https://understandingwar.org/research/Geopolitics2026-09-23T13:49:56.723699+00:00variouspython-feedgenhttps://www.google.com/s2/favicons?domain=understandingwar.org&sz=64https://www.google.com/s2/favicons?domain=understandingwar.org&sz=256Combined think-tank feed: ISW, RUSI, CSIS, and the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.tag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/dc181a62994735c8Untangling the Nuclear Knot: A Constructive Agenda for Managing China’s Nuclear Relations with the United States and Its Allies2026-09-24T12:00:00+00:00The nuclear relationship between China and the United States is increasingly shaped by widening perception gaps rather than deliberate strategic design.2026-09-24T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/18779ec400c7abeeWill the Far Right Change Europe’s Russia Policy?2026-09-23T12:00:00+00:00The European far right might fail to steer EU policy in the direction Russia wants, but they will create enough chaos inside Europe to benefit the Kremlin.2026-09-23T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/8fc3ba4938a8b1f5Episode 129: Updating How We Think About Korean Peninsula Security2026-09-22T23:00:00+00:00Philip Shetler-Jones is joined by Sanghun Seok and Dr Edward Howell to ask whether 'unification' and 'denuclearisation' are still the lenses through which we should view security on the Korean Peninsula.2026-09-22T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/571cf9ccd08111b7Somali Piracy in 2026 is Not Just a Resurgence of a Past Problem2026-09-22T23:00:00+00:00Piracy off Somalia has surged in 2026. More than a ‘resurgence’ of a past problem, this reflects a rapidly evolving maritime security environment.2026-09-22T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/029d18424af42656Recasting American Power in Latin America2026-09-22T12:00:00+00:00Washington needs to recognize that influence in the Western Hemisphere comes from presence, delivery, and reliability. It also must recognize that while the United States remains the key external actor, it no longer operates in a permissive environment and cannot presume deference from regional players who have other options, namely China.2026-09-22T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/9f639bcb6c378e32Have U.S.-Belarusian Negotiations Stalled?2026-09-22T12:00:00+00:00Minsk clearly expected the dialogue with Washington to yield more results, in particular the lifting of EU sanctions and permission to export potash.2026-09-22T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/401e9142ad1de300The Disruptive Politics of AI2026-09-22T12:00:00+00:00AI technology has proliferated extensively and offers authoritarian leaders three crucial advantages: scale, speed, and efficiency. As a result, it has undoubtedly become a crucial tool of repression. But AI tools also give individuals and activists the means to organize, resist, and hold their governments accountable. Today, it is far more difficult for autocratic leaders to hide their corrupt practices and govern in darkness.2026-09-22T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f1ef99f516d6230dA Black Sea Truce Is About Global Food Security, Too2026-09-22T10:07:54.324000+00:00A summer of escalation in the Black Sea has hurt Ukraine economically and is exacerbating world food security. A truce is needed—as is a broader reframing of Europe’s Ukraine strategy.2026-09-22T10:07:54.324000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/d67ad952efdea3d3Three Ruptures and the End of Pax Americana in the Middle East2026-09-22T05:53:02.443000+00:00As the U.S. stumbles in its war with Iran, we are likely to see an acceleration of its disengagement from the region. 2026-09-22T05:53:02.443000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5e5142e8f356209aThe 1926 Slavery Convention’s Centennial in Context2026-09-22T00:00:00+00:00What do you do when you realize moral failure has underwritten your life? This is the story beyond the 1926 Slavery Convention, which was deeply imperfect, but 100 years ago constituted the international community's first attempt at ending the moral scourge of slavery.2026-09-22T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/6578031f47cdfc7cHe Said, Xi Said2026-09-22T00:00:00+00:00In this week’s column, Bill Reinsch discusses potential outcomes of the upcoming summit between President Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping in Washington.2026-09-22T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7c75e2965513ed09China & Taiwan Update, September 22, 20262026-09-22T00:00:00+00:00China & Taiwan Update, September 22, 20262026-09-22T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/785306cb50fae121Xi Jinping’s Return to Washington: A State Visit to Build Stability2026-09-22T00:00:00+00:00Xi’s visit to Washington is likely to be heavy on optics and symbolism but light on substantive progress, highlighting both leaders’ conviction that each is the only one who can manage the other and that regular meetings are necessary to stabilize the bilateral relationship.2026-09-22T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/cd23bc137205b34bRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 22, 20262026-09-22T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 22, 20262026-09-22T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b0b86e7b0e3c7ddbWhat Iran and Ukraine Reveal About OSINT in War2026-09-22T00:00:00+00:00The war with Iran and Russia's war on Ukraine hold a critical lesson for the United States: just how little control it may have over how foreign adversaries collect and exploit open-source intelligence against its interests.2026-09-22T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/13c4656558ddaf3cIran Update, September 22, 20262026-09-22T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, September 22, 20262026-09-22T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/fe48f0fcf8d2ca82Understanding the U.S. Federal Government’s AI Spending2026-09-22T00:00:00+00:00Federal agencies obligated $4.1 billion across 2,255 AI-related contracts since FY 2019, and 83 percent of those dollars went to the Defense Department. The CSIS Futures Lab follows the money trail and tracks the evolution of federal AI demand.2026-09-22T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5fb869054eb4b7bfEpisode 1: Avoiding Strategic Surprise: Lessons from NATO with Dr Florence Gaub2026-09-21T23:00:00+00:00NATO expert Dr Florence Gaub explains how strategic foresight helps NATO anticipate and avoid strategic surprise in an uncertain world.2026-09-21T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/52c03628bdd08ec1Putin’s Predictable Victory, Russia’s Uncertain Future2026-09-21T23:00:00+00:00Russia’s elections were a staged affair, designed to legitimise Putin’s war on Ukraine. But elections have never decided Russia’s future. The latest ballots are no exception2026-09-21T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/6cdf413b7be9a825Who Puts Guardrails on AI?2026-09-21T19:52:24.527000+00:00Why governance of rapidly evolving technology will be distributed and complex.2026-09-21T19:52:24.527000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c3a7326d26431d0bWho Is Cutting Cairo’s Trees?2026-09-21T05:24:57.241000+00:00In Egypt’s dense cities, the disappearance of foliage has health implications and punishes daily commuters.2026-09-21T05:24:57.241000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5e1cfc038ba1e2adWhat Would an Interim U.S.-Mexico Trade Deal Actually Involve?2026-09-21T00:00:00+00:00Mexico is close to an interim deal with the United States. What it concedes for tariff relief today could set the baseline for North America down the line.2026-09-21T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f86f4a5ca7b3aa77What a Limited Russian Incursion Into Estonia Might Look Like: A Narva Scenario2026-09-21T00:00:00+00:00What a Limited Russian Incursion Into Estonia Might Look Like: A Narva Scenario2026-09-21T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/649a9963831cd5b0The Levantine Opportunity in a Churning Middle East2026-09-21T00:00:00+00:00The wars of the past three years have eroded the fragile order of the Middle East. Now, for the first time in decades, the Levant has a chance to create a new alignment and build a regional order centered around strong, inclusive states, stability, and open trade.2026-09-21T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/1b9e3a42f5a70b1eIran Update, September 21, 20262026-09-21T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, September 21, 20262026-09-21T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/be4ccacc47013c21Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 21, 20262026-09-21T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 21, 20262026-09-21T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f7430edf04e7f988The Battle for Bab Al-Mandeb is Becoming a Contest for Regional Power2026-09-20T23:00:00+00:00Houthi gains around Bab Al-Mandeb have exposed rival visions of Gulf security, as Saudi Arabia, Israel, Turkey, Pakistan and the US weigh competing responses.2026-09-20T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/556e97b16f9bd084Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 20, 20262026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 20, 20262026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/d585414244546fd1Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 19, 20262026-09-19T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 19, 20262026-09-19T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/80470dec4313611bThe U.S. and China Need an AI Hotline. Here’s How to Build It.2026-09-18T20:02:04.205000+00:00It should address the shortcomings of previous crisis communication efforts and adapt to the demands of frontier AI.2026-09-18T20:02:04.205000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/928d58df34c9c58aLeaving Russian-Speakers Without Representation Is a Risk for Latvia2026-09-18T12:00:00+00:00If the Russian-speaking community in Latvia cannot articulate their interests without being seen as disloyal, they could end up embracing a pro-Kremlin agenda.2026-09-18T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/dfbc7764de6a1675Iraq’s Disarmament Path Begins with Reform of the PMF2026-09-18T10:31:08.461000+00:00The Zaidi government’s objective to collect weapons is constrained by regional conflict, but it can take certain measures at home.2026-09-18T10:31:08.461000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e0a4bc637197e2edChina & Taiwan Update, September 18, 20262026-09-18T00:00:00+00:00China & Taiwan Update, September 18, 20262026-09-18T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/fa7c61784b02b03fRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 18, 20262026-09-18T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 18, 20262026-09-18T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/98b3a92ed382c2deParaguay’s Next Development Chapter2026-09-18T00:00:00+00:00Paraguay today has the potential to transform its development story, but it will require close cooperation with international partners to make the best use of its advantages.2026-09-18T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b93aedf0dc345c96Iran Update, September 18, 20262026-09-18T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, September 18, 20262026-09-18T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/8dd0027c9169317bThe U.S.-China Summit: Too Big and Too Small to Fail2026-09-18T00:00:00+00:00Scott Kennedy argues that although the Trump-Xi summit will likely extend the current period of stability, the gap between the convening’s limited ambitions and the growing challenges facing the world points to a growing vacuum of global leadership.2026-09-18T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bfa1c6903d79c60aAmid Iran War Tensions, Energy Market Resilience Wears Thin2026-09-18T00:00:00+00:00Fresh attacks on energy infrastructure in the Middle East may push regional leaders to build the first post-U.S. security arrangement for the Strait of Hormuz. As U.S. voters head to the polls in a few weeks, an expensive war linked to affordability concerns will be top of mind.2026-09-18T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f481e4407a89c373Episode 2: Financing War in the Grey Zone2026-09-17T23:00:00+00:00This episode explores how conflict financing and hybrid threats expose gaps in the global anti-financial crime framework.2026-09-17T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f4b7eb8e08c98c30Responding to the Risks of Open-Weight AI Models2026-09-17T23:00:00+00:00Open-weight AI models place powerful capabilities beyond any developer’s control. The UK should clarify how its investigatory powers apply before criminal use becomes routine.2026-09-17T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e3193eea924275ffRUSI Mission Statement and Bye-Laws2026-09-17T23:00:00+00:00Read the mission statement and bye-laws as submitted to the Council of Trustees and the Annual General Meeting on 8 October 2026.2026-09-17T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/0a882a933c154f7bThe UN Isn’t Declining. It’s Decomposing.2026-09-17T18:46:34.182000+00:00Washington’s decision to support some UN functions while letting others wither is pulling the organization apart at the seams.2026-09-17T18:46:34.182000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/a56e02fc43667adeTaking the Pulse: Does the EU Have a Germany Problem?2026-09-17T12:00:00+00:00Are Germany’s economic, industrial, and political struggles becoming a liability for the EU’s ability to rise to the geopolitical moment?2026-09-17T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/830ccae82f70b9c9Putin Has Been a Hindrance, Not a Help, to United Russia’s Election Campaign2026-09-17T12:00:00+00:00Russia’s ruling party would have benefited from Putin appearing as its distant patron, but as an active frontman imposing his views on the public, he has done nothing but harm both the party’s election campaign and the ruling system overall.2026-09-17T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ddeb2d5a6a77832dIs the U.S. Banking System Ready for a Post-Quantum Future?2026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00Sultan Meghji argues that the hardest cryptographic deadline facing U.S. banks is being set by SWIFT and foreign supervisors, not Washington. Adversaries are harvesting encrypted financial traffic now. Three of the four fixes require no new statutory authority.2026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/64257c17d59b9d11The AI Industry Is Coalescing on “Pacing the Frontier.” Will It Actually Change Anything?2026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00Over the past week, frontier labs, policymakers, and the U.S. public have reached remarkable consensus around calls to pace AI development. What now? Aalok Mehta outlines the four steps government and industry must take to translate the current moment into durable change.2026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/30a4169bc505e21aRussian Occupation Update, September 17, 20262026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00Russian Occupation Update, September 17, 20262026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/23dea024d7f70195Don’t Slow Down AI Development—Speed Up Benchmarking2026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00Ben Jensen and Yasir Atalan argue that the United States should stop debating how fast to build and start funding independent benchmarking—through NSF, NIST, and university policy labs.2026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/476f2b217d2f3ef6Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 17, 20262026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 17, 20262026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/261d07d906c5e299CSIS Press Briefing: Previewing the Trump-Xi Summit2026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) hosted a call-in press briefing to preview the upcoming Trump-Xi Summit.2026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/58272bb9297efee5Iran Update, September 17, 20262026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, September 17, 20262026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7105dffb4815760dBuilding and Using a U.S. Polar Defense Industrial Base2026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00As great power competition intensifies, expanding the U.S. polar industrial base can bolster U.S. defense capabilities, support the peaceful governance of the Arctic and Antarctic, and create new economic opportunities at home.2026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ff0f1bf513a07759Six Charts to Explain the Global Energy Crisis2026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00The conflict with Iran continues to redraw the energy map. Six charts show how major producers and consumers are stabilizing markets through reserve releases, lower imports, and increased U.S. production of oil, gas, and helium.2026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/61131ed5dcfecc13Moscow’s Other Front: Why Ukraine’s Churches Are a Security Issue2026-09-16T23:00:00+00:00A CIA director and the Vatican’s foreign minister were in Moscow in August. The spy chief drew the coverage; the Archbishop’s visit showed religion belongs in any analysis and resolution of Russia’s war.2026-09-16T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/1196bb85e494f546China’s Construction of Police Training Facilities in Global South Likely to Expand Global Security Leadership2026-09-16T12:00:00+00:00China’s police training infrastructure construction projects provide benefits to recipient countries, promote China’s image as a major global security provider, and are likely to reinforce alignment between Beijing’s security priorities and those of countries in the Global South.2026-09-16T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/52e46d5785cf7937On Artificial Intelligence in the Military Domain and the Implications for Human Rights2026-09-16T12:00:00+00:00The world is at a critical inflection point, where a combination of ever more powerful AI systems, accelerating proliferation, and a corresponding norms vacuum is setting up a dangerous set of conditions.2026-09-16T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/001fcb86f6aa97e1States Weekly: September 16, 20262026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00This edition of States Weekly covers September 16, 2026.2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/fe6d738af4d345f3Nuclear Statecraft: The Saudi Deal and U.S.-China Competition2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00The proposed U.S.-Saudi civil nuclear agreement has both risks and opportunities for U.S. national security. What would Washington gain? How might it affect global nonproliferation norms, or shape global interests in nuclear defense capacity? How might it impact U.S. competition with China?2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/46582f39b1cdeef1The Future of the Space Data Network: How the Pentagon Can Ensure a Competitive Marketplace2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00The Space Force must move quickly to build the Space Data Network, but speed should not come at the expense of competition. Matt Pearl examines how open standards, interoperability and vendor diversity can preserve strategic optionality and strengthen LEO satellite markets now.2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/87a9aaa762c0cb9bWhat a Driver’s License Breach Shows About Foreign Data-AI Threats2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00A hacker advertised 153 million stolen driver's license images for sale. Far more than one breach, the incident exposes how foreign adversaries can amass and combine datasets and AI capabilities to build dossiers on Americans.2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b57d9ef4c6147ca1The Russian Military Campaign Against Europe: Defining the Threat2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00The Russian Military Campaign Against Europe: Defining the Threat2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/296b458327876e27AI Security Threats Aren’t a Hoax—But They Also Aren’t as Existential as They Might Seem2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00From a national security perspective, the abuses of AI outlined in Anthropic’s report aren’t especially new or surprising—in fact, they are consistent with how threat actors already behave, using AI to enhance the speed, scale, efficacy, and reach of their operations.2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/82a6f845aaa6d16dKorean Peninsula Update, September 16, 20262026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00Korean Peninsula Update, September 16, 20262026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/2e71671d06b55602The Long Arm of China and North Korea’s Repression2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00CSIS' ongoing study found inmates in political prison camps are mobilized for manufacturing tied to Chinese orders. These abuses are not incidental; they sustain a partnership that reinforces North Korea's regime and its system of state control.2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c94e661f694a5054Iran Update, September 16, 20262026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, September 16, 20262026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/45068aff748cba46Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 16, 20262026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 16, 20262026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e1281b2869f47da1A Russian Oligarch Speaks Out, But Not Against Russia's War2026-09-15T23:00:00+00:00Russian industrial magnate Melnichenko, writing in the Economist, shares an incoherent worldview and shows how Russia’s business elite rationalise the Ukraine war.2026-09-15T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/58b84c31f03d527cIllicit Finance in a Fragmenting World: Can the Global System Keep Pace?2026-09-15T23:00:00+00:00Today’s financial integrity architecture took shape in an era of multilateral cooperation. Can it still be effective in a world divided by war and geopolitical rivalry?2026-09-15T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b40bfe796ab94f35What Would Need to Happen to Slow AI Development?2026-09-15T21:14:38.484000+00:00AI capabilities are moving fast. Most institutions—including governments—can’t keep up.2026-09-15T21:14:38.484000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/2df60613f226d24cBIS in the New Age of Import Controls2026-09-15T19:40:48.387000+00:00The Bureau of Industry and Security needs to adjust its focus and practices to maintain its position as the U.S. government’s primary champion of international technological competition.2026-09-15T19:40:48.387000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f0b280b87f7853722026 Carnegie California AI Survey2026-09-15T15:50:17.626000+00:00While there are notable demographic, economic, and geographic divides over AI, there is also substantial alignment between Republicans and Democrats.2026-09-15T15:50:17.626000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c1e83fd88d844762The Speech Ursula von der Leyen Can’t Deliver2026-09-15T12:00:00+00:00European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is about to give her annual address on the state of the EU. Here’s what she won’t—but should—say.2026-09-15T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/03373c5ccc60d2e7The Kremlin Can No Longer Postpone Hard Economic Decisions2026-09-15T12:00:00+00:00Depleted financial reserves and a shrinking tax base mean it is no longer possible to simultaneously deliver high defense spending, price stability, and economic growth.2026-09-15T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bd2898a619884209How Is Hungary’s New Government Doing?2026-09-15T12:00:00+00:00Despite myriad challenges and occasional stumbles, the new Hungarian government is moving ahead with energy and conviction to uproot years of illiberalism and corruption and rebuild Hungarian democracy.2026-09-15T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/22b14a603e250609Old Wine in New Battles2026-09-15T05:31:55.227000+00:00It is improbable that Israel’s forthcoming elections will alter much in terms of how the country thinks about security. 2026-09-15T05:31:55.227000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bdcd52df03319bcdExpect A More Dangerous Asia If Maritime Issues Don’t Make the Trump-Xi Agenda2026-09-15T00:00:00+00:00With Beijing accelerating efforts to bend and break the rules in the waters of Asia, now is the time for Washington to show resolve and deter another global maritime crisis.2026-09-15T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/487206e68fb114dcLast Week Meatballs, This Week Spaghetti2026-09-15T00:00:00+00:00In this week’s column, Bill Reinsch discusses tariff investigations into dumping and subsidization practices by pasta manufacturers.2026-09-15T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/56e30d5e559a9425Powering America: The Grid, Affordability, and Energy Dominance2026-09-15T00:00:00+00:00The CSIS Energy Security and Climate Change Program hosted Nick Elliot, Senior Director of Power at the White House National Energy Dominance Council, for a conversation on the future of the U.S. electricity system.2026-09-15T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/382ccbd67ca8e5a2China & Taiwan Update, September 15, 20262026-09-15T00:00:00+00:00China & Taiwan Update, September 15, 20262026-09-15T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/3eb3264f945c4dcfRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 15, 20262026-09-15T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 15, 20262026-09-15T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ecc78176811d5649Iran Update, September 15, 20262026-09-15T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, September 15, 20262026-09-15T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c63ef4e1008f2d0cBritain’s Defence Industrial Strategy Has a University-Shaped Gap2026-09-14T23:00:00+00:00The 2025 Defence Industrial Strategy casts universities as suppliers of graduates and research. To deliver it, they must become part of the machinery itself.2026-09-14T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/a341e37ab6388fdeOn AI, Cairo Plays China and the U.S. Off Against Each Other2026-09-14T11:44:35.094000+00:00Huawei pushed hard to enter the Egyptian data centers market, until the Americans made a better offer.2026-09-14T11:44:35.094000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/017e15d0a9c17315How Europe’s 2027 Elections Could Test EU Governance2026-09-14T07:46:47.221000+00:00Radical-right parties are expected to do well in upcoming elections in four of the EU's biggest member states. If successful, they could prevent the union from addressing key challenges ahead.2026-09-14T07:46:47.221000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/855476142d5156ebAUKUS Turns Five: Real Progress, Hard Challenges Ahead2026-09-14T00:00:00+00:00Five years on, the AUKUS partnership has built the scaffolding for deterrence. Now it has to prove the scaffolding can bear weight.2026-09-14T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/991ec97dcb70e8aaChina’s Open-Weight Challenge to U.S. AI Leadership2026-09-14T00:00:00+00:00The United States hedged it bets on AI leadership driven by frontier models. This bet could be losing ground to a cheaper, open alternative.2026-09-14T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7c600e978e28cc50Iran and the Emerging Security Order in the Middle East2026-09-14T00:00:00+00:00The war with Iran has reshaped the Middle East, exposing the limits of U.S. power and raising questions about the future of regional security. As the old order unravels, Tehran may emerge with greater influence in a more multipolar region.2026-09-14T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c30c57af80a946b3Iran Update, September 14, 20262026-09-14T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, September 14, 20262026-09-14T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/585a367c5b4586beRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 14, 20262026-09-14T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 14, 20262026-09-14T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/585f6757d15517c3‘No Good Answer’: Who Would Defend a United Ireland?2026-09-13T23:00:00+00:00Northern Ireland is NATO territory. Irish unification would remove it from the Alliance – and neither London nor Dublin has planned for the defence consequences.2026-09-13T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bbc15f8e9c91efb3RUSI Reflects: The Mecca Agreement: From US Primacy to Regional Agency2026-09-13T23:00:00+00:00The Mecca Agreement could be the building blocks of what emerges as a new security order in the Middle East.2026-09-13T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/acd5d745ea846745Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 13, 20262026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 13, 20262026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e021a5f9eb421143Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 12, 20262026-09-12T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 12, 20262026-09-12T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ab186ebe400329119/11 at 25: A Reading List for Understanding the War on Terror2026-09-11T14:19:18.532000+00:00The books, podcasts, and films that explain the world it made.2026-09-11T14:19:18.532000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/0c279e181ccb85f0How Do the Latest Black Sea Attacks Affect Global Food Security?2026-09-11T00:00:00+00:00For the first time since 2022, attacks on agricultural infrastructure and cargo vessels are limiting grain exports from Russia and Ukraine at the same time. CSIS experts examine the latest attacks, their food-security impacts, and how the Iran war is worsening the crisis.2026-09-11T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f9e997bef0c4cba4A Pacific Leaders Meeting with Too Few Leaders2026-09-11T00:00:00+00:00As Pacific leaders gathered to strengthen regional unity, intensifying geopolitical competition put the region’s growing strategic importance—and its autonomy—squarely in the spotlight.2026-09-11T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7d19177b45b76c93Hormuz Needs a Community, Not a Condominium2026-09-11T00:00:00+00:00A deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz that sidelines Gulf states would entrench coercion and invite a new conflict. Postwar Europe offers a better model: a shared governance mechanism that dilutes leverage and fosters long-term cooperation.2026-09-11T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/9b4905909421c739The Billion-Dollar Chip: Who Can Afford to Design the Future?2026-09-11T00:00:00+00:00As the cost of designing leading-edge chips approaches $1 billion, frontier semiconductor design is becoming accessible to fewer firms. The United States must reduce the underlying cost of design to preserve innovation and competitiveness across critical industries.2026-09-11T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/01e58c7158a5ebd0China & Taiwan Update, September 11, 20262026-09-11T00:00:00+00:00China & Taiwan Update, September 11, 20262026-09-11T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/dac2de40533acaffRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 11, 20262026-09-11T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 11, 20262026-09-11T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b82aacc237a39b6fIran Update, September 11, 20262026-09-11T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, September 11, 20262026-09-11T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c2cf527f1d4147c225 Years After 9/11: Whatever Happened to Mass-Effect Terrorism?2026-09-10T23:00:00+00:00One mystery about 9/11 is why no attack of comparable scale has followed. With new motivations, enhanced delivery and AI-devised weapons, there should be no complacency.2026-09-10T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/96e29500bfdac593How Low-Skill Russian Sabotage Drives High-Stakes Outcomes2026-09-10T23:00:00+00:00Russian reliance on amateur saboteurs enables an escalating campaign across NATO but creates a less-visible risk of unintended escalation by operational dysfunction.2026-09-10T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/3b3b5c463c7e0852Recording: Reflections, 25 Years After 9/112026-09-10T23:00:00+00:00An expert panel reflected on the profound impact the 9/11 terrorist attacks had on security and global strategy, 25 years on.2026-09-10T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b8048ca522462f1dThe UN Security Council Is Deadlocked on Climate. New Members Have a Path Forward.2026-09-10T20:41:44.603000+00:00They face an uphill climb, but they could draw on a strategy that other diplomats have used in the past.2026-09-10T20:41:44.603000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7fdccbae50d98953The Iran War’s Climate, Environmental, and Human Security Fallout2026-09-10T17:06:12.574000+00:00Understanding the climatic pain points is necessary for policymakers hoping to minimize the war’s negative environmental consequences.2026-09-10T17:06:12.574000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/4183eba9961c9724America Walks Away from Global Democracy2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00By abandoning past U.S. pro-democracy policies and adopting several lines of pro-autocratic action, the Trump administration has fundamentally repositioned the United States vis-à-vis democracy in the world.2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ace18337a983a44bEurope Fails to Learn the Lessons from Ceuta2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00The aftermath of the Ceuta crisis shows Europe has drawn the wrong lessons. Rather than doubling down on failed migration policies, the EU needs to address the underlying roots of such episodes.2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/36845a83b6d5d2f1Ten Years After Karimov’s Death, How Much Has Uzbekistan Really Changed?2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00In the tenth year of his presidency, President Mirziyoyev’s system is becoming even more personalized than that of his predecessor Karimov.2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/19cb1f34cc18651bImagining an Insurgency in Post-Revolutionary Iran2026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00What if the United States invades Iran to restore regional stability? Iran’s post-regime military strategy would rely on insurgent warfare to draw the United States into a protracted conflict, impeding U.S. efforts to achieve long-term political goals.2026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/21532df7679c3a31Building Quantum-Ready Infrastructure: Preparing for the Physical Demands of Quantum Computing2026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00To avoid delays similar to the ones that the AI industry has experienced, the U.S. quantum industry needs to strengthen its supply chains for cryogenics, laser, optics, and other materials. Governments, firms, laboratories, and universities have a rare planning window.2026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/33ff1605a2eea70dAdapting to the New Terrorism Landscape 25 Years After 9/112026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00Post-9/11 counterterrorism efforts made large, foreign-directed attacks harder to execute. Stopping the terrorist threat that remains today requires a new approach.2026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/8fd4bbbdc08dc967Where’s the Beef This Time?2026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00In this week’s column, Bill Reinsch examines the trade and non-trade causes of rising U.S. beef prices, as well as attempts by the White House and Department of Agriculture to limit the impact on the agriculture industry.2026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5a88264a657ce4aeEducating the Kingdom at Home2026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00This installment of Charting the Middle East examines the kingdom's shift from financing overseas education to strengthening domestic educational capacity as part of its broader economic transformation.2026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/cff6c3a0135c0ad4Does Vietnam’s Soaring U.S. Trade Deficit Make It a Bad Actor?2026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00There is little if any justification for any trade policy crackdown on Vietnam for allegedly being a bad actor, harming U.S. economic interests, or aiding and abetting China’s trade interests.2026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/31ab8b252e832475Russia Is Integrating AI Models into Its Cognitive Warfare Campaign Against Ukraine2026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00Russia Is Integrating AI Models into Its Cognitive Warfare Campaign Against Ukraine2026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7cd13cfd9de1ba02Russian Occupation Update, September 10, 20262026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00Russian Occupation Update, September 10, 20262026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/1616a362fc875e24Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 10, 20262026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 10, 20262026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b97aa18a42503917Iran Update September 10, 20262026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update September 10, 20262026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ee38c51a673481c7Leipzig Sabotage: Why Transport Underpins NATO and Russia’s Defences2026-09-09T23:00:00+00:00Germany’s attribution of the Leipzig drone attack to Russia shows why transport networks now sit at the centre of both NATO’s and Russia’s defence.2026-09-09T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f20d77ca583e5e03British–German Nuclear Cooperation: Joint Support, Not Financing2026-09-09T23:00:00+00:00Direct German funding of the UK’s nuclear deterrent would create more problems than it solves. Deeper Anglo-German cooperation on integrated deterrence offers a better path.2026-09-09T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/301e95017d142ebdThe Fallout of the U.S.–Canada Trade War Won’t Be Limited to North America2026-09-09T19:45:54.361000+00:00Even if Ottawa and Washington reach a deal, caution and distrust are likely to linger among key U.S. trade partners, particularly in Asia.2026-09-09T19:45:54.361000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c715c1dacd4f3d18Is the U.S.-Saudi Nuclear Deal Moving From the Gold Standard to a Gilded Standard?2026-09-09T18:57:19.911000+00:00Congress should ask tough questions about the agreement’s more unique features and whether they advance U.S. interests or compromise them.2026-09-09T18:57:19.911000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/1c6127ad516987e8How to Engage with New Media: A Strategic Guide for Nonprofit Organizations2026-09-09T12:00:00+00:00To remain effective, organizations need to master new media and legitimacy markers to make a once-in-a-century shift.2026-09-09T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/744930112b0659efAmerican Power: A View from China2026-09-09T12:00:00+00:00Chinese strategists are once again debating whether American power is declining and whether U.S. hegemony is experiencing irreversible decay.2026-09-09T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/437e34c71a40384dRussia and the West Want Different Things From Telegram’s Durov2026-09-09T12:00:00+00:00While France and Australia are seeking to establish the legal obligations of messaging apps like Telegram, Russia wants total subordination.2026-09-09T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/72c77757802767c7New Satellite Imagery Analysis Reveals an Uptick in 2026 Construction Activity at Pickaxe Mountain2026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00Multisource imagery analysis reveals a new phase of construction at Pickaxe Mountain, Iran's underground nuclear facility. Images indicate more construction activity in 2026 than at any point in the site's history.2026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/06ac106593dcb3fcWill LLMs Help or Hinder the Democratic Process?2026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00With growing reliance on LLMs for information gathering, it is critical to examine how this technology will impact elections and other exercises in political accountability.2026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7d317e1dcea32c0aThe Middle East at a “Hinge Moment”2026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00The Middle East has entered a hinge moment—the old order dying, a new one yet to emerge. As the region’s own actors, fortified by newfound agency, compete to shape this unsettled interval, many trajectories, from renewed conflict to stabilization, remain possible.2026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/4de22e0abc3c3bb9Why the Administration Needs to Deliver on Spectrum2026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00Congress set an ambitious mid-band spectrum agenda; now the White House must overcome federal resistance and deliver the wireless capacity needed to deploy AI across the physical economy.2026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/357eea92cda12874States Weekly: September 9, 20262026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00This edition of States Weekly covers September 9, 2026.2026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/819707e5c63004b1Distillation Under TRUST: The Case for a U.S.-India Trusted AI Model Distillation and Diffusion Corridor2026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00Washington and New Delhi share a problem: Capable Chinese open-weight AI models are winning the Global South. A U.S.-India distillation corridor under TRUST could turn that shared vulnerability into shared leverage and keep Chinese models from setting AI’s terms worldwide.2026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/1126b8d84c704311Korean Peninsula Update, September 9, 20262026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00Korean Peninsula Update, September 9, 20262026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/d3282dfd222a1a80Iran Update, September 9, 20262026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, September 9, 20262026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/9f6a483a40093126Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 9, 20262026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 9, 20262026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/2e4ee27b8c4082deForce Regeneration through the Veteran ID Card and Defence Gateway2026-09-08T23:00:00+00:00A low-cost route to force regeneration: actively manage the Veterans ID card and Defence Gateway to build a dynamic, trained virtual reserve from those who have served.2026-09-08T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/87b9bc8ed7d03eeb2027 Will Test New Zealand's Defence at the Speed of Relevance2026-09-08T23:00:00+00:00New Zealand's 2025 Defence Capability Plan is a promise, not a result. A Defence Capacity Statement could keep national-security risk, readiness and delivery connected.2026-09-08T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/dd549d66999c5860Episode 128: The Future of War: How Autonomous Systems Are Reshaping Conflict2026-09-08T23:00:00+00:00General David Petraeus discusses autonomous warfare, drone technology and the military transformation driven by Ukraine.2026-09-08T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5bef81504ce54502Recording: Award Ceremony of the 2025 Duke of Wellington Medal for Military History2026-09-08T23:00:00+00:00The Award Ceremony of the 2025 Duke of Wellington Medal for Military History, which went to Keith Lowe for his book Naples 1944: War, Liberation and Chaos .2026-09-08T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/4f61689d024f6440How the U.S. Export-Import Bank Can Finally Join the Fight Against Climate Change2026-09-08T12:00:00+00:00Congress needs to step up and make EXIM a low-carbon financing powerhouse.2026-09-08T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/a473882854c996e8Germany’s Shattered Consensus2026-09-08T12:00:00+00:00An overwhelming victory by a far-right-wing party in a small state in eastern Germany will have major repercussions for Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s coalition.2026-09-08T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/515794ac34605a27Russia’s Orthodox Church Rewrites Rules for Venerating Saints to Help the Kremlin2026-09-08T12:00:00+00:00The recent uncovering of Dmitry Donskoy’s relics in the Cathedral of the Archangel is yet another attempt by the Russian Orthodox Church to help the state solve its problems. However, parroting the state’s version of Russian history leaves the Church with no message except “patriotism.”2026-09-08T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/edd7774177862f30Polysilicon and the Merits of Trade Measures as Industrial Policy2026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00Trade measures alone are unlikely to rebuild U.S. capacity without domestic incentives and a coordinated ex-China global market.2026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/d0cc331346883bbbThe Narco Highway: Mapping the Pacific’s Drug Trade2026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00The global drug trade is expanding across the Pacific, turning one of the world’s largest oceans into a growing trafficking corridor.2026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/2058148fc1c99e4fThe European Front in Commercial Data Exploitation2026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00Commercial location data remains a major hole in European—and especially in American—security that adversaries such as Russia and China are primed to exploit.2026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/78af6fb035b98d4bPacTech Pulse: September 20262026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00This edition of PacTech Pulse covers September 2026.2026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c33e6f3f6091f2f6What SBA’s New Size Standards Could Mean for Small Businesses2026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00The Small Business Administration has announced changes to its standards of what constitute a “small business,” allowing larger firms to access contracts, lending, and other opportunities reserved for small businesses. This Critical Questions analysis explores the new changes’ impact on competition, innovation, and existing small businesses in the federal contracting marketplace.2026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/dba0831be35f993eRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 8, 20262026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 8, 20262026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/daf9c9a70e090ef8Iran Update, September 8, 20262026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, September 8, 20262026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bc89d4a2dfcdd847The Renaissance of the Dissident Republican Threat2026-09-07T23:00:00+00:00The dissident Irish republican terror group threat is changing. Counter-terrorism officials must keep pace to meet the evolving security challenge.2026-09-07T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b9c41d0b8d6c0ef3Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 7, 20262026-09-07T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 7, 20262026-09-07T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/499c8bc34b70aeb6Iran Update, September 7, 20262026-09-07T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, September 7, 20262026-09-07T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f1c1d509f7b26311Russia’s Most Dangerous Military Adaptation Is Recovery2026-09-06T23:00:00+00:00Russia is learning how to restore command, targeting and sustainment after disruption. NATO should measure success by how long the military function stays unavailable.2026-09-06T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ea330be384248058Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 6, 20262026-09-06T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 6, 20262026-09-06T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/d7b0830095b2e77aRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 5, 20262026-09-05T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 5, 20262026-09-05T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f09af54bd12d4fd2As It Turns 25, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Reflects the New World Order2026-09-04T12:00:00+00:00With the growth in points of friction between the great powers, organizations like the SCO will continue to play a role in the strategic adaptation of the smaller powers caught between them.2026-09-04T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/d1e6ae7d92e437ceUnderstanding the Implications of the U.S.-Venezuela Oil Deal2026-09-04T00:00:00+00:00CSIS Americas Program Senior Associate Jose Ignacio Hernández explains the U.S.-Venezuela oil agreement and examines its implications for U.S. energy policy and Venezuela’s political transition.2026-09-04T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7fdc7bea54a2116fNicaragua’s Dictatorship Deepens: What Can the International Community Do?2026-09-04T00:00:00+00:00CSIS Americas Program experts evaluate next steps for the United States and the international community amid further authoritarian consolidation by the Ortega-Murillo regime in Nicaragua.2026-09-04T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/017819710fce28b5China & Taiwan Update, September 4, 20262026-09-04T00:00:00+00:00China & Taiwan Update, September 4, 20262026-09-04T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/95dc34adc32ab0ceRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 4, 20262026-09-04T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 4, 20262026-09-04T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/fdb58d418d184cf2Iran Update, September 4, 20262026-09-04T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, September 4, 20262026-09-04T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/4d87daecc6b71f0cEurope Started Talking Nuclear Deterrence. Still Missing: A Plan2026-09-03T23:00:00+00:00Europe's nuclear future prominently on the agenda. But talk is cheap, even of grand designs, and the debate lacks an understanding of joint responses or near-term steps.2026-09-03T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/9d665c72a0b297f3Episode 1: From Compliance to Risk Management: A View from the US Treasury2026-09-03T23:00:00+00:00This episode examines how the US Treasury thinks about financial crime, sanctions, fraud and protecting the integrity of the financial system.2026-09-03T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/22b6cc840e4becaeThe Two Key Takeaways From Xi’s Egypt Visit2026-09-03T19:53:56.458000+00:00Amid celebrations of bilateral ties was a deeper focus on stability in the Middle East.2026-09-03T19:53:56.458000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/40fd6befdf6d47d0Cameroon’s President Went Abroad for Months. His Return Brought More Questions Than Answers.2026-09-03T18:32:14.196000+00:00The ninety-three-year-old Biya’s absence and refusal to name a vice president threaten to upend domestic and regional stability.2026-09-03T18:32:14.196000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/03819d6c88fce06bTaking the Pulse: Is Canada Leading a Third Way?2026-09-03T12:00:00+00:00Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has twice inspired praise for standing up to U.S. President Donald Trump: at the 2026 World Economic Forum in Davos and on Canada-U.S. trade negotiations. Is Carney showing a third way better than the EU has in dealing with the Trump administration?2026-09-03T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c0acdb5f7394baacU.S.-Africa Trade at a Crossroads: A Moment for New Thinking2026-09-03T00:00:00+00:00AGOA has been extended for two years, but U.S.-Africa trade remains stagnant. The extension provides an opportunity to develop a new framework that meets the commercial goals and ambitions of the United States and African countries.2026-09-03T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/795d398f74aa0c2aThe End of American Sanctuary2026-09-03T00:00:00+00:00In Foreign Affairs, Seth Jones argues new threats demand new U.S. homeland defense strategies2026-09-03T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/be4eceecde7fcd6aOwn Goals2026-09-03T00:00:00+00:00In this week’s column, Bill Reinsch examines a series of "own goals" caused not by a mistake during a crisis but by a failure of good governance.2026-09-03T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/33406ea739fd100cThe Pacific Is Ground Zero for Deep-Sea Mining2026-09-03T00:00:00+00:00The race for critical minerals race is moving offshore, and the Pacific is ground zero.2026-09-03T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/70e6a1196eb3c1b6Russian Occupation Update, September 3, 20262026-09-03T00:00:00+00:00Russian Occupation Update, September 3, 20262026-09-03T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/9bbd0f53f9e0b48eIran Update, September 3, 20262026-09-03T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, September 3, 20262026-09-03T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/a17d79774bc6e4d7Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 3, 20262026-09-03T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 3, 20262026-09-03T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/81a6a826537411e2Cyber Campaigning: Mid-Tier States Can Leverage Civilian Cyber Power2026-09-02T23:00:00+00:00States lacking vast nuclear and conventional capabilities should team with the private sector via letters of marque and digital levée en masse.2026-09-02T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7f191bb27dc716f7Unfinished Business: Effective UK Anti-Money Laundering Supervision2026-09-02T23:00:00+00:00The UK is overhauling how it oversees the legal and accountancy sectors for anti-money laundering, but making the new system work is the real test.2026-09-02T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/390d19ac89af1bddOperationalizing AI Sovereignty Through Agency, Interoperability, and Openness2026-09-02T12:00:00+00:00AI sovereignty should be operationalized as a strategic capacity built through three interdependent pillars.2026-09-02T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/3b21baef06efa94aHow the Kremlin Turned Tech Whiz-Kid VK Into a Loss-Making State Corporation2026-09-02T12:00:00+00:00The war in Ukraine and a change in ownership led VK to neglect its commercial ventures in favor of implementing the Kremlin’s online agenda. Now it’s been sanctioned by the EU.2026-09-02T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/db8ea02984eb2c57Less of America is More2026-09-02T06:29:51.211000+00:00Middle Eastern states should welcome an accelerated U.S. disengagement from their region. 2026-09-02T06:29:51.211000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/34b550e6630f618c(Still) Awaiting Launch: Space Export Control Reform2026-09-02T00:00:00+00:00U.S. space companies deserve a level playing field abroad. Long-awaited export control reforms must account for foreign competition, strengthen international partnerships, and keep pace with a rapidly changing global market.2026-09-02T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/05e913779299c26dStates Weekly: September 2, 20262026-09-02T00:00:00+00:00This edition of States Weekly covers September 2, 2026.2026-09-02T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bea76e142294e16bPersistent Competition and Legacy Architecture2026-09-02T00:00:00+00:00Today, the U.S. homeland is more vulnerable than it has ever been in recent times from state and non-state adversaries, and moving forward, the United States needs to urgently develop capabilities, policies, laws, and structures for better protection.2026-09-02T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bea3aa897b62d6ebStrategic Partnerships to Secure Critical Resources and Supply Chains2026-09-02T00:00:00+00:00The United States does not have sufficient domestic geological resources to meet its mineral needs for sectors vital to national security, economic competitiveness, and energy resilience. International partnerships not optional; they are a fundamental component of U.S. mineral security.2026-09-02T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/72a9aa49ab496c64Korean Peninsula Update, September 2, 20262026-09-02T00:00:00+00:00Korean Peninsula Update, September 2, 20262026-09-02T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/a625bd1a7775b4e7Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 2, 20262026-09-02T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 2, 20262026-09-02T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f5f944b71cd7a53aIran Update, September 2, 20262026-09-02T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, September 2, 20262026-09-02T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5893d4342915e5cbEditorial: RUSI Journal, Issue 5, 20262026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00Kevin Rowlands, Editor of the RUSI Journal, introduces 2026's Issue 5.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c7c64d6267e16b4eStay Humble and Listen: Elisa de Anda Madrazo on Leading the FATF2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00An Interview by the Director of the Centre for Finance and Security at RUSI based on his podcast with the outgoing FATF President.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/6c12ca0253a38d47Does the FATF Take a Risk-Based Approach?2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00In a Professional Insight, the author questions the gap between principle and practice in the FATF's risk-based approach to financial crime. Is the FATF undermining its legitimacy?2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/1a8ba63efb38d3ffReassessing Structural, Contextual Constraints in FATF Evaluations2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00In this Research Article, the author argues that FATF Mutual Evaluations underplay governance and structural constraints, leading to unrealistic expectations of AML/CFT systems.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/9958af515c8e45f4Combatting the Illicit Financing of Hybrid Threats2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00A Professional Insight in which the authors examine Russia's war in Ukraine and destabilisation of Europe to show how hybrid warfare is financed through illicit networks. They argue that the FATF and states need new typologies, metrics and controls to disrupt the funding.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/1ccc76a10b4e7738Cutting Through the Myths of Blockchain Analysis2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00In this Feature, an investigator challenges the idea that blockchain analysis is too complex. Using his own practice, he argues that simple, systematic wallet labelling can expose large-scale illicit crypto activity, and calls for analytics firms and regulators to refocus on this work rather than hype-driven tools.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f2a9eeae4bce5f73Sanctions and the Militarisation of Ukraine's Children2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00Russia’s mass abduction and militarisation of Ukrainian children is a grave abuse. This Feature assesses how far current sanctions address the problem and argues for broader measures that target the camps, officials, businesses and banks enabling it.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/3a3f64c99bd685fbA Strong Taskforce Needs a Strong Secretariat2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00Drawing on the author’s experience as Executive Secretary, this Professional Insight argues that strengthening the secretariat is essential if the FATF is to survive growing geopolitical ruptures.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/af73bcff98e2de92Illicit Finance in a Fragmenting World2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00Guest editor Kinga Redlowska introduces the special edition of the RUSI Journal.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/710d2b82e7f9a84aRevision to FATF Recommendation 8: Impacts on Sub-Saharan Africa2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00FATF Recommendation 8 was intended to protect legitimate charities, but in practice many sub-Saharan African governments have used it to justify blanket, costly regulation of non-profit organisations. This Research Article examines how over implementation harms civic space and financial access.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b27d1c23eb862e58Is the Financial Action Task Force Fit for the Future?2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00In this Research Article, the author argues that the FATF’s current enforcement model, especially greylisting, is ill suited to lower-income countries. She calls for more representative governance and a shift from sanctions towards cooperative, interaction based compliance.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5b2884feed69d0a0The Battery Gap: Building Industrial Strength for a Military Edge2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00Going without notice until they are not there, batteries are increasingly critical to Defence, but a steady supply is far from assured.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5ca9caf6f5358ca1The FATF Needs to Tackle How War is Financed2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00Conflict financing sits at the heart of many grey- and blacklisted jurisdictions, yet the FATF has never treated it as a distinct, cross cutting risk. In this Professional Insight, the author calls for a dedicated report on how wars are funded, to guide more nuanced, risk-based responses and strengthen the organisation’s credibility with conflict affected states.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/19cf62777b54aedeThe Special Relationship in an Era of Strategic Transformation2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00. . . And the Urgent Need for Sweeping Military Institutional Change. Remarks by General David H. Petraeus to the House of Lords, 1 September 2026.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/a54fd0feeed00f87Everybody Loves Our Dollars: How Money Laundering Won2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00Tom Keatinge reviews Everybody Loves Our Dollars: How Money Laundering Won, by Oliver Bullough.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/cb5694427a9cb42fDoing Business with Criminals: Between Exclusion and Surveillance2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00Georgia Jones reviews Doing Business with Criminals: Between Exclusion and Surveillance, by Anton Moiseienko.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bac9f5498220ed4dSteal2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00Tom Keatinge reviews Steal, directed by Sam Miller and Hettie MacDonald (Amazon Studios, 2026).2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/4e7172d0247e2747Barentsburg: Caught Between Worlds2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00Photojournalist Susan Schulman travelled to the last Russian settlement on NATO territory in February 2026 to discover how the Russo-Ukrainian war has affected the Ukrainians and Russians living there.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/28871078a8340045Why FSRBs are Central to Sustaining the FATF’s Effectiveness2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00The author uses this Research Article to argue that the FATF's expanding demands risk creating 'reform overload' in lower-capacity jurisdictions. He shows how FATF Style Regional Bodies can act as stabilisers, so that effectiveness is sustained in practice rather than reduced to formal compliance.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/4c85922bd19a0168The Dual Burden of FATF Compliance for Developing Countries2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00In this Research Article, the author shows how developing countries carry a dual burden under the FATF system: costly efforts to build effective AML/CFT regimes; and the added economic fallout of greylisting when they fall short. She argues that mutual evaluations and listing should be context sensitive to avoid undermining reform in lower-capacity states.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/a67fc68c703e3ce0Proliferation Financing Risk Assessments2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00A Professional Insight which argues that FATF proliferation financing risk assessments are being applied too narrowly, overly focusing on North Korea and Iran. The author suggests broader, country-led assessments that link proliferation risks to wider threats and feed into stronger financial security.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/d81f2c092ea01bacIs the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation Performance Art or Meaningful Collaboration?2026-09-01T20:52:51.211000+00:00Xi, Putin, and other regional leaders are back-slapping in Bishkek, but the SCO has yet to answer the most serious questions about continental Asia's economic future.2026-09-01T20:52:51.211000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/6b5a6530185884cfEurope’s Self-Confidence Problem2026-09-01T12:00:00+00:00The EU’s responses to two recent incidents expose the gulf between European perceptions and capabilities. Unless the union can bridge that gap, it will never become a real geostrategic power.2026-09-01T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/634521640ae0d55dIn Russia, Pacifism Is as Bad as Supporting the Enemy2026-09-01T12:00:00+00:00A regime founded on force, coercion, and repression does not want its propaganda, with all its flaws of logic, omissions, and outright lies, to be competing with the most simple of all messages: Thou shalt not kill.2026-09-01T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/34cad60505cd74efThe Archipelago and the Umbrella: Harmonizing French and NATO Nuclear Deterrence2026-09-01T00:00:00+00:00France’s new “forward deterrence” concept can strengthen European security, but only if Paris coordinates carefully with NATO allies to avoid fragmented signaling, friction over basing, and political anxieties about the U.S. nuclear umbrella.2026-09-01T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/2a52495d5497a657The PRC Normalizes “Law Enforcement” East of Taiwan2026-09-01T00:00:00+00:00The PRC Normalizes “Law Enforcement” East of Taiwan2026-09-01T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7f6e41bf942feff1China & Taiwan Update, September 1, 20262026-09-01T00:00:00+00:00China & Taiwan Update, September 1, 20262026-09-01T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/fa53efc2087c2bf2Iran Update, September 1, 20262026-09-01T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, September 1, 20262026-09-01T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b78ad4b1d899ac71The Militant Republic of Iran2026-09-01T00:00:00+00:00The Militant Republic of Iran2026-09-01T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/8ba12cea4cbe8b6eRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 1, 20262026-09-01T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 1, 20262026-09-01T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bb8ee1eb15dde84bFrom Tailored Air Group to Tailorable Maritime Aviation2026-08-31T23:00:00+00:00While the Royal Navy's Hybrid Air Wing is often discussed in terms of platforms and technology, its longer-term significance may be to expand the options available to maritime commanders.2026-08-31T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/46a4306c5d075bd4A Strategic Disaster that Devalues U.S. Military Prowess2026-08-31T20:11:31.598000+00:00In an interview, former ambassador Charles Freeman assesses the Trump administration’s war against Iran.2026-08-31T20:11:31.598000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/9b160780fc06022dGas and Peace: Can Energy Trade Contain Egypt-Israel Conflict?2026-08-31T16:21:51.567000+00:00Can economic ties help contain conflict between Egypt and Israel, or do they simply postpone confrontation? Drawing on the German-Russian experience, the article examines how the gas deal creates mutual dependence, keeps channels of cooperation open, and raises the cost of conflict, without necessarily delivering lasting peace.2026-08-31T16:21:51.567000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/2eea3cc49b535619Europe’s Overseas Countries and Territories as Geopolitical Assets2026-08-31T12:00:00+00:00European states control several Overseas Countries and Territories around the world that carry strategic, economic, and environmental weight. As great powers challenge the rules-based order, defending them is a geopolitical imperative for Europe.2026-08-31T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b6d4d11fde958f0eAs a Former Defense Minister Revolts in Ukraine, Is Zelensky’s System Fracturing?2026-08-31T12:00:00+00:00The greater threat to Zelensky comes not from Fedorov alone, but from the convergence between his political campaign and the anti-corruption investigations moving ever closer to the presidential administration.2026-08-31T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/1a7e5058c09257a2Trendlines August 2026 Newsletter2026-08-31T00:00:00+00:00This edition of Trendlines covers August 2026.2026-08-31T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/97219daa01ffe654Hezbollah’s FPV Drones Pose an Acute Challenge to Israel2026-08-31T00:00:00+00:00Hezbollah’s FPV Drones Pose an Acute Challenge to Israel2026-08-31T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/98d4032d57fecd5dIran Update, August 31, 20262026-08-31T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, August 31, 20262026-08-31T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/3ea89b76f47c5cd6Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 31, 20262026-08-31T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 31, 20262026-08-31T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ff9d92cdd189704fRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 30, 20262026-08-30T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 30, 20262026-08-30T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/3b9b387722292e66Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 29, 20262026-08-29T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 29, 20262026-08-29T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/0a9c9820f598123eSecurity Cooperation Among the Arctic NATO Allies2026-08-27T23:00:00+00:00With seven of the eight Arctic countries now in NATO, how does the security and defence cooperation between these seven look in practice?2026-08-27T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/0a7b2d868c4d4155The Achilles’ Heel of the Shield of the Americas2026-08-27T20:41:04.217000+00:00By focusing only on hard security, the Shield ignores the conditions that fuel cartel power.2026-08-27T20:41:04.217000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7e9b4f9f3e04b0d2Fedorov’s Challenge to Zelensky Could Upend Ukrainian Politics2026-08-27T12:00:00+00:00With his public call for new elections in Ukraine, ex-defense minister Mykhailo Fedorov has opened Pandora’s box.2026-08-27T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5fcf46709e954ed9In Russia’s Long Drone Shadow2026-08-27T12:00:00+00:00Moscow is testing Europe’s defenses with drone incursions and could decide to use drones against the continent on a much larger scale once the war in Ukraine pauses. European countries will need Kyiv to help them prepare for such a possibility.2026-08-27T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c7013408bafe6f65A Halting Turn: India’s Military Transformation2026-08-27T11:30:00+00:00In any defense establishment, change is an ongoing process. However, despite the best of intentions, existing bureaucracies, bound by habit and years of socialization, have their limits in implementing transformative change. 2026-08-27T11:30:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/32de1240fa023349Why MAGA’s Far-Right European Ties Will Endure2026-08-27T10:31:41.234000+00:00In supporting Europe’s far-right, MAGA and Russia both want the same thing: a weaker EU. Europe must defend itself without abandoning the openness these forces exploit.2026-08-27T10:31:41.234000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c206b06ea086e8dfThe Russian Way of War: Precision Strike Evolution2026-08-26T23:00:00+00:00Over the course of Russia's war in Ukraine, its approach has been transformed from one of massed firepower to mass precision strike.2026-08-26T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/3fa7ba28b029d641Alliance ‘Dots on the Map’: Jan Mayen and the High North Connection2026-08-26T23:00:00+00:00Volcanic island Jan Mayen is becoming a key NATO asset in the High North, sharpening tensions with Russia and reshaping Norway’s Arctic security posture.2026-08-26T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c250457d0e7cd1b4Beyond the Hype: AI, Ransomware and Business Models2026-08-26T23:00:00+00:00AI is not (yet) fundamentally reinventing cybercrime. For bold predictions on how it will change, look to history to understand what drives criminal behaviour online.2026-08-26T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/8d5034db5ff202f6The Iran War Has Sparked a Domestic Crisis in Kenya2026-08-26T19:18:29.734000+00:00The conflict has sent economic and political shock waves through a country with no representation at the negotiating table—and Kenya is not alone.2026-08-26T19:18:29.734000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/25d8518d83041dc7Kremlin’s Wartime Censorship Could Prove Fatal for Russia’s Beleaguered Book Industry2026-08-26T12:00:00+00:00Political pressure and economic headwinds are closely intertwined problems for Russian publishers and booksellers. Together, they risk propelling Russia into a “post-literate” era.2026-08-26T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/2a5f54cbca036fbbEpisode 127: Great Power Diplomacy: How to Prevent a Third World War2026-08-25T23:00:00+00:00In this episode, Tobias Ellwood sets out why he believes we are drifting towards global conflict, and what can still be done to stop it.2026-08-25T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b03ba3cf475d3236The Overstretch Facing the US Navy2026-08-25T23:00:00+00:00The US is exceeding its own plans for deployment of aircraft carriers, and the knock-on effects, and the strain, should be a cause for concern.2026-08-25T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/1d58c7452a83a583Australia’s Democratic Coordination in an Age of Foreign Interference2026-08-24T23:00:00+00:00Foreign interference threats to democratic elections are evolving at increasing speed and scale. Australia demonstrates how to build institutions capable of keeping pace.2026-08-24T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/69e08dda0dd2f6d3Hybrid Navy: Building the Maritime Operating System2026-08-23T23:00:00+00:00To implement the Hybrid Navy, the Royal Navy must follow the example of other successful technology transformations and build an ecosystem, not just a Fleet.2026-08-23T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/2f6a23834f66ea2eThe Next China Shock Will Hit Defence2026-08-20T23:00:00+00:00If tomorrow’s wars are fought mainly by machines, victory belongs to the power that can fuse AI with robotics and build the result by the million. Today, that is China.2026-08-20T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7d641a828dbdf770People as the Principal Capability of British Defence2026-08-19T23:00:00+00:00A whole of system approach to health and human fitness, responsive to the varying demands of military personnel, would improve force readiness across the UK’s services.2026-08-19T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/42a153e17eaea899The ‘Extinct Volcanoes’ Problem: Why Unit Strength Is Not Combat Power2026-08-19T23:00:00+00:00More than a century ago, Aleksandr Svechin warned against mistaking formations that still existed on paper for units that retained real fighting power. Ukraine shows why that distinction still matters.2026-08-19T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/a27d11ac99f4e5f0Recording: Great Power Diplomacy: How to Avoid World War Three2026-08-18T23:00:00+00:00A conversation with The Rt Hon Tobias Ellwood, exploring the growing challenges facing the international order.2026-08-18T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e40d949d5969955aBalochistan's Insurgency Is Turning Security into a Development Cost2026-08-18T23:00:00+00:00Pakistan counts militants killed to the digit. It does not routinely measure whether goods can still move through Balochistan.2026-08-18T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/d56bd7f510d0651cIndo-Pacific and Euro-Atlantic Security is Not Just Indivisible, it Merges2026-08-17T23:00:00+00:00Conflicts are connecting in Europe and the Middle East, but could Asia be next?2026-08-17T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f5ff1d2e98cb5422Starmer, Burnham and Foreign Aid: A Troubling Inheritance2026-08-16T23:00:00+00:00The contraction of UK aid, and its knock-on implications for security, pose big questions and lessons for Starmer’s successor(s).2026-08-16T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/eb82ab1deaf57d24Private Sector Cybercrime Disruption: Compatible with Statecraft?2026-08-13T23:00:00+00:00As organised cybercriminal attacks escalate and threaten national security and social order, should the private sector get (limited) authorisation to take the gloves off?2026-08-13T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5661074cd287285eParadiplomacy: From Devolved Nation to Foreign Policy Actor2026-08-12T23:00:00+00:00Devolved nations and regions can pursue foreign relations with other states, utilising their unique histories, cultures and geopolitics to gain strategic advantage.2026-08-12T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c285ac52638c78d6Age of Optionality: The Future is Not About Replacing the US Dollar2026-08-12T23:00:00+00:00The financial system is evolving toward greater choice rather than a new hegemon, requiring policymakers to rethink how economic power, resilience and sanctions will operate.2026-08-12T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5349d1b236d04781Episode 126: Energy on the Frontline of European Security2026-08-11T23:00:00+00:00Energy is no longer the preserve of the business pages and is central to questions of European Security.2026-08-11T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/1cc26c635d4ebd5fBuilding CBRN Crisis Ready Supply for Protection and Sustainment2026-08-11T23:00:00+00:00The next CBRN crisis will be shaped as much by supply chains, industrial resilience and public trust as by sensors and detection technologies.2026-08-11T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/717ed3178baf4c0aProject Grayburn and Infantry Body Armour Overmatch2026-08-10T23:00:00+00:00As the British Army seeks a successor to the SA80, the pursuit of rifles capable of overmatching infantry body armour may be aiming to solve the wrong problem.2026-08-10T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/80f306bc5cc053afHunter and Hunted: Snipers on Sensor-Dense Battlefield2026-08-10T23:00:00+00:00Sniping’s relevance is under scrutiny due to emerging technologies and increased surveillance. Nick Reynolds shows that its value persists and that a core of deep expertise for its employment should be retained.2026-08-10T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/81085e9c0df91f5aPutin’s Political Longevity – A Framework of Considerations2026-08-10T23:00:00+00:00Historic economic and social conditions point to a change of leadership in Russia, but a triggering event is still on the horizon for Putin.2026-08-10T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e4924efc3a1b74b5A Cyber Operations Defence of the ‘Soft’ Sciences2026-08-09T23:00:00+00:00The Social and Cognitive Sciences are Essential to Understanding the Escalatory Dynamics of Offensive Cyber2026-08-09T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/3149391890f174dbIndia’s ‘Hormuz Manoeuvre’: The Nīti-Śāstra of the New Table2026-08-09T23:00:00+00:00Moving beyond the tactical analysis of India’s ‘Hormuz Manoeuvre’, Manish Tayal establishes a foundational Nīti-Śāstra (guide to strategic conduct) for 21st century statecraft.2026-08-09T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/257374162cbec784From Battlefield to Black Market: Global Spread of Drone Expertise2026-08-09T23:00:00+00:00Jorge Rivero argues that the accelerating global diffusion of drone capabilities from the war in Ukraine threatens to reshape conflict dynamics and poses significant security challenges for Western governments.2026-08-09T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f78f943de7573c5dEnsuring Offshore Infrastructure Protection Keeps Pace with Growth2026-08-09T23:00:00+00:00Offshore energy infrastructure is being built at pace, led by offshore wind and electrical interconnectors, but the security architecture needs to keep up.2026-08-09T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/8f8bfef36b6d59eaRUSI Reflects: Srategic Responses to Organised Crime in the 21st Century2026-08-06T23:00:00+00:00Following the release of a RUSI Journal special issue, three experts share their perception of how organised crime is evolving in the 21st century.2026-08-06T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/efdebed436747d04RUSI Reflects: Strategic Responses to Organised Crime in the 21st Century2026-08-06T23:00:00+00:00Following the release of a RUSI Journal special issue, three experts share their perception of how organised crime is evolving.2026-08-06T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/083e0033fb16d5bbBridging Crewed and Uncrewed: Building a Hybrid Air Force2026-08-05T23:00:00+00:00The UK has now joined a small number of nations that have stated and placed budgets behind a Collaborative Combat Aircraft (CCA) concept.2026-08-05T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e1c237bc4ad86c49Lebanon’s Tutelage Trap2026-08-05T23:00:00+00:00Why cannot Syria inherit Lebanon?2026-08-05T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/0a16969d9f69cc1dThe Resource Politics of Cold Peace: Israel’s Relations with Jordan, Egypt2026-08-05T23:00:00+00:00As Israel’s relationships with Jordan and Egypt strain, water and energy shift from instruments of regional integration into tools of strategic competition, reshaping the Middle East’s cold peace.2026-08-05T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/67308615b25a9121Instrumentalised Migration and Russia’s ‘Disposable Agents’2026-08-05T23:00:00+00:00Instrumentalised migration and Russia’s recruitment of disposable agents exploit the same European weakness: treating deniable acts of coercion as isolated rather than as elements of a wider campaign.2026-08-05T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/2e452706c1f5d41bBurnham’s Opportunity to Rethink Information Resilience2026-08-04T23:00:00+00:00Repositioning DCMS as the lead for ‘information resilience’ online and offline provides coherence to a currently disparate portfolio, offering a rare opportunity to rethink how the government protects the UK from information threats.2026-08-04T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/54e955a414bd576bUniting Nationalism and Threat Perception for Total Defence2026-08-04T23:00:00+00:00Following an increase in whole-of-society attacks, the UK government should deploy tools to encourage nationalism and total defence across society.2026-08-04T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bb1bfc0b0c2abb38Swarming Software’s Defence Industrial Implications2026-08-03T23:00:00+00:00Open software architecture for autonomous systems will not only support interoperability but also increase industrial resilience and encourage innovation.2026-08-03T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c5f38d29f18228c1Can the Defence Universities Alliance Deliver Without Compromise?2026-08-02T23:00:00+00:00The Defence Universities Alliance must enhance, rather than compromise, the core principles that make universities distinctive: intellectual independence, openness and critical inquiry.2026-08-02T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e55b397fd3fda92aCredibility is the UK's Crypto Advantage2026-07-30T23:00:00+00:00The UK’s new crypto regime is a major milestone. But competitive advantage will come from building credibility, not merely regulating today’s visible crypto market.2026-07-30T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/196381d8ac655a3fKeynote Recordings: The Changing Face of Organised Crime2026-07-29T23:00:00+00:00View the opening remarks and closing keynote of the launch event for the RUSI Journal special issue on how technological and geopolitical change are reshaping organised crime2026-07-29T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e6a95d704c687304The Maritime Leg of China's Naval Deterrent is Coming of Age2026-07-29T23:00:00+00:00China’s test of a submarine-launched ballistic missile on 6 July reveals that its drive to truly assure second-strike capability is maturing.2026-07-29T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/835b072a2c1523fbEpisode 125: Japan’s Intelligence Reforms2026-07-28T23:00:00+00:00Japan’s significant intelligence reforms reveal how the country’s approach to security is becoming more self-reliant and autonomous. But what is being proposed, and why now?2026-07-28T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/46b821b6a29741c4Recording: The Atlantic Brief: The Strait of Hormuz and the Future of Free Navigation2026-07-28T23:00:00+00:00The first joint webinar by RUSI and War on the Rocks. Two leading defence publications from both sides of the Atlantic present their expert panel.2026-07-28T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/6334c6c7cdb94901Allies Should Unite on Defence Finance2026-07-28T23:00:00+00:00NATO Allies should come together to form a defence financing instrument that supplements national defence spending, improves companies’ access to affordable capital, and incentivises joint procurement.2026-07-28T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/1ccda44e4348cd23Rosatom is a Military Supplier – Europe Must Treat It as Such2026-07-28T23:00:00+00:00Despite its involvement in Russia’s nuclear and conventional weapons production, Rosatom continues to maintain access to European markets.2026-07-28T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b2276470268b8841Four Years On: An Update on the Air War Over Ukraine2026-07-27T23:00:00+00:00An established Ukrainian F-16 Fighter Wing and the overstretch of fighters and air defences on both sides by sustained long-range strike campaigns have changed the nature of the air war.2026-07-27T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f76e119791857b18Assessing China’s Language on its Stance on Ukraine and Belarus2026-07-27T23:00:00+00:00The country’s different use of ‘territorial-integrity’ is more than a simple diplomatic gesture, but rather a useful sign of its alignment.2026-07-27T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/0bc162c8aa689e6aRecce-Strike Provides a Generational Opportunity to Refocus Air Power2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00Air forces should be advocates of land recce-strike, which can hold the close fight with organic support, freeing air capabilities for the missions that justify them.2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f274f04e757bd181Burnham’s Makerfield Test: Home Gains or Global Risks?2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00Burnham’s Makerfield Test will reshape UK foreign policy. But will it deliver real benefits at home, or risk isolationism and strained alliances abroad?2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/d54c3ccfe9cf5331Episode 24: Can the Financial Action Taskforce Turn Standards into Results?2026-07-23T23:00:00+00:00How can the global anti-financial-crime system become more inclusive, proportionate and effective in delivering meaningful results?2026-07-23T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/30b0ae50a601bc90Whose Job is it to Protect the International Financial System?2026-07-23T23:00:00+00:00International financial centres have lessons to pass on about the role of professional services in combatting illicit finance and kleptocracy.2026-07-23T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/df6ce742a5ca81e1North Africa’s Flaring Problem is Europe’s Gas Opportunity2026-07-22T23:00:00+00:00The fallout from the Iran War has not been kind to European economies. A UK leadership change presents an opportunity to invest in combatting gas flaring in North Africa, so as to bolster security of supply, and tie ongoing international diplomatic efforts on Libya to that agenda.2026-07-22T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/383c08cafb154bb4Losing Control of the West’s Longstanding Interests in Seychelles2026-07-22T23:00:00+00:00A democratic and well-functioning international financial centre that has benefited from Western support, Seychelles seems to now be choosing its friends elsewhere.2026-07-22T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/a250e5d52f99e471Japan's Ambivalent Policy Towards Russia and Ukraine2026-07-21T23:00:00+00:00Prime Minister Takaichi’s equivocal stance on policy towards Russia has encouraged a revival in activity from those in Japan who seek reengagement with Moscow.2026-07-21T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f4a19c41172a1a72Russia’s Selective Adaptation: Command, Control and the Limits of Learning in War2026-07-21T23:00:00+00:00The contrast between Russia’s tactical flexibility and operational rigidity is revealing of the insecurity in its executive function.2026-07-21T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c481297fd1c0d19cThe Dismissal of Ukraine's Defence Minister2026-07-20T23:00:00+00:00Fedorov's removal leaves critical issues unresolved between the Defence Ministry and General Staff.2026-07-20T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/4d4244ae282f611eAndy Burnham’s International Debut: Key Challenges and Opportunities2026-07-19T23:00:00+00:00Prime Minister Andy Burnham faces a challenging international context, with intractable problems, but also opportunities to lead and exert UK influence on world events.2026-07-19T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/325a7481cd1acab9Prince Philip Lecture 2026: On Science and National Security2026-07-19T23:00:00+00:00This year's lecture explores the significance of national security and defence skills, and the role of universities in educating the next generation of engineers and scientists.2026-07-19T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/739bd52749fc8371Putin's Fuel Dilemma2026-07-16T23:00:00+00:00Ukraine's deep-strike campaign is putting pressure on Russia's energy infrastructure and forcing increasing political pain for Putin.2026-07-16T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/564c723ea0372045RUSI Reflects: Andy Burnham's Geopolitical Priorities as New UK Prime Minister2026-07-16T23:00:00+00:00With Andy Burnham set to become the next UK prime minister, RUSI's new director of international security evaluates the new leader's most pressing geopolitical priorities.2026-07-16T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/1b7f3aebc5bdc3a4The UK's Defence Investment Plan Has a Lethal Drone Swarm Vision2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00Drone swarming is often referenced as an important future capability, with little understanding of what is possible today, and how the tactic is enabled.2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/d0a34504a6fdd42dThe Algorithmic Deterrent2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00Palantir’s manifesto and the sovereignty question for states without algorithmic independence.2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e5d4177e51139941NATO Planning for War with Russia – but has Moscow Left the Door Open?2026-07-14T23:00:00+00:00Moscow’s strategic communications cast Russia as a backseat passenger on a road to war in Europe – but war is not inevitable.2026-07-14T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bdbb1e0d549be8c5Cheap Attack, Expensive Defence: NATO 5% Pledge Following Iran and Ukraine2026-07-14T23:00:00+00:00Iran and Ukraine show cheap mass defeats expensive platforms. Unless it buys deep, low-cost defence and civilian resilience, NATO can win every engagement and still lose wars.2026-07-14T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f49dd0b08a06d0e0Recording: FATF Greylisting and Financial Inclusion2026-07-13T23:00:00+00:00This webinar explores the relationship between FATF 'greylisting' and financial inclusion, drawing on the Centre for Finance and Security's recent research and policy discussions.2026-07-13T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/8fe51205d607c055Episode 22: Delivering National Security Strategies2026-07-13T23:00:00+00:00Former UN Ambassador and National Security Advisor Sir Mark Lyall Grant discusses the challenges facing delivery of Western security strategies.2026-07-13T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/462729cf16691468The AI-Enhanced Land Carrier Battle Group: The Way Forward2026-07-09T23:00:00+00:00The historical evolution of naval aviation offers useful ideas for overcoming the attritional nature of current drone and AI-dominated land warfare2026-07-09T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/320a4d577ed85ef3Episode 124: After Ankara: First Reflections on the 2026 NATO Summit2026-07-09T23:00:00+00:00The 2026 NATO Summit convened at a moment of fragile unity for the alliance. What did it deliver? What did it leave unresolved?2026-07-09T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publications