team_name: Epiforecasts / London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
model_name: EpiExpert Direct (epiforecasts)
model_abbr: epiforecasts-EpiExpert_direct
model_contributors:
  - name: Nikos Bosse
    email: nikos.bosse@lshtm.ac.uk
  - name: Sam Abbott
    email: sam.abbott@lshtm.ac.uk
  - name: Sebastian Funk
website_url: https://epiforecasts.io/
license: mit
team_model_designation: other
methods: Mean ensemble of human predictions
team_funding: Funding by the Health Protection Research Unit (grant code NIHR200908)
data_inputs: ECDC deaths and cases
citation: https://github.com/epiforecasts/covid-german-forecasts
methods_long: Forecasts from experts and non-experts are elicited using a shinyApp.  Individuals
  currently make forecasts by choosing a distribution and specifying the  median and
  width of that predictive distribution for evey forecast horizon.  Forecasts are
  collected and a mean ensemble is formed.