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Message ID: 13695
Date: Tue Jan 25 22:07:20 GMT 2000
Author: Kimes, Dean W.
Subject: RE: Stats 101 (was Deepwater Gobs)
On Tue, 25 Jan 2000, Reece, Tom - 25IDL G4 wrote:
> We all know that mobs get a second resist check against pixie strike and
> lullaby. Lets say for the first check they get a 25% (1 out of 4) chance
to
> resist and a 33% (1 out of 3) chance for the second resist. Whats the
> overall chance that they make just one of the two resists?
/em steps up to the plate.
Two resist checks, first (.25), second (.33). If they succeed in
resisting just one, they must fail the other, so
(.25)*(.67)=(.1675) for a success and failure,
(.75)*(.33)=(.2475) for a failure and success,
for a total of (.41) or 41% chance of resisting just one.
Of course, not knowing whether it was a single or double resist, you might
want to factor in a success and success, that being
(.25)*(.33)=(.0825)
totalling (.4925) or 49.25% chance of resist on a strike with given
values.
Athren
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