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"http://www.commission-des-sondages.fr/notices/files/notices/2021/novembre/9238-elabe-bfmtv.pdf", "date_debut": "2021-11-10", "date_fin": "2021-11-10", "methode": "internet", "interroges": 1352, "premier_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand candidat de la droite", "base": "SV", "nspp": 11, "intentions_exprimees": 962, "intentions": { "Philippe Poutou": 2, "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 8, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Yannick Jadot": 7, "Emmanuel Macron": 25, "Xavier Bertrand": 13, "Jean Lassalle": 1, "François Asselineau": 0.5, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 2, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 0, "Florian Philippot": 0.5, "Marine Le Pen": 17, "Éric Zemmour": 14 } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse candidate de la droite", "base": "SV", "nspp": 12, "intentions_exprimees": 951, "intentions": { "Philippe Poutou": 2, "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 8, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Yannick Jadot": 7, 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"Emmanuel Macron": 30, "Éric Ciotti": 5, "Jean Lassalle": 1, "François Asselineau": 1, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 2, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 0, "Florian Philippot": 1, "Marine Le Pen": 17, "Éric Zemmour": 15 } }, { "hypothese": "Philippe Juvin candidat de la droite", "base": "SV", "nspp": 13, "intentions_exprimees": 940, "intentions": { "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 9, "Anne Hidalgo": 6, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Yannick Jadot": 8, "Emmanuel Macron": 29, "Philippe Juvin": 4, "Jean Lassalle": 1, "François Asselineau": 1, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 2, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 0, "Florian Philippot": 1, "Marine Le Pen": 18, "Éric Zemmour": 15 } } ], "second_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Marine Le Pen vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "SV", "nspp": 24, "intentions_exprimees": 822, "intentions": { "Marine Le Pen": 42, "Emmanuel Macron": 58 } }, { "hypothese": "Éric Zemmour vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "SV", "nspp": 29, "intentions_exprimees": 767, "intentions": { "Éric Zemmour": 35, "Emmanuel Macron": 65 } }, { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "SV", "nspp": 34, "intentions_exprimees": 713, "intentions": { "Xavier Bertrand": 45, "Emmanuel Macron": 55 } } ], "reports": [ { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [34, 16, 50], [49, 10, 41], [64, 6, 30], [98, 2, 0], [46, 21, 33], [1, 96, 3], [13, 68, 19], [36, 10, 54] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [38, 14, 48], [48, 6, 46], [68, 1, 31], [98, 2, 0], [51, 17, 32], [11, 49, 40], [4, 94, 2], [37, 4, 59] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [21, 22, 57], [47, 14, 39], [51, 15, 34], [97, 3, 0], [1, 99, 0], [10, 31, 59], [14, 44, 42], [22, 14, 64] ] } ] }, "20211108_harris": { "institut": "Harris interactive", "commanditaires": ["Challenges"], "source": "https://harris-interactive.fr/opinion_polls/barometre-dintentions-de-vote-pour-lelection-presidentielle-de-2022-vague-21/", "date_debut": "2021-11-05", "date_fin": "2021-11-08", "methode": "internet", "interroges": 2001, "premier_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand candidat de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 14, "intentions_exprimees": 1720, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 10, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Anne Hidalgo": 4, "Yannick Jadot": 8, "Emmanuel Macron": 23, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Xavier Bertrand": 14, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 1, "Florian Philippot": 1, "Marine Le Pen": 15, "Éric Zemmour": 18, "François Asselineau": 0, "Jean Lassalle": 0 }, "certitude": { "ensemble": 73, "detail": { "Marine Le Pen": 86, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 83, "Éric Zemmour": 82, "Emmanuel Macron": 78, "Yannick Jadot": 66, "Xavier Bertrand": 64, "Anne Hidalgo": 55 } } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse candidate de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 14, "intentions_exprimees": 1720, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 10, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Anne Hidalgo": 4, "Yannick Jadot": 9, "Emmanuel Macron": 24, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Valérie Pécresse": 10, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 2, "Florian Philippot": 1, "Marine Le Pen": 16, "Éric Zemmour": 18, "François Asselineau": 0, "Jean Lassalle": 0 } }, { "hypothese": "Michel Barnier candidat de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 14, "intentions_exprimees": 1720, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 10, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Anne Hidalgo": 4, "Yannick Jadot": 9, "Emmanuel Macron": 24, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Michel Barnier": 10, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 2, "Florian Philippot": 1, "Marine Le Pen": 15, "Éric Zemmour": 19, "François Asselineau": 0, "Jean Lassalle": 0 } } ], "second_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Éric Zemmour vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 31, "intentions_exprimees": 1380, "intentions": { "Éric Zemmour": 42, "Emmanuel Macron": 58 }, "certitude": { "ensemble": 86 } }, { "hypothese": "Marine Le Pen vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 31, "intentions_exprimees": 1380, "intentions": { "Marine Le Pen": 45, "Emmanuel Macron": 55 } }, { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 40, "intentions_exprimees": 1200, "intentions": { "Xavier Bertrand": 45, "Emmanuel Macron": 55 } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 42, "intentions_exprimees": 1160, "intentions": { "Valérie Pécresse": 43, "Emmanuel Macron": 57 } }, { "hypothese": "Michel Barnier vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 43, "intentions_exprimees": 1140, "intentions": { "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 42, "Emmanuel Macron": 58 } }, { "hypothese": "Jean-Luc Mélenchon vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 38, "intentions_exprimees": 1240, "intentions": { "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 37, "Emmanuel Macron": 63 } } ], "reports": [ { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [32, 12, 56], [50, 6, 44], [61, 3, 36], [94, 3, 3], [48, 21, 31], [10, 51, 39], [4, 95, 1] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [31, 18, 51], [50, 6, 44], [62, 1, 37], [93, 2, 5], [47, 19, 34], [3, 95, 2], [7, 72, 21] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [23, 15, 62], [42, 18, 40], [46, 16, 38], [95, 2, 3], [6, 93, 1], [10, 26, 64], [12, 38, 50] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Valérie Pécresse", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Valérie Pécresse", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [27, 8, 65], [36, 13, 51], [41, 20, 39], [93, 3, 4], [4, 95, 1], [9, 27, 64], [13, 42, 45] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Michel Barnier", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Michel Barnier", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [23, 17, 60], [34, 21, 45], [37, 15, 48], [94, 3, 3], [3, 94, 3], [9, 25, 66], [14, 37, 49] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [90, 3, 7], [30, 39, 31], [31, 40, 29], [5, 91, 4], [7, 52, 41], [27, 14, 59], [12, 27, 61] ] } ] }, "20211108_Odoxa": { "institut": "Odoxa", "commanditaires": ["Saegus", "L'Obs"], "source": "http://www.odoxa.fr/sondage/les-francais-et-le-big-three-nadal-le-prefere-federer-le-meilleur/", "date_debut": "2021-11-05", "date_fin": "2021-11-08", "methode": "internet", "interroges": 2756, "premier_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand candidat de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "SV", "nspp": 25, "intentions_exprimees": 1946, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 2, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 8.5, "Yannick Jadot": 6.5, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Anne Hidalgo": 4.5, "Emmanuel Macron": 25, "Jean Lassalle": 1.5, "Xavier Bertrand": 12, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 3, "Marine Le Pen": 18, "Éric Zemmour": 14 } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse candidate de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "SV", "nspp": 26, "intentions_exprimees": 1917, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 2.5, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 8.5, "Yannick Jadot": 6.5, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Emmanuel Macron": 25, "Jean Lassalle": 1.5, "Valérie Pécresse": 9, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 4, "Marine Le Pen": 18.5, "Éric Zemmour": 14.5 } }, { "hypothese": "Michel Barnier candidat de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "SV", "nspp": 25, "intentions_exprimees": 1932, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 2, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 9, "Yannick Jadot": 7, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2.5, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Emmanuel Macron": 25, "Jean Lassalle": 1, "Michel Barnier": 9, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 3, "Marine Le Pen": 19, "Éric Zemmour": 14.5 } } ] }, "20211105_ifop": { "institut": "Ifop", "commanditaires": ["LCI", "Le Figaro"], "source": "https://www.ifop.com/publication/barometre-de-lelection-presidentielle-vague-6/", "date_debut": "2021-11-03", "date_fin": "2021-11-05", "methode": "internet", "interroges": 1358, "premier_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand candidat de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 27, "intentions_exprimees": 988, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 0.5, "Philippe Poutou": 0.5, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 8.5, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2.5, "Yannick Jadot": 7, "Emmanuel Macron": 25, "Xavier Bertrand": 13, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 2.5, "Marine Le Pen": 16, "Éric Zemmour": 17, "Jean Lassalle": 0.5 } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse candidate de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 28, "intentions_exprimees": 978, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 0.5, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 8, "Anne Hidalgo": 6, "Arnaud Montebourg": 3, "Yannick Jadot": 7, "Emmanuel Macron": 26, "Valérie Pécresse": 9, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 3.5, "Marine Le Pen": 16.5, "Éric Zemmour": 16.5, "Jean Lassalle": 1 } }, { "hypothese": "Michel Barnier candidat de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 27.4, "intentions_exprimees": 986, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 0.5, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2.5, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 8, "Anne Hidalgo": 6, "Arnaud Montebourg": 3, "Yannick Jadot": 7, "Emmanuel Macron": 25, "Michel Barnier": 10, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 3, "Marine Le Pen": 17, "Éric Zemmour": 16.5, "Jean Lassalle": 0.5 } }, { "hypothese": "Éric Ciotti candidat de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 29.5, "intentions_exprimees": 958, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 0.5, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 8.5, "Anne Hidalgo": 6.5, "Arnaud Montebourg": 3.5, "Yannick Jadot": 7, "Emmanuel Macron": 29, "Éric Ciotti": 3, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 3, "Marine Le Pen": 17, "Éric Zemmour": 18, "Jean Lassalle": 1 } }, { "hypothese": "Philippe Juvin candidat de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 28.9, "intentions_exprimees": 966, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 0.5, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 9, "Anne Hidalgo": 6, "Arnaud Montebourg": 3.5, "Yannick Jadot": 7, "Emmanuel Macron": 28, "Philippe Juvin": 2, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 4, "Marine Le Pen": 18, "Éric Zemmour": 18, "Jean Lassalle": 1 } } ], "second_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Éric Zemmour vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 35.2, "intentions_exprimees": 880, "intentions": { "Éric Zemmour": 41, "Emmanuel Macron": 59 } }, { "hypothese": "Marine Le Pen vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 32.5, "intentions_exprimees": 916, "intentions": { "Marine Le Pen": 44, "Emmanuel Macron": 56 } }, { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 42.4, "intentions_exprimees": 782, "intentions": { "Xavier Bertrand": 49, "Emmanuel Macron": 51 } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 43.4, "intentions_exprimees": 769, "intentions": { "Valérie Pécresse": 45, "Emmanuel Macron": 55 } }, { "hypothese": "Michel Barnier vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 44.6, "intentions_exprimees": 573, "intentions": { "Michel Barnier": 44, "Emmanuel Macron": 56 } } ] }, "20211030_harris": { "institut": "Harris interactive", "commanditaires": ["Challenges"], "source": "http://www.commission-des-sondages.fr/notices/files/notices/2021/novembre/9231-p-hi-challenges-v20.pdf", "date_debut": "2021-10-28", "date_fin": "2021-10-30", "methode": "internet", "interroges": 2003, "premier_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand candidat de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 12, "intentions_exprimees": 1762, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 10, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Yannick Jadot": 8, "Emmanuel Macron": 23, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Xavier Bertrand": 14, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 1, "Florian Philippot": 1, "Marine Le Pen": 15, "Éric Zemmour": 17, "François Asselineau": 0, "Jean Lassalle": 0 }, "certitude": { "ensemble": 73, "detail": { "Marine Le Pen": 83, "Emmanuel Macron": 81, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 78, "Éric Zemmour": 76, "Xavier Bertrand": 67, "Anne Hidalgo": 62, "Yannick Jadot": 54 } } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse candidate de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 14, "intentions_exprimees": 1722, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 10, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Yannick Jadot": 9, "Emmanuel Macron": 24, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Valérie Pécresse": 10, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 2, "Florian Philippot": 1, "Marine Le Pen": 16, "Éric Zemmour": 17, "François Asselineau": 0, "Jean Lassalle": 0 } }, { "hypothese": "Michel Barnier candidat de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 15, "intentions_exprimees": 1702, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 10, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Yannick Jadot": 9, "Emmanuel Macron": 24, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Michel Barnier": 9, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 2, "Florian Philippot": 1, "Marine Le Pen": 16, "Éric Zemmour": 18, "François Asselineau": 0, "Jean Lassalle": 0 } } ], "second_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Éric Zemmour vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 33, "intentions_exprimees": 1342, "intentions": { "Éric Zemmour": 43, "Emmanuel Macron": 57 }, "certitude": { "ensemble": 87 } }, { "hypothese": "Marine Le Pen vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 31, "intentions_exprimees": 1382, "intentions": { "Marine Le Pen": 46, "Emmanuel Macron": 54 } }, { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 39, "intentions_exprimees": 1221, "intentions": { "Xavier Bertrand": 46, "Emmanuel Macron": 54 } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 42, "intentions_exprimees": 1161, "intentions": { "Valérie Pécresse": 43, "Emmanuel Macron": 57 } }, { "hypothese": "Jean-Luc Mélenchon vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 40, "intentions_exprimees": 1201, "intentions": { "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 38, "Emmanuel Macron": 62 } } ], "reports": [ { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [29, 14, 57], [43, 10, 47], [47, 5, 48], [95, 2, 3], [36, 27, 37], [12, 46, 42], [2, 96, 2] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [30, 24, 46], [50, 7, 43], [49, 5, 46], [95, 2, 3], [31, 26, 43], [2, 93, 5], [9, 73, 18] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [26, 16, 58], [37, 21, 42], [38, 14, 48], [95, 2, 3], [3, 97, 0], [14, 24, 62], [13, 38, 49] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Valérie Pécresse", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Valérie Pécresse", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [23, 20, 57], [39, 17, 44], [36, 15, 49], [93, 4, 3], [2, 96, 2], [10, 23, 67], [12, 41, 47] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [93, 3, 4], [34, 38, 28], [40, 27, 33], [4, 93, 3], [5, 40, 55], [22, 17, 61], [9, 32, 59] ] } ] }, "20211027_elabe": { "institut": "Elabe", "commanditaires": ["BFM TV", "SFR"], "source": "http://www.commission-des-sondages.fr/notices/files/notices/2021/octobre/9230-p-elabe-bfm-l-express.pdf", "date_debut": "2021-10-25", "date_fin": "2021-10-27", "methode": "internet", "interroges": 1200, "premier_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand candidat de la droite", "base": "SV", "nspp": 12, "intentions_exprimees": 834, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 7, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Arnaud Montebourg": 3, "Yannick Jadot": 6, "Emmanuel Macron": 23, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Xavier Bertrand": 13, "Jean Lassalle": 1, "François Asselineau": 0, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 3, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 0, "Florian Philippot": 1, "Marine Le Pen": 19, "Éric Zemmour": 15 }, "certitude": { "ensemble": 60, "detail": { "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 60, "Anne Hidalgo": 49, "Yannick Jadot": 53, "Emmanuel Macron": 69, "Xavier Bertrand": 58, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 54, "Marine Le Pen": 77, "Éric Zemmour": 70, "Non exprimés": 35 } } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse candidate de la droite", "base": "SV", "nspp": 13, "intentions_exprimees": 824, "intentions": { "Philippe Poutou": 2, "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 6, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Arnaud Montebourg": 3, "Yannick Jadot": 8, "Emmanuel Macron": 24, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Valérie Pécresse": 10, "Jean Lassalle": 2, "François Asselineau": 0, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 2, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 0, "Florian Philippot": 0, "Marine Le Pen": 19, "Éric Zemmour": 16 }, "certitude": { "ensemble": 59, "detail": { "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 67, "Anne Hidalgo": 49, "Yannick Jadot": 42, "Emmanuel Macron": 71, "Valérie Pécresse": 47, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 57, "Marine Le Pen": 76, "Éric Zemmour": 63, "Non exprimés": 39 } } }, { "hypothese": "Michel Barnier candidat de la droite", "base": "SV", "nspp": 13, "intentions_exprimees": 824, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 0, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 7, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Arnaud Montebourg": 3, "Yannick Jadot": 7, "Emmanuel Macron": 26, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 1, "Michel Barnier": 8, "Jean Lassalle": 2, "François Asselineau": 0, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 3, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 1, "Florian Philippot": 0, "Marine Le Pen": 19, "Éric Zemmour": 15 }, "certitude": { "ensemble": 59, "detail": { "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 61, "Anne Hidalgo": 45, "Yannick Jadot": 47, "Emmanuel Macron": 68, "Michel Barnier": 57, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 39, "Marine Le Pen": 78, "Éric Zemmour": 69, "Non exprimés": 40 } } } ], "second_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Marine Le Pen vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "SV", "nspp": 24, "intentions_exprimees": 720, "intentions": { "Marine Le Pen": 45, "Emmanuel Macron": 55 } }, { "hypothese": "Éric Zemmour vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "SV", "nspp": 30, "intentions_exprimees": 663, "intentions": { "Éric Zemmour": 39, "Emmanuel Macron": 61 } } ], "reports": [ { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [35, 24, 41], [49, 8, 43], [62, 9, 29], [97, 2, 1], [49, 15, 36], [13, 61, 26], [1, 97, 2], [16, 65, 19], [31, 13, 56] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [34, 19, 47], [50, 3, 47], [60, 8, 32], [98, 1, 1], [44, 21, 35], [18, 28, 54], [12, 47, 41], [5, 94, 1], [32, 5, 63] ] } ] }, "20211025_harris": { "institut": "Harris interactive", "commanditaires": ["Challenges"], "source": "http://www.commission-des-sondages.fr/notices/files/notices/2021/octobre/9228-p-hi-challenges-v19.pdf", "date_debut": "2021-10-22", "date_fin": "2021-10-25", "methode": "internet", "interroges": 2060, "premier_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand candidat de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 12, "intentions_exprimees": 1812, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 10, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Yannick Jadot": 8, "Emmanuel Macron": 23, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Xavier Bertrand": 14, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 1, "Florian Philippot": 0, "Marine Le Pen": 16, "Éric Zemmour": 17, "François Asselineau": 0, "Jean Lassalle": 0 }, "certitude": { "ensemble": 73, "detail": { "Marine Le Pen": 84, "Éric Zemmour": 80, "Emmanuel Macron": 79, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 76, "Xavier Bertrand": 66, "Yannick Jadot": 70, "Anne Hidalgo": 50 } } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse candidate de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 15, "intentions_exprimees": 1751, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 10, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Yannick Jadot": 9, "Emmanuel Macron": 25, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Valérie Pécresse": 10, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 2, "Florian Philippot": 0, "Marine Le Pen": 16, "Éric Zemmour": 17, "François Asselineau": 0, "Jean Lassalle": 0 } }, { "hypothese": "Michel Barnier candidat de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 14, "intentions_exprimees": 1771, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 10, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Anne Hidalgo": 6, "Yannick Jadot": 9, "Emmanuel Macron": 25, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Michel Barnier": 8, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 2, "Florian Philippot": 0, "Marine Le Pen": 16, "Éric Zemmour": 18, "François Asselineau": 0, "Jean Lassalle": 0 } } ], "second_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Éric Zemmour vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 31, "intentions_exprimees": 1421, "intentions": { "Éric Zemmour": 42, "Emmanuel Macron": 58 }, "certitude": { "ensemble": 86 } }, { "hypothese": "Marine Le Pen vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 30, "intentions_exprimees": 1442, "intentions": { "Marine Le Pen": 45, "Emmanuel Macron": 55 } }, { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 40, "intentions_exprimees": 1236, "intentions": { "Xavier Bertrand": 46, "Emmanuel Macron": 54 } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 41, "intentions_exprimees": 1215, "intentions": { "Valérie Pécresse": 42, "Emmanuel Macron": 58 } }, { "hypothese": "Jean-Luc Mélenchon vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 38, "intentions_exprimees": 1277, "intentions": { "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 38, "Emmanuel Macron": 62 } } ], "reports": [ { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [34, 16, 50], [47, 6, 47], [47, 7, 46], [96, 2, 2], [43, 24, 33], [13, 50, 37], [2, 97, 1] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [33, 20, 47], [51, 8, 41], [45, 8, 47], [98, 0, 2], [41, 26, 33], [4, 92, 4], [11, 71, 18] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [28, 21, 51], [35, 18, 47], [33, 20, 47], [96, 2, 2], [3, 96, 1], [15, 25, 60], [10, 38, 52] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Valérie Pécresse", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Valérie Pécresse", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [24, 20, 56], [36, 20, 44], [35, 22, 43], [94, 4, 2], [4, 94, 2], [14, 24, 62], [10, 38, 52] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [88, 8, 4], [37, 34, 29], [39, 31 ,30], [2, 95, 3], [11, 46, 43], [26, 17, 57], [13, 26, 61] ] } ] }, "20211020_opinionway": { "institut": "Opinionway", "commanditaires": [ "Les Echos", "C News", "Radio classique" ], "source": "http://www.commission-des-sondages.fr/notices/files/notices/2021/octobre/9227-p-ow-presi-track-v-2-les-echos.pdf", "date_debut": "2021-10-18", "date_fin": "2021-10-20", "methode": "internet", "interroges": 1035, "premier_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand sans Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 19, "intentions_exprimees": 838, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 8, "Arnaud Montebourg": 3, "Anne Hidalgo": 6, "Yannick Jadot": 8, "Emmanuel Macron": 26, "Xavier Bertrand": 13, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 6, "Marine Le Pen": 26 } }, { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand et Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 17, "intentions_exprimees": 859, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 9, "Arnaud Montebourg": 3, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Yannick Jadot": 8, "Emmanuel Macron": 25, "Xavier Bertrand": 12, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 3, "Éric Zemmour": 13, "Marine Le Pen": 18 } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse et Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 19, "intentions_exprimees": 838, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 9, "Arnaud Montebourg": 4, "Yannick Jadot": 8, "Anne Hidalgo": 7, "Emmanuel Macron": 25, "Valérie Pécresse": 8, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 3, "Éric Zemmour": 13, "Marine Le Pen": 19 } }, { "hypothese": "Michel Barnier et Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 17, "intentions_exprimees": 859, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 9, "Arnaud Montebourg": 3, "Anne Hidalgo": 6, "Yannick Jadot": 8, "Emmanuel Macron": 26, "Michel Barnier": 8, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 3, "Éric Zemmour": 13, "Marine Le Pen": 20 } } ], "second_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Marine Le Pen vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 37, "intentions_exprimees": 652, "intentions": { "Marine Le Pen": 42, "Emmanuel Macron": 58 } } ], "reports": [ { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Yannick Jadot", "Anne Hidalgo", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Éric Zemmour", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [26, 14, 60], [53, 5, 42], [57, 3, 40], [99, 0, 1], [32, 19, 49], [6, 58, 36], [1, 95, 4], [17, 4, 79] ] } ] }, "20211018_harris": { "institut": "Harris interactive", "commanditaires": ["Challenges"], "source": "http://www.commission-des-sondages.fr/notices/files/notices/2021/octobre/9225-p-hi-challenges-v18.pdf", "date_debut": "2021-10-15", "date_fin": "2021-10-18", "methode": "internet", "interroges": 2006, "premier_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand candidat de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 14, "intentions_exprimees": 1725, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, 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17, "François Asselineau": 0, "Jean Lassalle": 0 } }, { "hypothese": "Michel Barnier candidat de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 15, "intentions_exprimees": 1705, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 10, "Arnaud Montebourg": 3, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Yannick Jadot": 9, "Emmanuel Macron": 25, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Michel Barnier": 8, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 2, "Florian Philippot": 0, "Marine Le Pen": 16, "Éric Zemmour": 18, "François Asselineau": 0, "Jean Lassalle": 0 } } ], "second_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Éric Zemmour vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 33, "intentions_exprimees": 1344, "intentions": { "Éric Zemmour": 43, "Emmanuel Macron": 57 }, "certitude": { "ensemble": 86 } }, { "hypothese": "Marine Le Pen vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 33, "intentions_exprimees": 1344, "intentions": { "Marine Le Pen": 46, "Emmanuel Macron": 54 } }, { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand vs 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Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 11, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Yannick Jadot": 7, "Emmanuel Macron": 25, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Xavier Bertrand": 15, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 4, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 0, "Florian Philippot": 1, "Marine Le Pen": 26, "François Asselineau": 0, "Jean Lassalle": 0 } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse candidate de la droite", "base": "I", "nspp": 19, "intentions_exprimees": 851, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 11, "Arnaud Montebourg": 3, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Yannick Jadot": 8, "Emmanuel Macron": 27, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Valérie Pécresse": 11, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 4, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 0, "Florian Philippot": 1, "Marine Le Pen": 26, "François Asselineau": 0, "Jean Lassalle": 0 } }, { "hypothese": "Michel Barnier candidat de la droite", "base": "I", "nspp": 19, "intentions_exprimees": 851, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 11, "Arnaud Montebourg": 3, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Yannick Jadot": 8, "Emmanuel Macron": 28, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Michel Barnier": 9, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 4, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 0, "Florian Philippot": 1, "Marine Le Pen": 27, "François Asselineau": 0, "Jean Lassalle": 0 } } ], "second_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Éric Zemmour vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 33, "intentions_exprimees": 704, "intentions": { "Éric Zemmour": 43, "Emmanuel Macron": 57 }, "certitude": { "ensemble": 87 } }, { "hypothese": "Marine Le Pen vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 30, "intentions_exprimees": 735, "intentions": { "Marine Le Pen": 46, "Emmanuel Macron": 54 } }, { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 44, "intentions_exprimees": 588, "intentions": { "Xavier Bertrand": 48, "Emmanuel Macron": 52 } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 43, "intentions_exprimees": 599, "intentions": { "Valérie Pécresse": 44, "Emmanuel Macron": 56 } }, { "hypothese": "Jean-Luc Mélenchon vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 39, "intentions_exprimees": 641, "intentions": { "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 38, "Emmanuel Macron": 62 } } ], "reports": [ { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [29, 15, 56], [45, 5, 50], [46, 6, 48], [95, 3, 2], [47, 25, 28], [11, 55, 34], [1, 96, 3] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [30, 19, 51], [42, 22, 36], [43, 10, 47], [93, 6, 1], [52, 18, 30], [1, 92, 7], [8, 77, 15] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [23, 31, 46], [45, 16, 39], [25, 27, 48], [95, 3, 2], [6, 88, 6], [7, 35, 58], [7, 32, 61] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Valérie Pécresse", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Valérie Pécresse", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [29, 22, 49], [41, 14, 45], [29, 12, 59], [95, 1, 4], [5, 91, 4], [7, 41, 52], [9, 39, 52] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [92, 4, 4], [32, 39, 29], [51, 25, 24], [1, 96, 3], [5, 53, 42], [28, 15, 57], [9, 21, 70] ] } ] }, "20211006_ifop": { "institut": "Ifop", "commanditaires": ["Sud Radio"], "source": "http://www.commission-des-sondages.fr/notices/files/notices/2021/octobre/9220-p-ifop-sud-radio.pdf", "date_debut": "2021-10-05", "date_fin": "2021-10-06", "methode": "internet", "interroges": 921, "premier_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand candidat de la droite avec Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 23.9, "intentions_exprimees": 701, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 0.5, "Philippe Poutou": 0.5, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 7, "Anne Hidalgo": 6, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Yannick Jadot": 8, "Emmanuel Macron": 25, "Xavier Bertrand": 16, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 2, "Marine Le Pen": 16, "Éric Zemmour": 14, "Jean Lassalle": 1 } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse candidate de la droite et Éric Zemmour", "base": "I", "nspp": 25.6, "intentions_exprimees": 685, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 0.5, "Philippe Poutou": 0.5, "Fabien Roussel": 1.5, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 8, "Anne Hidalgo": 6, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2.5, "Yannick Jadot": 8, "Emmanuel Macron": 26, "Valérie Pécresse": 11, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 3, "Marine Le Pen": 18, "Éric Zemmour": 14, "Jean Lassalle": 1 } } ] }, "20211006_elabe": { "institut": "Elabe", "commanditaires": ["BFM TV"], "source": "https://elabe.fr/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/pr2022.pdf", "date_debut": "2021-10-05", "date_fin": "2021-10-06", "methode": "internet", "interroges": 1204, "premier_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand candidat de la droite", "base": "SV", "nspp": 14, "intentions_exprimees": 797, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 8, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Yannick Jadot": 10, "Emmanuel Macron": 25, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 1, "Xavier Bertrand": 14, "Jean Lassalle": 2, "François Asselineau": 1, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 4, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 0, "Florian Philippot": 1, "Marine Le Pen": 23 } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse candidate de la droite", "base": "SV", "nspp": 16, "intentions_exprimees": 778, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 8, "Anne Hidalgo": 4, "Arnaud Montebourg": 1, "Yannick Jadot": 10, "Emmanuel Macron": 27, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 1, "Valérie Pécresse": 11, "Jean Lassalle": 2, "François Asselineau": 1, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 5, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 1, "Florian Philippot": 1, "Marine Le Pen": 24 } }, { "hypothese": "Michel Barnier candidat de la droite", "base": "SV", "nspp": 16, "intentions_exprimees": 778, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 8, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Yannick Jadot": 11, "Emmanuel Macron": 29, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Michel Barnier": 8, "Jean Lassalle": 2, "François Asselineau": 1, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 4, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 0, "Florian Philippot": 1, "Marine Le Pen": 25 } }, { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand candidat de la droite et Éric Zemmour candidat", "base": "SV", "nspp": 14, "intentions_exprimees": 797, "intentions": { "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 7, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Arnaud Montebourg": 1, "Yannick Jadot": 9, "Emmanuel Macron": 25, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 1, "Xavier Bertrand": 13, "Jean Lassalle": 1, "François Asselineau": 1, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 3, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 0, "Florian Philippot": 1, "Marine Le Pen": 16, "Éric Zemmour": 13 } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse candidate de la droite et Éric Zemmour candidat", "base": "SV", "nspp": 15, "intentions_exprimees": 788, "intentions": { "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 8, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Yannick Jadot": 9, "Emmanuel Macron": 27, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Valérie Pécresse": 8, "Jean Lassalle": 1, "François Asselineau": 1, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 3, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 0, "Florian Philippot": 1, "Marine Le Pen": 17, "Éric Zemmour": 14 } }, { "hypothese": "Michel Barnier candidat de la droite et Éric Zemmour candidat", "base": "SV", "nspp": 15, "intentions_exprimees": 788, "intentions": { "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 8, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Yannick Jadot": 9, "Emmanuel Macron": 28, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Michel Barnier": 5, "Jean Lassalle": 1, "François Asselineau": 1, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 4, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 0, "Florian Philippot": 1, "Marine Le Pen": 18, "Éric Zemmour": 14 } } ], "second_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Marine Le Pen vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "SV", "nspp": 29, "intentions_exprimees": 658, "intentions": { "Marine Le Pen": 40, "Emmanuel Macron": 60 } }, { "hypothese": "Éric Zemmour vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "SV", "nspp": 29, "intentions_exprimees": 658, "intentions": { "Éric Zemmour": 37, "Emmanuel Macron": 63 } }, { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "SV", "nspp": 35, "intentions_exprimees": 602, "intentions": { "Xavier Bertrand": 47, "Emmanuel Macron": 53 } } ], "reports": [ { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [27, 16, 57], [62, 0, 38], [52, 5, 43], [98, 2, 0], [48, 19, 33], [14, 45, 41], [1, 96, 3], [10, 69, 21], [28, 8, 64] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Valérie Pécresse", "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [36, 14, 50], [57, 0, 43], [51, 4, 45], [97, 2, 1], [43, 24, 33], [18, 32, 50], [2, 95, 3], [12, 67, 21], [26, 9, 65] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Michel Barnier", "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [34, 15, 51], [54, 2, 44], [53, 5, 42], [98, 1, 1], [50, 17, 33], [23, 36, 41], [2, 95, 3], [11, 68, 21], [27, 8, 65] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [36, 13, 51], [65, 0, 35], [49, 3, 48], [99, 1, 0], [44, 25, 31], [24, 43, 33], [14, 48, 38], [4, 96, 0], [31, 13, 56] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Valérie Pécresse", "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [44, 12, 44], [60, 0, 40], [47, 4, 49], [98, 2, 0], [46, 30, 24], [22, 29, 49], [15, 47, 38], [5, 95, 0], [27, 13, 60] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Michel Barnier", "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [41, 11, 48], [60, 3, 37], [50, 4, 46], [98, 2, 0], [47, 31, 22], [29, 39, 32], [13, 50, 37], [2, 95, 3], [31, 11, 58] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [25, 30, 45], [51, 14, 35], [33, 18, 49], [98, 2, 0], [3, 97, 0], [17, 42, 41], [13, 27, 60], [8, 50, 42], [19, 18, 63] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Valérie Pécresse", "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [27, 28, 45], [47, 15, 38], [32, 16, 52], [85, 12, 3], [14, 76, 10], [14, 62, 24], [12, 29, 59], [8, 50, 42], [19, 27, 54] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Michel Barnier", "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [24, 29, 47], [45, 15, 40], [34, 18, 48], [88, 12, 0], [18, 78, 4], [17, 45, 38], [11, 35, 54], [7, 50, 43], [16, 30, 54] ] } ] }, "20211004_harris": { "institut": "Harris interactive", "commanditaires": ["Challenges"], "source": "http://harris-interactive.fr/wp-content/uploads/sites/6/2021/10/Rapport-Harris-Vague-16-Intentions-de-vote-Presidentielle-2022-Challenges.pdf", "date_debut": "2021-10-01", "date_fin": "2021-10-04", "methode": "internet", "interroges": 1062, "premier_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand candidat de la droite", "base": "I", "nspp": 15, "intentions_exprimees": 902, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 11, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Anne Hidalgo": 6, "Yannick Jadot": 6, "Emmanuel Macron": 24, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Xavier Bertrand": 13, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 2, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 0, "Florian Philippot": 0, "Marine Le Pen": 15, "Éric Zemmour": 17, "François Asselineau": 0, "Jean Lassalle": 0 }, "certitude": { "ensemble": 72, "detail": { "Marine Le Pen": 82, "Emmanuel Macron": 80, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 77, "Éric Zemmour": 75, "Anne Hidalgo": 59, "Xavier Bertrand": 56, "Yannick Jadot": 55 } } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse candidate de la droite", "base": "I", "nspp": 15, "intentions_exprimees": 902, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 11, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Anne Hidalgo": 6, "Yannick Jadot": 7, "Emmanuel Macron": 25, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Valérie Pécresse": 11, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 2, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 0, "Florian Philippot": 0, "Marine Le Pen": 15, "Éric Zemmour": 17, "François Asselineau": 0, "Jean Lassalle": 0 } }, { "hypothese": "Michel Barnier candidat de la droite", "base": "I", "nspp": 16, "intentions_exprimees": 892, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 1, "Philippe Poutou": 1, "Fabien Roussel": 2, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 11, "Arnaud Montebourg": 2, "Anne Hidalgo": 6, "Yannick Jadot": 7, "Emmanuel Macron": 27, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 0, "Michel Barnier": 7, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 2, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 0, "Florian Philippot": 0, "Marine Le Pen": 16, "Éric Zemmour": 18, "François Asselineau": 0, "Jean Lassalle": 0 } } ], "second_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Éric Zemmour vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 34, "intentions_exprimees": 700, "intentions": { "Éric Zemmour": 45, "Emmanuel Macron": 55 }, "certitude": { "ensemble": 88 } }, { "hypothese": "Marine Le Pen vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 30, "intentions_exprimees": 743, "intentions": { "Marine Le Pen": 47, "Emmanuel Macron": 53 } }, { "hypothese": "Xavier Bertrand vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 39, "intentions_exprimees": 647, "intentions": { "Xavier Bertrand": 49, "Emmanuel Macron": 51 } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 42, "intentions_exprimees": 615, "intentions": { "Valérie Pécresse": 43, "Emmanuel Macron": 57 } }, { "hypothese": "Jean-Luc Mélenchon vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 38, "intentions_exprimees": 658, "intentions": { "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 37, "Emmanuel Macron": 63 } } ], "reports": [ { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Éric Zemmour", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [28, 21, 51], [58, 3, 39], [38, 11, 51], [96, 2, 2], [29, 38, 33], [16, 41, 43], [2, 98, 0] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [28, 21, 51], [51, 6, 43], [38, 18, 44], [97, 2, 1], [32, 33, 35], [2, 96, 2], [12, 66, 22] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [22, 19, 59], [35, 32, 33], [30, 23, 47], [93, 4, 3], [5, 92, 3], [9, 30, 61], [14, 45, 41] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Valérie Pécresse", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Valérie Pécresse", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [22, 23, 55], [35, 23, 42], [31 ,18, 51], [93, 3, 4], [6, 94, 0], [10, 27, 63], [17, 39, 44] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Marine Le Pen", "Éric Zemmour"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [89, 5, 6], [30, 42, 28], [44, 28, 28], [3, 95, 2], [11, 40, 49], [21, 16, 63], [10, 32, 58] ] } ] }, "20211001_ifop": { "institut": "Ifop", "commanditaires": ["LCI", "Le Figaro"], "source": "http://www.commission-des-sondages.fr/notices/files/notices/2021/octobre/9216-p-ifop-le-figaro-v4.pdf", "date_debut": "2021-09-29", "date_fin": "2021-10-01", "methode": "internet", "interroges": 1351, 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[1, 96, 3], [31, 8, 61] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Valérie Pécresse", "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [24, 14, 62], [59, 0, 41], [56, 9, 35], [96, 1, 3], [48, 24, 28], [3, 65, 32], [1, 96, 3], [31, 8, 61] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Laurent Wauquiez", "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [26, 10, 64], [55, 1, 44], [55, 11, 34], [97, 3, 0], [42, 25, 33], [5, 71, 24], [1, 97, 2], [31, 7, 62] ] } ] }, "20210628_harris": { "institut": "Harris interactive", "commanditaires": ["Challenges"], "methode": "internet", "source": 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"Xavier Bertrand candidat de la droite", "base": "I", "nspp": 16, "intentions_exprimees": 1517, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 0, "Philippe Poutou": 2, "Fabien Roussel": 1, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 11, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Yannick Jadot": 6, "Emmanuel Macron": 25, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 1, "Xavier Bertrand": 15, "Jean Lassalle": 2, "François Asselineau": 1, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 5, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 0, "Marine Le Pen": 26 }, "certitude": { "ensemble": 56, "detail": { "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 64, "Anne Hidalgo": 35, "Yannick Jadot": 37, "Emmanuel Macron": 62, "Xavier Bertrand": 52, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 33, "Marine Le Pen": 81, "Abstention": 33 } } }, { "hypothese": "Valérie Pécresse candidate de la droite", "base": "I", "nspp": 17, "intentions_exprimees": 1498, "intentions": { "Nathalie Arthaud": 0, "Philippe Poutou": 2, "Fabien Roussel": 1, "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 11, "Anne Hidalgo": 5, "Yannick Jadot": 5, "Emmanuel Macron": 27, "Jean-Christophe Lagarde": 2, "Valérie Pécresse": 9, "Jean Lassalle": 3, "François Asselineau": 1, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 6, "Jean-Frédéric Poisson": 0, "Marine Le Pen": 28 }, "certitude": { "ensemble": 55, "detail": { "Jean-Luc Mélenchon": 62, "Anne Hidalgo": 40, "Yannick Jadot": 42, "Emmanuel Macron": 60, "Valérie Pécresse": 48, "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan": 33, "Marine Le Pen": 81, "Abstention": 35 } } } ], "second_tour": [ { "hypothese": "Marine Le Pen vs Emmanuel Macron", "base": "I", "nspp": 26, "intentions_exprimees": 1336, "intentions": { "Marine Le Pen": 44, "Emmanuel Macron": 56 } } ], "reports": [ { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Xavier Bertrand", "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [24, 19, 57], [61, 4, 35], [64, 2, 34], [99, 0, 1], [38, 28, 34], [19, 61, 20], [1, 96, 3], [30, 13, 57] ] }, { "candidats_1er_tour": ["Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Anne Hidalgo", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Valérie Pécresse", "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "candidats_2nd_tour": ["Emmanuel Macron", "Marine Le Pen", "Non exprimés"], "reports": [ [25, 18, 57], [65, 4, 31], [63, 1, 36], [98, 1, 1], [38, 28, 34], [16, 62, 22], [3, 95, 2], [28, 13, 59] ] } ] } }, "candidats": [ "Non exprimés", "Extrême Gauche", "Nathalie Arthaud", "Philippe Poutou", "Fabien Roussel", "Jean-Luc Mélenchon", "Arnaud Montebourg", "Anne Hidalgo", "Sandrine Rousseau", "Yannick Jadot", "Emmanuel Macron", "Jean-Christophe Lagarde", "Jean-Frédéric Poisson", "Jean Lassalle", "Xavier Bertrand", "François Baroin", "Valérie Pécresse", "Laurent Wauquiez", "Michel Barnier", "Éric Ciotti", "Philippe Juvin", "Denis Payre", "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan", "Florian Philippot", "François Asselineau", "Éric Zemmour", "Marine Le Pen", "Hélène Thouy", "Christiane Taubira" ] }