{
 "cells": [
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "Human Evolution\n",
    "\n",
    "Suppose we have a population of 50 million. Suppose that we have a gene that gives you a 10% boost to your worth as a member of a community, in the sense that it increases the number of your children who survive to reproductive ager by 10%.\n",
    "\n"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 10,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "-16.11809565095832"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 10,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# log odds ratio for 1/10 million\n",
    "\n",
    "import numpy as np    \n",
    "\n",
    "\n",
    "\n",
    "np.log(1/(10*10**6))"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 6,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "-2.3025850929940455"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 6,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# log odds ratio for 1/10\n",
    "\n",
    "np.log(1/10)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 7,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "2.302585092994046"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 7,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# log odds ratio for 9/10\n",
    "\n",
    "np.log(10)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 11,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "1149.9999999999998"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 11,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# time to go from 10% to 90%\n",
    "\n",
    "25*(4.6/.1)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 12,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "3450.0"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 12,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "25*(13.8/.1)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": null,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": []
  }
 ],
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