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               ! State population:           5,431,000 (1998 CB est.)   !
               ! Foreign-born population:       85,000 (1998 CPS)       !
               ! Percent foreign born:            1.6% (1998)           !
               ! Immigrant stock:              211,000 (1997 CB est.)   !
               ! Illegal alien population:      13,000 (1996 INS est.)  !
               ! New legal immigrants:          26,810 (1991 to 1997)   !
               ! 2025 pop. projection:       6,665,000 (1996 CB proj.)  !
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1990 CENSUS DATA ON IMMIGRANT SETTLEMENT
From 1960 to 1990, Tennessee's foreign-born population more than tripled from 15,843 to 59,114. Between 1980 and 1990 Tennessee's overall population increased by 6.1 percent (from about 4,595,000 to 4,877,185), while the foreign-born share of the population was increasing by 22.2 percent. The countries of origin of the foreign born which accounted for the bulk of the increase were all Asian except for Mexico. The Asian countries of major increase were India, Japan, Philippines, Laos, China and Taiwan.

Foreign-Born Change Since 1980: Top Ten Countries 1980-1990
      1980 Census          1990 Census
1  Germany      6,454   Germany       6,458
2  U.K.         3,923   U.K.          4,201
3  Canada       3,197   Canada        4,087
4  Korea        1,978   India         3,283
5  Sov.Un.      1,632   Korea         2,965
6  India        1,602   Japan         2,577
7  Japan        1,473   Philip.       2,209
8  Philip.      1,251   Laos          2,133
9  Iran         1,163   Mexico        1,972
10 Vietnam      1,102   China         1,740
   All Others  24,594   All Others   27,489
   Total       48,369   Total        59,114
Half of Tennessee's foreign-born population immigrated between 1980 and 1994. The areas of greatest concentration of the foreign born were around Nashville (Davidson County - about 13,000, and Montgomery County - about 3,000) and Memphis (Shelby County - about 13,000).

Nearly 40% of Tennessee's foreign-born population in 1990 had arrived since 1980. Since 1990 INS data indicate that the annual average of new legal immigrants identifying Tennessee as their intended state of residence has been about 3.700.

In 1997, nearly two-thirds (66.3%)Tennessee's foreign-born population were not naturalized citizens. This is about the national average (64.9%).

THE IMMIGRANT STOCK
There were about 211 thousand people in Tennessee in 1997 who may be considered "immgrant stock." The immigrant stock is a term that refers to first generation immigrants, the "1.5 generation" (children of immigrants who are born abroad), and the second generation (the native-born Americans whose parents immigrated).

1998 CURRENT POPULATION SURVEY (CPS) DATA
The Census Bureau's population estimate for Tennessee, based on 1988 CPS data. shows a population increase by about 59,000 over a year earlier (from 5,371,693 to 5,430,621). The immigrant population is estimated to have increased by over 6,300, more than 10 percent of the rise. The CPS data, led the Center for Immigration Studies to put the foreign-born population at 85,000. Since the 1990 Census, the Census Bureau estimates that the state has increase by over 337,000 as a result of net domestic migration, and by over 27,000 resulting from net international migration.

1997 CURRENT POPULATION SURVEY (CPS) DATA
About 52 percent of the immigrant increase since 1990 was accounted for by the Nashville (+6,179) and Memphis (+4,694) areas. Both of those metropolitan areas also experienced greater net population decreases from domestic out-migration than the offsetting net immigration increase over the same period.

The 1997 CPS data indicate that an estimated 33.7 percent of the foreign-born population have become naturalized as U.S. citizens. This is only slightly lower than the national average of 35.1 percent.

NET INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION
The Census Bureau estimates that Tennessee's population grew by 60,817 over the last year (ending in July 1997). Of that amount of increase, 3,353 (5.5%) was attributed to net international migration (arrivals minus departures). Tennessee is thus near the bottom in a national ranking of immigration's impact on the states.

CITY DATA -- MEMPHIS, and NASHVILLE-DAVIDSON

METROPOLITAN AREA DATA -- MEMPHIS
The metropolitan area with the largest number of immigrants is Memphis, with about 14,000 (or about 1.4% of its population. The metropolitan area with the highest concentration of foreign- born residents is Clarksville-Hopkinsville--its 5,000 immigrants represent about 2.8% of its population. Knoxville has an immigrant population of about 8,000, or about 1.3% of its population.

The Nashville metropolitan area was rated by ReliaStar Financial Corp. in 1998 as the No. 28 city in the US (out of 100) "to Earn and Save Money." Our analysis of the ReliaStar ratings shows that the highest ranked cities have slower growing immigrant populations than the lowest ranked cities. The Nashville metropolitan area had a 1.8 percent foreign-born share in 1990 (compared to the national average of 7.9%) and 6.9 percent of its 115,000 population increase (1990-97) was due to net international immigration (compared to the national average of 30%). For further details, see Cities Index

POPULATION CHANGE 1900-2000
It helps to have a clear perspective of the past population change that the state has experienced when considering the role of immigration in Tennessee's current and future population change. Over the past 50 years, the population of the state has nearly doubled. Most of recent population growth has come from net inter-state and international migration rather than from natural population change.

POPULATION PROJECTION
The 1997 Census Bureau population projection has Tennessee's population growing by 27 percent between 1995 and 2025 (to 6,665,000). That is the 19th fastest projected rate of growth in the country. The rate of increase in the foreign-born population between 1980 and 1990 was even higher than the projected rate, and it is clear that the projection contemplates continued high-volume immigrant settlement in the state.

The Census Bureau population projection noted above is the "middle" projection, and it assumes immigration at a net annual increase of 820,000. There are other projections based on different assumptions. In the Census Bureau's "high" immigration projection, assuming annual net immigration of 1,370,000, the population in 2025 is more than six percent higher than in the middle projection, and it is over 11 percent higher by 2050. For Tennessee, the high projection could mean a population in 2050 of 8,500,000 to 9,700,000. If today's mass immigration were significantly scaled back, the population increase attributable to immigration and the population spill-over effects from other states could be significantly reduced over time. See Immigration and Population Growth

INS DATA ON IMMIGRANT SETTLEMENT
Immigrant settlement in Tennessee has risen since the adoption of the current immigration system in 1965. The recent rate of new immigrants is more than triple the rate of the late 1960s.

Legal immigrant settlement in Tennessee since 1990 has averaged over 3,800 per year. The data for fiscal year (FY) 1991 were artificially raised by the inclusion of some of the former illegal aliens who were amnestied in 1986. Among the long-term resident amnesty applicants (excluding the amnestied agricultural workers), the number applying from Tennessee was 1,062. The data for FY'95 and FY'97 were artificially low because the INS was not able to issue green cards to all the applicants for adjustment of status who were already in the United States. In those two years, new immigration could have registered as much as 30 percent higher, if the INS had issued more visas.

FY                  LEGAL IMMIGRATION
91                    3,828 by nationality
92                    2,995 by nationality
93                    4,287 by nationality
94                    3,608 by nationality
95                    3,392 by nationality
96                    4,343 by nationality
97                    4,357 by nationality
Total                26,810 by nationality (below)

INS DATA BY NATIONALITY: FY'91 - FY'97
The INS data below are furnished for nationals of the countries with the largest number of immigrants admitted or adjusted to legal residence each year since 1990. The absence of data means that the total number of admissions to the United States by nationals of that country were not enough to merit detailed reporting in that year.

The nationalities may change each year, so the totals in some cases will not reflect all the immigrants of that nationality who have become legal immigrants in Tennessee during the seven-year period. For example, data on Japanese and Nigerians are included for only three of the seven years. The 29 nationalities (Hong Kong and Taiwan included with mainland Chinese, and Russia and Ukraine included with Soviet Union) represent over two-thirds of all immigrant settlement and adjustment in Tennessee during this seven-year period.

Bangladesh +              73
Canada                 1,221
China *                2,000
Colombia                 120
Cuba                     160
Dominican R.              54
Ecuador ++                30
El Salvador              113
Germany ++               460
Guatemala                110
Guyana                    70
Haiti                    236
India                  2,139
Iran                     570
Ireland +++              108
Jamaica                   88
Japan +                  166
Korea                    637
Mexico                 2,132
Nigeria +                184
Pakistan                 339
Peru                     129
Philippines            1,060
Poland                   233
Soviet Union           1,208
United K.                937
Vietnam                3,032
Yugoslavia +             385
Other                  8,772
Total                 26,810
* Includes Hong Kong and Taiwan when available
+   3 yrs. of data available
++  5 yrs. of data available
+++ 4 yrs. of data available
ILLEGAL ALIENS
The INS estimates that in October 1996, there were estimated to be about 13,000 illegal aliens residing in Tennessee. That estimate was over a third (37%) higher than the INS estimate for October 1992 (9,500).

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*   INS - Investigations - Tennessee:   *
*     Memphis (901) 544-0256 (x.136)    *
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OTHER
About 3% of Tennessee's population speaks a language other than English at home.

In 1995, 75 Tennessee farmers legally hired 387 foreign workers through the Labor Department's foreign temporary worker (H-2A) program, up from 60 farmers taking in 287 workers in FY94. These workers are not supposed to be admitted for work unless the employer attests that there are no American workers with the appropriate skills available to take the jobs. Davidson County, Tennessee surrounding Nashville, has a 3% unemployment rate.
(Source: Nashville Banner, December 9, 1996)

STATE CONGRESSIONAL DELEGATION VOTING RECORD
You can now access the voting record of your representatives in Congress regarding immigration issues with our
scorecard page or go to numbersusa.com for their legislative scorecards. Just hit the back button to return to the FAIR Tennessee Page.

FAIR, 12/99.