--- name: ngeo-methods description: Use when building the online Methods section of a Nature Geoscience manuscript so every quantitative Earth-science claim is grounded in data, model diagnostics, and quantified uncertainty. Structures Methods and the reproducibility layer; does not design figures or frame the headline result. --- # Nature Geoscience Methods (ngeo-methods) ## When to trigger - Your main text is carrying instrument, sampling, or model-configuration detail that belongs online - You cannot tell what a reader *needs in the main text* versus what belongs in online Methods - Referees of a prior draft asked how a number was derived or how uncertainty was propagated - The Article is over length and Methods-type material is a prime relocation target - You are unsure how to state data and code availability ## The Nature Methods architecture Nature Geoscience separates the main text from an **online Methods** section (placed after the main text, divided by topical subheadings; verify current length allowances). The division of labor: - **Main text** carries only what a broad reader needs to *believe and interpret* the headline advance: the essential approach, the decisive observational or model constraint, and the headline uncertainty. - **Online Methods** carries the full, reproducible account: instruments and platforms, sampling and site selection, proxy calibration, model setup and forcing, statistical procedures, and the **complete uncertainty budget**. The online Methods is not an appendix of leftovers — it is peer-reviewed in full and is where a specialist referee decides whether to trust the result. ## What every Nature Geoscience Methods must ground | Claim type | Must appear in Methods | |-------------------------------------|-----------------------------------------------------------------| | Field / lab measurement | instrument, precision, sampling design, replication | | Remote-sensing / satellite product | sensor, product version, retrieval, resolution, bias handling | | Proxy reconstruction | calibration dataset, transfer function, age model, error | | Model result | model + version, resolution, forcing/boundary conditions, spin-up, ensemble | | Any statistical inference | test, assumptions, significance definition, multiple-comparison handling | | Every headline number | how uncertainty was estimated and propagated | ## Grounding without over-claiming (a Nat. Geosci. distinctive) Nature Geoscience referees are sharp about the gap between what data show and what is inferred. Pre-empt the two signature objections **explicitly**: - **"The model is not anchored to observations."** → State the observational validation in the main text and the full comparison in Methods. A model result with no data anchor is a classic desk-reject. - **"The uncertainty is not quantified / not propagated."** → Give every headline number a stated uncertainty and describe the propagation in Methods. Separate measurement error, model spread, and structural uncertainty where they differ in kind. ## Data, code, and reproducibility statements Nature Portfolio requires explicit statements — plan them here, not at submission: - **Data availability**: deposit in a **community repository** where one exists (e.g. PANGAEA for Earth-system data, NCEI, IRIS/SAGE for seismology, GenBank for sequences), otherwise a general repository (Figshare, Dryad, Zenodo). State accession/DOI. "Available on request" alone is not sufficient for the underlying data. - **Code availability**: custom code that generates the central results must be made available (repository + DOI, or at minimum to editors/referees); state it explicitly. - **Reporting Summary**: the Nature Portfolio Reporting Summary accompanies submission (see `ngeo-submission`); its content must be consistent with Methods. ## Sentence patterns that buy referee trust - **Validation clause (main text):** "Simulated surface fluxes reproduce the observed seasonal cycle to within X% (Methods, Fig. Sn)." - **Split uncertainty:** "We estimate a rate of value ± (measurement) ± (model spread), the latter dominated by [source]." - **Age-model flag (paleo):** "Ages are on the [framework] timescale; the reconstruction is robust to alternative age models (Methods)." - **Ensemble one-liner:** "Results are consistent across all N ensemble members (Methods)." ## Checklist - [ ] Main text keeps only what a broad reader needs to trust and interpret the advance - [ ] Online Methods is divided by topical subheadings and is fully reproducible - [ ] Every quantitative claim is grounded in data or a data-validated model - [ ] Model results are explicitly anchored to observations - [ ] The headline number carries a stated, propagated uncertainty - [ ] Data availability names a repository + accession/DOI (community repo preferred) - [ ] Code availability is stated for custom analysis code - [ ] Methods are consistent with the Reporting Summary ## Anti-patterns - Treating online Methods as a dumping ground rather than a reproducible protocol - A model-only claim with no observational validation - Headline numbers with no uncertainty, or measurement and model spread merged silently - "Data available on request" as the only data statement - Undefined proxy calibrations or unstated age models in paleoclimate work - Methods that contradict the Reporting Summary or the availability statements ## Output format ``` 【Main-text trust minimum】approach / decisive constraint / headline uncertainty 【Online Methods subheadings】list 【Model anchored to observations】yes / fix 【Headline uncertainty propagated】yes / fix 【Data availability】repository + DOI? yes / fix 【Code availability】stated? yes / fix 【Next】ngeo-figures (lead figure) or ngeo-supplementary (SI partition) ``` > Methods length allowances, repository lists, and reporting-summary requirements evolve — verify current Nature Geoscience / Nature Portfolio policy on the official author pages (Checked: 2026-07-16).