--- name: acl-experiments description: Use when designing or auditing experiments for an ACL paper, covering tuned LLM baselines, multi-dataset and multilingual evaluation, statistical significance and variance, human evaluation with agreement reporting, contamination and prompt-sensitivity controls, ablations, and error-analysis expectations in NLP reviewing. --- # ACL Experiments Use this while the experimental story can still change. The ACL evidence bar is not "beats the baseline once": it is a defensible measurement of a language capability, with the failure modes examined. ## Baseline honesty - Include the strongest cheap baseline: a well-prompted current LLM has become mandatory context for most tasks — a method beating only pre-LLM systems invites the "does this matter now?" review. - Tune baselines with the same care as your method (same search budget, same data); reviewers explicitly probe for asymmetric tuning. - Report the trivial baselines (majority class, copy input, retrieval-only) when they contextualize how hard the task actually is. ## Evaluation design - Breadth must match the claim: a "general" claim needs multiple datasets; a cross-lingual claim needs typologically distinct languages, not three Romance neighbors. - Automatic metrics need justification for generation tasks — pair n-gram or embedding metrics with human or LLM-judge evaluation, and validate any LLM-judge against human labels before leaning on it. - Fix the evaluation protocol before final runs: dev-set peeking on the test set via repeated submissions is unreportable and unrepairable. ## Statistical floor | Result flavor | Required rigor at ACL | |---|---| | Small deltas between systems | Significance test (bootstrap/permutation) or overlapping-interval honesty | | Fine-tuning results | Multiple seeds; mean and deviation in the table, defined in the caption | | Prompted-LLM results | Multiple prompt paraphrases and/or samples; sensitivity range reported | | Human evaluation | Raters per item, agreement statistic (e.g., Krippendorff's alpha), pay disclosed | | Correlation claims (metrics) | Confidence intervals and comparison against existing metric correlations | The Responsible NLP checklist (Section C) asks for descriptive statistics and error bars — an experiment plan that cannot fill Section C truthfully is incomplete by construction. ## Contamination and validity controls - Reason explicitly about test-set membership in pretraining data: release dates vs model cutoffs, overlap scans, or held-back fresh test items. - Watch prompt leakage: few-shot exemplars drawn from the test distribution, instructions embedding label hints. - For annotation-based data, quantify label quality before measuring models against it; models are now frequently better than noisy gold labels. ## Ablations and the mechanism claim - Each component the abstract credits needs an ablation row; each ablation row needs the same variance treatment as the headline number. - Prefer ablations that test the *explanation* (e.g., "gains come from the retrieval step") over combinatorial component sweeps. - Scale ablation: if a claim is "method X helps," show it at two model sizes or state the single-scale limitation explicitly. ## Error analysis as a deliverable The distinctive ACL expectation: a quantitative error analysis with named categories. 1. Sample failures (100-200) from the strongest configuration. 2. Induce 4-8 functional error categories; double-annotate a subset and report agreement. 3. Report category frequencies for your method vs the best baseline — where do gains actually come from? 4. Feed the two most persistent categories into Limitations. ## Pre-run design worksheet ```text Claim: Datasets: Baselines: Runs/variance: Significance: Human eval: Contamination: Ablations: table row> Error analysis: ``` ## Common evidence failures seen in ARR reviews - Averaging over languages to hide that one language regressed — report the per-language block; reviewers open the appendix table first when a claim says "multilingual." - Comparing your tuned method against baseline numbers copied from papers that used different preprocessing or splits. - Treating an LLM judge as ground truth without reporting its agreement with humans on a calibration subset. - Claiming efficiency without wall-clock, memory, or cost on matched hardware. - Running the significance test only on the comparison that wins. - Reporting the best seed as the headline and the mean in the appendix — reviewers call this out by name. ## When compute is the constraint - Pre-register (internally) which single configuration gets the full multi-seed treatment, and make it the headline setting. - Use paired designs — same items, both systems — so smaller samples still yield tight comparisons and permutation tests apply cleanly. - Prefer breadth at small scale plus depth at one large scale over a thin sweep of everything; state the choice in the setup section. - Cache and release intermediate outputs so ablations re-score rather than re-run. ## Output format ```text [Evidence verdict] convincing / thin / misaligned-with-claim [Baseline gaps] [Statistical gaps] [Validity threats] [Highest-value next run] ```