# Development Chronology A narrative history of this Lean 4 formalization, based on 4,024 commits (3,166 non-merge) from Sept 29, 2025 - Jan 8, 2026. ## Phase 0: Project Initialization (Sept 29 - Oct 1, 2025) **Setting the foundation** - `c33c821d` Initial commit - `179c0654` Added lean-toolchain (stable Lean 4) - `fbce95e9` De Finetti theorem skeleton and blueprint - `42c7d398` Mean-ergodic step for de Finetti theorem The project began as a from-scratch formalization. Early focus on mean ergodic theorem integration. ## Phase 1: Framework Establishment (Oct 1-2, 2025) **Core definitions emerge** - `12b40f16` Reverted koopman_isometry to sorry (typeclass issues) - *first technical obstacle* - `b8f77507` Integrated mathlib mean ergodic theorem - `8e1d523b` Renamed exchangeability definitions for clarity - `0e4cc62f` Distinguished finite vs full exchangeability - *key conceptual distinction* - `bd1a5965` Added Contractability.lean with de Finetti-Ryll-Nardzewski framework **Course correction:** Early reversion of koopman_isometry signals that the ergodic approach would face type class challenges. ## Phase 2: Breakthrough Week (Oct 2-6, 2025) **First major milestones** - `bd2af675` **MAJOR MILESTONE:** Complete proof of `exists_perm_extending_strictMono` - `81f085df` Complete Step E - right-continuity of conditional CDF - `b28f089c` Complete Step G - right-continuity at all reals - `1710331f` Complete tower_indicator_finset proof structure - `ddb463af` **Removed 1,538 lines of dead code** from ViaMartingale.lean - `74c6ac46` Complete condIndep_indicator_of_dropInfoY proof **Key insight:** The permutation extension lemma (`exists_perm_extending_strictMono`) became the foundation for proving exchangeable → contractable. Uses `Equiv.extendSubtype` to extend any strictly increasing `k : Fin m → ℕ` to a full permutation. **Architecture signal:** Massive dead code removal suggests early exploration of paths that were abandoned. ## Phase 3: Modularization Push (Oct 6-20, 2025) **From monoliths to modules** Recognition that 5,000+ line files were unmaintainable led to systematic refactoring: - `20ce25ae` Refactored CondIndep.lean into 4 modular files - `bbf0636c` Split Martingale.lean into 4 modular files - `f4573688` Split TripleLawDropInfo.lean into 2 submodules - `2be8e286` Split ConditionalKernel.lean into 2 submodules - `ba5721a1` Golfed ViaMartingale proofs (~71 lines saved) **Pattern:** Files were extracted when exceeding ~3,000-4,500 lines. This enabled independent development of the three proof approaches. ## Phase 4: Three Proof Approaches Diverge (Oct 20 - Nov 10, 2025) **Parallel development begins** The three proofs from Kallenberg (2005) now develop independently: | Approach | Key Infrastructure | Status | |----------|-------------------|--------| | **ViaL2** | Elementary L² bounds | Lighter dependencies | | **ViaKoopman** | Mean Ergodic Theorem | Heavy ergodic theory | | **ViaMartingale** | Reverse martingale convergence | Aldous's approach | Peak productivity: Oct 12-13 saw 156 and 150 commits respectively. - `d4aefa77` ViaL2: Complete dominating convergence structure - `4444a485` ViaKoopman: Add contractability-based proof structure ## Phase 5: Core Mathematical Proofs (Oct 10 - Dec 10, 2025) **The hard work** - `c4f419e1` TripleLawDropInfo: Implement 95% of Kallenberg 1.3 L² proof - `845be23c` **Complete Kallenberg 1.3 proof - NO SORRIES!** - `78e4c4d7` Complete MixtureOfIID definition (ConditionallyIID) **Technical struggles surface:** - Measurability automation challenges (dozens of commits) - Circularity avoidance in h_L1_conv approach - Type class synthesis issues The Kallenberg 1.3 lemma (`pair_law_eq_of_contractable`) became the central pillar connecting all three approaches. ## Phase 6: Major Course Correction - Identification Chain (Dec 3-10, 2025) **Shifting to Kallenberg's precise argument** - `19ba4114` **ViaL2: Replace Ioc/step function proof with identification chain** - `e6d2b928` ViaL2: Add README documenting Kallenberg identification chain approach - `3b48477f` ViaL2: Add Kallenberg-aligned bridge lemmas - `ff7a3d1f` DirectingMeasure: simplify L¹ uniqueness proof to documented sorry **Course correction:** After months of general infrastructure, explicitly adopted **Kallenberg's identification chain** approach. This moved away from abstract functional analysis toward concrete distributional arguments following the textbook closely. Created `DirectingMeasure.lean` infrastructure for the identification chain: a sequence of measures progressively transferring the empirical distribution to the theoretical limit. ## Phase 7: Koopman Kernel Framework (Dec 12-31, 2025) **Massive extraction and completion** - `3f75f41c` **Extracted 4,438-line KernelIndependence.lean** (75% reduction: 5,854 → 1,447 lines) - `20415133` Corrected h_L1_conv approach to Dynkin system + range quantization - `e5df0b55` Removed OLD PROOF section, cleaned up axiom terminology - `340c7edc` **ViaKoopmanContractable: Complete all proofs, eliminating sorries** **Technical insight:** The kernel approach provides alternative route through: 1. Conditional expectation operators as conditional kernels 2. Factorization of joint laws 3. Contractability verification via kernels ## Phase 8: Martingale Kallenberg-Faithful Refactor (Dec 31 - Jan 1, 2026) **Reverse martingale machinery** - `b7c7d2f5` **ViaMartingale: Kallenberg-faithful refactor with reverse martingale convergence** - `fbbba049` Added Kallenberg chain lemma and ForMathlib extractions **Course correction:** Recognized that Aldous's original reverse martingale approach needed reframing to match Kallenberg's modern presentation. Introduced: - Reverse filtration (σ-algebras conditioned on tail events) - Reverse martingale convergence machinery - Explicit chain lemma connecting revFiltration to tailSigma ## Phase 9: Proof Completion Sprint (Jan 1-3, 2026) **Three proofs converge** - `340c7edc` ViaKoopmanContractable: **Complete** (no sorries) - `126d9e96` TheoremViaKoopman: Fix build errors, complete main theorem - `432974a1` ViaL2: Fill alphaIicCE_right_continuous_at via DCT - `5c379939` ViaL2: Fill h_alpha_eq_M_alpha_g via L¹ uniqueness **New Year's milestone:** ViaKoopmanContractable achieved zero sorries on Jan 1, 2026. ## Phase 10: Stabilization & Golf (Jan 3-7, 2026) **Code quality hardening** - 15+ "golf" commits converting tactic proofs to term mode - Strategic refactoring of oversized Koopman modules - Final DirectingMeasure bug fixes - `b1889b79` Updated README with completion status **Why golf?** Once proofs are complete: 1. Demonstrates confidence in correctness (touching presentation, not logic) 2. Prepares for potential mathlib integration 3. Professional code quality standards --- ## Key Patterns ### Architectural Evolution - **Monolithic → Modular:** Files grew to 5,000+ lines, then split into 50-500 line modules - **Abstract → Concrete:** General functional analysis → Kallenberg's specific identification chain - **Parallel → Converging:** Three independent routes → unified theorem statement ### Technical Struggles 1. **Circularity avoidance:** Multiple commits addressing circular proof dependencies 2. **Measurability automation:** Dozens of commits solving measurability goals 3. **Type class synthesis:** Occasional instance resolution issues 4. **Mathlib API changes:** Adaptation to IntegralIndicator, AEStronglyMeasurable updates ### Course Corrections 1. **Oct 2:** Reverted koopman_isometry (typeclass issues) 2. **Oct 6:** Massive dead code removal (abandoned exploration) 3. **Dec 3-10:** Adopted Kallenberg identification chain (major strategic shift) 4. **Dec 31:** Kallenberg-faithful martingale refactor --- ## Final Status | Proof Route | Approach | Status | |-------------|----------|--------| | **ViaL2** | Elementary L² bounds | **Complete** (Jan 8, 2026) | | **ViaKoopman** | Ergodic theory | **Complete** (Jan 1, 2026) | | **ViaMartingale** | Reverse martingale | **Complete** (Dec 26, 2025) | All three proofs demonstrate the core equivalence: ``` Contractable ⟺ Exchangeable ⟺ Conditionally i.i.d. ```