{ "metadata": { "gist_id": "6a4c1baf14ff07deda4a", "name": "", "signature": "sha256:3d3dab068140a690bf18557f98d2bb653b944fb66285160a48a96f797a08a75f" }, "nbformat": 3, "nbformat_minor": 0, "worksheets": [ { "cells": [ { "cell_type": "heading", "level": 1, "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Bayesian Methods 2" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "The material for this notebook is provided via this free online textbook : \n", "\n", "I am writing this notebook to document my learning, and hopefully to help others learn machine learning. You can think of it as my personal lecture notes. I would love suggestions / corrections / feedback for these notebooks.\n", "\n", "Visit my webpage for more. \n", "\n", "Email me: email.ryan.kelly@gmail.com\n", "\n", "I'd love for you to share if you liked this post." ] }, { "cell_type": "heading", "level": 2, "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Related Notebooks" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "* Intro to Bayesian Inference\n", "\n", "* Probability Distribution Review\n", "\n", "* Bayesian Inference 2\n", "\n", "* Bayesian Inference 3\n", "\n", "* Bayesian Inference 4\n", "\n", "* Bayesian Inference 6" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "collapsed": false, "input": [ "social()" ], "language": "python", "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "html": [ "\n", " Tweet\n", "\n", " Follow @Ryanmdk\n", "\n", " Probability Distributions Review.\n", "\n", "This type of programming is called _probabilistic programming_, and has previously been daunting to learn. The author provides an interesting quote that describes probabilistic programming.\n", "\n", "> Another way of thinking about this: unlike a traditional program, which only runs in forward directions, a probabilistic program is run in both forward and backward directions. It runs forward to compute the consequences of the assumptions it contains about the world, but also runs backwards from the data to constrain the possible explanations. In practice, many probabilistic programming systems will cleverly interleave these forward and backward operations to be efficiently hone in on the best explanations.\n", "\n", "PyMC code is fairly easy to read. The only new thing is the syntax, so we will go through it slowly. Remember, we will be simply representing the model's components ($\\tau, \\ \\lambda _1, \\ \\lambda _2$) as variables.\n", "\n", "First we will reload and plot the text-message data from last lesson." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "collapsed": false, "input": [ "%matplotlib inline\n", "from matplotlib import pyplot as plt\n", "\n", "import seaborn as sns\n", "# Some initial styling\n", "rc={'axes.labelsize': 16.0, 'font.size': 16, \n", " 'legend.fontsize': 16.0, 'axes.titlesize': 18,\n", " 'xtick.labelsize': 15.0, 'ytick.labelsize': 15.0}\n", "\n", "sns.set(context = 'poster', style = 'whitegrid', rc=rc)\n", "\n", "import numpy as np\n", "import pandas as pd\n", "\n", "count_data = pd.read_csv('https://raw.githubusercontent.com/CamDavidsonPilon/Probabilistic-Programming-and-Bayesian-Methods-for-Hackers/master/Chapter1_Introduction/data/txtdata.csv',\n", " header=None, names=['msgs'])\n", "N = len(count_data)\n", "\n", "plt.bar(np.arange(N), count_data['msgs'], color=\"#9b59b6\", alpha=0.8)\n", "plt.xlabel('Time (days)')\n", "plt.ylabel('count of msgs received')\n", "plt.title('Did the texting habits change over time?')\n", "plt.xlim(0, N)" ], "language": "python", "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "metadata": {}, "output_type": "pyout", "prompt_number": 7, "text": [ "(0, 74)" ] }, { "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data", "png": 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n0WzKm/vWz27I+dv47GVVtajfUtoM7AX8S2a2tgn5EqXL1VEefi5OJo66g5q1u746qe61\n2mxn4KkR8bWqS2JJNfWr5OAzlL69X025wEeBiyJiICIGKW8Jzqb0BX4ecG41XdKGaTxYfgL4fPXv\nJOCVlLfAu2TmVW0+88ADaWb+lFLnfgQ4kjKa8iLKwFjrenD9Lg/2dX9SlD7IH7L+CbY7Qmlc+Q3g\nb6vv8FRKdZ8J36pXD08nUd6kfgJ4cmb+jnL/OZ3SgPOT1e+LqapXVW9X3w98OzPPblrl4ZTuQj8d\nEZtXDx8fojw4f5LyYNL4Dq3fqZ3W6W+k9EH/Msob0C0oD+/Qvn77pGTmf1P24aOr9b+X8gb8uZQ3\n+Xu1xHZkNf8YSonGf1G6Kf0D4zuZ0jf/4ZQ3/FAe8E6m9C5zUhXDV4G9qrfa48X7S8qx+XG1vqMo\nD/a7NT3MrvM8qpLel1FeSL2bMujedpTz+RPAY5veztc9L39ISdzuoHS5+g+UY3cOTYNubeD52/js\nhdX6P0Y5J96amYe1+UijtOCbrVXfJhHHeN+/XXyt11ejgXSd83+d10Sda7WNgyhJytbr/AKS+i8i\nfhcRBzf9PhgR90fEUEScGqUP7eblL4nSz7gkzWgRsUX1Vrt1+nOq++SBfQhL44iIbcaZfkFE3Njj\ncCRpg/Wr5OAHwBsj4gkRMYtSB3Ul5U3k7pQi2maXVdMlaaZ7NXBP1Y6jWWOgrx/3OB5N7EcR8ZBq\nLVXCsBceK0nTUL96K/orHuyP+T5K7wgvycy7qx4TbmlZfgWT78NckqajCyijVJ9d1QlfSamGeSBl\nMLLhPsamhzsdWBRlhOHLKIPL/X01z240JU07/UoOvkhpBPkyyh++Q4FzIuIFlAZmrf15j1EaeUnS\njJaZd1WlBospDVu3pHTl+H4mbgCs/jiK8qLrIErbndXAlcCr2wzSJklTXs+TgyoB+AvgBZn542ra\n/pTeKt5DubEOtHxsgMn3YS5J01Jm3gC8qd9xaN2qQcJOrv5J0rTXj5KDxtDsP2lMyMx7I+JqSj/T\ny4FtWz6zLaXv9dp+8pOfdHpUR0mSJGkmuPy5z33unu1m9CM5uKH6/1nA1fDAYC7PoAzkchulW7mj\nmz6zF2XgpUl5znOes0GBav0tXVp6F1y4sN2gnuo293//eQz6y/3ffx6D/nL/999UPgZLlizZY7x5\nPU8OMvPqiPg2cHpEvIMyeNC7Kf2DnwQ8DlgSEUcCZwH7A7tS6nNKkiRJ6pJ+dWX6OkpJwJmUbk0X\nUAbUWZ6Z11JGfnwtpWTh5cB+mXl9n2KVJEmSNgp96a2oGrHxndW/dvMvpIwEKUmSJKlH+lVyIEmS\nJGmKMTmQJEmSBJgcSJIkSaqYHEiSJEkCTA4kSZIkVUwOJEmSJAEmB5IkSZIqJgeSJEmSAJMDSZIk\nSRWTA0mSJEmAyYEkSZKkismBJEmSJMDkQJIkSVLF5ECSJEkSYHIgSZIkqWJyIEmSJAkwOZAkSZJU\nMTmQJEmSBJgcSJIkSaqYHEiSJEkCTA4kSZIkVUwOJEmSJAEmB5IkSZIqJgeSJEmSAJMDSZIkSRWT\nA0mSJEmAyYEkSZKkismBJEmSJMDkQJIkSVLF5ECSJEkSYHIgSZIkqWJyIEmSJAkwOZAkSZJUMTmQ\nJEmSBJgcSJIkSaqYHEiSJEkCTA4kSZIkVUwOJEmSJAEmB5IkSZIqJgeSJEmSAJMDSZIkSRWTA0mS\nJEmAyYEkSZKkyiP7HYCkmWFsbIzh4eEJlxkcHGRgYKBHEUmSpMkyOZDUEcPDw5y5+ALmzZnfdv6K\nlcvZfxEMDQ31ODJJklSXyYGkjpk3Zz4L5ka/w5AkSevJNgeSJEmSAJMDSZIkSRWTA0mSJEmAyYEk\nSZKkSs8bJEfEnsAl48y+NDNfFBH7ACcAAdwAHJGZF/UoREmSJGmj1I+Sg+8Dc1v+vRm4Hzg+IgaB\n84GzgWcD5wHnVtMlSZIkdUnPSw4y8/+A2xu/R8TjKKUEJ2TmdyLiVOCqzDyuWmRRROwGHAIc1Ot4\nJUmSpI3FVGhz8E/AamBx9fvuwGUty1xWTZckSZLUJX0dBC0inggcDPxDZo5Wk7cDbmlZdAXQfthV\nSZIkSR3R7xGS3w7cBnyxadrmwGjLcmPA7MmufOnSpesfmTbI6tWrAY9Bv/Rj/4+MjDC2ZozVo62X\nbzG2ZoyRkRFmz570pTwteQ3010zY/2vWrGHZsmXjzt9xxx2ZNWtWDyOanJlwDKYz93//Tddj0O/k\n4ADgtMy8r2naamCgZbkB4J6eRSVJUp8tW7aMK067hrlbbveweb/93S3wFhgctK8OSZ3Vt+QgIp4B\nPBU4q2XWcmDblmnbAjdPdhsLFy5cv+C0wRpZssegP/qx/0dHR7lp1io2G6dkYGDWAAsWLNhozgmv\ngf6aCft/dHSUm7ZZxYK58bB50+F6mgnHYDpz//ffVD4GS5YsGXdePxsk7w7cmpnXt0y/EtijZdpe\nwBU9iUqSJEnaSPWzWtEQcF2b6ScBSyLiSEqpwv7ArtiNqSRJktRV/Sw5mAvc1ToxM68FXgW8Frga\neDmwX5sSBkmSJEkd1LeSg8x85QTzLgQu7GE4kiRJ0kZvKgyCJkmSJGkKMDmQJEmSBJgcSJIkSaqY\nHEiSJEkCTA4kSZIkVUwOJEmSJAEmB5IkSZIqJgeSJEmSAJMDSZIkSRWTA0mSJEmAyYEkSZKkismB\nJEmSJMDkQJIkSVLF5ECSJEkSYHIgSZIkqWJyIEmSJAkwOZAkSZJUMTmQJEmSBJgcSJIkSaqYHEiS\nJEkCTA4kSZIkVUwOJEmSJAEmB5IkSZIqJgeSJEmSAJMDSZIkSRWTA0mSJEmAyYEkSZKkismBJEmS\nJMDkQJIkSVLF5ECSJEkSYHIgSZIkqWJyIEmSJAkwOZAkSZJUMTmQJEmSBJgcSJIkSaqYHEiSJEkC\nTA4kSZIkVUwOJEmSJAEmB5IkSZIqJgeSJEmSAJMDSZIkSRWTA0mSJEmAyYEkSZKkismBJEmSJMDk\nQJIkSVLF5ECSJEkSYHIgSZIkqWJyIEmSJAkwOZAkSZJUeWS/NhwRfwscDjwJGAYOy8xLq3n7ACcA\nAdwAHJGZF/UrVkmSJGlj0JeSg4h4M/DvwLHATsDlwPkR8ZSIGATOB84Gng2cB5xbTZckSZLUJT0v\nOYiITYCjgOMz8/Rq2qHAXsDu1b+rMvO46iOLImI34BDgoF7HK0mSJG0s+lGt6E+AJ1NKBgDIzLXA\nLgAR8UHgrJbPXAa8sUfxSZIkSRulfiQHUf2/ZURcAjwD+CXw/sz8AbAdcEvLZ1YA83sXoiRJkrTx\n6UdysEX1/xnAP1ESg78DLomIIWBzYLTlM2PA7MluaOnSpRsQpjbE6tWrAY9Bv/Rj/4+MjDC2ZozV\no62XbzG2ZoyRkRFmz570pTwteQ3010zY/xNdU9PhepoJx2A6c//333Q9Bv1IDv6v+v/ozGxUHzo4\nInYH3g6sBgZaPjMA3NOj+CRJkqSNUj+Sg0aVoV+0TF8K7AAsB7ZtmbctcPNkN7Rw4cJJB6fOaGTJ\nHoP+6Mf+Hx0d5aZZq9hsnDeZA7MGWLBgwUZzTngN9NdM2P8TXVPT4XqaCcdgOnP/999UPgZLliwZ\nd14/ujL9KaUU4HmNCVUPRs8AlgFXAnu0fGYv4IpeBShJkiRtjHpecpCZf4yITwDHRMRtwLXAOyil\nBidTqhAtiYgjKb0W7Q/sit2YSpIkSV3Vl0HQMnMR8M/AvwI/B54P7JOZN2TmtcCrgNcCVwMvB/bL\nzOv7EaskSZK0sehHmwMAMvN44Phx5l0IXNjbiCRJkqSNW19KDiRJkiRNPSYHkiRJkgCTA0mSJEkV\nkwNJkiRJgMmBJEmSpIrJgSRJkiTA5ECSJElSxeRAkiRJEmByIEmSJKliciBJkiQJMDmQJEmSVDE5\nkCRJkgTAI/sdgNQpY2NjDA8Pjzt/cHCQgYGBHkYkSZI0vZgcaMYYHh7mzMUXMG/O/IfNW7FyOfsv\ngqGhoT5EJkmSND2YHGhGmTdnPgvmRr/DkCRJmpZscyBJkiQJMDmQJEmSVDE5kCRJkgSYHEiSJEmq\nmBxIkiRJAkwOJEmSJFVMDiRJkiQBJgeSJEmSKiYHkiRJkgCTA0mSJEkVkwNJkiRJgMmBJEmSpIrJ\ngSRJkiTA5ECSJElSxeRAkiRJEmByIEmSJKliciBJkiQJMDmQJEmSVDE5kCRJkgSYHEiSJEmqmBxI\nkiRJAuCR482IiL+ZzIoy8/MbHo4kSeqXsbExhoeHx50/ODjIwMBADyOS1GvjJgfA54C1Tb9vWv1/\nH3AHsCUwAKwBbgdMDiRJmsaGh4c5c/EFzJsz/2HzVqxczv6LYGhoqA+RSeqVcZODzHxgXkS8DPgs\n8A7g/My8LyI2AV4EnAZ8qNuBSpKk7ps3Zz4L5ka/w5DUJxOVHDT7N+BDmfn1xoTMXAtcHBEfAI4B\nvtCF+CRJkiT1SN0GydtQqhK180dKFSNJkiRJ01jd5OD7wJERsW3zxIjYkVJqcHGnA5MkSZLUW3Wr\nFb0LuAy4MSJ+DtxJKU3YCRgB3tmV6CRJkiT1TK2Sg8xM4OnAocCvqs8tpTRQ3jkzb+lahJIkSZJ6\nom7JAZm5Cvi3iDgZ2JpSenBv1TBZkiRJ0jRXe4TkiHhhRHwX+ANwM7AzcEZEHNOt4CRJkiT1Tq3k\nICL2prQ5WAt8ENikmvVz4PCIeF9XopMkSZLUM3VLDj4GfCUzXwx8spq2NjNPBI4F/q4bwUmSJEnq\nnbrJwU6MP8jZZcD2nQhGkiRJUv/UbZB8B/AM4Ntt5j0duH0yG42IQeDaNrN2y8yrImIf4AQggBuA\nIzLzoslsQ5IkSdLk1C05OB34aES8FXhCNe2REfES4EjgzElu95mU3o7mtvz7cZU4nA+cDTwbOA84\nt5ouSZIkqUvqlhwsBuYDn2ma9gNKw+RzgEWT3O5OwHWZ+bASh4g4BLgqM4+rJi2KiN2AQ4CDJrkd\nSZIkSTXVSg4y817gLRHxMWBPYCvgbuB7mfmz9djuTpRB1NrZHTirZdplwBvXYzuSJEmSaqqVHETE\nUcCZmflL4Jcd2O5OwEBE/IDSmPla4IOZ+T/AdkDriMsrKCUXkiRJkrqkbpuDg4ClEfHTiDgsIp60\nvhuMiM2AHYDHAIcCrwBuBS6PiKcDmwOjLR8bA2av7zYlSZIkrVvdNgfbAXsArwcOA46PiO8DX6aM\nf3BX3Q1m5uqI2AJYU1VXIiIOBJ4DvANYDQy0fGwAuKfuNhqWLh2v5pK6bfXq1UBvj8HIyAhja8ZY\nPdqaW8LYmjFGRkaYPXvjyDGn2v4Hj4F6aybs/37c0zq5zZlwDKYz93//TddjUKvkIDPvy8xLMvMf\ngHnASyltBj4C3BoRF05mo5n5x0ZiUP2+FriOUnVoObBty0e2BW6ezDYkSZIkTU7dkoMHZOZ9EbGE\nUpqwFfCXwK51Px8RzwEuB/4sM39aTdsUGKJ0X3o7pZTi6KaP7QVcMdlYFy5cONmPqEMaWXIvj8Ho\n6Cg3zVrFZm3eag3MGmDBggUbzTkx1fY/eAzUWzNh//fjntbJbc6EYzCduf/7byofgyVLlow7r3Zy\nEBFzKInA64AXUdoBnEdpM9BucLTxXAMkcGpEHEypLnQEMAf4JGW8gyURcSSl16L9KcmH3ZhKkiRJ\nXVS3t6L/pry9XwtcBPw1cEFm/nGyG6xKHvaljIB8AfBo4HuUkoQ7gTsj4lXV/CMo1Zf2y8zrJ7st\nSZIkSfXVLTmYBRwMnJOZKzd0o5m5gpJgjDf/QmBS7RgkSZIkbZi6g6Dt1e1AJEnS5IyNjTE8PDzh\nMoODgwwMtHYCKEntjZscRMQvgDdl5rXVz2uBTVoWa0xbm5k7dy9MSZLUanh4mDMXX8C8Oe3HCV2x\ncjn7L4KhoaEeRyZpupqo5GAJ8MemnyeytjPhSJKkyZg3Zz4L5ka/w5A0Q4ybHGTmge1+liRJkjQz\nTaYr00cBb6R0YzoXeBfwp8CSzPx5d8KTJEmS1Cu1RkiOiK2AHwKfA3YB9gEeC7wSuCoiXtC1CCVJ\nkiT1RK3kAPgEsAXwNEpyAKWdwRsoScMxnQ9NkiRJUi/VTQ72Az6cmTc2T8zMMeDjwHM7HJckSZKk\nHqubHGziXUNeAAAgAElEQVQKjI4z75E8vItTSZIkSdNM3eTgEmBRRMyhqdvSiJgFHAJc3oXYJEmS\nJPVQ3d6KDgWuBJZR2hgALAYWAo8Hdut8aJIkSZJ6qVbJQWYuA54FnArMAX4FbAOcDzw7M5d2LUJJ\nkiRJPVG3WhGZeRvwz5n5gsx8GvBi4D8zc3nXopMkSZLUM3XHOdgyIr4FXNU0+f8B10fEVyNi865E\nJ0mSJKln6pYcnAjsBBzWNO27lC5OXwAc2+G4JEmSJPVY3eRgX+B9mXlBY0JmrsnMbwJHAK/rRnCS\nJEmSeqducrAZ449zsIrSY5EkSZKkaaxucnAVcHhEPKZ5YkQ8mlLV6PudDkySJElSb9Ud5+AIyjgH\nN0XE5cDtwBOBPSijJ+/RnfAkSZIk9UrdcQ5+DjwT+DywHfAiYD7wRco4Bz/rWoSSJEmSeqJuyQGZ\neRPwni7GIkmSJKmPaicHEfF44J2UUoO5wGspvRj9LDMv6k54kiRJknql7iBo2wM/p5QcrAICGAAG\ngW9ExMu6FaAkSZKk3qhbcvBJYAXwYmA1sAZYCxwIzAb+CbiwC/FJkiRJ6pG6XZnuDRyXmb9vnpiZ\na4FPUxorS5IkSZrG6iYHaygDobWzJTDWmXAkSZIk9Uvd5OCbwEcjIijViQCIiK2ADwD/3YXYJEmS\nJPVQ3eTgUErpwHXAL6ppnwV+BTyOMkqyJEmSpGms7iBotwPPBf6R0mvRd4FlwEcog6Dd0rUIJUmS\nJPVErd6KIuLfgDMy81Tg1O6GJEmSJKkf6lYr+ltKw2NJkiRJM1Td5OB7lNGQJUmSJM1QdQdBuxE4\nOCL+mtLW4PameZsAazPzFR2OTZIkSVIP1U0O/gS4qun3LVrmr0WSJEnStFYrOcjMPbschyRJkqQ+\nq9vmQJIkSdIMZ3IgSZIkCTA5kCRJklQxOZAkSZIEbEByEBGPioitOhmMJEmSpP6plRxExEBEHBsR\nB1S/70MZ6+COiLg8IrbuZpCSJEmSuq9uycFxwLuBR1W/nwzcDLwFmAv8c+dDkyRJktRLdQdBex3w\n3sw8LSKeB+wAvCkzz46Ie4BTuhahJEmSpJ6oW3KwNXBd9fO+wL3AhdXvvwM263BckiRJknqsbnIw\nAuwWEbOA1wNXZubvq3lvAG7oRnCSJEmSeqdutaITgM8C7wceAxwGEBE/BHYFDuhKdJIkSZJ6plbJ\nQWaeAexNaZj8Z5n5jWrWxcCLM/PLXYpPkiRJUo/ULTkgM68ArmiZ9uGORyRJkiSpL2olBxFxGrB2\nnNn3A38AlgFnZeadHYpNkiRJUg/VLTmYD/wpMAD8GrgNeCKlS9O1wHLKeAf/FBG7Z2Z2IVZJkiRJ\nXVQ3ObgICOAvM/OnjYkRsRPwdeCTwOeB84CPAa+qs9KIeAFwJbB3VW2pMfryCdX2bgCOyMyLasYp\nSZIkaT3V7cr0PcD7mxMDgMy8FvhQNW8V8AlgjzorjIhHA18ANmmaNgicD5wNPJuSbJxbTZckSZLU\nRXVLDh4DrB5n3r3AltXPq4BZNdf5cUp1pKc2TTsEuCozj6t+XxQRu1XTD6q5XkmSJEnroW7JwWXA\nMRGxoHliRGwPLObBXoxeDKyzvUFEvAz4C+BdLbN2r7bVuu3da8YpSZIkaT3VLTk4BPgucH1E/AK4\ng9IgeSfgRuDgiHgF8EHWMSBaRGwNfAY4EPjfltnbAbe0TFtBaRAtSZIkqYtqJQeZeWPV+PgAYE9g\na+BqSkPkL2bmvRGxObBHZn5vHas7FTgvM78dEU9qmbc5MNoybQyYXSfOVkuXLl2fj6kDVq8utdB6\neQxGRkYYWzPG6tHWUwjG1owxMjLC7NnrdSpNO1Nt/4PHQL01E/Z/nXta4+dOXXedvI/OhGMwnbn/\n+2+6HoPJDIK2Gvh09Y+ImAU8NjPvreZfu651RMSbKQ2Nd26Z1WiUvJrSXWqzAeCeunFKkiRJWj91\nB0EbAD4CDGfmF6vuRs8GHhcR3wNeU3PwszcDTwJ+GxHwYFLwrYg4g9JAeduWz2wL3FwnzlYLFy5c\nn4+pAxpZci+PwejoKDfNWsVmbd5qDcwaYMGCBRvNOTHV9j94DNRbM2H/17mnAR297jp5H50Jx2A6\nc//331Q+BkuWLBl3Xt0GyccB7+bBnohOpjywv4Uy+Nk/11zPAcBC4FnVv5dW098GLKKMedDaFepe\nPNjgWZIkSVKX1K1W9DrgvZn5uYh4HmVk5Ddl5tkRcQ9wSp2VZOatzb9HxJrqx1sy846IOAlYEhFH\nAmcB+wO7YjemkiRJUtfVLTnYGriu+nlfytgGF1a//w7YbANiWNv4oWq38CrgtZQGzy8H9svM6zdg\n/ZIkSZJqqFtyMALsFhE/Al4PXJmZv6/mvQG4YX02npk3A5u2TLuQBxMPSZIkqSfGxsYYHh4ed/7g\n4CADA61958wsdZODE4DPAu+njJZ8GEBE/JBS7WfCsQ0kSZKkqW54eJgzF1/AvDkPH2Jrxcrl7L8I\nhoaG+hBZ79Qd5+CMiPg18P+A72Xm96tZFwMfyMxLuxWgJEmS1Cvz5sxnwdzodxh9M5lxDq6gpdeg\nzPxwxyOSJEmS1Bd1xznYDDgEeB7w+JbZmwBrM3PvDscmSZIkqYfqlhx8itKt6PeBlW3mr20zTZIk\nSdI0Ujc52I8yzsEnuxmMJEmSpP6pO87BKiC7GYgkSZKk/qqbHBwDLIqIh/frJEmSJGlGqFut6Dzg\nvcBNEXE7sLpl/trMXNDRyCRJkiT1VN3k4AvAtsBZwO1t5tsgWZIkSZrm6iYHfwr8bWae2c1gJEmS\nJPVP3eTgVuCebgYiSZIkTXVjY2MMDw9PuMzg4GCPoum8usnBYuDoiLgV+ElmWo1IkiRJG53h4WHO\nXHwB8+a076dnxcrl7L8IZs+e3ePIOqNucvBO4CnAj4C1EfHHlvlrM3OLjkYmSZIkTUHz5sxnwdzo\ndxhdUTc5+Gb1bzyWJEiSJEnTXK3kIDOP7HIckiRJkvqs7iBokiRJkmY4kwNJkiRJgMmBJEmSpMq4\nyUFEvD4ituplMJIkSZL6Z6KSg88BTweIiF9HxLN6E5IkSZKkfpiot6LVwNsjYh5ljIM/j4injrdw\nZn6t08FJkiRJ6p2JkoOPAScA+1e/H7eOddl+QZIkSZrGxn2gz8wTgS2BHapJrwYWTPBPkiRJ0jQ2\n4SBomXk3cHdEvBW4MjPv7E1YG7exsTGGh4cnXGZwcJCBgYEeRSRJktaXf9c1ndQdIfn0iJgXEScC\newBbAHcC3wf+NTNv7WKMG53h4WHOXHwB8+bMbzt/xcrl7L8IhoaGehyZJEmaLP+uazqplRxExI7A\nlcBmwHeB24G5wNuBt0TECzNzWdei3AjNmzOfBXOj32FIkqQO8O+6potayQFwInAbsHdm3tWYGBFb\nA9+hNF5+TefDkyRJktQrdXsY2htY3JwYAFRtEI6u5kuSJEmaxuomB6uB+8eZt5b6JRCSJEmSpqi6\nycHlwIcjYk7zxIjYCvhwNV+SJEnSNFb3jf/hwI+BX0fEpZT2B3OBvYD/Aw7oTniSJEmSeqVWyUFm\n3gjsAnwG2I7SxmAu8GngWZk5cee9kiRJkqa82m0FMvNm4H1djEWSJElSH9VtcyBJkiRphjM5kCRJ\nkgSYHEiSJEmqmBxIkiRJAmomBxFxSUQ8fZx5z46In3U2LEmSJEm9Nm5vRRHxSmBTYBNgT+CVETHY\nZtGXAE/tSnSSJEmSemairkz3Bt7Z9PtxEyz7sc6EI0mSJKlfJkoODgc+Uf08ArwauKZlmfuAuzNz\nVRdikyRJktRD4yYHmTkG3AgQEQuAWzNzTY/ikjRDjY2NMTw88aDqg4ODDAwM9CgiSZLUUGuE5My8\nMSIWRsSfA4+mTUPmzFzc6eAkzTzDw8OcufgC5s2Z33b+ipXL2X8RDA0N9TgySZJUKzmIiLcBnwbW\nAn8A7m+avUk13eRAUi3z5sxnwdzodxiSJKlFreQA+CDwNeBtmXl3F+ORJEmS1Cd1k4NtMTGQJEmS\nZrS6IyT/FHh2NwORJEmS1F91Sw6OAM6KiEcCPwT+2LpAZv60k4FJkqSZzd7LZhaP58xQNzm4ovr/\nhHHmr6WMplxLRDyJMobC3pTSi4uA92bmimr+PtW2ArgBOCIzL6q7fkmSNPXZe9nM4vGcGeomB3t3\naoMRsQnwTeA2YE9Kb0f/BlwAPDciBoHzgaOAc4ADgHMjYpfMnDgdlSRJ04q9l80sHs/pr+44B5d1\ncJtPBK4D3p+ZvwGIiE8AX4+IxwOHAFdl5nHV8osiYrdq+kEdjEOSJElSk7rjHJxGqTo0rsx8a511\nZeZtwP5N634S5aH/x5n5vxGxO3BWy8cuA95YZ/2SJEmS1k/dakVDPDw5eCywPfA7ysP7pEXEucAr\nqnXsWU3eDrilZdEVQPsKbJIkSZI6om61orbdmEbEdsA3gG+v5/Y/DBxT/X9xRAwBmwOjLcuNAbMn\nu/KlS5euZ1j9NTIywtiaMVaPtu6GYmzNGCMjI8yePeld0jOrV68GensMJtpv02GfddJU2//w4DFo\n/Dydz+86+nEM9KCZsP/r3NMaP3fqeurkfbTOMZgJf+/q6Mf3nMp/Bx7xiEewbNmyCde14447MmvW\nrG6EOaFOXnc77LADMP3uQ3VLDtrKzFsi4khKz0OfXo/PXwsQEW8ElgNvBlYDrX1cDQD3bEiskiRJ\n6r9ly5ZxxWnXMHfL7drO/+3vboG3lG5P1XsblBxUNgXm1V04Ip4I7J2ZD7QryMzVEfErSpWi5ZQR\nmZttC9w82cAWLlw42Y9MCaOjo9w0axWbjfMGYWDWAAsWLJjS36+RJfcyxon223TYZ5001fY/PHgM\ngGl/ftfRj2OgB82E/V/nngadvZ46eR+tcwxmwt+7OvrxPaf834FtVo3bq1E/j3snr7tGSdBUPH+X\nLFky7ry6DZJf3WbyIygP84cCP5hEPNsDZ0bEDZm5pFr/44A/AU4HHgXsARzd9Jm9eHCsBUmSJEld\nULfk4L8mmPcj4O2T2Ob/AN8DPhMRfw/cCxwP3A6cUc1bUlVXOovSs9Gu2I2pJEmS1FV1k4MFbaat\nBVZl5u8ms8HMXFuVRJxIacw8mzJC8h6Z+Ufg2oh4FWWE5COApcB+mXn9ZLYjSZIkaXLq9lZ0Izww\nuvFCYAvgrskmBk3ruwt4ywTzLwQuXJ91S5IkSVo/tRskR8TbgGOBJzRNuw04KjNP6UJs0pQ3NjbG\n8PDwuPMHBwcZGGjtfEuSJGlqqtsg+U2UrkrPAs4GbgPmAm8A/jMi7s7ML3ctSmmKGh4e5szFFzBv\nzsPH6Fuxcjn7L4KhoaE+RCZJkjR5dUsOPgCcmpmtDY/PjYiVwGGAyYE2SvPmzB+3OzZJkqTp5BE1\nl3sacM44886jtEOQJEmSNI3VTQ5+A+w8zrxnAnd1JhxJkiRJ/VK3WtFpwOKI+D3w1cz834h4PPB6\n4Cjg37sVoCRJkqTeqJsc/AvwLOBU4NSIuLfps+cAi7oQmyRJkqQeqjvOwf8Bb4qIY4E/A7akVCW6\nMjN/0cX4JEmSJPVI3TYHRMSfAvtm5n9k5tHAD4AjImKXrkUnSZIkqWdqJQcR8UrgMmCf1lnA9yNi\nz86GJUmSJKnX6pYcHAl8NjP3bkzIzGsy83nAF4DjuxCbJEmSpB6qmxwEZWTkdr5C6c5UkiRJ0jRW\nt7ei3wIvBC5tM28IuLNjEUnSDLBmzRqWLVvG6OjouMsMDg4yMDDQw6gkaWYZGxtjeHh4wmW8105O\n3eTgs8CiiNgEuAC4HXgCsB/wYaxWJEkPsWzZMq447Rpu2mZV2/krVi5n/0UwNDTU48gkaeYYHh7m\nzMUXMG/O/LbzvddOXt3k4GPAXMqAZx9tmn4vcApwdIfjkqRpb+6W27FgbvQ7DEma0ebNme+9toPq\njnNwH/CuiDgSeD4wB7gb+HFm3t698CRJkiT1St2SAwAycyXwrS7FIkmSJKmPag+CJkmSJGlmMzmQ\nJEmSBJgcSJIkSaqYHEiSJEkCTA4kSZIkVUwOJEmSJAEmB5IkSZIqJgeSJEmSAJMDSZIkSRWTA0mS\nJEmAyYEkSZKkismBJEmSJMDkQJIkSVLlkf0OoJ/GxsYYHh6ecJnBwUEGBgZ6ui5JkiSpHzbq5GB4\neJgzF1/AvDnz285fsXI5+y+CoaGhnq5LkiRJ6oeNOjkAmDdnPgvmxpRblyRJktRrtjmQJEmSBJgc\nSJIkSaqYHEiSJEkCbHMgSZNSt2cySeqWdd2HvAdpQ5gcSNIk1O2ZTJK6ZaL7UOMeNHv27D5EppnA\n5ECSJsmeyST1m/chdYttDiRJkiQBJgeSJEmSKiYHkiRJkgCTA0mSJEkVGySrK9asWcOyZcsYHR1t\nO7/RzVqdLiEHBgY6Ht9Mt679D+5bSevH7nylqasT16fJgbpi2bJlXHHaNdy0zaqHzWvu6rFOl5BD\nQ0PdDHVGmmj/g/tW0vqr252vXWlKvdeJ7rZNDtQ1c7fcbp3drNkVW/fU2f+StD68d0tT14Zen7Y5\nkCRJkgSYHEiSJEmqmBxIkiRJAvrQ5iAitgFOAF4CbAb8CHhfZl5Xzd+nmh/ADcARmXlRr+OUJEnr\nr06vaWvWrOlhRJLq6GlyEBGPAL4OrAVeAdwDHAl8NyIGgbnA+cBRwDnAAcC5EbFLZk7cL5MkSZoy\n6vSatsvrn9bjqCStS69LDp4FvABYmJnXA0TEXwMrgX2B3YCrMvO4avlFEbEbcAhwUI9jlSRJG8Be\n06Tpp9dtDm6iJAHZNG1t9f+WlOTgspbPXAbs3u3AJEmSpI1dT0sOMnMl8K2Wye8CZgPfBj4K3NIy\nfwXQfiQHSZIkSR3T196KIuIVwLHAv2TmL4HNgdaWS2OU5EGSJElSF/VthOSIOBD4FPDlzDyimrwa\nGGhZdIDScHnSli5dOuH8kZERxtaMsXqcnhTG1owxMjJSawj4qbqufhkbG2Pt/WvbfodG/I2fO/U9\nJ9pv3dpn/dhmHRPtf+hObHXP28bP0/X8rvs96xyD66+//oF9Mp4dd9yRWbNmbXDcG5vVq1cD6/47\nMJXVub80fu7lfbTuNutcAzfffCf3rnnslLwfNHpbmkjd67PTf9frHKcddtgB6O010I+/A/3Yt3Xj\nn8rHYPvttx93HX1JDiLiQ5QqRCdl5iFNs5YD27Ysvi1wc69ik6ReWb58OTdfvoq5W27Xdv5vf3cL\nvAUGBwd7HJmkRm9LXp/a2PRjnIPDKYnBhzPz2JbZVwJ7AEc3TdsLuGJ9trVw4cIJ54+OjnLTrFVs\nNk42OTBrgAULFqxzPVN5Xf0yPDzMJo/YpO13aMQPdPR7TrTfurXP+rHNOiba/9Cd2Oqet9DZ495r\ndb/nyMjIOo/BvCc9jk23GR23N5epvi+mssabuum87+rcX6D399G626x7Daz45eiUvB+Mjo5y0zar\nOnJ9dvrvep3j1HhT3st914+/A/3Yt3Xjn8rH4P777x93Hb0e52BnShuDzwKfjYi5TbNXAScBSyLi\nSOAsYH9gV+zGVJIkSeq6XjdIfkO1zbdReiG6tenfuzPzWuBVwGuBq4GXA/s1xkSQJEmS1D297sr0\nQ8CH1rHMhcCFvYlIkiRJUkPfeiuSprKxsTGGh4cnXKbTjdDqbnNgoLVDL3VCP465Nk6ea5Pn/VHq\nHZMDqY3h4WHOXHwB8+a0H39vxcrl7L+oP9scGhrq7IYF9OeYa+PkuTZ53h+l3jE5kMYxb878cXup\nmEnb1IPc/+oVz7XJc59JvdHXEZIlSZIkTR0mB5IkSZIAkwNJkiRJFdscSFqndfUUYs8qkqYLe4uS\nJmZyIGmdJuopxJ5VJE0n9hYlTczkQFIt9hQiaabwfiaNzzYHkiRJkgCTA0mSJEkVkwNJkiRJgG0O\nJGnGqNOr1MDAQA8jkjQZnexJac2aNSxbtozR0dEJ1+U9Qa1MDiRphqjTq9TQ0FAfIpNURyd7Ulq2\nbBlXnHYNN22zasJ1eU9QK5MDSZpB7IVFmt46eQ3P3XI77weaNNscSJIkSQJMDiRJkiRVTA4kSZIk\nAbY5kCRNEXV7arF3FUnqHpMDSdKUULenFntXkaTuMTmQJE0Z9rYkSf1lmwNJkiRJgMmBJEmSpIrJ\ngSRJkiTA5ECSJElSxQbJAuxCUNL0sa771eDgYN+2Wec+KklTmcmBALsQlDR9THS/atyrZs+e3fNt\nArXuo5I0lZkc6AF2IShpuujH/arONr2PSprubHMgSZIkCTA5kCRJklQxOZAkSZIE2OZgWrOHIUn9\nVqcXH+9BkjS+qXYfNTmYxuxhSFK/1enFx3uQJI1vqt1HTQ6mOXvGkNRv3ockacNMpfuobQ4kSZIk\nASYHkiRJkiomB5IkSZKAGd7m4Oqrrx533uDgYA8jkdRPdXr2WrNmTY+i6S97OZM0XdTpxWdjUffe\n3QkzOjm49N+vaTu90fJb0sahTs9eu7z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"text": [ "" ] } ], "prompt_number": 7 }, { "cell_type": "code", "collapsed": false, "input": [ "import pymc as pm\n", "\n", "alpha = 1.0 / count_data.mean() # 'count_data' holds text message counts\n", "\n", "lambda_1 = pm.Exponential('lambda_1', alpha)\n", "lambda_2 = pm.Exponential('lambda_2', alpha)\n", "tau = pm.DiscreteUniform('tau', lower=0, upper=N)" ], "language": "python", "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "prompt_number": 9 }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "In this code we create PyMC variables for the model components that we need. We assign them to PyMC's _stochastic variables_, so-called because they are treated by the back end as random number generatiors. We can demonstrate this fact by calling their built-in `random()` methods." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "collapsed": false, "input": [ "print('Random Output:', tau.random(), tau.random(), tau.random())" ], "language": "python", "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "output_type": "stream", "stream": "stdout", "text": [ "('Random Output:', array(42), array(62), array(29))\n" ] } ], "prompt_number": 10 }, { "cell_type": "code", "collapsed": false, "input": [ "@pm.deterministic\n", "def lambda_(tau=tau, lambda_1=lambda_1, lambda_2=lambda_2):\n", " out = np.zeros(N)\n", " out[:tau] = lambda_1 # lambda before tau is lambda_1\n", " out[tau:] = lambda_2 # lambda after (and including) tau is lambda_2\n", " return out" ], "language": "python", "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "prompt_number": 11 }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "This code creates a new function `lambda_`, but we can just think of it as a random variable: the random variable $\\lambda$. Note that because `lambda_1`, `lambda_2`, and `tau` are random, `lambda_` will be random. No variables are fixed yet.\n", "\n", "`@pm.deterministic` is a decorator that tells PyMC this is a deterministic function. Thus if the arguments were deterministic (they are not), the output would be deterministic as well." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "collapsed": false, "input": [ "observation = pm.Poisson('obs', lambda_, value=count_data, observed=True)\n", "model = pm.Model([observation, lambda_1, lambda_2, tau])" ], "language": "python", "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "prompt_number": 12 }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "The variable `observation` combines out data, `count_data`, without our proposed data-generation scheme, given by the variable `lambda_`, through the `value` keyword. We set `observed = True` to tell PyMC that this should stay fixed in our analysis. Finally, PyMC wants us to collect all the variables of interest and create a `model` instance out of them. This makes our life easier when we retrieve the results.\n", "\n", "The code below will be fully explained later, but we show it here to see where the results come from. One can think of it as a _learning_ step. The model employed here is a _Markov Chain Monte Carlo_ (MCMC), which is also explained later. This technique returns thousands of random variables from the posterior distributions of $\\lambda _1$, $\\lambda _2$ , and $\\tau$. We can plot a histogram of the random variables to see what the posterior distributions look like. Below we collect the samples (called _traces_ in the MCMC literature) into histograms." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "collapsed": false, "input": [ "# Code to be explained later\n", "mcmc = pm.MCMC(model)\n", "mcmc.sample(40000, 10000, 1)" ], "language": "python", "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "output_type": "stream", "stream": "stdout", "text": [ "\r", " [--- 8% ] 3424 of 40000 complete in 0.5 sec" ] }, { "output_type": "stream", "stream": "stdout", "text": [ "\r", " [------ 17% ] 6809 of 40000 complete in 1.0 sec" ] }, { "output_type": "stream", "stream": "stdout", "text": [ "\r", " [--------- 25% ] 10145 of 40000 complete in 1.5 sec" ] }, { "output_type": "stream", "stream": "stdout", "text": [ "\r", " [------------ 32% ] 12934 of 40000 complete in 2.0 sec" ] }, { "output_type": "stream", "stream": "stdout", "text": [ "\r", " [-------------- 39% ] 15770 of 40000 complete in 2.5 sec" ] }, { "output_type": "stream", "stream": "stdout", "text": [ "\r", " [-----------------46% ] 18575 of 40000 complete in 3.0 sec" ] }, { "output_type": "stream", "stream": "stdout", "text": [ "\r", " [-----------------53% ] 21390 of 40000 complete in 3.5 sec" ] }, { "output_type": "stream", "stream": "stdout", "text": [ "\r", " [-----------------60%--- ] 24232 of 40000 complete in 4.0 sec" ] }, { "output_type": "stream", "stream": "stdout", "text": [ "\r", " [-----------------67%----- ] 27060 of 40000 complete in 4.5 sec" ] }, { "output_type": "stream", "stream": "stdout", "text": [ "\r", " [-----------------74%-------- ] 29951 of 40000 complete in 5.0 sec" ] }, { "output_type": "stream", "stream": "stdout", "text": [ "\r", " [-----------------82%----------- ] 32854 of 40000 complete in 5.5 sec" ] }, { "output_type": "stream", "stream": "stdout", "text": [ "\r", " [-----------------89%------------- ] 35658 of 40000 complete in 6.0 sec" ] }, { "output_type": "stream", "stream": "stdout", "text": [ "\r", " [-----------------96%---------------- ] 38536 of 40000 complete in 6.5 sec" ] }, { "output_type": "stream", "stream": "stdout", "text": [ "\r", " [-----------------100%-----------------] 40000 of 40000 complete in 6.8 sec" ] } ], "prompt_number": 13 }, { "cell_type": "code", "collapsed": false, "input": [ "lambda_1_samples = mcmc.trace('lambda_1')[:]\n", "lambda_2_samples = mcmc.trace('lambda_2')[:]\n", "tau_samples = mcmc.trace('tau')[:]" ], "language": "python", "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "prompt_number": 14 }, { "cell_type": "code", "collapsed": false, "input": [ "# Histogram of samples\n", "\n", "ax = plt.subplot(311)\n", "ax.set_autoscaley_on(False)\n", "\n", "plt.hist(lambda_1_samples, histtype='stepfilled', bins=30, alpha=0.85,\n", " label='posterior of $\\lambda _1$', color='#9b59b6', normed=True)\n", "plt.legend(loc='upper right')\n", "plt.title(r'''Posterior distributions of the variables $\\lambda _1, \\ \\lambda _2, \\ \\tau$''')\n", "plt.xlim([15, 30])\n", "plt.xlabel('$\\lambda _1$ value')\n", "\n", "ax = plt.subplot(312)\n", "ax.set_autoscaley_on(False)\n", "plt.hist(lambda_2_samples, histtype='stepfilled', bins=30, alpha=0.85,\n", " label='posterior of $\\lambda _2$', color='#3498db', normed=True)\n", "plt.legend(loc='upper right')\n", "plt.xlim([15, 30])\n", "plt.xlabel('$\\lambda _2$ value')\n", "\n", "plt.subplot(313)\n", "w = 1.0 / tau_samples.shape[0] * np.ones_like(tau_samples)\n", "plt.hist(tau_samples, bins=N, alpha = 1,\n", " label=r'posterior of $\\tau$',\n", " color='#A60628', weights=w, rwidth=2.)\n", "plt.xticks(np.arange(N))\n", "\n", "plt.legend(loc='upper left')\n", "plt.ylim([0, 0.75])\n", "plt.xlim([35, len(count_data) - 20])\n", "plt.xlabel(r'$\\tau$ (in days)')\n", "plt.ylabel('probability')\n", "\n" ], "language": "python", "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "metadata": {}, "output_type": "pyout", "prompt_number": 21, "text": [ "" ] }, { "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data", "png": 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rzKwZwdM/14RP2vw9cGX4cLvfEFwk9QOCh8+IiIiIiEiM4r4AO/VhRcMILogaChUP7zmW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"text": [ "" ] } ], "prompt_number": 21 }, { "cell_type": "heading", "level": 2, "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Interpretation" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Recall that Bayesian methodology returns a _distribution_. Hence we now have distributions to describe the unknown $\\lambda$s and $\\tau$. What have we gained? Immediately, we can see the uncertainty in our estimates: the wider distribution, the less certain out posterior belief should be. We can also see what the plausible values for the parameters are: $\\lambda _1$ is around 18 and $\\lambda _2$ is around 23. The posterior distributions of the two lambdas are clearly distinct, indicating that it is indeed likely that there was a change in the users text message behaviour.\n", "\n", "Notice that the posterior distributions for the $\\lambda$s do not look like exponential distributions, even though our priors for these were exponential. In fact, the posterior distributions are not really of any form that we recognize from the original model. But that's OK! This is one of the benefits of a Bayesian point of view. If we had instead used a mathematical approaches, we would be stuck with a messy result.\n", "\n", "Our analysis also returned a distribution for $\\tau$. Its posterior distribution looks different from the other two because it is a discrete random variable, so it does assign probabilities to intervals. We can see that near day 45, there was a 50% chance that the user's behaviour changed. Had no change occurred, or had the change been gradual over time, the posterior distribution of $\\tau$ would have been more spread out, reflecting that many days were plausible candidates for $\\tau$. However, the actual results show that only three of four days make any sense as potential transition points." ] }, { "cell_type": "heading", "level": 2, "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Why would I want sampes from the posterior, anyways?" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "We will deal with this question for the remainder of the book, and it is an understatement to say that it will lead us to some amazing results. For now, let's end this chapter with one last example.\n", "\n", "We will use the posterior samples to answer the following question: what is the expect number of texts at day $t$, $ 0 <= t <= 70$? Recall that the expected value of a Poisson variable is equal to its parameter $\\lambda$. Therefore, the question is equivalent to _what is the expected value of $\\lambda$ at time $t$_?\n", "\n", "In the code below, let $i$ inded samples from the posterior distributions. Given a dat $t$, we average over all possible $\\lambda _i$ for that dat $t$, using $\\lambda _i = \\lambda _{1, i} \\ \\ if \\ \\ t < \\tau _i$, else we use $\\lambda _i = \\lambda _{2, i}$." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "collapsed": false, "input": [ "NN = tau_samples.shape[0]\n", "expected_texts_per_day = np.zeros(N)\n", "for day in range(0, N):\n", " #ix is a bool index of all tau samples corresponding to\n", " # the switchpoint occurring prior to value of 'day'\n", " ix = day < tau_samples\n", " # Each posterior sample corresponds to a value for tau.\n", " # for each day, that value of tau indicates whether we are 'before'\n", " # in the lambda_1 regime, or 'after' the switchpoint in the lambda_2 regime.\n", " # By taking the posterior sample of lambda1/2 accordingly, we can \n", " # average over all samples to get an expect value for lambda on that day.\n", " # The message count random variable is Poisson distributed,\n", " # therefore lambda (the Poisson parameter) is the expected value of\n", " # message count.\n", " expected_texts_per_day[day] = (lambda_1_samples[ix].sum()+\n", " lambda_2_samples[~ix].sum()) / NN\n", " \n", "plt.plot(range(N), expected_texts_per_day, color='#9b59b6', lw=4,\n", " label='Predicted number of texts')\n", " \n", "plt.xlim(0, N)\n", "plt.xlabel('Day')\n", "plt.ylabel('Expected # of texts')\n", "plt.title('Expected number of texts received')\n", "\n", "plt.bar(np.arange(len(count_data)), count_data['msgs'], color=\"#3498db\", alpha=0.65,\n", " label=\"observed texts per day\")\n", "plt.legend(loc='upper left')" ], "language": "python", "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "metadata": {}, "output_type": "pyout", "prompt_number": 53, "text": [ "" ] }, { "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data", "png": 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bChcuzPbt26lbty516tShUqVKTJo0iTNnzlCmTBk2b97MwYMHfdOeioiISM5S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\nTfuU97x0Mae86tn7be9nbeLsM6kcJgeSJE3C1id2sPoXa1n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"text": [ "" ] } ], "prompt_number": 53 }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Our analysis thus far shows strong support for believing the user's behaviour did chance ($\\lambda _1$ would have been close in value to $\\lambda _2$ had this not been true), and that change was sudden rather than gradual, as denoted by $\\tau$'s strong peaked posterior distribution. We can speculate what might have caused this: a cheaper text-message rage, recent text subscription, or maybe a new relationship. In reality, the text message increase corresponds to a trip the user took for work, leading to an increase of messages to a girlfriend." ] }, { "cell_type": "heading", "level": 1, "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Up Next: Bayesian Methodology 3\n", "\n", "
" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "collapsed": false, "input": [ "from IPython.core.display import HTML\n", "\n", "\n", "def css_styling():\n", " styles = open(\"/users/ryankelly/desktop/custom_notebook2.css\", \"r\").read()\n", "\n", " return HTML(styles)\n", "css_styling()" ], "language": "python", "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "html": [ "" ], "metadata": {}, "output_type": "pyout", "prompt_number": 59, "text": [ "" ] } ], "prompt_number": 59 }, { "cell_type": "code", "collapsed": false, "input": [ "def social():\n", " code = \"\"\"\n", " Tweet\n", "\n", " Follow @Ryanmdk\n", "\n", "