# Pre-registered FSOT predictions — locked before independent measurement comparison. version: "1.0" registered_at: "2026-07-10" notes: > Each prediction states FSOT value, ΛCDM/SM baseline, and discriminant threshold. Registration timestamp is authoritative; post-hoc tuning invalidates prereg status. predictions: - id: PRED-001 name: H0_bridge_scalar domain: Cosmology fsot_formula_branch: term1.perceived_adjust fsot_predicted: 70.75 unit: "km/s/Mpc" sota_baseline: 67.36 sota_label: "Planck2018 ΛCDM" alternate_sota: 73.04 alternate_label: "SH0ES 2024" discriminant: "strictly_between_planck_and_sh0es" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-002 name: S8_effective_lensing domain: Cosmology fsot_formula_branch: term3.acoustic_bleed fsot_predicted: 0.805 unit: S8 sota_baseline: 0.834 sota_label: "Planck2018" alternate_sota: 0.776 alternate_label: "DES Y3" discriminant: "between_planck_and_des" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-003 name: adversarial_codon_hole_rate domain: Code_Genome_Structure fsot_formula_branch: term1.quirkMod fsot_predicted: 0.85 unit: fraction sota_baseline: 0.35 sota_label: "Semgrep heuristic hit rate" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-004 name: muon_g2_excess_direction domain: Particle_Physics fsot_formula_branch: term3.chaos_factor fsot_predicted: 2.49e-9 unit: "delta_a_mu" sota_baseline: 0.0 sota_label: "SM_only" alternate_sota: 2.5e-9 alternate_label: "Fermilab 2021" discriminant: "same_sign_as_fermilab" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-005 name: lithium_problem_factor_bridge domain: Cosmology fsot_formula_branch: term3.poof_factor fsot_predicted: 2.85 unit: underproduction_factor sota_baseline: 3.0 sota_label: "BBN theory gap" discriminant: "within_10pct_of_observed_gap" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-006 name: acoustic_impedance_median_MRayl domain: Acoustic_Resonance_Materials fsot_formula_branch: term3.acoustic_bleed fsot_predicted: 0.41 unit: MRayl sota_baseline: 0.45 sota_label: "Empirical air-water impedance mean" discriminant: "within_10pct_of_observed_gap" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-007 name: ionospheric_beta_quiet_classifier domain: Ionospheric_Chemistry_Coupling fsot_formula_branch: term3.acoustic_inflow fsot_predicted: 1.0 unit: stability_score sota_baseline: 0.55 sota_label: "Dst-Kp decoupled heuristic" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-008 name: phi_glass_Tg_morphogen_K domain: Phi_Morphogenetic_Scaling fsot_formula_branch: term1.term1_base fsot_predicted: 199.0 unit: K sota_baseline: 210.0 sota_label: "Polymer Tg phenomenology" discriminant: "within_10pct_of_observed_gap" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-009 name: pd_deuterium_lattice_excess_heat domain: Cold_Fusion_Candidate_Prereg_Scaffold fsot_formula_branch: term3.acoustic_bleed fsot_predicted: 1.85 unit: enhancement_factor sota_baseline: 0.0 sota_label: "Null baseline (no reproducible excess heat)" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-010 name: lattice_boundary_cold_fusion_channel domain: Cold_Fusion_Candidate_Prereg_Scaffold fsot_formula_branch: term3.boundary_partition fsot_predicted: 1.62 unit: enhancement_factor sota_baseline: 0.0 sota_label: "Null baseline" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-011 name: muon_catalyzed_dd_rate_bridge domain: Cold_Fusion_Candidate_Prereg_Scaffold fsot_formula_branch: term1.initiation_transformation fsot_predicted: 1.08e8 unit: "fusions/mol/s" sota_baseline: 1.0e8 sota_label: "Published muon-catalyzed D-D rate" discriminant: "within_10pct_of_observed_gap" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-012 name: unbinilium_Z120_N184_half_life domain: Undiscovered_Element_Candidate_Prereg_Scaffold fsot_formula_branch: term3.boundary_partition fsot_predicted: 2.5e6 unit: half_life_s sota_baseline: 0.0 sota_label: "Not yet synthesized" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-013 name: unbihexium_Z126_island_stability domain: Undiscovered_Element_Candidate_Prereg_Scaffold fsot_formula_branch: term1.term1_base fsot_predicted: 1.2e9 unit: half_life_s sota_baseline: 0.0 sota_label: "Not yet synthesized" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-014 name: natural_formation_Z132_fusion_decay domain: Natural_Formation_Element_Simulation fsot_formula_branch: term3.acoustic_bleed fsot_predicted: 132 unit: atomic_number sota_baseline: 118 sota_label: "IUPAC confirmed ceiling" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-015 name: pd_lattice_cold_fusion_metamaterial_heat_transfer domain: Metamaterial_Fluid_Design_Prereg_Scaffold fsot_formula_branch: term3.acoustic_bleed fsot_predicted: 1850 unit: "W/m2/K" sota_baseline: 500 sota_label: "Conventional Pd heat exchanger baseline" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-016 name: acoustic_bleed_phononic_negative_index domain: Metamaterial_Fluid_Design_Prereg_Scaffold fsot_formula_branch: term3.acoustic_bleed fsot_predicted: -1.35 unit: refractive_index sota_baseline: 0.0 sota_label: "No negative-index phononic crystal demonstrated" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-017 name: Z119_Ti_Bk_heavy_ion_lab_synthesis domain: Heavy_Ion_Lab_Synthesis_Panel fsot_formula_branch: term3.boundary_partition fsot_predicted: 0.42 unit: viability_score sota_baseline: 0.0 sota_label: "Z=119 not yet synthesized" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-018 name: pd_d_to_Z120_fusion_decay_cascade domain: Fusion_Decay_Chain_Prereg_Scaffold fsot_formula_branch: term3.acoustic_bleed fsot_predicted: 120 unit: atomic_number sota_baseline: 118 sota_label: "IUPAC confirmed ceiling" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-019 name: muon_dd_to_Z126_fusion_decay_cascade domain: Fusion_Decay_Chain_Prereg_Scaffold fsot_formula_branch: term1.initiation_transformation fsot_predicted: 126 unit: atomic_number sota_baseline: 118 sota_label: "IUPAC confirmed ceiling" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-020 name: Z126_N184_unbihexium_beam_synthesis domain: Z120_Z126_Beam_Synthesis_Panel fsot_formula_branch: term3.boundary_partition fsot_predicted: 0.48 unit: viability_score sota_baseline: 0.0 sota_label: "Z=126 not yet synthesized" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-021 name: Z132_N184_superheavy_shell_peak domain: Distant_Island_Z128_Z132_Deep_Panel fsot_formula_branch: term1.term1_base fsot_predicted: 3.1e7 unit: half_life_s sota_baseline: 0.0 sota_label: "Not yet synthesized" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-022 name: Z164_N228_distant_island domain: Z164_Distant_Island_Prereg_Scaffold fsot_formula_branch: term3.boundary_partition fsot_predicted: 1.5e3 unit: half_life_s sota_baseline: 0.0 sota_label: "Not yet synthesized" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-023 name: periodic_extension_decay_topology_Z164 domain: Periodic_Extension_Decay_Topology_Scaffold fsot_formula_branch: term1.initiation_transformation fsot_predicted: 164 unit: atomic_number sota_baseline: 118 sota_label: "IUPAC confirmed ceiling" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-024 name: h0_dual_anchor_bubble_bleed domain: Hubble_Dark_Sector_Crosswalk fsot_formula_branch: term3.acoustic_bleed fsot_predicted: 72.1 unit: "km/s/Mpc" sota_baseline: 67.4 sota_label: "Planck CMB H0" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-025 name: fpc_cosmological_tau_damping domain: FPC_Fluidlink_Timing_Deep_Panel fsot_formula_branch: term1.coherence_efficiency fsot_predicted: 0.50 unit: dimensionless_tau sota_baseline: 0.0 sota_label: "No unified FPC tau baseline" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-032 name: bh_wh_micro_portal_doorway domain: Warp_BH_WH_Portal_Panel fsot_formula_branch: term3.poof_factor fsot_predicted: 0.009663204175 unit: dimensionless_portal sota_baseline: 0.0 sota_label: "No synthetic BH/WH doorway baseline" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" note: "Value locked from legacy warp_actuation_formula_fsot21.json psi_portal_doorway at build time" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-033 name: quantum_entanglement_gate_pair domain: Warp_BH_WH_Portal_Panel fsot_formula_branch: term1.perceived_adjust fsot_predicted: 0.04803163401 unit: dimensionless_entanglement sota_baseline: 0.0 sota_label: "No paired-gate entanglement baseline" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" note: "Value locked from legacy formula psi_entangle_gate at build time" registered_at: "2026-07-10" - id: PRED-034 name: fsot_designed_fuel_thermochemistry_panel domain: Fuel_Lab_Live_Panel fsot_formula_branch: term1.coherence_efficiency fsot_predicted: 0.039349 unit: pooled_median_error_pct sota_baseline: 8.0 sota_label: "Desktop engine simulator typical fuel-property error" discriminant: "within_10pct_of_observed_gap" note: > Seven FSOT-designed alternative fuels (hemp grounded/advanced, algae biodiesel, mushroom ester, green hydrogen, optimax, bio_spark) — thermochemistry + Prius engine simulator outputs vs seed-scalar predictions; novel molecular states not pre-existing in literature; gasoline baseline for comparison only. registered_at: "2026-07-15" - id: PRED-035 name: machine_molecule_species_catalog_precision domain: Machine_And_Molecule_Live_Panel fsot_formula_branch: term3.acoustic_bleed fsot_predicted: 0.01341 unit: pooled_median_error_pct sota_baseline: 5.0 sota_label: "Typical materials property lookup error" discriminant: "within_10pct_of_observed_gap" note: "120 catalog properties (metals/molecules) from desktop FSOT species catalog" registered_at: "2026-07-15" - id: PRED-036 name: fsot_transporter_technology_stack domain: Star_Trek_Transporter_Live_Panel fsot_formula_branch: term3.poof_factor fsot_predicted: 0.05256 unit: pooled_median_error_pct sota_baseline: 10.0 sota_label: "Quantum teleportation + warp portal typical modeling gap" discriminant: "within_10pct_of_observed_gap" note: > FSOT transporter technology stack — warp actuation portal doorway (psi_portal, psi_traverse), entanglement gate pairs, poof/suction matter-stream, pattern-buffer/reassembly engineering observables verified against seed-scalar engine at sub-0.1% precision on portal channel. registered_at: "2026-07-15" - id: PRED-039 name: transporter_pattern_buffer_beam_grid domain: Star_Trek_Transporter_Live_Panel fsot_formula_branch: term3.acoustic_bleed fsot_predicted: 0.031159 unit: pooled_median_error_pct sota_baseline: 10.0 sota_label: "Pattern buffer / beam-forming typical modeling gap" discriminant: "within_10pct_of_observed_gap" note: > Desktop pattern_buffer_beam_simulator — 85M voxel grid, T3 valve acoustic phase lock per scan step, layer fidelity vs FSOT seed-scalar predictions. registered_at: "2026-07-15" - id: PRED-040 name: transporter_t3_acoustic_valve_hardware domain: Star_Trek_Transporter_Live_Panel fsot_formula_branch: term3.acoustic_bleed fsot_predicted: 0.031159 unit: pooled_median_error_pct sota_baseline: 8.0 sota_label: "Ultrasonic phase-valve actuator typical modeling gap" discriminant: "within_10pct_of_observed_gap" note: > Desktop t3_acoustic_valve_hardware_simulator — piezo-stack PZT prototype, 40 kHz resonant cavity phase lock on pad A emitter, impedance match + beam coupling vs FSOT seed-scalar. registered_at: "2026-07-15" - id: PRED-041 name: transporter_pad_b_receiver_hardware domain: Star_Trek_Transporter_Live_Panel fsot_formula_branch: term3.acoustic_bleed fsot_predicted: 0.031159 unit: pooled_median_error_pct sota_baseline: 8.0 sota_label: "Reassembly receiver phase-capture typical modeling gap" discriminant: "within_10pct_of_observed_gap" note: > Pad B receiver hardware simulator — capture-coil phase conjugate lock coupled to psi_gate_pair two-gate entanglement channel; matter-stream reassembly fidelity. registered_at: "2026-07-15" - id: PRED-038 name: transporter_portal_traverse_scalar domain: Star_Trek_Transporter_Live_Panel fsot_formula_branch: term1.perceived_adjust fsot_predicted: 0.000464139486 unit: dimensionless_traverse sota_baseline: 0.0 sota_label: "No unified portal traverse baseline" discriminant: "fsot_exceeds_sota_by_0.4" note: "psi_traverse = psi_portal * psi_entangle — doorway step-through scalar from warp actuation" registered_at: "2026-07-15" - id: PRED-037 name: blackhole_whitehole_cycle_constant_drift domain: BlackHole_WhiteHole_Cycle_Live_Panel fsot_formula_branch: term3.poof_factor fsot_predicted: 0.026472 unit: pooled_median_error_pct sota_baseline: 6.0 sota_label: "Desktop BH/WH cycle prototype typical error" discriminant: "within_10pct_of_observed_gap" note: "Cycle proxies + fsot-core.js canonical constants from desktop blueprint" registered_at: "2026-07-15"