umm, do you know what ''random'' means? and have you taken any statistics courses?
do you honestly think that a sample size of 7 is statistically significant for a typical
random number generator?
here's an example. a pair of dice has 36 possible combinations. roll the dice 7 times.
even assuming you don't duplicate any of those combinations during those 7 rolls, that
means you haven't rolled 29 of those combinations. by the stats you've accumulated
they have a 0% chance of occurring. obviously false. and that's only 36 combinations.
At 12:20 PM 6/12/00 -0500, you wrote:
>I think the failed raider shows how incredibly flawed Verant's Random Number
>Generator is. Many things seem to go for hours (days?) without every
>triggering; then the RNG goes nuts and pops many many times in a row. We've
>had two people so far claim it was "easy to get" and three (counting me)
>reporting it difficult. My good friend Darkfox who's on my server and this
>list has also reported it's a "Semi-Rare" spawn...
>
>I spent about four hours there. Hooked up with a group 50-55 who were after
>the named guy at the Church to get a fang for a quest for a key to get into
>Howling Stones and to explore the zone. They cleared the library - no
>failed raider - no coin. They had moved on by the time I got there.
>
>Shortly after I joined them - another group came in to camp the library.
>They were there a good three hours (by the time I moved on) maybe longer.
>Unless they were bullshitting me (which I doubt) - they didn't get a single
>Failed Raider - and nothing else dropped the coin. They had a bard in their
>group - so I was hoping they'd get two.
>
>I doubt they were bullshitting. If they did get a bunch and were hoarding
>them for various reasons; they fairly got the room while my group was
>camping elsewhere - why would they lie?
>
>We all know the rules of random sampling - a 2 hour sample of a 30 minute
>spawn is 4 samples - you got a 50 pct hit. Another group got six tried and
>0 pct hit... (Plus my groups sample - they cleared the room only once
>though)
>
>Slyde Katzenjammer
>43 Bard of Xegony
>Still Needing his Kaesora Coin.