\contentsline {section}{摘要}{1}{Doc-Start}% \contentsline {section}{\numberline {1.}绪论}{2}{section.1}% \contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {1.1}研究背景及意义}{2}{subsection.1.1}% \contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {1.2}国内外研究现状}{2}{subsection.1.2}% \contentsline {section}{参考文献}{4}{table.1}% \contentsline {section}{\numberline {附录\nobreakspace {}A}时间序列特征分析的R 代码}{6}{appendix.A}% \contentsline {section}{\numberline {附录\nobreakspace {}B}时间序列三个模型建立和预测的R 代码}{6}{appendix.B}% \contentsline {section}{\numberline {附录\nobreakspace {}C}时间序列模型的单一测试集对比的R 代码}{8}{appendix.C}% \contentsline {section}{\numberline {附录\nobreakspace {}D}时间序列前移验证的R 代码}{9}{appendix.D}%