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Message ID: 13692
Date: Tue Jan 25 22:03:34 GMT 2000
Author: Kimes, Dean W.
Subject: RE: Stats 101 (was Deepwater Gobs)


Actually its 49.75% That's the original 25% plus 33% of the remaining 75%
(24.75%) for a total of nearly 50%. Its still ugly.

Kit

-----Original Message-----
From: Reece, Tom - 25IDL G4 [mailto:g4mntofcr@...]
Sent: Tuesday, January 25, 2000 2:58 PM
To: eqbards@onelist.com
Subject: [eqbards] Stats 101 (was Deepwater Gobs)


From: "Reece, Tom - 25IDL G4" <g4mntofcr@...>

OK I got one for Dean and John.

We all know that mobs get a second resist check against pixie strike and
lullaby. Lets say for the first check they get a 25% (1 out of 4) chance to
resist and a 33% (1 out of 3) chance for the second resist. Whats the
overall chance that they make just one of the two resists?

I think its 58% but can't remember my stats classes to well:-).

Galtin


> > Just a brief word on statistics. If you want to get a reasonably good
> > approximation of what % something drops, you need a number of tests one
> > order of magnitude higher than the range. So if its 5% you need at
> least
> > 200 tests for statistical accuracy. This isn't necessarily true for all
> > randoms, but for psuedo-random numbers such as computers produce, it is
> > generally the applicable rule.
>
>

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