{ "cells": [ { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "# Problem: A Capital Outflow...\n", "\n", "Reference: **Olivier Blanchard, Jonathan D. Ostry, Atish R. Ghosh, and Marcos Chamon** (2015): _[Expansionary or contractionary effects of capital inflows: It depends what kind](https://voxeu.org/article/macro-effects-capital-inflows-capital-type-matters)_: \"Some scholars view capital inflows as contractionary, but many policymakers view them as expansionary. Evidence supports the policymakers.... For a given policy rate, bond inflows lead to currency appreciation and are contractionary, while non-bond inflows lead to an appreciation but also to a decrease in the cost of borrowing, and thus may be expansionary...\"\n", "\n", "----\n", "\n", "* a $ {\\Delta}{\\epsilon}_o > 0 $\n", "* a $ {\\Delta}{\\rho} > 0 $\n", "\n", "So holding i constant:\n", "\n", "> $ {\\Delta}Y = {\\mu}(x_{\\epsilon}{\\Delta}{\\epsilon}_o - (I_r + x_{\\epsilon}{\\epsilon}_r){\\Delta}{\\rho}) $\n", "\n", "----\n", "\n", "Basic Model:\n", "\n", "> $ Y = C + I + G + NX $\n", "\n", "> $ C = c_o + c_y(1-t)Y $\n", "\n", "> $ I = I_o - I_rr $\n", "\n", "> $ G $\n", "\n", "> $ NX = GX - IM $\n", "\n", "> $ IM = im_y $\n", "\n", "> $ GX = x_fY^f + x_{\\epsilon}{\\epsilon} $\n", "\n", "> $ {\\epsilon} = {\\epsilon}_o + {\\epsilon}_r(r^f - r) $\n", "\n", "> $ r = i + {\\rho} - {\\pi} $\n", "\n", " \n", "\n", "> $ MPE = c_y(1-t) - im_y $\n", "\n", "> $ \\mu = \\frac{1}{1 - MPE} $\n", "\n", "> $ A_o = [c_o + I_o + G] + [x_fY^f + x_{\\epsilon}{\\epsilon}_o + x_{\\epsilon}{\\epsilon}_rr^f] $\n", "\n", "> $ Y = \\mu(A_o - (I_r + x_{\\epsilon}{\\epsilon}_r)r) $" ] } ], "metadata": { "kernelspec": { "display_name": "Python 3", "language": "python", "name": "python3" }, "language_info": { "codemirror_mode": { "name": "ipython", "version": 3 }, "file_extension": ".py", "mimetype": "text/x-python", "name": "python", "nbconvert_exporter": "python", "pygments_lexer": "ipython3", "version": "3.6.5" } }, "nbformat": 4, "nbformat_minor": 2 }