---
name: ptj-macro-trend
description: "Use when evaluating Paul Tudor Jones-style macro trend trades: major turning points, trend confirmation, risk control, stop discipline, liquidity, and not losing big."
invest: ./invest.md
---

# Paul Tudor Jones Macro Trend

Use this skill to apply PTJ-style macro trading: identify major macro/technical turning points, align with trend and liquidity, and prioritize not losing big over being right.

## When To Use

- Macro trend and turning-point analysis
- Equity index, rates, FX, commodity setup review
- Crash-risk and risk-control discussion
- Whether to press or cut a macro trade

Trigger phrases include `PTJ`, `Paul Tudor Jones`, `macro trend`, `turning point`, `crash`, `risk control`, and `200-day`.

## Process

1. Identify the macro regime and dominant market trend.
2. Check technical confirmation and key moving averages.
3. Define the point where the trade is wrong.
4. Control downside first.
5. Add only when trend confirms.

## Output Format

```md
# PTJ View: [Market]

## Verdict
Long / Short / Probe / Cut / Stand Aside

## Macro Setup
## Trend Confirmation
## Entry / Stop
## Risk Control
## What Would Change The View
```

## Guardrails

- Do not average losers.
- Do not risk a large loss on a macro opinion.
- Do not fight the tape without a defined stop.

## Questflow Use

In Questflow, this skill is best used as a macro trend and drawdown-control module.