[ { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-000", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D421, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D421, the probability-weighted mean is 3 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D421, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is mean-outcome(D421).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "0", "6" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/2", "6": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-001", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D422, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D422, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D422, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D422).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "1", "7" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/2", "7": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-002", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D423, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D423, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D423, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D423).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "2", "8" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/2", "8": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-003", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D424, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D424, the probability-weighted mean is 7 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D424, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 7 units is mean-outcome(D424).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "3", "9" ], "value": "7", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/2", "9": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-004", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D425, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 21/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D425, the probability-weighted mean is 21/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D425, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 21/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 21/10 units is mean-outcome(D425).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "21/10", "modes": [ "0" ], "value": "21/10", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "0": "2/5", "2": "3/10", "5": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-005", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D426, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D426, the probability-weighted mean is 41/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D426, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 41/10 units is mean-outcome(D426).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "31/10", "modes": [ "1" ], "value": "41/10", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "3/10", "6": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-006", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D427, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D427, the probability-weighted mean is 41/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D427, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 41/10 units is mean-outcome(D427).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "41/10", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "41/10", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "3/10", "7": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-007", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D428, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 61/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D428, the probability-weighted mean is 61/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D428, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 61/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 61/10 units is mean-outcome(D428).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "51/10", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "61/10", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "3/10", "8": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-008", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D429, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D429, the probability-weighted mean is 3 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D429, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is mean-outcome(D429).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "1", "3" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "2/5", "7": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-009", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D430, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D430, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D430, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D430).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "2", "4" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "2/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-010", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D431, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D431, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D431, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D431).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "3", "5" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "2/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-011", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D432, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D432, the probability-weighted mean is 7 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D432, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 7 units is mean-outcome(D432).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "4", "6" ], "value": "7", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "4": "2/5", "6": "2/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-012", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D433, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D433, the probability-weighted mean is 2 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D433, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is mean-outcome(D433).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "2", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/4", "2": "1/2", "4": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-013", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D434, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D434, the probability-weighted mean is 4 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D434, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is mean-outcome(D434).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/4", "3": "1/2", "5": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-014", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D435, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D435, the probability-weighted mean is 4 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D435, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is mean-outcome(D435).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/4", "4": "1/2", "6": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-015", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D436, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D436, the probability-weighted mean is 6 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D436, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is mean-outcome(D436).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/4", "5": "1/2", "7": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-016", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D437, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D437, the probability-weighted mean is 4 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D437, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is mean-outcome(D437).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/5", "4": "3/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-017", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D438, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D438, the probability-weighted mean is 6 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D438, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is mean-outcome(D438).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/5", "5": "3/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-018", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D439, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D439, the probability-weighted mean is 6 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D439, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is mean-outcome(D439).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "6" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/5", "6": "3/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-019", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D440, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D440, the probability-weighted mean is 8 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D440, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 8 units is mean-outcome(D440).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "7", "modes": [ "7" ], "value": "8", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/5", "7": "3/5", "11": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-020", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D441, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D441, the probability-weighted mean is 3 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D441, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is mean-outcome(D441).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "0", "6" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/2", "6": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-021", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D442, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D442, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D442, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D442).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "1", "7" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/2", "7": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-022", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D443, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D443, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D443, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D443).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "2", "8" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/2", "8": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-023", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D444, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D444, the probability-weighted mean is 7 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D444, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 7 units is mean-outcome(D444).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "3", "9" ], "value": "7", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/2", "9": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-024", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D445, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 21/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D445, the probability-weighted mean is 21/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D445, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 21/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 21/10 units is mean-outcome(D445).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "21/10", "modes": [ "0" ], "value": "21/10", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "0": "2/5", "2": "3/10", "5": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-025", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D446, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D446, the probability-weighted mean is 41/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D446, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 41/10 units is mean-outcome(D446).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "31/10", "modes": [ "1" ], "value": "41/10", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "3/10", "6": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-026", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D447, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D447, the probability-weighted mean is 41/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D447, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 41/10 units is mean-outcome(D447).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "41/10", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "41/10", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "3/10", "7": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-027", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D448, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 61/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D448, the probability-weighted mean is 61/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D448, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 61/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 61/10 units is mean-outcome(D448).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "51/10", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "61/10", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "3/10", "8": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-028", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D449, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D449, the probability-weighted mean is 3 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D449, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is mean-outcome(D449).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "1", "3" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "2/5", "7": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-029", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D450, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D450, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D450, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D450).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "2", "4" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "2/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-030", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D451, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D451, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D451, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D451).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "3", "5" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "2/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-031", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D452, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D452, the probability-weighted mean is 7 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D452, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 7 units is mean-outcome(D452).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "4", "6" ], "value": "7", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "4": "2/5", "6": "2/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-032", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D453, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D453, the probability-weighted mean is 2 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D453, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is mean-outcome(D453).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "2", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/4", "2": "1/2", "4": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-033", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D454, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D454, the probability-weighted mean is 4 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D454, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is mean-outcome(D454).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/4", "3": "1/2", "5": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-034", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D455, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D455, the probability-weighted mean is 4 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D455, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is mean-outcome(D455).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/4", "4": "1/2", "6": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-035", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D456, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D456, the probability-weighted mean is 6 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D456, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is mean-outcome(D456).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/4", "5": "1/2", "7": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-036", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D457, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D457, the probability-weighted mean is 4 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D457, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is mean-outcome(D457).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/5", "4": "3/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-037", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D458, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D458, the probability-weighted mean is 6 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D458, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is mean-outcome(D458).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/5", "5": "3/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-038", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D459, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D459, the probability-weighted mean is 6 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D459, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is mean-outcome(D459).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "6" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/5", "6": "3/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-039", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D460, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D460, the probability-weighted mean is 8 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D460, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 8 units is mean-outcome(D460).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "7", "modes": [ "7" ], "value": "8", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/5", "7": "3/5", "11": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-040", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D461, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D461, the probability-weighted mean is 3 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D461, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is mean-outcome(D461).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "0", "6" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/2", "6": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-041", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D462, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D462, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D462, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D462).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "1", "7" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/2", "7": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-042", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D463, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D463, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D463, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D463).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "2", "8" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/2", "8": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-043", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D464, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D464, the probability-weighted mean is 7 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D464, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 7 units is mean-outcome(D464).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "3", "9" ], "value": "7", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/2", "9": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-044", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D465, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 21/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D465, the probability-weighted mean is 21/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D465, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 21/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 21/10 units is mean-outcome(D465).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "21/10", "modes": [ "0" ], "value": "21/10", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "0": "2/5", "2": "3/10", "5": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-045", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D466, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D466, the probability-weighted mean is 41/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D466, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 41/10 units is mean-outcome(D466).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "31/10", "modes": [ "1" ], "value": "41/10", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "3/10", "6": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-046", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D467, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D467, the probability-weighted mean is 41/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D467, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 41/10 units is mean-outcome(D467).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "41/10", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "41/10", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "3/10", "7": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-047", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D468, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 61/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D468, the probability-weighted mean is 61/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D468, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 61/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 61/10 units is mean-outcome(D468).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "51/10", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "61/10", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "3/10", "8": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-048", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D469, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D469, the probability-weighted mean is 3 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D469, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is mean-outcome(D469).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "1", "3" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "2/5", "7": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-049", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D470, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D470, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D470, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D470).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "2", "4" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "2/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-050", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D471, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D471, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D471, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D471).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "3", "5" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "2/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-051", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D472, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D472, the probability-weighted mean is 7 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D472, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 7 units is mean-outcome(D472).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "4", "6" ], "value": "7", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "4": "2/5", "6": "2/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-052", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D473, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D473, the probability-weighted mean is 2 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D473, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is mean-outcome(D473).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "2", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/4", "2": "1/2", "4": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-053", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D474, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D474, the probability-weighted mean is 4 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D474, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is mean-outcome(D474).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/4", "3": "1/2", "5": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-054", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D475, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D475, the probability-weighted mean is 4 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D475, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is mean-outcome(D475).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/4", "4": "1/2", "6": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-055", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D476, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D476, the probability-weighted mean is 6 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D476, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is mean-outcome(D476).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/4", "5": "1/2", "7": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-056", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D477, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D477, the probability-weighted mean is 4 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D477, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is mean-outcome(D477).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/5", "4": "3/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-057", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D478, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D478, the probability-weighted mean is 6 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D478, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is mean-outcome(D478).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/5", "5": "3/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-058", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D479, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D479, the probability-weighted mean is 6 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D479, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is mean-outcome(D479).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "6" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/5", "6": "3/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-059", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D480, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D480, the probability-weighted mean is 8 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D480, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 8 units is mean-outcome(D480).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "7", "modes": [ "7" ], "value": "8", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/5", "7": "3/5", "11": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-060", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D481, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D481, the probability-weighted mean is 3 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D481, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is mean-outcome(D481).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "0", "6" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/2", "6": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-061", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D482, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D482, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D482, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D482).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "1", "7" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/2", "7": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-062", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D483, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D483, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D483, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D483).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "2", "8" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/2", "8": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-063", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D484, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D484, the probability-weighted mean is 7 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D484, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 7 units is mean-outcome(D484).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "3", "9" ], "value": "7", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/2", "9": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-064", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D485, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 21/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D485, the probability-weighted mean is 21/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D485, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 21/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 21/10 units is mean-outcome(D485).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "21/10", "modes": [ "0" ], "value": "21/10", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "0": "2/5", "2": "3/10", "5": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-065", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D486, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D486, the probability-weighted mean is 41/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D486, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 41/10 units is mean-outcome(D486).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "31/10", "modes": [ "1" ], "value": "41/10", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "3/10", "6": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-066", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D487, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D487, the probability-weighted mean is 41/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D487, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 41/10 units is mean-outcome(D487).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "41/10", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "41/10", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "3/10", "7": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-067", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D488, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 61/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D488, the probability-weighted mean is 61/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D488, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 61/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 61/10 units is mean-outcome(D488).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "51/10", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "61/10", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "3/10", "8": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-068", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D489, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D489, the probability-weighted mean is 3 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D489, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is mean-outcome(D489).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "1", "3" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "2/5", "7": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-069", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D490, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D490, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D490, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D490).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "2", "4" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "2/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-070", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D491, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D491, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D491, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D491).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "3", "5" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "2/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-071", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D492, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D492, the probability-weighted mean is 7 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D492, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 7 units is mean-outcome(D492).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "4", "6" ], "value": "7", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "4": "2/5", "6": "2/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-072", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D493, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D493, the probability-weighted mean is 2 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D493, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is mean-outcome(D493).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "2", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/4", "2": "1/2", "4": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-073", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D494, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D494, the probability-weighted mean is 4 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D494, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is mean-outcome(D494).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/4", "3": "1/2", "5": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-074", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D495, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D495, the probability-weighted mean is 4 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D495, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is mean-outcome(D495).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/4", "4": "1/2", "6": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-075", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D496, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D496, the probability-weighted mean is 6 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D496, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is mean-outcome(D496).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/4", "5": "1/2", "7": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-076", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D497, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D497, the probability-weighted mean is 4 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D497, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is mean-outcome(D497).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/5", "4": "3/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-077", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D498, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D498, the probability-weighted mean is 6 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D498, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is mean-outcome(D498).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/5", "5": "3/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-078", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D499, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D499, the probability-weighted mean is 6 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D499, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is mean-outcome(D499).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "6" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/5", "6": "3/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-079", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D500, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D500, the probability-weighted mean is 8 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D500, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 8 units is mean-outcome(D500).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "7", "modes": [ "7" ], "value": "8", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/5", "7": "3/5", "11": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-080", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D501, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D501, the probability-weighted mean is 3 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D501, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is mean-outcome(D501).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "0", "6" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/2", "6": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-081", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D502, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D502, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D502, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D502).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "1", "7" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/2", "7": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-082", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D503, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D503, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D503, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D503).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "2", "8" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/2", "8": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-083", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D504, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D504, the probability-weighted mean is 7 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D504, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 7 units is mean-outcome(D504).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "3", "9" ], "value": "7", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/2", "9": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-084", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D505, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 21/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D505, the probability-weighted mean is 21/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D505, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 21/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 21/10 units is mean-outcome(D505).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "21/10", "modes": [ "0" ], "value": "21/10", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "0": "2/5", "2": "3/10", "5": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-085", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D506, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D506, the probability-weighted mean is 41/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D506, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 41/10 units is mean-outcome(D506).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "31/10", "modes": [ "1" ], "value": "41/10", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "3/10", "6": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-086", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D507, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D507, the probability-weighted mean is 41/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D507, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 41/10 units is mean-outcome(D507).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "41/10", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "41/10", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "3/10", "7": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-087", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D508, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 61/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D508, the probability-weighted mean is 61/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D508, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 61/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 61/10 units is mean-outcome(D508).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "51/10", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "61/10", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "3/10", "8": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-088", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D509, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D509, the probability-weighted mean is 3 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D509, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is mean-outcome(D509).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "1", "3" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "2/5", "7": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-089", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D510, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D510, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D510, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D510).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "2", "4" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "2/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-090", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D511, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D511, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D511, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D511).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "3", "5" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "2/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-091", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D512, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D512, the probability-weighted mean is 7 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D512, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 7 units is mean-outcome(D512).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "4", "6" ], "value": "7", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "4": "2/5", "6": "2/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-092", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D513, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D513, the probability-weighted mean is 2 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D513, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is mean-outcome(D513).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "2", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/4", "2": "1/2", "4": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-093", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D514, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D514, the probability-weighted mean is 4 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D514, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is mean-outcome(D514).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/4", "3": "1/2", "5": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-094", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D515, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D515, the probability-weighted mean is 4 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D515, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is mean-outcome(D515).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/4", "4": "1/2", "6": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-095", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D516, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D516, the probability-weighted mean is 6 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D516, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is mean-outcome(D516).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/4", "5": "1/2", "7": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-096", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D517, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D517, the probability-weighted mean is 4 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D517, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is mean-outcome(D517).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/5", "4": "3/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-097", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D518, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D518, the probability-weighted mean is 6 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D518, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is mean-outcome(D518).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/5", "5": "3/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-098", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D519, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D519, the probability-weighted mean is 6 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D519, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is mean-outcome(D519).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "6" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/5", "6": "3/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-099", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D520, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D520, the probability-weighted mean is 8 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D520, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 8 units is mean-outcome(D520).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "7", "modes": [ "7" ], "value": "8", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/5", "7": "3/5", "11": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-100", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D521, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D521, the probability-weighted mean is 3 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D521, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is mean-outcome(D521).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "0", "6" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/2", "6": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-101", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D522, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D522, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D522, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D522).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "1", "7" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/2", "7": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-102", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D523, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D523, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D523, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D523).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "2", "8" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/2", "8": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-103", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D524, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D524, the probability-weighted mean is 7 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D524, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 7 units is mean-outcome(D524).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "3", "9" ], "value": "7", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/2", "9": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-104", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D525, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 21/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D525, the probability-weighted mean is 21/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D525, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 21/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 21/10 units is mean-outcome(D525).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "21/10", "modes": [ "0" ], "value": "21/10", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "0": "2/5", "2": "3/10", "5": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-105", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D526, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D526, the probability-weighted mean is 41/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D526, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 41/10 units is mean-outcome(D526).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "31/10", "modes": [ "1" ], "value": "41/10", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "3/10", "6": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-106", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D527, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D527, the probability-weighted mean is 41/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D527, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 41/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 41/10 units is mean-outcome(D527).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "41/10", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "41/10", "flags": [ true, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "3/10", "7": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-107", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D528, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 61/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D528, the probability-weighted mean is 61/10 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D528, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 61/10 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 61/10 units is mean-outcome(D528).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "51/10", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "61/10", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "3/10", "8": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-108", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D529, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D529, the probability-weighted mean is 3 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D529, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is mean-outcome(D529).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "1", "3" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "2/5", "7": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-109", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D530, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D530, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D530, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D530).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "2", "4" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "2/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-110", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D531, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D531, the probability-weighted mean is 5 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D531, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is mean-outcome(D531).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "3", "5" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "2/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-111", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D532, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D532, the probability-weighted mean is 7 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D532, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 7 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 7 units is mean-outcome(D532).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "4", "6" ], "value": "7", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "4": "2/5", "6": "2/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-112", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D533, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D533, the probability-weighted mean is 2 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D533, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is mean-outcome(D533).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "2", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/4", "2": "1/2", "4": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-113", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D534, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D534, the probability-weighted mean is 4 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D534, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is mean-outcome(D534).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/4", "3": "1/2", "5": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-114", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D535, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D535, the probability-weighted mean is 4 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D535, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is mean-outcome(D535).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/4", "4": "1/2", "6": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-115", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D536, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D536, the probability-weighted mean is 6 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D536, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is mean-outcome(D536).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/4", "5": "1/2", "7": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-116", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D537, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D537, the probability-weighted mean is 4 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D537, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is mean-outcome(D537).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/5", "4": "3/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-117", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D538, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D538, the probability-weighted mean is 6 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D538, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is mean-outcome(D538).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/5", "5": "3/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-118", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D539, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D539, the probability-weighted mean is 6 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D539, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is mean-outcome(D539).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "6" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/5", "6": "3/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-119", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D540, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D540, the probability-weighted mean is 8 units.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D540, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 8 units is mean-outcome(D540).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "mean-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "7", "modes": [ "7" ], "value": "8", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/5", "7": "3/5", "11": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-120", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D541, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D541, 0 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D541, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 0 units is likeliest-outcome(D541).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "0", "6" ], "value": "0", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/2", "6": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-121", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D542, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D542, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D542, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D542).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "1", "7" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/2", "7": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-122", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D543, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D543, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D543, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D543).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "2", "8" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/2", "8": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-123", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D544, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D544, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D544, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D544).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "3", "9" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/2", "9": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-124", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D545, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D545, 0 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D545, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 0 units is likeliest-outcome(D545).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "21/10", "modes": [ "0" ], "value": "0", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "2/5", "2": "3/10", "5": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-125", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D546, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D546, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D546, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D546).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "31/10", "modes": [ "1" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "3/10", "6": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-126", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D547, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D547, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D547, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D547).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "41/10", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "3/10", "7": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-127", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D548, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D548, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D548, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D548).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "51/10", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "3/10", "8": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-128", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D549, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 1 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D549, 1 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D549, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 1 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 1 units is likeliest-outcome(D549).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "1", "3" ], "value": "1", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "2/5", "7": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-129", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D550, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D550, 3 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D550, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is likeliest-outcome(D550).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "2", "4" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "2/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-130", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D551, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D551, 3 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D551, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is likeliest-outcome(D551).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "3", "5" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "2/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-131", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D552, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D552, 5 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D552, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is likeliest-outcome(D552).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "4", "6" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "4": "2/5", "6": "2/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-132", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D553, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D553, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D553, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D553).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "2", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/4", "2": "1/2", "4": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-133", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D554, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D554, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D554, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D554).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/4", "3": "1/2", "5": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-134", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D555, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D555, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D555, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D555).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/4", "4": "1/2", "6": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-135", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D556, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D556, 6 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D556, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is likeliest-outcome(D556).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/4", "5": "1/2", "7": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-136", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D557, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D557, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D557, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D557).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/5", "4": "3/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-137", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D558, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D558, 6 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D558, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is likeliest-outcome(D558).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/5", "5": "3/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-138", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D559, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D559, 6 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D559, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is likeliest-outcome(D559).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "6" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/5", "6": "3/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-139", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D560, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D560, 8 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional toy output model D560, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 8 units is likeliest-outcome(D560).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "toy output", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "7", "modes": [ "7" ], "value": "8", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/5", "7": "3/5", "11": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-140", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D561, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D561, 0 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D561, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 0 units is likeliest-outcome(D561).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "0", "6" ], "value": "0", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/2", "6": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-141", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D562, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D562, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D562, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D562).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "1", "7" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/2", "7": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-142", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D563, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D563, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D563, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D563).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "2", "8" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/2", "8": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-143", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D564, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D564, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D564, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D564).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "3", "9" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/2", "9": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-144", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D565, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D565, 0 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D565, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 0 units is likeliest-outcome(D565).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "21/10", "modes": [ "0" ], "value": "0", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "2/5", "2": "3/10", "5": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-145", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D566, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D566, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D566, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D566).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "31/10", "modes": [ "1" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "3/10", "6": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-146", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D567, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D567, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D567, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D567).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "41/10", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "3/10", "7": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-147", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D568, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D568, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D568, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D568).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "51/10", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "3/10", "8": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-148", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D569, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 1 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D569, 1 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D569, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 1 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 1 units is likeliest-outcome(D569).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "1", "3" ], "value": "1", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "2/5", "7": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-149", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D570, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D570, 3 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D570, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is likeliest-outcome(D570).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "2", "4" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "2/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-150", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D571, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D571, 3 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D571, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is likeliest-outcome(D571).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "3", "5" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "2/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-151", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D572, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D572, 5 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D572, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is likeliest-outcome(D572).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "4", "6" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "4": "2/5", "6": "2/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-152", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D573, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D573, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D573, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D573).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "2", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/4", "2": "1/2", "4": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-153", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D574, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D574, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D574, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D574).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/4", "3": "1/2", "5": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-154", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D575, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D575, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D575, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D575).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/4", "4": "1/2", "6": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-155", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D576, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D576, 6 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D576, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is likeliest-outcome(D576).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/4", "5": "1/2", "7": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-156", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D577, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D577, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D577, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D577).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/5", "4": "3/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-157", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D578, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D578, 6 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D578, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is likeliest-outcome(D578).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/5", "5": "3/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-158", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D579, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D579, 6 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D579, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is likeliest-outcome(D579).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "6" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/5", "6": "3/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-159", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D580, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D580, 8 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional queue delay model D580, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 8 units is likeliest-outcome(D580).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "queue delay", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "7", "modes": [ "7" ], "value": "8", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/5", "7": "3/5", "11": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-160", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D581, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D581, 0 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D581, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 0 units is likeliest-outcome(D581).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "0", "6" ], "value": "0", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/2", "6": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-161", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D582, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D582, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D582, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D582).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "1", "7" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/2", "7": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-162", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D583, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D583, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D583, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D583).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "2", "8" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/2", "8": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-163", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D584, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D584, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D584, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D584).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "3", "9" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/2", "9": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-164", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D585, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D585, 0 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D585, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 0 units is likeliest-outcome(D585).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "21/10", "modes": [ "0" ], "value": "0", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "2/5", "2": "3/10", "5": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-165", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D586, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D586, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D586, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D586).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "31/10", "modes": [ "1" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "3/10", "6": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-166", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D587, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D587, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D587, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D587).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "41/10", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "3/10", "7": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-167", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D588, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D588, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D588, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D588).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "51/10", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "3/10", "8": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-168", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D589, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 1 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D589, 1 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D589, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 1 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 1 units is likeliest-outcome(D589).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "1", "3" ], "value": "1", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "2/5", "7": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-169", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D590, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D590, 3 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D590, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is likeliest-outcome(D590).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "2", "4" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "2/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-170", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D591, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D591, 3 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D591, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is likeliest-outcome(D591).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "3", "5" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "2/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-171", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D592, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D592, 5 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D592, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is likeliest-outcome(D592).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "4", "6" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "4": "2/5", "6": "2/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-172", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D593, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D593, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D593, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D593).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "2", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/4", "2": "1/2", "4": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-173", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D594, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D594, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D594, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D594).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/4", "3": "1/2", "5": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-174", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D595, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D595, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D595, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D595).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/4", "4": "1/2", "6": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-175", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D596, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D596, 6 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D596, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is likeliest-outcome(D596).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/4", "5": "1/2", "7": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-176", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D597, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D597, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D597, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D597).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/5", "4": "3/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-177", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D598, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D598, 6 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D598, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is likeliest-outcome(D598).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/5", "5": "3/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-178", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D599, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D599, 6 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D599, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is likeliest-outcome(D599).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "6" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/5", "6": "3/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-179", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D600, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D600, 8 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional retry count model D600, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 8 units is likeliest-outcome(D600).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "retry count", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "7", "modes": [ "7" ], "value": "8", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/5", "7": "3/5", "11": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-180", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D601, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D601, 0 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D601, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 0 units is likeliest-outcome(D601).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "0", "6" ], "value": "0", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/2", "6": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-181", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D602, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D602, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D602, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D602).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "1", "7" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/2", "7": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-182", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D603, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D603, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D603, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D603).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "2", "8" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/2", "8": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-183", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D604, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D604, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D604, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D604).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "3", "9" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/2", "9": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-184", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D605, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D605, 0 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D605, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 0 units is likeliest-outcome(D605).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "21/10", "modes": [ "0" ], "value": "0", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "2/5", "2": "3/10", "5": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-185", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D606, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D606, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D606, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D606).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "31/10", "modes": [ "1" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "3/10", "6": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-186", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D607, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D607, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D607, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D607).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "41/10", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "3/10", "7": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-187", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D608, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D608, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D608, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D608).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "51/10", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "3/10", "8": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-188", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D609, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 1 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D609, 1 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D609, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 1 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 1 units is likeliest-outcome(D609).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "1", "3" ], "value": "1", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "2/5", "7": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-189", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D610, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D610, 3 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D610, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is likeliest-outcome(D610).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "2", "4" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "2/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-190", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D611, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D611, 3 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D611, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is likeliest-outcome(D611).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "3", "5" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "2/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-191", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D612, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D612, 5 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D612, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is likeliest-outcome(D612).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "4", "6" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "4": "2/5", "6": "2/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-192", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D613, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D613, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D613, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D613).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "2", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/4", "2": "1/2", "4": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-193", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D614, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D614, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D614, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D614).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/4", "3": "1/2", "5": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-194", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D615, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D615, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D615, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D615).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/4", "4": "1/2", "6": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-195", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D616, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D616, 6 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D616, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is likeliest-outcome(D616).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/4", "5": "1/2", "7": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-196", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D617, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D617, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D617, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D617).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/5", "4": "3/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-197", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D618, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D618, 6 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D618, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is likeliest-outcome(D618).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/5", "5": "3/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-198", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D619, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D619, 6 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D619, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is likeliest-outcome(D619).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "6" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/5", "6": "3/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-199", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D620, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D620, 8 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional resource use model D620, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 8 units is likeliest-outcome(D620).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "resource use", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "7", "modes": [ "7" ], "value": "8", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/5", "7": "3/5", "11": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-200", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D621, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D621, 0 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D621, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 0 units is likeliest-outcome(D621).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "0", "6" ], "value": "0", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/2", "6": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-201", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D622, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D622, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D622, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D622).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "1", "7" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/2", "7": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-202", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D623, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D623, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D623, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D623).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "2", "8" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/2", "8": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-203", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D624, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D624, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D624, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D624).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "3", "9" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/2", "9": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-204", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D625, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D625, 0 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D625, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 0 units is likeliest-outcome(D625).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "21/10", "modes": [ "0" ], "value": "0", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "2/5", "2": "3/10", "5": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-205", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D626, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D626, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D626, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D626).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "31/10", "modes": [ "1" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "3/10", "6": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-206", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D627, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D627, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D627, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D627).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "41/10", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "3/10", "7": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-207", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D628, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D628, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D628, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D628).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "51/10", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "3/10", "8": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-208", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D629, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 1 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D629, 1 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D629, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 1 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 1 units is likeliest-outcome(D629).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "1", "3" ], "value": "1", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "2/5", "7": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-209", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D630, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D630, 3 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D630, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is likeliest-outcome(D630).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "2", "4" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "2/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-210", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D631, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D631, 3 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D631, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is likeliest-outcome(D631).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "3", "5" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "2/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-211", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D632, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D632, 5 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D632, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is likeliest-outcome(D632).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "4", "6" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "4": "2/5", "6": "2/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-212", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D633, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D633, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D633, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D633).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "2", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/4", "2": "1/2", "4": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-213", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D634, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D634, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D634, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D634).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/4", "3": "1/2", "5": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-214", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D635, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D635, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D635, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D635).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/4", "4": "1/2", "6": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-215", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D636, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D636, 6 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D636, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is likeliest-outcome(D636).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/4", "5": "1/2", "7": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-216", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D637, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D637, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D637, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D637).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/5", "4": "3/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-217", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D638, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D638, 6 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D638, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is likeliest-outcome(D638).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/5", "5": "3/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-218", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D639, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D639, 6 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D639, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is likeliest-outcome(D639).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "6" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/5", "6": "3/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-219", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D640, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D640, 8 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional simulated inventory model D640, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 8 units is likeliest-outcome(D640).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "simulated inventory", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "7", "modes": [ "7" ], "value": "8", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/5", "7": "3/5", "11": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-220", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D641, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D641, 0 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D641, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 0 units is likeliest-outcome(D641).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "0", "6" ], "value": "0", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/2", "6": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-221", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D642, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D642, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D642, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D642).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "1", "7" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/2", "7": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-222", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D643, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D643, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D643, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 8 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D643).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "2", "8" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/2", "8": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-223", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D644, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D644, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D644, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 9 units with mass 1/2. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D644).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mean-outside", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "3", "9" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/2", "9": "1/2" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-224", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D645, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D645, 0 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D645, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 2/5; value 2 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 0 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 0 units is likeliest-outcome(D645).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "21/10", "modes": [ "0" ], "value": "0", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "2/5", "2": "3/10", "5": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-225", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D646, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D646, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D646, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D646).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "31/10", "modes": [ "1" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "3/10", "6": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-226", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D647, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D647, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D647, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D647).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "41/10", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "3/10", "7": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-227", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D648, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D648, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D648, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 3/10. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D648).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mode-below-half", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "51/10", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "3/10", "8": "3/10" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-228", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D649, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 1 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D649, 1 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D649, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 2/5; value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 7 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 1 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 1 units is likeliest-outcome(D649).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "1", "3" ], "value": "1", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "2/5", "3": "2/5", "7": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-229", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D650, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D650, 3 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D650, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 2/5; value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is likeliest-outcome(D650).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "2", "4" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "2": "2/5", "4": "2/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-230", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D651, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D651, 3 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D651, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 2/5; value 5 units with mass 2/5; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 3 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 3 units is likeliest-outcome(D651).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "3", "5" ], "value": "3", "flags": [ true, true, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "2/5", "5": "2/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-231", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D652, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D652, 5 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D652, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 4 units with mass 2/5; value 6 units with mass 2/5; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 5 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 5 units is likeliest-outcome(D652).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "tied-modes", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "4", "6" ], "value": "5", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "4": "2/5", "6": "2/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-232", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D653, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D653, 2 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D653, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/4; value 2 units with mass 1/2; value 4 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 2 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 2 units is likeliest-outcome(D653).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "2", "modes": [ "2" ], "value": "2", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/4", "2": "1/2", "4": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-233", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D654, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D654, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D654, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/4; value 3 units with mass 1/2; value 5 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D654).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "3", "modes": [ "3" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/4", "3": "1/2", "5": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-234", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D655, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D655, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D655, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/4; value 4 units with mass 1/2; value 6 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D655).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/4", "4": "1/2", "6": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-235", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D656, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D656, 6 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D656, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/4; value 5 units with mass 1/2; value 7 units with mass 1/4. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is likeliest-outcome(D656).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "mean-is-mode", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/4", "5": "1/2", "7": "1/4" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-236", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D657, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D657, 4 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D657, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 0 units with mass 1/5; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 4 units with mass 3/10; value 8 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 4 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 4 units is likeliest-outcome(D657).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 0, "oracle": { "mean": "4", "modes": [ "4" ], "value": "4", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "0": "1/5", "4": "3/5", "8": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-237", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D658, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D658, 6 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D658, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 1 units with mass 1/5; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 5 units with mass 3/10; value 9 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is likeliest-outcome(D658).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 1, "oracle": { "mean": "5", "modes": [ "5" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "1": "1/5", "5": "3/5", "9": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-238", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D659, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D659, 6 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D659, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 2 units with mass 1/5; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 6 units with mass 3/10; value 10 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 6 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 6 units is likeliest-outcome(D659).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 2, "oracle": { "mean": "6", "modes": [ "6" ], "value": "6", "flags": [ true, true, true, false ], "masses": { "2": "1/5", "6": "3/5", "10": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-outcome-full-239", "english": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D660, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: Under D660, 8 units has the highest outcome probability, ties allowed.", "ainglish": "Shared definition supplied once for this stateless question: x is mean-outcome(D) asserts that x equals the probability-weighted arithmetic mean under D. x is likeliest-outcome(D) asserts that x has the highest aggregated outcome mass under D, with ties allowed. These definitions also govern the corresponding English phrases. They do not guarantee a trial result or certify the model. Fictional generated batch size model D660, version v3 under the stated conditioning; one unit is declared. The mutually exclusive paths below are exhaustive, exact rational masses, not rounded observations: value 3 units with mass 1/5; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 7 units with mass 3/10; value 11 units with mass 1/5. Add masses of paths with the same value. Mean is the probability-weighted arithmetic mean; most probable compares aggregated value masses and allows ties. Here x = 8 units. No claim that the model is correct or guarantees a trial is supplied. Statement: 8 units is likeliest-outcome(D660).", "question": "Evaluate the claim, whether x can actually occur, whether x alone is most probable, and whether the next result is guaranteed to equal x.", "options": [ "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: yes; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: yes; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: yes; next result guaranteed x: no.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: yes.", "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no." ], "answer": "Claim true: no; x possible: no; x unique most probable: no; next result guaranteed x: no.", "settlement_stratum": "likeliest-outcome", "domain": "generated batch size", "boundary": "aggregate-paths", "variant": 3, "oracle": { "mean": "7", "modes": [ "7" ], "value": "8", "flags": [ false, false, false, false ], "masses": { "3": "1/5", "7": "3/5", "11": "1/5" } } }, { "id": "outcome-careful-control-0", "calibration": true, "calibration_scope": "target-independent", "calibration_construct": "resolved custody", "english": "Neutral receipt Z-910: the collector is not recorded.", "ainglish": "Neutral receipt Z-910: the collector is Ari.", "question": "Who collected the parcel on receipt Z-910?", "options": [ "Ari", "Bela", "Cleo", "Daru", "Etta", "Fenn", "not determined" ], "answer": "Ari" }, { "id": "outcome-careful-control-1", "calibration": true, "calibration_scope": "target-independent", "calibration_construct": "resolved custody", "english": "Neutral receipt Z-911: the collector is not recorded.", "ainglish": "Neutral receipt Z-911: the collector is Bela.", "question": "Who collected the parcel on receipt Z-911?", "options": [ "Ari", "Bela", "Cleo", "Daru", "Etta", "Fenn", "not determined" ], "answer": "Bela" }, { "id": "outcome-careful-control-2", "calibration": true, "calibration_scope": "target-independent", "calibration_construct": "resolved custody", "english": "Neutral receipt Z-912: the collector is not recorded.", "ainglish": "Neutral receipt Z-912: the collector is Cleo.", "question": "Who collected the parcel on receipt Z-912?", "options": [ "Ari", "Bela", "Cleo", "Daru", "Etta", "Fenn", "not determined" ], "answer": "Cleo" }, { "id": "outcome-careful-control-3", "calibration": true, "calibration_scope": "target-independent", "calibration_construct": "resolved custody", "english": "Neutral receipt Z-913: the collector is not recorded.", "ainglish": "Neutral receipt Z-913: the collector is Daru.", "question": "Who collected the parcel on receipt Z-913?", "options": [ "Ari", "Bela", "Cleo", "Daru", "Etta", "Fenn", "not determined" ], "answer": "Daru" }, { "id": "outcome-careful-control-4", "calibration": true, "calibration_scope": "target-independent", "calibration_construct": "resolved custody", "english": "Neutral receipt Z-914: the collector is not recorded.", "ainglish": "Neutral receipt Z-914: the collector is Etta.", "question": "Who collected the parcel on receipt Z-914?", "options": [ "Ari", "Bela", "Cleo", "Daru", "Etta", "Fenn", "not determined" ], "answer": "Etta" }, { "id": "outcome-careful-control-5", "calibration": true, "calibration_scope": "target-independent", "calibration_construct": "resolved custody", "english": "Neutral receipt Z-915: the collector is not recorded.", "ainglish": "Neutral receipt Z-915: the collector is Fenn.", "question": "Who collected the parcel on receipt Z-915?", "options": [ "Ari", "Bela", "Cleo", "Daru", "Etta", "Fenn", "not determined" ], "answer": "Fenn" }, { "id": "outcome-careful-control-6", "calibration": true, "calibration_scope": "target-independent", "calibration_construct": "resolved custody", "english": "Neutral receipt Z-916: the collector is not recorded.", "ainglish": "Neutral receipt Z-916: the collector is Ari.", "question": "Who collected the parcel on receipt Z-916?", "options": [ "Ari", "Bela", "Cleo", "Daru", "Etta", "Fenn", "not determined" ], "answer": "Ari" }, { "id": "outcome-careful-control-7", "calibration": true, "calibration_scope": "target-independent", "calibration_construct": "resolved custody", "english": "Neutral receipt Z-917: the collector is not recorded.", "ainglish": "Neutral receipt Z-917: the collector is Bela.", "question": "Who collected the parcel on receipt Z-917?", "options": [ "Ari", "Bela", "Cleo", "Daru", "Etta", "Fenn", "not determined" ], "answer": "Bela" }, { "id": "outcome-careful-control-8", "calibration": true, "calibration_scope": "target-independent", "calibration_construct": "resolved custody", "english": "Neutral receipt Z-918: the collector is not recorded.", "ainglish": "Neutral receipt Z-918: the collector is Cleo.", "question": "Who collected the parcel on receipt Z-918?", "options": [ "Ari", "Bela", "Cleo", "Daru", "Etta", "Fenn", "not determined" ], "answer": "Cleo" }, { "id": "outcome-careful-control-9", "calibration": true, "calibration_scope": "target-independent", "calibration_construct": "resolved custody", "english": "Neutral receipt Z-919: the collector is not recorded.", "ainglish": "Neutral receipt Z-919: the collector is Daru.", "question": "Who collected the parcel on receipt Z-919?", "options": [ "Ari", "Bela", "Cleo", "Daru", "Etta", "Fenn", "not determined" ], "answer": "Daru" }, { "id": "outcome-careful-control-10", "calibration": true, "calibration_scope": "target-independent", "calibration_construct": "resolved custody", "english": "Neutral receipt Z-920: the collector is not recorded.", "ainglish": "Neutral receipt Z-920: the collector is Etta.", "question": "Who collected the parcel on receipt Z-920?", "options": [ "Ari", "Bela", "Cleo", "Daru", "Etta", "Fenn", "not determined" ], "answer": "Etta" }, { "id": "outcome-careful-control-11", "calibration": true, "calibration_scope": "target-independent", "calibration_construct": "resolved custody", "english": "Neutral receipt Z-921: the collector is not recorded.", "ainglish": "Neutral receipt Z-921: the collector is Fenn.", "question": "Who collected the parcel on receipt Z-921?", "options": [ "Ari", "Bela", "Cleo", "Daru", "Etta", "Fenn", "not determined" ], "answer": "Fenn" } ]