                  0.15269259376418684,
                  0.33204038079801557,
                  0.3253649835380771,
                  0.2067590563891651,
                  0.14218338884202586,
                  0.2557183282728588,
                  0.2868994301767761,
                  0.24196694236881736
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3507386868499732,
                  0.2564196409638524,
                  0.15828579089207648,
                  0.3461330111428746,
                  0.13495454501491694,
                  0.27608115795426597,
                  0.13496863661467878,
                  0.23654419834153687,
                  0.18376465651651905,
                  0.14196338848492485,
                  0.18847050375643457,
                  0.12404877794305337,
                  0.3425202197446874,
                  0.17219851932368202,
                  0.21631727165729955,
                  0.19933885148438457,
                  0.16190052178175499,
                  0.311018416853277,
                  0.3482530968146003,
                  0.2204991770502825,
                  0.16212621655131992,
                  0.25774786928925947,
                  0.2789199105732345,
                  0.24050401058765938
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.72391338887041,
                  21.018772980503453,
                  22.199725345960573,
                  33.95774018730084,
                  31.217459077842612,
                  29.766593215148472,
                  29.502836611548464,
                  29.833370903684518,
                  25.948638608392063,
                  27.272800205089297,
                  35.032526496706936,
                  29.414334603592966,
                  38.425794963146664,
                  19.236152470975192,
                  18.16818861242153,
                  22.364035721555265,
                  25.82353152326543,
                  32.65581742839891,
                  33.46790295922812,
                  22.891618976293632,
                  20.998310297688732,
                  21.772144840734565,
                  22.87282617089126,
                  31.902322697925516
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  43.37178027376942,
                  21.501276481843064,
                  21.900922266147205,
                  34.64784790271436,
                  24.18479246211019,
                  33.95501098290476,
                  30.876003604678242,
                  30.0955743034625,
                  21.90260855629733,
                  28.91912121285049,
                  35.684873143507424,
                  34.02165477671757,
                  39.39428031618274,
                  19.59039199842729,
                  18.990086568686042,
                  24.278476343760428,
                  26.580082606240403,
                  29.075115209849926,
                  35.51958399608971,
                  24.51316698814712,
                  23.302097161538715,
                  22.106953557356544,
                  22.157169147924144,
                  30.82213397746837
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  37.74847923676895,
                  20.02778483646858,
                  21.20357663393235,
                  32.96692486079587,
                  30.10089717282738,
                  28.318597180224348,
                  28.491314327651473,
                  28.80946967295754,
                  24.92353511052135,
                  26.385926798579355,
                  34.03001027584729,
                  28.414907476482252,
                  37.355922643859536,
                  18.31442938112423,
                  17.141196035652662,
                  21.40061518486017,
                  24.810172328285848,
                  31.659632049430048,
                  32.39545574298233,
                  21.821737954215063,
                  20.108195582917222,
                  20.793602932680212,
                  21.813317437819475,
                  30.972328207606072
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.22444201921457,
                  20.312516818591376,
                  20.712919507790033,
                  33.4839870489719,
                  23.00111521548781,
                  32.78983793802633,
                  29.704999106431927,
                  28.923091719418437,
                  20.71460899167151,
                  27.744410497952995,
                  34.52297635272103,
                  32.856607951145584,
                  38.239408917768856,
                  18.39801323577521,
                  17.79657086393218,
                  23.094976528732072,
                  25.400941893981894,
                  27.900699938128565,
                  34.357374157675615,
                  23.330111662975558,
                  22.116748143513725,
                  20.919341009778186,
                  20.969651705630948,
                  29.651027453412944
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43778342982346014,
              "rpss": 0.03437649625328465,
              "brier_below": 0.21857628224808887,
              "bss_below": 0.03518397828186315,
              "brier_above": 0.21920714790722876,
              "bss_above": 0.03356998974330894,
              "crps": 27.686139928631892,
              "crpss": 0.019078560946738654,
              "crps_fair": 26.667001211020402,
              "crpss_fair": 0.014107861890321538,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.043942,
                    0.255327,
                    0.548476,
                    0.144518,
                    0.007738,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1656,
                    0.2672,
                    0.3501,
                    0.4382,
                    0.5198,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2647,
                    0.2338,
                    0.3509,
                    0.5438,
                    0.5803,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.005097,
                    0.340105,
                    0.505887,
                    0.141608,
                    0.007301,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.186,
                    0.2657,
                    0.3464,
                    0.4361,
                    0.5277,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0892,
                    0.2287,
                    0.4017,
                    0.4501,
                    0.3545,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.41766406956776514,
                  0.38320775144447217,
                  0.4102441872764972,
                  0.36758880266664357,
                  0.5648601765440256,
                  0.4916403309461946,
                  0.4406663719786217,
                  0.38110747594738387,
                  0.37866745695396126
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41681340526104765,
                  0.3968896486256332,
                  0.44958360017849514,
                  0.35804433985378564,
                  0.4471463112198149,
                  0.5122663910735067,
                  0.4543752964485836,
                  0.42786813017995795,
                  0.3843495388628952
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.14433957749766127,
                  0.1711212834697014,
                  0.14121620935819745,
                  0.18916714656296318,
                  0.19062297573616993,
                  0.372920821645854,
                  0.1851801006639384,
                  0.19067780842473528,
                  0.18625410338855197
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1537283464726754,
                  0.17358359397220136,
                  0.16662484622008197,
                  0.1786226180553693,
                  0.13512806220217702,
                  0.380643435281862,
                  0.1985048619852425,
                  0.21127913186924527,
                  0.19518105636532365
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.273324486144234,
                  0.212086467009777,
                  0.26902796762151726,
                  0.1784216618416793,
                  0.3742371797792233,
                  0.11871952336431998,
                  0.25548626542198766,
                  0.19042966807705472,
                  0.19241335924045394
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.26308505148152844,
                  0.22330605445962728,
                  0.28295874309787594,
                  0.1794217294517412,
                  0.3120182329608584,
                  0.1316229719920535,
                  0.2558704284465724,
                  0.21658899931801134,
                  0.18916848840804004
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.834202452830855,
                  20.957617452825623,
                  22.61764458473537,
                  18.553956965255097,
                  37.52679554199013,
                  29.424020315829573,
                  34.77845257866635,
                  21.128180613679394,
                  18.044968035456193
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  28.651401710657833,
                  23.137073630807937,
                  25.546918877724035,
                  16.71985993169564,
                  26.342378056626497,
                  30.48061723060857,
                  36.05720221353726,
                  25.132273144091883,
                  17.88814189543166
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.284663694832858,
                  20.457122959519168,
                  22.11251363441123,
                  18.029507189114756,
                  37.071722936464305,
                  28.94123602817898,
                  34.24399419815303,
                  20.566712368944998,
                  17.514619721040567
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.477969404422883,
                  21.96364132457299,
                  24.373486571489074,
                  15.54642762546069,
                  25.168945750391543,
                  29.307184924373615,
                  34.883769907302295,
                  23.958840837856933,
                  16.7147095891967
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4261829581472851,
              "rpss": 0.0030384755497266935,
              "brier_below": 0.1968333363053081,
              "bss_below": 0.012154115246254649,
              "brier_above": 0.2293496198333608,
              "bss_above": -0.004919999338779624,
              "crps": 25.762870949029846,
              "crpss": -0.008305819188567654,
              "crps_fair": 25.246899192295544,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03567591628857425,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.038488,
                    0.201973,
                    0.560844,
                    0.191801,
                    0.006895,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1691,
                    0.2762,
                    0.3434,
                    0.4326,
                    0.5195,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1442,
                    0.1394,
                    0.3032,
                    0.3137,
                    0.0758,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.005469,
                    0.354361,
                    0.570991,
                    0.069179,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1939,
                    0.2643,
                    0.3413,
                    0.4195,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5352,
                    0.3266,
                    0.3458,
                    0.5088,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.39366900530116367,
                  0.3976095049298093,
                  0.42082989617845107,
                  0.35955698186570073,
                  0.588538422902716,
                  0.4892812229398616,
                  0.4306986953644432,
                  0.3898955746573584,
                  0.3803147150856882
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3926693889383013,
                  0.4114451388592465,
                  0.45220746468297834,
                  0.35459846800139766,
                  0.45742844862366916,
                  0.4946776530210055,
                  0.43965375579576726,
                  0.4348886780374634,
                  0.38790029597661657
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.14697169466098606,
                  0.16899132167859862,
                  0.1209489550672818,
                  0.18703963252481054,
                  0.19203585711844587,
                  0.3610333886295897,
                  0.17397783313728138,
                  0.16690587251609304,
                  0.17679284078475
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15998253217177613,
                  0.17105689846078106,
                  0.1392449460838094,
                  0.183142176931826,
                  0.13260511376460096,
                  0.35817297776338486,
                  0.1832669693137368,
                  0.1859425910614453,
                  0.18724407041419502
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24669730972221857,
                  0.2286181796750126,
                  0.2998809263330724,
                  0.17251735739559518,
                  0.396502541849726,
                  0.12824784799297595,
                  0.2567208566772126,
                  0.22298969802336302,
                  0.20352187819332337
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23268685489530255,
                  0.24038823715012841,
                  0.31296250237354123,
                  0.1714563001472262,
                  0.32482331651256174,
                  0.1365046905851106,
                  0.2563867803729307,
                  0.2489460821974191,
                  0.2006562294187215
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.883336033306225,
                  22.808879883448355,
                  23.33853659566726,
                  17.58985184142203,
                  39.740243858418864,
                  28.849816006233024,
                  29.69481258207548,
                  22.952475812398816,
                  17.48661909426288
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  24.07942864432831,
                  24.923056334642684,
                  25.454307633176562,
                  16.11428830128599,
                  27.511356753098337,
                  28.831630657415214,
                  30.502158314142612,
                  26.61191098478048,
                  17.3745878596284
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  24.368921653413054,
                  22.325236222722765,
                  22.849313110433616,
                  17.069710282381067,
                  39.30970316511603,
                  28.376262183034836,
                  29.17173565947401,
                  22.39304506761183,
                  16.97557815918767
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.952403681344407,
                  23.79603137165879,
                  24.327282670192652,
                  14.987263338302082,
                  26.384331790114437,
                  27.704605694431308,
                  29.375133351158702,
                  25.484886021796562,
                  16.2475628966445
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.427821557691688,
              "rpss": -0.006515469184730893,
              "brier_below": 0.1882997106797597,
              "bss_below": 0.0035050426837420767,
              "brier_above": 0.23952184398472218,
              "bss_above": -0.014535693904924596,
              "crps": 25.26050796747033,
              "crpss": -0.02683727678503245,
              "crps_fair": 24.75994505593054,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05481412501223715,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.040664,
                    0.240188,
                    0.566738,
                    0.144785,
                    0.007624,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1689,
                    0.2763,
                    0.34,
                    0.4332,
                    0.5225,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1464,
                    0.1363,
                    0.2898,
                    0.2087,
                    0.0488,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.006678,
                    0.305469,
                    0.595291,
                    0.092562,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1936,
                    0.2628,
                    0.3434,
                    0.4207,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.598,
                    0.3822,
                    0.3478,
                    0.5092,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "vs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.43504069570124076,
            "training": [
              0.49363504712856937,
              0.4202176484503675,
              0.4248939341425994,
              0.4861736166165916,
              0.3759492318508592,
              0.4569578116557527,
              0.44747943273636,
              0.44115051206694467,
              0.3636908010134632,
              0.42763325280508163,
              0.44941688702520816,
              0.46415708636530806,
              0.4606098022978835,
              0.42695370552401096,
              0.43383060819741665,
              0.4424903203298584,
              0.41558825224190465,
              0.39256859289441803,
              0.46898185528912767,
              0.45340426247823745,
              0.4671298562399112,
              0.407753368198645,
              0.4081179065388022,
              0.41219290474245646
            ],
            "test": 0.48831914382267033
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43611540411627997,
                  0.40672147165305494,
                  0.44261512730885566,
                  0.46899695055282553,
                  0.4844644627750939,
                  0.36505033635398637,
                  0.47576056492911534,
                  0.41191743020474064,
                  0.46387586232636224,
                  0.4808630936954372,
                  0.4508338954063283,
                  0.47423983046931295,
                  0.455918110631418,
                  0.4007899695586078,
                  0.39355980838749394,
                  0.41590335494582936,
                  0.4677580949071113,
                  0.47439241088212797,
                  0.4676346831742077,
                  0.3859236779182257,
                  0.4098176304110344,
                  0.4229012644005017,
                  0.4537016122384327,
                  0.458066015186198
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48379642545027457,
                  0.4092445182399565,
                  0.43957138311549915,
                  0.49230771349074187,
                  0.43555754472022146,
                  0.42562302648694494,
                  0.5080006779401198,
                  0.42920004698175895,
                  0.41933455487413307,
                  0.5059169692443103,
                  0.49834907961415187,
                  0.5181492195293991,
                  0.4686082036254919,
                  0.41415381496680037,
                  0.4105326660365026,
                  0.43721557209004747,
                  0.47454134021303424,
                  0.4457952517425068,
                  0.49246560333272593,
                  0.4200387334955763,
                  0.43959782345513576,
                  0.42074521644926155,
                  0.44611676816560275,
                  0.4386533487481881
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12443174390340772,
                  0.15820948647038696,
                  0.2670350593155597,
                  0.1099627902443449,
                  0.28970164954288274,
                  0.14216559694502182,
                  0.33759300301944667,
                  0.19067547749161826,
                  0.2610391506530698,
                  0.36617249156610676,
                  0.3035984234654829,
                  0.3708387776132525,
                  0.15728417383784157,
                  0.23433215724409842,
                  0.20479610101403667,
                  0.20593302011252393,
                  0.32512796893333906,
                  0.1619567536958286,
                  0.14236859854961773,
                  0.20678107054986236,
                  0.266790290131881,
                  0.13558879376903968,
                  0.14121220427045836,
                  0.18197268921453114
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1486890305026935,
                  0.15957983705611672,
                  0.26515951957397055,
                  0.13440473222113408,
                  0.26903883322302047,
                  0.17497266764398223,
                  0.3517219099265101,
                  0.2012677985852915,
                  0.2427211059442429,
                  0.3700488089588649,
                  0.3271684611735821,
                  0.3934624497020017,
                  0.16526806413089024,
                  0.22482850830600154,
                  0.2090872352603623,
                  0.21822924556003773,
                  0.3233887767149338,
                  0.15091232627557682,
                  0.14871428029294576,
                  0.22158160108538685,
                  0.2763719700268969,
                  0.1395057420637068,
                  0.14424447961010492,
                  0.1742319919180863
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.31168366365874817,
                  0.2485119872382157,
                  0.17558006471842982,
                  0.3590341629704683,
                  0.19476281087086603,
                  0.22288473790810334,
                  0.1381675596393797,
                  0.22124195340420003,
                  0.20283671081964497,
                  0.11469059912232188,
                  0.14723547211033824,
                  0.10340104931358078,
                  0.2986339409761529,
                  0.16645781235616003,
                  0.18876370652882687,
                  0.2099703350742336,
                  0.14263012233930888,
                  0.31243566076020207,
                  0.3252660898530056,
                  0.179142607708498,
                  0.14302733823399955,
                  0.28731247428344947,
                  0.31248941206338743,
                  0.27609332792748015
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.335107394947581,
                  0.2496646811838396,
                  0.17441186354152854,
                  0.3579029812696076,
                  0.16651871149720093,
                  0.25065035884296283,
                  0.15627876801360963,
                  0.2279322483964675,
                  0.17661344892989023,
                  0.1358681602854453,
                  0.1711806184405697,
                  0.1246867698273974,
                  0.3033401394946015,
                  0.18932530666079878,
                  0.20144543077614047,
                  0.21898632653000982,
                  0.1511525634981004,
                  0.2948829254669299,
                  0.34375132303978007,
                  0.19845713241018942,
                  0.16322585342823875,
                  0.2812394743855545,
                  0.3018722885554977,
                  0.26442135683010176
                ],
                "crps": [
                  37.51318602303468,
                  21.595404751907193,
                  23.18200720019163,
                  38.63004256202052,
                  31.459649709815096,
                  27.662758354810457,
                  29.565407887791324,
                  28.17399242254763,
                  27.592070840487207,
                  32.55872484824898,
                  36.57351559737406,
                  34.21721777803226,
                  36.58967579285575,
                  21.053738145359734,
                  18.51687003590013,
                  24.186223308938583,
                  32.859441172442104,
                  30.278534750110467,
                  33.48801309916782,
                  22.039656860977313,
                  20.46188073056331,
                  27.565834815486415,
                  26.87862916756283,
                  37.72144074894302
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.020024728322674,
                  21.448525813210054,
                  22.78149906153667,
                  40.260929033155925,
                  26.097483790882205,
                  31.28014052033751,
                  31.163472836911914,
                  28.532988344141607,
                  22.4881671443468,
                  33.30223791866152,
                  38.914475844978014,
                  36.65291642943651,
                  37.012399644922205,
                  21.0715036309059,
                  19.421633376089535,
                  25.95245873564678,
                  32.431284736623724,
                  27.237411349811385,
                  34.783327845010966,
                  24.37312939124498,
                  22.62079141939543,
                  26.403578528831584,
                  24.754875196268976,
                  35.2785795224593
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  36.49795258242211,
                  20.536186177482772,
                  22.164406771036326,
                  37.57872426360491,
                  30.31883378276329,
                  26.24305253347426,
                  28.473407924058723,
                  27.122108817200488,
                  26.4877708448197,
                  31.667814371147973,
                  35.551054571846855,
                  33.137165541454955,
                  35.47923154263418,
                  20.041190851310763,
                  17.469242634692954,
                  23.20631289508615,
                  31.794626981546738,
                  29.21318878114408,
                  32.355407744812204,
                  20.978817823303277,
                  19.50633947158851,
                  26.53543553320157,
                  25.7734371860261,
                  36.72122292104667
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.81760619865787,
                  20.209040050751465,
                  21.544537869624175,
                  39.057072822250305,
                  24.86680287307832,
                  30.059275240278804,
                  29.942386595331577,
                  27.306920124355255,
                  21.250650399560836,
                  32.08520236852387,
                  37.708069533337195,
                  35.44222686132686,
                  35.802390916235844,
                  19.831303811283878,
                  18.178308802197026,
                  24.72150314917766,
                  31.212599653944352,
                  26.00888938571759,
                  33.56909738943082,
                  23.139182650714517,
                  21.383525856948573,
                  25.17347733591019,
                  23.521651459157113,
                  34.065287043540984
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4403258776013576,
              "rpss": 0.02811367119671082,
              "brier_below": 0.22023197798140162,
              "bss_below": 0.027422794929011785,
              "brier_above": 0.2200938999949584,
              "bss_above": 0.028803997476055554,
              "crps": 29.181829858523685,
              "crpss": 0.006975798955690005,
              "crps_fair": 28.118872189487735,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0015447262388604832,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.041982,
                    0.236964,
                    0.550571,
                    0.160834,
                    0.009649,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1661,
                    0.2676,
                    0.3512,
                    0.4383,
                    0.5196,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2629,
                    0.2474,
                    0.3487,
                    0.495,
                    0.5461,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004028,
                    0.340423,
                    0.516422,
                    0.132844,
                    0.006283,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1858,
                    0.266,
                    0.3457,
                    0.4358,
                    0.5279,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0841,
                    0.2367,
                    0.3994,
                    0.4365,
                    0.3147,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4341955654791133,
                  0.4105841486407319,
                  0.4538847935801214,
                  0.4696576014051313,
                  0.5004342187725289,
                  0.370442502075896,
                  0.4794128049448519,
                  0.4120944497742417,
                  0.46094713098614404,
                  0.468400546619989,
                  0.4588848325257507,
                  0.4579757292532656,
                  0.4642629609050237,
                  0.39428030338447934,
                  0.3977511229196341,
                  0.412791136870762,
                  0.43875201405584147,
                  0.49470063728725744,
                  0.4587120648566109,
                  0.4025472342920852,
                  0.4237755104095231,
                  0.3859678302434754,
                  0.4248016856865352,
                  0.43187329328718654
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.49437539090627697,
                  0.4168566772832407,
                  0.4486709640647092,
                  0.4847577310044162,
                  0.43516099460219937,
                  0.43793409134412314,
                  0.5147582977112791,
                  0.4303171235139481,
                  0.4229232245943106,
                  0.4962901559944268,
                  0.4835339378652304,
                  0.5177419591426511,
                  0.480519408811397,
                  0.41521563451139964,
                  0.4111900418851686,
                  0.4385534564918021,
                  0.450828231785355,
                  0.4608642354043224,
                  0.4922437525963176,
                  0.4274278750849338,
                  0.4559815600542986,
                  0.40371875906622984,
                  0.42922661105308396,
                  0.4317576224635311
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11311025043742823,
                  0.15832967646167773,
                  0.2913486585835621,
                  0.11368307609564367,
                  0.32863861894713625,
                  0.12757230410133566,
                  0.36277808365561115,
                  0.18158768046887042,
                  0.2569733943139933,
                  0.34832685409427827,
                  0.2878986525566065,
                  0.362193247747381,
                  0.1290416723755214,
                  0.2479952395552073,
                  0.1923145061908442,
                  0.2267486103844792,
                  0.2860516494853365,
                  0.16268234842303012,
                  0.13331707938681062,
                  0.1957831057041372,
                  0.2815780867705087,
                  0.13022755516722373,
                  0.1378837596159625,
                  0.18991523333876756
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14363670405630363,
                  0.16043703631938833,
                  0.29038517317263285,
                  0.13862471986154154,
                  0.30020644958728243,
                  0.16185293338985707,
                  0.37978966109660023,
                  0.19377292517241115,
                  0.2391585680777915,
                  0.35432676750950187,
                  0.29506343410879565,
                  0.39369318119959756,
                  0.13799918906670955,
                  0.24301711518771762,
                  0.194872770227869,
                  0.2392146050074173,
                  0.2889277100035999,
                  0.14984581855104542,
                  0.14399065578171724,
                  0.20692869803465133,
                  0.2938553435029786,
                  0.14597088977697037,
                  0.15030670047984934,
                  0.1912536118758716
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.32108531855908284,
                  0.2522544747923289,
                  0.16253613095977862,
                  0.35597452769211746,
                  0.1717955957907648,
                  0.2428701966784647,
                  0.11663471822018089,
                  0.2305067701703249,
                  0.20397373569882873,
                  0.12007368930708646,
                  0.17098618047124411,
                  0.09578247858087435,
                  0.33522129458924005,
                  0.14628506307922534,
                  0.20543661663132806,
                  0.18604252562268156,
                  0.15270036155148048,
                  0.33201829339327765,
                  0.325394990979106,
                  0.2067641298563642,
                  0.14219742151111942,
                  0.25574027764426555,
                  0.2869179292558548,
                  0.24195806139245185
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3507386868499732,
                  0.2564196409638524,
                  0.15828579089207648,
                  0.3461330111428746,
                  0.13495454501491694,
                  0.27608115795426597,
                  0.13496863661467878,
                  0.23654419834153687,
                  0.18376465651651905,
                  0.14196338848492485,
                  0.18847050375643457,
                  0.12404877794305337,
                  0.3425202197446874,
                  0.17219851932368202,
                  0.21631727165729955,
                  0.19933885148438457,
                  0.16190052178175499,
                  0.311018416853277,
                  0.3482530968146003,
                  0.2204991770502825,
                  0.16212621655131992,
                  0.25774786928925947,
                  0.2789199105732345,
                  0.24050401058765938
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.72391338887041,
                  21.026359745681827,
                  22.213117559126708,
                  33.945856053653124,
                  31.228267732024317,
                  29.763416416142743,
                  29.506650211219334,
                  29.839680257276505,
                  25.95426381231235,
                  27.26995539708622,
                  35.04348872379596,
                  29.405841633359618,
                  38.429001075427834,
                  19.245528647045724,
                  18.169074262677565,
                  22.373017041629495,
                  25.818548559203656,
                  32.66086649980832,
                  33.48136126348678,
                  22.893172033037516,
                  21.006136131802027,
                  21.775157751544278,
                  22.88186076620672,
                  31.90838309013785
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  43.37178027376942,
                  21.501276481843064,
                  21.900922266147205,
                  34.64784790271436,
                  24.18479246211019,
                  33.95501098290476,
                  30.876003604678242,
                  30.0955743034625,
                  21.90260855629733,
                  28.91912121285049,
                  35.684873143507424,
                  34.02165477671757,
                  39.39428031618274,
                  19.59039199842729,
                  18.990086568686042,
                  24.278476343760428,
                  26.580082606240403,
                  29.075115209849926,
                  35.51958399608971,
                  24.51316698814712,
                  23.302097161538715,
                  22.106953557356544,
                  22.157169147924144,
                  30.82213397746837
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  37.74847923676895,
                  20.034449213204805,
                  21.21637849870543,
                  32.954605937628415,
                  30.110943605686348,
                  28.31464826634012,
                  28.493977705046436,
                  28.81517705931844,
                  24.928087988637607,
                  26.382757266553956,
                  34.04046335445747,
                  28.40548103129662,
                  37.35819366061661,
                  18.323287818651856,
                  17.141527390761706,
                  21.409103778458817,
                  24.80446297428963,
                  31.66410909864954,
                  32.40783389912338,
                  21.822778551372405,
                  20.11535105066066,
                  20.79601988553359,
                  21.82159198072512,
                  30.977692959310343
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.22444201921457,
                  20.312516818591376,
                  20.712919507790033,
                  33.4839870489719,
                  23.00111521548781,
                  32.78983793802633,
                  29.704999106431927,
                  28.923091719418437,
                  20.71460899167151,
                  27.744410497952995,
                  34.52297635272103,
                  32.856607951145584,
                  38.239408917768856,
                  18.39801323577521,
                  17.79657086393218,
                  23.094976528732072,
                  25.400941893981894,
                  27.900699938128565,
                  34.357374157675615,
                  23.330111662975558,
                  22.116748143513725,
                  20.919341009778186,
                  20.969651705630948,
                  29.651027453412944
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43779708826067426,
              "rpss": 0.03434636969503713,
              "brier_below": 0.21858247266088973,
              "bss_below": 0.0351566532244969,
              "brier_above": 0.219214615934478,
              "bss_above": 0.03353706506124454,
              "crps": 27.690121585523205,
              "crpss": 0.018937490627159548,
              "crps_fair": 26.670308425491594,
              "crpss_fair": 0.013985592546258863,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.043942,
                    0.255258,
                    0.548271,
                    0.144757,
                    0.007772,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1657,
                    0.2673,
                    0.3501,
                    0.4381,
                    0.5196,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2647,
                    0.2337,
                    0.351,
                    0.5432,
                    0.5778,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.005097,
                    0.340105,
                    0.505887,
                    0.141608,
                    0.007301,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1862,
                    0.2658,
                    0.3464,
                    0.436,
                    0.5277,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0892,
                    0.2287,
                    0.4017,
                    0.4501,
                    0.3545,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.41767952762684285,
                  0.3832470600490418,
                  0.4103032736022849,
                  0.36761018459383715,
                  0.564703775196269,
                  0.49163844834612297,
                  0.4407008247256569,
                  0.3811644099582862,
                  0.37868536001879916
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41681340526104765,
                  0.3968896486256332,
                  0.44958360017849514,
                  0.35804433985378564,
                  0.4471463112198149,
                  0.5122663910735067,
                  0.4543752964485836,
                  0.42786813017995795,
                  0.3843495388628952
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1443645880913177,
                  0.17114836264235112,
                  0.14125967129679942,
                  0.18919184208555745,
                  0.190563835954949,
                  0.3729033672063268,
                  0.18521594205972988,
                  0.19070767119339246,
                  0.1862712275904699
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1537283464726754,
                  0.17358359397220136,
                  0.16662484622008197,
                  0.1786226180553693,
                  0.13512806220217702,
                  0.380643435281862,
                  0.1985048619852425,
                  0.21127913186924527,
                  0.19518105636532365
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.27331493362202647,
                  0.21209869643918813,
                  0.2690435920110991,
                  0.17841834823822614,
                  0.3741399182223205,
                  0.11873509520334495,
                  0.2554848767720026,
                  0.19045673931755586,
                  0.19241413811520228
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.26308505148152844,
                  0.22330605445962728,
                  0.28295874309787594,
                  0.1794217294517412,
                  0.3120182329608584,
                  0.1316229719920535,
                  0.2558704284465724,
                  0.21658899931801134,
                  0.18916848840804004
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.839609236830118,
                  20.962074317899333,
                  22.62346103595887,
                  18.563497835255845,
                  37.5350505449779,
                  29.42604203535241,
                  34.78398997217854,
                  21.131257433555767,
                  18.05074408436857
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  28.651401710657833,
                  23.137073630807937,
                  25.546918877724035,
                  16.71985993169564,
                  26.342378056626497,
                  30.48061723060857,
                  36.05720221353726,
                  25.132273144091883,
                  17.88814189543166
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.289704430203294,
                  20.46137578302237,
                  22.118122358444275,
                  18.038883388662452,
                  37.07985414783362,
                  28.9430551409031,
                  34.24922548477367,
                  20.56963532394137,
                  17.520105954096703
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.477969404422883,
                  21.96364132457299,
                  24.373486571489074,
                  15.54642762546069,
                  25.168945750391543,
                  29.307184924373615,
                  34.883769907302295,
                  23.958840837856933,
                  16.7147095891967
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42619254045746013,
              "rpss": 0.003016059837466778,
              "brier_below": 0.1968473897912104,
              "bss_below": 0.012083585129377128,
              "brier_above": 0.22934514866010736,
              "bss_above": -0.0049004084128119185,
              "crps": 25.768414055153038,
              "crpss": -0.008522764969628005,
              "crps_fair": 25.25221800132009,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03589410397047943,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.038488,
                    0.201899,
                    0.560623,
                    0.192096,
                    0.006895,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1693,
                    0.2763,
                    0.3434,
                    0.4324,
                    0.5193,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1442,
                    0.1395,
                    0.303,
                    0.3139,
                    0.0758,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.005469,
                    0.354361,
                    0.570991,
                    0.069179,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1941,
                    0.2644,
                    0.3413,
                    0.4193,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5352,
                    0.3266,
                    0.3458,
                    0.5088,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.39368887310359907,
                  0.397655262796941,
                  0.42088390673486287,
                  0.3595978289920625,
                  0.5883698407099793,
                  0.4892535525506783,
                  0.4307316189896853,
                  0.38995091708510193,
                  0.38033876749289974
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3926693889383013,
                  0.4114451388592465,
                  0.45220746468297834,
                  0.35459846800139766,
                  0.45742844862366916,
                  0.4946776530210055,
                  0.43965375579576726,
                  0.4348886780374634,
                  0.38790029597661657
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.14700522667807644,
                  0.1690242289800485,
                  0.12098787535162112,
                  0.18708637889404395,
                  0.19197875303587233,
                  0.36099614387392587,
                  0.17401322912882353,
                  0.16693578813773757,
                  0.17681408489130154
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15998253217177613,
                  0.17105689846078106,
                  0.1392449460838094,
                  0.183142176931826,
                  0.13260511376460096,
                  0.35817297776338486,
                  0.1832669693137368,
                  0.1859425910614453,
                  0.18724407041419502
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2466836455238638,
                  0.22863103023681386,
                  0.299896016607042,
                  0.1725114581409305,
                  0.39639106375068905,
                  0.12825742235764784,
                  0.2567183843088458,
                  0.2230151248257082,
                  0.20352468650813038
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23268685489530255,
                  0.24038823715012841,
                  0.31296250237354123,
                  0.1714563001472262,
                  0.32482331651256174,
                  0.1365046905851106,
                  0.2563867803729307,
                  0.2489460821974191,
                  0.2006562294187215
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.890026170734767,
                  22.814394629339382,
                  23.345733638870197,
                  17.601657330877792,
                  39.750458267662644,
                  28.852317600794894,
                  29.70166433047111,
                  22.956282945773964,
                  17.493766145268264
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  24.07942864432831,
                  24.923056334642684,
                  25.454307633176562,
                  16.11428830128599,
                  27.511356753098337,
                  28.831630657415214,
                  30.502158314142612,
                  26.61191098478048,
                  17.3745878596284
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  24.375158856965808,
                  22.33049849576708,
                  22.856253120351713,
                  17.081312015230036,
                  39.31976439958161,
                  28.378513080078996,
                  29.178208643492784,
                  22.396661814762425,
                  16.982366603689172
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.952403681344407,
                  23.79603137165879,
                  24.327282670192652,
                  14.987263338302082,
                  26.384331790114437,
                  27.704605694431308,
                  29.375133351158702,
                  25.484886021796562,
                  16.2475628966445
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42783006316175665,
              "rpss": -0.006535479600388694,
              "brier_below": 0.18831574544127233,
              "bss_below": 0.003420185628298822,
              "brier_above": 0.23951431469551906,
              "bss_above": -0.01450380231408177,
              "crps": 25.267366784421444,
              "crpss": -0.02711608705001689,
              "crps_fair": 24.766526336657737,
              "crpss_fair": -0.055094498327122654,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.040664,
                    0.240097,
                    0.566464,
                    0.14515,
                    0.007624,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1691,
                    0.2764,
                    0.34,
                    0.433,
                    0.5222,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1464,
                    0.1363,
                    0.2897,
                    0.2095,
                    0.0488,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.006678,
                    0.305469,
                    0.595291,
                    0.092562,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1938,
                    0.2629,
                    0.3434,
                    0.4206,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.598,
                    0.3822,
                    0.3478,
                    0.5092,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "selection": {
        "SEL-P": {
          "criterion": "inner RPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "mvs_r3",
            "1994": "mvs_r4",
            "1995": "vs",
            "1996": "mvs_r4",
            "1997": "mvs_r4",
            "1998": "mvs_r4",
            "1999": "mvs_r4",
            "2000": "mvs_r4",
            "2001": "vs",
            "2002": "mvs_r4",
            "2003": "vs",
            "2004": "mvs_r4",
            "2005": "vs",
            "2006": "mvs_r4",
            "2007": "vs",
            "2008": "mvs_r4",
            "2009": "mvs_r4",
            "2010": "vs",
            "2011": "mvs_r4",
            "2012": "mvs_r4",
            "2013": "mvs_r4",
            "2014": "mvs_r4",
            "2015": "mvs_r4",
            "2016": "mvs_r4"
          },
          "chosen_test": "mvs_r3",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "mvs_r3": 1,
            "mvs_r4": 17,
            "vs": 6
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43608244983763045,
                  0.40669397384442835,
                  0.44261512730885566,
                  0.468983176562307,
                  0.4844327939445953,
                  0.36503201801244,
                  0.47575603181378245,
                  0.41189387930981497,
                  0.46387586232636224,
                  0.4809191954398564,
                  0.4508338954063283,
                  0.4742294025430425,
                  0.455918110631418,
                  0.4007665072945642,
                  0.39355980838749394,
                  0.41585817976332085,
                  0.4678161700879322,
                  0.47439241088212797,
                  0.4675787608953501,
                  0.38586047102177684,
                  0.4097575114752569,
                  0.42287499225929914,
                  0.4536772943217283,
                  0.45809306386357057
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48379642545027457,
                  0.4092445182399565,
                  0.43957138311549915,
                  0.49230771349074187,
                  0.43555754472022146,
                  0.42562302648694494,
                  0.5080006779401198,
                  0.42920004698175895,
                  0.41933455487413307,
                  0.5059169692443103,
                  0.49834907961415187,
                  0.5181492195293991,
                  0.4686082036254919,
                  0.41415381496680037,
                  0.4105326660365026,
                  0.43721557209004747,
                  0.47454134021303424,
                  0.4457952517425068,
                  0.49246560333272593,
                  0.4200387334955763,
                  0.43959782345513576,
                  0.42074521644926155,
                  0.44611676816560275,
                  0.4386533487481881
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12441580200287208,
                  0.15819608453527265,
                  0.2670350593155597,
                  0.10994707407914356,
                  0.28966293347132266,
                  0.14215190879673847,
                  0.3376131539263574,
                  0.19065200935756368,
                  0.2610391506530698,
                  0.3662456947550479,
                  0.3035984234654829,
                  0.3708442106994494,
                  0.15728417383784157,
                  0.23433572198192656,
                  0.20479610101403667,
                  0.20588912406292428,
                  0.3251935184701313,
                  0.1619567536958286,
                  0.1423368590306625,
                  0.20673436383757754,
                  0.2667478734157287,
                  0.13557822275636766,
                  0.14120174895467374,
                  0.18197838248111556
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1486890305026935,
                  0.15957983705611672,
                  0.26515951957397055,
                  0.13440473222113408,
                  0.26903883322302047,
                  0.17497266764398223,
                  0.3517219099265101,
                  0.2012677985852915,
                  0.2427211059442429,
                  0.3700488089588649,
                  0.3271684611735821,
                  0.3934624497020017,
                  0.16526806413089024,
                  0.22482850830600154,
                  0.2090872352603623,
                  0.21822924556003773,
                  0.3233887767149338,
                  0.15091232627557682,
                  0.14871428029294576,
                  0.22158160108538685,
                  0.2763719700268969,
                  0.1395057420637068,
                  0.14424447961010492,
                  0.1742319919180863
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.31166665128358834,
                  0.2484978913548069,
                  0.17558006471842982,
                  0.35903610514621004,
                  0.19476985811139247,
                  0.22288010771458644,
                  0.13814287561351152,
                  0.22124187063553163,
                  0.20283671081964497,
                  0.11467349766478308,
                  0.14723547211033824,
                  0.1033851882862149,
                  0.2986339409761529,
                  0.16643078535468808,
                  0.18876370652882687,
                  0.20996905593759152,
                  0.1426226479779433,
                  0.31243566076020207,
                  0.32524190710241463,
                  0.1791261075245751,
                  0.14300963600036068,
                  0.28729677315554564,
                  0.3124755494500721,
                  0.276114683337166
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.335107394947581,
                  0.2496646811838396,
                  0.17441186354152854,
                  0.3579029812696076,
                  0.16651871149720093,
                  0.25065035884296283,
                  0.15627876801360963,
                  0.2279322483964675,
                  0.17661344892989023,
                  0.1358681602854453,
                  0.1711806184405697,
                  0.1246867698273974,
                  0.3033401394946015,
                  0.18932530666079878,
                  0.20144543077614047,
                  0.21898632653000982,
                  0.1511525634981004,
                  0.2948829254669299,
                  0.34375132303978007,
                  0.19845713241018942,
                  0.16322585342823875,
                  0.2812394743855545,
                  0.3018722885554977,
                  0.26442135683010176
                ],
                "crps": [
                  37.51318602303468,
                  21.589273338164098,
                  23.18200720019163,
                  38.63964699008165,
                  31.450914454507213,
                  27.665325755886517,
                  29.562325842033626,
                  28.168893377511385,
                  27.592070840487207,
                  32.561023943380626,
                  36.57351559737406,
                  34.22408156163227,
                  36.58967579285575,
                  21.046160579234392,
                  18.51687003590013,
                  24.178964854506482,
                  32.86346826615219,
                  30.278534750110467,
                  33.47713646996549,
                  22.038401723479392,
                  20.45555610792042,
                  27.563399864316708,
                  26.871327657554527,
                  37.716542907606744
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.020024728322674,
                  21.448525813210054,
                  22.78149906153667,
                  40.260929033155925,
                  26.097483790882205,
                  31.28014052033751,
                  31.163472836911914,
                  28.532988344141607,
                  22.4881671443468,
                  33.30223791866152,
                  38.914475844978014,
                  36.65291642943651,
                  37.012399644922205,
                  21.0715036309059,
                  19.421633376089535,
                  25.95245873564678,
                  32.431284736623724,
                  27.237411349811385,
                  34.783327845010966,
                  24.37312939124498,
                  22.62079141939543,
                  26.403578528831584,
                  24.754875196268976,
                  35.2785795224593
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  36.49795258242211,
                  20.53080021256242,
                  22.164406771036326,
                  37.588680076528235,
                  30.31071453364297,
                  26.246243936435963,
                  28.471255456125604,
                  27.117496265428073,
                  26.4877708448197,
                  31.670375899251557,
                  35.551054571846855,
                  33.144783733688506,
                  35.47923154263418,
                  20.034031707153503,
                  17.469242634692954,
                  23.19945264856123,
                  31.799241123507585,
                  29.21318878114408,
                  32.34540406143819,
                  20.977976841466944,
                  19.50055662050127,
                  26.533482218766075,
                  25.766749929349942,
                  36.71688727712538
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.81760619865787,
                  20.209040050751465,
                  21.544537869624175,
                  39.057072822250305,
                  24.86680287307832,
                  30.059275240278804,
                  29.942386595331577,
                  27.306920124355255,
                  21.250650399560836,
                  32.08520236852387,
                  37.708069533337195,
                  35.44222686132686,
                  35.802390916235844,
                  19.831303811283878,
                  18.178308802197026,
                  24.72150314917766,
                  31.212599653944352,
                  26.00888938571759,
                  33.56909738943082,
                  23.139182650714517,
                  21.383525856948573,
                  25.17347733591019,
                  23.521651459157113,
                  34.065287043540984
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44031254530138675,
              "rpss": 0.028143098220495544,
              "brier_below": 0.22022643119152896,
              "bss_below": 0.027447290378950107,
              "brier_above": 0.22008611448185741,
              "bss_above": 0.02883835217285291,
              "crps": 29.179929330578656,
              "crpss": 0.0070404717419176865,
              "crps_fair": 28.11737417792207,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0015979181854582913
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43415289653459643,
                  0.4105430164325033,
                  0.4538847935801214,
                  0.4696458139183234,
                  0.5003955928874271,
                  0.3704210023524036,
                  0.4794131508019082,
                  0.41206534546778306,
                  0.46094713098614404,
                  0.4684697279321473,
                  0.4588848325257507,
                  0.4579530624521084,
                  0.4642629609050237,
                  0.3942417120371611,
                  0.3977511229196341,
                  0.4127349121151507,
                  0.43881610225677126,
                  0.49470063728725744,
                  0.45864097444762353,
                  0.4024942469778155,
                  0.4237068761953586,
                  0.38592973395197583,
                  0.4247679756721429,
                  0.43187335971100915
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.49437539090627697,
                  0.4168566772832407,
                  0.4486709640647092,
                  0.4847577310044162,
                  0.43516099460219937,
                  0.43793409134412314,
                  0.5147582977112791,
                  0.4303171235139481,
                  0.4229232245943106,
                  0.4962901559944268,
                  0.4835339378652304,
                  0.5177419591426511,
                  0.480519408811397,
                  0.41521563451139964,
                  0.4111900418851686,
                  0.4385534564918021,
                  0.450828231785355,
                  0.4608642354043224,
                  0.4922437525963176,
                  0.4274278750849338,
                  0.4559815600542986,
                  0.40371875906622984,
                  0.42922661105308396,
                  0.4317576224635311
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11308942873382863,
                  0.15831091345248866,
                  0.2913486585835621,
                  0.11366556181463222,
                  0.3285911028972539,
                  0.12755649424097457,
                  0.36280322707267854,
                  0.18155864303643116,
                  0.2569733943139933,
                  0.34841350182665565,
                  0.2878986525566065,
                  0.3621936011650742,
                  0.1290416723755214,
                  0.24798663900508827,
                  0.1923145061908442,
                  0.22669480967389044,
                  0.28612350546921383,
                  0.16268234842303012,
                  0.13327599642991028,
                  0.19573519185885294,
                  0.2815234852086417,
                  0.1302114082474058,
                  0.13786854866490914,
                  0.1899064187834457
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14363670405630363,
                  0.16043703631938833,
                  0.29038517317263285,
                  0.13862471986154154,
                  0.30020644958728243,
                  0.16185293338985707,
                  0.37978966109660023,
                  0.19377292517241115,
                  0.2391585680777915,
                  0.35432676750950187,
                  0.29506343410879565,
                  0.39369318119959756,
                  0.13799918906670955,
                  0.24301711518771762,
                  0.194872770227869,
                  0.2392146050074173,
                  0.2889277100035999,
                  0.14984581855104542,
                  0.14399065578171724,
                  0.20692869803465133,
                  0.2938553435029786,
                  0.14597088977697037,
                  0.15030670047984934,
                  0.1912536118758716
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.32106347132116286,
                  0.25223210558098225,
                  0.16253613095977862,
                  0.3559802544872604,
                  0.1718044859546572,
                  0.24286450681513977,
                  0.11660992065534331,
                  0.23050670328665676,
                  0.20397373569882873,
                  0.12005622287154556,
                  0.17098618047124411,
                  0.0957594583459961,
                  0.33522129458924005,
                  0.1462550722811022,
                  0.20543661663132806,
                  0.18604010157270756,
                  0.15269259376418684,
                  0.33201829339327765,
                  0.3253649835380771,
                  0.2067590563891651,
                  0.14218338884202586,
                  0.2557183282728588,
                  0.2868994301767761,
                  0.24196694236881736
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3507386868499732,
                  0.2564196409638524,
                  0.15828579089207648,
                  0.3461330111428746,
                  0.13495454501491694,
                  0.27608115795426597,
                  0.13496863661467878,
                  0.23654419834153687,
                  0.18376465651651905,
                  0.14196338848492485,
                  0.18847050375643457,
                  0.12404877794305337,
                  0.3425202197446874,
                  0.17219851932368202,
                  0.21631727165729955,
                  0.19933885148438457,
                  0.16190052178175499,
                  0.311018416853277,
                  0.3482530968146003,
                  0.2204991770502825,
                  0.16212621655131992,
                  0.25774786928925947,
                  0.2789199105732345,
                  0.24050401058765938
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.72391338887041,
                  21.018772980503453,
                  22.213117559126708,
                  33.95774018730084,
                  31.217459077842612,
                  29.766593215148472,
                  29.502836611548464,
                  29.833370903684518,
                  25.95426381231235,
                  27.272800205089297,
                  35.04348872379596,
                  29.414334603592966,
                  38.429001075427834,
                  19.236152470975192,
                  18.169074262677565,
                  22.364035721555265,
                  25.82353152326543,
                  32.66086649980832,
                  33.46790295922812,
                  22.891618976293632,
                  20.998310297688732,
                  21.772144840734565,
                  22.87282617089126,
                  31.902322697925516
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  43.37178027376942,
                  21.501276481843064,
                  21.900922266147205,
                  34.64784790271436,
                  24.18479246211019,
                  33.95501098290476,
                  30.876003604678242,
                  30.0955743034625,
                  21.90260855629733,
                  28.91912121285049,
                  35.684873143507424,
                  34.02165477671757,
                  39.39428031618274,
                  19.59039199842729,
                  18.990086568686042,
                  24.278476343760428,
                  26.580082606240403,
                  29.075115209849926,
                  35.51958399608971,
                  24.51316698814712,
                  23.302097161538715,
                  22.106953557356544,
                  22.157169147924144,
                  30.82213397746837
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  37.74847923676895,
                  20.02778483646858,
                  21.21637849870543,
                  32.96692486079587,
                  30.10089717282738,
                  28.318597180224348,
                  28.491314327651473,
                  28.80946967295754,
                  24.928087988637607,
                  26.385926798579355,
                  34.04046335445747,
                  28.414907476482252,
                  37.35819366061661,
                  18.31442938112423,
                  17.141527390761706,
                  21.40061518486017,
                  24.810172328285848,
                  31.66410909864954,
                  32.39545574298233,
                  21.821737954215063,
                  20.108195582917222,
                  20.793602932680212,
                  21.813317437819475,
                  30.972328207606072
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.22444201921457,
                  20.312516818591376,
                  20.712919507790033,
                  33.4839870489719,
                  23.00111521548781,
                  32.78983793802633,
                  29.704999106431927,
                  28.923091719418437,
                  20.71460899167151,
                  27.744410497952995,
                  34.52297635272103,
                  32.856607951145584,
                  38.239408917768856,
                  18.39801323577521,
                  17.79657086393218,
                  23.094976528732072,
                  25.400941893981894,
                  27.900699938128565,
                  34.357374157675615,
                  23.330111662975558,
                  22.116748143513725,
                  20.919341009778186,
                  20.969651705630948,
                  29.651027453412944
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4377790408478392,
              "rpss": 0.03438617706285452,
              "brier_below": 0.21857365458437225,
              "bss_below": 0.03519557703369203,
              "brier_above": 0.21920538659450658,
              "bss_above": 0.03357775493476545,
              "crps": 27.687769948553647,
              "crpss": 0.019020809252517035,
              "crps_fair": 26.668454846128114,
              "crpss_fair": 0.014054120286118188
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.41763709342715094,
                  0.3831357552895876,
                  0.4101226644378878,
                  0.36750684958015833,
                  0.5649549104301013,
                  0.4916805530708013,
                  0.4406169784948856,
                  0.3810589047782409,
                  0.3786246323443911
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41681340526104765,
                  0.3968896486256332,
                  0.44958360017849514,
                  0.35804433985378564,
                  0.4471463112198149,
                  0.5122663910735067,
                  0.4543752964485836,
                  0.42786813017995795,
                  0.3843495388628952
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.14431264667553106,
                  0.17105889484250839,
                  0.14112387348323305,
                  0.1890823354675643,
                  0.19063034614064164,
                  0.37297016449523795,
                  0.185126288315102,
                  0.19065170247430682,
                  0.18621957471284725
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1537283464726754,
                  0.17358359397220136,
                  0.16662484622008197,
                  0.1786226180553693,
                  0.13512806220217702,
                  0.380643435281862,
                  0.1985048619852425,
                  0.21127913186924527,
                  0.19518105636532365
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.27332444083400753,
                  0.2120768594813636,
                  0.26899878065285876,
                  0.17842451983756255,
                  0.3743245432554089,
                  0.11871040263410454,
                  0.2554906842927015,
                  0.19040720286203638,
                  0.1924050633071224
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.26308505148152844,
                  0.22330605445962728,
                  0.28295874309787594,
                  0.1794217294517412,
                  0.3120182329608584,
                  0.1316229719920535,
                  0.2558704284465724,
                  0.21658899931801134,
                  0.18916848840804004
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.82976246744708,
                  20.952379912978273,
                  22.610088699348935,
                  18.53668127326368,
                  37.51190963754921,
                  29.422689237922135,
                  34.76908740764957,
                  21.124932460573856,
                  18.035027142415856
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  28.651401710657833,
                  23.137073630807937,
                  25.546918877724035,
                  16.71985993169564,
                  26.342378056626497,
                  30.48061723060857,
                  36.05720221353726,
                  25.132273144091883,
                  17.88814189543166
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.280913045372856,
                  20.452295402139313,
                  22.105397558156085,
                  18.012639905951126,
                  37.05717657596734,
                  28.940337219081584,
                  34.23517898885687,
                  20.5638588787282,
                  17.505230420612502
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.477969404422883,
                  21.96364132457299,
                  24.373486571489074,
                  15.54642762546069,
                  25.168945750391543,
                  29.307184924373615,
                  34.883769907302295,
                  23.958840837856933,
                  16.7147095891967
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42614870465035604,
              "rpss": 0.0031186040904468415,
              "brier_below": 0.1967973140674414,
              "bss_below": 0.012334899762252771,
              "brier_above": 0.22935138857301846,
              "bss_above": -0.004927749261613101,
              "crps": 25.754728693238732,
              "crpss": -0.007987148031469271,
              "crps_fair": 25.23922533276287,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03536111994695479
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3936349881615107,
                  0.39753247574025363,
                  0.42071854240165135,
                  0.3594749828619623,
                  0.588653267241185,
                  0.48935276426418917,
                  0.43064591671596536,
                  0.3898541807552608,
                  0.3802707691895114
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3926693889383013,
                  0.4114451388592465,
                  0.45220746468297834,
                  0.35459846800139766,
                  0.45742844862366916,
                  0.4946776530210055,
                  0.43965375579576726,
                  0.4348886780374634,
                  0.38790029597661657
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.14693614866484497,
                  0.16891974253149444,
                  0.1208700732612641,
                  0.18695255403567645,
                  0.192050227010462,
                  0.3611078871872618,
                  0.173918939499223,
                  0.16688534265585586,
                  0.1767550150136621
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15998253217177613,
                  0.17105689846078106,
                  0.1392449460838094,
                  0.183142176931826,
                  0.13260511376460096,
                  0.35817297776338486,
                  0.1832669693137368,
                  0.1859425910614453,
                  0.18724407041419502
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24669883858807137,
                  0.22861272963268994,
                  0.2998484543570043,
                  0.17252243687307964,
                  0.3966030162901561,
                  0.12824489075399825,
                  0.25672697167420877,
                  0.22296883398744743,
                  0.20351575806979277
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23268685489530255,
                  0.24038823715012841,
                  0.31296250237354123,
                  0.1714563001472262,
                  0.32482331651256174,
                  0.1365046905851106,
                  0.2563867803729307,
                  0.2489460821974191,
                  0.2006562294187215
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.87705522055668,
                  22.803847173503023,
                  23.330727404260646,
                  17.571048159787715,
                  39.724060200197805,
                  28.848185952981716,
                  29.684649975801612,
                  22.949484701017255,
                  17.475733092630623
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  24.07942864432831,
                  24.923056334642684,
                  25.454307633176562,
                  16.11428830128599,
                  27.511356753098337,
                  28.831630657415214,
                  30.502158314142612,
                  26.61191098478048,
                  17.3745878596284
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  24.36339105456528,
                  22.320649690914006,
                  22.841982563235202,
                  17.051350627262583,
                  39.293888973937335,
                  28.37510282001114,
                  29.16217188127877,
                  22.390483538624466,
                  16.965292780246013
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.952403681344407,
                  23.79603137165879,
                  24.327282670192652,
                  14.987263338302082,
                  26.384331790114437,
                  27.704605694431308,
                  29.375133351158702,
                  25.484886021796562,
                  16.2475628966445
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42779309859238773,
              "rpss": -0.006448514812821049,
              "brier_below": 0.18826621442886052,
              "bss_below": 0.003682307136191554,
              "brier_above": 0.23952688113627207,
              "bss_above": -0.014557029620940964,
              "crps": 25.25164354230412,
              "crpss": -0.026476938734441458,
              "crps_fair": 24.751590436674977,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05445820457784345
            }
          }
        },
        "SEL-A": {
          "criterion": "inner CRPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "mvs",
            "1994": "mvs_r3",
            "1995": "mvs_r3",
            "1996": "mvs",
            "1997": "mvs_r3",
            "1998": "mvs_r3",
            "1999": "mvs_r3",
            "2000": "mvs_r3",
            "2001": "mvs_r3",
            "2002": "mvs_r3",
            "2003": "mvs_r3",
            "2004": "mvs_r3",
            "2005": "mvs_r3",
            "2006": "mvs_r3",
            "2007": "mvs_r3",
            "2008": "mvs_r3",
            "2009": "mvs_r3",
            "2010": "mvs_r3",
            "2011": "mvs_r3",
            "2012": "mvs_r3",
            "2013": "mvs_r3",
            "2014": "mvs",
            "2015": "mvs_r3",
            "2016": "mvs_r3"
          },
          "chosen_test": "mvs_r3",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 3,
            "mvs_r3": 21,
            "mvs_r4": 0,
            "vs": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4361797370041243,
                  0.40663986258806917,
                  0.44245971082590396,
                  0.46893614914338916,
                  0.4843046195078657,
                  0.36499198898828744,
                  0.4758646266456676,
                  0.4118897749988914,
                  0.46402688362463795,
                  0.4810825039275304,
                  0.4507587597884777,
                  0.4744032456760836,
                  0.4560373957822148,
                  0.40070263911557136,
                  0.3937529246715346,
                  0.4158135933475273,
                  0.46793219637176714,
                  0.47450461902862817,
                  0.46747468818314813,
                  0.38583614364956736,
                  0.4096941354301087,
                  0.42204314376557317,
                  0.45361476009158513,
                  0.4580429874544709
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48379642545027457,
                  0.4092445182399565,
                  0.43957138311549915,
                  0.49230771349074187,
                  0.43555754472022146,
                  0.42562302648694494,
                  0.5080006779401198,
                  0.42920004698175895,
                  0.41933455487413307,
                  0.5059169692443103,
                  0.49834907961415187,
                  0.5181492195293991,
                  0.4686082036254919,
                  0.41415381496680037,
                  0.4105326660365026,
                  0.43721557209004747,
                  0.47454134021303424,
                  0.4457952517425068,
                  0.49246560333272593,
                  0.4200387334955763,
                  0.43959782345513576,
                  0.42074521644926155,
                  0.44611676816560275,
                  0.4386533487481881
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12427084107628847,
                  0.1581577997588268,
                  0.2668779280424865,
                  0.10989206041886106,
                  0.28956738220623446,
                  0.1421261816293862,
                  0.3377144600432002,
                  0.19064946401185,
                  0.26117238303197954,
                  0.36641879123168647,
                  0.30349757293793794,
                  0.371001163848618,
                  0.15739405468477655,
                  0.23428504178115162,
                  0.20499650638717684,
                  0.20584692741373814,
                  0.32527101683131726,
                  0.16205182061118034,
                  0.1422605422493292,
                  0.20669337529671378,
                  0.26667858366307123,
                  0.13502006875854666,
                  0.14115136230260397,
                  0.18191837803110086
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1486890305026935,
                  0.15957983705611672,
                  0.26515951957397055,
                  0.13440473222113408,
                  0.26903883322302047,
                  0.17497266764398223,
                  0.3517219099265101,
                  0.2012677985852915,
                  0.2427211059442429,
                  0.3700488089588649,
                  0.3271684611735821,
                  0.3934624497020017,
                  0.16526806413089024,
                  0.22482850830600154,
                  0.2090872352603623,
                  0.21822924556003773,
                  0.3233887767149338,
                  0.15091232627557682,
                  0.14871428029294576,
                  0.22158160108538685,
                  0.2763719700268969,
                  0.1395057420637068,
                  0.14424447961010492,
                  0.1742319919180863
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3119088992944893,
                  0.24848206486608632,
                  0.1755817795110739,
                  0.35904409138304977,
                  0.1947372349422284,
                  0.22286580585700147,
                  0.13815016432962451,
                  0.22124031167065222,
                  0.20285449974517947,
                  0.11466370968656317,
                  0.14726118701834792,
                  0.10340207826163245,
                  0.2986433452831209,
                  0.1664175973797279,
                  0.18875641743918434,
                  0.2099666661823258,
                  0.14266117590537292,
                  0.31245280198896536,
                  0.3252141511618262,
                  0.17914276868718995,
                  0.14301554970935032,
                  0.28702307851795766,
                  0.3124634018612736,
                  0.2761246113850494
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.335107394947581,
                  0.2496646811838396,
                  0.17441186354152854,
                  0.3579029812696076,
                  0.16651871149720093,
                  0.25065035884296283,
                  0.15627876801360963,
                  0.2279322483964675,
                  0.17661344892989023,
                  0.1358681602854453,
                  0.1711806184405697,
                  0.1246867698273974,
                  0.3033401394946015,
                  0.18932530666079878,
                  0.20144543077614047,
                  0.21898632653000982,
                  0.1511525634981004,
                  0.2948829254669299,
                  0.34375132303978007,
                  0.19845713241018942,
                  0.16322585342823875,
                  0.2812394743855545,
                  0.3018722885554977,
                  0.26442135683010176
                ],
                "crps": [
                  37.601146093501,
                  21.580191119160187,
                  23.155495981479234,
                  38.70740632435169,
                  31.44071657406775,
                  27.671422141306266,
                  29.56508037237436,
                  28.16571028070097,
                  27.5862490583788,
                  32.57012917786705,
                  36.550511152062256,
                  34.2427762459413,
                  36.58937270319115,
                  21.034095964982754,
                  18.52479251871772,
                  24.16699288539654,
                  32.88663742095084,
                  30.272051041941502,
                  33.46241047649093,
                  22.03865636442917,
                  20.447790261091264,
                  27.525427237148502,
                  26.859326213361985,
                  37.711777567278624
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.020024728322674,
                  21.448525813210054,
                  22.78149906153667,
                  40.260929033155925,
                  26.097483790882205,
                  31.28014052033751,
                  31.163472836911914,
                  28.532988344141607,
                  22.4881671443468,
                  33.30223791866152,
                  38.914475844978014,
                  36.65291642943651,
                  37.012399644922205,
                  21.0715036309059,
                  19.421633376089535,
                  25.95245873564678,
                  32.431284736623724,
                  27.237411349811385,
                  34.783327845010966,
                  24.37312939124498,
                  22.62079141939543,
                  26.403578528831584,
                  24.754875196268976,
                  35.2785795224593
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  36.59083034303788,
                  20.522998800297994,
                  22.139272887058674,
                  37.66325040916715,
                  30.30152198955094,
                  26.25355621947234,
                  28.475474460108487,
                  27.11527738160742,
                  26.48421185773969,
                  31.68001514295764,
                  35.52941262033888,
                  33.164678285805984,
                  35.48090770344369,
                  20.022889608497053,
                  17.47849287127328,
                  23.18835175133991,
                  31.823487479782667,
                  29.208050139971323,
                  32.3321109354483,
                  20.979031842927416,
                  19.49382723733601,
                  26.50554004504501,
                  25.755922743364234,
                  36.71317925050696
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.81760619865787,
                  20.209040050751465,
                  21.544537869624175,
                  39.057072822250305,
                  24.86680287307832,
                  30.059275240278804,
                  29.942386595331577,
                  27.306920124355255,
                  21.250650399560836,
                  32.08520236852387,
                  37.708069533337195,
                  35.44222686132686,
                  35.802390916235844,
                  19.831303811283878,
                  18.178308802197026,
                  24.72150314917766,
                  31.212599653944352,
                  26.00888938571759,
                  33.56909738943082,
                  23.139182650714517,
                  21.383525856948573,
                  25.17347733591019,
                  23.521651459157113,
                  34.065287043540984
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44029112873377607,
              "rpss": 0.02819036882240533,
              "brier_below": 0.22020473776033592,
              "bss_below": 0.027543091801030206,
              "brier_above": 0.2200863913361364,
              "bss_above": 0.02883713051351111,
              "crps": 29.18150688234049,
              "crpss": 0.006986789464778265,
              "crps_fair": 28.12092883358662,
              "crpss_fair": 0.00147169816245174
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4343809574276963,
                  0.41048500112358016,
                  0.45369158038778723,
                  0.46951920111011725,
                  0.5002344014893497,
                  0.3703750753229376,
                  0.4795457634006215,
                  0.4120609567729471,
                  0.4611224683927665,
                  0.46864762317936864,
                  0.45877654418161445,
                  0.4581699084827623,
                  0.4644090035158993,
                  0.3941717454994228,
                  0.3979723646436673,
                  0.41267913097660497,
                  0.43896030476049525,
                  0.4948408299162309,
                  0.458525867480624,
                  0.4024685513250661,
                  0.42363130079189404,
                  0.3853222365877207,
                  0.4247189821803863,
                  0.43184016865292807
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.49437539090627697,
                  0.4168566772832407,
                  0.4486709640647092,
                  0.4847577310044162,
                  0.43516099460219937,
                  0.43793409134412314,
                  0.5147582977112791,
                  0.4303171235139481,
                  0.4229232245943106,
                  0.4962901559944268,
                  0.4835339378652304,
                  0.5177419591426511,
                  0.480519408811397,
                  0.41521563451139964,
                  0.4111900418851686,
                  0.4385534564918021,
                  0.450828231785355,
                  0.4608642354043224,
                  0.4922437525963176,
                  0.4274278750849338,
                  0.4559815600542986,
                  0.40371875906622984,
                  0.42922661105308396,
                  0.4317576224635311
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11300940239706414,
                  0.15827264377856165,
                  0.2911530276912526,
                  0.11358519779098136,
                  0.328471066828229,
                  0.12752814283395625,
                  0.3629285175063384,
                  0.1815555140139699,
                  0.25713438983387776,
                  0.348602136218278,
                  0.2877640315138092,
                  0.3623889434631571,
                  0.12917757352949596,
                  0.24793130556982418,
                  0.19254174046134875,
                  0.2266435587977697,
                  0.2862201561730108,
                  0.1628009273112011,
                  0.1331951563413328,
                  0.19569284607792783,
                  0.28143669999720367,
                  0.12977229371877888,
                  0.13782111701818037,
                  0.18984722924222167
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14363670405630363,
                  0.16043703631938833,
                  0.29038517317263285,
                  0.13862471986154154,
                  0.30020644958728243,
                  0.16185293338985707,
                  0.37978966109660023,
                  0.19377292517241115,
                  0.2391585680777915,
                  0.35432676750950187,
                  0.29506343410879565,
                  0.39369318119959756,
                  0.13799918906670955,
                  0.24301711518771762,
                  0.194872770227869,
                  0.2392146050074173,
                  0.2889277100035999,
                  0.14984581855104542,
                  0.14399065578171724,
                  0.20692869803465133,
                  0.2938553435029786,
                  0.14597088977697037,
                  0.15030670047984934,
                  0.1912536118758716
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3213715584932485,
                  0.25221235995403257,
                  0.16253854866287543,
                  0.3559340056906074,
                  0.17176333062971555,
                  0.24284693119209466,
                  0.11661724282182212,
                  0.2305054436146736,
                  0.20398807759321255,
                  0.1200454837344518,
                  0.17101251317326174,
                  0.09578096206767688,
                  0.33523143605068223,
                  0.14624043917259613,
                  0.20543062408480456,
                  0.18603557132369564,
                  0.15274014556983906,
                  0.3320399071310899,
                  0.3253307166480511,
                  0.20677570651617833,
                  0.14219459865210046,
                  0.25554994531154507,
                  0.28689786832322406,
                  0.24199294085604137
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3507386868499732,
                  0.2564196409638524,
                  0.15828579089207648,
                  0.3461330111428746,
                  0.13495454501491694,
                  0.27608115795426597,
                  0.13496863661467878,
                  0.23654419834153687,
                  0.18376465651651905,
                  0.14196338848492485,
                  0.18847050375643457,
                  0.12404877794305337,
                  0.3425202197446874,
                  0.17219851932368202,
                  0.21631727165729955,
                  0.19933885148438457,
                  0.16190052178175499,
                  0.311018416853277,
                  0.3482530968146003,
                  0.2204991770502825,
                  0.16212621655131992,
                  0.25774786928925947,
                  0.2789199105732345,
                  0.24050401058765938
                ],
                "crps": [
                  38.80448535179835,
                  21.009690227798956,
                  22.18193238913169,
                  34.004355517973636,
                  31.203695927349496,
                  29.776094366514467,
                  29.50578807424879,
                  29.830220706485015,
                  25.9460901925136,
                  27.283209198185247,
                  35.01829358072229,
                  29.43456787149017,
                  38.426583659216064,
                  19.223195088508664,
                  18.17837180460732,
                  22.35131187675053,
                  25.84857581326974,
                  32.65305118313075,
                  33.45289136780807,
                  22.892484233895185,
                  20.990529630635553,
                  21.715138993093962,
                  22.860376477984758,
                  31.897513753950765
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  43.37178027376942,
                  21.501276481843064,
                  21.900922266147205,
                  34.64784790271436,
                  24.18479246211019,
                  33.95501098290476,
                  30.876003604678242,
                  30.0955743034625,
                  21.90260855629733,
                  28.91912121285049,
                  35.684873143507424,
                  34.02165477671757,
                  39.39428031618274,
                  19.59039199842729,
                  18.990086568686042,
                  24.278476343760428,
                  26.580082606240403,
                  29.075115209849926,
                  35.51958399608971,
                  24.51316698814712,
                  23.302097161538715,
                  22.106953557356544,
                  22.157169147924144,
                  30.82213397746837
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  37.833667597060895,
                  20.01998149115122,
                  21.18674934761445,
                  33.02110092948734,
                  30.088244128282337,
                  28.329386903693845,
                  28.495756294658303,
                  28.807351306577818,
                  24.922478927718387,
                  26.396918718345013,
                  34.016776857494236,
                  28.43645041881251,
                  37.35799585309168,
                  18.302455101147096,
                  17.15233440551341,
                  21.38882150814198,
                  24.836398712191812,
                  31.657826659148213,
                  32.38190577636599,
                  21.823465516740747,
                  20.101501853459062,
                  20.74617729941726,
                  21.802081113668134,
                  30.96863271639893
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  42.22444201921457,
                  20.312516818591376,
                  20.712919507790033,
                  33.4839870489719,
                  23.00111521548781,
                  32.78983793802633,
                  29.704999106431927,
                  28.923091719418437,
                  20.71460899167151,
                  27.744410497952995,
                  34.52297635272103,
                  32.856607951145584,
                  38.239408917768856,
                  18.39801323577521,
                  17.79657086393218,
                  23.094976528732072,
                  25.400941893981894,
                  27.900699938128565,
                  34.357374157675615,
                  23.330111662975558,
                  22.116748143513725,
                  20.919341009778186,
                  20.969651705630948,
                  29.651027453412944
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4377729153167704,
              "rpss": 0.03439968821099315,
              "brier_below": 0.21856140075449046,
              "bss_below": 0.03524966657751516,
              "brier_above": 0.21921151488614668,
              "bss_above": 0.03355073681510501,
              "crps": 27.68701863696096,
              "crpss": 0.019047428262988553,
              "crps_fair": 26.669769143174193,
              "crpss_fair": 0.01400553007851979
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.41763709342715094,
                  0.3831357552895876,
                  0.4101226644378878,
                  0.36750684958015833,
                  0.5649549104301013,
                  0.4916805530708013,
                  0.4406169784948856,
                  0.3810589047782409,
                  0.3786246323443911
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.41681340526104765,
                  0.3968896486256332,
                  0.44958360017849514,
                  0.35804433985378564,
                  0.4471463112198149,
                  0.5122663910735067,
                  0.4543752964485836,
                  0.42786813017995795,
                  0.3843495388628952
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.14431264667553106,
                  0.17105889484250839,
                  0.14112387348323305,
                  0.1890823354675643,
                  0.19063034614064164,
                  0.37297016449523795,
                  0.185126288315102,
                  0.19065170247430682,
                  0.18621957471284725
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1537283464726754,
                  0.17358359397220136,
                  0.16662484622008197,
                  0.1786226180553693,
                  0.13512806220217702,
                  0.380643435281862,
                  0.1985048619852425,
                  0.21127913186924527,
                  0.19518105636532365
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.27332444083400753,
                  0.2120768594813636,
                  0.26899878065285876,
                  0.17842451983756255,
                  0.3743245432554089,
                  0.11871040263410454,
                  0.2554906842927015,
                  0.19040720286203638,
                  0.1924050633071224
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.26308505148152844,
                  0.22330605445962728,
                  0.28295874309787594,
                  0.1794217294517412,
                  0.3120182329608584,
                  0.1316229719920535,
                  0.2558704284465724,
                  0.21658899931801134,
                  0.18916848840804004
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.82976246744708,
                  20.952379912978273,
                  22.610088699348935,
                  18.53668127326368,
                  37.51190963754921,
                  29.422689237922135,
                  34.76908740764957,
                  21.124932460573856,
                  18.035027142415856
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  28.651401710657833,
                  23.137073630807937,
                  25.546918877724035,
                  16.71985993169564,
                  26.342378056626497,
                  30.48061723060857,
                  36.05720221353726,
                  25.132273144091883,
                  17.88814189543166
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.280913045372856,
                  20.452295402139313,
                  22.105397558156085,
                  18.012639905951126,
                  37.05717657596734,
                  28.940337219081584,
                  34.23517898885687,
                  20.5638588787282,
                  17.505230420612502
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  27.477969404422883,
                  21.96364132457299,
                  24.373486571489074,
                  15.54642762546069,
                  25.168945750391543,
                  29.307184924373615,
                  34.883769907302295,
                  23.958840837856933,
                  16.7147095891967
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42614870465035604,
              "rpss": 0.0031186040904468415,
              "brier_below": 0.1967973140674414,
              "bss_below": 0.012334899762252771,
              "brier_above": 0.22935138857301846,
              "bss_above": -0.004927749261613101,
              "crps": 25.754728693238732,
              "crpss": -0.007987148031469271,
              "crps_fair": 25.23922533276287,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03536111994695479
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3936349881615107,
                  0.39753247574025363,
                  0.42071854240165135,
                  0.3594749828619623,
                  0.588653267241185,
                  0.48935276426418917,
                  0.43064591671596536,
                  0.3898541807552608,
                  0.3802707691895114
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.3926693889383013,
                  0.4114451388592465,
                  0.45220746468297834,
                  0.35459846800139766,
                  0.45742844862366916,
                  0.4946776530210055,
                  0.43965375579576726,
                  0.4348886780374634,
                  0.38790029597661657
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.14693614866484497,
                  0.16891974253149444,
                  0.1208700732612641,
                  0.18695255403567645,
                  0.192050227010462,
                  0.3611078871872618,
                  0.173918939499223,
                  0.16688534265585586,
                  0.1767550150136621
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15998253217177613,
                  0.17105689846078106,
                  0.1392449460838094,
                  0.183142176931826,
                  0.13260511376460096,
                  0.35817297776338486,
                  0.1832669693137368,
                  0.1859425910614453,
                  0.18724407041419502
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24669883858807137,
                  0.22861272963268994,
                  0.2998484543570043,
                  0.17252243687307964,
                  0.3966030162901561,
                  0.12824489075399825,
                  0.25672697167420877,
                  0.22296883398744743,
                  0.20351575806979277
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23268685489530255,
                  0.24038823715012841,
                  0.31296250237354123,
                  0.1714563001472262,
                  0.32482331651256174,
                  0.1365046905851106,
                  0.2563867803729307,
                  0.2489460821974191,
                  0.2006562294187215
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.87705522055668,
                  22.803847173503023,
                  23.330727404260646,
                  17.571048159787715,
                  39.724060200197805,
                  28.848185952981716,
                  29.684649975801612,
                  22.949484701017255,
                  17.475733092630623
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  24.07942864432831,
                  24.923056334642684,
                  25.454307633176562,
                  16.11428830128599,
                  27.511356753098337,
                  28.831630657415214,
                  30.502158314142612,
                  26.61191098478048,
                  17.3745878596284
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  24.36339105456528,
                  22.320649690914006,
                  22.841982563235202,
                  17.051350627262583,
                  39.293888973937335,
                  28.37510282001114,
                  29.16217188127877,
                  22.390483538624466,
                  16.965292780246013
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  22.952403681344407,
                  23.79603137165879,
                  24.327282670192652,
                  14.987263338302082,
                  26.384331790114437,
                  27.704605694431308,
                  29.375133351158702,
                  25.484886021796562,
                  16.2475628966445
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.42779309859238773,
              "rpss": -0.006448514812821049,
              "brier_below": 0.18826621442886052,
              "bss_below": 0.003682307136191554,
              "brier_above": 0.23952688113627207,
              "bss_above": -0.014557029620940964,
              "crps": 25.25164354230412,
              "crpss": -0.026476938734441458,
              "crps_fair": 24.751590436674977,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05445820457784345
            }
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "FMAM": {
      "tag": "init01_FMAM",
      "methods": {
        "mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.26202987717014375,
            "training": [
              0.2992882194481603,
              0.2661185138291249,
              0.29551567023795766,
              0.3111975851957308,
              0.3089683508592713,
              0.22447934147535026,
              0.28826038921040753,
              0.2547239036015017,
              0.14801175110118403,
              0.23530663686205278,
              0.268353603790176,
              0.277950222072841,
              0.2801771119478129,
              0.16022637265227704,
              0.2678256834863648,
              0.26982560604244094,
              0.2267232857676375,
              0.34466531842952525,
              0.25898567865803984,
              0.2582331127397193,
              0.2765690374928253,
              0.24997317669337907,
              0.26555580602809814,
              0.2517826744615708
            ],
            "test": 0.2976413007996748
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.38717393372903236,
                  0.40088767907060546,
                  0.39991041714543263,
                  0.44844364296573347,
                  0.3895588189964217,
                  0.39879546150094425,
                  0.42771051057379283,
                  0.4857702792271434,
                  0.4771946667435925,
                  0.45692891155397186,
                  0.42507330208896216,
                  0.4525648880807177,
                  0.4363425551614571,
                  0.5215957464194503,
                  0.3998602408464602,
                  0.48278878789299967,
                  0.5183158565252305,
                  0.38350923936916015,
                  0.439779992831937,
                  0.39175608063243594,
                  0.45188661376786926,
                  0.46756389707952567,
                  0.43190419374687644,
                  0.4396049002313725
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45894706300641097,
                  0.40754294791650386,
                  0.4601534914002783,
                  0.5000905359223479,
                  0.4445790711557774,
                  0.4258238732290026,
                  0.48424481656689233,
                  0.4793409842600519,
                  0.41877841382813086,
                  0.46111873632898526,
                  0.42891628665826587,
                  0.47082882902115925,
                  0.4483917533041184,
                  0.41365567584295426,
                  0.4140030787620299,
                  0.5114434331880028,
                  0.4975392238101568,
                  0.4680896156026112,
                  0.4397483188088336,
                  0.4352402807644391,
                  0.4626760576432963,
                  0.45725111907872906,
                  0.4366080936608807,
                  0.4414528949246189
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11551522376082186,
                  0.18577258478129793,
                  0.129948132444302,
                  0.10965757174758532,
                  0.12970534042423465,
                  0.1782598365952295,
                  0.2961864651485189,
                  0.3203152475513084,
                  0.2793723007179699,
                  0.3253559593744806,
                  0.2553576520974424,
                  0.3172565075660076,
                  0.15575277657467185,
                  0.22693136563067567,
                  0.1896381036527084,
                  0.3100907075526103,
                  0.3805697149266049,
                  0.11005796861595177,
                  0.27590379185390346,
                  0.24754055849359471,
                  0.1986768298182865,
                  0.22034107341473744,
                  0.20917616698606248,
                  0.1548355023361134
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15025268137425107,
                  0.190081121112669,
                  0.14789130450551305,
                  0.14021197404685093,
                  0.14972054333605386,
                  0.20004853763856406,
                  0.3343011137906884,
                  0.3138635795404824,
                  0.24863521574236033,
                  0.33000853230974125,
                  0.2502106359068355,
                  0.32256618398163905,
                  0.1674883727549808,
                  0.16020744995908937,
                  0.1972655139949176,
                  0.3202762304536326,
                  0.3633745716058891,
                  0.14902591371324228,
                  0.27067391909899063,
                  0.2614521758305831,
                  0.19326241853822837,
                  0.212212850619667,
                  0.2129832472744454,
                  0.15348783868969312
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2716587120112365,
                  0.2151150938864899,
                  0.2699622875614206,
                  0.33878607782657627,
                  0.25985348062177377,
                  0.22053562633116722,
                  0.13152404212319452,
                  0.1654550268668154,
                  0.1978223630085009,
                  0.13157294632065417,
                  0.16971564805238523,
                  0.13530837488099853,
                  0.2805897825978824,
                  0.29466438137783474,
                  0.21022213626797925,
                  0.17269807736881368,
                  0.1377461344234993,
                  0.2734512729885681,
                  0.16387619620777735,
                  0.14421552066524618,
                  0.25320978878186495,
                  0.2472228253150306,
                  0.22272802570212566,
                  0.28476940257704886
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3086943816321598,
                  0.21746182680383475,
                  0.31226218689476515,
                  0.35987856187549677,
                  0.2948585278197234,
                  0.22577533559043853,
                  0.14994370277620378,
                  0.16547740471956932,
                  0.17014319808577058,
                  0.13111020401924384,
                  0.1787056507514305,
                  0.1482626450395201,
                  0.28090338054913744,
                  0.25344822588386473,
                  0.21673756476711237,
                  0.19116720273437013,
                  0.13416465220426754,
                  0.3190637018893688,
                  0.16907439970984298,
                  0.17378810493385588,
                  0.2694136391050679,
                  0.2450382684590621,
                  0.22362484638643526,
                  0.28796505623492574
                ],
                "crps": [
                  52.91549078966645,
                  33.22738449209893,
                  45.23086171904239,
                  78.41218030299444,
                  42.449285604473594,
                  41.92512767179393,
                  48.658914529883255,
                  49.10702544431789,
                  40.09695890206659,
                  41.94682441761656,
                  46.538722608297384,
                  42.42208224272779,
                  42.298795236340915,
                  50.63060174881828,
                  31.433682778754324,
                  58.0302648132023,
                  53.04534392372476,
                  79.23332028870071,
                  43.54480413761407,
                  32.93271662445595,
                  55.42683629588113,
                  67.14351014683261,
                  44.008350647268294,
                  50.648148815548595
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  61.57545484682769,
                  33.06850522093541,
                  52.05674759109316,
                  83.23317548716258,
                  47.679443128451744,
                  36.649266644469904,
                  54.960249301555535,
                  48.21432127267424,
                  35.76317966057346,
                  43.0146170729507,
                  46.57295518358393,
                  43.9927862263878,
                  42.75386094272603,
                  36.77342259838785,
                  33.220317183739134,
                  62.346644471893114,
                  50.65477340092755,
                  94.10378263593546,
                  43.66305914790069,
                  37.93802433562074,
                  57.57121197590851,
                  63.87972402980024,
                  42.16795055796484,
                  49.200834462857934
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  50.689660271553294,
                  31.45294821156399,
                  43.42027912348802,
                  76.78436985151947,
                  40.59433681382468,
                  39.82303401723818,
                  46.85961345516995,
                  47.133013122573864,
                  38.45996174263601,
                  40.13367145944903,
                  44.66371298528423,
                  40.66069565645234,
                  40.65768273079668,
                  48.86934425601033,
                  29.762996371773397,
                  56.439069509361445,
                  51.22207516065563,
                  77.34516414235391,
                  41.74796126400108,
                  31.346760299042465,
                  53.511664764583706,
                  65.60063624423168,
                  42.00536538433098,
                  48.681746285751416
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  59.51213112891232,
                  30.951191068122494,
                  49.97539601852678,
                  81.21087017955085,
                  45.5898012065243,
                  34.53873423677732,
                  52.88439678525896,
                  46.12569237753506,
                  33.65096905783561,
                  40.916140253190875,
                  44.48121764054876,
                  41.8961619997216,
                  40.65489026665894,
                  34.66312533454741,
                  31.103290553583054,
                  60.28478134038883,
                  48.57076657421312,
                  92.10206559943887,
                  41.56581043813129,
                  35.82993275688869,
                  55.500304464676994,
                  61.82076445806475,
                  40.067870203138725,
                  47.114073963912325
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4381216923408802,
              "rpss": 0.0323512744591572,
              "brier_below": 0.22175905758604664,
              "bss_below": 0.02156163291296742,
              "brier_above": 0.21636263432353683,
              "bss_above": 0.043165847895828,
              "crps": 48.804468090921716,
              "crpss": 0.02476746722892964,
              "crps_fair": 46.99440679681857,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0201080852325638,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000692,
                    0.055151,
                    0.26718,
                    0.44228,
                    0.199324,
                    0.031756,
                    0.003561,
                    5.7e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0862,
                    0.1754,
                    0.2597,
                    0.3457,
                    0.4392,
                    0.5364,
                    0.6248,
                    0.7054,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.3604,
                    0.2393,
                    0.2789,
                    0.3543,
                    0.4319,
                    0.4697,
                    0.4044,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.046653,
                    0.272574,
                    0.417716,
                    0.205991,
                    0.050947,
                    0.005723,
                    0.000395,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1738,
                    0.2592,
                    0.3441,
                    0.4402,
                    0.5369,
                    0.6423,
                    0.7198,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2328,
                    0.225,
                    0.3461,
                    0.4729,
                    0.5562,
                    0.4777,
                    0.5,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.38331165156718916,
                  0.4071971034898929,
                  0.4023110838757765,
                  0.44753282376819487,
                  0.3937150794219783,
                  0.4135907137298708,
                  0.4246548536093821,
                  0.4952138595094588,
                  0.44456042655781336,
                  0.45023230441132805,
                  0.43663502934651544,
                  0.427849454599285,
                  0.43868931939713146,
                  0.5500745358778015,
                  0.40677103654845476,
                  0.47381463227658527,
                  0.4842373010027977,
                  0.400818955299975,
                  0.441044611875051,
                  0.38803336401376703,
                  0.47122528641256906,
                  0.4294532716904456,
                  0.4442206500040037,
                  0.42413581823323276
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4474562092655567,
                  0.414976185781546,
                  0.47185823621648193,
                  0.48374178914345145,
                  0.4342765884649558,
                  0.43718697920068267,
                  0.4792473026102781,
                  0.4900672940709853,
                  0.41717394071056896,
                  0.45032423184100207,
                  0.40979869225697113,
                  0.467750824124702,
                  0.45927656897890146,
                  0.41982584987714355,
                  0.4209814535744128,
                  0.5134117334479861,
                  0.4894764209334806,
                  0.5022846192079856,
                  0.4383103645027205,
                  0.4296939892015862,
                  0.46374980129595694,
                  0.4378000532482984,
                  0.45298017178274114,
                  0.43621059791858763
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12281480699475111,
                  0.1841622633755016,
                  0.12593960850244865,
                  0.12239542760033635,
                  0.13358402597099645,
                  0.17667480468022184,
                  0.3112408421052836,
                  0.3591983970937966,
                  0.25215283355246504,
                  0.3087964378426019,
                  0.24035330195584137,
                  0.30373288327824444,
                  0.13981600616173312,
                  0.23804462466595902,
                  0.18921164114252334,
                  0.34769739752184414,
                  0.35322970614552024,
                  0.0929926741801846,
                  0.296247735600763,
                  0.22459536321861678,
                  0.17209293225063305,
                  0.23556204534157793,
                  0.21116586342650556,
                  0.15233016886486128
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15673700350885794,
                  0.18993855464429085,
                  0.14748571204199373,
                  0.14887573988045183,
                  0.15047478284038956,
                  0.19695936769536954,
                  0.3475695814340351,
                  0.3496972170464979,
                  0.24041868144495943,
                  0.3144941615055539,
                  0.21274026486328804,
                  0.3210822946339467,
                  0.15489252330671344,
                  0.1596938485511484,
                  0.1963858703470641,
                  0.36169332580436425,
                  0.35014201654987137,
                  0.14132264912075468,
                  0.292191342885498,
                  0.2390120149762029,
                  0.15314193076365407,
                  0.23675920908275302,
                  0.2189346527605118,
                  0.15776547949229533
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.26049684529491746,
                  0.22303483995943277,
                  0.2763714783242387,
                  0.3251374019090496,
                  0.2601310562952854,
                  0.23691591055421146,
                  0.11341400728611446,
                  0.1360154564805864,
                  0.19240758967980504,
                  0.14143586080165885,
                  0.19628172559847878,
                  0.12411656659073295,
                  0.29887331878429174,
                  0.3120299114017416,
                  0.217559394929761,
                  0.12611722939198597,
                  0.13100758722377273,
                  0.30782628475044127,
                  0.14479687020185356,
                  0.16343800003895928,
                  0.2991323616240527,
                  0.19389122563306832,
                  0.2330547861632474,
                  0.27180565276008806
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29071920575669863,
                  0.22503763113725508,
                  0.32437252417448803,
                  0.3348660492629995,
                  0.28380180562456614,
                  0.24022761150531316,
                  0.13167772117624293,
                  0.14037007702448737,
                  0.17675525926560953,
                  0.1358300703354482,
                  0.19705842739368296,
                  0.14666852949075532,
                  0.3043840456721879,
                  0.260132001325995,
                  0.22459558322734866,
                  0.15171840764362157,
                  0.13933440438360928,
                  0.3609619700872309,
                  0.1461190216172225,
                  0.19068197422538324,
                  0.31060787053230304,
                  0.20104084416554538,
                  0.2340455190222293,
                  0.27844511842629227
                ],
                "crps": [
                  51.404311443362865,
                  34.65756019490082,
                  48.53418314151154,
                  73.269129916245,
                  43.70403429376047,
                  46.103541110243064,
                  48.47574776996576,
                  54.51037300065317,
                  38.99032441502042,
                  39.114551101728075,
                  45.7687710442993,
                  40.38338080868402,
                  45.24731445838507,
                  55.80263226826893,
                  33.233568602417265,
                  56.86496561423687,
                  49.33320167885484,
                  94.6595598197868,
                  48.100260497689554,
                  33.142229566391606,
                  64.4785769353086,
                  56.68126510533246,
                  48.643170790371734,
                  50.3770112679065
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  58.163487413229475,
                  34.837972724411884,
                  56.53400187345384,
                  76.69078640041705,
                  46.98625831121353,
                  39.29658677482496,
                  55.359048905015605,
                  53.98754537632823,
                  36.97938706204916,
                  40.13204578642441,
                  42.97849838727257,
                  44.52416777634879,
                  46.81230130056042,
                  38.990913206612646,
                  35.31273694813096,
                  62.577586287846465,
                  49.36895634114212,
                  112.87267917326595,
                  47.74271252700829,
                  38.28292455692415,
                  65.3159455685385,
                  53.99893362297017,
                  47.559146392524326,
                  50.04181624016883
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  49.03702134353986,
                  32.86353789120857,
                  46.61897018535847,
                  71.61393201846612,
                  41.73258776886443,
                  43.86696395066068,
                  46.68716768620366,
                  52.50589084811389,
                  37.33377522466093,
                  37.19260795914231,
                  43.85351223050487,
                  38.605142092175086,
                  43.60781746334149,
                  54.02279389288108,
                  31.489183395553052,
                  55.21090864677759,
                  47.468023678970155,
                  92.71933823105324,
                  46.237868998993356,
                  31.492130286781638,
                  62.476699856072116,
                  55.19190086735749,
                  46.67489852654308,
                  48.32782860251727
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  56.031460551006774,
                  32.66176875103611,
                  54.39888886437548,
                  74.59384911960947,
                  44.83306245447941,
                  37.12882714624164,
                  53.2217106062243,
                  51.84760953297501,
                  34.8072387976462,
                  37.96586846657518,
                  40.817712076137056,
                  42.36630886935927,
                  44.65877597979098,
                  36.82257465081682,
                  33.13743214942131,
                  60.45391946137113,
                  47.220273170070755,
                  110.84426820452818,
                  45.590949348713174,
                  36.1132451135342,
                  63.197465028579614,
                  51.85901934826592,
                  45.40703555109573,
                  47.89440742496682
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4366384652716042,
              "rpss": 0.035750988216387225,
              "brier_below": 0.22058465797805046,
              "bss_below": 0.026547553572527915,
              "brier_above": 0.21605380673657396,
              "bss_above": 0.0449696075271212,
              "crps": 50.061652701888534,
              "crpss": 0.027414798831621567,
              "crps_fair": 48.20127090190584,
              "crpss_fair": 0.022842951651968146,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.00072,
                    0.053826,
                    0.271505,
                    0.448562,
                    0.189058,
                    0.031639,
                    0.00462,
                    7e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0867,
                    0.1755,
                    0.2587,
                    0.3456,
                    0.4385,
                    0.538,
                    0.6248,
                    0.7054,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.2391,
                    0.2141,
                    0.2662,
                    0.3642,
                    0.4452,
                    0.4302,
                    0.4013,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.050993,
                    0.272599,
                    0.412979,
                    0.205371,
                    0.05076,
                    0.006809,
                    0.000489,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1717,
                    0.2589,
                    0.3436,
                    0.4405,
                    0.5377,
                    0.6429,
                    0.7198,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2518,
                    0.2167,
                    0.3426,
                    0.4887,
                    0.5636,
                    0.4668,
                    0.5,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4224024543792108,
                  0.4204451258755521,
                  0.4397746132469692,
                  0.5158248993835542,
                  0.3828884744006038,
                  0.5688335434116534,
                  0.4551206257697494,
                  0.46093516152202046,
                  0.3986112692852701
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4548732158685147,
                  0.4706333208057847,
                  0.44969195312233284,
                  0.4946189188631978,
                  0.3646459420467542,
                  0.5130289689655982,
                  0.5315854973909855,
                  0.4672520269944904,
                  0.38870596930672585
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2074292888604895,
                  0.132500757794469,
                  0.2414904785428545,
                  0.14534309512751123,
                  0.20000302460694555,
                  0.4197736709554599,
                  0.12409273827766952,
                  0.17757407681619053,
                  0.20408995876373362
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21843408722835167,
                  0.14766688528448857,
                  0.2512736577016021,
                  0.12674768767659847,
                  0.16515991012746073,
                  0.38615249558629405,
                  0.14901034991540538,
                  0.175064391523122,
                  0.20359034351138386
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.21497316430215407,
                  0.28794435379038646,
                  0.19828413799018269,
                  0.3704817791662959,
                  0.18288544962048947,
                  0.14905988984317498,
                  0.3310278642515175,
                  0.28336107343347783,
                  0.1945213159056687
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23643912609798234,
                  0.32296641750682864,
                  0.1984182996772036,
                  0.36787120514252986,
                  0.19948603598484052,
                  0.12687649042845017,
                  0.382575118802246,
                  0.29218762296057854,
                  0.18511563243051762
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.90846253216772,
                  86.67104424964303,
                  42.14530697361759,
                  61.81501690443725,
                  29.410494964578525,
                  68.71664745480807,
                  101.73320590053964,
                  51.53680535179391,
                  34.242058265178564
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  46.72457071684336,
                  94.88397544087607,
                  41.94649723537161,
                  58.011774961514526,
                  28.214018443561105,
                  60.566519259298765,
                  111.45378958863908,
                  53.129504233894444,
                  32.74778697662606
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.95565403071624,
                  85.73230858189604,
                  41.296797449129656,
                  60.93380768618787,
                  28.603981557439713,
                  67.81027414207212,
                  100.83678002789807,
                  50.62535461135342,
                  33.38563550836822
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.726288810756294,
                  92.88569353478901,
                  39.94821532928456,
                  56.01349305542748,
                  26.21573653747405,
                  58.56823735321171,
                  109.45550768255202,
                  51.131222327807386,
                  30.749505070539
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4516484630305093,
              "rpss": 0.016976792767529503,
              "brier_below": 0.2058107877494804,
              "bss_below": -0.016015185265014775,
              "brier_above": 0.24583766981148308,
              "bss_above": 0.04299293878339561,
              "crps": 57.686560288529364,
              "crpss": 0.016107147205960404,
              "crps_fair": 56.79784373278459,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0029168367408154428,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.021468,
                    0.329589,
                    0.400879,
                    0.223026,
                    0.024519,
                    0.000519,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1785,
                    0.2639,
                    0.3433,
                    0.4367,
                    0.5286,
                    0.6047,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.188,
                    0.2542,
                    0.2767,
                    0.3037,
                    0.3164,
                    0.2862,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.036952,
                    0.279099,
                    0.450899,
                    0.222293,
                    0.010758,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1856,
                    0.2609,
                    0.3458,
                    0.4298,
                    0.525,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2873,
                    0.3428,
                    0.419,
                    0.601,
                    0.7908,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4275442285517535,
                  0.4466583062780689,
                  0.4421590719430728,
                  0.5112064747917949,
                  0.36575689837819175,
                  0.588369043254552,
                  0.4440464653545962,
                  0.47427466020700537,
                  0.40996099412924625
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4420184704794867,
                  0.5047115016960736,
                  0.44072139025931856,
                  0.50988944455204,
                  0.3629905484152764,
                  0.5095395869810135,
                  0.5366034763908712,
                  0.4742968790706208,
                  0.39798285882572304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2474835415646059,
                  0.11371275665987916,
                  0.24762028372106681,
                  0.12273808375713265,
                  0.19841517840453315,
                  0.4289272767156942,
                  0.08646694628543161,
                  0.15110220304506622,
                  0.19324715526664418
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2537131588617686,
                  0.12628149887457737,
                  0.25214437023988145,
                  0.11500592141195237,
                  0.17149265995198262,
                  0.3794684116024817,
                  0.11694824792605464,
                  0.14088271351723028,
                  0.19268951975567972
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.18006069321800613,
                  0.3329455271379999,
                  0.1945387939571412,
                  0.3884683633245053,
                  0.16734172152078344,
                  0.159441783901756,
                  0.3575794900393019,
                  0.32317244008459195,
                  0.21671384080263298
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18830531768253342,
                  0.37842997488937147,
                  0.18857702603566706,
                  0.3948834922658445,
                  0.19149789395723185,
                  0.13007119185642071,
                  0.4196551931610477,
                  0.3334141456707239,
                  0.20529334209716282
                ],
                "crps": [
                  41.042000544887586,
                  108.31893925428378,
                  43.92284108123002,
                  65.46588498342379,
                  28.396742680776185,
                  75.01459834680738,
                  109.29101788271538,
                  59.37865225477681,
                  36.861908112901816
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  42.90082887749104,
                  118.37320312412125,
                  42.46067366939341,
                  63.805732942035554,
                  28.78926968938508,
                  64.57319319935485,
                  120.90849246219034,
                  61.02804778563007,
                  34.98357390591932
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  40.08312716842321,
                  107.33479890562359,
                  43.03620570641182,
                  64.53189779160273,
                  27.55825204287796,
                  74.09737085049564,
                  108.3678080629025,
                  58.416949654258445,
                  35.985786368756074
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.845492643694485,
                  116.3178668903247,
                  40.40533743559681,
                  61.75039670823898,
                  26.733933455588524,
                  62.517856965558295,
                  118.85315622839376,
                  58.97271155183349,
                  32.928237672122755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4566640158764757,
              "rpss": 0.01645897585823608,
              "brier_below": 0.1988570472688949,
              "bss_below": -0.02349668338443034,
              "brier_above": 0.2578069615540798,
              "bss_above": 0.04520952917914889,
              "crps": 63.076953904644746,
              "crpss": 0.017532064731318298,
              "crps_fair": 62.15691072792799,
              "crpss_fair": -0.00015591472154685704,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.023501,
                    0.370233,
                    0.408898,
                    0.175478,
                    0.021431,
                    0.000459,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1807,
                    0.2635,
                    0.3421,
                    0.4339,
                    0.531,
                    0.6062,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.213,
                    0.2523,
                    0.2466,
                    0.2454,
                    0.3278,
                    0.4004,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.027378,
                    0.246491,
                    0.463711,
                    0.250826,
                    0.011594,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.185,
                    0.2627,
                    0.3471,
                    0.4294,
                    0.5215,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.295,
                    0.3753,
                    0.4629,
                    0.6084,
                    0.7672,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "mvs_r3": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.25315765987790867,
            "training": [
              0.2945062527923853,
              0.2571114717403265,
              0.28873911625893184,
              0.3061296428960011,
              0.2997285859685574,
              0.2121825926773605,
              0.2808336625889086,
              0.24377736565358166,
              0.13947316160069767,
              0.22576131537416197,
              0.25947460625288016,
              0.2709419151450416,
              0.26997501218483977,
              0.14990948666327913,
              0.2594294525257282,
              0.260302521765773,
              0.21880275841188856,
              0.33309149791604464,
              0.24965914280149606,
              0.24929957967687058,
              0.2690675786172597,
              0.24187449277404927,
              0.2539671729919309,
              0.24174545179181484
            ],
            "test": 0.2881771512474019
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3869888868679563,
                  0.39966002140363244,
                  0.4004531401912421,
                  0.4484460384478995,
                  0.3894753346279306,
                  0.39953306778795106,
                  0.4232864975743507,
                  0.4852758104281391,
                  0.47808090774322687,
                  0.4568943514337817,
                  0.4246751054598298,
                  0.4515688071725847,
                  0.4379199567227825,
                  0.5261148515028826,
                  0.39704016355835053,
                  0.4818601974052775,
                  0.514624767059552,
                  0.3836383645133562,
                  0.4388358538434595,
                  0.3916733625294673,
                  0.4509385206686481,
                  0.46762719155867527,
                  0.4324408242705709,
                  0.4411424261253484
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45894706300641097,
                  0.40754294791650386,
                  0.4601534914002783,
                  0.5000905359223479,
                  0.4445790711557774,
                  0.4258238732290026,
                  0.48424481656689233,
                  0.4793409842600519,
                  0.41877841382813086,
                  0.46111873632898526,
                  0.42891628665826587,
                  0.47082882902115925,
                  0.4483917533041184,
                  0.41365567584295426,
                  0.4140030787620299,
                  0.5114434331880028,
                  0.4975392238101568,
                  0.4680896156026112,
                  0.4397483188088336,
                  0.4352402807644391,
                  0.4626760576432963,
                  0.45725111907872906,
                  0.4366080936608807,
                  0.4414528949246189
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11569045683430436,
                  0.18471058039668242,
                  0.13101312027770717,
                  0.11013430158807035,
                  0.12991067120108296,
                  0.17812930642421046,
                  0.2918644588513189,
                  0.31940062574695477,
                  0.2799487377366913,
                  0.3250800619904135,
                  0.25493020712062275,
                  0.3162068083131753,
                  0.1571454508702332,
                  0.2308354754988906,
                  0.18672223663965054,
                  0.30910170991715785,
                  0.3766387104263336,
                  0.11071909377308388,
                  0.2746147544606295,
                  0.24767033467631563,
                  0.1980115417256192,
                  0.22009317242010593,
                  0.20940924067290814,
                  0.15636918363201985
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15025268137425107,
                  0.190081121112669,
                  0.14789130450551305,
                  0.14021197404685093,
                  0.14972054333605386,
                  0.20004853763856406,
                  0.3343011137906884,
                  0.3138635795404824,
                  0.24863521574236033,
                  0.33000853230974125,
                  0.2502106359068355,
                  0.32256618398163905,
                  0.1674883727549808,
                  0.16020744995908937,
                  0.1972655139949176,
                  0.3202762304536326,
                  0.3633745716058891,
                  0.14902591371324228,
                  0.27067391909899063,
                  0.2614521758305831,
                  0.19326241853822837,
                  0.212212850619667,
                  0.2129832472744454,
                  0.15348783868969312
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2712984321567914,
                  0.21494944045702244,
                  0.2694400229300733,
                  0.33831174364811556,
                  0.2595646654742835,
                  0.22140376289142694,
                  0.13142203548485581,
                  0.1658751798110443,
                  0.19813216692328942,
                  0.13181428345384624,
                  0.1697448964309739,
                  0.13536199320210873,
                  0.28077450999610665,
                  0.29527937660331754,
                  0.21031792595791796,
                  0.17275848456264925,
                  0.1379860491705501,
                  0.2729192729454572,
                  0.16422109447281732,
                  0.14400302629906955,
                  0.25292698388873014,
                  0.24753402098322266,
                  0.22303158234178486,
                  0.2847732473671278
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3086943816321598,
                  0.21746182680383475,
                  0.31226218689476515,
                  0.35987856187549677,
                  0.2948585278197234,
                  0.22577533559043853,
                  0.14994370277620378,
                  0.16547740471956932,
                  0.17014319808577058,
                  0.13111020401924384,
                  0.1787056507514305,
                  0.1482626450395201,
                  0.28090338054913744,
                  0.25344822588386473,
                  0.21673756476711237,
                  0.19116720273437013,
                  0.13416465220426754,
                  0.3190637018893688,
                  0.16907439970984298,
                  0.17378810493385588,
                  0.2694136391050679,
                  0.2450382684590621,
                  0.22362484638643526,
                  0.28796505623492574
                ],
                "crps": [
                  52.74907115991031,
                  33.2658862814912,
                  45.229378379890505,
                  78.25535879708676,
                  42.47422921874038,
                  42.089565008635056,
                  48.35965226267213,
                  49.16190917681146,
                  40.13439209061224,
                  41.87962378912783,
                  46.5604007458966,
                  42.34510430462066,
                  42.39636364478818,
                  50.81013914565639,
                  31.368259238584404,
                  57.97912165658275,
                  52.77735960522226,
                  79.35246605909911,
                  43.53570726354101,
                  32.91367620175601,
                  55.411919907813505,
                  67.08527148758891,
                  44.12338088537303,
                  50.74466027669774
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  61.57545484682769,
                  33.06850522093541,
                  52.05674759109316,
                  83.23317548716258,
                  47.679443128451744,
                  36.649266644469904,
                  54.960249301555535,
                  48.21432127267424,
                  35.76317966057346,
                  43.0146170729507,
                  46.57295518358393,
                  43.9927862263878,
                  42.75386094272603,
                  36.77342259838785,
                  33.220317183739134,
                  62.346644471893114,
                  50.65477340092755,
                  94.10378263593546,
                  43.66305914790069,
                  37.93802433562074,
                  57.57121197590851,
                  63.87972402980024,
                  42.16795055796484,
                  49.200834462857934
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  50.504991966546505,
                  31.472310760885055,
                  43.40413328085597,
                  76.6155477823021,
                  40.60360245563246,
                  39.9627548532452,
                  46.5414958234759,
                  47.166096959059345,
                  38.48214502494521,
                  40.050871206872216,
                  44.66774194109773,
                  40.56669440382748,
                  40.73847328902704,
                  49.03552635336538,
                  29.68201121054092,
                  56.37197783177421,
                  50.93889389967841,
                  77.45124965222476,
                  41.72174731149521,
                  31.314340978546475,
                  53.48097537547562,
                  65.52764224816387,
                  42.09504659353377,
                  48.7626947888102
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  59.51213112891232,
                  30.951191068122494,
                  49.97539601852678,
                  81.21087017955085,
                  45.5898012065243,
                  34.53873423677732,
                  52.88439678525896,
                  46.12569237753506,
                  33.65096905783561,
                  40.916140253190875,
                  44.48121764054876,
                  41.8961619997216,
                  40.65489026665894,
                  34.66312533454741,
                  31.103290553583054,
                  60.28478134038883,
                  48.57076657421312,
                  92.10206559943887,
                  41.56581043813129,
                  35.82993275688869,
                  55.500304464676994,
                  61.82076445806475,
                  40.067870203138725,
                  47.114073963912325
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4378414353707039,
              "rpss": 0.032970258418992815,
              "brier_below": 0.22143126004975758,
              "bss_below": 0.023007930934040854,
              "brier_above": 0.2164101748938576,
              "bss_above": 0.04295560622708672,
              "crps": 48.7917873578416,
              "crpss": 0.02502085926295572,
              "crps_fair": 46.96495691630755,
              "crpss_fair": 0.020722151921997445,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000141,
                    0.04838,
                    0.285403,
                    0.426112,
                    0.203316,
                    0.033031,
                    0.003561,
                    5.7e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0955,
                    0.1772,
                    0.262,
                    0.3482,
                    0.4406,
                    0.5387,
                    0.6284,
                    0.7098,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.4007,
                    0.2317,
                    0.2768,
                    0.3568,
                    0.432,
                    0.47,
                    0.4044,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000311,
                    0.045787,
                    0.307688,
                    0.382287,
                    0.207025,
                    0.050697,
                    0.005808,
                    0.000395,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0984,
                    0.1723,
                    0.2631,
                    0.3482,
                    0.4412,
                    0.5392,
                    0.6464,
                    0.7257,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.3632,
                    0.2329,
                    0.2314,
                    0.3523,
                    0.4721,
                    0.554,
                    0.4804,
                    0.5,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.38312240373494466,
                  0.4055029868348368,
                  0.40223295581636437,
                  0.4476464909605168,
                  0.39371305606268886,
                  0.41429835095080386,
                  0.42065582059632145,
                  0.49392199836977513,
                  0.4458883090620376,
                  0.45121190201426137,
                  0.43769722605554867,
                  0.4276536049738368,
                  0.43986583438707744,
                  0.5550139117936591,
                  0.40363618867100876,
                  0.4714638065020945,
                  0.4805319803380501,
                  0.4005001152779988,
                  0.43947773035425575,
                  0.38925462780184167,
                  0.47175280284402044,
                  0.4290131235336547,
                  0.44408056063990986,
                  0.42526067811414553
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4474562092655567,
                  0.414976185781546,
                  0.47185823621648193,
                  0.48374178914345145,
                  0.4342765884649558,
                  0.43718697920068267,
                  0.4792473026102781,
                  0.4900672940709853,
                  0.41717394071056896,
                  0.45032423184100207,
                  0.40979869225697113,
                  0.467750824124702,
                  0.45927656897890146,
                  0.41982584987714355,
                  0.4209814535744128,
                  0.5134117334479861,
                  0.4894764209334806,
                  0.5022846192079856,
                  0.4383103645027205,
                  0.4296939892015862,
                  0.46374980129595694,
                  0.4378000532482984,
                  0.45298017178274114,
                  0.43621059791858763
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12294061791294582,
                  0.18265675295670614,
                  0.1265090916774227,
                  0.12299440098815945,
                  0.13370708778507498,
                  0.17638110058774786,
                  0.3073637739450791,
                  0.3574050161205405,
                  0.25345265415908413,
                  0.3094476389998579,
                  0.24129547886093564,
                  0.3035950643625322,
                  0.1408787779628558,
                  0.24210770981834884,
                  0.18598818653696036,
                  0.34529858213421477,
                  0.3493703604063792,
                  0.09325971835187652,
                  0.29429115800657824,
                  0.22608255214445863,
                  0.1729996288620749,
                  0.23486085188428063,
                  0.210737007841798,
                  0.15349921486130336
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15673700350885794,
                  0.18993855464429085,
                  0.14748571204199373,
                  0.14887573988045183,
                  0.15047478284038956,
                  0.19695936769536954,
                  0.3475695814340351,
                  0.3496972170464979,
                  0.24041868144495943,
                  0.3144941615055539,
                  0.21274026486328804,
                  0.3210822946339467,
                  0.15489252330671344,
                  0.1596938485511484,
                  0.1963858703470641,
                  0.36169332580436425,
                  0.35014201654987137,
                  0.14132264912075468,
                  0.292191342885498,
                  0.2390120149762029,
                  0.15314193076365407,
                  0.23675920908275302,
                  0.2189346527605118,
                  0.15776547949229533
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.26018178651887464,
                  0.22284623360928843,
                  0.27572386723187364,
                  0.3246520958500818,
                  0.2600059710403929,
                  0.23791725196571664,
                  0.11329204251069255,
                  0.1365169762391067,
                  0.19243565152735367,
                  0.14176425708374696,
                  0.1964017453952368,
                  0.12405853594297753,
                  0.29898706215836224,
                  0.3129062021752614,
                  0.21764800163109757,
                  0.12616521892846452,
                  0.1311616120804328,
                  0.3072404005834899,
                  0.14518656606979422,
                  0.16317207485148058,
                  0.29875318158457764,
                  0.19415227103051158,
                  0.23334355222997105,
                  0.27176146679710256
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29071920575669863,
                  0.22503763113725508,
                  0.32437252417448803,
                  0.3348660492629995,
                  0.28380180562456614,
                  0.24022761150531316,
                  0.13167772117624293,
                  0.14037007702448737,
                  0.17675525926560953,
                  0.1358300703354482,
                  0.19705842739368296,
                  0.14666852949075532,
                  0.3043840456721879,
                  0.260132001325995,
                  0.22459558322734866,
                  0.15171840764362157,
                  0.13933440438360928,
                  0.3609619700872309,
                  0.1461190216172225,
                  0.19068197422538324,
                  0.31060787053230304,
                  0.20104084416554538,
                  0.2340455190222293,
                  0.27844511842629227
                ],
                "crps": [
                  51.28890594020136,
                  34.6514396341355,
                  48.48728399291846,
                  73.15614026886385,
                  43.770889939800476,
                  46.262028291879474,
                  48.15057497083683,
                  54.509311836281256,
                  39.05623996889674,
                  39.14142731380621,
                  45.82708147714015,
                  40.37924132577031,
                  45.30381618481364,
                  55.95763375512827,
                  33.14630443472514,
                  56.70890970855647,
                  49.09839430502754,
                  94.75869519615424,
                  48.02933262978158,
                  33.20501490025724,
                  64.51064880232666,
                  56.634042415189704,
                  48.707345486397244,
                  50.43677938240431
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  58.163487413229475,
                  34.837972724411884,
                  56.53400187345384,
                  76.69078640041705,
                  46.98625831121353,
                  39.29658677482496,
                  55.359048905015605,
                  53.98754537632823,
                  36.97938706204916,
                  40.13204578642441,
                  42.97849838727257,
                  44.52416777634879,
                  46.81230130056042,
                  38.990913206612646,
                  35.31273694813096,
                  62.577586287846465,
                  49.36895634114212,
                  112.87267917326595,
                  47.74271252700829,
                  38.28292455692415,
                  65.3159455685385,
                  53.99893362297017,
                  47.559146392524326,
                  50.04181624016883
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  48.90219247744233,
                  32.840956446102126,
                  46.55982791873137,
                  71.48802265385726,
                  41.78493457234079,
                  44.00073962197717,
                  46.34754093098031,
                  52.484120936444775,
                  37.386218393558636,
                  37.203959900612624,
                  43.8965586075888,
                  38.58532572226044,
                  43.65045210114036,
                  54.165658791227415,
                  31.388610316868558,
                  55.041076013934536,
                  47.219016749775854,
                  92.80660473623517,
                  46.152531585405775,
                  31.54231141579415,
                  62.49528314286898,
                  55.13184725367811,
                  46.71758923441192,
                  48.37369648864043
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  56.031460551006774,
                  32.66176875103611,
                  54.39888886437548,
                  74.59384911960947,
                  44.83306245447941,
                  37.12882714624164,
                  53.2217106062243,
                  51.84760953297501,
                  34.8072387976462,
                  37.96586846657518,
                  40.817712076137056,
                  42.36630886935927,
                  44.65877597979098,
                  36.82257465081682,
                  33.13743214942131,
                  60.45391946137113,
                  47.220273170070755,
                  110.84426820452818,
                  45.590949348713174,
                  36.1132451135342,
                  63.197465028579614,
                  51.85901934826592,
                  45.40703555109573,
                  47.89440742496682
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43639151940373555,
              "rpss": 0.03629633025103429,
              "brier_below": 0.22029676779863397,
              "bss_below": 0.027818029053571225,
              "brier_above": 0.21609475104316203,
              "bss_above": 0.04478861993990402,
              "crps": 50.04906175672053,
              "crpss": 0.027659412548472706,
              "crps_fair": 48.17354483382824,
              "crpss_fair": 0.023405026517175465,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000174,
                    0.047562,
                    0.292265,
                    0.429289,
                    0.192974,
                    0.033047,
                    0.00462,
                    7e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0955,
                    0.1765,
                    0.2612,
                    0.3482,
                    0.4399,
                    0.5404,
                    0.6284,
                    0.7098,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.4007,
                    0.2014,
                    0.266,
                    0.3673,
                    0.4447,
                    0.4306,
                    0.4013,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000385,
                    0.04999,
                    0.305691,
                    0.379703,
                    0.206377,
                    0.050486,
                    0.006879,
                    0.000489,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0984,
                    0.1702,
                    0.2627,
                    0.3475,
                    0.4416,
                    0.5402,
                    0.6473,
                    0.7257,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.3632,
                    0.2526,
                    0.2221,
                    0.3495,
                    0.4876,
                    0.5612,
                    0.4671,
                    0.5,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4229942974011115,
                  0.4208814779790523,
                  0.4398065555819379,
                  0.5179179536305377,
                  0.38405013945091193,
                  0.5656737694633406,
                  0.45482577842090754,
                  0.4626834500088546,
                  0.3989370411781655
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4548732158685147,
                  0.4706333208057847,
                  0.44969195312233284,
                  0.4946189188631978,
                  0.3646459420467542,
                  0.5130289689655982,
                  0.5315854973909855,
                  0.4672520269944904,
                  0.38870596930672585
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20831618679910557,
                  0.13331544756435776,
                  0.24151066950991107,
                  0.14766367775375588,
                  0.20123067361980937,
                  0.41618399892635044,
                  0.12467100575420673,
                  0.17954736611068906,
                  0.2041455670103414
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21843408722835167,
                  0.14766688528448857,
                  0.2512736577016021,
                  0.12674768767659847,
                  0.16515991012746073,
                  0.38615249558629405,
                  0.14901034991540538,
                  0.175064391523122,
                  0.20359034351138386
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2146781094416838,
                  0.2875660161538959,
                  0.1982958894437983,
                  0.37025425084936364,
                  0.18281946557608442,
                  0.14948978793716547,
                  0.3301547495533929,
                  0.2831360726052094,
                  0.19479147962503704
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23643912609798234,
                  0.32296641750682864,
                  0.1984182996772036,
                  0.36787120514252986,
                  0.19948603598484052,
                  0.12687649042845017,
                  0.382575118802246,
                  0.29218762296057854,
                  0.18511563243051762
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.90098950914242,
                  86.74973365973752,
                  42.2097275378694,
                  61.92244123577793,
                  29.556908574833756,
                  68.48401768422251,
                  101.59490198849997,
                  51.668491855764145,
                  34.28627311872027
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  46.72457071684336,
                  94.88397544087607,
                  41.94649723537161,
                  58.011774961514526,
                  28.214018443561105,
                  60.566519259298765,
                  111.45378958863908,
                  53.129504233894444,
                  32.74778697662606
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.938378101314015,
                  85.80262839157903,
                  41.35440536736287,
                  61.03381786548014,
                  28.743906284092265,
                  67.56823819769753,
                  100.68936713303619,
                  50.7506437251883,
                  33.42182024766651
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.726288810756294,
                  92.88569353478901,
                  39.94821532928456,
                  56.01349305542748,
                  26.21573653747405,
                  58.56823735321171,
                  109.45550768255202,
                  51.131222327807386,
                  30.749505070539
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4519744959016466,
              "rpss": 0.016267174768393455,
              "brier_below": 0.2062871770053919,
              "bss_below": -0.018366950803623716,
              "brier_above": 0.24568731346507006,
              "bss_above": 0.043578252194990896,
              "crps": 57.70816501828532,
              "crpss": 0.015738660350666622,
              "crps_fair": 56.81146725704632,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0031573962578652637,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.01432,
                    0.325432,
                    0.405014,
                    0.228571,
                    0.026144,
                    0.000519,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1893,
                    0.2633,
                    0.3434,
                    0.438,
                    0.5321,
                    0.6084,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1892,
                    0.2524,
                    0.2748,
                    0.3067,
                    0.3052,
                    0.2862,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.036435,
                    0.277982,
                    0.4523,
                    0.222525,
                    0.010758,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.184,
                    0.2599,
                    0.346,
                    0.4311,
                    0.5267,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2913,
                    0.3418,
                    0.4188,
                    0.6011,
                    0.7908,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42847079997955334,
                  0.44678360308660253,
                  0.4417445882453039,
                  0.5127896450048349,
                  0.36649003903045274,
                  0.5857379452577327,
                  0.44354653356564383,
                  0.4761400317744029,
                  0.4099831083971314
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4420184704794867,
                  0.5047115016960736,
                  0.44072139025931856,
                  0.50988944455204,
                  0.3629905484152764,
                  0.5095395869810135,
                  0.5366034763908712,
                  0.4742968790706208,
                  0.39798285882572304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.24849028074568513,
                  0.11441873765877907,
                  0.24709261160631452,
                  0.12476037168665564,
                  0.19929779202800857,
                  0.42574974365752793,
                  0.08707977332453472,
                  0.1533058666350386,
                  0.19292511901620496
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2537131588617686,
                  0.12628149887457737,
                  0.25214437023988145,
                  0.11500592141195237,
                  0.17149265995198262,
                  0.3794684116024817,
                  0.11694824792605464,
                  0.14088271351723028,
                  0.19268951975567972
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17998052559545413,
                  0.3323648429661618,
                  0.1946519824586877,
                  0.38802924571583214,
                  0.16719224847657543,
                  0.15998821900785262,
                  0.3564667313388468,
                  0.3228341480325732,
                  0.21705799135706427
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18830531768253342,
                  0.37842997488937147,
                  0.18857702603566706,
                  0.3948834922658445,
                  0.19149789395723185,
                  0.13007119185642071,
                  0.4196551931610477,
                  0.3334141456707239,
                  0.20529334209716282
                ],
                "crps": [
                  41.06418869270661,
                  108.37924153293123,
                  43.94887470990432,
                  65.53071796170045,
                  28.53805395748694,
                  74.77435441206568,
                  109.05073998643762,
                  59.51009533917283,
                  36.866969922992304
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  42.90082887749104,
                  118.37320312412125,
                  42.46067366939341,
                  63.805732942035554,
                  28.78926968938508,
                  64.57319319935485,
                  120.90849246219034,
                  61.02804778563007,
                  34.98357390591932
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  40.096781430808456,
                  107.38743883377133,
                  43.05620540378695,
                  64.58993537783131,
                  27.693604172581576,
                  73.84890314160768,
                  108.11924172897703,
                  58.54253648605533,
                  35.98382771548629
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.845492643694485,
                  116.3178668903247,
                  40.40533743559681,
                  61.75039670823898,
                  26.733933455588524,
                  62.517856965558295,
                  118.85315622839376,
                  58.97271155183349,
                  32.928237672122755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4568540327046287,
              "rpss": 0.016049726740135384,
              "brier_below": 0.19923558848430545,
              "bss_below": -0.02544499592259797,
              "brier_above": 0.2576184372165609,
              "bss_above": 0.0459077308099185,
              "crps": 63.07369294615533,
              "crpss": 0.017582856454059548,
              "crps_fair": 62.146497143434004,
              "crpss_fair": 1.1648434394162521e-05,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.017294,
                    0.364815,
                    0.413654,
                    0.180336,
                    0.023352,
                    0.00055,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1894,
                    0.2628,
                    0.3422,
                    0.4351,
                    0.5347,
                    0.6113,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.205,
                    0.2513,
                    0.2449,
                    0.253,
                    0.3048,
                    0.4999,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.026648,
                    0.245655,
                    0.46508,
                    0.251023,
                    0.011594,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1838,
                    0.2618,
                    0.3473,
                    0.4306,
                    0.5233,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3031,
                    0.374,
                    0.4625,
                    0.6087,
                    0.7672,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "mvs_r4": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.2530510520883188,
            "training": [
              0.29468322537247954,
              0.2571388110718598,
              0.28879212783713354,
              0.3063550153649481,
              0.2994671196896314,
              0.21198963356912212,
              0.2811383482887259,
              0.2435894327848538,
              0.13914884549354092,
              0.22559809217998664,
              0.2598074388745571,
              0.2706426157157719,
              0.2694402267035618,
              0.14928946412854685,
              0.25956471508230494,
              0.2603288460802496,
              0.21916557319784924,
              0.3328921814878791,
              0.24979115317143438,
              0.24878634855173803,
              0.26889084448465894,
              0.24165942136245025,
              0.2539493604410624,
              0.24111640918530505
            ],
            "test": 0.28790445882988547
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3869973861574178,
                  0.39953358454508575,
                  0.4006801984649947,
                  0.44858789941155386,
                  0.3895222660135592,
                  0.39969651517936067,
                  0.42270294770720784,
                  0.48507218634638466,
                  0.4780913683557706,
                  0.4568453994351517,
                  0.4245372278911775,
                  0.45146121544204953,
                  0.4382376864155889,
                  0.5265948568387734,
                  0.3969612665597404,
                  0.4818078721927828,
                  0.5141692647646078,
                  0.3837665101714225,
                  0.43864969603332743,
                  0.39170616498157024,
                  0.4508814859080032,
                  0.4678768876495449,
                  0.43243750354530686,
                  0.4414957934257112
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45894706300641097,
                  0.40754294791650386,
                  0.4601534914002783,
                  0.5000905359223479,
                  0.4445790711557774,
                  0.4258238732290026,
                  0.48424481656689233,
                  0.4793409842600519,
                  0.41877841382813086,
                  0.46111873632898526,
                  0.42891628665826587,
                  0.47082882902115925,
                  0.4483917533041184,
                  0.41365567584295426,
                  0.4140030787620299,
                  0.5114434331880028,
                  0.4975392238101568,
                  0.4680896156026112,
                  0.4397483188088336,
                  0.4352402807644391,
                  0.4626760576432963,
                  0.45725111907872906,
                  0.4366080936608807,
                  0.4414528949246189
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11570976503148797,
                  0.184561796656195,
                  0.13119555828076418,
                  0.11019676187055782,
                  0.12995200098890566,
                  0.17821220357753081,
                  0.2912756336696,
                  0.3191770756548441,
                  0.27994820953091015,
                  0.32504408372925275,
                  0.254791083358897,
                  0.31608313962710616,
                  0.15740700426857185,
                  0.23127071348327008,
                  0.1866137955098497,
                  0.30904894879344497,
                  0.3761876672879866,
                  0.11087267633208972,
                  0.27440934570154885,
                  0.24771639935119452,
                  0.1979426188834782,
                  0.22031843830272735,
                  0.20938887664680877,
                  0.1566006182092734
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15025268137425107,
                  0.190081121112669,
                  0.14789130450551305,
                  0.14021197404685093,
                  0.14972054333605386,
                  0.20004853763856406,
                  0.3343011137906884,
                  0.3138635795404824,
                  0.24863521574236033,
                  0.33000853230974125,
                  0.2502106359068355,
                  0.32256618398163905,
                  0.1674883727549808,
                  0.16020744995908937,
                  0.1972655139949176,
                  0.3202762304536326,
                  0.3633745716058891,
                  0.14902591371324228,
                  0.27067391909899063,
                  0.2614521758305831,
                  0.19326241853822837,
                  0.212212850619667,
                  0.2129832472744454,
                  0.15348783868969312
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.27128762326161426,
                  0.21497178733417308,
                  0.2694846431925478,
                  0.3383911443865611,
                  0.25957026708149045,
                  0.22148431313713124,
                  0.13142731082103346,
                  0.16589510578759917,
                  0.19814315576652203,
                  0.13180130974111942,
                  0.1697461426220316,
                  0.1353780701231201,
                  0.28083068626992147,
                  0.29532414393106904,
                  0.21034747009407503,
                  0.1727589204591166,
                  0.13798159000304175,
                  0.2728938360184252,
                  0.16424034540866,
                  0.14398976404877756,
                  0.2529388719868562,
                  0.24755845120746856,
                  0.22304862564949934,
                  0.284895180139738
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3086943816321598,
                  0.21746182680383475,
                  0.31226218689476515,
                  0.35987856187549677,
                  0.2948585278197234,
                  0.22577533559043853,
                  0.14994370277620378,
                  0.16547740471956932,
                  0.17014319808577058,
                  0.13111020401924384,
                  0.1787056507514305,
                  0.1482626450395201,
                  0.28090338054913744,
                  0.25344822588386473,
                  0.21673756476711237,
                  0.19116720273437013,
                  0.13416465220426754,
                  0.3190637018893688,
                  0.16907439970984298,
                  0.17378810493385588,
                  0.2694136391050679,
                  0.2450382684590621,
                  0.22362484638643526,
                  0.28796505623492574
                ],
                "crps": [
                  52.737087620519475,
                  33.27502851243471,
                  45.24211316455123,
                  78.20296440496514,
                  42.494589099050174,
                  42.10637764891593,
                  48.31217327005543,
                  49.176256937139556,
                  40.138390806352625,
                  41.87626168855651,
                  46.568705163490264,
                  42.341026085065316,
                  42.417824896833835,
                  50.839849948725465,
                  31.35033046250744,
                  57.98832091248406,
                  52.7319189615672,
                  79.37597787888535,
                  43.544229221476854,
                  32.9068624138095,
                  55.41665378022781,
                  67.08747885993682,
                  44.139358931272525,
                  50.77067237543043
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  61.57545484682769,
                  33.06850522093541,
                  52.05674759109316,
                  83.23317548716258,
                  47.679443128451744,
                  36.649266644469904,
                  54.960249301555535,
                  48.21432127267424,
                  35.76317966057346,
                  43.0146170729507,
                  46.57295518358393,
                  43.9927862263878,
                  42.75386094272603,
                  36.77342259838785,
                  33.220317183739134,
                  62.346644471893114,
                  50.65477340092755,
                  94.10378263593546,
                  43.66305914790069,
                  37.93802433562074,
                  57.57121197590851,
                  63.87972402980024,
                  42.16795055796484,
                  49.200834462857934
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  50.49263811502894,
                  31.47833881100828,
                  43.41427889990023,
                  76.560980277198,
                  40.62169457242297,
                  39.976030683772045,
                  46.4906887569514,
                  47.176838796442524,
                  38.48385114257651,
                  40.0454929035978,
                  44.67327780814586,
                  40.55989097461982,
                  40.75704487631155,
                  49.06336686109033,
                  29.66164823378522,
                  56.37833556932359,
                  50.89120755002937,
                  77.47245142787854,
                  41.727389843104426,
                  31.30576755981793,
                  53.48323331456095,
                  65.52737450473961,
                  42.10656096706825,
                  48.78639727803328
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  59.51213112891232,
                  30.951191068122494,
                  49.97539601852678,
                  81.21087017955085,
                  45.5898012065243,
                  34.53873423677732,
                  52.88439678525896,
                  46.12569237753506,
                  33.65096905783561,
                  40.916140253190875,
                  44.48121764054876,
                  41.8961619997216,
                  40.65489026665894,
                  34.66312533454741,
                  31.103290553583054,
                  60.28478134038883,
                  48.57076657421312,
                  92.10206559943887,
                  41.56581043813129,
                  35.82993275688869,
                  55.500304464676994,
                  61.82076445806475,
                  40.067870203138725,
                  47.114073963912325
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4378463826431706,
              "rpss": 0.03295933172446708,
              "brier_below": 0.22141351728109568,
              "bss_below": 0.02308621502212338,
              "brier_above": 0.2164328649363164,
              "bss_above": 0.04285526261828787,
              "crps": 48.79335221017724,
              "crpss": 0.02498958968936138,
              "crps_fair": 46.96394915530865,
              "crpss_fair": 0.02074316499402351,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000141,
                    0.047883,
                    0.284464,
                    0.426692,
                    0.204033,
                    0.033169,
                    0.003561,
                    5.7e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0954,
                    0.1776,
                    0.2621,
                    0.3482,
                    0.4407,
                    0.5387,
                    0.6286,
                    0.71,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.4007,
                    0.2323,
                    0.2764,
                    0.3565,
                    0.4321,
                    0.4706,
                    0.4044,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000311,
                    0.045787,
                    0.307688,
                    0.38226,
                    0.207081,
                    0.050697,
                    0.00578,
                    0.000395,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0984,
                    0.1722,
                    0.2631,
                    0.3482,
                    0.4412,
                    0.5393,
                    0.6466,
                    0.7258,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.3632,
                    0.2329,
                    0.2314,
                    0.3525,
                    0.4718,
                    0.5534,
                    0.4827,
                    0.5,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.383127895380301,
                  0.4053057289644881,
                  0.4025138937099256,
                  0.4478142856279517,
                  0.3937690841285075,
                  0.41445346201048616,
                  0.4199582344141586,
                  0.4936555598586745,
                  0.4459245885357227,
                  0.45121067416816474,
                  0.43756268538309917,
                  0.4276133949455673,
                  0.44021737742036754,
                  0.5555881389229987,
                  0.4035201833146013,
                  0.47136050299008375,
                  0.4800154867125717,
                  0.40061888601150547,
                  0.4391981891940117,
                  0.38939765700937673,
                  0.471712507405789,
                  0.42927648017070247,
                  0.4440159036699785,
                  0.42563767887232307
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4474562092655567,
                  0.414976185781546,
                  0.47185823621648193,
                  0.48374178914345145,
                  0.4342765884649558,
                  0.43718697920068267,
                  0.4792473026102781,
                  0.4900672940709853,
                  0.41717394071056896,
                  0.45032423184100207,
                  0.40979869225697113,
                  0.467750824124702,
                  0.45927656897890146,
                  0.41982584987714355,
                  0.4209814535744128,
                  0.5134117334479861,
                  0.4894764209334806,
                  0.5022846192079856,
                  0.4383103645027205,
                  0.4296939892015862,
                  0.46374980129595694,
                  0.4378000532482984,
                  0.45298017178274114,
                  0.43621059791858763
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12296291893177891,
                  0.18243183299060525,
                  0.12673495813375227,
                  0.1230686155769521,
                  0.1337502657696694,
                  0.17646159229935862,
                  0.30666101719442496,
                  0.35711514748080403,
                  0.2534838249312577,
                  0.3094617051367341,
                  0.24116326787842912,
                  0.3035379728442312,
                  0.14116579254972816,
                  0.24262619973990227,
                  0.1858537155179148,
                  0.3451945893634652,
                  0.3488524673699129,
                  0.09340907922076107,
                  0.29398857198578243,
                  0.22623750595517242,
                  0.1729431233585402,
                  0.23509706258114524,
                  0.21065128442838998,
                  0.15372841968008696
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15673700350885794,
                  0.18993855464429085,
                  0.14748571204199373,
                  0.14887573988045183,
                  0.15047478284038956,
                  0.19695936769536954,
                  0.3475695814340351,
                  0.3496972170464979,
                  0.24041868144495943,
                  0.3144941615055539,
                  0.21274026486328804,
                  0.3210822946339467,
                  0.15489252330671344,
                  0.1596938485511484,
                  0.1963858703470641,
                  0.36169332580436425,
                  0.35014201654987137,
                  0.14132264912075468,
                  0.292191342885498,
                  0.2390120149762029,
                  0.15314193076365407,
                  0.23675920908275302,
                  0.2189346527605118,
                  0.15776547949229533
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.26016497716141346,
                  0.22287389570013638,
                  0.275778938658992,
                  0.3247456760003988,
                  0.26001882113323893,
                  0.23799187135283442,
                  0.11329721310592349,
                  0.13654040633200842,
                  0.1924407602482866,
                  0.141748963124941,
                  0.19639941569767405,
                  0.1240754173981265,
                  0.29905159057967573,
                  0.3129619393529692,
                  0.21766646729330827,
                  0.12616590818164067,
                  0.13116301146996642,
                  0.30720981042101964,
                  0.14520961089059237,
                  0.1631601502090354,
                  0.2987693916708005,
                  0.19417941698410557,
                  0.2333646186744772,
                  0.27190926279559535
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29071920575669863,
                  0.22503763113725508,
                  0.32437252417448803,
                  0.3348660492629995,
                  0.28380180562456614,
                  0.24022761150531316,
                  0.13167772117624293,
                  0.14037007702448737,
                  0.17675525926560953,
                  0.1358300703354482,
                  0.19705842739368296,
                  0.14666852949075532,
                  0.3043840456721879,
                  0.260132001325995,
                  0.22459558322734866,
                  0.15171840764362157,
                  0.13933440438360928,
                  0.3609619700872309,
                  0.1461190216172225,
                  0.19068197422538324,
                  0.31060787053230304,
                  0.20104084416554538,
                  0.2340455190222293,
                  0.27844511842629227
                ],
                "crps": [
                  51.274077989719885,
                  34.65749428818616,
                  48.50083500855433,
                  73.09130955178202,
                  43.797218007815545,
                  46.28037971303036,
                  48.095952210610186,
                  54.52174107666134,
                  39.062153252931715,
                  39.140026472675665,
                  45.83623771772407,
                  40.378174974445066,
                  45.324416695196234,
                  55.98938572813881,
                  33.12378909454751,
                  56.713961131466135,
                  49.046217727728795,
                  94.78448694100935,
                  48.034572329847556,
                  33.198482061426006,
                  64.5170867390295,
                  56.63740747632751,
                  48.718708864380204,
                  50.46503360825071
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  58.163487413229475,
                  34.837972724411884,
                  56.53400187345384,
                  76.69078640041705,
                  46.98625831121353,
                  39.29658677482496,
                  55.359048905015605,
                  53.98754537632823,
                  36.97938706204916,
                  40.13204578642441,
                  42.97849838727257,
                  44.52416777634879,
                  46.81230130056042,
                  38.990913206612646,
                  35.31273694813096,
                  62.577586287846465,
                  49.36895634114212,
                  112.87267917326595,
                  47.74271252700829,
                  38.28292455692415,
                  65.3159455685385,
                  53.99893362297017,
                  47.559146392524326,
                  50.04181624016883
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  48.88690631760395,
                  32.843825469312065,
                  46.570480802152105,
                  71.42050301402536,
                  41.80866983609123,
                  44.015109015170616,
                  46.28948106319546,
                  52.49257939127997,
                  37.389561583655336,
                  37.20024267607385,
                  43.90271507810017,
                  38.581173444939786,
                  43.66805275060828,
                  54.19536256930646,
                  31.36341683557019,
                  55.042997668052344,
                  47.16426254982335,
                  92.8297977122801,
                  46.154739743268784,
                  31.533819482340643,
                  62.49906854757667,
                  55.13240442523495,
                  46.72451569959422,
                  48.39941123211097
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  56.031460551006774,
                  32.66176875103611,
                  54.39888886437548,
                  74.59384911960947,
                  44.83306245447941,
                  37.12882714624164,
                  53.2217106062243,
                  51.84760953297501,
                  34.8072387976462,
                  37.96586846657518,
                  40.817712076137056,
                  42.36630886935927,
                  44.65877597979098,
                  36.82257465081682,
                  33.13743214942131,
                  60.45391946137113,
                  47.220273170070755,
                  110.84426820452818,
                  45.590949348713174,
                  36.1132451135342,
                  63.197465028579614,
                  51.85901934826592,
                  45.40703555109573,
                  47.89440742496682
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43639451995088985,
              "rpss": 0.03628970400332954,
              "brier_below": 0.22027420545494994,
              "bss_below": 0.02791759793953852,
              "brier_above": 0.2161203139348817,
              "bss_above": 0.04467562337261122,
              "crps": 50.04954786089519,
              "crpss": 0.027649968638793765,
              "crps_fair": 48.171212371140285,
              "crpss_fair": 0.023452311211394017,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000174,
                    0.047016,
                    0.291274,
                    0.429972,
                    0.193657,
                    0.033217,
                    0.00462,
                    7e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0954,
                    0.1769,
                    0.2613,
                    0.3482,
                    0.4399,
                    0.5404,
                    0.6286,
                    0.71,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.4007,
                    0.2015,
                    0.2655,
                    0.3669,
                    0.4449,
                    0.4315,
                    0.4013,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000385,
                    0.04999,
                    0.305691,
                    0.379704,
                    0.206377,
                    0.050521,
                    0.006845,
                    0.000489,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0984,
                    0.1702,
                    0.2627,
                    0.3475,
                    0.4416,
                    0.5403,
                    0.6475,
                    0.7258,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.3632,
                    0.2526,
                    0.2221,
                    0.3497,
                    0.4873,
                    0.5608,
                    0.4695,
                    0.5,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42310485507684725,
                  0.4210281736147921,
                  0.4401284995364921,
                  0.5181757703041833,
                  0.3838894546450426,
                  0.5652770486577721,
                  0.4549599721727687,
                  0.4628504313189749,
                  0.39926610258431794
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4548732158685147,
                  0.4706333208057847,
                  0.44969195312233284,
                  0.4946189188631978,
                  0.3646459420467542,
                  0.5130289689655982,
                  0.5315854973909855,
                  0.4672520269944904,
                  0.38870596930672585
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20840965037281825,
                  0.13347494329736842,
                  0.2418033771094201,
                  0.14790628368269704,
                  0.20107695484333432,
                  0.4157912860177805,
                  0.12481217935268507,
                  0.1797348400030756,
                  0.20445937549312085
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21843408722835167,
                  0.14766688528448857,
                  0.2512736577016021,
                  0.12674768767659847,
                  0.16515991012746073,
                  0.38615249558629405,
                  0.14901034991540538,
                  0.175064391523122,
                  0.20359034351138386
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.21469520351094437,
                  0.28755321607102086,
                  0.1983251258255081,
                  0.37026946157731416,
                  0.18281249954023976,
                  0.1494857800434934,
                  0.3301477696894218,
                  0.28311558005468135,
                  0.19480673256935685
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23643912609798234,
                  0.32296641750682864,
                  0.1984182996772036,
                  0.36787120514252986,
                  0.19948603598484052,
                  0.12687649042845017,
                  0.382575118802246,
                  0.29218762296057854,
                  0.18511563243051762
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.92257930347651,
                  86.77188255437792,
                  42.23783521509775,
                  61.95177722714796,
                  29.57506099637903,
                  68.46607813613144,
                  101.60280354690323,
                  51.69278941716971,
                  34.3144484404378
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  46.72457071684336,
                  94.88397544087607,
                  41.94649723537161,
                  58.011774961514526,
                  28.214018443561105,
                  60.566519259298765,
                  111.45378958863908,
                  53.129504233894444,
                  32.74778697662606
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.95833362196852,
                  85.82351041546703,
                  41.38146676464897,
                  61.06199387589858,
                  28.7610733378027,
                  67.54870292300278,
                  100.69584679147354,
                  50.7739988311021,
                  33.448706975886516
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.726288810756294,
                  92.88569353478901,
                  39.94821532928456,
                  56.01349305542748,
                  26.21573653747405,
                  58.56823735321171,
                  109.45550768255202,
                  51.131222327807386,
                  30.749505070539
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4520755897679101,
              "rpss": 0.01604714165684673,
              "brier_below": 0.20638543224136666,
              "bss_below": -0.01885200220872152,
              "brier_above": 0.24569015209799783,
              "bss_above": 0.043567201847181436,
              "crps": 57.72613942634681,
              "crpss": 0.01543209168828752,
              "crps_fair": 56.82818150413897,
              "crpss_fair": -0.003452530698206502,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.013805,
                    0.324697,
                    0.405085,
                    0.229529,
                    0.026292,
                    0.000592,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1896,
                    0.2634,
                    0.3434,
                    0.438,
                    0.5324,
                    0.6097,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1909,
                    0.253,
                    0.2743,
                    0.3054,
                    0.3091,
                    0.3748,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.036509,
                    0.277909,
                    0.452373,
                    0.222452,
                    0.010758,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.184,
                    0.2599,
                    0.346,
                    0.4311,
                    0.5267,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2908,
                    0.3419,
                    0.4187,
                    0.6013,
                    0.7908,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42859913103760533,
                  0.4469517944082646,
                  0.44209139060184116,
                  0.5130532112865499,
                  0.36626423619586695,
                  0.5853177011665638,
                  0.4436988151229386,
                  0.4763575803901278,
                  0.4103975723736635
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4420184704794867,
                  0.5047115016960736,
                  0.44072139025931856,
                  0.50988944455204,
                  0.3629905484152764,
                  0.5095395869810135,
                  0.5366034763908712,
                  0.4742968790706208,
                  0.39798285882572304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.24859118826464072,
                  0.11461140508409473,
                  0.2474157666941314,
                  0.12500969377454488,
                  0.1990830388789145,
                  0.4253250338121082,
                  0.08724056006665701,
                  0.15353189333211262,
                  0.19332089979304573
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2537131588617686,
                  0.12628149887457737,
                  0.25214437023988145,
                  0.11500592141195237,
                  0.17149265995198262,
                  0.3794684116024817,
                  0.11694824792605464,
                  0.14088271351723028,
                  0.19268951975567972
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.18000794910316742,
                  0.33234036688741175,
                  0.19467562975025615,
                  0.38804348988967197,
                  0.16718119878360246,
                  0.15999268476685088,
                  0.35645822611951666,
                  0.3228256699905127,
                  0.21707667457173616
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18830531768253342,
                  0.37842997488937147,
                  0.18857702603566706,
                  0.3948834922658445,
                  0.19149789395723185,
                  0.13007119185642071,
                  0.4196551931610477,
                  0.3334141456707239,
                  0.20529334209716282
                ],
                "crps": [
                  41.090888436242295,
                  108.40517797895977,
                  43.980597578809515,
                  65.56377614604898,
                  28.557163435912205,
                  74.75266501045265,
                  109.05686635815069,
                  59.53909060969433,
                  36.89987161422125
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  42.90082887749104,
                  118.37320312412125,
                  42.46067366939341,
                  63.805732942035554,
                  28.78926968938508,
                  64.57319319935485,
                  120.90849246219034,
                  61.02804778563007,
                  34.98357390591932
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  40.12164857618687,
                  107.4119457984698,
                  43.08675785293204,
                  64.62168308563655,
                  27.711599768491233,
                  73.82541103308209,
                  108.12377197378753,
                  58.570468873302595,
                  36.01528210549273
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.845492643694485,
                  116.3178668903247,
                  40.40533743559681,
                  61.75039670823898,
                  26.733933455588524,
                  62.517856965558295,
                  118.85315622839376,
                  58.97271155183349,
                  32.928237672122755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45697015917593575,
              "rpss": 0.01579961912370742,
              "brier_below": 0.19934771996669443,
              "bss_below": -0.026022125080977343,
              "brier_above": 0.25762243220696956,
              "bss_above": 0.045892935325924644,
              "crps": 63.09401079649908,
              "crpss": 0.017266391640199164,
              "crps_fair": 62.165396563042385,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0002924588013863971,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.016748,
                    0.363997,
                    0.413651,
                    0.181429,
                    0.023534,
                    0.000641,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1897,
                    0.2629,
                    0.3422,
                    0.4351,
                    0.535,
                    0.6123,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2062,
                    0.2519,
                    0.2445,
                    0.2515,
                    0.3101,
                    0.5708,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.026739,
                    0.245564,
                    0.46508,
                    0.251023,
                    0.011594,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1837,
                    0.2618,
                    0.3473,
                    0.4307,
                    0.5234,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.302,
                    0.3741,
                    0.4625,
                    0.6087,
                    0.7672,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "vs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.25310666217537053,
            "training": [
              0.2946737784671071,
              0.25716201975976594,
              0.28888835477374253,
              0.3064510960902167,
              0.2995433655055834,
              0.21187783619766817,
              0.28126657443786224,
              0.243730883866016,
              0.13925309978103523,
              0.22556194637729618,
              0.2598560178717683,
              0.2707029382237855,
              0.2694177385045844,
              0.1493138027463711,
              0.2596857489951846,
              0.26035891083127605,
              0.2192673493238515,
              0.33301390036205,
              0.24987811403976476,
              0.24879653094150703,
              0.26890073370739936,
              0.2416182113964902,
              0.2542422453805253,
              0.24109869462804132
            ],
            "test": 0.2879860393676477
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.38699673497618425,
                  0.39955904135100573,
                  0.40074115396018006,
                  0.44862358894889987,
                  0.3895396288851222,
                  0.39975778158646286,
                  0.42253764691989326,
                  0.48500989752362705,
                  0.47810321114437837,
                  0.45684574982589976,
                  0.4245148374336907,
                  0.45144723988152313,
                  0.4383285532294038,
                  0.5267048132772582,
                  0.3969202007443773,
                  0.48181177224042804,
                  0.5140406051400678,
                  0.38381481409216295,
                  0.43853275094916117,
                  0.39178602900675064,
                  0.45092239556343894,
                  0.46801221827956724,
                  0.4323294699341441,
                  0.4415866721716137
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45894706300641097,
                  0.40754294791650386,
                  0.4601534914002783,
                  0.5000905359223479,
                  0.4445790711557774,
                  0.4258238732290026,
                  0.48424481656689233,
                  0.4793409842600519,
                  0.41877841382813086,
                  0.46111873632898526,
                  0.42891628665826587,
                  0.47082882902115925,
                  0.4483917533041184,
                  0.41365567584295426,
                  0.4140030787620299,
                  0.5114434331880028,
                  0.4975392238101568,
                  0.4680896156026112,
                  0.4397483188088336,
                  0.4352402807644391,
                  0.4626760576432963,
                  0.45725111907872906,
                  0.4366080936608807,
                  0.4414528949246189
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11570942287691792,
                  0.18458730958909933,
                  0.13125182594401721,
                  0.110230137602514,
                  0.12996643423235474,
                  0.1782509547395163,
                  0.29110811212407983,
                  0.3191169764641364,
                  0.2799430314812954,
                  0.3250441228925796,
                  0.2547569239317098,
                  0.31606858432492585,
                  0.1574787312907947,
                  0.23138242768202735,
                  0.18657262601764668,
                  0.3090279593161163,
                  0.37606025810373345,
                  0.1109139357939652,
                  0.2742925022147836,
                  0.24779600035468183,
                  0.1979678806396965,
                  0.22045304645786,
                  0.20928216754754103,
                  0.15669145003137175
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15025268137425107,
                  0.190081121112669,
                  0.14789130450551305,
                  0.14021197404685093,
                  0.14972054333605386,
                  0.20004853763856406,
                  0.3343011137906884,
                  0.3138635795404824,
                  0.24863521574236033,
                  0.33000853230974125,
                  0.2502106359068355,
                  0.32256618398163905,
                  0.1674883727549808,
                  0.16020744995908937,
                  0.1972655139949176,
                  0.3202762304536326,
                  0.3633745716058891,
                  0.14902591371324228,
                  0.27067391909899063,
                  0.2614521758305831,
                  0.19326241853822837,
                  0.212212850619667,
                  0.2129832472744454,
                  0.15348783868969312
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2712873142349809,
                  0.21497173118908947,
                  0.26948933105229317,
                  0.33839345818432837,
                  0.25957319671916196,
                  0.22150682839710936,
                  0.13142953158369808,
                  0.16589291619022142,
                  0.19816017658800433,
                  0.13180162096826983,
                  0.16975791158223075,
                  0.1353786498829514,
                  0.2808498260586826,
                  0.2953223862242133,
                  0.2103475737650618,
                  0.1727838099845995,
                  0.13798033957374223,
                  0.2729008804815624,
                  0.16424024381624552,
                  0.14399002707449188,
                  0.2529545198856064,
                  0.24755917370480374,
                  0.2230473011491932,
                  0.2848952271068574
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3086943816321598,
                  0.21746182680383475,
                  0.31226218689476515,
                  0.35987856187549677,
                  0.2948585278197234,
                  0.22577533559043853,
                  0.14994370277620378,
                  0.16547740471956932,
                  0.17014319808577058,
                  0.13111020401924384,
                  0.1787056507514305,
                  0.1482626450395201,
                  0.28090338054913744,
                  0.25344822588386473,
                  0.21673756476711237,
                  0.19116720273437013,
                  0.13416465220426754,
                  0.3190637018893688,
                  0.16907439970984298,
                  0.17378810493385588,
                  0.2694136391050679,
                  0.2450382684590621,
                  0.22362484638643526,
                  0.28796505623492574
                ],
                "crps": [
                  52.737087620519475,
                  33.283875621440515,
                  45.24870185430776,
                  78.19316675465245,
                  42.50603976078452,
                  42.11879369054272,
                  48.30071999007362,
                  49.184086636327685,
                  40.14163724789164,
                  41.88347501526025,
                  46.57741870895951,
                  42.34325344816728,
                  42.42915743654189,
                  50.852877926165874,
                  31.34755835364283,
                  57.99735420496022,
                  52.72401931772771,
                  79.38675443717915,
                  43.550512505294556,
                  32.91108513744895,
                  55.422894769395946,
                  67.09006830622165,
                  44.150245757472376,
                  50.78434353720553
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  61.57545484682769,
                  33.06850522093541,
                  52.05674759109316,
                  83.23317548716258,
                  47.679443128451744,
                  36.649266644469904,
                  54.960249301555535,
                  48.21432127267424,
                  35.76317966057346,
                  43.0146170729507,
                  46.57295518358393,
                  43.9927862263878,
                  42.75386094272603,
                  36.77342259838785,
                  33.220317183739134,
                  62.346644471893114,
                  50.65477340092755,
                  94.10378263593546,
                  43.66305914790069,
                  37.93802433562074,
                  57.57121197590851,
                  63.87972402980024,
                  42.16795055796484,
                  49.200834462857934
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  50.49263811502894,
                  31.485940845938714,
                  43.41985169011668,
                  76.55056196692377,
                  40.63213416412899,
                  39.98676903293066,
                  46.477827613121676,
                  47.18305050716609,
                  38.48616691807691,
                  40.05191439770475,
                  44.680839605499834,
                  40.56095784102228,
                  40.76721773020284,
                  49.07575029511703,
                  29.657938555470356,
                  56.38616066716583,
                  50.882448348785125,
                  77.482297379461,
                  41.732435030839056,
                  31.309318198880007,
                  53.48844642089387,
                  65.52920777199446,
                  42.115188635707725,
                  48.79913999408981
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  59.51213112891232,
                  30.951191068122494,
                  49.97539601852678,
                  81.21087017955085,
                  45.5898012065243,
                  34.53873423677732,
                  52.88439678525896,
                  46.12569237753506,
                  33.65096905783561,
                  40.916140253190875,
                  44.48121764054876,
                  41.8961619997216,
                  40.65489026665894,
                  34.66312533454741,
                  31.103290553583054,
                  60.28478134038883,
                  48.57076657421312,
                  92.10206559943887,
                  41.56581043813129,
                  35.82993275688869,
                  55.500304464676994,
                  61.82076445806475,
                  40.067870203138725,
                  47.114073963912325
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43785278362771834,
              "rpss": 0.03294519431778742,
              "brier_below": 0.2214147009022235,
              "bss_below": 0.02308099268606112,
              "brier_above": 0.21643808230822495,
              "bss_above": 0.04283218950475354,
              "crps": 48.798547001591004,
              "crpss": 0.02488578506273942,
              "crps_fair": 46.96809173859443,
              "crpss_fair": 0.020656786972793384,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000141,
                    0.047718,
                    0.284299,
                    0.426664,
                    0.204282,
                    0.033279,
                    0.003561,
                    5.7e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0954,
                    0.1776,
                    0.2621,
                    0.3482,
                    0.4407,
                    0.5387,
                    0.6286,
                    0.71,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.4007,
                    0.2331,
                    0.2763,
                    0.3564,
                    0.4319,
                    0.4707,
                    0.4044,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000311,
                    0.045787,
                    0.307661,
                    0.382287,
                    0.207053,
                    0.050725,
                    0.00578,
                    0.000395,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0984,
                    0.1722,
                    0.2631,
                    0.3482,
                    0.4412,
                    0.5393,
                    0.6466,
                    0.7259,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.3632,
                    0.2329,
                    0.2314,
                    0.3525,
                    0.4719,
                    0.5531,
                    0.4827,
                    0.5,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.38312735788906854,
                  0.4053372723285303,
                  0.4025892904351642,
                  0.44785514714342967,
                  0.3937881813962047,
                  0.41452973411218125,
                  0.41975118278377,
                  0.4935793784364319,
                  0.44594578501159976,
                  0.4512112240784061,
                  0.43753313086943085,
                  0.42759755054293475,
                  0.4403295180971352,
                  0.5557243317134392,
                  0.40346922270995034,
                  0.47136569139308526,
                  0.4798605900073934,
                  0.4006783651041904,
                  0.43905330767635825,
                  0.3894963717829735,
                  0.4717628890782204,
                  0.42944261075346285,
                  0.4438844215621748,
                  0.42574982204654543
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4474562092655567,
                  0.414976185781546,
                  0.47185823621648193,
                  0.48374178914345145,
                  0.4342765884649558,
                  0.43718697920068267,
                  0.4792473026102781,
                  0.4900672940709853,
                  0.41717394071056896,
                  0.45032423184100207,
                  0.40979869225697113,
                  0.467750824124702,
                  0.45927656897890146,
                  0.41982584987714355,
                  0.4209814535744128,
                  0.5134117334479861,
                  0.4894764209334806,
                  0.5022846192079856,
                  0.4383103645027205,
                  0.4296939892015862,
                  0.46374980129595694,
                  0.4378000532482984,
                  0.45298017178274114,
                  0.43621059791858763
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12296258045602448,
                  0.18246343650044836,
                  0.12680480833053445,
                  0.12310860390961481,
                  0.1337674639162989,
                  0.1765101343597677,
                  0.3064517888748922,
                  0.3570407530119281,
                  0.25348123171282616,
                  0.3094617018410122,
                  0.24111971607206187,
                  0.30352080412261095,
                  0.1412544599445531,
                  0.24276458100043374,
                  0.1858025142017426,
                  0.34516880928146954,
                  0.34869717772405917,
                  0.09346038190327945,
                  0.2938443270675553,
                  0.22633598424295873,
                  0.17297422688749325,
                  0.23526288995900588,
                  0.2105210753427636,
                  0.15384059151229237
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15673700350885794,
                  0.18993855464429085,
                  0.14748571204199373,
                  0.14887573988045183,
                  0.15047478284038956,
                  0.19695936769536954,
                  0.3475695814340351,
                  0.3496972170464979,
                  0.24041868144495943,
                  0.3144941615055539,
                  0.21274026486328804,
                  0.3210822946339467,
                  0.15489252330671344,
                  0.1596938485511484,
                  0.1963858703470641,
                  0.36169332580436425,
                  0.35014201654987137,
                  0.14132264912075468,
                  0.292191342885498,
                  0.2390120149762029,
                  0.15314193076365407,
                  0.23675920908275302,
                  0.2189346527605118,
                  0.15776547949229533
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2601647781459463,
                  0.22287383553193432,
                  0.2757844852219702,
                  0.32474654917412366,
                  0.2600207202661357,
                  0.2380196014124666,
                  0.11329938980058923,
                  0.13653861942150625,
                  0.1924645499218207,
                  0.14174951633063151,
                  0.19641341297858592,
                  0.12407674173940061,
                  0.29907506385813476,
                  0.312959750949001,
                  0.21766670799746435,
                  0.12619687666734453,
                  0.13116340442406774,
                  0.3072179868363281,
                  0.1452089742973696,
                  0.16316038669980626,
                  0.29878866981368174,
                  0.19417972021661406,
                  0.2333633456663263,
                  0.2719092341911482
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29071920575669863,
                  0.22503763113725508,
                  0.32437252417448803,
                  0.3348660492629995,
                  0.28380180562456614,
                  0.24022761150531316,
                  0.13167772117624293,
                  0.14037007702448737,
                  0.17675525926560953,
                  0.1358300703354482,
                  0.19705842739368296,
                  0.14666852949075532,
                  0.3043840456721879,
                  0.260132001325995,
                  0.22459558322734866,
                  0.15171840764362157,
                  0.13933440438360928,
                  0.3609619700872309,
                  0.1461190216172225,
                  0.19068197422538324,
                  0.31060787053230304,
                  0.20104084416554538,
                  0.2340455190222293,
                  0.27844511842629227
                ],
                "crps": [
                  51.274077989719885,
                  34.66844134564254,
                  48.508987588711285,
                  73.07918633267845,
                  43.81138659688088,
                  46.29574282441284,
                  48.081780381830555,
                  54.53142923206018,
                  39.0661702693416,
                  39.14895195351077,
                  45.84701950902314,
                  40.38093102411479,
                  45.33843912480905,
                  56.00550602432675,
                  33.12035899834362,
                  56.725138564873134,
                  49.036443025626774,
                  94.7978214215438,
                  48.0423470129584,
                  33.203707090107486,
                  64.52480908843916,
                  56.64061155318943,
                  48.73217978599416,
                  50.48194975490937
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  58.163487413229475,
                  34.837972724411884,
                  56.53400187345384,
                  76.69078640041705,
                  46.98625831121353,
                  39.29658677482496,
                  55.359048905015605,
                  53.98754537632823,
                  36.97938706204916,
                  40.13204578642441,
                  42.97849838727257,
                  44.52416777634879,
                  46.81230130056042,
                  38.990913206612646,
                  35.31273694813096,
                  62.577586287846465,
                  49.36895634114212,
                  112.87267917326595,
                  47.74271252700829,
                  38.28292455692415,
                  65.3159455685385,
                  53.99893362297017,
                  47.559146392524326,
                  50.04181624016883
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  48.88690631760395,
                  32.85323192209956,
                  46.57737634900834,
                  71.407611815206,
                  41.82158736769981,
                  44.028396217255384,
                  46.2735672002187,
                  52.500265512717924,
                  37.39242703127696,
                  37.208188375047186,
                  43.91207174252615,
                  38.58249354258959,
                  43.68064023155491,
                  54.210685333353865,
                  31.358826628573663,
                  55.05268012993053,
                  47.15342426590145,
                  92.84198069743556,
                  46.160982455998216,
                  31.538212900551486,
                  62.5055190360374,
                  55.13467283652711,
                  46.73519123035222,
                  48.41517855731627
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  56.031460551006774,
                  32.66176875103611,
                  54.39888886437548,
                  74.59384911960947,
                  44.83306245447941,
                  37.12882714624164,
                  53.2217106062243,
                  51.84760953297501,
                  34.8072387976462,
                  37.96586846657518,
                  40.817712076137056,
                  42.36630886935927,
                  44.65877597979098,
                  36.82257465081682,
                  33.13743214942131,
                  60.45391946137113,
                  47.220273170070755,
                  110.84426820452818,
                  45.590949348713174,
                  36.1132451135342,
                  63.197465028579614,
                  51.85901934826592,
                  45.40703555109573,
                  47.89440742496682
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43640259903967005,
              "rpss": 0.036271862576171765,
              "brier_below": 0.22027583509065116,
              "bss_below": 0.027910406265943988,
              "brier_above": 0.21612676339843326,
              "bss_above": 0.04464711457751103,
              "crps": 50.05597568721034,
              "crpss": 0.027525090445358336,
              "crps_fair": 48.17633823736592,
              "crpss_fair": 0.02334839743033501,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000174,
                    0.046811,
                    0.291069,
                    0.429938,
                    0.193964,
                    0.033354,
                    0.00462,
                    7e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0954,
                    0.1769,
                    0.2613,
                    0.3482,
                    0.4399,
                    0.5404,
                    0.6286,
                    0.71,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.4007,
                    0.2024,
                    0.2654,
                    0.3667,
                    0.4445,
                    0.4318,
                    0.4013,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000385,
                    0.04999,
                    0.305656,
                    0.379738,
                    0.206343,
                    0.050555,
                    0.006845,
                    0.000489,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0984,
                    0.1702,
                    0.2627,
                    0.3475,
                    0.4416,
                    0.5402,
                    0.6475,
                    0.7259,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.3632,
                    0.2526,
                    0.2221,
                    0.3497,
                    0.4874,
                    0.5604,
                    0.4695,
                    0.5,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42312820764589015,
                  0.421068731345867,
                  0.4401864343840064,
                  0.5182166302129295,
                  0.38383538439603854,
                  0.5651341012906005,
                  0.4550108329928828,
                  0.46288651940344877,
                  0.39938873739196096
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4548732158685147,
                  0.4706333208057847,
                  0.44969195312233284,
                  0.4946189188631978,
                  0.3646459420467542,
                  0.5130289689655982,
                  0.5315854973909855,
                  0.4672520269944904,
                  0.38870596930672585
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20843110908695667,
                  0.13351189012493217,
                  0.24186185493259307,
                  0.1479481406604708,
                  0.20102189753330757,
                  0.4156659161594511,
                  0.12485784664248291,
                  0.1797705298036244,
                  0.20458360408092474
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21843408722835167,
                  0.14766688528448857,
                  0.2512736577016021,
                  0.12674768767659847,
                  0.16515991012746073,
                  0.38615249558629405,
                  0.14901034991540538,
                  0.175064391523122,
                  0.20359034351138386
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.21469709735635806,
                  0.28755682696363427,
                  0.19832458285967677,
                  0.37026846450740747,
                  0.18281348660384922,
                  0.1494682025360776,
                  0.33015296322374627,
                  0.28311597833471835,
                  0.1948051388079654
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23643912609798234,
                  0.32296641750682864,
                  0.1984182996772036,
                  0.36787120514252986,
                  0.19948603598484052,
                  0.12687649042845017,
                  0.382575118802246,
                  0.29218762296057854,
                  0.18511563243051762
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.93219993727629,
                  86.78134102067013,
                  42.250064493260695,
                  61.96310238284856,
                  29.586365531013215,
                  68.46484283703928,
                  101.60877588002445,
                  51.70464489896417,
                  34.32795151131975
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  46.72457071684336,
                  94.88397544087607,
                  41.94649723537161,
                  58.011774961514526,
                  28.214018443561105,
                  60.566519259298765,
                  111.45378958863908,
                  53.129504233894444,
                  32.74778697662606
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.967333101493125,
                  85.83248461621557,
                  41.393299771974924,
                  61.07291256046941,
                  28.77202642959565,
                  67.5468571045389,
                  100.70128957695256,
                  50.7855291406149,
                  33.46171893206483
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.726288810756294,
                  92.88569353478901,
                  39.94821532928456,
                  56.01349305542748,
                  26.21573653747405,
                  58.56823735321171,
                  109.45550768255202,
                  51.131222327807386,
                  30.749505070539
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45209506434040275,
              "rpss": 0.016004754804508692,
              "brier_below": 0.20640586544719375,
              "bss_below": -0.018952873730719855,
              "brier_above": 0.24568919346593704,
              "bss_above": 0.04357093364976483,
              "crps": 57.73547649915739,
              "crpss": 0.015272840050498782,
              "crps_fair": 56.83705013710221,
              "crpss_fair": -0.003609129976157144,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.013732,
                    0.323962,
                    0.405599,
                    0.229823,
                    0.026145,
                    0.000739,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1896,
                    0.2634,
                    0.3433,
                    0.4381,
                    0.5324,
                    0.6127,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.192,
                    0.2531,
                    0.2744,
                    0.305,
                    0.3052,
                    0.4991,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.036509,
                    0.277909,
                    0.452447,
                    0.222378,
                    0.010758,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.184,
                    0.2599,
                    0.346,
                    0.4311,
                    0.5267,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2908,
                    0.3419,
                    0.4187,
                    0.6015,
                    0.7908,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.428625403934703,
                  0.4470017170263954,
                  0.4421620995873292,
                  0.5131074408669927,
                  0.36620043445154327,
                  0.5851396616657083,
                  0.44376178926966364,
                  0.47640198841023634,
                  0.41054948204704644
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4420184704794867,
                  0.5047115016960736,
                  0.44072139025931856,
                  0.50988944455204,
                  0.3629905484152764,
                  0.5095395869810135,
                  0.5366034763908712,
                  0.4742968790706208,
                  0.39798285882572304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.24861699408577465,
                  0.11465653466008739,
                  0.24748760230393926,
                  0.12506378774412452,
                  0.19901728866761953,
                  0.4251689443151908,
                  0.08729714721237318,
                  0.15357566436351924,
                  0.19347472464565416
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2537131588617686,
                  0.12628149887457737,
                  0.25214437023988145,
                  0.11500592141195237,
                  0.17149265995198262,
                  0.3794684116024817,
                  0.11694824792605464,
                  0.14088271351723028,
                  0.19268951975567972
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1800084161675491,
                  0.33234515991597174,
                  0.19467450313800636,
                  0.3880436254992247,
                  0.16718314725362501,
                  0.15997073476461623,
                  0.35646461312554467,
                  0.3228263069742715,
                  0.21707475941568427
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18830531768253342,
                  0.37842997488937147,
                  0.18857702603566706,
                  0.3948834922658445,
                  0.19149789395723185,
                  0.13007119185642071,
                  0.4196551931610477,
                  0.3334141456707239,
                  0.20529334209716282
                ],
                "crps": [
                  41.10279262222032,
                  108.41688150537522,
                  43.995729596580745,
                  65.57778943898745,
                  28.57115121317107,
                  74.7511365009555,
                  109.06425628335495,
                  59.55376010684778,
                  36.916579771957906
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  42.90082887749104,
                  118.37320312412125,
                  42.46067366939341,
                  63.805732942035554,
                  28.78926968938508,
                  64.57319319935485,
                  120.90849246219034,
                  61.02804778563007,
                  34.98357390591932
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  40.13278417080526,
                  107.42305011414565,
                  43.101399541080546,
                  64.6351934275196,
                  27.725152684489416,
                  73.82312709142784,
                  108.13050665800158,
                  58.584736015330996,
                  36.031382577614224
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.845492643694485,
                  116.3178668903247,
                  40.40533743559681,
                  61.75039670823898,
                  26.733933455588524,
                  62.517856965558295,
                  118.85315622839376,
                  58.97271155183349,
                  32.928237672122755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4569944463621798,
              "rpss": 0.01574731054847156,
              "brier_below": 0.19937318755536473,
              "bss_below": -0.026153204129448993,
              "brier_above": 0.25762125180605483,
              "bss_above": 0.045897306951649286,
              "crps": 63.105564115494545,
              "crpss": 0.01708644056843156,
              "crps_fair": 62.17637025337946,
              "crpss_fair": -0.00046903452190427686,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.016657,
                    0.363088,
                    0.414287,
                    0.181793,
                    0.023352,
                    0.000823,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1897,
                    0.2629,
                    0.3422,
                    0.4352,
                    0.535,
                    0.6151,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2074,
                    0.252,
                    0.2445,
                    0.251,
                    0.3048,
                    0.6657,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.026739,
                    0.245564,
                    0.465171,
                    0.250932,
                    0.011594,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1838,
                    0.2618,
                    0.3473,
                    0.4307,
                    0.5234,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.302,
                    0.3741,
                    0.4624,
                    0.6089,
                    0.7672,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "selection": {
        "SEL-P": {
          "criterion": "inner RPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "mvs_r3",
            "1994": "vs",
            "1995": "mvs_r4",
            "1996": "mvs_r4",
            "1997": "mvs_r4",
            "1998": "vs",
            "1999": "mvs_r3",
            "2000": "mvs_r4",
            "2001": "mvs_r4",
            "2002": "vs",
            "2003": "mvs_r3",
            "2004": "mvs_r4",
            "2005": "vs",
            "2006": "vs",
            "2007": "mvs_r3",
            "2008": "mvs_r3",
            "2009": "mvs_r3",
            "2010": "mvs_r4",
            "2011": "mvs_r3",
            "2012": "vs",
            "2013": "vs",
            "2014": "vs",
            "2015": "mvs_r3",
            "2016": "vs"
          },
          "chosen_test": "mvs_r4",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "mvs_r3": 8,
            "mvs_r4": 7,
            "vs": 9
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.3869888868679563,
                  0.39955904135100573,
                  0.4006801984649947,
                  0.44858789941155386,
                  0.3895222660135592,
                  0.39975778158646286,
                  0.4232864975743507,
                  0.48507218634638466,
                  0.4780913683557706,
                  0.45684574982589976,
                  0.4246751054598298,
                  0.45146121544204953,
                  0.4383285532294038,
                  0.5267048132772582,
                  0.39704016355835053,
                  0.4818601974052775,
                  0.514624767059552,
                  0.3837665101714225,
                  0.4388358538434595,
                  0.39178602900675064,
                  0.45092239556343894,
                  0.46801221827956724,
                  0.4324408242705709,
                  0.4415866721716137
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45894706300641097,
                  0.40754294791650386,
                  0.4601534914002783,
                  0.5000905359223479,
                  0.4445790711557774,
                  0.4258238732290026,
                  0.48424481656689233,
                  0.4793409842600519,
                  0.41877841382813086,
                  0.46111873632898526,
                  0.42891628665826587,
                  0.47082882902115925,
                  0.4483917533041184,
                  0.41365567584295426,
                  0.4140030787620299,
                  0.5114434331880028,
                  0.4975392238101568,
                  0.4680896156026112,
                  0.4397483188088336,
                  0.4352402807644391,
                  0.4626760576432963,
                  0.45725111907872906,
                  0.4366080936608807,
                  0.4414528949246189
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11569045683430436,
                  0.18458730958909933,
                  0.13119555828076418,
                  0.11019676187055782,
                  0.12995200098890566,
                  0.1782509547395163,
                  0.2918644588513189,
                  0.3191770756548441,
                  0.27994820953091015,
                  0.3250441228925796,
                  0.25493020712062275,
                  0.31608313962710616,
                  0.1574787312907947,
                  0.23138242768202735,
                  0.18672223663965054,
                  0.30910170991715785,
                  0.3766387104263336,
                  0.11087267633208972,
                  0.2746147544606295,
                  0.24779600035468183,
                  0.1979678806396965,
                  0.22045304645786,
                  0.20940924067290814,
                  0.15669145003137175
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15025268137425107,
                  0.190081121112669,
                  0.14789130450551305,
                  0.14021197404685093,
                  0.14972054333605386,
                  0.20004853763856406,
                  0.3343011137906884,
                  0.3138635795404824,
                  0.24863521574236033,
                  0.33000853230974125,
                  0.2502106359068355,
                  0.32256618398163905,
                  0.1674883727549808,
                  0.16020744995908937,
                  0.1972655139949176,
                  0.3202762304536326,
                  0.3633745716058891,
                  0.14902591371324228,
                  0.27067391909899063,
                  0.2614521758305831,
                  0.19326241853822837,
                  0.212212850619667,
                  0.2129832472744454,
                  0.15348783868969312
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2712984321567914,
                  0.21497173118908947,
                  0.2694846431925478,
                  0.3383911443865611,
                  0.25957026708149045,
                  0.22150682839710936,
                  0.13142203548485581,
                  0.16589510578759917,
                  0.19814315576652203,
                  0.13180162096826983,
                  0.1697448964309739,
                  0.1353780701231201,
                  0.2808498260586826,
                  0.2953223862242133,
                  0.21031792595791796,
                  0.17275848456264925,
                  0.1379860491705501,
                  0.2728938360184252,
                  0.16422109447281732,
                  0.14399002707449188,
                  0.2529545198856064,
                  0.24755917370480374,
                  0.22303158234178486,
                  0.2848952271068574
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3086943816321598,
                  0.21746182680383475,
                  0.31226218689476515,
                  0.35987856187549677,
                  0.2948585278197234,
                  0.22577533559043853,
                  0.14994370277620378,
                  0.16547740471956932,
                  0.17014319808577058,
                  0.13111020401924384,
                  0.1787056507514305,
                  0.1482626450395201,
                  0.28090338054913744,
                  0.25344822588386473,
                  0.21673756476711237,
                  0.19116720273437013,
                  0.13416465220426754,
                  0.3190637018893688,
                  0.16907439970984298,
                  0.17378810493385588,
                  0.2694136391050679,
                  0.2450382684590621,
                  0.22362484638643526,
                  0.28796505623492574
                ],
                "crps": [
                  52.74907115991031,
                  33.283875621440515,
                  45.24211316455123,
                  78.20296440496514,
                  42.494589099050174,
                  42.11879369054272,
                  48.35965226267213,
                  49.176256937139556,
                  40.138390806352625,
                  41.88347501526025,
                  46.5604007458966,
                  42.341026085065316,
                  42.42915743654189,
                  50.852877926165874,
                  31.368259238584404,
                  57.97912165658275,
                  52.77735960522226,
                  79.37597787888535,
                  43.53570726354101,
                  32.91108513744895,
                  55.422894769395946,
                  67.09006830622165,
                  44.12338088537303,
                  50.78434353720553
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  61.57545484682769,
                  33.06850522093541,
                  52.05674759109316,
                  83.23317548716258,
                  47.679443128451744,
                  36.649266644469904,
                  54.960249301555535,
                  48.21432127267424,
                  35.76317966057346,
                  43.0146170729507,
                  46.57295518358393,
                  43.9927862263878,
                  42.75386094272603,
                  36.77342259838785,
                  33.220317183739134,
                  62.346644471893114,
                  50.65477340092755,
                  94.10378263593546,
                  43.66305914790069,
                  37.93802433562074,
                  57.57121197590851,
                  63.87972402980024,
                  42.16795055796484,
                  49.200834462857934
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  50.504991966546505,
                  31.485940845938714,
                  43.41427889990023,
                  76.560980277198,
                  40.62169457242297,
                  39.98676903293066,
                  46.5414958234759,
                  47.176838796442524,
                  38.48385114257651,
                  40.05191439770475,
                  44.66774194109773,
                  40.55989097461982,
                  40.76721773020284,
                  49.07575029511703,
                  29.68201121054092,
                  56.37197783177421,
                  50.93889389967841,
                  77.47245142787854,
                  41.72174731149521,
                  31.309318198880007,
                  53.48844642089387,
                  65.52920777199446,
                  42.09504659353377,
                  48.79913999408981
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  59.51213112891232,
                  30.951191068122494,
                  49.97539601852678,
                  81.21087017955085,
                  45.5898012065243,
                  34.53873423677732,
                  52.88439678525896,
                  46.12569237753506,
                  33.65096905783561,
                  40.916140253190875,
                  44.48121764054876,
                  41.8961619997216,
                  40.65489026665894,
                  34.66312533454741,
                  31.103290553583054,
                  60.28478134038883,
                  48.57076657421312,
                  92.10206559943887,
                  41.56581043813129,
                  35.82993275688869,
                  55.500304464676994,
                  61.82076445806475,
                  40.067870203138725,
                  47.114073963912325
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4379348831056868,
              "rpss": 0.03276386694547839,
              "brier_below": 0.22150204670357213,
              "bss_below": 0.022695608277533474,
              "brier_above": 0.21643283598098875,
              "bss_above": 0.04285539066926336,
              "crps": 48.80003510975064,
              "crpss": 0.024856049025316462,
              "crps_fair": 46.97114988987223,
              "crpss_fair": 0.020593020709624987
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.38312240373494466,
                  0.4053372723285303,
                  0.4025138937099256,
                  0.4478142856279517,
                  0.3937690841285075,
                  0.41452973411218125,
                  0.42065582059632145,
                  0.4936555598586745,
                  0.4459245885357227,
                  0.4512112240784061,
                  0.43769722605554867,
                  0.4276133949455673,
                  0.4403295180971352,
                  0.5557243317134392,
                  0.40363618867100876,
                  0.4714638065020945,
                  0.4805319803380501,
                  0.40061888601150547,
                  0.43947773035425575,
                  0.3894963717829735,
                  0.4717628890782204,
                  0.42944261075346285,
                  0.44408056063990986,
                  0.42574982204654543
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4474562092655567,
                  0.414976185781546,
                  0.47185823621648193,
                  0.48374178914345145,
                  0.4342765884649558,
                  0.43718697920068267,
                  0.4792473026102781,
                  0.4900672940709853,
                  0.41717394071056896,
                  0.45032423184100207,
                  0.40979869225697113,
                  0.467750824124702,
                  0.45927656897890146,
                  0.41982584987714355,
                  0.4209814535744128,
                  0.5134117334479861,
                  0.4894764209334806,
                  0.5022846192079856,
                  0.4383103645027205,
                  0.4296939892015862,
                  0.46374980129595694,
                  0.4378000532482984,
                  0.45298017178274114,
                  0.43621059791858763
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12294061791294582,
                  0.18246343650044836,
                  0.12673495813375227,
                  0.1230686155769521,
                  0.1337502657696694,
                  0.1765101343597677,
                  0.3073637739450791,
                  0.35711514748080403,
                  0.2534838249312577,
                  0.3094617018410122,
                  0.24129547886093564,
                  0.3035379728442312,
                  0.1412544599445531,
                  0.24276458100043374,
                  0.18598818653696036,
                  0.34529858213421477,
                  0.3493703604063792,
                  0.09340907922076107,
                  0.29429115800657824,
                  0.22633598424295873,
                  0.17297422688749325,
                  0.23526288995900588,
                  0.210737007841798,
                  0.15384059151229237
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15673700350885794,
                  0.18993855464429085,
                  0.14748571204199373,
                  0.14887573988045183,
                  0.15047478284038956,
                  0.19695936769536954,
                  0.3475695814340351,
                  0.3496972170464979,
                  0.24041868144495943,
                  0.3144941615055539,
                  0.21274026486328804,
                  0.3210822946339467,
                  0.15489252330671344,
                  0.1596938485511484,
                  0.1963858703470641,
                  0.36169332580436425,
                  0.35014201654987137,
                  0.14132264912075468,
                  0.292191342885498,
                  0.2390120149762029,
                  0.15314193076365407,
                  0.23675920908275302,
                  0.2189346527605118,
                  0.15776547949229533
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.26018178651887464,
                  0.22287383553193432,
                  0.275778938658992,
                  0.3247456760003988,
                  0.26001882113323893,
                  0.2380196014124666,
                  0.11329204251069255,
                  0.13654040633200842,
                  0.1924407602482866,
                  0.14174951633063151,
                  0.1964017453952368,
                  0.1240754173981265,
                  0.29907506385813476,
                  0.312959750949001,
                  0.21764800163109757,
                  0.12616521892846452,
                  0.1311616120804328,
                  0.30720981042101964,
                  0.14518656606979422,
                  0.16316038669980626,
                  0.29878866981368174,
                  0.19417972021661406,
                  0.23334355222997105,
                  0.2719092341911482
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29071920575669863,
                  0.22503763113725508,
                  0.32437252417448803,
                  0.3348660492629995,
                  0.28380180562456614,
                  0.24022761150531316,
                  0.13167772117624293,
                  0.14037007702448737,
                  0.17675525926560953,
                  0.1358300703354482,
                  0.19705842739368296,
                  0.14666852949075532,
                  0.3043840456721879,
                  0.260132001325995,
                  0.22459558322734866,
                  0.15171840764362157,
                  0.13933440438360928,
                  0.3609619700872309,
                  0.1461190216172225,
                  0.19068197422538324,
                  0.31060787053230304,
                  0.20104084416554538,
                  0.2340455190222293,
                  0.27844511842629227
                ],
                "crps": [
                  51.28890594020136,
                  34.66844134564254,
                  48.50083500855433,
                  73.09130955178202,
                  43.797218007815545,
                  46.29574282441284,
                  48.15057497083683,
                  54.52174107666134,
                  39.062153252931715,
                  39.14895195351077,
                  45.82708147714015,
                  40.378174974445066,
                  45.33843912480905,
                  56.00550602432675,
                  33.14630443472514,
                  56.70890970855647,
                  49.09839430502754,
                  94.78448694100935,
                  48.02933262978158,
                  33.203707090107486,
                  64.52480908843916,
                  56.64061155318943,
                  48.707345486397244,
                  50.48194975490937
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  58.163487413229475,
                  34.837972724411884,
                  56.53400187345384,
                  76.69078640041705,
                  46.98625831121353,
                  39.29658677482496,
                  55.359048905015605,
                  53.98754537632823,
                  36.97938706204916,
                  40.13204578642441,
                  42.97849838727257,
                  44.52416777634879,
                  46.81230130056042,
                  38.990913206612646,
                  35.31273694813096,
                  62.577586287846465,
                  49.36895634114212,
                  112.87267917326595,
                  47.74271252700829,
                  38.28292455692415,
                  65.3159455685385,
                  53.99893362297017,
                  47.559146392524326,
                  50.04181624016883
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  48.90219247744233,
                  32.85323192209956,
                  46.570480802152105,
                  71.42050301402536,
                  41.80866983609123,
                  44.028396217255384,
                  46.34754093098031,
                  52.49257939127997,
                  37.389561583655336,
                  37.208188375047186,
                  43.8965586075888,
                  38.581173444939786,
                  43.68064023155491,
                  54.210685333353865,
                  31.388610316868558,
                  55.041076013934536,
                  47.219016749775854,
                  92.8297977122801,
                  46.152531585405775,
                  31.538212900551486,
                  62.5055190360374,
                  55.13467283652711,
                  46.71758923441192,
                  48.41517855731627
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  56.031460551006774,
                  32.66176875103611,
                  54.39888886437548,
                  74.59384911960947,
                  44.83306245447941,
                  37.12882714624164,
                  53.2217106062243,
                  51.84760953297501,
                  34.8072387976462,
                  37.96586846657518,
                  40.817712076137056,
                  42.36630886935927,
                  44.65877597979098,
                  36.82257465081682,
                  33.13743214942131,
                  60.45391946137113,
                  47.220273170070755,
                  110.84426820452818,
                  45.590949348713174,
                  36.1132451135342,
                  63.197465028579614,
                  51.85901934826592,
                  45.40703555109573,
                  47.89440742496682
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4365066326542035,
              "rpss": 0.03604212031115228,
              "brier_below": 0.2203855431604285,
              "bss_below": 0.027426258411344717,
              "brier_above": 0.21612108894000223,
              "bss_above": 0.044672197589675,
              "crps": 50.05837193855055,
              "crpss": 0.027478536676835308,
              "crps_fair": 48.18052529627396,
              "crpss_fair": 0.023263515557984116
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42310485507684725,
                  0.4210281736147921,
                  0.4401284995364921,
                  0.5181757703041833,
                  0.3838894546450426,
                  0.5652770486577721,
                  0.4549599721727687,
                  0.4628504313189749,
                  0.39926610258431794
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4548732158685147,
                  0.4706333208057847,
                  0.44969195312233284,
                  0.4946189188631978,
                  0.3646459420467542,
                  0.5130289689655982,
                  0.5315854973909855,
                  0.4672520269944904,
                  0.38870596930672585
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20840965037281825,
                  0.13347494329736842,
                  0.2418033771094201,
                  0.14790628368269704,
                  0.20107695484333432,
                  0.4157912860177805,
                  0.12481217935268507,
                  0.1797348400030756,
                  0.20445937549312085
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21843408722835167,
                  0.14766688528448857,
                  0.2512736577016021,
                  0.12674768767659847,
                  0.16515991012746073,
                  0.38615249558629405,
                  0.14901034991540538,
                  0.175064391523122,
                  0.20359034351138386
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.21469520351094437,
                  0.28755321607102086,
                  0.1983251258255081,
                  0.37026946157731416,
                  0.18281249954023976,
                  0.1494857800434934,
                  0.3301477696894218,
                  0.28311558005468135,
                  0.19480673256935685
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23643912609798234,
                  0.32296641750682864,
                  0.1984182996772036,
                  0.36787120514252986,
                  0.19948603598484052,
                  0.12687649042845017,
                  0.382575118802246,
                  0.29218762296057854,
                  0.18511563243051762
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.92257930347651,
                  86.77188255437792,
                  42.23783521509775,
                  61.95177722714796,
                  29.57506099637903,
                  68.46607813613144,
                  101.60280354690323,
                  51.69278941716971,
                  34.3144484404378
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  46.72457071684336,
                  94.88397544087607,
                  41.94649723537161,
                  58.011774961514526,
                  28.214018443561105,
                  60.566519259298765,
                  111.45378958863908,
                  53.129504233894444,
                  32.74778697662606
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.95833362196852,
                  85.82351041546703,
                  41.38146676464897,
                  61.06199387589858,
                  28.7610733378027,
                  67.54870292300278,
                  100.69584679147354,
                  50.7739988311021,
                  33.448706975886516
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.726288810756294,
                  92.88569353478901,
                  39.94821532928456,
                  56.01349305542748,
                  26.21573653747405,
                  58.56823735321171,
                  109.45550768255202,
                  51.131222327807386,
                  30.749505070539
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4520755897679101,
              "rpss": 0.01604714165684673,
              "brier_below": 0.20638543224136666,
              "bss_below": -0.01885200220872152,
              "brier_above": 0.24569015209799783,
              "bss_above": 0.043567201847181436,
              "crps": 57.72613942634681,
              "crpss": 0.01543209168828752,
              "crps_fair": 56.82818150413897,
              "crpss_fair": -0.003452530698206502
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42859913103760533,
                  0.4469517944082646,
                  0.44209139060184116,
                  0.5130532112865499,
                  0.36626423619586695,
                  0.5853177011665638,
                  0.4436988151229386,
                  0.4763575803901278,
                  0.4103975723736635
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4420184704794867,
                  0.5047115016960736,
                  0.44072139025931856,
                  0.50988944455204,
                  0.3629905484152764,
                  0.5095395869810135,
                  0.5366034763908712,
                  0.4742968790706208,
                  0.39798285882572304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.24859118826464072,
                  0.11461140508409473,
                  0.2474157666941314,
                  0.12500969377454488,
                  0.1990830388789145,
                  0.4253250338121082,
                  0.08724056006665701,
                  0.15353189333211262,
                  0.19332089979304573
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2537131588617686,
                  0.12628149887457737,
                  0.25214437023988145,
                  0.11500592141195237,
                  0.17149265995198262,
                  0.3794684116024817,
                  0.11694824792605464,
                  0.14088271351723028,
                  0.19268951975567972
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.18000794910316742,
                  0.33234036688741175,
                  0.19467562975025615,
                  0.38804348988967197,
                  0.16718119878360246,
                  0.15999268476685088,
                  0.35645822611951666,
                  0.3228256699905127,
                  0.21707667457173616
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18830531768253342,
                  0.37842997488937147,
                  0.18857702603566706,
                  0.3948834922658445,
                  0.19149789395723185,
                  0.13007119185642071,
                  0.4196551931610477,
                  0.3334141456707239,
                  0.20529334209716282
                ],
                "crps": [
                  41.090888436242295,
                  108.40517797895977,
                  43.980597578809515,
                  65.56377614604898,
                  28.557163435912205,
                  74.75266501045265,
                  109.05686635815069,
                  59.53909060969433,
                  36.89987161422125
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  42.90082887749104,
                  118.37320312412125,
                  42.46067366939341,
                  63.805732942035554,
                  28.78926968938508,
                  64.57319319935485,
                  120.90849246219034,
                  61.02804778563007,
                  34.98357390591932
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  40.12164857618687,
                  107.4119457984698,
                  43.08675785293204,
                  64.62168308563655,
                  27.711599768491233,
                  73.82541103308209,
                  108.12377197378753,
                  58.570468873302595,
                  36.01528210549273
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.845492643694485,
                  116.3178668903247,
                  40.40533743559681,
                  61.75039670823898,
                  26.733933455588524,
                  62.517856965558295,
                  118.85315622839376,
                  58.97271155183349,
                  32.928237672122755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45697015917593575,
              "rpss": 0.01579961912370742,
              "brier_below": 0.19934771996669443,
              "bss_below": -0.026022125080977343,
              "brier_above": 0.25762243220696956,
              "bss_above": 0.045892935325924644,
              "crps": 63.09401079649908,
              "crpss": 0.017266391640199164,
              "crps_fair": 62.165396563042385,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0002924588013863971
            }
          }
        },
        "SEL-A": {
          "criterion": "inner CRPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "mvs",
            "1994": "mvs_r3",
            "1995": "mvs_r3",
            "1996": "mvs",
            "1997": "mvs_r3",
            "1998": "mvs_r3",
            "1999": "mvs_r3",
            "2000": "mvs_r3",
            "2001": "mvs_r3",
            "2002": "mvs_r3",
            "2003": "mvs_r3",
            "2004": "mvs_r3",
            "2005": "mvs_r3",
            "2006": "mvs_r3",
            "2007": "mvs_r3",
            "2008": "mvs_r3",
            "2009": "mvs_r3",
            "2010": "mvs_r3",
            "2011": "mvs_r3",
            "2012": "mvs_r3",
            "2013": "mvs_r3",
            "2014": "mvs_r3",
            "2015": "mvs_r3",
            "2016": "mvs_r3"
          },
          "chosen_test": "mvs_r3",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 2,
            "mvs_r3": 22,
            "mvs_r4": 0,
            "vs": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.38717393372903236,
                  0.39966002140363244,
                  0.4004531401912421,
                  0.44844364296573347,
                  0.3894753346279306,
                  0.39953306778795106,
                  0.4232864975743507,
                  0.4852758104281391,
                  0.47808090774322687,
                  0.4568943514337817,
                  0.4246751054598298,
                  0.4515688071725847,
                  0.4379199567227825,
                  0.5261148515028826,
                  0.39704016355835053,
                  0.4818601974052775,
                  0.514624767059552,
                  0.3836383645133562,
                  0.4388358538434595,
                  0.3916733625294673,
                  0.4509385206686481,
                  0.46762719155867527,
                  0.4324408242705709,
                  0.4411424261253484
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45894706300641097,
                  0.40754294791650386,
                  0.4601534914002783,
                  0.5000905359223479,
                  0.4445790711557774,
                  0.4258238732290026,
                  0.48424481656689233,
                  0.4793409842600519,
                  0.41877841382813086,
                  0.46111873632898526,
                  0.42891628665826587,
                  0.47082882902115925,
                  0.4483917533041184,
                  0.41365567584295426,
                  0.4140030787620299,
                  0.5114434331880028,
                  0.4975392238101568,
                  0.4680896156026112,
                  0.4397483188088336,
                  0.4352402807644391,
                  0.4626760576432963,
                  0.45725111907872906,
                  0.4366080936608807,
                  0.4414528949246189
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.11551522376082186,
                  0.18471058039668242,
                  0.13101312027770717,
                  0.10965757174758532,
                  0.12991067120108296,
                  0.17812930642421046,
                  0.2918644588513189,
                  0.31940062574695477,
                  0.2799487377366913,
                  0.3250800619904135,
                  0.25493020712062275,
                  0.3162068083131753,
                  0.1571454508702332,
                  0.2308354754988906,
                  0.18672223663965054,
                  0.30910170991715785,
                  0.3766387104263336,
                  0.11071909377308388,
                  0.2746147544606295,
                  0.24767033467631563,
                  0.1980115417256192,
                  0.22009317242010593,
                  0.20940924067290814,
                  0.15636918363201985
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15025268137425107,
                  0.190081121112669,
                  0.14789130450551305,
                  0.14021197404685093,
                  0.14972054333605386,
                  0.20004853763856406,
                  0.3343011137906884,
                  0.3138635795404824,
                  0.24863521574236033,
                  0.33000853230974125,
                  0.2502106359068355,
                  0.32256618398163905,
                  0.1674883727549808,
                  0.16020744995908937,
                  0.1972655139949176,
                  0.3202762304536326,
                  0.3633745716058891,
                  0.14902591371324228,
                  0.27067391909899063,
                  0.2614521758305831,
                  0.19326241853822837,
                  0.212212850619667,
                  0.2129832472744454,
                  0.15348783868969312
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2716587120112365,
                  0.21494944045702244,
                  0.2694400229300733,
                  0.33878607782657627,
                  0.2595646654742835,
                  0.22140376289142694,
                  0.13142203548485581,
                  0.1658751798110443,
                  0.19813216692328942,
                  0.13181428345384624,
                  0.1697448964309739,
                  0.13536199320210873,
                  0.28077450999610665,
                  0.29527937660331754,
                  0.21031792595791796,
                  0.17275848456264925,
                  0.1379860491705501,
                  0.2729192729454572,
                  0.16422109447281732,
                  0.14400302629906955,
                  0.25292698388873014,
                  0.24753402098322266,
                  0.22303158234178486,
                  0.2847732473671278
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3086943816321598,
                  0.21746182680383475,
                  0.31226218689476515,
                  0.35987856187549677,
                  0.2948585278197234,
                  0.22577533559043853,
                  0.14994370277620378,
                  0.16547740471956932,
                  0.17014319808577058,
                  0.13111020401924384,
                  0.1787056507514305,
                  0.1482626450395201,
                  0.28090338054913744,
                  0.25344822588386473,
                  0.21673756476711237,
                  0.19116720273437013,
                  0.13416465220426754,
                  0.3190637018893688,
                  0.16907439970984298,
                  0.17378810493385588,
                  0.2694136391050679,
                  0.2450382684590621,
                  0.22362484638643526,
                  0.28796505623492574
                ],
                "crps": [
                  52.91549078966645,
                  33.2658862814912,
                  45.229378379890505,
                  78.41218030299444,
                  42.47422921874038,
                  42.089565008635056,
                  48.35965226267213,
                  49.16190917681146,
                  40.13439209061224,
                  41.87962378912783,
                  46.5604007458966,
                  42.34510430462066,
                  42.39636364478818,
                  50.81013914565639,
                  31.368259238584404,
                  57.97912165658275,
                  52.77735960522226,
                  79.35246605909911,
                  43.53570726354101,
                  32.91367620175601,
                  55.411919907813505,
                  67.08527148758891,
                  44.12338088537303,
                  50.74466027669774
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  61.57545484682769,
                  33.06850522093541,
                  52.05674759109316,
                  83.23317548716258,
                  47.679443128451744,
                  36.649266644469904,
                  54.960249301555535,
                  48.21432127267424,
                  35.76317966057346,
                  43.0146170729507,
                  46.57295518358393,
                  43.9927862263878,
                  42.75386094272603,
                  36.77342259838785,
                  33.220317183739134,
                  62.346644471893114,
                  50.65477340092755,
                  94.10378263593546,
                  43.66305914790069,
                  37.93802433562074,
                  57.57121197590851,
                  63.87972402980024,
                  42.16795055796484,
                  49.200834462857934
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  50.689660271553294,
                  31.472310760885055,
                  43.40413328085597,
                  76.78436985151947,
                  40.60360245563246,
                  39.9627548532452,
                  46.5414958234759,
                  47.166096959059345,
                  38.48214502494521,
                  40.050871206872216,
                  44.66774194109773,
                  40.56669440382748,
                  40.73847328902704,
                  49.03552635336538,
                  29.68201121054092,
                  56.37197783177421,
                  50.93889389967841,
                  77.45124965222476,
                  41.72174731149521,
                  31.314340978546475,
                  53.48097537547562,
                  65.52764224816387,
                  42.09504659353377,
                  48.7626947888102
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  59.51213112891232,
                  30.951191068122494,
                  49.97539601852678,
                  81.21087017955085,
                  45.5898012065243,
                  34.53873423677732,
                  52.88439678525896,
                  46.12569237753506,
                  33.65096905783561,
                  40.916140253190875,
                  44.48121764054876,
                  41.8961619997216,
                  40.65489026665894,
                  34.66312533454741,
                  31.103290553583054,
                  60.28478134038883,
                  48.57076657421312,
                  92.10206559943887,
                  41.56581043813129,
                  35.82993275688869,
                  55.500304464676994,
                  61.82076445806475,
                  40.067870203138725,
                  47.114073963912325
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4378490458448252,
              "rpss": 0.03295344969732261,
              "brier_below": 0.22140409492834226,
              "bss_below": 0.023127788031778618,
              "brier_above": 0.21644495047856202,
              "bss_above": 0.042801815960996636,
              "crps": 48.80525573849426,
              "crpss": 0.024751728105706916,
              "crps_fair": 46.979685681900214,
              "crpss_fair": 0.020415038814236453
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.38331165156718916,
                  0.4055029868348368,
                  0.40223295581636437,
                  0.44753282376819487,
                  0.39371305606268886,
                  0.41429835095080386,
                  0.42065582059632145,
                  0.49392199836977513,
                  0.4458883090620376,
                  0.45121190201426137,
                  0.43769722605554867,
                  0.4276536049738368,
                  0.43986583438707744,
                  0.5550139117936591,
                  0.40363618867100876,
                  0.4714638065020945,
                  0.4805319803380501,
                  0.4005001152779988,
                  0.43947773035425575,
                  0.38925462780184167,
                  0.47175280284402044,
                  0.4290131235336547,
                  0.44408056063990986,
                  0.42526067811414553
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4474562092655567,
                  0.414976185781546,
                  0.47185823621648193,
                  0.48374178914345145,
                  0.4342765884649558,
                  0.43718697920068267,
                  0.4792473026102781,
                  0.4900672940709853,
                  0.41717394071056896,
                  0.45032423184100207,
                  0.40979869225697113,
                  0.467750824124702,
                  0.45927656897890146,
                  0.41982584987714355,
                  0.4209814535744128,
                  0.5134117334479861,
                  0.4894764209334806,
                  0.5022846192079856,
                  0.4383103645027205,
                  0.4296939892015862,
                  0.46374980129595694,
                  0.4378000532482984,
                  0.45298017178274114,
                  0.43621059791858763
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12281480699475111,
                  0.18265675295670614,
                  0.1265090916774227,
                  0.12239542760033635,
                  0.13370708778507498,
                  0.17638110058774786,
                  0.3073637739450791,
                  0.3574050161205405,
                  0.25345265415908413,
                  0.3094476389998579,
                  0.24129547886093564,
                  0.3035950643625322,
                  0.1408787779628558,
                  0.24210770981834884,
                  0.18598818653696036,
                  0.34529858213421477,
                  0.3493703604063792,
                  0.09325971835187652,
                  0.29429115800657824,
                  0.22608255214445863,
                  0.1729996288620749,
                  0.23486085188428063,
                  0.210737007841798,
                  0.15349921486130336
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15673700350885794,
                  0.18993855464429085,
                  0.14748571204199373,
                  0.14887573988045183,
                  0.15047478284038956,
                  0.19695936769536954,
                  0.3475695814340351,
                  0.3496972170464979,
                  0.24041868144495943,
                  0.3144941615055539,
                  0.21274026486328804,
                  0.3210822946339467,
                  0.15489252330671344,
                  0.1596938485511484,
                  0.1963858703470641,
                  0.36169332580436425,
                  0.35014201654987137,
                  0.14132264912075468,
                  0.292191342885498,
                  0.2390120149762029,
                  0.15314193076365407,
                  0.23675920908275302,
                  0.2189346527605118,
                  0.15776547949229533
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.26049684529491746,
                  0.22284623360928843,
                  0.27572386723187364,
                  0.3251374019090496,
                  0.2600059710403929,
                  0.23791725196571664,
                  0.11329204251069255,
                  0.1365169762391067,
                  0.19243565152735367,
                  0.14176425708374696,
                  0.1964017453952368,
                  0.12405853594297753,
                  0.29898706215836224,
                  0.3129062021752614,
                  0.21764800163109757,
                  0.12616521892846452,
                  0.1311616120804328,
                  0.3072404005834899,
                  0.14518656606979422,
                  0.16317207485148058,
                  0.29875318158457764,
                  0.19415227103051158,
                  0.23334355222997105,
                  0.27176146679710256
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29071920575669863,
                  0.22503763113725508,
                  0.32437252417448803,
                  0.3348660492629995,
                  0.28380180562456614,
                  0.24022761150531316,
                  0.13167772117624293,
                  0.14037007702448737,
                  0.17675525926560953,
                  0.1358300703354482,
                  0.19705842739368296,
                  0.14666852949075532,
                  0.3043840456721879,
                  0.260132001325995,
                  0.22459558322734866,
                  0.15171840764362157,
                  0.13933440438360928,
                  0.3609619700872309,
                  0.1461190216172225,
                  0.19068197422538324,
                  0.31060787053230304,
                  0.20104084416554538,
                  0.2340455190222293,
                  0.27844511842629227
                ],
                "crps": [
                  51.404311443362865,
                  34.6514396341355,
                  48.48728399291846,
                  73.269129916245,
                  43.770889939800476,
                  46.262028291879474,
                  48.15057497083683,
                  54.509311836281256,
                  39.05623996889674,
                  39.14142731380621,
                  45.82708147714015,
                  40.37924132577031,
                  45.30381618481364,
                  55.95763375512827,
                  33.14630443472514,
                  56.70890970855647,
                  49.09839430502754,
                  94.75869519615424,
                  48.02933262978158,
                  33.20501490025724,
                  64.51064880232666,
                  56.634042415189704,
                  48.707345486397244,
                  50.43677938240431
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  58.163487413229475,
                  34.837972724411884,
                  56.53400187345384,
                  76.69078640041705,
                  46.98625831121353,
                  39.29658677482496,
                  55.359048905015605,
                  53.98754537632823,
                  36.97938706204916,
                  40.13204578642441,
                  42.97849838727257,
                  44.52416777634879,
                  46.81230130056042,
                  38.990913206612646,
                  35.31273694813096,
                  62.577586287846465,
                  49.36895634114212,
                  112.87267917326595,
                  47.74271252700829,
                  38.28292455692415,
                  65.3159455685385,
                  53.99893362297017,
                  47.559146392524326,
                  50.04181624016883
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  49.03702134353986,
                  32.840956446102126,
                  46.55982791873137,
                  71.61393201846612,
                  41.78493457234079,
                  44.00073962197717,
                  46.34754093098031,
                  52.484120936444775,
                  37.386218393558636,
                  37.203959900612624,
                  43.8965586075888,
                  38.58532572226044,
                  43.65045210114036,
                  54.165658791227415,
                  31.388610316868558,
                  55.041076013934536,
                  47.219016749775854,
                  92.80660473623517,
                  46.152531585405775,
                  31.54231141579415,
                  62.49528314286898,
                  55.13184725367811,
                  46.71758923441192,
                  48.37369648864043
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  56.031460551006774,
                  32.66176875103611,
                  54.39888886437548,
                  74.59384911960947,
                  44.83306245447941,
                  37.12882714624164,
                  53.2217106062243,
                  51.84760953297501,
                  34.8072387976462,
                  37.96586846657518,
                  40.817712076137056,
                  42.36630886935927,
                  44.65877597979098,
                  36.82257465081682,
                  33.13743214942131,
                  60.45391946137113,
                  47.220273170070755,
                  110.84426820452818,
                  45.590949348713174,
                  36.1132451135342,
                  63.197465028579614,
                  51.85901934826592,
                  45.40703555109573,
                  47.89440742496682
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43639466859706566,
              "rpss": 0.03628937574107238,
              "brier_below": 0.2202665684525499,
              "bss_below": 0.02795130045873373,
              "brier_above": 0.21612809957795412,
              "bss_above": 0.04464120821524176,
              "crps": 50.05857822132648,
              "crpss": 0.027474529066932374,
              "crps_fair": 48.184408926774346,
              "crpss_fair": 0.023184784917782753
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4229942974011115,
                  0.4208814779790523,
                  0.4398065555819379,
                  0.5179179536305377,
                  0.38405013945091193,
                  0.5656737694633406,
                  0.45482577842090754,
                  0.4626834500088546,
                  0.3989370411781655
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4548732158685147,
                  0.4706333208057847,
                  0.44969195312233284,
                  0.4946189188631978,
                  0.3646459420467542,
                  0.5130289689655982,
                  0.5315854973909855,
                  0.4672520269944904,
                  0.38870596930672585
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20831618679910557,
                  0.13331544756435776,
                  0.24151066950991107,
                  0.14766367775375588,
                  0.20123067361980937,
                  0.41618399892635044,
                  0.12467100575420673,
                  0.17954736611068906,
                  0.2041455670103414
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.21843408722835167,
                  0.14766688528448857,
                  0.2512736577016021,
                  0.12674768767659847,
                  0.16515991012746073,
                  0.38615249558629405,
                  0.14901034991540538,
                  0.175064391523122,
                  0.20359034351138386
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2146781094416838,
                  0.2875660161538959,
                  0.1982958894437983,
                  0.37025425084936364,
                  0.18281946557608442,
                  0.14948978793716547,
                  0.3301547495533929,
                  0.2831360726052094,
                  0.19479147962503704
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23643912609798234,
                  0.32296641750682864,
                  0.1984182996772036,
                  0.36787120514252986,
                  0.19948603598484052,
                  0.12687649042845017,
                  0.382575118802246,
                  0.29218762296057854,
                  0.18511563243051762
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.90098950914242,
                  86.74973365973752,
                  42.2097275378694,
                  61.92244123577793,
                  29.556908574833756,
                  68.48401768422251,
                  101.59490198849997,
                  51.668491855764145,
                  34.28627311872027
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  46.72457071684336,
                  94.88397544087607,
                  41.94649723537161,
                  58.011774961514526,
                  28.214018443561105,
                  60.566519259298765,
                  111.45378958863908,
                  53.129504233894444,
                  32.74778697662606
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.938378101314015,
                  85.80262839157903,
                  41.35440536736287,
                  61.03381786548014,
                  28.743906284092265,
                  67.56823819769753,
                  100.68936713303619,
                  50.7506437251883,
                  33.42182024766651
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.726288810756294,
                  92.88569353478901,
                  39.94821532928456,
                  56.01349305542748,
                  26.21573653747405,
                  58.56823735321171,
                  109.45550768255202,
                  51.131222327807386,
                  30.749505070539
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4519744959016466,
              "rpss": 0.016267174768393455,
              "brier_below": 0.2062871770053919,
              "bss_below": -0.018366950803623716,
              "brier_above": 0.24568731346507006,
              "bss_above": 0.043578252194990896,
              "crps": 57.70816501828532,
              "crpss": 0.015738660350666622,
              "crps_fair": 56.81146725704632,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0031573962578652637
            },
            "fmam_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42847079997955334,
                  0.44678360308660253,
                  0.4417445882453039,
                  0.5127896450048349,
                  0.36649003903045274,
                  0.5857379452577327,
                  0.44354653356564383,
                  0.4761400317744029,
                  0.4099831083971314
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4420184704794867,
                  0.5047115016960736,
                  0.44072139025931856,
                  0.50988944455204,
                  0.3629905484152764,
                  0.5095395869810135,
                  0.5366034763908712,
                  0.4742968790706208,
                  0.39798285882572304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.24849028074568513,
                  0.11441873765877907,
                  0.24709261160631452,
                  0.12476037168665564,
                  0.19929779202800857,
                  0.42574974365752793,
                  0.08707977332453472,
                  0.1533058666350386,
                  0.19292511901620496
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2537131588617686,
                  0.12628149887457737,
                  0.25214437023988145,
                  0.11500592141195237,
                  0.17149265995198262,
                  0.3794684116024817,
                  0.11694824792605464,
                  0.14088271351723028,
                  0.19268951975567972
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.17998052559545413,
                  0.3323648429661618,
                  0.1946519824586877,
                  0.38802924571583214,
                  0.16719224847657543,
                  0.15998821900785262,
                  0.3564667313388468,
                  0.3228341480325732,
                  0.21705799135706427
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18830531768253342,
                  0.37842997488937147,
                  0.18857702603566706,
                  0.3948834922658445,
                  0.19149789395723185,
                  0.13007119185642071,
                  0.4196551931610477,
                  0.3334141456707239,
                  0.20529334209716282
                ],
                "crps": [
                  41.06418869270661,
                  108.37924153293123,
                  43.94887470990432,
                  65.53071796170045,
                  28.53805395748694,
                  74.77435441206568,
                  109.05073998643762,
                  59.51009533917283,
                  36.866969922992304
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  42.90082887749104,
                  118.37320312412125,
                  42.46067366939341,
                  63.805732942035554,
                  28.78926968938508,
                  64.57319319935485,
                  120.90849246219034,
                  61.02804778563007,
                  34.98357390591932
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  40.096781430808456,
                  107.38743883377133,
                  43.05620540378695,
                  64.58993537783131,
                  27.693604172581576,
                  73.84890314160768,
                  108.11924172897703,
                  58.54253648605533,
                  35.98382771548629
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.845492643694485,
                  116.3178668903247,
                  40.40533743559681,
                  61.75039670823898,
                  26.733933455588524,
                  62.517856965558295,
                  118.85315622839376,
                  58.97271155183349,
                  32.928237672122755
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4568540327046287,
              "rpss": 0.016049726740135384,
              "brier_below": 0.19923558848430545,
              "bss_below": -0.02544499592259797,
              "brier_above": 0.2576184372165609,
              "bss_above": 0.0459077308099185,
              "crps": 63.07369294615533,
              "crpss": 0.017582856454059548,
              "crps_fair": 62.146497143434004,
              "crpss_fair": 1.1648434394162521e-05
            }
          }
        }
      }
    }
  },
  "tests": {
    "mvs_r3": {
      "rps": {
        "Feb": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0008066330537627731,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001637505922766256,
              7.477037228335485e-05
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.04025,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0014250874932291405,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00300371181201145,
              0.0003551848265586699
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.076171875,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.60375,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Mar": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00023036201362612122,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0006575226666602855,
              0.00020701271322572963
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.160475,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00044896425019307843,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001140747281441705,
              0.0002586690414368521
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.126953125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Apr": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -2.664749895553431e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0005991167331248287,
              0.0005713288038398694
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.466685,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00010828294738445759,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0005619943392558875,
              0.000730513887851315
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.62109375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "May": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -2.5778061510384198e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0003162311571511778,
              0.00025841916947757734
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.430655,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00032511130241945504,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0003687111751887858,
              0.001030959402737431
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.78515625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "FMAM": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00028025697017622597,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0009626022465505115,
              0.00039315346534899776
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.226775,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0003260328711373359,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0006878670374487616,
              0.001133033558817858
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.732421875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Feb": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -7.149990113062878e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008197456726473579,
              0.0007079590453642541
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.426975,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.001516428830007222,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0025190696683674223,
              -0.00016392860565905522
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.025390625,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Mar": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00018655904853544353,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00042531121429549644,
              6.758422857325122e-05
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.079495,
            "years_better": 17,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0003090265213704708,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008532042974575067,
              0.00018585187298706727
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.166015625,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Apr": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -7.360292757746754e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0006183541316918856,
              0.000452916456928132
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.39548,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00013373985470942516,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0006102756314140533,
              0.0008035802927733604
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.630859375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "May": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -6.429330515148161e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00032016714390378055,
              0.00017525400699155557
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.31134,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0002761175363252482,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00032369423182027757,
              0.0008172962788033412
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.80078125,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "FMAM": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0003277975362890705,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0010109707908103193,
              0.0003209255121860594
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.18423,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0004763892559115465,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0006811674718899074,
              0.0013622840303282651
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.78515625,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Feb": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0007351331692105108,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0011226151260689003,
              -0.00034433354730814693
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.00075,
            "years_better": 18,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 9.134136818564497e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0006663483321593631,
              0.0008754059623489463
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.587890625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.01125,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Mar": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -4.3802955967970486e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0002996365801823006,
              0.00019815572198102002
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.36759,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0001399377170648524,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0003587281407317577,
              0.00010484969877140226
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.138671875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Apr": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 4.695543571226271e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -5.468508303474691e-05,
              0.00017411739951027762
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.761745,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -2.545690804272212e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00015744999713606078,
              0.00010317651608945279
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.384765625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "May": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 3.8515231136482024e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -5.3096187776139996e-05,
              0.00013864062009808146
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.7575,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 4.899374620206028e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0001303421346135567,
              0.0002446976193030322
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.66015625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "FMAM": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 4.754057032076963e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -8.935902527642024e-05,
              0.00019128693596826913
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.738035,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00015035634641296584,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00040043751659083257,
              7.497318098434767e-05
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.13671875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Feb": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.03674673491262148,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.059606758759739836,
              -0.01428019409164476
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.00287,
            "years_better": 18,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.01568096600026007,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.04845304663026077,
              0.014835208896389647
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.189453125,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.041475,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": true
          }
        },
        "Mar": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.05513636674465686,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.09692103136515642,
              -0.01702296242057533
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.00626,
            "years_better": 18,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.08259272819252692,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.15832467208515133,
              -0.006706898071002698
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.037109375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.0626,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Apr": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.012864315019945671,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.04899919562136684,
              0.022178346478136962
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.24766,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0181717169947125,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0608889282183679,
              0.026552004487267775
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.224609375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "May": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0031188292344549082,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.027720210797184463,
              0.019811793272789587
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.401675,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.022861451361011673,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.02946243344271214,
              0.0667905803793917
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.806640625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "FMAM": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.012680733080112491,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.061388132204934054,
              0.03405380888319508
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.30898,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.021604729755956162,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.06486401654980825,
              0.0934962042560956
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.69140625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "mvs_r4": {
      "rps": {
        "Feb": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0008290913486168963,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0019099297020611062,
              0.0003024913572482465
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.07974,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0017962988057116133,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003533610455470904,
              0.00033513781359184754
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.0625,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Mar": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0002578811639326282,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007162065557586385,
              0.00020352734360196397
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.149655,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0004943137843289468,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0012767571680780193,
              0.0002799004127948168
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.123046875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Apr": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -9.495463993313784e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008861377896269122,
              0.0007155178191412653
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.412725,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00022469919311096653,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007373553506834863,
              0.0011119200147482466
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.671875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "May": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -3.016833597928546e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00034998228316599324,
              0.0002800874531744701
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.42614,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00035936479934837545,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00034367777138152205,
              0.0010440456922495107
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.81640625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "FMAM": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00027530969770965297,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0010421335184105532,
              0.0004810077675886147
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.25472,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00042712673740082546,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007060251980300197,
              0.0013053878824693234
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.76171875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Feb": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -4.899686456879467e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0010446902551031693,
              0.0010124218827924037
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.463615,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.001991042066616535,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0031477199667684706,
              -0.00030407137658899967
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.01953125,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Mar": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00020741189939788886,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00046758329132734006,
              6.790874761002733e-05
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.07477,
            "years_better": 16,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0003599274197899411,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0009843215215929167,
              0.00020642633059790602
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.15625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Apr": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0001274772882346164,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008699139481961462,
              0.0006064515111931043
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.370335,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00027457854598491997,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007091262136969071,
              0.001154259156683819
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.703125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "May": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -7.170889939231197e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00035424434209405174,
              0.00019397119635394323
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.308805,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0003121397741919589,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00031051988499958895,
              0.0008527899803524705
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.82421875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "FMAM": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0003455403049510142,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0011083130624486859,
              0.00037467002422895843
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.19835,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0005746444918863086,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.000716337785299978,
              0.0015173893606956056
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8046875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Feb": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0007800945048332721,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0012034157470302482,
              -0.00034622230558262033
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.001065,
            "years_better": 19,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0001947433070174411,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0006102749805862645,
              0.001028564005865726
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.669921875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.01491,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Mar": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -5.0469255514698844e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0003223008601902566,
              0.0002019640195133467
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.35772,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00013438635273825395,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0003558796794967785,
              0.0001128532785795107
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.1484375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Apr": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 3.2522654764534364e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00011372128937619093,
              0.0002089625293227127
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.640375,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -4.9879351725182516e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00031104295639012956,
              0.00020983770655991807
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.392578125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "May": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 4.154055182655746e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -5.280084215271097e-05,
              0.00014235258053832373
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.77243,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 4.722500654438799e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00011856429665265068,
              0.00022134382928603674
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.685546875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "FMAM": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 7.023061277951677e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -6.97931886897325e-05,
              0.0002190544532064597
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.81905,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00014751771348521669,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00039895869530600384,
              7.764152891092006e-05
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.154296875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Feb": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.03944840489999576,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.06403678500395046,
              -0.015286234410052117
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.002765,
            "years_better": 19,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.017639919967748066,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.05351636977139707,
              0.01673266189345812
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.197265625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.041475,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": true
          }
        },
        "Mar": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.06696397613002973,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.11493614107546214,
              -0.022815597237644463
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.004275,
            "years_better": 19,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.09576905314986482,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.18320144640602345,
              -0.008549049797075645
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.0390625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.047025000000000004,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": true
          }
        },
        "Apr": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.017163526818441948,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.06275672419513913,
              0.026398745720142454
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.233485,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.01602570756706396,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.06914349842747257,
              0.03750643551710987
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.296875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "May": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0020302214304758572,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.029519037109249722,
              0.024201877595204695
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.44331,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.03100370715212127,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.023929612405268117,
              0.07857509241883798
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.861328125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "FMAM": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.011115880744478298,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.06869058736126595,
              0.04287806125567601
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.35396,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.039579137817451086,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.05664369112312983,
              0.11752730881418766
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.796875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "vs": {
      "rps": {
        "Feb": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0008530308793636884,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0021160387174253927,
              0.0004889790072127395
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.107445,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.002022843617748978,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0038951973290191517,
              0.00037924623616400444
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.056640625,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Mar": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0002734670891655193,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007296714600798411,
              0.00019077692507611728
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.135215,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0005075522451306232,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0013203379347269744,
              0.00028805910933878766
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.126953125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Apr": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0001161701519011062,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0009792469276580955,
              0.0007557370365905095
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.4013,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00026872742029360186,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007617451827606662,
              0.0012038157827482644
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.685546875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "May": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -2.0265345931492578e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0003455429987270184,
              0.0002960862288684061
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.45065,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0003689471095234727,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00032823860163035617,
              0.0010192007177043231
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.837890625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "FMAM": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00026890871316183573,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0010636881103565062,
              0.0005075615565509953
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.26577,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0004466013098934598,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.000734290934580698,
              0.0013361572126996438
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.765625,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Feb": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -1.2102745883516355e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0011990917553119447,
              0.0012766696104802007
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.493125,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0022246813654370184,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0035137295843885217,
              -0.00025284353884383413
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.01953125,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Mar": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0002190414573916121,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00047967673302613616,
              5.409225489480778e-05
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.064675,
            "years_better": 16,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00037407960893853787,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0010281796140853504,
              0.00021454547000276887
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.16015625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.9701249999999999,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Apr": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00014278331060159702,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.000940870316750218,
              0.0006467166464576656
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.36578,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0003260047571484305,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007233444522839555,
              0.001249693620251514
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.720703125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "May": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -6.818657384370305e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00035817787427995426,
              0.00020563587103945236
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.321975,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0003261932600942726,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00029742975339297527,
              0.0008572808071265757
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.833984375,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "FMAM": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0003443566838231312,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0011287215272624317,
              0.0003917314568237252
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.206295,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0005950776977133402,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007325354321663155,
              0.0015549854210658504
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.80859375,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Feb": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0008409281533197909,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001290351394504825,
              -0.00037416087069962124
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.00115,
            "years_better": 19,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00020183780219109235,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0006248066186124974,
              0.0010635155133860862
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.671875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.01495,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Mar": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -5.4425624158142144e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00032698356623442055,
              0.00019693815371442882
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.347425,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00013347262447801426,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.000353163812355987,
              0.00011181150750363524
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.150390625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Apr": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 2.6613165605186954e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0001368976363734825,
              0.0002227836260945769
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.604065,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -5.727733709388739e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.000338417092586194,
              0.00022180105073686242
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.384765625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "May": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 4.7921218700632796e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -4.488267944138419e-05,
              0.00014663471145320208
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.810735,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 4.275383329093502e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00010592448465961365,
              0.00019287072536066288
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.693359375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "FMAM": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 7.544798468812318e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -6.44869919913411e-05,
              0.00022456789772942612
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.83536,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00014847634554601696,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0003972921280022659,
              7.420740405555959e-05
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.142578125,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Feb": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.039281263423427824,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.06381508381978875,
              -0.015230990469176817
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.002775,
            "years_better": 19,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.01749304918329115,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.054536643480887666,
              0.018715454725664986
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.20703125,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.041475,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": true
          }
        },
        "Mar": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.07010612505466025,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.11897849603183329,
              -0.02455303080443297
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.00372,
            "years_better": 19,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.09826984949766704,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.18802101536995214,
              -0.00902858131152944
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.037109375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.04464,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": true
          }
        },
        "Apr": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.018015791656617708,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.06580659829754676,
              0.027523600386985064
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.23307,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.014576377668909006,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.069762682219328,
              0.040881582962716344
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.322265625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "May": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0011876435237825334,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.027885123459356936,
              0.02871108108846366
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.531935,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.036546813275317426,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.019769833954198755,
              0.08538183240209053
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.884765625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "FMAM": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.005921089330709783,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.06607136691583781,
              0.05047504078064472
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.423995,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.04891621062802661,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.04981548235359858,
              0.1288200937506108
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.83984375,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "SEL-P": {
      "rps": {
        "Feb": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0007421080588920747,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0018855598111052801,
              0.00042368444967978176
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.11207,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0017962988057116133,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003533610455470904,
              0.00033513781359184754
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.0625,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 0.56035,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Mar": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00027108887028962314,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007287148757634349,
              0.00019071498819349565
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.137855,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0005075522451306232,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0013203379347269744,
              0.00028805910933878766
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.126953125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 0.56035,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Apr": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0001161701519011062,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0009792469276580955,
              0.0007557370365905095
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.4013,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00026872742029360186,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007617451827606662,
              0.0012038157827482644
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.685546875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 0.960405,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "May": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -3.359764590228168e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0003576476427368561,
              0.00028015012339673386
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.418395,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00032511130241945504,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0003687111751887858,
              0.001030959402737431
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.78515625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 0.960405,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "FMAM": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0001868092351934164,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0009121565067702731,
              0.0005515596774967082
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.320135,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00042712673740082546,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007060251980300197,
              0.0013053878824693234
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.76171875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 0.960405,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "SEL-A": {
      "crps": {
        "Feb": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.03956213052114014,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0641232594101374,
              -0.015400380618119562
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.00273,
            "years_better": 19,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.017639919967748066,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.05351636977139707,
              0.01673266189345812
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.197265625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 0.013649999999999999,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": true
          }
        },
        "Mar": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.07010612505466025,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.11897849603183329,
              -0.02455303080443297
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.00372,
            "years_better": 19,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.09826984949766704,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.18802101536995214,
              -0.00902858131152944
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.037109375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 0.01488,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": true
          }
        },
        "Apr": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.018095735751914255,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.06580659829754676,
              0.027510315352243825
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.23202,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.014576377668909006,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.069762682219328,
              0.040881582962716344
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.322265625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 0.69606,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "May": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.000864667340588395,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.022217388129259007,
              0.023246893953738586
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.528835,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.022861451361011673,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.02946243344271214,
              0.0667905803793917
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.806640625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "FMAM": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0007876475725470122,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.04539500727530115,
              0.04277965590065199
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.51169,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.021604729755956162,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.06486401654980825,
              0.0934962042560956
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.69140625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    }
  }
}