--- name: imfer-workflow description: Use when deciding which imfer-* sub-skill to invoke next, or when sequencing manuscript work from topic through rebuttal for an IMF Economic Review (IMFER) submission. Routes — it does not replace — the specialized skills. --- # IMFER Workflow Router (imfer-workflow) ## Overview This is the router. It tells you **which imfer-* skill to use at the current stage** of a manuscript aimed at *IMF Economic Review* (IMFER) — the **International Monetary Fund's flagship scholarly journal**, published by **Palgrave Macmillan / Springer Nature** for the IMF, and the successor to *IMF Staff Papers*. IMFER's center of gravity is **international macroeconomics and finance with strong policy relevance**: exchange rates and capital flows, global imbalances, financial crises and contagion, sovereign debt, monetary and fiscal policy in open economies, IMF-program-relevant questions, and international spillovers. A distinctive pipeline is the **Jacques Polak Annual Research Conference (ARC)**, whose papers often appear as IMFER special issues. Operational tells you are at IMFER and not a sibling or generic field journal: the audience is **part academic, part policy/institutional** — a referee reads as both a frontier researcher and someone who could brief an IMF mission; review is **double-blind** (anonymize the main file); house style is the **Chicago Manual of Style** with American spelling; the abstract is italicized and **JEL codes** are required. Editor-in-chief as of 2026: **Jesús Fernández-Villaverde** (检索于 2026-06;以官网为准). Re-verify volatile specifics on the Springer Nature IMFER pages. ## When to trigger - The user asks "what should I do next?" on an IMFER-bound paper - A draft needs its current bottleneck diagnosed (fit, design, theory, evidence, exhibits, style, submission) - Work is ping-ponging between identification, the model, robustness, and the policy framing - An IMFER decision letter arrived and the user must switch into revision mode - The team is weighing IMFER against JIE, JIMF, JMCB, or *Economic Policy* ## Routing table | Current symptom | Next skill | |-----------------|------------| | Question feels narrow / not clearly international-macro with policy relevance | `imfer-topic-selection` | | Contribution vs. JIE / JIMF / the IMF research frontier is fuzzy | `imfer-literature-positioning` | | Cross-country causal design or policy-surprise identification is shaky | `imfer-identification` | | The open-economy model / mechanism is loose or disconnected from the data | `imfer-theory-model` | | Results may be specification-, sample-, or country-composition-sensitive | `imfer-robustness` | | Exhibits are dense; significance asterisks still present; country coverage opaque | `imfer-tables-figures` | | Prose buries the policy implication; abstract/intro do not land for a mixed audience | `imfer-writing-style` | | Data, restricted IMF/central-bank paths, and code need packaging | `imfer-replication-package` | | Likely objections should be war-gamed before submission | `imfer-referee-strategy` | | Ready to submit via Editorial Manager; need a preflight | `imfer-submission` | | An R&R arrived; need a response-letter strategy | `imfer-rebuttal` | ## Default order 1. `imfer-topic-selection` — lock the international-macro question with a policy hook 2. `imfer-literature-positioning` — stake the contribution vs. JIE/JIMF and the IMF frontier 3. `imfer-identification` — cross-country / high-frequency / crisis-event identification 4. `imfer-theory-model` — open-economy model that disciplines or interprets the estimate 5. `imfer-robustness` — specification, sample, and country-composition stability 6. `imfer-tables-figures` — exhibits with transparent country coverage, no asterisks 7. `imfer-writing-style` — make the idea land for the dual academic/policy audience (intro last) 8. `imfer-replication-package` — assemble the data/code package with restricted-data paths 9. `imfer-referee-strategy` — anticipate the dual-referee objections 10. `imfer-submission` — Editorial Manager double-blind preflight 11. `imfer-rebuttal` — after the R&R > `imfer-writing-style` is a late polish; do not rewrite the intro before identification, the model, and robustness settle. ## Routing by paper archetype IMFER spans several international-macro branches; the binding constraint differs by archetype. | Archetype | Likely first bottleneck | Enter at | |-----------|-------------------------|----------| | cross-country panel (capital flows, debt, crises) | country composition + spillover identification | `imfer-identification` → `imfer-robustness` | | high-frequency policy-surprise (monetary/FX, spillovers) | clean surprise series + exclusion | `imfer-identification` | | open-economy DSGE / international-finance model | parameter identification + counterfactual validity | `imfer-theory-model` → `imfer-identification` | | crisis event study / narrative | event windows + confounding macro shocks | `imfer-identification` → `imfer-robustness` | | ARC / special-issue invited paper | sharpening the policy contribution to the issue theme | `imfer-topic-selection` → `imfer-literature-positioning` | ## Worked routing example (illustrative) A user says: "My cross-country panel shows capital-flow controls dampen crisis risk, but a referee says the result is driven by a handful of Asian economies and the controls are endogenous to the crisis." That is two distinct IMFER pushbacks — *country-composition fragility* (owned by `imfer-robustness`) and *policy endogeneity* (owned by `imfer-identification`). Route to identification first to defend the design, then to robustness to show the effect survives dropping the Asian bloc; only once the coefficient is stable do you return to `imfer-tables-figures` and `imfer-rebuttal`. ## Anti-patterns - Treating IMFER like JIE (pure international trade/finance theory-and-empirics, less policy framing) or JIMF (broader, faster, less selective) - Polishing prose before identification, the model, and robustness are stable - Letting the online appendix carry a claim the main text must establish - Forgetting the **policy "so what"** — a clean estimate with no IMF-relevant implication reads as the wrong journal - Leaving author-identifying traces in a double-blind main file ## Minimal decision snippet ``` if decision_letter_arrived: -> imfer-rebuttal elif ready_to_submit: -> imfer-submission elif anticipating_referees: -> imfer-referee-strategy elif data_code_packaging: -> imfer-replication-package elif exhibits_or_significance: -> imfer-tables-figures elif results_fragile: -> imfer-robustness elif model_loose: -> imfer-theory-model elif identification_shaky: -> imfer-identification elif claim_or_positioning_fuzzy: -> imfer-contribution / imfer-literature-positioning else: -> imfer-topic-selection ```