{ "seed": 20260707, "B": 2000, "n_paired_cells": 200, "partial_smoke": false, "delta_ee": { "pooled": { "estimate": 0.025, "ci95": [ -0.055, 0.105 ], "n": 200 }, "en": { "estimate": -0.02, "ci95": [ -0.12, 0.07 ], "n": 100 }, "pl": { "estimate": 0.07, "ci95": [ -0.06, 0.19 ], "n": 100 }, "csv": { "estimate": 0.0375, "ci95": [ -0.0125, 0.0875 ], "n": 80 }, "methods": { "estimate": -0.05, "ci95": [ -0.2, 0.1 ], "n": 60 }, "debug": { "estimate": 0.0833, "ci95": [ -0.1167, 0.2833 ], "n": 60 } }, "H2": { "DD": -0.09, "ci95": [ -0.24, 0.07 ], "p_raw": 0.291 }, "H3": { "en_token_ratio_pl_over_orig": 0.7974, "ci95": [ 0.5017, 1.0846 ], "en_nonfinal_orig": 0.2, "en_nonfinal_pl": 0.05, "p_raw": 0.164 }, "H1": { "delta_ee": 0.025, "delta_pred": 0.0, "D": 0.025, "CF": null, "prediction_diagnostic": "DEGENERATE: predicted success ~0 for BOTH models — Suite-S probe(s) ['data'] floored at 0 (one-shot no-execution measures a different capability than the in-loop step, which uses code). CF undefined; the pre-registered composition prediction is uninformative — see report + the trajectory non-finalization rates for the actual compounding signal.", "note": "prediction from locked step-composition model over Suite S" }, "holm_p": { "H3": 0.328, "H2": 0.328 } }