--- title: "Conscious Machines" description: "Could a machine be conscious, and how would you tell? Winfree's second opening challenge: a question with no apparatus and no checkable answer, posed as the deliberate opposite of the 13 nails." type: Activity tags: [course, student-facing, problem, section-1, consciousness, turing-test, error-checking, thought-experiment] status: stable problem: section: 1 session: 2 identification: probable kind: thought-experiment generated: by: "claude/fable-5-1" at: "2026-09-16T00:00:00Z" sources: - id: turing-1950 resource: "https://www.cs.ox.ac.uk/activities/ieg/e-library/sources/t_article.pdf" title: "Computing Machinery and Intelligence" author: "A. M. Turing" - id: searle-1980 resource: "https://doi.org/10.1017/S0140525X00005756" title: "Minds, Brains, and Programs" author: "John R. Searle" - id: chalmers-1995 resource: "https://consc.net/papers/puzzle.html" title: "The Puzzle of Conscious Experience" author: "David J. Chalmers" - id: sep-turing-test resource: "https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/turing-test/" title: "The Turing Test" author: "Graham Oppy and David Dowe (Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy)" - id: sep-chinese-room resource: "https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/chinese-room/" title: "The Chinese Room Argument" author: "David Cole (Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy)" - id: feynman-1974-cargo-cult resource: "https://calteches.library.caltech.edu/51/2/CargoCult.htm" title: "Cargo Cult Science" author: "Richard P. Feynman" - id: koch-tononi-2008 resource: "https://spectrum.ieee.org/can-machines-be-conscious" title: "Can Machines Be Conscious?" author: "Christof Koch and Giulio Tononi" - id: platt-1962-excitement-of-science resource: "https://archive.org/details/excitementofscie0000plat" title: "The Excitement of Science (contains The Art of Creative Thinking)" author: "John Rader Platt" - id: wikipedia-mechanical-turk resource: "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mechanical_Turk" title: "Mechanical Turk" author: "Wikipedia" - id: protradecraft-13-nails resource: "https://www.protradecraft.com/jobsite-magic-trick-balance-13-nails-head-one" title: "Jobsite Magic Trick: Balance 13 Nails on the Head of One" author: "ProTradeCraft" - id: aosd-syllabus resource: "https://github.com/tyson-swetnam/aosd/blob/main/docs/assets/aosd_syllabus.pdf" title: "The Art of Scientific Discovery: original course syllabus (PDF)" author: "Arthur T. Winfree" --- # Conscious Machines Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. *[Section 1](../section1.md), session 2. The "second of two contrasting challenges"; the first, in session 1, was [13 Nails](thirteen-nails.md).* !!! abstract "The problem" Reconstructed from the syllabus: it records only the title of this challenge. The wording below is the editors' reconstruction from the title, the pairing with the 13 nails problem, and the readings due the same day. On Tuesday the challenge was thirteen nails: balance them all on the head of one, and you can see at once whether you have succeeded. Today's challenge has no apparatus at all. **Could a machine be conscious?** Notice what kind of question this is. With the nails, you could tell at once whether an attempt had worked. Here, suppose someone wheels a machine into the room and claims it is conscious. What observation would convince you? What would convince you of the opposite? If you cannot name one, is this still a question about the world, or only about how you would like to use a word? Spend a GamesWorth on it in your notebook: 1. Write down what you mean by *machine* and by *conscious*, then check whether those definitions already decided your answer. 2. How do you know that anyone *else* in the room is conscious, and would that method work on a machine? 3. Try to design a test that a skeptic and a believer could both agree on in advance. Then look for the loophole each side would use to reject the result. 4. Compare with the nails. Which of the two could you have got *wrong*, and how would you have found out? There is no answer key. What is graded is the record of how you tried. ![Cutaway engraving of Kempelen's chess automaton: a turbaned figure leans over a chessboard on a cabinet, and inside the cabinet, among gears and rollers, a man sits at a second board working the machine](../assets/images/problems/conscious-machines-turk.jpg){ width="560" } *One of Joseph Racknitz's guesses at how the "thinking machine" worked. He was right that a person was hidden inside, wrong about where and how. Joseph Racknitz, 1789, via Humboldt University Library / Wikimedia Commons. Public domain.* ## Why it is in the course The syllabus labels the first two exercises "contrasting challenges". The 13 nails problem is the kind of problem the course is mostly made of: silly, concrete, and checkable. A wrong idea announces itself by falling on the table. Conscious machines is its opposite. Nothing falls. On day two of a section called Detecting Nonsense, Error Checking, False Assumptions, Cherishing Mistakes, the challenge lets you feel what it is like to argue confidently about something you have no way to check, and then to notice that. It rehearses what session 4 calls "distinguishing things we know vs only imagine". The same day's readings supply the tools. Feynman's *Cargo Cult Science* is about activities with the outward form of science but not the part that makes it work. Platt's *The Art of Creative Thinking* is the source of the GamesWorth habit. Adams's first chapter is about attacking ill-defined problems. Turing's move in 1950, designing a test instead of answering "Can machines think?", is the same habit: turn a question about words into a question about what you could observe, and be honest when you cannot. ## Where it comes from Kempelen's chess-playing Turk (1770) was exhibited as a thinking automaton for 84 years. It was in fact worked by a chess player hidden in the cabinet. People suspected as much early and argued it in print: Joseph Racknitz in 1789, Robert Willis in 1821, Edgar Allan Poe in 1836. But each guessed wrong about the mechanism, and nobody described it accurately until 1857, three years after the machine burned in Philadelphia. The argument was settled not by debate but by someone finally looking inside. Alan Turing set the modern form in "Computing Machinery and Intelligence" (1950): he judged "Can machines think?" to be "too meaningless to deserve discussion" and replaced it with the imitation game. Searle's Chinese room (1980) argued that a system can pass any behavioural test while understanding nothing; Chalmers (1995) named the residue the "hard problem"; Koch and Tononi (2008) proposed a criterion based on integrated information. No test has yet been accepted by both sides. The question was still open when Winfree set it in August 2001, and it is still open now. ??? tip "Hints" - Treat your definitions as suspects: does your definition of "conscious" quietly contain the answer, for instance by requiring biology, or by requiring only behaviour? - Count your data. You have examined exactly one conscious system from the inside. Everything else is inferred from behaviour and resemblance to yourself. Does that inference stop, on principle, at machines? - Ask what observation would change your mind. If nothing could, your position is not a hypothesis about the world; it is a decision about how to use a word. That is not wrong, but it should be labelled. - Compare with the nails. What is the difference between not yet knowing the answer and there being no way to find out? ## What happened There is no solution to publish, and that is the point of the pairing. What follows is interpretive. Turing refused the question as posed and substituted a test whose outcome could be observed. He also noted that demanding inner certainty would, if applied consistently, deny that other people think, so we adopt "the polite convention that everyone thinks". Searle showed that such a test can be passed by a system that understands nothing from the inside. Chalmers named what the substitution loses. Seventy-five years on, no test has been accepted in advance by both a skeptic and a believer. The lesson is not that the question is silly but that it is a different kind of question from the nails: one where no experiment corrects you, so confidence is cheap and mistakes go undetected. Recognising which kind of question you are holding, before you invest a GamesWorth in it, is the skill this session exercises. ## Sources - **A. M. Turing**, "Computing Machinery and Intelligence", *Mind* LIX(236), 433โ€“460 (1950) โ€” [PDF, Oxford CS e-library](https://www.cs.ox.ac.uk/activities/ieg/e-library/sources/t_article.pdf){target=_blank} ๐Ÿ”“ - **John R. Searle**, "Minds, Brains, and Programs", *Behavioral and Brain Sciences* 3(3), 417โ€“424 (1980) โ€” [doi:10.1017/S0140525X00005756](https://doi.org/10.1017/S0140525X00005756){target=_blank} ๐Ÿ”’ - **David J. Chalmers**, "The Puzzle of Conscious Experience", *Scientific American*, December 1995 โ€” [author's copy](https://consc.net/papers/puzzle.html){target=_blank} ๐Ÿ”“ - **Graham Oppy and David Dowe**, "The Turing Test", *Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy* (2003, rev. 2021) โ€” [plato.stanford.edu](https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/turing-test/){target=_blank} ๐Ÿ”“ - **David Cole**, "The Chinese Room Argument", *Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy* (2004, rev. 2024) โ€” [plato.stanford.edu](https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/chinese-room/){target=_blank} ๐Ÿ”“ - **Richard P. Feynman**, "Cargo Cult Science", Caltech commencement address (1974) โ€” [Caltech Engineering and Science](https://calteches.library.caltech.edu/51/2/CargoCult.htm){target=_blank} ๐Ÿ”“ - **Christof Koch and Giulio Tononi**, "Can Machines Be Conscious?", *IEEE Spectrum* (2008) โ€” [spectrum.ieee.org](https://spectrum.ieee.org/can-machines-be-conscious){target=_blank} ๐Ÿ”“ - **John Rader Platt**, *The Excitement of Science* (1962; 1974 reprint), containing "The Art of Creative Thinking" โ€” [Internet Archive](https://archive.org/details/excitementofscie0000plat){target=_blank} ๐Ÿ”“ *(borrow)* - **Wikipedia**, "Mechanical Turk" โ€” [en.wikipedia.org](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mechanical_Turk){target=_blank} ๐Ÿ”“ - **ProTradeCraft**, "Jobsite Magic Trick: Balance 13 Nails on the Head of One" โ€” [protradecraft.com](https://www.protradecraft.com/jobsite-magic-trick-balance-13-nails-head-one){target=_blank} ๐Ÿ”“ - **Arthur T. Winfree**, *The Art of Scientific Discovery*: original course syllabus โ€” [PDF](https://github.com/tyson-swetnam/aosd/blob/main/docs/assets/aosd_syllabus.pdf){target=_blank} ๐Ÿ”“ !!! note "How sure are we that this is Winfree's problem?" The syllabus is the only record: the title, the session (02, Thu 23 August 2001) and the label "second of two contrasting challenges", paired with the 13 nails problem of the day before. Winfree's archived lab site says nothing about this challenge โ€” no handout, no problem sheet, no column โ€” so his exact wording in class is lost. Reading "contrasting" as checkable against uncheckable is the editors' inference from the pairing and from the section title, which is why the identification is "probable" and the statement above is labelled a reconstruction. Candidate readings, most likely first: 1. An open-ended discussion challenge: could a machine be conscious, and how would you know? Posed as the opposite kind of problem from the nails. 2. A design challenge in the spirit of Adams, assigned the same day: specify what a machine would have to do before you would call it conscious. A sharper version of the first, not a rival. 3. A nonsense-detection exercise on a specific published claim about conscious computers, using Feynman's criteria. Least likely: the syllabus assigns no reading on machine consciousness. --- *Back to [Section 1](../section1.md) ยท [All problems](index.md) ยท [The schedule](../syllabus.md#section-1-detecting-nonsense-error-checking-false-assumptions-cherishing-mistakes)*