team_name: University of Cologne Covid Metrics
model_contributors:
  - name: Tom Zimmermann
    affiliation: University of Cologne
    email: tom.zimmermann@uni-koeln.de
  - name: Arne Rodloff
    affiliation: University of Cologne
    email: arne.rodloff@uni-koeln.de
website_url: https://tomz.shinyapps.io/coronaLandkreise/
model_name: CovidMetrics-epiBATS
model_abbr: CovidMetrics-epiBATS
license: cc-by-4.0
team_model_designation: primary
methods: Forecasts are based on TBATS - models (DeLivera, Hyndman and Snyder (2011))
  and are updated daily for each German state.
methods_long: |
  Forecasts are based on TBATS - models (DeLivera, Hyndman und Snyder (2011)) and are updated daily for each German state. Final models are based on comparing multiple models and selecting the best-performing model based on AIC in historical data. The models forecast the 7-day incidence. The forecasting model is the same that is used at our website below.
citation: https://tomz.shinyapps.io/coronaLandkreise/