--- name: price-elasticity-calculator description: "A methodology for calculating price elasticity and deriving optimal pricing. Use this skill for 'price elasticity', 'demand elasticity', 'price change impact', 'optimal price derivation', 'price increase simulation', and other price change analysis needs. However, econometric model construction and real-time dynamic pricing engines are outside the scope of this skill." --- # Price Elasticity Calculator — Price Elasticity Analysis + Optimal Pricing A skill that enhances the pricing analysis capabilities of pricing-simulator and competitive-analyst. ## Target Agents - **pricing-simulator** — Quantitatively analyzes the impact of price change scenarios - **competitive-analyst** — Analyzes cross-price elasticity of competitor price changes ## Price Elasticity Core Formulas ### Price Elasticity of Demand (PED) ``` PED = (% Change in Quantity Demanded) / (% Change in Price) = (dQ/Q) / (dP/P) Midpoint Formula (more accurate): PED = [(Q2-Q1)/((Q1+Q2)/2)] / [(P2-P1)/((P1+P2)/2)] Interpretation: |PED| > 1: Elastic — demand is sensitive to price changes |PED| = 1: Unit elastic — no change in revenue |PED| < 1: Inelastic — demand is insensitive to price changes Example: 10% price increase, 15% demand decrease PED = -15% / 10% = -1.5 (elastic) ``` ### Cross-Price Elasticity (XED) ``` XED = (% Change in Own Demand) / (% Change in Competitor Price) Interpretation: XED > 0: Substitute relationship (competitor price up → own demand up) XED < 0: Complement relationship XED ≈ 0: Unrelated Example: Competitor price increase 20%, own demand increase 10% XED = 10% / 20% = 0.5 (weak substitute) ``` ## Industry Elasticity Benchmarks | Industry/Product | PED Range | Characteristics | |-----------------|-----------|-----------------| | SaaS (Enterprise) | -0.5 to -1.0 | Inelastic (high switching costs) | | SaaS (Consumer) | -1.0 to -2.0 | Elastic (many alternatives) | | E-commerce (General) | -1.5 to -2.5 | Elastic (easy price comparison) | | E-commerce (Luxury) | -0.5 to -1.0 | Inelastic (brand loyalty) | | Groceries (Essentials) | -0.1 to -0.5 | Very inelastic | | Dining Out | -1.0 to -2.0 | Elastic | | Mobile Apps | -2.0 to -3.0 | Very elastic | ## Optimal Price Derivation ### Revenue-Maximizing Price ``` Revenue R = P x Q(P) Demand function: Q(P) = a - b*P (linear assumption) Optimal price P* = a / (2b) Example: Q = 10,000 - 50P (monthly demand) P* = 10,000 / (2x50) = 100 Q* = 10,000 - 50x100 = 5,000 R* = 100 x 5,000 = 500,000 ``` ### Profit-Maximizing Price ``` Profit pi = (P - C) x Q(P) C = unit variable cost Optimal price P* = (a + b*C) / (2b) Example: Q = 10,000 - 50P, unit variable cost C = 30 P* = (10,000 + 50x30) / (2x50) = 115 Q* = 10,000 - 50x115 = 4,250 pi* = (115-30) x 4,250 = 361,250 ``` ## Price Change Simulation ### Scenario Analysis Template ``` Current State: Price: P0 = $100 Demand: Q0 = 5,000 units/month Revenue: R0 = $500,000/month Elasticity: PED = -1.5 Scenario 1: 10% Increase New Price: $110 Demand Change: -15% → 4,250 units New Revenue: $467,500 (-6.5%) Net Profit Change: [Calculate with margin] Scenario 2: 10% Decrease New Price: $90 Demand Change: +15% → 5,750 units New Revenue: $517,500 (+3.5%) Net Profit Change: [Calculate with margin] Scenario 3: 20% Increase + Feature Addition New Price: $120 Expected Elasticity: -1.0 (dampened by increased value) Demand Change: -20% x (-1.0/-1.5) = -13.3% ... ``` ### P&L Impact Analysis ``` | Item | Current | Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | |------|---------|-----------|-----------|-----------| | Price | $100 | $110 | $90 | $120 | | Demand | 5,000 | 4,250 | 5,750 | 4,333 | | Revenue | $500K | $467.5K | $517.5K | $520K | | Variable Cost | $150K | $127.5K | $172.5K | $130K | | Contribution Margin | $350K | $340K | $345K | $390K | | Fixed Cost | $200K | $200K | $200K | $220K | | Net Profit | $150K | $140K | $145K | $170K | ``` ## Price Increase Execution Strategy ``` 1. Gradual Increase - 2-3 small increases per year (5-10%) - Minimize customer resistance - Set grace period for existing customer discounts 2. Value-Based Increase - Increase simultaneously with new feature launch - Message: "We are delivering more value" - Maintain existing plans + add premium plan 3. Segmented Increase - Apply to new customers first - 6-12 month grace period for existing customers - Separate management for price-sensitive segments 4. Discount Reduction - Maintain list price, reduce discount depth - Positioned as "discount normalization" rather than price increase ``` ## Price War Response ``` Decision tree when competitor cuts price: 1. High cross-elasticity (XED > 0.5)? +-- Yes → High churn risk | +-- Do we have cost advantage? → Price matching | +-- If not → Strengthen value differentiation +-- No → Can ignore, maintain price 2. Is competitor's cut sustainable? +-- Temporary (promotion) → Ignore or limited-time promotion +-- Structural (cost advantage) → Compete on non-price factors ```