state,year,candidate,forecast_prob,result,winflag
Alabama,2008,Sessions,1.00,Win,1
Alabama,2008,Figures,0.00,Lose,0
Alabama,2010,Shelby,1.00,Win,1
Alabama,2010,Barnes,0.00,Loss,0
Alaska,2008,Begich,1.00,Win,1
Alaska,2008,Stevens,0.00,Lose,0
Alaska,2010,Miller,0.71,Lose,0
Alaska,2010,Murkowski,0.21,Win,1
Alaska,2010,McAdams,0.08,Loss,0
Arizona,2010,Glassman,1.00,Win,1
Arizona,2010,McCain,0.00,Loss,0
Arizona,2012,Flake,0.96,Win,1
Arizona,2012,Carmona,0.04,Loss,0
Arkansas,2008,Pryor,1.00,Win,1
Arkansas,2010,Boozman,1.00,Win,1
Arkansas,2010,Lincoln,0.00,Loss,0
California,2012,Feinstein,1.00,Win,1
California,2012,Emken,0.00,Loss,0
Colorado,2008,M. Udall,1.00,Win,1
Colorado,2008,Schaeffer,0.00,Lose,0
Colorado,2010,Buck,0.65,Loss,0
Colorado,2010,Bennett,0.35,Win,1
Connecticut,2010,Blumenthal,1.00,Win,1
Connecticut,2010,McMahon,0.00,Loss,0
Connecticut,2012,Murphy,0.96,Win,1
Connecticut,2012,McMahon,0.04,Loss,0
Delaware,2008,Biden,1.00,Win,1
Delaware,2008,O'Connell,0.00,Lose,0
Delaware,2010,Coons,1.00,Win,1
Delaware,2010,O'Donnell,0.00,Loss,0
Delaware,2012,Carper,1.00,Win,1
Delaware,2012,Wade,0.00,Loss,0
Florida,2010,Rubio,0.97,Win,1
Florida,2010,Crist,0.03,Loss,0
Florida,2010,Meeks,0.00,Loss,0
Florida,2012,Nelson,1.00,Win,1
Florida,2012,Mack,0.00,Loss,0
Georgia,2008,Chambilss,0.88,Win,1
Georgia,2008,Martin,0.12,Lose,0
Georgia,2010,Isakson,1.00,Win,1
Georgia,2010,Thurmond,0.00,Loss,0
Hawaii,2010,Inouye,1.00,Win,1
Hawaii,2010,Cavasso,0.00,Loss,0
Hawaii,2012,Hirono,1.00,Win,1
Hawaii,2012,Lingle,0.00,Loss,0
Idaho,2008,Risch,1.00,Win,1
Idaho,2008,LaRocco,0.00,Lose,0
Idaho,2010,Crapo,1.00,Win,1
Idaho,2010,Sullivan,0.00,Loss,0
Illinois,2008,Durbin,1.00,Win,1
Illinois,2008,Sauerberg,0.00,Lose,0
Illinois,2010,Kirk,0.69,Win,1
Illinois,2010,Giannoulias,0.31,Loss,0
Indiana,2010,Coats,1.00,Win,1
Indiana,2010,Ellsworth,0.00,Loss,0
Indiana,2012,Donnelly,0.70,Win,1
Indiana,2012,Lingle,0.30,Loss,0
Iowa,2008,Harkin,1.00,Win,1
Iowa,2008,Reed,0.00,Lose,0
Iowa,2010,Grassley,1.00,Win,1
Iowa,2010,Conlin,0.00,Loss,0
Kansas,2008,Roberts,1.00,Win,1
Kansas,2008,Slattery,0.00,Lose,0
Kansas,2010,Moran,1.00,Win,1
Kansas,2010,Johnston,0.00,Loss,0
Kentucky,2008,McConnell,0.92,Win,1
Kentucky,2008,Lunsford,0.08,Lose,0
Kentucky,2010,Paul,1.00,Win,1
Kentucky,2010,Conway,0.00,Loss,0
Louisiana,2008,Landireu,1.00,Win,1
Louisiana,2008,Kennedy,0.00,Lose,0
Louisiana,2010,Vitter,1.00,Win,1
Louisiana,2010,Melancon,0.00,Loss,0
Maine,2008,Collins,1.00,Win,1
Maine,2008,Allen,0.00,Lose,0
Maine,2012,King,0.93,Win,1
Maine,2012,Summers,0.06,Loss,0
Maine,2012,Dill,0.01,Loss,0
Maryland,2010,Murkowski,1.00,Win,1
Maryland,2010,Wargotz,0.00,Loss,0
Maryland,2012,Cardin,1.00,Win,1
Maryland,2012,Bongino,0.00,Loss,0
Massachusetts,2008,Kerry,1.00,Win,1
Massachusetts,2008,Beatty,0.00,Lose,0
Massachusetts,2012,Warren,0.94,Win,1
Massachusetts,2012,Brown,0.06,Loss,0
Michigan,2008,Levin,1.00,Win,1
Michigan,2008,Hoogendyk,0.00,Lose,0
Michigan,2012,Stabenow,1.00,Win,1
Michigan,2012,Hoekstra,0.00,Loss,0
Minnesota,2008,Franken,0.52,Win,1
Minnesota,2008,Coleman,0.48,Lose,0
Minnesota,2012,Klobuchar,1.00,Win,1
Minnesota,2012,Bills,0.00,Loss,0
Mississippi,2008,Cochran,1.00,Win,1
Mississippi,2008,Fleming,0.00,Lose,0
Mississippi,2012,Wicker,1.00,Win,1
Mississippi,2012,Gore,0.00,Loss,0
Mississippi (special election),2008,Wicker,0.94,Win,1
Mississippi (special election),2008,Musgrove,0.06,Lose,0
Missouri,2010,Blunt,0.99,Win,1
Missouri,2010,Carnahan,0.01,Loss,0
Missouri,2012,McCaskill,0.98,Win,1
Missouri,2012,Akin,0.02,Loss,0
Montana,2008,Baucus,1.00,Win,1
Montana,2008,Kelleher,0.00,Lose,0
Montana,2012,Rehberg,0.66,Win,1
Montana,2012,Tester,0.34,Loss,0
Nebraska,2008,Johanns,0.99,Win,1
Nebraska,2008,Kleeb,0.01,Lose,0
Nebraska,2012,Fischer,0.99,Win,1
Nebraska,2012,Kerrey,0.01,Loss,0
Nevada,2010,Angle,0.83,Loss,0
Nevada,2010,Reid,0.17,Win,1
Nevada,2012,Heller,0.83,Win,1
Nevada,2012,Berkeley,0.17,Loss,0
New Hampshire,2008,Shaheen,0.99,Win,1
New Hampshire,2008,Sununu,0.01,Lose,0
New Hampshire,2010,Ayotte,1.00,Win,1
New Hampshire,2010,Hodes,0.00,Loss,0
New Jersey,2008,Lautenberg,1.00,Win,1
New Jersey,2008,Zimmer,0.00,Lose,0
New Jersey,2012,Menendez,1.00,Win,1
New Jersey,2012,Kyrillos,0.00,Loss,0
New Mexico,2008,T. Udall,1.00,Win,1
New Mexico,2008,Pearce,0.00,Lose,0
New Mexico,2012,Heinrich,0.97,Win,1
New Mexico,2012,Wilson,0.03,Loss,0
New York,2010,Schumer,1.00,Win,1
New York,2010,Townsend,0.00,Loss,0
New York,2012,Gillibrand,1.00,Win,1
New York,2012,Long,0.00,Loss,0
New York (special election),2010,Gillibrand,1.00,Win,1
New York (special election),2010,DioGuardi,0.00,Loss,0
North Carolina,2008,Hagan,0.88,Win,1
North Carolina,2008,Dole,0.12,Lose,0
North Carolina,2010,Burr,1.00,Win,1
North Carolina,2010,Marshall,0.00,Loss,0
North Dakota,2010,Hoeven,1.00,Win,1
North Dakota,2010,Potter,0.00,Loss,0
North Dakota,2012,Berg,0.92,Loss,0
North Dakota,2012,Heitkamp,0.08,Win,1
Ohio,2010,Portman,1.00,Win,1
Ohio,2010,Fisher,0.00,Loss,0
Ohio,2012,Brown,0.97,Win,1
Ohio,2012,Mandel,0.03,Loss,0
Oklahoma,2008,Inhofe,1.00,Win,1
Oklahoma,2008,Rice,0.00,Lose,0
Oklahoma,2010,Coburn,1.00,Win,1
Oklahoma,2010,Rogers,0.00,Loss,0
Oregon,2008,Merkley,0.92,Win,1
Oregon,2008,Smith,0.08,Lose,0
Oregon,2010,Wyden,1.00,Win,1
Oregon,2010,Huffman,0.00,Loss,0
Pennsylvania,2010,Toomey,0.97,Win,1
Pennsylvania,2010,Sestak,0.03,Loss,0
Pennsylvania,2012,Casey,0.99,Win,1
Pennsylvania,2012,Smith,0.01,Loss,0
Rhode Island,2008,Reed,1.00,Win,1
Rhode Island,2008,Tingle,0.00,Lose,0
Rhode Island,2012,Whitehouse,1.00,Win,1
Rhode Island,2012,Hinkley,0.00,Loss,0
South Carolina,2008,Graham,1.00,Win,1
South Carolina,2008,Conley,0.00,Lose,0
South Carolina,2010,DeMint,1.00,Win,1
South Carolina,2010,Greene,0.00,Loss,0
South Dakota,2008,Johnson,1.00,Win,1
South Dakota,2008,Dykstra,0.00,Lose,0
South Dakota,2010,Thune,1.00,Win,1
Tennessee,2008,Alexander,1.00,Win,1
Tennessee,2008,Tuke,0.00,Lose,0
Tennessee,2012,Corker,1.00,Win,1
Tennessee,2012,Clayton,0.00,Loss,0
Texas,2008,Cornyn,1.00,Win,1
Texas,2008,Noriega,0.00,Lose,0
Texas,2012,Cruz,1.00,Win,1
Texas,2012,Sadler,0.00,Loss,0
Utah,2010,Lee,1.00,Win,1
Utah,2010,Granato,0.00,Loss,0
Utah,2012,Hatch,1.00,Win,1
Utah,2012,Lowell,0.00,Loss,0
Vermont,2010,Leahy,1.00,Win,1
Vermont,2010,Britton,0.00,Loss,0
Vermont,2012,Sanders,1.00,Win,1
Vermont,2012,MacGovern,0.00,Loss,0
Virginia,2008,Warner,1.00,Win,1
Virginia,2008,Gilmore,0.00,Lose,0
Virginia,2012,Kaine,0.88,Win,1
Virginia,2012,Allen,0.12,Loss,0
Washington,2010,Murray,0.80,Win,1
Washington,2010,Rossi,0.20,Loss,0
Washington,2012,Cantwell,0.88,Win,1
Washington,2012,Baumgartner,0.12,Loss,0
West Virginia,2010,Manchin,0.89,Win,1
West Virginia,2010,Raese,0.11,Loss,0
West Virginia,2012,Manchin,0.92,Win,1
West Virginia,2012,Raese,0.08,Loss,0
Wisconsin,2010,Johnson,0.97,Win,1
Wisconsin,2010,Feingold,0.03,Loss,0
Wisconsin,2012,Thompson,0.79,Win,1
Wisconsin,2012,Baldwin,0.21,Loss,0
Wyoming,2008,Enzi,1.00,Win,1
Wyoming,2008,Rothfuss,0.00,Lose,0
Wyoming,2012,Barrasso,1.00,Win,1
Wyoming,2012,Chestnut,0.00,Loss,0
Wyoming (special election),2008,Barrasso,1.00,Win,1
Wyoming (special election),2008,Carter,0.00,Lose,0