--- name: loan-covenant-review description: "Run a quarterly loan covenant compliance review: covenant table with required vs actual vs headroom, trend and trajectory-to-breach analysis, waiver and amendment options with pricing implications, early-warning indicators, and a watch-list recommendation. Use when asked to review covenant compliance, check covenant headroom, assess a potential covenant breach, or prepare a quarterly borrower monitoring review. Produces a structured covenant review with headroom table, trajectory analysis, and recommended actions." --- # Loan Covenant Review Skill Covenants are the bank's smoke detectors — but only if someone reads them as trends, not snapshots. This skill runs the quarterly discipline: where is each covenant now, which direction is it moving, when does the trend cross the line, and what do we do before it does. ## What This Skill Produces - A covenant compliance table: required vs actual vs headroom, with trend - Trajectory-to-breach analysis for any tightening covenant - Waiver/amendment options with typical pricing implications - Qualitative early-warning indicators checked - A watch-list / risk-grade recommendation ## Required Inputs Ask for what's missing; with partial data, compute what's computable and mark the rest `[awaiting financials]`: - **Facility & covenant package** — each covenant's definition, required level, test frequency, cure rights - **Current-quarter financials** and at least 2–4 prior quarters for trend - **Compliance certificate** figures if the borrower has submitted one - **Relationship context** — prior waivers, recent management contact, sector conditions ## Review Framework **1. Covenant table.** For each covenant: required level, actual, headroom % = (actual − required) ÷ required (sign-adjusted so positive = compliant for both maximum-leverage and minimum-coverage covenants). Recompute actuals from the definitions in the agreement — borrower certificates use borrower-friendly add-backs; note any definitional divergence. **2. Headroom bands:** | Headroom | Status | Response | |---|---|---| | >20% | Comfortable | Routine monitoring | | 10–20% | Monitor | Note trend; quarterly attention | | <10% | Early warning | Trajectory analysis, proactive borrower dialogue | | Breached | Breach | Reservation of rights, waiver/amendment track, risk-grade review | **3. Trajectory-to-breach.** For anything under 20% or trending down 2+ quarters: extend the trend 2–4 quarters and state the projected breach quarter with the assumption ("on the last 3 quarters' EBITDA slope, leverage crosses 3.5x in Q2"). Label it a trend projection, not a forecast. Seasonality: compare year-on-year quarters before calling a trend. **4. Options if breach is likely or occurred.** Frame the menu with typical pricing logic (calibrate to institution practice): one-off **waiver** (waiver fee, often bps on commitment); **reset/amendment** (amendment fee + margin step-up, often with tightened baskets, added reporting, or a sweep); **equity cure** if documented; **standstill/reservation of rights** while options are assessed. Note: accepting payment or staying silent after a known breach can prejudice rights — flag "reserve rights promptly" whenever a breach exists. **5. Early-warning indicators (qualitative).** Check: late or requalified financials, auditor change or going-concern language, CFO/management turnover, maxed revolver utilisation creep, stretched payables, delayed compliance certificates, adverse sector news. Two or more present → recommend watch-list consideration even with numeric compliance. ## Output Format ### Covenant review: [borrower / facility / test date] **1. Summary verdict** — compliant / early warning / breach, one paragraph. **2. Covenant table** — covenant | definition source | required | actual | headroom % | 4-quarter trend | status. **3. Trajectory analysis** — projected breach quarter and assumptions, per tightening covenant. **4. Early-warning indicators** — checklist with evidence. **5. Options & pricing implications** — if relevant: waiver / amend / cure / reserve rights, with trade-offs. **6. Recommendation** — grade/watch-list action, borrower conversation points, next review date. End with: *"This review is analytical support, not a credit or enforcement decision. Waivers, grading, and rights reservations follow your institution's credit policy and applicable regulation."* ## Quality Checks - [ ] Headroom computed with correct sign for max vs min covenants - [ ] Actuals recomputed from agreement definitions, or the reliance on borrower certificate is stated - [ ] Every <20%-headroom or 2-quarter-declining covenant has a trajectory projection with stated assumptions - [ ] Seasonality considered before a trend is called - [ ] Any existing breach triggers an explicit reservation-of-rights flag - [ ] Qualitative indicators reviewed, not just the numbers ## Anti-Patterns - [ ] Do not report compliance as a snapshot — a compliant covenant with three quarters of decay is the finding - [ ] Do not accept borrower add-backs without checking them against the agreement's EBITDA definition - [ ] Do not project a breach without stating the assumption the projection rides on - [ ] Do not stay silent on a known breach — flag reservation of rights immediately - [ ] Do not recommend a waiver without naming what the bank gets for it (fee, margin, information, structure) ## Example Trigger Phrases - "Review covenant compliance." - "Check covenant headroom." - "Assess a potential covenant breach." - "Prepare a quarterly borrower monitoring review."