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Message ID: 19628
Date: Mon Jun 12 20:28:31 BST 2000
Author: blitz_krieg@bigfoot.com
Subject: Re: Random Number Generators


> i mean take a roulette wheel. it's almost a 50/50 chance for red
or black to come up. strings
> of 10+ red or 10+ black are hardly uncommon.

Actually, there is a .0976562% chance of going 10 red or 10 black in
a row. I'd have to disagree that 10 in a row is "hardly uncommon".
It _can_ happen and _does_ happen, but I'm sure it's very rare. In
fact, unless they're fixed tables, I'm sure it only happens about 1
out of every 1,000 rolls. And THAT is when there's a 50/50 chance.

Let's take a look at the chances of 5 rare mobs (5% spawn rate)
spawning in a row:

The calculation is:

100%/20 /20 /20 /20 /20 = .0000312% chance.

Five 5% spawns should almost never spawn in a row. Of course, there
is the small chance they will. And, of course, that small chance is
why casino's make mega-bucks.

Darkfox Reven'tsol
Xegony