import statsmodels.api as sm import custom_indicators as cta import warnings import logging from pathlib import Path import sys import numpy as np import scipy.fft from scipy.fft import rfft, irfft import talib.abstract as ta import freqtrade.vendor.qtpylib.indicators as qtpylib import arrow from freqtrade.strategy import (IStrategy, merge_informative_pair, stoploss_from_open, IntParameter, DecimalParameter, CategoricalParameter) from typing import Dict, List, Optional, Tuple, Union from pandas import DataFrame, Series from functools import reduce from datetime import datetime, timedelta from freqtrade.persistence import Trade # Get rid of pandas warnings during backtesting import pandas as pd pd.options.mode.chained_assignment = None # default='warn' # Strategy specific imports, files must reside in same folder as strategy sys.path.append(str(Path(__file__).parent)) log = logging.getLogger(__name__) # log.setLevel(logging.DEBUG) warnings.simplefilter(action='ignore', category=pd.errors.PerformanceWarning) """ #################################################################################### SARIMAX - use a SARIMAX Filter to estimate future price movements #################################################################################### """ class SARIMAX(IStrategy): # Do *not* hyperopt for the roi and stoploss spaces # ROI table: minimal_roi = { "0": 10 } # Stoploss: stoploss = -0.10 # Trailing stop: trailing_stop = False trailing_stop_positive = None trailing_stop_positive_offset = 0.0 trailing_only_offset_is_reached = False timeframe = '5m' inf_timeframe = '1h' use_custom_stoploss = True # Recommended use_exit_signal = True exit_profit_only = False ignore_roi_if_entry_signal = True # Required startup_candle_count: int = 32 process_only_new_candles = True custom_trade_info = {} ################################### # Strategy Specific Variable Storage smax_window = startup_candle_count filter_list = {} filter_init_list = {} current_pair = "" # Hyperopt Variables # SARIMAX hyperparams entry_smax_dif = 4.5 cexit_endtrend_respect_roi = True cexit_pullback = True cexit_pullback_amount = 0.007 cexit_pullback_respect_roi = False cexit_roi_end = 0.001 cexit_roi_start = 0.017 cexit_roi_time = 1420 cexit_roi_type = "static" cexit_trend_type = "none" cstop_bail_how = "none" cstop_bail_roc = -1.014 cstop_bail_time = 908 cstop_bail_time_trend = False cstop_loss_threshold = -0.02 cstop_max_stoploss = -0.13 exit_smax_diff = -3.3 ################################### """ Informative Pair Definitions """ def informative_pairs(self): pairs = self.dp.current_whitelist() informative_pairs = [(pair, self.inf_timeframe) for pair in pairs] return informative_pairs ################################### """ Indicator Definitions """ def populate_indicators(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame: # Base pair informative timeframe indicators curr_pair = metadata['pair'] informative = self.dp.get_pair_dataframe(pair=curr_pair, timeframe=self.inf_timeframe) # SARIMAX Filter # get filter for current pair self.current_pair = curr_pair # create if not already done if not curr_pair in self.filter_list: self.filter_init_list[curr_pair] = False informative['smax_predict'] = informative['close'].rolling( window=self.smax_window).apply(self.model) # merge into normal timeframe dataframe = merge_informative_pair( dataframe, informative, self.timeframe, self.inf_timeframe, ffill=True) # calculate predictive indicators in shorter timeframe (not informative) dataframe['smax_predict'] = dataframe[f"smax_predict_{self.inf_timeframe}"] dataframe['smax_predict_diff'] = 100.0 * \ (dataframe['smax_predict'] - dataframe['close']) / dataframe['close'] # Custom Stoploss if not metadata['pair'] in self.custom_trade_info: self.custom_trade_info[metadata['pair']] = {} if not 'had-trend' in self.custom_trade_info[metadata["pair"]]: self.custom_trade_info[metadata['pair']]['had-trend'] = False # RMI: https://www.tradingview.com/script/kwIt9OgQ-Relative-Momentum-Index/ dataframe['rmi'] = cta.RMI(dataframe, length=24, mom=5) # MA Streak: https://www.tradingview.com/script/Yq1z7cIv-MA-Streak-Can-Show-When-a-Run-Is-Getting-Long-in-the-Tooth/ dataframe['mastreak'] = cta.mastreak(dataframe, period=4) # Trends, Peaks and Crosses dataframe['candle-up'] = np.where(dataframe['close'] >= dataframe['open'], 1, 0) dataframe['candle-up-trend'] = np.where(dataframe['candle-up'].rolling(5).sum() >= 3, 1, 0) dataframe['rmi-up'] = np.where(dataframe['rmi'] >= dataframe['rmi'].shift(), 1, 0) dataframe['rmi-up-trend'] = np.where(dataframe['rmi-up'].rolling(5).sum() >= 3, 1, 0) dataframe['rmi-dn'] = np.where(dataframe['rmi'] <= dataframe['rmi'].shift(), 1, 0) dataframe['rmi-dn-count'] = dataframe['rmi-dn'].rolling(8).sum() # Indicators used only for ROI and Custom Stoploss ssldown, sslup = cta.SSLChannels_ATR(dataframe, length=21) dataframe['sroc'] = cta.SROC(dataframe, roclen=21, emalen=13, smooth=21) dataframe['ssl-dir'] = np.where(sslup > ssldown, 'up', 'down') return dataframe ################################### def model(self, a: np.ndarray) -> np.float: # scale the data standardized = a.copy() w_mean = np.mean(standardized) w_std = np.std(standardized) scaled = (standardized - w_mean) / w_std scaled.fillna(0, inplace=True) # create filter if needed # if not self.filter_init_list[self.current_pair]: # self.filter_init_list[self.current_pair] = True # fit an AR(2) model s_model = sm.tsa.SARIMAX( a, order=(2, 0, 0), enforce_invertibility=False, enforce_stationarity=False) # print("params: ", s_model.params_complete) result = s_model.fit(disp=False) # print(result.summary()) # print("retvals: ", result.mle_retvals) # print("result: ", result) # get the prediction forecast = result.forecast(2) predict = [column for column in forecast] # print("predict: ", predict) length = len(predict) return (predict[length - 1] * w_std) + w_mean # ################################### # # # Williams %R # def williams_r(self, dataframe: DataFrame, period: int = 14) -> Series: # """Williams %R, or just %R, is a technical analysis oscillator showing the current closing price in relation to the high and low # of the past N days (for a given N). It was developed by a publisher and promoter of trading materials, Larry Williams. # Its purpose is to tell whether a stock or commodity market is trading near the high or the low, or somewhere in between, # of its recent trading range. # The oscillator is on a negative scale, from −100 (lowest) up to 0 (highest). # """ # # highest_high = dataframe["high"].rolling(center=False, window=period).max() # lowest_low = dataframe["low"].rolling(center=False, window=period).min() # # WR = Series( # (highest_high - dataframe["close"]) / (highest_high - lowest_low), # name=f"{period} Williams %R", # ) # # return WR * -100 ################################### """ Buy Signal """ def populate_entry_trend(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame: conditions = [] dataframe.loc[:, 'enter_tag'] = '' # conditions.append(dataframe['volume'] > 0) # SARIMAX triggers smax_cond = ( qtpylib.crossed_above(dataframe['smax_predict_diff'], self.entry_smax_diff) ) conditions.append(smax_cond) # Model will spike on big gains, so try to constrain spike_cond = ( dataframe['smax_predict_diff'] < 2.0 * self.entry_smax_diff ) conditions.append(spike_cond) # set buy tags dataframe.loc[smax_cond, 'enter_tag'] += 'smax_buy ' if conditions: dataframe.loc[reduce(lambda x, y: x & y, conditions), 'enter_long'] = 1 return dataframe ################################### """ Sell Signal """ def populate_exit_trend(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame: conditions = [] dataframe.loc[:, 'exit_tag'] = '' # SARIMAX triggers smax_cond = ( qtpylib.crossed_below(dataframe['smax_predict_diff'], self.exit_smax_diff) ) conditions.append(smax_cond) # DWTs will spike on big gains, so try to constrain spike_cond = ( dataframe['smax_predict_diff'] > 2.0 * self.exit_smax_diff ) conditions.append(spike_cond) # set sell tags dataframe.loc[smax_cond, 'exit_tag'] += 'smax_sell ' if conditions: dataframe.loc[reduce(lambda x, y: x & y, conditions), 'exit_long'] = 1 return dataframe ################################### """ Custom Stoploss """ def custom_stoploss(self, pair: str, trade: 'Trade', current_time: datetime, current_rate: float, current_profit: float, **kwargs) -> float: dataframe, _ = self.dp.get_analyzed_dataframe(pair=pair, timeframe=self.timeframe) last_candle = dataframe.iloc[-1].squeeze() trade_dur = int((current_time.timestamp() - trade.open_date_utc.timestamp()) // 60) in_trend = self.custom_trade_info[trade.pair]['had-trend'] # limit stoploss if current_profit < self.cstop_max_stoploss: return 0.01 # Determine how we sell when we are in a loss if current_profit < self.cstop_loss_threshold: if self.cstop_bail_how == 'roc' or self.cstop_bail_how == 'any': # Dynamic bailout based on rate of change if last_candle['sroc'] <= self.cstop_bail_roc: return 0.01 if self.cstop_bail_how == 'time' or self.cstop_bail_how == 'any': # Dynamic bailout based on time, unless time_trend is True and there is a potential reversal if trade_dur > self.cstop_bail_time: if self.cstop_bail_time_trend == True and in_trend == True: return 1 else: return 0.01 return 1 ################################### """ Custom Sell """ def custom_sell(self, pair: str, trade: 'Trade', current_time: 'datetime', current_rate: float, current_profit: float, **kwargs): dataframe, _ = self.dp.get_analyzed_dataframe(pair=pair, timeframe=self.timeframe) last_candle = dataframe.iloc[-1].squeeze() trade_dur = int((current_time.timestamp() - trade.open_date_utc.timestamp()) // 60) max_profit = max(0, trade.calc_profit_ratio(trade.max_rate)) pullback_value = max(0, (max_profit - self.cexit_pullback_amount)) in_trend = False # Determine our current ROI point based on the defined type if self.cexit_roi_type == 'static': min_roi = self.cexit_roi_start elif self.cexit_roi_type == 'decay': min_roi = cta.linear_decay(self.cexit_roi_start, self.cexit_roi_end, 0, self.cexit_roi_time, trade_dur) elif self.cexit_roi_type == 'step': if trade_dur < self.cexit_roi_time: min_roi = self.cexit_roi_start else: min_roi = self.cexit_roi_end # Determine if there is a trend if self.cexit_trend_type == 'rmi' or self.cexit_trend_type == 'any': if last_candle['rmi-up-trend'] == 1: in_trend = True if self.cexit_trend_type == 'ssl' or self.cexit_trend_type == 'any': if last_candle['ssl-dir'] == 'up': in_trend = True if self.cexit_trend_type == 'candle' or self.cexit_trend_type == 'any': if last_candle['candle-up-trend'] == 1: in_trend = True # Don't sell if we are in a trend unless the pullback threshold is met if in_trend == True and current_profit > 0: # Record that we were in a trend for this trade/pair for a more useful sell message later self.custom_trade_info[trade.pair]['had-trend'] = True # If pullback is enabled and profit has pulled back allow a sell, maybe if self.cexit_pullback == True and (current_profit <= pullback_value): if self.cexit_pullback_respect_roi == True and current_profit > min_roi: return 'intrend_pullback_roi' elif self.cexit_pullback_respect_roi == False: if current_profit > min_roi: return 'intrend_pullback_roi' else: return 'intrend_pullback_noroi' # We are in a trend and pullback is disabled or has not happened or various criteria were not met, hold return None # If we are not in a trend, just use the roi value elif in_trend == False: if self.custom_trade_info[trade.pair]['had-trend']: if current_profit > min_roi: self.custom_trade_info[trade.pair]['had-trend'] = False return 'trend_roi' elif self.cexit_endtrend_respect_roi == False: self.custom_trade_info[trade.pair]['had-trend'] = False return 'trend_noroi' elif current_profit > min_roi: return 'notrend_roi' else: return None