{
  "created_utc": "2026-10-12T10:13:44.985621+00:00",
  "config": "config/bias_correction/may_jjas.json",
  "protocol": "Selection-aware confirmation of rainfall-amount bias-correction methods through the full probability pipeline (docs/47).\n\nRead-only experiment. Configured by the \"confirmation\" block of config/bias_correction/<name>.json; any cycle, any\nmethod of the registry (scripts/bias_methods.py).\n\nPipeline for one amount method (the operational one, with the amount correction swapped):\n    corrected members -> tercile counts against the training CHIRPS terciles -> alpha smoothing\n    -> blend with climatology, p = (1 - lambda) p_s + lambda p_clim, one lambda per target fitted by\n       leave-one-year-out within the training years (local_blend.fit_weights, over the full rectangle as operationally)\nDesign:\n    outer leave-one-year-out over the training years. For outer year y every fit (amount correction, terciles,\n    climatology, lambda) uses only the other training years; lambda comes from inner leave-one-year-out within them.\n    Selection-aware procedures choose a method for year y with the inner (training-only) scores:\n        SEL-P: lowest inner blended RPS (probability product); SEL-A: lowest inner CRPS (amount product).\n    Their outer scores therefore include the effect of choosing among the declared candidate family.\n    Test years: all fits and the selection on the training years, scored on the test years (exploratory).\nScores per year (area-weighted over a region, equal years): blended RPS and RPSS, category Brier scores and skill\n(below and above normal), reliability tables; ensemble CRPS of the amounts (and the fair CRPS).\nTests against the operational method: paired whole-year sign-flip, Holm across the declared family\n(every method and target for the method comparisons; the targets for SEL-P, SEL-A and each sensitivity variant).\nVariants (e.g. the MVS all-zero guard) run through the same pipeline but are never chosen by SEL-P / SEL-A.\nCheckpoints (one per target and method) are reused only when the complete dependency fingerprint of the target\n(configuration contents, masks, input files, calculation code; bias_benchmark.dependencies) is unchanged.",
  "provenance": {
    "commit": "9f397927f5d4ddf2be3a1fa52595f34fc8fcb56a",
    "uncommitted_changes": false,
    "code_sha256": {
      "scripts/bias_methods.py": "03b2fdd8a645b96f27e4087a96408c0b412b135c80bfc23637757c6c44f9c370",
      "scripts/bias_benchmark.py": "b2cbc28349379aa016ef81d0255ac9edd21b38ffc5425b9a12c93a1df52e9084",
      "scripts/bias_confirmation.py": "f2fd9f9c0a73d3ed54e670f7770b47139793173cbdcd42dda1ba642be90848cc",
      "scripts/significance.py": "3143761d5d201e4e62df9ad923757b952a3ea768b060c8a722afcd9b3d6a9963",
      "scripts/calibration_core.py": "f0635cc563e6d6aedb62799847b83fbb0f5cc12ee9f8c48ad48dda15a054fb62",
      "scripts/compare_calibration.py": "9aa137c9a02672ffacc2541cfd23cdab9b3294bf7cc77580a11e21208560866a",
      "scripts/local_blend.py": "ada5c571fb7762d2c333f83ad119d35f0784b82aa2cc35449a44cdf00c53c17d",
      "scripts/run_calibration.py": "1f34e8fc92fdd15983f1633de67fcb6a35882911b6b7072ca865df99d907afd0",
      "scripts/run_monthly.py": "dc13dfb54b78773afb6d0c25ebac8769552e5c071f5d2aed9ba2a01400e44f79",
      "scripts/cycle.py": "00e076fc93dc2c8a5caebf6a209fc3de09a5f69e16c2e7cb20bd7b36d2ecdcba",
      "scripts/common.py": "72b83f5c530017e317ea43af3a0e430e6d03f361bc032de374a0f942435cb0a1"
    },
    "config": {
      "path": "config/bias_correction/may_jjas.json",
      "sha256": "2cfeeebc7d4d91f3bee67e440c9f74f41b2fca3705c95a0bfd1d7e7b2c568efa"
    },
    "project_config": {
      "path": "config/project.json",
      "sha256": "e4f0865e03a0a8349a5c01a48120cd7e4ef41bb865e2370733a3b81ddf862160"
    },
    "cycle_config": {
      "path": "config/operational.json",
      "sha256": "44ba9357752249ef879af3aad10cec30f02165ac3589ce626123f5b8b3286b14"
    },
    "masks": {
      "cells": {
        "path": "data/masks/ethiopia_common.nc",
        "sha256": "57ad8861c598abb9f175012920e5d0ef058e5b643cd6e4987cad3da6ac0b9e16"
      },
      "ethiopia": {
        "path": "data/masks/ethiopia_common.nc",
        "sha256": "57ad8861c598abb9f175012920e5d0ef058e5b643cd6e4987cad3da6ac0b9e16"
      },
      "jjas_domain": {
        "path": "data/masks/init05_JJAS_regime_domain.nc",
        "sha256": "65b8d6bf9c3ac5ef408688ea9f79e028e421f7fdd371d093beb693db0fcfe802"
      }
    },
    "inputs": {
      "Jun": {
        "folder": "data/processed/init05_Jun",
        "files": 67,
        "sha256": "ee40e28ce79056d49d6074e4180c2a5275a52d5b6564a4a09edbcaf8850a4ec2"
      },
      "Jul": {
        "folder": "data/processed/init05_Jul",
        "files": 67,
        "sha256": "27e6089a6cbb581469a59d2e5a551c8e0bd7df0751a95e8c844f1eb63ba22d26"
      },
      "Aug": {
        "folder": "data/processed/init05_Aug",
        "files": 67,
        "sha256": "5089f3c813e80e8227cd20d1587a857bc545c3c4ff092cd0f53715a2b7a50c0a"
      },
      "Sep": {
        "folder": "data/processed/init05_Sep",
        "files": 67,
        "sha256": "e29f812041c61bcdae92d419fcec6f05a888f570a5e05b2090dd49a6f11795fb"
      },
      "JJAS": {
        "folder": "data/processed/init05_JJAS",
        "files": 67,
        "sha256": "8b484f2d4d7c869da0d764bc930dd14a9f34666590affb072f4d073058a61c4d"
      }
    },
    "scoring_version": 3,
    "dependency_sha256": "d4f6e297ca276421b1d67bfeb02975f0b46767778625c079f42f6d68192da3f3",
    "python": "3.11.9",
    "numpy": "1.26.4",
    "checkpoint_keys": {
      "Jun": "b1c1cb4d56157eaae382d281d8a471d6b1764c8325fc7aa3e9f1003a80511fab",
      "Jul": "17951426ed300120328fda6fc78dd3cf9ea5557817f6e6995c9614f3f0429ad3",
      "Aug": "e052a9d5b671645aeed22fa29ed3a497e80746158d432a3038f17cf9122a8900",
      "Sep": "d652d8725e1442f11f59cf47d372c5e61c32a9201a8c5858ec486b6ce4d956ef",
      "JJAS": "dddbd0e80ee099afc11f8f4a539140dfced13be9e8f7e2931298f4dd7ec32076"
    }
  },
  "methods": [
    "mvs",
    "ls",
    "vs",
    "sqrt_mvs",
    "pt",
    "dc",
    "loci",
    "eqm",
    "gqm",
    "dqm",
    "qdm",
    "sdm",
    "cdft",
    "mvs_zero_guard"
  ],
  "family": [
    "mvs",
    "ls",
    "vs",
    "sqrt_mvs",
    "pt",
    "dc",
    "loci",
    "eqm",
    "gqm",
    "dqm",
    "qdm",
    "sdm",
    "cdft"
  ],
  "variants": [
    "mvs_zero_guard"
  ],
  "reference": "mvs",
  "targets": {
    "Jun": {
      "tag": "init05_Jun",
      "methods": {
        "mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7978337512440189,
            "training": [
              0.7975864217429401,
              0.7965102382004805,
              0.7899722529276202,
              0.849573773389875,
              0.7218119944085232,
              0.7945040019209031,
              0.7906226373328963,
              0.8027269925834115,
              0.8068803033163404,
              0.794019576585749,
              0.8160078769401922,
              0.7520146574654442,
              0.7695594063591092,
              0.7941096656523936,
              0.8230725365066831,
              0.8106238449008522,
              0.8069797717813294,
              0.7916228176836716,
              0.7859170552755945,
              0.823354845466928,
              0.7901537272625366,
              0.8380790015683979,
              0.7926896147600049,
              0.8096170158245773
            ],
            "test": 0.8202209697875432
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42931540966969034,
                  0.47065644575323196,
                  0.455007189552589,
                  0.4309998811722683,
                  0.5782387558747842,
                  0.4580698251660113,
                  0.4673562439957732,
                  0.4713222547069534,
                  0.4173031681210436,
                  0.4140214911447917,
                  0.411735574757159,
                  0.5098099865306472,
                  0.420683955250026,
                  0.4215406625981025,
                  0.4820695377199034,
                  0.41557494494958475,
                  0.45906283129268155,
                  0.4330666963668821,
                  0.48851801158464425,
                  0.4373224426094803,
                  0.46643924902319445,
                  0.4391641594949776,
                  0.4671247188545888,
                  0.4392022539345633
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4472054714310519,
                  0.4589801912597414,
                  0.46359114484830244,
                  0.4595146544011181,
                  0.4903287371504829,
                  0.4582362527063328,
                  0.45761747388311064,
                  0.46494431359450544,
                  0.423772983565715,
                  0.4155827025390587,
                  0.4368040928437045,
                  0.46274855668884746,
                  0.4038665014531707,
                  0.4219599370685286,
                  0.5019918956202981,
                  0.4318073516145089,
                  0.4712546274029139,
                  0.43284096253823107,
                  0.4803020022477182,
                  0.4457785600038623,
                  0.4573407337119155,
                  0.472428683947618,
                  0.46721179644431254,
                  0.4529883736143887
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20022938257895642,
                  0.26058279600831963,
                  0.2686321725912386,
                  0.14403679706264286,
                  0.18905213870318777,
                  0.1909377628774414,
                  0.28246189805370403,
                  0.31505410059872746,
                  0.2288901608245223,
                  0.23774337878371035,
                  0.150354433716597,
                  0.30432400754213157,
                  0.222171161949791,
                  0.21410517024050704,
                  0.12859286217535396,
                  0.18262805672868854,
                  0.27241534869210116,
                  0.23805809298290848,
                  0.20985869305003121,
                  0.2264967346917107,
                  0.2660500182370166,
                  0.2776284283762618,
                  0.20298133751503816,
                  0.223834299405662
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20837734610233538,
                  0.25377519233942636,
                  0.2750995710775306,
                  0.15669347241971127,
                  0.14411378081408305,
                  0.18973499198819532,
                  0.2772573666730016,
                  0.3131566275007942,
                  0.23239623388317449,
                  0.23750968062143427,
                  0.16647235086141343,
                  0.28050256281974023,
                  0.22290800384681964,
                  0.21499792235842644,
                  0.1384422614544722,
                  0.19025799198778992,
                  0.28125262738258,
                  0.23703145413776303,
                  0.20653417991114126,
                  0.23086793026498253,
                  0.256649591814197,
                  0.2966580687734591,
                  0.20317448709987726,
                  0.23076288739698478
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2290860272144101,
                  0.2100736502463417,
                  0.18637501686882932,
                  0.2869630837804608,
                  0.3891866159374757,
                  0.2671320627440449,
                  0.18489434556747228,
                  0.15626815398407856,
                  0.18841300695939942,
                  0.1762781118680859,
                  0.2613811410278175,
                  0.20548597996261608,
                  0.19851279375917194,
                  0.20743549194870878,
                  0.3534766767460981,
                  0.2329468882060081,
                  0.18664748258585828,
                  0.195008603479678,
                  0.2786593185281907,
                  0.21082570809740292,
                  0.20038923061712993,
                  0.16153573170965968,
                  0.26414338144911453,
                  0.21536795498212916
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23882812535502604,
                  0.20520499890628327,
                  0.1884915737769108,
                  0.3028211820077163,
                  0.34621495636272687,
                  0.26850126072427616,
                  0.18036010719607753,
                  0.1517876860866956,
                  0.19137674968254043,
                  0.17807302191762436,
                  0.2703317420086005,
                  0.18224599386910745,
                  0.18095849759933538,
                  0.2069620147162367,
                  0.3635496341575443,
                  0.24154935963285798,
                  0.19000200000630263,
                  0.19580950838643651,
                  0.2737678223225454,
                  0.21491062973887995,
                  0.20069114188368678,
                  0.1757706152004859,
                  0.2640373093707447,
                  0.22222548618934063
                ],
                "crps": [
                  13.992539348561507,
                  16.426253171247513,
                  17.622709466063082,
                  25.301008173699287,
                  39.5738521920994,
                  23.16808946634383,
                  15.789933114038936,
                  17.625631778136672,
                  13.531384000256473,
                  13.65591914381851,
                  16.081923840803803,
                  27.683911017293052,
                  16.720055236699938,
                  12.074581094580825,
                  25.940712783746765,
                  13.122798991602016,
                  16.542960612476318,
                  13.7719970421911,
                  15.76312103685389,
                  15.088812645492602,
                  13.729466225908142,
                  13.85365139424581,
                  21.266885371651128,
                  15.905069700019377
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.598628827431384,
                  16.1287234213203,
                  16.846876606138146,
                  30.663467984689664,
                  22.80447649187906,
                  18.226651308312636,
                  14.525911039990154,
                  14.251447116167167,
                  13.837640825193597,
                  12.137215810172771,
                  16.791243786004284,
                  15.751382993845937,
                  12.898768089874904,
                  10.917544921058786,
                  28.541535877041742,
                  12.922717363327399,
                  16.266275488306196,
                  12.276815800801508,
                  15.42283207898044,
                  14.38398343120619,
                  12.541645594742256,
                  20.245101600952477,
                  20.421425827020485,
                  13.948777217630555
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  13.504663790773558,
                  15.91447449875505,
                  17.096419477674733,
                  24.70488297851224,
                  39.102996237683755,
                  22.679471892533194,
                  15.250794482582961,
                  17.110015576861166,
                  12.92703198286867,
                  13.078766144577536,
                  15.489458742568576,
                  27.073574019619,
                  16.113800783781883,
                  11.565130803154904,
                  25.392107898773858,
                  12.540764016877263,
                  16.084386555399014,
                  13.238182299137945,
                  15.196945207003239,
                  14.56592908436911,
                  13.15302368073525,
                  13.331170820844584,
                  20.763087944640866,
                  15.367808711957156
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.904996569959033,
                  15.439883009669698,
                  16.159396333095156,
                  30.002155498348493,
                  22.128279551953014,
                  17.541784244932863,
                  13.834034998829466,
                  13.559051256968939,
                  13.144461241959426,
                  11.44081572501621,
                  16.10365814777164,
                  15.061827922294817,
                  12.203810338581421,
                  10.218834853157688,
                  27.87620457989062,
                  12.227804970506362,
                  15.577695591933987,
                  11.580680109566593,
                  14.732654751908749,
                  13.69183858775614,
                  11.84601147508678,
                  19.564057360096648,
                  19.74071553356249,
                  13.255808119988123
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4534835704218156,
              "rpss": -0.0004143440516757302,
              "brier_below": 0.22654663472442707,
              "bss_below": 0.0013788549183141319,
              "brier_above": 0.22693693576125762,
              "bss_above": -0.0022108941698355533,
              "crps": 18.093052785326247,
              "crpss": -0.0955773261361057,
              "crps_fair": 17.551870317986896,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10901646138603827,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000485,
                    0.159414,
                    0.738974,
                    0.099091,
                    0.002036,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1934,
                    0.2866,
                    0.3433,
                    0.4253,
                    0.5112,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3546,
                    0.3303,
                    0.3463,
                    0.3914,
                    0.292,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.090399,
                    0.790824,
                    0.118694,
                    8.4e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2851,
                    0.3465,
                    0.4202,
                    0.5002,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3946,
                    0.3396,
                    0.3554,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4387602065538423,
                  0.46206342788901733,
                  0.46964338698864616,
                  0.4542597111179312,
                  0.624720534625229,
                  0.4490099492634861,
                  0.4424775186674838,
                  0.4679106197851066,
                  0.42459500550775425,
                  0.4429952582724905,
                  0.3897655272361913,
                  0.5133679454677538,
                  0.4222128926671658,
                  0.41866609988360387,
                  0.4700765644700887,
                  0.401762891262993,
                  0.4703843354674176,
                  0.4297435187678699,
                  0.4617178098381945,
                  0.4502174808369144,
                  0.44454358479440065,
                  0.42680209867552626,
                  0.4649703757348442,
                  0.4500901383052335
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.450859762187033,
                  0.4615252579407884,
                  0.48195188978473674,
                  0.4899671406267226,
                  0.4866822249422838,
                  0.45104938970310365,
                  0.44505340456925324,
                  0.4451826017329032,
                  0.43698121164797693,
                  0.43816449267304297,
                  0.43153061985811936,
                  0.4665311708633101,
                  0.41455543245551724,
                  0.41400736756299333,
                  0.4866694439614358,
                  0.4163741155867714,
                  0.47430685017421254,
                  0.4333081323328068,
                  0.4637676788813821,
                  0.4549741515638314,
                  0.43848605560736376,
                  0.48647544507953355,
                  0.46333262876860903,
                  0.4525018161642029
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22705373604389353,
                  0.22461460082748963,
                  0.2775610804971021,
                  0.15533031446916076,
                  0.20070134027609543,
                  0.2149962365846919,
                  0.23131829898414288,
                  0.29120138841415205,
                  0.2213514082026931,
                  0.2712451147894328,
                  0.12112394071568203,
                  0.3141736267952236,
                  0.21784724589635368,
                  0.22318808505907406,
                  0.13435401902420244,
                  0.18801565205838366,
                  0.24286205540250994,
                  0.22106286410368362,
                  0.22655654987590715,
                  0.2011701166753839,
                  0.24360295155656106,
                  0.3260215180725731,
                  0.25566859876003095,
                  0.20900692901218268
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23608353240397922,
                  0.22331054093632516,
                  0.28787705348692194,
                  0.16787043526726309,
                  0.12980597866178595,
                  0.21427952224866478,
                  0.23188434227033447,
                  0.2790337236966665,
                  0.22747905552243575,
                  0.26789379189861234,
                  0.14506829762590923,
                  0.28914503388214846,
                  0.22030745453346431,
                  0.22150001300575947,
                  0.14301966898459437,
                  0.197528447817378,
                  0.24762060355307083,
                  0.2191069646489153,
                  0.22787122597160456,
                  0.2052664928260851,
                  0.23730600527258158,
                  0.36291601407509505,
                  0.2549372233808246,
                  0.20936339489108258
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.21170647086087716,
                  0.23744882763565367,
                  0.19208230632511816,
                  0.2989293960305271,
                  0.4240191921546133,
                  0.23401371307741378,
                  0.21115921919169034,
                  0.17670923130059252,
                  0.20324359685622934,
                  0.17175014294561058,
                  0.26864158623440293,
                  0.19919431955686898,
                  0.20436564670508545,
                  0.19547801433508544,
                  0.3357225469713776,
                  0.21374723930984874,
                  0.22752227992066626,
                  0.20868065469701097,
                  0.23516125992561457,
                  0.24904736418872522,
                  0.20094063293603479,
                  0.10078058131721676,
                  0.2093017765244568,
                  0.24108320989459314
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.21477622978305372,
                  0.23821471700446323,
                  0.1940748362978147,
                  0.3220967053594594,
                  0.3568762462804978,
                  0.23676986745443884,
                  0.21316906229891872,
                  0.16614887803623654,
                  0.2095021561255411,
                  0.17027070077443054,
                  0.28646232223221,
                  0.1773861369811614,
                  0.19424797792205284,
                  0.1925073545572339,
                  0.34364977497684135,
                  0.21884566776939335,
                  0.22668624662114165,
                  0.21420116768389152,
                  0.23589645290977745,
                  0.2497076587377463,
                  0.20118005033478217,
                  0.12355943100443835,
                  0.2083954053877844,
                  0.24313842127312024
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.36156501576201,
                  25.598595323068945,
                  27.996376817744963,
                  37.91369379446283,
                  63.35581418035963,
                  31.661201513892426,
                  21.298795388172874,
                  27.38054489682403,
                  21.040847227369635,
                  21.26899258917532,
                  21.734055175377907,
                  39.74455819515977,
                  24.044483212178463,
                  18.031767572304968,
                  30.56269426679505,
                  19.773947054356487,
                  25.75112291105137,
                  21.50334641393508,
                  22.18986060014742,
                  23.70188524791532,
                  20.243249380832076,
                  19.037321284265094,
                  30.88019997746008,
                  23.826788844564497
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.156414500085216,
                  25.411815233188893,
                  26.732980668871086,
                  45.61593629136217,
                  34.99845443558639,
                  24.030769813999658,
                  20.8018756047614,
                  21.442419816482968,
                  21.815772545904604,
                  18.623549012936948,
                  24.452852751364667,
                  23.489095193174084,
                  19.61687371693912,
                  16.312296204518027,
                  33.59235581081057,
                  19.49142218729408,
                  25.519247293859358,
                  18.984467042431977,
                  22.119269483366466,
                  22.39067857178136,
                  18.705905684634818,
                  31.615072584747956,
                  29.824357357719336,
                  21.1242261595234
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  19.62259674044269,
                  24.842537717416167,
                  27.205795387984615,
                  37.06064802524887,
                  62.60885552566834,
                  30.92564507531584,
                  20.523468765901963,
                  26.614799460896624,
                  20.14127502756481,
                  20.404300208124305,
                  20.911931593041018,
                  38.91153979292373,
                  23.189763772495972,
                  17.273650982892853,
                  29.739047386024023,
                  18.92199686254111,
                  25.071346345739293,
                  20.678819146224857,
                  21.33728236493625,
                  22.912129173701818,
                  19.356651086298548,
                  18.230657983085308,
                  30.124154661371303,
                  23.046826216821604
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.129409091688686,
                  24.394763235271725,
                  25.718430878218463,
                  44.637149674237,
                  33.999558951310114,
                  23.011102199758266,
                  19.776092660578268,
                  20.417850024215973,
                  20.7919098610797,
                  17.59364045020869,
                  23.43398453662585,
                  22.468401680029608,
                  18.58884645099875,
                  15.278010269046556,
                  32.590797260957075,
                  18.46315732375968,
                  24.502398765754055,
                  17.955242036577765,
                  21.095981603347358,
                  21.36790472412667,
                  17.676153100451447,
                  30.60976918029965,
                  28.81566244715923,
                  20.099053727754583
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45378153675329935,
              "rpss": -0.0005989024900743267,
              "brier_below": 0.22666781967069194,
              "bss_below": 0.001183728004201412,
              "brier_above": 0.22711371703730474,
              "bss_above": -0.0023843885754954997,
              "crps": 26.62090445346568,
              "crpss": -0.08866319060722327,
              "crps_fair": 25.818988304277582,
              "crpss_fair": -0.1017761291503061,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.132084,
                    0.763376,
                    0.10207,
                    0.00247,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2886,
                    0.3418,
                    0.4285,
                    0.5115,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3073,
                    0.355,
                    0.354,
                    0.1839,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.10908,
                    0.790829,
                    0.099941,
                    0.00015,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2848,
                    0.3453,
                    0.4203,
                    0.5002,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4389,
                    0.3299,
                    0.3804,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4403168927053255,
                  0.4507875332070136,
                  0.48763048608535786,
                  0.4349815894893768,
                  0.4819443585597086,
                  0.4311193498332336,
                  0.4228512013394237,
                  0.4873105412591974,
                  0.5010627146890039
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.46150612689453524,
                  0.4626658144476092,
                  0.5025804129424258,
                  0.43502336299626376,
                  0.4930044547546616,
                  0.4410305783704811,
                  0.42966910195677144,
                  0.46558066615845484,
                  0.49008091239695556
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.31458172005047014,
                  0.16897238186048516,
                  0.13863095702016245,
                  0.20987229670716623,
                  0.32042407167176024,
                  0.16436756400922917,
                  0.16471264284069415,
                  0.2838961448970578,
                  0.33595716917137836
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3246500440152092,
                  0.17376216083560342,
                  0.14150667980580747,
                  0.20954887915290052,
                  0.3264773200055234,
                  0.16810893020695689,
                  0.16881064921101296,
                  0.27246380987490737,
                  0.3299942872697695
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12573518630423888,
                  0.28181514013762127,
                  0.3489995052835633,
                  0.225109292205907,
                  0.16152029581246322,
                  0.2667517788423745,
                  0.25813855255334556,
                  0.20341440152112933,
                  0.16510555765414273
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.136856098063274,
                  0.28890364160773263,
                  0.361073708469447,
                  0.22547448318110808,
                  0.1665271446274894,
                  0.2729216390372266,
                  0.2608584457967457,
                  0.19311686140728634,
                  0.1600866363387469
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.485375941908144,
                  17.484156013500083,
                  31.825727249421494,
                  16.813191306561386,
                  16.48029888071391,
                  20.64797694967146,
                  15.491897667223306,
                  21.074380074268237,
                  24.377528179826786
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.700401532825092,
                  19.52059946533759,
                  33.764405017577104,
                  12.932496997007894,
                  16.79718613420036,
                  18.755591556502175,
                  15.912054597416416,
                  17.050032759603326,
                  21.158292552905177
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  12.22891437697213,
                  17.192420806884037,
                  31.52372133334653,
                  16.497070837609296,
                  16.20202302192183,
                  20.315222260371716,
                  15.165100487168651,
                  20.789135140993636,
                  24.05731506080517
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.040963232872253,
                  18.86116116538475,
                  33.104966717624265,
                  12.27305869705505,
                  16.137747834247513,
                  18.096153256549343,
                  15.252616297463575,
                  16.390594459650487,
                  20.49885425295233
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4597782963519601,
              "rpss": 0.010316982686004228,
              "brier_below": 0.23349054980315595,
              "bss_below": 0.006574794357530389,
              "brier_above": 0.22628774559053177,
              "bss_above": 0.014148845104866581,
              "crps": 19.63117025145498,
              "crpss": -0.029660470839953268,
              "crps_fair": 19.330102591785888,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05019318101482062,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000301,
                    0.192309,
                    0.786334,
                    0.021056,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.188,
                    0.2854,
                    0.3428,
                    0.4072,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.75,
                    0.3354,
                    0.3797,
                    0.3655,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.076612,
                    0.876766,
                    0.046622,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2945,
                    0.34,
                    0.4099,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2454,
                    0.3647,
                    0.358,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4290545216502245,
                  0.456452235511164,
                  0.4785488967424242,
                  0.44291626807338763,
                  0.49060332582256794,
                  0.43113483184680146,
                  0.4333519310740774,
                  0.4663386842303351,
                  0.5265235029628451
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45769367006987244,
                  0.4755203948622137,
                  0.4811101251311695,
                  0.4300069750745694,
                  0.4984073288033246,
                  0.46319140730076575,
                  0.4441441730320768,
                  0.4502549831923129,
                  0.5174119902158631
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.32069739446769385,
                  0.122748699902549,
                  0.14173479759626167,
                  0.21220924935543067,
                  0.3216433187299576,
                  0.12548044269772882,
                  0.14563781253356609,
                  0.21074983554353702,
                  0.3618567149158105
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33624054857895364,
                  0.13034703789124324,
                  0.14150255915284246,
                  0.20534244397314746,
                  0.32556627067102445,
                  0.1385010427273907,
                  0.1500687330846873,
                  0.20117515044933712,
                  0.3575934610104493
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1083571434319494,
                  0.33370351469404147,
                  0.3368140786446527,
                  0.23070701833859425,
                  0.16896001505064756,
                  0.30565437327442374,
                  0.28771410633128014,
                  0.25558884312515134,
                  0.16466680048995733
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12145313950983586,
                  0.3451733349855966,
                  0.3396075449881942,
                  0.22466453066470288,
                  0.17284106696233917,
                  0.32469034625064525,
                  0.2940754270990343,
                  0.24907982794046105,
                  0.1598185403640623
                ],
                "crps": [
                  17.993941196805835,
                  27.240506132556916,
                  39.45594088052921,
                  25.86272821230891,
                  25.17991899605223,
                  27.580151440254443,
                  24.384228888999214,
                  32.89490111149195,
                  37.36956661979869
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  22.615515028016496,
                  30.53489796162619,
                  38.777499865947725,
                  19.653326601885357,
                  25.013487121265083,
                  28.57253141714021,
                  25.252740444348085,
                  26.362905926529372,
                  34.60429039008409
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  17.606969308115705,
                  26.8065271057543,
                  39.03461509677245,
                  25.41277613448745,
                  24.759963364699043,
                  27.128044889270548,
                  23.901772521694085,
                  32.471088964542375,
                  36.90161196852782
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  21.639099628479247,
                  29.55848256208893,
                  37.80108446641048,
                  18.67691120234811,
                  24.037071721727834,
                  27.596116017602963,
                  24.276325044810836,
                  25.38649052699212,
                  33.62787499054684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.46165824421264745,
              "rpss": 0.014893481856327218,
              "brier_below": 0.21808425174917057,
              "bss_below": 0.011870583318997374,
              "brier_above": 0.2435739881534109,
              "bss_above": 0.017584386165008792,
              "crps": 28.662431497644157,
              "crpss": -0.026153634151151683,
              "crps_fair": 28.224818817095976,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04708960759283243,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.157647,
                    0.840365,
                    0.001988,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2874,
                    0.341,
                    0.4087,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2612,
                    0.3416,
                    0.2665,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.073859,
                    0.876471,
                    0.049669,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2952,
                    0.3363,
                    0.4115,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3036,
                    0.4161,
                    0.4696,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "ls": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.77897750909364,
            "training": [
              0.7822393176955414,
              0.7799178732689467,
              0.7739196980928374,
              0.8356683598772259,
              0.7021298269874382,
              0.7786098731244423,
              0.7699594307553134,
              0.7797518480545116,
              0.7868322587719655,
              0.7781890980455498,
              0.7998392917755336,
              0.7260171365876048,
              0.7521335323239722,
              0.776985755702106,
              0.7863466242463422,
              0.7928459976341301,
              0.7855994191052695,
              0.7700969544347508,
              0.7707455211228476,
              0.802324706757967,
              0.7761743832755514,
              0.82063118465114,
              0.7779537675133184,
              0.7905483584430546
            ],
            "test": 0.8098840565431109
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4321616520027469,
                  0.46579352857475964,
                  0.4516373278883973,
                  0.4320281605119963,
                  0.5962274679508426,
                  0.46111648240130226,
                  0.4614447822043533,
                  0.46782833861921286,
                  0.4208187718226498,
                  0.4128005166377604,
                  0.41386441501335314,
                  0.5106123195790659,
                  0.4190473472765825,
                  0.4279411323815989,
                  0.4874958145965753,
                  0.4137520445887927,
                  0.4568980951725093,
                  0.43442749755573257,
                  0.4896609225987907,
                  0.43683798289336867,
                  0.4537240665567057,
                  0.43488706654880666,
                  0.47188822992156604,
                  0.4334843981359623
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4472054714310519,
                  0.4589801912597414,
                  0.46359114484830244,
                  0.4595146544011181,
                  0.4903287371504829,
                  0.4582362527063328,
                  0.45761747388311064,
                  0.46494431359450544,
                  0.423772983565715,
                  0.4155827025390587,
                  0.4368040928437045,
                  0.46274855668884746,
                  0.4038665014531707,
                  0.4219599370685286,
                  0.5019918956202981,
                  0.4318073516145089,
                  0.4712546274029139,
                  0.43284096253823107,
                  0.4803020022477182,
                  0.4457785600038623,
                  0.4573407337119155,
                  0.472428683947618,
                  0.46721179644431254,
                  0.4529883736143887
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20227445409050362,
                  0.2548521113412278,
                  0.2654954486595577,
                  0.14610235470558292,
                  0.20292923416633918,
                  0.19477391960766274,
                  0.27529478963446646,
                  0.30991979843902495,
                  0.2310823293666416,
                  0.23667232330574775,
                  0.15245716380594926,
                  0.30310924685994317,
                  0.21890518094181713,
                  0.21907148965893258,
                  0.13490286215835326,
                  0.18144108165776626,
                  0.27061710995019483,
                  0.23871167131342347,
                  0.21146561710692807,
                  0.22653540038382944,
                  0.2523113537187273,
                  0.2739844176643606,
                  0.2071097260711781,
                  0.2191649040333511
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20837734610233538,
                  0.25377519233942636,
                  0.2750995710775306,
                  0.15669347241971127,
                  0.14411378081408305,
                  0.18973499198819532,
                  0.2772573666730016,
                  0.3131566275007942,
                  0.23239623388317449,
                  0.23750968062143427,
                  0.16647235086141343,
                  0.28050256281974023,
                  0.22290800384681964,
                  0.21499792235842644,
                  0.1384422614544722,
                  0.19025799198778992,
                  0.28125262738258,
                  0.23703145413776303,
                  0.20653417991114126,
                  0.23086793026498253,
                  0.256649591814197,
                  0.2966580687734591,
                  0.20317448709987726,
                  0.23076288739698478
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22988719786424486,
                  0.2109414175084272,
                  0.18614187918737285,
                  0.2859258055438052,
                  0.3932982314407348,
                  0.26634256292876163,
                  0.18614999214591998,
                  0.1579085400585668,
                  0.18973644209606574,
                  0.17612819276342187,
                  0.2614072512280664,
                  0.20750307385078817,
                  0.20014216639465346,
                  0.20886964213129555,
                  0.35259295376179195,
                  0.2323109628781393,
                  0.18628098526335052,
                  0.19571582627774853,
                  0.27819530546505994,
                  0.21030258298562293,
                  0.20141271244308032,
                  0.16090264921003458,
                  0.26477850388445623,
                  0.2143194945593454
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23882812535502604,
                  0.20520499890628327,
                  0.1884915737769108,
                  0.3028211820077163,
                  0.34621495636272687,
                  0.26850126072427616,
                  0.18036010719607753,
                  0.1517876860866956,
                  0.19137674968254043,
                  0.17807302191762436,
                  0.2703317420086005,
                  0.18224599386910745,
                  0.18095849759933538,
                  0.2069620147162367,
                  0.3635496341575443,
                  0.24154935963285798,
                  0.19000200000630263,
                  0.19580950838643651,
                  0.2737678223225454,
                  0.21491062973887995,
                  0.20069114188368678,
                  0.1757706152004859,
                  0.2640373093707447,
                  0.22222548618934063
                ],
                "crps": [
                  14.769885936270132,
                  16.4714881973575,
                  17.959205876727992,
                  25.623829357485228,
                  41.08730779875694,
                  22.662299782290926,
                  15.153101530716,
                  17.520975823673737,
                  13.739522580800598,
                  13.823866406261999,
                  16.28755177997946,
                  29.0985971276195,
                  17.614258950921194,
                  12.743914020008337,
                  26.353937652972178,
                  12.867958051037844,
                  16.93770080205795,
                  15.001822766392053,
                  16.382789932455324,
                  15.833061381585512,
                  13.86702874919814,
                  14.163808013136949,
                  21.19638913138847,
                  17.234500385876466
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.598628827431384,
                  16.1287234213203,
                  16.846876606138146,
                  30.663467984689664,
                  22.80447649187906,
                  18.226651308312636,
                  14.525911039990154,
                  14.251447116167167,
                  13.837640825193597,
                  12.137215810172771,
                  16.791243786004284,
                  15.751382993845937,
                  12.898768089874904,
                  10.917544921058786,
                  28.541535877041742,
                  12.922717363327399,
                  16.266275488306196,
                  12.276815800801508,
                  15.42283207898044,
                  14.38398343120619,
                  12.541645594742256,
                  20.245101600952477,
                  20.421425827020485,
                  13.948777217630555
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  14.234222042438338,
                  15.88880508012253,
                  17.378141580205135,
                  24.896209700133312,
                  40.60763648051621,
                  22.125681335318177,
                  14.532681905855306,
                  16.931259481315962,
                  13.067320701408018,
                  13.191609906535891,
                  15.597880101399621,
                  28.356806874346763,
                  16.906306278519583,
                  12.184820236968674,
                  25.722355675581053,
                  12.214320834904612,
                  16.418529689310457,
                  14.427481626189657,
                  15.756918259100418,
                  15.250778562352755,
                  13.243139167930522,
                  13.601004636982747,
                  20.62585908924985,
                  16.622837823362822
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.904996569959033,
                  15.439883009669698,
                  16.159396333095156,
                  30.002155498348493,
                  22.128279551953014,
                  17.541784244932863,
                  13.834034998829466,
                  13.559051256968939,
                  13.144461241959426,
                  11.44081572501621,
                  16.10365814777164,
                  15.061827922294817,
                  12.203810338581421,
                  10.218834853157688,
                  27.87620457989062,
                  12.227804970506362,
                  15.577695591933987,
                  11.580680109566593,
                  14.732654751908749,
                  13.69183858775614,
                  11.84601147508678,
                  19.564057360096648,
                  19.74071553356249,
                  13.255808119988123
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45359909839305973,
              "rpss": -0.0006692062939048782,
              "brier_below": 0.22621599952672958,
              "bss_below": 0.002836300093479127,
              "brier_above": 0.22738309882794808,
              "bss_above": -0.004181263094195309,
              "crps": 18.516450084790435,
              "crpss": -0.12121503839748948,
              "crps_fair": 17.90760862791868,
              "crpss_fair": -0.13149381761716872,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.140241,
                    0.687342,
                    0.166941,
                    0.005476,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2871,
                    0.3472,
                    0.4248,
                    0.5164,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2865,
                    0.3514,
                    0.39,
                    0.238,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.110493,
                    0.738545,
                    0.150512,
                    0.00045,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2841,
                    0.3456,
                    0.4255,
                    0.5103,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3715,
                    0.3422,
                    0.348,
                    0.6848,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4401342273714845,
                  0.4598391996422542,
                  0.4671647348763111,
                  0.45317205420364026,
                  0.639466997523171,
                  0.44927337467167533,
                  0.4388238914203757,
                  0.4700017542641949,
                  0.42384880190911345,
                  0.4409373651534947,
                  0.38702869119585753,
                  0.5189651417436397,
                  0.42276318841857385,
                  0.42072760401281584,
                  0.46976863456251367,
                  0.39832893531976926,
                  0.4744336663139258,
                  0.4289131289940157,
                  0.4610596161002959,
                  0.45206244756974634,
                  0.44094331467145076,
                  0.41704778244255236,
                  0.46665320235021807,
                  0.44974571928787915
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.450859762187033,
                  0.4615252579407884,
                  0.48195188978473674,
                  0.4899671406267226,
                  0.4866822249422838,
                  0.45104938970310365,
                  0.44505340456925324,
                  0.4451826017329032,
                  0.43698121164797693,
                  0.43816449267304297,
                  0.43153061985811936,
                  0.4665311708633101,
                  0.41455543245551724,
                  0.41400736756299333,
                  0.4866694439614358,
                  0.4163741155867714,
                  0.47430685017421254,
                  0.4333081323328068,
                  0.4637676788813821,
                  0.4549741515638314,
                  0.43848605560736376,
                  0.48647544507953355,
                  0.46333262876860903,
                  0.4525018161642029
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22889530599743604,
                  0.22242699468940808,
                  0.276379643201976,
                  0.1559648067496176,
                  0.20993377596686025,
                  0.216299697069511,
                  0.22807675374028866,
                  0.29175273939378227,
                  0.22028742098638798,
                  0.2680995288247743,
                  0.12025938626737415,
                  0.3153470246955397,
                  0.21791460094970358,
                  0.22420431415013664,
                  0.13533640364297658,
                  0.18462455611039305,
                  0.24777700745926656,
                  0.22031938557170513,
                  0.22521981448915826,
                  0.20344777732316877,
                  0.23777945960896404,
                  0.3185761970747624,
                  0.25551970364696175,
                  0.20929178266519133
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23608353240397922,
                  0.22331054093632516,
                  0.28787705348692194,
                  0.16787043526726309,
                  0.12980597866178595,
                  0.21427952224866478,
                  0.23188434227033447,
                  0.2790337236966665,
                  0.22747905552243575,
                  0.26789379189861234,
                  0.14506829762590923,
                  0.28914503388214846,
                  0.22030745453346431,
                  0.22150001300575947,
                  0.14301966898459437,
                  0.197528447817378,
                  0.24762060355307083,
                  0.2191069646489153,
                  0.22787122597160456,
                  0.2052664928260851,
                  0.23730600527258158,
                  0.36291601407509505,
                  0.2549372233808246,
                  0.20936339489108258
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.21123892166063754,
                  0.23741220538181515,
                  0.19078509158865548,
                  0.29720724691806716,
                  0.42953321876110456,
                  0.23297367786260953,
                  0.21074713733605152,
                  0.1782490149500318,
                  0.20356138045308855,
                  0.17283783572861552,
                  0.2667693043582914,
                  0.20361811822335132,
                  0.20484858728800745,
                  0.19652328915422068,
                  0.334432232496016,
                  0.213704379199737,
                  0.22665665881875963,
                  0.20859374343261733,
                  0.2358398017086645,
                  0.24861467061159762,
                  0.2031638543975054,
                  0.09847158619037935,
                  0.2111334982607895,
                  0.24045393711696672
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.21477622978305372,
                  0.23821471700446323,
                  0.1940748362978147,
                  0.3220967053594594,
                  0.3568762462804978,
                  0.23676986745443884,
                  0.21316906229891872,
                  0.16614887803623654,
                  0.2095021561255411,
                  0.17027070077443054,
                  0.28646232223221,
                  0.1773861369811614,
                  0.19424797792205284,
                  0.1925073545572339,
                  0.34364977497684135,
                  0.21884566776939335,
                  0.22668624662114165,
                  0.21420116768389152,
                  0.23589645290977745,
                  0.2497076587377463,
                  0.20118005033478217,
                  0.12355943100443835,
                  0.2083954053877844,
                  0.24313842127312024
                ],
                "crps": [
                  21.360969888086256,
                  25.71703306483374,
                  28.58256673677463,
                  38.255268285967446,
                  65.43694990973052,
                  30.579562498404332,
                  20.746102006474974,
                  27.419584997316232,
                  21.11004404040932,
                  21.58596926967262,
                  22.271571623910713,
                  41.34241203160536,
                  25.226651137922182,
                  18.801997651659413,
                  31.96063622263926,
                  18.98954580644013,
                  26.44416457664697,
                  23.291203970397117,
                  22.89132340268441,
                  24.72751087660875,
                  20.393822332666538,
                  19.05251214486854,
                  30.51462030652608,
                  25.844367645576
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.156414500085216,
                  25.411815233188893,
                  26.732980668871086,
                  45.61593629136217,
                  34.99845443558639,
                  24.030769813999658,
                  20.8018756047614,
                  21.442419816482968,
                  21.815772545904604,
                  18.623549012936948,
                  24.452852751364667,
                  23.489095193174084,
                  19.61687371693912,
                  16.312296204518027,
                  33.59235581081057,
                  19.49142218729408,
                  25.519247293859358,
                  18.984467042431977,
                  22.119269483366466,
                  22.39067857178136,
                  18.705905684634818,
                  31.615072584747956,
                  29.824357357719336,
                  21.1242261595234
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.57432887183455,
                  24.874276589763664,
                  27.730766966280658,
                  37.24793998273327,
                  64.68644509317076,
                  29.79003524410221,
                  19.88950022751096,
                  26.56696340993408,
                  20.13197978018908,
                  20.658948803418028,
                  21.340534707065203,
                  40.37469870576533,
                  24.26279278866509,
                  17.99610160301236,
                  31.0526668140975,
                  18.06175547713455,
                  25.693020744457595,
                  22.423873126091216,
                  21.968967723989877,
                  23.866311072311394,
                  19.45268341907124,
                  18.195784341375738,
                  29.678647610517544,
                  24.98625479913229
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.129409091688686,
                  24.394763235271725,
                  25.718430878218463,
                  44.637149674237,
                  33.999558951310114,
                  23.011102199758266,
                  19.776092660578268,
                  20.417850024215973,
                  20.7919098610797,
                  17.59364045020869,
                  23.43398453662585,
                  22.468401680029608,
                  18.58884645099875,
                  15.278010269046556,
                  32.590797260957075,
                  18.46315732375968,
                  24.502398765754055,
                  17.955242036577765,
                  21.095981603347358,
                  21.36790472412667,
                  17.676153100451447,
                  30.60976918029965,
                  28.81566244715923,
                  20.099053727754583
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4537959780841237,
              "rpss": -0.000630745962324708,
              "brier_below": 0.22640558667813934,
              "bss_below": 0.002339262920433516,
              "brier_above": 0.22739039132906588,
              "bss_above": -0.0036055124882179435,
              "crps": 27.18943293449256,
              "crpss": -0.11191319066592631,
              "crps_fair": 26.312719912567673,
              "crpss_fair": -0.12284518475427375,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.157777,
                    0.699924,
                    0.135609,
                    0.00669,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2873,
                    0.3439,
                    0.427,
                    0.5167,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2754,
                    0.3595,
                    0.3867,
                    0.0906,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.138494,
                    0.733578,
                    0.127479,
                    0.000449,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2839,
                    0.3448,
                    0.4233,
                    0.5104,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3964,
                    0.3321,
                    0.376,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.429668338430854,
                  0.44643277354216837,
                  0.49194459045115235,
                  0.4341823840942424,
                  0.4701120758893284,
                  0.4293145239904068,
                  0.422602430823748,
                  0.4829703005860729,
                  0.5000678223581091
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.46150612689453524,
                  0.4626658144476092,
                  0.5025804129424258,
                  0.43502336299626376,
                  0.4930044547546616,
                  0.4410305783704811,
                  0.42966910195677144,
                  0.46558066615845484,
                  0.49008091239695556
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3048245755234753,
                  0.16408365986992052,
                  0.14374636808479843,
                  0.20887319226454465,
                  0.30980657573832454,
                  0.16419511415225427,
                  0.1652749546483802,
                  0.2786941745435303,
                  0.33328750687302233
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3246500440152092,
                  0.17376216083560342,
                  0.14150667980580747,
                  0.20954887915290052,
                  0.3264773200055234,
                  0.16810893020695689,
                  0.16881064921101296,
                  0.27246380987490737,
                  0.3299942872697695
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12484377684309063,
                  0.282349102481848,
                  0.34819819863287965,
                  0.2253091911596195,
                  0.16030550919543743,
                  0.26511940307789206,
                  0.2573274702978443,
                  0.20427613122328084,
                  0.16678032774464405
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.136856098063274,
                  0.28890364160773263,
                  0.361073708469447,
                  0.22547448318110808,
                  0.1665271446274894,
                  0.2729216390372266,
                  0.2608584457967457,
                  0.19311686140728634,
                  0.1600866363387469
                ],
                "crps": [
                  13.089872316335471,
                  18.539298986945447,
                  31.43020186873831,
                  18.63185980998444,
                  16.73636588361998,
                  22.046639503621147,
                  16.17570199216868,
                  21.3043716852941,
                  24.779107480882548
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.700401532825092,
                  19.52059946533759,
                  33.764405017577104,
                  12.932496997007894,
                  16.79718613420036,
                  18.755591556502175,
                  15.912054597416416,
                  17.050032759603326,
                  21.158292552905177
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  12.805703941886696,
                  18.209698095414094,
                  31.08122920147466,
                  18.265657267576024,
                  16.426023147530728,
                  21.64737554970157,
                  15.797340001043791,
                  20.989916031914376,
                  24.414646270436357
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.040963232872253,
                  18.86116116538475,
                  33.104966717624265,
                  12.27305869705505,
                  16.137747834247513,
                  18.096153256549343,
                  15.252616297463575,
                  16.390594459650487,
                  20.49885425295233
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45636613779623136,
              "rpss": 0.0176617299300158,
              "brier_below": 0.23030956907758338,
              "bss_below": 0.020108817186765937,
              "brier_above": 0.22605656785072625,
              "bss_above": 0.015156000137405146,
              "crps": 20.303713280843347,
              "crpss": -0.06493554427826909,
              "crps_fair": 19.95973216744203,
              "crpss_fair": -0.08440058802570305,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.127895,
                    0.823226,
                    0.048879,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.287,
                    0.3461,
                    0.4088,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2681,
                    0.377,
                    0.5385,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.069318,
                    0.863294,
                    0.067388,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2929,
                    0.3391,
                    0.4131,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2704,
                    0.3625,
                    0.3496,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4284427765952785,
                  0.4587957371380872,
                  0.47975838922263864,
                  0.4464148305391051,
                  0.487510126510417,
                  0.43100882079009817,
                  0.4335414190239956,
                  0.4661838848074708,
                  0.5233151837628405
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45769367006987244,
                  0.4755203948622137,
                  0.4811101251311695,
                  0.4300069750745694,
                  0.4984073288033246,
                  0.46319140730076575,
                  0.4441441730320768,
                  0.4502549831923129,
                  0.5174119902158631
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3208324667387759,
                  0.12387055042199364,
                  0.14372699535264724,
                  0.2150829303224088,
                  0.31903988487456636,
                  0.1267703346545494,
                  0.14679540819366274,
                  0.2109018098418383,
                  0.3583590617981596
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33624054857895364,
                  0.13034703789124324,
                  0.14150255915284246,
                  0.20534244397314746,
                  0.32556627067102445,
                  0.1385010427273907,
                  0.1500687330846873,
                  0.20117515044933712,
                  0.3575934610104493
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10761032618355182,
                  0.3349251657555574,
                  0.3360313736362365,
                  0.2313318996930073,
                  0.1684702495378767,
                  0.30423847050611164,
                  0.2867459985706501,
                  0.255282069377606,
                  0.16495613444085053
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12145313950983586,
                  0.3451733349855966,
                  0.3396075449881942,
                  0.22466453066470288,
                  0.17284106696233917,
                  0.32469034625064525,
                  0.2940754270990343,
                  0.24907982794046105,
                  0.1598185403640623
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.53659674840018,
                  29.061394028050096,
                  39.36913661835898,
                  28.057218166883697,
                  26.185712407237467,
                  29.278589780655327,
                  25.42329359434838,
                  33.39656662144963,
                  37.55674434631046
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  22.615515028016496,
                  30.53489796162619,
                  38.777499865947725,
                  19.653326601885357,
                  25.013487121265083,
                  28.57253141714021,
                  25.252740444348085,
                  26.362905926529372,
                  34.60429039008409
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  19.12056317590294,
                  28.58115068381307,
                  38.90225321040534,
                  27.552046095992527,
                  25.728735973083197,
                  28.760834989113288,
                  24.877543211523058,
                  32.9421524671713,
                  37.04060338145893
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  21.639099628479247,
                  29.55848256208893,
                  37.80108446641048,
                  18.67691120234811,
                  24.037071721727834,
                  27.596116017602963,
                  24.276325044810836,
                  25.38649052699212,
                  33.62787499054684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4616634631544368,
              "rpss": 0.014882345450470846,
              "brier_below": 0.21837549357762243,
              "bss_below": 0.010550980386859754,
              "brier_above": 0.24328796530016086,
              "bss_above": 0.01873801229346661,
              "crps": 29.762805812410463,
              "crpss": -0.06554851598861333,
              "crps_fair": 29.278431465384852,
              "crpss_fair": -0.08617672668475063,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.14232,
                    0.84162,
                    0.01606,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2871,
                    0.3428,
                    0.4073,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2312,
                    0.3451,
                    0.3397,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.072477,
                    0.867118,
                    0.060405,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2929,
                    0.3355,
                    0.4149,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3005,
                    0.4178,
                    0.4373,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "vs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7941789653337968,
            "training": [
              0.7954233418537124,
              0.7921305711536795,
              0.7881400134564795,
              0.84658877387904,
              0.7176153908129761,
              0.7915063001404677,
              0.7848248884466359,
              0.7981057126985648,
              0.8032722797799786,
              0.789939617171953,
              0.8145643011660688,
              0.7435528776829583,
              0.7632932899105034,
              0.7921178408844991,
              0.8211518950529944,
              0.8076362902213299,
              0.8042102050163983,
              0.7865914382498647,
              0.7801848820329585,
              0.8219923835741669,
              0.7857841898174156,
              0.836694453361895,
              0.7897116829129094,
              0.8052625487336733
            ],
            "test": 0.8158576463388216
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.431963571721835,
                  0.471546685565719,
                  0.45137663179934423,
                  0.4304467954949862,
                  0.5794484087465442,
                  0.4611153696688359,
                  0.4670610814223913,
                  0.4703324709068252,
                  0.419060460148002,
                  0.4114142315864849,
                  0.4113055175711064,
                  0.5116149644691459,
                  0.4206395511940732,
                  0.4234306724800374,
                  0.4810031536797182,
                  0.41463664990257915,
                  0.45802154575887744,
                  0.4318799663499358,
                  0.4909307535819298,
                  0.43704522467661255,
                  0.4662820733729014,
                  0.44020503775520603,
                  0.4671751843852063,
                  0.43716086765654333
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4472054714310519,
                  0.4589801912597414,
                  0.46359114484830244,
                  0.4595146544011181,
                  0.4903287371504829,
                  0.4582362527063328,
                  0.45761747388311064,
                  0.46494431359450544,
                  0.423772983565715,
                  0.4155827025390587,
                  0.4368040928437045,
                  0.46274855668884746,
                  0.4038665014531707,
                  0.4219599370685286,
                  0.5019918956202981,
                  0.4318073516145089,
                  0.4712546274029139,
                  0.43284096253823107,
                  0.4803020022477182,
                  0.4457785600038623,
                  0.4573407337119155,
                  0.472428683947618,
                  0.46721179644431254,
                  0.4529883736143887
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2028498460390043,
                  0.26122671692260696,
                  0.2649737775672166,
                  0.14357147919575228,
                  0.18930670216331452,
                  0.19421368646471696,
                  0.28198142282651917,
                  0.3138037726099483,
                  0.23075391892628389,
                  0.23509013237406687,
                  0.1503301483307391,
                  0.30474396337493026,
                  0.22198005499703344,
                  0.21609344777982065,
                  0.12799794472528103,
                  0.18150974525381772,
                  0.2716562405697399,
                  0.2367940802969955,
                  0.212368410609028,
                  0.22639270298809488,
                  0.26595883819507266,
                  0.27880411000638883,
                  0.20287518185163506,
                  0.22185402218892944
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20837734610233538,
                  0.25377519233942636,
                  0.2750995710775306,
                  0.15669347241971127,
                  0.14411378081408305,
                  0.18973499198819532,
                  0.2772573666730016,
                  0.3131566275007942,
                  0.23239623388317449,
                  0.23750968062143427,
                  0.16647235086141343,
                  0.28050256281974023,
                  0.22290800384681964,
                  0.21499792235842644,
                  0.1384422614544722,
                  0.19025799198778992,
                  0.28125262738258,
                  0.23703145413776303,
                  0.20653417991114126,
                  0.23086793026498253,
                  0.256649591814197,
                  0.2966580687734591,
                  0.20317448709987726,
                  0.23076288739698478
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22911372581045647,
                  0.21031996920191573,
                  0.18640285414294774,
                  0.2868753159799958,
                  0.3901417052851445,
                  0.2669016837032324,
                  0.18507965815864985,
                  0.15652869811069434,
                  0.18830654092662685,
                  0.17632409871457555,
                  0.26097536933462556,
                  0.20687100210941795,
                  0.1986594966909914,
                  0.20733722431996773,
                  0.3530052102718486,
                  0.2331269045221604,
                  0.18636530525893802,
                  0.19508588606285965,
                  0.2785623431743019,
                  0.2106525219339098,
                  0.20032323499564933,
                  0.16140092837535172,
                  0.2643000025813838,
                  0.21530684587457555
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23882812535502604,
                  0.20520499890628327,
                  0.1884915737769108,
                  0.3028211820077163,
                  0.34621495636272687,
                  0.26850126072427616,
                  0.18036010719607753,
                  0.1517876860866956,
                  0.19137674968254043,
                  0.17807302191762436,
                  0.2703317420086005,
                  0.18224599386910745,
                  0.18095849759933538,
                  0.2069620147162367,
                  0.3635496341575443,
                  0.24154935963285798,
                  0.19000200000630263,
                  0.19580950838643651,
                  0.2737678223225454,
                  0.21491062973887995,
                  0.20069114188368678,
                  0.1757706152004859,
                  0.2640373093707447,
                  0.22222548618934063
                ],
                "crps": [
                  14.036066199178777,
                  16.36965415093721,
                  17.371303871917927,
                  25.407733028464556,
                  39.5842982234995,
                  23.205360947631668,
                  15.665909616979926,
                  17.508758303477695,
                  13.563377622299338,
                  13.467970532264092,
                  15.885413771155891,
                  27.86720837993557,
                  16.707076929439815,
                  12.131562222934354,
                  26.008716411203448,
                  13.019693318364508,
                  16.553763108144704,
                  13.662130379840157,
                  15.80581151541767,
                  15.108719534895528,
                  13.596900002657536,
                  13.74073185445788,
                  21.27923293969444,
                  15.766183401749352
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.598628827431384,
                  16.1287234213203,
                  16.846876606138146,
                  30.663467984689664,
                  22.80447649187906,
                  18.226651308312636,
                  14.525911039990154,
                  14.251447116167167,
                  13.837640825193597,
                  12.137215810172771,
                  16.791243786004284,
                  15.751382993845937,
                  12.898768089874904,
                  10.917544921058786,
                  28.541535877041742,
                  12.922717363327399,
                  16.266275488306196,
                  12.276815800801508,
                  15.42283207898044,
                  14.38398343120619,
                  12.541645594742256,
                  20.245101600952477,
                  20.421425827020485,
                  13.948777217630555
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  13.542414881028431,
                  15.85487916184429,
                  16.840040703138392,
                  24.800820295458575,
                  39.111585827684586,
                  22.714622490466702,
                  15.120846629812856,
                  16.988954497393642,
                  12.956288054452655,
                  12.888505431253748,
                  15.286883514934953,
                  27.242855997254917,
                  16.092456323979384,
                  11.618065891635101,
                  25.458806740250193,
                  12.433585712512796,
                  16.091954164963884,
                  13.124897163166606,
                  15.237829931905884,
                  14.58392293491067,
                  13.018756885153005,
                  13.216302412789169,
                  20.772714075925823,
                  15.225211632472174
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.904996569959033,
                  15.439883009669698,
                  16.159396333095156,
                  30.002155498348493,
                  22.128279551953014,
                  17.541784244932863,
                  13.834034998829466,
                  13.559051256968939,
                  13.144461241959426,
                  11.44081572501621,
                  16.10365814777164,
                  15.061827922294817,
                  12.203810338581421,
                  10.218834853157688,
                  27.87620457989062,
                  12.227804970506362,
                  15.577695591933987,
                  11.580680109566593,
                  14.732654751908749,
                  13.69183858775614,
                  11.84601147508678,
                  19.564057360096648,
                  19.74071553356249,
                  13.255808119988123
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4535457029122851,
              "rpss": -0.000551412379508287,
              "brier_below": 0.22654709776070567,
              "bss_below": 0.0013768138470825475,
              "brier_above": 0.2269986052308425,
              "bss_above": -0.0024832421419642703,
              "crps": 18.05473234443923,
              "crpss": -0.0932569324103214,
              "crps_fair": 17.509300056432853,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10632665568592659,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000343,
                    0.153132,
                    0.748728,
                    0.094093,
                    0.003704,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1923,
                    0.2856,
                    0.3429,
                    0.4248,
                    0.5072,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.502,
                    0.3318,
                    0.3461,
                    0.3917,
                    0.3135,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.088557,
                    0.791004,
                    0.120355,
                    8.4e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.284,
                    0.3464,
                    0.4214,
                    0.5054,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.398,
                    0.3389,
                    0.358,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4404868959803062,
                  0.4621549429825049,
                  0.4668322808832131,
                  0.4536944529178646,
                  0.626802706689344,
                  0.45088466154871487,
                  0.44230605084725394,
                  0.4682999260746029,
                  0.42564594017877033,
                  0.4416060045923721,
                  0.389320373209908,
                  0.5150791091408073,
                  0.42243639617066675,
                  0.4197642419671543,
                  0.4699312744857819,
                  0.4011401513743199,
                  0.4705710512630932,
                  0.42893788508480296,
                  0.4634738539689118,
                  0.45047503658058335,
                  0.44381432491560474,
                  0.4260727066827578,
                  0.46536050058502876,
                  0.44816318628094387
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.450859762187033,
                  0.4615252579407884,
                  0.48195188978473674,
                  0.4899671406267226,
                  0.4866822249422838,
                  0.45104938970310365,
                  0.44505340456925324,
                  0.4451826017329032,
                  0.43698121164797693,
                  0.43816449267304297,
                  0.43153061985811936,
                  0.4665311708633101,
                  0.41455543245551724,
                  0.41400736756299333,
                  0.4866694439614358,
                  0.4163741155867714,
                  0.47430685017421254,
                  0.4333081323328068,
                  0.4637676788813821,
                  0.4549741515638314,
                  0.43848605560736376,
                  0.48647544507953355,
                  0.46333262876860903,
                  0.4525018161642029
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2288500157490457,
                  0.2245305148428256,
                  0.2747069281245105,
                  0.15496897222218545,
                  0.2016083228806733,
                  0.217134374134828,
                  0.23112031422668744,
                  0.2912327560420402,
                  0.22242603683509915,
                  0.2697414674289032,
                  0.12095540313998873,
                  0.3144596221264075,
                  0.21787074342972135,
                  0.2243252445463717,
                  0.1342710081229577,
                  0.18724211626434628,
                  0.24336708667718135,
                  0.22026060996101673,
                  0.22851354204187735,
                  0.20142348850096328,
                  0.24293555835178665,
                  0.3254970859249254,
                  0.25587662322841703,
                  0.2070916586354744
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23608353240397922,
                  0.22331054093632516,
                  0.28787705348692194,
                  0.16787043526726309,
                  0.12980597866178595,
                  0.21427952224866478,
                  0.23188434227033447,
                  0.2790337236966665,
                  0.22747905552243575,
                  0.26789379189861234,
                  0.14506829762590923,
                  0.28914503388214846,
                  0.22030745453346431,
                  0.22150001300575947,
                  0.14301966898459437,
                  0.197528447817378,
                  0.24762060355307083,
                  0.2191069646489153,
                  0.22787122597160456,
                  0.2052664928260851,
                  0.23730600527258158,
                  0.36291601407509505,
                  0.2549372233808246,
                  0.20936339489108258
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.21163688062326752,
                  0.23762442872179343,
                  0.1921253526104287,
                  0.2987254800968907,
                  0.4251943814233729,
                  0.23375028785264665,
                  0.21118573613154693,
                  0.1770671698790222,
                  0.20321990290673125,
                  0.17186453659851147,
                  0.2683649699102525,
                  0.20061948795495727,
                  0.20456565274387117,
                  0.19543899695275385,
                  0.3356602680010174,
                  0.2138980351153973,
                  0.22720396453376282,
                  0.20867727513394288,
                  0.23496031200196948,
                  0.2490515481486628,
                  0.2008787662337545,
                  0.10057562147320136,
                  0.20948387682662437,
                  0.2410715281903325
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.21477622978305372,
                  0.23821471700446323,
                  0.1940748362978147,
                  0.3220967053594594,
                  0.3568762462804978,
                  0.23676986745443884,
                  0.21316906229891872,
                  0.16614887803623654,
                  0.2095021561255411,
                  0.17027070077443054,
                  0.28646232223221,
                  0.1773861369811614,
                  0.19424797792205284,
                  0.1925073545572339,
                  0.34364977497684135,
                  0.21884566776939335,
                  0.22668624662114165,
                  0.21420116768389152,
                  0.23589645290977745,
                  0.2497076587377463,
                  0.20118005033478217,
                  0.12355943100443835,
                  0.2083954053877844,
                  0.24313842127312024
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.418806804928824,
                  25.52324466209568,
                  27.728444023675515,
                  38.128109910646316,
                  63.27365627865209,
                  31.66320129916964,
                  21.15752214445001,
                  27.263294893700216,
                  21.083556232617813,
                  21.078404077032925,
                  21.425707374345855,
                  39.89373978437901,
                  24.008383956732573,
                  18.081328873502564,
                  30.621608200256734,
                  19.61754874366364,
                  25.816162571513306,
                  21.360802253565417,
                  22.212863360177376,
                  23.728997514271175,
                  20.0537122643873,
                  18.785867494218063,
                  30.873781369595537,
                  23.66251864592934
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.156414500085216,
                  25.411815233188893,
                  26.732980668871086,
                  45.61593629136217,
                  34.99845443558639,
                  24.030769813999658,
                  20.8018756047614,
                  21.442419816482968,
                  21.815772545904604,
                  18.623549012936948,
                  24.452852751364667,
                  23.489095193174084,
                  19.61687371693912,
                  16.312296204518027,
                  33.59235581081057,
                  19.49142218729408,
                  25.519247293859358,
                  18.984467042431977,
                  22.119269483366466,
                  22.39067857178136,
                  18.705905684634818,
                  31.615072584747956,
                  29.824357357719336,
                  21.1242261595234
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  19.675702434132294,
                  24.765932939228968,
                  26.93355595389828,
                  37.264557002065516,
                  62.52587189998724,
                  30.92643079459027,
                  20.37926802363103,
                  26.495497214849006,
                  20.183618981462093,
                  20.213907249744903,
                  20.599606421679304,
                  39.05093063037252,
                  23.14733217156872,
                  17.321785248846243,
                  29.7970963919873,
                  18.7647270593658,
                  25.134382209855808,
                  20.53372888518717,
                  21.360333554527127,
                  22.939482010027575,
                  19.167683808127197,
                  17.978052728737552,
                  30.116286275714398,
                  22.880461621073994
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.129409091688686,
                  24.394763235271725,
                  25.718430878218463,
                  44.637149674237,
                  33.999558951310114,
                  23.011102199758266,
                  19.776092660578268,
                  20.417850024215973,
                  20.7919098610797,
                  17.59364045020869,
                  23.43398453662585,
                  22.468401680029608,
                  18.58884645099875,
                  15.278010269046556,
                  32.590797260957075,
                  18.46315732375968,
                  24.502398765754055,
                  17.955242036577765,
                  21.095981603347358,
                  21.36790472412667,
                  17.676153100451447,
                  30.60976918029965,
                  28.81566244715923,
                  20.099053727754583
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4538855814335547,
              "rpss": -0.0008283234436421427,
              "brier_below": 0.22668372889325974,
              "bss_below": 0.0011136236973853242,
              "brier_above": 0.22720185250269634,
              "bss_above": -0.0027733814366084353,
              "crps": 26.56088594722945,
              "crpss": -0.08620873085703606,
              "crps_fair": 25.75650964627751,
              "crpss_fair": -0.09910997146997524,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.12535,
                    0.773628,
                    0.09699,
                    0.004032,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2877,
                    0.3415,
                    0.4281,
                    0.5083,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.314,
                    0.3539,
                    0.3541,
                    0.1503,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.107612,
                    0.789346,
                    0.102893,
                    0.00015,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2838,
                    0.345,
                    0.4214,
                    0.5054,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4416,
                    0.3298,
                    0.3788,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.441291032115465,
                  0.4491919727756926,
                  0.4864023255531584,
                  0.4339842191221965,
                  0.4803975301078488,
                  0.43079984872735955,
                  0.422209513747824,
                  0.48697841527515096,
                  0.503116239051417
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.46150612689453524,
                  0.4626658144476092,
                  0.5025804129424258,
                  0.43502336299626376,
                  0.4930044547546616,
                  0.4410305783704811,
                  0.42966910195677144,
                  0.46558066615845484,
                  0.49008091239695556
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3156460372277735,
                  0.1673368730510751,
                  0.13806699807070233,
                  0.20872437838706293,
                  0.3189170630173133,
                  0.16395844901571363,
                  0.16429389053895574,
                  0.28305617481791223,
                  0.3377614493136907
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3246500440152092,
                  0.17376216083560342,
                  0.14150667980580747,
                  0.20954887915290052,
                  0.3264773200055234,
                  0.16810893020695689,
                  0.16881064921101296,
                  0.27246380987490737,
                  0.3299942872697695
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1256450084708889,
                  0.2818550885693641,
                  0.34833530381611244,
                  0.22525984021188608,
                  0.16148047600896917,
                  0.2668413927655468,
                  0.2579156172945274,
                  0.20392224561703243,
                  0.16535480192022917
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.136856098063274,
                  0.28890364160773263,
                  0.361073708469447,
                  0.22547448318110808,
                  0.1665271446274894,
                  0.2729216390372266,
                  0.2608584457967457,
                  0.19311686140728634,
                  0.1600866363387469
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.426666630405878,
                  17.431334950761297,
                  31.50354224233819,
                  16.796068131793323,
                  16.280650185158798,
                  20.804132872404523,
                  15.46084036878336,
                  20.96525415955956,
                  24.349851626040014
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.700401532825092,
                  19.52059946533759,
                  33.764405017577104,
                  12.932496997007894,
                  16.79718613420036,
                  18.755591556502175,
                  15.912054597416416,
                  17.050032759603326,
                  21.158292552905177
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  12.167712729403613,
                  17.138328508133757,
                  31.197939735813264,
                  16.477283675516155,
                  16.00061763920235,
                  20.464960676711097,
                  15.131256902128863,
                  20.677120258623972,
                  24.027315158942482
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.040963232872253,
                  18.86116116538475,
                  33.104966717624265,
                  12.27305869705505,
                  16.137747834247513,
                  18.096153256549343,
                  15.252616297463575,
                  16.390594459650487,
                  20.49885425295233
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4593745662751237,
              "rpss": 0.011186020663207952,
              "brier_below": 0.23308459038224438,
              "bss_below": 0.008302017671457107,
              "brier_above": 0.2262899749638396,
              "bss_above": 0.014139132558371958,
              "crps": 19.557593463027217,
              "crpss": -0.025801347331521285,
              "crps_fair": 19.253615031608394,
              "crpss_fair": -0.046037656555007356,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000226,
                    0.184669,
                    0.794044,
                    0.021062,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1893,
                    0.2848,
                    0.3418,
                    0.4089,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.3235,
                    0.3816,
                    0.3797,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.07442,
                    0.879033,
                    0.046547,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2934,
                    0.3402,
                    0.4118,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2617,
                    0.363,
                    0.3586,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42976727377086854,
                  0.4555815952541457,
                  0.477873797236247,
                  0.44304109742528097,
                  0.48942750354316356,
                  0.4302890739047723,
                  0.43286451180505553,
                  0.4660009415593998,
                  0.5273194450388001
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45769367006987244,
                  0.4755203948622137,
                  0.4811101251311695,
                  0.4300069750745694,
                  0.4984073288033246,
                  0.46319140730076575,
                  0.4441441730320768,
                  0.4502549831923129,
                  0.5174119902158631
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.32167776184389607,
                  0.12200639578029726,
                  0.1415134686078374,
                  0.21200266138286963,
                  0.32050141979539604,
                  0.12494416944445162,
                  0.1454109041833696,
                  0.2099361837773998,
                  0.36238738168759577
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33624054857895364,
                  0.13034703789124324,
                  0.14150255915284246,
                  0.20534244397314746,
                  0.32556627067102445,
                  0.1385010427273907,
                  0.1500687330846873,
                  0.20117515044933712,
                  0.3575934610104493
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10808952810727848,
                  0.33357517859917424,
                  0.3363603081677738,
                  0.23103843567839402,
                  0.16892609167213482,
                  0.30534488863623155,
                  0.2874535954520039,
                  0.2560647521955843,
                  0.16493207586053782
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12145313950983586,
                  0.3451733349855966,
                  0.3396075449881942,
                  0.22466453066470288,
                  0.17284106696233917,
                  0.32469034625064525,
                  0.2940754270990343,
                  0.24907982794046105,
                  0.1598185403640623
                ],
                "crps": [
                  17.97513984664289,
                  27.243506945132363,
                  39.14572335197141,
                  25.83344571960221,
                  24.96489043625682,
                  27.75483475426571,
                  24.344510677664566,
                  32.764055659964654,
                  37.29764207822776
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  22.615515028016496,
                  30.53489796162619,
                  38.777499865947725,
                  19.653326601885357,
                  25.013487121265083,
                  28.57253141714021,
                  25.252740444348085,
                  26.362905926529372,
                  34.60429039008409
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  17.586394207990402,
                  26.809223119789344,
                  38.721615486924726,
                  25.38142094231429,
                  24.544137147223225,
                  27.297337860637363,
                  23.859846076576698,
                  32.338058914160705,
                  36.82837559569398
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  21.639099628479247,
                  29.55848256208893,
                  37.80108446641048,
                  18.67691120234811,
                  24.037071721727834,
                  27.596116017602963,
                  24.276325044810836,
                  25.38649052699212,
                  33.62787499054684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4613516932819704,
              "rpss": 0.015547613616647027,
              "brier_below": 0.2178200385003459,
              "bss_below": 0.013067721036858826,
              "brier_above": 0.24353165048545694,
              "bss_above": 0.017755148184248393,
              "crps": 28.591527718858703,
              "crpss": -0.023615183417070806,
              "crps_fair": 28.151823261256748,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04438160480935949,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.150642,
                    0.847503,
                    0.001855,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2872,
                    0.3404,
                    0.4107,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2467,
                    0.3435,
                    0.2856,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.072364,
                    0.877832,
                    0.049804,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2942,
                    0.3365,
                    0.4134,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3209,
                    0.4146,
                    0.4684,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sqrt_mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7501823422600961,
            "training": [
              0.755783615764303,
              0.7467240241741635,
              0.7438024064488675,
              0.8158760844487507,
              0.6556447136830993,
              0.7473979411770718,
              0.7388323757690708,
              0.7503333151086551,
              0.7594725830120463,
              0.7467112503178819,
              0.7711826340730576,
              0.6883042891533546,
              0.7176755635414211,
              0.7499404003747479,
              0.776851220710551,
              0.7684522461214642,
              0.7581106529536007,
              0.742892185980179,
              0.7397452757950539,
              0.7789213365716271,
              0.7420959512491824,
              0.7988477596892409,
              0.7471593588484369,
              0.7636190292764785
            ],
            "test": 0.7788918658448035
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4260093041226683,
                  0.47538300370822145,
                  0.4495390119253598,
                  0.42486362525589855,
                  0.6046275437519626,
                  0.45828735578099916,
                  0.4712243970456585,
                  0.4747794441829029,
                  0.4183867233451769,
                  0.4119653211716339,
                  0.406424400730288,
                  0.5249359153645998,
                  0.4261036845155311,
                  0.42466530620478715,
                  0.47636934192620994,
                  0.4103207097005948,
                  0.45753551089577243,
                  0.4356562434843024,
                  0.48976534489526014,
                  0.4358459354557204,
                  0.4688030108691036,
                  0.43121469783410554,
                  0.46648222496212,
                  0.43339167529180156
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4472054714310519,
                  0.4589801912597414,
                  0.46359114484830244,
                  0.4595146544011181,
                  0.4903287371504829,
                  0.4582362527063328,
                  0.45761747388311064,
                  0.46494431359450544,
                  0.423772983565715,
                  0.4155827025390587,
                  0.4368040928437045,
                  0.46274855668884746,
                  0.4038665014531707,
                  0.4219599370685286,
                  0.5019918956202981,
                  0.4318073516145089,
                  0.4712546274029139,
                  0.43284096253823107,
                  0.4803020022477182,
                  0.4457785600038623,
                  0.4573407337119155,
                  0.472428683947618,
                  0.46721179644431254,
                  0.4529883736143887
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1989624404132151,
                  0.261884378771984,
                  0.2625100033584833,
                  0.14151037925498033,
                  0.20654972379313163,
                  0.19227090414771805,
                  0.2830426585414002,
                  0.31482289450201684,
                  0.22916294584875807,
                  0.23520442634781685,
                  0.14757819464639022,
                  0.31042439641959146,
                  0.22128356984298203,
                  0.21685378805263053,
                  0.127609444739498,
                  0.17984913444013836,
                  0.2709913672601639,
                  0.23892031969112074,
                  0.21175197041623642,
                  0.2259107869154855,
                  0.2651207001078084,
                  0.2726058456238754,
                  0.20395257815840748,
                  0.2185834267406591
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20837734610233538,
                  0.25377519233942636,
                  0.2750995710775306,
                  0.15669347241971127,
                  0.14411378081408305,
                  0.18973499198819532,
                  0.2772573666730016,
                  0.3131566275007942,
                  0.23239623388317449,
                  0.23750968062143427,
                  0.16647235086141343,
                  0.28050256281974023,
                  0.22290800384681964,
                  0.21499792235842644,
                  0.1384422614544722,
                  0.19025799198778992,
                  0.28125262738258,
                  0.23703145413776303,
                  0.20653417991114126,
                  0.23086793026498253,
                  0.256649591814197,
                  0.2966580687734591,
                  0.20317448709987726,
                  0.23076288739698478
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22704686362089643,
                  0.21349862539195733,
                  0.18702900832017968,
                  0.2833532456682165,
                  0.3980778183326608,
                  0.2660164522615236,
                  0.18818173792365617,
                  0.15995654918136562,
                  0.1892237768979826,
                  0.1767608942547638,
                  0.25884620610541015,
                  0.21451152036857823,
                  0.20482011534500388,
                  0.20781151772316775,
                  0.34875989895642595,
                  0.23047157498437276,
                  0.18654414378396356,
                  0.19673592395127718,
                  0.27801337499149475,
                  0.2099351487672714,
                  0.20368231062802278,
                  0.15860885277884368,
                  0.262529647115549,
                  0.21480824890308997
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23882812535502604,
                  0.20520499890628327,
                  0.1884915737769108,
                  0.3028211820077163,
                  0.34621495636272687,
                  0.26850126072427616,
                  0.18036010719607753,
                  0.1517876860866956,
                  0.19137674968254043,
                  0.17807302191762436,
                  0.2703317420086005,
                  0.18224599386910745,
                  0.18095849759933538,
                  0.2069620147162367,
                  0.3635496341575443,
                  0.24154935963285798,
                  0.19000200000630263,
                  0.19580950838643651,
                  0.2737678223225454,
                  0.21491062973887995,
                  0.20069114188368678,
                  0.1757706152004859,
                  0.2640373093707447,
                  0.22222548618934063
                ],
                "crps": [
                  13.937161844395868,
                  16.295509721176025,
                  17.080782850024097,
                  25.51630441216881,
                  39.426514227700984,
                  22.916986470972137,
                  15.625985724236585,
                  17.49165344186324,
                  13.491936907532471,
                  13.375006615303468,
                  15.561909160727996,
                  27.954570389426472,
                  16.745081663150867,
                  12.058651815295274,
                  26.023618628555898,
                  12.848002108368588,
                  16.634772543733224,
                  13.53823841397744,
                  15.726381648236062,
                  14.984907200592907,
                  13.51139813857349,
                  13.476138043039352,
                  21.360137267276627,
                  15.611897191070138
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.598628827431384,
                  16.1287234213203,
                  16.846876606138146,
                  30.663467984689664,
                  22.80447649187906,
                  18.226651308312636,
                  14.525911039990154,
                  14.251447116167167,
                  13.837640825193597,
                  12.137215810172771,
                  16.791243786004284,
                  15.751382993845937,
                  12.898768089874904,
                  10.917544921058786,
                  28.541535877041742,
                  12.922717363327399,
                  16.266275488306196,
                  12.276815800801508,
                  15.42283207898044,
                  14.38398343120619,
                  12.541645594742256,
                  20.245101600952477,
                  20.421425827020485,
                  13.948777217630555
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  13.447551161287143,
                  15.787235849148837,
                  16.548248862908597,
                  24.91881810974932,
                  38.956071078449945,
                  22.43076331003964,
                  15.086245822288047,
                  16.972276607638893,
                  12.890803824026996,
                  12.799563161989063,
                  14.977954367332655,
                  27.34231396176839,
                  16.140042228908875,
                  11.547471903677456,
                  25.478424296999297,
                  12.267328865414083,
                  16.17591764255427,
                  13.000432891189872,
                  15.160793232300817,
                  14.468388820707423,
                  12.936885298796264,
                  12.950613223128206,
                  20.862167439627257,
                  15.080918693978292
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.904996569959033,
                  15.439883009669698,
                  16.159396333095156,
                  30.002155498348493,
                  22.128279551953014,
                  17.541784244932863,
                  13.834034998829466,
                  13.559051256968939,
                  13.144461241959426,
                  11.44081572501621,
                  16.10365814777164,
                  15.061827922294817,
                  12.203810338581421,
                  10.218834853157688,
                  27.87620457989062,
                  12.227804970506362,
                  15.577695591933987,
                  11.580680109566593,
                  14.732654751908749,
                  13.69183858775614,
                  11.84601147508678,
                  19.564057360096648,
                  19.74071553356249,
                  13.255808119988123
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4542741555175283,
              "rpss": -0.0021584263548311,
              "brier_below": 0.2265565115847705,
              "bss_below": 0.0013353175618755486,
              "brier_above": 0.22771764401065306,
              "bss_above": -0.005658699217910845,
              "crps": 17.96639776780825,
              "crpss": -0.08790806395683282,
              "crps_fair": 17.42613461057957,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10107183971481715,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    2.8e-05,
                    0.177315,
                    0.696664,
                    0.116485,
                    0.009508,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1827,
                    0.2827,
                    0.343,
                    0.4275,
                    0.5238,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.293,
                    0.3516,
                    0.4234,
                    0.2027,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.133594,
                    0.681849,
                    0.18296,
                    0.001597,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2794,
                    0.347,
                    0.4295,
                    0.5119,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3441,
                    0.3423,
                    0.3608,
                    0.7177,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4389126401252775,
                  0.4609019724055707,
                  0.46462085982142387,
                  0.4468162860652547,
                  0.6638005433678478,
                  0.45112036272223194,
                  0.4415109811701346,
                  0.475546769335413,
                  0.4231430164751719,
                  0.44294533641349787,
                  0.380539112203132,
                  0.5289540786327582,
                  0.4254355352060167,
                  0.4216319032026565,
                  0.4661983824552365,
                  0.39830416014246217,
                  0.4708387575653097,
                  0.42850675565284463,
                  0.4636071944093998,
                  0.44924406190634464,
                  0.4450180434560379,
                  0.41259121030840695,
                  0.46738695323571516,
                  0.4472182657421683
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.450859762187033,
                  0.4615252579407884,
                  0.48195188978473674,
                  0.4899671406267226,
                  0.4866822249422838,
                  0.45104938970310365,
                  0.44505340456925324,
                  0.4451826017329032,
                  0.43698121164797693,
                  0.43816449267304297,
                  0.43153061985811936,
                  0.4665311708633101,
                  0.41455543245551724,
                  0.41400736756299333,
                  0.4866694439614358,
                  0.4163741155867714,
                  0.47430685017421254,
                  0.4333081323328068,
                  0.4637676788813821,
                  0.4549741515638314,
                  0.43848605560736376,
                  0.48647544507953355,
                  0.46333262876860903,
                  0.4525018161642029
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22732870486160117,
                  0.22333541775156246,
                  0.27240370038421724,
                  0.15273933516645968,
                  0.22238618483937947,
                  0.21769326396835323,
                  0.23052319908329652,
                  0.29499405141097645,
                  0.22070129504071068,
                  0.27042318911437874,
                  0.11606770864874516,
                  0.3211290047874055,
                  0.21783093403596857,
                  0.22510412277885936,
                  0.13234550074365473,
                  0.1849385368961722,
                  0.2436179412343566,
                  0.22064580558735053,
                  0.22844623518512905,
                  0.20101970262950028,
                  0.24271405267854393,
                  0.3166418916820821,
                  0.25760565687216663,
                  0.20614654086601744
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23608353240397922,
                  0.22331054093632516,
                  0.28787705348692194,
                  0.16787043526726309,
                  0.12980597866178595,
                  0.21427952224866478,
                  0.23188434227033447,
                  0.2790337236966665,
                  0.22747905552243575,
                  0.26789379189861234,
                  0.14506829762590923,
                  0.28914503388214846,
                  0.22030745453346431,
                  0.22150001300575947,
                  0.14301966898459437,
                  0.197528447817378,
                  0.24762060355307083,
                  0.2191069646489153,
                  0.22787122597160456,
                  0.2052664928260851,
                  0.23730600527258158,
                  0.36291601407509505,
                  0.2549372233808246,
                  0.20936339489108258
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.21158393561387318,
                  0.23756655506269747,
                  0.19221715921079924,
                  0.2940769502796086,
                  0.44141435507812765,
                  0.23342709931759847,
                  0.21098778148478053,
                  0.18055271779570436,
                  0.20244172078980868,
                  0.17252214672230556,
                  0.26447140323155843,
                  0.20782507520172358,
                  0.20760460117482613,
                  0.19652777988554737,
                  0.33385288379655287,
                  0.2133656232412985,
                  0.22722081639197717,
                  0.20786095021305767,
                  0.23516095941190823,
                  0.24822435953507108,
                  0.20230399028310997,
                  0.09594931942934302,
                  0.20978129566349907,
                  0.24107172551105813
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.21477622978305372,
                  0.23821471700446323,
                  0.1940748362978147,
                  0.3220967053594594,
                  0.3568762462804978,
                  0.23676986745443884,
                  0.21316906229891872,
                  0.16614887803623654,
                  0.2095021561255411,
                  0.17027070077443054,
                  0.28646232223221,
                  0.1773861369811614,
                  0.19424797792205284,
                  0.1925073545572339,
                  0.34364977497684135,
                  0.21884566776939335,
                  0.22668624662114165,
                  0.21420116768389152,
                  0.23589645290977745,
                  0.2497076587377463,
                  0.20118005033478217,
                  0.12355943100443835,
                  0.2083954053877844,
                  0.24313842127312024
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.342769146567964,
                  25.453498161896405,
                  27.369054077588295,
                  38.43037594669786,
                  63.03565922577422,
                  31.294818645261536,
                  21.16327089746326,
                  27.308013042877977,
                  21.047923125339647,
                  20.993845015203664,
                  20.99115209959709,
                  39.91142338314797,
                  24.073943531149535,
                  18.011190035124354,
                  30.77970804090334,
                  19.386448053490753,
                  26.002055297496447,
                  21.188250857383668,
                  22.19657985700906,
                  23.59768645594471,
                  19.99631686665877,
                  18.394305027504263,
                  31.157065995366757,
                  23.509062092769266
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.156414500085216,
                  25.411815233188893,
                  26.732980668871086,
                  45.61593629136217,
                  34.99845443558639,
                  24.030769813999658,
                  20.8018756047614,
                  21.442419816482968,
                  21.815772545904604,
                  18.623549012936948,
                  24.452852751364667,
                  23.489095193174084,
                  19.61687371693912,
                  16.312296204518027,
                  33.59235581081057,
                  19.49142218729408,
                  25.519247293859358,
                  18.984467042431977,
                  22.119269483366466,
                  22.39067857178136,
                  18.705905684634818,
                  31.615072584747956,
                  29.824357357719336,
                  21.1242261595234
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  19.608816467923003,
                  24.709454880158805,
                  26.577075777332205,
                  37.58375049966883,
                  62.29296162505186,
                  30.567522477052282,
                  20.391713359824312,
                  26.546807314494206,
                  20.16176599034126,
                  20.138030109008454,
                  20.188914600449863,
                  39.086639197480686,
                  23.22763881857865,
                  17.257728485888688,
                  29.972128354893794,
                  18.544255983756912,
                  25.32826934035066,
                  20.36324700033423,
                  21.352761868622153,
                  22.82523570985934,
                  19.118885833888285,
                  17.588370881170498,
                  30.415345911374434,
                  22.74388684410948
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.129409091688686,
                  24.394763235271725,
                  25.718430878218463,
                  44.637149674237,
                  33.999558951310114,
                  23.011102199758266,
                  19.776092660578268,
                  20.417850024215973,
                  20.7919098610797,
                  17.59364045020869,
                  23.43398453662585,
                  22.468401680029608,
                  18.58884645099875,
                  15.278010269046556,
                  32.590797260957075,
                  18.46315732375968,
                  24.502398765754055,
                  17.955242036577765,
                  21.095981603347358,
                  21.36790472412667,
                  17.676153100451447,
                  30.60976918029965,
                  28.81566244715923,
                  20.099053727754583
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4547830492508464,
              "rpss": -0.0028072609725404707,
              "brier_below": 0.226949249010287,
              "bss_below": -5.6395998460079255e-05,
              "brier_above": 0.22783380018024313,
              "bss_above": -0.005562532592394476,
              "crps": 26.48476728659237,
              "crpss": -0.08309585450459012,
              "crps_fair": 25.691300305483868,
              "crpss_fair": -0.09632728710460214,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.184549,
                    0.684046,
                    0.119796,
                    0.011609,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2824,
                    0.3415,
                    0.4306,
                    0.5239,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2776,
                    0.3595,
                    0.4199,
                    0.0565,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.165827,
                    0.688216,
                    0.143911,
                    0.002045,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2789,
                    0.3458,
                    0.4278,
                    0.515,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3658,
                    0.3353,
                    0.3734,
                    0.8777,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43157742406802163,
                  0.44799203100130486,
                  0.4841491626172444,
                  0.43621471554049285,
                  0.47485512430597737,
                  0.4290249337553738,
                  0.42106507350780525,
                  0.4925287905097157,
                  0.5042331068579937
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.46150612689453524,
                  0.4626658144476092,
                  0.5025804129424258,
                  0.43502336299626376,
                  0.4930044547546616,
                  0.4410305783704811,
                  0.42966910195677144,
                  0.46558066615845484,
                  0.49008091239695556
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.30789832789516763,
                  0.16662754152638345,
                  0.139925008638112,
                  0.21053392580863586,
                  0.3140632103058196,
                  0.1636157141413154,
                  0.16406461719723056,
                  0.28488303896666073,
                  0.3365918714031392
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3246500440152092,
                  0.17376216083560342,
                  0.14150667980580747,
                  0.20954887915290052,
                  0.3264773200055234,
                  0.16810893020695689,
                  0.16881064921101296,
                  0.27246380987490737,
                  0.3299942872697695
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12367910972858258,
                  0.2813644786519565,
                  0.34422413064824303,
                  0.22568078919310983,
                  0.16079192282845653,
                  0.26540921318108524,
                  0.2570004508729241,
                  0.20764575678526856,
                  0.16764124795790908
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.136856098063274,
                  0.28890364160773263,
                  0.361073708469447,
                  0.22547448318110808,
                  0.1665271446274894,
                  0.2729216390372266,
                  0.2608584457967457,
                  0.19311686140728634,
                  0.1600866363387469
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.368824722488663,
                  17.4677681873122,
                  31.35570307644869,
                  16.685096611338945,
                  16.112006160380822,
                  20.800009474570462,
                  15.373825989023864,
                  20.822858243162646,
                  24.290561083076028
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.700401532825092,
                  19.52059946533759,
                  33.764405017577104,
                  12.932496997007894,
                  16.79718613420036,
                  18.755591556502175,
                  15.912054597416416,
                  17.050032759603326,
                  21.158292552905177
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  12.110069888533049,
                  17.178035213990146,
                  31.05641299029689,
                  16.372437164897214,
                  15.83200563560797,
                  20.46757220903839,
                  15.048299954276885,
                  20.535879374943363,
                  23.973145937547237
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.040963232872253,
                  18.86116116538475,
                  33.104966717624265,
                  12.27305869705505,
                  16.137747834247513,
                  18.096153256549343,
                  15.252616297463575,
                  16.390594459650487,
                  20.49885425295233
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45796004024043657,
              "rpss": 0.014230819439457032,
              "brier_below": 0.2320225839869405,
              "bss_below": 0.012820504276323086,
              "brier_above": 0.22593745553861502,
              "bss_above": 0.015674927974839048,
              "crps": 19.475183727533594,
              "crpss": -0.021478933233774367,
              "crps_fair": 19.174873152125684,
              "crpss_fair": -0.041759656244332755,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000226,
                    0.184543,
                    0.779888,
                    0.035343,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1939,
                    0.285,
                    0.3442,
                    0.4118,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.3152,
                    0.3817,
                    0.4214,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.128248,
                    0.75799,
                    0.113762,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2923,
                    0.3415,
                    0.4165,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2552,
                    0.3712,
                    0.3618,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42409888478108115,
                  0.4522612659882486,
                  0.47760927084648724,
                  0.4475719031168599,
                  0.48714557205220577,
                  0.42384015447039314,
                  0.43058168850301676,
                  0.4691925970804324,
                  0.5291701862205515
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45769367006987244,
                  0.4755203948622137,
                  0.4811101251311695,
                  0.4300069750745694,
                  0.4984073288033246,
                  0.46319140730076575,
                  0.4441441730320768,
                  0.4502549831923129,
                  0.5174119902158631
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3182448943547202,
                  0.12092799358186775,
                  0.14229086343291006,
                  0.21506425486673372,
                  0.318662755904532,
                  0.12270043045615503,
                  0.14482387501589597,
                  0.21185543112545707,
                  0.3625268955122921
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33624054857895364,
                  0.13034703789124324,
                  0.14150255915284246,
                  0.20534244397314746,
                  0.32556627067102445,
                  0.1385010427273907,
                  0.1500687330846873,
                  0.20117515044933712,
                  0.3575934610104493
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10585400624986521,
                  0.3313332518804169,
                  0.335318387104717,
                  0.2325076477782706,
                  0.16848282389236077,
                  0.30113970873030055,
                  0.2857578015183564,
                  0.257337160155609,
                  0.16664330343650136
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12145313950983586,
                  0.3451733349855966,
                  0.3396075449881942,
                  0.22466453066470288,
                  0.17284106696233917,
                  0.32469034625064525,
                  0.2940754270990343,
                  0.24907982794046105,
                  0.1598185403640623
                ],
                "crps": [
                  18.095418579487603,
                  27.37035321593078,
                  39.051099561318026,
                  25.703758431870874,
                  24.91313627791547,
                  27.791551065028113,
                  24.281735316745355,
                  32.55823336394026,
                  37.27512397221127
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  22.615515028016496,
                  30.53489796162619,
                  38.777499865947725,
                  19.653326601885357,
                  25.013487121265083,
                  28.57253141714021,
                  25.252740444348085,
                  26.362905926529372,
                  34.60429039008409
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  17.70821446034716,
                  26.942900133062714,
                  38.636024922563855,
                  25.260830337987972,
                  24.494338208646603,
                  27.34321543171747,
                  23.80480774782754,
                  32.1342823436459,
                  36.81454583705537
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  21.639099628479247,
                  29.55848256208893,
                  37.80108446641048,
                  18.67691120234811,
                  24.037071721727834,
                  27.596116017602963,
                  24.276325044810836,
                  25.38649052699212,
                  33.62787499054684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4601635025621418,
              "rpss": 0.01808302685268104,
              "brier_below": 0.21745526602784043,
              "bss_below": 0.01472048783495239,
              "brier_above": 0.24270823230515529,
              "bss_above": 0.02107626996402745,
              "crps": 28.5600455316053,
              "crpss": -0.02248807873079306,
              "crps_fair": 28.126573269206066,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04344487588155288,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.180316,
                    0.808806,
                    0.010879,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2836,
                    0.3431,
                    0.4076,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2359,
                    0.3496,
                    0.3183,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.142339,
                    0.767533,
                    0.090128,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2928,
                    0.3377,
                    0.4199,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2985,
                    0.4273,
                    0.4443,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "pt": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7587805899127534,
            "training": [
              0.7643801754359136,
              0.7554127559220953,
              0.753876931320892,
              0.8198536712915798,
              0.6648812539482507,
              0.7572347935468113,
              0.7457438934475603,
              0.7605789354910204,
              0.7680512410424327,
              0.7537009417007141,
              0.7779832312044939,
              0.7012441939127768,
              0.7244742669988032,
              0.7584436598313915,
              0.7924672124001214,
              0.7760312163069115,
              0.767251830580374,
              0.7528153281628748,
              0.7489849624943691,
              0.7871723701048161,
              0.748689800098973,
              0.805119181923432,
              0.754747534896003,
              0.7715947758434695
            ],
            "test": 0.7875728332903175
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42919992909994314,
                  0.4716975423134035,
                  0.44869458960513076,
                  0.4246426559176545,
                  0.6024385827127924,
                  0.4598107982374617,
                  0.4679525146360801,
                  0.47094093973380247,
                  0.41840514518911687,
                  0.4136762287422149,
                  0.4062863608522427,
                  0.5261671286966905,
                  0.4261537458667632,
                  0.42362086924973896,
                  0.4756466940989177,
                  0.41346911464775987,
                  0.4553951188042026,
                  0.4320975237139864,
                  0.491587994779462,
                  0.43533606799014674,
                  0.4698757209490528,
                  0.43364831068457893,
                  0.4689891153083472,
                  0.4343791880379795
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4472054714310519,
                  0.4589801912597414,
                  0.46359114484830244,
                  0.4595146544011181,
                  0.4903287371504829,
                  0.4582362527063328,
                  0.45761747388311064,
                  0.46494431359450544,
                  0.423772983565715,
                  0.4155827025390587,
                  0.4368040928437045,
                  0.46274855668884746,
                  0.4038665014531707,
                  0.4219599370685286,
                  0.5019918956202981,
                  0.4318073516145089,
                  0.4712546274029139,
                  0.43284096253823107,
                  0.4803020022477182,
                  0.4457785600038623,
                  0.4573407337119155,
                  0.472428683947618,
                  0.46721179644431254,
                  0.4529883736143887
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20081818511694058,
                  0.2597637321405526,
                  0.2627268808346614,
                  0.1421085376728259,
                  0.20509710717224588,
                  0.1941067489396442,
                  0.28117397298272,
                  0.31163442718389905,
                  0.22922904246691334,
                  0.23628089194889912,
                  0.14803977918421354,
                  0.3106804414483173,
                  0.2230742040092861,
                  0.2159494521248166,
                  0.12766669938958686,
                  0.1816810989947628,
                  0.26950552922995574,
                  0.2366744116626288,
                  0.21262260103412678,
                  0.2252350704693702,
                  0.266069197711337,
                  0.2744904442754835,
                  0.20556370856926928,
                  0.21890529153677526
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20837734610233538,
                  0.25377519233942636,
                  0.2750995710775306,
                  0.15669347241971127,
                  0.14411378081408305,
                  0.18973499198819532,
                  0.2772573666730016,
                  0.3131566275007942,
                  0.23239623388317449,
                  0.23750968062143427,
                  0.16647235086141343,
                  0.28050256281974023,
                  0.22290800384681964,
                  0.21499792235842644,
                  0.1384422614544722,
                  0.19025799198778992,
                  0.28125262738258,
                  0.23703145413776303,
                  0.20653417991114126,
                  0.23086793026498253,
                  0.256649591814197,
                  0.2966580687734591,
                  0.20317448709987726,
                  0.23076288739698478
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22838174414056156,
                  0.2119338106573873,
                  0.18596770863425424,
                  0.2825341178363117,
                  0.3973414740315762,
                  0.2657040500461705,
                  0.18677854098480257,
                  0.1593065121399908,
                  0.18917610218373182,
                  0.1773953362326072,
                  0.25824658162934755,
                  0.2154866885755892,
                  0.20307954241332576,
                  0.20767141676061815,
                  0.3479799961731238,
                  0.2317880156372131,
                  0.18588958977709014,
                  0.1954231120240298,
                  0.27896539406648696,
                  0.21010099792328535,
                  0.2038065229703246,
                  0.15915786688142602,
                  0.26342540712704454,
                  0.21547389687549473
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23882812535502604,
                  0.20520499890628327,
                  0.1884915737769108,
                  0.3028211820077163,
                  0.34621495636272687,
                  0.26850126072427616,
                  0.18036010719607753,
                  0.1517876860866956,
                  0.19137674968254043,
                  0.17807302191762436,
                  0.2703317420086005,
                  0.18224599386910745,
                  0.18095849759933538,
                  0.2069620147162367,
                  0.3635496341575443,
                  0.24154935963285798,
                  0.19000200000630263,
                  0.19580950838643651,
                  0.2737678223225454,
                  0.21491062973887995,
                  0.20069114188368678,
                  0.1757706152004859,
                  0.2640373093707447,
                  0.22222548618934063
                ],
                "crps": [
                  13.85802261115456,
                  16.311535067168503,
                  17.147646037466668,
                  25.466317457076237,
                  39.596215471702244,
                  22.92956425647425,
                  15.691559655114478,
                  17.612336575640715,
                  13.591738984546774,
                  13.554404718404564,
                  15.798209095453242,
                  28.184158060987375,
                  16.822100297996585,
                  11.991737438246165,
                  25.874646669749534,
                  13.043613889625616,
                  16.487547916184255,
                  13.562423650696507,
                  15.732048045775477,
                  15.03396697068933,
                  13.74265675180847,
                  13.578286023752,
                  21.28012026380248,
                  15.716479689608427
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.598628827431384,
                  16.1287234213203,
                  16.846876606138146,
                  30.663467984689664,
                  22.80447649187906,
                  18.226651308312636,
                  14.525911039990154,
                  14.251447116167167,
                  13.837640825193597,
                  12.137215810172771,
                  16.791243786004284,
                  15.751382993845937,
                  12.898768089874904,
                  10.917544921058786,
                  28.541535877041742,
                  12.922717363327399,
                  16.266275488306196,
                  12.276815800801508,
                  15.42283207898044,
                  14.38398343120619,
                  12.541645594742256,
                  20.245101600952477,
                  20.421425827020485,
                  13.948777217630555
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  13.356741888168655,
                  15.791981159652401,
                  16.601956278629082,
                  24.88046769215084,
                  39.111605902054364,
                  22.43065263382826,
                  15.138178169742115,
                  17.08227421878072,
                  12.972871380277573,
                  12.962031940495482,
                  15.212172363024429,
                  27.572858992189317,
                  16.214091606944674,
                  11.463233057076852,
                  25.324187392230723,
                  12.443718815737963,
                  16.018707903413294,
                  13.00830689652452,
                  15.150312946675493,
                  14.508175104242854,
                  13.150028751600779,
                  13.035064781015217,
                  20.769786681425423,
                  15.182057343089378
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.904996569959033,
                  15.439883009669698,
                  16.159396333095156,
                  30.002155498348493,
                  22.128279551953014,
                  17.541784244932863,
                  13.834034998829466,
                  13.559051256968939,
                  13.144461241959426,
                  11.44081572501621,
                  16.10365814777164,
                  15.061827922294817,
                  12.203810338581421,
                  10.218834853157688,
                  27.87620457989062,
                  12.227804970506362,
                  15.577695591933987,
                  11.580680109566593,
                  14.732654751908749,
                  13.69183858775614,
                  11.84601147508678,
                  19.564057360096648,
                  19.74071553356249,
                  13.255808119988123
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45417132832781126,
              "rpss": -0.0019315828653179157,
              "brier_below": 0.22662906067080132,
              "bss_below": 0.001015520044446716,
              "brier_above": 0.22754226773840805,
              "bss_above": -0.004884193252043145,
              "crps": 18.025305649963517,
              "crpss": -0.0914750761568055,
              "crps_fair": 17.4742276624571,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10411060340462264,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    2.8e-05,
                    0.172549,
                    0.691645,
                    0.126831,
                    0.008946,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1835,
                    0.2841,
                    0.3436,
                    0.4269,
                    0.5195,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.3074,
                    0.3467,
                    0.421,
                    0.2154,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.125735,
                    0.704082,
                    0.169458,
                    0.000726,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2813,
                    0.3479,
                    0.4262,
                    0.5119,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3399,
                    0.3445,
                    0.3575,
                    0.8457,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43803771904743577,
                  0.4610635046262704,
                  0.46500304454805985,
                  0.4472055654193195,
                  0.6582707928510646,
                  0.4504282490405043,
                  0.44203443772283085,
                  0.47450103247542286,
                  0.42505751600898595,
                  0.4436256314977976,
                  0.3810670884550991,
                  0.5274369843096878,
                  0.4258340088906273,
                  0.4207008538621436,
                  0.4672424317013599,
                  0.4001438709123348,
                  0.46941872344862845,
                  0.42837273615494087,
                  0.4632335097364797,
                  0.44924984945245616,
                  0.44817596104308904,
                  0.4152259544062859,
                  0.46755215243720183,
                  0.44782538977716413
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.450859762187033,
                  0.4615252579407884,
                  0.48195188978473674,
                  0.4899671406267226,
                  0.4866822249422838,
                  0.45104938970310365,
                  0.44505340456925324,
                  0.4451826017329032,
                  0.43698121164797693,
                  0.43816449267304297,
                  0.43153061985811936,
                  0.4665311708633101,
                  0.41455543245551724,
                  0.41400736756299333,
                  0.4866694439614358,
                  0.4163741155867714,
                  0.47430685017421254,
                  0.4333081323328068,
                  0.4637676788813821,
                  0.4549741515638314,
                  0.43848605560736376,
                  0.48647544507953355,
                  0.46333262876860903,
                  0.4525018161642029
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22656703338547934,
                  0.2236833857175693,
                  0.27304486760528185,
                  0.15289035544213045,
                  0.21954675456398945,
                  0.2171081444847933,
                  0.2309311889647822,
                  0.2939069941168169,
                  0.22169294481870466,
                  0.27091552239368044,
                  0.11666333115294668,
                  0.3203957240822786,
                  0.21855413442852584,
                  0.22402983994870085,
                  0.1331238164157918,
                  0.18654034629891028,
                  0.2425878180988881,
                  0.2201264765770526,
                  0.22804956486638478,
                  0.20098061958142152,
                  0.24473377456190823,
                  0.3182783165221712,
                  0.2572742047869479,
                  0.20659691074100056
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23608353240397922,
                  0.22331054093632516,
                  0.28787705348692194,
                  0.16787043526726309,
                  0.12980597866178595,
                  0.21427952224866478,
                  0.23188434227033447,
                  0.2790337236966665,
                  0.22747905552243575,
                  0.26789379189861234,
                  0.14506829762590923,
                  0.28914503388214846,
                  0.22030745453346431,
                  0.22150001300575947,
                  0.14301966898459437,
                  0.197528447817378,
                  0.24762060355307083,
                  0.2191069646489153,
                  0.22787122597160456,
                  0.2052664928260851,
                  0.23730600527258158,
                  0.36291601407509505,
                  0.2549372233808246,
                  0.20936339489108258
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.21147068614924458,
                  0.23738011942521234,
                  0.19195817678198063,
                  0.2943152092813549,
                  0.43872403499970314,
                  0.23332010516941448,
                  0.21110324818859486,
                  0.18059403819841935,
                  0.20336457055689666,
                  0.1727101085463641,
                  0.264403757024906,
                  0.2070412615404946,
                  0.20727987440310375,
                  0.19667101334427037,
                  0.3341186171244669,
                  0.21360352459573506,
                  0.22683090558292324,
                  0.2082462596813517,
                  0.23518394503771767,
                  0.24826923026160955,
                  0.20344218606697603,
                  0.09694763872721099,
                  0.21027794718537243,
                  0.24122847977846693
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.21477622978305372,
                  0.23821471700446323,
                  0.1940748362978147,
                  0.3220967053594594,
                  0.3568762462804978,
                  0.23676986745443884,
                  0.21316906229891872,
                  0.16614887803623654,
                  0.2095021561255411,
                  0.17027070077443054,
                  0.28646232223221,
                  0.1773861369811614,
                  0.19424797792205284,
                  0.1925073545572339,
                  0.34364977497684135,
                  0.21884566776939335,
                  0.22668624662114165,
                  0.21420116768389152,
                  0.23589645290977745,
                  0.2497076587377463,
                  0.20118005033478217,
                  0.12355943100443835,
                  0.2083954053877844,
                  0.24313842127312024
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.18762194207673,
                  25.45688040625845,
                  27.4283918676515,
                  38.34221819906241,
                  63.377512127718404,
                  31.38821164656033,
                  21.223122580069614,
                  27.442248096293163,
                  21.133802115449946,
                  21.25827729828858,
                  21.312346008545525,
                  40.21914275286524,
                  24.142896261898887,
                  17.92892289924212,
                  30.57562214637793,
                  19.692041974625816,
                  25.68514999071882,
                  21.257144025437956,
                  22.18672763899651,
                  23.652404576804962,
                  20.305464072239523,
                  18.46978004658945,
                  31.066642271650082,
                  23.56540939794214
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.156414500085216,
                  25.411815233188893,
                  26.732980668871086,
                  45.61593629136217,
                  34.99845443558639,
                  24.030769813999658,
                  20.8018756047614,
                  21.442419816482968,
                  21.815772545904604,
                  18.623549012936948,
                  24.452852751364667,
                  23.489095193174084,
                  19.61687371693912,
                  16.312296204518027,
                  33.59235581081057,
                  19.49142218729408,
                  25.519247293859358,
                  18.984467042431977,
                  22.119269483366466,
                  22.39067857178136,
                  18.705905684634818,
                  31.615072584747956,
                  29.824357357719336,
                  21.1242261595234
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  19.436242356786558,
                  24.69635831273982,
                  26.618108935466395,
                  37.510995651755195,
                  62.61709600408035,
                  30.645710721763145,
                  20.43542972783726,
                  26.66617547638779,
                  20.22104605330576,
                  20.378057255483004,
                  20.507183464314974,
                  39.391586357037845,
                  23.289753768438302,
                  17.151674120082603,
                  29.755108429771962,
                  18.82134686348576,
                  24.996710986595353,
                  20.40861732556855,
                  21.318078794108263,
                  22.86621367567344,
                  19.402848368035905,
                  17.639036509216954,
                  30.30773195980849,
                  22.791259413514368
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.129409091688686,
                  24.394763235271725,
                  25.718430878218463,
                  44.637149674237,
                  33.999558951310114,
                  23.011102199758266,
                  19.776092660578268,
                  20.417850024215973,
                  20.7919098610797,
                  17.59364045020869,
                  23.43398453662585,
                  22.468401680029608,
                  18.58884645099875,
                  15.278010269046556,
                  32.590797260957075,
                  18.46315732375968,
                  24.502398765754055,
                  17.955242036577765,
                  21.095981603347358,
                  21.36790472412667,
                  17.676153100451447,
                  30.60976918029965,
                  28.81566244715923,
                  20.099053727754583
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45486279199271634,
              "rpss": -0.002983095583546369,
              "brier_below": 0.2270092528981732,
              "bss_below": -0.0003208043281948125,
              "brier_above": 0.22785353906882463,
              "bss_above": -0.005649651741427064,
              "crps": 26.554082514306838,
              "crpss": -0.08593050413466585,
              "crps_fair": 25.744682105469085,
              "crpss_fair": -0.09860525370273754,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.177339,
                    0.688874,
                    0.122879,
                    0.010908,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2843,
                    0.3412,
                    0.4285,
                    0.5187,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2897,
                    0.3556,
                    0.4162,
                    0.0602,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.15949,
                    0.694857,
                    0.144357,
                    0.001297,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2808,
                    0.3465,
                    0.4263,
                    0.5119,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3663,
                    0.3354,
                    0.3764,
                    0.8457,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4344103416237262,
                  0.44802679918084787,
                  0.48324651715843114,
                  0.43509167253012626,
                  0.47644917402474063,
                  0.4302897064403212,
                  0.4204572065206468,
                  0.48919996656303955,
                  0.5036255528040673
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.46150612689453524,
                  0.4626658144476092,
                  0.5025804129424258,
                  0.43502336299626376,
                  0.4930044547546616,
                  0.4410305783704811,
                  0.42966910195677144,
                  0.46558066615845484,
                  0.49008091239695556
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3092494066491835,
                  0.16666718937944108,
                  0.13965481984686143,
                  0.20963422140703522,
                  0.3144528050830157,
                  0.16425924276042558,
                  0.16430851571531443,
                  0.28294184739135575,
                  0.3365704335965252
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3246500440152092,
                  0.17376216083560342,
                  0.14150667980580747,
                  0.20954887915290052,
                  0.3264773200055234,
                  0.16810893020695689,
                  0.16881064921101296,
                  0.27246380987490737,
                  0.3299942872697695
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1251609485367758,
                  0.2813595989056136,
                  0.34359167380021,
                  0.2254574505787278,
                  0.16199637783085485,
                  0.26603045705420286,
                  0.25614868523603396,
                  0.20625812446105457,
                  0.16705513160099528
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.136856098063274,
                  0.28890364160773263,
                  0.361073708469447,
                  0.22547448318110808,
                  0.1665271446274894,
                  0.2729216390372266,
                  0.2608584457967457,
                  0.19311686140728634,
                  0.1600866363387469
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.230554201521821,
                  17.37631251085952,
                  31.355205350468133,
                  16.731187243382532,
                  16.057348761861583,
                  20.757622549845003,
                  15.371060619193184,
                  20.94425750461938,
                  24.29739236963643
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.700401532825092,
                  19.52059946533759,
                  33.764405017577104,
                  12.932496997007894,
                  16.79718613420036,
                  18.755591556502175,
                  15.912054597416416,
                  17.050032759603326,
                  21.158292552905177
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  11.964217320345647,
                  17.079809972849663,
                  31.054820728257177,
                  16.416700433989547,
                  15.768689511014223,
                  20.427722192434636,
                  15.04135682375114,
                  20.648862178198797,
                  23.976040661316063
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.040963232872253,
                  18.86116116538475,
                  33.104966717624265,
                  12.27305869705505,
                  16.137747834247513,
                  18.096153256549343,
                  15.252616297463575,
                  16.390594459650487,
                  20.49885425295233
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4578663263162163,
              "rpss": 0.014432540747362443,
              "brier_below": 0.23197094242546198,
              "bss_below": 0.013040222071646124,
              "brier_above": 0.22589538311160762,
              "bss_above": 0.015858221818905838,
              "crps": 19.457882345709734,
              "crpss": -0.020571470829508387,
              "crps_fair": 19.15313553579521,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04057866424838341,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000226,
                    0.162484,
                    0.798582,
                    0.038708,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1917,
                    0.2838,
                    0.3434,
                    0.4168,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.3049,
                    0.3832,
                    0.3918,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.082195,
                    0.826983,
                    0.090822,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2917,
                    0.3403,
                    0.4166,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2617,
                    0.3621,
                    0.3777,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4240873021079446,
                  0.4535536316920451,
                  0.47695076519840246,
                  0.446428941872575,
                  0.48686222754304886,
                  0.42447992026345693,
                  0.43073790824936414,
                  0.4687500689006225,
                  0.528722001362821
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45769367006987244,
                  0.4755203948622137,
                  0.4811101251311695,
                  0.4300069750745694,
                  0.4984073288033246,
                  0.46319140730076575,
                  0.4441441730320768,
                  0.4502549831923129,
                  0.5174119902158631
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3173366455335228,
                  0.12152767072625717,
                  0.1422852109863487,
                  0.2142890186228951,
                  0.3181353050105199,
                  0.12330681807777204,
                  0.1451415508934186,
                  0.21172410827912394,
                  0.3621977928730878
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33624054857895364,
                  0.13034703789124324,
                  0.14150255915284246,
                  0.20534244397314746,
                  0.32556627067102445,
                  0.1385010427273907,
                  0.1500687330846873,
                  0.20117515044933712,
                  0.3575934610104493
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10675067262417462,
                  0.33202594032208427,
                  0.33466553378878544,
                  0.23213992283001195,
                  0.16872693036049816,
                  0.30117308670459847,
                  0.2855963453687983,
                  0.25702595490392877,
                  0.1665242212423226
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12145313950983586,
                  0.3451733349855966,
                  0.3396075449881942,
                  0.22466453066470288,
                  0.17284106696233917,
                  0.32469034625064525,
                  0.2940754270990343,
                  0.24907982794046105,
                  0.1598185403640623
                ],
                "crps": [
                  17.842675040306208,
                  27.18729837195842,
                  39.055271652543844,
                  25.759344391680195,
                  24.769194977851168,
                  27.6612895152051,
                  24.25224285647815,
                  32.69950342609829,
                  37.1692944750797
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  22.615515028016496,
                  30.53489796162619,
                  38.777499865947725,
                  19.653326601885357,
                  25.013487121265083,
                  28.57253141714021,
                  25.252740444348085,
                  26.362905926529372,
                  34.60429039008409
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  17.44467570414036,
                  26.750096706324033,
                  38.637385931505605,
                  25.31248116344854,
                  24.33742960233774,
                  27.212490914896946,
                  23.769727337456757,
                  32.264511264592514,
                  36.7013980123951
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  21.639099628479247,
                  29.55848256208893,
                  37.80108446641048,
                  18.67691120234811,
                  24.037071721727834,
                  27.596116017602963,
                  24.276325044810836,
                  25.38649052699212,
                  33.62787499054684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4600636407989201,
              "rpss": 0.01829611624314731,
              "brier_below": 0.21732712455588288,
              "bss_below": 0.01530109077589148,
              "brier_above": 0.24273651201613364,
              "bss_above": 0.02096220840174612,
              "crps": 28.48845718968901,
              "crpss": -0.019925119715041184,
              "crps_fair": 28.047799626344176,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04052251654499095,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.154092,
                    0.841136,
                    0.004771,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2829,
                    0.3421,
                    0.4075,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2483,
                    0.3438,
                    0.2787,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.091193,
                    0.827243,
                    0.081565,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2918,
                    0.3365,
                    0.4192,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2939,
                    0.4191,
                    0.4534,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dc": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8005473940249233,
            "training": [
              0.7966689000011669,
              0.8034970511827367,
              0.7953229347613652,
              0.8612134542137428,
              0.7144210019857221,
              0.7890078224195821,
              0.7763648984004973,
              0.8141475695410215,
              0.8094104333924722,
              0.7988570775175116,
              0.823325981769188,
              0.7456710467869923,
              0.7654086754118443,
              0.8010652437491291,
              0.8387940330889001,
              0.8195102721430663,
              0.8076302816676098,
              0.7879824365808857,
              0.7838942346769769,
              0.8219698779135264,
              0.8083028048999285,
              0.8400675566400411,
              0.7945819781771664,
              0.8160218896770864
            ],
            "test": 0.8284991164317976
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43848080981378196,
                  0.4659776815360921,
                  0.44642925993631044,
                  0.4319344219893353,
                  0.6176242234183758,
                  0.4692472418442502,
                  0.489291026820241,
                  0.45262445216396174,
                  0.4173385718746775,
                  0.4097620879867262,
                  0.4113123411288318,
                  0.5103392528350229,
                  0.4291001779444027,
                  0.419915983860124,
                  0.48132491366313984,
                  0.40785963529461283,
                  0.45114032805021764,
                  0.43205921470881814,
                  0.5002115269432895,
                  0.43868436265196203,
                  0.4469738241871809,
                  0.4369097592746007,
                  0.480995371771768,
                  0.43772203625870637
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4472054714310519,
                  0.4589801912597414,
                  0.46359114484830244,
                  0.4595146544011181,
                  0.4903287371504829,
                  0.4582362527063328,
                  0.45761747388311064,
                  0.46494431359450544,
                  0.423772983565715,
                  0.4155827025390587,
                  0.4368040928437045,
                  0.46274855668884746,
                  0.4038665014531707,
                  0.4219599370685286,
                  0.5019918956202981,
                  0.4318073516145089,
                  0.4712546274029139,
                  0.43284096253823107,
                  0.4803020022477182,
                  0.4457785600038623,
                  0.4573407337119155,
                  0.472428683947618,
                  0.46721179644431254,
                  0.4529883736143887
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20533855531437717,
                  0.258050332337153,
                  0.26397010459995884,
                  0.1438907085034745,
                  0.21313576266792633,
                  0.1956139799724636,
                  0.2907592891361402,
                  0.3014290840602809,
                  0.22965174519174064,
                  0.2355565537581995,
                  0.154125610093168,
                  0.30093060896573537,
                  0.22347283190798894,
                  0.21628057405676818,
                  0.13105047493500807,
                  0.1802001086654075,
                  0.26707642301549983,
                  0.23816735501532935,
                  0.21800854192712413,
                  0.22734529484411234,
                  0.24998646165257446,
                  0.275083054809447,
                  0.21110596468097395,
                  0.2203469717643563
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20837734610233538,
                  0.25377519233942636,
                  0.2750995710775306,
                  0.15669347241971127,
                  0.14411378081408305,
                  0.18973499198819532,
                  0.2772573666730016,
                  0.3131566275007942,
                  0.23239623388317449,
                  0.23750968062143427,
                  0.16647235086141343,
                  0.28050256281974023,
                  0.22290800384681964,
                  0.21499792235842644,
                  0.1384422614544722,
                  0.19025799198778992,
                  0.28125262738258,
                  0.23703145413776303,
                  0.20653417991114126,
                  0.23086793026498253,
                  0.256649591814197,
                  0.2966580687734591,
                  0.20317448709987726,
                  0.23076288739698478
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23314225456819135,
                  0.20792734931180926,
                  0.1824591554623718,
                  0.28804371359277586,
                  0.40448846065506994,
                  0.27363326128814397,
                  0.19853173820689318,
                  0.15119536841925676,
                  0.18768682686027757,
                  0.17420553453860474,
                  0.2571867308318037,
                  0.20940864417751273,
                  0.20562734645219552,
                  0.2036354100904427,
                  0.35027443798189745,
                  0.22765952643327889,
                  0.1840639052078293,
                  0.19389185987715396,
                  0.28220298479645217,
                  0.21133906781855458,
                  0.19698736285613014,
                  0.1618267044587833,
                  0.26988940703671055,
                  0.2173750642734043
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23882812535502604,
                  0.20520499890628327,
                  0.1884915737769108,
                  0.3028211820077163,
                  0.34621495636272687,
                  0.26850126072427616,
                  0.18036010719607753,
                  0.1517876860866956,
                  0.19137674968254043,
                  0.17807302191762436,
                  0.2703317420086005,
                  0.18224599386910745,
                  0.18095849759933538,
                  0.2069620147162367,
                  0.3635496341575443,
                  0.24154935963285798,
                  0.19000200000630263,
                  0.19580950838643651,
                  0.2737678223225454,
                  0.21491062973887995,
                  0.20069114188368678,
                  0.1757706152004859,
                  0.2640373093707447,
                  0.22222548618934063
                ],
                "crps": [
                  14.577355890487716,
                  16.026047137193146,
                  18.02686993814164,
                  24.81140510172193,
                  42.50386025009132,
                  23.164907225116913,
                  15.287448001136974,
                  16.03748051683449,
                  13.532466475252567,
                  13.328170954599035,
                  15.761853836023032,
                  28.47336185488543,
                  17.44082616895599,
                  12.693140069881421,
                  25.377964056499295,
                  12.667878430662306,
                  16.277318183384182,
                  14.706741944819303,
                  15.909326910901394,
                  15.849740288086753,
                  13.187591847109697,
                  13.81714483616195,
                  21.12355395635713,
                  17.2696363202669
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.598628827431384,
                  16.1287234213203,
                  16.846876606138146,
                  30.663467984689664,
                  22.80447649187906,
                  18.226651308312636,
                  14.525911039990154,
                  14.251447116167167,
                  13.837640825193597,
                  12.137215810172771,
                  16.791243786004284,
                  15.751382993845937,
                  12.898768089874904,
                  10.917544921058786,
                  28.541535877041742,
                  12.922717363327399,
                  16.266275488306196,
                  12.276815800801508,
                  15.42283207898044,
                  14.38398343120619,
                  12.541645594742256,
                  20.245101600952477,
                  20.421425827020485,
                  13.948777217630555
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  13.962549092761487,
                  15.332602103040804,
                  17.468503283282388,
                  23.96311965344463,
                  42.055821806453565,
                  22.610902627567825,
                  14.56370136445891,
                  15.307892566742822,
                  12.805469504771462,
                  12.628764763100724,
                  14.835876074335951,
                  27.548364331986537,
                  16.60576173456628,
                  12.015830956801935,
                  24.647682172973514,
                  11.936868837458272,
                  15.648317083904432,
                  14.124002660610264,
                  15.204442251480137,
                  15.137829446002433,
                  12.537227226491193,
                  13.33289640562228,
                  20.494927572210482,
                  16.533297128992615
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.904996569959033,
                  15.439883009669698,
                  16.159396333095156,
                  30.002155498348493,
                  22.128279551953014,
                  17.541784244932863,
                  13.834034998829466,
                  13.559051256968939,
                  13.144461241959426,
                  11.44081572501621,
                  16.10365814777164,
                  15.061827922294817,
                  12.203810338581421,
                  10.218834853157688,
                  27.87620457989062,
                  12.227804970506362,
                  15.577695591933987,
                  11.580680109566593,
                  14.732654751908749,
                  13.69183858775614,
                  11.84601147508678,
                  19.564057360096648,
                  19.74071553356249,
                  13.255808119988123
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45513577108151787,
              "rpss": -0.004059206505414137,
              "brier_below": 0.22710734966146698,
              "bss_below": -0.0010927853829081347,
              "brier_above": 0.22802842146648097,
              "bss_above": -0.007031171049560081,
              "crps": 18.243837091440437,
              "crpss": -0.1047076740589199,
              "crps_fair": 17.554277110377537,
              "crpss_fair": -0.1091685347737743,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00031,
                    0.107474,
                    0.717965,
                    0.168394,
                    0.005858,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1834,
                    0.2831,
                    0.3475,
                    0.4304,
                    0.5164,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.3441,
                    0.3386,
                    0.3993,
                    0.1403,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.099717,
                    0.786247,
                    0.107252,
                    0.006785,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2838,
                    0.344,
                    0.4385,
                    0.5033,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4043,
                    0.3365,
                    0.3673,
                    0.3254,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44273438493810024,
                  0.46003979657072186,
                  0.4682296006368595,
                  0.45922844727748585,
                  0.6470587270557467,
                  0.4501142575672432,
                  0.44133222170006453,
                  0.4583100922792178,
                  0.42771232231446504,
                  0.44129300643753094,
                  0.39482573215181566,
                  0.5088326015848165,
                  0.42343632018889155,
                  0.4221362236754729,
                  0.4693824341653872,
                  0.40334746429783674,
                  0.47109251420110476,
                  0.4295131864334404,
                  0.46391625341898135,
                  0.46041282960192265,
                  0.4376402953849031,
                  0.4152425662245748,
                  0.4656141900836449,
                  0.45431341283284243
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.450859762187033,
                  0.4615252579407884,
                  0.48195188978473674,
                  0.4899671406267226,
                  0.4866822249422838,
                  0.45104938970310365,
                  0.44505340456925324,
                  0.4451826017329032,
                  0.43698121164797693,
                  0.43816449267304297,
                  0.43153061985811936,
                  0.4665311708633101,
                  0.41455543245551724,
                  0.41400736756299333,
                  0.4866694439614358,
                  0.4163741155867714,
                  0.47430685017421254,
                  0.4333081323328068,
                  0.4637676788813821,
                  0.4549741515638314,
                  0.43848605560736376,
                  0.48647544507953355,
                  0.46333262876860903,
                  0.4525018161642029
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2310820584424137,
                  0.222817572665963,
                  0.27726669369237866,
                  0.15725424523695633,
                  0.21645377029080667,
                  0.21458049653087358,
                  0.2296456991736975,
                  0.28406759415310184,
                  0.2228092893445751,
                  0.2691331624648921,
                  0.1275030686768259,
                  0.3083861725413069,
                  0.21990669238990418,
                  0.22629351131760567,
                  0.135534027352062,
                  0.18863413210185068,
                  0.2443057853004301,
                  0.22015687775905274,
                  0.22979129528879122,
                  0.20741980793648826,
                  0.23800393526873048,
                  0.3172970683436631,
                  0.25553900578763383,
                  0.21094246185401047
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23608353240397922,
                  0.22331054093632516,
                  0.28787705348692194,
                  0.16787043526726309,
                  0.12980597866178595,
                  0.21427952224866478,
                  0.23188434227033447,
                  0.2790337236966665,
                  0.22747905552243575,
                  0.26789379189861234,
                  0.14506829762590923,
                  0.28914503388214846,
                  0.22030745453346431,
                  0.22150001300575947,
                  0.14301966898459437,
                  0.197528447817378,
                  0.24762060355307083,
                  0.2191069646489153,
                  0.22787122597160456,
                  0.2052664928260851,
                  0.23730600527258158,
                  0.36291601407509505,
                  0.2549372233808246,
                  0.20936339489108258
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.21165232658691535,
                  0.23722222375405333,
                  0.19096290693553486,
                  0.3019742021088342,
                  0.4306049565953012,
                  0.23553376047337493,
                  0.2116865228039138,
                  0.17424249838202832,
                  0.20490303331902815,
                  0.17215984439972598,
                  0.2673226632718418,
                  0.2004464289862042,
                  0.2035296278777432,
                  0.19584271282379054,
                  0.33384840626276907,
                  0.2147133322600336,
                  0.22678672880511483,
                  0.2093563088283764,
                  0.23412495826390214,
                  0.25299302148869873,
                  0.1996363606578145,
                  0.09794549783920202,
                  0.21007518442051393,
                  0.24337095052732785
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.21477622978305372,
                  0.23821471700446323,
                  0.1940748362978147,
                  0.3220967053594594,
                  0.3568762462804978,
                  0.23676986745443884,
                  0.21316906229891872,
                  0.16614887803623654,
                  0.2095021561255411,
                  0.17027070077443054,
                  0.28646232223221,
                  0.1773861369811614,
                  0.19424797792205284,
                  0.1925073545572339,
                  0.34364977497684135,
                  0.21884566776939335,
                  0.22668624662114165,
                  0.21420116768389152,
                  0.23589645290977745,
                  0.2497076587377463,
                  0.20118005033478217,
                  0.12355943100443835,
                  0.2083954053877844,
                  0.24313842127312024
                ],
                "crps": [
                  21.005429005197765,
                  25.09567580724674,
                  29.067113464028942,
                  37.322682513974115,
                  67.78471823025335,
                  31.268485382701655,
                  20.669703292940035,
                  25.17710080507829,
                  21.126284549051903,
                  21.1018299547693,
                  21.794755214225578,
                  39.75818425458468,
                  24.84400946630402,
                  18.937826444384317,
                  30.27760789944738,
                  18.970414385047178,
                  25.440819207949403,
                  23.14366258821582,
                  22.11216363336984,
                  24.931575518145387,
                  19.51065488480185,
                  18.602455656229836,
                  30.57769491341208,
                  25.80130919231566
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.156414500085216,
                  25.411815233188893,
                  26.732980668871086,
                  45.61593629136217,
                  34.99845443558639,
                  24.030769813999658,
                  20.8018756047614,
                  21.442419816482968,
                  21.815772545904604,
                  18.623549012936948,
                  24.452852751364667,
                  23.489095193174084,
                  19.61687371693912,
                  16.312296204518027,
                  33.59235581081057,
                  19.49142218729408,
                  25.519247293859358,
                  18.984467042431977,
                  22.119269483366466,
                  22.39067857178136,
                  18.705905684634818,
                  31.615072584747956,
                  29.824357357719336,
                  21.1242261595234
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.090222800875726,
                  24.079050985055925,
                  28.24116942077796,
                  36.09129268201851,
                  67.09966899640503,
                  30.451033341102313,
                  19.608895154713363,
                  24.065206102423883,
                  20.03757876149223,
                  20.049429188900746,
                  20.458583432925924,
                  38.44836110884402,
                  23.64634904174163,
                  17.922307581034918,
                  29.189242440188224,
                  17.870223740037957,
                  24.506265152204502,
                  22.27696833989273,
                  21.046861864529465,
                  23.85380128910231,
                  18.526874656774808,
                  17.867618696490695,
                  29.651791415451456,
                  24.744345711653946
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.129409091688686,
                  24.394763235271725,
                  25.718430878218463,
                  44.637149674237,
                  33.999558951310114,
                  23.011102199758266,
                  19.776092660578268,
                  20.417850024215973,
                  20.7919098610797,
                  17.59364045020869,
                  23.43398453662585,
                  22.468401680029608,
                  18.58884645099875,
                  15.278010269046556,
                  32.590797260957075,
                  18.46315732375968,
                  24.502398765754055,
                  17.955242036577765,
                  21.095981603347358,
                  21.36790472412667,
                  17.676153100451447,
                  30.60976918029965,
                  28.81566244715923,
                  20.099053727754583
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45482328670929456,
              "rpss": -0.002895985509572707,
              "brier_below": 0.22728435099641722,
              "bss_below": -0.0015330295894624424,
              "brier_above": 0.22753893573633513,
              "bss_above": -0.004261125001628674,
              "crps": 26.846756510986467,
              "crpss": -0.09789942155405629,
              "crps_fair": 25.825964246026597,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10207381417215244,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.042865,
                    0.831537,
                    0.117569,
                    0.008029,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2904,
                    0.3455,
                    0.4312,
                    0.5169,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.357,
                    0.3445,
                    0.3917,
                    0.044,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.120008,
                    0.810082,
                    0.069861,
                    5e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2831,
                    0.3481,
                    0.4209,
                    0.5033,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4211,
                    0.3317,
                    0.3962,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4322501597284773,
                  0.44591993207673813,
                  0.4836954090891304,
                  0.4334066665763718,
                  0.4718094137039298,
                  0.4380088497942169,
                  0.4237377898448909,
                  0.4970634782762181,
                  0.49641325264029684
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.46150612689453524,
                  0.4626658144476092,
                  0.5025804129424258,
                  0.43502336299626376,
                  0.4930044547546616,
                  0.4410305783704811,
                  0.42966910195677144,
                  0.46558066615845484,
                  0.49008091239695556
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.30718951356047314,
                  0.16488680256686683,
                  0.1394428473804098,
                  0.20790525684680367,
                  0.3104546218340167,
                  0.16761103341377054,
                  0.16593803757383646,
                  0.2889346802872866,
                  0.33484369676220627
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3246500440152092,
                  0.17376216083560342,
                  0.14150667980580747,
                  0.20954887915290052,
                  0.3264773200055234,
                  0.16810893020695689,
                  0.16881064921101296,
                  0.27246380987490737,
                  0.3299942872697695
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12506065995226856,
                  0.28103311789050867,
                  0.34425253851366744,
                  0.22550140891548917,
                  0.16135480031294144,
                  0.2703978094933491,
                  0.25779974657575233,
                  0.20812880305128648,
                  0.16156956749753257
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.136856098063274,
                  0.28890364160773263,
                  0.361073708469447,
                  0.22547448318110808,
                  0.1665271446274894,
                  0.2729216390372266,
                  0.2608584457967457,
                  0.19311686140728634,
                  0.1600866363387469
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.399763701184824,
                  17.711000308789735,
                  31.270642498002317,
                  18.8051095107227,
                  16.44049327715017,
                  22.7633051228108,
                  15.716186673621674,
                  21.828113883035062,
                  24.46563613019298
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.700401532825092,
                  19.52059946533759,
                  33.764405017577104,
                  12.932496997007894,
                  16.79718613420036,
                  18.755591556502175,
                  15.912054597416416,
                  17.050032759603326,
                  21.158292552905177
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  11.834148989999965,
                  17.022410930691986,
                  30.553028397368532,
                  18.088134177105243,
                  15.85937363133272,
                  21.91842399592915,
                  15.026463665968514,
                  21.219941312358113,
                  23.71190769299986
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.040963232872253,
                  18.86116116538475,
                  33.104966717624265,
                  12.27305869705505,
                  16.137747834247513,
                  18.096153256549343,
                  15.252616297463575,
                  16.390594459650487,
                  20.49885425295233
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4580338835255856,
              "rpss": 0.014071870124462094,
              "brier_below": 0.23191183224729667,
              "bss_below": 0.013291716365307904,
              "brier_above": 0.22612205024475507,
              "bss_above": 0.01487071781418381,
              "crps": 20.155583456167808,
              "crpss": -0.05716609278520024,
              "crps_fair": 19.470425865972675,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0578168625234361,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000602,
                    0.171918,
                    0.752936,
                    0.074544,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.176,
                    0.2863,
                    0.3438,
                    0.4123,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.375,
                    0.361,
                    0.368,
                    0.4244,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.131947,
                    0.76868,
                    0.099373,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2947,
                    0.336,
                    0.4252,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2584,
                    0.3679,
                    0.386,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42641132537481297,
                  0.46298937745295204,
                  0.4816595799226749,
                  0.44592845600834996,
                  0.48515930577008426,
                  0.4385595262000976,
                  0.4348919098864454,
                  0.47031672217949405,
                  0.5173569828554102
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45769367006987244,
                  0.4755203948622137,
                  0.4811101251311695,
                  0.4300069750745694,
                  0.4984073288033246,
                  0.46319140730076575,
                  0.4441441730320768,
                  0.4502549831923129,
                  0.5174119902158631
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3183866848947082,
                  0.12669486394908022,
                  0.1445640447242436,
                  0.21396081500536787,
                  0.3156562195348152,
                  0.1303875787483156,
                  0.14597037709982139,
                  0.2114039868405275,
                  0.35776378148411947
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33624054857895364,
                  0.13034703789124324,
                  0.14150255915284246,
                  0.20534244397314746,
                  0.32556627067102445,
                  0.1385010427273907,
                  0.1500687330846873,
                  0.20117515044933712,
                  0.3575934610104493
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1080246567959572,
                  0.33629449244879267,
                  0.33709551462258114,
                  0.23196764042828188,
                  0.1695030937344216,
                  0.308171931152067,
                  0.2889215204984222,
                  0.25891272975430807,
                  0.15959321344458885
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12145313950983586,
                  0.3451733349855966,
                  0.3396075449881942,
                  0.22466453066470288,
                  0.17284106696233917,
                  0.32469034625064525,
                  0.2940754270990343,
                  0.24907982794046105,
                  0.1598185403640623
                ],
                "crps": [
                  18.418559106169518,
                  27.84168162600361,
                  39.47104372350808,
                  28.530738300216615,
                  25.341101177461976,
                  29.763091133621593,
                  24.79411893237068,
                  34.637423616608615,
                  37.27795044002617
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  22.615515028016496,
                  30.53489796162619,
                  38.777499865947725,
                  19.653326601885357,
                  25.013487121265083,
                  28.57253141714021,
                  25.252740444348085,
                  26.362905926529372,
                  34.60429039008409
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  17.570568334542088,
                  26.82149284766996,
                  38.470358672983124,
                  27.52111034505135,
                  24.47132898448201,
                  28.580430973752165,
                  23.78114131820708,
                  33.75712739177088,
                  36.200067347493174
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  21.639099628479247,
                  29.55848256208893,
                  37.80108446641048,
                  18.67691120234811,
                  24.037071721727834,
                  27.596116017602963,
                  24.276325044810836,
                  25.38649052699212,
                  33.62787499054684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.46258590951670236,
              "rpss": 0.01291398912737407,
              "brier_below": 0.218309816920111,
              "bss_below": 0.0108485582117408,
              "brier_above": 0.24427608809771342,
              "bss_above": 0.014752581533550968,
              "crps": 29.56396756177632,
              "crpss": -0.05842983893173992,
              "crps_fair": 28.574847357327982,
              "crpss_fair": -0.060075031847029114,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.087507,
                    0.892985,
                    0.019508,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2921,
                    0.3421,
                    0.4101,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2899,
                    0.3338,
                    0.2731,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.125173,
                    0.832137,
                    0.04269,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2937,
                    0.3367,
                    0.4124,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3053,
                    0.4249,
                    0.4368,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "loci": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7986533136091899,
            "training": [
              0.8014695411480369,
              0.7981967707570166,
              0.7937027962771488,
              0.8560810492110834,
              0.72716782782745,
              0.7966807023825334,
              0.7928105845348453,
              0.8005929371580022,
              0.8052705032998262,
              0.8007426490511209,
              0.8196563027575047,
              0.747849029760822,
              0.7752309234171304,
              0.7966392994886455,
              0.7928677885309284,
              0.8130560195972665,
              0.8057137936652662,
              0.79089889333567,
              0.7899437214710148,
              0.8201497651518862,
              0.793019034507922,
              0.8396478927975759,
              0.7996311546047552,
              0.8106605458871045
            ],
            "test": 0.8300737523218387
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43125387821365696,
                  0.4685866036536377,
                  0.45405172056167054,
                  0.4343768879455347,
                  0.5830716888634286,
                  0.45874955750240576,
                  0.46430545688766184,
                  0.47191705663316286,
                  0.4230398183652766,
                  0.41249028131456184,
                  0.414794134094382,
                  0.5052603155722624,
                  0.41703714410549036,
                  0.4276799457148822,
                  0.48681562156491337,
                  0.4136026074102563,
                  0.4607071026513543,
                  0.43700357153591807,
                  0.48738390838113005,
                  0.43908028454455655,
                  0.45692444739285504,
                  0.43744450771543514,
                  0.4683536464506681,
                  0.4367113568758625
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4472054714310519,
                  0.4589801912597414,
                  0.46359114484830244,
                  0.4595146544011181,
                  0.4903287371504829,
                  0.4582362527063328,
                  0.45761747388311064,
                  0.46494431359450544,
                  0.423772983565715,
                  0.4155827025390587,
                  0.4368040928437045,
                  0.46274855668884746,
                  0.4038665014531707,
                  0.4219599370685286,
                  0.5019918956202981,
                  0.4318073516145089,
                  0.4712546274029139,
                  0.43284096253823107,
                  0.4803020022477182,
                  0.4457785600038623,
                  0.4573407337119155,
                  0.472428683947618,
                  0.46721179644431254,
                  0.4529883736143887
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20169493463115576,
                  0.2569489218708759,
                  0.2667806881914353,
                  0.14634721103553988,
                  0.1953567890455891,
                  0.19250770722232563,
                  0.2777125868301591,
                  0.3135396712637689,
                  0.2323303521553328,
                  0.23616453714986232,
                  0.15309664714151391,
                  0.30106702433403926,
                  0.21840415783992995,
                  0.21934393358489868,
                  0.13432410903595812,
                  0.18130682257450825,
                  0.2731249665624169,
                  0.24042184155749213,
                  0.21047874388239496,
                  0.2277359739814523,
                  0.2545745137199335,
                  0.2753139718046833,
                  0.2047988374716627,
                  0.22142860379421914
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20837734610233538,
                  0.25377519233942636,
                  0.2750995710775306,
                  0.15669347241971127,
                  0.14411378081408305,
                  0.18973499198819532,
                  0.2772573666730016,
                  0.3131566275007942,
                  0.23239623388317449,
                  0.23750968062143427,
                  0.16647235086141343,
                  0.28050256281974023,
                  0.22290800384681964,
                  0.21499792235842644,
                  0.1384422614544722,
                  0.19025799198778992,
                  0.28125262738258,
                  0.23703145413776303,
                  0.20653417991114126,
                  0.23086793026498253,
                  0.256649591814197,
                  0.2966580687734591,
                  0.20317448709987726,
                  0.23076288739698478
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2295589435541835,
                  0.21163768198284644,
                  0.18727103248092733,
                  0.2880296766575162,
                  0.3877148977622378,
                  0.26624185054297483,
                  0.18659286969847147,
                  0.15837738519932182,
                  0.19070946584584234,
                  0.17632574368005174,
                  0.2616974869708042,
                  0.20419329228617145,
                  0.1986329862506258,
                  0.20833601164346338,
                  0.35249151391403244,
                  0.23229578465083825,
                  0.18758213606431537,
                  0.19658173016415684,
                  0.27690516453544456,
                  0.21134431094148923,
                  0.20234993340183366,
                  0.16213053627373383,
                  0.2635548089929299,
                  0.21528275352285198
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23882812535502604,
                  0.20520499890628327,
                  0.1884915737769108,
                  0.3028211820077163,
                  0.34621495636272687,
                  0.26850126072427616,
                  0.18036010719607753,
                  0.1517876860866956,
                  0.19137674968254043,
                  0.17807302191762436,
                  0.2703317420086005,
                  0.18224599386910745,
                  0.18095849759933538,
                  0.2069620147162367,
                  0.3635496341575443,
                  0.24154935963285798,
                  0.19000200000630263,
                  0.19580950838643651,
                  0.2737678223225454,
                  0.21491062973887995,
                  0.20069114188368678,
                  0.1757706152004859,
                  0.2640373093707447,
                  0.22222548618934063
                ],
                "crps": [
                  14.744772817514702,
                  16.46179671235855,
                  17.888368368747017,
                  25.631403029221847,
                  40.91747957930114,
                  22.581859337194427,
                  15.132785789896325,
                  17.49214447224903,
                  13.680470397193492,
                  13.777769494194903,
                  16.18209129540038,
                  28.96349259839617,
                  17.53902892472159,
                  12.698961594096392,
                  26.419189133648423,
                  12.80673240732909,
                  16.917652737908004,
                  14.957384618943165,
                  16.336618466779214,
                  15.78409557204255,
                  13.812302803801694,
                  14.08050812440164,
                  21.148709285753668,
                  17.13073160073663
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.598628827431384,
                  16.1287234213203,
                  16.846876606138146,
                  30.663467984689664,
                  22.80447649187906,
                  18.226651308312636,
                  14.525911039990154,
                  14.251447116167167,
                  13.837640825193597,
                  12.137215810172771,
                  16.791243786004284,
                  15.751382993845937,
                  12.898768089874904,
                  10.917544921058786,
                  28.541535877041742,
                  12.922717363327399,
                  16.266275488306196,
                  12.276815800801508,
                  15.42283207898044,
                  14.38398343120619,
                  12.541645594742256,
                  20.245101600952477,
                  20.421425827020485,
                  13.948777217630555
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  14.216726437649118,
                  15.886799672418297,
                  17.314409059144396,
                  24.91550095762704,
                  40.44421973245122,
                  22.052624094883253,
                  14.52407494896195,
                  16.910273845969606,
                  13.017414444224935,
                  13.153838837328456,
                  15.503448855465015,
                  28.23537493269464,
                  16.84201780465871,
                  12.149071357633334,
                  25.79672252697509,
                  12.164083403310045,
                  16.40501189679605,
                  14.39057326651203,
                  15.71880972415568,
                  15.208522905502052,
                  13.195894721128383,
                  13.525092217782133,
                  20.58626297546996,
                  16.526843328430743
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.904996569959033,
                  15.439883009669698,
                  16.159396333095156,
                  30.002155498348493,
                  22.128279551953014,
                  17.541784244932863,
                  13.834034998829466,
                  13.559051256968939,
                  13.144461241959426,
                  11.44081572501621,
                  16.10365814777164,
                  15.061827922294817,
                  12.203810338581421,
                  10.218834853157688,
                  27.87620457989062,
                  12.227804970506362,
                  15.577695591933987,
                  11.580680109566593,
                  14.732654751908749,
                  13.69183858775614,
                  11.84601147508678,
                  19.564057360096648,
                  19.74071553356249,
                  13.255808119988123
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4537767309979568,
              "rpss": -0.0010610754100119912,
              "brier_below": 0.22645014777838116,
              "bss_below": 0.001804170900884361,
              "brier_above": 0.2273265832090444,
              "bss_above": -0.003931675829936143,
              "crps": 18.461931215076252,
              "crpss": -0.11791379132690838,
              "crps_fair": 17.861817164465506,
              "crpss_fair": -0.12860047999328694,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000144,
                    0.116534,
                    0.750578,
                    0.130145,
                    0.002599,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1946,
                    0.2881,
                    0.3458,
                    0.4238,
                    0.5097,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5981,
                    0.3075,
                    0.3516,
                    0.3649,
                    0.2943,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.083807,
                    0.776184,
                    0.139841,
                    0.000169,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2854,
                    0.3458,
                    0.4254,
                    0.5049,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4215,
                    0.3381,
                    0.3474,
                    0.8316,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44144030377820215,
                  0.4598097688220591,
                  0.46730389926864063,
                  0.457434069169074,
                  0.6247853755842384,
                  0.4489759411607658,
                  0.43972788149796316,
                  0.46773239686272233,
                  0.4247259829461296,
                  0.4405913396429011,
                  0.390588900291272,
                  0.5136286264286992,
                  0.42137077387611094,
                  0.4202404417743263,
                  0.4701397355365699,
                  0.3998040852804615,
                  0.47429821063232913,
                  0.4293331176668642,
                  0.46162235148234554,
                  0.4522344825575674,
                  0.44017612524393057,
                  0.42414353926505827,
                  0.46593628847094753,
                  0.4493709027444879
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.450859762187033,
                  0.4615252579407884,
                  0.48195188978473674,
                  0.4899671406267226,
                  0.4866822249422838,
                  0.45104938970310365,
                  0.44505340456925324,
                  0.4451826017329032,
                  0.43698121164797693,
                  0.43816449267304297,
                  0.43153061985811936,
                  0.4665311708633101,
                  0.41455543245551724,
                  0.41400736756299333,
                  0.4866694439614358,
                  0.4163741155867714,
                  0.47430685017421254,
                  0.4333081323328068,
                  0.4637676788813821,
                  0.4549741515638314,
                  0.43848605560736376,
                  0.48647544507953355,
                  0.46333262876860903,
                  0.4525018161642029
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2299638649737641,
                  0.22231890074412086,
                  0.2764740413861025,
                  0.1572418769355124,
                  0.20173038953215922,
                  0.21585112792073216,
                  0.2287781731794179,
                  0.29072687102450834,
                  0.2207064622167285,
                  0.2681988735030687,
                  0.1222988669216839,
                  0.3127081042144304,
                  0.2179212588713568,
                  0.2242032630116008,
                  0.13533448129099832,
                  0.18588123218295688,
                  0.24765937061872192,
                  0.2203853291856553,
                  0.22587578476189596,
                  0.20364778189244484,
                  0.23721820334200183,
                  0.3231878012759595,
                  0.2551299406797627,
                  0.20889941323166264
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23608353240397922,
                  0.22331054093632516,
                  0.28787705348692194,
                  0.16787043526726309,
                  0.12980597866178595,
                  0.21427952224866478,
                  0.23188434227033447,
                  0.2790337236966665,
                  0.22747905552243575,
                  0.26789379189861234,
                  0.14506829762590923,
                  0.28914503388214846,
                  0.22030745453346431,
                  0.22150001300575947,
                  0.14301966898459437,
                  0.197528447817378,
                  0.24762060355307083,
                  0.2191069646489153,
                  0.22787122597160456,
                  0.2052664928260851,
                  0.23730600527258158,
                  0.36291601407509505,
                  0.2549372233808246,
                  0.20936339489108258
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.21147643901677168,
                  0.2374908683930297,
                  0.1908298578227269,
                  0.3001921917294686,
                  0.4230549833261433,
                  0.2331248135344279,
                  0.21094970795219006,
                  0.1770055259246231,
                  0.2040195202702799,
                  0.1723924655866554,
                  0.2682900328127459,
                  0.2009205232916848,
                  0.20344951477066203,
                  0.19603717813135693,
                  0.33480525582285064,
                  0.2139228531085408,
                  0.22663883990285652,
                  0.20894778855248142,
                  0.2357465668287204,
                  0.24858670103779051,
                  0.20295792133578733,
                  0.10095573872252206,
                  0.21080634735925086,
                  0.24047148998897747
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.21477622978305372,
                  0.23821471700446323,
                  0.1940748362978147,
                  0.3220967053594594,
                  0.3568762462804978,
                  0.23676986745443884,
                  0.21316906229891872,
                  0.16614887803623654,
                  0.2095021561255411,
                  0.17027070077443054,
                  0.28646232223221,
                  0.1773861369811614,
                  0.19424797792205284,
                  0.1925073545572339,
                  0.34364977497684135,
                  0.21884566776939335,
                  0.22668624662114165,
                  0.21420116768389152,
                  0.23589645290977745,
                  0.2497076587377463,
                  0.20118005033478217,
                  0.12355943100443835,
                  0.2083954053877844,
                  0.24313842127312024
                ],
                "crps": [
                  21.37134343753525,
                  25.70474375674403,
                  28.525817405156836,
                  38.33580207987034,
                  65.26852475659608,
                  30.48974983447646,
                  20.75292502573194,
                  27.399674182490543,
                  21.0716290064854,
                  21.55445290161684,
                  22.165423242208853,
                  41.254760849811795,
                  25.186052483802825,
                  18.775052134291286,
                  31.97271471795548,
                  18.957473121119712,
                  26.46861832824298,
                  23.252914666620395,
                  22.892013751115854,
                  24.719070514539368,
                  20.328789804070343,
                  19.03163635731825,
                  30.509922313899917,
                  25.815856973447236
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.156414500085216,
                  25.411815233188893,
                  26.732980668871086,
                  45.61593629136217,
                  34.99845443558639,
                  24.030769813999658,
                  20.8018756047614,
                  21.442419816482968,
                  21.815772545904604,
                  18.623549012936948,
                  24.452852751364667,
                  23.489095193174084,
                  19.61687371693912,
                  16.312296204518027,
                  33.59235581081057,
                  19.49142218729408,
                  25.519247293859358,
                  18.984467042431977,
                  22.119269483366466,
                  22.39067857178136,
                  18.705905684634818,
                  31.615072584747956,
                  29.824357357719336,
                  21.1242261595234
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.58980983830475,
                  24.86757223695325,
                  27.67929701355362,
                  37.33560833362772,
                  64.52305450703217,
                  29.70547241154542,
                  19.901818957258794,
                  26.552458137187912,
                  20.10023481518231,
                  20.63378978622425,
                  21.241011145135143,
                  40.29409130382642,
                  24.22831049326444,
                  17.974897897221513,
                  31.07117811222643,
                  18.03619359924477,
                  25.722162751884134,
                  22.39116718074905,
                  21.976128372440286,
                  23.863707068159908,
                  19.393677530495133,
                  18.181227637122323,
                  29.679489031896402,
                  24.96306005851364
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.129409091688686,
                  24.394763235271725,
                  25.718430878218463,
                  44.637149674237,
                  33.999558951310114,
                  23.011102199758266,
                  19.776092660578268,
                  20.417850024215973,
                  20.7919098610797,
                  17.59364045020869,
                  23.43398453662585,
                  22.468401680029608,
                  18.58884645099875,
                  15.278010269046556,
                  32.590797260957075,
                  18.46315732375968,
                  24.502398765754055,
                  17.955242036577765,
                  21.095981603347358,
                  21.36790472412667,
                  17.676153100451447,
                  30.60976918029965,
                  28.81566244715923,
                  20.099053727754583
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45355893916598616,
              "rpss": -0.00010806960349185601,
              "brier_below": 0.22634755887071858,
              "bss_below": 0.002594963612151835,
              "brier_above": 0.227211380217606,
              "bss_above": -0.0028154327614198227,
              "crps": 27.158540068547833,
              "crpss": -0.11064982540103907,
              "crps_fair": 26.287725759127074,
              "crpss_fair": -0.1217786068812512,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.113797,
                    0.76711,
                    0.11577,
                    0.003323,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2889,
                    0.3431,
                    0.4262,
                    0.5095,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2953,
                    0.3559,
                    0.355,
                    0.1216,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.106769,
                    0.790112,
                    0.102919,
                    0.0002,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2854,
                    0.3449,
                    0.4213,
                    0.5028,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4528,
                    0.329,
                    0.3736,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43328405456626323,
                  0.4495264887153713,
                  0.49206772161051704,
                  0.43466548075301054,
                  0.47349456240137394,
                  0.42904483647252456,
                  0.42300425398359803,
                  0.4833722911323269,
                  0.49895757107678074
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.46150612689453524,
                  0.4626658144476092,
                  0.5025804129424258,
                  0.43502336299626376,
                  0.4930044547546616,
                  0.4410305783704811,
                  0.42966910195677144,
                  0.46558066615845484,
                  0.49008091239695556
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.30729796399582393,
                  0.16605936486781306,
                  0.14297037729513654,
                  0.20925735144526622,
                  0.31284412027124736,
                  0.16357438960949686,
                  0.16544084933963074,
                  0.27975936347886327,
                  0.3327296250509287
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3246500440152092,
                  0.17376216083560342,
                  0.14150667980580747,
                  0.20954887915290052,
                  0.3264773200055234,
                  0.16810893020695689,
                  0.16881064921101296,
                  0.27246380987490737,
                  0.3299942872697695
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12598610466690013,
                  0.28346711266161884,
                  0.3490973205965878,
                  0.22540812866964155,
                  0.1606504513026888,
                  0.265470439946315,
                  0.25756339871196077,
                  0.20361293280978282,
                  0.16622795822296837
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.136856098063274,
                  0.28890364160773263,
                  0.361073708469447,
                  0.22547448318110808,
                  0.1665271446274894,
                  0.2729216390372266,
                  0.2608584457967457,
                  0.19311686140728634,
                  0.1600866363387469
                ],
                "crps": [
                  13.067319110788675,
                  18.53030773882056,
                  31.482151457184507,
                  18.509182050711782,
                  16.705487437051453,
                  21.945985195346164,
                  16.11433510768132,
                  21.265652378292053,
                  24.70244594484536
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.700401532825092,
                  19.52059946533759,
                  33.764405017577104,
                  12.932496997007894,
                  16.79718613420036,
                  18.755591556502175,
                  15.912054597416416,
                  17.050032759603326,
                  21.158292552905177
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  12.787260486077946,
                  18.204819971991533,
                  31.139081340181935,
                  18.147920635007853,
                  16.399016361957568,
                  21.553252215465463,
                  15.741850250072476,
                  20.955808583971123,
                  24.342693529187887
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.040963232872253,
                  18.86116116538475,
                  33.104966717624265,
                  12.27305869705505,
                  16.137747834247513,
                  18.096153256549343,
                  15.252616297463575,
                  16.390594459650487,
                  20.49885425295233
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4574908067457518,
              "rpss": 0.015240854981649954,
              "brier_below": 0.23110371170602295,
              "bss_below": 0.01673000247828138,
              "brier_above": 0.22638709417649602,
              "bss_above": 0.013716020437518961,
              "crps": 20.258096268969098,
              "crpss": -0.06254291901328934,
              "crps_fair": 19.91907815265709,
              "crpss_fair": -0.08219187915283022,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000226,
                    0.116431,
                    0.864256,
                    0.019088,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.195,
                    0.2893,
                    0.3437,
                    0.4069,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.2907,
                    0.3776,
                    0.5552,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.043225,
                    0.906465,
                    0.050311,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2947,
                    0.3395,
                    0.4108,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.248,
                    0.3616,
                    0.3338,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4318993730719528,
                  0.4604637301885076,
                  0.47964272662444984,
                  0.4442799190055053,
                  0.48868198522415857,
                  0.43377710760585814,
                  0.43454892219814933,
                  0.464370347722569,
                  0.522790544844535
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45769367006987244,
                  0.4755203948622137,
                  0.4811101251311695,
                  0.4300069750745694,
                  0.4984073288033246,
                  0.46319140730076575,
                  0.4441441730320768,
                  0.4502549831923129,
                  0.5174119902158631
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.32291782669026586,
                  0.12440677801231127,
                  0.1432674347664175,
                  0.21380521656767631,
                  0.3198059893383852,
                  0.12764309940753682,
                  0.1470403024358403,
                  0.2097964751325427,
                  0.35860518874730873
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33624054857895364,
                  0.13034703789124324,
                  0.14150255915284246,
                  0.20534244397314746,
                  0.32556627067102445,
                  0.1385010427273907,
                  0.1500687330846873,
                  0.20117515044933712,
                  0.3575934610104493
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10898156291021714,
                  0.33605693109037343,
                  0.3363752715213724,
                  0.23047470192422376,
                  0.1688760038953173,
                  0.3061339923161193,
                  0.2875086074213342,
                  0.254573867063149,
                  0.16418536841357778
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12145313950983586,
                  0.3451733349855966,
                  0.3396075449881942,
                  0.22466453066470288,
                  0.17284106696233917,
                  0.32469034625064525,
                  0.2940754270990343,
                  0.24907982794046105,
                  0.1598185403640623
                ],
                "crps": [
                  19.54993508305695,
                  29.083425477294867,
                  39.38495609201522,
                  27.995836304154164,
                  26.187775989788832,
                  29.25687201485872,
                  25.409335126235106,
                  33.35922910246296,
                  37.539661028872096
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  22.615515028016496,
                  30.53489796162619,
                  38.777499865947725,
                  19.653326601885357,
                  25.013487121265083,
                  28.57253141714021,
                  25.252740444348085,
                  26.362905926529372,
                  34.60429039008409
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  19.136489878736636,
                  28.606342551353038,
                  38.92116540901632,
                  27.49383655355993,
                  25.733749292626655,
                  28.742337637766177,
                  24.867319057595967,
                  32.90762715961925,
                  37.02690501882199
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  21.639099628479247,
                  29.55848256208893,
                  37.80108446641048,
                  18.67691120234811,
                  24.037071721727834,
                  27.596116017602963,
                  24.276325044810836,
                  25.38649052699212,
                  33.62787499054684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.46227273960952064,
              "rpss": 0.013582244748753247,
              "brier_below": 0.21858759012203166,
              "bss_below": 0.009589980988571223,
              "brier_above": 0.24368514517285383,
              "bss_above": 0.017136052612169328,
              "crps": 29.751891802082103,
              "crpss": -0.0651577797259717,
              "crps_fair": 29.270641395455105,
              "crpss_fair": -0.08588772921345722,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.120791,
                    0.873899,
                    0.00531,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2903,
                    0.3412,
                    0.4057,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2324,
                    0.3415,
                    0.4256,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.044534,
                    0.913963,
                    0.041504,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2947,
                    0.3354,
                    0.4104,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2687,
                    0.4159,
                    0.4428,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "eqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8082611878442728,
            "training": [
              0.8090749113664175,
              0.8066712489207585,
              0.8076061759584123,
              0.8866854217339692,
              0.6925436633204756,
              0.8042149225000695,
              0.7957807562456278,
              0.8058021848898078,
              0.8194486167174962,
              0.807178726724668,
              0.834878276255195,
              0.7354813961792138,
              0.7718232994204143,
              0.8100236495829714,
              0.8493971983285048,
              0.8277053649245155,
              0.8151658834081281,
              0.7969285762428038,
              0.7979398531459334,
              0.8379571583551241,
              0.7956295030376763,
              0.8647025756402527,
              0.8039495758458974,
              0.821679569518218
            ],
            "test": 0.8294162072160899
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4370482679477289,
                  0.4675615312383656,
                  0.4509182104503826,
                  0.43635462856731166,
                  0.6041945401771431,
                  0.46048716879344403,
                  0.4649538363645084,
                  0.46913980685079587,
                  0.41949572602840846,
                  0.4148698189275698,
                  0.4137385443255841,
                  0.5164849166772167,
                  0.4170783268909215,
                  0.4250674105658275,
                  0.4906562806042937,
                  0.42128555243687466,
                  0.4583234512599448,
                  0.4316390352018344,
                  0.4899521676348843,
                  0.43766687102637297,
                  0.4680004264376553,
                  0.4445089968824769,
                  0.4707494748420802,
                  0.4414763320679402
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4472054714310519,
                  0.4589801912597414,
                  0.46359114484830244,
                  0.4595146544011181,
                  0.4903287371504829,
                  0.4582362527063328,
                  0.45761747388311064,
                  0.46494431359450544,
                  0.423772983565715,
                  0.4155827025390587,
                  0.4368040928437045,
                  0.46274855668884746,
                  0.4038665014531707,
                  0.4219599370685286,
                  0.5019918956202981,
                  0.4318073516145089,
                  0.4712546274029139,
                  0.43284096253823107,
                  0.4803020022477182,
                  0.4457785600038623,
                  0.4573407337119155,
                  0.472428683947618,
                  0.46721179644431254,
                  0.4529883736143887
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20052202561350707,
                  0.2610153042513557,
                  0.2659298193362108,
                  0.14703610422245855,
                  0.20267202295904718,
                  0.19150844971693384,
                  0.282820491015793,
                  0.31499196141824165,
                  0.22990754408932884,
                  0.23765441343683857,
                  0.15299564932320459,
                  0.30517452881420837,
                  0.22258717278776455,
                  0.2166374807837205,
                  0.1327594893082947,
                  0.18334387634237662,
                  0.27388254671597095,
                  0.23924603334795502,
                  0.20922756275503782,
                  0.22669919462638902,
                  0.2651551061054106,
                  0.279429160471075,
                  0.2037116539954331,
                  0.2220358357736146
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20837734610233538,
                  0.25377519233942636,
                  0.2750995710775306,
                  0.15669347241971127,
                  0.14411378081408305,
                  0.18973499198819532,
                  0.2772573666730016,
                  0.3131566275007942,
                  0.23239623388317449,
                  0.23750968062143427,
                  0.16647235086141343,
                  0.28050256281974023,
                  0.22290800384681964,
                  0.21499792235842644,
                  0.1384422614544722,
                  0.19025799198778992,
                  0.28125262738258,
                  0.23703145413776303,
                  0.20653417991114126,
                  0.23086793026498253,
                  0.256649591814197,
                  0.2966580687734591,
                  0.20317448709987726,
                  0.23076288739698478
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23652624307002376,
                  0.20654622698905475,
                  0.18498839079602244,
                  0.2893185238439967,
                  0.40152251589301924,
                  0.2689787196941716,
                  0.18213334411742088,
                  0.1541478445840175,
                  0.18958818135460506,
                  0.1772154045364546,
                  0.26074289507479864,
                  0.21131038963936807,
                  0.19449115417887028,
                  0.2084299291849843,
                  0.35789679353340154,
                  0.2379416764389883,
                  0.18444090468316687,
                  0.1923930013553677,
                  0.28072460564064305,
                  0.21096767677619233,
                  0.20284531985386184,
                  0.16507983696678385,
                  0.26703782176200447,
                  0.21944049656875564
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23882812535502604,
                  0.20520499890628327,
                  0.1884915737769108,
                  0.3028211820077163,
                  0.34621495636272687,
                  0.26850126072427616,
                  0.18036010719607753,
                  0.1517876860866956,
                  0.19137674968254043,
                  0.17807302191762436,
                  0.2703317420086005,
                  0.18224599386910745,
                  0.18095849759933538,
                  0.2069620147162367,
                  0.3635496341575443,
                  0.24154935963285798,
                  0.19000200000630263,
                  0.19580950838643651,
                  0.2737678223225454,
                  0.21491062973887995,
                  0.20069114188368678,
                  0.1757706152004859,
                  0.2640373093707447,
                  0.22222548618934063
                ],
                "crps": [
                  14.252731358692909,
                  16.530825778639052,
                  17.216593605308088,
                  25.7893187836463,
                  39.90637501844439,
                  23.425500866138027,
                  15.610917994840506,
                  17.445176364957913,
                  13.641803290787879,
                  13.604576242708436,
                  15.829934033880255,
                  28.09029190229008,
                  16.82396211345812,
                  12.173196918859935,
                  26.439104435197855,
                  13.332090990978479,
                  16.54952084411407,
                  13.663209410757217,
                  15.762542627523413,
                  15.062739585609256,
                  13.97422852769972,
                  13.575270526980669,
                  21.273921777728273,
                  16.195773746714863
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.598628827431384,
                  16.1287234213203,
                  16.846876606138146,
                  30.663467984689664,
                  22.80447649187906,
                  18.226651308312636,
                  14.525911039990154,
                  14.251447116167167,
                  13.837640825193597,
                  12.137215810172771,
                  16.791243786004284,
                  15.751382993845937,
                  12.898768089874904,
                  10.917544921058786,
                  28.541535877041742,
                  12.922717363327399,
                  16.266275488306196,
                  12.276815800801508,
                  15.42283207898044,
                  14.38398343120619,
                  12.541645594742256,
                  20.245101600952477,
                  20.421425827020485,
                  13.948777217630555
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  13.764862475074567,
                  16.001192612547467,
                  16.719698111685307,
                  25.213826521563437,
                  39.49438557977277,
                  22.966047140709833,
                  15.056831530483427,
                  16.908967162547107,
                  13.01911214450623,
                  13.008945720865663,
                  15.23856154302724,
                  27.480300442017857,
                  16.199800712540675,
                  11.640873036972199,
                  25.883196574154653,
                  12.723852938576881,
                  16.091083139545777,
                  13.144911051821325,
                  15.191336293468002,
                  14.527724207389902,
                  13.398934631338008,
                  13.104007143489264,
                  20.774402902908562,
                  15.66722610890207
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.904996569959033,
                  15.439883009669698,
                  16.159396333095156,
                  30.002155498348493,
                  22.128279551953014,
                  17.541784244932863,
                  13.834034998829466,
                  13.559051256968939,
                  13.144461241959426,
                  11.44081572501621,
                  16.10365814777164,
                  15.061827922294817,
                  12.203810338581421,
                  10.218834853157688,
                  27.87620457989062,
                  12.227804970506362,
                  15.577695591933987,
                  11.580680109566593,
                  14.732654751908749,
                  13.69183858775614,
                  11.84601147508678,
                  19.564057360096648,
                  19.74071553356249,
                  13.255808119988123
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4563188050916486,
              "rpss": -0.006669056719248667,
              "brier_below": 0.22778930946709045,
              "bss_below": -0.004098874980397849,
              "brier_above": 0.2285294956889989,
              "bss_above": -0.00924404152351177,
              "crps": 18.173733614414818,
              "crpss": -0.10046274199445038,
              "crps_fair": 17.63416998857951,
              "crpss_fair": -0.1142165732715692,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.082124,
                    0.833626,
                    0.078632,
                    0.005618,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2887,
                    0.3449,
                    0.4253,
                    0.5138,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.371,
                    0.3471,
                    0.3483,
                    0.1563,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.069876,
                    0.86223,
                    0.067894,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2812,
                    0.3454,
                    0.4197,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4817,
                    0.3393,
                    0.2983,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44117893581718204,
                  0.46260564158031575,
                  0.4685225648354017,
                  0.46336856278859734,
                  0.6490948283098393,
                  0.4509483532803898,
                  0.4441692733884399,
                  0.46802347940457495,
                  0.42861354215698366,
                  0.44507942059140465,
                  0.39343757602422935,
                  0.5201241604340822,
                  0.4252964105635289,
                  0.42040621383038107,
                  0.47572455698538046,
                  0.40672038559208923,
                  0.4715512800253742,
                  0.4302135662637569,
                  0.4619487712872561,
                  0.45286126071030564,
                  0.4493217825057483,
                  0.4343740009877021,
                  0.46535181040503537,
                  0.4523040330455935
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.450859762187033,
                  0.4615252579407884,
                  0.48195188978473674,
                  0.4899671406267226,
                  0.4866822249422838,
                  0.45104938970310365,
                  0.44505340456925324,
                  0.4451826017329032,
                  0.43698121164797693,
                  0.43816449267304297,
                  0.43153061985811936,
                  0.4665311708633101,
                  0.41455543245551724,
                  0.41400736756299333,
                  0.4866694439614358,
                  0.4163741155867714,
                  0.47430685017421254,
                  0.4333081323328068,
                  0.4637676788813821,
                  0.4549741515638314,
                  0.43848605560736376,
                  0.48647544507953355,
                  0.46333262876860903,
                  0.4525018161642029
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22868266797081924,
                  0.22432756583836133,
                  0.276013510485702,
                  0.15806495370725848,
                  0.21553276639744304,
                  0.21700749842062414,
                  0.23219240705888908,
                  0.29184984096012684,
                  0.22173226992795259,
                  0.27243124773576444,
                  0.12419810712282016,
                  0.3155121612932317,
                  0.2200277656599615,
                  0.22449498692396208,
                  0.1368451034675416,
                  0.18990879639068436,
                  0.24448692873300956,
                  0.22035197709356902,
                  0.2266584582404654,
                  0.20265915342755092,
                  0.24413622891668033,
                  0.33004832626513264,
                  0.25624326033541206,
                  0.20750296229485057
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23608353240397922,
                  0.22331054093632516,
                  0.28787705348692194,
                  0.16787043526726309,
                  0.12980597866178595,
                  0.21427952224866478,
                  0.23188434227033447,
                  0.2790337236966665,
                  0.22747905552243575,
                  0.26789379189861234,
                  0.14506829762590923,
                  0.28914503388214846,
                  0.22030745453346431,
                  0.22150001300575947,
                  0.14301966898459437,
                  0.197528447817378,
                  0.24762060355307083,
                  0.2191069646489153,
                  0.22787122597160456,
                  0.2052664928260851,
                  0.23730600527258158,
                  0.36291601407509505,
                  0.2549372233808246,
                  0.20936339489108258
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.21249626854292325,
                  0.23827807609207086,
                  0.19250905418487155,
                  0.30530360838826925,
                  0.4335620583025501,
                  0.23394085517188093,
                  0.21197686547620526,
                  0.17617363801487862,
                  0.20688127174434984,
                  0.17264817185016926,
                  0.2692394689756198,
                  0.20461200051083228,
                  0.20526864528539238,
                  0.19591122609308442,
                  0.3388794554794374,
                  0.216811589421507,
                  0.22706435175258985,
                  0.20986158913389028,
                  0.23529031337127404,
                  0.25020210780541774,
                  0.2051855530708136,
                  0.10432567544417844,
                  0.20910854945535934,
                  0.24480107099364928
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.21477622978305372,
                  0.23821471700446323,
                  0.1940748362978147,
                  0.3220967053594594,
                  0.3568762462804978,
                  0.23676986745443884,
                  0.21316906229891872,
                  0.16614887803623654,
                  0.2095021561255411,
                  0.17027070077443054,
                  0.28646232223221,
                  0.1773861369811614,
                  0.19424797792205284,
                  0.1925073545572339,
                  0.34364977497684135,
                  0.21884566776939335,
                  0.22668624662114165,
                  0.21420116768389152,
                  0.23589645290977745,
                  0.2497076587377463,
                  0.20118005033478217,
                  0.12355943100443835,
                  0.2083954053877844,
                  0.24313842127312024
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.847419850689057,
                  25.946906897431777,
                  27.738751776405756,
                  38.826725605389484,
                  63.76171748329335,
                  32.1607480933789,
                  21.29422643708236,
                  27.21658130722928,
                  21.3898949539699,
                  21.47494622442114,
                  21.485006054598795,
                  40.14505956186967,
                  24.268341870004207,
                  18.27653782786373,
                  31.382002018158857,
                  20.240301520645556,
                  25.9863063025264,
                  21.568689956668546,
                  22.228113649299495,
                  23.89883337891297,
                  20.717042531368953,
                  18.54388483797208,
                  30.992606068747854,
                  24.451784150784878
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.156414500085216,
                  25.411815233188893,
                  26.732980668871086,
                  45.61593629136217,
                  34.99845443558639,
                  24.030769813999658,
                  20.8018756047614,
                  21.442419816482968,
                  21.815772545904604,
                  18.623549012936948,
                  24.452852751364667,
                  23.489095193174084,
                  19.61687371693912,
                  16.312296204518027,
                  33.59235581081057,
                  19.49142218729408,
                  25.519247293859358,
                  18.984467042431977,
                  22.119269483366466,
                  22.39067857178136,
                  18.705905684634818,
                  31.615072584747956,
                  29.824357357719336,
                  21.1242261595234
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.115077804272392,
                  25.170484925709385,
                  27.004746282190563,
                  38.00402332736627,
                  63.116304902487514,
                  31.475812664510187,
                  20.496841486531853,
                  26.418323462559577,
                  20.46857773015894,
                  20.58709422942668,
                  20.655311621582353,
                  39.2975820197185,
                  23.38824261072899,
                  17.48574221491222,
                  30.552613021459663,
                  19.346797177842372,
                  25.307897612329217,
                  20.77996445089922,
                  21.363996077402003,
                  23.08780744534999,
                  19.839367569577053,
                  17.826507224922768,
                  30.248657739884816,
                  23.681551666432668
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.129409091688686,
                  24.394763235271725,
                  25.718430878218463,
                  44.637149674237,
                  33.999558951310114,
                  23.011102199758266,
                  19.776092660578268,
                  20.417850024215973,
                  20.7919098610797,
                  17.59364045020869,
                  23.43398453662585,
                  22.468401680029608,
                  18.58884645099875,
                  15.278010269046556,
                  32.590797260957075,
                  18.46315732375968,
                  24.502398765754055,
                  17.955242036577765,
                  21.095981603347358,
                  21.36790472412667,
                  17.676153100451447,
                  30.60976918029965,
                  28.81566244715923,
                  20.099053727754583
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45755168378389977,
              "rpss": -0.008912164876278217,
              "brier_below": 0.22837120602782557,
              "bss_below": -0.0063222779805585105,
              "brier_above": 0.22918047769005065,
              "bss_above": -0.011506200504161512,
              "crps": 26.868434514946372,
              "crpss": -0.09878594458704493,
              "crps_fair": 26.071638552843968,
              "crpss_fair": -0.1125574970960137,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.07955,
                    0.820738,
                    0.092265,
                    0.007446,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2889,
                    0.3436,
                    0.4269,
                    0.5129,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3649,
                    0.3507,
                    0.333,
                    0.0746,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.094526,
                    0.827262,
                    0.078213,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2813,
                    0.3461,
                    0.4201,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4985,
                    0.3326,
                    0.3149,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.436482416484001,
                  0.4519665475072336,
                  0.49085929218712415,
                  0.4362353551664088,
                  0.4784298955407097,
                  0.43271907214372446,
                  0.42230495998539075,
                  0.4855994263453394,
                  0.49791244580900124
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.46150612689453524,
                  0.4626658144476092,
                  0.5025804129424258,
                  0.43502336299626376,
                  0.4930044547546616,
                  0.4410305783704811,
                  0.42966910195677144,
                  0.46558066615845484,
                  0.49008091239695556
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3102233188416468,
                  0.16928288541434952,
                  0.1412127671848206,
                  0.2108952569239281,
                  0.31619698468641344,
                  0.16508666715902973,
                  0.16649764911352893,
                  0.28361313685059697,
                  0.3334538911597659
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3246500440152092,
                  0.17376216083560342,
                  0.14150667980580747,
                  0.20954887915290052,
                  0.3264773200055234,
                  0.16810893020695689,
                  0.16881064921101296,
                  0.27246380987490737,
                  0.3299942872697695
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1262591113675069,
                  0.2826836507821879,
                  0.34964650111386775,
                  0.22534009734002097,
                  0.1622329196916684,
                  0.2676323976254523,
                  0.25580730472580476,
                  0.20198629448103433,
                  0.1644585668315092
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.136856098063274,
                  0.28890364160773263,
                  0.361073708469447,
                  0.22547448318110808,
                  0.1665271446274894,
                  0.2729216390372266,
                  0.2608584457967457,
                  0.19311686140728634,
                  0.1600866363387469
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.35462222954397,
                  17.78275619422444,
                  31.59656095492365,
                  16.93028961705281,
                  16.013460381282286,
                  20.8951421572139,
                  15.681817517928481,
                  21.287624716660297,
                  24.241296385464427
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.700401532825092,
                  19.52059946533759,
                  33.764405017577104,
                  12.932496997007894,
                  16.79718613420036,
                  18.755591556502175,
                  15.912054597416416,
                  17.050032759603326,
                  21.158292552905177
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  12.10074569641312,
                  17.484671106892787,
                  31.30217502784954,
                  16.62793920802146,
                  15.740611753931791,
                  20.583010429333477,
                  15.360262919692897,
                  21.004833524061006,
                  23.93098833379018
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.040963232872253,
                  18.86116116538475,
                  33.104966717624265,
                  12.27305869705505,
                  16.137747834247513,
                  18.096153256549343,
                  15.252616297463575,
                  16.390594459650487,
                  20.49885425295233
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4591677123521037,
              "rpss": 0.011631278336964979,
              "brier_below": 0.23294028414823112,
              "bss_below": 0.008915993056417992,
              "brier_above": 0.2262274271065614,
              "bss_above": 0.014411630201463521,
              "crps": 19.642618906032695,
              "crpss": -0.0302609560332443,
              "crps_fair": 19.34835977777625,
              "crpss_fair": -0.051185083263686204,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    7.5e-05,
                    0.099454,
                    0.895411,
                    0.00506,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1939,
                    0.2896,
                    0.3419,
                    0.4103,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.3091,
                    0.3789,
                    0.1789,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.019138,
                    0.95344,
                    0.027422,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2956,
                    0.336,
                    0.4071,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.444,
                    0.3546,
                    0.3185,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42949344834617703,
                  0.461850904572177,
                  0.47971833967822514,
                  0.4444356147339108,
                  0.48882226837374443,
                  0.43473008763638327,
                  0.43621947249347887,
                  0.4687727465033342,
                  0.5235971938834434
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45769367006987244,
                  0.4755203948622137,
                  0.4811101251311695,
                  0.4300069750745694,
                  0.4984073288033246,
                  0.46319140730076575,
                  0.4441441730320768,
                  0.4502549831923129,
                  0.5174119902158631
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.32098931987571155,
                  0.12467827257823906,
                  0.14306045306161388,
                  0.21364786587193138,
                  0.32008905397183746,
                  0.12712547826181805,
                  0.14779202940604472,
                  0.21092599244300028,
                  0.35998844995258183
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33624054857895364,
                  0.13034703789124324,
                  0.14150255915284246,
                  0.20534244397314746,
                  0.32556627067102445,
                  0.1385010427273907,
                  0.1500687330846873,
                  0.20117515044933712,
                  0.3575934610104493
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10850414478989445,
                  0.33717261119736386,
                  0.3366578659425443,
                  0.23078774822693177,
                  0.168733222016094,
                  0.3076045929728275,
                  0.2884274307959041,
                  0.25784674854102035,
                  0.1636087564683895
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12145313950983586,
                  0.3451733349855966,
                  0.3396075449881942,
                  0.22466453066470288,
                  0.17284106696233917,
                  0.32469034625064525,
                  0.2940754270990343,
                  0.24907982794046105,
                  0.1598185403640623
                ],
                "crps": [
                  18.11733101302624,
                  27.787501284028366,
                  39.472962402472604,
                  26.16133208681952,
                  24.777669301788432,
                  28.11734393871683,
                  24.859768932754776,
                  33.436475110867825,
                  37.3127339888354
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  22.615515028016496,
                  30.53489796162619,
                  38.777499865947725,
                  19.653326601885357,
                  25.013487121265083,
                  28.57253141714021,
                  25.252740444348085,
                  26.362905926529372,
                  34.60429039008409
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  17.736241100593833,
                  27.344807586069212,
                  39.06217396806165,
                  25.728936585368874,
                  24.369083984196966,
                  27.684145039786877,
                  24.39037550885296,
                  33.0232352258802,
                  36.86066481373043
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  21.639099628479247,
                  29.55848256208893,
                  37.80108446641048,
                  18.67691120234811,
                  24.037071721727834,
                  27.596116017602963,
                  24.276325044810836,
                  25.38649052699212,
                  33.62787499054684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.46307111958009717,
              "rpss": 0.011878626709154183,
              "brier_below": 0.21869965726919757,
              "bss_below": 0.009082210052018147,
              "brier_above": 0.24437145788344117,
              "bss_above": 0.014367923190936716,
              "crps": 28.89367978436778,
              "crpss": -0.034432634131742246,
              "crps_fair": 28.46662931250455,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05606033857927306,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.114309,
                    0.885691,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2902,
                    0.3416,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2656,
                    0.3369,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.018261,
                    0.944238,
                    0.037501,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2965,
                    0.3343,
                    0.4078,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.572,
                    0.4101,
                    0.3403,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "gqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7688749559789453,
            "training": [
              0.77304249968872,
              0.7644979124455537,
              0.7641872652917547,
              0.8305938936553393,
              0.6818165653019886,
              0.7640609840400843,
              0.7587129654126213,
              0.7702568859474784,
              0.7774471962700132,
              0.7684594678505907,
              0.788544214291866,
              0.7131243266107322,
              0.7397914053765234,
              0.769545038908797,
              0.792627533453227,
              0.7850758151661952,
              0.7759743106969991,
              0.7625920596236115,
              0.7584953999641748,
              0.7939252203622342,
              0.7575254763686843,
              0.8145914291261128,
              0.7661087601556307,
              0.7820023174857539
            ],
            "test": 0.7976529104226304
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4241657655031438,
                  0.4766673777642892,
                  0.45072578298785726,
                  0.426673386060421,
                  0.5900555452912888,
                  0.45655785222356415,
                  0.4725362323180137,
                  0.4775212141645989,
                  0.41919617832018186,
                  0.41240832699872915,
                  0.40770166914830264,
                  0.5198848949947538,
                  0.425511080796058,
                  0.42358302033867007,
                  0.4763815527137132,
                  0.41011039109426084,
                  0.46166681536722776,
                  0.43766929113962655,
                  0.4878771988054105,
                  0.43821417389005496,
                  0.471200109165197,
                  0.43338932185446294,
                  0.46441009024995406,
                  0.4350932750393139
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4472054714310519,
                  0.4589801912597414,
                  0.46359114484830244,
                  0.4595146544011181,
                  0.4903287371504829,
                  0.4582362527063328,
                  0.45761747388311064,
                  0.46494431359450544,
                  0.423772983565715,
                  0.4155827025390587,
                  0.4368040928437045,
                  0.46274855668884746,
                  0.4038665014531707,
                  0.4219599370685286,
                  0.5019918956202981,
                  0.4318073516145089,
                  0.4712546274029139,
                  0.43284096253823107,
                  0.4803020022477182,
                  0.4457785600038623,
                  0.4573407337119155,
                  0.472428683947618,
                  0.46721179644431254,
                  0.4529883736143887
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.19824467110449576,
                  0.26217730870972766,
                  0.26367469513144226,
                  0.14226351426804293,
                  0.19930662441331493,
                  0.19110150708455262,
                  0.2838060981222262,
                  0.31702962142055546,
                  0.22905282598035004,
                  0.23494485990575373,
                  0.14879606862122333,
                  0.3081927239964301,
                  0.2215000267151991,
                  0.2165983185056098,
                  0.12785417826641932,
                  0.18000862574883797,
                  0.2739244890406581,
                  0.2402061796992494,
                  0.21112526614725785,
                  0.22748794792172905,
                  0.26556683774306306,
                  0.27399970579412125,
                  0.20333100923083464,
                  0.2194731787284358
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20837734610233538,
                  0.25377519233942636,
                  0.2750995710775306,
                  0.15669347241971127,
                  0.14411378081408305,
                  0.18973499198819532,
                  0.2772573666730016,
                  0.3131566275007942,
                  0.23239623388317449,
                  0.23750968062143427,
                  0.16647235086141343,
                  0.28050256281974023,
                  0.22290800384681964,
                  0.21499792235842644,
                  0.1384422614544722,
                  0.19025799198778992,
                  0.28125262738258,
                  0.23703145413776303,
                  0.20653417991114126,
                  0.23086793026498253,
                  0.256649591814197,
                  0.2966580687734591,
                  0.20317448709987726,
                  0.23076288739698478
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22592109437971755,
                  0.2144900695478992,
                  0.18705108758849318,
                  0.2844098713940063,
                  0.39074891959310387,
                  0.26545634561991704,
                  0.18873013359307347,
                  0.16049159233541396,
                  0.19014335172342414,
                  0.17746346674910557,
                  0.2589056006396391,
                  0.21169217226133366,
                  0.20401105466674216,
                  0.2069847014990207,
                  0.348527375941424,
                  0.23010176493974077,
                  0.18774232638629376,
                  0.19746311179234857,
                  0.27675193329039965,
                  0.2107262261649594,
                  0.205633271381842,
                  0.15938961657792186,
                  0.2610790811635299,
                  0.21562009662781298
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23882812535502604,
                  0.20520499890628327,
                  0.1884915737769108,
                  0.3028211820077163,
                  0.34621495636272687,
                  0.26850126072427616,
                  0.18036010719607753,
                  0.1517876860866956,
                  0.19137674968254043,
                  0.17807302191762436,
                  0.2703317420086005,
                  0.18224599386910745,
                  0.18095849759933538,
                  0.2069620147162367,
                  0.3635496341575443,
                  0.24154935963285798,
                  0.19000200000630263,
                  0.19580950838643651,
                  0.2737678223225454,
                  0.21491062973887995,
                  0.20069114188368678,
                  0.1757706152004859,
                  0.2640373093707447,
                  0.22222548618934063
                ],
                "crps": [
                  13.910251457673407,
                  16.307137857060557,
                  17.012782877048203,
                  25.663905165913285,
                  39.29044057323348,
                  22.847018905491733,
                  15.666246438716351,
                  17.54084834045311,
                  13.509744998861727,
                  13.372036457517611,
                  15.473418514870351,
                  27.9576513741221,
                  16.739687990720338,
                  12.045374579892258,
                  26.10991300080582,
                  12.790867329672258,
                  16.737615685299918,
                  13.481681193454675,
                  15.7273699661945,
                  14.962288511239217,
                  13.519322295342223,
                  13.465810740203455,
                  21.44154802301271,
                  15.519041306850859
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.598628827431384,
                  16.1287234213203,
                  16.846876606138146,
                  30.663467984689664,
                  22.80447649187906,
                  18.226651308312636,
                  14.525911039990154,
                  14.251447116167167,
                  13.837640825193597,
                  12.137215810172771,
                  16.791243786004284,
                  15.751382993845937,
                  12.898768089874904,
                  10.917544921058786,
                  28.541535877041742,
                  12.922717363327399,
                  16.266275488306196,
                  12.276815800801508,
                  15.42283207898044,
                  14.38398343120619,
                  12.541645594742256,
                  20.245101600952477,
                  20.421425827020485,
                  13.948777217630555
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  13.42425631942694,
                  15.805564691479763,
                  16.480810325171596,
                  25.076688574694494,
                  38.8198505324713,
                  22.363215308701452,
                  15.13250390441144,
                  17.02610885593954,
                  12.915894097162532,
                  12.80179556855848,
                  14.902042605062286,
                  27.355636275117675,
                  16.143975771679195,
                  11.538416695203804,
                  25.573366956224024,
                  12.217136658528927,
                  16.282422446918947,
                  12.945593461965133,
                  15.167423353207825,
                  14.452379060969502,
                  12.948980113794521,
                  12.93981387175146,
                  20.949959176845898,
                  14.995344802899043
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.904996569959033,
                  15.439883009669698,
                  16.159396333095156,
                  30.002155498348493,
                  22.128279551953014,
                  17.541784244932863,
                  13.834034998829466,
                  13.559051256968939,
                  13.144461241959426,
                  11.44081572501621,
                  16.10365814777164,
                  15.061827922294817,
                  12.203810338581421,
                  10.218834853157688,
                  27.87620457989062,
                  12.227804970506362,
                  15.577695591933987,
                  11.580680109566593,
                  14.732654751908749,
                  13.69183858775614,
                  11.84601147508678,
                  19.564057360096648,
                  19.74071553356249,
                  13.255808119988123
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45413335609287886,
              "rpss": -0.0018478136375446041,
              "brier_below": 0.22665276176248042,
              "bss_below": 0.0009110452578710015,
              "brier_above": 0.2274805944107151,
              "bss_above": -0.004611828241533722,
              "crps": 17.962166815985423,
              "crpss": -0.08765186977334927,
              "crps_fair": 17.42746580950774,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10115595163553981,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    5.6e-05,
                    0.162048,
                    0.731122,
                    0.10107,
                    0.005703,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1973,
                    0.2855,
                    0.3421,
                    0.4273,
                    0.5187,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.3072,
                    0.3513,
                    0.3981,
                    0.2186,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.118506,
                    0.69589,
                    0.184569,
                    0.001035,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2827,
                    0.3476,
                    0.4277,
                    0.5057,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3579,
                    0.3401,
                    0.3614,
                    0.7009,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4397098829369218,
                  0.46053743971885336,
                  0.4655491954377454,
                  0.449573831660296,
                  0.647716766777078,
                  0.4505726636724032,
                  0.44228960106858367,
                  0.4734962010961778,
                  0.42431982994425255,
                  0.44262642134206476,
                  0.38335206214460477,
                  0.523195310729209,
                  0.42445235342270404,
                  0.42129535466339574,
                  0.466846583975898,
                  0.3991464025958784,
                  0.4719085655917834,
                  0.42850545504559284,
                  0.4642619468600959,
                  0.44904239337088453,
                  0.4447080062885003,
                  0.4181709546194342,
                  0.4672685475506491,
                  0.44648180853880715
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.450859762187033,
                  0.4615252579407884,
                  0.48195188978473674,
                  0.4899671406267226,
                  0.4866822249422838,
                  0.45104938970310365,
                  0.44505340456925324,
                  0.4451826017329032,
                  0.43698121164797693,
                  0.43816449267304297,
                  0.43153061985811936,
                  0.4665311708633101,
                  0.41455543245551724,
                  0.41400736756299333,
                  0.4866694439614358,
                  0.4163741155867714,
                  0.47430685017421254,
                  0.4333081323328068,
                  0.4637676788813821,
                  0.4549741515638314,
                  0.43848605560736376,
                  0.48647544507953355,
                  0.46333262876860903,
                  0.4525018161642029
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22806977561851388,
                  0.2230488184722659,
                  0.2736189637287853,
                  0.1535400192760636,
                  0.21336615907641965,
                  0.2171486679770994,
                  0.23103830322037303,
                  0.29393429886828326,
                  0.2212439230267122,
                  0.27033168007134173,
                  0.11783322800730682,
                  0.31833500677322313,
                  0.21808362071166587,
                  0.22497547029057435,
                  0.1325381324168818,
                  0.18569874822294405,
                  0.24479144502318514,
                  0.22032454505034166,
                  0.22908271534801314,
                  0.20111114619116965,
                  0.2419436237462015,
                  0.32011969307274857,
                  0.2575751547432284,
                  0.2056193717904974
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23608353240397922,
                  0.22331054093632516,
                  0.28787705348692194,
                  0.16787043526726309,
                  0.12980597866178595,
                  0.21427952224866478,
                  0.23188434227033447,
                  0.2790337236966665,
                  0.22747905552243575,
                  0.26789379189861234,
                  0.14506829762590923,
                  0.28914503388214846,
                  0.22030745453346431,
                  0.22150001300575947,
                  0.14301966898459437,
                  0.197528447817378,
                  0.24762060355307083,
                  0.2191069646489153,
                  0.22787122597160456,
                  0.2052664928260851,
                  0.23730600527258158,
                  0.36291601407509505,
                  0.2549372233808246,
                  0.20936339489108258
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.21164010783534395,
                  0.23748862158380354,
                  0.19193023142666119,
                  0.2960338117773114,
                  0.43435060466463316,
                  0.23342399609547135,
                  0.21125129729156178,
                  0.17956190207362366,
                  0.20307590631954614,
                  0.17229474079327672,
                  0.2655188337578838,
                  0.20486030527990298,
                  0.2063687327045845,
                  0.19631988401382855,
                  0.3343084533199761,
                  0.21344765428368834,
                  0.22711712062429348,
                  0.20818091017886248,
                  0.23517923180539996,
                  0.247931247489855,
                  0.20276438201937083,
                  0.09805126226498795,
                  0.20969339201227444,
                  0.24086243719265252
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.21477622978305372,
                  0.23821471700446323,
                  0.1940748362978147,
                  0.3220967053594594,
                  0.3568762462804978,
                  0.23676986745443884,
                  0.21316906229891872,
                  0.16614887803623654,
                  0.2095021561255411,
                  0.17027070077443054,
                  0.28646232223221,
                  0.1773861369811614,
                  0.19424797792205284,
                  0.1925073545572339,
                  0.34364977497684135,
                  0.21884566776939335,
                  0.22668624662114165,
                  0.21420116768389152,
                  0.23589645290977745,
                  0.2497076587377463,
                  0.20118005033478217,
                  0.12355943100443835,
                  0.2083954053877844,
                  0.24313842127312024
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.318487598944078,
                  25.454291212613583,
                  27.280039458365778,
                  38.685817101189755,
                  62.81449203648897,
                  31.19464059322655,
                  21.21032544185045,
                  27.364992989653285,
                  21.077587893042576,
                  20.98736108500081,
                  20.86430490231082,
                  39.90420046109922,
                  24.051698452379167,
                  18.00024112393426,
                  30.839493946758,
                  19.311170254582002,
                  26.143383233491534,
                  21.08754863551501,
                  22.225977636464744,
                  23.55832628602656,
                  19.989851720838296,
                  18.370468926662443,
                  31.344987927169864,
                  23.38505337947926
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.156414500085216,
                  25.411815233188893,
                  26.732980668871086,
                  45.61593629136217,
                  34.99845443558639,
                  24.030769813999658,
                  20.8018756047614,
                  21.442419816482968,
                  21.815772545904604,
                  18.623549012936948,
                  24.452852751364667,
                  23.489095193174084,
                  19.61687371693912,
                  16.312296204518027,
                  33.59235581081057,
                  19.49142218729408,
                  25.519247293859358,
                  18.984467042431977,
                  22.119269483366466,
                  22.39067857178136,
                  18.705905684634818,
                  31.615072584747956,
                  29.824357357719336,
                  21.1242261595234
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  19.59026789168478,
                  24.72036632647514,
                  26.490363267343,
                  37.85219077664511,
                  62.07314367471035,
                  30.47219342196218,
                  20.446285521942542,
                  26.611753693210364,
                  20.203557410581357,
                  20.140087472258546,
                  20.078494047307395,
                  39.091959946414576,
                  23.21737175901126,
                  17.25332428349299,
                  30.044128408130632,
                  18.478769282819407,
                  25.476171425116785,
                  20.26506456021973,
                  21.391176082017946,
                  22.79700712246538,
                  19.119804329265946,
                  17.565616070507627,
                  30.613105352490003,
                  22.63052449601649
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.129409091688686,
                  24.394763235271725,
                  25.718430878218463,
                  44.637149674237,
                  33.999558951310114,
                  23.011102199758266,
                  19.776092660578268,
                  20.417850024215973,
                  20.7919098610797,
                  17.59364045020869,
                  23.43398453662585,
                  22.468401680029608,
                  18.58884645099875,
                  15.278010269046556,
                  32.590797260957075,
                  18.46315732375968,
                  24.502398765754055,
                  17.955242036577765,
                  21.095981603347358,
                  21.36790472412667,
                  17.676153100451447,
                  30.60976918029965,
                  28.81566244715923,
                  20.099053727754583
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45437614912715896,
              "rpss": -0.001910036682416738,
              "brier_below": 0.22680718794682667,
              "bss_below": 0.0005695989134217871,
              "brier_above": 0.2275689611170331,
              "bss_above": -0.004393644398806851,
              "crps": 26.47769759571196,
              "crpss": -0.0828067391500038,
              "crps_fair": 25.692613609253737,
              "crpss_fair": -0.09638332984054965,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.16998,
                    0.71251,
                    0.110366,
                    0.007144,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2858,
                    0.3415,
                    0.4299,
                    0.5178,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2872,
                    0.36,
                    0.3824,
                    0.0848,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.150682,
                    0.717018,
                    0.130854,
                    0.001446,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2823,
                    0.3462,
                    0.425,
                    0.5066,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3825,
                    0.3324,
                    0.3802,
                    0.8617,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4349608610056117,
                  0.45025535354517693,
                  0.48378660376065685,
                  0.4372162999940155,
                  0.478612567269408,
                  0.42966077426625626,
                  0.4213838887580962,
                  0.4922491007195472,
                  0.5029824051831998
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.46150612689453524,
                  0.4626658144476092,
                  0.5025804129424258,
                  0.43502336299626376,
                  0.4930044547546616,
                  0.4410305783704811,
                  0.42966910195677144,
                  0.46558066615845484,
                  0.49008091239695556
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3100154951283283,
                  0.16767859333269244,
                  0.13969176948215462,
                  0.2113530593502735,
                  0.316649971855762,
                  0.16379583860252897,
                  0.1643605364140668,
                  0.28492378094476556,
                  0.3362661115948973
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3246500440152092,
                  0.17376216083560342,
                  0.14150667980580747,
                  0.20954887915290052,
                  0.3264773200055234,
                  0.16810893020695689,
                  0.16881064921101296,
                  0.27246380987490737,
                  0.3299942872697695
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12494537958941167,
                  0.282576749476316,
                  0.3440948109205194,
                  0.22586324005209021,
                  0.16196260436387735,
                  0.26586492906112924,
                  0.2570233468083317,
                  0.20732532504511286,
                  0.16671630615202207
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.136856098063274,
                  0.28890364160773263,
                  0.361073708469447,
                  0.22547448318110808,
                  0.1665271446274894,
                  0.2729216390372266,
                  0.2608584457967457,
                  0.19311686140728634,
                  0.1600866363387469
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.410595145606802,
                  17.473712126553675,
                  31.359573688416024,
                  16.59678240187318,
                  16.128451118743186,
                  20.785190967051612,
                  15.351894447412889,
                  20.795797041597265,
                  24.315286570050162
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.700401532825092,
                  19.52059946533759,
                  33.764405017577104,
                  12.932496997007894,
                  16.79718613420036,
                  18.755591556502175,
                  15.912054597416416,
                  17.050032759603326,
                  21.158292552905177
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  12.152711885625452,
                  17.187306908947168,
                  31.06511276397035,
                  16.28831386700675,
                  15.849657088416539,
                  20.4580730553896,
                  15.030833293101962,
                  20.510665911911623,
                  24.00209847396424
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.040963232872253,
                  18.86116116538475,
                  33.104966717624265,
                  12.27305869705505,
                  16.137747834247513,
                  18.096153256549343,
                  15.252616297463575,
                  16.390594459650487,
                  20.49885425295233
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4590119838335521,
              "rpss": 0.011966487439579954,
              "brier_below": 0.23274835074505218,
              "bss_below": 0.009732606322708337,
              "brier_above": 0.2262636323854234,
              "bss_above": 0.014253897329600473,
              "crps": 19.4685870563672,
              "crpss": -0.021132935952299814,
              "crps_fair": 19.171641472037077,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04158408095309141,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000226,
                    0.160704,
                    0.821474,
                    0.017596,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1951,
                    0.2865,
                    0.3418,
                    0.4117,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.3301,
                    0.3787,
                    0.3761,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.088148,
                    0.817654,
                    0.094197,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2934,
                    0.3417,
                    0.4151,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2403,
                    0.3686,
                    0.3475,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42764282858366914,
                  0.4537373746172356,
                  0.4772050860306166,
                  0.446025381779208,
                  0.48879708133522004,
                  0.4262713179812428,
                  0.43125584049217386,
                  0.46719191396918375,
                  0.5286077842518367
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45769367006987244,
                  0.4755203948622137,
                  0.4811101251311695,
                  0.4300069750745694,
                  0.4984073288033246,
                  0.46319140730076575,
                  0.4441441730320768,
                  0.4502549831923129,
                  0.5174119902158631
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.32036822209210597,
                  0.12141398647192628,
                  0.14183577140808393,
                  0.21428176590116485,
                  0.31989892572254,
                  0.12367582872764073,
                  0.14498867410224797,
                  0.21065001001932224,
                  0.3626468524212188
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33624054857895364,
                  0.13034703789124324,
                  0.14150255915284246,
                  0.20534244397314746,
                  0.32556627067102445,
                  0.1385010427273907,
                  0.1500687330846873,
                  0.20117515044933712,
                  0.3575934610104493
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10727462250632235,
                  0.33232336742974017,
                  0.3353692942850468,
                  0.23174361545476516,
                  0.16889816347754552,
                  0.30259547374126783,
                  0.2862671543007255,
                  0.25654189829697005,
                  0.16596094444645637
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12145313950983586,
                  0.3451733349855966,
                  0.3396075449881942,
                  0.22466453066470288,
                  0.17284106696233917,
                  0.32469034625064525,
                  0.2940754270990343,
                  0.24907982794046105,
                  0.1598185403640623
                ],
                "crps": [
                  18.17635739991618,
                  27.388410443352605,
                  39.036351504080315,
                  25.59804028326562,
                  24.95542355383372,
                  27.81087068187689,
                  24.25667817744363,
                  32.456844342142695,
                  37.35299340926518
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  22.615515028016496,
                  30.53489796162619,
                  38.777499865947725,
                  19.653326601885357,
                  25.013487121265083,
                  28.57253141714021,
                  25.252740444348085,
                  26.362905926529372,
                  34.60429039008409
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  17.790871231917333,
                  26.9663217516014,
                  38.62669441819327,
                  25.160635662184696,
                  24.53902751040219,
                  27.368697624714414,
                  23.78564984664622,
                  32.03520990535107,
                  36.898313850938415
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  21.639099628479247,
                  29.55848256208893,
                  37.80108446641048,
                  18.67691120234811,
                  24.037071721727834,
                  27.596116017602963,
                  24.276325044810836,
                  25.38649052699212,
                  33.62787499054684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4607482898933763,
              "rpss": 0.01683518211266255,
              "brier_below": 0.21775111520736118,
              "bss_below": 0.013380009213315724,
              "brier_above": 0.2429971704376489,
              "bss_above": 0.019910885536297607,
              "crps": 28.55910775501965,
              "crpss": -0.022454505066553665,
              "crps_fair": 28.130157977994333,
              "crpss_fair": -0.043577862078657104,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.155703,
                    0.839388,
                    0.004909,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2852,
                    0.3409,
                    0.4066,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2449,
                    0.3442,
                    0.3521,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.097038,
                    0.832916,
                    0.070046,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2935,
                    0.3371,
                    0.4174,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2871,
                    0.4211,
                    0.4553,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8328308259237517,
            "training": [
              0.8301383886866482,
              0.8343660889251111,
              0.8282090975722926,
              0.8857258054794662,
              0.760176325627172,
              0.8258048649882992,
              0.8125387581806086,
              0.8409893743841468,
              0.8408195327803207,
              0.8330780804299539,
              0.8528173563400977,
              0.7837336813434962,
              0.7988250723932263,
              0.8342058553711953,
              0.8639737293432157,
              0.8505054406422211,
              0.8413748941786814,
              0.8222203706686878,
              0.8199059683681812,
              0.853948846866721,
              0.8347266822141096,
              0.8673588299609767,
              0.8295326883610681,
              0.8429640890641478
            ],
            "test": 0.8564883460061965
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43574844483181135,
                  0.4690600203720587,
                  0.4494078366654057,
                  0.4336139168966376,
                  0.5881824645173531,
                  0.46417254519037987,
                  0.48419240249421547,
                  0.46020732671108067,
                  0.4184446390940037,
                  0.41180818665736957,
                  0.4104752822736647,
                  0.5101833163406032,
                  0.4265297398185323,
                  0.4209644810500144,
                  0.48477448058145245,
                  0.4111739477824438,
                  0.4541194604996185,
                  0.43370128293523624,
                  0.49625011296950383,
                  0.43712436701753266,
                  0.45676291387582707,
                  0.44477558373492,
                  0.4745197411098557,
                  0.43895582190571375
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4472054714310519,
                  0.4589801912597414,
                  0.46359114484830244,
                  0.4595146544011181,
                  0.4903287371504829,
                  0.4582362527063328,
                  0.45761747388311064,
                  0.46494431359450544,
                  0.423772983565715,
                  0.4155827025390587,
                  0.4368040928437045,
                  0.46274855668884746,
                  0.4038665014531707,
                  0.4219599370685286,
                  0.5019918956202981,
                  0.4318073516145089,
                  0.4712546274029139,
                  0.43284096253823107,
                  0.4803020022477182,
                  0.4457785600038623,
                  0.4573407337119155,
                  0.472428683947618,
                  0.46721179644431254,
                  0.4529883736143887
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2029855585768168,
                  0.26037145997889155,
                  0.26509665335144517,
                  0.1443413495968996,
                  0.19681760626243677,
                  0.19301030119644721,
                  0.2905509630372403,
                  0.3064739110993791,
                  0.22942635087963917,
                  0.23729846346970698,
                  0.15299764073036123,
                  0.3027640722188909,
                  0.22306765643656204,
                  0.21609214092886084,
                  0.13126127658819745,
                  0.18135534414124238,
                  0.26978680778501707,
                  0.23964889397994987,
                  0.21479191497142422,
                  0.22550370115091864,
                  0.2564429646712146,
                  0.27962336802024385,
                  0.20694409603906064,
                  0.22073924268528136
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20837734610233538,
                  0.25377519233942636,
                  0.2750995710775306,
                  0.15669347241971127,
                  0.14411378081408305,
                  0.18973499198819532,
                  0.2772573666730016,
                  0.3131566275007942,
                  0.23239623388317449,
                  0.23750968062143427,
                  0.16647235086141343,
                  0.28050256281974023,
                  0.22290800384681964,
                  0.21499792235842644,
                  0.1384422614544722,
                  0.19025799198778992,
                  0.28125262738258,
                  0.23703145413776303,
                  0.20653417991114126,
                  0.23086793026498253,
                  0.256649591814197,
                  0.2966580687734591,
                  0.20317448709987726,
                  0.23076288739698478
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23276288621132823,
                  0.20868856047017786,
                  0.18431118309505157,
                  0.289272567040027,
                  0.3913648562064446,
                  0.2711622442363681,
                  0.19364143957896598,
                  0.1537334155032123,
                  0.1890182879994266,
                  0.17450972249667718,
                  0.2574776413117844,
                  0.2074192452540274,
                  0.20346208410865968,
                  0.2048723395885597,
                  0.3535132051455655,
                  0.2298186033611812,
                  0.18433265292345352,
                  0.19405238885342685,
                  0.28145819794510757,
                  0.21162066628242385,
                  0.20031994907417183,
                  0.1651522160484423,
                  0.26757564510645326,
                  0.21821657960294033
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23882812535502604,
                  0.20520499890628327,
                  0.1884915737769108,
                  0.3028211820077163,
                  0.34621495636272687,
                  0.26850126072427616,
                  0.18036010719607753,
                  0.1517876860866956,
                  0.19137674968254043,
                  0.17807302191762436,
                  0.2703317420086005,
                  0.18224599386910745,
                  0.18095849759933538,
                  0.2069620147162367,
                  0.3635496341575443,
                  0.24154935963285798,
                  0.19000200000630263,
                  0.19580950838643651,
                  0.2737678223225454,
                  0.21491062973887995,
                  0.20069114188368678,
                  0.1757706152004859,
                  0.2640373093707447,
                  0.22222548618934063
                ],
                "crps": [
                  14.786199984543188,
                  16.468043217074182,
                  18.07066236572567,
                  25.76801117285904,
                  41.52159017759292,
                  23.355712138773473,
                  15.780680605486685,
                  17.47014391189589,
                  13.440904637815263,
                  13.888276241422789,
                  15.999270189255725,
                  31.12434037330194,
                  18.3314973381179,
                  12.717312095006607,
                  26.4665470649149,
                  13.047191773745144,
                  16.68526367413121,
                  14.898886480223142,
                  16.188706396404047,
                  15.721927369770757,
                  14.042910419396565,
                  13.911450947216796,
                  21.1379041942939,
                  18.570868579581084
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.598628827431384,
                  16.1287234213203,
                  16.846876606138146,
                  30.663467984689664,
                  22.80447649187906,
                  18.226651308312636,
                  14.525911039990154,
                  14.251447116167167,
                  13.837640825193597,
                  12.137215810172771,
                  16.791243786004284,
                  15.751382993845937,
                  12.898768089874904,
                  10.917544921058786,
                  28.541535877041742,
                  12.922717363327399,
                  16.266275488306196,
                  12.276815800801508,
                  15.42283207898044,
                  14.38398343120619,
                  12.541645594742256,
                  20.245101600952477,
                  20.421425827020485,
                  13.948777217630555
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  14.29754682730826,
                  15.937935478628638,
                  17.551035641445477,
                  25.140081921095238,
                  41.0653106177967,
                  22.874264110521356,
                  15.22653540061747,
                  16.940506308315452,
                  12.822224030901417,
                  13.305925950214883,
                  15.389323311023611,
                  30.481133182787815,
                  17.6991196314683,
                  12.195708504744227,
                  25.90743631891902,
                  12.451387905238347,
                  16.218290191773804,
                  14.377417387227577,
                  15.619032820305673,
                  15.191491189318935,
                  13.47280596557444,
                  13.399401911688338,
                  20.627169409735117,
                  18.02668195151168
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.904996569959033,
                  15.439883009669698,
                  16.159396333095156,
                  30.002155498348493,
                  22.128279551953014,
                  17.541784244932863,
                  13.834034998829466,
                  13.559051256968939,
                  13.144461241959426,
                  11.44081572501621,
                  16.10365814777164,
                  15.061827922294817,
                  12.203810338581421,
                  10.218834853157688,
                  27.87620457989062,
                  12.227804970506362,
                  15.577695591933987,
                  11.580680109566593,
                  14.732654751908749,
                  13.69183858775614,
                  11.84601147508678,
                  19.564057360096648,
                  19.74071553356249,
                  13.255808119988123
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4547978464718847,
              "rpss": -0.00331372276854891,
              "brier_below": 0.22697465574150533,
              "bss_below": -0.000507868487282348,
              "brier_above": 0.22782319072682822,
              "bss_above": -0.006124820206280468,
              "crps": 18.724762556189532,
              "crpss": -0.1338288533862635,
              "crps_fair": 18.175740248673407,
              "crpss_fair": -0.14843573752928085,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00031,
                    0.117429,
                    0.748212,
                    0.134049,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1882,
                    0.2899,
                    0.3455,
                    0.4254,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.3371,
                    0.3446,
                    0.3782,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.061128,
                    0.822473,
                    0.116399,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2871,
                    0.3429,
                    0.434,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4823,
                    0.3325,
                    0.3744,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44176030387215276,
                  0.4618808949616494,
                  0.4699463142113304,
                  0.4610860152662631,
                  0.6081586668108693,
                  0.44989823479451285,
                  0.4435516117175758,
                  0.4646404814396057,
                  0.4281402246365198,
                  0.44419138589551604,
                  0.392492550125539,
                  0.5122667520061783,
                  0.42420296215056136,
                  0.4208174757847014,
                  0.4734646334455198,
                  0.40557982297136086,
                  0.4713457470693465,
                  0.43077373988023826,
                  0.46534373527028877,
                  0.45552414267444297,
                  0.4446655315687305,
                  0.43159527819044663,
                  0.46300575345953504,
                  0.4525734254072199
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.450859762187033,
                  0.4615252579407884,
                  0.48195188978473674,
                  0.4899671406267226,
                  0.4866822249422838,
                  0.45104938970310365,
                  0.44505340456925324,
                  0.4451826017329032,
                  0.43698121164797693,
                  0.43816449267304297,
                  0.43153061985811936,
                  0.4665311708633101,
                  0.41455543245551724,
                  0.41400736756299333,
                  0.4866694439614358,
                  0.4163741155867714,
                  0.47430685017421254,
                  0.4333081323328068,
                  0.4637676788813821,
                  0.4549741515638314,
                  0.43848605560736376,
                  0.48647544507953355,
                  0.46333262876860903,
                  0.4525018161642029
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22948257186570972,
                  0.22359014921637332,
                  0.27733919474488744,
                  0.15728418271358247,
                  0.19503026249490749,
                  0.2144986034651477,
                  0.23142347343762462,
                  0.28877267582979776,
                  0.22209758357502238,
                  0.272274289802229,
                  0.12533619293190576,
                  0.3126213527572702,
                  0.2198834681189281,
                  0.2255291484793111,
                  0.13540156386903932,
                  0.18961386930631546,
                  0.24523663766786805,
                  0.2210245011443067,
                  0.22963025363396383,
                  0.20362126385879398,
                  0.24171108161774896,
                  0.32696245070643487,
                  0.25406703873554154,
                  0.20872291166102894
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23608353240397922,
                  0.22331054093632516,
                  0.28787705348692194,
                  0.16787043526726309,
                  0.12980597866178595,
                  0.21427952224866478,
                  0.23188434227033447,
                  0.2790337236966665,
                  0.22747905552243575,
                  0.26789379189861234,
                  0.14506829762590923,
                  0.28914503388214846,
                  0.22030745453346431,
                  0.22150001300575947,
                  0.14301966898459437,
                  0.197528447817378,
                  0.24762060355307083,
                  0.2191069646489153,
                  0.22787122597160456,
                  0.2052664928260851,
                  0.23730600527258158,
                  0.36291601407509505,
                  0.2549372233808246,
                  0.20936339489108258
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2122777322087032,
                  0.2382907459000793,
                  0.19260711912497977,
                  0.3038018320939024,
                  0.41312840155387487,
                  0.2353996315310396,
                  0.21212813790702192,
                  0.17586780532921403,
                  0.20604264066794717,
                  0.17191709559074467,
                  0.2671563568834372,
                  0.19964540011822765,
                  0.20431949405700503,
                  0.19528832678471938,
                  0.33806307090132615,
                  0.21596595374795194,
                  0.22610910951880325,
                  0.20974923868572828,
                  0.23571348147425353,
                  0.2519028791189502,
                  0.20295444951269956,
                  0.10463282811501529,
                  0.20893871456306398,
                  0.2438505141419906
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.21477622978305372,
                  0.23821471700446323,
                  0.1940748362978147,
                  0.3220967053594594,
                  0.3568762462804978,
                  0.23676986745443884,
                  0.21316906229891872,
                  0.16614887803623654,
                  0.2095021561255411,
                  0.17027070077443054,
                  0.28646232223221,
                  0.1773861369811614,
                  0.19424797792205284,
                  0.1925073545572339,
                  0.34364977497684135,
                  0.21884566776939335,
                  0.22668624662114165,
                  0.21420116768389152,
                  0.23589645290977745,
                  0.2497076587377463,
                  0.20118005033478217,
                  0.12355943100443835,
                  0.2083954053877844,
                  0.24313842127312024
                ],
                "crps": [
                  21.371416579023858,
                  25.766544747291633,
                  29.053194853106643,
                  38.923101352303476,
                  66.05270669224521,
                  31.58928704586623,
                  21.12270778817647,
                  27.36961650662897,
                  20.904709677526142,
                  21.976232257719786,
                  21.76305620284318,
                  43.24335314259383,
                  25.86977326878307,
                  18.945891095264884,
                  32.07672975763404,
                  19.487437877985116,
                  26.023193045750002,
                  23.457764374425885,
                  22.62903993703531,
                  24.868052765620366,
                  20.77281312423371,
                  18.685111138387533,
                  30.650564348660918,
                  27.41174436816638
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.156414500085216,
                  25.411815233188893,
                  26.732980668871086,
                  45.61593629136217,
                  34.99845443558639,
                  24.030769813999658,
                  20.8018756047614,
                  21.442419816482968,
                  21.815772545904604,
                  18.623549012936948,
                  24.452852751364667,
                  23.489095193174084,
                  19.61687371693912,
                  16.312296204518027,
                  33.59235581081057,
                  19.49142218729408,
                  25.519247293859358,
                  18.984467042431977,
                  22.119269483366466,
                  22.39067857178136,
                  18.705905684634818,
                  31.615072584747956,
                  29.824357357719336,
                  21.1242261595234
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.629082555442192,
                  24.986241444783644,
                  28.28111021746778,
                  38.031998970110365,
                  65.33287685878173,
                  30.863289160355894,
                  20.333753963839666,
                  26.59009396486517,
                  19.990341816288314,
                  21.103211348193074,
                  20.918199575336168,
                  42.38297621364278,
                  24.984584754821523,
                  18.17046325926617,
                  31.244853735457475,
                  18.617559219842413,
                  25.333679185502437,
                  22.658037639103917,
                  21.773337208341676,
                  24.070436421379668,
                  19.89921627036531,
                  17.89810289366176,
                  29.8866466057445,
                  26.62036185790456
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.129409091688686,
                  24.394763235271725,
                  25.718430878218463,
                  44.637149674237,
                  33.999558951310114,
                  23.011102199758266,
                  19.776092660578268,
                  20.417850024215973,
                  20.7919098610797,
                  17.59364045020869,
                  23.43398453662585,
                  22.468401680029608,
                  18.58884645099875,
                  15.278010269046556,
                  32.590797260957075,
                  18.46315732375968,
                  24.502398765754055,
                  17.955242036577765,
                  21.095981603347358,
                  21.36790472412667,
                  17.676153100451447,
                  30.60976918029965,
                  28.81566244715923,
                  20.099053727754583
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45487107015042105,
              "rpss": -0.0030013491149112337,
              "brier_below": 0.2271314467347391,
              "bss_below": -0.0008592539081877515,
              "brier_above": 0.22773962331377828,
              "bss_above": -0.0051468755288723855,
              "crps": 27.50058508113636,
              "crpss": -0.12463777293253009,
              "crps_fair": 26.691685630854092,
              "crpss_fair": -0.13901682468274834,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.065544,
                    0.835043,
                    0.099413,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2915,
                    0.3435,
                    0.427,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3221,
                    0.3516,
                    0.3361,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.072023,
                    0.849895,
                    0.078081,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2871,
                    0.3448,
                    0.4217,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.5248,
                    0.328,
                    0.3891,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4345851320074257,
                  0.4485514235239607,
                  0.4845770179533886,
                  0.4340919525467811,
                  0.475233641512305,
                  0.43476651119909887,
                  0.42402975873018917,
                  0.4937317999423815,
                  0.49777023045896573
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.46150612689453524,
                  0.4626658144476092,
                  0.5025804129424258,
                  0.43502336299626376,
                  0.4930044547546616,
                  0.4410305783704811,
                  0.42966910195677144,
                  0.46558066615845484,
                  0.49008091239695556
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3085492190139964,
                  0.16583282000956157,
                  0.13931879012542048,
                  0.20867791998251062,
                  0.31339338549780676,
                  0.16615988128788883,
                  0.16690024600089762,
                  0.2875077907025049,
                  0.3344781802141628
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3246500440152092,
                  0.17376216083560342,
                  0.14150667980580747,
                  0.20954887915290052,
                  0.3264773200055234,
                  0.16810893020695689,
                  0.16881064921101296,
                  0.27246380987490737,
                  0.3299942872697695
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12603592683696532,
                  0.2827185920114773,
                  0.34525820447948713,
                  0.22541403174915847,
                  0.16184026489119926,
                  0.2686066228357681,
                  0.2571295070054359,
                  0.20622401440937535,
                  0.16329206218077452
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.136856098063274,
                  0.28890364160773263,
                  0.361073708469447,
                  0.22547448318110808,
                  0.1665271446274894,
                  0.2729216390372266,
                  0.2608584457967457,
                  0.19311686140728634,
                  0.1600866363387469
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.411074156676001,
                  18.150713695480952,
                  31.07498810745736,
                  19.67866082846131,
                  16.434515835847225,
                  23.26409883210671,
                  15.993260130448812,
                  21.99160032425016,
                  25.68499448862459
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.700401532825092,
                  19.52059946533759,
                  33.764405017577104,
                  12.932496997007894,
                  16.79718613420036,
                  18.755591556502175,
                  15.912054597416416,
                  17.050032759603326,
                  21.158292552905177
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  12.154461690475888,
                  17.853509829253085,
                  30.767227662476554,
                  19.35966028756661,
                  16.157898082403175,
                  22.922232937687273,
                  15.664724367391653,
                  21.70457713447413,
                  25.362121632079578
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.040963232872253,
                  18.86116116538475,
                  33.104966717624265,
                  12.27305869705505,
                  16.137747834247513,
                  18.096153256549343,
                  15.252616297463575,
                  16.390594459650487,
                  20.49885425295233
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45859305198605516,
              "rpss": 0.012868247566513613,
              "brier_below": 0.2323131369816389,
              "bss_below": 0.011584297206051364,
              "brier_above": 0.22627991404440462,
              "bss_above": 0.014182964225077588,
              "crps": 20.52043404437257,
              "crpss": -0.07630261004959049,
              "crps_fair": 20.216268180423107,
              "crpss_fair": -0.09833803974062261,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000602,
                    0.148193,
                    0.817508,
                    0.033697,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1798,
                    0.289,
                    0.3438,
                    0.4066,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.375,
                    0.3552,
                    0.3727,
                    0.3982,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.03775,
                    0.876505,
                    0.085746,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2941,
                    0.3343,
                    0.4182,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2525,
                    0.3589,
                    0.3639,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4290110496433956,
                  0.46380560868734666,
                  0.4790017564512498,
                  0.44393015134694697,
                  0.48736800162796584,
                  0.43539963140756305,
                  0.4356459769608199,
                  0.46707863193915056,
                  0.5215757926094344
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45769367006987244,
                  0.4755203948622137,
                  0.4811101251311695,
                  0.4300069750745694,
                  0.4984073288033246,
                  0.46319140730076575,
                  0.4441441730320768,
                  0.4502549831923129,
                  0.5174119902158631
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3197511900549798,
                  0.12561240898577428,
                  0.14311385982980432,
                  0.21315778203239905,
                  0.3188288891396596,
                  0.12813371792131875,
                  0.14716478648904052,
                  0.20990854135791143,
                  0.3596085595949514
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33624054857895364,
                  0.13034703789124324,
                  0.14150255915284246,
                  0.20534244397314746,
                  0.32556627067102445,
                  0.1385010427273907,
                  0.1500687330846873,
                  0.20117515044933712,
                  0.3575934610104493
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10925987607567499,
                  0.3381931787359867,
                  0.33588787622295285,
                  0.23077236869766773,
                  0.16853912036440144,
                  0.30726589729101256,
                  0.28848117824668124,
                  0.2571700851728294,
                  0.1619672453447702
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12145313950983586,
                  0.3451733349855966,
                  0.3396075449881942,
                  0.22466453066470288,
                  0.17284106696233917,
                  0.32469034625064525,
                  0.2940754270990343,
                  0.24907982794046105,
                  0.1598185403640623
                ],
                "crps": [
                  18.41565097026966,
                  28.51947645877139,
                  39.4969098769353,
                  29.511933450370087,
                  25.45901488174511,
                  30.311694223711307,
                  25.201216121753667,
                  34.60848870110218,
                  38.71425028912899
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  22.615515028016496,
                  30.53489796162619,
                  38.777499865947725,
                  19.653326601885357,
                  25.013487121265083,
                  28.57253141714021,
                  25.252740444348085,
                  26.362905926529372,
                  34.60429039008409
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.028807322328017,
                  28.079020695513915,
                  39.06997564010173,
                  29.06044342089746,
                  25.044223551804468,
                  29.85341666102605,
                  24.720240987256823,
                  34.18612672630145,
                  38.247958495221674
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  21.639099628479247,
                  29.55848256208893,
                  37.80108446641048,
                  18.67691120234811,
                  24.037071721727834,
                  27.596116017602963,
                  24.276325044810836,
                  25.38649052699212,
                  33.62787499054684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4625351778526525,
              "rpss": 0.013022242567138798,
              "brier_below": 0.21836441504509324,
              "bss_below": 0.01060117669309435,
              "brier_above": 0.24417075846133077,
              "bss_above": 0.015177411295408394,
              "crps": 30.026514997087517,
              "crpss": -0.07498965981612282,
              "crps_fair": 29.587801500050173,
              "crpss_fair": -0.09765379409474528,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.081519,
                    0.912647,
                    0.005835,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2916,
                    0.3404,
                    0.4086,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2356,
                    0.3377,
                    0.2278,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.039657,
                    0.92207,
                    0.038273,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2936,
                    0.3347,
                    0.4126,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.271,
                    0.4156,
                    0.4311,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "qdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8161350568089358,
            "training": [
              0.8170140736695131,
              0.8156749606576075,
              0.809621891194728,
              0.8643594297798757,
              0.740180226356229,
              0.8145348430699308,
              0.8092289164023359,
              0.8211854744565388,
              0.8261081594978278,
              0.8154119610551966,
              0.8313842401407048,
              0.7695375408764281,
              0.7849039476226435,
              0.8172998978495569,
              0.8441999641831915,
              0.8301662240066081,
              0.8243544213297386,
              0.8056342605132067,
              0.804698030231098,
              0.8381595202036688,
              0.8095753366780322,
              0.8568363840969029,
              0.8123718458821292,
              0.8247998136607664
            ],
            "test": 0.8405576468932859
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4301136700947375,
                  0.47537410827426635,
                  0.4490844448690491,
                  0.4296832761120379,
                  0.5951531869389343,
                  0.46130784796624413,
                  0.4682397914603497,
                  0.46622178460036934,
                  0.41825123419247756,
                  0.4140483678604826,
                  0.40952687977324514,
                  0.51516218635691,
                  0.4230110462112088,
                  0.42667026797768454,
                  0.4810620332125175,
                  0.4136126020886085,
                  0.4535582336698122,
                  0.4363092609332856,
                  0.4957422923627322,
                  0.43665698642910095,
                  0.4678108389776383,
                  0.44210164535595825,
                  0.4725402987516678,
                  0.4362865003802251
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4472054714310519,
                  0.4589801912597414,
                  0.46359114484830244,
                  0.4595146544011181,
                  0.4903287371504829,
                  0.4582362527063328,
                  0.45761747388311064,
                  0.46494431359450544,
                  0.423772983565715,
                  0.4155827025390587,
                  0.4368040928437045,
                  0.46274855668884746,
                  0.4038665014531707,
                  0.4219599370685286,
                  0.5019918956202981,
                  0.4318073516145089,
                  0.4712546274029139,
                  0.43284096253823107,
                  0.4803020022477182,
                  0.4457785600038623,
                  0.4573407337119155,
                  0.472428683947618,
                  0.46721179644431254,
                  0.4529883736143887
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20083140642115566,
                  0.26284029627264,
                  0.2646525710842616,
                  0.14380712096025253,
                  0.19976813205501037,
                  0.19142930661507537,
                  0.28388747969322387,
                  0.30996539601044515,
                  0.22971606987082607,
                  0.23772747999746258,
                  0.1529620373775155,
                  0.30545640740356456,
                  0.22094331971928244,
                  0.21950654179831533,
                  0.12913114402981593,
                  0.18215272916981207,
                  0.26977208260148705,
                  0.24019055085715496,
                  0.2144121155075149,
                  0.22532562156302682,
                  0.262940620819926,
                  0.2780118606124994,
                  0.20561322387319703,
                  0.2186505885706154
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20837734610233538,
                  0.25377519233942636,
                  0.2750995710775306,
                  0.15669347241971127,
                  0.14411378081408305,
                  0.18973499198819532,
                  0.2772573666730016,
                  0.3131566275007942,
                  0.23239623388317449,
                  0.23750968062143427,
                  0.16647235086141343,
                  0.28050256281974023,
                  0.22290800384681964,
                  0.21499792235842644,
                  0.1384422614544722,
                  0.19025799198778992,
                  0.28125262738258,
                  0.23703145413776303,
                  0.20653417991114126,
                  0.23086793026498253,
                  0.256649591814197,
                  0.2966580687734591,
                  0.20317448709987726,
                  0.23076288739698478
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22928226380481956,
                  0.21253381217416698,
                  0.1844318735982079,
                  0.2858761548710291,
                  0.39538505284613346,
                  0.2698785416954462,
                  0.1843523113615345,
                  0.15625638835316025,
                  0.1885351639585082,
                  0.17632088737151344,
                  0.25656484214817143,
                  0.2097057796702536,
                  0.2020677269354283,
                  0.20716372592533117,
                  0.35193089029279845,
                  0.23145987279833838,
                  0.1837861513965355,
                  0.19611870999216732,
                  0.28133017676488475,
                  0.2113313650518701,
                  0.20487021806890304,
                  0.16408978504992375,
                  0.2669270751836855,
                  0.21763591207200403
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23882812535502604,
                  0.20520499890628327,
                  0.1884915737769108,
                  0.3028211820077163,
                  0.34621495636272687,
                  0.26850126072427616,
                  0.18036010719607753,
                  0.1517876860866956,
                  0.19137674968254043,
                  0.17807302191762436,
                  0.2703317420086005,
                  0.18224599386910745,
                  0.18095849759933538,
                  0.2069620147162367,
                  0.3635496341575443,
                  0.24154935963285798,
                  0.19000200000630263,
                  0.19580950838643651,
                  0.2737678223225454,
                  0.21491062973887995,
                  0.20069114188368678,
                  0.1757706152004859,
                  0.2640373093707447,
                  0.22222548618934063
                ],
                "crps": [
                  14.71901227103254,
                  16.44129149509712,
                  17.878304350276185,
                  25.791286038575567,
                  41.504231130313826,
                  22.992076830235156,
                  15.919029710383167,
                  18.128498914379488,
                  13.338426750751855,
                  14.238765112623321,
                  17.10002490811223,
                  32.56768537001049,
                  18.793088371175457,
                  12.812942996480631,
                  26.23057634954462,
                  13.081606105707744,
                  16.95187708216102,
                  14.755138726304564,
                  16.156026681281734,
                  15.893273324916397,
                  14.0468560839616,
                  13.901528327686865,
                  21.19948010055428,
                  19.361625830050123
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.598628827431384,
                  16.1287234213203,
                  16.846876606138146,
                  30.663467984689664,
                  22.80447649187906,
                  18.226651308312636,
                  14.525911039990154,
                  14.251447116167167,
                  13.837640825193597,
                  12.137215810172771,
                  16.791243786004284,
                  15.751382993845937,
                  12.898768089874904,
                  10.917544921058786,
                  28.541535877041742,
                  12.922717363327399,
                  16.266275488306196,
                  12.276815800801508,
                  15.42283207898044,
                  14.38398343120619,
                  12.541645594742256,
                  20.245101600952477,
                  20.421425827020485,
                  13.948777217630555
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  14.228927589240882,
                  15.92053653798862,
                  17.33428167080709,
                  25.177617976185005,
                  41.031423451268296,
                  22.493504807781978,
                  15.364944576721433,
                  17.600766106932326,
                  12.718254889414537,
                  13.654840484255281,
                  16.5087100271772,
                  31.928974745731086,
                  18.168420738146278,
                  12.294422026125975,
                  25.68218825613783,
                  12.473819450049698,
                  16.48902479018456,
                  14.204279297225488,
                  15.580304663152663,
                  15.376318611136014,
                  13.456491343901256,
                  13.361880304909429,
                  20.69442512135506,
                  18.828656056150813
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.904996569959033,
                  15.439883009669698,
                  16.159396333095156,
                  30.002155498348493,
                  22.128279551953014,
                  17.541784244932863,
                  13.834034998829466,
                  13.559051256968939,
                  13.144461241959426,
                  11.44081572501621,
                  16.10365814777164,
                  15.061827922294817,
                  12.203810338581421,
                  10.218834853157688,
                  27.87620457989062,
                  12.227804970506362,
                  15.577695591933987,
                  11.580680109566593,
                  14.732654751908749,
                  13.69183858775614,
                  11.84601147508678,
                  19.564057360096648,
                  19.74071553356249,
                  13.255808119988123
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45489703270206433,
              "rpss": -0.003532534063767079,
              "brier_below": 0.22707058762017004,
              "bss_below": -0.0009307377240668213,
              "brier_above": 0.22782644505770064,
              "bss_above": -0.00613919215433989,
              "crps": 18.908443869234,
              "crpss": -0.1449511932254326,
              "crps_fair": 18.357208896749114,
              "crpss_fair": -0.15990184993185408,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.136983,
                    0.723678,
                    0.136146,
                    0.003193,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2891,
                    0.3447,
                    0.427,
                    0.5075,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3401,
                    0.3423,
                    0.3887,
                    0.2841,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.077593,
                    0.778747,
                    0.14366,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.286,
                    0.3432,
                    0.4324,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4322,
                    0.3323,
                    0.377,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4403105148316243,
                  0.46076840941367364,
                  0.4688412888038752,
                  0.4537787829239804,
                  0.6195411825507562,
                  0.4488321776343974,
                  0.4443595502811612,
                  0.47065274484802,
                  0.426297615219581,
                  0.4463631663372685,
                  0.3862040686573202,
                  0.519572399218224,
                  0.42365172544593493,
                  0.423792552273767,
                  0.4701632858205628,
                  0.40354327510813925,
                  0.4715773983506531,
                  0.429688512798619,
                  0.46459421579388904,
                  0.4537601055891406,
                  0.4476967309061578,
                  0.42773345165108917,
                  0.46333981015219944,
                  0.45035455609709646
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.450859762187033,
                  0.4615252579407884,
                  0.48195188978473674,
                  0.4899671406267226,
                  0.4866822249422838,
                  0.45104938970310365,
                  0.44505340456925324,
                  0.4451826017329032,
                  0.43698121164797693,
                  0.43816449267304297,
                  0.43153061985811936,
                  0.4665311708633101,
                  0.41455543245551724,
                  0.41400736756299333,
                  0.4866694439614358,
                  0.4163741155867714,
                  0.47430685017421254,
                  0.4333081323328068,
                  0.4637676788813821,
                  0.4549741515638314,
                  0.43848605560736376,
                  0.48647544507953355,
                  0.46333262876860903,
                  0.4525018161642029
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22880650612887243,
                  0.22313555575661478,
                  0.2759404346574763,
                  0.15534865219890048,
                  0.20122692459379427,
                  0.21432935236745013,
                  0.23233249350561916,
                  0.29102225054374514,
                  0.22142918372079481,
                  0.27421170838100456,
                  0.12339605077141394,
                  0.31581517449647656,
                  0.21919996508190415,
                  0.22760842808249848,
                  0.13289457786393483,
                  0.18774136346596368,
                  0.24518001939433853,
                  0.2204708074180163,
                  0.2296536969092544,
                  0.2015962429254541,
                  0.24344331397672023,
                  0.3245649816319875,
                  0.2546040505212623,
                  0.2062075615532853
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23608353240397922,
                  0.22331054093632516,
                  0.28787705348692194,
                  0.16787043526726309,
                  0.12980597866178595,
                  0.21427952224866478,
                  0.23188434227033447,
                  0.2790337236966665,
                  0.22747905552243575,
                  0.26789379189861234,
                  0.14506829762590923,
                  0.28914503388214846,
                  0.22030745453346431,
                  0.22150001300575947,
                  0.14301966898459437,
                  0.197528447817378,
                  0.24762060355307083,
                  0.2191069646489153,
                  0.22787122597160456,
                  0.2052664928260851,
                  0.23730600527258158,
                  0.36291601407509505,
                  0.2549372233808246,
                  0.20936339489108258
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.21150400903594715,
                  0.23763285378713378,
                  0.19290085380860195,
                  0.29843013017038306,
                  0.418314255056419,
                  0.2345028257846312,
                  0.2120270563734767,
                  0.17963049400108233,
                  0.20486843105029798,
                  0.17215145746168575,
                  0.26280801732413367,
                  0.20375722530578336,
                  0.20445176052095215,
                  0.19618412375877184,
                  0.3372687092732865,
                  0.21580191166235407,
                  0.22639737925912265,
                  0.20921770536942946,
                  0.23494051881948397,
                  0.2521638625644761,
                  0.20425341661642832,
                  0.10316847062790208,
                  0.20873575949713458,
                  0.24414699477695717
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.21477622978305372,
                  0.23821471700446323,
                  0.1940748362978147,
                  0.3220967053594594,
                  0.3568762462804978,
                  0.23676986745443884,
                  0.21316906229891872,
                  0.16614887803623654,
                  0.2095021561255411,
                  0.17027070077443054,
                  0.28646232223221,
                  0.1773861369811614,
                  0.19424797792205284,
                  0.1925073545572339,
                  0.34364977497684135,
                  0.21884566776939335,
                  0.22668624662114165,
                  0.21420116768389152,
                  0.23589645290977745,
                  0.2497076587377463,
                  0.20118005033478217,
                  0.12355943100443835,
                  0.2083954053877844,
                  0.24313842127312024
                ],
                "crps": [
                  21.317232582150655,
                  25.599456906202644,
                  28.797515415089,
                  39.15869295109243,
                  66.11790694715755,
                  31.109410469109097,
                  21.468449355398764,
                  28.48662549955271,
                  20.795920062020897,
                  22.46991564692439,
                  23.20057260581234,
                  45.52665234078598,
                  26.547337775882788,
                  19.129084272620346,
                  32.09978879512432,
                  19.53691979223817,
                  26.36075633726793,
                  23.158689349500136,
                  22.73344082016306,
                  25.212802797639814,
                  20.689138942864982,
                  18.622866852754953,
                  30.889517004143276,
                  28.490965117680503
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.156414500085216,
                  25.411815233188893,
                  26.732980668871086,
                  45.61593629136217,
                  34.99845443558639,
                  24.030769813999658,
                  20.8018756047614,
                  21.442419816482968,
                  21.815772545904604,
                  18.623549012936948,
                  24.452852751364667,
                  23.489095193174084,
                  19.61687371693912,
                  16.312296204518027,
                  33.59235581081057,
                  19.49142218729408,
                  25.519247293859358,
                  18.984467042431977,
                  22.119269483366466,
                  22.39067857178136,
                  18.705905684634818,
                  31.615072584747956,
                  29.824357357719336,
                  21.1242261595234
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.581179849163952,
                  24.832592899716744,
                  27.985988271466145,
                  38.298722701470886,
                  65.3663598021341,
                  30.356894049294425,
                  20.682603642201833,
                  27.712319903562236,
                  19.880383506004815,
                  21.597532467160608,
                  22.38807372438879,
                  44.67910271355292,
                  25.680323321023366,
                  18.365414691370386,
                  31.285510490281926,
                  18.657646170921744,
                  25.67506148844263,
                  22.307929726373217,
                  21.871768272525422,
                  24.435700479635234,
                  19.78431278252542,
                  17.791046825412415,
                  30.132466696322414,
                  27.72155092956073
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.129409091688686,
                  24.394763235271725,
                  25.718430878218463,
                  44.637149674237,
                  33.999558951310114,
                  23.011102199758266,
                  19.776092660578268,
                  20.417850024215973,
                  20.7919098610797,
                  17.59364045020869,
                  23.43398453662585,
                  22.468401680029608,
                  18.58884645099875,
                  15.278010269046556,
                  32.590797260957075,
                  18.46315732375968,
                  24.502398765754055,
                  17.955242036577765,
                  21.095981603347358,
                  21.36790472412667,
                  17.676153100451447,
                  30.60976918029965,
                  28.81566244715923,
                  20.099053727754583
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4548090633627971,
              "rpss": -0.0028646226978619183,
              "brier_below": 0.22708997066444928,
              "bss_below": -0.0006764887765335903,
              "brier_above": 0.22771909257941148,
              "bss_above": -0.0050562615057136995,
              "crps": 27.813319109965693,
              "crpss": -0.13742704634853786,
              "crps_fair": 27.002936891854677,
              "crpss_fair": -0.15229887917291451,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.121969,
                    0.765009,
                    0.109499,
                    0.003523,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2892,
                    0.3431,
                    0.427,
                    0.5075,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3195,
                    0.3509,
                    0.3691,
                    0.1004,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.088941,
                    0.801099,
                    0.10996,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2862,
                    0.3442,
                    0.4293,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4781,
                    0.3252,
                    0.3996,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43197920266283435,
                  0.4480957152380249,
                  0.4893114049820634,
                  0.4352639397955175,
                  0.4743556047170954,
                  0.43238693189600524,
                  0.4214707567710819,
                  0.4924859379681683,
                  0.49934082321678586
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.46150612689453524,
                  0.4626658144476092,
                  0.5025804129424258,
                  0.43502336299626376,
                  0.4930044547546616,
                  0.4410305783704811,
                  0.42966910195677144,
                  0.46558066615845484,
                  0.49008091239695556
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3068338381744619,
                  0.166068759384761,
                  0.14153844696043064,
                  0.209457579721868,
                  0.3128822755628882,
                  0.16651868367395253,
                  0.16583514408786126,
                  0.28582227327757326,
                  0.33511241701617694
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3246500440152092,
                  0.17376216083560342,
                  0.14150667980580747,
                  0.20954887915290052,
                  0.3264773200055234,
                  0.16810893020695689,
                  0.16881064921101296,
                  0.27246380987490737,
                  0.3299942872697695
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1251453781377362,
                  0.28202694462962896,
                  0.34777293434323014,
                  0.22580635924172923,
                  0.16147333803503838,
                  0.26586824130575976,
                  0.2556356069040914,
                  0.206663669834993,
                  0.16422841821958314
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.136856098063274,
                  0.28890364160773263,
                  0.361073708469447,
                  0.22547448318110808,
                  0.1665271446274894,
                  0.2729216390372266,
                  0.2608584457967457,
                  0.19311686140728634,
                  0.1600866363387469
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.50625342045753,
                  17.954501403452262,
                  31.47032530880257,
                  20.545170741076006,
                  16.489414877995785,
                  23.874151407169904,
                  15.98541565731228,
                  21.96186685281983,
                  26.440641692592425
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.700401532825092,
                  19.52059946533759,
                  33.764405017577104,
                  12.932496997007894,
                  16.79718613420036,
                  18.755591556502175,
                  15.912054597416416,
                  17.050032759603326,
                  21.158292552905177
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  12.247007316180666,
                  17.658731436555183,
                  31.16992154006233,
                  20.227332724336865,
                  16.202270478871043,
                  23.532349940576484,
                  15.642543257779746,
                  21.674028003164892,
                  26.120163220001288
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.040963232872253,
                  18.86116116538475,
                  33.104966717624265,
                  12.27305869705505,
                  16.137747834247513,
                  18.096153256549343,
                  15.252616297463575,
                  16.390594459650487,
                  20.49885425295233
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45829892413861967,
              "rpss": 0.013501364305245511,
              "brier_below": 0.2322299353177749,
              "bss_below": 0.011938292817880614,
              "brier_above": 0.22606898785019888,
              "bss_above": 0.015101890840448218,
              "crps": 20.803082373519842,
              "crpss": -0.09112759541439996,
              "crps_fair": 20.49714976861428,
              "crpss_fair": -0.1135981723338313,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.143184,
                    0.797887,
                    0.058928,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2889,
                    0.344,
                    0.4092,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3633,
                    0.3678,
                    0.4323,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.078497,
                    0.844318,
                    0.077185,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2946,
                    0.3363,
                    0.419,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2659,
                    0.3608,
                    0.3853,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42601596464254454,
                  0.4610000466207234,
                  0.47936358729313466,
                  0.44581532418168146,
                  0.4876444486610398,
                  0.43035663426174736,
                  0.4347789002585664,
                  0.46845805290247305,
                  0.5231031641637134
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45769367006987244,
                  0.4755203948622137,
                  0.4811101251311695,
                  0.4300069750745694,
                  0.4984073288033246,
                  0.46319140730076575,
                  0.4441441730320768,
                  0.4502549831923129,
                  0.5174119902158631
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.31800359856910504,
                  0.12401222952707609,
                  0.14334363034765868,
                  0.21413304925942037,
                  0.3193749533910585,
                  0.12673733811556426,
                  0.1472027878330084,
                  0.21103960930518229,
                  0.36052882648754986
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33624054857895364,
                  0.13034703789124324,
                  0.14150255915284246,
                  0.20534244397314746,
                  0.32556627067102445,
                  0.1385010427273907,
                  0.1500687330846873,
                  0.20117515044933712,
                  0.3575934610104493
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10801238241071683,
                  0.3369877963873127,
                  0.3360199365943622,
                  0.23168227424888402,
                  0.16826950318789513,
                  0.30361928048813086,
                  0.28757610013156976,
                  0.257418438127873,
                  0.16257435021240094
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12145313950983586,
                  0.3451733349855966,
                  0.3396075449881942,
                  0.22466453066470288,
                  0.17284106696233917,
                  0.32469034625064525,
                  0.2940754270990343,
                  0.24907982794046105,
                  0.1598185403640623
                ],
                "crps": [
                  18.537736714556942,
                  28.190545558553136,
                  40.1568808367918,
                  30.595708181862186,
                  25.690916729088737,
                  31.264334095710634,
                  25.35342213116125,
                  34.492867733658755,
                  39.605892174543044
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  22.615515028016496,
                  30.53489796162619,
                  38.777499865947725,
                  19.653326601885357,
                  25.013487121265083,
                  28.57253141714021,
                  25.252740444348085,
                  26.362905926529372,
                  34.60429039008409
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.148019452170985,
                  27.75113432988718,
                  39.7438548800233,
                  30.14658785834238,
                  25.258617861509066,
                  30.81099854945606,
                  24.850102209868197,
                  34.0665128712217,
                  39.141203412836255
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  21.639099628479247,
                  29.55848256208893,
                  37.80108446641048,
                  18.67691120234811,
                  24.037071721727834,
                  27.596116017602963,
                  24.276325044810836,
                  25.38649052699212,
                  33.62787499054684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.46183734699840273,
              "rpss": 0.01451130451220517,
              "brier_below": 0.2182640025372915,
              "bss_below": 0.011056141010626686,
              "brier_above": 0.24357334019879393,
              "bss_above": 0.01758699958336918,
              "crps": 30.432033795102946,
              "crpss": -0.08950777871103721,
              "crps_fair": 29.99078126947946,
              "crpss_fair": -0.11260361295359922,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.119639,
                    0.867085,
                    0.013277,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2887,
                    0.3422,
                    0.4088,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2636,
                    0.3385,
                    0.2805,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.077598,
                    0.866319,
                    0.056083,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2942,
                    0.3355,
                    0.4219,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3148,
                    0.414,
                    0.4875,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8451293885128264,
            "training": [
              0.8420547148859528,
              0.8461593322442964,
              0.8407602546841522,
              0.8913878350444087,
              0.7868339378832766,
              0.8429665224543398,
              0.839596098853048,
              0.8494091500845382,
              0.8554254735516015,
              0.8429524809714252,
              0.8598590700700709,
              0.8007806250383361,
              0.8190262493788256,
              0.8444018979362466,
              0.8663175601027937,
              0.8565344917460392,
              0.8511742856212141,
              0.839668486446988,
              0.8345031734719068,
              0.8597272288956922,
              0.8434177775440304,
              0.8777958119415121,
              0.8397706945302069,
              0.8525821709269314
            ],
            "test": 0.8623364222906045
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43897739978244665,
                  0.4674488946459956,
                  0.4501905323061011,
                  0.4352811448555532,
                  0.5841951203890705,
                  0.46384827861202266,
                  0.4629108753931276,
                  0.4612852867774496,
                  0.4146776300048591,
                  0.41271933661169924,
                  0.4147902024421469,
                  0.5109960830173979,
                  0.4183156534887702,
                  0.42689688240384127,
                  0.48846428793789537,
                  0.4194693034200554,
                  0.45415419736158563,
                  0.43087695869100506,
                  0.49573722949146976,
                  0.4359575242666945,
                  0.45686334635348663,
                  0.445080314699531,
                  0.4786795996048131,
                  0.437754304627927
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4472054714310519,
                  0.4589801912597414,
                  0.46359114484830244,
                  0.4595146544011181,
                  0.4903287371504829,
                  0.4582362527063328,
                  0.45761747388311064,
                  0.46494431359450544,
                  0.423772983565715,
                  0.4155827025390587,
                  0.4368040928437045,
                  0.46274855668884746,
                  0.4038665014531707,
                  0.4219599370685286,
                  0.5019918956202981,
                  0.4318073516145089,
                  0.4712546274029139,
                  0.43284096253823107,
                  0.4803020022477182,
                  0.4457785600038623,
                  0.4573407337119155,
                  0.472428683947618,
                  0.46721179644431254,
                  0.4529883736143887
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20442871673233087,
                  0.2597196768193665,
                  0.2660971695392882,
                  0.14590878649833358,
                  0.19363704980285812,
                  0.1921433869518021,
                  0.28126724075801696,
                  0.30875093259740044,
                  0.2282602592237836,
                  0.23898674956037388,
                  0.1551458239530332,
                  0.30410421485508865,
                  0.22186531331799544,
                  0.21898850087239313,
                  0.1313579535175667,
                  0.1845638212478508,
                  0.27002322421797614,
                  0.23720206256532853,
                  0.2130864219702803,
                  0.22440389144006345,
                  0.2564531389951421,
                  0.27942951212579503,
                  0.20870133511592587,
                  0.22000053808183606
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20837734610233538,
                  0.25377519233942636,
                  0.2750995710775306,
                  0.15669347241971127,
                  0.14411378081408305,
                  0.18973499198819532,
                  0.2772573666730016,
                  0.3131566275007942,
                  0.23239623388317449,
                  0.23750968062143427,
                  0.16647235086141343,
                  0.28050256281974023,
                  0.22290800384681964,
                  0.21499792235842644,
                  0.1384422614544722,
                  0.19025799198778992,
                  0.28125262738258,
                  0.23703145413776303,
                  0.20653417991114126,
                  0.23086793026498253,
                  0.256649591814197,
                  0.2966580687734591,
                  0.20317448709987726,
                  0.23076288739698478
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2345486829417994,
                  0.20772921800616095,
                  0.18409336269636298,
                  0.2893723581438946,
                  0.39055806878301325,
                  0.27170489198812786,
                  0.1816436342945107,
                  0.1525343541369549,
                  0.1864173705852677,
                  0.17373258671307085,
                  0.25964437843049143,
                  0.20689186904103773,
                  0.19645034045938134,
                  0.2079083811392218,
                  0.3571063351698347,
                  0.23490548219113988,
                  0.18413097326897904,
                  0.19367489622762693,
                  0.2826508073133095,
                  0.21155363308291328,
                  0.20041020732404857,
                  0.16565080280422634,
                  0.2699782642949414,
                  0.217753766730697
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23882812535502604,
                  0.20520499890628327,
                  0.1884915737769108,
                  0.3028211820077163,
                  0.34621495636272687,
                  0.26850126072427616,
                  0.18036010719607753,
                  0.1517876860866956,
                  0.19137674968254043,
                  0.17807302191762436,
                  0.2703317420086005,
                  0.18224599386910745,
                  0.18095849759933538,
                  0.2069620147162367,
                  0.3635496341575443,
                  0.24154935963285798,
                  0.19000200000630263,
                  0.19580950838643651,
                  0.2737678223225454,
                  0.21491062973887995,
                  0.20069114188368678,
                  0.1757706152004859,
                  0.2640373093707447,
                  0.22222548618934063
                ],
                "crps": [
                  15.105291370416685,
                  16.61388366406744,
                  18.033213936878944,
                  26.77385410177735,
                  42.98433442023637,
                  24.12021674570109,
                  15.742244167185362,
                  17.808383823608022,
                  13.14108979193282,
                  14.061474267933162,
                  17.286198526506496,
                  32.28763753667664,
                  18.269434314026096,
                  12.946804981389453,
                  27.442125565742714,
                  12.820887326105494,
                  17.59218273628796,
                  15.118632225466412,
                  16.588876869329233,
                  16.482195629741742,
                  13.731663746610687,
                  13.910790776658205,
                  22.010449471153038,
                  19.882131413902943
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.598628827431384,
                  16.1287234213203,
                  16.846876606138146,
                  30.663467984689664,
                  22.80447649187906,
                  18.226651308312636,
                  14.525911039990154,
                  14.251447116167167,
                  13.837640825193597,
                  12.137215810172771,
                  16.791243786004284,
                  15.751382993845937,
                  12.898768089874904,
                  10.917544921058786,
                  28.541535877041742,
                  12.922717363327399,
                  16.266275488306196,
                  12.276815800801508,
                  15.42283207898044,
                  14.38398343120619,
                  12.541645594742256,
                  20.245101600952477,
                  20.421425827020485,
                  13.948777217630555
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  14.683567394995775,
                  16.16634244517971,
                  17.547915193768123,
                  26.258521007533616,
                  42.55147524715103,
                  23.677602050639518,
                  15.261721968493712,
                  17.346622834010365,
                  12.590560951153922,
                  13.546212896748196,
                  16.788908424750794,
                  31.757548225998498,
                  17.7245491657424,
                  12.495436704297681,
                  26.980386284082694,
                  12.284000926420756,
                  17.201570422611606,
                  14.626127282232982,
                  16.0831192372633,
                  16.03582169209163,
                  13.20003968864875,
                  13.413544033402829,
                  21.56603905723945,
                  19.425361720462547
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.904996569959033,
                  15.439883009669698,
                  16.159396333095156,
                  30.002155498348493,
                  22.128279551953014,
                  17.541784244932863,
                  13.834034998829466,
                  13.559051256968939,
                  13.144461241959426,
                  11.44081572501621,
                  16.10365814777164,
                  15.061827922294817,
                  12.203810338581421,
                  10.218834853157688,
                  27.87620457989062,
                  12.227804970506362,
                  15.577695591933987,
                  11.580680109566593,
                  14.732654751908749,
                  13.69183858775614,
                  11.84601147508678,
                  19.564057360096648,
                  19.74071553356249,
                  13.255808119988123
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.454398766132706,
              "rpss": -0.0024333255021782296,
              "brier_below": 0.22685523836499288,
              "bss_below": 1.85251950627352e-05,
              "brier_above": 0.22754352774029218,
              "bss_above": -0.004889757738981704,
              "crps": 19.19808322538893,
              "crpss": -0.16248954427790707,
              "crps_fair": 18.717208118954996,
              "crpss_fair": -0.18264843227774552,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.084032,
                    0.7786,
                    0.137368,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2923,
                    0.3456,
                    0.4239,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.415,
                    0.3373,
                    0.3684,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.072611,
                    0.820418,
                    0.106972,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2909,
                    0.3396,
                    0.4285,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4348,
                    0.3375,
                    0.3556,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44184205205754895,
                  0.4598449424145428,
                  0.468654530889405,
                  0.4598267075589856,
                  0.6006746163504281,
                  0.44991805483422886,
                  0.44338464057207017,
                  0.46545943980852333,
                  0.42583226419987796,
                  0.44384000208606594,
                  0.3930492779683898,
                  0.5139219321661518,
                  0.42128994621604654,
                  0.4210552460667312,
                  0.47332544523114056,
                  0.40471412921134287,
                  0.4725350827520015,
                  0.43114792971526367,
                  0.4638008155028996,
                  0.45577102005354586,
                  0.4421198716462648,
                  0.4316616712276383,
                  0.4639971684800802,
                  0.4517051292633786
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.450859762187033,
                  0.4615252579407884,
                  0.48195188978473674,
                  0.4899671406267226,
                  0.4866822249422838,
                  0.45104938970310365,
                  0.44505340456925324,
                  0.4451826017329032,
                  0.43698121164797693,
                  0.43816449267304297,
                  0.43153061985811936,
                  0.4665311708633101,
                  0.41455543245551724,
                  0.41400736756299333,
                  0.4866694439614358,
                  0.4163741155867714,
                  0.47430685017421254,
                  0.4333081323328068,
                  0.4637676788813821,
                  0.4549741515638314,
                  0.43848605560736376,
                  0.48647544507953355,
                  0.46333262876860903,
                  0.4525018161642029
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22993213785718258,
                  0.22299045711920543,
                  0.27708412701962054,
                  0.15734424580615722,
                  0.19038722893014748,
                  0.21428838629171507,
                  0.23198749083219544,
                  0.2895486318800134,
                  0.2216329908550529,
                  0.2731174155579097,
                  0.12645506400904533,
                  0.3129180099336404,
                  0.2192360554810425,
                  0.22603435027571475,
                  0.134179525879397,
                  0.18924191289982012,
                  0.2451405914527497,
                  0.2209413846897393,
                  0.22839377846834802,
                  0.20255719054274823,
                  0.24097232831777207,
                  0.3275113069267479,
                  0.2551491220819527,
                  0.20757548508198662
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23608353240397922,
                  0.22331054093632516,
                  0.28787705348692194,
                  0.16787043526726309,
                  0.12980597866178595,
                  0.21427952224866478,
                  0.23188434227033447,
                  0.2790337236966665,
                  0.22747905552243575,
                  0.26789379189861234,
                  0.14506829762590923,
                  0.28914503388214846,
                  0.22030745453346431,
                  0.22150001300575947,
                  0.14301966898459437,
                  0.197528447817378,
                  0.24762060355307083,
                  0.2191069646489153,
                  0.22787122597160456,
                  0.2052664928260851,
                  0.23730600527258158,
                  0.36291601407509505,
                  0.2549372233808246,
                  0.20936339489108258
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.21190991440981868,
                  0.23685448531764125,
                  0.1915704036044788,
                  0.30248246132252743,
                  0.41028738501461953,
                  0.23562966902778062,
                  0.21139714934202414,
                  0.17591080770512296,
                  0.20419927293619983,
                  0.17072258614099173,
                  0.2665942135625317,
                  0.20100392300736836,
                  0.20205389067284743,
                  0.19502089529673816,
                  0.33914592032758434,
                  0.2154722164963989,
                  0.22739449135574638,
                  0.2102065450207937,
                  0.2354070369903576,
                  0.2532138294698763,
                  0.20114754297587312,
                  0.10415036493660013,
                  0.2088480461871676,
                  0.24412964431875028
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.21477622978305372,
                  0.23821471700446323,
                  0.1940748362978147,
                  0.3220967053594594,
                  0.3568762462804978,
                  0.23676986745443884,
                  0.21316906229891872,
                  0.16614887803623654,
                  0.2095021561255411,
                  0.17027070077443054,
                  0.28646232223221,
                  0.1773861369811614,
                  0.19424797792205284,
                  0.1925073545572339,
                  0.34364977497684135,
                  0.21884566776939335,
                  0.22668624662114165,
                  0.21420116768389152,
                  0.23589645290977745,
                  0.2497076587377463,
                  0.20118005033478217,
                  0.12355943100443835,
                  0.2083954053877844,
                  0.24313842127312024
                ],
                "crps": [
                  21.715097171633897,
                  26.043861209609293,
                  28.983536480112033,
                  40.655616430208276,
                  68.09888061185556,
                  32.35708400750408,
                  21.385168731114636,
                  28.216363144944694,
                  20.443064558276244,
                  22.28053478424317,
                  23.603985967292772,
                  45.663938043120055,
                  26.09904884325651,
                  19.26533477638605,
                  33.006482557857844,
                  19.108038465144652,
                  27.370251957257835,
                  23.85182090610988,
                  22.949993499870416,
                  26.04971891440481,
                  20.134726782191652,
                  18.261723320914122,
                  31.667283554630785,
                  29.122279677852486
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.156414500085216,
                  25.411815233188893,
                  26.732980668871086,
                  45.61593629136217,
                  34.99845443558639,
                  24.030769813999658,
                  20.8018756047614,
                  21.442419816482968,
                  21.815772545904604,
                  18.623549012936948,
                  24.452852751364667,
                  23.489095193174084,
                  19.61687371693912,
                  16.312296204518027,
                  33.59235581081057,
                  19.49142218729408,
                  25.519247293859358,
                  18.984467042431977,
                  22.119269483366466,
                  22.39067857178136,
                  18.705905684634818,
                  31.615072584747956,
                  29.824357357719336,
                  21.1242261595234
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  21.07567299225427,
                  25.38222996383645,
                  28.260982064954206,
                  39.93434332887511,
                  67.41003070993892,
                  31.690219720715,
                  20.698586760829645,
                  27.542106651004755,
                  19.629810482841478,
                  21.507531424761282,
                  22.917166949812746,
                  44.956001849964515,
                  25.33763906789682,
                  18.59552766580229,
                  32.31622109882506,
                  18.32319833480159,
                  26.793152911292193,
                  23.08664254827822,
                  22.189100242121047,
                  25.378383850114098,
                  19.317603239310003,
                  17.494898744227388,
                  30.99952702323133,
                  28.455194846380834
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.129409091688686,
                  24.394763235271725,
                  25.718430878218463,
                  44.637149674237,
                  33.999558951310114,
                  23.011102199758266,
                  19.776092660578268,
                  20.417850024215973,
                  20.7919098610797,
                  17.59364045020869,
                  23.43398453662585,
                  22.468401680029608,
                  18.58884645099875,
                  15.278010269046556,
                  32.590797260957075,
                  18.46315732375968,
                  24.502398765754055,
                  17.955242036577765,
                  21.095981603347358,
                  21.36790472412667,
                  17.676153100451447,
                  30.60976918029965,
                  28.81566244715923,
                  20.099053727754583
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4541404965113563,
              "rpss": -0.0013904171526577525,
              "brier_below": 0.22685913409124603,
              "bss_below": 0.00034069719111773367,
              "brier_above": 0.22728136230999332,
              "bss_above": -0.003124304272150269,
              "crps": 28.18057643315799,
              "crpss": -0.15244605255620813,
              "crps_fair": 27.47049051966955,
              "crpss_fair": -0.1722508393408777,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.072474,
                    0.835948,
                    0.091578,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2916,
                    0.3435,
                    0.4249,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4341,
                    0.3448,
                    0.3103,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.072627,
                    0.845118,
                    0.082255,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2902,
                    0.3418,
                    0.4261,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.5047,
                    0.3304,
                    0.378,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4336515828718001,
                  0.44952011331516356,
                  0.49247352125175436,
                  0.4351988260918762,
                  0.47411025014387737,
                  0.4341625723118848,
                  0.42286159386870453,
                  0.4857096645319385,
                  0.49832265430305567
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.46150612689453524,
                  0.4626658144476092,
                  0.5025804129424258,
                  0.43502336299626376,
                  0.4930044547546616,
                  0.4410305783704811,
                  0.42966910195677144,
                  0.46558066615845484,
                  0.49008091239695556
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.30793023274679826,
                  0.16605064594728058,
                  0.14137736951391738,
                  0.20931270663124815,
                  0.31345290715563195,
                  0.1667635822384977,
                  0.16622304486380401,
                  0.28266052748149684,
                  0.3349626814525793
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3246500440152092,
                  0.17376216083560342,
                  0.14150667980580747,
                  0.20954887915290052,
                  0.3264773200055234,
                  0.16810893020695689,
                  0.16881064921101296,
                  0.27246380987490737,
                  0.3299942872697695
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1257213638538866,
                  0.28346945563267323,
                  0.35109612796817524,
                  0.2258861185118833,
                  0.16065735177672913,
                  0.2673989827840192,
                  0.25663854290003385,
                  0.20304914198887425,
                  0.16335998467998877
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.136856098063274,
                  0.28890364160773263,
                  0.361073708469447,
                  0.22547448318110808,
                  0.1665271446274894,
                  0.2729216390372266,
                  0.2608584457967457,
                  0.19311686140728634,
                  0.1600866363387469
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.45198179421977,
                  18.204715942380517,
                  32.69880411174473,
                  20.64765190491339,
                  16.60190640097216,
                  23.91660169483081,
                  15.807893479826946,
                  22.09623279976788,
                  26.597652048134982
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.700401532825092,
                  19.52059946533759,
                  33.764405017577104,
                  12.932496997007894,
                  16.79718613420036,
                  18.755591556502175,
                  15.912054597416416,
                  17.050032759603326,
                  21.158292552905177
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  12.213223784448743,
                  17.933750820106766,
                  32.4255937787529,
                  20.35639885199832,
                  16.33515763933478,
                  23.60908267831888,
                  15.493384908251612,
                  21.830034014308552,
                  26.306633254739836
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.040963232872253,
                  18.86116116538475,
                  33.104966717624265,
                  12.27305869705505,
                  16.137747834247513,
                  18.096153256549343,
                  15.252616297463575,
                  16.390594459650487,
                  20.49885425295233
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4584456420766728,
              "rpss": 0.01318555067772409,
              "brier_below": 0.23208152200347268,
              "bss_below": 0.012569742473573564,
              "brier_above": 0.22636411889958483,
              "bss_above": 0.013816115134285822,
              "crps": 21.00260446408791,
              "crpss": -0.10159258589055686,
              "crps_fair": 20.722584414473378,
              "crpss_fair": -0.12584590494267545,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.126097,
                    0.841268,
                    0.032635,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2914,
                    0.3446,
                    0.4068,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3479,
                    0.3733,
                    0.4017,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.066886,
                    0.876054,
                    0.05706,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2949,
                    0.3341,
                    0.4147,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2397,
                    0.3627,
                    0.3761,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42837972628572624,
                  0.46450873021778566,
                  0.4807504911132713,
                  0.4445979146600101,
                  0.48788668365398846,
                  0.4348035354830729,
                  0.43673158920087796,
                  0.46660959640660926,
                  0.5217040375604025
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45769367006987244,
                  0.4755203948622137,
                  0.4811101251311695,
                  0.4300069750745694,
                  0.4984073288033246,
                  0.46319140730076575,
                  0.4441441730320768,
                  0.4502549831923129,
                  0.5174119902158631
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.319729173651999,
                  0.1251181101958478,
                  0.142731279813475,
                  0.2133958722127628,
                  0.32007305568943356,
                  0.12764172800989407,
                  0.1474709148037733,
                  0.20967335529162628,
                  0.36050034957636706
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33624054857895364,
                  0.13034703789124324,
                  0.14150255915284246,
                  0.20534244397314746,
                  0.32556627067102445,
                  0.1385010427273907,
                  0.1500687330846873,
                  0.20117515044933712,
                  0.3575934610104493
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10865056906436157,
                  0.3393905988841771,
                  0.33801919075969333,
                  0.23120204171271175,
                  0.16781363586719772,
                  0.3071617914313846,
                  0.28926066193719785,
                  0.25693623556391615,
                  0.16120370027234848
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12145313950983586,
                  0.3451733349855966,
                  0.3396075449881942,
                  0.22466453066470288,
                  0.17284106696233917,
                  0.32469034625064525,
                  0.2940754270990343,
                  0.24907982794046105,
                  0.1598185403640623
                ],
                "crps": [
                  18.362982962464432,
                  28.62749659739,
                  41.53713746390697,
                  30.846844329853518,
                  25.819688460620316,
                  31.602858273080738,
                  25.227619491367875,
                  34.986203660844645,
                  39.98484795022297
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  22.615515028016496,
                  30.53489796162619,
                  38.777499865947725,
                  19.653326601885357,
                  25.013487121265083,
                  28.57253141714021,
                  25.252740444348085,
                  26.362905926529372,
                  34.60429039008409
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.00488883952092,
                  28.225925802719736,
                  41.15999527869425,
                  30.434677211045972,
                  25.418559826072375,
                  31.195318523968577,
                  24.763653522249758,
                  34.59000398182583,
                  39.56124658789226
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  21.639099628479247,
                  29.55848256208893,
                  37.80108446641048,
                  18.67691120234811,
                  24.037071721727834,
                  27.596116017602963,
                  24.276325044810836,
                  25.38649052699212,
                  33.62787499054684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4628858116201939,
              "rpss": 0.012274044924799776,
              "brier_below": 0.21848153769390877,
              "bss_below": 0.010070499517984444,
              "brier_above": 0.24440426949922095,
              "bss_above": 0.014235582936127145,
              "crps": 30.777297687750163,
              "crpss": -0.10186869087615613,
              "crps_fair": 30.372696619332185,
              "crpss_fair": -0.12677198003515344,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.106784,
                    0.887912,
                    0.005304,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2912,
                    0.3413,
                    0.4078,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2563,
                    0.3377,
                    0.301,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.060843,
                    0.895937,
                    0.04322,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2948,
                    0.3335,
                    0.4175,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2792,
                    0.4169,
                    0.4623,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "cdft": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.821260077435331,
            "training": [
              0.8215031224683317,
              0.8209315154728158,
              0.8146920893640662,
              0.8737578295254431,
              0.7497031300887156,
              0.8194495907574344,
              0.8142955859032353,
              0.8272221323628612,
              0.8291106007836864,
              0.8202976499946554,
              0.8398273549994311,
              0.7749664743936694,
              0.7914459056047835,
              0.8228000860572254,
              0.8398601430101519,
              0.8384254213792532,
              0.8306803645786109,
              0.8084169392964415,
              0.8109686420941119,
              0.840177871754149,
              0.8180022202719732,
              0.8551537888570705,
              0.8165435819851531,
              0.8320098174446718
            ],
            "test": 0.8421584168789807
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4296829455752645,
                  0.4739557492955271,
                  0.4499917941313791,
                  0.4306299072122053,
                  0.5929435264050785,
                  0.4604995745024744,
                  0.4674341632447391,
                  0.464927020986331,
                  0.41876459759856005,
                  0.4120860634977193,
                  0.4084943407288508,
                  0.517037133354328,
                  0.4277973217694716,
                  0.4226053641972353,
                  0.4804642333132265,
                  0.4105043962253063,
                  0.4535407943074546,
                  0.4379817408041579,
                  0.49528960669139205,
                  0.43645387733649205,
                  0.4665287234000094,
                  0.44180991460829244,
                  0.4733298862898995,
                  0.4371145889935216
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4472054714310519,
                  0.4589801912597414,
                  0.46359114484830244,
                  0.4595146544011181,
                  0.4903287371504829,
                  0.4582362527063328,
                  0.45761747388311064,
                  0.46494431359450544,
                  0.423772983565715,
                  0.4155827025390587,
                  0.4368040928437045,
                  0.46274855668884746,
                  0.4038665014531707,
                  0.4219599370685286,
                  0.5019918956202981,
                  0.4318073516145089,
                  0.4712546274029139,
                  0.43284096253823107,
                  0.4803020022477182,
                  0.4457785600038623,
                  0.4573407337119155,
                  0.472428683947618,
                  0.46721179644431254,
                  0.4529883736143887
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20032213755095984,
                  0.26127137632418457,
                  0.2651114982297912,
                  0.14298920633064965,
                  0.19931222156716474,
                  0.19084623692006844,
                  0.28343863285799975,
                  0.31003342711553017,
                  0.22985761754234263,
                  0.23625521704216443,
                  0.15088123306921905,
                  0.304594169944737,
                  0.22188531207847834,
                  0.21593223080375398,
                  0.12928363526090597,
                  0.18003728172023217,
                  0.2695852658914588,
                  0.24102383897181862,
                  0.21376870981800541,
                  0.22576692576945612,
                  0.26196561278541897,
                  0.27786557228131364,
                  0.20556268348089474,
                  0.21979405496660387
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20837734610233538,
                  0.25377519233942636,
                  0.2750995710775306,
                  0.15669347241971127,
                  0.14411378081408305,
                  0.18973499198819532,
                  0.2772573666730016,
                  0.3131566275007942,
                  0.23239623388317449,
                  0.23750968062143427,
                  0.16647235086141343,
                  0.28050256281974023,
                  0.22290800384681964,
                  0.21499792235842644,
                  0.1384422614544722,
                  0.19025799198778992,
                  0.28125262738258,
                  0.23703145413776303,
                  0.20653417991114126,
                  0.23086793026498253,
                  0.256649591814197,
                  0.2966580687734591,
                  0.20317448709987726,
                  0.23076288739698478
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2293608078592617,
                  0.2126843733646134,
                  0.1848802956717158,
                  0.2876407006653622,
                  0.3936313026912079,
                  0.2696533380361145,
                  0.18399553006294964,
                  0.15489359370891315,
                  0.18890697987440264,
                  0.17583084596187953,
                  0.25761310755812317,
                  0.21244296440194696,
                  0.20591201046743157,
                  0.20667313301088053,
                  0.35118059923749717,
                  0.23046711433452702,
                  0.183955528712067,
                  0.19695790197176788,
                  0.28152089672999564,
                  0.21068695177198607,
                  0.20456311078351044,
                  0.1639443426719934,
                  0.26776720280574606,
                  0.21732053428712467
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23882812535502604,
                  0.20520499890628327,
                  0.1884915737769108,
                  0.3028211820077163,
                  0.34621495636272687,
                  0.26850126072427616,
                  0.18036010719607753,
                  0.1517876860866956,
                  0.19137674968254043,
                  0.17807302191762436,
                  0.2703317420086005,
                  0.18224599386910745,
                  0.18095849759933538,
                  0.2069620147162367,
                  0.3635496341575443,
                  0.24154935963285798,
                  0.19000200000630263,
                  0.19580950838643651,
                  0.2737678223225454,
                  0.21491062973887995,
                  0.20069114188368678,
                  0.1757706152004859,
                  0.2640373093707447,
                  0.22222548618934063
                ],
                "crps": [
                  14.892340406984664,
                  16.407182045428335,
                  18.124324142706882,
                  25.839767615142442,
                  42.02960088373336,
                  22.81213113918631,
                  15.673366399699432,
                  17.69022492548111,
                  13.193146999457113,
                  13.995712454974559,
                  16.289425497303508,
                  31.727622914982042,
                  18.898650546028477,
                  12.875994806795282,
                  26.557006919193412,
                  12.962479053281664,
                  16.74007805968739,
                  14.92041388679207,
                  16.00937011816931,
                  15.6459147279312,
                  14.264006564452735,
                  14.125116705490148,
                  20.98851879905321,
                  18.454271084791944
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.598628827431384,
                  16.1287234213203,
                  16.846876606138146,
                  30.663467984689664,
                  22.80447649187906,
                  18.226651308312636,
                  14.525911039990154,
                  14.251447116167167,
                  13.837640825193597,
                  12.137215810172771,
                  16.791243786004284,
                  15.751382993845937,
                  12.898768089874904,
                  10.917544921058786,
                  28.541535877041742,
                  12.922717363327399,
                  16.266275488306196,
                  12.276815800801508,
                  15.42283207898044,
                  14.38398343120619,
                  12.541645594742256,
                  20.245101600952477,
                  20.421425827020485,
                  13.948777217630555
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  14.416325091239019,
                  15.896167693974874,
                  17.602749403952583,
                  25.218600111452453,
                  41.573459000821764,
                  22.325539489522605,
                  15.139605038719369,
                  17.17906085058118,
                  12.604184921505654,
                  13.434758127065624,
                  15.6941937567028,
                  31.09345895533407,
                  18.288652590745436,
                  12.379916926183412,
                  26.015151208104847,
                  12.38217131352881,
                  16.286626117359106,
                  14.390636153688924,
                  15.43659516147227,
                  15.133947113234159,
                  13.702505209842203,
                  13.610000258591285,
                  20.49751718692975,
                  17.930448695131314
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.904996569959033,
                  15.439883009669698,
                  16.159396333095156,
                  30.002155498348493,
                  22.128279551953014,
                  17.541784244932863,
                  13.834034998829466,
                  13.559051256968939,
                  13.144461241959426,
                  11.44081572501621,
                  16.10365814777164,
                  15.061827922294817,
                  12.203810338581421,
                  10.218834853157688,
                  27.87620457989062,
                  12.227804970506362,
                  15.577695591933987,
                  11.580680109566593,
                  14.732654751908749,
                  13.69183858775614,
                  11.84601147508678,
                  19.564057360096648,
                  19.74071553356249,
                  13.255808119988123
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45457780268620485,
              "rpss": -0.002828291820502038,
              "brier_below": 0.22655767076346467,
              "bss_below": 0.001330207883877721,
              "brier_above": 0.22802013194337575,
              "bss_above": -0.0069945624193445965,
              "crps": 18.79652777903111,
              "crpss": -0.1381744081073606,
              "crps_fair": 18.259677932320145,
              "crpss_fair": -0.15373934741292095,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000455,
                    0.163685,
                    0.688655,
                    0.143903,
                    0.003301,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1846,
                    0.2884,
                    0.3446,
                    0.4252,
                    0.5016,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1889,
                    0.314,
                    0.3482,
                    0.3902,
                    0.206,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.068991,
                    0.790036,
                    0.140888,
                    8.5e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2857,
                    0.3424,
                    0.4369,
                    0.5016,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4508,
                    0.3335,
                    0.3684,
                    0.3333,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44176069004311913,
                  0.46169294992885906,
                  0.47013461842379406,
                  0.45735189025549544,
                  0.6156478513715811,
                  0.44895463104699146,
                  0.4429670492979747,
                  0.4666452200653564,
                  0.42609457934869244,
                  0.4444291795929696,
                  0.3891898528727477,
                  0.5143347434875367,
                  0.4226895190033509,
                  0.4218988219320202,
                  0.47307706780945535,
                  0.40238250664439074,
                  0.4714102883880406,
                  0.429227414763102,
                  0.4635853947445869,
                  0.45390691208978823,
                  0.4470808427834769,
                  0.4265738223935182,
                  0.4625137130257759,
                  0.4525895892292488
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.450859762187033,
                  0.4615252579407884,
                  0.48195188978473674,
                  0.4899671406267226,
                  0.4866822249422838,
                  0.45104938970310365,
                  0.44505340456925324,
                  0.4451826017329032,
                  0.43698121164797693,
                  0.43816449267304297,
                  0.43153061985811936,
                  0.4665311708633101,
                  0.41455543245551724,
                  0.41400736756299333,
                  0.4866694439614358,
                  0.4163741155867714,
                  0.47430685017421254,
                  0.4333081323328068,
                  0.4637676788813821,
                  0.4549741515638314,
                  0.43848605560736376,
                  0.48647544507953355,
                  0.46333262876860903,
                  0.4525018161642029
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22964794089144389,
                  0.22340908518448868,
                  0.2771730834735888,
                  0.15610770167083732,
                  0.19935469450261847,
                  0.2142662355840951,
                  0.23135541150105948,
                  0.28995816013559333,
                  0.22127005119217139,
                  0.2724607465325901,
                  0.12265273999206239,
                  0.3129275144730397,
                  0.21783778782627286,
                  0.2257259710813835,
                  0.13511765177948418,
                  0.1875038065078933,
                  0.24508489096661049,
                  0.2202747079965738,
                  0.22852171747767008,
                  0.2028802347167411,
                  0.24294671212844424,
                  0.3239340117034387,
                  0.25337259507958665,
                  0.20869338070859586
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23608353240397922,
                  0.22331054093632516,
                  0.28787705348692194,
                  0.16787043526726309,
                  0.12980597866178595,
                  0.21427952224866478,
                  0.23188434227033447,
                  0.2790337236966665,
                  0.22747905552243575,
                  0.26789379189861234,
                  0.14506829762590923,
                  0.28914503388214846,
                  0.22030745453346431,
                  0.22150001300575947,
                  0.14301966898459437,
                  0.197528447817378,
                  0.24762060355307083,
                  0.2191069646489153,
                  0.22787122597160456,
                  0.2052664928260851,
                  0.23730600527258158,
                  0.36291601407509505,
                  0.2549372233808246,
                  0.20936339489108258
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.21211274939313615,
                  0.23828386499833276,
                  0.1929615344829652,
                  0.3012441880923831,
                  0.4162931541087316,
                  0.2346883959906377,
                  0.21161163741270256,
                  0.17668705959175507,
                  0.20482452771354395,
                  0.17196843257897163,
                  0.2665371126013303,
                  0.2014072296925741,
                  0.20485173119103248,
                  0.1961728503524768,
                  0.337959417688605,
                  0.21487870012158355,
                  0.2263253976596144,
                  0.20895270680440672,
                  0.2350636770596212,
                  0.2510266774007041,
                  0.20413413044125678,
                  0.10263981135148277,
                  0.20914111758735227,
                  0.2438962087494105
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.21477622978305372,
                  0.23821471700446323,
                  0.1940748362978147,
                  0.3220967053594594,
                  0.3568762462804978,
                  0.23676986745443884,
                  0.21316906229891872,
                  0.16614887803623654,
                  0.2095021561255411,
                  0.17027070077443054,
                  0.28646232223221,
                  0.1773861369811614,
                  0.19424797792205284,
                  0.1925073545572339,
                  0.34364977497684135,
                  0.21884566776939335,
                  0.22668624662114165,
                  0.21420116768389152,
                  0.23589645290977745,
                  0.2497076587377463,
                  0.20118005033478217,
                  0.12355943100443835,
                  0.2083954053877844,
                  0.24313842127312024
                ],
                "crps": [
                  21.56465443739416,
                  25.658546695117018,
                  29.200505628333215,
                  38.90955189044601,
                  66.89416490904722,
                  30.86700635909317,
                  21.14443144494131,
                  27.726205950911655,
                  20.45836555298048,
                  22.066988124945954,
                  22.099827612847054,
                  43.91048558001292,
                  26.356266586467292,
                  19.21124832263644,
                  32.556424503988616,
                  19.256227908314457,
                  26.106555119079538,
                  23.343848372049123,
                  22.414996782007425,
                  24.72406785249588,
                  21.05677797547452,
                  18.879716819446575,
                  30.34099463060954,
                  27.24232983928342
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.156414500085216,
                  25.411815233188893,
                  26.732980668871086,
                  45.61593629136217,
                  34.99845443558639,
                  24.030769813999658,
                  20.8018756047614,
                  21.442419816482968,
                  21.815772545904604,
                  18.623549012936948,
                  24.452852751364667,
                  23.489095193174084,
                  19.61687371693912,
                  16.312296204518027,
                  33.59235581081057,
                  19.49142218729408,
                  25.519247293859358,
                  18.984467042431977,
                  22.119269483366466,
                  22.39067857178136,
                  18.705905684634818,
                  31.615072584747956,
                  29.824357357719336,
                  21.1242261595234
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.842281159038638,
                  24.906669220302607,
                  28.424867073054372,
                  38.035278700388986,
                  66.16648415453378,
                  30.12794365339978,
                  20.386243822787762,
                  26.97517019556191,
                  19.588108399101614,
                  21.225731467386385,
                  21.279354142899095,
                  43.06157580979376,
                  25.507036058494396,
                  18.475811722817436,
                  31.755505843645025,
                  18.414571921526626,
                  25.43436915683689,
                  22.526240978432806,
                  21.558165888692393,
                  23.95173628658215,
                  20.19456053130278,
                  18.083298471559278,
                  29.604596640720086,
                  26.486664575689193
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.129409091688686,
                  24.394763235271725,
                  25.718430878218463,
                  44.637149674237,
                  33.999558951310114,
                  23.011102199758266,
                  19.776092660578268,
                  20.417850024215973,
                  20.7919098610797,
                  17.59364045020869,
                  23.43398453662585,
                  22.468401680029608,
                  18.58884645099875,
                  15.278010269046556,
                  32.590797260957075,
                  18.46315732375968,
                  24.502398765754055,
                  17.955242036577765,
                  21.095981603347358,
                  21.36790472412667,
                  17.676153100451447,
                  30.60976918029965,
                  28.81566244715923,
                  20.099053727754583
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45442246452257806,
              "rpss": -0.002012163212632867,
              "brier_below": 0.22676986804609514,
              "bss_below": 0.0007340498009542618,
              "brier_above": 0.2276525963776921,
              "bss_above": -0.004762775249698148,
              "crps": 27.582924537413458,
              "crpss": -0.12800504902715648,
              "crps_fair": 26.792177744772818,
              "crpss_fair": -0.1433051341617515,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.104378,
                    0.782638,
                    0.10876,
                    0.004224,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2903,
                    0.3431,
                    0.4257,
                    0.5016,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3122,
                    0.351,
                    0.373,
                    0.0717,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.081538,
                    0.821976,
                    0.096486,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2854,
                    0.3444,
                    0.4248,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4811,
                    0.3287,
                    0.3887,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4324859056990258,
                  0.4472715891340999,
                  0.4862703539500811,
                  0.4339343933767282,
                  0.4736012357751574,
                  0.4371360792171241,
                  0.4237285675963516,
                  0.49771738953324896,
                  0.5006606747210696
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.46150612689453524,
                  0.4626658144476092,
                  0.5025804129424258,
                  0.43502336299626376,
                  0.4930044547546616,
                  0.4410305783704811,
                  0.42966910195677144,
                  0.46558066615845484,
                  0.49008091239695556
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3069615478678868,
                  0.16527019285792746,
                  0.13998964794643234,
                  0.20879572556089737,
                  0.31193951579419293,
                  0.16774783872159993,
                  0.16618605098350311,
                  0.289280727170329,
                  0.3359623545305211
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3246500440152092,
                  0.17376216083560342,
                  0.14150667980580747,
                  0.20954887915290052,
                  0.3264773200055234,
                  0.16810893020695689,
                  0.16881064921101296,
                  0.27246380987490737,
                  0.3299942872697695
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12552437142102826,
                  0.2820013849628773,
                  0.3462806825877771,
                  0.225138666978008,
                  0.16166172876407167,
                  0.26938823335648,
                  0.25754251100185876,
                  0.2084366675417583,
                  0.16469833214040078
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.136856098063274,
                  0.28890364160773263,
                  0.361073708469447,
                  0.22547448318110808,
                  0.1665271446274894,
                  0.2729216390372266,
                  0.2608584457967457,
                  0.19311686140728634,
                  0.1600866363387469
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.692220026425336,
                  18.1486924505402,
                  31.26920783528579,
                  20.27012762561672,
                  16.547661414106514,
                  23.666520603575833,
                  16.11623414482622,
                  22.121636936816593,
                  26.078273408317724
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.700401532825092,
                  19.52059946533759,
                  33.764405017577104,
                  12.932496997007894,
                  16.79718613420036,
                  18.755591556502175,
                  15.912054597416416,
                  17.050032759603326,
                  21.158292552905177
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  12.442908764794758,
                  17.861972505253753,
                  30.967658777256265,
                  19.953965447951337,
                  16.268130909596927,
                  23.330536067523088,
                  15.787443824722041,
                  21.83661532893311,
                  25.759085758617726
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.040963232872253,
                  18.86116116538475,
                  33.104966717624265,
                  12.27305869705505,
                  16.137747834247513,
                  18.096153256549343,
                  15.252616297463575,
                  16.390594459650487,
                  20.49885425295233
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4592006876669874,
              "rpss": 0.011560298237665134,
              "brier_below": 0.23245928904814336,
              "bss_below": 0.010962468413217352,
              "brier_above": 0.22674139763936227,
              "bss_above": 0.012172452635654585,
              "crps": 20.76784160505677,
              "crpss": -0.08927920707159309,
              "crps_fair": 20.467590820516556,
              "crpss_fair": -0.11199225195225049,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000451,
                    0.167772,
                    0.763556,
                    0.06822,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1805,
                    0.2855,
                    0.3439,
                    0.412,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5,
                    0.3547,
                    0.3716,
                    0.4032,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.069805,
                    0.837089,
                    0.093107,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2932,
                    0.3346,
                    0.4253,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.264,
                    0.3626,
                    0.3576,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42719566940537895,
                  0.4619410579355692,
                  0.47928964555799447,
                  0.44557346631963735,
                  0.48758506559183745,
                  0.43216151476644815,
                  0.43440805817093864,
                  0.4682820512406425,
                  0.5223132834161739
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45769367006987244,
                  0.4755203948622137,
                  0.4811101251311695,
                  0.4300069750745694,
                  0.4984073288033246,
                  0.46319140730076575,
                  0.4441441730320768,
                  0.4502549831923129,
                  0.5174119902158631
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3186859632715731,
                  0.12491525261613877,
                  0.14365953306723747,
                  0.21413279482967992,
                  0.3187723525229366,
                  0.12690189806030455,
                  0.1462207194839764,
                  0.21070638148447818,
                  0.3596239145348545
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33624054857895364,
                  0.13034703789124324,
                  0.14150255915284246,
                  0.20534244397314746,
                  0.32556627067102445,
                  0.1385010427273907,
                  0.1500687330846873,
                  0.20117515044933712,
                  0.3575934610104493
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10850972249452165,
                  0.33702578450279763,
                  0.3356300919388576,
                  0.23144067086022002,
                  0.16881272094215627,
                  0.3052596007150229,
                  0.28818732657134366,
                  0.2575756642716852,
                  0.16268938134906138
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12145313950983586,
                  0.3451733349855966,
                  0.3396075449881942,
                  0.22466453066470288,
                  0.17284106696233917,
                  0.32469034625064525,
                  0.2940754270990343,
                  0.24907982794046105,
                  0.1598185403640623
                ],
                "crps": [
                  18.789920294939286,
                  28.54386266110365,
                  39.79928764709535,
                  29.867398134892618,
                  25.75010274838655,
                  30.473444672454846,
                  25.487225346496135,
                  34.7738170647387,
                  39.046348505869375
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  22.615515028016496,
                  30.53489796162619,
                  38.777499865947725,
                  19.653326601885357,
                  25.013487121265083,
                  28.57253141714021,
                  25.252740444348085,
                  26.362905926529372,
                  34.60429039008409
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  18.41239547969557,
                  28.1190960425163,
                  39.38084086501414,
                  29.418804503786742,
                  25.329282093020144,
                  30.026131056379498,
                  25.00470709774373,
                  34.35061116651741,
                  38.582190707439366
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  21.639099628479247,
                  29.55848256208893,
                  37.80108446641048,
                  18.67691120234811,
                  24.037071721727834,
                  27.596116017602963,
                  24.276325044810836,
                  25.38649052699212,
                  33.62787499054684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.46208331248940226,
              "rpss": 0.013986452608314104,
              "brier_below": 0.21817986776346443,
              "bss_below": 0.011437351686397812,
              "brier_above": 0.24390344040507406,
              "bss_above": 0.01625559470209148,
              "crps": 30.28126745288628,
              "crpss": -0.08411014069187539,
              "crps_fair": 29.84711766801254,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10727395379581384,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.106657,
                    0.879142,
                    0.014202,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2876,
                    0.3417,
                    0.4104,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2254,
                    0.3412,
                    0.3374,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.066137,
                    0.885023,
                    0.04884,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2929,
                    0.3355,
                    0.419,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3153,
                    0.4148,
                    0.4612,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "mvs_zero_guard": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7978337512440189,
            "training": [
              0.7975864217429401,
              0.7965102382004805,
              0.7899722529276202,
              0.849573773389875,
              0.7218119944085232,
              0.7945040019209031,
              0.7906226373328963,
              0.8027269925834115,
              0.8068803033163404,
              0.794019576585749,
              0.8160078769401922,
              0.7520146574654442,
              0.7695594063591092,
              0.7941096656523936,
              0.8230725365066831,
              0.8106238449008522,
              0.8069797717813294,
              0.7916228176836716,
              0.7859170552755945,
              0.823354845466928,
              0.7901537272625366,
              0.8380790015683979,
              0.7926896147600049,
              0.8096170158245773
            ],
            "test": 0.8202209697875432
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42931540966969034,
                  0.47065644575323196,
                  0.455007189552589,
                  0.4309998811722683,
                  0.5782387558747842,
                  0.4580698251660113,
                  0.4673562439957732,
                  0.4713222547069534,
                  0.4173031681210436,
                  0.4140214911447917,
                  0.411735574757159,
                  0.5098099865306472,
                  0.420683955250026,
                  0.4215406625981025,
                  0.4820695377199034,
                  0.41557494494958475,
                  0.45906283129268155,
                  0.4330666963668821,
                  0.48851801158464425,
                  0.4373224426094803,
                  0.46643924902319445,
                  0.4391641594949776,
                  0.4671247188545888,
                  0.4392022539345633
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4472054714310519,
                  0.4589801912597414,
                  0.46359114484830244,
                  0.4595146544011181,
                  0.4903287371504829,
                  0.4582362527063328,
                  0.45761747388311064,
                  0.46494431359450544,
                  0.423772983565715,
                  0.4155827025390587,
                  0.4368040928437045,
                  0.46274855668884746,
                  0.4038665014531707,
                  0.4219599370685286,
                  0.5019918956202981,
                  0.4318073516145089,
                  0.4712546274029139,
                  0.43284096253823107,
                  0.4803020022477182,
                  0.4457785600038623,
                  0.4573407337119155,
                  0.472428683947618,
                  0.46721179644431254,
                  0.4529883736143887
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20022938257895642,
                  0.26058279600831963,
                  0.2686321725912386,
                  0.14403679706264286,
                  0.18905213870318777,
                  0.1909377628774414,
                  0.28246189805370403,
                  0.31505410059872746,
                  0.2288901608245223,
                  0.23774337878371035,
                  0.150354433716597,
                  0.30432400754213157,
                  0.222171161949791,
                  0.21410517024050704,
                  0.12859286217535396,
                  0.18262805672868854,
                  0.27241534869210116,
                  0.23805809298290848,
                  0.20985869305003121,
                  0.2264967346917107,
                  0.2660500182370166,
                  0.2776284283762618,
                  0.20298133751503816,
                  0.223834299405662
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20837734610233538,
                  0.25377519233942636,
                  0.2750995710775306,
                  0.15669347241971127,
                  0.14411378081408305,
                  0.18973499198819532,
                  0.2772573666730016,
                  0.3131566275007942,
                  0.23239623388317449,
                  0.23750968062143427,
                  0.16647235086141343,
                  0.28050256281974023,
                  0.22290800384681964,
                  0.21499792235842644,
                  0.1384422614544722,
                  0.19025799198778992,
                  0.28125262738258,
                  0.23703145413776303,
                  0.20653417991114126,
                  0.23086793026498253,
                  0.256649591814197,
                  0.2966580687734591,
                  0.20317448709987726,
                  0.23076288739698478
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2290860272144101,
                  0.2100736502463417,
                  0.18637501686882932,
                  0.2869630837804608,
                  0.3891866159374757,
                  0.2671320627440449,
                  0.18489434556747228,
                  0.15626815398407856,
                  0.18841300695939942,
                  0.1762781118680859,
                  0.2613811410278175,
                  0.20548597996261608,
                  0.19851279375917194,
                  0.20743549194870878,
                  0.3534766767460981,
                  0.2329468882060081,
                  0.18664748258585828,
                  0.195008603479678,
                  0.2786593185281907,
                  0.21082570809740292,
                  0.20038923061712993,
                  0.16153573170965968,
                  0.26414338144911453,
                  0.21536795498212916
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23882812535502604,
                  0.20520499890628327,
                  0.1884915737769108,
                  0.3028211820077163,
                  0.34621495636272687,
                  0.26850126072427616,
                  0.18036010719607753,
                  0.1517876860866956,
                  0.19137674968254043,
                  0.17807302191762436,
                  0.2703317420086005,
                  0.18224599386910745,
                  0.18095849759933538,
                  0.2069620147162367,
                  0.3635496341575443,
                  0.24154935963285798,
                  0.19000200000630263,
                  0.19580950838643651,
                  0.2737678223225454,
                  0.21491062973887995,
                  0.20069114188368678,
                  0.1757706152004859,
                  0.2640373093707447,
                  0.22222548618934063
                ],
                "crps": [
                  13.992539348561507,
                  16.426253171247513,
                  17.622709466063082,
                  25.301008173699287,
                  39.5738521920994,
                  23.16808946634383,
                  15.789933114038936,
                  17.625631778136672,
                  13.531384000256473,
                  13.65591914381851,
                  16.081923840803803,
                  27.683911017293052,
                  16.720055236699938,
                  12.074581094580825,
                  25.940712783746765,
                  13.122798991602016,
                  16.542960612476318,
                  13.7719970421911,
                  15.76312103685389,
                  15.088812645492602,
                  13.729466225908142,
                  13.85365139424581,
                  21.266885371651128,
                  15.905069700019377
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.598628827431384,
                  16.1287234213203,
                  16.846876606138146,
                  30.663467984689664,
                  22.80447649187906,
                  18.226651308312636,
                  14.525911039990154,
                  14.251447116167167,
                  13.837640825193597,
                  12.137215810172771,
                  16.791243786004284,
                  15.751382993845937,
                  12.898768089874904,
                  10.917544921058786,
                  28.541535877041742,
                  12.922717363327399,
                  16.266275488306196,
                  12.276815800801508,
                  15.42283207898044,
                  14.38398343120619,
                  12.541645594742256,
                  20.245101600952477,
                  20.421425827020485,
                  13.948777217630555
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  13.504663790773558,
                  15.91447449875505,
                  17.096419477674733,
                  24.70488297851224,
                  39.102996237683755,
                  22.679471892533194,
                  15.250794482582961,
                  17.110015576861166,
                  12.92703198286867,
                  13.078766144577536,
                  15.489458742568576,
                  27.073574019619,
                  16.113800783781883,
                  11.565130803154904,
                  25.392107898773858,
                  12.540764016877263,
                  16.084386555399014,
                  13.238182299137945,
                  15.196945207003239,
                  14.56592908436911,
                  13.15302368073525,
                  13.331170820844584,
                  20.763087944640866,
                  15.367808711957156
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.904996569959033,
                  15.439883009669698,
                  16.159396333095156,
                  30.002155498348493,
                  22.128279551953014,
                  17.541784244932863,
                  13.834034998829466,
                  13.559051256968939,
                  13.144461241959426,
                  11.44081572501621,
                  16.10365814777164,
                  15.061827922294817,
                  12.203810338581421,
                  10.218834853157688,
                  27.87620457989062,
                  12.227804970506362,
                  15.577695591933987,
                  11.580680109566593,
                  14.732654751908749,
                  13.69183858775614,
                  11.84601147508678,
                  19.564057360096648,
                  19.74071553356249,
                  13.255808119988123
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4534835704218156,
              "rpss": -0.0004143440516757302,
              "brier_below": 0.22654663472442707,
              "bss_below": 0.0013788549183141319,
              "brier_above": 0.22693693576125762,
              "bss_above": -0.0022108941698355533,
              "crps": 18.093052785326247,
              "crpss": -0.0955773261361057,
              "crps_fair": 17.551870317986896,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10901646138603827,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000485,
                    0.159414,
                    0.738974,
                    0.099091,
                    0.002036,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1934,
                    0.2866,
                    0.3433,
                    0.4253,
                    0.5112,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3546,
                    0.3303,
                    0.3463,
                    0.3914,
                    0.292,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.090399,
                    0.790824,
                    0.118694,
                    8.4e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2851,
                    0.3465,
                    0.4202,
                    0.5002,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3946,
                    0.3396,
                    0.3554,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4387602065538423,
                  0.46206342788901733,
                  0.46964338698864616,
                  0.4542597111179312,
                  0.624720534625229,
                  0.4490099492634861,
                  0.4424775186674838,
                  0.4679106197851066,
                  0.42459500550775425,
                  0.4429952582724905,
                  0.3897655272361913,
                  0.5133679454677538,
                  0.4222128926671658,
                  0.41866609988360387,
                  0.4700765644700887,
                  0.401762891262993,
                  0.4703843354674176,
                  0.4297435187678699,
                  0.4617178098381945,
                  0.4502174808369144,
                  0.44454358479440065,
                  0.42680209867552626,
                  0.4649703757348442,
                  0.4500901383052335
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.450859762187033,
                  0.4615252579407884,
                  0.48195188978473674,
                  0.4899671406267226,
                  0.4866822249422838,
                  0.45104938970310365,
                  0.44505340456925324,
                  0.4451826017329032,
                  0.43698121164797693,
                  0.43816449267304297,
                  0.43153061985811936,
                  0.4665311708633101,
                  0.41455543245551724,
                  0.41400736756299333,
                  0.4866694439614358,
                  0.4163741155867714,
                  0.47430685017421254,
                  0.4333081323328068,
                  0.4637676788813821,
                  0.4549741515638314,
                  0.43848605560736376,
                  0.48647544507953355,
                  0.46333262876860903,
                  0.4525018161642029
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22705373604389353,
                  0.22461460082748963,
                  0.2775610804971021,
                  0.15533031446916076,
                  0.20070134027609543,
                  0.2149962365846919,
                  0.23131829898414288,
                  0.29120138841415205,
                  0.2213514082026931,
                  0.2712451147894328,
                  0.12112394071568203,
                  0.3141736267952236,
                  0.21784724589635368,
                  0.22318808505907406,
                  0.13435401902420244,
                  0.18801565205838366,
                  0.24286205540250994,
                  0.22106286410368362,
                  0.22655654987590715,
                  0.2011701166753839,
                  0.24360295155656106,
                  0.3260215180725731,
                  0.25566859876003095,
                  0.20900692901218268
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23608353240397922,
                  0.22331054093632516,
                  0.28787705348692194,
                  0.16787043526726309,
                  0.12980597866178595,
                  0.21427952224866478,
                  0.23188434227033447,
                  0.2790337236966665,
                  0.22747905552243575,
                  0.26789379189861234,
                  0.14506829762590923,
                  0.28914503388214846,
                  0.22030745453346431,
                  0.22150001300575947,
                  0.14301966898459437,
                  0.197528447817378,
                  0.24762060355307083,
                  0.2191069646489153,
                  0.22787122597160456,
                  0.2052664928260851,
                  0.23730600527258158,
                  0.36291601407509505,
                  0.2549372233808246,
                  0.20936339489108258
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.21170647086087716,
                  0.23744882763565367,
                  0.19208230632511816,
                  0.2989293960305271,
                  0.4240191921546133,
                  0.23401371307741378,
                  0.21115921919169034,
                  0.17670923130059252,
                  0.20324359685622934,
                  0.17175014294561058,
                  0.26864158623440293,
                  0.19919431955686898,
                  0.20436564670508545,
                  0.19547801433508544,
                  0.3357225469713776,
                  0.21374723930984874,
                  0.22752227992066626,
                  0.20868065469701097,
                  0.23516125992561457,
                  0.24904736418872522,
                  0.20094063293603479,
                  0.10078058131721676,
                  0.2093017765244568,
                  0.24108320989459314
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.21477622978305372,
                  0.23821471700446323,
                  0.1940748362978147,
                  0.3220967053594594,
                  0.3568762462804978,
                  0.23676986745443884,
                  0.21316906229891872,
                  0.16614887803623654,
                  0.2095021561255411,
                  0.17027070077443054,
                  0.28646232223221,
                  0.1773861369811614,
                  0.19424797792205284,
                  0.1925073545572339,
                  0.34364977497684135,
                  0.21884566776939335,
                  0.22668624662114165,
                  0.21420116768389152,
                  0.23589645290977745,
                  0.2497076587377463,
                  0.20118005033478217,
                  0.12355943100443835,
                  0.2083954053877844,
                  0.24313842127312024
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.36156501576201,
                  25.598595323068945,
                  27.996376817744963,
                  37.91369379446283,
                  63.35581418035963,
                  31.661201513892426,
                  21.298795388172874,
                  27.38054489682403,
                  21.040847227369635,
                  21.26899258917532,
                  21.734055175377907,
                  39.74455819515977,
                  24.044483212178463,
                  18.031767572304968,
                  30.56269426679505,
                  19.773947054356487,
                  25.75112291105137,
                  21.50334641393508,
                  22.18986060014742,
                  23.70188524791532,
                  20.243249380832076,
                  19.037321284265094,
                  30.88019997746008,
                  23.826788844564497
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.156414500085216,
                  25.411815233188893,
                  26.732980668871086,
                  45.61593629136217,
                  34.99845443558639,
                  24.030769813999658,
                  20.8018756047614,
                  21.442419816482968,
                  21.815772545904604,
                  18.623549012936948,
                  24.452852751364667,
                  23.489095193174084,
                  19.61687371693912,
                  16.312296204518027,
                  33.59235581081057,
                  19.49142218729408,
                  25.519247293859358,
                  18.984467042431977,
                  22.119269483366466,
                  22.39067857178136,
                  18.705905684634818,
                  31.615072584747956,
                  29.824357357719336,
                  21.1242261595234
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  19.62259674044269,
                  24.842537717416167,
                  27.205795387984615,
                  37.06064802524887,
                  62.60885552566834,
                  30.92564507531584,
                  20.523468765901963,
                  26.614799460896624,
                  20.14127502756481,
                  20.404300208124305,
                  20.911931593041018,
                  38.91153979292373,
                  23.189763772495972,
                  17.273650982892853,
                  29.739047386024023,
                  18.92199686254111,
                  25.071346345739293,
                  20.678819146224857,
                  21.33728236493625,
                  22.912129173701818,
                  19.356651086298548,
                  18.230657983085308,
                  30.124154661371303,
                  23.046826216821604
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.129409091688686,
                  24.394763235271725,
                  25.718430878218463,
                  44.637149674237,
                  33.999558951310114,
                  23.011102199758266,
                  19.776092660578268,
                  20.417850024215973,
                  20.7919098610797,
                  17.59364045020869,
                  23.43398453662585,
                  22.468401680029608,
                  18.58884645099875,
                  15.278010269046556,
                  32.590797260957075,
                  18.46315732375968,
                  24.502398765754055,
                  17.955242036577765,
                  21.095981603347358,
                  21.36790472412667,
                  17.676153100451447,
                  30.60976918029965,
                  28.81566244715923,
                  20.099053727754583
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45378153675329935,
              "rpss": -0.0005989024900743267,
              "brier_below": 0.22666781967069194,
              "bss_below": 0.001183728004201412,
              "brier_above": 0.22711371703730474,
              "bss_above": -0.0023843885754954997,
              "crps": 26.62090445346568,
              "crpss": -0.08866319060722327,
              "crps_fair": 25.818988304277582,
              "crpss_fair": -0.1017761291503061,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.132084,
                    0.763376,
                    0.10207,
                    0.00247,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2886,
                    0.3418,
                    0.4285,
                    0.5115,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3073,
                    0.355,
                    0.354,
                    0.1839,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.10908,
                    0.790829,
                    0.099941,
                    0.00015,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2848,
                    0.3453,
                    0.4203,
                    0.5002,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4389,
                    0.3299,
                    0.3804,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4403168927053255,
                  0.4507875332070136,
                  0.48763048608535786,
                  0.4349815894893768,
                  0.4819443585597086,
                  0.4311193498332336,
                  0.4228512013394237,
                  0.4873105412591974,
                  0.5010627146890039
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.46150612689453524,
                  0.4626658144476092,
                  0.5025804129424258,
                  0.43502336299626376,
                  0.4930044547546616,
                  0.4410305783704811,
                  0.42966910195677144,
                  0.46558066615845484,
                  0.49008091239695556
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.31458172005047014,
                  0.16897238186048516,
                  0.13863095702016245,
                  0.20987229670716623,
                  0.32042407167176024,
                  0.16436756400922917,
                  0.16471264284069415,
                  0.2838961448970578,
                  0.33595716917137836
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3246500440152092,
                  0.17376216083560342,
                  0.14150667980580747,
                  0.20954887915290052,
                  0.3264773200055234,
                  0.16810893020695689,
                  0.16881064921101296,
                  0.27246380987490737,
                  0.3299942872697695
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12573518630423888,
                  0.28181514013762127,
                  0.3489995052835633,
                  0.225109292205907,
                  0.16152029581246322,
                  0.2667517788423745,
                  0.25813855255334556,
                  0.20341440152112933,
                  0.16510555765414273
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.136856098063274,
                  0.28890364160773263,
                  0.361073708469447,
                  0.22547448318110808,
                  0.1665271446274894,
                  0.2729216390372266,
                  0.2608584457967457,
                  0.19311686140728634,
                  0.1600866363387469
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.485375941908144,
                  17.484156013500083,
                  31.825727249421494,
                  16.813191306561386,
                  16.48029888071391,
                  20.64797694967146,
                  15.491897667223306,
                  21.074380074268237,
                  24.377528179826786
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.700401532825092,
                  19.52059946533759,
                  33.764405017577104,
                  12.932496997007894,
                  16.79718613420036,
                  18.755591556502175,
                  15.912054597416416,
                  17.050032759603326,
                  21.158292552905177
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  12.22891437697213,
                  17.192420806884037,
                  31.52372133334653,
                  16.497070837609296,
                  16.20202302192183,
                  20.315222260371716,
                  15.165100487168651,
                  20.789135140993636,
                  24.05731506080517
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.040963232872253,
                  18.86116116538475,
                  33.104966717624265,
                  12.27305869705505,
                  16.137747834247513,
                  18.096153256549343,
                  15.252616297463575,
                  16.390594459650487,
                  20.49885425295233
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4597782963519601,
              "rpss": 0.010316982686004228,
              "brier_below": 0.23349054980315595,
              "bss_below": 0.006574794357530389,
              "brier_above": 0.22628774559053177,
              "bss_above": 0.014148845104866581,
              "crps": 19.63117025145498,
              "crpss": -0.029660470839953268,
              "crps_fair": 19.330102591785888,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05019318101482062,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000301,
                    0.192309,
                    0.786334,
                    0.021056,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.188,
                    0.2854,
                    0.3428,
                    0.4072,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.75,
                    0.3354,
                    0.3797,
                    0.3655,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.076612,
                    0.876766,
                    0.046622,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2945,
                    0.34,
                    0.4099,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2454,
                    0.3647,
                    0.358,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4290545216502245,
                  0.456452235511164,
                  0.4785488967424242,
                  0.44291626807338763,
                  0.49060332582256794,
                  0.43113483184680146,
                  0.4333519310740774,
                  0.4663386842303351,
                  0.5265235029628451
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45769367006987244,
                  0.4755203948622137,
                  0.4811101251311695,
                  0.4300069750745694,
                  0.4984073288033246,
                  0.46319140730076575,
                  0.4441441730320768,
                  0.4502549831923129,
                  0.5174119902158631
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.32069739446769385,
                  0.122748699902549,
                  0.14173479759626167,
                  0.21220924935543067,
                  0.3216433187299576,
                  0.12548044269772882,
                  0.14563781253356609,
                  0.21074983554353702,
                  0.3618567149158105
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33624054857895364,
                  0.13034703789124324,
                  0.14150255915284246,
                  0.20534244397314746,
                  0.32556627067102445,
                  0.1385010427273907,
                  0.1500687330846873,
                  0.20117515044933712,
                  0.3575934610104493
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1083571434319494,
                  0.33370351469404147,
                  0.3368140786446527,
                  0.23070701833859425,
                  0.16896001505064756,
                  0.30565437327442374,
                  0.28771410633128014,
                  0.25558884312515134,
                  0.16466680048995733
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12145313950983586,
                  0.3451733349855966,
                  0.3396075449881942,
                  0.22466453066470288,
                  0.17284106696233917,
                  0.32469034625064525,
                  0.2940754270990343,
                  0.24907982794046105,
                  0.1598185403640623
                ],
                "crps": [
                  17.993941196805835,
                  27.240506132556916,
                  39.45594088052921,
                  25.86272821230891,
                  25.17991899605223,
                  27.580151440254443,
                  24.384228888999214,
                  32.89490111149195,
                  37.36956661979869
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  22.615515028016496,
                  30.53489796162619,
                  38.777499865947725,
                  19.653326601885357,
                  25.013487121265083,
                  28.57253141714021,
                  25.252740444348085,
                  26.362905926529372,
                  34.60429039008409
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  17.606969308115705,
                  26.8065271057543,
                  39.03461509677245,
                  25.41277613448745,
                  24.759963364699043,
                  27.128044889270548,
                  23.901772521694085,
                  32.471088964542375,
                  36.90161196852782
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  21.639099628479247,
                  29.55848256208893,
                  37.80108446641048,
                  18.67691120234811,
                  24.037071721727834,
                  27.596116017602963,
                  24.276325044810836,
                  25.38649052699212,
                  33.62787499054684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.46165824421264745,
              "rpss": 0.014893481856327218,
              "brier_below": 0.21808425174917057,
              "bss_below": 0.011870583318997374,
              "brier_above": 0.2435739881534109,
              "bss_above": 0.017584386165008792,
              "crps": 28.662431497644157,
              "crpss": -0.026153634151151683,
              "crps_fair": 28.224818817095976,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04708960759283243,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.157647,
                    0.840365,
                    0.001988,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2874,
                    0.341,
                    0.4087,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2612,
                    0.3416,
                    0.2665,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.073859,
                    0.876471,
                    0.049669,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2952,
                    0.3363,
                    0.4115,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3036,
                    0.4161,
                    0.4696,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "selection": {
        "SEL-P": {
          "criterion": "inner RPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "dc",
            "1994": "pt",
            "1995": "ls",
            "1996": "pt",
            "1997": "pt",
            "1998": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1999": "dc",
            "2000": "pt",
            "2001": "pt",
            "2002": "pt",
            "2003": "pt",
            "2004": "pt",
            "2005": "pt",
            "2006": "pt",
            "2007": "ls",
            "2008": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2009": "ls",
            "2010": "ls",
            "2011": "pt",
            "2012": "ls",
            "2013": "pt",
            "2014": "dc",
            "2015": "dc",
            "2016": "pt"
          },
          "chosen_test": "pt",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 5,
            "vs": 0,
            "sqrt_mvs": 2,
            "pt": 13,
            "dc": 4,
            "loci": 0,
            "eqm": 0,
            "gqm": 0,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 0,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43848080981378196,
                  0.4716975423134035,
                  0.4516373278883973,
                  0.4246426559176545,
                  0.6024385827127924,
                  0.45828735578099916,
                  0.489291026820241,
                  0.47094093973380247,
                  0.41840514518911687,
                  0.4136762287422149,
                  0.4062863608522427,
                  0.5261671286966905,
                  0.4261537458667632,
                  0.42362086924973896,
                  0.4874958145965753,
                  0.4103207097005948,
                  0.4568980951725093,
                  0.43442749755573257,
                  0.491587994779462,
                  0.43683798289336867,
                  0.4698757209490528,
                  0.4369097592746007,
                  0.480995371771768,
                  0.4343791880379795
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4472054714310519,
                  0.4589801912597414,
                  0.46359114484830244,
                  0.4595146544011181,
                  0.4903287371504829,
                  0.4582362527063328,
                  0.45761747388311064,
                  0.46494431359450544,
                  0.423772983565715,
                  0.4155827025390587,
                  0.4368040928437045,
                  0.46274855668884746,
                  0.4038665014531707,
                  0.4219599370685286,
                  0.5019918956202981,
                  0.4318073516145089,
                  0.4712546274029139,
                  0.43284096253823107,
                  0.4803020022477182,
                  0.4457785600038623,
                  0.4573407337119155,
                  0.472428683947618,
                  0.46721179644431254,
                  0.4529883736143887
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20533855531437717,
                  0.2597637321405526,
                  0.2654954486595577,
                  0.1421085376728259,
                  0.20509710717224588,
                  0.19227090414771805,
                  0.2907592891361402,
                  0.31163442718389905,
                  0.22922904246691334,
                  0.23628089194889912,
                  0.14803977918421354,
                  0.3106804414483173,
                  0.2230742040092861,
                  0.2159494521248166,
                  0.13490286215835326,
                  0.17984913444013836,
                  0.27061710995019483,
                  0.23871167131342347,
                  0.21262260103412678,
                  0.22653540038382944,
                  0.266069197711337,
                  0.275083054809447,
                  0.21110596468097395,
                  0.21890529153677526
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20837734610233538,
                  0.25377519233942636,
                  0.2750995710775306,
                  0.15669347241971127,
                  0.14411378081408305,
                  0.18973499198819532,
                  0.2772573666730016,
                  0.3131566275007942,
                  0.23239623388317449,
                  0.23750968062143427,
                  0.16647235086141343,
                  0.28050256281974023,
                  0.22290800384681964,
                  0.21499792235842644,
                  0.1384422614544722,
                  0.19025799198778992,
                  0.28125262738258,
                  0.23703145413776303,
                  0.20653417991114126,
                  0.23086793026498253,
                  0.256649591814197,
                  0.2966580687734591,
                  0.20317448709987726,
                  0.23076288739698478
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23314225456819135,
                  0.2119338106573873,
                  0.18614187918737285,
                  0.2825341178363117,
                  0.3973414740315762,
                  0.2660164522615236,
                  0.19853173820689318,
                  0.1593065121399908,
                  0.18917610218373182,
                  0.1773953362326072,
                  0.25824658162934755,
                  0.2154866885755892,
                  0.20307954241332576,
                  0.20767141676061815,
                  0.35259295376179195,
                  0.23047157498437276,
                  0.18628098526335052,
                  0.19571582627774853,
                  0.27896539406648696,
                  0.21030258298562293,
                  0.2038065229703246,
                  0.1618267044587833,
                  0.26988940703671055,
                  0.21547389687549473
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23882812535502604,
                  0.20520499890628327,
                  0.1884915737769108,
                  0.3028211820077163,
                  0.34621495636272687,
                  0.26850126072427616,
                  0.18036010719607753,
                  0.1517876860866956,
                  0.19137674968254043,
                  0.17807302191762436,
                  0.2703317420086005,
                  0.18224599386910745,
                  0.18095849759933538,
                  0.2069620147162367,
                  0.3635496341575443,
                  0.24154935963285798,
                  0.19000200000630263,
                  0.19580950838643651,
                  0.2737678223225454,
                  0.21491062973887995,
                  0.20069114188368678,
                  0.1757706152004859,
                  0.2640373093707447,
                  0.22222548618934063
                ],
                "crps": [
                  14.577355890487716,
                  16.311535067168503,
                  17.959205876727992,
                  25.466317457076237,
                  39.596215471702244,
                  22.916986470972137,
                  15.287448001136974,
                  17.612336575640715,
                  13.591738984546774,
                  13.554404718404564,
                  15.798209095453242,
                  28.184158060987375,
                  16.822100297996585,
                  11.991737438246165,
                  26.353937652972178,
                  12.848002108368588,
                  16.93770080205795,
                  15.001822766392053,
                  15.732048045775477,
                  15.833061381585512,
                  13.74265675180847,
                  13.81714483616195,
                  21.12355395635713,
                  15.716479689608427
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.598628827431384,
                  16.1287234213203,
                  16.846876606138146,
                  30.663467984689664,
                  22.80447649187906,
                  18.226651308312636,
                  14.525911039990154,
                  14.251447116167167,
                  13.837640825193597,
                  12.137215810172771,
                  16.791243786004284,
                  15.751382993845937,
                  12.898768089874904,
                  10.917544921058786,
                  28.541535877041742,
                  12.922717363327399,
                  16.266275488306196,
                  12.276815800801508,
                  15.42283207898044,
                  14.38398343120619,
                  12.541645594742256,
                  20.245101600952477,
                  20.421425827020485,
                  13.948777217630555
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  13.962549092761487,
                  15.791981159652401,
                  17.378141580205135,
                  24.88046769215084,
                  39.111605902054364,
                  22.43076331003964,
                  14.56370136445891,
                  17.08227421878072,
                  12.972871380277573,
                  12.962031940495482,
                  15.212172363024429,
                  27.572858992189317,
                  16.214091606944674,
                  11.463233057076852,
                  25.722355675581053,
                  12.267328865414083,
                  16.418529689310457,
                  14.427481626189657,
                  15.150312946675493,
                  15.250778562352755,
                  13.150028751600779,
                  13.33289640562228,
                  20.494927572210482,
                  15.182057343089378
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.904996569959033,
                  15.439883009669698,
                  16.159396333095156,
                  30.002155498348493,
                  22.128279551953014,
                  17.541784244932863,
                  13.834034998829466,
                  13.559051256968939,
                  13.144461241959426,
                  11.44081572501621,
                  16.10365814777164,
                  15.061827922294817,
                  12.203810338581421,
                  10.218834853157688,
                  27.87620457989062,
                  12.227804970506362,
                  15.577695591933987,
                  11.580680109566593,
                  14.732654751908749,
                  13.69183858775614,
                  11.84601147508678,
                  19.564057360096648,
                  19.74071553356249,
                  13.255808119988123
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45672724392956177,
              "rpss": -0.007570099444426104,
              "brier_below": 0.22792183752618175,
              "bss_below": -0.004683060758686741,
              "brier_above": 0.22880540647354808,
              "bss_above": -0.010462533318011946,
              "crps": 18.19900655823479,
              "crpss": -0.10199307877854058,
              "crps_fair": 17.624810045756593,
              "crpss_fair": -0.11362516446554505
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44273438493810024,
                  0.4610635046262704,
                  0.4671647348763111,
                  0.4472055654193195,
                  0.6582707928510646,
                  0.45112036272223194,
                  0.44133222170006453,
                  0.47450103247542286,
                  0.42505751600898595,
                  0.4436256314977976,
                  0.3810670884550991,
                  0.5274369843096878,
                  0.4258340088906273,
                  0.4207008538621436,
                  0.46976863456251367,
                  0.39830416014246217,
                  0.4744336663139258,
                  0.4289131289940157,
                  0.4632335097364797,
                  0.45206244756974634,
                  0.44817596104308904,
                  0.4152425662245748,
                  0.4656141900836449,
                  0.44782538977716413
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.450859762187033,
                  0.4615252579407884,
                  0.48195188978473674,
                  0.4899671406267226,
                  0.4866822249422838,
                  0.45104938970310365,
                  0.44505340456925324,
                  0.4451826017329032,
                  0.43698121164797693,
                  0.43816449267304297,
                  0.43153061985811936,
                  0.4665311708633101,
                  0.41455543245551724,
                  0.41400736756299333,
                  0.4866694439614358,
                  0.4163741155867714,
                  0.47430685017421254,
                  0.4333081323328068,
                  0.4637676788813821,
                  0.4549741515638314,
                  0.43848605560736376,
                  0.48647544507953355,
                  0.46333262876860903,
                  0.4525018161642029
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2310820584424137,
                  0.2236833857175693,
                  0.276379643201976,
                  0.15289035544213045,
                  0.21954675456398945,
                  0.21769326396835323,
                  0.2296456991736975,
                  0.2939069941168169,
                  0.22169294481870466,
                  0.27091552239368044,
                  0.11666333115294668,
                  0.3203957240822786,
                  0.21855413442852584,
                  0.22402983994870085,
                  0.13533640364297658,
                  0.1849385368961722,
                  0.24777700745926656,
                  0.22031938557170513,
                  0.22804956486638478,
                  0.20344777732316877,
                  0.24473377456190823,
                  0.3172970683436631,
                  0.25553900578763383,
                  0.20659691074100056
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23608353240397922,
                  0.22331054093632516,
                  0.28787705348692194,
                  0.16787043526726309,
                  0.12980597866178595,
                  0.21427952224866478,
                  0.23188434227033447,
                  0.2790337236966665,
                  0.22747905552243575,
                  0.26789379189861234,
                  0.14506829762590923,
                  0.28914503388214846,
                  0.22030745453346431,
                  0.22150001300575947,
                  0.14301966898459437,
                  0.197528447817378,
                  0.24762060355307083,
                  0.2191069646489153,
                  0.22787122597160456,
                  0.2052664928260851,
                  0.23730600527258158,
                  0.36291601407509505,
                  0.2549372233808246,
                  0.20936339489108258
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.21165232658691535,
                  0.23738011942521234,
                  0.19078509158865548,
                  0.2943152092813549,
                  0.43872403499970314,
                  0.23342709931759847,
                  0.2116865228039138,
                  0.18059403819841935,
                  0.20336457055689666,
                  0.1727101085463641,
                  0.264403757024906,
                  0.2070412615404946,
                  0.20727987440310375,
                  0.19667101334427037,
                  0.334432232496016,
                  0.2133656232412985,
                  0.22665665881875963,
                  0.20859374343261733,
                  0.23518394503771767,
                  0.24861467061159762,
                  0.20344218606697603,
                  0.09794549783920202,
                  0.21007518442051393,
                  0.24122847977846693
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.21477622978305372,
                  0.23821471700446323,
                  0.1940748362978147,
                  0.3220967053594594,
                  0.3568762462804978,
                  0.23676986745443884,
                  0.21316906229891872,
                  0.16614887803623654,
                  0.2095021561255411,
                  0.17027070077443054,
                  0.28646232223221,
                  0.1773861369811614,
                  0.19424797792205284,
                  0.1925073545572339,
                  0.34364977497684135,
                  0.21884566776939335,
                  0.22668624662114165,
                  0.21420116768389152,
                  0.23589645290977745,
                  0.2497076587377463,
                  0.20118005033478217,
                  0.12355943100443835,
                  0.2083954053877844,
                  0.24313842127312024
                ],
                "crps": [
                  21.005429005197765,
                  25.45688040625845,
                  28.58256673677463,
                  38.34221819906241,
                  63.377512127718404,
                  31.294818645261536,
                  20.669703292940035,
                  27.442248096293163,
                  21.133802115449946,
                  21.25827729828858,
                  21.312346008545525,
                  40.21914275286524,
                  24.142896261898887,
                  17.92892289924212,
                  31.96063622263926,
                  19.386448053490753,
                  26.44416457664697,
                  23.291203970397117,
                  22.18672763899651,
                  24.72751087660875,
                  20.305464072239523,
                  18.602455656229836,
                  30.57769491341208,
                  23.56540939794214
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.156414500085216,
                  25.411815233188893,
                  26.732980668871086,
                  45.61593629136217,
                  34.99845443558639,
                  24.030769813999658,
                  20.8018756047614,
                  21.442419816482968,
                  21.815772545904604,
                  18.623549012936948,
                  24.452852751364667,
                  23.489095193174084,
                  19.61687371693912,
                  16.312296204518027,
                  33.59235581081057,
                  19.49142218729408,
                  25.519247293859358,
                  18.984467042431977,
                  22.119269483366466,
                  22.39067857178136,
                  18.705905684634818,
                  31.615072584747956,
                  29.824357357719336,
                  21.1242261595234
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.090222800875726,
                  24.69635831273982,
                  27.730766966280658,
                  37.510995651755195,
                  62.61709600408035,
                  30.567522477052282,
                  19.608895154713363,
                  26.66617547638779,
                  20.22104605330576,
                  20.378057255483004,
                  20.507183464314974,
                  39.391586357037845,
                  23.289753768438302,
                  17.151674120082603,
                  31.0526668140975,
                  18.544255983756912,
                  25.693020744457595,
                  22.423873126091216,
                  21.318078794108263,
                  23.866311072311394,
                  19.402848368035905,
                  17.867618696490695,
                  29.651791415451456,
                  22.791259413514368
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.129409091688686,
                  24.394763235271725,
                  25.718430878218463,
                  44.637149674237,
                  33.999558951310114,
                  23.011102199758266,
                  19.776092660578268,
                  20.417850024215973,
                  20.7919098610797,
                  17.59364045020869,
                  23.43398453662585,
                  22.468401680029608,
                  18.58884645099875,
                  15.278010269046556,
                  32.590797260957075,
                  18.46315732375968,
                  24.502398765754055,
                  17.955242036577765,
                  21.095981603347358,
                  21.36790472412667,
                  17.676153100451447,
                  30.60976918029965,
                  28.81566244715923,
                  20.099053727754583
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45544534737836423,
              "rpss": -0.004267643834868995,
              "brier_below": 0.22754646194356934,
              "bss_below": -0.0026880267102009636,
              "brier_above": 0.22789888539004058,
              "bss_above": -0.005849791323743636,
              "crps": 26.80060330101665,
              "crpss": -0.09601198377333264,
              "crps_fair": 25.95996076211929,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10779186017303988
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4344103416237262,
                  0.44802679918084787,
                  0.48324651715843114,
                  0.43509167253012626,
                  0.47644917402474063,
                  0.4302897064403212,
                  0.4204572065206468,
                  0.48919996656303955,
                  0.5036255528040673
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.46150612689453524,
                  0.4626658144476092,
                  0.5025804129424258,
                  0.43502336299626376,
                  0.4930044547546616,
                  0.4410305783704811,
                  0.42966910195677144,
                  0.46558066615845484,
                  0.49008091239695556
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3092494066491835,
                  0.16666718937944108,
                  0.13965481984686143,
                  0.20963422140703522,
                  0.3144528050830157,
                  0.16425924276042558,
                  0.16430851571531443,
                  0.28294184739135575,
                  0.3365704335965252
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3246500440152092,
                  0.17376216083560342,
                  0.14150667980580747,
                  0.20954887915290052,
                  0.3264773200055234,
                  0.16810893020695689,
                  0.16881064921101296,
                  0.27246380987490737,
                  0.3299942872697695
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1251609485367758,
                  0.2813595989056136,
                  0.34359167380021,
                  0.2254574505787278,
                  0.16199637783085485,
                  0.26603045705420286,
                  0.25614868523603396,
                  0.20625812446105457,
                  0.16705513160099528
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.136856098063274,
                  0.28890364160773263,
                  0.361073708469447,
                  0.22547448318110808,
                  0.1665271446274894,
                  0.2729216390372266,
                  0.2608584457967457,
                  0.19311686140728634,
                  0.1600866363387469
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.230554201521821,
                  17.37631251085952,
                  31.355205350468133,
                  16.731187243382532,
                  16.057348761861583,
                  20.757622549845003,
                  15.371060619193184,
                  20.94425750461938,
                  24.29739236963643
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.700401532825092,
                  19.52059946533759,
                  33.764405017577104,
                  12.932496997007894,
                  16.79718613420036,
                  18.755591556502175,
                  15.912054597416416,
                  17.050032759603326,
                  21.158292552905177
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  11.964217320345647,
                  17.079809972849663,
                  31.054820728257177,
                  16.416700433989547,
                  15.768689511014223,
                  20.427722192434636,
                  15.04135682375114,
                  20.648862178198797,
                  23.976040661316063
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.040963232872253,
                  18.86116116538475,
                  33.104966717624265,
                  12.27305869705505,
                  16.137747834247513,
                  18.096153256549343,
                  15.252616297463575,
                  16.390594459650487,
                  20.49885425295233
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4578663263162163,
              "rpss": 0.014432540747362443,
              "brier_below": 0.23197094242546198,
              "bss_below": 0.013040222071646124,
              "brier_above": 0.22589538311160762,
              "bss_above": 0.015858221818905838,
              "crps": 19.457882345709734,
              "crpss": -0.020571470829508387,
              "crps_fair": 19.15313553579521,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04057866424838341
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4240873021079446,
                  0.4535536316920451,
                  0.47695076519840246,
                  0.446428941872575,
                  0.48686222754304886,
                  0.42447992026345693,
                  0.43073790824936414,
                  0.4687500689006225,
                  0.528722001362821
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45769367006987244,
                  0.4755203948622137,
                  0.4811101251311695,
                  0.4300069750745694,
                  0.4984073288033246,
                  0.46319140730076575,
                  0.4441441730320768,
                  0.4502549831923129,
                  0.5174119902158631
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3173366455335228,
                  0.12152767072625717,
                  0.1422852109863487,
                  0.2142890186228951,
                  0.3181353050105199,
                  0.12330681807777204,
                  0.1451415508934186,
                  0.21172410827912394,
                  0.3621977928730878
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33624054857895364,
                  0.13034703789124324,
                  0.14150255915284246,
                  0.20534244397314746,
                  0.32556627067102445,
                  0.1385010427273907,
                  0.1500687330846873,
                  0.20117515044933712,
                  0.3575934610104493
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10675067262417462,
                  0.33202594032208427,
                  0.33466553378878544,
                  0.23213992283001195,
                  0.16872693036049816,
                  0.30117308670459847,
                  0.2855963453687983,
                  0.25702595490392877,
                  0.1665242212423226
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12145313950983586,
                  0.3451733349855966,
                  0.3396075449881942,
                  0.22466453066470288,
                  0.17284106696233917,
                  0.32469034625064525,
                  0.2940754270990343,
                  0.24907982794046105,
                  0.1598185403640623
                ],
                "crps": [
                  17.842675040306208,
                  27.18729837195842,
                  39.055271652543844,
                  25.759344391680195,
                  24.769194977851168,
                  27.6612895152051,
                  24.25224285647815,
                  32.69950342609829,
                  37.1692944750797
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  22.615515028016496,
                  30.53489796162619,
                  38.777499865947725,
                  19.653326601885357,
                  25.013487121265083,
                  28.57253141714021,
                  25.252740444348085,
                  26.362905926529372,
                  34.60429039008409
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  17.44467570414036,
                  26.750096706324033,
                  38.637385931505605,
                  25.31248116344854,
                  24.33742960233774,
                  27.212490914896946,
                  23.769727337456757,
                  32.264511264592514,
                  36.7013980123951
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  21.639099628479247,
                  29.55848256208893,
                  37.80108446641048,
                  18.67691120234811,
                  24.037071721727834,
                  27.596116017602963,
                  24.276325044810836,
                  25.38649052699212,
                  33.62787499054684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4600636407989201,
              "rpss": 0.01829611624314731,
              "brier_below": 0.21732712455588288,
              "bss_below": 0.01530109077589148,
              "brier_above": 0.24273651201613364,
              "bss_above": 0.02096220840174612,
              "crps": 28.48845718968901,
              "crpss": -0.019925119715041184,
              "crps_fair": 28.047799626344176,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04052251654499095
            }
          }
        },
        "SEL-A": {
          "criterion": "inner CRPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "gqm",
            "1994": "gqm",
            "1995": "gqm",
            "1996": "gqm",
            "1997": "gqm",
            "1998": "gqm",
            "1999": "gqm",
            "2000": "gqm",
            "2001": "gqm",
            "2002": "gqm",
            "2003": "gqm",
            "2004": "gqm",
            "2005": "gqm",
            "2006": "gqm",
            "2007": "gqm",
            "2008": "gqm",
            "2009": "gqm",
            "2010": "gqm",
            "2011": "gqm",
            "2012": "gqm",
            "2013": "gqm",
            "2014": "gqm",
            "2015": "gqm",
            "2016": "gqm"
          },
          "chosen_test": "gqm",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 0,
            "vs": 0,
            "sqrt_mvs": 0,
            "pt": 0,
            "dc": 0,
            "loci": 0,
            "eqm": 0,
            "gqm": 24,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 0,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4241657655031438,
                  0.4766673777642892,
                  0.45072578298785726,
                  0.426673386060421,
                  0.5900555452912888,
                  0.45655785222356415,
                  0.4725362323180137,
                  0.4775212141645989,
                  0.41919617832018186,
                  0.41240832699872915,
                  0.40770166914830264,
                  0.5198848949947538,
                  0.425511080796058,
                  0.42358302033867007,
                  0.4763815527137132,
                  0.41011039109426084,
                  0.46166681536722776,
                  0.43766929113962655,
                  0.4878771988054105,
                  0.43821417389005496,
                  0.471200109165197,
                  0.43338932185446294,
                  0.46441009024995406,
                  0.4350932750393139
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4472054714310519,
                  0.4589801912597414,
                  0.46359114484830244,
                  0.4595146544011181,
                  0.4903287371504829,
                  0.4582362527063328,
                  0.45761747388311064,
                  0.46494431359450544,
                  0.423772983565715,
                  0.4155827025390587,
                  0.4368040928437045,
                  0.46274855668884746,
                  0.4038665014531707,
                  0.4219599370685286,
                  0.5019918956202981,
                  0.4318073516145089,
                  0.4712546274029139,
                  0.43284096253823107,
                  0.4803020022477182,
                  0.4457785600038623,
                  0.4573407337119155,
                  0.472428683947618,
                  0.46721179644431254,
                  0.4529883736143887
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.19824467110449576,
                  0.26217730870972766,
                  0.26367469513144226,
                  0.14226351426804293,
                  0.19930662441331493,
                  0.19110150708455262,
                  0.2838060981222262,
                  0.31702962142055546,
                  0.22905282598035004,
                  0.23494485990575373,
                  0.14879606862122333,
                  0.3081927239964301,
                  0.2215000267151991,
                  0.2165983185056098,
                  0.12785417826641932,
                  0.18000862574883797,
                  0.2739244890406581,
                  0.2402061796992494,
                  0.21112526614725785,
                  0.22748794792172905,
                  0.26556683774306306,
                  0.27399970579412125,
                  0.20333100923083464,
                  0.2194731787284358
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20837734610233538,
                  0.25377519233942636,
                  0.2750995710775306,
                  0.15669347241971127,
                  0.14411378081408305,
                  0.18973499198819532,
                  0.2772573666730016,
                  0.3131566275007942,
                  0.23239623388317449,
                  0.23750968062143427,
                  0.16647235086141343,
                  0.28050256281974023,
                  0.22290800384681964,
                  0.21499792235842644,
                  0.1384422614544722,
                  0.19025799198778992,
                  0.28125262738258,
                  0.23703145413776303,
                  0.20653417991114126,
                  0.23086793026498253,
                  0.256649591814197,
                  0.2966580687734591,
                  0.20317448709987726,
                  0.23076288739698478
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22592109437971755,
                  0.2144900695478992,
                  0.18705108758849318,
                  0.2844098713940063,
                  0.39074891959310387,
                  0.26545634561991704,
                  0.18873013359307347,
                  0.16049159233541396,
                  0.19014335172342414,
                  0.17746346674910557,
                  0.2589056006396391,
                  0.21169217226133366,
                  0.20401105466674216,
                  0.2069847014990207,
                  0.348527375941424,
                  0.23010176493974077,
                  0.18774232638629376,
                  0.19746311179234857,
                  0.27675193329039965,
                  0.2107262261649594,
                  0.205633271381842,
                  0.15938961657792186,
                  0.2610790811635299,
                  0.21562009662781298
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23882812535502604,
                  0.20520499890628327,
                  0.1884915737769108,
                  0.3028211820077163,
                  0.34621495636272687,
                  0.26850126072427616,
                  0.18036010719607753,
                  0.1517876860866956,
                  0.19137674968254043,
                  0.17807302191762436,
                  0.2703317420086005,
                  0.18224599386910745,
                  0.18095849759933538,
                  0.2069620147162367,
                  0.3635496341575443,
                  0.24154935963285798,
                  0.19000200000630263,
                  0.19580950838643651,
                  0.2737678223225454,
                  0.21491062973887995,
                  0.20069114188368678,
                  0.1757706152004859,
                  0.2640373093707447,
                  0.22222548618934063
                ],
                "crps": [
                  13.910251457673407,
                  16.307137857060557,
                  17.012782877048203,
                  25.663905165913285,
                  39.29044057323348,
                  22.847018905491733,
                  15.666246438716351,
                  17.54084834045311,
                  13.509744998861727,
                  13.372036457517611,
                  15.473418514870351,
                  27.9576513741221,
                  16.739687990720338,
                  12.045374579892258,
                  26.10991300080582,
                  12.790867329672258,
                  16.737615685299918,
                  13.481681193454675,
                  15.7273699661945,
                  14.962288511239217,
                  13.519322295342223,
                  13.465810740203455,
                  21.44154802301271,
                  15.519041306850859
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  13.598628827431384,
                  16.1287234213203,
                  16.846876606138146,
                  30.663467984689664,
                  22.80447649187906,
                  18.226651308312636,
                  14.525911039990154,
                  14.251447116167167,
                  13.837640825193597,
                  12.137215810172771,
                  16.791243786004284,
                  15.751382993845937,
                  12.898768089874904,
                  10.917544921058786,
                  28.541535877041742,
                  12.922717363327399,
                  16.266275488306196,
                  12.276815800801508,
                  15.42283207898044,
                  14.38398343120619,
                  12.541645594742256,
                  20.245101600952477,
                  20.421425827020485,
                  13.948777217630555
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  13.42425631942694,
                  15.805564691479763,
                  16.480810325171596,
                  25.076688574694494,
                  38.8198505324713,
                  22.363215308701452,
                  15.13250390441144,
                  17.02610885593954,
                  12.915894097162532,
                  12.80179556855848,
                  14.902042605062286,
                  27.355636275117675,
                  16.143975771679195,
                  11.538416695203804,
                  25.573366956224024,
                  12.217136658528927,
                  16.282422446918947,
                  12.945593461965133,
                  15.167423353207825,
                  14.452379060969502,
                  12.948980113794521,
                  12.93981387175146,
                  20.949959176845898,
                  14.995344802899043
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  12.904996569959033,
                  15.439883009669698,
                  16.159396333095156,
                  30.002155498348493,
                  22.128279551953014,
                  17.541784244932863,
                  13.834034998829466,
                  13.559051256968939,
                  13.144461241959426,
                  11.44081572501621,
                  16.10365814777164,
                  15.061827922294817,
                  12.203810338581421,
                  10.218834853157688,
                  27.87620457989062,
                  12.227804970506362,
                  15.577695591933987,
                  11.580680109566593,
                  14.732654751908749,
                  13.69183858775614,
                  11.84601147508678,
                  19.564057360096648,
                  19.74071553356249,
                  13.255808119988123
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45413335609287886,
              "rpss": -0.0018478136375446041,
              "brier_below": 0.22665276176248042,
              "bss_below": 0.0009110452578710015,
              "brier_above": 0.2274805944107151,
              "bss_above": -0.004611828241533722,
              "crps": 17.962166815985423,
              "crpss": -0.08765186977334927,
              "crps_fair": 17.42746580950774,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10115595163553981
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4397098829369218,
                  0.46053743971885336,
                  0.4655491954377454,
                  0.449573831660296,
                  0.647716766777078,
                  0.4505726636724032,
                  0.44228960106858367,
                  0.4734962010961778,
                  0.42431982994425255,
                  0.44262642134206476,
                  0.38335206214460477,
                  0.523195310729209,
                  0.42445235342270404,
                  0.42129535466339574,
                  0.466846583975898,
                  0.3991464025958784,
                  0.4719085655917834,
                  0.42850545504559284,
                  0.4642619468600959,
                  0.44904239337088453,
                  0.4447080062885003,
                  0.4181709546194342,
                  0.4672685475506491,
                  0.44648180853880715
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.450859762187033,
                  0.4615252579407884,
                  0.48195188978473674,
                  0.4899671406267226,
                  0.4866822249422838,
                  0.45104938970310365,
                  0.44505340456925324,
                  0.4451826017329032,
                  0.43698121164797693,
                  0.43816449267304297,
                  0.43153061985811936,
                  0.4665311708633101,
                  0.41455543245551724,
                  0.41400736756299333,
                  0.4866694439614358,
                  0.4163741155867714,
                  0.47430685017421254,
                  0.4333081323328068,
                  0.4637676788813821,
                  0.4549741515638314,
                  0.43848605560736376,
                  0.48647544507953355,
                  0.46333262876860903,
                  0.4525018161642029
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22806977561851388,
                  0.2230488184722659,
                  0.2736189637287853,
                  0.1535400192760636,
                  0.21336615907641965,
                  0.2171486679770994,
                  0.23103830322037303,
                  0.29393429886828326,
                  0.2212439230267122,
                  0.27033168007134173,
                  0.11783322800730682,
                  0.31833500677322313,
                  0.21808362071166587,
                  0.22497547029057435,
                  0.1325381324168818,
                  0.18569874822294405,
                  0.24479144502318514,
                  0.22032454505034166,
                  0.22908271534801314,
                  0.20111114619116965,
                  0.2419436237462015,
                  0.32011969307274857,
                  0.2575751547432284,
                  0.2056193717904974
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.23608353240397922,
                  0.22331054093632516,
                  0.28787705348692194,
                  0.16787043526726309,
                  0.12980597866178595,
                  0.21427952224866478,
                  0.23188434227033447,
                  0.2790337236966665,
                  0.22747905552243575,
                  0.26789379189861234,
                  0.14506829762590923,
                  0.28914503388214846,
                  0.22030745453346431,
                  0.22150001300575947,
                  0.14301966898459437,
                  0.197528447817378,
                  0.24762060355307083,
                  0.2191069646489153,
                  0.22787122597160456,
                  0.2052664928260851,
                  0.23730600527258158,
                  0.36291601407509505,
                  0.2549372233808246,
                  0.20936339489108258
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.21164010783534395,
                  0.23748862158380354,
                  0.19193023142666119,
                  0.2960338117773114,
                  0.43435060466463316,
                  0.23342399609547135,
                  0.21125129729156178,
                  0.17956190207362366,
                  0.20307590631954614,
                  0.17229474079327672,
                  0.2655188337578838,
                  0.20486030527990298,
                  0.2063687327045845,
                  0.19631988401382855,
                  0.3343084533199761,
                  0.21344765428368834,
                  0.22711712062429348,
                  0.20818091017886248,
                  0.23517923180539996,
                  0.247931247489855,
                  0.20276438201937083,
                  0.09805126226498795,
                  0.20969339201227444,
                  0.24086243719265252
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.21477622978305372,
                  0.23821471700446323,
                  0.1940748362978147,
                  0.3220967053594594,
                  0.3568762462804978,
                  0.23676986745443884,
                  0.21316906229891872,
                  0.16614887803623654,
                  0.2095021561255411,
                  0.17027070077443054,
                  0.28646232223221,
                  0.1773861369811614,
                  0.19424797792205284,
                  0.1925073545572339,
                  0.34364977497684135,
                  0.21884566776939335,
                  0.22668624662114165,
                  0.21420116768389152,
                  0.23589645290977745,
                  0.2497076587377463,
                  0.20118005033478217,
                  0.12355943100443835,
                  0.2083954053877844,
                  0.24313842127312024
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.318487598944078,
                  25.454291212613583,
                  27.280039458365778,
                  38.685817101189755,
                  62.81449203648897,
                  31.19464059322655,
                  21.21032544185045,
                  27.364992989653285,
                  21.077587893042576,
                  20.98736108500081,
                  20.86430490231082,
                  39.90420046109922,
                  24.051698452379167,
                  18.00024112393426,
                  30.839493946758,
                  19.311170254582002,
                  26.143383233491534,
                  21.08754863551501,
                  22.225977636464744,
                  23.55832628602656,
                  19.989851720838296,
                  18.370468926662443,
                  31.344987927169864,
                  23.38505337947926
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  20.156414500085216,
                  25.411815233188893,
                  26.732980668871086,
                  45.61593629136217,
                  34.99845443558639,
                  24.030769813999658,
                  20.8018756047614,
                  21.442419816482968,
                  21.815772545904604,
                  18.623549012936948,
                  24.452852751364667,
                  23.489095193174084,
                  19.61687371693912,
                  16.312296204518027,
                  33.59235581081057,
                  19.49142218729408,
                  25.519247293859358,
                  18.984467042431977,
                  22.119269483366466,
                  22.39067857178136,
                  18.705905684634818,
                  31.615072584747956,
                  29.824357357719336,
                  21.1242261595234
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  19.59026789168478,
                  24.72036632647514,
                  26.490363267343,
                  37.85219077664511,
                  62.07314367471035,
                  30.47219342196218,
                  20.446285521942542,
                  26.611753693210364,
                  20.203557410581357,
                  20.140087472258546,
                  20.078494047307395,
                  39.091959946414576,
                  23.21737175901126,
                  17.25332428349299,
                  30.044128408130632,
                  18.478769282819407,
                  25.476171425116785,
                  20.26506456021973,
                  21.391176082017946,
                  22.79700712246538,
                  19.119804329265946,
                  17.565616070507627,
                  30.613105352490003,
                  22.63052449601649
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  19.129409091688686,
                  24.394763235271725,
                  25.718430878218463,
                  44.637149674237,
                  33.999558951310114,
                  23.011102199758266,
                  19.776092660578268,
                  20.417850024215973,
                  20.7919098610797,
                  17.59364045020869,
                  23.43398453662585,
                  22.468401680029608,
                  18.58884645099875,
                  15.278010269046556,
                  32.590797260957075,
                  18.46315732375968,
                  24.502398765754055,
                  17.955242036577765,
                  21.095981603347358,
                  21.36790472412667,
                  17.676153100451447,
                  30.60976918029965,
                  28.81566244715923,
                  20.099053727754583
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45437614912715896,
              "rpss": -0.001910036682416738,
              "brier_below": 0.22680718794682667,
              "bss_below": 0.0005695989134217871,
              "brier_above": 0.2275689611170331,
              "bss_above": -0.004393644398806851,
              "crps": 26.47769759571196,
              "crpss": -0.0828067391500038,
              "crps_fair": 25.692613609253737,
              "crpss_fair": -0.09638332984054965
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4349608610056117,
                  0.45025535354517693,
                  0.48378660376065685,
                  0.4372162999940155,
                  0.478612567269408,
                  0.42966077426625626,
                  0.4213838887580962,
                  0.4922491007195472,
                  0.5029824051831998
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.46150612689453524,
                  0.4626658144476092,
                  0.5025804129424258,
                  0.43502336299626376,
                  0.4930044547546616,
                  0.4410305783704811,
                  0.42966910195677144,
                  0.46558066615845484,
                  0.49008091239695556
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3100154951283283,
                  0.16767859333269244,
                  0.13969176948215462,
                  0.2113530593502735,
                  0.316649971855762,
                  0.16379583860252897,
                  0.1643605364140668,
                  0.28492378094476556,
                  0.3362661115948973
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3246500440152092,
                  0.17376216083560342,
                  0.14150667980580747,
                  0.20954887915290052,
                  0.3264773200055234,
                  0.16810893020695689,
                  0.16881064921101296,
                  0.27246380987490737,
                  0.3299942872697695
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.12494537958941167,
                  0.282576749476316,
                  0.3440948109205194,
                  0.22586324005209021,
                  0.16196260436387735,
                  0.26586492906112924,
                  0.2570233468083317,
                  0.20732532504511286,
                  0.16671630615202207
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.136856098063274,
                  0.28890364160773263,
                  0.361073708469447,
                  0.22547448318110808,
                  0.1665271446274894,
                  0.2729216390372266,
                  0.2608584457967457,
                  0.19311686140728634,
                  0.1600866363387469
                ],
                "crps": [
                  12.410595145606802,
                  17.473712126553675,
                  31.359573688416024,
                  16.59678240187318,
                  16.128451118743186,
                  20.785190967051612,
                  15.351894447412889,
                  20.795797041597265,
                  24.315286570050162
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  15.700401532825092,
                  19.52059946533759,
                  33.764405017577104,
                  12.932496997007894,
                  16.79718613420036,
                  18.755591556502175,
                  15.912054597416416,
                  17.050032759603326,
                  21.158292552905177
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  12.152711885625452,
                  17.187306908947168,
                  31.06511276397035,
                  16.28831386700675,
                  15.849657088416539,
                  20.4580730553896,
                  15.030833293101962,
                  20.510665911911623,
                  24.00209847396424
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  15.040963232872253,
                  18.86116116538475,
                  33.104966717624265,
                  12.27305869705505,
                  16.137747834247513,
                  18.096153256549343,
                  15.252616297463575,
                  16.390594459650487,
                  20.49885425295233
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4590119838335521,
              "rpss": 0.011966487439579954,
              "brier_below": 0.23274835074505218,
              "bss_below": 0.009732606322708337,
              "brier_above": 0.2262636323854234,
              "bss_above": 0.014253897329600473,
              "crps": 19.4685870563672,
              "crpss": -0.021132935952299814,
              "crps_fair": 19.171641472037077,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04158408095309141
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42764282858366914,
                  0.4537373746172356,
                  0.4772050860306166,
                  0.446025381779208,
                  0.48879708133522004,
                  0.4262713179812428,
                  0.43125584049217386,
                  0.46719191396918375,
                  0.5286077842518367
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45769367006987244,
                  0.4755203948622137,
                  0.4811101251311695,
                  0.4300069750745694,
                  0.4984073288033246,
                  0.46319140730076575,
                  0.4441441730320768,
                  0.4502549831923129,
                  0.5174119902158631
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.32036822209210597,
                  0.12141398647192628,
                  0.14183577140808393,
                  0.21428176590116485,
                  0.31989892572254,
                  0.12367582872764073,
                  0.14498867410224797,
                  0.21065001001932224,
                  0.3626468524212188
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.33624054857895364,
                  0.13034703789124324,
                  0.14150255915284246,
                  0.20534244397314746,
                  0.32556627067102445,
                  0.1385010427273907,
                  0.1500687330846873,
                  0.20117515044933712,
                  0.3575934610104493
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.10727462250632235,
                  0.33232336742974017,
                  0.3353692942850468,
                  0.23174361545476516,
                  0.16889816347754552,
                  0.30259547374126783,
                  0.2862671543007255,
                  0.25654189829697005,
                  0.16596094444645637
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.12145313950983586,
                  0.3451733349855966,
                  0.3396075449881942,
                  0.22466453066470288,
                  0.17284106696233917,
                  0.32469034625064525,
                  0.2940754270990343,
                  0.24907982794046105,
                  0.1598185403640623
                ],
                "crps": [
                  18.17635739991618,
                  27.388410443352605,
                  39.036351504080315,
                  25.59804028326562,
                  24.95542355383372,
                  27.81087068187689,
                  24.25667817744363,
                  32.456844342142695,
                  37.35299340926518
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  22.615515028016496,
                  30.53489796162619,
                  38.777499865947725,
                  19.653326601885357,
                  25.013487121265083,
                  28.57253141714021,
                  25.252740444348085,
                  26.362905926529372,
                  34.60429039008409
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  17.790871231917333,
                  26.9663217516014,
                  38.62669441819327,
                  25.160635662184696,
                  24.53902751040219,
                  27.368697624714414,
                  23.78564984664622,
                  32.03520990535107,
                  36.898313850938415
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  21.639099628479247,
                  29.55848256208893,
                  37.80108446641048,
                  18.67691120234811,
                  24.037071721727834,
                  27.596116017602963,
                  24.276325044810836,
                  25.38649052699212,
                  33.62787499054684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4607482898933763,
              "rpss": 0.01683518211266255,
              "brier_below": 0.21775111520736118,
              "bss_below": 0.013380009213315724,
              "brier_above": 0.2429971704376489,
              "bss_above": 0.019910885536297607,
              "crps": 28.55910775501965,
              "crpss": -0.022454505066553665,
              "crps_fair": 28.130157977994333,
              "crpss_fair": -0.043577862078657104
            }
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "Jul": {
      "tag": "init05_Jul",
      "methods": {
        "mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.5926510206817323,
            "training": [
              0.6100512078913378,
              0.595816578456791,
              0.5775165191613303,
              0.57108981817688,
              0.5469699087912113,
              0.6178734415660837,
              0.5995625885389196,
              0.587895046865153,
              0.6138807103886132,
              0.6177590223898641,
              0.5368788329098079,
              0.5492428230232147,
              0.5906578719960759,
              0.5957146731002142,
              0.6239183443914368,
              0.5856456720311399,
              0.5743860118486894,
              0.598294074835067,
              0.5934850480528829,
              0.6295050491299057,
              0.6055613030472963,
              0.5969297999378175,
              0.649423866892743,
              0.5555662829390987
            ],
            "test": 0.6106692312127371
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42588799332395094,
                  0.44685122092913226,
                  0.45270312920250516,
                  0.494517874973582,
                  0.47461312871494826,
                  0.44480648745120194,
                  0.44602160769111493,
                  0.391001987767469,
                  0.40025911745484827,
                  0.4396603703860476,
                  0.49651113921306184,
                  0.5129248468957801,
                  0.3889691039387491,
                  0.4374974329465398,
                  0.4011762291433899,
                  0.43506244956023477,
                  0.47188798054973546,
                  0.45011709529888005,
                  0.4635988747316125,
                  0.43697022996014234,
                  0.44530113428949447,
                  0.4629530944351337,
                  0.4070807450395527,
                  0.48543311455228055
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4754016819136036,
                  0.4698987852691481,
                  0.4475722931876876,
                  0.45452035553745596,
                  0.45257039479879513,
                  0.47044392511759964,
                  0.4542944276806166,
                  0.40943755938485,
                  0.4371667600138314,
                  0.47263230769926734,
                  0.4303065355231145,
                  0.454595990277518,
                  0.3959257285293265,
                  0.4434645496740271,
                  0.4412507991961764,
                  0.435170437641651,
                  0.46944879844205245,
                  0.4520639211186838,
                  0.4716870174931902,
                  0.4802945203904019,
                  0.4668563967515232,
                  0.4722071384657149,
                  0.4700629053401188,
                  0.4416277853045537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.27673328461089397,
                  0.16775019859790208,
                  0.23718211912626735,
                  0.20243225252102015,
                  0.2711196602479812,
                  0.15843290829455117,
                  0.19298091669843762,
                  0.2192964997344229,
                  0.17963287454813556,
                  0.2897490553440735,
                  0.2794320265048901,
                  0.3060437825398533,
                  0.19441285798830402,
                  0.24683732389187368,
                  0.15906508216596416,
                  0.17693186062650304,
                  0.3287791905335967,
                  0.14985651837368355,
                  0.2252233505599244,
                  0.1489858680980979,
                  0.14470207943484395,
                  0.30665117949382104,
                  0.2677110441062208,
                  0.23161519916593432
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3078804322691799,
                  0.1772720877647993,
                  0.23250880823643677,
                  0.18364157998711608,
                  0.25298088487778414,
                  0.16740053832617655,
                  0.19875490361406287,
                  0.23070092354944458,
                  0.19835315818041957,
                  0.3046158566400611,
                  0.2547128368467289,
                  0.2754668354354953,
                  0.19677990497580344,
                  0.24932954530109538,
                  0.18175769604553224,
                  0.17303074498633814,
                  0.3240234689536009,
                  0.14982223006986983,
                  0.23057761248348646,
                  0.17130633492700192,
                  0.15271106939309373,
                  0.30644077557443045,
                  0.3037858009356,
                  0.21743539710448076
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14915470820075621,
                  0.2791010240212569,
                  0.2155210086661721,
                  0.2920856224506783,
                  0.2034934674188353,
                  0.28637357997194907,
                  0.2530406910140996,
                  0.17170548726259027,
                  0.22062624318632423,
                  0.14991131406921462,
                  0.21707911355079898,
                  0.20688106466207232,
                  0.1945562449993451,
                  0.19066010814780712,
                  0.24211114694402147,
                  0.258130589867036,
                  0.14310878755921022,
                  0.3002605795451933,
                  0.23837552477516938,
                  0.28798436348802137,
                  0.30059905707149187,
                  0.156301914005236,
                  0.13936970144943636,
                  0.2538179170335537
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16752124964442372,
                  0.2926266975043488,
                  0.21506348495125072,
                  0.2708787755503398,
                  0.1995895099210109,
                  0.3030433867914231,
                  0.2555395240665538,
                  0.17873663583540544,
                  0.23881360183341188,
                  0.1680164510592061,
                  0.17559369867638552,
                  0.1791291548420226,
                  0.1991458235535231,
                  0.1941350043729317,
                  0.2594931031506441,
                  0.26213969265531295,
                  0.1454253294884514,
                  0.30224169104881393,
                  0.24110940500970388,
                  0.3089881854633999,
                  0.31414532735842937,
                  0.16576636289128455,
                  0.16627710440451882,
                  0.22419238820007306
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.482693774500667,
                  27.940476972540807,
                  22.52153698616913,
                  28.832458053473875,
                  25.941217552726428,
                  29.01836432519126,
                  23.917228399300377,
                  15.173241041633222,
                  16.496873691676726,
                  17.400601978596054,
                  23.36769813512374,
                  22.924471662989625,
                  15.513960414534713,
                  16.820271767384867,
                  18.297242937337927,
                  18.62281203470445,
                  22.686349497453563,
                  18.95058714616003,
                  24.252371567748714,
                  21.08252063769633,
                  22.91978261430172,
                  23.47233153568504,
                  32.877678762598656,
                  24.631610113096194
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.613106129562965,
                  29.397864976210336,
                  21.926969342234923,
                  24.443182328369915,
                  23.799442768719484,
                  27.188641472953417,
                  23.53383296202524,
                  14.853438063071343,
                  18.566426770436173,
                  19.66238774209615,
                  15.276449953495895,
                  17.30546875341423,
                  15.311758068701987,
                  16.585118321907462,
                  20.610952753353995,
                  18.456897804883226,
                  21.311808216556564,
                  18.864772006483992,
                  24.22745453814933,
                  25.980309080969267,
                  25.35510595105101,
                  24.545857790902712,
                  41.67248951423064,
                  18.164010610584267
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.721439503792705,
                  27.23709873500615,
                  21.79372381039453,
                  28.06496517010204,
                  25.165566473977492,
                  28.228647619487163,
                  23.170248764255895,
                  14.394618645487295,
                  15.808528181614953,
                  16.620208932204385,
                  22.53847514134449,
                  22.11009669216872,
                  14.680451718960464,
                  16.039017799884075,
                  17.4892551035115,
                  17.841788469599376,
                  21.905344451660447,
                  18.07911438338759,
                  23.44831679313811,
                  20.325281891490157,
                  22.139066247280898,
                  22.741715439045652,
                  32.120218017647964,
                  23.791087238362284
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.694914714706677,
                  28.484947725836346,
                  20.999902668311726,
                  23.520881209344694,
                  22.875922445982813,
                  26.271540087156584,
                  22.609809590412247,
                  13.912974549604273,
                  17.632995432551223,
                  18.73103208786966,
                  14.336787598912204,
                  16.369649237466756,
                  14.372162585548612,
                  15.647934505900317,
                  19.681393623770038,
                  17.52325902577564,
                  20.383576464743825,
                  17.931905716394613,
                  23.30474484376386,
                  25.060919186854285,
                  24.43453196009906,
                  23.623751132980786,
                  40.78281965881499,
                  17.229817120881425
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4463252661853912,
              "rpss": 0.014453588830031228,
              "brier_below": 0.22339821388363315,
              "bss_below": 0.014653198354576569,
              "brier_above": 0.22292705247334457,
              "bss_above": 0.01425347552130507,
              "crps": 22.381015900109336,
              "crpss": -0.006541012236763066,
              "crps_fair": 21.60226146765852,
              "crpss_fair": -0.013758021163890577,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00265,
                    0.228475,
                    0.525024,
                    0.20898,
                    0.033809,
                    0.001063,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1955,
                    0.2636,
                    0.3489,
                    0.4367,
                    0.5369,
                    0.6107,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.416,
                    0.2613,
                    0.3446,
                    0.4367,
                    0.4114,
                    0.5166,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.007124,
                    0.246944,
                    0.56039,
                    0.161526,
                    0.022848,
                    0.001168,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1988,
                    0.268,
                    0.3461,
                    0.4392,
                    0.5333,
                    0.6082,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4858,
                    0.2335,
                    0.3714,
                    0.4299,
                    0.2865,
                    0.2361,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42657954077473276,
                  0.4554957348050951,
                  0.44806738712932986,
                  0.49821513149802554,
                  0.4108389020755935,
                  0.47323236772865707,
                  0.4607624927285179,
                  0.3917720256340232,
                  0.39660843005319274,
                  0.43818632955227543,
                  0.46996791959475154,
                  0.5022966731622448,
                  0.393657610730164,
                  0.4290756713495724,
                  0.3969026294406622,
                  0.4412919550000389,
                  0.47042545600763147,
                  0.4307345235160684,
                  0.4486746575657061,
                  0.421495476993576,
                  0.43701430056959456,
                  0.46100248875294947,
                  0.40867121374916165,
                  0.42141155143113546
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4708394260755114,
                  0.478347266080356,
                  0.45538422746879303,
                  0.459058972330508,
                  0.4576620419554788,
                  0.4731696930221518,
                  0.4667027713068357,
                  0.40033314926296837,
                  0.4269632323273467,
                  0.47402716162226893,
                  0.42746598323848156,
                  0.4504271403690195,
                  0.40120899735641075,
                  0.42992826073816515,
                  0.4295731135867868,
                  0.45389937720701334,
                  0.464329174189181,
                  0.43688310391500257,
                  0.4544141148747783,
                  0.48318259866850327,
                  0.47262088435117405,
                  0.4869104538041862,
                  0.4927855011868216,
                  0.4253640867477962
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2716487373118802,
                  0.1799075026972347,
                  0.25987947887925855,
                  0.20602666269142716,
                  0.27368951638978883,
                  0.17737230256406095,
                  0.22032498049600113,
                  0.19950497154868257,
                  0.14124676398167785,
                  0.28695324012196183,
                  0.2574414722561404,
                  0.28305612111905143,
                  0.1950893020862671,
                  0.2129673119968818,
                  0.16699694934648962,
                  0.17085059413897094,
                  0.31932706383276416,
                  0.15585868388131133,
                  0.23534967002870189,
                  0.10791825624884686,
                  0.13368961428287388,
                  0.3425033439802072,
                  0.2856932325749878,
                  0.1695985416409709
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3014181688717181,
                  0.19043828142969435,
                  0.2621352098296086,
                  0.189211357423254,
                  0.29646647218334904,
                  0.1763031653097088,
                  0.22490333867954082,
                  0.20427330506010077,
                  0.15400796871896968,
                  0.30561580770909275,
                  0.2387426263229863,
                  0.25381385295644204,
                  0.19826391217931327,
                  0.2127100821035814,
                  0.1864847383371641,
                  0.17554851753521306,
                  0.31069878617163244,
                  0.15976518026133896,
                  0.23943647892764403,
                  0.13596964382400945,
                  0.15004019014661238,
                  0.3525530292328047,
                  0.338807101099202,
                  0.18090576234657507
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15493080292716468,
                  0.2755882338874692,
                  0.18818790642001954,
                  0.2921884682290443,
                  0.13714938576905972,
                  0.29586006650966395,
                  0.24043751182015216,
                  0.19226705392065893,
                  0.2553616664382067,
                  0.15123308837589186,
                  0.2125264473601047,
                  0.21924055278565005,
                  0.1985683081405156,
                  0.21610835921448113,
                  0.22990568008776238,
                  0.2704413621947569,
                  0.1510983895231922,
                  0.27487584217629285,
                  0.21332498681950113,
                  0.31357722273009675,
                  0.3033246890922388,
                  0.11849914336051269,
                  0.12297798131800801,
                  0.25181301086324015
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16942125720379314,
                  0.28790898465066145,
                  0.1932490176391843,
                  0.26984761490725384,
                  0.16119556977212962,
                  0.2968665277124429,
                  0.2417994326272948,
                  0.1960598442028676,
                  0.27295526360837696,
                  0.16841135391317605,
                  0.18872335691549524,
                  0.19661328741257744,
                  0.20294508517709747,
                  0.21721817863458368,
                  0.24308837524962262,
                  0.2783508596718001,
                  0.15363038801754828,
                  0.27711792365366356,
                  0.2149776359471342,
                  0.3472129548444936,
                  0.3225806942045614,
                  0.13435742457138128,
                  0.15397840008761954,
                  0.24445832440122106
                ],
                "crps": [
                  36.71010828032192,
                  44.66664837817304,
                  34.29750508779699,
                  45.26305790049344,
                  37.94320005882968,
                  47.708127965964636,
                  38.50816378824799,
                  24.264130229281015,
                  26.855795564182433,
                  28.456337902979893,
                  35.31648663441433,
                  36.48881690532429,
                  24.49428781599746,
                  27.021877343621107,
                  27.62029493932168,
                  29.799703227631802,
                  34.64670222949509,
                  27.60961226762986,
                  36.53944692268807,
                  30.218639925583616,
                  36.62116906078915,
                  37.838316784115804,
                  54.8344729785443,
                  33.777684276937556
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.18653222448657,
                  46.84531125433672,
                  34.54432198123997,
                  39.348572475319074,
                  38.036972805317745,
                  43.60338146746455,
                  38.085883059957226,
                  23.826258832192412,
                  29.89978054903974,
                  31.738181364810576,
                  24.43088871098674,
                  27.83268008310316,
                  24.65712467841512,
                  26.46699035284445,
                  30.59299785477991,
                  30.304948845204205,
                  32.919233990306296,
                  27.674921508143957,
                  36.33860707613447,
                  38.60628169474539,
                  41.339344183302146,
                  39.82018386333356,
                  70.64179962667183,
                  27.64414578747141
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  35.49030839273034,
                  43.5794987576199,
                  33.166719609181406,
                  44.05773621732999,
                  36.65789591682358,
                  46.48143548418989,
                  37.35466047317338,
                  23.058228161100164,
                  25.805222988286424,
                  27.20863164741662,
                  34.07787341840587,
                  35.24729361392101,
                  23.21204761905182,
                  25.806282580360826,
                  26.381047378252973,
                  28.588664151807684,
                  33.445871157002706,
                  26.267509933578513,
                  35.31047855947082,
                  29.046179697182083,
                  35.41813201187001,
                  36.67859001791879,
                  53.62784327536818,
                  32.51215850712134
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.728326247149674,
                  45.39782266152604,
                  33.07353606026055,
                  37.88688551360875,
                  36.57280175332332,
                  42.149752856118134,
                  36.62180464102082,
                  22.335173549188287,
                  28.420198148075094,
                  30.262080783572767,
                  22.94094856032881,
                  26.34918271913484,
                  23.167613004968228,
                  24.9809064552961,
                  29.114728365379165,
                  28.826133808436836,
                  31.445370251162224,
                  26.19112535899579,
                  34.87121942238024,
                  37.143188879283976,
                  39.88142762255391,
                  38.359390105009616,
                  69.23938014062692,
                  26.160291350973484
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4388491862434458,
              "rpss": 0.031191727255194812,
              "brier_below": 0.21887059642068496,
              "bss_below": 0.03413040721971905,
              "brier_above": 0.21997858999848685,
              "bss_above": 0.028250047116571197,
              "crps": 34.89585776951521,
              "crpss": 0.010497296369078035,
              "crps_fair": 33.686679565381844,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0032535025703505083,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.001048,
                    0.239911,
                    0.555958,
                    0.177867,
                    0.024411,
                    0.000806,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1955,
                    0.2654,
                    0.3476,
                    0.4327,
                    0.5387,
                    0.6123,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4279,
                    0.2471,
                    0.3357,
                    0.4855,
                    0.57,
                    0.5009,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00538,
                    0.25079,
                    0.57802,
                    0.148112,
                    0.017093,
                    0.000605,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1988,
                    0.2675,
                    0.3457,
                    0.4383,
                    0.5362,
                    0.6059,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2988,
                    0.2194,
                    0.3702,
                    0.47,
                    0.3495,
                    0.1665,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4303990630032854,
                  0.48883273752116907,
                  0.4274946172472285,
                  0.4189539007955016,
                  0.4619348218954403,
                  0.48776503404572213,
                  0.39702737577638353,
                  0.40043208810661274,
                  0.49120206600846494
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4392667893930284,
                  0.47209024474380396,
                  0.4563295774817628,
                  0.4676949686529568,
                  0.46440251426226875,
                  0.44306773857298026,
                  0.4754913821954125,
                  0.4978762127486338,
                  0.46473262279411304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20187533761044676,
                  0.32605530216177503,
                  0.18124971931934203,
                  0.13926550437019175,
                  0.1696826764252812,
                  0.24345486260515423,
                  0.24315912531843728,
                  0.12171868080478114,
                  0.2999037319910149
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20840800414252633,
                  0.3211528412581965,
                  0.18588896696747403,
                  0.1529691839704525,
                  0.16918637749027593,
                  0.22647917630868836,
                  0.29670790679502046,
                  0.14687399037084822,
                  0.2847919519536404
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22852372461103002,
                  0.16277744821465115,
                  0.24624488979348053,
                  0.27968838509631094,
                  0.2922521336124251,
                  0.24431017670997454,
                  0.15386825519759972,
                  0.2787133899678268,
                  0.19129834488906391
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23085878370616417,
                  0.15093741623232468,
                  0.27044060189216984,
                  0.31472576814158004,
                  0.2952161237196651,
                  0.21658856327166845,
                  0.17878348316784407,
                  0.3510021993501296,
                  0.17994067840100206
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.524702056982694,
                  25.575187445813953,
                  19.115546157570822,
                  21.43113471840379,
                  21.907739823466546,
                  28.00758906142912,
                  17.711067275457317,
                  24.38189701505056,
                  23.83627893021768
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.251323675318027,
                  22.462373750235535,
                  22.429096847378236,
                  21.013467579334527,
                  21.05169122929241,
                  20.436541798871772,
                  21.23268013317464,
                  31.69290548699711,
                  20.84021936433369
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.1449656090025,
                  25.18117625383928,
                  18.713567366857102,
                  20.997979168162594,
                  21.51878793889323,
                  27.58790519505037,
                  17.315267172734934,
                  23.93288263207314,
                  23.423018269305796
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.36344490244705,
                  21.574494977364562,
                  21.54121807450725,
                  20.125588806463544,
                  20.163812456421432,
                  19.548663026000803,
                  20.344801360303663,
                  30.805026714126136,
                  19.95234059146272
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44489352271108973,
              "rpss": 0.04231341194391358,
              "brier_below": 0.21404054895626937,
              "bss_below": 0.03317181361244026,
              "brier_above": 0.2308529720102625,
              "bss_above": 0.0506361402586154,
              "crps": 22.499015831599163,
              "crpss": -0.00039939973168601206,
              "crps_fair": 22.090616622879885,
              "crpss_fair": -0.022611729603027486,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.384468,
                    0.471475,
                    0.136372,
                    0.007684,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2632,
                    0.3401,
                    0.4319,
                    0.5147,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2668,
                    0.3221,
                    0.5147,
                    0.8095,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.180829,
                    0.513026,
                    0.264399,
                    0.041746,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2719,
                    0.3489,
                    0.4381,
                    0.5226,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2302,
                    0.3859,
                    0.4997,
                    0.5857,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4420817196769809,
                  0.47359430638379585,
                  0.4123858901222616,
                  0.42285432034966725,
                  0.4607455745717758,
                  0.489650301194844,
                  0.4176135079212374,
                  0.41794169896074485,
                  0.4927634861097024
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45375860413458485,
                  0.45298996440830325,
                  0.4431570365814314,
                  0.45029456864798206,
                  0.45806327538229014,
                  0.4543204749095515,
                  0.470672671598715,
                  0.4932554758488676,
                  0.46455214735141936
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.19808698891116755,
                  0.3078855762094465,
                  0.19912131946923425,
                  0.1546004871916416,
                  0.17586648956462203,
                  0.24426886302646098,
                  0.22924617167228714,
                  0.136334830930803,
                  0.30179286466883504
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2051677757555093,
                  0.2983593853982372,
                  0.20938553817015962,
                  0.16496000983722006,
                  0.1741714573544431,
                  0.2285609758239909,
                  0.26339413622632507,
                  0.15647499638411203,
                  0.28182460076839555
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24399472698723274,
                  0.16570874212256162,
                  0.21326456855369502,
                  0.26825382585721846,
                  0.28487907500322274,
                  0.24538144078798999,
                  0.18836733632810293,
                  0.28160685238669164,
                  0.19097063136914955
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2485908236640017,
                  0.154630591096392,
                  0.2337714963461003,
                  0.28533454752539783,
                  0.28389180700046496,
                  0.22575949845304602,
                  0.20727853804452892,
                  0.336780458980145,
                  0.18272755364522117
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.525911617938775,
                  38.77484341373952,
                  28.22283953377841,
                  30.726174884179596,
                  34.6053332378415,
                  41.6374972582704,
                  29.069638108042184,
                  36.00854973630009,
                  37.43373104736258
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  33.004803964257825,
                  34.46939391673293,
                  32.65658052025425,
                  29.032738395322635,
                  33.148159551740136,
                  33.11616337741962,
                  33.59207713414676,
                  46.2020167224791,
                  32.25661943021509
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  30.936791338581962,
                  38.17105457312771,
                  27.606203646264845,
                  30.076226036848844,
                  34.00233122538846,
                  41.01038459402966,
                  28.432206732983285,
                  35.343228820801514,
                  36.80859838081841
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  31.596610755475933,
                  33.06120070795104,
                  31.24838731147235,
                  27.62454518654074,
                  31.73996634295824,
                  31.707970168637708,
                  32.18388392536486,
                  44.7938235136972,
                  30.848426221433186
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44773675614344555,
              "rpss": 0.026909366211840036,
              "brier_below": 0.21635595462716645,
              "bss_below": 0.01770433535718785,
              "brier_above": 0.23138079993287386,
              "bss_above": 0.03536193343373528,
              "crps": 34.22272431527256,
              "crpss": -0.0017105772735412916,
              "crps_fair": 33.598558372093855,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02571942808192773,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.3807,
                    0.50851,
                    0.109591,
                    0.0012,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2661,
                    0.3397,
                    0.4312,
                    0.5097,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2813,
                    0.3266,
                    0.4865,
                    0.778,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.199752,
                    0.538549,
                    0.233906,
                    0.027794,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2733,
                    0.3477,
                    0.4356,
                    0.5228,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2714,
                    0.3802,
                    0.4769,
                    0.5654,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "ls": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6197710409926375,
            "training": [
              0.6363266242734472,
              0.6238679085290194,
              0.6073020004976287,
              0.6025118697026134,
              0.5781980703656345,
              0.6450021585125444,
              0.6217558609487716,
              0.6168001980401139,
              0.6384129809698101,
              0.6411569446648452,
              0.5696133923136842,
              0.5811454844102617,
              0.6189253276246501,
              0.6261705547248861,
              0.6498385739877184,
              0.6111422987303996,
              0.6030374319592404,
              0.6215482454026617,
              0.6224745504570942,
              0.6520620657519688,
              0.6309923661506657,
              0.6190183310543541,
              0.669287695834105,
              0.587914048917182
            ],
            "test": 0.6413603980437893
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42043129861034695,
                  0.44994867919338644,
                  0.455375359746824,
                  0.4903906193759509,
                  0.47275598369036675,
                  0.4439539706764827,
                  0.45362779812857473,
                  0.3924757012336325,
                  0.40923684142676686,
                  0.43825237599981404,
                  0.48734938664923777,
                  0.5027615418342274,
                  0.3868429408482158,
                  0.4327325694324266,
                  0.4051999531831657,
                  0.43891284036950157,
                  0.4705119775232188,
                  0.4512756063944674,
                  0.4641027473033283,
                  0.44579789539293024,
                  0.4525852364109411,
                  0.4700683453754626,
                  0.41377909954839587,
                  0.48143256244891364
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4754016819136036,
                  0.4698987852691481,
                  0.4475722931876876,
                  0.45452035553745596,
                  0.45257039479879513,
                  0.47044392511759964,
                  0.4542944276806166,
                  0.40943755938485,
                  0.4371667600138314,
                  0.47263230769926734,
                  0.4303065355231145,
                  0.454595990277518,
                  0.3959257285293265,
                  0.4434645496740271,
                  0.4412507991961764,
                  0.435170437641651,
                  0.46944879844205245,
                  0.4520639211186838,
                  0.4716870174931902,
                  0.4802945203904019,
                  0.4668563967515232,
                  0.4722071384657149,
                  0.4700629053401188,
                  0.4416277853045537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.27291054588605074,
                  0.16734831123509178,
                  0.24188544658786074,
                  0.19860305566596825,
                  0.273962175994721,
                  0.153549244991866,
                  0.19719236739184456,
                  0.21903526999922815,
                  0.1801522596529584,
                  0.29030853665516015,
                  0.27572077863487476,
                  0.3026534839183041,
                  0.19224546185440955,
                  0.2386373420886735,
                  0.16419213020710452,
                  0.17615188604332094,
                  0.3332217555776957,
                  0.14875220833340758,
                  0.22839181284427787,
                  0.14961700982161144,
                  0.14260506098880235,
                  0.31765583048428575,
                  0.27357125139871485,
                  0.22821121692502355
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3078804322691799,
                  0.1772720877647993,
                  0.23250880823643677,
                  0.18364157998711608,
                  0.25298088487778414,
                  0.16740053832617655,
                  0.19875490361406287,
                  0.23070092354944458,
                  0.19835315818041957,
                  0.3046158566400611,
                  0.2547128368467289,
                  0.2754668354354953,
                  0.19677990497580344,
                  0.24932954530109538,
                  0.18175769604553224,
                  0.17303074498633814,
                  0.3240234689536009,
                  0.14982223006986983,
                  0.23057761248348646,
                  0.17130633492700192,
                  0.15271106939309373,
                  0.30644077557443045,
                  0.3037858009356,
                  0.21743539710448076
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14752075266586837,
                  0.2826003689082767,
                  0.2134899126103652,
                  0.2917875637051313,
                  0.19879380671044836,
                  0.2904047254622193,
                  0.2564354303297847,
                  0.1734404307491177,
                  0.22908458183160285,
                  0.14794383922047163,
                  0.21162860938761777,
                  0.20010805866880083,
                  0.19459747874508934,
                  0.19409522664550685,
                  0.24100782348007022,
                  0.2627609554397813,
                  0.1372902207002551,
                  0.30252339980469106,
                  0.2357109352303274,
                  0.29618088701870304,
                  0.30998017657512933,
                  0.15241251480261175,
                  0.1402078488077551,
                  0.2532213471190901
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16752124964442372,
                  0.2926266975043488,
                  0.21506348495125072,
                  0.2708787755503398,
                  0.1995895099210109,
                  0.3030433867914231,
                  0.2555395240665538,
                  0.17873663583540544,
                  0.23881360183341188,
                  0.1680164510592061,
                  0.17559369867638552,
                  0.1791291548420226,
                  0.1991458235535231,
                  0.1941350043729317,
                  0.2594931031506441,
                  0.26213969265531295,
                  0.1454253294884514,
                  0.30224169104881393,
                  0.24110940500970388,
                  0.3089881854633999,
                  0.31414532735842937,
                  0.16576636289128455,
                  0.16627710440451882,
                  0.22419238820007306
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.011249758323377,
                  28.596373782339096,
                  23.13923363726873,
                  28.538948401886945,
                  26.663859793264635,
                  28.644847127899766,
                  25.414251574725682,
                  15.30166572075432,
                  17.877922315597417,
                  18.2434808197948,
                  23.88499433533563,
                  22.559039984432268,
                  15.016083676969467,
                  16.913621065991855,
                  18.045711454945085,
                  19.61952121263256,
                  22.121357813086824,
                  19.52957304396462,
                  24.194907867187307,
                  21.07335723069831,
                  24.962553161602457,
                  25.414743781061752,
                  34.691711788468744,
                  25.60241084440192
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.613106129562965,
                  29.397864976210336,
                  21.926969342234923,
                  24.443182328369915,
                  23.799442768719484,
                  27.188641472953417,
                  23.53383296202524,
                  14.853438063071343,
                  18.566426770436173,
                  19.66238774209615,
                  15.276449953495895,
                  17.30546875341423,
                  15.311758068701987,
                  16.585118321907462,
                  20.610952753353995,
                  18.456897804883226,
                  21.311808216556564,
                  18.864772006483992,
                  24.22745453814933,
                  25.980309080969267,
                  25.35510595105101,
                  24.545857790902712,
                  41.67248951423064,
                  18.164010610584267
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.314420189987104,
                  27.949424066760404,
                  22.47750968227383,
                  27.85093165713003,
                  26.01662710832004,
                  27.925714944405836,
                  24.729080945046523,
                  14.587656302917726,
                  17.24598712856532,
                  17.550305444908837,
                  23.117588450374257,
                  21.817809831730617,
                  14.281622079944494,
                  16.210396094187526,
                  17.30267870148311,
                  18.9162011525368,
                  21.39144461805365,
                  18.765703625377757,
                  23.459309532200002,
                  20.385699566883172,
                  24.253753406251068,
                  24.756159687585416,
                  33.99049156321843,
                  24.833336626189983
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.694914714706677,
                  28.484947725836346,
                  20.999902668311726,
                  23.520881209344694,
                  22.875922445982813,
                  26.271540087156584,
                  22.609809590412247,
                  13.912974549604273,
                  17.632995432551223,
                  18.73103208786966,
                  14.336787598912204,
                  16.369649237466756,
                  14.372162585548612,
                  15.647934505900317,
                  19.681393623770038,
                  17.52325902577564,
                  20.383576464743825,
                  17.931905716394613,
                  23.30474484376386,
                  25.060919186854285,
                  24.43453196009906,
                  23.623751132980786,
                  40.78281965881499,
                  17.229817120881425
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4470750554498575,
              "rpss": 0.012797952963739978,
              "brier_below": 0.22360726846588566,
              "bss_below": 0.013731117285033512,
              "brier_above": 0.2234677872757798,
              "bss_above": 0.011862435733844046,
              "crps": 22.877559174693065,
              "crpss": -0.028872043698852545,
              "crps_fair": 22.172077183597168,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04049852023075351,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.282288,
                    0.493518,
                    0.193286,
                    0.030566,
                    0.000342,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2655,
                    0.3485,
                    0.4381,
                    0.5314,
                    0.607,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2749,
                    0.3499,
                    0.4284,
                    0.4698,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.307483,
                    0.526509,
                    0.144604,
                    0.020888,
                    0.000515,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2685,
                    0.3453,
                    0.4387,
                    0.5372,
                    0.6044,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2493,
                    0.383,
                    0.4199,
                    0.3086,
                    0.1335,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42874739902915393,
                  0.45999721075403865,
                  0.4510680659299524,
                  0.49176496799718433,
                  0.41546836440613516,
                  0.469183828619038,
                  0.46906468541713314,
                  0.387624221307762,
                  0.40290295945456805,
                  0.44230983430047777,
                  0.46321505370010235,
                  0.4920001478189859,
                  0.38826059757266546,
                  0.4251155361835528,
                  0.3977102308253688,
                  0.4475046812703295,
                  0.46645358878389864,
                  0.4315358866372343,
                  0.4463192319580281,
                  0.4312840206538116,
                  0.4509643525388984,
                  0.46952257707314815,
                  0.4164945530530211,
                  0.42051014850518287
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4708394260755114,
                  0.478347266080356,
                  0.45538422746879303,
                  0.459058972330508,
                  0.4576620419554788,
                  0.4731696930221518,
                  0.4667027713068357,
                  0.40033314926296837,
                  0.4269632323273467,
                  0.47402716162226893,
                  0.42746598323848156,
                  0.4504271403690195,
                  0.40120899735641075,
                  0.42992826073816515,
                  0.4295731135867868,
                  0.45389937720701334,
                  0.464329174189181,
                  0.43688310391500257,
                  0.4544141148747783,
                  0.48318259866850327,
                  0.47262088435117405,
                  0.4869104538041862,
                  0.4927855011868216,
                  0.4253640867477962
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2747853380510158,
                  0.17865481922199108,
                  0.26577366004673697,
                  0.20021083210306276,
                  0.2830668405616388,
                  0.16834655244999278,
                  0.22297908077096765,
                  0.19489053894562713,
                  0.13712739503836005,
                  0.29548653857524104,
                  0.257210733338496,
                  0.2830131074555891,
                  0.1910347498202379,
                  0.2054936539792874,
                  0.16999106885877188,
                  0.16926625655553248,
                  0.3242764666643522,
                  0.1521747322474716,
                  0.2365587234223336,
                  0.1058700345689157,
                  0.13261088811637317,
                  0.35760488460606943,
                  0.2931297581323984,
                  0.16792246971714075
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3014181688717181,
                  0.19043828142969435,
                  0.2621352098296086,
                  0.189211357423254,
                  0.29646647218334904,
                  0.1763031653097088,
                  0.22490333867954082,
                  0.20427330506010077,
                  0.15400796871896968,
                  0.30561580770909275,
                  0.2387426263229863,
                  0.25381385295644204,
                  0.19826391217931327,
                  0.2127100821035814,
                  0.1864847383371641,
                  0.17554851753521306,
                  0.31069878617163244,
                  0.15976518026133896,
                  0.23943647892764403,
                  0.13596964382400945,
                  0.15004019014661238,
                  0.3525530292328047,
                  0.338807101099202,
                  0.18090576234657507
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15396206035655852,
                  0.2813423926601993,
                  0.1852944049519637,
                  0.29155413550953596,
                  0.1324015238643488,
                  0.3008372761782767,
                  0.24608560398149026,
                  0.19273368196970977,
                  0.2657755645095588,
                  0.14682329586815054,
                  0.20600432093277948,
                  0.20898704143078783,
                  0.1972258479797783,
                  0.2196218822036186,
                  0.2277191626438258,
                  0.27823842602359294,
                  0.14217712084158984,
                  0.27936115611425344,
                  0.20976050875358904,
                  0.32541398746572364,
                  0.3183534661347172,
                  0.11191769219380078,
                  0.12336479538284477,
                  0.2525876796401595
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16942125720379314,
                  0.28790898465066145,
                  0.1932490176391843,
                  0.26984761490725384,
                  0.16119556977212962,
                  0.2968665277124429,
                  0.2417994326272948,
                  0.1960598442028676,
                  0.27295526360837696,
                  0.16841135391317605,
                  0.18872335691549524,
                  0.19661328741257744,
                  0.20294508517709747,
                  0.21721817863458368,
                  0.24308837524962262,
                  0.2783508596718001,
                  0.15363038801754828,
                  0.27711792365366356,
                  0.2149776359471342,
                  0.3472129548444936,
                  0.3225806942045614,
                  0.13435742457138128,
                  0.15397840008761954,
                  0.24445832440122106
                ],
                "crps": [
                  36.888760707413816,
                  45.719359718747135,
                  35.33746797079822,
                  44.672472801852386,
                  38.73481103248686,
                  47.308930738172684,
                  41.24784698260274,
                  24.33806830849983,
                  29.17314111997035,
                  30.036294268570746,
                  35.928520413594505,
                  35.91529720826323,
                  23.677993191203605,
                  27.252906148488364,
                  27.211028620207355,
                  31.347070320079926,
                  34.03304367107044,
                  28.54058939300819,
                  36.516893624301524,
                  31.028278536233596,
                  40.0078509889354,
                  41.08784960364596,
                  57.98468164997839,
                  34.97626514922079
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.18653222448657,
                  46.84531125433672,
                  34.54432198123997,
                  39.348572475319074,
                  38.036972805317745,
                  43.60338146746455,
                  38.085883059957226,
                  23.826258832192412,
                  29.89978054903974,
                  31.738181364810576,
                  24.43088871098674,
                  27.83268008310316,
                  24.65712467841512,
                  26.46699035284445,
                  30.59299785477991,
                  30.304948845204205,
                  32.919233990306296,
                  27.674921508143957,
                  36.33860707613447,
                  38.60628169474539,
                  41.339344183302146,
                  39.82018386333356,
                  70.64179962667183,
                  27.64414578747141
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  35.80332390062023,
                  44.74175612849208,
                  34.329478450450615,
                  43.61102887122552,
                  37.681117835940896,
                  46.21185745107127,
                  40.20969738811709,
                  23.263846381428387,
                  28.224670464723218,
                  28.9477688361642,
                  34.81307524821751,
                  34.818855179647606,
                  22.568484656806152,
                  26.187556140728383,
                  26.10185679628561,
                  30.27930425116907,
                  32.944523262360256,
                  27.386200732672478,
                  35.42156011492832,
                  29.990924463288763,
                  38.9452797733176,
                  40.06728068687566,
                  56.89014277982727,
                  33.855913701329555
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.728326247149674,
                  45.39782266152604,
                  33.07353606026055,
                  37.88688551360875,
                  36.57280175332332,
                  42.149752856118134,
                  36.62180464102082,
                  22.335173549188287,
                  28.420198148075094,
                  30.262080783572767,
                  22.94094856032881,
                  26.34918271913484,
                  23.167613004968228,
                  24.9809064552961,
                  29.114728365379165,
                  28.826133808436836,
                  31.445370251162224,
                  26.19112535899579,
                  34.87121942238024,
                  37.143188879283976,
                  39.88142762255391,
                  38.359390105009616,
                  69.23938014062692,
                  26.160291350973484
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4402092559912363,
              "rpss": 0.028189222375446965,
              "brier_below": 0.2194782968019835,
              "bss_below": 0.0314486430658486,
              "brier_above": 0.2207309594829522,
              "bss_above": 0.024926473622054357,
              "crps": 35.79022592363942,
              "crpss": -0.014863298358024801,
              "crps_fair": 34.72064597898699,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02734026370514564,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.316879,
                    0.514538,
                    0.145057,
                    0.023173,
                    0.000352,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2672,
                    0.3461,
                    0.4348,
                    0.5336,
                    0.607,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2596,
                    0.3499,
                    0.4889,
                    0.5963,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.343679,
                    0.524387,
                    0.119486,
                    0.012448,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2677,
                    0.3441,
                    0.437,
                    0.541,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2417,
                    0.3889,
                    0.4527,
                    0.4154,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43136630853084024,
                  0.48694088575599187,
                  0.4310859004072857,
                  0.4187999031188237,
                  0.4643520584178536,
                  0.48112163601502594,
                  0.40736197777282096,
                  0.4108891270405718,
                  0.4876868593846155
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4392667893930284,
                  0.47209024474380396,
                  0.4563295774817628,
                  0.4676949686529568,
                  0.46440251426226875,
                  0.44306773857298026,
                  0.4754913821954125,
                  0.4978762127486338,
                  0.46473262279411304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20037120888720955,
                  0.32502831617729006,
                  0.18466366868838463,
                  0.13538991440847242,
                  0.16598932769298277,
                  0.23891644769428552,
                  0.2483392959037197,
                  0.12139644192359855,
                  0.29908680592499776
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20840800414252633,
                  0.3211528412581965,
                  0.18588896696747403,
                  0.1529691839704525,
                  0.16918637749027593,
                  0.22647917630868836,
                  0.29670790679502046,
                  0.14687399037084822,
                  0.2847919519536404
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23099509860311246,
                  0.1619125822047521,
                  0.24642222350121157,
                  0.283409976472602,
                  0.2983627182731053,
                  0.24220519235827642,
                  0.15902268649528184,
                  0.2894926671402148,
                  0.1886000639978052
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23085878370616417,
                  0.15093741623232468,
                  0.27044060189216984,
                  0.31472576814158004,
                  0.2952161237196651,
                  0.21658856327166845,
                  0.17878348316784407,
                  0.3510021993501296,
                  0.17994067840100206
                ],
                "crps": [
                  21.143878790243974,
                  25.608105885326935,
                  20.218919121297574,
                  22.6228579784874,
                  23.16238687129684,
                  29.16842494025261,
                  18.446241569362282,
                  24.893244492712984,
                  24.196383740502682
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.251323675318027,
                  22.462373750235535,
                  22.429096847378236,
                  21.013467579334527,
                  21.05169122929241,
                  20.436541798871772,
                  21.23268013317464,
                  31.69290548699711,
                  20.84021936433369
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.797106258534246,
                  25.244413616571084,
                  19.847391564157785,
                  22.218986434785663,
                  22.809961555147066,
                  28.78129550163275,
                  18.09448103229022,
                  24.474724244146202,
                  23.81265033053715
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.36344490244705,
                  21.574494977364562,
                  21.54121807450725,
                  20.125588806463544,
                  20.163812456421432,
                  19.548663026000803,
                  20.344801360303663,
                  30.805026714126136,
                  19.95234059146272
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4466227396048699,
              "rpss": 0.038591065489144594,
              "brier_below": 0.21324238081121566,
              "bss_below": 0.03677716532676556,
              "brier_above": 0.23338035656070685,
              "bss_above": 0.04024247917222523,
              "crps": 23.273382598831475,
              "crpss": -0.03483095242313139,
              "crps_fair": 22.897890059755795,
              "crpss_fair": -0.059981772261376465,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.451267,
                    0.440129,
                    0.107961,
                    0.000643,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2668,
                    0.342,
                    0.4373,
                    0.5139,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2564,
                    0.3469,
                    0.5731,
                    0.8569,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.256337,
                    0.475911,
                    0.236716,
                    0.031036,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2722,
                    0.3503,
                    0.4403,
                    0.5203,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.285,
                    0.3888,
                    0.5071,
                    0.5813,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.441042268480307,
                  0.4711984277673061,
                  0.42030330612744893,
                  0.42303762277289825,
                  0.4649569092365433,
                  0.48444826772972294,
                  0.4244989081920295,
                  0.4285816958173313,
                  0.4877376237353517
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45375860413458485,
                  0.45298996440830325,
                  0.4431570365814314,
                  0.45029456864798206,
                  0.45806327538229014,
                  0.4543204749095515,
                  0.470672671598715,
                  0.4932554758488676,
                  0.46455214735141936
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1938867013730375,
                  0.30738850400410006,
                  0.20495979881672335,
                  0.14942402783293154,
                  0.1707234808834417,
                  0.2400696929055303,
                  0.23101112993560735,
                  0.13378146575487423,
                  0.2997916633213171
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2051677757555093,
                  0.2983593853982372,
                  0.20938553817015962,
                  0.16496000983722006,
                  0.1741714573544431,
                  0.2285609758239909,
                  0.26339413622632507,
                  0.15647499638411203,
                  0.28182460076839555
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24715556271559608,
                  0.16380993536925603,
                  0.2153435048611348,
                  0.27361358646303985,
                  0.2942334174710355,
                  0.24437857591779424,
                  0.19348777798938424,
                  0.2948002134212214,
                  0.18794596983693915
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2485908236640017,
                  0.154630591096392,
                  0.2337714963461003,
                  0.28533454752539783,
                  0.28389180700046496,
                  0.22575949845304602,
                  0.20727853804452892,
                  0.336780458980145,
                  0.18272755364522117
                ],
                "crps": [
                  32.83928215003102,
                  39.093361881010836,
                  30.3302370009675,
                  32.28251036898391,
                  36.76164197438267,
                  43.294014139355056,
                  30.471231175719925,
                  37.79618415086866,
                  37.84044905173509
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  33.004803964257825,
                  34.46939391673293,
                  32.65658052025425,
                  29.032738395322635,
                  33.148159551740136,
                  33.11616337741962,
                  33.59207713414676,
                  46.2020167224791,
                  32.25661943021509
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  32.31379447709581,
                  38.55091749224,
                  29.778147150276084,
                  31.694223248349108,
                  36.22895977254549,
                  42.72886337926532,
                  29.920350027118122,
                  37.18842735223892,
                  37.275591110926186
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  31.596610755475933,
                  33.06120070795104,
                  31.24838731147235,
                  27.62454518654074,
                  31.73996634295824,
                  31.707970168637708,
                  32.18388392536486,
                  44.7938235136972,
                  30.848426221433186
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44953389220654877,
              "rpss": 0.023003552702777985,
              "brier_below": 0.21455960720306255,
              "bss_below": 0.02586008170551579,
              "brier_above": 0.23497428267171128,
              "bss_above": 0.020380525112746573,
              "crps": 35.63432354367274,
              "crpss": -0.04302855841768438,
              "crps_fair": 35.07547489000612,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07080773066028945,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.485875,
                    0.436262,
                    0.077863,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2693,
                    0.3394,
                    0.4362,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2638,
                    0.3603,
                    0.5407,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.312558,
                    0.470088,
                    0.197749,
                    0.019605,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2721,
                    0.348,
                    0.4361,
                    0.5194,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3228,
                    0.3849,
                    0.473,
                    0.555,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "vs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.5621897906590712,
            "training": [
              0.5785912507132677,
              0.5644337926289349,
              0.5461696107632951,
              0.5390632140121853,
              0.5050918021871218,
              0.5877657794943569,
              0.5676800400008443,
              0.5573745774582098,
              0.5851006771989132,
              0.5900888032459407,
              0.5031217593471415,
              0.5203120848175136,
              0.5637011537108031,
              0.5670018833045126,
              0.5924885152650827,
              0.5575390097324765,
              0.544601391850747,
              0.5706936243956332,
              0.5623298983118105,
              0.6008414913856434,
              0.5776297211474457,
              0.5666147259040294,
              0.6215465066981826,
              0.5227736622436149
            ],
            "test": 0.5805833500371224
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42324047552364313,
                  0.4423513107489917,
                  0.45297442326849396,
                  0.4971822512086096,
                  0.47612934898170195,
                  0.441725832560238,
                  0.44117888367844166,
                  0.39385354338952844,
                  0.4061391449750249,
                  0.43698085047720886,
                  0.5074082865834079,
                  0.5214373203137104,
                  0.38469320589400496,
                  0.4403838517833364,
                  0.39931566069617197,
                  0.4293247387058219,
                  0.47680559826086943,
                  0.4463715495818235,
                  0.4636006505265395,
                  0.43598634181956303,
                  0.43784337031822607,
                  0.4577692419475433,
                  0.402419758642047,
                  0.49156986694569127
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4754016819136036,
                  0.4698987852691481,
                  0.4475722931876876,
                  0.45452035553745596,
                  0.45257039479879513,
                  0.47044392511759964,
                  0.4542944276806166,
                  0.40943755938485,
                  0.4371667600138314,
                  0.47263230769926734,
                  0.4303065355231145,
                  0.454595990277518,
                  0.3959257285293265,
                  0.4434645496740271,
                  0.4412507991961764,
                  0.435170437641651,
                  0.46944879844205245,
                  0.4520639211186838,
                  0.4716870174931902,
                  0.4802945203904019,
                  0.4668563967515232,
                  0.4722071384657149,
                  0.4700629053401188,
                  0.4416277853045537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2758332071950497,
                  0.16409830213297763,
                  0.23565620746685634,
                  0.20309171406112164,
                  0.2709967246797198,
                  0.1561469600557141,
                  0.1887737925081013,
                  0.22255879369429135,
                  0.18667191731802238,
                  0.2879824545679335,
                  0.2866206941785412,
                  0.3123450902762336,
                  0.19053494763237977,
                  0.24966108903194073,
                  0.15740417235337087,
                  0.17186405150982473,
                  0.3333678813261331,
                  0.14480323307263232,
                  0.22495344283756585,
                  0.14954180323465707,
                  0.1393096760972814,
                  0.3012400360583555,
                  0.26448283978533305,
                  0.2339627727116193
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3078804322691799,
                  0.1772720877647993,
                  0.23250880823643677,
                  0.18364157998711608,
                  0.25298088487778414,
                  0.16740053832617655,
                  0.19875490361406287,
                  0.23070092354944458,
                  0.19835315818041957,
                  0.3046158566400611,
                  0.2547128368467289,
                  0.2754668354354953,
                  0.19677990497580344,
                  0.24932954530109538,
                  0.18175769604553224,
                  0.17303074498633814,
                  0.3240234689536009,
                  0.14982223006986983,
                  0.23057761248348646,
                  0.17130633492700192,
                  0.15271106939309373,
                  0.30644077557443045,
                  0.3037858009356,
                  0.21743539710448076
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1474072678934559,
                  0.27825301033812977,
                  0.21731821440247506,
                  0.2940905370755714,
                  0.20513262325461878,
                  0.2855788733851095,
                  0.2524050915093821,
                  0.17129474863514374,
                  0.21946722777013009,
                  0.14899839486319275,
                  0.2207875934943836,
                  0.20909223046877312,
                  0.1941582571751513,
                  0.1907227616773871,
                  0.2419114882382321,
                  0.2574606883347527,
                  0.14343771412597156,
                  0.3015683196167135,
                  0.23864720821234037,
                  0.2864445403301987,
                  0.2985336971811758,
                  0.1565292050377886,
                  0.13793691942567599,
                  0.2576070959133901
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16752124964442372,
                  0.2926266975043488,
                  0.21506348495125072,
                  0.2708787755503398,
                  0.1995895099210109,
                  0.3030433867914231,
                  0.2555395240665538,
                  0.17873663583540544,
                  0.23881360183341188,
                  0.1680164510592061,
                  0.17559369867638552,
                  0.1791291548420226,
                  0.1991458235535231,
                  0.1941350043729317,
                  0.2594931031506441,
                  0.26213969265531295,
                  0.1454253294884514,
                  0.30224169104881393,
                  0.24110940500970388,
                  0.3089881854633999,
                  0.31414532735842937,
                  0.16576636289128455,
                  0.16627710440451882,
                  0.22419238820007306
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.32355146316032,
                  27.844921565482384,
                  22.401572382232807,
                  28.721683416597777,
                  25.873422434020277,
                  28.836151476518733,
                  23.62536258121307,
                  15.05907567877793,
                  16.286010060115967,
                  17.218510059783515,
                  23.21202575834636,
                  22.91357018495086,
                  15.344744665123423,
                  16.794555699058737,
                  18.22691300884179,
                  18.491818311214914,
                  22.63973730481314,
                  19.00407193374428,
                  24.17712270833446,
                  20.960150658791772,
                  22.664531357791635,
                  23.134191884571987,
                  32.63635929635337,
                  24.429050374788943
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.613106129562965,
                  29.397864976210336,
                  21.926969342234923,
                  24.443182328369915,
                  23.799442768719484,
                  27.188641472953417,
                  23.53383296202524,
                  14.853438063071343,
                  18.566426770436173,
                  19.66238774209615,
                  15.276449953495895,
                  17.30546875341423,
                  15.311758068701987,
                  16.585118321907462,
                  20.610952753353995,
                  18.456897804883226,
                  21.311808216556564,
                  18.864772006483992,
                  24.22745453814933,
                  25.980309080969267,
                  25.35510595105101,
                  24.545857790902712,
                  41.67248951423064,
                  18.164010610584267
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.561727569595547,
                  27.151460942247557,
                  21.681548446009444,
                  27.95996844965471,
                  25.087499574487875,
                  28.061769111373053,
                  22.889142040115203,
                  14.283200881777796,
                  15.611687155338952,
                  16.442715314058578,
                  22.398068486797712,
                  22.111025178527935,
                  14.525224175717925,
                  16.01976281860269,
                  17.428764664942666,
                  17.71842289028434,
                  21.865068801360284,
                  18.147250584129164,
                  23.383639262852018,
                  20.213081927487515,
                  21.893839915881788,
                  22.405434877198747,
                  31.884293770184257,
                  23.60163950580846
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.694914714706677,
                  28.484947725836346,
                  20.999902668311726,
                  23.520881209344694,
                  22.875922445982813,
                  26.271540087156584,
                  22.609809590412247,
                  13.912974549604273,
                  17.632995432551223,
                  18.73103208786966,
                  14.336787598912204,
                  16.369649237466756,
                  14.372162585548612,
                  15.647934505900317,
                  19.681393623770038,
                  17.52325902577564,
                  20.383576464743825,
                  17.931905716394613,
                  23.30474484376386,
                  25.060919186854285,
                  24.43453196009906,
                  23.623751132980786,
                  40.78281965881499,
                  17.229817120881425
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4461118961179433,
              "rpss": 0.014924738729344855,
              "brier_below": 0.222995908491069,
              "bss_below": 0.016427654492593202,
              "brier_above": 0.22311598784829764,
              "bss_above": 0.013418034568111081,
              "crps": 22.242462677692856,
              "crpss": -0.0003098607393430264,
              "crps_fair": 21.471926514351424,
              "crpss_fair": -0.00764161966810728,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.010954,
                    0.250926,
                    0.497861,
                    0.206561,
                    0.031713,
                    0.001985,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.189,
                    0.2605,
                    0.3458,
                    0.4333,
                    0.5423,
                    0.6236,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5082,
                    0.2694,
                    0.3368,
                    0.4423,
                    0.4412,
                    0.6037,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.007499,
                    0.249892,
                    0.528303,
                    0.182403,
                    0.029261,
                    0.002642,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1854,
                    0.2623,
                    0.3436,
                    0.4378,
                    0.5334,
                    0.6165,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5025,
                    0.2326,
                    0.3669,
                    0.44,
                    0.2904,
                    0.4157,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42364986190830317,
                  0.4539991011211275,
                  0.4483851263684185,
                  0.5019634610203186,
                  0.4103196062536219,
                  0.4734988003637157,
                  0.4598952061348167,
                  0.3917457376739787,
                  0.3945531186749821,
                  0.43573602248844423,
                  0.4746085227335936,
                  0.5066072617079972,
                  0.39371303124134965,
                  0.4298361138587415,
                  0.3953484991513311,
                  0.44052696364922916,
                  0.4718244499637769,
                  0.43086268592316196,
                  0.44890024598920836,
                  0.41726936228035555,
                  0.43440002952216433,
                  0.4596227871154103,
                  0.4029170589642443,
                  0.4232706258616528
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4708394260755114,
                  0.478347266080356,
                  0.45538422746879303,
                  0.459058972330508,
                  0.4576620419554788,
                  0.4731696930221518,
                  0.4667027713068357,
                  0.40033314926296837,
                  0.4269632323273467,
                  0.47402716162226893,
                  0.42746598323848156,
                  0.4504271403690195,
                  0.40120899735641075,
                  0.42992826073816515,
                  0.4295731135867868,
                  0.45389937720701334,
                  0.464329174189181,
                  0.43688310391500257,
                  0.4544141148747783,
                  0.48318259866850327,
                  0.47262088435117405,
                  0.4869104538041862,
                  0.4927855011868216,
                  0.4253640867477962
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2693358109681527,
                  0.17956120938418868,
                  0.25990127321500556,
                  0.20790174156691843,
                  0.2739424919963065,
                  0.17799429028222413,
                  0.22052689140680043,
                  0.19981397204474446,
                  0.14104701071426717,
                  0.2851074534325839,
                  0.25909633185793846,
                  0.2848412535992657,
                  0.19514326361381376,
                  0.21360162795287796,
                  0.1658647897384278,
                  0.17089097106168638,
                  0.3202233355289341,
                  0.155789451274175,
                  0.23480329959032398,
                  0.10629011590689559,
                  0.13288568679286009,
                  0.34148825564329455,
                  0.2820098368460174,
                  0.16981573391532384
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3014181688717181,
                  0.19043828142969435,
                  0.2621352098296086,
                  0.189211357423254,
                  0.29646647218334904,
                  0.1763031653097088,
                  0.22490333867954082,
                  0.20427330506010077,
                  0.15400796871896968,
                  0.30561580770909275,
                  0.2387426263229863,
                  0.25381385295644204,
                  0.19826391217931327,
                  0.2127100821035814,
                  0.1864847383371641,
                  0.17554851753521306,
                  0.31069878617163244,
                  0.15976518026133896,
                  0.23943647892764403,
                  0.13596964382400945,
                  0.15004019014661238,
                  0.3525530292328047,
                  0.338807101099202,
                  0.18090576234657507
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15431405040080765,
                  0.27443789362410625,
                  0.18848385116629648,
                  0.2940617188969824,
                  0.13637711430149035,
                  0.29550451161697033,
                  0.23936831437109232,
                  0.19193176550216967,
                  0.2535061083740113,
                  0.15062856791720022,
                  0.21551219087617157,
                  0.22176600906004473,
                  0.19856976709106883,
                  0.21623448569334186,
                  0.22948370940672672,
                  0.2696359939735685,
                  0.15160111153914674,
                  0.27507323723357163,
                  0.21409694558888975,
                  0.3109792484020069,
                  0.3015143456807592,
                  0.11813453003092564,
                  0.12090722222762634,
                  0.2534548931491885
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16942125720379314,
                  0.28790898465066145,
                  0.1932490176391843,
                  0.26984761490725384,
                  0.16119556977212962,
                  0.2968665277124429,
                  0.2417994326272948,
                  0.1960598442028676,
                  0.27295526360837696,
                  0.16841135391317605,
                  0.18872335691549524,
                  0.19661328741257744,
                  0.20294508517709747,
                  0.21721817863458368,
                  0.24308837524962262,
                  0.2783508596718001,
                  0.15363038801754828,
                  0.27711792365366356,
                  0.2149776359471342,
                  0.3472129548444936,
                  0.3225806942045614,
                  0.13435742457138128,
                  0.15397840008761954,
                  0.24445832440122106
                ],
                "crps": [
                  36.67665401509464,
                  44.56663820490334,
                  34.413652753450066,
                  45.457956447218535,
                  38.42180442064001,
                  47.658842274294955,
                  38.30627216870285,
                  24.28879597196496,
                  26.78881950307649,
                  28.43583998315483,
                  35.48914395019377,
                  36.7348266488704,
                  24.700282846853177,
                  27.164766216276735,
                  27.774274167830928,
                  29.897576538068932,
                  34.81372419426984,
                  27.645595886226523,
                  36.56810851191025,
                  30.311465754996167,
                  36.40567236958903,
                  37.65603248055339,
                  54.57534879272984,
                  33.912727711431195
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.18653222448657,
                  46.84531125433672,
                  34.54432198123997,
                  39.348572475319074,
                  38.036972805317745,
                  43.60338146746455,
                  38.085883059957226,
                  23.826258832192412,
                  29.89978054903974,
                  31.738181364810576,
                  24.43088871098674,
                  27.83268008310316,
                  24.65712467841512,
                  26.46699035284445,
                  30.59299785477991,
                  30.304948845204205,
                  32.919233990306296,
                  27.674921508143957,
                  36.33860707613447,
                  38.60628169474539,
                  41.339344183302146,
                  39.82018386333356,
                  70.64179962667183,
                  27.64414578747141
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  35.438585128145725,
                  43.46268369140075,
                  33.265168302988435,
                  44.230413880762214,
                  37.10529306918812,
                  46.419526759041325,
                  37.13854523764924,
                  23.06476946436212,
                  25.72409415407068,
                  27.16821972009558,
                  34.2292335076423,
                  35.473455296046275,
                  23.392293423713422,
                  25.92928275283885,
                  26.513997469290825,
                  28.666569722227656,
                  33.59288132277428,
                  26.279463443109734,
                  35.319951871907,
                  29.120249389509585,
                  35.18511808821606,
                  36.47891912612271,
                  53.36185776608514,
                  32.625285915825074
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.728326247149674,
                  45.39782266152604,
                  33.07353606026055,
                  37.88688551360875,
                  36.57280175332332,
                  42.149752856118134,
                  36.62180464102082,
                  22.335173549188287,
                  28.420198148075094,
                  30.262080783572767,
                  22.94094856032881,
                  26.34918271913484,
                  23.167613004968228,
                  24.9809064552961,
                  29.114728365379165,
                  28.826133808436836,
                  31.445370251162224,
                  26.19112535899579,
                  34.87121942238024,
                  37.143188879283976,
                  39.88142762255391,
                  38.359390105009616,
                  69.23938014062692,
                  26.160291350973484
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4384772366654143,
              "rpss": 0.03201284721972164,
              "brier_below": 0.21866150409720944,
              "bss_below": 0.0350531255776505,
              "brier_above": 0.2198157327551735,
              "bss_above": 0.028969464940449274,
              "crps": 34.94436757551254,
              "crpss": 0.009121758203373465,
              "crps_fair": 33.71607743762555,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0023836564896785317,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004725,
                    0.243383,
                    0.518346,
                    0.201835,
                    0.029546,
                    0.002165,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1897,
                    0.262,
                    0.3457,
                    0.4318,
                    0.5424,
                    0.6228,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3085,
                    0.2556,
                    0.3273,
                    0.471,
                    0.5877,
                    0.6045,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.005731,
                    0.251448,
                    0.548465,
                    0.171156,
                    0.020984,
                    0.002216,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1857,
                    0.2622,
                    0.3435,
                    0.4365,
                    0.5338,
                    0.6122,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3331,
                    0.2198,
                    0.3639,
                    0.4735,
                    0.3464,
                    0.5448,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42982145824442136,
                  0.49519539171141463,
                  0.42093470844265696,
                  0.41428109418388953,
                  0.4595105706384726,
                  0.490450884365035,
                  0.3943762588950148,
                  0.391522921017906,
                  0.49859550907279215
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4392667893930284,
                  0.47209024474380396,
                  0.4563295774817628,
                  0.4676949686529568,
                  0.46440251426226875,
                  0.44306773857298026,
                  0.4754913821954125,
                  0.4978762127486338,
                  0.46473262279411304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20122224979388398,
                  0.3309769928410338,
                  0.1765016221393039,
                  0.13642106251432753,
                  0.1677898532955666,
                  0.2433485355577612,
                  0.2418265981460736,
                  0.11830142149530233,
                  0.3065880504734579
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20840800414252633,
                  0.3211528412581965,
                  0.18588896696747403,
                  0.1529691839704525,
                  0.16918637749027593,
                  0.22647917630868836,
                  0.29670790679502046,
                  0.14687399037084822,
                  0.2847919519536404
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22859920778887233,
                  0.1642184117112902,
                  0.24443307826868818,
                  0.27786002067315785,
                  0.2917207056091347,
                  0.2471023544157239,
                  0.15254966543032952,
                  0.27322148254129897,
                  0.19200746981106823
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23085878370616417,
                  0.15093741623232468,
                  0.27044060189216984,
                  0.31472576814158004,
                  0.2952161237196651,
                  0.21658856327166845,
                  0.17878348316784407,
                  0.3510021993501296,
                  0.17994067840100206
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.423742409538107,
                  25.463634050569794,
                  18.9863250094907,
                  21.428824279783324,
                  21.772695894572394,
                  27.72194609953205,
                  17.61191831254762,
                  24.044463531223037,
                  23.778477873850314
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.251323675318027,
                  22.462373750235535,
                  22.429096847378236,
                  21.013467579334527,
                  21.05169122929241,
                  20.436541798871772,
                  21.23268013317464,
                  31.69290548699711,
                  20.84021936433369
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.048479372227366,
                  25.074363711014758,
                  18.587482785065962,
                  21.00406370522933,
                  21.388649881958155,
                  27.31212606252035,
                  17.214526830445966,
                  23.607031061103473,
                  23.372289021161404
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.36344490244705,
                  21.574494977364562,
                  21.54121807450725,
                  20.125588806463544,
                  20.163812456421432,
                  19.548663026000803,
                  20.344801360303663,
                  30.805026714126136,
                  19.95234059146272
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44385431073017817,
              "rpss": 0.04455044018878751,
              "brier_below": 0.2136640429174123,
              "bss_below": 0.0348725037503006,
              "brier_above": 0.23019026624995156,
              "bss_above": 0.053361463190362945,
              "crps": 22.35911416234526,
              "crpss": 0.005821207738019418,
              "crps_fair": 21.95655693674742,
              "crpss_fair": -0.016405881670110478,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.003673,
                    0.409015,
                    0.468947,
                    0.113169,
                    0.005195,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1975,
                    0.2579,
                    0.3399,
                    0.4384,
                    0.5085,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0249,
                    0.269,
                    0.3289,
                    0.5484,
                    0.8437,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.179832,
                    0.511365,
                    0.246298,
                    0.062505,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2674,
                    0.3498,
                    0.4411,
                    0.5267,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2315,
                    0.3839,
                    0.4966,
                    0.5741,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44171876007790434,
                  0.4752078472729444,
                  0.40993518978815385,
                  0.4221650097394507,
                  0.4611030812705838,
                  0.49377363293466436,
                  0.41457753320849805,
                  0.41252046513977225,
                  0.4960158020945704
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45375860413458485,
                  0.45298996440830325,
                  0.4431570365814314,
                  0.45029456864798206,
                  0.45806327538229014,
                  0.4543204749095515,
                  0.470672671598715,
                  0.4932554758488676,
                  0.46455214735141936
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1977801602393609,
                  0.30855997936234675,
                  0.19818156365118114,
                  0.15449990926715843,
                  0.17647436504612016,
                  0.2459362776985682,
                  0.22718780746597952,
                  0.1353784517846959,
                  0.3038142723934751
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2051677757555093,
                  0.2983593853982372,
                  0.20938553817015962,
                  0.16496000983722006,
                  0.1741714573544431,
                  0.2285609758239909,
                  0.26339413622632507,
                  0.15647499638411203,
                  0.28182460076839555
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24393859614754437,
                  0.16664787991497207,
                  0.21175362407737464,
                  0.26766509346977413,
                  0.2846287062948208,
                  0.24783735814768368,
                  0.18738972573495138,
                  0.27714199802621187,
                  0.19220153986164434
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2485908236640017,
                  0.154630591096392,
                  0.2337714963461003,
                  0.28533454752539783,
                  0.28389180700046496,
                  0.22575949845304602,
                  0.20727853804452892,
                  0.336780458980145,
                  0.18272755364522117
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.627853481791142,
                  38.76238989794013,
                  28.132309138436977,
                  30.89577896011476,
                  34.60478004176159,
                  41.76674220809413,
                  29.196869022014496,
                  35.98216004154595,
                  37.540009182705596
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  33.004803964257825,
                  34.46939391673293,
                  32.65658052025425,
                  29.032738395322635,
                  33.148159551740136,
                  33.11616337741962,
                  33.59207713414676,
                  46.2020167224791,
                  32.25661943021509
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.02999676463725,
                  38.14994817818965,
                  27.50639927689231,
                  30.23630832498175,
                  33.99241864107,
                  41.13010830370858,
                  28.548976448282108,
                  35.30755674985665,
                  36.9061754149661
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  31.596610755475933,
                  33.06120070795104,
                  31.24838731147235,
                  27.62454518654074,
                  31.73996634295824,
                  31.707970168637708,
                  32.18388392536486,
                  44.7938235136972,
                  30.848426221433186
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44744636905850466,
              "rpss": 0.027540480250729638,
              "brier_below": 0.21642364298987624,
              "bss_below": 0.017397017791784153,
              "brier_above": 0.23102272463055298,
              "bss_above": 0.03685476718405578,
              "crps": 34.278765774933866,
              "crpss": -0.0033509295257883043,
              "crps_fair": 33.64532090028716,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02714702605035546,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.001615,
                    0.375095,
                    0.509957,
                    0.109067,
                    0.004266,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1975,
                    0.2613,
                    0.3402,
                    0.4366,
                    0.5083,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0833,
                    0.2827,
                    0.327,
                    0.4705,
                    0.7519,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.19521,
                    0.540428,
                    0.219124,
                    0.045238,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2691,
                    0.3488,
                    0.4386,
                    0.5246,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2708,
                    0.3792,
                    0.4699,
                    0.5641,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sqrt_mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.5568780869008317,
            "training": [
              0.5752702709579068,
              0.5586620505698564,
              0.5433687351746967,
              0.5371325181836517,
              0.49754596028906667,
              0.5806095701846948,
              0.5657155242099254,
              0.5530767117544685,
              0.5799623489632577,
              0.5840177780837768,
              0.4973111817249641,
              0.5105770138437571,
              0.5549248322447211,
              0.5621372003668375,
              0.5903292414854697,
              0.5507855675586861,
              0.5384841774942225,
              0.5648852157036394,
              0.5590088673262851,
              0.5946310452342056,
              0.5731089616829523,
              0.56004217551863,
              0.6151241759847556,
              0.5183629610795332
            ],
            "test": 0.5765694005289039
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4211676905404398,
                  0.4410593464776347,
                  0.452028646368205,
                  0.49775170396952123,
                  0.47710469045726545,
                  0.44212378865314694,
                  0.44182801830606877,
                  0.39674501105669774,
                  0.4069615825455632,
                  0.4343122831439419,
                  0.5107575842849863,
                  0.5230402954514916,
                  0.3866764525733054,
                  0.44043440851410104,
                  0.3985162171612224,
                  0.4303971147557657,
                  0.4790833696707695,
                  0.4450220585039659,
                  0.4611893600698358,
                  0.43650122275239817,
                  0.4377611096957242,
                  0.45879549349504367,
                  0.4018051448328889,
                  0.4953426215379041
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4754016819136036,
                  0.4698987852691481,
                  0.4475722931876876,
                  0.45452035553745596,
                  0.45257039479879513,
                  0.47044392511759964,
                  0.4542944276806166,
                  0.40943755938485,
                  0.4371667600138314,
                  0.47263230769926734,
                  0.4303065355231145,
                  0.454595990277518,
                  0.3959257285293265,
                  0.4434645496740271,
                  0.4412507991961764,
                  0.435170437641651,
                  0.46944879844205245,
                  0.4520639211186838,
                  0.4716870174931902,
                  0.4802945203904019,
                  0.4668563967515232,
                  0.4722071384657149,
                  0.4700629053401188,
                  0.4416277853045537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.27325521067315406,
                  0.16538855828894855,
                  0.23648790646468013,
                  0.2042706432082375,
                  0.27314878164169354,
                  0.15754035785489118,
                  0.1907050153979438,
                  0.2231628389370978,
                  0.1856251688380052,
                  0.285083708662754,
                  0.28508086562741286,
                  0.31098624469885344,
                  0.19205389369112724,
                  0.24780435893021543,
                  0.1576780291347378,
                  0.17378894271731674,
                  0.3340074755903704,
                  0.14706944891278664,
                  0.2228410731663774,
                  0.1502830217822675,
                  0.14050421193289103,
                  0.3026413870113646,
                  0.26430917055662817,
                  0.23493100573038458
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3078804322691799,
                  0.1772720877647993,
                  0.23250880823643677,
                  0.18364157998711608,
                  0.25298088487778414,
                  0.16740053832617655,
                  0.19875490361406287,
                  0.23070092354944458,
                  0.19835315818041957,
                  0.3046158566400611,
                  0.2547128368467289,
                  0.2754668354354953,
                  0.19677990497580344,
                  0.24932954530109538,
                  0.18175769604553224,
                  0.17303074498633814,
                  0.3240234689536009,
                  0.14982223006986983,
                  0.23057761248348646,
                  0.17130633492700192,
                  0.15271106939309373,
                  0.30644077557443045,
                  0.3037858009356,
                  0.21743539710448076
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14791247942247301,
                  0.27567079004520345,
                  0.21554073876536536,
                  0.29348106082737135,
                  0.20395590745056957,
                  0.28458343150906357,
                  0.2511230036469685,
                  0.17358217068056142,
                  0.22133641398266013,
                  0.1492285736123802,
                  0.22567672002140024,
                  0.21205405161498384,
                  0.19462255757495833,
                  0.19263004825675376,
                  0.24083818829492679,
                  0.2566081728337569,
                  0.1450758912254306,
                  0.29795261279444873,
                  0.23834828756473203,
                  0.2862182027062864,
                  0.2972569007991239,
                  0.1561541057267358,
                  0.1374959749594233,
                  0.2604116175505331
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16752124964442372,
                  0.2926266975043488,
                  0.21506348495125072,
                  0.2708787755503398,
                  0.1995895099210109,
                  0.3030433867914231,
                  0.2555395240665538,
                  0.17873663583540544,
                  0.23881360183341188,
                  0.1680164510592061,
                  0.17559369867638552,
                  0.1791291548420226,
                  0.1991458235535231,
                  0.1941350043729317,
                  0.2594931031506441,
                  0.26213969265531295,
                  0.1454253294884514,
                  0.30224169104881393,
                  0.24110940500970388,
                  0.3089881854633999,
                  0.31414532735842937,
                  0.16576636289128455,
                  0.16627710440451882,
                  0.22419238820007306
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.11042226417428,
                  27.79718950301808,
                  22.483221054808567,
                  28.832997257018626,
                  26.076488274526316,
                  29.023966056482468,
                  23.78403988690866,
                  15.331138094103972,
                  16.467293980428835,
                  17.059557314543124,
                  23.34570215536687,
                  22.90777602938549,
                  15.469780249420095,
                  16.850490196510655,
                  18.22453424391509,
                  18.453205654419268,
                  22.625594266181068,
                  19.052022346452535,
                  23.980106633091058,
                  20.940412784387725,
                  22.942130448642136,
                  23.177536981303902,
                  32.77815967291184,
                  24.626844812342547
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.613106129562965,
                  29.397864976210336,
                  21.926969342234923,
                  24.443182328369915,
                  23.799442768719484,
                  27.188641472953417,
                  23.53383296202524,
                  14.853438063071343,
                  18.566426770436173,
                  19.66238774209615,
                  15.276449953495895,
                  17.30546875341423,
                  15.311758068701987,
                  16.585118321907462,
                  20.610952753353995,
                  18.456897804883226,
                  21.311808216556564,
                  18.864772006483992,
                  24.22745453814933,
                  25.980309080969267,
                  25.35510595105101,
                  24.545857790902712,
                  41.67248951423064,
                  18.164010610584267
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.345338056962184,
                  27.089758179801002,
                  21.75029023443515,
                  28.061239648212155,
                  25.294151995423604,
                  28.23761055514373,
                  23.028661712456007,
                  14.543860148522738,
                  15.775803117620802,
                  16.266233142168055,
                  22.51838825340718,
                  22.08726034361706,
                  14.641756139178883,
                  16.05901866764165,
                  17.420189415053727,
                  17.6620477699982,
                  21.839050546926867,
                  18.176772262108862,
                  23.17127269770088,
                  20.174180532742668,
                  22.152267605533364,
                  22.43166556945558,
                  32.022097308723204,
                  23.78889557720607
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.694914714706677,
                  28.484947725836346,
                  20.999902668311726,
                  23.520881209344694,
                  22.875922445982813,
                  26.271540087156584,
                  22.609809590412247,
                  13.912974549604273,
                  17.632995432551223,
                  18.73103208786966,
                  14.336787598912204,
                  16.369649237466756,
                  14.372162585548612,
                  15.647934505900317,
                  19.681393623770038,
                  17.52325902577564,
                  20.383576464743825,
                  17.931905716394613,
                  23.30474484376386,
                  25.060919186854285,
                  24.43453196009906,
                  23.623751132980786,
                  40.78281965881499,
                  17.229817120881425
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44651688395074524,
              "rpss": 0.014030470948816265,
              "brier_below": 0.22327697164375582,
              "bss_below": 0.015187963835511353,
              "brier_above": 0.22323991257775458,
              "bss_above": 0.012870059927959532,
              "crps": 22.305858756680966,
              "crpss": -0.003160971421777292,
              "crps_fair": 21.522408728334984,
              "crpss_fair": -0.010010665586219325,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.010198,
                    0.238224,
                    0.498245,
                    0.216469,
                    0.034948,
                    0.001917,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1875,
                    0.26,
                    0.3463,
                    0.4346,
                    0.5438,
                    0.6274,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5289,
                    0.2717,
                    0.3335,
                    0.4368,
                    0.4421,
                    0.5894,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.007191,
                    0.237581,
                    0.526826,
                    0.189631,
                    0.035855,
                    0.002916,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1829,
                    0.2619,
                    0.3438,
                    0.4379,
                    0.5341,
                    0.6197,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4907,
                    0.2286,
                    0.3648,
                    0.4456,
                    0.2753,
                    0.3883,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4221766910846619,
                  0.45319559949647953,
                  0.4483288375415944,
                  0.5025570277360415,
                  0.409847926545451,
                  0.4749348281918007,
                  0.46118906479874716,
                  0.3937063618042485,
                  0.39571815586940806,
                  0.4337189907201201,
                  0.4760937333890634,
                  0.5067937141733105,
                  0.3939244204367551,
                  0.430853328397626,
                  0.3940519148599008,
                  0.44139733029291817,
                  0.4716220480289915,
                  0.4314145253752888,
                  0.44672353231955625,
                  0.416342187790265,
                  0.4354074129487583,
                  0.4581314121034395,
                  0.40158813709598706,
                  0.42503145804080505
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4708394260755114,
                  0.478347266080356,
                  0.45538422746879303,
                  0.459058972330508,
                  0.4576620419554788,
                  0.4731696930221518,
                  0.4667027713068357,
                  0.40033314926296837,
                  0.4269632323273467,
                  0.47402716162226893,
                  0.42746598323848156,
                  0.4504271403690195,
                  0.40120899735641075,
                  0.42992826073816515,
                  0.4295731135867868,
                  0.45389937720701334,
                  0.464329174189181,
                  0.43688310391500257,
                  0.4544141148747783,
                  0.48318259866850327,
                  0.47262088435117405,
                  0.4869104538041862,
                  0.4927855011868216,
                  0.4253640867477962
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2677954527875307,
                  0.18039778771969742,
                  0.26041279304560844,
                  0.20933479274186426,
                  0.27442533473593345,
                  0.17884656364161675,
                  0.22140419719892293,
                  0.20084878827248173,
                  0.14174213242913763,
                  0.28332053643830224,
                  0.25925104359155376,
                  0.28451462240256664,
                  0.19516488669050597,
                  0.2133420669753164,
                  0.16598717017989065,
                  0.17101909812311608,
                  0.32031329320298435,
                  0.15675412808114236,
                  0.23316681853394028,
                  0.10645462144657719,
                  0.13350465011641965,
                  0.3406259500688336,
                  0.28114707361887586,
                  0.1702247505424134
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3014181688717181,
                  0.19043828142969435,
                  0.2621352098296086,
                  0.189211357423254,
                  0.29646647218334904,
                  0.1763031653097088,
                  0.22490333867954082,
                  0.20427330506010077,
                  0.15400796871896968,
                  0.30561580770909275,
                  0.2387426263229863,
                  0.25381385295644204,
                  0.19826391217931327,
                  0.2127100821035814,
                  0.1864847383371641,
                  0.17554851753521306,
                  0.31069878617163244,
                  0.15976518026133896,
                  0.23943647892764403,
                  0.13596964382400945,
                  0.15004019014661238,
                  0.3525530292328047,
                  0.338807101099202,
                  0.18090576234657507
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15438123780596874,
                  0.2727978141132248,
                  0.18791604293290212,
                  0.2932222342356972,
                  0.13542259185359656,
                  0.2960882657843941,
                  0.23978486766327123,
                  0.1928575731039446,
                  0.2539760239698877,
                  0.15039845320573,
                  0.21684268999245218,
                  0.22227909299439808,
                  0.19875953304697708,
                  0.21751126110324456,
                  0.2280647447609511,
                  0.27037823358836643,
                  0.15130875185695886,
                  0.27466039984172125,
                  0.2135567129443073,
                  0.30988756830324543,
                  0.3019027661050285,
                  0.11750546088114824,
                  0.12044106366987851,
                  0.2548067084979365
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16942125720379314,
                  0.28790898465066145,
                  0.1932490176391843,
                  0.26984761490725384,
                  0.16119556977212962,
                  0.2968665277124429,
                  0.2417994326272948,
                  0.1960598442028676,
                  0.27295526360837696,
                  0.16841135391317605,
                  0.18872335691549524,
                  0.19661328741257744,
                  0.20294508517709747,
                  0.21721817863458368,
                  0.24308837524962262,
                  0.2783508596718001,
                  0.15363038801754828,
                  0.27711792365366356,
                  0.2149776359471342,
                  0.3472129548444936,
                  0.3225806942045614,
                  0.13435742457138128,
                  0.15397840008761954,
                  0.24445832440122106
                ],
                "crps": [
                  36.37389599496624,
                  44.469363199601105,
                  34.50073504838414,
                  45.551938410472545,
                  38.47819914498149,
                  47.96267279478812,
                  38.55934156707728,
                  24.61328432732469,
                  26.99284705887535,
                  28.123832641573365,
                  35.463469895576665,
                  36.583769893911516,
                  24.691569416104688,
                  27.18268187151312,
                  27.67976313636109,
                  29.739449904571178,
                  34.682501615501735,
                  27.969455750093424,
                  36.23065396052347,
                  30.33242257629142,
                  36.79503719761641,
                  37.613076668355,
                  54.847362751099574,
                  34.01886313473567
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.18653222448657,
                  46.84531125433672,
                  34.54432198123997,
                  39.348572475319074,
                  38.036972805317745,
                  43.60338146746455,
                  38.085883059957226,
                  23.826258832192412,
                  29.89978054903974,
                  31.738181364810576,
                  24.43088871098674,
                  27.83268008310316,
                  24.65712467841512,
                  26.46699035284445,
                  30.59299785477991,
                  30.304948845204205,
                  32.919233990306296,
                  27.674921508143957,
                  36.33860707613447,
                  38.60628169474539,
                  41.339344183302146,
                  39.82018386333356,
                  70.64179962667183,
                  27.64414578747141
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  35.14266749815159,
                  43.357430456557765,
                  33.34492619104913,
                  44.32367417477065,
                  37.18120686588978,
                  46.71804353509169,
                  37.3744493180395,
                  23.386111584480698,
                  25.91641824462672,
                  26.84185613132068,
                  34.1981296528576,
                  35.30822615305543,
                  23.39082373653599,
                  25.935432732767996,
                  26.422236862939304,
                  28.49410384116709,
                  33.45512436498371,
                  26.59254000203277,
                  34.97252865209997,
                  29.12417428632264,
                  35.55785320439014,
                  36.42156798043569,
                  53.640036835637936,
                  32.726288178005404
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.728326247149674,
                  45.39782266152604,
                  33.07353606026055,
                  37.88688551360875,
                  36.57280175332332,
                  42.149752856118134,
                  36.62180464102082,
                  22.335173549188287,
                  28.420198148075094,
                  30.262080783572767,
                  22.94094856032881,
                  26.34918271913484,
                  23.167613004968228,
                  24.9809064552961,
                  29.114728365379165,
                  28.826133808436836,
                  31.445370251162224,
                  26.19112535899579,
                  34.87121942238024,
                  37.143188879283976,
                  39.88142762255391,
                  38.359390105009616,
                  69.23938014062692,
                  26.160291350973484
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.438531193293384,
              "rpss": 0.03189373197652412,
              "brier_below": 0.21874993969105136,
              "bss_below": 0.03466286186745715,
              "brier_above": 0.21978125384396796,
              "bss_above": 0.02912177467359045,
              "crps": 34.97734116501247,
              "crpss": 0.008186763105270445,
              "crps_fair": 33.74274377013375,
              "crpss_fair": 0.001594633235687204,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004575,
                    0.238443,
                    0.515242,
                    0.207883,
                    0.031844,
                    0.002014,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1883,
                    0.2611,
                    0.3461,
                    0.433,
                    0.5437,
                    0.6267,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3295,
                    0.2549,
                    0.3262,
                    0.4643,
                    0.5955,
                    0.5998,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00563,
                    0.250157,
                    0.550603,
                    0.168358,
                    0.022835,
                    0.002417,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1832,
                    0.2614,
                    0.3434,
                    0.437,
                    0.5345,
                    0.6145,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3301,
                    0.2174,
                    0.3653,
                    0.4772,
                    0.3205,
                    0.5202,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4298472095670045,
                  0.4969585120086017,
                  0.4182408897384236,
                  0.41358291812462805,
                  0.460445316865448,
                  0.4924839927137527,
                  0.39432844152859386,
                  0.39104360885790435,
                  0.4989482704593096
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4392667893930284,
                  0.47209024474380396,
                  0.4563295774817628,
                  0.4676949686529568,
                  0.46440251426226875,
                  0.44306773857298026,
                  0.4754913821954125,
                  0.4978762127486338,
                  0.46473262279411304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20095195413895556,
                  0.3305885298946464,
                  0.1769212346260305,
                  0.1375947263905828,
                  0.16905283811585423,
                  0.24404502657345464,
                  0.2408394232056967,
                  0.11953605970416141,
                  0.3048016961823827
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20840800414252633,
                  0.3211528412581965,
                  0.18588896696747403,
                  0.1529691839704525,
                  0.16918637749027593,
                  0.22647917630868836,
                  0.29670790679502046,
                  0.14687399037084822,
                  0.2847919519536404
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22889525496701796,
                  0.16636999499477026,
                  0.24131964725228888,
                  0.27598818084696447,
                  0.29139246721907913,
                  0.24843897188432928,
                  0.1534890230673164,
                  0.27150753270736533,
                  0.19414658595606135
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23085878370616417,
                  0.15093741623232468,
                  0.27044060189216984,
                  0.31472576814158004,
                  0.2952161237196651,
                  0.21658856327166845,
                  0.17878348316784407,
                  0.3510021993501296,
                  0.17994067840100206
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.37506258605704,
                  25.625098842152173,
                  18.933847049994032,
                  21.40099293205611,
                  22.03037350699426,
                  28.01254342868012,
                  17.542326775475154,
                  24.121999131479708,
                  23.7232072056955
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.251323675318027,
                  22.462373750235535,
                  22.429096847378236,
                  21.013467579334527,
                  21.05169122929241,
                  20.436541798871772,
                  21.23268013317464,
                  31.69290548699711,
                  20.84021936433369
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  19.992493910029694,
                  25.229125536079508,
                  18.528716978796375,
                  20.97163896218723,
                  21.639034733747508,
                  27.598228657662393,
                  17.142054945185183,
                  23.67552597933796,
                  23.31086340484121
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.36344490244705,
                  21.574494977364562,
                  21.54121807450725,
                  20.125588806463544,
                  20.163812456421432,
                  19.548663026000803,
                  20.344801360303663,
                  30.805026714126136,
                  19.95234059146272
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44398657331818514,
              "rpss": 0.044265729128343256,
              "brier_below": 0.2138146098701961,
              "bss_below": 0.03419238788160328,
              "brier_above": 0.23017196209946592,
              "bss_above": 0.053436737503719356,
              "crps": 22.41838349539823,
              "crpss": 0.0031858477892782178,
              "crps_fair": 22.009742567540783,
              "crpss_fair": -0.018867933808542015,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.002474,
                    0.399037,
                    0.470934,
                    0.120811,
                    0.006745,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1962,
                    0.2578,
                    0.3412,
                    0.4386,
                    0.5096,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.037,
                    0.2687,
                    0.3252,
                    0.5356,
                    0.839,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.172914,
                    0.506416,
                    0.248817,
                    0.071853,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2676,
                    0.3507,
                    0.4422,
                    0.5293,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2282,
                    0.383,
                    0.4875,
                    0.5771,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4413486834945673,
                  0.4764129821035933,
                  0.40938757426288913,
                  0.4228758507373827,
                  0.4632394086905325,
                  0.4950759024794325,
                  0.4141943895610033,
                  0.4134798459365204,
                  0.49569490017915946
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45375860413458485,
                  0.45298996440830325,
                  0.4431570365814314,
                  0.45029456864798206,
                  0.45806327538229014,
                  0.4543204749095515,
                  0.470672671598715,
                  0.4932554758488676,
                  0.46455214735141936
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1975982048823112,
                  0.30889114220073083,
                  0.19791752257906697,
                  0.1556088762682548,
                  0.17749121969836884,
                  0.24621391098158937,
                  0.22663319898461284,
                  0.136269427061872,
                  0.3029986426509797
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2051677757555093,
                  0.2983593853982372,
                  0.20938553817015962,
                  0.16496000983722006,
                  0.1741714573544431,
                  0.2285609758239909,
                  0.26339413622632507,
                  0.15647499638411203,
                  0.28182460076839555
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24375047507965938,
                  0.1675218517484875,
                  0.21147004973229663,
                  0.26726696731766636,
                  0.2857481790747503,
                  0.24886199422051963,
                  0.18756119048704747,
                  0.2772104037464511,
                  0.19269626779700957
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2485908236640017,
                  0.154630591096392,
                  0.2337714963461003,
                  0.28533454752539783,
                  0.28389180700046496,
                  0.22575949845304602,
                  0.20727853804452892,
                  0.336780458980145,
                  0.18272755364522117
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.51885048266502,
                  38.95794716203547,
                  28.131716175321106,
                  30.983013122233867,
                  35.02711535900174,
                  41.973831400862224,
                  29.0957576907659,
                  36.08905696258762,
                  37.43690342716414
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  33.004803964257825,
                  34.46939391673293,
                  32.65658052025425,
                  29.032738395322635,
                  33.148159551740136,
                  33.11616337741962,
                  33.59207713414676,
                  46.2020167224791,
                  32.25661943021509
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  30.91621143773314,
                  38.34145502860163,
                  27.50244064257631,
                  30.322535171343066,
                  34.41078062213291,
                  41.33793664028606,
                  28.44988414404062,
                  35.408432693994,
                  36.79946873501791
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  31.596610755475933,
                  33.06120070795104,
                  31.24838731147235,
                  27.62454518654074,
                  31.73996634295824,
                  31.707970168637708,
                  32.18388392536486,
                  44.7938235136972,
                  30.848426221433186
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44796772638278676,
              "rpss": 0.026407386033749036,
              "brier_below": 0.21662468281197628,
              "bss_below": 0.01648426017432114,
              "brier_above": 0.23134304213376533,
              "bss_above": 0.03551934757674291,
              "crps": 34.357132420293006,
              "crpss": -0.0056447474240513,
              "crps_fair": 33.72101612396952,
              "crpss_fair": -0.029457900840997864,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.002018,
                    0.368846,
                    0.509253,
                    0.114951,
                    0.004932,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1962,
                    0.2608,
                    0.3413,
                    0.4373,
                    0.5092,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0667,
                    0.2846,
                    0.3271,
                    0.4522,
                    0.7583,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.194572,
                    0.541326,
                    0.216991,
                    0.047111,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2688,
                    0.3486,
                    0.4399,
                    0.5276,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2697,
                    0.3795,
                    0.4664,
                    0.5758,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "pt": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.5622428092387243,
            "training": [
              0.5795955227241165,
              0.5641935216316382,
              0.5485973213166444,
              0.5412344956640283,
              0.5032904861180981,
              0.5860551791034105,
              0.5725716323543333,
              0.5574159671708325,
              0.5865789020713923,
              0.5901841367909814,
              0.5042613550676894,
              0.5144561230450504,
              0.5620644768900511,
              0.568026469695251,
              0.5948907001919534,
              0.5562165664285094,
              0.5421367078302947,
              0.5711796720601829,
              0.5645877328426717,
              0.5978103669778161,
              0.5786066933997854,
              0.5665001906343333,
              0.6206114658688906,
              0.5227617358514264
            ],
            "test": 0.5831558818903524
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4256107315906781,
                  0.43918345778227424,
                  0.4502503177934039,
                  0.4980627433317657,
                  0.4740871622087403,
                  0.4404179219980812,
                  0.43896795174847303,
                  0.39852728805905113,
                  0.4100361793292639,
                  0.43630602204200475,
                  0.5142662055568381,
                  0.5254576831255954,
                  0.3856654967510757,
                  0.4451991341829617,
                  0.3979705690610236,
                  0.42879920163844326,
                  0.480331713734198,
                  0.44176178149827117,
                  0.4630513642913638,
                  0.4358289373048452,
                  0.4379586374904443,
                  0.45546380255458885,
                  0.4020766891046829,
                  0.49376356743095007
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4754016819136036,
                  0.4698987852691481,
                  0.4475722931876876,
                  0.45452035553745596,
                  0.45257039479879513,
                  0.47044392511759964,
                  0.4542944276806166,
                  0.40943755938485,
                  0.4371667600138314,
                  0.47263230769926734,
                  0.4303065355231145,
                  0.454595990277518,
                  0.3959257285293265,
                  0.4434645496740271,
                  0.4412507991961764,
                  0.435170437641651,
                  0.46944879844205245,
                  0.4520639211186838,
                  0.4716870174931902,
                  0.4802945203904019,
                  0.4668563967515232,
                  0.4722071384657149,
                  0.4700629053401188,
                  0.4416277853045537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.27666481204968696,
                  0.16380688400321905,
                  0.23498615937300066,
                  0.20413977252303744,
                  0.27118688455477297,
                  0.15703933955329483,
                  0.18909669806292015,
                  0.22427316167320227,
                  0.18691287276676186,
                  0.28721089053866394,
                  0.2881954390787938,
                  0.3134205648031663,
                  0.19095224966570726,
                  0.2515550479182993,
                  0.15752102635053886,
                  0.1716743492815113,
                  0.33520131343205817,
                  0.14469226786699724,
                  0.22555409656549966,
                  0.14957624119618118,
                  0.13953793725356486,
                  0.2997950301849216,
                  0.2642534019035747,
                  0.2341338992601135
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3078804322691799,
                  0.1772720877647993,
                  0.23250880823643677,
                  0.18364157998711608,
                  0.25298088487778414,
                  0.16740053832617655,
                  0.19875490361406287,
                  0.23070092354944458,
                  0.19835315818041957,
                  0.3046158566400611,
                  0.2547128368467289,
                  0.2754668354354953,
                  0.19677990497580344,
                  0.24932954530109538,
                  0.18175769604553224,
                  0.17303074498633814,
                  0.3240234689536009,
                  0.14982223006986983,
                  0.23057761248348646,
                  0.17130633492700192,
                  0.15271106939309373,
                  0.30644077557443045,
                  0.3037858009356,
                  0.21743539710448076
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1489459188547859,
                  0.2753765752675947,
                  0.2152641570179151,
                  0.29392297084307806,
                  0.2029002765214497,
                  0.2833785831152943,
                  0.24987125414713324,
                  0.17425412473503038,
                  0.2231233068040007,
                  0.14909513041309472,
                  0.2260707677259291,
                  0.2120371192001191,
                  0.19471324565035594,
                  0.1936440850516352,
                  0.24044954234590546,
                  0.25712485323824225,
                  0.14513039723952012,
                  0.2970695167853887,
                  0.23749726838975238,
                  0.2862526977886366,
                  0.29842070367360723,
                  0.15566877176470423,
                  0.1378232877741889,
                  0.2596296696393898
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16752124964442372,
                  0.2926266975043488,
                  0.21506348495125072,
                  0.2708787755503398,
                  0.1995895099210109,
                  0.3030433867914231,
                  0.2555395240665538,
                  0.17873663583540544,
                  0.23881360183341188,
                  0.1680164510592061,
                  0.17559369867638552,
                  0.1791291548420226,
                  0.1991458235535231,
                  0.1941350043729317,
                  0.2594931031506441,
                  0.26213969265531295,
                  0.1454253294884514,
                  0.30224169104881393,
                  0.24110940500970388,
                  0.3089881854633999,
                  0.31414532735842937,
                  0.16576636289128455,
                  0.16627710440451882,
                  0.22419238820007306
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.086298863571663,
                  27.88889697895957,
                  22.36856569871297,
                  28.724276534669265,
                  25.76988380608451,
                  29.06043708907519,
                  23.63843505483799,
                  15.288163664210838,
                  16.46838085102344,
                  17.072720611051682,
                  23.221380714658498,
                  22.883992285185233,
                  15.463733658298134,
                  17.035924669881283,
                  18.179181238278943,
                  18.432929462816418,
                  22.61150862857436,
                  19.060870951692543,
                  23.95404743333584,
                  21.077828307449572,
                  22.87787770168372,
                  22.94275791686131,
                  32.497232502181554,
                  24.550005451685813
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.613106129562965,
                  29.397864976210336,
                  21.926969342234923,
                  24.443182328369915,
                  23.799442768719484,
                  27.188641472953417,
                  23.53383296202524,
                  14.853438063071343,
                  18.566426770436173,
                  19.66238774209615,
                  15.276449953495895,
                  17.30546875341423,
                  15.311758068701987,
                  16.585118321907462,
                  20.610952753353995,
                  18.456897804883226,
                  21.311808216556564,
                  18.864772006483992,
                  24.22745453814933,
                  25.980309080969267,
                  25.35510595105101,
                  24.545857790902712,
                  41.67248951423064,
                  18.164010610584267
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.326856274291004,
                  27.194253125441772,
                  21.643255402535978,
                  27.95969953257925,
                  24.988730177117425,
                  28.294158584159668,
                  22.888086458190084,
                  14.510831951253165,
                  15.786690964178321,
                  16.283781536905533,
                  22.414821598277143,
                  22.07515651063153,
                  14.649391846977078,
                  16.247864043981863,
                  17.392705690534612,
                  17.6481786423997,
                  21.83768231290349,
                  18.189951271749454,
                  23.156780359186975,
                  20.313229097554583,
                  22.094997096323027,
                  22.202438940099693,
                  31.739271372169576,
                  23.72694565093644
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.694914714706677,
                  28.484947725836346,
                  20.999902668311726,
                  23.520881209344694,
                  22.875922445982813,
                  26.271540087156584,
                  22.609809590412247,
                  13.912974549604273,
                  17.632995432551223,
                  18.73103208786966,
                  14.336787598912204,
                  16.369649237466756,
                  14.372162585548612,
                  15.647934505900317,
                  19.681393623770038,
                  17.52325902577564,
                  20.383576464743825,
                  17.931905716394613,
                  23.30474484376386,
                  25.060919186854285,
                  24.43453196009906,
                  23.623751132980786,
                  40.78281965881499,
                  17.229817120881425
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4466268566503757,
              "rpss": 0.01378763638922742,
              "brier_below": 0.2233908474941453,
              "bss_below": 0.014685689430468885,
              "brier_above": 0.22323600933278132,
              "bss_above": 0.012887319431119315,
              "crps": 22.25647208644918,
              "crpss": -0.0009399056190466659,
              "crps_fair": 21.481906601682386,
              "crpss_fair": -0.008109968484217411,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.010643,
                    0.2509,
                    0.503048,
                    0.201886,
                    0.031778,
                    0.001746,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1891,
                    0.2606,
                    0.3462,
                    0.4327,
                    0.5418,
                    0.6225,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.523,
                    0.2744,
                    0.339,
                    0.4335,
                    0.4381,
                    0.5883,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.006919,
                    0.23873,
                    0.522335,
                    0.193374,
                    0.035315,
                    0.003328,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1849,
                    0.263,
                    0.3439,
                    0.4372,
                    0.5345,
                    0.616,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4806,
                    0.2326,
                    0.3609,
                    0.4458,
                    0.3079,
                    0.3298,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4241879240531911,
                  0.4538571023033178,
                  0.4466297604461089,
                  0.5024810243810198,
                  0.4083661771597727,
                  0.47604633001215796,
                  0.45992459580814576,
                  0.39382509076777944,
                  0.3967395245333235,
                  0.4347349311449672,
                  0.4756579706606006,
                  0.5067162607258171,
                  0.3948697742009743,
                  0.43437039392052657,
                  0.3938247751696576,
                  0.44234852639453237,
                  0.470341240979797,
                  0.4312907823254292,
                  0.447143411753459,
                  0.4168545530358393,
                  0.43691982679335056,
                  0.45673423182236467,
                  0.4026237560810745,
                  0.4241260786499492
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4708394260755114,
                  0.478347266080356,
                  0.45538422746879303,
                  0.459058972330508,
                  0.4576620419554788,
                  0.4731696930221518,
                  0.4667027713068357,
                  0.40033314926296837,
                  0.4269632323273467,
                  0.47402716162226893,
                  0.42746598323848156,
                  0.4504271403690195,
                  0.40120899735641075,
                  0.42992826073816515,
                  0.4295731135867868,
                  0.45389937720701334,
                  0.464329174189181,
                  0.43688310391500257,
                  0.4544141148747783,
                  0.48318259866850327,
                  0.47262088435117405,
                  0.4869104538041862,
                  0.4927855011868216,
                  0.4253640867477962
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2697362459686897,
                  0.18055206754992398,
                  0.2589057009983826,
                  0.2088801172838125,
                  0.2732674717744002,
                  0.1800499287020328,
                  0.2204864389925629,
                  0.2009959536512332,
                  0.1412689637043729,
                  0.2845518674339792,
                  0.2593479495188877,
                  0.28538770206870584,
                  0.19589846832781177,
                  0.216235757453859,
                  0.1659781119632196,
                  0.1710456293936188,
                  0.3199077574567416,
                  0.15666436867417805,
                  0.23459088571202757,
                  0.10631306680070003,
                  0.13392390321050415,
                  0.339686331003691,
                  0.28179787194609884,
                  0.1701828567337611
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3014181688717181,
                  0.19043828142969435,
                  0.2621352098296086,
                  0.189211357423254,
                  0.29646647218334904,
                  0.1763031653097088,
                  0.22490333867954082,
                  0.20427330506010077,
                  0.15400796871896968,
                  0.30561580770909275,
                  0.2387426263229863,
                  0.25381385295644204,
                  0.19826391217931327,
                  0.2127100821035814,
                  0.1864847383371641,
                  0.17554851753521306,
                  0.31069878617163244,
                  0.15976518026133896,
                  0.23943647892764403,
                  0.13596964382400945,
                  0.15004019014661238,
                  0.3525530292328047,
                  0.338807101099202,
                  0.18090576234657507
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15445167740491164,
                  0.2733050367393025,
                  0.18772405764312086,
                  0.293600906421763,
                  0.13509870540544752,
                  0.29599640266048577,
                  0.23943815668557658,
                  0.19282913648244437,
                  0.2554705611284947,
                  0.15018306241746315,
                  0.2163100212603846,
                  0.22132855981549845,
                  0.1989713053369776,
                  0.21813463627657212,
                  0.2278466630311373,
                  0.27130289837084653,
                  0.15043348066712842,
                  0.2746264162358381,
                  0.2125525252088605,
                  0.3105414883277106,
                  0.3029959269433708,
                  0.11704789962892671,
                  0.1208258844142018,
                  0.2539432227606607
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16942125720379314,
                  0.28790898465066145,
                  0.1932490176391843,
                  0.26984761490725384,
                  0.16119556977212962,
                  0.2968665277124429,
                  0.2417994326272948,
                  0.1960598442028676,
                  0.27295526360837696,
                  0.16841135391317605,
                  0.18872335691549524,
                  0.19661328741257744,
                  0.20294508517709747,
                  0.21721817863458368,
                  0.24308837524962262,
                  0.2783508596718001,
                  0.15363038801754828,
                  0.27711792365366356,
                  0.2149776359471342,
                  0.3472129548444936,
                  0.3225806942045614,
                  0.13435742457138128,
                  0.15397840008761954,
                  0.24445832440122106
                ],
                "crps": [
                  36.42831383649539,
                  44.666611625493765,
                  34.438498171532636,
                  45.53771277480392,
                  38.075533241607395,
                  48.11214425156016,
                  38.42041216314463,
                  24.6239780686558,
                  27.083005037231654,
                  28.137790382144903,
                  35.31722253919886,
                  36.58162429203853,
                  24.801220710514087,
                  27.488162889031678,
                  27.78022527740198,
                  29.83244958342176,
                  34.67056173547901,
                  27.895951806636997,
                  36.24690333248576,
                  30.600916496435243,
                  36.70955492655384,
                  37.25375929767181,
                  54.449360388643576,
                  34.06178648592606
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.18653222448657,
                  46.84531125433672,
                  34.54432198123997,
                  39.348572475319074,
                  38.036972805317745,
                  43.60338146746455,
                  38.085883059957226,
                  23.826258832192412,
                  29.89978054903974,
                  31.738181364810576,
                  24.43088871098674,
                  27.83268008310316,
                  24.65712467841512,
                  26.46699035284445,
                  30.59299785477991,
                  30.304948845204205,
                  32.919233990306296,
                  27.674921508143957,
                  36.33860707613447,
                  38.60628169474539,
                  41.339344183302146,
                  39.82018386333356,
                  70.64179962667183,
                  27.64414578747141
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  35.205196364334434,
                  43.563321912830126,
                  33.28459474251329,
                  44.31328134356443,
                  36.77973688488262,
                  46.885606073188626,
                  37.23326341411221,
                  23.406419669129022,
                  26.009715035483392,
                  26.85525689304861,
                  34.06156078184013,
                  35.30676632700245,
                  23.50547704710731,
                  26.2344788112747,
                  26.53475572248954,
                  28.58566283574869,
                  33.452128627523734,
                  26.50785005949205,
                  34.995905267821406,
                  29.38006835762814,
                  35.47066025575155,
                  36.06737305846514,
                  53.235618611386734,
                  32.767778916699484
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.728326247149674,
                  45.39782266152604,
                  33.07353606026055,
                  37.88688551360875,
                  36.57280175332332,
                  42.149752856118134,
                  36.62180464102082,
                  22.335173549188287,
                  28.420198148075094,
                  30.262080783572767,
                  22.94094856032881,
                  26.34918271913484,
                  23.167613004968228,
                  24.9809064552961,
                  29.114728365379165,
                  28.826133808436836,
                  31.445370251162224,
                  26.19112535899579,
                  34.87121942238024,
                  37.143188879283976,
                  39.88142762255391,
                  38.359390105009616,
                  69.23938014062692,
                  26.160291350973484
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4387755851301316,
              "rpss": 0.03135420987951598,
              "brier_below": 0.21898564234679982,
              "bss_below": 0.03362271288514518,
              "brier_above": 0.21978994296946355,
              "bss_above": 0.029083390677716148,
              "crps": 34.96723747142123,
              "crpss": 0.008473262213308574,
              "crps_fair": 33.73510320888824,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0018207078372244334,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004625,
                    0.24003,
                    0.518799,
                    0.204388,
                    0.030296,
                    0.001862,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1899,
                    0.262,
                    0.3466,
                    0.432,
                    0.5417,
                    0.6216,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3152,
                    0.2592,
                    0.3283,
                    0.4604,
                    0.5896,
                    0.5944,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00563,
                    0.255722,
                    0.547298,
                    0.166992,
                    0.02184,
                    0.002518,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1852,
                    0.2625,
                    0.3435,
                    0.4359,
                    0.5342,
                    0.6127,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.339,
                    0.223,
                    0.3624,
                    0.482,
                    0.3307,
                    0.5194,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43141747060266866,
                  0.4993559453413196,
                  0.4157216130277026,
                  0.41349501758044654,
                  0.4602890002851458,
                  0.4912296215886273,
                  0.3977072485528918,
                  0.39141860627707153,
                  0.5017749810528422
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4392667893930284,
                  0.47209024474380396,
                  0.4563295774817628,
                  0.4676949686529568,
                  0.46440251426226875,
                  0.44306773857298026,
                  0.4754913821954125,
                  0.4978762127486338,
                  0.46473262279411304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20213845458527727,
                  0.3327025039950464,
                  0.17488121750314897,
                  0.13675553497370674,
                  0.1684017120156537,
                  0.2433764474633505,
                  0.24337622973478346,
                  0.11902931741266864,
                  0.3071561562162537
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20840800414252633,
                  0.3211528412581965,
                  0.18588896696747403,
                  0.1529691839704525,
                  0.16918637749027593,
                  0.22647917630868836,
                  0.29670790679502046,
                  0.14687399037084822,
                  0.2847919519536404
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22927901553538366,
                  0.1666534542447256,
                  0.24084038768414737,
                  0.2767394717289759,
                  0.2918872764591493,
                  0.24785317977723087,
                  0.154331023773597,
                  0.27238927247717143,
                  0.19461883649641656
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23085878370616417,
                  0.15093741623232468,
                  0.27044060189216984,
                  0.31472576814158004,
                  0.2952161237196651,
                  0.21658856327166845,
                  0.17878348316784407,
                  0.3510021993501296,
                  0.17994067840100206
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.368413658667542,
                  25.601442625884964,
                  18.8151344139142,
                  21.406769452009936,
                  22.027930482515643,
                  27.906638546579874,
                  17.540885046645705,
                  24.257562065508623,
                  23.76030427959918
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.251323675318027,
                  22.462373750235535,
                  22.429096847378236,
                  21.013467579334527,
                  21.05169122929241,
                  20.436541798871772,
                  21.23268013317464,
                  31.69290548699711,
                  20.84021936433369
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  19.99048515526349,
                  25.211809725887843,
                  18.41446221420729,
                  20.98980246220585,
                  21.64208862823192,
                  27.506097983644302,
                  17.14309367929597,
                  23.822754557425945,
                  23.35687318553796
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.36344490244705,
                  21.574494977364562,
                  21.54121807450725,
                  20.125588806463544,
                  20.163812456421432,
                  19.548663026000803,
                  20.344801360303663,
                  30.805026714126136,
                  19.95234059146272
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44471216714541284,
              "rpss": 0.04270380151816422,
              "brier_below": 0.2142019526555433,
              "bss_below": 0.032442747804086736,
              "brier_above": 0.23051021313075534,
              "bss_above": 0.05204570795867991,
              "crps": 22.40945339681396,
              "crpss": 0.003582916946885728,
              "crps_fair": 22.008607510188952,
              "crpss_fair": -0.01881539009817068,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.002382,
                    0.409881,
                    0.467639,
                    0.116633,
                    0.003465,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1984,
                    0.2582,
                    0.3401,
                    0.4372,
                    0.5099,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0385,
                    0.2758,
                    0.3261,
                    0.533,
                    0.8688,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.176489,
                    0.499638,
                    0.248172,
                    0.0757,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2688,
                    0.3505,
                    0.4402,
                    0.5272,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2339,
                    0.3832,
                    0.4804,
                    0.5841,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44322419674939545,
                  0.4758072704742689,
                  0.4083403645304847,
                  0.42382328328862967,
                  0.4639371180050553,
                  0.4941285285634999,
                  0.4156106518563282,
                  0.4157065545311437,
                  0.49668258377181146
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45375860413458485,
                  0.45298996440830325,
                  0.4431570365814314,
                  0.45029456864798206,
                  0.45806327538229014,
                  0.4543204749095515,
                  0.470672671598715,
                  0.4932554758488676,
                  0.46455214735141936
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.19879135171228093,
                  0.30851249822999915,
                  0.19691873448305014,
                  0.1556397639215611,
                  0.17729388745562152,
                  0.24598691447581533,
                  0.22731572308345105,
                  0.13670169831786746,
                  0.3039427623235204
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2051677757555093,
                  0.2983593853982372,
                  0.20938553817015962,
                  0.16496000983722006,
                  0.1741714573544431,
                  0.2285609758239909,
                  0.26339413622632507,
                  0.15647499638411203,
                  0.28182460076839555
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24443284129981857,
                  0.1672947842036424,
                  0.21142162791374877,
                  0.2681835121304661,
                  0.28664322050433166,
                  0.24814161674451818,
                  0.18829492882694124,
                  0.2790048409650414,
                  0.19273983170062983
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2485908236640017,
                  0.154630591096392,
                  0.2337714963461003,
                  0.28533454752539783,
                  0.28389180700046496,
                  0.22575949845304602,
                  0.20727853804452892,
                  0.336780458980145,
                  0.18272755364522117
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.63066349129368,
                  38.91399992948828,
                  27.91477079777089,
                  30.995178497951173,
                  35.11513459712923,
                  41.94984172668383,
                  29.135402105732194,
                  36.29582408671164,
                  37.46731983695408
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  33.004803964257825,
                  34.46939391673293,
                  32.65658052025425,
                  29.032738395322635,
                  33.148159551740136,
                  33.11616337741962,
                  33.59207713414676,
                  46.2020167224791,
                  32.25661943021509
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.029891928840367,
                  38.30125660754601,
                  27.287129464298566,
                  30.342342138548194,
                  34.50132813942024,
                  41.323708405283725,
                  28.492693107615132,
                  35.62108548581262,
                  36.83466390896564
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  31.596610755475933,
                  33.06120070795104,
                  31.24838731147235,
                  27.62454518654074,
                  31.73996634295824,
                  31.707970168637708,
                  32.18388392536486,
                  44.7938235136972,
                  30.848426221433186
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4485845057522908,
              "rpss": 0.02506690589817162,
              "brier_below": 0.21678925933368523,
              "bss_below": 0.015737052619736902,
              "brier_above": 0.23179524492101533,
              "bss_above": 0.03363409165872688,
              "crps": 34.37979278552388,
              "crpss": -0.006308023887010128,
              "crps_fair": 33.74823324292561,
              "crpss_fair": -0.030288803386889995,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.002153,
                    0.367621,
                    0.50912,
                    0.118037,
                    0.00307,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1984,
                    0.2614,
                    0.3411,
                    0.4357,
                    0.5083,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0625,
                    0.2895,
                    0.3254,
                    0.445,
                    0.8702,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.200611,
                    0.537277,
                    0.213522,
                    0.048589,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2699,
                    0.3482,
                    0.4378,
                    0.5258,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2763,
                    0.3806,
                    0.4603,
                    0.5776,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dc": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.650919849765048,
            "training": [
              0.6736514166446993,
              0.6534096151082436,
              0.6340642130853209,
              0.6287996184805957,
              0.6069539008824744,
              0.6767804318137077,
              0.6520662678972753,
              0.6504042733567187,
              0.6662636328188914,
              0.6739617250460346,
              0.6026806362921215,
              0.6071623531845882,
              0.6439948591900561,
              0.6568081889879124,
              0.6841352821860099,
              0.6426831792852358,
              0.6253837907997929,
              0.6664467261192629,
              0.6534872676602274,
              0.6825444892001027,
              0.6562802410900106,
              0.6576641099427681,
              0.708087249228582,
              0.6183629260605193
            ],
            "test": 0.670941353896955
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42850007744429935,
                  0.45040789432953154,
                  0.4605665090683629,
                  0.492301129235447,
                  0.47620353646811886,
                  0.4442962654173935,
                  0.4468018810607823,
                  0.38762956090432876,
                  0.4138089595737193,
                  0.43818493452013735,
                  0.4925370759522707,
                  0.5113374648531502,
                  0.3862394153130481,
                  0.4350737149127415,
                  0.40959151546081257,
                  0.4371503293133309,
                  0.4828965927391447,
                  0.43787093241432207,
                  0.46754018346788706,
                  0.4521270298177565,
                  0.45596198366777574,
                  0.465379255893846,
                  0.4105710974097852,
                  0.47358001484326645
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4754016819136036,
                  0.4698987852691481,
                  0.4475722931876876,
                  0.45452035553745596,
                  0.45257039479879513,
                  0.47044392511759964,
                  0.4542944276806166,
                  0.40943755938485,
                  0.4371667600138314,
                  0.47263230769926734,
                  0.4303065355231145,
                  0.454595990277518,
                  0.3959257285293265,
                  0.4434645496740271,
                  0.4412507991961764,
                  0.435170437641651,
                  0.46944879844205245,
                  0.4520639211186838,
                  0.4716870174931902,
                  0.4802945203904019,
                  0.4668563967515232,
                  0.4722071384657149,
                  0.4700629053401188,
                  0.4416277853045537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.27857543597317785,
                  0.1697544107381282,
                  0.23990738181169516,
                  0.20166679996156664,
                  0.27528418103470875,
                  0.1571779149291775,
                  0.1939947190550635,
                  0.21898887609921547,
                  0.19048430637251787,
                  0.28406722965770176,
                  0.2758720010093363,
                  0.30505212693952105,
                  0.19222362459623946,
                  0.2460183790234749,
                  0.16704091510913519,
                  0.1774226994577452,
                  0.33553111013882514,
                  0.14418054952593523,
                  0.22796108130498421,
                  0.1636516271308451,
                  0.147508861414783,
                  0.3070987459883636,
                  0.2689872912823775,
                  0.22789115303569504
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3078804322691799,
                  0.1772720877647993,
                  0.23250880823643677,
                  0.18364157998711608,
                  0.25298088487778414,
                  0.16740053832617655,
                  0.19875490361406287,
                  0.23070092354944458,
                  0.19835315818041957,
                  0.3046158566400611,
                  0.2547128368467289,
                  0.2754668354354953,
                  0.19677990497580344,
                  0.24932954530109538,
                  0.18175769604553224,
                  0.17303074498633814,
                  0.3240234689536009,
                  0.14982223006986983,
                  0.23057761248348646,
                  0.17130633492700192,
                  0.15271106939309373,
                  0.30644077557443045,
                  0.3037858009356,
                  0.21743539710448076
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14992464170742226,
                  0.2806534825779168,
                  0.22065912758999917,
                  0.29063432941876877,
                  0.200919355700854,
                  0.28711834993889024,
                  0.2528071618970404,
                  0.16864068542181201,
                  0.22332465339417193,
                  0.15411770540608627,
                  0.21666507520367595,
                  0.20628533809798966,
                  0.1940157911118,
                  0.18905533612531564,
                  0.2425506005529557,
                  0.25972762938105926,
                  0.1473654842856788,
                  0.29369038190502905,
                  0.2395791021829888,
                  0.2884754026306895,
                  0.3084531211580571,
                  0.15828051072408858,
                  0.14158380622913738,
                  0.24568886225617262
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16752124964442372,
                  0.2926266975043488,
                  0.21506348495125072,
                  0.2708787755503398,
                  0.1995895099210109,
                  0.3030433867914231,
                  0.2555395240665538,
                  0.17873663583540544,
                  0.23881360183341188,
                  0.1680164510592061,
                  0.17559369867638552,
                  0.1791291548420226,
                  0.1991458235535231,
                  0.1941350043729317,
                  0.2594931031506441,
                  0.26213969265531295,
                  0.1454253294884514,
                  0.30224169104881393,
                  0.24110940500970388,
                  0.3089881854633999,
                  0.31414532735842937,
                  0.16576636289128455,
                  0.16627710440451882,
                  0.22419238820007306
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.245850999597486,
                  27.701598253234017,
                  22.782086990975998,
                  27.941162043321253,
                  26.466001007901554,
                  27.050850547655486,
                  23.563061536368814,
                  14.659705722501391,
                  16.88343813835502,
                  17.120914625434025,
                  23.12649821712418,
                  21.568768327817104,
                  15.788227642011952,
                  16.490783287598184,
                  18.297615180845426,
                  18.81454810215102,
                  22.458113202585306,
                  18.84820945115892,
                  24.18683463461275,
                  20.97908813593524,
                  23.37246105071245,
                  23.347805578847243,
                  33.46680996862088,
                  25.164902807852943
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.613106129562965,
                  29.397864976210336,
                  21.926969342234923,
                  24.443182328369915,
                  23.799442768719484,
                  27.188641472953417,
                  23.53383296202524,
                  14.853438063071343,
                  18.566426770436173,
                  19.66238774209615,
                  15.276449953495895,
                  17.30546875341423,
                  15.311758068701987,
                  16.585118321907462,
                  20.610952753353995,
                  18.456897804883226,
                  21.311808216556564,
                  18.864772006483992,
                  24.22745453814933,
                  25.980309080969267,
                  25.35510595105101,
                  24.545857790902712,
                  41.67248951423064,
                  18.164010610584267
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.418451532103482,
                  26.74912208191007,
                  21.916066067664403,
                  27.10724828474197,
                  25.760722102067636,
                  26.06600111688328,
                  22.628323829959967,
                  13.734099837902724,
                  15.944699022011667,
                  16.273056548090633,
                  22.029011815658148,
                  20.574036909708564,
                  14.84918425198426,
                  15.564428422126817,
                  17.261084240226456,
                  17.881052542594844,
                  21.51960093552421,
                  17.920222249864715,
                  23.23398039081831,
                  19.977818502576486,
                  22.421618789669747,
                  22.510210735876157,
                  32.70086180593471,
                  24.024031692406425
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.694914714706677,
                  28.484947725836346,
                  20.999902668311726,
                  23.520881209344694,
                  22.875922445982813,
                  26.271540087156584,
                  22.609809590412247,
                  13.912974549604273,
                  17.632995432551223,
                  18.73103208786966,
                  14.336787598912204,
                  16.369649237466756,
                  14.372162585548612,
                  15.647934505900317,
                  19.681393623770038,
                  17.52325902577564,
                  20.383576464743825,
                  17.931905716394613,
                  23.30474484376386,
                  25.060919186854285,
                  24.43453196009906,
                  23.623751132980786,
                  40.78281965881499,
                  17.229817120881425
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44818988975338575,
              "rpss": 0.010336248395047543,
              "brier_below": 0.22484755923292554,
              "bss_below": 0.008260542927399195,
              "brier_above": 0.2233423306207333,
              "bss_above": 0.012417184295369976,
              "crps": 22.221888977217446,
              "crpss": 0.0006153999098785778,
              "crps_fair": 21.294372237846073,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0006907057353571222,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.151856,
                    0.669883,
                    0.143402,
                    0.034858,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2699,
                    0.3454,
                    0.4352,
                    0.54,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.327,
                    0.3201,
                    0.479,
                    0.4208,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.194536,
                    0.649127,
                    0.134403,
                    0.021935,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2687,
                    0.3476,
                    0.4326,
                    0.5372,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2401,
                    0.3592,
                    0.4414,
                    0.2895,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4340258658986827,
                  0.4588195965491968,
                  0.45674436149574427,
                  0.4874800891656302,
                  0.41773330674198395,
                  0.4691889799932374,
                  0.46334962275983954,
                  0.3915727329481812,
                  0.4056934300957666,
                  0.44259439705379283,
                  0.45781725813308305,
                  0.4845670307734458,
                  0.40265918807992573,
                  0.42905014582664913,
                  0.4020330764720851,
                  0.4487325968108904,
                  0.47541754641942785,
                  0.4317612613220061,
                  0.4568454859319577,
                  0.43437772037622885,
                  0.4487763326598893,
                  0.4618279017722982,
                  0.41720720516461174,
                  0.4178187677109704
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4708394260755114,
                  0.478347266080356,
                  0.45538422746879303,
                  0.459058972330508,
                  0.4576620419554788,
                  0.4731696930221518,
                  0.4667027713068357,
                  0.40033314926296837,
                  0.4269632323273467,
                  0.47402716162226893,
                  0.42746598323848156,
                  0.4504271403690195,
                  0.40120899735641075,
                  0.42992826073816515,
                  0.4295731135867868,
                  0.45389937720701334,
                  0.464329174189181,
                  0.43688310391500257,
                  0.4544141148747783,
                  0.48318259866850327,
                  0.47262088435117405,
                  0.4869104538041862,
                  0.4927855011868216,
                  0.4253640867477962
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2792200156890685,
                  0.18342291155150053,
                  0.2634958935878044,
                  0.2005277991624017,
                  0.2796373004974587,
                  0.17553391683237127,
                  0.2238604533028495,
                  0.20096986966025315,
                  0.14780019399241626,
                  0.28713598357199005,
                  0.2474435375725721,
                  0.2710195280317576,
                  0.19966830329173368,
                  0.21306335491782633,
                  0.17328120761503318,
                  0.17507249518918758,
                  0.3203776022230792,
                  0.15765162363307694,
                  0.2401010508832268,
                  0.11717170164825413,
                  0.14033150408045342,
                  0.3412400448142007,
                  0.29056440395436645,
                  0.1715080189764528
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3014181688717181,
                  0.19043828142969435,
                  0.2621352098296086,
                  0.189211357423254,
                  0.29646647218334904,
                  0.1763031653097088,
                  0.22490333867954082,
                  0.20427330506010077,
                  0.15400796871896968,
                  0.30561580770909275,
                  0.2387426263229863,
                  0.25381385295644204,
                  0.19826391217931327,
                  0.2127100821035814,
                  0.1864847383371641,
                  0.17554851753521306,
                  0.31069878617163244,
                  0.15976518026133896,
                  0.23943647892764403,
                  0.13596964382400945,
                  0.15004019014661238,
                  0.3525530292328047,
                  0.338807101099202,
                  0.18090576234657507
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15480585055606122,
                  0.2753966840931416,
                  0.19324846842991655,
                  0.2869522904552577,
                  0.1380960068378106,
                  0.2936550623732745,
                  0.2394891694458291,
                  0.1906028638811214,
                  0.2578932358756846,
                  0.1554584138725941,
                  0.21037372107017788,
                  0.2135475026837246,
                  0.20299088497577833,
                  0.21598679090363485,
                  0.22875186933111474,
                  0.2736601008105495,
                  0.15503994585171035,
                  0.274109637109182,
                  0.2167444354335659,
                  0.31720601843256047,
                  0.30844482781658245,
                  0.12058785814559767,
                  0.12664280135725892,
                  0.2463107492979313
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16942125720379314,
                  0.28790898465066145,
                  0.1932490176391843,
                  0.26984761490725384,
                  0.16119556977212962,
                  0.2968665277124429,
                  0.2417994326272948,
                  0.1960598442028676,
                  0.27295526360837696,
                  0.16841135391317605,
                  0.18872335691549524,
                  0.19661328741257744,
                  0.20294508517709747,
                  0.21721817863458368,
                  0.24308837524962262,
                  0.2783508596718001,
                  0.15363038801754828,
                  0.27711792365366356,
                  0.2149776359471342,
                  0.3472129548444936,
                  0.3225806942045614,
                  0.13435742457138128,
                  0.15397840008761954,
                  0.24445832440122106
                ],
                "crps": [
                  36.91232011190888,
                  44.28833925858851,
                  34.92534290791269,
                  43.743172564188605,
                  38.300558946424864,
                  44.397560589526975,
                  38.00106087693491,
                  23.584039046024603,
                  27.7168210961496,
                  28.301870641145353,
                  34.636719573357986,
                  34.046189144750514,
                  25.43207995482617,
                  26.675363348093164,
                  27.93677231679315,
                  30.316728844497483,
                  34.44322718716379,
                  27.65533617549821,
                  36.75586624967957,
                  30.959057062752276,
                  37.53061686495842,
                  37.69246023424694,
                  56.349900307845125,
                  34.62527066912919
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.18653222448657,
                  46.84531125433672,
                  34.54432198123997,
                  39.348572475319074,
                  38.036972805317745,
                  43.60338146746455,
                  38.085883059957226,
                  23.826258832192412,
                  29.89978054903974,
                  31.738181364810576,
                  24.43088871098674,
                  27.83268008310316,
                  24.65712467841512,
                  26.46699035284445,
                  30.59299785477991,
                  30.304948845204205,
                  32.919233990306296,
                  27.674921508143957,
                  36.33860707613447,
                  38.60628169474539,
                  41.339344183302146,
                  39.82018386333356,
                  70.64179962667183,
                  27.64414578747141
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  35.57208462876225,
                  42.781271653022934,
                  33.53915659395734,
                  42.40155725167868,
                  37.13018125871293,
                  42.87677911681361,
                  36.51686163452663,
                  22.10742829197959,
                  26.213445975120386,
                  26.93173866658868,
                  32.95858478231663,
                  32.487453711318366,
                  23.949015693323478,
                  25.196942328438343,
                  26.32396956727664,
                  28.824466227335424,
                  32.953091070936814,
                  26.177812539241067,
                  35.24873281431529,
                  29.378476536406932,
                  36.02745786856672,
                  36.33532545738085,
                  55.109941551246415,
                  32.88743521086313
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.728326247149674,
                  45.39782266152604,
                  33.07353606026055,
                  37.88688551360875,
                  36.57280175332332,
                  42.149752856118134,
                  36.62180464102082,
                  22.335173549188287,
                  28.420198148075094,
                  30.262080783572767,
                  22.94094856032881,
                  26.34918271913484,
                  23.167613004968228,
                  24.9809064552961,
                  29.114728365379165,
                  28.826133808436836,
                  31.445370251162224,
                  26.19112535899579,
                  34.87121942238024,
                  37.143188879283976,
                  39.88142762255391,
                  38.359390105009616,
                  69.23938014062692,
                  26.160291350973484
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4415039125064802,
              "rpss": 0.02533112446470942,
              "brier_below": 0.2208374464449723,
              "bss_below": 0.025450755118954893,
              "brier_above": 0.2206664662100025,
              "bss_above": 0.02521137105207527,
              "crps": 34.801111415516544,
              "crpss": 0.013183912472916948,
              "crps_fair": 33.330383767922044,
              "crpss_fair": 0.013795847281935392,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.109203,
                    0.753299,
                    0.115541,
                    0.021957,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2794,
                    0.3449,
                    0.432,
                    0.5459,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2718,
                    0.3239,
                    0.5278,
                    0.5626,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.164852,
                    0.703662,
                    0.12275,
                    0.008737,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2694,
                    0.3478,
                    0.43,
                    0.5197,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2,
                    0.3595,
                    0.4691,
                    0.3159,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.431306368790606,
                  0.4921269890246399,
                  0.43150091808321694,
                  0.41901049482754804,
                  0.4620174036179181,
                  0.4653830479690506,
                  0.4026339846624145,
                  0.4116259748596919,
                  0.4891858454074056
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4392667893930284,
                  0.47209024474380396,
                  0.4563295774817628,
                  0.4676949686529568,
                  0.46440251426226875,
                  0.44306773857298026,
                  0.4754913821954125,
                  0.4978762127486338,
                  0.46473262279411304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20395816730229094,
                  0.3301619085934798,
                  0.1791110287852825,
                  0.13822095313712968,
                  0.1688931231934649,
                  0.23374916443264926,
                  0.24873864936994036,
                  0.12456188345662252,
                  0.2977176659173418
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20840800414252633,
                  0.3211528412581965,
                  0.18588896696747403,
                  0.1529691839704525,
                  0.16918637749027593,
                  0.22647917630868836,
                  0.29670790679502046,
                  0.14687399037084822,
                  0.2847919519536404
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2273482007184415,
                  0.1619650940465236,
                  0.25238988109577015,
                  0.2807895299543742,
                  0.2931242675294205,
                  0.2316338884467705,
                  0.15389533965380328,
                  0.28706407429142683,
                  0.19146819058420805
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23085878370616417,
                  0.15093741623232468,
                  0.27044060189216984,
                  0.31472576814158004,
                  0.2952161237196651,
                  0.21658856327166845,
                  0.17878348316784407,
                  0.3510021993501296,
                  0.17994067840100206
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.613120009757935,
                  25.517476699006863,
                  19.301890683785647,
                  22.680183770215976,
                  21.313899682662854,
                  28.2593815741045,
                  17.82310413617967,
                  24.903479158772313,
                  23.827729840496325
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.251323675318027,
                  22.462373750235535,
                  22.429096847378236,
                  21.013467579334527,
                  21.05169122929241,
                  20.436541798871772,
                  21.23268013317464,
                  31.69290548699711,
                  20.84021936433369
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  19.709187944654524,
                  24.593445838712675,
                  18.389962775591943,
                  21.62537699593065,
                  20.415747908055778,
                  27.2166302347768,
                  17.058250598509787,
                  23.851230966791427,
                  22.810329560059557
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.36344490244705,
                  21.574494977364562,
                  21.54121807450725,
                  20.125588806463544,
                  20.163812456421432,
                  19.548663026000803,
                  20.344801360303663,
                  30.805026714126136,
                  19.95234059146272
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4449767808047213,
              "rpss": 0.04213418892638743,
              "brier_below": 0.21390139379868905,
              "bss_below": 0.03380038202756497,
              "brier_above": 0.23107538514674872,
              "bss_above": 0.049721484528290505,
              "crps": 22.693362839442454,
              "crpss": -0.009040872382814813,
              "crps_fair": 21.741129202564792,
              "crpss_fair": -0.006433370190789267,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.328243,
                    0.599205,
                    0.062589,
                    0.009964,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2676,
                    0.3361,
                    0.4416,
                    0.5126,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2595,
                    0.3343,
                    0.5996,
                    0.7802,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.138937,
                    0.640064,
                    0.178596,
                    0.042404,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2713,
                    0.3502,
                    0.442,
                    0.521,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1757,
                    0.3993,
                    0.4869,
                    0.6891,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4450305492652991,
                  0.4747658581196457,
                  0.4172421720142415,
                  0.4276483827736741,
                  0.45740306436467243,
                  0.4761564083960682,
                  0.4237385522921705,
                  0.43629279817714006,
                  0.48449118061648755
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45375860413458485,
                  0.45298996440830325,
                  0.4431570365814314,
                  0.45029456864798206,
                  0.45806327538229014,
                  0.4543204749095515,
                  0.470672671598715,
                  0.4932554758488676,
                  0.46455214735141936
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20102890389035963,
                  0.30806513986983897,
                  0.200258572552978,
                  0.15669244038747243,
                  0.1744070704515083,
                  0.2386533794805034,
                  0.23476134703578228,
                  0.14287790889503524,
                  0.29302987849234685
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2051677757555093,
                  0.2983593853982372,
                  0.20938553817015962,
                  0.16496000983722006,
                  0.1741714573544431,
                  0.2285609758239909,
                  0.26339413622632507,
                  0.15647499638411203,
                  0.28182460076839555
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24400164151551165,
                  0.1667007312897461,
                  0.21698359759037025,
                  0.2709559342991563,
                  0.28299598306428786,
                  0.23750303087188304,
                  0.1889772051682154,
                  0.29341487311033004,
                  0.19146131206371822
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2485908236640017,
                  0.154630591096392,
                  0.2337714963461003,
                  0.28533454752539783,
                  0.28389180700046496,
                  0.22575949845304602,
                  0.20727853804452892,
                  0.336780458980145,
                  0.18272755364522117
                ],
                "crps": [
                  32.10796696993643,
                  38.84516697313609,
                  28.625740989063125,
                  32.44425419244227,
                  33.69848344945506,
                  42.07997361488293,
                  29.655307548289063,
                  37.61034660490188,
                  37.450502880624725
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  33.004803964257825,
                  34.46939391673293,
                  32.65658052025425,
                  29.032738395322635,
                  33.148159551740136,
                  33.11616337741962,
                  33.59207713414676,
                  46.2020167224791,
                  32.25661943021509
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  30.67425143815396,
                  37.39031150421133,
                  27.192686668367305,
                  30.849157004849815,
                  32.27901829516393,
                  40.4942979429582,
                  28.411318252237294,
                  35.99871993882351,
                  35.88243959762253
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  31.596610755475933,
                  33.06120070795104,
                  31.24838731147235,
                  27.62454518654074,
                  31.73996634295824,
                  31.707970168637708,
                  32.18388392536486,
                  44.7938235136972,
                  30.848426221433186
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44919655177993323,
              "rpss": 0.023736712991795028,
              "brier_below": 0.21664162678398058,
              "bss_below": 0.016407331437738204,
              "brier_above": 0.23255492321924656,
              "bss_above": 0.03046695503792385,
              "crps": 34.72419369141463,
              "crpss": -0.016388753494482877,
              "crps_fair": 33.241355626931984,
              "crpss_fair": -0.014814502000901397,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.256986,
                    0.694453,
                    0.045228,
                    0.003333,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2773,
                    0.3359,
                    0.4404,
                    0.5089,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2914,
                    0.3218,
                    0.5928,
                    0.6817,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.126131,
                    0.705797,
                    0.156264,
                    0.011807,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2733,
                    0.3491,
                    0.4393,
                    0.5052,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1992,
                    0.3963,
                    0.4736,
                    0.6253,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "loci": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.613585980976047,
            "training": [
              0.6311142496258019,
              0.6175333695445606,
              0.6002384429017041,
              0.5965301865457805,
              0.5708418590117899,
              0.6381790585839195,
              0.6181554277695326,
              0.6107844493421972,
              0.6320943584717396,
              0.6346502262276082,
              0.5643222260085865,
              0.5735675019486053,
              0.612024710618033,
              0.6187369995448669,
              0.6429674909298019,
              0.6048539753646968,
              0.5977128049605333,
              0.6174742031464743,
              0.6171683046862234,
              0.6469649849935112,
              0.6259351646905162,
              0.6111828303222031,
              0.6622263083240731,
              0.5808044098623685
            ],
            "test": 0.6339542039353281
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42242288836063113,
                  0.4501459609797026,
                  0.4534273156284515,
                  0.4904592859942728,
                  0.47395957312033415,
                  0.4425484335081998,
                  0.45288511019557415,
                  0.3924582774757792,
                  0.4089223373713954,
                  0.43776417925661304,
                  0.48920298216359215,
                  0.5046345263273263,
                  0.38457812529906693,
                  0.4340393952897467,
                  0.4030950270897549,
                  0.4392789228056979,
                  0.47356017730509975,
                  0.4514665844568181,
                  0.4639250870862471,
                  0.44444885892365493,
                  0.4542299977619123,
                  0.46631486561583074,
                  0.4121947625134587,
                  0.48109726191852403
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4754016819136036,
                  0.4698987852691481,
                  0.4475722931876876,
                  0.45452035553745596,
                  0.45257039479879513,
                  0.47044392511759964,
                  0.4542944276806166,
                  0.40943755938485,
                  0.4371667600138314,
                  0.47263230769926734,
                  0.4303065355231145,
                  0.454595990277518,
                  0.3959257285293265,
                  0.4434645496740271,
                  0.4412507991961764,
                  0.435170437641651,
                  0.46944879844205245,
                  0.4520639211186838,
                  0.4716870174931902,
                  0.4802945203904019,
                  0.4668563967515232,
                  0.4722071384657149,
                  0.4700629053401188,
                  0.4416277853045537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2737262569808029,
                  0.16689064232320733,
                  0.2406148463032486,
                  0.1987741143187709,
                  0.2750417196382902,
                  0.1530067211439185,
                  0.19634868702174757,
                  0.2194623599427132,
                  0.18069316581798212,
                  0.2912927960153554,
                  0.27725355694819664,
                  0.30502830038068207,
                  0.19138569247124648,
                  0.24014040618312124,
                  0.16259682798170372,
                  0.1762292615208329,
                  0.33600134699646417,
                  0.14819340062522965,
                  0.2279145527741683,
                  0.14923947166833956,
                  0.14255377516144138,
                  0.31504411638133645,
                  0.27274252680729283,
                  0.22791108315675287
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3078804322691799,
                  0.1772720877647993,
                  0.23250880823643677,
                  0.18364157998711608,
                  0.25298088487778414,
                  0.16740053832617655,
                  0.19875490361406287,
                  0.23070092354944458,
                  0.19835315818041957,
                  0.3046158566400611,
                  0.2547128368467289,
                  0.2754668354354953,
                  0.19677990497580344,
                  0.24932954530109538,
                  0.18175769604553224,
                  0.17303074498633814,
                  0.3240234689536009,
                  0.14982223006986983,
                  0.23057761248348646,
                  0.17130633492700192,
                  0.15271106939309373,
                  0.30644077557443045,
                  0.3037858009356,
                  0.21743539710448076
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14869663102471148,
                  0.2832553196057576,
                  0.21281246847430466,
                  0.29168517172077457,
                  0.1989178523892246,
                  0.2895417120268499,
                  0.25653642279591377,
                  0.17299591697353692,
                  0.2282291716410332,
                  0.14647138318824315,
                  0.21194942662759236,
                  0.19960622674390296,
                  0.19319243255018476,
                  0.19389898835645392,
                  0.2404981996248857,
                  0.2630496625170214,
                  0.13755882892349344,
                  0.30327318565152117,
                  0.23601053507436182,
                  0.2952093886198234,
                  0.31167622381665405,
                  0.15127074911409183,
                  0.13945223645396596,
                  0.25318618022288875
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16752124964442372,
                  0.2926266975043488,
                  0.21506348495125072,
                  0.2708787755503398,
                  0.1995895099210109,
                  0.3030433867914231,
                  0.2555395240665538,
                  0.17873663583540544,
                  0.23881360183341188,
                  0.1680164510592061,
                  0.17559369867638552,
                  0.1791291548420226,
                  0.1991458235535231,
                  0.1941350043729317,
                  0.2594931031506441,
                  0.26213969265531295,
                  0.1454253294884514,
                  0.30224169104881393,
                  0.24110940500970388,
                  0.3089881854633999,
                  0.31414532735842937,
                  0.16576636289128455,
                  0.16627710440451882,
                  0.22419238820007306
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.04185205517191,
                  28.63593140527666,
                  23.120310440170858,
                  28.507798961963754,
                  26.571046092788134,
                  28.654247764937537,
                  25.41562724061774,
                  15.29197670533487,
                  17.85446622690596,
                  18.234956547492914,
                  23.832605186188015,
                  22.52173857115123,
                  14.98744285357834,
                  16.898117868397186,
                  18.047972835508634,
                  19.60121552036025,
                  22.12652908875514,
                  19.55124893492673,
                  24.189590353126928,
                  21.08036601226077,
                  24.973216069642046,
                  25.38335701264892,
                  34.70917470801457,
                  25.48996595775043
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.613106129562965,
                  29.397864976210336,
                  21.926969342234923,
                  24.443182328369915,
                  23.799442768719484,
                  27.188641472953417,
                  23.53383296202524,
                  14.853438063071343,
                  18.566426770436173,
                  19.66238774209615,
                  15.276449953495895,
                  17.30546875341423,
                  15.311758068701987,
                  16.585118321907462,
                  20.610952753353995,
                  18.456897804883226,
                  21.311808216556564,
                  18.864772006483992,
                  24.22745453814933,
                  25.980309080969267,
                  25.35510595105101,
                  24.545857790902712,
                  41.67248951423064,
                  18.164010610584267
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.350057004027448,
                  27.994876152140034,
                  22.464938838330287,
                  27.826164288802456,
                  25.92877493689513,
                  27.94154164864049,
                  24.736497849886657,
                  14.58353628655674,
                  17.22846455890997,
                  17.547314472046168,
                  23.072242095600348,
                  21.787395625588164,
                  14.260136869003878,
                  16.200804283618893,
                  17.31103061531426,
                  18.903946310627273,
                  21.40333574172277,
                  18.794625732589584,
                  23.461048899092923,
                  20.399491234487193,
                  24.270832630882946,
                  24.730034003165912,
                  34.01444463355733,
                  24.728178346274984
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.694914714706677,
                  28.484947725836346,
                  20.999902668311726,
                  23.520881209344694,
                  22.875922445982813,
                  26.271540087156584,
                  22.609809590412247,
                  13.912974549604273,
                  17.632995432551223,
                  18.73103208786966,
                  14.336787598912204,
                  16.369649237466756,
                  14.372162585548612,
                  15.647934505900317,
                  19.681393623770038,
                  17.52325902577564,
                  20.383576464743825,
                  17.931905716394613,
                  23.30474484376386,
                  25.060919186854285,
                  24.43453196009906,
                  23.623751132980786,
                  40.78281965881499,
                  17.229817120881425
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44696083068532017,
              "rpss": 0.013050176656381529,
              "brier_below": 0.2236702345234519,
              "bss_below": 0.01345339168303994,
              "brier_above": 0.22329059642238294,
              "bss_above": 0.012645944356810435,
              "crps": 22.863364767207063,
              "crpss": -0.028233678874716395,
              "crps_fair": 22.16415471074008,
              "crpss_fair": -0.040126731822472506,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.28543,
                    0.490335,
                    0.190471,
                    0.033353,
                    0.000411,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2642,
                    0.348,
                    0.439,
                    0.5364,
                    0.6115,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2744,
                    0.3506,
                    0.4311,
                    0.4511,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.312703,
                    0.522654,
                    0.14188,
                    0.022557,
                    0.000206,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2669,
                    0.3448,
                    0.4374,
                    0.532,
                    0.6088,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2501,
                    0.3846,
                    0.4168,
                    0.3176,
                    0.1676,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4284636241474034,
                  0.45998567463865875,
                  0.45090895681729,
                  0.49239982483483,
                  0.4151804777100999,
                  0.46936966484905757,
                  0.46910476539557694,
                  0.387654761612769,
                  0.4026602701221006,
                  0.44208580247431556,
                  0.4637758130790382,
                  0.4928112717746019,
                  0.38812389418428683,
                  0.42500772602727127,
                  0.3972220334461573,
                  0.44747851932451094,
                  0.4667742557192178,
                  0.4314665146256015,
                  0.446313637583835,
                  0.43086536637908696,
                  0.4508601057233941,
                  0.46951988532243577,
                  0.41528801937171006,
                  0.4205002699306272
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4708394260755114,
                  0.478347266080356,
                  0.45538422746879303,
                  0.459058972330508,
                  0.4576620419554788,
                  0.4731696930221518,
                  0.4667027713068357,
                  0.40033314926296837,
                  0.4269632323273467,
                  0.47402716162226893,
                  0.42746598323848156,
                  0.4504271403690195,
                  0.40120899735641075,
                  0.42992826073816515,
                  0.4295731135867868,
                  0.45389937720701334,
                  0.464329174189181,
                  0.43688310391500257,
                  0.4544141148747783,
                  0.48318259866850327,
                  0.47262088435117405,
                  0.4869104538041862,
                  0.4927855011868216,
                  0.4253640867477962
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.274714905078847,
                  0.17849461800272814,
                  0.265762833680962,
                  0.2003339489067358,
                  0.2831671244840016,
                  0.16825987361164652,
                  0.22290244495451508,
                  0.1948141874856424,
                  0.13680897711551882,
                  0.29568522723583907,
                  0.2575753439961798,
                  0.28368919776095763,
                  0.19083472441113855,
                  0.2053513478656499,
                  0.16965984608384296,
                  0.1691047718729274,
                  0.32483825165368313,
                  0.15187270496423336,
                  0.2366729871666658,
                  0.1054487039466314,
                  0.13222585124391775,
                  0.35808030056816464,
                  0.2924923556581362,
                  0.16771282445961555
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3014181688717181,
                  0.19043828142969435,
                  0.2621352098296086,
                  0.189211357423254,
                  0.29646647218334904,
                  0.1763031653097088,
                  0.22490333867954082,
                  0.20427330506010077,
                  0.15400796871896968,
                  0.30561580770909275,
                  0.2387426263229863,
                  0.25381385295644204,
                  0.19826391217931327,
                  0.2127100821035814,
                  0.1864847383371641,
                  0.17554851753521306,
                  0.31069878617163244,
                  0.15976518026133896,
                  0.23943647892764403,
                  0.13596964382400945,
                  0.15004019014661238,
                  0.3525530292328047,
                  0.338807101099202,
                  0.18090576234657507
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15374871841168156,
                  0.281491057731303,
                  0.185146122104018,
                  0.2920658755521446,
                  0.13201335316148854,
                  0.3011097912850946,
                  0.24620231978227597,
                  0.19284057371071997,
                  0.265851293186105,
                  0.14640057545044172,
                  0.20620046967153224,
                  0.2091220750992147,
                  0.19728916999765517,
                  0.21965637815400796,
                  0.22756218800732972,
                  0.27837374873332943,
                  0.14193600274796467,
                  0.2795938113593304,
                  0.20964065057120523,
                  0.32541666382540935,
                  0.31863425626912867,
                  0.11143958448323613,
                  0.12279566416093209,
                  0.252787446317061
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16942125720379314,
                  0.28790898465066145,
                  0.1932490176391843,
                  0.26984761490725384,
                  0.16119556977212962,
                  0.2968665277124429,
                  0.2417994326272948,
                  0.1960598442028676,
                  0.27295526360837696,
                  0.16841135391317605,
                  0.18872335691549524,
                  0.19661328741257744,
                  0.20294508517709747,
                  0.21721817863458368,
                  0.24308837524962262,
                  0.2783508596718001,
                  0.15363038801754828,
                  0.27711792365366356,
                  0.2149776359471342,
                  0.3472129548444936,
                  0.3225806942045614,
                  0.13435742457138128,
                  0.15397840008761954,
                  0.24445832440122106
                ],
                "crps": [
                  36.92563420738692,
                  45.76828376764574,
                  35.330326129259085,
                  44.651661525532205,
                  38.65668215475647,
                  47.31454909088514,
                  41.25311203338125,
                  24.323706202535384,
                  29.168553950143366,
                  30.03986559491539,
                  35.86367559777949,
                  35.8824454999544,
                  23.662435148118266,
                  27.235399620725453,
                  27.20987921518334,
                  31.343441681825887,
                  34.03925146827172,
                  28.52099097317173,
                  36.52677238493819,
                  31.06067328433492,
                  40.02730112352968,
                  41.082366076984684,
                  58.072814657495385,
                  34.89792320229978
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.18653222448657,
                  46.84531125433672,
                  34.54432198123997,
                  39.348572475319074,
                  38.036972805317745,
                  43.60338146746455,
                  38.085883059957226,
                  23.826258832192412,
                  29.89978054903974,
                  31.738181364810576,
                  24.43088871098674,
                  27.83268008310316,
                  24.65712467841512,
                  26.46699035284445,
                  30.59299785477991,
                  30.304948845204205,
                  32.919233990306296,
                  27.674921508143957,
                  36.33860707613447,
                  38.60628169474539,
                  41.339344183302146,
                  39.82018386333356,
                  70.64179962667183,
                  27.64414578747141
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  35.845004619776375,
                  44.79531981222745,
                  34.32704799462272,
                  43.59521585433978,
                  37.607535380087164,
                  46.22250128679372,
                  40.21970088630303,
                  23.254509290783762,
                  28.22477457457967,
                  28.95619282029686,
                  34.75348292765994,
                  34.79112835007684,
                  22.55801915152837,
                  26.174972569957546,
                  26.105792358813282,
                  30.280951603009104,
                  32.95592241888773,
                  27.37207507149826,
                  35.43650388355296,
                  30.028272555370823,
                  38.96972946143642,
                  40.06643273358102,
                  56.98328980321829,
                  33.78291703736924
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.728326247149674,
                  45.39782266152604,
                  33.07353606026055,
                  37.88688551360875,
                  36.57280175332332,
                  42.149752856118134,
                  36.62180464102082,
                  22.335173549188287,
                  28.420198148075094,
                  30.262080783572767,
                  22.94094856032881,
                  26.34918271913484,
                  23.167613004968228,
                  24.9809064552961,
                  29.114728365379165,
                  28.826133808436836,
                  31.445370251162224,
                  26.19112535899579,
                  34.87121942238024,
                  37.143188879283976,
                  39.88142762255391,
                  38.359390105009616,
                  69.23938014062692,
                  26.160291350973484
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44015921396224483,
              "rpss": 0.028299695707041495,
              "brier_below": 0.21943763967534088,
              "bss_below": 0.03162806178629851,
              "brier_above": 0.22072157457385874,
              "bss_above": 0.024967931224675888,
              "crps": 35.78573935796058,
              "crpss": -0.01473607784668074,
              "crps_fair": 34.72113718524043,
              "crpss_fair": -0.027354797880640325,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.31843,
                    0.511077,
                    0.147169,
                    0.022973,
                    0.000352,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2659,
                    0.3457,
                    0.4356,
                    0.5369,
                    0.6115,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2591,
                    0.3514,
                    0.4843,
                    0.595,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.34528,
                    0.520644,
                    0.118889,
                    0.015187,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2663,
                    0.3437,
                    0.436,
                    0.5359,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2428,
                    0.3905,
                    0.4465,
                    0.3996,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43080007744482296,
                  0.4865735449665637,
                  0.4327227532629485,
                  0.41922366974347675,
                  0.4648931012310714,
                  0.4829308282563702,
                  0.40502806185473283,
                  0.4096020515731554,
                  0.4901775776283286
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4392667893930284,
                  0.47209024474380396,
                  0.4563295774817628,
                  0.4676949686529568,
                  0.46440251426226875,
                  0.44306773857298026,
                  0.4754913821954125,
                  0.4978762127486338,
                  0.46473262279411304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20042886147666897,
                  0.3251399485242672,
                  0.18514445654734243,
                  0.13552743972518666,
                  0.16604498528314238,
                  0.23978070440353041,
                  0.24691026314200018,
                  0.1208005844586814,
                  0.30073061396021006
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20840800414252633,
                  0.3211528412581965,
                  0.18588896696747403,
                  0.1529691839704525,
                  0.16918637749027593,
                  0.22647917630868836,
                  0.29670790679502046,
                  0.14687399037084822,
                  0.2847919519536404
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23037121482981068,
                  0.16143360900494258,
                  0.24757828836057205,
                  0.2836962177408583,
                  0.29884810346927154,
                  0.2431501279283763,
                  0.15811780317388133,
                  0.2888014491216538,
                  0.18944697416147013
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23085878370616417,
                  0.15093741623232468,
                  0.27044060189216984,
                  0.31472576814158004,
                  0.2952161237196651,
                  0.21658856327166845,
                  0.17878348316784407,
                  0.3510021993501296,
                  0.17994067840100206
                ],
                "crps": [
                  21.143506433730927,
                  25.625383158125654,
                  20.250263934069334,
                  22.565922230617378,
                  23.14456788032274,
                  29.089431692180952,
                  18.411990865904293,
                  24.91164519036529,
                  24.173794128691195
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.251323675318027,
                  22.462373750235535,
                  22.429096847378236,
                  21.013467579334527,
                  21.05169122929241,
                  20.436541798871772,
                  21.23268013317464,
                  31.69290548699711,
                  20.84021936433369
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.799856716088126,
                  25.26491189700146,
                  19.882167728998756,
                  22.16614223561804,
                  22.795408604999825,
                  28.706189952299187,
                  18.062879932327938,
                  24.497158365435318,
                  23.793771784774417
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.36344490244705,
                  21.574494977364562,
                  21.54121807450725,
                  20.125588806463544,
                  20.163812456421432,
                  19.548663026000803,
                  20.344801360303663,
                  30.805026714126136,
                  19.95234059146272
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4468835184401634,
              "rpss": 0.03802970781531834,
              "brier_below": 0.21338976194678105,
              "bss_below": 0.036111439899031095,
              "brier_above": 0.2334937541989818,
              "bss_above": 0.03977614071177227,
              "crps": 23.257389501556418,
              "crpss": -0.03411983309979871,
              "crps_fair": 22.885387468615892,
              "crpss_fair": -0.059403006327932495,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.452195,
                    0.439123,
                    0.103823,
                    0.004859,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2651,
                    0.3417,
                    0.4391,
                    0.5299,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2575,
                    0.3477,
                    0.5704,
                    0.5088,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.260644,
                    0.476363,
                    0.226002,
                    0.036991,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2705,
                    0.3505,
                    0.4401,
                    0.5181,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2887,
                    0.3882,
                    0.5056,
                    0.5868,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44093132293269943,
                  0.47159931957923135,
                  0.4198525089122732,
                  0.42277945171446424,
                  0.46513651352324803,
                  0.4852287181200329,
                  0.4239265312252567,
                  0.4275194009162992,
                  0.4884353448255037
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45375860413458485,
                  0.45298996440830325,
                  0.4431570365814314,
                  0.45029456864798206,
                  0.45806327538229014,
                  0.4543204749095515,
                  0.470672671598715,
                  0.4932554758488676,
                  0.46455214735141936
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1937239507428106,
                  0.30767976718950296,
                  0.20490586803969812,
                  0.14913942087977702,
                  0.1705913388234465,
                  0.24037758230178982,
                  0.23065447578835355,
                  0.13331072445459896,
                  0.3003179972600934
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2051677757555093,
                  0.2983593853982372,
                  0.20938553817015962,
                  0.16496000983722006,
                  0.1741714573544431,
                  0.2285609758239909,
                  0.26339413622632507,
                  0.15647499638411203,
                  0.28182460076839555
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24720736773937027,
                  0.1639195639594708,
                  0.21494663835119684,
                  0.27364002241037116,
                  0.2945451637851933,
                  0.24485113695504773,
                  0.19327205508241224,
                  0.2942086598682152,
                  0.188117356979478
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2485908236640017,
                  0.154630591096392,
                  0.2337714963461003,
                  0.28533454752539783,
                  0.28389180700046496,
                  0.22575949845304602,
                  0.20727853804452892,
                  0.336780458980145,
                  0.18272755364522117
                ],
                "crps": [
                  32.84622750757369,
                  39.097221530380445,
                  30.33345478140725,
                  32.22068639779001,
                  36.75549009616343,
                  43.23967095257527,
                  30.461916085748776,
                  37.828133712371255,
                  37.807573022424265
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  33.004803964257825,
                  34.46939391673293,
                  32.65658052025425,
                  29.032738395322635,
                  33.148159551740136,
                  33.11616337741962,
                  33.59207713414676,
                  46.2020167224791,
                  32.25661943021509
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  32.323215080035276,
                  38.55734476727518,
                  29.783935882403206,
                  31.635239793722764,
                  36.225311266690824,
                  42.677262863717466,
                  29.91352646436444,
                  37.223334137791625,
                  37.245414419934924
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  31.596610755475933,
                  33.06120070795104,
                  31.24838731147235,
                  27.62454518654074,
                  31.73996634295824,
                  31.707970168637708,
                  32.18388392536486,
                  44.7938235136972,
                  30.848426221433186
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44948990130544547,
              "rpss": 0.02309916051975558,
              "brier_below": 0.2145223472755634,
              "bss_below": 0.026029248601386,
              "brier_above": 0.23496755168119504,
              "bss_above": 0.02040858694708869,
              "crps": 35.62115267627049,
              "crpss": -0.04264304272737407,
              "crps_fair": 35.06495385288175,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07048653735007293,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.487078,
                    0.435191,
                    0.076663,
                    0.001067,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2679,
                    0.3393,
                    0.4373,
                    0.5007,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2642,
                    0.3602,
                    0.537,
                    0.749,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.314159,
                    0.469691,
                    0.192113,
                    0.024038,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2707,
                    0.3483,
                    0.4368,
                    0.519,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3224,
                    0.3849,
                    0.4687,
                    0.5868,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "eqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.601122774749537,
            "training": [
              0.6236807803546746,
              0.603502142692759,
              0.5806779640194519,
              0.5764195726495206,
              0.5467838718699468,
              0.6255880861566445,
              0.6032991542994298,
              0.6008360483196652,
              0.6272495030659769,
              0.6352175759782627,
              0.5341345686270951,
              0.5437774719352431,
              0.5977983939796231,
              0.6054664613485098,
              0.6339148394710182,
              0.5926612810739196,
              0.5839738416084204,
              0.6034252318086957,
              0.6063657552371269,
              0.6417640771880975,
              0.6180948371599488,
              0.610776112021939,
              0.6849227336433089,
              0.5466162894796082
            ],
            "test": 0.614846321475933
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4343329137804844,
                  0.4483810996452491,
                  0.45792617522761997,
                  0.4959807636997849,
                  0.4773727282248819,
                  0.4428257014335766,
                  0.44367660257816927,
                  0.3981737555919446,
                  0.40444469633553126,
                  0.44333130880255217,
                  0.5083481920925159,
                  0.52243221630241,
                  0.38919736291333445,
                  0.44559388795392396,
                  0.40192881540854813,
                  0.43406519137119787,
                  0.47935595371874773,
                  0.4498333991859056,
                  0.4721588762743154,
                  0.4346935314309835,
                  0.4478829900977683,
                  0.4651007364744733,
                  0.4116011314675412,
                  0.4837980636932313
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4754016819136036,
                  0.4698987852691481,
                  0.4475722931876876,
                  0.45452035553745596,
                  0.45257039479879513,
                  0.47044392511759964,
                  0.4542944276806166,
                  0.40943755938485,
                  0.4371667600138314,
                  0.47263230769926734,
                  0.4303065355231145,
                  0.454595990277518,
                  0.3959257285293265,
                  0.4434645496740271,
                  0.4412507991961764,
                  0.435170437641651,
                  0.46944879844205245,
                  0.4520639211186838,
                  0.4716870174931902,
                  0.4802945203904019,
                  0.4668563967515232,
                  0.4722071384657149,
                  0.4700629053401188,
                  0.4416277853045537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.28321013232357134,
                  0.16534730484382854,
                  0.2396185888093925,
                  0.20236856202835443,
                  0.27158719332381454,
                  0.15716986468272753,
                  0.19087662329776423,
                  0.22589501403493475,
                  0.18698787233363565,
                  0.291930999156714,
                  0.2899065308917108,
                  0.31207525304956985,
                  0.19207721637388422,
                  0.253397526647961,
                  0.1593781410182345,
                  0.17219530957002163,
                  0.3375481006758915,
                  0.14641541379265202,
                  0.2300609627049336,
                  0.14840464964209352,
                  0.14177278543837007,
                  0.30653280049942405,
                  0.2708875593104132,
                  0.2303196190816218
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3078804322691799,
                  0.1772720877647993,
                  0.23250880823643677,
                  0.18364157998711608,
                  0.25298088487778414,
                  0.16740053832617655,
                  0.19875490361406287,
                  0.23070092354944458,
                  0.19835315818041957,
                  0.3046158566400611,
                  0.2547128368467289,
                  0.2754668354354953,
                  0.19677990497580344,
                  0.24932954530109538,
                  0.18175769604553224,
                  0.17303074498633814,
                  0.3240234689536009,
                  0.14982223006986983,
                  0.23057761248348646,
                  0.17130633492700192,
                  0.15271106939309373,
                  0.30644077557443045,
                  0.3037858009356,
                  0.21743539710448076
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15112278009348215,
                  0.28303379743941076,
                  0.21830758511425527,
                  0.29361220126715964,
                  0.20578553302963978,
                  0.28565583774357406,
                  0.25279997964261247,
                  0.17227873998615223,
                  0.21745682531016258,
                  0.15140030837969531,
                  0.21844166162769563,
                  0.21035696286285877,
                  0.19712014471592357,
                  0.1921963598661964,
                  0.242550674426289,
                  0.26186988319438026,
                  0.14180784916514286,
                  0.30341798884791255,
                  0.24209791420888183,
                  0.28628888428285515,
                  0.3061102087392999,
                  0.15856793513145934,
                  0.1407135723525096,
                  0.2534784459686501
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16752124964442372,
                  0.2926266975043488,
                  0.21506348495125072,
                  0.2708787755503398,
                  0.1995895099210109,
                  0.3030433867914231,
                  0.2555395240665538,
                  0.17873663583540544,
                  0.23881360183341188,
                  0.1680164510592061,
                  0.17559369867638552,
                  0.1791291548420226,
                  0.1991458235535231,
                  0.1941350043729317,
                  0.2594931031506441,
                  0.26213969265531295,
                  0.1454253294884514,
                  0.30224169104881393,
                  0.24110940500970388,
                  0.3089881854633999,
                  0.31414532735842937,
                  0.16576636289128455,
                  0.16627710440451882,
                  0.22419238820007306
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.684601766165745,
                  28.07815642590022,
                  22.597989772643718,
                  28.663614691441484,
                  26.604637555707672,
                  29.157282509826327,
                  23.76613926521997,
                  15.367666426808878,
                  16.35060026115014,
                  17.74661785274514,
                  23.74392643577582,
                  23.35760609304573,
                  15.77529775857681,
                  17.144728427531625,
                  18.81004797518474,
                  18.416944845332598,
                  23.050117162007602,
                  19.338315158441056,
                  24.98296279761651,
                  21.08637829978884,
                  22.812185132869768,
                  23.706241527505405,
                  33.62242790001852,
                  24.743527265915137
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.613106129562965,
                  29.397864976210336,
                  21.926969342234923,
                  24.443182328369915,
                  23.799442768719484,
                  27.188641472953417,
                  23.53383296202524,
                  14.853438063071343,
                  18.566426770436173,
                  19.66238774209615,
                  15.276449953495895,
                  17.30546875341423,
                  15.311758068701987,
                  16.585118321907462,
                  20.610952753353995,
                  18.456897804883226,
                  21.311808216556564,
                  18.864772006483992,
                  24.22745453814933,
                  25.980309080969267,
                  25.35510595105101,
                  24.545857790902712,
                  41.67248951423064,
                  18.164010610584267
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.907322977270773,
                  27.377512855106996,
                  21.878090771175728,
                  27.891919969206747,
                  25.831993665130877,
                  28.38872370513254,
                  23.042491238663974,
                  14.591968991595854,
                  15.677774926181158,
                  16.971087902917798,
                  22.95777275075116,
                  22.569497393932068,
                  14.969259724016615,
                  16.38094236988856,
                  18.05395143671528,
                  17.65801312417601,
                  22.29124766274474,
                  18.502574598399026,
                  24.208511551749208,
                  20.354732228133216,
                  22.049196619269708,
                  22.958290071230817,
                  32.90080800018512,
                  23.95738633522316
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.694914714706677,
                  28.484947725836346,
                  20.999902668311726,
                  23.520881209344694,
                  22.875922445982813,
                  26.271540087156584,
                  22.609809590412247,
                  13.912974549604273,
                  17.632995432551223,
                  18.73103208786966,
                  14.336787598912204,
                  16.369649237466756,
                  14.372162585548612,
                  15.647934505900317,
                  19.681393623770038,
                  17.52325902577564,
                  20.383576464743825,
                  17.931905716394613,
                  23.30474484376386,
                  25.060919186854285,
                  24.43453196009906,
                  23.623751132980786,
                  40.78281965881499,
                  17.229817120881425
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4496848372376954,
              "rpss": 0.007035202633867144,
              "brier_below": 0.22524850098047997,
              "bss_below": 0.006492101444672493,
              "brier_above": 0.22443633639150828,
              "bss_above": 0.007579671869954341,
              "crps": 22.60866722113414,
              "crpss": -0.016779170867454507,
              "crps_fair": 21.84879461953322,
              "crpss_fair": -0.025327409885991026,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.008893,
                    0.243553,
                    0.564578,
                    0.155045,
                    0.027587,
                    0.000343,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1979,
                    0.2676,
                    0.3487,
                    0.4302,
                    0.5384,
                    0.6139,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5602,
                    0.2657,
                    0.3542,
                    0.4415,
                    0.3383,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.007714,
                    0.231511,
                    0.593908,
                    0.143279,
                    0.023588,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1987,
                    0.2716,
                    0.3468,
                    0.4387,
                    0.5325,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4848,
                    0.2436,
                    0.3689,
                    0.4223,
                    0.2471,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43225824268116575,
                  0.4565493911914416,
                  0.4560234712495086,
                  0.4980162861333191,
                  0.41582346829824507,
                  0.4742000316315235,
                  0.45930789223441315,
                  0.3983983795838897,
                  0.3962780209705793,
                  0.44188267849427754,
                  0.47691159768745967,
                  0.5101655868714066,
                  0.3979088810797948,
                  0.4373077492504911,
                  0.4007651696833357,
                  0.44329296494970427,
                  0.4769938502038534,
                  0.4354859095667562,
                  0.457368402853905,
                  0.4211319644720222,
                  0.4382181156388818,
                  0.46673361879949604,
                  0.41424514589950345,
                  0.42453395000802957
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4708394260755114,
                  0.478347266080356,
                  0.45538422746879303,
                  0.459058972330508,
                  0.4576620419554788,
                  0.4731696930221518,
                  0.4667027713068357,
                  0.40033314926296837,
                  0.4269632323273467,
                  0.47402716162226893,
                  0.42746598323848156,
                  0.4504271403690195,
                  0.40120899735641075,
                  0.42992826073816515,
                  0.4295731135867868,
                  0.45389937720701334,
                  0.464329174189181,
                  0.43688310391500257,
                  0.4544141148747783,
                  0.48318259866850327,
                  0.47262088435117405,
                  0.4869104538041862,
                  0.4927855011868216,
                  0.4253640867477962
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.27711058535507815,
                  0.1810155082422192,
                  0.2659187804964673,
                  0.20516543765849116,
                  0.2763303470520644,
                  0.1783059751889564,
                  0.22036564992063398,
                  0.20339279820590836,
                  0.1424534555425351,
                  0.2893948574675682,
                  0.26220277315238877,
                  0.2849551813096853,
                  0.1965015261732286,
                  0.21883234272755045,
                  0.16846722592429228,
                  0.16894278000937865,
                  0.3251169350107819,
                  0.15739920344172043,
                  0.23953142698911542,
                  0.10662205587115174,
                  0.13295467323949406,
                  0.3470458545131579,
                  0.28943057425084057,
                  0.1699129160909794
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3014181688717181,
                  0.19043828142969435,
                  0.2621352098296086,
                  0.189211357423254,
                  0.29646647218334904,
                  0.1763031653097088,
                  0.22490333867954082,
                  0.20427330506010077,
                  0.15400796871896968,
                  0.30561580770909275,
                  0.2387426263229863,
                  0.25381385295644204,
                  0.19826391217931327,
                  0.2127100821035814,
                  0.1864847383371641,
                  0.17554851753521306,
                  0.31069878617163244,
                  0.15976518026133896,
                  0.23943647892764403,
                  0.13596964382400945,
                  0.15004019014661238,
                  0.3525530292328047,
                  0.338807101099202,
                  0.18090576234657507
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15514765604004918,
                  0.27553388603449125,
                  0.1901046887657627,
                  0.2928508476420287,
                  0.13949312111544035,
                  0.2958940584307759,
                  0.2389422414912449,
                  0.19500558051408284,
                  0.2538245671643162,
                  0.15248781943651293,
                  0.21470882385861004,
                  0.22521040525708907,
                  0.20140735376805785,
                  0.2184754064707407,
                  0.23229794374869597,
                  0.27435018662350386,
                  0.15187691142138418,
                  0.278086708725166,
                  0.21783697561167772,
                  0.31450991173159515,
                  0.3052634462103772,
                  0.11968776310269115,
                  0.12481457156088746,
                  0.2546210349143074
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16942125720379314,
                  0.28790898465066145,
                  0.1932490176391843,
                  0.26984761490725384,
                  0.16119556977212962,
                  0.2968665277124429,
                  0.2417994326272948,
                  0.1960598442028676,
                  0.27295526360837696,
                  0.16841135391317605,
                  0.18872335691549524,
                  0.19661328741257744,
                  0.20294508517709747,
                  0.21721817863458368,
                  0.24308837524962262,
                  0.2783508596718001,
                  0.15363038801754828,
                  0.27711792365366356,
                  0.2149776359471342,
                  0.3472129548444936,
                  0.3225806942045614,
                  0.13435742457138128,
                  0.15397840008761954,
                  0.24445832440122106
                ],
                "crps": [
                  37.30144649288143,
                  44.95664501538271,
                  34.76133081209652,
                  45.338343475214565,
                  39.53869113795452,
                  48.173787716245336,
                  38.49042877372609,
                  24.740142594598794,
                  26.876009572998438,
                  29.166284663990268,
                  36.1198540700636,
                  37.38846796513305,
                  25.331352683119714,
                  27.666567491897915,
                  28.844249076956913,
                  29.728043990277197,
                  35.37380000310365,
                  28.184422462854577,
                  37.866525132787565,
                  30.682597811288716,
                  36.479195929164874,
                  38.48004436910623,
                  56.50433995482383,
                  34.498360265023045
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.18653222448657,
                  46.84531125433672,
                  34.54432198123997,
                  39.348572475319074,
                  38.036972805317745,
                  43.60338146746455,
                  38.085883059957226,
                  23.826258832192412,
                  29.89978054903974,
                  31.738181364810576,
                  24.43088871098674,
                  27.83268008310316,
                  24.65712467841512,
                  26.46699035284445,
                  30.59299785477991,
                  30.304948845204205,
                  32.919233990306296,
                  27.674921508143957,
                  36.33860707613447,
                  38.60628169474539,
                  41.339344183302146,
                  39.82018386333356,
                  70.64179962667183,
                  27.64414578747141
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  36.03923026993123,
                  43.841958673974815,
                  33.61410010741457,
                  44.09815881105233,
                  38.252678192011416,
                  46.9451533277527,
                  37.344576635829114,
                  23.521232541395378,
                  25.816662156153146,
                  27.903528326907406,
                  34.898050305748136,
                  36.147565148889946,
                  24.05032178266502,
                  26.454863968461964,
                  27.645654488570422,
                  28.521394672737443,
                  34.17416168745825,
                  26.85631189539852,
                  36.64798711088759,
                  29.519371114643363,
                  35.27488842242472,
                  37.27634553202766,
                  55.34611049424917,
                  33.2639967861507
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.728326247149674,
                  45.39782266152604,
                  33.07353606026055,
                  37.88688551360875,
                  36.57280175332332,
                  42.149752856118134,
                  36.62180464102082,
                  22.335173549188287,
                  28.420198148075094,
                  30.262080783572767,
                  22.94094856032881,
                  26.34918271913484,
                  23.167613004968228,
                  24.9809064552961,
                  29.114728365379165,
                  28.826133808436836,
                  31.445370251162224,
                  26.19112535899579,
                  34.87121942238024,
                  37.143188879283976,
                  39.88142762255391,
                  38.359390105009616,
                  69.23938014062692,
                  26.160291350973484
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44290836539304185,
              "rpss": 0.022230638881431064,
              "brier_below": 0.22114036932640366,
              "bss_below": 0.024113965230697976,
              "brier_above": 0.2217679962349787,
              "bss_above": 0.02034538954961329,
              "crps": 35.52045547752873,
              "crpss": -0.0072137203608493294,
              "crps_fair": 34.31059593553062,
              "crpss_fair": -0.015207398434386565,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004428,
                    0.243629,
                    0.585551,
                    0.145198,
                    0.021194,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1987,
                    0.2693,
                    0.3489,
                    0.4306,
                    0.5375,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3523,
                    0.2494,
                    0.3476,
                    0.4906,
                    0.4695,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.005637,
                    0.218786,
                    0.617699,
                    0.138535,
                    0.019342,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1987,
                    0.2716,
                    0.3471,
                    0.4379,
                    0.537,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2943,
                    0.2296,
                    0.3663,
                    0.4523,
                    0.2829,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4319149403490783,
                  0.4962692382773907,
                  0.4272567304870633,
                  0.4185652472532629,
                  0.4625793283578559,
                  0.4895195746295877,
                  0.40021218319679075,
                  0.40240257998287177,
                  0.4992735638885279
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4392667893930284,
                  0.47209024474380396,
                  0.4563295774817628,
                  0.4676949686529568,
                  0.46440251426226875,
                  0.44306773857298026,
                  0.4754913821954125,
                  0.4978762127486338,
                  0.46473262279411304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20333159695587164,
                  0.33457654510780505,
                  0.17582250956731396,
                  0.13754873361289927,
                  0.16861339232449402,
                  0.24409413887652295,
                  0.2462515371072472,
                  0.12001594117448175,
                  0.30573908728078875
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20840800414252633,
                  0.3211528412581965,
                  0.18588896696747403,
                  0.1529691839704525,
                  0.16918637749027593,
                  0.22647917630868836,
                  0.29670790679502046,
                  0.14687399037084822,
                  0.2847919519536404
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22858334265341138,
                  0.16169270586890713,
                  0.25143421306432157,
                  0.2810165021676003,
                  0.2939659238386476,
                  0.24542544092687557,
                  0.15396065120112307,
                  0.2823866209586863,
                  0.19353448772652757
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23085878370616417,
                  0.15093741623232468,
                  0.27044060189216984,
                  0.31472576814158004,
                  0.2952161237196651,
                  0.21658856327166845,
                  0.17878348316784407,
                  0.3510021993501296,
                  0.17994067840100206
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.471949410276125,
                  25.898411254857365,
                  19.179862625221062,
                  21.388920152280537,
                  21.831833066699545,
                  27.990848856479676,
                  17.731074587295986,
                  24.436594605201094,
                  24.10401958456715
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.251323675318027,
                  22.462373750235535,
                  22.429096847378236,
                  21.013467579334527,
                  21.05169122929241,
                  20.436541798871772,
                  21.23268013317464,
                  31.69290548699711,
                  20.84021936433369
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.100531302169138,
                  25.510216740710582,
                  18.780936285409904,
                  20.990573600785915,
                  21.44657936765689,
                  27.601607987617022,
                  17.332245814173163,
                  24.02688266626549,
                  23.71117811665706
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.36344490244705,
                  21.574494977364562,
                  21.54121807450725,
                  20.125588806463544,
                  20.163812456421432,
                  19.548663026000803,
                  20.344801360303663,
                  30.805026714126136,
                  19.95234059146272
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4475548207136032,
              "rpss": 0.03658464927662086,
              "brier_below": 0.21511038688971384,
              "bss_below": 0.02833932054528754,
              "brier_above": 0.2324444320451223,
              "bss_above": 0.04409139176280019,
              "crps": 22.559279349208722,
              "crpss": -0.0030789652421761016,
              "crps_fair": 22.16675020904946,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02613608112126964,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.392986,
                    0.511059,
                    0.092284,
                    0.003671,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2633,
                    0.3381,
                    0.4354,
                    0.5478,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2826,
                    0.3206,
                    0.59,
                    0.3998,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.141153,
                    0.59589,
                    0.229079,
                    0.033878,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2708,
                    0.3495,
                    0.4425,
                    0.518,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2103,
                    0.3872,
                    0.5154,
                    0.5218,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44336596453203647,
                  0.47856055951417314,
                  0.4114349548681537,
                  0.42351074255991816,
                  0.4621226771918831,
                  0.4928904775596062,
                  0.4176570397521005,
                  0.41964417389635583,
                  0.49629287438341524
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45375860413458485,
                  0.45298996440830325,
                  0.4431570365814314,
                  0.45029456864798206,
                  0.45806327538229014,
                  0.4543204749095515,
                  0.470672671598715,
                  0.4932554758488676,
                  0.46455214735141936
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.19769463133249585,
                  0.31165769299441554,
                  0.19616200830953393,
                  0.1553102426076265,
                  0.1768582265280521,
                  0.246252379874374,
                  0.22804693059851638,
                  0.13573389860634053,
                  0.3026209973881113
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2051677757555093,
                  0.2983593853982372,
                  0.20938553817015962,
                  0.16496000983722006,
                  0.1741714573544431,
                  0.2285609758239909,
                  0.26339413622632507,
                  0.15647499638411203,
                  0.28182460076839555
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24567132941794692,
                  0.16690287862222522,
                  0.2152729448602269,
                  0.2682004926037838,
                  0.2852644404966698,
                  0.24663810005588566,
                  0.18961010968686606,
                  0.28391025928768987,
                  0.1936718873003837
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2485908236640017,
                  0.154630591096392,
                  0.2337714963461003,
                  0.28533454752539783,
                  0.28389180700046496,
                  0.22575949845304602,
                  0.20727853804452892,
                  0.336780458980145,
                  0.18272755364522117
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.76103103630841,
                  39.40767246167389,
                  28.31475062793576,
                  30.803998133312298,
                  34.63810709015275,
                  42.07635846615632,
                  29.391245185027916,
                  36.5193923658443,
                  37.909698285965874
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  33.004803964257825,
                  34.46939391673293,
                  32.65658052025425,
                  29.032738395322635,
                  33.148159551740136,
                  33.11616337741962,
                  33.59207713414676,
                  46.2020167224791,
                  32.25661943021509
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.171008045538088,
                  38.79612530235869,
                  27.68638622110378,
                  30.17735107645868,
                  34.024328717714546,
                  41.46559796430282,
                  28.744118773636743,
                  35.88383741451049,
                  37.29438482955637
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  31.596610755475933,
                  33.06120070795104,
                  31.24838731147235,
                  27.62454518654074,
                  31.73996634295824,
                  31.707970168637708,
                  32.18388392536486,
                  44.7938235136972,
                  30.848426221433186
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44949771825084917,
              "rpss": 0.023082171527333606,
              "brier_below": 0.21670411202660736,
              "bss_below": 0.016123636990584167,
              "brier_above": 0.23279360470351979,
              "bss_above": 0.02947188005511936,
              "crps": 34.53580596137528,
              "crpss": -0.010874581680734297,
              "crps_fair": 33.91590426057557,
              "crpss_fair": -0.035407577187395844,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.359724,
                    0.552991,
                    0.087285,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2662,
                    0.3386,
                    0.4322,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2957,
                    0.3198,
                    0.5067,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.142495,
                    0.632162,
                    0.200908,
                    0.024434,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2748,
                    0.3488,
                    0.4402,
                    0.517,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2554,
                    0.3813,
                    0.4802,
                    0.5057,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "gqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.5661427402154667,
            "training": [
              0.5845168461207697,
              0.5663720881453538,
              0.5523218064448465,
              0.5478255033749253,
              0.5110596625971295,
              0.5910628731792682,
              0.5758310728984427,
              0.5605923778956573,
              0.5913063680052061,
              0.5926416923832521,
              0.511702013328392,
              0.5175703557849499,
              0.5661752342202943,
              0.5711706275125331,
              0.5956004521068305,
              0.5601112471491368,
              0.5468296080748191,
              0.5726408771403816,
              0.5681921610138745,
              0.6023862812763845,
              0.5831164045146423,
              0.5689725397189715,
              0.6209032517237754,
              0.5285244205613621
            ],
            "test": 0.5849333955764894
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4231354283639954,
                  0.44045713891846866,
                  0.45075271335152706,
                  0.496596741076626,
                  0.47459422123842704,
                  0.44041797718696085,
                  0.4405908975207961,
                  0.39937717517360505,
                  0.41025740201408334,
                  0.4337478420493301,
                  0.5101830075141953,
                  0.5252749349424639,
                  0.3856298711609052,
                  0.4422910161268237,
                  0.3977754040155317,
                  0.4278873291465341,
                  0.481353438342011,
                  0.4444006259292848,
                  0.46287478322311965,
                  0.4378032525816907,
                  0.4370258431550811,
                  0.4547914129747109,
                  0.40330652343920453,
                  0.49329374358508693
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4754016819136036,
                  0.4698987852691481,
                  0.4475722931876876,
                  0.45452035553745596,
                  0.45257039479879513,
                  0.47044392511759964,
                  0.4542944276806166,
                  0.40943755938485,
                  0.4371667600138314,
                  0.47263230769926734,
                  0.4303065355231145,
                  0.454595990277518,
                  0.3959257285293265,
                  0.4434645496740271,
                  0.4412507991961764,
                  0.435170437641651,
                  0.46944879844205245,
                  0.4520639211186838,
                  0.4716870174931902,
                  0.4802945203904019,
                  0.4668563967515232,
                  0.4722071384657149,
                  0.4700629053401188,
                  0.4416277853045537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2747919214831517,
                  0.1648930382168381,
                  0.2352254690957117,
                  0.20326055269837034,
                  0.2703430957744837,
                  0.15692661323040605,
                  0.19022219884111918,
                  0.22601203689368088,
                  0.18895976338750067,
                  0.28400278144646995,
                  0.2862507825751114,
                  0.31253615656039696,
                  0.1912619788444626,
                  0.2499159082413787,
                  0.15737720740878017,
                  0.17102749972379266,
                  0.33657140077437175,
                  0.14574308590793472,
                  0.22375537726234943,
                  0.1523678889752519,
                  0.13952804353849094,
                  0.2980446748650034,
                  0.26485660147247914,
                  0.23405381096611053
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3078804322691799,
                  0.1772720877647993,
                  0.23250880823643677,
                  0.18364157998711608,
                  0.25298088487778414,
                  0.16740053832617655,
                  0.19875490361406287,
                  0.23070092354944458,
                  0.19835315818041957,
                  0.3046158566400611,
                  0.2547128368467289,
                  0.2754668354354953,
                  0.19677990497580344,
                  0.24932954530109538,
                  0.18175769604553224,
                  0.17303074498633814,
                  0.3240234689536009,
                  0.14982223006986983,
                  0.23057761248348646,
                  0.17130633492700192,
                  0.15271106939309373,
                  0.30644077557443045,
                  0.3037858009356,
                  0.21743539710448076
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14834350621870995,
                  0.2755641024297049,
                  0.2155272428984112,
                  0.29333618847494836,
                  0.20425112441487217,
                  0.2834913644299057,
                  0.2503686994472881,
                  0.17336513676157006,
                  0.2212976389998351,
                  0.14974505987566933,
                  0.22393222606182223,
                  0.21273877916217834,
                  0.19436789082779396,
                  0.19237510673141206,
                  0.2403981966640566,
                  0.2568598301882803,
                  0.14478203461766959,
                  0.29865754281086393,
                  0.23911940644766305,
                  0.28543536524256513,
                  0.29749780278083154,
                  0.15674673773893844,
                  0.13844992247028515,
                  0.259239934343383
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16752124964442372,
                  0.2926266975043488,
                  0.21506348495125072,
                  0.2708787755503398,
                  0.1995895099210109,
                  0.3030433867914231,
                  0.2555395240665538,
                  0.17873663583540544,
                  0.23881360183341188,
                  0.1680164510592061,
                  0.17559369867638552,
                  0.1791291548420226,
                  0.1991458235535231,
                  0.1941350043729317,
                  0.2594931031506441,
                  0.26213969265531295,
                  0.1454253294884514,
                  0.30224169104881393,
                  0.24110940500970388,
                  0.3089881854633999,
                  0.31414532735842937,
                  0.16576636289128455,
                  0.16627710440451882,
                  0.22419238820007306
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.067128847848796,
                  27.790410887271666,
                  22.596168949997637,
                  29.03789789712039,
                  26.549207142693113,
                  29.01864092400496,
                  23.54585324064426,
                  15.393226656566634,
                  16.381756181043368,
                  17.07629653589423,
                  23.484736260411957,
                  23.15112032159979,
                  15.638472933661653,
                  16.99449853464982,
                  18.323475107884775,
                  18.548049350664353,
                  22.796484915332275,
                  19.24612584296926,
                  23.93390535183824,
                  21.06225113611676,
                  22.82692740897429,
                  22.98052567082049,
                  32.747455246360424,
                  24.761136988683983
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.613106129562965,
                  29.397864976210336,
                  21.926969342234923,
                  24.443182328369915,
                  23.799442768719484,
                  27.188641472953417,
                  23.53383296202524,
                  14.853438063071343,
                  18.566426770436173,
                  19.66238774209615,
                  15.276449953495895,
                  17.30546875341423,
                  15.311758068701987,
                  16.585118321907462,
                  20.610952753353995,
                  18.456897804883226,
                  21.311808216556564,
                  18.864772006483992,
                  24.22745453814933,
                  25.980309080969267,
                  25.35510595105101,
                  24.545857790902712,
                  41.67248951423064,
                  18.164010610584267
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.29100895456497,
                  27.069184324724517,
                  21.852146877994883,
                  28.25004615195049,
                  25.74403085106826,
                  28.225814371595394,
                  22.77777622685712,
                  14.592458784883476,
                  15.6789384295901,
                  16.262920367938747,
                  22.642773837885866,
                  22.31201013624151,
                  14.795641932016348,
                  16.184309158495207,
                  17.505527670002706,
                  17.737262027545373,
                  21.995975627117204,
                  18.351680114696798,
                  23.110369901288426,
                  20.275871703531646,
                  22.02097017414209,
                  22.217671550285296,
                  31.993715518463514,
                  23.905898103179663
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.694914714706677,
                  28.484947725836346,
                  20.999902668311726,
                  23.520881209344694,
                  22.875922445982813,
                  26.271540087156584,
                  22.609809590412247,
                  13.912974549604273,
                  17.632995432551223,
                  18.73103208786966,
                  14.336787598912204,
                  16.369649237466756,
                  14.372162585548612,
                  15.647934505900317,
                  19.681393623770038,
                  17.52325902577564,
                  20.383576464743825,
                  17.931905716394613,
                  23.30474484376386,
                  25.060919186854285,
                  24.43453196009906,
                  23.623751132980786,
                  40.78281965881499,
                  17.229817120881425
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44640911345960266,
              "rpss": 0.01426844273491601,
              "brier_below": 0.22324699534098527,
              "bss_below": 0.015320180891085,
              "brier_above": 0.22316211833494407,
              "bss_above": 0.01321405319223179,
              "crps": 22.372989680543878,
              "crpss": -0.006180049213372785,
              "crps_fair": 21.574750116502486,
              "crpss_fair": -0.012466959441059355,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.01092,
                    0.251556,
                    0.501484,
                    0.200103,
                    0.033849,
                    0.002088,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1911,
                    0.2614,
                    0.3465,
                    0.4333,
                    0.5401,
                    0.6213,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5034,
                    0.2744,
                    0.3369,
                    0.437,
                    0.4535,
                    0.5572,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.007192,
                    0.236882,
                    0.52936,
                    0.187474,
                    0.035453,
                    0.003639,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1873,
                    0.2638,
                    0.3445,
                    0.438,
                    0.5333,
                    0.6141,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4908,
                    0.2286,
                    0.3646,
                    0.4399,
                    0.3124,
                    0.3584,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42280100421819844,
                  0.4540355627168984,
                  0.44852335258361914,
                  0.5015692685020896,
                  0.4101522392573071,
                  0.4749893922751286,
                  0.4601391823853645,
                  0.39456251386606234,
                  0.39566216663464276,
                  0.4333595683863705,
                  0.47434743425319775,
                  0.5063419454858887,
                  0.394955043559341,
                  0.43122521855276724,
                  0.39512186106882974,
                  0.44197116569407696,
                  0.471997491776128,
                  0.43266342195790053,
                  0.4456679705321487,
                  0.4171181990003893,
                  0.4358224934236751,
                  0.4577111023335499,
                  0.4028288021785651,
                  0.4249445309062148
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4708394260755114,
                  0.478347266080356,
                  0.45538422746879303,
                  0.459058972330508,
                  0.4576620419554788,
                  0.4731696930221518,
                  0.4667027713068357,
                  0.40033314926296837,
                  0.4269632323273467,
                  0.47402716162226893,
                  0.42746598323848156,
                  0.4504271403690195,
                  0.40120899735641075,
                  0.42992826073816515,
                  0.4295731135867868,
                  0.45389937720701334,
                  0.464329174189181,
                  0.43688310391500257,
                  0.4544141148747783,
                  0.48318259866850327,
                  0.47262088435117405,
                  0.4869104538041862,
                  0.4927855011868216,
                  0.4253640867477962
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.26778850398218584,
                  0.18155006495120238,
                  0.2603472877550949,
                  0.20916584919032336,
                  0.2742513310905024,
                  0.18007945538657905,
                  0.2219134389061614,
                  0.20200269233770282,
                  0.14246292047103676,
                  0.2823360345390011,
                  0.2577340325539986,
                  0.28337326082698844,
                  0.19572038230899047,
                  0.21329776956553595,
                  0.16670093405556288,
                  0.1714962777338512,
                  0.32000721444551683,
                  0.15815266343477555,
                  0.23186796801057935,
                  0.10744248118579106,
                  0.13469351532576654,
                  0.3395277700986301,
                  0.28193779062088475,
                  0.17070230346206142
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3014181688717181,
                  0.19043828142969435,
                  0.2621352098296086,
                  0.189211357423254,
                  0.29646647218334904,
                  0.1763031653097088,
                  0.22490333867954082,
                  0.20427330506010077,
                  0.15400796871896968,
                  0.30561580770909275,
                  0.2387426263229863,
                  0.25381385295644204,
                  0.19826391217931327,
                  0.2127100821035814,
                  0.1864847383371641,
                  0.17554851753521306,
                  0.31069878617163244,
                  0.15976518026133896,
                  0.23943647892764403,
                  0.13596964382400945,
                  0.15004019014661238,
                  0.3525530292328047,
                  0.338807101099202,
                  0.18090576234657507
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1550124997110037,
                  0.27248550000521377,
                  0.18817606337115075,
                  0.29240341840899703,
                  0.13590090819494355,
                  0.29490993775881186,
                  0.23822574356441614,
                  0.19255982104221636,
                  0.25319924670455457,
                  0.15102353283083653,
                  0.21661340185971797,
                  0.22296868579661064,
                  0.19923466053841035,
                  0.21792744884035495,
                  0.2284209270254678,
                  0.2704748891954247,
                  0.15199027437249968,
                  0.27451076067074387,
                  0.2138000015788489,
                  0.3096757197381353,
                  0.30112898122025705,
                  0.1181833311808071,
                  0.12089101172062956,
                  0.25424222830531085
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16942125720379314,
                  0.28790898465066145,
                  0.1932490176391843,
                  0.26984761490725384,
                  0.16119556977212962,
                  0.2968665277124429,
                  0.2417994326272948,
                  0.1960598442028676,
                  0.27295526360837696,
                  0.16841135391317605,
                  0.18872335691549524,
                  0.19661328741257744,
                  0.20294508517709747,
                  0.21721817863458368,
                  0.24308837524962262,
                  0.2783508596718001,
                  0.15363038801754828,
                  0.27711792365366356,
                  0.2149776359471342,
                  0.3472129548444936,
                  0.3225806942045614,
                  0.13435742457138128,
                  0.15397840008761954,
                  0.24445832440122106
                ],
                "crps": [
                  36.3129592415271,
                  44.43400922974498,
                  34.773881686569375,
                  46.00478903176165,
                  39.41781456059631,
                  48.012192697535944,
                  38.21455291851026,
                  24.719667589019693,
                  26.90287196025319,
                  28.180160783067365,
                  35.76532343689604,
                  37.07221803445087,
                  25.11823167173332,
                  27.45558796185727,
                  27.963253679777274,
                  29.98643220432909,
                  35.0080312802038,
                  28.1162669457006,
                  36.182305392259316,
                  30.668726621491512,
                  36.582192429584936,
                  37.35174770638956,
                  54.85809393292431,
                  34.432670432004954
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.18653222448657,
                  46.84531125433672,
                  34.54432198123997,
                  39.348572475319074,
                  38.036972805317745,
                  43.60338146746455,
                  38.085883059957226,
                  23.826258832192412,
                  29.89978054903974,
                  31.738181364810576,
                  24.43088871098674,
                  27.83268008310316,
                  24.65712467841512,
                  26.46699035284445,
                  30.59299785477991,
                  30.304948845204205,
                  32.919233990306296,
                  27.674921508143957,
                  36.33860707613447,
                  38.60628169474539,
                  41.339344183302146,
                  39.82018386333356,
                  70.64179962667183,
                  27.64414578747141
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  35.056750491115004,
                  43.285692795500644,
                  33.5868136101558,
                  44.73713635893289,
                  38.07766678750452,
                  46.742164474512435,
                  36.99649676714989,
                  23.462249137194267,
                  25.793427135900373,
                  26.854340419248818,
                  34.45619131480465,
                  35.74863518714213,
                  23.77399172029422,
                  26.16492806631515,
                  26.668419415920344,
                  28.694684714819303,
                  33.74429499405287,
                  26.687172978485403,
                  34.8845866256817,
                  29.411550012301795,
                  35.30453516012964,
                  36.124650828875076,
                  53.64971916247113,
                  33.09218449522871
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.728326247149674,
                  45.39782266152604,
                  33.07353606026055,
                  37.88688551360875,
                  36.57280175332332,
                  42.149752856118134,
                  36.62180464102082,
                  22.335173549188287,
                  28.420198148075094,
                  30.262080783572767,
                  22.94094856032881,
                  26.34918271913484,
                  23.167613004968228,
                  24.9809064552961,
                  29.114728365379165,
                  28.826133808436836,
                  31.445370251162224,
                  26.19112535899579,
                  34.87121942238024,
                  37.143188879283976,
                  39.88142762255391,
                  38.359390105009616,
                  69.23938014062692,
                  26.160291350973484
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4386879554811814,
              "rpss": 0.031547662052840986,
              "brier_below": 0.21893966425994682,
              "bss_below": 0.0338256128486476,
              "brier_above": 0.21974829140147345,
              "bss_above": 0.029267385443898508,
              "crps": 35.14724922617453,
              "crpss": 0.003368870764036136,
              "crps_fair": 33.874928443905695,
              "crpss_fair": -0.00231654507858825,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004625,
                    0.232346,
                    0.52013,
                    0.209191,
                    0.031644,
                    0.002063,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1918,
                    0.263,
                    0.347,
                    0.4326,
                    0.54,
                    0.6181,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.326,
                    0.2559,
                    0.3268,
                    0.4594,
                    0.5913,
                    0.6093,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00568,
                    0.246358,
                    0.554269,
                    0.168882,
                    0.022292,
                    0.002518,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1876,
                    0.2635,
                    0.3443,
                    0.4364,
                    0.5316,
                    0.6086,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.3272,
                    0.2175,
                    0.3651,
                    0.4718,
                    0.3375,
                    0.5194,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43080427915436137,
                  0.4994012675704227,
                  0.4169247883982139,
                  0.41338523420676476,
                  0.46104632705147397,
                  0.49036778624442173,
                  0.39828392214540265,
                  0.3923775439944106,
                  0.5013380003550693
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4392667893930284,
                  0.47209024474380396,
                  0.4563295774817628,
                  0.4676949686529568,
                  0.46440251426226875,
                  0.44306773857298026,
                  0.4754913821954125,
                  0.4978762127486338,
                  0.46473262279411304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2013649443433599,
                  0.33333028646244034,
                  0.17484037497769425,
                  0.137204907640603,
                  0.16958226840565846,
                  0.24299708625357974,
                  0.2438485553693883,
                  0.1199486443611537,
                  0.30676942784901556
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20840800414252633,
                  0.3211528412581965,
                  0.18588896696747403,
                  0.1529691839704525,
                  0.16918637749027593,
                  0.22647917630868836,
                  0.29670790679502046,
                  0.14687399037084822,
                  0.2847919519536404
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22943933445250753,
                  0.16607099408554954,
                  0.24208440549415228,
                  0.2761803157531152,
                  0.29146404687001043,
                  0.24737070573959943,
                  0.15443537175612562,
                  0.2724288831103973,
                  0.194568584181617
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23085878370616417,
                  0.15093741623232468,
                  0.27044060189216984,
                  0.31472576814158004,
                  0.2952161237196651,
                  0.21658856327166845,
                  0.17878348316784407,
                  0.3510021993501296,
                  0.17994067840100206
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.44156700118226,
                  25.70793903315349,
                  18.93066642691432,
                  21.6064724350885,
                  22.06632050992746,
                  28.119477526215224,
                  17.674743307200615,
                  24.152564827165293,
                  23.833802808184448
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.251323675318027,
                  22.462373750235535,
                  22.429096847378236,
                  21.013467579334527,
                  21.05169122929241,
                  20.436541798871772,
                  21.23268013317464,
                  31.69290548699711,
                  20.84021936433369
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.052133083001777,
                  25.305853786330466,
                  18.518362646276334,
                  21.172403851361782,
                  21.667910531853032,
                  27.701304375294782,
                  17.267205251179135,
                  23.7003983401058,
                  23.41561524601621
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.36344490244705,
                  21.574494977364562,
                  21.54121807450725,
                  20.125588806463544,
                  20.163812456421432,
                  19.548663026000803,
                  20.344801360303663,
                  30.805026714126136,
                  19.95234059146272
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.444881016568949,
              "rpss": 0.04234033291260619,
              "brier_below": 0.2144318328514326,
              "bss_below": 0.03140437141250163,
              "brier_above": 0.23044918238256384,
              "bss_above": 0.052296691890840075,
              "crps": 22.50372820833685,
              "crpss": -0.0006089315127637551,
              "crps_fair": 22.089020790157704,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02253785582720469,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.003297,
                    0.409168,
                    0.46551,
                    0.118107,
                    0.003918,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1989,
                    0.2585,
                    0.3409,
                    0.4377,
                    0.5255,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0278,
                    0.2737,
                    0.3266,
                    0.5415,
                    0.6975,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.169118,
                    0.503826,
                    0.26626,
                    0.060796,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2688,
                    0.3498,
                    0.4427,
                    0.5321,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2307,
                    0.3818,
                    0.4878,
                    0.5739,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44247974907146304,
                  0.47619520942122695,
                  0.4093132667160771,
                  0.42434680341756165,
                  0.4636090188326842,
                  0.4948473899265178,
                  0.4151330869085698,
                  0.41448500309272307,
                  0.4954466051684462
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45375860413458485,
                  0.45298996440830325,
                  0.4431570365814314,
                  0.45029456864798206,
                  0.45806327538229014,
                  0.4543204749095515,
                  0.470672671598715,
                  0.4932554758488676,
                  0.46455214735141936
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.19817821881104736,
                  0.30910589798311394,
                  0.19734907388494774,
                  0.1565296288578362,
                  0.1785578835421319,
                  0.246143164482763,
                  0.22695556653061336,
                  0.13739200551406655,
                  0.30262264785364373
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2051677757555093,
                  0.2983593853982372,
                  0.20938553817015962,
                  0.16496000983722006,
                  0.1741714573544431,
                  0.2285609758239909,
                  0.26339413622632507,
                  0.15647499638411203,
                  0.28182460076839555
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2443015267073475,
                  0.16708932344270813,
                  0.21196419081650605,
                  0.2678171674138373,
                  0.2850511253143499,
                  0.24870422823290791,
                  0.18817752048549594,
                  0.27709298250954956,
                  0.19282396761806314
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2485908236640017,
                  0.154630591096392,
                  0.2337714963461003,
                  0.28533454752539783,
                  0.28389180700046496,
                  0.22575949845304602,
                  0.20727853804452892,
                  0.336780458980145,
                  0.18272755364522117
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.709797135233924,
                  39.11913202309056,
                  28.0955398954559,
                  31.345453054281837,
                  35.15247807970781,
                  42.34430405697198,
                  29.40420355268411,
                  36.22825158574371,
                  37.66953186459271
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  33.004803964257825,
                  34.46939391673293,
                  32.65658052025425,
                  29.032738395322635,
                  33.148159551740136,
                  33.11616337741962,
                  33.59207713414676,
                  46.2020167224791,
                  32.25661943021509
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.089239045830002,
                  38.48573050598252,
                  27.448425307076118,
                  30.66675950583922,
                  34.51712880161096,
                  41.69101020873112,
                  28.743614873019915,
                  35.526623989486744,
                  37.01349295728958
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  31.596610755475933,
                  33.06120070795104,
                  31.24838731147235,
                  27.62454518654074,
                  31.73996634295824,
                  31.707970168637708,
                  32.18388392536486,
                  44.7938235136972,
                  30.848426221433186
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44842845917280777,
              "rpss": 0.025406050412992265,
              "brier_below": 0.21698156527335152,
              "bss_below": 0.01486394842833727,
              "brier_above": 0.2314468925045295,
              "bss_above": 0.035086390214268626,
              "crps": 34.56318791641806,
              "crpss": -0.01167606065535054,
              "crps_fair": 33.90911391054069,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03520027680631621,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00242,
                    0.360704,
                    0.512458,
                    0.12135,
                    0.003067,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1989,
                    0.2622,
                    0.3421,
                    0.4367,
                    0.5135,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0556,
                    0.2873,
                    0.3243,
                    0.4537,
                    0.7827,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.188049,
                    0.542912,
                    0.232394,
                    0.036645,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2703,
                    0.3482,
                    0.4407,
                    0.5315,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2699,
                    0.3784,
                    0.4736,
                    0.5461,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6919321031539581,
            "training": [
              0.7127285204233414,
              0.6946263736001507,
              0.677793317348957,
              0.6724369197202261,
              0.6587639555136143,
              0.7172644192453066,
              0.6954661736074049,
              0.6922190072624679,
              0.7077567452619421,
              0.712691691489465,
              0.6439628644430763,
              0.6493408631279878,
              0.6885235322587044,
              0.6979696125031283,
              0.7221754733118225,
              0.6849991919535284,
              0.6718859243101467,
              0.6993296113005378,
              0.6960664817155686,
              0.7182968080088109,
              0.6984051107428394,
              0.6949269384645674,
              0.7375991380194511,
              0.6611418020619502
            ],
            "test": 0.7081298256394574
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43134976484650633,
                  0.4492905715241039,
                  0.45757294533966864,
                  0.48835296797644456,
                  0.47200032194689395,
                  0.43891139432384957,
                  0.44398850468673406,
                  0.39112470282201584,
                  0.4124762612437909,
                  0.44163828893724033,
                  0.4999527296020592,
                  0.5158384085944588,
                  0.3845696152478561,
                  0.44132956738058443,
                  0.4048475652104284,
                  0.4352759943685332,
                  0.48106209791571286,
                  0.44506953823107637,
                  0.46941571520173736,
                  0.4483923046885327,
                  0.4560611539002694,
                  0.4660509387455884,
                  0.42043777951268346,
                  0.47586489384412084
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4754016819136036,
                  0.4698987852691481,
                  0.4475722931876876,
                  0.45452035553745596,
                  0.45257039479879513,
                  0.47044392511759964,
                  0.4542944276806166,
                  0.40943755938485,
                  0.4371667600138314,
                  0.47263230769926734,
                  0.4303065355231145,
                  0.454595990277518,
                  0.3959257285293265,
                  0.4434645496740271,
                  0.4412507991961764,
                  0.435170437641651,
                  0.46944879844205245,
                  0.4520639211186838,
                  0.4716870174931902,
                  0.4802945203904019,
                  0.4668563967515232,
                  0.4722071384657149,
                  0.4700629053401188,
                  0.4416277853045537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.278910158152809,
                  0.1667756604858566,
                  0.23895907043223993,
                  0.19931115832134047,
                  0.269629801164565,
                  0.15628178343040786,
                  0.19082649018609946,
                  0.21980930020035147,
                  0.1866870937223227,
                  0.28841451804431545,
                  0.28056804257247414,
                  0.3095214116309082,
                  0.19118597971216295,
                  0.24950820432725213,
                  0.1623544343653017,
                  0.1755886000780112,
                  0.33775366087403796,
                  0.1467993069077976,
                  0.22829020091054844,
                  0.15809599240575917,
                  0.14562635328629686,
                  0.30698889472006324,
                  0.2748394949074599,
                  0.22627245547085767
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3078804322691799,
                  0.1772720877647993,
                  0.23250880823643677,
                  0.18364157998711608,
                  0.25298088487778414,
                  0.16740053832617655,
                  0.19875490361406287,
                  0.23070092354944458,
                  0.19835315818041957,
                  0.3046158566400611,
                  0.2547128368467289,
                  0.2754668354354953,
                  0.19677990497580344,
                  0.24932954530109538,
                  0.18175769604553224,
                  0.17303074498633814,
                  0.3240234689536009,
                  0.14982223006986983,
                  0.23057761248348646,
                  0.17130633492700192,
                  0.15271106939309373,
                  0.30644077557443045,
                  0.3037858009356,
                  0.21743539710448076
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15243960628051406,
                  0.2825149119754359,
                  0.2186138739303384,
                  0.28904180939673957,
                  0.20237051969286365,
                  0.28262961157969707,
                  0.25316201480083667,
                  0.1713154016667284,
                  0.22578916808942112,
                  0.1532237701227094,
                  0.21938468818281448,
                  0.2063169971776689,
                  0.193383634253425,
                  0.19182136239971215,
                  0.24249313057000083,
                  0.259687394739903,
                  0.14330843450831598,
                  0.298270232936375,
                  0.2411255147161012,
                  0.2902963134856759,
                  0.31043480340907215,
                  0.15906204315159972,
                  0.14559828503064606,
                  0.24959243973229497
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16752124964442372,
                  0.2926266975043488,
                  0.21506348495125072,
                  0.2708787755503398,
                  0.1995895099210109,
                  0.3030433867914231,
                  0.2555395240665538,
                  0.17873663583540544,
                  0.23881360183341188,
                  0.1680164510592061,
                  0.17559369867638552,
                  0.1791291548420226,
                  0.1991458235535231,
                  0.1941350043729317,
                  0.2594931031506441,
                  0.26213969265531295,
                  0.1454253294884514,
                  0.30224169104881393,
                  0.24110940500970388,
                  0.3089881854633999,
                  0.31414532735842937,
                  0.16576636289128455,
                  0.16627710440451882,
                  0.22419238820007306
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.152103831761018,
                  28.503703662977447,
                  22.91934816392279,
                  28.557704713823284,
                  27.41505576204397,
                  27.74144102077066,
                  23.986127962438914,
                  15.01879517335061,
                  17.183742199442868,
                  17.677858497172735,
                  24.95011516061352,
                  22.750933735061807,
                  15.742291332963791,
                  17.0489609449469,
                  18.51979801812227,
                  18.92763097719525,
                  23.180693686851107,
                  19.76917750947733,
                  24.778286767152764,
                  21.053475206397817,
                  23.677874346787444,
                  23.87991559421763,
                  33.63099215418175,
                  27.26759241818519
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.613106129562965,
                  29.397864976210336,
                  21.926969342234923,
                  24.443182328369915,
                  23.799442768719484,
                  27.188641472953417,
                  23.53383296202524,
                  14.853438063071343,
                  18.566426770436173,
                  19.66238774209615,
                  15.276449953495895,
                  17.30546875341423,
                  15.311758068701987,
                  16.585118321907462,
                  20.610952753353995,
                  18.456897804883226,
                  21.311808216556564,
                  18.864772006483992,
                  24.22745453814933,
                  25.980309080969267,
                  25.35510595105101,
                  24.545857790902712,
                  41.67248951423064,
                  18.164010610584267
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.39204601962671,
                  27.805797093752453,
                  22.207282572475705,
                  27.797792663493386,
                  26.66962830804676,
                  26.97376912574168,
                  23.26053652447847,
                  14.241899822641196,
                  16.510587222389972,
                  16.908553230289037,
                  24.13142279979357,
                  21.94353324398463,
                  14.933166968425661,
                  16.28934656898355,
                  17.734742432162996,
                  18.166784225561575,
                  22.414310019150328,
                  18.92498462359777,
                  23.99383212562862,
                  20.307614536453897,
                  22.910431624798427,
                  23.155488841065146,
                  32.903221742728334,
                  26.442186808005133
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.694914714706677,
                  28.484947725836346,
                  20.999902668311726,
                  23.520881209344694,
                  22.875922445982813,
                  26.271540087156584,
                  22.609809590412247,
                  13.912974549604273,
                  17.632995432551223,
                  18.73103208786966,
                  14.336787598912204,
                  16.369649237466756,
                  14.372162585548612,
                  15.647934505900317,
                  19.681393623770038,
                  17.52325902577564,
                  20.383576464743825,
                  17.931905716394613,
                  23.30474484376386,
                  25.060919186854285,
                  24.43453196009906,
                  23.623751132980786,
                  40.78281965881499,
                  17.229817120881425
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4487864177537871,
              "rpss": 0.009019034079616572,
              "brier_below": 0.2245415860962183,
              "bss_below": 0.009610104530433983,
              "brier_above": 0.22424483174287038,
              "bss_above": 0.008426473726085737,
              "crps": 22.80556745166079,
              "crpss": -0.02563436127652685,
              "crps_fair": 22.042456630969795,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03441564436470457,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.215442,
                    0.614782,
                    0.146531,
                    0.023245,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2704,
                    0.3473,
                    0.4378,
                    0.526,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2899,
                    0.3434,
                    0.4439,
                    0.3792,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.187176,
                    0.656142,
                    0.129365,
                    0.027317,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2739,
                    0.3447,
                    0.4357,
                    0.5347,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2452,
                    0.357,
                    0.4409,
                    0.3079,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4354678835123525,
                  0.4596140980359281,
                  0.45488006631548905,
                  0.48695650805266893,
                  0.4243778559610842,
                  0.4672486813393329,
                  0.4619649786479255,
                  0.39430779097595825,
                  0.40481965873007114,
                  0.4446563334594423,
                  0.46281705530632905,
                  0.4904060959741353,
                  0.39911899523054944,
                  0.43474896960446374,
                  0.40318874671084337,
                  0.44560535848309796,
                  0.4757305977462632,
                  0.43784122567926786,
                  0.4550880095896814,
                  0.4346272643902853,
                  0.4474669107782033,
                  0.4652666710411192,
                  0.4276998643816154,
                  0.422261719493753
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4708394260755114,
                  0.478347266080356,
                  0.45538422746879303,
                  0.459058972330508,
                  0.4576620419554788,
                  0.4731696930221518,
                  0.4667027713068357,
                  0.40033314926296837,
                  0.4269632323273467,
                  0.47402716162226893,
                  0.42746598323848156,
                  0.4504271403690195,
                  0.40120899735641075,
                  0.42992826073816515,
                  0.4295731135867868,
                  0.45389937720701334,
                  0.464329174189181,
                  0.43688310391500257,
                  0.4544141148747783,
                  0.48318259866850327,
                  0.47262088435117405,
                  0.4869104538041862,
                  0.4927855011868216,
                  0.4253640867477962
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.27857102698940445,
                  0.18227136711286734,
                  0.26395618798050346,
                  0.2001951308021515,
                  0.2806319895918629,
                  0.1754591727132928,
                  0.2208436900676643,
                  0.2003045557757876,
                  0.1422387963298373,
                  0.28938673188403075,
                  0.2536000000708122,
                  0.2759969226743319,
                  0.19728653594759346,
                  0.21624322010526106,
                  0.17164987862194694,
                  0.17250897124020287,
                  0.32359338133985316,
                  0.16027645205226534,
                  0.2386104832770453,
                  0.11335309258180025,
                  0.13737109242592999,
                  0.34330395562452254,
                  0.2962744985294875,
                  0.17143972672251773
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3014181688717181,
                  0.19043828142969435,
                  0.2621352098296086,
                  0.189211357423254,
                  0.29646647218334904,
                  0.1763031653097088,
                  0.22490333867954082,
                  0.20427330506010077,
                  0.15400796871896968,
                  0.30561580770909275,
                  0.2387426263229863,
                  0.25381385295644204,
                  0.19826391217931327,
                  0.2127100821035814,
                  0.1864847383371641,
                  0.17554851753521306,
                  0.31069878617163244,
                  0.15976518026133896,
                  0.23943647892764403,
                  0.13596964382400945,
                  0.15004019014661238,
                  0.3525530292328047,
                  0.338807101099202,
                  0.18090576234657507
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.156896855906626,
                  0.2773427320263574,
                  0.19092387703584218,
                  0.28676137684634273,
                  0.1437458661536534,
                  0.2917895100258208,
                  0.24112128847783498,
                  0.19400323448793888,
                  0.26258086323552643,
                  0.15526960083187452,
                  0.20921705523105316,
                  0.21440917340866966,
                  0.20183245853128173,
                  0.2185057496165891,
                  0.2315388678175983,
                  0.2730963880859693,
                  0.15213721371991112,
                  0.2775647752165791,
                  0.21647752598289563,
                  0.3212741735160162,
                  0.3100958210976211,
                  0.12196271418711703,
                  0.13142536586764933,
                  0.25082199347406714
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16942125720379314,
                  0.28790898465066145,
                  0.1932490176391843,
                  0.26984761490725384,
                  0.16119556977212962,
                  0.2968665277124429,
                  0.2417994326272948,
                  0.1960598442028676,
                  0.27295526360837696,
                  0.16841135391317605,
                  0.18872335691549524,
                  0.19661328741257744,
                  0.20294508517709747,
                  0.21721817863458368,
                  0.24308837524962262,
                  0.2783508596718001,
                  0.15363038801754828,
                  0.27711792365366356,
                  0.2149776359471342,
                  0.3472129548444936,
                  0.3225806942045614,
                  0.13435742457138128,
                  0.15397840008761954,
                  0.24445832440122106
                ],
                "crps": [
                  36.72904802770303,
                  45.744862093374444,
                  35.069793561205145,
                  44.79833572480076,
                  39.95121631861226,
                  45.767211576991734,
                  38.81931211293463,
                  24.080989260032315,
                  28.329680408827873,
                  29.218692798516923,
                  36.72012372488482,
                  35.7799002070344,
                  25.203472646233543,
                  27.53448513404582,
                  28.377812530359034,
                  30.36393479827727,
                  35.491962767940244,
                  29.02917516038242,
                  37.519200123743204,
                  30.98396988531183,
                  37.793521894079,
                  38.52015663966882,
                  56.1777071714284,
                  36.59158485369532
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.18653222448657,
                  46.84531125433672,
                  34.54432198123997,
                  39.348572475319074,
                  38.036972805317745,
                  43.60338146746455,
                  38.085883059957226,
                  23.826258832192412,
                  29.89978054903974,
                  31.738181364810576,
                  24.43088871098674,
                  27.83268008310316,
                  24.65712467841512,
                  26.46699035284445,
                  30.59299785477991,
                  30.304948845204205,
                  32.919233990306296,
                  27.674921508143957,
                  36.33860707613447,
                  38.60628169474539,
                  41.339344183302146,
                  39.82018386333356,
                  70.64179962667183,
                  27.64414578747141
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  35.49364040507938,
                  44.635768394663934,
                  33.93371261194096,
                  43.575231522059646,
                  38.70555369580506,
                  44.541758418501985,
                  37.66739131285547,
                  22.859539919023725,
                  27.268217941122305,
                  27.96228791238454,
                  35.4622467037659,
                  34.51306144846066,
                  23.91733318865176,
                  26.328221343268527,
                  27.14007171723582,
                  29.15146676565779,
                  34.277782075410336,
                  27.68514709993472,
                  36.286044718777745,
                  29.79890059472446,
                  36.58253781712458,
                  37.34884465574883,
                  54.996364159444184,
                  35.31258528166841
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.728326247149674,
                  45.39782266152604,
                  33.07353606026055,
                  37.88688551360875,
                  36.57280175332332,
                  42.149752856118134,
                  36.62180464102082,
                  22.335173549188287,
                  28.420198148075094,
                  30.262080783572767,
                  22.94094856032881,
                  26.34918271913484,
                  23.167613004968228,
                  24.9809064552961,
                  29.114728365379165,
                  28.826133808436836,
                  31.445370251162224,
                  26.19112535899579,
                  34.87121942238024,
                  37.143188879283976,
                  39.88142762255391,
                  38.359390105009616,
                  69.23938014062692,
                  26.160291350973484
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44317338914332755,
              "rpss": 0.021645569545998278,
              "brier_below": 0.2210569525192072,
              "bss_below": 0.024482081181015025,
              "brier_above": 0.22211643669920147,
              "bss_above": 0.01880616246077027,
              "crps": 35.60817289250347,
              "crpss": -0.009701024723628215,
              "crps_fair": 34.393487904304614,
              "crpss_fair": -0.017660067578585403,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.180393,
                    0.693021,
                    0.11418,
                    0.012406,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2752,
                    0.3469,
                    0.4329,
                    0.5317,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2495,
                    0.3439,
                    0.5033,
                    0.504,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.161596,
                    0.711215,
                    0.114487,
                    0.012703,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.275,
                    0.3454,
                    0.4321,
                    0.5299,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2143,
                    0.3584,
                    0.4567,
                    0.352,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43096675638580745,
                  0.49452482324257874,
                  0.4312642771409908,
                  0.42093764574102677,
                  0.46196901790536876,
                  0.4730814991515492,
                  0.40942862675697517,
                  0.41197589351123337,
                  0.4942718788374635
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4392667893930284,
                  0.47209024474380396,
                  0.4563295774817628,
                  0.4676949686529568,
                  0.46440251426226875,
                  0.44306773857298026,
                  0.4754913821954125,
                  0.4978762127486338,
                  0.46473262279411304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20294814267024638,
                  0.333297255354227,
                  0.1789983589398118,
                  0.13907252092510966,
                  0.16777223890420465,
                  0.23637884533132641,
                  0.25152585975935504,
                  0.12429253904937698,
                  0.3021041885635204
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20840800414252633,
                  0.3211528412581965,
                  0.18588896696747403,
                  0.1529691839704525,
                  0.16918637749027593,
                  0.22647917630868836,
                  0.29670790679502046,
                  0.14687399037084822,
                  0.2847919519536404
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22801861293285003,
                  0.16122758111921776,
                  0.25226591016359795,
                  0.28186511319267954,
                  0.2941967666854054,
                  0.23670265852498656,
                  0.15790277227711005,
                  0.2876833376927521,
                  0.19216770121006901
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23085878370616417,
                  0.15093741623232468,
                  0.27044060189216984,
                  0.31472576814158004,
                  0.2952161237196651,
                  0.21658856327166845,
                  0.17878348316784407,
                  0.3510021993501296,
                  0.17994067840100206
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.531050214839027,
                  26.366902662698458,
                  19.129047975022626,
                  23.568563739956893,
                  21.695763757530585,
                  30.518381615210217,
                  18.065897659534663,
                  24.64224574786119,
                  24.50247509143331
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.251323675318027,
                  22.462373750235535,
                  22.429096847378236,
                  21.013467579334527,
                  21.05169122929241,
                  20.436541798871772,
                  21.23268013317464,
                  31.69290548699711,
                  20.84021936433369
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.158992574599218,
                  25.97790645509383,
                  18.72835051697292,
                  23.1475523643219,
                  21.31272712705277,
                  30.110483095293947,
                  17.676174820537565,
                  24.20753536718897,
                  24.09529726318755
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.36344490244705,
                  21.574494977364562,
                  21.54121807450725,
                  20.125588806463544,
                  20.163812456421432,
                  19.548663026000803,
                  20.344801360303663,
                  30.805026714126136,
                  19.95234059146272
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44760226874144377,
              "rpss": 0.036482511714321264,
              "brier_below": 0.21515443883301982,
              "bss_below": 0.028140336471190075,
              "brier_above": 0.23244782819985202,
              "bss_above": 0.04407742535580783,
              "crps": 23.224480940454107,
              "crpss": -0.03265658221721801,
              "crps_fair": 22.823891064916516,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05655623455940462,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.376646,
                    0.545405,
                    0.073275,
                    0.004674,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.269,
                    0.3372,
                    0.4371,
                    0.5049,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2773,
                    0.3282,
                    0.6017,
                    0.705,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.13048,
                    0.624583,
                    0.195039,
                    0.049898,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2767,
                    0.347,
                    0.4388,
                    0.5122,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1891,
                    0.3966,
                    0.4735,
                    0.6295,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4443394790328453,
                  0.4775722905325084,
                  0.41667061513067966,
                  0.4268096019369822,
                  0.4597958049452068,
                  0.48067727857251585,
                  0.4290004207413406,
                  0.43367261814248703,
                  0.48786155428840056
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45375860413458485,
                  0.45298996440830325,
                  0.4431570365814314,
                  0.45029456864798206,
                  0.45806327538229014,
                  0.4543204749095515,
                  0.470672671598715,
                  0.4932554758488676,
                  0.46455214735141936
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.19848976362557233,
                  0.31101058121091557,
                  0.19957880374867334,
                  0.15710246490758978,
                  0.17488911882152697,
                  0.23930424231940256,
                  0.23633700553076178,
                  0.1407606797130658,
                  0.2970047388121457
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2051677757555093,
                  0.2983593853982372,
                  0.20938553817015962,
                  0.16496000983722006,
                  0.1741714573544431,
                  0.2285609758239909,
                  0.26339413622632507,
                  0.15647499638411203,
                  0.28182460076839555
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24584971153132973,
                  0.16656172194076094,
                  0.21709180962153649,
                  0.2697071293014621,
                  0.2849066759380291,
                  0.24137303810434083,
                  0.19266341627376204,
                  0.2929119226415758,
                  0.19085682513457208
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2485908236640017,
                  0.154630591096392,
                  0.2337714963461003,
                  0.28533454752539783,
                  0.28389180700046496,
                  0.22575949845304602,
                  0.20727853804452892,
                  0.336780458980145,
                  0.18272755364522117
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.95174973469935,
                  39.9282587130516,
                  28.41218682724087,
                  33.29150998701643,
                  34.387810959918546,
                  44.67460958616563,
                  30.05163672351862,
                  37.31980267749362,
                  38.17283615466178
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  33.004803964257825,
                  34.46939391673293,
                  32.65658052025425,
                  29.032738395322635,
                  33.148159551740136,
                  33.11616337741962,
                  33.59207713414676,
                  46.2020167224791,
                  32.25661943021509
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.36033511436853,
                  39.31706206792582,
                  27.783911368982274,
                  32.641422072514516,
                  33.779419684098784,
                  44.04293586697146,
                  29.41614425902705,
                  36.65282836549891,
                  37.54011295786974
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  31.596610755475933,
                  33.06120070795104,
                  31.24838731147235,
                  27.62454518654074,
                  31.73996634295824,
                  31.707970168637708,
                  32.18388392536486,
                  44.7938235136972,
                  30.848426221433186
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4507110737025518,
              "rpss": 0.020445120158851915,
              "brier_below": 0.21716415540996153,
              "bss_below": 0.01403495576248881,
              "brier_above": 0.2335469167208188,
              "bss_above": 0.02633128477625757,
              "crps": 35.35448904041849,
              "crpss": -0.03483770899221139,
              "crps_fair": 34.72601908413968,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06013930836182113,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.312085,
                    0.63802,
                    0.049627,
                    0.000267,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2751,
                    0.3371,
                    0.4314,
                    0.5057,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2955,
                    0.3221,
                    0.5937,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.112478,
                    0.694581,
                    0.172281,
                    0.02066,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2793,
                    0.3458,
                    0.4346,
                    0.5076,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2018,
                    0.3943,
                    0.4513,
                    0.5782,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "qdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6827434581519691,
            "training": [
              0.7027585292363527,
              0.6864491171412959,
              0.6704612311904257,
              0.6639400136883878,
              0.6504484283079475,
              0.7047514351771824,
              0.690494360062105,
              0.6793054269145523,
              0.6981186275732011,
              0.7045666823221592,
              0.6379249825003411,
              0.6435171952683904,
              0.6789264302416438,
              0.6867918703811788,
              0.7124256298447427,
              0.6733600031265258,
              0.6596303894436156,
              0.6897403292353157,
              0.6855869051491462,
              0.7102153946187366,
              0.6896268290364926,
              0.684347751170922,
              0.7255606936443543,
              0.656894740372245
            ],
            "test": 0.6982454165925377
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.429291417650553,
                  0.4403542114159946,
                  0.45832718713926696,
                  0.4865139888755189,
                  0.4715202072465396,
                  0.4360249312164138,
                  0.4371019342785489,
                  0.3942421280967081,
                  0.41407782550039646,
                  0.4418263714848165,
                  0.5035332849297933,
                  0.5189511848444874,
                  0.38490657806153394,
                  0.4416384956857173,
                  0.4027920195159709,
                  0.43554623245275714,
                  0.4870970872069381,
                  0.44071914111124294,
                  0.47072644572700467,
                  0.4455258507368546,
                  0.4489176353184075,
                  0.4669380414629216,
                  0.4187232035931464,
                  0.47717291424067276
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4754016819136036,
                  0.4698987852691481,
                  0.4475722931876876,
                  0.45452035553745596,
                  0.45257039479879513,
                  0.47044392511759964,
                  0.4542944276806166,
                  0.40943755938485,
                  0.4371667600138314,
                  0.47263230769926734,
                  0.4303065355231145,
                  0.454595990277518,
                  0.3959257285293265,
                  0.4434645496740271,
                  0.4412507991961764,
                  0.435170437641651,
                  0.46944879844205245,
                  0.4520639211186838,
                  0.4716870174931902,
                  0.4802945203904019,
                  0.4668563967515232,
                  0.4722071384657149,
                  0.4700629053401188,
                  0.4416277853045537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2771437012185842,
                  0.1638930715428793,
                  0.23966825102409695,
                  0.1986778280527809,
                  0.26958878143731224,
                  0.1576046353618437,
                  0.18836913535672756,
                  0.2232900272297993,
                  0.18929865877488514,
                  0.2887452648598908,
                  0.2786253334704136,
                  0.3078718434322281,
                  0.19104815759612842,
                  0.25059900466909407,
                  0.1618868247842696,
                  0.1749072775864099,
                  0.3423127852865934,
                  0.14384644471729238,
                  0.22923372594769179,
                  0.1581895351830679,
                  0.14219192235487949,
                  0.3074717490288912,
                  0.27411356110913937,
                  0.2262035264188268
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3078804322691799,
                  0.1772720877647993,
                  0.23250880823643677,
                  0.18364157998711608,
                  0.25298088487778414,
                  0.16740053832617655,
                  0.19875490361406287,
                  0.23070092354944458,
                  0.19835315818041957,
                  0.3046158566400611,
                  0.2547128368467289,
                  0.2754668354354953,
                  0.19677990497580344,
                  0.24932954530109538,
                  0.18175769604553224,
                  0.17303074498633814,
                  0.3240234689536009,
                  0.14982223006986983,
                  0.23057761248348646,
                  0.17130633492700192,
                  0.15271106939309373,
                  0.30644077557443045,
                  0.3037858009356,
                  0.21743539710448076
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15214771581692396,
                  0.2764611410360247,
                  0.21865893499160727,
                  0.28783616082283214,
                  0.20193142474699857,
                  0.2784202966875099,
                  0.2487327991404197,
                  0.17095209976654216,
                  0.22477916771438577,
                  0.15308110563125754,
                  0.22490795290523113,
                  0.21107934184369356,
                  0.1938584193320444,
                  0.19103949089869843,
                  0.24090519431035096,
                  0.2606389559496607,
                  0.14478429935695122,
                  0.2968726983015656,
                  0.24149271962320262,
                  0.2873363166605033,
                  0.30672571589566944,
                  0.15946629119465855,
                  0.14460964283259992,
                  0.2509693893794571
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16752124964442372,
                  0.2926266975043488,
                  0.21506348495125072,
                  0.2708787755503398,
                  0.1995895099210109,
                  0.3030433867914231,
                  0.2555395240665538,
                  0.17873663583540544,
                  0.23881360183341188,
                  0.1680164510592061,
                  0.17559369867638552,
                  0.1791291548420226,
                  0.1991458235535231,
                  0.1941350043729317,
                  0.2594931031506441,
                  0.26213969265531295,
                  0.1454253294884514,
                  0.30224169104881393,
                  0.24110940500970388,
                  0.3089881854633999,
                  0.31414532735842937,
                  0.16576636289128455,
                  0.16627710440451882,
                  0.22419238820007306
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.001245673789896,
                  28.523352428738775,
                  22.86331673629686,
                  28.277239371876036,
                  26.738382397147635,
                  27.983396933697804,
                  23.54208816059976,
                  14.964710397429792,
                  16.98121865016597,
                  17.441198937018243,
                  25.787422652249578,
                  22.809624126916,
                  15.8193177145215,
                  17.0016388221091,
                  18.644768795914434,
                  19.040089848365838,
                  23.403375490208994,
                  19.33927484871441,
                  24.62080236827304,
                  21.08416726793162,
                  23.61258793302602,
                  23.705639309431792,
                  33.2873270993738,
                  28.682328357241165
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.613106129562965,
                  29.397864976210336,
                  21.926969342234923,
                  24.443182328369915,
                  23.799442768719484,
                  27.188641472953417,
                  23.53383296202524,
                  14.853438063071343,
                  18.566426770436173,
                  19.66238774209615,
                  15.276449953495895,
                  17.30546875341423,
                  15.311758068701987,
                  16.585118321907462,
                  20.610952753353995,
                  18.456897804883226,
                  21.311808216556564,
                  18.864772006483992,
                  24.22745453814933,
                  25.980309080969267,
                  25.35510595105101,
                  24.545857790902712,
                  41.67248951423064,
                  18.164010610584267
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.228051364725435,
                  27.813194237661726,
                  22.11237485351562,
                  27.49833965693671,
                  25.977526595535952,
                  27.19982208837794,
                  22.771666557019618,
                  14.156392310243364,
                  16.25765596199301,
                  16.650383281158934,
                  24.950893504553378,
                  21.99160831397506,
                  15.002944606970395,
                  16.20625080196914,
                  17.840576970311197,
                  18.24370037665318,
                  22.60486359102232,
                  18.479932244309108,
                  23.808957455415165,
                  20.313775438984,
                  22.82205857570902,
                  22.957951077852318,
                  32.52261672746817,
                  27.849946772734267
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.694914714706677,
                  28.484947725836346,
                  20.999902668311726,
                  23.520881209344694,
                  22.875922445982813,
                  26.271540087156584,
                  22.609809590412247,
                  13.912974549604273,
                  17.632995432551223,
                  18.73103208786966,
                  14.336787598912204,
                  16.369649237466756,
                  14.372162585548612,
                  15.647934505900317,
                  19.681393623770038,
                  17.52325902577564,
                  20.383576464743825,
                  17.931905716394613,
                  23.30474484376386,
                  25.060919186854285,
                  24.43453196009906,
                  23.623751132980786,
                  40.78281965881499,
                  17.229817120881425
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44801951324134187,
              "rpss": 0.010712462722834992,
              "brier_below": 0.22436587693515528,
              "bss_below": 0.010385108308948676,
              "brier_above": 0.22365363645161618,
              "bss_above": 0.011040641442279342,
              "crps": 22.798104763376585,
              "crpss": -0.025298741934977942,
              "crps_fair": 22.010895140212295,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03293451636043487,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.233072,
                    0.597732,
                    0.144002,
                    0.025193,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2671,
                    0.3471,
                    0.4391,
                    0.5264,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2884,
                    0.3462,
                    0.4409,
                    0.3894,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.187546,
                    0.642642,
                    0.1233,
                    0.046513,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2732,
                    0.3446,
                    0.4386,
                    0.5344,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2366,
                    0.3575,
                    0.4334,
                    0.3873,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43368849905862095,
                  0.45769058128573653,
                  0.4557526823544041,
                  0.48628142840482574,
                  0.4216779312786129,
                  0.4664507788352053,
                  0.45886386405622304,
                  0.3946187608065302,
                  0.4020842929555019,
                  0.4447099588173053,
                  0.4615291958655526,
                  0.4925314249499873,
                  0.3983971392659656,
                  0.43454015731006845,
                  0.40110815324607246,
                  0.44724534225792,
                  0.481532497760461,
                  0.4343947140211978,
                  0.4537605831617988,
                  0.4307958290900318,
                  0.44566583624965966,
                  0.4654158716174833,
                  0.42453802203797614,
                  0.42218561031629276
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4708394260755114,
                  0.478347266080356,
                  0.45538422746879303,
                  0.459058972330508,
                  0.4576620419554788,
                  0.4731696930221518,
                  0.4667027713068357,
                  0.40033314926296837,
                  0.4269632323273467,
                  0.47402716162226893,
                  0.42746598323848156,
                  0.4504271403690195,
                  0.40120899735641075,
                  0.42992826073816515,
                  0.4295731135867868,
                  0.45389937720701334,
                  0.464329174189181,
                  0.43688310391500257,
                  0.4544141148747783,
                  0.48318259866850327,
                  0.47262088435117405,
                  0.4869104538041862,
                  0.4927855011868216,
                  0.4253640867477962
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2764640468162106,
                  0.182727668894658,
                  0.26569251040087905,
                  0.2012718776803077,
                  0.2796507044613394,
                  0.17700690219603565,
                  0.22005777641667923,
                  0.20185607984386558,
                  0.14267100447483425,
                  0.290131176224308,
                  0.2507080923071661,
                  0.2749957369523421,
                  0.19686672796868235,
                  0.21648277203157212,
                  0.17055675220510688,
                  0.1736038136658028,
                  0.32693558351962637,
                  0.15758146104240836,
                  0.23896769827568182,
                  0.11318838347381915,
                  0.13726638220159287,
                  0.3433325928634038,
                  0.2943722365769569,
                  0.17145710046041643
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3014181688717181,
                  0.19043828142969435,
                  0.2621352098296086,
                  0.189211357423254,
                  0.29646647218334904,
                  0.1763031653097088,
                  0.22490333867954082,
                  0.20427330506010077,
                  0.15400796871896968,
                  0.30561580770909275,
                  0.2387426263229863,
                  0.25381385295644204,
                  0.19826391217931327,
                  0.2127100821035814,
                  0.1864847383371641,
                  0.17554851753521306,
                  0.31069878617163244,
                  0.15976518026133896,
                  0.23943647892764403,
                  0.13596964382400945,
                  0.15004019014661238,
                  0.3525530292328047,
                  0.338807101099202,
                  0.18090576234657507
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15722445149895892,
                  0.2749629138998672,
                  0.19006017047868232,
                  0.28500955062643263,
                  0.1420272265861017,
                  0.2894438783026626,
                  0.23880608756112123,
                  0.19276267994783938,
                  0.2594132897309655,
                  0.15457878156698626,
                  0.2108211035761316,
                  0.21753568813346577,
                  0.20153041055619225,
                  0.21805738590269041,
                  0.23055140060391396,
                  0.273641530103517,
                  0.15459691138531312,
                  0.2768132548418425,
                  0.2147928839756935,
                  0.31760744735165414,
                  0.308399457127727,
                  0.12208327707518096,
                  0.13016578550481245,
                  0.25072851077620295
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16942125720379314,
                  0.28790898465066145,
                  0.1932490176391843,
                  0.26984761490725384,
                  0.16119556977212962,
                  0.2968665277124429,
                  0.2417994326272948,
                  0.1960598442028676,
                  0.27295526360837696,
                  0.16841135391317605,
                  0.18872335691549524,
                  0.19661328741257744,
                  0.20294508517709747,
                  0.21721817863458368,
                  0.24308837524962262,
                  0.2783508596718001,
                  0.15363038801754828,
                  0.27711792365366356,
                  0.2149776359471342,
                  0.3472129548444936,
                  0.3225806942045614,
                  0.13435742457138128,
                  0.15397840008761954,
                  0.24445832440122106
                ],
                "crps": [
                  36.47337892902313,
                  45.837032272121846,
                  35.061997736676055,
                  44.34851953781709,
                  38.749562446658246,
                  45.720573513808816,
                  38.085353915234364,
                  23.935526146641234,
                  27.88450910240134,
                  28.793771281315376,
                  37.343533336648186,
                  35.678841696767336,
                  25.175814577235464,
                  27.31540265912247,
                  28.561878801142583,
                  30.567023275242075,
                  35.859617233503975,
                  28.38059974680829,
                  37.252175308296586,
                  30.860089062355343,
                  37.57585430828008,
                  38.18771091055083,
                  55.46822159756824,
                  38.09578958148679
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.18653222448657,
                  46.84531125433672,
                  34.54432198123997,
                  39.348572475319074,
                  38.036972805317745,
                  43.60338146746455,
                  38.085883059957226,
                  23.826258832192412,
                  29.89978054903974,
                  31.738181364810576,
                  24.43088871098674,
                  27.83268008310316,
                  24.65712467841512,
                  26.46699035284445,
                  30.59299785477991,
                  30.304948845204205,
                  32.919233990306296,
                  27.674921508143957,
                  36.33860707613447,
                  38.60628169474539,
                  41.339344183302146,
                  39.82018386333356,
                  70.64179962667183,
                  27.64414578747141
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  35.21808416524717,
                  44.701819704133314,
                  33.85806629067289,
                  43.09428996918856,
                  37.48082206630998,
                  44.460126169422104,
                  36.8551076381078,
                  22.660912224519322,
                  26.735687814357732,
                  27.500421066648457,
                  36.043965718126714,
                  34.391576425449635,
                  23.875961941806466,
                  26.044809180438595,
                  27.284299194501493,
                  29.296189252341506,
                  34.597643858830374,
                  27.012685967824368,
                  35.97428857716489,
                  29.625432722941788,
                  36.326150285045095,
                  36.980865466062816,
                  54.2353522489854,
                  36.79203595507345
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.728326247149674,
                  45.39782266152604,
                  33.07353606026055,
                  37.88688551360875,
                  36.57280175332332,
                  42.149752856118134,
                  36.62180464102082,
                  22.335173549188287,
                  28.420198148075094,
                  30.262080783572767,
                  22.94094856032881,
                  26.34918271913484,
                  23.167613004968228,
                  24.9809064552961,
                  29.114728365379165,
                  28.826133808436836,
                  31.445370251162224,
                  26.19112535899579,
                  34.87121942238024,
                  37.143188879283976,
                  39.88142762255391,
                  38.359390105009616,
                  69.23938014062692,
                  26.160291350973484
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44231079812514307,
              "rpss": 0.02354983493057372,
              "brier_below": 0.22099354503973734,
              "bss_below": 0.024761896548526008,
              "brier_above": 0.2213172532130815,
              "bss_above": 0.022336535643849853,
              "crps": 35.46719904069607,
              "crpss": -0.00570358730781706,
              "crps_fair": 34.210274745966665,
              "crpss_fair": -0.012239020559037694,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.180486,
                    0.691835,
                    0.113518,
                    0.014161,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2722,
                    0.3466,
                    0.4334,
                    0.5284,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2535,
                    0.3424,
                    0.5014,
                    0.5268,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.159879,
                    0.709893,
                    0.110526,
                    0.019702,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2744,
                    0.3455,
                    0.4349,
                    0.5322,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1919,
                    0.3615,
                    0.4619,
                    0.4024,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43246109971069757,
                  0.4992582680590177,
                  0.4308319634378971,
                  0.4185383948077431,
                  0.4592958819439169,
                  0.4770380182104699,
                  0.4081793138861321,
                  0.4076187249426267,
                  0.49830378377498097
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4392667893930284,
                  0.47209024474380396,
                  0.4563295774817628,
                  0.4676949686529568,
                  0.46440251426226875,
                  0.44306773857298026,
                  0.4754913821954125,
                  0.4978762127486338,
                  0.46473262279411304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2044527348158809,
                  0.33673419678151567,
                  0.17947604872381223,
                  0.13875868967642452,
                  0.16563234704636692,
                  0.23719180379866342,
                  0.2505023230522093,
                  0.12450416400308965,
                  0.3032294763708112
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20840800414252633,
                  0.3211528412581965,
                  0.18588896696747403,
                  0.1529691839704525,
                  0.16918637749027593,
                  0.22647917630868836,
                  0.29670790679502046,
                  0.14687399037084822,
                  0.2847919519536404
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2280083642547676,
                  0.16252408461433898,
                  0.2513559067038831,
                  0.2797796936500855,
                  0.2936635227044743,
                  0.23984621908941536,
                  0.15767699588534514,
                  0.2831145446967845,
                  0.19507431861683663
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23085878370616417,
                  0.15093741623232468,
                  0.27044060189216984,
                  0.31472576814158004,
                  0.2952161237196651,
                  0.21658856327166845,
                  0.17878348316784407,
                  0.3510021993501296,
                  0.17994067840100206
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.486344350410583,
                  26.43790670660484,
                  19.04327558679391,
                  24.64102296259443,
                  21.646599705056786,
                  31.897154131496062,
                  17.99873648815537,
                  24.526731423207767,
                  25.089237944508685
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.251323675318027,
                  22.462373750235535,
                  22.429096847378236,
                  21.013467579334527,
                  21.05169122929241,
                  20.436541798871772,
                  21.23268013317464,
                  31.69290548699711,
                  20.84021936433369
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.108167309500622,
                  26.0449667931157,
                  18.640279175438884,
                  24.225008334286713,
                  21.26315898355143,
                  31.49906858507279,
                  17.6067889956552,
                  24.091174462418124,
                  24.68648245181665
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.36344490244705,
                  21.574494977364562,
                  21.54121807450725,
                  20.125588806463544,
                  20.163812456421432,
                  19.548663026000803,
                  20.344801360303663,
                  30.805026714126136,
                  19.95234059146272
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44794727208594254,
              "rpss": 0.035739850697708686,
              "brier_below": 0.21560908714097485,
              "bss_below": 0.02608667513847629,
              "brier_above": 0.23233818335732564,
              "bss_above": 0.04452833075241214,
              "crps": 23.529667699869826,
              "crpss": -0.04622644914876384,
              "crps_fair": 23.129455010095125,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0707013025680443,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.382485,
                    0.538474,
                    0.072162,
                    0.006879,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2658,
                    0.3375,
                    0.4377,
                    0.508,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2898,
                    0.3194,
                    0.6045,
                    0.6392,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.132401,
                    0.614794,
                    0.180045,
                    0.072761,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2759,
                    0.3475,
                    0.4412,
                    0.516,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.198,
                    0.397,
                    0.4621,
                    0.5864,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44489053421448305,
                  0.47824598453820427,
                  0.4159257530959567,
                  0.4239452009511394,
                  0.4591061913055063,
                  0.48260861488188833,
                  0.42834864688435975,
                  0.4308909370515644,
                  0.49027240402579986
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45375860413458485,
                  0.45298996440830325,
                  0.4431570365814314,
                  0.45029456864798206,
                  0.45806327538229014,
                  0.4543204749095515,
                  0.470672671598715,
                  0.4932554758488676,
                  0.46455214735141936
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1996628218515324,
                  0.31172112398075424,
                  0.19905600973241558,
                  0.1564788265113463,
                  0.17415559994048316,
                  0.23974864242016375,
                  0.23572071066290468,
                  0.14111673213139717,
                  0.2981961536746238
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2051677757555093,
                  0.2983593853982372,
                  0.20938553817015962,
                  0.16496000983722006,
                  0.1741714573544431,
                  0.2285609758239909,
                  0.26339413622632507,
                  0.15647499638411203,
                  0.28182460076839555
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2452277085065996,
                  0.16652487315145242,
                  0.21686974158236905,
                  0.26746636682138225,
                  0.2849505812165026,
                  0.2428599743452694,
                  0.1926279369977174,
                  0.2897741894256313,
                  0.19207626032829517
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2485908236640017,
                  0.154630591096392,
                  0.2337714963461003,
                  0.28533454752539783,
                  0.28389180700046496,
                  0.22575949845304602,
                  0.20727853804452892,
                  0.336780458980145,
                  0.18272755364522117
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.888872211385266,
                  39.87480737537883,
                  28.32632613695025,
                  34.28913956853232,
                  34.304182063203996,
                  45.86132242022032,
                  29.92788233325706,
                  37.14531663044882,
                  38.792204390041746
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  33.004803964257825,
                  34.46939391673293,
                  32.65658052025425,
                  29.032738395322635,
                  33.148159551740136,
                  33.11616337741962,
                  33.59207713414676,
                  46.2020167224791,
                  32.25661943021509
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.28463481144514,
                  39.255501907758415,
                  27.695452401252822,
                  33.641489210567606,
                  33.6938643432982,
                  45.2380393778817,
                  29.29211244469782,
                  36.47241560170396,
                  38.16041305204665
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  31.596610755475933,
                  33.06120070795104,
                  31.24838731147235,
                  27.62454518654074,
                  31.73996634295824,
                  31.707970168637708,
                  32.18388392536486,
                  44.7938235136972,
                  30.848426221433186
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4504704741054335,
              "rpss": 0.020968028343709588,
              "brier_below": 0.2173174023228468,
              "bss_below": 0.013339186707246098,
              "brier_above": 0.23315307026391321,
              "bss_above": 0.0279732502497263,
              "crps": 35.60111701437985,
              "crpss": -0.042056592208308485,
              "crps_fair": 34.97043590562803,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06760102977183458,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.309508,
                    0.640348,
                    0.05001,
                    0.000134,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2713,
                    0.337,
                    0.4345,
                    0.5115,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3082,
                    0.3155,
                    0.5968,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.114488,
                    0.692821,
                    0.159016,
                    0.033675,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2788,
                    0.3463,
                    0.4378,
                    0.5153,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2006,
                    0.3968,
                    0.4266,
                    0.6097,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7066012498343296,
            "training": [
              0.7259291605127473,
              0.7095130425066847,
              0.6952722273942203,
              0.6896125973768381,
              0.6791077025153871,
              0.7281861335003571,
              0.710858495868625,
              0.7041903326495504,
              0.7208026979211927,
              0.7267941261404313,
              0.6609244041948424,
              0.6715434485646319,
              0.7042820058626854,
              0.7120236855260634,
              0.7353952307184771,
              0.7000784146862451,
              0.6860245083862643,
              0.7120111806095812,
              0.7063973674130158,
              0.7324598300508675,
              0.7092779426652648,
              0.709049016439134,
              0.7512926959391781,
              0.6774037485816237
            ],
            "test": 0.7197511171631004
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4277029437421022,
                  0.444330499729839,
                  0.4560206006841591,
                  0.4922183890501911,
                  0.4681182185741937,
                  0.4404164953645122,
                  0.441630469961089,
                  0.389576938956685,
                  0.41789179520658015,
                  0.4387934020799623,
                  0.49589084586546817,
                  0.5102873750219924,
                  0.383516802709782,
                  0.4384722391066414,
                  0.4053557786829546,
                  0.4373397401495796,
                  0.47915318960145536,
                  0.4461563489484319,
                  0.470335632404147,
                  0.45161633533879864,
                  0.4575566123223691,
                  0.4630947858251253,
                  0.41885521961667876,
                  0.47591391225095475
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4754016819136036,
                  0.4698987852691481,
                  0.4475722931876876,
                  0.45452035553745596,
                  0.45257039479879513,
                  0.47044392511759964,
                  0.4542944276806166,
                  0.40943755938485,
                  0.4371667600138314,
                  0.47263230769926734,
                  0.4303065355231145,
                  0.454595990277518,
                  0.3959257285293265,
                  0.4434645496740271,
                  0.4412507991961764,
                  0.435170437641651,
                  0.46944879844205245,
                  0.4520639211186838,
                  0.4716870174931902,
                  0.4802945203904019,
                  0.4668563967515232,
                  0.4722071384657149,
                  0.4700629053401188,
                  0.4416277853045537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2774396895256507,
                  0.163789656752901,
                  0.2378401158089868,
                  0.1999707363525621,
                  0.2679080428831969,
                  0.15827602259717757,
                  0.19016744969622668,
                  0.22125327759663818,
                  0.18975147211227297,
                  0.28677311512092885,
                  0.27720537834311704,
                  0.3045273520108809,
                  0.1923865238451211,
                  0.24983332157577942,
                  0.1633345982279161,
                  0.17429373396941272,
                  0.33960964968900487,
                  0.1456409622943389,
                  0.23069342108053378,
                  0.1598261845707339,
                  0.14388657581155906,
                  0.30573871300720085,
                  0.27474083240668634,
                  0.22665421313475936
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3078804322691799,
                  0.1772720877647993,
                  0.23250880823643677,
                  0.18364157998711608,
                  0.25298088487778414,
                  0.16740053832617655,
                  0.19875490361406287,
                  0.23070092354944458,
                  0.19835315818041957,
                  0.3046158566400611,
                  0.2547128368467289,
                  0.2754668354354953,
                  0.19677990497580344,
                  0.24932954530109538,
                  0.18175769604553224,
                  0.17303074498633814,
                  0.3240234689536009,
                  0.14982223006986983,
                  0.23057761248348646,
                  0.17130633492700192,
                  0.15271106939309373,
                  0.30644077557443045,
                  0.3037858009356,
                  0.21743539710448076
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1502632537789725,
                  0.2805408437183524,
                  0.2181804840070728,
                  0.2922476527479264,
                  0.20021017461494184,
                  0.28214047307353035,
                  0.2514630199646288,
                  0.16832366061685955,
                  0.22814032357352562,
                  0.15202028628913503,
                  0.2186854690340109,
                  0.2057600233385177,
                  0.19113027814565053,
                  0.18863891730725332,
                  0.242021180109003,
                  0.2630460071371626,
                  0.13954353802749017,
                  0.30051538818855894,
                  0.2396422112867449,
                  0.29179015231095645,
                  0.3136700385124901,
                  0.15735607209294686,
                  0.14411438774005578,
                  0.2492597005135375
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16752124964442372,
                  0.2926266975043488,
                  0.21506348495125072,
                  0.2708787755503398,
                  0.1995895099210109,
                  0.3030433867914231,
                  0.2555395240665538,
                  0.17873663583540544,
                  0.23881360183341188,
                  0.1680164510592061,
                  0.17559369867638552,
                  0.1791291548420226,
                  0.1991458235535231,
                  0.1941350043729317,
                  0.2594931031506441,
                  0.26213969265531295,
                  0.1454253294884514,
                  0.30224169104881393,
                  0.24110940500970388,
                  0.3089881854633999,
                  0.31414532735842937,
                  0.16576636289128455,
                  0.16627710440451882,
                  0.22419238820007306
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.121306551588447,
                  29.494480780283784,
                  22.85932397699106,
                  29.547359765666315,
                  27.10009733592348,
                  29.33939235577575,
                  24.258574489719884,
                  14.95594082153032,
                  17.864679693033505,
                  17.027627551165022,
                  24.49021633436372,
                  22.267449758626064,
                  15.637132514047613,
                  16.97021491644909,
                  18.75392425586402,
                  19.59926907058386,
                  23.048518412175753,
                  19.998090404846497,
                  24.731665240665055,
                  22.40326319154981,
                  24.751928885489374,
                  23.135460879894126,
                  32.97758507534249,
                  28.965095854111205
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.613106129562965,
                  29.397864976210336,
                  21.926969342234923,
                  24.443182328369915,
                  23.799442768719484,
                  27.188641472953417,
                  23.53383296202524,
                  14.853438063071343,
                  18.566426770436173,
                  19.66238774209615,
                  15.276449953495895,
                  17.30546875341423,
                  15.311758068701987,
                  16.585118321907462,
                  20.610952753353995,
                  18.456897804883226,
                  21.311808216556564,
                  18.864772006483992,
                  24.22745453814933,
                  25.980309080969267,
                  25.35510595105101,
                  24.545857790902712,
                  41.67248951423064,
                  18.164010610584267
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.387585703468503,
                  28.829733374786883,
                  22.155722394242268,
                  28.822303831122976,
                  26.382441305579672,
                  28.615172145357086,
                  23.569075923090367,
                  14.205146756450164,
                  17.219510531024564,
                  16.286205102744017,
                  23.70591136941612,
                  21.521804348855284,
                  14.885628411602495,
                  16.26607621510601,
                  18.016704978846864,
                  18.8747796288557,
                  22.3108368641322,
                  19.22455108749925,
                  23.975275779774158,
                  21.70072596753722,
                  24.017559594220305,
                  22.43343354815233,
                  32.25052000595077,
                  28.209364867295584
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.694914714706677,
                  28.484947725836346,
                  20.999902668311726,
                  23.520881209344694,
                  22.875922445982813,
                  26.271540087156584,
                  22.609809590412247,
                  13.912974549604273,
                  17.632995432551223,
                  18.73103208786966,
                  14.336787598912204,
                  16.369649237466756,
                  14.372162585548612,
                  15.647934505900317,
                  19.681393623770038,
                  17.52325902577564,
                  20.383576464743825,
                  17.931905716394613,
                  23.30474484376386,
                  25.060919186854285,
                  24.43453196009906,
                  23.623751132980786,
                  40.78281965881499,
                  17.229817120881425
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44792685713307057,
              "rpss": 0.010917059912145421,
              "brier_below": 0.22423087660056606,
              "bss_below": 0.01098055688302646,
              "brier_above": 0.22369598067205518,
              "bss_above": 0.010853402308821036,
              "crps": 23.05410825482026,
              "crpss": -0.036811982199134174,
              "crps_fair": 22.32775290562962,
              "crpss_fair": -0.047804121644158704,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.221189,
                    0.604674,
                    0.152764,
                    0.021373,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2675,
                    0.3491,
                    0.4373,
                    0.5227,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2888,
                    0.3426,
                    0.441,
                    0.42,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.242742,
                    0.609466,
                    0.10093,
                    0.046862,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2745,
                    0.3418,
                    0.437,
                    0.5283,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2515,
                    0.3654,
                    0.4349,
                    0.3823,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4329506656710963,
                  0.4609813320450121,
                  0.45223039546213833,
                  0.4907527705827519,
                  0.41905565134225786,
                  0.471004599524934,
                  0.4619342053721489,
                  0.3926847887330973,
                  0.4098762869296855,
                  0.4416899841136104,
                  0.45633645895557823,
                  0.48301437469291014,
                  0.39700617748904093,
                  0.4326827000743832,
                  0.401201217079836,
                  0.4513147739373987,
                  0.4734954440191794,
                  0.4398663120203168,
                  0.45088101585529805,
                  0.43878811174803517,
                  0.45320413426424344,
                  0.4586183583243908,
                  0.4246016655948919,
                  0.42391223359333186
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4708394260755114,
                  0.478347266080356,
                  0.45538422746879303,
                  0.459058972330508,
                  0.4576620419554788,
                  0.4731696930221518,
                  0.4667027713068357,
                  0.40033314926296837,
                  0.4269632323273467,
                  0.47402716162226893,
                  0.42746598323848156,
                  0.4504271403690195,
                  0.40120899735641075,
                  0.42992826073816515,
                  0.4295731135867868,
                  0.45389937720701334,
                  0.464329174189181,
                  0.43688310391500257,
                  0.4544141148747783,
                  0.48318259866850327,
                  0.47262088435117405,
                  0.4869104538041862,
                  0.4927855011868216,
                  0.4253640867477962
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2771027667468098,
                  0.1817540096691962,
                  0.2635539519407822,
                  0.20218786608779435,
                  0.27876341979893576,
                  0.17819194520557094,
                  0.2210339230750462,
                  0.20165643808472558,
                  0.14389880232879915,
                  0.28859157105647726,
                  0.24997823756685086,
                  0.2710850920308398,
                  0.1975852288393022,
                  0.21625673477088028,
                  0.1714747748683156,
                  0.17392033755044756,
                  0.3242528001525255,
                  0.1597554959427623,
                  0.23824930263783256,
                  0.1151437817784654,
                  0.13893400468208808,
                  0.34030962423742006,
                  0.29567050262992406,
                  0.1732157984514262
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3014181688717181,
                  0.19043828142969435,
                  0.2621352098296086,
                  0.189211357423254,
                  0.29646647218334904,
                  0.1763031653097088,
                  0.22490333867954082,
                  0.20427330506010077,
                  0.15400796871896968,
                  0.30561580770909275,
                  0.2387426263229863,
                  0.25381385295644204,
                  0.19826391217931327,
                  0.2127100821035814,
                  0.1864847383371641,
                  0.17554851753521306,
                  0.31069878617163244,
                  0.15976518026133896,
                  0.23943647892764403,
                  0.13596964382400945,
                  0.15004019014661238,
                  0.3525530292328047,
                  0.338807101099202,
                  0.18090576234657507
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15584789819489106,
                  0.27922732359967584,
                  0.18867644235024594,
                  0.288564904499547,
                  0.14029223126945797,
                  0.29281265528328504,
                  0.24090028160840646,
                  0.19102834982847172,
                  0.26597748501131824,
                  0.15309841225447376,
                  0.20635822176644927,
                  0.21192928262627175,
                  0.19942094838999463,
                  0.216425965817823,
                  0.22972644160624156,
                  0.2773944376657918,
                  0.14924264183203834,
                  0.2801108177157045,
                  0.21263171253280327,
                  0.3236443319518656,
                  0.3142701319113552,
                  0.11830873296547782,
                  0.12893116323540704,
                  0.2506964356863433
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16942125720379314,
                  0.28790898465066145,
                  0.1932490176391843,
                  0.26984761490725384,
                  0.16119556977212962,
                  0.2968665277124429,
                  0.2417994326272948,
                  0.1960598442028676,
                  0.27295526360837696,
                  0.16841135391317605,
                  0.18872335691549524,
                  0.19661328741257744,
                  0.20294508517709747,
                  0.21721817863458368,
                  0.24308837524962262,
                  0.2783508596718001,
                  0.15363038801754828,
                  0.27711792365366356,
                  0.2149776359471342,
                  0.3472129548444936,
                  0.3225806942045614,
                  0.13435742457138128,
                  0.15397840008761954,
                  0.24445832440122106
                ],
                "crps": [
                  36.75099292141211,
                  47.36532635708336,
                  34.86093278104915,
                  46.19904568196639,
                  39.04862211387411,
                  48.02361932411695,
                  39.29937330630687,
                  24.0735952342161,
                  29.57534678603456,
                  28.20748303197736,
                  35.75428231152947,
                  34.92695234830183,
                  25.177317097316962,
                  27.46042407368609,
                  28.60509084078871,
                  31.619743193920637,
                  35.15987077950624,
                  29.34722993357429,
                  37.27991999336758,
                  32.77152153223083,
                  39.70502485849197,
                  37.141342558269464,
                  55.03911226855211,
                  38.40944194900372
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.18653222448657,
                  46.84531125433672,
                  34.54432198123997,
                  39.348572475319074,
                  38.036972805317745,
                  43.60338146746455,
                  38.085883059957226,
                  23.826258832192412,
                  29.89978054903974,
                  31.738181364810576,
                  24.43088871098674,
                  27.83268008310316,
                  24.65712467841512,
                  26.46699035284445,
                  30.59299785477991,
                  30.304948845204205,
                  32.919233990306296,
                  27.674921508143957,
                  36.33860707613447,
                  38.60628169474539,
                  41.339344183302146,
                  39.82018386333356,
                  70.64179962667183,
                  27.64414578747141
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  35.55007844088954,
                  46.28652196192072,
                  33.72224183253077,
                  45.02344233322452,
                  37.84612210077528,
                  46.84344409276111,
                  38.189362126021905,
                  22.881157206303634,
                  28.543004018754402,
                  26.986286990535444,
                  34.5206266114578,
                  33.74079241748357,
                  23.971636722069412,
                  26.332274549676296,
                  27.416662134212338,
                  30.455081242278226,
                  33.9813632496799,
                  28.106661365158438,
                  36.07635574808276,
                  31.6355838431139,
                  38.52902433711844,
                  35.99875670740264,
                  53.855978867853544,
                  37.20824896207041
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.728326247149674,
                  45.39782266152604,
                  33.07353606026055,
                  37.88688551360875,
                  36.57280175332332,
                  42.149752856118134,
                  36.62180464102082,
                  22.335173549188287,
                  28.420198148075094,
                  30.262080783572767,
                  22.94094856032881,
                  26.34918271913484,
                  23.167613004968228,
                  24.9809064552961,
                  29.114728365379165,
                  28.826133808436836,
                  31.445370251162224,
                  26.19112535899579,
                  34.87121942238024,
                  37.143188879283976,
                  39.88142762255391,
                  38.359390105009616,
                  69.23938014062692,
                  26.160291350973484
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.442420152392732,
              "rpss": 0.02330842325106941,
              "brier_below": 0.22094026708888406,
              "bss_below": 0.024997010600099734,
              "brier_above": 0.2214798854001392,
              "bss_above": 0.021618112000386436,
              "crps": 35.908400469857376,
              "crpss": -0.01821424143428807,
              "crps_fair": 34.737529494223956,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02783982569504384,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.164102,
                    0.700477,
                    0.121814,
                    0.013606,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2728,
                    0.3484,
                    0.4324,
                    0.5252,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.249,
                    0.3407,
                    0.4932,
                    0.5478,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.222059,
                    0.670386,
                    0.089154,
                    0.018401,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2751,
                    0.3421,
                    0.4339,
                    0.5257,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2244,
                    0.3704,
                    0.4588,
                    0.3954,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43268739730033956,
                  0.4967928371507046,
                  0.43168720846499925,
                  0.42121920293465615,
                  0.4626193143589995,
                  0.47581576795408126,
                  0.41161446445529587,
                  0.41105832516669216,
                  0.495358230073374
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4392667893930284,
                  0.47209024474380396,
                  0.4563295774817628,
                  0.4676949686529568,
                  0.46440251426226875,
                  0.44306773857298026,
                  0.4754913821954125,
                  0.4978762127486338,
                  0.46473262279411304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20446737412330074,
                  0.3370041631760563,
                  0.1787027691403748,
                  0.1393634490748546,
                  0.1666532878157992,
                  0.23704271044018907,
                  0.2531791559656983,
                  0.12441145419211103,
                  0.3030349744567088
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20840800414252633,
                  0.3211528412581965,
                  0.18588896696747403,
                  0.1529691839704525,
                  0.16918637749027593,
                  0.22647917630868836,
                  0.29670790679502046,
                  0.14687399037084822,
                  0.2847919519536404
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22822002206946643,
                  0.15978868690110934,
                  0.25298443099943985,
                  0.2818557421827921,
                  0.29596601423849944,
                  0.2387730618602875,
                  0.15843531351168694,
                  0.2866468545682618,
                  0.19232326656181647
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23085878370616417,
                  0.15093741623232468,
                  0.27044060189216984,
                  0.31472576814158004,
                  0.2952161237196651,
                  0.21658856327166845,
                  0.17878348316784407,
                  0.3510021993501296,
                  0.17994067840100206
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.71551977178841,
                  26.56072322167317,
                  19.066662023542662,
                  25.170949231193887,
                  22.126928693175774,
                  32.437836769157926,
                  18.05571320340377,
                  24.89731518943231,
                  24.84343438537594
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.251323675318027,
                  22.462373750235535,
                  22.429096847378236,
                  21.013467579334527,
                  21.05169122929241,
                  20.436541798871772,
                  21.23268013317464,
                  31.69290548699711,
                  20.84021936433369
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.37190011355801,
                  26.195647832375727,
                  18.699458255714823,
                  24.794366768300698,
                  21.77358176521968,
                  32.07614439366605,
                  17.690557626423434,
                  24.50415181643752,
                  24.47729633187706
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.36344490244705,
                  21.574494977364562,
                  21.54121807450725,
                  20.125588806463544,
                  20.163812456421432,
                  19.548663026000803,
                  20.344801360303663,
                  30.805026714126136,
                  19.95234059146272
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4487614164287936,
              "rpss": 0.033987307497846175,
              "brier_below": 0.21598437093167697,
              "bss_below": 0.024391505935657087,
              "brier_above": 0.23277704365481774,
              "bss_above": 0.04272355387522375,
              "crps": 23.76389805430487,
              "crpss": -0.05664130052402516,
              "crps_fair": 23.39812276706367,
              "crpss_fair": -0.08313838408244667,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.364901,
                    0.561732,
                    0.071722,
                    0.001645,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2641,
                    0.3372,
                    0.4372,
                    0.5044,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2891,
                    0.3199,
                    0.6135,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.138531,
                    0.630608,
                    0.164032,
                    0.06683,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2746,
                    0.3447,
                    0.4413,
                    0.513,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1945,
                    0.3986,
                    0.4711,
                    0.607,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44681335690442303,
                  0.4770259430397623,
                  0.41696875852830434,
                  0.42640201136463357,
                  0.4616541893635337,
                  0.4831169392803632,
                  0.4301431951122387,
                  0.43328609195632956,
                  0.4880031834787376
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45375860413458485,
                  0.45298996440830325,
                  0.4431570365814314,
                  0.45029456864798206,
                  0.45806327538229014,
                  0.4543204749095515,
                  0.470672671598715,
                  0.4932554758488676,
                  0.46455214735141936
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20036299831794682,
                  0.3128021979093651,
                  0.19946763085254235,
                  0.1571583184913322,
                  0.17517441722604948,
                  0.24021872804053798,
                  0.2368386263208003,
                  0.14094776912890097,
                  0.29820318981709787
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2051677757555093,
                  0.2983593853982372,
                  0.20938553817015962,
                  0.16496000983722006,
                  0.1741714573544431,
                  0.2285609758239909,
                  0.26339413622632507,
                  0.15647499638411203,
                  0.28182460076839555
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24645035436370752,
                  0.16422375734205474,
                  0.21750112552120582,
                  0.26924368497014306,
                  0.2864797618547552,
                  0.24289821268485814,
                  0.19330456949812616,
                  0.29233830723866494,
                  0.18980000329687108
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2485908236640017,
                  0.154630591096392,
                  0.2337714963461003,
                  0.28533454752539783,
                  0.28389180700046496,
                  0.22575949845304602,
                  0.20727853804452892,
                  0.336780458980145,
                  0.18272755364522117
                ],
                "crps": [
                  32.22003475857849,
                  40.03712750864997,
                  28.287011048041425,
                  34.80686240515136,
                  35.14522107118389,
                  46.680968672156666,
                  30.08764448685478,
                  37.59210897112747,
                  38.5954168078705
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  33.004803964257825,
                  34.46939391673293,
                  32.65658052025425,
                  29.032738395322635,
                  33.148159551740136,
                  33.11616337741962,
                  33.59207713414676,
                  46.2020167224791,
                  32.25661943021509
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.66875546080713,
                  39.458128940264764,
                  27.71112075302457,
                  34.21451197233214,
                  34.5804308612324,
                  46.11015613164247,
                  29.49428033512406,
                  36.98078654586603,
                  38.01621282607001
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  31.596610755475933,
                  33.06120070795104,
                  31.24838731147235,
                  27.62454518654074,
                  31.73996634295824,
                  31.707970168637708,
                  32.18388392536486,
                  44.7938235136972,
                  30.848426221433186
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45149040766981396,
              "rpss": 0.018751351278521677,
              "brier_below": 0.21790820845606365,
              "bss_below": 0.010656818642528987,
              "brier_above": 0.23358219741893185,
              "bss_above": 0.026184197790540598,
              "crps": 35.93915508106828,
              "crpss": -0.05195107938599297,
              "crps_fair": 35.35937598070706,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07947485444460844,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.289829,
                    0.660955,
                    0.048949,
                    0.000267,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2693,
                    0.3366,
                    0.4311,
                    0.5068,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3104,
                    0.3151,
                    0.5908,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.125941,
                    0.701117,
                    0.14327,
                    0.029672,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2762,
                    0.3435,
                    0.4376,
                    0.5129,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2153,
                    0.3963,
                    0.4334,
                    0.6473,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "cdft": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6935307167197177,
            "training": [
              0.7113735831152139,
              0.6973771234661681,
              0.6829551303456873,
              0.6761091099131534,
              0.6629431419090251,
              0.7159744969058147,
              0.6982211816569704,
              0.6887015682286615,
              0.7098886419541071,
              0.7163563650739719,
              0.6450397877884532,
              0.6549023135023748,
              0.6875888935714753,
              0.697432722051095,
              0.7218374251064192,
              0.684933567342943,
              0.6758537512887547,
              0.6954074019122505,
              0.6945859016590619,
              0.7212390116498777,
              0.7007010126304714,
              0.6994237709140567,
              0.7401976788970981,
              0.6656936203901196
            ],
            "test": 0.7103400169264814
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42900396986792977,
                  0.44501927803663227,
                  0.45819139772596407,
                  0.4833602716616345,
                  0.4705348948280763,
                  0.43487256551535786,
                  0.4408943894478324,
                  0.3945552294836378,
                  0.41286571283206586,
                  0.4431347689657805,
                  0.5023443765452704,
                  0.5150642984541544,
                  0.38768152531887795,
                  0.4393693934275774,
                  0.4083608973804474,
                  0.4387330824089985,
                  0.4811539879918706,
                  0.44824843315376267,
                  0.4722206112233097,
                  0.45061875318114486,
                  0.4549618909107802,
                  0.4677383664270841,
                  0.42131794074888157,
                  0.4770597094895461
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4754016819136036,
                  0.4698987852691481,
                  0.4475722931876876,
                  0.45452035553745596,
                  0.45257039479879513,
                  0.47044392511759964,
                  0.4542944276806166,
                  0.40943755938485,
                  0.4371667600138314,
                  0.47263230769926734,
                  0.4303065355231145,
                  0.454595990277518,
                  0.3959257285293265,
                  0.4434645496740271,
                  0.4412507991961764,
                  0.435170437641651,
                  0.46944879844205245,
                  0.4520639211186838,
                  0.4716870174931902,
                  0.4802945203904019,
                  0.4668563967515232,
                  0.4722071384657149,
                  0.4700629053401188,
                  0.4416277853045537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.27721656265314015,
                  0.16462788817034707,
                  0.24010440007085637,
                  0.19635140586049213,
                  0.26821872845074035,
                  0.15508082324378805,
                  0.18973823162123776,
                  0.22169051837088313,
                  0.18729317551922514,
                  0.28923835717412044,
                  0.28141394291249283,
                  0.3073695883670561,
                  0.19197566616106584,
                  0.24868920195164412,
                  0.16537128868462003,
                  0.17647691911282726,
                  0.337921044856979,
                  0.14778400450544255,
                  0.2302299633846925,
                  0.15901463204119265,
                  0.14563636887191841,
                  0.30865958842476937,
                  0.2752992887533794,
                  0.22740011069564167
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3078804322691799,
                  0.1772720877647993,
                  0.23250880823643677,
                  0.18364157998711608,
                  0.25298088487778414,
                  0.16740053832617655,
                  0.19875490361406287,
                  0.23070092354944458,
                  0.19835315818041957,
                  0.3046158566400611,
                  0.2547128368467289,
                  0.2754668354354953,
                  0.19677990497580344,
                  0.24932954530109538,
                  0.18175769604553224,
                  0.17303074498633814,
                  0.3240234689536009,
                  0.14982223006986983,
                  0.23057761248348646,
                  0.17130633492700192,
                  0.15271106939309373,
                  0.30644077557443045,
                  0.3037858009356,
                  0.21743539710448076
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15178740661745418,
                  0.28039139124550183,
                  0.21808699674415277,
                  0.2870088660070459,
                  0.20231616548279344,
                  0.2797917427113648,
                  0.2511561579304357,
                  0.17286471003906825,
                  0.2255725379174084,
                  0.15389641094701334,
                  0.22093043516117505,
                  0.2076947105442128,
                  0.19570585815594832,
                  0.1906801910583203,
                  0.2429896083452116,
                  0.2622561640364851,
                  0.14323294078677531,
                  0.3004644305007786,
                  0.2419906484589323,
                  0.29160412221542226,
                  0.3093255247544776,
                  0.1590787770181321,
                  0.14601865216541313,
                  0.24965960041460866
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16752124964442372,
                  0.2926266975043488,
                  0.21506348495125072,
                  0.2708787755503398,
                  0.1995895099210109,
                  0.3030433867914231,
                  0.2555395240665538,
                  0.17873663583540544,
                  0.23881360183341188,
                  0.1680164510592061,
                  0.17559369867638552,
                  0.1791291548420226,
                  0.1991458235535231,
                  0.1941350043729317,
                  0.2594931031506441,
                  0.26213969265531295,
                  0.1454253294884514,
                  0.30224169104881393,
                  0.24110940500970388,
                  0.3089881854633999,
                  0.31414532735842937,
                  0.16576636289128455,
                  0.16627710440451882,
                  0.22419238820007306
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.054185437157436,
                  28.60063215310115,
                  22.987684068351992,
                  28.27084561796861,
                  26.819287865188834,
                  28.060819900803196,
                  24.221234987887648,
                  15.034347587140095,
                  16.95850722636789,
                  17.582388448968203,
                  25.561191903644264,
                  22.573554084399593,
                  15.743921010607858,
                  16.67346223804275,
                  18.432300888697156,
                  19.259159191243985,
                  22.881714083862782,
                  19.407997323678682,
                  24.9965456304605,
                  20.683338320815846,
                  24.090470505709597,
                  24.451600342964557,
                  33.607232738046086,
                  27.367041212078032
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.613106129562965,
                  29.397864976210336,
                  21.926969342234923,
                  24.443182328369915,
                  23.799442768719484,
                  27.188641472953417,
                  23.53383296202524,
                  14.853438063071343,
                  18.566426770436173,
                  19.66238774209615,
                  15.276449953495895,
                  17.30546875341423,
                  15.311758068701987,
                  16.585118321907462,
                  20.610952753353995,
                  18.456897804883226,
                  21.311808216556564,
                  18.864772006483992,
                  24.22745453814933,
                  25.980309080969267,
                  25.35510595105101,
                  24.545857790902712,
                  41.67248951423064,
                  18.164010610584267
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.353369847534527,
                  27.974010080801275,
                  22.335195862944172,
                  27.580903741621377,
                  26.101052000898054,
                  27.35272375394623,
                  23.540185877800763,
                  14.316832404459287,
                  16.33048410521111,
                  16.878787175142758,
                  24.798787947986902,
                  21.83673644516534,
                  14.985591797491464,
                  15.950365504200187,
                  17.68635847968277,
                  18.566312643883204,
                  22.177066941052363,
                  18.63667104660369,
                  24.271488841683254,
                  19.997842627825428,
                  23.38128522399272,
                  23.791121028652878,
                  32.90265755167076,
                  26.59575340384737
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.694914714706677,
                  28.484947725836346,
                  20.999902668311726,
                  23.520881209344694,
                  22.875922445982813,
                  26.271540087156584,
                  22.609809590412247,
                  13.912974549604273,
                  17.632995432551223,
                  18.73103208786966,
                  14.336787598912204,
                  16.369649237466756,
                  14.372162585548612,
                  15.647934505900317,
                  19.681393623770038,
                  17.52325902577564,
                  20.383576464743825,
                  17.931905716394613,
                  23.30474484376386,
                  25.060919186854285,
                  24.43453196009906,
                  23.623751132980786,
                  40.78281965881499,
                  17.229817120881425
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4490544060427757,
              "rpss": 0.008427279777410868,
              "brier_below": 0.2247000708274397,
              "bss_below": 0.008911072876134463,
              "brier_above": 0.22435433538575547,
              "bss_above": 0.007942266743603765,
              "crps": 22.80497761529945,
              "crpss": -0.025607834576807376,
              "crps_fair": 22.097566013920744,
              "crpss_fair": -0.037001835587857856,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.216967,
                    0.616839,
                    0.144509,
                    0.021685,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2683,
                    0.3475,
                    0.438,
                    0.5233,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2935,
                    0.3423,
                    0.4403,
                    0.4125,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.179505,
                    0.660016,
                    0.126119,
                    0.03436,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2738,
                    0.344,
                    0.4358,
                    0.5332,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2416,
                    0.3592,
                    0.4322,
                    0.3077,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4342899230307219,
                  0.4593315114865357,
                  0.4562021763871223,
                  0.4846919019227823,
                  0.42329563403031284,
                  0.46610732823061984,
                  0.45924141839718735,
                  0.393825758363345,
                  0.4035321826866254,
                  0.4466973214417773,
                  0.4626741265373971,
                  0.49060081170488334,
                  0.4000267367181029,
                  0.4307641902247953,
                  0.40271004970804053,
                  0.4498510730472966,
                  0.47575860637218853,
                  0.4358827603719182,
                  0.45340527137989955,
                  0.4333352660365852,
                  0.4498161459630031,
                  0.46747824894893586,
                  0.4268978441639275,
                  0.41945209424212715
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4708394260755114,
                  0.478347266080356,
                  0.45538422746879303,
                  0.459058972330508,
                  0.4576620419554788,
                  0.4731696930221518,
                  0.4667027713068357,
                  0.40033314926296837,
                  0.4269632323273467,
                  0.47402716162226893,
                  0.42746598323848156,
                  0.4504271403690195,
                  0.40120899735641075,
                  0.42992826073816515,
                  0.4295731135867868,
                  0.45389937720701334,
                  0.464329174189181,
                  0.43688310391500257,
                  0.4544141148747783,
                  0.48318259866850327,
                  0.47262088435117405,
                  0.4869104538041862,
                  0.4927855011868216,
                  0.4253640867477962
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2772642235327461,
                  0.18175794919975552,
                  0.2651696103260951,
                  0.19933351774513391,
                  0.27947073550995966,
                  0.1746107157394231,
                  0.22023705322485992,
                  0.1992741502089238,
                  0.14210038160031926,
                  0.29146976082060216,
                  0.2545294345141221,
                  0.27551623079131854,
                  0.19764515511774236,
                  0.21417982978421063,
                  0.17284207856402012,
                  0.17469781960450204,
                  0.3232672262961504,
                  0.1590974857430306,
                  0.2374638560238297,
                  0.11310386160975296,
                  0.139259944955149,
                  0.3453587170816889,
                  0.2957077583905038,
                  0.17035742924413197
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3014181688717181,
                  0.19043828142969435,
                  0.2621352098296086,
                  0.189211357423254,
                  0.29646647218334904,
                  0.1763031653097088,
                  0.22490333867954082,
                  0.20427330506010077,
                  0.15400796871896968,
                  0.30561580770909275,
                  0.2387426263229863,
                  0.25381385295644204,
                  0.19826391217931327,
                  0.2127100821035814,
                  0.1864847383371641,
                  0.17554851753521306,
                  0.31069878617163244,
                  0.15976518026133896,
                  0.23943647892764403,
                  0.13596964382400945,
                  0.15004019014661238,
                  0.3525530292328047,
                  0.338807101099202,
                  0.18090576234657507
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15702569870637204,
                  0.2775735640054672,
                  0.1910325649154893,
                  0.28535838411298914,
                  0.1438248984803981,
                  0.2914966138330378,
                  0.23900436504249817,
                  0.1945516072103411,
                  0.26143180184886394,
                  0.15522755955481812,
                  0.208144692419101,
                  0.21508458121255994,
                  0.20238158097935754,
                  0.21658436083668575,
                  0.2298679705956686,
                  0.27515325484197173,
                  0.15249137755188472,
                  0.27678527633569405,
                  0.2159414150791063,
                  0.32023140599896516,
                  0.31055620392920624,
                  0.12211953037009063,
                  0.13119008574306348,
                  0.24909466595492286
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16942125720379314,
                  0.28790898465066145,
                  0.1932490176391843,
                  0.26984761490725384,
                  0.16119556977212962,
                  0.2968665277124429,
                  0.2417994326272948,
                  0.1960598442028676,
                  0.27295526360837696,
                  0.16841135391317605,
                  0.18872335691549524,
                  0.19661328741257744,
                  0.20294508517709747,
                  0.21721817863458368,
                  0.24308837524962262,
                  0.2783508596718001,
                  0.15363038801754828,
                  0.27711792365366356,
                  0.2149776359471342,
                  0.3472129548444936,
                  0.3225806942045614,
                  0.13435742457138128,
                  0.15397840008761954,
                  0.24445832440122106
                ],
                "crps": [
                  36.73543491137172,
                  45.95185912210417,
                  35.25446595600024,
                  44.38196942430043,
                  38.80490312280161,
                  46.302173861402444,
                  39.301909856124325,
                  24.180426113156553,
                  27.850102588021805,
                  29.072881146157833,
                  37.30923515066468,
                  35.46196561146872,
                  25.0921893348214,
                  26.901282406203098,
                  28.053730327592774,
                  30.856650215370546,
                  35.27027754656207,
                  28.355954876527363,
                  37.83486105349807,
                  30.31928066511752,
                  38.27509847534669,
                  39.499883818730204,
                  55.9236031555828,
                  36.397750794134716
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.18653222448657,
                  46.84531125433672,
                  34.54432198123997,
                  39.348572475319074,
                  38.036972805317745,
                  43.60338146746455,
                  38.085883059957226,
                  23.826258832192412,
                  29.89978054903974,
                  31.738181364810576,
                  24.43088871098674,
                  27.83268008310316,
                  24.65712467841512,
                  26.46699035284445,
                  30.59299785477991,
                  30.304948845204205,
                  32.919233990306296,
                  27.674921508143957,
                  36.33860707613447,
                  38.60628169474539,
                  41.339344183302146,
                  39.82018386333356,
                  70.64179962667183,
                  27.64414578747141
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  35.60568997953564,
                  44.961758315253164,
                  34.222476411655705,
                  43.28375646782398,
                  37.60803974774971,
                  45.17628257994599,
                  38.23215128967116,
                  23.06172678345634,
                  26.872672160023114,
                  27.930661259591144,
                  36.14839953030664,
                  34.32146243952248,
                  23.894326182785868,
                  25.756386638239444,
                  26.884645577029136,
                  29.763632144601583,
                  34.168543702455615,
                  27.142888273039947,
                  36.71492787700457,
                  29.23844569773181,
                  37.16393641752047,
                  38.44240737181846,
                  54.79087598749402,
                  35.21585877161828
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.728326247149674,
                  45.39782266152604,
                  33.07353606026055,
                  37.88688551360875,
                  36.57280175332332,
                  42.149752856118134,
                  36.62180464102082,
                  22.335173549188287,
                  28.420198148075094,
                  30.262080783572767,
                  22.94094856032881,
                  26.34918271913484,
                  23.167613004968228,
                  24.9809064552961,
                  29.114728365379165,
                  28.826133808436836,
                  31.445370251162224,
                  26.19112535899579,
                  34.87121942238024,
                  37.143188879283976,
                  39.88142762255391,
                  38.359390105009616,
                  69.23938014062692,
                  26.160291350973484
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4427445158915055,
              "rpss": 0.02259235483659172,
              "brier_below": 0.22098812190116549,
              "bss_below": 0.024785828701723522,
              "brier_above": 0.22175639414827306,
              "bss_above": 0.020396641479219824,
              "crps": 35.557828730544244,
              "crpss": -0.008273471783112551,
              "crps_fair": 34.4417479835781,
              "crpss_fair": -0.019088022651692516,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.170361,
                    0.706152,
                    0.110128,
                    0.013359,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2741,
                    0.3466,
                    0.4322,
                    0.5255,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2445,
                    0.3443,
                    0.4997,
                    0.5431,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.154387,
                    0.721984,
                    0.111382,
                    0.012247,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2737,
                    0.3449,
                    0.4324,
                    0.5277,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2123,
                    0.3586,
                    0.4538,
                    0.332,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.43172246843922824,
                  0.49469676300295096,
                  0.42944150698647754,
                  0.4185944972528911,
                  0.4594096314905168,
                  0.47405759325806696,
                  0.41061302903490837,
                  0.4101262218070147,
                  0.4933375106720517
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4392667893930284,
                  0.47209024474380396,
                  0.4563295774817628,
                  0.4676949686529568,
                  0.46440251426226875,
                  0.44306773857298026,
                  0.4754913821954125,
                  0.4978762127486338,
                  0.46473262279411304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20471002971858324,
                  0.33294416744830496,
                  0.17807078684054253,
                  0.13835126172156417,
                  0.1664350533666936,
                  0.23584412888268858,
                  0.25212177617121856,
                  0.12426362975101096,
                  0.3021690801625963
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20840800414252633,
                  0.3211528412581965,
                  0.18588896696747403,
                  0.1529691839704525,
                  0.16918637749027593,
                  0.22647917630868836,
                  0.29670790679502046,
                  0.14687399037084822,
                  0.2847919519536404
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22701243778427874,
                  0.16175260878027645,
                  0.25137071234664315,
                  0.28024322386586925,
                  0.2929745657318276,
                  0.23821346892845097,
                  0.15849125791541632,
                  0.28586257538246307,
                  0.19116844165612734
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23085878370616417,
                  0.15093741623232468,
                  0.27044060189216984,
                  0.31472576814158004,
                  0.2952161237196651,
                  0.21658856327166845,
                  0.17878348316784407,
                  0.3510021993501296,
                  0.17994067840100206
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.51745954283591,
                  26.075434506458635,
                  19.040414970814954,
                  23.63391515210643,
                  21.791153957609932,
                  30.758097851194517,
                  18.121551231460028,
                  24.509177447264126,
                  24.8423297488557
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.251323675318027,
                  22.462373750235535,
                  22.429096847378236,
                  21.013467579334527,
                  21.05169122929241,
                  20.436541798871772,
                  21.23268013317464,
                  31.69290548699711,
                  20.84021936433369
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.16829175899602,
                  25.70965492817169,
                  18.669022461147836,
                  23.235010118366855,
                  21.434797642834447,
                  30.380968590495943,
                  17.753719149778142,
                  24.094859400913027,
                  24.46406736700177
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.36344490244705,
                  21.574494977364562,
                  21.54121807450725,
                  20.125588806463544,
                  20.163812456421432,
                  19.548663026000803,
                  20.344801360303663,
                  30.805026714126136,
                  19.95234059146272
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4468888024382341,
              "rpss": 0.03801833337665994,
              "brier_below": 0.214989990451467,
              "bss_below": 0.028883155209351585,
              "brier_above": 0.2318988102657059,
              "bss_above": 0.04633521645327321,
              "crps": 23.25439271206669,
              "crpss": -0.03398658343105376,
              "crps_fair": 22.87893237974508,
              "crpss_fair": -0.059104189427181764,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.351657,
                    0.57892,
                    0.066586,
                    0.002837,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.265,
                    0.3354,
                    0.4429,
                    0.506,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.275,
                    0.3316,
                    0.5971,
                    0.8384,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.113307,
                    0.654807,
                    0.179309,
                    0.052577,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2742,
                    0.3468,
                    0.4434,
                    0.5161,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1629,
                    0.3908,
                    0.5065,
                    0.5889,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4440924669977106,
                  0.4757852657905933,
                  0.41709893387901315,
                  0.4236951120927986,
                  0.4601704493994232,
                  0.48099169672214426,
                  0.4296085460339826,
                  0.4349683972116192,
                  0.48759542081160245
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45375860413458485,
                  0.45298996440830325,
                  0.4431570365814314,
                  0.45029456864798206,
                  0.45806327538229014,
                  0.4543204749095515,
                  0.470672671598715,
                  0.4932554758488676,
                  0.46455214735141936
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.19986681802545764,
                  0.3097128048580606,
                  0.1993122680677334,
                  0.15566700650945872,
                  0.17537249819633813,
                  0.23951537503131107,
                  0.2363623663866232,
                  0.14176272881554192,
                  0.29721390760001015
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2051677757555093,
                  0.2983593853982372,
                  0.20938553817015962,
                  0.16496000983722006,
                  0.1741714573544431,
                  0.2285609758239909,
                  0.26339413622632507,
                  0.15647499638411203,
                  0.28182460076839555
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24422564498797558,
                  0.1660724735506166,
                  0.21778666426595925,
                  0.26802809769453495,
                  0.2847979408642543,
                  0.24147632338100128,
                  0.19324618041741323,
                  0.2932056523975994,
                  0.19038152300537783
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2485908236640017,
                  0.154630591096392,
                  0.2337714963461003,
                  0.28533454752539783,
                  0.28389180700046496,
                  0.22575949845304602,
                  0.20727853804452892,
                  0.336780458980145,
                  0.18272755364522117
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.990596221416606,
                  39.49229427345919,
                  28.444804510893604,
                  33.09360124326161,
                  34.57062590611662,
                  44.67139605270008,
                  30.16599527489667,
                  37.2650308641804,
                  38.522774984895136
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  33.004803964257825,
                  34.46939391673293,
                  32.65658052025425,
                  29.032738395322635,
                  33.148159551740136,
                  33.11616337741962,
                  33.59207713414676,
                  46.2020167224791,
                  32.25661943021509
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.439859927336972,
                  38.92390228461375,
                  27.866621871786645,
                  32.48072506063016,
                  34.00856219632672,
                  44.0900383531017,
                  29.572041864066918,
                  36.63114052479287,
                  37.937113332224946
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  31.596610755475933,
                  33.06120070795104,
                  31.24838731147235,
                  27.62454518654074,
                  31.73996634295824,
                  31.707970168637708,
                  32.18388392536486,
                  44.7938235136972,
                  30.848426221433186
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45044514321543194,
              "rpss": 0.021023081344089367,
              "brier_below": 0.2171984192767261,
              "bss_below": 0.01387939153115203,
              "brier_above": 0.2332467222849703,
              "bss_above": 0.027582810314568662,
              "crps": 35.35745770353555,
              "crpss": -0.034924602753716893,
              "crps_fair": 34.77222282387564,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06154984725972157,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.280163,
                    0.676614,
                    0.042688,
                    0.000535,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2717,
                    0.335,
                    0.439,
                    0.5044,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2981,
                    0.3231,
                    0.5871,
                    0.4988,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.099856,
                    0.729573,
                    0.155398,
                    0.015173,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2753,
                    0.3459,
                    0.4406,
                    0.5112,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1966,
                    0.39,
                    0.4756,
                    0.5402,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "mvs_zero_guard": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.5926510206817323,
            "training": [
              0.6100512078913378,
              0.595816578456791,
              0.5775165191613303,
              0.57108981817688,
              0.5469699087912113,
              0.6178734415660837,
              0.5995625885389196,
              0.587895046865153,
              0.6138807103886132,
              0.6177590223898641,
              0.5368788329098079,
              0.5492428230232147,
              0.5906578719960759,
              0.5957146731002142,
              0.6239183443914368,
              0.5856456720311399,
              0.5743860118486894,
              0.598294074835067,
              0.5934850480528829,
              0.6295050491299057,
              0.6055613030472963,
              0.5969297999378175,
              0.649423866892743,
              0.5555662829390987
            ],
            "test": 0.6106692312127371
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42588799332395094,
                  0.44685122092913226,
                  0.45270312920250516,
                  0.494517874973582,
                  0.47461312871494826,
                  0.44480648745120194,
                  0.44602160769111493,
                  0.391001987767469,
                  0.40025911745484827,
                  0.4396603703860476,
                  0.49651113921306184,
                  0.5129248468957801,
                  0.3889691039387491,
                  0.4374974329465398,
                  0.4011762291433899,
                  0.43506244956023477,
                  0.47188798054973546,
                  0.45011709529888005,
                  0.4635988747316125,
                  0.43697022996014234,
                  0.44530113428949447,
                  0.4629530944351337,
                  0.4070807450395527,
                  0.48543311455228055
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4754016819136036,
                  0.4698987852691481,
                  0.4475722931876876,
                  0.45452035553745596,
                  0.45257039479879513,
                  0.47044392511759964,
                  0.4542944276806166,
                  0.40943755938485,
                  0.4371667600138314,
                  0.47263230769926734,
                  0.4303065355231145,
                  0.454595990277518,
                  0.3959257285293265,
                  0.4434645496740271,
                  0.4412507991961764,
                  0.435170437641651,
                  0.46944879844205245,
                  0.4520639211186838,
                  0.4716870174931902,
                  0.4802945203904019,
                  0.4668563967515232,
                  0.4722071384657149,
                  0.4700629053401188,
                  0.4416277853045537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.27673328461089397,
                  0.16775019859790208,
                  0.23718211912626735,
                  0.20243225252102015,
                  0.2711196602479812,
                  0.15843290829455117,
                  0.19298091669843762,
                  0.2192964997344229,
                  0.17963287454813556,
                  0.2897490553440735,
                  0.2794320265048901,
                  0.3060437825398533,
                  0.19441285798830402,
                  0.24683732389187368,
                  0.15906508216596416,
                  0.17693186062650304,
                  0.3287791905335967,
                  0.14985651837368355,
                  0.2252233505599244,
                  0.1489858680980979,
                  0.14470207943484395,
                  0.30665117949382104,
                  0.2677110441062208,
                  0.23161519916593432
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3078804322691799,
                  0.1772720877647993,
                  0.23250880823643677,
                  0.18364157998711608,
                  0.25298088487778414,
                  0.16740053832617655,
                  0.19875490361406287,
                  0.23070092354944458,
                  0.19835315818041957,
                  0.3046158566400611,
                  0.2547128368467289,
                  0.2754668354354953,
                  0.19677990497580344,
                  0.24932954530109538,
                  0.18175769604553224,
                  0.17303074498633814,
                  0.3240234689536009,
                  0.14982223006986983,
                  0.23057761248348646,
                  0.17130633492700192,
                  0.15271106939309373,
                  0.30644077557443045,
                  0.3037858009356,
                  0.21743539710448076
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14915470820075621,
                  0.2791010240212569,
                  0.2155210086661721,
                  0.2920856224506783,
                  0.2034934674188353,
                  0.28637357997194907,
                  0.2530406910140996,
                  0.17170548726259027,
                  0.22062624318632423,
                  0.14991131406921462,
                  0.21707911355079898,
                  0.20688106466207232,
                  0.1945562449993451,
                  0.19066010814780712,
                  0.24211114694402147,
                  0.258130589867036,
                  0.14310878755921022,
                  0.3002605795451933,
                  0.23837552477516938,
                  0.28798436348802137,
                  0.30059905707149187,
                  0.156301914005236,
                  0.13936970144943636,
                  0.2538179170335537
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16752124964442372,
                  0.2926266975043488,
                  0.21506348495125072,
                  0.2708787755503398,
                  0.1995895099210109,
                  0.3030433867914231,
                  0.2555395240665538,
                  0.17873663583540544,
                  0.23881360183341188,
                  0.1680164510592061,
                  0.17559369867638552,
                  0.1791291548420226,
                  0.1991458235535231,
                  0.1941350043729317,
                  0.2594931031506441,
                  0.26213969265531295,
                  0.1454253294884514,
                  0.30224169104881393,
                  0.24110940500970388,
                  0.3089881854633999,
                  0.31414532735842937,
                  0.16576636289128455,
                  0.16627710440451882,
                  0.22419238820007306
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.482693774500667,
                  27.940476972540807,
                  22.52153698616913,
                  28.832458053473875,
                  25.941217552726428,
                  29.01836432519126,
                  23.917228399300377,
                  15.173241041633222,
                  16.496873691676726,
                  17.400601978596054,
                  23.36769813512374,
                  22.924471662989625,
                  15.513960414534713,
                  16.820271767384867,
                  18.297242937337927,
                  18.62281203470445,
                  22.686349497453563,
                  18.95058714616003,
                  24.252371567748714,
                  21.08252063769633,
                  22.91978261430172,
                  23.47233153568504,
                  32.877678762598656,
                  24.631610113096194
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.613106129562965,
                  29.397864976210336,
                  21.926969342234923,
                  24.443182328369915,
                  23.799442768719484,
                  27.188641472953417,
                  23.53383296202524,
                  14.853438063071343,
                  18.566426770436173,
                  19.66238774209615,
                  15.276449953495895,
                  17.30546875341423,
                  15.311758068701987,
                  16.585118321907462,
                  20.610952753353995,
                  18.456897804883226,
                  21.311808216556564,
                  18.864772006483992,
                  24.22745453814933,
                  25.980309080969267,
                  25.35510595105101,
                  24.545857790902712,
                  41.67248951423064,
                  18.164010610584267
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.721439503792705,
                  27.23709873500615,
                  21.79372381039453,
                  28.06496517010204,
                  25.165566473977492,
                  28.228647619487163,
                  23.170248764255895,
                  14.394618645487295,
                  15.808528181614953,
                  16.620208932204385,
                  22.53847514134449,
                  22.11009669216872,
                  14.680451718960464,
                  16.039017799884075,
                  17.4892551035115,
                  17.841788469599376,
                  21.905344451660447,
                  18.07911438338759,
                  23.44831679313811,
                  20.325281891490157,
                  22.139066247280898,
                  22.741715439045652,
                  32.120218017647964,
                  23.791087238362284
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.694914714706677,
                  28.484947725836346,
                  20.999902668311726,
                  23.520881209344694,
                  22.875922445982813,
                  26.271540087156584,
                  22.609809590412247,
                  13.912974549604273,
                  17.632995432551223,
                  18.73103208786966,
                  14.336787598912204,
                  16.369649237466756,
                  14.372162585548612,
                  15.647934505900317,
                  19.681393623770038,
                  17.52325902577564,
                  20.383576464743825,
                  17.931905716394613,
                  23.30474484376386,
                  25.060919186854285,
                  24.43453196009906,
                  23.623751132980786,
                  40.78281965881499,
                  17.229817120881425
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4463252661853912,
              "rpss": 0.014453588830031228,
              "brier_below": 0.22339821388363315,
              "bss_below": 0.014653198354576569,
              "brier_above": 0.22292705247334457,
              "bss_above": 0.01425347552130507,
              "crps": 22.381015900109336,
              "crpss": -0.006541012236763066,
              "crps_fair": 21.60226146765852,
              "crpss_fair": -0.013758021163890577,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00265,
                    0.228475,
                    0.525024,
                    0.20898,
                    0.033809,
                    0.001063,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1955,
                    0.2636,
                    0.3489,
                    0.4367,
                    0.5369,
                    0.6107,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.416,
                    0.2613,
                    0.3446,
                    0.4367,
                    0.4114,
                    0.5166,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.007124,
                    0.246944,
                    0.56039,
                    0.161526,
                    0.022848,
                    0.001168,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1988,
                    0.268,
                    0.3461,
                    0.4392,
                    0.5333,
                    0.6082,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4858,
                    0.2335,
                    0.3714,
                    0.4299,
                    0.2865,
                    0.2361,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42657954077473276,
                  0.4554957348050951,
                  0.44806738712932986,
                  0.49821513149802554,
                  0.4108389020755935,
                  0.47323236772865707,
                  0.4607624927285179,
                  0.3917720256340232,
                  0.39660843005319274,
                  0.43818632955227543,
                  0.46996791959475154,
                  0.5022966731622448,
                  0.393657610730164,
                  0.4290756713495724,
                  0.3969026294406622,
                  0.4412919550000389,
                  0.47042545600763147,
                  0.4307345235160684,
                  0.4486746575657061,
                  0.421495476993576,
                  0.43701430056959456,
                  0.46100248875294947,
                  0.40867121374916165,
                  0.42141155143113546
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4708394260755114,
                  0.478347266080356,
                  0.45538422746879303,
                  0.459058972330508,
                  0.4576620419554788,
                  0.4731696930221518,
                  0.4667027713068357,
                  0.40033314926296837,
                  0.4269632323273467,
                  0.47402716162226893,
                  0.42746598323848156,
                  0.4504271403690195,
                  0.40120899735641075,
                  0.42992826073816515,
                  0.4295731135867868,
                  0.45389937720701334,
                  0.464329174189181,
                  0.43688310391500257,
                  0.4544141148747783,
                  0.48318259866850327,
                  0.47262088435117405,
                  0.4869104538041862,
                  0.4927855011868216,
                  0.4253640867477962
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2716487373118802,
                  0.1799075026972347,
                  0.25987947887925855,
                  0.20602666269142716,
                  0.27368951638978883,
                  0.17737230256406095,
                  0.22032498049600113,
                  0.19950497154868257,
                  0.14124676398167785,
                  0.28695324012196183,
                  0.2574414722561404,
                  0.28305612111905143,
                  0.1950893020862671,
                  0.2129673119968818,
                  0.16699694934648962,
                  0.17085059413897094,
                  0.31932706383276416,
                  0.15585868388131133,
                  0.23534967002870189,
                  0.10791825624884686,
                  0.13368961428287388,
                  0.3425033439802072,
                  0.2856932325749878,
                  0.1695985416409709
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3014181688717181,
                  0.19043828142969435,
                  0.2621352098296086,
                  0.189211357423254,
                  0.29646647218334904,
                  0.1763031653097088,
                  0.22490333867954082,
                  0.20427330506010077,
                  0.15400796871896968,
                  0.30561580770909275,
                  0.2387426263229863,
                  0.25381385295644204,
                  0.19826391217931327,
                  0.2127100821035814,
                  0.1864847383371641,
                  0.17554851753521306,
                  0.31069878617163244,
                  0.15976518026133896,
                  0.23943647892764403,
                  0.13596964382400945,
                  0.15004019014661238,
                  0.3525530292328047,
                  0.338807101099202,
                  0.18090576234657507
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15493080292716468,
                  0.2755882338874692,
                  0.18818790642001954,
                  0.2921884682290443,
                  0.13714938576905972,
                  0.29586006650966395,
                  0.24043751182015216,
                  0.19226705392065893,
                  0.2553616664382067,
                  0.15123308837589186,
                  0.2125264473601047,
                  0.21924055278565005,
                  0.1985683081405156,
                  0.21610835921448113,
                  0.22990568008776238,
                  0.2704413621947569,
                  0.1510983895231922,
                  0.27487584217629285,
                  0.21332498681950113,
                  0.31357722273009675,
                  0.3033246890922388,
                  0.11849914336051269,
                  0.12297798131800801,
                  0.25181301086324015
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16942125720379314,
                  0.28790898465066145,
                  0.1932490176391843,
                  0.26984761490725384,
                  0.16119556977212962,
                  0.2968665277124429,
                  0.2417994326272948,
                  0.1960598442028676,
                  0.27295526360837696,
                  0.16841135391317605,
                  0.18872335691549524,
                  0.19661328741257744,
                  0.20294508517709747,
                  0.21721817863458368,
                  0.24308837524962262,
                  0.2783508596718001,
                  0.15363038801754828,
                  0.27711792365366356,
                  0.2149776359471342,
                  0.3472129548444936,
                  0.3225806942045614,
                  0.13435742457138128,
                  0.15397840008761954,
                  0.24445832440122106
                ],
                "crps": [
                  36.71010828032192,
                  44.66664837817304,
                  34.29750508779699,
                  45.26305790049344,
                  37.94320005882968,
                  47.708127965964636,
                  38.50816378824799,
                  24.264130229281015,
                  26.855795564182433,
                  28.456337902979893,
                  35.31648663441433,
                  36.48881690532429,
                  24.49428781599746,
                  27.021877343621107,
                  27.62029493932168,
                  29.799703227631802,
                  34.64670222949509,
                  27.60961226762986,
                  36.53944692268807,
                  30.218639925583616,
                  36.62116906078915,
                  37.838316784115804,
                  54.8344729785443,
                  33.777684276937556
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.18653222448657,
                  46.84531125433672,
                  34.54432198123997,
                  39.348572475319074,
                  38.036972805317745,
                  43.60338146746455,
                  38.085883059957226,
                  23.826258832192412,
                  29.89978054903974,
                  31.738181364810576,
                  24.43088871098674,
                  27.83268008310316,
                  24.65712467841512,
                  26.46699035284445,
                  30.59299785477991,
                  30.304948845204205,
                  32.919233990306296,
                  27.674921508143957,
                  36.33860707613447,
                  38.60628169474539,
                  41.339344183302146,
                  39.82018386333356,
                  70.64179962667183,
                  27.64414578747141
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  35.49030839273034,
                  43.5794987576199,
                  33.166719609181406,
                  44.05773621732999,
                  36.65789591682358,
                  46.48143548418989,
                  37.35466047317338,
                  23.058228161100164,
                  25.805222988286424,
                  27.20863164741662,
                  34.07787341840587,
                  35.24729361392101,
                  23.21204761905182,
                  25.806282580360826,
                  26.381047378252973,
                  28.588664151807684,
                  33.445871157002706,
                  26.267509933578513,
                  35.31047855947082,
                  29.046179697182083,
                  35.41813201187001,
                  36.67859001791879,
                  53.62784327536818,
                  32.51215850712134
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.728326247149674,
                  45.39782266152604,
                  33.07353606026055,
                  37.88688551360875,
                  36.57280175332332,
                  42.149752856118134,
                  36.62180464102082,
                  22.335173549188287,
                  28.420198148075094,
                  30.262080783572767,
                  22.94094856032881,
                  26.34918271913484,
                  23.167613004968228,
                  24.9809064552961,
                  29.114728365379165,
                  28.826133808436836,
                  31.445370251162224,
                  26.19112535899579,
                  34.87121942238024,
                  37.143188879283976,
                  39.88142762255391,
                  38.359390105009616,
                  69.23938014062692,
                  26.160291350973484
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4388491862434458,
              "rpss": 0.031191727255194812,
              "brier_below": 0.21887059642068496,
              "bss_below": 0.03413040721971905,
              "brier_above": 0.21997858999848685,
              "bss_above": 0.028250047116571197,
              "crps": 34.89585776951521,
              "crpss": 0.010497296369078035,
              "crps_fair": 33.686679565381844,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0032535025703505083,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.001048,
                    0.239911,
                    0.555958,
                    0.177867,
                    0.024411,
                    0.000806,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1955,
                    0.2654,
                    0.3476,
                    0.4327,
                    0.5387,
                    0.6123,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4279,
                    0.2471,
                    0.3357,
                    0.4855,
                    0.57,
                    0.5009,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00538,
                    0.25079,
                    0.57802,
                    0.148112,
                    0.017093,
                    0.000605,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1988,
                    0.2675,
                    0.3457,
                    0.4383,
                    0.5362,
                    0.6059,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.2988,
                    0.2194,
                    0.3702,
                    0.47,
                    0.3495,
                    0.1665,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4303990630032854,
                  0.48883273752116907,
                  0.4274946172472285,
                  0.4189539007955016,
                  0.4619348218954403,
                  0.48776503404572213,
                  0.39702737577638353,
                  0.40043208810661274,
                  0.49120206600846494
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4392667893930284,
                  0.47209024474380396,
                  0.4563295774817628,
                  0.4676949686529568,
                  0.46440251426226875,
                  0.44306773857298026,
                  0.4754913821954125,
                  0.4978762127486338,
                  0.46473262279411304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20187533761044676,
                  0.32605530216177503,
                  0.18124971931934203,
                  0.13926550437019175,
                  0.1696826764252812,
                  0.24345486260515423,
                  0.24315912531843728,
                  0.12171868080478114,
                  0.2999037319910149
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20840800414252633,
                  0.3211528412581965,
                  0.18588896696747403,
                  0.1529691839704525,
                  0.16918637749027593,
                  0.22647917630868836,
                  0.29670790679502046,
                  0.14687399037084822,
                  0.2847919519536404
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22852372461103002,
                  0.16277744821465115,
                  0.24624488979348053,
                  0.27968838509631094,
                  0.2922521336124251,
                  0.24431017670997454,
                  0.15386825519759972,
                  0.2787133899678268,
                  0.19129834488906391
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23085878370616417,
                  0.15093741623232468,
                  0.27044060189216984,
                  0.31472576814158004,
                  0.2952161237196651,
                  0.21658856327166845,
                  0.17878348316784407,
                  0.3510021993501296,
                  0.17994067840100206
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.524702056982694,
                  25.575187445813953,
                  19.115546157570822,
                  21.43113471840379,
                  21.907739823466546,
                  28.00758906142912,
                  17.711067275457317,
                  24.38189701505056,
                  23.83627893021768
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.251323675318027,
                  22.462373750235535,
                  22.429096847378236,
                  21.013467579334527,
                  21.05169122929241,
                  20.436541798871772,
                  21.23268013317464,
                  31.69290548699711,
                  20.84021936433369
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.1449656090025,
                  25.18117625383928,
                  18.713567366857102,
                  20.997979168162594,
                  21.51878793889323,
                  27.58790519505037,
                  17.315267172734934,
                  23.93288263207314,
                  23.423018269305796
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.36344490244705,
                  21.574494977364562,
                  21.54121807450725,
                  20.125588806463544,
                  20.163812456421432,
                  19.548663026000803,
                  20.344801360303663,
                  30.805026714126136,
                  19.95234059146272
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44489352271108973,
              "rpss": 0.04231341194391358,
              "brier_below": 0.21404054895626937,
              "bss_below": 0.03317181361244026,
              "brier_above": 0.2308529720102625,
              "bss_above": 0.0506361402586154,
              "crps": 22.499015831599163,
              "crpss": -0.00039939973168601206,
              "crps_fair": 22.090616622879885,
              "crpss_fair": -0.022611729603027486,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.384468,
                    0.471475,
                    0.136372,
                    0.007684,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2632,
                    0.3401,
                    0.4319,
                    0.5147,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2668,
                    0.3221,
                    0.5147,
                    0.8095,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.180829,
                    0.513026,
                    0.264399,
                    0.041746,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2719,
                    0.3489,
                    0.4381,
                    0.5226,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2302,
                    0.3859,
                    0.4997,
                    0.5857,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4420817196769809,
                  0.47359430638379585,
                  0.4123858901222616,
                  0.42285432034966725,
                  0.4607455745717758,
                  0.489650301194844,
                  0.4176135079212374,
                  0.41794169896074485,
                  0.4927634861097024
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45375860413458485,
                  0.45298996440830325,
                  0.4431570365814314,
                  0.45029456864798206,
                  0.45806327538229014,
                  0.4543204749095515,
                  0.470672671598715,
                  0.4932554758488676,
                  0.46455214735141936
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.19808698891116755,
                  0.3078855762094465,
                  0.19912131946923425,
                  0.1546004871916416,
                  0.17586648956462203,
                  0.24426886302646098,
                  0.22924617167228714,
                  0.136334830930803,
                  0.30179286466883504
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2051677757555093,
                  0.2983593853982372,
                  0.20938553817015962,
                  0.16496000983722006,
                  0.1741714573544431,
                  0.2285609758239909,
                  0.26339413622632507,
                  0.15647499638411203,
                  0.28182460076839555
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24399472698723274,
                  0.16570874212256162,
                  0.21326456855369502,
                  0.26825382585721846,
                  0.28487907500322274,
                  0.24538144078798999,
                  0.18836733632810293,
                  0.28160685238669164,
                  0.19097063136914955
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2485908236640017,
                  0.154630591096392,
                  0.2337714963461003,
                  0.28533454752539783,
                  0.28389180700046496,
                  0.22575949845304602,
                  0.20727853804452892,
                  0.336780458980145,
                  0.18272755364522117
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.525911617938775,
                  38.77484341373952,
                  28.22283953377841,
                  30.726174884179596,
                  34.6053332378415,
                  41.6374972582704,
                  29.069638108042184,
                  36.00854973630009,
                  37.43373104736258
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  33.004803964257825,
                  34.46939391673293,
                  32.65658052025425,
                  29.032738395322635,
                  33.148159551740136,
                  33.11616337741962,
                  33.59207713414676,
                  46.2020167224791,
                  32.25661943021509
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  30.936791338581962,
                  38.17105457312771,
                  27.606203646264845,
                  30.076226036848844,
                  34.00233122538846,
                  41.01038459402966,
                  28.432206732983285,
                  35.343228820801514,
                  36.80859838081841
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  31.596610755475933,
                  33.06120070795104,
                  31.24838731147235,
                  27.62454518654074,
                  31.73996634295824,
                  31.707970168637708,
                  32.18388392536486,
                  44.7938235136972,
                  30.848426221433186
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44773675614344555,
              "rpss": 0.026909366211840036,
              "brier_below": 0.21635595462716645,
              "bss_below": 0.01770433535718785,
              "brier_above": 0.23138079993287386,
              "bss_above": 0.03536193343373528,
              "crps": 34.22272431527256,
              "crpss": -0.0017105772735412916,
              "crps_fair": 33.598558372093855,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02571942808192773,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.3807,
                    0.50851,
                    0.109591,
                    0.0012,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2661,
                    0.3397,
                    0.4312,
                    0.5097,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2813,
                    0.3266,
                    0.4865,
                    0.778,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.199752,
                    0.538549,
                    0.233906,
                    0.027794,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2733,
                    0.3477,
                    0.4356,
                    0.5228,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2714,
                    0.3802,
                    0.4769,
                    0.5654,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "selection": {
        "SEL-P": {
          "criterion": "inner RPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "vs",
            "1994": "vs",
            "1995": "vs",
            "1996": "vs",
            "1997": "vs",
            "1998": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1999": "vs",
            "2000": "vs",
            "2001": "vs",
            "2002": "vs",
            "2003": "vs",
            "2004": "vs",
            "2005": "vs",
            "2006": "vs",
            "2007": "vs",
            "2008": "vs",
            "2009": "vs",
            "2010": "vs",
            "2011": "vs",
            "2012": "vs",
            "2013": "vs",
            "2014": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2015": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2016": "vs"
          },
          "chosen_test": "vs",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 0,
            "vs": 21,
            "sqrt_mvs": 3,
            "pt": 0,
            "dc": 0,
            "loci": 0,
            "eqm": 0,
            "gqm": 0,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 0,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42324047552364313,
                  0.4423513107489917,
                  0.45297442326849396,
                  0.4971822512086096,
                  0.47612934898170195,
                  0.44212378865314694,
                  0.44117888367844166,
                  0.39385354338952844,
                  0.4061391449750249,
                  0.43698085047720886,
                  0.5074082865834079,
                  0.5214373203137104,
                  0.38469320589400496,
                  0.4403838517833364,
                  0.39931566069617197,
                  0.4293247387058219,
                  0.47680559826086943,
                  0.4463715495818235,
                  0.4636006505265395,
                  0.43598634181956303,
                  0.43784337031822607,
                  0.45879549349504367,
                  0.4018051448328889,
                  0.49156986694569127
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4754016819136036,
                  0.4698987852691481,
                  0.4475722931876876,
                  0.45452035553745596,
                  0.45257039479879513,
                  0.47044392511759964,
                  0.4542944276806166,
                  0.40943755938485,
                  0.4371667600138314,
                  0.47263230769926734,
                  0.4303065355231145,
                  0.454595990277518,
                  0.3959257285293265,
                  0.4434645496740271,
                  0.4412507991961764,
                  0.435170437641651,
                  0.46944879844205245,
                  0.4520639211186838,
                  0.4716870174931902,
                  0.4802945203904019,
                  0.4668563967515232,
                  0.4722071384657149,
                  0.4700629053401188,
                  0.4416277853045537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2758332071950497,
                  0.16409830213297763,
                  0.23565620746685634,
                  0.20309171406112164,
                  0.2709967246797198,
                  0.15754035785489118,
                  0.1887737925081013,
                  0.22255879369429135,
                  0.18667191731802238,
                  0.2879824545679335,
                  0.2866206941785412,
                  0.3123450902762336,
                  0.19053494763237977,
                  0.24966108903194073,
                  0.15740417235337087,
                  0.17186405150982473,
                  0.3333678813261331,
                  0.14480323307263232,
                  0.22495344283756585,
                  0.14954180323465707,
                  0.1393096760972814,
                  0.3026413870113646,
                  0.26430917055662817,
                  0.2339627727116193
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3078804322691799,
                  0.1772720877647993,
                  0.23250880823643677,
                  0.18364157998711608,
                  0.25298088487778414,
                  0.16740053832617655,
                  0.19875490361406287,
                  0.23070092354944458,
                  0.19835315818041957,
                  0.3046158566400611,
                  0.2547128368467289,
                  0.2754668354354953,
                  0.19677990497580344,
                  0.24932954530109538,
                  0.18175769604553224,
                  0.17303074498633814,
                  0.3240234689536009,
                  0.14982223006986983,
                  0.23057761248348646,
                  0.17130633492700192,
                  0.15271106939309373,
                  0.30644077557443045,
                  0.3037858009356,
                  0.21743539710448076
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1474072678934559,
                  0.27825301033812977,
                  0.21731821440247506,
                  0.2940905370755714,
                  0.20513262325461878,
                  0.28458343150906357,
                  0.2524050915093821,
                  0.17129474863514374,
                  0.21946722777013009,
                  0.14899839486319275,
                  0.2207875934943836,
                  0.20909223046877312,
                  0.1941582571751513,
                  0.1907227616773871,
                  0.2419114882382321,
                  0.2574606883347527,
                  0.14343771412597156,
                  0.3015683196167135,
                  0.23864720821234037,
                  0.2864445403301987,
                  0.2985336971811758,
                  0.1561541057267358,
                  0.1374959749594233,
                  0.2576070959133901
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16752124964442372,
                  0.2926266975043488,
                  0.21506348495125072,
                  0.2708787755503398,
                  0.1995895099210109,
                  0.3030433867914231,
                  0.2555395240665538,
                  0.17873663583540544,
                  0.23881360183341188,
                  0.1680164510592061,
                  0.17559369867638552,
                  0.1791291548420226,
                  0.1991458235535231,
                  0.1941350043729317,
                  0.2594931031506441,
                  0.26213969265531295,
                  0.1454253294884514,
                  0.30224169104881393,
                  0.24110940500970388,
                  0.3089881854633999,
                  0.31414532735842937,
                  0.16576636289128455,
                  0.16627710440451882,
                  0.22419238820007306
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.32355146316032,
                  27.844921565482384,
                  22.401572382232807,
                  28.721683416597777,
                  25.873422434020277,
                  29.023966056482468,
                  23.62536258121307,
                  15.05907567877793,
                  16.286010060115967,
                  17.218510059783515,
                  23.21202575834636,
                  22.91357018495086,
                  15.344744665123423,
                  16.794555699058737,
                  18.22691300884179,
                  18.491818311214914,
                  22.63973730481314,
                  19.00407193374428,
                  24.17712270833446,
                  20.960150658791772,
                  22.664531357791635,
                  23.177536981303902,
                  32.77815967291184,
                  24.429050374788943
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.613106129562965,
                  29.397864976210336,
                  21.926969342234923,
                  24.443182328369915,
                  23.799442768719484,
                  27.188641472953417,
                  23.53383296202524,
                  14.853438063071343,
                  18.566426770436173,
                  19.66238774209615,
                  15.276449953495895,
                  17.30546875341423,
                  15.311758068701987,
                  16.585118321907462,
                  20.610952753353995,
                  18.456897804883226,
                  21.311808216556564,
                  18.864772006483992,
                  24.22745453814933,
                  25.980309080969267,
                  25.35510595105101,
                  24.545857790902712,
                  41.67248951423064,
                  18.164010610584267
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.561727569595547,
                  27.151460942247557,
                  21.681548446009444,
                  27.95996844965471,
                  25.087499574487875,
                  28.23761055514373,
                  22.889142040115203,
                  14.283200881777796,
                  15.611687155338952,
                  16.442715314058578,
                  22.398068486797712,
                  22.111025178527935,
                  14.525224175717925,
                  16.01976281860269,
                  17.428764664942666,
                  17.71842289028434,
                  21.865068801360284,
                  18.147250584129164,
                  23.383639262852018,
                  20.213081927487515,
                  21.893839915881788,
                  22.43166556945558,
                  32.022097308723204,
                  23.60163950580846
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.694914714706677,
                  28.484947725836346,
                  20.999902668311726,
                  23.520881209344694,
                  22.875922445982813,
                  26.271540087156584,
                  22.609809590412247,
                  13.912974549604273,
                  17.632995432551223,
                  18.73103208786966,
                  14.336787598912204,
                  16.369649237466756,
                  14.372162585548612,
                  15.647934505900317,
                  19.681393623770038,
                  17.52325902577564,
                  20.383576464743825,
                  17.931905716394613,
                  23.30474484376386,
                  25.060919186854285,
                  24.43453196009906,
                  23.623751132980786,
                  40.78281965881499,
                  17.229817120881425
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44614562919424544,
              "rpss": 0.014850251545207915,
              "brier_below": 0.22310512013788072,
              "bss_below": 0.01594595258004161,
              "brier_above": 0.223040509279408,
              "bss_above": 0.013751788305623402,
              "crps": 22.258002679911773,
              "crpss": -0.0010087409704013783,
              "crps_fair": 21.486088000791693,
              "crpss_fair": -0.008306194554950519
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42364986190830317,
                  0.4539991011211275,
                  0.4483851263684185,
                  0.5019634610203186,
                  0.4103196062536219,
                  0.4749348281918007,
                  0.4598952061348167,
                  0.3917457376739787,
                  0.3945531186749821,
                  0.43573602248844423,
                  0.4746085227335936,
                  0.5066072617079972,
                  0.39371303124134965,
                  0.4298361138587415,
                  0.3953484991513311,
                  0.44052696364922916,
                  0.4718244499637769,
                  0.43086268592316196,
                  0.44890024598920836,
                  0.41726936228035555,
                  0.43440002952216433,
                  0.4581314121034395,
                  0.40158813709598706,
                  0.4232706258616528
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4708394260755114,
                  0.478347266080356,
                  0.45538422746879303,
                  0.459058972330508,
                  0.4576620419554788,
                  0.4731696930221518,
                  0.4667027713068357,
                  0.40033314926296837,
                  0.4269632323273467,
                  0.47402716162226893,
                  0.42746598323848156,
                  0.4504271403690195,
                  0.40120899735641075,
                  0.42992826073816515,
                  0.4295731135867868,
                  0.45389937720701334,
                  0.464329174189181,
                  0.43688310391500257,
                  0.4544141148747783,
                  0.48318259866850327,
                  0.47262088435117405,
                  0.4869104538041862,
                  0.4927855011868216,
                  0.4253640867477962
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2693358109681527,
                  0.17956120938418868,
                  0.25990127321500556,
                  0.20790174156691843,
                  0.2739424919963065,
                  0.17884656364161675,
                  0.22052689140680043,
                  0.19981397204474446,
                  0.14104701071426717,
                  0.2851074534325839,
                  0.25909633185793846,
                  0.2848412535992657,
                  0.19514326361381376,
                  0.21360162795287796,
                  0.1658647897384278,
                  0.17089097106168638,
                  0.3202233355289341,
                  0.155789451274175,
                  0.23480329959032398,
                  0.10629011590689559,
                  0.13288568679286009,
                  0.3406259500688336,
                  0.28114707361887586,
                  0.16981573391532384
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3014181688717181,
                  0.19043828142969435,
                  0.2621352098296086,
                  0.189211357423254,
                  0.29646647218334904,
                  0.1763031653097088,
                  0.22490333867954082,
                  0.20427330506010077,
                  0.15400796871896968,
                  0.30561580770909275,
                  0.2387426263229863,
                  0.25381385295644204,
                  0.19826391217931327,
                  0.2127100821035814,
                  0.1864847383371641,
                  0.17554851753521306,
                  0.31069878617163244,
                  0.15976518026133896,
                  0.23943647892764403,
                  0.13596964382400945,
                  0.15004019014661238,
                  0.3525530292328047,
                  0.338807101099202,
                  0.18090576234657507
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15431405040080765,
                  0.27443789362410625,
                  0.18848385116629648,
                  0.2940617188969824,
                  0.13637711430149035,
                  0.2960882657843941,
                  0.23936831437109232,
                  0.19193176550216967,
                  0.2535061083740113,
                  0.15062856791720022,
                  0.21551219087617157,
                  0.22176600906004473,
                  0.19856976709106883,
                  0.21623448569334186,
                  0.22948370940672672,
                  0.2696359939735685,
                  0.15160111153914674,
                  0.27507323723357163,
                  0.21409694558888975,
                  0.3109792484020069,
                  0.3015143456807592,
                  0.11750546088114824,
                  0.12044106366987851,
                  0.2534548931491885
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16942125720379314,
                  0.28790898465066145,
                  0.1932490176391843,
                  0.26984761490725384,
                  0.16119556977212962,
                  0.2968665277124429,
                  0.2417994326272948,
                  0.1960598442028676,
                  0.27295526360837696,
                  0.16841135391317605,
                  0.18872335691549524,
                  0.19661328741257744,
                  0.20294508517709747,
                  0.21721817863458368,
                  0.24308837524962262,
                  0.2783508596718001,
                  0.15363038801754828,
                  0.27711792365366356,
                  0.2149776359471342,
                  0.3472129548444936,
                  0.3225806942045614,
                  0.13435742457138128,
                  0.15397840008761954,
                  0.24445832440122106
                ],
                "crps": [
                  36.67665401509464,
                  44.56663820490334,
                  34.413652753450066,
                  45.457956447218535,
                  38.42180442064001,
                  47.96267279478812,
                  38.30627216870285,
                  24.28879597196496,
                  26.78881950307649,
                  28.43583998315483,
                  35.48914395019377,
                  36.7348266488704,
                  24.700282846853177,
                  27.164766216276735,
                  27.774274167830928,
                  29.897576538068932,
                  34.81372419426984,
                  27.645595886226523,
                  36.56810851191025,
                  30.311465754996167,
                  36.40567236958903,
                  37.613076668355,
                  54.847362751099574,
                  33.912727711431195
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.18653222448657,
                  46.84531125433672,
                  34.54432198123997,
                  39.348572475319074,
                  38.036972805317745,
                  43.60338146746455,
                  38.085883059957226,
                  23.826258832192412,
                  29.89978054903974,
                  31.738181364810576,
                  24.43088871098674,
                  27.83268008310316,
                  24.65712467841512,
                  26.46699035284445,
                  30.59299785477991,
                  30.304948845204205,
                  32.919233990306296,
                  27.674921508143957,
                  36.33860707613447,
                  38.60628169474539,
                  41.339344183302146,
                  39.82018386333356,
                  70.64179962667183,
                  27.64414578747141
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  35.438585128145725,
                  43.46268369140075,
                  33.265168302988435,
                  44.230413880762214,
                  37.10529306918812,
                  46.71804353509169,
                  37.13854523764924,
                  23.06476946436212,
                  25.72409415407068,
                  27.16821972009558,
                  34.2292335076423,
                  35.473455296046275,
                  23.392293423713422,
                  25.92928275283885,
                  26.513997469290825,
                  28.666569722227656,
                  33.59288132277428,
                  26.279463443109734,
                  35.319951871907,
                  29.120249389509585,
                  35.18511808821606,
                  36.42156798043569,
                  53.640036835637936,
                  32.625285915825074
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.728326247149674,
                  45.39782266152604,
                  33.07353606026055,
                  37.88688551360875,
                  36.57280175332332,
                  42.149752856118134,
                  36.62180464102082,
                  22.335173549188287,
                  28.420198148075094,
                  30.262080783572767,
                  22.94094856032881,
                  26.34918271913484,
                  23.167613004968228,
                  24.9809064552961,
                  29.114728365379165,
                  28.826133808436836,
                  31.445370251162224,
                  26.19112535899579,
                  34.87121942238024,
                  37.143188879283976,
                  39.88142762255391,
                  38.359390105009616,
                  69.23938014062692,
                  26.160291350973484
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43841955878824174,
              "rpss": 0.03214017753343945,
              "brier_below": 0.2186251376204507,
              "bss_below": 0.03521360978463062,
              "brier_above": 0.21979442135766925,
              "bss_above": 0.029063607509145495,
              "crps": 34.966571269956894,
              "crpss": 0.008492152941098507,
              "crps_fair": 33.73771680012205,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0017433749584241376
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42982145824442136,
                  0.49519539171141463,
                  0.42093470844265696,
                  0.41428109418388953,
                  0.4595105706384726,
                  0.490450884365035,
                  0.3943762588950148,
                  0.391522921017906,
                  0.49859550907279215
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4392667893930284,
                  0.47209024474380396,
                  0.4563295774817628,
                  0.4676949686529568,
                  0.46440251426226875,
                  0.44306773857298026,
                  0.4754913821954125,
                  0.4978762127486338,
                  0.46473262279411304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20122224979388398,
                  0.3309769928410338,
                  0.1765016221393039,
                  0.13642106251432753,
                  0.1677898532955666,
                  0.2433485355577612,
                  0.2418265981460736,
                  0.11830142149530233,
                  0.3065880504734579
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20840800414252633,
                  0.3211528412581965,
                  0.18588896696747403,
                  0.1529691839704525,
                  0.16918637749027593,
                  0.22647917630868836,
                  0.29670790679502046,
                  0.14687399037084822,
                  0.2847919519536404
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22859920778887233,
                  0.1642184117112902,
                  0.24443307826868818,
                  0.27786002067315785,
                  0.2917207056091347,
                  0.2471023544157239,
                  0.15254966543032952,
                  0.27322148254129897,
                  0.19200746981106823
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23085878370616417,
                  0.15093741623232468,
                  0.27044060189216984,
                  0.31472576814158004,
                  0.2952161237196651,
                  0.21658856327166845,
                  0.17878348316784407,
                  0.3510021993501296,
                  0.17994067840100206
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.423742409538107,
                  25.463634050569794,
                  18.9863250094907,
                  21.428824279783324,
                  21.772695894572394,
                  27.72194609953205,
                  17.61191831254762,
                  24.044463531223037,
                  23.778477873850314
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.251323675318027,
                  22.462373750235535,
                  22.429096847378236,
                  21.013467579334527,
                  21.05169122929241,
                  20.436541798871772,
                  21.23268013317464,
                  31.69290548699711,
                  20.84021936433369
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  20.048479372227366,
                  25.074363711014758,
                  18.587482785065962,
                  21.00406370522933,
                  21.388649881958155,
                  27.31212606252035,
                  17.214526830445966,
                  23.607031061103473,
                  23.372289021161404
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.36344490244705,
                  21.574494977364562,
                  21.54121807450725,
                  20.125588806463544,
                  20.163812456421432,
                  19.548663026000803,
                  20.344801360303663,
                  30.805026714126136,
                  19.95234059146272
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44385431073017817,
              "rpss": 0.04455044018878751,
              "brier_below": 0.2136640429174123,
              "bss_below": 0.0348725037503006,
              "brier_above": 0.23019026624995156,
              "bss_above": 0.053361463190362945,
              "crps": 22.35911416234526,
              "crpss": 0.005821207738019418,
              "crps_fair": 21.95655693674742,
              "crpss_fair": -0.016405881670110478
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.44171876007790434,
                  0.4752078472729444,
                  0.40993518978815385,
                  0.4221650097394507,
                  0.4611030812705838,
                  0.49377363293466436,
                  0.41457753320849805,
                  0.41252046513977225,
                  0.4960158020945704
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45375860413458485,
                  0.45298996440830325,
                  0.4431570365814314,
                  0.45029456864798206,
                  0.45806327538229014,
                  0.4543204749095515,
                  0.470672671598715,
                  0.4932554758488676,
                  0.46455214735141936
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1977801602393609,
                  0.30855997936234675,
                  0.19818156365118114,
                  0.15449990926715843,
                  0.17647436504612016,
                  0.2459362776985682,
                  0.22718780746597952,
                  0.1353784517846959,
                  0.3038142723934751
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2051677757555093,
                  0.2983593853982372,
                  0.20938553817015962,
                  0.16496000983722006,
                  0.1741714573544431,
                  0.2285609758239909,
                  0.26339413622632507,
                  0.15647499638411203,
                  0.28182460076839555
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24393859614754437,
                  0.16664787991497207,
                  0.21175362407737464,
                  0.26766509346977413,
                  0.2846287062948208,
                  0.24783735814768368,
                  0.18738972573495138,
                  0.27714199802621187,
                  0.19220153986164434
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2485908236640017,
                  0.154630591096392,
                  0.2337714963461003,
                  0.28533454752539783,
                  0.28389180700046496,
                  0.22575949845304602,
                  0.20727853804452892,
                  0.336780458980145,
                  0.18272755364522117
                ],
                "crps": [
                  31.627853481791142,
                  38.76238989794013,
                  28.132309138436977,
                  30.89577896011476,
                  34.60478004176159,
                  41.76674220809413,
                  29.196869022014496,
                  35.98216004154595,
                  37.540009182705596
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  33.004803964257825,
                  34.46939391673293,
                  32.65658052025425,
                  29.032738395322635,
                  33.148159551740136,
                  33.11616337741962,
                  33.59207713414676,
                  46.2020167224791,
                  32.25661943021509
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  31.02999676463725,
                  38.14994817818965,
                  27.50639927689231,
                  30.23630832498175,
                  33.99241864107,
                  41.13010830370858,
                  28.548976448282108,
                  35.30755674985665,
                  36.9061754149661
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  31.596610755475933,
                  33.06120070795104,
                  31.24838731147235,
                  27.62454518654074,
                  31.73996634295824,
                  31.707970168637708,
                  32.18388392536486,
                  44.7938235136972,
                  30.848426221433186
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44744636905850466,
              "rpss": 0.027540480250729638,
              "brier_below": 0.21642364298987624,
              "bss_below": 0.017397017791784153,
              "brier_above": 0.23102272463055298,
              "bss_above": 0.03685476718405578,
              "crps": 34.278765774933866,
              "crpss": -0.0033509295257883043,
              "crps_fair": 33.64532090028716,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02714702605035546
            }
          }
        },
        "SEL-A": {
          "criterion": "inner CRPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "vs",
            "1994": "vs",
            "1995": "dc",
            "1996": "vs",
            "1997": "dc",
            "1998": "vs",
            "1999": "dc",
            "2000": "dc",
            "2001": "dc",
            "2002": "dc",
            "2003": "vs",
            "2004": "vs",
            "2005": "dc",
            "2006": "vs",
            "2007": "dc",
            "2008": "dc",
            "2009": "vs",
            "2010": "dc",
            "2011": "vs",
            "2012": "dc",
            "2013": "dc",
            "2014": "dc",
            "2015": "vs",
            "2016": "dc"
          },
          "chosen_test": "dc",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 0,
            "vs": 10,
            "sqrt_mvs": 0,
            "pt": 0,
            "dc": 14,
            "loci": 0,
            "eqm": 0,
            "gqm": 0,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 0,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42324047552364313,
                  0.4423513107489917,
                  0.4605665090683629,
                  0.4971822512086096,
                  0.47620353646811886,
                  0.441725832560238,
                  0.4468018810607823,
                  0.38762956090432876,
                  0.4138089595737193,
                  0.43818493452013735,
                  0.5074082865834079,
                  0.5214373203137104,
                  0.3862394153130481,
                  0.4403838517833364,
                  0.40959151546081257,
                  0.4371503293133309,
                  0.47680559826086943,
                  0.43787093241432207,
                  0.4636006505265395,
                  0.4521270298177565,
                  0.45596198366777574,
                  0.465379255893846,
                  0.402419758642047,
                  0.47358001484326645
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4754016819136036,
                  0.4698987852691481,
                  0.4475722931876876,
                  0.45452035553745596,
                  0.45257039479879513,
                  0.47044392511759964,
                  0.4542944276806166,
                  0.40943755938485,
                  0.4371667600138314,
                  0.47263230769926734,
                  0.4303065355231145,
                  0.454595990277518,
                  0.3959257285293265,
                  0.4434645496740271,
                  0.4412507991961764,
                  0.435170437641651,
                  0.46944879844205245,
                  0.4520639211186838,
                  0.4716870174931902,
                  0.4802945203904019,
                  0.4668563967515232,
                  0.4722071384657149,
                  0.4700629053401188,
                  0.4416277853045537
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2758332071950497,
                  0.16409830213297763,
                  0.23990738181169516,
                  0.20309171406112164,
                  0.27528418103470875,
                  0.1561469600557141,
                  0.1939947190550635,
                  0.21898887609921547,
                  0.19048430637251787,
                  0.28406722965770176,
                  0.2866206941785412,
                  0.3123450902762336,
                  0.19222362459623946,
                  0.24966108903194073,
                  0.16704091510913519,
                  0.1774226994577452,
                  0.3333678813261331,
                  0.14418054952593523,
                  0.22495344283756585,
                  0.1636516271308451,
                  0.147508861414783,
                  0.3070987459883636,
                  0.26448283978533305,
                  0.22789115303569504
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3078804322691799,
                  0.1772720877647993,
                  0.23250880823643677,
                  0.18364157998711608,
                  0.25298088487778414,
                  0.16740053832617655,
                  0.19875490361406287,
                  0.23070092354944458,
                  0.19835315818041957,
                  0.3046158566400611,
                  0.2547128368467289,
                  0.2754668354354953,
                  0.19677990497580344,
                  0.24932954530109538,
                  0.18175769604553224,
                  0.17303074498633814,
                  0.3240234689536009,
                  0.14982223006986983,
                  0.23057761248348646,
                  0.17130633492700192,
                  0.15271106939309373,
                  0.30644077557443045,
                  0.3037858009356,
                  0.21743539710448076
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1474072678934559,
                  0.27825301033812977,
                  0.22065912758999917,
                  0.2940905370755714,
                  0.200919355700854,
                  0.2855788733851095,
                  0.2528071618970404,
                  0.16864068542181201,
                  0.22332465339417193,
                  0.15411770540608627,
                  0.2207875934943836,
                  0.20909223046877312,
                  0.1940157911118,
                  0.1907227616773871,
                  0.2425506005529557,
                  0.25972762938105926,
                  0.14343771412597156,
                  0.29369038190502905,
                  0.23864720821234037,
                  0.2884754026306895,
                  0.3084531211580571,
                  0.15828051072408858,
                  0.13793691942567599,
                  0.24568886225617262
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16752124964442372,
                  0.2926266975043488,
                  0.21506348495125072,
                  0.2708787755503398,
                  0.1995895099210109,
                  0.3030433867914231,
                  0.2555395240665538,
                  0.17873663583540544,
                  0.23881360183341188,
                  0.1680164510592061,
                  0.17559369867638552,
                  0.1791291548420226,
                  0.1991458235535231,
                  0.1941350043729317,
                  0.2594931031506441,
                  0.26213969265531295,
                  0.1454253294884514,
                  0.30224169104881393,
                  0.24110940500970388,
                  0.3089881854633999,
                  0.31414532735842937,
                  0.16576636289128455,
                  0.16627710440451882,
                  0.22419238820007306
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.32355146316032,
                  27.844921565482384,
                  22.782086990975998,
                  28.721683416597777,
                  26.466001007901554,
                  28.836151476518733,
                  23.563061536368814,
                  14.659705722501391,
                  16.88343813835502,
                  17.120914625434025,
                  23.21202575834636,
                  22.91357018495086,
                  15.788227642011952,
                  16.794555699058737,
                  18.297615180845426,
                  18.81454810215102,
                  22.63973730481314,
                  18.84820945115892,
                  24.17712270833446,
                  20.97908813593524,
                  23.37246105071245,
                  23.347805578847243,
                  32.63635929635337,
                  25.164902807852943
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.613106129562965,
                  29.397864976210336,
                  21.926969342234923,
                  24.443182328369915,
                  23.799442768719484,
                  27.188641472953417,
                  23.53383296202524,
                  14.853438063071343,
                  18.566426770436173,
                  19.66238774209615,
                  15.276449953495895,
                  17.30546875341423,
                  15.311758068701987,
                  16.585118321907462,
                  20.610952753353995,
                  18.456897804883226,
                  21.311808216556564,
                  18.864772006483992,
                  24.22745453814933,
                  25.980309080969267,
                  25.35510595105101,
                  24.545857790902712,
                  41.67248951423064,
                  18.164010610584267
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  22.561727569595547,
                  27.151460942247557,
                  21.916066067664403,
                  27.95996844965471,
                  25.760722102067636,
                  28.061769111373053,
                  22.628323829959967,
                  13.734099837902724,
                  15.944699022011667,
                  16.273056548090633,
                  22.398068486797712,
                  22.111025178527935,
                  14.84918425198426,
                  16.01976281860269,
                  17.261084240226456,
                  17.881052542594844,
                  21.865068801360284,
                  17.920222249864715,
                  23.383639262852018,
                  19.977818502576486,
                  22.421618789669747,
                  22.510210735876157,
                  31.884293770184257,
                  24.024031692406425
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.694914714706677,
                  28.484947725836346,
                  20.999902668311726,
                  23.520881209344694,
                  22.875922445982813,
                  26.271540087156584,
                  22.609809590412247,
                  13.912974549604273,
                  17.632995432551223,
                  18.73103208786966,
                  14.336787598912204,
                  16.369649237466756,
                  14.372162585548612,
                  15.647934505900317,
                  19.681393623770038,
                  17.52325902577564,
                  20.383576464743825,
                  17.931905716394613,
                  23.30474484376386,
                  25.060919186854285,
                  24.43453196009906,
                  23.623751132980786,
                  40.78281965881499,
                  17.229817120881425
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44823546643629175,
              "rpss": 0.01023560892945119,
              "brier_below": 0.22501442046542727,
              "bss_below": 0.007524564877682827,
              "brier_above": 0.22322104605110893,
              "bss_above": 0.012953484585772834,
              "crps": 22.382822701861176,
              "crpss": -0.006622269498378186,
              "crps_fair": 21.52079061683716,
              "crpss_fair": -0.009934730318399643
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42364986190830317,
                  0.4539991011211275,
                  0.45674436149574427,
                  0.5019634610203186,
                  0.41773330674198395,
                  0.4734988003637157,
                  0.46334962275983954,
                  0.3915727329481812,
                  0.4056934300957666,
                  0.44259439705379283,
                  0.4746085227335936,
                  0.5066072617079972,
                  0.40265918807992573,
                  0.4298361138587415,
                  0.4020330764720851,
                  0.4487325968108904,
                  0.4718244499637769,
                  0.4317612613220061,
                  0.44890024598920836,
                  0.43437772037622885,
                  0.4487763326598893,
                  0.4618279017722982,
                  0.4029170589642443,
                  0.4178187677109704
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4708394260755114,
                  0.478347266080356,
                  0.45538422746879303,
                  0.459058972330508,
                  0.4576620419554788,
                  0.4731696930221518,
                  0.4667027713068357,
                  0.40033314926296837,
                  0.4269632323273467,
                  0.47402716162226893,
                  0.42746598323848156,
                  0.4504271403690195,
                  0.40120899735641075,
                  0.42992826073816515,
                  0.4295731135867868,
                  0.45389937720701334,
                  0.464329174189181,
                  0.43688310391500257,
                  0.4544141148747783,
                  0.48318259866850327,
                  0.47262088435117405,
                  0.4869104538041862,
                  0.4927855011868216,
                  0.4253640867477962
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2693358109681527,
                  0.17956120938418868,
                  0.2634958935878044,
                  0.20790174156691843,
                  0.2796373004974587,
                  0.17799429028222413,
                  0.2238604533028495,
                  0.20096986966025315,
                  0.14780019399241626,
                  0.28713598357199005,
                  0.25909633185793846,
                  0.2848412535992657,
                  0.19966830329173368,
                  0.21360162795287796,
                  0.17328120761503318,
                  0.17507249518918758,
                  0.3202233355289341,
                  0.15765162363307694,
                  0.23480329959032398,
                  0.11717170164825413,
                  0.14033150408045342,
                  0.3412400448142007,
                  0.2820098368460174,
                  0.1715080189764528
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3014181688717181,
                  0.19043828142969435,
                  0.2621352098296086,
                  0.189211357423254,
                  0.29646647218334904,
                  0.1763031653097088,
                  0.22490333867954082,
                  0.20427330506010077,
                  0.15400796871896968,
                  0.30561580770909275,
                  0.2387426263229863,
                  0.25381385295644204,
                  0.19826391217931327,
                  0.2127100821035814,
                  0.1864847383371641,
                  0.17554851753521306,
                  0.31069878617163244,
                  0.15976518026133896,
                  0.23943647892764403,
                  0.13596964382400945,
                  0.15004019014661238,
                  0.3525530292328047,
                  0.338807101099202,
                  0.18090576234657507
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15431405040080765,
                  0.27443789362410625,
                  0.19324846842991655,
                  0.2940617188969824,
                  0.1380960068378106,
                  0.29550451161697033,
                  0.2394891694458291,
                  0.1906028638811214,
                  0.2578932358756846,
                  0.1554584138725941,
                  0.21551219087617157,
                  0.22176600906004473,
                  0.20299088497577833,
                  0.21623448569334186,
                  0.22875186933111474,
                  0.2736601008105495,
                  0.15160111153914674,
                  0.274109637109182,
                  0.21409694558888975,
                  0.31720601843256047,
                  0.30844482781658245,
                  0.12058785814559767,
                  0.12090722222762634,
                  0.2463107492979313
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16942125720379314,
                  0.28790898465066145,
                  0.1932490176391843,
                  0.26984761490725384,
                  0.16119556977212962,
                  0.2968665277124429,
                  0.2417994326272948,
                  0.1960598442028676,
                  0.27295526360837696,
                  0.16841135391317605,
                  0.18872335691549524,
                  0.19661328741257744,
                  0.20294508517709747,
                  0.21721817863458368,
                  0.24308837524962262,
                  0.2783508596718001,
                  0.15363038801754828,
                  0.27711792365366356,
                  0.2149776359471342,
                  0.3472129548444936,
                  0.3225806942045614,
                  0.13435742457138128,
                  0.15397840008761954,
                  0.24445832440122106
                ],
                "crps": [
                  36.67665401509464,
                  44.56663820490334,
                  34.92534290791269,
                  45.457956447218535,
                  38.300558946424864,
                  47.658842274294955,
                  38.00106087693491,
                  23.584039046024603,
                  27.7168210961496,
                  28.301870641145353,
                  35.48914395019377,
                  36.7348266488704,
                  25.43207995482617,
                  27.164766216276735,
                  27.93677231679315,
                  30.316728844497483,
                  34.81372419426984,
                  27.65533617549821,
                  36.56810851191025,
                  30.959057062752276,
                  37.53061686495842,
                  37.69246023424694,
                  54.57534879272984,
                  34.62527066912919
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.18653222448657,
                  46.84531125433672,
                  34.54432198123997,
                  39.348572475319074,
                  38.036972805317745,
                  43.60338146746455,
                  38.085883059957226,
                  23.826258832192412,
                  29.89978054903974,
                  31.738181364810576,
                  24.43088871098674,
                  27.83268008310316,
                  24.65712467841512,
                  26.46699035284445,
                  30.59299785477991,
                  30.304948845204205,
                  32.919233990306296,
                  27.674921508143957,
                  36.33860707613447,
                  38.60628169474539,
                  41.339344183302146,
                  39.82018386333356,
                  70.64179962667183,
                  27.64414578747141
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  35.438585128145725,
                  43.46268369140075,
                  33.53915659395734,
                  44.230413880762214,
                  37.13018125871293,
                  46.419526759041325,
                  36.51686163452663,
                  22.10742829197959,
                  26.213445975120386,
                  26.93173866658868,
                  34.2292335076423,
                  35.473455296046275,
                  23.949015693323478,
                  25.92928275283885,
                  26.32396956727664,
                  28.824466227335424,
                  33.59288132277428,
                  26.177812539241067,
                  35.319951871907,
                  29.378476536406932,
                  36.02745786856672,
                  36.33532545738085,
                  53.36185776608514,
                  32.88743521086313
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  39.728326247149674,
                  45.39782266152604,
                  33.07353606026055,
                  37.88688551360875,
                  36.57280175332332,
                  42.149752856118134,
                  36.62180464102082,
                  22.335173549188287,
                  28.420198148075094,
                  30.262080783572767,
                  22.94094856032881,
                  26.34918271913484,
                  23.167613004968228,
                  24.9809064552961,
                  29.114728365379165,
                  28.826133808436836,
                  31.445370251162224,
                  26.19112535899579,
                  34.87121942238024,
                  37.143188879283976,
                  39.88142762255391,
                  38.359390105009616,
                  69.23938014062692,
                  26.160291350973484
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4422283155804429,
              "rpss": 0.02373192430015103,
              "brier_below": 0.22117472214325026,
              "bss_below": 0.02396236724649592,
              "brier_above": 0.22105359349109754,
              "bss_above": 0.02350124591141234,
              "crps": 35.11183437054401,
              "crpss": 0.0043730901079639395,
              "crps_fair": 33.741693479080155,
              "crpss_fair": 0.001625710027536642
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.431306368790606,
                  0.4921269890246399,
                  0.43150091808321694,
                  0.41901049482754804,
                  0.4620174036179181,
                  0.4653830479690506,
                  0.4026339846624145,
                  0.4116259748596919,
                  0.4891858454074056
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4392667893930284,
                  0.47209024474380396,
                  0.4563295774817628,
                  0.4676949686529568,
                  0.46440251426226875,
                  0.44306773857298026,
                  0.4754913821954125,
                  0.4978762127486338,
                  0.46473262279411304
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20395816730229094,
                  0.3301619085934798,
                  0.1791110287852825,
                  0.13822095313712968,
                  0.1688931231934649,
                  0.23374916443264926,
                  0.24873864936994036,
                  0.12456188345662252,
                  0.2977176659173418
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20840800414252633,
                  0.3211528412581965,
                  0.18588896696747403,
                  0.1529691839704525,
                  0.16918637749027593,
                  0.22647917630868836,
                  0.29670790679502046,
                  0.14687399037084822,
                  0.2847919519536404
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2273482007184415,
                  0.1619650940465236,
                  0.25238988109577015,
                  0.2807895299543742,
                  0.2931242675294205,
                  0.2316338884467705,
                  0.15389533965380328,
                  0.28706407429142683,
                  0.19146819058420805
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.23085878370616417,
                  0.15093741623232468,
                  0.27044060189216984,
                  0.31472576814158004,
                  0.2952161237196651,
                  0.21658856327166845,
                  0.17878348316784407,
                  0.3510021993501296,
                  0.17994067840100206
                ],
                "crps": [
                  20.613120009757935,
                  25.517476699006863,
                  19.301890683785647,
                  22.680183770215976,
                  21.313899682662854,
                  28.2593815741045,
                  17.82310413617967,
                  24.903479158772313,
                  23.827729840496325
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  21.251323675318027,
                  22.462373750235535,
                  22.429096847378236,
                  21.013467579334527,
                  21.05169122929241,
                  20.436541798871772,
                  21.23268013317464,
                  31.69290548699711,
                  20.84021936433369
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  19.709187944654524,
                  24.593445838712675,
                  18.389962775591943,
                  21.62537699593065,
                  20.415747908055778,
                  27.2166302347768,
                  17.058250598509787,
                  23.851230966791427,
                  22.810329560059557
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  20.36344490244705,
                  21.574494977364562,
                  21.54121807450725,
                  20.125588806463544,
                  20.163812456421432,
                  19.548663026000803,
                  20.344801360303663,
                  30.805026714126136,
                  19.95234059146272
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4449767808047213,
              "rpss": 0.04213418892638743,
              "brier_below": 0.21390139379868905,
              "bss_below": 0.03380038202756497,
              "brier_above": 0.23107538514674872,
              "bss_above": 0.049721484528290505,
              "crps": 22.693362839442454,
              "crpss": -0.009040872382814813,
              "crps_fair": 21.741129202564792,
              "crpss_fair": -0.006433370190789267
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4450305492652991,
                  0.4747658581196457,
                  0.4172421720142415,
                  0.4276483827736741,
                  0.45740306436467243,
                  0.4761564083960682,
                  0.4237385522921705,
                  0.43629279817714006,
                  0.48449118061648755
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.45375860413458485,
                  0.45298996440830325,
                  0.4431570365814314,
                  0.45029456864798206,
                  0.45806327538229014,
                  0.4543204749095515,
                  0.470672671598715,
                  0.4932554758488676,
                  0.46455214735141936
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.20102890389035963,
                  0.30806513986983897,
                  0.200258572552978,
                  0.15669244038747243,
                  0.1744070704515083,
                  0.2386533794805034,
                  0.23476134703578228,
                  0.14287790889503524,
                  0.29302987849234685
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.2051677757555093,
                  0.2983593853982372,
                  0.20938553817015962,
                  0.16496000983722006,
                  0.1741714573544431,
                  0.2285609758239909,
                  0.26339413622632507,
                  0.15647499638411203,
                  0.28182460076839555
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.24400164151551165,
                  0.1667007312897461,
                  0.21698359759037025,
                  0.2709559342991563,
                  0.28299598306428786,
                  0.23750303087188304,
                  0.1889772051682154,
                  0.29341487311033004,
                  0.19146131206371822
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2485908236640017,
                  0.154630591096392,
                  0.2337714963461003,
                  0.28533454752539783,
                  0.28389180700046496,
                  0.22575949845304602,
                  0.20727853804452892,
                  0.336780458980145,
                  0.18272755364522117
                ],
                "crps": [
                  32.10796696993643,
                  38.84516697313609,
                  28.625740989063125,
                  32.44425419244227,
                  33.69848344945506,
                  42.07997361488293,
                  29.655307548289063,
                  37.61034660490188,
                  37.450502880624725
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  33.004803964257825,
                  34.46939391673293,
                  32.65658052025425,
                  29.032738395322635,
                  33.148159551740136,
                  33.11616337741962,
                  33.59207713414676,
                  46.2020167224791,
                  32.25661943021509
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  30.67425143815396,
                  37.39031150421133,
                  27.192686668367305,
                  30.849157004849815,
                  32.27901829516393,
                  40.4942979429582,
                  28.411318252237294,
                  35.99871993882351,
                  35.88243959762253
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  31.596610755475933,
                  33.06120070795104,
                  31.24838731147235,
                  27.62454518654074,
                  31.73996634295824,
                  31.707970168637708,
                  32.18388392536486,
                  44.7938235136972,
                  30.848426221433186
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44919655177993323,
              "rpss": 0.023736712991795028,
              "brier_below": 0.21664162678398058,
              "bss_below": 0.016407331437738204,
              "brier_above": 0.23255492321924656,
              "bss_above": 0.03046695503792385,
              "crps": 34.72419369141463,
              "crpss": -0.016388753494482877,
              "crps_fair": 33.241355626931984,
              "crpss_fair": -0.014814502000901397
            }
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "Aug": {
      "tag": "init05_Aug",
      "methods": {
        "mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.693217678663837,
            "training": [
              0.7352786401772822,
              0.6945112488984331,
              0.6944132656005434,
              0.6881001183554947,
              0.7149879564303885,
              0.6847088594408685,
              0.7094707653384016,
              0.697469550552504,
              0.7040017163136361,
              0.7158561041346233,
              0.704497842789866,
              0.6768449972297795,
              0.6895728735007484,
              0.6788854905529521,
              0.711186657247793,
              0.6899963940827393,
              0.6889886561672168,
              0.7009244396838024,
              0.7035504442934665,
              0.6707623988623879,
              0.6769178333801202,
              0.6458312805212065,
              0.7177998246747265,
              0.6426669297031079
            ],
            "test": 0.7252305336001995
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.45298551369692003,
                  0.43624633162729154,
                  0.42899496361447104,
                  0.44183797028234634,
                  0.44266951332300203,
                  0.4865556321259325,
                  0.4315125843945104,
                  0.4206019398671207,
                  0.4379694367194613,
                  0.46326349817874957,
                  0.4342980972543247,
                  0.44864460385803967,
                  0.4360459113367005,
                  0.4788937573211945,
                  0.40385347470237637,
                  0.43420661663064236,
                  0.4716262761088239,
                  0.4419657858649769,
                  0.43479346177348166,
                  0.4840225817367027,
                  0.43937269792853534,
                  0.46421049300307515,
                  0.4275931328621844,
                  0.4920590280677159
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4869460861873936,
                  0.43311561715049013,
                  0.42665283629995887,
                  0.44012862716617557,
                  0.48683226104537497,
                  0.4699280766987921,
                  0.4475013886975289,
                  0.4299640334798916,
                  0.4535864129837444,
                  0.48849641096862856,
                  0.4596172723520629,
                  0.4322379405002914,
                  0.43419638725068654,
                  0.4724542199071603,
                  0.42914664398663566,
                  0.4373205272257517,
                  0.47042695166109,
                  0.45012910259569633,
                  0.44192877804299024,
                  0.469625424443561,
                  0.43731801020639594,
                  0.4501365530815326,
                  0.46908018947556185,
                  0.4449840852631641
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.29933668722476015,
                  0.2196354316317614,
                  0.2062436021568557,
                  0.19909931454386096,
                  0.28199580811196734,
                  0.18702898957646985,
                  0.2207359814776987,
                  0.15224650210140153,
                  0.164981940119598,
                  0.3428118201336831,
                  0.15680796953132192,
                  0.28393954527615956,
                  0.2705995351806259,
                  0.15590207758882782,
                  0.16857448304018266,
                  0.21716861848845212,
                  0.3055968116202364,
                  0.1797039279191989,
                  0.1919564525757606,
                  0.1818857236959407,
                  0.2011888307912529,
                  0.17205564917237906,
                  0.29225009031633353,
                  0.30252192528547067
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3202155820245851,
                  0.22042082449139921,
                  0.20454162041781745,
                  0.19948218298248652,
                  0.3125806880673776,
                  0.18448136588560546,
                  0.22913049092557836,
                  0.15295472997404608,
                  0.1677260825661108,
                  0.3549551412119517,
                  0.1682634298872238,
                  0.2764274862652953,
                  0.2678113388378291,
                  0.15419544029267795,
                  0.18153898139271196,
                  0.21783066808659152,
                  0.30487529872678765,
                  0.1813710861448971,
                  0.19692950527067277,
                  0.1748368638176133,
                  0.19893691471111052,
                  0.1688323879354228,
                  0.3166162717700402,
                  0.2856578644701919
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15364882624776846,
                  0.21661090041773717,
                  0.2227513611499266,
                  0.24273865676418788,
                  0.16067370520124755,
                  0.299526644567994,
                  0.21077660254096162,
                  0.26835543876843265,
                  0.2729874969392288,
                  0.12045167639745359,
                  0.27749012752341046,
                  0.16470505720947196,
                  0.16544637448887425,
                  0.32299168169822184,
                  0.2352789911822122,
                  0.2170379977826019,
                  0.16602946372598132,
                  0.26226185861679413,
                  0.24283701005275096,
                  0.30213685955956215,
                  0.23818386741107408,
                  0.2921548445899174,
                  0.13534304285401286,
                  0.1895371025812414
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1667305041791274,
                  0.212694792636688,
                  0.22211121585973861,
                  0.24064644416128617,
                  0.17425157298003563,
                  0.28544671079078393,
                  0.21837089778824334,
                  0.27700930350187725,
                  0.2858603303944614,
                  0.13354126973425637,
                  0.29135384244241846,
                  0.1558104542125932,
                  0.16638504840470472,
                  0.3182587795919011,
                  0.24760766262868203,
                  0.2194898591401801,
                  0.1655516529506078,
                  0.2687580164671699,
                  0.24499927277333824,
                  0.294788560635156,
                  0.23838109549630468,
                  0.2813041651646206,
                  0.1524639177249777,
                  0.15932622079399056
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.363358299856717,
                  23.261791366416833,
                  16.650265074874525,
                  20.065421774746483,
                  23.221910746767215,
                  29.92833714135511,
                  17.47312507835416,
                  16.00359184669905,
                  16.599850424056715,
                  18.30168229035301,
                  19.51599249134344,
                  19.607580974243575,
                  17.156082132835827,
                  23.970733685147955,
                  16.623406585943066,
                  19.085549800942058,
                  19.940694878879874,
                  20.57692426221683,
                  18.15085499759229,
                  25.55947241991893,
                  18.16700539206605,
                  20.685961371908196,
                  18.111623397018615,
                  26.405650342086652
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.50573408767415,
                  20.83057272098966,
                  15.384713855323458,
                  18.348619796571146,
                  24.833990712013843,
                  25.690950303673365,
                  18.785353190982665,
                  17.33500505990353,
                  18.087780250289807,
                  20.142766859727907,
                  20.325407851377147,
                  15.896880844511065,
                  16.450574540440684,
                  22.381877815816505,
                  17.12509460409629,
                  18.780040871450467,
                  19.576441073305176,
                  20.057000221067682,
                  17.794707369190313,
                  23.531910254268485,
                  17.52675521093812,
                  18.71292159075082,
                  19.191330002304415,
                  19.855645712754207
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.698970279610055,
                  22.583407467153844,
                  15.924271568103316,
                  19.36671434133402,
                  22.58272006748237,
                  29.194737836315305,
                  16.7493387317405,
                  15.22420054180504,
                  15.846907893050412,
                  17.65537610688505,
                  18.879583235974604,
                  18.87921152382734,
                  16.46348116674219,
                  23.23926344087297,
                  15.861785633485598,
                  18.351270745232178,
                  19.21419810559132,
                  19.782545417619577,
                  17.367846704548224,
                  24.903798128474076,
                  17.403546634183872,
                  20.029942594386387,
                  17.391798684332997,
                  25.65980147773009
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  30.697545948289488,
                  20.00216647295597,
                  14.545993480650242,
                  17.515512880119996,
                  24.013166695023745,
                  24.871749316212938,
                  17.953073421111842,
                  16.499978418572333,
                  17.25417931954646,
                  19.313057949078193,
                  19.496044851696468,
                  15.059130483074949,
                  15.613872841307472,
                  21.556409645613932,
                  16.289670405083633,
                  17.947751040368416,
                  18.74565957593875,
                  19.227128873602325,
                  16.96055137617215,
                  22.708620175805393,
                  16.692091732771754,
                  17.880504639818948,
                  18.359819127909574,
                  19.025393012053403
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4472593042616075,
              "rpss": 0.011741246976286757,
              "brier_below": 0.223094488231675,
              "bss_below": 0.01587036985714796,
              "brier_above": 0.22416481617796105,
              "bss_above": 0.007597293207505906,
              "crps": 20.476119448984296,
              "crpss": -0.027762698680688258,
              "crps_fair": 19.76061326360339,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03497300288009031,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.158123,
                    0.690105,
                    0.146839,
                    0.004933,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2788,
                    0.3465,
                    0.4336,
                    0.5104,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.279,
                    0.3341,
                    0.4791,
                    0.4533,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    6.6e-05,
                    0.151028,
                    0.729201,
                    0.116476,
                    0.003229,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1782,
                    0.281,
                    0.3474,
                    0.4279,
                    0.5171,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.2733,
                    0.3515,
                    0.3938,
                    0.357,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.455330058382192,
                  0.4539545139858285,
                  0.429267646965269,
                  0.4419262488899622,
                  0.45113221309356016,
                  0.5096352749726146,
                  0.4378679722848222,
                  0.41631135221897503,
                  0.43950653771574316,
                  0.4576832989508401,
                  0.4205048781546623,
                  0.45667196816693006,
                  0.43912528791974287,
                  0.4577197622270836,
                  0.4134026623447388,
                  0.4341390354564378,
                  0.4602452174214877,
                  0.4511696312407498,
                  0.4361227053710336,
                  0.46277087368301956,
                  0.43130341583409953,
                  0.41927405900552,
                  0.4381272078422045,
                  0.532157622426002
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48743050991631937,
                  0.4500701624584457,
                  0.4265242004143022,
                  0.4390098244777031,
                  0.49139482584164884,
                  0.494693701774444,
                  0.4545856811469357,
                  0.43593834610889776,
                  0.4580519634274834,
                  0.47701006345194874,
                  0.4352766490847659,
                  0.4325868375773595,
                  0.4393322155734538,
                  0.45819407461226264,
                  0.4258449859445512,
                  0.4429956010693269,
                  0.46917288320447564,
                  0.4504464390301668,
                  0.43726520584675527,
                  0.45476639467496144,
                  0.4364531411048688,
                  0.42034369581379755,
                  0.4673311154491269,
                  0.4820108972087676
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.29076365397611564,
                  0.2178701165086526,
                  0.18789780253704955,
                  0.1748644476780858,
                  0.29228938993674103,
                  0.18452704306431295,
                  0.19836198576960967,
                  0.15270883092650514,
                  0.18157722078936142,
                  0.33263664364757384,
                  0.17888532482732622,
                  0.280066047937075,
                  0.284128517503398,
                  0.1477861878194442,
                  0.18820286245590326,
                  0.21311278909645925,
                  0.28732539379304933,
                  0.20261492503798936,
                  0.18053142915969417,
                  0.17172945925393032,
                  0.20712906273423695,
                  0.1668095956579977,
                  0.30384498530587084,
                  0.3535461175824013
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3104072285253455,
                  0.21673480811611381,
                  0.18558730667959258,
                  0.17603508945959234,
                  0.32028208459781965,
                  0.17926314118722866,
                  0.20608332860378822,
                  0.16099647389177257,
                  0.18759330134707142,
                  0.33954533961604677,
                  0.1874236505788654,
                  0.26795152854435594,
                  0.28077112311215474,
                  0.14729671030580527,
                  0.19608173063938172,
                  0.21470894001819776,
                  0.2912022736927969,
                  0.20165084148960713,
                  0.18095977006653313,
                  0.1684004312888114,
                  0.20718324254548248,
                  0.16958622943392032,
                  0.3193885527201346,
                  0.32447550978521345
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16456640423513283,
                  0.23608439819954435,
                  0.24136984466704706,
                  0.26706180266780233,
                  0.15884282276761677,
                  0.3251082338991999,
                  0.2395059864842798,
                  0.26360252212005625,
                  0.25792931701506333,
                  0.12504665343285856,
                  0.24161955310253844,
                  0.1766059190065516,
                  0.15499676818582095,
                  0.309933576299079,
                  0.22519979960704714,
                  0.2210262457011488,
                  0.17291982307034728,
                  0.24855470711134836,
                  0.25559127702298245,
                  0.2910414160653514,
                  0.224174353258985,
                  0.25246446406888334,
                  0.13428222239468052,
                  0.17861150411538088
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17702328139097373,
                  0.23333535434233188,
                  0.24093689373470956,
                  0.2629747350181107,
                  0.1711127412438291,
                  0.3154305605872152,
                  0.24850235254314745,
                  0.274941872217125,
                  0.2704586620804119,
                  0.13746472383590178,
                  0.24785299850590042,
                  0.1646353090330035,
                  0.15856109246129885,
                  0.31089736430645726,
                  0.22976325530516944,
                  0.2282866610511291,
                  0.17797060951167862,
                  0.24879559754055963,
                  0.256305435780222,
                  0.28636596338614995,
                  0.2292698985593863,
                  0.2507574663798771,
                  0.14794256272899212,
                  0.15753538742355408
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.17644795967733,
                  36.3489341958612,
                  25.012939085876837,
                  30.756850991244313,
                  35.23994899346842,
                  44.00867197298489,
                  27.590213165635653,
                  23.849983129820714,
                  24.71305504271685,
                  27.761974672070252,
                  25.495125116744298,
                  31.02972184244648,
                  26.22277453578064,
                  31.559514470330495,
                  25.016608121830004,
                  28.625353051822337,
                  29.788864180471496,
                  31.971271119804232,
                  27.343525946659827,
                  37.35421196498141,
                  25.969558212024,
                  24.32677677691248,
                  29.499347251309327,
                  41.09290818216388
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  49.57656865028093,
                  32.96040380943106,
                  23.338961685869542,
                  28.247352936237633,
                  38.77143887837504,
                  40.075400748993,
                  30.044498290231484,
                  26.420742022616203,
                  27.19914339939457,
                  30.474463908758302,
                  25.997698532993468,
                  24.664015955947068,
                  25.497247064245567,
                  30.559056130702682,
                  25.223022089283898,
                  28.82789187164294,
                  30.59933260802571,
                  31.14965624843492,
                  26.757510478633222,
                  34.73556146951894,
                  25.69189133881856,
                  22.368377050704193,
                  29.705255183554968,
                  32.58994873293396
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.1932508618546,
                  35.369655693936366,
                  23.9232124188412,
                  29.694067041027324,
                  34.22591464322391,
                  42.96851688986854,
                  26.51380688899129,
                  22.702314476475387,
                  23.60553238259092,
                  26.813731495774388,
                  24.54631749333744,
                  29.959476796526825,
                  25.201039970313428,
                  30.484149318367177,
                  23.912348643595276,
                  27.548962239779716,
                  28.73412200425987,
                  30.827675920097633,
                  26.213054565113893,
                  36.382057074331044,
                  24.829094678680118,
                  23.31377173006211,
                  28.362829375340862,
                  40.01730205122024
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  48.36096752564688,
                  31.71333267562872,
                  22.07366812380289,
                  26.991355569720923,
                  37.53537349280934,
                  38.84180498818226,
                  28.79190460809734,
                  25.161285165732785,
                  25.941160787542934,
                  29.222684555447124,
                  24.7374404573797,
                  23.40123196636163,
                  24.23604116388039,
                  29.30743698993307,
                  23.961296823435838,
                  27.57299401068571,
                  29.347789748463143,
                  29.899155668494338,
                  25.498691440795294,
                  33.49185237673951,
                  24.4310540829128,
                  21.101245260161853,
                  28.452018995536967,
                  31.34217597966858
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44772289352306327,
              "rpss": 0.011169871450864122,
              "brier_below": 0.22413374304161596,
              "bss_below": 0.011103519993036715,
              "brier_above": 0.2235891506041144,
              "bss_above": 0.011236375041573043,
              "crps": 30.53144083260989,
              "crpss": -0.015633437101205017,
              "crps_fair": 29.472591860567064,
              "crpss_fair": -0.023037200666219837,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.163395,
                    0.736758,
                    0.095316,
                    0.004531,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2803,
                    0.3445,
                    0.4292,
                    0.5065,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3193,
                    0.3313,
                    0.5148,
                    0.4109,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.146932,
                    0.750459,
                    0.101752,
                    0.000857,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2812,
                    0.3467,
                    0.4237,
                    0.5209,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2668,
                    0.3524,
                    0.4062,
                    0.5877,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4935685130319724,
                  0.4138029440721543,
                  0.4238484912577839,
                  0.43114057820855445,
                  0.41654919188250367,
                  0.42714471484171596,
                  0.44864366443399445,
                  0.4663374493226758,
                  0.44303486918199
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4870055947178849,
                  0.42143281565336166,
                  0.4461656033354792,
                  0.4898169267269451,
                  0.409710504473286,
                  0.4328402132818921,
                  0.481437726284207,
                  0.5046306428050635,
                  0.4618523477225761
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16469170211754644,
                  0.18021394289891626,
                  0.2209481541094825,
                  0.1372959169369502,
                  0.23918046658882516,
                  0.22392970382865487,
                  0.3137650432813095,
                  0.16781504462882052,
                  0.14871542555835976
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1614439450337624,
                  0.1816624432294703,
                  0.23775382310536425,
                  0.15106275351725754,
                  0.24150138386167241,
                  0.22891616263738787,
                  0.3354019372244457,
                  0.1752044871830586,
                  0.15555314716681815
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3288767928320196,
                  0.2335889984248607,
                  0.20290034018352748,
                  0.2938446444112458,
                  0.1773687358417032,
                  0.20321501624828292,
                  0.1348786327888975,
                  0.2985223879730828,
                  0.2943194314872372
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3255616312349862,
                  0.23977036919747338,
                  0.2084117826700664,
                  0.3387541525544384,
                  0.16820913018134312,
                  0.20392405388684642,
                  0.14603580259439067,
                  0.32942613657571873,
                  0.30629918549199875
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.26687720244811,
                  14.711708038936239,
                  17.228671055913274,
                  25.492500197140046,
                  14.982853877837105,
                  17.536123110326507,
                  20.435870585145985,
                  29.506332114695308,
                  25.143095406750945
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.21024020824127,
                  14.872246430786253,
                  18.409970210564648,
                  31.11807114784039,
                  13.520669199455181,
                  16.78306002701278,
                  24.29613597010876,
                  31.10996240254287,
                  27.087652937999966
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.930849246326872,
                  14.375772376365314,
                  16.880498669863535,
                  25.098154468196157,
                  14.62758167233585,
                  17.14920757617554,
                  20.088424306035375,
                  29.12966480038977,
                  24.741746825701334
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.414703625458667,
                  14.076709848003654,
                  17.614433627782052,
                  30.32253456505779,
                  12.725132616672582,
                  15.98752344423017,
                  23.50059938732616,
                  30.31442581976026,
                  26.292116355217367
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4404522684703716,
              "rpss": 0.04131231076294295,
              "brier_below": 0.19961726666098503,
              "bss_below": 0.038503976353284175,
              "brier_above": 0.24083499779898412,
              "bss_above": 0.043627604374871676,
              "crps": 21.256003509910393,
              "crpss": 0.05485937550471509,
              "crps_fair": 20.89132221570997,
              "crpss_fair": 0.03701073871425975,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.280653,
                    0.662097,
                    0.057249,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2792,
                    0.3392,
                    0.4214,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1621,
                    0.3236,
                    0.5111,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.10241,
                    0.750383,
                    0.147207,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2849,
                    0.3456,
                    0.4256,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2136,
                    0.4103,
                    0.6273,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4853857642509261,
                  0.4171975844949446,
                  0.4388442395581465,
                  0.45763642576039903,
                  0.3945459835258716,
                  0.4272782741075719,
                  0.4583204223291297,
                  0.48769387839267864,
                  0.45946829438234577
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4833705205269806,
                  0.4217325829401401,
                  0.45787504847516347,
                  0.4926249194603664,
                  0.3921209549450236,
                  0.43537634701428846,
                  0.49987785514849153,
                  0.4942486608765802,
                  0.4798942598444907
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15108181269574056,
                  0.1813448725127936,
                  0.2253714543746139,
                  0.14871690878789778,
                  0.20303991425008994,
                  0.22630807950832182,
                  0.3496639022216269,
                  0.20943695179337043,
                  0.14197853410185018
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15085429028643993,
                  0.18069014092771118,
                  0.23635213812422837,
                  0.15606245330081414,
                  0.2033330363555721,
                  0.227991658943322,
                  0.3775149581530766,
                  0.20912215532462194,
                  0.14738561477662931
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.33430393227247057,
                  0.23585270905308892,
                  0.21347278535886305,
                  0.30891949915429257,
                  0.1915060758805937,
                  0.2009701985377664,
                  0.10865653624931199,
                  0.27825691653633433,
                  0.31748974273877734
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3325162105184372,
                  0.24104243864711158,
                  0.22152291047598155,
                  0.33656244571392563,
                  0.18878792456796986,
                  0.20738469072412372,
                  0.12236291485165149,
                  0.28512649430379705,
                  0.33250862534711423
                ],
                "crps": [
                  39.8744624256399,
                  22.5600059049042,
                  26.586930571510024,
                  37.963909711308304,
                  21.903501249375196,
                  26.514542293665706,
                  32.60119763378085,
                  43.936731783062626,
                  38.758607176559046
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  39.145523273068626,
                  22.643913019787092,
                  29.008121722013154,
                  43.28444006396797,
                  20.589043753169044,
                  26.078049611235418,
                  38.88164859631245,
                  43.764166543124,
                  41.3116571073202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.36992878194721,
                  22.062758333124478,
                  26.085610742507747,
                  37.40018129546119,
                  21.382726743567737,
                  25.958875928345567,
                  32.07060209307943,
                  43.395346964175744,
                  38.18743245150079
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  37.945151810469554,
                  21.44354155718803,
                  27.807750259414085,
                  42.084068601368905,
                  19.388672290569982,
                  24.87767814863636,
                  37.681277133713394,
                  42.56379508052493,
                  40.111285644721136
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44737454075577926,
              "rpss": 0.03145212221050664,
              "brier_below": 0.20410471447181167,
              "bss_below": 0.027715999197293506,
              "brier_above": 0.2432698217534999,
              "bss_above": 0.034564667439025976,
              "crps": 32.299987638867314,
              "crpss": 0.04596774933421621,
              "crps_fair": 31.768162592634432,
              "crpss_fair": 0.02718499368118743,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.252213,
                    0.715873,
                    0.031915,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2803,
                    0.3375,
                    0.4136,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2068,
                    0.3141,
                    0.6097,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.107641,
                    0.807128,
                    0.085231,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2849,
                    0.3426,
                    0.4224,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1914,
                    0.4299,
                    0.6453,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "ls": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7124889149778948,
            "training": [
              0.7456078506206223,
              0.7143563482520151,
              0.7169179828761407,
              0.7102900878939051,
              0.7309739989059517,
              0.7078357703818821,
              0.7278048758877518,
              0.7159044112134996,
              0.7216143680452146,
              0.7291668833642223,
              0.7281552331826596,
              0.6933885010643245,
              0.7104840311819822,
              0.6994318252791808,
              0.7267589019390839,
              0.7074981883789928,
              0.7058265928345421,
              0.7209622578742942,
              0.7259286408767323,
              0.6928578504256473,
              0.6977717726938529,
              0.6702056473473458,
              0.7345470153469379,
              0.6654449236026907
            ],
            "test": 0.7403399037649285
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4523816130804019,
                  0.43308617566344526,
                  0.42700508843849583,
                  0.4406531390330245,
                  0.4472855989751489,
                  0.48695536322296973,
                  0.43431292653842185,
                  0.42164269502234053,
                  0.4405114942280296,
                  0.4648975078452565,
                  0.43423506373184984,
                  0.4473418639917299,
                  0.4339674610568353,
                  0.479044620792083,
                  0.40449198562437044,
                  0.43206491408536507,
                  0.4705320775801123,
                  0.44064389645045454,
                  0.436732436533126,
                  0.4805133415808882,
                  0.4399311371427944,
                  0.4639767116855942,
                  0.43282434674933296,
                  0.48842731880482726
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4869460861873936,
                  0.43311561715049013,
                  0.42665283629995887,
                  0.44012862716617557,
                  0.48683226104537497,
                  0.4699280766987921,
                  0.4475013886975289,
                  0.4299640334798916,
                  0.4535864129837444,
                  0.48849641096862856,
                  0.4596172723520629,
                  0.4322379405002914,
                  0.43419638725068654,
                  0.4724542199071603,
                  0.42914664398663566,
                  0.4373205272257517,
                  0.47042695166109,
                  0.45012910259569633,
                  0.44192877804299024,
                  0.469625424443561,
                  0.43731801020639594,
                  0.4501365530815326,
                  0.46908018947556185,
                  0.4449840852631641
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.29711795204988733,
                  0.21644534051223682,
                  0.20523419456859293,
                  0.1981452125836558,
                  0.2871297655800203,
                  0.18489947668799178,
                  0.2229620500589103,
                  0.1517052658707572,
                  0.16634379435165494,
                  0.3438069729177953,
                  0.1584403344991345,
                  0.2832557224405582,
                  0.2695576355476853,
                  0.1563939956804077,
                  0.16961198916681788,
                  0.21652386996900713,
                  0.3035854732327167,
                  0.17607396068837963,
                  0.19303604370020278,
                  0.18052632529451157,
                  0.2004397661439949,
                  0.17657176842730904,
                  0.2979186925689757,
                  0.2997912541014426
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3202155820245851,
                  0.22042082449139921,
                  0.20454162041781745,
                  0.19948218298248652,
                  0.3125806880673776,
                  0.18448136588560546,
                  0.22913049092557836,
                  0.15295472997404608,
                  0.1677260825661108,
                  0.3549551412119517,
                  0.1682634298872238,
                  0.2764274862652953,
                  0.2678113388378291,
                  0.15419544029267795,
                  0.18153898139271196,
                  0.21783066808659152,
                  0.30487529872678765,
                  0.1813710861448971,
                  0.19692950527067277,
                  0.1748368638176133,
                  0.19893691471111052,
                  0.1688323879354228,
                  0.3166162717700402,
                  0.2856578644701919
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15526366107746187,
                  0.2166408349600434,
                  0.22177089369350733,
                  0.2425079270454467,
                  0.16015583341636375,
                  0.3020558880430493,
                  0.211350876288646,
                  0.2699374302572817,
                  0.2741677003581856,
                  0.12109053393239398,
                  0.27579472925346593,
                  0.16408614059107038,
                  0.16440982429009435,
                  0.32265062613579826,
                  0.23487999611155452,
                  0.21554104392258427,
                  0.16694660377802847,
                  0.26456993578887117,
                  0.24369639344000887,
                  0.2999870174799268,
                  0.23949137102813306,
                  0.28740494430328345,
                  0.13490565435498691,
                  0.18863606484002735
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1667305041791274,
                  0.212694792636688,
                  0.22211121585973861,
                  0.24064644416128617,
                  0.17425157298003563,
                  0.28544671079078393,
                  0.21837089778824334,
                  0.27700930350187725,
                  0.2858603303944614,
                  0.13354126973425637,
                  0.29135384244241846,
                  0.1558104542125932,
                  0.16638504840470472,
                  0.3182587795919011,
                  0.24760766262868203,
                  0.2194898591401801,
                  0.1655516529506078,
                  0.2687580164671699,
                  0.24499927277333824,
                  0.294788560635156,
                  0.23838109549630468,
                  0.2813041651646206,
                  0.1524639177249777,
                  0.15932622079399056
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.33388455398789,
                  23.722136447559187,
                  17.026475060408586,
                  20.572813964976138,
                  26.112980050880264,
                  31.502965761602052,
                  17.979015620662548,
                  16.954002402518935,
                  17.545089606200293,
                  18.62251246713599,
                  19.278977979907275,
                  20.10302299698838,
                  17.37814901773506,
                  25.182396744119036,
                  16.752986090470085,
                  18.94404762791749,
                  20.558334410692503,
                  21.428433402710947,
                  18.910321375979592,
                  25.458353163219677,
                  18.821682164730152,
                  21.115715540516472,
                  20.354788775789395,
                  27.885365799224
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.50573408767415,
                  20.83057272098966,
                  15.384713855323458,
                  18.348619796571146,
                  24.833990712013843,
                  25.690950303673365,
                  18.785353190982665,
                  17.33500505990353,
                  18.087780250289807,
                  20.142766859727907,
                  20.325407851377147,
                  15.896880844511065,
                  16.450574540440684,
                  22.381877815816505,
                  17.12509460409629,
                  18.780040871450467,
                  19.576441073305176,
                  20.057000221067682,
                  17.794707369190313,
                  23.531910254268485,
                  17.52675521093812,
                  18.71292159075082,
                  19.191330002304415,
                  19.855645712754207
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.5987552295551,
                  22.986841168979577,
                  16.27195551229892,
                  19.86053463782086,
                  25.46915863749412,
                  30.709573066451547,
                  17.22493396069551,
                  16.141956241103454,
                  16.74734047995044,
                  17.930727240326338,
                  18.62381384191923,
                  19.32227612479636,
                  16.650476215820373,
                  24.410218472446694,
                  15.957636678929179,
                  18.16484706493245,
                  19.770494354729728,
                  20.580833475413723,
                  18.065765322226802,
                  24.76103958244712,
                  18.020105865100152,
                  20.457124328437274,
                  19.641324812618745,
                  27.08952816114146
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  30.697545948289488,
                  20.00216647295597,
                  14.545993480650242,
                  17.515512880119996,
                  24.013166695023745,
                  24.871749316212938,
                  17.953073421111842,
                  16.499978418572333,
                  17.25417931954646,
                  19.313057949078193,
                  19.496044851696468,
                  15.059130483074949,
                  15.613872841307472,
                  21.556409645613932,
                  16.289670405083633,
                  17.947751040368416,
                  18.74565957593875,
                  19.227128873602325,
                  16.96055137617215,
                  22.708620175805393,
                  16.692091732771754,
                  17.880504639818948,
                  18.359819127909574,
                  19.025393012053403
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44722744907737083,
              "rpss": 0.011811633806367405,
              "brier_below": 0.2231465356934436,
              "bss_below": 0.015640774542148406,
              "brier_above": 0.2240809135162589,
              "bss_above": 0.007968739672655989,
              "crps": 21.189352126080497,
              "crpss": -0.06356215486309513,
              "crps_fair": 20.4357191864848,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07033204740699572,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.177401,
                    0.659458,
                    0.160082,
                    0.003059,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2814,
                    0.3474,
                    0.432,
                    0.5079,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2578,
                    0.3461,
                    0.4494,
                    0.4516,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    6.6e-05,
                    0.153522,
                    0.724456,
                    0.118597,
                    0.003358,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1808,
                    0.2832,
                    0.3465,
                    0.4251,
                    0.5094,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.2732,
                    0.3488,
                    0.414,
                    0.2548,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.45506790866226005,
                  0.44902960783584994,
                  0.42654110434742976,
                  0.4405163867678214,
                  0.45768241381480657,
                  0.5103584104662076,
                  0.43855264874351463,
                  0.4175220498962896,
                  0.44318928599507196,
                  0.4605955118866546,
                  0.4186038004349322,
                  0.45643226089412703,
                  0.43895449131832137,
                  0.4580508368785053,
                  0.4132696397026328,
                  0.4313519194006766,
                  0.45925280076996383,
                  0.448933201215707,
                  0.4359028757613105,
                  0.4597480715948689,
                  0.43220028873816496,
                  0.4171404211426262,
                  0.4450507009719545,
                  0.5284654528817536
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48743050991631937,
                  0.4500701624584457,
                  0.4265242004143022,
                  0.4390098244777031,
                  0.49139482584164884,
                  0.494693701774444,
                  0.4545856811469357,
                  0.43593834610889776,
                  0.4580519634274834,
                  0.47701006345194874,
                  0.4352766490847659,
                  0.4325868375773595,
                  0.4393322155734538,
                  0.45819407461226264,
                  0.4258449859445512,
                  0.4429956010693269,
                  0.46917288320447564,
                  0.4504464390301668,
                  0.43726520584675527,
                  0.45476639467496144,
                  0.4364531411048688,
                  0.42034369581379755,
                  0.4673311154491269,
                  0.4820108972087676
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.28896954339073694,
                  0.2131580824476428,
                  0.1867765237950032,
                  0.17366326918219227,
                  0.30034271128601436,
                  0.18032068809414212,
                  0.1986131287208199,
                  0.15038596833844492,
                  0.18327855446014882,
                  0.3358893199827742,
                  0.17906710454068742,
                  0.2813626723218777,
                  0.2847513539718184,
                  0.14701915315332273,
                  0.1887624572249183,
                  0.21201989175926464,
                  0.2854054492313047,
                  0.1972829103770472,
                  0.17930066328833938,
                  0.17132595770979545,
                  0.20646358713781335,
                  0.16976419791108896,
                  0.31259766779605336,
                  0.3510289087921498
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3104072285253455,
                  0.21673480811611381,
                  0.18558730667959258,
                  0.17603508945959234,
                  0.32028208459781965,
                  0.17926314118722866,
                  0.20608332860378822,
                  0.16099647389177257,
                  0.18759330134707142,
                  0.33954533961604677,
                  0.1874236505788654,
                  0.26795152854435594,
                  0.28077112311215474,
                  0.14729671030580527,
                  0.19608173063938172,
                  0.21470894001819776,
                  0.2912022736927969,
                  0.20165084148960713,
                  0.18095977006653313,
                  0.1684004312888114,
                  0.20718324254548248,
                  0.16958622943392032,
                  0.3193885527201346,
                  0.32447550978521345
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16609836535959796,
                  0.2358715252168789,
                  0.23976458076867102,
                  0.2668531187144976,
                  0.15733970234016903,
                  0.33003772373429857,
                  0.23993952019874515,
                  0.26713608223206664,
                  0.2599107318371496,
                  0.12470619091385837,
                  0.23953669577150002,
                  0.17506958798727487,
                  0.15420313584658,
                  0.31103168500061756,
                  0.22450718230526487,
                  0.21933202717087436,
                  0.17384735117736444,
                  0.2516502910830795,
                  0.25660221314221454,
                  0.2884221151272885,
                  0.2257367015325437,
                  0.2473762242908297,
                  0.1324530329602961,
                  0.17743654394170777
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17702328139097373,
                  0.23333535434233188,
                  0.24093689373470956,
                  0.2629747350181107,
                  0.1711127412438291,
                  0.3154305605872152,
                  0.24850235254314745,
                  0.274941872217125,
                  0.2704586620804119,
                  0.13746472383590178,
                  0.24785299850590042,
                  0.1646353090330035,
                  0.15856109246129885,
                  0.31089736430645726,
                  0.22976325530516944,
                  0.2282866610511291,
                  0.17797060951167862,
                  0.24879559754055963,
                  0.256305435780222,
                  0.28636596338614995,
                  0.2292698985593863,
                  0.2507574663798771,
                  0.14794256272899212,
                  0.15753538742355408
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.34379818504531,
                  36.82397658509763,
                  25.588246346108654,
                  31.36310418189305,
                  40.09990495621947,
                  46.66493801682216,
                  28.070953379902793,
                  25.171597457250204,
                  26.18745616023444,
                  28.7133814029165,
                  25.398987228234873,
                  31.874361527626128,
                  26.714344617192292,
                  33.308651564072,
                  25.132138154717484,
                  28.260358442042026,
                  30.778342330273148,
                  33.22369250517682,
                  28.351520166144695,
                  37.12336087005808,
                  26.688812736927098,
                  24.655457451427143,
                  33.05498769408402,
                  43.10214692732758
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  49.57656865028093,
                  32.96040380943106,
                  23.338961685869542,
                  28.247352936237633,
                  38.77143887837504,
                  40.075400748993,
                  30.044498290231484,
                  26.420742022616203,
                  27.19914339939457,
                  30.474463908758302,
                  25.997698532993468,
                  24.664015955947068,
                  25.497247064245567,
                  30.559056130702682,
                  25.223022089283898,
                  28.82789187164294,
                  30.59933260802571,
                  31.14965624843492,
                  26.757510478633222,
                  34.73556146951894,
                  25.69189133881856,
                  22.368377050704193,
                  29.705255183554968,
                  32.58994873293396
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.27574644627624,
                  35.78642151012436,
                  24.475235666423675,
                  30.30148601253592,
                  39.096725986589966,
                  45.5583014717704,
                  26.975794878088553,
                  24.00105235884223,
                  25.030748669237212,
                  27.718930438613242,
                  24.449518784776107,
                  30.745557069443546,
                  25.66111521593041,
                  32.194525256053836,
                  24.008181458306144,
                  27.14316462672261,
                  29.660365947794684,
                  32.02671840775153,
                  27.153611170045487,
                  36.11418555311486,
                  25.515614315114426,
                  23.66167364672981,
                  31.95427270119841,
                  41.97775756727143
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  48.36096752564688,
                  31.71333267562872,
                  22.07366812380289,
                  26.991355569720923,
                  37.53537349280934,
                  38.84180498818226,
                  28.79190460809734,
                  25.161285165732785,
                  25.941160787542934,
                  29.222684555447124,
                  24.7374404573797,
                  23.40123196636163,
                  24.23604116388039,
                  29.30743698993307,
                  23.961296823435838,
                  27.57299401068571,
                  29.347789748463143,
                  29.899155668494338,
                  25.498691440795294,
                  33.49185237673951,
                  24.4310540829128,
                  21.101245260161853,
                  28.452018995536967,
                  31.34217597966858
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4476005037550604,
              "rpss": 0.011440178580068627,
              "brier_below": 0.2240645735380584,
              "bss_below": 0.011408701522884312,
              "brier_above": 0.22353593036055705,
              "bss_above": 0.011471727431430878,
              "crps": 31.612271620283067,
              "crpss": -0.05158745230237627,
              "crps_fair": 30.520279381614795,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05940398217550591,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.20034,
                    0.691297,
                    0.106099,
                    0.002263,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2825,
                    0.3443,
                    0.4306,
                    0.5053,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2829,
                    0.3493,
                    0.453,
                    0.4448,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.165808,
                    0.732204,
                    0.100827,
                    0.001161,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2833,
                    0.3453,
                    0.4217,
                    0.51,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2629,
                    0.3526,
                    0.4279,
                    0.4779,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4931166441266058,
                  0.41443118526015194,
                  0.4258466702424419,
                  0.4348851180680903,
                  0.41467933186022077,
                  0.4255164182087036,
                  0.44732733032899974,
                  0.4692646682975514,
                  0.44310730247135555
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4870055947178849,
                  0.42143281565336166,
                  0.4461656033354792,
                  0.4898169267269451,
                  0.409710504473286,
                  0.4328402132818921,
                  0.481437726284207,
                  0.5046306428050635,
                  0.4618523477225761
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16122289413213173,
                  0.1796162767107568,
                  0.22239096816368725,
                  0.1353116058799752,
                  0.23813874424716158,
                  0.2227646914256581,
                  0.31314816307391247,
                  0.16716990554397335,
                  0.14607999095023141
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1614439450337624,
                  0.1816624432294703,
                  0.23775382310536425,
                  0.15106275351725754,
                  0.24150138386167241,
                  0.22891616263738787,
                  0.3354019372244457,
                  0.1752044871830586,
                  0.15555314716681815
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3318937315965003,
                  0.23481490577193453,
                  0.2034557051486384,
                  0.2995734950774924,
                  0.1765405983174495,
                  0.20275173186221712,
                  0.13417917900201498,
                  0.3020947456667358,
                  0.297027299165305
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3255616312349862,
                  0.23977036919747338,
                  0.2084117826700664,
                  0.3387541525544384,
                  0.16820913018134312,
                  0.20392405388684642,
                  0.14603580259439067,
                  0.32942613657571873,
                  0.30629918549199875
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.305490725846937,
                  15.583153595939285,
                  18.1354298661682,
                  27.123761870991476,
                  15.408953342767049,
                  18.300650358524678,
                  20.681989889518594,
                  29.737540348749377,
                  26.217605879731433
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.21024020824127,
                  14.872246430786253,
                  18.409970210564648,
                  31.11807114784039,
                  13.520669199455181,
                  16.78306002701278,
                  24.29613597010876,
                  31.10996240254287,
                  27.087652937999966
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.9530244064112,
                  15.230047553585637,
                  17.761138482112738,
                  26.69958740167456,
                  15.038344535290753,
                  17.889038175008398,
                  20.323182218127975,
                  29.33527889340202,
                  25.785131248778864
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.414703625458667,
                  14.076709848003654,
                  17.614433627782052,
                  30.32253456505779,
                  12.725132616672582,
                  15.98752344423017,
                  23.50059938732616,
                  30.31442581976026,
                  26.292116355217367
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4409082965404579,
              "rpss": 0.040319720809310566,
              "brier_below": 0.198427026680832,
              "bss_below": 0.044237002494985855,
              "brier_above": 0.24248126573425421,
              "bss_above": 0.0370901607994607,
              "crps": 22.054952875359668,
              "crpss": 0.01933437656270931,
              "crps_fair": 21.668308101599127,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0011954343234640286,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.291284,
                    0.651005,
                    0.057711,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2827,
                    0.3383,
                    0.4211,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1467,
                    0.3239,
                    0.6135,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.14315,
                    0.708507,
                    0.148343,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2863,
                    0.347,
                    0.4247,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2932,
                    0.4071,
                    0.6181,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48588194175759913,
                  0.41760728519018625,
                  0.44010530849186313,
                  0.4610133025095995,
                  0.3922201591936768,
                  0.4261372223383301,
                  0.4590327045801774,
                  0.4894682531218767,
                  0.45980674844840674
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4833705205269806,
                  0.4217325829401401,
                  0.45787504847516347,
                  0.4926249194603664,
                  0.3921209549450236,
                  0.43537634701428846,
                  0.49987785514849153,
                  0.4942486608765802,
                  0.4798942598444907
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.14710744416245622,
                  0.18092420965231426,
                  0.22616571866018995,
                  0.14458351754755194,
                  0.2018677501507023,
                  0.22576860514983216,
                  0.35128227418571334,
                  0.20691475193369724,
                  0.13860662678301883
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15085429028643993,
                  0.18069014092771118,
                  0.23635213812422837,
                  0.15606245330081414,
                  0.2033330363555721,
                  0.227991658943322,
                  0.3775149581530766,
                  0.20912215532462194,
                  0.14738561477662931
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3387744779048621,
                  0.23668307231664107,
                  0.21393958986929162,
                  0.3164297668544967,
                  0.19035241577325684,
                  0.2003686209786991,
                  0.10775044645119289,
                  0.2825534907747442,
                  0.3212001039424369
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3325162105184372,
                  0.24104243864711158,
                  0.22152291047598155,
                  0.33656244571392563,
                  0.18878792456796986,
                  0.20738469072412372,
                  0.12236291485165149,
                  0.28512649430379705,
                  0.33250862534711423
                ],
                "crps": [
                  41.55038828050438,
                  23.682422183677872,
                  27.91137472089792,
                  40.34129763218438,
                  22.493732394298604,
                  27.359598444579426,
                  32.95724032693727,
                  44.54920814730949,
                  40.07361665959778
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  39.145523273068626,
                  22.643913019787092,
                  29.008121722013154,
                  43.28444006396797,
                  20.589043753169044,
                  26.078049611235418,
                  38.88164859631245,
                  43.764166543124,
                  41.3116571073202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.03376370031368,
                  23.171179868296754,
                  27.38437911535529,
                  39.74930391584331,
                  21.96443335696134,
                  26.785361938366595,
                  32.42016935225836,
                  43.981190255857975,
                  39.475476090461186
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  37.945151810469554,
                  21.44354155718803,
                  27.807750259414085,
                  42.084068601368905,
                  19.388672290569982,
                  24.87767814863636,
                  37.681277133713394,
                  42.56379508052493,
                  40.111285644721136
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4479192139590795,
              "rpss": 0.03027292664373593,
              "brier_below": 0.2025800998028307,
              "bss_below": 0.034978734180536764,
              "brier_above": 0.24533910942951348,
              "bss_above": 0.02635253729786613,
              "crps": 33.43543097666523,
              "crpss": 0.012430598324309372,
              "crps_fair": 32.88502862152384,
              "crpss_fair": -0.007016041074383361,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.280477,
                    0.689934,
                    0.029589,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2846,
                    0.3352,
                    0.4165,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1847,
                    0.3195,
                    0.8188,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.174899,
                    0.729631,
                    0.095471,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2862,
                    0.3434,
                    0.422,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2994,
                    0.4277,
                    0.6095,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "vs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6744125902138741,
            "training": [
              0.7187994654636484,
              0.6768912416978803,
              0.6766491501781055,
              0.6688985069371022,
              0.6942216888546141,
              0.6628622217448364,
              0.6943167707747285,
              0.6800121604275035,
              0.6896901712158868,
              0.6955018823197513,
              0.6864407884613091,
              0.6547204120087844,
              0.6719143591334842,
              0.6566665806314362,
              0.6923262853256384,
              0.6725783560849101,
              0.6685585880330037,
              0.6815069072930154,
              0.6865094476343887,
              0.6498806975465824,
              0.6604665822578112,
              0.6252386105515294,
              0.7008474773498911,
              0.620403813207137
            ],
            "test": 0.7038003224408298
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4514079807187304,
                  0.43638590434875524,
                  0.4306846291545029,
                  0.4447834320078143,
                  0.4433679970538603,
                  0.48925845428493603,
                  0.4329766928573817,
                  0.4177887601219815,
                  0.4349816857027721,
                  0.4656667110013511,
                  0.4305097908001896,
                  0.45087323508439237,
                  0.43513332365432494,
                  0.478856714976223,
                  0.4004194890766529,
                  0.43404709916518613,
                  0.4744705869114757,
                  0.4392176668421877,
                  0.43662031271886514,
                  0.4837360074335642,
                  0.4375595431903455,
                  0.46077454451816147,
                  0.42480307167733977,
                  0.4943415010959053
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4869460861873936,
                  0.43311561715049013,
                  0.42665283629995887,
                  0.44012862716617557,
                  0.48683226104537497,
                  0.4699280766987921,
                  0.4475013886975289,
                  0.4299640334798916,
                  0.4535864129837444,
                  0.48849641096862856,
                  0.4596172723520629,
                  0.4322379405002914,
                  0.43419638725068654,
                  0.4724542199071603,
                  0.42914664398663566,
                  0.4373205272257517,
                  0.47042695166109,
                  0.45012910259569633,
                  0.44192877804299024,
                  0.469625424443561,
                  0.43731801020639594,
                  0.4501365530815326,
                  0.46908018947556185,
                  0.4449840852631641
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2986970241547013,
                  0.21919048499747182,
                  0.20767292851185776,
                  0.20119109755651848,
                  0.28329381310116375,
                  0.18745768087695525,
                  0.2222113145988868,
                  0.1501768428027055,
                  0.16242530639739497,
                  0.3459505152389159,
                  0.1538531544898343,
                  0.2852438092893825,
                  0.26962186471651645,
                  0.15532309809437658,
                  0.16606731220958273,
                  0.21674213193326416,
                  0.30814580723804996,
                  0.1774239626194577,
                  0.19352306799381347,
                  0.18107581517129662,
                  0.19865944534994834,
                  0.16826116419369358,
                  0.29054152338839584,
                  0.30249170108702605
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3202155820245851,
                  0.22042082449139921,
                  0.20454162041781745,
                  0.19948218298248652,
                  0.3125806880673776,
                  0.18448136588560546,
                  0.22913049092557836,
                  0.15295472997404608,
                  0.1677260825661108,
                  0.3549551412119517,
                  0.1682634298872238,
                  0.2764274862652953,
                  0.2678113388378291,
                  0.15419544029267795,
                  0.18153898139271196,
                  0.21783066808659152,
                  0.30487529872678765,
                  0.1813710861448971,
                  0.19692950527067277,
                  0.1748368638176133,
                  0.19893691471111052,
                  0.1688323879354228,
                  0.3166162717700402,
                  0.2856578644701919
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15271095612651528,
                  0.2171954196977285,
                  0.2230117003154577,
                  0.24359233539475522,
                  0.16007418387722494,
                  0.30180077563561936,
                  0.21076537755758454,
                  0.2676119184498296,
                  0.27255637987536613,
                  0.11971619377951377,
                  0.27665663612642494,
                  0.16562942420344465,
                  0.16551145708639373,
                  0.3235336189722241,
                  0.2343521762887863,
                  0.2173049667803788,
                  0.16632477878187812,
                  0.26179370490810794,
                  0.24309724541966046,
                  0.3026601942301529,
                  0.23890009798243544,
                  0.2925133815274207,
                  0.1342615486491465,
                  0.1918497999059902
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1667305041791274,
                  0.212694792636688,
                  0.22211121585973861,
                  0.24064644416128617,
                  0.17425157298003563,
                  0.28544671079078393,
                  0.21837089778824334,
                  0.27700930350187725,
                  0.2858603303944614,
                  0.13354126973425637,
                  0.29135384244241846,
                  0.1558104542125932,
                  0.16638504840470472,
                  0.3182587795919011,
                  0.24760766262868203,
                  0.2194898591401801,
                  0.1655516529506078,
                  0.2687580164671699,
                  0.24499927277333824,
                  0.294788560635156,
                  0.23838109549630468,
                  0.2813041651646206,
                  0.1524639177249777,
                  0.15932622079399056
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.35014076073889,
                  23.098631734327093,
                  16.511565305517433,
                  19.940125273224304,
                  23.083418183636216,
                  29.727330502553077,
                  17.330988331771696,
                  15.869294130887951,
                  16.560432945602155,
                  18.193898177189066,
                  19.459243942698564,
                  19.529613201351797,
                  17.007132723971903,
                  23.8287624141207,
                  16.45125667223504,
                  18.990050902373206,
                  19.77655927256125,
                  20.37340496115112,
                  18.018930600795983,
                  25.494041393491557,
                  18.078737324058697,
                  20.549594946471764,
                  17.87181527392992,
                  26.236307755188392
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.50573408767415,
                  20.83057272098966,
                  15.384713855323458,
                  18.348619796571146,
                  24.833990712013843,
                  25.690950303673365,
                  18.785353190982665,
                  17.33500505990353,
                  18.087780250289807,
                  20.142766859727907,
                  20.325407851377147,
                  15.896880844511065,
                  16.450574540440684,
                  22.381877815816505,
                  17.12509460409629,
                  18.780040871450467,
                  19.576441073305176,
                  20.057000221067682,
                  17.794707369190313,
                  23.531910254268485,
                  17.52675521093812,
                  18.71292159075082,
                  19.191330002304415,
                  19.855645712754207
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.69689033561233,
                  22.43212003565508,
                  15.797783470218638,
                  19.25076587976994,
                  22.451076281519313,
                  29.017618924611256,
                  16.62042596357434,
                  15.104687030577782,
                  15.827402962774734,
                  17.560450250971915,
                  18.837399571656917,
                  18.81688523198613,
                  16.32831899983859,
                  23.116805285943364,
                  15.707031228114653,
                  18.27223564093437,
                  19.06211875215142,
                  19.599719664936504,
                  17.249975182555236,
                  24.851974844187797,
                  17.3264776884582,
                  19.9019126635288,
                  17.155692346950875,
                  25.506789092372347
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  30.697545948289488,
                  20.00216647295597,
                  14.545993480650242,
                  17.515512880119996,
                  24.013166695023745,
                  24.871749316212938,
                  17.953073421111842,
                  16.499978418572333,
                  17.25417931954646,
                  19.313057949078193,
                  19.496044851696468,
                  15.059130483074949,
                  15.613872841307472,
                  21.556409645613932,
                  16.289670405083633,
                  17.947751040368416,
                  18.74565957593875,
                  19.227128873602325,
                  16.96055137617215,
                  22.708620175805393,
                  16.692091732771754,
                  17.880504639818948,
                  18.359819127909574,
                  19.025393012053403
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4470277139332041,
              "rpss": 0.01225296616687599,
              "brier_below": 0.22271836941713374,
              "bss_below": 0.01752953083767317,
              "brier_above": 0.22430934464883498,
              "bss_above": 0.006957449506119651,
              "crps": 20.347136530410324,
              "crpss": -0.02128862859101255,
              "crps_fair": 19.64552322203752,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02894509856699834,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.180596,
                    0.684219,
                    0.128381,
                    0.006805,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2759,
                    0.3456,
                    0.4317,
                    0.5129,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2746,
                    0.34,
                    0.4797,
                    0.5028,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    6.6e-05,
                    0.165828,
                    0.697064,
                    0.131705,
                    0.005337,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1886,
                    0.2786,
                    0.3473,
                    0.4284,
                    0.5202,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.2791,
                    0.3522,
                    0.3889,
                    0.3023,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.45358717959658407,
                  0.4545088787664522,
                  0.42956580814512635,
                  0.4423700959457523,
                  0.44915143744662167,
                  0.5110672523632965,
                  0.4372132966721284,
                  0.41517286724674557,
                  0.4387500772429814,
                  0.4564047821138913,
                  0.42000814888618415,
                  0.45865487767635366,
                  0.43922188302945897,
                  0.45786182760008715,
                  0.41288015816850476,
                  0.4340019807215969,
                  0.45981110958929367,
                  0.4514483070064504,
                  0.43621331302735517,
                  0.4635682037355014,
                  0.4312746310663669,
                  0.4193936721725056,
                  0.43693011075721255,
                  0.5359228363941971
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48743050991631937,
                  0.4500701624584457,
                  0.4265242004143022,
                  0.4390098244777031,
                  0.49139482584164884,
                  0.494693701774444,
                  0.4545856811469357,
                  0.43593834610889776,
                  0.4580519634274834,
                  0.47701006345194874,
                  0.4352766490847659,
                  0.4325868375773595,
                  0.4393322155734538,
                  0.45819407461226264,
                  0.4258449859445512,
                  0.4429956010693269,
                  0.46917288320447564,
                  0.4504464390301668,
                  0.43726520584675527,
                  0.45476639467496144,
                  0.4364531411048688,
                  0.42034369581379755,
                  0.4673311154491269,
                  0.4820108972087676
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.28966975496512987,
                  0.21809467998144055,
                  0.18810824227349449,
                  0.17493583999575044,
                  0.2908330163270605,
                  0.18511920979611585,
                  0.19810720397016954,
                  0.15229744201266673,
                  0.18135353699613455,
                  0.3321187711003987,
                  0.1785895819114532,
                  0.2810331219765754,
                  0.284334646328737,
                  0.14796010487346767,
                  0.18780339318853134,
                  0.21316922752087458,
                  0.2871504978044258,
                  0.20280433299873443,
                  0.18058841386804012,
                  0.1720676804065197,
                  0.20725815397796132,
                  0.1666508412787597,
                  0.3032386510901053,
                  0.35560220909736795
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3104072285253455,
                  0.21673480811611381,
                  0.18558730667959258,
                  0.17603508945959234,
                  0.32028208459781965,
                  0.17926314118722866,
                  0.20608332860378822,
                  0.16099647389177257,
                  0.18759330134707142,
                  0.33954533961604677,
                  0.1874236505788654,
                  0.26795152854435594,
                  0.28077112311215474,
                  0.14729671030580527,
                  0.19608173063938172,
                  0.21470894001819776,
                  0.2912022736927969,
                  0.20165084148960713,
                  0.18095977006653313,
                  0.1684004312888114,
                  0.20718324254548248,
                  0.16958622943392032,
                  0.3193885527201346,
                  0.32447550978521345
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.163917424440515,
                  0.23641419955250523,
                  0.24145756612822156,
                  0.26743425748651906,
                  0.1583184206967693,
                  0.3259480447658505,
                  0.23910609266896418,
                  0.2628754260930702,
                  0.2573965403545495,
                  0.12428600901456685,
                  0.2414185667401133,
                  0.17762175438386543,
                  0.15488723431595083,
                  0.30990172474309574,
                  0.2250767646894918,
                  0.22083275248943182,
                  0.1726606111832349,
                  0.2486439749695971,
                  0.2556249000220244,
                  0.2915005250794185,
                  0.22401647722122553,
                  0.25274283167188477,
                  0.13369145953131706,
                  0.18032062651732836
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17702328139097373,
                  0.23333535434233188,
                  0.24093689373470956,
                  0.2629747350181107,
                  0.1711127412438291,
                  0.3154305605872152,
                  0.24850235254314745,
                  0.274941872217125,
                  0.2704586620804119,
                  0.13746472383590178,
                  0.24785299850590042,
                  0.1646353090330035,
                  0.15856109246129885,
                  0.31089736430645726,
                  0.22976325530516944,
                  0.2282866610511291,
                  0.17797060951167862,
                  0.24879559754055963,
                  0.256305435780222,
                  0.28636596338614995,
                  0.2292698985593863,
                  0.2507574663798771,
                  0.14794256272899212,
                  0.15753538742355408
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.15493364353159,
                  36.35059663807583,
                  25.049287269740375,
                  30.79053788043754,
                  35.20843338665191,
                  44.00943089098639,
                  27.621170762648788,
                  23.855460778249622,
                  24.711895053155107,
                  27.756295377726598,
                  25.488919651721584,
                  31.048158505429775,
                  26.24373770726414,
                  31.563504133654714,
                  25.05469578443831,
                  28.641364638272197,
                  29.76430671627656,
                  31.97763260157569,
                  27.360975953745655,
                  37.38224288734413,
                  26.005422535802147,
                  24.3432562948089,
                  29.53201907330611,
                  41.11571600488933
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  49.57656865028093,
                  32.96040380943106,
                  23.338961685869542,
                  28.247352936237633,
                  38.77143887837504,
                  40.075400748993,
                  30.044498290231484,
                  26.420742022616203,
                  27.19914339939457,
                  30.474463908758302,
                  25.997698532993468,
                  24.664015955947068,
                  25.497247064245567,
                  30.559056130702682,
                  25.223022089283898,
                  28.82789187164294,
                  30.59933260802571,
                  31.14965624843492,
                  26.757510478633222,
                  34.73556146951894,
                  25.69189133881856,
                  22.368377050704193,
                  29.705255183554968,
                  32.58994873293396
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.170889461110164,
                  35.36956547672863,
                  23.955600500788115,
                  29.72357449405428,
                  34.192306609762134,
                  42.96741974114308,
                  26.540988952642454,
                  22.70467736917669,
                  23.60074541677156,
                  26.805256595023966,
                  24.537722188690203,
                  29.975140833938983,
                  25.21876051390081,
                  30.485386343759405,
                  23.946339848335583,
                  27.561676420316566,
                  28.707974079434667,
                  30.831247783463795,
                  26.228127091579545,
                  36.40765829553472,
                  24.8609912463395,
                  23.326694840065237,
                  28.39101281922885,
                  40.03691627197864
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  48.36096752564688,
                  31.71333267562872,
                  22.07366812380289,
                  26.991355569720923,
                  37.53537349280934,
                  38.84180498818226,
                  28.79190460809734,
                  25.161285165732785,
                  25.941160787542934,
                  29.222684555447124,
                  24.7374404573797,
                  23.40123196636163,
                  24.23604116388039,
                  29.30743698993307,
                  23.961296823435838,
                  27.57299401068571,
                  29.347789748463143,
                  29.899155668494338,
                  25.498691440795294,
                  33.49185237673951,
                  24.4310540829128,
                  21.101245260161853,
                  28.452018995536967,
                  31.34217597966858
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.447707613973777,
              "rpss": 0.011203617499823126,
              "brier_below": 0.22412035640582975,
              "bss_below": 0.011162582929426734,
              "brier_above": 0.22358725769831297,
              "bss_above": 0.011244745914653742,
              "crps": 30.542916423738873,
              "crpss": -0.016015174541144317,
              "crps_fair": 29.48111138307365,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02333292587754099,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.177406,
                    0.709619,
                    0.106533,
                    0.006442,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.278,
                    0.3442,
                    0.4291,
                    0.5131,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3199,
                    0.331,
                    0.4985,
                    0.3828,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.161914,
                    0.723861,
                    0.113014,
                    0.00121,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.279,
                    0.3468,
                    0.4253,
                    0.5248,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.276,
                    0.35,
                    0.4144,
                    0.4996,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.49204517762404787,
                  0.4128016717416981,
                  0.42293746031016455,
                  0.4255492039248488,
                  0.41975139418665575,
                  0.4284524108714364,
                  0.44544411314911075,
                  0.4615517980832446,
                  0.44159980959508577
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4870055947178849,
                  0.42143281565336166,
                  0.4461656033354792,
                  0.4898169267269451,
                  0.409710504473286,
                  0.4328402132818921,
                  0.481437726284207,
                  0.5046306428050635,
                  0.4618523477225761
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16316762696016174,
                  0.17962729109755823,
                  0.22074187514490076,
                  0.1353468102164038,
                  0.24150859157522367,
                  0.22477612651046736,
                  0.3114956642204179,
                  0.1656269785889027,
                  0.1478123626257369
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1614439450337624,
                  0.1816624432294703,
                  0.23775382310536425,
                  0.15106275351725754,
                  0.24150138386167241,
                  0.22891616263738787,
                  0.3354019372244457,
                  0.1752044871830586,
                  0.15555314716681815
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.32887753255098157,
                  0.23317437797697996,
                  0.20219558820791086,
                  0.2902023771948867,
                  0.17824281313857093,
                  0.20367628973049162,
                  0.13394846042489114,
                  0.295924803060715,
                  0.2937874351052131
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3255616312349862,
                  0.23977036919747338,
                  0.2084117826700664,
                  0.3387541525544384,
                  0.16820913018134312,
                  0.20392405388684642,
                  0.14603580259439067,
                  0.32942613657571873,
                  0.30629918549199875
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.101110805742596,
                  14.553773397022596,
                  17.14285078437565,
                  25.474865900740927,
                  14.861374887174163,
                  17.391344322928287,
                  20.291979705770288,
                  29.65134137648225,
                  25.071569284979567
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.21024020824127,
                  14.872246430786253,
                  18.409970210564648,
                  31.11807114784039,
                  13.520669199455181,
                  16.78306002701278,
                  24.29613597010876,
                  31.10996240254287,
                  27.087652937999966
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.770422315858916,
                  14.223751152652065,
                  16.80068569544221,
                  25.089674775404667,
                  14.513629412591559,
                  17.012905382167965,
                  19.95031367829493,
                  29.28566213480121,
                  24.679431721815792
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.414703625458667,
                  14.076709848003654,
                  17.614433627782052,
                  30.32253456505779,
                  12.725132616672582,
                  15.98752344423017,
                  23.50059938732616,
                  30.31442581976026,
                  26.292116355217367
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4389036710540325,
              "rpss": 0.04468298537380255,
              "brier_below": 0.1989003696599748,
              "bss_below": 0.04195705246922077,
              "brier_above": 0.24000329748784896,
              "bss_above": 0.04693034370375604,
              "crps": 21.171134496135146,
              "crpss": 0.058633045971152375,
              "crps_fair": 20.814052918781034,
              "crpss_fair": 0.04057248087693199,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.347062,
                    0.6031,
                    0.049838,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2781,
                    0.3406,
                    0.4195,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1764,
                    0.3309,
                    0.5656,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.131508,
                    0.695638,
                    0.172766,
                    8.8e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2852,
                    0.3465,
                    0.4287,
                    0.5026,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2354,
                    0.4149,
                    0.5932,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4856095124078658,
                  0.41704926681823806,
                  0.43751220670639124,
                  0.4553053168404161,
                  0.3949683824041923,
                  0.42697759192273316,
                  0.4553517276542516,
                  0.48721841227578216,
                  0.4582359728267026
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4833705205269806,
                  0.4217325829401401,
                  0.45787504847516347,
                  0.4926249194603664,
                  0.3921209549450236,
                  0.43537634701428846,
                  0.49987785514849153,
                  0.4942486608765802,
                  0.4798942598444907
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15118424971372363,
                  0.18150901069765313,
                  0.22452475495402757,
                  0.14834646046451833,
                  0.2031348718267881,
                  0.22630918387263724,
                  0.3476372078181043,
                  0.2095804081413833,
                  0.1417803431607403
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15085429028643993,
                  0.18069014092771118,
                  0.23635213812422837,
                  0.15606245330081414,
                  0.2033330363555721,
                  0.227991658943322,
                  0.3775149581530766,
                  0.20912215532462194,
                  0.14738561477662931
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3344252434830537,
                  0.23554025324060487,
                  0.21298745192507748,
                  0.3069588387406354,
                  0.19183351720664704,
                  0.20066841210159025,
                  0.10771453584184541,
                  0.2776379941891447,
                  0.3164556122841625
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3325162105184372,
                  0.24104243864711158,
                  0.22152291047598155,
                  0.33656244571392563,
                  0.18878792456796986,
                  0.20738469072412372,
                  0.12236291485165149,
                  0.28512649430379705,
                  0.33250862534711423
                ],
                "crps": [
                  39.84683967364781,
                  22.5822523738454,
                  26.578079858655336,
                  37.96772592219588,
                  21.92436363955654,
                  26.53139605815327,
                  32.62485337360668,
                  43.90765895584852,
                  38.72943661818577
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  39.145523273068626,
                  22.643913019787092,
                  29.008121722013154,
                  43.28444006396797,
                  20.589043753169044,
                  26.078049611235418,
                  38.88164859631245,
                  43.764166543124,
                  41.3116571073202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.34091960254881,
                  22.083717188719284,
                  26.075581788063786,
                  37.4026302810689,
                  21.40212700216686,
                  25.974254622773156,
                  32.09280509591658,
                  43.36497327433306,
                  38.156887547632
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  37.945151810469554,
                  21.44354155718803,
                  27.807750259414085,
                  42.084068601368905,
                  19.388672290569982,
                  24.87767814863636,
                  37.681277133713394,
                  42.56379508052493,
                  40.111285644721136
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4464698210951748,
              "rpss": 0.0334108038685923,
              "brier_below": 0.20377849896106398,
              "bss_below": 0.029269976638404804,
              "brier_above": 0.2426913176680846,
              "bss_above": 0.036860506191506826,
              "crps": 32.29917849707724,
              "crpss": 0.04599164864252925,
              "crps_fair": 31.765988489246936,
              "crpss_fair": 0.02725156978216514,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.297029,
                    0.663846,
                    0.039125,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2797,
                    0.3399,
                    0.4166,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2146,
                    0.3136,
                    0.6269,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.139524,
                    0.757481,
                    0.102994,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2854,
                    0.3439,
                    0.4244,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2224,
                    0.4323,
                    0.6222,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sqrt_mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6718140548015388,
            "training": [
              0.7168472884215551,
              0.6737817459988722,
              0.6729230888551646,
              0.6678624734504606,
              0.6923700290440871,
              0.6640643552853072,
              0.6926369224764998,
              0.6771076337862824,
              0.6853597895299963,
              0.6941281057656241,
              0.6847075092398344,
              0.6489514122114821,
              0.6698007401372549,
              0.6565601520772545,
              0.6902692684775548,
              0.6674463570923128,
              0.6664615827881645,
              0.6800952027192368,
              0.6843195908875592,
              0.6474834632594363,
              0.6564187565844578,
              0.6215200641266657,
              0.6970027919302126,
              0.6154189910916535
            ],
            "test": 0.7018161977409036
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4531675373892812,
                  0.43737418815831347,
                  0.4303972832154223,
                  0.4444058661502618,
                  0.4425714069765824,
                  0.49004675324267494,
                  0.43271916132258265,
                  0.4166959501300532,
                  0.4337179831469736,
                  0.4663683358937701,
                  0.4277547152593387,
                  0.4527247311861448,
                  0.43619409865607783,
                  0.4767660134495264,
                  0.39986018416479835,
                  0.4347610433013878,
                  0.4762069375533577,
                  0.4386642380806432,
                  0.43694480018153836,
                  0.4815777680102766,
                  0.43786979059084497,
                  0.4585472523347954,
                  0.4246323261721539,
                  0.49760279673668395
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4869460861873936,
                  0.43311561715049013,
                  0.42665283629995887,
                  0.44012862716617557,
                  0.48683226104537497,
                  0.4699280766987921,
                  0.4475013886975289,
                  0.4299640334798916,
                  0.4535864129837444,
                  0.48849641096862856,
                  0.4596172723520629,
                  0.4322379405002914,
                  0.43419638725068654,
                  0.4724542199071603,
                  0.42914664398663566,
                  0.4373205272257517,
                  0.47042695166109,
                  0.45012910259569633,
                  0.44192877804299024,
                  0.469625424443561,
                  0.43731801020639594,
                  0.4501365530815326,
                  0.46908018947556185,
                  0.4449840852631641
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2997274886319977,
                  0.21963860138458102,
                  0.2068652464190163,
                  0.2002380332522076,
                  0.2820459058602551,
                  0.18738537795730495,
                  0.22159371950883072,
                  0.15020497410880834,
                  0.16225847143090535,
                  0.34536857657686654,
                  0.15364325310981758,
                  0.2852313611644921,
                  0.2706107950087879,
                  0.15425579727921546,
                  0.1658700858375101,
                  0.21702201492705847,
                  0.30816518998051035,
                  0.17752767126202704,
                  0.1933028335269255,
                  0.1806108197312855,
                  0.199085884469642,
                  0.16865864842320974,
                  0.2902002732541312,
                  0.30355172280100295
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3202155820245851,
                  0.22042082449139921,
                  0.20454162041781745,
                  0.19948218298248652,
                  0.3125806880673776,
                  0.18448136588560546,
                  0.22913049092557836,
                  0.15295472997404608,
                  0.1677260825661108,
                  0.3549551412119517,
                  0.1682634298872238,
                  0.2764274862652953,
                  0.2678113388378291,
                  0.15419544029267795,
                  0.18153898139271196,
                  0.21783066808659152,
                  0.30487529872678765,
                  0.1813710861448971,
                  0.19692950527067277,
                  0.1748368638176133,
                  0.19893691471111052,
                  0.1688323879354228,
                  0.3166162717700402,
                  0.2856578644701919
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15344004823725446,
                  0.21773558692018288,
                  0.22353203662003285,
                  0.24416783377292842,
                  0.1605255011983423,
                  0.3026613777194724,
                  0.21112544110713805,
                  0.2664909771533144,
                  0.27145951240204436,
                  0.12099975727219177,
                  0.2741114617799982,
                  0.16749336823463498,
                  0.16558330166792426,
                  0.3225102185034577,
                  0.23399009783715144,
                  0.2177390279331466,
                  0.16804174676772649,
                  0.26113656747859215,
                  0.24364196739063587,
                  0.300966950407076,
                  0.23878390653298392,
                  0.289888605234787,
                  0.1344320534211172,
                  0.1940510739241749
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1667305041791274,
                  0.212694792636688,
                  0.22211121585973861,
                  0.24064644416128617,
                  0.17425157298003563,
                  0.28544671079078393,
                  0.21837089778824334,
                  0.27700930350187725,
                  0.2858603303944614,
                  0.13354126973425637,
                  0.29135384244241846,
                  0.1558104542125932,
                  0.16638504840470472,
                  0.3182587795919011,
                  0.24760766262868203,
                  0.2194898591401801,
                  0.1655516529506078,
                  0.2687580164671699,
                  0.24499927277333824,
                  0.294788560635156,
                  0.23838109549630468,
                  0.2813041651646206,
                  0.1524639177249777,
                  0.15932622079399056
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.374832717080615,
                  23.17389795028693,
                  16.572773105730075,
                  19.95755788346742,
                  22.9902243414276,
                  29.88003420680875,
                  17.401040552884602,
                  15.838419471269756,
                  16.492924182110542,
                  18.22796133798561,
                  19.366257956269894,
                  19.578085624850996,
                  17.12303599286301,
                  23.776721255012564,
                  16.509721088441026,
                  19.01633751170646,
                  19.889259283947197,
                  20.533693851384637,
                  18.04810900855946,
                  25.474026741243254,
                  18.098993500027948,
                  20.454419146666,
                  17.879265103334568,
                  26.46548697232666
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.50573408767415,
                  20.83057272098966,
                  15.384713855323458,
                  18.348619796571146,
                  24.833990712013843,
                  25.690950303673365,
                  18.785353190982665,
                  17.33500505990353,
                  18.087780250289807,
                  20.142766859727907,
                  20.325407851377147,
                  15.896880844511065,
                  16.450574540440684,
                  22.381877815816505,
                  17.12509460409629,
                  18.780040871450467,
                  19.576441073305176,
                  20.057000221067682,
                  17.794707369190313,
                  23.531910254268485,
                  17.52675521093812,
                  18.71292159075082,
                  19.191330002304415,
                  19.855645712754207
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.71680070907587,
                  22.503103216477566,
                  15.847399866947187,
                  19.256618444437507,
                  22.342574981167555,
                  29.1651983684623,
                  16.68402010201395,
                  15.066864054141762,
                  15.748974920834042,
                  17.584255116818788,
                  18.738266450337726,
                  18.856310890101255,
                  16.43272886329099,
                  23.05482847945155,
                  15.7617963405968,
                  18.29239187147524,
                  19.166312094775733,
                  19.755323745144494,
                  17.273234265974832,
                  24.822448953359192,
                  17.337980695692252,
                  19.797705498786325,
                  17.145930838437547,
                  25.735483823314443
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  30.697545948289488,
                  20.00216647295597,
                  14.545993480650242,
                  17.515512880119996,
                  24.013166695023745,
                  24.871749316212938,
                  17.953073421111842,
                  16.499978418572333,
                  17.25417931954646,
                  19.313057949078193,
                  19.496044851696468,
                  15.059130483074949,
                  15.613872841307472,
                  21.556409645613932,
                  16.289670405083633,
                  17.947751040368416,
                  18.74565957593875,
                  19.227128873602325,
                  16.96055137617215,
                  22.708620175805393,
                  16.692091732771754,
                  17.880504639818948,
                  18.359819127909574,
                  19.025393012053403
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4469821317209785,
              "rpss": 0.012353684072093252,
              "brier_below": 0.22262761441276624,
              "bss_below": 0.0179298755059335,
              "brier_above": 0.22435451747984617,
              "bss_above": 0.006757464332115437,
              "crps": 20.380128282736898,
              "crpss": -0.022944591406127257,
              "crps_fair": 19.67027302462979,
              "crpss_fair": -0.030241383108773556,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.183031,
                    0.680722,
                    0.130002,
                    0.006244,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2756,
                    0.3455,
                    0.432,
                    0.5133,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2718,
                    0.3409,
                    0.4801,
                    0.4845,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    6.6e-05,
                    0.15657,
                    0.689544,
                    0.14674,
                    0.00708,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1883,
                    0.279,
                    0.3479,
                    0.4284,
                    0.5217,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.2766,
                    0.3495,
                    0.3955,
                    0.3163,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.45475744082872066,
                  0.45399713216552745,
                  0.4295428566355154,
                  0.44244144732221125,
                  0.44835018331956267,
                  0.5117708017974472,
                  0.43647260653511033,
                  0.41495762904489714,
                  0.43822642810691936,
                  0.45624388099950686,
                  0.4193206055556138,
                  0.45972805130172634,
                  0.4399769442347592,
                  0.456978648310397,
                  0.41250180662692604,
                  0.43437141964476805,
                  0.46108584594583646,
                  0.45240867496886844,
                  0.4362916291809092,
                  0.46302179496660145,
                  0.43154968424114404,
                  0.4178781851508222,
                  0.4365752653863313,
                  0.5383784771933091
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48743050991631937,
                  0.4500701624584457,
                  0.4265242004143022,
                  0.4390098244777031,
                  0.49139482584164884,
                  0.494693701774444,
                  0.4545856811469357,
                  0.43593834610889776,
                  0.4580519634274834,
                  0.47701006345194874,
                  0.4352766490847659,
                  0.4325868375773595,
                  0.4393322155734538,
                  0.45819407461226264,
                  0.4258449859445512,
                  0.4429956010693269,
                  0.46917288320447564,
                  0.4504464390301668,
                  0.43726520584675527,
                  0.45476639467496144,
                  0.4364531411048688,
                  0.42034369581379755,
                  0.4673311154491269,
                  0.4820108972087676
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2905764054088996,
                  0.2184234188800733,
                  0.1883429665563395,
                  0.17483760570669366,
                  0.29016433614348075,
                  0.18529865070187104,
                  0.19808688917139705,
                  0.15237769298241408,
                  0.18094967990824481,
                  0.3317444687141995,
                  0.17865776424997273,
                  0.2812359602033139,
                  0.28481371795862737,
                  0.14759591080993634,
                  0.187392646846922,
                  0.2131354198673682,
                  0.2876908070232907,
                  0.20334293373976298,
                  0.18079018197435678,
                  0.171708067631095,
                  0.20728955674474736,
                  0.16582877266179977,
                  0.3029371468671158,
                  0.35707248380050616
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3104072285253455,
                  0.21673480811611381,
                  0.18558730667959258,
                  0.17603508945959234,
                  0.32028208459781965,
                  0.17926314118722866,
                  0.20608332860378822,
                  0.16099647389177257,
                  0.18759330134707142,
                  0.33954533961604677,
                  0.1874236505788654,
                  0.26795152854435594,
                  0.28077112311215474,
                  0.14729671030580527,
                  0.19608173063938172,
                  0.21470894001819776,
                  0.2912022736927969,
                  0.20165084148960713,
                  0.18095977006653313,
                  0.1684004312888114,
                  0.20718324254548248,
                  0.16958622943392032,
                  0.3193885527201346,
                  0.32447550978521345
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16418103510648624,
                  0.2355737138885695,
                  0.24119989048006713,
                  0.2676038431344068,
                  0.15818584690657878,
                  0.3264721533094705,
                  0.2383857173327718,
                  0.26257993689843984,
                  0.2572767483701559,
                  0.12449941032034409,
                  0.24066284094265672,
                  0.17849208967901256,
                  0.15516322374892003,
                  0.30938273966256175,
                  0.22510915957612024,
                  0.22123599900315344,
                  0.1733950386154599,
                  0.2490657423903995,
                  0.255501448077139,
                  0.2913137291398841,
                  0.22426012767771075,
                  0.2520494132260297,
                  0.1336381184665356,
                  0.18130599263505587
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17702328139097373,
                  0.23333535434233188,
                  0.24093689373470956,
                  0.2629747350181107,
                  0.1711127412438291,
                  0.3154305605872152,
                  0.24850235254314745,
                  0.274941872217125,
                  0.2704586620804119,
                  0.13746472383590178,
                  0.24785299850590042,
                  0.1646353090330035,
                  0.15856109246129885,
                  0.31089736430645726,
                  0.22976325530516944,
                  0.2282866610511291,
                  0.17797060951167862,
                  0.24879559754055963,
                  0.256305435780222,
                  0.28636596338614995,
                  0.2292698985593863,
                  0.2507574663798771,
                  0.14794256272899212,
                  0.15753538742355408
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.226137585654975,
                  36.37986667041489,
                  25.06892183682102,
                  30.80788949647167,
                  35.05202687485933,
                  44.10313237256311,
                  27.63541165439449,
                  23.787492360005157,
                  24.758349086901003,
                  27.7375513090797,
                  25.398327014733436,
                  31.02436602225309,
                  26.328877924339874,
                  31.467125971545972,
                  25.042819225694352,
                  28.661333678246507,
                  29.83733932517473,
                  32.0971027267623,
                  27.397367040590648,
                  37.348232078674776,
                  25.993667569267657,
                  24.205409580922293,
                  29.4542232626693,
                  41.321153772468094
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  49.57656865028093,
                  32.96040380943106,
                  23.338961685869542,
                  28.247352936237633,
                  38.77143887837504,
                  40.075400748993,
                  30.044498290231484,
                  26.420742022616203,
                  27.19914339939457,
                  30.474463908758302,
                  25.997698532993468,
                  24.664015955947068,
                  25.497247064245567,
                  30.559056130702682,
                  25.223022089283898,
                  28.82789187164294,
                  30.59933260802571,
                  31.14965624843492,
                  26.757510478633222,
                  34.73556146951894,
                  25.69189133881856,
                  22.368377050704193,
                  29.705255183554968,
                  32.58994873293396
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.24541874274354,
                  35.39928454566031,
                  23.96773013155137,
                  29.732546950567738,
                  34.023633353231276,
                  43.06382271896637,
                  26.554120820900618,
                  22.635282729860606,
                  23.64478956923652,
                  26.78060784673376,
                  24.445583440337646,
                  29.947343426225085,
                  25.296641253102674,
                  30.38437105759169,
                  23.936505002175952,
                  27.583646109821878,
                  28.777098245049128,
                  30.95242259632669,
                  26.262317435174317,
                  36.36821963300846,
                  24.84473291789325,
                  23.18479309306612,
                  28.29577441953557,
                  40.24931885739476
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  48.36096752564688,
                  31.71333267562872,
                  22.07366812380289,
                  26.991355569720923,
                  37.53537349280934,
                  38.84180498818226,
                  28.79190460809734,
                  25.161285165732785,
                  25.941160787542934,
                  29.222684555447124,
                  24.7374404573797,
                  23.40123196636163,
                  24.23604116388039,
                  29.30743698993307,
                  23.961296823435838,
                  27.57299401068571,
                  29.347789748463143,
                  29.899155668494338,
                  25.498691440795294,
                  33.49185237673951,
                  24.4310540829128,
                  21.101245260161853,
                  28.452018995536967,
                  31.34217597966858
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4477844766443096,
              "rpss": 0.011033860434721321,
              "brier_below": 0.2241788951896845,
              "bss_below": 0.010904305007895299,
              "brier_above": 0.22360558160783042,
              "bss_above": 0.01116371329232424,
              "crps": 30.547255185021186,
              "crpss": -0.01615950415395484,
              "crps_fair": 29.48233353733981,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02337534865749702,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.184625,
                    0.702794,
                    0.106189,
                    0.006392,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2774,
                    0.3444,
                    0.4294,
                    0.5135,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3166,
                    0.3321,
                    0.4973,
                    0.3937,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.161367,
                    0.717219,
                    0.120052,
                    0.001362,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2792,
                    0.3469,
                    0.4249,
                    0.5266,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2716,
                    0.3489,
                    0.4225,
                    0.4813,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.49284232597944905,
                  0.41263381678614713,
                  0.42409125723967994,
                  0.4246515796006469,
                  0.42172430956139295,
                  0.4290781979868091,
                  0.446026063176607,
                  0.45928595424109236,
                  0.4421502805037401
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4870055947178849,
                  0.42143281565336166,
                  0.4461656033354792,
                  0.4898169267269451,
                  0.409710504473286,
                  0.4328402132818921,
                  0.481437726284207,
                  0.5046306428050635,
                  0.4618523477225761
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16411394537324087,
                  0.179184445727339,
                  0.22091384052954544,
                  0.13580208997879062,
                  0.24244949201198335,
                  0.22488604413609042,
                  0.3117574456018647,
                  0.1658003684816588,
                  0.14807088927319098
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1614439450337624,
                  0.1816624432294703,
                  0.23775382310536425,
                  0.15106275351725754,
                  0.24150138386167241,
                  0.22891616263738787,
                  0.3354019372244457,
                  0.1752044871830586,
                  0.15555314716681815
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3287283627120189,
                  0.23344936853408416,
                  0.2031774198835257,
                  0.2888494733326023,
                  0.17927482820930724,
                  0.20419215937270757,
                  0.13426862920458302,
                  0.29348556953869676,
                  0.29407937935554296
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3255616312349862,
                  0.23977036919747338,
                  0.2084117826700664,
                  0.3387541525544384,
                  0.16820913018134312,
                  0.20392405388684642,
                  0.14603580259439067,
                  0.32942613657571873,
                  0.30629918549199875
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.124977358891186,
                  14.600860184777158,
                  17.161881000297402,
                  25.613440960401263,
                  14.955600955150066,
                  17.46011971021472,
                  20.32020373000122,
                  29.423140582378327,
                  25.08505719460805
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.21024020824127,
                  14.872246430786253,
                  18.409970210564648,
                  31.11807114784039,
                  13.520669199455181,
                  16.78306002701278,
                  24.29613597010876,
                  31.10996240254287,
                  27.087652937999966
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.790363057014346,
                  14.268151770038223,
                  16.818293203796696,
                  25.229802843763242,
                  14.606177693567957,
                  17.083381425544633,
                  19.97155975068535,
                  29.05573577245122,
                  24.696833497794234
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.414703625458667,
                  14.076709848003654,
                  17.614433627782052,
                  30.32253456505779,
                  12.725132616672582,
                  15.98752344423017,
                  23.50059938732616,
                  30.31442581976026,
                  26.292116355217367
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4391648650083961,
              "rpss": 0.04411447103870525,
              "brier_below": 0.1992198401237449,
              "bss_below": 0.04041825983005887,
              "brier_above": 0.23994502112700763,
              "bss_above": 0.04716176315414944,
              "crps": 21.193920186302154,
              "crpss": 0.05761988837433685,
              "crps_fair": 20.835588779406212,
              "crpss_fair": 0.03957978150154262,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.349556,
                    0.598674,
                    0.051769,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2774,
                    0.3409,
                    0.4183,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1802,
                    0.33,
                    0.5496,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.121121,
                    0.684216,
                    0.194575,
                    8.8e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.285,
                    0.3465,
                    0.4302,
                    0.5037,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2339,
                    0.4136,
                    0.5689,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48555301040091353,
                  0.4164662674220627,
                  0.4373873492458306,
                  0.4553854673136676,
                  0.39474103528740734,
                  0.42664134048422947,
                  0.4555766502790787,
                  0.4869379587402339,
                  0.45828966032265034
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4833705205269806,
                  0.4217325829401401,
                  0.45787504847516347,
                  0.4926249194603664,
                  0.3921209549450236,
                  0.43537634701428846,
                  0.49987785514849153,
                  0.4942486608765802,
                  0.4798942598444907
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15130405257465493,
                  0.18125720807766232,
                  0.22425625871993532,
                  0.14863827979062474,
                  0.2033633743986646,
                  0.22648579209143718,
                  0.3478308426954547,
                  0.20994936310519988,
                  0.14209145398319623
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15085429028643993,
                  0.18069014092771118,
                  0.23635213812422837,
                  0.15606245330081414,
                  0.2033330363555721,
                  0.227991658943322,
                  0.3775149581530766,
                  0.20912215532462194,
                  0.14738561477662931
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3342489387358743,
                  0.23520905638180778,
                  0.21313109070981684,
                  0.30674716992193385,
                  0.19137766760743655,
                  0.20015555238898833,
                  0.1077458235649206,
                  0.2769885856675908,
                  0.316198188871978
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3325162105184372,
                  0.24104243864711158,
                  0.22152291047598155,
                  0.33656244571392563,
                  0.18878792456796986,
                  0.20738469072412372,
                  0.12236291485165149,
                  0.28512649430379705,
                  0.33250862534711423
                ],
                "crps": [
                  39.8424643534311,
                  22.56838078025986,
                  26.56095212871718,
                  38.191032287079636,
                  21.940112435055486,
                  26.532424674101392,
                  32.59309035804038,
                  43.84659617814067,
                  38.735352757375175
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  39.145523273068626,
                  22.643913019787092,
                  29.008121722013154,
                  43.28444006396797,
                  20.589043753169044,
                  26.078049611235418,
                  38.88164859631245,
                  43.764166543124,
                  41.3116571073202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.33456068439361,
                  22.06986405266202,
                  26.059471103152507,
                  37.63117968662985,
                  21.419894564694918,
                  25.98103818116631,
                  32.05613046295685,
                  43.30660745272107,
                  38.17175515778606
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  37.945151810469554,
                  21.44354155718803,
                  27.807750259414085,
                  42.084068601368905,
                  19.388672290569982,
                  24.87767814863636,
                  37.681277133713394,
                  42.56379508052493,
                  40.111285644721136
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4463309710551193,
              "rpss": 0.033711408617802086,
              "brier_below": 0.20390851393742557,
              "bss_below": 0.02865063042825855,
              "brier_above": 0.24242245265003856,
              "bss_above": 0.03792751806433303,
              "crps": 32.31226732802232,
              "crpss": 0.045605048901850354,
              "crps_fair": 31.781166816240347,
              "crpss_fair": 0.026786774116789536,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.303421,
                    0.656114,
                    0.040465,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2789,
                    0.3403,
                    0.4162,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2162,
                    0.3136,
                    0.6194,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.137684,
                    0.753438,
                    0.108879,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2853,
                    0.3439,
                    0.4257,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2215,
                    0.4316,
                    0.6144,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "pt": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.680703889012865,
            "training": [
              0.7246634861505697,
              0.6843871596347039,
              0.6815577066979358,
              0.6749616427664644,
              0.7032629337965773,
              0.6723882461682097,
              0.7018424890783406,
              0.6865238089925024,
              0.6945237581924074,
              0.7036190169463171,
              0.6947262654765222,
              0.6573525487765891,
              0.6797418613685908,
              0.664145056273388,
              0.6972280692413919,
              0.6753493067309168,
              0.6745575014277905,
              0.6889616272930216,
              0.6926704429033991,
              0.6549613807582604,
              0.6672077897791343,
              0.6293613562718594,
              0.7087741962157349,
              0.6241256853681318
            ],
            "test": 0.7090137112081474
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.45441335821354306,
                  0.43803559620088506,
                  0.4307848434735053,
                  0.4442028977945191,
                  0.445121211100053,
                  0.4895442153820943,
                  0.43344908144708527,
                  0.4169079645070399,
                  0.4343696664762595,
                  0.46826779281708086,
                  0.42687287121465867,
                  0.4520122031021662,
                  0.4363516694906621,
                  0.47740308220083777,
                  0.4000129587762729,
                  0.43659003208596675,
                  0.47703227246782587,
                  0.43950382680787126,
                  0.4380624151841229,
                  0.48088791443344764,
                  0.4370145165263914,
                  0.45473253731119,
                  0.42457731035886415,
                  0.49641693501190254
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4869460861873936,
                  0.43311561715049013,
                  0.42665283629995887,
                  0.44012862716617557,
                  0.48683226104537497,
                  0.4699280766987921,
                  0.4475013886975289,
                  0.4299640334798916,
                  0.4535864129837444,
                  0.48849641096862856,
                  0.4596172723520629,
                  0.4322379405002914,
                  0.43419638725068654,
                  0.4724542199071603,
                  0.42914664398663566,
                  0.4373205272257517,
                  0.47042695166109,
                  0.45012910259569633,
                  0.44192877804299024,
                  0.469625424443561,
                  0.43731801020639594,
                  0.4501365530815326,
                  0.46908018947556185,
                  0.4449840852631641
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3003849649945871,
                  0.2199494483411754,
                  0.20714870032929578,
                  0.20031961490236838,
                  0.2841684397707131,
                  0.18653942865364945,
                  0.22160147624854706,
                  0.1497674953303139,
                  0.16209139171677972,
                  0.3464748726077381,
                  0.15320350098559174,
                  0.28435161060376446,
                  0.2704391020948503,
                  0.15556456102412228,
                  0.16623582296161385,
                  0.2184583246588851,
                  0.3086211372582004,
                  0.17770926681564334,
                  0.19405684163354994,
                  0.18074511747145397,
                  0.19843909654636377,
                  0.1669818970651449,
                  0.29012930772695017,
                  0.30236593851054333
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3202155820245851,
                  0.22042082449139921,
                  0.20454162041781745,
                  0.19948218298248652,
                  0.3125806880673776,
                  0.18448136588560546,
                  0.22913049092557836,
                  0.15295472997404608,
                  0.1677260825661108,
                  0.3549551412119517,
                  0.1682634298872238,
                  0.2764274862652953,
                  0.2678113388378291,
                  0.15419544029267795,
                  0.18153898139271196,
                  0.21783066808659152,
                  0.30487529872678765,
                  0.1813710861448971,
                  0.19692950527067277,
                  0.1748368638176133,
                  0.19893691471111052,
                  0.1688323879354228,
                  0.3166162717700402,
                  0.2856578644701919
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15402839267803667,
                  0.21808614819841485,
                  0.22363614291772546,
                  0.243883283692754,
                  0.16095277135283398,
                  0.3030047891492097,
                  0.21184760459698404,
                  0.2671404701496306,
                  0.2722782754695664,
                  0.12179291809910436,
                  0.27366936998171915,
                  0.16766059072964398,
                  0.16591256549211197,
                  0.3218385233139013,
                  0.2337771354206772,
                  0.21813170696930387,
                  0.1684111342177878,
                  0.2617945608324712,
                  0.24400557415821647,
                  0.30014279912567055,
                  0.2385754203017851,
                  0.28775064183179044,
                  0.13444800303658536,
                  0.1940509964076152
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1667305041791274,
                  0.212694792636688,
                  0.22211121585973861,
                  0.24064644416128617,
                  0.17425157298003563,
                  0.28544671079078393,
                  0.21837089778824334,
                  0.27700930350187725,
                  0.2858603303944614,
                  0.13354126973425637,
                  0.29135384244241846,
                  0.1558104542125932,
                  0.16638504840470472,
                  0.3182587795919011,
                  0.24760766262868203,
                  0.2194898591401801,
                  0.1655516529506078,
                  0.2687580164671699,
                  0.24499927277333824,
                  0.294788560635156,
                  0.23838109549630468,
                  0.2813041651646206,
                  0.1524639177249777,
                  0.15932622079399056
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.285823479614194,
                  23.19788911197533,
                  16.481227887824996,
                  19.82778330499246,
                  23.131862574429377,
                  29.942174534085943,
                  17.35366550796379,
                  15.89226667391634,
                  16.57287526346873,
                  18.195781310558218,
                  19.296654467518696,
                  19.562332017023387,
                  17.078815099649773,
                  23.65202001413105,
                  16.40138365316597,
                  19.033629653632303,
                  19.958056165460942,
                  20.61720100098821,
                  18.004508994269266,
                  25.430856546697772,
                  18.06553088468005,
                  20.18643744981784,
                  17.730298448705994,
                  26.54861921610211
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.50573408767415,
                  20.83057272098966,
                  15.384713855323458,
                  18.348619796571146,
                  24.833990712013843,
                  25.690950303673365,
                  18.785353190982665,
                  17.33500505990353,
                  18.087780250289807,
                  20.142766859727907,
                  20.325407851377147,
                  15.896880844511065,
                  16.450574540440684,
                  22.381877815816505,
                  17.12509460409629,
                  18.780040871450467,
                  19.576441073305176,
                  20.057000221067682,
                  17.794707369190313,
                  23.531910254268485,
                  17.52675521093812,
                  18.71292159075082,
                  19.191330002304415,
                  19.855645712754207
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.621961647069114,
                  22.5334023364445,
                  15.75611061945137,
                  19.123821950679215,
                  22.479746070549186,
                  29.244033637904586,
                  16.64285193524934,
                  15.125940297403417,
                  15.838006452541952,
                  17.55776705556442,
                  18.675286927613016,
                  18.849977615453195,
                  16.393159058625624,
                  22.936231437757375,
                  15.664906285478748,
                  18.321179251707623,
                  19.239483472382947,
                  19.85165210034369,
                  17.232757569887998,
                  24.783846791457435,
                  17.306357694512855,
                  19.526918255239533,
                  16.990348172206186,
                  25.83453942232258
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  30.697545948289488,
                  20.00216647295597,
                  14.545993480650242,
                  17.515512880119996,
                  24.013166695023745,
                  24.871749316212938,
                  17.953073421111842,
                  16.499978418572333,
                  17.25417931954646,
                  19.313057949078193,
                  19.496044851696468,
                  15.059130483074949,
                  15.613872841307472,
                  21.556409645613932,
                  16.289670405083633,
                  17.947751040368416,
                  18.74565957593875,
                  19.227128873602325,
                  16.96055137617215,
                  22.708620175805393,
                  16.692091732771754,
                  17.880504639818948,
                  18.359819127909574,
                  19.025393012053403
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44719029884934364,
              "rpss": 0.011893720501210514,
              "brier_below": 0.22273947326049356,
              "bss_below": 0.01743643612374768,
              "brier_above": 0.2244508257551475,
              "bss_above": 0.006331096828395832,
              "crps": 20.351987219194697,
              "crpss": -0.02153210035859554,
              "crps_fair": 19.647095252410246,
              "crpss_fair": -0.029027434523568596,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.182511,
                    0.700535,
                    0.113275,
                    0.00368,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2766,
                    0.3455,
                    0.4308,
                    0.5127,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2751,
                    0.3404,
                    0.5017,
                    0.4732,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.144763,
                    0.705396,
                    0.142596,
                    0.007245,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2805,
                    0.3485,
                    0.4294,
                    0.5221,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2629,
                    0.3511,
                    0.3979,
                    0.2999,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4562131400407954,
                  0.4540241444561153,
                  0.4291050487050962,
                  0.44198403517253354,
                  0.44941913599187666,
                  0.5114881981665613,
                  0.4368782757987017,
                  0.41608458797501924,
                  0.43860661520984423,
                  0.45779839572816483,
                  0.4189377027563838,
                  0.45976094346333474,
                  0.4408095144002963,
                  0.45570189062502964,
                  0.4128671475188202,
                  0.4353745372471841,
                  0.4618904958778203,
                  0.45362768750017834,
                  0.4361891387295814,
                  0.4619010351339942,
                  0.4311712391914922,
                  0.4157442988881145,
                  0.4365505547364669,
                  0.5377272774125752
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48743050991631937,
                  0.4500701624584457,
                  0.4265242004143022,
                  0.4390098244777031,
                  0.49139482584164884,
                  0.494693701774444,
                  0.4545856811469357,
                  0.43593834610889776,
                  0.4580519634274834,
                  0.47701006345194874,
                  0.4352766490847659,
                  0.4325868375773595,
                  0.4393322155734538,
                  0.45819407461226264,
                  0.4258449859445512,
                  0.4429956010693269,
                  0.46917288320447564,
                  0.4504464390301668,
                  0.43726520584675527,
                  0.45476639467496144,
                  0.4364531411048688,
                  0.42034369581379755,
                  0.4673311154491269,
                  0.4820108972087676
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2915735734194395,
                  0.2184560921302618,
                  0.1880485301024863,
                  0.17513452666689117,
                  0.2911044418555228,
                  0.1850308163248681,
                  0.19816059543461154,
                  0.1526699746917748,
                  0.1809362317348582,
                  0.33260862745630804,
                  0.17865029704167773,
                  0.2812543657765353,
                  0.28509231085976267,
                  0.1470489754207176,
                  0.18775879568436193,
                  0.21401488517401177,
                  0.2881179496737972,
                  0.20399799680573216,
                  0.18082744002269213,
                  0.17126145531586387,
                  0.20697026013765926,
                  0.16512649078461664,
                  0.3025199918294539,
                  0.3561938171696753
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3104072285253455,
                  0.21673480811611381,
                  0.18558730667959258,
                  0.17603508945959234,
                  0.32028208459781965,
                  0.17926314118722866,
                  0.20608332860378822,
                  0.16099647389177257,
                  0.18759330134707142,
                  0.33954533961604677,
                  0.1874236505788654,
                  0.26795152854435594,
                  0.28077112311215474,
                  0.14729671030580527,
                  0.19608173063938172,
                  0.21470894001819776,
                  0.2912022736927969,
                  0.20165084148960713,
                  0.18095977006653313,
                  0.1684004312888114,
                  0.20718324254548248,
                  0.16958622943392032,
                  0.3193885527201346,
                  0.32447550978521345
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16463956622691323,
                  0.2355680529634822,
                  0.2410565190845097,
                  0.2668495098095093,
                  0.15831469378467236,
                  0.3264573840362937,
                  0.23871768037815985,
                  0.2634146140844677,
                  0.25767038373534046,
                  0.12518976632696185,
                  0.24028740531991377,
                  0.17850657630623418,
                  0.15571720104827982,
                  0.30865291731066147,
                  0.22510835155128645,
                  0.22135965128914462,
                  0.1737725456637371,
                  0.24962969193160672,
                  0.25536169951525184,
                  0.2906395815899272,
                  0.22420097921216223,
                  0.2506178089245888,
                  0.13403056284577994,
                  0.18153345943062899
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17702328139097373,
                  0.23333535434233188,
                  0.24093689373470956,
                  0.2629747350181107,
                  0.1711127412438291,
                  0.3154305605872152,
                  0.24850235254314745,
                  0.274941872217125,
                  0.2704586620804119,
                  0.13746472383590178,
                  0.24785299850590042,
                  0.1646353090330035,
                  0.15856109246129885,
                  0.31089736430645726,
                  0.22976325530516944,
                  0.2282866610511291,
                  0.17797060951167862,
                  0.24879559754055963,
                  0.256305435780222,
                  0.28636596338614995,
                  0.2292698985593863,
                  0.2507574663798771,
                  0.14794256272899212,
                  0.15753538742355408
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.18364927394988,
                  36.491712336564376,
                  25.02768933348662,
                  30.69024479121792,
                  35.229825974901324,
                  44.284766198809784,
                  27.688474116146782,
                  23.986285722534802,
                  24.71539825851579,
                  27.731888675923862,
                  25.42592539507927,
                  31.027316273119247,
                  26.331915014131138,
                  31.389884343892636,
                  25.022398454314956,
                  28.703886611102686,
                  29.983914186144112,
                  32.28052876431401,
                  27.35498064966822,
                  37.296154074960086,
                  25.98589031298075,
                  23.932630901310972,
                  29.259979025277936,
                  41.449414535968735
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  49.57656865028093,
                  32.96040380943106,
                  23.338961685869542,
                  28.247352936237633,
                  38.77143887837504,
                  40.075400748993,
                  30.044498290231484,
                  26.420742022616203,
                  27.19914339939457,
                  30.474463908758302,
                  25.997698532993468,
                  24.664015955947068,
                  25.497247064245567,
                  30.559056130702682,
                  25.223022089283898,
                  28.82789187164294,
                  30.59933260802571,
                  31.14965624843492,
                  26.757510478633222,
                  34.73556146951894,
                  25.69189133881856,
                  22.368377050704193,
                  29.705255183554968,
                  32.58994873293396
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.192904066361066,
                  35.51640644056451,
                  23.922786440048615,
                  29.607386065162913,
                  34.195367098553504,
                  43.25576062772344,
                  26.609642518989773,
                  22.836196449269032,
                  23.603765057455583,
                  26.779179055448832,
                  24.475178843567768,
                  29.95648376154287,
                  25.30139426934915,
                  30.3060389344843,
                  23.92505478708643,
                  27.634849447861175,
                  28.927030228105266,
                  31.14361767777373,
                  26.219142942477617,
                  36.315569595553995,
                  24.835302294036264,
                  22.90670854940074,
                  28.093910036724573,
                  40.392657054701175
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  48.36096752564688,
                  31.71333267562872,
                  22.07366812380289,
                  26.991355569720923,
                  37.53537349280934,
                  38.84180498818226,
                  28.79190460809734,
                  25.161285165732785,
                  25.941160787542934,
                  29.222684555447124,
                  24.7374404573797,
                  23.40123196636163,
                  24.23604116388039,
                  29.30743698993307,
                  23.961296823435838,
                  27.57299401068571,
                  29.347789748463143,
                  29.899155668494338,
                  25.498691440795294,
                  33.49185237673951,
                  24.4310540829128,
                  21.101245260161853,
                  28.452018995536967,
                  31.34217597966858
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4479106266969158,
              "rpss": 0.010755248430422193,
              "brier_below": 0.22427326839639913,
              "bss_below": 0.010487922670008087,
              "brier_above": 0.2236373584320631,
              "bss_above": 0.011023188728260802,
              "crps": 30.561448051013162,
              "crpss": -0.016631632192352308,
              "crps_fair": 29.498013843426765,
              "crpss_fair": -0.023919635244868953,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.180381,
                    0.71417,
                    0.101119,
                    0.004331,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2786,
                    0.3444,
                    0.429,
                    0.5127,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3243,
                    0.3307,
                    0.5006,
                    0.43,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.153611,
                    0.730132,
                    0.114693,
                    0.001563,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2807,
                    0.3472,
                    0.4249,
                    0.5245,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2632,
                    0.3512,
                    0.4182,
                    0.4194,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4923045209319697,
                  0.4133403353525633,
                  0.4260853968693959,
                  0.4257348545521651,
                  0.42235069846511714,
                  0.4299533291021438,
                  0.44845429697771805,
                  0.45854551553789574,
                  0.441943508245536
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4870055947178849,
                  0.42143281565336166,
                  0.4461656033354792,
                  0.4898169267269451,
                  0.409710504473286,
                  0.4328402132818921,
                  0.481437726284207,
                  0.5046306428050635,
                  0.4618523477225761
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16366829181577733,
                  0.1793474329928049,
                  0.2225238611503561,
                  0.1359584326416517,
                  0.24289817694937385,
                  0.2257456580216632,
                  0.313401162579241,
                  0.1650964449660332,
                  0.148022436300386
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1614439450337624,
                  0.1816624432294703,
                  0.23775382310536425,
                  0.15106275351725754,
                  0.24150138386167241,
                  0.22891616263738787,
                  0.3354019372244457,
                  0.1752044871830586,
                  0.15555314716681815
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.32863621131071036,
                  0.23399289977632345,
                  0.20356153891427894,
                  0.2897764056182025,
                  0.17945253235081024,
                  0.2042076767100778,
                  0.13505314600700524,
                  0.2934490543619125,
                  0.2939210598916533
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3255616312349862,
                  0.23977036919747338,
                  0.2084117826700664,
                  0.3387541525544384,
                  0.16820913018134312,
                  0.20392405388684642,
                  0.14603580259439067,
                  0.32942613657571873,
                  0.30629918549199875
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.163428907281016,
                  14.499726619228731,
                  17.242654561213296,
                  25.654484349434615,
                  14.96498378396927,
                  17.49114116513747,
                  20.341918500402997,
                  29.63102860807128,
                  25.222469734525287
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.21024020824127,
                  14.872246430786253,
                  18.409970210564648,
                  31.11807114784039,
                  13.520669199455181,
                  16.78306002701278,
                  24.29613597010876,
                  31.10996240254287,
                  27.087652937999966
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.83023888368362,
                  14.169292002653046,
                  16.902297189446355,
                  25.28027098680647,
                  14.620582277190607,
                  17.123622795425398,
                  19.992910595366993,
                  29.271600376287832,
                  24.84555824980723
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.414703625458667,
                  14.076709848003654,
                  17.614433627782052,
                  30.32253456505779,
                  12.725132616672582,
                  15.98752344423017,
                  23.50059938732616,
                  30.31442581976026,
                  26.292116355217367
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4398569395593894,
              "rpss": 0.042608102699689177,
              "brier_below": 0.19962909971303192,
              "bss_below": 0.03844698011903547,
              "brier_above": 0.24022783610455267,
              "bss_above": 0.04603868536202904,
              "crps": 21.24575958102933,
              "crpss": 0.055314868153435226,
              "crps_fair": 20.89293037296306,
              "crpss_fair": 0.036936610415955085,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.312683,
                    0.65465,
                    0.032667,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2758,
                    0.3384,
                    0.4181,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1657,
                    0.334,
                    0.5684,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.090859,
                    0.73001,
                    0.179132,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.282,
                    0.3464,
                    0.433,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2194,
                    0.4066,
                    0.5884,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4860457405804588,
                  0.41621471468077487,
                  0.43833236743358484,
                  0.45627433867051326,
                  0.394561102826961,
                  0.42668584630106454,
                  0.4573881191171844,
                  0.48678452205379263,
                  0.4586953276882449
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4833705205269806,
                  0.4217325829401401,
                  0.45787504847516347,
                  0.4926249194603664,
                  0.3921209549450236,
                  0.43537634701428846,
                  0.49987785514849153,
                  0.4942486608765802,
                  0.4798942598444907
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15152001100652004,
                  0.18074377306942951,
                  0.22507707837245117,
                  0.14870661954735837,
                  0.20317069264385046,
                  0.22633151049064426,
                  0.3492590156303527,
                  0.2095355611250069,
                  0.14204019332314902
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15085429028643993,
                  0.18069014092771118,
                  0.23635213812422837,
                  0.15606245330081414,
                  0.2033330363555721,
                  0.227991658943322,
                  0.3775149581530766,
                  0.20912215532462194,
                  0.14738561477662931
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.33452571048342794,
                  0.23547093868447347,
                  0.21325528927909698,
                  0.3075677014861508,
                  0.1913904169663818,
                  0.20035433991672202,
                  0.10812911944355613,
                  0.2772489508931801,
                  0.3166551169162966
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3325162105184372,
                  0.24104243864711158,
                  0.22152291047598155,
                  0.33656244571392563,
                  0.18878792456796986,
                  0.20738469072412372,
                  0.12236291485165149,
                  0.28512649430379705,
                  0.33250862534711423
                ],
                "crps": [
                  40.00891595232205,
                  22.455131390939364,
                  26.662758465645997,
                  38.203148027391414,
                  21.965691738202885,
                  26.64029520845246,
                  32.621369966160216,
                  43.93229351718994,
                  39.02942644369025
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  39.145523273068626,
                  22.643913019787092,
                  29.008121722013154,
                  43.28444006396797,
                  20.589043753169044,
                  26.078049611235418,
                  38.88164859631245,
                  43.764166543124,
                  41.3116571073202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.50132676536516,
                  21.95795539999405,
                  26.16453344106328,
                  37.65195937826533,
                  21.449251872703243,
                  26.097490398754942,
                  32.08203155443984,
                  43.39825663012786,
                  38.47653541630505
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  37.945151810469554,
                  21.44354155718803,
                  27.807750259414085,
                  42.084068601368905,
                  19.388672290569982,
                  24.87767814863636,
                  37.681277133713394,
                  42.56379508052493,
                  40.111285644721136
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44677578659473105,
              "rpss": 0.03274840087451181,
              "brier_below": 0.20404271724541806,
              "bss_below": 0.028011332460283755,
              "brier_above": 0.24273306489658733,
              "bss_above": 0.0366948290469169,
              "crps": 32.39100341222162,
              "crpss": 0.04327945161503033,
              "crps_fair": 31.86437120633542,
              "crpss_fair": 0.024238862224181146,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.261928,
                    0.705085,
                    0.032988,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2768,
                    0.338,
                    0.4178,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2057,
                    0.3156,
                    0.6061,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.106041,
                    0.796825,
                    0.097134,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2825,
                    0.3429,
                    0.4289,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2057,
                    0.4259,
                    0.6324,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dc": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7821657679897509,
            "training": [
              0.8119947860725804,
              0.7853656139509755,
              0.7873275923834574,
              0.7800508608317016,
              0.8102359560995961,
              0.7835663587779986,
              0.8059182516548722,
              0.7785726814685048,
              0.7888256730919974,
              0.8068189711701444,
              0.7888524482663699,
              0.7646939182856993,
              0.7760177059453663,
              0.7662508091940164,
              0.796027988841659,
              0.7772088667496443,
              0.7770414855489302,
              0.7936245944735113,
              0.7873114770665544,
              0.7650288850236987,
              0.7713471230907076,
              0.7303709837629865,
              0.7991696041200872,
              0.7403557958829642
            ],
            "test": 0.8073496642745359
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.45691821719767156,
                  0.43595015380811547,
                  0.4287820257852704,
                  0.44484965909072505,
                  0.45023782227235226,
                  0.4750372152230408,
                  0.433976786467668,
                  0.4247836909612595,
                  0.43475286431243776,
                  0.46659959461363965,
                  0.441962032321422,
                  0.4454222792417409,
                  0.43491712890939094,
                  0.48326817370551095,
                  0.41151853874202876,
                  0.44535603735371937,
                  0.4710050896143355,
                  0.4358241760210278,
                  0.43754185899280656,
                  0.4845533406011627,
                  0.4428775557218916,
                  0.4768451815697309,
                  0.43383886215424344,
                  0.47650470053979394
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4869460861873936,
                  0.43311561715049013,
                  0.42665283629995887,
                  0.44012862716617557,
                  0.48683226104537497,
                  0.4699280766987921,
                  0.4475013886975289,
                  0.4299640334798916,
                  0.4535864129837444,
                  0.48849641096862856,
                  0.4596172723520629,
                  0.4322379405002914,
                  0.43419638725068654,
                  0.4724542199071603,
                  0.42914664398663566,
                  0.4373205272257517,
                  0.47042695166109,
                  0.45012910259569633,
                  0.44192877804299024,
                  0.469625424443561,
                  0.43731801020639594,
                  0.4501365530815326,
                  0.46908018947556185,
                  0.4449840852631641
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.30192321355608726,
                  0.2220274240189582,
                  0.20676329311575484,
                  0.20317516514925194,
                  0.28755611402182507,
                  0.18376099455353323,
                  0.22390759598539997,
                  0.15010868977886893,
                  0.16173555569153514,
                  0.341675448482565,
                  0.1607173307754616,
                  0.27976687326713373,
                  0.26826714184537076,
                  0.15952068573983497,
                  0.1719535110978549,
                  0.223444196053068,
                  0.30618120565194107,
                  0.1756386946420204,
                  0.19361061198114776,
                  0.18017221069435368,
                  0.20108907788443262,
                  0.18221262789140047,
                  0.2973383196784874,
                  0.29507796672462444
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3202155820245851,
                  0.22042082449139921,
                  0.20454162041781745,
                  0.19948218298248652,
                  0.3125806880673776,
                  0.18448136588560546,
                  0.22913049092557836,
                  0.15295472997404608,
                  0.1677260825661108,
                  0.3549551412119517,
                  0.1682634298872238,
                  0.2764274862652953,
                  0.2678113388378291,
                  0.15419544029267795,
                  0.18153898139271196,
                  0.21783066808659152,
                  0.30487529872678765,
                  0.1813710861448971,
                  0.19692950527067277,
                  0.1748368638176133,
                  0.19893691471111052,
                  0.1688323879354228,
                  0.3166162717700402,
                  0.2856578644701919
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15499500383396336,
                  0.21392272986841762,
                  0.2220187329391541,
                  0.24167449378260275,
                  0.1626817083716015,
                  0.2912762202328112,
                  0.2100691910095843,
                  0.27467500076974644,
                  0.2730173084635239,
                  0.1249241468148733,
                  0.2812447011559309,
                  0.16565540645034593,
                  0.16664998798471858,
                  0.3237474874570567,
                  0.23956502748601066,
                  0.22191184151510146,
                  0.16482388413211543,
                  0.2601854808953718,
                  0.24393124645310754,
                  0.30438112924329624,
                  0.24178847790370606,
                  0.2946325533989576,
                  0.13650054273379797,
                  0.1814267342903795
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1667305041791274,
                  0.212694792636688,
                  0.22211121585973861,
                  0.24064644416128617,
                  0.17425157298003563,
                  0.28544671079078393,
                  0.21837089778824334,
                  0.27700930350187725,
                  0.2858603303944614,
                  0.13354126973425637,
                  0.29135384244241846,
                  0.1558104542125932,
                  0.16638504840470472,
                  0.3182587795919011,
                  0.24760766262868203,
                  0.2194898591401801,
                  0.1655516529506078,
                  0.2687580164671699,
                  0.24499927277333824,
                  0.294788560635156,
                  0.23838109549630468,
                  0.2813041651646206,
                  0.1524639177249777,
                  0.15932622079399056
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.189347791852285,
                  22.910849475737848,
                  16.47688521633403,
                  20.623764761411515,
                  25.964225173080465,
                  29.4233798274512,
                  16.980267633751286,
                  16.336611328927443,
                  16.64199064525354,
                  18.03486626632507,
                  19.356570815445195,
                  19.894197577800103,
                  16.670090285048946,
                  24.772125205483025,
                  17.16794385044033,
                  19.629543702402344,
                  20.021572436675953,
                  21.028435038495147,
                  17.788200821264013,
                  25.608244227540936,
                  18.679745581963495,
                  21.966605319432364,
                  19.487429195816805,
                  27.099909993084946
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.50573408767415,
                  20.83057272098966,
                  15.384713855323458,
                  18.348619796571146,
                  24.833990712013843,
                  25.690950303673365,
                  18.785353190982665,
                  17.33500505990353,
                  18.087780250289807,
                  20.142766859727907,
                  20.325407851377147,
                  15.896880844511065,
                  16.450574540440684,
                  22.381877815816505,
                  17.12509460409629,
                  18.780040871450467,
                  19.576441073305176,
                  20.057000221067682,
                  17.794707369190313,
                  23.531910254268485,
                  17.52675521093812,
                  18.71292159075082,
                  19.191330002304415,
                  19.855645712754207
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.465928338772912,
                  22.036299466045843,
                  15.68113793920114,
                  19.84885517170378,
                  25.331109903163274,
                  28.49152645343317,
                  16.110493114938883,
                  15.469327351150705,
                  15.785323904146974,
                  17.239101112547466,
                  18.45761614474854,
                  19.011673835324252,
                  15.835991372581685,
                  23.950215899721535,
                  16.257111196053113,
                  18.777259207926637,
                  19.190530735432205,
                  20.143351684273878,
                  16.942324996664986,
                  24.78297039083725,
                  17.84686424458472,
                  21.186247395870335,
                  18.815115825907412,
                  26.151398462370363
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  30.697545948289488,
                  20.00216647295597,
                  14.545993480650242,
                  17.515512880119996,
                  24.013166695023745,
                  24.871749316212938,
                  17.953073421111842,
                  16.499978418572333,
                  17.25417931954646,
                  19.313057949078193,
                  19.496044851696468,
                  15.059130483074949,
                  15.613872841307472,
                  21.556409645613932,
                  16.289670405083633,
                  17.947751040368416,
                  18.74565957593875,
                  19.227128873602325,
                  16.96055137617215,
                  22.708620175805393,
                  16.692091732771754,
                  17.880504639818948,
                  18.359819127909574,
                  19.025393012053403
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4488884577175411,
              "rpss": 0.008141489190356954,
              "brier_below": 0.22406766451170465,
              "bss_below": 0.011577428242495302,
              "brier_above": 0.2248207932160906,
              "bss_above": 0.004693209509925578,
              "crps": 20.781366757125763,
              "crpss": -0.04308404889854178,
              "crps_fair": 19.950323922808376,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04490920313949176,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000395,
                    0.07854,
                    0.808228,
                    0.111482,
                    0.001356,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1648,
                    0.2847,
                    0.3458,
                    0.4318,
                    0.5035,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4983,
                    0.2921,
                    0.3362,
                    0.4635,
                    0.5365,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    6.6e-05,
                    0.091476,
                    0.824756,
                    0.082055,
                    0.001647,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1806,
                    0.2876,
                    0.347,
                    0.4293,
                    0.5066,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.2892,
                    0.3473,
                    0.3792,
                    0.3599,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.460222354814558,
                  0.45527128773832864,
                  0.43177510764062443,
                  0.44441048955822987,
                  0.46001459868066363,
                  0.4977883211166728,
                  0.4387112687008566,
                  0.4235887483391802,
                  0.4445649642834066,
                  0.46386704247385907,
                  0.4265185632694514,
                  0.45520094443794795,
                  0.44036559254247704,
                  0.4595463958183778,
                  0.4193611416707634,
                  0.44504834636520535,
                  0.46183246020091523,
                  0.4512027991241173,
                  0.43776698016275783,
                  0.46440738968922907,
                  0.43698306659061015,
                  0.4279926123554205,
                  0.44366989372441573,
                  0.5149093948511415
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48743050991631937,
                  0.4500701624584457,
                  0.4265242004143022,
                  0.4390098244777031,
                  0.49139482584164884,
                  0.494693701774444,
                  0.4545856811469357,
                  0.43593834610889776,
                  0.4580519634274834,
                  0.47701006345194874,
                  0.4352766490847659,
                  0.4325868375773595,
                  0.4393322155734538,
                  0.45819407461226264,
                  0.4258449859445512,
                  0.4429956010693269,
                  0.46917288320447564,
                  0.4504464390301668,
                  0.43726520584675527,
                  0.45476639467496144,
                  0.4364531411048688,
                  0.42034369581379755,
                  0.4673311154491269,
                  0.4820108972087676
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.29322190480427424,
                  0.21989592924973675,
                  0.18986800958105388,
                  0.17950707516936773,
                  0.2985666516067615,
                  0.1813357904561575,
                  0.19970311561023374,
                  0.15359669839609671,
                  0.1833155217057839,
                  0.33210502483447985,
                  0.18234079853926746,
                  0.2770997744555514,
                  0.28237232276303836,
                  0.1490667748474979,
                  0.19172317834327396,
                  0.21908394706393342,
                  0.2870085774674557,
                  0.2023728105556878,
                  0.18118308772174924,
                  0.17157458576043233,
                  0.20770703845544614,
                  0.1753301133873288,
                  0.3097678596428539,
                  0.3417059625173075
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3104072285253455,
                  0.21673480811611381,
                  0.18558730667959258,
                  0.17603508945959234,
                  0.32028208459781965,
                  0.17926314118722866,
                  0.20608332860378822,
                  0.16099647389177257,
                  0.18759330134707142,
                  0.33954533961604677,
                  0.1874236505788654,
                  0.26795152854435594,
                  0.28077112311215474,
                  0.14729671030580527,
                  0.19608173063938172,
                  0.21470894001819776,
                  0.2912022736927969,
                  0.20165084148960713,
                  0.18095977006653313,
                  0.1684004312888114,
                  0.20718324254548248,
                  0.16958622943392032,
                  0.3193885527201346,
                  0.32447550978521345
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16700045020241122,
                  0.2353753585187291,
                  0.24190709831413917,
                  0.2649034140553927,
                  0.16144794726115252,
                  0.31645252975657323,
                  0.2390081533768061,
                  0.26999204966818297,
                  0.2612494426275564,
                  0.13176201848291194,
                  0.2441777646530641,
                  0.17810117028111905,
                  0.15799327096442317,
                  0.31047962034293086,
                  0.22763796322843655,
                  0.22596439949346608,
                  0.17482388295486914,
                  0.24882998824542207,
                  0.2565838918691499,
                  0.29283280347667345,
                  0.22927602822949808,
                  0.2526624989808751,
                  0.13390203418803054,
                  0.173203432834285
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17702328139097373,
                  0.23333535434233188,
                  0.24093689373470956,
                  0.2629747350181107,
                  0.1711127412438291,
                  0.3154305605872152,
                  0.24850235254314745,
                  0.274941872217125,
                  0.2704586620804119,
                  0.13746472383590178,
                  0.24785299850590042,
                  0.1646353090330035,
                  0.15856109246129885,
                  0.31089736430645726,
                  0.22976325530516944,
                  0.2282866610511291,
                  0.17797060951167862,
                  0.24879559754055963,
                  0.256305435780222,
                  0.28636596338614995,
                  0.2292698985593863,
                  0.2507574663798771,
                  0.14794256272899212,
                  0.15753538742355408
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.163044505250205,
                  35.9605479483813,
                  25.112296828751056,
                  31.597174627641174,
                  39.94295204412116,
                  43.27444632776713,
                  26.779926179690957,
                  24.57745384583044,
                  24.812319360421725,
                  27.84132696951633,
                  25.752093856653296,
                  31.60381080774424,
                  25.972638086077662,
                  32.78974916447541,
                  25.591522280559317,
                  29.322524311572693,
                  30.14259350259413,
                  32.57894274258516,
                  27.102116123166677,
                  37.43092071145767,
                  26.63466360055106,
                  26.012885362710026,
                  31.923306975949608,
                  42.15604895590446
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  49.57656865028093,
                  32.96040380943106,
                  23.338961685869542,
                  28.247352936237633,
                  38.77143887837504,
                  40.075400748993,
                  30.044498290231484,
                  26.420742022616203,
                  27.19914339939457,
                  30.474463908758302,
                  25.997698532993468,
                  24.664015955947068,
                  25.497247064245567,
                  30.559056130702682,
                  25.223022089283898,
                  28.82789187164294,
                  30.59933260802571,
                  31.14965624843492,
                  26.757510478633222,
                  34.73556146951894,
                  25.69189133881856,
                  22.368377050704193,
                  29.705255183554968,
                  32.58994873293396
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.0548779151353,
                  34.672799040682555,
                  23.896220617408748,
                  30.412463009874447,
                  38.93294943275385,
                  41.94452711856738,
                  25.464788985785898,
                  23.2636501170078,
                  23.517209452972253,
                  26.62734699486605,
                  24.396786753117023,
                  30.265701268447557,
                  24.711257937600283,
                  31.53567103328974,
                  24.247981759204933,
                  28.041812742826508,
                  28.900356076378348,
                  31.268822738767852,
                  25.831812751233297,
                  36.180724010630364,
                  25.372909839152076,
                  24.798342326593406,
                  30.859545971362692,
                  40.79559863958312
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  48.36096752564688,
                  31.71333267562872,
                  22.07366812380289,
                  26.991355569720923,
                  37.53537349280934,
                  38.84180498818226,
                  28.79190460809734,
                  25.161285165732785,
                  25.941160787542934,
                  29.222684555447124,
                  24.7374404573797,
                  23.40123196636163,
                  24.23604116388039,
                  29.30743698993307,
                  23.961296823435838,
                  27.57299401068571,
                  29.347789748463143,
                  29.899155668494338,
                  25.498691440795294,
                  33.49185237673951,
                  24.4310540829128,
                  21.101245260161853,
                  28.452018995536967,
                  31.34217597966858
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4502091568395505,
              "rpss": 0.005678769453591692,
              "brier_below": 0.22539385637228207,
              "bss_below": 0.005543796498506115,
              "brier_above": 0.2248153005002541,
              "bss_above": 0.005814052836878525,
              "crps": 31.1281377133072,
              "crpss": -0.03548265768574099,
              "crps_fair": 29.874756522218394,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03699693015350425,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.039726,
                    0.886054,
                    0.07422,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2905,
                    0.3447,
                    0.4276,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4182,
                    0.3335,
                    0.473,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.066769,
                    0.878476,
                    0.054755,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2879,
                    0.3484,
                    0.4169,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2536,
                    0.3497,
                    0.3905,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4941440475060763,
                  0.4158547951814736,
                  0.4275215702443189,
                  0.44798368595851074,
                  0.4210711222915154,
                  0.43340282946813663,
                  0.45567338951895525,
                  0.46747783273569454,
                  0.4430450083821796
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4870055947178849,
                  0.42143281565336166,
                  0.4461656033354792,
                  0.4898169267269451,
                  0.409710504473286,
                  0.4328402132818921,
                  0.481437726284207,
                  0.5046306428050635,
                  0.4618523477225761
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16464378588015127,
                  0.17934325897382358,
                  0.2229586511915629,
                  0.13988268806903537,
                  0.2459303453366707,
                  0.22960037812091785,
                  0.31797115408402504,
                  0.16646481465879262,
                  0.14841915217643578
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1614439450337624,
                  0.1816624432294703,
                  0.23775382310536425,
                  0.15106275351725754,
                  0.24150138386167241,
                  0.22891616263738787,
                  0.3354019372244457,
                  0.1752044871830586,
                  0.15555314716681815
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.32950024304629555,
                  0.23651153301230246,
                  0.20456292196664705,
                  0.30810098010044135,
                  0.1751407872570007,
                  0.2038024561949611,
                  0.13770224741707301,
                  0.3010130014515732,
                  0.29462584370997086
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3255616312349862,
                  0.23977036919747338,
                  0.2084117826700664,
                  0.3387541525544384,
                  0.16820913018134312,
                  0.20392405388684642,
                  0.14603580259439067,
                  0.32942613657571873,
                  0.30629918549199875
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.078597052220548,
                  14.78381481441112,
                  17.448676067685117,
                  25.608499847531334,
                  15.366987388923054,
                  18.46242019608274,
                  20.18000444668937,
                  28.504928719115245,
                  24.941979149860128
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.21024020824127,
                  14.872246430786253,
                  18.409970210564648,
                  31.11807114784039,
                  13.520669199455181,
                  16.78306002701278,
                  24.29613597010876,
                  31.10996240254287,
                  27.087652937999966
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.29998046985243,
                  13.983163262610708,
                  16.622519457587554,
                  24.674671219301775,
                  14.523492165622088,
                  17.562513955230624,
                  19.46529715123207,
                  27.64203807783343,
                  24.013166166584433
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.414703625458667,
                  14.076709848003654,
                  17.614433627782052,
                  30.32253456505779,
                  12.725132616672582,
                  15.98752344423017,
                  23.50059938732616,
                  30.31442581976026,
                  26.292116355217367
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44513047569854014,
              "rpss": 0.031129732539607713,
              "brier_below": 0.20169046983237945,
              "bss_below": 0.028517983463736685,
              "brier_above": 0.24344000157291834,
              "bss_above": 0.03328295462438391,
              "crps": 21.263989742502073,
              "crpss": 0.05450427051729145,
              "crps_fair": 20.420760213983904,
              "crpss_fair": 0.05870137895964189,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00035,
                    0.208801,
                    0.758541,
                    0.032309,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.172,
                    0.2837,
                    0.3348,
                    0.4239,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5,
                    0.1895,
                    0.3076,
                    0.4941,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.063176,
                    0.833487,
                    0.103337,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2872,
                    0.3436,
                    0.4243,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1918,
                    0.4147,
                    0.6225,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48558709463610816,
                  0.4192998057114519,
                  0.4436553768632284,
                  0.46946349192953296,
                  0.39370340681879973,
                  0.4277703719339602,
                  0.46492450415179404,
                  0.4878375748068787,
                  0.4613911206651978
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4833705205269806,
                  0.4217325829401401,
                  0.45787504847516347,
                  0.4926249194603664,
                  0.3921209549450236,
                  0.43537634701428846,
                  0.49987785514849153,
                  0.4942486608765802,
                  0.4798942598444907
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15233061051267016,
                  0.180547517750035,
                  0.22687480472140203,
                  0.15089471318599487,
                  0.202762821084738,
                  0.22647129191662138,
                  0.35356616693486065,
                  0.2090936035876371,
                  0.14296222068589556
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15085429028643993,
                  0.18069014092771118,
                  0.23635213812422837,
                  0.15606245330081414,
                  0.2033330363555721,
                  0.227991658943322,
                  0.3775149581530766,
                  0.20912215532462194,
                  0.14738561477662931
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.333256464374933,
                  0.23875228477335744,
                  0.21678057257213953,
                  0.31856876000259315,
                  0.1909405924065286,
                  0.20129908368503885,
                  0.11135835376545658,
                  0.2787439610206637,
                  0.31842888224305615
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3325162105184372,
                  0.24104243864711158,
                  0.22152291047598155,
                  0.33656244571392563,
                  0.18878792456796986,
                  0.20738469072412372,
                  0.12236291485165149,
                  0.28512649430379705,
                  0.33250862534711423
                ],
                "crps": [
                  39.7164862042953,
                  22.647972488241606,
                  27.02646469650745,
                  37.683407556453716,
                  22.64020249494104,
                  27.565848977674445,
                  32.05335316802683,
                  42.453989240015396,
                  38.185511463347865
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  39.145523273068626,
                  22.643913019787092,
                  29.008121722013154,
                  43.28444006396797,
                  20.589043753169044,
                  26.078049611235418,
                  38.88164859631245,
                  43.764166543124,
                  41.3116571073202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  38.52842396938994,
                  21.441167800160216,
                  25.805682905279934,
                  36.35855410763254,
                  21.38874230223218,
                  26.265561274243826,
                  30.94119616782845,
                  41.19175458011079,
                  36.855618973420434
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  37.945151810469554,
                  21.44354155718803,
                  27.807750259414085,
                  42.084068601368905,
                  19.388672290569982,
                  24.87767814863636,
                  37.681277133713394,
                  42.56379508052493,
                  40.111285644721136
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45040363861299465,
              "rpss": 0.02489424724456335,
              "brier_below": 0.2050559722644283,
              "bss_below": 0.023184537321003673,
              "brier_above": 0.24534766164930744,
              "bss_above": 0.0263185971440838,
              "crps": 32.21924847661152,
              "crpss": 0.04835251076338398,
              "crps_fair": 30.975189120033154,
              "crpss_fair": 0.05146768524415868,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.112885,
                    0.876118,
                    0.010997,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2887,
                    0.3339,
                    0.4107,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1736,
                    0.3065,
                    0.756,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.042414,
                    0.90685,
                    0.050737,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2886,
                    0.3417,
                    0.4132,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0852,
                    0.4252,
                    0.6575,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "loci": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7208630911700108,
            "training": [
              0.7553044519484424,
              0.7232004737777428,
              0.7254747293797608,
              0.7191970322059382,
              0.7405245927839723,
              0.7151664650302291,
              0.736645487237557,
              0.7245793842686417,
              0.7296711150706464,
              0.7390211847350308,
              0.7346752332646366,
              0.7027594584322711,
              0.7180138525338057,
              0.7080088530262073,
              0.7365733903903994,
              0.7173932248274477,
              0.7160989814022437,
              0.7285446004474321,
              0.7325955427110201,
              0.701556464426144,
              0.7056410109214218,
              0.6691724548658419,
              0.7462527990881431,
              0.6746434053052838
            ],
            "test": 0.7483816146993455
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4538655744996613,
                  0.4330929718165429,
                  0.4273185627211705,
                  0.4422795696165625,
                  0.44946564998363747,
                  0.48682946076651973,
                  0.4359850624215719,
                  0.42034417135379853,
                  0.43966296216462847,
                  0.46774238880764685,
                  0.43317267992784503,
                  0.44745304033334066,
                  0.43350537407072426,
                  0.47782399552668725,
                  0.40412155180248516,
                  0.4316438583185114,
                  0.4717542611211857,
                  0.43958078933790135,
                  0.4380477852503792,
                  0.47890148338757543,
                  0.4385243336653317,
                  0.4617788746253784,
                  0.43409655691596205,
                  0.4871984522910635
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4869460861873936,
                  0.43311561715049013,
                  0.42665283629995887,
                  0.44012862716617557,
                  0.48683226104537497,
                  0.4699280766987921,
                  0.4475013886975289,
                  0.4299640334798916,
                  0.4535864129837444,
                  0.48849641096862856,
                  0.4596172723520629,
                  0.4322379405002914,
                  0.43419638725068654,
                  0.4724542199071603,
                  0.42914664398663566,
                  0.4373205272257517,
                  0.47042695166109,
                  0.45012910259569633,
                  0.44192877804299024,
                  0.469625424443561,
                  0.43731801020639594,
                  0.4501365530815326,
                  0.46908018947556185,
                  0.4449840852631641
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.29825575485974437,
                  0.21622371360761158,
                  0.20529380820117263,
                  0.19945943586596476,
                  0.2888879951240556,
                  0.18498326251733183,
                  0.2241884015664348,
                  0.15031951225540838,
                  0.1653421700264499,
                  0.34601048058511663,
                  0.15745656852260215,
                  0.2834405232384396,
                  0.2692013263396304,
                  0.15535050498516292,
                  0.16908006912742873,
                  0.21582240476433148,
                  0.30489381768914736,
                  0.1751995432654992,
                  0.19417950270432663,
                  0.1793364487982971,
                  0.19910254391207807,
                  0.17468807768667438,
                  0.29843506419050075,
                  0.29952448041943386
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3202155820245851,
                  0.22042082449139921,
                  0.20454162041781745,
                  0.19948218298248652,
                  0.3125806880673776,
                  0.18448136588560546,
                  0.22913049092557836,
                  0.15295472997404608,
                  0.1677260825661108,
                  0.3549551412119517,
                  0.1682634298872238,
                  0.2764274862652953,
                  0.2678113388378291,
                  0.15419544029267795,
                  0.18153898139271196,
                  0.21783066808659152,
                  0.30487529872678765,
                  0.1813710861448971,
                  0.19692950527067277,
                  0.1748368638176133,
                  0.19893691471111052,
                  0.1688323879354228,
                  0.3166162717700402,
                  0.2856578644701919
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15560981968552565,
                  0.2168692580371084,
                  0.2220247542684464,
                  0.24282013434208916,
                  0.16057765488416878,
                  0.30184619961440196,
                  0.2117966606677688,
                  0.27002466007471226,
                  0.2743207926740091,
                  0.12173190720094385,
                  0.27571611143911706,
                  0.16401251608880454,
                  0.16430404655015585,
                  0.3224734916863235,
                  0.23504148236987663,
                  0.21582145328731497,
                  0.1668604428119562,
                  0.26438124607058805,
                  0.2438682830766379,
                  0.29956503589887556,
                  0.23942178979490034,
                  0.28709079820700534,
                  0.1356614929041356,
                  0.1876739719493502
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1667305041791274,
                  0.212694792636688,
                  0.22211121585973861,
                  0.24064644416128617,
                  0.17425157298003563,
                  0.28544671079078393,
                  0.21837089778824334,
                  0.27700930350187725,
                  0.2858603303944614,
                  0.13354126973425637,
                  0.29135384244241846,
                  0.1558104542125932,
                  0.16638504840470472,
                  0.3182587795919011,
                  0.24760766262868203,
                  0.2194898591401801,
                  0.1655516529506078,
                  0.2687580164671699,
                  0.24499927277333824,
                  0.294788560635156,
                  0.23838109549630468,
                  0.2813041651646206,
                  0.1524639177249777,
                  0.15932622079399056
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.34280532837877,
                  23.67561387832935,
                  16.982263679116514,
                  20.543383860070904,
                  25.985725494772982,
                  31.397338716615394,
                  17.948315512376254,
                  16.88851829499412,
                  17.5183449188522,
                  18.6210674481692,
                  19.271848987134813,
                  20.070956015225384,
                  17.346087230376146,
                  25.135734075323807,
                  16.70942706910282,
                  18.90794220566385,
                  20.522912176551795,
                  21.375937520133835,
                  18.85329768062273,
                  25.436914942185687,
                  18.759439893936985,
                  21.05839266641648,
                  20.24217185253526,
                  27.801415474182612
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.50573408767415,
                  20.83057272098966,
                  15.384713855323458,
                  18.348619796571146,
                  24.833990712013843,
                  25.690950303673365,
                  18.785353190982665,
                  17.33500505990353,
                  18.087780250289807,
                  20.142766859727907,
                  20.325407851377147,
                  15.896880844511065,
                  16.450574540440684,
                  22.381877815816505,
                  17.12509460409629,
                  18.780040871450467,
                  19.576441073305176,
                  20.057000221067682,
                  17.794707369190313,
                  23.531910254268485,
                  17.52675521093812,
                  18.71292159075082,
                  19.191330002304415,
                  19.855645712754207
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.61553511285259,
                  22.948908518422186,
                  16.23608915568919,
                  19.838522524813136,
                  25.34765096224877,
                  30.615436990062307,
                  17.202870195221017,
                  16.086397284427402,
                  16.731497832199686,
                  17.937204309392754,
                  18.62476011065208,
                  19.29945554068861,
                  16.626955840711314,
                  24.37391558667287,
                  15.924585931390247,
                  18.138233215915307,
                  19.74396622020508,
                  20.53958311898959,
                  18.018677155054352,
                  24.747830179359337,
                  17.96628250732779,
                  20.406104863941056,
                  19.53459330505529,
                  27.01585146730542
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  30.697545948289488,
                  20.00216647295597,
                  14.545993480650242,
                  17.515512880119996,
                  24.013166695023745,
                  24.871749316212938,
                  17.953073421111842,
                  16.499978418572333,
                  17.25417931954646,
                  19.313057949078193,
                  19.496044851696468,
                  15.059130483074949,
                  15.613872841307472,
                  21.556409645613932,
                  16.289670405083633,
                  17.947751040368416,
                  18.74565957593875,
                  19.227128873602325,
                  16.96055137617215,
                  22.708620175805393,
                  16.692091732771754,
                  17.880504639818948,
                  18.359819127909574,
                  19.025393012053403
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44725789211358796,
              "rpss": 0.011744367241483089,
              "brier_below": 0.2231114754272018,
              "bss_below": 0.015795434781057605,
              "brier_above": 0.224146416816009,
              "bss_above": 0.007678749240240257,
              "crps": 21.141493955044496,
              "crpss": -0.061159998383180536,
              "crps_fair": 20.39670449702489,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06828863155911136,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    9.8e-05,
                    0.170885,
                    0.683737,
                    0.144125,
                    0.001155,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1856,
                    0.2812,
                    0.3463,
                    0.4313,
                    0.5141,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.2552,
                    0.3499,
                    0.4421,
                    0.5143,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    6.6e-05,
                    0.142008,
                    0.733654,
                    0.121409,
                    0.002864,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1814,
                    0.2839,
                    0.3459,
                    0.4238,
                    0.509,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.279,
                    0.3466,
                    0.4107,
                    0.2874,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4561581242289806,
                  0.448914513730661,
                  0.42651699350564426,
                  0.44035771458442147,
                  0.4585304600964625,
                  0.509870409562589,
                  0.4390325851126692,
                  0.41788159104588096,
                  0.4435521897544795,
                  0.46107391686547994,
                  0.41878262664204724,
                  0.45545811117882384,
                  0.43883676873922844,
                  0.4579679674709074,
                  0.4135642943714705,
                  0.43148400534795844,
                  0.459517610720292,
                  0.4488943407347849,
                  0.43584177518836476,
                  0.4594547436770099,
                  0.43210084114869024,
                  0.41698821053202123,
                  0.4457768707319209,
                  0.5270654480913285
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48743050991631937,
                  0.4500701624584457,
                  0.4265242004143022,
                  0.4390098244777031,
                  0.49139482584164884,
                  0.494693701774444,
                  0.4545856811469357,
                  0.43593834610889776,
                  0.4580519634274834,
                  0.47701006345194874,
                  0.4352766490847659,
                  0.4325868375773595,
                  0.4393322155734538,
                  0.45819407461226264,
                  0.4258449859445512,
                  0.4429956010693269,
                  0.46917288320447564,
                  0.4504464390301668,
                  0.43726520584675527,
                  0.45476639467496144,
                  0.4364531411048688,
                  0.42034369581379755,
                  0.4673311154491269,
                  0.4820108972087676
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2897870487260266,
                  0.2131726092523239,
                  0.18667961209764605,
                  0.17359039733485734,
                  0.3008750687391894,
                  0.18018683154931428,
                  0.19879135324487576,
                  0.15053376645684655,
                  0.1832971072439266,
                  0.3360395943681278,
                  0.17909327750024334,
                  0.2808539636964233,
                  0.2846346057364644,
                  0.14690516603868442,
                  0.1889213242377153,
                  0.2119269470514999,
                  0.2856209627777989,
                  0.197363387605872,
                  0.17920156274460114,
                  0.17109474287154994,
                  0.20636023143112264,
                  0.16959915946356494,
                  0.31277671585055383,
                  0.3503506559383663
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3104072285253455,
                  0.21673480811611381,
                  0.18558730667959258,
                  0.17603508945959234,
                  0.32028208459781965,
                  0.17926314118722866,
                  0.20608332860378822,
                  0.16099647389177257,
                  0.18759330134707142,
                  0.33954533961604677,
                  0.1874236505788654,
                  0.26795152854435594,
                  0.28077112311215474,
                  0.14729671030580527,
                  0.19608173063938172,
                  0.21470894001819776,
                  0.2912022736927969,
                  0.20165084148960713,
                  0.18095977006653313,
                  0.1684004312888114,
                  0.20718324254548248,
                  0.16958622943392032,
                  0.3193885527201346,
                  0.32447550978521345
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16637107560132627,
                  0.23574190428226835,
                  0.23983738156388582,
                  0.26676731836069034,
                  0.15765539116797267,
                  0.32968357925538366,
                  0.2402412320075496,
                  0.2673478252005547,
                  0.26025508280402704,
                  0.12503432154447963,
                  0.23968934902848285,
                  0.174604146881349,
                  0.15420216153204722,
                  0.3110628026930029,
                  0.22464296998513875,
                  0.2195570578358605,
                  0.17389664757838633,
                  0.25153095335372394,
                  0.25664021309217333,
                  0.2883600019601831,
                  0.2257406096357708,
                  0.24738905214855886,
                  0.13300015471249407,
                  0.17671479199059748
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17702328139097373,
                  0.23333535434233188,
                  0.24093689373470956,
                  0.2629747350181107,
                  0.1711127412438291,
                  0.3154305605872152,
                  0.24850235254314745,
                  0.274941872217125,
                  0.2704586620804119,
                  0.13746472383590178,
                  0.24785299850590042,
                  0.1646353090330035,
                  0.15856109246129885,
                  0.31089736430645726,
                  0.22976325530516944,
                  0.2282866610511291,
                  0.17797060951167862,
                  0.24879559754055963,
                  0.256305435780222,
                  0.28636596338614995,
                  0.2292698985593863,
                  0.2507574663798771,
                  0.14794256272899212,
                  0.15753538742355408
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.39386949160502,
                  36.81330683426739,
                  25.5606742976684,
                  31.344190390322304,
                  40.04473321773673,
                  46.65180905477569,
                  28.06734561073834,
                  25.15522106647524,
                  26.17020778222306,
                  28.72509768393106,
                  25.394180369762356,
                  31.844853006771807,
                  26.7027121883422,
                  33.29498716897828,
                  25.115390337765746,
                  28.24626567024408,
                  30.769019784822866,
                  33.21195223612387,
                  28.323769467106217,
                  37.121036637115346,
                  26.666027983971688,
                  24.62685033955645,
                  33.003424072605746,
                  43.07088398821
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  49.57656865028093,
                  32.96040380943106,
                  23.338961685869542,
                  28.247352936237633,
                  38.77143887837504,
                  40.075400748993,
                  30.044498290231484,
                  26.420742022616203,
                  27.19914339939457,
                  30.474463908758302,
                  25.997698532993468,
                  24.664015955947068,
                  25.497247064245567,
                  30.559056130702682,
                  25.223022089283898,
                  28.82789187164294,
                  30.59933260802571,
                  31.14965624843492,
                  26.757510478633222,
                  34.73556146951894,
                  25.69189133881856,
                  22.368377050704193,
                  29.705255183554968,
                  32.58994873293396
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.33068252504481,
                  35.78059095434693,
                  24.4527567784962,
                  30.287265495016733,
                  39.045824128344734,
                  45.55043376947127,
                  26.97727708801893,
                  23.99015244108989,
                  25.019208140390454,
                  27.735237267545507,
                  24.44912885856862,
                  30.721293089082444,
                  25.654397059547584,
                  32.18613996278942,
                  23.996734104937165,
                  27.134295452890754,
                  29.65621838626801,
                  32.02073022034932,
                  27.131586129112275,
                  36.11649570787397,
                  25.498279954733743,
                  23.637488031304006,
                  31.90746221821405,
                  41.95173166914368
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  48.36096752564688,
                  31.71333267562872,
                  22.07366812380289,
                  26.991355569720923,
                  37.53537349280934,
                  38.84180498818226,
                  28.79190460809734,
                  25.161285165732785,
                  25.941160787542934,
                  29.222684555447124,
                  24.7374404573797,
                  23.40123196636163,
                  24.23604116388039,
                  29.30743698993307,
                  23.961296823435838,
                  27.57299401068571,
                  29.347789748463143,
                  29.899155668494338,
                  25.498691440795294,
                  33.49185237673951,
                  24.4310540829128,
                  21.101245260161853,
                  28.452018995536967,
                  31.34217597966858
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44765092137758816,
              "rpss": 0.011328827418699672,
              "brier_below": 0.22406900383156644,
              "bss_below": 0.011389154704114168,
              "brier_above": 0.22358191767566282,
              "bss_above": 0.011268360746315653,
              "crps": 31.59657536171333,
              "crpss": -0.051065313660829226,
              "crps_fair": 30.50964205969085,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05903474501797512,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.183841,
                    0.715041,
                    0.100564,
                    0.000554,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2826,
                    0.3437,
                    0.4309,
                    0.5073,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2787,
                    0.3521,
                    0.4367,
                    0.455,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.15505,
                    0.743912,
                    0.100231,
                    0.000807,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2841,
                    0.3446,
                    0.42,
                    0.509,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2673,
                    0.3503,
                    0.4295,
                    0.4995,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4924766025170631,
                  0.4145749215495814,
                  0.42632932138604174,
                  0.4355194368424914,
                  0.41589626637503285,
                  0.4261992280937999,
                  0.4476690493752082,
                  0.4693103453295587,
                  0.4436378073953042
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4870055947178849,
                  0.42143281565336166,
                  0.4461656033354792,
                  0.4898169267269451,
                  0.409710504473286,
                  0.4328402132818921,
                  0.481437726284207,
                  0.5046306428050635,
                  0.4618523477225761
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1607323166968371,
                  0.17953834339564798,
                  0.2228834004820631,
                  0.13511077556420018,
                  0.23939318710225027,
                  0.22336871428494628,
                  0.31328896633448017,
                  0.16672404310943295,
                  0.14616870761189807
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1614439450337624,
                  0.1816624432294703,
                  0.23775382310536425,
                  0.15106275351725754,
                  0.24150138386167241,
                  0.22891616263738787,
                  0.3354019372244457,
                  0.1752044871830586,
                  0.15555314716681815
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3317442675491793,
                  0.23503657534651512,
                  0.20344592396481895,
                  0.30040864408546675,
                  0.17650308997225275,
                  0.20283051883538236,
                  0.13438009479430252,
                  0.3025862851059701,
                  0.2974690873552899
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3255616312349862,
                  0.23977036919747338,
                  0.2084117826700664,
                  0.3387541525544384,
                  0.16820913018134312,
                  0.20392405388684642,
                  0.14603580259439067,
                  0.32942613657571873,
                  0.30629918549199875
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.27698232555992,
                  15.523654595805871,
                  18.086983499775695,
                  27.166132370316028,
                  15.363698196958065,
                  18.232856213933857,
                  20.640193122189046,
                  29.85170714547132,
                  26.15948663601023
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.21024020824127,
                  14.872246430786253,
                  18.409970210564648,
                  31.11807114784039,
                  13.520669199455181,
                  16.78306002701278,
                  24.29613597010876,
                  31.10996240254287,
                  27.087652937999966
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.928281456721233,
                  15.174557366205908,
                  17.717129776114035,
                  26.74724867763493,
                  14.9976297069508,
                  17.826557716976453,
                  20.28529193112507,
                  29.45502076651383,
                  25.732593689956374
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.414703625458667,
                  14.076709848003654,
                  17.614433627782052,
                  30.32253456505779,
                  12.725132616672582,
                  15.98752344423017,
                  23.50059938732616,
                  30.31442581976026,
                  26.292116355217367
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44129033098489795,
              "rpss": 0.03948818526058673,
              "brier_below": 0.19857871717575068,
              "bss_below": 0.04350635524122404,
              "brier_above": 0.2427116096676864,
              "bss_above": 0.036175449144395744,
              "crps": 22.03352156733556,
              "crpss": 0.020287312039983463,
              "crps_fair": 21.65159012091096,
              "crpss_fair": 0.001966052655174133,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.304025,
                    0.64414,
                    0.051835,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2836,
                    0.3377,
                    0.4182,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1518,
                    0.3261,
                    0.6324,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.143752,
                    0.705617,
                    0.150631,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2877,
                    0.3465,
                    0.4223,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2962,
                    0.4074,
                    0.6111,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4856895000550431,
                  0.4176280112124235,
                  0.4406262690831309,
                  0.4619504434717077,
                  0.39207015683841734,
                  0.42627835912502404,
                  0.46034601665284647,
                  0.48965661883165695,
                  0.4603346061840145
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4833705205269806,
                  0.4217325829401401,
                  0.45787504847516347,
                  0.4926249194603664,
                  0.3921209549450236,
                  0.43537634701428846,
                  0.49987785514849153,
                  0.4942486608765802,
                  0.4798942598444907
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1470751002432754,
                  0.1808061991945858,
                  0.22649046860451186,
                  0.14482013751314743,
                  0.2018490637783789,
                  0.22579001764690773,
                  0.3522413806661433,
                  0.2069138449698656,
                  0.13876201296120702
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15085429028643993,
                  0.18069014092771118,
                  0.23635213812422837,
                  0.15606245330081414,
                  0.2033330363555721,
                  0.227991658943322,
                  0.3775149581530766,
                  0.20912215532462194,
                  0.14738561477662931
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.33861438011185235,
                  0.23682180879388262,
                  0.21413580051705786,
                  0.3171302877837804,
                  0.19022109976826987,
                  0.2004883452366325,
                  0.10810465206200742,
                  0.2827427633790448,
                  0.3215725754248863
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3325162105184372,
                  0.24104243864711158,
                  0.22152291047598155,
                  0.33656244571392563,
                  0.18878792456796986,
                  0.20738469072412372,
                  0.12236291485165149,
                  0.28512649430379705,
                  0.33250862534711423
                ],
                "crps": [
                  41.55773026327633,
                  23.66197955219619,
                  27.905067589759096,
                  40.35353641065343,
                  22.460924969145772,
                  27.32832601259547,
                  32.98141866844997,
                  44.56734420748744,
                  40.075547758834226
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  39.145523273068626,
                  22.643913019787092,
                  29.008121722013154,
                  43.28444006396797,
                  20.589043753169044,
                  26.078049611235418,
                  38.88164859631245,
                  43.764166543124,
                  41.3116571073202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.0434710743438,
                  23.153051237742208,
                  27.380557149852798,
                  39.76435607786426,
                  21.93405697769543,
                  26.756793224009943,
                  32.44678679676224,
                  44.00201459102694,
                  39.480234630287306
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  37.945151810469554,
                  21.44354155718803,
                  27.807750259414085,
                  42.084068601368905,
                  19.388672290569982,
                  24.87767814863636,
                  37.681277133713394,
                  42.56379508052493,
                  40.111285644721136
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4482866646060294,
              "rpss": 0.02947741077979238,
              "brier_below": 0.20274980284200256,
              "bss_below": 0.03417032781764906,
              "brier_above": 0.24553685700860153,
              "bss_above": 0.025567760549135454,
              "crps": 33.43243060359977,
              "crpss": 0.012519219183873886,
              "crps_fair": 32.88459130662055,
              "crpss_fair": -0.007002649475194467,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.282078,
                    0.688466,
                    0.029457,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.286,
                    0.335,
                    0.4139,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1851,
                    0.3197,
                    0.818,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.17623,
                    0.729099,
                    0.094671,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2876,
                    0.3431,
                    0.4193,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3017,
                    0.4278,
                    0.6076,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "eqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.730025549819047,
            "training": [
              0.7795521080786404,
              0.7332443668994643,
              0.7269131971335618,
              0.728188541023248,
              0.7734196398769085,
              0.7148391852458567,
              0.7500169426197258,
              0.7355689316270364,
              0.745746624278578,
              0.7605086318475552,
              0.7437095269025823,
              0.7008542106091347,
              0.72256024250504,
              0.711603495553195,
              0.7521745624260877,
              0.7269911402382668,
              0.7252129731917386,
              0.7396730662913278,
              0.7308113523006924,
              0.7048124365105004,
              0.7119682413765203,
              0.6738581310746135,
              0.7697767922543154,
              0.6586088557925358
            ],
            "test": 0.7528801141427616
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4572607164706582,
                  0.4334797471879109,
                  0.4310500969790947,
                  0.4451085307432508,
                  0.45116879272305305,
                  0.48380238326102165,
                  0.43432162018353665,
                  0.4214537100820997,
                  0.442319701745573,
                  0.46817908029288796,
                  0.43763109885748414,
                  0.4489305099335078,
                  0.43661816371515755,
                  0.4807487111838953,
                  0.4094221535080602,
                  0.4410166698454618,
                  0.4718882338392561,
                  0.442774947289138,
                  0.4423948581638051,
                  0.48674644465226746,
                  0.4409797558305377,
                  0.46781981095406394,
                  0.4333183034332855,
                  0.48894515332010313
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4869460861873936,
                  0.43311561715049013,
                  0.42665283629995887,
                  0.44012862716617557,
                  0.48683226104537497,
                  0.4699280766987921,
                  0.4475013886975289,
                  0.4299640334798916,
                  0.4535864129837444,
                  0.48849641096862856,
                  0.4596172723520629,
                  0.4322379405002914,
                  0.43419638725068654,
                  0.4724542199071603,
                  0.42914664398663566,
                  0.4373205272257517,
                  0.47042695166109,
                  0.45012910259569633,
                  0.44192877804299024,
                  0.469625424443561,
                  0.43731801020639594,
                  0.4501365530815326,
                  0.46908018947556185,
                  0.4449840852631641
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.30155584657430884,
                  0.21970367141386585,
                  0.20745279561120641,
                  0.20216438277814247,
                  0.28829433554831263,
                  0.1852240903674751,
                  0.2236169237062137,
                  0.150410397036226,
                  0.1643542694720343,
                  0.347698769336136,
                  0.15496111192229764,
                  0.28507135062591477,
                  0.2708806153996791,
                  0.15628662041666666,
                  0.17058709394098412,
                  0.22061559834325906,
                  0.30526701985598725,
                  0.1770966795269676,
                  0.1976584481267012,
                  0.18324793572033699,
                  0.19975686774077228,
                  0.17162207173177155,
                  0.29556896975734603,
                  0.29978208429351144
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3202155820245851,
                  0.22042082449139921,
                  0.20454162041781745,
                  0.19948218298248652,
                  0.3125806880673776,
                  0.18448136588560546,
                  0.22913049092557836,
                  0.15295472997404608,
                  0.1677260825661108,
                  0.3549551412119517,
                  0.1682634298872238,
                  0.2764274862652953,
                  0.2678113388378291,
                  0.15419544029267795,
                  0.18153898139271196,
                  0.21783066808659152,
                  0.30487529872678765,
                  0.1813710861448971,
                  0.19692950527067277,
                  0.1748368638176133,
                  0.19893691471111052,
                  0.1688323879354228,
                  0.3166162717700402,
                  0.2856578644701919
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15570486972434222,
                  0.21377607580003402,
                  0.2235973014142623,
                  0.24294414853400154,
                  0.16287445705655879,
                  0.2985782957266953,
                  0.21070469552067522,
                  0.2710433140218079,
                  0.277965433132068,
                  0.12048030871761624,
                  0.2826699873098171,
                  0.1638591575336657,
                  0.16573754608508476,
                  0.3244620925136224,
                  0.23883505923600434,
                  0.22040107116825838,
                  0.1666212128937496,
                  0.26567826846856596,
                  0.24473641033749066,
                  0.30349851082717344,
                  0.2412228884860065,
                  0.2961977415780073,
                  0.13774933381693463,
                  0.18916306926691284
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1667305041791274,
                  0.212694792636688,
                  0.22211121585973861,
                  0.24064644416128617,
                  0.17425157298003563,
                  0.28544671079078393,
                  0.21837089778824334,
                  0.27700930350187725,
                  0.2858603303944614,
                  0.13354126973425637,
                  0.29135384244241846,
                  0.1558104542125932,
                  0.16638504840470472,
                  0.3182587795919011,
                  0.24760766262868203,
                  0.2194898591401801,
                  0.1655516529506078,
                  0.2687580164671699,
                  0.24499927277333824,
                  0.294788560635156,
                  0.23838109549630468,
                  0.2813041651646206,
                  0.1524639177249777,
                  0.15932622079399056
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.49854957065116,
                  23.051809812968923,
                  16.801906810598158,
                  20.154616641066166,
                  23.335560514167135,
                  29.775596348075425,
                  17.424112138425205,
                  16.124532213382633,
                  16.932251284322795,
                  18.405280898325362,
                  19.65476484630212,
                  19.865298470676063,
                  17.184250412774198,
                  23.914248115039435,
                  16.929201294875774,
                  19.80991320889442,
                  20.127776066223696,
                  20.684737403923233,
                  18.57863642377186,
                  25.811596633625204,
                  18.18601164663908,
                  20.97885444188454,
                  18.25231585572325,
                  26.57088993554159
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.50573408767415,
                  20.83057272098966,
                  15.384713855323458,
                  18.348619796571146,
                  24.833990712013843,
                  25.690950303673365,
                  18.785353190982665,
                  17.33500505990353,
                  18.087780250289807,
                  20.142766859727907,
                  20.325407851377147,
                  15.896880844511065,
                  16.450574540440684,
                  22.381877815816505,
                  17.12509460409629,
                  18.780040871450467,
                  19.576441073305176,
                  20.057000221067682,
                  17.794707369190313,
                  23.531910254268485,
                  17.52675521093812,
                  18.71292159075082,
                  19.191330002304415,
                  19.855645712754207
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.85907461147279,
                  22.368255654915046,
                  16.08768875148159,
                  19.46596790947938,
                  22.735663003801868,
                  29.06733353112135,
                  16.718056487375964,
                  15.369438161630747,
                  16.221991103102305,
                  17.767623505847148,
                  19.03393464161625,
                  19.163989914317373,
                  16.500073778293448,
                  23.217205146955276,
                  16.196841332832225,
                  19.10376815633573,
                  19.41131189638019,
                  19.93637023297021,
                  17.819513239197807,
                  25.171971102398995,
                  17.432369393625777,
                  20.3353966661983,
                  17.554625990165317,
                  25.864602999777848
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  30.697545948289488,
                  20.00216647295597,
                  14.545993480650242,
                  17.515512880119996,
                  24.013166695023745,
                  24.871749316212938,
                  17.953073421111842,
                  16.499978418572333,
                  17.25417931954646,
                  19.313057949078193,
                  19.496044851696468,
                  15.059130483074949,
                  15.613872841307472,
                  21.556409645613932,
                  16.289670405083633,
                  17.947751040368416,
                  18.74565957593875,
                  19.227128873602325,
                  16.96055137617215,
                  22.708620175805393,
                  16.692091732771754,
                  17.880504639818948,
                  18.359819127909574,
                  19.025393012053403
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44989079975812957,
              "rpss": 0.0059267263319955354,
              "brier_below": 0.22411991455192157,
              "bss_below": 0.01134693929962094,
              "brier_above": 0.22577088538205647,
              "bss_above": 0.00048704525416509714,
              "crps": 20.62719629116156,
              "crpss": -0.03534573429498589,
              "crps_fair": 19.93346113380387,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04402600527816469,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000164,
                    0.115286,
                    0.803855,
                    0.080696,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1837,
                    0.2804,
                    0.3456,
                    0.4235,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5996,
                    0.3038,
                    0.3377,
                    0.5038,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    6.6e-05,
                    0.104248,
                    0.814409,
                    0.080421,
                    0.000857,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1788,
                    0.2883,
                    0.3468,
                    0.4258,
                    0.5038,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.3261,
                    0.3472,
                    0.3443,
                    0.1154,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4598171754193617,
                  0.4530254376562866,
                  0.43330629123365105,
                  0.4458874885663251,
                  0.4579393407439922,
                  0.5085594621093615,
                  0.43957808553128,
                  0.4198378726232375,
                  0.4449166719599039,
                  0.46090205825221214,
                  0.4249706559680028,
                  0.4606270713890542,
                  0.4432241406818791,
                  0.45946023494025373,
                  0.41790910114487806,
                  0.4423714311593846,
                  0.46309992803837613,
                  0.45216384036693497,
                  0.442103901966345,
                  0.4653792276280892,
                  0.4350069503406807,
                  0.4272932067696393,
                  0.4437413553414289,
                  0.5321102378394481
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48743050991631937,
                  0.4500701624584457,
                  0.4265242004143022,
                  0.4390098244777031,
                  0.49139482584164884,
                  0.494693701774444,
                  0.4545856811469357,
                  0.43593834610889776,
                  0.4580519634274834,
                  0.47701006345194874,
                  0.4352766490847659,
                  0.4325868375773595,
                  0.4393322155734538,
                  0.45819407461226264,
                  0.4258449859445512,
                  0.4429956010693269,
                  0.46917288320447564,
                  0.4504464390301668,
                  0.43726520584675527,
                  0.45476639467496144,
                  0.4364531411048688,
                  0.42034369581379755,
                  0.4673311154491269,
                  0.4820108972087676
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2924462510151994,
                  0.217762355534079,
                  0.18950769844900706,
                  0.17809848292254019,
                  0.29726094994378616,
                  0.1832951291064774,
                  0.19921026622670146,
                  0.15451236877510133,
                  0.18376270476822495,
                  0.3342726366478131,
                  0.18015272132223223,
                  0.28239988131234023,
                  0.28589019639651464,
                  0.14758946618484003,
                  0.1909069653779716,
                  0.2163711463036547,
                  0.28720616259681037,
                  0.20309141267024106,
                  0.18372198967174277,
                  0.17403807589513762,
                  0.20768142772611212,
                  0.17078852057195534,
                  0.30701297675837086,
                  0.3523623362503838
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3104072285253455,
                  0.21673480811611381,
                  0.18558730667959258,
                  0.17603508945959234,
                  0.32028208459781965,
                  0.17926314118722866,
                  0.20608332860378822,
                  0.16099647389177257,
                  0.18759330134707142,
                  0.33954533961604677,
                  0.1874236505788654,
                  0.26795152854435594,
                  0.28077112311215474,
                  0.14729671030580527,
                  0.19608173063938172,
                  0.21470894001819776,
                  0.2912022736927969,
                  0.20165084148960713,
                  0.18095977006653313,
                  0.1684004312888114,
                  0.20718324254548248,
                  0.16958622943392032,
                  0.3193885527201346,
                  0.32447550978521345
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16737092429246941,
                  0.23526308290375292,
                  0.24379859380053873,
                  0.2677890069670009,
                  0.16067839062647626,
                  0.3252643366632118,
                  0.24036781896327733,
                  0.2653255041789578,
                  0.26115396739104224,
                  0.12662941930956867,
                  0.24481793421154122,
                  0.178227188713774,
                  0.1573339417400256,
                  0.31187077039409994,
                  0.22700213591223306,
                  0.22600028427221877,
                  0.17589376477698068,
                  0.24907242848109298,
                  0.2583819126572258,
                  0.29134115348265666,
                  0.22732552300472844,
                  0.2565046870740752,
                  0.13672837848947714,
                  0.1797479015258534
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17702328139097373,
                  0.23333535434233188,
                  0.24093689373470956,
                  0.2629747350181107,
                  0.1711127412438291,
                  0.3154305605872152,
                  0.24850235254314745,
                  0.274941872217125,
                  0.2704586620804119,
                  0.13746472383590178,
                  0.24785299850590042,
                  0.1646353090330035,
                  0.15856109246129885,
                  0.31089736430645726,
                  0.22976325530516944,
                  0.2282866610511291,
                  0.17797060951167862,
                  0.24879559754055963,
                  0.256305435780222,
                  0.28636596338614995,
                  0.2292698985593863,
                  0.2507574663798771,
                  0.14794256272899212,
                  0.15753538742355408
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.56017017757436,
                  36.30667841697287,
                  25.60507703652744,
                  31.177707491725418,
                  35.75090599030388,
                  44.040629289759664,
                  27.815942259202874,
                  24.19274111623802,
                  25.098413293029548,
                  28.120133545810532,
                  25.908231034984546,
                  31.628075515374707,
                  26.682014038270207,
                  31.671450742024277,
                  25.726389656526536,
                  30.00047766584191,
                  30.423560564707632,
                  32.305928377401685,
                  28.17549148950218,
                  37.69627551270302,
                  26.229354104833796,
                  25.01809025568391,
                  30.28302228446854,
                  41.42670137851543
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  49.57656865028093,
                  32.96040380943106,
                  23.338961685869542,
                  28.247352936237633,
                  38.77143887837504,
                  40.075400748993,
                  30.044498290231484,
                  26.420742022616203,
                  27.19914339939457,
                  30.474463908758302,
                  25.997698532993468,
                  24.664015955947068,
                  25.497247064245567,
                  30.559056130702682,
                  25.223022089283898,
                  28.82789187164294,
                  30.59933260802571,
                  31.14965624843492,
                  26.757510478633222,
                  34.73556146951894,
                  25.69189133881856,
                  22.368377050704193,
                  29.705255183554968,
                  32.58994873293396
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.595981604658924,
                  35.304145403785206,
                  24.513214336702,
                  30.113359978167207,
                  34.785391869039636,
                  42.99766443208193,
                  26.74319508873598,
                  23.055895468982413,
                  24.01768587532954,
                  27.158164883713376,
                  24.96263874076618,
                  30.571656574061734,
                  25.650137351244858,
                  30.610040412866418,
                  24.633044735463805,
                  28.938372811797354,
                  29.365931122649997,
                  31.18738464239308,
                  27.051927066411825,
                  36.72132946326222,
                  25.082864433769718,
                  24.011215013190114,
                  29.174113976160452,
                  40.37770400428179
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  48.36096752564688,
                  31.71333267562872,
                  22.07366812380289,
                  26.991355569720923,
                  37.53537349280934,
                  38.84180498818226,
                  28.79190460809734,
                  25.161285165732785,
                  25.941160787542934,
                  29.222684555447124,
                  24.7374404573797,
                  23.40123196636163,
                  24.23604116388039,
                  29.30743698993307,
                  23.961296823435838,
                  27.57299401068571,
                  29.347789748463143,
                  29.899155668494338,
                  25.498691440795294,
                  33.49185237673951,
                  24.4310540829128,
                  21.101245260161853,
                  28.452018995536967,
                  31.34217597966858
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4513846319862503,
              "rpss": 0.003082643016385944,
              "brier_below": 0.22580592176780154,
              "bss_below": 0.003725730134950034,
              "brier_above": 0.22557871040967833,
              "bss_above": 0.0024380753024945134,
              "crps": 30.993477551582625,
              "crpss": -0.031003165098320684,
              "crps_fair": 29.94262747039649,
              "crpss_fair": -0.039352831024359824,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.103828,
                    0.814727,
                    0.081445,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2829,
                    0.3446,
                    0.4227,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3645,
                    0.3307,
                    0.4905,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.092354,
                    0.836474,
                    0.071173,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2889,
                    0.3474,
                    0.4202,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3176,
                    0.3484,
                    0.3476,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4945102609208902,
                  0.41759264973651805,
                  0.43057512786123675,
                  0.43576718558153893,
                  0.4193753812857054,
                  0.42756110853967927,
                  0.45274858542455726,
                  0.4693179092533109,
                  0.44351231298252947
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4870055947178849,
                  0.42143281565336166,
                  0.4461656033354792,
                  0.4898169267269451,
                  0.409710504473286,
                  0.4328402132818921,
                  0.481437726284207,
                  0.5046306428050635,
                  0.4618523477225761
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16458383661212914,
                  0.18060478451388048,
                  0.22666666839760793,
                  0.1381324805470044,
                  0.24473290966909664,
                  0.22610144685370417,
                  0.3154966002991555,
                  0.16618787205014648,
                  0.1489110971869874
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1614439450337624,
                  0.1816624432294703,
                  0.23775382310536425,
                  0.15106275351725754,
                  0.24150138386167241,
                  0.22891616263738787,
                  0.3354019372244457,
                  0.1752044871830586,
                  0.15555314716681815
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.32992640610446083,
                  0.23698786235672376,
                  0.20390846248542857,
                  0.29763468762001843,
                  0.17464248156276246,
                  0.20145966659802952,
                  0.13725199727034454,
                  0.3031300196526604,
                  0.294601203110567
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3255616312349862,
                  0.23977036919747338,
                  0.2084117826700664,
                  0.3387541525544384,
                  0.16820913018134312,
                  0.20392405388684642,
                  0.14603580259439067,
                  0.32942613657571873,
                  0.30629918549199875
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.24148232559185,
                  14.772977330485832,
                  17.504892119906405,
                  25.523934678961222,
                  14.962299943775212,
                  17.50600224958736,
                  20.47030444353554,
                  29.60558830841405,
                  25.325097682164476
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.21024020824127,
                  14.872246430786253,
                  18.409970210564648,
                  31.11807114784039,
                  13.520669199455181,
                  16.78306002701278,
                  24.29613597010876,
                  31.10996240254287,
                  27.087652937999966
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.909508794412982,
                  14.440104742759832,
                  17.160941707454462,
                  25.151749226685016,
                  14.617608431717105,
                  17.140941434424654,
                  20.138571913952173,
                  29.247073725062112,
                  24.95287609797036
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.414703625458667,
                  14.076709848003654,
                  17.614433627782052,
                  30.32253456505779,
                  12.725132616672582,
                  15.98752344423017,
                  23.50059938732616,
                  30.31442581976026,
                  26.292116355217367
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4434400579539962,
              "rpss": 0.03480909304554902,
              "brier_below": 0.20126863290330135,
              "bss_below": 0.03054984441805364,
              "brier_above": 0.24217142075122172,
              "bss_above": 0.038320576608638635,
              "crps": 21.323619898046886,
              "crpss": 0.051852836891770115,
              "crps_fair": 20.973264008270966,
              "crpss_fair": 0.03323361702363725,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000175,
                    0.233412,
                    0.751091,
                    0.015322,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1922,
                    0.2822,
                    0.3355,
                    0.4091,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0,
                    0.1521,
                    0.3236,
                    0.6804,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.068847,
                    0.834119,
                    0.097034,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2864,
                    0.3452,
                    0.4193,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1989,
                    0.4061,
                    0.7184,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4857948425970152,
                  0.419562207888554,
                  0.44177010488122503,
                  0.4585563145342837,
                  0.3959704912762604,
                  0.42705896948725064,
                  0.46099998733496783,
                  0.48770557578052887,
                  0.46279342303874876
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4833705205269806,
                  0.4217325829401401,
                  0.45787504847516347,
                  0.4926249194603664,
                  0.3921209549450236,
                  0.43537634701428846,
                  0.49987785514849153,
                  0.4942486608765802,
                  0.4798942598444907
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15191019257349683,
                  0.18107193884323894,
                  0.22762157702158875,
                  0.14922680979011668,
                  0.20424811507824628,
                  0.22628425587911402,
                  0.3509547610713908,
                  0.20939715285968333,
                  0.1426954629382803
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15085429028643993,
                  0.18069014092771118,
                  0.23635213812422837,
                  0.15606245330081414,
                  0.2033330363555721,
                  0.227991658943322,
                  0.3775149581530766,
                  0.20912215532462194,
                  0.14738561477662931
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3338846306430665,
                  0.23849026614005336,
                  0.21414852810644996,
                  0.3093294865349944,
                  0.19172238249669682,
                  0.20077471761881355,
                  0.11004524290395136,
                  0.2783084123808918,
                  0.32009794210440606
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3325162105184372,
                  0.24104243864711158,
                  0.22152291047598155,
                  0.33656244571392563,
                  0.18878792456796986,
                  0.20738469072412372,
                  0.12236291485165149,
                  0.28512649430379705,
                  0.33250862534711423
                ],
                "crps": [
                  39.93138497627026,
                  22.80668652008502,
                  27.099272245992406,
                  37.83309050506747,
                  22.042131519499442,
                  26.74932876119986,
                  32.87119096380001,
                  43.68274453754339,
                  39.168419888932206
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  39.145523273068626,
                  22.643913019787092,
                  29.008121722013154,
                  43.28444006396797,
                  20.589043753169044,
                  26.078049611235418,
                  38.88164859631245,
                  43.764166543124,
                  41.3116571073202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.422683762344505,
                  22.302649746777274,
                  26.59232963714627,
                  37.28584162812306,
                  21.52371755059139,
                  26.20780834844579,
                  32.353119771821824,
                  43.152003571377605,
                  38.6223493512054
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  37.945151810469554,
                  21.44354155718803,
                  27.807750259414085,
                  42.084068601368905,
                  19.388672290569982,
                  24.87767814863636,
                  37.681277133713394,
                  42.56379508052493,
                  40.111285644721136
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44891243520209273,
              "rpss": 0.028122642621156713,
              "brier_below": 0.20482336289501735,
              "bss_below": 0.02429260760198826,
              "brier_above": 0.24408906765881377,
              "bss_above": 0.031313425927255834,
              "crps": 32.46491665759889,
              "crpss": 0.04109630465442793,
              "crps_fair": 31.940278151981456,
              "crpss_fair": 0.021914415048712055,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.158005,
                    0.822946,
                    0.019049,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2822,
                    0.3352,
                    0.4088,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1895,
                    0.3072,
                    0.7189,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.063469,
                    0.87044,
                    0.066091,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2862,
                    0.342,
                    0.4168,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1332,
                    0.422,
                    0.7084,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "gqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6915583274937718,
            "training": [
              0.7346932493671499,
              0.6961051801550714,
              0.6931239616472292,
              0.6841808323849348,
              0.71319824568357,
              0.6844025296468136,
              0.7119607668098654,
              0.6961612742823565,
              0.7048456358022236,
              0.7129658406236757,
              0.7023144886229316,
              0.668970496460253,
              0.6869583829505518,
              0.676043893754914,
              0.7066002574702948,
              0.6880332243693509,
              0.6862514055873914,
              0.6988182172917438,
              0.7034278378047124,
              0.6693223892773494,
              0.6774095962166512,
              0.6412011312820106,
              0.7199218583366889,
              0.6404891640227899
            ],
            "test": 0.7201035447382936
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4556516713024796,
                  0.4373669964031174,
                  0.4312659672498214,
                  0.44562861650943986,
                  0.4457168269373007,
                  0.4886358769278443,
                  0.4355596443788811,
                  0.4152441203140269,
                  0.43346096675827034,
                  0.47064479271429027,
                  0.42670770713041883,
                  0.45169466246590795,
                  0.4364197174693165,
                  0.4753070834130922,
                  0.39976331826151235,
                  0.4350544185092473,
                  0.47758146142919233,
                  0.4371973432131078,
                  0.4386495926112643,
                  0.4789047882140827,
                  0.4365111428631287,
                  0.4535331066551171,
                  0.42686881498371904,
                  0.49355818169425225
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4869460861873936,
                  0.43311561715049013,
                  0.42665283629995887,
                  0.44012862716617557,
                  0.48683226104537497,
                  0.4699280766987921,
                  0.4475013886975289,
                  0.4299640334798916,
                  0.4535864129837444,
                  0.48849641096862856,
                  0.4596172723520629,
                  0.4322379405002914,
                  0.43419638725068654,
                  0.4724542199071603,
                  0.42914664398663566,
                  0.4373205272257517,
                  0.47042695166109,
                  0.45012910259569633,
                  0.44192877804299024,
                  0.469625424443561,
                  0.43731801020639594,
                  0.4501365530815326,
                  0.46908018947556185,
                  0.4449840852631641
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3013368929443617,
                  0.21989152810723328,
                  0.2077790730620075,
                  0.20143019895527228,
                  0.2844969780111225,
                  0.18680704783945967,
                  0.22379991057774656,
                  0.14875297196803985,
                  0.16116195473069395,
                  0.3484568589344165,
                  0.15245988412360734,
                  0.28466105938398056,
                  0.270374392507309,
                  0.15377736608405862,
                  0.16549091555784268,
                  0.2166566127812796,
                  0.30955455870560816,
                  0.1761332390367741,
                  0.19457070872860383,
                  0.1785775467824191,
                  0.19752353754869373,
                  0.16503609770701844,
                  0.2915299036711112,
                  0.3017512017740063
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3202155820245851,
                  0.22042082449139921,
                  0.20454162041781745,
                  0.19948218298248652,
                  0.3125806880673776,
                  0.18448136588560546,
                  0.22913049092557836,
                  0.15295472997404608,
                  0.1677260825661108,
                  0.3549551412119517,
                  0.1682634298872238,
                  0.2764274862652953,
                  0.2678113388378291,
                  0.15419544029267795,
                  0.18153898139271196,
                  0.21783066808659152,
                  0.30487529872678765,
                  0.1813710861448971,
                  0.19692950527067277,
                  0.1748368638176133,
                  0.19893691471111052,
                  0.1688323879354228,
                  0.3166162717700402,
                  0.2856578644701919
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1543147777955953,
                  0.21747546855072766,
                  0.22348689394995566,
                  0.24419841839047682,
                  0.16121984890707053,
                  0.3018288314604539,
                  0.21175973314447716,
                  0.2664911494447915,
                  0.27229901283875607,
                  0.1221879318274796,
                  0.27424782260545044,
                  0.1670336014403897,
                  0.16604532313565137,
                  0.32152971949350984,
                  0.23427240222665843,
                  0.21839780532433054,
                  0.16802690192385672,
                  0.2610641048480362,
                  0.24407888442499193,
                  0.30032724362957985,
                  0.23898760572631902,
                  0.28849701042945325,
                  0.13533891169269108,
                  0.191806979853454
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1667305041791274,
                  0.212694792636688,
                  0.22211121585973861,
                  0.24064644416128617,
                  0.17425157298003563,
                  0.28544671079078393,
                  0.21837089778824334,
                  0.27700930350187725,
                  0.2858603303944614,
                  0.13354126973425637,
                  0.29135384244241846,
                  0.1558104542125932,
                  0.16638504840470472,
                  0.3182587795919011,
                  0.24760766262868203,
                  0.2194898591401801,
                  0.1655516529506078,
                  0.2687580164671699,
                  0.24499927277333824,
                  0.294788560635156,
                  0.23838109549630468,
                  0.2813041651646206,
                  0.1524639177249777,
                  0.15932622079399056
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.423487642062366,
                  23.16243202249814,
                  16.552015898256865,
                  19.92902233108884,
                  22.881040258971893,
                  29.740647883823566,
                  17.381823026426545,
                  15.738781364448124,
                  16.572958804409172,
                  18.285777201129296,
                  19.334739418404176,
                  19.55470223122528,
                  17.121558935396944,
                  23.67580982118383,
                  16.45058318457696,
                  19.001155083470078,
                  19.89992049294547,
                  20.506986722997635,
                  18.011321271541494,
                  25.48459361834221,
                  18.07279304259732,
                  20.351315248365268,
                  17.80211892476945,
                  26.418339903325958
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.50573408767415,
                  20.83057272098966,
                  15.384713855323458,
                  18.348619796571146,
                  24.833990712013843,
                  25.690950303673365,
                  18.785353190982665,
                  17.33500505990353,
                  18.087780250289807,
                  20.142766859727907,
                  20.325407851377147,
                  15.896880844511065,
                  16.450574540440684,
                  22.381877815816505,
                  17.12509460409629,
                  18.780040871450467,
                  19.576441073305176,
                  20.057000221067682,
                  17.794707369190313,
                  23.531910254268485,
                  17.52675521093812,
                  18.71292159075082,
                  19.191330002304415,
                  19.855645712754207
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.77310506562374,
                  22.499743329223847,
                  15.83144194362751,
                  19.231191997747423,
                  22.23194210966163,
                  29.041080260200847,
                  16.67159061087739,
                  14.976090389018943,
                  15.840243673650503,
                  17.647983737789946,
                  18.713977180097967,
                  18.84124867346692,
                  16.437107133878545,
                  22.963537273376225,
                  15.713736752969675,
                  18.286559307003635,
                  19.18383722432428,
                  19.741415765818036,
                  17.24567377326248,
                  24.839817312445813,
                  17.317725795642186,
                  19.697109960935062,
                  17.06547464965481,
                  25.70075338688763
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  30.697545948289488,
                  20.00216647295597,
                  14.545993480650242,
                  17.515512880119996,
                  24.013166695023745,
                  24.871749316212938,
                  17.953073421111842,
                  16.499978418572333,
                  17.25417931954646,
                  19.313057949078193,
                  19.496044851696468,
                  15.059130483074949,
                  15.613872841307472,
                  21.556409645613932,
                  16.289670405083633,
                  17.947751040368416,
                  18.74565957593875,
                  19.227128873602325,
                  16.96055137617215,
                  22.708620175805393,
                  16.692091732771754,
                  17.880504639818948,
                  18.359819127909574,
                  19.025393012053403
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44695528410036794,
              "rpss": 0.012413006250108105,
              "brier_below": 0.22258376831344448,
              "bss_below": 0.018123292411257985,
              "brier_above": 0.22437151596100655,
              "bss_above": 0.006682210155289026,
              "crps": 20.348080180510703,
              "crpss": -0.021335993443331924,
              "crps_fair": 19.645516137799376,
              "crpss_fair": -0.028944727526123648,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    6.5e-05,
                    0.182476,
                    0.712415,
                    0.101594,
                    0.003449,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1747,
                    0.2776,
                    0.3448,
                    0.4302,
                    0.5077,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5,
                    0.2657,
                    0.3418,
                    0.5278,
                    0.4666,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.138652,
                    0.7239,
                    0.130073,
                    0.007375,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2814,
                    0.3485,
                    0.4284,
                    0.5151,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2683,
                    0.3493,
                    0.4034,
                    0.2902,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.45698733994104146,
                  0.45346664063845277,
                  0.42911136750529355,
                  0.44184490899891504,
                  0.45001892726644,
                  0.5104441287220749,
                  0.4376105250680368,
                  0.4159355019346457,
                  0.4392404232682308,
                  0.45776580111855797,
                  0.41964824118990146,
                  0.45823371364672094,
                  0.4401215667297277,
                  0.456298903807394,
                  0.41312827982717987,
                  0.4347465333784759,
                  0.4616998264170612,
                  0.45264003694586935,
                  0.4361940847686137,
                  0.4620140045756889,
                  0.43158202660265427,
                  0.41660083212777654,
                  0.4381979935860459,
                  0.5346373893431142
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48743050991631937,
                  0.4500701624584457,
                  0.4265242004143022,
                  0.4390098244777031,
                  0.49139482584164884,
                  0.494693701774444,
                  0.4545856811469357,
                  0.43593834610889776,
                  0.4580519634274834,
                  0.47701006345194874,
                  0.4352766490847659,
                  0.4325868375773595,
                  0.4393322155734538,
                  0.45819407461226264,
                  0.4258449859445512,
                  0.4429956010693269,
                  0.46917288320447564,
                  0.4504464390301668,
                  0.43726520584675527,
                  0.45476639467496144,
                  0.4364531411048688,
                  0.42034369581379755,
                  0.4673311154491269,
                  0.4820108972087676
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2920617070024764,
                  0.21836666378702596,
                  0.18805696114792328,
                  0.17474002234735042,
                  0.2913092148102064,
                  0.18479816000045607,
                  0.19866660341204534,
                  0.1528800276362795,
                  0.18113549306883192,
                  0.33250785989974013,
                  0.17881155084997005,
                  0.2802836369382724,
                  0.2845908353056784,
                  0.1472818707240611,
                  0.18758932482387264,
                  0.2130837159194927,
                  0.28802784554499433,
                  0.20359753875809464,
                  0.1807196385698918,
                  0.17095583273066245,
                  0.20720470542576983,
                  0.16514465733096836,
                  0.3036643108751435,
                  0.35494483329493765
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3104072285253455,
                  0.21673480811611381,
                  0.18558730667959258,
                  0.17603508945959234,
                  0.32028208459781965,
                  0.17926314118722866,
                  0.20608332860378822,
                  0.16099647389177257,
                  0.18759330134707142,
                  0.33954533961604677,
                  0.1874236505788654,
                  0.26795152854435594,
                  0.28077112311215474,
                  0.14729671030580527,
                  0.19608173063938172,
                  0.21470894001819776,
                  0.2912022736927969,
                  0.20165084148960713,
                  0.18095977006653313,
                  0.1684004312888114,
                  0.20718324254548248,
                  0.16958622943392032,
                  0.3193885527201346,
                  0.32447550978521345
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16492563265570065,
                  0.23509997745604888,
                  0.2410544067163108,
                  0.26710488808698296,
                  0.15870971221819605,
                  0.32564597096002657,
                  0.23894392168902376,
                  0.2630554750710932,
                  0.2581049304153324,
                  0.12525793939693927,
                  0.24083668992815782,
                  0.17795007539671923,
                  0.15553072900686687,
                  0.3090170351187788,
                  0.22553895474559404,
                  0.2216628166847627,
                  0.17367198055659377,
                  0.24904249938571707,
                  0.25547444700656396,
                  0.2910581735313072,
                  0.22437732137161526,
                  0.25145617557019867,
                  0.13453368268051352,
                  0.1796925552174918
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17702328139097373,
                  0.23333535434233188,
                  0.24093689373470956,
                  0.2629747350181107,
                  0.1711127412438291,
                  0.3154305605872152,
                  0.24850235254314745,
                  0.274941872217125,
                  0.2704586620804119,
                  0.13746472383590178,
                  0.24785299850590042,
                  0.1646353090330035,
                  0.15856109246129885,
                  0.31089736430645726,
                  0.22976325530516944,
                  0.2282866610511291,
                  0.17797060951167862,
                  0.24879559754055963,
                  0.256305435780222,
                  0.28636596338614995,
                  0.2292698985593863,
                  0.2507574663798771,
                  0.14794256272899212,
                  0.15753538742355408
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.325265472175666,
                  36.4356786713036,
                  25.081189361663398,
                  30.819580974160083,
                  34.95588722421438,
                  44.12515609672291,
                  27.685475927045815,
                  23.767215003592028,
                  24.764326804075896,
                  27.799938083393705,
                  25.412192410167126,
                  31.02797999192532,
                  26.375392643149574,
                  31.428621814302968,
                  25.080203782878193,
                  28.69595065235235,
                  29.891522317565666,
                  32.16221927522078,
                  27.41071453387155,
                  37.38017399326122,
                  26.019402430571972,
                  24.14834413340165,
                  29.41619337732252,
                  41.38573285070063
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  49.57656865028093,
                  32.96040380943106,
                  23.338961685869542,
                  28.247352936237633,
                  38.77143887837504,
                  40.075400748993,
                  30.044498290231484,
                  26.420742022616203,
                  27.19914339939457,
                  30.474463908758302,
                  25.997698532993468,
                  24.664015955947068,
                  25.497247064245567,
                  30.559056130702682,
                  25.223022089283898,
                  28.82789187164294,
                  30.59933260802571,
                  31.14965624843492,
                  26.757510478633222,
                  34.73556146951894,
                  25.69189133881856,
                  22.368377050704193,
                  29.705255183554968,
                  32.58994873293396
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.348347780946334,
                  35.45631581618315,
                  23.977159153523576,
                  29.740426942832098,
                  33.92146333558336,
                  43.08951564357873,
                  26.603156219528096,
                  22.615407962033647,
                  23.650416862557364,
                  26.841679356483905,
                  24.45838626417411,
                  29.95080392903874,
                  25.341321459224314,
                  30.344824469550872,
                  23.974316823359374,
                  27.619419428999297,
                  28.831290443638057,
                  31.019479012177708,
                  26.276764371599366,
                  36.39880793563411,
                  24.869317970994317,
                  23.12513255895888,
                  28.249787814388064,
                  40.31791391821564
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  48.36096752564688,
                  31.71333267562872,
                  22.07366812380289,
                  26.991355569720923,
                  37.53537349280934,
                  38.84180498818226,
                  28.79190460809734,
                  25.161285165732785,
                  25.941160787542934,
                  29.222684555447124,
                  24.7374404573797,
                  23.40123196636163,
                  24.23604116388039,
                  29.30743698993307,
                  23.961296823435838,
                  27.57299401068571,
                  29.347789748463143,
                  29.899155668494338,
                  25.498691440795294,
                  33.49185237673951,
                  24.4310540829128,
                  21.101245260161853,
                  28.452018995536967,
                  31.34217597966858
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44784037489199635,
              "rpss": 0.010910404895044024,
              "brier_below": 0.2241842920918394,
              "bss_below": 0.010880493432398053,
              "brier_above": 0.22365608295277228,
              "bss_above": 0.010940384509352974,
              "crps": 30.56643157604329,
              "crpss": -0.016797409978044575,
              "crps_fair": 29.50089397805013,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02401960897220734,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.171592,
                    0.729947,
                    0.094382,
                    0.004078,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2796,
                    0.3446,
                    0.4291,
                    0.5073,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3174,
                    0.332,
                    0.5158,
                    0.4195,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.143239,
                    0.752731,
                    0.102769,
                    0.001261,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2815,
                    0.3472,
                    0.4244,
                    0.5174,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2632,
                    0.3515,
                    0.4142,
                    0.4799,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4912743862681887,
                  0.41323307378313173,
                  0.4257508981356646,
                  0.4270263862208014,
                  0.42332363440156867,
                  0.4297979622237705,
                  0.44811368813089547,
                  0.45988663945229796,
                  0.4427335626212456
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4870055947178849,
                  0.42143281565336166,
                  0.4461656033354792,
                  0.4898169267269451,
                  0.409710504473286,
                  0.4328402132818921,
                  0.481437726284207,
                  0.5046306428050635,
                  0.4618523477225761
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16328133250947616,
                  0.17932848705367316,
                  0.22238804857425648,
                  0.13597467972769706,
                  0.24444969809483616,
                  0.22577323604525365,
                  0.31291225377708676,
                  0.16507107855283895,
                  0.14824608070630427
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1614439450337624,
                  0.1816624432294703,
                  0.23775382310536425,
                  0.15106275351725754,
                  0.24150138386167241,
                  0.22891616263738787,
                  0.3354019372244457,
                  0.1752044871830586,
                  0.15555314716681815
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3279930359052703,
                  0.23390458410636533,
                  0.2033628527167655,
                  0.2910516900090818,
                  0.1788739470782272,
                  0.20402473159879794,
                  0.13520144616711052,
                  0.29481554460497467,
                  0.2944874698179311
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3255616312349862,
                  0.23977036919747338,
                  0.2084117826700664,
                  0.3387541525544384,
                  0.16820913018134312,
                  0.20392405388684642,
                  0.14603580259439067,
                  0.32942613657571873,
                  0.30629918549199875
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.087195525083665,
                  14.542841732042966,
                  17.12524887248273,
                  25.770981909055784,
                  14.938523142824064,
                  17.39455654553257,
                  20.31456496876121,
                  29.674577353617455,
                  25.020309622436567
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.21024020824127,
                  14.872246430786253,
                  18.409970210564648,
                  31.11807114784039,
                  13.520669199455181,
                  16.78306002701278,
                  24.29613597010876,
                  31.10996240254287,
                  27.087652937999966
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.75515111899961,
                  14.213830837736346,
                  16.78619028275589,
                  25.39430982492803,
                  14.594013400777456,
                  17.024823285762437,
                  19.967334026363638,
                  29.314095902903862,
                  24.640296258381827
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.414703625458667,
                  14.076709848003654,
                  17.614433627782052,
                  30.32253456505779,
                  12.725132616672582,
                  15.98752344423017,
                  23.50059938732616,
                  30.31442581976026,
                  26.292116355217367
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4401266923597294,
              "rpss": 0.04202095919439797,
              "brier_below": 0.1997138772268247,
              "bss_below": 0.03803863246569916,
              "brier_above": 0.24041281133383605,
              "bss_above": 0.04530413596190941,
              "crps": 21.20764440798189,
              "crpss": 0.0570096457460344,
              "crps_fair": 20.854449437623234,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0387103960631181,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.32675,
                    0.643036,
                    0.030214,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2772,
                    0.3383,
                    0.4151,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1736,
                    0.3348,
                    0.5624,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.091567,
                    0.737271,
                    0.171162,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.284,
                    0.3461,
                    0.4296,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2168,
                    0.4084,
                    0.5913,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4853279569896833,
                  0.41668108275384336,
                  0.43836141640553894,
                  0.4573931703836734,
                  0.3944623380582045,
                  0.42688358289290795,
                  0.4584485001774876,
                  0.48710491598772426,
                  0.4593192915741167
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4833705205269806,
                  0.4217325829401401,
                  0.45787504847516347,
                  0.4926249194603664,
                  0.3921209549450236,
                  0.43537634701428846,
                  0.49987785514849153,
                  0.4942486608765802,
                  0.4798942598444907
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1513841040627566,
                  0.18113838314496897,
                  0.2247693829202538,
                  0.14901593938256083,
                  0.20338212967768748,
                  0.22646709240537244,
                  0.34981276007024087,
                  0.20987652358940348,
                  0.14240073773359546
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15085429028643993,
                  0.18069014092771118,
                  0.23635213812422837,
                  0.15606245330081414,
                  0.2033330363555721,
                  0.227991658943322,
                  0.3775149581530766,
                  0.20912215532462194,
                  0.14738561477662931
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3339438338414786,
                  0.23554269672274558,
                  0.2135920337158499,
                  0.3083772131837298,
                  0.1910802151003892,
                  0.20041649438638365,
                  0.10863575620019104,
                  0.27722838232986247,
                  0.31691853629355543
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3325162105184372,
                  0.24104243864711158,
                  0.22152291047598155,
                  0.33656244571392563,
                  0.18878792456796986,
                  0.20738469072412372,
                  0.12236291485165149,
                  0.28512649430379705,
                  0.33250862534711423
                ],
                "crps": [
                  39.85171898667109,
                  22.558870540209316,
                  26.55820246006909,
                  38.29429443578767,
                  21.9572103383595,
                  26.546534919457578,
                  32.64666979713759,
                  43.8534051478248,
                  38.78837739760326
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  39.145523273068626,
                  22.643913019787092,
                  29.008121722013154,
                  43.28444006396797,
                  20.589043753169044,
                  26.078049611235418,
                  38.88164859631245,
                  43.764166543124,
                  41.3116571073202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.34330316119078,
                  22.060770673355282,
                  26.057816617127546,
                  37.7369550739783,
                  21.437929931740495,
                  25.99777765862369,
                  32.10767837984517,
                  43.314985952714714,
                  38.22860118925792
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  37.945151810469554,
                  21.44354155718803,
                  27.807750259414085,
                  42.084068601368905,
                  19.388672290569982,
                  24.87767814863636,
                  37.681277133713394,
                  42.56379508052493,
                  40.111285644721136
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4471091394692422,
              "rpss": 0.032026705315758464,
              "brier_below": 0.20424967255409332,
              "bss_below": 0.027025469218335263,
              "brier_above": 0.24285946241935397,
              "bss_above": 0.03619321058249947,
              "crps": 32.33947600256888,
              "crpss": 0.04480139679815576,
              "crps_fair": 31.80953540420377,
              "crpss_fair": 0.02591806199035096,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.263944,
                    0.704009,
                    0.032047,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2788,
                    0.3384,
                    0.4147,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2092,
                    0.3154,
                    0.5987,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.103247,
                    0.804835,
                    0.091918,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2841,
                    0.3427,
                    0.4248,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2035,
                    0.4267,
                    0.6333,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.806996820472901,
            "training": [
              0.8397016156594946,
              0.8115136573077146,
              0.8091935939644672,
              0.804201184723917,
              0.8321469438101844,
              0.8040020950277216,
              0.8276732969206985,
              0.8049299307147733,
              0.8140905539652802,
              0.8298038930080046,
              0.818317202962715,
              0.7902310269637726,
              0.8059630764687956,
              0.7926389265012181,
              0.8228698547309099,
              0.8039218390871431,
              0.8017210322876691,
              0.8159632193395898,
              0.8072777051633984,
              0.7897046064550073,
              0.794609116726125,
              0.7613683631283225,
              0.8199769664781038,
              0.7661039899545959
            ],
            "test": 0.8274792006433427
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4607958993330103,
                  0.4332384008940771,
                  0.4288133767130714,
                  0.4449165862526982,
                  0.45613627732411516,
                  0.47961843275232563,
                  0.43495267514494845,
                  0.42415743932856736,
                  0.4371404664848988,
                  0.46736134982826094,
                  0.4371963692699078,
                  0.44475526989094544,
                  0.43491424382676475,
                  0.4825493839858941,
                  0.40957508575972107,
                  0.4430905556473571,
                  0.4731583649331367,
                  0.4375649750836445,
                  0.4394563150092572,
                  0.4850545737429914,
                  0.4411525635621084,
                  0.4718489804612872,
                  0.43901955293746164,
                  0.48177098400158486
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4869460861873936,
                  0.43311561715049013,
                  0.42665283629995887,
                  0.44012862716617557,
                  0.48683226104537497,
                  0.4699280766987921,
                  0.4475013886975289,
                  0.4299640334798916,
                  0.4535864129837444,
                  0.48849641096862856,
                  0.4596172723520629,
                  0.4322379405002914,
                  0.43419638725068654,
                  0.4724542199071603,
                  0.42914664398663566,
                  0.4373205272257517,
                  0.47042695166109,
                  0.45012910259569633,
                  0.44192877804299024,
                  0.469625424443561,
                  0.43731801020639594,
                  0.4501365530815326,
                  0.46908018947556185,
                  0.4449840852631641
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.30359041546139937,
                  0.2204074986111794,
                  0.2066211656283984,
                  0.20192873530044203,
                  0.29173375798268053,
                  0.18373983244570297,
                  0.22389820609521352,
                  0.15177938185535222,
                  0.1620657615806099,
                  0.3443845839250025,
                  0.15656763695669865,
                  0.28122419784635233,
                  0.2687983921451914,
                  0.15869595319828153,
                  0.17114184288514026,
                  0.22128312362482475,
                  0.30743435177745865,
                  0.17583467011920606,
                  0.19459950280497246,
                  0.18164944603167213,
                  0.2010190572858262,
                  0.1771714066279962,
                  0.29913117963828345,
                  0.2980328426059831
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3202155820245851,
                  0.22042082449139921,
                  0.20454162041781745,
                  0.19948218298248652,
                  0.3125806880673776,
                  0.18448136588560546,
                  0.22913049092557836,
                  0.15295472997404608,
                  0.1677260825661108,
                  0.3549551412119517,
                  0.1682634298872238,
                  0.2764274862652953,
                  0.2678113388378291,
                  0.15419544029267795,
                  0.18153898139271196,
                  0.21783066808659152,
                  0.30487529872678765,
                  0.1813710861448971,
                  0.19692950527067277,
                  0.1748368638176133,
                  0.19893691471111052,
                  0.1688323879354228,
                  0.3166162717700402,
                  0.2856578644701919
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15720548396238845,
                  0.21283090232806506,
                  0.22219221097352262,
                  0.24298785148678612,
                  0.16440251935329836,
                  0.2958786019938621,
                  0.21105446846918063,
                  0.2723780580043588,
                  0.2750747052191318,
                  0.12297676473242637,
                  0.28062873228443225,
                  0.1635310711278056,
                  0.16611585034783632,
                  0.3238534316265749,
                  0.23843324278121641,
                  0.22180743187745713,
                  0.1657240127108377,
                  0.26173030514025686,
                  0.2448568127242034,
                  0.3034051288703304,
                  0.2401335062418194,
                  0.29467757380330134,
                  0.13988837351147287,
                  0.18373814130441632
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1667305041791274,
                  0.212694792636688,
                  0.22211121585973861,
                  0.24064644416128617,
                  0.17425157298003563,
                  0.28544671079078393,
                  0.21837089778824334,
                  0.27700930350187725,
                  0.2858603303944614,
                  0.13354126973425637,
                  0.29135384244241846,
                  0.1558104542125932,
                  0.16638504840470472,
                  0.3182587795919011,
                  0.24760766262868203,
                  0.2194898591401801,
                  0.1655516529506078,
                  0.2687580164671699,
                  0.24499927277333824,
                  0.294788560635156,
                  0.23838109549630468,
                  0.2813041651646206,
                  0.1524639177249777,
                  0.15932622079399056
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.04607121989135,
                  23.110783789159676,
                  17.031520630685005,
                  20.831412642698762,
                  25.933508770444508,
                  31.305952896680427,
                  17.47754373020614,
                  16.45631364507983,
                  16.996632803746433,
                  18.25518654172034,
                  19.87812913030778,
                  20.01408978330541,
                  16.999205890698384,
                  24.739242552783413,
                  17.13052113351617,
                  19.948118929652107,
                  20.441585294631636,
                  21.366828615505806,
                  18.305330501159546,
                  26.250243835828527,
                  18.737256484038014,
                  22.046506536841367,
                  20.287026363526603,
                  29.174131631553227
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.50573408767415,
                  20.83057272098966,
                  15.384713855323458,
                  18.348619796571146,
                  24.833990712013843,
                  25.690950303673365,
                  18.785353190982665,
                  17.33500505990353,
                  18.087780250289807,
                  20.142766859727907,
                  20.325407851377147,
                  15.896880844511065,
                  16.450574540440684,
                  22.381877815816505,
                  17.12509460409629,
                  18.780040871450467,
                  19.576441073305176,
                  20.057000221067682,
                  17.794707369190313,
                  23.531910254268485,
                  17.52675521093812,
                  18.71292159075082,
                  19.191330002304415,
                  19.855645712754207
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.399823630969152,
                  22.42977383237209,
                  16.325828575093688,
                  20.1403369560688,
                  25.30951798581393,
                  30.58057548845441,
                  16.76181955626623,
                  15.692497412602926,
                  16.263876875415253,
                  17.621551929382857,
                  19.253041797351354,
                  19.299044518754524,
                  16.31238374052532,
                  24.0218821543137,
                  16.38457855283789,
                  19.232634872421116,
                  19.72179315838618,
                  20.596511996559528,
                  17.53932070290756,
                  25.601674884956683,
                  17.983165207004973,
                  21.407001516623964,
                  19.592198434542013,
                  28.443557234842544
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  30.697545948289488,
                  20.00216647295597,
                  14.545993480650242,
                  17.515512880119996,
                  24.013166695023745,
                  24.871749316212938,
                  17.953073421111842,
                  16.499978418572333,
                  17.25417931954646,
                  19.313057949078193,
                  19.496044851696468,
                  15.059130483074949,
                  15.613872841307472,
                  21.556409645613932,
                  16.289670405083633,
                  17.947751040368416,
                  18.74565957593875,
                  19.227128873602325,
                  16.96055137617215,
                  22.708620175805393,
                  16.692091732771754,
                  17.880504639818948,
                  18.359819127909574,
                  19.025393012053403
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4495099217570015,
              "rpss": 0.0067683097599141595,
              "brier_below": 0.2242805392680778,
              "bss_below": 0.010638380590906937,
              "brier_above": 0.22522938253645755,
              "bss_above": 0.0028843389011823373,
              "crps": 21.19846430640252,
              "crpss": -0.06401952468172523,
              "crps_fair": 20.49643295893611,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07351196467736965,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000395,
                    0.09589,
                    0.808086,
                    0.09563,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.169,
                    0.2871,
                    0.3452,
                    0.4287,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4983,
                    0.2858,
                    0.3403,
                    0.467,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    6.6e-05,
                    0.077588,
                    0.837465,
                    0.084881,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1792,
                    0.2908,
                    0.3457,
                    0.4317,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.3109,
                    0.3442,
                    0.3791,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4641976788217811,
                  0.45174264942968356,
                  0.43092201802825864,
                  0.44300082528052637,
                  0.4669404470430861,
                  0.5029960242214645,
                  0.4408002816041579,
                  0.4232505206811764,
                  0.44621396049275525,
                  0.46456522408330003,
                  0.4259044581085092,
                  0.4533620065354074,
                  0.44058254043296097,
                  0.4580876683796748,
                  0.4182305000880432,
                  0.44306571539309625,
                  0.4633732939396106,
                  0.45165291526778617,
                  0.43887219946368083,
                  0.46475678619718325,
                  0.4351092883949399,
                  0.4257090296440323,
                  0.4489458482291253,
                  0.5210927923420509
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48743050991631937,
                  0.4500701624584457,
                  0.4265242004143022,
                  0.4390098244777031,
                  0.49139482584164884,
                  0.494693701774444,
                  0.4545856811469357,
                  0.43593834610889776,
                  0.4580519634274834,
                  0.47701006345194874,
                  0.4352766490847659,
                  0.4325868375773595,
                  0.4393322155734538,
                  0.45819407461226264,
                  0.4258449859445512,
                  0.4429956010693269,
                  0.46917288320447564,
                  0.4504464390301668,
                  0.43726520584675527,
                  0.45476639467496144,
                  0.4364531411048688,
                  0.42034369581379755,
                  0.4673311154491269,
                  0.4820108972087676
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2949000227362833,
                  0.21792266760830123,
                  0.18874886536280203,
                  0.17689593803343825,
                  0.3035639423123632,
                  0.1814959142143532,
                  0.19988665380234574,
                  0.15565812422781217,
                  0.18347185909569427,
                  0.3348106324562006,
                  0.1808697081036362,
                  0.27795626833775267,
                  0.2832873988346897,
                  0.1479685512794938,
                  0.191070603068332,
                  0.21741094988323817,
                  0.288275438637919,
                  0.20254222875911115,
                  0.18187047835050907,
                  0.17357830930274934,
                  0.20848378469869364,
                  0.172173071416404,
                  0.31107706312397027,
                  0.3464405802909675
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3104072285253455,
                  0.21673480811611381,
                  0.18558730667959258,
                  0.17603508945959234,
                  0.32028208459781965,
                  0.17926314118722866,
                  0.20608332860378822,
                  0.16099647389177257,
                  0.18759330134707142,
                  0.33954533961604677,
                  0.1874236505788654,
                  0.26795152854435594,
                  0.28077112311215474,
                  0.14729671030580527,
                  0.19608173063938172,
                  0.21470894001819776,
                  0.2912022736927969,
                  0.20165084148960713,
                  0.18095977006653313,
                  0.1684004312888114,
                  0.20718324254548248,
                  0.16958622943392032,
                  0.3193885527201346,
                  0.32447550978521345
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16929765618564951,
                  0.2338199820083424,
                  0.24217315299707096,
                  0.26610488811592753,
                  0.16337650450903055,
                  0.32150011194499134,
                  0.24091362758980067,
                  0.26759239691822234,
                  0.26274210170148166,
                  0.1297545903147283,
                  0.24503474972890127,
                  0.1754057374456395,
                  0.157295139947785,
                  0.31011911797033115,
                  0.22715989698533348,
                  0.22565476512911314,
                  0.17509785486332433,
                  0.24911068694442423,
                  0.25700172161802076,
                  0.2911784780135373,
                  0.22662550381469249,
                  0.25353595816296365,
                  0.13786878479690567,
                  0.17465221147159096
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17702328139097373,
                  0.23333535434233188,
                  0.24093689373470956,
                  0.2629747350181107,
                  0.1711127412438291,
                  0.3154305605872152,
                  0.24850235254314745,
                  0.274941872217125,
                  0.2704586620804119,
                  0.13746472383590178,
                  0.24785299850590042,
                  0.1646353090330035,
                  0.15856109246129885,
                  0.31089736430645726,
                  0.22976325530516944,
                  0.2282866610511291,
                  0.17797060951167862,
                  0.24879559754055963,
                  0.256305435780222,
                  0.28636596338614995,
                  0.2292698985593863,
                  0.2507574663798771,
                  0.14794256272899212,
                  0.15753538742355408
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.0266679076149,
                  36.11760796896593,
                  25.852586448775487,
                  31.963196538200695,
                  39.86513236413884,
                  45.4979992630661,
                  27.725496252810288,
                  24.689277141339584,
                  25.495492522145945,
                  28.19084391291147,
                  26.498840222403444,
                  31.773725750547136,
                  26.40082800385057,
                  32.769120234568945,
                  25.776438669567394,
                  29.727508634976743,
                  30.676386007228338,
                  33.05664970218268,
                  27.738354999410777,
                  38.14794180292256,
                  26.71112565039282,
                  26.00529131906666,
                  33.202509268444906,
                  44.78389596089614
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  49.57656865028093,
                  32.96040380943106,
                  23.338961685869542,
                  28.247352936237633,
                  38.77143887837504,
                  40.075400748993,
                  30.044498290231484,
                  26.420742022616203,
                  27.19914339939457,
                  30.474463908758302,
                  25.997698532993468,
                  24.664015955947068,
                  25.497247064245567,
                  30.559056130702682,
                  25.223022089283898,
                  28.82789187164294,
                  30.59933260802571,
                  31.14965624843492,
                  26.757510478633222,
                  34.73556146951894,
                  25.69189133881856,
                  22.368377050704193,
                  29.705255183554968,
                  32.58994873293396
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.047314796297734,
                  35.115465993191144,
                  24.770484180544926,
                  30.891514701187578,
                  38.863505037221564,
                  44.433189929066614,
                  26.638769460454494,
                  23.53847280957064,
                  24.381864987787225,
                  27.23550695623795,
                  25.54304829785102,
                  30.694629513705074,
                  25.361153464490485,
                  31.679046827765877,
                  24.662688345289936,
                  28.65359501382544,
                  29.610873138785475,
                  31.90931018357084,
                  26.60776145190954,
                  37.16210005563611,
                  25.563226486040975,
                  25.00416029072191,
                  32.09544250721174,
                  43.7103667028844
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  48.36096752564688,
                  31.71333267562872,
                  22.07366812380289,
                  26.991355569720923,
                  37.53537349280934,
                  38.84180498818226,
                  28.79190460809734,
                  25.161285165732785,
                  25.941160787542934,
                  29.222684555447124,
                  24.7374404573797,
                  23.40123196636163,
                  24.23604116388039,
                  29.30743698993307,
                  23.961296823435838,
                  27.57299401068571,
                  29.347789748463143,
                  29.899155668494338,
                  25.498691440795294,
                  33.49185237673951,
                  24.4310540829128,
                  21.101245260161853,
                  28.452018995536967,
                  31.34217597966858
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4509739446709287,
              "rpss": 0.003989677248223855,
              "brier_below": 0.22584829391404418,
              "bss_below": 0.0035387807461563225,
              "brier_above": 0.22512565079907534,
              "bss_above": 0.004441611080915342,
              "crps": 31.69553818943451,
              "crpss": -0.054357328519045955,
              "crps_fair": 30.632228797135365,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06328991176093934,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.062808,
                    0.877834,
                    0.059357,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2895,
                    0.3446,
                    0.424,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3707,
                    0.3384,
                    0.4519,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.05565,
                    0.891494,
                    0.052856,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2914,
                    0.3468,
                    0.4203,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2661,
                    0.3474,
                    0.3973,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.49474961190591876,
                  0.4156550050578866,
                  0.4285463377001029,
                  0.44305271818655184,
                  0.4223388035394942,
                  0.43307557037350586,
                  0.4579534104014845,
                  0.46656465933428637,
                  0.4430646631743174
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4870055947178849,
                  0.42143281565336166,
                  0.4461656033354792,
                  0.4898169267269451,
                  0.409710504473286,
                  0.4328402132818921,
                  0.481437726284207,
                  0.5046306428050635,
                  0.4618523477225761
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16451759054818432,
                  0.17950090125516388,
                  0.22398711609953487,
                  0.1393714625489928,
                  0.2464879873254538,
                  0.2291396297222769,
                  0.3191305737583062,
                  0.16574250240459604,
                  0.14773764211506657
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1614439450337624,
                  0.1816624432294703,
                  0.23775382310536425,
                  0.15106275351725754,
                  0.24150138386167241,
                  0.22891616263738787,
                  0.3354019372244457,
                  0.1752044871830586,
                  0.15555314716681815
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3302320029235177,
                  0.23615410070038542,
                  0.20455922447667177,
                  0.30368123852124324,
                  0.17585082661817944,
                  0.20393594567031081,
                  0.1388228487924665,
                  0.300822140360588,
                  0.29532700854414795
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3255616312349862,
                  0.23977036919747338,
                  0.2084117826700664,
                  0.3387541525544384,
                  0.16820913018134312,
                  0.20392405388684642,
                  0.14603580259439067,
                  0.32942613657571873,
                  0.30629918549199875
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.482477405617125,
                  14.817414319731554,
                  17.671001572774934,
                  25.72138868362028,
                  15.722576709355764,
                  19.005113521040933,
                  20.317545541454233,
                  28.887552099067157,
                  25.33454853746333
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.21024020824127,
                  14.872246430786253,
                  18.409970210564648,
                  31.11807114784039,
                  13.520669199455181,
                  16.78306002701278,
                  24.29613597010876,
                  31.10996240254287,
                  27.087652937999966
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.15055138347177,
                  14.485581093556426,
                  17.325290104887213,
                  25.335433452958906,
                  15.373931308617422,
                  18.625306371836864,
                  19.98158062040879,
                  28.523136543130526,
                  24.94350729472938
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.414703625458667,
                  14.076709848003654,
                  17.614433627782052,
                  30.32253456505779,
                  12.725132616672582,
                  15.98752344423017,
                  23.50059938732616,
                  30.31442581976026,
                  26.292116355217367
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4450000866303943,
              "rpss": 0.0314135371726878,
              "brier_below": 0.20173504508639725,
              "bss_below": 0.028303277941473692,
              "brier_above": 0.24326503740083455,
              "bss_above": 0.033977749425528336,
              "crps": 21.551068710013922,
              "crpss": 0.04173940648689611,
              "crps_fair": 21.1938131303997,
              "crpss_fair": 0.023067365505279214,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00035,
                    0.23537,
                    0.737401,
                    0.026879,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.174,
                    0.2845,
                    0.3342,
                    0.4219,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5,
                    0.1863,
                    0.3151,
                    0.4703,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.054548,
                    0.83523,
                    0.110222,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2895,
                    0.3428,
                    0.4249,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2142,
                    0.4077,
                    0.6342,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4860432705157561,
                  0.4189968268265521,
                  0.4444473211686436,
                  0.46495123679737854,
                  0.3939369252937703,
                  0.4285799415168365,
                  0.46893329748473556,
                  0.4870220268673505,
                  0.46015627848468615
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4833705205269806,
                  0.4217325829401401,
                  0.45787504847516347,
                  0.4926249194603664,
                  0.3921209549450236,
                  0.43537634701428846,
                  0.49987785514849153,
                  0.4942486608765802,
                  0.4798942598444907
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15167209276795554,
                  0.18103689705013648,
                  0.22774150708375354,
                  0.14988264734543694,
                  0.20305975718119085,
                  0.22658784875754834,
                  0.35619572004160394,
                  0.20839469184510026,
                  0.1412535034724153
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15085429028643993,
                  0.18069014092771118,
                  0.23635213812422837,
                  0.15606245330081414,
                  0.2033330363555721,
                  0.227991658943322,
                  0.3775149581530766,
                  0.20912215532462194,
                  0.14738561477662931
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.334371158192967,
                  0.23795992657775727,
                  0.2167058144445985,
                  0.31506857117695,
                  0.19087717482504424,
                  0.2019920966994337,
                  0.11273759414876493,
                  0.2786273247850497,
                  0.31890275723716055
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3325162105184372,
                  0.24104243864711158,
                  0.22152291047598155,
                  0.33656244571392563,
                  0.18878792456796986,
                  0.20738469072412372,
                  0.12236291485165149,
                  0.28512649430379705,
                  0.33250862534711423
                ],
                "crps": [
                  40.19977749536833,
                  22.790566177755082,
                  27.255273739679563,
                  37.69350602471674,
                  22.866589006854568,
                  28.273090726740296,
                  32.297306330031205,
                  43.046891102557275,
                  38.55668922525193
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  39.145523273068626,
                  22.643913019787092,
                  29.008121722013154,
                  43.28444006396797,
                  20.589043753169044,
                  26.078049611235418,
                  38.88164859631245,
                  43.764166543124,
                  41.3116571073202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.6911494643861,
                  22.28824363150436,
                  26.74626731595654,
                  37.128890251527984,
                  22.343494718529506,
                  27.715434082691225,
                  31.773792966393074,
                  42.507114711611926,
                  37.98816032600663
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  37.945151810469554,
                  21.44354155718803,
                  27.807750259414085,
                  42.084068601368905,
                  19.388672290569982,
                  24.87767814863636,
                  37.681277133713394,
                  42.56379508052493,
                  40.111285644721136
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45034079166174545,
              "rpss": 0.025030308364972997,
              "brier_below": 0.2050916295050157,
              "bss_below": 0.023014678605953298,
              "brier_above": 0.2452491575653029,
              "bss_above": 0.026709518313072445,
              "crps": 32.55329886988389,
              "crpss": 0.03848579341065228,
              "crps_fair": 32.02028305206748,
              "crpss_fair": 0.019464478979675404,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.142891,
                    0.851202,
                    0.005907,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2875,
                    0.3333,
                    0.4128,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1868,
                    0.3114,
                    0.7952,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.033732,
                    0.910282,
                    0.055986,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2908,
                    0.3404,
                    0.4177,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0596,
                    0.422,
                    0.6512,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "qdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7960538537350327,
            "training": [
              0.8261055800331354,
              0.8022903390454317,
              0.7970748981725372,
              0.7909460011711312,
              0.8178170809422388,
              0.7929840737363281,
              0.815191519783168,
              0.7946619471036738,
              0.8067596914925773,
              0.8193308251813225,
              0.8123227948676964,
              0.7778150789275947,
              0.7937330496991011,
              0.782909419557312,
              0.8115794241711415,
              0.794040262621267,
              0.7954618428392046,
              0.8026794024399507,
              0.7974511149053385,
              0.7745807029350131,
              0.7812838243284265,
              0.7519611661296155,
              0.8079916737203888,
              0.7583207758371933
            ],
            "test": 0.8171240236500872
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.45890475106195944,
                  0.43310460534604445,
                  0.4306542198841841,
                  0.44626676910843477,
                  0.454266077683625,
                  0.4817370264555239,
                  0.4348509548842412,
                  0.4237682328767797,
                  0.43921235201261266,
                  0.4681995170815785,
                  0.42973277856731457,
                  0.4481005598798127,
                  0.43629646981553166,
                  0.479004631163862,
                  0.4062962731382828,
                  0.4393450922728309,
                  0.475111336842433,
                  0.4384308688817402,
                  0.4410172758565831,
                  0.4845210935901678,
                  0.44066785187663954,
                  0.4703940401345862,
                  0.4375438971436893,
                  0.48808958859723883
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4869460861873936,
                  0.43311561715049013,
                  0.42665283629995887,
                  0.44012862716617557,
                  0.48683226104537497,
                  0.4699280766987921,
                  0.4475013886975289,
                  0.4299640334798916,
                  0.4535864129837444,
                  0.48849641096862856,
                  0.4596172723520629,
                  0.4322379405002914,
                  0.43419638725068654,
                  0.4724542199071603,
                  0.42914664398663566,
                  0.4373205272257517,
                  0.47042695166109,
                  0.45012910259569633,
                  0.44192877804299024,
                  0.469625424443561,
                  0.43731801020639594,
                  0.4501365530815326,
                  0.46908018947556185,
                  0.4449840852631641
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.30201670124840274,
                  0.21989530901273835,
                  0.20825931974296807,
                  0.20258074515959643,
                  0.2904874134936786,
                  0.18401546158064855,
                  0.22410637736962305,
                  0.15173133794480115,
                  0.16337909018490127,
                  0.3451007629475606,
                  0.15382271596230065,
                  0.2818787215098761,
                  0.27049539160848735,
                  0.15592133574233602,
                  0.16927932724593525,
                  0.21836507843946235,
                  0.3085505683286244,
                  0.1763627369326024,
                  0.19585055118495623,
                  0.1799053272688007,
                  0.19943873151377456,
                  0.1751183414688622,
                  0.29820871079713995,
                  0.29869230546317316
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3202155820245851,
                  0.22042082449139921,
                  0.20454162041781745,
                  0.19948218298248652,
                  0.3125806880673776,
                  0.18448136588560546,
                  0.22913049092557836,
                  0.15295472997404608,
                  0.1677260825661108,
                  0.3549551412119517,
                  0.1682634298872238,
                  0.2764274862652953,
                  0.2678113388378291,
                  0.15419544029267795,
                  0.18153898139271196,
                  0.21783066808659152,
                  0.30487529872678765,
                  0.1813710861448971,
                  0.19692950527067277,
                  0.1748368638176133,
                  0.19893691471111052,
                  0.1688323879354228,
                  0.3166162717700402,
                  0.2856578644701919
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15688804976913556,
                  0.21320929674303976,
                  0.22239490013144875,
                  0.24368602449153287,
                  0.16377866398652122,
                  0.29772156674103983,
                  0.21074457710090258,
                  0.2720368954673884,
                  0.27583326233868993,
                  0.12309875291587619,
                  0.2759100620808419,
                  0.16622183735457835,
                  0.16580107686766768,
                  0.32308329633938504,
                  0.23701694565847883,
                  0.22098001366840017,
                  0.16656076796221048,
                  0.26206813213578034,
                  0.245166725106762,
                  0.3046157674364894,
                  0.24122912047038877,
                  0.2952756984500737,
                  0.13933518641649403,
                  0.1893972833847024
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1667305041791274,
                  0.212694792636688,
                  0.22211121585973861,
                  0.24064644416128617,
                  0.17425157298003563,
                  0.28544671079078393,
                  0.21837089778824334,
                  0.27700930350187725,
                  0.2858603303944614,
                  0.13354126973425637,
                  0.29135384244241846,
                  0.1558104542125932,
                  0.16638504840470472,
                  0.3182587795919011,
                  0.24760766262868203,
                  0.2194898591401801,
                  0.1655516529506078,
                  0.2687580164671699,
                  0.24499927277333824,
                  0.294788560635156,
                  0.23838109549630468,
                  0.2813041651646206,
                  0.1524639177249777,
                  0.15932622079399056
                ],
                "crps": [
                  25.826075365117983,
                  23.512079436963784,
                  17.08763116510143,
                  20.74756269776878,
                  25.794055873629304,
                  32.523694848149965,
                  17.40948660509712,
                  16.51587579039594,
                  17.074002093153748,
                  18.5487075214144,
                  19.938945888285293,
                  20.22791100196523,
                  17.244174023479538,
                  24.667874426536123,
                  17.145696456936836,
                  19.74170430369188,
                  20.607593440264537,
                  21.540568284090778,
                  18.29493221178433,
                  26.163047343193387,
                  18.614339383086477,
                  21.797914864251172,
                  20.083588600542935,
                  30.919846101815693
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.50573408767415,
                  20.83057272098966,
                  15.384713855323458,
                  18.348619796571146,
                  24.833990712013843,
                  25.690950303673365,
                  18.785353190982665,
                  17.33500505990353,
                  18.087780250289807,
                  20.142766859727907,
                  20.325407851377147,
                  15.896880844511065,
                  16.450574540440684,
                  22.381877815816505,
                  17.12509460409629,
                  18.780040871450467,
                  19.576441073305176,
                  20.057000221067682,
                  17.794707369190313,
                  23.531910254268485,
                  17.52675521093812,
                  18.71292159075082,
                  19.191330002304415,
                  19.855645712754207
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.14258760454694,
                  22.83227503946295,
                  16.358059050855687,
                  20.051626842437006,
                  25.14977056961974,
                  31.814840340579586,
                  16.710522253873762,
                  15.74925352572975,
                  16.321985254912935,
                  17.906294825956316,
                  19.33734328941493,
                  19.50216460587078,
                  16.56001518601827,
                  23.939274571933645,
                  16.413884277211228,
                  19.02061805376408,
                  19.868512619249312,
                  20.75931675964007,
                  17.48526975411642,
                  25.515795977002433,
                  17.843543439546632,
                  21.15574532383822,
                  19.36145687072514,
                  30.204918309586184
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  30.697545948289488,
                  20.00216647295597,
                  14.545993480650242,
                  17.515512880119996,
                  24.013166695023745,
                  24.871749316212938,
                  17.953073421111842,
                  16.499978418572333,
                  17.25417931954646,
                  19.313057949078193,
                  19.496044851696468,
                  15.059130483074949,
                  15.613872841307472,
                  21.556409645613932,
                  16.289670405083633,
                  17.947751040368416,
                  18.74565957593875,
                  19.227128873602325,
                  16.96055137617215,
                  22.708620175805393,
                  16.692091732771754,
                  17.880504639818948,
                  18.359819127909574,
                  19.025393012053403
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4493965110064873,
              "rpss": 0.007018900783543391,
              "brier_below": 0.22389426508963542,
              "bss_below": 0.012342339605660668,
              "brier_above": 0.22550224595907617,
              "bss_above": 0.0016763420183155686,
              "crps": 21.33447115527986,
              "crpss": -0.07084614856373062,
              "crps_fair": 20.625211431078835,
              "crpss_fair": -0.08025680808085611,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000262,
                    0.136014,
                    0.768368,
                    0.095057,
                    0.000298,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.18,
                    0.2867,
                    0.3454,
                    0.43,
                    0.5002,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.6249,
                    0.2686,
                    0.3459,
                    0.4704,
                    0.3333,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    6.6e-05,
                    0.082394,
                    0.810394,
                    0.107147,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1737,
                    0.289,
                    0.3457,
                    0.4363,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.3205,
                    0.3416,
                    0.3856,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46243739620637897,
                  0.4503627241223299,
                  0.4316067411932226,
                  0.4433412247339073,
                  0.46511060017320704,
                  0.5043370761761649,
                  0.4378792288271364,
                  0.42273889581456564,
                  0.4461235046028752,
                  0.46367344689026635,
                  0.42313268112662933,
                  0.45556357585368734,
                  0.4415990984991332,
                  0.457042014257586,
                  0.4161691310515843,
                  0.4405061198915948,
                  0.4640232240487824,
                  0.45299042657915506,
                  0.43946884364375066,
                  0.463555942340582,
                  0.43462528424597974,
                  0.42492637433991404,
                  0.44807110800241545,
                  0.5267289535749643
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48743050991631937,
                  0.4500701624584457,
                  0.4265242004143022,
                  0.4390098244777031,
                  0.49139482584164884,
                  0.494693701774444,
                  0.4545856811469357,
                  0.43593834610889776,
                  0.4580519634274834,
                  0.47701006345194874,
                  0.4352766490847659,
                  0.4325868375773595,
                  0.4393322155734538,
                  0.45819407461226264,
                  0.4258449859445512,
                  0.4429956010693269,
                  0.46917288320447564,
                  0.4504464390301668,
                  0.43726520584675527,
                  0.45476639467496144,
                  0.4364531411048688,
                  0.42034369581379755,
                  0.4673311154491269,
                  0.4820108972087676
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.293659118593099,
                  0.21717248980577258,
                  0.1894274551999359,
                  0.1765830866292763,
                  0.3022053152431569,
                  0.1818520222364858,
                  0.19861019368904015,
                  0.15507775333654603,
                  0.18367930108920982,
                  0.33425033499787815,
                  0.17957950321158436,
                  0.2778517065446041,
                  0.2845852939170865,
                  0.14663863887799122,
                  0.18998508983195672,
                  0.21537051034183385,
                  0.2886492094284409,
                  0.20387087299301587,
                  0.18239966986886114,
                  0.1714110545856528,
                  0.2074114411109206,
                  0.1710356190896138,
                  0.3106317251793704,
                  0.3482025224662653
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3104072285253455,
                  0.21673480811611381,
                  0.18558730667959258,
                  0.17603508945959234,
                  0.32028208459781965,
                  0.17926314118722866,
                  0.20608332860378822,
                  0.16099647389177257,
                  0.18759330134707142,
                  0.33954533961604677,
                  0.1874236505788654,
                  0.26795152854435594,
                  0.28077112311215474,
                  0.14729671030580527,
                  0.19608173063938172,
                  0.21470894001819776,
                  0.2912022736927969,
                  0.20165084148960713,
                  0.18095977006653313,
                  0.1684004312888114,
                  0.20718324254548248,
                  0.16958622943392032,
                  0.3193885527201346,
                  0.32447550978521345
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16877827749856517,
                  0.2331902347031194,
                  0.24217928642161057,
                  0.26675813886189337,
                  0.16290528440434715,
                  0.32248505609271627,
                  0.23926903503942545,
                  0.26766114305673633,
                  0.2624442039114068,
                  0.1294231103096512,
                  0.243553177624135,
                  0.1777118684481667,
                  0.157013802921489,
                  0.31040337637291904,
                  0.2261840410472742,
                  0.22513560908575342,
                  0.17537401402986516,
                  0.2491195540787653,
                  0.2570691743801127,
                  0.2921448887719568,
                  0.22721384307513198,
                  0.2538907547181851,
                  0.13743938240146572,
                  0.17852643074346858
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17702328139097373,
                  0.23333535434233188,
                  0.24093689373470956,
                  0.2629747350181107,
                  0.1711127412438291,
                  0.3154305605872152,
                  0.24850235254314745,
                  0.274941872217125,
                  0.2704586620804119,
                  0.13746472383590178,
                  0.24785299850590042,
                  0.1646353090330035,
                  0.15856109246129885,
                  0.31089736430645726,
                  0.22976325530516944,
                  0.2282866610511291,
                  0.17797060951167862,
                  0.24879559754055963,
                  0.256305435780222,
                  0.28636596338614995,
                  0.2292698985593863,
                  0.2507574663798771,
                  0.14794256272899212,
                  0.15753538742355408
                ],
                "crps": [
                  41.621345125575296,
                  36.685894947652976,
                  25.81926867670037,
                  31.848661906594046,
                  39.67747106126735,
                  46.414428196517726,
                  27.56317671765556,
                  24.844475741658332,
                  25.717209245385302,
                  28.42133015977856,
                  26.764163248760525,
                  31.99198751596498,
                  26.660739785026916,
                  32.69754677760612,
                  25.74383733896889,
                  29.41540639985399,
                  30.89443129747599,
                  33.20111982419621,
                  27.673715965940442,
                  37.98639257750298,
                  26.549040157482747,
                  25.69203403502462,
                  32.86991671642368,
                  46.60448074964016
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  49.57656865028093,
                  32.96040380943106,
                  23.338961685869542,
                  28.247352936237633,
                  38.77143887837504,
                  40.075400748993,
                  30.044498290231484,
                  26.420742022616203,
                  27.19914339939457,
                  30.474463908758302,
                  25.997698532993468,
                  24.664015955947068,
                  25.497247064245567,
                  30.559056130702682,
                  25.223022089283898,
                  28.82789187164294,
                  30.59933260802571,
                  31.14965624843492,
                  26.757510478633222,
                  34.73556146951894,
                  25.69189133881856,
                  22.368377050704193,
                  29.705255183554968,
                  32.58994873293396
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  40.59323328755088,
                  35.68372313186663,
                  24.69746061041299,
                  30.769792771301418,
                  38.646328061812945,
                  45.36629433117239,
                  26.500442362867368,
                  23.69489168352969,
                  24.574836888575042,
                  27.455221399088316,
                  25.835333334705524,
                  30.893062808395953,
                  25.625205739431667,
                  31.59310411048168,
                  24.65479649353986,
                  28.33355564711702,
                  29.802246657915386,
                  32.04421420607179,
                  26.480629607100106,
                  37.000572339573175,
                  25.376563672603606,
                  24.678493339390602,
                  31.725893246977893,
                  45.5439444395911
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  48.36096752564688,
                  31.71333267562872,
                  22.07366812380289,
                  26.991355569720923,
                  37.53537349280934,
                  38.84180498818226,
                  28.79190460809734,
                  25.161285165732785,
                  25.941160787542934,
                  29.222684555447124,
                  24.7374404573797,
                  23.40123196636163,
                  24.23604116388039,
                  29.30743698993307,
                  23.961296823435838,
                  27.57299401068571,
                  29.347789748463143,
                  29.899155668494338,
                  25.498691440795294,
                  33.49185237673951,
                  24.4310540829128,
                  21.101245260161853,
                  28.452018995536967,
                  31.34217597966858
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45066723400815883,
              "rpss": 0.00466707111948117,
              "brier_below": 0.2254224970111499,
              "bss_below": 0.005417431647871784,
              "brier_above": 0.22524473699992334,
              "bss_above": 0.003914983991386012,
              "crps": 31.80658642369391,
              "crpss": -0.0580513664278115,
              "crps_fair": 30.73207667379471,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06675577905599428,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.10476,
                    0.83253,
                    0.062711,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2876,
                    0.3451,
                    0.4267,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3226,
                    0.3424,
                    0.4518,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.061966,
                    0.86891,
                    0.069124,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2894,
                    0.3467,
                    0.4291,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3028,
                    0.345,
                    0.3896,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.496017180271418,
                  0.4134819494010494,
                  0.42907001984200105,
                  0.43721343173835064,
                  0.4247328222572952,
                  0.4337516630360326,
                  0.4564846682778205,
                  0.4618250868486516,
                  0.4417145261217087
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4870055947178849,
                  0.42143281565336166,
                  0.4461656033354792,
                  0.4898169267269451,
                  0.409710504473286,
                  0.4328402132818921,
                  0.481437726284207,
                  0.5046306428050635,
                  0.4618523477225761
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16617750358430466,
                  0.1773634040804279,
                  0.22439759122785613,
                  0.13856143522401826,
                  0.24678584803978978,
                  0.22885431461536296,
                  0.3182749682502971,
                  0.16534224846837833,
                  0.14702243863395958
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1614439450337624,
                  0.1816624432294703,
                  0.23775382310536425,
                  0.15106275351725754,
                  0.24150138386167241,
                  0.22891616263738787,
                  0.3354019372244457,
                  0.1752044871830586,
                  0.15555314716681815
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.32983965831981044,
                  0.23611854211651612,
                  0.20467243156794304,
                  0.298651979979226,
                  0.1779469848365803,
                  0.2048973537588413,
                  0.13820971212099806,
                  0.29648282226463013,
                  0.2946920753631414
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3255616312349862,
                  0.23977036919747338,
                  0.2084117826700664,
                  0.3387541525544384,
                  0.16820913018134312,
                  0.20392405388684642,
                  0.14603580259439067,
                  0.32942613657571873,
                  0.30629918549199875
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.493677229947412,
                  14.537356367201431,
                  17.78590763663075,
                  26.30995904212776,
                  16.27851958204246,
                  20.12998243762253,
                  20.26181992949648,
                  28.68301947661457,
                  25.910847186917714
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.21024020824127,
                  14.872246430786253,
                  18.409970210564648,
                  31.11807114784039,
                  13.520669199455181,
                  16.78306002701278,
                  24.29613597010876,
                  31.10996240254287,
                  27.087652937999966
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.167604940872724,
                  14.213714648491276,
                  17.444494125612515,
                  25.938877726080428,
                  15.946339862825536,
                  19.769139816364795,
                  19.918477627607494,
                  28.323869766143968,
                  25.53407931749045
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.414703625458667,
                  14.076709848003654,
                  17.614433627782052,
                  30.32253456505779,
                  12.725132616672582,
                  15.98752344423017,
                  23.50059938732616,
                  30.31442581976026,
                  26.292116355217367
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4438101497549253,
              "rpss": 0.03400355183521431,
              "brier_below": 0.20141997245826607,
              "bss_below": 0.029820887535951024,
              "brier_above": 0.242390173369743,
              "bss_above": 0.037451894864969915,
              "crps": 21.82123209873346,
              "crpss": 0.029726687642025018,
              "crps_fair": 21.47295531460991,
              "crpss_fair": 0.010200256234228156,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00035,
                    0.295554,
                    0.67547,
                    0.028626,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1894,
                    0.2833,
                    0.3354,
                    0.4236,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5,
                    0.1973,
                    0.3204,
                    0.4935,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.068843,
                    0.783018,
                    0.148139,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2895,
                    0.3425,
                    0.4313,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2026,
                    0.4073,
                    0.6024,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48608293878666725,
                  0.41690179068217925,
                  0.4440423874105284,
                  0.46241018588718286,
                  0.3937199797655489,
                  0.4287929316710152,
                  0.4678112713588355,
                  0.48533407678935897,
                  0.4573417881336126
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4833705205269806,
                  0.4217325829401401,
                  0.45787504847516347,
                  0.4926249194603664,
                  0.3921209549450236,
                  0.43537634701428846,
                  0.49987785514849153,
                  0.4942486608765802,
                  0.4798942598444907
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15188274968948895,
                  0.17926738359102326,
                  0.22738416170232395,
                  0.14961486778887242,
                  0.20245150086881727,
                  0.22702349309690437,
                  0.3556373848592639,
                  0.2085866442639109,
                  0.1405147303033645
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15085429028643993,
                  0.18069014092771118,
                  0.23635213812422837,
                  0.15606245330081414,
                  0.2033330363555721,
                  0.227991658943322,
                  0.3775149581530766,
                  0.20912215532462194,
                  0.14738561477662931
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3342001696326315,
                  0.237634403784712,
                  0.21665822606966842,
                  0.31279530013248447,
                  0.1912684857202043,
                  0.20176944281012846,
                  0.11217390315639594,
                  0.2767474224590727,
                  0.31682704049023247
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3325162105184372,
                  0.24104243864711158,
                  0.22152291047598155,
                  0.33656244571392563,
                  0.18878792456796986,
                  0.20738469072412372,
                  0.12236291485165149,
                  0.28512649430379705,
                  0.33250862534711423
                ],
                "crps": [
                  40.27253427691081,
                  22.39875874868091,
                  27.344723426844215,
                  38.34068564789014,
                  23.31782911101022,
                  29.46049735852725,
                  32.20114067428722,
                  43.077348522787254,
                  38.98125778962206
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  39.145523273068626,
                  22.643913019787092,
                  29.008121722013154,
                  43.28444006396797,
                  20.589043753169044,
                  26.078049611235418,
                  38.88164859631245,
                  43.764166543124,
                  41.3116571073202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.77271985441161,
                  21.907715107591475,
                  26.841620798381882,
                  37.79238361010328,
                  22.81795228603027,
                  28.928357710770758,
                  31.66814189673214,
                  42.54287789334269,
                  38.430956142219124
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  37.945151810469554,
                  21.44354155718803,
                  27.807750259414085,
                  42.084068601368905,
                  19.388672290569982,
                  24.87767814863636,
                  37.681277133713394,
                  42.56379508052493,
                  40.111285644721136
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44915970560943663,
              "rpss": 0.0275873121397473,
              "brier_below": 0.20470699068488551,
              "bss_below": 0.02484696441016898,
              "brier_above": 0.2444527104728367,
              "bss_above": 0.0298702809511997,
              "crps": 32.82164172850667,
              "crpss": 0.030559854112337526,
              "crps_fair": 32.30030281106481,
              "crpss_fair": 0.010889622853701542,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.207522,
                    0.784424,
                    0.008055,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2851,
                    0.3349,
                    0.4143,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1979,
                    0.3175,
                    0.7832,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.047619,
                    0.870974,
                    0.081407,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2904,
                    0.3402,
                    0.4285,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1124,
                    0.4203,
                    0.6288,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8146587134706736,
            "training": [
              0.8432771625356493,
              0.8209634659965556,
              0.815073243306644,
              0.8114939364352756,
              0.8355586915005875,
              0.8117682698696013,
              0.8322669691722041,
              0.8136477680926305,
              0.824635977868538,
              0.8366120810663542,
              0.8266573012006875,
              0.8006616807918873,
              0.8103920531690989,
              0.7983311093367499,
              0.8271698438057595,
              0.8156493623893952,
              0.8134406882627967,
              0.8210266886040609,
              0.8174245790853265,
              0.7943022558655142,
              0.8015695451017422,
              0.7754001346953934,
              0.8263402114627754,
              0.7781461036809407
            ],
            "test": 0.8297091632976936
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4599494587007527,
                  0.4330137117883088,
                  0.4312117689903184,
                  0.44621104029347275,
                  0.4544279179319418,
                  0.4820934992377162,
                  0.43466474440754144,
                  0.4254329898875234,
                  0.4396826114448199,
                  0.4670587254774565,
                  0.43479529728847266,
                  0.444277521586368,
                  0.43335978672157827,
                  0.4804800685086075,
                  0.4077712066950607,
                  0.4381237743811207,
                  0.4717816675398227,
                  0.4405540089782791,
                  0.44059020120163117,
                  0.48807878874493754,
                  0.44120830518820797,
                  0.471784294567167,
                  0.43780229616319466,
                  0.4845225316183009
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4869460861873936,
                  0.43311561715049013,
                  0.42665283629995887,
                  0.44012862716617557,
                  0.48683226104537497,
                  0.4699280766987921,
                  0.4475013886975289,
                  0.4299640334798916,
                  0.4535864129837444,
                  0.48849641096862856,
                  0.4596172723520629,
                  0.4322379405002914,
                  0.43419638725068654,
                  0.4724542199071603,
                  0.42914664398663566,
                  0.4373205272257517,
                  0.47042695166109,
                  0.45012910259569633,
                  0.44192877804299024,
                  0.469625424443561,
                  0.43731801020639594,
                  0.4501365530815326,
                  0.46908018947556185,
                  0.4449840852631641
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3036468270811915,
                  0.22009893771589528,
                  0.20862163479114726,
                  0.20212197865134862,
                  0.29087846605216716,
                  0.18336995731700872,
                  0.22498901322587328,
                  0.1518783428448859,
                  0.16352100879436374,
                  0.34606393914534983,
                  0.15501201278200288,
                  0.2813973235724841,
                  0.2696019844531085,
                  0.15613010646076383,
                  0.16974577852067269,
                  0.21867964712370314,
                  0.3076006429812821,
                  0.17705002104133827,
                  0.1954968613881724,
                  0.18054147965496475,
                  0.2001391170814001,
                  0.17576583252087008,
                  0.2989334691564047,
                  0.2984692666664613
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3202155820245851,
                  0.22042082449139921,
                  0.20454162041781745,
                  0.19948218298248652,
                  0.3125806880673776,
                  0.18448136588560546,
                  0.22913049092557836,
                  0.15295472997404608,
                  0.1677260825661108,
                  0.3549551412119517,
                  0.1682634298872238,
                  0.2764274862652953,
                  0.2678113388378291,
                  0.15419544029267795,
                  0.18153898139271196,
                  0.21783066808659152,
                  0.30487529872678765,
                  0.1813710861448971,
                  0.19692950527067277,
                  0.1748368638176133,
                  0.19893691471111052,
                  0.1688323879354228,
                  0.3166162717700402,
                  0.2856578644701919
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15630263164721384,
                  0.21291477449523138,
                  0.22259013423232296,
                  0.2440890620444195,
                  0.16354945186807468,
                  0.2987235434132437,
                  0.20967573089333294,
                  0.2735546474631127,
                  0.2761616030663901,
                  0.12099478567654962,
                  0.27978328395367597,
                  0.16288019733852194,
                  0.1637578012421131,
                  0.3243499625125218,
                  0.23802542794631132,
                  0.21944412705505023,
                  0.16418102418980768,
                  0.2635039882830204,
                  0.24509334038279054,
                  0.3075373099824293,
                  0.2410691880386874,
                  0.2960184615505503,
                  0.1388688271592513,
                  0.1860532655796103
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1667305041791274,
                  0.212694792636688,
                  0.22211121585973861,
                  0.24064644416128617,
                  0.17425157298003563,
                  0.28544671079078393,
                  0.21837089778824334,
                  0.27700930350187725,
                  0.2858603303944614,
                  0.13354126973425637,
                  0.29135384244241846,
                  0.1558104542125932,
                  0.16638504840470472,
                  0.3182587795919011,
                  0.24760766262868203,
                  0.2194898591401801,
                  0.1655516529506078,
                  0.2687580164671699,
                  0.24499927277333824,
                  0.294788560635156,
                  0.23838109549630468,
                  0.2813041651646206,
                  0.1524639177249777,
                  0.15932622079399056
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.155501773367593,
                  23.904739273698322,
                  17.30027304155941,
                  21.41774769114962,
                  26.140711375763136,
                  33.33648632140947,
                  17.47511382186905,
                  16.908703969635695,
                  17.050309569805332,
                  18.430121339762014,
                  20.463889523153938,
                  19.926227590596824,
                  16.85126186808533,
                  25.422098156410115,
                  17.375241967151304,
                  20.03767948218991,
                  20.35244601104758,
                  21.716039906223394,
                  18.44459132781912,
                  27.338876083418477,
                  18.709805315853323,
                  22.47215206647542,
                  20.253505991478022,
                  31.01862161010035
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.50573408767415,
                  20.83057272098966,
                  15.384713855323458,
                  18.348619796571146,
                  24.833990712013843,
                  25.690950303673365,
                  18.785353190982665,
                  17.33500505990353,
                  18.087780250289807,
                  20.142766859727907,
                  20.325407851377147,
                  15.896880844511065,
                  16.450574540440684,
                  22.381877815816505,
                  17.12509460409629,
                  18.780040871450467,
                  19.576441073305176,
                  20.057000221067682,
                  17.794707369190313,
                  23.531910254268485,
                  17.52675521093812,
                  18.71292159075082,
                  19.191330002304415,
                  19.855645712754207
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.548728751319448,
                  23.298639997176693,
                  16.65837609666684,
                  20.78040660746932,
                  25.549927375856566,
                  32.71771125923473,
                  16.856212364894155,
                  16.219854644273926,
                  16.368757366586905,
                  17.87051621177747,
                  19.94092759531549,
                  19.280983486822286,
                  16.23972632598472,
                  24.76852795638642,
                  16.731438748294238,
                  19.393930423831932,
                  19.68562830953961,
                  21.02687911338508,
                  17.7219657089423,
                  26.77300247933138,
                  18.007480454249606,
                  21.90302555360117,
                  19.597402901784154,
                  30.393638384279114
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  30.697545948289488,
                  20.00216647295597,
                  14.545993480650242,
                  17.515512880119996,
                  24.013166695023745,
                  24.871749316212938,
                  17.953073421111842,
                  16.499978418572333,
                  17.25417931954646,
                  19.313057949078193,
                  19.496044851696468,
                  15.059130483074949,
                  15.613872841307472,
                  21.556409645613932,
                  16.289670405083633,
                  17.947751040368416,
                  18.74565957593875,
                  19.227128873602325,
                  16.96055137617215,
                  22.708620175805393,
                  16.692091732771754,
                  17.880504639818948,
                  18.359819127909574,
                  19.025393012053403
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4495365090559417,
              "rpss": 0.00670956278551571,
              "brier_below": 0.22415640204261914,
              "bss_below": 0.011185983190800552,
              "brier_above": 0.2253801070839264,
              "bss_above": 0.002217064475879993,
              "crps": 21.604256044917616,
              "crpss": -0.08438752523562365,
              "crps_fair": 20.972237004875147,
              "crpss_fair": -0.09843246363349478,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000197,
                    0.149709,
                    0.754189,
                    0.095905,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1734,
                    0.289,
                    0.3468,
                    0.4285,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4991,
                    0.2601,
                    0.3503,
                    0.4595,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    6.6e-05,
                    0.097103,
                    0.810461,
                    0.09237,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1778,
                    0.2908,
                    0.3426,
                    0.4368,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.3265,
                    0.3407,
                    0.3982,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4632176040512407,
                  0.45120079890242737,
                  0.43296777985548146,
                  0.4456076970935261,
                  0.46482915584073115,
                  0.505993524430065,
                  0.43814011833307154,
                  0.4254545552155146,
                  0.445782348692812,
                  0.46220363094401695,
                  0.42369132857213165,
                  0.45172083316934014,
                  0.4398996228866114,
                  0.45797197457749994,
                  0.416642210993053,
                  0.44060437284130594,
                  0.46202831003317985,
                  0.45410885731484046,
                  0.43937420334183086,
                  0.4665271318066937,
                  0.43413846522103305,
                  0.42496475001789796,
                  0.4477817932941526,
                  0.5231115262636006
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48743050991631937,
                  0.4500701624584457,
                  0.4265242004143022,
                  0.4390098244777031,
                  0.49139482584164884,
                  0.494693701774444,
                  0.4545856811469357,
                  0.43593834610889776,
                  0.4580519634274834,
                  0.47701006345194874,
                  0.4352766490847659,
                  0.4325868375773595,
                  0.4393322155734538,
                  0.45819407461226264,
                  0.4258449859445512,
                  0.4429956010693269,
                  0.46917288320447564,
                  0.4504464390301668,
                  0.43726520584675527,
                  0.45476639467496144,
                  0.4364531411048688,
                  0.42034369581379755,
                  0.4673311154491269,
                  0.4820108972087676
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2950950594209346,
                  0.2171614514351671,
                  0.18925496432614686,
                  0.17750859191100468,
                  0.3028042980192769,
                  0.18138729672309917,
                  0.19919444797351313,
                  0.15630859639789588,
                  0.1833794822008198,
                  0.33552077756832893,
                  0.17987589047111185,
                  0.27728562393605427,
                  0.2857639819537459,
                  0.1467396855284574,
                  0.1902769955647632,
                  0.2163748563332723,
                  0.2888630388405054,
                  0.20401478041210386,
                  0.1821454127637004,
                  0.17190386018388237,
                  0.20737247718398433,
                  0.17102325017115172,
                  0.3111580113168577,
                  0.34745662846130576
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3104072285253455,
                  0.21673480811611381,
                  0.18558730667959258,
                  0.17603508945959234,
                  0.32028208459781965,
                  0.17926314118722866,
                  0.20608332860378822,
                  0.16099647389177257,
                  0.18759330134707142,
                  0.33954533961604677,
                  0.1874236505788654,
                  0.26795152854435594,
                  0.28077112311215474,
                  0.14729671030580527,
                  0.19608173063938172,
                  0.21470894001819776,
                  0.2912022736927969,
                  0.20165084148960713,
                  0.18095977006653313,
                  0.1684004312888114,
                  0.20718324254548248,
                  0.16958622943392032,
                  0.3193885527201346,
                  0.32447550978521345
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16812254457600656,
                  0.23403934771419743,
                  0.2437128156315585,
                  0.2680991058850007,
                  0.16202485749101206,
                  0.324606229354361,
                  0.23894567031656408,
                  0.269145959373722,
                  0.2624028668413742,
                  0.12668285252525655,
                  0.24381543768255654,
                  0.17443520872295085,
                  0.15413563970056288,
                  0.3112322896006062,
                  0.22636521531392856,
                  0.22422951609983838,
                  0.1731652708130308,
                  0.25009407752946317,
                  0.2572287912327523,
                  0.2946232726093464,
                  0.2267659880010446,
                  0.25394149939370464,
                  0.13662378179470916,
                  0.1756548979004999
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17702328139097373,
                  0.23333535434233188,
                  0.24093689373470956,
                  0.2629747350181107,
                  0.1711127412438291,
                  0.3154305605872152,
                  0.24850235254314745,
                  0.274941872217125,
                  0.2704586620804119,
                  0.13746472383590178,
                  0.24785299850590042,
                  0.1646353090330035,
                  0.15856109246129885,
                  0.31089736430645726,
                  0.22976325530516944,
                  0.2282866610511291,
                  0.17797060951167862,
                  0.24879559754055963,
                  0.256305435780222,
                  0.28636596338614995,
                  0.2292698985593863,
                  0.2507574663798771,
                  0.14794256272899212,
                  0.15753538742355408
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.28362286285543,
                  37.53851661871508,
                  26.232428697272734,
                  32.950424896212034,
                  40.05711102251583,
                  47.97931454692235,
                  27.842761824080192,
                  25.517961859434592,
                  25.623157432168668,
                  28.280655219740762,
                  27.227490725445747,
                  31.598036241264694,
                  26.090926162219045,
                  33.53681115062911,
                  26.13737831228514,
                  30.03917352700969,
                  30.58292031850493,
                  33.718081745126256,
                  28.005075014331904,
                  39.66003021563106,
                  26.57806828210973,
                  26.425313740724018,
                  33.20801154154773,
                  46.82395173580085
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  49.57656865028093,
                  32.96040380943106,
                  23.338961685869542,
                  28.247352936237633,
                  38.77143887837504,
                  40.075400748993,
                  30.044498290231484,
                  26.420742022616203,
                  27.19914339939457,
                  30.474463908758302,
                  25.997698532993468,
                  24.664015955947068,
                  25.497247064245567,
                  30.559056130702682,
                  25.223022089283898,
                  28.82789187164294,
                  30.59933260802571,
                  31.14965624843492,
                  26.757510478633222,
                  34.73556146951894,
                  25.69189133881856,
                  22.368377050704193,
                  29.705255183554968,
                  32.58994873293396
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.36749108791347,
                  36.63929259778889,
                  25.24010439544376,
                  31.952754607843477,
                  39.106015467419326,
                  47.04948509463278,
                  26.892090931276865,
                  24.47312509388465,
                  24.580704616991966,
                  27.432754690014313,
                  26.41421502552587,
                  30.611194563068633,
                  25.158962745811756,
                  32.53872719136625,
                  25.16555962981033,
                  29.065340250144217,
                  29.5895834759835,
                  32.6869856585676,
                  26.93365860723237,
                  38.79022304491168,
                  25.500620121514217,
                  25.52100396255441,
                  32.16337149678863,
                  45.883060433722086
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  48.36096752564688,
                  31.71333267562872,
                  22.07366812380289,
                  26.991355569720923,
                  37.53537349280934,
                  38.84180498818226,
                  28.79190460809734,
                  25.161285165732785,
                  25.941160787542934,
                  29.222684555447124,
                  24.7374404573797,
                  23.40123196636163,
                  24.23604116388039,
                  29.30743698993307,
                  23.961296823435838,
                  27.57299401068571,
                  29.347789748463143,
                  29.899155668494338,
                  25.498691440795294,
                  33.49185237673951,
                  24.4310540829128,
                  21.101245260161853,
                  28.452018995536967,
                  31.34217597966858
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4507484414038358,
              "rpss": 0.004487718397813256,
              "brier_below": 0.2257445607957118,
              "bss_below": 0.003996459782730333,
              "brier_above": 0.22500388067100197,
              "bss_above": 0.0049801071256482254,
              "crps": 32.24738432052282,
              "crpss": -0.0727145814879131,
              "crps_fair": 31.28151353292546,
              "crpss_fair": -0.08582754406964477,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.111424,
                    0.827567,
                    0.061009,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2897,
                    0.3461,
                    0.4245,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3056,
                    0.3461,
                    0.4381,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.078138,
                    0.862149,
                    0.059714,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2913,
                    0.3436,
                    0.4295,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2966,
                    0.3453,
                    0.4124,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4972757166859623,
                  0.41374770727090465,
                  0.4290796687874204,
                  0.4384974508069345,
                  0.4229445933328544,
                  0.43302830200528597,
                  0.4562032935779496,
                  0.46303222287395374,
                  0.4423636505403372
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4870055947178849,
                  0.42143281565336166,
                  0.4461656033354792,
                  0.4898169267269451,
                  0.409710504473286,
                  0.4328402132818921,
                  0.481437726284207,
                  0.5046306428050635,
                  0.4618523477225761
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16566402301247315,
                  0.17740136423094716,
                  0.22468486993840706,
                  0.13885890170315485,
                  0.24662758343076727,
                  0.22895524683131618,
                  0.31880072291681966,
                  0.16498214051218696,
                  0.14694630139734458
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1614439450337624,
                  0.1816624432294703,
                  0.23775382310536425,
                  0.15106275351725754,
                  0.24150138386167241,
                  0.22891616263738787,
                  0.3354019372244457,
                  0.1752044871830586,
                  0.15555314716681815
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3316116750639645,
                  0.23634633957810694,
                  0.20439480167410365,
                  0.29963853249295497,
                  0.17631702028912033,
                  0.20407306034562517,
                  0.13740258265824246,
                  0.2980500661751897,
                  0.29541733692555033
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3255616312349862,
                  0.23977036919747338,
                  0.2084117826700664,
                  0.3387541525544384,
                  0.16820913018134312,
                  0.20392405388684642,
                  0.14603580259439067,
                  0.32942613657571873,
                  0.30629918549199875
                ],
                "crps": [
                  27.246463391802877,
                  14.581091434758152,
                  17.729968805091836,
                  26.645627244888182,
                  16.232641209706866,
                  19.960934756941125,
                  20.131144005009624,
                  29.248860869477014,
                  26.335670817785026
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.21024020824127,
                  14.872246430786253,
                  18.409970210564648,
                  31.11807114784039,
                  13.520669199455181,
                  16.78306002701278,
                  24.29613597010876,
                  31.10996240254287,
                  27.087652937999966
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.952041078442335,
                  14.28853238275279,
                  17.421836695721645,
                  26.30958252401612,
                  15.93658311277754,
                  19.63503259848944,
                  19.81413071992328,
                  28.92687350429093,
                  26.001244867183892
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.414703625458667,
                  14.076709848003654,
                  17.614433627782052,
                  30.32253456505779,
                  12.725132616672582,
                  15.98752344423017,
                  23.50059938732616,
                  30.31442581976026,
                  26.292116355217367
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44401917843128913,
              "rpss": 0.0335485803591371,
              "brier_below": 0.2014356837748241,
              "bss_below": 0.02974521087405957,
              "brier_above": 0.24258349057809536,
              "bss_above": 0.03668421889031026,
              "crps": 22.01248917060674,
              "crpss": 0.02122251006860809,
              "crps_fair": 21.698428609288662,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0001929759049552615,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00035,
                    0.302993,
                    0.666891,
                    0.029766,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1785,
                    0.2834,
                    0.335,
                    0.4202,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5,
                    0.2011,
                    0.3195,
                    0.4981,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.072316,
                    0.787519,
                    0.140165,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2889,
                    0.3404,
                    0.4302,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2255,
                    0.4059,
                    0.6148,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48745954698115795,
                  0.4172234775395286,
                  0.44492153362675213,
                  0.46288768061622904,
                  0.3929454323724157,
                  0.4283551841880798,
                  0.4674742491343167,
                  0.4859146964552137,
                  0.45776558707852616
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4833705205269806,
                  0.4217325829401401,
                  0.45787504847516347,
                  0.4926249194603664,
                  0.3921209549450236,
                  0.43537634701428846,
                  0.49987785514849153,
                  0.4942486608765802,
                  0.4798942598444907
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15124540612362547,
                  0.17912748498213824,
                  0.22802728472273753,
                  0.14929687002800787,
                  0.20236801431175694,
                  0.22703593942248057,
                  0.35634440447201515,
                  0.2081681389954528,
                  0.14035303769318389
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15085429028643993,
                  0.18069014092771118,
                  0.23635213812422837,
                  0.15606245330081414,
                  0.2033330363555721,
                  0.227991658943322,
                  0.3775149581530766,
                  0.20912215532462194,
                  0.14738561477662931
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3362141211779599,
                  0.23809598898643128,
                  0.21689424918971875,
                  0.31359079251676486,
                  0.19057742473098047,
                  0.2013192488542252,
                  0.11112986117285617,
                  0.2777465472984038,
                  0.3174125320510382
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3325162105184372,
                  0.24104243864711158,
                  0.22152291047598155,
                  0.33656244571392563,
                  0.18878792456796986,
                  0.20738469072412372,
                  0.12236291485165149,
                  0.28512649430379705,
                  0.33250862534711423
                ],
                "crps": [
                  41.410473542831845,
                  22.469157031830857,
                  27.39053253225939,
                  38.93433732897829,
                  23.244481421042792,
                  29.373692060540122,
                  32.01046012280131,
                  43.944852211583076,
                  39.901708386271075
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  39.145523273068626,
                  22.643913019787092,
                  29.008121722013154,
                  43.28444006396797,
                  20.589043753169044,
                  26.078049611235418,
                  38.88164859631245,
                  43.764166543124,
                  41.3116571073202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  40.95869358020418,
                  22.024463960666395,
                  26.9355352763801,
                  38.43551249949502,
                  22.797331434683237,
                  28.891287650446294,
                  31.517990008838748,
                  43.463277739651986,
                  39.41206158457574
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  37.945151810469554,
                  21.44354155718803,
                  27.807750259414085,
                  42.084068601368905,
                  19.388672290569982,
                  24.87767814863636,
                  37.681277133713394,
                  42.56379508052493,
                  40.111285644721136
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44943859866580227,
              "rpss": 0.026983519895743435,
              "brier_below": 0.20466295341682203,
              "bss_below": 0.025056742666825116,
              "brier_above": 0.2447756406642643,
              "bss_above": 0.028588707205193464,
              "crps": 33.186632737570974,
              "crpss": 0.019779255749774016,
              "crps_fair": 32.715128192771296,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0018132948913607283,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.209382,
                    0.783911,
                    0.006707,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2847,
                    0.3341,
                    0.4126,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.195,
                    0.3192,
                    0.7997,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.053624,
                    0.868184,
                    0.078192,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2896,
                    0.3383,
                    0.4268,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1571,
                    0.419,
                    0.6443,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "cdft": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7929832885274438,
            "training": [
              0.8232911750273058,
              0.7982878695895599,
              0.7931838628973936,
              0.7910652920459149,
              0.8150486336594103,
              0.792453682117049,
              0.8092228364031586,
              0.792801992572007,
              0.797209603126691,
              0.8120630343018059,
              0.8061186980992634,
              0.7792284243345187,
              0.7921404811850096,
              0.7763018058458049,
              0.8111483701709911,
              0.7906990086998468,
              0.788492655509838,
              0.8037999348612979,
              0.7955438321783677,
              0.7741657194549152,
              0.7767095166099036,
              0.7498426970456462,
              0.8058635024855525,
              0.7569162964373994
            ],
            "test": 0.8113719350275146
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4578099205816333,
                  0.43157354854557767,
                  0.4305620942886895,
                  0.4463114303328303,
                  0.45377228840690637,
                  0.48161920876323927,
                  0.4355997269290071,
                  0.4251207771484391,
                  0.4385687706483956,
                  0.4678598630185394,
                  0.4313742642950954,
                  0.4446023468263906,
                  0.4341101947759337,
                  0.484683477142716,
                  0.4070954339142335,
                  0.4401560766512227,
                  0.4755590849211888,
                  0.43422484280450446,
                  0.441171447001347,
                  0.48255877002782827,
                  0.4411878565283036,
                  0.47111063636937156,
                  0.438105628503761,
                  0.48447990480091957
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4869460861873936,
                  0.43311561715049013,
                  0.42665283629995887,
                  0.44012862716617557,
                  0.48683226104537497,
                  0.4699280766987921,
                  0.4475013886975289,
                  0.4299640334798916,
                  0.4535864129837444,
                  0.48849641096862856,
                  0.4596172723520629,
                  0.4322379405002914,
                  0.43419638725068654,
                  0.4724542199071603,
                  0.42914664398663566,
                  0.4373205272257517,
                  0.47042695166109,
                  0.45012910259569633,
                  0.44192877804299024,
                  0.469625424443561,
                  0.43731801020639594,
                  0.4501365530815326,
                  0.46908018947556185,
                  0.4449840852631641
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3014036120820193,
                  0.21892795199608253,
                  0.20803771657021475,
                  0.20263982799486316,
                  0.289992934424931,
                  0.1851428470460353,
                  0.22438794376481025,
                  0.15269036954571832,
                  0.16339699237170108,
                  0.34476108926832855,
                  0.1541580660255269,
                  0.27911438081653683,
                  0.2683194190687114,
                  0.15938620141870688,
                  0.1698913119170471,
                  0.21976320226761584,
                  0.3085565888278692,
                  0.1743817211047034,
                  0.19607766883430064,
                  0.18011280945520416,
                  0.1998775900116156,
                  0.1772901210132593,
                  0.298317406207274,
                  0.29694604935575614
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3202155820245851,
                  0.22042082449139921,
                  0.20454162041781745,
                  0.19948218298248652,
                  0.3125806880673776,
                  0.18448136588560546,
                  0.22913049092557836,
                  0.15295472997404608,
                  0.1677260825661108,
                  0.3549551412119517,
                  0.1682634298872238,
                  0.2764274862652953,
                  0.2678113388378291,
                  0.15419544029267795,
                  0.18153898139271196,
                  0.21783066808659152,
                  0.30487529872678765,
                  0.1813710861448971,
                  0.19692950527067277,
                  0.1748368638176133,
                  0.19893691471111052,
                  0.1688323879354228,
                  0.3166162717700402,
                  0.2856578644701919
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1564063084984788,
                  0.21264559697734978,
                  0.2225243775731994,
                  0.2436716027813962,
                  0.16377935388818504,
                  0.29647636341782774,
                  0.21121178272565,
                  0.27243040787807576,
                  0.27517177889410405,
                  0.12309877265762562,
                  0.27721619791443597,
                  0.16548796527583548,
                  0.16579077420115745,
                  0.325297276461923,
                  0.23720412171334188,
                  0.22039287430360976,
                  0.16700249562284822,
                  0.2598431216793378,
                  0.2450937786625542,
                  0.30244596168510185,
                  0.24131026656117835,
                  0.2938205152632321,
                  0.13978822236743854,
                  0.187533855792526
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1667305041791274,
                  0.212694792636688,
                  0.22211121585973861,
                  0.24064644416128617,
                  0.17425157298003563,
                  0.28544671079078393,
                  0.21837089778824334,
                  0.27700930350187725,
                  0.2858603303944614,
                  0.13354126973425637,
                  0.29135384244241846,
                  0.1558104542125932,
                  0.16638504840470472,
                  0.3182587795919011,
                  0.24760766262868203,
                  0.2194898591401801,
                  0.1655516529506078,
                  0.2687580164671699,
                  0.24499927277333824,
                  0.294788560635156,
                  0.23838109549630468,
                  0.2813041651646206,
                  0.1524639177249777,
                  0.15932622079399056
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.004272620397337,
                  23.39181746243931,
                  16.910150664789526,
                  20.681139826071504,
                  25.91491813997593,
                  31.54034179531421,
                  17.554173682738323,
                  16.574415773011538,
                  17.122754128282175,
                  18.28442239026768,
                  19.394859965543827,
                  20.029488286236596,
                  17.00255839106647,
                  24.92968653355514,
                  17.033082139528663,
                  19.662145078296653,
                  20.554822576444035,
                  21.11294744320726,
                  18.51482300936603,
                  25.924254188401434,
                  18.941203693791625,
                  22.021555996263437,
                  20.30127038799238,
                  29.654206138076052
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.50573408767415,
                  20.83057272098966,
                  15.384713855323458,
                  18.348619796571146,
                  24.833990712013843,
                  25.690950303673365,
                  18.785353190982665,
                  17.33500505990353,
                  18.087780250289807,
                  20.142766859727907,
                  20.325407851377147,
                  15.896880844511065,
                  16.450574540440684,
                  22.381877815816505,
                  17.12509460409629,
                  18.780040871450467,
                  19.576441073305176,
                  20.057000221067682,
                  17.794707369190313,
                  23.531910254268485,
                  17.52675521093812,
                  18.71292159075082,
                  19.191330002304415,
                  19.855645712754207
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.359656229012483,
                  22.752315733638593,
                  16.21644584816368,
                  20.029863204550892,
                  25.315537436910883,
                  30.843415562251433,
                  16.88139966112311,
                  15.84937863180971,
                  16.416345993279975,
                  17.67519059884865,
                  18.805728397278966,
                  19.36194495279821,
                  16.350789956862908,
                  24.252820263741768,
                  16.32760431816155,
                  18.969138600369305,
                  19.861399964589303,
                  20.36650418673735,
                  17.7586427525118,
                  25.307510784026952,
                  18.209740192748143,
                  21.40733785201878,
                  19.628198976859945,
                  28.950785582791642
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  30.697545948289488,
                  20.00216647295597,
                  14.545993480650242,
                  17.515512880119996,
                  24.013166695023745,
                  24.871749316212938,
                  17.953073421111842,
                  16.499978418572333,
                  17.25417931954646,
                  19.313057949078193,
                  19.496044851696468,
                  15.059130483074949,
                  15.613872841307472,
                  21.556409645613932,
                  16.289670405083633,
                  17.947751040368416,
                  18.74565957593875,
                  19.227128873602325,
                  16.96055137617215,
                  22.708620175805393,
                  16.692091732771754,
                  17.880504639818948,
                  18.359819127909574,
                  19.025393012053403
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44913406638441966,
              "rpss": 0.0075987952485016,
              "brier_below": 0.22389890922453462,
              "bss_below": 0.012321853080884071,
              "brier_above": 0.22523515719985054,
              "bss_above": 0.0028587738206324875,
              "crps": 21.210637929627378,
              "crpss": -0.06463055822689823,
              "crps_fair": 20.53740398671192,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07565784482200621,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.000428,
                    0.13889,
                    0.755395,
                    0.104758,
                    0.000529,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1674,
                    0.2856,
                    0.3458,
                    0.4321,
                    0.5015,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.4601,
                    0.2545,
                    0.3497,
                    0.4508,
                    0.5624,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    6.6e-05,
                    0.094367,
                    0.799568,
                    0.106,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1733,
                    0.2885,
                    0.346,
                    0.4361,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.3074,
                    0.3412,
                    0.4032,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46009873764823445,
                  0.4479970907982672,
                  0.43044748539229905,
                  0.4433811526333915,
                  0.4644541554340127,
                  0.5050285037680551,
                  0.439543189388784,
                  0.4219094054577179,
                  0.44692864870376686,
                  0.4632447505889695,
                  0.42255055405763414,
                  0.452324216792151,
                  0.4404785755070793,
                  0.45860784611270017,
                  0.41789170121930724,
                  0.44081950708414924,
                  0.46394335343430504,
                  0.4495790368078489,
                  0.4396967607633332,
                  0.460859171630879,
                  0.43521207172677445,
                  0.4261371706648028,
                  0.4486279050444704,
                  0.5223661142182453
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48743050991631937,
                  0.4500701624584457,
                  0.4265242004143022,
                  0.4390098244777031,
                  0.49139482584164884,
                  0.494693701774444,
                  0.4545856811469357,
                  0.43593834610889776,
                  0.4580519634274834,
                  0.47701006345194874,
                  0.4352766490847659,
                  0.4325868375773595,
                  0.4393322155734538,
                  0.45819407461226264,
                  0.4258449859445512,
                  0.4429956010693269,
                  0.46917288320447564,
                  0.4504464390301668,
                  0.43726520584675527,
                  0.45476639467496144,
                  0.4364531411048688,
                  0.42034369581379755,
                  0.4673311154491269,
                  0.4820108972087676
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.29223253090711976,
                  0.21542197802165763,
                  0.18862246780403147,
                  0.17746001688159543,
                  0.3018021613131496,
                  0.18335242864476423,
                  0.19923976781080696,
                  0.15470990576036217,
                  0.18458331448859777,
                  0.33362913008462736,
                  0.17995149322013082,
                  0.27674342880442987,
                  0.28285782059595266,
                  0.1479524966091704,
                  0.19078232944568124,
                  0.21567402404662986,
                  0.2884978788518667,
                  0.2021044137321834,
                  0.18217481435704314,
                  0.17134578181148824,
                  0.2072197783143608,
                  0.17246014209502933,
                  0.3107468886661163,
                  0.34653663618614516
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3104072285253455,
                  0.21673480811611381,
                  0.18558730667959258,
                  0.17603508945959234,
                  0.32028208459781965,
                  0.17926314118722866,
                  0.20608332860378822,
                  0.16099647389177257,
                  0.18759330134707142,
                  0.33954533961604677,
                  0.1874236505788654,
                  0.26795152854435594,
                  0.28077112311215474,
                  0.14729671030580527,
                  0.19608173063938172,
                  0.21470894001819776,
                  0.2912022736927969,
                  0.20165084148960713,
                  0.18095977006653313,
                  0.1684004312888114,
                  0.20718324254548248,
                  0.16958622943392032,
                  0.3193885527201346,
                  0.32447550978521345
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16786620671600136,
                  0.23257511324753094,
                  0.24182501775467874,
                  0.2659211364431436,
                  0.16265199364653674,
                  0.3216760771330752,
                  0.24030342137886915,
                  0.2671995001333684,
                  0.2623453347554548,
                  0.12961561904734115,
                  0.2425990605165835,
                  0.17558078736014504,
                  0.15762075316607835,
                  0.3106553502757656,
                  0.2271093715611275,
                  0.22514548274354143,
                  0.17544547408257946,
                  0.2474746236078984,
                  0.25752194700370623,
                  0.2895133910212382,
                  0.2279922934824533,
                  0.25367702830702904,
                  0.13788101606154532,
                  0.17582947760392204
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17702328139097373,
                  0.23333535434233188,
                  0.24093689373470956,
                  0.2629747350181107,
                  0.1711127412438291,
                  0.3154305605872152,
                  0.24850235254314745,
                  0.274941872217125,
                  0.2704586620804119,
                  0.13746472383590178,
                  0.24785299850590042,
                  0.1646353090330035,
                  0.15856109246129885,
                  0.31089736430645726,
                  0.22976325530516944,
                  0.2282866610511291,
                  0.17797060951167862,
                  0.24879559754055963,
                  0.256305435780222,
                  0.28636596338614995,
                  0.2292698985593863,
                  0.2507574663798771,
                  0.14794256272899212,
                  0.15753538742355408
                ],
                "crps": [
                  41.929381331375176,
                  36.39456590200968,
                  25.563828698085167,
                  31.73481492842145,
                  39.71563168048884,
                  45.71256812043698,
                  27.686813738776653,
                  24.801895667284068,
                  25.722651780363677,
                  28.149006560824816,
                  25.7371600549535,
                  31.824731141391,
                  26.479740107322332,
                  32.93251250982825,
                  25.515224196063123,
                  29.272354576806563,
                  30.899592465023467,
                  32.542664774521164,
                  28.022546785681964,
                  37.57005332168526,
                  26.913252914714374,
                  26.001594821335342,
                  33.19596736227769,
                  44.85687806038732
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  49.57656865028093,
                  32.96040380943106,
                  23.338961685869542,
                  28.247352936237633,
                  38.77143887837504,
                  40.075400748993,
                  30.044498290231484,
                  26.420742022616203,
                  27.19914339939457,
                  30.474463908758302,
                  25.997698532993468,
                  24.664015955947068,
                  25.497247064245567,
                  30.559056130702682,
                  25.223022089283898,
                  28.82789187164294,
                  30.59933260802571,
                  31.14965624843492,
                  26.757510478633222,
                  34.73556146951894,
                  25.69189133881856,
                  22.368377050704193,
                  29.705255183554968,
                  32.58994873293396
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  40.9655323443963,
                  35.46308987692884,
                  24.505190681474165,
                  30.73381698765657,
                  38.761472280518184,
                  44.705183795727265,
                  26.67218709932253,
                  23.716533450043354,
                  24.65676982728578,
                  27.23696420114887,
                  24.83915072110875,
                  30.822395413038688,
                  25.499115763648824,
                  31.913248968873173,
                  24.469055755506908,
                  28.234042791849596,
                  29.88525332456418,
                  31.436416778495666,
                  26.919577732704926,
                  36.63746569749324,
                  25.80853166415699,
                  25.04075555159484,
                  32.131484949572695,
                  43.81608105982423
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  48.36096752564688,
                  31.71333267562872,
                  22.07366812380289,
                  26.991355569720923,
                  37.53537349280934,
                  38.84180498818226,
                  28.79190460809734,
                  25.161285165732785,
                  25.941160787542934,
                  29.222684555447124,
                  24.7374404573797,
                  23.40123196636163,
                  24.23604116388039,
                  29.30743698993307,
                  23.961296823435838,
                  27.57299401068571,
                  29.347789748463143,
                  29.899155668494338,
                  25.498691440795294,
                  33.49185237673951,
                  24.4310540829128,
                  21.101245260161853,
                  28.452018995536967,
                  31.34217597966858
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4500886293698825,
              "rpss": 0.005944963555009397,
              "brier_below": 0.22525423451887253,
              "bss_below": 0.006159819581398662,
              "brier_above": 0.22483439487706725,
              "bss_above": 0.005729613027598557,
              "crps": 31.632309645835743,
              "crpss": -0.0522540205418629,
              "crps_fair": 30.619554863205607,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06284998079218473,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.090148,
                    0.842208,
                    0.067645,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2882,
                    0.345,
                    0.4269,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.305,
                    0.3442,
                    0.4402,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.070363,
                    0.864211,
                    0.065426,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2885,
                    0.3471,
                    0.4217,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2803,
                    0.3455,
                    0.4155,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4946689918398122,
                  0.41553129357502666,
                  0.4272458647816879,
                  0.43615609787878984,
                  0.4255704629351227,
                  0.43432372763046834,
                  0.45493047197328373,
                  0.4603689432589153,
                  0.44142033083664795
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4870055947178849,
                  0.42143281565336166,
                  0.4461656033354792,
                  0.4898169267269451,
                  0.409710504473286,
                  0.4328402132818921,
                  0.481437726284207,
                  0.5046306428050635,
                  0.4618523477225761
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16499257709577012,
                  0.17935585297039103,
                  0.22302027610488762,
                  0.13756970963821452,
                  0.24754284428619466,
                  0.22941549105139986,
                  0.3170764440120783,
                  0.16391484140571577,
                  0.14720746333504597
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1614439450337624,
                  0.1816624432294703,
                  0.23775382310536425,
                  0.15106275351725754,
                  0.24150138386167241,
                  0.22891616263738787,
                  0.3354019372244457,
                  0.1752044871830586,
                  0.15555314716681815
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.32967639639253904,
                  0.23617543752235992,
                  0.20422559168196724,
                  0.2985863716840365,
                  0.17802762917905915,
                  0.2049082419227212,
                  0.13785403995364437,
                  0.2964540857077225,
                  0.2942128554432363
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3255616312349862,
                  0.23977036919747338,
                  0.2084117826700664,
                  0.3387541525544384,
                  0.16820913018134312,
                  0.20392405388684642,
                  0.14603580259439067,
                  0.32942613657571873,
                  0.30629918549199875
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.45049153732529,
                  14.691498883907855,
                  17.702514841793526,
                  26.17523367256422,
                  15.940684893548687,
                  19.376275474311015,
                  20.352895137046463,
                  28.864752641248415,
                  25.633967916728906
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.21024020824127,
                  14.872246430786253,
                  18.409970210564648,
                  31.11807114784039,
                  13.520669199455181,
                  16.78306002701278,
                  24.29613597010876,
                  31.10996240254287,
                  27.087652937999966
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  26.127963898625413,
                  14.371049691730304,
                  17.37407991744243,
                  25.80706135128684,
                  15.60914854970894,
                  19.017951977559182,
                  20.023923578257442,
                  28.510530054046292,
                  25.24133083321353
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.414703625458667,
                  14.076709848003654,
                  17.614433627782052,
                  30.32253456505779,
                  12.725132616672582,
                  15.98752344423017,
                  23.50059938732616,
                  30.31442581976026,
                  26.292116355217367
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4433573538566394,
              "rpss": 0.03498910664897714,
              "brier_below": 0.20112172221107755,
              "bss_below": 0.03125746880730185,
              "brier_above": 0.2422356277208096,
              "bss_above": 0.03806560630165767,
              "crps": 21.68759055538604,
              "crpss": 0.03566901126269073,
              "crps_fair": 21.342559983541154,
              "crpss_fair": 0.0162108525116903,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00035,
                    0.285158,
                    0.67957,
                    0.034923,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1708,
                    0.2808,
                    0.3352,
                    0.4244,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.5,
                    0.1989,
                    0.3158,
                    0.5019,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.070044,
                    0.782249,
                    0.147708,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2873,
                    0.3426,
                    0.4316,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.208,
                    0.4055,
                    0.6119,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48437249089868156,
                  0.4178487211993672,
                  0.44279343174353913,
                  0.4615610441977689,
                  0.3936411761744669,
                  0.42858601600662566,
                  0.4662300271485225,
                  0.4854249793062065,
                  0.4587683268776142
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4833705205269806,
                  0.4217325829401401,
                  0.45787504847516347,
                  0.4926249194603664,
                  0.3921209549450236,
                  0.43537634701428846,
                  0.49987785514849153,
                  0.4942486608765802,
                  0.4798942598444907
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15090638546172808,
                  0.1803343773569705,
                  0.22670279425070228,
                  0.148329498631902,
                  0.20269939095340017,
                  0.2269484307327771,
                  0.3544371243751679,
                  0.20774374490418815,
                  0.14122874720790615
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15085429028643993,
                  0.18069014092771118,
                  0.23635213812422837,
                  0.15606245330081414,
                  0.2033330363555721,
                  0.227991658943322,
                  0.3775149581530766,
                  0.20912215532462194,
                  0.14738561477662931
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.33346608591458227,
                  0.23751434064439186,
                  0.2160906378741371,
                  0.3132315274699038,
                  0.19094179192921013,
                  0.20163758937948273,
                  0.11179291933443572,
                  0.2776812242288639,
                  0.3175395622541556
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3325162105184372,
                  0.24104243864711158,
                  0.22152291047598155,
                  0.33656244571392563,
                  0.18878792456796986,
                  0.20738469072412372,
                  0.12236291485165149,
                  0.28512649430379705,
                  0.33250862534711423
                ],
                "crps": [
                  40.262931214508775,
                  22.566633508272538,
                  27.227767972609595,
                  38.52862092150024,
                  22.940080009232265,
                  28.63823860976628,
                  32.397076176842695,
                  43.388192728075886,
                  38.82808146942257
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  39.145523273068626,
                  22.643913019787092,
                  29.008121722013154,
                  43.28444006396797,
                  20.589043753169044,
                  26.078049611235418,
                  38.88164859631245,
                  43.764166543124,
                  41.3116571073202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.76965626090402,
                  22.082891939516177,
                  26.747327586430757,
                  37.98752635096513,
                  22.44282705983869,
                  28.111721702756792,
                  31.883526613861644,
                  42.86268642390848,
                  38.25491670572894
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  37.945151810469554,
                  21.44354155718803,
                  27.807750259414085,
                  42.084068601368905,
                  19.388672290569982,
                  24.87767814863636,
                  37.681277133713394,
                  42.56379508052493,
                  40.111285644721136
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44880291261697697,
              "rpss": 0.0283597546105977,
              "brier_below": 0.20437005487497137,
              "bss_below": 0.02645200963474792,
              "brier_above": 0.2444328532254626,
              "bss_above": 0.029949085991973656,
              "crps": 32.75306917891454,
              "crpss": 0.03258525500575926,
              "crps_fair": 32.23812007154563,
              "crpss_fair": 0.012793802925869069,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.183986,
                    0.803283,
                    0.012731,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2841,
                    0.3344,
                    0.4139,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1829,
                    0.3151,
                    0.7576,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.046812,
                    0.876523,
                    0.076666,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2889,
                    0.3406,
                    0.4211,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0972,
                    0.4189,
                    0.6634,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "mvs_zero_guard": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.693217678663837,
            "training": [
              0.7352786401772822,
              0.6945112488984331,
              0.6944132656005434,
              0.6881001183554947,
              0.7149879564303885,
              0.6847088594408685,
              0.7094707653384016,
              0.697469550552504,
              0.7040017163136361,
              0.7158561041346233,
              0.704497842789866,
              0.6768449972297795,
              0.6895728735007484,
              0.6788854905529521,
              0.711186657247793,
              0.6899963940827393,
              0.6889886561672168,
              0.7009244396838024,
              0.7035504442934665,
              0.6707623988623879,
              0.6769178333801202,
              0.6458312805212065,
              0.7177998246747265,
              0.6426669297031079
            ],
            "test": 0.7252305336001995
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.45298551369692003,
                  0.43624633162729154,
                  0.42899496361447104,
                  0.44183797028234634,
                  0.44266951332300203,
                  0.4865556321259325,
                  0.4315125843945104,
                  0.4206019398671207,
                  0.4379694367194613,
                  0.46326349817874957,
                  0.4342980972543247,
                  0.44864460385803967,
                  0.4360459113367005,
                  0.4788937573211945,
                  0.40385347470237637,
                  0.43420661663064236,
                  0.4716262761088239,
                  0.4419657858649769,
                  0.43479346177348166,
                  0.4840225817367027,
                  0.43937269792853534,
                  0.46421049300307515,
                  0.4275931328621844,
                  0.4920590280677159
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4869460861873936,
                  0.43311561715049013,
                  0.42665283629995887,
                  0.44012862716617557,
                  0.48683226104537497,
                  0.4699280766987921,
                  0.4475013886975289,
                  0.4299640334798916,
                  0.4535864129837444,
                  0.48849641096862856,
                  0.4596172723520629,
                  0.4322379405002914,
                  0.43419638725068654,
                  0.4724542199071603,
                  0.42914664398663566,
                  0.4373205272257517,
                  0.47042695166109,
                  0.45012910259569633,
                  0.44192877804299024,
                  0.469625424443561,
                  0.43731801020639594,
                  0.4501365530815326,
                  0.46908018947556185,
                  0.4449840852631641
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.29933668722476015,
                  0.2196354316317614,
                  0.2062436021568557,
                  0.19909931454386096,
                  0.28199580811196734,
                  0.18702898957646985,
                  0.2207359814776987,
                  0.15224650210140153,
                  0.164981940119598,
                  0.3428118201336831,
                  0.15680796953132192,
                  0.28393954527615956,
                  0.2705995351806259,
                  0.15590207758882782,
                  0.16857448304018266,
                  0.21716861848845212,
                  0.3055968116202364,
                  0.1797039279191989,
                  0.1919564525757606,
                  0.1818857236959407,
                  0.2011888307912529,
                  0.17205564917237906,
                  0.29225009031633353,
                  0.30252192528547067
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3202155820245851,
                  0.22042082449139921,
                  0.20454162041781745,
                  0.19948218298248652,
                  0.3125806880673776,
                  0.18448136588560546,
                  0.22913049092557836,
                  0.15295472997404608,
                  0.1677260825661108,
                  0.3549551412119517,
                  0.1682634298872238,
                  0.2764274862652953,
                  0.2678113388378291,
                  0.15419544029267795,
                  0.18153898139271196,
                  0.21783066808659152,
                  0.30487529872678765,
                  0.1813710861448971,
                  0.19692950527067277,
                  0.1748368638176133,
                  0.19893691471111052,
                  0.1688323879354228,
                  0.3166162717700402,
                  0.2856578644701919
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15364882624776846,
                  0.21661090041773717,
                  0.2227513611499266,
                  0.24273865676418788,
                  0.16067370520124755,
                  0.299526644567994,
                  0.21077660254096162,
                  0.26835543876843265,
                  0.2729874969392288,
                  0.12045167639745359,
                  0.27749012752341046,
                  0.16470505720947196,
                  0.16544637448887425,
                  0.32299168169822184,
                  0.2352789911822122,
                  0.2170379977826019,
                  0.16602946372598132,
                  0.26226185861679413,
                  0.24283701005275096,
                  0.30213685955956215,
                  0.23818386741107408,
                  0.2921548445899174,
                  0.13534304285401286,
                  0.1895371025812414
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1667305041791274,
                  0.212694792636688,
                  0.22211121585973861,
                  0.24064644416128617,
                  0.17425157298003563,
                  0.28544671079078393,
                  0.21837089778824334,
                  0.27700930350187725,
                  0.2858603303944614,
                  0.13354126973425637,
                  0.29135384244241846,
                  0.1558104542125932,
                  0.16638504840470472,
                  0.3182587795919011,
                  0.24760766262868203,
                  0.2194898591401801,
                  0.1655516529506078,
                  0.2687580164671699,
                  0.24499927277333824,
                  0.294788560635156,
                  0.23838109549630468,
                  0.2813041651646206,
                  0.1524639177249777,
                  0.15932622079399056
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.363358299856717,
                  23.261791366416833,
                  16.650265074874525,
                  20.065421774746483,
                  23.221910746767215,
                  29.92833714135511,
                  17.47312507835416,
                  16.00359184669905,
                  16.599850424056715,
                  18.30168229035301,
                  19.51599249134344,
                  19.607580974243575,
                  17.156082132835827,
                  23.970733685147955,
                  16.623406585943066,
                  19.085549800942058,
                  19.940694878879874,
                  20.57692426221683,
                  18.15085499759229,
                  25.55947241991893,
                  18.16700539206605,
                  20.685961371908196,
                  18.111623397018615,
                  26.405650342086652
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.50573408767415,
                  20.83057272098966,
                  15.384713855323458,
                  18.348619796571146,
                  24.833990712013843,
                  25.690950303673365,
                  18.785353190982665,
                  17.33500505990353,
                  18.087780250289807,
                  20.142766859727907,
                  20.325407851377147,
                  15.896880844511065,
                  16.450574540440684,
                  22.381877815816505,
                  17.12509460409629,
                  18.780040871450467,
                  19.576441073305176,
                  20.057000221067682,
                  17.794707369190313,
                  23.531910254268485,
                  17.52675521093812,
                  18.71292159075082,
                  19.191330002304415,
                  19.855645712754207
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.698970279610055,
                  22.583407467153844,
                  15.924271568103316,
                  19.36671434133402,
                  22.58272006748237,
                  29.194737836315305,
                  16.7493387317405,
                  15.22420054180504,
                  15.846907893050412,
                  17.65537610688505,
                  18.879583235974604,
                  18.87921152382734,
                  16.46348116674219,
                  23.23926344087297,
                  15.861785633485598,
                  18.351270745232178,
                  19.21419810559132,
                  19.782545417619577,
                  17.367846704548224,
                  24.903798128474076,
                  17.403546634183872,
                  20.029942594386387,
                  17.391798684332997,
                  25.65980147773009
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  30.697545948289488,
                  20.00216647295597,
                  14.545993480650242,
                  17.515512880119996,
                  24.013166695023745,
                  24.871749316212938,
                  17.953073421111842,
                  16.499978418572333,
                  17.25417931954646,
                  19.313057949078193,
                  19.496044851696468,
                  15.059130483074949,
                  15.613872841307472,
                  21.556409645613932,
                  16.289670405083633,
                  17.947751040368416,
                  18.74565957593875,
                  19.227128873602325,
                  16.96055137617215,
                  22.708620175805393,
                  16.692091732771754,
                  17.880504639818948,
                  18.359819127909574,
                  19.025393012053403
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4472593042616075,
              "rpss": 0.011741246976286757,
              "brier_below": 0.223094488231675,
              "bss_below": 0.01587036985714796,
              "brier_above": 0.22416481617796105,
              "bss_above": 0.007597293207505906,
              "crps": 20.476119448984296,
              "crpss": -0.027762698680688258,
              "crps_fair": 19.76061326360339,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03497300288009031,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.158123,
                    0.690105,
                    0.146839,
                    0.004933,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2788,
                    0.3465,
                    0.4336,
                    0.5104,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.279,
                    0.3341,
                    0.4791,
                    0.4533,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    6.6e-05,
                    0.151028,
                    0.729201,
                    0.116476,
                    0.003229,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1782,
                    0.281,
                    0.3474,
                    0.4279,
                    0.5171,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.2733,
                    0.3515,
                    0.3938,
                    0.357,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.455330058382192,
                  0.4539545139858285,
                  0.429267646965269,
                  0.4419262488899622,
                  0.45113221309356016,
                  0.5096352749726146,
                  0.4378679722848222,
                  0.41631135221897503,
                  0.43950653771574316,
                  0.4576832989508401,
                  0.4205048781546623,
                  0.45667196816693006,
                  0.43912528791974287,
                  0.4577197622270836,
                  0.4134026623447388,
                  0.4341390354564378,
                  0.4602452174214877,
                  0.4511696312407498,
                  0.4361227053710336,
                  0.46277087368301956,
                  0.43130341583409953,
                  0.41927405900552,
                  0.4381272078422045,
                  0.532157622426002
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48743050991631937,
                  0.4500701624584457,
                  0.4265242004143022,
                  0.4390098244777031,
                  0.49139482584164884,
                  0.494693701774444,
                  0.4545856811469357,
                  0.43593834610889776,
                  0.4580519634274834,
                  0.47701006345194874,
                  0.4352766490847659,
                  0.4325868375773595,
                  0.4393322155734538,
                  0.45819407461226264,
                  0.4258449859445512,
                  0.4429956010693269,
                  0.46917288320447564,
                  0.4504464390301668,
                  0.43726520584675527,
                  0.45476639467496144,
                  0.4364531411048688,
                  0.42034369581379755,
                  0.4673311154491269,
                  0.4820108972087676
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.29076365397611564,
                  0.2178701165086526,
                  0.18789780253704955,
                  0.1748644476780858,
                  0.29228938993674103,
                  0.18452704306431295,
                  0.19836198576960967,
                  0.15270883092650514,
                  0.18157722078936142,
                  0.33263664364757384,
                  0.17888532482732622,
                  0.280066047937075,
                  0.284128517503398,
                  0.1477861878194442,
                  0.18820286245590326,
                  0.21311278909645925,
                  0.28732539379304933,
                  0.20261492503798936,
                  0.18053142915969417,
                  0.17172945925393032,
                  0.20712906273423695,
                  0.1668095956579977,
                  0.30384498530587084,
                  0.3535461175824013
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3104072285253455,
                  0.21673480811611381,
                  0.18558730667959258,
                  0.17603508945959234,
                  0.32028208459781965,
                  0.17926314118722866,
                  0.20608332860378822,
                  0.16099647389177257,
                  0.18759330134707142,
                  0.33954533961604677,
                  0.1874236505788654,
                  0.26795152854435594,
                  0.28077112311215474,
                  0.14729671030580527,
                  0.19608173063938172,
                  0.21470894001819776,
                  0.2912022736927969,
                  0.20165084148960713,
                  0.18095977006653313,
                  0.1684004312888114,
                  0.20718324254548248,
                  0.16958622943392032,
                  0.3193885527201346,
                  0.32447550978521345
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16456640423513283,
                  0.23608439819954435,
                  0.24136984466704706,
                  0.26706180266780233,
                  0.15884282276761677,
                  0.3251082338991999,
                  0.2395059864842798,
                  0.26360252212005625,
                  0.25792931701506333,
                  0.12504665343285856,
                  0.24161955310253844,
                  0.1766059190065516,
                  0.15499676818582095,
                  0.309933576299079,
                  0.22519979960704714,
                  0.2210262457011488,
                  0.17291982307034728,
                  0.24855470711134836,
                  0.25559127702298245,
                  0.2910414160653514,
                  0.224174353258985,
                  0.25246446406888334,
                  0.13428222239468052,
                  0.17861150411538088
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17702328139097373,
                  0.23333535434233188,
                  0.24093689373470956,
                  0.2629747350181107,
                  0.1711127412438291,
                  0.3154305605872152,
                  0.24850235254314745,
                  0.274941872217125,
                  0.2704586620804119,
                  0.13746472383590178,
                  0.24785299850590042,
                  0.1646353090330035,
                  0.15856109246129885,
                  0.31089736430645726,
                  0.22976325530516944,
                  0.2282866610511291,
                  0.17797060951167862,
                  0.24879559754055963,
                  0.256305435780222,
                  0.28636596338614995,
                  0.2292698985593863,
                  0.2507574663798771,
                  0.14794256272899212,
                  0.15753538742355408
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.17644795967733,
                  36.3489341958612,
                  25.012939085876837,
                  30.756850991244313,
                  35.23994899346842,
                  44.00867197298489,
                  27.590213165635653,
                  23.849983129820714,
                  24.71305504271685,
                  27.761974672070252,
                  25.495125116744298,
                  31.02972184244648,
                  26.22277453578064,
                  31.559514470330495,
                  25.016608121830004,
                  28.625353051822337,
                  29.788864180471496,
                  31.971271119804232,
                  27.343525946659827,
                  37.35421196498141,
                  25.969558212024,
                  24.32677677691248,
                  29.499347251309327,
                  41.09290818216388
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  49.57656865028093,
                  32.96040380943106,
                  23.338961685869542,
                  28.247352936237633,
                  38.77143887837504,
                  40.075400748993,
                  30.044498290231484,
                  26.420742022616203,
                  27.19914339939457,
                  30.474463908758302,
                  25.997698532993468,
                  24.664015955947068,
                  25.497247064245567,
                  30.559056130702682,
                  25.223022089283898,
                  28.82789187164294,
                  30.59933260802571,
                  31.14965624843492,
                  26.757510478633222,
                  34.73556146951894,
                  25.69189133881856,
                  22.368377050704193,
                  29.705255183554968,
                  32.58994873293396
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.1932508618546,
                  35.369655693936366,
                  23.9232124188412,
                  29.694067041027324,
                  34.22591464322391,
                  42.96851688986854,
                  26.51380688899129,
                  22.702314476475387,
                  23.60553238259092,
                  26.813731495774388,
                  24.54631749333744,
                  29.959476796526825,
                  25.201039970313428,
                  30.484149318367177,
                  23.912348643595276,
                  27.548962239779716,
                  28.73412200425987,
                  30.827675920097633,
                  26.213054565113893,
                  36.382057074331044,
                  24.829094678680118,
                  23.31377173006211,
                  28.362829375340862,
                  40.01730205122024
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  48.36096752564688,
                  31.71333267562872,
                  22.07366812380289,
                  26.991355569720923,
                  37.53537349280934,
                  38.84180498818226,
                  28.79190460809734,
                  25.161285165732785,
                  25.941160787542934,
                  29.222684555447124,
                  24.7374404573797,
                  23.40123196636163,
                  24.23604116388039,
                  29.30743698993307,
                  23.961296823435838,
                  27.57299401068571,
                  29.347789748463143,
                  29.899155668494338,
                  25.498691440795294,
                  33.49185237673951,
                  24.4310540829128,
                  21.101245260161853,
                  28.452018995536967,
                  31.34217597966858
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44772289352306327,
              "rpss": 0.011169871450864122,
              "brier_below": 0.22413374304161596,
              "bss_below": 0.011103519993036715,
              "brier_above": 0.2235891506041144,
              "bss_above": 0.011236375041573043,
              "crps": 30.53144083260989,
              "crpss": -0.015633437101205017,
              "crps_fair": 29.472591860567064,
              "crpss_fair": -0.023037200666219837,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.163395,
                    0.736758,
                    0.095316,
                    0.004531,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2803,
                    0.3445,
                    0.4292,
                    0.5065,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3193,
                    0.3313,
                    0.5148,
                    0.4109,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.146932,
                    0.750459,
                    0.101752,
                    0.000857,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2812,
                    0.3467,
                    0.4237,
                    0.5209,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2668,
                    0.3524,
                    0.4062,
                    0.5877,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4935685130319724,
                  0.4138029440721543,
                  0.4238484912577839,
                  0.43114057820855445,
                  0.41654919188250367,
                  0.42714471484171596,
                  0.44864366443399445,
                  0.4663374493226758,
                  0.44303486918199
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4870055947178849,
                  0.42143281565336166,
                  0.4461656033354792,
                  0.4898169267269451,
                  0.409710504473286,
                  0.4328402132818921,
                  0.481437726284207,
                  0.5046306428050635,
                  0.4618523477225761
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16469170211754644,
                  0.18021394289891626,
                  0.2209481541094825,
                  0.1372959169369502,
                  0.23918046658882516,
                  0.22392970382865487,
                  0.3137650432813095,
                  0.16781504462882052,
                  0.14871542555835976
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1614439450337624,
                  0.1816624432294703,
                  0.23775382310536425,
                  0.15106275351725754,
                  0.24150138386167241,
                  0.22891616263738787,
                  0.3354019372244457,
                  0.1752044871830586,
                  0.15555314716681815
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3288767928320196,
                  0.2335889984248607,
                  0.20290034018352748,
                  0.2938446444112458,
                  0.1773687358417032,
                  0.20321501624828292,
                  0.1348786327888975,
                  0.2985223879730828,
                  0.2943194314872372
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3255616312349862,
                  0.23977036919747338,
                  0.2084117826700664,
                  0.3387541525544384,
                  0.16820913018134312,
                  0.20392405388684642,
                  0.14603580259439067,
                  0.32942613657571873,
                  0.30629918549199875
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.26687720244811,
                  14.711708038936239,
                  17.228671055913274,
                  25.492500197140046,
                  14.982853877837105,
                  17.536123110326507,
                  20.435870585145985,
                  29.506332114695308,
                  25.143095406750945
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.21024020824127,
                  14.872246430786253,
                  18.409970210564648,
                  31.11807114784039,
                  13.520669199455181,
                  16.78306002701278,
                  24.29613597010876,
                  31.10996240254287,
                  27.087652937999966
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.930849246326872,
                  14.375772376365314,
                  16.880498669863535,
                  25.098154468196157,
                  14.62758167233585,
                  17.14920757617554,
                  20.088424306035375,
                  29.12966480038977,
                  24.741746825701334
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.414703625458667,
                  14.076709848003654,
                  17.614433627782052,
                  30.32253456505779,
                  12.725132616672582,
                  15.98752344423017,
                  23.50059938732616,
                  30.31442581976026,
                  26.292116355217367
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4404522684703716,
              "rpss": 0.04131231076294295,
              "brier_below": 0.19961726666098503,
              "bss_below": 0.038503976353284175,
              "brier_above": 0.24083499779898412,
              "bss_above": 0.043627604374871676,
              "crps": 21.256003509910393,
              "crpss": 0.05485937550471509,
              "crps_fair": 20.89132221570997,
              "crpss_fair": 0.03701073871425975,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.280653,
                    0.662097,
                    0.057249,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2792,
                    0.3392,
                    0.4214,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1621,
                    0.3236,
                    0.5111,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.10241,
                    0.750383,
                    0.147207,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2849,
                    0.3456,
                    0.4256,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2136,
                    0.4103,
                    0.6273,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4853857642509261,
                  0.4171975844949446,
                  0.4388442395581465,
                  0.45763642576039903,
                  0.3945459835258716,
                  0.4272782741075719,
                  0.4583204223291297,
                  0.48769387839267864,
                  0.45946829438234577
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4833705205269806,
                  0.4217325829401401,
                  0.45787504847516347,
                  0.4926249194603664,
                  0.3921209549450236,
                  0.43537634701428846,
                  0.49987785514849153,
                  0.4942486608765802,
                  0.4798942598444907
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15108181269574056,
                  0.1813448725127936,
                  0.2253714543746139,
                  0.14871690878789778,
                  0.20303991425008994,
                  0.22630807950832182,
                  0.3496639022216269,
                  0.20943695179337043,
                  0.14197853410185018
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15085429028643993,
                  0.18069014092771118,
                  0.23635213812422837,
                  0.15606245330081414,
                  0.2033330363555721,
                  0.227991658943322,
                  0.3775149581530766,
                  0.20912215532462194,
                  0.14738561477662931
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.33430393227247057,
                  0.23585270905308892,
                  0.21347278535886305,
                  0.30891949915429257,
                  0.1915060758805937,
                  0.2009701985377664,
                  0.10865653624931199,
                  0.27825691653633433,
                  0.31748974273877734
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3325162105184372,
                  0.24104243864711158,
                  0.22152291047598155,
                  0.33656244571392563,
                  0.18878792456796986,
                  0.20738469072412372,
                  0.12236291485165149,
                  0.28512649430379705,
                  0.33250862534711423
                ],
                "crps": [
                  39.8744624256399,
                  22.5600059049042,
                  26.586930571510024,
                  37.963909711308304,
                  21.903501249375196,
                  26.514542293665706,
                  32.60119763378085,
                  43.936731783062626,
                  38.758607176559046
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  39.145523273068626,
                  22.643913019787092,
                  29.008121722013154,
                  43.28444006396797,
                  20.589043753169044,
                  26.078049611235418,
                  38.88164859631245,
                  43.764166543124,
                  41.3116571073202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.36992878194721,
                  22.062758333124478,
                  26.085610742507747,
                  37.40018129546119,
                  21.382726743567737,
                  25.958875928345567,
                  32.07060209307943,
                  43.395346964175744,
                  38.18743245150079
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  37.945151810469554,
                  21.44354155718803,
                  27.807750259414085,
                  42.084068601368905,
                  19.388672290569982,
                  24.87767814863636,
                  37.681277133713394,
                  42.56379508052493,
                  40.111285644721136
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44737454075577926,
              "rpss": 0.03145212221050664,
              "brier_below": 0.20410471447181167,
              "bss_below": 0.027715999197293506,
              "brier_above": 0.2432698217534999,
              "bss_above": 0.034564667439025976,
              "crps": 32.299987638867314,
              "crpss": 0.04596774933421621,
              "crps_fair": 31.768162592634432,
              "crpss_fair": 0.02718499368118743,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.252213,
                    0.715873,
                    0.031915,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2803,
                    0.3375,
                    0.4136,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2068,
                    0.3141,
                    0.6097,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.107641,
                    0.807128,
                    0.085231,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2849,
                    0.3426,
                    0.4224,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1914,
                    0.4299,
                    0.6453,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "selection": {
        "SEL-P": {
          "criterion": "inner RPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1994": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1995": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1996": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1997": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1998": "sqrt_mvs",
            "1999": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2000": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2001": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2002": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2003": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2004": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2005": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2006": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2007": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2008": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2009": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2010": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2011": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2012": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2013": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2014": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2015": "sqrt_mvs",
            "2016": "sqrt_mvs"
          },
          "chosen_test": "sqrt_mvs",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 0,
            "vs": 0,
            "sqrt_mvs": 24,
            "pt": 0,
            "dc": 0,
            "loci": 0,
            "eqm": 0,
            "gqm": 0,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 0,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4531675373892812,
                  0.43737418815831347,
                  0.4303972832154223,
                  0.4444058661502618,
                  0.4425714069765824,
                  0.49004675324267494,
                  0.43271916132258265,
                  0.4166959501300532,
                  0.4337179831469736,
                  0.4663683358937701,
                  0.4277547152593387,
                  0.4527247311861448,
                  0.43619409865607783,
                  0.4767660134495264,
                  0.39986018416479835,
                  0.4347610433013878,
                  0.4762069375533577,
                  0.4386642380806432,
                  0.43694480018153836,
                  0.4815777680102766,
                  0.43786979059084497,
                  0.4585472523347954,
                  0.4246323261721539,
                  0.49760279673668395
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4869460861873936,
                  0.43311561715049013,
                  0.42665283629995887,
                  0.44012862716617557,
                  0.48683226104537497,
                  0.4699280766987921,
                  0.4475013886975289,
                  0.4299640334798916,
                  0.4535864129837444,
                  0.48849641096862856,
                  0.4596172723520629,
                  0.4322379405002914,
                  0.43419638725068654,
                  0.4724542199071603,
                  0.42914664398663566,
                  0.4373205272257517,
                  0.47042695166109,
                  0.45012910259569633,
                  0.44192877804299024,
                  0.469625424443561,
                  0.43731801020639594,
                  0.4501365530815326,
                  0.46908018947556185,
                  0.4449840852631641
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2997274886319977,
                  0.21963860138458102,
                  0.2068652464190163,
                  0.2002380332522076,
                  0.2820459058602551,
                  0.18738537795730495,
                  0.22159371950883072,
                  0.15020497410880834,
                  0.16225847143090535,
                  0.34536857657686654,
                  0.15364325310981758,
                  0.2852313611644921,
                  0.2706107950087879,
                  0.15425579727921546,
                  0.1658700858375101,
                  0.21702201492705847,
                  0.30816518998051035,
                  0.17752767126202704,
                  0.1933028335269255,
                  0.1806108197312855,
                  0.199085884469642,
                  0.16865864842320974,
                  0.2902002732541312,
                  0.30355172280100295
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3202155820245851,
                  0.22042082449139921,
                  0.20454162041781745,
                  0.19948218298248652,
                  0.3125806880673776,
                  0.18448136588560546,
                  0.22913049092557836,
                  0.15295472997404608,
                  0.1677260825661108,
                  0.3549551412119517,
                  0.1682634298872238,
                  0.2764274862652953,
                  0.2678113388378291,
                  0.15419544029267795,
                  0.18153898139271196,
                  0.21783066808659152,
                  0.30487529872678765,
                  0.1813710861448971,
                  0.19692950527067277,
                  0.1748368638176133,
                  0.19893691471111052,
                  0.1688323879354228,
                  0.3166162717700402,
                  0.2856578644701919
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15344004823725446,
                  0.21773558692018288,
                  0.22353203662003285,
                  0.24416783377292842,
                  0.1605255011983423,
                  0.3026613777194724,
                  0.21112544110713805,
                  0.2664909771533144,
                  0.27145951240204436,
                  0.12099975727219177,
                  0.2741114617799982,
                  0.16749336823463498,
                  0.16558330166792426,
                  0.3225102185034577,
                  0.23399009783715144,
                  0.2177390279331466,
                  0.16804174676772649,
                  0.26113656747859215,
                  0.24364196739063587,
                  0.300966950407076,
                  0.23878390653298392,
                  0.289888605234787,
                  0.1344320534211172,
                  0.1940510739241749
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1667305041791274,
                  0.212694792636688,
                  0.22211121585973861,
                  0.24064644416128617,
                  0.17425157298003563,
                  0.28544671079078393,
                  0.21837089778824334,
                  0.27700930350187725,
                  0.2858603303944614,
                  0.13354126973425637,
                  0.29135384244241846,
                  0.1558104542125932,
                  0.16638504840470472,
                  0.3182587795919011,
                  0.24760766262868203,
                  0.2194898591401801,
                  0.1655516529506078,
                  0.2687580164671699,
                  0.24499927277333824,
                  0.294788560635156,
                  0.23838109549630468,
                  0.2813041651646206,
                  0.1524639177249777,
                  0.15932622079399056
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.374832717080615,
                  23.17389795028693,
                  16.572773105730075,
                  19.95755788346742,
                  22.9902243414276,
                  29.88003420680875,
                  17.401040552884602,
                  15.838419471269756,
                  16.492924182110542,
                  18.22796133798561,
                  19.366257956269894,
                  19.578085624850996,
                  17.12303599286301,
                  23.776721255012564,
                  16.509721088441026,
                  19.01633751170646,
                  19.889259283947197,
                  20.533693851384637,
                  18.04810900855946,
                  25.474026741243254,
                  18.098993500027948,
                  20.454419146666,
                  17.879265103334568,
                  26.46548697232666
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.50573408767415,
                  20.83057272098966,
                  15.384713855323458,
                  18.348619796571146,
                  24.833990712013843,
                  25.690950303673365,
                  18.785353190982665,
                  17.33500505990353,
                  18.087780250289807,
                  20.142766859727907,
                  20.325407851377147,
                  15.896880844511065,
                  16.450574540440684,
                  22.381877815816505,
                  17.12509460409629,
                  18.780040871450467,
                  19.576441073305176,
                  20.057000221067682,
                  17.794707369190313,
                  23.531910254268485,
                  17.52675521093812,
                  18.71292159075082,
                  19.191330002304415,
                  19.855645712754207
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.71680070907587,
                  22.503103216477566,
                  15.847399866947187,
                  19.256618444437507,
                  22.342574981167555,
                  29.1651983684623,
                  16.68402010201395,
                  15.066864054141762,
                  15.748974920834042,
                  17.584255116818788,
                  18.738266450337726,
                  18.856310890101255,
                  16.43272886329099,
                  23.05482847945155,
                  15.7617963405968,
                  18.29239187147524,
                  19.166312094775733,
                  19.755323745144494,
                  17.273234265974832,
                  24.822448953359192,
                  17.337980695692252,
                  19.797705498786325,
                  17.145930838437547,
                  25.735483823314443
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  30.697545948289488,
                  20.00216647295597,
                  14.545993480650242,
                  17.515512880119996,
                  24.013166695023745,
                  24.871749316212938,
                  17.953073421111842,
                  16.499978418572333,
                  17.25417931954646,
                  19.313057949078193,
                  19.496044851696468,
                  15.059130483074949,
                  15.613872841307472,
                  21.556409645613932,
                  16.289670405083633,
                  17.947751040368416,
                  18.74565957593875,
                  19.227128873602325,
                  16.96055137617215,
                  22.708620175805393,
                  16.692091732771754,
                  17.880504639818948,
                  18.359819127909574,
                  19.025393012053403
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4469821317209785,
              "rpss": 0.012353684072093252,
              "brier_below": 0.22262761441276624,
              "bss_below": 0.0179298755059335,
              "brier_above": 0.22435451747984617,
              "bss_above": 0.006757464332115437,
              "crps": 20.380128282736898,
              "crpss": -0.022944591406127257,
              "crps_fair": 19.67027302462979,
              "crpss_fair": -0.030241383108773556
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.45475744082872066,
                  0.45399713216552745,
                  0.4295428566355154,
                  0.44244144732221125,
                  0.44835018331956267,
                  0.5117708017974472,
                  0.43647260653511033,
                  0.41495762904489714,
                  0.43822642810691936,
                  0.45624388099950686,
                  0.4193206055556138,
                  0.45972805130172634,
                  0.4399769442347592,
                  0.456978648310397,
                  0.41250180662692604,
                  0.43437141964476805,
                  0.46108584594583646,
                  0.45240867496886844,
                  0.4362916291809092,
                  0.46302179496660145,
                  0.43154968424114404,
                  0.4178781851508222,
                  0.4365752653863313,
                  0.5383784771933091
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48743050991631937,
                  0.4500701624584457,
                  0.4265242004143022,
                  0.4390098244777031,
                  0.49139482584164884,
                  0.494693701774444,
                  0.4545856811469357,
                  0.43593834610889776,
                  0.4580519634274834,
                  0.47701006345194874,
                  0.4352766490847659,
                  0.4325868375773595,
                  0.4393322155734538,
                  0.45819407461226264,
                  0.4258449859445512,
                  0.4429956010693269,
                  0.46917288320447564,
                  0.4504464390301668,
                  0.43726520584675527,
                  0.45476639467496144,
                  0.4364531411048688,
                  0.42034369581379755,
                  0.4673311154491269,
                  0.4820108972087676
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2905764054088996,
                  0.2184234188800733,
                  0.1883429665563395,
                  0.17483760570669366,
                  0.29016433614348075,
                  0.18529865070187104,
                  0.19808688917139705,
                  0.15237769298241408,
                  0.18094967990824481,
                  0.3317444687141995,
                  0.17865776424997273,
                  0.2812359602033139,
                  0.28481371795862737,
                  0.14759591080993634,
                  0.187392646846922,
                  0.2131354198673682,
                  0.2876908070232907,
                  0.20334293373976298,
                  0.18079018197435678,
                  0.171708067631095,
                  0.20728955674474736,
                  0.16582877266179977,
                  0.3029371468671158,
                  0.35707248380050616
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3104072285253455,
                  0.21673480811611381,
                  0.18558730667959258,
                  0.17603508945959234,
                  0.32028208459781965,
                  0.17926314118722866,
                  0.20608332860378822,
                  0.16099647389177257,
                  0.18759330134707142,
                  0.33954533961604677,
                  0.1874236505788654,
                  0.26795152854435594,
                  0.28077112311215474,
                  0.14729671030580527,
                  0.19608173063938172,
                  0.21470894001819776,
                  0.2912022736927969,
                  0.20165084148960713,
                  0.18095977006653313,
                  0.1684004312888114,
                  0.20718324254548248,
                  0.16958622943392032,
                  0.3193885527201346,
                  0.32447550978521345
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16418103510648624,
                  0.2355737138885695,
                  0.24119989048006713,
                  0.2676038431344068,
                  0.15818584690657878,
                  0.3264721533094705,
                  0.2383857173327718,
                  0.26257993689843984,
                  0.2572767483701559,
                  0.12449941032034409,
                  0.24066284094265672,
                  0.17849208967901256,
                  0.15516322374892003,
                  0.30938273966256175,
                  0.22510915957612024,
                  0.22123599900315344,
                  0.1733950386154599,
                  0.2490657423903995,
                  0.255501448077139,
                  0.2913137291398841,
                  0.22426012767771075,
                  0.2520494132260297,
                  0.1336381184665356,
                  0.18130599263505587
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17702328139097373,
                  0.23333535434233188,
                  0.24093689373470956,
                  0.2629747350181107,
                  0.1711127412438291,
                  0.3154305605872152,
                  0.24850235254314745,
                  0.274941872217125,
                  0.2704586620804119,
                  0.13746472383590178,
                  0.24785299850590042,
                  0.1646353090330035,
                  0.15856109246129885,
                  0.31089736430645726,
                  0.22976325530516944,
                  0.2282866610511291,
                  0.17797060951167862,
                  0.24879559754055963,
                  0.256305435780222,
                  0.28636596338614995,
                  0.2292698985593863,
                  0.2507574663798771,
                  0.14794256272899212,
                  0.15753538742355408
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.226137585654975,
                  36.37986667041489,
                  25.06892183682102,
                  30.80788949647167,
                  35.05202687485933,
                  44.10313237256311,
                  27.63541165439449,
                  23.787492360005157,
                  24.758349086901003,
                  27.7375513090797,
                  25.398327014733436,
                  31.02436602225309,
                  26.328877924339874,
                  31.467125971545972,
                  25.042819225694352,
                  28.661333678246507,
                  29.83733932517473,
                  32.0971027267623,
                  27.397367040590648,
                  37.348232078674776,
                  25.993667569267657,
                  24.205409580922293,
                  29.4542232626693,
                  41.321153772468094
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  49.57656865028093,
                  32.96040380943106,
                  23.338961685869542,
                  28.247352936237633,
                  38.77143887837504,
                  40.075400748993,
                  30.044498290231484,
                  26.420742022616203,
                  27.19914339939457,
                  30.474463908758302,
                  25.997698532993468,
                  24.664015955947068,
                  25.497247064245567,
                  30.559056130702682,
                  25.223022089283898,
                  28.82789187164294,
                  30.59933260802571,
                  31.14965624843492,
                  26.757510478633222,
                  34.73556146951894,
                  25.69189133881856,
                  22.368377050704193,
                  29.705255183554968,
                  32.58994873293396
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.24541874274354,
                  35.39928454566031,
                  23.96773013155137,
                  29.732546950567738,
                  34.023633353231276,
                  43.06382271896637,
                  26.554120820900618,
                  22.635282729860606,
                  23.64478956923652,
                  26.78060784673376,
                  24.445583440337646,
                  29.947343426225085,
                  25.296641253102674,
                  30.38437105759169,
                  23.936505002175952,
                  27.583646109821878,
                  28.777098245049128,
                  30.95242259632669,
                  26.262317435174317,
                  36.36821963300846,
                  24.84473291789325,
                  23.18479309306612,
                  28.29577441953557,
                  40.24931885739476
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  48.36096752564688,
                  31.71333267562872,
                  22.07366812380289,
                  26.991355569720923,
                  37.53537349280934,
                  38.84180498818226,
                  28.79190460809734,
                  25.161285165732785,
                  25.941160787542934,
                  29.222684555447124,
                  24.7374404573797,
                  23.40123196636163,
                  24.23604116388039,
                  29.30743698993307,
                  23.961296823435838,
                  27.57299401068571,
                  29.347789748463143,
                  29.899155668494338,
                  25.498691440795294,
                  33.49185237673951,
                  24.4310540829128,
                  21.101245260161853,
                  28.452018995536967,
                  31.34217597966858
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4477844766443096,
              "rpss": 0.011033860434721321,
              "brier_below": 0.2241788951896845,
              "bss_below": 0.010904305007895299,
              "brier_above": 0.22360558160783042,
              "bss_above": 0.01116371329232424,
              "crps": 30.547255185021186,
              "crpss": -0.01615950415395484,
              "crps_fair": 29.48233353733981,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02337534865749702
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.49284232597944905,
                  0.41263381678614713,
                  0.42409125723967994,
                  0.4246515796006469,
                  0.42172430956139295,
                  0.4290781979868091,
                  0.446026063176607,
                  0.45928595424109236,
                  0.4421502805037401
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4870055947178849,
                  0.42143281565336166,
                  0.4461656033354792,
                  0.4898169267269451,
                  0.409710504473286,
                  0.4328402132818921,
                  0.481437726284207,
                  0.5046306428050635,
                  0.4618523477225761
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16411394537324087,
                  0.179184445727339,
                  0.22091384052954544,
                  0.13580208997879062,
                  0.24244949201198335,
                  0.22488604413609042,
                  0.3117574456018647,
                  0.1658003684816588,
                  0.14807088927319098
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1614439450337624,
                  0.1816624432294703,
                  0.23775382310536425,
                  0.15106275351725754,
                  0.24150138386167241,
                  0.22891616263738787,
                  0.3354019372244457,
                  0.1752044871830586,
                  0.15555314716681815
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3287283627120189,
                  0.23344936853408416,
                  0.2031774198835257,
                  0.2888494733326023,
                  0.17927482820930724,
                  0.20419215937270757,
                  0.13426862920458302,
                  0.29348556953869676,
                  0.29407937935554296
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3255616312349862,
                  0.23977036919747338,
                  0.2084117826700664,
                  0.3387541525544384,
                  0.16820913018134312,
                  0.20392405388684642,
                  0.14603580259439067,
                  0.32942613657571873,
                  0.30629918549199875
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.124977358891186,
                  14.600860184777158,
                  17.161881000297402,
                  25.613440960401263,
                  14.955600955150066,
                  17.46011971021472,
                  20.32020373000122,
                  29.423140582378327,
                  25.08505719460805
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.21024020824127,
                  14.872246430786253,
                  18.409970210564648,
                  31.11807114784039,
                  13.520669199455181,
                  16.78306002701278,
                  24.29613597010876,
                  31.10996240254287,
                  27.087652937999966
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.790363057014346,
                  14.268151770038223,
                  16.818293203796696,
                  25.229802843763242,
                  14.606177693567957,
                  17.083381425544633,
                  19.97155975068535,
                  29.05573577245122,
                  24.696833497794234
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.414703625458667,
                  14.076709848003654,
                  17.614433627782052,
                  30.32253456505779,
                  12.725132616672582,
                  15.98752344423017,
                  23.50059938732616,
                  30.31442581976026,
                  26.292116355217367
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4391648650083961,
              "rpss": 0.04411447103870525,
              "brier_below": 0.1992198401237449,
              "bss_below": 0.04041825983005887,
              "brier_above": 0.23994502112700763,
              "bss_above": 0.04716176315414944,
              "crps": 21.193920186302154,
              "crpss": 0.05761988837433685,
              "crps_fair": 20.835588779406212,
              "crpss_fair": 0.03957978150154262
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48555301040091353,
                  0.4164662674220627,
                  0.4373873492458306,
                  0.4553854673136676,
                  0.39474103528740734,
                  0.42664134048422947,
                  0.4555766502790787,
                  0.4869379587402339,
                  0.45828966032265034
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4833705205269806,
                  0.4217325829401401,
                  0.45787504847516347,
                  0.4926249194603664,
                  0.3921209549450236,
                  0.43537634701428846,
                  0.49987785514849153,
                  0.4942486608765802,
                  0.4798942598444907
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15130405257465493,
                  0.18125720807766232,
                  0.22425625871993532,
                  0.14863827979062474,
                  0.2033633743986646,
                  0.22648579209143718,
                  0.3478308426954547,
                  0.20994936310519988,
                  0.14209145398319623
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15085429028643993,
                  0.18069014092771118,
                  0.23635213812422837,
                  0.15606245330081414,
                  0.2033330363555721,
                  0.227991658943322,
                  0.3775149581530766,
                  0.20912215532462194,
                  0.14738561477662931
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3342489387358743,
                  0.23520905638180778,
                  0.21313109070981684,
                  0.30674716992193385,
                  0.19137766760743655,
                  0.20015555238898833,
                  0.1077458235649206,
                  0.2769885856675908,
                  0.316198188871978
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3325162105184372,
                  0.24104243864711158,
                  0.22152291047598155,
                  0.33656244571392563,
                  0.18878792456796986,
                  0.20738469072412372,
                  0.12236291485165149,
                  0.28512649430379705,
                  0.33250862534711423
                ],
                "crps": [
                  39.8424643534311,
                  22.56838078025986,
                  26.56095212871718,
                  38.191032287079636,
                  21.940112435055486,
                  26.532424674101392,
                  32.59309035804038,
                  43.84659617814067,
                  38.735352757375175
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  39.145523273068626,
                  22.643913019787092,
                  29.008121722013154,
                  43.28444006396797,
                  20.589043753169044,
                  26.078049611235418,
                  38.88164859631245,
                  43.764166543124,
                  41.3116571073202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.33456068439361,
                  22.06986405266202,
                  26.059471103152507,
                  37.63117968662985,
                  21.419894564694918,
                  25.98103818116631,
                  32.05613046295685,
                  43.30660745272107,
                  38.17175515778606
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  37.945151810469554,
                  21.44354155718803,
                  27.807750259414085,
                  42.084068601368905,
                  19.388672290569982,
                  24.87767814863636,
                  37.681277133713394,
                  42.56379508052493,
                  40.111285644721136
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4463309710551193,
              "rpss": 0.033711408617802086,
              "brier_below": 0.20390851393742557,
              "bss_below": 0.02865063042825855,
              "brier_above": 0.24242245265003856,
              "bss_above": 0.03792751806433303,
              "crps": 32.31226732802232,
              "crpss": 0.045605048901850354,
              "crps_fair": 31.781166816240347,
              "crpss_fair": 0.026786774116789536
            }
          }
        },
        "SEL-A": {
          "criterion": "inner CRPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "gqm",
            "1994": "vs",
            "1995": "gqm",
            "1996": "vs",
            "1997": "pt",
            "1998": "pt",
            "1999": "vs",
            "2000": "vs",
            "2001": "gqm",
            "2002": "vs",
            "2003": "vs",
            "2004": "vs",
            "2005": "vs",
            "2006": "vs",
            "2007": "gqm",
            "2008": "vs",
            "2009": "vs",
            "2010": "gqm",
            "2011": "gqm",
            "2012": "vs",
            "2013": "vs",
            "2014": "vs",
            "2015": "vs",
            "2016": "vs"
          },
          "chosen_test": "vs",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 0,
            "vs": 16,
            "sqrt_mvs": 0,
            "pt": 2,
            "dc": 0,
            "loci": 0,
            "eqm": 0,
            "gqm": 6,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 0,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4556516713024796,
                  0.43638590434875524,
                  0.4312659672498214,
                  0.4447834320078143,
                  0.445121211100053,
                  0.4895442153820943,
                  0.4329766928573817,
                  0.4177887601219815,
                  0.43346096675827034,
                  0.4656667110013511,
                  0.4305097908001896,
                  0.45087323508439237,
                  0.43513332365432494,
                  0.478856714976223,
                  0.39976331826151235,
                  0.43404709916518613,
                  0.4744705869114757,
                  0.4371973432131078,
                  0.4386495926112643,
                  0.4837360074335642,
                  0.4375595431903455,
                  0.46077454451816147,
                  0.42480307167733977,
                  0.4943415010959053
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4869460861873936,
                  0.43311561715049013,
                  0.42665283629995887,
                  0.44012862716617557,
                  0.48683226104537497,
                  0.4699280766987921,
                  0.4475013886975289,
                  0.4299640334798916,
                  0.4535864129837444,
                  0.48849641096862856,
                  0.4596172723520629,
                  0.4322379405002914,
                  0.43419638725068654,
                  0.4724542199071603,
                  0.42914664398663566,
                  0.4373205272257517,
                  0.47042695166109,
                  0.45012910259569633,
                  0.44192877804299024,
                  0.469625424443561,
                  0.43731801020639594,
                  0.4501365530815326,
                  0.46908018947556185,
                  0.4449840852631641
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.3013368929443617,
                  0.21919048499747182,
                  0.2077790730620075,
                  0.20119109755651848,
                  0.2841684397707131,
                  0.18653942865364945,
                  0.2222113145988868,
                  0.1501768428027055,
                  0.16116195473069395,
                  0.3459505152389159,
                  0.1538531544898343,
                  0.2852438092893825,
                  0.26962186471651645,
                  0.15532309809437658,
                  0.16549091555784268,
                  0.21674213193326416,
                  0.30814580723804996,
                  0.1761332390367741,
                  0.19457070872860383,
                  0.18107581517129662,
                  0.19865944534994834,
                  0.16826116419369358,
                  0.29054152338839584,
                  0.30249170108702605
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3202155820245851,
                  0.22042082449139921,
                  0.20454162041781745,
                  0.19948218298248652,
                  0.3125806880673776,
                  0.18448136588560546,
                  0.22913049092557836,
                  0.15295472997404608,
                  0.1677260825661108,
                  0.3549551412119517,
                  0.1682634298872238,
                  0.2764274862652953,
                  0.2678113388378291,
                  0.15419544029267795,
                  0.18153898139271196,
                  0.21783066808659152,
                  0.30487529872678765,
                  0.1813710861448971,
                  0.19692950527067277,
                  0.1748368638176133,
                  0.19893691471111052,
                  0.1688323879354228,
                  0.3166162717700402,
                  0.2856578644701919
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1543147777955953,
                  0.2171954196977285,
                  0.22348689394995566,
                  0.24359233539475522,
                  0.16095277135283398,
                  0.3030047891492097,
                  0.21076537755758454,
                  0.2676119184498296,
                  0.27229901283875607,
                  0.11971619377951377,
                  0.27665663612642494,
                  0.16562942420344465,
                  0.16551145708639373,
                  0.3235336189722241,
                  0.23427240222665843,
                  0.2173049667803788,
                  0.16632477878187812,
                  0.2610641048480362,
                  0.24407888442499193,
                  0.3026601942301529,
                  0.23890009798243544,
                  0.2925133815274207,
                  0.1342615486491465,
                  0.1918497999059902
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.1667305041791274,
                  0.212694792636688,
                  0.22211121585973861,
                  0.24064644416128617,
                  0.17425157298003563,
                  0.28544671079078393,
                  0.21837089778824334,
                  0.27700930350187725,
                  0.2858603303944614,
                  0.13354126973425637,
                  0.29135384244241846,
                  0.1558104542125932,
                  0.16638504840470472,
                  0.3182587795919011,
                  0.24760766262868203,
                  0.2194898591401801,
                  0.1655516529506078,
                  0.2687580164671699,
                  0.24499927277333824,
                  0.294788560635156,
                  0.23838109549630468,
                  0.2813041651646206,
                  0.1524639177249777,
                  0.15932622079399056
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.423487642062366,
                  23.098631734327093,
                  16.552015898256865,
                  19.940125273224304,
                  23.131862574429377,
                  29.942174534085943,
                  17.330988331771696,
                  15.869294130887951,
                  16.572958804409172,
                  18.193898177189066,
                  19.459243942698564,
                  19.529613201351797,
                  17.007132723971903,
                  23.8287624141207,
                  16.45058318457696,
                  18.990050902373206,
                  19.77655927256125,
                  20.506986722997635,
                  18.011321271541494,
                  25.494041393491557,
                  18.078737324058697,
                  20.549594946471764,
                  17.87181527392992,
                  26.236307755188392
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  31.50573408767415,
                  20.83057272098966,
                  15.384713855323458,
                  18.348619796571146,
                  24.833990712013843,
                  25.690950303673365,
                  18.785353190982665,
                  17.33500505990353,
                  18.087780250289807,
                  20.142766859727907,
                  20.325407851377147,
                  15.896880844511065,
                  16.450574540440684,
                  22.381877815816505,
                  17.12509460409629,
                  18.780040871450467,
                  19.576441073305176,
                  20.057000221067682,
                  17.794707369190313,
                  23.531910254268485,
                  17.52675521093812,
                  18.71292159075082,
                  19.191330002304415,
                  19.855645712754207
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.77310506562374,
                  22.43212003565508,
                  15.83144194362751,
                  19.25076587976994,
                  22.479746070549186,
                  29.244033637904586,
                  16.62042596357434,
                  15.104687030577782,
                  15.840243673650503,
                  17.560450250971915,
                  18.837399571656917,
                  18.81688523198613,
                  16.32831899983859,
                  23.116805285943364,
                  15.713736752969675,
                  18.27223564093437,
                  19.06211875215142,
                  19.741415765818036,
                  17.24567377326248,
                  24.851974844187797,
                  17.3264776884582,
                  19.9019126635288,
                  17.155692346950875,
                  25.506789092372347
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  30.697545948289488,
                  20.00216647295597,
                  14.545993480650242,
                  17.515512880119996,
                  24.013166695023745,
                  24.871749316212938,
                  17.953073421111842,
                  16.499978418572333,
                  17.25417931954646,
                  19.313057949078193,
                  19.496044851696468,
                  15.059130483074949,
                  15.613872841307472,
                  21.556409645613932,
                  16.289670405083633,
                  17.947751040368416,
                  18.74565957593875,
                  19.227128873602325,
                  16.96055137617215,
                  22.708620175805393,
                  16.692091732771754,
                  17.880504639818948,
                  18.359819127909574,
                  19.025393012053403
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44722338353012475,
              "rpss": 0.011820616990425248,
              "brier_below": 0.22274418427628873,
              "bss_below": 0.017415654569398864,
              "brier_above": 0.22447919940463912,
              "bss_above": 0.00620548350942296,
              "crps": 20.368591142915736,
              "crpss": -0.02236550502273338,
              "crps_fair": 19.66726899841515,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03008404558130806
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.45698733994104146,
                  0.4545088787664522,
                  0.42911136750529355,
                  0.4423700959457523,
                  0.44941913599187666,
                  0.5114881981665613,
                  0.4372132966721284,
                  0.41517286724674557,
                  0.4392404232682308,
                  0.4564047821138913,
                  0.42000814888618415,
                  0.45865487767635366,
                  0.43922188302945897,
                  0.45786182760008715,
                  0.41312827982717987,
                  0.4340019807215969,
                  0.45981110958929367,
                  0.45264003694586935,
                  0.4361940847686137,
                  0.4635682037355014,
                  0.4312746310663669,
                  0.4193936721725056,
                  0.43693011075721255,
                  0.5359228363941971
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.48743050991631937,
                  0.4500701624584457,
                  0.4265242004143022,
                  0.4390098244777031,
                  0.49139482584164884,
                  0.494693701774444,
                  0.4545856811469357,
                  0.43593834610889776,
                  0.4580519634274834,
                  0.47701006345194874,
                  0.4352766490847659,
                  0.4325868375773595,
                  0.4393322155734538,
                  0.45819407461226264,
                  0.4258449859445512,
                  0.4429956010693269,
                  0.46917288320447564,
                  0.4504464390301668,
                  0.43726520584675527,
                  0.45476639467496144,
                  0.4364531411048688,
                  0.42034369581379755,
                  0.4673311154491269,
                  0.4820108972087676
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2920617070024764,
                  0.21809467998144055,
                  0.18805696114792328,
                  0.17493583999575044,
                  0.2911044418555228,
                  0.1850308163248681,
                  0.19810720397016954,
                  0.15229744201266673,
                  0.18113549306883192,
                  0.3321187711003987,
                  0.1785895819114532,
                  0.2810331219765754,
                  0.284334646328737,
                  0.14796010487346767,
                  0.18758932482387264,
                  0.21316922752087458,
                  0.2871504978044258,
                  0.20359753875809464,
                  0.1807196385698918,
                  0.1720676804065197,
                  0.20725815397796132,
                  0.1666508412787597,
                  0.3032386510901053,
                  0.35560220909736795
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.3104072285253455,
                  0.21673480811611381,
                  0.18558730667959258,
                  0.17603508945959234,
                  0.32028208459781965,
                  0.17926314118722866,
                  0.20608332860378822,
                  0.16099647389177257,
                  0.18759330134707142,
                  0.33954533961604677,
                  0.1874236505788654,
                  0.26795152854435594,
                  0.28077112311215474,
                  0.14729671030580527,
                  0.19608173063938172,
                  0.21470894001819776,
                  0.2912022736927969,
                  0.20165084148960713,
                  0.18095977006653313,
                  0.1684004312888114,
                  0.20718324254548248,
                  0.16958622943392032,
                  0.3193885527201346,
                  0.32447550978521345
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16492563265570065,
                  0.23641419955250523,
                  0.2410544067163108,
                  0.26743425748651906,
                  0.15831469378467236,
                  0.3264573840362937,
                  0.23910609266896418,
                  0.2628754260930702,
                  0.2581049304153324,
                  0.12428600901456685,
                  0.2414185667401133,
                  0.17762175438386543,
                  0.15488723431595083,
                  0.30990172474309574,
                  0.22553895474559404,
                  0.22083275248943182,
                  0.1726606111832349,
                  0.24904249938571707,
                  0.25547444700656396,
                  0.2915005250794185,
                  0.22401647722122553,
                  0.25274283167188477,
                  0.13369145953131706,
                  0.18032062651732836
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.17702328139097373,
                  0.23333535434233188,
                  0.24093689373470956,
                  0.2629747350181107,
                  0.1711127412438291,
                  0.3154305605872152,
                  0.24850235254314745,
                  0.274941872217125,
                  0.2704586620804119,
                  0.13746472383590178,
                  0.24785299850590042,
                  0.1646353090330035,
                  0.15856109246129885,
                  0.31089736430645726,
                  0.22976325530516944,
                  0.2282866610511291,
                  0.17797060951167862,
                  0.24879559754055963,
                  0.256305435780222,
                  0.28636596338614995,
                  0.2292698985593863,
                  0.2507574663798771,
                  0.14794256272899212,
                  0.15753538742355408
                ],
                "crps": [
                  42.325265472175666,
                  36.35059663807583,
                  25.081189361663398,
                  30.79053788043754,
                  35.229825974901324,
                  44.284766198809784,
                  27.621170762648788,
                  23.855460778249622,
                  24.764326804075896,
                  27.756295377726598,
                  25.488919651721584,
                  31.048158505429775,
                  26.24373770726414,
                  31.563504133654714,
                  25.080203782878193,
                  28.641364638272197,
                  29.76430671627656,
                  32.16221927522078,
                  27.41071453387155,
                  37.38224288734413,
                  26.005422535802147,
                  24.3432562948089,
                  29.53201907330611,
                  41.11571600488933
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  49.57656865028093,
                  32.96040380943106,
                  23.338961685869542,
                  28.247352936237633,
                  38.77143887837504,
                  40.075400748993,
                  30.044498290231484,
                  26.420742022616203,
                  27.19914339939457,
                  30.474463908758302,
                  25.997698532993468,
                  24.664015955947068,
                  25.497247064245567,
                  30.559056130702682,
                  25.223022089283898,
                  28.82789187164294,
                  30.59933260802571,
                  31.14965624843492,
                  26.757510478633222,
                  34.73556146951894,
                  25.69189133881856,
                  22.368377050704193,
                  29.705255183554968,
                  32.58994873293396
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.348347780946334,
                  35.36956547672863,
                  23.977159153523576,
                  29.72357449405428,
                  34.195367098553504,
                  43.25576062772344,
                  26.540988952642454,
                  22.70467736917669,
                  23.650416862557364,
                  26.805256595023966,
                  24.537722188690203,
                  29.975140833938983,
                  25.21876051390081,
                  30.485386343759405,
                  23.974316823359374,
                  27.561676420316566,
                  28.707974079434667,
                  31.019479012177708,
                  26.276764371599366,
                  36.40765829553472,
                  24.8609912463395,
                  23.326694840065237,
                  28.39101281922885,
                  40.03691627197864
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  48.36096752564688,
                  31.71333267562872,
                  22.07366812380289,
                  26.991355569720923,
                  37.53537349280934,
                  38.84180498818226,
                  28.79190460809734,
                  25.161285165732785,
                  25.941160787542934,
                  29.222684555447124,
                  24.7374404573797,
                  23.40123196636163,
                  24.23604116388039,
                  29.30743698993307,
                  23.961296823435838,
                  27.57299401068571,
                  29.347789748463143,
                  29.899155668494338,
                  25.498691440795294,
                  33.49185237673951,
                  24.4310540829128,
                  21.101245260161853,
                  28.452018995536967,
                  31.34217597966858
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4479386695328498,
              "rpss": 0.01069331369029014,
              "brier_below": 0.22424602395325646,
              "bss_below": 0.010608127390448363,
              "brier_above": 0.22369264572661152,
              "bss_above": 0.010778695354480616,
              "crps": 30.576717541229357,
              "crpss": -0.017139574313920658,
              "crps_fair": 29.51465035296893,
              "crpss_fair": -0.024497113066683562
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.49204517762404787,
                  0.4128016717416981,
                  0.42293746031016455,
                  0.4255492039248488,
                  0.41975139418665575,
                  0.4284524108714364,
                  0.44544411314911075,
                  0.4615517980832446,
                  0.44159980959508577
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4870055947178849,
                  0.42143281565336166,
                  0.4461656033354792,
                  0.4898169267269451,
                  0.409710504473286,
                  0.4328402132818921,
                  0.481437726284207,
                  0.5046306428050635,
                  0.4618523477225761
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16316762696016174,
                  0.17962729109755823,
                  0.22074187514490076,
                  0.1353468102164038,
                  0.24150859157522367,
                  0.22477612651046736,
                  0.3114956642204179,
                  0.1656269785889027,
                  0.1478123626257369
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.1614439450337624,
                  0.1816624432294703,
                  0.23775382310536425,
                  0.15106275351725754,
                  0.24150138386167241,
                  0.22891616263738787,
                  0.3354019372244457,
                  0.1752044871830586,
                  0.15555314716681815
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.32887753255098157,
                  0.23317437797697996,
                  0.20219558820791086,
                  0.2902023771948867,
                  0.17824281313857093,
                  0.20367628973049162,
                  0.13394846042489114,
                  0.295924803060715,
                  0.2937874351052131
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3255616312349862,
                  0.23977036919747338,
                  0.2084117826700664,
                  0.3387541525544384,
                  0.16820913018134312,
                  0.20392405388684642,
                  0.14603580259439067,
                  0.32942613657571873,
                  0.30629918549199875
                ],
                "crps": [
                  26.101110805742596,
                  14.553773397022596,
                  17.14285078437565,
                  25.474865900740927,
                  14.861374887174163,
                  17.391344322928287,
                  20.291979705770288,
                  29.65134137648225,
                  25.071569284979567
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  25.21024020824127,
                  14.872246430786253,
                  18.409970210564648,
                  31.11807114784039,
                  13.520669199455181,
                  16.78306002701278,
                  24.29613597010876,
                  31.10996240254287,
                  27.087652937999966
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  25.770422315858916,
                  14.223751152652065,
                  16.80068569544221,
                  25.089674775404667,
                  14.513629412591559,
                  17.012905382167965,
                  19.95031367829493,
                  29.28566213480121,
                  24.679431721815792
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  24.414703625458667,
                  14.076709848003654,
                  17.614433627782052,
                  30.32253456505779,
                  12.725132616672582,
                  15.98752344423017,
                  23.50059938732616,
                  30.31442581976026,
                  26.292116355217367
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4389036710540325,
              "rpss": 0.04468298537380255,
              "brier_below": 0.1989003696599748,
              "bss_below": 0.04195705246922077,
              "brier_above": 0.24000329748784896,
              "bss_above": 0.04693034370375604,
              "crps": 21.171134496135146,
              "crpss": 0.058633045971152375,
              "crps_fair": 20.814052918781034,
              "crpss_fair": 0.04057248087693199
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4856095124078658,
                  0.41704926681823806,
                  0.43751220670639124,
                  0.4553053168404161,
                  0.3949683824041923,
                  0.42697759192273316,
                  0.4553517276542516,
                  0.48721841227578216,
                  0.4582359728267026
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4833705205269806,
                  0.4217325829401401,
                  0.45787504847516347,
                  0.4926249194603664,
                  0.3921209549450236,
                  0.43537634701428846,
                  0.49987785514849153,
                  0.4942486608765802,
                  0.4798942598444907
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15118424971372363,
                  0.18150901069765313,
                  0.22452475495402757,
                  0.14834646046451833,
                  0.2031348718267881,
                  0.22630918387263724,
                  0.3476372078181043,
                  0.2095804081413833,
                  0.1417803431607403
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15085429028643993,
                  0.18069014092771118,
                  0.23635213812422837,
                  0.15606245330081414,
                  0.2033330363555721,
                  0.227991658943322,
                  0.3775149581530766,
                  0.20912215532462194,
                  0.14738561477662931
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3344252434830537,
                  0.23554025324060487,
                  0.21298745192507748,
                  0.3069588387406354,
                  0.19183351720664704,
                  0.20066841210159025,
                  0.10771453584184541,
                  0.2776379941891447,
                  0.3164556122841625
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.3325162105184372,
                  0.24104243864711158,
                  0.22152291047598155,
                  0.33656244571392563,
                  0.18878792456796986,
                  0.20738469072412372,
                  0.12236291485165149,
                  0.28512649430379705,
                  0.33250862534711423
                ],
                "crps": [
                  39.84683967364781,
                  22.5822523738454,
                  26.578079858655336,
                  37.96772592219588,
                  21.92436363955654,
                  26.53139605815327,
                  32.62485337360668,
                  43.90765895584852,
                  38.72943661818577
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  39.145523273068626,
                  22.643913019787092,
                  29.008121722013154,
                  43.28444006396797,
                  20.589043753169044,
                  26.078049611235418,
                  38.88164859631245,
                  43.764166543124,
                  41.3116571073202
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.34091960254881,
                  22.083717188719284,
                  26.075581788063786,
                  37.4026302810689,
                  21.40212700216686,
                  25.974254622773156,
                  32.09280509591658,
                  43.36497327433306,
                  38.156887547632
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  37.945151810469554,
                  21.44354155718803,
                  27.807750259414085,
                  42.084068601368905,
                  19.388672290569982,
                  24.87767814863636,
                  37.681277133713394,
                  42.56379508052493,
                  40.111285644721136
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4464698210951748,
              "rpss": 0.0334108038685923,
              "brier_below": 0.20377849896106398,
              "bss_below": 0.029269976638404804,
              "brier_above": 0.2426913176680846,
              "bss_above": 0.036860506191506826,
              "crps": 32.29917849707724,
              "crpss": 0.04599164864252925,
              "crps_fair": 31.765988489246936,
              "crpss_fair": 0.02725156978216514
            }
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "Sep": {
      "tag": "init05_Sep",
      "methods": {
        "mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7404091341753162,
            "training": [
              0.7023362094179623,
              0.7383657344446851,
              0.7468332918460837,
              0.7389922332821981,
              0.8032587141695247,
              0.7473722097145156,
              0.761973853400007,
              0.7413357784765605,
              0.7385337327308461,
              0.7176313950184113,
              0.7783015195834502,
              0.720844203388021,
              0.7371337620737547,
              0.7542089606701564,
              0.7424359814422637,
              0.7513709818560276,
              0.7500686243239368,
              0.741993016253492,
              0.7352631762661697,
              0.7197724954124435,
              0.7382443190523447,
              0.720852658166895,
              0.6839412363731845,
              0.7587551328446561
            ],
            "test": 0.7702543524081173
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4819159174899113,
                  0.48136388761744103,
                  0.4503873342969238,
                  0.4381205168043661,
                  0.42328697170514645,
                  0.4642956630831121,
                  0.43383278930391234,
                  0.4292510416407498,
                  0.4476852569351838,
                  0.4924969422750912,
                  0.43948052033712715,
                  0.418932482161195,
                  0.43342053184598484,
                  0.4345527105056248,
                  0.464741139232986,
                  0.41936670996740777,
                  0.4672966339765093,
                  0.4189625934591914,
                  0.4186189073303443,
                  0.5014724221767444,
                  0.46054129327431836,
                  0.4676124244491803,
                  0.4854655844788357,
                  0.4593256697021098
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.44828178439893784,
                  0.4780636046945905,
                  0.45403117539434756,
                  0.4408998664630428,
                  0.4626710009670124,
                  0.4675652855175825,
                  0.45088178363034326,
                  0.4339622485969375,
                  0.4457739713411614,
                  0.48115608104505214,
                  0.46731020302909526,
                  0.40902067319593455,
                  0.4238503280124456,
                  0.44888898670135347,
                  0.4836531086639868,
                  0.4215019666820851,
                  0.47209090525934455,
                  0.42365664384275686,
                  0.43223368035833454,
                  0.4869745630233523,
                  0.45947832667944477,
                  0.45033952255554077,
                  0.45381281595427836,
                  0.4698444532531743
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2560342798873104,
                  0.22263905534712408,
                  0.260072344652079,
                  0.23034283827265412,
                  0.23737368713722742,
                  0.2213788833744599,
                  0.24018468827092834,
                  0.23542484814015488,
                  0.23452315127261195,
                  0.24192370434166127,
                  0.2360763505674896,
                  0.20636086512926963,
                  0.21142019289710304,
                  0.1734282156515038,
                  0.12701759021203463,
                  0.2024222425064098,
                  0.2914129023474814,
                  0.17514001179564562,
                  0.1750938474054106,
                  0.19307684047958296,
                  0.2549953354334464,
                  0.21350074638007088,
                  0.24708196194397644,
                  0.315116979765432
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24364607658776927,
                  0.2167833637959483,
                  0.26200244695541064,
                  0.2335398229822821,
                  0.2599592835854335,
                  0.22410814370662485,
                  0.24638536370420897,
                  0.23420103701671963,
                  0.23335651499978938,
                  0.23810578482707784,
                  0.25468721411875095,
                  0.19406452747606567,
                  0.20425741444224962,
                  0.17808060941226778,
                  0.14096115009371765,
                  0.20696214106709115,
                  0.29480390564951164,
                  0.17663004534290416,
                  0.18425554277680625,
                  0.18520467260263995,
                  0.25555913109943895,
                  0.207082427269816,
                  0.23258804671993344,
                  0.32153762962536103
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2258816373922448,
                  0.2587248318136229,
                  0.19031498917302625,
                  0.20777767824848764,
                  0.18591328508839508,
                  0.24291678047588772,
                  0.19364810085105996,
                  0.19382619337153545,
                  0.21316210540258634,
                  0.2505732370312873,
                  0.2034041700900256,
                  0.2125716167726434,
                  0.22200033798079885,
                  0.26112449490699774,
                  0.33772354971306096,
                  0.21694446729245517,
                  0.1758837305541459,
                  0.24382258156985132,
                  0.24352505969803798,
                  0.30839558286287666,
                  0.2055459571004363,
                  0.254111677867156,
                  0.23838362299753343,
                  0.14420868993333893
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.20463570781908508,
                  0.2612802408995609,
                  0.1920287284468534,
                  0.20736004348867731,
                  0.20271171736051702,
                  0.2434571418390764,
                  0.20449641993405068,
                  0.19976121159863708,
                  0.21241745636061743,
                  0.24305029625298225,
                  0.21262298892876352,
                  0.2149561457217039,
                  0.2195929135561274,
                  0.27080837732842866,
                  0.3426919585851556,
                  0.21453982563780633,
                  0.17728699964486266,
                  0.24702659841398025,
                  0.24797813761256063,
                  0.30176989039964386,
                  0.20391919556164534,
                  0.24325709524448394,
                  0.22122476926537735,
                  0.14830682364623232
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.891928895158127,
                  26.186887762971327,
                  16.17810178585064,
                  17.061067985618635,
                  16.812200452648696,
                  20.847885347668495,
                  17.287479477612735,
                  16.312564285040075,
                  19.05420218361003,
                  22.392868290529943,
                  14.998207098482117,
                  14.376669655085879,
                  14.767688611021832,
                  15.416410686787351,
                  30.82282646329392,
                  14.91644504911769,
                  26.660335191170848,
                  14.85259387086449,
                  15.21656616196584,
                  28.127972147755028,
                  16.446917320262358,
                  18.88171372610358,
                  22.105901066397504,
                  20.5970402012343
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.40286903169342,
                  22.980285367240008,
                  16.04453582917209,
                  16.01544976173602,
                  18.23475961955163,
                  20.24434837659676,
                  16.05965168074466,
                  15.699377570210324,
                  17.593278632094517,
                  22.75728628237246,
                  16.76392185931309,
                  13.531282337003354,
                  14.073597103535487,
                  16.90050283907696,
                  32.670568611232945,
                  13.245890750422944,
                  24.87859016163376,
                  15.432698428298984,
                  15.601474071525136,
                  24.538292073716153,
                  15.517039557550994,
                  16.567178418053995,
                  17.75216265190863,
                  16.345490750873054
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.21576337134308,
                  25.533645160057937,
                  15.600279101369743,
                  16.421121424943028,
                  16.213524988057824,
                  20.146639896436728,
                  16.587256164914592,
                  15.703434669059535,
                  18.421620892268436,
                  21.73518757072886,
                  14.353673495584053,
                  13.781583563388986,
                  14.100875676833807,
                  14.759968004946463,
                  30.31496819864127,
                  14.253299773940883,
                  26.00812727858603,
                  14.172750084303306,
                  14.463205239210852,
                  27.482988417763586,
                  15.732185247691572,
                  18.201815251054743,
                  21.479894125832878,
                  20.002338157968303
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.643013178327948,
                  22.229098862994885,
                  15.280213435650335,
                  15.251072280965328,
                  17.47458537714802,
                  19.48798017350574,
                  15.295357915729673,
                  14.934401467864777,
                  16.8318894635783,
                  22.0056774313757,
                  16.000961939333273,
                  12.762199993685826,
                  13.305541871518209,
                  16.137801595195178,
                  31.937734916162057,
                  12.476267892736892,
                  24.130998931620457,
                  14.667217251821024,
                  14.836312545886626,
                  23.790056339748453,
                  14.751718118060262,
                  15.803845877920272,
                  16.991074400096608,
                  15.581738347733312
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45135108100205823,
              "rpss": 0.003084595168105664,
              "brier_below": 0.22508506513379448,
              "bss_below": 0.004922067165685218,
              "brier_above": 0.22626601575781216,
              "bss_above": 0.0012499686427386303,
              "crps": 19.34218640484381,
              "crpss": -0.06020762803323354,
              "crps_fair": 18.695256073121936,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0693015197690996,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    2.8e-05,
                    0.003381,
                    0.109569,
                    0.734997,
                    0.152024,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0834,
                    0.1664,
                    0.2834,
                    0.3455,
                    0.4248,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    1.0,
                    0.0666,
                    0.2862,
                    0.3505,
                    0.3783,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.116672,
                    0.789568,
                    0.093025,
                    0.000736,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2858,
                    0.3471,
                    0.4263,
                    0.5067,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3525,
                    0.3397,
                    0.4029,
                    0.0767,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4969424284504254,
                  0.49963930640254045,
                  0.44681403062683966,
                  0.42361287115788043,
                  0.4220109907944633,
                  0.45129483518924024,
                  0.4404393955367874,
                  0.43711762549683253,
                  0.47785902442608696,
                  0.4505050818776293,
                  0.4365856586951716,
                  0.4143184861570603,
                  0.4026582959248561,
                  0.4159390703202349,
                  0.4421739782099623,
                  0.4126169968649806,
                  0.5202630884376802,
                  0.43336291144236727,
                  0.42347341908827973,
                  0.4895838655813291,
                  0.4574561169039854,
                  0.4840590730397308,
                  0.472277175234177,
                  0.46226028767940297
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4656268773487567,
                  0.47905520254523853,
                  0.44987819562667175,
                  0.4222690397368383,
                  0.473189675792112,
                  0.46370659625075544,
                  0.4533706691746612,
                  0.44043707163708307,
                  0.4658910246954573,
                  0.4835074529423111,
                  0.44476293120584887,
                  0.42294488325801144,
                  0.4035717243423909,
                  0.4341110496580427,
                  0.4840392053398089,
                  0.41705895616907784,
                  0.5102516956651021,
                  0.44254446083186355,
                  0.4407978919737273,
                  0.46885745291344016,
                  0.4562595884170463,
                  0.45934219841451757,
                  0.4469383691099854,
                  0.4493098079235744
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22271183736814262,
                  0.25783043348534646,
                  0.26008944842595627,
                  0.21222954892699517,
                  0.2744401296823451,
                  0.16275783725999235,
                  0.2130696351087839,
                  0.22295709987589302,
                  0.3064389941354312,
                  0.29436439682530463,
                  0.16551081477977156,
                  0.2154715923865362,
                  0.20640144175659678,
                  0.18502901297327742,
                  0.11789687311287386,
                  0.1861484158619063,
                  0.38662325996239116,
                  0.1634949706897789,
                  0.17939963647067525,
                  0.202051837419966,
                  0.27765401982011684,
                  0.17404958647063992,
                  0.2139387788958779,
                  0.2907119041608287
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20639084196205096,
                  0.24828230441497257,
                  0.2605442628100996,
                  0.21079044758429427,
                  0.3079691007315029,
                  0.1701970420969503,
                  0.21556851840134683,
                  0.2221603579843514,
                  0.2986746145123454,
                  0.31773717985625455,
                  0.16972492982842746,
                  0.2191151329533314,
                  0.20714815598586803,
                  0.19476475401412452,
                  0.14137875328774757,
                  0.19387986053487954,
                  0.37971397960807707,
                  0.16798860633846377,
                  0.18789536861046913,
                  0.1944206391015046,
                  0.27728056202918344,
                  0.16316626564473996,
                  0.1984248046321673,
                  0.28086225383117586
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.27423059059886845,
                  0.24180887249782906,
                  0.18672458149049692,
                  0.2113833217541564,
                  0.1475708618597888,
                  0.28853699931157545,
                  0.22736976016132154,
                  0.2141605256074551,
                  0.17142002902547535,
                  0.15614068447453133,
                  0.2710748442993757,
                  0.1988468936037888,
                  0.196256853257961,
                  0.23091005686880153,
                  0.3242771057906587,
                  0.22646858129165745,
                  0.13363982692155302,
                  0.2698679417092277,
                  0.24407378210148944,
                  0.28753202886871165,
                  0.17980209587196916,
                  0.31000948767920317,
                  0.2583383963756829,
                  0.17154838310714163
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2592360353867057,
                  0.23077289813026597,
                  0.18933393281657201,
                  0.21147859215254405,
                  0.165220575060609,
                  0.29350955415380503,
                  0.23780215077331432,
                  0.21827671365273166,
                  0.1672164101831118,
                  0.1657702730860564,
                  0.2750380013774213,
                  0.20382975030467998,
                  0.19642356835652286,
                  0.23934629564391813,
                  0.34266045205206114,
                  0.22317909563419822,
                  0.1305377160570248,
                  0.27455585449339964,
                  0.2529025233632581,
                  0.2744368138119354,
                  0.17897902638786278,
                  0.2961759327697775,
                  0.2485135644778181,
                  0.16844755409239837
                ],
                "crps": [
                  34.97547437075737,
                  34.88298867088048,
                  22.558051504436413,
                  23.812032131116073,
                  22.540287452727146,
                  28.120977505728646,
                  25.554058865367374,
                  23.14831995413755,
                  26.87686869035176,
                  22.082276493786186,
                  22.279873538412048,
                  18.85597117320575,
                  18.080481863874073,
                  19.310342309791615,
                  31.468842256596766,
                  20.04708924420364,
                  39.980782916607524,
                  20.69961159506708,
                  19.805450642067985,
                  32.59756048355318,
                  22.600844112358605,
                  27.22683544160429,
                  30.65463986377428,
                  27.463197609619414
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.829005594094255,
                  30.789517415890057,
                  22.274178691284046,
                  22.400405790699597,
                  24.562013785862174,
                  28.743909674086105,
                  23.41639624632185,
                  22.294597973023507,
                  23.939813933834774,
                  26.00809173405538,
                  23.784893985415945,
                  18.638495127121324,
                  17.665545158908575,
                  21.356757879360448,
                  35.9519633499581,
                  17.515074119812123,
                  37.22123503260143,
                  21.861619454593054,
                  20.60004209571915,
                  27.362334214151744,
                  21.305435294168266,
                  23.9623386515102,
                  25.131651915716713,
                  22.03810998188434
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  34.10840236206661,
                  34.05205387667296,
                  21.808656195588167,
                  22.948800658657348,
                  21.766930173680624,
                  27.202270697326657,
                  24.63164689094471,
                  22.327992420497235,
                  26.029292296472896,
                  21.15352827777822,
                  21.416627449387093,
                  18.017274223622287,
                  17.229366965416844,
                  18.450400218917093,
                  30.78612267996504,
                  19.15113329052156,
                  39.14200009578427,
                  19.806590974256583,
                  18.815778996048227,
                  31.748917055623775,
                  21.695719551728722,
                  26.35803373962536,
                  29.87443483159308,
                  26.643667032798465
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.816842345274544,
                  29.784855136429805,
                  21.25338887636053,
                  21.37985504225225,
                  23.545556991951106,
                  27.7353731375391,
                  22.397769722222264,
                  21.27384683098207,
                  22.922178731113057,
                  24.994373724137105,
                  22.766965373701,
                  17.610819547871735,
                  16.63602687138586,
                  20.334230525020402,
                  34.957078430221465,
                  16.48527084926081,
                  36.22875403650616,
                  20.840048277478832,
                  19.576081567546453,
                  26.351181057415474,
                  20.28281073796233,
                  22.944746109238622,
                  24.116273981900072,
                  21.01687306713241
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4505526672307476,
              "rpss": 0.005925689892617658,
              "brier_below": 0.22463631274397614,
              "bss_below": 0.007877550726191562,
              "brier_above": 0.22591635435536336,
              "bss_above": 0.00397725908162283,
              "crps": 25.65095244541772,
              "crpss": -0.05117263931733307,
              "crps_fair": 24.79856837312391,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0604264898238116,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.10711,
                    0.766662,
                    0.126228,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2868,
                    0.3433,
                    0.4247,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2571,
                    0.3496,
                    0.403,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.126639,
                    0.797638,
                    0.075723,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2856,
                    0.3479,
                    0.4217,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3728,
                    0.3336,
                    0.4552,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4917344975348132,
                  0.4816076138850708,
                  0.472498755128013,
                  0.48494458948075714,
                  0.45615105928197136,
                  0.41715626022004526,
                  0.4517056774803668,
                  0.4340347565908641,
                  0.43009184351036367
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4947890992304722,
                  0.4753205974707632,
                  0.4560866594726808,
                  0.47037878645621833,
                  0.47299821491804606,
                  0.4357581018035622,
                  0.4528379078704793,
                  0.43596840945468646,
                  0.4603811312931576
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.14134153846052716,
                  0.22240281931203645,
                  0.16980379469253876,
                  0.16120060716247836,
                  0.17387870455351884,
                  0.19211444690960772,
                  0.16370426311581376,
                  0.2559573622364796,
                  0.1737904344807195
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14043822061767963,
                  0.21741971507988192,
                  0.16137133777697532,
                  0.15421278761631982,
                  0.1844784913304739,
                  0.20067295850650194,
                  0.1605724275435595,
                  0.2610749478831005,
                  0.18824828684533776
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3503929368895814,
                  0.25920478749978093,
                  0.30269494760681626,
                  0.3237439653699289,
                  0.2822723433749384,
                  0.2250418121200374,
                  0.2880014027673518,
                  0.1780774036794295,
                  0.2563014011592709
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.35435085494429375,
                  0.2579008762312236,
                  0.2947153086203139,
                  0.31616598226162707,
                  0.28851971169071594,
                  0.23508514114649787,
                  0.2922654680223936,
                  0.17489347015413084,
                  0.272132835460955
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.569473847524904,
                  16.975229687700303,
                  29.51899910349115,
                  22.011390810859513,
                  16.7762467010045,
                  14.746958824090363,
                  24.435033841207613,
                  15.38603370833003,
                  15.454897034398591
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.281647851966547,
                  17.15803927516819,
                  25.993136341641158,
                  19.58864279444303,
                  17.83614860391533,
                  15.27535033028718,
                  21.278592720172202,
                  13.65283925983951,
                  17.80733890498982
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.19898802124406,
                  16.666596097436894,
                  29.209538306087687,
                  21.702960476832107,
                  16.47673853021072,
                  14.393622540722511,
                  24.066686144802063,
                  15.023565699207259,
                  15.088907073037387
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  28.553163894312622,
                  16.429555317514268,
                  25.26465238398724,
                  18.860158836789104,
                  17.107664646261412,
                  14.546866372633263,
                  20.55010876251828,
                  12.924355302185589,
                  17.078854947335895
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45776945034580724,
              "rpss": 0.008326801640362258,
              "brier_below": 0.18379933010263558,
              "bss_below": 0.008567752494728187,
              "brier_above": 0.27397011116301506,
              "bss_above": 0.008165086879394767,
              "crps": 20.430473728734107,
              "crpss": -0.0337463815690342,
              "crps_fair": 20.091955876620077,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05552462598690955,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004432,
                    0.13232,
                    0.798299,
                    0.064949,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.171,
                    0.2869,
                    0.3409,
                    0.4192,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0679,
                    0.1386,
                    0.2227,
                    0.4222,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.114894,
                    0.850108,
                    0.034997,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2904,
                    0.3429,
                    0.4135,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.5072,
                    0.4912,
                    0.5524,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.49914276553503667,
                  0.4746379673539304,
                  0.5033113351903056,
                  0.45867482224602957,
                  0.4487295310547934,
                  0.42063189886301866,
                  0.45729520598812234,
                  0.4399839477604627,
                  0.4241189791719111
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5102317652431445,
                  0.47433267737964163,
                  0.4783180441293248,
                  0.4525347847419441,
                  0.4603745980834287,
                  0.4422445935566512,
                  0.44415660691947745,
                  0.4338588592002403,
                  0.45616205495422807
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12414413984760342,
                  0.25307432404963365,
                  0.15212645364247657,
                  0.1599063674843907,
                  0.1563889496155645,
                  0.16042099659927225,
                  0.16834943663121407,
                  0.2588994984303211,
                  0.11341872838771842
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.126539540948379,
                  0.2545659968360651,
                  0.13841351661655463,
                  0.1589549412230946,
                  0.16053153657975874,
                  0.16798009656758436,
                  0.15927262223192998,
                  0.25847884644300917,
                  0.1239877850693975
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3749985982964021,
                  0.22156364264692513,
                  0.3511848603214054,
                  0.2987684419502552,
                  0.2923405684399772,
                  0.26021089501188305,
                  0.2889457571966691,
                  0.1810844588903356,
                  0.3107002330245148
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.38369219542168237,
                  0.21976668098266122,
                  0.33990450646953646,
                  0.2935798307591138,
                  0.29984304762398367,
                  0.27426448768318373,
                  0.28488397348275224,
                  0.17538002113326967,
                  0.3321742502238743
                ],
                "crps": [
                  40.145767907179284,
                  21.74026107554628,
                  45.40164050009548,
                  26.987927686702623,
                  21.588260379645874,
                  19.644565392604832,
                  32.687149771962844,
                  21.662946121490346,
                  21.152562696761542
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.92534574035464,
                  22.089318991170305,
                  40.08494619654123,
                  23.890249665507238,
                  23.177153551992927,
                  21.71108717495611,
                  28.004720878699523,
                  19.009192462863844,
                  25.3617561381083
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.67743944515673,
                  21.323004476407398,
                  45.006218687963106,
                  26.572043458137408,
                  21.189358977156896,
                  19.166439594576644,
                  32.231318213692376,
                  21.18467472436449,
                  20.665311804499144
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.950951294224595,
                  21.114924545040267,
                  39.11055175041119,
                  22.915855219377203,
                  22.202759105862885,
                  20.736692728826064,
                  27.03032643256948,
                  18.034798016733802,
                  24.38736169197826
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4585029392404011,
              "rpss": 0.006186466097885979,
              "brier_below": 0.17185876607646605,
              "bss_below": 0.0012887943172554817,
              "brier_above": 0.28664416175315194,
              "bss_above": 0.009099918631609638,
              "crps": 27.890120170221014,
              "crpss": -0.02347491218182096,
              "crps_fair": 27.446201042439355,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04453400130448526,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.122015,
                    0.862096,
                    0.015889,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2901,
                    0.3383,
                    0.4096,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1162,
                    0.1937,
                    0.1084,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.103852,
                    0.872263,
                    0.023885,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2909,
                    0.3438,
                    0.4109,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.539,
                    0.5326,
                    0.584,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "ls": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7326777482265104,
            "training": [
              0.6962697340860157,
              0.7323188245451421,
              0.7344708889551725,
              0.7304710439080477,
              0.792586492063789,
              0.7381896578689271,
              0.7523227565940142,
              0.72943247761577,
              0.7276174016566718,
              0.7142894669766047,
              0.767382096346896,
              0.7143860243289318,
              0.7310820814361065,
              0.7479263654065308,
              0.7391695502535701,
              0.7425709694815606,
              0.7414904148472732,
              0.7334065448533448,
              0.7282362021517702,
              0.7185847008763687,
              0.7297548958481656,
              0.7128984768000124,
              0.6815687842415066,
              0.747840106294062
            ],
            "test": 0.7660428573315465
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4798170661085924,
                  0.48397488548949213,
                  0.4498420380779653,
                  0.436309574045511,
                  0.41952688623835377,
                  0.46123995106884075,
                  0.4290759450900512,
                  0.42764945264863163,
                  0.4541723299059635,
                  0.4986748595748674,
                  0.4319236281868804,
                  0.42355629539051604,
                  0.4358744533488611,
                  0.43726111319877015,
                  0.4719952485307144,
                  0.4169009943075843,
                  0.4670830297356458,
                  0.4219207823021676,
                  0.42105347419534944,
                  0.5028136871668429,
                  0.4605694465986779,
                  0.46573857575718564,
                  0.48396207049348533,
                  0.4505636931901102
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.44828178439893784,
                  0.4780636046945905,
                  0.45403117539434756,
                  0.4408998664630428,
                  0.4626710009670124,
                  0.4675652855175825,
                  0.45088178363034326,
                  0.4339622485969375,
                  0.4457739713411614,
                  0.48115608104505214,
                  0.46731020302909526,
                  0.40902067319593455,
                  0.4238503280124456,
                  0.44888898670135347,
                  0.4836531086639868,
                  0.4215019666820851,
                  0.47209090525934455,
                  0.42365664384275686,
                  0.43223368035833454,
                  0.4869745630233523,
                  0.45947832667944477,
                  0.45033952255554077,
                  0.45381281595427836,
                  0.4698444532531743
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2520878893680951,
                  0.2245133782848785,
                  0.2603230274626637,
                  0.22814348829539832,
                  0.23451639132132202,
                  0.21826838298130238,
                  0.23725678404155542,
                  0.23417598645035112,
                  0.24117744566469662,
                  0.24967522956981753,
                  0.22897969453798395,
                  0.21008321672343194,
                  0.21244662908642015,
                  0.17624683831786508,
                  0.13522915279307876,
                  0.2001844459755141,
                  0.29122605907207216,
                  0.17643353083274102,
                  0.1768390802767784,
                  0.19382895427832855,
                  0.2558367372231795,
                  0.21062488416147668,
                  0.2444838695828287,
                  0.30634520907745105
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24364607658776927,
                  0.2167833637959483,
                  0.26200244695541064,
                  0.2335398229822821,
                  0.2599592835854335,
                  0.22410814370662485,
                  0.24638536370420897,
                  0.23420103701671963,
                  0.23335651499978938,
                  0.23810578482707784,
                  0.25468721411875095,
                  0.19406452747606567,
                  0.20425741444224962,
                  0.17808060941226778,
                  0.14096115009371765,
                  0.20696214106709115,
                  0.29480390564951164,
                  0.17663004534290416,
                  0.18425554277680625,
                  0.18520467260263995,
                  0.25555913109943895,
                  0.207082427269816,
                  0.23258804671993344,
                  0.32153762962536103
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.227729176790698,
                  0.25946150688796893,
                  0.18951900995481066,
                  0.20816608557690366,
                  0.18501049544710452,
                  0.24297156876061282,
                  0.19181916105619695,
                  0.19347346603671514,
                  0.21299488410589137,
                  0.2489996288714924,
                  0.20294393418918086,
                  0.21347307843710894,
                  0.22342782325851854,
                  0.2610142750270181,
                  0.33676609663713597,
                  0.21671654827089318,
                  0.17585696994547673,
                  0.24548725154698817,
                  0.24421439371482676,
                  0.3089847335376415,
                  0.20473270893092815,
                  0.25511369154944186,
                  0.23947820122136387,
                  0.14421848431584464
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.20463570781908508,
                  0.2612802408995609,
                  0.1920287284468534,
                  0.20736004348867731,
                  0.20271171736051702,
                  0.2434571418390764,
                  0.20449641993405068,
                  0.19976121159863708,
                  0.21241745636061743,
                  0.24305029625298225,
                  0.21262298892876352,
                  0.2149561457217039,
                  0.2195929135561274,
                  0.27080837732842866,
                  0.3426919585851556,
                  0.21453982563780633,
                  0.17728699964486266,
                  0.24702659841398025,
                  0.24797813761256063,
                  0.30176989039964386,
                  0.20391919556164534,
                  0.24325709524448394,
                  0.22122476926537735,
                  0.14830682364623232
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.172117343013827,
                  26.672674584373837,
                  16.45660443695698,
                  17.543222377490302,
                  16.951772161734418,
                  21.324107117242512,
                  17.80556425347471,
                  16.258715446153815,
                  19.825807167990007,
                  23.67235543489818,
                  15.601265623695008,
                  15.448745478857337,
                  15.687853450865086,
                  15.90620352206946,
                  30.688377895696263,
                  15.55472319537253,
                  26.49726325187024,
                  15.819521256751395,
                  15.705821934156882,
                  27.90451131754935,
                  17.38793747323628,
                  19.71539697577472,
                  23.299340304738905,
                  21.42607394630985
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.40286903169342,
                  22.980285367240008,
                  16.04453582917209,
                  16.01544976173602,
                  18.23475961955163,
                  20.24434837659676,
                  16.05965168074466,
                  15.699377570210324,
                  17.593278632094517,
                  22.75728628237246,
                  16.76392185931309,
                  13.531282337003354,
                  14.073597103535487,
                  16.90050283907696,
                  32.670568611232945,
                  13.245890750422944,
                  24.87859016163376,
                  15.432698428298984,
                  15.601474071525136,
                  24.538292073716153,
                  15.517039557550994,
                  16.567178418053995,
                  17.75216265190863,
                  16.345490750873054
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.424679434941382,
                  25.931520868599264,
                  15.803567519648361,
                  16.84333143081331,
                  16.30841319999992,
                  20.52586055645062,
                  17.014790795764032,
                  15.58008497243935,
                  19.117966186380315,
                  22.972531308373892,
                  14.887517892026409,
                  14.809029501526428,
                  14.942220434564687,
                  15.177506428634148,
                  30.112969179894076,
                  14.818346878839204,
                  25.75963832872925,
                  15.060594669939045,
                  14.858486410165472,
                  27.189729146429674,
                  16.577713950717058,
                  18.961364606854435,
                  22.592374134742435,
                  20.762173995496468
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.643013178327948,
                  22.229098862994885,
                  15.280213435650335,
                  15.251072280965328,
                  17.47458537714802,
                  19.48798017350574,
                  15.295357915729673,
                  14.934401467864777,
                  16.8318894635783,
                  22.0056774313757,
                  16.000961939333273,
                  12.762199993685826,
                  13.305541871518209,
                  16.137801595195178,
                  31.937734916162057,
                  12.476267892736892,
                  24.130998931620457,
                  14.667217251821024,
                  14.836312545886626,
                  23.790056339748453,
                  14.751718118060262,
                  15.803845877920272,
                  16.991074400096608,
                  15.581738347733312
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4513124783604608,
              "rpss": 0.0031698582143140364,
              "brier_below": 0.2249552627241346,
              "bss_below": 0.005495910274309401,
              "brier_above": 0.22635721558628175,
              "bss_above": 0.0008474078284744779,
              "crps": 19.88858233126133,
              "crpss": -0.09015735124389734,
              "crps_fair": 19.168017159665386,
              "crpss_fair": -0.09634175641262921,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    2.8e-05,
                    0.003607,
                    0.11815,
                    0.666137,
                    0.212021,
                    5.7e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0957,
                    0.163,
                    0.284,
                    0.3493,
                    0.4279,
                    0.5072,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    1.0,
                    0.0547,
                    0.2665,
                    0.3476,
                    0.3937,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.125472,
                    0.768685,
                    0.105107,
                    0.000736,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2843,
                    0.3465,
                    0.426,
                    0.5079,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.35,
                    0.3407,
                    0.3901,
                    0.0383,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.49665106210868676,
                  0.49945581363385566,
                  0.4472181348477626,
                  0.424983630130802,
                  0.41907722147483845,
                  0.45115925913903404,
                  0.4384826971478844,
                  0.4347453023551169,
                  0.4797999786116523,
                  0.4522138406423215,
                  0.43472549594480137,
                  0.41283002641368566,
                  0.40184291307528125,
                  0.41598005355409645,
                  0.44290211218163017,
                  0.41090036098935956,
                  0.5182273177517792,
                  0.43501690169084983,
                  0.42355218635540676,
                  0.4878534547369739,
                  0.45752703846387377,
                  0.48516768494689083,
                  0.4721915473371203,
                  0.4605319896653192
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4656268773487567,
                  0.47905520254523853,
                  0.44987819562667175,
                  0.4222690397368383,
                  0.473189675792112,
                  0.46370659625075544,
                  0.4533706691746612,
                  0.44043707163708307,
                  0.4658910246954573,
                  0.4835074529423111,
                  0.44476293120584887,
                  0.42294488325801144,
                  0.4035717243423909,
                  0.4341110496580427,
                  0.4840392053398089,
                  0.41705895616907784,
                  0.5102516956651021,
                  0.44254446083186355,
                  0.4407978919737273,
                  0.46885745291344016,
                  0.4562595884170463,
                  0.45934219841451757,
                  0.4469383691099854,
                  0.4493098079235744
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2206751488595929,
                  0.25634203394356386,
                  0.2622441741700963,
                  0.21303601646175074,
                  0.27210909468307193,
                  0.16233671488286533,
                  0.21439975039329195,
                  0.221036714946732,
                  0.3095930697347864,
                  0.2978728719491282,
                  0.16443853759453317,
                  0.21324443792313907,
                  0.20408723123207187,
                  0.18483160223641285,
                  0.11870150322791187,
                  0.18518159000720616,
                  0.3850193529859502,
                  0.16270305156873352,
                  0.17804196740757178,
                  0.19831276821725569,
                  0.27870253789101623,
                  0.17434842328199598,
                  0.21359796416896518,
                  0.28992242162666604
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20639084196205096,
                  0.24828230441497257,
                  0.2605442628100996,
                  0.21079044758429427,
                  0.3079691007315029,
                  0.1701970420969503,
                  0.21556851840134683,
                  0.2221603579843514,
                  0.2986746145123454,
                  0.31773717985625455,
                  0.16972492982842746,
                  0.2191151329533314,
                  0.20714815598586803,
                  0.19476475401412452,
                  0.14137875328774757,
                  0.19387986053487954,
                  0.37971397960807707,
                  0.16798860633846377,
                  0.18789536861046913,
                  0.1944206391015046,
                  0.27728056202918344,
                  0.16316626564473996,
                  0.1984248046321673,
                  0.28086225383117586
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2759759128644452,
                  0.2431137792795724,
                  0.18497396008862763,
                  0.2119476133264605,
                  0.14696812753836172,
                  0.28882254551845726,
                  0.22408294650060068,
                  0.21370858721143945,
                  0.17020690780567999,
                  0.15434096832811708,
                  0.27028695869920977,
                  0.19958558847609117,
                  0.19775568084642217,
                  0.23114845114318933,
                  0.3242006095170694,
                  0.22571877121459497,
                  0.13320796342453586,
                  0.2723138507678237,
                  0.24551021828705574,
                  0.2895406870604746,
                  0.17882449948034934,
                  0.31081926234933593,
                  0.2585935831718297,
                  0.17060956773661196
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2592360353867057,
                  0.23077289813026597,
                  0.18933393281657201,
                  0.21147859215254405,
                  0.165220575060609,
                  0.29350955415380503,
                  0.23780215077331432,
                  0.21827671365273166,
                  0.1672164101831118,
                  0.1657702730860564,
                  0.2750380013774213,
                  0.20382975030467998,
                  0.19642356835652286,
                  0.23934629564391813,
                  0.34266045205206114,
                  0.22317909563419822,
                  0.1305377160570248,
                  0.27455585449339964,
                  0.2529025233632581,
                  0.2744368138119354,
                  0.17897902638786278,
                  0.2961759327697775,
                  0.2485135644778181,
                  0.16844755409239837
                ],
                "crps": [
                  34.73809315855548,
                  35.36717636851253,
                  22.821645524362822,
                  24.03959545074355,
                  22.121433804620846,
                  28.607907367156596,
                  25.368442355556933,
                  22.59198040058319,
                  27.58800523126136,
                  22.868291827132143,
                  23.002829478456558,
                  19.09501860558301,
                  18.627582824059203,
                  19.60241652067896,
                  31.34753745697274,
                  20.448384385664703,
                  39.4634505761168,
                  21.419889325630095,
                  20.178212417528055,
                  32.23748119141728,
                  23.20582752989953,
                  27.858570180088254,
                  31.570857697482097,
                  28.09817307122586
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.829005594094255,
                  30.789517415890057,
                  22.274178691284046,
                  22.400405790699597,
                  24.562013785862174,
                  28.743909674086105,
                  23.41639624632185,
                  22.294597973023507,
                  23.939813933834774,
                  26.00809173405538,
                  23.784893985415945,
                  18.638495127121324,
                  17.665545158908575,
                  21.356757879360448,
                  35.9519633499581,
                  17.515074119812123,
                  37.22123503260143,
                  21.861619454593054,
                  20.60004209571915,
                  27.362334214151744,
                  21.305435294168266,
                  23.9623386515102,
                  25.131651915716713,
                  22.03810998188434
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  33.870653706857105,
                  34.50949444537528,
                  22.05452897199043,
                  23.173175562977505,
                  21.37946154239115,
                  27.644736344383286,
                  24.39934869612862,
                  21.746983911607863,
                  26.711533075244805,
                  21.952683576128024,
                  22.127239826754497,
                  18.24604279467577,
                  17.75503681717174,
                  18.73375355335563,
                  30.64103891716611,
                  19.532215032632823,
                  38.60088385218879,
                  20.504390724975135,
                  19.151324685583393,
                  31.381407855050096,
                  22.27572162209331,
                  26.987237752692646,
                  30.783872008420648,
                  27.252111201310942
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.816842345274544,
                  29.784855136429805,
                  21.25338887636053,
                  21.37985504225225,
                  23.545556991951106,
                  27.7353731375391,
                  22.397769722222264,
                  21.27384683098207,
                  22.922178731113057,
                  24.994373724137105,
                  22.766965373701,
                  17.610819547871735,
                  16.63602687138586,
                  20.334230525020402,
                  34.957078430221465,
                  16.48527084926081,
                  36.22875403650616,
                  20.840048277478832,
                  19.576081567546453,
                  26.351181057415474,
                  20.28281073796233,
                  22.944746109238622,
                  24.116273981900072,
                  21.01687306713241
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.450126500966626,
              "rpss": 0.006865959401178401,
              "brier_below": 0.22419912414142953,
              "bss_below": 0.009808425667356846,
              "brier_above": 0.22592737669318153,
              "bss_above": 0.003928663666048382,
              "crps": 25.92786678122036,
              "crpss": -0.0625205521813823,
              "crps_fair": 25.05895318654815,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07156096136056944,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.159741,
                    0.699499,
                    0.14076,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.286,
                    0.3443,
                    0.427,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2586,
                    0.3551,
                    0.4031,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.148261,
                    0.769116,
                    0.082623,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2837,
                    0.3464,
                    0.422,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3639,
                    0.3345,
                    0.442,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4948687460029279,
                  0.48442473430258814,
                  0.4744174726714002,
                  0.4887218755738318,
                  0.4580670462215258,
                  0.41654510002936573,
                  0.45444492844424894,
                  0.4333371454597497,
                  0.4286151941357627
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4947890992304722,
                  0.4753205974707632,
                  0.4560866594726808,
                  0.47037878645621833,
                  0.47299821491804606,
                  0.4357581018035622,
                  0.4528379078704793,
                  0.43596840945468646,
                  0.4603811312931576
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1440934471229583,
                  0.22615383910032877,
                  0.17091312826547833,
                  0.16440899940052964,
                  0.17594967171938417,
                  0.19183693679934347,
                  0.16571948991797805,
                  0.2546650537171304,
                  0.17153159919645614
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14043822061767963,
                  0.21741971507988192,
                  0.16137133777697532,
                  0.15421278761631982,
                  0.1844784913304739,
                  0.20067295850650194,
                  0.1605724275435595,
                  0.2610749478831005,
                  0.18824828684533776
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.350775276703263,
                  0.2582708880620526,
                  0.30350433181873065,
                  0.3243128590737126,
                  0.2821173630821547,
                  0.22470816208286956,
                  0.2887254268727409,
                  0.17867210114267784,
                  0.25708358708750284
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.35435085494429375,
                  0.2579008762312236,
                  0.2947153086203139,
                  0.31616598226162707,
                  0.28851971169071594,
                  0.23508514114649787,
                  0.2922654680223936,
                  0.17489347015413084,
                  0.272132835460955
                ],
                "crps": [
                  30.020444916796695,
                  17.595047900021576,
                  30.651777842436278,
                  23.29362127238561,
                  17.245599946072108,
                  15.757232685661807,
                  25.78372803134493,
                  16.14349307909319,
                  16.732300636856966
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.281647851966547,
                  17.15803927516819,
                  25.993136341641158,
                  19.58864279444303,
                  17.83614860391533,
                  15.27535033028718,
                  21.278592720172202,
                  13.65283925983951,
                  17.80733890498982
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  29.60273826216956,
                  17.259341599791217,
                  30.30690340654589,
                  22.94461430563896,
                  16.91236883261745,
                  15.358283270709558,
                  25.372783707079996,
                  15.735259304393967,
                  16.319231669204314
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  28.553163894312622,
                  16.429555317514268,
                  25.26465238398724,
                  18.860158836789104,
                  17.107664646261412,
                  14.546866372633263,
                  20.55010876251828,
                  12.924355302185589,
                  17.078854947335895
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4592713603157112,
              "rpss": 0.005073190324933141,
              "brier_below": 0.18503024058217638,
              "bss_below": 0.001928096395179546,
              "brier_above": 0.2742411106584116,
              "bss_above": 0.007184006279648436,
              "crps": 21.469249590074348,
              "crpss": -0.08630663064497512,
              "crps_fair": 21.09016937312788,
              "crpss_fair": -0.1079654602206015,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004207,
                    0.120285,
                    0.767937,
                    0.107571,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1659,
                    0.2856,
                    0.344,
                    0.4182,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0894,
                    0.1465,
                    0.2153,
                    0.3763,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.116619,
                    0.833212,
                    0.050169,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.289,
                    0.342,
                    0.4112,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4887,
                    0.4947,
                    0.5185,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5018340218347815,
                  0.4758929021278935,
                  0.5051927681620929,
                  0.4595002293458005,
                  0.4486222264545724,
                  0.41876374466825955,
                  0.45924460285175683,
                  0.44049241321641186,
                  0.42407502884461257
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5102317652431445,
                  0.47433267737964163,
                  0.4783180441293248,
                  0.4525347847419441,
                  0.4603745980834287,
                  0.4422445935566512,
                  0.44415660691947745,
                  0.4338588592002403,
                  0.45616205495422807
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12489040608327837,
                  0.25595379781701894,
                  0.15299005657341397,
                  0.1595575622048992,
                  0.15692012852598564,
                  0.1592956502996151,
                  0.16822213017429605,
                  0.25986632616102256,
                  0.11218293499494338
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.126539540948379,
                  0.2545659968360651,
                  0.13841351661655463,
                  0.1589549412230946,
                  0.16053153657975874,
                  0.16798009656758436,
                  0.15927262223192998,
                  0.25847884644300917,
                  0.1239877850693975
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3769435880391582,
                  0.21993910352392113,
                  0.35220269045288993,
                  0.2999426539932579,
                  0.2917020847487594,
                  0.25946808709381897,
                  0.29102246040255736,
                  0.1806260966840982,
                  0.31189207605682523
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.38369219542168237,
                  0.21976668098266122,
                  0.33990450646953646,
                  0.2935798307591138,
                  0.29984304762398367,
                  0.27426448768318373,
                  0.28488397348275224,
                  0.17538002113326967,
                  0.3321742502238743
                ],
                "crps": [
                  41.797906810050435,
                  22.304211167823865,
                  46.33406511844925,
                  28.056573910331018,
                  21.933974683352048,
                  20.29015522379361,
                  33.697165837821174,
                  22.356779521773344,
                  22.4177696533385
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.92534574035464,
                  22.089318991170305,
                  40.08494619654123,
                  23.890249665507238,
                  23.177153551992927,
                  21.71108717495611,
                  28.004720878699523,
                  19.009192462863844,
                  25.3617561381083
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.31768693536289,
                  21.887960978749504,
                  45.93584731651211,
                  27.621640686319527,
                  21.526001069757594,
                  19.790570840714032,
                  33.24625287968066,
                  21.861820315779795,
                  21.910391327135056
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.950951294224595,
                  21.114924545040267,
                  39.11055175041119,
                  22.915855219377203,
                  22.202759105862885,
                  20.736692728826064,
                  27.03032643256948,
                  18.034798016733802,
                  24.38736169197826
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45929088194513124,
              "rpss": 0.004478585827374371,
              "brier_below": 0.17220877698160814,
              "bss_below": -0.0007452003462522505,
              "brier_above": 0.28708209344392066,
              "bss_above": 0.00758603275525882,
              "crps": 28.79873354741481,
              "crpss": -0.05681800969287343,
              "crps_fair": 28.344241372223465,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07871117786716275,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.159555,
                    0.810226,
                    0.030219,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2879,
                    0.3387,
                    0.4096,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.135,
                    0.1946,
                    0.123,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.116547,
                    0.8447,
                    0.038753,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2889,
                    0.3417,
                    0.4096,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.497,
                    0.5388,
                    0.5534,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "vs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7225260525475115,
            "training": [
              0.6838465391169175,
              0.719080729745355,
              0.7297867631115713,
              0.7217722793109834,
              0.7842033390966611,
              0.7324595862170845,
              0.7436684247850065,
              0.7222319564032675,
              0.7166178152790192,
              0.7008617694326815,
              0.7632008647745484,
              0.7027655859975585,
              0.7217564061975157,
              0.7369781460350101,
              0.7258628780159209,
              0.7367739986899747,
              0.7291172389250075,
              0.7298583595469639,
              0.7107979629964,
              0.6978031457222745,
              0.718918974735924,
              0.705811739338827,
              0.6620488064867641,
              0.7444019511790394
            ],
            "test": 0.7488429959371269
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48557384103339224,
                  0.479773673448778,
                  0.4510389274187445,
                  0.4400645480984299,
                  0.4194699373647714,
                  0.46552157468139066,
                  0.435377662416721,
                  0.4288024299326805,
                  0.4475569568414111,
                  0.4903003137053815,
                  0.4408010043236455,
                  0.41687364234300633,
                  0.43247628838295293,
                  0.43066326666882193,
                  0.4606830931806132,
                  0.4198350355344718,
                  0.4666788705251611,
                  0.41761931662991814,
                  0.4166274069760667,
                  0.4997048635809203,
                  0.46003092740847046,
                  0.4697778181283439,
                  0.49000984530928643,
                  0.4614748678805294
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.44828178439893784,
                  0.4780636046945905,
                  0.45403117539434756,
                  0.4408998664630428,
                  0.4626710009670124,
                  0.4675652855175825,
                  0.45088178363034326,
                  0.4339622485969375,
                  0.4457739713411614,
                  0.48115608104505214,
                  0.46731020302909526,
                  0.40902067319593455,
                  0.4238503280124456,
                  0.44888898670135347,
                  0.4836531086639868,
                  0.4215019666820851,
                  0.47209090525934455,
                  0.42365664384275686,
                  0.43223368035833454,
                  0.4869745630233523,
                  0.45947832667944477,
                  0.45033952255554077,
                  0.45381281595427836,
                  0.4698444532531743
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25774543244917747,
                  0.22144616675699438,
                  0.2609248965173152,
                  0.23199970858123034,
                  0.23503827409134687,
                  0.22226162802014188,
                  0.24202719134224043,
                  0.2351289734910962,
                  0.23411155953448132,
                  0.23951987116791484,
                  0.2378487781479605,
                  0.20472924266698195,
                  0.21096289193335466,
                  0.17094741669000252,
                  0.1235652934598428,
                  0.20238827473386575,
                  0.29092972240588455,
                  0.17416856733067318,
                  0.17325927985305883,
                  0.19132028970704837,
                  0.2545580735621705,
                  0.2146506658882576,
                  0.2494848952839414,
                  0.31728388495692195
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24364607658776927,
                  0.2167833637959483,
                  0.26200244695541064,
                  0.2335398229822821,
                  0.2599592835854335,
                  0.22410814370662485,
                  0.24638536370420897,
                  0.23420103701671963,
                  0.23335651499978938,
                  0.23810578482707784,
                  0.25468721411875095,
                  0.19406452747606567,
                  0.20425741444224962,
                  0.17808060941226778,
                  0.14096115009371765,
                  0.20696214106709115,
                  0.29480390564951164,
                  0.17663004534290416,
                  0.18425554277680625,
                  0.18520467260263995,
                  0.25555913109943895,
                  0.207082427269816,
                  0.23258804671993344,
                  0.32153762962536103
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22782840839939134,
                  0.2583275060938802,
                  0.1901140303015322,
                  0.20806483903669387,
                  0.18443166377912817,
                  0.24325994736087,
                  0.19335047080138545,
                  0.19367345621748758,
                  0.21344539704391924,
                  0.2507804418470017,
                  0.20295222638680707,
                  0.21214439941465285,
                  0.22151339544431767,
                  0.25971585019729304,
                  0.33711780060922114,
                  0.21744676056425613,
                  0.175749147058989,
                  0.24345074923315285,
                  0.24336812691046183,
                  0.3083845753924704,
                  0.20547285309775684,
                  0.2551271519302413,
                  0.2405249505277322,
                  0.14419098285144288
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.20463570781908508,
                  0.2612802408995609,
                  0.1920287284468534,
                  0.20736004348867731,
                  0.20271171736051702,
                  0.2434571418390764,
                  0.20449641993405068,
                  0.19976121159863708,
                  0.21241745636061743,
                  0.24305029625298225,
                  0.21262298892876352,
                  0.2149561457217039,
                  0.2195929135561274,
                  0.27080837732842866,
                  0.3426919585851556,
                  0.21453982563780633,
                  0.17728699964486266,
                  0.24702659841398025,
                  0.24797813761256063,
                  0.30176989039964386,
                  0.20391919556164534,
                  0.24325709524448394,
                  0.22122476926537735,
                  0.14830682364623232
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.827033417969247,
                  26.188934239019012,
                  16.159294559266634,
                  17.009001364670855,
                  16.815920458633514,
                  20.84432495153378,
                  17.203318368102316,
                  16.2548477427602,
                  19.01242832566363,
                  22.32257337391834,
                  14.95017437464164,
                  14.301690710591062,
                  14.742146739452764,
                  15.420849879402823,
                  30.786217550793875,
                  14.861794901609139,
                  26.70519606026594,
                  14.79131061303744,
                  15.183795481481226,
                  28.2922802161747,
                  16.388639561359486,
                  18.821725203715644,
                  22.017434920871555,
                  20.53247722738044
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.40286903169342,
                  22.980285367240008,
                  16.04453582917209,
                  16.01544976173602,
                  18.23475961955163,
                  20.24434837659676,
                  16.05965168074466,
                  15.699377570210324,
                  17.593278632094517,
                  22.75728628237246,
                  16.76392185931309,
                  13.531282337003354,
                  14.073597103535487,
                  16.90050283907696,
                  32.670568611232945,
                  13.245890750422944,
                  24.87859016163376,
                  15.432698428298984,
                  15.601474071525136,
                  24.538292073716153,
                  15.517039557550994,
                  16.567178418053995,
                  17.75216265190863,
                  16.345490750873054
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.157340620740637,
                  25.543170235480485,
                  15.587229476786675,
                  16.376294940290503,
                  16.224095402738282,
                  20.149979334005042,
                  16.508907078337042,
                  15.652069008355914,
                  18.386229336076696,
                  21.67122758079168,
                  14.312193070741941,
                  13.711732432062231,
                  14.083800759547675,
                  14.771864710831897,
                  30.284857120625087,
                  14.205613632112453,
                  26.060827822138194,
                  14.11804838932747,
                  14.437510799492975,
                  27.658304754449585,
                  15.680673133877052,
                  18.148391988489045,
                  21.399251153860124,
                  19.94195874886888
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.643013178327948,
                  22.229098862994885,
                  15.280213435650335,
                  15.251072280965328,
                  17.47458537714802,
                  19.48798017350574,
                  15.295357915729673,
                  14.934401467864777,
                  16.8318894635783,
                  22.0056774313757,
                  16.000961939333273,
                  12.762199993685826,
                  13.305541871518209,
                  16.137801595195178,
                  31.937734916162057,
                  12.476267892736892,
                  24.130998931620457,
                  14.667217251821024,
                  14.836312545886626,
                  23.790056339748453,
                  14.751718118060262,
                  15.803845877920272,
                  16.991074400096608,
                  15.581738347733312
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4511140046589128,
              "rpss": 0.003608234234346863,
              "brier_below": 0.22484587410716264,
              "bss_below": 0.005979506104123233,
              "brier_above": 0.22626813043750352,
              "bss_above": 0.0012406343359450123,
              "crps": 19.309725426763134,
              "crpss": -0.05842833711677664,
              "crps_fair": 18.66964881375115,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06783687647910086,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    2.8e-05,
                    0.003719,
                    0.152325,
                    0.702417,
                    0.141511,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0862,
                    0.1658,
                    0.2833,
                    0.3457,
                    0.4261,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    1.0,
                    0.0606,
                    0.2793,
                    0.358,
                    0.3707,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.131938,
                    0.74739,
                    0.118013,
                    0.002659,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2833,
                    0.3464,
                    0.4246,
                    0.5091,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3461,
                    0.3377,
                    0.4098,
                    0.1487,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.49953241901825585,
                  0.5012473137938211,
                  0.4467745289123679,
                  0.4237731984563055,
                  0.41795610927610627,
                  0.4505604234051727,
                  0.4400767558197898,
                  0.4368476033040781,
                  0.4790107073780671,
                  0.448662348538524,
                  0.4359216935833818,
                  0.41399509425784176,
                  0.4025481437326876,
                  0.4145667050482533,
                  0.43973603864292515,
                  0.4127163062792681,
                  0.5216513918424471,
                  0.43281647638903836,
                  0.42239727583692716,
                  0.492095622230382,
                  0.4574177208264259,
                  0.48544023768646843,
                  0.4747775229004561,
                  0.4629393251730714
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4656268773487567,
                  0.47905520254523853,
                  0.44987819562667175,
                  0.4222690397368383,
                  0.473189675792112,
                  0.46370659625075544,
                  0.4533706691746612,
                  0.44043707163708307,
                  0.4658910246954573,
                  0.4835074529423111,
                  0.44476293120584887,
                  0.42294488325801144,
                  0.4035717243423909,
                  0.4341110496580427,
                  0.4840392053398089,
                  0.41705895616907784,
                  0.5102516956651021,
                  0.44254446083186355,
                  0.4407978919737273,
                  0.46885745291344016,
                  0.4562595884170463,
                  0.45934219841451757,
                  0.4469383691099854,
                  0.4493098079235744
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22415036280308648,
                  0.2584856224319538,
                  0.2602090615645588,
                  0.21241765161615986,
                  0.2718555439284146,
                  0.16197862966358437,
                  0.21304581048635352,
                  0.22297744568941347,
                  0.3071699488060204,
                  0.2930856091752519,
                  0.16509601149308328,
                  0.215499339413891,
                  0.20640179680726886,
                  0.18421101639197432,
                  0.11647782753477925,
                  0.18577966780982788,
                  0.3878243661790374,
                  0.16307501420635878,
                  0.17906257247547674,
                  0.2034634619370616,
                  0.2776357615089123,
                  0.17447690672321922,
                  0.21550869913170007,
                  0.2912450007275643
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20639084196205096,
                  0.24828230441497257,
                  0.2605442628100996,
                  0.21079044758429427,
                  0.3079691007315029,
                  0.1701970420969503,
                  0.21556851840134683,
                  0.2221603579843514,
                  0.2986746145123454,
                  0.31773717985625455,
                  0.16972492982842746,
                  0.2191151329533314,
                  0.20714815598586803,
                  0.19476475401412452,
                  0.14137875328774757,
                  0.19387986053487954,
                  0.37971397960807707,
                  0.16798860633846377,
                  0.18789536861046913,
                  0.1944206391015046,
                  0.27728056202918344,
                  0.16316626564473996,
                  0.1984248046321673,
                  0.28086225383117586
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.275382055689448,
                  0.24276169095848243,
                  0.18656546657790718,
                  0.21135554631435743,
                  0.14610056613422892,
                  0.2885817952069231,
                  0.22703094515072383,
                  0.21387015759004738,
                  0.1718407572097891,
                  0.15557673876961453,
                  0.27082568247969435,
                  0.19849575465252062,
                  0.19614634597380914,
                  0.23035568816904325,
                  0.3232582117996273,
                  0.22693663880436904,
                  0.13382702397203777,
                  0.2697414632136324,
                  0.24333470279534714,
                  0.2886321610745624,
                  0.17978195798763164,
                  0.3109633321430626,
                  0.2592688237409939,
                  0.17169432402099802
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2592360353867057,
                  0.23077289813026597,
                  0.18933393281657201,
                  0.21147859215254405,
                  0.165220575060609,
                  0.29350955415380503,
                  0.23780215077331432,
                  0.21827671365273166,
                  0.1672164101831118,
                  0.1657702730860564,
                  0.2750380013774213,
                  0.20382975030467998,
                  0.19642356835652286,
                  0.23934629564391813,
                  0.34266045205206114,
                  0.22317909563419822,
                  0.1305377160570248,
                  0.27455585449339964,
                  0.2529025233632581,
                  0.2744368138119354,
                  0.17897902638786278,
                  0.2961759327697775,
                  0.2485135644778181,
                  0.16844755409239837
                ],
                "crps": [
                  34.954178879954924,
                  34.85030288443952,
                  22.551198654431946,
                  23.797158996711374,
                  22.556272326543827,
                  28.174577357098336,
                  25.542693236968443,
                  23.134234232498898,
                  26.870865167234363,
                  22.075218580310818,
                  22.26606943673343,
                  18.891613659708426,
                  18.07810198409304,
                  19.30972311738335,
                  31.477777899320152,
                  20.028288169911747,
                  40.045671526388126,
                  20.69239013621759,
                  19.811444895224152,
                  32.640300591039235,
                  22.598036320303883,
                  27.198318591245418,
                  30.6567067850046,
                  27.448832250184847
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.829005594094255,
                  30.789517415890057,
                  22.274178691284046,
                  22.400405790699597,
                  24.562013785862174,
                  28.743909674086105,
                  23.41639624632185,
                  22.294597973023507,
                  23.939813933834774,
                  26.00809173405538,
                  23.784893985415945,
                  18.638495127121324,
                  17.665545158908575,
                  21.356757879360448,
                  35.9519633499581,
                  17.515074119812123,
                  37.22123503260143,
                  21.861619454593054,
                  20.60004209571915,
                  27.362334214151744,
                  21.305435294168266,
                  23.9623386515102,
                  25.131651915716713,
                  22.03810998188434
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  34.08873265248489,
                  34.0210933980408,
                  21.803547280024443,
                  22.935933966598867,
                  21.784460460000282,
                  27.259364714137835,
                  24.622151235077613,
                  22.3158880678489,
                  26.025618572571936,
                  21.14857150571757,
                  21.404797683075344,
                  18.055271187090852,
                  17.229281538395142,
                  18.451891458733137,
                  30.79743721643645,
                  19.134497434847987,
                  39.20948628390938,
                  19.80176058561751,
                  18.823925392305398,
                  31.79416956501621,
                  21.694764620248634,
                  26.33103881572314,
                  29.87829777731746,
                  26.631333987393155
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.816842345274544,
                  29.784855136429805,
                  21.25338887636053,
                  21.37985504225225,
                  23.545556991951106,
                  27.7353731375391,
                  22.397769722222264,
                  21.27384683098207,
                  22.922178731113057,
                  24.994373724137105,
                  22.766965373701,
                  17.610819547871735,
                  16.63602687138586,
                  20.334230525020402,
                  34.957078430221465,
                  16.48527084926081,
                  36.22875403650616,
                  20.840048277478832,
                  19.576081567546453,
                  26.351181057415474,
                  20.28281073796233,
                  22.944746109238622,
                  24.116273981900072,
                  21.01687306713241
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4505608734305026,
              "rpss": 0.005907584190546933,
              "brier_below": 0.22463054702103968,
              "bss_below": 0.007903015456678153,
              "brier_above": 0.2259303262678688,
              "bss_above": 0.003915659545682848,
              "crps": 25.652082319956268,
              "crpss": -0.05121894142651651,
              "crps_fair": 24.801804808275538,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06056488497290835,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.143363,
                    0.723071,
                    0.133565,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2865,
                    0.3443,
                    0.4282,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.265,
                    0.353,
                    0.3985,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.141637,
                    0.755426,
                    0.102937,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2828,
                    0.3467,
                    0.4201,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3601,
                    0.3316,
                    0.4489,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.49026357322823694,
                  0.47967425152314874,
                  0.4730052134450958,
                  0.4854798698463826,
                  0.45671487179243825,
                  0.41713415598747466,
                  0.45213683392882303,
                  0.4355803939093467,
                  0.42917505521421945
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4947890992304722,
                  0.4753205974707632,
                  0.4560866594726808,
                  0.47037878645621833,
                  0.47299821491804606,
                  0.4357581018035622,
                  0.4528379078704793,
                  0.43596840945468646,
                  0.4603811312931576
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13999169846629747,
                  0.2207586482562985,
                  0.169596110074018,
                  0.16094212003826805,
                  0.1744676453564664,
                  0.19248996357000278,
                  0.1642426794657905,
                  0.2570983376942599,
                  0.1736574113154002
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14043822061767963,
                  0.21741971507988192,
                  0.16137133777697532,
                  0.15421278761631982,
                  0.1844784913304739,
                  0.20067295850650194,
                  0.1605724275435595,
                  0.2610749478831005,
                  0.18824828684533776
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.350271852841402,
                  0.2589155962902983,
                  0.30340909056726995,
                  0.3245377327682789,
                  0.28224721514374185,
                  0.22464419137183367,
                  0.28789414292446275,
                  0.17848206558763627,
                  0.2555176361037652
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.35435085494429375,
                  0.2579008762312236,
                  0.2947153086203139,
                  0.31616598226162707,
                  0.28851971169071594,
                  0.23508514114649787,
                  0.2922654680223936,
                  0.17489347015413084,
                  0.272132835460955
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.562203750211193,
                  16.941016677957336,
                  29.459795080724735,
                  21.928787977316876,
                  16.73846168952051,
                  14.677214544242911,
                  24.358726627891023,
                  15.346208747519263,
                  15.412273169763465
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.281647851966547,
                  17.15803927516819,
                  25.993136341641158,
                  19.58864279444303,
                  17.83614860391533,
                  15.27535033028718,
                  21.278592720172202,
                  13.65283925983951,
                  17.80733890498982
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.19571769616856,
                  16.635255147468435,
                  29.154082289952832,
                  21.622649588811736,
                  16.441778421030744,
                  14.326971400521385,
                  23.996273583166918,
                  14.98741568413442,
                  15.049491477229546
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  28.553163894312622,
                  16.429555317514268,
                  25.26465238398724,
                  18.860158836789104,
                  17.107664646261412,
                  14.546866372633263,
                  20.55010876251828,
                  12.924355302185589,
                  17.078854947335895
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4576849132083518,
              "rpss": 0.008509935777900823,
              "brier_below": 0.18369384602631128,
              "bss_below": 0.009136744312096767,
              "brier_above": 0.27399105817763214,
              "bss_above": 0.008089253861206402,
              "crps": 20.380520918349703,
              "crpss": -0.031218856379471083,
              "crps_fair": 20.045515032053842,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05308487072404189,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004658,
                    0.182426,
                    0.753075,
                    0.059842,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1702,
                    0.2868,
                    0.3421,
                    0.4183,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0969,
                    0.1598,
                    0.2313,
                    0.3356,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.150052,
                    0.791936,
                    0.058013,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2894,
                    0.3443,
                    0.4141,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.5059,
                    0.4895,
                    0.5448,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4983087994101058,
                  0.4748173344772006,
                  0.5057910230482623,
                  0.4596066372622117,
                  0.44775177142924744,
                  0.4188377538896584,
                  0.4586461767767756,
                  0.4408536837903351,
                  0.4213623664782787
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5102317652431445,
                  0.47433267737964163,
                  0.4783180441293248,
                  0.4525347847419441,
                  0.4603745980834287,
                  0.4422445935566512,
                  0.44415660691947745,
                  0.4338588592002403,
                  0.45616205495422807
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12381697281965383,
                  0.25282156885267054,
                  0.1533645186803986,
                  0.16022510279984994,
                  0.15591482157256942,
                  0.15965510812663353,
                  0.16925670851788874,
                  0.25918863677350784,
                  0.11237427932605862
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.126539540948379,
                  0.2545659968360651,
                  0.13841351661655463,
                  0.1589549412230946,
                  0.16053153657975874,
                  0.16798009656758436,
                  0.15927262223192998,
                  0.25847884644300917,
                  0.1239877850693975
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.37449179933802734,
                  0.22199576492579165,
                  0.35242648309270586,
                  0.29938152162082093,
                  0.2918369369365018,
                  0.2591826386834633,
                  0.28938945598812554,
                  0.18166505665373675,
                  0.3089880695372849
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.38369219542168237,
                  0.21976668098266122,
                  0.33990450646953646,
                  0.2935798307591138,
                  0.29984304762398367,
                  0.27426448768318373,
                  0.28488397348275224,
                  0.17538002113326967,
                  0.3321742502238743
                ],
                "crps": [
                  40.169758743596354,
                  21.751871037400853,
                  45.39096900369789,
                  26.99984838873261,
                  21.595054933485542,
                  19.634588631841336,
                  32.67560152674241,
                  21.657803677017533,
                  21.17807406270245
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.92534574035464,
                  22.089318991170305,
                  40.08494619654123,
                  23.890249665507238,
                  23.177153551992927,
                  21.71108717495611,
                  28.004720878699523,
                  19.009192462863844,
                  25.3617561381083
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.7023480454462,
                  21.335508572597004,
                  44.99646560173787,
                  26.585135037480995,
                  21.197194629064544,
                  19.157929168778182,
                  32.22077603596913,
                  21.180736739893558,
                  20.692160676007028
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.950951294224595,
                  21.114924545040267,
                  39.11055175041119,
                  22.915855219377203,
                  22.202759105862885,
                  20.736692728826064,
                  27.03032643256948,
                  18.034798016733802,
                  24.38736169197826
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4584417273957862,
              "rpss": 0.006319143894268686,
              "brier_below": 0.17184641305213677,
              "bss_below": 0.0013605806107532814,
              "brier_above": 0.28659530297516206,
              "bss_above": 0.009268818520550837,
              "crps": 27.894841111690777,
              "crpss": -0.02364815507667739,
              "crps_fair": 27.452028278552724,
              "crpss_fair": -0.044755771386422394,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.170233,
                    0.803004,
                    0.026762,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.29,
                    0.3399,
                    0.4098,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1352,
                    0.1952,
                    0.1189,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.142173,
                    0.808813,
                    0.049014,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2902,
                    0.3449,
                    0.41,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.5386,
                    0.5296,
                    0.6032,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sqrt_mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7079125172143456,
            "training": [
              0.6669297341634296,
              0.7021551733253727,
              0.7126768961903567,
              0.7058827376537333,
              0.77691127292763,
              0.7168377434160931,
              0.7309973501852247,
              0.7049062273157377,
              0.703054931174451,
              0.6850946797351339,
              0.7504495212400448,
              0.6870837296667442,
              0.7051073669193896,
              0.7262509496491305,
              0.716276887774697,
              0.7187586335152963,
              0.7155861621490607,
              0.7127945074462538,
              0.7007484497546548,
              0.6843449923283145,
              0.7059000635567964,
              0.6881440540822368,
              0.6472374925299813,
              0.725770856444532
            ],
            "test": 0.7394815340239453
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4897220443813244,
                  0.4797394620684725,
                  0.45353345827419483,
                  0.4409380383262779,
                  0.4162523119343058,
                  0.46582781219919234,
                  0.43538377933236894,
                  0.43129815554195833,
                  0.44750333162596856,
                  0.4888439144482592,
                  0.4413461557447025,
                  0.41684091978099397,
                  0.43310517863415426,
                  0.42749074994175634,
                  0.45668452936406584,
                  0.4209555404840268,
                  0.4666734118908691,
                  0.4180330252224017,
                  0.4175906214911355,
                  0.4981917124329319,
                  0.45969147795310517,
                  0.4726001346905718,
                  0.4927392367577278,
                  0.46342253630637414
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.44828178439893784,
                  0.4780636046945905,
                  0.45403117539434756,
                  0.4408998664630428,
                  0.4626710009670124,
                  0.4675652855175825,
                  0.45088178363034326,
                  0.4339622485969375,
                  0.4457739713411614,
                  0.48115608104505214,
                  0.46731020302909526,
                  0.40902067319593455,
                  0.4238503280124456,
                  0.44888898670135347,
                  0.4836531086639868,
                  0.4215019666820851,
                  0.47209090525934455,
                  0.42365664384275686,
                  0.43223368035833454,
                  0.4869745630233523,
                  0.45947832667944477,
                  0.45033952255554077,
                  0.45381281595427836,
                  0.4698444532531743
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25783666291564206,
                  0.22318597251865194,
                  0.2618901900366606,
                  0.2319855018666014,
                  0.23264225170057132,
                  0.22247058393050875,
                  0.2410962529302132,
                  0.23673604679513294,
                  0.23423989065301865,
                  0.24023891537980802,
                  0.23775702525814915,
                  0.20473400936507827,
                  0.21175456785581556,
                  0.17037616516384976,
                  0.12210545235325866,
                  0.20237327692334284,
                  0.2904874691356942,
                  0.17442059207064325,
                  0.17309860552434184,
                  0.19163076527104003,
                  0.2546469027317182,
                  0.21543240360543198,
                  0.24917218457508095,
                  0.31725810871539106
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24364607658776927,
                  0.2167833637959483,
                  0.26200244695541064,
                  0.2335398229822821,
                  0.2599592835854335,
                  0.22410814370662485,
                  0.24638536370420897,
                  0.23420103701671963,
                  0.23335651499978938,
                  0.23810578482707784,
                  0.25468721411875095,
                  0.19406452747606567,
                  0.20425741444224962,
                  0.17808060941226778,
                  0.14096115009371765,
                  0.20696214106709115,
                  0.29480390564951164,
                  0.17663004534290416,
                  0.18425554277680625,
                  0.18520467260263995,
                  0.25555913109943895,
                  0.207082427269816,
                  0.23258804671993344,
                  0.32153762962536103
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23188538140144677,
                  0.2565534887669161,
                  0.19164326760623215,
                  0.20895253607960623,
                  0.1836100606909576,
                  0.24335722901326465,
                  0.19428752599876814,
                  0.19456210820141692,
                  0.21326344061311653,
                  0.24860499867482735,
                  0.20358913052431024,
                  0.21210691006078727,
                  0.22135060973695186,
                  0.25711458466253284,
                  0.3345790780417333,
                  0.2185822633214173,
                  0.17618594172955876,
                  0.24361243312321784,
                  0.24449201597963383,
                  0.30656094872894196,
                  0.2050445744249276,
                  0.25716773048658575,
                  0.24356705262796413,
                  0.14616442749728153
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.20463570781908508,
                  0.2612802408995609,
                  0.1920287284468534,
                  0.20736004348867731,
                  0.20271171736051702,
                  0.2434571418390764,
                  0.20449641993405068,
                  0.19976121159863708,
                  0.21241745636061743,
                  0.24305029625298225,
                  0.21262298892876352,
                  0.2149561457217039,
                  0.2195929135561274,
                  0.27080837732842866,
                  0.3426919585851556,
                  0.21453982563780633,
                  0.17728699964486266,
                  0.24702659841398025,
                  0.24797813761256063,
                  0.30176989039964386,
                  0.20391919556164534,
                  0.24325709524448394,
                  0.22122476926537735,
                  0.14830682364623232
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.944933309044096,
                  26.291061713648688,
                  16.123254627828516,
                  16.9770923016434,
                  16.620676282108303,
                  20.735095527335535,
                  17.27808754504019,
                  16.231537683561083,
                  18.972039424701748,
                  22.304541233383784,
                  14.977066935503565,
                  14.209854633844861,
                  14.702791577541873,
                  15.402321944848712,
                  30.615194584561355,
                  14.919772184054771,
                  26.609759078720348,
                  14.853818456032432,
                  15.150117804725646,
                  27.914369309732855,
                  16.36632659727849,
                  18.8931312739687,
                  22.065330610571664,
                  20.672282339042123
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.40286903169342,
                  22.980285367240008,
                  16.04453582917209,
                  16.01544976173602,
                  18.23475961955163,
                  20.24434837659676,
                  16.05965168074466,
                  15.699377570210324,
                  17.593278632094517,
                  22.75728628237246,
                  16.76392185931309,
                  13.531282337003354,
                  14.073597103535487,
                  16.90050283907696,
                  32.670568611232945,
                  13.245890750422944,
                  24.87859016163376,
                  15.432698428298984,
                  15.601474071525136,
                  24.538292073716153,
                  15.517039557550994,
                  16.567178418053995,
                  17.75216265190863,
                  16.345490750873054
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.269945342613806,
                  25.645464542836766,
                  15.546347720433078,
                  16.338983866062318,
                  16.030793853067628,
                  20.03538365226195,
                  16.576327044925495,
                  15.621796062663675,
                  18.34026043475524,
                  21.644819348156517,
                  14.329524149128138,
                  13.607711148298682,
                  14.034217160815617,
                  14.749469649269175,
                  30.106018962905097,
                  14.255617140118828,
                  25.968533849750674,
                  14.173793880013138,
                  14.40448316637062,
                  27.276043087555998,
                  15.653455440381785,
                  18.21825085104605,
                  21.448102174719576,
                  20.07070095677875
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.643013178327948,
                  22.229098862994885,
                  15.280213435650335,
                  15.251072280965328,
                  17.47458537714802,
                  19.48798017350574,
                  15.295357915729673,
                  14.934401467864777,
                  16.8318894635783,
                  22.0056774313757,
                  16.000961939333273,
                  12.762199993685826,
                  13.305541871518209,
                  16.137801595195178,
                  31.937734916162057,
                  12.476267892736892,
                  24.130998931620457,
                  14.667217251821024,
                  14.836312545886626,
                  23.790056339748453,
                  14.751718118060262,
                  15.803845877920272,
                  16.991074400096608,
                  15.581738347733312
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45143364745113085,
              "rpss": 0.002902227675332658,
              "brier_below": 0.22489874155315184,
              "bss_below": 0.005745784560501899,
              "brier_above": 0.22653490574968319,
              "bss_above": 6.307415081330259e-05,
              "crps": 19.284602374113447,
              "crpss": -0.0570512615627945,
              "crps_fair": 18.63941847853869,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06610780985068043,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    5.6e-05,
                    0.003776,
                    0.163476,
                    0.68634,
                    0.146101,
                    0.00025,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0869,
                    0.1648,
                    0.2833,
                    0.3463,
                    0.4283,
                    0.5022,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.5007,
                    0.0522,
                    0.277,
                    0.3586,
                    0.376,
                    0.5538,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.130688,
                    0.728839,
                    0.136315,
                    0.004158,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2822,
                    0.3484,
                    0.4283,
                    0.5162,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3415,
                    0.3383,
                    0.4042,
                    0.1291,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5023581700742396,
                  0.5037573590394276,
                  0.4468190910319641,
                  0.4238269181741979,
                  0.4165364355536851,
                  0.4499656148969154,
                  0.4394147852267824,
                  0.4377448565225758,
                  0.47983917808761706,
                  0.4475383627747407,
                  0.4356683055933568,
                  0.4140736474853789,
                  0.40348200339161006,
                  0.414743124597998,
                  0.4373237380472553,
                  0.41272152460615336,
                  0.5231286367200639,
                  0.43300200651889154,
                  0.42203384491176044,
                  0.49213062092350024,
                  0.45735212082365084,
                  0.48699810163090673,
                  0.4751603621030698,
                  0.4651351111580252
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4656268773487567,
                  0.47905520254523853,
                  0.44987819562667175,
                  0.4222690397368383,
                  0.473189675792112,
                  0.46370659625075544,
                  0.4533706691746612,
                  0.44043707163708307,
                  0.4658910246954573,
                  0.4835074529423111,
                  0.44476293120584887,
                  0.42294488325801144,
                  0.4035717243423909,
                  0.4341110496580427,
                  0.4840392053398089,
                  0.41705895616907784,
                  0.5102516956651021,
                  0.44254446083186355,
                  0.4407978919737273,
                  0.46885745291344016,
                  0.4562595884170463,
                  0.45934219841451757,
                  0.4469383691099854,
                  0.4493098079235744
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22568650526371395,
                  0.2601278391094578,
                  0.26040348230189264,
                  0.2120373485989067,
                  0.27083971825577335,
                  0.16209417108017493,
                  0.21301634824549748,
                  0.22426582658308236,
                  0.30782899256507024,
                  0.2926577138071681,
                  0.1654535658596122,
                  0.21498712811502957,
                  0.20672170149896663,
                  0.1844738710226132,
                  0.11572551814926292,
                  0.18578725280710456,
                  0.38833172953386474,
                  0.16325561776928574,
                  0.17822705012743,
                  0.202162263830229,
                  0.27735514024483654,
                  0.17534123279450792,
                  0.21529609439640687,
                  0.29266741964007004
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20639084196205096,
                  0.24828230441497257,
                  0.2605442628100996,
                  0.21079044758429427,
                  0.3079691007315029,
                  0.1701970420969503,
                  0.21556851840134683,
                  0.2221603579843514,
                  0.2986746145123454,
                  0.31773717985625455,
                  0.16972492982842746,
                  0.2191151329533314,
                  0.20714815598586803,
                  0.19476475401412452,
                  0.14137875328774757,
                  0.19387986053487954,
                  0.37971397960807707,
                  0.16798860633846377,
                  0.18789536861046913,
                  0.1944206391015046,
                  0.27728056202918344,
                  0.16316626564473996,
                  0.1984248046321673,
                  0.28086225383117586
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2766716641918711,
                  0.24362951946183758,
                  0.1864156080247967,
                  0.21178956907908916,
                  0.14569671814218016,
                  0.2878714453183562,
                  0.2263984368500961,
                  0.21347902975328725,
                  0.17201018399127183,
                  0.1548806484943856,
                  0.2702147401551258,
                  0.1990865191579354,
                  0.19676030092026175,
                  0.23026925315130328,
                  0.3215982206051461,
                  0.22693427216353904,
                  0.13479690539198638,
                  0.2697463898319054,
                  0.2438067941552178,
                  0.2899683578409617,
                  0.17999697911359322,
                  0.31165686976622675,
                  0.2598642675745661,
                  0.17246769094766298
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2592360353867057,
                  0.23077289813026597,
                  0.18933393281657201,
                  0.21147859215254405,
                  0.165220575060609,
                  0.29350955415380503,
                  0.23780215077331432,
                  0.21827671365273166,
                  0.1672164101831118,
                  0.1657702730860564,
                  0.2750380013774213,
                  0.20382975030467998,
                  0.19642356835652286,
                  0.23934629564391813,
                  0.34266045205206114,
                  0.22317909563419822,
                  0.1305377160570248,
                  0.27455585449339964,
                  0.2529025233632581,
                  0.2744368138119354,
                  0.17897902638786278,
                  0.2961759327697775,
                  0.2485135644778181,
                  0.16844755409239837
                ],
                "crps": [
                  35.017215610162864,
                  35.10291563494966,
                  22.47051142811098,
                  23.7946633988326,
                  22.329263014269273,
                  28.000199703748027,
                  25.557511989519206,
                  23.1644181931644,
                  26.864086362350644,
                  22.142904933588863,
                  22.28125528897402,
                  18.79132402536099,
                  18.13443911235341,
                  19.43499201558809,
                  31.409535659557662,
                  20.00634562637669,
                  39.97678705204659,
                  20.70503128822965,
                  19.786573839952098,
                  32.44676813329689,
                  22.558108245891653,
                  27.170062498076277,
                  30.653285056389617,
                  27.5208985418771
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.829005594094255,
                  30.789517415890057,
                  22.274178691284046,
                  22.400405790699597,
                  24.562013785862174,
                  28.743909674086105,
                  23.41639624632185,
                  22.294597973023507,
                  23.939813933834774,
                  26.00809173405538,
                  23.784893985415945,
                  18.638495127121324,
                  17.665545158908575,
                  21.356757879360448,
                  35.9519633499581,
                  17.515074119812123,
                  37.22123503260143,
                  21.861619454593054,
                  20.60004209571915,
                  27.362334214151744,
                  21.305435294168266,
                  23.9623386515102,
                  25.131651915716713,
                  22.03810998188434
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  34.15171721271633,
                  34.27693340147109,
                  21.719278060780283,
                  22.929055732366763,
                  21.562947000451658,
                  27.08440871542562,
                  24.63724832111622,
                  22.343588369245857,
                  26.017343169132804,
                  21.21662206318674,
                  21.417199235631326,
                  17.95253302521179,
                  17.279386169770337,
                  18.575260232087505,
                  30.72532562289047,
                  19.107585442621524,
                  39.14403371432753,
                  19.81171896111953,
                  18.802938091196797,
                  31.606904160867263,
                  21.65431963843832,
                  26.303985802946542,
                  29.87169199056975,
                  26.700910764059795
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.816842345274544,
                  29.784855136429805,
                  21.25338887636053,
                  21.37985504225225,
                  23.545556991951106,
                  27.7353731375391,
                  22.397769722222264,
                  21.27384683098207,
                  22.922178731113057,
                  24.994373724137105,
                  22.766965373701,
                  17.610819547871735,
                  16.63602687138586,
                  20.334230525020402,
                  34.957078430221465,
                  16.48527084926081,
                  36.22875403650616,
                  20.840048277478832,
                  19.576081567546453,
                  26.351181057415474,
                  20.28281073796233,
                  22.944746109238622,
                  24.116273981900072,
                  21.01687306713241
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45086474666224025,
              "rpss": 0.00523713521716429,
              "brier_below": 0.22478098048333153,
              "bss_below": 0.007238615239105961,
              "brier_above": 0.22608376600344182,
              "bss_above": 0.0032391725935658755,
              "crps": 25.638295693861135,
              "crpss": -0.0506539673121813,
              "crps_fair": 24.787205620734664,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05994060033819415,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.168952,
                    0.681157,
                    0.149692,
                    0.0002,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2855,
                    0.3447,
                    0.4295,
                    0.5022,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2644,
                    0.3561,
                    0.3946,
                    0.4982,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.152939,
                    0.739282,
                    0.107779,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2818,
                    0.3477,
                    0.4233,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3558,
                    0.3326,
                    0.4402,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48902592628659347,
                  0.47783974312014676,
                  0.47451274281626776,
                  0.4840554633927457,
                  0.45598369924892246,
                  0.41843709519646044,
                  0.45155518325481164,
                  0.437290028770589,
                  0.42965441817764954
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4947890992304722,
                  0.4753205974707632,
                  0.4560866594726808,
                  0.47037878645621833,
                  0.47299821491804606,
                  0.4357581018035622,
                  0.4528379078704793,
                  0.43596840945468646,
                  0.4603811312931576
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.14069745631322672,
                  0.2215743177713831,
                  0.17052843995437855,
                  0.1605919418119649,
                  0.17468904012310418,
                  0.19332000189676832,
                  0.16430744252920915,
                  0.2570230913163052,
                  0.17417578377269258
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14043822061767963,
                  0.21741971507988192,
                  0.16137133777697532,
                  0.15421278761631982,
                  0.1844784913304739,
                  0.20067295850650194,
                  0.1605724275435595,
                  0.2610749478831005,
                  0.18824828684533776
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.34832844828906895,
                  0.2562654184840668,
                  0.3039842902363558,
                  0.3234635046035509,
                  0.2812946481564697,
                  0.2251170925127022,
                  0.28724772925556574,
                  0.18026694699165532,
                  0.25547862690344
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.35435085494429375,
                  0.2579008762312236,
                  0.2947153086203139,
                  0.31616598226162707,
                  0.28851971169071594,
                  0.23508514114649787,
                  0.2922654680223936,
                  0.17489347015413084,
                  0.272132835460955
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.494787466020792,
                  16.9052586283016,
                  29.557751763978647,
                  21.86586465518673,
                  16.63161492672621,
                  14.796106834296657,
                  24.321503827157237,
                  15.348215227014789,
                  15.474773155733361
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.281647851966547,
                  17.15803927516819,
                  25.993136341641158,
                  19.58864279444303,
                  17.83614860391533,
                  15.27535033028718,
                  21.278592720172202,
                  13.65283925983951,
                  17.80733890498982
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.128855369913687,
                  16.596338967373633,
                  29.25141693138391,
                  21.555780959367404,
                  16.33086474348878,
                  14.442289870870084,
                  23.962719433193634,
                  14.987716780035296,
                  15.108786813335122
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  28.553163894312622,
                  16.429555317514268,
                  25.26465238398724,
                  18.860158836789104,
                  17.107664646261412,
                  14.546866372633263,
                  20.55010876251828,
                  12.924355302185589,
                  17.078854947335895
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45759492225157633,
              "rpss": 0.008704884610466146,
              "brier_below": 0.18410083505433697,
              "bss_below": 0.006941404173804733,
              "brier_above": 0.2734940783814306,
              "bss_above": 0.009888435205827606,
              "crps": 20.37731960937956,
              "crpss": -0.031056875722139887,
              "crps_fair": 20.04052998544017,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05282298285733855,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.003982,
                    0.181502,
                    0.758605,
                    0.05591,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.164,
                    0.2862,
                    0.3425,
                    0.4181,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0756,
                    0.1593,
                    0.2353,
                    0.2886,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.124656,
                    0.812805,
                    0.062539,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2885,
                    0.3462,
                    0.4186,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.5265,
                    0.4885,
                    0.5199,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4974316351028131,
                  0.47476832196851326,
                  0.5067707811452689,
                  0.4592465824672952,
                  0.4468460509133991,
                  0.4182538059995947,
                  0.45922409099548644,
                  0.4410362825697748,
                  0.4200533471962951
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5102317652431445,
                  0.47433267737964163,
                  0.4783180441293248,
                  0.4525347847419441,
                  0.4603745980834287,
                  0.4422445935566512,
                  0.44415660691947745,
                  0.4338588592002403,
                  0.45616205495422807
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12384936787206739,
                  0.2535060651119502,
                  0.15408620251327393,
                  0.1596458926823635,
                  0.15581268640144585,
                  0.15961590688860597,
                  0.1693516648995575,
                  0.258554108199358,
                  0.11221336916352338
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.126539540948379,
                  0.2545659968360651,
                  0.13841351661655463,
                  0.1589549412230946,
                  0.16053153657975874,
                  0.16798009656758436,
                  0.15927262223192998,
                  0.25847884644300917,
                  0.1239877850693975
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3735822399806566,
                  0.22126225593861862,
                  0.35268455739965854,
                  0.2996006770501645,
                  0.29103335167736966,
                  0.25863789208414334,
                  0.28987241370101957,
                  0.18248218414532383,
                  0.3078399605509147
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.38369219542168237,
                  0.21976668098266122,
                  0.33990450646953646,
                  0.2935798307591138,
                  0.29984304762398367,
                  0.27426448768318373,
                  0.28488397348275224,
                  0.17538002113326967,
                  0.3321742502238743
                ],
                "crps": [
                  40.16384989542524,
                  21.734043833280026,
                  45.409742763983026,
                  27.014771296992585,
                  21.577506584929694,
                  19.691315183405848,
                  32.67567296887998,
                  21.645761938106276,
                  21.195118111809535
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.92534574035464,
                  22.089318991170305,
                  40.08494619654123,
                  23.890249665507238,
                  23.177153551992927,
                  21.71108717495611,
                  28.004720878699523,
                  19.009192462863844,
                  25.3617561381083
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.69723719503046,
                  21.31780385499468,
                  45.01491080544077,
                  26.599672287479347,
                  21.178166646648023,
                  19.21445746270983,
                  32.222779823229345,
                  21.168289336889043,
                  20.709032284084635
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.950951294224595,
                  21.114924545040267,
                  39.11055175041119,
                  22.915855219377203,
                  22.202759105862885,
                  20.736692728826064,
                  27.03032643256948,
                  18.034798016733802,
                  24.38736169197826
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4581812109287156,
              "rpss": 0.006883818116876772,
              "brier_below": 0.17184836263690506,
              "bss_below": 0.0013492511208530455,
              "brier_above": 0.2863328369475411,
              "bss_above": 0.010176137220277326,
              "crps": 27.90086473075691,
              "crpss": -0.02386920191896791,
              "crps_fair": 27.45803885516735,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0449845189508562,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.172263,
                    0.798068,
                    0.029669,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.288,
                    0.3404,
                    0.4126,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1382,
                    0.1949,
                    0.1205,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.132228,
                    0.819556,
                    0.048216,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2892,
                    0.3453,
                    0.4136,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.536,
                    0.5309,
                    0.5912,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "pt": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7108886385487856,
            "training": [
              0.6717795754286383,
              0.705559248559288,
              0.7147355730022938,
              0.7101455413834569,
              0.7788922902241532,
              0.7214046596464103,
              0.7350319199256219,
              0.7086142205906166,
              0.7050051399449818,
              0.6854320601086988,
              0.7535903399748285,
              0.6890532569628769,
              0.7092603488690897,
              0.7281518510839615,
              0.717720887859755,
              0.7216761688895709,
              0.718901793559556,
              0.7169650946331277,
              0.702356259322735,
              0.6823937926195839,
              0.7086599068819531,
              0.6935939892300109,
              0.6515435783263568,
              0.7308598281432901
            ],
            "test": 0.7405714756750774
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4900176047456976,
                  0.47776187465567344,
                  0.45342647934408625,
                  0.4410625262996604,
                  0.41810146617900756,
                  0.4648580045758033,
                  0.4354144920676328,
                  0.4291659832218358,
                  0.44519930046120093,
                  0.4867698268054005,
                  0.4416261998634056,
                  0.4164922280489841,
                  0.43217168543658896,
                  0.4268647887058794,
                  0.4547081660176938,
                  0.42164036000870136,
                  0.46890610833232504,
                  0.4195783886145845,
                  0.41908754920442787,
                  0.4992353924649273,
                  0.46047362394595115,
                  0.47143809088766897,
                  0.49310524424905433,
                  0.4651347887096247
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.44828178439893784,
                  0.4780636046945905,
                  0.45403117539434756,
                  0.4408998664630428,
                  0.4626710009670124,
                  0.4675652855175825,
                  0.45088178363034326,
                  0.4339622485969375,
                  0.4457739713411614,
                  0.48115608104505214,
                  0.46731020302909526,
                  0.40902067319593455,
                  0.4238503280124456,
                  0.44888898670135347,
                  0.4836531086639868,
                  0.4215019666820851,
                  0.47209090525934455,
                  0.42365664384275686,
                  0.43223368035833454,
                  0.4869745630233523,
                  0.45947832667944477,
                  0.45033952255554077,
                  0.45381281595427836,
                  0.4698444532531743
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25774109287168573,
                  0.22170346081155426,
                  0.2615524782548979,
                  0.23241047628330957,
                  0.23429476318709846,
                  0.2214015392277396,
                  0.24094904114753626,
                  0.234600776468773,
                  0.23378635543860818,
                  0.23895516765987784,
                  0.23745496256286805,
                  0.20530575713928592,
                  0.21136945938347163,
                  0.170630225428511,
                  0.1221812615437062,
                  0.20268439320903664,
                  0.2923541826709486,
                  0.17478673506812262,
                  0.17433365479399246,
                  0.19382933697682636,
                  0.2549769346104637,
                  0.21401813625916885,
                  0.24963321947816364,
                  0.3180186782002702
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24364607658776927,
                  0.2167833637959483,
                  0.26200244695541064,
                  0.2335398229822821,
                  0.2599592835854335,
                  0.22410814370662485,
                  0.24638536370420897,
                  0.23420103701671963,
                  0.23335651499978938,
                  0.23810578482707784,
                  0.25468721411875095,
                  0.19406452747606567,
                  0.20425741444224962,
                  0.17808060941226778,
                  0.14096115009371765,
                  0.20696214106709115,
                  0.29480390564951164,
                  0.17663004534290416,
                  0.18425554277680625,
                  0.18520467260263995,
                  0.25555913109943895,
                  0.207082427269816,
                  0.23258804671993344,
                  0.32153762962536103
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23227651177902778,
                  0.2560584131001948,
                  0.19187400041295943,
                  0.20865204955499275,
                  0.18380670337621444,
                  0.24345646594329748,
                  0.19446545037330393,
                  0.1945652062871518,
                  0.21141294444163622,
                  0.2478146588714277,
                  0.20417123730720443,
                  0.21118647046673222,
                  0.22080222525536525,
                  0.25623456307813497,
                  0.3325269055780105,
                  0.21895596663623432,
                  0.17655192463502495,
                  0.24479165339649364,
                  0.2447538945903802,
                  0.3054060566274452,
                  0.20549668855244752,
                  0.25741995439761556,
                  0.24347202522770897,
                  0.1471161103875744
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.20463570781908508,
                  0.2612802408995609,
                  0.1920287284468534,
                  0.20736004348867731,
                  0.20271171736051702,
                  0.2434571418390764,
                  0.20449641993405068,
                  0.19976121159863708,
                  0.21241745636061743,
                  0.24305029625298225,
                  0.21262298892876352,
                  0.2149561457217039,
                  0.2195929135561274,
                  0.27080837732842866,
                  0.3426919585851556,
                  0.21453982563780633,
                  0.17728699964486266,
                  0.24702659841398025,
                  0.24797813761256063,
                  0.30176989039964386,
                  0.20391919556164534,
                  0.24325709524448394,
                  0.22122476926537735,
                  0.14830682364623232
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.008675140382422,
                  26.301230871623368,
                  16.175726354333957,
                  16.95077813048936,
                  16.757845604188958,
                  20.89302028364074,
                  17.278095330847577,
                  16.27897397029981,
                  18.90195154989174,
                  22.20609416883381,
                  14.938396364020614,
                  14.33772932033078,
                  14.831442678479382,
                  15.462725508643635,
                  30.358868245851024,
                  14.969095677887267,
                  26.770190786065694,
                  14.885875866547092,
                  15.222722548607072,
                  28.21213070518904,
                  16.38201494795962,
                  18.869132538026037,
                  22.11388405120865,
                  20.843193418943752
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.40286903169342,
                  22.980285367240008,
                  16.04453582917209,
                  16.01544976173602,
                  18.23475961955163,
                  20.24434837659676,
                  16.05965168074466,
                  15.699377570210324,
                  17.593278632094517,
                  22.75728628237246,
                  16.76392185931309,
                  13.531282337003354,
                  14.073597103535487,
                  16.90050283907696,
                  32.670568611232945,
                  13.245890750422944,
                  24.87859016163376,
                  15.432698428298984,
                  15.601474071525136,
                  24.538292073716153,
                  15.517039557550994,
                  16.567178418053995,
                  17.75216265190863,
                  16.345490750873054
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.325577769401583,
                  25.65239837745481,
                  15.594082847338024,
                  16.30654224194455,
                  16.15762860686039,
                  20.197202749078315,
                  16.581480364523287,
                  15.663905795918163,
                  18.268110543301074,
                  21.537312629714716,
                  14.283874499678907,
                  13.726847421985742,
                  14.156876847169958,
                  14.80581982527533,
                  29.848946410039357,
                  14.301907972289428,
                  26.124631415710795,
                  14.199799060759945,
                  14.48402543304302,
                  27.572016830756084,
                  15.66718946388817,
                  18.184511627101276,
                  21.490467801585936,
                  20.238627888481318
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.643013178327948,
                  22.229098862994885,
                  15.280213435650335,
                  15.251072280965328,
                  17.47458537714802,
                  19.48798017350574,
                  15.295357915729673,
                  14.934401467864777,
                  16.8318894635783,
                  22.0056774313757,
                  16.000961939333273,
                  12.762199993685826,
                  13.305541871518209,
                  16.137801595195178,
                  31.937734916162057,
                  12.476267892736892,
                  24.130998931620457,
                  14.667217251821024,
                  14.836312545886626,
                  23.790056339748453,
                  14.751718118060262,
                  15.803845877920272,
                  16.991074400096608,
                  15.581738347733312
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45134334053524233,
              "rpss": 0.0031016918162232177,
              "brier_below": 0.22495717036149654,
              "bss_below": 0.005487476805649094,
              "brier_above": 0.22638617001152408,
              "bss_above": 0.0007196014806150064,
              "crps": 19.331241419262142,
              "crpss": -0.05960769806877542,
              "crps_fair": 18.68207435097084,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06854757259264943,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    5.6e-05,
                    0.003635,
                    0.163453,
                    0.692412,
                    0.14033,
                    0.000114,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0934,
                    0.1653,
                    0.2839,
                    0.3456,
                    0.4268,
                    0.5037,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.5007,
                    0.0465,
                    0.2762,
                    0.3584,
                    0.3792,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.120663,
                    0.731702,
                    0.143817,
                    0.003818,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2821,
                    0.3489,
                    0.4283,
                    0.5145,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3478,
                    0.3355,
                    0.409,
                    0.1554,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5017127305112274,
                  0.5031355757997437,
                  0.44653884655783815,
                  0.42391230431528937,
                  0.41777508244005646,
                  0.4489701547413648,
                  0.4386662784830943,
                  0.43727910633301426,
                  0.4792826265694711,
                  0.4459662937845974,
                  0.4347727406210159,
                  0.41536744815232146,
                  0.40407420339783584,
                  0.41458474068624657,
                  0.4363273554674237,
                  0.4124945884515697,
                  0.5251324643325519,
                  0.4324551905819711,
                  0.4235337301445779,
                  0.49583509055647457,
                  0.4578455382483396,
                  0.4851414886340414,
                  0.47529237354977816,
                  0.46476514445763
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4656268773487567,
                  0.47905520254523853,
                  0.44987819562667175,
                  0.4222690397368383,
                  0.473189675792112,
                  0.46370659625075544,
                  0.4533706691746612,
                  0.44043707163708307,
                  0.4658910246954573,
                  0.4835074529423111,
                  0.44476293120584887,
                  0.42294488325801144,
                  0.4035717243423909,
                  0.4341110496580427,
                  0.4840392053398089,
                  0.41705895616907784,
                  0.5102516956651021,
                  0.44254446083186355,
                  0.4407978919737273,
                  0.46885745291344016,
                  0.4562595884170463,
                  0.45934219841451757,
                  0.4469383691099854,
                  0.4493098079235744
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22538460699829094,
                  0.2592434058342654,
                  0.2602199114827249,
                  0.21231014280570137,
                  0.2717775655934529,
                  0.1612495266101527,
                  0.2126766187561037,
                  0.22367306806621667,
                  0.3073693959851954,
                  0.2910941609084714,
                  0.1650405058178526,
                  0.2163623800797679,
                  0.20723329462704956,
                  0.18425408585083256,
                  0.11516436097022728,
                  0.18548280713396545,
                  0.3895252745319669,
                  0.16281256178707718,
                  0.17944923587621758,
                  0.20561744469270762,
                  0.27775896621512125,
                  0.17411115653285583,
                  0.21564767340536498,
                  0.292404314052283
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20639084196205096,
                  0.24828230441497257,
                  0.2605442628100996,
                  0.21079044758429427,
                  0.3079691007315029,
                  0.1701970420969503,
                  0.21556851840134683,
                  0.2221603579843514,
                  0.2986746145123454,
                  0.31773717985625455,
                  0.16972492982842746,
                  0.2191151329533314,
                  0.20714815598586803,
                  0.19476475401412452,
                  0.14137875328774757,
                  0.19387986053487954,
                  0.37971397960807707,
                  0.16798860633846377,
                  0.18789536861046913,
                  0.1944206391015046,
                  0.27728056202918344,
                  0.16316626564473996,
                  0.1984248046321673,
                  0.28086225383117586
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.27632812311693566,
                  0.24389216960852383,
                  0.18631893416455633,
                  0.21160216097398674,
                  0.14599751758495647,
                  0.2877206295177716,
                  0.2259896595640706,
                  0.21360603803682143,
                  0.17191322910984683,
                  0.1548721324570439,
                  0.26973223525195245,
                  0.19900506765073622,
                  0.19684090787028707,
                  0.2303306543550045,
                  0.3211629953089428,
                  0.22701178171707578,
                  0.13560718794130625,
                  0.26964262979076764,
                  0.2440844938152544,
                  0.2902176463177886,
                  0.18008657060766003,
                  0.31103033347536896,
                  0.25964469987989675,
                  0.1723608298459907
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2592360353867057,
                  0.23077289813026597,
                  0.18933393281657201,
                  0.21147859215254405,
                  0.165220575060609,
                  0.29350955415380503,
                  0.23780215077331432,
                  0.21827671365273166,
                  0.1672164101831118,
                  0.1657702730860564,
                  0.2750380013774213,
                  0.20382975030467998,
                  0.19642356835652286,
                  0.23934629564391813,
                  0.34266045205206114,
                  0.22317909563419822,
                  0.1305377160570248,
                  0.27455585449339964,
                  0.2529025233632581,
                  0.2744368138119354,
                  0.17897902638786278,
                  0.2961759327697775,
                  0.2485135644778181,
                  0.16844755409239837
                ],
                "crps": [
                  34.9998508930374,
                  35.021807162079575,
                  22.45788314831115,
                  23.752118696828138,
                  22.488091026656054,
                  28.149827517875394,
                  25.51407961759726,
                  23.152164542610514,
                  26.789859198269664,
                  21.981737956594994,
                  22.19485792230161,
                  18.97765604269269,
                  18.216926068935827,
                  19.467408475569748,
                  31.215590166162706,
                  20.085055664840844,
                  40.10606791576507,
                  20.736598164195748,
                  19.854805089413254,
                  32.71213108931813,
                  22.562967875828615,
                  27.080834177973497,
                  30.648518715056067,
                  27.575635901247463
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.829005594094255,
                  30.789517415890057,
                  22.274178691284046,
                  22.400405790699597,
                  24.562013785862174,
                  28.743909674086105,
                  23.41639624632185,
                  22.294597973023507,
                  23.939813933834774,
                  26.00809173405538,
                  23.784893985415945,
                  18.638495127121324,
                  17.665545158908575,
                  21.356757879360448,
                  35.9519633499581,
                  17.515074119812123,
                  37.22123503260143,
                  21.861619454593054,
                  20.60004209571915,
                  27.362334214151744,
                  21.305435294168266,
                  23.9623386515102,
                  25.131651915716713,
                  22.03810998188434
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  34.12744047373972,
                  34.19010791190613,
                  21.69957500940509,
                  22.88166197932083,
                  21.715209686741815,
                  27.237762944718764,
                  24.59973272722261,
                  22.32807641351281,
                  25.94155040116539,
                  21.04914197210882,
                  21.324993686051926,
                  18.132860010445665,
                  17.355069213509463,
                  18.602145090916423,
                  30.53133348381044,
                  19.18189379664524,
                  39.2662941253899,
                  19.837000221157275,
                  18.875711397114085,
                  31.871987316894213,
                  21.657511086469338,
                  26.203539297259635,
                  29.85701796337503,
                  26.755470865051308
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.816842345274544,
                  29.784855136429805,
                  21.25338887636053,
                  21.37985504225225,
                  23.545556991951106,
                  27.7353731375391,
                  22.397769722222264,
                  21.27384683098207,
                  22.922178731113057,
                  24.994373724137105,
                  22.766965373701,
                  17.610819547871735,
                  16.63602687138586,
                  20.334230525020402,
                  34.957078430221465,
                  16.48527084926081,
                  36.22875403650616,
                  20.840048277478832,
                  19.576081567546453,
                  26.351181057415474,
                  20.28281073796233,
                  22.944746109238622,
                  24.116273981900072,
                  21.01687306713241
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45086921236739474,
              "rpss": 0.005227282334042127,
              "brier_below": 0.22482760269224436,
              "bss_below": 0.0070327048965965755,
              "brier_above": 0.22604160949843943,
              "bss_above": 0.0034250326999749614,
              "crps": 25.655936376215056,
              "crpss": -0.051376880142369075,
              "crps_fair": 24.800961961413833,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06052884349157894,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.166499,
                    0.689544,
                    0.143958,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2861,
                    0.3444,
                    0.4278,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2605,
                    0.3576,
                    0.3925,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.144773,
                    0.747304,
                    0.107923,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2815,
                    0.3476,
                    0.4228,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3699,
                    0.3302,
                    0.4395,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.486970364302517,
                  0.47617070708686965,
                  0.4744141791320325,
                  0.4833858022393565,
                  0.45494225338249017,
                  0.4184195039052345,
                  0.45103429844231946,
                  0.4377368540536156,
                  0.4289818557744676
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4947890992304722,
                  0.4753205974707632,
                  0.4560866594726808,
                  0.47037878645621833,
                  0.47299821491804606,
                  0.4357581018035622,
                  0.4528379078704793,
                  0.43596840945468646,
                  0.4603811312931576
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13971859096152184,
                  0.22020278240057733,
                  0.17002233766679245,
                  0.16104523722950784,
                  0.17462220220623642,
                  0.19266980778063006,
                  0.16398843704803973,
                  0.25718929439398935,
                  0.17351792757813253
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14043822061767963,
                  0.21741971507988192,
                  0.16137133777697532,
                  0.15421278761631982,
                  0.1844784913304739,
                  0.20067295850650194,
                  0.1605724275435595,
                  0.2610749478831005,
                  0.18824828684533776
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.34725175171116446,
                  0.25596791795305496,
                  0.30439182893867645,
                  0.3223405481662972,
                  0.28032004009910516,
                  0.2257496952148633,
                  0.28704585022604406,
                  0.18054756930891866,
                  0.25546392065006396
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.35435085494429375,
                  0.2579008762312236,
                  0.2947153086203139,
                  0.31616598226162707,
                  0.28851971169071594,
                  0.23508514114649787,
                  0.2922654680223936,
                  0.17489347015413084,
                  0.272132835460955
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.33715871581255,
                  16.79475543393904,
                  29.486161770717644,
                  21.831826171331965,
                  16.531307943733093,
                  14.76633453963503,
                  24.276735128660732,
                  15.472889123845148,
                  15.49580746262955
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.281647851966547,
                  17.15803927516819,
                  25.993136341641158,
                  19.58864279444303,
                  17.83614860391533,
                  15.27535033028718,
                  21.278592720172202,
                  13.65283925983951,
                  17.80733890498982
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  27.969374470061062,
                  16.48140453616139,
                  29.177550306975313,
                  21.522176796464347,
                  16.227418630392393,
                  14.41570041582568,
                  23.91773045620181,
                  15.112504644038662,
                  15.131252862201972
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  28.553163894312622,
                  16.429555317514268,
                  25.26465238398724,
                  18.860158836789104,
                  17.107664646261412,
                  14.546866372633263,
                  20.55010876251828,
                  12.924355302185589,
                  17.078854947335895
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45689509092432257,
              "rpss": 0.010220940280161406,
              "brier_below": 0.1836640685850475,
              "bss_below": 0.009297366853542433,
              "brier_above": 0.27323101358535423,
              "bss_above": 0.010840790366227648,
              "crps": 20.332552921144973,
              "crpss": -0.028791759279330975,
              "crps_fair": 19.995012568702514,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0504317395870002,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004433,
                    0.180221,
                    0.76267,
                    0.052676,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1691,
                    0.2867,
                    0.3414,
                    0.4209,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0679,
                    0.1651,
                    0.2311,
                    0.3327,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.119662,
                    0.809818,
                    0.070521,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2886,
                    0.3469,
                    0.4178,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.5248,
                    0.4889,
                    0.5167,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4961723179386154,
                  0.4734265587996435,
                  0.5059913024557188,
                  0.4594685615127675,
                  0.4460161349300591,
                  0.4181992127761644,
                  0.45901754818768215,
                  0.44155913211256004,
                  0.41974972465839755
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5102317652431445,
                  0.47433267737964163,
                  0.4783180441293248,
                  0.4525347847419441,
                  0.4603745980834287,
                  0.4422445935566512,
                  0.44415660691947745,
                  0.4338588592002403,
                  0.45616205495422807
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12312546382596914,
                  0.2519605800936944,
                  0.1535263363308247,
                  0.16014635190595325,
                  0.15554376017195712,
                  0.15949889545894738,
                  0.16922563882493502,
                  0.25891880335533535,
                  0.11191079016270292
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.126539540948379,
                  0.2545659968360651,
                  0.13841351661655463,
                  0.1589549412230946,
                  0.16053153657975874,
                  0.16798009656758436,
                  0.15927262223192998,
                  0.25847884644300917,
                  0.1239877850693975
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.37304682686111584,
                  0.22146597795325598,
                  0.3524649449003606,
                  0.2993221969180842,
                  0.2904723619565673,
                  0.2587003102566249,
                  0.28979189715350734,
                  0.18264033849908293,
                  0.3078389170437633
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.38369219542168237,
                  0.21976668098266122,
                  0.33990450646953646,
                  0.2935798307591138,
                  0.29984304762398367,
                  0.27426448768318373,
                  0.28488397348275224,
                  0.17538002113326967,
                  0.3321742502238743
                ],
                "crps": [
                  39.93782533476873,
                  21.611624627855385,
                  45.247376657962874,
                  27.028908333821093,
                  21.447702703958406,
                  19.609831679361516,
                  32.598724351312995,
                  21.699136522873406,
                  21.191974292093118
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.92534574035464,
                  22.089318991170305,
                  40.08494619654123,
                  23.890249665507238,
                  23.177153551992927,
                  21.71108717495611,
                  28.004720878699523,
                  19.009192462863844,
                  25.3617561381083
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.468736556694516,
                  21.19188214078904,
                  44.84969111152078,
                  26.61482273319566,
                  21.045941008425668,
                  19.136363741972456,
                  32.1437679315271,
                  21.221074342023144,
                  20.70747160990668
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.950951294224595,
                  21.114924545040267,
                  39.11055175041119,
                  22.915855219377203,
                  22.202759105862885,
                  20.736692728826064,
                  27.03032643256948,
                  18.034798016733802,
                  24.38736169197826
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45773338815240094,
              "rpss": 0.007854482201666402,
              "brier_below": 0.17153962445892434,
              "bss_below": 0.0031434003807996325,
              "brier_above": 0.28619375239359585,
              "bss_above": 0.010656938555907214,
              "crps": 27.819233833778615,
              "crpss": -0.02087361873014415,
              "crps_fair": 27.37552790845056,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04184435797949848,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.168487,
                    0.808065,
                    0.023448,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.288,
                    0.3399,
                    0.412,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1342,
                    0.1951,
                    0.1131,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.129428,
                    0.818996,
                    0.051575,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2892,
                    0.3453,
                    0.4134,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.5405,
                    0.5303,
                    0.5866,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dc": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7984005016849132,
            "training": [
              0.7560282973173504,
              0.8075344936992387,
              0.7967153835408469,
              0.791005549820798,
              0.8685609381373381,
              0.8021674294586207,
              0.8240185515791812,
              0.8027692737492917,
              0.7907783070227157,
              0.7755539682591064,
              0.830700159854879,
              0.7771829830720924,
              0.7924433290829025,
              0.8155522668767604,
              0.7972206016549844,
              0.801254779238534,
              0.8211364801015251,
              0.7975545623284878,
              0.7847005364670361,
              0.7936974586982997,
              0.7941434024723715,
              0.7696678435753445,
              0.750152518731668,
              0.8210729256985441
            ],
            "test": 0.8244960499408538
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4832913270965666,
                  0.4699264139757737,
                  0.4556893623570887,
                  0.44458425260492634,
                  0.42912690958415056,
                  0.4596277109465562,
                  0.4303524845635042,
                  0.428369219165997,
                  0.4497981631602583,
                  0.49454940119521806,
                  0.44569246818582364,
                  0.42747993912499754,
                  0.4358520141514661,
                  0.43423016444368323,
                  0.4773904904534536,
                  0.42159098383589,
                  0.4559565075881317,
                  0.41917965028928555,
                  0.4275744594491803,
                  0.49561940315657366,
                  0.4618749668720801,
                  0.4735205398774167,
                  0.48821852048690256,
                  0.44942774977196104
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.44828178439893784,
                  0.4780636046945905,
                  0.45403117539434756,
                  0.4408998664630428,
                  0.4626710009670124,
                  0.4675652855175825,
                  0.45088178363034326,
                  0.4339622485969375,
                  0.4457739713411614,
                  0.48115608104505214,
                  0.46731020302909526,
                  0.40902067319593455,
                  0.4238503280124456,
                  0.44888898670135347,
                  0.4836531086639868,
                  0.4215019666820851,
                  0.47209090525934455,
                  0.42365664384275686,
                  0.43223368035833454,
                  0.4869745630233523,
                  0.45947832667944477,
                  0.45033952255554077,
                  0.45381281595427836,
                  0.4698444532531743
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25804061017750857,
                  0.21595839475660172,
                  0.26374839665308314,
                  0.23561210326181672,
                  0.23834282500036305,
                  0.22179608167505732,
                  0.2363340958210864,
                  0.2323123825289108,
                  0.2356531883730612,
                  0.24421005044980823,
                  0.2414126514059521,
                  0.21228169829893073,
                  0.21122549368706814,
                  0.17046848102941342,
                  0.1408633676903354,
                  0.20629420092074305,
                  0.28447532580271895,
                  0.1750558198024812,
                  0.17904847201899535,
                  0.1889242330361962,
                  0.2574401781873049,
                  0.21782575560501227,
                  0.24676616739019883,
                  0.3056835900014043
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24364607658776927,
                  0.2167833637959483,
                  0.26200244695541064,
                  0.2335398229822821,
                  0.2599592835854335,
                  0.22410814370662485,
                  0.24638536370420897,
                  0.23420103701671963,
                  0.23335651499978938,
                  0.23810578482707784,
                  0.25468721411875095,
                  0.19406452747606567,
                  0.20425741444224962,
                  0.17808060941226778,
                  0.14096115009371765,
                  0.20696214106709115,
                  0.29480390564951164,
                  0.17663004534290416,
                  0.18425554277680625,
                  0.18520467260263995,
                  0.25555913109943895,
                  0.207082427269816,
                  0.23258804671993344,
                  0.32153762962536103
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2252507173117639,
                  0.25396801909228606,
                  0.1919409660998824,
                  0.20897214939055395,
                  0.19078408444729725,
                  0.23783162926593465,
                  0.19401838895238804,
                  0.1960568366760596,
                  0.21414497484379902,
                  0.25033935084074815,
                  0.2042798166612394,
                  0.2151982410558291,
                  0.2246265206219703,
                  0.2637616832648742,
                  0.3365271224395201,
                  0.21529678284966966,
                  0.1714811821491015,
                  0.2441238303440156,
                  0.24852598743016222,
                  0.30669516971608585,
                  0.2044347892347401,
                  0.255694784277208,
                  0.2414523536602426,
                  0.1437441601154519
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.20463570781908508,
                  0.2612802408995609,
                  0.1920287284468534,
                  0.20736004348867731,
                  0.20271171736051702,
                  0.2434571418390764,
                  0.20449641993405068,
                  0.19976121159863708,
                  0.21241745636061743,
                  0.24305029625298225,
                  0.21262298892876352,
                  0.2149561457217039,
                  0.2195929135561274,
                  0.27080837732842866,
                  0.3426919585851556,
                  0.21453982563780633,
                  0.17728699964486266,
                  0.24702659841398025,
                  0.24797813761256063,
                  0.30176989039964386,
                  0.20391919556164534,
                  0.24325709524448394,
                  0.22122476926537735,
                  0.14830682364623232
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.889861768719495,
                  26.350799598084546,
                  16.263034026229892,
                  17.083990326648568,
                  16.68019010264544,
                  21.132325289563667,
                  16.932419439566985,
                  15.746420368067774,
                  19.097484870908612,
                  23.542416838974244,
                  15.023815073209759,
                  15.519785416654335,
                  15.260043618966069,
                  15.765307762571192,
                  30.049037827045908,
                  15.335194936276256,
                  25.16941044705341,
                  14.90404524682823,
                  15.799484652613417,
                  28.41939459990241,
                  15.838635205087316,
                  19.22276975808908,
                  23.4706920152579,
                  20.483762461842463
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.40286903169342,
                  22.980285367240008,
                  16.04453582917209,
                  16.01544976173602,
                  18.23475961955163,
                  20.24434837659676,
                  16.05965168074466,
                  15.699377570210324,
                  17.593278632094517,
                  22.75728628237246,
                  16.76392185931309,
                  13.531282337003354,
                  14.073597103535487,
                  16.90050283907696,
                  32.670568611232945,
                  13.245890750422944,
                  24.87859016163376,
                  15.432698428298984,
                  15.601474071525136,
                  24.538292073716153,
                  15.517039557550994,
                  16.567178418053995,
                  17.75216265190863,
                  16.345490750873054
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.211684465694177,
                  25.5926259576323,
                  15.493172567224214,
                  16.34035864685379,
                  16.073055695062447,
                  20.293874073503645,
                  16.077686469418797,
                  14.968946468432062,
                  18.308362137660566,
                  22.918851752798012,
                  14.301832125897086,
                  14.8331090655394,
                  14.503151153161886,
                  14.955216051438029,
                  29.280962322329046,
                  14.472631394970634,
                  24.37443412129334,
                  14.109054891906444,
                  14.913982417616754,
                  27.72142146908773,
                  15.037000917803669,
                  18.48564784896171,
                  22.72979850880977,
                  19.716309955953065
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.643013178327948,
                  22.229098862994885,
                  15.280213435650335,
                  15.251072280965328,
                  17.47458537714802,
                  19.48798017350574,
                  15.295357915729673,
                  14.934401467864777,
                  16.8318894635783,
                  22.0056774313757,
                  16.000961939333273,
                  12.762199993685826,
                  13.305541871518209,
                  16.137801595195178,
                  31.937734916162057,
                  12.476267892736892,
                  24.130998931620457,
                  14.667217251821024,
                  14.836312545886626,
                  23.790056339748453,
                  14.751718118060262,
                  15.803845877920272,
                  16.991074400096608,
                  15.581738347733312
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45245512926403686,
              "rpss": 0.000646043968447918,
              "brier_below": 0.22582389848225218,
              "bss_below": 0.0016557608887435293,
              "brier_above": 0.22663123086420098,
              "bss_above": -0.0003621099442128184,
              "crps": 19.45751340211696,
              "crpss": -0.06652907275866227,
              "crps_fair": 18.69638210329369,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06936592465177416,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000282,
                    0.003523,
                    0.07508,
                    0.803589,
                    0.117525,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0669,
                    0.1551,
                    0.2811,
                    0.3471,
                    0.4254,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.2,
                    0.04,
                    0.3006,
                    0.3475,
                    0.3807,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0698,
                    0.85651,
                    0.067694,
                    0.005996,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2878,
                    0.3461,
                    0.4301,
                    0.5006,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3745,
                    0.3385,
                    0.4411,
                    0.1507,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.49024767179577133,
                  0.4946790633737665,
                  0.44863336362357076,
                  0.4269989813380967,
                  0.43426485491153727,
                  0.44871615819436744,
                  0.44147845849173306,
                  0.4361566153431295,
                  0.478227099529911,
                  0.4523975036897582,
                  0.4408781951249821,
                  0.4201498644807893,
                  0.40702509138277115,
                  0.422144152537394,
                  0.4560755818192831,
                  0.4159004088359035,
                  0.5073716041952776,
                  0.43390665163624387,
                  0.4310934755723212,
                  0.4885259716038676,
                  0.4595438453906971,
                  0.48189896429339424,
                  0.4676633202259642,
                  0.4582797178853465
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4656268773487567,
                  0.47905520254523853,
                  0.44987819562667175,
                  0.4222690397368383,
                  0.473189675792112,
                  0.46370659625075544,
                  0.4533706691746612,
                  0.44043707163708307,
                  0.4658910246954573,
                  0.4835074529423111,
                  0.44476293120584887,
                  0.42294488325801144,
                  0.4035717243423909,
                  0.4341110496580427,
                  0.4840392053398089,
                  0.41705895616907784,
                  0.5102516956651021,
                  0.44254446083186355,
                  0.4407978919737273,
                  0.46885745291344016,
                  0.4562595884170463,
                  0.45934219841451757,
                  0.4469383691099854,
                  0.4493098079235744
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2185882132837248,
                  0.25487663708261965,
                  0.2605892845213948,
                  0.21398429254499252,
                  0.2822979595634966,
                  0.16421265845954,
                  0.2122913375729031,
                  0.21921459104735697,
                  0.30495229919814415,
                  0.2985814316640005,
                  0.16942204268027491,
                  0.21896248469586665,
                  0.20804847661667458,
                  0.18865762117750948,
                  0.13040302222584943,
                  0.1902321440442674,
                  0.3770707695918755,
                  0.16351425901935396,
                  0.18241784293571506,
                  0.20275098535349698,
                  0.2787519442036053,
                  0.17350934085249978,
                  0.21040190271384854,
                  0.2858608308778978
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20639084196205096,
                  0.24828230441497257,
                  0.2605442628100996,
                  0.21079044758429427,
                  0.3079691007315029,
                  0.1701970420969503,
                  0.21556851840134683,
                  0.2221603579843514,
                  0.2986746145123454,
                  0.31773717985625455,
                  0.16972492982842746,
                  0.2191151329533314,
                  0.20714815598586803,
                  0.19476475401412452,
                  0.14137875328774757,
                  0.19387986053487954,
                  0.37971397960807707,
                  0.16798860633846377,
                  0.18789536861046913,
                  0.1944206391015046,
                  0.27728056202918344,
                  0.16316626564473996,
                  0.1984248046321673,
                  0.28086225383117586
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.27165945852437445,
                  0.23980242631375503,
                  0.1880440795803279,
                  0.21301468898529982,
                  0.15196689535943983,
                  0.28450349965129984,
                  0.2291871211039505,
                  0.21694202433168056,
                  0.1732748008315113,
                  0.15381607223342475,
                  0.27145615205436396,
                  0.2011873801012419,
                  0.19897661498905664,
                  0.2334865314606446,
                  0.3256725592119302,
                  0.22566826460958272,
                  0.1303008352681283,
                  0.2703923921638337,
                  0.2486756326271507,
                  0.2857749862166958,
                  0.1807919018308497,
                  0.3083896230804647,
                  0.2572614174871812,
                  0.17241888749312642
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2592360353867057,
                  0.23077289813026597,
                  0.18933393281657201,
                  0.21147859215254405,
                  0.165220575060609,
                  0.29350955415380503,
                  0.23780215077331432,
                  0.21827671365273166,
                  0.1672164101831118,
                  0.1657702730860564,
                  0.2750380013774213,
                  0.20382975030467998,
                  0.19642356835652286,
                  0.23934629564391813,
                  0.34266045205206114,
                  0.22317909563419822,
                  0.1305377160570248,
                  0.27455585449339964,
                  0.2529025233632581,
                  0.2744368138119354,
                  0.17897902638786278,
                  0.2961759327697775,
                  0.2485135644778181,
                  0.16844755409239837
                ],
                "crps": [
                  34.71188408899396,
                  34.90374488398142,
                  22.590827597131,
                  23.91032503522675,
                  21.75824330010496,
                  28.26095936455696,
                  24.08212403700548,
                  22.5536462128603,
                  26.68890132638855,
                  22.577768239788238,
                  22.655478459509244,
                  19.061759109811906,
                  18.855366552713534,
                  19.534732722330414,
                  30.523097043034632,
                  20.716316998596344,
                  37.580370819884685,
                  20.971426428060596,
                  20.474889642764328,
                  32.64074254298604,
                  22.063127776856657,
                  27.542043588831618,
                  31.522094371960662,
                  27.272242481859095
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.829005594094255,
                  30.789517415890057,
                  22.274178691284046,
                  22.400405790699597,
                  24.562013785862174,
                  28.743909674086105,
                  23.41639624632185,
                  22.294597973023507,
                  23.939813933834774,
                  26.00809173405538,
                  23.784893985415945,
                  18.638495127121324,
                  17.665545158908575,
                  21.356757879360448,
                  35.9519633499581,
                  17.515074119812123,
                  37.22123503260143,
                  21.861619454593054,
                  20.60004209571915,
                  27.362334214151744,
                  21.305435294168266,
                  23.9623386515102,
                  25.131651915716713,
                  22.03810998188434
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  33.8632280608033,
                  33.94804337162142,
                  21.57910807799317,
                  22.903815467483426,
                  20.982328290621474,
                  27.148148835669687,
                  22.900134814428764,
                  21.484398252087228,
                  25.632654155454397,
                  21.701028183713397,
                  21.649778974657355,
                  18.081506125301843,
                  17.818020542346456,
                  18.450180943600635,
                  29.453526530753102,
                  19.540873446143454,
                  36.58052751015648,
                  19.90404480794579,
                  19.30733084225768,
                  31.70224050057025,
                  20.99577658140598,
                  26.572017978234307,
                  30.612299366486322,
                  26.21917382936967
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.816842345274544,
                  29.784855136429805,
                  21.25338887636053,
                  21.37985504225225,
                  23.545556991951106,
                  27.7353731375391,
                  22.397769722222264,
                  21.27384683098207,
                  22.922178731113057,
                  24.994373724137105,
                  22.766965373701,
                  17.610819547871735,
                  16.63602687138586,
                  20.334230525020402,
                  34.957078430221465,
                  16.48527084926081,
                  36.22875403650616,
                  20.840048277478832,
                  19.576081567546453,
                  26.351181057415474,
                  20.28281073796233,
                  22.944746109238622,
                  24.116273981900072,
                  21.01687306713241
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4517606923031616,
              "rpss": 0.003260370657391931,
              "brier_below": 0.2253996821636212,
              "bss_below": 0.004506074720964537,
              "brier_above": 0.2263610102295548,
              "bss_above": 0.0020168549141540426,
              "crps": 25.560504692718226,
              "crpss": -0.04746610237186255,
              "crps_fair": 24.5429243953794,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04949474401150056,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.011354,
                    0.909101,
                    0.079545,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2951,
                    0.3454,
                    0.4212,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2211,
                    0.3429,
                    0.4048,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.064159,
                    0.892996,
                    0.042846,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.287,
                    0.3483,
                    0.4122,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4153,
                    0.3382,
                    0.4452,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4816411740012869,
                  0.48550750262896425,
                  0.46654726391732143,
                  0.48495208454570016,
                  0.46357637518433326,
                  0.4151963549469887,
                  0.4520266050889871,
                  0.44257384154844026,
                  0.42741611285298414
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4947890992304722,
                  0.4753205974707632,
                  0.4560866594726808,
                  0.47037878645621833,
                  0.47299821491804606,
                  0.4357581018035622,
                  0.4528379078704793,
                  0.43596840945468646,
                  0.4603811312931576
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13678176136607362,
                  0.22275843144071467,
                  0.16592544061333395,
                  0.16291146069848775,
                  0.17842222997660434,
                  0.1915720192702157,
                  0.16212001681257962,
                  0.261767038060186,
                  0.17260552428479886
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14043822061767963,
                  0.21741971507988192,
                  0.16137133777697532,
                  0.15421278761631982,
                  0.1844784913304739,
                  0.20067295850650194,
                  0.1605724275435595,
                  0.2610749478831005,
                  0.18824828684533776
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.34485939046116804,
                  0.26274906395692604,
                  0.30062181097902,
                  0.32204060705321413,
                  0.28515413335804957,
                  0.22362433416607794,
                  0.28990657728099417,
                  0.18080681305357804,
                  0.25481058027518333
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.35435085494429375,
                  0.2579008762312236,
                  0.2947153086203139,
                  0.31616598226162707,
                  0.28851971169071594,
                  0.23508514114649787,
                  0.2922654680223936,
                  0.17489347015413084,
                  0.272132835460955
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.411323846850237,
                  17.330811081415114,
                  30.35974753411576,
                  22.995322892356683,
                  17.345991238888555,
                  15.397901007720964,
                  25.936419240415397,
                  16.2308075827523,
                  15.827429148663885
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.281647851966547,
                  17.15803927516819,
                  25.993136341641158,
                  19.58864279444303,
                  17.83614860391533,
                  15.27535033028718,
                  21.278592720172202,
                  13.65283925983951,
                  17.80733890498982
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  27.638648670629333,
                  16.66091785066756,
                  29.63040295537301,
                  22.272987004013835,
                  16.611056567808767,
                  14.574598514634097,
                  25.189617868854526,
                  15.43161667550045,
                  15.011737677969453
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  28.553163894312622,
                  16.429555317514268,
                  25.26465238398724,
                  18.860158836789104,
                  17.107664646261412,
                  14.546866372633263,
                  20.55010876251828,
                  12.924355302185589,
                  17.078854947335895
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4577152571905563,
              "rpss": 0.008444201129463869,
              "brier_below": 0.1838737691692216,
              "bss_below": 0.008166220611851571,
              "brier_above": 0.2738414789538013,
              "bss_above": 0.008630765107974003,
              "crps": 21.092861508130987,
              "crpss": -0.06726204935230395,
              "crps_fair": 20.335731531716778,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06833130388082642,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000226,
                    0.003907,
                    0.132216,
                    0.802973,
                    0.060678,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0721,
                    0.1589,
                    0.2849,
                    0.3384,
                    0.417,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.3333,
                    0.1348,
                    0.1987,
                    0.2117,
                    0.4448,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.10016,
                    0.851111,
                    0.048729,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2929,
                    0.3408,
                    0.4292,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4483,
                    0.498,
                    0.5423,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5013600474472891,
                  0.4729707799417513,
                  0.49810885140170047,
                  0.46068884591162806,
                  0.45438920780905556,
                  0.4221477785654019,
                  0.45816523768328093,
                  0.44478175505646317,
                  0.4279614500116332
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5102317652431445,
                  0.47433267737964163,
                  0.4783180441293248,
                  0.4525347847419441,
                  0.4603745980834287,
                  0.4422445935566512,
                  0.44415660691947745,
                  0.4338588592002403,
                  0.45616205495422807
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12486761148184156,
                  0.25264857679718633,
                  0.1477906960900561,
                  0.16291343181820947,
                  0.15892378912513758,
                  0.160631086863861,
                  0.1665372684799372,
                  0.2616859907944981,
                  0.11447586954088834
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.126539540948379,
                  0.2545659968360651,
                  0.13841351661655463,
                  0.1589549412230946,
                  0.16053153657975874,
                  0.16798009656758436,
                  0.15927262223192998,
                  0.25847884644300917,
                  0.1239877850693975
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3764924077021567,
                  0.22032220255840834,
                  0.3503181342083275,
                  0.29777540148724213,
                  0.29546540532366256,
                  0.2615166840808266,
                  0.29162795728373575,
                  0.18309577405514227,
                  0.31348556244277553
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.38369219542168237,
                  0.21976668098266122,
                  0.33990450646953646,
                  0.2935798307591138,
                  0.29984304762398367,
                  0.27426448768318373,
                  0.28488397348275224,
                  0.17538002113326967,
                  0.3321742502238743
                ],
                "crps": [
                  40.23480549025297,
                  21.92134952887112,
                  46.21712037716844,
                  27.53976722373846,
                  22.275285199125967,
                  20.386495071295116,
                  33.86022442239315,
                  22.751684381696126,
                  21.93886777137538
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.92534574035464,
                  22.089318991170305,
                  40.08494619654123,
                  23.890249665507238,
                  23.177153551992927,
                  21.71108717495611,
                  28.004720878699523,
                  19.009192462863844,
                  25.3617561381083
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.23152052549498,
                  21.013419794627477,
                  45.27746913106878,
                  26.564590567013738,
                  21.279870177917974,
                  19.267406261075255,
                  32.953174295984546,
                  21.6812112836391,
                  20.83634861709582
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.950951294224595,
                  21.114924545040267,
                  39.11055175041119,
                  22.915855219377203,
                  22.202759105862885,
                  20.736692728826064,
                  27.03032643256948,
                  18.034798016733802,
                  24.38736169197826
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4600637726475782,
              "rpss": 0.002803331048001678,
              "brier_below": 0.17227492455462395,
              "bss_below": -0.0011295992565192314,
              "brier_above": 0.28778883657136417,
              "bss_above": 0.0051428927373107225,
              "crps": 28.569511051768522,
              "crpss": -0.04840630432302073,
              "crps_fair": 27.567223405990852,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04913981080986285,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.048961,
                    0.945483,
                    0.005556,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2957,
                    0.3353,
                    0.4087,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1312,
                    0.1861,
                    0.0955,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.05885,
                    0.928959,
                    0.012191,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2941,
                    0.3412,
                    0.4058,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.5757,
                    0.5323,
                    0.5047,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "loci": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7350979269471151,
            "training": [
              0.6984836447732534,
              0.7328099940010573,
              0.7364198866404246,
              0.732132693362442,
              0.795533384720989,
              0.7403281423469449,
              0.7565171364376947,
              0.7303417814168225,
              0.7313738288157081,
              0.7191897678079637,
              0.7693231033426176,
              0.7171823329969718,
              0.7330587130430007,
              0.7505226064722317,
              0.7424055395474766,
              0.7451018055099539,
              0.743883488802665,
              0.7355971752620989,
              0.7308377195792798,
              0.7200976061519426,
              0.7331078170670293,
              0.714295855942442,
              0.6849692705701572,
              0.7488369521195929
            ],
            "test": 0.7705908920039088
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48041349096446545,
                  0.48327194260177425,
                  0.45041306734443187,
                  0.43743574449930234,
                  0.419451065477104,
                  0.46217908797288604,
                  0.43099845509153156,
                  0.42920061708834173,
                  0.453785442910045,
                  0.496693258001154,
                  0.43411245188555186,
                  0.42197073856880546,
                  0.43532964064177065,
                  0.43583364504262345,
                  0.4711571778164821,
                  0.41674376177889355,
                  0.4662919881864432,
                  0.42083347478003047,
                  0.42057292734065116,
                  0.5010413522429824,
                  0.4602119972919295,
                  0.46647206389192164,
                  0.48401010183247706,
                  0.4521837059065012
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.44828178439893784,
                  0.4780636046945905,
                  0.45403117539434756,
                  0.4408998664630428,
                  0.4626710009670124,
                  0.4675652855175825,
                  0.45088178363034326,
                  0.4339622485969375,
                  0.4457739713411614,
                  0.48115608104505214,
                  0.46731020302909526,
                  0.40902067319593455,
                  0.4238503280124456,
                  0.44888898670135347,
                  0.4836531086639868,
                  0.4215019666820851,
                  0.47209090525934455,
                  0.42365664384275686,
                  0.43223368035833454,
                  0.4869745630233523,
                  0.45947832667944477,
                  0.45033952255554077,
                  0.45381281595427836,
                  0.4698444532531743
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25258708048536677,
                  0.22405342867951877,
                  0.26073857706678055,
                  0.22900306151233404,
                  0.23432155147395167,
                  0.21908400481906692,
                  0.2386440688983635,
                  0.23530273526115958,
                  0.2405750714779298,
                  0.2484214877897976,
                  0.23076228807803975,
                  0.20851714084043876,
                  0.21200324781366822,
                  0.1753873162764683,
                  0.1341764275078141,
                  0.2001897047940857,
                  0.2905400270641541,
                  0.17557407653452864,
                  0.17604996367509676,
                  0.1923042429693218,
                  0.25572781111738757,
                  0.21123854473138778,
                  0.24458056393220867,
                  0.3076986583992505
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24364607658776927,
                  0.2167833637959483,
                  0.26200244695541064,
                  0.2335398229822821,
                  0.2599592835854335,
                  0.22410814370662485,
                  0.24638536370420897,
                  0.23420103701671963,
                  0.23335651499978938,
                  0.23810578482707784,
                  0.25468721411875095,
                  0.19406452747606567,
                  0.20425741444224962,
                  0.17808060941226778,
                  0.14096115009371765,
                  0.20696214106709115,
                  0.29480390564951164,
                  0.17663004534290416,
                  0.18425554277680625,
                  0.18520467260263995,
                  0.25555913109943895,
                  0.207082427269816,
                  0.23258804671993344,
                  0.32153762962536103
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22782641068121215,
                  0.25921851350474806,
                  0.1896744896691613,
                  0.2084326828613667,
                  0.18512951451336113,
                  0.24309508378616304,
                  0.19235438621478862,
                  0.19389788166458904,
                  0.21321037127684703,
                  0.2482717691560727,
                  0.20335016438272,
                  0.21345359745020215,
                  0.22332639184287606,
                  0.26044632885658126,
                  0.33698075134237804,
                  0.2165540570185807,
                  0.17575196047392427,
                  0.24525939836170005,
                  0.24452296347297892,
                  0.30873711002902016,
                  0.20448418577476513,
                  0.25523351886776746,
                  0.2394295383030095,
                  0.14448504774824555
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.20463570781908508,
                  0.2612802408995609,
                  0.1920287284468534,
                  0.20736004348867731,
                  0.20271171736051702,
                  0.2434571418390764,
                  0.20449641993405068,
                  0.19976121159863708,
                  0.21241745636061743,
                  0.24305029625298225,
                  0.21262298892876352,
                  0.2149561457217039,
                  0.2195929135561274,
                  0.27080837732842866,
                  0.3426919585851556,
                  0.21453982563780633,
                  0.17728699964486266,
                  0.24702659841398025,
                  0.24797813761256063,
                  0.30176989039964386,
                  0.20391919556164534,
                  0.24325709524448394,
                  0.22122476926537735,
                  0.14830682364623232
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.115557224787928,
                  26.665172249273375,
                  16.4422138753344,
                  17.494420641077138,
                  16.898974517772857,
                  21.266608174630356,
                  17.757831638948606,
                  16.2322834086868,
                  19.804069694452746,
                  23.59214017073159,
                  15.551009375448967,
                  15.298410593325496,
                  15.611171609409423,
                  15.861383535851054,
                  30.714350172338637,
                  15.496291737036263,
                  26.456583730649957,
                  15.761062639555334,
                  15.667261815371269,
                  27.86267095624084,
                  17.320799964157178,
                  19.672564257130823,
                  23.194280068318598,
                  21.35354186724338
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.40286903169342,
                  22.980285367240008,
                  16.04453582917209,
                  16.01544976173602,
                  18.23475961955163,
                  20.24434837659676,
                  16.05965168074466,
                  15.699377570210324,
                  17.593278632094517,
                  22.75728628237246,
                  16.76392185931309,
                  13.531282337003354,
                  14.073597103535487,
                  16.90050283907696,
                  32.670568611232945,
                  13.245890750422944,
                  24.87859016163376,
                  15.432698428298984,
                  15.601474071525136,
                  24.538292073716153,
                  15.517039557550994,
                  16.567178418053995,
                  17.75216265190863,
                  16.345490750873054
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.377542466028785,
                  25.93322988319901,
                  15.796685656147561,
                  16.80229961571779,
                  16.265015622681187,
                  20.475543052684603,
                  16.973810728607305,
                  15.560472242764737,
                  19.103103446699052,
                  22.89923426162332,
                  14.844853274128255,
                  14.66380085918583,
                  14.8737739894417,
                  15.140938963600277,
                  30.1447026620634,
                  14.7671595795275,
                  25.72900911016324,
                  15.010146265826677,
                  14.827704070518461,
                  27.156451672530476,
                  16.51961968833516,
                  18.92814935189121,
                  22.497578884948986,
                  20.69513947899603
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.643013178327948,
                  22.229098862994885,
                  15.280213435650335,
                  15.251072280965328,
                  17.47458537714802,
                  19.48798017350574,
                  15.295357915729673,
                  14.934401467864777,
                  16.8318894635783,
                  22.0056774313757,
                  16.000961939333273,
                  12.762199993685826,
                  13.305541871518209,
                  16.137801595195178,
                  31.937734916162057,
                  12.476267892736892,
                  24.130998931620457,
                  14.667217251821024,
                  14.836312545886626,
                  23.790056339748453,
                  14.751718118060262,
                  15.803845877920272,
                  16.991074400096608,
                  15.581738347733312
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45127529996492083,
              "rpss": 0.003251975476908031,
              "brier_below": 0.22489504504992167,
              "bss_below": 0.005762126421259395,
              "brier_above": 0.22638025488554414,
              "bss_above": 0.0007457111561585128,
              "crps": 19.837110579907208,
              "crpss": -0.08733601852216322,
              "crps_fair": 19.12441520113794,
              "crpss_fair": -0.09384788094304741,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    2.8e-05,
                    0.004566,
                    0.115303,
                    0.679425,
                    0.20065,
                    2.9e-05,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0833,
                    0.1579,
                    0.2835,
                    0.3485,
                    0.4273,
                    0.5003,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    1.0,
                    0.0555,
                    0.2653,
                    0.3489,
                    0.3927,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.121764,
                    0.77201,
                    0.105207,
                    0.001019,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2845,
                    0.3465,
                    0.4266,
                    0.5089,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3524,
                    0.3397,
                    0.3952,
                    0.0831,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4962563780676688,
                  0.49955012675990873,
                  0.44718108519225963,
                  0.4249112015207217,
                  0.41982684564466444,
                  0.4511232688841427,
                  0.4386193880817062,
                  0.43482214004017095,
                  0.4796996017667404,
                  0.45289082603741637,
                  0.43514424253906425,
                  0.41269018116602413,
                  0.40192174240617096,
                  0.41615636589012706,
                  0.4438094648730071,
                  0.4107086132394676,
                  0.518144893202664,
                  0.4353610859612382,
                  0.4233682744728923,
                  0.48737921043033466,
                  0.45789058777451724,
                  0.4851549892130129,
                  0.47144700098229664,
                  0.4607042426399138
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4656268773487567,
                  0.47905520254523853,
                  0.44987819562667175,
                  0.4222690397368383,
                  0.473189675792112,
                  0.46370659625075544,
                  0.4533706691746612,
                  0.44043707163708307,
                  0.4658910246954573,
                  0.4835074529423111,
                  0.44476293120584887,
                  0.42294488325801144,
                  0.4035717243423909,
                  0.4341110496580427,
                  0.4840392053398089,
                  0.41705895616907784,
                  0.5102516956651021,
                  0.44254446083186355,
                  0.4407978919737273,
                  0.46885745291344016,
                  0.4562595884170463,
                  0.45934219841451757,
                  0.4469383691099854,
                  0.4493098079235744
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2202834501373876,
                  0.2565014090951536,
                  0.262225147740983,
                  0.21292540960722245,
                  0.2726224329063451,
                  0.1623700130709391,
                  0.21437025312415625,
                  0.2210833073532933,
                  0.3095560214479222,
                  0.2986002451121511,
                  0.1646937801299275,
                  0.2130059626685465,
                  0.20415994067359805,
                  0.18503942848358085,
                  0.11889378376413391,
                  0.18524832818729245,
                  0.3850689502359083,
                  0.162906899465854,
                  0.17781747982137364,
                  0.19775814674685588,
                  0.27913023305007617,
                  0.17436109825541335,
                  0.21296761536986267,
                  0.2901347524853399
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20639084196205096,
                  0.24828230441497257,
                  0.2605442628100996,
                  0.21079044758429427,
                  0.3079691007315029,
                  0.1701970420969503,
                  0.21556851840134683,
                  0.2221603579843514,
                  0.2986746145123454,
                  0.31773717985625455,
                  0.16972492982842746,
                  0.2191151329533314,
                  0.20714815598586803,
                  0.19476475401412452,
                  0.14137875328774757,
                  0.19387986053487954,
                  0.37971397960807707,
                  0.16798860633846377,
                  0.18789536861046913,
                  0.1944206391015046,
                  0.27728056202918344,
                  0.16316626564473996,
                  0.1984248046321673,
                  0.28086225383117586
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2759729276034805,
                  0.24304871719532772,
                  0.18495593677899297,
                  0.211985791582451,
                  0.14720441346635593,
                  0.28875325703050736,
                  0.22424913472585453,
                  0.21373883252343326,
                  0.1701435793008505,
                  0.15429058063484577,
                  0.2704504628058256,
                  0.1996842184718212,
                  0.19776180074220073,
                  0.23111693711899814,
                  0.3249156817499146,
                  0.22546028529732612,
                  0.13307594163008063,
                  0.2724541871716631,
                  0.24555079404458402,
                  0.28962106426117634,
                  0.1787603537116853,
                  0.3107938915334772,
                  0.25847938566859446,
                  0.17056948990385798
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2592360353867057,
                  0.23077289813026597,
                  0.18933393281657201,
                  0.21147859215254405,
                  0.165220575060609,
                  0.29350955415380503,
                  0.23780215077331432,
                  0.21827671365273166,
                  0.1672164101831118,
                  0.1657702730860564,
                  0.2750380013774213,
                  0.20382975030467998,
                  0.19642356835652286,
                  0.23934629564391813,
                  0.34266045205206114,
                  0.22317909563419822,
                  0.1305377160570248,
                  0.27455585449339964,
                  0.2529025233632581,
                  0.2744368138119354,
                  0.17897902638786278,
                  0.2961759327697775,
                  0.2485135644778181,
                  0.16844755409239837
                ],
                "crps": [
                  34.727456492054834,
                  35.40186363718687,
                  22.856302869122853,
                  24.04203713475093,
                  22.136913753043675,
                  28.57901449592666,
                  25.356640266419003,
                  22.601419995962278,
                  27.60262426109609,
                  22.877356470879782,
                  23.017874487695437,
                  19.009879231278298,
                  18.628363339302176,
                  19.5786057320437,
                  31.425237682972178,
                  20.41062759999827,
                  39.493445176002524,
                  21.4081355934882,
                  20.173316167269512,
                  32.17829163286504,
                  23.212048831890588,
                  27.85706778577012,
                  31.544198967593747,
                  28.096839612882537
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.829005594094255,
                  30.789517415890057,
                  22.274178691284046,
                  22.400405790699597,
                  24.562013785862174,
                  28.743909674086105,
                  23.41639624632185,
                  22.294597973023507,
                  23.939813933834774,
                  26.00809173405538,
                  23.784893985415945,
                  18.638495127121324,
                  17.665545158908575,
                  21.356757879360448,
                  35.9519633499581,
                  17.515074119812123,
                  37.22123503260143,
                  21.861619454593054,
                  20.60004209571915,
                  27.362334214151744,
                  21.305435294168266,
                  23.9623386515102,
                  25.131651915716713,
                  22.03810998188434
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  33.86437774833606,
                  34.54842644251043,
                  22.092531208971334,
                  23.17898354023042,
                  21.39849730421056,
                  27.619402917714417,
                  24.391270124140945,
                  21.759664851685855,
                  26.72949508292305,
                  21.965489468552757,
                  22.145950878925493,
                  18.16458656645912,
                  17.75893323522162,
                  18.71339467117667,
                  30.720945737062518,
                  19.497941088344444,
                  38.636090366648055,
                  20.4963004047243,
                  19.149743254517013,
                  31.325898248791038,
                  22.285414620825357,
                  26.98982455672388,
                  30.760696660968932,
                  27.253896828033472
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.816842345274544,
                  29.784855136429805,
                  21.25338887636053,
                  21.37985504225225,
                  23.545556991951106,
                  27.7353731375391,
                  22.397769722222264,
                  21.27384683098207,
                  22.922178731113057,
                  24.994373724137105,
                  22.766965373701,
                  17.610819547871735,
                  16.63602687138586,
                  20.334230525020402,
                  34.957078430221465,
                  16.48527084926081,
                  36.22875403650616,
                  20.840048277478832,
                  19.576081567546453,
                  26.351181057415474,
                  20.28281073796233,
                  22.944746109238622,
                  24.116273981900072,
                  21.01687306713241
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4501984065327555,
              "rpss": 0.006707310965064495,
              "brier_below": 0.2242385037055549,
              "bss_below": 0.009634502987029059,
              "brier_above": 0.2259599027063877,
              "bss_above": 0.0037852625877280444,
              "crps": 25.925648384062303,
              "crpss": -0.0624296425591897,
              "crps_fair": 25.060323158654075,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07161954356134759,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.149734,
                    0.70908,
                    0.141186,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2855,
                    0.3436,
                    0.4264,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2486,
                    0.3552,
                    0.4061,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.144559,
                    0.776291,
                    0.07915,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2839,
                    0.3463,
                    0.4221,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.369,
                    0.3337,
                    0.4462,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4940886924143729,
                  0.483024257455729,
                  0.47348413371040504,
                  0.4874273855521874,
                  0.4593839817460464,
                  0.41725997074116056,
                  0.454256239184681,
                  0.4343499768112996,
                  0.4300748419292837
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4947890992304722,
                  0.4753205974707632,
                  0.4560866594726808,
                  0.47037878645621833,
                  0.47299821491804606,
                  0.4357581018035622,
                  0.4528379078704793,
                  0.43596840945468646,
                  0.4603811312931576
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1435163438982093,
                  0.2253667533254681,
                  0.17035399081513727,
                  0.163099372996802,
                  0.17678502943170477,
                  0.19226893192803596,
                  0.16546858436570852,
                  0.25548659901495496,
                  0.172555834711358
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14043822061767963,
                  0.21741971507988192,
                  0.16137133777697532,
                  0.15421278761631982,
                  0.1844784913304739,
                  0.20067295850650194,
                  0.1605724275435595,
                  0.2610749478831005,
                  0.18824828684533776
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.35057232631702057,
                  0.2576574970221932,
                  0.3031301302745772,
                  0.3243279954174046,
                  0.2825989409089657,
                  0.224991037718468,
                  0.28878764320428435,
                  0.17886338720018807,
                  0.2575189993661153
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.35435085494429375,
                  0.2579008762312236,
                  0.2947153086203139,
                  0.31616598226162707,
                  0.28851971169071594,
                  0.23508514114649787,
                  0.2922654680223936,
                  0.17489347015413084,
                  0.272132835460955
                ],
                "crps": [
                  29.988961933070776,
                  17.552081943745346,
                  30.606693346857377,
                  23.172002880464795,
                  17.21312930225441,
                  15.675761888653739,
                  25.697556716163355,
                  16.075208369513007,
                  16.663097664101812
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.281647851966547,
                  17.15803927516819,
                  25.993136341641158,
                  19.58864279444303,
                  17.83614860391533,
                  15.27535033028718,
                  21.278592720172202,
                  13.65283925983951,
                  17.80733890498982
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  29.57662656290019,
                  17.220004420502566,
                  30.26637964404546,
                  22.825942799542787,
                  16.88326046006115,
                  15.280112608622309,
                  25.29299238393797,
                  15.671077828170164,
                  16.253686586431012
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  28.553163894312622,
                  16.429555317514268,
                  25.26465238398724,
                  18.860158836789104,
                  17.107664646261412,
                  14.546866372633263,
                  20.55010876251828,
                  12.924355302185589,
                  17.078854947335895
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45926105328279626,
              "rpss": 0.0050955186133077035,
              "brier_below": 0.1849890489430421,
              "bss_below": 0.0021502882788088096,
              "brier_above": 0.274271995269913,
              "bss_above": 0.007072196871551917,
              "crps": 21.40494378275829,
              "crpss": -0.08305286881304297,
              "crps_fair": 21.030009254912624,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10480496720198107,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    7.5e-05,
                    0.005485,
                    0.124802,
                    0.787762,
                    0.081877,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0985,
                    0.164,
                    0.2867,
                    0.3448,
                    0.4195,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.0,
                    0.1097,
                    0.1521,
                    0.2192,
                    0.3859,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.115349,
                    0.845286,
                    0.039364,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2899,
                    0.3428,
                    0.4139,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4903,
                    0.4942,
                    0.5313,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5021889259954914,
                  0.47587700192591464,
                  0.5047007566465733,
                  0.45895351041277826,
                  0.4490671387296897,
                  0.4191860130681595,
                  0.45900090274065103,
                  0.44015980958653494,
                  0.42462280644774864
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5102317652431445,
                  0.47433267737964163,
                  0.4783180441293248,
                  0.4525347847419441,
                  0.4603745980834287,
                  0.4422445935566512,
                  0.44415660691947745,
                  0.4338588592002403,
                  0.45616205495422807
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12497431304301132,
                  0.2562394836663791,
                  0.1526810680141224,
                  0.1590053573065425,
                  0.15703514293701118,
                  0.15949716617256304,
                  0.1679671159418487,
                  0.25966565974381656,
                  0.11240634056926335
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.126539540948379,
                  0.2545659968360651,
                  0.13841351661655463,
                  0.1589549412230946,
                  0.16053153657975874,
                  0.16798009656758436,
                  0.15927262223192998,
                  0.25847884644300917,
                  0.1239877850693975
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.37721458521938783,
                  0.2196375174568816,
                  0.35201966744777546,
                  0.29994813996481384,
                  0.2920319825734892,
                  0.25968883960032335,
                  0.29103377459660135,
                  0.18049415946425326,
                  0.3122164480403497
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.38369219542168237,
                  0.21976668098266122,
                  0.33990450646953646,
                  0.2935798307591138,
                  0.29984304762398367,
                  0.27426448768318373,
                  0.28488397348275224,
                  0.17538002113326967,
                  0.3321742502238743
                ],
                "crps": [
                  41.84121238397941,
                  22.29309914888149,
                  46.351152210157146,
                  28.007691933627868,
                  21.94755898639294,
                  20.266817327369022,
                  33.69478422739527,
                  22.331026247094236,
                  22.41458255810279
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.92534574035464,
                  22.089318991170305,
                  40.08494619654123,
                  23.890249665507238,
                  23.177153551992927,
                  21.71108717495611,
                  28.004720878699523,
                  19.009192462863844,
                  25.3617561381083
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  41.36321197367257,
                  21.87858186704996,
                  45.95458726147217,
                  27.574315736567137,
                  21.54112751184071,
                  19.769003146594038,
                  33.245869491403205,
                  21.838037853549746,
                  21.90894127680163
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.950951294224595,
                  21.114924545040267,
                  39.11055175041119,
                  22.915855219377203,
                  22.202759105862885,
                  20.736692728826064,
                  27.03032643256948,
                  18.034798016733802,
                  24.38736169197826
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4593063183948379,
              "rpss": 0.004445127039390928,
              "brier_below": 0.17216351637717311,
              "bss_below": -0.00048218046162729067,
              "brier_above": 0.287142790484875,
              "bss_above": 0.00737620918008941,
              "crps": 28.79421389144446,
              "crpss": -0.05665215330827866,
              "crps_fair": 28.341519568772352,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07860759281197938,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.16209,
                    0.814048,
                    0.023861,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2888,
                    0.3392,
                    0.4108,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1361,
                    0.1938,
                    0.1281,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.116567,
                    0.854845,
                    0.028588,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2897,
                    0.3422,
                    0.4113,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4959,
                    0.5386,
                    0.5678,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "eqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.773000842032102,
            "training": [
              0.7190141378026995,
              0.7634295744912013,
              0.7792024047546305,
              0.7764526104357601,
              0.871036973900555,
              0.7763345034667954,
              0.7971096748105037,
              0.7694353707007971,
              0.768076170720531,
              0.7462599599475016,
              0.8269023849881211,
              0.7582820325641471,
              0.766356846075332,
              0.7853971085157574,
              0.779125324168596,
              0.779138501352932,
              0.7827780111075694,
              0.7742193493592064,
              0.7747307549849575,
              0.7439318348870485,
              0.7723124591202186,
              0.7407996141997931,
              0.7122665259065448,
              0.7894280805092488
            ],
            "test": 0.7922654483665281
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4794852729971389,
                  0.48046268701924516,
                  0.4552277078042531,
                  0.4405254766519339,
                  0.436557152228891,
                  0.46110967615405163,
                  0.4362910065493668,
                  0.4303229266012028,
                  0.4488231631126719,
                  0.48663663148199077,
                  0.44765530538952897,
                  0.4183973355789713,
                  0.4355244675171861,
                  0.43701578099738536,
                  0.46575758503164916,
                  0.41818276853908226,
                  0.4689537826847412,
                  0.4212482818186959,
                  0.4236492129149808,
                  0.5043500382331876,
                  0.46166311224769674,
                  0.4659645784581341,
                  0.4834020849044294,
                  0.46399139226902253
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.44828178439893784,
                  0.4780636046945905,
                  0.45403117539434756,
                  0.4408998664630428,
                  0.4626710009670124,
                  0.4675652855175825,
                  0.45088178363034326,
                  0.4339622485969375,
                  0.4457739713411614,
                  0.48115608104505214,
                  0.46731020302909526,
                  0.40902067319593455,
                  0.4238503280124456,
                  0.44888898670135347,
                  0.4836531086639868,
                  0.4215019666820851,
                  0.47209090525934455,
                  0.42365664384275686,
                  0.43223368035833454,
                  0.4869745630233523,
                  0.45947832667944477,
                  0.45033952255554077,
                  0.45381281595427836,
                  0.4698444532531743
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2552182864617089,
                  0.21900609280733677,
                  0.2644801791781245,
                  0.2335820088974123,
                  0.2442062972920283,
                  0.22024584703543307,
                  0.24238954879983837,
                  0.23654404001159748,
                  0.23496477078284186,
                  0.2359587186163742,
                  0.24297746340837809,
                  0.20369539467942888,
                  0.21079657844442798,
                  0.17119844487028868,
                  0.12613526302196132,
                  0.20294041970074,
                  0.2929907599562307,
                  0.17446877110782863,
                  0.17783379291491327,
                  0.19508384989075886,
                  0.25636632410806753,
                  0.21258103432896394,
                  0.24865220312938516,
                  0.31909880396136964
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24364607658776927,
                  0.2167833637959483,
                  0.26200244695541064,
                  0.2335398229822821,
                  0.2599592835854335,
                  0.22410814370662485,
                  0.24638536370420897,
                  0.23420103701671963,
                  0.23335651499978938,
                  0.23810578482707784,
                  0.25468721411875095,
                  0.19406452747606567,
                  0.20425741444224962,
                  0.17808060941226778,
                  0.14096115009371765,
                  0.20696214106709115,
                  0.29480390564951164,
                  0.17663004534290416,
                  0.18425554277680625,
                  0.18520467260263995,
                  0.25555913109943895,
                  0.207082427269816,
                  0.23258804671993344,
                  0.32153762962536103
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2242669866906221,
                  0.2614565943341948,
                  0.19074752750261909,
                  0.20694346722982115,
                  0.19235085534103671,
                  0.24086382986331994,
                  0.19390145709712914,
                  0.1937788861173464,
                  0.21385839218382804,
                  0.25067791280626645,
                  0.20467784207274564,
                  0.21470194047962832,
                  0.22472788808456257,
                  0.26581733712941,
                  0.3396223228028645,
                  0.21524234835455394,
                  0.17596302131191813,
                  0.24677951109629442,
                  0.24581542035854065,
                  0.3092661899732915,
                  0.20529678750636216,
                  0.25338354386376255,
                  0.23474988129382848,
                  0.1448925876167659
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.20463570781908508,
                  0.2612802408995609,
                  0.1920287284468534,
                  0.20736004348867731,
                  0.20271171736051702,
                  0.2434571418390764,
                  0.20449641993405068,
                  0.19976121159863708,
                  0.21241745636061743,
                  0.24305029625298225,
                  0.21262298892876352,
                  0.2149561457217039,
                  0.2195929135561274,
                  0.27080837732842866,
                  0.3426919585851556,
                  0.21453982563780633,
                  0.17728699964486266,
                  0.24702659841398025,
                  0.24797813761256063,
                  0.30176989039964386,
                  0.20391919556164534,
                  0.24325709524448394,
                  0.22122476926537735,
                  0.14830682364623232
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.91426396027561,
                  26.240067308817682,
                  16.305652004248653,
                  17.162310600243856,
                  17.028715930401216,
                  21.0071422151613,
                  17.333501586606197,
                  16.295107533016953,
                  19.170500119304766,
                  22.483378018535632,
                  15.032958626916598,
                  14.632827589725174,
                  15.046749712726802,
                  15.930635167841512,
                  30.844412878420073,
                  14.91154749500071,
                  26.621422176194763,
                  14.963784305929208,
                  15.417422053962259,
                  28.62049751055143,
                  16.361098105959567,
                  18.8707556230569,
                  22.110751957996523,
                  20.72733266977001
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.40286903169342,
                  22.980285367240008,
                  16.04453582917209,
                  16.01544976173602,
                  18.23475961955163,
                  20.24434837659676,
                  16.05965168074466,
                  15.699377570210324,
                  17.593278632094517,
                  22.75728628237246,
                  16.76392185931309,
                  13.531282337003354,
                  14.073597103535487,
                  16.90050283907696,
                  32.670568611232945,
                  13.245890750422944,
                  24.87859016163376,
                  15.432698428298984,
                  15.601474071525136,
                  24.538292073716153,
                  15.517039557550994,
                  16.567178418053995,
                  17.75216265190863,
                  16.345490750873054
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.264720957580277,
                  25.582426194750003,
                  15.716587226155264,
                  16.53287582092822,
                  16.46778230280796,
                  20.328511666325156,
                  16.683271086134635,
                  15.681513730368952,
                  18.537947317740446,
                  21.859404019042916,
                  14.403263760327448,
                  14.036975421211364,
                  14.377870008585285,
                  15.282289042446344,
                  30.339935735108444,
                  14.259347217134216,
                  25.97619200607372,
                  14.285956419560911,
                  14.710297934338742,
                  27.99654041509484,
                  15.665326680404668,
                  18.20319805162304,
                  21.485227152099593,
                  20.1394853095005
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.643013178327948,
                  22.229098862994885,
                  15.280213435650335,
                  15.251072280965328,
                  17.47458537714802,
                  19.48798017350574,
                  15.295357915729673,
                  14.934401467864777,
                  16.8318894635783,
                  22.0056774313757,
                  16.000961939333273,
                  12.762199993685826,
                  13.305541871518209,
                  16.137801595195178,
                  31.937734916162057,
                  12.476267892736892,
                  24.130998931620457,
                  14.667217251821024,
                  14.836312545886626,
                  23.790056339748453,
                  14.751718118060262,
                  15.803845877920272,
                  16.991074400096608,
                  15.581738347733312
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45296655946605985,
              "rpss": -0.0004835703569703309,
              "brier_below": 0.2258922872252266,
              "bss_below": 0.0013534212868349105,
              "brier_above": 0.22707427212961304,
              "bss_above": -0.0023177172688075842,
              "crps": 19.459701464610976,
              "crpss": -0.06664900752188996,
              "crps_fair": 18.825706061472623,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07676279070605108,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000169,
                    0.003778,
                    0.067851,
                    0.864045,
                    0.064156,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0815,
                    0.1637,
                    0.2873,
                    0.345,
                    0.4167,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.3333,
                    0.0672,
                    0.3006,
                    0.3543,
                    0.3101,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.07219,
                    0.867716,
                    0.060094,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2888,
                    0.346,
                    0.4209,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.393,
                    0.3449,
                    0.3193,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.49623976360271377,
                  0.49712172121582243,
                  0.450440540149557,
                  0.4264605370942673,
                  0.43966546291969244,
                  0.4522909945895689,
                  0.44193229578916854,
                  0.43861056261815595,
                  0.4775344565680701,
                  0.44939969910820393,
                  0.43748112778762993,
                  0.42133126843738145,
                  0.4077683107460117,
                  0.4198687414666752,
                  0.4464070633987866,
                  0.41257273048086185,
                  0.519749804902508,
                  0.4365414088385864,
                  0.430097602848849,
                  0.49515175109629767,
                  0.46013126871006715,
                  0.4820391156837444,
                  0.4728051596750074,
                  0.4633627537124065
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4656268773487567,
                  0.47905520254523853,
                  0.44987819562667175,
                  0.4222690397368383,
                  0.473189675792112,
                  0.46370659625075544,
                  0.4533706691746612,
                  0.44043707163708307,
                  0.4658910246954573,
                  0.4835074529423111,
                  0.44476293120584887,
                  0.42294488325801144,
                  0.4035717243423909,
                  0.4341110496580427,
                  0.4840392053398089,
                  0.41705895616907784,
                  0.5102516956651021,
                  0.44254446083186355,
                  0.4407978919737273,
                  0.46885745291344016,
                  0.4562595884170463,
                  0.45934219841451757,
                  0.4469383691099854,
                  0.4493098079235744
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22204828901995885,
                  0.25529943152967083,
                  0.2618961857200545,
                  0.214515076807227,
                  0.286441631175458,
                  0.1626554398061409,
                  0.2140211711418315,
                  0.22414128696634814,
                  0.3070690220033093,
                  0.29314305299171023,
                  0.1656074625659647,
                  0.21950287420356052,
                  0.20888502590048122,
                  0.18667343198169198,
                  0.12054884681477264,
                  0.18689553432252423,
                  0.3869818161563,
                  0.16359783687291457,
                  0.1821080962794506,
                  0.20690829508857755,
                  0.27992374542292564,
                  0.17076672784683494,
                  0.21544327621392864,
                  0.2916107792898001
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20639084196205096,
                  0.24828230441497257,
                  0.2605442628100996,
                  0.21079044758429427,
                  0.3079691007315029,
                  0.1701970420969503,
                  0.21556851840134683,
                  0.2221603579843514,
                  0.2986746145123454,
                  0.31773717985625455,
                  0.16972492982842746,
                  0.2191151329533314,
                  0.20714815598586803,
                  0.19476475401412452,
                  0.14137875328774757,
                  0.19387986053487954,
                  0.37971397960807707,
                  0.16798860633846377,
                  0.18789536861046913,
                  0.1944206391015046,
                  0.27728056202918344,
                  0.16316626564473996,
                  0.1984248046321673,
                  0.28086225383117586
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2741914744612161,
                  0.24182228988495366,
                  0.18854435335801278,
                  0.21194545997290293,
                  0.15322383236066453,
                  0.2896355563056567,
                  0.22791112449141868,
                  0.21446927528669232,
                  0.17046543305157533,
                  0.15625664588978574,
                  0.2718736656778324,
                  0.2018283936950693,
                  0.1988832838850735,
                  0.2331953092185446,
                  0.325858217238037,
                  0.22567719646031706,
                  0.1327679863728322,
                  0.2729435733329002,
                  0.2479895068963642,
                  0.2882434565018118,
                  0.1802075219337011,
                  0.31127238938623597,
                  0.2573618827506788,
                  0.17175197349090673
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2592360353867057,
                  0.23077289813026597,
                  0.18933393281657201,
                  0.21147859215254405,
                  0.165220575060609,
                  0.29350955415380503,
                  0.23780215077331432,
                  0.21827671365273166,
                  0.1672164101831118,
                  0.1657702730860564,
                  0.2750380013774213,
                  0.20382975030467998,
                  0.19642356835652286,
                  0.23934629564391813,
                  0.34266045205206114,
                  0.22317909563419822,
                  0.1305377160570248,
                  0.27455585449339964,
                  0.2529025233632581,
                  0.2744368138119354,
                  0.17897902638786278,
                  0.2961759327697775,
                  0.2485135644778181,
                  0.16844755409239837
                ],
                "crps": [
                  35.26395597926858,
                  35.03973337409677,
                  22.861409140934086,
                  24.243480667151324,
                  23.050453573062317,
                  28.541957461561033,
                  25.899593669155177,
                  23.356546946295257,
                  27.09968210460833,
                  22.279016903296633,
                  22.42089209056693,
                  19.507556393310395,
                  18.59484625300145,
                  19.836911101715888,
                  31.713575440852978,
                  20.32441586875384,
                  39.976845110151835,
                  21.06900975958987,
                  20.235540471102862,
                  33.16548745031417,
                  22.759552855267337,
                  27.355432376432322,
                  31.16823165877678,
                  27.80573355012484
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.829005594094255,
                  30.789517415890057,
                  22.274178691284046,
                  22.400405790699597,
                  24.562013785862174,
                  28.743909674086105,
                  23.41639624632185,
                  22.294597973023507,
                  23.939813933834774,
                  26.00809173405538,
                  23.784893985415945,
                  18.638495127121324,
                  17.665545158908575,
                  21.356757879360448,
                  35.9519633499581,
                  17.515074119812123,
                  37.22123503260143,
                  21.861619454593054,
                  20.60004209571915,
                  27.362334214151744,
                  21.305435294168266,
                  23.9623386515102,
                  25.131651915716713,
                  22.03810998188434
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  34.44173672123143,
                  34.19807971885223,
                  22.08513580231943,
                  23.378564780731526,
                  22.34196639744178,
                  27.63959176092591,
                  25.0222746731957,
                  22.521737703328277,
                  26.244389027453288,
                  21.39211557723719,
                  21.564031967422086,
                  18.65527595867684,
                  17.71961833987882,
                  18.972013322677473,
                  31.02227980417282,
                  19.436645534909815,
                  39.14742050176924,
                  20.160575803450865,
                  19.296737454909234,
                  32.34266221219788,
                  21.857685220540752,
                  26.49017281799317,
                  30.38331734159217,
                  26.982395204006313
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.816842345274544,
                  29.784855136429805,
                  21.25338887636053,
                  21.37985504225225,
                  23.545556991951106,
                  27.7353731375391,
                  22.397769722222264,
                  21.27384683098207,
                  22.922178731113057,
                  24.994373724137105,
                  22.766965373701,
                  17.610819547871735,
                  16.63602687138586,
                  20.334230525020402,
                  34.957078430221465,
                  16.48527084926081,
                  36.22875403650616,
                  20.840048277478832,
                  19.576081567546453,
                  26.351181057415474,
                  20.28281073796233,
                  22.944746109238622,
                  24.116273981900072,
                  21.01687306713241
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4531251725600014,
              "rpss": 0.0002498574174859547,
              "brier_below": 0.22611184733839318,
              "bss_below": 0.001360745949976483,
              "brier_above": 0.2270133250792993,
              "bss_above": -0.0008590786429283348,
              "crps": 25.982077508307956,
              "crpss": -0.06474210060899854,
              "crps_fair": 25.137350985288094,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07491337676120269,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.05944,
                    0.863981,
                    0.076579,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.292,
                    0.3439,
                    0.4176,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2645,
                    0.3546,
                    0.3184,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.073037,
                    0.879943,
                    0.04702,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2882,
                    0.3469,
                    0.4162,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4813,
                    0.3333,
                    0.4104,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4895858752388707,
                  0.47800799892407503,
                  0.47181968583344674,
                  0.4852298724095953,
                  0.4642214856108936,
                  0.4220753502361468,
                  0.4525931278172921,
                  0.44124931857218763,
                  0.4335298395150212
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4947890992304722,
                  0.4753205974707632,
                  0.4560866594726808,
                  0.47037878645621833,
                  0.47299821491804606,
                  0.4357581018035622,
                  0.4528379078704793,
                  0.43596840945468646,
                  0.4603811312931576
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13940632517895374,
                  0.21780006135968055,
                  0.16827751693352616,
                  0.16070810722689574,
                  0.1798959012764939,
                  0.1957347247851499,
                  0.16308037222210758,
                  0.2617291169665649,
                  0.17669992403592463
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14043822061767963,
                  0.21741971507988192,
                  0.16137133777697532,
                  0.15421278761631982,
                  0.1844784913304739,
                  0.20067295850650194,
                  0.1605724275435595,
                  0.2610749478831005,
                  0.18824828684533776
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3501795276921825,
                  0.26020793058582514,
                  0.30354215596992096,
                  0.32452174797538996,
                  0.2843255725862177,
                  0.22634062403577937,
                  0.28951274369121166,
                  0.17952021084167993,
                  0.25682990753039536
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.35435085494429375,
                  0.2579008762312236,
                  0.2947153086203139,
                  0.31616598226162707,
                  0.28851971169071594,
                  0.23508514114649787,
                  0.2922654680223936,
                  0.17489347015413084,
                  0.272132835460955
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.426084545840503,
                  16.932674109310923,
                  29.81459634038944,
                  22.184379589568508,
                  17.02824837509962,
                  14.841440400840366,
                  24.488765311196474,
                  15.77449051993981,
                  15.559553097722818
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.281647851966547,
                  17.15803927516819,
                  25.993136341641158,
                  19.58864279444303,
                  17.83614860391533,
                  15.27535033028718,
                  21.278592720172202,
                  13.65283925983951,
                  17.80733890498982
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.067511857987714,
                  16.63034116165669,
                  29.504070080930536,
                  21.884517279869172,
                  16.727670153880275,
                  14.505197959057986,
                  24.140762756436867,
                  15.422391524454136,
                  15.208878004278228
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  28.553163894312622,
                  16.429555317514268,
                  25.26465238398724,
                  18.860158836789104,
                  17.107664646261412,
                  14.546866372633263,
                  20.55010876251828,
                  12.924355302185589,
                  17.078854947335895
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4598125060175032,
              "rpss": 0.003900897834752226,
              "brier_below": 0.18481467222058856,
              "bss_below": 0.003090894023988544,
              "brier_above": 0.2749978245454003,
              "bss_above": 0.004444527695022904,
              "crps": 20.56113692110094,
              "crpss": -0.04035771149250533,
              "crps_fair": 20.232371197616846,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06290130101487001,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000226,
                    0.004285,
                    0.072423,
                    0.916739,
                    0.006327,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0931,
                    0.1638,
                    0.2879,
                    0.3368,
                    0.407,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.3333,
                    0.1229,
                    0.1486,
                    0.2312,
                    0.0835,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.078322,
                    0.902759,
                    0.018919,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2914,
                    0.3402,
                    0.4039,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.5282,
                    0.4918,
                    0.5215,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5015697806747856,
                  0.46990578959226137,
                  0.5009219274972024,
                  0.4613452250926882,
                  0.45221117247944137,
                  0.42486309359272956,
                  0.4589534028014345,
                  0.44242404814145647,
                  0.42774445728202204
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5102317652431445,
                  0.47433267737964163,
                  0.4783180441293248,
                  0.4525347847419441,
                  0.4603745980834287,
                  0.4422445935566512,
                  0.44415660691947745,
                  0.4338588592002403,
                  0.45616205495422807
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12467910860426495,
                  0.2507413919855687,
                  0.1500315057503129,
                  0.16182360947867577,
                  0.15721683554489824,
                  0.1613623931950817,
                  0.16805659311282442,
                  0.26046518276524205,
                  0.11423775307825
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.126539540948379,
                  0.2545659968360651,
                  0.13841351661655463,
                  0.1589549412230946,
                  0.16053153657975874,
                  0.16798009656758436,
                  0.15927262223192998,
                  0.25847884644300917,
                  0.1239877850693975
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3768906444445789,
                  0.21916439693360712,
                  0.3508904002544228,
                  0.2995216023870136,
                  0.29499432385109814,
                  0.26350069310233953,
                  0.2908967973865197,
                  0.18195887512847583,
                  0.3135066862743632
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.38369219542168237,
                  0.21976668098266122,
                  0.33990450646953646,
                  0.2935798307591138,
                  0.29984304762398367,
                  0.27426448768318373,
                  0.28488397348275224,
                  0.17538002113326967,
                  0.3321742502238743
                ],
                "crps": [
                  40.28722719630344,
                  21.56644432590397,
                  45.75515452718554,
                  27.512199085474816,
                  22.02983923287593,
                  20.051860526030374,
                  33.04015791529747,
                  22.128420701078998,
                  21.623334559480114
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.92534574035464,
                  22.089318991170305,
                  40.08494619654123,
                  23.890249665507238,
                  23.177153551992927,
                  21.71108717495611,
                  28.004720878699523,
                  19.009192462863844,
                  25.3617561381083
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.82723674227458,
                  21.156125263456577,
                  45.353606427407236,
                  27.10157504013162,
                  21.624227789244795,
                  19.587965285291013,
                  32.60310874382901,
                  21.656825734860703,
                  21.14871544431359
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.950951294224595,
                  21.114924545040267,
                  39.11055175041119,
                  22.915855219377203,
                  22.202759105862885,
                  20.736692728826064,
                  27.03032643256948,
                  18.034798016733802,
                  24.38736169197826
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45999321079489125,
              "rpss": 0.0029562751584444324,
              "brier_below": 0.17206826372390208,
              "bss_below": 7.135482996489806e-05,
              "brier_above": 0.28792493552915766,
              "bss_above": 0.004672412307753393,
              "crps": 28.221626452181184,
              "crpss": -0.03564009328344908,
              "crps_fair": 27.78437627453435,
              "crpss_fair": -0.057404107727449194,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.05795,
                    0.94205,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2899,
                    0.3353,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.125,
                    0.1865,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.06037,
                    0.931032,
                    0.008598,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2937,
                    0.3416,
                    0.4041,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.5619,
                    0.5329,
                    0.5153,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "gqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7105608067838028,
            "training": [
              0.6710612809123087,
              0.701239911736284,
              0.7140403731944932,
              0.7088441490358368,
              0.7787316172481603,
              0.719945920580578,
              0.7357225566410074,
              0.7077403248203706,
              0.704120900647939,
              0.6899474702443741,
              0.7549554885148242,
              0.6882703390846686,
              0.7086571491792213,
              0.7291976286077345,
              0.7207187324634104,
              0.7199427345649929,
              0.7167453410514414,
              0.7152214454457636,
              0.6990761309297522,
              0.6843917050612732,
              0.7088292107494698,
              0.69235362926224,
              0.6545447030053821,
              0.7291606198297389
            ],
            "test": 0.7430463762851803
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.491289639377858,
                  0.4776154937455723,
                  0.45522611975886185,
                  0.44388134475773583,
                  0.41585857386659103,
                  0.4672015076119594,
                  0.437899116921903,
                  0.43205389426684043,
                  0.44659200434662716,
                  0.4834896913632404,
                  0.4453490301245995,
                  0.41318256406136505,
                  0.43020540661968437,
                  0.4239625763442455,
                  0.4532006749085279,
                  0.4224067876206788,
                  0.46637190282886754,
                  0.41704460419845324,
                  0.4172142091937764,
                  0.4955543154439403,
                  0.4585899812080381,
                  0.473787054610225,
                  0.49435047396956966,
                  0.4665028700422575
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.44828178439893784,
                  0.4780636046945905,
                  0.45403117539434756,
                  0.4408998664630428,
                  0.4626710009670124,
                  0.4675652855175825,
                  0.45088178363034326,
                  0.4339622485969375,
                  0.4457739713411614,
                  0.48115608104505214,
                  0.46731020302909526,
                  0.40902067319593455,
                  0.4238503280124456,
                  0.44888898670135347,
                  0.4836531086639868,
                  0.4215019666820851,
                  0.47209090525934455,
                  0.42365664384275686,
                  0.43223368035833454,
                  0.4869745630233523,
                  0.45947832667944477,
                  0.45033952255554077,
                  0.45381281595427836,
                  0.4698444532531743
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2590186225049047,
                  0.22179436177556053,
                  0.26289626324850934,
                  0.23432243522570856,
                  0.23233730785529116,
                  0.2236268945403812,
                  0.24292217033641766,
                  0.23686044232464806,
                  0.2335768783305343,
                  0.2364572321084315,
                  0.24077277886834386,
                  0.20168171264918375,
                  0.20939271956449945,
                  0.16817206856741915,
                  0.11963197064812142,
                  0.20378546810743847,
                  0.29013271146141073,
                  0.17337530441412682,
                  0.17217772548258206,
                  0.18976848423423498,
                  0.2538579931003871,
                  0.21604947493023216,
                  0.2508558708587057,
                  0.31949388381180843
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24364607658776927,
                  0.2167833637959483,
                  0.26200244695541064,
                  0.2335398229822821,
                  0.2599592835854335,
                  0.22410814370662485,
                  0.24638536370420897,
                  0.23420103701671963,
                  0.23335651499978938,
                  0.23810578482707784,
                  0.25468721411875095,
                  0.19406452747606567,
                  0.20425741444224962,
                  0.17808060941226778,
                  0.14096115009371765,
                  0.20696214106709115,
                  0.29480390564951164,
                  0.17663004534290416,
                  0.18425554277680625,
                  0.18520467260263995,
                  0.25555913109943895,
                  0.207082427269816,
                  0.23258804671993344,
                  0.32153762962536103
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2322710169142203,
                  0.2558211311621807,
                  0.19232985598154526,
                  0.2095589089056756,
                  0.1835212664518392,
                  0.24357461364501892,
                  0.19497694587910927,
                  0.19519345142479586,
                  0.21301512554884167,
                  0.2470324593442857,
                  0.20457625105210495,
                  0.21150085125253604,
                  0.22081268632972123,
                  0.25579050744870135,
                  0.3335687050737319,
                  0.21862131931926598,
                  0.1762391902376126,
                  0.24366929971915025,
                  0.24503648383141352,
                  0.30578583280495314,
                  0.20473198721780123,
                  0.2577375792102296,
                  0.24349460335315992,
                  0.14700898597237258
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.20463570781908508,
                  0.2612802408995609,
                  0.1920287284468534,
                  0.20736004348867731,
                  0.20271171736051702,
                  0.2434571418390764,
                  0.20449641993405068,
                  0.19976121159863708,
                  0.21241745636061743,
                  0.24305029625298225,
                  0.21262298892876352,
                  0.2149561457217039,
                  0.2195929135561274,
                  0.27080837732842866,
                  0.3426919585851556,
                  0.21453982563780633,
                  0.17728699964486266,
                  0.24702659841398025,
                  0.24797813761256063,
                  0.30176989039964386,
                  0.20391919556164534,
                  0.24325709524448394,
                  0.22122476926537735,
                  0.14830682364623232
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.940560512538944,
                  26.41128612719353,
                  16.09752135000426,
                  16.950665446452035,
                  16.558432533212333,
                  20.707321684801215,
                  17.267094876269674,
                  16.223990913943034,
                  18.93351529661261,
                  22.250702176124193,
                  14.993808316377148,
                  14.142361716566494,
                  14.682011357309559,
                  15.454113375228937,
                  30.573885234623834,
                  14.91652116911601,
                  26.582387173974695,
                  14.821904756473435,
                  15.128987603812446,
                  28.014225474933056,
                  16.309150125568305,
                  18.856897357672345,
                  21.99296508090337,
                  20.676152775930923
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.40286903169342,
                  22.980285367240008,
                  16.04453582917209,
                  16.01544976173602,
                  18.23475961955163,
                  20.24434837659676,
                  16.05965168074466,
                  15.699377570210324,
                  17.593278632094517,
                  22.75728628237246,
                  16.76392185931309,
                  13.531282337003354,
                  14.073597103535487,
                  16.90050283907696,
                  32.670568611232945,
                  13.245890750422944,
                  24.87859016163376,
                  15.432698428298984,
                  15.601474071525136,
                  24.538292073716153,
                  15.517039557550994,
                  16.567178418053995,
                  17.75216265190863,
                  16.345490750873054
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.270653668767345,
                  25.775923057942883,
                  15.52748708488497,
                  16.319445072501132,
                  15.97623785006993,
                  20.015876299080993,
                  16.57144205329057,
                  15.619974122783004,
                  18.308517648432883,
                  21.594022240683767,
                  14.350681510075102,
                  13.541444754776627,
                  14.02023102143864,
                  14.810131334849915,
                  30.069468861403237,
                  14.259060160523735,
                  25.95168738092397,
                  14.148121919371349,
                  14.394578636797561,
                  27.386555179772202,
                  15.60451754065394,
                  18.19069685555701,
                  21.385905812138166,
                  20.07611165097371
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.643013178327948,
                  22.229098862994885,
                  15.280213435650335,
                  15.251072280965328,
                  17.47458537714802,
                  19.48798017350574,
                  15.295357915729673,
                  14.934401467864777,
                  16.8318894635783,
                  22.0056774313757,
                  16.000961939333273,
                  12.762199993685826,
                  13.305541871518209,
                  16.137801595195178,
                  31.937734916162057,
                  12.476267892736892,
                  24.130998931620457,
                  14.667217251821024,
                  14.836312545886626,
                  23.790056339748453,
                  14.751718118060262,
                  15.803845877920272,
                  16.991074400096608,
                  15.581738347733312
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4512012432163091,
              "rpss": 0.0034155472874792814,
              "brier_below": 0.22470669895620335,
              "bss_below": 0.0065947851384570155,
              "brier_above": 0.22649454408667777,
              "bss_above": 0.00024123264296371794,
              "crps": 19.270269268151768,
              "crpss": -0.05626561779140693,
              "crps_fair": 18.632032154903857,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06568533866027026,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    8.5e-05,
                    0.004313,
                    0.179292,
                    0.691565,
                    0.12455,
                    0.000195,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0887,
                    0.1636,
                    0.2835,
                    0.3448,
                    0.4266,
                    0.5014,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.6673,
                    0.0457,
                    0.2777,
                    0.3596,
                    0.3842,
                    0.5694,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.121808,
                    0.727606,
                    0.145863,
                    0.004723,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2821,
                    0.3486,
                    0.4284,
                    0.515,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3509,
                    0.3355,
                    0.4068,
                    0.1375,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.50230660579961,
                  0.5039675210751445,
                  0.44640025170246966,
                  0.4240431542541945,
                  0.4171896627020459,
                  0.44961641459221524,
                  0.43910006635143034,
                  0.43768992253179384,
                  0.4801657194527311,
                  0.4475321182791843,
                  0.4352721891898647,
                  0.4147242597428912,
                  0.40343711390337783,
                  0.4145971178295677,
                  0.4381712109363014,
                  0.4124389411159999,
                  0.5239884051854444,
                  0.4325492088737846,
                  0.4225567409684785,
                  0.49264007448567737,
                  0.4571791580681963,
                  0.4858094566186644,
                  0.47507424524034786,
                  0.46484818678258355
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4656268773487567,
                  0.47905520254523853,
                  0.44987819562667175,
                  0.4222690397368383,
                  0.473189675792112,
                  0.46370659625075544,
                  0.4533706691746612,
                  0.44043707163708307,
                  0.4658910246954573,
                  0.4835074529423111,
                  0.44476293120584887,
                  0.42294488325801144,
                  0.4035717243423909,
                  0.4341110496580427,
                  0.4840392053398089,
                  0.41705895616907784,
                  0.5102516956651021,
                  0.44254446083186355,
                  0.4407978919737273,
                  0.46885745291344016,
                  0.4562595884170463,
                  0.45934219841451757,
                  0.4469383691099854,
                  0.4493098079235744
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22580650018069262,
                  0.26031606587027245,
                  0.26004139905747975,
                  0.212009945236999,
                  0.2712613965470623,
                  0.16192711995247566,
                  0.21283902726589154,
                  0.22432717968298424,
                  0.3081117742532532,
                  0.29273773863182123,
                  0.1651139479555536,
                  0.21570158139540357,
                  0.2063988865706635,
                  0.18443327983539767,
                  0.11604818319299463,
                  0.1857423707399241,
                  0.38899442860980415,
                  0.1626781680513878,
                  0.17858118069288445,
                  0.20249162004360172,
                  0.2771144686377762,
                  0.17454990007916693,
                  0.21546014505578426,
                  0.2924782059042893
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20639084196205096,
                  0.24828230441497257,
                  0.2605442628100996,
                  0.21079044758429427,
                  0.3079691007315029,
                  0.1701970420969503,
                  0.21556851840134683,
                  0.2221603579843514,
                  0.2986746145123454,
                  0.31773717985625455,
                  0.16972492982842746,
                  0.2191151329533314,
                  0.20714815598586803,
                  0.19476475401412452,
                  0.14137875328774757,
                  0.19387986053487954,
                  0.37971397960807707,
                  0.16798860633846377,
                  0.18789536861046913,
                  0.1944206391015046,
                  0.27728056202918344,
                  0.16316626564473996,
                  0.1984248046321673,
                  0.28086225383117586
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2765001050237109,
                  0.24365145472324012,
                  0.18635885190725276,
                  0.21203320853543403,
                  0.14592826702022121,
                  0.28768929601192866,
                  0.22626103896194705,
                  0.21336274266515937,
                  0.1720539437246324,
                  0.15479437915282462,
                  0.27015824161079766,
                  0.19902267808437102,
                  0.19703822636707122,
                  0.2301638374245352,
                  0.3221230283405269,
                  0.22669657074606916,
                  0.1349939747361426,
                  0.26987104181338056,
                  0.24397555971970092,
                  0.29014845524154603,
                  0.18006468801399197,
                  0.31125955753305445,
                  0.2596140999440011,
                  0.17236998029594355
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2592360353867057,
                  0.23077289813026597,
                  0.18933393281657201,
                  0.21147859215254405,
                  0.165220575060609,
                  0.29350955415380503,
                  0.23780215077331432,
                  0.21827671365273166,
                  0.1672164101831118,
                  0.1657702730860564,
                  0.2750380013774213,
                  0.20382975030467998,
                  0.19642356835652286,
                  0.23934629564391813,
                  0.34266045205206114,
                  0.22317909563419822,
                  0.1305377160570248,
                  0.27455585449339964,
                  0.2529025233632581,
                  0.2744368138119354,
                  0.17897902638786278,
                  0.2961759327697775,
                  0.2485135644778181,
                  0.16844755409239837
                ],
                "crps": [
                  35.05098720073925,
                  35.17743842753169,
                  22.437291924713282,
                  23.78959454432946,
                  22.27510613032194,
                  27.95742648106157,
                  25.544797987543323,
                  23.198380345808566,
                  26.867897254074478,
                  22.160407728622598,
                  22.2655016231391,
                  18.797637049396865,
                  18.13552336969265,
                  19.47828045199597,
                  31.413584096352803,
                  19.972275716335396,
                  40.00596234039425,
                  20.69366525824037,
                  19.788318588647,
                  32.41754081470885,
                  22.536600503002607,
                  27.12586159984503,
                  30.653556450917915,
                  27.525496692719287
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.829005594094255,
                  30.789517415890057,
                  22.274178691284046,
                  22.400405790699597,
                  24.562013785862174,
                  28.743909674086105,
                  23.41639624632185,
                  22.294597973023507,
                  23.939813933834774,
                  26.00809173405538,
                  23.784893985415945,
                  18.638495127121324,
                  17.665545158908575,
                  21.356757879360448,
                  35.9519633499581,
                  17.515074119812123,
                  37.22123503260143,
                  21.861619454593054,
                  20.60004209571915,
                  27.362334214151744,
                  21.305435294168266,
                  23.9623386515102,
                  25.131651915716713,
                  22.03810998188434
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  34.18627472639611,
                  34.35510131692368,
                  21.68757582618114,
                  22.92536260553747,
                  21.51047617495468,
                  27.046845374138403,
                  24.629073914669647,
                  22.38018026072707,
                  26.02449314941116,
                  21.235224539338244,
                  21.40325099832207,
                  17.96093313806466,
                  17.281664388825313,
                  18.621327810016403,
                  30.73129693175752,
                  19.075971368585204,
                  39.17725821276659,
                  19.803074913169315,
                  18.811295035781146,
                  31.58263813607485,
                  21.636516254270163,
                  26.26244014386481,
                  29.873041685181214,
                  26.707624592816597
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.816842345274544,
                  29.784855136429805,
                  21.25338887636053,
                  21.37985504225225,
                  23.545556991951106,
                  27.7353731375391,
                  22.397769722222264,
                  21.27384683098207,
                  22.922178731113057,
                  24.994373724137105,
                  22.766965373701,
                  17.610819547871735,
                  16.63602687138586,
                  20.334230525020402,
                  34.957078430221465,
                  16.48527084926081,
                  36.22875403650616,
                  20.840048277478832,
                  19.576081567546453,
                  26.351181057415474,
                  20.28281073796233,
                  22.944746109238622,
                  24.116273981900072,
                  21.01687306713241
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4508874060700833,
              "rpss": 0.005187140761782394,
              "brier_below": 0.22479852139348186,
              "bss_below": 0.007161144546463882,
              "brier_above": 0.2260888844832285,
              "bss_above": 0.0032166061783056588,
              "crps": 25.636213857505595,
              "crpss": -0.05056865393361831,
              "crps_fair": 24.787872562407227,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05996911983198561,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.169991,
                    0.682492,
                    0.147317,
                    0.0002,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2857,
                    0.3443,
                    0.4281,
                    0.5022,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2669,
                    0.3561,
                    0.3932,
                    0.4987,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.145477,
                    0.746652,
                    0.10787,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2817,
                    0.3474,
                    0.4227,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3678,
                    0.3303,
                    0.4416,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4866812862350748,
                  0.4744311067207662,
                  0.473408940181277,
                  0.48211718340266857,
                  0.4576823143145888,
                  0.42040901270815045,
                  0.45095053516928063,
                  0.4403073134082333,
                  0.4320324104760365
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4947890992304722,
                  0.4753205974707632,
                  0.4560866594726808,
                  0.47037878645621833,
                  0.47299821491804606,
                  0.4357581018035622,
                  0.4528379078704793,
                  0.43596840945468646,
                  0.4603811312931576
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13907350872218854,
                  0.21949697383163488,
                  0.16972817394564577,
                  0.15925478723895004,
                  0.1764318044624346,
                  0.19466472961607872,
                  0.16387433541906854,
                  0.2594115256278143,
                  0.17597807615547992
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14043822061767963,
                  0.21741971507988192,
                  0.16137133777697532,
                  0.15421278761631982,
                  0.1844784913304739,
                  0.20067295850650194,
                  0.1605724275435595,
                  0.2610749478831005,
                  0.18824828684533776
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.34760775576071373,
                  0.2549341262166622,
                  0.30368075369619557,
                  0.3228623792292302,
                  0.28125049880880304,
                  0.22574428224078485,
                  0.28707618847784916,
                  0.1808957975192633,
                  0.25605432682974644
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.35435085494429375,
                  0.2579008762312236,
                  0.2947153086203139,
                  0.31616598226162707,
                  0.28851971169071594,
                  0.23508514114649787,
                  0.2922654680223936,
                  0.17489347015413084,
                  0.272132835460955
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.42881459224011,
                  16.908160628296187,
                  29.53149029082166,
                  21.791391558677862,
                  16.57971701635268,
                  14.787765973484012,
                  24.214923000181667,
                  15.339160717085933,
                  15.44054485805714
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.281647851966547,
                  17.15803927516819,
                  25.993136341641158,
                  19.58864279444303,
                  17.83614860391533,
                  15.27535033028718,
                  21.278592720172202,
                  13.65283925983951,
                  17.80733890498982
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.068406284656113,
                  16.601473216680006,
                  29.22961961182852,
                  21.483159994001817,
                  16.281233794562706,
                  14.43712807929774,
                  23.863998920214144,
                  14.983147300512975,
                  15.078007175741709
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  28.553163894312622,
                  16.429555317514268,
                  25.26465238398724,
                  18.860158836789104,
                  17.107664646261412,
                  14.546866372633263,
                  20.55010876251828,
                  12.924355302185589,
                  17.078854947335895
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.457557789179564,
              "rpss": 0.00878532657150044,
              "brier_below": 0.18421265722436614,
              "bss_below": 0.00633822403549289,
              "brier_above": 0.27334512319769433,
              "bss_above": 0.010427687283701137,
              "crps": 20.335774292799695,
              "crpss": -0.028954755073553384,
              "crps_fair": 20.00290826416619,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0508465374818583,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004735,
                    0.196184,
                    0.762266,
                    0.036816,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1644,
                    0.2865,
                    0.341,
                    0.4144,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1112,
                    0.1697,
                    0.2415,
                    0.162,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.116737,
                    0.816131,
                    0.067133,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2892,
                    0.3467,
                    0.418,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.5284,
                    0.489,
                    0.5124,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4968672492522671,
                  0.4741269756416374,
                  0.5061471238772505,
                  0.4594041472221032,
                  0.44656096145759494,
                  0.41840424692913547,
                  0.4587096457819615,
                  0.4413658446827956,
                  0.42008417855791536
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5102317652431445,
                  0.47433267737964163,
                  0.4783180441293248,
                  0.4525347847419441,
                  0.4603745980834287,
                  0.4422445935566512,
                  0.44415660691947745,
                  0.4338588592002403,
                  0.45616205495422807
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12335286758862361,
                  0.2531783041765177,
                  0.15361990158605734,
                  0.1598365079759206,
                  0.1555505286947474,
                  0.15963824041858796,
                  0.16874451176580083,
                  0.25889460907289347,
                  0.1121507354566516
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.126539540948379,
                  0.2545659968360651,
                  0.13841351661655463,
                  0.1589549412230946,
                  0.16053153657975874,
                  0.16798009656758436,
                  0.15927262223192998,
                  0.25847884644300917,
                  0.1239877850693975
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3735143544257587,
                  0.22094867057967832,
                  0.3525272011006282,
                  0.2995676265529564,
                  0.2910104198652889,
                  0.25876599948084095,
                  0.28996512172649014,
                  0.1824712453763471,
                  0.3079334256283774
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.38369219542168237,
                  0.21976668098266122,
                  0.33990450646953646,
                  0.2935798307591138,
                  0.29984304762398367,
                  0.27426448768318373,
                  0.28488397348275224,
                  0.17538002113326967,
                  0.3321742502238743
                ],
                "crps": [
                  40.14105928607528,
                  21.739038286385874,
                  45.397554992810946,
                  27.02837092230719,
                  21.564324098575618,
                  19.694803946504575,
                  32.64515853800664,
                  21.636001326284173,
                  21.180163039708088
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.92534574035464,
                  22.089318991170305,
                  40.08494619654123,
                  23.890249665507238,
                  23.177153551992927,
                  21.71108717495611,
                  28.004720878699523,
                  19.009192462863844,
                  25.3617561381083
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.67635607666655,
                  21.323809748316034,
                  45.003785811672245,
                  26.61483856050628,
                  21.16603892032262,
                  19.220290573527745,
                  32.1939634828775,
                  21.160501664776714,
                  20.696333544576923
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.950951294224595,
                  21.114924545040267,
                  39.11055175041119,
                  22.915855219377203,
                  22.202759105862885,
                  20.736692728826064,
                  27.03032643256948,
                  18.034798016733802,
                  24.38736169197826
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45796337482251787,
              "rpss": 0.007355981874148432,
              "brier_below": 0.17166291185953336,
              "bss_below": 0.002426948661060524,
              "brier_above": 0.286300451637374,
              "bss_above": 0.010288089985278415,
              "crps": 27.89183049296204,
              "crpss": -0.023537675354101673,
              "crps_fair": 27.45065759813807,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04470360670629714,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.174795,
                    0.796983,
                    0.028221,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2884,
                    0.3399,
                    0.4118,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.137,
                    0.1951,
                    0.122,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.128128,
                    0.823253,
                    0.048618,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2897,
                    0.3451,
                    0.4124,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.5336,
                    0.5313,
                    0.5918,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8150289798956202,
            "training": [
              0.7761664487637673,
              0.8244094541947807,
              0.814335297974363,
              0.8118960597939922,
              0.876680332074832,
              0.8188175203510724,
              0.8394776076650462,
              0.8172768765749197,
              0.8120305881789728,
              0.7917057810247027,
              0.8501197337034394,
              0.7964719540713057,
              0.8078993140686804,
              0.8306702340874548,
              0.813006562219265,
              0.821518444966965,
              0.832377504637055,
              0.8098659809880536,
              0.8063619007778825,
              0.8084065150543834,
              0.8126792532738267,
              0.7878356130454506,
              0.769917398445415,
              0.8307691415592623
            ],
            "test": 0.8373853938571981
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4805504016554824,
                  0.4696745251801063,
                  0.4563591760147419,
                  0.44280378668738557,
                  0.4307119955005809,
                  0.45908567868315636,
                  0.43044573227082833,
                  0.4293694957852827,
                  0.44600346855911066,
                  0.49653936354089934,
                  0.4432149414251334,
                  0.4254476445242328,
                  0.4383528920797395,
                  0.4331208298130239,
                  0.4737008999654027,
                  0.420119240110849,
                  0.4618230995763423,
                  0.4213606686303377,
                  0.42745622455374654,
                  0.49425369417326864,
                  0.46187068546792753,
                  0.4714484719849698,
                  0.4877453363188223,
                  0.45513288988231737
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.44828178439893784,
                  0.4780636046945905,
                  0.45403117539434756,
                  0.4408998664630428,
                  0.4626710009670124,
                  0.4675652855175825,
                  0.45088178363034326,
                  0.4339622485969375,
                  0.4457739713411614,
                  0.48115608104505214,
                  0.46731020302909526,
                  0.40902067319593455,
                  0.4238503280124456,
                  0.44888898670135347,
                  0.4836531086639868,
                  0.4215019666820851,
                  0.47209090525934455,
                  0.42365664384275686,
                  0.43223368035833454,
                  0.4869745630233523,
                  0.45947832667944477,
                  0.45033952255554077,
                  0.45381281595427836,
                  0.4698444532531743
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25493776779190835,
                  0.21609693263462815,
                  0.26509537588080523,
                  0.23467778712294898,
                  0.23980830254385424,
                  0.2203880274810198,
                  0.23744067001190633,
                  0.23546883440540597,
                  0.2338534250583847,
                  0.24459227873224412,
                  0.2387638287210559,
                  0.21055804162736627,
                  0.21344907672464272,
                  0.16940713517898875,
                  0.13404408153831177,
                  0.20579301193195748,
                  0.2889963771610008,
                  0.17559166857578487,
                  0.17783149769275258,
                  0.18957998429257047,
                  0.25688099517826574,
                  0.21623090999345262,
                  0.24761598720706368,
                  0.3099815237868821
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24364607658776927,
                  0.2167833637959483,
                  0.26200244695541064,
                  0.2335398229822821,
                  0.2599592835854335,
                  0.22410814370662485,
                  0.24638536370420897,
                  0.23420103701671963,
                  0.23335651499978938,
                  0.23810578482707784,
                  0.25468721411875095,
                  0.19406452747606567,
                  0.20425741444224962,
                  0.17808060941226778,
                  0.14096115009371765,
                  0.20696214106709115,
                  0.29480390564951164,
                  0.17663004534290416,
                  0.18425554277680625,
                  0.18520467260263995,
                  0.25555913109943895,
                  0.207082427269816,
                  0.23258804671993344,
                  0.32153762962536103
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22561263395497802,
                  0.2535775918939392,
                  0.19126379958918,
                  0.20812599946072105,
                  0.19090369317646097,
                  0.23869765153154432,
                  0.19300506211735205,
                  0.19390066126728586,
                  0.21215004309293495,
                  0.25194708393382953,
                  0.20445111307931887,
                  0.21488960263868195,
                  0.22490381448829785,
                  0.2637136944480993,
                  0.339656818939571,
                  0.2143262282071939,
                  0.17282672166901386,
                  0.2457690000486887,
                  0.24962472738622749,
                  0.30467371076492666,
                  0.20498968948332869,
                  0.25521756176226473,
                  0.24012934989767304,
                  0.14515136615502638
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.20463570781908508,
                  0.2612802408995609,
                  0.1920287284468534,
                  0.20736004348867731,
                  0.20271171736051702,
                  0.2434571418390764,
                  0.20449641993405068,
                  0.19976121159863708,
                  0.21241745636061743,
                  0.24305029625298225,
                  0.21262298892876352,
                  0.2149561457217039,
                  0.2195929135561274,
                  0.27080837732842866,
                  0.3426919585851556,
                  0.21453982563780633,
                  0.17728699964486266,
                  0.24702659841398025,
                  0.24797813761256063,
                  0.30176989039964386,
                  0.20391919556164534,
                  0.24325709524448394,
                  0.22122476926537735,
                  0.14830682364623232
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.124532947412007,
                  26.86381117981141,
                  16.44129904721819,
                  17.298163942097002,
                  16.75614085574567,
                  21.38086765501574,
                  17.846466432068997,
                  16.339826495142045,
                  19.155971367203627,
                  23.982371177416322,
                  15.003631582532341,
                  15.855449897124679,
                  15.551278886847205,
                  16.028863918359892,
                  31.114015478079896,
                  15.301910993871907,
                  26.729981367197748,
                  15.104482216304591,
                  15.796679551313087,
                  28.34699479424631,
                  16.4119611180502,
                  19.521289453815115,
                  24.101824382269164,
                  22.124458750802244
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.40286903169342,
                  22.980285367240008,
                  16.04453582917209,
                  16.01544976173602,
                  18.23475961955163,
                  20.24434837659676,
                  16.05965168074466,
                  15.699377570210324,
                  17.593278632094517,
                  22.75728628237246,
                  16.76392185931309,
                  13.531282337003354,
                  14.073597103535487,
                  16.90050283907696,
                  32.670568611232945,
                  13.245890750422944,
                  24.87859016163376,
                  15.432698428298984,
                  15.601474071525136,
                  24.538292073716153,
                  15.517039557550994,
                  16.567178418053995,
                  17.75216265190863,
                  16.345490750873054
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.465402556013544,
                  26.213026151058617,
                  15.856858726902901,
                  16.670049080663066,
                  16.17812264861381,
                  20.67280785658392,
                  17.158733095181212,
                  15.727771226759325,
                  18.517248813889807,
                  23.355011785189458,
                  14.378679580370713,
                  15.25343058854883,
                  14.880528217121132,
                  15.37452736891996,
                  30.60790993394257,
                  14.628120071919453,
                  26.092964883545594,
                  14.421031426759605,
                  15.05212708116237,
                  27.71134111509881,
                  15.701499013630604,
                  18.856942555791512,
                  23.478912486121235,
                  21.521578954999708
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.643013178327948,
                  22.229098862994885,
                  15.280213435650335,
                  15.251072280965328,
                  17.47458537714802,
                  19.48798017350574,
                  15.295357915729673,
                  14.934401467864777,
                  16.8318894635783,
                  22.0056774313757,
                  16.000961939333273,
                  12.762199993685826,
                  13.305541871518209,
                  16.137801595195178,
                  31.937734916162057,
                  12.476267892736892,
                  24.130998931620457,
                  14.667217251821024,
                  14.836312545886626,
                  23.790056339748453,
                  14.751718118060262,
                  15.803845877920272,
                  16.991074400096608,
                  15.581738347733312
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.452357964265987,
              "rpss": 0.000860655802657595,
              "brier_below": 0.22571181338638338,
              "bss_below": 0.002151277574545696,
              "brier_above": 0.2266461507911058,
              "bss_above": -0.00042796728215255264,
              "crps": 19.882594728747723,
              "crpss": -0.08982915143619796,
              "crps_fair": 19.240609384116155,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10049377099991408,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000282,
                    0.003608,
                    0.088264,
                    0.793464,
                    0.114382,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0675,
                    0.1578,
                    0.2856,
                    0.3451,
                    0.4223,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.2,
                    0.0625,
                    0.2842,
                    0.3525,
                    0.3645,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.058256,
                    0.856137,
                    0.085606,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2894,
                    0.3447,
                    0.4324,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.376,
                    0.3396,
                    0.3998,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4855143653538735,
                  0.49419823486448433,
                  0.44931409815665746,
                  0.42708567397003555,
                  0.4371741265458399,
                  0.45047596994452377,
                  0.440519249412653,
                  0.4378793653213423,
                  0.47630428563901245,
                  0.4573459187689238,
                  0.43917219008498026,
                  0.4199438510624818,
                  0.407143260724959,
                  0.42102818605022135,
                  0.44858661560008173,
                  0.41423645820887933,
                  0.5153812069530112,
                  0.4365365172326185,
                  0.43255503362555303,
                  0.48588125146955075,
                  0.46026483357148407,
                  0.4826231925403003,
                  0.46773542913237104,
                  0.46044773047915327
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4656268773487567,
                  0.47905520254523853,
                  0.44987819562667175,
                  0.4222690397368383,
                  0.473189675792112,
                  0.46370659625075544,
                  0.4533706691746612,
                  0.44043707163708307,
                  0.4658910246954573,
                  0.4835074529423111,
                  0.44476293120584887,
                  0.42294488325801144,
                  0.4035717243423909,
                  0.4341110496580427,
                  0.4840392053398089,
                  0.41705895616907784,
                  0.5102516956651021,
                  0.44254446083186355,
                  0.4407978919737273,
                  0.46885745291344016,
                  0.4562595884170463,
                  0.45934219841451757,
                  0.4469383691099854,
                  0.4493098079235744
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21642328552458723,
                  0.25453396195139055,
                  0.2612449120626152,
                  0.21454749744418414,
                  0.28380053926575677,
                  0.16322149483794068,
                  0.2131803266436678,
                  0.22290240012370924,
                  0.30539657171839457,
                  0.29880817395284615,
                  0.16746385602464012,
                  0.21884060920107515,
                  0.20865386072791986,
                  0.18776934146509477,
                  0.12248970196393873,
                  0.18962533383180746,
                  0.38350220594372003,
                  0.16456944078969285,
                  0.18282300353779105,
                  0.20209910086564653,
                  0.279925921909497,
                  0.17299194397404352,
                  0.21195023521234777,
                  0.2883125150819571
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20639084196205096,
                  0.24828230441497257,
                  0.2605442628100996,
                  0.21079044758429427,
                  0.3079691007315029,
                  0.1701970420969503,
                  0.21556851840134683,
                  0.2221603579843514,
                  0.2986746145123454,
                  0.31773717985625455,
                  0.16972492982842746,
                  0.2191151329533314,
                  0.20714815598586803,
                  0.19476475401412452,
                  0.14137875328774757,
                  0.19387986053487954,
                  0.37971397960807707,
                  0.16798860633846377,
                  0.18789536861046913,
                  0.1944206391015046,
                  0.27728056202918344,
                  0.16316626564473996,
                  0.1984248046321673,
                  0.28086225383117586
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.26909107929204545,
                  0.23966427261163267,
                  0.18806918526854957,
                  0.21253817634521885,
                  0.15337358780668425,
                  0.2872544758606817,
                  0.22733892236408407,
                  0.21497696497365185,
                  0.17090771282858447,
                  0.1585377445199579,
                  0.27170833440512565,
                  0.20110324162110493,
                  0.1984893992939816,
                  0.23325884419303416,
                  0.32609691387949424,
                  0.2246111246073911,
                  0.13187899984591694,
                  0.27196707730295827,
                  0.24973203027549945,
                  0.28378215113933575,
                  0.18033891074846106,
                  0.3096312491988747,
                  0.2557851939814292,
                  0.17213521487713862
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2592360353867057,
                  0.23077289813026597,
                  0.18933393281657201,
                  0.21147859215254405,
                  0.165220575060609,
                  0.29350955415380503,
                  0.23780215077331432,
                  0.21827671365273166,
                  0.1672164101831118,
                  0.1657702730860564,
                  0.2750380013774213,
                  0.20382975030467998,
                  0.19642356835652286,
                  0.23934629564391813,
                  0.34266045205206114,
                  0.22317909563419822,
                  0.1305377160570248,
                  0.27455585449339964,
                  0.2529025233632581,
                  0.2744368138119354,
                  0.17897902638786278,
                  0.2961759327697775,
                  0.2485135644778181,
                  0.16844755409239837
                ],
                "crps": [
                  34.488748355599874,
                  35.46327729023907,
                  22.87958554964776,
                  24.302939782505366,
                  21.99449991927549,
                  28.701938884031687,
                  25.49419969791828,
                  23.276700862141695,
                  27.130349179396273,
                  23.098293405221572,
                  22.70933913462475,
                  19.650776390824866,
                  18.96712442599985,
                  19.96412947022982,
                  31.435456279254357,
                  20.631004516415544,
                  39.90292725389869,
                  21.224790787588937,
                  20.461317570753444,
                  32.32858215245286,
                  22.710655224451877,
                  28.017260303598693,
                  32.02112372126571,
                  28.90581461887824
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.829005594094255,
                  30.789517415890057,
                  22.274178691284046,
                  22.400405790699597,
                  24.562013785862174,
                  28.743909674086105,
                  23.41639624632185,
                  22.294597973023507,
                  23.939813933834774,
                  26.00809173405538,
                  23.784893985415945,
                  18.638495127121324,
                  17.665545158908575,
                  21.356757879360448,
                  35.9519633499581,
                  17.515074119812123,
                  37.22123503260143,
                  21.861619454593054,
                  20.60004209571915,
                  27.362334214151744,
                  21.305435294168266,
                  23.9623386515102,
                  25.131651915716713,
                  22.03810998188434
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  33.636744656527455,
                  34.621117991362574,
                  22.10978968418275,
                  23.436235607332492,
                  21.2407360022405,
                  27.774643594705054,
                  24.57640730479359,
                  22.444443638506726,
                  26.26684529387561,
                  22.200569083728855,
                  21.855406446229342,
                  18.795742432498198,
                  18.089402604644324,
                  19.091706265204802,
                  30.744152213122547,
                  19.70988823519967,
                  39.076283350042125,
                  20.31303380161048,
                  19.473634601143885,
                  31.483430726885256,
                  21.796344409285336,
                  27.15679531710902,
                  31.231055497007656,
                  28.074389082188617
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.816842345274544,
                  29.784855136429805,
                  21.25338887636053,
                  21.37985504225225,
                  23.545556991951106,
                  27.7353731375391,
                  22.397769722222264,
                  21.27384683098207,
                  22.922178731113057,
                  24.994373724137105,
                  22.766965373701,
                  17.610819547871735,
                  16.63602687138586,
                  20.334230525020402,
                  34.957078430221465,
                  16.48527084926081,
                  36.22875403650616,
                  20.840048277478832,
                  19.576081567546453,
                  26.351181057415474,
                  20.28281073796233,
                  22.944746109238622,
                  24.116273981900072,
                  21.01687306713241
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.451972793529708,
              "rpss": 0.002792402324748533,
              "brier_below": 0.2256281764189277,
              "bss_below": 0.0034969133905875527,
              "brier_above": 0.2263446169683682,
              "bss_above": 0.0020891297212890514,
              "crps": 26.073368115675617,
              "crpss": -0.06848317762731759,
              "crps_fair": 25.21661657664279,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07830290036350718,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.026883,
                    0.902564,
                    0.070553,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2938,
                    0.3438,
                    0.4181,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.282,
                    0.3465,
                    0.3698,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.053145,
                    0.897772,
                    0.049083,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2891,
                    0.3467,
                    0.4171,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4231,
                    0.3376,
                    0.4514,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48372496578438334,
                  0.4848736844721636,
                  0.46703469971596695,
                  0.48355326752872374,
                  0.46099909418206836,
                  0.4166198869797606,
                  0.4498992157098079,
                  0.44120328818585974,
                  0.42968191061523586
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4947890992304722,
                  0.4753205974707632,
                  0.4560866594726808,
                  0.47037878645621833,
                  0.47299821491804606,
                  0.4357581018035622,
                  0.4528379078704793,
                  0.43596840945468646,
                  0.4603811312931576
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1370783652434636,
                  0.22233128875826785,
                  0.16651965290484996,
                  0.1619192577311402,
                  0.17651455925503026,
                  0.19269475078159626,
                  0.16174435480068824,
                  0.2613083770185025,
                  0.1736066101703711
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14043822061767963,
                  0.21741971507988192,
                  0.16137133777697532,
                  0.15421278761631982,
                  0.1844784913304739,
                  0.20067295850650194,
                  0.1605724275435595,
                  0.2610749478831005,
                  0.18824828684533776
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3466465785136458,
                  0.2625423886840556,
                  0.30051503443072813,
                  0.3216339929684134,
                  0.2844845231531947,
                  0.22392513463714345,
                  0.28815484981206535,
                  0.17989492052655245,
                  0.2560752920769895
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.35435085494429375,
                  0.2579008762312236,
                  0.2947153086203139,
                  0.31616598226162707,
                  0.28851971169071594,
                  0.23508514114649787,
                  0.2922654680223936,
                  0.17489347015413084,
                  0.272132835460955
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.645718522885932,
                  17.33576522195838,
                  30.3761383450789,
                  23.1439779228632,
                  17.12706153375214,
                  15.623879421180234,
                  25.42568121611032,
                  16.34235873772732,
                  16.283770286403666
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.281647851966547,
                  17.15803927516819,
                  25.993136341641158,
                  19.58864279444303,
                  17.83614860391533,
                  15.27535033028718,
                  21.278592720172202,
                  13.65283925983951,
                  17.80733890498982
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.284895721725018,
                  17.03337352317387,
                  30.067815039225906,
                  22.837401345825608,
                  16.826194817501936,
                  15.266645811704104,
                  25.073513270892864,
                  15.982146008057814,
                  15.916966605297322
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  28.553163894312622,
                  16.429555317514268,
                  25.26465238398724,
                  18.860158836789104,
                  17.107664646261412,
                  14.546866372633263,
                  20.55010876251828,
                  12.924355302185589,
                  17.078854947335895
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45751000146377446,
              "rpss": 0.008888849855816394,
              "brier_below": 0.1837463574071011,
              "bss_below": 0.008853492592697187,
              "brier_above": 0.27376363497808753,
              "bss_above": 0.008912578231899282,
              "crps": 21.144927911995566,
              "crpss": -0.06989651869016478,
              "crps_fair": 20.80988357148938,
              "crpss_fair": -0.09324073318254422,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000226,
                    0.004283,
                    0.140626,
                    0.798093,
                    0.056772,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0713,
                    0.1622,
                    0.2858,
                    0.3383,
                    0.4159,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.3333,
                    0.1229,
                    0.2039,
                    0.2116,
                    0.4528,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.089516,
                    0.86346,
                    0.047025,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2932,
                    0.3399,
                    0.4267,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4294,
                    0.4998,
                    0.5353,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.502012606616688,
                  0.472515963332963,
                  0.4972377833001602,
                  0.45832693782710415,
                  0.45283401412824104,
                  0.4239559310970924,
                  0.45525294779756226,
                  0.44303088371269017,
                  0.429697747714539
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5102317652431445,
                  0.47433267737964163,
                  0.4783180441293248,
                  0.4525347847419441,
                  0.4603745980834287,
                  0.4422445935566512,
                  0.44415660691947745,
                  0.4338588592002403,
                  0.45616205495422807
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1247839332032796,
                  0.25229401074084445,
                  0.14876819841407699,
                  0.16134587622073585,
                  0.15746072885056986,
                  0.16183052652842658,
                  0.16631552083714213,
                  0.2611076029163286,
                  0.11539492778301012
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.126539540948379,
                  0.2545659968360651,
                  0.13841351661655463,
                  0.1589549412230946,
                  0.16053153657975874,
                  0.16798009656758436,
                  0.15927262223192998,
                  0.25847884644300917,
                  0.1239877850693975
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3772286455824612,
                  0.22022195209705475,
                  0.3484695637658039,
                  0.2969810488356027,
                  0.29537327200478875,
                  0.2621253970070983,
                  0.28893741509536924,
                  0.18192329035387408,
                  0.3143028018269457
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.38369219542168237,
                  0.21976668098266122,
                  0.33990450646953646,
                  0.2935798307591138,
                  0.29984304762398367,
                  0.27426448768318373,
                  0.28488397348275224,
                  0.17538002113326967,
                  0.3321742502238743
                ],
                "crps": [
                  40.3552458486342,
                  21.92988258610925,
                  45.950627418854495,
                  27.619007206029927,
                  22.040290967726634,
                  20.455399146068775,
                  32.89589979770764,
                  22.776415177708728,
                  22.394653227263223
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.92534574035464,
                  22.089318991170305,
                  40.08494619654123,
                  23.890249665507238,
                  23.177153551992927,
                  21.71108717495611,
                  28.004720878699523,
                  19.009192462863844,
                  25.3617561381083
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.89358017632756,
                  21.518438761890962,
                  45.551513788856155,
                  27.204552511704893,
                  21.635093914381866,
                  19.96998904365339,
                  32.453728894931054,
                  22.29423729811452,
                  21.904122213001227
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.950951294224595,
                  21.114924545040267,
                  39.11055175041119,
                  22.915855219377203,
                  22.202759105862885,
                  20.736692728826064,
                  27.03032643256948,
                  18.034798016733802,
                  24.38736169197826
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4594294239474489,
              "rpss": 0.00417829349523513,
              "brier_below": 0.1721445917216016,
              "bss_below": -0.0003722048926502186,
              "brier_above": 0.28728482072988876,
              "bss_above": 0.006885224886252317,
              "crps": 28.490824597344766,
              "crpss": -0.045518772410654273,
              "crps_fair": 28.04725073365129,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06740845442000576,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.058189,
                    0.937842,
                    0.00397,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2933,
                    0.3353,
                    0.4093,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1265,
                    0.1868,
                    0.1004,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.045299,
                    0.941007,
                    0.013694,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2939,
                    0.3403,
                    0.4079,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.5545,
                    0.5328,
                    0.5881,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "qdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7931486626347853,
            "training": [
              0.7629899020931942,
              0.7965150112848781,
              0.7918633940600508,
              0.7930177979781982,
              0.8479541973909495,
              0.7990489457576041,
              0.8209501017136359,
              0.7917325618720042,
              0.7897325628631026,
              0.7672098234630009,
              0.8329445093091792,
              0.768512481155232,
              0.7836724555875463,
              0.810703753635519,
              0.7985219303629778,
              0.800626413720057,
              0.8050139570479761,
              0.7886185531827774,
              0.7807629381559644,
              0.7756406579521425,
              0.788277389552862,
              0.7782178418406175,
              0.7522304800778629,
              0.8108102431775152
            ],
            "test": 0.8147344411680717
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.479846071893812,
                  0.46772280149335876,
                  0.46192435633000734,
                  0.44014888424266607,
                  0.4240830998604755,
                  0.46166192736664896,
                  0.42916690974272254,
                  0.4312904183489967,
                  0.44309536869433364,
                  0.4978094415924088,
                  0.43704341579821615,
                  0.428116650048432,
                  0.44120202990850177,
                  0.42353946723802705,
                  0.4604312371145894,
                  0.4244224818838814,
                  0.46632523248496227,
                  0.4219012698459657,
                  0.428604982369761,
                  0.4989910249848101,
                  0.4635779373734101,
                  0.4673773671202328,
                  0.49054897206673653,
                  0.4552892599677868
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.44828178439893784,
                  0.4780636046945905,
                  0.45403117539434756,
                  0.4408998664630428,
                  0.4626710009670124,
                  0.4675652855175825,
                  0.45088178363034326,
                  0.4339622485969375,
                  0.4457739713411614,
                  0.48115608104505214,
                  0.46731020302909526,
                  0.40902067319593455,
                  0.4238503280124456,
                  0.44888898670135347,
                  0.4836531086639868,
                  0.4215019666820851,
                  0.47209090525934455,
                  0.42365664384275686,
                  0.43223368035833454,
                  0.4869745630233523,
                  0.45947832667944477,
                  0.45033952255554077,
                  0.45381281595427836,
                  0.4698444532531743
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2527705055479085,
                  0.2174515227049159,
                  0.2680602899541994,
                  0.23247165737081754,
                  0.23599075379503343,
                  0.2226931236000928,
                  0.23692392192256206,
                  0.23710151764157364,
                  0.22979161007525403,
                  0.24598737852364594,
                  0.23376358711866566,
                  0.21299262112232997,
                  0.21568689617859185,
                  0.1663401497006217,
                  0.12455310909351433,
                  0.20801390881089782,
                  0.29227781204638414,
                  0.17548168071605028,
                  0.17548622282927442,
                  0.19382705535231556,
                  0.25828634561561536,
                  0.21336428755004747,
                  0.24875548225078747,
                  0.30988107996578707
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24364607658776927,
                  0.2167833637959483,
                  0.26200244695541064,
                  0.2335398229822821,
                  0.2599592835854335,
                  0.22410814370662485,
                  0.24638536370420897,
                  0.23420103701671963,
                  0.23335651499978938,
                  0.23810578482707784,
                  0.25468721411875095,
                  0.19406452747606567,
                  0.20425741444224962,
                  0.17808060941226778,
                  0.14096115009371765,
                  0.20696214106709115,
                  0.29480390564951164,
                  0.17663004534290416,
                  0.18425554277680625,
                  0.18520467260263995,
                  0.25555913109943895,
                  0.207082427269816,
                  0.23258804671993344,
                  0.32153762962536103
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22707556632872788,
                  0.25027127822633727,
                  0.1938640659789414,
                  0.2076772266174174,
                  0.18809234635798322,
                  0.23896880412156843,
                  0.19224298773022494,
                  0.19418890045229845,
                  0.21330375832609624,
                  0.2518220621835708,
                  0.20327982918574874,
                  0.2151240285487911,
                  0.22551513266230694,
                  0.25719931695207704,
                  0.33587812820967144,
                  0.21640857302649574,
                  0.17404741973718962,
                  0.2464195894025487,
                  0.2531187603174682,
                  0.30516397024746006,
                  0.2052915911299193,
                  0.25401307923603117,
                  0.24179349000216377,
                  0.14540818005144332
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.20463570781908508,
                  0.2612802408995609,
                  0.1920287284468534,
                  0.20736004348867731,
                  0.20271171736051702,
                  0.2434571418390764,
                  0.20449641993405068,
                  0.19976121159863708,
                  0.21241745636061743,
                  0.24305029625298225,
                  0.21262298892876352,
                  0.2149561457217039,
                  0.2195929135561274,
                  0.27080837732842866,
                  0.3426919585851556,
                  0.21453982563780633,
                  0.17728699964486266,
                  0.24702659841398025,
                  0.24797813761256063,
                  0.30176989039964386,
                  0.20391919556164534,
                  0.24325709524448394,
                  0.22122476926537735,
                  0.14830682364623232
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.45538595585562,
                  27.22834883971571,
                  16.763892217743056,
                  17.28402284574829,
                  16.698002578329756,
                  21.354184059230242,
                  17.783261343179248,
                  16.478992384917383,
                  19.136756997485588,
                  23.679754304980392,
                  15.036821213025666,
                  15.594096461571286,
                  15.827523108109347,
                  15.926074027718448,
                  30.59312245092092,
                  15.823918658569914,
                  27.566783430114448,
                  15.059186990668904,
                  16.104720843462456,
                  28.38869934855517,
                  16.632209614291966,
                  19.502421674461072,
                  25.034119564237763,
                  22.62286265889548
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.40286903169342,
                  22.980285367240008,
                  16.04453582917209,
                  16.01544976173602,
                  18.23475961955163,
                  20.24434837659676,
                  16.05965168074466,
                  15.699377570210324,
                  17.593278632094517,
                  22.75728628237246,
                  16.76392185931309,
                  13.531282337003354,
                  14.073597103535487,
                  16.90050283907696,
                  32.670568611232945,
                  13.245890750422944,
                  24.87859016163376,
                  15.432698428298984,
                  15.601474071525136,
                  24.538292073716153,
                  15.517039557550994,
                  16.567178418053995,
                  17.75216265190863,
                  16.345490750873054
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.759768354069855,
                  26.579827744582683,
                  16.187017177691228,
                  16.64576561075083,
                  16.102403842491885,
                  20.636951742749456,
                  17.061115507474877,
                  15.861194203652543,
                  18.503666172256303,
                  23.022042902290867,
                  14.377341995793316,
                  14.988540402348379,
                  15.133797313659063,
                  15.275502050165775,
                  30.09135601661594,
                  15.154238475227462,
                  26.93840941572094,
                  14.364958742951726,
                  15.349935486795607,
                  27.746093822292924,
                  15.893053993639551,
                  18.807788099382815,
                  24.40988863977056,
                  22.02283571720382
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.643013178327948,
                  22.229098862994885,
                  15.280213435650335,
                  15.251072280965328,
                  17.47458537714802,
                  19.48798017350574,
                  15.295357915729673,
                  14.934401467864777,
                  16.8318894635783,
                  22.0056774313757,
                  16.000961939333273,
                  12.762199993685826,
                  13.305541871518209,
                  16.137801595195178,
                  31.937734916162057,
                  12.476267892736892,
                  24.130998931620457,
                  14.667217251821024,
                  14.836312545886626,
                  23.790056339748453,
                  14.751718118060262,
                  15.803845877920272,
                  16.991074400096608,
                  15.581738347733312
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45183835865711436,
              "rpss": 0.0020083274439266496,
              "brier_below": 0.22533135497862025,
              "bss_below": 0.0038332450818138186,
              "brier_above": 0.22650700354302003,
              "bss_above": 0.00018623595081423971,
              "crps": 20.023965065491172,
              "crpss": -0.09757811560477281,
              "crps_fair": 19.371395559565766,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10797427063180298,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000198,
                    0.004284,
                    0.142019,
                    0.72834,
                    0.125158,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0736,
                    0.1558,
                    0.2855,
                    0.3445,
                    0.4271,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.2857,
                    0.0395,
                    0.2734,
                    0.3557,
                    0.3882,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.088415,
                    0.789173,
                    0.117946,
                    0.004466,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2894,
                    0.3461,
                    0.4361,
                    0.5001,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.34,
                    0.3398,
                    0.402,
                    0.2656,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4875544151174104,
                  0.4966629967725038,
                  0.45000962502375363,
                  0.42638382905082095,
                  0.4297636250953725,
                  0.44989364777043167,
                  0.4401513655326106,
                  0.4387465411932672,
                  0.4781616213642682,
                  0.45305672374257006,
                  0.43787557429716023,
                  0.42001350054389525,
                  0.4074687349211018,
                  0.4199851762079052,
                  0.4436008603303358,
                  0.41391835907235275,
                  0.5202200289986632,
                  0.43685264116829076,
                  0.4312265688697189,
                  0.49002235783687254,
                  0.4619656237572146,
                  0.48413899663508675,
                  0.4699428452871756,
                  0.46228235364947184
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4656268773487567,
                  0.47905520254523853,
                  0.44987819562667175,
                  0.4222690397368383,
                  0.473189675792112,
                  0.46370659625075544,
                  0.4533706691746612,
                  0.44043707163708307,
                  0.4658910246954573,
                  0.4835074529423111,
                  0.44476293120584887,
                  0.42294488325801144,
                  0.4035717243423909,
                  0.4341110496580427,
                  0.4840392053398089,
                  0.41705895616907784,
                  0.5102516956651021,
                  0.44254446083186355,
                  0.4407978919737273,
                  0.46885745291344016,
                  0.4562595884170463,
                  0.45934219841451757,
                  0.4469383691099854,
                  0.4493098079235744
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21734992193039224,
                  0.25616725814702307,
                  0.2620448087172026,
                  0.2137146528720677,
                  0.27899179559266923,
                  0.16278046435408308,
                  0.21267370997350654,
                  0.2240116185625319,
                  0.30702249598288167,
                  0.2962537132413749,
                  0.16679326230131927,
                  0.21895104106888727,
                  0.20847419706992049,
                  0.18741443281517448,
                  0.12090581258347435,
                  0.18887520285795953,
                  0.3878755792215142,
                  0.16462970025393578,
                  0.1820576753144338,
                  0.20463605042565286,
                  0.2818377598784127,
                  0.17351235808489707,
                  0.2139200000221523,
                  0.2892948394546501
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20639084196205096,
                  0.24828230441497257,
                  0.2605442628100996,
                  0.21079044758429427,
                  0.3079691007315029,
                  0.1701970420969503,
                  0.21556851840134683,
                  0.2221603579843514,
                  0.2986746145123454,
                  0.31773717985625455,
                  0.16972492982842746,
                  0.2191151329533314,
                  0.20714815598586803,
                  0.19476475401412452,
                  0.14137875328774757,
                  0.19387986053487954,
                  0.37971397960807707,
                  0.16798860633846377,
                  0.18789536861046913,
                  0.1944206391015046,
                  0.27728056202918344,
                  0.16316626564473996,
                  0.1984248046321673,
                  0.28086225383117586
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.27020449268722635,
                  0.24049573846008682,
                  0.18796481544624843,
                  0.21266917590182022,
                  0.15077183004485725,
                  0.2871131842081183,
                  0.22747765527836858,
                  0.21473492257209606,
                  0.1711391243674731,
                  0.15680301005107558,
                  0.271082312319261,
                  0.2010624591627482,
                  0.19899453711889997,
                  0.2325707428393543,
                  0.32269504805382493,
                  0.22504315609931863,
                  0.13234444845879542,
                  0.2722229419178249,
                  0.2491688938463869,
                  0.2853863079839731,
                  0.18012786300936828,
                  0.3106266391526635,
                  0.25602284503521316,
                  0.17298751355343528
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2592360353867057,
                  0.23077289813026597,
                  0.18933393281657201,
                  0.21147859215254405,
                  0.165220575060609,
                  0.29350955415380503,
                  0.23780215077331432,
                  0.21827671365273166,
                  0.1672164101831118,
                  0.1657702730860564,
                  0.2750380013774213,
                  0.20382975030467998,
                  0.19642356835652286,
                  0.23934629564391813,
                  0.34266045205206114,
                  0.22317909563419822,
                  0.1305377160570248,
                  0.27455585449339964,
                  0.2529025233632581,
                  0.2744368138119354,
                  0.17897902638786278,
                  0.2961759327697775,
                  0.2485135644778181,
                  0.16844755409239837
                ],
                "crps": [
                  34.41143907543595,
                  35.638970308741044,
                  22.955068106484436,
                  24.222295291058835,
                  21.875243607584036,
                  28.56552780006957,
                  25.344888008433024,
                  23.51857353474498,
                  27.287107306521595,
                  22.648964029488873,
                  22.72451192583192,
                  19.41329585986787,
                  18.93177521074098,
                  20.049402074346517,
                  31.21546382493031,
                  21.048543555685733,
                  40.271281364598295,
                  21.07826020691281,
                  20.40586731935128,
                  32.479466554080695,
                  23.026028670541688,
                  28.035467954155273,
                  31.981172094858763,
                  29.342670720540575
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.829005594094255,
                  30.789517415890057,
                  22.274178691284046,
                  22.400405790699597,
                  24.562013785862174,
                  28.743909674086105,
                  23.41639624632185,
                  22.294597973023507,
                  23.939813933834774,
                  26.00809173405538,
                  23.784893985415945,
                  18.638495127121324,
                  17.665545158908575,
                  21.356757879360448,
                  35.9519633499581,
                  17.515074119812123,
                  37.22123503260143,
                  21.861619454593054,
                  20.60004209571915,
                  27.362334214151744,
                  21.305435294168266,
                  23.9623386515102,
                  25.131651915716713,
                  22.03810998188434
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  33.52556266646827,
                  34.795001403883205,
                  22.188874129738807,
                  23.349659556076816,
                  21.10404790160691,
                  27.622230292327114,
                  24.385860117174964,
                  22.67730138553906,
                  26.4248348525738,
                  21.719883420198947,
                  21.84199749255046,
                  18.552738348159856,
                  18.04446789990741,
                  19.18280399923658,
                  30.526835686122812,
                  20.12651500660188,
                  39.447344456401765,
                  20.15939817362454,
                  19.39690805448817,
                  31.631018417877772,
                  22.102197053666067,
                  27.148726508483712,
                  31.177691163912957,
                  28.5096551279512
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.816842345274544,
                  29.784855136429805,
                  21.25338887636053,
                  21.37985504225225,
                  23.545556991951106,
                  27.7353731375391,
                  22.397769722222264,
                  21.27384683098207,
                  22.922178731113057,
                  24.994373724137105,
                  22.766965373701,
                  17.610819547871735,
                  16.63602687138586,
                  20.334230525020402,
                  34.957078430221465,
                  16.48527084926081,
                  36.22875403650616,
                  20.840048277478832,
                  19.576081567546453,
                  26.351181057415474,
                  20.28281073796233,
                  22.944746109238622,
                  24.116273981900072,
                  21.01687306713241
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4520790838432606,
              "rpss": 0.0025578892970811173,
              "brier_below": 0.22584118128025488,
              "bss_below": 0.0025561620839722465,
              "brier_above": 0.2262379023986849,
              "bss_above": 0.0025596141999145727,
              "crps": 26.102970183541874,
              "crpss": -0.06969626645411409,
              "crps_fair": 25.23506471310721,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07909177221693087,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.069294,
                    0.842781,
                    0.087926,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2897,
                    0.3439,
                    0.4214,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2844,
                    0.3465,
                    0.3944,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.076909,
                    0.858659,
                    0.064331,
                    0.0001,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2894,
                    0.3471,
                    0.4238,
                    0.5001,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3469,
                    0.3409,
                    0.4406,
                    0.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4881543089576092,
                  0.48522083591553494,
                  0.4717349376995343,
                  0.4850710207265251,
                  0.45813100897160297,
                  0.4145940425790256,
                  0.44993611184218024,
                  0.4427585679763273,
                  0.4265884808921137
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4947890992304722,
                  0.4753205974707632,
                  0.4560866594726808,
                  0.47037878645621833,
                  0.47299821491804606,
                  0.4357581018035622,
                  0.4528379078704793,
                  0.43596840945468646,
                  0.4603811312931576
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13842587494827996,
                  0.222388267355365,
                  0.16810170345139894,
                  0.16282637546644058,
                  0.17410944834188688,
                  0.19175841406712904,
                  0.16192926519501208,
                  0.26163704514527236,
                  0.17205096728861516
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14043822061767963,
                  0.21741971507988192,
                  0.16137133777697532,
                  0.15421278761631982,
                  0.1844784913304739,
                  0.20067295850650194,
                  0.1605724275435595,
                  0.2610749478831005,
                  0.18824828684533776
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3497284116847291,
                  0.2628325614474118,
                  0.3036332219007422,
                  0.3222446284506421,
                  0.28402154890992626,
                  0.22283562698120885,
                  0.28800683570093816,
                  0.1811215322461737,
                  0.25453750536137054
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.35435085494429375,
                  0.2579008762312236,
                  0.2947153086203139,
                  0.31616598226162707,
                  0.28851971169071594,
                  0.23508514114649787,
                  0.2922654680223936,
                  0.17489347015413084,
                  0.272132835460955
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.688594970887355,
                  17.294910889425104,
                  30.5468869048281,
                  23.049922887025858,
                  16.991121594561314,
                  15.708579913913015,
                  25.412113149374175,
                  16.421189566776707,
                  16.36832145187434
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.281647851966547,
                  17.15803927516819,
                  25.993136341641158,
                  19.58864279444303,
                  17.83614860391533,
                  15.27535033028718,
                  21.278592720172202,
                  13.65283925983951,
                  17.80733890498982
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.31830667093338,
                  16.99125411894165,
                  30.246371612154075,
                  22.73872652936471,
                  16.693071652916736,
                  15.35510979629096,
                  25.056668555646265,
                  16.059683327316193,
                  16.00076111544515
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  28.553163894312622,
                  16.429555317514268,
                  25.26465238398724,
                  18.860158836789104,
                  17.107664646261412,
                  14.546866372633263,
                  20.55010876251828,
                  12.924355302185589,
                  17.078854947335895
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45802103506227254,
              "rpss": 0.007781789691122198,
              "brier_below": 0.18369192902882225,
              "bss_below": 0.009147084791183091,
              "brier_above": 0.27432909696479363,
              "bss_above": 0.006865475582355396,
              "crps": 21.164626814296224,
              "crpss": -0.07089324883184256,
              "crps_fair": 20.828883708778793,
              "crpss_fair": -0.09423889946009645,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000226,
                    0.003457,
                    0.157964,
                    0.763732,
                    0.074621,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0732,
                    0.154,
                    0.2833,
                    0.3379,
                    0.4209,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.3333,
                    0.1523,
                    0.2038,
                    0.2076,
                    0.4353,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.117606,
                    0.817176,
                    0.065218,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2901,
                    0.3405,
                    0.4244,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4243,
                    0.5078,
                    0.4648,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5010626236882565,
                  0.4729386434431759,
                  0.4991176448794655,
                  0.45954543340357173,
                  0.4512557971875285,
                  0.42180835906061415,
                  0.4567697122830628,
                  0.4439871753908998,
                  0.4262953550325468
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5102317652431445,
                  0.47433267737964163,
                  0.4783180441293248,
                  0.4525347847419441,
                  0.4603745980834287,
                  0.4422445935566512,
                  0.44415660691947745,
                  0.4338588592002403,
                  0.45616205495422807
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12426574275671859,
                  0.25217472724347983,
                  0.1497837811897022,
                  0.1619009425706157,
                  0.15634188282102182,
                  0.16102185173263325,
                  0.16678728115971866,
                  0.2607369743099819,
                  0.11400626083134922
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.126539540948379,
                  0.2545659968360651,
                  0.13841351661655463,
                  0.1589549412230946,
                  0.16053153657975874,
                  0.16798009656758436,
                  0.15927262223192998,
                  0.25847884644300917,
                  0.1239877850693975
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.37679685311990174,
                  0.22076391551784197,
                  0.34933384269532486,
                  0.297644478056109,
                  0.2949139013086972,
                  0.2607864999800838,
                  0.28998241920655615,
                  0.1832502107071725,
                  0.3122890763570858
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.38369219542168237,
                  0.21976668098266122,
                  0.33990450646953646,
                  0.2935798307591138,
                  0.29984304762398367,
                  0.27426448768318373,
                  0.28488397348275224,
                  0.17538002113326967,
                  0.3321742502238743
                ],
                "crps": [
                  40.36924091276246,
                  21.904271570396254,
                  45.87605900338274,
                  27.697113677356224,
                  21.958079877524778,
                  20.556446529190573,
                  32.9124322539034,
                  22.776348711243443,
                  22.346033324190326
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.92534574035464,
                  22.089318991170305,
                  40.08494619654123,
                  23.890249665507238,
                  23.177153551992927,
                  21.71108717495611,
                  28.004720878699523,
                  19.009192462863844,
                  25.3617561381083
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.89858979008898,
                  21.490899374473155,
                  45.483917969886505,
                  27.274609363413756,
                  21.557176172894383,
                  20.075941521507325,
                  32.46783301770201,
                  22.29488394602118,
                  21.85636627256385
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.950951294224595,
                  21.114924545040267,
                  39.11055175041119,
                  22.915855219377203,
                  22.202759105862885,
                  20.736692728826064,
                  27.03032643256948,
                  18.034798016733802,
                  24.38736169197826
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.459197860485458,
              "rpss": 0.0046802115480725215,
              "brier_below": 0.17189104940169125,
              "bss_below": 0.0011011884162288599,
              "brier_above": 0.2873067996609748,
              "bss_above": 0.006809245928689256,
              "crps": 28.488447317772245,
              "crpss": -0.04543153413463141,
              "crps_fair": 28.044468603172348,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06730257346850976,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.085454,
                    0.903952,
                    0.010594,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2882,
                    0.3359,
                    0.4102,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1331,
                    0.1886,
                    0.1001,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.069876,
                    0.895392,
                    0.034732,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2917,
                    0.3409,
                    0.4132,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.5303,
                    0.5341,
                    0.5521,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8126175789789015,
            "training": [
              0.7822410139742756,
              0.8168323618720843,
              0.8125375008700076,
              0.8141689110679832,
              0.8614855392770381,
              0.8164151159421861,
              0.8374236534748343,
              0.8137120334261453,
              0.8091888642095358,
              0.7878888516182455,
              0.8478102339243594,
              0.7915977614545099,
              0.8055129882753632,
              0.8269721813356091,
              0.8154003058655405,
              0.8206967011858656,
              0.8250230206894085,
              0.8099037917503821,
              0.8009288513382496,
              0.7961392378854125,
              0.8100181829265597,
              0.7968291653145463,
              0.7741004334996489,
              0.8299951943158457
            ],
            "test": 0.8280029475289167
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4789830155659649,
                  0.4693649039354968,
                  0.45718750819140735,
                  0.43700890584700897,
                  0.4256490792971405,
                  0.46127710067175703,
                  0.4298693737888617,
                  0.42835864779216176,
                  0.44284630807125214,
                  0.4990552933813332,
                  0.4399778550091572,
                  0.4267128600856992,
                  0.43851085311694327,
                  0.4288919312159588,
                  0.46462600071415594,
                  0.42350607979486105,
                  0.4619425676053296,
                  0.42099707070214615,
                  0.4284648010365696,
                  0.4978181471378551,
                  0.461157530464606,
                  0.4677762292035283,
                  0.48990129283047446,
                  0.45387173868693026
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.44828178439893784,
                  0.4780636046945905,
                  0.45403117539434756,
                  0.4408998664630428,
                  0.4626710009670124,
                  0.4675652855175825,
                  0.45088178363034326,
                  0.4339622485969375,
                  0.4457739713411614,
                  0.48115608104505214,
                  0.46731020302909526,
                  0.40902067319593455,
                  0.4238503280124456,
                  0.44888898670135347,
                  0.4836531086639868,
                  0.4215019666820851,
                  0.47209090525934455,
                  0.42365664384275686,
                  0.43223368035833454,
                  0.4869745630233523,
                  0.45947832667944477,
                  0.45033952255554077,
                  0.45381281595427836,
                  0.4698444532531743
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2523020929829077,
                  0.21764754131677247,
                  0.2656662073847117,
                  0.2297630290237033,
                  0.23628197146944724,
                  0.22255569675451056,
                  0.2376692424397131,
                  0.23557398265560225,
                  0.230515803216947,
                  0.24642015620654673,
                  0.23596845956781706,
                  0.212215693991607,
                  0.21445001803107233,
                  0.16761046870225543,
                  0.1256830605264239,
                  0.208442523324818,
                  0.29070687644925397,
                  0.17521395929008307,
                  0.17546458754464891,
                  0.1909743004713404,
                  0.25757305468065145,
                  0.21330341932913646,
                  0.24896827113845255,
                  0.3099642241797776
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24364607658776927,
                  0.2167833637959483,
                  0.26200244695541064,
                  0.2335398229822821,
                  0.2599592835854335,
                  0.22410814370662485,
                  0.24638536370420897,
                  0.23420103701671963,
                  0.23335651499978938,
                  0.23810578482707784,
                  0.25468721411875095,
                  0.19406452747606567,
                  0.20425741444224962,
                  0.17808060941226778,
                  0.14096115009371765,
                  0.20696214106709115,
                  0.29480390564951164,
                  0.17663004534290416,
                  0.18425554277680625,
                  0.18520467260263995,
                  0.25555913109943895,
                  0.207082427269816,
                  0.23258804671993344,
                  0.32153762962536103
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.22668092241841753,
                  0.2517173618865756,
                  0.19152130038986365,
                  0.20724587671071704,
                  0.18936710812886162,
                  0.23872140432233757,
                  0.1922001312741424,
                  0.19278466530366603,
                  0.21233050466420422,
                  0.25263513622892925,
                  0.2040093960166833,
                  0.21449716575541591,
                  0.2240608341148271,
                  0.26128146212416276,
                  0.33894294009453146,
                  0.21506355659959472,
                  0.17123569071001424,
                  0.2457831116366984,
                  0.2530002140759368,
                  0.30684384742047865,
                  0.20358447531295917,
                  0.2544728094571379,
                  0.24093302208275175,
                  0.1439075147657883
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.20463570781908508,
                  0.2612802408995609,
                  0.1920287284468534,
                  0.20736004348867731,
                  0.20271171736051702,
                  0.2434571418390764,
                  0.20449641993405068,
                  0.19976121159863708,
                  0.21241745636061743,
                  0.24305029625298225,
                  0.21262298892876352,
                  0.2149561457217039,
                  0.2195929135561274,
                  0.27080837732842866,
                  0.3426919585851556,
                  0.21453982563780633,
                  0.17728699964486266,
                  0.24702659841398025,
                  0.24797813761256063,
                  0.30176989039964386,
                  0.20391919556164534,
                  0.24325709524448394,
                  0.22122476926537735,
                  0.14830682364623232
                ],
                "crps": [
                  24.80674001713197,
                  27.596552241802755,
                  16.77181748562664,
                  17.562506772727687,
                  17.05530888244986,
                  21.47313433708256,
                  17.685951755291747,
                  16.41900960669167,
                  19.225367843457235,
                  24.05717822246099,
                  15.405401341802936,
                  15.96781076876186,
                  15.6081025045829,
                  15.94262433000089,
                  32.1054439340602,
                  15.437089593241819,
                  27.08076571712801,
                  15.162536847434074,
                  15.829310599193773,
                  29.37212613359787,
                  16.19582951754446,
                  19.92529001724101,
                  25.69815693787212,
                  22.407465217488056
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.40286903169342,
                  22.980285367240008,
                  16.04453582917209,
                  16.01544976173602,
                  18.23475961955163,
                  20.24434837659676,
                  16.05965168074466,
                  15.699377570210324,
                  17.593278632094517,
                  22.75728628237246,
                  16.76392185931309,
                  13.531282337003354,
                  14.073597103535487,
                  16.90050283907696,
                  32.670568611232945,
                  13.245890750422944,
                  24.87859016163376,
                  15.432698428298984,
                  15.601474071525136,
                  24.538292073716153,
                  15.517039557550994,
                  16.567178418053995,
                  17.75216265190863,
                  16.345490750873054
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  24.174531035150114,
                  27.007797751736142,
                  16.275138188549494,
                  16.999766990807547,
                  16.514750773842046,
                  20.84524942929461,
                  17.058789394411633,
                  15.886062197048048,
                  18.665678603215355,
                  23.461895182858846,
                  14.825232175542862,
                  15.426132951382009,
                  14.987639824386509,
                  15.371941019255548,
                  31.691516788570855,
                  14.84696217587998,
                  26.524704940335,
                  14.547793962337309,
                  15.172654533005268,
                  28.795650287362594,
                  15.540638553919251,
                  19.314561498610825,
                  25.14407620382274,
                  21.880167428022297
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.643013178327948,
                  22.229098862994885,
                  15.280213435650335,
                  15.251072280965328,
                  17.47458537714802,
                  19.48798017350574,
                  15.295357915729673,
                  14.934401467864777,
                  16.8318894635783,
                  22.0056774313757,
                  16.000961939333273,
                  12.762199993685826,
                  13.305541871518209,
                  16.137801595195178,
                  31.937734916162057,
                  12.476267892736892,
                  24.130998931620457,
                  14.667217251821024,
                  14.836312545886626,
                  23.790056339748453,
                  14.751718118060262,
                  15.803845877920272,
                  16.991074400096608,
                  15.581738347733312
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4514064622561083,
              "rpss": 0.002962272595666393,
              "brier_below": 0.22503894336159166,
              "bss_below": 0.005125966778993463,
              "brier_above": 0.22636751881227898,
              "bss_above": 0.000801928849877731,
              "crps": 20.19964669269471,
              "crpss": -0.10720779227978605,
              "crps_fair": 19.623305495389456,
              "crpss_fair": -0.12238261444734855,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000311,
                    0.003692,
                    0.150816,
                    0.720092,
                    0.125089,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0757,
                    0.1568,
                    0.2873,
                    0.3463,
                    0.4252,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.1818,
                    0.0382,
                    0.2614,
                    0.3585,
                    0.3912,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.08271,
                    0.815704,
                    0.101586,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2877,
                    0.3416,
                    0.4404,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3604,
                    0.3378,
                    0.4086,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4882786844047116,
                  0.49668066887060225,
                  0.44708196335894645,
                  0.42626659551351465,
                  0.43109435936908164,
                  0.45149557906694004,
                  0.44049650470208157,
                  0.4389778459279742,
                  0.47694982474315056,
                  0.4542627111219724,
                  0.44009250303221764,
                  0.41898649810947775,
                  0.40565807946351967,
                  0.4203321940237095,
                  0.44774620715818036,
                  0.4146614950070232,
                  0.5148303788513209,
                  0.43880464162282895,
                  0.430221756665267,
                  0.48875463451305945,
                  0.459795399419522,
                  0.4852525924286148,
                  0.47066496474868297,
                  0.4603330468611597
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4656268773487567,
                  0.47905520254523853,
                  0.44987819562667175,
                  0.4222690397368383,
                  0.473189675792112,
                  0.46370659625075544,
                  0.4533706691746612,
                  0.44043707163708307,
                  0.4658910246954573,
                  0.4835074529423111,
                  0.44476293120584887,
                  0.42294488325801144,
                  0.4035717243423909,
                  0.4341110496580427,
                  0.4840392053398089,
                  0.41705895616907784,
                  0.5102516956651021,
                  0.44254446083186355,
                  0.4407978919737273,
                  0.46885745291344016,
                  0.4562595884170463,
                  0.45934219841451757,
                  0.4469383691099854,
                  0.4493098079235744
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.21719182083954996,
                  0.2561849336449177,
                  0.2608837105022438,
                  0.21385754073466207,
                  0.2798968534935391,
                  0.1632592846589994,
                  0.21294332690742426,
                  0.22450586751302065,
                  0.3074211554482616,
                  0.29770669546315814,
                  0.16781187879588721,
                  0.2192929323080175,
                  0.2084184416104547,
                  0.18783048303790098,
                  0.12117069765425542,
                  0.18989890612465077,
                  0.3867975451024353,
                  0.1648340352547668,
                  0.18130216110948005,
                  0.20306301525379297,
                  0.2817387000522009,
                  0.17361711326780857,
                  0.2137598303840952,
                  0.2886792245063037
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20639084196205096,
                  0.24828230441497257,
                  0.2605442628100996,
                  0.21079044758429427,
                  0.3079691007315029,
                  0.1701970420969503,
                  0.21556851840134683,
                  0.2221603579843514,
                  0.2986746145123454,
                  0.31773717985625455,
                  0.16972492982842746,
                  0.2191151329533314,
                  0.20714815598586803,
                  0.19476475401412452,
                  0.14137875328774757,
                  0.19387986053487954,
                  0.37971397960807707,
                  0.16798860633846377,
                  0.18789536861046913,
                  0.1944206391015046,
                  0.27728056202918344,
                  0.16316626564473996,
                  0.1984248046321673,
                  0.28086225383117586
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.27108686299965656,
                  0.24049573500414634,
                  0.1861982519999101,
                  0.21240905450453323,
                  0.15119750639587115,
                  0.288236295161378,
                  0.22755317750969672,
                  0.21447197855386496,
                  0.16952866851759973,
                  0.1565560152199559,
                  0.27228062467128994,
                  0.19969356556001586,
                  0.19723963713311918,
                  0.23250171063296238,
                  0.32657550953174785,
                  0.22476258897836485,
                  0.12803283286330489,
                  0.2739706074368929,
                  0.248919595600239,
                  0.28569161963143513,
                  0.17805669865591447,
                  0.31163547965381605,
                  0.25690513410878774,
                  0.17165382195307133
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2592360353867057,
                  0.23077289813026597,
                  0.18933393281657201,
                  0.21147859215254405,
                  0.165220575060609,
                  0.29350955415380503,
                  0.23780215077331432,
                  0.21827671365273166,
                  0.1672164101831118,
                  0.1657702730860564,
                  0.2750380013774213,
                  0.20382975030467998,
                  0.19642356835652286,
                  0.23934629564391813,
                  0.34266045205206114,
                  0.22317909563419822,
                  0.1305377160570248,
                  0.27455585449339964,
                  0.2529025233632581,
                  0.2744368138119354,
                  0.17897902638786278,
                  0.2961759327697775,
                  0.2485135644778181,
                  0.16844755409239837
                ],
                "crps": [
                  35.56923008113283,
                  36.22892677487892,
                  23.079736849866357,
                  24.608275536924673,
                  22.402194315759406,
                  29.03770514334938,
                  25.38828226742081,
                  23.535106990905287,
                  27.108403230215952,
                  22.691577007674045,
                  23.510023408451293,
                  19.555908468321782,
                  18.652343014321147,
                  19.78630761506624,
                  32.76192292545148,
                  20.552970197659032,
                  39.8448732522692,
                  21.42180369683431,
                  19.99222440706786,
                  33.52298411321871,
                  22.46890672372553,
                  28.939662461494944,
                  33.28588606011663,
                  29.276094460192724
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.829005594094255,
                  30.789517415890057,
                  22.274178691284046,
                  22.400405790699597,
                  24.562013785862174,
                  28.743909674086105,
                  23.41639624632185,
                  22.294597973023507,
                  23.939813933834774,
                  26.00809173405538,
                  23.784893985415945,
                  18.638495127121324,
                  17.665545158908575,
                  21.356757879360448,
                  35.9519633499581,
                  17.515074119812123,
                  37.22123503260143,
                  21.861619454593054,
                  20.60004209571915,
                  27.362334214151744,
                  21.305435294168266,
                  23.9623386515102,
                  25.131651915716713,
                  22.03810998188434
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  34.766118320739196,
                  35.45339958221634,
                  22.4032228490929,
                  23.819192955076243,
                  21.695654838240397,
                  28.201698287631366,
                  24.555093975126738,
                  22.794952288849487,
                  26.340454215940394,
                  21.84002046737276,
                  22.724735655988173,
                  18.77859170969148,
                  17.852296207845104,
                  19.01463391582872,
                  32.180407172383596,
                  19.730954457344954,
                  39.11230541026822,
                  20.601344943086637,
                  19.103855229011344,
                  32.75214053765476,
                  21.644223972854874,
                  28.15279180956127,
                  32.5581540869038,
                  28.53883124465148
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.816842345274544,
                  29.784855136429805,
                  21.25338887636053,
                  21.37985504225225,
                  23.545556991951106,
                  27.7353731375391,
                  22.397769722222264,
                  21.27384683098207,
                  22.922178731113057,
                  24.994373724137105,
                  22.766965373701,
                  17.610819547871735,
                  16.63602687138586,
                  20.334230525020402,
                  34.957078430221465,
                  16.48527084926081,
                  36.22875403650616,
                  20.840048277478832,
                  19.576081567546453,
                  26.351181057415474,
                  20.28281073796233,
                  22.944746109238622,
                  24.116273981900072,
                  21.01687306713241
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45198829704098165,
              "rpss": 0.0027581962409884975,
              "brier_below": 0.22591942306949275,
              "bss_below": 0.0022106015883157637,
              "brier_above": 0.2260688738448989,
              "bss_above": 0.0033048293213067126,
              "crps": 26.384222875096608,
              "crpss": -0.08122196456321129,
              "crps_fair": 25.60896142222334,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0950801941628685,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.06695,
                    0.851572,
                    0.081478,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2909,
                    0.3451,
                    0.4212,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2935,
                    0.3461,
                    0.3936,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.075203,
                    0.872641,
                    0.052156,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2872,
                    0.3432,
                    0.4228,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3725,
                    0.3387,
                    0.4633,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.490537843121159,
                  0.4863018294477212,
                  0.47218513941123563,
                  0.48505066984601614,
                  0.4604209864330548,
                  0.4159590694849332,
                  0.45061863808387026,
                  0.4384598395086371,
                  0.4277671119650097
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4947890992304722,
                  0.4753205974707632,
                  0.4560866594726808,
                  0.47037878645621833,
                  0.47299821491804606,
                  0.4357581018035622,
                  0.4528379078704793,
                  0.43596840945468646,
                  0.4603811312931576
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13905075349518256,
                  0.22272070352997383,
                  0.16792576707745277,
                  0.1620051579631242,
                  0.1747470072840291,
                  0.1925400631627102,
                  0.16153816673760962,
                  0.25911208863886104,
                  0.1724477141889835
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14043822061767963,
                  0.21741971507988192,
                  0.16137133777697532,
                  0.15421278761631982,
                  0.1844784913304739,
                  0.20067295850650194,
                  0.1605724275435595,
                  0.2610749478831005,
                  0.18824828684533776
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.35148706716324635,
                  0.26358111860826616,
                  0.3042593598016304,
                  0.3230454949317869,
                  0.28567396724991334,
                  0.2234190046512905,
                  0.28908046026558826,
                  0.1793477600942807,
                  0.2553193894582491
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.35435085494429375,
                  0.2579008762312236,
                  0.2947153086203139,
                  0.31616598226162707,
                  0.28851971169071594,
                  0.23508514114649787,
                  0.2922654680223936,
                  0.17489347015413084,
                  0.272132835460955
                ],
                "crps": [
                  29.131660682566473,
                  17.50964217693295,
                  31.056235540626876,
                  23.344734752651515,
                  17.339690453799907,
                  15.437842976019828,
                  25.78537642310523,
                  16.079579325543943,
                  16.15581111280102
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.281647851966547,
                  17.15803927516819,
                  25.993136341641158,
                  19.58864279444303,
                  17.83614860391533,
                  15.27535033028718,
                  21.278592720172202,
                  13.65283925983951,
                  17.80733890498982
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.792305325269155,
                  17.233273459956244,
                  30.784954632923505,
                  23.064775908855513,
                  17.07025347663743,
                  15.116535571972701,
                  25.461001221864944,
                  15.747569522524492,
                  15.820251855544473
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  28.553163894312622,
                  16.429555317514268,
                  25.26465238398724,
                  18.860158836789104,
                  17.107664646261412,
                  14.546866372633263,
                  20.55010876251828,
                  12.924355302185589,
                  17.078854947335895
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45858901414462633,
              "rpss": 0.0065513676243510455,
              "brier_below": 0.18356526911976964,
              "bss_below": 0.00983030120024575,
              "brier_above": 0.2750237358026946,
              "bss_above": 0.004350722974798882,
              "crps": 21.31561927156086,
              "crpss": -0.07853320414633957,
              "crps_fair": 21.010102330616494,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10375916315227807,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000226,
                    0.003682,
                    0.14723,
                    0.777746,
                    0.071116,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0794,
                    0.1548,
                    0.2826,
                    0.3379,
                    0.4194,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.3333,
                    0.143,
                    0.1902,
                    0.2089,
                    0.4612,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.117437,
                    0.830853,
                    0.05171,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2896,
                    0.3386,
                    0.4275,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4357,
                    0.5062,
                    0.4526,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5027239086503713,
                  0.4738971526876973,
                  0.499602323592564,
                  0.4595408106321682,
                  0.4529093942573783,
                  0.42235932302248796,
                  0.4570179194363759,
                  0.44305495943647283,
                  0.4279151708208283
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5102317652431445,
                  0.47433267737964163,
                  0.4783180441293248,
                  0.4525347847419441,
                  0.4603745980834287,
                  0.4422445935566512,
                  0.44415660691947745,
                  0.4338588592002403,
                  0.45616205495422807
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12397700276477246,
                  0.25284217217145594,
                  0.14915878927411308,
                  0.1611366706567536,
                  0.1563227625844188,
                  0.16121994010528598,
                  0.16634508616265997,
                  0.26098352525083596,
                  0.11421897914323861
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.126539540948379,
                  0.2545659968360651,
                  0.13841351661655463,
                  0.1589549412230946,
                  0.16053153657975874,
                  0.16798009656758436,
                  0.15927262223192998,
                  0.25847884644300917,
                  0.1239877850693975
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3787468779775729,
                  0.22105497969758037,
                  0.35044351322619943,
                  0.2984041271057659,
                  0.29658661829324856,
                  0.2611393753648065,
                  0.2906728212627738,
                  0.18207144368575995,
                  0.31369617372899744
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.38369219542168237,
                  0.21976668098266122,
                  0.33990450646953646,
                  0.2935798307591138,
                  0.29984304762398367,
                  0.27426448768318373,
                  0.28488397348275224,
                  0.17538002113326967,
                  0.3321742502238743
                ],
                "crps": [
                  41.08112043888318,
                  22.146922077607858,
                  46.88163914042777,
                  27.978413581086464,
                  22.285074341975907,
                  20.238345160107215,
                  33.5282865645361,
                  22.454934375192213,
                  22.201789002209534
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.92534574035464,
                  22.089318991170305,
                  40.08494619654123,
                  23.890249665507238,
                  23.177153551992927,
                  21.71108717495611,
                  28.004720878699523,
                  19.009192462863844,
                  25.3617561381083
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  40.65018619446001,
                  21.769985730369086,
                  46.52388106202554,
                  27.596002670986113,
                  21.92059708802283,
                  19.800638425515327,
                  33.11996292497326,
                  22.011180956842267,
                  21.753839828548823
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.950951294224595,
                  21.114924545040267,
                  39.11055175041119,
                  22.915855219377203,
                  22.202759105862885,
                  20.736692728826064,
                  27.03032643256948,
                  18.034798016733802,
                  24.38736169197826
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4598912180595938,
              "rpss": 0.0031773462836726107,
              "brier_below": 0.17180054756817048,
              "bss_below": 0.0016271155908241797,
              "brier_above": 0.2880906589269672,
              "bss_above": 0.0040995231640506,
              "crps": 28.75516940911403,
              "crpss": -0.05521935029845193,
              "crps_fair": 28.349586097971475,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0789145848072641,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.078804,
                    0.913659,
                    0.007537,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.287,
                    0.3353,
                    0.4141,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1138,
                    0.1897,
                    0.088,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.070407,
                    0.904503,
                    0.02509,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.29,
                    0.3392,
                    0.4141,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.532,
                    0.5342,
                    0.5508,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "cdft": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.8097086971274633,
            "training": [
              0.7731666930976809,
              0.8166593502379627,
              0.8099122835891702,
              0.811442132685914,
              0.8630493005348652,
              0.8125911231643721,
              0.83688619295789,
              0.8116940540837995,
              0.8055099715500406,
              0.784755043545324,
              0.8472742226622971,
              0.7892775446354823,
              0.8016022492749814,
              0.8217843958397564,
              0.809483926830854,
              0.819736924823365,
              0.8196480055551517,
              0.8048995767113145,
              0.8015653470875903,
              0.7993938023707793,
              0.8045687962706072,
              0.7925579866107711,
              0.7700975376342178,
              0.8254522693049284
            ],
            "test": 0.8305778257942332
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4871440490832639,
                  0.4675862339984819,
                  0.45739791512319816,
                  0.4343023332985253,
                  0.42793607344458684,
                  0.46235082190601157,
                  0.4312422757203092,
                  0.42820384466034417,
                  0.445263541361409,
                  0.5005206352968191,
                  0.43817798383080697,
                  0.42571312282628554,
                  0.44143910536536296,
                  0.42975117604672775,
                  0.4739462821009355,
                  0.421959313097668,
                  0.4645327465876582,
                  0.4231052541109232,
                  0.4260793679992712,
                  0.4897044436867699,
                  0.46157705675203375,
                  0.47095685531859294,
                  0.48965211499079075,
                  0.45551180237527594
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.44828178439893784,
                  0.4780636046945905,
                  0.45403117539434756,
                  0.4408998664630428,
                  0.4626710009670124,
                  0.4675652855175825,
                  0.45088178363034326,
                  0.4339622485969375,
                  0.4457739713411614,
                  0.48115608104505214,
                  0.46731020302909526,
                  0.40902067319593455,
                  0.4238503280124456,
                  0.44888898670135347,
                  0.4836531086639868,
                  0.4215019666820851,
                  0.47209090525934455,
                  0.42365664384275686,
                  0.43223368035833454,
                  0.4869745630233523,
                  0.45947832667944477,
                  0.45033952255554077,
                  0.45381281595427836,
                  0.4698444532531743
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2554438482539334,
                  0.216625708168547,
                  0.26597120175445876,
                  0.22800147527822281,
                  0.23795237898813373,
                  0.22144095275239628,
                  0.23787993114595657,
                  0.2351353781092117,
                  0.23051794667953,
                  0.2472699315906933,
                  0.23476097869414364,
                  0.21051891387268543,
                  0.21488756751788407,
                  0.16911307483688545,
                  0.1345563362412975,
                  0.20543894826919454,
                  0.29038192895108705,
                  0.17571911973041435,
                  0.17622007285468058,
                  0.18995248442638096,
                  0.2564476631114311,
                  0.21620342005207144,
                  0.24862984889152914,
                  0.3101837767176591
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24364607658776927,
                  0.2167833637959483,
                  0.26200244695541064,
                  0.2335398229822821,
                  0.2599592835854335,
                  0.22410814370662485,
                  0.24638536370420897,
                  0.23420103701671963,
                  0.23335651499978938,
                  0.23810578482707784,
                  0.25468721411875095,
                  0.19406452747606567,
                  0.20425741444224962,
                  0.17808060941226778,
                  0.14096115009371765,
                  0.20696214106709115,
                  0.29480390564951164,
                  0.17663004534290416,
                  0.18425554277680625,
                  0.18520467260263995,
                  0.25555913109943895,
                  0.207082427269816,
                  0.23258804671993344,
                  0.32153762962536103
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.23170020160643515,
                  0.2509605250135915,
                  0.19142671299841796,
                  0.20630085805942444,
                  0.18998369466314724,
                  0.2409098696948269,
                  0.19336234445170553,
                  0.193068466315006,
                  0.214745594406357,
                  0.25325070287989626,
                  0.2034170056652014,
                  0.21519420854065696,
                  0.22655153677448803,
                  0.2606381009375255,
                  0.3393899464131366,
                  0.2165203650080324,
                  0.17415081693338932,
                  0.24738613459364073,
                  0.24985929564062914,
                  0.2997519595225419,
                  0.20512939281036222,
                  0.2547534352226933,
                  0.241022266839927,
                  0.14532802566492245
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.20463570781908508,
                  0.2612802408995609,
                  0.1920287284468534,
                  0.20736004348867731,
                  0.20271171736051702,
                  0.2434571418390764,
                  0.20449641993405068,
                  0.19976121159863708,
                  0.21241745636061743,
                  0.24305029625298225,
                  0.21262298892876352,
                  0.2149561457217039,
                  0.2195929135561274,
                  0.27080837732842866,
                  0.3426919585851556,
                  0.21453982563780633,
                  0.17728699964486266,
                  0.24702659841398025,
                  0.24797813761256063,
                  0.30176989039964386,
                  0.20391919556164534,
                  0.24325709524448394,
                  0.22122476926537735,
                  0.14830682364623232
                ],
                "crps": [
                  25.345301938376224,
                  27.28152252502275,
                  16.35486571808069,
                  17.32294130621261,
                  17.056218461056115,
                  21.619681079313885,
                  17.28103741312913,
                  16.408074996965258,
                  19.07789499629166,
                  23.942013467167268,
                  15.041789160377125,
                  15.531101986747208,
                  15.863575066552679,
                  15.891923960075113,
                  31.34267453376592,
                  15.713742898316287,
                  27.075899748580994,
                  15.192453745462831,
                  15.661857489016112,
                  28.36812189957761,
                  16.674327883201773,
                  19.65082810288158,
                  25.055896147524848,
                  22.119221068401135
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.40286903169342,
                  22.980285367240008,
                  16.04453582917209,
                  16.01544976173602,
                  18.23475961955163,
                  20.24434837659676,
                  16.05965168074466,
                  15.699377570210324,
                  17.593278632094517,
                  22.75728628237246,
                  16.76392185931309,
                  13.531282337003354,
                  14.073597103535487,
                  16.90050283907696,
                  32.670568611232945,
                  13.245890750422944,
                  24.87859016163376,
                  15.432698428298984,
                  15.601474071525136,
                  24.538292073716153,
                  15.517039557550994,
                  16.567178418053995,
                  17.75216265190863,
                  16.345490750873054
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  24.70222756591451,
                  26.651602055544867,
                  15.794091103128638,
                  16.708388615208975,
                  16.48040251765718,
                  20.928735575254787,
                  16.612352338238605,
                  15.805365748491065,
                  18.456928301863847,
                  23.311411738336815,
                  14.420036841299618,
                  14.9588924069319,
                  15.217569889226304,
                  15.25693218797147,
                  30.855310499886528,
                  15.056199064600714,
                  26.440863678312333,
                  14.532976117886914,
                  14.928180030962569,
                  27.74095557666186,
                  15.968874904253225,
                  18.99865931082911,
                  24.457358683443427,
                  21.531437610604293
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.643013178327948,
                  22.229098862994885,
                  15.280213435650335,
                  15.251072280965328,
                  17.47458537714802,
                  19.48798017350574,
                  15.295357915729673,
                  14.934401467864777,
                  16.8318894635783,
                  22.0056774313757,
                  16.000961939333273,
                  12.762199993685826,
                  13.305541871518209,
                  16.137801595195178,
                  31.937734916162057,
                  12.476267892736892,
                  24.130998931620457,
                  14.667217251821024,
                  14.836312545886626,
                  23.790056339748453,
                  14.751718118060262,
                  15.803845877920272,
                  16.991074400096608,
                  15.581738347733312
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4522522645409188,
              "rpss": 0.0010941185961287347,
              "brier_below": 0.2253855369536845,
              "bss_below": 0.00359371214029347,
              "brier_above": 0.22686672752733147,
              "bss_above": -0.0014016045360027984,
              "crps": 20.036373566337367,
              "crpss": -0.09825826556167216,
              "crps_fair": 19.40898968177123,
              "crpss_fair": -0.11012451943564172,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000311,
                    0.003776,
                    0.119115,
                    0.750007,
                    0.126791,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0677,
                    0.1516,
                    0.285,
                    0.3452,
                    0.4256,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.1818,
                    0.0522,
                    0.2616,
                    0.3571,
                    0.3746,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    2.8e-05,
                    0.063352,
                    0.830748,
                    0.105872,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1855,
                    0.289,
                    0.3443,
                    0.439,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    1.0,
                    0.4139,
                    0.3348,
                    0.401,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4864993884246533,
                  0.4954383778733532,
                  0.44943400964959157,
                  0.4260258771667338,
                  0.4348072016141284,
                  0.4515186318579757,
                  0.4406414982691624,
                  0.43617127469170375,
                  0.47560265023489456,
                  0.455200147200102,
                  0.43804397689404634,
                  0.4197543416642974,
                  0.4056536894977634,
                  0.4217564927338348,
                  0.4493799794118919,
                  0.41361833584567226,
                  0.5194660039577913,
                  0.43731903886228646,
                  0.4304919406904403,
                  0.4866950583610095,
                  0.45968819025965835,
                  0.483061728386798,
                  0.4680488877477674,
                  0.4593132073076411
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4656268773487567,
                  0.47905520254523853,
                  0.44987819562667175,
                  0.4222690397368383,
                  0.473189675792112,
                  0.46370659625075544,
                  0.4533706691746612,
                  0.44043707163708307,
                  0.4658910246954573,
                  0.4835074529423111,
                  0.44476293120584887,
                  0.42294488325801144,
                  0.4035717243423909,
                  0.4341110496580427,
                  0.4840392053398089,
                  0.41705895616907784,
                  0.5102516956651021,
                  0.44254446083186355,
                  0.4407978919737273,
                  0.46885745291344016,
                  0.4562595884170463,
                  0.45934219841451757,
                  0.4469383691099854,
                  0.4493098079235744
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2169340231930179,
                  0.25549108696510264,
                  0.261784687727603,
                  0.21382422779636392,
                  0.282163189427059,
                  0.16340636364720662,
                  0.2125787415838769,
                  0.22210764688948753,
                  0.3047681276981642,
                  0.2978121381725088,
                  0.16668419913084492,
                  0.21839670876415274,
                  0.2068073114916753,
                  0.18821134512797424,
                  0.12304680874378432,
                  0.18882596038215338,
                  0.3867086688957005,
                  0.16429011546484087,
                  0.1822243590167193,
                  0.2029032572869482,
                  0.2791924014092644,
                  0.17295212709028154,
                  0.2123058238144872,
                  0.2876183602747366
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20639084196205096,
                  0.24828230441497257,
                  0.2605442628100996,
                  0.21079044758429427,
                  0.3079691007315029,
                  0.1701970420969503,
                  0.21556851840134683,
                  0.2221603579843514,
                  0.2986746145123454,
                  0.31773717985625455,
                  0.16972492982842746,
                  0.2191151329533314,
                  0.20714815598586803,
                  0.19476475401412452,
                  0.14137875328774757,
                  0.19387986053487954,
                  0.37971397960807707,
                  0.16798860633846377,
                  0.18789536861046913,
                  0.1944206391015046,
                  0.27728056202918344,
                  0.16316626564473996,
                  0.1984248046321673,
                  0.28086225383117586
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2695653650087299,
                  0.2399472907243367,
                  0.18764932106798604,
                  0.21220164920912657,
                  0.15264401263174077,
                  0.2881122691498206,
                  0.22806275628550107,
                  0.21406362753007818,
                  0.17083452162359639,
                  0.15738800863061053,
                  0.27135977817614393,
                  0.2013576324758066,
                  0.19884637723871185,
                  0.23354514722324182,
                  0.3263331711372916,
                  0.22479237575134237,
                  0.13275733382517546,
                  0.27302892433325915,
                  0.24826758168098623,
                  0.28379180151481875,
                  0.18049578784474904,
                  0.31010960190895454,
                  0.2557430638803872,
                  0.17169484644420074
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2592360353867057,
                  0.23077289813026597,
                  0.18933393281657201,
                  0.21147859215254405,
                  0.165220575060609,
                  0.29350955415380503,
                  0.23780215077331432,
                  0.21827671365273166,
                  0.1672164101831118,
                  0.1657702730860564,
                  0.2750380013774213,
                  0.20382975030467998,
                  0.19642356835652286,
                  0.23934629564391813,
                  0.34266045205206114,
                  0.22317909563419822,
                  0.1305377160570248,
                  0.27455585449339964,
                  0.2529025233632581,
                  0.2744368138119354,
                  0.17897902638786278,
                  0.2961759327697775,
                  0.2485135644778181,
                  0.16844755409239837
                ],
                "crps": [
                  34.858934240099856,
                  35.82760964730397,
                  22.86541562390129,
                  24.296054989056813,
                  22.00653921940628,
                  28.51389234298534,
                  24.8627275766298,
                  23.09806231716847,
                  27.145029320720077,
                  22.445519019826136,
                  22.75906511153001,
                  19.269100914621635,
                  18.62352247382695,
                  19.73756243320613,
                  31.692186368865414,
                  20.876456298737917,
                  39.85412368241629,
                  21.13003678858656,
                  20.03923087866309,
                  32.97948450016075,
                  22.803018875608227,
                  28.307247405580302,
                  32.26290270712791,
                  28.785422181298767
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.829005594094255,
                  30.789517415890057,
                  22.274178691284046,
                  22.400405790699597,
                  24.562013785862174,
                  28.743909674086105,
                  23.41639624632185,
                  22.294597973023507,
                  23.939813933834774,
                  26.00809173405538,
                  23.784893985415945,
                  18.638495127121324,
                  17.665545158908575,
                  21.356757879360448,
                  35.9519633499581,
                  17.515074119812123,
                  37.22123503260143,
                  21.861619454593054,
                  20.60004209571915,
                  27.362334214151744,
                  21.305435294168266,
                  23.9623386515102,
                  25.131651915716713,
                  22.03810998188434
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  34.031380371049444,
                  35.024225309673604,
                  22.139468883783316,
                  23.456000635703802,
                  21.25686215277297,
                  27.613583421064767,
                  23.970739349214696,
                  22.28163398847136,
                  26.31669149804304,
                  21.550221049314516,
                  21.91772101435768,
                  18.46146536459493,
                  17.788096047931024,
                  18.90449898971916,
                  31.03004054781082,
                  19.9836551901822,
                  39.021419844684026,
                  20.265456480656404,
                  19.076973257920972,
                  32.155929221547844,
                  21.92699877732656,
                  27.46882741279264,
                  31.506016222845613,
                  27.97977216834118
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.816842345274544,
                  29.784855136429805,
                  21.25338887636053,
                  21.37985504225225,
                  23.545556991951106,
                  27.7353731375391,
                  22.397769722222264,
                  21.27384683098207,
                  22.922178731113057,
                  24.994373724137105,
                  22.766965373701,
                  17.610819547871735,
                  16.63602687138586,
                  20.334230525020402,
                  34.957078430221465,
                  16.48527084926081,
                  36.22875403650616,
                  20.840048277478832,
                  19.576081567546453,
                  26.351181057415474,
                  20.28281073796233,
                  22.944746109238622,
                  24.116273981900072,
                  21.01687306713241
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45181791369179986,
              "rpss": 0.0031341205726159727,
              "brier_below": 0.2254599033330814,
              "bss_below": 0.004240103590058775,
              "brier_above": 0.22635801022069146,
              "bss_above": 0.002030081389321592,
              "crps": 26.04329770488867,
              "crpss": -0.06725089616956148,
              "crps_fair": 25.21365321665844,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07817618234579715,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.042265,
                    0.883152,
                    0.074583,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2923,
                    0.3441,
                    0.4203,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1982,
                    0.3509,
                    0.3772,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.051682,
                    0.898573,
                    0.049745,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2887,
                    0.3465,
                    0.4158,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4208,
                    0.3381,
                    0.4454,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.48903264360052395,
                  0.4849473781191234,
                  0.4721791987273729,
                  0.4839281633160517,
                  0.45827197182568186,
                  0.4156078365974868,
                  0.44888887346413686,
                  0.43859767709869113,
                  0.42878779087372076
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4947890992304722,
                  0.4753205974707632,
                  0.4560866594726808,
                  0.47037878645621833,
                  0.47299821491804606,
                  0.4357581018035622,
                  0.4528379078704793,
                  0.43596840945468646,
                  0.4603811312931576
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.139255304038541,
                  0.22252871542786126,
                  0.16885561998416565,
                  0.1617753632630401,
                  0.17447449777920856,
                  0.19201344187754302,
                  0.16210402443413563,
                  0.25878068450793434,
                  0.17307167514078198
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14043822061767963,
                  0.21741971507988192,
                  0.16137133777697532,
                  0.15421278761631982,
                  0.1844784913304739,
                  0.20067295850650194,
                  0.1605724275435595,
                  0.2610749478831005,
                  0.18824828684533776
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.34977731720757493,
                  0.2624186557257073,
                  0.30332356623638945,
                  0.3221527832780951,
                  0.28379746227691455,
                  0.22359439326819086,
                  0.2867848381012212,
                  0.17981700192825803,
                  0.2557161075157822
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.35435085494429375,
                  0.2579008762312236,
                  0.2947153086203139,
                  0.31616598226162707,
                  0.28851971169071594,
                  0.23508514114649787,
                  0.2922654680223936,
                  0.17489347015413084,
                  0.272132835460955
                ],
                "crps": [
                  29.031141341720215,
                  17.443371476988506,
                  30.466816224008753,
                  23.24884570057754,
                  16.91637538751374,
                  15.800257843768517,
                  25.856613354763915,
                  16.328162606134747,
                  16.23686845653098
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.281647851966547,
                  17.15803927516819,
                  25.993136341641158,
                  19.58864279444303,
                  17.83614860391533,
                  15.27535033028718,
                  21.278592720172202,
                  13.65283925983951,
                  17.80733890498982
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.66919300612393,
                  17.140529695762318,
                  30.166839145597788,
                  22.943519526448,
                  16.62152699021413,
                  15.45010579833637,
                  25.50303765701606,
                  15.974143551632638,
                  15.876575229818055
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  28.553163894312622,
                  16.429555317514268,
                  25.26465238398724,
                  18.860158836789104,
                  17.107664646261412,
                  14.546866372633263,
                  20.55010876251828,
                  12.924355302185589,
                  17.078854947335895
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4578046148469766,
              "rpss": 0.008250624225471404,
              "brier_below": 0.18365103627257906,
              "bss_below": 0.009367664470152692,
              "brier_above": 0.274153569504237,
              "bss_above": 0.007500925423407079,
              "crps": 21.25871693244521,
              "crpss": -0.07565404490878924,
              "crps_fair": 20.927274511216588,
              "crpss_fair": -0.09940782953248206,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.000226,
                    0.004058,
                    0.13372,
                    0.794333,
                    0.067663,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0708,
                    0.1564,
                    0.2843,
                    0.3377,
                    0.4178,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    0.3333,
                    0.1483,
                    0.204,
                    0.2065,
                    0.4711,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.085438,
                    0.862094,
                    0.052468,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2912,
                    0.3393,
                    0.4255,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.413,
                    0.5037,
                    0.489,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5024117592008444,
                  0.4733867140353845,
                  0.497070342685682,
                  0.4591612262068071,
                  0.4517256388006203,
                  0.4225802470503572,
                  0.45507486057082136,
                  0.4434924046622137,
                  0.4291034400547019
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5102317652431445,
                  0.47433267737964163,
                  0.4783180441293248,
                  0.4525347847419441,
                  0.4603745980834287,
                  0.4422445935566512,
                  0.44415660691947745,
                  0.4338588592002403,
                  0.45616205495422807
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12536510934035974,
                  0.2526969458972328,
                  0.14929512404303363,
                  0.16128660570732106,
                  0.1568213052921876,
                  0.16062348226360798,
                  0.16644375212960116,
                  0.2606566564296774,
                  0.11507219336824803
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.126539540948379,
                  0.2545659968360651,
                  0.13841351661655463,
                  0.1589549412230946,
                  0.16053153657975874,
                  0.16798009656758436,
                  0.15927262223192998,
                  0.25847884644300917,
                  0.1239877850693975
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.37704662187353016,
                  0.2206897677886836,
                  0.3477751975301225,
                  0.2978746077609286,
                  0.29490432024499885,
                  0.26195675723470085,
                  0.28863109659480607,
                  0.1828357578747646,
                  0.31403122877515227
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.38369219542168237,
                  0.21976668098266122,
                  0.33990450646953646,
                  0.2935798307591138,
                  0.29984304762398367,
                  0.27426448768318373,
                  0.28488397348275224,
                  0.17538002113326967,
                  0.3321742502238743
                ],
                "crps": [
                  40.910290578326865,
                  22.02115705358236,
                  45.902129769290696,
                  27.914272754368888,
                  21.873115928272473,
                  20.570431250166717,
                  32.967730029934685,
                  22.79774867302982,
                  22.258363594198578
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.92534574035464,
                  22.089318991170305,
                  40.08494619654123,
                  23.890249665507238,
                  23.177153551992927,
                  21.71108717495611,
                  28.004720878699523,
                  19.009192462863844,
                  25.3617561381083
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  40.44922178941009,
                  21.60873309994885,
                  45.51496514122823,
                  27.503314377296775,
                  21.476976313780877,
                  20.096594552459823,
                  32.524221620287264,
                  22.327265560820138,
                  21.780262381350543
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.950951294224595,
                  21.114924545040267,
                  39.11055175041119,
                  22.915855219377203,
                  22.202759105862885,
                  20.736692728826064,
                  27.03032643256948,
                  18.034798016733802,
                  24.38736169197826
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4593340703630481,
              "rpss": 0.004384974139072684,
              "brier_below": 0.17202901938569662,
              "bss_below": 0.0002994127941886582,
              "brier_above": 0.287305039519743,
              "bss_above": 0.00681533056016792,
              "crps": 28.57947107013012,
              "crpss": -0.04877180396431857,
              "crps_fair": 28.14239498184251,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07102940735664753,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.055406,
                    0.938106,
                    0.006489,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2914,
                    0.3348,
                    0.4082,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.0993,
                    0.188,
                    0.1633,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.041559,
                    0.936839,
                    0.021602,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2922,
                    0.3401,
                    0.4092,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.5274,
                    0.5348,
                    0.5342,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "mvs_zero_guard": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7404091341753162,
            "training": [
              0.7023362094179623,
              0.7383657344446851,
              0.7468332918460837,
              0.7389922332821981,
              0.8032587141695247,
              0.7473722097145156,
              0.761973853400007,
              0.7413357784765605,
              0.7385337327308461,
              0.7176313950184113,
              0.7783015195834502,
              0.720844203388021,
              0.7371337620737547,
              0.7542089606701564,
              0.7424359814422637,
              0.7513709818560276,
              0.7500686243239368,
              0.741993016253492,
              0.7352631762661697,
              0.7197724954124435,
              0.7382443190523447,
              0.720852658166895,
              0.6839412363731845,
              0.7587551328446561
            ],
            "test": 0.7702543524081173
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4819159174899113,
                  0.48136388761744103,
                  0.4503873342969238,
                  0.4381205168043661,
                  0.42328697170514645,
                  0.4642956630831121,
                  0.43383278930391234,
                  0.4292510416407498,
                  0.4476852569351838,
                  0.4924969422750912,
                  0.43948052033712715,
                  0.418932482161195,
                  0.43342053184598484,
                  0.4345527105056248,
                  0.464741139232986,
                  0.41936670996740777,
                  0.4672966339765093,
                  0.4189625934591914,
                  0.4186189073303443,
                  0.5014724221767444,
                  0.46054129327431836,
                  0.4676124244491803,
                  0.4854655844788357,
                  0.4593256697021098
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.44828178439893784,
                  0.4780636046945905,
                  0.45403117539434756,
                  0.4408998664630428,
                  0.4626710009670124,
                  0.4675652855175825,
                  0.45088178363034326,
                  0.4339622485969375,
                  0.4457739713411614,
                  0.48115608104505214,
                  0.46731020302909526,
                  0.40902067319593455,
                  0.4238503280124456,
                  0.44888898670135347,
                  0.4836531086639868,
                  0.4215019666820851,
                  0.47209090525934455,
                  0.42365664384275686,
                  0.43223368035833454,
                  0.4869745630233523,
                  0.45947832667944477,
                  0.45033952255554077,
                  0.45381281595427836,
                  0.4698444532531743
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2560342798873104,
                  0.22263905534712408,
                  0.260072344652079,
                  0.23034283827265412,
                  0.23737368713722742,
                  0.2213788833744599,
                  0.24018468827092834,
                  0.23542484814015488,
                  0.23452315127261195,
                  0.24192370434166127,
                  0.2360763505674896,
                  0.20636086512926963,
                  0.21142019289710304,
                  0.1734282156515038,
                  0.12701759021203463,
                  0.2024222425064098,
                  0.2914129023474814,
                  0.17514001179564562,
                  0.1750938474054106,
                  0.19307684047958296,
                  0.2549953354334464,
                  0.21350074638007088,
                  0.24708196194397644,
                  0.315116979765432
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24364607658776927,
                  0.2167833637959483,
                  0.26200244695541064,
                  0.2335398229822821,
                  0.2599592835854335,
                  0.22410814370662485,
                  0.24638536370420897,
                  0.23420103701671963,
                  0.23335651499978938,
                  0.23810578482707784,
                  0.25468721411875095,
                  0.19406452747606567,
                  0.20425741444224962,
                  0.17808060941226778,
                  0.14096115009371765,
                  0.20696214106709115,
                  0.29480390564951164,
                  0.17663004534290416,
                  0.18425554277680625,
                  0.18520467260263995,
                  0.25555913109943895,
                  0.207082427269816,
                  0.23258804671993344,
                  0.32153762962536103
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2258816373922448,
                  0.2587248318136229,
                  0.19031498917302625,
                  0.20777767824848764,
                  0.18591328508839508,
                  0.24291678047588772,
                  0.19364810085105996,
                  0.19382619337153545,
                  0.21316210540258634,
                  0.2505732370312873,
                  0.2034041700900256,
                  0.2125716167726434,
                  0.22200033798079885,
                  0.26112449490699774,
                  0.33772354971306096,
                  0.21694446729245517,
                  0.1758837305541459,
                  0.24382258156985132,
                  0.24352505969803798,
                  0.30839558286287666,
                  0.2055459571004363,
                  0.254111677867156,
                  0.23838362299753343,
                  0.14420868993333893
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.20463570781908508,
                  0.2612802408995609,
                  0.1920287284468534,
                  0.20736004348867731,
                  0.20271171736051702,
                  0.2434571418390764,
                  0.20449641993405068,
                  0.19976121159863708,
                  0.21241745636061743,
                  0.24305029625298225,
                  0.21262298892876352,
                  0.2149561457217039,
                  0.2195929135561274,
                  0.27080837732842866,
                  0.3426919585851556,
                  0.21453982563780633,
                  0.17728699964486266,
                  0.24702659841398025,
                  0.24797813761256063,
                  0.30176989039964386,
                  0.20391919556164534,
                  0.24325709524448394,
                  0.22122476926537735,
                  0.14830682364623232
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.891928895158127,
                  26.186887762971327,
                  16.17810178585064,
                  17.061067985618635,
                  16.812200452648696,
                  20.847885347668495,
                  17.287479477612735,
                  16.312564285040075,
                  19.05420218361003,
                  22.392868290529943,
                  14.998207098482117,
                  14.376669655085879,
                  14.767688611021832,
                  15.416410686787351,
                  30.82282646329392,
                  14.91644504911769,
                  26.660335191170848,
                  14.85259387086449,
                  15.21656616196584,
                  28.127972147755028,
                  16.446917320262358,
                  18.88171372610358,
                  22.105901066397504,
                  20.5970402012343
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.40286903169342,
                  22.980285367240008,
                  16.04453582917209,
                  16.01544976173602,
                  18.23475961955163,
                  20.24434837659676,
                  16.05965168074466,
                  15.699377570210324,
                  17.593278632094517,
                  22.75728628237246,
                  16.76392185931309,
                  13.531282337003354,
                  14.073597103535487,
                  16.90050283907696,
                  32.670568611232945,
                  13.245890750422944,
                  24.87859016163376,
                  15.432698428298984,
                  15.601474071525136,
                  24.538292073716153,
                  15.517039557550994,
                  16.567178418053995,
                  17.75216265190863,
                  16.345490750873054
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.21576337134308,
                  25.533645160057937,
                  15.600279101369743,
                  16.421121424943028,
                  16.213524988057824,
                  20.146639896436728,
                  16.587256164914592,
                  15.703434669059535,
                  18.421620892268436,
                  21.73518757072886,
                  14.353673495584053,
                  13.781583563388986,
                  14.100875676833807,
                  14.759968004946463,
                  30.31496819864127,
                  14.253299773940883,
                  26.00812727858603,
                  14.172750084303306,
                  14.463205239210852,
                  27.482988417763586,
                  15.732185247691572,
                  18.201815251054743,
                  21.479894125832878,
                  20.002338157968303
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.643013178327948,
                  22.229098862994885,
                  15.280213435650335,
                  15.251072280965328,
                  17.47458537714802,
                  19.48798017350574,
                  15.295357915729673,
                  14.934401467864777,
                  16.8318894635783,
                  22.0056774313757,
                  16.000961939333273,
                  12.762199993685826,
                  13.305541871518209,
                  16.137801595195178,
                  31.937734916162057,
                  12.476267892736892,
                  24.130998931620457,
                  14.667217251821024,
                  14.836312545886626,
                  23.790056339748453,
                  14.751718118060262,
                  15.803845877920272,
                  16.991074400096608,
                  15.581738347733312
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45135108100205823,
              "rpss": 0.003084595168105664,
              "brier_below": 0.22508506513379448,
              "bss_below": 0.004922067165685218,
              "brier_above": 0.22626601575781216,
              "bss_above": 0.0012499686427386303,
              "crps": 19.34218640484381,
              "crpss": -0.06020762803323354,
              "crps_fair": 18.695256073121936,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0693015197690996,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    2.8e-05,
                    0.003381,
                    0.109569,
                    0.734997,
                    0.152024,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    0.0834,
                    0.1664,
                    0.2834,
                    0.3455,
                    0.4248,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    1.0,
                    0.0666,
                    0.2862,
                    0.3505,
                    0.3783,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.116672,
                    0.789568,
                    0.093025,
                    0.000736,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2858,
                    0.3471,
                    0.4263,
                    0.5067,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3525,
                    0.3397,
                    0.4029,
                    0.0767,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4969424284504254,
                  0.49963930640254045,
                  0.44681403062683966,
                  0.42361287115788043,
                  0.4220109907944633,
                  0.45129483518924024,
                  0.4404393955367874,
                  0.43711762549683253,
                  0.47785902442608696,
                  0.4505050818776293,
                  0.4365856586951716,
                  0.4143184861570603,
                  0.4026582959248561,
                  0.4159390703202349,
                  0.4421739782099623,
                  0.4126169968649806,
                  0.5202630884376802,
                  0.43336291144236727,
                  0.42347341908827973,
                  0.4895838655813291,
                  0.4574561169039854,
                  0.4840590730397308,
                  0.472277175234177,
                  0.46226028767940297
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4656268773487567,
                  0.47905520254523853,
                  0.44987819562667175,
                  0.4222690397368383,
                  0.473189675792112,
                  0.46370659625075544,
                  0.4533706691746612,
                  0.44043707163708307,
                  0.4658910246954573,
                  0.4835074529423111,
                  0.44476293120584887,
                  0.42294488325801144,
                  0.4035717243423909,
                  0.4341110496580427,
                  0.4840392053398089,
                  0.41705895616907784,
                  0.5102516956651021,
                  0.44254446083186355,
                  0.4407978919737273,
                  0.46885745291344016,
                  0.4562595884170463,
                  0.45934219841451757,
                  0.4469383691099854,
                  0.4493098079235744
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22271183736814262,
                  0.25783043348534646,
                  0.26008944842595627,
                  0.21222954892699517,
                  0.2744401296823451,
                  0.16275783725999235,
                  0.2130696351087839,
                  0.22295709987589302,
                  0.3064389941354312,
                  0.29436439682530463,
                  0.16551081477977156,
                  0.2154715923865362,
                  0.20640144175659678,
                  0.18502901297327742,
                  0.11789687311287386,
                  0.1861484158619063,
                  0.38662325996239116,
                  0.1634949706897789,
                  0.17939963647067525,
                  0.202051837419966,
                  0.27765401982011684,
                  0.17404958647063992,
                  0.2139387788958779,
                  0.2907119041608287
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20639084196205096,
                  0.24828230441497257,
                  0.2605442628100996,
                  0.21079044758429427,
                  0.3079691007315029,
                  0.1701970420969503,
                  0.21556851840134683,
                  0.2221603579843514,
                  0.2986746145123454,
                  0.31773717985625455,
                  0.16972492982842746,
                  0.2191151329533314,
                  0.20714815598586803,
                  0.19476475401412452,
                  0.14137875328774757,
                  0.19387986053487954,
                  0.37971397960807707,
                  0.16798860633846377,
                  0.18789536861046913,
                  0.1944206391015046,
                  0.27728056202918344,
                  0.16316626564473996,
                  0.1984248046321673,
                  0.28086225383117586
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.27423059059886845,
                  0.24180887249782906,
                  0.18672458149049692,
                  0.2113833217541564,
                  0.1475708618597888,
                  0.28853699931157545,
                  0.22736976016132154,
                  0.2141605256074551,
                  0.17142002902547535,
                  0.15614068447453133,
                  0.2710748442993757,
                  0.1988468936037888,
                  0.196256853257961,
                  0.23091005686880153,
                  0.3242771057906587,
                  0.22646858129165745,
                  0.13363982692155302,
                  0.2698679417092277,
                  0.24407378210148944,
                  0.28753202886871165,
                  0.17980209587196916,
                  0.31000948767920317,
                  0.2583383963756829,
                  0.17154838310714163
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2592360353867057,
                  0.23077289813026597,
                  0.18933393281657201,
                  0.21147859215254405,
                  0.165220575060609,
                  0.29350955415380503,
                  0.23780215077331432,
                  0.21827671365273166,
                  0.1672164101831118,
                  0.1657702730860564,
                  0.2750380013774213,
                  0.20382975030467998,
                  0.19642356835652286,
                  0.23934629564391813,
                  0.34266045205206114,
                  0.22317909563419822,
                  0.1305377160570248,
                  0.27455585449339964,
                  0.2529025233632581,
                  0.2744368138119354,
                  0.17897902638786278,
                  0.2961759327697775,
                  0.2485135644778181,
                  0.16844755409239837
                ],
                "crps": [
                  34.97547437075737,
                  34.88298867088048,
                  22.558051504436413,
                  23.812032131116073,
                  22.540287452727146,
                  28.120977505728646,
                  25.554058865367374,
                  23.14831995413755,
                  26.87686869035176,
                  22.082276493786186,
                  22.279873538412048,
                  18.85597117320575,
                  18.080481863874073,
                  19.310342309791615,
                  31.468842256596766,
                  20.04708924420364,
                  39.980782916607524,
                  20.69961159506708,
                  19.805450642067985,
                  32.59756048355318,
                  22.600844112358605,
                  27.22683544160429,
                  30.65463986377428,
                  27.463197609619414
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.829005594094255,
                  30.789517415890057,
                  22.274178691284046,
                  22.400405790699597,
                  24.562013785862174,
                  28.743909674086105,
                  23.41639624632185,
                  22.294597973023507,
                  23.939813933834774,
                  26.00809173405538,
                  23.784893985415945,
                  18.638495127121324,
                  17.665545158908575,
                  21.356757879360448,
                  35.9519633499581,
                  17.515074119812123,
                  37.22123503260143,
                  21.861619454593054,
                  20.60004209571915,
                  27.362334214151744,
                  21.305435294168266,
                  23.9623386515102,
                  25.131651915716713,
                  22.03810998188434
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  34.10840236206661,
                  34.05205387667296,
                  21.808656195588167,
                  22.948800658657348,
                  21.766930173680624,
                  27.202270697326657,
                  24.63164689094471,
                  22.327992420497235,
                  26.029292296472896,
                  21.15352827777822,
                  21.416627449387093,
                  18.017274223622287,
                  17.229366965416844,
                  18.450400218917093,
                  30.78612267996504,
                  19.15113329052156,
                  39.14200009578427,
                  19.806590974256583,
                  18.815778996048227,
                  31.748917055623775,
                  21.695719551728722,
                  26.35803373962536,
                  29.87443483159308,
                  26.643667032798465
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.816842345274544,
                  29.784855136429805,
                  21.25338887636053,
                  21.37985504225225,
                  23.545556991951106,
                  27.7353731375391,
                  22.397769722222264,
                  21.27384683098207,
                  22.922178731113057,
                  24.994373724137105,
                  22.766965373701,
                  17.610819547871735,
                  16.63602687138586,
                  20.334230525020402,
                  34.957078430221465,
                  16.48527084926081,
                  36.22875403650616,
                  20.840048277478832,
                  19.576081567546453,
                  26.351181057415474,
                  20.28281073796233,
                  22.944746109238622,
                  24.116273981900072,
                  21.01687306713241
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4505526672307476,
              "rpss": 0.005925689892617658,
              "brier_below": 0.22463631274397614,
              "bss_below": 0.007877550726191562,
              "brier_above": 0.22591635435536336,
              "bss_above": 0.00397725908162283,
              "crps": 25.65095244541772,
              "crpss": -0.05117263931733307,
              "crps_fair": 24.79856837312391,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0604264898238116,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.10711,
                    0.766662,
                    0.126228,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2868,
                    0.3433,
                    0.4247,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2571,
                    0.3496,
                    0.403,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.126639,
                    0.797638,
                    0.075723,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2856,
                    0.3479,
                    0.4217,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3728,
                    0.3336,
                    0.4552,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4917344975348132,
                  0.4816076138850708,
                  0.472498755128013,
                  0.48494458948075714,
                  0.45615105928197136,
                  0.41715626022004526,
                  0.4517056774803668,
                  0.4340347565908641,
                  0.43009184351036367
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4947890992304722,
                  0.4753205974707632,
                  0.4560866594726808,
                  0.47037878645621833,
                  0.47299821491804606,
                  0.4357581018035622,
                  0.4528379078704793,
                  0.43596840945468646,
                  0.4603811312931576
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.14134153846052716,
                  0.22240281931203645,
                  0.16980379469253876,
                  0.16120060716247836,
                  0.17387870455351884,
                  0.19211444690960772,
                  0.16370426311581376,
                  0.2559573622364796,
                  0.1737904344807195
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14043822061767963,
                  0.21741971507988192,
                  0.16137133777697532,
                  0.15421278761631982,
                  0.1844784913304739,
                  0.20067295850650194,
                  0.1605724275435595,
                  0.2610749478831005,
                  0.18824828684533776
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3503929368895814,
                  0.25920478749978093,
                  0.30269494760681626,
                  0.3237439653699289,
                  0.2822723433749384,
                  0.2250418121200374,
                  0.2880014027673518,
                  0.1780774036794295,
                  0.2563014011592709
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.35435085494429375,
                  0.2579008762312236,
                  0.2947153086203139,
                  0.31616598226162707,
                  0.28851971169071594,
                  0.23508514114649787,
                  0.2922654680223936,
                  0.17489347015413084,
                  0.272132835460955
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.569473847524904,
                  16.975229687700303,
                  29.51899910349115,
                  22.011390810859513,
                  16.7762467010045,
                  14.746958824090363,
                  24.435033841207613,
                  15.38603370833003,
                  15.454897034398591
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.281647851966547,
                  17.15803927516819,
                  25.993136341641158,
                  19.58864279444303,
                  17.83614860391533,
                  15.27535033028718,
                  21.278592720172202,
                  13.65283925983951,
                  17.80733890498982
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.19898802124406,
                  16.666596097436894,
                  29.209538306087687,
                  21.702960476832107,
                  16.47673853021072,
                  14.393622540722511,
                  24.066686144802063,
                  15.023565699207259,
                  15.088907073037387
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  28.553163894312622,
                  16.429555317514268,
                  25.26465238398724,
                  18.860158836789104,
                  17.107664646261412,
                  14.546866372633263,
                  20.55010876251828,
                  12.924355302185589,
                  17.078854947335895
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45776945034580724,
              "rpss": 0.008326801640362258,
              "brier_below": 0.18379933010263558,
              "bss_below": 0.008567752494728187,
              "brier_above": 0.27397011116301506,
              "bss_above": 0.008165086879394767,
              "crps": 20.430473728734107,
              "crpss": -0.0337463815690342,
              "crps_fair": 20.091955876620077,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05552462598690955,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004432,
                    0.13232,
                    0.798299,
                    0.064949,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.171,
                    0.2869,
                    0.3409,
                    0.4192,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.0679,
                    0.1386,
                    0.2227,
                    0.4222,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.114894,
                    0.850108,
                    0.034997,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2904,
                    0.3429,
                    0.4135,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.5072,
                    0.4912,
                    0.5524,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.49914276553503667,
                  0.4746379673539304,
                  0.5033113351903056,
                  0.45867482224602957,
                  0.4487295310547934,
                  0.42063189886301866,
                  0.45729520598812234,
                  0.4399839477604627,
                  0.4241189791719111
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5102317652431445,
                  0.47433267737964163,
                  0.4783180441293248,
                  0.4525347847419441,
                  0.4603745980834287,
                  0.4422445935566512,
                  0.44415660691947745,
                  0.4338588592002403,
                  0.45616205495422807
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12414413984760342,
                  0.25307432404963365,
                  0.15212645364247657,
                  0.1599063674843907,
                  0.1563889496155645,
                  0.16042099659927225,
                  0.16834943663121407,
                  0.2588994984303211,
                  0.11341872838771842
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.126539540948379,
                  0.2545659968360651,
                  0.13841351661655463,
                  0.1589549412230946,
                  0.16053153657975874,
                  0.16798009656758436,
                  0.15927262223192998,
                  0.25847884644300917,
                  0.1239877850693975
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3749985982964021,
                  0.22156364264692513,
                  0.3511848603214054,
                  0.2987684419502552,
                  0.2923405684399772,
                  0.26021089501188305,
                  0.2889457571966691,
                  0.1810844588903356,
                  0.3107002330245148
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.38369219542168237,
                  0.21976668098266122,
                  0.33990450646953646,
                  0.2935798307591138,
                  0.29984304762398367,
                  0.27426448768318373,
                  0.28488397348275224,
                  0.17538002113326967,
                  0.3321742502238743
                ],
                "crps": [
                  40.145767907179284,
                  21.74026107554628,
                  45.40164050009548,
                  26.987927686702623,
                  21.588260379645874,
                  19.644565392604832,
                  32.687149771962844,
                  21.662946121490346,
                  21.152562696761542
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.92534574035464,
                  22.089318991170305,
                  40.08494619654123,
                  23.890249665507238,
                  23.177153551992927,
                  21.71108717495611,
                  28.004720878699523,
                  19.009192462863844,
                  25.3617561381083
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.67743944515673,
                  21.323004476407398,
                  45.006218687963106,
                  26.572043458137408,
                  21.189358977156896,
                  19.166439594576644,
                  32.231318213692376,
                  21.18467472436449,
                  20.665311804499144
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.950951294224595,
                  21.114924545040267,
                  39.11055175041119,
                  22.915855219377203,
                  22.202759105862885,
                  20.736692728826064,
                  27.03032643256948,
                  18.034798016733802,
                  24.38736169197826
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4585029392404011,
              "rpss": 0.006186466097885979,
              "brier_below": 0.17185876607646605,
              "bss_below": 0.0012887943172554817,
              "brier_above": 0.28664416175315194,
              "bss_above": 0.009099918631609638,
              "crps": 27.890120170221014,
              "crpss": -0.02347491218182096,
              "crps_fair": 27.446201042439355,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04453400130448526,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.122015,
                    0.862096,
                    0.015889,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2901,
                    0.3383,
                    0.4096,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1162,
                    0.1937,
                    0.1084,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.103852,
                    0.872263,
                    0.023885,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2909,
                    0.3438,
                    0.4109,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.539,
                    0.5326,
                    0.584,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "selection": {
        "SEL-P": {
          "criterion": "inner RPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "gqm",
            "1994": "gqm",
            "1995": "ls",
            "1996": "gqm",
            "1997": "ls",
            "1998": "ls",
            "1999": "ls",
            "2000": "ls",
            "2001": "ls",
            "2002": "sdm",
            "2003": "ls",
            "2004": "ls",
            "2005": "gqm",
            "2006": "ls",
            "2007": "ls",
            "2008": "gqm",
            "2009": "gqm",
            "2010": "ls",
            "2011": "gqm",
            "2012": "gqm",
            "2013": "ls",
            "2014": "loci",
            "2015": "ls",
            "2016": "ls"
          },
          "chosen_test": "sdm",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 14,
            "vs": 0,
            "sqrt_mvs": 0,
            "pt": 0,
            "dc": 0,
            "loci": 1,
            "eqm": 0,
            "gqm": 8,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 1,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.491289639377858,
                  0.4776154937455723,
                  0.4498420380779653,
                  0.44388134475773583,
                  0.41952688623835377,
                  0.46123995106884075,
                  0.4290759450900512,
                  0.42764945264863163,
                  0.4541723299059635,
                  0.4990552933813332,
                  0.4319236281868804,
                  0.42355629539051604,
                  0.43020540661968437,
                  0.43726111319877015,
                  0.4719952485307144,
                  0.4224067876206788,
                  0.46637190282886754,
                  0.4219207823021676,
                  0.4172142091937764,
                  0.4955543154439403,
                  0.4605694465986779,
                  0.46647206389192164,
                  0.48396207049348533,
                  0.4505636931901102
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.44828178439893784,
                  0.4780636046945905,
                  0.45403117539434756,
                  0.4408998664630428,
                  0.4626710009670124,
                  0.4675652855175825,
                  0.45088178363034326,
                  0.4339622485969375,
                  0.4457739713411614,
                  0.48115608104505214,
                  0.46731020302909526,
                  0.40902067319593455,
                  0.4238503280124456,
                  0.44888898670135347,
                  0.4836531086639868,
                  0.4215019666820851,
                  0.47209090525934455,
                  0.42365664384275686,
                  0.43223368035833454,
                  0.4869745630233523,
                  0.45947832667944477,
                  0.45033952255554077,
                  0.45381281595427836,
                  0.4698444532531743
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2590186225049047,
                  0.22179436177556053,
                  0.2603230274626637,
                  0.23432243522570856,
                  0.23451639132132202,
                  0.21826838298130238,
                  0.23725678404155542,
                  0.23417598645035112,
                  0.24117744566469662,
                  0.24642015620654673,
                  0.22897969453798395,
                  0.21008321672343194,
                  0.20939271956449945,
                  0.17624683831786508,
                  0.13522915279307876,
                  0.20378546810743847,
                  0.29013271146141073,
                  0.17643353083274102,
                  0.17217772548258206,
                  0.18976848423423498,
                  0.2558367372231795,
                  0.21123854473138778,
                  0.2444838695828287,
                  0.30634520907745105
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24364607658776927,
                  0.2167833637959483,
                  0.26200244695541064,
                  0.2335398229822821,
                  0.2599592835854335,
                  0.22410814370662485,
                  0.24638536370420897,
                  0.23420103701671963,
                  0.23335651499978938,
                  0.23810578482707784,
                  0.25468721411875095,
                  0.19406452747606567,
                  0.20425741444224962,
                  0.17808060941226778,
                  0.14096115009371765,
                  0.20696214106709115,
                  0.29480390564951164,
                  0.17663004534290416,
                  0.18425554277680625,
                  0.18520467260263995,
                  0.25555913109943895,
                  0.207082427269816,
                  0.23258804671993344,
                  0.32153762962536103
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2322710169142203,
                  0.2558211311621807,
                  0.18951900995481066,
                  0.2095589089056756,
                  0.18501049544710452,
                  0.24297156876061282,
                  0.19181916105619695,
                  0.19347346603671514,
                  0.21299488410589137,
                  0.25263513622892925,
                  0.20294393418918086,
                  0.21347307843710894,
                  0.22081268632972123,
                  0.2610142750270181,
                  0.33676609663713597,
                  0.21862131931926598,
                  0.1762391902376126,
                  0.24548725154698817,
                  0.24503648383141352,
                  0.30578583280495314,
                  0.20473270893092815,
                  0.25523351886776746,
                  0.23947820122136387,
                  0.14421848431584464
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.20463570781908508,
                  0.2612802408995609,
                  0.1920287284468534,
                  0.20736004348867731,
                  0.20271171736051702,
                  0.2434571418390764,
                  0.20449641993405068,
                  0.19976121159863708,
                  0.21241745636061743,
                  0.24305029625298225,
                  0.21262298892876352,
                  0.2149561457217039,
                  0.2195929135561274,
                  0.27080837732842866,
                  0.3426919585851556,
                  0.21453982563780633,
                  0.17728699964486266,
                  0.24702659841398025,
                  0.24797813761256063,
                  0.30176989039964386,
                  0.20391919556164534,
                  0.24325709524448394,
                  0.22122476926537735,
                  0.14830682364623232
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.940560512538944,
                  26.41128612719353,
                  16.45660443695698,
                  16.950665446452035,
                  16.951772161734418,
                  21.324107117242512,
                  17.80556425347471,
                  16.258715446153815,
                  19.825807167990007,
                  24.05717822246099,
                  15.601265623695008,
                  15.448745478857337,
                  14.682011357309559,
                  15.90620352206946,
                  30.688377895696263,
                  14.91652116911601,
                  26.582387173974695,
                  15.819521256751395,
                  15.128987603812446,
                  28.014225474933056,
                  17.38793747323628,
                  19.672564257130823,
                  23.299340304738905,
                  21.42607394630985
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.40286903169342,
                  22.980285367240008,
                  16.04453582917209,
                  16.01544976173602,
                  18.23475961955163,
                  20.24434837659676,
                  16.05965168074466,
                  15.699377570210324,
                  17.593278632094517,
                  22.75728628237246,
                  16.76392185931309,
                  13.531282337003354,
                  14.073597103535487,
                  16.90050283907696,
                  32.670568611232945,
                  13.245890750422944,
                  24.87859016163376,
                  15.432698428298984,
                  15.601474071525136,
                  24.538292073716153,
                  15.517039557550994,
                  16.567178418053995,
                  17.75216265190863,
                  16.345490750873054
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.270653668767345,
                  25.775923057942883,
                  15.803567519648361,
                  16.319445072501132,
                  16.30841319999992,
                  20.52586055645062,
                  17.014790795764032,
                  15.58008497243935,
                  19.117966186380315,
                  23.461895182858846,
                  14.887517892026409,
                  14.809029501526428,
                  14.02023102143864,
                  15.177506428634148,
                  30.112969179894076,
                  14.259060160523735,
                  25.95168738092397,
                  15.060594669939045,
                  14.394578636797561,
                  27.386555179772202,
                  16.577713950717058,
                  18.92814935189121,
                  22.592374134742435,
                  20.762173995496468
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.643013178327948,
                  22.229098862994885,
                  15.280213435650335,
                  15.251072280965328,
                  17.47458537714802,
                  19.48798017350574,
                  15.295357915729673,
                  14.934401467864777,
                  16.8318894635783,
                  22.0056774313757,
                  16.000961939333273,
                  12.762199993685826,
                  13.305541871518209,
                  16.137801595195178,
                  31.937734916162057,
                  12.476267892736892,
                  24.130998931620457,
                  14.667217251821024,
                  14.836312545886626,
                  23.790056339748453,
                  14.751718118060262,
                  15.803845877920272,
                  16.991074400096608,
                  15.581738347733312
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4513885557409374,
              "rpss": 0.00300182336129462,
              "brier_below": 0.2248919790126969,
              "bss_below": 0.005775681056622739,
              "brier_above": 0.22649657667786002,
              "bss_above": 0.00023226067914394743,
              "crps": 19.77318430957621,
              "crpss": -0.08383201344134839,
              "crps_fair": 19.087447570711507,
              "crpss_fair": -0.09173346521947368
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.50230660579961,
                  0.5039675210751445,
                  0.4472181348477626,
                  0.4240431542541945,
                  0.41907722147483845,
                  0.45115925913903404,
                  0.4384826971478844,
                  0.4347453023551169,
                  0.4797999786116523,
                  0.4542627111219724,
                  0.43472549594480137,
                  0.41283002641368566,
                  0.40343711390337783,
                  0.41598005355409645,
                  0.44290211218163017,
                  0.4124389411159999,
                  0.5239884051854444,
                  0.43501690169084983,
                  0.4225567409684785,
                  0.49264007448567737,
                  0.45752703846387377,
                  0.4851549892130129,
                  0.4721915473371203,
                  0.4605319896653192
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4656268773487567,
                  0.47905520254523853,
                  0.44987819562667175,
                  0.4222690397368383,
                  0.473189675792112,
                  0.46370659625075544,
                  0.4533706691746612,
                  0.44043707163708307,
                  0.4658910246954573,
                  0.4835074529423111,
                  0.44476293120584887,
                  0.42294488325801144,
                  0.4035717243423909,
                  0.4341110496580427,
                  0.4840392053398089,
                  0.41705895616907784,
                  0.5102516956651021,
                  0.44254446083186355,
                  0.4407978919737273,
                  0.46885745291344016,
                  0.4562595884170463,
                  0.45934219841451757,
                  0.4469383691099854,
                  0.4493098079235744
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22580650018069262,
                  0.26031606587027245,
                  0.2622441741700963,
                  0.212009945236999,
                  0.27210909468307193,
                  0.16233671488286533,
                  0.21439975039329195,
                  0.221036714946732,
                  0.3095930697347864,
                  0.29770669546315814,
                  0.16443853759453317,
                  0.21324443792313907,
                  0.2063988865706635,
                  0.18483160223641285,
                  0.11870150322791187,
                  0.1857423707399241,
                  0.38899442860980415,
                  0.16270305156873352,
                  0.17858118069288445,
                  0.20249162004360172,
                  0.27870253789101623,
                  0.17436109825541335,
                  0.21359796416896518,
                  0.28992242162666604
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20639084196205096,
                  0.24828230441497257,
                  0.2605442628100996,
                  0.21079044758429427,
                  0.3079691007315029,
                  0.1701970420969503,
                  0.21556851840134683,
                  0.2221603579843514,
                  0.2986746145123454,
                  0.31773717985625455,
                  0.16972492982842746,
                  0.2191151329533314,
                  0.20714815598586803,
                  0.19476475401412452,
                  0.14137875328774757,
                  0.19387986053487954,
                  0.37971397960807707,
                  0.16798860633846377,
                  0.18789536861046913,
                  0.1944206391015046,
                  0.27728056202918344,
                  0.16316626564473996,
                  0.1984248046321673,
                  0.28086225383117586
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2765001050237109,
                  0.24365145472324012,
                  0.18497396008862763,
                  0.21203320853543403,
                  0.14696812753836172,
                  0.28882254551845726,
                  0.22408294650060068,
                  0.21370858721143945,
                  0.17020690780567999,
                  0.1565560152199559,
                  0.27028695869920977,
                  0.19958558847609117,
                  0.19703822636707122,
                  0.23114845114318933,
                  0.3242006095170694,
                  0.22669657074606916,
                  0.1349939747361426,
                  0.2723138507678237,
                  0.24397555971970092,
                  0.29014845524154603,
                  0.17882449948034934,
                  0.3107938915334772,
                  0.2585935831718297,
                  0.17060956773661196
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2592360353867057,
                  0.23077289813026597,
                  0.18933393281657201,
                  0.21147859215254405,
                  0.165220575060609,
                  0.29350955415380503,
                  0.23780215077331432,
                  0.21827671365273166,
                  0.1672164101831118,
                  0.1657702730860564,
                  0.2750380013774213,
                  0.20382975030467998,
                  0.19642356835652286,
                  0.23934629564391813,
                  0.34266045205206114,
                  0.22317909563419822,
                  0.1305377160570248,
                  0.27455585449339964,
                  0.2529025233632581,
                  0.2744368138119354,
                  0.17897902638786278,
                  0.2961759327697775,
                  0.2485135644778181,
                  0.16844755409239837
                ],
                "crps": [
                  35.05098720073925,
                  35.17743842753169,
                  22.821645524362822,
                  23.78959454432946,
                  22.121433804620846,
                  28.607907367156596,
                  25.368442355556933,
                  22.59198040058319,
                  27.58800523126136,
                  22.691577007674045,
                  23.002829478456558,
                  19.09501860558301,
                  18.13552336969265,
                  19.60241652067896,
                  31.34753745697274,
                  19.972275716335396,
                  40.00596234039425,
                  21.419889325630095,
                  19.788318588647,
                  32.41754081470885,
                  23.20582752989953,
                  27.85706778577012,
                  31.570857697482097,
                  28.09817307122586
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.829005594094255,
                  30.789517415890057,
                  22.274178691284046,
                  22.400405790699597,
                  24.562013785862174,
                  28.743909674086105,
                  23.41639624632185,
                  22.294597973023507,
                  23.939813933834774,
                  26.00809173405538,
                  23.784893985415945,
                  18.638495127121324,
                  17.665545158908575,
                  21.356757879360448,
                  35.9519633499581,
                  17.515074119812123,
                  37.22123503260143,
                  21.861619454593054,
                  20.60004209571915,
                  27.362334214151744,
                  21.305435294168266,
                  23.9623386515102,
                  25.131651915716713,
                  22.03810998188434
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  34.18627472639611,
                  34.35510131692368,
                  22.05452897199043,
                  22.92536260553747,
                  21.37946154239115,
                  27.644736344383286,
                  24.39934869612862,
                  21.746983911607863,
                  26.711533075244805,
                  21.84002046737276,
                  22.127239826754497,
                  18.24604279467577,
                  17.281664388825313,
                  18.73375355335563,
                  30.64103891716611,
                  19.075971368585204,
                  39.17725821276659,
                  20.504390724975135,
                  18.811295035781146,
                  31.58263813607485,
                  22.27572162209331,
                  26.98982455672388,
                  30.783872008420648,
                  27.252111201310942
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.816842345274544,
                  29.784855136429805,
                  21.25338887636053,
                  21.37985504225225,
                  23.545556991951106,
                  27.7353731375391,
                  22.397769722222264,
                  21.27384683098207,
                  22.922178731113057,
                  24.994373724137105,
                  22.766965373701,
                  17.610819547871735,
                  16.63602687138586,
                  20.334230525020402,
                  34.957078430221465,
                  16.48527084926081,
                  36.22875403650616,
                  20.840048277478832,
                  19.576081567546453,
                  26.351181057415474,
                  20.28281073796233,
                  22.944746109238622,
                  24.116273981900072,
                  21.01687306713241
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4511243339979407,
              "rpss": 0.004664396178163277,
              "brier_below": 0.22501126527965146,
              "bss_below": 0.00622154585542245,
              "brier_above": 0.22611306856257038,
              "bss_above": 0.0031099831183619697,
              "crps": 25.888677090220554,
              "crpss": -0.060914563826370616,
              "crps_fair": 25.030257250228548,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07033387717708983
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.490537843121159,
                  0.4863018294477212,
                  0.47218513941123563,
                  0.48505066984601614,
                  0.4604209864330548,
                  0.4159590694849332,
                  0.45061863808387026,
                  0.4384598395086371,
                  0.4277671119650097
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4947890992304722,
                  0.4753205974707632,
                  0.4560866594726808,
                  0.47037878645621833,
                  0.47299821491804606,
                  0.4357581018035622,
                  0.4528379078704793,
                  0.43596840945468646,
                  0.4603811312931576
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13905075349518256,
                  0.22272070352997383,
                  0.16792576707745277,
                  0.1620051579631242,
                  0.1747470072840291,
                  0.1925400631627102,
                  0.16153816673760962,
                  0.25911208863886104,
                  0.1724477141889835
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14043822061767963,
                  0.21741971507988192,
                  0.16137133777697532,
                  0.15421278761631982,
                  0.1844784913304739,
                  0.20067295850650194,
                  0.1605724275435595,
                  0.2610749478831005,
                  0.18824828684533776
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.35148706716324635,
                  0.26358111860826616,
                  0.3042593598016304,
                  0.3230454949317869,
                  0.28567396724991334,
                  0.2234190046512905,
                  0.28908046026558826,
                  0.1793477600942807,
                  0.2553193894582491
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.35435085494429375,
                  0.2579008762312236,
                  0.2947153086203139,
                  0.31616598226162707,
                  0.28851971169071594,
                  0.23508514114649787,
                  0.2922654680223936,
                  0.17489347015413084,
                  0.272132835460955
                ],
                "crps": [
                  29.131660682566473,
                  17.50964217693295,
                  31.056235540626876,
                  23.344734752651515,
                  17.339690453799907,
                  15.437842976019828,
                  25.78537642310523,
                  16.079579325543943,
                  16.15581111280102
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.281647851966547,
                  17.15803927516819,
                  25.993136341641158,
                  19.58864279444303,
                  17.83614860391533,
                  15.27535033028718,
                  21.278592720172202,
                  13.65283925983951,
                  17.80733890498982
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.792305325269155,
                  17.233273459956244,
                  30.784954632923505,
                  23.064775908855513,
                  17.07025347663743,
                  15.116535571972701,
                  25.461001221864944,
                  15.747569522524492,
                  15.820251855544473
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  28.553163894312622,
                  16.429555317514268,
                  25.26465238398724,
                  18.860158836789104,
                  17.107664646261412,
                  14.546866372633263,
                  20.55010876251828,
                  12.924355302185589,
                  17.078854947335895
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45858901414462633,
              "rpss": 0.0065513676243510455,
              "brier_below": 0.18356526911976964,
              "bss_below": 0.00983030120024575,
              "brier_above": 0.2750237358026946,
              "bss_above": 0.004350722974798882,
              "crps": 21.31561927156086,
              "crpss": -0.07853320414633957,
              "crps_fair": 21.010102330616494,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10375916315227807
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.5027239086503713,
                  0.4738971526876973,
                  0.499602323592564,
                  0.4595408106321682,
                  0.4529093942573783,
                  0.42235932302248796,
                  0.4570179194363759,
                  0.44305495943647283,
                  0.4279151708208283
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5102317652431445,
                  0.47433267737964163,
                  0.4783180441293248,
                  0.4525347847419441,
                  0.4603745980834287,
                  0.4422445935566512,
                  0.44415660691947745,
                  0.4338588592002403,
                  0.45616205495422807
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12397700276477246,
                  0.25284217217145594,
                  0.14915878927411308,
                  0.1611366706567536,
                  0.1563227625844188,
                  0.16121994010528598,
                  0.16634508616265997,
                  0.26098352525083596,
                  0.11421897914323861
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.126539540948379,
                  0.2545659968360651,
                  0.13841351661655463,
                  0.1589549412230946,
                  0.16053153657975874,
                  0.16798009656758436,
                  0.15927262223192998,
                  0.25847884644300917,
                  0.1239877850693975
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3787468779775729,
                  0.22105497969758037,
                  0.35044351322619943,
                  0.2984041271057659,
                  0.29658661829324856,
                  0.2611393753648065,
                  0.2906728212627738,
                  0.18207144368575995,
                  0.31369617372899744
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.38369219542168237,
                  0.21976668098266122,
                  0.33990450646953646,
                  0.2935798307591138,
                  0.29984304762398367,
                  0.27426448768318373,
                  0.28488397348275224,
                  0.17538002113326967,
                  0.3321742502238743
                ],
                "crps": [
                  41.08112043888318,
                  22.146922077607858,
                  46.88163914042777,
                  27.978413581086464,
                  22.285074341975907,
                  20.238345160107215,
                  33.5282865645361,
                  22.454934375192213,
                  22.201789002209534
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.92534574035464,
                  22.089318991170305,
                  40.08494619654123,
                  23.890249665507238,
                  23.177153551992927,
                  21.71108717495611,
                  28.004720878699523,
                  19.009192462863844,
                  25.3617561381083
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  40.65018619446001,
                  21.769985730369086,
                  46.52388106202554,
                  27.596002670986113,
                  21.92059708802283,
                  19.800638425515327,
                  33.11996292497326,
                  22.011180956842267,
                  21.753839828548823
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.950951294224595,
                  21.114924545040267,
                  39.11055175041119,
                  22.915855219377203,
                  22.202759105862885,
                  20.736692728826064,
                  27.03032643256948,
                  18.034798016733802,
                  24.38736169197826
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4598912180595938,
              "rpss": 0.0031773462836726107,
              "brier_below": 0.17180054756817048,
              "bss_below": 0.0016271155908241797,
              "brier_above": 0.2880906589269672,
              "bss_above": 0.0040995231640506,
              "crps": 28.75516940911403,
              "crpss": -0.05521935029845193,
              "crps_fair": 28.349586097971475,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0789145848072641
            }
          }
        },
        "SEL-A": {
          "criterion": "inner CRPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "gqm",
            "1994": "gqm",
            "1995": "gqm",
            "1996": "gqm",
            "1997": "gqm",
            "1998": "gqm",
            "1999": "gqm",
            "2000": "gqm",
            "2001": "gqm",
            "2002": "gqm",
            "2003": "gqm",
            "2004": "gqm",
            "2005": "gqm",
            "2006": "gqm",
            "2007": "gqm",
            "2008": "gqm",
            "2009": "gqm",
            "2010": "gqm",
            "2011": "gqm",
            "2012": "gqm",
            "2013": "gqm",
            "2014": "gqm",
            "2015": "gqm",
            "2016": "gqm"
          },
          "chosen_test": "gqm",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 0,
            "vs": 0,
            "sqrt_mvs": 0,
            "pt": 0,
            "dc": 0,
            "loci": 0,
            "eqm": 0,
            "gqm": 24,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 0,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.491289639377858,
                  0.4776154937455723,
                  0.45522611975886185,
                  0.44388134475773583,
                  0.41585857386659103,
                  0.4672015076119594,
                  0.437899116921903,
                  0.43205389426684043,
                  0.44659200434662716,
                  0.4834896913632404,
                  0.4453490301245995,
                  0.41318256406136505,
                  0.43020540661968437,
                  0.4239625763442455,
                  0.4532006749085279,
                  0.4224067876206788,
                  0.46637190282886754,
                  0.41704460419845324,
                  0.4172142091937764,
                  0.4955543154439403,
                  0.4585899812080381,
                  0.473787054610225,
                  0.49435047396956966,
                  0.4665028700422575
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.44828178439893784,
                  0.4780636046945905,
                  0.45403117539434756,
                  0.4408998664630428,
                  0.4626710009670124,
                  0.4675652855175825,
                  0.45088178363034326,
                  0.4339622485969375,
                  0.4457739713411614,
                  0.48115608104505214,
                  0.46731020302909526,
                  0.40902067319593455,
                  0.4238503280124456,
                  0.44888898670135347,
                  0.4836531086639868,
                  0.4215019666820851,
                  0.47209090525934455,
                  0.42365664384275686,
                  0.43223368035833454,
                  0.4869745630233523,
                  0.45947832667944477,
                  0.45033952255554077,
                  0.45381281595427836,
                  0.4698444532531743
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2590186225049047,
                  0.22179436177556053,
                  0.26289626324850934,
                  0.23432243522570856,
                  0.23233730785529116,
                  0.2236268945403812,
                  0.24292217033641766,
                  0.23686044232464806,
                  0.2335768783305343,
                  0.2364572321084315,
                  0.24077277886834386,
                  0.20168171264918375,
                  0.20939271956449945,
                  0.16817206856741915,
                  0.11963197064812142,
                  0.20378546810743847,
                  0.29013271146141073,
                  0.17337530441412682,
                  0.17217772548258206,
                  0.18976848423423498,
                  0.2538579931003871,
                  0.21604947493023216,
                  0.2508558708587057,
                  0.31949388381180843
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.24364607658776927,
                  0.2167833637959483,
                  0.26200244695541064,
                  0.2335398229822821,
                  0.2599592835854335,
                  0.22410814370662485,
                  0.24638536370420897,
                  0.23420103701671963,
                  0.23335651499978938,
                  0.23810578482707784,
                  0.25468721411875095,
                  0.19406452747606567,
                  0.20425741444224962,
                  0.17808060941226778,
                  0.14096115009371765,
                  0.20696214106709115,
                  0.29480390564951164,
                  0.17663004534290416,
                  0.18425554277680625,
                  0.18520467260263995,
                  0.25555913109943895,
                  0.207082427269816,
                  0.23258804671993344,
                  0.32153762962536103
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2322710169142203,
                  0.2558211311621807,
                  0.19232985598154526,
                  0.2095589089056756,
                  0.1835212664518392,
                  0.24357461364501892,
                  0.19497694587910927,
                  0.19519345142479586,
                  0.21301512554884167,
                  0.2470324593442857,
                  0.20457625105210495,
                  0.21150085125253604,
                  0.22081268632972123,
                  0.25579050744870135,
                  0.3335687050737319,
                  0.21862131931926598,
                  0.1762391902376126,
                  0.24366929971915025,
                  0.24503648383141352,
                  0.30578583280495314,
                  0.20473198721780123,
                  0.2577375792102296,
                  0.24349460335315992,
                  0.14700898597237258
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.20463570781908508,
                  0.2612802408995609,
                  0.1920287284468534,
                  0.20736004348867731,
                  0.20271171736051702,
                  0.2434571418390764,
                  0.20449641993405068,
                  0.19976121159863708,
                  0.21241745636061743,
                  0.24305029625298225,
                  0.21262298892876352,
                  0.2149561457217039,
                  0.2195929135561274,
                  0.27080837732842866,
                  0.3426919585851556,
                  0.21453982563780633,
                  0.17728699964486266,
                  0.24702659841398025,
                  0.24797813761256063,
                  0.30176989039964386,
                  0.20391919556164534,
                  0.24325709524448394,
                  0.22122476926537735,
                  0.14830682364623232
                ],
                "crps": [
                  23.940560512538944,
                  26.41128612719353,
                  16.09752135000426,
                  16.950665446452035,
                  16.558432533212333,
                  20.707321684801215,
                  17.267094876269674,
                  16.223990913943034,
                  18.93351529661261,
                  22.250702176124193,
                  14.993808316377148,
                  14.142361716566494,
                  14.682011357309559,
                  15.454113375228937,
                  30.573885234623834,
                  14.91652116911601,
                  26.582387173974695,
                  14.821904756473435,
                  15.128987603812446,
                  28.014225474933056,
                  16.309150125568305,
                  18.856897357672345,
                  21.99296508090337,
                  20.676152775930923
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  18.40286903169342,
                  22.980285367240008,
                  16.04453582917209,
                  16.01544976173602,
                  18.23475961955163,
                  20.24434837659676,
                  16.05965168074466,
                  15.699377570210324,
                  17.593278632094517,
                  22.75728628237246,
                  16.76392185931309,
                  13.531282337003354,
                  14.073597103535487,
                  16.90050283907696,
                  32.670568611232945,
                  13.245890750422944,
                  24.87859016163376,
                  15.432698428298984,
                  15.601474071525136,
                  24.538292073716153,
                  15.517039557550994,
                  16.567178418053995,
                  17.75216265190863,
                  16.345490750873054
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  23.270653668767345,
                  25.775923057942883,
                  15.52748708488497,
                  16.319445072501132,
                  15.97623785006993,
                  20.015876299080993,
                  16.57144205329057,
                  15.619974122783004,
                  18.308517648432883,
                  21.594022240683767,
                  14.350681510075102,
                  13.541444754776627,
                  14.02023102143864,
                  14.810131334849915,
                  30.069468861403237,
                  14.259060160523735,
                  25.95168738092397,
                  14.148121919371349,
                  14.394578636797561,
                  27.386555179772202,
                  15.60451754065394,
                  18.19069685555701,
                  21.385905812138166,
                  20.07611165097371
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  17.643013178327948,
                  22.229098862994885,
                  15.280213435650335,
                  15.251072280965328,
                  17.47458537714802,
                  19.48798017350574,
                  15.295357915729673,
                  14.934401467864777,
                  16.8318894635783,
                  22.0056774313757,
                  16.000961939333273,
                  12.762199993685826,
                  13.305541871518209,
                  16.137801595195178,
                  31.937734916162057,
                  12.476267892736892,
                  24.130998931620457,
                  14.667217251821024,
                  14.836312545886626,
                  23.790056339748453,
                  14.751718118060262,
                  15.803845877920272,
                  16.991074400096608,
                  15.581738347733312
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4512012432163091,
              "rpss": 0.0034155472874792814,
              "brier_below": 0.22470669895620335,
              "bss_below": 0.0065947851384570155,
              "brier_above": 0.22649454408667777,
              "bss_above": 0.00024123264296371794,
              "crps": 19.270269268151768,
              "crpss": -0.05626561779140693,
              "crps_fair": 18.632032154903857,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06568533866027026
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.50230660579961,
                  0.5039675210751445,
                  0.44640025170246966,
                  0.4240431542541945,
                  0.4171896627020459,
                  0.44961641459221524,
                  0.43910006635143034,
                  0.43768992253179384,
                  0.4801657194527311,
                  0.4475321182791843,
                  0.4352721891898647,
                  0.4147242597428912,
                  0.40343711390337783,
                  0.4145971178295677,
                  0.4381712109363014,
                  0.4124389411159999,
                  0.5239884051854444,
                  0.4325492088737846,
                  0.4225567409684785,
                  0.49264007448567737,
                  0.4571791580681963,
                  0.4858094566186644,
                  0.47507424524034786,
                  0.46484818678258355
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4656268773487567,
                  0.47905520254523853,
                  0.44987819562667175,
                  0.4222690397368383,
                  0.473189675792112,
                  0.46370659625075544,
                  0.4533706691746612,
                  0.44043707163708307,
                  0.4658910246954573,
                  0.4835074529423111,
                  0.44476293120584887,
                  0.42294488325801144,
                  0.4035717243423909,
                  0.4341110496580427,
                  0.4840392053398089,
                  0.41705895616907784,
                  0.5102516956651021,
                  0.44254446083186355,
                  0.4407978919737273,
                  0.46885745291344016,
                  0.4562595884170463,
                  0.45934219841451757,
                  0.4469383691099854,
                  0.4493098079235744
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.22580650018069262,
                  0.26031606587027245,
                  0.26004139905747975,
                  0.212009945236999,
                  0.2712613965470623,
                  0.16192711995247566,
                  0.21283902726589154,
                  0.22432717968298424,
                  0.3081117742532532,
                  0.29273773863182123,
                  0.1651139479555536,
                  0.21570158139540357,
                  0.2063988865706635,
                  0.18443327983539767,
                  0.11604818319299463,
                  0.1857423707399241,
                  0.38899442860980415,
                  0.1626781680513878,
                  0.17858118069288445,
                  0.20249162004360172,
                  0.2771144686377762,
                  0.17454990007916693,
                  0.21546014505578426,
                  0.2924782059042893
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.20639084196205096,
                  0.24828230441497257,
                  0.2605442628100996,
                  0.21079044758429427,
                  0.3079691007315029,
                  0.1701970420969503,
                  0.21556851840134683,
                  0.2221603579843514,
                  0.2986746145123454,
                  0.31773717985625455,
                  0.16972492982842746,
                  0.2191151329533314,
                  0.20714815598586803,
                  0.19476475401412452,
                  0.14137875328774757,
                  0.19387986053487954,
                  0.37971397960807707,
                  0.16798860633846377,
                  0.18789536861046913,
                  0.1944206391015046,
                  0.27728056202918344,
                  0.16316626564473996,
                  0.1984248046321673,
                  0.28086225383117586
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.2765001050237109,
                  0.24365145472324012,
                  0.18635885190725276,
                  0.21203320853543403,
                  0.14592826702022121,
                  0.28768929601192866,
                  0.22626103896194705,
                  0.21336274266515937,
                  0.1720539437246324,
                  0.15479437915282462,
                  0.27015824161079766,
                  0.19902267808437102,
                  0.19703822636707122,
                  0.2301638374245352,
                  0.3221230283405269,
                  0.22669657074606916,
                  0.1349939747361426,
                  0.26987104181338056,
                  0.24397555971970092,
                  0.29014845524154603,
                  0.18006468801399197,
                  0.31125955753305445,
                  0.2596140999440011,
                  0.17236998029594355
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.2592360353867057,
                  0.23077289813026597,
                  0.18933393281657201,
                  0.21147859215254405,
                  0.165220575060609,
                  0.29350955415380503,
                  0.23780215077331432,
                  0.21827671365273166,
                  0.1672164101831118,
                  0.1657702730860564,
                  0.2750380013774213,
                  0.20382975030467998,
                  0.19642356835652286,
                  0.23934629564391813,
                  0.34266045205206114,
                  0.22317909563419822,
                  0.1305377160570248,
                  0.27455585449339964,
                  0.2529025233632581,
                  0.2744368138119354,
                  0.17897902638786278,
                  0.2961759327697775,
                  0.2485135644778181,
                  0.16844755409239837
                ],
                "crps": [
                  35.05098720073925,
                  35.17743842753169,
                  22.437291924713282,
                  23.78959454432946,
                  22.27510613032194,
                  27.95742648106157,
                  25.544797987543323,
                  23.198380345808566,
                  26.867897254074478,
                  22.160407728622598,
                  22.2655016231391,
                  18.797637049396865,
                  18.13552336969265,
                  19.47828045199597,
                  31.413584096352803,
                  19.972275716335396,
                  40.00596234039425,
                  20.69366525824037,
                  19.788318588647,
                  32.41754081470885,
                  22.536600503002607,
                  27.12586159984503,
                  30.653556450917915,
                  27.525496692719287
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  26.829005594094255,
                  30.789517415890057,
                  22.274178691284046,
                  22.400405790699597,
                  24.562013785862174,
                  28.743909674086105,
                  23.41639624632185,
                  22.294597973023507,
                  23.939813933834774,
                  26.00809173405538,
                  23.784893985415945,
                  18.638495127121324,
                  17.665545158908575,
                  21.356757879360448,
                  35.9519633499581,
                  17.515074119812123,
                  37.22123503260143,
                  21.861619454593054,
                  20.60004209571915,
                  27.362334214151744,
                  21.305435294168266,
                  23.9623386515102,
                  25.131651915716713,
                  22.03810998188434
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  34.18627472639611,
                  34.35510131692368,
                  21.68757582618114,
                  22.92536260553747,
                  21.51047617495468,
                  27.046845374138403,
                  24.629073914669647,
                  22.38018026072707,
                  26.02449314941116,
                  21.235224539338244,
                  21.40325099832207,
                  17.96093313806466,
                  17.281664388825313,
                  18.621327810016403,
                  30.73129693175752,
                  19.075971368585204,
                  39.17725821276659,
                  19.803074913169315,
                  18.811295035781146,
                  31.58263813607485,
                  21.636516254270163,
                  26.26244014386481,
                  29.873041685181214,
                  26.707624592816597
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  25.816842345274544,
                  29.784855136429805,
                  21.25338887636053,
                  21.37985504225225,
                  23.545556991951106,
                  27.7353731375391,
                  22.397769722222264,
                  21.27384683098207,
                  22.922178731113057,
                  24.994373724137105,
                  22.766965373701,
                  17.610819547871735,
                  16.63602687138586,
                  20.334230525020402,
                  34.957078430221465,
                  16.48527084926081,
                  36.22875403650616,
                  20.840048277478832,
                  19.576081567546453,
                  26.351181057415474,
                  20.28281073796233,
                  22.944746109238622,
                  24.116273981900072,
                  21.01687306713241
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4508874060700833,
              "rpss": 0.005187140761782394,
              "brier_below": 0.22479852139348186,
              "bss_below": 0.007161144546463882,
              "brier_above": 0.2260888844832285,
              "bss_above": 0.0032166061783056588,
              "crps": 25.636213857505595,
              "crpss": -0.05056865393361831,
              "crps_fair": 24.787872562407227,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05996911983198561
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4866812862350748,
                  0.4744311067207662,
                  0.473408940181277,
                  0.48211718340266857,
                  0.4576823143145888,
                  0.42040901270815045,
                  0.45095053516928063,
                  0.4403073134082333,
                  0.4320324104760365
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4947890992304722,
                  0.4753205974707632,
                  0.4560866594726808,
                  0.47037878645621833,
                  0.47299821491804606,
                  0.4357581018035622,
                  0.4528379078704793,
                  0.43596840945468646,
                  0.4603811312931576
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13907350872218854,
                  0.21949697383163488,
                  0.16972817394564577,
                  0.15925478723895004,
                  0.1764318044624346,
                  0.19466472961607872,
                  0.16387433541906854,
                  0.2594115256278143,
                  0.17597807615547992
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.14043822061767963,
                  0.21741971507988192,
                  0.16137133777697532,
                  0.15421278761631982,
                  0.1844784913304739,
                  0.20067295850650194,
                  0.1605724275435595,
                  0.2610749478831005,
                  0.18824828684533776
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.34760775576071373,
                  0.2549341262166622,
                  0.30368075369619557,
                  0.3228623792292302,
                  0.28125049880880304,
                  0.22574428224078485,
                  0.28707618847784916,
                  0.1808957975192633,
                  0.25605432682974644
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.35435085494429375,
                  0.2579008762312236,
                  0.2947153086203139,
                  0.31616598226162707,
                  0.28851971169071594,
                  0.23508514114649787,
                  0.2922654680223936,
                  0.17489347015413084,
                  0.272132835460955
                ],
                "crps": [
                  28.42881459224011,
                  16.908160628296187,
                  29.53149029082166,
                  21.791391558677862,
                  16.57971701635268,
                  14.787765973484012,
                  24.214923000181667,
                  15.339160717085933,
                  15.44054485805714
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  29.281647851966547,
                  17.15803927516819,
                  25.993136341641158,
                  19.58864279444303,
                  17.83614860391533,
                  15.27535033028718,
                  21.278592720172202,
                  13.65283925983951,
                  17.80733890498982
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  28.068406284656113,
                  16.601473216680006,
                  29.22961961182852,
                  21.483159994001817,
                  16.281233794562706,
                  14.43712807929774,
                  23.863998920214144,
                  14.983147300512975,
                  15.078007175741709
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  28.553163894312622,
                  16.429555317514268,
                  25.26465238398724,
                  18.860158836789104,
                  17.107664646261412,
                  14.546866372633263,
                  20.55010876251828,
                  12.924355302185589,
                  17.078854947335895
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.457557789179564,
              "rpss": 0.00878532657150044,
              "brier_below": 0.18421265722436614,
              "bss_below": 0.00633822403549289,
              "brier_above": 0.27334512319769433,
              "bss_above": 0.010427687283701137,
              "crps": 20.335774292799695,
              "crpss": -0.028954755073553384,
              "crps_fair": 20.00290826416619,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0508465374818583
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4968672492522671,
                  0.4741269756416374,
                  0.5061471238772505,
                  0.4594041472221032,
                  0.44656096145759494,
                  0.41840424692913547,
                  0.4587096457819615,
                  0.4413658446827956,
                  0.42008417855791536
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.5102317652431445,
                  0.47433267737964163,
                  0.4783180441293248,
                  0.4525347847419441,
                  0.4603745980834287,
                  0.4422445935566512,
                  0.44415660691947745,
                  0.4338588592002403,
                  0.45616205495422807
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12335286758862361,
                  0.2531783041765177,
                  0.15361990158605734,
                  0.1598365079759206,
                  0.1555505286947474,
                  0.15963824041858796,
                  0.16874451176580083,
                  0.25889460907289347,
                  0.1121507354566516
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.126539540948379,
                  0.2545659968360651,
                  0.13841351661655463,
                  0.1589549412230946,
                  0.16053153657975874,
                  0.16798009656758436,
                  0.15927262223192998,
                  0.25847884644300917,
                  0.1239877850693975
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3735143544257587,
                  0.22094867057967832,
                  0.3525272011006282,
                  0.2995676265529564,
                  0.2910104198652889,
                  0.25876599948084095,
                  0.28996512172649014,
                  0.1824712453763471,
                  0.3079334256283774
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.38369219542168237,
                  0.21976668098266122,
                  0.33990450646953646,
                  0.2935798307591138,
                  0.29984304762398367,
                  0.27426448768318373,
                  0.28488397348275224,
                  0.17538002113326967,
                  0.3321742502238743
                ],
                "crps": [
                  40.14105928607528,
                  21.739038286385874,
                  45.397554992810946,
                  27.02837092230719,
                  21.564324098575618,
                  19.694803946504575,
                  32.64515853800664,
                  21.636001326284173,
                  21.180163039708088
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  41.92534574035464,
                  22.089318991170305,
                  40.08494619654123,
                  23.890249665507238,
                  23.177153551992927,
                  21.71108717495611,
                  28.004720878699523,
                  19.009192462863844,
                  25.3617561381083
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  39.67635607666655,
                  21.323809748316034,
                  45.003785811672245,
                  26.61483856050628,
                  21.16603892032262,
                  19.220290573527745,
                  32.1939634828775,
                  21.160501664776714,
                  20.696333544576923
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  40.950951294224595,
                  21.114924545040267,
                  39.11055175041119,
                  22.915855219377203,
                  22.202759105862885,
                  20.736692728826064,
                  27.03032643256948,
                  18.034798016733802,
                  24.38736169197826
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.45796337482251787,
              "rpss": 0.007355981874148432,
              "brier_below": 0.17166291185953336,
              "bss_below": 0.002426948661060524,
              "brier_above": 0.286300451637374,
              "bss_above": 0.010288089985278415,
              "crps": 27.89183049296204,
              "crpss": -0.023537675354101673,
              "crps_fair": 27.45065759813807,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04470360670629714
            }
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "JJAS": {
      "tag": "init05_JJAS",
      "methods": {
        "mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.5881065768214245,
            "training": [
              0.6066599667243759,
              0.58540099228822,
              0.5831115310654001,
              0.582779528302588,
              0.5726411862332346,
              0.5808365912245709,
              0.6086419525337933,
              0.6140968893228808,
              0.5999874303429817,
              0.5990998845290103,
              0.5967476609523872,
              0.5507311823118889,
              0.5754562439396911,
              0.5941376764592154,
              0.6277988081947176,
              0.5785557038202808,
              0.5906836596810687,
              0.5885814754650417,
              0.5880841610892054,
              0.58220849999007,
              0.5894619185800025,
              0.5689712144874683,
              0.6106647654658128,
              0.5392189207102834
            ],
            "test": 0.6113933660018047
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.41572050653290454,
                  0.45777802603881845,
                  0.4284006705235833,
                  0.46107978097554453,
                  0.41716706300942114,
                  0.477964246577554,
                  0.43265744182560806,
                  0.41474591024532587,
                  0.393804873160686,
                  0.4734215091296651,
                  0.37582879521521434,
                  0.5116405745404586,
                  0.4379569945453267,
                  0.40860568590947505,
                  0.41120761805376665,
                  0.434783400426553,
                  0.4698183057286592,
                  0.41025752579192837,
                  0.46448111418814564,
                  0.46952743631124033,
                  0.4385555364224456,
                  0.42082001729403445,
                  0.4073699386420468,
                  0.5568816236426463
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4625021445862044,
                  0.46159488869678755,
                  0.4404943884335238,
                  0.46286694870416484,
                  0.46982744395686576,
                  0.4638745867904695,
                  0.4580567296219436,
                  0.44805822830116804,
                  0.4278195644333872,
                  0.48511783635941824,
                  0.40716586188404125,
                  0.4476694678025769,
                  0.4237393979375955,
                  0.4284018224249593,
                  0.5042399145627019,
                  0.4349655508301632,
                  0.4679909581860775,
                  0.4188368664000415,
                  0.462507410301521,
                  0.476874938942896,
                  0.4481833614592989,
                  0.43736310157224134,
                  0.4722166255537948,
                  0.47162506981963837
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.26517684544979836,
                  0.1837020593997106,
                  0.25690960452041917,
                  0.1899667364192553,
                  0.22315764267172367,
                  0.16105931157568565,
                  0.24736615626911462,
                  0.23991192516091123,
                  0.16044836033582094,
                  0.29328860355329195,
                  0.14277957801707247,
                  0.3267402846642841,
                  0.23997178581355513,
                  0.13743399742599918,
                  0.09507219354134037,
                  0.21513917974589433,
                  0.33344365174147295,
                  0.14930419022152877,
                  0.19980552804566504,
                  0.14854864334371604,
                  0.19816535383051492,
                  0.24129336991133926,
                  0.25607703154307787,
                  0.35128938111025804
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.299632410717911,
                  0.18587870939096326,
                  0.25998119606521325,
                  0.19649455373223845,
                  0.2550109542404642,
                  0.162611082203679,
                  0.2598521950723673,
                  0.2612903611498991,
                  0.17697290245365346,
                  0.29444690935857754,
                  0.1706907313694619,
                  0.28903643213970553,
                  0.23599804043522338,
                  0.14777022402744325,
                  0.13361595890202554,
                  0.21740548647461078,
                  0.33176824151275985,
                  0.15679241531485055,
                  0.1994166508248519,
                  0.15032826915290334,
                  0.20493564010625412,
                  0.24145406689362325,
                  0.29815694964329725,
                  0.31360797929136064
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15054366011368353,
                  0.2740759673029171,
                  0.1714910647324878,
                  0.2711130458202568,
                  0.19400942107170965,
                  0.3169049367332073,
                  0.18529128365653622,
                  0.17483398532574468,
                  0.23335651280968187,
                  0.18013290411896354,
                  0.2330492171103312,
                  0.1849002891359934,
                  0.19798520782495507,
                  0.27117168973229205,
                  0.31613542456265387,
                  0.219644219883275,
                  0.1363746524193985,
                  0.26095333691158684,
                  0.2646755878693214,
                  0.32097879703552573,
                  0.24039018316814112,
                  0.17952664739634117,
                  0.1512929074854874,
                  0.2055922431969544
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16286973386829323,
                  0.27571617930582415,
                  0.18051319236831054,
                  0.26637239497192633,
                  0.21481648971640155,
                  0.30126350458679035,
                  0.1982045345495762,
                  0.18676786715126875,
                  0.25084666197973376,
                  0.19067092700084065,
                  0.2364751305145793,
                  0.15863303566287124,
                  0.18774135750237225,
                  0.28063159839751606,
                  0.3706239556606764,
                  0.2175600643555525,
                  0.13622271667331767,
                  0.2620444510851909,
                  0.2630907594766691,
                  0.3265466697899926,
                  0.2432477213530449,
                  0.1959090346786181,
                  0.17405967591049748,
                  0.15801709052827764
                ],
                "crps": [
                  50.48531825749868,
                  60.4217498077284,
                  36.199040586426854,
                  58.23644739195621,
                  62.17948101027012,
                  73.05135707767803,
                  37.29579372412385,
                  38.24352803971538,
                  35.084202767796995,
                  45.50219205021297,
                  35.03343127590022,
                  57.94037092951499,
                  36.860938006176085,
                  36.0045657074297,
                  56.196132421711226,
                  42.0063106263386,
                  52.78285544357317,
                  38.650812008198415,
                  55.71080032619232,
                  59.64368634979556,
                  39.061319805015216,
                  40.20101498029792,
                  45.69214337639172,
                  70.42639884998569
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  60.13619481850307,
                  56.256236518496635,
                  35.98277275521919,
                  56.56227686927625,
                  46.86073126600934,
                  59.72416662525286,
                  41.133014320729046,
                  39.14356234934023,
                  39.10553254848888,
                  53.063930882893146,
                  34.46797498455737,
                  37.824649592263526,
                  33.52609140008997,
                  37.21484071380031,
                  72.32397309757803,
                  40.07491922982013,
                  50.38128205074656,
                  36.35723268043317,
                  55.00451341032724,
                  60.2934577118017,
                  40.331277112560805,
                  42.36213744937737,
                  63.49609074853596,
                  39.807277519245005
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  48.975371487452136,
                  58.855328277398016,
                  34.76049789455847,
                  56.62842557602322,
                  60.695535237801245,
                  71.47481128176952,
                  35.79182111491752,
                  36.78353227230572,
                  33.59756719680408,
                  43.96298668293163,
                  33.51955532369774,
                  56.42346822312544,
                  35.32438290755749,
                  34.48528494402624,
                  54.859789398343956,
                  40.47768739258037,
                  51.295211248692695,
                  36.99468294633532,
                  53.97149232472499,
                  58.08934217634717,
                  37.377483096719494,
                  38.779883502984404,
                  44.109590568918165,
                  68.91120556849212
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  58.196507597272905,
                  54.30920089139523,
                  33.997340416444885,
                  54.61582086405132,
                  44.8959011213843,
                  57.78369904759606,
                  39.15733622734399,
                  37.164116354494205,
                  37.126014527504864,
                  51.11084922239097,
                  32.47967371061138,
                  35.8427056565897,
                  31.53600625571887,
                  35.231741837068796,
                  70.40736878975522,
                  38.09723716845984,
                  48.4231196159411,
                  34.37250954606271,
                  53.05510709552097,
                  58.35406833696034,
                  38.354080577493605,
                  40.38878724070568,
                  61.56276696656722,
                  37.82908856070565
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44126977478046053,
              "rpss": 0.02678907346742032,
              "brier_below": 0.2190021422629771,
              "bss_below": 0.03437292790336821,
              "brier_above": 0.2222676327257269,
              "bss_above": 0.019199217209978525,
              "crps": 48.45457878416369,
              "crpss": -0.027819342854219276,
              "crps_fair": 46.92270569352113,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03860023478753738,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.003325,
                    0.304268,
                    0.485205,
                    0.165265,
                    0.038493,
                    0.003444,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1962,
                    0.2614,
                    0.3456,
                    0.4397,
                    0.5456,
                    0.6104,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.6954,
                    0.2518,
                    0.3438,
                    0.4624,
                    0.5954,
                    0.7544,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.238296,
                    0.507837,
                    0.22285,
                    0.029803,
                    0.001213,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2586,
                    0.3523,
                    0.4376,
                    0.5342,
                    0.6136,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2275,
                    0.3679,
                    0.4245,
                    0.3759,
                    0.1855,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.419412745727899,
                  0.4836372544758832,
                  0.4133469854903796,
                  0.45376662833360826,
                  0.3783085108547154,
                  0.5219519212720539,
                  0.3943571157539185,
                  0.417672450461831,
                  0.3798793680135661,
                  0.45193351887817373,
                  0.3431094781775913,
                  0.5568007696680404,
                  0.4066233108895988,
                  0.39260397831664295,
                  0.3910693548132413,
                  0.4229155360141911,
                  0.4795671003203191,
                  0.43358895607551556,
                  0.47130556100206517,
                  0.4625128308134605,
                  0.44652052521225777,
                  0.3836487434840681,
                  0.397242975055904,
                  0.5051846790194872
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4783928822759757,
                  0.47851945526200396,
                  0.4363405983984559,
                  0.45554856797843624,
                  0.4692768139798448,
                  0.47784783076934295,
                  0.4363277180670701,
                  0.42911353953029135,
                  0.42219420001192276,
                  0.5068481579907806,
                  0.40171471251488117,
                  0.45512779916810575,
                  0.404350582502918,
                  0.40865537485623,
                  0.48639718804316545,
                  0.44315229259879996,
                  0.4958720926659176,
                  0.43277603457023534,
                  0.46502636956376436,
                  0.4740692033828123,
                  0.456112797909182,
                  0.4302812020232237,
                  0.5000385661978536,
                  0.4365908837694042
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25341481915703445,
                  0.1982058226375791,
                  0.2575284041099852,
                  0.14553217414229896,
                  0.24128514242624782,
                  0.15000358068154385,
                  0.1782225244177768,
                  0.20219997845671234,
                  0.16710098685329075,
                  0.3499576674335996,
                  0.0905653203090488,
                  0.3628969541373429,
                  0.23014727975970165,
                  0.1436538590162964,
                  0.09236791305759301,
                  0.18821548534043417,
                  0.37056765981164846,
                  0.14632196891747282,
                  0.21946818019892222,
                  0.12799828537841645,
                  0.1859907680981911,
                  0.27004421087396147,
                  0.27001690826184627,
                  0.2897796315920559
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.295061805248855,
                  0.19868207040204694,
                  0.26182430258523354,
                  0.1530273756639085,
                  0.29955785395623435,
                  0.13933500242887786,
                  0.19802750095084334,
                  0.21276191618591256,
                  0.1870946613836174,
                  0.3763362733314377,
                  0.1359850134096679,
                  0.3052279604608446,
                  0.2332793135781096,
                  0.16002787500701532,
                  0.13706805190249127,
                  0.20048953440023126,
                  0.37161435226063616,
                  0.14772157696565813,
                  0.21729977105895837,
                  0.13912166904319637,
                  0.1941619532924994,
                  0.2823363928821582,
                  0.33617678832429,
                  0.2605995668471377
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1659979261759561,
                  0.2854314330929504,
                  0.15581858067867635,
                  0.30823445660981247,
                  0.13702336928917577,
                  0.3719483431377929,
                  0.21613458998096735,
                  0.21547247205660927,
                  0.2127783804716156,
                  0.10197584936251844,
                  0.2525441583445939,
                  0.19390381593009903,
                  0.17647602904744752,
                  0.24895012034038522,
                  0.29870144137824245,
                  0.23470005029018495,
                  0.1089994389613581,
                  0.28726698944036133,
                  0.25183738228459773,
                  0.3345145505269475,
                  0.2605297584393139,
                  0.11360453224707076,
                  0.1272260670067485,
                  0.21540504818449444
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18333107702712054,
                  0.2798373848599569,
                  0.17451629581322226,
                  0.3025211923145276,
                  0.16971896002361034,
                  0.3385128283404649,
                  0.23830021711622673,
                  0.21635162334437877,
                  0.23509953862830535,
                  0.1305118846593427,
                  0.2657296991052132,
                  0.14989983870726103,
                  0.17107126892480837,
                  0.24862749984921456,
                  0.34932913614067407,
                  0.24266275819856864,
                  0.12425774040528127,
                  0.28505445760457715,
                  0.24772659850480583,
                  0.33494753433961566,
                  0.26195084461668244,
                  0.14794480914106525,
                  0.16386177787356343,
                  0.17599131692226644
                ],
                "crps": [
                  76.62807702152905,
                  94.03073045231552,
                  54.87829130717722,
                  85.70850911889897,
                  87.58500227566795,
                  114.78147538525296,
                  55.30809752336391,
                  57.44533908887895,
                  52.16310208535443,
                  65.07457567160301,
                  50.669111966179074,
                  88.91267801613212,
                  50.71430196452927,
                  51.71673432343616,
                  59.10403820340073,
                  61.59563556273312,
                  76.17006251080603,
                  58.31976505791169,
                  81.80105597776338,
                  79.85166341639328,
                  57.451843182802186,
                  57.211702864797005,
                  71.89254260140997,
                  93.5355734460259
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  88.82692214314231,
                  88.24742479961203,
                  55.08475034888021,
                  84.16278360597107,
                  67.8070499527785,
                  92.44999531996338,
                  62.44379244943635,
                  58.29221914343354,
                  58.940156594269254,
                  78.4199068998783,
                  50.48475121311102,
                  55.075563197379914,
                  47.14857564247005,
                  54.1600418129174,
                  81.03189466457867,
                  60.71939517686864,
                  76.19945631775296,
                  54.27423007451832,
                  79.02926764117136,
                  80.99914257141997,
                  59.58462438615225,
                  63.6185896967953,
                  102.64467420156433,
                  58.56684030684482
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  74.41964373021524,
                  91.82479218277712,
                  52.77520203783767,
                  83.3239646539499,
                  85.33442645519278,
                  112.55081758158619,
                  53.13515612526559,
                  55.322190470546424,
                  50.065746113533606,
                  62.81589608466083,
                  48.55574045131808,
                  86.77378025111149,
                  48.5302236920368,
                  49.57247553483674,
                  57.18205799900395,
                  59.404308577020785,
                  74.06606513297201,
                  55.94745433454605,
                  79.35627575220731,
                  77.62713494841383,
                  55.085349466154916,
                  55.18400792517643,
                  69.58689507885869,
                  91.36378623762685
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  85.98545820877793,
                  85.40486333240005,
                  52.179380786117605,
                  81.31248607589235,
                  64.92577565441721,
                  89.61539326661567,
                  59.55236046640964,
                  55.39292433217577,
                  56.042088937274436,
                  75.55873270937136,
                  47.570669530773095,
                  52.17017623470917,
                  44.22817544579379,
                  51.25292090823062,
                  78.17566742059579,
                  57.82469728991662,
                  73.33407672841624,
                  51.36732543547852,
                  76.16924754297749,
                  78.14285329695761,
                  56.687777312096586,
                  60.72938270855525,
                  99.82938025215908,
                  55.66806561142684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43362334575518385,
              "rpss": 0.043528450640222704,
              "brier_below": 0.21381189687787502,
              "bss_below": 0.05720070434739055,
              "brier_above": 0.21981144930324667,
              "bss_above": 0.029843466818523234,
              "crps": 70.10624620934841,
              "crpss": -0.01467717044418082,
              "crps_fair": 67.90847461736873,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02560128524880745,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00433,
                    0.372083,
                    0.412359,
                    0.154298,
                    0.053101,
                    0.003829,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1962,
                    0.2595,
                    0.344,
                    0.4428,
                    0.546,
                    0.6104,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.6514,
                    0.2333,
                    0.3414,
                    0.5269,
                    0.6262,
                    0.6978,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.296171,
                    0.467158,
                    0.199578,
                    0.035634,
                    0.00146,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2551,
                    0.3502,
                    0.4393,
                    0.5332,
                    0.6136,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2174,
                    0.3864,
                    0.4344,
                    0.4186,
                    0.2755,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46376301464207975,
                  0.4472274468915803,
                  0.4408511731080382,
                  0.44593568616868734,
                  0.4129480101170967,
                  0.4755391511132811,
                  0.41910734681760975,
                  0.4112768097090731,
                  0.44707130507194714
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4546231099504593,
                  0.43753747052601477,
                  0.49174002423345364,
                  0.49152720319112103,
                  0.425759686884452,
                  0.45276062109717374,
                  0.44678141219100675,
                  0.4601609884551471,
                  0.46568341206196623
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15821798319417502,
                  0.2102708226415771,
                  0.13838229183529968,
                  0.12571675179182296,
                  0.18970836347305353,
                  0.23186344003957488,
                  0.224460197698413,
                  0.13715824497329282,
                  0.2236984204825078
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15629594250614892,
                  0.2030692336614904,
                  0.1489835591475073,
                  0.12955841996645884,
                  0.19874380582689244,
                  0.2228475851534563,
                  0.23511902665323692,
                  0.15822245589198483,
                  0.22961314667049418
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.30554501907164877,
                  0.23695662225056918,
                  0.30246886200898804,
                  0.32021891414012976,
                  0.22323964547913797,
                  0.24367571466818602,
                  0.19464715051256973,
                  0.27411855551479203,
                  0.22337288643002184
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29832715383568675,
                  0.23446823467476652,
                  0.3427564435327463,
                  0.3619687582360325,
                  0.2270158802003865,
                  0.22991303456849288,
                  0.21166238742601534,
                  0.30193851830877666,
                  0.23607026291524907
                ],
                "crps": [
                  48.71875674893731,
                  37.19975329797671,
                  55.26605538966382,
                  54.668845370864645,
                  31.662183729235316,
                  58.09382568386139,
                  38.33045647600141,
                  43.31833096917961,
                  47.77098264409404
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  45.93763629770763,
                  35.2795366741263,
                  62.023965985874646,
                  55.33149935133871,
                  31.79983015498263,
                  42.61526370924846,
                  40.8193611954094,
                  47.8036981418148,
                  46.24683772923825
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  47.96315271739511,
                  36.440198138373006,
                  54.48086805235374,
                  53.83333446162889,
                  30.94688008142998,
                  57.24731617577117,
                  37.53693976732004,
                  42.46643728729688,
                  46.91679074002286
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.05518656224228,
                  33.39708693866097,
                  60.14151625040928,
                  53.449049615873356,
                  29.91738041951728,
                  40.7328139737831,
                  38.936911459944035,
                  45.92124840634945,
                  44.36438799377288
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4404133270710437,
              "rpss": 0.039464695839586006,
              "brier_below": 0.18216405734774632,
              "bss_below": 0.025544044835453805,
              "brier_above": 0.25824926334178255,
              "bss_above": 0.04904721150315605,
              "crps": 46.11435447886825,
              "crpss": -0.017583491286999875,
              "crps_fair": 45.31465749128797,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04327362887637243,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.398509,
                    0.506567,
                    0.093946,
                    0.000978,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2557,
                    0.3458,
                    0.4315,
                    0.5098,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1878,
                    0.2303,
                    0.381,
                    0.1543,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.204566,
                    0.500649,
                    0.23405,
                    0.060736,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2719,
                    0.3497,
                    0.4468,
                    0.5326,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3855,
                    0.4754,
                    0.5487,
                    0.5938,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46201898784487466,
                  0.4295827402746702,
                  0.4587636943697183,
                  0.45370864095782604,
                  0.414943756472879,
                  0.43481940778934536,
                  0.4247360485231668,
                  0.4410679765358591,
                  0.4398980710086551
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4512821189297184,
                  0.4206501052342102,
                  0.48607676155700724,
                  0.47178924942018213,
                  0.4202321083174025,
                  0.44974331659729855,
                  0.4554292533591238,
                  0.4713683857526428,
                  0.46309958751658076
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13383962641510655,
                  0.21756886436523032,
                  0.15038821974047745,
                  0.13038797589202533,
                  0.16834565744739766,
                  0.16788254970216157,
                  0.23685249869113756,
                  0.1492884940999707,
                  0.18880884013493882
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13306928828126782,
                  0.21585583639272318,
                  0.16162148566504822,
                  0.13114817245105845,
                  0.17045689322354624,
                  0.1706324345160037,
                  0.2513941016020818,
                  0.16393510953105803,
                  0.19563367580327717
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3281793443592384,
                  0.21201387893310494,
                  0.3083754569149754,
                  0.32332064715321523,
                  0.2465980935430487,
                  0.2669368533859514,
                  0.1878835502353862,
                  0.2917794701899148,
                  0.25108922738971623
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.31821281348399405,
                  0.20479427195784727,
                  0.3244552576112664,
                  0.3406410557941846,
                  0.24977521016699747,
                  0.2791108719088107,
                  0.204035155009143,
                  0.30743326098466245,
                  0.2674659036231022
                ],
                "crps": [
                  72.13278850265125,
                  53.565632357834346,
                  81.54693739075897,
                  78.95049050234954,
                  47.3333808039404,
                  73.65561490116087,
                  58.52473133046488,
                  64.87222930389898,
                  68.9431365264149
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  68.43806065594151,
                  50.651721281077606,
                  84.86185486393984,
                  69.92810965360432,
                  47.572672349858124,
                  63.17874189655338,
                  62.58001975556023,
                  70.12878956370798,
                  68.41795298111988
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  71.0581109792568,
                  52.473851180659025,
                  80.45266793705086,
                  77.78907039676757,
                  46.300870493029855,
                  72.46521813708522,
                  57.3871130690231,
                  63.660630233435704,
                  67.7429886853661
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  65.67917197627564,
                  47.89283260141173,
                  82.10296618427398,
                  67.16922097393847,
                  44.813783670192265,
                  60.41985321688753,
                  59.821131075894364,
                  67.36990088404211,
                  65.65906430145401
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43994881375299943,
              "rpss": 0.03181956849654455,
              "brier_below": 0.1714847473876051,
              "bss_below": 0.03161371977969274,
              "brier_above": 0.2684640580116168,
              "bss_above": 0.03195100684492169,
              "crps": 66.61388240216381,
              "crpss": -0.023502914903089422,
              "crps_fair": 65.48116901240824,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05063501916607027,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.404204,
                    0.499935,
                    0.095725,
                    0.000135,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.255,
                    0.3446,
                    0.4323,
                    0.5184,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1749,
                    0.1846,
                    0.3635,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.293774,
                    0.4703,
                    0.181816,
                    0.054109,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2713,
                    0.3446,
                    0.4452,
                    0.5366,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4279,
                    0.4996,
                    0.5958,
                    0.5484,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "ls": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6029673078372336,
            "training": [
              0.6213488958565618,
              0.5996542715120986,
              0.5972069139022382,
              0.5997051442180558,
              0.5907359474760637,
              0.5993976507226243,
              0.621370515859935,
              0.630156433967022,
              0.6133472858182222,
              0.6114385005285882,
              0.6133023072090177,
              0.5682259895848064,
              0.589773758652923,
              0.6073524535973825,
              0.6390246212384948,
              0.5959898677617601,
              0.6040663530660549,
              0.6021631642023351,
              0.6034109575530862,
              0.5980995497472732,
              0.6039334547918004,
              0.5819484796230353,
              0.6237946589050312,
              0.5557682122991976
            ],
            "test": 0.6249281428451154
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4154812811133788,
                  0.45811534697405826,
                  0.42860325877050576,
                  0.4619825544380991,
                  0.4199496372418894,
                  0.4786263215327561,
                  0.4349524530555331,
                  0.4141272648255055,
                  0.39817963623364444,
                  0.4769588660780689,
                  0.37211122945032976,
                  0.5032846983404159,
                  0.43954779845351494,
                  0.4114649985578011,
                  0.4147831056789262,
                  0.4316990963250305,
                  0.4698688118840294,
                  0.4112387421056353,
                  0.4651336160060746,
                  0.46923355053018295,
                  0.4371506457744491,
                  0.4319645734511114,
                  0.4103283735213623,
                  0.5507065287602552
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4625021445862044,
                  0.46159488869678755,
                  0.4404943884335238,
                  0.46286694870416484,
                  0.46982744395686576,
                  0.4638745867904695,
                  0.4580567296219436,
                  0.44805822830116804,
                  0.4278195644333872,
                  0.48511783635941824,
                  0.40716586188404125,
                  0.4476694678025769,
                  0.4237393979375955,
                  0.4284018224249593,
                  0.5042399145627019,
                  0.4349655508301632,
                  0.4679909581860775,
                  0.4188368664000415,
                  0.462507410301521,
                  0.476874938942896,
                  0.4481833614592989,
                  0.43736310157224134,
                  0.4722166255537948,
                  0.47162506981963837
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2624841699245749,
                  0.1803136535457415,
                  0.2578745416779606,
                  0.19079933064862106,
                  0.22598918852708594,
                  0.15947417202663883,
                  0.24669768592497193,
                  0.24014908938809917,
                  0.16417905157863463,
                  0.2995456427879455,
                  0.14253814015107566,
                  0.3213720167881158,
                  0.24346400659136055,
                  0.13897457406972502,
                  0.0975986096215505,
                  0.21163520396827315,
                  0.333563196430389,
                  0.1476706850636592,
                  0.20078957143122467,
                  0.1468506730420656,
                  0.1932187095003192,
                  0.25330009948540594,
                  0.2587261032504685,
                  0.3456761872937802
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.299632410717911,
                  0.18587870939096326,
                  0.25998119606521325,
                  0.19649455373223845,
                  0.2550109542404642,
                  0.162611082203679,
                  0.2598521950723673,
                  0.2612903611498991,
                  0.17697290245365346,
                  0.29444690935857754,
                  0.1706907313694619,
                  0.28903643213970553,
                  0.23599804043522338,
                  0.14777022402744325,
                  0.13361595890202554,
                  0.21740548647461078,
                  0.33176824151275985,
                  0.15679241531485055,
                  0.1994166508248519,
                  0.15032826915290334,
                  0.20493564010625412,
                  0.24145406689362325,
                  0.29815694964329725,
                  0.31360797929136064
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15299711118281148,
                  0.2778016937171912,
                  0.1707287167017531,
                  0.27118322477345475,
                  0.19396044920358743,
                  0.31915215075143466,
                  0.18825476559035342,
                  0.17397817560627826,
                  0.23400058470527094,
                  0.17741322308121635,
                  0.22957308909495205,
                  0.1819126807719873,
                  0.19608379140419205,
                  0.2724904257302768,
                  0.3171844955156795,
                  0.22006389146133085,
                  0.13630561434889588,
                  0.26356805783952686,
                  0.2643440457050551,
                  0.3223828806683074,
                  0.24393193696442483,
                  0.1786644740119539,
                  0.1516022707876929,
                  0.2050303422521473
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16286973386829323,
                  0.27571617930582415,
                  0.18051319236831054,
                  0.26637239497192633,
                  0.21481648971640155,
                  0.30126350458679035,
                  0.1982045345495762,
                  0.18676786715126875,
                  0.25084666197973376,
                  0.19067092700084065,
                  0.2364751305145793,
                  0.15863303566287124,
                  0.18774135750237225,
                  0.28063159839751606,
                  0.3706239556606764,
                  0.2175600643555525,
                  0.13622271667331767,
                  0.2620444510851909,
                  0.2630907594766691,
                  0.3265466697899926,
                  0.2432477213530449,
                  0.1959090346786181,
                  0.17405967591049748,
                  0.15801709052827764
                ],
                "crps": [
                  48.80707310512816,
                  61.20061620352267,
                  38.35445385517424,
                  58.815719130638,
                  65.27638464585812,
                  72.54961396754885,
                  38.55675640082839,
                  38.43939487364621,
                  37.500401294209006,
                  48.82360355101967,
                  35.51144388832328,
                  57.40392356243961,
                  38.01350886337321,
                  38.2733914048496,
                  55.42343370530457,
                  42.00089053662152,
                  53.668612598060776,
                  40.19614192713808,
                  56.8446378317981,
                  58.38192059506391,
                  40.3054031899454,
                  46.55314835067745,
                  50.71153776459062,
                  76.86456860689961
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  60.13619481850307,
                  56.256236518496635,
                  35.98277275521919,
                  56.56227686927625,
                  46.86073126600934,
                  59.72416662525286,
                  41.133014320729046,
                  39.14356234934023,
                  39.10553254848888,
                  53.063930882893146,
                  34.46797498455737,
                  37.824649592263526,
                  33.52609140008997,
                  37.21484071380031,
                  72.32397309757803,
                  40.07491922982013,
                  50.38128205074656,
                  36.35723268043317,
                  55.00451341032724,
                  60.2934577118017,
                  40.331277112560805,
                  42.36213744937737,
                  63.49609074853596,
                  39.807277519245005
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  47.24719591622487,
                  59.54449410476282,
                  36.8922002664561,
                  57.1812970162382,
                  63.89347258452085,
                  70.8788443306109,
                  36.97786854480325,
                  36.91796988613222,
                  35.93243761484242,
                  47.22871241688482,
                  33.94008924511724,
                  55.7978686628701,
                  36.418185497858325,
                  36.71353282939184,
                  54.00122450677138,
                  40.40032777370447,
                  52.12255460109283,
                  38.52087857584962,
                  54.994117269437254,
                  56.779456274697495,
                  38.55453251239605,
                  45.08557271087679,
                  49.09190171729148,
                  75.30237512009815
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  58.196507597272905,
                  54.30920089139523,
                  33.997340416444885,
                  54.61582086405132,
                  44.8959011213843,
                  57.78369904759606,
                  39.15733622734399,
                  37.164116354494205,
                  37.126014527504864,
                  51.11084922239097,
                  32.47967371061138,
                  35.8427056565897,
                  31.53600625571887,
                  35.231741837068796,
                  70.40736878975522,
                  38.09723716845984,
                  48.4231196159411,
                  34.37250954606271,
                  53.05510709552097,
                  58.35406833696034,
                  38.354080577493605,
                  40.38878724070568,
                  61.56276696656722,
                  37.82908856070565
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4418955162126066,
              "rpss": 0.02540901429783038,
              "brier_below": 0.2192868459465703,
              "bss_below": 0.03311760874729752,
              "brier_above": 0.22260867049457392,
              "bss_above": 0.01769431923385767,
              "crps": 49.93652416052746,
              "crpss": -0.05925439318588954,
              "crps_fair": 48.35071291578873,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0702081443145921,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.310699,
                    0.482735,
                    0.165746,
                    0.04082,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2608,
                    0.3485,
                    0.4423,
                    0.5459,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2535,
                    0.3451,
                    0.4769,
                    0.5702,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.258468,
                    0.491701,
                    0.218639,
                    0.029839,
                    0.001354,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2602,
                    0.3529,
                    0.4371,
                    0.531,
                    0.604,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2414,
                    0.3671,
                    0.4219,
                    0.3932,
                    0.1662,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4187898935214084,
                  0.4808967456307315,
                  0.415065986636324,
                  0.45322469061900045,
                  0.3825104430773365,
                  0.5177270113355841,
                  0.3995089120722449,
                  0.4121679574389364,
                  0.38148840987737925,
                  0.45718259915669784,
                  0.33676405556757144,
                  0.5457070690906433,
                  0.40345896347816024,
                  0.394720386465325,
                  0.39914978132421475,
                  0.42026448112886267,
                  0.47907555756711756,
                  0.4356101314069031,
                  0.4713699220147761,
                  0.46153593954453576,
                  0.4478808452627206,
                  0.3996311560432993,
                  0.40549354800593346,
                  0.5015205984857555
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4783928822759757,
                  0.47851945526200396,
                  0.4363405983984559,
                  0.45554856797843624,
                  0.4692768139798448,
                  0.47784783076934295,
                  0.4363277180670701,
                  0.42911353953029135,
                  0.42219420001192276,
                  0.5068481579907806,
                  0.40171471251488117,
                  0.45512779916810575,
                  0.404350582502918,
                  0.40865537485623,
                  0.48639718804316545,
                  0.44315229259879996,
                  0.4958720926659176,
                  0.43277603457023534,
                  0.46502636956376436,
                  0.4740692033828123,
                  0.456112797909182,
                  0.4302812020232237,
                  0.5000385661978536,
                  0.4365908837694042
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2509068416352066,
                  0.1903334865021578,
                  0.2631594986229551,
                  0.14526048177073142,
                  0.24570708144723719,
                  0.14158537614774774,
                  0.180677835658114,
                  0.20104735963167175,
                  0.16795007274614063,
                  0.3585787557581564,
                  0.09082349898459173,
                  0.35919257455280035,
                  0.23133525096430393,
                  0.14248098746990168,
                  0.09251490381347821,
                  0.1852688851960209,
                  0.3724371216487935,
                  0.14255985317945166,
                  0.21790187618211812,
                  0.12428642279085286,
                  0.18251477815220155,
                  0.28843491605762145,
                  0.27866009840112355,
                  0.2892775512962187
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.295061805248855,
                  0.19868207040204694,
                  0.26182430258523354,
                  0.1530273756639085,
                  0.29955785395623435,
                  0.13933500242887786,
                  0.19802750095084334,
                  0.21276191618591256,
                  0.1870946613836174,
                  0.3763362733314377,
                  0.1359850134096679,
                  0.3052279604608446,
                  0.2332793135781096,
                  0.16002787500701532,
                  0.13706805190249127,
                  0.20048953440023126,
                  0.37161435226063616,
                  0.14772157696565813,
                  0.21729977105895837,
                  0.13912166904319637,
                  0.1941619532924994,
                  0.2823363928821582,
                  0.33617678832429,
                  0.2605995668471377
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16788305256645722,
                  0.29056325933384086,
                  0.1519064882106032,
                  0.3079642109920711,
                  0.13680336239942867,
                  0.3761416367435542,
                  0.218831075209762,
                  0.2111205977476113,
                  0.2135383367794049,
                  0.09860384323862388,
                  0.2459405568149814,
                  0.18651449482327917,
                  0.1721237112361422,
                  0.25223939962828773,
                  0.30663487634203007,
                  0.2349955952079045,
                  0.1066384347648325,
                  0.2930502794310375,
                  0.2534680470171014,
                  0.3372495206636138,
                  0.2653660680738608,
                  0.11119623978823234,
                  0.12683344996943097,
                  0.21224304874144725
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18333107702712054,
                  0.2798373848599569,
                  0.17451629581322226,
                  0.3025211923145276,
                  0.16971896002361034,
                  0.3385128283404649,
                  0.23830021711622673,
                  0.21635162334437877,
                  0.23509953862830535,
                  0.1305118846593427,
                  0.2657296991052132,
                  0.14989983870726103,
                  0.17107126892480837,
                  0.24862749984921456,
                  0.34932913614067407,
                  0.24266275819856864,
                  0.12425774040528127,
                  0.28505445760457715,
                  0.24772659850480583,
                  0.33494753433961566,
                  0.26195084461668244,
                  0.14794480914106525,
                  0.16386177787356343,
                  0.17599131692226644
                ],
                "crps": [
                  74.54053250377217,
                  94.16914876753852,
                  58.15476319708666,
                  86.07892597160973,
                  90.25808154311642,
                  113.15501679899717,
                  57.365273322043535,
                  57.251229884979146,
                  55.830949133406214,
                  69.78444841249177,
                  50.889670291954594,
                  87.60921393840148,
                  52.11401841759123,
                  54.70432069753496,
                  60.99744325802102,
                  60.59800458567139,
                  77.45324618402648,
                  60.067609038223885,
                  83.36123098219967,
                  78.35307301390893,
                  59.02890362139653,
                  66.58185711081563,
                  79.89572237636767,
                  101.89408760842774
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  88.82692214314231,
                  88.24742479961203,
                  55.08475034888021,
                  84.16278360597107,
                  67.8070499527785,
                  92.44999531996338,
                  62.44379244943635,
                  58.29221914343354,
                  58.940156594269254,
                  78.4199068998783,
                  50.48475121311102,
                  55.075563197379914,
                  47.14857564247005,
                  54.1600418129174,
                  81.03189466457867,
                  60.71939517686864,
                  76.19945631775296,
                  54.27423007451832,
                  79.02926764117136,
                  80.99914257141997,
                  59.58462438615225,
                  63.6185896967953,
                  102.64467420156433,
                  58.56684030684482
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  72.35227845553636,
                  91.93074286467993,
                  56.107674507031575,
                  83.75126177667912,
                  88.25283249161777,
                  110.8883126758939,
                  55.1751593969911,
                  55.12704544190234,
                  53.70674172824666,
                  67.52814076578031,
                  48.808049781287224,
                  85.44113584973908,
                  49.948704718438236,
                  52.60301967897153,
                  59.07545781562304,
                  58.39906998077784,
                  75.37876204996024,
                  57.78444775132194,
                  80.86083503254395,
                  76.1747138956061,
                  56.67347957020375,
                  64.57043311451956,
                  77.62526443403432,
                  99.76391884220419
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  85.98545820877793,
                  85.40486333240005,
                  52.179380786117605,
                  81.31248607589235,
                  64.92577565441721,
                  89.61539326661567,
                  59.55236046640964,
                  55.39292433217577,
                  56.042088937274436,
                  75.55873270937136,
                  47.570669530773095,
                  52.17017623470917,
                  44.22817544579379,
                  51.25292090823062,
                  78.17566742059579,
                  57.82469728991662,
                  73.33407672841624,
                  51.36732543547852,
                  76.16924754297749,
                  78.14285329695761,
                  56.687777312096586,
                  60.72938270855525,
                  99.82938025215908,
                  55.66806561142684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4341977118646443,
              "rpss": 0.04226153351504214,
              "brier_below": 0.21428731285873318,
              "bss_below": 0.055104367060082926,
              "brier_above": 0.21991039940514745,
              "bss_above": 0.029406742125053897,
              "crps": 72.08903211081594,
              "crpss": -0.04337486425722381,
              "crps_fair": 69.91364510914958,
              "crpss_fair": -0.055884772620609535,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.398921,
                    0.406232,
                    0.143163,
                    0.051684,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2583,
                    0.3447,
                    0.4458,
                    0.5462,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2369,
                    0.3535,
                    0.5454,
                    0.6082,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.345482,
                    0.441041,
                    0.183055,
                    0.02876,
                    0.001662,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2568,
                    0.3497,
                    0.4389,
                    0.5321,
                    0.604,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2356,
                    0.3929,
                    0.431,
                    0.4511,
                    0.2421,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.465085654369863,
                  0.4436863654813535,
                  0.4415279405659949,
                  0.44563217856486925,
                  0.4143144880025629,
                  0.47237350545149087,
                  0.42218173507350376,
                  0.41133918624520915,
                  0.4481637056772863
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4546231099504593,
                  0.43753747052601477,
                  0.49174002423345364,
                  0.49152720319112103,
                  0.425759686884452,
                  0.45276062109717374,
                  0.44678141219100675,
                  0.4601609884551471,
                  0.46568341206196623
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15612701386904773,
                  0.2048141569468191,
                  0.13800638529612716,
                  0.1225974017759117,
                  0.1916118109647825,
                  0.2277121471017428,
                  0.22434610271208097,
                  0.13578440605673248,
                  0.2211909612935416
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15629594250614892,
                  0.2030692336614904,
                  0.1489835591475073,
                  0.12955841996645884,
                  0.19874380582689244,
                  0.2228475851534563,
                  0.23511902665323692,
                  0.15822245589198483,
                  0.22961314667049418
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.30895862765541393,
                  0.23887220633480935,
                  0.3035215360350052,
                  0.3230347564542619,
                  0.22270267612993314,
                  0.2446613613583787,
                  0.19783563386366174,
                  0.2755547708825195,
                  0.22697274593040276
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29832715383568675,
                  0.23446823467476652,
                  0.3427564435327463,
                  0.3619687582360325,
                  0.2270158802003865,
                  0.22991303456849288,
                  0.21166238742601534,
                  0.30193851830877666,
                  0.23607026291524907
                ],
                "crps": [
                  51.04701802427833,
                  38.41978786556822,
                  55.79336475508248,
                  60.05108720819337,
                  32.98397767325618,
                  63.74742026401885,
                  40.728900296389455,
                  45.584950459844606,
                  52.781612083514084
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  45.93763629770763,
                  35.2795366741263,
                  62.023965985874646,
                  55.33149935133871,
                  31.79983015498263,
                  42.61526370924846,
                  40.8193611954094,
                  47.8036981418148,
                  46.24683772923825
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  50.26306063380197,
                  37.64057884333723,
                  54.97742358124521,
                  59.16217437061809,
                  32.24935576396953,
                  62.85667592414567,
                  39.919056316393394,
                  44.68800545230539,
                  51.88101850638983
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.05518656224228,
                  33.39708693866097,
                  60.14151625040928,
                  53.449049615873356,
                  29.91738041951728,
                  40.7328139737831,
                  38.936911459944035,
                  45.92124840634945,
                  44.36438799377288
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4404783066035704,
              "rpss": 0.039322976388326825,
              "brier_below": 0.18024337622408737,
              "bss_below": 0.03581840513556911,
              "brier_above": 0.26023492384937624,
              "bss_above": 0.041735402082018536,
              "crps": 49.01534651446062,
              "crpss": -0.08159830049627992,
              "crps_fair": 48.18192771024514,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10928642852901693,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.411991,
                    0.497649,
                    0.089756,
                    0.000605,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.258,
                    0.347,
                    0.4288,
                    0.5075,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1731,
                    0.2373,
                    0.4227,
                    0.2495,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.234876,
                    0.458201,
                    0.249352,
                    0.057572,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2681,
                    0.3503,
                    0.4461,
                    0.5317,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4236,
                    0.4586,
                    0.5493,
                    0.6041,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46579867148343285,
                  0.42776663282696514,
                  0.4611644445640296,
                  0.4535769023755451,
                  0.41609306190674816,
                  0.43376973398827967,
                  0.4273004369208453,
                  0.44075723719440846,
                  0.43973034855236776
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4512821189297184,
                  0.4206501052342102,
                  0.48607676155700724,
                  0.47178924942018213,
                  0.4202321083174025,
                  0.44974331659729855,
                  0.4554292533591238,
                  0.4713683857526428,
                  0.46309958751658076
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1300211354488585,
                  0.21264220379476262,
                  0.14919891392386433,
                  0.12413028591328107,
                  0.1706074878026818,
                  0.16485818619089057,
                  0.2357526198173481,
                  0.14603057572595612,
                  0.18442465890295842
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13306928828126782,
                  0.21585583639272318,
                  0.16162148566504822,
                  0.13114817245105845,
                  0.17045689322354624,
                  0.1706324345160037,
                  0.2513941016020818,
                  0.16393510953105803,
                  0.19563367580327717
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.33577751787216903,
                  0.2151244318076732,
                  0.3119655127856458,
                  0.3294465981751513,
                  0.2454855686940736,
                  0.26891154200218226,
                  0.19154781765614434,
                  0.29472664889871286,
                  0.25530568559338707
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.31821281348399405,
                  0.20479427195784727,
                  0.3244552576112664,
                  0.3406410557941846,
                  0.24977521016699747,
                  0.2791108719088107,
                  0.204035155009143,
                  0.30743326098466245,
                  0.2674659036231022
                ],
                "crps": [
                  75.66962222142585,
                  55.394227967274546,
                  82.34026380937163,
                  85.71619708996012,
                  48.78048797277487,
                  80.19950892716166,
                  61.630053090400075,
                  67.93176451411132,
                  75.34295165227996
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  68.43806065594151,
                  50.651721281077606,
                  84.86185486393984,
                  69.92810965360432,
                  47.572672349858124,
                  63.17874189655338,
                  62.58001975556023,
                  70.12878956370798,
                  68.41795298111988
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  74.60544500744949,
                  54.32706901013321,
                  81.26274384513975,
                  84.54133553730748,
                  47.771311961720436,
                  79.0122516490048,
                  60.520775475218635,
                  66.71202970756987,
                  74.13939996068883
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  65.67917197627564,
                  47.89283260141173,
                  82.10296618427398,
                  67.16922097393847,
                  44.813783670192265,
                  60.41985321688753,
                  59.821131075894364,
                  67.36990088404211,
                  65.65906430145401
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4406619410902913,
              "rpss": 0.030250213354417133,
              "brier_below": 0.1686295630578446,
              "bss_below": 0.04773714401747975,
              "brier_above": 0.2720323692761266,
              "bss_above": 0.01908410707272512,
              "crps": 70.33389747164,
              "crpss": -0.08065986372204326,
              "crps_fair": 69.2102624615814,
              "crpss_fair": -0.11046773483890249,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.454688,
                    0.465824,
                    0.079353,
                    0.000135,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2571,
                    0.3433,
                    0.4312,
                    0.5119,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1614,
                    0.1956,
                    0.4197,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.360961,
                    0.401444,
                    0.186048,
                    0.051547,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2669,
                    0.3446,
                    0.4463,
                    0.5356,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4601,
                    0.4807,
                    0.5929,
                    0.5678,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "vs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.5781510298615493,
            "training": [
              0.5975233071365407,
              0.5764145586156871,
              0.5741003544563195,
              0.5728770913201925,
              0.5599913428104096,
              0.5708594763062843,
              0.6004758071698962,
              0.6035679857782383,
              0.5910040263789177,
              0.589680133774568,
              0.5883981736652478,
              0.5378676596175395,
              0.5661109330856621,
              0.5829320330504228,
              0.613328150236085,
              0.5688721848827608,
              0.5811241395399279,
              0.5803340627348151,
              0.5796349983665374,
              0.570092303557419,
              0.581222725891441,
              0.558675983222483,
              0.6025883810022714,
              0.5279489040775174
            ],
            "test": 0.6006460494058897
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4154675357694258,
                  0.4565962113251081,
                  0.4298593231826362,
                  0.46285718023033795,
                  0.415962545700061,
                  0.47972458221551506,
                  0.43663718889133435,
                  0.41679140590354796,
                  0.39165372249457125,
                  0.4707772577775777,
                  0.37495470936452174,
                  0.5130922796615173,
                  0.43638556739586426,
                  0.4061921983062134,
                  0.4056995701565493,
                  0.43528302936772884,
                  0.4701847168277913,
                  0.4102089129077134,
                  0.462536881299213,
                  0.46808354097354543,
                  0.43855380179348946,
                  0.4205108454199069,
                  0.4069738888804788,
                  0.5642797135955535
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4625021445862044,
                  0.46159488869678755,
                  0.4404943884335238,
                  0.46286694870416484,
                  0.46982744395686576,
                  0.4638745867904695,
                  0.4580567296219436,
                  0.44805822830116804,
                  0.4278195644333872,
                  0.48511783635941824,
                  0.40716586188404125,
                  0.4476694678025769,
                  0.4237393979375955,
                  0.4284018224249593,
                  0.5042399145627019,
                  0.4349655508301632,
                  0.4679909581860775,
                  0.4188368664000415,
                  0.462507410301521,
                  0.476874938942896,
                  0.4481833614592989,
                  0.43736310157224134,
                  0.4722166255537948,
                  0.47162506981963837
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2649535070417894,
                  0.18211619993322778,
                  0.2580845850300415,
                  0.1910738905870744,
                  0.22239188239387844,
                  0.1613589926000383,
                  0.25111020068742324,
                  0.2414230091972073,
                  0.15837119575769826,
                  0.29120894847741147,
                  0.14178152408301659,
                  0.32804486970692875,
                  0.2385378052194802,
                  0.13546811487317317,
                  0.0912895673330379,
                  0.21566780811788402,
                  0.3337415314653371,
                  0.14878485766983235,
                  0.19813116334468778,
                  0.14793966141252418,
                  0.1977976591389517,
                  0.24137849106739384,
                  0.2557943503018686,
                  0.35694683677577876
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.299632410717911,
                  0.18587870939096326,
                  0.25998119606521325,
                  0.19649455373223845,
                  0.2550109542404642,
                  0.162611082203679,
                  0.2598521950723673,
                  0.2612903611498991,
                  0.17697290245365346,
                  0.29444690935857754,
                  0.1706907313694619,
                  0.28903643213970553,
                  0.23599804043522338,
                  0.14777022402744325,
                  0.13361595890202554,
                  0.21740548647461078,
                  0.33176824151275985,
                  0.15679241531485055,
                  0.1994166508248519,
                  0.15032826915290334,
                  0.20493564010625412,
                  0.24145406689362325,
                  0.29815694964329725,
                  0.31360797929136064
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15051402762078306,
                  0.27448001216896806,
                  0.17177473687223946,
                  0.27178329083415825,
                  0.19357066400610673,
                  0.31836559135036885,
                  0.18552698623093106,
                  0.1753683967508571,
                  0.23328252664011054,
                  0.17956830785522596,
                  0.23317318527289388,
                  0.1850474091723401,
                  0.1978477612841363,
                  0.27072408450413443,
                  0.31441000279513714,
                  0.21961522045541673,
                  0.1364431836992366,
                  0.2614240566968957,
                  0.26440571976371047,
                  0.3201438838598807,
                  0.24075614330794254,
                  0.1791323542730066,
                  0.15117953903281586,
                  0.20733287739339057
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16286973386829323,
                  0.27571617930582415,
                  0.18051319236831054,
                  0.26637239497192633,
                  0.21481648971640155,
                  0.30126350458679035,
                  0.1982045345495762,
                  0.18676786715126875,
                  0.25084666197973376,
                  0.19067092700084065,
                  0.2364751305145793,
                  0.15863303566287124,
                  0.18774135750237225,
                  0.28063159839751606,
                  0.3706239556606764,
                  0.2175600643555525,
                  0.13622271667331767,
                  0.2620444510851909,
                  0.2630907594766691,
                  0.3265466697899926,
                  0.2432477213530449,
                  0.1959090346786181,
                  0.17405967591049748,
                  0.15801709052827764
                ],
                "crps": [
                  50.66332827964209,
                  60.41512276547026,
                  36.08565076774318,
                  58.17450281167677,
                  62.0181609143871,
                  73.28169578819559,
                  37.20086709763527,
                  38.23551258444487,
                  34.99346419399177,
                  45.38302972096537,
                  34.89044231448238,
                  57.96633360050864,
                  36.82603428352445,
                  35.94092776508311,
                  56.40075235736675,
                  41.876881593721336,
                  52.744762518772156,
                  38.64960990480476,
                  55.630952021896164,
                  59.68095986127854,
                  39.02932930658477,
                  40.0555378888952,
                  45.42864789500426,
                  70.38159892276173
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  60.13619481850307,
                  56.256236518496635,
                  35.98277275521919,
                  56.56227686927625,
                  46.86073126600934,
                  59.72416662525286,
                  41.133014320729046,
                  39.14356234934023,
                  39.10553254848888,
                  53.063930882893146,
                  34.46797498455737,
                  37.824649592263526,
                  33.52609140008997,
                  37.21484071380031,
                  72.32397309757803,
                  40.07491922982013,
                  50.38128205074656,
                  36.35723268043317,
                  55.00451341032724,
                  60.2934577118017,
                  40.331277112560805,
                  42.36213744937737,
                  63.49609074853596,
                  39.807277519245005
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  49.16568508228491,
                  58.861966521646956,
                  34.65789752013521,
                  56.580160316722086,
                  60.54363041663767,
                  71.71992757501386,
                  35.70957878265603,
                  36.78636593612587,
                  33.518832802816746,
                  43.857534647358996,
                  33.3888763307316,
                  56.462268296758324,
                  35.305629075902644,
                  34.43472051212583,
                  55.08098697185275,
                  40.3614891758814,
                  51.26892410137812,
                  37.00733794664698,
                  53.90595420826127,
                  58.140485823134675,
                  37.35814421767898,
                  38.645252633764194,
                  43.85661059125282,
                  68.87609588671756
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  58.196507597272905,
                  54.30920089139523,
                  33.997340416444885,
                  54.61582086405132,
                  44.8959011213843,
                  57.78369904759606,
                  39.15733622734399,
                  37.164116354494205,
                  37.126014527504864,
                  51.11084922239097,
                  32.47967371061138,
                  35.8427056565897,
                  31.53600625571887,
                  35.231741837068796,
                  70.40736878975522,
                  38.09723716845984,
                  48.4231196159411,
                  34.37250954606271,
                  53.05510709552097,
                  58.35406833696034,
                  38.354080577493605,
                  40.38878724070568,
                  61.56276696656722,
                  37.82908856070565
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4412194420600084,
              "rpss": 0.026900081191732483,
              "brier_below": 0.21889152717565355,
              "bss_below": 0.034860653373988026,
              "brier_above": 0.22232791507669528,
              "bss_above": 0.018933209171411947,
              "crps": 48.414754381618195,
              "crpss": -0.026974586955376356,
              "crps_fair": 46.895598140561894,
              "crpss_fair": -0.038000228661465574,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004551,
                    0.321031,
                    0.470354,
                    0.159226,
                    0.036508,
                    0.008331,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1934,
                    0.2602,
                    0.343,
                    0.4368,
                    0.5387,
                    0.6082,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.7467,
                    0.2527,
                    0.3481,
                    0.4569,
                    0.5744,
                    0.6861,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.24148,
                    0.489658,
                    0.236432,
                    0.029382,
                    0.003048,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2566,
                    0.3513,
                    0.4375,
                    0.5335,
                    0.6093,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.228,
                    0.3656,
                    0.4282,
                    0.3899,
                    0.1015,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.41852936693413456,
                  0.4838515400974356,
                  0.41314906469213286,
                  0.4539576059703205,
                  0.3774726883482404,
                  0.5234390351215396,
                  0.39380371606398,
                  0.41753335316398793,
                  0.37922595386979324,
                  0.45095714346203974,
                  0.3424306066927042,
                  0.5603665601849764,
                  0.40685442585597303,
                  0.3924520767302985,
                  0.3878420076980834,
                  0.4227650939129585,
                  0.4793554542738676,
                  0.43369818329852466,
                  0.4715915000209583,
                  0.46229255520335355,
                  0.4463188182014914,
                  0.38302484551700566,
                  0.3954371707893785,
                  0.5075089531621364
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4783928822759757,
                  0.47851945526200396,
                  0.4363405983984559,
                  0.45554856797843624,
                  0.4692768139798448,
                  0.47784783076934295,
                  0.4363277180670701,
                  0.42911353953029135,
                  0.42219420001192276,
                  0.5068481579907806,
                  0.40171471251488117,
                  0.45512779916810575,
                  0.404350582502918,
                  0.40865537485623,
                  0.48639718804316545,
                  0.44315229259879996,
                  0.4958720926659176,
                  0.43277603457023534,
                  0.46502636956376436,
                  0.4740692033828123,
                  0.456112797909182,
                  0.4302812020232237,
                  0.5000385661978536,
                  0.4365908837694042
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25274652741487047,
                  0.19822138117360752,
                  0.25760885466827604,
                  0.1453616809536653,
                  0.2409134609866442,
                  0.15046485260891154,
                  0.17793839888127244,
                  0.20200436454934242,
                  0.16676126719087486,
                  0.3495337137013856,
                  0.08986807248463356,
                  0.36489933087132265,
                  0.2302335479501864,
                  0.1433642980990119,
                  0.09096845397737487,
                  0.1880446643550866,
                  0.370607494475096,
                  0.14630679312302408,
                  0.219612361835804,
                  0.12781445241077052,
                  0.1857734345609987,
                  0.2699931472892134,
                  0.2687798216103204,
                  0.29073978168256825
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.295061805248855,
                  0.19868207040204694,
                  0.26182430258523354,
                  0.1530273756639085,
                  0.29955785395623435,
                  0.13933500242887786,
                  0.19802750095084334,
                  0.21276191618591256,
                  0.1870946613836174,
                  0.3763362733314377,
                  0.1359850134096679,
                  0.3052279604608446,
                  0.2332793135781096,
                  0.16002787500701532,
                  0.13706805190249127,
                  0.20048953440023126,
                  0.37161435226063616,
                  0.14772157696565813,
                  0.21729977105895837,
                  0.13912166904319637,
                  0.1941619532924994,
                  0.2823363928821582,
                  0.33617678832429,
                  0.2605995668471377
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16578283913502134,
                  0.2856301602199458,
                  0.15554020930089932,
                  0.3085959274421134,
                  0.1365592282140447,
                  0.37297418508480606,
                  0.21586531581059806,
                  0.21552898865669362,
                  0.21246468594709558,
                  0.10142342761775104,
                  0.2525625347292553,
                  0.19546722969592836,
                  0.17662087579395475,
                  0.24908777972395588,
                  0.296873553387791,
                  0.23472042917427058,
                  0.10874795820856971,
                  0.28739139253838675,
                  0.2519791397000146,
                  0.3344781080234531,
                  0.2605453849698943,
                  0.11303169786207859,
                  0.1266573493627622,
                  0.21676917222863645
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18333107702712054,
                  0.2798373848599569,
                  0.17451629581322226,
                  0.3025211923145276,
                  0.16971896002361034,
                  0.3385128283404649,
                  0.23830021711622673,
                  0.21635162334437877,
                  0.23509953862830535,
                  0.1305118846593427,
                  0.2657296991052132,
                  0.14989983870726103,
                  0.17107126892480837,
                  0.24862749984921456,
                  0.34932913614067407,
                  0.24266275819856864,
                  0.12425774040528127,
                  0.28505445760457715,
                  0.24772659850480583,
                  0.33494753433961566,
                  0.26195084461668244,
                  0.14794480914106525,
                  0.16386177787356343,
                  0.17599131692226644
                ],
                "crps": [
                  76.66013921333565,
                  94.02148962790699,
                  54.89509289992216,
                  85.7742503146437,
                  87.68306286392317,
                  114.79780487818462,
                  55.320629998555276,
                  57.449976338777184,
                  52.18239231484639,
                  65.08286372955476,
                  50.68818298009002,
                  88.93081901644149,
                  50.720046266845905,
                  51.73604696300239,
                  59.078519871176354,
                  61.60528441232972,
                  76.16944204939797,
                  58.334841978889024,
                  81.79913711398304,
                  79.85349731441804,
                  57.4457406053682,
                  57.21790924835783,
                  71.86728262469468,
                  93.56294908144937
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  88.82692214314231,
                  88.24742479961203,
                  55.08475034888021,
                  84.16278360597107,
                  67.8070499527785,
                  92.44999531996338,
                  62.44379244943635,
                  58.29221914343354,
                  58.940156594269254,
                  78.4199068998783,
                  50.48475121311102,
                  55.075563197379914,
                  47.14857564247005,
                  54.1600418129174,
                  81.03189466457867,
                  60.71939517686864,
                  76.19945631775296,
                  54.27423007451832,
                  79.02926764117136,
                  80.99914257141997,
                  59.58462438615225,
                  63.6185896967953,
                  102.64467420156433,
                  58.56684030684482
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  74.45063071280683,
                  91.81423587468105,
                  52.79022812639401,
                  83.38959600847969,
                  85.42972761815918,
                  112.56582944375997,
                  53.145932795390614,
                  55.32529131432084,
                  50.08238206529475,
                  62.82304385451667,
                  48.572411472760834,
                  86.79031954261966,
                  48.534245576666954,
                  49.58998619268137,
                  57.15551869806445,
                  59.411911991386276,
                  74.06422098204435,
                  55.960629521793955,
                  79.3529799268483,
                  77.6273070800834,
                  55.07741085123505,
                  55.18851423129455,
                  69.56047058961003,
                  91.3892408186795
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  85.98545820877793,
                  85.40486333240005,
                  52.179380786117605,
                  81.31248607589235,
                  64.92577565441721,
                  89.61539326661567,
                  59.55236046640964,
                  55.39292433217577,
                  56.042088937274436,
                  75.55873270937136,
                  47.570669530773095,
                  52.17017623470917,
                  44.22817544579379,
                  51.25292090823062,
                  78.17566742059579,
                  57.82469728991662,
                  73.33407672841624,
                  51.36732543547852,
                  76.16924754297749,
                  78.14285329695761,
                  56.687777312096586,
                  60.72938270855525,
                  99.82938025215908,
                  55.66806561142684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43349407163605475,
              "rpss": 0.043813599071980236,
              "brier_below": 0.21369000653559422,
              "bss_below": 0.05773817738105813,
              "brier_above": 0.2198040655344967,
              "bss_above": 0.029876055710116534,
              "crps": 70.11989173775392,
              "crpss": -0.014874667912671224,
              "crps_fair": 67.92050272039884,
              "crpss_fair": -0.025782942074355386,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.006522,
                    0.371732,
                    0.399121,
                    0.160154,
                    0.051722,
                    0.010749,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1936,
                    0.2579,
                    0.3426,
                    0.4399,
                    0.5394,
                    0.6075,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.7302,
                    0.2289,
                    0.3454,
                    0.5052,
                    0.6204,
                    0.645,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.298909,
                    0.455345,
                    0.208402,
                    0.033766,
                    0.003578,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2532,
                    0.3496,
                    0.4397,
                    0.5334,
                    0.6095,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2183,
                    0.3819,
                    0.443,
                    0.4417,
                    0.1547,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4635371738864292,
                  0.4452874514354901,
                  0.4374500892109569,
                  0.44353298020171483,
                  0.4141296234338897,
                  0.4781652572077198,
                  0.4187371910187092,
                  0.4092814536454903,
                  0.4486570698563562
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4546231099504593,
                  0.43753747052601477,
                  0.49174002423345364,
                  0.49152720319112103,
                  0.425759686884452,
                  0.45276062109717374,
                  0.44678141219100675,
                  0.4601609884551471,
                  0.46568341206196623
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15764948041522786,
                  0.2086239019652243,
                  0.13622880760449024,
                  0.12395969995558682,
                  0.19090764038382665,
                  0.2332647091360285,
                  0.2244887041736055,
                  0.1361846299180163,
                  0.22462547473041194
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15629594250614892,
                  0.2030692336614904,
                  0.1489835591475073,
                  0.12955841996645884,
                  0.19874380582689244,
                  0.2228475851534563,
                  0.23511902665323692,
                  0.15822245589198483,
                  0.22961314667049418
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.30588768119425097,
                  0.23666354783550775,
                  0.3012212623543466,
                  0.31957326005469466,
                  0.22322198174947855,
                  0.24490055176294517,
                  0.19424848819342977,
                  0.27309681460167573,
                  0.22403159723719354
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29832715383568675,
                  0.23446823467476652,
                  0.3427564435327463,
                  0.3619687582360325,
                  0.2270158802003865,
                  0.22991303456849288,
                  0.21166238742601534,
                  0.30193851830877666,
                  0.23607026291524907
                ],
                "crps": [
                  48.623163923423874,
                  37.11162483508364,
                  55.11035226990765,
                  54.66354285367113,
                  31.57912336846044,
                  57.971781134311485,
                  38.215054321629346,
                  43.17183809825551,
                  47.75857482523433
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  45.93763629770763,
                  35.2795366741263,
                  62.023965985874646,
                  55.33149935133871,
                  31.79983015498263,
                  42.61526370924846,
                  40.8193611954094,
                  47.8036981418148,
                  46.24683772923825
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  47.87422744287839,
                  36.358021233054636,
                  54.33103244572614,
                  53.83491533261522,
                  30.869460149142547,
                  57.13190057471581,
                  37.4290504118068,
                  42.327922549058115,
                  46.91059431940315
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.05518656224228,
                  33.39708693866097,
                  60.14151625040928,
                  53.449049615873356,
                  29.91738041951728,
                  40.7328139737831,
                  38.936911459944035,
                  45.92124840634945,
                  44.36438799377288
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4398642544329729,
              "rpss": 0.04066221558069594,
              "brier_below": 0.18177033869804646,
              "bss_below": 0.027650176464521503,
              "brier_above": 0.2580939094426136,
              "bss_above": 0.04961927208411121,
              "crps": 46.02278395888638,
              "crpss": -0.015562848246993388,
              "crps_fair": 45.22968049537786,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04131721424582624,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.408576,
                    0.493528,
                    0.09699,
                    0.000905,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2534,
                    0.3431,
                    0.4284,
                    0.5108,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1915,
                    0.228,
                    0.3771,
                    0.1662,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.207473,
                    0.470217,
                    0.249915,
                    0.072395,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.27,
                    0.3476,
                    0.4425,
                    0.5321,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3851,
                    0.4734,
                    0.5389,
                    0.6104,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4624286200481078,
                  0.4299096088376277,
                  0.4583718792705298,
                  0.4537757291903981,
                  0.4149014183902892,
                  0.4350813952881574,
                  0.4241507849279265,
                  0.4405125275518049,
                  0.4397604616198425
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4512821189297184,
                  0.4206501052342102,
                  0.48607676155700724,
                  0.47178924942018213,
                  0.4202321083174025,
                  0.44974331659729855,
                  0.4554292533591238,
                  0.4713683857526428,
                  0.46309958751658076
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13389272280062353,
                  0.21764638811707698,
                  0.15027547477456743,
                  0.13059878835213565,
                  0.16830776768551997,
                  0.16801523308115493,
                  0.23658379995596207,
                  0.14901886371864745,
                  0.18877323962274636
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13306928828126782,
                  0.21585583639272318,
                  0.16162148566504822,
                  0.13114817245105845,
                  0.17045689322354624,
                  0.1706324345160037,
                  0.2513941016020818,
                  0.16393510953105803,
                  0.19563367580327717
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3285358801687329,
                  0.21226322373964499,
                  0.3080963867977823,
                  0.32317692299183726,
                  0.24659364520651536,
                  0.2670661576240044,
                  0.1875669852952286,
                  0.2914936516856405,
                  0.250987218627558
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.31821281348399405,
                  0.20479427195784727,
                  0.3244552576112664,
                  0.3406410557941846,
                  0.24977521016699747,
                  0.2791108719088107,
                  0.204035155009143,
                  0.30743326098466245,
                  0.2674659036231022
                ],
                "crps": [
                  72.1365590199172,
                  53.562109513694665,
                  81.54185628850368,
                  78.96427930957609,
                  47.334635276316796,
                  73.68393383040346,
                  58.52740153108106,
                  64.89001257085091,
                  68.94987189067139
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  68.43806065594151,
                  50.651721281077606,
                  84.86185486393984,
                  69.92810965360432,
                  47.572672349858124,
                  63.17874189655338,
                  62.58001975556023,
                  70.12878956370798,
                  68.41795298111988
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  71.06102780856173,
                  52.469642966651406,
                  80.44676798746902,
                  77.80193249995733,
                  46.30136764556072,
                  72.49257279248715,
                  57.38898532493576,
                  63.67745460638418,
                  67.74883331969612
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  65.67917197627564,
                  47.89283260141173,
                  82.10296618427398,
                  67.16922097393847,
                  44.813783670192265,
                  60.41985321688753,
                  59.821131075894364,
                  67.36990088404211,
                  65.65906430145401
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43987693612496487,
              "rpss": 0.031977747154494085,
              "brier_below": 0.17145691978982602,
              "bss_below": 0.03177086415731978,
              "brier_above": 0.26842000801521604,
              "bss_above": 0.032109845815695204,
              "crps": 66.62118435900169,
              "crpss": -0.023615107344642894,
              "crps_fair": 65.48762055018928,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0507385330712502,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.403535,
                    0.483289,
                    0.112639,
                    0.000537,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2528,
                    0.3429,
                    0.4297,
                    0.5064,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1752,
                    0.1791,
                    0.3584,
                    0.5009,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.293506,
                    0.449738,
                    0.197277,
                    0.059479,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2696,
                    0.3423,
                    0.442,
                    0.5385,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4283,
                    0.4957,
                    0.5929,
                    0.5553,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sqrt_mvs": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.5808683870400942,
            "training": [
              0.6005552006074909,
              0.5781759236503706,
              0.5771898696079423,
              0.577092500698911,
              0.5621084997024012,
              0.5740916473434188,
              0.6015535145806918,
              0.606994817034155,
              0.5922799928539557,
              0.5933623248270244,
              0.590438316378449,
              0.5419584349316269,
              0.5676745966163972,
              0.5859356538872761,
              0.6182986310352276,
              0.5719003626181758,
              0.5838094443559939,
              0.581089165258234,
              0.5822970596288427,
              0.572056017338949,
              0.583928324915906,
              0.561675061484279,
              0.6047360618643387,
              0.5316398677422034
            ],
            "test": 0.6033715990974959
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4183984267495046,
                  0.45530498940411274,
                  0.4309234443007756,
                  0.46260805217475576,
                  0.4151866159158176,
                  0.47969926289084874,
                  0.4394918239424728,
                  0.41891132215522026,
                  0.39036333134096024,
                  0.4700609989049124,
                  0.37479862917914547,
                  0.514697740890516,
                  0.43631869084297836,
                  0.4044336945823426,
                  0.4027187591980627,
                  0.4357759804689956,
                  0.47230625223902395,
                  0.40904844475730484,
                  0.4615807103641933,
                  0.4664015591885372,
                  0.4384614033972597,
                  0.41897821329969215,
                  0.40785043860302206,
                  0.567425636585892
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4625021445862044,
                  0.46159488869678755,
                  0.4404943884335238,
                  0.46286694870416484,
                  0.46982744395686576,
                  0.4638745867904695,
                  0.4580567296219436,
                  0.44805822830116804,
                  0.4278195644333872,
                  0.48511783635941824,
                  0.40716586188404125,
                  0.4476694678025769,
                  0.4237393979375955,
                  0.4284018224249593,
                  0.5042399145627019,
                  0.4349655508301632,
                  0.4679909581860775,
                  0.4188368664000415,
                  0.462507410301521,
                  0.476874938942896,
                  0.4481833614592989,
                  0.43736310157224134,
                  0.4722166255537948,
                  0.47162506981963837
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.26654590148155566,
                  0.18163856140848986,
                  0.2581992422028191,
                  0.1905737224785441,
                  0.22173860306466608,
                  0.16161417952510496,
                  0.2529086089136562,
                  0.2433032505765101,
                  0.15784509509896882,
                  0.29086363970018325,
                  0.14192124742195913,
                  0.32840969684261856,
                  0.23874040123325035,
                  0.13449911885400964,
                  0.0913563134137989,
                  0.21505446661886493,
                  0.33439998266179966,
                  0.14775202762236647,
                  0.19775852121319815,
                  0.14725605490198054,
                  0.1972398855711818,
                  0.24004281097390257,
                  0.2560278348180481,
                  0.3582504462259057
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.299632410717911,
                  0.18587870939096326,
                  0.25998119606521325,
                  0.19649455373223845,
                  0.2550109542404642,
                  0.162611082203679,
                  0.2598521950723673,
                  0.2612903611498991,
                  0.17697290245365346,
                  0.29444690935857754,
                  0.1706907313694619,
                  0.28903643213970553,
                  0.23599804043522338,
                  0.14777022402744325,
                  0.13361595890202554,
                  0.21740548647461078,
                  0.33176824151275985,
                  0.15679241531485055,
                  0.1994166508248519,
                  0.15032826915290334,
                  0.20493564010625412,
                  0.24145406689362325,
                  0.29815694964329725,
                  0.31360797929136064
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1518525243072664,
                  0.2736664288207981,
                  0.17272420108702216,
                  0.27203433081865613,
                  0.19344801359892763,
                  0.3180850851734026,
                  0.1865832130225343,
                  0.17560807145943963,
                  0.23251823600633822,
                  0.17919735782209162,
                  0.23287738163798544,
                  0.18628804309223781,
                  0.19757828877798375,
                  0.26993457706877005,
                  0.3113624455928192,
                  0.2207215132524851,
                  0.1379062681797261,
                  0.2612964184605117,
                  0.26382219095978837,
                  0.3191455084003661,
                  0.24122151855827972,
                  0.17893540215845047,
                  0.15182260416230806,
                  0.2091751910983146
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16286973386829323,
                  0.27571617930582415,
                  0.18051319236831054,
                  0.26637239497192633,
                  0.21481648971640155,
                  0.30126350458679035,
                  0.1982045345495762,
                  0.18676786715126875,
                  0.25084666197973376,
                  0.19067092700084065,
                  0.2364751305145793,
                  0.15863303566287124,
                  0.18774135750237225,
                  0.28063159839751606,
                  0.3706239556606764,
                  0.2175600643555525,
                  0.13622271667331767,
                  0.2620444510851909,
                  0.2630907594766691,
                  0.3265466697899926,
                  0.2432477213530449,
                  0.1959090346786181,
                  0.17405967591049748,
                  0.15801709052827764
                ],
                "crps": [
                  50.624733833509154,
                  60.48152181231263,
                  35.97759244182936,
                  58.05575650372099,
                  61.73171166220114,
                  73.16831851685366,
                  37.25686598524115,
                  38.26969389343585,
                  34.83363016973737,
                  45.41446394249329,
                  34.53321568056218,
                  58.02832049027612,
                  36.80177977295715,
                  35.77117489982508,
                  56.4683882541509,
                  41.88306537245885,
                  53.00853902116212,
                  38.482506863163685,
                  55.55533246712828,
                  59.77276196778079,
                  39.02500555433581,
                  39.71318614488038,
                  45.35620708899556,
                  70.02285949929772
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  60.13619481850307,
                  56.256236518496635,
                  35.98277275521919,
                  56.56227686927625,
                  46.86073126600934,
                  59.72416662525286,
                  41.133014320729046,
                  39.14356234934023,
                  39.10553254848888,
                  53.063930882893146,
                  34.46797498455737,
                  37.824649592263526,
                  33.52609140008997,
                  37.21484071380031,
                  72.32397309757803,
                  40.07491922982013,
                  50.38128205074656,
                  36.35723268043317,
                  55.00451341032724,
                  60.2934577118017,
                  40.331277112560805,
                  42.36213744937737,
                  63.49609074853596,
                  39.807277519245005
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  49.13562874121207,
                  58.94632366463224,
                  34.55870042123053,
                  56.4657421558884,
                  60.26629908323543,
                  71.63360442869582,
                  35.7779672732682,
                  36.8284333783317,
                  33.37155258759216,
                  43.88737535828158,
                  33.0562813278218,
                  56.536348038094395,
                  35.29183599100162,
                  34.27250177004401,
                  55.16325718182992,
                  40.37382935478746,
                  51.546911653234616,
                  36.85873596192508,
                  53.84836734352229,
                  58.2474016660479,
                  37.36889866468731,
                  38.30460731451709,
                  43.78617293843713,
                  68.54308031596584
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  58.196507597272905,
                  54.30920089139523,
                  33.997340416444885,
                  54.61582086405132,
                  44.8959011213843,
                  57.78369904759606,
                  39.15733622734399,
                  37.164116354494205,
                  37.126014527504864,
                  51.11084922239097,
                  32.47967371061138,
                  35.8427056565897,
                  31.53600625571887,
                  35.231741837068796,
                  70.40736878975522,
                  38.09723716845984,
                  48.4231196159411,
                  34.37250954606271,
                  53.05510709552097,
                  58.35406833696034,
                  38.354080577493605,
                  40.38878724070568,
                  61.56276696656722,
                  37.82908856070565
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4413226842240145,
              "rpss": 0.026672382836141373,
              "brier_below": 0.21891415053430763,
              "bss_below": 0.03476090216903449,
              "brier_above": 0.22240853389652096,
              "bss_above": 0.018577462360133246,
              "crps": 48.34319299326288,
              "crpss": -0.02545662557796513,
              "crps_fair": 46.83624402559519,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03668646815194454,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004778,
                    0.33244,
                    0.468503,
                    0.150306,
                    0.035811,
                    0.008161,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1946,
                    0.2609,
                    0.3424,
                    0.4356,
                    0.5381,
                    0.6068,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.7469,
                    0.2549,
                    0.3494,
                    0.4615,
                    0.5802,
                    0.6761,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.235456,
                    0.479674,
                    0.250799,
                    0.030853,
                    0.003218,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2571,
                    0.3514,
                    0.4374,
                    0.5316,
                    0.6071,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2287,
                    0.3627,
                    0.4255,
                    0.396,
                    0.0962,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4197811009389669,
                  0.4841450042799163,
                  0.41277634951080866,
                  0.4528932852526593,
                  0.37730488866519174,
                  0.5228065248263674,
                  0.39367236462300537,
                  0.41755877654143925,
                  0.378515389791872,
                  0.4525582258933194,
                  0.3412520705376741,
                  0.5605988172165658,
                  0.4068406331821267,
                  0.3922672597354668,
                  0.3882518425110209,
                  0.4232389186589803,
                  0.48066590458022285,
                  0.4335244283655036,
                  0.4707979277366961,
                  0.4621250595463426,
                  0.447281099471966,
                  0.38147409353454187,
                  0.3964629010332367,
                  0.5071535647983667
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4783928822759757,
                  0.47851945526200396,
                  0.4363405983984559,
                  0.45554856797843624,
                  0.4692768139798448,
                  0.47784783076934295,
                  0.4363277180670701,
                  0.42911353953029135,
                  0.42219420001192276,
                  0.5068481579907806,
                  0.40171471251488117,
                  0.45512779916810575,
                  0.404350582502918,
                  0.40865537485623,
                  0.48639718804316545,
                  0.44315229259879996,
                  0.4958720926659176,
                  0.43277603457023534,
                  0.46502636956376436,
                  0.4740692033828123,
                  0.456112797909182,
                  0.4302812020232237,
                  0.5000385661978536,
                  0.4365908837694042
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2535851371478224,
                  0.19838189543352897,
                  0.25723013797724514,
                  0.14487749236281486,
                  0.24078175129422075,
                  0.14992422043139142,
                  0.17801997022200639,
                  0.20246280889373822,
                  0.16628952696415755,
                  0.3509228118498456,
                  0.0898907672320097,
                  0.36522522294596715,
                  0.23016684163150455,
                  0.14322485747190064,
                  0.09132198829276861,
                  0.18815142875266427,
                  0.3714870038268599,
                  0.14574538609865936,
                  0.21939953718801256,
                  0.12769005795114044,
                  0.18598259038956488,
                  0.2685313745552486,
                  0.2694700694509379,
                  0.2906641421559442
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.295061805248855,
                  0.19868207040204694,
                  0.26182430258523354,
                  0.1530273756639085,
                  0.29955785395623435,
                  0.13933500242887786,
                  0.19802750095084334,
                  0.21276191618591256,
                  0.1870946613836174,
                  0.3763362733314377,
                  0.1359850134096679,
                  0.3052279604608446,
                  0.2332793135781096,
                  0.16002787500701532,
                  0.13706805190249127,
                  0.20048953440023126,
                  0.37161435226063616,
                  0.14772157696565813,
                  0.21729977105895837,
                  0.13912166904319637,
                  0.1941619532924994,
                  0.2823363928821582,
                  0.33617678832429,
                  0.2605995668471377
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16619596335654868,
                  0.28576311009535627,
                  0.1555462111152915,
                  0.3080157953635893,
                  0.1365231382055126,
                  0.3728823069642414,
                  0.21565239316125798,
                  0.21509596778417672,
                  0.21222586218140013,
                  0.10163541190434262,
                  0.2513613038521535,
                  0.1953735947567637,
                  0.1766737894712337,
                  0.24904240346054735,
                  0.29692985395104526,
                  0.23508748951790384,
                  0.10917889914904395,
                  0.2877790443941569,
                  0.25139839205610265,
                  0.3344350067738987,
                  0.261298510519392,
                  0.11294271858724103,
                  0.1269928316865994,
                  0.21648942361029802
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18333107702712054,
                  0.2798373848599569,
                  0.17451629581322226,
                  0.3025211923145276,
                  0.16971896002361034,
                  0.3385128283404649,
                  0.23830021711622673,
                  0.21635162334437877,
                  0.23509953862830535,
                  0.1305118846593427,
                  0.2657296991052132,
                  0.14989983870726103,
                  0.17107126892480837,
                  0.24862749984921456,
                  0.34932913614067407,
                  0.24266275819856864,
                  0.12425774040528127,
                  0.28505445760457715,
                  0.24772659850480583,
                  0.33494753433961566,
                  0.26195084461668244,
                  0.14794480914106525,
                  0.16386177787356343,
                  0.17599131692226644
                ],
                "crps": [
                  76.64326657310744,
                  94.30765781535958,
                  54.689714813624434,
                  85.68166590238167,
                  87.20371465004534,
                  114.99519418821144,
                  55.30579930751066,
                  57.43992936336262,
                  52.0793340912512,
                  65.18528054966265,
                  50.11623290660854,
                  88.8924144264377,
                  50.66516781215287,
                  51.59692517578711,
                  59.32372849721346,
                  61.59635890225465,
                  76.46910417559423,
                  58.25011998273857,
                  81.71878876927279,
                  80.01793701724478,
                  57.58350602057807,
                  56.730653977550254,
                  71.81376729463925,
                  93.19257654051879
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  88.82692214314231,
                  88.24742479961203,
                  55.08475034888021,
                  84.16278360597107,
                  67.8070499527785,
                  92.44999531996338,
                  62.44379244943635,
                  58.29221914343354,
                  58.940156594269254,
                  78.4199068998783,
                  50.48475121311102,
                  55.075563197379914,
                  47.14857564247005,
                  54.1600418129174,
                  81.03189466457867,
                  60.71939517686864,
                  76.19945631775296,
                  54.27423007451832,
                  79.02926764117136,
                  80.99914257141997,
                  59.58462438615225,
                  63.6185896967953,
                  102.64467420156433,
                  58.56684030684482
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  74.4551597622578,
                  92.12348755901282,
                  52.600850532345326,
                  83.30327737134544,
                  84.97764331881277,
                  112.79896363540516,
                  53.146773614756775,
                  55.32806784853242,
                  49.99483667272866,
                  62.92754289784141,
                  48.02641283289795,
                  86.76604342678803,
                  48.492338470879865,
                  49.458831092105875,
                  57.42393456036446,
                  59.41215348493899,
                  74.38147760069303,
                  55.89915576147668,
                  79.29083786058459,
                  77.81483269900428,
                  55.23326004810299,
                  54.70943202810422,
                  69.51365908048446,
                  91.04871437296761
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  85.98545820877793,
                  85.40486333240005,
                  52.179380786117605,
                  81.31248607589235,
                  64.92577565441721,
                  89.61539326661567,
                  59.55236046640964,
                  55.39292433217577,
                  56.042088937274436,
                  75.55873270937136,
                  47.570669530773095,
                  52.17017623470917,
                  44.22817544579379,
                  51.25292090823062,
                  78.17566742059579,
                  57.82469728991662,
                  73.33407672841624,
                  51.36732543547852,
                  76.16924754297749,
                  78.14285329695761,
                  56.687777312096586,
                  60.72938270855525,
                  99.82938025215908,
                  55.66806561142684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4334977679680107,
              "rpss": 0.043805445829338985,
              "brier_below": 0.21372612585499806,
              "bss_below": 0.05757890996240356,
              "brier_above": 0.21977164257992068,
              "bss_above": 0.03001915717870085,
              "crps": 70.06245161471284,
              "crpss": -0.014043312867027646,
              "crps_fair": 67.88032027218465,
              "crpss_fair": -0.025176078634039145,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.006673,
                    0.377426,
                    0.396415,
                    0.157711,
                    0.050977,
                    0.010799,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1948,
                    0.2583,
                    0.3427,
                    0.439,
                    0.5385,
                    0.6063,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.7288,
                    0.2302,
                    0.3463,
                    0.508,
                    0.6187,
                    0.642,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.297609,
                    0.456203,
                    0.208843,
                    0.033818,
                    0.003528,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2537,
                    0.3496,
                    0.4389,
                    0.5324,
                    0.6076,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2196,
                    0.3812,
                    0.4408,
                    0.4455,
                    0.1569,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46246946254640137,
                  0.44454303471695666,
                  0.4355536572695674,
                  0.4413329509271227,
                  0.4145513632929066,
                  0.47981393440759573,
                  0.42025149660616035,
                  0.40929410866700666,
                  0.45063156683546585
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4546231099504593,
                  0.43753747052601477,
                  0.49174002423345364,
                  0.49152720319112103,
                  0.425759686884452,
                  0.45276062109717374,
                  0.44678141219100675,
                  0.4601609884551471,
                  0.46568341206196623
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1569385553227063,
                  0.2082639720410847,
                  0.135306766252721,
                  0.12281931699652915,
                  0.19079463653216486,
                  0.23383177187940835,
                  0.22527469115217555,
                  0.1361613060283553,
                  0.22558378119119957
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15629594250614892,
                  0.2030692336614904,
                  0.1489835591475073,
                  0.12955841996645884,
                  0.19874380582689244,
                  0.2228475851534563,
                  0.23511902665323692,
                  0.15822245589198483,
                  0.22961314667049418
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3055308948738904,
                  0.23627906123994094,
                  0.30024687186908167,
                  0.3185136137607759,
                  0.22375672548457823,
                  0.24598216641768483,
                  0.1949768068249176,
                  0.2731327937413008,
                  0.22504778775530498
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29832715383568675,
                  0.23446823467476652,
                  0.3427564435327463,
                  0.3619687582360325,
                  0.2270158802003865,
                  0.22991303456849288,
                  0.21166238742601534,
                  0.30193851830877666,
                  0.23607026291524907
                ],
                "crps": [
                  48.580365269466824,
                  37.20481650845581,
                  55.17451600878682,
                  54.37107211438562,
                  31.573326240724718,
                  57.7061671205158,
                  38.19927398720123,
                  43.195946316649334,
                  47.43510470708952
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  45.93763629770763,
                  35.2795366741263,
                  62.023965985874646,
                  55.33149935133871,
                  31.79983015498263,
                  42.61526370924846,
                  40.8193611954094,
                  47.8036981418148,
                  46.24683772923825
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  47.83700542937225,
                  36.45686530908297,
                  54.40709685245661,
                  53.56066967753406,
                  30.869747371075093,
                  56.88337632932585,
                  37.41789507133005,
                  42.366060999728894,
                  46.60429298067511
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.05518656224228,
                  33.39708693866097,
                  60.14151625040928,
                  53.449049615873356,
                  29.91738041951728,
                  40.7328139737831,
                  38.936911459944035,
                  45.92124840634945,
                  44.36438799377288
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4398268416965759,
              "rpss": 0.040743812235305765,
              "brier_below": 0.18166386637737164,
              "bss_below": 0.028219732218012994,
              "brier_above": 0.25816296910749725,
              "bss_above": 0.04936497327201039,
              "crps": 45.93784314147508,
              "crpss": -0.013688499695204026,
              "crps_fair": 45.15589000228677,
              "crpss_fair": -0.039618345055023596,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.417663,
                    0.492416,
                    0.089241,
                    0.00068,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2536,
                    0.3426,
                    0.428,
                    0.5105,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.194,
                    0.2303,
                    0.3694,
                    0.1107,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.202472,
                    0.461974,
                    0.270902,
                    0.064653,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2703,
                    0.3477,
                    0.4442,
                    0.5366,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3887,
                    0.4742,
                    0.5349,
                    0.5986,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46228143858359977,
                  0.4303386549611086,
                  0.4580005024456431,
                  0.45345905337751524,
                  0.41439281261273847,
                  0.4354621637891242,
                  0.4253594188192851,
                  0.44059203123759627,
                  0.4401671338480589
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4512821189297184,
                  0.4206501052342102,
                  0.48607676155700724,
                  0.47178924942018213,
                  0.4202321083174025,
                  0.44974331659729855,
                  0.4554292533591238,
                  0.4713683857526428,
                  0.46309958751658076
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13350794186068374,
                  0.21791793589428407,
                  0.15006814197345444,
                  0.13040586065533494,
                  0.16791339277713746,
                  0.1681202739933409,
                  0.23732328861804294,
                  0.1491813124351209,
                  0.18918241432443816
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13306928828126782,
                  0.21585583639272318,
                  0.16162148566504822,
                  0.13114817245105845,
                  0.17045689322354624,
                  0.1706324345160037,
                  0.2513941016020818,
                  0.16393510953105803,
                  0.19563367580327717
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.32877347940044926,
                  0.21242072214349014,
                  0.30793234280938653,
                  0.3230531748033583,
                  0.2464794145131556,
                  0.2673418852274888,
                  0.18803613051294144,
                  0.29141070674556857,
                  0.25098471605150524
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.31821281348399405,
                  0.20479427195784727,
                  0.3244552576112664,
                  0.3406410557941846,
                  0.24977521016699747,
                  0.2791108719088107,
                  0.204035155009143,
                  0.30743326098466245,
                  0.2674659036231022
                ],
                "crps": [
                  72.20821650340115,
                  53.744843431840074,
                  81.64632725001549,
                  78.86212104625871,
                  47.329239592164015,
                  73.4455877241829,
                  58.53018769362445,
                  64.9806898829745,
                  68.74651065972228
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  68.43806065594151,
                  50.651721281077606,
                  84.86185486393984,
                  69.92810965360432,
                  47.572672349858124,
                  63.17874189655338,
                  62.58001975556023,
                  70.12878956370798,
                  68.41795298111988
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  71.14013874036328,
                  52.66092157910781,
                  80.56500165805147,
                  77.720043180666,
                  46.3048481529439,
                  72.27178457342006,
                  57.39882416174914,
                  63.783965326284566,
                  67.5640442960638
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  65.67917197627564,
                  47.89283260141173,
                  82.10296618427398,
                  67.16922097393847,
                  44.813783670192265,
                  60.41985321688753,
                  59.821131075894364,
                  67.36990088404211,
                  65.65906430145401
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44000591218607443,
              "rpss": 0.031693913911636895,
              "brier_below": 0.17151339583687086,
              "bss_below": 0.03145193999670226,
              "brier_above": 0.2684925080230382,
              "bss_above": 0.031848419537273465,
              "crps": 66.61041375379817,
              "crpss": -0.02344962013051366,
              "crps_fair": 65.48995240762778,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05077594735571633,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.408582,
                    0.479028,
                    0.112255,
                    0.000135,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.253,
                    0.3428,
                    0.4294,
                    0.5146,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1756,
                    0.1796,
                    0.3562,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.294314,
                    0.448928,
                    0.201846,
                    0.054912,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2699,
                    0.3422,
                    0.4433,
                    0.541,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4303,
                    0.4948,
                    0.5922,
                    0.5526,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "pt": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.5804258959119696,
            "training": [
              0.6008010502306157,
              0.578283708738185,
              0.5769637993802718,
              0.5758271118341171,
              0.5603400663997669,
              0.5733264066695828,
              0.6014034499826955,
              0.6066877734665147,
              0.5917224145091061,
              0.5916972513240856,
              0.5907259026158856,
              0.5395018298163564,
              0.5689349159724951,
              0.5854088114340096,
              0.61834016687396,
              0.5718443351466084,
              0.5829280506753691,
              0.5815855060851339,
              0.582228721575412,
              0.5719205699286164,
              0.582900340325288,
              0.5605124340238472,
              0.6041249622039595,
              0.532211922675388
            ],
            "test": 0.6022309650039654
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4182847697419225,
                  0.45471879487477573,
                  0.4302568275758522,
                  0.46182589317617384,
                  0.41469518064938976,
                  0.4788959976607719,
                  0.4381831555756394,
                  0.41792784275967687,
                  0.3896558827395379,
                  0.470301790391358,
                  0.37456312962787514,
                  0.5165855767721688,
                  0.43506930656528076,
                  0.40470298534741783,
                  0.4013193016715308,
                  0.4380954546023791,
                  0.4727023444715977,
                  0.4107937370251075,
                  0.4622765241685788,
                  0.4665258869465647,
                  0.4400879966719497,
                  0.41895053708731894,
                  0.408379322847811,
                  0.5672479919246117
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4625021445862044,
                  0.46159488869678755,
                  0.4404943884335238,
                  0.46286694870416484,
                  0.46982744395686576,
                  0.4638745867904695,
                  0.4580567296219436,
                  0.44805822830116804,
                  0.4278195644333872,
                  0.48511783635941824,
                  0.40716586188404125,
                  0.4476694678025769,
                  0.4237393979375955,
                  0.4284018224249593,
                  0.5042399145627019,
                  0.4349655508301632,
                  0.4679909581860775,
                  0.4188368664000415,
                  0.462507410301521,
                  0.476874938942896,
                  0.4481833614592989,
                  0.43736310157224134,
                  0.4722166255537948,
                  0.47162506981963837
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2661826607409345,
                  0.18202725738625092,
                  0.2576954218139345,
                  0.19067369667636053,
                  0.2218602789846638,
                  0.16111046926639117,
                  0.25162613682772994,
                  0.2421273034427575,
                  0.15781688175235342,
                  0.29100665184238955,
                  0.1421014144000164,
                  0.3294784670977392,
                  0.23814333807332685,
                  0.13481079020548706,
                  0.09117551003208745,
                  0.21657002524193328,
                  0.3344725560300546,
                  0.1490249218341114,
                  0.19856487594396321,
                  0.14827706459733525,
                  0.19850772148614976,
                  0.24025607376166022,
                  0.25627983673234983,
                  0.35768229700448173
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.299632410717911,
                  0.18587870939096326,
                  0.25998119606521325,
                  0.19649455373223845,
                  0.2550109542404642,
                  0.162611082203679,
                  0.2598521950723673,
                  0.2612903611498991,
                  0.17697290245365346,
                  0.29444690935857754,
                  0.1706907313694619,
                  0.28903643213970553,
                  0.23599804043522338,
                  0.14777022402744325,
                  0.13361595890202554,
                  0.21740548647461078,
                  0.33176824151275985,
                  0.15679241531485055,
                  0.1994166508248519,
                  0.15032826915290334,
                  0.20493564010625412,
                  0.24145406689362325,
                  0.29815694964329725,
                  0.31360797929136064
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15210210796891008,
                  0.27269153817317465,
                  0.1725614047104245,
                  0.2711521976293965,
                  0.19283490216904517,
                  0.3177855300849568,
                  0.18655701684080508,
                  0.1758005391394054,
                  0.23183900065259555,
                  0.17929513704358455,
                  0.23246171521038014,
                  0.18710710912357034,
                  0.19692596730877865,
                  0.2698921963768475,
                  0.3101437915965485,
                  0.22152542870912945,
                  0.13822978701818797,
                  0.2617688164962291,
                  0.26371165016597636,
                  0.3182488263549405,
                  0.24158027586052594,
                  0.17869446317585616,
                  0.15209948659345704,
                  0.20956569581842785
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16286973386829323,
                  0.27571617930582415,
                  0.18051319236831054,
                  0.26637239497192633,
                  0.21481648971640155,
                  0.30126350458679035,
                  0.1982045345495762,
                  0.18676786715126875,
                  0.25084666197973376,
                  0.19067092700084065,
                  0.2364751305145793,
                  0.15863303566287124,
                  0.18774135750237225,
                  0.28063159839751606,
                  0.3706239556606764,
                  0.2175600643555525,
                  0.13622271667331767,
                  0.2620444510851909,
                  0.2630907594766691,
                  0.3265466697899926,
                  0.2432477213530449,
                  0.1959090346786181,
                  0.17405967591049748,
                  0.15801709052827764
                ],
                "crps": [
                  50.47109579265751,
                  60.5266548841819,
                  36.00726502943522,
                  57.9046366156839,
                  62.13246246465527,
                  73.5834193909964,
                  37.324727126569954,
                  38.37096790252769,
                  34.80145352263315,
                  45.372306842376474,
                  34.75880230444653,
                  58.19288843410971,
                  36.922766151215775,
                  35.90740906862745,
                  56.30912688219704,
                  41.96726829751666,
                  53.11146445691833,
                  38.69154294001708,
                  55.52370763681202,
                  59.68585686775578,
                  39.16379041734242,
                  39.82422775400187,
                  45.45202917724329,
                  70.31637402250685
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  60.13619481850307,
                  56.256236518496635,
                  35.98277275521919,
                  56.56227686927625,
                  46.86073126600934,
                  59.72416662525286,
                  41.133014320729046,
                  39.14356234934023,
                  39.10553254848888,
                  53.063930882893146,
                  34.46797498455737,
                  37.824649592263526,
                  33.52609140008997,
                  37.21484071380031,
                  72.32397309757803,
                  40.07491922982013,
                  50.38128205074656,
                  36.35723268043317,
                  55.00451341032724,
                  60.2934577118017,
                  40.331277112560805,
                  42.36213744937737,
                  63.49609074853596,
                  39.807277519245005
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  48.958264659293306,
                  58.97727763442658,
                  34.57102312553196,
                  56.28850693315613,
                  60.65901320543682,
                  72.04975135718536,
                  35.83117007806854,
                  36.91072646314927,
                  33.31969169269648,
                  43.82215508708595,
                  33.27017382887124,
                  56.689744627907075,
                  35.39836079830595,
                  34.38442239873939,
                  55.00327765286255,
                  40.43578745302276,
                  51.63958344572624,
                  37.05126092323294,
                  53.798991058928785,
                  58.14557124717727,
                  37.483656427723055,
                  38.391782807121636,
                  43.85289126762013,
                  68.8355979966333
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  58.196507597272905,
                  54.30920089139523,
                  33.997340416444885,
                  54.61582086405132,
                  44.8959011213843,
                  57.78369904759606,
                  39.15733622734399,
                  37.164116354494205,
                  37.126014527504864,
                  51.11084922239097,
                  32.47967371061138,
                  35.8427056565897,
                  31.53600625571887,
                  35.231741837068796,
                  70.40736878975522,
                  38.09723716845984,
                  48.4231196159411,
                  34.37250954606271,
                  53.05510709552097,
                  58.35406833696034,
                  38.354080577493605,
                  40.38878724070568,
                  61.56276696656722,
                  37.82908856070565
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44133525961980374,
              "rpss": 0.026644648073220756,
              "brier_below": 0.2190613187989359,
              "bss_below": 0.03411200595728925,
              "brier_above": 0.22227394100921471,
              "bss_above": 0.019171380636083146,
              "crps": 48.430093499267834,
              "crpss": -0.027299960577812366,
              "crps_fair": 46.90702842374594,
              "crpss_fair": -0.038253229732549965,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004551,
                    0.330197,
                    0.466335,
                    0.155975,
                    0.034584,
                    0.008359,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1945,
                    0.2608,
                    0.3429,
                    0.4365,
                    0.5394,
                    0.6078,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.7405,
                    0.2553,
                    0.3492,
                    0.458,
                    0.5765,
                    0.6906,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.232283,
                    0.479288,
                    0.254365,
                    0.03271,
                    0.001354,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2569,
                    0.3517,
                    0.4373,
                    0.5352,
                    0.6176,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2293,
                    0.3605,
                    0.4267,
                    0.3751,
                    0.1662,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4201975018503695,
                  0.48394386391780264,
                  0.4121079466467216,
                  0.4520848395193186,
                  0.376852047663339,
                  0.5233288612267603,
                  0.3935320795873475,
                  0.4174181358088283,
                  0.3782670673220412,
                  0.4515033878903903,
                  0.34078677361110205,
                  0.5615075969204786,
                  0.40672108113927086,
                  0.39247430225952407,
                  0.3876001565662821,
                  0.42419479243084973,
                  0.4808427551763859,
                  0.434074753348206,
                  0.471218623403833,
                  0.46230073626562185,
                  0.44795671316064345,
                  0.3807963154364169,
                  0.39600254544339264,
                  0.5082125702421387
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4783928822759757,
                  0.47851945526200396,
                  0.4363405983984559,
                  0.45554856797843624,
                  0.4692768139798448,
                  0.47784783076934295,
                  0.4363277180670701,
                  0.42911353953029135,
                  0.42219420001192276,
                  0.5068481579907806,
                  0.40171471251488117,
                  0.45512779916810575,
                  0.404350582502918,
                  0.40865537485623,
                  0.48639718804316545,
                  0.44315229259879996,
                  0.4958720926659176,
                  0.43277603457023534,
                  0.46502636956376436,
                  0.4740692033828123,
                  0.456112797909182,
                  0.4302812020232237,
                  0.5000385661978536,
                  0.4365908837694042
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.253792978466751,
                  0.1988982956833097,
                  0.2568046983337904,
                  0.14498841003781737,
                  0.2404765874674002,
                  0.1505451365256431,
                  0.17767147457383364,
                  0.20245631027304936,
                  0.1664922376228775,
                  0.349789362120794,
                  0.09006600571910447,
                  0.36498096745815156,
                  0.22997134104539416,
                  0.14333654113047078,
                  0.09154582256049554,
                  0.18888181672506754,
                  0.37115258149077335,
                  0.14643167415755037,
                  0.21983591537697802,
                  0.1283752045774604,
                  0.18656711634823936,
                  0.26791112430958686,
                  0.26895967419522304,
                  0.29120987319536523
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.295061805248855,
                  0.19868207040204694,
                  0.26182430258523354,
                  0.1530273756639085,
                  0.29955785395623435,
                  0.13933500242887786,
                  0.19802750095084334,
                  0.21276191618591256,
                  0.1870946613836174,
                  0.3763362733314377,
                  0.1359850134096679,
                  0.3052279604608446,
                  0.2332793135781096,
                  0.16002787500701532,
                  0.13706805190249127,
                  0.20048953440023126,
                  0.37161435226063616,
                  0.14772157696565813,
                  0.21729977105895837,
                  0.13912166904319637,
                  0.1941619532924994,
                  0.2823363928821582,
                  0.33617678832429,
                  0.2605995668471377
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16640452297251573,
                  0.2850455694419879,
                  0.15530324782389546,
                  0.3070964319540771,
                  0.136375461011833,
                  0.3727837271200962,
                  0.215860603635229,
                  0.2149618254338387,
                  0.21177482894135324,
                  0.10171402356641951,
                  0.2507207683429776,
                  0.19652663008290394,
                  0.1767497379488372,
                  0.24913776225670692,
                  0.29605433374874746,
                  0.2353129753161131,
                  0.10969017210612467,
                  0.2876430812117531,
                  0.2513827097125481,
                  0.33392553683217074,
                  0.2613895981372251,
                  0.11288519077844651,
                  0.1270428713702403,
                  0.21700269796409857
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18333107702712054,
                  0.2798373848599569,
                  0.17451629581322226,
                  0.3025211923145276,
                  0.16971896002361034,
                  0.3385128283404649,
                  0.23830021711622673,
                  0.21635162334437877,
                  0.23509953862830535,
                  0.1305118846593427,
                  0.2657296991052132,
                  0.14989983870726103,
                  0.17107126892480837,
                  0.24862749984921456,
                  0.34932913614067407,
                  0.24266275819856864,
                  0.12425774040528127,
                  0.28505445760457715,
                  0.24772659850480583,
                  0.33494753433961566,
                  0.26195084461668244,
                  0.14794480914106525,
                  0.16386177787356343,
                  0.17599131692226644
                ],
                "crps": [
                  76.47059337084853,
                  94.2670446084577,
                  54.693956850757225,
                  85.57305871356377,
                  87.47186169340756,
                  115.27998163838643,
                  55.42341444193588,
                  57.60029854283706,
                  51.9840012393046,
                  65.00234904817512,
                  50.42166003293551,
                  89.05558553656083,
                  50.776337850017,
                  51.73210336553021,
                  59.11650194333983,
                  61.701001582230425,
                  76.50732720468363,
                  58.50289590755207,
                  81.71101147675124,
                  79.92195079827927,
                  57.70309966640524,
                  56.775446078528496,
                  71.84058732976588,
                  93.45133232864244
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  88.82692214314231,
                  88.24742479961203,
                  55.08475034888021,
                  84.16278360597107,
                  67.8070499527785,
                  92.44999531996338,
                  62.44379244943635,
                  58.29221914343354,
                  58.940156594269254,
                  78.4199068998783,
                  50.48475121311102,
                  55.075563197379914,
                  47.14857564247005,
                  54.1600418129174,
                  81.03189466457867,
                  60.71939517686864,
                  76.19945631775296,
                  54.27423007451832,
                  79.02926764117136,
                  80.99914257141997,
                  59.58462438615225,
                  63.6185896967953,
                  102.64467420156433,
                  58.56684030684482
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  74.25824552406266,
                  92.06539976632186,
                  52.58625462400737,
                  83.16338992992307,
                  85.25137942904693,
                  113.08356689903357,
                  53.24129183817172,
                  55.46533154116238,
                  49.87335418010674,
                  62.71737955798049,
                  48.31403242678424,
                  86.91347120608032,
                  48.58095502368613,
                  49.563148562123295,
                  57.204704564502855,
                  59.485086588374806,
                  74.4102214469158,
                  56.12909661112508,
                  79.26192390526971,
                  77.69993113294673,
                  55.32215980730252,
                  54.73109568914827,
                  69.50912181148736,
                  91.3044177444857
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  85.98545820877793,
                  85.40486333240005,
                  52.179380786117605,
                  81.31248607589235,
                  64.92577565441721,
                  89.61539326661567,
                  59.55236046640964,
                  55.39292433217577,
                  56.042088937274436,
                  75.55873270937136,
                  47.570669530773095,
                  52.17017623470917,
                  44.22817544579379,
                  51.25292090823062,
                  78.17566742059579,
                  57.82469728991662,
                  73.33407672841624,
                  51.36732543547852,
                  76.16924754297749,
                  78.14285329695761,
                  56.687777312096586,
                  60.72938270855525,
                  99.82938025215908,
                  55.66806561142684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43349689361821103,
              "rpss": 0.04380737444023086,
              "brier_below": 0.21379754789146363,
              "bss_below": 0.05726397591683796,
              "brier_above": 0.21969934615458916,
              "bss_above": 0.030338243602922033,
              "crps": 70.12430838537067,
              "crpss": -0.014938591910159893,
              "crps_fair": 67.9222899920854,
              "crpss_fair": -0.025809934701551684,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.006522,
                    0.375313,
                    0.397826,
                    0.159415,
                    0.049973,
                    0.010951,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1947,
                    0.2585,
                    0.3429,
                    0.4398,
                    0.5399,
                    0.6073,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.7225,
                    0.2306,
                    0.3454,
                    0.5066,
                    0.623,
                    0.6469,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.295365,
                    0.454006,
                    0.212684,
                    0.036333,
                    0.001611,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2535,
                    0.3497,
                    0.4391,
                    0.5359,
                    0.6176,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2189,
                    0.3807,
                    0.4394,
                    0.4297,
                    0.2497,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46364587649336875,
                  0.44624081660436177,
                  0.43579438712532015,
                  0.44269287372350136,
                  0.4141113173354719,
                  0.48038205480809426,
                  0.4204410984461264,
                  0.4093266119036968,
                  0.4500273442931847
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4546231099504593,
                  0.43753747052601477,
                  0.49174002423345364,
                  0.49152720319112103,
                  0.425759686884452,
                  0.45276062109717374,
                  0.44678141219100675,
                  0.4601609884551471,
                  0.46568341206196623
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1576668211706967,
                  0.2090295689443003,
                  0.13590719583736516,
                  0.12390584354845187,
                  0.19053839190676933,
                  0.23371176810555364,
                  0.22509266473459483,
                  0.13663389926230254,
                  0.22505353802564507
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15629594250614892,
                  0.2030692336614904,
                  0.1489835591475073,
                  0.12955841996645884,
                  0.19874380582689244,
                  0.2228475851534563,
                  0.23511902665323692,
                  0.15822245589198483,
                  0.22961314667049418
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3059790432064827,
                  0.23721124616286796,
                  0.29988717221977096,
                  0.31878701002854165,
                  0.22357292438272544,
                  0.24667029055524858,
                  0.19534843515755643,
                  0.27269270373913973,
                  0.2249738084548453
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29832715383568675,
                  0.23446823467476652,
                  0.3427564435327463,
                  0.3619687582360325,
                  0.2270158802003865,
                  0.22991303456849288,
                  0.21166238742601534,
                  0.30193851830877666,
                  0.23607026291524907
                ],
                "crps": [
                  48.620020860595396,
                  37.4170731433336,
                  54.969902251169465,
                  54.36243525165498,
                  31.684325374247,
                  57.986606686730376,
                  38.37379151383007,
                  43.25424765048612,
                  47.68793889685335
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  45.93763629770763,
                  35.2795366741263,
                  62.023965985874646,
                  55.33149935133871,
                  31.79983015498263,
                  42.61526370924846,
                  40.8193611954094,
                  47.8036981418148,
                  46.24683772923825
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  47.867963360898926,
                  36.66111885550854,
                  54.197896887778654,
                  53.55462915910117,
                  30.974152302126626,
                  57.164439928785164,
                  37.581724489888096,
                  42.422143668313524,
                  46.85746065550855
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.05518656224228,
                  33.39708693866097,
                  60.14151625040928,
                  53.449049615873356,
                  29.91738041951728,
                  40.7328139737831,
                  38.936911459944035,
                  45.92124840634945,
                  44.36438799377288
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4402958200814584,
              "rpss": 0.03972097693973553,
              "brier_below": 0.18194885461507548,
              "bss_below": 0.026695235621781443,
              "brier_above": 0.2583469593230199,
              "bss_above": 0.04868746501412302,
              "crps": 46.03959351432226,
              "crpss": -0.015933776698681124,
              "crps_fair": 45.25350325643436,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04186568266097512,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.413742,
                    0.488344,
                    0.096933,
                    0.000981,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2534,
                    0.3424,
                    0.4279,
                    0.507,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1956,
                    0.2264,
                    0.3688,
                    0.2302,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.200687,
                    0.462202,
                    0.258486,
                    0.078625,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2702,
                    0.3479,
                    0.4422,
                    0.5317,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.39,
                    0.4771,
                    0.5213,
                    0.6087,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4630506308518512,
                  0.4310632609804768,
                  0.45738404270309996,
                  0.45388052356772285,
                  0.4137211200105443,
                  0.43603471558318063,
                  0.42558076694418484,
                  0.4404973144276555,
                  0.4404108476380236
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4512821189297184,
                  0.4206501052342102,
                  0.48607676155700724,
                  0.47178924942018213,
                  0.4202321083174025,
                  0.44974331659729855,
                  0.4554292533591238,
                  0.4713683857526428,
                  0.46309958751658076
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13414655135825382,
                  0.21824485254374135,
                  0.15032194980663965,
                  0.1310289668127678,
                  0.1676236968878565,
                  0.16835735585170986,
                  0.23737606655419322,
                  0.1495018064872202,
                  0.1894790263453777
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13306928828126782,
                  0.21585583639272318,
                  0.16162148566504822,
                  0.13114817245105845,
                  0.17045689322354624,
                  0.1706324345160037,
                  0.2513941016020818,
                  0.16393510953105803,
                  0.19563367580327717
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.328904062215872,
                  0.21281841161490048,
                  0.30706207526249024,
                  0.32285153902197633,
                  0.24609741786753847,
                  0.2676773551341576,
                  0.18820470074015294,
                  0.29099549589301177,
                  0.25093181793696534
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.31821281348399405,
                  0.20479427195784727,
                  0.3244552576112664,
                  0.3406410557941846,
                  0.24977521016699747,
                  0.2791108719088107,
                  0.204035155009143,
                  0.30743326098466245,
                  0.2674659036231022
                ],
                "crps": [
                  72.35752704011455,
                  53.99439653778317,
                  81.47696263078123,
                  78.85363092585217,
                  47.411336289972716,
                  73.64967585735508,
                  58.665661259824645,
                  65.08535676795411,
                  69.02115729222268
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  68.43806065594151,
                  50.651721281077606,
                  84.86185486393984,
                  69.92810965360432,
                  47.572672349858124,
                  63.17874189655338,
                  62.58001975556023,
                  70.12878956370798,
                  68.41795298111988
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  71.27947491011156,
                  52.90173028725154,
                  80.39198252181927,
                  77.7132319030595,
                  46.37934175683673,
                  72.47290433462925,
                  57.52372707845855,
                  63.88346470060699,
                  67.83694401007226
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  65.67917197627564,
                  47.89283260141173,
                  82.10296618427398,
                  67.16922097393847,
                  44.813783670192265,
                  60.41985321688753,
                  59.821131075894364,
                  67.36990088404211,
                  65.65906430145401
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4401803580785266,
              "rpss": 0.03131001675326617,
              "brier_below": 0.17178669696086224,
              "bss_below": 0.02990858956540221,
              "brier_above": 0.2683936528541183,
              "bss_above": 0.032204879345896886,
              "crps": 66.72396717798449,
              "crpss": -0.02519433544301064,
              "crps_fair": 65.59808905587174,
              "crpss_fair": -0.052510982805050066,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.406332,
                    0.478212,
                    0.114784,
                    0.000672,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2529,
                    0.343,
                    0.4297,
                    0.5015,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1776,
                    0.1777,
                    0.3517,
                    0.6008,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.292344,
                    0.447428,
                    0.197804,
                    0.062424,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2697,
                    0.3422,
                    0.4421,
                    0.538,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4291,
                    0.4955,
                    0.588,
                    0.5634,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dc": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.608387056162076,
            "training": [
              0.6311972121937428,
              0.6070626598741079,
              0.5994295294650408,
              0.6019700256675069,
              0.5885317338130054,
              0.6088397182502335,
              0.6371577621915158,
              0.6332690025580745,
              0.6145046392039323,
              0.6152589877752797,
              0.6066477224293161,
              0.5734969640046562,
              0.5932334394441969,
              0.6180487008151301,
              0.6555411207366091,
              0.5983360176039193,
              0.6117122958754657,
              0.6031623047147806,
              0.6108299490305833,
              0.6052912539032034,
              0.608581141409983,
              0.5772983974699519,
              0.6211448939371477,
              0.5807438755224407
            ],
            "test": 0.629653976736984
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4015610417199429,
                  0.44698217427414555,
                  0.4323328525532155,
                  0.4641828450736984,
                  0.430086671121153,
                  0.46375963139970383,
                  0.41969718292018277,
                  0.407727044465853,
                  0.398110337235658,
                  0.4776001434315466,
                  0.3872844505555748,
                  0.5017789842155442,
                  0.42884274792728877,
                  0.41322701850677906,
                  0.4239445057832507,
                  0.4400492441040479,
                  0.46654615100960145,
                  0.41012262451946224,
                  0.4626334602160419,
                  0.48265572770658316,
                  0.43695108030367513,
                  0.44117395226992384,
                  0.4079805146428984,
                  0.5158598000384377
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4625021445862044,
                  0.46159488869678755,
                  0.4404943884335238,
                  0.46286694870416484,
                  0.46982744395686576,
                  0.4638745867904695,
                  0.4580567296219436,
                  0.44805822830116804,
                  0.4278195644333872,
                  0.48511783635941824,
                  0.40716586188404125,
                  0.4476694678025769,
                  0.4237393979375955,
                  0.4284018224249593,
                  0.5042399145627019,
                  0.4349655508301632,
                  0.4679909581860775,
                  0.4188368664000415,
                  0.462507410301521,
                  0.476874938942896,
                  0.4481833614592989,
                  0.43736310157224134,
                  0.4722166255537948,
                  0.47162506981963837
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2586436639714599,
                  0.17525702202774393,
                  0.2589900149024053,
                  0.19673607082906253,
                  0.2318989079688097,
                  0.16014830708311759,
                  0.2382005034654069,
                  0.23666194159065804,
                  0.1624756880374438,
                  0.2902358499961528,
                  0.1548418531371192,
                  0.3163200209310992,
                  0.2354519019086298,
                  0.13770891954518627,
                  0.10369105484684427,
                  0.22131613662487812,
                  0.3282557969862494,
                  0.15034098273528687,
                  0.19987719282512612,
                  0.15350190395307117,
                  0.19828015289122977,
                  0.25519757385028774,
                  0.2545734423468184,
                  0.32729856006520086
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.299632410717911,
                  0.18587870939096326,
                  0.25998119606521325,
                  0.19649455373223845,
                  0.2550109542404642,
                  0.162611082203679,
                  0.2598521950723673,
                  0.2612903611498991,
                  0.17697290245365346,
                  0.29444690935857754,
                  0.1706907313694619,
                  0.28903643213970553,
                  0.23599804043522338,
                  0.14777022402744325,
                  0.13361595890202554,
                  0.21740548647461078,
                  0.33176824151275985,
                  0.15679241531485055,
                  0.1994166508248519,
                  0.15032826915290334,
                  0.20493564010625412,
                  0.24145406689362325,
                  0.29815694964329725,
                  0.31360797929136064
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14291737812340163,
                  0.27172515152942056,
                  0.173342838483897,
                  0.2674467734077721,
                  0.1981877631291237,
                  0.3036113238009107,
                  0.18149668053972126,
                  0.17106510319374996,
                  0.23563464974129023,
                  0.18736429417459682,
                  0.232442597415675,
                  0.1854589636101315,
                  0.19339084678146176,
                  0.27551809848557396,
                  0.32025345003666233,
                  0.21873310720368777,
                  0.138290355050592,
                  0.2597816413079694,
                  0.2627562667224715,
                  0.32915382181468067,
                  0.23867092687167776,
                  0.1859763790350996,
                  0.15340707252966662,
                  0.188561240319515
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16286973386829323,
                  0.27571617930582415,
                  0.18051319236831054,
                  0.26637239497192633,
                  0.21481648971640155,
                  0.30126350458679035,
                  0.1982045345495762,
                  0.18676786715126875,
                  0.25084666197973376,
                  0.19067092700084065,
                  0.2364751305145793,
                  0.15863303566287124,
                  0.18774135750237225,
                  0.28063159839751606,
                  0.3706239556606764,
                  0.2175600643555525,
                  0.13622271667331767,
                  0.2620444510851909,
                  0.2630907594766691,
                  0.3265466697899926,
                  0.2432477213530449,
                  0.1959090346786181,
                  0.17405967591049748,
                  0.15801709052827764
                ],
                "crps": [
                  47.652465478363034,
                  58.19303840058642,
                  38.24162821736989,
                  58.27581290980901,
                  67.82616236236873,
                  67.13885407967231,
                  37.344481096039516,
                  37.30409837010487,
                  37.87025806453278,
                  46.14309974762519,
                  36.3144739082375,
                  54.37971306020944,
                  36.643596076928326,
                  39.36309631261534,
                  53.897206878248724,
                  41.96942117510465,
                  51.248762701515794,
                  38.473728441690376,
                  54.51336615386359,
                  58.72437150623225,
                  39.34451483181609,
                  45.08918238021529,
                  48.26753833251689,
                  71.29047112618959
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  60.13619481850307,
                  56.256236518496635,
                  35.98277275521919,
                  56.56227686927625,
                  46.86073126600934,
                  59.72416662525286,
                  41.133014320729046,
                  39.14356234934023,
                  39.10553254848888,
                  53.063930882893146,
                  34.46797498455737,
                  37.824649592263526,
                  33.52609140008997,
                  37.21484071380031,
                  72.32397309757803,
                  40.07491922982013,
                  50.38128205074656,
                  36.35723268043317,
                  55.00451341032724,
                  60.2934577118017,
                  40.331277112560805,
                  42.36213744937737,
                  63.49609074853596,
                  39.807277519245005
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  45.93405279148919,
                  56.18148424227142,
                  36.38292011378941,
                  56.364570193886514,
                  66.35908895757609,
                  65.07367942173128,
                  35.269389072025106,
                  35.2915982138574,
                  35.82935065065649,
                  44.350016047754416,
                  34.07478288937488,
                  52.266346166190445,
                  34.592788653110745,
                  37.37495047389892,
                  51.79742095457126,
                  39.91079486897625,
                  49.283534569023175,
                  36.477224019445394,
                  52.459356747092194,
                  56.749419578874516,
                  37.35323368729345,
                  43.333299985593285,
                  46.58517046780143,
                  69.03686805266202
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  58.196507597272905,
                  54.30920089139523,
                  33.997340416444885,
                  54.61582086405132,
                  44.8959011213843,
                  57.78369904759606,
                  39.15733622734399,
                  37.164116354494205,
                  37.126014527504864,
                  51.11084922239097,
                  32.47967371061138,
                  35.8427056565897,
                  31.53600625571887,
                  35.231741837068796,
                  70.40736878975522,
                  38.09723716845984,
                  48.4231196159411,
                  34.37250954606271,
                  53.05510709552097,
                  58.35406833696034,
                  38.354080577493605,
                  40.38878724070568,
                  61.56276696656722,
                  37.82908856070565
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44004542441642536,
              "rpss": 0.02948935166520994,
              "brier_below": 0.21857931093830366,
              "bss_below": 0.0362372812371583,
              "brier_above": 0.22146611347119785,
              "bss_above": 0.022736082666378277,
              "crps": 48.56288923382732,
              "crpss": -0.030116825940253333,
              "crps_fair": 46.59713920078938,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03139405537412743,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.270191,
                    0.506121,
                    0.16842,
                    0.055268,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2657,
                    0.3463,
                    0.4437,
                    0.5451,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2628,
                    0.3276,
                    0.4802,
                    0.543,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.244274,
                    0.541366,
                    0.186942,
                    0.026626,
                    0.000791,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.264,
                    0.3523,
                    0.4357,
                    0.542,
                    0.6041,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2499,
                    0.3526,
                    0.4434,
                    0.4549,
                    0.1777,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4153527406482273,
                  0.47808131187777575,
                  0.4249937766563524,
                  0.45751565043790626,
                  0.39086223775043155,
                  0.497273512853977,
                  0.4053190097653147,
                  0.4159079427715204,
                  0.3959185696333364,
                  0.44802892930703697,
                  0.34563085074270394,
                  0.5311485993359509,
                  0.4121767502840164,
                  0.406663902310415,
                  0.41009069130179765,
                  0.42926153212796797,
                  0.4834799526625871,
                  0.4314102367859066,
                  0.46560207231128203,
                  0.4613074948393843,
                  0.4497633236411487,
                  0.4034403849813167,
                  0.3955030860780378,
                  0.489835905980508
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4783928822759757,
                  0.47851945526200396,
                  0.4363405983984559,
                  0.45554856797843624,
                  0.4692768139798448,
                  0.47784783076934295,
                  0.4363277180670701,
                  0.42911353953029135,
                  0.42219420001192276,
                  0.5068481579907806,
                  0.40171471251488117,
                  0.45512779916810575,
                  0.404350582502918,
                  0.40865537485623,
                  0.48639718804316545,
                  0.44315229259879996,
                  0.4958720926659176,
                  0.43277603457023534,
                  0.46502636956376436,
                  0.4740692033828123,
                  0.456112797909182,
                  0.4302812020232237,
                  0.5000385661978536,
                  0.4365908837694042
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2514922619296807,
                  0.1963660254276124,
                  0.26124317323924284,
                  0.1547469634108075,
                  0.25225744629476027,
                  0.1429278597400225,
                  0.18392086457791695,
                  0.20620229310987337,
                  0.17458160753853735,
                  0.3402839057718203,
                  0.10141724223674771,
                  0.3390754601364634,
                  0.2333206327182575,
                  0.1552177513119839,
                  0.11047355929259346,
                  0.1944353480703584,
                  0.3637640456969382,
                  0.1471288199568826,
                  0.21706449628956248,
                  0.1333080982324594,
                  0.19071378994600788,
                  0.28357124307665055,
                  0.2652341468058417,
                  0.2841894533918755
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.295061805248855,
                  0.19868207040204694,
                  0.26182430258523354,
                  0.1530273756639085,
                  0.29955785395623435,
                  0.13933500242887786,
                  0.19802750095084334,
                  0.21276191618591256,
                  0.1870946613836174,
                  0.3763362733314377,
                  0.1359850134096679,
                  0.3052279604608446,
                  0.2332793135781096,
                  0.16002787500701532,
                  0.13706805190249127,
                  0.20048953440023126,
                  0.37161435226063616,
                  0.14772157696565813,
                  0.21729977105895837,
                  0.13912166904319637,
                  0.1941619532924994,
                  0.2823363928821582,
                  0.33617678832429,
                  0.2605995668471377
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16386047883162944,
                  0.2817152853282346,
                  0.1637506043869953,
                  0.3027686855824402,
                  0.1386047914232686,
                  0.35434565154325526,
                  0.2213981463081509,
                  0.20970565025422358,
                  0.22133696337337386,
                  0.10774502508790086,
                  0.24421360801492006,
                  0.19207313941593065,
                  0.17885611860136047,
                  0.2514461505532953,
                  0.29961713179843474,
                  0.234826183162006,
                  0.11971590834635981,
                  0.2842814158155748,
                  0.2485375752243243,
                  0.3279993941618582,
                  0.25904953297094296,
                  0.11986914264855977,
                  0.13026893954088023,
                  0.20564645285737454
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18333107702712054,
                  0.2798373848599569,
                  0.17451629581322226,
                  0.3025211923145276,
                  0.16971896002361034,
                  0.3385128283404649,
                  0.23830021711622673,
                  0.21635162334437877,
                  0.23509953862830535,
                  0.1305118846593427,
                  0.2657296991052132,
                  0.14989983870726103,
                  0.17107126892480837,
                  0.24862749984921456,
                  0.34932913614067407,
                  0.24266275819856864,
                  0.12425774040528127,
                  0.28505445760457715,
                  0.24772659850480583,
                  0.33494753433961566,
                  0.26195084461668244,
                  0.14794480914106525,
                  0.16386177787356343,
                  0.17599131692226644
                ],
                "crps": [
                  73.61746926149182,
                  89.82645513430657,
                  58.02733539982128,
                  85.26426683094101,
                  93.93194337546088,
                  104.76114604827058,
                  56.19723618481137,
                  56.78162814325377,
                  56.64318448211941,
                  65.26405173545837,
                  52.022670922123815,
                  81.9340596663799,
                  51.58237681015539,
                  56.43792103875845,
                  58.764767148450375,
                  60.69846740016219,
                  74.32576090360192,
                  57.93153714080119,
                  79.92306393466109,
                  77.53867531277699,
                  58.21674937885318,
                  63.99813704857,
                  76.19951497462475,
                  95.83804713602763
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  88.82692214314231,
                  88.24742479961203,
                  55.08475034888021,
                  84.16278360597107,
                  67.8070499527785,
                  92.44999531996338,
                  62.44379244943635,
                  58.29221914343354,
                  58.940156594269254,
                  78.4199068998783,
                  50.48475121311102,
                  55.075563197379914,
                  47.14857564247005,
                  54.1600418129174,
                  81.03189466457867,
                  60.71939517686864,
                  76.19945631775296,
                  54.27423007451832,
                  79.02926764117136,
                  80.99914257141997,
                  59.58462438615225,
                  63.6185896967953,
                  102.64467420156433,
                  58.56684030684482
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  71.08110350053553,
                  86.94169069285019,
                  55.299851013652464,
                  82.43790513309783,
                  91.70355496218612,
                  101.84784466832461,
                  53.13506068095342,
                  53.77958765535103,
                  53.640182455474296,
                  62.57035896177137,
                  48.78276957024184,
                  78.82514663569408,
                  48.58693821509483,
                  53.505360393876046,
                  55.67561734923401,
                  57.65805194714345,
                  71.4856754725505,
                  55.03037214377706,
                  76.92351060862127,
                  74.62501130636149,
                  55.291596117643635,
                  61.377389621101905,
                  73.73108990554105,
                  92.65211015260331
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  85.98545820877793,
                  85.40486333240005,
                  52.179380786117605,
                  81.31248607589235,
                  64.92577565441721,
                  89.61539326661567,
                  59.55236046640964,
                  55.39292433217577,
                  56.042088937274436,
                  75.55873270937136,
                  47.570669530773095,
                  52.17017623470917,
                  44.22817544579379,
                  51.25292090823062,
                  78.17566742059579,
                  57.82469728991662,
                  73.33407672841624,
                  51.36732543547852,
                  76.16924754297749,
                  78.14285329695761,
                  56.687777312096586,
                  60.72938270855525,
                  99.82938025215908,
                  55.66806561142684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43519035271187084,
              "rpss": 0.040072000275195196,
              "brier_below": 0.21595568700845402,
              "bss_below": 0.04774770451599508,
              "brier_above": 0.21923466563463725,
              "bss_above": 0.03238915061300951,
              "crps": 70.23860272549508,
              "crpss": -0.016592821938236302,
              "crps_fair": 67.35782413182005,
              "crpss_fair": -0.017284976439285726,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.237558,
                    0.565965,
                    0.140382,
                    0.056095,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2741,
                    0.3435,
                    0.444,
                    0.5511,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2635,
                    0.3129,
                    0.5249,
                    0.6109,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.244358,
                    0.53755,
                    0.197535,
                    0.020003,
                    0.000554,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2596,
                    0.3548,
                    0.4343,
                    0.5276,
                    0.6041,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2129,
                    0.3667,
                    0.4443,
                    0.4888,
                    0.4541,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.47035971236694163,
                  0.46217309892391945,
                  0.44145191372962383,
                  0.4542924364520213,
                  0.4133056426162577,
                  0.47125335318639044,
                  0.43250456270885745,
                  0.4064985538684805,
                  0.44750611190394596
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4546231099504593,
                  0.43753747052601477,
                  0.49174002423345364,
                  0.49152720319112103,
                  0.425759686884452,
                  0.45276062109717374,
                  0.44678141219100675,
                  0.4601609884551471,
                  0.46568341206196623
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1650195750870435,
                  0.21594516904069158,
                  0.13740699651043536,
                  0.12767809490044618,
                  0.19003233697842684,
                  0.2334549976247266,
                  0.229854792248396,
                  0.13712055780097235,
                  0.2280369242627345
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15629594250614892,
                  0.2030692336614904,
                  0.1489835591475073,
                  0.12955841996645884,
                  0.19874380582689244,
                  0.2228475851534563,
                  0.23511902665323692,
                  0.15822245589198483,
                  0.22961314667049418
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.305340124047208,
                  0.24622792735833615,
                  0.30404489771067317,
                  0.3266143202071054,
                  0.2232733045372993,
                  0.23779835824800255,
                  0.20264977220350952,
                  0.26937798745230057,
                  0.2194691892076266
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29832715383568675,
                  0.23446823467476652,
                  0.3427564435327463,
                  0.3619687582360325,
                  0.2270158802003865,
                  0.22991303456849288,
                  0.21166238742601534,
                  0.30193851830877666,
                  0.23607026291524907
                ],
                "crps": [
                  49.92649346453578,
                  38.046397414048094,
                  54.227172006239556,
                  57.159961104092524,
                  32.510807659495164,
                  62.64537041923863,
                  40.63030985035156,
                  43.63584990867115,
                  52.61454307984391
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  45.93763629770763,
                  35.2795366741263,
                  62.023965985874646,
                  55.33149935133871,
                  31.79983015498263,
                  42.61526370924846,
                  40.8193611954094,
                  47.8036981418148,
                  46.24683772923825
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  48.0645747908263,
                  36.156105242328344,
                  52.27730858574367,
                  55.01102097733631,
                  30.61334485302774,
                  60.42232068606571,
                  38.88504432096421,
                  41.55811526859896,
                  50.433196575222496
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.05518656224228,
                  33.39708693866097,
                  60.14151625040928,
                  53.449049615873356,
                  29.91738041951728,
                  40.7328139737831,
                  38.936911459944035,
                  45.92124840634945,
                  44.36438799377288
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4443717095284931,
              "rpss": 0.030831519084841497,
              "brier_below": 0.18494993827265255,
              "bss_below": 0.010641443865868183,
              "brier_above": 0.25942176455245125,
              "bss_above": 0.044729703366353846,
              "crps": 47.932989434057376,
              "crpss": -0.05771444244074453,
              "crps_fair": 45.935670144457085,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05757112465628533,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.352147,
                    0.530126,
                    0.112323,
                    0.005405,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2495,
                    0.3431,
                    0.4377,
                    0.5134,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2202,
                    0.1991,
                    0.3833,
                    0.25,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.167967,
                    0.553521,
                    0.197754,
                    0.080757,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2725,
                    0.3407,
                    0.4442,
                    0.54,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3571,
                    0.4762,
                    0.5714,
                    0.5546,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4695762661678721,
                  0.433205974997104,
                  0.4598451635267276,
                  0.44834306589702244,
                  0.4165516222466685,
                  0.4321111825922491,
                  0.43007645770186137,
                  0.4339773997615093,
                  0.4466105031172973
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4512821189297184,
                  0.4206501052342102,
                  0.48607676155700724,
                  0.47178924942018213,
                  0.4202321083174025,
                  0.44974331659729855,
                  0.4554292533591238,
                  0.4713683857526428,
                  0.46309958751658076
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1438700969070908,
                  0.22170930408971742,
                  0.1564116834449583,
                  0.1289966780315224,
                  0.16979273563874944,
                  0.1676378064656015,
                  0.23745435883879512,
                  0.15128111064064115,
                  0.19462688952808718
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13306928828126782,
                  0.21585583639272318,
                  0.16162148566504822,
                  0.13114817245105845,
                  0.17045689322354624,
                  0.1706324345160037,
                  0.2513941016020818,
                  0.16393510953105803,
                  0.19563367580327717
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.32570615180511264,
                  0.21149667429789157,
                  0.30343346274157706,
                  0.3193463698917333,
                  0.24675888181480204,
                  0.2644733709208825,
                  0.19262209950341053,
                  0.28269627732441666,
                  0.2519836101313543
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.31821281348399405,
                  0.20479427195784727,
                  0.3244552576112664,
                  0.3406410557941846,
                  0.24977521016699747,
                  0.2791108719088107,
                  0.204035155009143,
                  0.30743326098466245,
                  0.2674659036231022
                ],
                "crps": [
                  73.67380806043923,
                  54.80889244169543,
                  79.3164506637063,
                  81.17220530520275,
                  48.35328927546826,
                  79.41825257902448,
                  61.63416147145437,
                  64.18639071010055,
                  75.85434473349002
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  68.43806065594151,
                  50.651721281077606,
                  84.86185486393984,
                  69.92810965360432,
                  47.572672349858124,
                  63.17874189655338,
                  62.58001975556023,
                  70.12878956370798,
                  68.41795298111988
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  70.94837639350223,
                  52.034241707852686,
                  76.53255292738875,
                  78.17378091164274,
                  45.5790594303119,
                  76.28248320920483,
                  59.07558529036204,
                  61.23905104320342,
                  72.76277320638813
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  65.67917197627564,
                  47.89283260141173,
                  82.10296618427398,
                  67.16922097393847,
                  44.813783670192265,
                  60.41985321688753,
                  59.821131075894364,
                  67.36990088404211,
                  65.65906430145401
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4411441817787013,
              "rpss": 0.02918896262888282,
              "brier_below": 0.174642295953907,
              "bss_below": 0.013782823695245527,
              "brier_above": 0.26650187760346455,
              "bss_above": 0.039026392587687364,
              "crps": 68.7130883600646,
              "crpss": -0.055756603464913734,
              "crps_fair": 65.84754490220631,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05651346247741418,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.272961,
                    0.649727,
                    0.074765,
                    0.002547,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2576,
                    0.3431,
                    0.4303,
                    0.5168,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1943,
                    0.176,
                    0.3975,
                    0.3159,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.160359,
                    0.607794,
                    0.187195,
                    0.044652,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2718,
                    0.339,
                    0.4428,
                    0.5303,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3682,
                    0.502,
                    0.5808,
                    0.577,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "loci": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6055019179272586,
            "training": [
              0.6236905720007091,
              0.6026227942208424,
              0.5996528749110301,
              0.6019723247876795,
              0.5929794899056933,
              0.6025244729213394,
              0.6234708148737779,
              0.6324839695424535,
              0.615744922540345,
              0.6146284889313411,
              0.6158682631228768,
              0.570584476466459,
              0.5924739232100935,
              0.610136687328148,
              0.640773281485588,
              0.5982776158385295,
              0.6067099632369339,
              0.604546336463433,
              0.6062238626704114,
              0.6001287727982734,
              0.6063646605674337,
              0.5846657775214451,
              0.6270294565816033,
              0.5584922283277665
            ],
            "test": 0.6269862309859154
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.41601721567915534,
                  0.4579832326566236,
                  0.4291275936138473,
                  0.4627296972686209,
                  0.4195373446473646,
                  0.4787203925423359,
                  0.4367761114700438,
                  0.4157833517540372,
                  0.3983383143918781,
                  0.4760455354508296,
                  0.3723448759270874,
                  0.5024616780269782,
                  0.43938636679206566,
                  0.4109016240021557,
                  0.41450723806661843,
                  0.43134100930799607,
                  0.4698592176736674,
                  0.41078767143027006,
                  0.46470016765414884,
                  0.46840296239348056,
                  0.43712629868629693,
                  0.4317950671820399,
                  0.410866586345235,
                  0.5520255501596394
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4625021445862044,
                  0.46159488869678755,
                  0.4404943884335238,
                  0.46286694870416484,
                  0.46982744395686576,
                  0.4638745867904695,
                  0.4580567296219436,
                  0.44805822830116804,
                  0.4278195644333872,
                  0.48511783635941824,
                  0.40716586188404125,
                  0.4476694678025769,
                  0.4237393979375955,
                  0.4284018224249593,
                  0.5042399145627019,
                  0.4349655508301632,
                  0.4679909581860775,
                  0.4188368664000415,
                  0.462507410301521,
                  0.476874938942896,
                  0.4481833614592989,
                  0.43736310157224134,
                  0.4722166255537948,
                  0.47162506981963837
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2629541761634768,
                  0.18000989276835413,
                  0.25836747971264035,
                  0.19146588946717022,
                  0.22554558887254447,
                  0.15963913809754765,
                  0.24827584856346374,
                  0.241542721759647,
                  0.16398233266357443,
                  0.2987855889895759,
                  0.14269029197782354,
                  0.3209008233503699,
                  0.24327651097851655,
                  0.1386073513382413,
                  0.09726078308120496,
                  0.21139495007653708,
                  0.3333978956871656,
                  0.14729569882346105,
                  0.20030535432485655,
                  0.14631729323087106,
                  0.19322503113182093,
                  0.2528584520514003,
                  0.25904640336615586,
                  0.34716654556593896
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.299632410717911,
                  0.18587870939096326,
                  0.25998119606521325,
                  0.19649455373223845,
                  0.2550109542404642,
                  0.162611082203679,
                  0.2598521950723673,
                  0.2612903611498991,
                  0.17697290245365346,
                  0.29444690935857754,
                  0.1706907313694619,
                  0.28903643213970553,
                  0.23599804043522338,
                  0.14777022402744325,
                  0.13361595890202554,
                  0.21740548647461078,
                  0.33176824151275985,
                  0.15679241531485055,
                  0.1994166508248519,
                  0.15032826915290334,
                  0.20493564010625412,
                  0.24145406689362325,
                  0.29815694964329725,
                  0.31360797929136064
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15306303951210412,
                  0.27797334020511355,
                  0.1707601134908894,
                  0.27126380878809364,
                  0.1939917562489419,
                  0.3190812557205998,
                  0.18850026133489667,
                  0.17424063011498636,
                  0.23435598178660097,
                  0.1772599462278235,
                  0.22965458370253594,
                  0.1815608539254174,
                  0.1961098553249236,
                  0.2722942738960542,
                  0.3172464544580386,
                  0.21994605841751852,
                  0.13646132097279703,
                  0.26349197338009056,
                  0.264394814304888,
                  0.32208567235483254,
                  0.24390126814335372,
                  0.17893661522066762,
                  0.15182018341934644,
                  0.2048590053901594
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16286973386829323,
                  0.27571617930582415,
                  0.18051319236831054,
                  0.26637239497192633,
                  0.21481648971640155,
                  0.30126350458679035,
                  0.1982045345495762,
                  0.18676786715126875,
                  0.25084666197973376,
                  0.19067092700084065,
                  0.2364751305145793,
                  0.15863303566287124,
                  0.18774135750237225,
                  0.28063159839751606,
                  0.3706239556606764,
                  0.2175600643555525,
                  0.13622271667331767,
                  0.2620444510851909,
                  0.2630907594766691,
                  0.3265466697899926,
                  0.2432477213530449,
                  0.1959090346786181,
                  0.17405967591049748,
                  0.15801709052827764
                ],
                "crps": [
                  48.809327906234316,
                  61.177425310427566,
                  38.32253406079616,
                  58.798442998040386,
                  65.13157111981513,
                  72.52401301028408,
                  38.551019952699946,
                  38.4190823718682,
                  37.467872421634915,
                  48.78242816998364,
                  35.453685936938065,
                  57.373309032190384,
                  37.98607525058831,
                  38.238513472142664,
                  55.5044087275195,
                  41.963834506085746,
                  53.66122815929871,
                  40.159401772923786,
                  56.82186769635597,
                  58.385236964080214,
                  40.27715870069112,
                  46.49380568619226,
                  50.671226504061075,
                  76.79598618649983
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  60.13619481850307,
                  56.256236518496635,
                  35.98277275521919,
                  56.56227686927625,
                  46.86073126600934,
                  59.72416662525286,
                  41.133014320729046,
                  39.14356234934023,
                  39.10553254848888,
                  53.063930882893146,
                  34.46797498455737,
                  37.824649592263526,
                  33.52609140008997,
                  37.21484071380031,
                  72.32397309757803,
                  40.07491922982013,
                  50.38128205074656,
                  36.35723268043317,
                  55.00451341032724,
                  60.2934577118017,
                  40.331277112560805,
                  42.36213744937737,
                  63.49609074853596,
                  39.807277519245005
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  47.254888338632,
                  59.527521301700055,
                  36.86556712670647,
                  57.16987946746372,
                  63.754049919443794,
                  70.85920340784537,
                  36.97753726520131,
                  36.903166989713895,
                  35.9062036328637,
                  47.19303115539999,
                  33.88870197759459,
                  55.77292531468239,
                  36.397155328479585,
                  36.68494316547582,
                  54.08763171203341,
                  40.36927996672853,
                  52.1210670698638,
                  38.490234275755526,
                  54.97789173471496,
                  56.78889704536348,
                  38.53257887395951,
                  45.03174894308414,
                  49.057860769639966,
                  75.23917052907822
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  58.196507597272905,
                  54.30920089139523,
                  33.997340416444885,
                  54.61582086405132,
                  44.8959011213843,
                  57.78369904759606,
                  39.15733622734399,
                  37.164116354494205,
                  37.126014527504864,
                  51.11084922239097,
                  32.47967371061138,
                  35.8427056565897,
                  31.53600625571887,
                  35.231741837068796,
                  70.40736878975522,
                  38.09723716845984,
                  48.4231196159411,
                  34.37250954606271,
                  53.05510709552097,
                  58.35406833696034,
                  38.354080577493605,
                  40.38878724070568,
                  61.56276696656722,
                  37.82908856070565
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4419818792967673,
              "rpss": 0.025218542387090315,
              "brier_below": 0.21934633508509827,
              "bss_below": 0.03285530846993623,
              "brier_above": 0.22263554443086142,
              "bss_above": 0.017575732566855407,
              "crps": 49.907060663223,
              "crpss": -0.05862941298386248,
              "crps_fair": 48.327130637976005,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06968616761032664,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.317448,
                    0.479856,
                    0.162045,
                    0.040651,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2612,
                    0.3481,
                    0.4417,
                    0.5447,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.255,
                    0.346,
                    0.4782,
                    0.5705,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.258804,
                    0.489831,
                    0.218728,
                    0.031283,
                    0.001354,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2607,
                    0.3528,
                    0.4365,
                    0.5304,
                    0.6024,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2411,
                    0.3674,
                    0.4225,
                    0.3859,
                    0.1662,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.41905654743361487,
                  0.48081153291841483,
                  0.4150643414187044,
                  0.4532838607051029,
                  0.3827139887266229,
                  0.5172369131392172,
                  0.39966605095869234,
                  0.41217871827358843,
                  0.3816771422165909,
                  0.45748274656340904,
                  0.3370013677704878,
                  0.5450282809774967,
                  0.4034052433404906,
                  0.39470772724748,
                  0.3995475884884858,
                  0.42031803224499137,
                  0.47916337130474884,
                  0.43547785046266285,
                  0.4713263728005336,
                  0.46152788245497606,
                  0.44785911243053067,
                  0.39969138197284626,
                  0.40618943585944495,
                  0.5009969429471972
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4783928822759757,
                  0.47851945526200396,
                  0.4363405983984559,
                  0.45554856797843624,
                  0.4692768139798448,
                  0.47784783076934295,
                  0.4363277180670701,
                  0.42911353953029135,
                  0.42219420001192276,
                  0.5068481579907806,
                  0.40171471251488117,
                  0.45512779916810575,
                  0.404350582502918,
                  0.40865537485623,
                  0.48639718804316545,
                  0.44315229259879996,
                  0.4958720926659176,
                  0.43277603457023534,
                  0.46502636956376436,
                  0.4740692033828123,
                  0.456112797909182,
                  0.4302812020232237,
                  0.5000385661978536,
                  0.4365908837694042
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2511599378295966,
                  0.19031324762203766,
                  0.263080794122235,
                  0.1453355052693354,
                  0.24581451555202025,
                  0.14143603475980412,
                  0.18074520842736522,
                  0.20105721840008825,
                  0.16798750520535105,
                  0.3587230261064921,
                  0.09103848849881749,
                  0.3588334347354623,
                  0.23133615924813603,
                  0.14253466819829264,
                  0.09266119208074958,
                  0.18530385816454537,
                  0.372509401361986,
                  0.1424910278624202,
                  0.217838382875441,
                  0.1242609653078056,
                  0.18249890969165727,
                  0.2883391331118116,
                  0.27916342104099984,
                  0.28903862114878587
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.295061805248855,
                  0.19868207040204694,
                  0.26182430258523354,
                  0.1530273756639085,
                  0.29955785395623435,
                  0.13933500242887786,
                  0.19802750095084334,
                  0.21276191618591256,
                  0.1870946613836174,
                  0.3763362733314377,
                  0.1359850134096679,
                  0.3052279604608446,
                  0.2332793135781096,
                  0.16002787500701532,
                  0.13706805190249127,
                  0.20048953440023126,
                  0.37161435226063616,
                  0.14772157696565813,
                  0.21729977105895837,
                  0.13912166904319637,
                  0.1941619532924994,
                  0.2823363928821582,
                  0.33617678832429,
                  0.2605995668471377
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16789661030061198,
                  0.29049828556506563,
                  0.15198354752234272,
                  0.307948357594574,
                  0.1368994739403847,
                  0.37580087995497163,
                  0.21892084128170858,
                  0.21112149979901956,
                  0.21368963666818755,
                  0.09875972030362637,
                  0.24596287948945994,
                  0.18619484656091093,
                  0.1720690828126816,
                  0.2521730596867637,
                  0.3068863952816084,
                  0.23501417340934422,
                  0.10665396876170931,
                  0.2929868237407587,
                  0.25348799103709496,
                  0.33726692108108425,
                  0.26536020363017776,
                  0.11135224867242256,
                  0.12702601519859127,
                  0.2119583233911791
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18333107702712054,
                  0.2798373848599569,
                  0.17451629581322226,
                  0.3025211923145276,
                  0.16971896002361034,
                  0.3385128283404649,
                  0.23830021711622673,
                  0.21635162334437877,
                  0.23509953862830535,
                  0.1305118846593427,
                  0.2657296991052132,
                  0.14989983870726103,
                  0.17107126892480837,
                  0.24862749984921456,
                  0.34932913614067407,
                  0.24266275819856864,
                  0.12425774040528127,
                  0.28505445760457715,
                  0.24772659850480583,
                  0.33494753433961566,
                  0.26195084461668244,
                  0.14794480914106525,
                  0.16386177787356343,
                  0.17599131692226644
                ],
                "crps": [
                  74.55586457516604,
                  94.17102323410347,
                  58.13458865558843,
                  86.08295560074552,
                  90.13221057251681,
                  113.15053866045,
                  57.361763514934836,
                  57.24816460172067,
                  55.82261413792726,
                  69.79615765646624,
                  50.84229628104178,
                  87.57936577552604,
                  52.09469451723981,
                  54.68656730458381,
                  61.02354291147361,
                  60.582757482923945,
                  77.46822010247587,
                  60.05464056906651,
                  83.35594252608436,
                  78.36473006793292,
                  59.02315586742822,
                  66.55598150897632,
                  79.9007205994834,
                  101.8353487657899
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  88.82692214314231,
                  88.24742479961203,
                  55.08475034888021,
                  84.16278360597107,
                  67.8070499527785,
                  92.44999531996338,
                  62.44379244943635,
                  58.29221914343354,
                  58.940156594269254,
                  78.4199068998783,
                  50.48475121311102,
                  55.075563197379914,
                  47.14857564247005,
                  54.1600418129174,
                  81.03189466457867,
                  60.71939517686864,
                  76.19945631775296,
                  54.27423007451832,
                  79.02926764117136,
                  80.99914257141997,
                  59.58462438615225,
                  63.6185896967953,
                  102.64467420156433,
                  58.56684030684482
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  72.3708350923641,
                  91.93596689565388,
                  56.09054085194477,
                  83.75877229420813,
                  88.12981898101224,
                  110.88727723332748,
                  55.17496920121752,
                  55.12719781887441,
                  53.70177876496436,
                  67.54311642183636,
                  48.76389011739703,
                  85.41462545925768,
                  49.93274244213809,
                  52.588464784192844,
                  59.10448473798352,
                  58.3872675678924,
                  75.39682166584385,
                  57.77495987414152,
                  80.8593611478625,
                  76.18959749573607,
                  56.67124107520972,
                  64.54752337737102,
                  77.63350825380756,
                  99.70837759477068
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  85.98545820877793,
                  85.40486333240005,
                  52.179380786117605,
                  81.31248607589235,
                  64.92577565441721,
                  89.61539326661567,
                  59.55236046640964,
                  55.39292433217577,
                  56.042088937274436,
                  75.55873270937136,
                  47.570669530773095,
                  52.17017623470917,
                  44.22817544579379,
                  51.25292090823062,
                  78.17566742059579,
                  57.82469728991662,
                  73.33407672841624,
                  51.36732543547852,
                  76.16924754297749,
                  78.14285329695761,
                  56.687777312096586,
                  60.72938270855525,
                  99.82938025215908,
                  55.66806561142684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4342255180273471,
              "rpss": 0.042200199632117075,
              "brier_below": 0.2143125273592182,
              "bss_below": 0.05499318422299737,
              "brier_above": 0.21991299107017834,
              "bss_above": 0.02939530359093978,
              "crps": 72.07599356206858,
              "crpss": -0.04318615186046859,
              "crps_fair": 69.90388079787532,
              "crpss_fair": -0.055737305161667416,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.399419,
                    0.406134,
                    0.142863,
                    0.051584,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2588,
                    0.3447,
                    0.4452,
                    0.5451,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2371,
                    0.3532,
                    0.5469,
                    0.6074,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.345983,
                    0.44094,
                    0.182656,
                    0.02876,
                    0.001662,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2574,
                    0.3497,
                    0.4383,
                    0.531,
                    0.6024,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2354,
                    0.3932,
                    0.4311,
                    0.4511,
                    0.2421,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4645803926028288,
                  0.44268501140614125,
                  0.44096379487762716,
                  0.4448901780322891,
                  0.4144919076382124,
                  0.4724827512722221,
                  0.42235940730284377,
                  0.4111754964009595,
                  0.44917589839563227
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4546231099504593,
                  0.43753747052601477,
                  0.49174002423345364,
                  0.49152720319112103,
                  0.425759686884452,
                  0.45276062109717374,
                  0.44678141219100675,
                  0.4601609884551471,
                  0.46568341206196623
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15582700402300395,
                  0.20410609111273265,
                  0.1374023307650556,
                  0.12186012267741372,
                  0.19175091112019604,
                  0.2277561720909631,
                  0.22442303265606997,
                  0.1356808794334333,
                  0.22198747043925535
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15629594250614892,
                  0.2030692336614904,
                  0.1489835591475073,
                  0.12955841996645884,
                  0.19874380582689244,
                  0.2228475851534563,
                  0.23511902665323692,
                  0.15822245589198483,
                  0.22961314667049418
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3087533757074696,
                  0.23857891821994495,
                  0.3035614448148877,
                  0.32303003506757955,
                  0.22274099556826024,
                  0.24472658211982282,
                  0.19793637615695933,
                  0.275494607664679,
                  0.22718842946965045
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29832715383568675,
                  0.23446823467476652,
                  0.3427564435327463,
                  0.3619687582360325,
                  0.2270158802003865,
                  0.22991303456849288,
                  0.21166238742601534,
                  0.30193851830877666,
                  0.23607026291524907
                ],
                "crps": [
                  51.01393980819131,
                  38.393095904317946,
                  55.782574065982764,
                  59.99666815991105,
                  32.948895846700516,
                  63.656117517058924,
                  40.69198499429001,
                  45.537193963105,
                  52.71655950407456
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  45.93763629770763,
                  35.2795366741263,
                  62.023965985874646,
                  55.33149935133871,
                  31.79983015498263,
                  42.61526370924846,
                  40.8193611954094,
                  47.8036981418148,
                  46.24683772923825
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  50.233160064793665,
                  37.61668852047516,
                  54.96987689553719,
                  59.1109710504377,
                  32.217037431220454,
                  62.76869237335356,
                  39.88563485415056,
                  44.643692481865244,
                  51.819170170847045
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.05518656224228,
                  33.39708693866097,
                  60.14151625040928,
                  53.449049615873356,
                  29.91738041951728,
                  40.7328139737831,
                  38.936911459944035,
                  45.92124840634945,
                  44.36438799377288
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4403116486587507,
              "rpss": 0.039686455034131485,
              "brier_below": 0.18008822381312484,
              "bss_below": 0.03664836683614736,
              "brier_above": 0.2602234183099171,
              "bss_above": 0.0417777689979596,
              "crps": 48.97078108484801,
              "crpss": -0.08061489639210473,
              "crps_fair": 48.14054709363117,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10833372782575568,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.418392,
                    0.495696,
                    0.085383,
                    0.000529,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2583,
                    0.3466,
                    0.4288,
                    0.5069,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1744,
                    0.2374,
                    0.4302,
                    0.1422,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.235396,
                    0.456169,
                    0.250486,
                    0.057949,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2684,
                    0.3503,
                    0.4456,
                    0.5308,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4239,
                    0.4586,
                    0.548,
                    0.6054,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46568244628865224,
                  0.42769580042824523,
                  0.4612467725389943,
                  0.4535272622329841,
                  0.4160598997019546,
                  0.4337344616090944,
                  0.42739431093817565,
                  0.4408600807957021,
                  0.43973236781311553
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4512821189297184,
                  0.4206501052342102,
                  0.48607676155700724,
                  0.47178924942018213,
                  0.4202321083174025,
                  0.44974331659729855,
                  0.4554292533591238,
                  0.4713683857526428,
                  0.46309958751658076
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.12996665603792582,
                  0.212679838891882,
                  0.14920739581774736,
                  0.1240569074772137,
                  0.1705258751838916,
                  0.1648389943420274,
                  0.2358170579835525,
                  0.1460742059085902,
                  0.18441407313873034
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13306928828126782,
                  0.21585583639272318,
                  0.16162148566504822,
                  0.13114817245105845,
                  0.17045689322354624,
                  0.1706324345160037,
                  0.2513941016020818,
                  0.16393510953105803,
                  0.19563367580327717
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3357157720741895,
                  0.21501596431226566,
                  0.312039358833817,
                  0.3294703364605257,
                  0.24553401908622463,
                  0.26889546142382637,
                  0.1915772535207733,
                  0.29478586230028486,
                  0.25531829060042144
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.31821281348399405,
                  0.20479427195784727,
                  0.3244552576112664,
                  0.3406410557941846,
                  0.24977521016699747,
                  0.2791108719088107,
                  0.204035155009143,
                  0.30743326098466245,
                  0.2674659036231022
                ],
                "crps": [
                  75.66446963042372,
                  55.384706074974886,
                  82.34559352899306,
                  85.67634136738988,
                  48.77015181129105,
                  80.14485202294536,
                  61.6217014457133,
                  67.92750271323786,
                  75.30322254358366
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  68.43806065594151,
                  50.651721281077606,
                  84.86185486393984,
                  69.92810965360432,
                  47.572672349858124,
                  63.17874189655338,
                  62.58001975556023,
                  70.12878956370798,
                  68.41795298111988
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  74.60190511256958,
                  54.31909878042515,
                  81.26967643916154,
                  84.50329232413904,
                  47.76247740662142,
                  78.95942733069558,
                  60.51404059126474,
                  66.7096366931966,
                  74.10148524304937
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  65.67917197627564,
                  47.89283260141173,
                  82.10296618427398,
                  67.16922097393847,
                  44.813783670192265,
                  60.41985321688753,
                  59.821131075894364,
                  67.36990088404211,
                  65.65906430145401
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44065926692743534,
              "rpss": 0.030256098293907407,
              "brier_below": 0.16862011164239565,
              "bss_below": 0.04779051681703683,
              "brier_above": 0.27203914651248096,
              "bss_above": 0.01905966917635349,
              "crps": 70.31539345983919,
              "crpss": -0.08037555496638182,
              "crps_fair": 69.19344888012478,
              "crpss_fair": -0.1101979635788235,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.455087,
                    0.465692,
                    0.079086,
                    0.000135,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2575,
                    0.3432,
                    0.4307,
                    0.511,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1612,
                    0.1956,
                    0.4211,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.361625,
                    0.401048,
                    0.185781,
                    0.051547,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2672,
                    0.3446,
                    0.4456,
                    0.5345,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.46,
                    0.4809,
                    0.593,
                    0.5678,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "eqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6225686529096406,
            "training": [
              0.6450688889736388,
              0.6150424878101385,
              0.6160101942774896,
              0.6197347287983183,
              0.6104408926853266,
              0.6224104774217503,
              0.6426067755623416,
              0.6492415655606331,
              0.635223347087227,
              0.6362176223008889,
              0.6341465159115387,
              0.5727890855146988,
              0.6093310144621668,
              0.6268342265831022,
              0.6780240915985871,
              0.6138781687442421,
              0.6248145810869964,
              0.6181615251911553,
              0.6204939202478913,
              0.6131923318606121,
              0.6212732728659061,
              0.602412250387569,
              0.6523257805733398,
              0.561973924325816
            ],
            "test": 0.638961741436887
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4174909923784588,
                  0.46186488700372036,
                  0.4322312986568688,
                  0.4629916735539105,
                  0.42180703211312,
                  0.4747575103852953,
                  0.4336832876956372,
                  0.4162987173733482,
                  0.4030990259458865,
                  0.47335156162441955,
                  0.37730423004247,
                  0.5121259242016151,
                  0.4354883352399356,
                  0.4200543048415723,
                  0.4321257835615475,
                  0.4364750998436473,
                  0.4607243940129494,
                  0.41978974492382215,
                  0.4673114121422108,
                  0.4837568983339012,
                  0.442401689136298,
                  0.42821662222240675,
                  0.40992723509354734,
                  0.5495340144868592
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4625021445862044,
                  0.46159488869678755,
                  0.4404943884335238,
                  0.46286694870416484,
                  0.46982744395686576,
                  0.4638745867904695,
                  0.4580567296219436,
                  0.44805822830116804,
                  0.4278195644333872,
                  0.48511783635941824,
                  0.40716586188404125,
                  0.4476694678025769,
                  0.4237393979375955,
                  0.4284018224249593,
                  0.5042399145627019,
                  0.4349655508301632,
                  0.4679909581860775,
                  0.4188368664000415,
                  0.462507410301521,
                  0.476874938942896,
                  0.4481833614592989,
                  0.43736310157224134,
                  0.4722166255537948,
                  0.47162506981963837
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2692927037081932,
                  0.18449349185842653,
                  0.2602870521420512,
                  0.19266153892118162,
                  0.22445351081578277,
                  0.16185099258172347,
                  0.2518085503337085,
                  0.24262173140888252,
                  0.16196197793432848,
                  0.29028058004348856,
                  0.14555433357068454,
                  0.3280370483820384,
                  0.239155793167146,
                  0.13822001155065416,
                  0.09934674500857697,
                  0.21579390168097684,
                  0.33152589157677903,
                  0.15580988969348658,
                  0.2016860287993053,
                  0.15321594617501125,
                  0.19841527486222232,
                  0.24614302389909143,
                  0.25910493315659394,
                  0.3519726639741515
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.299632410717911,
                  0.18587870939096326,
                  0.25998119606521325,
                  0.19649455373223845,
                  0.2550109542404642,
                  0.162611082203679,
                  0.2598521950723673,
                  0.2612903611498991,
                  0.17697290245365346,
                  0.29444690935857754,
                  0.1706907313694619,
                  0.28903643213970553,
                  0.23599804043522338,
                  0.14777022402744325,
                  0.13361595890202554,
                  0.21740548647461078,
                  0.33176824151275985,
                  0.15679241531485055,
                  0.1994166508248519,
                  0.15032826915290334,
                  0.20493564010625412,
                  0.24145406689362325,
                  0.29815694964329725,
                  0.31360797929136064
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14819828761394627,
                  0.27737139662468613,
                  0.17194424515237636,
                  0.2703301367101618,
                  0.19735352237868464,
                  0.31290651970713623,
                  0.1818747351792751,
                  0.17367698600617754,
                  0.24113704784457426,
                  0.18307097962402022,
                  0.23174989655815997,
                  0.18408887469169466,
                  0.19633254026874225,
                  0.2818342964058448,
                  0.3327790393907578,
                  0.22068119710091677,
                  0.12919850030999597,
                  0.26397985613338676,
                  0.26562538572257377,
                  0.3305409583410515,
                  0.2439864153803904,
                  0.18207359820696672,
                  0.15082230215305747,
                  0.1975613508489187
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16286973386829323,
                  0.27571617930582415,
                  0.18051319236831054,
                  0.26637239497192633,
                  0.21481648971640155,
                  0.30126350458679035,
                  0.1982045345495762,
                  0.18676786715126875,
                  0.25084666197973376,
                  0.19067092700084065,
                  0.2364751305145793,
                  0.15863303566287124,
                  0.18774135750237225,
                  0.28063159839751606,
                  0.3706239556606764,
                  0.2175600643555525,
                  0.13622271667331767,
                  0.2620444510851909,
                  0.2630907594766691,
                  0.3265466697899926,
                  0.2432477213530449,
                  0.1959090346786181,
                  0.17405967591049748,
                  0.15801709052827764
                ],
                "crps": [
                  51.47415362761131,
                  61.482916417488156,
                  36.697203201446165,
                  58.99780936629358,
                  59.75728642490233,
                  74.28226991929706,
                  37.160630703714716,
                  37.71210687738265,
                  36.5188190142567,
                  45.17157365449099,
                  36.561167594977796,
                  58.156614887489575,
                  37.06893943401014,
                  37.250756076322645,
                  56.40040767848715,
                  43.10213322877693,
                  51.77319310096432,
                  40.47182243606426,
                  56.62391260133648,
                  60.69038491372819,
                  40.11025319528969,
                  41.50965834964044,
                  46.63475631751844,
                  71.41766068505315
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  60.13619481850307,
                  56.256236518496635,
                  35.98277275521919,
                  56.56227686927625,
                  46.86073126600934,
                  59.72416662525286,
                  41.133014320729046,
                  39.14356234934023,
                  39.10553254848888,
                  53.063930882893146,
                  34.46797498455737,
                  37.824649592263526,
                  33.52609140008997,
                  37.21484071380031,
                  72.32397309757803,
                  40.07491922982013,
                  50.38128205074656,
                  36.35723268043317,
                  55.00451341032724,
                  60.2934577118017,
                  40.331277112560805,
                  42.36213744937737,
                  63.49609074853596,
                  39.807277519245005
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  50.09358394355881,
                  59.8710936182985,
                  35.29832553844229,
                  57.42207374828848,
                  58.68283457169521,
                  72.70768861405963,
                  35.66050524825229,
                  36.22929647434215,
                  35.03419434248005,
                  43.702476010511994,
                  35.03026568527738,
                  56.650811165010005,
                  35.5067968410419,
                  35.74668562751251,
                  55.03444212697121,
                  41.57452022348603,
                  50.2931678663569,
                  38.82654252961434,
                  54.92017454959497,
                  59.130621082416305,
                  38.43869962519668,
                  40.18105504757907,
                  45.20579629935298,
                  69.91455464477895
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  58.196507597272905,
                  54.30920089139523,
                  33.997340416444885,
                  54.61582086405132,
                  44.8959011213843,
                  57.78369904759606,
                  39.15733622734399,
                  37.164116354494205,
                  37.126014527504864,
                  51.11084922239097,
                  32.47967371061138,
                  35.8427056565897,
                  31.53600625571887,
                  35.231741837068796,
                  70.40736878975522,
                  38.09723716845984,
                  48.4231196159411,
                  34.37250954606271,
                  53.05510709552097,
                  58.35406833696034,
                  38.354080577493605,
                  40.38878724070568,
                  61.56276696656722,
                  37.82908856070565
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4447004864505603,
              "rpss": 0.019222713218103316,
              "brier_below": 0.22098723396852024,
              "bss_below": 0.02562023593579299,
              "brier_above": 0.22371325284806232,
              "bss_above": 0.012820126695467171,
              "crps": 49.04276790443928,
              "crpss": -0.040296020399360755,
              "crps_fair": 47.548175226004936,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05244455159938366,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.275432,
                    0.536588,
                    0.155693,
                    0.032287,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.269,
                    0.3455,
                    0.4379,
                    0.5443,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2741,
                    0.3327,
                    0.4748,
                    0.6103,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.255473,
                    0.5651,
                    0.161254,
                    0.017326,
                    0.000846,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2678,
                    0.3502,
                    0.4312,
                    0.5346,
                    0.6004,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2482,
                    0.377,
                    0.4146,
                    0.208,
                    0.2327,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42512193806422466,
                  0.48781592350393244,
                  0.42015514027045603,
                  0.45696295915729057,
                  0.3830904111436873,
                  0.5182944596877217,
                  0.39985876836285,
                  0.41807621116821025,
                  0.3902507707018243,
                  0.45297650354818575,
                  0.3512833858234862,
                  0.5552582593589176,
                  0.4077313870345065,
                  0.40104999736434505,
                  0.40912733062776374,
                  0.4301954573562657,
                  0.47516699018016884,
                  0.4484523467569198,
                  0.4715281817842894,
                  0.47115195404537713,
                  0.4551153478071453,
                  0.39031657213970755,
                  0.40352082951397394,
                  0.5061929175473422
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4783928822759757,
                  0.47851945526200396,
                  0.4363405983984559,
                  0.45554856797843624,
                  0.4692768139798448,
                  0.47784783076934295,
                  0.4363277180670701,
                  0.42911353953029135,
                  0.42219420001192276,
                  0.5068481579907806,
                  0.40171471251488117,
                  0.45512779916810575,
                  0.404350582502918,
                  0.40865537485623,
                  0.48639718804316545,
                  0.44315229259879996,
                  0.4958720926659176,
                  0.43277603457023534,
                  0.46502636956376436,
                  0.4740692033828123,
                  0.456112797909182,
                  0.4302812020232237,
                  0.5000385661978536,
                  0.4365908837694042
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2570951931771742,
                  0.20134078202711747,
                  0.2621428683494514,
                  0.14917079027072058,
                  0.2450878460796338,
                  0.15018909301976757,
                  0.18067571180177036,
                  0.20210777055766255,
                  0.1695552975999949,
                  0.3493051169991631,
                  0.09663116928450344,
                  0.3617435700571785,
                  0.23140585045475082,
                  0.14783000480901032,
                  0.09981521670299658,
                  0.19181096611904247,
                  0.3671527024392056,
                  0.15676935930618774,
                  0.2214635016821543,
                  0.13421944345651335,
                  0.188794219771476,
                  0.27404545916423634,
                  0.2728550570271944,
                  0.29026762737539313
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.295061805248855,
                  0.19868207040204694,
                  0.26182430258523354,
                  0.1530273756639085,
                  0.29955785395623435,
                  0.13933500242887786,
                  0.19802750095084334,
                  0.21276191618591256,
                  0.1870946613836174,
                  0.3763362733314377,
                  0.1359850134096679,
                  0.3052279604608446,
                  0.2332793135781096,
                  0.16002787500701532,
                  0.13706805190249127,
                  0.20048953440023126,
                  0.37161435226063616,
                  0.14772157696565813,
                  0.21729977105895837,
                  0.13912166904319637,
                  0.1941619532924994,
                  0.2823363928821582,
                  0.33617678832429,
                  0.2605995668471377
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16802674474324106,
                  0.28647514299160226,
                  0.15801227102586438,
                  0.30779217270111847,
                  0.13800256561533675,
                  0.3681053697325716,
                  0.21918305497264454,
                  0.21596844056106582,
                  0.22069547176528284,
                  0.10367138385281519,
                  0.2546522172402746,
                  0.19351468918237294,
                  0.17632553395449904,
                  0.2532199942968434,
                  0.3093121134503121,
                  0.23838449117110616,
                  0.1080142859669195,
                  0.2916829895664375,
                  0.2500646818040544,
                  0.3369325170174124,
                  0.2663211299306002,
                  0.11627111271515703,
                  0.1306657730261055,
                  0.21592529120417725
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18333107702712054,
                  0.2798373848599569,
                  0.17451629581322226,
                  0.3025211923145276,
                  0.16971896002361034,
                  0.3385128283404649,
                  0.23830021711622673,
                  0.21635162334437877,
                  0.23509953862830535,
                  0.1305118846593427,
                  0.2657296991052132,
                  0.14989983870726103,
                  0.17107126892480837,
                  0.24862749984921456,
                  0.34932913614067407,
                  0.24266275819856864,
                  0.12425774040528127,
                  0.28505445760457715,
                  0.24772659850480583,
                  0.33494753433961566,
                  0.26195084461668244,
                  0.14794480914106525,
                  0.16386177787356343,
                  0.17599131692226644
                ],
                "crps": [
                  78.34004536980368,
                  95.61808816207294,
                  56.09703064843651,
                  86.72807429218001,
                  84.74709327908162,
                  116.5636529668524,
                  55.71815115849202,
                  57.00828449531938,
                  54.48303677482798,
                  64.69039610594483,
                  53.80668350962375,
                  89.32562033820925,
                  51.527102682744406,
                  53.53713541652357,
                  59.100740374895985,
                  63.58210021458699,
                  74.95193643038535,
                  61.31740175213721,
                  82.62970427592747,
                  80.88631844197869,
                  59.32780164001236,
                  59.29880923295689,
                  74.22669839517266,
                  95.12189039119585
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  88.82692214314231,
                  88.24742479961203,
                  55.08475034888021,
                  84.16278360597107,
                  67.8070499527785,
                  92.44999531996338,
                  62.44379244943635,
                  58.29221914343354,
                  58.940156594269254,
                  78.4199068998783,
                  50.48475121311102,
                  55.075563197379914,
                  47.14857564247005,
                  54.1600418129174,
                  81.03189466457867,
                  60.71939517686864,
                  76.19945631775296,
                  54.27423007451832,
                  79.02926764117136,
                  80.99914257141997,
                  59.58462438615225,
                  63.6185896967953,
                  102.64467420156433,
                  58.56684030684482
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  76.30914757912379,
                  93.33699962143001,
                  54.0343032451401,
                  84.36010572537987,
                  83.13695123683169,
                  114.33135078944066,
                  53.49532248151845,
                  54.805175221916166,
                  52.3391129833189,
                  62.49020187714898,
                  51.629709839903825,
                  87.16524974107445,
                  49.2552064822019,
                  51.36401694999906,
                  57.08869187117571,
                  61.34825760098345,
                  72.83990755273754,
                  58.936793887507534,
                  80.19298574297383,
                  78.60248773094898,
                  56.92999303564361,
                  57.371083654058076,
                  72.16031240501897,
                  92.92380892888639
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  85.98545820877793,
                  85.40486333240005,
                  52.179380786117605,
                  81.31248607589235,
                  64.92577565441721,
                  89.61539326661567,
                  59.55236046640964,
                  55.39292433217577,
                  56.042088937274436,
                  75.55873270937136,
                  47.570669530773095,
                  52.17017623470917,
                  44.22817544579379,
                  51.25292090823062,
                  78.17566742059579,
                  57.82469728991662,
                  73.33407672841624,
                  51.36732543547852,
                  76.16924754297749,
                  78.14285329695761,
                  56.687777312096586,
                  60.72938270855525,
                  99.82938025215908,
                  55.66806561142684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.438695585122858,
              "rpss": 0.032340278476028494,
              "brier_below": 0.2167281090638458,
              "bss_below": 0.04434172486563981,
              "brier_above": 0.22196747660365893,
              "bss_above": 0.020327656892139778,
              "crps": 71.19307484789007,
              "crpss": -0.030407298176595488,
              "crps_fair": 69.01863234101508,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04236766374009182,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.330046,
                    0.451128,
                    0.171689,
                    0.047137,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2674,
                    0.3449,
                    0.4415,
                    0.5419,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2566,
                    0.3226,
                    0.5112,
                    0.6287,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.285685,
                    0.497068,
                    0.193098,
                    0.023091,
                    0.001057,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2625,
                    0.3506,
                    0.4331,
                    0.5311,
                    0.6004,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.222,
                    0.3983,
                    0.4088,
                    0.2703,
                    0.3329,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4690859388775902,
                  0.45300197608906234,
                  0.4516722531983679,
                  0.4548037155716458,
                  0.41607707099098723,
                  0.47132340489064406,
                  0.42353913249084174,
                  0.41853608228016553,
                  0.4448447753253147
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4546231099504593,
                  0.43753747052601477,
                  0.49174002423345364,
                  0.49152720319112103,
                  0.425759686884452,
                  0.45276062109717374,
                  0.44678141219100675,
                  0.4601609884551471,
                  0.46568341206196623
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15883974688111585,
                  0.20888143099560702,
                  0.1405027586818547,
                  0.12615438462525388,
                  0.19215364874506943,
                  0.23271088073418664,
                  0.2265361884845984,
                  0.1389467011096181,
                  0.224611802834386
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15629594250614892,
                  0.2030692336614904,
                  0.1489835591475073,
                  0.12955841996645884,
                  0.19874380582689244,
                  0.2228475851534563,
                  0.23511902665323692,
                  0.15822245589198483,
                  0.22961314667049418
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.31024617888831024,
                  0.24412054274288725,
                  0.3111694742608363,
                  0.3286493094919342,
                  0.22392342067208965,
                  0.2386125270245801,
                  0.19700294480203093,
                  0.27958937019869745,
                  0.22023297373276735
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29832715383568675,
                  0.23446823467476652,
                  0.3427564435327463,
                  0.3619687582360325,
                  0.2270158802003865,
                  0.22991303456849288,
                  0.21166238742601534,
                  0.30193851830877666,
                  0.23607026291524907
                ],
                "crps": [
                  49.91904815245482,
                  37.46088908001982,
                  56.121511226490426,
                  55.393580720703,
                  32.05028136874121,
                  58.508498683793434,
                  39.146180307000755,
                  43.699662521894346,
                  48.47117740731641
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  45.93763629770763,
                  35.2795366741263,
                  62.023965985874646,
                  55.33149935133871,
                  31.79983015498263,
                  42.61526370924846,
                  40.8193611954094,
                  47.8036981418148,
                  46.24683772923825
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  49.16753017275556,
                  36.69825903029173,
                  55.34518115934711,
                  54.60111586939417,
                  31.32816824275573,
                  57.704975274450945,
                  38.393314843279896,
                  42.85854781436048,
                  47.64137655834142
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.05518656224228,
                  33.39708693866097,
                  60.14151625040928,
                  53.449049615873356,
                  29.91738041951728,
                  40.7328139737831,
                  38.936911459944035,
                  45.92124840634945,
                  44.36438799377288
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44476492774606885,
              "rpss": 0.02997391565414509,
              "brier_below": 0.18325972701018778,
              "bss_below": 0.0196829444460338,
              "brier_above": 0.26150519353490376,
              "bss_above": 0.03705788051249248,
              "crps": 46.752314385379364,
              "crpss": -0.03166104861822494,
              "crps_fair": 45.97094099610857,
              "crpss_fair": -0.058383161013463525,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.367732,
                    0.561137,
                    0.07113,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2608,
                    0.3452,
                    0.4272,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2085,
                    0.2193,
                    0.3901,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.22721,
                    0.51665,
                    0.219273,
                    0.036867,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2786,
                    0.3442,
                    0.4407,
                    0.5256,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3997,
                    0.4741,
                    0.5595,
                    0.6227,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4673762648743919,
                  0.4331564818245352,
                  0.46478949298000793,
                  0.4601941948939689,
                  0.41814323085739047,
                  0.4373537472769004,
                  0.4270611189471603,
                  0.4447299744797184,
                  0.4403665385773775
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4512821189297184,
                  0.4206501052342102,
                  0.48607676155700724,
                  0.47178924942018213,
                  0.4202321083174025,
                  0.44974331659729855,
                  0.4554292533591238,
                  0.4713683857526428,
                  0.46309958751658076
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13665770624567844,
                  0.21878097521929593,
                  0.15469142217395943,
                  0.134015749809623,
                  0.16917365368618198,
                  0.16845069394188986,
                  0.2376954250866125,
                  0.15225299452897662,
                  0.1890080259312967
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13306928828126782,
                  0.21585583639272318,
                  0.16162148566504822,
                  0.13114817245105845,
                  0.17045689322354624,
                  0.1706324345160037,
                  0.2513941016020818,
                  0.16393510953105803,
                  0.19563367580327717
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.33071854196778955,
                  0.21437550942224773,
                  0.31009805272369834,
                  0.326178426563578,
                  0.24896957190867505,
                  0.26890304823844186,
                  0.18936569416635565,
                  0.2924769670481759,
                  0.2513585093889071
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.31821281348399405,
                  0.20479427195784727,
                  0.3244552576112664,
                  0.3406410557941846,
                  0.24977521016699747,
                  0.2791108719088107,
                  0.204035155009143,
                  0.30743326098466245,
                  0.2674659036231022
                ],
                "crps": [
                  73.994796933712,
                  53.95778224288983,
                  82.77975837728565,
                  79.76109806715746,
                  48.101571859819565,
                  74.84968192996338,
                  59.87121823871093,
                  65.47580963634232,
                  69.92066147710513
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  68.43806065594151,
                  50.651721281077606,
                  84.86185486393984,
                  69.92810965360432,
                  47.572672349858124,
                  63.17874189655338,
                  62.58001975556023,
                  70.12878956370798,
                  68.41795298111988
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  72.91097890501216,
                  52.84686976376773,
                  81.6904938875539,
                  78.6280922857199,
                  47.03978073819342,
                  73.70228851744045,
                  58.77921605565878,
                  64.27120348264624,
                  68.73669845033257
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  65.67917197627564,
                  47.89283260141173,
                  82.10296618427398,
                  67.16922097393847,
                  44.813783670192265,
                  60.41985321688753,
                  59.821131075894364,
                  67.36990088404211,
                  65.65906430145401
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44368567163460565,
              "rpss": 0.023595992109515573,
              "brier_below": 0.17341407184705715,
              "bss_below": 0.02071869054188047,
              "brier_above": 0.2702715912697633,
              "bss_above": 0.02543326006122626,
              "crps": 67.63470875144291,
              "crpss": -0.039187614644642155,
              "crps_fair": 66.51173578736946,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06717030037276528,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.357132,
                    0.550649,
                    0.092219,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2607,
                    0.3451,
                    0.4286,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1879,
                    0.1756,
                    0.3699,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.287234,
                    0.493071,
                    0.179012,
                    0.040683,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2772,
                    0.3429,
                    0.4417,
                    0.525,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4444,
                    0.4985,
                    0.5621,
                    0.6043,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "gqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.5831805323342656,
            "training": [
              0.6033444777201247,
              0.5804713955545496,
              0.5793416082449354,
              0.5794755331038516,
              0.5646448245208423,
              0.5766004362607318,
              0.6032482067611299,
              0.6087819631846801,
              0.5947924613886473,
              0.5956139492163961,
              0.5932412513116343,
              0.5423783925431942,
              0.5716854239355533,
              0.5870785872233166,
              0.6192613807924592,
              0.5743276105564805,
              0.5862375268269003,
              0.5838854645823801,
              0.5852161878157409,
              0.5736912533304388,
              0.5862969084486271,
              0.5641940119439338,
              0.6073544136347665,
              0.53516950712106
            ],
            "test": 0.6049794810362331
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4193977856116993,
                  0.45421499234416723,
                  0.4315342544122402,
                  0.46347029558785025,
                  0.4146866530581743,
                  0.48005795499810083,
                  0.4429557120096264,
                  0.42050857101022865,
                  0.3899213724862075,
                  0.46877126303233096,
                  0.3746049179736462,
                  0.5153074322934597,
                  0.43498344951269075,
                  0.40235881683145547,
                  0.4005237699527267,
                  0.43607040460141744,
                  0.47345815014695325,
                  0.4087114886653114,
                  0.46023140135420104,
                  0.46490906747387284,
                  0.43906466086829044,
                  0.41827666153721765,
                  0.4088752562987094,
                  0.5708184542088536
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4625021445862044,
                  0.46159488869678755,
                  0.4404943884335238,
                  0.46286694870416484,
                  0.46982744395686576,
                  0.4638745867904695,
                  0.4580567296219436,
                  0.44805822830116804,
                  0.4278195644333872,
                  0.48511783635941824,
                  0.40716586188404125,
                  0.4476694678025769,
                  0.4237393979375955,
                  0.4284018224249593,
                  0.5042399145627019,
                  0.4349655508301632,
                  0.4679909581860775,
                  0.4188368664000415,
                  0.462507410301521,
                  0.476874938942896,
                  0.4481833614592989,
                  0.43736310157224134,
                  0.4722166255537948,
                  0.47162506981963837
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2671926668586515,
                  0.18055847726208088,
                  0.2583240670826067,
                  0.1910208482191575,
                  0.22137717844424118,
                  0.1617933586128083,
                  0.2555435884216239,
                  0.24445869580045865,
                  0.1569850115411237,
                  0.28990933499720895,
                  0.1415436987266394,
                  0.3290343480499512,
                  0.23796342390967834,
                  0.13295642906905172,
                  0.08972356508646291,
                  0.21526310742158794,
                  0.33487582379286307,
                  0.14737714582290348,
                  0.19673415879578335,
                  0.14639463950658102,
                  0.19753113457577393,
                  0.2393973674275388,
                  0.2568076066102525,
                  0.361544135807488
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.299632410717911,
                  0.18587870939096326,
                  0.25998119606521325,
                  0.19649455373223845,
                  0.2550109542404642,
                  0.162611082203679,
                  0.2598521950723673,
                  0.2612903611498991,
                  0.17697290245365346,
                  0.29444690935857754,
                  0.1706907313694619,
                  0.28903643213970553,
                  0.23599804043522338,
                  0.14777022402744325,
                  0.13361595890202554,
                  0.21740548647461078,
                  0.33176824151275985,
                  0.15679241531485055,
                  0.1994166508248519,
                  0.15032826915290334,
                  0.20493564010625412,
                  0.24145406689362325,
                  0.29815694964329725,
                  0.31360797929136064
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15220511779672405,
                  0.2736565158888852,
                  0.17321018651176773,
                  0.2724494485348625,
                  0.19330947530003764,
                  0.3182645981787669,
                  0.18741212173985494,
                  0.1760498749131566,
                  0.2329363608098706,
                  0.17886192677727847,
                  0.233061219069748,
                  0.18627308346594282,
                  0.19702002470672458,
                  0.2694023891866363,
                  0.31080020459528174,
                  0.2208072966944649,
                  0.1385823252369173,
                  0.26133434418035195,
                  0.26349724433791905,
                  0.31851443208062585,
                  0.2415335269218271,
                  0.1788792939302624,
                  0.15206765014023152,
                  0.20927431926631057
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16286973386829323,
                  0.27571617930582415,
                  0.18051319236831054,
                  0.26637239497192633,
                  0.21481648971640155,
                  0.30126350458679035,
                  0.1982045345495762,
                  0.18676786715126875,
                  0.25084666197973376,
                  0.19067092700084065,
                  0.2364751305145793,
                  0.15863303566287124,
                  0.18774135750237225,
                  0.28063159839751606,
                  0.3706239556606764,
                  0.2175600643555525,
                  0.13622271667331767,
                  0.2620444510851909,
                  0.2630907594766691,
                  0.3265466697899926,
                  0.2432477213530449,
                  0.1959090346786181,
                  0.17405967591049748,
                  0.15801709052827764
                ],
                "crps": [
                  50.797977084070546,
                  60.53343516298056,
                  35.91292352577275,
                  58.031104090715615,
                  61.56941378669077,
                  73.30078622891183,
                  37.2900256443099,
                  38.34148369553535,
                  34.76785169336497,
                  45.41646005518949,
                  34.35359837760375,
                  58.060138498205326,
                  36.845395883281704,
                  35.690825923472254,
                  56.72557018153456,
                  41.84371530758647,
                  53.14321362135743,
                  38.43233820748574,
                  55.535917932045905,
                  59.88298656345248,
                  39.04944128958393,
                  39.50491266374721,
                  45.29094174167283,
                  69.7696446915121
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  60.13619481850307,
                  56.256236518496635,
                  35.98277275521919,
                  56.56227686927625,
                  46.86073126600934,
                  59.72416662525286,
                  41.133014320729046,
                  39.14356234934023,
                  39.10553254848888,
                  53.063930882893146,
                  34.46797498455737,
                  37.824649592263526,
                  33.52609140008997,
                  37.21484071380031,
                  72.32397309757803,
                  40.07491922982013,
                  50.38128205074656,
                  36.35723268043317,
                  55.00451341032724,
                  60.2934577118017,
                  40.331277112560805,
                  42.36213744937737,
                  63.49609074853596,
                  39.807277519245005
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  49.3181023526933,
                  59.01428346574658,
                  34.50357655663053,
                  56.451153427549265,
                  60.10793445761934,
                  71.78640214148913,
                  35.823437177056,
                  36.910134823110354,
                  33.31801297407556,
                  43.89570683507202,
                  32.89379164248718,
                  56.58172910087863,
                  35.34946173263062,
                  34.20276666151,
                  55.43626768160438,
                  40.34469638879759,
                  51.69431460711308,
                  36.82382347549819,
                  53.84534694794743,
                  58.372413773839426,
                  37.4075018284554,
                  38.10258299483381,
                  43.72658517995121,
                  68.30674243606184
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  58.196507597272905,
                  54.30920089139523,
                  33.997340416444885,
                  54.61582086405132,
                  44.8959011213843,
                  57.78369904759606,
                  39.15733622734399,
                  37.164116354494205,
                  37.126014527504864,
                  51.11084922239097,
                  32.47967371061138,
                  35.8427056565897,
                  31.53600625571887,
                  35.231741837068796,
                  70.40736878975522,
                  38.09723716845984,
                  48.4231196159411,
                  34.37250954606271,
                  53.05510709552097,
                  58.35406833696034,
                  38.354080577493605,
                  40.38878724070568,
                  61.56276696656722,
                  37.82908856070565
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.441404699427893,
              "rpss": 0.026491500081150754,
              "brier_below": 0.21892957549343825,
              "bss_below": 0.03469289024016198,
              "brier_above": 0.22247512417768536,
              "bss_above": 0.018283619306642684,
              "crps": 48.33708757708681,
              "crpss": -0.02532711738700777,
              "crps_fair": 46.84236536094378,
              "crpss_fair": -0.036821959493210876,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.004807,
                    0.347491,
                    0.470768,
                    0.133971,
                    0.039915,
                    0.003047,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1955,
                    0.2611,
                    0.3423,
                    0.4374,
                    0.5453,
                    0.6153,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.7484,
                    0.2523,
                    0.3554,
                    0.4724,
                    0.5874,
                    0.7782,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.232705,
                    0.482576,
                    0.249458,
                    0.03402,
                    0.001241,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2571,
                    0.3517,
                    0.4383,
                    0.5342,
                    0.6159,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2285,
                    0.3629,
                    0.4243,
                    0.3733,
                    0.1813,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42050036534565116,
                  0.484355045509676,
                  0.4123299220792607,
                  0.45243006688145854,
                  0.37725234926109213,
                  0.5224333014459388,
                  0.3940150829965076,
                  0.4175348561157004,
                  0.37863045896481534,
                  0.45309275090308904,
                  0.34121698867051625,
                  0.560514421671447,
                  0.4062077687307827,
                  0.39219922484838626,
                  0.3884283725082952,
                  0.4234211245708433,
                  0.4810944000875618,
                  0.43306977737837277,
                  0.47051270179591476,
                  0.4620888480010735,
                  0.44768862909477014,
                  0.38073759545834857,
                  0.3971933150250681,
                  0.5067189570137595
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4783928822759757,
                  0.47851945526200396,
                  0.4363405983984559,
                  0.45554856797843624,
                  0.4692768139798448,
                  0.47784783076934295,
                  0.4363277180670701,
                  0.42911353953029135,
                  0.42219420001192276,
                  0.5068481579907806,
                  0.40171471251488117,
                  0.45512779916810575,
                  0.404350582502918,
                  0.40865537485623,
                  0.48639718804316545,
                  0.44315229259879996,
                  0.4958720926659176,
                  0.43277603457023534,
                  0.46502636956376436,
                  0.4740692033828123,
                  0.456112797909182,
                  0.4302812020232237,
                  0.5000385661978536,
                  0.4365908837694042
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2541229911290399,
                  0.1986424027654889,
                  0.25682147580339104,
                  0.14461801011058054,
                  0.24070249794659335,
                  0.1496791802911079,
                  0.17807683489040416,
                  0.2026162032637967,
                  0.16617984115366086,
                  0.3514089772761387,
                  0.09003023058997514,
                  0.3652086989184088,
                  0.22988544618207812,
                  0.14307851519989231,
                  0.09137153148681232,
                  0.18834432326181738,
                  0.3717784273791675,
                  0.14531677806802074,
                  0.21921781679726676,
                  0.12764946948729144,
                  0.18612658867712645,
                  0.26770754199592084,
                  0.27006332009269157,
                  0.29068816476858644
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.295061805248855,
                  0.19868207040204694,
                  0.26182430258523354,
                  0.1530273756639085,
                  0.29955785395623435,
                  0.13933500242887786,
                  0.19802750095084334,
                  0.21276191618591256,
                  0.1870946613836174,
                  0.3763362733314377,
                  0.1359850134096679,
                  0.3052279604608446,
                  0.2332793135781096,
                  0.16002787500701532,
                  0.13706805190249127,
                  0.20048953440023126,
                  0.37161435226063616,
                  0.14772157696565813,
                  0.21729977105895837,
                  0.13912166904319637,
                  0.1941619532924994,
                  0.2823363928821582,
                  0.33617678832429,
                  0.2605995668471377
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1663773737495035,
                  0.28571264390625944,
                  0.1555084459356643,
                  0.3078120591502793,
                  0.1365498521999735,
                  0.372754123641551,
                  0.21593824691610808,
                  0.21491865292374748,
                  0.2124506172100325,
                  0.10168377152330828,
                  0.25118675856637496,
                  0.19530572326353715,
                  0.17632232056448136,
                  0.24912071086722176,
                  0.29705684066871874,
                  0.23507680085902458,
                  0.10931597115740327,
                  0.2877530014507831,
                  0.25129488641395736,
                  0.33443938358916236,
                  0.2615620418370662,
                  0.11303005287462486,
                  0.12712999500647928,
                  0.2160307932167094
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18333107702712054,
                  0.2798373848599569,
                  0.17451629581322226,
                  0.3025211923145276,
                  0.16971896002361034,
                  0.3385128283404649,
                  0.23830021711622673,
                  0.21635162334437877,
                  0.23509953862830535,
                  0.1305118846593427,
                  0.2657296991052132,
                  0.14989983870726103,
                  0.17107126892480837,
                  0.24862749984921456,
                  0.34932913614067407,
                  0.24266275819856864,
                  0.12425774040528127,
                  0.28505445760457715,
                  0.24772659850480583,
                  0.33494753433961566,
                  0.26195084461668244,
                  0.14794480914106525,
                  0.16386177787356343,
                  0.17599131692226644
                ],
                "crps": [
                  76.77465355273138,
                  94.41155776914796,
                  54.61194585177332,
                  85.7025460286557,
                  87.04491994606636,
                  115.0979561445526,
                  55.34231544849318,
                  57.49309639789631,
                  52.03521316821976,
                  65.25770450320904,
                  49.92125679915038,
                  88.88119206632565,
                  50.650306960253324,
                  51.53907800602652,
                  59.465387359826764,
                  61.61648742179543,
                  76.63536214718125,
                  58.209245942120745,
                  81.7292853618366,
                  80.10304907007755,
                  57.624275054611836,
                  56.47896798677612,
                  71.82227311060359,
                  92.9762922141218
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  88.82692214314231,
                  88.24742479961203,
                  55.08475034888021,
                  84.16278360597107,
                  67.8070499527785,
                  92.44999531996338,
                  62.44379244943635,
                  58.29221914343354,
                  58.940156594269254,
                  78.4199068998783,
                  50.48475121311102,
                  55.075563197379914,
                  47.14857564247005,
                  54.1600418129174,
                  81.03189466457867,
                  60.71939517686864,
                  76.19945631775296,
                  54.27423007451832,
                  79.02926764117136,
                  80.99914257141997,
                  59.58462438615225,
                  63.6185896967953,
                  102.64467420156433,
                  58.56684030684482
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  74.59476907670917,
                  92.2393086882137,
                  52.53038433491297,
                  83.3306582730568,
                  84.8238266138235,
                  112.91770655747918,
                  53.191410543315044,
                  55.388337712170284,
                  49.95848617556702,
                  63.00262779682833,
                  47.84297938647227,
                  86.76347014951183,
                  48.48468866936027,
                  49.40599092985006,
                  57.57641084373422,
                  59.43807401430976,
                  74.5563808757408,
                  55.868786040367056,
                  79.31230218615754,
                  77.91006824432151,
                  55.28339759087898,
                  54.46187337671251,
                  69.52464482494801,
                  90.84579381410985
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  85.98545820877793,
                  85.40486333240005,
                  52.179380786117605,
                  81.31248607589235,
                  64.92577565441721,
                  89.61539326661567,
                  59.55236046640964,
                  55.39292433217577,
                  56.042088937274436,
                  75.55873270937136,
                  47.570669530773095,
                  52.17017623470917,
                  44.22817544579379,
                  51.25292090823062,
                  78.17566742059579,
                  57.82469728991662,
                  73.33407672841624,
                  51.36732543547852,
                  76.16924754297749,
                  78.14285329695761,
                  56.687777312096586,
                  60.72938270855525,
                  99.82938025215908,
                  55.66806561142684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4334860968482637,
              "rpss": 0.04383118958621102,
              "brier_below": 0.21372230281396906,
              "bss_below": 0.05759576758558549,
              "brier_above": 0.21976379447883213,
              "bss_above": 0.03005379544057607,
              "crps": 70.05934867964389,
              "crpss": -0.01399840278346054,
              "crps_fair": 67.88551569660628,
              "crpss_fair": -0.025254543567823307,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.006674,
                    0.378185,
                    0.405147,
                    0.148868,
                    0.057246,
                    0.00388,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1956,
                    0.2584,
                    0.3437,
                    0.4405,
                    0.5451,
                    0.6153,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.7288,
                    0.231,
                    0.3454,
                    0.5187,
                    0.6201,
                    0.7147,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.294519,
                    0.46211,
                    0.206324,
                    0.035586,
                    0.00146,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2537,
                    0.3496,
                    0.439,
                    0.5355,
                    0.6159,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2192,
                    0.3821,
                    0.4379,
                    0.4234,
                    0.2755,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.461766502913481,
                  0.4431781895756946,
                  0.4340755837779573,
                  0.4405370146040683,
                  0.4151091956918115,
                  0.4810610729697388,
                  0.4207955489965514,
                  0.40869784132374587,
                  0.45218722842659337
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4546231099504593,
                  0.43753747052601477,
                  0.49174002423345364,
                  0.49152720319112103,
                  0.425759686884452,
                  0.45276062109717374,
                  0.44678141219100675,
                  0.4601609884551471,
                  0.46568341206196623
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15648131081576494,
                  0.20712579586120844,
                  0.13418575050218381,
                  0.12220167152854737,
                  0.19135764413525025,
                  0.23455951130811387,
                  0.22571256509392512,
                  0.13593651273850696,
                  0.22652574928683983
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15629594250614892,
                  0.2030692336614904,
                  0.1489835591475073,
                  0.12955841996645884,
                  0.19874380582689244,
                  0.2228475851534563,
                  0.23511902665323692,
                  0.15822245589198483,
                  0.22961314667049418
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3052851797966343,
                  0.2360523922896252,
                  0.29988981405487547,
                  0.31833532293674427,
                  0.22375155035460267,
                  0.24650156549513375,
                  0.19508298524566378,
                  0.27276131969003187,
                  0.22566148132932634
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29832715383568675,
                  0.23446823467476652,
                  0.3427564435327463,
                  0.3619687582360325,
                  0.2270158802003865,
                  0.22991303456849288,
                  0.21166238742601534,
                  0.30193851830877666,
                  0.23607026291524907
                ],
                "crps": [
                  48.53793311035904,
                  37.227604611512376,
                  55.18885844871106,
                  54.239560626056125,
                  31.542808526753525,
                  57.50250749438747,
                  38.16121564395058,
                  43.15376536589571,
                  47.26947844778549
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  45.93763629770763,
                  35.2795366741263,
                  62.023965985874646,
                  55.33149935133871,
                  31.79983015498263,
                  42.61526370924846,
                  40.8193611954094,
                  47.8036981418148,
                  46.24683772923825
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  47.80061518317474,
                  36.48542815325688,
                  54.429713478823174,
                  53.440427999576116,
                  30.845033729305882,
                  56.69055907742288,
                  37.385400025977944,
                  42.334037091564035,
                  46.44935054778753
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.05518656224228,
                  33.39708693866097,
                  60.14151625040928,
                  53.449049615873356,
                  29.91738041951728,
                  40.7328139737831,
                  38.936911459944035,
                  45.92124840634945,
                  44.36438799377288
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4397120198088491,
              "rpss": 0.04099423716587136,
              "brier_below": 0.18156516791892674,
              "bss_below": 0.02874770300433327,
              "brier_above": 0.2581468456880709,
              "bss_above": 0.04942434463464351,
              "crps": 45.86930358615682,
              "crpss": -0.012176069980418092,
              "crps_fair": 45.0956183652099,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03823071877662576,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.429984,
                    0.486797,
                    0.082615,
                    0.000605,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2538,
                    0.3414,
                    0.4281,
                    0.5092,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.201,
                    0.2274,
                    0.3662,
                    0.1245,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.203959,
                    0.45618,
                    0.274078,
                    0.065784,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2705,
                    0.3479,
                    0.4437,
                    0.5358,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3896,
                    0.4748,
                    0.5315,
                    0.6032,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46208988218892955,
                  0.43060406570792575,
                  0.457946287599039,
                  0.4537054619773277,
                  0.4140344881610683,
                  0.43551067996973125,
                  0.42573396871481456,
                  0.4406443561746615,
                  0.44029929469966533
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4512821189297184,
                  0.4206501052342102,
                  0.48607676155700724,
                  0.47178924942018213,
                  0.4202321083174025,
                  0.44974331659729855,
                  0.4554292533591238,
                  0.4713683857526428,
                  0.46309958751658076
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1333255759043678,
                  0.21804425667578106,
                  0.15004342575618235,
                  0.13048502547453908,
                  0.1676454211394108,
                  0.16810009298191886,
                  0.23763737694557355,
                  0.1492037808805909,
                  0.18931528474320172
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13306928828126782,
                  0.21585583639272318,
                  0.16162148566504822,
                  0.13114817245105845,
                  0.17045689322354624,
                  0.1706324345160037,
                  0.2513941016020818,
                  0.16393510953105803,
                  0.19563367580327717
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.32876428895430077,
                  0.21255981201988097,
                  0.30790284410022895,
                  0.3232204185557959,
                  0.24638906168845295,
                  0.26741058238777854,
                  0.18809659209714102,
                  0.29144056316274686,
                  0.25098400646781277
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.31821281348399405,
                  0.20479427195784727,
                  0.3244552576112664,
                  0.3406410557941846,
                  0.24977521016699747,
                  0.2791108719088107,
                  0.204035155009143,
                  0.30743326098466245,
                  0.2674659036231022
                ],
                "crps": [
                  72.21562198426544,
                  53.81402885019165,
                  81.71354812460842,
                  78.76722933558227,
                  47.31946041768672,
                  73.29604164629342,
                  58.54165880643794,
                  65.03637627025387,
                  68.64551438222705
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  68.43806065594151,
                  50.651721281077606,
                  84.86185486393984,
                  69.92810965360432,
                  47.572672349858124,
                  63.17874189655338,
                  62.58001975556023,
                  70.12878956370798,
                  68.41795298111988
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  71.15135131504391,
                  52.73423902250051,
                  80.63821730878283,
                  77.63380125462963,
                  46.29928937199508,
                  72.13000751340276,
                  57.41348096595751,
                  63.84683231859134,
                  67.47120714713657
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  65.67917197627564,
                  47.89283260141173,
                  82.10296618427398,
                  67.16922097393847,
                  44.813783670192265,
                  60.41985321688753,
                  59.821131075894364,
                  67.36990088404211,
                  65.65906430145401
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4400631650214625,
              "rpss": 0.03156791953879634,
              "brier_below": 0.17153336005572958,
              "bss_below": 0.031339200666046785,
              "brier_above": 0.26852979660379317,
              "bss_above": 0.031713961415305914,
              "crps": 66.59438664639409,
              "crpss": -0.02320336828999614,
              "crps_fair": 65.4798251353378,
              "crpss_fair": -0.050613456870635565,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.411512,
                    0.476356,
                    0.111998,
                    0.000135,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2532,
                    0.3427,
                    0.4289,
                    0.5139,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1773,
                    0.1798,
                    0.3499,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.295379,
                    0.447997,
                    0.202114,
                    0.054509,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2701,
                    0.3421,
                    0.4431,
                    0.5406,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4305,
                    0.495,
                    0.5914,
                    0.5542,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "dqm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.656735301740119,
            "training": [
              0.6756047631748244,
              0.6539802425181848,
              0.6486487627966252,
              0.6508346232152056,
              0.6394140512445277,
              0.6582518074956194,
              0.6813992431330262,
              0.6808557581668715,
              0.6646708714119309,
              0.663424591844449,
              0.6586052377150183,
              0.624815380841175,
              0.6438878918186918,
              0.6660444748204637,
              0.7041594829965536,
              0.6489326852645569,
              0.6606587679904052,
              0.6499286493039397,
              0.6557488861727758,
              0.6533457698713235,
              0.6548294751481396,
              0.6306286507473468,
              0.6673383701660561,
              0.6256388039051453
            ],
            "test": 0.6737701749357771
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.41046704197593775,
                  0.45177035981319125,
                  0.430666843767491,
                  0.4658266717311529,
                  0.4292095206064537,
                  0.46379415313437444,
                  0.4238589458948789,
                  0.40871310340526884,
                  0.3942638315632752,
                  0.47956882229322295,
                  0.38027189891948304,
                  0.5053231706968739,
                  0.4317453579421899,
                  0.4120616104006402,
                  0.41717674778509056,
                  0.44103746046893283,
                  0.46828446295584764,
                  0.4136245081826097,
                  0.4691809421471713,
                  0.4824658914502128,
                  0.43989552953913613,
                  0.4362307630206021,
                  0.41708320231875723,
                  0.5290426186696116
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4625021445862044,
                  0.46159488869678755,
                  0.4404943884335238,
                  0.46286694870416484,
                  0.46982744395686576,
                  0.4638745867904695,
                  0.4580567296219436,
                  0.44805822830116804,
                  0.4278195644333872,
                  0.48511783635941824,
                  0.40716586188404125,
                  0.4476694678025769,
                  0.4237393979375955,
                  0.4284018224249593,
                  0.5042399145627019,
                  0.4349655508301632,
                  0.4679909581860775,
                  0.4188368664000415,
                  0.462507410301521,
                  0.476874938942896,
                  0.4481833614592989,
                  0.43736310157224134,
                  0.4722166255537948,
                  0.47162506981963837
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2644406051729327,
                  0.17738561902724095,
                  0.25852404939332,
                  0.19406129208428133,
                  0.23080829428250826,
                  0.15899809693227313,
                  0.24332015538200463,
                  0.23708721399068153,
                  0.15880211426748153,
                  0.29463910615156697,
                  0.15013598088569147,
                  0.323937544872245,
                  0.23634822496853428,
                  0.1342305494898992,
                  0.09660489497599166,
                  0.2187875097700484,
                  0.33332031071005136,
                  0.15255402619532216,
                  0.20223042507479844,
                  0.15343050596660635,
                  0.19769182754420236,
                  0.25255598151035086,
                  0.26152205012467516,
                  0.3368733786296918
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.299632410717911,
                  0.18587870939096326,
                  0.25998119606521325,
                  0.19649455373223845,
                  0.2550109542404642,
                  0.162611082203679,
                  0.2598521950723673,
                  0.2612903611498991,
                  0.17697290245365346,
                  0.29444690935857754,
                  0.1706907313694619,
                  0.28903643213970553,
                  0.23599804043522338,
                  0.14777022402744325,
                  0.13361595890202554,
                  0.21740548647461078,
                  0.33176824151275985,
                  0.15679241531485055,
                  0.1994166508248519,
                  0.15032826915290334,
                  0.20493564010625412,
                  0.24145406689362325,
                  0.29815694964329725,
                  0.31360797929136064
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1460264364510598,
                  0.274384741458895,
                  0.17214279324517284,
                  0.2717653809383711,
                  0.19840122662327123,
                  0.3047960577597157,
                  0.18053878917951013,
                  0.17162588953878266,
                  0.23546171701413787,
                  0.1849297148341363,
                  0.23013591777055376,
                  0.18138562566528416,
                  0.19539713150000707,
                  0.27783106228642335,
                  0.320571852711525,
                  0.22224995034074102,
                  0.13496415110907523,
                  0.26107048308482733,
                  0.2669505187260257,
                  0.32903538919930964,
                  0.24220370337234245,
                  0.18367478091223952,
                  0.15556115243521154,
                  0.19216924066544738
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16286973386829323,
                  0.27571617930582415,
                  0.18051319236831054,
                  0.26637239497192633,
                  0.21481648971640155,
                  0.30126350458679035,
                  0.1982045345495762,
                  0.18676786715126875,
                  0.25084666197973376,
                  0.19067092700084065,
                  0.2364751305145793,
                  0.15863303566287124,
                  0.18774135750237225,
                  0.28063159839751606,
                  0.3706239556606764,
                  0.2175600643555525,
                  0.13622271667331767,
                  0.2620444510851909,
                  0.2630907594766691,
                  0.3265466697899926,
                  0.2432477213530449,
                  0.1959090346786181,
                  0.17405967591049748,
                  0.15801709052827764
                ],
                "crps": [
                  48.36539919513709,
                  60.973370398782194,
                  38.37576451336486,
                  60.58568523835649,
                  68.5254720954793,
                  69.6314013725684,
                  36.91793738856258,
                  37.57406261109037,
                  37.11000374661631,
                  46.46165063055468,
                  35.35615661169531,
                  56.785839414492024,
                  36.77496893740668,
                  38.568270394161985,
                  56.248950353990125,
                  42.43996530537005,
                  53.27492598798726,
                  40.4528720452966,
                  56.51076378027094,
                  60.03830127193048,
                  40.20300157406606,
                  46.095746205302724,
                  49.153412956130815,
                  78.51224781403148
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  60.13619481850307,
                  56.256236518496635,
                  35.98277275521919,
                  56.56227686927625,
                  46.86073126600934,
                  59.72416662525286,
                  41.133014320729046,
                  39.14356234934023,
                  39.10553254848888,
                  53.063930882893146,
                  34.46797498455737,
                  37.824649592263526,
                  33.52609140008997,
                  37.21484071380031,
                  72.32397309757803,
                  40.07491922982013,
                  50.38128205074656,
                  36.35723268043317,
                  55.00451341032724,
                  60.2934577118017,
                  40.331277112560805,
                  42.36213744937737,
                  63.49609074853596,
                  39.807277519245005
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  46.88043565681733,
                  59.38011124253907,
                  36.92593688604798,
                  58.99115563535855,
                  67.11938185669916,
                  68.03240615040703,
                  35.402807040238066,
                  36.09879478844473,
                  35.6144400639212,
                  44.94669192086293,
                  33.82005944233139,
                  55.2419451203985,
                  35.218899066977144,
                  37.031043407872566,
                  54.881124763531375,
                  40.88303412672778,
                  51.77375174351458,
                  38.783069253656855,
                  54.77353964058383,
                  58.48340183409624,
                  38.52098326194467,
                  44.67369403369844,
                  47.594601678830934,
                  76.97015666217759
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  58.196507597272905,
                  54.30920089139523,
                  33.997340416444885,
                  54.61582086405132,
                  44.8959011213843,
                  57.78369904759606,
                  39.15733622734399,
                  37.164116354494205,
                  37.126014527504864,
                  51.11084922239097,
                  32.47967371061138,
                  35.8427056565897,
                  31.53600625571887,
                  35.231741837068796,
                  70.40736878975522,
                  38.09723716845984,
                  48.4231196159411,
                  34.37250954606271,
                  53.05510709552097,
                  58.35406833696034,
                  38.354080577493605,
                  40.38878724070568,
                  61.56276696656722,
                  37.82908856070565
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4417318107784336,
              "rpss": 0.025770063085613693,
              "brier_below": 0.2195120732251,
              "bss_below": 0.032124533724032345,
              "brier_above": 0.22221973778425275,
              "bss_above": 0.019410563304384842,
              "crps": 49.78900707677687,
              "crpss": -0.05612525831597992,
              "crps_fair": 48.25172771990325,
              "crpss_fair": -0.06801717842360877,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.318026,
                    0.459385,
                    0.178578,
                    0.044011,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2652,
                    0.3461,
                    0.4392,
                    0.5323,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2616,
                    0.3385,
                    0.4783,
                    0.5355,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.247303,
                    0.539105,
                    0.182002,
                    0.03159,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2688,
                    0.3471,
                    0.4344,
                    0.5363,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2479,
                    0.3638,
                    0.4143,
                    0.4517,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42120182407806567,
                  0.4851306521805731,
                  0.42333593446607215,
                  0.4614172727334053,
                  0.3977366639476789,
                  0.4984710238077547,
                  0.4023739300292927,
                  0.41654871696546364,
                  0.3903808077542245,
                  0.45180575674763485,
                  0.3405703574221146,
                  0.5377670679876304,
                  0.4088667210645963,
                  0.4040488172015241,
                  0.4075448281196855,
                  0.4311223814880344,
                  0.4829954038120501,
                  0.43947832533539255,
                  0.472098262941567,
                  0.46374467249983176,
                  0.4538013331663367,
                  0.4034540395306254,
                  0.4112692220412885,
                  0.49570890571950543
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4783928822759757,
                  0.47851945526200396,
                  0.4363405983984559,
                  0.45554856797843624,
                  0.4692768139798448,
                  0.47784783076934295,
                  0.4363277180670701,
                  0.42911353953029135,
                  0.42219420001192276,
                  0.5068481579907806,
                  0.40171471251488117,
                  0.45512779916810575,
                  0.404350582502918,
                  0.40865537485623,
                  0.48639718804316545,
                  0.44315229259879996,
                  0.4958720926659176,
                  0.43277603457023534,
                  0.46502636956376436,
                  0.4740692033828123,
                  0.456112797909182,
                  0.4302812020232237,
                  0.5000385661978536,
                  0.4365908837694042
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25547133969004615,
                  0.19877991662062183,
                  0.26323606943065503,
                  0.15153179655475155,
                  0.25486142049701593,
                  0.14232952747516703,
                  0.18183319347079838,
                  0.20451840158062218,
                  0.17063770684532956,
                  0.3461731703861865,
                  0.09746433248470263,
                  0.35109594729981886,
                  0.23093604997527142,
                  0.1502682761858585,
                  0.10254606427671943,
                  0.19335919410464444,
                  0.36995916297907916,
                  0.1512883602046402,
                  0.2208438801594858,
                  0.13147538847630932,
                  0.18940988204990528,
                  0.28470730977762815,
                  0.2769522671249015,
                  0.2866017850831402
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.295061805248855,
                  0.19868207040204694,
                  0.26182430258523354,
                  0.1530273756639085,
                  0.29955785395623435,
                  0.13933500242887786,
                  0.19802750095084334,
                  0.21276191618591256,
                  0.1870946613836174,
                  0.3763362733314377,
                  0.1359850134096679,
                  0.3052279604608446,
                  0.2332793135781096,
                  0.16002787500701532,
                  0.13706805190249127,
                  0.20048953440023126,
                  0.37161435226063616,
                  0.14772157696565813,
                  0.21729977105895837,
                  0.13912166904319637,
                  0.1941619532924994,
                  0.2823363928821582,
                  0.33617678832429,
                  0.2605995668471377
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1657304847283707,
                  0.2863507369749823,
                  0.16009986397630566,
                  0.309885478921566,
                  0.14287524413688882,
                  0.3561414991213745,
                  0.22054073520515588,
                  0.21203031497225167,
                  0.2197430999282467,
                  0.10563258438086252,
                  0.2431060243931883,
                  0.18667112100616606,
                  0.17793066909290253,
                  0.2537805420781091,
                  0.30499876344028903,
                  0.23776318728196996,
                  0.11303623933770617,
                  0.28818996681471076,
                  0.2512543845228747,
                  0.33226928832329894,
                  0.2643914529628907,
                  0.11874672902777776,
                  0.1343169549983183,
                  0.2091071214070027
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18333107702712054,
                  0.2798373848599569,
                  0.17451629581322226,
                  0.3025211923145276,
                  0.16971896002361034,
                  0.3385128283404649,
                  0.23830021711622673,
                  0.21635162334437877,
                  0.23509953862830535,
                  0.1305118846593427,
                  0.2657296991052132,
                  0.14989983870726103,
                  0.17107126892480837,
                  0.24862749984921456,
                  0.34932913614067407,
                  0.24266275819856864,
                  0.12425774040528127,
                  0.28505445760457715,
                  0.24772659850480583,
                  0.33494753433961566,
                  0.26195084461668244,
                  0.14794480914106525,
                  0.16386177787356343,
                  0.17599131692226644
                ],
                "crps": [
                  74.49238606981315,
                  94.37325359054289,
                  58.68035234573805,
                  88.6603692729088,
                  95.43557972775021,
                  108.61679846242829,
                  55.375774710298586,
                  56.89751550500909,
                  55.70052757215074,
                  65.46610952491025,
                  50.50848208045998,
                  85.93784878019015,
                  50.82234541957857,
                  55.401033609566376,
                  60.7856183998676,
                  61.116060658800436,
                  76.92087758533928,
                  61.19175182396752,
                  82.44579582673107,
                  79.38537418529003,
                  59.50004245606965,
                  65.76762079563267,
                  77.48828770494654,
                  104.15553720053498
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  88.82692214314231,
                  88.24742479961203,
                  55.08475034888021,
                  84.16278360597107,
                  67.8070499527785,
                  92.44999531996338,
                  62.44379244943635,
                  58.29221914343354,
                  58.940156594269254,
                  78.4199068998783,
                  50.48475121311102,
                  55.075563197379914,
                  47.14857564247005,
                  54.1600418129174,
                  81.03189466457867,
                  60.71939517686864,
                  76.19945631775296,
                  54.27423007451832,
                  79.02926764117136,
                  80.99914257141997,
                  59.58462438615225,
                  63.6185896967953,
                  102.64467420156433,
                  58.56684030684482
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  72.29242544093033,
                  92.09382527292783,
                  56.52984697489857,
                  86.25595785647624,
                  93.28917681482143,
                  106.31702227752007,
                  53.1383400724053,
                  54.712761816543484,
                  53.549125272979936,
                  63.204858916543245,
                  48.32093692804484,
                  83.71709361002615,
                  48.55846486367776,
                  53.1869374064576,
                  58.783808765487514,
                  58.846646492184924,
                  74.7698647004763,
                  58.76560991272137,
                  79.96295252537139,
                  77.11532348714255,
                  57.09034313167004,
                  63.70161988325303,
                  75.19217741462468,
                  101.91351136555915
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  85.98545820877793,
                  85.40486333240005,
                  52.179380786117605,
                  81.31248607589235,
                  64.92577565441721,
                  89.61539326661567,
                  59.55236046640964,
                  55.39292433217577,
                  56.042088937274436,
                  75.55873270937136,
                  47.570669530773095,
                  52.17017623470917,
                  44.22817544579379,
                  51.25292090823062,
                  78.17566742059579,
                  57.82469728991662,
                  73.33407672841624,
                  51.36732543547852,
                  76.16924754297749,
                  78.14285329695761,
                  56.687777312096586,
                  60.72938270855525,
                  99.82938025215908,
                  55.66806561142684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43753637171001447,
              "rpss": 0.03489723178556514,
              "brier_below": 0.2169283517805541,
              "bss_below": 0.043458758599361325,
              "brier_above": 0.2206080202930504,
              "bss_above": 0.026327732982317165,
              "crps": 71.8802226378552,
              "crpss": -0.04035267698231171,
              "crps_fair": 69.63785963344765,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0517196674562459,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.306667,
                    0.487256,
                    0.159224,
                    0.046854,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2693,
                    0.3437,
                    0.4382,
                    0.5354,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2534,
                    0.3247,
                    0.5299,
                    0.5842,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.254497,
                    0.544768,
                    0.174218,
                    0.026516,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2652,
                    0.3476,
                    0.4344,
                    0.5296,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2218,
                    0.3786,
                    0.4056,
                    0.5125,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.47007560035550044,
                  0.45989643605855973,
                  0.4417812512912916,
                  0.4519626091044143,
                  0.4127005121130787,
                  0.47222540877750496,
                  0.4300195610884599,
                  0.4104421722176395,
                  0.44639897163355624
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4546231099504593,
                  0.43753747052601477,
                  0.49174002423345364,
                  0.49152720319112103,
                  0.425759686884452,
                  0.45276062109717374,
                  0.44678141219100675,
                  0.4601609884551471,
                  0.46568341206196623
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.16036840987264703,
                  0.21469178298103414,
                  0.13638016913232626,
                  0.1260132689759316,
                  0.1887363237663461,
                  0.2327062684360072,
                  0.22968764734919134,
                  0.13750090174224655,
                  0.22765491910730098
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15629594250614892,
                  0.2030692336614904,
                  0.1489835591475073,
                  0.12955841996645884,
                  0.19874380582689244,
                  0.2228475851534563,
                  0.23511902665323692,
                  0.15822245589198483,
                  0.22961314667049418
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.30970717725232894,
                  0.2452046505196238,
                  0.30540106283274515,
                  0.3259493191208432,
                  0.223964187245756,
                  0.2395191428691017,
                  0.20033191545488688,
                  0.27294126162725957,
                  0.21874405404032943
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29832715383568675,
                  0.23446823467476652,
                  0.3427564435327463,
                  0.3619687582360325,
                  0.2270158802003865,
                  0.22991303456849288,
                  0.21166238742601534,
                  0.30193851830877666,
                  0.23607026291524907
                ],
                "crps": [
                  50.27313071715272,
                  38.214800102057126,
                  54.76853043722295,
                  59.81970930327492,
                  32.09309166353023,
                  66.10078447596747,
                  40.307057645612865,
                  44.66707976200813,
                  53.441451709315366
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  45.93763629770763,
                  35.2795366741263,
                  62.023965985874646,
                  55.33149935133871,
                  31.79983015498263,
                  42.61526370924846,
                  40.8193611954094,
                  47.8036981418148,
                  46.24683772923825
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  49.518839068804446,
                  37.449927498980934,
                  53.97832031516715,
                  58.97619367516909,
                  31.369502089021587,
                  65.24862526954523,
                  39.52266869408288,
                  43.818953111580335,
                  52.57845977215218
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.05518656224228,
                  33.39708693866097,
                  60.14151625040928,
                  53.449049615873356,
                  29.91738041951728,
                  40.7328139737831,
                  38.936911459944035,
                  45.92124840634945,
                  44.36438799377288
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44394472473777835,
              "rpss": 0.03176276693909841,
              "brier_below": 0.18374885459589238,
              "bss_below": 0.017066438777106896,
              "brier_above": 0.2601958634403194,
              "bss_above": 0.04187923445711128,
              "crps": 48.85395953512686,
              "crpss": -0.07803705090849777,
              "crps_fair": 48.05127661050043,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10627846478188818,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.374522,
                    0.517067,
                    0.107058,
                    0.001353,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2527,
                    0.3432,
                    0.433,
                    0.5053,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2187,
                    0.2,
                    0.3878,
                    0.5006,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.196486,
                    0.536118,
                    0.182581,
                    0.084815,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2773,
                    0.3402,
                    0.4444,
                    0.5305,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3613,
                    0.4848,
                    0.5529,
                    0.584,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46905213688529784,
                  0.4346173807715783,
                  0.45722575092435425,
                  0.4488893851677972,
                  0.4163303602253657,
                  0.43503863978180407,
                  0.42953093498900763,
                  0.4415138601196013,
                  0.44374022270605884
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4512821189297184,
                  0.4206501052342102,
                  0.48607676155700724,
                  0.47178924942018213,
                  0.4202321083174025,
                  0.44974331659729855,
                  0.4554292533591238,
                  0.4713683857526428,
                  0.46309958751658076
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13858379850943728,
                  0.22096237716767994,
                  0.15230128552346453,
                  0.12812136124026624,
                  0.168570687278013,
                  0.16754937680609266,
                  0.2382512241687398,
                  0.15182758249623185,
                  0.19307419886631627
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13306928828126782,
                  0.21585583639272318,
                  0.16162148566504822,
                  0.13114817245105845,
                  0.17045689322354624,
                  0.1706324345160037,
                  0.2513941016020818,
                  0.16393510953105803,
                  0.19563367580327717
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3304683205699378,
                  0.21365500678308727,
                  0.3049244479845531,
                  0.32076800602503974,
                  0.24775966817566974,
                  0.2674892574537623,
                  0.19127971166953572,
                  0.28968626530109004,
                  0.25066602037234353
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.31821281348399405,
                  0.20479427195784727,
                  0.3244552576112664,
                  0.3406410557941846,
                  0.24977521016699747,
                  0.2791108719088107,
                  0.204035155009143,
                  0.30743326098466245,
                  0.2674659036231022
                ],
                "crps": [
                  74.20624295050887,
                  55.190512727368,
                  80.43341214994179,
                  84.83849030134573,
                  47.81223577398649,
                  82.80657844192545,
                  61.170095028776345,
                  66.2800155247661,
                  76.47804665474071
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  68.43806065594151,
                  50.651721281077606,
                  84.86185486393984,
                  69.92810965360432,
                  47.572672349858124,
                  63.17874189655338,
                  62.58001975556023,
                  70.12878956370798,
                  68.41795298111988
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  73.1169039893034,
                  54.0768543326494,
                  79.31229593602102,
                  83.64564121214383,
                  46.74776591622577,
                  81.59003879898967,
                  60.026115989903545,
                  65.05554889882804,
                  75.24450079941936
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  65.67917197627564,
                  47.89283260141173,
                  82.10296618427398,
                  67.16922097393847,
                  44.813783670192265,
                  60.41985321688753,
                  59.821131075894364,
                  67.36990088404211,
                  65.65906430145401
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44177096350787387,
              "rpss": 0.027809625337728128,
              "brier_below": 0.1732490991173602,
              "bss_below": 0.021650303005862015,
              "brier_above": 0.2685218560372244,
              "bss_above": 0.03174259414003233,
              "crps": 69.91284772815105,
              "crpss": -0.07419055696135324,
              "crps_fair": 68.75729620816489,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10319996281348787,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.312459,
                    0.607474,
                    0.079127,
                    0.00094,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2572,
                    0.3422,
                    0.4285,
                    0.5082,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1993,
                    0.1669,
                    0.4259,
                    0.5719,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.218292,
                    0.567572,
                    0.160484,
                    0.053652,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2767,
                    0.3372,
                    0.4437,
                    0.5268,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3941,
                    0.5067,
                    0.5826,
                    0.5878,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "qdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6808694341956372,
            "training": [
              0.6997226786987985,
              0.6801715998206288,
              0.6736761035911164,
              0.6782497850738931,
              0.6577982990120027,
              0.6850600984405709,
              0.6990069543409223,
              0.7031202659772123,
              0.6883201610471696,
              0.6864384975682308,
              0.6864289048781895,
              0.6499273388623874,
              0.6695258745984335,
              0.6810233639384141,
              0.733918412400949,
              0.6764416686069875,
              0.6829284968027196,
              0.6752477387894562,
              0.6803519273955044,
              0.6745977607997269,
              0.6808479410709095,
              0.6541138104420574,
              0.6936019412448609,
              0.6503467972941491
            ],
            "test": 0.6967633604880776
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4159609208842846,
                  0.44871480720414986,
                  0.43162154178767315,
                  0.462061149473965,
                  0.4326045125638607,
                  0.461160320483134,
                  0.43819281561371626,
                  0.41403120184374287,
                  0.39516443458924483,
                  0.47831214016767015,
                  0.3769410308142822,
                  0.5033462587498987,
                  0.43493029357896057,
                  0.4156189575397704,
                  0.40443711547369143,
                  0.43882120122096585,
                  0.47610061590870784,
                  0.4129595679457722,
                  0.46757765840529175,
                  0.47939823874484,
                  0.43770239900137886,
                  0.43554412741432114,
                  0.4200754351233731,
                  0.5504822786132352
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4625021445862044,
                  0.46159488869678755,
                  0.4404943884335238,
                  0.46286694870416484,
                  0.46982744395686576,
                  0.4638745867904695,
                  0.4580567296219436,
                  0.44805822830116804,
                  0.4278195644333872,
                  0.48511783635941824,
                  0.40716586188404125,
                  0.4476694678025769,
                  0.4237393979375955,
                  0.4284018224249593,
                  0.5042399145627019,
                  0.4349655508301632,
                  0.4679909581860775,
                  0.4188368664000415,
                  0.462507410301521,
                  0.476874938942896,
                  0.4481833614592989,
                  0.43736310157224134,
                  0.4722166255537948,
                  0.47162506981963837
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.26713042604870735,
                  0.1764438433784373,
                  0.2593201848445246,
                  0.1911139706140137,
                  0.23201588954536842,
                  0.15770463136767002,
                  0.255692088842908,
                  0.24034165672575733,
                  0.15899964910317735,
                  0.29385863786628286,
                  0.15017614320654887,
                  0.32242862931397204,
                  0.2384972068763262,
                  0.1376486221396045,
                  0.09688310100035163,
                  0.21744803368486212,
                  0.3395478248635274,
                  0.1510855345396206,
                  0.1992734420834015,
                  0.15077915624685043,
                  0.19643870194992316,
                  0.2507210676186975,
                  0.26285969144977167,
                  0.35553646224819296
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.299632410717911,
                  0.18587870939096326,
                  0.25998119606521325,
                  0.19649455373223845,
                  0.2550109542404642,
                  0.162611082203679,
                  0.2598521950723673,
                  0.2612903611498991,
                  0.17697290245365346,
                  0.29444690935857754,
                  0.1706907313694619,
                  0.28903643213970553,
                  0.23599804043522338,
                  0.14777022402744325,
                  0.13361595890202554,
                  0.21740548647461078,
                  0.33176824151275985,
                  0.15679241531485055,
                  0.1994166508248519,
                  0.15032826915290334,
                  0.20493564010625412,
                  0.24145406689362325,
                  0.29815694964329725,
                  0.31360797929136064
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14883049454671662,
                  0.2722709649594282,
                  0.17230135584053527,
                  0.27094717956740894,
                  0.2005886238867667,
                  0.3034556906134991,
                  0.18250072585416324,
                  0.17368954497221759,
                  0.236164785028238,
                  0.18445350095324436,
                  0.2267648869900574,
                  0.18091762899227834,
                  0.19643308511227903,
                  0.27797033675832844,
                  0.3075540136964368,
                  0.22137316733896398,
                  0.1365527900917998,
                  0.2618740345302464,
                  0.2683042177796248,
                  0.32861908579591487,
                  0.2412636982260921,
                  0.18482305939117535,
                  0.15721574399973867,
                  0.19494581767567454
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16286973386829323,
                  0.27571617930582415,
                  0.18051319236831054,
                  0.26637239497192633,
                  0.21481648971640155,
                  0.30126350458679035,
                  0.1982045345495762,
                  0.18676786715126875,
                  0.25084666197973376,
                  0.19067092700084065,
                  0.2364751305145793,
                  0.15863303566287124,
                  0.18774135750237225,
                  0.28063159839751606,
                  0.3706239556606764,
                  0.2175600643555525,
                  0.13622271667331767,
                  0.2620444510851909,
                  0.2630907594766691,
                  0.3265466697899926,
                  0.2432477213530449,
                  0.1959090346786181,
                  0.17405967591049748,
                  0.15801709052827764
                ],
                "crps": [
                  48.2611399667187,
                  60.3570994566686,
                  37.94843584025225,
                  59.973483250988124,
                  67.67864785894491,
                  70.26622619728303,
                  37.57957418097222,
                  38.98110210649495,
                  36.942517142875964,
                  46.29817858930115,
                  36.873918876327,
                  57.90245232511798,
                  37.75949707088652,
                  38.227299673389766,
                  54.7423056994426,
                  42.50790652035372,
                  55.50911306594411,
                  39.912744150080286,
                  56.268864715914304,
                  60.07289823091034,
                  39.75341590766327,
                  45.81997996611372,
                  49.05638986260783,
                  83.10259458142184
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  60.13619481850307,
                  56.256236518496635,
                  35.98277275521919,
                  56.56227686927625,
                  46.86073126600934,
                  59.72416662525286,
                  41.133014320729046,
                  39.14356234934023,
                  39.10553254848888,
                  53.063930882893146,
                  34.46797498455737,
                  37.824649592263526,
                  33.52609140008997,
                  37.21484071380031,
                  72.32397309757803,
                  40.07491922982013,
                  50.38128205074656,
                  36.35723268043317,
                  55.00451341032724,
                  60.2934577118017,
                  40.331277112560805,
                  42.36213744937737,
                  63.49609074853596,
                  39.807277519245005
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  46.739502445485854,
                  58.78836548472464,
                  36.50735007313867,
                  58.376905710963065,
                  66.21170258292548,
                  68.71213220044191,
                  36.053375515321925,
                  37.50832182444691,
                  35.41134735267397,
                  44.730102809823904,
                  35.36574800401276,
                  56.36849997538937,
                  36.21348516442863,
                  36.69292263850115,
                  53.422286020362755,
                  40.94789148620884,
                  54.05127330181421,
                  38.26916586440783,
                  54.49507757195304,
                  58.54630974112219,
                  38.037070333168145,
                  44.34948183167978,
                  47.450994698329076,
                  81.64045452937819
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  58.196507597272905,
                  54.30920089139523,
                  33.997340416444885,
                  54.61582086405132,
                  44.8959011213843,
                  57.78369904759606,
                  39.15733622734399,
                  37.164116354494205,
                  37.126014527504864,
                  51.11084922239097,
                  32.47967371061138,
                  35.8427056565897,
                  31.53600625571887,
                  35.231741837068796,
                  70.40736878975522,
                  38.09723716845984,
                  48.4231196159411,
                  34.37250954606271,
                  53.05510709552097,
                  58.35406833696034,
                  38.354080577493605,
                  40.38878724070568,
                  61.56276696656722,
                  37.82908856070565
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44298995929774715,
              "rpss": 0.022995243788720088,
              "brier_below": 0.22091435814827073,
              "bss_below": 0.025941560942968733,
              "brier_above": 0.22207560135836787,
              "bss_above": 0.02004659437018963,
              "crps": 50.07482438486139,
              "crpss": -0.06218801987831557,
              "crps_fair": 48.53707363169593,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07433310429794449,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.316316,
                    0.492351,
                    0.159902,
                    0.031431,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2637,
                    0.3456,
                    0.4411,
                    0.5299,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2796,
                    0.3343,
                    0.4837,
                    0.551,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.216393,
                    0.575918,
                    0.166051,
                    0.041638,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2713,
                    0.3478,
                    0.437,
                    0.5309,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2196,
                    0.3657,
                    0.4142,
                    0.4847,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42553068808774414,
                  0.48112803850987873,
                  0.42258999201883796,
                  0.4590992776347641,
                  0.39820335500286624,
                  0.492256486215534,
                  0.4027173386973181,
                  0.4190685843625254,
                  0.3939251616456698,
                  0.45407177743400134,
                  0.3411762149193967,
                  0.5350537964890989,
                  0.411052602936102,
                  0.40269224273823967,
                  0.4048976589440093,
                  0.43031748586245694,
                  0.4913395493898038,
                  0.43500252343774115,
                  0.47335815808779835,
                  0.4624525679454771,
                  0.4520819645281248,
                  0.40477205119673765,
                  0.4164741522885986,
                  0.4974830088209166
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4783928822759757,
                  0.47851945526200396,
                  0.4363405983984559,
                  0.45554856797843624,
                  0.4692768139798448,
                  0.47784783076934295,
                  0.4363277180670701,
                  0.42911353953029135,
                  0.42219420001192276,
                  0.5068481579907806,
                  0.40171471251488117,
                  0.45512779916810575,
                  0.404350582502918,
                  0.40865537485623,
                  0.48639718804316545,
                  0.44315229259879996,
                  0.4958720926659176,
                  0.43277603457023534,
                  0.46502636956376436,
                  0.4740692033828123,
                  0.456112797909182,
                  0.4302812020232237,
                  0.5000385661978536,
                  0.4365908837694042
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25838673232510345,
                  0.19611031510128873,
                  0.26160861248787287,
                  0.15008059723314457,
                  0.2542455716548571,
                  0.1393971095551744,
                  0.1822490319237356,
                  0.2057981909934554,
                  0.17202262691869033,
                  0.34673179659696646,
                  0.10039933683699427,
                  0.3479384967223856,
                  0.2330880970341043,
                  0.14932463690026385,
                  0.10568429351071447,
                  0.19387684433981237,
                  0.3773534572898332,
                  0.14891038509447518,
                  0.22072600797024913,
                  0.12861148246660786,
                  0.18908060155129464,
                  0.2835083977868644,
                  0.2802430928322046,
                  0.2863998196819932
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.295061805248855,
                  0.19868207040204694,
                  0.26182430258523354,
                  0.1530273756639085,
                  0.29955785395623435,
                  0.13933500242887786,
                  0.19802750095084334,
                  0.21276191618591256,
                  0.1870946613836174,
                  0.3763362733314377,
                  0.1359850134096679,
                  0.3052279604608446,
                  0.2332793135781096,
                  0.16002787500701532,
                  0.13706805190249127,
                  0.20048953440023126,
                  0.37161435226063616,
                  0.14772157696565813,
                  0.21729977105895837,
                  0.13912166904319637,
                  0.1941619532924994,
                  0.2823363928821582,
                  0.33617678832429,
                  0.2605995668471377
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16714395595053375,
                  0.28501772522299423,
                  0.1609813784163163,
                  0.3090186826387037,
                  0.14395778409694976,
                  0.3528593790978809,
                  0.22046830563170916,
                  0.21327039262977646,
                  0.2219025338536998,
                  0.1073399788927016,
                  0.24077687713228954,
                  0.18711529971292193,
                  0.17796450370399203,
                  0.2533676067379034,
                  0.29921336514493024,
                  0.2364406417092036,
                  0.11398609078331137,
                  0.28609214011075995,
                  0.25263215146946194,
                  0.3338410891745261,
                  0.26300136475793867,
                  0.12126365282429592,
                  0.1362310595732413,
                  0.2110831900072452
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18333107702712054,
                  0.2798373848599569,
                  0.17451629581322226,
                  0.3025211923145276,
                  0.16971896002361034,
                  0.3385128283404649,
                  0.23830021711622673,
                  0.21635162334437877,
                  0.23509953862830535,
                  0.1305118846593427,
                  0.2657296991052132,
                  0.14989983870726103,
                  0.17107126892480837,
                  0.24862749984921456,
                  0.34932913614067407,
                  0.24266275819856864,
                  0.12425774040528127,
                  0.28505445760457715,
                  0.24772659850480583,
                  0.33494753433961566,
                  0.26195084461668244,
                  0.14794480914106525,
                  0.16386177787356343,
                  0.17599131692226644
                ],
                "crps": [
                  74.10399498472162,
                  93.05253389689337,
                  57.81379699031246,
                  88.11376703961848,
                  93.90032155246125,
                  108.67938743675695,
                  55.8537176264843,
                  58.75831659536908,
                  55.81184826899713,
                  65.24879614491412,
                  52.21912288226475,
                  87.13625626123701,
                  51.67200240628679,
                  54.72190225593197,
                  59.17838958010786,
                  61.05017242841448,
                  79.70190547330046,
                  59.84714827102254,
                  82.04715089082397,
                  79.04896076606286,
                  58.71525480743107,
                  65.06399626599979,
                  77.28819191794473,
                  108.50175812976141
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  88.82692214314231,
                  88.24742479961203,
                  55.08475034888021,
                  84.16278360597107,
                  67.8070499527785,
                  92.44999531996338,
                  62.44379244943635,
                  58.29221914343354,
                  58.940156594269254,
                  78.4199068998783,
                  50.48475121311102,
                  55.075563197379914,
                  47.14857564247005,
                  54.1600418129174,
                  81.03189466457867,
                  60.71939517686864,
                  76.19945631775296,
                  54.27423007451832,
                  79.02926764117136,
                  80.99914257141997,
                  59.58462438615225,
                  63.6185896967953,
                  102.64467420156433,
                  58.56684030684482
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  71.84413119115376,
                  90.79668974873759,
                  55.660513046567296,
                  85.70577253505941,
                  91.66847822722262,
                  106.4190423983678,
                  53.58747249599119,
                  56.56966317651914,
                  53.60080626573271,
                  62.91419463428243,
                  50.058750906410296,
                  84.91321614826998,
                  49.420271739275236,
                  52.51635271599541,
                  57.21350444378676,
                  58.76648907871506,
                  77.6018830142278,
                  57.458331712999644,
                  79.50795315502621,
                  76.83008153475593,
                  56.26853404713608,
                  62.93616866389391,
                  74.92623210358178,
                  106.33581009315932
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  85.98545820877793,
                  85.40486333240005,
                  52.179380786117605,
                  81.31248607589235,
                  64.92577565441721,
                  89.61539326661567,
                  59.55236046640964,
                  55.39292433217577,
                  56.042088937274436,
                  75.55873270937136,
                  47.570669530773095,
                  52.17017623470917,
                  44.22817544579379,
                  51.25292090823062,
                  78.17566742059579,
                  57.82469728991662,
                  73.33407672841624,
                  51.36732543547852,
                  76.16924754297749,
                  78.14285329695761,
                  56.687777312096586,
                  60.72938270855525,
                  99.82938025215908,
                  55.66806561142684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4377810282164017,
              "rpss": 0.03435757682921681,
              "brier_below": 0.2171573139503369,
              "bss_below": 0.04244915447744657,
              "brier_above": 0.22062371455305363,
              "bss_above": 0.02625846503051643,
              "crps": 71.9803622030466,
              "crpss": -0.04180203900284418,
              "crps_fair": 69.73001429486946,
              "crpss_fair": -0.053111451614680005,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.278237,
                    0.538293,
                    0.14675,
                    0.03672,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2655,
                    0.3435,
                    0.4401,
                    0.5301,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2592,
                    0.3223,
                    0.5501,
                    0.5809,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.227881,
                    0.588381,
                    0.152463,
                    0.031275,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2681,
                    0.3486,
                    0.4338,
                    0.5305,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1894,
                    0.3831,
                    0.4044,
                    0.5354,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46817977611693323,
                  0.45881566767996534,
                  0.44279725465670366,
                  0.4505794840049727,
                  0.41286570245913046,
                  0.4743118789549935,
                  0.42697897274228996,
                  0.4104528367698154,
                  0.45055503561044113
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4546231099504593,
                  0.43753747052601477,
                  0.49174002423345364,
                  0.49152720319112103,
                  0.425759686884452,
                  0.45276062109717374,
                  0.44678141219100675,
                  0.4601609884551471,
                  0.46568341206196623
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15942628471038553,
                  0.21479839550173752,
                  0.13765373874998538,
                  0.1243248581701967,
                  0.1882519208107639,
                  0.23257186978638816,
                  0.22871087331850656,
                  0.13779716273336476,
                  0.22980075864075897
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15629594250614892,
                  0.2030692336614904,
                  0.1489835591475073,
                  0.12955841996645884,
                  0.19874380582689244,
                  0.2228475851534563,
                  0.23511902665323692,
                  0.15822245589198483,
                  0.22961314667049418
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.30875347841027867,
                  0.2440172696008817,
                  0.3051434966609385,
                  0.3262546048586883,
                  0.22461378072532626,
                  0.2417400116004813,
                  0.19826810106941115,
                  0.27265566548260745,
                  0.22075427847229936
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29832715383568675,
                  0.23446823467476652,
                  0.3427564435327463,
                  0.3619687582360325,
                  0.2270158802003865,
                  0.22991303456849288,
                  0.21166238742601534,
                  0.30193851830877666,
                  0.23607026291524907
                ],
                "crps": [
                  49.67875834074069,
                  38.70399067118809,
                  54.352290380403915,
                  61.58794972647501,
                  32.57087745564894,
                  70.0985506772734,
                  39.97068588321006,
                  44.56487548783757,
                  55.983428618999405
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  45.93763629770763,
                  35.2795366741263,
                  62.023965985874646,
                  55.33149935133871,
                  31.79983015498263,
                  42.61526370924846,
                  40.8193611954094,
                  47.8036981418148,
                  46.24683772923825
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  48.92991153359996,
                  37.95985093569331,
                  53.58737307848034,
                  60.7764217985717,
                  31.87403985032526,
                  69.28926899539185,
                  39.18557298127952,
                  43.73339951696878,
                  55.158087011902374
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.05518656224228,
                  33.39708693866097,
                  60.14151625040928,
                  53.449049615873356,
                  29.91738041951728,
                  40.7328139737831,
                  38.936911459944035,
                  45.92124840634945,
                  44.36438799377288
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44394851211058284,
              "rpss": 0.031754506732004084,
              "brier_below": 0.18370398471356528,
              "bss_below": 0.017306462658205013,
              "brier_above": 0.26024452076454585,
              "bss_above": 0.04170006330457765,
              "crps": 49.72348969353079,
              "crpss": -0.09722455866757262,
              "crps_fair": 48.943769522468116,
              "crpss_fair": -0.12682621622840373,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.380807,
                    0.530704,
                    0.088263,
                    0.000226,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2571,
                    0.3438,
                    0.4306,
                    0.5085,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2247,
                    0.2037,
                    0.3822,
                    0.3334,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.186639,
                    0.553594,
                    0.17079,
                    0.088977,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2802,
                    0.3416,
                    0.4441,
                    0.5236,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3592,
                    0.4845,
                    0.5505,
                    0.586,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4645175847841673,
                  0.4346408571621436,
                  0.4553304427453077,
                  0.44632683597016776,
                  0.414491733231861,
                  0.43625436171844223,
                  0.43123326026361936,
                  0.44034158858540207,
                  0.4458672375910384
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4512821189297184,
                  0.4206501052342102,
                  0.48607676155700724,
                  0.47178924942018213,
                  0.4202321083174025,
                  0.44974331659729855,
                  0.4554292533591238,
                  0.4713683857526428,
                  0.46309958751658076
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1363745648474444,
                  0.22170138059821526,
                  0.15126070776299172,
                  0.12748944915629948,
                  0.16664288679371314,
                  0.16774789642605406,
                  0.23938164311683843,
                  0.15189270576568867,
                  0.19387125029278843
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13306928828126782,
                  0.21585583639272318,
                  0.16162148566504822,
                  0.13114817245105845,
                  0.17045689322354624,
                  0.1706324345160037,
                  0.2513941016020818,
                  0.16393510953105803,
                  0.19563367580327717
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3281430023255739,
                  0.2129394796733274,
                  0.304069717932843,
                  0.31883736885816266,
                  0.2478488418579882,
                  0.2685064596276108,
                  0.19185161820288898,
                  0.2884488707778455,
                  0.2519959835389257
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.31821281348399405,
                  0.20479427195784727,
                  0.3244552576112664,
                  0.3406410557941846,
                  0.24977521016699747,
                  0.2791108719088107,
                  0.204035155009143,
                  0.30743326098466245,
                  0.2674659036231022
                ],
                "crps": [
                  73.4369150194331,
                  55.91427276235197,
                  79.99558317526984,
                  86.03683440117665,
                  47.95614815133245,
                  86.92256517687818,
                  60.980968705905305,
                  65.77624606772781,
                  79.18766696380251
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  68.43806065594151,
                  50.651721281077606,
                  84.86185486393984,
                  69.92810965360432,
                  47.572672349858124,
                  63.17874189655338,
                  62.58001975556023,
                  70.12878956370798,
                  68.41795298111988
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  72.3532073570423,
                  54.8293240982368,
                  78.91322346129205,
                  84.87981342844088,
                  46.93002436570921,
                  85.75715093450108,
                  59.84121498452056,
                  64.56364256621725,
                  78.00096014149531
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  65.67917197627564,
                  47.89283260141173,
                  82.10296618427398,
                  67.16922097393847,
                  44.813783670192265,
                  60.41985321688753,
                  59.821131075894364,
                  67.36990088404211,
                  65.65906430145401
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44100043356134994,
              "rpss": 0.029505304454914505,
              "brier_below": 0.17292916497333705,
              "bss_below": 0.02345699334051765,
              "brier_above": 0.26807126031057404,
              "bss_above": 0.03336738794943295,
              "crps": 70.68968893598642,
              "crpss": -0.08612649601736155,
              "crps_fair": 69.56317348193949,
              "crpss_fair": -0.11613013644580694,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.32896,
                    0.607872,
                    0.062899,
                    0.000269,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2589,
                    0.3427,
                    0.429,
                    0.5124,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.199,
                    0.1742,
                    0.4196,
                    0.5009,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.201908,
                    0.5945,
                    0.138283,
                    0.065309,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2789,
                    0.3388,
                    0.4418,
                    0.5243,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3845,
                    0.505,
                    0.5931,
                    0.5936,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "sdm": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.7031917560866708,
            "training": [
              0.7224967011272807,
              0.7023107652574341,
              0.6952775243751506,
              0.6994023913741845,
              0.685178722420157,
              0.7072897899893834,
              0.7212220917903097,
              0.7230146189889676,
              0.7109507305245806,
              0.7099900776394416,
              0.706802884409608,
              0.672706568576604,
              0.6932246136533337,
              0.7035159378752344,
              0.7524129816590331,
              0.6992665320683056,
              0.7039289937639489,
              0.6987337416635674,
              0.7026154653534982,
              0.6967044407083846,
              0.7021308272571174,
              0.6774706152113177,
              0.7152537078796832,
              0.6747014225135732
            ],
            "test": 0.7150827276040104
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.412308323720806,
                  0.4499782453579289,
                  0.43030470373717156,
                  0.4619967915050335,
                  0.4350439770696177,
                  0.46212574408354384,
                  0.4362185438945529,
                  0.4133093729231735,
                  0.39653222147775236,
                  0.47820170508108795,
                  0.3789045976708569,
                  0.5022970453271767,
                  0.4314015018217045,
                  0.4203065671844769,
                  0.41031374255266145,
                  0.4346969514705835,
                  0.4711016558575046,
                  0.4137510656370694,
                  0.4693854602681922,
                  0.4862180385771399,
                  0.4395752514699245,
                  0.4349735864780971,
                  0.41855273098824397,
                  0.5412295409147176
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4625021445862044,
                  0.46159488869678755,
                  0.4404943884335238,
                  0.46286694870416484,
                  0.46982744395686576,
                  0.4638745867904695,
                  0.4580567296219436,
                  0.44805822830116804,
                  0.4278195644333872,
                  0.48511783635941824,
                  0.40716586188404125,
                  0.4476694678025769,
                  0.4237393979375955,
                  0.4284018224249593,
                  0.5042399145627019,
                  0.4349655508301632,
                  0.4679909581860775,
                  0.4188368664000415,
                  0.462507410301521,
                  0.476874938942896,
                  0.4481833614592989,
                  0.43736310157224134,
                  0.4722166255537948,
                  0.47162506981963837
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2663368297093514,
                  0.17617004028204342,
                  0.2597564032056385,
                  0.18913217416400355,
                  0.23322516476137314,
                  0.15760449803572085,
                  0.25562540308742654,
                  0.2409233175273938,
                  0.15983736504239174,
                  0.2944841771611624,
                  0.1508133323921638,
                  0.3233983070089897,
                  0.23835372026291768,
                  0.13799784603900145,
                  0.09857912939734406,
                  0.21707654457169687,
                  0.3394735047113823,
                  0.1514494838650343,
                  0.2012304441448697,
                  0.151591065702699,
                  0.19630693133998703,
                  0.25074223011861935,
                  0.2623059833022196,
                  0.3512565943298632
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.299632410717911,
                  0.18587870939096326,
                  0.25998119606521325,
                  0.19649455373223845,
                  0.2550109542404642,
                  0.162611082203679,
                  0.2598521950723673,
                  0.2612903611498991,
                  0.17697290245365346,
                  0.29444690935857754,
                  0.1706907313694619,
                  0.28903643213970553,
                  0.23599804043522338,
                  0.14777022402744325,
                  0.13361595890202554,
                  0.21740548647461078,
                  0.33176824151275985,
                  0.15679241531485055,
                  0.1994166508248519,
                  0.15032826915290334,
                  0.20493564010625412,
                  0.24145406689362325,
                  0.29815694964329725,
                  0.31360797929136064
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14597149391782965,
                  0.27380820563714586,
                  0.17054829995030818,
                  0.2728646178212415,
                  0.20181881281819833,
                  0.304521247134253,
                  0.18059314035638865,
                  0.17238605550499703,
                  0.2366948561259134,
                  0.18371752697146412,
                  0.2280912650636519,
                  0.17889873829685177,
                  0.19304778027101366,
                  0.2823087223295517,
                  0.31173461190810325,
                  0.21762040668748303,
                  0.13162815053529395,
                  0.2623015826018061,
                  0.26815501752771254,
                  0.3346269753363926,
                  0.2432683209174058,
                  0.18423135605452062,
                  0.15624674817927842,
                  0.1899729481094399
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16286973386829323,
                  0.27571617930582415,
                  0.18051319236831054,
                  0.26637239497192633,
                  0.21481648971640155,
                  0.30126350458679035,
                  0.1982045345495762,
                  0.18676786715126875,
                  0.25084666197973376,
                  0.19067092700084065,
                  0.2364751305145793,
                  0.15863303566287124,
                  0.18774135750237225,
                  0.28063159839751606,
                  0.3706239556606764,
                  0.2175600643555525,
                  0.13622271667331767,
                  0.2620444510851909,
                  0.2630907594766691,
                  0.3265466697899926,
                  0.2432477213530449,
                  0.1959090346786181,
                  0.17405967591049748,
                  0.15801709052827764
                ],
                "crps": [
                  49.075553410574734,
                  61.61975114593259,
                  38.25547724575369,
                  62.24896195563055,
                  70.06776887884412,
                  72.8790360212646,
                  37.508484902468666,
                  39.21048823181465,
                  37.25338153286132,
                  46.120572475415536,
                  36.6322031799681,
                  58.486834296503474,
                  36.70962555640405,
                  39.24555283238419,
                  57.74672416898658,
                  42.37505924327678,
                  55.416009194290154,
                  40.40997359862153,
                  57.39310598950196,
                  63.353586612900045,
                  40.16981938919886,
                  46.36671971230748,
                  48.830291994470436,
                  82.86402858369337
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  60.13619481850307,
                  56.256236518496635,
                  35.98277275521919,
                  56.56227686927625,
                  46.86073126600934,
                  59.72416662525286,
                  41.133014320729046,
                  39.14356234934023,
                  39.10553254848888,
                  53.063930882893146,
                  34.46797498455737,
                  37.824649592263526,
                  33.52609140008997,
                  37.21484071380031,
                  72.32397309757803,
                  40.07491922982013,
                  50.38128205074656,
                  36.35723268043317,
                  55.00451341032724,
                  60.2934577118017,
                  40.331277112560805,
                  42.36213744937737,
                  63.49609074853596,
                  39.807277519245005
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  47.68609449153936,
                  60.183099950876986,
                  36.97316887250242,
                  60.82159851638166,
                  68.72090132241115,
                  71.50144033232576,
                  36.15192823844911,
                  37.901118356083145,
                  35.9119157416357,
                  44.70546843032919,
                  35.26475492895641,
                  57.1231857488078,
                  35.31621117355267,
                  37.85413887888275,
                  56.63114785265215,
                  41.003055958619335,
                  54.12403057425967,
                  38.93083711248805,
                  55.804542320354756,
                  62.007903279619164,
                  38.63491949470456,
                  45.03917522856518,
                  47.34422769031876,
                  81.52533817192142
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  58.196507597272905,
                  54.30920089139523,
                  33.997340416444885,
                  54.61582086405132,
                  44.8959011213843,
                  57.78369904759606,
                  39.15733622734399,
                  37.164116354494205,
                  37.126014527504864,
                  51.11084922239097,
                  32.47967371061138,
                  35.8427056565897,
                  31.53600625571887,
                  35.231741837068796,
                  70.40736878975522,
                  38.09723716845984,
                  48.4231196159411,
                  34.37250954606271,
                  53.05510709552097,
                  58.35406833696034,
                  38.354080577493605,
                  40.38878724070568,
                  61.56276696656722,
                  37.82908856070565
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4428636402112091,
              "rpss": 0.023273837796908392,
              "brier_below": 0.22098627042347055,
              "bss_below": 0.025624484411061466,
              "brier_above": 0.22187737000234353,
              "bss_above": 0.02092133023153797,
              "crps": 50.84329208971115,
              "crpss": -0.07848876980169561,
              "crps_fair": 49.46500844442655,
              "crpss_fair": -0.09487227185286695,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.327332,
                    0.473784,
                    0.170083,
                    0.028801,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2653,
                    0.3477,
                    0.4411,
                    0.5251,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2749,
                    0.3342,
                    0.4892,
                    0.5617,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.257942,
                    0.561666,
                    0.139083,
                    0.041308,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2721,
                    0.3457,
                    0.4377,
                    0.5279,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2337,
                    0.3722,
                    0.4365,
                    0.4124,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4245841390818105,
                  0.48395058569091964,
                  0.42102461028491844,
                  0.4634434215835209,
                  0.39844094227875815,
                  0.4948201326810524,
                  0.40383589049425406,
                  0.4178352670528067,
                  0.3934717040998366,
                  0.4530604569391411,
                  0.34417259038309783,
                  0.5325481848588883,
                  0.40569623707663865,
                  0.40484011902336914,
                  0.40901077167609007,
                  0.42885526608413427,
                  0.48613633784007265,
                  0.43707564634273444,
                  0.47407391569694135,
                  0.4677479370678398,
                  0.4559076840263058,
                  0.40176252172650767,
                  0.41639052671514315,
                  0.4894956656634024
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4783928822759757,
                  0.47851945526200396,
                  0.4363405983984559,
                  0.45554856797843624,
                  0.4692768139798448,
                  0.47784783076934295,
                  0.4363277180670701,
                  0.42911353953029135,
                  0.42219420001192276,
                  0.5068481579907806,
                  0.40171471251488117,
                  0.45512779916810575,
                  0.404350582502918,
                  0.40865537485623,
                  0.48639718804316545,
                  0.44315229259879996,
                  0.4958720926659176,
                  0.43277603457023534,
                  0.46502636956376436,
                  0.4740692033828123,
                  0.456112797909182,
                  0.4302812020232237,
                  0.5000385661978536,
                  0.4365908837694042
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2584536254137825,
                  0.1967828747608498,
                  0.26252268202902396,
                  0.14992379897003424,
                  0.25481136762759626,
                  0.13951750824507453,
                  0.18288054137958137,
                  0.20683253217482828,
                  0.17272032396744055,
                  0.3479103875229323,
                  0.10135427434232389,
                  0.3486401902578273,
                  0.2323415600872789,
                  0.14936656378243515,
                  0.10632917930927314,
                  0.19388647886757973,
                  0.3764369241220651,
                  0.14907255935071098,
                  0.22250799904757473,
                  0.12871422243911712,
                  0.190007029645699,
                  0.2833049757006499,
                  0.2803261856260108,
                  0.2831391675188076
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.295061805248855,
                  0.19868207040204694,
                  0.26182430258523354,
                  0.1530273756639085,
                  0.29955785395623435,
                  0.13933500242887786,
                  0.19802750095084334,
                  0.21276191618591256,
                  0.1870946613836174,
                  0.3763362733314377,
                  0.1359850134096679,
                  0.3052279604608446,
                  0.2332793135781096,
                  0.16002787500701532,
                  0.13706805190249127,
                  0.20048953440023126,
                  0.37161435226063616,
                  0.14772157696565813,
                  0.21729977105895837,
                  0.13912166904319637,
                  0.1941619532924994,
                  0.2823363928821582,
                  0.33617678832429,
                  0.2605995668471377
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16613051398022574,
                  0.2871677122530149,
                  0.15850192770856078,
                  0.31351962413374246,
                  0.14362957528049144,
                  0.35530262616102287,
                  0.22095534843814515,
                  0.21100273455035823,
                  0.220751379617034,
                  0.10515006829245073,
                  0.242818315381637,
                  0.18390799496388072,
                  0.17335467541204427,
                  0.25547355585568193,
                  0.30268159173894693,
                  0.23496878734556798,
                  0.10969941279109252,
                  0.2880030881932565,
                  0.25156591834607084,
                  0.3390337172254465,
                  0.265900655469795,
                  0.11845754595179246,
                  0.1360643413715944,
                  0.20635649911633847
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18333107702712054,
                  0.2798373848599569,
                  0.17451629581322226,
                  0.3025211923145276,
                  0.16971896002361034,
                  0.3385128283404649,
                  0.23830021711622673,
                  0.21635162334437877,
                  0.23509953862830535,
                  0.1305118846593427,
                  0.2657296991052132,
                  0.14989983870726103,
                  0.17107126892480837,
                  0.24862749984921456,
                  0.34932913614067407,
                  0.24266275819856864,
                  0.12425774040528127,
                  0.28505445760457715,
                  0.24772659850480583,
                  0.33494753433961566,
                  0.26195084461668244,
                  0.14794480914106525,
                  0.16386177787356343,
                  0.17599131692226644
                ],
                "crps": [
                  75.72868311117895,
                  95.63804620112226,
                  58.499525791533735,
                  91.32230155140306,
                  96.85612989295278,
                  112.96667589728155,
                  55.89105517006126,
                  59.01219669464149,
                  56.04450501225305,
                  64.57008975594505,
                  51.7344755427606,
                  88.18697764218426,
                  49.75759048050608,
                  56.094308282526846,
                  62.0437670796566,
                  61.00577132060703,
                  79.53919155072043,
                  61.03217488312843,
                  83.96395634766027,
                  83.74338822578727,
                  59.54204083304082,
                  65.49007365868668,
                  77.10860200106576,
                  107.59036270693078
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  88.82692214314231,
                  88.24742479961203,
                  55.08475034888021,
                  84.16278360597107,
                  67.8070499527785,
                  92.44999531996338,
                  62.44379244943635,
                  58.29221914343354,
                  58.940156594269254,
                  78.4199068998783,
                  50.48475121311102,
                  55.075563197379914,
                  47.14857564247005,
                  54.1600418129174,
                  81.03189466457867,
                  60.71939517686864,
                  76.19945631775296,
                  54.27423007451832,
                  79.02926764117136,
                  80.99914257141997,
                  59.58462438615225,
                  63.6185896967953,
                  102.64467420156433,
                  58.56684030684482
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  73.65539620853447,
                  93.55284684624183,
                  56.56745770414993,
                  89.14318358301225,
                  94.79824892927003,
                  110.93322200543108,
                  53.858616175487484,
                  57.03549524424457,
                  54.089567150905104,
                  62.44161801731134,
                  49.72498601538524,
                  86.2029388438239,
                  47.69781978032166,
                  54.078271301959134,
                  60.36626991269994,
                  58.98987401569425,
                  77.66087478997933,
                  58.86051466914114,
                  81.67500748023704,
                  81.77430664177672,
                  57.3362541956159,
                  63.55739426713634,
                  74.90428167283919,
                  105.57385643971429
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  85.98545820877793,
                  85.40486333240005,
                  52.179380786117605,
                  81.31248607589235,
                  64.92577565441721,
                  89.61539326661567,
                  59.55236046640964,
                  55.39292433217577,
                  56.042088937274436,
                  75.55873270937136,
                  47.570669530773095,
                  52.17017623470917,
                  44.22817544579379,
                  51.25292090823062,
                  78.17566742059579,
                  57.82469728991662,
                  73.33407672841624,
                  51.36732543547852,
                  76.16924754297749,
                  78.14285329695761,
                  56.687777312096586,
                  60.72938270855525,
                  99.82938025215908,
                  55.66806561142684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4378408564320077,
              "rpss": 0.03422560979691491,
              "brier_below": 0.21740762300785407,
              "bss_below": 0.0413454216797462,
              "brier_above": 0.22043323373242465,
              "bss_above": 0.027099168338577617,
              "crps": 73.05674540140146,
              "crpss": -0.05738098548870996,
              "crps_fair": 71.01992924545466,
              "crpss_fair": -0.0725926494863145,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.290827,
                    0.523388,
                    0.15065,
                    0.035135,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2674,
                    0.3452,
                    0.4405,
                    0.5248,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2538,
                    0.3245,
                    0.553,
                    0.589,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.27117,
                    0.564871,
                    0.13615,
                    0.027808,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2689,
                    0.3469,
                    0.4352,
                    0.5274,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2116,
                    0.3886,
                    0.4203,
                    0.4615,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46861036223324115,
                  0.45868230038641666,
                  0.44641590026943223,
                  0.4535230601432209,
                  0.41268255503114704,
                  0.4720491647083549,
                  0.42631762299066944,
                  0.4128199709519213,
                  0.45096156894530304
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4546231099504593,
                  0.43753747052601477,
                  0.49174002423345364,
                  0.49152720319112103,
                  0.425759686884452,
                  0.45276062109717374,
                  0.44678141219100675,
                  0.4601609884551471,
                  0.46568341206196623
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15871186961223085,
                  0.21482208244753398,
                  0.13750360403751072,
                  0.12448071199806873,
                  0.18801208760601798,
                  0.23154199208079007,
                  0.2281599824812553,
                  0.1384795296873561,
                  0.23005029821285908
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15629594250614892,
                  0.2030692336614904,
                  0.1489835591475073,
                  0.12955841996645884,
                  0.19874380582689244,
                  0.2228475851534563,
                  0.23511902665323692,
                  0.15822245589198483,
                  0.22961314667049418
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.30989847906815826,
                  0.24386021512450004,
                  0.3089122766016845,
                  0.329042326904676,
                  0.22467046629494633,
                  0.2405071748517912,
                  0.19815764193258398,
                  0.2743404323839081,
                  0.22091127196460283
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29832715383568675,
                  0.23446823467476652,
                  0.3427564435327463,
                  0.3619687582360325,
                  0.2270158802003865,
                  0.22991303456849288,
                  0.21166238742601534,
                  0.30193851830877666,
                  0.23607026291524907
                ],
                "crps": [
                  50.37277996518483,
                  38.80651341487874,
                  55.66517347212572,
                  63.09266680122578,
                  32.81021976839782,
                  70.69402268925926,
                  40.09786635614728,
                  44.86667386748355,
                  56.29958934920954
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  45.93763629770763,
                  35.2795366741263,
                  62.023965985874646,
                  55.33149935133871,
                  31.79983015498263,
                  42.61526370924846,
                  40.8193611954094,
                  47.8036981418148,
                  46.24683772923825
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  49.694994802915154,
                  38.130798069542855,
                  54.97592166950138,
                  62.35694388578598,
                  32.18201878934266,
                  69.96649927009403,
                  39.37351020889219,
                  44.111319919635754,
                  55.54924480575445
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.05518656224228,
                  33.39708693866097,
                  60.14151625040928,
                  53.449049615873356,
                  29.91738041951728,
                  40.7328139737831,
                  38.936911459944035,
                  45.92124840634945,
                  44.36438799377288
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4446736117399674,
              "rpss": 0.030173074585775783,
              "brier_below": 0.18352912868484697,
              "bss_below": 0.018241825544615176,
              "brier_above": 0.2611444761252057,
              "bss_above": 0.0383861523618404,
              "crps": 50.30061174265695,
              "crpss": -0.10995963598319713,
              "crps_fair": 49.593472380162716,
              "crpss_fair": -0.14178424295890935,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.3713,
                    0.54214,
                    0.086411,
                    0.000149,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2559,
                    0.3429,
                    0.4292,
                    0.5098,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.224,
                    0.2029,
                    0.3965,
                    0.5048,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.184968,
                    0.572133,
                    0.149332,
                    0.093567,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2768,
                    0.3387,
                    0.4424,
                    0.5158,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3579,
                    0.4853,
                    0.5578,
                    0.5796,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46584581755763116,
                  0.4347200243592733,
                  0.45875987457836975,
                  0.4488841819091689,
                  0.4143667282884402,
                  0.4358929518630464,
                  0.4311888943814221,
                  0.4432006511218883,
                  0.447902456965303
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4512821189297184,
                  0.4206501052342102,
                  0.48607676155700724,
                  0.47178924942018213,
                  0.4202321083174025,
                  0.44974331659729855,
                  0.4554292533591238,
                  0.4713683857526428,
                  0.46309958751658076
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13480578163534232,
                  0.22228938380233002,
                  0.1512950860014071,
                  0.1275549127380427,
                  0.16626929300840432,
                  0.16680339942270833,
                  0.23932199200061263,
                  0.15235136185635695,
                  0.19467816394315365
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13306928828126782,
                  0.21585583639272318,
                  0.16162148566504822,
                  0.13114817245105845,
                  0.17045689322354624,
                  0.1706324345160037,
                  0.2513941016020818,
                  0.16393510953105803,
                  0.19563367580327717
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.33104001785327436,
                  0.21243064340261497,
                  0.30746477110111686,
                  0.32132925107022264,
                  0.24809743056621536,
                  0.26908954650260203,
                  0.1918669031985114,
                  0.29084927687526946,
                  0.25322428912992795
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.31821281348399405,
                  0.20479427195784727,
                  0.3244552576112664,
                  0.3406410557941846,
                  0.24977521016699747,
                  0.2791108719088107,
                  0.204035155009143,
                  0.30743326098466245,
                  0.2674659036231022
                ],
                "crps": [
                  74.63651802804429,
                  56.17513192391329,
                  82.02324625984843,
                  87.95014168586485,
                  48.30197291940534,
                  87.49829080487098,
                  61.29180511297226,
                  66.39597367698434,
                  79.46781098726606
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  68.43806065594151,
                  50.651721281077606,
                  84.86185486393984,
                  69.92810965360432,
                  47.572672349858124,
                  63.17874189655338,
                  62.58001975556023,
                  70.12878956370798,
                  68.41795298111988
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  73.65185685806131,
                  55.187506157659406,
                  81.04647930254154,
                  86.89808359473724,
                  47.36959977456492,
                  86.4443319267143,
                  60.236625228115756,
                  65.28657847716339,
                  78.38175720184935
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  65.67917197627564,
                  47.89283260141173,
                  82.10296618427398,
                  67.16922097393847,
                  44.813783670192265,
                  60.41985321688753,
                  59.821131075894364,
                  67.36990088404211,
                  65.65906430145401
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4423068423360603,
              "rpss": 0.026630334977376324,
              "brier_below": 0.17281881937870644,
              "bss_below": 0.02408012257825387,
              "brier_above": 0.2694880144110839,
              "bss_above": 0.028258743646337736,
              "crps": 71.52676571101887,
              "crpss": -0.09898793703157804,
              "crps_fair": 70.50031316904524,
              "crpss_fair": -0.13116639477737513,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.320194,
                    0.619426,
                    0.060246,
                    0.000135,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2579,
                    0.3416,
                    0.4279,
                    0.5179,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2012,
                    0.1727,
                    0.4381,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.203773,
                    0.60651,
                    0.122659,
                    0.067059,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2751,
                    0.3363,
                    0.4416,
                    0.5152,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3875,
                    0.5065,
                    0.5892,
                    0.6002,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "cdft": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.6758914128142749,
            "training": [
              0.6962417177034942,
              0.6738031701657388,
              0.6686417841515193,
              0.6743221264271856,
              0.6631993780943386,
              0.6761944642469855,
              0.6947254377580183,
              0.6973516939915748,
              0.6834530406379737,
              0.6812946624094641,
              0.6820103967648218,
              0.6461503577742338,
              0.6618527184143853,
              0.676952521893177,
              0.7225725605630264,
              0.6687386551731455,
              0.677352256514487,
              0.67201859906271,
              0.6749407894238102,
              0.6710838715233096,
              0.6757167752666761,
              0.6556453993252948,
              0.6857693049870576,
              0.6413622252701707
            ],
            "test": 0.691723673553501
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4144782502353797,
                  0.45141295417616467,
                  0.43088226784070227,
                  0.4624443368211092,
                  0.4302834186052209,
                  0.4673894568987457,
                  0.43303313863772747,
                  0.4133214098227008,
                  0.39926775559738925,
                  0.48087327719817374,
                  0.3755413797106788,
                  0.5012902721526609,
                  0.4402330334496637,
                  0.41734226188050194,
                  0.411104698443437,
                  0.43878181370878827,
                  0.4715548816029411,
                  0.41164581307737075,
                  0.4689596665381924,
                  0.4791703871925617,
                  0.4361519505787985,
                  0.4351619121791804,
                  0.4236327519228266,
                  0.5452345969369795
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4625021445862044,
                  0.46159488869678755,
                  0.4404943884335238,
                  0.46286694870416484,
                  0.46982744395686576,
                  0.4638745867904695,
                  0.4580567296219436,
                  0.44805822830116804,
                  0.4278195644333872,
                  0.48511783635941824,
                  0.40716586188404125,
                  0.4476694678025769,
                  0.4237393979375955,
                  0.4284018224249593,
                  0.5042399145627019,
                  0.4349655508301632,
                  0.4679909581860775,
                  0.4188368664000415,
                  0.462507410301521,
                  0.476874938942896,
                  0.4481833614592989,
                  0.43736310157224134,
                  0.4722166255537948,
                  0.47162506981963837
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.26565524086831765,
                  0.17802314750293471,
                  0.2592911231068929,
                  0.19279936618508192,
                  0.23217831050476945,
                  0.15981822175106686,
                  0.24928302823254717,
                  0.23956952863798725,
                  0.16233988454462717,
                  0.29631430131852804,
                  0.14901826801346266,
                  0.3208388860147429,
                  0.24074262620551923,
                  0.1384447981791426,
                  0.09594809365923138,
                  0.2176548547095473,
                  0.33564122669673263,
                  0.15055715860741659,
                  0.2010836372848308,
                  0.15035467643005307,
                  0.19472584636935816,
                  0.25192425372547744,
                  0.26651550088872733,
                  0.34957960083955886
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.299632410717911,
                  0.18587870939096326,
                  0.25998119606521325,
                  0.19649455373223845,
                  0.2550109542404642,
                  0.162611082203679,
                  0.2598521950723673,
                  0.2612903611498991,
                  0.17697290245365346,
                  0.29444690935857754,
                  0.1706907313694619,
                  0.28903643213970553,
                  0.23599804043522338,
                  0.14777022402744325,
                  0.13361595890202554,
                  0.21740548647461078,
                  0.33176824151275985,
                  0.15679241531485055,
                  0.1994166508248519,
                  0.15032826915290334,
                  0.20493564010625412,
                  0.24145406689362325,
                  0.29815694964329725,
                  0.31360797929136064
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14882300909258345,
                  0.27338980780708727,
                  0.1715911437477451,
                  0.2696449718564067,
                  0.1981051084316198,
                  0.307571236467948,
                  0.1837501092493599,
                  0.17375188106987494,
                  0.23692787100020185,
                  0.1845589744622933,
                  0.22652311135917663,
                  0.18045138548485612,
                  0.1994904057631616,
                  0.27889746474514665,
                  0.3151566042262164,
                  0.22112695905306315,
                  0.1359136539327339,
                  0.26108865559791966,
                  0.2678760302605757,
                  0.328815713695343,
                  0.24142610539338877,
                  0.18323765824760627,
                  0.15711725171026508,
                  0.19565499691949498
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16286973386829323,
                  0.27571617930582415,
                  0.18051319236831054,
                  0.26637239497192633,
                  0.21481648971640155,
                  0.30126350458679035,
                  0.1982045345495762,
                  0.18676786715126875,
                  0.25084666197973376,
                  0.19067092700084065,
                  0.2364751305145793,
                  0.15863303566287124,
                  0.18774135750237225,
                  0.28063159839751606,
                  0.3706239556606764,
                  0.2175600643555525,
                  0.13622271667331767,
                  0.2620444510851909,
                  0.2630907594766691,
                  0.3265466697899926,
                  0.2432477213530449,
                  0.1959090346786181,
                  0.17405967591049748,
                  0.15801709052827764
                ],
                "crps": [
                  48.505561226493455,
                  60.36899989853302,
                  37.78125757935452,
                  60.413374295104184,
                  67.84262774401338,
                  70.6309095630378,
                  37.247343310379826,
                  38.79114184946877,
                  36.78833942270384,
                  46.941632957125,
                  35.4119839930494,
                  57.36955873300609,
                  37.851321558777244,
                  37.94360178809212,
                  55.56410245069021,
                  42.33300610728452,
                  54.13409103988741,
                  40.20502142757388,
                  57.72370630513644,
                  59.90152840702868,
                  39.462495966245235,
                  46.30545139274203,
                  49.65479546601466,
                  81.06650300702185
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  60.13619481850307,
                  56.256236518496635,
                  35.98277275521919,
                  56.56227686927625,
                  46.86073126600934,
                  59.72416662525286,
                  41.133014320729046,
                  39.14356234934023,
                  39.10553254848888,
                  53.063930882893146,
                  34.46797498455737,
                  37.824649592263526,
                  33.52609140008997,
                  37.21484071380031,
                  72.32397309757803,
                  40.07491922982013,
                  50.38128205074656,
                  36.35723268043317,
                  55.00451341032724,
                  60.2934577118017,
                  40.331277112560805,
                  42.36213744937737,
                  63.49609074853596,
                  39.807277519245005
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  47.04284585323511,
                  58.86419286095327,
                  36.39510205097069,
                  58.87445447898464,
                  66.46347879548526,
                  69.13103540067291,
                  35.83001670834011,
                  37.3846201515047,
                  35.3727016363405,
                  45.49570547663044,
                  33.93538085634873,
                  55.921222374532846,
                  36.38933400623181,
                  36.48962450421956,
                  54.28025388927274,
                  40.864432117278305,
                  52.731857110095156,
                  38.63866508720675,
                  56.043511114932244,
                  58.421940173372235,
                  37.86137538542653,
                  44.959463704439855,
                  48.16212454810225,
                  79.64415500877305
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  58.196507597272905,
                  54.30920089139523,
                  33.997340416444885,
                  54.61582086405132,
                  44.8959011213843,
                  57.78369904759606,
                  39.15733622734399,
                  37.164116354494205,
                  37.126014527504864,
                  51.11084922239097,
                  32.47967371061138,
                  35.8427056565897,
                  31.53600625571887,
                  35.231741837068796,
                  70.40736878975522,
                  38.09723716845984,
                  48.4231196159411,
                  34.37250954606271,
                  53.05510709552097,
                  58.35406833696034,
                  38.354080577493605,
                  40.38878724070568,
                  61.56276696656722,
                  37.82908856070565
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4432996535503289,
              "rpss": 0.022312219825325164,
              "brier_below": 0.22076256584485643,
              "bss_below": 0.026610845526207072,
              "brier_above": 0.2225370878989195,
              "bss_above": 0.018010191882479543,
              "crps": 50.00993147869848,
              "crpss": -0.06081151045770228,
              "crps_fair": 48.54989555388957,
              "crpss_fair": -0.07461690829440881,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.303551,
                    0.488612,
                    0.174789,
                    0.033048,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2635,
                    0.345,
                    0.4399,
                    0.5281,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2675,
                    0.3439,
                    0.4626,
                    0.5334,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.216646,
                    0.575005,
                    0.171696,
                    0.036653,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2688,
                    0.3459,
                    0.4342,
                    0.5336,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2203,
                    0.3645,
                    0.4302,
                    0.4344,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42407698959179885,
                  0.47938177753323136,
                  0.42064205453002446,
                  0.45915742519564456,
                  0.3991429830354001,
                  0.5001029346316059,
                  0.40201708675685555,
                  0.4200196675112038,
                  0.39026114994010347,
                  0.45268096426932003,
                  0.34260552048895043,
                  0.5321827313777308,
                  0.40880070341287916,
                  0.4008952740609279,
                  0.40846144724642514,
                  0.428221331222905,
                  0.484817304944971,
                  0.4379861247654252,
                  0.4709175566980604,
                  0.46504848352653494,
                  0.45100500323742054,
                  0.40213320463980573,
                  0.41506684053614795,
                  0.4961045365854095
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4783928822759757,
                  0.47851945526200396,
                  0.4363405983984559,
                  0.45554856797843624,
                  0.4692768139798448,
                  0.47784783076934295,
                  0.4363277180670701,
                  0.42911353953029135,
                  0.42219420001192276,
                  0.5068481579907806,
                  0.40171471251488117,
                  0.45512779916810575,
                  0.404350582502918,
                  0.40865537485623,
                  0.48639718804316545,
                  0.44315229259879996,
                  0.4958720926659176,
                  0.43277603457023534,
                  0.46502636956376436,
                  0.4740692033828123,
                  0.456112797909182,
                  0.4302812020232237,
                  0.5000385661978536,
                  0.4365908837694042
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25709785796231166,
                  0.19544322893671529,
                  0.2615075999621629,
                  0.1509481654861465,
                  0.25622201673997186,
                  0.14212153048935297,
                  0.18017511337539222,
                  0.205938836471324,
                  0.17051808296873616,
                  0.3471801479717501,
                  0.09938718816203107,
                  0.3482660811303699,
                  0.23222118193171387,
                  0.1487360101251582,
                  0.10253176705098395,
                  0.19182507291647863,
                  0.37256077843312846,
                  0.14918357864168186,
                  0.21960245229595135,
                  0.1300142918487925,
                  0.18764814937156854,
                  0.2838891341784837,
                  0.28116954335221916,
                  0.2859056980768668
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.295061805248855,
                  0.19868207040204694,
                  0.26182430258523354,
                  0.1530273756639085,
                  0.29955785395623435,
                  0.13933500242887786,
                  0.19802750095084334,
                  0.21276191618591256,
                  0.1870946613836174,
                  0.3763362733314377,
                  0.1359850134096679,
                  0.3052279604608446,
                  0.2332793135781096,
                  0.16002787500701532,
                  0.13706805190249127,
                  0.20048953440023126,
                  0.37161435226063616,
                  0.14772157696565813,
                  0.21729977105895837,
                  0.13912166904319637,
                  0.1941619532924994,
                  0.2823363928821582,
                  0.33617678832429,
                  0.2605995668471377
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16697913178568333,
                  0.28393855036957427,
                  0.15913445360804904,
                  0.30820926217322714,
                  0.14292096670829893,
                  0.3579814062323761,
                  0.221841972466363,
                  0.21408083051066754,
                  0.2197430663972043,
                  0.1055008145075203,
                  0.24321833203265214,
                  0.18391665016800576,
                  0.1765795191201087,
                  0.25215926467378363,
                  0.30592967997080184,
                  0.23639625864412478,
                  0.11225652506647033,
                  0.2888025479481797,
                  0.25131510533628265,
                  0.335034195492395,
                  0.26335685541256587,
                  0.11824407015336875,
                  0.13389729749384355,
                  0.21019883893443675
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18333107702712054,
                  0.2798373848599569,
                  0.17451629581322226,
                  0.3025211923145276,
                  0.16971896002361034,
                  0.3385128283404649,
                  0.23830021711622673,
                  0.21635162334437877,
                  0.23509953862830535,
                  0.1305118846593427,
                  0.2657296991052132,
                  0.14989983870726103,
                  0.17107126892480837,
                  0.24862749984921456,
                  0.34932913614067407,
                  0.24266275819856864,
                  0.12425774040528127,
                  0.28505445760457715,
                  0.24772659850480583,
                  0.33494753433961566,
                  0.26195084461668244,
                  0.14794480914106525,
                  0.16386177787356343,
                  0.17599131692226644
                ],
                "crps": [
                  74.46170838486684,
                  92.93947373950844,
                  57.771627683303116,
                  88.93106665543648,
                  94.34143094459287,
                  109.83590577529154,
                  55.66382818758071,
                  58.28334393220677,
                  55.347340025113226,
                  65.91878065809539,
                  50.76488907771024,
                  86.90707111116596,
                  51.615066258131016,
                  54.12974794042857,
                  59.822104797105986,
                  60.59053348973334,
                  77.80616931607783,
                  60.574520625821606,
                  84.00936667889151,
                  79.11991080630675,
                  58.34213181307135,
                  65.79340167469555,
                  78.25016008106573,
                  106.26173203628021
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  88.82692214314231,
                  88.24742479961203,
                  55.08475034888021,
                  84.16278360597107,
                  67.8070499527785,
                  92.44999531996338,
                  62.44379244943635,
                  58.29221914343354,
                  58.940156594269254,
                  78.4199068998783,
                  50.48475121311102,
                  55.075563197379914,
                  47.14857564247005,
                  54.1600418129174,
                  81.03189466457867,
                  60.71939517686864,
                  76.19945631775296,
                  54.27423007451832,
                  79.02926764117136,
                  80.99914257141997,
                  59.58462438615225,
                  63.6185896967953,
                  102.64467420156433,
                  58.56684030684482
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  72.29949626916286,
                  90.81162727931923,
                  55.726703623243836,
                  86.6420920573084,
                  92.2470879981995,
                  107.6977167003286,
                  53.60409148820878,
                  56.22514927247602,
                  53.33111955528777,
                  63.78082119747013,
                  48.68821415589115,
                  84.8625344808696,
                  49.52532845570629,
                  52.069781993415525,
                  57.95996112851085,
                  58.4773109477524,
                  75.81060052925281,
                  58.33171484718868,
                  81.63178899367212,
                  76.99093221491529,
                  56.07427561079745,
                  63.86110085312987,
                  76.06734014037909,
                  104.20224142636097
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  85.98545820877793,
                  85.40486333240005,
                  52.179380786117605,
                  81.31248607589235,
                  64.92577565441721,
                  89.61539326661567,
                  59.55236046640964,
                  55.39292433217577,
                  56.042088937274436,
                  75.55873270937136,
                  47.570669530773095,
                  52.17017623470917,
                  44.22817544579379,
                  51.25292090823062,
                  78.17566742059579,
                  57.82469728991662,
                  73.33407672841624,
                  51.36732543547852,
                  76.16924754297749,
                  78.14285329695761,
                  56.687777312096586,
                  60.72938270855525,
                  99.82938025215908,
                  55.66806561142684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4371553789891159,
              "rpss": 0.03573761250219376,
              "brier_below": 0.2166705628283038,
              "bss_below": 0.04459547384373075,
              "brier_above": 0.22048481646691598,
              "bss_above": 0.02687150355121215,
              "crps": 71.97838798718671,
              "crpss": -0.04177346534684534,
              "crps_fair": 69.87162630078531,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05525017518478359,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.28091,
                    0.531372,
                    0.151446,
                    0.036272,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2666,
                    0.3422,
                    0.439,
                    0.5294,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2498,
                    0.3297,
                    0.5359,
                    0.5826,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.229626,
                    0.578682,
                    0.168917,
                    0.022776,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2644,
                    0.3471,
                    0.432,
                    0.5297,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1845,
                    0.3824,
                    0.4303,
                    0.4643,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4699399921907995,
                  0.45862564947067946,
                  0.44419979130343074,
                  0.45205542837546925,
                  0.41197140692974005,
                  0.47254408170879847,
                  0.4269701048302152,
                  0.4090995972833059,
                  0.4503194484807453
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4546231099504593,
                  0.43753747052601477,
                  0.49174002423345364,
                  0.49152720319112103,
                  0.425759686884452,
                  0.45276062109717374,
                  0.44678141219100675,
                  0.4601609884551471,
                  0.46568341206196623
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1600330841266188,
                  0.21348641939747837,
                  0.13697149208954396,
                  0.125182603104811,
                  0.18794577021249745,
                  0.2323990158902068,
                  0.22862788574544177,
                  0.1365580327379579,
                  0.2290336174475221
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15629594250614892,
                  0.2030692336614904,
                  0.1489835591475073,
                  0.12955841996645884,
                  0.19874380582689244,
                  0.2228475851534563,
                  0.23511902665323692,
                  0.15822245589198483,
                  0.22961314667049418
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3099068947162464,
                  0.2451392275403574,
                  0.3072282797032646,
                  0.3268728041211364,
                  0.2240256357806913,
                  0.2401450683889526,
                  0.1983422208436569,
                  0.27254155571364974,
                  0.2212858323863042
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29832715383568675,
                  0.23446823467476652,
                  0.3427564435327463,
                  0.3619687582360325,
                  0.2270158802003865,
                  0.22991303456849288,
                  0.21166238742601534,
                  0.30193851830877666,
                  0.23607026291524907
                ],
                "crps": [
                  49.64465428894478,
                  38.46015128812283,
                  54.679040451253414,
                  60.07295245791195,
                  32.18106121934549,
                  67.34467433765155,
                  40.1873948334904,
                  43.92976738330263,
                  54.31080274433597
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  45.93763629770763,
                  35.2795366741263,
                  62.023965985874646,
                  55.33149935133871,
                  31.79983015498263,
                  42.61526370924846,
                  40.8193611954094,
                  47.8036981418148,
                  46.24683772923825
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  48.910083620728905,
                  37.73373018110148,
                  53.92947151318773,
                  59.264901670354334,
                  31.498899589083692,
                  66.52143441301112,
                  39.42496184700246,
                  43.10651337452634,
                  53.4840465663129
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.05518656224228,
                  33.39708693866097,
                  60.14151625040928,
                  53.449049615873356,
                  29.91738041951728,
                  40.7328139737831,
                  38.936911459944035,
                  45.92124840634945,
                  44.36438799377288
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44396950006368713,
              "rpss": 0.03170873229994309,
              "brier_below": 0.18335976897245312,
              "bss_below": 0.019147786812221845,
              "brier_above": 0.26060972435491775,
              "bss_above": 0.04035527196562383,
              "crps": 48.97894433381767,
              "crpss": -0.08079503091812534,
              "crps_fair": 48.20822697503433,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10989191317642222,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.383722,
                    0.521806,
                    0.092159,
                    0.002312,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2556,
                    0.3441,
                    0.4344,
                    0.5085,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2137,
                    0.2077,
                    0.3979,
                    0.1942,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.190664,
                    0.548962,
                    0.186333,
                    0.074041,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2798,
                    0.3411,
                    0.4457,
                    0.5249,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3714,
                    0.4827,
                    0.5473,
                    0.5885,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4639322347682279,
                  0.43201091008040765,
                  0.45760071015506465,
                  0.4481572466033465,
                  0.41616019351565753,
                  0.43618829684462496,
                  0.4309314493721903,
                  0.4397944791220286,
                  0.4437604229244156
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4512821189297184,
                  0.4206501052342102,
                  0.48607676155700724,
                  0.47178924942018213,
                  0.4202321083174025,
                  0.44974331659729855,
                  0.4554292533591238,
                  0.4713683857526428,
                  0.46309958751658076
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13614700293440182,
                  0.21844631054584704,
                  0.15169016602837865,
                  0.12684460514088491,
                  0.16853625143307802,
                  0.16779080665838944,
                  0.23886416177881903,
                  0.15035608592695254,
                  0.1915260766717632
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13306928828126782,
                  0.21585583639272318,
                  0.16162148566504822,
                  0.13114817245105845,
                  0.17045689322354624,
                  0.1706324345160037,
                  0.2513941016020818,
                  0.16393510953105803,
                  0.19563367580327717
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.32778521413532885,
                  0.21356460261939042,
                  0.30591052671056673,
                  0.3213126232590928,
                  0.24762393750708023,
                  0.26839748461284246,
                  0.19206728864554384,
                  0.28943838087208296,
                  0.252234342504333
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.31821281348399405,
                  0.20479427195784727,
                  0.3244552576112664,
                  0.3406410557941846,
                  0.24977521016699747,
                  0.2791108719088107,
                  0.204035155009143,
                  0.30743326098466245,
                  0.2674659036231022
                ],
                "crps": [
                  73.29183330708396,
                  55.47141776114022,
                  80.49222615012775,
                  84.65023331830825,
                  47.74983035630946,
                  83.5177681384475,
                  61.403215046494886,
                  64.95291873125518,
                  76.95461356227504
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  68.43806065594151,
                  50.651721281077606,
                  84.86185486393984,
                  69.92810965360432,
                  47.572672349858124,
                  63.17874189655338,
                  62.58001975556023,
                  70.12878956370798,
                  68.41795298111988
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  72.23794618593713,
                  54.421385968783355,
                  79.43753007351353,
                  83.51620562743881,
                  46.75913390766527,
                  82.34314886393076,
                  60.29472152744076,
                  63.76532068308959,
                  75.7859207047522
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  65.67917197627564,
                  47.89283260141173,
                  82.10296618427398,
                  67.16922097393847,
                  44.813783670192265,
                  60.41985321688753,
                  59.821131075894364,
                  67.36990088404211,
                  65.65906430145401
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.440948438153996,
              "rpss": 0.029619728984210725,
              "brier_below": 0.17224460745761275,
              "bss_below": 0.027322737182742363,
              "brier_above": 0.26870382231847345,
              "bss_above": 0.031086445690753917,
              "crps": 69.83156181904914,
              "crpss": -0.07294162262655379,
              "crps_fair": 68.72903483806128,
              "crpss_fair": -0.10274651359185216,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.332425,
                    0.607054,
                    0.059448,
                    0.001073,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2607,
                    0.3425,
                    0.431,
                    0.5058,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.187,
                    0.1799,
                    0.4439,
                    0.125,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.201515,
                    0.594084,
                    0.159053,
                    0.045348,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.278,
                    0.3388,
                    0.4448,
                    0.5231,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3906,
                    0.5051,
                    0.589,
                    0.5771,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "mvs_zero_guard": {
          "lambda_": {
            "training_mean": 0.5881065768214245,
            "training": [
              0.6066599667243759,
              0.58540099228822,
              0.5831115310654001,
              0.582779528302588,
              0.5726411862332346,
              0.5808365912245709,
              0.6086419525337933,
              0.6140968893228808,
              0.5999874303429817,
              0.5990998845290103,
              0.5967476609523872,
              0.5507311823118889,
              0.5754562439396911,
              0.5941376764592154,
              0.6277988081947176,
              0.5785557038202808,
              0.5906836596810687,
              0.5885814754650417,
              0.5880841610892054,
              0.58220849999007,
              0.5894619185800025,
              0.5689712144874683,
              0.6106647654658128,
              0.5392189207102834
            ],
            "test": 0.6113933660018047
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.41572050653290454,
                  0.45777802603881845,
                  0.4284006705235833,
                  0.46107978097554453,
                  0.41716706300942114,
                  0.477964246577554,
                  0.43265744182560806,
                  0.41474591024532587,
                  0.393804873160686,
                  0.4734215091296651,
                  0.37582879521521434,
                  0.5116405745404586,
                  0.4379569945453267,
                  0.40860568590947505,
                  0.41120761805376665,
                  0.434783400426553,
                  0.4698183057286592,
                  0.41025752579192837,
                  0.46448111418814564,
                  0.46952743631124033,
                  0.4385555364224456,
                  0.42082001729403445,
                  0.4073699386420468,
                  0.5568816236426463
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4625021445862044,
                  0.46159488869678755,
                  0.4404943884335238,
                  0.46286694870416484,
                  0.46982744395686576,
                  0.4638745867904695,
                  0.4580567296219436,
                  0.44805822830116804,
                  0.4278195644333872,
                  0.48511783635941824,
                  0.40716586188404125,
                  0.4476694678025769,
                  0.4237393979375955,
                  0.4284018224249593,
                  0.5042399145627019,
                  0.4349655508301632,
                  0.4679909581860775,
                  0.4188368664000415,
                  0.462507410301521,
                  0.476874938942896,
                  0.4481833614592989,
                  0.43736310157224134,
                  0.4722166255537948,
                  0.47162506981963837
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.26517684544979836,
                  0.1837020593997106,
                  0.25690960452041917,
                  0.1899667364192553,
                  0.22315764267172367,
                  0.16105931157568565,
                  0.24736615626911462,
                  0.23991192516091123,
                  0.16044836033582094,
                  0.29328860355329195,
                  0.14277957801707247,
                  0.3267402846642841,
                  0.23997178581355513,
                  0.13743399742599918,
                  0.09507219354134037,
                  0.21513917974589433,
                  0.33344365174147295,
                  0.14930419022152877,
                  0.19980552804566504,
                  0.14854864334371604,
                  0.19816535383051492,
                  0.24129336991133926,
                  0.25607703154307787,
                  0.35128938111025804
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.299632410717911,
                  0.18587870939096326,
                  0.25998119606521325,
                  0.19649455373223845,
                  0.2550109542404642,
                  0.162611082203679,
                  0.2598521950723673,
                  0.2612903611498991,
                  0.17697290245365346,
                  0.29444690935857754,
                  0.1706907313694619,
                  0.28903643213970553,
                  0.23599804043522338,
                  0.14777022402744325,
                  0.13361595890202554,
                  0.21740548647461078,
                  0.33176824151275985,
                  0.15679241531485055,
                  0.1994166508248519,
                  0.15032826915290334,
                  0.20493564010625412,
                  0.24145406689362325,
                  0.29815694964329725,
                  0.31360797929136064
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15054366011368353,
                  0.2740759673029171,
                  0.1714910647324878,
                  0.2711130458202568,
                  0.19400942107170965,
                  0.3169049367332073,
                  0.18529128365653622,
                  0.17483398532574468,
                  0.23335651280968187,
                  0.18013290411896354,
                  0.2330492171103312,
                  0.1849002891359934,
                  0.19798520782495507,
                  0.27117168973229205,
                  0.31613542456265387,
                  0.219644219883275,
                  0.1363746524193985,
                  0.26095333691158684,
                  0.2646755878693214,
                  0.32097879703552573,
                  0.24039018316814112,
                  0.17952664739634117,
                  0.1512929074854874,
                  0.2055922431969544
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16286973386829323,
                  0.27571617930582415,
                  0.18051319236831054,
                  0.26637239497192633,
                  0.21481648971640155,
                  0.30126350458679035,
                  0.1982045345495762,
                  0.18676786715126875,
                  0.25084666197973376,
                  0.19067092700084065,
                  0.2364751305145793,
                  0.15863303566287124,
                  0.18774135750237225,
                  0.28063159839751606,
                  0.3706239556606764,
                  0.2175600643555525,
                  0.13622271667331767,
                  0.2620444510851909,
                  0.2630907594766691,
                  0.3265466697899926,
                  0.2432477213530449,
                  0.1959090346786181,
                  0.17405967591049748,
                  0.15801709052827764
                ],
                "crps": [
                  50.48531825749868,
                  60.4217498077284,
                  36.199040586426854,
                  58.23644739195621,
                  62.17948101027012,
                  73.05135707767803,
                  37.29579372412385,
                  38.24352803971538,
                  35.084202767796995,
                  45.50219205021297,
                  35.03343127590022,
                  57.94037092951499,
                  36.860938006176085,
                  36.0045657074297,
                  56.196132421711226,
                  42.0063106263386,
                  52.78285544357317,
                  38.650812008198415,
                  55.71080032619232,
                  59.64368634979556,
                  39.061319805015216,
                  40.20101498029792,
                  45.69214337639172,
                  70.42639884998569
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  60.13619481850307,
                  56.256236518496635,
                  35.98277275521919,
                  56.56227686927625,
                  46.86073126600934,
                  59.72416662525286,
                  41.133014320729046,
                  39.14356234934023,
                  39.10553254848888,
                  53.063930882893146,
                  34.46797498455737,
                  37.824649592263526,
                  33.52609140008997,
                  37.21484071380031,
                  72.32397309757803,
                  40.07491922982013,
                  50.38128205074656,
                  36.35723268043317,
                  55.00451341032724,
                  60.2934577118017,
                  40.331277112560805,
                  42.36213744937737,
                  63.49609074853596,
                  39.807277519245005
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  48.975371487452136,
                  58.855328277398016,
                  34.76049789455847,
                  56.62842557602322,
                  60.695535237801245,
                  71.47481128176952,
                  35.79182111491752,
                  36.78353227230572,
                  33.59756719680408,
                  43.96298668293163,
                  33.51955532369774,
                  56.42346822312544,
                  35.32438290755749,
                  34.48528494402624,
                  54.859789398343956,
                  40.47768739258037,
                  51.295211248692695,
                  36.99468294633532,
                  53.97149232472499,
                  58.08934217634717,
                  37.377483096719494,
                  38.779883502984404,
                  44.109590568918165,
                  68.91120556849212
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  58.196507597272905,
                  54.30920089139523,
                  33.997340416444885,
                  54.61582086405132,
                  44.8959011213843,
                  57.78369904759606,
                  39.15733622734399,
                  37.164116354494205,
                  37.126014527504864,
                  51.11084922239097,
                  32.47967371061138,
                  35.8427056565897,
                  31.53600625571887,
                  35.231741837068796,
                  70.40736878975522,
                  38.09723716845984,
                  48.4231196159411,
                  34.37250954606271,
                  53.05510709552097,
                  58.35406833696034,
                  38.354080577493605,
                  40.38878724070568,
                  61.56276696656722,
                  37.82908856070565
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44126977478046053,
              "rpss": 0.02678907346742032,
              "brier_below": 0.2190021422629771,
              "bss_below": 0.03437292790336821,
              "brier_above": 0.2222676327257269,
              "bss_above": 0.019199217209978525,
              "crps": 48.45457878416369,
              "crpss": -0.027819342854219276,
              "crps_fair": 46.92270569352113,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03860023478753738,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.003325,
                    0.304268,
                    0.485205,
                    0.165265,
                    0.038493,
                    0.003444,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1962,
                    0.2614,
                    0.3456,
                    0.4397,
                    0.5456,
                    0.6104,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.6954,
                    0.2518,
                    0.3438,
                    0.4624,
                    0.5954,
                    0.7544,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.238296,
                    0.507837,
                    0.22285,
                    0.029803,
                    0.001213,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2586,
                    0.3523,
                    0.4376,
                    0.5342,
                    0.6136,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2275,
                    0.3679,
                    0.4245,
                    0.3759,
                    0.1855,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.419412745727899,
                  0.4836372544758832,
                  0.4133469854903796,
                  0.45376662833360826,
                  0.3783085108547154,
                  0.5219519212720539,
                  0.3943571157539185,
                  0.417672450461831,
                  0.3798793680135661,
                  0.45193351887817373,
                  0.3431094781775913,
                  0.5568007696680404,
                  0.4066233108895988,
                  0.39260397831664295,
                  0.3910693548132413,
                  0.4229155360141911,
                  0.4795671003203191,
                  0.43358895607551556,
                  0.47130556100206517,
                  0.4625128308134605,
                  0.44652052521225777,
                  0.3836487434840681,
                  0.397242975055904,
                  0.5051846790194872
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4783928822759757,
                  0.47851945526200396,
                  0.4363405983984559,
                  0.45554856797843624,
                  0.4692768139798448,
                  0.47784783076934295,
                  0.4363277180670701,
                  0.42911353953029135,
                  0.42219420001192276,
                  0.5068481579907806,
                  0.40171471251488117,
                  0.45512779916810575,
                  0.404350582502918,
                  0.40865537485623,
                  0.48639718804316545,
                  0.44315229259879996,
                  0.4958720926659176,
                  0.43277603457023534,
                  0.46502636956376436,
                  0.4740692033828123,
                  0.456112797909182,
                  0.4302812020232237,
                  0.5000385661978536,
                  0.4365908837694042
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.25341481915703445,
                  0.1982058226375791,
                  0.2575284041099852,
                  0.14553217414229896,
                  0.24128514242624782,
                  0.15000358068154385,
                  0.1782225244177768,
                  0.20219997845671234,
                  0.16710098685329075,
                  0.3499576674335996,
                  0.0905653203090488,
                  0.3628969541373429,
                  0.23014727975970165,
                  0.1436538590162964,
                  0.09236791305759301,
                  0.18821548534043417,
                  0.37056765981164846,
                  0.14632196891747282,
                  0.21946818019892222,
                  0.12799828537841645,
                  0.1859907680981911,
                  0.27004421087396147,
                  0.27001690826184627,
                  0.2897796315920559
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.295061805248855,
                  0.19868207040204694,
                  0.26182430258523354,
                  0.1530273756639085,
                  0.29955785395623435,
                  0.13933500242887786,
                  0.19802750095084334,
                  0.21276191618591256,
                  0.1870946613836174,
                  0.3763362733314377,
                  0.1359850134096679,
                  0.3052279604608446,
                  0.2332793135781096,
                  0.16002787500701532,
                  0.13706805190249127,
                  0.20048953440023126,
                  0.37161435226063616,
                  0.14772157696565813,
                  0.21729977105895837,
                  0.13912166904319637,
                  0.1941619532924994,
                  0.2823363928821582,
                  0.33617678832429,
                  0.2605995668471377
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1659979261759561,
                  0.2854314330929504,
                  0.15581858067867635,
                  0.30823445660981247,
                  0.13702336928917577,
                  0.3719483431377929,
                  0.21613458998096735,
                  0.21547247205660927,
                  0.2127783804716156,
                  0.10197584936251844,
                  0.2525441583445939,
                  0.19390381593009903,
                  0.17647602904744752,
                  0.24895012034038522,
                  0.29870144137824245,
                  0.23470005029018495,
                  0.1089994389613581,
                  0.28726698944036133,
                  0.25183738228459773,
                  0.3345145505269475,
                  0.2605297584393139,
                  0.11360453224707076,
                  0.1272260670067485,
                  0.21540504818449444
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18333107702712054,
                  0.2798373848599569,
                  0.17451629581322226,
                  0.3025211923145276,
                  0.16971896002361034,
                  0.3385128283404649,
                  0.23830021711622673,
                  0.21635162334437877,
                  0.23509953862830535,
                  0.1305118846593427,
                  0.2657296991052132,
                  0.14989983870726103,
                  0.17107126892480837,
                  0.24862749984921456,
                  0.34932913614067407,
                  0.24266275819856864,
                  0.12425774040528127,
                  0.28505445760457715,
                  0.24772659850480583,
                  0.33494753433961566,
                  0.26195084461668244,
                  0.14794480914106525,
                  0.16386177787356343,
                  0.17599131692226644
                ],
                "crps": [
                  76.62807702152905,
                  94.03073045231552,
                  54.87829130717722,
                  85.70850911889897,
                  87.58500227566795,
                  114.78147538525296,
                  55.30809752336391,
                  57.44533908887895,
                  52.16310208535443,
                  65.07457567160301,
                  50.669111966179074,
                  88.91267801613212,
                  50.71430196452927,
                  51.71673432343616,
                  59.10403820340073,
                  61.59563556273312,
                  76.17006251080603,
                  58.31976505791169,
                  81.80105597776338,
                  79.85166341639328,
                  57.451843182802186,
                  57.211702864797005,
                  71.89254260140997,
                  93.5355734460259
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  88.82692214314231,
                  88.24742479961203,
                  55.08475034888021,
                  84.16278360597107,
                  67.8070499527785,
                  92.44999531996338,
                  62.44379244943635,
                  58.29221914343354,
                  58.940156594269254,
                  78.4199068998783,
                  50.48475121311102,
                  55.075563197379914,
                  47.14857564247005,
                  54.1600418129174,
                  81.03189466457867,
                  60.71939517686864,
                  76.19945631775296,
                  54.27423007451832,
                  79.02926764117136,
                  80.99914257141997,
                  59.58462438615225,
                  63.6185896967953,
                  102.64467420156433,
                  58.56684030684482
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  74.41964373021524,
                  91.82479218277712,
                  52.77520203783767,
                  83.3239646539499,
                  85.33442645519278,
                  112.55081758158619,
                  53.13515612526559,
                  55.322190470546424,
                  50.065746113533606,
                  62.81589608466083,
                  48.55574045131808,
                  86.77378025111149,
                  48.5302236920368,
                  49.57247553483674,
                  57.18205799900395,
                  59.404308577020785,
                  74.06606513297201,
                  55.94745433454605,
                  79.35627575220731,
                  77.62713494841383,
                  55.085349466154916,
                  55.18400792517643,
                  69.58689507885869,
                  91.36378623762685
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  85.98545820877793,
                  85.40486333240005,
                  52.179380786117605,
                  81.31248607589235,
                  64.92577565441721,
                  89.61539326661567,
                  59.55236046640964,
                  55.39292433217577,
                  56.042088937274436,
                  75.55873270937136,
                  47.570669530773095,
                  52.17017623470917,
                  44.22817544579379,
                  51.25292090823062,
                  78.17566742059579,
                  57.82469728991662,
                  73.33407672841624,
                  51.36732543547852,
                  76.16924754297749,
                  78.14285329695761,
                  56.687777312096586,
                  60.72938270855525,
                  99.82938025215908,
                  55.66806561142684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43362334575518385,
              "rpss": 0.043528450640222704,
              "brier_below": 0.21381189687787502,
              "bss_below": 0.05720070434739055,
              "brier_above": 0.21981144930324667,
              "bss_above": 0.029843466818523234,
              "crps": 70.10624620934841,
              "crpss": -0.01467717044418082,
              "crps_fair": 67.90847461736873,
              "crpss_fair": -0.02560128524880745,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.00433,
                    0.372083,
                    0.412359,
                    0.154298,
                    0.053101,
                    0.003829,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    0.1962,
                    0.2595,
                    0.344,
                    0.4428,
                    0.546,
                    0.6104,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    0.6514,
                    0.2333,
                    0.3414,
                    0.5269,
                    0.6262,
                    0.6978,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.296171,
                    0.467158,
                    0.199578,
                    0.035634,
                    0.00146,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2551,
                    0.3502,
                    0.4393,
                    0.5332,
                    0.6136,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2174,
                    0.3864,
                    0.4344,
                    0.4186,
                    0.2755,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46376301464207975,
                  0.4472274468915803,
                  0.4408511731080382,
                  0.44593568616868734,
                  0.4129480101170967,
                  0.4755391511132811,
                  0.41910734681760975,
                  0.4112768097090731,
                  0.44707130507194714
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4546231099504593,
                  0.43753747052601477,
                  0.49174002423345364,
                  0.49152720319112103,
                  0.425759686884452,
                  0.45276062109717374,
                  0.44678141219100675,
                  0.4601609884551471,
                  0.46568341206196623
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15821798319417502,
                  0.2102708226415771,
                  0.13838229183529968,
                  0.12571675179182296,
                  0.18970836347305353,
                  0.23186344003957488,
                  0.224460197698413,
                  0.13715824497329282,
                  0.2236984204825078
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15629594250614892,
                  0.2030692336614904,
                  0.1489835591475073,
                  0.12955841996645884,
                  0.19874380582689244,
                  0.2228475851534563,
                  0.23511902665323692,
                  0.15822245589198483,
                  0.22961314667049418
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.30554501907164877,
                  0.23695662225056918,
                  0.30246886200898804,
                  0.32021891414012976,
                  0.22323964547913797,
                  0.24367571466818602,
                  0.19464715051256973,
                  0.27411855551479203,
                  0.22337288643002184
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29832715383568675,
                  0.23446823467476652,
                  0.3427564435327463,
                  0.3619687582360325,
                  0.2270158802003865,
                  0.22991303456849288,
                  0.21166238742601534,
                  0.30193851830877666,
                  0.23607026291524907
                ],
                "crps": [
                  48.71875674893731,
                  37.19975329797671,
                  55.26605538966382,
                  54.668845370864645,
                  31.662183729235316,
                  58.09382568386139,
                  38.33045647600141,
                  43.31833096917961,
                  47.77098264409404
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  45.93763629770763,
                  35.2795366741263,
                  62.023965985874646,
                  55.33149935133871,
                  31.79983015498263,
                  42.61526370924846,
                  40.8193611954094,
                  47.8036981418148,
                  46.24683772923825
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  47.96315271739511,
                  36.440198138373006,
                  54.48086805235374,
                  53.83333446162889,
                  30.94688008142998,
                  57.24731617577117,
                  37.53693976732004,
                  42.46643728729688,
                  46.91679074002286
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.05518656224228,
                  33.39708693866097,
                  60.14151625040928,
                  53.449049615873356,
                  29.91738041951728,
                  40.7328139737831,
                  38.936911459944035,
                  45.92124840634945,
                  44.36438799377288
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4404133270710437,
              "rpss": 0.039464695839586006,
              "brier_below": 0.18216405734774632,
              "bss_below": 0.025544044835453805,
              "brier_above": 0.25824926334178255,
              "bss_above": 0.04904721150315605,
              "crps": 46.11435447886825,
              "crpss": -0.017583491286999875,
              "crps_fair": 45.31465749128797,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04327362887637243,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.398509,
                    0.506567,
                    0.093946,
                    0.000978,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2557,
                    0.3458,
                    0.4315,
                    0.5098,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1878,
                    0.2303,
                    0.381,
                    0.1543,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.204566,
                    0.500649,
                    0.23405,
                    0.060736,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2719,
                    0.3497,
                    0.4468,
                    0.5326,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.3855,
                    0.4754,
                    0.5487,
                    0.5938,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46201898784487466,
                  0.4295827402746702,
                  0.4587636943697183,
                  0.45370864095782604,
                  0.414943756472879,
                  0.43481940778934536,
                  0.4247360485231668,
                  0.4410679765358591,
                  0.4398980710086551
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4512821189297184,
                  0.4206501052342102,
                  0.48607676155700724,
                  0.47178924942018213,
                  0.4202321083174025,
                  0.44974331659729855,
                  0.4554292533591238,
                  0.4713683857526428,
                  0.46309958751658076
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.13383962641510655,
                  0.21756886436523032,
                  0.15038821974047745,
                  0.13038797589202533,
                  0.16834565744739766,
                  0.16788254970216157,
                  0.23685249869113756,
                  0.1492884940999707,
                  0.18880884013493882
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13306928828126782,
                  0.21585583639272318,
                  0.16162148566504822,
                  0.13114817245105845,
                  0.17045689322354624,
                  0.1706324345160037,
                  0.2513941016020818,
                  0.16393510953105803,
                  0.19563367580327717
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3281793443592384,
                  0.21201387893310494,
                  0.3083754569149754,
                  0.32332064715321523,
                  0.2465980935430487,
                  0.2669368533859514,
                  0.1878835502353862,
                  0.2917794701899148,
                  0.25108922738971623
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.31821281348399405,
                  0.20479427195784727,
                  0.3244552576112664,
                  0.3406410557941846,
                  0.24977521016699747,
                  0.2791108719088107,
                  0.204035155009143,
                  0.30743326098466245,
                  0.2674659036231022
                ],
                "crps": [
                  72.13278850265125,
                  53.565632357834346,
                  81.54693739075897,
                  78.95049050234954,
                  47.3333808039404,
                  73.65561490116087,
                  58.52473133046488,
                  64.87222930389898,
                  68.9431365264149
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  68.43806065594151,
                  50.651721281077606,
                  84.86185486393984,
                  69.92810965360432,
                  47.572672349858124,
                  63.17874189655338,
                  62.58001975556023,
                  70.12878956370798,
                  68.41795298111988
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  71.0581109792568,
                  52.473851180659025,
                  80.45266793705086,
                  77.78907039676757,
                  46.300870493029855,
                  72.46521813708522,
                  57.3871130690231,
                  63.660630233435704,
                  67.7429886853661
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  65.67917197627564,
                  47.89283260141173,
                  82.10296618427398,
                  67.16922097393847,
                  44.813783670192265,
                  60.41985321688753,
                  59.821131075894364,
                  67.36990088404211,
                  65.65906430145401
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43994881375299943,
              "rpss": 0.03181956849654455,
              "brier_below": 0.1714847473876051,
              "bss_below": 0.03161371977969274,
              "brier_above": 0.2684640580116168,
              "bss_above": 0.03195100684492169,
              "crps": 66.61388240216381,
              "crpss": -0.023502914903089422,
              "crps_fair": 65.48116901240824,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05063501916607027,
              "reliability": {
                "below": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.404204,
                    0.499935,
                    0.095725,
                    0.000135,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.255,
                    0.3446,
                    0.4323,
                    0.5184,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.1749,
                    0.1846,
                    0.3635,
                    1.0,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                },
                "above": {
                  "weight": [
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.293774,
                    0.4703,
                    0.181816,
                    0.054109,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0,
                    0.0
                  ],
                  "mean_forecast": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.2713,
                    0.3446,
                    0.4452,
                    0.5366,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ],
                  "observed_frequency": [
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    0.4279,
                    0.4996,
                    0.5958,
                    0.5484,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN,
                    NaN
                  ]
                }
              }
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "selection": {
        "SEL-P": {
          "criterion": "inner RPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "dc",
            "1994": "dc",
            "1995": "dc",
            "1996": "dc",
            "1997": "dc",
            "1998": "dc",
            "1999": "dc",
            "2000": "dc",
            "2001": "dc",
            "2002": "dc",
            "2003": "dc",
            "2004": "dc",
            "2005": "dc",
            "2006": "dc",
            "2007": "dc",
            "2008": "dc",
            "2009": "dc",
            "2010": "dc",
            "2011": "dc",
            "2012": "dc",
            "2013": "dc",
            "2014": "dc",
            "2015": "dc",
            "2016": "vs"
          },
          "chosen_test": "dc",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 0,
            "vs": 1,
            "sqrt_mvs": 0,
            "pt": 0,
            "dc": 23,
            "loci": 0,
            "eqm": 0,
            "gqm": 0,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 0,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4015610417199429,
                  0.44698217427414555,
                  0.4323328525532155,
                  0.4641828450736984,
                  0.430086671121153,
                  0.46375963139970383,
                  0.41969718292018277,
                  0.407727044465853,
                  0.398110337235658,
                  0.4776001434315466,
                  0.3872844505555748,
                  0.5017789842155442,
                  0.42884274792728877,
                  0.41322701850677906,
                  0.4239445057832507,
                  0.4400492441040479,
                  0.46654615100960145,
                  0.41012262451946224,
                  0.4626334602160419,
                  0.48265572770658316,
                  0.43695108030367513,
                  0.44117395226992384,
                  0.4079805146428984,
                  0.5642797135955535
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4625021445862044,
                  0.46159488869678755,
                  0.4404943884335238,
                  0.46286694870416484,
                  0.46982744395686576,
                  0.4638745867904695,
                  0.4580567296219436,
                  0.44805822830116804,
                  0.4278195644333872,
                  0.48511783635941824,
                  0.40716586188404125,
                  0.4476694678025769,
                  0.4237393979375955,
                  0.4284018224249593,
                  0.5042399145627019,
                  0.4349655508301632,
                  0.4679909581860775,
                  0.4188368664000415,
                  0.462507410301521,
                  0.476874938942896,
                  0.4481833614592989,
                  0.43736310157224134,
                  0.4722166255537948,
                  0.47162506981963837
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2586436639714599,
                  0.17525702202774393,
                  0.2589900149024053,
                  0.19673607082906253,
                  0.2318989079688097,
                  0.16014830708311759,
                  0.2382005034654069,
                  0.23666194159065804,
                  0.1624756880374438,
                  0.2902358499961528,
                  0.1548418531371192,
                  0.3163200209310992,
                  0.2354519019086298,
                  0.13770891954518627,
                  0.10369105484684427,
                  0.22131613662487812,
                  0.3282557969862494,
                  0.15034098273528687,
                  0.19987719282512612,
                  0.15350190395307117,
                  0.19828015289122977,
                  0.25519757385028774,
                  0.2545734423468184,
                  0.35694683677577876
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.299632410717911,
                  0.18587870939096326,
                  0.25998119606521325,
                  0.19649455373223845,
                  0.2550109542404642,
                  0.162611082203679,
                  0.2598521950723673,
                  0.2612903611498991,
                  0.17697290245365346,
                  0.29444690935857754,
                  0.1706907313694619,
                  0.28903643213970553,
                  0.23599804043522338,
                  0.14777022402744325,
                  0.13361595890202554,
                  0.21740548647461078,
                  0.33176824151275985,
                  0.15679241531485055,
                  0.1994166508248519,
                  0.15032826915290334,
                  0.20493564010625412,
                  0.24145406689362325,
                  0.29815694964329725,
                  0.31360797929136064
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.14291737812340163,
                  0.27172515152942056,
                  0.173342838483897,
                  0.2674467734077721,
                  0.1981877631291237,
                  0.3036113238009107,
                  0.18149668053972126,
                  0.17106510319374996,
                  0.23563464974129023,
                  0.18736429417459682,
                  0.232442597415675,
                  0.1854589636101315,
                  0.19339084678146176,
                  0.27551809848557396,
                  0.32025345003666233,
                  0.21873310720368777,
                  0.138290355050592,
                  0.2597816413079694,
                  0.2627562667224715,
                  0.32915382181468067,
                  0.23867092687167776,
                  0.1859763790350996,
                  0.15340707252966662,
                  0.20733287739339057
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16286973386829323,
                  0.27571617930582415,
                  0.18051319236831054,
                  0.26637239497192633,
                  0.21481648971640155,
                  0.30126350458679035,
                  0.1982045345495762,
                  0.18676786715126875,
                  0.25084666197973376,
                  0.19067092700084065,
                  0.2364751305145793,
                  0.15863303566287124,
                  0.18774135750237225,
                  0.28063159839751606,
                  0.3706239556606764,
                  0.2175600643555525,
                  0.13622271667331767,
                  0.2620444510851909,
                  0.2630907594766691,
                  0.3265466697899926,
                  0.2432477213530449,
                  0.1959090346786181,
                  0.17405967591049748,
                  0.15801709052827764
                ],
                "crps": [
                  47.652465478363034,
                  58.19303840058642,
                  38.24162821736989,
                  58.27581290980901,
                  67.82616236236873,
                  67.13885407967231,
                  37.344481096039516,
                  37.30409837010487,
                  37.87025806453278,
                  46.14309974762519,
                  36.3144739082375,
                  54.37971306020944,
                  36.643596076928326,
                  39.36309631261534,
                  53.897206878248724,
                  41.96942117510465,
                  51.248762701515794,
                  38.473728441690376,
                  54.51336615386359,
                  58.72437150623225,
                  39.34451483181609,
                  45.08918238021529,
                  48.26753833251689,
                  70.38159892276173
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  60.13619481850307,
                  56.256236518496635,
                  35.98277275521919,
                  56.56227686927625,
                  46.86073126600934,
                  59.72416662525286,
                  41.133014320729046,
                  39.14356234934023,
                  39.10553254848888,
                  53.063930882893146,
                  34.46797498455737,
                  37.824649592263526,
                  33.52609140008997,
                  37.21484071380031,
                  72.32397309757803,
                  40.07491922982013,
                  50.38128205074656,
                  36.35723268043317,
                  55.00451341032724,
                  60.2934577118017,
                  40.331277112560805,
                  42.36213744937737,
                  63.49609074853596,
                  39.807277519245005
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  45.93405279148919,
                  56.18148424227142,
                  36.38292011378941,
                  56.364570193886514,
                  66.35908895757609,
                  65.07367942173128,
                  35.269389072025106,
                  35.2915982138574,
                  35.82935065065649,
                  44.350016047754416,
                  34.07478288937488,
                  52.266346166190445,
                  34.592788653110745,
                  37.37495047389892,
                  51.79742095457126,
                  39.91079486897625,
                  49.283534569023175,
                  36.477224019445394,
                  52.459356747092194,
                  56.749419578874516,
                  37.35323368729345,
                  43.333299985593285,
                  46.58517046780143,
                  68.87609588671756
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  58.196507597272905,
                  54.30920089139523,
                  33.997340416444885,
                  54.61582086405132,
                  44.8959011213843,
                  57.78369904759606,
                  39.15733622734399,
                  37.164116354494205,
                  37.126014527504864,
                  51.11084922239097,
                  32.47967371061138,
                  35.8427056565897,
                  31.53600625571887,
                  35.231741837068796,
                  70.40736878975522,
                  38.09723716845984,
                  48.4231196159411,
                  34.37250954606271,
                  53.05510709552097,
                  58.35406833696034,
                  38.354080577493605,
                  40.38878724070568,
                  61.56276696656722,
                  37.82908856070565
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44206292081463855,
              "rpss": 0.02503980707549025,
              "brier_below": 0.2198146558012444,
              "bss_below": 0.030790382724180887,
              "brier_above": 0.22224826501594266,
              "bss_above": 0.01928468113778603,
              "crps": 48.5250195586845,
              "crpss": -0.02931353375206247,
              "crps_fair": 46.5904403605417,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03124578137860179
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4153527406482273,
                  0.47808131187777575,
                  0.4249937766563524,
                  0.45751565043790626,
                  0.39086223775043155,
                  0.497273512853977,
                  0.4053190097653147,
                  0.4159079427715204,
                  0.3959185696333364,
                  0.44802892930703697,
                  0.34563085074270394,
                  0.5311485993359509,
                  0.4121767502840164,
                  0.406663902310415,
                  0.41009069130179765,
                  0.42926153212796797,
                  0.4834799526625871,
                  0.4314102367859066,
                  0.46560207231128203,
                  0.4613074948393843,
                  0.4497633236411487,
                  0.4034403849813167,
                  0.3955030860780378,
                  0.5075089531621364
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4783928822759757,
                  0.47851945526200396,
                  0.4363405983984559,
                  0.45554856797843624,
                  0.4692768139798448,
                  0.47784783076934295,
                  0.4363277180670701,
                  0.42911353953029135,
                  0.42219420001192276,
                  0.5068481579907806,
                  0.40171471251488117,
                  0.45512779916810575,
                  0.404350582502918,
                  0.40865537485623,
                  0.48639718804316545,
                  0.44315229259879996,
                  0.4958720926659176,
                  0.43277603457023534,
                  0.46502636956376436,
                  0.4740692033828123,
                  0.456112797909182,
                  0.4302812020232237,
                  0.5000385661978536,
                  0.4365908837694042
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2514922619296807,
                  0.1963660254276124,
                  0.26124317323924284,
                  0.1547469634108075,
                  0.25225744629476027,
                  0.1429278597400225,
                  0.18392086457791695,
                  0.20620229310987337,
                  0.17458160753853735,
                  0.3402839057718203,
                  0.10141724223674771,
                  0.3390754601364634,
                  0.2333206327182575,
                  0.1552177513119839,
                  0.11047355929259346,
                  0.1944353480703584,
                  0.3637640456969382,
                  0.1471288199568826,
                  0.21706449628956248,
                  0.1333080982324594,
                  0.19071378994600788,
                  0.28357124307665055,
                  0.2652341468058417,
                  0.29073978168256825
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.295061805248855,
                  0.19868207040204694,
                  0.26182430258523354,
                  0.1530273756639085,
                  0.29955785395623435,
                  0.13933500242887786,
                  0.19802750095084334,
                  0.21276191618591256,
                  0.1870946613836174,
                  0.3763362733314377,
                  0.1359850134096679,
                  0.3052279604608446,
                  0.2332793135781096,
                  0.16002787500701532,
                  0.13706805190249127,
                  0.20048953440023126,
                  0.37161435226063616,
                  0.14772157696565813,
                  0.21729977105895837,
                  0.13912166904319637,
                  0.1941619532924994,
                  0.2823363928821582,
                  0.33617678832429,
                  0.2605995668471377
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.16386047883162944,
                  0.2817152853282346,
                  0.1637506043869953,
                  0.3027686855824402,
                  0.1386047914232686,
                  0.35434565154325526,
                  0.2213981463081509,
                  0.20970565025422358,
                  0.22133696337337386,
                  0.10774502508790086,
                  0.24421360801492006,
                  0.19207313941593065,
                  0.17885611860136047,
                  0.2514461505532953,
                  0.29961713179843474,
                  0.234826183162006,
                  0.11971590834635981,
                  0.2842814158155748,
                  0.2485375752243243,
                  0.3279993941618582,
                  0.25904953297094296,
                  0.11986914264855977,
                  0.13026893954088023,
                  0.21676917222863645
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18333107702712054,
                  0.2798373848599569,
                  0.17451629581322226,
                  0.3025211923145276,
                  0.16971896002361034,
                  0.3385128283404649,
                  0.23830021711622673,
                  0.21635162334437877,
                  0.23509953862830535,
                  0.1305118846593427,
                  0.2657296991052132,
                  0.14989983870726103,
                  0.17107126892480837,
                  0.24862749984921456,
                  0.34932913614067407,
                  0.24266275819856864,
                  0.12425774040528127,
                  0.28505445760457715,
                  0.24772659850480583,
                  0.33494753433961566,
                  0.26195084461668244,
                  0.14794480914106525,
                  0.16386177787356343,
                  0.17599131692226644
                ],
                "crps": [
                  73.61746926149182,
                  89.82645513430657,
                  58.02733539982128,
                  85.26426683094101,
                  93.93194337546088,
                  104.76114604827058,
                  56.19723618481137,
                  56.78162814325377,
                  56.64318448211941,
                  65.26405173545837,
                  52.022670922123815,
                  81.9340596663799,
                  51.58237681015539,
                  56.43792103875845,
                  58.764767148450375,
                  60.69846740016219,
                  74.32576090360192,
                  57.93153714080119,
                  79.92306393466109,
                  77.53867531277699,
                  58.21674937885318,
                  63.99813704857,
                  76.19951497462475,
                  93.56294908144937
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  88.82692214314231,
                  88.24742479961203,
                  55.08475034888021,
                  84.16278360597107,
                  67.8070499527785,
                  92.44999531996338,
                  62.44379244943635,
                  58.29221914343354,
                  58.940156594269254,
                  78.4199068998783,
                  50.48475121311102,
                  55.075563197379914,
                  47.14857564247005,
                  54.1600418129174,
                  81.03189466457867,
                  60.71939517686864,
                  76.19945631775296,
                  54.27423007451832,
                  79.02926764117136,
                  80.99914257141997,
                  59.58462438615225,
                  63.6185896967953,
                  102.64467420156433,
                  58.56684030684482
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  71.08110350053553,
                  86.94169069285019,
                  55.299851013652464,
                  82.43790513309783,
                  91.70355496218612,
                  101.84784466832461,
                  53.13506068095342,
                  53.77958765535103,
                  53.640182455474296,
                  62.57035896177137,
                  48.78276957024184,
                  78.82514663569408,
                  48.58693821509483,
                  53.505360393876046,
                  55.67561734923401,
                  57.65805194714345,
                  71.4856754725505,
                  55.03037214377706,
                  76.92351060862127,
                  74.62501130636149,
                  55.291596117643635,
                  61.377389621101905,
                  73.73108990554105,
                  91.3892408186795
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  85.98545820877793,
                  85.40486333240005,
                  52.179380786117605,
                  81.31248607589235,
                  64.92577565441721,
                  89.61539326661567,
                  59.55236046640964,
                  55.39292433217577,
                  56.042088937274436,
                  75.55873270937136,
                  47.570669530773095,
                  52.17017623470917,
                  44.22817544579379,
                  51.25292090823062,
                  78.17566742059579,
                  57.82469728991662,
                  73.33407672841624,
                  51.36732543547852,
                  76.16924754297749,
                  78.14285329695761,
                  56.687777312096586,
                  60.72938270855525,
                  99.82938025215908,
                  55.66806561142684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4359267296777721,
              "rpss": 0.038447725142448874,
              "brier_below": 0.21622861735389956,
              "bss_below": 0.04654422360026633,
              "brier_above": 0.2196981122751065,
              "bss_above": 0.03034368943499799,
              "crps": 70.14380697322099,
              "crpss": -0.015220803168319863,
              "crps_fair": 67.30520457623989,
              "crpss_fair": -0.016490279103845484
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.47035971236694163,
                  0.46217309892391945,
                  0.44145191372962383,
                  0.4542924364520213,
                  0.4133056426162577,
                  0.47125335318639044,
                  0.43250456270885745,
                  0.4064985538684805,
                  0.44750611190394596
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4546231099504593,
                  0.43753747052601477,
                  0.49174002423345364,
                  0.49152720319112103,
                  0.425759686884452,
                  0.45276062109717374,
                  0.44678141219100675,
                  0.4601609884551471,
                  0.46568341206196623
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1650195750870435,
                  0.21594516904069158,
                  0.13740699651043536,
                  0.12767809490044618,
                  0.19003233697842684,
                  0.2334549976247266,
                  0.229854792248396,
                  0.13712055780097235,
                  0.2280369242627345
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15629594250614892,
                  0.2030692336614904,
                  0.1489835591475073,
                  0.12955841996645884,
                  0.19874380582689244,
                  0.2228475851534563,
                  0.23511902665323692,
                  0.15822245589198483,
                  0.22961314667049418
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.305340124047208,
                  0.24622792735833615,
                  0.30404489771067317,
                  0.3266143202071054,
                  0.2232733045372993,
                  0.23779835824800255,
                  0.20264977220350952,
                  0.26937798745230057,
                  0.2194691892076266
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29832715383568675,
                  0.23446823467476652,
                  0.3427564435327463,
                  0.3619687582360325,
                  0.2270158802003865,
                  0.22991303456849288,
                  0.21166238742601534,
                  0.30193851830877666,
                  0.23607026291524907
                ],
                "crps": [
                  49.92649346453578,
                  38.046397414048094,
                  54.227172006239556,
                  57.159961104092524,
                  32.510807659495164,
                  62.64537041923863,
                  40.63030985035156,
                  43.63584990867115,
                  52.61454307984391
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  45.93763629770763,
                  35.2795366741263,
                  62.023965985874646,
                  55.33149935133871,
                  31.79983015498263,
                  42.61526370924846,
                  40.8193611954094,
                  47.8036981418148,
                  46.24683772923825
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  48.0645747908263,
                  36.156105242328344,
                  52.27730858574367,
                  55.01102097733631,
                  30.61334485302774,
                  60.42232068606571,
                  38.88504432096421,
                  41.55811526859896,
                  50.433196575222496
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.05518656224228,
                  33.39708693866097,
                  60.14151625040928,
                  53.449049615873356,
                  29.91738041951728,
                  40.7328139737831,
                  38.936911459944035,
                  45.92124840634945,
                  44.36438799377288
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4443717095284931,
              "rpss": 0.030831519084841497,
              "brier_below": 0.18494993827265255,
              "bss_below": 0.010641443865868183,
              "brier_above": 0.25942176455245125,
              "bss_above": 0.044729703366353846,
              "crps": 47.932989434057376,
              "crpss": -0.05771444244074453,
              "crps_fair": 45.935670144457085,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05757112465628533
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4695762661678721,
                  0.433205974997104,
                  0.4598451635267276,
                  0.44834306589702244,
                  0.4165516222466685,
                  0.4321111825922491,
                  0.43007645770186137,
                  0.4339773997615093,
                  0.4466105031172973
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4512821189297184,
                  0.4206501052342102,
                  0.48607676155700724,
                  0.47178924942018213,
                  0.4202321083174025,
                  0.44974331659729855,
                  0.4554292533591238,
                  0.4713683857526428,
                  0.46309958751658076
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1438700969070908,
                  0.22170930408971742,
                  0.1564116834449583,
                  0.1289966780315224,
                  0.16979273563874944,
                  0.1676378064656015,
                  0.23745435883879512,
                  0.15128111064064115,
                  0.19462688952808718
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13306928828126782,
                  0.21585583639272318,
                  0.16162148566504822,
                  0.13114817245105845,
                  0.17045689322354624,
                  0.1706324345160037,
                  0.2513941016020818,
                  0.16393510953105803,
                  0.19563367580327717
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.32570615180511264,
                  0.21149667429789157,
                  0.30343346274157706,
                  0.3193463698917333,
                  0.24675888181480204,
                  0.2644733709208825,
                  0.19262209950341053,
                  0.28269627732441666,
                  0.2519836101313543
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.31821281348399405,
                  0.20479427195784727,
                  0.3244552576112664,
                  0.3406410557941846,
                  0.24977521016699747,
                  0.2791108719088107,
                  0.204035155009143,
                  0.30743326098466245,
                  0.2674659036231022
                ],
                "crps": [
                  73.67380806043923,
                  54.80889244169543,
                  79.3164506637063,
                  81.17220530520275,
                  48.35328927546826,
                  79.41825257902448,
                  61.63416147145437,
                  64.18639071010055,
                  75.85434473349002
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  68.43806065594151,
                  50.651721281077606,
                  84.86185486393984,
                  69.92810965360432,
                  47.572672349858124,
                  63.17874189655338,
                  62.58001975556023,
                  70.12878956370798,
                  68.41795298111988
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  70.94837639350223,
                  52.034241707852686,
                  76.53255292738875,
                  78.17378091164274,
                  45.5790594303119,
                  76.28248320920483,
                  59.07558529036204,
                  61.23905104320342,
                  72.76277320638813
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  65.67917197627564,
                  47.89283260141173,
                  82.10296618427398,
                  67.16922097393847,
                  44.813783670192265,
                  60.41985321688753,
                  59.821131075894364,
                  67.36990088404211,
                  65.65906430145401
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4411441817787013,
              "rpss": 0.02918896262888282,
              "brier_below": 0.174642295953907,
              "bss_below": 0.013782823695245527,
              "brier_above": 0.26650187760346455,
              "bss_above": 0.039026392587687364,
              "crps": 68.7130883600646,
              "crpss": -0.055756603464913734,
              "crps_fair": 65.84754490220631,
              "crpss_fair": -0.05651346247741418
            }
          }
        },
        "SEL-A": {
          "criterion": "inner CRPS (training years only)",
          "chosen_training": {
            "1993": "gqm",
            "1994": "gqm",
            "1995": "gqm",
            "1996": "gqm",
            "1997": "dc",
            "1998": "gqm",
            "1999": "gqm",
            "2000": "gqm",
            "2001": "gqm",
            "2002": "gqm",
            "2003": "gqm",
            "2004": "gqm",
            "2005": "gqm",
            "2006": "gqm",
            "2007": "gqm",
            "2008": "gqm",
            "2009": "gqm",
            "2010": "gqm",
            "2011": "gqm",
            "2012": "gqm",
            "2013": "gqm",
            "2014": "dc",
            "2015": "gqm",
            "2016": "sqrt_mvs"
          },
          "chosen_test": "gqm",
          "frequency": {
            "mvs": 0,
            "ls": 0,
            "vs": 0,
            "sqrt_mvs": 1,
            "pt": 0,
            "dc": 2,
            "loci": 0,
            "eqm": 0,
            "gqm": 21,
            "dqm": 0,
            "qdm": 0,
            "sdm": 0,
            "cdft": 0
          },
          "training": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.4193977856116993,
                  0.45421499234416723,
                  0.4315342544122402,
                  0.46347029558785025,
                  0.430086671121153,
                  0.48005795499810083,
                  0.4429557120096264,
                  0.42050857101022865,
                  0.3899213724862075,
                  0.46877126303233096,
                  0.3746049179736462,
                  0.5153074322934597,
                  0.43498344951269075,
                  0.40235881683145547,
                  0.4005237699527267,
                  0.43607040460141744,
                  0.47345815014695325,
                  0.4087114886653114,
                  0.46023140135420104,
                  0.46490906747387284,
                  0.43906466086829044,
                  0.44117395226992384,
                  0.4088752562987094,
                  0.567425636585892
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4625021445862044,
                  0.46159488869678755,
                  0.4404943884335238,
                  0.46286694870416484,
                  0.46982744395686576,
                  0.4638745867904695,
                  0.4580567296219436,
                  0.44805822830116804,
                  0.4278195644333872,
                  0.48511783635941824,
                  0.40716586188404125,
                  0.4476694678025769,
                  0.4237393979375955,
                  0.4284018224249593,
                  0.5042399145627019,
                  0.4349655508301632,
                  0.4679909581860775,
                  0.4188368664000415,
                  0.462507410301521,
                  0.476874938942896,
                  0.4481833614592989,
                  0.43736310157224134,
                  0.4722166255537948,
                  0.47162506981963837
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2671926668586515,
                  0.18055847726208088,
                  0.2583240670826067,
                  0.1910208482191575,
                  0.2318989079688097,
                  0.1617933586128083,
                  0.2555435884216239,
                  0.24445869580045865,
                  0.1569850115411237,
                  0.28990933499720895,
                  0.1415436987266394,
                  0.3290343480499512,
                  0.23796342390967834,
                  0.13295642906905172,
                  0.08972356508646291,
                  0.21526310742158794,
                  0.33487582379286307,
                  0.14737714582290348,
                  0.19673415879578335,
                  0.14639463950658102,
                  0.19753113457577393,
                  0.25519757385028774,
                  0.2568076066102525,
                  0.3582504462259057
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.299632410717911,
                  0.18587870939096326,
                  0.25998119606521325,
                  0.19649455373223845,
                  0.2550109542404642,
                  0.162611082203679,
                  0.2598521950723673,
                  0.2612903611498991,
                  0.17697290245365346,
                  0.29444690935857754,
                  0.1706907313694619,
                  0.28903643213970553,
                  0.23599804043522338,
                  0.14777022402744325,
                  0.13361595890202554,
                  0.21740548647461078,
                  0.33176824151275985,
                  0.15679241531485055,
                  0.1994166508248519,
                  0.15032826915290334,
                  0.20493564010625412,
                  0.24145406689362325,
                  0.29815694964329725,
                  0.31360797929136064
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.15220511779672405,
                  0.2736565158888852,
                  0.17321018651176773,
                  0.2724494485348625,
                  0.1981877631291237,
                  0.3182645981787669,
                  0.18741212173985494,
                  0.1760498749131566,
                  0.2329363608098706,
                  0.17886192677727847,
                  0.233061219069748,
                  0.18627308346594282,
                  0.19702002470672458,
                  0.2694023891866363,
                  0.31080020459528174,
                  0.2208072966944649,
                  0.1385823252369173,
                  0.26133434418035195,
                  0.26349724433791905,
                  0.31851443208062585,
                  0.2415335269218271,
                  0.1859763790350996,
                  0.15206765014023152,
                  0.2091751910983146
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.16286973386829323,
                  0.27571617930582415,
                  0.18051319236831054,
                  0.26637239497192633,
                  0.21481648971640155,
                  0.30126350458679035,
                  0.1982045345495762,
                  0.18676786715126875,
                  0.25084666197973376,
                  0.19067092700084065,
                  0.2364751305145793,
                  0.15863303566287124,
                  0.18774135750237225,
                  0.28063159839751606,
                  0.3706239556606764,
                  0.2175600643555525,
                  0.13622271667331767,
                  0.2620444510851909,
                  0.2630907594766691,
                  0.3265466697899926,
                  0.2432477213530449,
                  0.1959090346786181,
                  0.17405967591049748,
                  0.15801709052827764
                ],
                "crps": [
                  50.797977084070546,
                  60.53343516298056,
                  35.91292352577275,
                  58.031104090715615,
                  67.82616236236873,
                  73.30078622891183,
                  37.2900256443099,
                  38.34148369553535,
                  34.76785169336497,
                  45.41646005518949,
                  34.35359837760375,
                  58.060138498205326,
                  36.845395883281704,
                  35.690825923472254,
                  56.72557018153456,
                  41.84371530758647,
                  53.14321362135743,
                  38.43233820748574,
                  55.535917932045905,
                  59.88298656345248,
                  39.04944128958393,
                  45.08918238021529,
                  45.29094174167283,
                  70.02285949929772
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  60.13619481850307,
                  56.256236518496635,
                  35.98277275521919,
                  56.56227686927625,
                  46.86073126600934,
                  59.72416662525286,
                  41.133014320729046,
                  39.14356234934023,
                  39.10553254848888,
                  53.063930882893146,
                  34.46797498455737,
                  37.824649592263526,
                  33.52609140008997,
                  37.21484071380031,
                  72.32397309757803,
                  40.07491922982013,
                  50.38128205074656,
                  36.35723268043317,
                  55.00451341032724,
                  60.2934577118017,
                  40.331277112560805,
                  42.36213744937737,
                  63.49609074853596,
                  39.807277519245005
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  49.3181023526933,
                  59.01428346574658,
                  34.50357655663053,
                  56.451153427549265,
                  66.35908895757609,
                  71.78640214148913,
                  35.823437177056,
                  36.910134823110354,
                  33.31801297407556,
                  43.89570683507202,
                  32.89379164248718,
                  56.58172910087863,
                  35.34946173263062,
                  34.20276666151,
                  55.43626768160438,
                  40.34469638879759,
                  51.69431460711308,
                  36.82382347549819,
                  53.84534694794743,
                  58.372413773839426,
                  37.4075018284554,
                  43.333299985593285,
                  43.72658517995121,
                  68.54308031596584
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  58.196507597272905,
                  54.30920089139523,
                  33.997340416444885,
                  54.61582086405132,
                  44.8959011213843,
                  57.78369904759606,
                  39.15733622734399,
                  37.164116354494205,
                  37.126014527504864,
                  51.11084922239097,
                  32.47967371061138,
                  35.8427056565897,
                  31.53600625571887,
                  35.231741837068796,
                  70.40736878975522,
                  38.09723716845984,
                  48.4231196159411,
                  34.37250954606271,
                  53.05510709552097,
                  58.35406833696034,
                  38.354080577493605,
                  40.38878724070568,
                  61.56276696656722,
                  37.82908856070565
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.44285905322675645,
              "rpss": 0.023283954291724696,
              "brier_below": 0.2198890857586772,
              "bss_below": 0.03046220519527887,
              "brier_above": 0.222969967709599,
              "bss_above": 0.0161000223631399,
              "crps": 48.84101395625063,
              "crpss": -0.036016412245728935,
              "crps_fair": 47.33062408471963,
              "crpss_fair": -0.04762921405484799
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                1993,
                1994,
                1995,
                1996,
                1997,
                1998,
                1999,
                2000,
                2001,
                2002,
                2003,
                2004,
                2005,
                2006,
                2007,
                2008,
                2009,
                2010,
                2011,
                2012,
                2013,
                2014,
                2015,
                2016
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.42050036534565116,
                  0.484355045509676,
                  0.4123299220792607,
                  0.45243006688145854,
                  0.39086223775043155,
                  0.5224333014459388,
                  0.3940150829965076,
                  0.4175348561157004,
                  0.37863045896481534,
                  0.45309275090308904,
                  0.34121698867051625,
                  0.560514421671447,
                  0.4062077687307827,
                  0.39219922484838626,
                  0.3884283725082952,
                  0.4234211245708433,
                  0.4810944000875618,
                  0.43306977737837277,
                  0.47051270179591476,
                  0.4620888480010735,
                  0.44768862909477014,
                  0.4034403849813167,
                  0.3971933150250681,
                  0.5071535647983667
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4783928822759757,
                  0.47851945526200396,
                  0.4363405983984559,
                  0.45554856797843624,
                  0.4692768139798448,
                  0.47784783076934295,
                  0.4363277180670701,
                  0.42911353953029135,
                  0.42219420001192276,
                  0.5068481579907806,
                  0.40171471251488117,
                  0.45512779916810575,
                  0.404350582502918,
                  0.40865537485623,
                  0.48639718804316545,
                  0.44315229259879996,
                  0.4958720926659176,
                  0.43277603457023534,
                  0.46502636956376436,
                  0.4740692033828123,
                  0.456112797909182,
                  0.4302812020232237,
                  0.5000385661978536,
                  0.4365908837694042
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.2541229911290399,
                  0.1986424027654889,
                  0.25682147580339104,
                  0.14461801011058054,
                  0.25225744629476027,
                  0.1496791802911079,
                  0.17807683489040416,
                  0.2026162032637967,
                  0.16617984115366086,
                  0.3514089772761387,
                  0.09003023058997514,
                  0.3652086989184088,
                  0.22988544618207812,
                  0.14307851519989231,
                  0.09137153148681232,
                  0.18834432326181738,
                  0.3717784273791675,
                  0.14531677806802074,
                  0.21921781679726676,
                  0.12764946948729144,
                  0.18612658867712645,
                  0.28357124307665055,
                  0.27006332009269157,
                  0.2906641421559442
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.295061805248855,
                  0.19868207040204694,
                  0.26182430258523354,
                  0.1530273756639085,
                  0.29955785395623435,
                  0.13933500242887786,
                  0.19802750095084334,
                  0.21276191618591256,
                  0.1870946613836174,
                  0.3763362733314377,
                  0.1359850134096679,
                  0.3052279604608446,
                  0.2332793135781096,
                  0.16002787500701532,
                  0.13706805190249127,
                  0.20048953440023126,
                  0.37161435226063616,
                  0.14772157696565813,
                  0.21729977105895837,
                  0.13912166904319637,
                  0.1941619532924994,
                  0.2823363928821582,
                  0.33617678832429,
                  0.2605995668471377
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.1663773737495035,
                  0.28571264390625944,
                  0.1555084459356643,
                  0.3078120591502793,
                  0.1386047914232686,
                  0.372754123641551,
                  0.21593824691610808,
                  0.21491865292374748,
                  0.2124506172100325,
                  0.10168377152330828,
                  0.25118675856637496,
                  0.19530572326353715,
                  0.17632232056448136,
                  0.24912071086722176,
                  0.29705684066871874,
                  0.23507680085902458,
                  0.10931597115740327,
                  0.2877530014507831,
                  0.25129488641395736,
                  0.33443938358916236,
                  0.2615620418370662,
                  0.11986914264855977,
                  0.12712999500647928,
                  0.21648942361029802
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.18333107702712054,
                  0.2798373848599569,
                  0.17451629581322226,
                  0.3025211923145276,
                  0.16971896002361034,
                  0.3385128283404649,
                  0.23830021711622673,
                  0.21635162334437877,
                  0.23509953862830535,
                  0.1305118846593427,
                  0.2657296991052132,
                  0.14989983870726103,
                  0.17107126892480837,
                  0.24862749984921456,
                  0.34932913614067407,
                  0.24266275819856864,
                  0.12425774040528127,
                  0.28505445760457715,
                  0.24772659850480583,
                  0.33494753433961566,
                  0.26195084461668244,
                  0.14794480914106525,
                  0.16386177787356343,
                  0.17599131692226644
                ],
                "crps": [
                  76.77465355273138,
                  94.41155776914796,
                  54.61194585177332,
                  85.7025460286557,
                  93.93194337546088,
                  115.0979561445526,
                  55.34231544849318,
                  57.49309639789631,
                  52.03521316821976,
                  65.25770450320904,
                  49.92125679915038,
                  88.88119206632565,
                  50.650306960253324,
                  51.53907800602652,
                  59.465387359826764,
                  61.61648742179543,
                  76.63536214718125,
                  58.209245942120745,
                  81.7292853618366,
                  80.10304907007755,
                  57.624275054611836,
                  63.99813704857,
                  71.82227311060359,
                  93.19257654051879
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  88.82692214314231,
                  88.24742479961203,
                  55.08475034888021,
                  84.16278360597107,
                  67.8070499527785,
                  92.44999531996338,
                  62.44379244943635,
                  58.29221914343354,
                  58.940156594269254,
                  78.4199068998783,
                  50.48475121311102,
                  55.075563197379914,
                  47.14857564247005,
                  54.1600418129174,
                  81.03189466457867,
                  60.71939517686864,
                  76.19945631775296,
                  54.27423007451832,
                  79.02926764117136,
                  80.99914257141997,
                  59.58462438615225,
                  63.6185896967953,
                  102.64467420156433,
                  58.56684030684482
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  74.59476907670917,
                  92.2393086882137,
                  52.53038433491297,
                  83.3306582730568,
                  91.70355496218612,
                  112.91770655747918,
                  53.191410543315044,
                  55.388337712170284,
                  49.95848617556702,
                  63.00262779682833,
                  47.84297938647227,
                  86.76347014951183,
                  48.48468866936027,
                  49.40599092985006,
                  57.57641084373422,
                  59.43807401430976,
                  74.5563808757408,
                  55.868786040367056,
                  79.31230218615754,
                  77.91006824432151,
                  55.28339759087898,
                  61.377389621101905,
                  69.52464482494801,
                  91.04871437296761
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  85.98545820877793,
                  85.40486333240005,
                  52.179380786117605,
                  81.31248607589235,
                  64.92577565441721,
                  89.61539326661567,
                  59.55236046640964,
                  55.39292433217577,
                  56.042088937274436,
                  75.55873270937136,
                  47.570669530773095,
                  52.17017623470917,
                  44.22817544579379,
                  51.25292090823062,
                  78.17566742059579,
                  57.82469728991662,
                  73.33407672841624,
                  51.36732543547852,
                  76.16924754297749,
                  78.14285329695761,
                  56.687777312096586,
                  60.72938270855525,
                  99.82938025215908,
                  55.66806561142684
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.43501723375646856,
              "rpss": 0.04045386014763541,
              "brier_below": 0.2148637455979797,
              "bss_below": 0.052562598391040494,
              "brier_above": 0.22015348862011627,
              "bss_above": 0.028333847192621997,
              "crps": 70.66861854704327,
              "crpss": -0.02281662168001386,
              "crps_fair": 68.46877257792336,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03406329697422095
            }
          },
          "test": {
            "ethiopia": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.461766502913481,
                  0.4431781895756946,
                  0.4340755837779573,
                  0.4405370146040683,
                  0.4151091956918115,
                  0.4810610729697388,
                  0.4207955489965514,
                  0.40869784132374587,
                  0.45218722842659337
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4546231099504593,
                  0.43753747052601477,
                  0.49174002423345364,
                  0.49152720319112103,
                  0.425759686884452,
                  0.45276062109717374,
                  0.44678141219100675,
                  0.4601609884551471,
                  0.46568341206196623
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.15648131081576494,
                  0.20712579586120844,
                  0.13418575050218381,
                  0.12220167152854737,
                  0.19135764413525025,
                  0.23455951130811387,
                  0.22571256509392512,
                  0.13593651273850696,
                  0.22652574928683983
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.15629594250614892,
                  0.2030692336614904,
                  0.1489835591475073,
                  0.12955841996645884,
                  0.19874380582689244,
                  0.2228475851534563,
                  0.23511902665323692,
                  0.15822245589198483,
                  0.22961314667049418
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.3052851797966343,
                  0.2360523922896252,
                  0.29988981405487547,
                  0.31833532293674427,
                  0.22375155035460267,
                  0.24650156549513375,
                  0.19508298524566378,
                  0.27276131969003187,
                  0.22566148132932634
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.29832715383568675,
                  0.23446823467476652,
                  0.3427564435327463,
                  0.3619687582360325,
                  0.2270158802003865,
                  0.22991303456849288,
                  0.21166238742601534,
                  0.30193851830877666,
                  0.23607026291524907
                ],
                "crps": [
                  48.53793311035904,
                  37.227604611512376,
                  55.18885844871106,
                  54.239560626056125,
                  31.542808526753525,
                  57.50250749438747,
                  38.16121564395058,
                  43.15376536589571,
                  47.26947844778549
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  45.93763629770763,
                  35.2795366741263,
                  62.023965985874646,
                  55.33149935133871,
                  31.79983015498263,
                  42.61526370924846,
                  40.8193611954094,
                  47.8036981418148,
                  46.24683772923825
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  47.80061518317474,
                  36.48542815325688,
                  54.429713478823174,
                  53.440427999576116,
                  30.845033729305882,
                  56.69055907742288,
                  37.385400025977944,
                  42.334037091564035,
                  46.44935054778753
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  44.05518656224228,
                  33.39708693866097,
                  60.14151625040928,
                  53.449049615873356,
                  29.91738041951728,
                  40.7328139737831,
                  38.936911459944035,
                  45.92124840634945,
                  44.36438799377288
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4397120198088491,
              "rpss": 0.04099423716587136,
              "brier_below": 0.18156516791892674,
              "bss_below": 0.02874770300433327,
              "brier_above": 0.2581468456880709,
              "bss_above": 0.04942434463464351,
              "crps": 45.86930358615682,
              "crpss": -0.012176069980418092,
              "crps_fair": 45.0956183652099,
              "crpss_fair": -0.03823071877662576
            },
            "jjas_domain": {
              "years": [
                2017,
                2018,
                2019,
                2020,
                2021,
                2022,
                2023,
                2024,
                2025
              ],
              "per_year": {
                "rps": [
                  0.46208988218892955,
                  0.43060406570792575,
                  0.457946287599039,
                  0.4537054619773277,
                  0.4140344881610683,
                  0.43551067996973125,
                  0.42573396871481456,
                  0.4406443561746615,
                  0.44029929469966533
                ],
                "rps_clim": [
                  0.4512821189297184,
                  0.4206501052342102,
                  0.48607676155700724,
                  0.47178924942018213,
                  0.4202321083174025,
                  0.44974331659729855,
                  0.4554292533591238,
                  0.4713683857526428,
                  0.46309958751658076
                ],
                "brier_below": [
                  0.1333255759043678,
                  0.21804425667578106,
                  0.15004342575618235,
                  0.13048502547453908,
                  0.1676454211394108,
                  0.16810009298191886,
                  0.23763737694557355,
                  0.1492037808805909,
                  0.18931528474320172
                ],
                "brier_below_clim": [
                  0.13306928828126782,
                  0.21585583639272318,
                  0.16162148566504822,
                  0.13114817245105845,
                  0.17045689322354624,
                  0.1706324345160037,
                  0.2513941016020818,
                  0.16393510953105803,
                  0.19563367580327717
                ],
                "brier_above": [
                  0.32876428895430077,
                  0.21255981201988097,
                  0.30790284410022895,
                  0.3232204185557959,
                  0.24638906168845295,
                  0.26741058238777854,
                  0.18809659209714102,
                  0.29144056316274686,
                  0.25098400646781277
                ],
                "brier_above_clim": [
                  0.31821281348399405,
                  0.20479427195784727,
                  0.3244552576112664,
                  0.3406410557941846,
                  0.24977521016699747,
                  0.2791108719088107,
                  0.204035155009143,
                  0.30743326098466245,
                  0.2674659036231022
                ],
                "crps": [
                  72.21562198426544,
                  53.81402885019165,
                  81.71354812460842,
                  78.76722933558227,
                  47.31946041768672,
                  73.29604164629342,
                  58.54165880643794,
                  65.03637627025387,
                  68.64551438222705
                ],
                "crps_clim": [
                  68.43806065594151,
                  50.651721281077606,
                  84.86185486393984,
                  69.92810965360432,
                  47.572672349858124,
                  63.17874189655338,
                  62.58001975556023,
                  70.12878956370798,
                  68.41795298111988
                ],
                "crps_fair": [
                  71.15135131504391,
                  52.73423902250051,
                  80.63821730878283,
                  77.63380125462963,
                  46.29928937199508,
                  72.13000751340276,
                  57.41348096595751,
                  63.84683231859134,
                  67.47120714713657
                ],
                "crps_fair_clim": [
                  65.67917197627564,
                  47.89283260141173,
                  82.10296618427398,
                  67.16922097393847,
                  44.813783670192265,
                  60.41985321688753,
                  59.821131075894364,
                  67.36990088404211,
                  65.65906430145401
                ]
              },
              "rps": 0.4400631650214625,
              "rpss": 0.03156791953879634,
              "brier_below": 0.17153336005572958,
              "bss_below": 0.031339200666046785,
              "brier_above": 0.26852979660379317,
              "bss_above": 0.031713961415305914,
              "crps": 66.59438664639409,
              "crpss": -0.02320336828999614,
              "crps_fair": 65.4798251353378,
              "crpss_fair": -0.050613456870635565
            }
          }
        }
      }
    }
  },
  "tests": {
    "ls": {
      "rps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00011552797124414714,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0020166794440331644,
              0.0024216774308916085
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.53656,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.003412158555728733,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006624574276535853,
              -0.0005035636970278365
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.033203125,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0007497892644662921,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0014416767486000637,
              0.0028965344789415063
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.745605,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0017292168937801265,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0017239566976236763,
              0.0054539724348766395
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -3.185518423672965e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0009224013654113369,
              0.0009079018453502769
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.471365,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0004560280700862365,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007623717543337337,
              0.0017653858614231999
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.748046875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -3.860264159735496e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0016555310414565166,
              0.0016191853964759569
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.47954,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0015019099699039645,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00025513201313444143,
              0.002620605509005347
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.97265625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0006257414321460819,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008348735256157901,
              0.002088454732582666
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.780875,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 6.497953252669763e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0013081700438964347,
              0.0013395860353986994
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.521484375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0003306351976975266,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0024127398550561736,
              0.001802427167717766
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.3832,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.003180980725572568,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00620265258050709,
              -0.00015974574322756135
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.048828125,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0002090545822524883,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0013928096234568843,
              0.001954152054500114
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.59063,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0007981681450537055,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0026821966352633983,
              0.0013433339335998673
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.224609375,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 5.204746176861475e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008820071695296776,
              0.0010662870628707843
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.539025,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0011902399801530332,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0020257995850453785,
              -0.0003084499167411814
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.01953125,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00012980240965989112,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001746283747753373,
              0.0015485735989773097
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.43806,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0012309104795407884,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00014683001316262895,
              0.0024357220728510073
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.94140625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00028470368359321055,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001178629461492923,
              0.0018753128855868142
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.629715,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0019206811236589685,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0032377588483344733,
              -0.0005249438770549981
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.017578125,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0004461630666904917,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -1.6739833534958493e-05,
              0.0009395813442246106
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.955435,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00023117773980547984,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008857408447728102,
              0.0004613105169087448
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.26171875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0005407348024352281,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001193683182171554,
              0.0023698653615745087
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.719025,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0025273845504443383,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -2.4548526996575413e-05,
              0.005337877981923783
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.94140625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -8.390266170216325e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.000729863953371315,
              0.0005074410340691788
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.402305,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0016462679352700965,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0002930986177229478,
              0.0030739760277450874
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.966796875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 9.119982846958474e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0003028403769309756,
              0.0004748191370669061
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.67502,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0002709994953965727,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00012449850261341143,
              0.0006180651787297789
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8984375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00034103776884702894,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0004223704015952809,
              0.0011168976872912282
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.79699,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0019856605075936526,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0011001088507207025,
              0.0028108484610178236
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.998046875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.42339729946418525,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.20306424364763584,
              0.6537130914678695
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.999335,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.6725430293883683,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.2680718571625602,
              1.095319259099248
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.994140625,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.4965432745837273,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.1891299990080694,
              0.8234214080240001
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.996545,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.7743667672323112,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.5098349281397915,
              1.034399212362919
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.7132326770961988,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.4416017090391988,
              1.0218362324290833
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99999,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.7989493654492787,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.5267495206870471,
              1.0749460283298582
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.5463959264175188,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.37922159734832367,
              0.7122452060046565
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 1.0387758613402436,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.8156272468988539,
              1.2436445836770111
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 1.48194537636378,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.683720241165944,
              2.3223528843566186
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.999325,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 2.9009920355923686,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              1.735992045129076,
              4.136327880916993
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "vs": {
      "rps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 6.213249046952095e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0005961481023754694,
              0.0007255167421784275
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.57002,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0004037300768364603,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0010971438026468954,
              0.00040217923781632556
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.169921875,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00021337006744787343,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002118775935034925,
              0.0017727079368346122
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.415385,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.001039211980911682,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004408766480078045,
              0.002341443333040711
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.291015625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00023159032840334068,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0011666058631635853,
              0.0006949959982992337
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.31179,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0015485974163391518,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0032581605888594672,
              0.00014450515885682728
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.06640625,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00023707634314533202,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0011536006942026358,
              0.0006896382180881487
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.307655,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -8.453713745545623e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007899615163287977,
              0.0005785098997810225
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.435546875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -5.033272045208703e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0010018396172532913,
              0.000949944058007923
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.460065,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0005490726380707898,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0018029248291161152,
              0.0007201623414120032
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.21484375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 4.6303627859502666e-07,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0006378244835353608,
              0.0006584618157843296
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.49893,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00040595942091157616,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0010568771502228926,
              0.0003446884514569547
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.150390625,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00040230539256417885,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0019397169522383348,
              0.0012056254196788196
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.31058,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00037650603885705205,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002530176549588533,
              0.002030701524512449
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.38671875,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0003761188145412382,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0011466291173504966,
              0.0003864954438194306
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.17235,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0007168970010102354,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0016121485238152504,
              0.00028200576406672996
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.1015625,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0002391910266318631,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0009348538881520062,
              0.00043694852433707917
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.245865,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0001054840763242631,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0006722658279335171,
              0.0004368186266979584
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.373046875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00011061508732353985,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008435813343500556,
              0.000702579838401139
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.39319,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0003937186496998476,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001228353929444492,
              0.00043199833064931176
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.1953125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 6.166946958492912e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -7.758251554028855e-05,
              0.0002319744282810906
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.75741,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 2.22937330785242e-06,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00021224133119406813,
              0.0001954780955765935
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.5078125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00018893537495307672,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0004180443550740218,
              0.0008211497540112845
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.709985,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0006627057603109789,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002212381060248769,
              0.0007331766445090462
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.228515625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0001445284708739373,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00019970324476008703,
              0.0005066808445663685
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.775385,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0008317003111351486,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0017733409756153352,
              -2.2025614552578185e-05
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.05859375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 2.114679691389796e-06,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0003109091648634141,
              0.0003408025561536205
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.50322,
            "years_better": 16,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 2.0947014617044786e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0002854765926198053,
              0.0003488198086551884
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.537109375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 6.028235096837883e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0002120852529485031,
              0.0003364464210679452
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.658365,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00015535389916895539,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0006416710969190458,
              0.0003349298275473237
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.2734375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.03832044088701806,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.07994619517418167,
              0.0034956113675808885
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.04729,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.07357678842776237,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.1565135209079195,
              0.005188756434394523
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.06640625,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.1385532224164859,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.1747657321129244,
              -0.10193132103199817
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.0,
            "years_better": 23,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.1399016692539045,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.21082349615493823,
              -0.07931766116039654
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.001953125,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": true
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.12898291857397526,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.15000224354740296,
              -0.10768743082491415
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.0,
            "years_better": 24,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.08486901377524386,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.1360327825084138,
              -0.014292511681778986
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.021484375,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": true
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.03246097808067424,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.05078118388734601,
              -0.009522671684262542
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.002995,
            "years_better": 19,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.049952810384406215,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.06452554334387359,
              -0.035375305460297844
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.001953125,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.15574,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.03982440254549265,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0823727437799656,
              0.007100986632009775
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.053105,
            "years_better": 19,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0915705199818721,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.12247452212529672,
              -0.05904335323988597
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.001953125,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "sqrt_mvs": {
      "rps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0007905850957127791,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001865347140498769,
              0.003926027171280561
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.67699,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0018182561115234813,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00461622915949138,
              0.0010222062463382318
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.12890625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0001916177653541485,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002163355498494801,
              0.00264369365419236
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.559915,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0009069493929046435,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00488411717188853,
              0.0030405735210156685
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.33984375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0002771725406289967,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0016363674616394345,
              0.0010613533698301696
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.34281,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0012874034619755953,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0037300395385061642,
              0.0010285634332452749
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.162109375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 8.256644907261394e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0015637698675429266,
              0.001697534553120536
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.53775,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00017452809423094498,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0014600450983941133,
              0.0011925229795503812
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.404296875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 5.290944355394502e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0014567060238142118,
              0.0016366764213653188
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.522495,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0005864853744677786,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0027335897389478814,
              0.0015718889714785732
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.3046875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 9.87686034341235e-06,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00153632847858275,
              0.0020061068860145665
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.501155,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0014679658162154749,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0034978548406824606,
              0.0002418277857333245
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.115234375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00012124223987736854,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001451491650801153,
              0.0012569658086829473
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.431195,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00022593908607327105,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0020448501381333233,
              0.001712585537006584
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.41796875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0004668738189087483,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0011839266057941222,
              0.00023236756899849993
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.10606,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0003974265372401167,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0013207428497853065,
              0.0007234161424891793
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.25390625,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0001863235806426501,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0010483926018436107,
              0.0005791227237931292
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.331055,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00030150495170139235,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00017393723132070016,
              0.000772664931516685
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.861328125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -8.79917286694751e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0010286196516620292,
              0.0009598010818210783
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.433495,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0005001909703746624,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0017443981099360749,
              0.0007395381677608563
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.21484375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0007807082493954653,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0005906391702427365,
              0.0022349453097196045
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.845185,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00035029005191670396,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0019508681706560816,
              0.0013207978893873772
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.349609375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0003128601044100193,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008171672773656789,
              0.001530317089460561
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.687515,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0006810099107966242,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003119768561956961,
              0.0016389047814257252
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.29296875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0001897013018851331,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0005053516144527256,
              0.0009013711960818603
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.69333,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0008899766719765137,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0025404667846399692,
              0.00048445600665372973
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.19140625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0002688899918710415,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.000633486407464683,
              0.0012060458932366574
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.70588,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00047603278158445426,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0013819701469658825,
              0.0005239378572316924
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.1953125,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00014090117079406986,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.000521935651786715,
              0.0007313956596205082
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.66126,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -8.629423428533099e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0009999290927988835,
              0.0008417970781262702
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.421875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.1266550175179982,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.20669314952465723,
              -0.04392730109458567
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.003015,
            "years_better": 18,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.15598652392138726,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.2734817398076883,
              -0.0444423316890175
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.021484375,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.15574,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.07515714342837125,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.13185136345128434,
              -0.022545252173993155
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.006955,
            "years_better": 17,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.08063233620093158,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.15858585279197301,
              -0.0013185007120264083
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.046875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.34775,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0959911662474,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.12553583241255928,
              -0.06781857096931211
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.0,
            "years_better": 22,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.06208332360823595,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.10283799154613026,
              -0.009382934383430037
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.025390625,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": true
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.057584030730362855,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.09098816609274513,
              -0.025286909099024334
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.00113,
            "years_better": 18,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0531541193545494,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.09863975003053772,
              -0.007035334781416996
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.03515625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.06102,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.11138579090079581,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.1983226716418524,
              -0.0236687598997126
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.011105,
            "years_better": 16,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.17651133739317576,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.26033200838539106,
              -0.09726257033431968
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.00390625,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.53304,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "pt": {
      "rps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0006877579059957085,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001791970394231815,
              0.0036618355941293655
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.671265,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0019119700357437758,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003789177120792881,
              6.320000038073983e-06
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.05078125,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0003015904649846061,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00253524044076368,
              0.0033256022377553917
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.577185,
            "years_better": 16,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00018135556567689455,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004904184421729368,
              0.004441182811903935
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.470703125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -6.900541226391675e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001697044787062152,
              0.0014218451094613713
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.465125,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0005953289109822402,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0032835970141283657,
              0.0018986650203305798
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.345703125,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -7.740466815881383e-06,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0017841548934232692,
              0.0017566341094015076
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.49535,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0008743594214846903,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0026094003621131403,
              0.0009577251785983787
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.197265625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 6.548483934327304e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0015354066667902745,
              0.0016681851832416105
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.52926,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00011750698958524886,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0020465306579264524,
              0.0018134915338637438
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.44921875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 8.242594637424457e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001398277222391602,
              0.0019573366153678735
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.528465,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0015196073776939717,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0031872306329926987,
              -0.0001358823033839302
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.060546875,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -7.36638948785918e-06,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001745651112544003,
              0.0018362205804952647
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.495385,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00016140369927389783,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0024176437156340183,
              0.0028614313287270276
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.548828125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0003550149711814138,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001236078121252488,
              0.0005139881557887948
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.217865,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 1.1833052046895788e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0011767859775934353,
              0.0012990162553575472
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.505859375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0001278947722979778,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0009047894602208701,
              0.0005948828533241901
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.37184,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00013526151758806571,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00084492488661565,
              0.0005017275405058312
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.369140625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 5.91765359588374e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007940132521801932,
              0.0009678740523562338
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.545235,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00021520273267081522,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001145111651935243,
              0.0007036125154438739
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.337890625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0006053319771504665,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007261589083177579,
              0.0020349166804367043
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.791445,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0003923624789241236,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0019661904879055303,
              0.0009621925974584013
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.326171875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00030895685943674545,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008799554577939797,
              0.0015985564613203015
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.67768,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0003427588795072218,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0027351324575364826,
              0.0018586836806979627
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.39453125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0002860095771864326,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0005493461157086672,
              0.0010960804298783282
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.744705,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0006071616944314302,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0021845948677250045,
              0.0007236087967639939
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.240234375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00012015425371194807,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0009819270685323372,
              0.0012439005312738297
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.580465,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0007390975776608114,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0018812580378297326,
              0.0005632894361178413
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.14453125,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 6.308283487839693e-06,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008152701940199002,
              0.0007371117971407833
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.50642,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 9.769598123726995e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0009569521113351044,
              0.001144207656132862
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.572265625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.06774713536273014,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.13781932349115078,
              0.010302650588372212
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.042045,
            "years_better": 17,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.1732879057452467,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.2887319851190878,
              -0.0664891549086085
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.009765625,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.12454381366015725,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.19487817860617804,
              -0.057266943039901694
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.00094,
            "years_better": 20,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.08956243478520144,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.16330768666629866,
              -0.012743524200997298
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.029296875,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.051699999999999996,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.12413222978960126,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.18010450184610247,
              -0.07273512116997187
            ],
            "p_improvement": 3e-05,
            "years_better": 20,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.010243928881061848,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.08324068114966458,
              0.06137212842038443
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.3984375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.00168,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": true
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.010944985581668195,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.07026249676796754,
              0.037685908981197704
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.359625,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.09792080758913496,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.17371131628391914,
              -0.016714140997544334
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.02734375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.02448528489583583,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.1054650628342422,
              0.06151560752488251
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.292255,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.07476096454598785,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.1733265500675891,
              0.022219095802639765
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.10546875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "dc": {
      "rps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001652200659702387,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0030797497344555876,
              0.006614360080211307
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.73012,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0017444128263745281,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.005545562931318019,
              0.002667292410759214
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.220703125,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0018646235679946194,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008093619919791183,
              0.004611158811419045
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8996,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 8.325809363149726e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006445327801500866,
              0.004911551922578988
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.5078125,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0016291534559335931,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0010157587453517912,
              0.00401053920178369
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.882655,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.004678207228168456,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0019335214667002955,
              0.00819275678115343
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0011040482619786897,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0014511829011095094,
              0.003585255306316479
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.799905,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -5.419315525100209e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0038809965710574863,
              0.0035802912733054718
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.484375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.001224350364035132,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.006357743593157914,
              0.0033868962153209415
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.32952,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0039583824574494315,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00047087623253908977,
              0.00856164480805317
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9296875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0005607149370399217,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002510892658367392,
              0.0036219102868687873
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.63071,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.001578717555859301,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004649996181379461,
              0.0014010700073665747
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.181640625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001449345349292381,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0003580125744315447,
              0.0034339127842182367
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.91941,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00013915515758028407,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003166394924833913,
              0.002511699388263832
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.4609375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0009731762800296607,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0006158055792325559,
              0.0024917918096708917
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.87159,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0020732031713944377,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0002937682548246244,
              0.003992958428205397
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.962890625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0007388333484576598,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0011849826063502745,
              0.0027798293696329026
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.756895,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 7.443906658603628e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001972728319115984,
              0.00224366536008735
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.533203125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00042283132467343075,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003714673121214041,
              0.0025722876718404066
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.40279,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002785880924906241,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0010558507425175835,
              0.004550876526141081
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.990234375,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0010914857052233887,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0009442850468789197,
              0.0033780762130531305
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.82231,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00016569534577667546,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0019594664989308454,
              0.0017649425945382758
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.38671875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00041527814738874974,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0009431597055925253,
              0.0017422030916870953
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.71642,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00022241313648620968,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0036493667911973197,
              0.0035243210185665944
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.568359375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.000655977038129568,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007799627785610699,
              0.0019787969350698346
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.810325,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0026050037739342325,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00037426395205894254,
              0.005815369861953487
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.98046875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00036521510638882804,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007245247558135098,
              0.0013447516611556007
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.74446,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00012863220921380258,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0020488241140832093,
              0.0016850496995586735
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.44921875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0008015192545290338,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0031711508317014974,
              0.0014391750383610697
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.261555,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001172501210668657,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002216410816410915,
              0.004664648124321886
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.73046875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.15078430611418905,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.17972380676628652,
              0.515742408963421
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.78375,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.5244132047128287,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.012424687056572396,
              1.145285344719117
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9296875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.15912692289189478,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.40182085666875667,
              0.05965138092181038
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.10755,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.19434700784328898,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0938272774496154,
              0.5168740765286681
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.857421875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.3052473081414629,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.04382345497746031,
              0.6007707934682994
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.977235,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.007986232591681741,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.33540279551030516,
              0.3334381437265184
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.51953125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.11532699727314684,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.13082527246781459,
              0.36307158042336696
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8097,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.6623877793968804,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.38161312124415325,
              0.9615811834296023
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.998046875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.10831044966363705,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.9064773346017443,
              1.14534086788577
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.578055,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 1.8186349551891239,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.6694597102422444,
              3.0086490934121595
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9921875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "loci": {
      "rps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00029316057614131125,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0012002009392647467,
              0.001660810668031165
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.645935,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.002287489606208294,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004593106470395757,
              5.2772993838418424e-05
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.064453125,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0006355644999290269,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001259977824791193,
              0.0025602961928569354
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.736945,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0019899957290735707,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008578979017270362,
              0.0049456422588039905
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.88671875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -1.4121480195125602e-06,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0012261178727500932,
              0.0012991321810119068
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.49865,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0008380625145262832,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00035276986971156515,
              0.002110196785876477
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.873046875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -7.57810371373735e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0013605579415174197,
              0.0012166183812594644
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.45277,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00149160293698893,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0007639876373156944,
              0.00223926723883316
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.998046875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0007121045163068265,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008111421729777155,
              0.002190717026299073
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.810425,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00010167841229299614,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0016818813454399259,
              0.001362787672400132
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.453125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -9.648694604592427e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0016780266749847998,
              0.0013293787632442545
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.45296,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0023868380971330014,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004568520195266678,
              -4.1391173201141794e-05
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.05859375,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00027202063981868776,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0011936693756656508,
              0.0018378369966891234
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.633235,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0006507870094882912,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0023718130361729444,
              0.0012522812899025352
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.25390625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 1.698719552681883e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0010477312089657558,
              0.001169313752143178
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.510275,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0010385494852343463,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0021110113866357164,
              1.424509234731058e-05
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.052734375,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00019002008387284408,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0015320714190831676,
              0.0012189955375133158
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.39375,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0011897188404065254,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00021914444768309258,
              0.0020905566158793128
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.98046875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00034419282212118374,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001092995432446479,
              0.0018761976061823118
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.662095,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0020758335346214543,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0035411370048912885,
              -0.0005751501248110063
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.017578125,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00038964744778674623,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -8.506858408180361e-05,
              0.0008477928195201692
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.941,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 9.934858596425154e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00048083216073130765,
              0.0006578923408964446
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.626953125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00036354394903839504,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0014382772264823925,
              0.0022914418354795484
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.64566,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002640782188719332,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00032928036909289166,
              0.0052147613480864954
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.95703125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -1.8399361952048734e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007234003333413984,
              0.0006201364267261013
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.479345,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001876611868702277,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00041435386199547105,
              0.003475256574179777
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.974609375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00011423912773197292,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00029431647558032315,
              0.0004945286909527139
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.709475,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0003018841068979403,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0002285666623491138,
              0.0007200864418160463
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.859375,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0003679117051344945,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0004131808375646852,
              0.0011618425252360998
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.80981,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0019741549681344763,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0010911739736706343,
              0.002811404487568671
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.998046875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.36887842975000235,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.1536591004200555,
              0.5929646143236662
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99819,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.6269260175141187,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.25021935517869864,
              1.0251148742446485
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9921875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.4823488670977256,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.17605923899704007,
              0.8068355969552159
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.995985,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.758373669957254,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.5041788172803294,
              1.0075820612843218
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.6653745060601968,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.40245156676803173,
              0.9629758784012044
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.999985,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.777518057425168,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.5095694504541143,
              1.0584118219850889
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.49492417506339875,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.3370153259835225,
              0.6525274601198011
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.9744700540241831,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.7611717769117929,
              1.1740978359227903
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 1.4524818790593184,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.6643873741914906,
              2.2837760308401
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.999295,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 2.8564266059797583,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              1.7039549141814119,
              4.07812054254066
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "eqm": {
      "rps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0028352346698330582,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0007941976244160808,
              0.005352964722951171
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.993505,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0006105839998564239,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002141063179825697,
              0.0009764393626242848
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.244140625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0033595710523042937,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0017395285099232301,
              0.005013218425656926
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.999625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0026612980025134494,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0009403955361076289,
              0.004597644341943778
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.994140625,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0026314954965221127,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0014186843256334318,
              0.003815579543514939
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.999725,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002987789483624591,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0017589105885867217,
              0.004377167508543811
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0016154784640016854,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00013484653587858227,
              0.0032020925935036144
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.974805,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0020430556716959864,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0003613797514596039,
              0.004636502515711823
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.916015625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.003430711670099826,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0009541926411523771,
              0.006041795011879492
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99308,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.004351600675025127,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0012487577725097834,
              0.007235024787935023
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.984375,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0012426747426633605,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.000276753308766792,
              0.0025624073601677507
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.990975,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0005502656549248524,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0021030831271808426,
              0.0009437010201498049
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.271484375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0018502870968467831,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00019805147982661695,
              0.0036173487462087504
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.976545,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001069837933444474,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0014995322643980573,
              0.0036464704534410705
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.76953125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0010254263202465637,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              5.855007312891181e-05,
              0.002048261470633495
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.96813,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0016513662423163242,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0001520399864278033,
              0.003334553722119819
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.96484375,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0008072220914320943,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00040366230975398483,
              0.00197646265950577
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.89506,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0010153421179529985,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0011670256131784652,
              0.0033268927699467692
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.787109375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0019850917055431335,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0011089827607765426,
              0.002845425663428455
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99982,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0010956696624414718,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00034769672740492014,
              0.0017725990569213918
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.984375,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0015925599277412915,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00018250796834028046,
              0.0031141304959741564
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.974135,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -6.031848397036743e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.000832116974815409,
              0.0005925553493136491
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.451171875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0015092839181637223,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0007006663986448904,
              0.0022973029559140608
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.999175,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0015914600348597553,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0004863081389749467,
              0.002858588342264988
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9921875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0016060692040954123,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0008029821346312209,
              0.002365185031173613
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99964,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0013364229522375888,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00021924419456661326,
              0.0028279173995897685
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.927734375,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0008082563718008728,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -5.256734537359877e-05,
              0.0016990714851285026
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.95669,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0010277133823852356,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0006006197629732488,
              0.0014300729633671908
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.998046875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0014456201223354375,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0006931297556506894,
              0.0036991599964449045
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.88887,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0032559301931211265,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              9.891307245030142e-05,
              0.006184103377576004
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.95703125,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.08068082908857195,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.014410706918825511,
              0.1763038988454231
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.940715,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.01144865457771734,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.15792344914246895,
              0.1666942935331846
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.552734375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.22765132102480612,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.1180673395929475,
              0.342932495475226
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.999745,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.060263517609562375,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.018524011101298626,
              0.1513908523741173
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.845703125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.15107684217726045,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.07878150945776499,
              0.2307223814424255
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.999815,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.06761638813649186,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.009572062127942533,
              0.13371778249351784
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.966796875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.11751505976716452,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.06302250304214987,
              0.18051523828102065
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.999895,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.13066319236683238,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.02591183131203675,
              0.23207001766689525
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9765625,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.5881891202756053,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.18746814084901006,
              0.9373766391214383
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99692,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.6379599065111073,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.46061721962697316,
              0.831578474644225
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "gqm": {
      "rps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0006497856710634015,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0013462813346467072,
              0.002735133123306875
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.72556,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0007663125184080547,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0027432324895786094,
              0.0013560296666264694
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.248046875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 8.38472742114756e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0025885199148358313,
              0.0028752083343757365
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.521605,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -1.2506142140803847e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004401598281506529,
              0.004332604909273048
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.494140625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00030402016123951225,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002139795093914431,
              0.0014481104850745936
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.372705,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00032557611064225485,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002753726705222457,
              0.0021261519392878547
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.392578125,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0001498377857491138,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002692208090292297,
              0.0022786356272822385
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.451845,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0002116611662432217,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0027488127926831242,
              0.002425586953839283
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.443359375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00013492464743247723,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0019025921266609905,
              0.0022798376649539893
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.54466,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0007013072621945775,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0034819652831973723,
              0.002131972124311975
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.322265625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0001061270380533462,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0010378494668193163,
              0.001409930992123188
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.55955,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0007421990581037985,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0021334786542502194,
              0.0004470610251505002
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.185546875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00015121854264791545,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002037032578152418,
              0.0017958389716657072
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.439155,
            "years_better": 15,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0003912838951632136,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0021825612221413587,
              0.0030296874160700084
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.560546875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0005107199182305422,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001742713605280293,
              0.0007069874688501367
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.21323,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 9.661056583971465e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0012622632343115285,
              0.001684324867810666
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.544921875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00037836617759112734,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0018708871010086295,
              0.0010308296185156918
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.302995,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00041332712173057046,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0010300656100552838,
              0.0018877805412582395
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.712890625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -7.256676953887782e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0014489899280665142,
              0.0014474394850280661
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.46105,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0005988894288195746,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0023080530963534734,
              0.0011161261799033358
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.255859375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.000543658649457518,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0006629619962865183,
              0.0017824140868557092
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.795115,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -2.4113205108362384e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0015750825510168025,
              0.0013952568007266637
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.486328125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00023506586159951237,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008050969734754044,
              0.0013635237421344491
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.65775,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0004037896276987079,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0025847284064998526,
              0.0016513744942314662
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.365234375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0002066997830454722,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0004895010353628959,
              0.0008574528019823588
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.72086,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00042218646514809014,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0015677595205057407,
              0.0005590411579826556
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.24609375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00022852832886562668,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008887901335594667,
              0.0013485307465700227
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.649695,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0006249879653207736,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0018756888958480252,
              0.000693109811231847
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.181640625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0002074914519584597,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.000571396286059665,
              0.0009003278792357962
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.698635,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00010241765371174494,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0012069599087853892,
              0.00104745223898042
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.435546875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.13088596934082633,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.2297295575405318,
              -0.028133265643379205
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.00977,
            "years_better": 18,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.1625831950877789,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.28024216594461515,
              -0.05048625795896014
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.015625,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.47872999999999993,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.008026219565457756,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.106608624181229,
              0.09078401437884603
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.43904,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.004712376737681249,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.09139258539758804,
              0.09351897821806443
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.5390625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.12803926847359567,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.1726953184331206,
              -0.08532028380051977
            ],
            "p_improvement": 5e-06,
            "years_better": 22,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.048359101928500986,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.1372928095893424,
              0.05619241160891013
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.193359375,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.00028500000000000004,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": true
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.07191713669204391,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.11372573574642159,
              -0.02905720952595474
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.001775,
            "years_better": 19,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.09469943593441282,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.15772512614869078,
              -0.033012572498235755
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.013671875,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 0.094075,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.11749120707686907,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.25163384193157484,
              0.01765731276172272
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.05183,
            "years_better": 16,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.24505089271143118,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.37991243363936833,
              -0.11955361805647685
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.00390625,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "dqm": {
      "rps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0013142760500692505,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0011045484870455852,
              0.003879482112862176
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.838925,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0011852443659049472,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003701094096935671,
              0.0016743903083569183
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.216796875,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0024611515683959154,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00010484385927939982,
              0.00484867621867191
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.96743,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0027087460303539504,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0026439540483692834,
              0.007151354320511098
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.84765625,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0022506174953939953,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              4.664996090805359e-05,
              0.004378443952155786
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.96893,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.004547818160022625,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0020998931190771065,
              0.007253225168261029
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0010068832639287956,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0011980443749578875,
              0.0030373053482249147
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.81878,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0002594488820327941,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003221887479944246,
              0.0026818392270515634
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.4375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0004620359979730741,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003355319264526224,
              0.004021132695000283
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.589185,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0035313976667346713,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00014130250674540245,
              0.007114650874679155
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.94921875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0004280210170782388,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0012698562450962013,
              0.0019969544443268106
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.687915,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0011774128215170777,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0034523130328036927,
              0.0010713845024882334
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.18359375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001143372212585107,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00029821527537800523,
              0.0027484548403793486
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.915285,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001113889876750446,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001814830955989214,
              0.004034294298934645
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.76171875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0011860510364028545,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00012134852313868666,
              0.00252870530652011
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.94443,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0021177784254122417,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00010759867496529857,
              0.004266512925033026
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.94921875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0006267482525888929,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007142174150740406,
              0.001971313500431225
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.81012,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -5.2972695534463256e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0018145934806425837,
              0.0018136707505435818
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.4765625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0005099309621229009,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0015388469369059365,
              0.002529642527861463
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.67413,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0015847972481460488,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              6.292293976982624e-05,
              0.0031368277736949102
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.951171875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0008862549655706022,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00027960409163133916,
              0.0021627517484867393
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.912445,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -7.83154612716028e-06,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0012518008458141851,
              0.0011667650258426296
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.494140625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001317779269525821,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              8.243717178806536e-05,
              0.0026091355524529417
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.97251,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0015948561895895257,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0014630616290440726,
              0.004430764895904609
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.833984375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0010645663584964982,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -3.1443355204942225e-05,
              0.0020657697310836535
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.966135,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002430039601850404,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0007757778303114822,
              0.004560927678616652
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9921875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00038013503329361226,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007140100362219027,
              0.0014486796096014386
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.74823,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00020647618492746088,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0016026574527543095,
              0.0012097657086461216
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.396484375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -4.789494147415992e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002150462109045494,
              0.001961010851502804
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.481215,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0019466000985368134,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008947371823015432,
              0.004645159522509552
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8828125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.6317097708632848,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.30744463368173874,
              1.0348194090890999
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99997,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.8892637929175911,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.1679248461205665,
              1.6744910104173119
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.970703125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.4245515515514479,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.14419650024844985,
              0.7267454904300712
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.996685,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.7254651088549432,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.18189260931463153,
              1.364479533776273
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9921875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.7223448574182202,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.41826948248007684,
              1.0617893072719253
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99999,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.2950652001035324,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.05192858413094038,
              0.6689882785862675
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.92578125,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.5404083239039146,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.33528219131170206,
              0.777308496585363
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.7144541832614583,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.48701044857344633,
              0.9229501057391025
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 1.3344282926131867,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.3880904559447089,
              2.3684697527721643
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.992305,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 2.7396050562586134,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              1.0865950602678052,
              4.582564295841884
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99609375,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "qdm": {
      "rps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0014134622802487937,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00037885055920470914,
              0.0034133584118475574
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.913575,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0014793722133404537,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004197358734360576,
              0.0011868611874028656
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.1640625,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0016942470559507376,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0011327128197039862,
              0.004540642127887682
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.86446,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0030537493748526495,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0014703500969440477,
              0.006998759945299078
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8828125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0021372067448798666,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00045283114925636053,
              0.0038328141886998547
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.987995,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0033578812845536407,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00040339202115706685,
              0.006066086590359911
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.97265625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0004872776550561032,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0019157694036971637,
              0.0028991061739055035
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.64657,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0002515847164653399,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0019385374217809886,
              0.002919030824914555
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.5703125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0017201845172866066,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0013356046458992393,
              0.004686488055514039
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.85687,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0035351850395391213,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0010442216408485321,
              0.006170841558898185
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.982421875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0005239528957429381,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007571387094648847,
              0.0019274531030151118
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.758645,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.001260614485381099,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0038386220471994656,
              0.0010396081304204165
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.1953125,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0009676630515220696,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008651863885760604,
              0.0030253924019283916
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.818815,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001568538184705503,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0016621746473327956,
              0.004809485550706133
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.798828125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0007997768579604431,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00037332689281669254,
              0.0020132288180502098
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.88774,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0018027057972810562,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0004042834506672881,
              0.004084439993584593
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9140625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00024628984482575586,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0012504184957071013,
              0.0018096219058108384
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.616325,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00010740107381335129,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0014890246410510192,
              0.0016503726748445368
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.455078125,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0019122158852936486,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0002285666673465714,
              0.0035353589371062855
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.98021,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0015399273658189673,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -5.406058376645584e-05,
              0.0032791697913232523
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.916015625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0008895092964430196,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00010694851630208616,
              0.0018942948008511546
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.94781,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00021875774033284286,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0011426981708177063,
              0.0008467546851309207
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.337890625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0007265839782716159,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007691899608253079,
              0.002188181094082915
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.81867,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0014852113470631546,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0005385532867603522,
              0.003267859369396278
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.904296875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0013374297811151199,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0005609870586538763,
              0.002096824146208081
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9981,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0015551755707588428,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0003291272823888002,
              0.002733043935565715
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.98046875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0002409877852078956,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001103029860990036,
              0.0015990497458914603
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.630985,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0003589858017785817,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008781798824401032,
              0.001718144609857895
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.6953125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00019203136735904588,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0024155444411226796,
              0.001957315692529674
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.430725,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001995257422763257,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00014799752097286988,
              0.004069263719993153
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.939453125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.8153910839077497,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.40166542824707113,
              1.3428608821006927
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99999,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 1.1719121220648652,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.3198057028147634,
              2.1276948406911145
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9921875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.41708886326724776,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.06865236993223407,
              0.8449267352557847
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.98556,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 1.0306518682706616,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.17883926045403176,
              2.0492086262157994
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.97265625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.858351706295562,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.4801411862307184,
              1.3191913296048734
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.999995,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.5652285888230651,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.016809242848814736,
              1.210873970680858
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.6817786606473618,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.4270873648297412,
              0.9794996130811076
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.999995,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.734153085562111,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.48042214746103623,
              0.9659620837340032
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 1.6202456006977028,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.5717548304248029,
              2.8796080277583083
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99757,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 3.609135214662535,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              1.1198328358548395,
              6.439837238190578
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99609375,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "sdm": {
      "rps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0009151957108905299,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0012895456467111601,
              0.0031264995257193197
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.777735,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0013326542752873124,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0037752069500037516,
              0.0010966647743652382
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.18359375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0016015909476793818,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0009884173233293604,
              0.0044388181343109285
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.861755,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0038678937177037964,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001061499887820003,
              0.008200152936142069
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.92578125,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002277204794334219,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00046203893580146736,
              0.004051036759178363
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.98709,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.003566909960917538,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0009772237038151708,
              0.005896521046082793
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.982421875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 5.538125405009827e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001970694069580572,
              0.0021151347189725714
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.5192,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0008195637988190896,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008007978737048333,
              0.0026708090026716764
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.794921875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0015938654307485593,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001876388430930099,
              0.005080342018300304
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.806285,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.004260284668923703,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0014658634143738583,
              0.0069326025571064
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.990234375,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00030860364056581904,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001151911496061687,
              0.0017013868678638277
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.655045,
            "years_better": 12,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0014090277996832773,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003645395418171624,
              0.0006648403623012991
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.140625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0008326627169328986,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.000941584203449458,
              0.0028547775903645387
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.794075,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0019438219754076111,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0015116110469443294,
              0.005523136786318694
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8359375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0010619138109441925,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0001669261582910024,
              0.0023331113113720203
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9368,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001818417113839072,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00046481015355663487,
              0.004152352033423904
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9140625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -4.61217722028349e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0013469506609234206,
              0.0013184364149296571
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.472175,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00023406098286592644,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0013114493276945472,
              0.000916642802150096
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.345703125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0019841281604934748,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00028081393353417903,
              0.0036835746120905525
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.98221,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0013650713371006731,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0002823633136286878,
              0.003162615612672472
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.900390625,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00060659197903457,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0005309319114263348,
              0.0017334107729467744
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.83751,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 7.637330905308554e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007317110253669263,
              0.0008990504233932217
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.568359375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0007689281987105894,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007655987829329192,
              0.002481016118377953
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.80751,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0019240716445552359,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008422082142145102,
              0.004579086110528833
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.892578125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0012152909059653192,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00021522101843363253,
              0.0021818507514664246
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.985585,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0017484927791112043,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0005423161034741041,
              0.003050572049792619
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.986328125,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00010150305446682273,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0011487457067699553,
              0.00138378517138177
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.55917,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0010536246396795777,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00014043117923606213,
              0.0023016019367800965
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.927734375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0003902627233833648,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0030217520510520852,
              0.0022700873599752745
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.38835,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002895212783423103,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0002759944538917763,
              0.005449426103763977
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.96484375,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 1.1050304400626827,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.642914088323571,
              1.6448685575763262
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 1.3714342126329309,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.5628271710980713,
              2.2758103303272232
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.998046875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.673092354710922,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.3046062271948263,
              1.1010278731390188
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.999555,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 1.2648822227057077,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.3598416102201363,
              2.3880773789158956
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.998046875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 1.1281365959333154,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.6904838991030151,
              1.6198040048270115
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99999,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.7564856606963536,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.21326911311894786,
              1.309847962789211
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.982421875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.8574602878509019,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.5730281892539516,
              1.2041797563068204
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.8851455428267525,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.6696725262697193,
              1.1509066431118318
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 2.3887133055474634,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              1.353910923560081,
              3.6118251560844703
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99998,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 4.186257263788696,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              1.5622211928887417,
              7.095229930280247
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "cdft": {
      "rps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001094232264389342,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008283144739523046,
              0.0030763460076469492
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.84938,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0005776086849727031,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004090016709804475,
              0.003390055190030761
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.380859375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0027291398573845624,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -9.929716177032033e-05,
              0.005452878230438234
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.96365,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001995279727144244,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00298277322194763,
              0.006624234288964174
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.77734375,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0018747621228122555,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00021820883462169135,
              0.0039021348381106445
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.95273,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002905085386267751,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00023068456783130754,
              0.005723156227117716
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.953125,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0009011835388606204,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0015763953009115851,
              0.003238117388977231
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.7622,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 3.5164501169347874e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0015207109090089532,
              0.001752478042943563
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.515625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002029878769868471,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008154500658573367,
              0.004963082070690998
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.904515,
            "years_better": 9,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0035561729926433926,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0005591408214945076,
              0.006479324413278235
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.97265625,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 1.1036039037586967e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0011799454022589787,
              0.001283488334302539
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.50513,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0010312607550126234,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004018375976927894,
              0.0018642303499228172
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.26953125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001301856943806493,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.000370833940948504,
              0.0030777592450092505
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.917145,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0009494414951976205,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00228367371768874,
              0.004140008598578134
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.70703125,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0008044209928596719,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.000614257899220164,
              0.002175325620760332
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.855445,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.001504455550092515,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007639231060084629,
              0.003998418019832192
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.861328125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0003004718198899893,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0010282978485064982,
              0.0017044759368604768
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.65818,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00014829383005651113,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0009983123912468354,
              0.0008113486656583709
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.388671875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0017604235818793376,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00013976696660573118,
              0.003441643706525008
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.975045,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0011957116247068207,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0003231867490084523,
              0.0028228543075320767
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.8984375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0010831961821181496,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -4.569907535043324e-05,
              0.002245690217754599
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.95733,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00045365204883048477,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007754996784200695,
              0.0019408467988524932
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.662109375,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0014272829124109127,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -3.7038132924876774e-05,
              0.0028045329566287166
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.970105,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0010458382554433573,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.001478746199548921,
              0.0035349898635520923
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.748046875,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0010703410218894898,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00018068636258906592,
              0.0019058769883947627
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.985645,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0014006299218254482,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.00016138543894119974,
              0.0025764907129971456
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.96875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0006007117695192993,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008999578089661325,
              0.0019388461714385321
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.79073,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00018345834122201107,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0007949191006535613,
              0.0012582940379103778
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.62109375,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.00026945517319260554,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0015520716633043296,
              0.002073591888442053
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.610295,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.002360461013135134,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0001797387598996733,
              0.004838819070144012
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.939453125,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.7034749937048593,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.32139698500835034,
              1.1675456098393715
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.999765,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 1.1366713536017914,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.34731747300456806,
              2.0125607454411942
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9921875,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.4239617151901094,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.1151582276726317,
              0.7596879099587305
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99327,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.7553768804675277,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.17147531042151792,
              1.4478140325165112
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.982421875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.7345184806430817,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.4058334586150281,
              1.1048664603662905
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.999985,
            "years_better": 4,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.4315870454756513,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.006796497747007202,
              0.8817941460802314
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.94921875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.6941871614935566,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.44604012564608053,
              0.9870377954289906
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.8282432037111049,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.5717909912149723,
              1.0739061359410864
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 1.5553526945348013,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.5657098282150864,
              2.693784761621501
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.997895,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 2.864589854949419,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.9526925558511825,
              5.054148709852131
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.99609375,
            "years_better": 1,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "declared methods x targets",
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "mvs_zero_guard": {
      "rps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_below": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "brier_above": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      },
      "crps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ],
            "p_improvement": 1.0,
            "years_better": 0,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p_family": 1.0,
            "family": "targets (variant)",
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "SEL-P": {
      "rps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.003243673507746276,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              0.0002296100080310899,
              0.006616571439113567
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.96485,
            "years_better": 10,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0019119700357437758,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.003789177120792881,
              6.320000038073983e-06
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.05078125,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.00017963699114573878,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002091705418918875,
              0.0017815968088841464
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.42778,
            "years_better": 13,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.001039211980911682,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.004408766480078045,
              0.002341443333040711
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.291015625,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0002771725406289967,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0016363674616394345,
              0.0010613533698301696
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.34281,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.0012874034619755953,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0037300395385061642,
              0.0010285634332452749
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.162109375,
            "years_better": 6,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 3.7474738879150295e-05,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0018562078064713904,
              0.0020504361141997513
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.513895,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0008195637988190896,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0008007978737048333,
              0.0026708090026716764
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.794921875,
            "years_better": 5,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0007931460341780277,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.002849693178619475,
              0.00456060772216995
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.655075,
            "years_better": 11,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0039583824574494315,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.00047087623253908977,
              0.00856164480805317
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.9296875,
            "years_better": 2,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "SEL-A": {
      "crps": {
        "Jun": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.13088596934082633,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.2297295575405318,
              -0.028133265643379205
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.00977,
            "years_better": 18,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.1625831950877789,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.28024216594461515,
              -0.05048625795896014
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.015625,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 0.029309999999999996,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": true
          }
        },
        "Jul": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.0018068017518340824,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.10392313247684198,
              0.10952961444014128
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.509295,
            "years_better": 16,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": 0.19434700784328898,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.0938272774496154,
              0.5168740765286681
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.857421875,
            "years_better": 3,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 1.0,
            "no_harm": false,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        },
        "Aug": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.10752830606856278,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.1325456391208902,
              -0.08159861282302808
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.0,
            "years_better": 22,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.08486901377524386,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.1360327825084138,
              -0.014292511681778986
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.021484375,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 0.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": true
          }
        },
        "Sep": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": -0.07191713669204391,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.11372573574642159,
              -0.02905720952595474
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.001775,
            "years_better": 19,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.09469943593441282,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.15772512614869078,
              -0.033012572498235755
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.013671875,
            "years_better": 7,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 0.0071,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": true
          }
        },
        "JJAS": {
          "training": {
            "mean_difference": 0.38643517208695055,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.10472259135199333,
              1.068128659088776
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.79546,
            "years_better": 14,
            "years": 24
          },
          "test": {
            "mean_difference": -0.24505089271143118,
            "bootstrap_95": [
              -0.37991243363936833,
              -0.11955361805647685
            ],
            "p_improvement": 0.00390625,
            "years_better": 8,
            "years": 9
          },
          "decision": {
            "holm_p": 1.0,
            "no_harm": true,
            "confirmed": false
          }
        }
      }
    }
  }
}