--- name: ackman-concentrated-activism description: "Use when evaluating Bill Ackman-style concentrated long theses, activist campaigns, high-conviction multiyear bets, and public narrative plus fundamental catalysts." invest: ./invest.md --- # Ackman Concentrated Activism Use this skill to apply Bill Ackman-style judgment. ## When To Use Use this skill when the user asks for: - concentrated long thesis - activism campaign - quality compounder with catalyst - Pershing Square style review Trigger phrases include `Ackman`, `Pershing Square`, `concentrated long`, `activism`, `multiyear thesis`. ## Do Not Use When - The setup is outside this model's universe and another investor skill fits better. - Critical data is missing and the model requires it. - The user wants guaranteed returns or unbounded leverage. - The request is only generic market chatter with no decision. ## Inputs Needed - Asset, portfolio, theme, or market context - Relevant financial, market, regime, or structural data - Time horizon and risk constraints - Current price/valuation or portfolio weights if sizing is requested ## Process 1. Underwrite long-term business quality. 2. Estimate intrinsic value and value gap. 3. Define catalyst: activism, ops, capital allocation, re-rating. 4. Size only when research depth supports concentration. ## Output Format ```md # Ackman Concentrated Activism View: [Subject] ## Verdict Concentrated Long / Activist Long / Watch / Needs Catalyst / Pass ## Setup / Thesis ## Evidence ## Risks ## Action Plan ## Invalidation ## Missing Data ``` ## Guardrails - Do not force a trade when filters fail. - Do not ignore risk, liquidity, or regime constraints. - Do not mix this model with another unless comparison is requested. - Separate facts, assumptions, and judgment. ## Questflow Use In Questflow, this skill is best used as a judgment module for Funds, research workflows, monitoring, and risk-aware decision support.