{ "cells": [ { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "# Correlation and Regression to the Mean" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "In [\"Thinking, Fast and Slow\"](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thinking,_Fast_and_Slow) by Daniel Kahneman, while explaining regression to the mean he writes,\n", "\n", "> Highly intelligent women tend to marry men who are less intelligent than they are.\n", "\n", "is equivalent to the statement\n", "\n", "> The correlation between the intelligence scores of spouses is less then perfect.\n", "\n", "He further clarifies his point.\n", "\n", "> If the correlation between the intelligence of spouses is less than perfect (and if men and women on average do not differ in intelligence), then it is a mathematical inevitability that highly intelligent women will be married to husbands who are on average less intelligent than they are (and vice versa, of course). The observed regression to the mean cannot be more interesting or more explainable than the imperfect correlation.\n", "\n", "Now I understand the point he is making and his book is not a textbook.\n", "If married couple's intelligence follows a bivariate normal distribution (which is likely I imagine) then this is true.\n", "I think it would be interesting to try generating discrete bivariate distribtions to see if I can find counter examples that show that Kahneman's statements are not equivalent.\n", "\n", "The tool I'll be using to do this is [convex optimization](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Convex_optimization), although all the problems I'm doing are a subset, specifically [linear programming](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linear_programming).\n", "My tool of choice in python is [cvxpy](http://www.cvxpy.org/en/latest/)." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 1, "metadata": { "collapsed": true }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "%matplotlib inline\n", "figsize(12, 8)\n", "import cvxpy as cvx" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "I need to compute the [correlation coefficient](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pearson_product-moment_correlation_coefficient) over discrete bivariate distributions to check if the claims have been violated.\n", "I'm defining [covariance](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Covariance) and correlation here." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 2, "metadata": { "collapsed": true }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "def covariance(mat):\n", " XY = np.maximum(mat.value.A, 0)\n", " N = len(XY)\n", " XYv = np.outer(np.arange(N), np.arange(N))\n", " EXY = (XY * XYv).sum()\n", "\n", " EX = np.dot(XY.sum(axis=1), np.arange(N))\n", " EY = np.dot(XY.sum(axis=0), np.arange(N))\n", "\n", " return EXY - EX*EY\n", "\n", "def correlation(mat):\n", " XY = np.maximum(mat.value.A, 0)\n", " N = len(XY)\n", " cov = covariance(mat)\n", " \n", " xx = XY.sum(axis=1)\n", " yy = XY.sum(axis=0)\n", " \n", " EX = np.dot(xx, np.arange(N))\n", " EY = np.dot(yy, np.arange(N))\n", " \n", " varX = np.dot(xx, (np.arange(N) - EX)**2)\n", " varY = np.dot(yy, (np.arange(N) - EY)**2)\n", " \n", " return cov / np.sqrt(varX * varY)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "I'm going to generate a 20x20 matrix to represent the bivariate distribution.\n", "Columns will represent wife intelligence and rows will represent husband intelligence, so bright people will be in the last 10 columns and rows, while dim people will be in the first 10 columns and rows.\n", "I also create a few expressions I'll be using in the linear program, such as the [marginal probabilities](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marginal_distribution) and [expected values](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value) of bright women (women who fall in the last 10 columns)." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 3, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "N = 20\n", "# joint probability matrix\n", "# rows are husband intelligence\n", "# columns are wife intelligence\n", "prob = cvx.Variable(N, N)\n", "\n", "# marginal probability distributions\n", "prob_women = (np.ones(N) * prob).T\n", "prob_men = prob * np.ones(N)\n", "\n", "# expected value of men and women intelligence\n", "exp_women = prob_women.T * np.arange(N)\n", "exp_men = prob_men.T * np.arange(N)\n", "\n", "# expected values of smart women and men given they are married to smart women\n", "exp_bright_women = np.arange(N//2, N) * prob_women[N//2:] / .5\n", "exp_men_given_bright_women = np.arange(N) * prob[:, N//2:] * np.ones(N//2) / .5" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "I'll construct the constraints, first the probability matrix must sum to 1 and must be nonnegative." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 4, "metadata": { "collapsed": true }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "constraints = [cvx.sum_entries(prob) == 1., prob >= 0]" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "In order to make the conditional expectation expressions correct, I need to make the probability of bright women and men equal to the probability of dim women and men.\n", "To make them equal, I add a median constraint." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 5, "metadata": { "collapsed": true }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "constraints.extend([cvx.sum_entries(prob_women[:N//2]) == cvx.sum_entries(prob_women[N//2:]),\n", " cvx.sum_entries(prob_men[:N//2]) == cvx.sum_entries(prob_men[N//2:])])" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Now Kahneman says this is the case \"if men and women on average do not differ in intelligence\", I'm going to interpret this as the expected women's intelligence is equal to the expected men's intelligence." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 6, "metadata": { "collapsed": true }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "constraints.append(exp_women == exp_men)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "That's enough constraints to get us started.\n", "Now there is the question of what quantity to maximize since this is an opimization problem.\n", "The objective will be to subtract the expected intelligence of bright women from the expected intelligence of men that have married bright women.\n", "If this quantity is positive then Kahneman's \"regression to the mean\" will be violated." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 7, "metadata": { "collapsed": true }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "objective = cvx.Maximize(exp_men_given_bright_women - exp_bright_women)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Now it's a simple matter of running it through cxvpy by giving it the objective and the constraints and letting it solve the problem." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 8, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/plain": [ "'optimal'" ] }, "execution_count": 8, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "problem = cvx.Problem(objective, constraints)\n", "problem.solve()\n", "problem.status" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "If the status is \"optimal\" that means all constraints are met and the problem is solved.\n", "The status is \"optimal\" so we can proceed with analysis.\n", "Let's first check the objective value." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 9, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/plain": [ "8.9999999993702" ] }, "execution_count": 9, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "objective.value" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "It's 9!\n", "The only way this can happen is if all the bright women (women above or equal to 10 intelligence) are 10 and they are all married to men with intelligence of 19.\n", "Let's look at the probability distributions to see what happened." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 10, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "def plot_marginal(marginal):\n", " plt.plot(100. * marginal.value, '-o')\n", " plt.ylabel('probability (percentage)')\n", " plt.xlabel('intelligence')\n", " plt.ylim(0, 100. * marginal.value.max() * 1.1)\n", "\n", "def plot_joint(joint):\n", " mat = np.maximum(100. * joint.value.A, 0)\n", " #mat = np.log(np.maximum(np.log(joint.value.A), 0) + 1)\n", " plt.imshow(mat, interpolation='none')\n", " plt.colorbar()\n", " plt.ylabel('men')\n", " plt.xlabel('women')\n", " plt.grid(False)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 11, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "image/png": 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"text/plain": [ "" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "plot_joint(prob)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "We can see here that all the mass for bright women is of women with 10 intelligence marrying men of 19 intelligence.\n", "Let's see what happened to the marginals. " ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 12, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "image/png": 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EcU7n+B7gl4A1Bl3oZeDeMcZHZFybJM3EqBNtWEwdPObOEC1JdzbOhYX/Cbgd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\nMkRLKqQ0RCt7dqIllZEhWlL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"text/plain": [ "" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "plot_marginal(prob_women)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 13, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "image/png": 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IV4/dvw/wpTnVMxejn5JG8zuSJEk6PTvRx3Sihx1ngKuAj4cQ3sNgJvo64M/n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\nD+FMtCRJKpJWZ9fj7aZkiD7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"text/plain": [ "" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "plot_marginal(prob_men)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "We see now that the marginal distributions for both men and women are quite binary." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 14, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/plain": [ "0.99999999716406629" ] }, "execution_count": 14, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "correlation(prob)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "It is perfectly correlated.\n", "Let's add a constraint to make the distribution look [unimodal](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unimodality) since I think that would be a better representation of an intelligence distribution.\n", "To do this I'll add a constraints that will enforce the maximum value to occur at 9 or 10 and make it unimodal." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 15, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "prob_const = 0\n", "constraints.extend([cvx.diff(prob_men[:N//2]) >= prob_const,\n", " cvx.diff(prob_women[:N//2]) >= prob_const,\n", " cvx.diff(prob_men[N//2:]) <= -prob_const,\n", " cvx.diff(prob_women[N//2:]) <= -prob_const])" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 16, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/plain": [ "'optimal'" ] }, "execution_count": 16, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "problem = cvx.Problem(objective, constraints)\n", "problem.solve()\n", "problem.status" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 17, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/plain": [ "4.49999999907409" ] }, "execution_count": 17, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "objective.value" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 18, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "image/png": 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"text/plain": [ "" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "plot_joint(prob)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "This is a little more interesting, the objective has been cut in half and we have full support about the men distribution." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 19, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "image/png": 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EcU7n+B7gl4A1Bl3oZeDeMcZHZFybJM3EqBNtWEwdPObOEC1JdzbOhYX/Cbgd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\nMkRLKqQ0RCt7dqIllZEhWlL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"text/plain": [ "" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "plot_marginal(prob_women)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 20, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "image/png": 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3TXJ+kpvv8LoXJDmpqm6zPH5gkiu7+6IkH66qM5av931Jztshy9uS/Pjy/Fsl\neV0W666/s6puuTznKUl+fYfXAThqKcwAR95Vdrc4yPNvS3JGVT0qizfWXbeq/m+SN2ex/vhjh/ja\n/btlXJbkQUleUVXvyuJNfJcszzsjyc9U1fuSPCvJjx3k+tsfPy3JLavqvUn+IMmDuvufk/xUkj+p\nqvcnuX2Sxx3+twHg6LCxtbXTzkYAzElVbST51Sx2uvhCVT0uyU27+xfWHA3gqGSGGeAapru3knwm\nyf+pqvOTfFeSX15vKoCjlxlmAAAYMMMMAAADCjMAAAwozAAAMKAwAwDAgMIMAAAD/x/A6cgYV1Az\nawAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\n", "text/plain": [ "" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "plot_marginal(prob_men)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "We see here that the men's marginal distribution is flat." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 21, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/plain": [ "0.86710996372576221" ] }, "execution_count": 21, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "correlation(prob)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Furthermore, the joint probability is of course not perfectly correlated, although it is still highly correlated.\n", "At this point it may be fair to say we have found a contradiction.\n", "Let's continue anyway with a few more constraints.\n", "I think it's fair to have the marginal distributions be the same and not just the average, so let's add that constraint." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 22, "metadata": { "collapsed": true }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "constraints.append(prob_women == prob_men)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 23, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/plain": [ "'optimal'" ] }, "execution_count": 23, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "problem = cvx.Problem(objective, constraints)\n", "problem.solve()\n", "problem.status" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 24, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/plain": [ "1.3237944074262487e-10" ] }, "execution_count": 24, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "objective.value" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Okay this is effectively zero.\n", "So with the added constraint the expected intelligence of a bright women's husband is the same as her own." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 25, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "image/png": 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"text/plain": [ "" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "plot_joint(prob)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 26, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "image/png": 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D1WGWgLFtm7W5h5n/wXZKy2vonprErIkD6Nstxa+fV6dEnEq5Kc1VW+fl/Q37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\npiSXVNXt0+39yxwMbPLHSW6sqo0fov1++8GK2Hg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"text/plain": [ "" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "plot_marginal(prob_women)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 27, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "image/png": 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D1WGWgLFtm7W5h5n/wXZKy2vonprErIkD6Nstxa+fV6dEnEq5Kc1VW+fl/Q37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\nMwAADAhmAAAYEMwAADAgmAEAYOD/AVU/UvmWexxBAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC\n", "text/plain": [ "" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "plot_marginal(prob_men)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 28, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/plain": [ "0.75440080814813226" ] }, "execution_count": 28, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "correlation(prob)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "This also violates Kahneman's \"regression to the mean\" since we have a joint distribution that is not perfectly correlated yet bright women are just as smart as their husbands on average." ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "From the wikipedia page on [regression to the mean](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regression_toward_the_mean) the definition is more restrictive.\n", "It states that for a bivariate distribution to exhibit regression to the mean the following must hold,\n", "\n", "$$\\mu \\le E[X_2 | X_1 = c] < c$$\n", "\n", "where $\\mu$ is the mean value and the opposite inequalities hold when $c < \\mu$.\n", "This would be easier to violate than the current objective because only one inequality needs to be violated i.e. one $c$ to not satisfy regression to the mean.\n", "For fun though, I'll try to violate them all by adding those as constraints." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 29, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "constraints.extend([(np.arange(N) * prob[:, i]) >= cvx.sum_entries(i * prob[:, i]) for i in range(N//2, N)])" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "And also to below average intelligence women." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 30, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "constraints.extend([(np.arange(N) * prob[:, i]) <= cvx.sum_entries(i * prob[:, i]) for i in range(N//2)])" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 31, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/plain": [ "'optimal'" ] }, "execution_count": 31, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "problem = cvx.Problem(objective, constraints)\n", "problem.solve()\n", "problem.status" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 32, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/plain": [ "1.332818300170402e-10" ] }, "execution_count": 32, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "objective.value" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Again this is zero." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 33, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "image/png": 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pthOSPLDuvQ9lsvxmJpsJPb/yNK8967RUVV3TWvvOdS+t/z/4cI7gYAGAwfpqkv9VVU8k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\nBaEHABgFoQcAGIX/D/WmPyAd7lYsAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC\n", "text/plain": [ "" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "plot_joint(prob)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Now we see that this effectively makes the joint probability perfectly correlated." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 34, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "image/png": 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0UnBjAYg0juPosVd2Sho8OYwTwhAoX1qCLj51upraevTS+3vcjgMAARXob0va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\nYwGHj512sEK5WlpE6ALHT9axcGUxm235RVvT7T9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"text/plain": [ "" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "plot_marginal(prob_women)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 35, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/plain": [ "0.99999999987333121" ] }, "execution_count": 35, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "correlation(prob)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Now we see what happens when we try to make *every* married husband **not** regress to the mean.\n", "It is an impossibility and we end up with a perfectly correlated distribution.\n", "And I can check that the last 20 inequality constraints are in fact equivalent." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 36, "metadata": { "collapsed": false }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/plain": [ "True" ] }, "execution_count": 36, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "difference = [((np.arange(N) * prob[:, i]) -\n", " cvx.sum_entries(i * prob[:, i])).value for i in range(N)]\n", "np.allclose(difference, 0)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "*This blog post was written entirely in the [IPython](http://ipython.org) Notebook.\n", "The full notebook can be downloaded [here](https://raw.githubusercontent.com/jwkvam/jwkvam.github.io/master/notebooks/kahneman_regression.ipynb) or viewed statically [here](http://nbviewer.ipython.org/url/jwkvam.github.io/notebooks/kahneman_regression.ipynb).\n", "You can find me on [GitHub](https://github.com/jwkvam), [LinkedIn](https://linkedin.com/in/jwkvam) and [Twitter](https://twitter.com/jwkvam).*\n" ] } ], "metadata": { "kernelspec": { "display_name": "Python 3", "language": "python", "name": "python3" }, "language_info": { "codemirror_mode": { "name": "ipython", "version": 3 }, "file_extension": ".py", "mimetype": "text/x-python", "name": "python", "nbconvert_exporter": "python", "pygments_lexer": "ipython3", "version": "3.5.0" } }, "nbformat": 4, "nbformat_minor": 0 }