{ "seed": 20260707, "B": 2000, "n_paired_cells": 200, "partial_smoke": false, "delta_ee": { "pooled": { "estimate": 0.125, "ci95": [ 0.035, 0.215 ], "n": 200 }, "en": { "estimate": -0.17, "ci95": [ -0.27, -0.08 ], "n": 100 }, "pl": { "estimate": 0.42, "ci95": [ 0.29, 0.54 ], "n": 100 }, "csv": { "estimate": 0.175, "ci95": [ 0.05, 0.2875 ], "n": 80 }, "methods": { "estimate": 0.1, "ci95": [ -0.0833, 0.2833 ], "n": 60 }, "debug": { "estimate": 0.0833, "ci95": [ -0.0833, 0.25 ], "n": 60 } }, "H2": { "DD": -0.59, "ci95": [ -0.74, -0.43 ], "p_raw": 0.0 }, "H3": { "en_token_ratio_pl_over_orig": 0.9617, "ci95": [ 0.7077, 1.2411 ], "en_nonfinal_orig": 0.36, "en_nonfinal_pl": 0.1, "p_raw": 0.77 }, "H1": { "delta_ee": 0.125, "delta_pred": 0.0, "D": 0.125, "CF": null, "prediction_diagnostic": "DEGENERATE: predicted success ~0 for BOTH models — Suite-S probe(s) ['data'] floored at 0 (one-shot no-execution measures a different capability than the in-loop step, which uses code). CF undefined; the pre-registered composition prediction is uninformative — see report + the trajectory non-finalization rates for the actual compounding signal.", "note": "prediction from locked step-composition model over Suite S" }, "holm_p": { "H2": 0.0, "H3": 0.77 } }