--- name: ecj-referee-strategy description: Use when running a pre-submission pre-mortem on a The Economic Journal (EJ) manuscript to anticipate the broad-interest, identification, and mechanism objections a demanding general-interest referee will raise. Builds the threat list and pre-empts it; it does not write the R&R response (see ecj-rebuttal). --- # Referee Strategy & Pre-Mortem (ecj-referee-strategy) ## When to trigger - Identification, model, and robustness are in place and you want to harden the paper before submitting - You want to anticipate the report rather than react to it - You sense a likely objection but have not addressed it in the text - You are choosing how to frame the contribution to survive a demanding general-interest referee ## How EJ referees read EJ referees read the paper as an **economic argument for a broad audience** and probe two things: is it credible, and is it of **broad interest** to economists at large? The prototypical EJ referee asks "so what — why should the wider profession care?" as hard as "is this identified?". They are unimpressed by a clean coefficient with no economic meaning or no general relevance, and they will name the alternative mechanism or the over-claimed generality. EJ review is **single-blind** (referees know who you are; you do not know them; verified 2026-06-20), so do not anonymize. Anticipating these objections is worth more than any extra robustness table, because a single unanswered first-order objection — especially "this is too narrow for EJ" — sinks the paper. ## The objection taxonomy (pre-empt each in the text) 1. **"Too narrow / not of broad interest."** — A result only one subfield would read. *Pre-empt:* `ecj-topic-selection` / `ecj-literature-positioning` — argue the general lesson and external relevance explicitly. 2. **"Where is the economics?"** — A reduced-form result with no model/mechanism. *Pre-empt:* `ecj-theory-model` — state the mechanism and the prediction it tests. 3. **"Your mechanism vs. the obvious alternative."** — A rival economic story produces the same sign. *Pre-empt:* `ecj-robustness` — a discriminating test. 4. **"Selection / endogeneity / weak design."** — Treatment or sample is endogenous; TWFE on staggered timing. *Pre-empt:* `ecj-identification` — defend the assumption, show falsification, use a modern estimator. 5. **"What identifies the parameter?"** (structural) — *Pre-empt:* explicit "what identifies what" + untargeted-moment validation. 6. **"Over-claimed generality."** — the headline asserts external validity the design cannot support. *Pre-empt:* bound the claim to what the evidence licenses (`ecj-robustness`). 7. **"Hard to read / exposition."** — a generalist gets lost. *Pre-empt:* `ecj-writing-style` — clear exposition is part of the EJ bar, not optional polish. ## Pre-mortem procedure - Write the referee report you fear, in their voice, listing the three objections most likely to trigger a reject. - For each, decide: fixable in text now (do it), needs new analysis (do it or scope it), or a genuine limitation (state it honestly and bound its damage). - Identify the **one** first-order objection that would sink the paper — at EJ this is frequently "too narrow" or "no mechanism" — and make sure the manuscript answers it before a referee has to ask. - Suggesting referees / handling COIs: name scholars who know the literature and would engage fairly; note conflicts honestly — the single-blind portal will flag obvious co-author/advisor ties. ## Checklist - [ ] "Too narrow for EJ" pre-empted with an explicit broad-interest / general-lesson argument - [ ] "Where is the economics?" answered by an explicit mechanism/model - [ ] The leading rival mechanism named and tested against - [ ] Selection/endogeneity threat defended with a falsification test; modern estimator where needed - [ ] (Structural) parameter identification made transparent - [ ] Generality claims bounded to what the evidence supports - [ ] Exposition checked so a generalist can follow the argument - [ ] The single most dangerous objection identified and pre-empted in the text ## Anti-patterns - Submitting a narrow result and hoping the referee overlooks the broad-interest bar - Anonymizing for a single-blind journal, or suggesting referees with a conflict the portal will catch - A robustness section that never tests the *leading* rival mechanism - Assuming broad importance instead of demonstrating it - Hiding a known limitation rather than bounding it (referees find it anyway) - Treating exposition as cosmetic when at EJ it is part of the decision ## Output format ``` 【Feared report】the 3 objections most likely to trigger reject 【First-order threat】the single objection that would sink it (often "too narrow" / "no mechanism") 【Pre-empt plan】per objection: fix-in-text / new-analysis / state-as-limitation 【Broad-interest + rival-mechanism status】addressed? [y/n] 【Exposition pass】a generalist can follow it? [y/n] 【Next】ecj-submission ```