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Immigration Affects the Whole Country

                ________________________________________________________
               ! Total population:         270,299,000 (1998 CB est.)   !
               ! Foreign-born population:   26,300,000 (CPS 1998)       !
               ! Percent foreign born:            9.7% (1998)           !
               ! Foreign-born stock:        54,716,000 (1997 CB est.)
               ! Illegal alien population:   5,000,000 (1996 INS est.)  !
               ! New legal immigrants:       7,605,068 (1991 to 1998)   !
               ! 2025 pop. projection:     335,050,000 (1996 CB proj.)  !
               !________________________________________________________!


IMMIGRATION IS A NATIONAL ISSUE
Americans now realize that the costs of our present high level of immigration (legal and illegal) are enormous and growing. (The Center for Immigration Studies estimated in 1995 that immigration costs us a net $29 billion a year--more than the combined budgets of the Departments of State, Justice and Interior.) These costs include both programs targeted toward immigrants, as well as the increased costs of education, health care, and welfare programs that are used by immigrants.

Much of the news coverage of this problem focuses solely on the six states with the highest immigration levels: California, New York, Texas, Florida, New Jersey and Ilinois. But do not be misled; high immigration is not a problem just for these six states, it is a problem for the entire country.

EVERY STATE RECEIVES IMMIGRANTS AND FEELS THE IMPACT
Every state receives immigration. Mississippi, for example, is not known as a 'high-impact' state. Yet it has the nation's fastest growing immigrant population (up by 476% since 1990 -- from less than 1% of its population then to about 4.3% now). Other states that are newly expreiencing large-scale immigrant settlement include Colorado (up 136%), North Carolina (up 129%), Oregon (up 115%), Nebraska (up 107%) and Utah (up 102%).

Consider Hawaii. Although it receives fewer immigrants than, say, Florida, it still takes more than its fair share. In Hawaii, nine percent of the population consists of immigrants who arrived since 1980; by way of comparison, six percent of Florida's population consists of recent immigrants.

WE ALL PAY FOR IMMIGRATION THROUGH OUR FEDERAL TAXES
Much of the cost for immigration is paid by the states and municipalities, but a lot is paid for by the federal government too. Illegal immigrants receive taxpayer support for their U.S.-born children, immunizations, subsidized public health and other programs. Legal immigrants are eligible for almost all federal programs. In many areas, such as education, the federal government gives matching grants for state expenditures, which means paying twice for those costs of immigration. When states hand a bill to the federal government for the costs of immigration (as is provided for by law in the case of incarceration of illegal immigrants, or welfare programs for the illegal aliens who were "amnestied" in 1986), it is you who will pay regardless of where you live.

The U.S. is a vast country; it is easy to be deceived into thinking that what goes on in other states does not affect us. But, directly or indirectly, the impact of high immigration on our country hits us all and hits us hard. For that reason, all Americans should demand that their representatives in Washington reduce the price they are paying for immigration. The best way to cut those costs is to reduce immigration itself.

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Foreign-Born Change: Top Twelve Countries 1980-1996* (Thousands)
      1980 Census          1990 Census              1996 CPS*
1  Mexico       2,199   Mexico        4,298   Mexico         6,679 
2  Germany        849   Philip.         913   Philip.        1,164 
3  Canada         843   Canada          745   China            801 
4  Italy          832   Cuba            737   Cuba             772 
5  U.K.           669   Germany         712   India            757 
6  Cuba           608   U.K.            640   Vietnam          740 
7  Philip.        501   Italy           581   El Sal.          701 
8  Poland         418   Korea           568   Canada           660 
9  Sov.Un.        406   Vietnam         543   Korea            550 
10 Korea          290   China           530   Germany          523 
11 China          286   El Sal.         465   Dom.Rep.         515 
12 Vietnam        231   India           450   Jamaica          506 
   All Others   5,949   All Others    8,585   All Others    10,189 
   Total       14,080   Total        19,767   Total         24,557 
* Current Population Survey data is subject to sampling error.
1990 CENSUS DATA
The foreign born are concentrated in a few states, although the distribution is changing rapidly as jobs in the Midwest and Southwest attract large numbers of both legal and illegal immigrants. In the 1990 Census, six states accounted for nearly three-quarters of the 19.8 million foreign born residents (many foreign born are missed in the Census undercount). The six states and their respective share of the foreign-born population are: California (32.7%), New York (14.4%), Texas (8.4%), Florida (7.7%), New Jersey (4.9%), and Illinois (4.8%). Detailed information from the 1990 Census is available on the individual state pages, including information on the nationality of the immigrants.

For the nation as a whole, a list of the major nationalities of the Foreign Born in the 1990 Census is also available.

THE IMMIGRANT STOCK
There are about 55 million people in the United States who may be considered "immgrant stock." The immigrant stock is a term that refers to first generation immigrants, the "1.5 generation" (children of immigrants who are born abroad), and the second generation (the native-born Americans whose parents immigrated). There are about 10 to 11 million children under the age 18 who are chldren of immigrants. This information is derived from the Children of Immigrants Longitudinal Study. -- the largest research project on the topic in the country.
(Source: The Houston Chronicle, October 3, 1999)

NATIONAL DATA FROM THE CURRENT POPULATION SURVEY (CPS)
In 1998 the number of foreign-born residents (including some, but not all resident illegal aliens) numbered an estimated 26,300,000. That was 9.7 percent of the population -- up from 7.9 percent as recently as the 1990 Census and 4.8 percent in 1970. Just over one-third (35.1%) of the foreign born were naturalized U.S. citizens. This was down from 40 percent in 1990 despite the recent surge in naturalizations, because the recent surge in immigration means that a larger share are newcomers who are not yet eligible to apply for naturalization. As of 1996, 6,579,000 of the foreign-born residents had entered the United States since 1990.

The 1998 CPS data show that the share of the foreign born living below the poverty level is much higher than it is for the native born (20% and 12.7%, respectively). The unemployment rate for the foreign born is similarly higher than for the native born (5.6% and 4.6% respectively), and it is also higher for food stamp recipiency (9.3% and 6.8%) and public assistance income receipts (4.6% and 3.1%). The data on the foreign born receipt of welfare benefits is artificially low because included in the foreign born population are illegal alien residents who are barred from these programs.

NET INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION
The Census Bureau released national population estimates in December 1998 that put the population in July 1998 at 270,299,000. That represented a one-year increase of about 1.1 million. Since 1990, the NIM total amount of increase has been 6,697,000 (an average annual net increase of over 837,000). All of the states (and Washington DC) were estimated to have had population increases due to net international migration. The amount of the last year's estimated increase is shown below in the column marked "97-98 NIM."

POPULATION PROJECTION
The 1997 Census Bureau population projection has the nation growing by 27.5 percent between 1995 and 2025 (increasing more than 60 million above the 1995 estimated population to 335,048,000). The projected rate of increase is less than the rate of increase in the foreign-born population between 1980 and 1990, and it is clear that immigrant settlement is a major component in the rate of projected population increase.

The chart (above) is based on a projection of U.S. population growth through the year 2050. The projection was done by the Census Bureau in 1996 with different assumptions (scenarios). The two scenarios depicted in the chart are for zero-net immigration and the "middle series" based on the current demographic trend, including immigration. FAIR judges that the middle series projection understates future population growth, because the assumptions about the level of both legal and illegal immigration appear to be too low.

The zero-net scenario assumes the number of new immigrants coming into the country balances those who leave or die. The difference of about 80 million people between the two scenarios depicts the impact of post-1990 immigrants and their offspring on the size of U.S. population. That amount shows how today's and tomorrow's immigrants and their offspring are likely to account for over 60 percent of the nation's population growth over the next half century if nothing is done to change current policies.

In the Census Bureau's "high" immigration projection, assuming annual net immigration of 1,370,000, the population in 2025 is more than six percent higher than in the middle projection, and it is over 11 percent higher by 2050. The high immigration projection would mean a U.S. population in 2050 of 438,299,000 people. If today's mass immigration were significantly scaled back, the population increase attributable to immigration could be significantly reduced over time. See Immigration and Population Growth

INS DATA ON IMMIGRANT SETTLEMENT
Immigrant settlement in the United States has risen since the adoption of the current immigration system in 1965. The recent rate of new immigrants has about tripled from the rate of the late 1960s.

Each year the Immigration and Naturalization Service (INS) releases annual data on the number of new immigrants. Some are newly arrived from abroad and others may already be in the United States in another status before being granted immigrant status. The number of new immigrants by state beginning with fiscal year 1991 are provided below for the country as a whole (and in summary form table below by state in the column "91-97 Legal,".

INS data show that since 1990 the average number of immigrants admitted for legal residence has been over 950,000 per year (through FY'98). This average is inflated by the effects of the 1986 amnesty for illegal aliens, as 1.1 million of the 1991 "new" immigrants were part of the nearly three million former illegal aliens converting their status. Just among the long-term resident amnesty applicants (excluding the amnestied agricultural workers), the number applying nationwide was 1,663,595.

The data for FY'95, FY'97 and FY'98 were artificially low because the INS was not able to issue green cards to all the applicants for adjustment of status who were already in the United States. In those three years, new immigration could have registered as much as 30 percent higher, if the INS had issued more visas. If the INS begins to catch up with its backlog of adjustment to legal residence, there will have been over ten million new immigrants admitted during this decade -- and unprecedented number.

FY                  LEGAL IMMIGRATION
91                1,827,167 by nationality
92                  973,977 by nationality
93                  904,292 by nationality
94                  804,416 by nationality
95                  720,461 by nationality
96                  915,900 by nationality
97                  798,378 by nationality
98                  660,477 by nationality
Total             7,605,068 by nationality
It should also be kept in mind that the INS numbers for legal immigrant settlement understate the impact of immigration because there are additional hundreds of thousands of immigration applicants already in the United States in a backlog caused by INS processing problems who are eligible for immigrant status but have not yet received their green cards. The number in this backlog has been growing rapidly in the past several years and stands at 881,000 at the end of fiscal year 1998.

STATE SUMMARY DATA

               Foreign-Born               91-97    97-98
STATE          No.    Share   Illegal     Legal      NIM 
Alabama        95,000  2.2%     4,000    14,245    2,480
Alaska         36,000  5.5%     3,700     8,494    1,835
Arizona       638,000 13.7%   115,000   100,585    9,224
Arkansas       55,000  2.1%     5,400     9,797    1,934
California  7,955,000 24.4% 2,000,000  2,109,302 230,895
Colorado      262,000  6.6%    45,000    57,924   11,085
Connecticut   317,000  9.6%    29,000    72,855   16,689
Delaware       28,000  3.8%     2,500     8,663    1,606
Dist. of Col.  52,000 10.1%    30,000    26,801    3,763
Florida     2,324,000 16.0%   350,000   545,515  137,312
Georgia       223,000  2.9%    32,000    92,656   16,434
Hawaii        205,000 17.3%     9,000    55,972   12,352
Idaho          86,000  6.8%    16,000    15,987    1,616
Illinois    1,193,000  9.9%   290,000   320,607   64,573
Indiana       125,000  2.1%    14,000    28,065    5,585
Iowa           70,000  2.5%     6,400    18,411    3,610
Kansas        100,000  3.8%    20,000    24,237    3,679
Kentucky       65,000  1.7%     6,000    13,905    3,205
Louisiana     123,000  2.9%    22,000    26,649    4,645
Maine          27,000  2.2%     3,300     6,328    1,237
Maryland      479,000  9.5%    44,000   120,591   24,706
Massachusetts 598,000 10.0%    85,000   158,069   22,866
Michigan      493,000  5.0%    37,000   104,114   186,428
Minnesota     217,000  4.6%     7,200    54,169    8,763
Mississippi    33,000  1.2%     3,700     6,765    1,817
Missouri       81,000  1.5%    16,000    31,596    6,754
Montana         8,000  0.9%     1,200     3,508      741
Nebraska       58,000  3.5%     7,600    14,332    2,685
Nevada        196,000 11.4%    24,000    40,373   11,548
New Hamp.      44,000  3.6%     2,000     8,919    1,839
New Jersey  1,181,000 14.8%   135,000   343,062   71,334
New Mexico    118,000  6.4%    37,000    34,919      903
New York    3,633,000 20.0%   540,000 1,039,283  180,480
N. Carolina   247,000  3.4%    22,000    54,856    7,341
N. Dakota       6,000  0.9%       800     3,938    1,039
Ohio          349,000  3.1%    23,000    65,724    8,873
Oklahoma       66,000  2.0%    21,000    24,680    5,021
Oregon        307,000  9.3%    33,000    65,060    9,323
Pennsylvania  487,000  4.1%    37,000   115,737   20,386
Rhode Island  109,000 11.6%    12,000    20,889    4,003
S. Carolina    62,000  1.6%     4,800    17,021    4,259
S. Dakota       7,000  0.9%       800     3,658      935
Tennessee      85,000  1.5%    13,000    26,810    6,339
Texas       2,302,000 11.7%   700,000   602,916   57,636
Utah          137,000  6.6%    15,000    24,619    5,622
Vermont        20,000  3.5%     2,700     4,560    1,227
Virginia      443,000  6.6%    55,000   131,445   25,386
Washington    372,000  6.5%    52,000   138,365   22,869
W. Virginia    16,000  0.9%     2,000     4,379      355
Wisconsin     146,000  2.8%     7,700    32,346    2,694
Wyoming         6,000  1.1%     1,700     7,209      421
FAIR, 12/99.
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