using your numbers it would be a 50% chance

Mythlon Bladesinger
Veeshan

----- Original Message -----
From: "Reece, Tom - 25IDL G4" <g4mntofcr@...>
To: <eqbards@onelist.com>
Sent: Tuesday, January 25, 2000 4:58 PM
Subject: [eqbards] Stats 101 (was Deepwater Gobs)

> From: "Reece, Tom - 25IDL G4" <g4mntofcr@...>
>
> OK I got one for Dean and John.
>
> We all know that mobs get a second resist check against pixie strike and
> lullaby. Lets say for the first check they get a 25% (1 out of 4) chance
to
> resist and a 33% (1 out of 3) chance for the second resist. Whats the
> overall chance that they make just one of the two resists?
>
> I think its 58% but can't remember my stats classes to well:-).
>
> Galtin
>
>
> > > Just a brief word on statistics. If you want to get a reasonably good
> > > approximation of what % something drops, you need a number of tests
one
> > > order of magnitude higher than the range. So if its 5% you need at
> > least
> > > 200 tests for statistical accuracy. This isn't necessarily true for
all
> > > randoms, but for psuedo-random numbers such as computers produce, it
is
> > > generally the applicable rule.
> >
> >
>
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