[
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-0-prob-payout",
    "english": "In model M-0, E-0-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-0-payout is 0%. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-0, E-0-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-0-payout)=0%. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 0,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "0",
      "complement": "1",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-0-prob-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-0, E-0-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-0-calibration is 0%. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-0, E-0-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-0-calibration)=0%. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 0,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "0",
      "complement": "1",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-0-prob-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-0, E-0-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-0-frequency is 0%. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-0, E-0-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-0-frequency)=0%. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 0,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "0",
      "complement": "1",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-0-prob-causation",
    "english": "In model M-0, E-0-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-0-causation is 0%. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-0, E-0-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-0-causation)=0%. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 0,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "0",
      "complement": "1",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-0-prob-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-0, E-0-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-0-rounding is 0%. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-0, E-0-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-0-rounding)=0%. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 0,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "0",
      "complement": "1",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-0-odds-for-payout",
    "english": "In model M-0, E-0-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-0-payout are 0:1. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-0, E-0-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-0-payout)=0:1. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 0,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "0",
      "complement": "1",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-0-odds-for-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-0, E-0-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-0-calibration are 0:1. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-0, E-0-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-0-calibration)=0:1. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 0,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "0",
      "complement": "1",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-0-odds-for-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-0, E-0-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-0-frequency are 0:1. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-0, E-0-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-0-frequency)=0:1. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 0,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "0",
      "complement": "1",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-0-odds-for-causation",
    "english": "In model M-0, E-0-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-0-causation are 0:1. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-0, E-0-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-0-causation)=0:1. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 0,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "0",
      "complement": "1",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-0-odds-for-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-0, E-0-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-0-rounding are 0:1. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-0, E-0-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-0-rounding)=0:1. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 0,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "0",
      "complement": "1",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-0-odds-against-payout",
    "english": "In model M-0, E-0-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-0-payout are 1:0. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-0, E-0-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-0-payout)=1:0. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 0,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "0",
      "complement": "1",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-0-odds-against-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-0, E-0-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-0-calibration are 1:0. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-0, E-0-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-0-calibration)=1:0. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 0,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "0",
      "complement": "1",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-0-odds-against-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-0, E-0-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-0-frequency are 1:0. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-0, E-0-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-0-frequency)=1:0. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 0,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "0",
      "complement": "1",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-0-odds-against-causation",
    "english": "In model M-0, E-0-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-0-causation are 1:0. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-0, E-0-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-0-causation)=1:0. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 0,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "0",
      "complement": "1",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-0-odds-against-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-0, E-0-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-0-rounding are 1:0. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-0, E-0-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-0-rounding)=1:0. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 0,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "0",
      "complement": "1",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-1-prob-payout",
    "english": "In model M-1, E-1-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-1-payout is 100%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-1, E-1-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-1-payout)=100%.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 0,
      "probability": "1",
      "complement": "0",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-1-prob-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-1, E-1-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-1-calibration is 100%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-1, E-1-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-1-calibration)=100%.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 0,
      "probability": "1",
      "complement": "0",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-1-prob-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-1, E-1-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-1-frequency is 100%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-1, E-1-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-1-frequency)=100%.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 0,
      "probability": "1",
      "complement": "0",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-1-prob-causation",
    "english": "In model M-1, E-1-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-1-causation is 100%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-1, E-1-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-1-causation)=100%.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 0,
      "probability": "1",
      "complement": "0",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-1-prob-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-1, E-1-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-1-rounding is 100%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-1, E-1-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-1-rounding)=100%.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 0,
      "probability": "1",
      "complement": "0",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-1-odds-for-payout",
    "english": "In model M-1, E-1-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-1-payout are 1:0.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-1, E-1-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-1-payout)=1:0.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 0,
      "probability": "1",
      "complement": "0",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-1-odds-for-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-1, E-1-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-1-calibration are 1:0.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-1, E-1-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-1-calibration)=1:0.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 0,
      "probability": "1",
      "complement": "0",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-1-odds-for-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-1, E-1-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-1-frequency are 1:0.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-1, E-1-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-1-frequency)=1:0.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 0,
      "probability": "1",
      "complement": "0",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-1-odds-for-causation",
    "english": "In model M-1, E-1-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-1-causation are 1:0.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-1, E-1-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-1-causation)=1:0.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 0,
      "probability": "1",
      "complement": "0",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-1-odds-for-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-1, E-1-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-1-rounding are 1:0.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-1, E-1-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-1-rounding)=1:0.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 0,
      "probability": "1",
      "complement": "0",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-1-odds-against-payout",
    "english": "In model M-1, E-1-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-1-payout are 0:1.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-1, E-1-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-1-payout)=0:1.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 0,
      "probability": "1",
      "complement": "0",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-1-odds-against-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-1, E-1-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-1-calibration are 0:1.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-1, E-1-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-1-calibration)=0:1.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 0,
      "probability": "1",
      "complement": "0",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-1-odds-against-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-1, E-1-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-1-frequency are 0:1.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-1, E-1-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-1-frequency)=0:1.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 0,
      "probability": "1",
      "complement": "0",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-1-odds-against-causation",
    "english": "In model M-1, E-1-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-1-causation are 0:1.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-1, E-1-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-1-causation)=0:1.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 0,
      "probability": "1",
      "complement": "0",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-1-odds-against-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-1, E-1-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-1-rounding are 0:1.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-1, E-1-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-1-rounding)=0:1.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 0,
      "probability": "1",
      "complement": "0",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-2-prob-payout",
    "english": "In model M-2, E-2-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-2-payout is 50%. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-2, E-2-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-2-payout)=50%. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "1/2",
      "complement": "1/2",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-2-prob-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-2, E-2-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-2-calibration is 50%. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-2, E-2-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-2-calibration)=50%. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "1/2",
      "complement": "1/2",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-2-prob-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-2, E-2-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-2-frequency is 50%. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-2, E-2-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-2-frequency)=50%. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "1/2",
      "complement": "1/2",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-2-prob-causation",
    "english": "In model M-2, E-2-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-2-causation is 50%. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-2, E-2-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-2-causation)=50%. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "1/2",
      "complement": "1/2",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-2-prob-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-2, E-2-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-2-rounding is 50%. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-2, E-2-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-2-rounding)=50%. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "1/2",
      "complement": "1/2",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-2-odds-for-payout",
    "english": "In model M-2, E-2-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-2-payout are 1:1. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-2, E-2-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-2-payout)=1:1. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "1/2",
      "complement": "1/2",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-2-odds-for-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-2, E-2-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-2-calibration are 1:1. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-2, E-2-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-2-calibration)=1:1. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "1/2",
      "complement": "1/2",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-2-odds-for-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-2, E-2-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-2-frequency are 1:1. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-2, E-2-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-2-frequency)=1:1. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "1/2",
      "complement": "1/2",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-2-odds-for-causation",
    "english": "In model M-2, E-2-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-2-causation are 1:1. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-2, E-2-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-2-causation)=1:1. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "1/2",
      "complement": "1/2",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-2-odds-for-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-2, E-2-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-2-rounding are 1:1. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-2, E-2-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-2-rounding)=1:1. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "1/2",
      "complement": "1/2",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-2-odds-against-payout",
    "english": "In model M-2, E-2-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-2-payout are 1:1. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-2, E-2-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-2-payout)=1:1. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "1/2",
      "complement": "1/2",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-2-odds-against-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-2, E-2-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-2-calibration are 1:1. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-2, E-2-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-2-calibration)=1:1. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "1/2",
      "complement": "1/2",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-2-odds-against-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-2, E-2-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-2-frequency are 1:1. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-2, E-2-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-2-frequency)=1:1. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "1/2",
      "complement": "1/2",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-2-odds-against-causation",
    "english": "In model M-2, E-2-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-2-causation are 1:1. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-2, E-2-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-2-causation)=1:1. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "1/2",
      "complement": "1/2",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-2-odds-against-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-2, E-2-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-2-rounding are 1:1. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-2, E-2-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-2-rounding)=1:1. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "1/2",
      "complement": "1/2",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-3-prob-payout",
    "english": "In model M-3, E-3-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-3-payout is 25%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-3, E-3-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-3-payout)=25%.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "1/4",
      "complement": "3/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-3-prob-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-3, E-3-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-3-calibration is 25%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-3, E-3-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-3-calibration)=25%.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "1/4",
      "complement": "3/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-3-prob-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-3, E-3-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-3-frequency is 25%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-3, E-3-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-3-frequency)=25%.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "1/4",
      "complement": "3/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-3-prob-causation",
    "english": "In model M-3, E-3-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-3-causation is 25%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-3, E-3-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-3-causation)=25%.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "1/4",
      "complement": "3/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-3-prob-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-3, E-3-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-3-rounding is 25%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-3, E-3-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-3-rounding)=25%.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "1/4",
      "complement": "3/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-3-odds-for-payout",
    "english": "In model M-3, E-3-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-3-payout are 1:3.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-3, E-3-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-3-payout)=1:3.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "1/4",
      "complement": "3/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-3-odds-for-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-3, E-3-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-3-calibration are 1:3.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-3, E-3-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-3-calibration)=1:3.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "1/4",
      "complement": "3/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-3-odds-for-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-3, E-3-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-3-frequency are 1:3.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-3, E-3-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-3-frequency)=1:3.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "1/4",
      "complement": "3/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-3-odds-for-causation",
    "english": "In model M-3, E-3-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-3-causation are 1:3.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-3, E-3-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-3-causation)=1:3.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "1/4",
      "complement": "3/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-3-odds-for-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-3, E-3-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-3-rounding are 1:3.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-3, E-3-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-3-rounding)=1:3.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "1/4",
      "complement": "3/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-3-odds-against-payout",
    "english": "In model M-3, E-3-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-3-payout are 3:1.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-3, E-3-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-3-payout)=3:1.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "1/4",
      "complement": "3/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-3-odds-against-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-3, E-3-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-3-calibration are 3:1.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-3, E-3-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-3-calibration)=3:1.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "1/4",
      "complement": "3/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-3-odds-against-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-3, E-3-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-3-frequency are 3:1.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-3, E-3-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-3-frequency)=3:1.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "1/4",
      "complement": "3/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-3-odds-against-causation",
    "english": "In model M-3, E-3-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-3-causation are 3:1.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-3, E-3-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-3-causation)=3:1.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "1/4",
      "complement": "3/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-3-odds-against-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-3, E-3-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-3-rounding are 3:1.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-3, E-3-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-3-rounding)=3:1.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "1/4",
      "complement": "3/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-4-prob-payout",
    "english": "In model M-4, E-4-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-4-payout is 75%. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-4, E-4-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-4-payout)=75%. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "3/4",
      "complement": "1/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-4-prob-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-4, E-4-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-4-calibration is 75%. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-4, E-4-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-4-calibration)=75%. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "3/4",
      "complement": "1/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-4-prob-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-4, E-4-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-4-frequency is 75%. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-4, E-4-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-4-frequency)=75%. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "3/4",
      "complement": "1/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-4-prob-causation",
    "english": "In model M-4, E-4-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-4-causation is 75%. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-4, E-4-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-4-causation)=75%. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "3/4",
      "complement": "1/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-4-prob-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-4, E-4-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-4-rounding is 75%. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-4, E-4-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-4-rounding)=75%. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "3/4",
      "complement": "1/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-4-odds-for-payout",
    "english": "In model M-4, E-4-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-4-payout are 3:1. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-4, E-4-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-4-payout)=3:1. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "3/4",
      "complement": "1/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-4-odds-for-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-4, E-4-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-4-calibration are 3:1. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-4, E-4-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-4-calibration)=3:1. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "3/4",
      "complement": "1/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-4-odds-for-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-4, E-4-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-4-frequency are 3:1. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-4, E-4-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-4-frequency)=3:1. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "3/4",
      "complement": "1/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-4-odds-for-causation",
    "english": "In model M-4, E-4-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-4-causation are 3:1. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-4, E-4-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-4-causation)=3:1. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "3/4",
      "complement": "1/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-4-odds-for-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-4, E-4-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-4-rounding are 3:1. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-4, E-4-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-4-rounding)=3:1. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "3/4",
      "complement": "1/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-4-odds-against-payout",
    "english": "In model M-4, E-4-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-4-payout are 1:3. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-4, E-4-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-4-payout)=1:3. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "3/4",
      "complement": "1/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-4-odds-against-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-4, E-4-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-4-calibration are 1:3. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-4, E-4-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-4-calibration)=1:3. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "3/4",
      "complement": "1/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-4-odds-against-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-4, E-4-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-4-frequency are 1:3. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-4, E-4-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-4-frequency)=1:3. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "3/4",
      "complement": "1/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-4-odds-against-causation",
    "english": "In model M-4, E-4-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-4-causation are 1:3. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-4, E-4-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-4-causation)=1:3. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "3/4",
      "complement": "1/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-4-odds-against-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-4, E-4-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-4-rounding are 1:3. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-4, E-4-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-4-rounding)=1:3. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 1,
      "probability": "3/4",
      "complement": "1/4",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-5-prob-payout",
    "english": "In model M-5, E-5-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-5-payout is 20%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-5, E-5-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-5-payout)=20%.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 4,
      "probability": "1/5",
      "complement": "4/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-5-prob-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-5, E-5-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-5-calibration is 20%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-5, E-5-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-5-calibration)=20%.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 4,
      "probability": "1/5",
      "complement": "4/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-5-prob-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-5, E-5-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-5-frequency is 20%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-5, E-5-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-5-frequency)=20%.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 4,
      "probability": "1/5",
      "complement": "4/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-5-prob-causation",
    "english": "In model M-5, E-5-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-5-causation is 20%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-5, E-5-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-5-causation)=20%.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 4,
      "probability": "1/5",
      "complement": "4/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-5-prob-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-5, E-5-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-5-rounding is 20%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-5, E-5-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-5-rounding)=20%.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 4,
      "probability": "1/5",
      "complement": "4/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-5-odds-for-payout",
    "english": "In model M-5, E-5-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-5-payout are 1:4.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-5, E-5-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-5-payout)=1:4.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 4,
      "probability": "1/5",
      "complement": "4/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-5-odds-for-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-5, E-5-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-5-calibration are 1:4.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-5, E-5-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-5-calibration)=1:4.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 4,
      "probability": "1/5",
      "complement": "4/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-5-odds-for-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-5, E-5-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-5-frequency are 1:4.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-5, E-5-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-5-frequency)=1:4.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 4,
      "probability": "1/5",
      "complement": "4/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-5-odds-for-causation",
    "english": "In model M-5, E-5-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-5-causation are 1:4.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-5, E-5-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-5-causation)=1:4.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 4,
      "probability": "1/5",
      "complement": "4/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-5-odds-for-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-5, E-5-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-5-rounding are 1:4.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-5, E-5-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-5-rounding)=1:4.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 4,
      "probability": "1/5",
      "complement": "4/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-5-odds-against-payout",
    "english": "In model M-5, E-5-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-5-payout are 4:1.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-5, E-5-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-5-payout)=4:1.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 4,
      "probability": "1/5",
      "complement": "4/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-5-odds-against-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-5, E-5-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-5-calibration are 4:1.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-5, E-5-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-5-calibration)=4:1.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 4,
      "probability": "1/5",
      "complement": "4/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-5-odds-against-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-5, E-5-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-5-frequency are 4:1.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-5, E-5-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-5-frequency)=4:1.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 4,
      "probability": "1/5",
      "complement": "4/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-5-odds-against-causation",
    "english": "In model M-5, E-5-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-5-causation are 4:1.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-5, E-5-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-5-causation)=4:1.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 4,
      "probability": "1/5",
      "complement": "4/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-5-odds-against-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-5, E-5-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-5-rounding are 4:1.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-5, E-5-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-5-rounding)=4:1.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 1,
      "unfavourable": 4,
      "probability": "1/5",
      "complement": "4/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-6-prob-payout",
    "english": "In model M-6, E-6-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-6-payout is 40%. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-6, E-6-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-6-payout)=40%. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 2,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "2/5",
      "complement": "3/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-6-prob-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-6, E-6-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-6-calibration is 40%. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-6, E-6-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-6-calibration)=40%. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 2,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "2/5",
      "complement": "3/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-6-prob-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-6, E-6-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-6-frequency is 40%. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-6, E-6-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-6-frequency)=40%. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 2,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "2/5",
      "complement": "3/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-6-prob-causation",
    "english": "In model M-6, E-6-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-6-causation is 40%. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-6, E-6-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-6-causation)=40%. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 2,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "2/5",
      "complement": "3/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-6-prob-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-6, E-6-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-6-rounding is 40%. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-6, E-6-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-6-rounding)=40%. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 2,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "2/5",
      "complement": "3/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-6-odds-for-payout",
    "english": "In model M-6, E-6-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-6-payout are 2:3. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-6, E-6-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-6-payout)=2:3. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 2,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "2/5",
      "complement": "3/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-6-odds-for-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-6, E-6-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-6-calibration are 2:3. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-6, E-6-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-6-calibration)=2:3. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 2,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "2/5",
      "complement": "3/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-6-odds-for-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-6, E-6-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-6-frequency are 2:3. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-6, E-6-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-6-frequency)=2:3. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 2,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "2/5",
      "complement": "3/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-6-odds-for-causation",
    "english": "In model M-6, E-6-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-6-causation are 2:3. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-6, E-6-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-6-causation)=2:3. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 2,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "2/5",
      "complement": "3/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-6-odds-for-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-6, E-6-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-6-rounding are 2:3. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-6, E-6-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-6-rounding)=2:3. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 2,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "2/5",
      "complement": "3/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-6-odds-against-payout",
    "english": "In model M-6, E-6-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-6-payout are 3:2. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-6, E-6-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-6-payout)=3:2. A separate contract states a net payout of four units per unit staked if the event occurs.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 2,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "2/5",
      "complement": "3/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-6-odds-against-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-6, E-6-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-6-calibration are 3:2. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-6, E-6-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-6-calibration)=3:2. A separate held-out calibration audit reports that this model met its declared calibration tolerance on the audited population.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 2,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "2/5",
      "complement": "3/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-6-odds-against-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-6, E-6-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-6-frequency are 3:2. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-6, E-6-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-6-frequency)=3:2. A separate observation log records that the event occurred in four of ten observed trials.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 2,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "2/5",
      "complement": "3/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-6-odds-against-causation",
    "english": "In model M-6, E-6-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-6-causation are 3:2. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-6, E-6-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-6-causation)=3:2. A separate investigator statement attributes the event to cause C; this is a causal claim, not proof that the investigator is right.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 2,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "2/5",
      "complement": "3/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-6-odds-against-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-6, E-6-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-6-rounding are 3:2. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-6, E-6-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-6-rounding)=3:2. A separate precision note says the supplied probability estimate was rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = no. B = yes.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 2,
      "unfavourable": 3,
      "probability": "2/5",
      "complement": "3/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": true,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "no",
        "B": "yes"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "yes"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-7-prob-payout",
    "english": "In model M-7, E-7-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-7-payout is 60%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-7, E-7-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-7-payout)=60%.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 2,
      "probability": "3/5",
      "complement": "2/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-7-prob-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-7, E-7-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-7-calibration is 60%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-7, E-7-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-7-calibration)=60%.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 2,
      "probability": "3/5",
      "complement": "2/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-7-prob-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-7, E-7-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-7-frequency is 60%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-7, E-7-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-7-frequency)=60%.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 2,
      "probability": "3/5",
      "complement": "2/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-7-prob-causation",
    "english": "In model M-7, E-7-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-7-causation is 60%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-7, E-7-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-7-causation)=60%.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 2,
      "probability": "3/5",
      "complement": "2/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-7-prob-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-7, E-7-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability of E-7-rounding is 60%.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-7, E-7-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. prob(E-7-rounding)=60%.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "prob",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 2,
      "probability": "3/5",
      "complement": "2/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "prob:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-7-odds-for-payout",
    "english": "In model M-7, E-7-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-7-payout are 3:2.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-7, E-7-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-7-payout)=3:2.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 2,
      "probability": "3/5",
      "complement": "2/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-7-odds-for-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-7, E-7-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-7-calibration are 3:2.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-7, E-7-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-7-calibration)=3:2.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 2,
      "probability": "3/5",
      "complement": "2/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-7-odds-for-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-7, E-7-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-7-frequency are 3:2.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-7, E-7-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-7-frequency)=3:2.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 2,
      "probability": "3/5",
      "complement": "2/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-7-odds-for-causation",
    "english": "In model M-7, E-7-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-7-causation are 3:2.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-7, E-7-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-7-causation)=3:2.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 2,
      "probability": "3/5",
      "complement": "2/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-7-odds-for-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-7, E-7-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds in favour of E-7-rounding are 3:2.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-7, E-7-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-for(E-7-rounding)=3:2.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-for",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 2,
      "probability": "3/5",
      "complement": "2/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-for:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-7-odds-against-payout",
    "english": "In model M-7, E-7-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-7-payout are 2:3.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-7, E-7-payout and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-7-payout)=2:3.",
    "question": "Does this message separately specify a bookmaker payout? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "payout",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 2,
      "probability": "3/5",
      "complement": "2/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:payout"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-7-odds-against-calibration",
    "english": "In model M-7, E-7-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-7-calibration are 2:3.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-7, E-7-calibration and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-7-calibration)=2:3.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate calibration assessment? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "calibration",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 2,
      "probability": "3/5",
      "complement": "2/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:calibration"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-7-odds-against-frequency",
    "english": "In model M-7, E-7-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-7-frequency are 2:3.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-7, E-7-frequency and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-7-frequency)=2:3.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state an observed event frequency? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "frequency",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 2,
      "probability": "3/5",
      "complement": "2/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:frequency"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-7-odds-against-causation",
    "english": "In model M-7, E-7-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-7-causation are 2:3.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-7, E-7-causation and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-7-causation)=2:3.",
    "question": "Does this message include a separate causal claim? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "causation",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 2,
      "probability": "3/5",
      "complement": "2/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:causation"
  },
  {
    "id": "prob-balanced-v2-7-odds-against-rounding",
    "english": "In model M-7, E-7-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. The probability odds against E-7-rounding are 2:3.",
    "ainglish": "In model M-7, E-7-rounding and its non-occurrence are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The following is a reported probability claim, not a statement of observed outcomes. odds-against(E-7-rounding)=2:3.",
    "question": "Does this message separately state a rounding rule? Answer with one option letter. A = yes. B = no.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "form": "odds-against",
    "probe": "rounding",
    "audit": {
      "favourable": 3,
      "unfavourable": 2,
      "probability": "3/5",
      "complement": "2/5",
      "separately_supplied_information": false,
      "answer_meanings": {
        "A": "yes",
        "B": "no"
      },
      "semantic_gold": "no"
    },
    "gate": "Design only. No inference before token prerequisite is independently satisfied; requires prospective panel/control qualification and fresh mint.",
    "settlement_stratum": "odds-against:rounding"
  },
  {
    "id": "study-probability.boundaries-0",
    "english": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-0-K, study-probability.boundaries-person-0-L, study-probability.boundaries-person-0-M holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-0. The record does not identify its holder.",
    "ainglish": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-0-K, study-probability.boundaries-person-0-L, study-probability.boundaries-person-0-M holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-0. The record identifies study-probability.boundaries-person-0-K as its holder.",
    "question": "Who holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-0, according to this record? A = study-probability.boundaries-person-0-K. B = not determined from the record. C = study-probability.boundaries-person-0-L. D = study-probability.boundaries-person-0-M.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B",
      "C",
      "D"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "calibration": true,
    "calibration_truth": {
      "detectable": "A",
      "other": "B"
    }
  },
  {
    "id": "study-probability.boundaries-1",
    "english": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-1-L, study-probability.boundaries-person-1-M, study-probability.boundaries-person-1-K holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-1. The record does not identify its holder.",
    "ainglish": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-1-L, study-probability.boundaries-person-1-M, study-probability.boundaries-person-1-K holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-1. The record identifies study-probability.boundaries-person-1-L as its holder.",
    "question": "Who holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-1, according to this record? A = study-probability.boundaries-person-1-L. B = study-probability.boundaries-person-1-K. C = not determined from the record. D = study-probability.boundaries-person-1-M.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B",
      "C",
      "D"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "calibration": true,
    "calibration_truth": {
      "detectable": "A",
      "other": "C"
    }
  },
  {
    "id": "study-probability.boundaries-2",
    "english": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-2-M, study-probability.boundaries-person-2-K, study-probability.boundaries-person-2-L holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-2. The record does not identify its holder.",
    "ainglish": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-2-M, study-probability.boundaries-person-2-K, study-probability.boundaries-person-2-L holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-2. The record identifies study-probability.boundaries-person-2-M as its holder.",
    "question": "Who holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-2, according to this record? A = study-probability.boundaries-person-2-M. B = study-probability.boundaries-person-2-K. C = study-probability.boundaries-person-2-L. D = not determined from the record.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B",
      "C",
      "D"
    ],
    "answer": "A",
    "calibration": true,
    "calibration_truth": {
      "detectable": "A",
      "other": "D"
    }
  },
  {
    "id": "study-probability.boundaries-3",
    "english": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-3-K, study-probability.boundaries-person-3-L, study-probability.boundaries-person-3-M holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-3. The record does not identify its holder.",
    "ainglish": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-3-K, study-probability.boundaries-person-3-L, study-probability.boundaries-person-3-M holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-3. The record identifies study-probability.boundaries-person-3-K as its holder.",
    "question": "Who holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-3, according to this record? A = not determined from the record. B = study-probability.boundaries-person-3-K. C = study-probability.boundaries-person-3-L. D = study-probability.boundaries-person-3-M.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B",
      "C",
      "D"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "calibration": true,
    "calibration_truth": {
      "detectable": "B",
      "other": "A"
    }
  },
  {
    "id": "study-probability.boundaries-4",
    "english": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-4-L, study-probability.boundaries-person-4-M, study-probability.boundaries-person-4-K holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-4. The record does not identify its holder.",
    "ainglish": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-4-L, study-probability.boundaries-person-4-M, study-probability.boundaries-person-4-K holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-4. The record identifies study-probability.boundaries-person-4-M as its holder.",
    "question": "Who holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-4, according to this record? A = study-probability.boundaries-person-4-K. B = study-probability.boundaries-person-4-M. C = not determined from the record. D = study-probability.boundaries-person-4-L.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B",
      "C",
      "D"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "calibration": true,
    "calibration_truth": {
      "detectable": "B",
      "other": "C"
    }
  },
  {
    "id": "study-probability.boundaries-5",
    "english": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-5-M, study-probability.boundaries-person-5-K, study-probability.boundaries-person-5-L holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-5. The record does not identify its holder.",
    "ainglish": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-5-M, study-probability.boundaries-person-5-K, study-probability.boundaries-person-5-L holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-5. The record identifies study-probability.boundaries-person-5-K as its holder.",
    "question": "Who holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-5, according to this record? A = study-probability.boundaries-person-5-L. B = study-probability.boundaries-person-5-K. C = study-probability.boundaries-person-5-M. D = not determined from the record.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B",
      "C",
      "D"
    ],
    "answer": "B",
    "calibration": true,
    "calibration_truth": {
      "detectable": "B",
      "other": "D"
    }
  },
  {
    "id": "study-probability.boundaries-6",
    "english": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-6-K, study-probability.boundaries-person-6-L, study-probability.boundaries-person-6-M holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-6. The record does not identify its holder.",
    "ainglish": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-6-K, study-probability.boundaries-person-6-L, study-probability.boundaries-person-6-M holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-6. The record identifies study-probability.boundaries-person-6-L as its holder.",
    "question": "Who holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-6, according to this record? A = not determined from the record. B = study-probability.boundaries-person-6-K. C = study-probability.boundaries-person-6-L. D = study-probability.boundaries-person-6-M.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B",
      "C",
      "D"
    ],
    "answer": "C",
    "calibration": true,
    "calibration_truth": {
      "detectable": "C",
      "other": "A"
    }
  },
  {
    "id": "study-probability.boundaries-7",
    "english": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-7-L, study-probability.boundaries-person-7-M, study-probability.boundaries-person-7-K holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-7. The record does not identify its holder.",
    "ainglish": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-7-L, study-probability.boundaries-person-7-M, study-probability.boundaries-person-7-K holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-7. The record identifies study-probability.boundaries-person-7-M as its holder.",
    "question": "Who holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-7, according to this record? A = study-probability.boundaries-person-7-K. B = not determined from the record. C = study-probability.boundaries-person-7-M. D = study-probability.boundaries-person-7-L.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B",
      "C",
      "D"
    ],
    "answer": "C",
    "calibration": true,
    "calibration_truth": {
      "detectable": "C",
      "other": "B"
    }
  },
  {
    "id": "study-probability.boundaries-8",
    "english": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-8-M, study-probability.boundaries-person-8-K, study-probability.boundaries-person-8-L holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-8. The record does not identify its holder.",
    "ainglish": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-8-M, study-probability.boundaries-person-8-K, study-probability.boundaries-person-8-L holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-8. The record identifies study-probability.boundaries-person-8-L as its holder.",
    "question": "Who holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-8, according to this record? A = study-probability.boundaries-person-8-K. B = study-probability.boundaries-person-8-M. C = study-probability.boundaries-person-8-L. D = not determined from the record.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B",
      "C",
      "D"
    ],
    "answer": "C",
    "calibration": true,
    "calibration_truth": {
      "detectable": "C",
      "other": "D"
    }
  },
  {
    "id": "study-probability.boundaries-9",
    "english": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-9-K, study-probability.boundaries-person-9-L, study-probability.boundaries-person-9-M holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-9. The record does not identify its holder.",
    "ainglish": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-9-K, study-probability.boundaries-person-9-L, study-probability.boundaries-person-9-M holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-9. The record identifies study-probability.boundaries-person-9-M as its holder.",
    "question": "Who holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-9, according to this record? A = not determined from the record. B = study-probability.boundaries-person-9-K. C = study-probability.boundaries-person-9-L. D = study-probability.boundaries-person-9-M.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B",
      "C",
      "D"
    ],
    "answer": "D",
    "calibration": true,
    "calibration_truth": {
      "detectable": "D",
      "other": "A"
    }
  },
  {
    "id": "study-probability.boundaries-10",
    "english": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-10-L, study-probability.boundaries-person-10-M, study-probability.boundaries-person-10-K holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-10. The record does not identify its holder.",
    "ainglish": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-10-L, study-probability.boundaries-person-10-M, study-probability.boundaries-person-10-K holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-10. The record identifies study-probability.boundaries-person-10-K as its holder.",
    "question": "Who holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-10, according to this record? A = study-probability.boundaries-person-10-L. B = not determined from the record. C = study-probability.boundaries-person-10-M. D = study-probability.boundaries-person-10-K.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B",
      "C",
      "D"
    ],
    "answer": "D",
    "calibration": true,
    "calibration_truth": {
      "detectable": "D",
      "other": "B"
    }
  },
  {
    "id": "study-probability.boundaries-11",
    "english": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-11-M, study-probability.boundaries-person-11-K, study-probability.boundaries-person-11-L holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-11. The record does not identify its holder.",
    "ainglish": "Exactly one of study-probability.boundaries-person-11-M, study-probability.boundaries-person-11-K, study-probability.boundaries-person-11-L holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-11. The record identifies study-probability.boundaries-person-11-L as its holder.",
    "question": "Who holds parcel study-probability.boundaries-11, according to this record? A = study-probability.boundaries-person-11-K. B = study-probability.boundaries-person-11-M. C = not determined from the record. D = study-probability.boundaries-person-11-L.",
    "options": [
      "A",
      "B",
      "C",
      "D"
    ],
    "answer": "D",
    "calibration": true,
    "calibration_truth": {
      "detectable": "D",
      "other": "C"
    }
  }
]