--- name: china-sector-overview description: Comprehensive A-share sector and industry landscape reports — market size, competitive positioning, policy environment, key A-share players, trading multiples, and thematic trends. Adapted from the original sector-overview skill for Chinese market structure and terminology. Triggers on "A股行业分析", "行业研究", "板块分析", "sector overview China", "A-share sector deep dive", "白酒/半导体/新能源 行业分析", or "[industry] landscape China". --- # china-sector-overview ## Purpose Create comprehensive **A股行业/板块深度报告** covering market dynamics, competitive positioning, regulatory environment, key players, trading multiples, and thematic trends. ## Data Sources ### Primary: iFind MCP (Tier-1 付费) / AkShare MCP (Tier-2 免费备选) ```python get_industry_stocks(industry="白酒") → 板块成分股 get_quote(ticker) → 个股行情、估值 get_financials(ticker, "income") → 财务数据对比 get_index_data("000001") → 大盘基准 # News (china-news MCP — separate server) get_stock_news(ticker="{{TICKER}}") → 行业新闻 get_market_overview() → 涨幅榜/成交额榜 ``` ### Secondary Sources | Source | Use | |--------|-----| | 东方财富行业板块 | Industry classification, sector indices | | 巨潮资讯 | Company filings for competitive analysis | | 国家统计局 / 海关总署 | Macro data (industry output, trade) | | 行业协会 (中汽协, 硅业分会, etc.) | Sector-specific statistics | | Wind / Choice / 同花顺 | Comprehensive sector data | | 券商研报 | Analyst consensus and frameworks | ## Workflow ### Step 1: Define Scope & Angle **Clarify:** - Sector / industry focus (e.g., 白酒, 半导体, 新能源汽车) - Angle (e.g., investment theme, competitive analysis, turnaround story) - Geographic scope (A-share only, or include HK-listed / US-listed Chinese) - Time horizon (cyclical analysis, secular trends, near-term trade) ### Step 2: Market Size & Structure **Industry overview:** | Metric | Data | Source | |--------|------|--------| | Total market size | 市场规模 (亿元/亿元) | 国家统计局, 行业协会 | | Growth rate | 同比增速 / CAGR | Historical data | | Market share | CR5, CR10 concentration | Company filings | | Penetration rate | For new industries | Industry reports | | Export/import | 进出口数据 | 海关总署 | **A-share representation:** - Number of listed companies in sector - Total market cap (总市值 / 流通市值) - Average PE / PB multiples - Liquidity (average daily turnover) ### Step 3: Competitive Landscape **Peer mapping:** ```python # Get all stocks in an industry get_industry_stocks(industry="白酒") ``` **For each major player, pull:** ```python get_quote(ticker) → Price, market cap, multiples get_financials(ticker) → Revenue, margins, growth get_stock_info(ticker) → Business description ``` **Competitive analysis table:** | Company | Ticker | Market Cap (亿) | Revenue (亿) | YoY Growth | Gross Margin | Net Margin | PE (TTM) | Market Share | |---------|--------|----------------|-------------|------------|-------------|------------|----------|-------------| | | | | | | | | | | **Competitive positioning:** - Market share trends (gaining or losing) - Product positioning (premium, mid-tier, mass market) - Geographic footprint (national vs regional) - Distribution strength (渠道能力) - Brand equity (品牌力) ### Step 4: Trading Multiples & Valuation **Sector multiples:** | Metric | Current | 1Y High | 1Y Low | 5Y Average | Historical High | Historical Low | |--------|---------|---------|--------|------------|----------------|----------------| | Average PE | | | | | | | | Average PB | | | | | | | | Average PS | | | | | | | | EV/EBITDA | | | | | | | **Multiple dispersion:** - Premium names (high multiple vs sector) - Value names (low multiple vs sector) - Historical range and where we are in cycle ### Step 5: Policy Environment **China-specific policy analysis:** | Policy Area | Current Status | Impact | |-------------|---------------|--------| | 产业政策 | 支持/限制/中性 | Direct sector impact | | 环保政策 | 双碳目标 | Cost structure impact | | 监管政策 | 集采/反垄断 | Margin / market share impact | | 补贴政策 | 新能源/半导体补贴 | Competitiveness impact | | 货币政策 | 宽松/中性/紧缩 | Financing cost impact | **Key regulatory bodies:** - 发改委 (NDRC) — industrial policy, pricing - 工信部 (MIIT) — manufacturing, tech, telecom - 生态环境部 (MEE) — environmental compliance - 卫健委 (NHC) — healthcare, pharmaceuticals - 证监会 (CSRC) — capital markets - 央行 (PBoC) — monetary policy ### Step 6: Key Drivers & Trends **Secular trends (3-5 year):** - Technology adoption (技术替代) - Consumption upgrade/downgrade (消费升级/降级) - Demographic shifts (人口结构) - Supply chain localization (供应链国产化) - Environmental transition (双碳/ESG) **Cyclical factors:** - Inventory cycles (库存周期) - Capacity utilization (产能利用率) - Pricing trends (价格趋势) - Demand momentum (需求 momentum) ### Step 7: Investment Themes **Thematic angles:** 1. **Policy-driven**: 国产替代, 新基建, 乡村振兴 2. **Demand-driven**: 消费升级, 老龄化, 出海 3. **Supply-driven**: 产能出清, 行业整合, 龙头集中 4. **Technology-driven**: AI应用, 新能源, 生物医药创新 **For each theme:** - Investment thesis - Key names to express the theme - Timeline and catalysts - Risks and headwinds ### Step 8: Trading Ideas **Ideas shortlist (from sector overview):** | Idea | Ticker | Direction | Thesis | Catalyst | Risk | |------|--------|-----------|--------|----------|------| | | | Long / Short | | | | ### Step 9: Report Structure **Standard A-share sector overview format:** ``` 【XX证券】[行业] 深度报告:[标题] 一、行业概述 市场规模、增速、发展阶段 二、竞争格局 主要玩家、市场份额、竞争要素 三、政策环境 监管框架、产业政策、影响分析 四、财务分析 行业盈利能力、ROE、杠杆水平 五、估值分析 当前 multiples vs 历史 vs 国际对标 六、核心驱动因素 长期趋势、短期催化、周期位置 七、投资建议 重点标的、目标价、评级 八、风险提示 政策风险、需求风险、竞争风险 ``` ## China-Specific Considerations ### A-share Market Structure | Feature | Description | Implication | |---------|-------------|-------------| | 涨跌停限制 | ±10% (main), ±20% (创业板/科创板) | Price discovery slower | | 散户占比高 | Retail ~60-80% of turnover | More sentiment-driven | | 政策驱动 | Government announcements move markets | Monitor policy closely | | 板块轮动 | Sector rotation common | Timing important | | 北向资金 | Foreign inflows tracked daily | Sentiment indicator | ### Industry Classification **Common sector classifications:** - 申万行业分类 (SW Industry) — most widely used - 中信行业分类 (CITIC) — alternative - 证监会行业分类 — regulatory standard - 东方财富行业 — data vendor specific **Use `get_industry_stocks(industry="...")` with Chinese industry names.** ### Sector-Specific Metrics | Sector | Key Metrics | |--------|-------------| | 白酒 | 批价, 库存, 回款, 动销, 渠道库存 | | 半导体 | 产能利用率, 出货量, ASP, 库存天数 | | 新能源汽车 | 交付量, 单车收入, 电池成本, 渗透率 | | 医药 | 创新药收入, 研发费用率, 集采中标 | | 银行 | NIM, 不良率, 拨备覆盖率, ROE | | 券商 | 经纪/投行/资管收入, 股基交易量, 两融余额 | | 光伏 | 硅料/组件价格, 排产, 海外出货 | | 房地产 | 销售额, 拿地, 融资成本, 去化周期 | | 食品饮料 | 动销, 库存, 提价能力 | | 互联网 | DAU/MAU, ARPU, 收入增速, 利润率 | ### Policy Risk Framework **High policy-sensitivity sectors:** 1. 医药 — 集采 (volume-based procurement) 2. 互联网 — 反垄断, 数据安全 3. 教育 — 双减 (reduced private tutoring) 4. 金融 — 监管周期, 利率政策 5. 房地产 — 三道红线, 限购限贷 6. 新能源 — 补贴退坡, 产能过剩 **Policy risk assessment:** - Current policy stance (支持/中性/限制) - Upcoming regulatory events - Historical policy impact patterns - Best/worst case scenarios ## Quality Checks Before delivering: - [ ] Industry definition clear and consistent - [ ] Market size data sourced (统计局 or industry association) - [ ] Competitive landscape covers top 5-10 players - [ ] Financials sourced from iFind / AkShare / 巨潮 - [ ] Valuation multiples calculated consistently - [ ] Policy environment analyzed - [ ] Investment themes articulated - [ ] Ideas shortlist included (3-5 names) - [ ] Risk factors specific to China market included > **Data Source Mode Switch**: Set env var `IFIND_DATA_SOURCE_MODE` to control data source preference. > - `ifind-only` (strict): Use iFind only, error if unavailable > - `ifind-fallback` (default): iFind preferred, fallback to AkShare > - `akshare-only`: Skip iFind, use AkShare only