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Message ID: 5190
Date: Wed Aug 11 17:59:32 BST 1999
Author: Kimes, Dean W.
Subject: RE: Missed notes on songs. HERE HERE!


I definitely have to agree with you on this one John. Whatever happened did
increase the amount of missed notes encountered, OR, they replaced the
random number generator with one that was even more clumpy than before,
though I doubt that. I usually see 1 missed note on a Selo's per night
previously. Now it is not uncommon for me to see 2-3 consecutive missed
notes on Selo's in a 3-5 hour session. Before the last month or so I never
saw 2-3 consecutive missed notes on Selo's, never, ever.

Kitasi

-----Original Message-----
From: John Kim [mailto:kim@...]
Sent: Wednesday, August 11, 1999 10:50 AM
To: eqbards@onelist.com
Subject: Re: [eqbards] Missed notes on songs. HERE HERE!


From: John Kim <kim@...>

On Wed, 11 Aug 1999, J.R. Hyde wrote:
>
> Not really. Your own mind can start noticing things it never noticed
before
> completly unintentionally. An example of this is whenever i learn a new
> word... it pops up all over the place. Before i just glanced over it and
> ignored it, but now it stands out like a signil fire. I would guess the
> same thing is hapenning here... and that nothing has changed, except maybe
> a *lessening* of missed notes as verant documented on the higher level
> songs. Some individual simply had a bad experiance and could not get selos
> started because he happened to have a bad roll of the dice at an
> inopportune time. And from that point on it just snowballed down hill and
> he started to notice the missed notes because he was now thinking about
> them unconsciously all the time.

Please, it was *real*. It was EXTREMELY frustrating, enough
that after two 3-5 hour nights of it (it wasn't one instantce
of me being unable to get Selo's started) I quit my bard for
almost a week and played my enchanter instead. When I finally
played my bard again, the problem was *still* there. I'd been
planning on switching to my enchanter again, but my friends on
my bard server just got a guild started last night so I hopped
in to join the guild and play a bit, and the problem was gone.

I can normally stack 3 songs no problem, sometimes 4. During
the time I was having this missed note problem, I could only
keep 2 song icons up consistently, and sometimes manage 3.
It was that bad. Running the numbers, at a 5% missed note
rate, you should be able to play 3 songs without a missed note
85% of the time. With a 20% missed note rate (which was my
original estimate, but I stated it as 10%-20% because I *know*
the mind has a tendency to overestimate these things) you can
only play 3 songs without a mised note 51% of the time. That
fits my observations of keeping 3 songs going, so my 20%
estimate was probably pretty accurate.

I minored in social and cognitive psychology in undergrad.
My graduate thesis topic was a statistical analysis of data
channel capacity in high-latency high-loss environments. I
*know* the tricks your mind can play on you, and I *know* how
it's easy to mistake statistically random data for something
else. This was NOT my imagination, it was real.

--
John H. Kim
kim@...


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