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Message ID: 13685
Date: Tue Jan 25 21:29:25 GMT 2000
Author: Kimes, Dean W.
Subject: RE: Deepwater Gobs


Just a brief word on statistics. If you want to get a reasonably good
approximation of what % something drops, you need a number of tests one
order of magnitude higher than the range. So if its 5% you need at least
200 tests for statistical accuracy. This isn't necessarily true for all
randoms, but for psuedo-random numbers such as computers produce, it is
generally the applicable rule.

Kit

-----Original Message-----
From: Ryan Honeyman [mailto:honeyman@...]
Sent: Tuesday, January 25, 2000 2:25 PM
To: eqbards@onelist.com
Subject: Re: [eqbards] Deepwater Gobs


From: Ryan Honeyman <honeyman@...>

>
> I would have to agree with the previous poster that in Oasis, we were
seeing
> about 1 helm every 5 gobs or so... Maybe the drop rate is MUCH lower in
> Rathe?
>

No, thats not it. The monster table that Verant uses says
that a DW goblin will drop a helm X % of the time. Because you
happened to get a helm 1 out of 5, doesnt mean the next time a
helm did drop it wouldn't have come maybe on the 20th one? I got
my helm on the first DW goblin I killed. It took me well over
20 griffennes to get a charm the first time. The second time I got it
on the third try. It's the way statistics work.

Harmonic.


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