{ "cells": [ { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "## SIR model" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "*Author*: Simon Frost\n", "\n", "*Date*: 2018-07-12" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "### Description\n", "\n", "The susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model in a closed population was proposed by Kermack and McKendrick as a special case of a more general model, and forms the framework of many compartmental models. Susceptible individuals, $S$, are infected by infected individuals, $I$, at a per-capita rate $\\beta I$, and infected individuals recover at a per-capita rate $\\gamma$ to become recovered individuals, $R$." ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "### Equations" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "$$\n", "\\frac{dS(t)}{dt} = -\\beta S(t) I(t)\\\\\n", "\\frac{dI(t)}{dt} = \\beta S(t) I(t)- \\gamma I(t)\\\\\n", "\\frac{dR(t)}{dt} = \\gamma I(t)\n", "$$" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "### References\n", "\n", "1. [Kermack WO, McKendrick AG (August 1, 1927). \"A Contribution to the Mathematical Theory of Epidemics\". Proceedings of the Royal Society A. 115 (772): 700–721](https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.1927.0118)\n", "1. [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compartmental_models_in_epidemiology](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compartmental_models_in_epidemiology)" ] } ], "metadata": { "kernelspec": { "display_name": "R", "language": "R", "name": "ir" }, "language_info": { "codemirror_mode": "r", "file_extension": ".r", "mimetype": "text/x-r-source", "name": "R", "pygments_lexer": "r", "version": "3.4.4" } }, "nbformat": 4, "nbformat_minor": 2 }